1999 Úrvalsdeild Season

90 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

KR Reykjavik

45 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

KR Reykjavik

9.99 points above expected

45 points · 35.01 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fram Reykjavik

6.20 points below expected

19 points · 25.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	KR Reykjavik	18	14	3	1	45	43	13	+30	35.0	+9.99
2	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	18	11	5	2	38	31	14	+17	35.5	+2.55
3	IF Leiftur	18	6	8	4	26	22	26	-4	25.4	+0.59
4	IA Akranes	18	6	6	6	24	21	21	0	28.8	-4.78
5	Breidablik	18	5	6	7	21	22	24	-2	20.9	+0.11
6	Grindavik	18	5	4	9	19	25	29	-4	20.5	-1.51
7	Fram Reykjavik	18	4	7	7	19	23	27	-4	25.2	-6.20
8	Keflavik IF	18	5	4	9	19	28	34	-6	21.5	-2.50
9	Valur Reykjavik	18	4	6	8	18	28	38	-10	20.4	-2.42
10	Vikingur Reykjavik	18	3	5	10	14	21	38	-17	12.4	+1.56

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
KR Reykjavik	1611	45	35.01	+9.99	98.4%	14	26	32	35	38	43	51
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1572	38	35.45	+2.55	71.7%	15	27	32	36	39	44	52
IA Akranes	1451	24	28.78	-4.78	20.4%	9	20	25	29	32	37	46
IF Leiftur	1406	26	25.41	+0.59	58.9%	8	17	22	25	29	34	45
Fram Reykjavik	1375	19	25.20	-6.20	13.5%	8	17	22	25	29	34	46
Keflavik IF	1347	19	21.50	-2.50	35.4%	5	13	18	21	25	30	44
Grindavik	1346	19	20.51	-1.51	43.0%	4	12	17	20	24	29	42
Breidablik	1344	21	20.89	+0.11	56.0%	3	13	17	21	24	30	41
Valur Reykjavik	1320	18	20.42	-2.42	35.9%	4	12	17	20	24	29	39
Vikingur Reykjavik	1194	14	12.44	+1.56	69.3%	0	5	9	12	15	20	32

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BRE	FR	GRI	IA	IV	IL	KR	KI	VR	VR
Breidablik	—	0-2-0 2.24	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 1.90	1-0-1 1.39	0-2-0 2.19	0-1-1 1.43	1-0-1 2.59	1-0-1 2.65	0-1-1 3.76
Fram Reykjavik	0-2-0 3.11	—	0-1-1 3.25	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 1.66	1-1-0 2.62	0-0-2 1.65	1-0-1 3.10	0-1-1 3.22	2-0-0 4.12
Grindavik	1-0-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.15	—	0-1-1 1.87	0-0-2 1.36	0-0-2 2.21	0-0-2 1.44	2-0-0 2.48	1-0-1 2.71	0-2-0 3.69
IA Akranes	1-0-1 3.55	1-1-0 2.96	1-1-0 3.54	—	0-1-1 1.97	1-1-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.18	0-1-1 3.49	1-0-1 3.61	1-1-0 4.47
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1-0-1 4.18	1-1-0 3.81	2-0-0 4.22	1-1-0 3.44	—	2-0-0 3.56	1-0-1 2.71	1-1-0 4.19	0-2-0 4.36	2-0-0 4.98
IF Leiftur	0-2-0 3.18	0-1-1 2.71	2-0-0 3.15	0-1-1 2.36	0-0-2 1.86	—	0-2-0 1.76	1-1-0 3.08	1-1-0 3.19	2-0-0 4.14
KR Reykjavik	1-1-0 4.12	2-0-0 3.82	2-0-0 4.13	2-0-0 3.17	1-0-1 2.63	0-2-0 3.70	—	2-0-0 4.27	2-0-0 4.11	2-0-0 5.10
Keflavik IF	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.25	0-0-2 2.87	1-1-0 1.92	0-1-1 1.39	0-1-1 2.28	0-0-2 1.33	—	1-1-0 2.89	1-0-1 3.83
Valur Reykjavik	1-0-1 2.68	1-1-0 2.17	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 1.85	0-2-0 1.27	0-1-1 2.19	0-0-2 1.44	0-1-1 2.46	—	0-1-1 3.72
Vikingur Reykjavik	1-1-0 1.71	0-0-2 1.43	0-2-0 1.76	0-1-1 1.19	0-0-2 0.82	0-0-2 1.42	0-0-2 0.74	1-0-1 1.65	1-1-0 1.73	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.11%	5.56%	2.78%	0.56%	0.56%	22.22%
1	6.11%	12.22%	9.44%	3.33%	1.67%	0.56%	33.33%
2	5.56%	9.44%	8.89%	3.33%	0.56%	—	27.78%
3	2.78%	3.33%	3.33%	1.11%	—	—	10.56%
4	0.56%	1.67%	0.56%	—	1.11%	0.56%	4.44%
5+	0.56%	0.56%	—	—	0.56%	—	1.67%
Total	22.22%	33.33%	27.78%	10.56%	4.44%	1.67%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.47
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.17
StdDev allowed	1.17
Mean total goals/game	2.93
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.068
Sample size (games)	90

