Home / Leagues / Italy / Serie A / 1940-41
‹ ›

1940-41 Serie A Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Bologna

39 points · 6th Title

Last Title: 1938-39

Relegated

Bari

17 pts

Novara · 27 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Fiorentina

4.89 points above expected

34 points · 29.11 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bari

8.23 points below expected

17 points · 25.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Bologna Champion 30 16 7 7 39 60 37 +23 34.93 +4.07
2 Inter Milan 30 14 7 9 35 52 42 +10 34.26 +0.74
3 AC Milan 30 12 10 8 34 55 34 +21 30.96 +3.04
4 Fiorentina 30 14 6 10 34 60 49 +11 29.11 +4.89
5 Juventus 30 12 8 10 32 50 47 +3 31.82 +0.18
6 Atalanta 30 11 9 10 31 45 38 +7 28.40 +2.60
7 Torino 30 11 8 11 30 54 50 +4 31.06 -1.06
8 Napoli 30 11 8 11 30 41 48 -7 27.71 +2.29
9 Triestina 30 9 11 10 29 43 39 +4 29.33 -0.33
10 Roma 30 9 11 10 29 48 46 +2 29.83 -0.83
11 Genova 1893 30 10 9 11 29 46 44 +2 30.42 -1.42
12 Venezia 30 8 13 9 29 39 44 -5 27.45 +1.55
13 Livorno 30 9 10 11 28 40 51 -11 30.36 -2.36
14 Lazio Roma 30 7 13 10 27 38 42 -4 30.09 -3.09
15 Novara Relegated 30 8 11 11 27 31 38 -7 29.06 -2.06
16 Bari Relegated 30 5 7 18 17 31 84 -53 25.23 -8.23

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Bologna 1727 39 34.93 +4.07 88.3% 20 28 32 35 38 41 48
AC Milan 1705 34 30.96 +3.04 81.9% 17 25 28 31 34 37 45
Inter Milan 1694 35 34.26 +0.74 63.0% 21 28 32 34 37 41 50
Genova 1893 1663 29 30.42 -1.42 40.2% 16 24 28 30 33 37 44
Fiorentina 1644 34 29.11 +4.89 91.7% 14 23 26 29 32 35 42
Triestina 1641 29 29.33 -0.33 51.1% 14 23 27 29 32 36 44
Juventus 1639 32 31.82 +0.18 57.4% 17 25 29 32 34 38 46
Roma 1633 29 29.83 -0.83 46.5% 15 23 27 30 32 36 44
Lazio Roma 1630 27 30.09 -3.09 25.1% 14 24 27 30 33 36 43
Torino 1627 30 31.06 -1.06 44.5% 17 25 28 31 34 37 45
Livorno 1620 28 30.36 -2.36 31.4% 14 24 28 30 33 37 44
Atalanta 1619 31 28.40 +2.60 78.9% 13 22 26 28 31 35 43
Napoli 1605 30 27.71 +2.29 76.8% 13 21 25 28 30 34 42
Venezia 1602 29 27.45 +1.55 70.5% 13 21 25 27 30 34 42
Novara 1595 27 29.06 -2.06 34.5% 15 23 26 29 32 35 43
Bari 1453 17 25.23 -8.23 1.9% 11 19 23 25 28 32 40

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ATA BAR BOL FIO G1 IM JUV LR LIV NAP NOV ROM TOR TRI VEN
AC Milan —
0-0-2
3.00
2-0-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.34
2-0-0
2.89
0-2-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.69
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
2.67
0-2-0
2.84
0-2-0
3.01
Atalanta
2-0-0
2.40
 —
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
1.94
0-2-0
2.67
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.35
1-1-0
2.55
1-1-0
2.72
Bari
0-0-2
2.31
0-1-1
2.52
 —
1-0-1
1.62
1-0-1
2.20
0-1-1
2.15
0-1-1
1.82
0-0-2
2.02
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
2.52
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.43
Bologna
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
3.81
 —
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.12
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.23
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
3.45
Fiorentina
0-0-2
2.50
0-2-0
2.72
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.15
 —
2-0-0
2.40
2-0-0
2.15
2-0-0
2.49
1-0-1
2.65
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.74
0-1-1
2.61
0-2-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.87
Genova 1893
0-2-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.79
1-1-0
3.28
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
2.97
 —
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.97
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.78
1-1-0
2.99
Inter Milan
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.59
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
3.27
1-0-1
3.10
 —
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.98
1-1-0
3.09
2-0-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.09
0-1-1
3.02
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.37
Juventus
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
3.39
1-0-1
2.45
0-0-2
2.91
1-0-1
2.78
1-0-1
2.49
 —
1-1-0
2.79
1-0-1
2.87
0-2-0
3.11
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.81
0-2-0
2.98
0-2-0
3.11
Lazio Roma
0-1-1
2.54
0-1-1
2.79
1-1-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.24
1-0-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.43
0-1-1
2.62
 —
1-0-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.90
0-2-0
2.78
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.78
1-0-1
2.92
Livorno
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
3.11
0-1-1
2.29
0-1-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.30
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.70
 —
1-1-0
2.94
0-2-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
2.71
1-1-0
3.02
Napoli
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.07
1-0-1
2.66
2-0-0
2.42
0-0-2
2.07
0-2-0
2.28
0-1-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.44
 —
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.48
0-2-0
2.68
Novara
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.88
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
2.63
0-1-1
2.22
0-0-2
2.51
0-2-0
2.60
0-2-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.86
 —
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.81
Roma
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.85
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.16
0-2-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.48
0-1-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.84
 —
1-1-0
2.48
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.93
Torino
0-1-1
2.71
1-1-0
3.04
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
2.79
1-1-0
2.39
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
2.65
2-0-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.92
 —
1-0-1
2.94
0-1-1
3.09
Triestina
0-2-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.18
0-2-0
2.40
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.76
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.44
 —
1-0-1
2.88
Venezia
0-2-0
2.38
0-1-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.93
1-1-0
1.97
1-0-1
2.52
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
2.05
0-2-0
2.27
1-0-1
2.47
0-1-1
2.37
0-2-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.46
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
2.51
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +4.4
Allowed 0.55 -3.1
Differential 0.88 +2.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.75%6.04%5.21%3.33%2.08%1.04%26.46%
16.04%14.17%6.04%2.92%1.25%1.67%32.08%
25.21%6.04%6.67%1.04%1.25%1.46%21.67%
33.33%2.92%1.04%0.42%0.42%0.83%8.96%
42.08%1.25%1.25%0.42%0.42%—5.42%
5+1.04%1.67%1.46%0.83%—0.42%5.42%
Total26.46%32.08%21.67%8.96%5.42%5.42%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.44 1.44 2.03
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%——26.67%
1—13.33%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
23.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%—23.33%
33.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+6.67%3.33%————10.00%
Total33.33%36.67%16.67%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.13 +0.70
SD 1.62 1.11 2.14
CV 0.88 0.98 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
1—16.67%3.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%36.67%
213.33%6.67%3.33%———23.33%
36.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total33.33%36.67%10.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.27 +0.23
SD 1.17 1.34 1.99
CV 0.78 1.06 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%—3.33%16.67%6.67%33.33%
110.00%10.00%6.67%6.67%—10.00%43.33%
2——10.00%——3.33%13.33%
3——3.33%——3.33%6.67%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total13.33%13.33%23.33%10.00%16.67%23.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 2.80 -1.77
SD 1.03 1.86 2.21
CV 1.00 0.67 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
113.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—3.33%30.00%
23.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
313.33%—————13.33%
4—3.33%6.67%—3.33%—13.33%
5+3.33%3.33%—3.33%——10.00%
Total40.00%23.33%20.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.23 +0.77
SD 1.66 1.36 2.08
CV 0.83 1.10 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
13.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
26.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%—3.33%30.00%
33.33%—3.33%——3.33%10.00%
43.33%——3.33%——6.67%
5+3.33%—3.33%3.33%——10.00%
Total23.33%33.33%20.00%13.33%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.63 +0.37
SD 1.55 1.52 2.04
CV 0.78 0.93 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%—26.67%
16.67%16.67%6.67%—3.33%—33.33%
210.00%3.33%6.67%——3.33%23.33%
33.33%———3.33%—6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
Total30.00%33.33%16.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.47 +0.07
SD 1.59 1.53 2.15
CV 1.04 1.04 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%16.67%3.33%—3.33%33.33%
110.00%10.00%3.33%———23.33%
2—10.00%3.33%———13.33%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
43.33%—10.00%———13.33%
5+3.33%3.33%———3.33%10.00%
Total26.67%30.00%33.33%3.33%—6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.40 +0.33
SD 1.76 1.30 2.20
CV 1.02 0.93 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%—3.33%26.67%
1—10.00%6.67%———16.67%
26.67%10.00%13.33%3.33%——33.33%
33.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
4———————
5+—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
Total13.33%40.00%30.00%13.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.57 +0.10
SD 1.40 1.10 1.94
CV 0.84 0.70 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%10.00%3.33%——30.00%
13.33%16.67%6.67%———26.67%
26.67%6.67%13.33%3.33%6.67%—36.67%
3———————
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total23.33%33.33%30.00%6.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.40 -0.13
SD 1.11 1.13 1.46
CV 0.88 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%—10.00%—3.33%23.33%
110.00%20.00%6.67%3.33%——40.00%
2—10.00%10.00%——6.67%26.67%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total13.33%46.67%16.67%13.33%—10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.70 -0.37
SD 1.24 1.42 1.97
CV 0.93 0.83 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%6.67%—33.33%
16.67%13.33%3.33%———23.33%
23.33%13.33%6.67%——3.33%26.67%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
43.33%3.33%——3.33%—10.00%
5+———————
Total16.67%43.33%23.33%3.33%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.60 -0.23
SD 1.30 1.40 1.96
CV 0.95 0.88 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%6.67%10.00%10.00%——46.67%
13.33%13.33%3.33%——3.33%23.33%
26.67%6.67%3.33%—3.33%—20.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total33.33%33.33%16.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.27 -0.23
SD 1.30 1.31 1.92
CV 1.26 1.04 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%3.33%———20.00%
13.33%16.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%6.67%46.67%
2——6.67%———6.67%
310.00%6.67%————16.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+——6.67%———6.67%
Total26.67%30.00%26.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.60 1.53 +0.07
SD 1.52 1.50 2.16
CV 0.95 0.98 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%—26.67%
16.67%13.33%10.00%—3.33%—33.33%
210.00%3.33%3.33%———16.67%
3—————3.33%3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+—3.33%10.00%——3.33%16.67%
Total26.67%26.67%26.67%3.33%10.00%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 1.67 +0.13
SD 1.90 1.60 2.32
CV 1.06 0.96 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%6.67%———26.67%
110.00%16.67%13.33%———40.00%
26.67%———3.33%—10.00%
33.33%3.33%—3.33%3.33%3.33%16.67%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total36.67%26.67%23.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.30 +0.13
SD 1.43 1.47 1.61
CV 1.00 1.13 —
Max 6 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%————16.67%
110.00%20.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%—46.67%
26.67%3.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%30.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4———3.33%——3.33%
5+———————
Total33.33%26.67%13.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.47 -0.17
SD 0.92 1.46 1.42
CV 0.70 0.99 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fiorentina 34 29.11 +4.89
2 Bologna 39 34.93 +4.07
3 AC Milan 34 30.96 +3.04
4 Atalanta 31 28.40 +2.60
5 Napoli 30 27.71 +2.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bari 17 25.23 -8.23
2 Lazio Roma 27 30.09 -3.09
3 Livorno 28 30.36 -2.36
4 Novara 27 29.06 -2.06
5 Genova 1893 29 30.42 -1.42

