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2026-27 Premier League Season

39 games played · 20 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Arsenal

54.42% chance to win the title

Biggest Overachiever

Manchester City

4.46 points above expected

12 points · 7.54 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fulham

4.22 points below expected

1 points · 5.22 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Arsenal 4 4 0 0 12 8 1 +7 7.82 +4.18
2 Manchester City 4 4 0 0 12 8 2 +6 7.54 +4.46
3 Leeds United 4 2 2 0 8 7 3 +4 5.07 +2.93
4 Hull City 4 2 2 0 8 5 2 +3 4.57 +3.43
5 Brighton 4 2 1 1 7 13 5 +8 6.18 +0.82
6 Chelsea 4 2 1 1 7 10 9 +1 5.08 +1.92
7 Liverpool 4 1 3 0 6 6 4 +2 6.57 -0.57
8 Everton 4 1 3 0 6 5 3 +2 5.70 +0.30
9 Ipswich Town 4 2 0 2 6 7 10 -3 4.95 +1.05
10 Nottingham Forest 4 1 2 1 5 4 4 0 5.70 -0.70
11 Newcastle United 4 1 2 1 5 7 8 -1 5.58 -0.58
12 Manchester United 4 1 1 2 4 7 7 0 5.76 -1.76
13 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 4 3 5 -2 4.28 -0.28
14 Brentford 3 0 3 0 3 4 4 0 4.02 -1.02
15 Bournemouth 4 0 3 1 3 6 7 -1 5.07 -2.07
16 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 3 6 11 -5 4.61 -1.61
17 Tottenham 3 0 2 1 2 0 2 -2 3.55 -1.55
18 Fulham 4 0 1 3 1 4 7 -3 5.22 -4.22
19 Aston Villa 4 0 1 3 1 1 7 -6 4.57 -3.57
20 Coventry City 4 0 0 4 0 0 10 -10 4.09 -4.09

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Manchester City 12 7.54 +4.46
2 Arsenal 12 7.82 +4.18
3 Hull City 8 4.57 +3.43
4 Leeds United 8 5.07 +2.93
5 Chelsea 7 5.08 +1.92

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fulham 1 5.22 -4.22
2 Coventry City 0 4.09 -4.09
3 Aston Villa 1 4.57 -3.57
4 Bournemouth 3 5.07 -2.07
5 Manchester United 4 5.76 -1.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hull City 2 Aug 22 – Aug 29 1 in 17
2 Manchester City 4 Aug 23 – Sep 13 1 in 12
3 Arsenal 4 Aug 21 – Sep 12 1 in 10
4 Chelsea 2 Aug 24 – Aug 30 1 in 9
5 Crystal Palace 1 Sep 5 – Sep 5 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fulham 3 Aug 24 – Sep 5 1 in 34
2 Coventry City 4 Aug 21 – Sep 13 1 in 24
3 Ipswich Town 2 Aug 30 – Sep 4 1 in 5
4 Aston Villa 2 Aug 23 – Aug 31 1 in 5
5 Manchester United 1 Aug 22 – Aug 22 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hull City 4 Aug 22 – Sep 12 1 in 10
2 Leeds United 4 Aug 22 – Sep 14 1 in 7
3 Everton 4 Aug 22 – Sep 12 1 in 5
4 Brentford 3 Aug 30 – Sep 12 1 in 4
5 Nottingham Forest 3 Aug 29 – Sep 12 1 in 4

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fulham 4 Aug 24 – Sep 12 1 in 6
2 Bournemouth 4 Aug 23 – Sep 12 1 in 5
3 Nottingham Forest 3 Aug 22 – Sep 5 1 in 5
4 Aston Villa 4 Aug 23 – Sep 12 1 in 4
5 Everton 3 Aug 29 – Sep 12 1 in 4

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Brighton +57.38 2225
2 Leeds United +37.23 2160
3 Arsenal +24.52 2307
4 Liverpool +22.23 2182
5 Manchester City +18.77 2289

Biggest Elo Losers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Coventry City -67.16 2002
2 Newcastle United -37.51 2113
3 Sunderland -15.25 2059
4 Aston Villa -15.09 2059
5 Fulham -14.14 2061

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Arsenal 2307 12 +58 12 7.8 +4.2
Manchester City 2289 12 +53 12 7.5 +4.5
Hull City 2083 8 +60 8 4.6 +3.4
Leeds United 2160 8 +56 8 5.1 +2.9
Brighton 2225 7 +96 7 6.2 +0.8
Chelsea 2140 7 +20 7 5.1 +1.9
Everton 2131 6 +26 6 5.7 +0.3
Ipswich Town 2063 6 -23 6 5.0 +1.0
Liverpool 2182 6 +21 6 6.6 -0.6
Nottingham Forest 2125 5 -5 5 5.7 -0.7
Newcastle United 2113 5 -5 5 5.6 -0.6
Manchester United 2145 4 -27 4 5.8 -1.8
Sunderland 2059 4 -12 4 4.3 -0.3
Crystal Palace 2042 3 -48 3 4.6 -1.6
Bournemouth 2131 3 -10 3 5.1 -2.1
Brentford 2122 3 +0 3 4.0 -1.0
Tottenham 2054 2 -28 2 3.5 -1.5
Aston Villa 2059 1 -77 1 4.6 -3.6
Fulham 2061 1 -45 1 5.2 -4.2
Coventry City 2002 0 -110 0 4.1 -4.1

Upcoming Matches

The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.

Date Favored By Home Win% – Draw% – Win% Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-08-22 0.41 Brentford 3 pts·2122 47% – 29% – 25% Tottenham 2 pts·2082 61.3

Recent Matches

The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.

Date Favored By Home Score Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-09-14 0.09 Leeds United 8 pts·2125·+35.73 4 – 1 Newcastle United 5 pts·2149·-35.73 59.3
2026-09-13 Coventry City 0 pts·2062·-60.13 0 – 5 Brighton 7 pts·2165·+60.13 0.2853.5
2026-09-13 Manchester United 4 pts·2158·-12.94 0 – 1 Manchester City 12 pts·2276·+12.95 0.3657.6
2026-09-12 0.05 Aston Villa 1 pts·2075·-15.92 1 – 2 Nottingham Forest 5 pts·2109·+15.92 66.2
2026-09-12 0.26 Bournemouth 3 pts·2132·-0.99 2 – 2 Brentford 3 pts·2121·+0.99 76.0
2026-09-12 0.50 Chelsea 7 pts·2141·-1.83 2 – 2 Hull City 8 pts·2081·+1.84 76.1
2026-09-12 0.27 Crystal Palace 3 pts·2059·-17.06 2 – 3 Ipswich Town 6 pts·2046·+17.05 72.9
2026-09-12 0.83 Liverpool 6 pts·2186·-4.37 0 – 0 Fulham 1 pts·2057·+4.38 67.0
2026-09-12 Tottenham 2 pts·2053·+0.94 0 – 0 Everton 6 pts·2131·-0.94 0.1766.4
2026-09-12 Sunderland 4 pts·2076·-16.88 0 – 2 Arsenal 12 pts·2290·+16.89 0.8250.9

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BOU BRE BRI CHE CC CP EVE FUL HC IT LU LIV MC MU NU NF SUN TOT
Arsenal —
1-0-0
1.89
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.98
1-0-0
1.99
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.96
0-0-0
0.00
Aston Villa
0-0-1
0.84
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.20
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.14
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.40
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Bournemouth
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-1-0
1.58
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.54
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.85
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.10
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Brentford
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.13
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.17
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.72
0-0-0
0.00
Brighton
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.51
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-1
1.36
1-0-0
1.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.71
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Chelsea
0-0-1
0.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.35
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.22
0-1-0
1.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Coventry City
0-0-1
0.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.12
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.63
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.60
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Crystal Palace
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-1
1.12
1-0-0
1.05
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.59
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.86
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Everton
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.17
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.60
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.43
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.50
Fulham
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.67
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.31
0-0-0
0.00
Hull City
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.96
1-0-0
1.08
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.96
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Ipswich Town
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.12
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.18
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.05
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.60
0-0-0
0.00
Leeds United
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.54
0-1-0
1.01
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.44
1-0-0
1.08
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Liverpool
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.97
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.53
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.35
0-1-0
1.73
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Manchester City
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.15
1-0-0
1.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
1.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Manchester United
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.28
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.76
1-0-0
1.66
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.06
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Newcastle United
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.27
0-1-0
1.36
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.32
Nottingham Forest
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.31
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.64
0-1-0
0.99
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.76
Sunderland
0-0-1
0.77
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.99
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.40
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.11
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
Tottenham
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.21
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.38
0-1-0
0.95
0-0-0
0.00
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.45 +6.9
Allowed 0.30 -5.9
Differential 0.73 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.26%7.69%6.41%1.28%1.28%1.28%28.21%
17.69%10.26%5.13%—2.56%—25.64%
26.41%5.13%15.38%3.85%—1.28%32.05%
31.28%—3.85%—1.28%—6.41%
41.28%2.56%—1.28%——5.13%
5+1.28%—1.28%———2.56%
Total28.21%25.64%32.05%6.41%5.13%2.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.42 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.70
CV 0.88 0.88 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 39

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
125.00%—————25.00%
225.00%25.00%————50.00%
325.00%—————25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total75.00%25.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.25 +1.75
SD 0.82 0.50 0.96
CV 0.41 2.00 —
Max 3 1 +3
Min 1 0 +1

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%25.00%——25.00%—75.00%
1——25.00%———25.00%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%25.00%25.00%—25.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.25 1.75 -1.50
SD 0.50 1.71 1.73
CV 2.00 0.98 —
Max 1 4 +0
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—25.00%25.00%———50.00%
2——50.00%———50.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—25.00%75.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.75 -0.25
SD 0.58 0.50 0.50
CV 0.38 0.29 —
Max 2 2 +0
Min 1 1 -1

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—66.67%————66.67%
2——33.33%———33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—66.67%33.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 0.58 0.58 0.00
CV 0.43 0.43 —
Max 2 2 +0
Min 1 1 +0

Games Played: 3

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—25.00%————25.00%
2———————
3————25.00%—25.00%
425.00%—————25.00%
5+25.00%—————25.00%
Total50.00%25.00%——25.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.25 1.25 +2.00
SD 1.71 1.89 2.94
CV 0.53 1.51 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1——25.00%———25.00%
2——25.00%———25.00%
3——25.00%———25.00%
4———25.00%——25.00%
5+———————
Total——75.00%25.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 2.25 +0.25
SD 1.29 0.50 0.96
CV 0.52 0.22 —
Max 4 3 +1
Min 1 2 -1

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—50.00%—25.00%—25.00%100.00%
1———————
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—50.00%—25.00%—25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.00 2.50 -2.50
SD 0.00 1.91 1.91
CV — 0.77 —
Max 0 5 -1
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——25.00%———25.00%
1————25.00%—25.00%
2———25.00%——25.00%
3——25.00%———25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total——50.00%25.00%25.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.75 -1.25
SD 1.29 0.96 1.71
CV 0.86 0.35 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 2 -3

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%—————25.00%
1—25.00%————25.00%
225.00%—25.00%———50.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%25.00%25.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 0.75 +0.50
SD 0.96 0.96 1.00
CV 0.77 1.28 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%25.00%————50.00%
1———————
2———50.00%——50.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%25.00%—50.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.75 -0.75
SD 1.15 1.50 0.50
CV 1.15 0.86 —
Max 2 3 +0
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%—————25.00%
125.00%—————25.00%
225.00%—25.00%———50.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total75.00%—25.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 0.50 +0.75
SD 0.96 1.00 0.96
CV 0.77 2.00 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——25.00%———25.00%
1———————
2—25.00%———25.00%50.00%
3——25.00%———25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total—25.00%50.00%——25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 2.50 -0.75
SD 1.26 1.73 2.06
CV 0.72 0.69 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
125.00%50.00%————75.00%
2———————
3———————
4—25.00%————25.00%
5+———————
Total25.00%75.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 0.75 +1.00
SD 1.50 0.50 1.41
CV 0.86 0.67 —
Max 4 1 +3
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%—————25.00%
1———————
225.00%—50.00%———75.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%—50.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.00 +0.50
SD 1.00 1.15 1.00
CV 0.67 1.15 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
150.00%—————50.00%
2—25.00%————25.00%
3———————
4—25.00%————25.00%
5+———————
Total50.00%50.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.50 +1.50
SD 1.41 0.58 1.00
CV 0.71 1.15 —
Max 4 1 +3
Min 1 0 +1

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—25.00%25.00%———50.00%
1———————
2——25.00%———25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+——25.00%———25.00%
Total—25.00%75.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 1.75 +0.00
SD 2.36 0.50 2.16
CV 1.35 0.29 —
Max 5 2 +3
Min 0 1 -2

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1————25.00%—25.00%
225.00%—50.00%———75.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%—50.00%—25.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 2.00 -0.25
SD 0.50 1.63 2.06
CV 0.29 0.82 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%25.00%————50.00%
1———————
2—25.00%25.00%———50.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%50.00%25.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.00 +0.00
SD 1.15 0.82 0.82
CV 1.15 0.82 —
Max 2 2 +1
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——25.00%———25.00%
125.00%25.00%25.00%———75.00%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%25.00%50.00%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.25 -0.50
SD 0.50 0.96 1.29
CV 0.67 0.77 —
Max 1 2 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 4

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
066.67%—33.33%———100.00%
1———————
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total66.67%—33.33%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.00 0.67 -0.67
SD 0.00 1.15 1.15
CV — 1.73 —
Max 0 2 +0
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 3

