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1970-71 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Inter Milan

46 points · 11th Title

Last Title: 1965-66

Relegated

Catania

21 pts

Lazio · 22 pts

Foggia · 25 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Inter Milan

10.12 points above expected

46 points · 35.88 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lazio Roma

5.01 points below expected

22 points · 27.01 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Inter Milan Champion 30 19 8 3 46 50 26 +24 35.88 +10.12
2 AC Milan 30 15 12 3 42 54 26 +28 37.60 +4.40
3 Napoli 30 15 9 6 39 33 19 +14 33.12 +5.88
4 Juventus 30 11 13 6 35 41 30 +11 32.82 +2.18
5 Bologna 30 10 14 6 34 30 24 +6 31.06 +2.94
6 Roma 30 7 18 5 32 32 25 +7 28.82 +3.18
7 Cagliari 30 8 14 8 30 33 35 -2 33.70 -3.70
8 Torino 30 6 14 10 26 27 30 -3 28.86 -2.86
9 Varese 30 5 16 9 26 29 33 -4 26.52 -0.52
10 Lanerossi Vicenza 30 6 14 10 26 23 31 -8 27.55 -1.55
11 Hellas Verona 30 7 12 11 26 23 35 -12 27.37 -1.37
12 Sampdoria 30 6 13 11 25 30 34 -4 27.72 -2.72
13 Fiorentina 30 3 19 8 25 26 32 -6 29.87 -4.87
14 Foggia Relegated 30 6 13 11 25 28 43 -15 28.05 -3.05
15 Lazio Roma 30 5 12 13 22 28 43 -15 27.01 -5.01
16 Catania Relegated 30 5 11 14 21 18 39 -21 24.03 -3.03

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Inter Milan 1915 46 35.88 +10.12 99.8% 21 30 33 36 38 42 50
AC Milan 1908 42 37.60 +4.40 91.5% 24 32 35 38 40 44 51
Napoli 1827 39 33.12 +5.88 96.1% 17 27 31 33 36 39 47
Juventus 1816 35 32.82 +2.18 76.8% 17 27 30 33 35 39 46
Bologna 1772 34 31.06 +2.94 82.5% 16 25 29 31 34 37 44
Cagliari 1767 30 33.70 -3.70 19.6% 20 27 31 34 36 40 47
Roma 1761 32 28.82 +3.18 84.0% 15 23 26 29 31 35 44
Fiorentina 1739 25 29.87 -4.87 11.8% 17 24 27 30 32 36 43
Lanerossi Vicenza 1714 26 27.55 -1.55 39.1% 14 22 25 28 30 34 41
Torino 1714 26 28.86 -2.86 26.3% 14 23 26 29 31 35 42
Sampdoria 1702 25 27.72 -2.72 27.8% 13 22 25 28 30 34 43
Varese 1698 26 26.52 -0.52 50.3% 14 20 24 26 29 33 42
Hellas Verona 1681 26 27.37 -1.37 41.3% 13 21 25 27 30 34 41
Lazio Roma 1678 22 27.01 -5.01 10.5% 14 21 25 27 29 33 41
Foggia 1656 25 28.05 -3.05 24.3% 14 22 26 28 31 34 42
Catania 1632 21 24.03 -3.03 24.9% 11 18 22 24 26 30 40

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM BOL CAG CAT FIO FOG HV IM JUV LV LR NAP ROM SAM TOR VAR
AC Milan —
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
2.97
1-1-0
3.99
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
3.18
1-1-0
3.62
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.83
1-1-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.53
1-1-0
2.91
0-2-0
3.50
1-1-0
3.60
1-1-0
3.49
0-1-1
3.63
Bologna
1-0-1
1.84
 —
0-1-1
2.41
1-1-0
3.26
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.83
0-2-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.20
1-1-0
2.35
1-1-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.36
0-2-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.99
Cagliari
0-0-2
2.17
1-1-0
2.70
 —
0-2-0
3.61
2-0-0
2.87
0-2-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.08
1-1-0
2.34
0-1-1
2.67
0-2-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
3.10
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.00
0-1-1
3.28
Catania
0-1-1
1.25
0-1-1
1.86
0-2-0
1.55
 —
0-2-0
1.97
1-0-1
2.21
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
1.48
0-0-2
1.92
0-2-0
2.22
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
1.52
0-0-2
2.14
0-0-2
2.31
1-1-0
2.01
1-1-0
2.35
Fiorentina
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.24
0-2-0
3.14
 —
1-1-0
2.62
0-2-0
2.80
0-1-1
1.71
0-1-1
2.30
1-1-0
2.72
0-2-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.76
0-2-0
2.66
0-2-0
2.68
0-2-0
2.88
Foggia
0-1-1
1.99
1-1-0
2.28
0-2-0
2.07
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
2.46
 —
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
1.80
0-1-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.41
0-1-1
2.60
Hellas Verona
0-1-1
1.55
0-2-0
2.04
1-0-1
2.02
1-1-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.54
 —
0-0-2
2.01
0-1-1
2.09
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
2.57
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.74
Inter Milan
1-0-1
2.26
1-1-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.73
2-0-0
3.68
1-1-0
3.40
1-1-0
3.38
2-0-0
3.12
 —
1-1-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.55
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
3.25
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
3.15
2-0-0
3.53
Juventus
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.40
2-0-0
3.21
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.19
 —
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
3.08
0-1-1
2.94
0-2-0
3.11
Lanerossi Vicenza
0-1-1
1.53
0-1-1
2.34
0-2-0
1.79
0-2-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.38
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.54
0-0-2
1.88
0-1-1
2.01
 —
2-0-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.07
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.39
1-1-0
2.58
Lazio Roma
0-1-1
1.59
0-1-1
2.19
0-0-2
2.06
1-0-1
2.78
0-2-0
2.33
1-0-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
1.65
0-1-1
1.97
0-0-2
2.50
 —
0-1-1
1.99
0-2-0
2.39
2-0-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.29
0-1-1
2.61
Napoli
0-1-1
2.20
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.54
1-0-1
3.63
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.60
2-0-0
3.03
1-1-0
3.13
 —
0-1-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.94
1-1-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.09
Roma
0-2-0
1.68
0-2-0
2.39
1-1-0
1.99
2-0-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.87
0-2-0
1.87
0-1-1
2.18
1-1-0
2.56
0-2-0
2.71
1-1-0
2.21
 —
0-2-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.71
Sampdoria
0-1-1
1.55
0-1-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.03
2-0-0
2.76
0-2-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
1.87
1-0-1
2.04
0-1-1
2.54
0-0-2
2.66
0-1-1
2.18
0-2-0
2.44
 —
0-2-0
2.47
1-1-0
2.64
Torino
0-1-1
1.68
1-0-1
2.32
1-1-0
2.13
0-1-1
3.11
0-2-0
2.40
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
2.17
0-1-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.41
0-2-0
2.62
 —
1-1-0
2.81
Varese
1-1-0
1.58
0-1-1
2.12
1-1-0
1.86
0-1-1
2.75
0-2-0
2.21
1-1-0
2.49
1-1-0
2.33
0-0-2
1.61
0-2-0
2.02
0-1-1
2.50
1-1-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.29
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +6.8
Allowed 0.58 -8.3
Differential 0.92 +5.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.92%8.75%4.58%1.88%0.62%0.62%34.38%
18.75%20.42%5.83%3.12%0.83%—38.96%
24.58%5.83%5.42%1.04%0.21%0.42%17.50%
31.88%3.12%1.04%0.42%——6.46%
40.62%0.83%0.21%———1.67%
5+0.62%—0.42%———1.04%
Total34.38%38.96%17.50%6.46%1.67%1.04%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 1.05 +0.00
SD 1.05 1.05 1.42
CV 0.99 0.99 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%—3.33%———6.67%
110.00%33.33%3.33%———46.67%
210.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
33.33%13.33%————16.67%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total33.33%50.00%13.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 0.87 +0.93
SD 1.21 0.78 1.46
CV 0.67 0.90 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%6.67%—3.33%——36.67%
113.33%10.00%10.00%———33.33%
26.67%6.67%10.00%———23.33%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%23.33%23.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.80 +0.20
SD 0.95 0.92 1.13
CV 0.95 1.16 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%3.33%—3.33%—33.33%
1—26.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%—40.00%
23.33%13.33%————16.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total23.33%53.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.17 -0.07
SD 1.12 1.05 1.46
CV 1.02 0.90 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%20.00%6.67%—3.33%6.67%53.33%
110.00%20.00%3.33%3.33%——36.67%
23.33%——3.33%——6.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%43.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.60 1.30 -0.70
SD 0.77 1.42 1.68
CV 1.28 1.09 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%6.67%3.33%———33.33%
16.67%30.00%13.33%———50.00%
2——10.00%——3.33%13.33%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%36.67%26.67%——3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.07 -0.20
SD 0.78 1.08 1.00
CV 0.90 1.01 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%10.00%10.00%—3.33%36.67%
110.00%26.67%6.67%3.33%——46.67%
2—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total23.33%33.33%26.67%13.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.43 -0.50
SD 1.08 1.19 1.72
CV 1.16 0.83 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%10.00%6.67%——36.67%
116.67%23.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—53.33%
23.33%—3.33%———6.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%20.00%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.17 -0.40
SD 0.73 1.12 1.38
CV 0.95 0.96 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%——3.33%——13.33%
113.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
216.67%16.67%6.67%———40.00%
3—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total43.33%33.33%16.67%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 0.87 +0.80
SD 1.09 0.94 1.42
CV 0.66 1.08 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%10.00%———33.33%
13.33%16.67%3.33%———23.33%
23.33%16.67%6.67%———26.67%
3—6.67%—3.33%——10.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total26.67%50.00%20.00%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.00 +0.37
SD 1.33 0.79 1.47
CV 0.97 0.79 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%13.33%—3.33%——40.00%
110.00%23.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%—50.00%
2—3.33%————3.33%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%43.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.03 -0.27
SD 0.82 1.03 1.11
CV 1.07 1.00 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%6.67%———33.33%
110.00%20.00%6.67%6.67%——43.33%
2—3.33%10.00%—3.33%3.33%20.00%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.00%40.00%26.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.43 -0.50
SD 0.83 1.19 1.07
CV 0.89 0.83 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%3.33%———23.33%
126.67%13.33%6.67%—3.33%—50.00%
213.33%3.33%3.33%———20.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total60.00%23.33%13.33%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 0.63 +0.47
SD 0.84 0.96 1.36
CV 0.77 1.52 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
033.33%10.00%3.33%—3.33%—50.00%
13.33%13.33%————16.67%
2—6.67%13.33%———20.00%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total43.33%36.67%16.67%—3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 0.83 +0.23
SD 1.36 0.95 1.57
CV 1.28 1.14 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%6.67%3.33%———36.67%
1—10.00%10.00%13.33%——33.33%
210.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%——23.33%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%23.33%20.00%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.13 -0.13
SD 0.95 1.14 1.33
CV 0.95 1.00 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%20.00%10.00%———43.33%
16.67%30.00%————36.67%
2—6.67%—3.33%——10.00%
3—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total23.33%60.00%10.00%6.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.00 -0.10
SD 1.06 0.79 1.21
CV 1.18 0.79 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
026.67%10.00%—3.33%——40.00%
1—20.00%3.33%10.00%——33.33%
23.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%——20.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%40.00%10.00%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.10 -0.13
SD 1.03 1.06 1.31
CV 1.07 0.97 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Inter Milan 46 35.88 +10.12
2 Napoli 39 33.12 +5.88
3 AC Milan 42 37.60 +4.40
4 Roma 32 28.82 +3.18
5 Bologna 34 31.06 +2.94

