2002 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

KR Reykjavik

36 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KR Reykjavik

10.43 points above expected

36 points · 25.57 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Thor Akureyri

8.54 points below expected

13 points · 21.54 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik 18 10 6 2 36 32 18 +14 25.6 +10.43
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 18 10 4 4 34 30 22 +8 26.2 +7.78
3 Grindavik 18 8 5 5 29 32 26 +6 24.0 +5.03
4 KA Akureyri 18 6 7 5 25 18 19 -1 23.1 +1.85
5 IA Akranes 18 6 5 7 23 29 26 +3 24.1 -1.10
6 FH Hafnarfjordur 18 5 7 6 22 29 30 -1 22.7 -0.68
7 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 18 5 5 8 20 23 22 +1 23.8 -3.81
8 Fram Reykjavik 18 5 5 8 20 29 33 -4 21.6 -1.59
9 Keflavik IF 18 4 8 6 20 25 30 -5 21.2 -1.17
10 Thor Akureyri 18 3 4 11 13 22 43 -21 21.5 -8.54

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
KR Reykjavik 1366 36 25.57 +10.43 98.2% 8 17 22 26 29 34 46
Fylkir Reykjavik 1338 34 26.22 +7.78 94.8% 8 18 23 26 30 35 50
IA Akranes 1323 23 24.10 -1.10 45.9% 8 16 21 24 27 32 44
Grindavik 1319 29 23.97 +5.03 86.9% 5 16 20 24 27 32 43
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1309 20 23.81 -3.81 25.8% 7 16 20 24 27 32 44
FH Hafnarfjordur 1285 22 22.68 -0.68 50.0% 5 15 19 23 26 31 42
KA Akureyri 1275 25 23.15 +1.85 68.0% 6 15 20 23 27 32 48
Fram Reykjavik 1271 20 21.59 -1.59 42.4% 4 14 18 21 25 30 41
Keflavik IF 1263 20 21.17 -1.17 44.8% 4 13 18 21 24 29 42
Thor Akureyri 1197 13 21.54 -8.54 4.5% 4 14 18 21 25 30 42

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FH FR FR GRI IA IV KA KR KI TA
FH Hafnarfjordur
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.44
0-2-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.28
0-2-0
2.79
1-1-0
2.48
Fram Reykjavik
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
2.15
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.55
Fylkir Reykjavik
2-0-0
2.78
1-1-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.85
0-0-2
2.91
2-0-0
2.85
1-1-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.74
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
3.19
Grindavik
1-0-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.34
2-0-0
2.48
1-1-0
2.60
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-1
2.41
0-1-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.03
IA Akranes
0-2-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.96
2-0-0
2.28
0-0-2
2.69
1-0-1
2.57
0-2-0
2.65
0-0-2
2.63
2-0-0
2.77
1-0-1
2.79
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1-0-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.81
0-0-2
2.36
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.61
0-2-0
2.70
1-1-0
2.28
0-0-2
2.94
1-1-0
2.77
KA Akureyri
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.83
0-1-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.48
0-2-0
2.53
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
2.44
2-0-0
2.82
2-0-0
2.68
KR Reykjavik
0-1-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.08
0-2-0
2.43
1-1-0
2.76
2-0-0
2.55
0-1-1
2.92
2-0-0
2.74
1-1-0
2.98
2-0-0
3.17
Keflavik IF
0-2-0
2.40
0-2-0
2.45
1-0-1
2.20
1-1-0
2.16
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-0
2.25
0-0-2
2.36
0-1-1
2.25
0-2-0
2.63
Thor Akureyri
0-1-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.06
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.42
0-0-2
2.49
0-0-2
2.13
0-2-0
2.55

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.44%8.33%5.00%2.22%0.56%20.56%
18.33%18.89%5.00%4.44%2.22%0.56%39.44%
25.00%5.00%5.56%2.78%1.67%1.11%21.11%
32.22%4.44%2.78%1.11%10.56%
42.22%1.67%1.11%0.56%5.56%
5+0.56%0.56%1.11%0.56%2.78%
Total20.56%39.44%21.11%10.56%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.49
Mean allowed1.49
StdDev scored1.24
StdDev allowed1.24
Mean total goals/game2.99
Correlation (home vs away score)0.136
Sample size (games)90
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%5.56%27.78%
15.56%16.67%11.11%33.33%
25.56%5.56%11.11%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total16.67%33.33%33.33%5.56%5.56%5.56%100%

FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored1.58
StdDev allowed1.33
Mean total goals/game3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.552
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%16.67%
15.56%22.22%11.11%5.56%44.44%
25.56%5.56%11.11%
35.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total11.11%38.89%16.67%22.22%11.11%100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.83
StdDev scored1.33
StdDev allowed1.25
Mean total goals/game3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.347
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%
116.67%16.67%16.67%50.00%
216.67%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total38.89%22.22%16.67%22.22%100%

Fylkir Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.67
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed1.22
Mean total goals/game2.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.016
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%5.56%22.22%
15.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
211.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%33.33%
35.56%11.11%5.56%22.22%
4
5+5.56%5.56%
Total22.22%38.89%22.22%5.56%11.11%100%

Grindavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.78
Mean allowed1.44
StdDev scored1.35
StdDev allowed1.25
Mean total goals/game3.22
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.062
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
122.22%11.11%11.11%5.56%50.00%
216.67%5.56%22.22%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total22.22%38.89%16.67%16.67%5.56%100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.61
Mean allowed1.44
StdDev scored1.29
StdDev allowed1.20
Mean total goals/game3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.034
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%22.22%27.78%
122.22%11.11%5.56%38.89%
25.56%5.56%5.56%16.67%
35.56%5.56%11.11%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total16.67%61.11%11.11%5.56%5.56%100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.28
Mean allowed1.22
StdDev scored1.18
StdDev allowed1.00
Mean total goals/game2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.055
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%5.56%27.78%
122.22%33.33%5.56%61.11%
2
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total27.78%44.44%22.22%5.56%100%

KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.06
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed0.87
Mean total goals/game2.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.066
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%
116.67%16.67%33.33%
211.11%11.11%16.67%38.89%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+5.56%5.56%
Total33.33%38.89%22.22%5.56%100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.78
Mean allowed1.00
StdDev scored1.26
StdDev allowed0.91
Mean total goals/game2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.103
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%11.11%22.22%
15.56%22.22%5.56%33.33%
25.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%33.33%
35.56%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total11.11%44.44%27.78%5.56%5.56%5.56%100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.39
Mean allowed1.67
StdDev scored1.09
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game3.06
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.140
Games played18
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%11.11%5.56%33.33%
15.56%11.11%11.11%5.56%33.33%
25.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%22.22%
3
45.56%5.56%11.11%
5+
Total5.56%33.33%22.22%11.11%11.11%16.67%100%

Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.22
Mean allowed2.39
StdDev scored1.26
StdDev allowed1.61
Mean total goals/game3.61
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.244
Games played18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 KR Reykjavik 36 25.6 +10.43
2 Fylkir Reykjavik 34 26.2 +7.78
3 Grindavik 29 24.0 +5.03
4 KA Akureyri 25 23.1 +1.85
5 FH Hafnarfjordur 22 22.7 -0.68

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Thor Akureyri 13 21.5 -8.54
2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 20 23.8 -3.81
3 Fram Reykjavik 20 21.6 -1.59
4 Keflavik IF 20 21.2 -1.17
5 IA Akranes 23 24.1 -1.10

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fylkir Reykjavik 5 Jul 18 – Aug 19 1 in 117
2 IA Akranes 3 Jun 27 – Jul 11 1 in 47
3 KR Reykjavik 3 Jun 2 – Jun 20 1 in 30
4 Fram Reykjavik 2 Sep 15 – Sep 21 1 in 18
5 Keflavik IF 2 May 25 – May 29 1 in 16

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Thor Akureyri 4 Jul 6 – Aug 1 1 in 99
2 Fram Reykjavik 4 Aug 8 – Aug 26 1 in 61
3 IA Akranes 3 May 20 – May 29 1 in 46
4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 Jun 1 – Jun 8 1 in 12
5 Keflavik IF 2 Jun 10 – Jun 19 1 in 12

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 KR Reykjavik 11 Jun 27 – Sep 21 1 in 27
2 Grindavik 7 Jul 25 – Sep 15 1 in 10
3 Keflavik IF 4 May 20 – Jun 2 1 in 5
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 4 May 25 – Jun 9 1 in 5
5 Fylkir Reykjavik 5 Jun 3 – Jun 27 1 in 5

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Keflavik IF 7 Jun 2 – Jul 14 1 in 10
2 Thor Akureyri 6 May 25 – Jun 23 1 in 9
3 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 5 Jul 14 – Aug 19 1 in 7
4 FH Hafnarfjordur 5 Aug 12 – Sep 15 1 in 6
5 IA Akranes 5 May 20 – Jun 8 1 in 6

