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1969-70 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Cagliari

45 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Bari

19 pts

Brescia · 20 pts

Palermo · 20 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Cagliari

7.94 points above expected

45 points · 37.06 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bari

6.43 points below expected

19 points · 25.43 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Cagliari Champion 30 17 11 2 45 42 11 +31 37.06 +7.94
2 Inter Milan 30 16 9 5 41 41 19 +22 36.61 +4.39
3 Juventus 30 15 8 7 38 43 20 +23 34.48 +3.52
4 AC Milan 30 13 10 7 36 38 24 +14 35.66 +0.34
5 Fiorentina 30 15 6 9 36 40 33 +7 35.37 +0.63
6 Napoli 30 10 11 9 31 24 21 +3 31.62 -0.62
7 Torino 30 11 8 11 30 20 31 -11 30.47 -0.47
8 Lazio Roma 30 11 7 12 29 33 32 +1 26.92 +2.08
9 Lanerossi Vicenza 30 11 7 12 29 32 31 +1 28.36 +0.64
10 Bologna 30 6 16 8 28 22 24 -2 29.18 -1.18
11 Roma 30 8 12 10 28 27 36 -9 27.66 +0.34
12 Hellas Verona 30 8 10 12 26 26 30 -4 26.72 -0.72
13 Sampdoria 30 6 12 12 24 22 37 -15 26.19 -2.19
14 Brescia Relegated 30 5 10 15 20 20 35 -15 25.31 -5.31
15 Palermo Relegated 30 5 10 15 20 23 45 -22 22.95 -2.95
16 Bari Relegated 30 5 9 16 19 11 35 -24 25.43 -6.43

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Cagliari 1928 45 37.06 +7.94 98.3% 20 30 34 37 40 44 52
Inter Milan 1914 41 36.61 +4.39 88.6% 20 30 34 37 39 43 50
Juventus 1866 38 34.48 +3.52 84.1% 18 28 32 35 37 41 48
AC Milan 1865 36 35.66 +0.34 57.7% 19 29 33 36 38 42 51
Fiorentina 1839 36 35.37 +0.63 60.5% 19 29 33 35 38 42 50
Napoli 1787 31 31.62 -0.62 49.0% 15 25 29 32 34 38 47
Lazio Roma 1748 29 26.92 +2.08 73.4% 11 20 24 27 30 34 45
Bologna 1739 28 29.18 -1.18 43.6% 13 22 26 29 32 36 44
Lanerossi Vicenza 1735 29 28.36 +0.64 60.8% 12 22 26 28 31 35 43
Torino 1734 30 30.47 -0.47 50.5% 14 24 28 30 33 37 46
Hellas Verona 1709 26 26.72 -0.72 48.1% 12 20 24 27 29 34 42
Roma 1708 28 27.66 +0.34 57.8% 12 21 25 28 30 34 42
Brescia 1692 20 25.31 -5.31 11.8% 12 19 23 25 28 32 41
Sampdoria 1677 24 26.19 -2.19 34.2% 12 20 23 26 29 33 42
Palermo 1638 20 22.95 -2.95 27.2% 8 16 20 23 26 30 39
Bari 1630 19 25.43 -6.43 7.3% 11 19 23 25 28 32 43

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM BAR BOL BRE CAG FIO HV IM JUV LV LR NAP PAL ROM SAM TOR
AC Milan —
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.35
1-1-0
3.45
0-2-0
2.47
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
3.61
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.82
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.60
1-1-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.93
1-0-1
3.50
0-2-0
3.56
2-0-0
3.07
Bari
0-0-2
1.88
 —
0-1-1
2.34
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
1.61
0-1-1
1.71
0-0-2
2.55
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
1.46
0-1-1
2.51
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.21
1-1-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.18
Bologna
0-1-1
1.99
1-1-0
2.99
 —
0-1-1
3.13
0-1-1
1.77
1-1-0
2.20
0-2-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.00
0-2-0
2.17
0-2-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
3.27
1-1-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.90
0-1-1
2.53
Brescia
0-1-1
1.91
0-1-1
2.56
1-1-0
2.21
 —
0-0-2
1.79
1-0-1
1.80
0-2-0
2.46
0-1-1
1.56
0-0-2
1.83
1-1-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.12
2-0-0
2.78
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.23
Cagliari
0-2-0
2.85
1-1-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.60
 —
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
3.74
0-1-1
2.74
0-2-0
2.94
2-0-0
3.40
2-0-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.14
1-0-1
4.08
1-1-0
3.62
1-1-0
3.46
2-0-0
3.44
Fiorentina
1-0-1
2.58
1-1-0
3.65
0-1-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.57
0-1-1
2.58
 —
2-0-0
3.43
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.51
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.56
0-1-1
3.22
Hellas Verona
0-1-1
1.76
2-0-0
2.76
0-2-0
2.42
0-2-0
2.87
0-1-1
1.65
0-0-2
1.93
 —
0-1-1
1.73
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.63
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.81
0-0-2
2.36
Inter Milan
1-1-0
2.66
2-0-0
3.90
1-0-1
3.34
1-1-0
3.83
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.64
 —
0-1-1
2.91
0-2-0
3.45
1-0-1
3.57
1-1-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.51
2-0-0
3.77
1-1-0
3.10
Juventus
2-0-0
2.52
1-0-1
3.92
0-2-0
3.16
2-0-0
3.56
0-2-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
3.33
1-1-0
2.41
 —
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
3.56
0-1-1
2.95
2-0-0
3.64
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
3.04
Lanerossi Vicenza
1-0-1
2.04
1-1-0
2.83
0-2-0
2.62
0-1-1
3.03
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
2.80
0-2-0
1.91
1-0-1
2.19
 —
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
2.33
1-1-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.50
Lazio Roma
1-0-1
1.78
1-1-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.40
1-1-0
2.90
0-0-2
1.67
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
1.78
1-0-1
1.79
1-0-1
2.57
 —
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
3.16
0-1-1
2.58
2-0-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.25
Napoli
0-1-1
2.21
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
2.94
1-1-0
3.22
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
3.16
0-1-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.40
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.99
 —
0-2-0
3.55
0-1-1
3.17
0-1-1
3.31
2-0-0
2.70
Palermo
0-1-1
1.48
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
1.36
0-1-1
1.54
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.57
0-0-2
1.72
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.17
0-2-0
1.82
 —
0-2-0
2.19
1-0-1
2.21
1-1-0
2.03
Roma
1-0-1
1.86
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.85
0-1-1
1.74
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
1.85
0-1-1
2.04
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.75
1-1-0
2.16
0-2-0
3.14
 —
0-1-1
2.88
0-2-0
2.46
Sampdoria
0-2-0
1.82
1-1-0
2.68
0-2-0
2.42
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.80
1-1-0
2.52
0-0-2
1.61
0-1-1
2.05
0-0-2
2.42
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
2.06
1-0-1
3.12
1-1-0
2.45
 —
0-1-1
2.15
Torino
0-0-2
2.27
1-0-1
3.15
1-1-0
2.80
2-0-0
3.11
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
2.11
2-0-0
2.97
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
3.09
0-0-2
2.64
0-1-1
3.33
0-2-0
2.87
1-1-0
3.19
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.77 +6.9
Allowed 0.70 -7.4
Differential 0.92 +4.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.25%13.54%6.25%2.92%1.25%0.42%40.62%
113.54%13.75%5.00%2.08%0.83%0.21%35.42%
26.25%5.00%2.08%0.62%0.62%—14.58%
32.92%2.08%0.62%0.42%——6.04%
41.25%0.83%0.62%———2.71%
5+0.42%0.21%————0.62%
Total40.62%35.42%14.58%6.04%2.71%0.62%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 0.97 +0.00
SD 1.07 1.07 1.57
CV 1.10 1.10 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
123.33%13.33%————36.67%
23.33%—3.33%3.33%3.33%—13.33%
36.67%—————6.67%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total53.33%26.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.80 +0.47
SD 1.36 1.10 1.68
CV 1.08 1.37 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%26.67%13.33%3.33%—3.33%70.00%
110.00%6.67%——6.67%—23.33%
23.33%3.33%————6.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total36.67%36.67%13.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.37 1.17 -0.80
SD 0.61 1.34 1.49
CV 1.68 1.15 —
Max 2 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%20.00%—3.33%——46.67%
16.67%26.67%3.33%———36.67%
23.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%56.67%6.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 0.80 -0.07
SD 0.83 0.71 0.98
CV 1.13 0.89 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%23.33%10.00%—3.33%—56.67%
16.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—33.33%
2———————
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total30.00%40.00%20.00%3.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.17 -0.50
SD 1.03 1.12 1.46
CV 1.54 0.96 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%6.67%————23.33%
116.67%16.67%————33.33%
223.33%6.67%3.33%———33.33%
3———————
410.00%—————10.00%
5+———————
Total66.67%30.00%3.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 0.37 +1.03
SD 1.16 0.56 1.35
CV 0.83 1.52 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
116.67%6.67%3.33%——3.33%30.00%
210.00%10.00%6.67%—3.33%—30.00%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total36.67%36.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.10 +0.23
SD 1.09 1.24 1.63
CV 0.82 1.13 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%3.33%6.67%——43.33%
110.00%13.33%10.00%3.33%——36.67%
210.00%—3.33%———13.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total36.67%36.67%16.67%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 1.00 -0.13
SD 1.01 0.98 1.46
CV 1.16 0.98 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%—3.33%———23.33%
120.00%10.00%10.00%3.33%——43.33%
210.00%3.33%————13.33%
36.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total60.00%20.00%16.67%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 0.63 +0.73
SD 1.22 0.89 1.51
CV 0.89 1.41 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%6.67%———30.00%
110.00%10.00%6.67%———26.67%
210.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
313.33%3.33%————16.67%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total50.00%33.33%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 0.67 +0.77
SD 1.28 0.76 1.63
CV 0.89 1.14 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%——3.33%—30.00%
113.33%16.67%13.33%3.33%——46.67%
23.33%6.67%————10.00%
36.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%46.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.03 +0.03
SD 0.98 0.96 1.47
CV 0.92 0.93 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%10.00%10.00%——36.67%
116.67%16.67%10.00%———43.33%
26.67%—————6.67%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total33.33%36.67%20.00%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.07 +0.03
SD 1.32 0.98 1.88
CV 1.20 0.92 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
030.00%13.33%10.00%———53.33%
110.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
26.67%13.33%—3.33%——23.33%
3———————
43.33%—————3.33%
5+———————
Total50.00%33.33%13.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 0.70 +0.10
SD 1.03 0.84 1.30
CV 1.29 1.20 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%10.00%—3.33%—36.67%
113.33%16.67%3.33%16.67%3.33%—53.33%
2——3.33%—3.33%—6.67%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.00%26.67%16.67%16.67%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.50 -0.73
SD 0.73 1.36 1.46
CV 0.95 0.91 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%10.00%6.67%——40.00%
113.33%20.00%3.33%———36.67%
2—10.00%6.67%———16.67%
3——3.33%3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.33%43.33%23.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.20 -0.30
SD 0.92 0.92 1.18
CV 1.03 0.77 —
Max 3 3 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%50.00%
16.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
210.00%3.33%—3.33%——16.67%
3———3.33%——3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%26.67%13.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.23 -0.50
SD 0.87 1.38 1.61
CV 1.18 1.12 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%—50.00%
123.33%13.33%————36.67%
2—10.00%————10.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%36.67%10.00%6.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.03 -0.37
SD 0.80 1.19 1.67
CV 1.20 1.15 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Cagliari 45 37.06 +7.94
2 Inter Milan 41 36.61 +4.39
3 Juventus 38 34.48 +3.52
4 Lazio Roma 29 26.92 +2.08
5 Lanerossi Vicenza 29 28.36 +0.64