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Milan 5 Mar 30 – Apr 27 1 in 207
2 Fiorentina 3 Jan 12 – Jan 26 1 in 193
3 Napoli 3 Jan 19 – Feb 2 1 in 32
4 Venezia 2 Feb 16 – Feb 23 1 in 27
5 Torino 3 Nov 24 – Dec 15 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Torino 4 Feb 23 – Mar 16 1 in 523
2 Genova 1893 4 Oct 20 – Nov 10 1 in 203
3 Bari 5 Dec 8 – Jan 5 1 in 125
4 Lazio Roma 4 Jan 12 – Feb 2 1 in 110
5 Novara 3 Nov 17 – Dec 8 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lazio Roma 8 Feb 9 – Mar 30 1 in 56
2 Atalanta 7 Feb 23 – Apr 6 1 in 30
3 Fiorentina 7 Feb 16 – Mar 30 1 in 24
4 Bologna 9 Dec 22 – Feb 16 1 in 20
5 Torino 7 Oct 27 – Dec 15 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bari 16 Nov 3 – Feb 23 1 in 249
2 Torino 8 Feb 23 – Apr 13 1 in 70
3 Inter Milan 6 Mar 23 – Apr 27 1 in 40
4 Lazio Roma 6 Oct 6 – Nov 10 1 in 22
5 Genova 1893 6 Oct 6 – Nov 10 1 in 20

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Bologna32.26%18.60%12.58%8.80%6.52%5.02%3.93%3.05%2.51%2.04%1.64%1.28%0.73%0.60%0.28%0.16%
Inter Milan22.70%17.58%12.84%10.55%8.22%6.17%4.83%4.15%3.48%2.65%2.00%1.67%1.54%0.94%0.48%0.20%
AC Milan6.66%8.80%8.63%8.74%7.66%8.31%8.13%7.00%6.71%6.33%5.65%4.90%4.01%3.69%2.84%1.94%
Fiorentina2.28%3.97%5.10%5.65%6.34%6.78%6.62%6.96%7.73%6.99%7.73%7.20%7.55%7.27%6.69%5.14%
Juventus8.28%10.33%9.74%8.94%8.68%8.14%7.61%7.09%5.60%5.32%5.09%4.21%3.85%3.36%2.39%1.37%
Atalanta1.58%2.78%3.57%4.15%5.44%5.81%6.18%6.56%7.00%7.78%7.65%8.75%8.48%8.70%8.49%7.08%
Torino5.79%7.61%8.22%8.54%8.37%8.40%7.58%7.44%6.59%5.99%5.93%5.81%4.63%4.06%3.07%1.97%
Napoli0.86%1.41%2.43%2.95%3.33%4.26%4.97%5.67%6.61%7.53%8.21%8.38%9.62%10.46%11.81%11.50%
Triestina2.33%3.89%4.99%5.81%6.52%6.77%7.26%7.28%7.51%7.66%7.16%7.84%7.23%6.93%6.10%4.72%
Roma3.10%4.79%5.66%6.38%7.28%6.99%7.32%7.09%7.42%7.32%7.52%6.79%7.09%6.02%5.31%3.92%
Genova 18934.29%5.42%7.34%7.75%7.78%7.81%7.27%7.70%7.25%6.85%6.05%6.22%5.89%5.05%4.40%2.93%
Venezia0.76%1.53%1.95%2.78%3.41%3.91%4.70%5.45%6.58%7.02%7.93%8.71%10.00%10.63%12.01%12.63%
Livorno3.97%5.06%6.35%6.50%6.83%7.21%7.06%7.71%7.14%7.58%7.01%6.86%6.07%5.91%5.15%3.59%
Lazio Roma3.22%4.70%5.97%6.48%6.83%7.26%7.63%7.59%7.58%7.15%7.11%7.11%6.73%5.96%5.04%3.64%
Novara1.81%3.16%3.96%5.01%5.53%5.49%6.64%6.68%7.36%7.61%7.92%7.96%8.33%8.51%7.91%6.12%
Bari0.11%0.37%0.67%0.97%1.26%1.67%2.27%2.58%2.93%4.18%5.40%6.31%8.25%11.91%18.03%33.09%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+37.50%
Strong Edge
53.33%30.83%15.83%
Elo Value
Home Edge
154 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0136.97400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.94 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.89+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.6
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
32%
Bologna, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.13/gm
Photo Finish
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.09 * Some Luck: 3.09 to 4.63 * Lucky: 4.63 to 6.18 * Wild Swing: 6.18 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.91 * Close: 2.91 to 4.36 * Off: 4.36 to 5.82 * Way Off: 5.82 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.24 * A Surprise: 1.24 to 1.99 * Several Surprises: 1.99 to 2.73 * Many Surprises: 2.73 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.12 points
Some Luck
03.8610
Average Finish Error
Expected
3.25
Close
03.648
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
91.69%
Fiorentina
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
1.90%
Bari
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
As Expected
01.22