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lazio Roma 22 27.01 -5.01
2 Fiorentina 25 29.87 -4.87
3 Cagliari 30 33.70 -3.70
4 Foggia 25 28.05 -3.05
5 Catania 21 24.03 -3.03

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Milan 5 Oct 11 – Nov 22 1 in 377
2 Inter Milan 6 Mar 7 – Apr 11 1 in 247
3 Napoli 4 Oct 25 – Nov 22 1 in 233
4 Varese 2 Mar 21 – Mar 28 1 in 65
5 Catania 2 Mar 7 – Mar 14 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fiorentina 3 Nov 15 – Nov 29 1 in 83
2 Cagliari 3 Jan 10 – Jan 24 1 in 62
3 Varese 3 Feb 28 – Mar 14 1 in 50
4 Lazio Roma 4 Jan 17 – Feb 7 1 in 37
5 Torino 2 Feb 14 – Feb 28 1 in 29

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inter Milan 23 Nov 29 – May 23 1 in 71
2 AC Milan 19 Sep 27 – Feb 28 1 in 47
3 Fiorentina 8 Mar 28 – May 23 1 in 31
4 Juventus 13 Feb 14 – May 23 1 in 29
5 Roma 8 Jan 17 – Mar 14 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fiorentina 17 Dec 27 – Apr 25 1 in 541
2 Varese 17 Sep 27 – Feb 7 1 in 65
3 Cagliari 7 Mar 28 – May 16 1 in 18
4 Juventus 7 Mar 14 – Apr 25 1 in 16
5 Lanerossi Vicenza 10 Sep 27 – Dec 20 1 in 13

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Inter Milan25.59%24.16%16.46%11.18%7.15%5.24%3.47%2.29%1.57%1.09%0.68%0.53%0.33%0.14%0.08%0.04%
AC Milan46.66%23.05%12.36%6.94%4.31%2.53%1.69%1.09%0.48%0.38%0.27%0.17%0.05%0.02%——
Napoli7.07%12.51%14.41%13.81%12.19%10.30%7.72%6.25%4.85%3.46%2.79%1.86%1.07%0.93%0.57%0.21%
Juventus6.05%11.58%13.22%13.55%12.29%9.83%8.30%6.77%5.45%4.12%3.02%2.27%1.51%1.06%0.70%0.28%
Bologna2.45%5.04%7.88%10.67%10.05%10.76%10.49%8.98%8.21%6.76%5.08%4.65%3.72%2.80%1.58%0.88%
Roma0.67%1.88%3.55%5.07%6.58%7.62%8.32%9.07%9.79%8.77%8.20%7.94%6.90%6.42%5.67%3.55%
Cagliari8.46%13.05%15.54%13.63%11.39%9.59%7.27%5.98%4.37%3.56%2.31%1.88%1.38%0.72%0.68%0.19%
Torino0.61%1.64%3.22%4.54%6.51%7.21%8.13%8.80%8.88%9.48%8.44%8.72%7.46%6.90%5.66%3.80%
Varese0.08%0.35%0.90%1.60%2.53%3.63%4.82%5.63%6.40%8.03%8.99%10.19%10.89%12.53%11.78%11.65%
Lanerossi Vicenza0.29%0.80%1.67%2.53%3.78%4.63%5.59%6.90%8.00%8.79%9.69%9.92%9.67%10.29%10.10%7.35%
Hellas Verona0.31%0.71%1.51%2.23%3.42%4.12%5.65%6.36%7.07%8.42%8.89%9.71%11.17%10.82%10.84%8.77%
Sampdoria0.27%0.93%1.66%2.75%4.35%5.59%6.43%7.25%8.26%8.84%9.87%9.19%9.73%9.17%8.50%7.21%
Fiorentina1.00%2.70%4.53%6.32%8.06%8.45%9.49%9.68%8.73%8.37%8.11%7.52%6.24%4.46%4.15%2.19%
Foggia0.33%0.96%1.81%2.86%4.13%5.60%6.48%7.69%8.48%8.23%9.66%9.17%9.66%9.01%8.92%7.01%
Lazio Roma0.14%0.61%1.05%1.94%2.63%3.99%4.58%5.39%6.60%8.10%8.94%10.02%11.15%12.26%12.35%10.25%
Catania0.02%0.03%0.23%0.38%0.63%0.91%1.57%1.87%2.86%3.60%5.06%6.26%9.07%12.47%18.42%36.62%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.33%
Clear Edge
39.58%44.17%16.25%
Elo Value
Home Edge
196 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
082.59500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.46 goals
Neutral
-2+0.42+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.3
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
26%
Inter Milan, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.13/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.96 * Some Luck: 2.96 to 4.43 * Lucky: 4.43 to 5.91 * Wild Swing: 5.91 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.27 * Close: 2.27 to 3.41 * Off: 3.41 to 4.55 * Way Off: 4.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.62 * A Surprise: 1.62 to 2.59 * Several Surprises: 2.59 to 3.56 * Many Surprises: 3.56 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.19 points
Some Luck
03.709
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.12
Pinpoint
02.846
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.85%
Inter Milan
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
10.52%
Lazio Roma
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 3
A Surprise
01.63