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bari 19 25.43 -6.43
2 Brescia 20 25.31 -5.31
3 Palermo 20 22.95 -2.95
4 Sampdoria 24 26.19 -2.19
5 Bologna 28 29.18 -1.18

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juventus 8 Nov 30 – Jan 18 1 in 2,347
2 Napoli 5 Jan 3 – Feb 1 1 in 77
3 Inter Milan 5 Mar 29 – Apr 26 1 in 45
4 Torino 3 Mar 1 – Mar 15 1 in 45
5 Fiorentina 4 Sep 14 – Oct 5 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lazio Roma 4 Nov 30 – Dec 21 1 in 75
2 Napoli 3 Feb 8 – Mar 1 1 in 59
3 Bologna 3 Dec 7 – Dec 21 1 in 43
4 Palermo 4 Sep 14 – Oct 5 1 in 31
5 Sampdoria 3 Jan 25 – Feb 8 1 in 21

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Juventus 16 Nov 16 – Mar 15 1 in 228
2 Bologna 9 Sep 21 – Nov 30 1 in 33
3 Napoli 10 Nov 30 – Feb 1 1 in 27
4 Sampdoria 6 Feb 15 – Mar 29 1 in 26
5 Lazio Roma 7 Mar 15 – Apr 26 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bologna 11 Oct 12 – Jan 3 1 in 149
2 Sampdoria 12 Nov 16 – Feb 8 1 in 47
3 Roma 8 Nov 9 – Jan 3 1 in 26
4 Hellas Verona 9 Dec 21 – Feb 15 1 in 18
5 Palermo 10 Sep 14 – Nov 30 1 in 16

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Cagliari29.75%20.93%15.90%11.42%7.69%5.04%3.46%2.34%1.39%0.91%0.56%0.33%0.16%0.04%0.06%0.02%
Inter Milan24.15%19.90%15.98%12.67%9.54%6.75%4.31%2.59%1.58%1.11%0.61%0.35%0.24%0.12%0.05%0.05%
Juventus10.83%13.50%15.13%14.50%12.89%9.59%7.69%5.37%3.58%2.62%1.51%1.30%0.78%0.37%0.26%0.08%
AC Milan15.95%17.38%16.06%13.43%12.06%8.69%5.61%3.88%2.67%1.75%1.20%0.64%0.35%0.21%0.09%0.03%
Fiorentina13.45%15.67%15.84%14.62%11.91%9.13%6.60%4.32%3.21%2.18%1.22%0.82%0.53%0.37%0.08%0.05%
Napoli2.52%4.86%6.71%9.57%11.43%12.29%11.47%10.13%8.49%6.70%5.27%4.21%2.70%1.96%1.15%0.54%
Torino1.39%2.81%4.51%6.45%8.43%10.15%10.92%10.49%9.35%8.74%7.42%6.18%5.32%3.81%2.58%1.45%
Lazio Roma0.24%0.57%1.12%2.00%3.18%4.58%6.46%7.80%8.87%9.38%10.09%10.29%10.50%9.51%8.82%6.59%
Lanerossi Vicenza0.43%0.95%2.10%3.62%5.52%6.97%8.58%9.72%10.07%10.47%9.22%9.37%7.74%6.61%5.38%3.25%
Bologna0.74%1.67%2.85%4.32%6.04%8.18%10.26%10.89%10.14%10.25%9.29%7.80%6.50%5.09%3.86%2.12%
Roma0.18%0.63%1.43%2.48%3.79%5.52%6.70%8.65%9.59%10.12%10.45%10.16%8.98%9.03%7.25%5.04%
Hellas Verona0.18%0.47%0.86%1.97%2.60%4.29%5.65%7.11%8.98%9.23%10.12%10.77%10.94%10.53%8.95%7.35%
Sampdoria0.07%0.26%0.67%1.15%1.88%3.48%4.30%5.91%7.25%8.42%10.07%10.70%11.84%11.62%12.22%10.16%
Brescia0.06%0.21%0.36%0.94%1.36%2.13%3.17%4.61%5.86%7.24%8.53%10.67%12.65%13.80%14.45%13.96%
Palermo—0.05%0.02%0.13%0.33%0.77%1.28%1.71%2.77%4.01%5.41%6.77%9.78%13.28%19.67%34.02%
Bari0.06%0.14%0.46%0.73%1.35%2.44%3.54%4.48%6.20%6.87%9.03%9.64%10.99%13.65%15.13%15.29%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+23.33%
Clear Edge
45.42%32.50%22.08%
Elo Value
Home Edge
192 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
082.59500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.40 goals
Neutral
-2+0.43+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.9
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
Cagliari, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.13/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.28 * Some Luck: 3.28 to 4.92 * Lucky: 4.92 to 6.56 * Wild Swing: 6.56 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.08 * Close: 2.08 to 3.12 * Off: 3.12 to 4.16 * Way Off: 4.16 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.47 * A Surprise: 1.47 to 2.35 * Several Surprises: 2.35 to 3.23 * Many Surprises: 3.23 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.41 points
Some Luck
04.1010
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.88
Pinpoint
02.606
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
98.34%
Cagliari
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
7.26%
Bari
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.53