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.08
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
0.87
Coin-Flip Parity
01.003
Interquartile Edge
55%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
83%
Strong Edge
50%79%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Very Frequent
0%53%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Very Frequent
0%22%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.62
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.66
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.18
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
16%
Chalky
0%13%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
16%
As Expected
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.08 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.08 to 0.12 * Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.16 * Well Above Noise: 0.16 and up.
Probability calibration
0.81
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.62
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.061
Well Within Noise
00.0790.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Bologna 99.56% 0.44%
Inter Milan 99.32% 0.68%
Juventus 96.24% 3.76%
AC Milan 95.22% 4.78%
Torino 94.96% 5.04%
Genova 1893 92.67% 7.33%
Lazio Roma 91.32% 8.68%
Livorno 91.26% 8.74%
Roma 90.77% 9.23%
Triestina 89.18% 10.82%
Fiorentina 88.17% 11.83%
Novara 85.97% 14.03%
Atalanta 84.43% 15.57%
Napoli 76.69% 23.31%
Venezia 75.36% 24.64%
Bari 48.88% 51.12%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1940-10-06 Napoli W 4-0 1643 1599 60.4% 29.5% 10.1% +9.8 2
1940-10-06 @ AC Milan L 0-4 1599 1643 10.1% 29.5% 60.4% -9.8 0
1940-10-06 Livorno W 2-1 1575 1654 49.3% 32.4% 18.4% +4.4 2
1940-10-06 @ Atalanta L 1-2 1654 1575 18.4% 32.4% 49.3% -4.4 0
1940-10-06 Novara L 1-2 1597 1615 55.2% 31.3% 13.6% -10.0 0
1940-10-06 @ Bari W 2-1 1615 1597 13.6% 31.3% 55.2% +10.0 2
1940-10-06 Roma W 2-1 1697 1628 62.4% 28.6% 8.9% +2.3 2
1940-10-06 @ Bologna L 1-2 1628 1697 8.9% 28.6% 62.4% -2.3 0
1940-10-06 Genova 1893 W 4-3 1565 1655 48.1% 32.5% 19.4% +4.2 2
1940-10-06 @ Fiorentina L 3-4 1655 1565 19.4% 32.5% 48.1% -4.2 0
1940-10-06 Juventus D 2-2 1664 1651 57.9% 30.5% 11.6% -1.5 1
1940-10-06 @ Lazio Roma D 2-2 1651 1664 11.6% 30.5% 57.9% +1.5 1
1940-10-06 Triestina W 2-1 1654 1618 59.8% 29.8% 10.5% +2.7 2
1940-10-06 @ Torino L 1-2 1618 1654 10.5% 29.8% 59.8% -2.7 0
1940-10-06 Inter Milan W 1-0 1575 1708 43.2% 32.7% 24.1% +5.6 2
1940-10-06 @ Venezia L 0-1 1708 1575 24.1% 32.7% 43.2% -5.6 0
1940-10-13 Lazio Roma D 2-2 1651 1662 55.8% 31.1% 13.1% -1.4 1
1940-10-13 @ Genova 1893 D 2-2 1662 1651 13.1% 31.1% 55.8% +1.4 2
1940-10-13 Bari W 5-0 1703 1587 65.8% 26.9% 7.3% +8.5 2
1940-10-13 @ Inter Milan L 0-5 1587 1703 7.3% 26.9% 65.8% -8.5 0
1940-10-13 Bologna W 3-1 1652 1699 52.5% 31.9% 15.6% +6.6 3
1940-10-13 @ Juventus L 1-3 1699 1652 15.6% 31.9% 52.5% -6.6 2
1940-10-13 Venezia W 3-1 1650 1581 62.4% 28.6% 8.9% +4.0 2
1940-10-13 @ Livorno L 1-3 1581 1650 8.9% 28.6% 62.4% -4.0 2
1940-10-13 Fiorentina L 0-2 1590 1569 58.5% 30.2% 11.2% -21.0 0
1940-10-13 @ Napoli W 2-0 1569 1590 11.2% 30.2% 58.5% +21.0 4
1940-10-13 AC Milan W 2-0 1625 1653 54.3% 31.5% 14.2% +7.1 4
1940-10-13 @ Novara L 0-2 1653 1625 14.2% 31.5% 54.3% -7.1 2
1940-10-13 Torino W 4-1 1625 1656 54.0% 31.6% 14.4% +8.8 2
1940-10-13 @ Roma L 1-4 1656 1625 14.4% 31.6% 54.0% -8.8 2
1940-10-13 Atalanta D 3-3 1615 1579 59.8% 29.8% 10.4% -1.4 1
1940-10-13 @ Triestina D 3-3 1579 1615 10.4% 29.8% 59.8% +1.4 3
1940-10-20 Inter Milan L 0-1 1646 1711 50.7% 32.2% 17.1% -9.8 2
1940-10-20 @ AC Milan W 1-0 1711 1646 17.1% 32.2% 50.7% +9.8 4
1940-10-20 Roma D 0-0 1581 1634 51.9% 32.0% 16.1% -1.7 4
1940-10-20 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1634 1581 16.1% 32.0% 51.9% +1.7 3
1940-10-20 Livorno D 1-1 1578 1654 49.7% 32.3% 18.0% -1.3 1
1940-10-20 @ Bari D 1-1 1654 1578 18.0% 32.3% 49.7% +1.3 3
1940-10-20 Torino W 3-0 1693 1647 60.5% 29.5% 10.0% +7.4 4
1940-10-20 @ Bologna L 0-3 1647 1693 10.0% 29.5% 60.5% -7.4 2
1940-10-20 Novara D 2-2 1590 1632 52.9% 31.8% 15.3% -1.2 5
1940-10-20 @ Fiorentina D 2-2 1632 1590 15.3% 31.8% 52.9% +1.2 5
1940-10-20 Genova 1893 W 2-0 1659 1650 57.6% 30.6% 11.8% +6.0 5
1940-10-20 @ Juventus L 0-2 1650 1659 11.8% 30.6% 57.6% -6.0 1
1940-10-20 Napoli D 1-1 1663 1569 64.3% 27.7% 8.0% -2.6 3
1940-10-20 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1569 1663 8.0% 27.7% 64.3% +2.6 1
1940-10-20 Triestina W 4-3 1577 1614 53.4% 31.7% 14.9% +3.4 4
1940-10-20 @ Venezia L 3-4 1614 1577 14.9% 31.7% 53.4% -3.4 1
1940-10-27 Bologna L 0-1 1644 1700 51.6% 32.0% 16.4% -10.0 1
1940-10-27 @ Genova 1893 W 1-0 1700 1644 16.4% 32.0% 51.6% +10.0 6
1940-10-27 Fiorentina L 0-2 1721 1589 67.0% 26.2% 6.8% -23.4 4
1940-10-27 @ Inter Milan W 2-0 1589 1721 6.8% 26.2% 67.0% +23.4 7
1940-10-27 AC Milan W 1-0 1655 1636 58.4% 30.3% 11.3% +3.1 5
1940-10-27 @ Livorno L 0-1 1636 1655 11.3% 30.3% 58.4% -3.1 2
1940-10-27 Juventus D 2-2 1571 1665 47.7% 32.5% 19.8% -0.8 2
1940-10-27 @ Napoli D 2-2 1665 1571 19.8% 32.5% 47.7% +0.8 6
1940-10-27 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1634 1661 54.4% 31.5% 14.2% -1.9 6
1940-10-27 @ Novara D 0-0 1661 1634 14.2% 31.5% 54.4% +1.9 4
1940-10-27 Venezia W 5-2 1636 1580 61.4% 29.1% 9.5% +5.2 5
1940-10-27 @ Roma L 2-5 1580 1636 9.5% 29.1% 61.4% -5.2 4
1940-10-27 Atalanta D 1-1 1640 1579 61.8% 28.9% 9.3% -2.4 3
1940-10-27 @ Torino D 1-1 1579 1640 9.3% 28.9% 61.8% +2.4 5
1940-10-27 Bari L 2-4 1611 1577 59.6% 29.8% 10.6% -16.5 1
1940-10-27 @ Triestina W 4-2 1577 1611 10.6% 29.8% 59.6% +16.6 3
1940-11-03 Triestina D 1-1 1633 1594 60.0% 29.7% 10.3% -2.2 3
1940-11-03 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1594 1633 10.3% 29.7% 60.0% +2.2 2
1940-11-03 Roma D 2-2 1594 1641 52.5% 31.9% 15.6% -1.2 4
1940-11-03 @ Bari D 2-2 1641 1594 15.6% 31.9% 52.5% +1.2 6
1940-11-03 Atalanta W 1-0 1710 1581 66.8% 26.3% 6.9% +1.8 8
1940-11-03 @ Bologna L 0-1 1581 1710 6.9% 26.3% 66.8% -1.8 5
1940-11-03 Livorno W 5-2 1612 1658 52.6% 31.9% 15.5% +8.1 9
1940-11-03 @ Fiorentina L 2-5 1658 1612 15.5% 31.9% 52.6% -8.1 5
1940-11-03 Napoli L 1-2 1634 1570 62.0% 28.9% 9.2% -11.0 1
1940-11-03 @ Genova 1893 W 2-1 1570 1634 9.2% 28.9% 62.0% +11.0 4
1940-11-03 Novara W 3-0 1666 1632 59.6% 29.8% 10.5% +7.8 8
1940-11-03 @ Juventus L 0-3 1632 1666 10.5% 29.8% 59.6% -7.8 6
1940-11-03 Inter Milan L 2-4 1663 1698 53.7% 31.6% 14.7% -15.1 4
1940-11-03 @ Lazio Roma W 4-2 1698 1663 14.7% 31.6% 53.7% +15.1 6