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
KR Reykjavik19.24%16.09%12.97%11.50%9.55%8.46%7.28%6.03%4.96%3.92%
Fylkir Reykjavik21.63%17.43%13.35%10.72%9.58%8.21%6.55%5.65%4.05%2.83%
Grindavik11.13%11.53%11.01%11.10%11.14%10.53%9.74%9.36%8.09%6.37%
KA Akureyri8.11%8.93%10.00%10.57%10.33%9.99%11.01%10.83%10.09%10.14%
IA Akranes11.77%11.29%11.63%11.09%11.13%10.00%9.44%8.81%8.41%6.43%
FH Hafnarfjordur6.74%7.88%9.14%10.19%9.85%11.24%11.13%11.48%11.23%11.12%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar9.56%10.80%11.46%10.79%11.10%10.76%10.12%9.32%8.57%7.52%
Fram Reykjavik4.54%5.84%7.15%8.18%9.82%10.27%11.39%12.53%14.12%16.16%
Keflavik IF3.48%4.76%6.64%7.75%8.73%10.53%12.35%12.83%15.28%17.65%
Thor Akureyri3.80%5.45%6.65%8.11%8.77%10.01%10.99%13.16%15.20%17.86%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Fylkir Reykjavik 93.1% 6.9%
KR Reykjavik 91.1% 8.9%
Grindavik 85.5% 14.5%
IA Akranes 85.2% 14.8%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 83.9% 16.1%
KA Akureyri 79.8% 20.2%
FH Hafnarfjordur 77.6% 22.4%
Fram Reykjavik 69.7% 30.3%
Keflavik IF 67.1% 32.9%
Thor Akureyri 66.9% 33.1%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2002-05-20 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-3 1298 1296 31.8% 41.3% 26.9% -21.2 0
2002-05-20 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 3-0 1296 1298 26.9% 41.3% 31.8% +21.2 3
2002-05-20 Thor Akureyri L 0-1 1308 1300 32.7% 41.1% 26.2% -7.9 0
2002-05-20 @ IA Akranes W 1-0 1300 1308 26.2% 41.1% 32.7% +7.9 3
2002-05-20 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1288 1310 28.3% 41.5% 30.2% +0.1 1
2002-05-20 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1310 1288 30.2% 41.5% 28.3% -0.1 1
2002-05-20 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1276 1286 30.0% 41.5% 28.5% -0.0 1
2002-05-20 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1286 1276 28.5% 41.5% 30.0% +0.1 1
2002-05-20 Grindavik D 2-2 1294 1288 32.5% 41.1% 26.3% -0.2 1
2002-05-20 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1288 1294 26.3% 41.1% 32.5% +0.2 1
2002-05-24 IA Akranes W 3-1 1294 1300 30.6% 41.4% 27.9% +11.7 4
2002-05-24 @ KR Reykjavik L 1-3 1300 1294 27.9% 41.4% 30.6% -11.7 0
2002-05-25 KA Akureyri D 1-1 1318 1288 36.1% 40.0% 23.8% -0.5 4
2002-05-25 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-1 1288 1318 23.8% 40.0% 36.1% +0.5 2
2002-05-25 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1288 1287 31.7% 41.3% 27.0% -0.2 2
2002-05-25 @ Grindavik D 1-1 1287 1288 27.0% 41.3% 31.7% +0.2 2
2002-05-25 Keflavik IF L 1-2 1309 1276 36.7% 39.8% 23.5% -7.9 1
2002-05-25 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1276 1309 23.5% 39.8% 36.7% +7.9 4
2002-05-25 FH Hafnarfjordur D 4-4 1308 1277 36.4% 39.9% 23.7% -0.3 4
2002-05-25 @ Thor Akureyri D 4-4 1277 1308 23.7% 39.9% 36.4% +0.3 1
2002-05-28 IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-2 1287 1302 29.3% 41.5% 29.1% -7.0 2
2002-05-28 @ Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1302 1287 29.1% 41.5% 29.3% +7.0 4
2002-05-29 KR Reykjavik W 1-0 1277 1306 27.5% 41.4% 31.2% +7.7 4
2002-05-29 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 0-1 1306 1277 31.2% 41.4% 27.5% -7.7 4
2002-05-29 Grindavik L 1-3 1289 1288 31.6% 41.3% 27.0% -12.6 0