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.39
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
69%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Strong Edge
50%88%100%
Close Games
Expected
71%
Very Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Occasional
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.44
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.70
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.80
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.79
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.23
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.051
Well Within Noise
00.1070.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Cagliari 99.88% 0.12%
Inter Milan 99.78% 0.22%
AC Milan 99.67% 0.33%
Fiorentina 99.50% 0.50%
Juventus 99.29% 0.71%
Napoli 96.35% 3.65%
Torino 92.16% 7.84%
Bologna 88.93% 11.07%
Lanerossi Vicenza 84.76% 15.24%
Roma 78.68% 21.32%
Lazio Roma 75.08% 24.92%
Hellas Verona 73.17% 26.83%
Sampdoria 66.00% 34.00%
Brescia 57.79% 42.21%
Bari 55.93% 44.07%
Palermo 33.03% 66.97%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1969-09-14 Roma W 1-0 1720 1741 45.9% 34.1% 20.0% +4.8 2
1969-09-14 @ Bari L 0-1 1741 1720 20.0% 34.1% 45.9% -4.8 0
1969-09-14 AC Milan L 1-4 1724 1839 34.1% 34.4% 31.6% -16.0 0
1969-09-14 @ Brescia W 4-1 1839 1724 31.6% 34.4% 34.1% +16.0 2
1969-09-14 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1843 1703 61.2% 29.5% 9.3% +2.4 2
1969-09-14 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1703 1843 9.3% 29.5% 61.2% -2.4 0
1969-09-14 Bologna W 1-0 1855 1756 57.8% 31.1% 11.2% +2.9 2
1969-09-14 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1756 1855 11.2% 31.1% 57.8% -2.9 0
1969-09-14 Palermo W 4-1 1790 1682 58.6% 30.7% 10.7% +6.5 2
1969-09-14 @ Juventus L 1-4 1682 1790 10.7% 30.7% 58.6% -6.5 0
1969-09-14 Torino D 1-1 1715 1790 39.4% 34.5% 26.1% -0.5 1
1969-09-14 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1790 1715 26.1% 34.5% 39.4% +0.5 1
1969-09-14 Cagliari D 0-0 1722 1829 35.1% 34.4% 30.4% -0.2 1
1969-09-14 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1829 1722 30.4% 34.4% 35.1% +0.2 1
1969-09-14 Napoli W 3-2 1716 1782 40.6% 34.4% 24.9% +5.0 2
1969-09-14 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 2-3 1782 1716 24.9% 34.4% 40.6% -5.0 0
1969-09-21 Bari W 1-0 1855 1724 60.5% 29.8% 9.7% +2.5 4
1969-09-21 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1724 1855 9.7% 29.8% 60.5% -2.5 2
1969-09-21 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1754 1714 52.3% 32.9% 14.8% +3.8 2
1969-09-21 @ Bologna L 0-1 1714 1754 14.8% 32.9% 52.3% -3.8 1
1969-09-21 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1829 1721 58.6% 30.7% 10.7% +2.6 3
1969-09-21 @ Cagliari L 1-2 1721 1829 10.7% 30.7% 58.6% -2.7 2
1969-09-21 Juventus W 1-0 1701 1797 36.7% 34.5% 28.9% +6.2 2
1969-09-21 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1797 1701 28.9% 34.5% 36.7% -6.2 2
1969-09-21 Fiorentina L 0-1 1777 1845 40.2% 34.5% 25.3% -7.8 0
1969-09-21 @ Napoli W 1-0 1845 1777 25.3% 34.5% 40.2% +7.8 4
1969-09-21 Inter Milan L 1-2 1676 1858 25.4% 33.4% 41.2% -5.3 0
1969-09-21 @ Palermo W 2-1 1858 1676 41.2% 33.4% 25.4% +5.3 4
1969-09-21 Brescia W 1-0 1736 1708 51.2% 33.1% 15.7% +4.0 2
1969-09-21 @ Roma L 0-1 1708 1736 15.7% 33.1% 51.2% -4.0 0
1969-09-21 Sampdoria W 2-1 1790 1721 55.1% 32.0% 12.8% +3.2 3
1969-09-21 @ Torino L 1-2 1721 1790 12.8% 32.0% 55.1% -3.2 1
1969-09-28 Napoli D 0-0 1722 1769 42.9% 34.3% 22.8% -0.9 3
1969-09-28 @ Bari D 0-0 1769 1722 22.8% 34.3% 42.9% +0.8 1
1969-09-28 Cagliari L 0-2 1704 1832 32.3% 34.3% 33.4% -12.6 0
1969-09-28 @ Brescia W 2-0 1832 1704 33.4% 34.3% 32.3% +12.6 5
1969-09-28 Sampdoria W 1-0 1853 1718 60.8% 29.7% 9.5% +2.5 6
1969-09-28 @ Fiorentina L 0-1 1718 1853 9.5% 29.7% 60.8% -2.5 1
1969-09-28 Roma W 2-0 1707 1740 44.5% 34.2% 21.2% +9.5 4
1969-09-28 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1740 1707 21.2% 34.2% 44.5% -9.5 2
1969-09-28 Torino W 2-0 1863 1793 55.2% 32.0% 12.8% +6.3 6
1969-09-28 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1793 1863 12.8% 32.0% 55.2% -6.3 3
1969-09-28 Bologna D 1-1 1791 1757 51.7% 33.0% 15.3% -1.5 3
1969-09-28 @ Juventus D 1-1 1757 1791 15.3% 33.0% 51.7% +1.5 3
1969-09-28 AC Milan W 1-0 1711 1858 29.7% 34.0% 36.3% +7.2 3
1969-09-28 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1858 1711 36.3% 34.0% 29.7% -7.2 4
1969-09-28 Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-3 1670 1719 42.7% 34.4% 22.9% -13.4 0
1969-09-28 @ Palermo W 3-1 1719 1670 22.9% 34.4% 42.7% +13.4 4
1969-10-05 Hellas Verona W 2-0 1851 1716 60.8% 29.7% 9.5% +4.7 6
1969-10-05 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1716 1851 9.5% 29.7% 60.8% -4.7 4
1969-10-05 Palermo W 3-1 1759 1657 58.0% 30.9% 11.0% +4.7 5
1969-10-05 @ Bologna L 1-3 1657 1759 11.0% 30.9% 58.0% -4.7 0
1969-10-05 Bari D 0-0 1692 1721 45.0% 34.2% 20.8% -1.0 1
1969-10-05 @ Brescia D 0-0 1721 1692 20.8% 34.2% 45.0% +1.0 4
1969-10-05 Lazio Roma W 1-0 1844 1718 60.2% 30.0% 9.8% +2.6 7
1969-10-05 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1718 1844 9.8% 30.0% 60.2% -2.6 3
1969-10-05 Inter Milan W 2-1 1731 1870 30.8% 34.1% 35.0% +6.6 4
1969-10-05 @ Roma L 1-2 1870 1731 35.0% 34.1% 30.8% -6.6 6
1969-10-05 Juventus D 0-0 1716 1789 39.6% 34.5% 25.9% -0.6 2
1969-10-05 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1789 1716 25.9% 34.5% 39.6% +0.6 4
1969-10-05 Napoli L 0-2 1787 1770 50.1% 33.4% 16.5% -17.6 3
1969-10-05 @ Torino W 2-0 1770 1787 16.5% 33.4% 50.1% +17.6 3
1969-10-05 Fiorentina L 1-2 1732 1856 32.9% 34.3% 32.8% -6.4 4
1969-10-05 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1856 1732 32.8% 34.3% 32.9% +6.4 8
1969-10-12 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1722 1726 47.9% 33.8% 18.3% -1.3 5
1969-10-12 @ Bari D 0-0 1726 1722 18.3% 33.8% 47.9% +1.3 5
1969-10-12 Cagliari L 0-1 1862 1847 49.9% 33.4% 16.7% -9.3 8
1969-10-12 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1847 1862 16.7% 33.4% 49.9% +9.3 9
1969-10-12 Bologna D 0-0 1712 1764 42.3% 34.4% 23.3% -0.8 5
1969-10-12 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1764 1712 23.3% 34.4% 42.3% +0.8 6
1969-10-12 Brescia W 3-1 1863 1691 63.8% 28.1% 8.1% +3.4 8
1969-10-12 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1691 1863 8.1% 28.1% 63.8% -3.4 1