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Exp. Pts. Rem. Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Arsenal 2307 12 79.14 67.14 54 68 74 79 84 91 103
Manchester City 2289 12 77.56 65.56 47 66 73 78 82 89 102
Brighton 2225 7 65.66 58.66 35 54 61 66 71 77 97
Liverpool 2182 6 59.35 53.35 32 47 54 59 64 71 86
Leeds United 2160 8 59.43 51.43 32 47 55 59 64 72 86
Manchester United 2145 4 53.28 49.28 28 41 48 53 58 65 79
Chelsea 2140 7 56.11 49.11 30 44 51 56 61 68 91
Bournemouth 2131 3 50.71 47.71 24 39 46 51 56 63 79
Everton 2131 6 52.73 46.73 28 41 48 53 58 65 78
Nottingham Forest 2125 5 51.22 46.22 25 39 46 51 56 63 78
Brentford 2122 3 50.52 47.52 22 38 46 50 55 63 79
Newcastle United 2113 5 50.02 45.02 23 38 45 50 55 62 77
Hull City 2083 8 48.44 40.44 24 37 43 48 53 61 77
Ipswich Town 2063 6 44.18 38.18 21 33 39 44 49 56 70
Fulham 2061 1 38.94 37.94 13 28 34 39 44 51 73
Aston Villa 2059 1 39.76 38.76 17 28 35 40 45 52 70
Sunderland 2059 4 42.10 38.10 16 31 37 42 47 54 73
Tottenham 2054 2 40.30 38.30 16 29 35 40 45 52 69
Crystal Palace 2042 3 38.88 35.88 14 28 34 39 44 51 66
Coventry City 2002 0 31.99 31.99 10 21 27 32 36 43 60

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Arsenal54.42%34.48%8.48%1.77%0.58%0.16%0.05%0.03%0.01%0.02%——————————
Manchester City40.09%43.36%11.46%3.14%1.20%0.47%0.16%0.05%0.05%—0.01%—0.01%———————
Leeds United0.54%3.05%13.28%18.40%16.03%12.20%9.79%7.58%5.63%4.11%3.36%2.01%1.59%1.08%0.68%0.32%0.20%0.10%0.05%—
Hull City—0.10%0.74%2.55%3.94%4.66%6.05%7.33%7.91%8.99%9.32%8.80%8.98%7.96%6.98%5.76%4.56%2.90%1.77%0.70%
Brighton4.06%13.19%34.19%19.33%10.85%7.12%4.21%2.72%1.66%1.12%0.61%0.41%0.23%0.12%0.10%0.05%0.02%0.01%——
Chelsea0.19%1.19%6.45%10.46%12.38%12.71%11.10%9.65%7.88%7.29%5.77%4.56%3.46%2.56%1.91%1.27%0.61%0.40%0.14%0.02%
Liverpool0.55%2.93%12.80%17.12%15.09%12.93%9.92%7.67%6.22%4.50%3.65%2.17%1.82%1.08%0.90%0.28%0.21%0.09%0.07%—
Everton0.05%0.34%3.09%5.90%8.11%9.28%9.83%9.88%9.60%8.71%8.35%7.14%5.71%4.83%3.57%2.65%1.49%0.90%0.44%0.13%
Ipswich Town——0.13%0.38%1.20%1.56%2.43%3.12%4.37%5.65%6.45%7.89%9.39%10.62%10.57%10.85%9.36%7.42%5.97%2.64%
Nottingham Forest0.03%0.29%1.64%3.65%5.96%7.52%9.00%8.95%9.47%9.03%8.84%8.86%7.41%5.76%4.69%3.76%2.46%1.53%0.81%0.34%
Newcastle United0.03%0.14%1.08%2.82%4.22%5.80%7.66%8.23%9.09%9.74%9.06%9.28%8.17%6.64%6.34%4.69%3.41%2.14%1.12%0.34%
Manchester United0.01%0.49%3.34%6.33%8.41%9.39%9.95%10.47%9.57%8.68%7.74%6.77%5.94%4.47%3.26%2.28%1.60%0.79%0.42%0.09%
Sunderland——0.15%0.23%0.61%0.96%1.29%2.48%2.96%3.89%5.23%6.42%8.32%9.62%11.27%11.65%11.60%10.05%8.60%4.67%
Brentford0.02%0.21%1.63%4.09%5.64%6.79%8.08%8.41%9.33%9.02%9.08%8.29%7.73%6.58%4.75%3.91%2.66%2.16%1.15%0.47%
Bournemouth0.01%0.23%1.46%3.53%4.98%6.96%7.52%8.37%9.33%9.39%9.38%9.05%7.91%6.57%5.30%3.76%2.85%1.95%1.04%0.41%
Crystal Palace——0.01%0.06%0.11%0.34%0.53%0.92%1.47%2.19%2.81%3.83%4.77%7.27%8.37%10.88%13.70%15.16%16.00%11.58%
Tottenham——0.02%0.11%0.28%0.44%1.02%1.55%1.86%2.78%3.95%4.82%6.44%8.40%9.98%11.20%12.10%13.91%13.38%7.76%
Fulham——0.02%0.06%0.19%0.33%0.51%1.14%1.61%2.11%2.59%4.19%5.18%7.28%9.54%11.37%12.80%15.23%14.56%11.29%
Aston Villa——0.03%0.07%0.22%0.36%0.86%1.38%1.81%2.59%3.30%4.58%5.87%7.40%9.01%10.58%13.30%13.89%14.40%10.35%
Coventry City—————0.02%0.04%0.07%0.17%0.19%0.50%0.93%1.07%1.76%2.78%4.74%7.07%11.37%20.08%49.21%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Manchester City 100% —
Brighton 99.99% 0.01%
Leeds United 99.85% 0.15%
Liverpool 99.84% 0.16%
Chelsea 99.44% 0.56%
Manchester United 98.70% 1.30%
Everton 98.53% 1.47%
Nottingham Forest 97.32% 2.68%
Bournemouth 96.60% 3.40%
Newcastle United 96.40% 3.60%
Brentford 96.22% 3.78%
Hull City 94.63% 5.37%
Ipswich Town 83.97% 16.03%
Sunderland 76.68% 23.32%
Tottenham 64.95% 35.05%
Aston Villa 61.36% 38.64%
Fulham 58.92% 41.08%
Crystal Palace 57.26% 42.74%
Coventry City 19.34% 80.66%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-08-21 Coventry City W 3-048.7 2248 2111 57.46% 26.82% 15.71%+0.87 +23.4 3
2026-08-21 @ Arsenal L 0-348.7 2111 2248 15.71% 26.82% 57.46%-0.87 -23.4 0
2026-08-22 Manchester United W 2-061.0 2023 2172 22.48% 28.28% 49.25%-0.50 +39.9 3
2026-08-22 @ Hull City L 0-261.0 2172 2023 49.25% 28.28% 22.48%+0.50 -39.9 0
2026-08-22 Crystal Palace W 2-054.7 2105 2090 43.59% 28.79% 27.62%+0.28 +25.7 3
2026-08-22 @ Everton L 0-254.7 2090 2105 27.62% 28.79% 43.59%-0.28 -25.7 0
2026-08-22 Sunderland W 2-163.2 2086 2070 43.69% 28.78% 27.53%+0.29 +12.8 3
2026-08-22 @ Ipswich Town L 1-263.2 2070 2086 27.53% 28.78% 43.69%-0.29 -12.8 0
2026-08-22 Leeds United L 0-163.4 2129 2104 44.95% 28.70% 26.35%+0.33 -19.6 0
2026-08-22 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-063.4 2104 2129 26.35% 28.70% 44.95%-0.33 +19.6 3
2026-08-23 Aston Villa W 4-053.5 2129 2136 40.74% 28.94% 30.32%+0.18 +52.4 3
2026-08-23 @ Brighton L 0-453.5 2136 2129 30.32% 28.94% 40.74%-0.18 -52.4 0
2026-08-23 Bournemouth W 2-160.4 2237 2141 53.20% 27.70% 19.10%+0.67 +9.6 3
2026-08-23 @ Manchester City L 1-260.4 2141 2237 19.10% 27.70% 53.20%-0.67 -9.6 0
2026-08-23 Liverpool D 2-275.9 2119 2161 35.80% 29.03% 35.16%+0.01 -0.0 1
2026-08-23 @ Newcastle United D 2-275.9 2161 2119 35.16% 29.03% 35.80%-0.01 +0.0 1
2026-08-24 Chelsea L 2-371.9 2106 2119 39.90% 28.97% 31.13%+0.15 -16.0 0
2026-08-24 @ Fulham W 3-271.9 2119 2106 31.13% 28.97% 39.90%-0.15 +16.0 3
2026-08-28 Manchester City L 1-454.9 2064 2246 19.27% 27.73% 53.00%-0.66 -23.6 0
2026-08-28 @ Crystal Palace W 4-154.9 2246 2064 53.00% 27.73% 19.27%+0.66 +23.6 6
2026-08-29 Nottingham Forest D 2-276.1 2161 2110 48.15% 28.40% 23.45%+0.46 -1.7 2
2026-08-29 @ Liverpool D 2-276.1 2110 2161 23.45% 28.40% 48.15%-0.46 +1.7 1
2026-08-29 Everton D 1-170.6 2132 2131 41.77% 28.89% 29.34%+0.22 -1.1 1
2026-08-29 @ Bournemouth D 1-170.6 2131 2132 29.34% 28.89% 41.77%-0.22 +1.1 4
2026-08-29 Hull City L 0-163.4 2088 2063 44.86% 28.70% 26.43%+0.33 -19.6 0
2026-08-29 @ Coventry City W 1-063.4 2063 2088 26.43% 28.70% 44.86%-0.33 +19.6 6
2026-08-29 Newcastle United L 0-257.4 2082 2119 36.48% 29.03% 34.48%+0.03 -31.5 0
2026-08-29 @ Tottenham W 2-057.4 2119 2082 34.48% 29.03% 36.48%-0.03 +31.5 4
2026-08-30 Brighton W 4-373.5 2135 2182 35.16% 29.03% 35.80%-0.01 +14.4 6
2026-08-30 @ Chelsea L 3-473.5 2182 2135 35.80% 29.03% 35.16%+0.01 -14.4 3
2026-08-30 Brentford D 1-170.6 2124 2122 41.82% 28.89% 29.29%+0.22 -1.1 4
2026-08-30 @ Leeds United D 1-170.6 2122 2124 29.29% 28.89% 41.82%-0.22 +1.1 1
2026-08-30 Fulham W 1-060.2 2058 2091 37.08% 29.03% 33.89%+0.05 +15.9 3
2026-08-30 @ Sunderland L 0-160.2 2091 2058 33.89% 29.03% 37.08%-0.05 -15.9 0
2026-08-30 Ipswich Town W 5-259.8 2132 2099 45.94% 28.62% 25.44%+0.37 +25.6 3
2026-08-30 @ Manchester United L 2-559.8 2099 2132 25.44% 28.62% 45.94%-0.37 -25.6 3
2026-08-31 Arsenal L 0-155.2 2083 2272 18.69% 27.61% 53.70%-0.69 -10.0 0
2026-08-31 @ Aston Villa W 1-055.2 2272 2083 53.70% 27.61% 18.69%+0.69 +9.9 6
2026-09-04 Liverpool L 0-255.4 2073 2159 29.76% 28.91% 41.32%-0.20 -27.2 3
2026-09-04 @ Ipswich Town W 2-055.4 2159 2073 41.32% 28.91% 29.76%+0.20 +27.2 5
2026-09-05 Bournemouth D 2-276.0 2150 2131 44.24% 28.75% 27.02%+0.31 -1.2 5
2026-09-05 @ Newcastle United D 2-276.0 2131 2150 27.02% 28.75% 44.24%-0.31 +1.2 2
2026-09-05 Sunderland D 1-170.8 2123 2073 48.01% 28.42% 23.57%+0.45 -2.2 2
2026-09-05 @ Brentford D 1-170.8 2073 2123 23.57% 28.42% 48.01%-0.45 +2.2 4
2026-09-05 Leeds United D 1-170.7 2167 2123 47.37% 28.48% 24.15%+0.43 -2.1 4
2026-09-05 @ Brighton D 1-170.7 2123 2167 24.15% 28.48% 47.37%-0.43 +2.1 5
2026-09-05 Crystal Palace L 2-373.6 2075 2041 46.02% 28.61% 25.37%+0.37 -17.9 0
2026-09-05 @ Fulham W 3-273.6 2041 2075 25.37% 28.61% 46.02%-0.37 +17.9 3
2026-09-05 Coventry City W 1-052.3 2270 2068 63.21% 25.14% 11.64%+1.18 +6.4 9
2026-09-05 @ Manchester City L 0-152.3 2068 2270 11.64% 25.14% 63.21%-1.18 -6.4 0
2026-09-05 Tottenham D 0-066.6 2111 2050 49.36% 28.26% 22.37%+0.51 -2.8 2
2026-09-05 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-066.6 2050 2111 22.37% 28.26% 49.36%-0.51 +2.8 1
2026-09-05 Aston Villa D 0-066.4 2083 2074 42.88% 28.83% 28.29%+0.26 -1.4 7
2026-09-05 @ Hull City D 0-066.4 2074 2083 28.29% 28.83% 42.88%-0.26 +1.4 1
2026-09-06 Manchester United D 2-275.9 2132 2158 38.10% 29.01% 32.89%+0.09 -0.3 5
2026-09-06 @ Everton D 2-275.9 2158 2132 32.89% 29.01% 38.10%-0.09 +0.3 4
2026-09-06 Chelsea W 2-159.3 2282 2150 56.97% 26.94% 16.09%+0.85 +8.2 9
2026-09-06 @ Arsenal L 1-259.3 2150 2282 16.09% 26.94% 56.97%-0.85 -8.2 6
2026-09-12 Nottingham Forest L 1-266.2 2075 2109 36.98% 29.03% 33.99%+0.05 -15.9 1
2026-09-12 @ Aston Villa W 2-166.2 2109 2075 33.99% 29.03% 36.98%-0.05 +15.9 5
2026-09-12 Brentford D 2-276.0 2132 2121 43.05% 28.82% 28.13%+0.26 -1.0 3
2026-09-12 @ Bournemouth D 2-276.0 2121 2132 28.13% 28.82% 43.05%-0.26 +1.0 3
2026-09-12 Hull City D 2-276.1 2141 2081 49.22% 28.28% 22.50%+0.50 -1.8 7
2026-09-12 @ Chelsea D 2-276.1 2081 2141 22.50% 28.28% 49.22%-0.50 +1.8 8
2026-09-12 Ipswich Town L 2-372.9 2059 2046 43.35% 28.81% 27.85%+0.27 -17.1 3
2026-09-12 @ Crystal Palace W 3-272.9 2046 2059 27.85% 28.81% 43.35%-0.27 +17.0 6
2026-09-12 Fulham D 0-067.0 2186 2057 56.72% 27.00% 16.28%+0.83 -4.4 6
2026-09-12 @ Liverpool D 0-067.0 2057 2186 16.28% 27.00% 56.72%-0.83 +4.4 1
2026-09-12 Everton D 0-066.4 2053 2131 30.72% 28.95% 40.32%-0.17 +0.9 2
2026-09-12 @ Tottenham D 0-066.4 2131 2053 40.32% 28.95% 30.72%+0.17 -0.9 6
2026-09-12 Arsenal L 0-250.9 2076 2290 16.55% 27.08% 56.37%-0.82 -16.9 4
2026-09-12 @ Sunderland W 2-050.9 2290 2076 56.37% 27.08% 16.55%+0.82 +16.9 12
2026-09-13 Brighton L 0-553.5 2062 2165 27.59% 28.79% 43.62%-0.28 -60.1 0
2026-09-13 @ Coventry City W 5-053.5 2165 2062 43.62% 28.79% 27.59%+0.28 +60.1 7
2026-09-13 Manchester City L 0-157.6 2158 2276 25.78% 28.65% 45.57%-0.36 -12.9 4
2026-09-13 @ Manchester United W 1-057.6 2276 2158 45.57% 28.65% 25.78%+0.36 +12.9 12
2026-09-14 Newcastle United W 4-159.3 2125 2149 38.27% 29.01% 32.72%+0.09 +35.7 8
2026-09-14 @ Leeds United L 1-459.3 2149 2125 32.72% 29.01% 38.27%-0.09 -35.7 5