2002-05-29 @ IA Akranes W 3-1 1288 1289 27.0% 41.3% 31.6% +12.6 5
2002-05-29 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-1 1284 1317 26.9% 41.3% 31.8% +12.7 7
2002-05-29 @ Keflavik IF L 1-3 1317 1284 31.8% 41.3% 26.9% -12.7 4
2002-05-30 Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1288 1308 28.6% 41.5% 29.9% +7.5 5
2002-05-30 @ KA Akureyri L 0-1 1308 1288 29.9% 41.5% 28.6% -7.5 4
2002-06-01 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 3-2 1300 1308 30.3% 41.5% 28.2% +6.5 8
2002-06-01 @ Grindavik L 2-3 1308 1300 28.2% 41.5% 30.3% -6.5 4
2002-06-01 FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1276 1285 30.2% 41.5% 28.4% -0.1 1
2002-06-01 @ IA Akranes D 0-0 1285 1276 28.4% 41.5% 30.2% +0.1 5
2002-06-02 KA Akureyri W 2-0 1298 1296 31.9% 41.3% 26.8% +13.2 7
2002-06-02 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1296 1298 26.8% 41.3% 31.9% -13.2 5
2002-06-02 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1300 1297 32.1% 41.2% 26.7% -0.2 5
2002-06-02 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1297 1300 26.7% 41.2% 32.1% +0.2 8
2002-06-03 Fram Reykjavik D 3-3 1304 1280 35.3% 40.3% 24.4% -0.3 5
2002-06-03 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 3-3 1280 1304 24.4% 40.3% 35.3% +0.3 3
2002-06-08 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-1 1302 1304 31.2% 41.4% 27.4% -7.7 4
2002-06-08 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1304 1302 27.4% 41.4% 31.2% +7.7 8
2002-06-08 IA Akranes D 1-1 1282 1276 32.5% 41.1% 26.3% -0.2 6
2002-06-08 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1276 1282 26.3% 41.1% 32.5% +0.2 2
2002-06-09 Grindavik W 3-2 1285 1307 28.4% 41.5% 30.1% +6.7 8
2002-06-09 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-3 1307 1285 30.1% 41.5% 28.4% -6.7 8
2002-06-09 Thor Akureyri W 3-1 1280 1300 28.6% 41.5% 29.9% +12.2 6
2002-06-09 @ Fram Reykjavik L 1-3 1300 1280 29.9% 41.5% 28.6% -12.2 5
2002-06-10 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1297 1312 29.4% 41.5% 29.1% -7.4 8
2002-06-10 @ Keflavik IF W 1-0 1312 1297 29.1% 41.5% 29.4% +7.4 10
2002-06-19 KA Akureyri L 0-1 1292 1282 33.0% 41.0% 26.0% -7.9 8
2002-06-19 @ FH Hafnarfjordur W 1-0 1282 1292 26.0% 41.0% 33.0% +7.9 9
2002-06-19 Grindavik W 2-0 1312 1300 33.3% 41.0% 25.7% +12.8 11
2002-06-19 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-2 1300 1312 25.7% 41.0% 33.3% -12.8 8
2002-06-19 Keflavik IF W 5-2 1276 1290 29.5% 41.5% 29.0% +14.7 5
2002-06-19 @ IA Akranes L 2-5 1290 1276 29.0% 41.5% 29.5% -14.7 8
2002-06-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1288 1294 30.6% 41.4% 28.0% -0.1 6
2002-06-19 @ Thor Akureyri D 1-1 1294 1288 28.0% 41.4% 30.6% +0.1 5
2002-06-20 Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1319 1292 35.6% 40.2% 24.1% +6.5 13
2002-06-20 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1292 1319 24.1% 40.2% 35.6% -6.5 6
2002-06-23 Thor Akureyri W 4-2 1325 1288 37.2% 39.5% 23.2% +9.2 14
2002-06-23 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-4 1288 1325 23.2% 39.5% 37.2% -9.2 6
2002-06-23 KR Reykjavik W 3-0 1294 1325 27.1% 41.3% 31.5% +21.1 8
2002-06-23 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-3 1325 1294 31.5% 41.3% 27.1% -21.1 13
2002-06-23 Grindavik L 0-1 1290 1287 31.9% 41.3% 26.8% -7.8 9