1969-10-12 Torino L 1-2 1790 1770 50.4% 33.3% 16.3% -8.8 4
1969-10-12 @ Juventus W 2-1 1770 1790 16.3% 33.3% 50.4% +8.8 5
1969-10-12 Sampdoria W 1-0 1715 1715 48.3% 33.7% 18.0% +4.4 5
1969-10-12 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1715 1715 18.0% 33.7% 48.3% -4.4 2
1969-10-12 Roma D 0-0 1788 1737 53.4% 32.6% 14.1% -1.8 4
1969-10-12 @ Napoli D 0-0 1737 1788 14.1% 32.6% 53.4% +1.8 5
1969-10-12 AC Milan D 0-0 1652 1855 23.2% 32.9% 43.9% +0.9 1
1969-10-12 @ Palermo D 0-0 1855 1652 43.9% 32.9% 23.2% -0.9 7
1969-10-19 Roma L 2-3 1855 1739 59.2% 30.4% 10.3% -9.6 7
1969-10-19 @ AC Milan W 3-2 1739 1855 10.3% 30.4% 59.2% +9.6 7
1969-10-19 Bari D 1-1 1764 1721 52.7% 32.8% 14.5% -1.6 7
1969-10-19 @ Bologna D 1-1 1721 1764 14.5% 32.8% 52.7% +1.6 6
1969-10-19 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1687 1711 45.6% 34.1% 20.3% -1.1 2
1969-10-19 @ Brescia D 0-0 1711 1687 20.3% 34.1% 45.6% +1.1 6
1969-10-19 Inter Milan D 1-1 1856 1866 47.2% 33.9% 18.9% -1.1 10
1969-10-19 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1866 1856 18.9% 33.9% 47.2% +1.1 9
1969-10-19 Fiorentina W 5-1 1720 1853 31.6% 34.2% 34.2% +20.6 7
1969-10-19 @ Lazio Roma L 1-5 1853 1720 34.2% 34.2% 31.6% -20.6 8
1969-10-19 Napoli D 0-0 1711 1786 39.4% 34.5% 26.1% -0.5 3
1969-10-19 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1786 1711 26.1% 34.5% 39.4% +0.5 5
1969-10-19 Palermo D 1-1 1778 1653 60.0% 30.1% 9.9% -2.1 6
1969-10-19 @ Torino D 1-1 1653 1778 9.9% 30.1% 60.0% +2.1 2
1969-10-19 Juventus W 1-0 1727 1781 42.1% 34.4% 23.5% +5.4 7
1969-10-19 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1781 1727 23.5% 34.4% 42.1% -5.4 4
1969-10-26 Bologna D 0-0 1845 1763 56.3% 31.6% 12.1% -2.1 8
1969-10-26 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1763 1845 12.1% 31.6% 56.3% +2.1 8
1969-10-26 Sampdoria D 0-0 1722 1710 49.6% 33.5% 17.0% -1.5 7
1969-10-26 @ Bari D 0-0 1710 1722 17.0% 33.5% 49.6% +1.5 4
1969-10-26 Torino D 0-0 1832 1776 53.9% 32.4% 13.7% -1.8 9
1969-10-26 @ Fiorentina D 0-0 1776 1832 13.7% 32.4% 53.9% +1.8 7
1969-10-26 Inter Milan W 2-1 1776 1867 37.2% 34.5% 28.3% +5.8 6
1969-10-26 @ Juventus L 1-2 1867 1776 28.3% 34.5% 37.2% -5.8 9
1969-10-26 Cagliari L 0-2 1786 1855 40.2% 34.5% 25.4% -14.7 5
1969-10-26 @ Napoli W 2-0 1855 1786 25.4% 34.5% 40.2% +14.7 12
1969-10-26 Brescia L 1-3 1655 1686 44.8% 34.2% 21.0% -13.9 2
1969-10-26 @ Palermo W 3-1 1686 1655 21.0% 34.2% 44.8% +13.9 4
1969-10-26 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1749 1740 49.2% 33.6% 17.2% +4.0 9
1969-10-26 @ Roma L 1-2 1740 1749 17.2% 33.6% 49.2% -4.0 7
1969-10-26 Hellas Verona W 3-0 1733 1712 50.4% 33.3% 16.3% +11.2 9
1969-10-26 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-3 1712 1733 16.3% 33.3% 50.4% -11.2 6
1969-11-09 Fiorentina D 2-2 1765 1830 40.6% 34.4% 24.9% -0.4 9
1969-11-09 @ Bologna D 2-2 1830 1765 24.9% 34.4% 40.6% +0.4 10
1969-11-09 Roma W 1-0 1870 1753 59.4% 30.4% 10.3% +2.7 14
1969-11-09 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1753 1870 10.3% 30.4% 59.4% -2.7 9
1969-11-09 Palermo W 2-0 1701 1642 54.2% 32.3% 13.4% +6.6 8
1969-11-09 @ Hellas Verona L 0-2 1642 1701 13.4% 32.3% 54.2% -6.6 2
1969-11-09 AC Milan D 0-0 1862 1843 50.2% 33.4% 16.4% -1.5 10
1969-11-09 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1843 1862 16.4% 33.4% 50.2% +1.5 9
1969-11-09 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1736 1744 47.5% 33.9% 18.7% +4.6 9
1969-11-09 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1744 1736 18.7% 33.9% 47.5% -4.6 9
1969-11-09 Juventus W 1-0 1772 1781 47.2% 33.9% 18.9% +4.6 7
1969-11-09 @ Napoli L 0-1 1781 1772 18.9% 33.9% 47.2% -4.6 6
1969-11-09 Brescia W 2-0 1712 1700 49.5% 33.5% 17.0% +8.0 6
1969-11-09 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1700 1712 17.0% 33.5% 49.5% -8.0 4
1969-11-09 Bari L 0-1 1778 1721 54.0% 32.4% 13.6% -10.0 7
1969-11-09 @ Torino W 1-0 1721 1778 13.6% 32.4% 54.0% +10.0 9
1969-11-16 Napoli W 1-0 1844 1776 55.0% 32.1% 12.9% +3.4 11
1969-11-16 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1776 1844 12.9% 32.1% 55.0% -3.4 7
1969-11-16 Bologna D 1-1 1692 1764 39.8% 34.5% 25.8% -0.5 5
1969-11-16 @ Brescia D 1-1 1764 1692 25.8% 34.5% 39.8% +0.5 10
1969-11-16 Juventus D 1-1 1873 1777 57.5% 31.1% 11.3% -1.9 15
1969-11-16 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1777 1873 11.3% 31.1% 57.5% +2.0 7
1969-11-16 Bari W 3-0 1831 1731 57.9% 31.0% 11.1% +8.0 12
1969-11-16 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1731 1831 11.1% 31.0% 57.9% -8.0 9
1969-11-16 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1635 1741 35.3% 34.4% 30.2% -0.2 3
1969-11-16 @ Palermo D 1-1 1741 1635 30.2% 34.4% 35.3% +0.2 10
1969-11-16 Sampdoria D 3-3 1750 1720 51.4% 33.1% 15.5% -0.9 10
1969-11-16 @ Roma D 3-3 1720 1750 15.5% 33.1% 51.4% +0.9 7
1969-11-16 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1768 1707 54.4% 32.3% 13.4% +3.3 9
1969-11-16 @ Torino L 1-2 1707 1768 13.4% 32.3% 54.4% -3.3 8
1969-11-16 Inter Milan D 1-1 1739 1860 33.2% 34.3% 32.4% -0.0 10
1969-11-16 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1860 1739 32.4% 34.3% 33.2% +0.0 11
1969-11-30 Palermo W 1-0 1723 1635 56.9% 31.4% 11.7% +3.1 11
1969-11-30 @ Bari L 0-1 1635 1723 11.7% 31.4% 56.9% -3.1 3
1969-11-30 Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1765 1739 51.0% 33.2% 15.8% -1.4 11
1969-11-30 @ Bologna D 1-1 1739 1765 15.8% 33.2% 51.0% +1.4 11
1969-11-30 Cagliari D 1-1 1704 1871 27.3% 33.7% 39.0% +0.4 9
1969-11-30 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1871 1704 39.0% 33.7% 27.3% -0.4 16
1969-11-30 Lazio Roma W 3-0 1860 1741 59.5% 30.3% 10.2% +7.3 13
1969-11-30 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1741 1860 10.2% 30.3% 59.5% -7.3 10
1969-11-30 Fiorentina W 2-0 1779 1839 41.3% 34.4% 24.3% +10.4 9
1969-11-30 @ Juventus L 0-2 1839 1779 24.3% 34.4% 41.3% -10.4 12
1969-11-30 Brescia D 0-0 1773 1692 56.2% 31.6% 12.1% -2.1 8
1969-11-30 @ Napoli D 0-0 1692 1773 12.1% 31.6% 56.2% +2.1 6
1969-11-30 Torino D 0-0 1749 1771 45.8% 34.1% 20.1% -1.1 11
1969-11-30 @ Roma D 0-0 1771 1749 20.1% 34.1% 45.8% +1.1 10
1969-11-30 AC Milan D 1-1 1721 1848 32.4% 34.3% 33.3% +0.0 8
1969-11-30 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1848 1721 33.3% 34.3% 32.4% -0.0 12
1969-12-07 Juventus L 0-2 1848 1789 54.2% 32.3% 13.5% -18.8 12
1969-12-07 @ AC Milan W 2-0 1789 1848 13.5% 32.3% 54.2% +18.8 11