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. MarginExcitement
2026-08-22 Tottenham 2122 2082 46.88% 28.53% 24.59%+0.4161.3
2026-08-22 @ Brentford 2082 2122 24.59% 28.53% 46.88%-0.4161.3
2026-09-18 Chelsea 2122 2140 39.25% 28.98% 31.76%+0.1374.9
2026-09-18 @ Brentford 2140 2122 31.76% 28.98% 39.25%-0.1374.9
2026-09-19 Aston Villa 2054 2059 40.93% 28.93% 30.14%+0.1963.4
2026-09-19 @ Tottenham 2059 2054 30.14% 28.93% 40.93%-0.1963.4
2026-09-19 Arsenal 2225 2307 30.31% 28.94% 40.75%-0.1870.8
2026-09-19 @ Brighton 2307 2225 40.75% 28.94% 30.31%+0.1870.8
2026-09-19 Ipswich Town 2131 2063 50.10% 28.17% 21.74%+0.5464.3
2026-09-19 @ Everton 2063 2131 21.74% 28.17% 50.10%-0.5464.3
2026-09-19 Crystal Palace 2160 2042 55.63% 27.23% 17.13%+0.7858.3
2026-09-19 @ Leeds United 2042 2160 17.13% 27.23% 55.63%-0.7858.3
2026-09-19 Sunderland 2289 2059 65.51% 24.29% 10.20%+1.3246.6
2026-09-19 @ Manchester City 2059 2289 10.20% 24.29% 65.51%-1.3246.6
2026-09-19 Hull City 2113 2083 45.58% 28.65% 25.78%+0.3669.5
2026-09-19 @ Newcastle United 2083 2113 25.78% 28.65% 45.58%-0.3669.5
2026-09-19 Coventry City 2125 2002 56.05% 27.15% 16.80%+0.8049.0
2026-09-19 @ Nottingham Forest 2002 2125 16.80% 27.15% 56.05%-0.8049.0
2026-09-20 Liverpool 2131 2182 34.48% 29.03% 36.49%-0.0367.5
2026-09-20 @ Bournemouth 2182 2131 36.49% 29.03% 34.48%+0.0367.5
2026-09-20 Manchester United 2061 2145 30.04% 28.92% 41.04%-0.1962.2
2026-09-20 @ Fulham 2145 2061 41.04% 28.92% 30.04%+0.1962.2
2026-10-10 Leeds United 2307 2160 58.35% 26.61% 15.04%+0.9157.2
2026-10-10 @ Arsenal 2160 2307 15.04% 26.61% 58.35%-0.9157.2
2026-10-10 Brentford 2059 2122 32.81% 29.01% 38.18%-0.0960.1
2026-10-10 @ Aston Villa 2122 2059 38.18% 29.01% 32.81%+0.0960.1
2026-10-10 Bournemouth 2140 2131 42.81% 28.84% 28.35%+0.2576.2
2026-10-10 @ Chelsea 2131 2140 28.35% 28.84% 42.81%-0.2576.2
2026-10-10 Newcastle United 2002 2113 26.56% 28.71% 44.72%-0.3254.3
2026-10-10 @ Coventry City 2113 2002 44.72% 28.71% 26.56%+0.3254.3
2026-10-10 Nottingham Forest 2042 2125 30.17% 28.93% 40.90%-0.1961.2
2026-10-10 @ Crystal Palace 2125 2042 40.90% 28.93% 30.17%+0.1961.2
2026-10-10 Everton 2083 2131 35.03% 29.03% 35.94%-0.0265.7
2026-10-10 @ Hull City 2131 2083 35.94% 29.03% 35.03%+0.0265.7
2026-10-10 Fulham 2063 2061 41.89% 28.89% 29.23%+0.2271.7
2026-10-10 @ Ipswich Town 2061 2063 29.23% 28.89% 41.89%-0.2271.7
2026-10-10 Manchester City 2182 2289 27.09% 28.75% 44.15%-0.3062.5
2026-10-10 @ Liverpool 2289 2182 44.15% 28.75% 27.09%+0.3062.5
2026-10-10 Tottenham 2145 2054 52.73% 27.78% 19.49%+0.6555.5
2026-10-10 @ Manchester United 2054 2145 19.49% 27.78% 52.73%-0.6555.5
2026-10-10 Brighton 2059 2225 20.70% 28.00% 51.30%-0.5958.1
2026-10-10 @ Sunderland 2225 2059 51.30% 28.00% 20.70%+0.5958.1
2026-10-17 Sunderland 2131 2059 50.60% 28.10% 21.30%+0.5660.2
2026-10-17 @ Bournemouth 2059 2131 21.30% 28.10% 50.60%-0.5660.2
2026-10-17 Liverpool 2122 2182 33.27% 29.02% 37.71%-0.0865.7
2026-10-17 @ Brentford 2182 2122 37.71% 29.02% 33.27%+0.0865.7
2026-10-17 Crystal Palace 2225 2042 61.68% 25.65% 12.66%+1.0956.9
2026-10-17 @ Brighton 2042 2225 12.66% 25.65% 61.68%-1.0956.9
2026-10-17 Chelsea 2131 2140 40.41% 28.95% 30.64%+0.1775.4
2026-10-17 @ Everton 2140 2131 30.64% 28.95% 40.41%-0.1775.4
2026-10-17 Hull City 2061 2083 38.60% 29.00% 32.40%+0.1167.5
2026-10-17 @ Fulham 2083 2061 32.40% 29.00% 38.60%-0.1167.5
2026-10-17 Manchester United 2160 2145 43.69% 28.78% 27.52%+0.2973.5
2026-10-17 @ Leeds United 2145 2160 27.52% 28.78% 43.69%-0.2973.5
2026-10-17 Ipswich Town 2289 2063 65.19% 24.41% 10.40%+1.3051.1
2026-10-17 @ Manchester City 2063 2289 10.40% 24.41% 65.19%-1.3051.1
2026-10-17 Aston Villa 2113 2059 48.55% 28.36% 23.09%+0.4761.7
2026-10-17 @ Newcastle United 2059 2113 23.09% 28.36% 48.55%-0.4761.7
2026-10-17 Arsenal 2125 2307 19.22% 27.72% 53.06%-0.6652.7
2026-10-17 @ Nottingham Forest 2307 2125 53.06% 27.72% 19.22%+0.6652.7
2026-10-17 Coventry City 2054 2002 48.28% 28.39% 23.33%+0.4657.0
2026-10-17 @ Tottenham 2002 2054 23.33% 28.39% 48.28%-0.4657.0
2026-10-24 Everton 2307 2131 61.07% 25.84% 13.09%+1.0652.3
2026-10-24 @ Arsenal 2131 2307 13.09% 25.84% 61.07%-1.0652.3
2026-10-24 Manchester City 2059 2289 15.37% 26.71% 57.92%-0.8946.4
2026-10-24 @ Aston Villa 2289 2059 57.92% 26.71% 15.37%+0.8946.4
2026-10-24 Tottenham 2140 2054 52.15% 27.87% 19.98%+0.6259.4
2026-10-24 @ Chelsea 2054 2140 19.98% 27.87% 52.15%-0.6259.4
2026-10-24 Fulham 2002 2061 33.32% 29.02% 37.66%-0.0758.8
2026-10-24 @ Coventry City 2061 2002 37.66% 29.02% 33.32%+0.0758.8
2026-10-24 Newcastle United 2042 2113 31.64% 28.98% 39.38%-0.1366.0
2026-10-24 @ Crystal Palace 2113 2042 39.38% 28.98% 31.64%+0.1366.0
2026-10-24 Brentford 2083 2122 36.23% 29.03% 34.73%+0.0367.1
2026-10-24 @ Hull City 2122 2083 34.73% 29.03% 36.23%-0.0367.1
2026-10-24 Nottingham Forest 2063 2125 33.02% 29.01% 37.96%-0.0865.1
2026-10-24 @ Ipswich Town 2125 2063 37.96% 29.01% 33.02%+0.0865.1
2026-10-24 Brighton 2182 2225 35.60% 29.04% 35.36%+0.0074.8
2026-10-24 @ Liverpool 2225 2182 35.36% 29.04% 35.60%+0.0074.8
2026-10-24 Bournemouth 2145 2131 43.51% 28.80% 27.69%+0.2872.6
2026-10-24 @ Manchester United 2131 2145 27.69% 28.80% 43.51%-0.2872.6
2026-10-24 Leeds United 2059 2160 27.79% 28.80% 43.41%-0.2858.7
2026-10-24 @ Sunderland 2160 2059 43.41% 28.80% 27.79%+0.2858.7
2026-10-31 Fulham 2059 2061 41.36% 28.91% 29.73%+0.2065.8
2026-10-31 @ Aston Villa 2061 2059 29.73% 28.91% 41.36%-0.2065.8
2026-10-31 Leeds United 2131 2160 37.55% 29.02% 33.43%+0.0771.2
2026-10-31 @ Bournemouth 2160 2131 33.43% 29.02% 37.55%-0.0771.2
2026-10-31 Nottingham Forest 2122 2125 41.31% 28.91% 29.77%+0.2069.8
2026-10-31 @ Brentford 2125 2122 29.77% 28.91% 41.31%-0.2069.8
2026-10-31 Manchester United 2140 2145 40.92% 28.93% 30.15%+0.1977.5
2026-10-31 @ Chelsea 2145 2140 30.15% 28.93% 40.92%-0.1977.5
2026-10-31 Sunderland 2002 2059 33.64% 29.02% 37.34%-0.0658.5
2026-10-31 @ Coventry City 2059 2002 37.34% 29.02% 33.64%+0.0658.5
2026-10-31 Ipswich Town 2083 2063 44.31% 28.74% 26.95%+0.3170.7
2026-10-31 @ Hull City 2063 2083 26.95% 28.74% 44.31%-0.3170.7
2026-10-31 Arsenal 2182 2307 25.03% 28.58% 46.39%-0.3960.4
2026-10-31 @ Liverpool 2307 2182 46.39% 28.58% 25.03%+0.3960.4
2026-10-31 Brighton 2289 2225 49.68% 28.22% 22.09%+0.5272.0
2026-10-31 @ Manchester City 2225 2289 22.09% 28.22% 49.68%-0.5272.0
2026-10-31 Everton 2113 2131 39.30% 28.98% 31.71%+0.1371.4
2026-10-31 @ Newcastle United 2131 2113 31.71% 28.98% 39.30%-0.1371.4
2026-10-31 Crystal Palace 2054 2042 43.24% 28.81% 27.95%+0.2765.4
2026-10-31 @ Tottenham 2042 2054 27.95% 28.81% 43.24%-0.2765.4
2026-11-07 Hull City 2307 2083 64.99% 24.49% 10.52%+1.2849.2
2026-11-07 @ Arsenal 2083 2307 10.52% 24.49% 64.99%-1.2849.2
2026-11-07 Brentford 2225 2122 54.02% 27.55% 18.43%+0.7165.1
2026-11-07 @ Brighton 2122 2225 18.43% 27.55% 54.02%-0.7165.1
2026-11-07 Liverpool 2042 2182 23.36% 28.39% 48.25%-0.4656.5
2026-11-07 @ Crystal Palace 2182 2042 48.25% 28.39% 23.36%+0.4656.5
2026-11-07 Coventry City 2131 2002 56.65% 27.01% 16.34%+0.8348.9
2026-11-07 @ Everton 2002 2131 16.34% 27.01% 56.65%-0.8348.9
2026-11-07 Newcastle United 2061 2113 34.31% 29.03% 36.66%-0.0466.3
2026-11-07 @ Fulham 2113 2061 36.66% 29.03% 34.31%+0.0466.3
2026-11-07 Bournemouth 2063 2131 32.17% 29.00% 38.84%-0.1166.5
2026-11-07 @ Ipswich Town 2131 2063 38.84% 29.00% 32.17%+0.1166.5
2026-11-07 Tottenham 2160 2054 54.39% 27.48% 18.13%+0.7253.4
2026-11-07 @ Leeds United 2054 2160 18.13% 27.48% 54.39%-0.7253.4
2026-11-07 Aston Villa 2145 2059 52.16% 27.87% 19.97%+0.6257.2
2026-11-07 @ Manchester United 2059 2145 19.97% 27.87% 52.16%-0.6257.2
2026-11-07 Manchester City 2125 2289 20.86% 28.03% 51.11%-0.5854.2
2026-11-07 @ Nottingham Forest 2289 2125 51.11% 28.03% 20.86%+0.5854.2
2026-11-07 Chelsea 2059 2140 30.44% 28.94% 40.62%-0.1864.8
2026-11-07 @ Sunderland 2140 2059 40.62% 28.94% 30.44%+0.1864.8
2026-11-21 Sunderland 2059 2059 41.66% 28.90% 29.44%+0.2165.3
2026-11-21 @ Aston Villa 2059 2059 29.44% 28.90% 41.66%-0.2165.3
2026-11-21 Nottingham Forest 2131 2125 42.47% 28.86% 28.67%+0.2470.1
2026-11-21 @ Bournemouth 2125 2131 28.67% 28.86% 42.47%-0.2470.1
2026-11-21 Everton 2122 2131 40.50% 28.94% 30.56%+0.1770.4
2026-11-21 @ Brentford 2131 2122 30.56% 28.94% 40.50%-0.1770.4
2026-11-21 Leeds United 2140 2160 38.78% 29.00% 32.22%+0.1176.0
2026-11-21 @ Chelsea 2160 2140 32.22% 29.00% 38.78%-0.1176.0
2026-11-21 Crystal Palace 2002 2042 36.07% 29.03% 34.90%+0.0262.7
2026-11-21 @ Coventry City 2042 2002 34.90% 29.03% 36.07%-0.0262.7
2026-11-21 Brighton 2083 2225 23.17% 28.37% 48.47%-0.4761.9
2026-11-21 @ Hull City 2225 2083 48.47% 28.37% 23.17%+0.4761.9
2026-11-21 Manchester United 2182 2145 46.43% 28.57% 25.00%+0.3969.7