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	33.33%	33.33%	11.11%	—	—	100%

Breidablik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.22
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	1.11
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.091
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	—	16.67%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	38.89%
2	16.67%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	27.78%
3	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	22.22%	38.89%	16.67%	—	—	100%

Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	1.04
Mean total goals/game	2.78
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.088
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
1	5.56%	11.11%	27.78%	5.56%	5.56%	—	55.56%
2	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.11%	33.33%	44.44%	5.56%	5.56%	—	100%

Grindavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.39
Mean allowed	1.61
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.084
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	11.11%	16.67%	—	—	—	38.89%
1	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
2	—	11.11%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	27.78%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	22.22%	44.44%	27.78%	5.56%	—	—	100%

IA Akranes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	1.17
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	0.86
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.143
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
2	11.11%	27.78%	5.56%	—	—	—	44.44%
3	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	38.89%	50.00%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	100%

IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.72
Mean allowed	0.78
StdDev scored	1.23
StdDev allowed	0.81
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.422
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	—	5.56%	5.56%	—	5.56%	33.33%
1	16.67%	11.11%	—	—	5.56%	—	33.33%
2	—	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	5.56%	—	—	5.56%	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	5.56%	—	—	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	38.89%	16.67%	22.22%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	100%

IF Leiftur — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.22
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.54
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.038
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.56%	—	—	—	—	—	5.56%
1	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	—	22.22%
2	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	—	22.22%
3	11.11%	16.67%	5.56%	—	—	—	33.33%
4	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	—	—	11.11%
5+	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
Total	38.89%	50.00%	11.11%	—	—	—	100%

KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.39
Mean allowed	0.72
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	0.67
Mean total goals/game	3.11
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.064
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	—	22.22%
1	—	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	—	22.22%
2	5.56%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	—	—	38.89%
3	—	—	11.11%	—	—	—	11.11%
4	—	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	5.56%	27.78%	44.44%	16.67%	5.56%	—	100%

Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.56
Mean allowed	1.89
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	0.96
Mean total goals/game	3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.378
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	5.56%	33.33%
2	—	16.67%	11.11%	5.56%	5.56%	—	38.89%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	22.22%	27.78%	11.11%	11.11%	11.11%	100%

Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.56
Mean allowed	2.11
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	3.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.571
Games played	18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	5.56%	—	27.78%
1	5.56%	22.22%	11.11%	—	5.56%	—	44.44%
2	—	5.56%	5.56%	11.11%	—	—	22.22%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%
Total	5.56%	33.33%	22.22%	22.22%	16.67%	—	100%

Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.17
Mean allowed	2.11
StdDev scored	1.20
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	3.28
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.225
Games played	18

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	KR Reykjavik	45	35.0	+9.99
2	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	38	35.5	+2.55
3	Vikingur Reykjavik	14	12.4	+1.56
4	IF Leiftur	26	25.4	+0.59
5	Breidablik	21	20.9	+0.11

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Fram Reykjavik	19	25.2	-6.20
2	IA Akranes	24	28.8	-4.78
3	Keflavik IF	19	21.5	-2.50
4	Valur Reykjavik	18	20.4	-2.42
5	Grindavik	19	20.5	-1.51

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	KR Reykjavik	7	Aug 8 – Sep 18	1 in 32
2	IA Akranes	3	Aug 15 – Aug 21	1 in 17
3	Breidablik	2	Aug 31 – Sep 11	1 in 16
4	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	4	Jul 24 – Aug 22	1 in 11
5	Valur Reykjavik	2	Jul 15 – Jul 21	1 in 6

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valur Reykjavik	4	Jul 26 – Aug 22	1 in 74
2	Breidablik	4	Aug 15 – Aug 27	1 in 28
3	Fram Reykjavik	2	Jul 22 – Jul 29	1 in 17
4	Grindavik	3	Jun 23 – Jul 15	1 in 13
5	IA Akranes	2	Sep 11 – Sep 18	1 in 11