2002-06-23 @ KA Akureyri W 1-0 1287 1290 26.8% 41.3% 31.9% +7.8 11
2002-06-24 IA Akranes W 3-2 1286 1291 30.8% 41.4% 27.8% +6.4 9
2002-06-24 @ Fram Reykjavik L 2-3 1291 1286 27.8% 41.4% 30.8% -6.4 5
2002-06-26 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1275 1284 30.2% 41.5% 28.3% -0.1 9
2002-06-26 @ Keflavik IF D 1-1 1284 1275 28.3% 41.5% 30.2% +0.1 9
2002-06-27 Thor Akureyri L 2-4 1295 1279 34.0% 40.8% 25.2% -11.8 11
2002-06-27 @ Grindavik W 4-2 1279 1295 25.2% 40.8% 34.0% +11.8 9
2002-06-27 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 4-1 1284 1316 27.1% 41.3% 31.6% +17.8 8
2002-06-27 @ IA Akranes L 1-4 1316 1284 31.6% 41.3% 27.1% -17.8 8
2002-06-27 Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-1 1304 1334 27.3% 41.4% 31.3% +0.2 14
2002-06-27 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1334 1304 31.3% 41.4% 27.3% -0.2 15
2002-06-30 Keflavik IF W 4-1 1282 1275 32.6% 41.1% 26.2% +15.9 12
2002-06-30 @ KA Akureyri L 1-4 1275 1282 26.2% 41.1% 32.6% -15.9 9
2002-07-06 KR Reykjavik L 0-2 1291 1304 29.5% 41.5% 29.0% -14.0 9
2002-07-06 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-0 1304 1291 29.0% 41.5% 29.5% +14.0 17
2002-07-07 IA Akranes L 1-3 1334 1302 36.4% 39.9% 23.7% -13.7 15
2002-07-07 @ Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-1 1302 1334 23.7% 39.9% 36.4% +13.7 11
2002-07-08 Grindavik D 2-2 1259 1283 28.0% 41.4% 30.5% +0.1 10
2002-07-08 @ Keflavik IF D 2-2 1283 1259 30.5% 41.4% 28.0% -0.1 12
2002-07-09 KA Akureyri L 0-1 1292 1298 30.6% 41.4% 28.0% -7.6 9
2002-07-09 @ Fram Reykjavik W 1-0 1298 1292 28.0% 41.4% 30.6% +7.6 15
2002-07-10 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-0 1298 1284 33.6% 40.9% 25.5% +12.8 11
2002-07-10 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 0-2 1284 1298 25.5% 40.9% 33.6% -12.8 9
2002-07-11 IA Akranes L 0-2 1277 1316 26.1% 41.1% 32.8% -13.0 9
2002-07-11 @ Thor Akureyri W 2-0 1316 1277 32.8% 41.1% 26.1% +13.0 14
2002-07-14 Keflavik IF D 1-1 1285 1259 35.5% 40.3% 24.3% -0.5 10
2002-07-14 @ Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1259 1285 24.3% 40.3% 35.5% +0.5 11
2002-07-14 KA Akureyri D 1-1 1311 1306 32.2% 41.2% 26.6% -0.2 12
2002-07-14 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1306 1311 26.6% 41.2% 32.2% +0.2 16
2002-07-15 KR Reykjavik L 0-1 1283 1318 26.6% 41.2% 32.2% -7.0 12
2002-07-15 @ Grindavik W 1-0 1318 1283 32.2% 41.2% 26.6% +7.0 20
2002-07-18 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1320 1271 39.2% 38.6% 22.2% +5.7 18
2002-07-18 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 1-2 1271 1320 22.2% 38.6% 39.2% -5.7 9
2002-07-25 Grindavik L 0-3 1284 1276 32.7% 41.1% 26.2% -21.6 10
2002-07-25 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-0 1276 1284 26.2% 41.1% 32.7% +21.6 15
2002-07-25 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1259 1310 24.8% 40.6% 34.6% +8.1 14
2002-07-25 @ Keflavik IF L 0-1 1310 1259 34.6% 40.6% 24.8% -8.1 12
2002-07-26 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-2 1306 1326 28.7% 41.5% 29.8% -13.8 16
2002-07-26 @ KA Akureyri W 2-0 1326 1306 29.8% 41.5% 28.7% +13.8 21
2002-07-27 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1329 1325 32.0% 41.2% 26.7% -7.3 14
2002-07-27 @ IA Akranes W 2-1 1325 1329 26.7% 41.2% 32.0% +7.3 23