2026-11-21 @ Liverpool 2145 2182 25.00% 28.57% 46.43%-0.3969.7
2026-11-21 Fulham 2289 2061 65.34% 24.36% 10.31%+1.3147.8
2026-11-21 @ Manchester City 2061 2289 10.31% 24.36% 65.34%-1.3147.8
2026-11-21 Arsenal 2113 2307 18.25% 27.51% 54.24%-0.7255.1
2026-11-21 @ Newcastle United 2307 2113 54.24% 27.51% 18.25%+0.7255.1
2026-11-21 Ipswich Town 2054 2063 40.40% 28.95% 30.65%+0.1766.8
2026-11-21 @ Tottenham 2063 2054 30.65% 28.95% 40.40%-0.1766.8
2026-11-28 Manchester City 2307 2289 43.97% 28.77% 27.26%+0.3075.1
2026-11-28 @ Arsenal 2289 2307 27.26% 28.77% 43.97%-0.3075.1
2026-11-28 Newcastle United 2225 2113 54.92% 27.38% 17.70%+0.7564.8
2026-11-28 @ Brighton 2113 2225 17.70% 27.38% 54.92%-0.7564.8
2026-11-28 Hull City 2042 2083 35.86% 29.03% 35.11%+0.0167.6
2026-11-28 @ Crystal Palace 2083 2042 35.11% 29.03% 35.86%-0.0167.6
2026-11-28 Liverpool 2131 2182 34.45% 29.03% 36.52%-0.0366.4
2026-11-28 @ Everton 2182 2131 36.52% 29.03% 34.45%+0.0366.4
2026-11-28 Bournemouth 2061 2131 31.91% 28.99% 39.10%-0.1262.9
2026-11-28 @ Fulham 2131 2061 39.10% 28.99% 31.91%+0.1262.9
2026-11-28 Aston Villa 2063 2059 42.16% 28.87% 28.96%+0.2368.2
2026-11-28 @ Ipswich Town 2059 2063 28.96% 28.87% 42.16%-0.2368.2
2026-11-28 Coventry City 2160 2002 59.49% 26.30% 14.21%+0.9747.4
2026-11-28 @ Leeds United 2002 2160 14.21% 26.30% 59.49%-0.9747.4
2026-11-28 Brentford 2145 2122 44.63% 28.72% 26.65%+0.3270.8
2026-11-28 @ Manchester United 2122 2145 26.65% 28.72% 44.63%-0.3270.8
2026-11-28 Chelsea 2125 2140 39.58% 28.98% 31.44%+0.1473.8
2026-11-28 @ Nottingham Forest 2140 2125 31.44% 28.98% 39.58%-0.1473.8
2026-11-28 Tottenham 2059 2054 42.30% 28.86% 28.83%+0.2464.2
2026-11-28 @ Sunderland 2054 2059 28.83% 28.86% 42.30%-0.2464.2
2026-12-02 Everton 2059 2131 31.67% 28.98% 39.35%-0.1358.7
2026-12-02 @ Aston Villa 2131 2059 39.35% 28.98% 31.67%+0.1358.7
2026-12-02 Brighton 2131 2225 28.68% 28.86% 42.46%-0.2468.2
2026-12-02 @ Bournemouth 2225 2131 42.46% 28.86% 28.68%+0.2468.2
2026-12-02 Arsenal 2122 2307 19.00% 27.68% 53.32%-0.6754.0
2026-12-02 @ Brentford 2307 2122 53.32% 27.68% 19.00%+0.6754.0
2026-12-02 Crystal Palace 2140 2042 53.46% 27.65% 18.88%+0.6864.0
2026-12-02 @ Chelsea 2042 2140 18.88% 27.65% 53.46%-0.6864.0
2026-12-02 Ipswich Town 2002 2063 33.06% 29.01% 37.92%-0.0860.9
2026-12-02 @ Coventry City 2063 2002 37.92% 29.01% 33.06%+0.0860.9
2026-12-02 Nottingham Forest 2083 2125 35.89% 29.03% 35.08%+0.0165.4
2026-12-02 @ Hull City 2125 2083 35.08% 29.03% 35.89%-0.0165.4
2026-12-02 Sunderland 2182 2059 56.08% 27.14% 16.78%+0.8053.3
2026-12-02 @ Liverpool 2059 2182 16.78% 27.14% 56.08%-0.8053.3
2026-12-02 Leeds United 2289 2160 56.64% 27.01% 16.34%+0.8359.2
2026-12-02 @ Manchester City 2160 2289 16.34% 27.01% 56.64%-0.8359.2
2026-12-02 Manchester United 2113 2145 37.29% 29.02% 33.69%+0.0672.1
2026-12-02 @ Newcastle United 2145 2113 33.69% 29.02% 37.29%-0.0672.1
2026-12-02 Fulham 2054 2061 40.65% 28.94% 30.41%+0.1864.7
2026-12-02 @ Tottenham 2061 2054 30.41% 28.94% 40.65%-0.1864.7
2026-12-05 Crystal Palace 2059 2042 43.92% 28.77% 27.31%+0.2965.7
2026-12-05 @ Aston Villa 2042 2059 27.31% 28.77% 43.92%-0.2965.7
2026-12-05 Hull City 2131 2083 47.72% 28.45% 23.83%+0.4466.0
2026-12-05 @ Bournemouth 2083 2131 23.83% 28.45% 47.72%-0.4466.0
2026-12-05 Manchester City 2122 2289 20.63% 27.99% 51.38%-0.5955.4
2026-12-05 @ Brentford 2289 2122 51.38% 27.99% 20.63%+0.5955.4
2026-12-05 Liverpool 2140 2182 35.74% 29.03% 35.22%+0.0172.7
2026-12-05 @ Chelsea 2182 2140 35.22% 29.03% 35.74%-0.0172.7
2026-12-05 Fulham 2131 2061 50.31% 28.14% 21.55%+0.5460.6
2026-12-05 @ Everton 2061 2131 21.55% 28.14% 50.31%-0.5460.6
2026-12-05 Ipswich Town 2160 2063 53.42% 27.66% 18.92%+0.6862.2
2026-12-05 @ Leeds United 2063 2160 18.92% 27.66% 53.42%-0.6862.2
2026-12-05 Coventry City 2145 2002 58.04% 26.68% 15.28%+0.9049.0
2026-12-05 @ Manchester United 2002 2145 15.28% 26.68% 58.04%-0.9049.0
2026-12-05 Sunderland 2113 2059 48.58% 28.35% 23.07%+0.4763.8
2026-12-05 @ Newcastle United 2059 2113 23.07% 28.35% 48.58%-0.4763.8
2026-12-05 Brighton 2125 2225 27.90% 28.81% 43.29%-0.2766.0
2026-12-05 @ Nottingham Forest 2225 2125 43.29% 28.81% 27.90%+0.2766.0
2026-12-05 Arsenal 2054 2307 13.81% 26.15% 60.04%-1.0044.3
2026-12-05 @ Tottenham 2307 2054 60.04% 26.15% 13.81%+1.0044.3
2026-12-12 Bournemouth 2307 2131 61.05% 25.85% 13.10%+1.0653.4
2026-12-12 @ Arsenal 2131 2307 13.10% 25.85% 61.05%-1.0653.4
2026-12-12 Everton 2225 2131 53.12% 27.71% 19.17%+0.6766.0
2026-12-12 @ Brighton 2131 2225 19.17% 27.71% 53.12%-0.6766.0
2026-12-12 Aston Villa 2002 2059 33.61% 29.02% 37.37%-0.0657.6
2026-12-12 @ Coventry City 2059 2002 37.37% 29.02% 33.61%+0.0657.6
2026-12-12 Manchester United 2042 2145 27.60% 28.79% 43.61%-0.2861.9
2026-12-12 @ Crystal Palace 2145 2042 43.61% 28.79% 27.60%+0.2861.9
2026-12-12 Brentford 2061 2122 33.10% 29.01% 37.89%-0.0863.3
2026-12-12 @ Fulham 2122 2061 37.89% 29.01% 33.10%+0.0863.3
2026-12-12 Tottenham 2083 2054 45.48% 28.66% 25.87%+0.3562.6
2026-12-12 @ Hull City 2054 2083 25.87% 28.66% 45.48%-0.3562.6
2026-12-12 Newcastle United 2063 2113 34.57% 29.03% 36.39%-0.0369.8
2026-12-12 @ Ipswich Town 2113 2063 36.39% 29.03% 34.57%+0.0369.8
2026-12-12 Leeds United 2182 2160 44.46% 28.73% 26.80%+0.3171.7
2026-12-12 @ Liverpool 2160 2182 26.80% 28.73% 44.46%-0.3171.7
2026-12-12 Chelsea 2289 2140 58.65% 26.53% 14.82%+0.9359.3
2026-12-12 @ Manchester City 2140 2289 14.82% 26.53% 58.65%-0.9359.3
2026-12-12 Nottingham Forest 2059 2125 32.45% 29.00% 38.55%-0.1060.3
2026-12-12 @ Sunderland 2125 2059 38.55% 29.00% 32.45%+0.1060.3
2026-12-19 Manchester United 2307 2145 59.79% 26.22% 13.99%+0.9955.7
2026-12-19 @ Arsenal 2145 2307 13.99% 26.22% 59.79%-0.9955.7
2026-12-19 Coventry City 2131 2002 56.67% 27.01% 16.32%+0.8349.7
2026-12-19 @ Bournemouth 2002 2131 16.32% 27.01% 56.67%-0.8349.7
2026-12-19 Newcastle United 2122 2113 42.80% 28.84% 28.37%+0.2572.5
2026-12-19 @ Brentford 2113 2122 28.37% 28.84% 42.80%-0.2572.5
2026-12-19 Ipswich Town 2225 2063 59.81% 26.21% 13.98%+0.9959.2
2026-12-19 @ Brighton 2063 2225 13.98% 26.21% 59.81%-0.9959.2
2026-12-19 Aston Villa 2140 2059 51.57% 27.96% 20.47%+0.6061.2
2026-12-19 @ Chelsea 2059 2140 20.47% 27.96% 51.57%-0.6061.2
2026-12-19 Fulham 2160 2061 53.62% 27.62% 18.76%+0.6958.6
2026-12-19 @ Leeds United 2061 2160 18.76% 27.62% 53.62%-0.6958.6
2026-12-19 Tottenham 2182 2054 56.57% 27.03% 16.39%+0.8349.8
2026-12-19 @ Liverpool 2054 2182 16.39% 27.03% 56.57%-0.8349.8
2026-12-19 Hull City 2289 2083 63.57% 25.02% 11.41%+1.2050.2
2026-12-19 @ Manchester City 2083 2289 11.41% 25.02% 63.57%-1.2050.2
2026-12-19 Everton 2125 2131 40.83% 28.93% 30.24%+0.1869.1
2026-12-19 @ Nottingham Forest 2131 2125 30.24% 28.93% 40.83%-0.1869.1
2026-12-19 Crystal Palace 2059 2042 43.90% 28.77% 27.33%+0.2967.7
2026-12-19 @ Sunderland 2042 2059 27.33% 28.77% 43.90%-0.2967.7
2026-12-26 Leeds United 2059 2160 27.82% 28.80% 43.38%-0.2756.6
2026-12-26 @ Aston Villa 2160 2059 43.38% 28.80% 27.82%+0.2756.6
2026-12-26 Chelsea 2002 2140 23.60% 28.42% 47.98%-0.4554.5
2026-12-26 @ Coventry City 2140 2002 47.98% 28.42% 23.60%+0.4554.5
2026-12-26 Arsenal 2042 2307 13.06% 25.83% 61.12%-1.0650.4
2026-12-26 @ Crystal Palace 2307 2042 61.12% 25.83% 13.06%+1.0650.4
2026-12-26 Sunderland 2131 2059 50.57% 28.10% 21.32%+0.5659.2
2026-12-26 @ Everton 2059 2131 21.32% 28.10% 50.57%-0.5659.2
2026-12-26 Brighton 2061 2225 20.92% 28.04% 51.04%-0.5859.1
2026-12-26 @ Fulham 2225 2061 51.04% 28.04% 20.92%+0.5859.1
2026-12-26 Liverpool 2083 2182 28.15% 28.83% 43.02%-0.2660.2
2026-12-26 @ Hull City 2182 2083 43.02% 28.83% 28.15%+0.2660.2
2026-12-26 Brentford 2063 2122 33.35% 29.02% 37.63%-0.0766.9
2026-12-26 @ Ipswich Town 2122 2063 37.63% 29.02% 33.35%+0.0766.9
2026-12-26 Nottingham Forest 2145 2125 44.32% 28.74% 26.94%+0.3169.6
2026-12-26 @ Manchester United 2125 2145 26.94% 28.74% 44.32%-0.3169.6
2026-12-26 Manchester City 2113 2289 19.81% 27.84% 52.35%-0.6356.4
2026-12-26 @ Newcastle United 2289 2113 52.35% 27.84% 19.81%+0.6356.4
2026-12-26 Bournemouth 2054 2131 30.94% 28.96% 40.10%-0.1658.0
2026-12-26 @ Tottenham 2131 2054 40.10% 28.96% 30.94%+0.1658.0
2026-12-30 Liverpool 2059 2182 25.27% 28.60% 46.13%-0.3853.0
2026-12-30 @ Aston Villa 2182 2059 46.13% 28.60% 25.27%+0.3853.0
2026-12-30 Brentford 2002 2122 25.55% 28.63% 45.83%-0.3751.9
2026-12-30 @ Coventry City 2122 2002 45.83% 28.63% 25.55%+0.3751.9
2026-12-30 Bournemouth 2042 2131 29.36% 28.89% 41.74%-0.2262.6
2026-12-30 @ Crystal Palace 2131 2042 41.74% 28.89% 29.36%+0.2262.6
2026-12-30 Manchester City 2131 2289 21.45% 28.12% 50.43%-0.5555.8
2026-12-30 @ Everton 2289 2131 50.43% 28.12% 21.45%+0.5555.8
2026-12-30 Arsenal 2061 2307 14.29% 26.33% 59.38%-0.9749.0
2026-12-30 @ Fulham 2307 2061 59.38% 26.33% 14.29%+0.9749.0