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Valur Reykjavik	6	Jun 1 – Jul 21	1 in 20
2	KR Reykjavik	13	Jun 24 – Sep 18	1 in 13
3	Fram Reykjavik	6	May 20 – Jun 20	1 in 13
4	Vikingur Reykjavik	3	Jun 1 – Jun 20	1 in 12
5	Breidablik	4	May 27 – Jun 20	1 in 12

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Fram Reykjavik	8	Jul 22 – Sep 11	1 in 25
2	IA Akranes	5	May 18 – Jun 12	1 in 24
3	Valur Reykjavik	7	May 20 – Jul 5	1 in 10
4	Breidablik	5	Jun 12 – Jul 21	1 in 7
5	Vikingur Reykjavik	11	May 24 – Aug 7	1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
KR Reykjavik	43.34%	32.71%	13.42%	6.01%	2.54%	1.32%	0.44%	0.18%	0.04%	—
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	44.65%	33.03%	13.31%	5.38%	2.09%	0.92%	0.42%	0.14%	0.05%	0.01%
IF Leiftur	1.96%	6.42%	14.57%	19.26%	18.04%	14.60%	10.88%	8.24%	4.92%	1.11%
IA Akranes	6.86%	15.91%	27.20%	20.03%	12.31%	7.87%	5.21%	3.09%	1.20%	0.32%
Breidablik	0.40%	1.42%	4.77%	8.56%	11.69%	14.89%	17.09%	17.71%	17.38%	6.09%
Grindavik	0.29%	1.14%	4.21%	7.08%	11.02%	14.28%	17.76%	18.43%	18.73%	7.06%
Fram Reykjavik	2.03%	6.82%	13.40%	17.90%	17.43%	15.65%	11.71%	8.40%	5.37%	1.29%
Keflavik IF	0.28%	1.55%	5.39%	9.17%	13.48%	15.42%	17.02%	17.11%	15.17%	5.41%
Valur Reykjavik	0.18%	0.97%	3.64%	6.27%	10.76%	13.62%	16.22%	20.14%	20.69%	7.51%
Vikingur Reykjavik	0.01%	0.03%	0.09%	0.34%	0.64%	1.43%	3.25%	6.56%	16.45%	71.20%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
KR Reykjavik	100%	<0.1%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar	99.9%	0.1%
IA Akranes	98.5%	1.5%
IF Leiftur	94.0%	6.0%
Fram Reykjavik	93.3%	6.7%
Keflavik IF	79.4%	20.6%
Breidablik	76.5%	23.5%
Grindavik	74.2%	25.8%
Valur Reykjavik	71.8%	28.2%
Vikingur Reykjavik	12.3%	87.6%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1999-05-18	IA Akranes	W 1-0	1508	1474	46.5%	31.1%	22.4%	+5.8	3
1999-05-18	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-1	1474	1508	22.4%	31.1%	46.5%	-5.8	0
1999-05-20	Valur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1340	1355	39.2%	33.6%	27.2%	+13.1	3
1999-05-20	@ Breidablik	L 0-2	1355	1340	27.2%	33.6%	39.2%	-13.1	0
1999-05-20	Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1348	1406	32.9%	34.3%	32.8%	-0.0	1
1999-05-20	@ Grindavik	D 1-1	1406	1348	32.8%	34.3%	32.9%	+0.0	1
1999-05-20	IF Leiftur	W 5-0	1529	1427	56.4%	25.6%	18.0%	+19.9	3
1999-05-20	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-5	1427	1529	18.0%	25.6%	56.4%	-19.9	0
1999-05-20	Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1210	1370	21.7%	30.5%	47.8%	+9.6	3
1999-05-20	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1370	1210	47.8%	30.5%	21.7%	-9.6	0
1999-05-24	Keflavik IF	W 2-0	1406	1360	48.0%	30.4%	21.6%	+10.6	4
1999-05-24	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1360	1406	21.6%	30.4%	48.0%	-10.6	0
1999-05-24	Breidablik	W 1-0	1348	1353	40.6%	33.2%	26.2%	+6.7	4
1999-05-24	@ Grindavik	L 0-1	1353	1348	26.2%	33.2%	40.6%	-6.7	3
1999-05-24	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1468	1219	76.6%	11.7%	11.7%	-2.9	1
1999-05-24	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	1219	1468	11.7%	11.7%	76.6%	+2.9	4
1999-05-24	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 0-0	1342	1548	18.7%	26.7%	54.6%	+1.8	1