1969-12-07 Bologna W 1-0 1870 1764 58.5% 30.8% 10.8% +2.8 18
1969-12-07 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1764 1870 10.8% 30.8% 58.5% -2.8 11
1969-12-07 Inter Milan W 2-0 1828 1868 43.8% 34.3% 21.9% +9.7 14
1969-12-07 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1868 1828 21.9% 34.3% 43.8% -9.7 13
1969-12-07 Bari W 4-1 1705 1726 45.9% 34.1% 20.0% +11.1 11
1969-12-07 @ Hellas Verona L 1-4 1726 1705 20.0% 34.1% 45.9% -11.1 11
1969-12-07 Napoli L 0-2 1734 1771 44.1% 34.2% 21.7% -15.8 10
1969-12-07 @ Lazio Roma W 2-0 1771 1734 21.7% 34.2% 44.1% +15.8 10
1969-12-07 Sampdoria W 3-0 1632 1721 37.6% 34.5% 27.9% +16.6 5
1969-12-07 @ Palermo L 0-3 1721 1632 27.9% 34.5% 37.6% -16.6 8
1969-12-07 Brescia W 1-0 1772 1694 56.0% 31.7% 12.2% +3.2 12
1969-12-07 @ Torino L 0-1 1694 1772 12.2% 31.7% 56.0% -3.2 6
1969-12-07 Roma W 3-0 1741 1748 47.4% 33.9% 18.7% +12.5 13
1969-12-07 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-3 1748 1741 18.7% 33.9% 47.4% -12.5 11
1969-12-14 Napoli L 1-2 1761 1787 45.4% 34.1% 20.5% -8.1 11
1969-12-14 @ Bologna W 2-1 1787 1761 20.5% 34.1% 45.4% +8.1 12
1969-12-14 Juventus L 0-1 1690 1808 33.8% 34.4% 31.9% -6.9 6
1969-12-14 @ Brescia W 1-0 1808 1690 31.9% 34.4% 33.8% +6.9 13
1969-12-14 Roma D 2-2 1838 1736 58.1% 30.9% 11.0% -1.5 15
1969-12-14 @ Fiorentina D 2-2 1736 1838 11.0% 30.9% 58.1% +1.5 12
1969-12-14 Bari W 1-0 1858 1715 61.5% 29.4% 9.2% +2.4 15
1969-12-14 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1715 1858 9.2% 29.4% 61.5% -2.4 11
1969-12-14 Hellas Verona L 0-1 1718 1716 48.5% 33.7% 17.8% -9.1 10
1969-12-14 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1716 1718 17.8% 33.7% 48.5% +9.1 13
1969-12-14 Cagliari W 1-0 1648 1873 21.0% 32.3% 46.7% +8.6 7
1969-12-14 @ Palermo L 0-1 1873 1648 46.7% 32.3% 21.0% -8.6 18
1969-12-14 Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1704 1753 42.7% 34.4% 23.0% -8.2 8
1969-12-14 @ Sampdoria W 1-0 1753 1704 23.0% 34.4% 42.7% +8.2 15
1969-12-14 AC Milan L 0-1 1776 1829 42.1% 34.4% 23.5% -8.1 12
1969-12-14 @ Torino W 1-0 1829 1776 23.5% 34.4% 42.1% +8.1 14
1969-12-21 Fiorentina W 4-2 1837 1836 48.3% 33.7% 18.0% +6.5 16
1969-12-21 @ AC Milan L 2-4 1836 1837 18.0% 33.7% 48.3% -6.5 15
1969-12-21 Cagliari D 0-0 1713 1864 29.1% 34.0% 36.9% +0.3 12
1969-12-21 @ Bari D 0-0 1864 1713 36.9% 34.0% 29.1% -0.3 19
1969-12-21 Torino L 0-1 1753 1768 46.6% 34.0% 19.4% -8.8 11
1969-12-21 @ Bologna W 1-0 1768 1753 19.4% 34.0% 46.6% +8.8 14
1969-12-21 Sampdoria D 1-1 1725 1696 51.3% 33.1% 15.6% -1.4 14
1969-12-21 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1696 1725 15.6% 33.1% 51.3% +1.4 9
1969-12-21 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1815 1709 58.4% 30.8% 10.8% +2.7 15
1969-12-21 @ Juventus L 1-2 1709 1815 10.8% 30.8% 58.4% -2.7 10
1969-12-21 Inter Milan D 0-0 1795 1860 40.6% 34.4% 24.9% -0.7 13
1969-12-21 @ Napoli D 0-0 1860 1795 24.9% 34.4% 40.6% +0.7 16
1969-12-21 Palermo D 1-1 1737 1657 56.1% 31.7% 12.2% -1.8 13
1969-12-21 @ Roma D 1-1 1657 1737 12.2% 31.7% 56.1% +1.8 8
1969-12-21 Brescia L 0-1 1761 1684 55.9% 31.8% 12.3% -10.3 15
1969-12-21 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1684 1761 12.3% 31.8% 55.9% +10.3 8
1969-12-28 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1713 1706 49.0% 33.6% 17.4% -1.4 13
1969-12-28 @ Bari D 0-0 1706 1713 17.4% 33.6% 49.0% +1.4 11
1969-12-28 Fiorentina L 1-2 1694 1830 31.2% 34.2% 34.7% -6.1 8
1969-12-28 @ Brescia W 2-1 1830 1694 34.7% 34.2% 31.2% +6.1 17
1969-12-28 AC Milan D 1-1 1864 1843 50.4% 33.3% 16.2% -1.4 20
1969-12-28 @ Cagliari D 1-1 1843 1864 16.2% 33.3% 50.4% +1.4 17
1969-12-28 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1861 1723 61.0% 29.6% 9.4% -2.5 17
1969-12-28 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1723 1861 9.4% 29.6% 61.0% +2.5 15
1969-12-28 Napoli D 0-0 1659 1794 31.3% 34.2% 34.5% +0.1 9
1969-12-28 @ Palermo D 0-0 1794 1659 34.5% 34.2% 31.3% -0.1 14
1969-12-28 Juventus L 0-3 1735 1817 38.5% 34.5% 27.0% -20.7 13
1969-12-28 @ Roma W 3-0 1817 1735 27.0% 34.5% 38.5% +20.7 17
1969-12-28 Bologna D 0-0 1697 1744 43.0% 34.3% 22.7% -0.8 10
1969-12-28 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 1744 1697 22.7% 34.3% 43.0% +0.9 12
1969-12-28 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1776 1751 50.9% 33.2% 15.9% +4.0 16
1969-12-28 @ Torino L 0-1 1751 1776 15.9% 33.2% 50.9% -4.0 15
1970-01-03 Roma D 1-1 1745 1715 51.4% 33.1% 15.5% -1.4 13
1970-01-03 @ Bologna D 1-1 1715 1745 15.5% 33.1% 51.4% +1.4 14
1970-01-03 Torino W 2-0 1863 1780 56.3% 31.6% 12.0% +6.0 22
1970-01-03 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1780 1863 12.0% 31.6% 56.3% -6.0 16
1970-01-03 Palermo W 3-1 1836 1659 64.2% 27.9% 7.9% +3.3 19
1970-01-03 @ Fiorentina L 1-3 1659 1836 7.9% 27.9% 64.2% -3.3 9
1970-01-03 Sampdoria W 3-2 1858 1696 63.0% 28.6% 8.4% +1.9 19
1970-01-03 @ Inter Milan L 2-3 1696 1858 8.4% 28.6% 63.0% -2.0 10
1970-01-03 Bari W 1-0 1838 1711 60.2% 30.0% 9.8% +2.6 19
1970-01-03 @ Juventus L 0-1 1711 1838 9.8% 30.0% 60.2% -2.6 13
1970-01-03 Brescia W 1-0 1707 1688 50.3% 33.3% 16.3% +4.1 13
1970-01-03 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1688 1707 16.3% 33.3% 50.3% -4.1 8
1970-01-03 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1794 1726 55.0% 32.1% 12.9% +3.2 16
1970-01-03 @ Napoli L 1-2 1726 1794 12.9% 32.1% 55.0% -3.2 15
1970-01-03 AC Milan W 1-0 1747 1845 36.4% 34.4% 29.1% +6.2 17
1970-01-03 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1845 1747 29.1% 34.4% 36.4% -6.2 17
1970-01-11 Brescia D 1-1 1839 1684 62.5% 28.9% 8.7% -2.3 18
1970-01-11 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1684 1839 8.7% 28.9% 62.5% +2.3 9
1970-01-11 Inter Milan W 2-1 1743 1860 33.8% 34.4% 31.9% +6.2 15
1970-01-11 @ Bologna L 1-2 1860 1743 31.9% 34.4% 33.8% -6.2 19
1970-01-11 Sampdoria W 4-0 1869 1695 64.0% 28.0% 8.0% +7.3 24
1970-01-11 @ Cagliari L 0-4 1695 1869 8.0% 28.0% 64.0% -7.3 10
1970-01-11 Fiorentina L 0-1 1723 1839 33.9% 34.4% 31.8% -6.9 15
1970-01-11 @ Hellas Verona W 1-0 1839 1723 31.8% 34.4% 33.9% +6.9 21
1970-01-11 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1797 1753 52.8% 32.8% 14.5% +3.7 18
1970-01-11 @ Napoli L 0-1 1753 1797 14.5% 32.8% 52.8% -3.7 17
1970-01-11 Juventus L 1-3 1656 1841 25.1% 33.3% 41.5% -9.1 9
1970-01-11 @ Palermo W 3-1 1841 1656 41.5% 33.3% 25.1% +9.1 21