1940-11-03 Torino D 2-2 1575 1638 50.9% 32.1% 16.9% -1.1 5
1940-11-03 @ Venezia D 2-2 1638 1575 16.9% 32.1% 50.9% +1.1 4
1940-11-10 Venezia W 3-1 1580 1574 57.3% 30.7% 12.0% +5.3 7
1940-11-10 @ Atalanta L 1-3 1574 1580 12.0% 30.7% 57.3% -5.3 5
1940-11-10 Juventus W 2-1 1713 1674 60.0% 29.7% 10.3% +2.6 8
1940-11-10 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1674 1713 10.3% 29.7% 60.0% -2.6 8
1940-11-10 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1650 1648 57.0% 30.8% 12.2% +3.1 7
1940-11-10 @ Livorno L 1-2 1648 1650 12.2% 30.8% 57.0% -3.1 4
1940-11-10 Bologna D 4-4 1581 1712 43.5% 32.7% 23.8% -0.4 5
1940-11-10 @ Napoli D 4-4 1712 1581 23.8% 32.7% 43.5% +0.4 9
1940-11-10 Genova 1893 W 2-1 1624 1623 56.9% 30.8% 12.3% +3.1 8
1940-11-10 @ Novara L 1-2 1623 1624 12.3% 30.8% 56.9% -3.1 1
1940-11-10 AC Milan L 1-2 1642 1631 57.7% 30.5% 11.7% -10.4 6
1940-11-10 @ Roma W 2-1 1631 1642 11.7% 30.5% 57.7% +10.4 5
1940-11-10 Bari W 4-0 1639 1592 60.6% 29.4% 10.0% +9.7 6
1940-11-10 @ Torino L 0-4 1592 1639 10.0% 29.4% 60.6% -9.7 4
1940-11-10 Fiorentina W 1-0 1596 1620 54.6% 31.4% 13.9% +3.7 4
1940-11-10 @ Triestina L 0-1 1620 1596 13.9% 31.4% 54.6% -3.7 9
1940-11-17 Torino D 1-1 1641 1648 56.2% 31.0% 12.8% -1.9 6
1940-11-17 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1648 1641 12.8% 31.0% 56.2% +1.9 7
1940-11-17 Atalanta D 2-2 1583 1585 56.6% 30.9% 12.5% -1.4 5
1940-11-17 @ Bari D 2-2 1585 1583 12.5% 30.9% 56.6% +1.4 8
1940-11-17 Venezia D 1-1 1712 1568 67.8% 25.7% 6.5% -2.8 10
1940-11-17 @ Bologna D 1-1 1568 1712 6.5% 25.7% 67.8% +2.8 6
1940-11-17 Roma D 1-1 1617 1632 55.5% 31.2% 13.3% -1.8 10
1940-11-17 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1632 1617 13.3% 31.2% 55.5% +1.8 7
1940-11-17 Inter Milan W 2-0 1619 1715 47.5% 32.5% 20.0% +9.3 3
1940-11-17 @ Genova 1893 L 0-2 1715 1619 20.0% 32.5% 47.5% -9.3 8
1940-11-17 Livorno W 2-1 1671 1653 58.3% 30.3% 11.4% +2.9 10
1940-11-17 @ Juventus L 1-2 1653 1671 11.4% 30.3% 58.3% -2.9 7
1940-11-17 Triestina W 2-1 1645 1600 60.5% 29.5% 10.0% +2.6 6
1940-11-17 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1600 1645 10.0% 29.5% 60.5% -2.6 4
1940-11-17 Novara W 2-0 1581 1627 52.6% 31.9% 15.6% +7.7 7
1940-11-17 @ Napoli L 0-2 1627 1581 15.6% 31.9% 52.6% -7.7 8
1940-11-24 AC Milan W 2-1 1586 1639 51.9% 32.0% 16.1% +3.9 10
1940-11-24 @ Atalanta L 1-2 1639 1586 16.1% 32.0% 51.9% -3.9 6
1940-11-24 Napoli W 1-0 1706 1588 66.0% 26.8% 7.2% +1.9 10
1940-11-24 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1588 1706 7.2% 26.8% 66.0% -1.9 7
1940-11-24 Genova 1893 D 2-2 1650 1629 58.6% 30.2% 11.2% -1.6 8
1940-11-24 @ Livorno D 2-2 1629 1650 11.2% 30.2% 58.6% +1.6 4
1940-11-24 Bologna L 0-1 1619 1709 48.1% 32.5% 19.4% -9.4 8
1940-11-24 @ Novara W 1-0 1709 1619 19.4% 32.5% 48.1% +9.4 12
1940-11-24 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1634 1647 55.6% 31.2% 13.2% -1.8 8
1940-11-24 @ Roma D 1-1 1647 1634 13.2% 31.2% 55.6% +1.8 7
1940-11-24 Fiorentina W 6-2 1650 1615 59.7% 29.8% 10.5% +7.2 9
1940-11-24 @ Torino L 2-6 1615 1650 10.5% 29.8% 59.7% -7.2 10
1940-11-24 Juventus D 1-1 1597 1674 49.6% 32.3% 18.1% -1.3 5
1940-11-24 @ Triestina D 1-1 1674 1597 18.1% 32.3% 49.6% +1.3 11
1940-11-24 Bari D 1-1 1571 1581 55.9% 31.1% 13.0% -1.9 7
1940-11-24 @ Venezia D 1-1 1581 1571 13.0% 31.1% 55.9% +1.9 6
1940-12-08 Venezia D 0-0 1636 1569 62.2% 28.8% 9.1% -2.7 7
1940-12-08 @ AC Milan D 0-0 1569 1636 9.1% 28.8% 62.2% +2.7 8
1940-12-08 Bari W 5-1 1719 1583 67.3% 26.1% 6.7% +5.2 14
1940-12-08 @ Bologna L 1-5 1583 1719 6.7% 26.1% 67.3% -5.2 6
1940-12-08 Atalanta D 1-1 1608 1590 58.3% 30.3% 11.4% -2.1 11
1940-12-08 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1590 1608 11.4% 30.3% 58.3% +2.1 11
1940-12-08 Triestina W 2-1 1630 1596 59.7% 29.8% 10.5% +2.7 6
1940-12-08 @ Genova 1893 L 1-2 1596 1630 10.5% 29.8% 59.7% -2.7 5
1940-12-08 Roma W 3-1 1675 1632 60.4% 29.5% 10.1% +4.5 13
1940-12-08 @ Juventus L 1-3 1632 1675 10.1% 29.5% 60.4% -4.5 8
1940-12-08 Torino L 0-2 1649 1657 56.0% 31.0% 12.9% -20.2 7
1940-12-08 @ Lazio Roma W 2-0 1657 1649 12.9% 31.0% 56.0% +20.2 11
1940-12-08 Livorno L 1-2 1587 1649 51.0% 32.1% 16.9% -9.3 7
1940-12-08 @ Napoli W 2-1 1649 1587 16.9% 32.1% 51.0% +9.3 10
1940-12-08 Inter Milan L 2-4 1610 1708 47.3% 32.5% 20.2% -13.5 8
1940-12-08 @ Novara W 4-2 1708 1610 20.2% 32.5% 47.3% +13.5 12
1940-12-15 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1592 1629 53.5% 31.7% 14.8% +7.3 13
1940-12-15 @ Atalanta L 0-2 1629 1592 14.8% 31.7% 53.5% -7.3 7
1940-12-15 AC Milan L 1-3 1578 1633 51.7% 32.0% 16.2% -16.3 6
1940-12-15 @ Bari W 3-1 1633 1578 16.2% 32.0% 51.7% +16.3 9
1940-12-15 Bologna W 2-1 1721 1724 56.6% 30.9% 12.5% +3.2 14
1940-12-15 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1724 1721 12.5% 30.9% 56.6% -3.2 14
1940-12-15 Novara D 1-1 1658 1597 61.8% 28.9% 9.3% -2.4 11
1940-12-15 @ Livorno D 1-1 1597 1658 9.3% 28.9% 61.8% +2.4 9
1940-12-15 Genova 1893 W 3-0 1627 1633 56.3% 31.0% 12.7% +9.3 10
1940-12-15 @ Roma L 0-3 1633 1627 12.7% 31.0% 56.3% -9.3 6
1940-12-15 Juventus W 2-0 1678 1680 56.6% 30.9% 12.5% +6.3 13
1940-12-15 @ Torino L 0-2 1680 1678 12.5% 30.9% 56.6% -6.3 13
1940-12-15 Napoli W 2-0 1593 1577 58.2% 30.4% 11.5% +5.8 7
1940-12-15 @ Triestina L 0-2 1577 1593 11.5% 30.4% 58.2% -5.8 7
1940-12-15 Fiorentina W 2-1 1572 1606 53.8% 31.6% 14.6% +3.6 10
1940-12-15 @ Venezia L 1-2 1606 1572 14.6% 31.6% 53.8% -3.6 11
1940-12-22 AC Milan W 4-2 1721 1649 62.6% 28.6% 8.9% +3.5 16
1940-12-22 @ Bologna L 2-4 1649 1721 8.9% 28.6% 62.6% -3.5 9
1940-12-22 Bari W 4-0 1602 1562 60.1% 29.6% 10.2% +9.9 13
1940-12-22 @ Fiorentina L 0-4 1562 1602 10.2% 29.6% 60.1% -9.9 6
1940-12-22 Torino W 4-0 1624 1684 51.2% 32.1% 16.7% +15.4 8
1940-12-22 @ Genova 1893 L 0-4 1684 1624 16.7% 32.1% 51.2% -15.4 13
1940-12-22 Livorno W 3-0 1725 1656 62.4% 28.7% 9.0% +6.6 16
1940-12-22 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1656 1725 9.0% 28.7% 62.4% -6.7 11
1940-12-22 Atalanta W 3-1 1673 1600 62.7% 28.5% 8.8% +3.9 15
1940-12-22 @ Juventus L 1-3 1600 1673 8.8% 28.5% 62.7% -3.9 13
1940-12-22 Venezia W 4-1 1621 1576 60.6% 29.5% 10.0% +6.2 9
1940-12-22 @ Lazio Roma L 1-4 1576 1621 10.0% 29.5% 60.6% -6.2 10
1940-12-22 Roma W 2-1 1571 1637 50.7% 32.2% 17.1% +4.1 9
1940-12-22 @ Napoli L 1-2 1637 1571 17.1% 32.2% 50.7% -4.1 10
1940-12-22 Triestina D 0-0 1599 1599 56.8% 30.8% 12.4% -2.2 10
1940-12-22 @ Novara D 0-0 1599 1599 12.4% 30.8% 56.8% +2.2 8
1940-12-29 Fiorentina W 3-1 1646 1612 59.6% 29.8% 10.5% +4.7 11