1999-05-24	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1548	1342	54.6%	26.7%	18.7%	-1.8	4
1999-05-27	Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1346	1416	31.2%	34.3%	34.5%	+0.1	4
1999-05-27	@ Breidablik	D 1-1	1416	1346	34.5%	34.3%	31.2%	-0.1	5
1999-05-27	Grindavik	W 2-1	1547	1354	69.3%	16.7%	13.9%	+2.9	7
1999-05-27	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1354	1547	13.9%	16.7%	69.3%	-2.8	4
1999-05-27	IA Akranes	W 2-0	1350	1465	25.8%	33.1%	41.1%	+17.4	3
1999-05-27	@ Keflavik IF	L 0-2	1465	1350	41.1%	33.1%	25.8%	-17.4	1
1999-05-27	Valur Reykjavik	W 5-1	1514	1343	66.4%	18.8%	14.8%	+10.0	6
1999-05-27	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-5	1343	1514	14.8%	18.8%	66.4%	-10.0	1
1999-05-29	IF Leiftur	L 0-3	1222	1407	20.0%	28.6%	51.4%	-14.1	4
1999-05-29	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1407	1222	51.4%	28.6%	20.0%	+14.1	3
1999-05-31	IA Akranes	D 0-0	1416	1448	36.7%	34.1%	29.2%	-0.3	6
1999-05-31	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 0-0	1448	1416	29.2%	34.1%	36.7%	+0.4	2
1999-06-01	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 1-0	1346	1549	18.9%	27.0%	54.1%	+11.0	7
1999-06-01	@ Breidablik	L 0-1	1549	1346	54.1%	27.0%	18.9%	-11.0	7
1999-06-01	KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1352	1524	20.8%	29.6%	49.6%	-8.8	4
1999-06-01	@ Grindavik	W 3-1	1524	1352	49.6%	29.6%	20.8%	+8.8	9
1999-06-01	Keflavik IF	W 1-0	1421	1367	49.3%	29.7%	21.0%	+5.4	6
1999-06-01	@ IF Leiftur	L 0-1	1367	1421	21.0%	29.7%	49.3%	-5.5	3
1999-06-01	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1333	1208	59.9%	23.3%	16.8%	-2.0	2
1999-06-01	@ Valur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1208	1333	16.8%	23.3%	59.9%	+2.0	5
1999-06-12	IF Leiftur	D 0-0	1448	1427	44.5%	31.9%	23.6%	-1.0	3
1999-06-12	@ IA Akranes	D 0-0	1427	1448	23.6%	31.9%	44.5%	+1.0	7
1999-06-12	Fram Reykjavik	D 1-1	1538	1416	59.5%	23.6%	17.0%	-2.0	8
1999-06-12	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1416	1538	17.0%	23.6%	59.5%	+2.0	7
1999-06-12	Valur Reykjavik	D 4-4	1362	1332	45.8%	31.4%	22.8%	-0.5	4
1999-06-12	@ Keflavik IF	D 4-4	1332	1362	22.8%	31.4%	45.8%	+0.5	3
1999-06-12	Breidablik	D 0-0	1533	1357	67.0%	18.3%	14.6%	-2.7	10
1999-06-12	@ KR Reykjavik	D 0-0	1357	1533	14.6%	18.3%	67.0%	+2.7	8
1999-06-13	Grindavik	D 1-1	1210	1343	24.1%	32.2%	43.7%	+0.9	6
1999-06-13	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1343	1210	43.7%	32.2%	24.1%	-0.9	5
1999-06-19	KR Reykjavik	W 2-1	1536	1530	42.2%	32.7%	25.0%	+6.1	11
1999-06-19	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1530	1536	25.0%	32.7%	42.2%	-6.1	10
1999-06-20	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 1-1	1360	1211	63.3%	20.9%	15.8%	-2.2	9
1999-06-20	@ Breidablik	D 1-1	1211	1360	15.8%	20.9%	63.3%	+2.2	7
1999-06-20	IF Leiftur	W 2-0	1418	1428	39.9%	33.4%	26.7%	+12.9	10
1999-06-20	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1428	1418	26.7%	33.4%	39.9%	-12.9	7
1999-06-20	Keflavik IF	W 2-0	1342	1361	38.5%	33.7%	27.7%	+13.3	8
1999-06-20	@ Grindavik	L 0-2	1361	1342	27.7%	33.7%	38.5%	-13.3	4
1999-06-23	Grindavik	W 1-0	1447	1355	54.9%	26.5%	18.6%	+4.7	6