2002-07-28 Thor Akureyri W 5-2 1266 1264 31.8% 41.3% 26.9% +14.0 12
2002-07-28 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 2-5 1264 1266 26.9% 41.3% 31.8% -14.0 9
2002-07-31 Fram Reykjavik L 0-1 1302 1263 37.7% 39.3% 23.0% -8.5 12
2002-07-31 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1263 1302 23.0% 39.3% 37.7% +8.5 13
2002-08-01 Keflavik IF W 2-0 1339 1268 43.1% 36.2% 20.7% +10.5 24
2002-08-01 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-2 1268 1339 20.7% 36.2% 43.1% -10.5 14
2002-08-01 IA Akranes W 2-1 1298 1321 28.1% 41.5% 30.4% +7.1 18
2002-08-01 @ Grindavik L 1-2 1321 1298 30.4% 41.5% 28.1% -7.1 14
2002-08-01 FH Hafnarfjordur D 2-2 1333 1280 40.0% 38.1% 21.9% -0.6 24
2002-08-01 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1280 1333 21.9% 38.1% 40.0% +0.6 13
2002-08-01 KA Akureyri L 0-1 1250 1292 25.7% 41.0% 33.3% -6.8 9
2002-08-01 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1292 1250 33.3% 41.0% 25.7% +6.8 19
2002-08-08 Fram Reykjavik W 3-1 1280 1271 32.9% 41.1% 26.0% +11.2 16
2002-08-08 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-3 1271 1280 26.0% 41.1% 32.9% -11.2 13
2002-08-10 Grindavik D 0-0 1294 1305 29.8% 41.5% 28.6% -0.0 13
2002-08-10 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 0-0 1305 1294 28.6% 41.5% 29.8% +0.0 19
2002-08-11 Fylkir Reykjavik L 2-3 1260 1350 21.5% 37.6% 40.9% -5.2 13
2002-08-11 @ Fram Reykjavik W 3-2 1350 1260 40.9% 37.6% 21.5% +5.2 27
2002-08-11 KR Reykjavik L 1-2 1299 1332 26.9% 41.3% 31.8% -6.6 19
2002-08-11 @ KA Akureyri W 2-1 1332 1299 31.8% 41.3% 26.9% +6.6 27
2002-08-11 Thor Akureyri D 2-2 1257 1243 33.7% 40.9% 25.4% -0.2 15
2002-08-11 @ Keflavik IF D 2-2 1243 1257 25.4% 40.9% 33.7% +0.2 10
2002-08-12 IA Akranes D 1-1 1291 1314 28.2% 41.5% 30.3% +0.1 17
2002-08-12 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1314 1291 30.3% 41.5% 28.2% -0.1 15
2002-08-17 KA Akureyri D 1-1 1314 1292 34.9% 40.5% 24.6% -0.4 16
2002-08-17 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 1292 1314 24.6% 40.5% 34.9% +0.4 20
2002-08-18 FH Hafnarfjordur W 2-1 1305 1291 33.6% 40.9% 25.5% +6.4 22
2002-08-18 @ Grindavik L 1-2 1291 1305 25.5% 40.9% 33.6% -6.4 17
2002-08-18 Keflavik IF D 2-2 1339 1257 44.9% 35.0% 20.1% -0.8 28
2002-08-18 @ KR Reykjavik D 2-2 1257 1339 20.1% 35.0% 44.9% +0.8 16
2002-08-18 Fram Reykjavik W 2-1 1243 1255 29.8% 41.5% 28.7% +6.9 13
2002-08-18 @ Thor Akureyri L 1-2 1255 1243 28.7% 41.5% 29.8% -6.9 13
2002-08-19 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 1-0 1355 1294 41.3% 37.3% 21.3% +5.8 30
2002-08-19 @ Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-1 1294 1355 21.3% 37.3% 41.3% -5.8 13
2002-08-24 Thor Akureyri W 3-1 1288 1250 37.4% 39.4% 23.1% +10.2 16
2002-08-24 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-3 1250 1288 23.1% 39.4% 37.4% -10.2 13
2002-08-25 Fylkir Reykjavik W 3-1 1311 1361 25.0% 40.7% 34.4% +13.2 25
2002-08-25 @ Grindavik L 1-3 1361 1311 34.4% 40.7% 25.0% -13.2 30
2002-08-25 FH Hafnarfjordur D 1-1 1293 1285 32.7% 41.1% 26.2% -0.3 21
2002-08-25 @ KA Akureyri D 1-1 1285 1293 26.2% 41.1% 32.7% +0.2 18
2002-08-25 IA Akranes L 0-2 1258 1314 24.3% 40.3% 35.4% -12.3 16
2002-08-25 @ Keflavik IF W 2-0 1314 1258 35.4% 40.3% 24.3% +12.3 19
2002-08-26 KR Reykjavik L 2-4 1248 1338 21.5% 37.5% 41.0% -8.5 13