1940-12-29 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1612 1646 10.5% 29.8% 59.6% -4.7 13
1940-12-29 Genova 1893 D 1-1 1596 1639 52.9% 31.8% 15.3% -1.6 14
1940-12-29 @ Atalanta D 1-1 1639 1596 15.3% 31.8% 52.9% +1.6 9
1940-12-29 Lazio Roma L 1-2 1552 1628 49.6% 32.3% 18.1% -9.1 6
1940-12-29 @ Bari W 2-1 1628 1552 18.1% 32.3% 49.6% +9.1 11
1940-12-29 Bologna D 2-2 1649 1724 49.7% 32.3% 18.0% -1.0 12
1940-12-29 @ Livorno D 2-2 1724 1649 18.0% 32.3% 49.7% +1.0 17
1940-12-29 Novara L 1-3 1632 1597 59.8% 29.8% 10.4% -18.5 10
1940-12-29 @ Roma W 3-1 1597 1632 10.4% 29.8% 59.8% +18.5 12
1940-12-29 Napoli W 6-2 1669 1576 64.2% 27.8% 8.1% +5.5 15
1940-12-29 @ Torino L 2-6 1576 1669 8.1% 27.8% 64.2% -5.5 9
1940-12-29 Inter Milan W 2-0 1601 1731 43.6% 32.7% 23.7% +10.5 10
1940-12-29 @ Triestina L 0-2 1731 1601 23.7% 32.7% 43.6% -10.5 16
1940-12-29 Juventus D 1-1 1569 1677 46.2% 32.6% 21.2% -1.0 11
1940-12-29 @ Venezia D 1-1 1677 1569 21.2% 32.6% 46.2% +1.0 16
1941-01-05 Fiorentina W 5-3 1725 1607 66.0% 26.8% 7.2% +2.6 19
1941-01-05 @ Bologna L 3-5 1607 1725 7.2% 26.8% 66.0% -2.6 13
1941-01-05 Venezia W 1-0 1641 1568 62.6% 28.5% 8.8% +2.4 11
1941-01-05 @ Genova 1893 L 0-1 1568 1641 8.8% 28.5% 62.6% -2.4 11
1941-01-05 Roma W 5-1 1721 1614 65.2% 27.2% 7.6% +6.0 18
1941-01-05 @ Inter Milan L 1-5 1614 1721 7.6% 27.2% 65.2% -6.0 10
1941-01-05 Bari W 5-1 1678 1543 67.3% 26.1% 6.7% +5.2 18
1941-01-05 @ Juventus L 1-5 1543 1678 6.7% 26.1% 67.3% -5.2 6
1941-01-05 AC Milan D 0-0 1637 1650 55.6% 31.2% 13.2% -2.1 12
1941-01-05 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1650 1637 13.2% 31.2% 55.6% +2.1 12
1941-01-05 Triestina W 2-1 1648 1612 59.8% 29.8% 10.4% +2.7 14
1941-01-05 @ Livorno L 1-2 1612 1648 10.4% 29.8% 59.8% -2.7 10
1941-01-05 Atalanta W 4-1 1570 1594 54.6% 31.4% 13.9% +8.5 11
1941-01-05 @ Napoli L 1-4 1594 1570 13.9% 31.4% 54.6% -8.5 14
1941-01-05 Torino D 1-1 1615 1674 51.3% 32.1% 16.6% -1.5 13
1941-01-05 @ Novara D 1-1 1674 1615 16.6% 32.1% 51.3% +1.5 16
1941-01-12 Juventus D 2-2 1652 1683 54.0% 31.6% 14.4% -1.3 13
1941-01-12 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1683 1652 14.4% 31.6% 54.0% +1.3 19
1941-01-12 Novara W 2-0 1586 1614 54.3% 31.5% 14.2% +7.1 16
1941-01-12 @ Atalanta L 0-2 1614 1586 14.2% 31.5% 54.3% -7.1 13
1941-01-12 Genova 1893 D 1-1 1538 1643 46.4% 32.6% 21.0% -1.0 7
1941-01-12 @ Bari D 1-1 1643 1538 21.0% 32.6% 46.4% +1.0 12
1941-01-12 Triestina W 2-0 1728 1609 66.1% 26.7% 7.2% +3.6 21
1941-01-12 @ Bologna L 0-2 1609 1728 7.2% 26.7% 66.1% -3.6 10
1941-01-12 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1605 1635 54.1% 31.5% 14.4% +3.6 15
1941-01-12 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1635 1605 14.4% 31.5% 54.1% -3.6 12
1941-01-12 Livorno W 3-1 1608 1651 52.9% 31.8% 15.3% +6.5 12
1941-01-12 @ Roma L 1-3 1651 1608 15.3% 31.8% 52.9% -6.5 14
1941-01-12 Inter Milan D 5-5 1676 1727 52.1% 31.9% 16.0% -0.8 17
1941-01-12 @ Torino D 5-5 1727 1676 16.0% 31.9% 52.1% +0.8 19
1941-01-12 Napoli D 1-1 1566 1579 55.7% 31.1% 13.2% -1.8 12
1941-01-12 @ Venezia D 1-1 1579 1566 13.2% 31.1% 55.7% +1.8 12
1941-01-19 AC Milan D 1-1 1644 1651 56.2% 31.0% 12.8% -1.9 13
1941-01-19 @ Genova 1893 D 1-1 1651 1644 12.8% 31.0% 56.2% +1.9 14
1941-01-19 Atalanta W 2-1 1728 1593 67.2% 26.1% 6.7% +1.7 21
1941-01-19 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1593 1728 6.7% 26.1% 67.2% -1.7 16
1941-01-19 Fiorentina L 2-3 1685 1608 62.9% 28.4% 8.7% -10.6 19
1941-01-19 @ Juventus W 3-2 1608 1685 8.7% 28.4% 62.9% +10.6 17
1941-01-19 Bologna L 2-4 1631 1732 47.0% 32.6% 20.4% -13.4 12
1941-01-19 @ Lazio Roma W 4-2 1732 1631 20.4% 32.6% 47.0% +13.4 23
1941-01-19 Torino L 0-1 1644 1675 54.0% 31.6% 14.4% -10.4 14
1941-01-19 @ Livorno W 1-0 1675 1644 14.4% 31.6% 54.0% +10.4 19
1941-01-19 Bari W 3-1 1580 1536 60.4% 29.5% 10.1% +4.5 14
1941-01-19 @ Napoli L 1-3 1536 1580 10.1% 29.5% 60.4% -4.5 7
1941-01-19 Venezia D 0-0 1607 1564 60.3% 29.6% 10.1% -2.5 14
1941-01-19 @ Novara D 0-0 1564 1607 10.1% 29.6% 60.3% +2.5 13
1941-01-19 Roma W 4-1 1606 1614 56.0% 31.1% 12.9% +8.0 12
1941-01-19 @ Triestina L 1-4 1614 1606 12.9% 31.1% 56.0% -8.0 12
1941-01-26 Fiorentina L 0-1 1642 1619 58.8% 30.2% 11.1% -11.2 13
1941-01-26 @ Genova 1893 W 1-0 1619 1642 11.1% 30.2% 58.8% +11.2 19
1941-01-26 Venezia W 4-2 1729 1567 69.1% 24.9% 6.0% +2.2 23
1941-01-26 @ Inter Milan L 2-4 1567 1729 6.0% 24.9% 69.1% -2.2 13
1941-01-26 Lazio Roma W 3-2 1674 1618 61.4% 29.1% 9.5% +2.3 21
1941-01-26 @ Juventus L 2-3 1618 1674 9.5% 29.1% 61.4% -2.3 12
1941-01-26 Atalanta W 3-1 1634 1591 60.3% 29.6% 10.1% +4.5 16
1941-01-26 @ Livorno L 1-3 1591 1634 10.1% 29.6% 60.3% -4.5 16
1941-01-26 AC Milan W 3-2 1585 1653 50.4% 32.2% 17.4% +4.0 16
1941-01-26 @ Napoli L 2-3 1653 1585 17.4% 32.2% 50.4% -4.0 14
1941-01-26 Bari W 4-0 1604 1532 62.6% 28.5% 8.8% +8.5 16
1941-01-26 @ Novara L 0-4 1532 1604 8.8% 28.5% 62.6% -8.5 7
1941-01-26 Bologna D 1-1 1606 1745 42.6% 32.7% 24.7% -0.7 13
1941-01-26 @ Roma D 1-1 1745 1606 24.7% 32.7% 42.6% +0.7 24
1941-01-26 Torino W 1-0 1614 1685 50.1% 32.3% 17.7% +4.5 14
1941-01-26 @ Triestina L 0-1 1685 1614 17.7% 32.3% 50.1% -4.5 19
1941-02-02 Novara W 2-0 1649 1613 59.8% 29.8% 10.4% +5.3 16
1941-02-02 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1613 1649 10.4% 29.8% 59.8% -5.3 16
1941-02-02 Triestina W 2-0 1587 1618 54.0% 31.6% 14.5% +7.2 18
1941-02-02 @ Atalanta L 0-2 1618 1587 14.5% 31.6% 54.0% -7.2 14
1941-02-02 Inter Milan D 0-0 1523 1731 33.6% 32.2% 34.3% +0.0 8
1941-02-02 @ Bari D 0-0 1731 1523 34.3% 32.2% 33.6% -0.0 24
1941-02-02 Juventus W 1-0 1746 1676 62.4% 28.6% 8.9% +2.4 26
1941-02-02 @ Bologna L 0-1 1676 1746 8.9% 28.6% 62.4% -2.4 21
1941-02-02 Napoli L 1-2 1630 1589 60.2% 29.6% 10.2% -10.8 19
1941-02-02 @ Fiorentina W 2-1 1589 1630 10.2% 29.6% 60.2% +10.8 18
1941-02-02 Genova 1893 L 0-1 1615 1631 55.4% 31.2% 13.4% -10.6 12
1941-02-02 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1631 1615 13.4% 31.2% 55.4% +10.6 15
1941-02-02 Roma D 0-0 1681 1606 62.8% 28.4% 8.7% -2.7 20
1941-02-02 @ Torino D 0-0 1606 1681 8.7% 28.4% 62.8% +2.7 14
1941-02-02 Livorno D 2-2 1565 1638 49.8% 32.3% 17.9% -1.0 14
1941-02-02 @ Venezia D 2-2 1638 1565 17.9% 32.3% 49.8% +1.0 17
1941-02-09 Juventus W 2-0 1642 1674 53.9% 31.6% 14.5% +7.2 17
1941-02-09 @ Genova 1893 L 0-2 1674 1642 14.5% 31.6% 53.9% -7.2 21
1941-02-09 AC Milan D 2-2 1731 1654 63.0% 28.4% 8.6% -1.8 25
1941-02-09 @ Inter Milan D 2-2 1654 1731 8.6% 28.4% 63.0% +1.8 17
1941-02-09 Bari W 1-0 1639 1524 65.8% 26.9% 7.3% +1.9 19