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.13
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.34
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Strong Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
75%
Very Frequent
0%71%100%
Blowouts
Expected 8%
9%
Occasional
0%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.50
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.29
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%13%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Solid Favorites
0%12%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.81
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.35
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.053
Well Within Noise
00.1110.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
AC Milan 99.98% 0.02%
Inter Milan 99.74% 0.26%
Cagliari 98.41% 1.59%
Napoli 98.29% 1.71%
Juventus 97.96% 2.04%
Bologna 94.74% 5.26%
Fiorentina 89.20% 10.80%
Roma 84.36% 15.64%
Torino 83.64% 16.36%
Sampdoria 75.12% 24.88%
Foggia 75.06% 24.94%
Lanerossi Vicenza 72.26% 27.74%
Hellas Verona 69.57% 30.43%
Lazio Roma 65.14% 34.86%
Varese 64.04% 35.96%
Catania 32.49% 67.51%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1970-09-27 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1795 1742 46.7% 44.1% 9.2% -2.1 1
1970-09-27 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1742 1795 9.2% 44.1% 46.7% +2.1 1
1970-09-27 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-0 1738 1737 41.9% 45.7% 12.3% +15.2 2
1970-09-27 @ Bologna L 0-3 1737 1738 12.3% 45.7% 41.9% -15.2 0
1970-09-27 Sampdoria W 2-1 1823 1710 51.9% 41.3% 6.8% +3.2 2
1970-09-27 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1710 1823 6.8% 41.3% 51.9% -3.3 0
1970-09-27 Juventus L 0-1 1684 1797 28.6% 46.7% 24.7% -8.9 0
1970-09-27 @ Catania W 1-0 1797 1684 24.7% 46.7% 28.6% +9.0 2
1970-09-27 Inter Milan L 1-2 1725 1815 31.6% 46.8% 21.5% -9.0 0
1970-09-27 @ Hellas Verona W 2-1 1815 1725 21.5% 46.8% 31.6% +9.0 2
1970-09-27 Varese W 1-0 1760 1696 47.8% 43.6% 8.6% +4.3 2
1970-09-27 @ Napoli L 0-1 1696 1760 8.6% 43.6% 47.8% -4.3 0
1970-09-27 Fiorentina L 0-1 1724 1781 35.6% 46.7% 17.6% -10.3 0
1970-09-27 @ Roma W 1-0 1781 1724 17.6% 46.7% 35.6% +10.3 2
1970-09-27 Foggia D 1-1 1735 1721 43.2% 45.4% 11.4% -1.7 1
1970-09-27 @ Torino D 1-1 1721 1735 11.4% 45.4% 43.2% +1.7 1
1970-10-07 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1791 1716 48.6% 43.2% 8.2% -2.3 3
1970-10-07 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1716 1791 8.2% 43.2% 48.6% +2.3 1
1970-10-07 AC Milan D 1-1 1722 1793 34.1% 46.8% 19.2% -0.7 2
1970-10-07 @ Foggia D 1-1 1793 1722 19.2% 46.8% 34.1% +0.7 2
1970-10-07 Roma D 0-0 1824 1713 51.6% 41.5% 6.9% -3.0 3
1970-10-07 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1713 1824 6.9% 41.5% 51.6% +3.0 1
1970-10-07 Bologna D 0-0 1806 1753 46.7% 44.1% 9.2% -2.4 3
1970-10-07 @ Juventus D 0-0 1753 1806 9.2% 44.1% 46.7% +2.4 3
1970-10-07 Cagliari L 2-4 1744 1827 32.6% 46.8% 20.6% -14.2 1
1970-10-07 @ Lazio Roma W 4-2 1827 1744 20.6% 46.8% 32.6% +14.2 4
1970-10-07 Napoli L 0-1 1707 1764 35.6% 46.7% 17.7% -10.3 0
1970-10-07 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1764 1707 17.7% 46.7% 35.6% +10.3 4
1970-10-07 Torino D 0-0 1691 1733 37.3% 46.6% 16.1% -1.2 1
1970-10-07 @ Varese D 0-0 1733 1691 16.1% 46.6% 37.3% +1.2 2
1970-10-07 Catania D 0-0 1721 1675 46.2% 44.3% 9.5% -2.3 1
1970-10-07 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1675 1721 9.5% 44.3% 46.2% +2.3 1
1970-10-11 Sampdoria W 3-1 1793 1696 50.5% 42.2% 7.3% +6.1 4
1970-10-11 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1696 1793 7.3% 42.2% 50.5% -6.1 0
1970-10-11 Inter Milan D 2-2 1756 1821 34.7% 46.8% 18.6% -0.6 4
1970-10-11 @ Bologna D 2-2 1821 1756 18.6% 46.8% 34.7% +0.6 4
1970-10-11 Varese D 1-1 1841 1690 54.9% 39.3% 5.8% -2.9 5
1970-10-11 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1690 1841 5.8% 39.3% 54.9% +3.0 2
1970-10-11 Fiorentina D 0-0 1677 1789 28.8% 46.7% 24.5% -0.2 2
1970-10-11 @ Catania D 0-0 1789 1677 24.5% 46.7% 28.8% +0.2 4
1970-10-11 Juventus D 0-0 1718 1803 32.2% 46.8% 20.9% -0.6 2
1970-10-11 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1803 1718 20.9% 46.8% 32.2% +0.6 4
1970-10-11 Foggia D 0-0 1774 1722 46.8% 44.1% 9.2% -2.4 5
1970-10-11 @ Napoli D 0-0 1722 1774 9.2% 44.1% 46.8% +2.4 3
1970-10-11 Lanerossi Vicenza W 4-1 1716 1719 41.5% 45.8% 12.7% +13.1 3
1970-10-11 @ Roma L 1-4 1719 1716 12.7% 45.8% 41.5% -13.1 1
1970-10-11 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1735 1730 42.2% 45.6% 12.1% -1.6 3
1970-10-11 @ Torino D 1-1 1730 1735 12.1% 45.6% 42.2% +1.6 2
1970-10-25 Napoli L 0-1 1789 1772 43.4% 45.3% 11.3% -12.0 4
1970-10-25 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1772 1789 11.3% 45.3% 43.4% +12.0 7
1970-10-25 Bologna D 1-1 1724 1755 38.6% 46.4% 15.0% -1.2 4
1970-10-25 @ Foggia D 1-1 1755 1724 15.0% 46.4% 38.6% +1.2 5
1970-10-25 Cagliari L 1-3 1821 1838 40.1% 46.1% 13.8% -18.4 4
1970-10-25 @ Inter Milan W 3-1 1838 1821 13.8% 46.1% 40.1% +18.4 7
1970-10-25 AC Milan L 0-2 1804 1799 42.2% 45.6% 12.1% -22.1 4
1970-10-25 @ Juventus W 2-0 1799 1804 12.1% 45.6% 42.2% +22.1 6
1970-10-25 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1732 1718 43.2% 45.4% 11.5% -1.7 3
1970-10-25 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1718 1732 11.5% 45.4% 43.2% +1.7 3
1970-10-25 Catania W 2-0 1690 1677 43.1% 45.4% 11.5% +10.0 2
1970-10-25 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1677 1690 11.5% 45.4% 43.1% -10.0 2
1970-10-25 Roma D 0-0 1693 1729 38.0% 46.5% 15.6% -1.3 3
1970-10-25 @ Varese D 0-0 1729 1693 15.6% 46.5% 38.0% +1.3 4
1970-10-25 Torino D 1-1 1706 1733 39.0% 46.3% 14.7% -1.2 2
1970-10-25 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1733 1706 14.7% 46.3% 39.0% +1.2 4
1970-11-08 Inter Milan W 3-0 1821 1803 43.6% 45.2% 11.2% +14.2 8
1970-11-08 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1803 1821 11.2% 45.2% 43.6% -14.2 4
1970-11-08 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1756 1730 44.3% 45.0% 10.7% +9.5 7
1970-11-08 @ Bologna L 0-2 1730 1756 10.7% 45.0% 44.3% -9.5 3
1970-11-08 Foggia D 1-1 1856 1723 53.5% 40.3% 6.2% -2.8 8
1970-11-08 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1723 1856 6.2% 40.3% 53.5% +2.8 5
1970-11-08 Varese D 0-0 1667 1692 39.2% 46.3% 14.5% -1.4 3
1970-11-08 @ Catania D 0-0 1692 1667 14.5% 46.3% 39.2% +1.4 4
1970-11-08 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1720 1705 43.2% 45.4% 11.4% +5.3 5