2026-12-30 Leeds United 2083 2160 30.91% 28.96% 40.13%-0.1664.2
2026-12-30 @ Hull City 2160 2083 40.13% 28.96% 30.91%+0.1664.2
2026-12-30 Chelsea 2063 2140 30.98% 28.96% 40.06%-0.1669.2
2026-12-30 @ Ipswich Town 2140 2063 40.06% 28.96% 30.98%+0.1669.2
2026-12-30 Sunderland 2145 2059 52.19% 27.87% 19.95%+0.6259.3
2026-12-30 @ Manchester United 2059 2145 19.95% 27.87% 52.19%-0.6259.3
2026-12-30 Nottingham Forest 2113 2125 40.13% 28.96% 30.91%+0.1670.9
2026-12-30 @ Newcastle United 2125 2113 30.91% 28.96% 40.13%-0.1670.9
2026-12-30 Brighton 2054 2225 20.22% 27.92% 51.86%-0.6154.7
2026-12-30 @ Tottenham 2225 2054 51.86% 27.92% 20.22%+0.6154.7
2027-01-02 Ipswich Town 2307 2063 66.55% 23.87% 9.59%+1.3850.2
2027-01-02 @ Arsenal 2063 2307 9.59% 23.87% 66.55%-1.3850.2
2027-01-02 Aston Villa 2131 2059 50.58% 28.10% 21.32%+0.5658.3
2027-01-02 @ Bournemouth 2059 2131 21.32% 28.10% 50.58%-0.5658.3
2027-01-02 Crystal Palace 2122 2042 51.56% 27.96% 20.48%+0.6061.6
2027-01-02 @ Brentford 2042 2122 20.48% 27.96% 51.56%-0.6061.6
2027-01-02 Manchester United 2225 2145 51.54% 27.96% 20.49%+0.6069.2
2027-01-02 @ Brighton 2145 2225 20.49% 27.96% 51.54%-0.6069.2
2027-01-02 Newcastle United 2140 2113 45.06% 28.69% 26.25%+0.3474.9
2027-01-02 @ Chelsea 2113 2140 26.25% 28.69% 45.06%-0.3474.9
2027-01-02 Everton 2160 2131 45.54% 28.65% 25.81%+0.3669.5
2027-01-02 @ Leeds United 2131 2160 25.81% 28.65% 45.54%-0.3669.5
2027-01-02 Coventry City 2182 2002 61.40% 25.74% 12.86%+1.0844.7
2027-01-02 @ Liverpool 2002 2182 12.86% 25.74% 61.40%-1.0844.7
2027-01-02 Tottenham 2289 2054 65.90% 24.13% 9.97%+1.3443.0
2027-01-02 @ Manchester City 2054 2289 9.97% 24.13% 65.90%-1.3443.0
2027-01-02 Fulham 2125 2061 49.61% 28.23% 22.16%+0.5260.4
2027-01-02 @ Nottingham Forest 2061 2125 22.16% 28.23% 49.61%-0.5260.4
2027-01-02 Hull City 2059 2083 38.28% 29.01% 32.71%+0.0966.3
2027-01-02 @ Sunderland 2083 2059 32.71% 29.01% 38.28%-0.0966.3
2027-01-06 Aston Villa 2131 2059 50.55% 28.11% 21.34%+0.5557.4
2027-01-06 @ Everton 2059 2131 21.34% 28.11% 50.55%-0.5557.4
2027-01-06 Bournemouth 2225 2131 53.10% 27.72% 19.19%+0.6666.7
2027-01-06 @ Brighton 2131 2225 19.19% 27.72% 53.10%-0.6666.7
2027-01-06 Brentford 2307 2122 61.79% 25.62% 12.59%+1.1052.0
2027-01-06 @ Arsenal 2122 2307 12.59% 25.62% 61.79%-1.1052.0
2027-01-06 Chelsea 2042 2140 28.25% 28.83% 42.92%-0.2665.6
2027-01-06 @ Crystal Palace 2140 2042 42.92% 28.83% 28.25%+0.2665.6
2027-01-06 Coventry City 2063 2002 49.36% 28.26% 22.38%+0.5159.8
2027-01-06 @ Ipswich Town 2002 2063 22.38% 28.26% 49.36%-0.5159.8
2027-01-06 Hull City 2125 2083 46.96% 28.52% 24.52%+0.4164.6
2027-01-06 @ Nottingham Forest 2083 2125 24.52% 28.52% 46.96%-0.4164.6
2027-01-06 Liverpool 2059 2182 25.24% 28.60% 46.16%-0.3855.0
2027-01-06 @ Sunderland 2182 2059 46.16% 28.60% 25.24%+0.3855.0
2027-01-06 Manchester City 2160 2289 24.60% 28.53% 46.87%-0.4160.9
2027-01-06 @ Leeds United 2289 2160 46.87% 28.53% 24.60%+0.4160.9
2027-01-06 Newcastle United 2145 2113 45.73% 28.63% 25.63%+0.3671.5
2027-01-06 @ Manchester United 2113 2145 25.63% 28.63% 45.73%-0.3671.5
2027-01-06 Tottenham 2061 2054 42.61% 28.85% 28.54%+0.2564.6
2027-01-06 @ Fulham 2054 2061 28.54% 28.85% 42.61%-0.2564.6
2027-01-16 Arsenal 2083 2307 15.84% 26.87% 57.29%-0.8651.2
2027-01-16 @ Hull City 2307 2083 57.29% 26.87% 15.84%+0.8651.2
2027-01-16 Brighton 2122 2225 27.61% 28.79% 43.60%-0.2866.6
2027-01-16 @ Brentford 2225 2122 43.60% 28.79% 27.61%+0.2866.6
2027-01-16 Crystal Palace 2182 2042 57.75% 26.75% 15.49%+0.8854.7
2027-01-16 @ Liverpool 2042 2182 15.49% 26.75% 57.75%-0.8854.7
2027-01-16 Everton 2002 2131 24.60% 28.53% 46.87%-0.4150.7
2027-01-16 @ Coventry City 2131 2002 46.87% 28.53% 24.60%+0.4150.7
2027-01-16 Fulham 2113 2061 48.30% 28.39% 23.31%+0.4665.3
2027-01-16 @ Newcastle United 2061 2113 23.31% 28.39% 48.30%-0.4665.3
2027-01-16 Ipswich Town 2131 2063 50.12% 28.16% 21.71%+0.5465.3
2027-01-16 @ Bournemouth 2063 2131 21.71% 28.16% 50.12%-0.5465.3
2027-01-16 Leeds United 2054 2160 27.18% 28.76% 44.06%-0.3055.0
2027-01-16 @ Tottenham 2160 2054 44.06% 28.76% 27.18%+0.3055.0
2027-01-16 Manchester United 2059 2145 29.77% 28.91% 41.32%-0.2058.6
2027-01-16 @ Aston Villa 2145 2059 41.32% 28.91% 29.77%+0.2058.6
2027-01-16 Nottingham Forest 2289 2125 60.03% 26.15% 13.82%+1.0052.2
2027-01-16 @ Manchester City 2125 2289 13.82% 26.15% 60.03%-1.0052.2
2027-01-16 Sunderland 2140 2059 51.60% 27.96% 20.45%+0.6063.5
2027-01-16 @ Chelsea 2059 2140 20.45% 27.96% 51.60%-0.6063.5
2027-01-23 Newcastle United 2307 2113 62.53% 25.37% 12.09%+1.1453.1
2027-01-23 @ Arsenal 2113 2307 12.09% 25.37% 62.53%-1.1453.1
2027-01-23 Manchester City 2225 2289 32.68% 29.01% 38.31%-0.1073.1
2027-01-23 @ Brighton 2289 2225 38.31% 29.01% 32.68%+0.1073.1
2027-01-23 Tottenham 2042 2054 39.99% 28.96% 31.04%+0.1565.7
2027-01-23 @ Crystal Palace 2054 2042 31.04% 28.96% 39.99%-0.1565.7
2027-01-23 Brentford 2131 2122 42.76% 28.84% 28.40%+0.2570.2
2027-01-23 @ Everton 2122 2131 28.40% 28.84% 42.76%-0.2570.2
2027-01-23 Aston Villa 2061 2059 41.92% 28.88% 29.20%+0.2265.8
2027-01-23 @ Fulham 2059 2061 29.20% 28.88% 41.92%-0.2265.8
2027-01-23 Hull City 2063 2083 38.86% 28.99% 32.14%+0.1171.1
2027-01-23 @ Ipswich Town 2083 2063 32.14% 28.99% 38.86%-0.1171.1
2027-01-23 Chelsea 2160 2140 44.38% 28.74% 26.88%+0.3175.6
2027-01-23 @ Leeds United 2140 2160 26.88% 28.74% 44.38%-0.3175.6
2027-01-23 Liverpool 2145 2182 36.50% 29.03% 34.47%+0.0370.4
2027-01-23 @ Manchester United 2182 2145 34.47% 29.03% 36.50%-0.0370.4
2027-01-23 Bournemouth 2125 2131 40.79% 28.93% 30.27%+0.1870.2
2027-01-23 @ Nottingham Forest 2131 2125 30.27% 28.93% 40.79%-0.1870.2
2027-01-23 Coventry City 2059 2002 48.87% 28.32% 22.81%+0.4957.5
2027-01-23 @ Sunderland 2002 2059 22.81% 28.32% 48.87%-0.4957.5
2027-01-30 Arsenal 2289 2307 39.22% 28.99% 31.79%+0.1375.5
2027-01-30 @ Manchester City 2307 2289 31.79% 28.99% 39.22%-0.1375.5
2027-01-30 Brighton 2113 2225 26.56% 28.71% 44.72%-0.3266.5
2027-01-30 @ Newcastle United 2225 2113 44.72% 28.71% 26.56%+0.3266.5
2027-01-30 Crystal Palace 2083 2042 46.99% 28.52% 24.49%+0.4166.8
2027-01-30 @ Hull City 2042 2083 24.49% 28.52% 46.99%-0.4166.8
2027-01-30 Everton 2182 2131 48.19% 28.40% 23.41%+0.4665.4
2027-01-30 @ Liverpool 2131 2182 23.41% 28.40% 48.19%-0.4665.4
2027-01-30 Fulham 2131 2061 50.34% 28.14% 21.53%+0.5561.7
2027-01-30 @ Bournemouth 2061 2131 21.53% 28.14% 50.34%-0.5561.7
2027-01-30 Ipswich Town 2059 2063 41.11% 28.92% 29.97%+0.1968.3
2027-01-30 @ Aston Villa 2063 2059 29.97% 28.92% 41.11%-0.1968.3
2027-01-30 Leeds United 2002 2160 21.44% 28.12% 50.43%-0.5549.3
2027-01-30 @ Coventry City 2160 2002 50.43% 28.12% 21.44%+0.5549.3
2027-01-30 Manchester United 2122 2145 38.51% 29.00% 32.48%+0.1071.2
2027-01-30 @ Brentford 2145 2122 32.48% 29.00% 38.51%-0.1071.2
2027-01-30 Nottingham Forest 2140 2125 43.63% 28.79% 27.58%+0.2873.5
2027-01-30 @ Chelsea 2125 2140 27.58% 28.79% 43.63%-0.2873.5
2027-01-30 Sunderland 2054 2059 40.96% 28.93% 30.11%+0.1964.3
2027-01-30 @ Tottenham 2059 2054 30.11% 28.93% 40.96%-0.1964.3
2027-02-06 Liverpool 2307 2182 56.27% 27.10% 16.63%+0.8158.6
2027-02-06 @ Arsenal 2182 2307 16.63% 27.10% 56.27%-0.8158.6
2027-02-06 Hull City 2225 2083 57.92% 26.71% 15.37%+0.8960.1
2027-02-06 @ Brighton 2083 2225 15.37% 26.71% 57.92%-0.8960.1
2027-02-06 Coventry City 2042 2002 46.81% 28.54% 24.66%+0.4061.9
2027-02-06 @ Crystal Palace 2002 2042 24.66% 28.54% 46.81%-0.4061.9
2027-02-06 Newcastle United 2131 2113 43.90% 28.77% 27.33%+0.2971.1
2027-02-06 @ Everton 2113 2131 27.33% 28.77% 43.90%-0.2971.1
2027-02-06 Manchester City 2061 2289 15.52% 26.76% 57.72%-0.8849.9
2027-02-06 @ Fulham 2289 2061 57.72% 26.76% 15.52%+0.8849.9
2027-02-06 Tottenham 2063 2054 42.85% 28.83% 28.31%+0.2666.6
2027-02-06 @ Ipswich Town 2054 2063 28.31% 28.83% 42.85%-0.2666.6
2027-02-06 Bournemouth 2160 2131 45.51% 28.65% 25.84%+0.3570.7
2027-02-06 @ Leeds United 2131 2160 25.84% 28.65% 45.51%-0.3570.7
2027-02-06 Chelsea 2145 2140 42.35% 28.86% 28.79%+0.2477.4
2027-02-06 @ Manchester United 2140 2145 28.79% 28.86% 42.35%-0.2477.4
2027-02-06 Brentford 2125 2122 41.96% 28.88% 29.16%+0.2269.8
2027-02-06 @ Nottingham Forest 2122 2125 29.16% 28.88% 41.96%-0.2269.8
2027-02-06 Aston Villa 2059 2059 41.61% 28.90% 29.49%+0.2165.3
2027-02-06 @ Sunderland 2059 2059 29.49% 28.90% 41.61%-0.2165.3
2027-02-10 Arsenal 2063 2307 14.41% 26.38% 59.21%-0.9652.3
2027-02-10 @ Ipswich Town 2307 2063 59.21% 26.38% 14.41%+0.9652.3
2027-02-10 Bournemouth 2059 2131 31.63% 28.98% 39.39%-0.1359.5
2027-02-10 @ Aston Villa 2131 2059 39.39% 28.98% 31.63%+0.1359.5
2027-02-10 Brentford 2042 2122 30.48% 28.94% 40.57%-0.1763.0
2027-02-10 @ Crystal Palace 2122 2042 40.57% 28.94% 30.48%+0.1763.0
2027-02-10 Brighton 2145 2225 30.50% 28.94% 40.56%-0.1770.5