1999-06-23	@ IA Akranes	L 0-1	1355	1447	18.6%	26.5%	54.9%	-4.7	8
1999-06-23	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1213	1543	13.1%	14.8%	72.1%	-2.6	7
1999-06-23	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1543	1213	72.1%	14.8%	13.1%	+2.6	14
1999-06-24	Valur Reykjavik	D 0-0	1415	1332	53.6%	27.3%	19.1%	-1.8	8
1999-06-24	@ IF Leiftur	D 0-0	1332	1415	19.1%	27.3%	53.6%	+1.8	4
1999-06-24	Breidablik	W 2-1	1348	1358	39.9%	33.4%	26.7%	+6.4	7
1999-06-24	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1358	1348	26.7%	33.4%	39.9%	-6.4	9
1999-06-24	Fram Reykjavik	W 3-1	1524	1430	55.2%	26.3%	18.5%	+7.6	13
1999-06-24	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1430	1524	18.5%	26.3%	55.2%	-7.6	10
1999-06-27	KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1413	1532	25.4%	32.9%	41.7%	+0.7	9
1999-06-27	@ IF Leiftur	D 1-1	1532	1413	41.7%	32.9%	25.4%	-0.7	14
1999-07-04	IF Leiftur	L 0-1	1350	1414	32.1%	34.3%	33.5%	-7.8	8
1999-07-04	@ Grindavik	W 1-0	1414	1350	33.5%	34.3%	32.1%	+7.8	12
1999-07-04	Keflavik IF	W 1-0	1545	1354	69.1%	16.9%	14.0%	+3.0	17
1999-07-04	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-1	1354	1545	14.0%	16.9%	69.1%	-3.0	7
1999-07-04	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 4-1	1531	1210	84.5%	6.6%	8.9%	+3.7	17
1999-07-04	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-4	1210	1531	8.9%	6.6%	84.5%	-3.7	7
1999-07-05	Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1423	1334	54.5%	26.8%	18.7%	-1.2	11
1999-07-05	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 2-2	1334	1423	18.7%	26.8%	54.5%	+1.2	5
1999-07-14	Fram Reykjavik	L 0-2	1207	1422	18.2%	25.9%	55.8%	-8.6	7
1999-07-14	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-0	1422	1207	55.8%	25.9%	18.2%	+8.6	14
1999-07-15	Breidablik	D 2-2	1421	1352	51.7%	28.4%	19.9%	-1.1	13
1999-07-15	@ IF Leiftur	D 2-2	1352	1421	19.9%	28.4%	51.7%	+1.1	10
1999-07-15	KR Reykjavik	L 1-3	1351	1535	20.1%	28.7%	51.2%	-8.5	7
1999-07-15	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-1	1535	1351	51.2%	28.7%	20.1%	+8.5	20
1999-07-15	Grindavik	W 2-1	1335	1343	40.3%	33.3%	26.4%	+6.4	8
1999-07-15	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1343	1335	26.4%	33.3%	40.3%	-6.4	8
1999-07-16	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1452	1548	27.9%	33.8%	38.4%	+0.5	7
1999-07-16	@ IA Akranes	D 1-1	1548	1452	38.4%	33.8%	27.9%	-0.5	18
1999-07-21	Breidablik	W 2-1	1341	1353	39.7%	33.5%	26.8%	+6.5	11
1999-07-21	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1353	1341	26.8%	33.5%	39.7%	-6.5	10
1999-07-22	Grindavik	L 1-3	1430	1336	55.2%	26.3%	18.4%	-18.3	14
1999-07-22	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 3-1	1336	1430	18.4%	26.3%	55.2%	+18.3	11
1999-07-22	KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1452	1543	28.5%	33.9%	37.6%	-13.5	7
1999-07-22	@ IA Akranes	W 2-0	1543	1452	37.6%	33.9%	28.5%	+13.5	23
1999-07-22	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1343	1198	62.6%	21.4%	16.0%	+3.4	10
1999-07-22	@ Keflavik IF	L 2-3	1198	1343	16.0%	21.4%	62.6%	-3.4	7
1999-07-24	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	1420	1548	24.6%	32.5%	42.9%	-17.5	13
1999-07-24	@ IF Leiftur	W 3-0	1548	1420	42.9%	32.5%	24.6%	+17.5	21