1970-11-08 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1705 1720 11.4% 45.4% 43.2% -5.3 2
1970-11-08 Juventus W 1-0 1784 1782 42.0% 45.7% 12.3% +5.5 9
1970-11-08 @ Napoli L 0-1 1782 1784 12.3% 45.7% 42.0% -5.5 4
1970-11-08 Sampdoria D 0-0 1731 1700 44.7% 44.9% 10.4% -2.1 5
1970-11-08 @ Roma D 0-0 1700 1731 10.4% 44.9% 44.7% +2.1 3
1970-11-08 Fiorentina D 1-1 1734 1777 37.3% 46.6% 16.2% -1.1 5
1970-11-08 @ Torino D 1-1 1777 1734 16.2% 46.6% 37.3% +1.0 5
1970-11-15 AC Milan L 2-5 1778 1836 35.5% 46.7% 17.8% -20.6 5
1970-11-15 @ Fiorentina W 5-2 1836 1778 17.8% 46.7% 35.5% +20.6 10
1970-11-15 Catania W 1-0 1726 1666 47.4% 43.8% 8.8% +4.4 7
1970-11-15 @ Foggia L 0-1 1666 1726 8.8% 43.8% 47.4% -4.4 3
1970-11-15 Torino W 2-0 1789 1733 47.0% 44.0% 9.0% +8.4 6
1970-11-15 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1733 1789 9.0% 44.0% 47.0% -8.4 5
1970-11-15 Cagliari W 2-1 1776 1853 33.2% 46.8% 20.0% +7.0 6
1970-11-15 @ Juventus L 1-2 1853 1776 20.0% 46.8% 33.2% -7.0 8
1970-11-15 Roma D 1-1 1721 1729 41.0% 46.0% 13.1% -1.5 4
1970-11-15 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1729 1721 13.1% 46.0% 41.0% +1.5 6
1970-11-15 Hellas Verona W 3-0 1702 1725 39.5% 46.2% 14.3% +16.7 5
1970-11-15 @ Sampdoria L 0-3 1725 1702 14.3% 46.2% 39.5% -16.7 5
1970-11-15 Bologna D 0-0 1693 1766 33.8% 46.8% 19.4% -0.8 5
1970-11-15 @ Varese D 0-0 1766 1693 19.4% 46.8% 33.8% +0.8 8
1970-11-15 Napoli L 0-1 1700 1790 31.6% 46.8% 21.6% -9.5 2
1970-11-15 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1790 1700 21.6% 46.8% 31.6% +9.5 11
1970-11-22 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-1 1856 1690 56.1% 38.4% 5.5% +4.4 12
1970-11-22 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1690 1856 5.5% 38.4% 56.1% -4.4 2
1970-11-22 Sampdoria D 1-1 1767 1719 46.3% 44.3% 9.4% -2.1 9
1970-11-22 @ Bologna D 1-1 1719 1767 9.4% 44.3% 46.3% +2.0 6
1970-11-22 Fiorentina W 2-0 1847 1757 49.9% 42.5% 7.6% +7.3 10
1970-11-22 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1757 1847 7.6% 42.5% 49.9% -7.3 5
1970-11-22 Lazio Roma W 3-1 1661 1719 35.5% 46.7% 17.8% +11.3 5
1970-11-22 @ Catania L 1-3 1719 1661 17.8% 46.7% 35.5% -11.3 4
1970-11-22 Varese D 1-1 1708 1692 43.4% 45.3% 11.3% -1.7 6
1970-11-22 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1692 1708 11.3% 45.3% 43.4% +1.7 6
1970-11-22 Inter Milan W 2-1 1799 1797 42.0% 45.7% 12.3% +5.2 13
1970-11-22 @ Napoli L 1-2 1797 1799 12.3% 45.7% 42.0% -5.2 6
1970-11-22 Foggia W 3-1 1730 1730 41.8% 45.8% 12.4% +9.1 8
1970-11-22 @ Roma L 1-3 1730 1730 12.4% 45.8% 41.8% -9.2 7
1970-11-22 Juventus W 2-1 1725 1783 35.5% 46.7% 17.8% +6.5 7
1970-11-22 @ Torino L 1-2 1783 1725 17.8% 46.7% 35.5% -6.5 6
1970-11-29 Bologna L 1-2 1750 1765 40.3% 46.1% 13.6% -10.6 5
1970-11-29 @ Fiorentina W 2-1 1765 1750 13.6% 46.1% 40.3% +10.6 11
1970-11-29 Hellas Verona W 3-0 1721 1706 43.2% 45.4% 11.4% +14.5 9
1970-11-29 @ Foggia L 0-3 1706 1721 11.4% 45.4% 43.2% -14.5 6
1970-11-29 Catania W 3-2 1792 1672 52.3% 41.0% 6.6% +3.0 8
1970-11-29 @ Inter Milan L 2-3 1672 1792 6.6% 41.0% 52.3% -3.0 5
1970-11-29 Roma W 2-0 1777 1739 45.4% 44.6% 10.0% +9.1 8
1970-11-29 @ Juventus L 0-2 1739 1777 10.0% 44.6% 45.4% -9.1 8
1970-11-29 Napoli D 0-0 1708 1804 30.8% 46.8% 22.4% -0.4 5
1970-11-29 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1804 1708 22.4% 46.8% 30.8% +0.4 14
1970-11-29 Torino D 0-0 1721 1731 40.8% 46.0% 13.2% -1.6 7
1970-11-29 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1731 1721 13.2% 46.0% 40.8% +1.6 8
1970-11-29 AC Milan D 1-1 1694 1861 21.7% 45.8% 32.5% +0.5 7
1970-11-29 @ Varese D 1-1 1861 1694 32.5% 45.8% 21.7% -0.5 13
1970-11-29 Cagliari D 1-1 1686 1854 21.5% 45.8% 32.7% +0.5 3
1970-11-29 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1854 1686 32.7% 45.8% 21.5% -0.5 11
1970-12-13 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1860 1692 56.2% 38.3% 5.5% -3.1 14
1970-12-13 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1692 1860 5.5% 38.3% 56.2% +3.1 7
1970-12-13 Catania W 2-0 1775 1669 51.2% 41.7% 7.0% +6.8 13
1970-12-13 @ Bologna L 0-2 1669 1775 7.0% 41.7% 51.2% -6.7 5
1970-12-13 Lazio Roma W 5-2 1735 1707 44.5% 45.0% 10.5% +10.0 11
1970-12-13 @ Foggia L 2-5 1707 1735 10.5% 45.0% 44.5% -10.0 5
1970-12-13 Cagliari D 0-0 1730 1853 27.2% 46.6% 26.2% -0.0 9
1970-12-13 @ Roma D 0-0 1853 1730 26.2% 46.6% 27.2% +0.0 12
1970-12-13 Fiorentina D 2-2 1720 1739 39.8% 46.2% 14.0% -1.0 8
1970-12-13 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1739 1720 14.0% 46.2% 39.8% +1.0 6
1970-12-13 Napoli D 1-1 1733 1805 33.9% 46.8% 19.3% -0.7 9
1970-12-13 @ Torino D 1-1 1805 1733 19.3% 46.8% 33.9% +0.7 15
1970-12-13 Juventus D 0-0 1695 1786 31.4% 46.8% 21.7% -0.5 8
1970-12-13 @ Varese D 0-0 1786 1695 21.7% 46.8% 31.4% +0.5 9
1970-12-13 Inter Milan L 1-2 1686 1795 29.1% 46.7% 24.1% -8.5 3
1970-12-13 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1795 1686 24.1% 46.7% 29.1% +8.5 10
1970-12-20 Bologna W 2-1 1853 1782 48.4% 43.3% 8.3% +3.9 14
1970-12-20 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1782 1853 8.3% 43.3% 48.4% -3.9 13
1970-12-20 Roma L 1-2 1663 1730 34.4% 46.8% 18.8% -9.5 5
1970-12-20 @ Catania W 2-1 1730 1663 18.8% 46.8% 34.4% +9.5 11
1970-12-20 Foggia W 3-0 1740 1745 41.3% 45.9% 12.8% +15.6 8
1970-12-20 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1745 1740 12.8% 45.9% 41.3% -15.6 11
1970-12-20 Torino W 1-0 1695 1732 37.9% 46.5% 15.6% +6.4 9
1970-12-20 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1732 1695 15.6% 46.5% 37.9% -6.4 9
1970-12-20 Varese W 3-2 1803 1694 51.5% 41.5% 6.9% +3.1 12
1970-12-20 @ Inter Milan L 2-3 1694 1803 6.9% 41.5% 51.5% -3.1 8
1970-12-20 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1786 1678 51.5% 41.6% 7.0% +3.3 11
1970-12-20 @ Juventus L 1-2 1678 1786 7.0% 41.6% 51.5% -3.3 3
1970-12-20 Sampdoria W 1-0 1697 1719 39.6% 46.2% 14.2% +6.1 7
1970-12-20 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1719 1697 14.2% 46.2% 39.6% -6.1 8
1970-12-20 AC Milan L 0-2 1805 1857 36.2% 46.7% 17.1% -19.7 15
1970-12-20 @ Napoli W 2-0 1857 1805 17.1% 46.7% 36.2% +19.7 16
1970-12-27 Cagliari D 1-1 1653 1857 17.8% 44.7% 37.5% +1.0 6
1970-12-27 @ Catania D 1-1 1857 1653 37.5% 44.7% 17.8% -1.0 15
1970-12-27 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1756 1703 46.7% 44.1% 9.2% -2.1 9
1970-12-27 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1703 1756 9.2% 44.1% 46.7% +2.1 8
1970-12-27 Sampdoria D 2-2 1730 1713 43.5% 45.3% 11.2% -1.3 12