1970-01-11 Bari W 1-0 1716 1709 49.0% 33.6% 17.4% +4.3 16
1970-01-11 @ Roma L 0-1 1709 1716 17.4% 33.6% 49.0% -4.3 13
1970-01-11 Lazio Roma W 3-0 1774 1712 54.6% 32.2% 13.2% +9.4 18
1970-01-11 @ Torino L 0-3 1712 1774 13.2% 32.2% 54.6% -9.4 13
1970-01-18 AC Milan L 0-5 1705 1836 31.8% 34.2% 34.0% -29.1 13
1970-01-18 @ Bari W 5-0 1836 1705 34.0% 34.2% 31.8% +29.1 20
1970-01-18 Roma L 0-1 1686 1720 44.4% 34.2% 21.4% -8.4 9
1970-01-18 @ Brescia W 1-0 1720 1686 21.4% 34.2% 44.4% +8.4 18
1970-01-18 Napoli L 1-2 1846 1801 52.9% 32.7% 14.4% -9.2 21
1970-01-18 @ Fiorentina W 2-1 1801 1846 14.4% 32.7% 52.9% +9.2 20
1970-01-18 Palermo W 2-0 1854 1647 66.5% 26.5% 7.0% +3.3 21
1970-01-18 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1647 1854 7.0% 26.5% 66.5% -3.3 9
1970-01-18 Hellas Verona W 3-0 1850 1716 60.8% 29.7% 9.5% +6.8 23
1970-01-18 @ Juventus L 0-3 1716 1850 9.5% 29.7% 60.8% -6.8 15
1970-01-18 Bologna W 1-0 1702 1749 42.9% 34.3% 22.8% +5.3 15
1970-01-18 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1749 1702 22.8% 34.3% 42.9% -5.3 15
1970-01-18 Torino D 1-1 1687 1784 36.6% 34.5% 29.0% -0.3 11
1970-01-18 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1784 1687 29.0% 34.5% 36.6% +0.3 19
1970-01-18 Cagliari L 1-2 1749 1876 32.5% 34.3% 33.2% -6.3 17
1970-01-18 @ Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1876 1749 33.2% 34.3% 32.5% +6.3 26
1970-01-25 Lazio Roma W 3-0 1865 1707 62.7% 28.7% 8.6% +6.1 22
1970-01-25 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1707 1865 8.6% 28.7% 62.7% -6.1 15
1970-01-25 Juventus D 0-0 1744 1857 34.4% 34.4% 31.2% -0.1 16
1970-01-25 @ Bologna D 0-0 1857 1744 31.2% 34.4% 34.4% +0.1 24
1970-01-25 Brescia W 4-0 1882 1677 66.3% 26.7% 7.0% +6.3 28
1970-01-25 @ Cagliari L 0-4 1677 1882 7.0% 26.7% 66.3% -6.3 9
1970-01-25 Bari W 1-0 1810 1675 60.8% 29.7% 9.5% +2.5 22
1970-01-25 @ Napoli L 0-1 1675 1810 9.5% 29.7% 60.8% -2.5 13
1970-01-25 Hellas Verona D 1-1 1729 1709 50.4% 33.3% 16.3% -1.4 19
1970-01-25 @ Roma D 1-1 1709 1729 16.3% 33.3% 50.4% +1.4 16
1970-01-25 Fiorentina L 1-3 1687 1837 29.3% 34.0% 36.7% -10.2 11
1970-01-25 @ Sampdoria W 3-1 1837 1687 36.7% 34.0% 29.3% +10.2 23
1970-01-25 Inter Milan D 0-0 1784 1857 39.6% 34.5% 25.9% -0.6 20
1970-01-25 @ Torino D 0-0 1857 1784 25.9% 34.5% 39.6% +0.6 22
1970-01-25 Palermo D 1-1 1743 1643 57.9% 31.0% 11.1% -2.0 18
1970-01-25 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1643 1743 11.1% 31.0% 57.9% +2.0 10
1970-02-01 Brescia W 2-0 1673 1671 48.5% 33.7% 17.8% +8.3 15
1970-02-01 @ Bari L 0-2 1671 1673 17.8% 33.7% 48.5% -8.3 9
1970-02-01 Lanerossi Vicenza W 2-1 1847 1741 58.4% 30.8% 10.8% +2.7 25
1970-02-01 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1741 1847 10.8% 30.8% 58.4% -2.7 18
1970-02-01 AC Milan D 2-2 1710 1871 28.0% 33.8% 38.2% +0.3 17
1970-02-01 @ Hellas Verona D 2-2 1871 1710 38.2% 33.8% 28.0% -0.3 23
1970-02-01 Roma W 2-0 1858 1727 60.5% 29.9% 9.7% +4.8 24
1970-02-01 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1727 1858 9.7% 29.9% 60.5% -4.8 19
1970-02-01 Sampdoria W 2-0 1857 1677 64.4% 27.8% 7.8% +3.8 26
1970-02-01 @ Juventus L 0-2 1677 1857 7.8% 27.8% 64.4% -3.8 11
1970-02-01 Cagliari L 0-2 1701 1889 24.9% 33.3% 41.8% -10.4 15
1970-02-01 @ Lazio Roma W 2-0 1889 1701 41.8% 33.3% 24.9% +10.4 30
1970-02-01 Torino W 4-0 1813 1784 51.3% 33.1% 15.6% +14.1 24
1970-02-01 @ Napoli L 0-4 1784 1813 15.6% 33.1% 51.3% -14.1 20
1970-02-01 Bologna W 1-0 1645 1744 36.3% 34.4% 29.3% +6.3 12
1970-02-01 @ Palermo L 0-1 1744 1645 29.3% 34.4% 36.3% -6.2 16
1970-02-08 Palermo W 1-0 1871 1651 67.4% 26.0% 6.6% +1.6 25
1970-02-08 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1651 1871 6.6% 26.0% 67.4% -1.6 12
1970-02-08 Hellas Verona D 0-0 1738 1711 51.1% 33.2% 15.7% -1.6 17
1970-02-08 @ Bologna D 0-0 1711 1738 15.7% 33.2% 51.1% +1.6 18
1970-02-08 Inter Milan D 1-1 1663 1863 23.5% 33.0% 43.5% +0.8 10
1970-02-08 @ Brescia D 1-1 1863 1663 43.5% 33.0% 23.5% -0.8 25
1970-02-08 Fiorentina D 0-0 1899 1850 53.3% 32.6% 14.1% -1.8 31
1970-02-08 @ Cagliari D 0-0 1850 1899 14.1% 32.6% 53.3% +1.8 26
1970-02-08 Napoli W 2-1 1723 1827 35.6% 34.4% 30.0% +6.0 21
1970-02-08 @ Roma L 1-2 1827 1723 30.0% 34.4% 35.6% -6.0 24
1970-02-08 Lazio Roma L 0-2 1673 1691 46.3% 34.0% 19.7% -16.5 11
1970-02-08 @ Sampdoria W 2-0 1691 1673 19.7% 34.0% 46.3% +16.5 17
1970-02-08 Juventus L 0-3 1769 1860 37.3% 34.5% 28.2% -20.2 20
1970-02-08 @ Torino W 3-0 1860 1769 28.2% 34.5% 37.3% +20.2 28
1970-02-08 Bari W 2-0 1738 1681 54.0% 32.4% 13.6% +6.6 20
1970-02-08 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-2 1681 1738 13.6% 32.4% 54.0% -6.6 15
1970-02-15 Bologna L 0-2 1675 1736 41.1% 34.4% 24.4% -15.0 15
1970-02-15 @ Bari W 2-0 1736 1675 24.4% 34.4% 41.1% +15.0 19
1970-02-15 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1852 1707 61.6% 29.3% 9.1% +4.5 28
1970-02-15 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1707 1852 9.1% 29.3% 61.6% -4.5 17
1970-02-15 Brescia D 0-0 1712 1664 53.2% 32.6% 14.2% -1.8 19
1970-02-15 @ Hellas Verona D 0-0 1664 1712 14.2% 32.6% 53.2% +1.8 11
1970-02-15 Cagliari W 1-0 1862 1897 44.3% 34.2% 21.5% +5.1 27
1970-02-15 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1897 1862 21.5% 34.2% 44.3% -5.0 31
1970-02-15 Lanerossi Vicenza W 4-0 1881 1745 60.9% 29.7% 9.5% +8.8 30
1970-02-15 @ Juventus L 0-4 1745 1881 9.5% 29.7% 60.9% -8.9 20
1970-02-15 Sampdoria L 0-2 1821 1656 63.2% 28.5% 8.3% -21.4 24
1970-02-15 @ Napoli W 2-0 1656 1821 8.3% 28.5% 63.2% +21.4 13
1970-02-15 Torino W 1-0 1650 1749 36.2% 34.4% 29.3% +6.3 14
1970-02-15 @ Palermo L 0-1 1749 1650 29.3% 34.4% 36.2% -6.3 20
1970-02-15 AC Milan L 0-1 1729 1873 30.1% 34.1% 35.8% -6.4 21
1970-02-15 @ Roma W 1-0 1873 1729 35.8% 34.1% 30.1% +6.3 27
1970-03-01 AC Milan L 0-1 1751 1879 32.3% 34.2% 33.5% -6.7 19
1970-03-01 @ Bologna W 1-0 1879 1751 33.5% 34.2% 32.3% +6.7 29
1970-03-01 Palermo W 4-2 1665 1656 49.3% 33.6% 17.2% +6.2 13
1970-03-01 @ Brescia L 2-4 1656 1665 17.2% 33.6% 49.3% -6.2 14
1970-03-01 Napoli W 2-0 1892 1799 57.3% 31.2% 11.5% +5.7 33
1970-03-01 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1799 1892 11.5% 31.2% 57.3% -5.7 24
1970-03-01 Lanerossi Vicenza W 3-1 1710 1736 45.4% 34.1% 20.5% +8.0 21
1970-03-01 @ Hellas Verona L 1-3 1736 1710 20.5% 34.1% 45.4% -8.0 20
1970-03-01 Juventus D 0-0 1867 1890 45.8% 34.1% 20.1% -1.1 28