1999-07-26	IA Akranes	L 1-2	1348	1439	28.6%	33.9%	37.5%	-6.8	11
1999-07-26	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1439	1348	37.5%	33.9%	28.6%	+6.8	10
1999-07-28	IF Leiftur	D 1-1	1557	1403	64.0%	20.5%	15.5%	-2.2	24
1999-07-28	@ KR Reykjavik	D 1-1	1403	1557	15.5%	20.5%	64.0%	+2.2	14
1999-07-29	Grindavik	W 4-1	1346	1354	40.1%	33.4%	26.5%	+15.7	13
1999-07-29	@ Breidablik	L 1-4	1354	1346	26.5%	33.4%	40.1%	-15.7	11
1999-07-29	Fram Reykjavik	W 2-1	1346	1412	31.8%	34.3%	33.9%	+7.6	13
1999-07-29	@ Keflavik IF	L 1-2	1412	1346	33.9%	34.3%	31.8%	-7.6	14
1999-07-29	IA Akranes	L 1-2	1195	1445	16.5%	22.5%	61.0%	-3.7	7
1999-07-29	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1445	1195	61.0%	22.5%	16.5%	+3.7	13
1999-08-07	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 1-0	1405	1191	72.3%	14.7%	13.1%	+2.7	17
1999-08-07	@ IF Leiftur	L 0-1	1191	1405	13.1%	14.7%	72.3%	-2.7	7
1999-08-08	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1339	1565	17.6%	24.9%	57.5%	-4.1	11
1999-08-08	@ Grindavik	W 2-1	1565	1339	57.5%	24.9%	17.6%	+4.1	24
1999-08-08	Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1449	1354	55.4%	26.2%	18.4%	-1.3	14
1999-08-08	@ IA Akranes	D 2-2	1354	1449	18.4%	26.2%	55.4%	+1.3	14
1999-08-08	KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1341	1555	18.3%	26.1%	55.6%	-4.3	11
1999-08-08	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 2-1	1555	1341	55.6%	26.1%	18.3%	+4.3	27
1999-08-10	Breidablik	D 2-2	1404	1362	47.6%	30.6%	21.8%	-0.9	15
1999-08-10	@ Fram Reykjavik	D 2-2	1362	1404	21.8%	30.6%	47.6%	+0.9	14
1999-08-15	Fram Reykjavik	W 1-0	1448	1404	47.9%	30.4%	21.7%	+5.6	17
1999-08-15	@ IA Akranes	L 0-1	1404	1448	21.7%	30.4%	47.9%	-5.7	15
1999-08-15	Breidablik	W 2-1	1569	1363	71.3%	15.4%	13.4%	+2.7	27
1999-08-15	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 1-2	1363	1569	13.4%	15.4%	71.3%	-2.7	14
1999-08-15	IF Leiftur	D 2-2	1355	1408	33.7%	34.3%	32.0%	-0.0	15
1999-08-15	@ Keflavik IF	D 2-2	1408	1355	32.0%	34.3%	33.7%	+0.0	18
1999-08-15	Grindavik	W 2-1	1559	1335	73.6%	13.7%	12.6%	+2.5	30
1999-08-15	@ KR Reykjavik	L 1-2	1335	1559	12.6%	13.7%	73.6%	-2.5	11
1999-08-16	Valur Reykjavik	W 5-4	1188	1337	22.7%	31.3%	46.0%	+8.5	10
1999-08-16	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 4-5	1337	1188	46.0%	31.3%	22.7%	-8.5	11
1999-08-18	IA Akranes	L 1-3	1360	1453	28.2%	33.9%	37.9%	-11.7	14
1999-08-18	@ Breidablik	W 3-1	1453	1360	37.9%	33.9%	28.2%	+11.6	20
1999-08-21	KR Reykjavik	L 0-3	1348	1562	18.3%	26.1%	55.6%	-12.6	14
1999-08-21	@ Breidablik	W 3-0	1562	1348	55.6%	26.1%	18.3%	+12.6	33
1999-08-21	Vikingur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1332	1197	61.3%	22.3%	16.4%	-1.5	12
1999-08-21	@ Grindavik	D 2-2	1197	1332	16.4%	22.3%	61.3%	+1.5	11
1999-08-21	IA Akranes	L 1-4	1408	1465	33.0%	34.3%	32.6%	-18.4	18
1999-08-21	@ IF Leiftur	W 4-1	1465	1408	32.6%	34.3%	33.0%	+18.4	23
1999-08-22	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-2	1398	1572	20.7%	29.5%	49.8%	-10.1	15
1999-08-22	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 2-0	1572	1398	49.8%	29.5%	20.7%	+10.1	30
1999-08-22	Keflavik IF	L 2-3	1328	1355	37.4%	33.9%	28.6%	-7.7	11