1941-02-09 @ Livorno L 0-1 1524 1639 7.3% 26.9% 65.8% -1.9 8
1941-02-09 Lazio Roma L 0-2 1600 1605 56.4% 31.0% 12.7% -20.4 18
1941-02-09 @ Napoli W 2-0 1605 1600 12.7% 31.0% 56.4% +20.3 14
1941-02-09 Fiorentina W 2-0 1607 1619 55.8% 31.1% 13.1% +6.6 18
1941-02-09 @ Novara L 0-2 1619 1607 13.1% 31.1% 55.8% -6.6 19
1941-02-09 Atalanta W 1-0 1608 1594 58.0% 30.4% 11.5% +3.1 16
1941-02-09 @ Roma L 0-1 1594 1608 11.5% 30.4% 58.0% -3.1 18
1941-02-09 Bologna D 0-0 1678 1748 50.2% 32.2% 17.5% -1.5 21
1941-02-09 @ Torino D 0-0 1748 1678 17.5% 32.2% 50.2% +1.5 27
1941-02-09 Venezia W 3-1 1611 1564 60.7% 29.4% 9.9% +4.4 16
1941-02-09 @ Triestina L 1-3 1564 1611 9.9% 29.4% 60.7% -4.4 14
1941-02-16 Livorno W 5-0 1656 1641 58.1% 30.4% 11.5% +13.7 19
1941-02-16 @ AC Milan L 0-5 1641 1656 11.5% 30.4% 58.1% -13.7 19
1941-02-16 Torino L 0-1 1591 1676 48.6% 32.4% 19.0% -9.5 18
1941-02-16 @ Atalanta W 1-0 1676 1591 19.0% 32.4% 48.6% +9.4 23
1941-02-16 Triestina L 0-3 1522 1615 47.7% 32.5% 19.8% -25.5 8
1941-02-16 @ Bari W 3-0 1615 1522 19.8% 32.5% 47.7% +25.5 18
1941-02-16 Genova 1893 W 4-1 1750 1649 64.8% 27.5% 7.8% +4.8 29
1941-02-16 @ Bologna L 1-4 1649 1750 7.8% 27.5% 64.8% -4.8 17
1941-02-16 Inter Milan W 2-1 1613 1730 45.1% 32.7% 22.2% +5.0 21
1941-02-16 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1730 1613 22.2% 32.7% 45.1% -5.0 25
1941-02-16 Napoli D 0-0 1667 1579 63.8% 28.0% 8.2% -2.8 22
1941-02-16 @ Juventus D 0-0 1579 1667 8.2% 28.0% 63.8% +2.8 19
1941-02-16 Novara D 0-0 1625 1614 57.7% 30.5% 11.7% -2.3 15
1941-02-16 @ Lazio Roma D 0-0 1614 1625 11.7% 30.5% 57.7% +2.3 19
1941-02-16 Roma W 1-0 1559 1612 52.0% 32.0% 16.1% +4.2 16
1941-02-16 @ Venezia L 0-1 1612 1559 16.1% 32.0% 52.0% -4.2 16
1941-02-23 Bologna W 2-0 1581 1754 38.2% 32.6% 29.2% +12.1 20
1941-02-23 @ Atalanta L 0-2 1754 1581 29.2% 32.6% 38.2% -12.1 29
1941-02-23 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1724 1623 64.8% 27.4% 7.8% -2.6 26
1941-02-23 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1623 1724 7.8% 27.4% 64.8% +2.6 16
1941-02-23 Fiorentina D 1-1 1627 1618 57.6% 30.6% 11.8% -2.0 20
1941-02-23 @ Livorno D 1-1 1618 1627 11.8% 30.6% 57.6% +2.0 22
1941-02-23 Genova 1893 W 1-0 1582 1644 51.0% 32.1% 16.8% +4.3 21
1941-02-23 @ Napoli L 0-1 1644 1582 16.8% 32.1% 51.0% -4.3 17
1941-02-23 Juventus L 1-2 1616 1664 52.4% 31.9% 15.7% -9.5 19
1941-02-23 @ Novara W 2-1 1664 1616 15.7% 31.9% 52.4% +9.5 24
1941-02-23 Bari W 6-2 1607 1496 65.5% 27.0% 7.4% +5.0 18
1941-02-23 @ Roma L 2-6 1496 1607 7.4% 27.0% 65.5% -5.0 8
1941-02-23 Venezia L 0-2 1686 1563 66.3% 26.6% 7.1% -23.2 23
1941-02-23 @ Torino W 2-0 1563 1686 7.1% 26.6% 66.3% +23.2 18
1941-02-23 AC Milan D 0-0 1641 1670 54.2% 31.5% 14.3% -1.9 19
1941-02-23 @ Triestina D 0-0 1670 1641 14.3% 31.5% 54.2% +1.9 20
1941-03-02 Roma L 1-3 1672 1612 61.7% 29.0% 9.4% -19.0 20
1941-03-02 @ AC Milan W 3-1 1612 1672 9.4% 29.0% 61.7% +19.0 20
1941-03-02 Torino W 1-0 1491 1663 38.4% 32.6% 29.0% +6.4 10
1941-03-02 @ Bari L 0-1 1663 1491 29.0% 32.6% 38.4% -6.4 23
1941-03-02 Napoli W 3-0 1742 1586 68.7% 25.2% 6.1% +4.3 31
1941-03-02 @ Bologna L 0-3 1586 1742 6.1% 25.2% 68.7% -4.3 21
1941-03-02 Triestina W 6-3 1620 1639 55.1% 31.3% 13.6% +6.7 24
1941-03-02 @ Fiorentina L 3-6 1639 1620 13.6% 31.3% 55.1% -6.7 19
1941-03-02 Novara D 1-1 1640 1607 59.5% 29.9% 10.6% -2.2 18
1941-03-02 @ Genova 1893 D 1-1 1607 1640 10.6% 29.9% 59.5% +2.2 20
1941-03-02 Inter Milan W 2-0 1673 1722 52.4% 31.9% 15.7% +7.7 26
1941-03-02 @ Juventus L 0-2 1722 1673 15.7% 31.9% 52.4% -7.7 26
1941-03-02 Livorno W 1-0 1625 1625 56.8% 30.8% 12.4% +3.3 18
1941-03-02 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1625 1625 12.4% 30.8% 56.8% -3.3 20
1941-03-02 Atalanta D 1-1 1587 1593 56.2% 31.0% 12.8% -1.9 19
1941-03-02 @ Venezia D 1-1 1593 1587 12.8% 31.0% 56.2% +1.9 21
1941-03-09 Bari W 4-0 1595 1498 64.5% 27.6% 7.9% +7.5 23
1941-03-09 @ Atalanta L 0-4 1498 1595 7.9% 27.6% 64.5% -7.5 10
1941-03-09 Genova 1893 W 4-0 1714 1638 63.0% 28.4% 8.7% +8.4 28
1941-03-09 @ Inter Milan L 0-4 1638 1714 8.7% 28.4% 63.0% -8.4 18
1941-03-09 Juventus W 1-0 1622 1681 51.3% 32.1% 16.6% +4.3 22
1941-03-09 @ Livorno L 0-1 1681 1622 16.6% 32.1% 51.3% -4.3 26
1941-03-09 Napoli W 1-0 1609 1582 59.0% 30.1% 10.9% +3.0 22
1941-03-09 @ Novara L 0-1 1582 1609 10.9% 30.1% 59.0% -3.0 21
1941-03-09 Fiorentina D 1-1 1631 1626 57.2% 30.7% 12.1% -2.0 21
1941-03-09 @ Roma D 1-1 1626 1631 12.1% 30.7% 57.2% +2.0 25
1941-03-09 AC Milan L 0-4 1656 1653 57.1% 30.7% 12.2% -39.0 23
1941-03-09 @ Torino W 4-0 1653 1656 12.2% 30.7% 57.1% +39.1 22
1941-03-09 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1632 1629 57.1% 30.7% 12.2% -2.2 20
1941-03-09 @ Triestina D 0-0 1629 1632 12.2% 30.7% 57.1% +2.2 19
1941-03-09 Bologna W 1-0 1585 1747 39.7% 32.6% 27.7% +6.2 21
1941-03-09 @ Venezia L 0-1 1747 1585 27.7% 32.6% 39.7% -6.2 31
1941-03-16 Atalanta L 0-3 1692 1603 63.9% 27.9% 8.2% -32.9 22
1941-03-16 @ AC Milan W 3-0 1603 1692 8.2% 27.9% 63.9% +32.8 25
1941-03-16 Venezia W 3-2 1490 1591 46.9% 32.6% 20.5% +4.5 12
1941-03-16 @ Bari L 2-3 1591 1490 20.5% 32.6% 46.9% -4.5 21
1941-03-16 Novara W 3-0 1740 1612 66.8% 26.3% 6.9% +5.0 33
1941-03-16 @ Bologna L 0-3 1612 1740 6.9% 26.3% 66.8% -5.0 22
1941-03-16 Torino W 2-1 1628 1617 57.7% 30.5% 11.7% +3.0 27
1941-03-16 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1617 1628 11.7% 30.5% 57.7% -3.0 23
1941-03-16 Livorno W 3-0 1629 1626 57.0% 30.8% 12.2% +9.0 20
1941-03-16 @ Genova 1893 L 0-3 1626 1629 12.2% 30.8% 57.0% -9.0 22
1941-03-16 Triestina D 1-1 1677 1630 60.7% 29.4% 9.9% -2.3 27
1941-03-16 @ Juventus D 1-1 1630 1677 9.9% 29.4% 60.7% +2.3 21
1941-03-16 Roma W 2-0 1631 1629 56.9% 30.8% 12.3% +6.2 21
1941-03-16 @ Lazio Roma L 0-2 1629 1631 12.3% 30.8% 56.9% -6.2 21
1941-03-16 Inter Milan L 0-1 1579 1723 42.0% 32.7% 25.3% -8.4 21
1941-03-16 @ Napoli W 1-0 1723 1579 25.3% 32.7% 42.0% +8.4 30
1941-03-23 Fiorentina D 0-0 1636 1631 57.2% 30.7% 12.1% -2.2 26
1941-03-23 @ Atalanta D 0-0 1631 1636 12.1% 30.7% 57.2% +2.2 28
1941-03-23 Bologna W 1-0 1494 1745 28.1% 31.4% 40.5% +8.0 14
1941-03-23 @ Bari L 0-1 1745 1494 40.5% 31.4% 28.1% -8.0 33
1941-03-23 Novara D 0-0 1731 1607 66.4% 26.5% 7.0% -3.0 31
1941-03-23 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1607 1731 7.0% 26.5% 66.4% +3.0 23
1941-03-23 Napoli D 1-1 1617 1571 60.6% 29.4% 9.9% -2.3 23
1941-03-23 @ Livorno D 1-1 1571 1617 9.9% 29.4% 60.6% +2.3 22
1941-03-23 Juventus W 3-0 1623 1675 52.1% 31.9% 16.0% +11.3 23
1941-03-23 @ Roma L 0-3 1675 1623 16.0% 31.9% 52.1% -11.3 27