1970-03-01 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1890 1867 20.1% 34.1% 45.8% +1.1 31
1970-03-01 Roma D 1-1 1703 1722 46.1% 34.0% 19.8% -1.0 18
1970-03-01 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1722 1703 19.8% 34.0% 46.1% +1.0 22
1970-03-01 Bari W 1-0 1678 1660 50.2% 33.4% 16.4% +4.1 15
1970-03-01 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1660 1678 16.4% 33.4% 50.2% -4.1 15
1970-03-01 Fiorentina W 1-0 1743 1856 34.3% 34.4% 31.3% +6.5 22
1970-03-01 @ Torino L 0-1 1856 1743 31.3% 34.4% 34.3% -6.5 28
1970-03-08 Inter Milan L 0-1 1886 1866 50.4% 33.3% 16.3% -9.4 29
1970-03-08 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1866 1886 16.3% 33.3% 50.4% +9.4 30
1970-03-08 Torino L 0-1 1656 1749 36.9% 34.5% 28.6% -7.3 15
1970-03-08 @ Bari W 1-0 1749 1656 28.6% 34.5% 36.9% +7.3 24
1970-03-08 Sampdoria D 0-0 1672 1682 47.1% 33.9% 18.9% -1.2 14
1970-03-08 @ Brescia D 0-0 1682 1672 18.9% 33.9% 47.1% +1.2 16
1970-03-08 Bologna L 0-1 1850 1744 58.3% 30.8% 10.8% -10.6 28
1970-03-08 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1744 1850 10.8% 30.8% 58.3% +10.6 21
1970-03-08 Napoli D 0-0 1891 1794 57.6% 31.1% 11.3% -2.2 32
1970-03-08 @ Juventus D 0-0 1794 1891 11.3% 31.1% 57.6% +2.2 25
1970-03-08 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1650 1718 40.2% 34.5% 25.3% +5.7 16
1970-03-08 @ Palermo L 0-1 1718 1650 25.3% 34.5% 40.2% -5.7 21
1970-03-08 Cagliari D 1-1 1723 1898 26.3% 33.6% 40.1% +0.5 23
1970-03-08 @ Roma D 1-1 1898 1723 40.1% 33.6% 26.3% -0.5 34
1970-03-08 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1728 1702 51.0% 33.2% 15.8% +3.8 22
1970-03-08 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-2 1702 1728 15.8% 33.2% 51.0% -3.8 18
1970-03-15 Fiorentina D 1-1 1648 1839 24.5% 33.2% 42.3% +0.7 16
1970-03-15 @ Bari D 1-1 1839 1648 42.3% 33.2% 24.5% -0.7 29
1970-03-15 Brescia L 0-3 1755 1670 56.5% 31.5% 11.9% -28.4 21
1970-03-15 @ Bologna W 3-0 1670 1755 11.9% 31.5% 56.5% +28.4 16
1970-03-15 Torino L 0-1 1713 1757 43.3% 34.3% 22.4% -8.3 21
1970-03-15 @ Hellas Verona W 1-0 1757 1713 22.4% 34.3% 43.3% +8.3 26
1970-03-15 Lanerossi Vicenza D 0-0 1875 1732 61.5% 29.3% 9.1% -2.5 31
1970-03-15 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1732 1875 9.1% 29.3% 61.5% +2.5 23
1970-03-15 Cagliari D 2-2 1888 1897 47.3% 33.9% 18.8% -0.8 33
1970-03-15 @ Juventus D 2-2 1897 1888 18.8% 33.9% 47.3% +0.8 35
1970-03-15 Palermo W 4-0 1698 1656 52.6% 32.8% 14.6% +13.4 20
1970-03-15 @ Lazio Roma L 0-4 1656 1698 14.6% 32.8% 52.6% -13.4 16
1970-03-15 AC Milan D 1-1 1796 1876 38.7% 34.5% 26.8% -0.4 26
1970-03-15 @ Napoli D 1-1 1876 1796 26.8% 34.5% 38.7% +0.4 30
1970-03-15 Roma W 2-0 1683 1724 43.7% 34.3% 22.1% +9.7 18
1970-03-15 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1724 1683 22.1% 34.3% 43.7% -9.7 23
1970-03-22 Sampdoria D 0-0 1877 1693 64.7% 27.6% 7.7% -2.8 31
1970-03-22 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1693 1877 7.7% 27.6% 64.7% +2.8 19
1970-03-22 Napoli L 1-2 1699 1795 36.6% 34.5% 29.0% -6.9 16
1970-03-22 @ Brescia W 2-1 1795 1699 29.0% 34.5% 36.6% +6.8 28
1970-03-22 Hellas Verona W 1-0 1898 1704 65.5% 27.2% 7.4% +1.9 37
1970-03-22 @ Cagliari L 0-1 1704 1898 7.4% 27.2% 65.5% -1.9 21
1970-03-22 Juventus W 2-0 1838 1888 42.6% 34.4% 23.0% +10.0 31
1970-03-22 @ Fiorentina L 0-2 1888 1838 23.0% 34.4% 42.6% -10.0 33
1970-03-22 Inter Milan W 3-1 1712 1873 27.9% 33.8% 38.3% +12.2 22
1970-03-22 @ Lazio Roma L 1-3 1873 1712 38.3% 33.8% 27.9% -12.2 31
1970-03-22 Bari D 0-0 1642 1649 47.5% 33.9% 18.6% -1.3 17
1970-03-22 @ Palermo D 0-0 1649 1642 18.6% 33.9% 47.5% +1.3 17
1970-03-22 Roma D 0-0 1765 1714 53.4% 32.6% 14.0% -1.8 27
1970-03-22 @ Torino D 0-0 1714 1765 14.0% 32.6% 53.4% +1.8 24
1970-03-22 Bologna D 1-1 1735 1727 49.1% 33.6% 17.3% -1.3 24
1970-03-22 @ Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1727 1735 17.3% 33.6% 49.1% +1.3 22
1970-03-29 Hellas Verona L 0-2 1650 1703 42.2% 34.4% 23.4% -15.3 17
1970-03-29 @ Bari W 2-0 1703 1650 23.4% 34.4% 42.2% +15.3 23
1970-03-29 Cagliari D 0-0 1728 1900 26.6% 33.6% 39.8% +0.5 23
1970-03-29 @ Bologna D 0-0 1900 1728 39.8% 33.6% 26.6% -0.5 38
1970-03-29 Torino L 0-1 1692 1763 39.9% 34.5% 25.7% -7.8 16
1970-03-29 @ Brescia W 1-0 1763 1692 25.7% 34.5% 39.9% +7.8 29
1970-03-29 Fiorentina W 3-0 1861 1848 49.6% 33.5% 16.9% +11.6 33
1970-03-29 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1848 1861 16.9% 33.5% 49.6% -11.6 31
1970-03-29 AC Milan W 3-0 1878 1874 48.6% 33.7% 17.7% +12.0 35
1970-03-29 @ Juventus L 0-3 1874 1878 17.7% 33.7% 48.6% -12.0 31
1970-03-29 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1802 1724 56.0% 31.7% 12.3% -1.8 29
1970-03-29 @ Napoli D 1-1 1724 1802 12.3% 31.7% 56.0% +1.8 23
1970-03-29 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1716 1733 46.4% 34.0% 19.6% +4.7 26
1970-03-29 @ Roma L 0-1 1733 1716 19.6% 34.0% 46.4% -4.7 24
1970-03-29 Palermo W 1-0 1696 1641 53.8% 32.5% 13.7% +3.5 21
1970-03-29 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1641 1696 13.7% 32.5% 53.8% -3.6 17
1970-04-05 Torino W 3-0 1862 1771 57.1% 31.3% 11.6% +8.3 33
1970-04-05 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1771 1862 11.6% 31.3% 57.1% -8.3 29
1970-04-05 Inter Milan L 0-1 1635 1872 19.9% 31.9% 48.2% -4.6 17
1970-04-05 @ Bari W 1-0 1872 1635 48.2% 31.9% 19.9% +4.6 35
1970-04-05 Palermo W 2-0 1900 1637 70.5% 24.0% 5.5% +2.5 40
1970-04-05 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1637 1900 5.5% 24.0% 70.5% -2.5 17
1970-04-05 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1718 1726 47.4% 33.9% 18.7% -1.1 24
1970-04-05 @ Hellas Verona D 1-1 1726 1718 18.7% 33.9% 47.4% +1.1 24
1970-04-05 Brescia W 1-0 1890 1684 66.3% 26.6% 7.0% +1.8 37
1970-04-05 @ Juventus L 0-1 1684 1890 7.0% 26.6% 66.3% -1.8 16
1970-04-05 Bologna D 0-0 1800 1729 55.4% 31.9% 12.7% -2.0 30
1970-04-05 @ Napoli D 0-0 1729 1800 12.7% 31.9% 55.4% +2.0 24
1970-04-05 Fiorentina L 0-1 1721 1837 33.9% 34.4% 31.7% -6.9 26
1970-04-05 @ Roma W 1-0 1837 1721 31.7% 34.4% 33.9% +6.9 33
1970-04-05 Sampdoria W 2-1 1729 1699 51.3% 33.1% 15.6% +3.7 26
1970-04-05 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 1-2 1699 1729 15.6% 33.1% 51.3% -3.7 21
1970-04-12 Lanerossi Vicenza D 1-1 1682 1732 42.5% 34.4% 23.1% -0.7 17
1970-04-12 @ Brescia D 1-1 1732 1682 23.1% 34.4% 42.5% +0.7 27
1970-04-12 Bari W 2-0 1902 1630 71.2% 23.5% 5.3% +2.4 42