1999-08-22	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1355	1328	28.6%	33.9%	37.4%	+7.7	18
1999-08-25	Valur Reykjavik	D 2-2	1582	1320	78.2%	10.6%	11.2%	-2.2	31
1999-08-25	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 2-2	1320	1582	11.2%	10.6%	78.2%	+2.2	12
1999-08-27	Breidablik	W 1-0	1198	1336	23.6%	32.0%	44.4%	+9.7	14
1999-08-27	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1336	1198	44.4%	32.0%	23.6%	-9.7	14
1999-08-28	Grindavik	L 2-3	1363	1331	46.1%	31.3%	22.6%	-8.9	18
1999-08-28	@ Keflavik IF	W 3-2	1331	1363	22.6%	31.3%	46.1%	+8.9	15
1999-08-29	Valur Reykjavik	L 0-1	1483	1323	64.9%	19.8%	15.3%	-12.4	23
1999-08-29	@ IA Akranes	W 1-0	1323	1483	15.3%	19.8%	64.9%	+12.3	15
1999-08-29	Fram Reykjavik	D 3-3	1390	1388	41.6%	32.9%	25.4%	-0.4	19
1999-08-29	@ IF Leiftur	D 3-3	1388	1390	25.4%	32.9%	41.6%	+0.4	16
1999-08-29	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	W 3-0	1574	1580	40.5%	33.3%	26.2%	+18.4	36
1999-08-29	@ KR Reykjavik	L 0-3	1580	1574	26.2%	33.3%	40.5%	-18.4	31
1999-08-31	Keflavik IF	W 2-1	1326	1354	37.3%	34.0%	28.8%	+6.8	17
1999-08-31	@ Breidablik	L 1-2	1354	1326	28.8%	34.0%	37.3%	-6.8	18
1999-09-01	KR Reykjavik	L 0-2	1388	1593	18.8%	26.9%	54.3%	-9.0	16
1999-09-01	@ Fram Reykjavik	W 2-0	1593	1388	54.3%	26.9%	18.8%	+9.0	39
1999-09-01	IA Akranes	D 2-2	1340	1471	24.2%	32.3%	43.5%	+0.6	16
1999-09-01	@ Grindavik	D 2-2	1471	1340	43.5%	32.3%	24.2%	-0.6	24
1999-09-01	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-0	1561	1208	87.3%	4.9%	7.8%	+3.7	34
1999-09-01	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-3	1208	1561	7.8%	4.9%	87.3%	-3.7	14
1999-09-02	IF Leiftur	L 2-4	1335	1389	33.5%	34.3%	32.2%	-11.7	15
1999-09-02	@ Valur Reykjavik	W 4-2	1389	1335	32.2%	34.3%	33.5%	+11.7	22
1999-09-11	Breidablik	L 2-3	1470	1333	61.6%	22.1%	16.3%	-10.7	24
1999-09-11	@ IA Akranes	W 3-2	1333	1470	16.3%	22.1%	61.6%	+10.7	20
1999-09-11	Grindavik	W 2-1	1401	1340	50.3%	29.2%	20.5%	+5.0	25
1999-09-11	@ IF Leiftur	L 1-2	1340	1401	20.5%	29.2%	50.3%	-5.0	16
1999-09-11	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	D 1-1	1347	1565	18.1%	25.6%	56.3%	+1.8	19
1999-09-11	@ Keflavik IF	D 1-1	1565	1347	56.3%	25.6%	18.1%	-1.8	35
1999-09-11	Fram Reykjavik	W 2-1	1323	1379	33.2%	34.3%	32.5%	+7.4	18
1999-09-11	@ Valur Reykjavik	L 1-2	1379	1323	32.5%	34.3%	33.2%	-7.4	16
1999-09-11	KR Reykjavik	L 0-4	1204	1602	10.4%	9.2%	80.3%	-7.1	14
1999-09-11	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	W 4-0	1602	1204	80.3%	9.2%	10.4%	+7.1	42
1999-09-18	IF Leiftur	D 0-0	1344	1406	32.3%	34.3%	33.4%	+0.0	21
1999-09-18	@ Breidablik	D 0-0	1406	1344	33.4%	34.3%	32.3%	-0.1	26
1999-09-18	Vikingur Reykjavik	W 3-2	1372	1197	66.9%	18.5%	14.7%	+2.9	19
1999-09-18	@ Fram Reykjavik	L 2-3	1197	1372	14.7%	18.5%	66.9%	-2.9	14
1999-09-18	Valur Reykjavik	W 3-1	1335	1331	42.0%	32.8%	25.2%	+10.6	19
1999-09-18	@ Grindavik	L 1-3	1331	1335	25.2%	32.8%	42.0%	-10.6	18
1999-09-18	IA Akranes	W 2-0	1563	1460	56.7%	25.4%	17.9%	+8.4	38
1999-09-18	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	L 0-2	1460	1563	17.9%	25.4%	56.7%	-8.4	24
1999-09-18	Keflavik IF	W 3-2	1609	1349	78.0%	10.8%	11.2%	+2.0	45
1999-09-18	@ KR Reykjavik	L 2-3	1349	1609	11.2%	10.8%	78.0%	-1.9	19