1941-03-23 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1614 1637 54.8% 31.4% 13.9% -1.8 24
1941-03-23 @ Torino D 1-1 1637 1614 13.9% 31.4% 54.8% +1.8 22
1941-03-23 Genova 1893 W 6-2 1632 1638 56.3% 31.0% 12.8% +8.6 23
1941-03-23 @ Triestina L 2-6 1638 1632 12.8% 31.0% 56.3% -8.7 20
1941-03-23 AC Milan D 0-0 1586 1659 50.0% 32.3% 17.8% -1.5 22
1941-03-23 @ Venezia D 0-0 1659 1586 17.8% 32.3% 50.0% +1.5 23
1941-03-30 Bari W 5-0 1661 1502 68.8% 25.1% 6.1% +6.9 25
1941-03-30 @ AC Milan L 0-5 1502 1661 6.1% 25.1% 68.8% -6.9 14
1941-03-30 Inter Milan W 5-0 1737 1728 57.6% 30.6% 11.8% +14.1 35
1941-03-30 @ Bologna L 0-5 1728 1737 11.8% 30.6% 57.6% -14.1 31
1941-03-30 Venezia W 2-1 1634 1585 60.8% 29.4% 9.8% +2.5 30
1941-03-30 @ Fiorentina L 1-2 1585 1634 9.8% 29.4% 60.8% -2.5 22
1941-03-30 Roma D 0-0 1630 1635 56.4% 30.9% 12.7% -2.1 21
1941-03-30 @ Genova 1893 D 0-0 1635 1630 12.7% 30.9% 56.4% +2.1 24
1941-03-30 Torino W 2-1 1663 1612 61.0% 29.3% 9.7% +2.5 29
1941-03-30 @ Juventus L 1-2 1612 1663 9.7% 29.3% 61.0% -2.5 24
1941-03-30 Atalanta D 1-1 1639 1633 57.3% 30.7% 12.1% -2.0 23
1941-03-30 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1633 1639 12.1% 30.7% 57.3% +2.0 27
1941-03-30 Triestina W 1-0 1573 1641 50.4% 32.2% 17.3% +4.4 24
1941-03-30 @ Napoli L 0-1 1641 1573 17.3% 32.2% 50.4% -4.4 23
1941-03-30 Livorno D 0-0 1610 1615 56.3% 31.0% 12.7% -2.1 24
1941-03-30 @ Novara D 0-0 1615 1610 12.7% 31.0% 56.3% +2.1 24
1941-04-06 Bologna W 5-1 1667 1751 48.8% 32.4% 18.8% +14.0 27
1941-04-06 @ AC Milan L 1-5 1751 1667 18.8% 32.4% 48.8% -14.1 35
1941-04-06 Juventus W 3-0 1635 1666 54.1% 31.6% 14.4% +10.4 29
1941-04-06 @ Atalanta L 0-3 1666 1635 14.4% 31.6% 54.1% -10.4 29
1941-04-06 Fiorentina W 1-0 1496 1636 42.3% 32.7% 25.0% +5.8 16
1941-04-06 @ Bari L 0-1 1636 1496 25.0% 32.7% 42.3% -5.8 30
1941-04-06 Inter Milan D 1-1 1617 1714 47.4% 32.5% 20.1% -1.1 25
1941-04-06 @ Livorno D 1-1 1714 1617 20.1% 32.5% 47.4% +1.1 32
1941-04-06 Napoli D 2-2 1637 1578 61.6% 29.0% 9.4% -1.8 25
1941-04-06 @ Roma D 2-2 1578 1637 9.4% 29.0% 61.6% +1.8 25
1941-04-06 Genova 1893 L 3-6 1610 1627 55.3% 31.3% 13.5% -19.6 24
1941-04-06 @ Torino W 6-3 1627 1610 13.5% 31.3% 55.3% +19.6 23
1941-04-06 Novara W 1-0 1636 1608 59.2% 30.0% 10.8% +2.9 25
1941-04-06 @ Triestina L 0-1 1608 1636 10.8% 30.0% 59.2% -2.9 24
1941-04-06 Lazio Roma W 2-0 1582 1637 51.8% 32.0% 16.2% +7.9 24
1941-04-06 @ Venezia L 0-2 1637 1582 16.2% 32.0% 51.8% -7.9 23
1941-04-13 Livorno W 3-0 1737 1616 66.2% 26.6% 7.1% +5.1 37
1941-04-13 @ Bologna L 0-3 1616 1737 7.1% 26.6% 66.2% -5.1 25
1941-04-13 AC Milan L 2-3 1630 1681 52.1% 31.9% 16.0% -9.0 30
1941-04-13 @ Fiorentina W 3-2 1681 1630 16.0% 31.9% 52.1% +9.0 29
1941-04-13 Atalanta W 2-0 1647 1646 56.9% 30.8% 12.3% +6.2 25
1941-04-13 @ Genova 1893 L 0-2 1646 1647 12.3% 30.8% 56.9% -6.2 29
1941-04-13 Triestina D 1-1 1715 1639 62.9% 28.4% 8.7% -2.5 33
1941-04-13 @ Inter Milan D 1-1 1639 1715 8.7% 28.4% 62.9% +2.5 26
1941-04-13 Venezia D 2-2 1655 1590 62.1% 28.8% 9.1% -1.8 30
1941-04-13 @ Juventus D 2-2 1590 1655 9.1% 28.8% 62.1% +1.8 25
1941-04-13 Bari D 2-2 1629 1501 66.7% 26.4% 6.9% -2.0 24
1941-04-13 @ Lazio Roma D 2-2 1501 1629 6.9% 26.4% 66.7% +2.0 17
1941-04-13 Torino W 2-1 1579 1590 55.8% 31.1% 13.1% +3.3 27
1941-04-13 @ Napoli L 1-2 1590 1579 13.1% 31.1% 55.8% -3.3 24
1941-04-13 Roma D 1-1 1605 1635 54.1% 31.5% 14.4% -1.7 25
1941-04-13 @ Novara D 1-1 1635 1605 14.4% 31.5% 54.1% +1.7 26
1941-04-20 Lazio Roma W 3-0 1690 1627 62.0% 28.8% 9.2% +6.8 31
1941-04-20 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1627 1690 9.2% 28.8% 62.0% -6.8 24
1941-04-20 Napoli W 4-0 1640 1583 61.5% 29.1% 9.5% +9.2 31
1941-04-20 @ Atalanta L 0-4 1583 1640 9.5% 29.1% 61.5% -9.2 27
1941-04-20 Juventus L 3-5 1503 1654 41.1% 32.7% 26.2% -11.3 17
1941-04-20 @ Bari W 5-3 1654 1503 26.2% 32.7% 41.1% +11.4 32
1941-04-20 Bologna W 3-0 1621 1742 44.6% 32.7% 22.7% +14.8 32
1941-04-20 @ Fiorentina L 0-3 1742 1621 22.7% 32.7% 44.6% -14.8 37
1941-04-20 Inter Milan W 3-0 1637 1712 49.6% 32.3% 18.1% +12.5 28
1941-04-20 @ Roma L 0-3 1712 1637 18.1% 32.3% 49.6% -12.5 33
1941-04-20 Novara W 5-1 1587 1603 55.4% 31.2% 13.4% +10.7 26
1941-04-20 @ Torino L 1-5 1603 1587 13.4% 31.2% 55.4% -10.7 25
1941-04-20 Livorno D 1-1 1642 1611 59.4% 29.9% 10.7% -2.2 27
1941-04-20 @ Triestina D 1-1 1611 1642 10.7% 29.9% 59.4% +2.2 26
1941-04-20 Genova 1893 D 0-0 1592 1653 51.1% 32.1% 16.8% -1.6 26
1941-04-20 @ Venezia D 0-0 1653 1592 16.8% 32.1% 51.1% +1.6 26
1941-04-27 Bari W 6-1 1655 1492 69.2% 24.9% 6.0% +5.6 28
1941-04-27 @ Genova 1893 L 1-6 1492 1655 6.0% 24.9% 69.2% -5.6 17
1941-04-27 Torino L 0-2 1700 1598 64.9% 27.4% 7.7% -22.9 33
1941-04-27 @ Inter Milan W 2-0 1598 1700 7.7% 27.4% 64.9% +22.9 28
1941-04-27 AC Milan L 1-2 1665 1697 53.9% 31.6% 14.5% -9.8 32
1941-04-27 @ Juventus W 2-1 1697 1665 14.5% 31.6% 53.9% +9.8 33
1941-04-27 Fiorentina W 4-1 1620 1636 55.4% 31.2% 13.4% +8.2 26
1941-04-27 @ Lazio Roma L 1-4 1636 1620 13.4% 31.2% 55.4% -8.2 32
1941-04-27 Roma W 6-1 1613 1649 53.5% 31.7% 14.8% +14.2 28
1941-04-27 @ Livorno L 1-6 1649 1613 14.8% 31.7% 53.5% -14.2 28
1941-04-27 Venezia D 1-1 1573 1590 55.3% 31.2% 13.5% -1.8 28
1941-04-27 @ Napoli D 1-1 1590 1573 13.5% 31.2% 55.3% +1.8 27
1941-04-27 Atalanta W 5-1 1593 1649 51.6% 32.0% 16.4% +12.6 27
1941-04-27 @ Novara L 1-5 1649 1593 16.4% 32.0% 51.6% -12.6 31
1941-04-27 Bologna D 0-0 1640 1728 48.3% 32.5% 19.2% -1.3 28
1941-04-27 @ Triestina D 0-0 1728 1640 19.2% 32.5% 48.3% +1.3 38
1941-05-04 Genova 1893 D 1-1 1707 1660 60.6% 29.4% 9.9% -2.3 34
1941-05-04 @ AC Milan D 1-1 1660 1707 9.9% 29.4% 60.6% +2.3 29
1941-05-04 Inter Milan L 1-3 1636 1677 53.1% 31.8% 15.2% -16.7 31
1941-05-04 @ Atalanta W 3-1 1677 1636 15.2% 31.8% 53.1% +16.7 35
1941-05-04 Napoli L 0-4 1487 1572 48.6% 32.4% 18.9% -33.9 17
1941-05-04 @ Bari W 4-0 1572 1487 18.9% 32.4% 48.6% +33.9 30
1941-05-04 Lazio Roma D 2-2 1729 1628 64.7% 27.5% 7.8% -1.9 39
1941-05-04 @ Bologna D 2-2 1628 1729 7.8% 27.5% 64.7% +1.9 27
1941-05-04 Juventus W 5-0 1628 1655 54.4% 31.5% 14.2% +16.5 34
1941-05-04 @ Fiorentina L 0-5 1655 1628 14.2% 31.5% 54.4% -16.5 32
1941-05-04 Triestina D 0-0 1635 1638 56.5% 30.9% 12.6% -2.1 29
1941-05-04 @ Roma D 0-0 1638 1635 12.6% 30.9% 56.5% +2.2 29
1941-05-04 Livorno W 5-2 1621 1627 56.2% 31.0% 12.8% +6.9 30
1941-05-04 @ Torino L 2-5 1627 1621 12.8% 31.0% 56.2% -6.8 28
1941-05-04 Novara W 3-0 1592 1605 55.7% 31.1% 13.2% +9.7 29
1941-05-04 @ Venezia L 0-3 1605 1592 13.2% 31.1% 55.7% -9.7 27