2027-02-10 @ Manchester United 2225 2145 40.56% 28.94% 30.50%+0.1770.5
2027-02-10 Chelsea 2113 2140 38.04% 29.01% 32.95%+0.0975.4
2027-02-10 @ Newcastle United 2140 2113 32.95% 29.01% 38.04%-0.0975.4
2027-02-10 Leeds United 2131 2160 37.51% 29.02% 33.47%+0.0770.1
2027-02-10 @ Everton 2160 2131 33.47% 29.02% 37.51%-0.0770.1
2027-02-10 Liverpool 2002 2182 19.41% 27.76% 52.83%-0.6546.6
2027-02-10 @ Coventry City 2182 2002 52.83% 27.76% 19.41%+0.6546.6
2027-02-10 Manchester City 2054 2289 15.00% 26.59% 58.41%-0.9245.1
2027-02-10 @ Tottenham 2289 2054 58.41% 26.59% 15.00%+0.9245.1
2027-02-10 Nottingham Forest 2061 2125 32.77% 29.01% 38.22%-0.0961.6
2027-02-10 @ Fulham 2125 2061 38.22% 29.01% 32.77%+0.0961.6
2027-02-10 Sunderland 2083 2059 44.84% 28.70% 26.45%+0.3365.8
2027-02-10 @ Hull City 2059 2083 26.45% 28.70% 44.84%-0.3365.8
2027-02-20 Fulham 2307 2061 66.69% 23.81% 9.51%+1.3947.0
2027-02-20 @ Arsenal 2061 2307 9.51% 23.81% 66.69%-1.3947.0
2027-02-20 Crystal Palace 2131 2042 52.51% 27.81% 19.67%+0.6461.2
2027-02-20 @ Bournemouth 2042 2131 19.67% 27.81% 52.51%-0.6461.2
2027-02-20 Coventry City 2122 2002 55.81% 27.20% 16.99%+0.7950.2
2027-02-20 @ Brentford 2002 2122 16.99% 27.20% 55.81%-0.7950.2
2027-02-20 Tottenham 2225 2054 60.63% 25.98% 13.40%+1.0352.8
2027-02-20 @ Brighton 2054 2225 13.40% 25.98% 60.63%-1.0352.8
2027-02-20 Ipswich Town 2140 2063 51.13% 28.03% 20.84%+0.5867.9
2027-02-20 @ Chelsea 2063 2140 20.84% 28.03% 51.13%-0.5867.9
2027-02-20 Aston Villa 2160 2059 53.84% 27.58% 18.57%+0.7055.0
2027-02-20 @ Leeds United 2059 2160 18.57% 27.58% 53.84%-0.7055.0
2027-02-20 Hull City 2182 2083 53.55% 27.64% 18.81%+0.6958.7
2027-02-20 @ Liverpool 2083 2182 18.81% 27.64% 53.55%-0.6958.7
2027-02-20 Newcastle United 2289 2113 61.02% 25.86% 13.12%+1.0654.5
2027-02-20 @ Manchester City 2113 2289 13.12% 25.86% 61.02%-1.0654.5
2027-02-20 Manchester United 2125 2145 38.85% 29.00% 32.16%+0.1170.0
2027-02-20 @ Nottingham Forest 2145 2125 32.16% 29.00% 38.85%-0.1170.0
2027-02-20 Everton 2059 2131 31.64% 28.98% 39.38%-0.1360.5
2027-02-20 @ Sunderland 2131 2059 39.38% 28.98% 31.64%+0.1360.5
2027-02-27 Arsenal 2145 2307 21.12% 28.07% 50.80%-0.5757.6
2027-02-27 @ Manchester United 2307 2145 50.80% 28.07% 21.12%+0.5757.6
2027-02-27 Bournemouth 2002 2131 24.57% 28.53% 46.90%-0.4151.5
2027-02-27 @ Coventry City 2131 2002 46.90% 28.53% 24.57%+0.4151.5
2027-02-27 Brentford 2113 2122 40.46% 28.95% 30.60%+0.1772.6
2027-02-27 @ Newcastle United 2122 2113 30.60% 28.95% 40.46%-0.1772.6
2027-02-27 Brighton 2063 2225 21.10% 28.07% 50.83%-0.5761.1
2027-02-27 @ Ipswich Town 2225 2063 50.83% 28.07% 21.10%+0.5761.1
2027-02-27 Chelsea 2059 2140 30.46% 28.94% 40.60%-0.1762.6
2027-02-27 @ Aston Villa 2140 2059 40.60% 28.94% 30.46%+0.1762.6
2027-02-27 Leeds United 2061 2160 28.07% 28.82% 43.11%-0.2660.1
2027-02-27 @ Fulham 2160 2061 43.11% 28.82% 28.07%+0.2660.1
2027-02-27 Liverpool 2054 2182 24.68% 28.54% 46.78%-0.4051.6
2027-02-27 @ Tottenham 2182 2054 46.78% 28.54% 24.68%+0.4051.6
2027-02-27 Manchester City 2083 2289 17.21% 27.25% 55.54%-0.7852.2
2027-02-27 @ Hull City 2289 2083 55.54% 27.25% 17.21%+0.7852.2
2027-02-27 Nottingham Forest 2131 2125 42.44% 28.86% 28.70%+0.2469.0
2027-02-27 @ Everton 2125 2131 28.70% 28.86% 42.44%-0.2469.0
2027-02-27 Sunderland 2042 2059 39.30% 28.98% 31.71%+0.1368.1
2027-02-27 @ Crystal Palace 2059 2042 31.71% 28.98% 39.30%-0.1368.1
2027-03-03 Crystal Palace 2307 2042 68.11% 23.19% 8.70%+1.4848.3
2027-03-03 @ Arsenal 2042 2307 8.70% 23.19% 68.11%-1.4848.3
2027-03-03 Tottenham 2131 2054 51.17% 28.02% 20.81%+0.5856.7
2027-03-03 @ Bournemouth 2054 2131 20.81% 28.02% 51.17%-0.5856.7
2027-03-03 Ipswich Town 2122 2063 49.12% 28.29% 22.59%+0.5065.8
2027-03-03 @ Brentford 2063 2122 22.59% 28.29% 49.12%-0.5065.8
2027-03-03 Fulham 2225 2061 59.98% 26.17% 13.86%+1.0057.2
2027-03-03 @ Brighton 2061 2225 13.86% 26.17% 59.98%-1.0057.2
2027-03-03 Coventry City 2140 2002 57.53% 26.81% 15.66%+0.8752.6
2027-03-03 @ Chelsea 2002 2140 15.66% 26.81% 57.53%-0.8752.6
2027-03-03 Hull City 2160 2083 51.19% 28.02% 20.79%+0.5862.9
2027-03-03 @ Leeds United 2083 2160 20.79% 28.02% 51.19%-0.5862.9
2027-03-03 Aston Villa 2182 2059 56.06% 27.14% 16.80%+0.8051.3
2027-03-03 @ Liverpool 2059 2182 16.80% 27.14% 56.06%-0.8051.3
2027-03-03 Everton 2289 2131 59.49% 26.30% 14.21%+0.9753.9
2027-03-03 @ Manchester City 2131 2289 14.21% 26.30% 59.49%-0.9753.9
2027-03-03 Newcastle United 2125 2113 43.11% 28.82% 28.07%+0.2670.7
2027-03-03 @ Nottingham Forest 2113 2125 28.07% 28.82% 43.11%-0.2670.7
2027-03-03 Manchester United 2059 2145 29.74% 28.91% 41.35%-0.2060.7
2027-03-03 @ Sunderland 2145 2059 41.35% 28.91% 29.74%+0.2060.7
2027-03-13 Arsenal 2140 2307 20.61% 27.99% 51.40%-0.5959.6
2027-03-13 @ Chelsea 2307 2140 51.40% 27.99% 20.61%+0.5959.6
2027-03-13 Brentford 2059 2122 32.78% 29.01% 38.21%-0.0961.9
2027-03-13 @ Sunderland 2122 2059 38.21% 29.01% 32.78%+0.0961.9
2027-03-13 Brighton 2160 2225 32.58% 29.00% 38.41%-0.1072.6
2027-03-13 @ Leeds United 2225 2160 38.41% 29.00% 32.58%+0.1072.6
2027-03-13 Everton 2145 2131 43.54% 28.79% 27.66%+0.2871.4
2027-03-13 @ Manchester United 2131 2145 27.66% 28.79% 43.54%-0.2871.4
2027-03-13 Fulham 2042 2061 38.99% 28.99% 32.02%+0.1268.9
2027-03-13 @ Crystal Palace 2061 2042 32.02% 28.99% 38.99%-0.1268.9
2027-03-13 Hull City 2059 2083 38.31% 29.01% 32.68%+0.1064.5
2027-03-13 @ Aston Villa 2083 2059 32.68% 29.01% 38.31%-0.1064.5
2027-03-13 Ipswich Town 2182 2063 55.66% 27.23% 17.11%+0.7858.3
2027-03-13 @ Liverpool 2063 2182 17.11% 27.23% 55.66%-0.7858.3
2027-03-13 Manchester City 2002 2289 11.77% 25.21% 63.02%-1.1742.9
2027-03-13 @ Coventry City 2289 2002 63.02% 25.21% 11.77%+1.1742.9
2027-03-13 Newcastle United 2131 2113 43.93% 28.77% 27.30%+0.2972.2
2027-03-13 @ Bournemouth 2113 2131 27.30% 28.77% 43.93%-0.2972.2
2027-03-13 Nottingham Forest 2054 2125 31.77% 28.99% 39.24%-0.1357.3
2027-03-13 @ Tottenham 2125 2054 39.24% 28.99% 31.77%+0.1357.3
2027-03-20 Aston Villa 2125 2059 49.86% 28.20% 21.94%+0.5357.5
2027-03-20 @ Nottingham Forest 2059 2125 21.94% 28.20% 49.86%-0.5357.5
2027-03-20 Bournemouth 2122 2131 40.47% 28.95% 30.59%+0.1771.5
2027-03-20 @ Brentford 2131 2122 30.59% 28.95% 40.47%-0.1771.5
2027-03-20 Chelsea 2083 2140 33.75% 29.02% 37.23%-0.0670.1
2027-03-20 @ Hull City 2140 2083 37.23% 29.02% 33.75%+0.0670.1
2027-03-20 Coventry City 2225 2002 64.98% 24.50% 10.53%+1.2849.2
2027-03-20 @ Brighton 2002 2225 10.53% 24.50% 64.98%-1.2849.2
2027-03-20 Crystal Palace 2063 2042 44.43% 28.73% 26.83%+0.3171.7
2027-03-20 @ Ipswich Town 2042 2063 26.83% 28.73% 44.43%-0.3171.7
2027-03-20 Leeds United 2113 2160 35.07% 29.03% 35.89%-0.0170.3
2027-03-20 @ Newcastle United 2160 2113 35.89% 29.03% 35.07%+0.0170.3
2027-03-20 Liverpool 2061 2182 25.51% 28.62% 45.87%-0.3756.4
2027-03-20 @ Fulham 2182 2061 45.87% 28.62% 25.51%+0.3756.4
2027-03-20 Manchester United 2289 2145 58.15% 26.66% 15.20%+0.9057.4
2027-03-20 @ Manchester City 2145 2289 15.20% 26.66% 58.15%-0.9057.4
2027-03-20 Sunderland 2307 2059 66.86% 23.73% 9.41%+1.4045.7
2027-03-20 @ Arsenal 2059 2307 9.41% 23.73% 66.86%-1.4045.7
2027-03-20 Tottenham 2131 2054 51.14% 28.02% 20.84%+0.5855.9
2027-03-20 @ Everton 2054 2131 20.84% 28.02% 51.14%-0.5855.9
2027-04-10 Arsenal 2002 2307 10.85% 24.69% 64.46%-1.2542.3
2027-04-10 @ Coventry City 2307 2002 64.46% 24.69% 10.85%+1.2542.3
2027-04-10 Hull City 2145 2083 49.41% 28.26% 22.34%+0.5165.1
2027-04-10 @ Manchester United 2083 2145 22.34% 28.26% 49.41%-0.5165.1
2027-04-10 Everton 2042 2131 29.40% 28.89% 41.71%-0.2161.5
2027-04-10 @ Crystal Palace 2131 2042 41.71% 28.89% 29.40%+0.2161.5
2027-04-10 Ipswich Town 2059 2063 41.08% 28.92% 30.00%+0.1970.4
2027-04-10 @ Sunderland 2063 2059 30.00% 28.92% 41.08%-0.1970.4
2027-04-10 Nottingham Forest 2160 2125 46.29% 28.59% 25.12%+0.3867.6
2027-04-10 @ Leeds United 2125 2160 25.12% 28.59% 46.29%-0.3867.6
2027-04-10 Brentford 2054 2122 32.10% 28.99% 38.91%-0.1258.6
2027-04-10 @ Tottenham 2122 2054 38.91% 28.99% 32.10%+0.1258.6
2027-04-10 Brighton 2059 2225 20.72% 28.00% 51.28%-0.5956.2
2027-04-10 @ Aston Villa 2225 2059 51.28% 28.00% 20.72%+0.5956.2
2027-04-10 Manchester City 2131 2289 21.47% 28.13% 50.40%-0.5556.9
2027-04-10 @ Bournemouth 2289 2131 50.40% 28.13% 21.47%+0.5556.9
2027-04-10 Newcastle United 2182 2113 50.20% 28.15% 21.65%+0.5465.3
2027-04-10 @ Liverpool 2113 2182 21.65% 28.15% 50.20%-0.5465.3
2027-04-10 Fulham 2140 2061 51.34% 28.00% 20.67%+0.5964.9
2027-04-10 @ Chelsea 2061 2140 20.67% 28.00% 51.34%-0.5964.9
2027-04-17 Aston Villa 2307 2059 66.84% 23.74% 9.42%+1.4043.5
2027-04-17 @ Arsenal 2059 2307 9.42% 23.74% 66.84%-1.4043.5
2027-04-17 Bournemouth 2131 2131 41.60% 28.90% 29.50%+0.2171.9