2002-08-26 @ Fram Reykjavik W 4-2 1338 1248 41.0% 37.5% 21.5% +8.5 31
2002-08-31 Fram Reykjavik D 1-1 1326 1239 45.7% 34.4% 19.9% -1.1 20
2002-08-31 @ IA Akranes D 1-1 1239 1326 19.9% 34.4% 45.7% +1.1 14
2002-09-02 Keflavik IF D 0-0 1285 1245 37.8% 39.3% 22.9% -0.7 19
2002-09-02 @ FH Hafnarfjordur D 0-0 1245 1285 22.9% 39.3% 37.8% +0.7 17
2002-09-02 KA Akureyri D 0-0 1325 1293 36.5% 39.9% 23.6% -0.6 26
2002-09-02 @ Grindavik D 0-0 1293 1325 23.6% 39.9% 36.5% +0.6 22
2002-09-02 IBV Vestmannaeyjar D 1-1 1346 1298 39.2% 38.6% 22.2% -0.7 32
2002-09-02 @ KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1298 1346 22.2% 38.6% 39.2% +0.7 17
2002-09-02 Fylkir Reykjavik L 0-1 1240 1348 20.4% 35.6% 44.0% -5.5 13
2002-09-02 @ Thor Akureyri W 1-0 1348 1240 44.0% 35.6% 20.4% +5.5 33
2002-09-15 FH Hafnarfjordur W 5-4 1240 1285 25.6% 40.9% 33.6% +6.9 17
2002-09-15 @ Fram Reykjavik L 4-5 1285 1240 33.6% 40.9% 25.6% -6.9 19
2002-09-15 KR Reykjavik D 1-1 1353 1346 32.6% 41.1% 26.3% -0.2 34
2002-09-15 @ Fylkir Reykjavik D 1-1 1346 1353 26.3% 41.1% 32.6% +0.2 33
2002-09-15 IA Akranes W 4-1 1299 1325 27.7% 41.4% 30.8% +17.6 20
2002-09-15 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar L 1-4 1325 1299 30.8% 41.4% 27.7% -17.6 20
2002-09-15 KA Akureyri L 2-3 1246 1293 25.2% 40.8% 34.0% -6.0 17
2002-09-15 @ Keflavik IF W 3-2 1293 1246 34.0% 40.8% 25.2% +6.0 25
2002-09-15 Grindavik L 1-5 1234 1324 21.5% 37.6% 40.9% -17.4 13
2002-09-15 @ Thor Akureyri W 5-1 1324 1234 40.9% 37.6% 21.5% +17.4 29
2002-09-21 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 2-1 1278 1316 26.2% 41.1% 32.7% +7.4 22
2002-09-21 @ FH Hafnarfjordur L 1-2 1316 1278 32.7% 41.1% 26.2% -7.4 20
2002-09-21 Keflavik IF L 1-4 1341 1240 48.3% 32.5% 19.2% -22.6 29
2002-09-21 @ Grindavik W 4-1 1240 1341 19.2% 32.5% 48.3% +22.6 20
2002-09-21 Fylkir Reykjavik W 2-0 1307 1353 25.4% 40.8% 33.7% +15.1 23
2002-09-21 @ IA Akranes L 0-2 1353 1307 33.7% 40.8% 25.4% -15.1 34
2002-09-21 Fram Reykjavik L 0-3 1299 1247 39.8% 38.3% 22.0% -24.1 25
2002-09-21 @ KA Akureyri W 3-0 1247 1299 22.0% 38.3% 39.8% +24.1 20
2002-09-21 Thor Akureyri W 5-0 1346 1217 53.2% 28.5% 18.3% +19.7 36
2002-09-21 @ KR Reykjavik L 0-5 1217 1346 18.3% 28.5% 53.2% -19.7 13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2002-09-21 19.25% Keflavik IF 1240 4 @ Grindavik 1341 1
2 2002-09-21 21.99% Fram Reykjavik 1247 3 @ KA Akureyri 1299 0
3 2002-07-31 22.97% Fram Reykjavik 1263 1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1302 0
4 2002-05-25 23.53% Keflavik IF 1276 2 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1309 1
5 2002-07-07 23.70% IA Akranes 1302 3 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1334 1
6 2002-07-25 24.84% @ Keflavik IF 1259 1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1310 0
7 2002-08-25 24.98% @ Grindavik 1311 3 Fylkir Reykjavik 1361 1
8 2002-06-27 25.24% Thor Akureyri 1279 4 @ Grindavik 1295 2
9 2002-09-21 25.43% @ IA Akranes 1307 2 Fylkir Reykjavik 1353 0
10 2002-09-15 25.55% @ Fram Reykjavik 1240 5 FH Hafnarfjordur 1285 4
11 2002-06-19 25.97% KA Akureyri 1282 1 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1292 0
12 2002-07-25 26.18% Grindavik 1276 3 @ Fram Reykjavik 1284 0
13 2002-05-20 26.20% Thor Akureyri 1300 1 @ IA Akranes 1308 0