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1940-10-27 6.79% Fiorentina 1589 2 @ Inter Milan 1721 0
2 1941-02-23 7.07% Venezia 1563 2 @ Torino 1686 0
3 1941-04-27 7.73% Torino 1598 2 @ Inter Milan 1700 0
4 1941-03-16 8.19% Atalanta 1603 3 @ AC Milan 1692 0
5 1941-01-19 8.67% Fiorentina 1608 3 @ Juventus 1685 2
6 1940-11-03 9.20% Napoli 1570 2 @ Genova 1893 1634 1
7 1941-03-02 9.36% Roma 1612 3 @ AC Milan 1672 1
8 1941-02-02 10.19% Napoli 1589 2 @ Fiorentina 1630 1
9 1940-12-29 10.45% Novara 1597 3 @ Roma 1632 1
10 1940-10-27 10.56% Bari 1577 4 @ Triestina 1611 2
11 1941-01-26 11.07% Fiorentina 1619 1 @ Genova 1893 1642 0
12 1940-10-13 11.22% Fiorentina 1569 2 @ Napoli 1590 0
13 1940-11-10 11.74% AC Milan 1631 2 @ Roma 1642 1
14 1941-03-09 12.18% AC Milan 1653 4 @ Torino 1656 0
15 1941-02-09 12.70% Lazio Roma 1605 2 @ Napoli 1600 0
16 1940-12-08 12.91% Torino 1657 2 @ Lazio Roma 1649 0
17 1941-02-02 13.37% Genova 1893 1631 1 @ Lazio Roma 1615 0
18 1941-04-06 13.49% Genova 1893 1627 6 @ Torino 1610 3
19 1940-10-06 13.56% Novara 1615 2 @ Bari 1597 1
20 1941-01-19 14.40% Torino 1675 1 @ Livorno 1644 0
21 1941-04-27 14.53% AC Milan 1697 2 @ Juventus 1665 1
22 1940-11-03 14.70% Inter Milan 1698 4 @ Lazio Roma 1663 2
23 1941-05-04 15.16% Inter Milan 1677 3 @ Atalanta 1636 1
24 1941-02-23 15.67% Juventus 1664 2 @ Novara 1616 1
25 1941-04-13 15.96% AC Milan 1681 3 @ Fiorentina 1630 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1941-03-09 39.05 AC Milan 4 1653 12.18% @ Torino 0 1656 57.08% 30.73%
2 1941-05-04 33.86 Napoli 4 1572 18.93% @ Bari 0 1487 48.65% 32.42%
3 1941-03-16 32.85 Atalanta 3 1603 8.19% @ AC Milan 0 1692 63.90% 27.91%
4 1941-02-16 25.48 Triestina 3 1615 19.78% @ Bari 0 1522 47.72% 32.51%
5 1940-10-27 23.41 Fiorentina 2 1589 6.79% @ Inter Milan 0 1721 67.02% 26.19%
6 1941-02-23 23.25 Venezia 2 1563 7.07% @ Torino 0 1686 66.35% 26.58%
7 1941-04-27 22.88 Torino 2 1598 7.73% @ Inter Milan 0 1700 64.87% 27.40%
8 1940-10-13 21.04 Fiorentina 2 1569 11.22% @ Napoli 0 1590 58.53% 30.25%
9 1941-02-09 20.35 Lazio Roma 2 1605 12.70% @ Napoli 0 1600 56.35% 30.96%
10 1940-12-08 20.25 Torino 2 1657 12.91% @ Lazio Roma 0 1649 56.05% 31.04%
11 1941-04-06 19.64 Genova 1893 6 1627 13.49% @ Torino 3 1610 55.26% 31.26%
12 1941-03-02 19.03 Roma 3 1612 9.36% @ AC Milan 1 1672 61.65% 28.99%
13 1940-12-29 18.55 Novara 3 1597 10.45% @ Roma 1 1632 59.77% 29.78%
14 1941-05-04 16.70 Inter Milan 3 1677 15.16% @ Atalanta 1 1636 53.09% 31.76%
15 1940-10-27 16.55 Bari 4 1577 10.56% @ Triestina 2 1611 59.59% 29.85%
16 1941-05-04 16.52 @ Fiorentina 5 1628 54.36% Juventus 0 1655 14.16% 31.48%
17 1940-12-15 16.32 AC Milan 3 1633 16.25% @ Bari 1 1578 51.74% 32.01%
18 1940-12-22 15.36 @ Genova 1893 4 1624 51.19% Torino 0 1684 16.71% 32.10%
19 1940-11-03 15.08 Inter Milan 4 1698 14.70% @ Lazio Roma 2 1663 53.66% 31.64%
20 1941-04-20 14.82 @ Fiorentina 3 1621 44.63% Bologna 0 1742 22.70% 32.67%
21 1941-04-27 14.19 @ Livorno 6 1613 53.55% Roma 1 1649 14.79% 31.66%
22 1941-03-30 14.09 @ Bologna 5 1737 57.59% Inter Milan 0 1728 11.84% 30.57%
23 1941-04-06 14.05 @ AC Milan 5 1667 48.77% Bologna 1 1751 18.82% 32.41%
24 1941-02-16 13.73 @ AC Milan 5 1656 58.07% Livorno 0 1641 11.52% 30.41%
25 1940-12-08 13.47 Inter Milan 4 1708 20.20% @ Novara 2 1610 47.26% 32.54%