2027-04-17 @ Everton 2131 2131 29.50% 28.90% 41.60%-0.2171.9
2027-04-17 Chelsea 2225 2140 52.13% 27.87% 19.99%+0.6269.5
2027-04-17 @ Brighton 2140 2225 19.99% 27.87% 52.13%-0.6269.5
2027-04-17 Coventry City 2083 2002 51.68% 27.94% 20.37%+0.6055.2
2027-04-17 @ Hull City 2002 2083 20.37% 27.94% 51.68%-0.6055.2
2027-04-17 Crystal Palace 2289 2042 66.81% 23.75% 9.43%+1.4049.1
2027-04-17 @ Manchester City 2042 2289 9.43% 23.75% 66.81%-1.4049.1
2027-04-17 Leeds United 2122 2160 36.32% 29.03% 34.65%+0.0369.5
2027-04-17 @ Brentford 2160 2122 34.65% 29.03% 36.32%-0.0369.5
2027-04-17 Liverpool 2125 2182 33.60% 29.02% 37.37%-0.0664.5
2027-04-17 @ Nottingham Forest 2182 2125 37.37% 29.02% 33.60%+0.0664.5
2027-04-17 Manchester United 2063 2145 30.28% 28.93% 40.78%-0.1865.7
2027-04-17 @ Ipswich Town 2145 2063 40.78% 28.93% 30.28%+0.1865.7
2027-04-17 Sunderland 2061 2059 41.94% 28.88% 29.17%+0.2267.4
2027-04-17 @ Fulham 2059 2061 29.17% 28.88% 41.94%-0.2267.4
2027-04-17 Tottenham 2113 2054 49.17% 28.29% 22.55%+0.5060.0
2027-04-17 @ Newcastle United 2054 2113 22.55% 28.29% 49.17%-0.5060.0
2027-04-24 Arsenal 2131 2307 19.78% 27.83% 52.38%-0.6355.4
2027-04-24 @ Bournemouth 2307 2131 52.38% 27.83% 19.78%+0.6355.4
2027-04-24 Brighton 2131 2225 28.65% 28.85% 42.49%-0.2467.5
2027-04-24 @ Everton 2225 2131 42.49% 28.85% 28.65%+0.2467.5
2027-04-24 Coventry City 2059 2002 48.90% 28.32% 22.78%+0.4956.6
2027-04-24 @ Aston Villa 2002 2059 22.78% 28.32% 48.90%-0.4956.6
2027-04-24 Crystal Palace 2145 2042 54.03% 27.55% 18.42%+0.7160.3
2027-04-24 @ Manchester United 2042 2145 18.42% 27.55% 54.03%-0.7160.3
2027-04-24 Fulham 2122 2061 49.33% 28.27% 22.40%+0.5062.2
2027-04-24 @ Brentford 2061 2122 22.40% 28.27% 49.33%-0.5062.2
2027-04-24 Hull City 2054 2083 37.58% 29.02% 33.40%+0.0763.1
2027-04-24 @ Tottenham 2083 2054 33.40% 29.02% 37.58%-0.0763.1
2027-04-24 Ipswich Town 2113 2063 48.08% 28.41% 23.51%+0.4568.9
2027-04-24 @ Newcastle United 2063 2113 23.51% 28.41% 48.08%-0.4568.9
2027-04-24 Liverpool 2160 2182 38.69% 29.00% 32.31%+0.1172.1
2027-04-24 @ Leeds United 2182 2160 32.31% 29.00% 38.69%-0.1172.1
2027-04-24 Manchester City 2140 2289 22.36% 28.26% 49.38%-0.5161.2
2027-04-24 @ Chelsea 2289 2140 49.38% 28.26% 22.36%+0.5161.2
2027-04-24 Sunderland 2125 2059 49.88% 28.20% 21.92%+0.5359.1
2027-04-24 @ Nottingham Forest 2059 2125 21.92% 28.20% 49.88%-0.5359.1
2027-05-01 Aston Villa 2042 2059 39.27% 28.98% 31.74%+0.1366.0
2027-05-01 @ Crystal Palace 2059 2042 31.74% 28.98% 39.27%-0.1366.0
2027-05-01 Bournemouth 2083 2131 34.99% 29.03% 35.97%-0.0266.9
2027-05-01 @ Hull City 2131 2083 35.97% 29.03% 34.99%+0.0266.9
2027-05-01 Brentford 2289 2122 60.25% 26.09% 13.67%+1.0153.5
2027-05-01 @ Manchester City 2122 2289 13.67% 26.09% 60.25%-1.0153.5
2027-05-01 Chelsea 2182 2140 47.09% 28.51% 24.40%+0.4171.9
2027-05-01 @ Liverpool 2140 2182 24.40% 28.51% 47.09%-0.4171.9
2027-05-01 Everton 2061 2131 31.95% 28.99% 39.06%-0.1261.8
2027-05-01 @ Fulham 2131 2061 39.06% 28.99% 31.95%+0.1261.8
2027-05-01 Leeds United 2063 2160 28.30% 28.83% 42.86%-0.2663.7
2027-05-01 @ Ipswich Town 2160 2063 42.86% 28.83% 28.30%+0.2663.7
2027-05-01 Manchester United 2002 2145 23.03% 28.35% 48.62%-0.4850.8
2027-05-01 @ Coventry City 2145 2002 48.62% 28.35% 23.03%+0.4850.8
2027-05-01 Newcastle United 2059 2113 33.99% 29.03% 36.98%-0.0564.8
2027-05-01 @ Sunderland 2113 2059 36.98% 29.03% 33.99%+0.0564.8
2027-05-01 Nottingham Forest 2225 2125 53.76% 27.60% 18.64%+0.6964.5
2027-05-01 @ Brighton 2125 2225 18.64% 27.60% 53.76%-0.6964.5
2027-05-01 Tottenham 2307 2054 67.23% 23.58% 9.20%+1.4342.2
2027-05-01 @ Arsenal 2054 2307 9.20% 23.58% 67.23%-1.4342.2
2027-05-08 Manchester United 2131 2145 39.71% 28.97% 31.32%+0.1472.9
2027-05-08 @ Bournemouth 2145 2131 31.32% 28.97% 39.71%-0.1472.9
2027-05-08 Aston Villa 2122 2059 49.58% 28.23% 22.19%+0.5158.9
2027-05-08 @ Brentford 2059 2122 22.19% 28.23% 49.58%-0.5158.9
2027-05-08 Sunderland 2225 2059 60.18% 26.11% 13.71%+1.0156.2
2027-05-08 @ Brighton 2059 2225 13.71% 26.11% 60.18%-1.0156.2
2027-05-08 Hull City 2131 2083 47.69% 28.45% 23.86%+0.4464.9
2027-05-08 @ Everton 2083 2131 23.86% 28.45% 47.69%-0.4464.9
2027-05-08 Ipswich Town 2061 2063 41.39% 28.91% 29.70%+0.2071.7
2027-05-08 @ Fulham 2063 2061 29.70% 28.91% 41.39%-0.2071.7
2027-05-08 Arsenal 2160 2307 22.69% 28.31% 49.00%-0.4959.1
2027-05-08 @ Leeds United 2307 2160 49.00% 28.31% 22.69%+0.4959.1
2027-05-08 Liverpool 2289 2182 54.46% 27.47% 18.07%+0.7360.9
2027-05-08 @ Manchester City 2182 2289 18.07% 27.47% 54.46%-0.7360.9
2027-05-08 Coventry City 2113 2002 54.92% 27.38% 17.70%+0.7552.7
2027-05-08 @ Newcastle United 2002 2113 17.70% 27.38% 54.92%-0.7552.7
2027-05-08 Crystal Palace 2125 2042 51.82% 27.92% 20.25%+0.6159.8
2027-05-08 @ Nottingham Forest 2042 2125 20.25% 27.92% 51.82%-0.6159.8
2027-05-08 Chelsea 2054 2140 29.79% 28.91% 41.30%-0.2060.8
2027-05-08 @ Tottenham 2140 2054 41.30% 28.91% 29.79%+0.2060.8
2027-05-15 Nottingham Forest 2307 2125 61.59% 25.68% 12.73%+1.0950.7
2027-05-15 @ Arsenal 2125 2307 12.73% 25.68% 61.59%-1.0950.7
2027-05-15 Newcastle United 2059 2113 34.02% 29.03% 36.95%-0.0562.7
2027-05-15 @ Aston Villa 2113 2059 36.95% 29.03% 34.02%+0.0562.7
2027-05-15 Everton 2140 2131 42.84% 28.84% 28.32%+0.2675.2
2027-05-15 @ Chelsea 2131 2140 28.32% 28.84% 42.84%-0.2675.2
2027-05-15 Tottenham 2002 2054 34.34% 29.03% 36.63%-0.0458.0
2027-05-15 @ Coventry City 2054 2002 36.63% 29.03% 34.34%+0.0458.0
2027-05-15 Brighton 2042 2225 19.12% 27.70% 53.18%-0.6758.9
2027-05-15 @ Crystal Palace 2225 2042 53.18% 27.70% 19.12%+0.6758.9
2027-05-15 Fulham 2083 2061 44.55% 28.73% 26.73%+0.3267.1
2027-05-15 @ Hull City 2061 2083 26.73% 28.73% 44.55%-0.3267.1
2027-05-15 Manchester City 2063 2289 15.65% 26.81% 57.54%-0.8753.1
2027-05-15 @ Ipswich Town 2289 2063 57.54% 26.81% 15.65%+0.8753.1
2027-05-15 Brentford 2182 2122 49.19% 28.28% 22.53%+0.5064.6
2027-05-15 @ Liverpool 2122 2182 22.53% 28.28% 49.19%-0.5064.6
2027-05-15 Leeds United 2145 2160 39.52% 28.98% 31.50%+0.1473.8
2027-05-15 @ Manchester United 2160 2145 31.50% 28.98% 39.52%-0.1473.8
2027-05-15 Bournemouth 2059 2131 31.61% 28.98% 39.41%-0.1361.5
2027-05-15 @ Sunderland 2131 2059 39.41% 28.98% 31.61%+0.1361.5
2027-05-23 Chelsea 2131 2140 40.44% 28.95% 30.61%+0.1776.3
2027-05-23 @ Bournemouth 2140 2131 30.61% 28.95% 40.44%-0.1776.3
2027-05-23 Hull City 2122 2083 46.66% 28.55% 24.78%+0.4066.4
2027-05-23 @ Brentford 2083 2122 24.78% 28.55% 46.66%-0.4066.4
2027-05-23 Liverpool 2225 2182 47.20% 28.50% 24.30%+0.4273.9
2027-05-23 @ Brighton 2182 2225 24.30% 28.50% 47.20%-0.4273.9
2027-05-23 Arsenal 2131 2307 19.76% 27.83% 52.41%-0.6354.3
2027-05-23 @ Everton 2307 2131 52.41% 27.83% 19.76%+0.6354.3
2027-05-23 Coventry City 2061 2002 49.14% 28.29% 22.57%+0.5057.8
2027-05-23 @ Fulham 2002 2061 22.57% 28.29% 49.14%-0.5057.8
2027-05-23 Sunderland 2160 2059 53.86% 27.58% 18.56%+0.7057.2
2027-05-23 @ Leeds United 2059 2160 18.56% 27.58% 53.86%-0.7057.2
2027-05-23 Aston Villa 2289 2059 65.50% 24.29% 10.21%+1.3244.3
2027-05-23 @ Manchester City 2059 2289 10.21% 24.29% 65.50%-1.3244.3
2027-05-23 Crystal Palace 2113 2042 50.57% 28.10% 21.32%+0.5664.8
2027-05-23 @ Newcastle United 2042 2113 21.32% 28.10% 50.57%-0.5664.8
2027-05-23 Ipswich Town 2125 2063 49.40% 28.26% 22.35%+0.5164.0
2027-05-23 @ Nottingham Forest 2063 2125 22.35% 28.26% 49.40%-0.5164.0
2027-05-23 Manchester United 2054 2145 29.10% 28.88% 42.02%-0.2357.0
2027-05-23 @ Tottenham 2145 2054 42.02% 28.88% 29.10%+0.2357.0
2027-05-30 Brighton 2307 2225 51.70% 27.94% 20.36%+0.6069.4
2027-05-30 @ Arsenal 2225 2307 20.36% 27.94% 51.70%-0.6069.4
2027-05-30 Tottenham 2059 2054 42.33% 28.86% 28.80%+0.2463.3
2027-05-30 @ Aston Villa 2054 2059 28.80% 28.86% 42.33%-0.2463.3
2027-05-30 Brentford 2140 2122 43.94% 28.77% 27.29%+0.3074.6
2027-05-30 @ Chelsea 2122 2140 27.29% 28.77% 43.94%-0.3074.6
2027-05-30 Nottingham Forest 2002 2125 25.27% 28.60% 46.13%-0.3850.7
2027-05-30 @ Coventry City 2125 2002 46.13% 28.60% 25.27%+0.3850.7
2027-05-30 Leeds United 2042 2160 25.75% 28.64% 45.61%-0.3660.0
2027-05-30 @ Crystal Palace 2160 2042 45.61% 28.64% 25.75%+0.3660.0
2027-05-30 Newcastle United 2083 2113 37.47% 29.02% 33.51%+0.0770.0
2027-05-30 @ Hull City 2113 2083 33.51% 29.02% 37.47%-0.0770.0
2027-05-30 Everton 2063 2131 32.20% 29.00% 38.80%-0.1165.4
2027-05-30 @ Ipswich Town 2131 2063 38.80% 29.00% 32.20%+0.1165.4
2027-05-30 Bournemouth 2182 2131 48.16% 28.40% 23.44%+0.4666.6
2027-05-30 @ Liverpool 2131 2182 23.44% 28.40% 48.16%-0.4666.6
2027-05-30 Fulham 2145 2061 51.93% 27.91% 20.16%+0.6160.8
2027-05-30 @ Manchester United 2061 2145 20.16% 27.91% 51.93%-0.6160.8
2027-05-30 Manchester City 2059 2289 15.35% 26.71% 57.94%-0.8948.6
2027-05-30 @ Sunderland 2289 2059 57.94% 26.71% 15.35%+0.8948.6