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1999-08-29	15.26%	Valur Reykjavik	1323	1	@ IA Akranes	1483	0
2	1999-09-11	16.28%	Breidablik	1333	3	@ IA Akranes	1470	2
3	1999-07-22	18.45%	Grindavik	1336	3	@ Fram Reykjavik	1430	1
4	1999-06-01	18.90%	@ Breidablik	1346	1	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1549	0
5	1999-05-20	21.74%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1210	2	Keflavik IF	1370	1
6	1999-08-28	22.64%	Grindavik	1331	3	@ Keflavik IF	1363	2
7	1999-08-16	22.69%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1188	5	Valur Reykjavik	1337	4
8	1999-08-27	23.65%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1198	1	Breidablik	1336	0
9	1999-05-27	25.80%	@ Keflavik IF	1350	2	IA Akranes	1465	0
10	1999-08-22	28.63%	Keflavik IF	1355	3	@ Valur Reykjavik	1328	2
11	1999-07-29	31.79%	@ Keflavik IF	1346	2	Fram Reykjavik	1412	1
12	1999-09-02	32.21%	IF Leiftur	1389	4	@ Valur Reykjavik	1335	2
13	1999-08-21	32.64%	IA Akranes	1465	4	@ IF Leiftur	1408	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-05-20	19.89	@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar	5	1529	56.37%	IF Leiftur	0	1427	18.03%
2	1999-08-29	18.44	@ KR Reykjavik	3	1574	40.52%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	1580	26.22%
3	1999-08-21	18.37	IA Akranes	4	1465	32.64%	@ IF Leiftur	1	1408	33.03%
4	1999-07-22	18.29	Grindavik	3	1336	18.45%	@ Fram Reykjavik	1	1430	55.25%
5	1999-07-24	17.46	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	3	1548	42.91%	@ IF Leiftur	0	1420	24.58%
6	1999-05-27	17.36	@ Keflavik IF	2	1350	25.80%	IA Akranes	0	1465	41.10%
7	1999-07-29	15.68	@ Breidablik	4	1346	40.14%	Grindavik	1	1354	26.50%
8	1999-05-29	14.14	IF Leiftur	3	1407	51.39%	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	0	1222	20.01%
9	1999-07-22	13.53	KR Reykjavik	2	1543	37.62%	@ IA Akranes	0	1452	28.47%
10	1999-06-20	13.27	@ Grindavik	2	1342	38.52%	Keflavik IF	0	1361	27.74%
11	1999-05-20	13.07	@ Breidablik	2	1340	39.20%	Valur Reykjavik	0	1355	27.21%
12	1999-06-20	12.87	@ Fram Reykjavik	2	1418	39.90%	IF Leiftur	0	1428	26.68%
13	1999-08-21	12.63	KR Reykjavik	3	1562	55.57%	@ Breidablik	0	1348	18.33%
14	1999-08-29	12.35	Valur Reykjavik	1	1323	15.26%	@ IA Akranes	0	1483	64.93%
15	1999-09-02	11.72	IF Leiftur	4	1389	32.21%	@ Valur Reykjavik	2	1335	33.46%
16	1999-08-18	11.65	IA Akranes	3	1453	37.91%	@ Breidablik	1	1360	28.23%
17	1999-06-01	11.04	@ Breidablik	1	1346	18.90%	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	0	1549	54.08%
18	1999-09-11	10.71	Breidablik	3	1333	16.28%	@ IA Akranes	2	1470	61.61%
19	1999-09-18	10.63	@ Grindavik	3	1335	42.02%	Valur Reykjavik	1	1331	25.16%
20	1999-05-24	10.62	@ Fram Reykjavik	2	1406	48.02%	Keflavik IF	0	1360	21.62%
21	1999-08-22	10.14	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	2	1572	49.81%	@ Fram Reykjavik	0	1398	20.73%
22	1999-05-27	9.96	@ KR Reykjavik	5	1514	66.38%	Valur Reykjavik	1	1343	14.82%
23	1999-08-27	9.70	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	1	1198	23.65%	Breidablik	0	1336	44.38%
24	1999-05-20	9.61	@ Vikingur Reykjavik	2	1210	21.74%	Keflavik IF	1	1370	47.78%
25	1999-09-01	9.01	KR Reykjavik	2	1593	54.28%	@ Fram Reykjavik	0	1388	18.82%