1970-04-12 @ Cagliari L 0-2 1630 1902 5.3% 23.5% 71.2% -2.4 17
1970-04-12 AC Milan W 4-2 1844 1870 45.3% 34.1% 20.6% +7.2 35
1970-04-12 @ Fiorentina L 2-4 1870 1844 20.6% 34.1% 45.3% -7.2 33
1970-04-12 Napoli W 1-0 1877 1798 56.0% 31.7% 12.3% +3.2 37
1970-04-12 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1798 1877 12.3% 31.7% 56.0% -3.2 30
1970-04-12 Juventus W 2-0 1727 1891 27.5% 33.7% 38.7% +14.2 26
1970-04-12 @ Lazio Roma L 0-2 1891 1727 38.7% 33.7% 27.5% -14.2 37
1970-04-12 Roma D 2-2 1635 1714 38.9% 34.5% 26.6% -0.3 18
1970-04-12 @ Palermo D 2-2 1714 1635 26.6% 34.5% 38.9% +0.3 27
1970-04-12 Hellas Verona W 2-1 1696 1717 45.9% 34.1% 20.0% +4.5 23
1970-04-12 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1717 1696 20.0% 34.1% 45.9% -4.5 24
1970-04-12 Bologna D 1-1 1763 1731 51.6% 33.1% 15.3% -1.5 30
1970-04-12 @ Torino D 1-1 1731 1763 15.3% 33.1% 51.6% +1.5 25
1970-04-19 Cagliari D 0-0 1863 1904 43.6% 34.3% 22.1% -0.9 34
1970-04-19 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1904 1863 22.1% 34.3% 43.6% +0.9 43
1970-04-19 Sampdoria D 1-1 1732 1700 51.6% 33.1% 15.4% -1.5 26
1970-04-19 @ Bologna D 1-1 1700 1732 15.4% 33.1% 51.6% +1.5 24
1970-04-19 Brescia L 0-1 1851 1682 63.6% 28.3% 8.2% -11.4 35
1970-04-19 @ Fiorentina W 1-0 1682 1851 8.2% 28.3% 63.6% +11.4 19
1970-04-19 Inter Milan L 1-3 1712 1880 27.1% 33.7% 39.2% -9.6 24
1970-04-19 @ Hellas Verona W 3-1 1880 1712 39.2% 33.7% 27.1% +9.6 39
1970-04-19 Roma D 1-1 1877 1714 63.1% 28.5% 8.4% -2.4 38
1970-04-19 @ Juventus D 1-1 1714 1877 8.4% 28.5% 63.1% +2.4 28
1970-04-19 Bari W 4-1 1741 1628 59.0% 30.5% 10.5% +6.3 28
1970-04-19 @ Lazio Roma L 1-4 1628 1741 10.5% 30.5% 59.0% -6.3 17
1970-04-19 Palermo D 0-0 1795 1635 62.9% 28.6% 8.5% -2.6 31
1970-04-19 @ Napoli D 0-0 1635 1795 8.5% 28.6% 62.9% +2.6 19
1970-04-19 Torino W 1-0 1733 1761 45.1% 34.2% 20.7% +4.9 29
1970-04-19 @ Lanerossi Vicenza L 0-1 1761 1733 20.7% 34.2% 45.1% -4.9 30
1970-04-26 Lanerossi Vicenza W 1-0 1862 1738 60.0% 30.1% 9.9% +2.6 36
1970-04-26 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1738 1862 9.9% 30.1% 60.0% -2.6 29
1970-04-26 Juventus W 2-1 1622 1875 18.5% 31.4% 50.1% +8.6 19
1970-04-26 @ Bari L 1-2 1875 1622 50.1% 31.4% 18.5% -8.6 38
1970-04-26 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1693 1747 42.0% 34.4% 23.6% -0.8 20
1970-04-26 @ Brescia D 0-0 1747 1693 23.6% 34.4% 42.0% +0.8 29
1970-04-26 Napoli W 1-0 1703 1793 37.5% 34.5% 28.1% +6.1 26
1970-04-26 @ Hellas Verona L 0-1 1793 1703 28.1% 34.5% 37.5% -6.1 31
1970-04-26 Fiorentina D 1-1 1637 1839 23.2% 32.9% 43.8% +0.8 20
1970-04-26 @ Palermo D 1-1 1839 1637 43.8% 32.9% 23.2% -0.8 36
1970-04-26 Bologna L 1-2 1716 1731 46.7% 34.0% 19.3% -8.3 28
1970-04-26 @ Roma W 2-1 1731 1716 19.3% 34.0% 46.7% +8.3 28
1970-04-26 Inter Milan L 0-5 1702 1890 24.8% 33.3% 42.0% -24.3 24
1970-04-26 @ Sampdoria W 5-0 1890 1702 42.0% 33.3% 24.8% +24.3 41
1970-04-26 Cagliari L 0-4 1756 1905 29.5% 34.0% 36.5% -22.4 30
1970-04-26 @ Torino W 4-0 1905 1756 36.5% 34.0% 29.5% +22.4 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1970-04-19 8.17% Brescia 1682 1 @ Fiorentina 1851 0
2 1970-02-15 8.35% Sampdoria 1656 2 @ Napoli 1821 0
3 1969-10-19 10.35% Roma 1739 3 @ AC Milan 1855 2
4 1970-03-08 10.84% Bologna 1744 1 @ Fiorentina 1850 0
5 1970-03-15 11.92% Brescia 1670 3 @ Bologna 1755 0
6 1969-12-21 12.32% Brescia 1684 1 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 1761 0
7 1969-12-07 13.49% Juventus 1789 2 @ AC Milan 1848 0
8 1969-11-09 13.59% Bari 1721 1 @ Torino 1778 0
9 1970-01-18 14.38% Napoli 1801 2 @ Fiorentina 1846 1
10 1969-10-12 16.28% Torino 1770 2 @ Juventus 1790 1
11 1970-03-08 16.31% Inter Milan 1866 1 @ AC Milan 1886 0
12 1969-10-05 16.53% Napoli 1770 2 @ Torino 1787 0
13 1969-10-12 16.70% Cagliari 1847 1 @ Fiorentina 1862 0
14 1969-12-14 17.81% Hellas Verona 1716 1 @ Lazio Roma 1718 0
15 1970-04-26 18.48% @ Bari 1622 2 Juventus 1875 1
16 1970-04-26 19.31% Bologna 1731 2 @ Roma 1716 1
17 1969-12-21 19.40% Torino 1768 1 @ Bologna 1753 0
18 1970-02-08 19.70% Lazio Roma 1691 2 @ Sampdoria 1673 0
19 1969-12-14 20.49% Napoli 1787 2 @ Bologna 1761 1
20 1969-10-26 20.99% Brescia 1686 3 @ Palermo 1655 1
21 1969-12-14 21.01% @ Palermo 1648 1 Cagliari 1873 0
22 1970-01-18 21.39% Roma 1720 1 @ Brescia 1686 0
23 1969-12-07 21.67% Napoli 1771 2 @ Lazio Roma 1734 0
24 1970-03-15 22.43% Torino 1757 1 @ Hellas Verona 1713 0
25 1969-09-28 22.91% Lanerossi Vicenza 1719 3 @ Palermo 1670 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1970-01-18 29.06 AC Milan 5 1836 34.01% @ Bari 0 1705 31.78% 34.21%
2 1970-03-15 28.39 Brescia 3 1670 11.92% @ Bologna 0 1755 56.55% 31.53%
3 1970-04-26 24.29 Inter Milan 5 1890 41.96% @ Sampdoria 0 1702 24.78% 33.26%
4 1970-04-26 22.38 Cagliari 4 1905 36.52% @ Torino 0 1756 29.48% 33.99%
5 1970-02-15 21.36 Sampdoria 2 1656 8.35% @ Napoli 0 1821 63.18% 28.47%
6 1969-12-28 20.67 Juventus 3 1817 27.02% @ Roma 0 1735 38.50% 34.48%
7 1969-10-19 20.64 @ Lazio Roma 5 1720 31.59% Fiorentina 1 1853 34.21% 34.20%
8 1970-02-08 20.21 Juventus 3 1860 28.21% @ Torino 0 1769 37.32% 34.47%
9 1969-12-07 18.84 Juventus 2 1789 13.49% @ AC Milan 0 1848 54.17% 32.34%
10 1969-10-05 17.61 Napoli 2 1770 16.53% @ Torino 0 1787 50.08% 33.39%
11 1969-12-07 16.62 @ Palermo 3 1632 37.59% Sampdoria 0 1721 27.93% 34.48%
12 1970-02-08 16.47 Lazio Roma 2 1691 19.70% @ Sampdoria 0 1673 46.29% 34.02%
13 1969-09-14 15.96 AC Milan 4 1839 31.59% @ Brescia 1 1724 34.05% 34.36%
14 1969-12-07 15.83 Napoli 2 1771 21.67% @ Lazio Roma 0 1734 44.08% 34.25%
15 1970-03-29 15.29 Hellas Verona 2 1703 23.38% @ Bari 0 1650 42.24% 34.38%
16 1970-02-15 14.97 Bologna 2 1736 24.45% @ Bari 0 1675 41.12% 34.43%
17 1969-10-26 14.71 Cagliari 2 1855 25.35% @ Napoli 0 1786 40.19% 34.46%
18 1970-04-12 14.20 @ Lazio Roma 2 1727 27.52% Juventus 0 1891 38.74% 33.74%
19 1970-02-01 14.14 @ Napoli 4 1813 51.29% Torino 0 1784 15.59% 33.12%
20 1969-10-26 13.89 Brescia 3 1686 20.99% @ Palermo 1 1655 44.82% 34.18%
21 1970-03-15 13.37 @ Lazio Roma 4 1698 52.64% Palermo 0 1656 14.58% 32.78%
22 1969-09-28 13.36 Lanerossi Vicenza 3 1719 22.91% @ Palermo 1 1670 42.74% 34.35%
23 1969-09-28 12.58 Cagliari 2 1832 33.40% @ Brescia 0 1704 32.34% 34.26%
24 1969-12-07 12.50 @ Lanerossi Vicenza 3 1741 47.44% Roma 0 1748 18.70% 33.86%
25 1970-03-22 12.19 @ Lazio Roma 3 1712 27.94% Inter Milan 1 1873 38.27% 33.80%