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-08-22 22.48% @ Hull City 2023 2 Manchester United 2172 0
2 2026-09-05 25.37% Crystal Palace 2041 3 @ Fulham 2075 2
3 2026-08-22 26.35% Leeds United 2104 1 @ Nottingham Forest 2129 0
4 2026-08-29 26.43% Hull City 2063 1 @ Coventry City 2088 0
5 2026-09-12 27.85% Ipswich Town 2046 3 @ Crystal Palace 2059 2
6 2026-08-24 31.13% Chelsea 2119 3 @ Fulham 2106 2
7 2026-09-12 33.99% Nottingham Forest 2109 2 @ Aston Villa 2075 1
8 2026-08-29 34.48% Newcastle United 2119 2 @ Tottenham 2082 0
9 2026-08-30 35.16% @ Chelsea 2135 4 Brighton 2182 3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-13 60.13 Brighton 5 2165 43.62% @ Coventry City 0 2062 27.59% 28.79%
2 2026-08-23 52.36 @ Brighton 4 2129 40.74% Aston Villa 0 2136 30.32% 28.94%
3 2026-08-22 39.95 @ Hull City 2 2023 22.48% Manchester United 0 2172 49.25% 28.28%
4 2026-09-14 35.73 @ Leeds United 4 2125 38.27% Newcastle United 1 2149 32.72% 29.01%
5 2026-08-29 31.54 Newcastle United 2 2119 34.48% @ Tottenham 0 2082 36.48% 29.03%
6 2026-09-04 27.22 Liverpool 2 2159 41.32% @ Ipswich Town 0 2073 29.76% 28.91%
7 2026-08-22 25.74 @ Everton 2 2105 43.59% Crystal Palace 0 2090 27.62% 28.79%
8 2026-08-30 25.63 @ Manchester United 5 2132 45.94% Ipswich Town 2 2099 25.44% 28.62%
9 2026-08-28 23.61 Manchester City 4 2246 53.00% @ Crystal Palace 1 2064 19.27% 27.73%
10 2026-08-21 23.40 @ Arsenal 3 2248 57.46% Coventry City 0 2111 15.71% 26.82%
11 2026-08-22 19.63 Leeds United 1 2104 26.35% @ Nottingham Forest 0 2129 44.95% 28.70%
12 2026-08-29 19.60 Hull City 1 2063 26.43% @ Coventry City 0 2088 44.86% 28.70%
13 2026-09-05 17.91 Crystal Palace 3 2041 25.37% @ Fulham 2 2075 46.02% 28.61%
14 2026-09-12 17.06 Ipswich Town 3 2046 27.85% @ Crystal Palace 2 2059 43.35% 28.81%
15 2026-09-12 16.89 Arsenal 2 2290 56.37% @ Sunderland 0 2076 16.55% 27.08%
16 2026-08-24 15.99 Chelsea 3 2119 31.13% @ Fulham 2 2106 39.90% 28.97%
17 2026-09-12 15.92 Nottingham Forest 2 2109 33.99% @ Aston Villa 1 2075 36.98% 29.03%
18 2026-08-30 15.87 @ Sunderland 1 2058 37.08% Fulham 0 2091 33.89% 29.03%
19 2026-08-30 14.41 @ Chelsea 4 2135 35.16% Brighton 3 2182 35.80% 29.03%
20 2026-09-13 12.95 Manchester City 1 2276 45.57% @ Manchester United 0 2158 25.78% 28.65%
21 2026-08-22 12.84 @ Ipswich Town 2 2086 43.69% Sunderland 1 2070 27.53% 28.78%
22 2026-08-31 9.96 Arsenal 1 2272 53.70% @ Aston Villa 0 2083 18.69% 27.61%
23 2026-08-23 9.57 @ Manchester City 2 2237 53.20% Bournemouth 1 2141 19.10% 27.70%
24 2026-09-06 8.23 @ Arsenal 2 2282 56.97% Chelsea 1 2150 16.09% 26.94%
25 2026-09-05 6.42 @ Manchester City 1 2270 63.21% Coventry City 0 2068 11.64% 25.14%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-08-29 76.1 @ Liverpool 2 2161 48.15% Nottingham Forest 2 2110 23.45% 28.40%
2 2026-09-12 76.1 @ Chelsea 2 2141 49.22% Hull City 2 2081 22.50% 28.28%
3 2026-09-05 76.0 @ Newcastle United 2 2150 44.24% Bournemouth 2 2131 27.02% 28.75%
4 2026-09-12 76.0 @ Bournemouth 2 2132 43.05% Brentford 2 2121 28.13% 28.82%
5 2026-08-23 75.9 @ Newcastle United 2 2119 35.80% Liverpool 2 2161 35.16% 29.03%
6 2026-09-06 75.9 @ Everton 2 2132 38.10% Manchester United 2 2158 32.89% 29.01%
7 2026-09-05 73.6 Crystal Palace 3 2041 25.37% @ Fulham 2 2075 46.02% 28.61%
8 2026-08-30 73.5 @ Chelsea 4 2135 35.16% Brighton 3 2182 35.80% 29.03%
9 2026-09-12 72.9 Ipswich Town 3 2046 27.85% @ Crystal Palace 2 2059 43.35% 28.81%
10 2026-08-24 71.9 Chelsea 3 2119 31.13% @ Fulham 2 2106 39.90% 28.97%
11 2026-09-05 70.8 @ Brentford 1 2123 48.01% Sunderland 1 2073 23.57% 28.42%
12 2026-09-05 70.7 @ Brighton 1 2167 47.37% Leeds United 1 2123 24.15% 28.48%
13 2026-08-29 70.6 @ Bournemouth 1 2132 41.77% Everton 1 2131 29.34% 28.89%
14 2026-08-30 70.6 @ Leeds United 1 2124 41.82% Brentford 1 2122 29.29% 28.89%
15 2026-09-12 67.0 @ Liverpool 0 2186 56.72% Fulham 0 2057 16.28% 27.00%
16 2026-09-05 66.6 @ Nottingham Forest 0 2111 49.36% Tottenham 0 2050 22.37% 28.26%
17 2026-09-05 66.4 @ Hull City 0 2083 42.88% Aston Villa 0 2074 28.29% 28.83%
18 2026-09-12 66.4 @ Tottenham 0 2053 30.72% Everton 0 2131 40.32% 28.95%
19 2026-09-12 66.2 Nottingham Forest 2 2109 33.99% @ Aston Villa 1 2075 36.98% 29.03%
20 2026-08-22 63.4 Leeds United 1 2104 26.35% @ Nottingham Forest 0 2129 44.95% 28.70%
21 2026-08-29 63.4 Hull City 1 2063 26.43% @ Coventry City 0 2088 44.86% 28.70%
22 2026-08-22 63.2 @ Ipswich Town 2 2086 43.69% Sunderland 1 2070 27.53% 28.78%
23 2026-08-22 61.0 @ Hull City 2 2023 22.48% Manchester United 0 2172 49.25% 28.28%
24 2026-08-23 60.4 @ Manchester City 2 2237 53.20% Bournemouth 1 2141 19.10% 27.70%
25 2026-08-30 60.2 @ Sunderland 1 2058 37.08% Fulham 0 2091 33.89% 29.03%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-08-21 48.7 @ Arsenal 3 2248 57.46% Coventry City 0 2111 15.71% 26.82%
2 2026-09-12 50.9 Arsenal 2 2290 56.37% @ Sunderland 0 2076 16.55% 27.08%
3 2026-09-05 52.3 @ Manchester City 1 2270 63.21% Coventry City 0 2068 11.64% 25.14%
4 2026-08-23 53.5 @ Brighton 4 2129 40.74% Aston Villa 0 2136 30.32% 28.94%
5 2026-09-13 53.5 Brighton 5 2165 43.62% @ Coventry City 0 2062 27.59% 28.79%
6 2026-08-22 54.7 @ Everton 2 2105 43.59% Crystal Palace 0 2090 27.62% 28.79%
7 2026-08-28 54.9 Manchester City 4 2246 53.00% @ Crystal Palace 1 2064 19.27% 27.73%
8 2026-08-31 55.2 Arsenal 1 2272 53.70% @ Aston Villa 0 2083 18.69% 27.61%
9 2026-09-04 55.4 Liverpool 2 2159 41.32% @ Ipswich Town 0 2073 29.76% 28.91%
10 2026-08-29 57.4 Newcastle United 2 2119 34.48% @ Tottenham 0 2082 36.48% 29.03%
11 2026-09-13 57.6 Manchester City 1 2276 45.57% @ Manchester United 0 2158 25.78% 28.65%
12 2026-09-06 59.3 @ Arsenal 2 2282 56.97% Chelsea 1 2150 16.09% 26.94%
13 2026-09-14 59.3 @ Leeds United 4 2125 38.27% Newcastle United 1 2149 32.72% 29.01%
14 2026-08-30 59.8 @ Manchester United 5 2132 45.94% Ipswich Town 2 2099 25.44% 28.62%
15 2026-08-30 60.2 @ Sunderland 1 2058 37.08% Fulham 0 2091 33.89% 29.03%
16 2026-08-23 60.4 @ Manchester City 2 2237 53.20% Bournemouth 1 2141 19.10% 27.70%
17 2026-08-22 61.0 @ Hull City 2 2023 22.48% Manchester United 0 2172 49.25% 28.28%
18 2026-08-22 63.2 @ Ipswich Town 2 2086 43.69% Sunderland 1 2070 27.53% 28.78%
19 2026-08-22 63.4 Leeds United 1 2104 26.35% @ Nottingham Forest 0 2129 44.95% 28.70%
20 2026-08-29 63.4 Hull City 1 2063 26.43% @ Coventry City 0 2088 44.86% 28.70%
21 2026-09-12 66.2 Nottingham Forest 2 2109 33.99% @ Aston Villa 1 2075 36.98% 29.03%
22 2026-09-05 66.4 @ Hull City 0 2083 42.88% Aston Villa 0 2074 28.29% 28.83%
23 2026-09-12 66.4 @ Tottenham 0 2053 30.72% Everton 0 2131 40.32% 28.95%
24 2026-09-05 66.6 @ Nottingham Forest 0 2111 49.36% Tottenham 0 2050 22.37% 28.26%
25 2026-09-12 67.0 @ Liverpool 0 2186 56.72% Fulham 0 2057 16.28% 27.00%