1970-12-27 @ Foggia D 2-2 1713 1730 11.2% 45.3% 43.5% +1.3 9
1970-12-27 Juventus W 2-0 1807 1790 43.5% 45.3% 11.2% +9.9 14
1970-12-27 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1790 1807 11.2% 45.3% 43.5% -9.9 11
1970-12-27 Hellas Verona W 2-0 1786 1701 49.5% 42.8% 7.8% +7.4 17
1970-12-27 @ Napoli L 0-2 1701 1786 7.8% 42.8% 49.5% -7.4 9
1970-12-27 Bologna D 1-1 1739 1778 37.7% 46.5% 15.8% -1.1 12
1970-12-27 @ Roma D 1-1 1778 1739 15.8% 46.5% 37.7% +1.1 14
1970-12-27 AC Milan D 1-1 1726 1877 23.5% 46.2% 30.3% +0.3 10
1970-12-27 @ Torino D 1-1 1877 1726 30.3% 46.2% 23.5% -0.3 17
1970-12-27 Varese W 3-1 1674 1691 40.1% 46.1% 13.8% +9.7 5
1970-12-27 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-3 1691 1674 13.8% 46.1% 40.1% -9.7 8
1971-01-03 Catania W 4-0 1876 1654 60.5% 35.0% 4.5% +7.3 19
1971-01-03 @ AC Milan L 0-4 1654 1876 4.5% 35.0% 60.5% -7.3 6
1971-01-03 Hellas Verona D 2-2 1779 1694 49.5% 42.7% 7.8% -1.8 15
1971-01-03 @ Bologna D 2-2 1694 1779 7.8% 42.7% 49.5% +1.8 10
1971-01-03 Torino D 0-0 1856 1726 53.2% 40.5% 6.3% -3.1 16
1971-01-03 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1726 1856 6.3% 40.5% 53.2% +3.1 11
1971-01-03 Lazio Roma W 3-1 1780 1706 48.6% 43.2% 8.2% +6.7 13
1971-01-03 @ Juventus L 1-3 1706 1780 8.2% 43.2% 48.6% -6.7 8
1971-01-03 Napoli D 2-2 1738 1793 35.9% 46.7% 17.4% -0.7 13
1971-01-03 @ Roma D 2-2 1793 1738 17.4% 46.7% 35.9% +0.7 18
1971-01-03 Inter Milan L 0-2 1714 1816 30.0% 46.8% 23.3% -17.3 9
1971-01-03 @ Sampdoria W 2-0 1816 1714 23.3% 46.8% 30.0% +17.3 16
1971-01-03 Fiorentina D 0-0 1681 1754 33.8% 46.8% 19.4% -0.8 9
1971-01-03 @ Varese D 0-0 1754 1681 19.4% 46.8% 33.8% +0.8 10
1971-01-03 Foggia W 1-0 1684 1728 37.1% 46.6% 16.3% +6.6 7
1971-01-03 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1728 1684 16.3% 46.6% 37.1% -6.6 12
1971-01-10 Bologna W 2-1 1884 1777 51.3% 41.7% 7.0% +3.4 21
1971-01-10 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1777 1884 7.0% 41.7% 51.3% -3.4 15
1971-01-10 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1755 1691 47.7% 43.6% 8.6% -2.5 11
1971-01-10 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1691 1755 8.6% 43.6% 47.7% +2.5 8
1971-01-10 Inter Milan D 1-1 1722 1834 28.7% 46.7% 24.6% -0.2 13
1971-01-10 @ Foggia D 1-1 1834 1722 24.6% 46.7% 28.7% +0.2 17
1971-01-10 Catania D 1-1 1696 1647 46.4% 44.2% 9.4% -2.1 11
1971-01-10 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1647 1696 9.4% 44.2% 46.4% +2.1 7
1971-01-10 Varese D 0-0 1699 1680 43.6% 45.2% 11.2% -2.0 9
1971-01-10 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1680 1699 11.2% 45.2% 43.6% +2.0 10
1971-01-10 Cagliari W 1-0 1794 1853 35.4% 46.7% 17.9% +6.9 20
1971-01-10 @ Napoli L 0-1 1853 1794 17.9% 46.7% 35.4% -7.0 16
1971-01-10 Juventus W 2-0 1696 1786 31.6% 46.8% 21.6% +14.5 11
1971-01-10 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1786 1696 21.6% 46.8% 31.6% -14.5 13
1971-01-10 Roma W 4-0 1729 1738 40.9% 46.0% 13.1% +20.7 13
1971-01-10 @ Torino L 0-4 1738 1729 13.1% 46.0% 40.9% -20.7 13
1971-01-17 Napoli W 1-0 1774 1801 39.0% 46.3% 14.7% +6.2 17
1971-01-17 @ Bologna L 0-1 1801 1774 14.7% 46.3% 39.0% -6.2 20
1971-01-17 AC Milan L 0-4 1846 1887 37.5% 46.5% 16.0% -38.2 16
1971-01-17 @ Cagliari W 4-0 1887 1846 16.0% 46.5% 37.5% +38.2 23
1971-01-17 Torino W 1-0 1649 1750 30.2% 46.8% 23.0% +8.0 9
1971-01-17 @ Catania L 0-1 1750 1649 23.0% 46.8% 30.2% -8.0 13
1971-01-17 Fiorentina W 2-1 1834 1752 49.2% 42.9% 7.9% +3.8 19
1971-01-17 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1752 1834 7.9% 42.9% 49.2% -3.8 11
1971-01-17 Foggia W 2-1 1772 1722 46.5% 44.2% 9.3% +4.3 15
1971-01-17 @ Juventus L 1-2 1722 1772 9.3% 44.2% 46.5% -4.3 13
1971-01-17 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1717 1694 44.0% 45.1% 10.8% -2.0 14
1971-01-17 @ Roma D 0-0 1694 1717 10.8% 45.1% 44.0% +2.0 12
1971-01-17 Sampdoria D 1-1 1682 1711 38.8% 46.4% 14.8% -1.2 11
1971-01-17 @ Varese D 1-1 1711 1682 14.8% 46.4% 38.8% +1.2 12
1971-01-17 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1693 1697 41.4% 45.9% 12.7% +5.7 10
1971-01-17 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1697 1693 12.7% 45.9% 41.4% -5.7 9
1971-01-24 Roma D 2-2 1925 1715 59.5% 35.8% 4.7% -2.5 24
1971-01-24 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1715 1925 4.7% 35.8% 59.5% +2.5 15
1971-01-24 Juventus L 1-2 1748 1776 38.9% 46.3% 14.8% -10.4 11
1971-01-24 @ Fiorentina W 2-1 1776 1748 14.8% 46.3% 38.9% +10.4 17
1971-01-24 Varese D 2-2 1717 1681 45.2% 44.7% 10.1% -1.4 14
1971-01-24 @ Foggia D 2-2 1681 1717 10.1% 44.7% 45.2% +1.4 12
1971-01-24 Cagliari W 2-0 1696 1808 28.7% 46.7% 24.6% +15.5 14
1971-01-24 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1808 1696 24.6% 46.7% 28.7% -15.5 16
1971-01-24 Inter Milan L 0-1 1691 1838 24.1% 46.2% 29.7% -8.1 9
1971-01-24 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1838 1691 29.7% 46.2% 24.1% +8.1 21
1971-01-24 Catania W 1-0 1795 1657 53.8% 40.1% 6.1% +3.1 22
1971-01-24 @ Napoli L 0-1 1657 1795 6.1% 40.1% 53.8% -3.1 9
1971-01-24 Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-2 1712 1699 43.1% 45.4% 11.5% -11.2 12
1971-01-24 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1699 1712 11.5% 45.4% 43.1% +11.2 12
1971-01-24 Bologna W 1-0 1742 1780 37.8% 46.5% 15.7% +6.5 15
1971-01-24 @ Torino L 0-1 1780 1742 15.7% 46.5% 37.8% -6.5 17
1971-01-31 Roma D 2-2 1738 1717 43.8% 45.2% 11.0% -1.3 12
1971-01-31 @ Fiorentina D 2-2 1717 1738 11.0% 45.2% 43.8% +1.3 16
1971-01-31 Torino W 1-0 1716 1748 38.4% 46.4% 15.2% +6.3 16
1971-01-31 @ Foggia L 0-1 1748 1716 15.2% 46.4% 38.4% -6.3 15
1971-01-31 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1846 1711 53.6% 40.2% 6.2% +3.1 23
1971-01-31 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1711 1846 6.2% 40.2% 53.6% -3.1 14
1971-01-31 Catania W 5-0 1787 1654 53.4% 40.3% 6.3% +13.9 19
1971-01-31 @ Juventus L 0-5 1654 1787 6.3% 40.3% 53.4% -13.9 9
1971-01-31 AC Milan L 0-1 1683 1923 14.8% 43.3% 41.9% -5.9 9
1971-01-31 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1923 1683 41.9% 43.3% 14.8% +5.9 26
1971-01-31 Cagliari D 0-0 1701 1792 31.4% 46.8% 21.8% -0.5 13
1971-01-31 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1792 1701 21.8% 46.8% 31.4% +0.5 17
1971-01-31 Napoli D 1-1 1683 1798 28.3% 46.7% 25.0% -0.1 13
1971-01-31 @ Varese D 1-1 1798 1683 25.0% 46.7% 28.3% +0.2 23
1971-01-31 Bologna D 0-0 1710 1774 34.8% 46.8% 18.4% -0.9 13
1971-01-31 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1774 1710 18.4% 46.8% 34.8% +0.9 18