14 2002-09-21 26.21% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1278 2 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1316 1
15 2002-07-27 26.72% KR Reykjavik 1325 2 @ IA Akranes 1329 1
16 2002-06-23 26.79% Grindavik 1287 1 @ KA Akureyri 1290 0
17 2002-05-20 26.89% Fylkir Reykjavik 1296 3 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1298 0
18 2002-05-29 26.90% @ Keflavik IF 1284 3 Fylkir Reykjavik 1317 1
19 2002-05-29 27.04% Grindavik 1288 3 @ IA Akranes 1289 1
20 2002-06-27 27.11% @ IA Akranes 1284 4 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1316 1
21 2002-06-23 27.14% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1294 3 KR Reykjavik 1325 0
22 2002-06-08 27.41% Fylkir Reykjavik 1304 1 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1302 0
23 2002-05-29 27.45% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 1277 1 KR Reykjavik 1306 0
24 2002-09-15 27.74% @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1299 4 IA Akranes 1325 1
25 2002-07-09 27.95% KA Akureyri 1298 1 @ Fram Reykjavik 1292 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-09-21 24.10 Fram Reykjavik 3 1247 21.99% @ KA Akureyri 0 1299 39.75%
2 2002-09-21 22.58 Keflavik IF 4 1240 19.25% @ Grindavik 1 1341 48.26%
3 2002-07-25 21.59 Grindavik 3 1276 26.18% @ Fram Reykjavik 0 1284 32.71%
4 2002-05-20 21.25 Fylkir Reykjavik 3 1296 26.89% @ FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1298 31.83%
5 2002-06-23 21.13 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3 1294 27.14% KR Reykjavik 0 1325 31.52%
6 2002-09-21 19.74 @ KR Reykjavik 5 1346 53.23% Thor Akureyri 0 1217 18.26%
7 2002-06-27 17.83 @ IA Akranes 4 1284 27.11% IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1 1316 31.56%
8 2002-09-15 17.60 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4 1299 27.74% IA Akranes 1 1325 30.84%
9 2002-09-15 17.38 Grindavik 5 1324 40.91% @ Thor Akureyri 1 1234 21.50%
10 2002-06-30 15.94 @ KA Akureyri 4 1282 32.64% Keflavik IF 1 1275 26.23%
11 2002-09-21 15.13 @ IA Akranes 2 1307 25.43% Fylkir Reykjavik 0 1353 33.72%
12 2002-06-19 14.69 @ IA Akranes 5 1276 29.52% Keflavik IF 2 1290 28.97%
13 2002-07-28 14.03 @ FH Hafnarfjordur 5 1266 31.81% Thor Akureyri 2 1264 26.90%
14 2002-07-06 13.99 KR Reykjavik 2 1304 29.02% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1291 29.47%
15 2002-07-26 13.76 Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1326 29.84% @ KA Akureyri 0 1306 28.66%
16 2002-07-07 13.68 IA Akranes 3 1302 23.70% @ Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1334 36.39%
17 2002-08-25 13.24 @ Grindavik 3 1311 24.98% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1361 34.37%
18 2002-06-02 13.20 @ KR Reykjavik 2 1298 31.92% KA Akureyri 0 1296 26.81%
19 2002-07-11 12.97 IA Akranes 2 1316 32.79% @ Thor Akureyri 0 1277 26.12%
20 2002-06-19 12.84 @ Fylkir Reykjavik 2 1312 33.29% Grindavik 0 1300 25.74%
21 2002-07-10 12.76 @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2 1298 33.61% FH Hafnarfjordur 0 1284 25.51%
22 2002-05-29 12.67 @ Keflavik IF 3 1284 26.90% Fylkir Reykjavik 1 1317 31.81%
23 2002-05-29 12.63 Grindavik 3 1288 27.04% @ IA Akranes 1 1289 31.64%
24 2002-08-25 12.30 IA Akranes 2 1314 35.43% @ Keflavik IF 0 1258 24.28%
25 2002-06-09 12.23 @ Fram Reykjavik 3 1280 28.56% Thor Akureyri 1 1300 29.95%