1971-02-07 Foggia W 2-0 1929 1722 59.2% 36.0% 4.8% +4.2 28
1971-02-07 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1722 1929 4.8% 36.0% 59.2% -4.2 16
1971-02-07 Juventus W 1-0 1775 1801 39.1% 46.3% 14.6% +6.2 20
1971-02-07 @ Bologna L 0-1 1801 1775 14.6% 46.3% 39.1% -6.2 19
1971-02-07 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1793 1677 52.0% 41.2% 6.7% +3.2 19
1971-02-07 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1677 1793 6.7% 41.2% 52.0% -3.2 9
1971-02-07 Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1640 1709 34.2% 46.8% 19.0% -0.7 10
1971-02-07 @ Catania D 1-1 1709 1640 19.0% 46.8% 34.2% +0.7 14
1971-02-07 Fiorentina D 1-1 1708 1737 38.8% 46.4% 14.8% -1.2 15
1971-02-07 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1737 1708 14.8% 46.4% 38.8% +1.2 13
1971-02-07 Sampdoria D 0-0 1798 1701 50.5% 42.1% 7.3% -2.8 24
1971-02-07 @ Napoli D 0-0 1701 1798 7.3% 42.1% 50.5% +2.8 14
1971-02-07 Inter Milan D 0-0 1719 1849 26.2% 46.5% 27.2% +0.0 17
1971-02-07 @ Roma D 0-0 1849 1719 27.2% 46.5% 26.2% -0.0 24
1971-02-07 Varese W 3-1 1742 1682 47.3% 43.8% 8.8% +7.2 17
1971-02-07 @ Torino L 1-3 1682 1742 8.8% 43.8% 47.3% -7.2 13
1971-02-14 Catania D 1-1 1738 1639 50.6% 42.1% 7.3% -2.5 14
1971-02-14 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1639 1738 7.3% 42.1% 50.6% +2.5 11
1971-02-14 Napoli L 0-3 1718 1795 33.2% 46.8% 20.0% -26.9 16
1971-02-14 @ Foggia W 3-0 1795 1718 20.0% 46.8% 33.2% +26.9 26
1971-02-14 Bologna W 1-0 1849 1781 48.1% 43.5% 8.5% +4.2 26
1971-02-14 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1781 1849 8.5% 43.5% 48.1% -4.2 20
1971-02-14 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1794 1707 49.7% 42.6% 7.7% +3.7 21
1971-02-14 @ Juventus L 1-2 1707 1794 7.7% 42.6% 49.7% -3.7 15
1971-02-14 Torino W 1-0 1674 1749 33.4% 46.8% 19.8% +7.3 11
1971-02-14 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1749 1674 19.8% 46.8% 33.4% -7.3 17
1971-02-14 AC Milan D 1-1 1703 1933 15.5% 43.8% 40.7% +1.3 15
1971-02-14 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1933 1703 40.7% 43.8% 15.5% -1.3 29
1971-02-14 Cagliari W 4-1 1675 1796 27.5% 46.6% 25.8% +19.5 15
1971-02-14 @ Varese L 1-4 1796 1675 25.8% 46.6% 27.5% -19.5 19
1971-02-14 Roma D 0-0 1710 1719 40.9% 46.0% 13.1% -1.6 15
1971-02-14 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1719 1710 13.1% 46.0% 40.9% +1.6 18
1971-02-28 Juventus D 1-1 1932 1798 53.5% 40.3% 6.2% -2.8 30
1971-02-28 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1798 1932 6.2% 40.3% 53.5% +2.8 22
1971-02-28 Foggia L 1-2 1777 1691 49.5% 42.7% 7.8% -12.5 20
1971-02-28 @ Bologna W 2-1 1691 1777 7.8% 42.7% 49.5% +12.5 18
1971-02-28 Inter Milan D 0-0 1777 1853 33.3% 46.8% 19.9% -0.7 20
1971-02-28 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1853 1777 19.9% 46.8% 33.3% +0.7 27
1971-02-28 Sampdoria L 1-3 1642 1705 34.9% 46.8% 18.3% -16.6 11
1971-02-28 @ Catania W 3-1 1705 1642 18.3% 46.8% 34.9% +16.6 17
1971-02-28 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1703 1681 43.9% 45.1% 10.9% +5.1 17
1971-02-28 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1681 1703 10.9% 45.1% 43.9% -5.1 11
1971-02-28 Fiorentina D 0-0 1822 1735 49.6% 42.6% 7.7% -2.7 27
1971-02-28 @ Napoli D 0-0 1735 1822 7.7% 42.6% 49.6% +2.7 15
1971-02-28 Varese W 3-0 1720 1695 44.3% 45.0% 10.7% +13.8 20
1971-02-28 @ Roma L 0-3 1695 1720 10.7% 45.0% 44.3% -13.8 15
1971-02-28 Lanerossi Vicenza L 2-3 1742 1708 45.0% 44.8% 10.2% -11.0 17
1971-02-28 @ Torino W 3-2 1708 1742 10.2% 44.8% 45.0% +11.0 17
1971-03-07 Torino D 1-1 1738 1731 42.5% 45.6% 11.9% -1.6 16
1971-03-07 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1731 1738 11.9% 45.6% 42.5% +1.6 18
1971-03-07 Cagliari D 0-0 1704 1776 33.8% 46.8% 19.4% -0.8 19
1971-03-07 @ Foggia D 0-0 1776 1704 19.4% 46.8% 33.8% +0.8 21
1971-03-07 AC Milan W 2-0 1854 1929 33.5% 46.8% 19.7% +13.8 29
1971-03-07 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1929 1854 19.7% 46.8% 33.5% -13.8 30
1971-03-07 Napoli W 4-1 1801 1819 39.9% 46.2% 13.9% +13.9 24
1971-03-07 @ Juventus L 1-4 1819 1801 13.9% 46.2% 39.9% -13.9 27
1971-03-07 Bologna D 2-2 1676 1764 31.9% 46.8% 21.3% -0.4 12
1971-03-07 @ Lazio Roma D 2-2 1764 1676 21.3% 46.8% 31.9% +0.4 21
1971-03-07 Roma D 0-0 1721 1734 40.5% 46.1% 13.5% -1.6 18
1971-03-07 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1734 1721 13.5% 46.1% 40.5% +1.6 21
1971-03-07 Catania L 0-1 1681 1625 47.0% 44.0% 9.0% -12.8 15
1971-03-07 @ Varese W 1-0 1625 1681 9.0% 44.0% 47.0% +12.8 13
1971-03-07 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1719 1708 42.9% 45.5% 11.7% -1.9 18
1971-03-07 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1708 1719 11.7% 45.5% 42.9% +1.9 18
1971-03-14 Fiorentina W 1-0 1915 1736 57.0% 37.7% 5.2% +2.5 32
1971-03-14 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1736 1915 5.2% 37.7% 57.0% -2.5 16
1971-03-14 Varese W 1-0 1764 1668 50.4% 42.2% 7.4% +3.7 23
1971-03-14 @ Bologna L 0-1 1668 1764 7.4% 42.2% 50.4% -3.7 15
1971-03-14 Juventus D 1-1 1777 1815 37.8% 46.5% 15.7% -1.1 22
1971-03-14 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1815 1777 15.7% 46.5% 37.8% +1.1 25
1971-03-14 Foggia W 2-0 1638 1703 34.7% 46.8% 18.6% +13.4 15
1971-03-14 @ Catania L 0-2 1703 1638 18.6% 46.8% 34.7% -13.4 19
1971-03-14 Sampdoria W 3-1 1710 1720 40.9% 46.0% 13.2% +9.5 20
1971-03-14 @ Hellas Verona L 1-3 1720 1710 13.2% 46.0% 40.9% -9.5 18
1971-03-14 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1805 1717 49.8% 42.6% 7.7% +3.9 29
1971-03-14 @ Napoli L 0-1 1717 1805 7.7% 42.6% 49.8% -3.9 18
1971-03-14 Lazio Roma D 2-2 1736 1676 47.4% 43.8% 8.8% -1.6 22
1971-03-14 @ Roma D 2-2 1676 1736 8.8% 43.8% 47.4% +1.6 13
1971-03-14 Inter Milan L 0-2 1733 1868 25.6% 46.4% 28.0% -15.8 18
1971-03-14 @ Torino W 2-0 1868 1733 28.0% 46.4% 25.6% +15.8 31
1971-03-21 Cagliari L 1-2 1734 1776 37.4% 46.6% 16.1% -10.1 16
1971-03-21 @ Fiorentina W 2-1 1776 1734 16.1% 46.6% 37.4% +10.1 24
1971-03-21 Roma W 1-0 1690 1734 37.0% 46.6% 16.4% +6.6 21
1971-03-21 @ Foggia L 0-1 1734 1690 16.4% 46.6% 37.0% -6.6 22
1971-03-21 Napoli W 2-1 1884 1809 48.6% 43.2% 8.2% +3.9 33
1971-03-21 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1809 1884 8.2% 43.2% 48.6% -3.9 29
1971-03-21 Torino D 3-3 1816 1717 50.7% 42.0% 7.3% -1.6 26
1971-03-21 @ Juventus D 3-3 1717 1816 7.3% 42.0% 50.7% +1.6 19
1971-03-21 Catania W 1-0 1677 1651 44.3% 45.0% 10.7% +5.0 15
1971-03-21 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1651 1677 10.7% 45.0% 44.3% -5.0 15
1971-03-21 Bologna L 1-2 1710 1768 35.5% 46.7% 17.8% -9.7 18
1971-03-21 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1768 1710 17.8% 46.7% 35.5% +9.7 25
1971-03-21 Hellas Verona W 2-0 1665 1720 35.8% 46.7% 17.5% +12.9 17
1971-03-21 @ Varese L 0-2 1720 1665 17.5% 46.7% 35.8% -12.9 20
1971-03-21 AC Milan D 1-1 1713 1918 17.8% 44.7% 37.5% +1.0 19
1971-03-21 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1918 1713 37.5% 44.7% 17.8% -1.0 33
1971-03-28 Varese L 1-2 1917 1677 61.8% 33.9% 4.3% -14.5 33
1971-03-28 @ AC Milan W 2-1 1677 1917 4.3% 33.9% 61.8% +14.5 19
1971-03-28 Fiorentina D 0-0 1778 1724 46.8% 44.0% 9.1% -2.4 26
1971-03-28 @ Bologna D 0-0 1724 1778 9.1% 44.0% 46.8% +2.4 17
1971-03-28 Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1786 1714 48.3% 43.3% 8.3% -2.3 25
1971-03-28 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1714 1786 8.3% 43.3% 48.3% +2.3 20
1971-03-28 Inter Milan L 0-1 1646 1887 14.6% 43.3% 42.1% -5.9 15
1971-03-28 @ Catania W 1-0 1887 1646 42.1% 43.3% 14.6% +5.9 35
1971-03-28 Foggia D 1-1 1707 1696 42.9% 45.5% 11.7% -1.7 21
1971-03-28 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1696 1707 11.7% 45.5% 42.9% +1.7 22
1971-03-28 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1805 1682 52.6% 40.8% 6.5% +6.2 31
1971-03-28 @ Napoli L 0-2 1682 1805 6.5% 40.8% 52.6% -6.2 15
1971-03-28 Juventus D 0-0 1728 1814 32.0% 46.8% 21.1% -0.6 23
1971-03-28 @ Roma D 0-0 1814 1728 21.1% 46.8% 32.0% +0.6 27
1971-03-28 Sampdoria D 0-0 1718 1700 43.5% 45.3% 11.2% -2.0 20
1971-03-28 @ Torino D 0-0 1700 1718 11.2% 45.3% 43.5% +2.0 19
1971-04-04 Roma L 0-1 1783 1727 47.0% 43.9% 9.0% -12.8 25
1971-04-04 @ Cagliari W 1-0 1727 1783 9.0% 43.9% 47.0% +12.8 25
1971-04-04 Bologna D 0-0 1640 1775 25.6% 46.4% 28.0% +0.1 16
1971-04-04 @ Catania D 0-0 1775 1640 28.0% 46.4% 25.6% -0.1 27
1971-04-04 Sampdoria D 0-0 1726 1702 44.1% 45.1% 10.8% -2.0 18
1971-04-04 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1702 1726 10.8% 45.1% 44.1% +2.0 20
1971-04-04 AC Milan L 1-3 1705 1902 18.4% 45.0% 36.6% -11.2 21
1971-04-04 @ Hellas Verona W 3-1 1902 1705 36.6% 45.0% 18.4% +11.2 35
1971-04-04 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1893 1717 56.9% 37.8% 5.3% +2.4 37
1971-04-04 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1717 1893 5.3% 37.8% 56.9% -2.4 20
1971-04-04 Varese D 2-2 1815 1692 52.6% 40.8% 6.5% -2.0 28
1971-04-04 @ Juventus D 2-2 1692 1815 6.5% 40.8% 52.6% +2.0 20
1971-04-04 Foggia W 2-1 1676 1698 39.6% 46.2% 14.2% +5.7 17
1971-04-04 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1698 1676 14.2% 46.2% 39.6% -5.7 22
1971-04-04 Torino W 2-0 1812 1716 50.4% 42.2% 7.4% +7.1 33
1971-04-04 @ Napoli L 0-2 1716 1812 7.4% 42.2% 50.4% -7.1 20
1971-04-11 Napoli D 1-1 1913 1819 50.3% 42.3% 7.4% -2.5 36
1971-04-11 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1819 1913 7.4% 42.3% 50.3% +2.5 34
1971-04-11 Cagliari D 0-0 1775 1771 42.3% 45.6% 12.1% -1.8 28
1971-04-11 @ Bologna D 0-0 1771 1775 12.1% 45.6% 42.3% +1.8 26
1971-04-11 Fiorentina D 1-1 1692 1724 38.4% 46.4% 15.2% -1.2 23
1971-04-11 @ Foggia D 1-1 1724 1692 15.2% 46.4% 38.4% +1.2 19
1971-04-11 Catania W 5-0 1740 1640 50.7% 42.0% 7.2% +16.2 27
1971-04-11 @ Roma L 0-5 1640 1740 7.2% 42.0% 50.7% -16.2 16
1971-04-11 Lazio Roma L 2-3 1704 1682 44.0% 45.1% 10.9% -10.8 20
1971-04-11 @ Sampdoria W 3-2 1682 1704 10.9% 45.1% 44.0% +10.8 19
1971-04-11 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1709 1694 43.3% 45.3% 11.4% +5.3 22
1971-04-11 @ Torino L 0-1 1694 1709 11.4% 45.3% 43.3% -5.3 21
1971-04-11 Inter Milan L 1-3 1694 1896 18.0% 44.8% 37.2% -11.1 20
1971-04-11 @ Varese W 3-1 1896 1694 37.2% 44.8% 18.0% +11.1 39
1971-04-11 Juventus D 1-1 1714 1813 30.5% 46.8% 22.7% -0.4 21
1971-04-11 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1813 1714 22.7% 46.8% 30.5% +0.4 29
1971-04-18 Torino W 1-0 1911 1715 58.4% 36.6% 4.9% +2.3 38
1971-04-18 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1715 1911 4.9% 36.6% 58.4% -2.3 22
1971-04-18 Roma D 0-0 1774 1756 43.5% 45.3% 11.2% -2.0 29
1971-04-18 @ Bologna D 0-0 1756 1774 11.2% 45.3% 43.5% +2.0 28
1971-04-18 Catania D 1-1 1772 1624 54.6% 39.5% 5.9% -2.9 27
1971-04-18 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1624 1772 5.9% 39.5% 54.6% +2.9 17
1971-04-18 Napoli L 0-2 1689 1821 25.9% 46.5% 27.6% -16.0 21
1971-04-18 @ Hellas Verona W 2-0 1821 1689 27.6% 46.5% 25.9% +16.0 36
1971-04-18 Inter Milan D 1-1 1813 1907 31.1% 46.8% 22.1% -0.4 30
1971-04-18 @ Juventus D 1-1 1907 1813 22.1% 46.8% 31.1% +0.4 40
1971-04-18 Fiorentina D 0-0 1693 1725 38.4% 46.4% 15.2% -1.3 20
1971-04-18 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1725 1693 15.2% 46.4% 38.4% +1.3 20
1971-04-18 Foggia W 2-0 1694 1691 42.1% 45.7% 12.2% +10.4 22
1971-04-18 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1691 1694 12.2% 45.7% 42.1% -10.5 23
1971-04-18 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1683 1714 38.6% 46.4% 15.0% -1.3 21
1971-04-18 @ Varese D 0-0 1714 1683 15.0% 46.4% 38.6% +1.3 22
1971-04-25 AC Milan D 0-0 1627 1913 11.8% 41.2% 47.1% +2.1 18
1971-04-25 @ Catania D 0-0 1913 1627 47.1% 41.2% 11.8% -2.1 39
1971-04-25 Varese D 1-1 1727 1682 46.1% 44.4% 9.6% -2.0 21
1971-04-25 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1682 1727 9.6% 44.4% 46.1% +2.0 22
1971-04-25 Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1680 1715 38.1% 46.5% 15.4% -1.1 24
1971-04-25 @ Foggia D 1-1 1715 1680 15.4% 46.5% 38.1% +1.2 23
1971-04-25 Bologna D 0-0 1673 1772 30.5% 46.8% 22.8% -0.4 22
1971-04-25 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1772 1673 22.8% 46.8% 30.5% +0.4 30
1971-04-25 Sampdoria W 3-1 1907 1704 59.0% 36.2% 4.8% +3.7 42
1971-04-25 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1704 1907 4.8% 36.2% 59.0% -3.7 22
1971-04-25 Juventus D 2-2 1691 1813 27.5% 46.6% 25.9% -0.0 21
1971-04-25 @ Lazio Roma D 2-2 1813 1691 25.9% 46.6% 27.5% +0.1 31
1971-04-25 Roma L 1-2 1837 1758 49.0% 43.0% 8.0% -12.4 36
1971-04-25 @ Napoli W 2-1 1758 1837 8.0% 43.0% 49.0% +12.4 30
1971-04-25 Cagliari W 2-1 1712 1769 35.6% 46.7% 17.7% +6.5 24
1971-04-25 @ Torino L 1-2 1769 1712 17.7% 46.7% 35.6% -6.5 27
1971-05-02 AC Milan W 3-2 1772 1911 25.1% 46.4% 28.6% +8.0 32
1971-05-02 @ Bologna L 2-3 1911 1772 28.6% 46.4% 25.1% -8.0 39
1971-05-02 Napoli D 1-1 1763 1825 35.1% 46.8% 18.2% -0.8 28
1971-05-02 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1825 1763 18.2% 46.8% 35.1% +0.8 37
1971-05-02 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1629 1672 37.2% 46.6% 16.2% -10.6 18
1971-05-02 @ Catania W 1-0 1672 1629 16.2% 46.6% 37.2% +10.6 24
1971-05-02 Foggia W 5-0 1911 1679 61.2% 34.4% 4.4% +8.6 44
1971-05-02 @ Inter Milan L 0-5 1679 1911 4.4% 34.4% 61.2% -8.6 24
1971-05-02 Sampdoria W 3-1 1813 1700 51.8% 41.4% 6.8% +5.7 33
1971-05-02 @ Juventus L 1-3 1700 1813 6.8% 41.4% 51.8% -5.7 22
1971-05-02 Torino D 1-1 1770 1719 46.7% 44.1% 9.2% -2.1 31
1971-05-02 @ Roma D 1-1 1719 1770 9.2% 44.1% 46.7% +2.1 25
1971-05-02 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1684 1691 41.0% 45.9% 13.1% +5.4 24
1971-05-02 @ Varese L 1-2 1691 1684 13.1% 45.9% 41.0% -5.4 21
1971-05-02 Fiorentina L 0-1 1716 1725 41.0% 46.0% 13.1% -11.4 23
1971-05-02 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1725 1716 13.1% 46.0% 41.0% +11.4 23
1971-05-16 Cagliari W 3-1 1903 1762 54.1% 39.9% 6.0% +5.0 41
1971-05-16 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1762 1903 6.0% 39.9% 54.1% -4.9 28
1971-05-16 Inter Milan D 2-2 1736 1919 19.8% 45.4% 34.8% +0.5 24
1971-05-16 @ Fiorentina D 2-2 1919 1736 34.8% 45.4% 19.8% -0.5 45
1971-05-16 Juventus D 0-0 1671 1818 24.0% 46.2% 29.8% +0.3 25
1971-05-16 @ Foggia D 0-0 1818 1671 29.8% 46.2% 24.0% -0.3 34
1971-05-16 Roma W 1-0 1683 1768 32.2% 46.8% 21.0% +7.6 26
1971-05-16 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1768 1683 21.0% 46.8% 32.2% -7.6 31
1971-05-16 Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1686 1705 39.8% 46.2% 14.0% -11.2 21
1971-05-16 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1705 1686 14.0% 46.2% 39.8% +11.2 25
1971-05-16 Bologna W 3-0 1826 1780 46.1% 44.3% 9.6% +12.8 39
1971-05-16 @ Napoli L 0-3 1780 1826 9.6% 44.3% 46.1% -12.8 32
1971-05-16 Varese W 2-1 1695 1689 42.4% 45.6% 12.0% +5.2 24
1971-05-16 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1689 1695 12.0% 45.6% 42.4% -5.2 24
1971-05-16 Catania D 1-1 1721 1619 50.9% 41.9% 7.2% -2.6 26
1971-05-16 @ Torino D 1-1 1619 1721 7.2% 41.9% 50.9% +2.6 19
1971-05-23 Torino W 1-0 1767 1718 46.4% 44.2% 9.4% +4.6 34
1971-05-23 @ Bologna L 0-1 1718 1767 9.4% 44.2% 46.4% -4.6 26
1971-05-23 Hellas Verona W 4-1 1757 1691 47.9% 43.5% 8.5% +9.8 30
1971-05-23 @ Cagliari L 1-4 1691 1757 8.5% 43.5% 47.9% -9.8 26
1971-05-23 Napoli W 1-0 1621 1838 16.6% 44.2% 39.1% +10.8 21
1971-05-23 @ Catania L 0-1 1838 1621 39.1% 44.2% 16.6% -10.8 39
1971-05-23 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1919 1675 62.2% 33.6% 4.2% -3.5 46
1971-05-23 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1675 1919 4.2% 33.6% 62.2% +3.5 22
1971-05-23 Fiorentina D 1-1 1818 1737 49.2% 42.9% 7.9% -2.4 35
1971-05-23 @ Juventus D 1-1 1737 1818 7.9% 42.9% 49.2% +2.4 25
1971-05-23 AC Milan D 1-1 1761 1908 24.0% 46.2% 29.8% +0.3 32
1971-05-23 @ Roma D 1-1 1908 1761 29.8% 46.2% 24.0% -0.3 42
1971-05-23 Foggia W 3-0 1684 1671 43.1% 45.4% 11.5% +14.6 26
1971-05-23 @ Varese L 0-3 1671 1684 11.5% 45.4% 43.1% -14.6 25
1971-05-23 Sampdoria D 0-0 1716 1700 43.4% 45.3% 11.3% -1.9 26
1971-05-23 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1700 1716 11.3% 45.3% 43.4% +1.9 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1971-03-28 4.29% Varese 1677 2 @ AC Milan 1917 1
2 1971-02-28 7.76% Foggia 1691 2 @ Bologna 1777 1
3 1971-04-25 8.00% Roma 1758 2 @ Napoli 1837 1
4 1971-04-04 9.01% Roma 1727 1 @ Cagliari 1783 0
5 1971-03-07 9.03% Catania 1625 1 @ Varese 1681 0
6 1971-02-28 10.21% Lanerossi Vicenza 1708 3 @ Torino 1742 2
7 1971-04-11 10.89% Lazio Roma 1682 3 @ Sampdoria 1704 2
8 1970-10-25 11.27% Napoli 1772 1 @ Fiorentina 1789 0
9 1971-01-24 11.48% Lanerossi Vicenza 1699 2 @ Sampdoria 1712 1
10 1970-10-25 12.11% AC Milan 1799 2 @ Juventus 1804 0
11 1971-05-02 13.08% Fiorentina 1725 1 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 1716 0
12 1970-11-29 13.59% Bologna 1765 2 @ Fiorentina 1750 1
13 1970-10-25 13.76% Cagliari 1838 3 @ Inter Milan 1821 1
14 1971-05-16 13.98% Lanerossi Vicenza 1705 1 @ Lazio Roma 1686 0
15 1971-01-24 14.75% Juventus 1776 2 @ Fiorentina 1748 1
16 1971-01-17 15.99% AC Milan 1887 4 @ Cagliari 1846 0
17 1971-03-21 16.06% Cagliari 1776 2 @ Fiorentina 1734 1
18 1971-05-02 16.20% Hellas Verona 1672 1 @ Catania 1629 0
19 1971-05-23 16.59% @ Catania 1621 1 Napoli 1838 0
20 1970-12-20 17.09% AC Milan 1857 2 @ Napoli 1805 0
21 1970-09-27 17.65% Fiorentina 1781 1 @ Roma 1724 0
22 1970-10-07 17.70% Napoli 1764 1 @ Sampdoria 1707 0
23 1970-11-15 17.75% AC Milan 1836 5 @ Fiorentina 1778 2
24 1971-03-21 17.76% Bologna 1768 2 @ Sampdoria 1710 1
25 1971-02-28 18.30% Sampdoria 1705 3 @ Catania 1642 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1971-01-17 38.23 AC Milan 4 1887 15.99% @ Cagliari 0 1846 37.47% 46.54%
2 1971-02-14 26.91 Napoli 3 1795 19.96% @ Foggia 0 1718 33.23% 46.82%
3 1970-10-25 22.08 AC Milan 2 1799 12.11% @ Juventus 0 1804 42.25% 45.64%
4 1971-01-10 20.69 @ Torino 4 1729 40.94% Roma 0 1738 13.10% 45.96%
5 1970-11-15 20.57 AC Milan 5 1836 17.75% @ Fiorentina 2 1778 35.53% 46.72%
6 1970-12-20 19.68 AC Milan 2 1857 17.09% @ Napoli 0 1805 36.25% 46.66%
7 1971-02-14 19.53 @ Varese 4 1675 27.53% Cagliari 1 1796 25.84% 46.62%
8 1970-10-25 18.36 Cagliari 3 1838 13.76% @ Inter Milan 1 1821 40.11% 46.13%
9 1971-01-03 17.35 Inter Milan 2 1816 23.26% @ Sampdoria 0 1714 29.96% 46.77%
10 1970-11-15 16.70 @ Sampdoria 3 1702 39.49% Hellas Verona 0 1725 14.27% 46.24%
11 1971-02-28 16.61 Sampdoria 3 1705 18.30% @ Catania 1 1642 34.94% 46.75%
12 1971-04-11 16.23 @ Roma 5 1740 50.71% Catania 0 1640 7.25% 42.04%
13 1971-04-18 15.96 Napoli 2 1821 27.59% @ Hellas Verona 0 1689 25.94% 46.48%
14 1971-03-14 15.83 Inter Milan 2 1868 27.98% @ Torino 0 1733 25.58% 46.44%
15 1970-12-20 15.63 @ Fiorentina 3 1740 41.30% Foggia 0 1745 12.83% 45.88%
16 1971-01-24 15.54 @ Hellas Verona 2 1696 28.70% Cagliari 0 1808 24.59% 46.71%
17 1970-09-27 15.24 @ Bologna 3 1738 41.95% Lanerossi Vicenza 0 1737 12.33% 45.72%
18 1971-05-23 14.58 @ Varese 3 1684 43.06% Foggia 0 1671 11.53% 45.41%
19 1971-01-10 14.52 @ Sampdoria 2 1696 31.60% Juventus 0 1786 21.58% 46.82%
20 1970-11-29 14.49 @ Foggia 3 1721 43.21% Hellas Verona 0 1706 11.42% 45.37%
21 1971-03-28 14.46 Varese 2 1677 4.29% @ AC Milan 1 1917 61.79% 33.92%
22 1970-11-08 14.25 @ AC Milan 3 1821 43.60% Inter Milan 0 1803 11.15% 45.25%
23 1970-10-07 14.16 Cagliari 4 1827 20.62% @ Lazio Roma 2 1744 32.56% 46.82%
24 1971-01-31 13.92 @ Juventus 5 1787 53.42% Catania 0 1654 6.26% 40.32%
25 1971-03-07 13.87 @ Juventus 4 1801 39.92% Napoli 1 1819 13.92% 46.17%