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2025-26 Premier League Season

380 games

Final

Champion

Arsenal

85 points · 14th Title

Last Title: 2003-04

Relegated

Wolverhampton

20 pts

Burnley · 22 pts

West Ham · 39 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Manchester United

18.24 points above expected

71 points · 52.76 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Burnley

17.21 points below expected

22 points · 39.21 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Arsenal Champion 38 26 7 5 85 71 27 +44 75.84 +9.16
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 78 77 35 +42 72.72 +5.28
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 71 69 50 +19 52.76 +18.24
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 65 56 49 +7 56.62 +8.38
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 60 63 53 +10 65.48 -5.48
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 57 58 54 +4 50.98 +6.02
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 54 42 48 -6 41.08 +12.92
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 53 52 46 +6 53.71 -0.71
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 53 55 52 +3 51.35 +1.65
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 52 58 52 +6 59.70 -7.70
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 52 47 51 -4 48.52 +3.48
12 Newcastle United 38 14 7 17 49 53 55 -2 54.51 -5.51
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 49 47 50 -3 49.54 -0.54
14 Leeds United 38 11 14 13 47 49 56 -7 48.05 -1.05
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 45 41 51 -10 51.40 -6.40
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 44 48 51 -3 45.89 -1.89
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 41 48 57 -9 50.14 -9.14
18 West Ham Relegated 38 10 9 19 39 46 65 -19 37.17 +1.83
19 Burnley Relegated 38 4 10 24 22 38 75 -37 39.21 -17.21
20 Wolverhampton Relegated 38 3 11 24 20 27 68 -41 32.35 -12.35

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Arsenal 2233 85 75.84 +9.16 90.7% 49 63 71 76 81 88 106
Manchester City 2212 78 72.72 +5.28 77.5% 43 60 68 73 78 85 106
Manchester United 2105 71 52.76 +18.24 99.3% 27 40 48 53 58 66 85
Liverpool 2086 60 65.48 -5.48 26.0% 37 53 60 66 71 78 96
Bournemouth 2052 57 50.98 +6.02 80.7% 25 39 46 51 56 64 81
Aston Villa 2045 65 56.62 +8.38 87.8% 31 44 51 57 62 69 85
Brighton 2027 53 53.71 -0.71 48.5% 24 41 49 54 59 66 87
Nottingham Forest 2026 44 45.89 -1.89 43.2% 19 34 41 46 51 59 75
Brentford 2016 53 51.35 +1.65 61.5% 22 39 46 51 56 64 80
Newcastle United 2009 49 54.51 -5.51 26.0% 22 42 49 55 60 67 86
Chelsea 2008 52 59.70 -7.70 17.4% 31 47 55 60 65 72 88
Fulham 1991 52 48.52 +3.48 70.0% 20 36 43 48 54 61 78
Everton 1985 49 49.54 -0.54 49.8% 19 37 44 50 55 62 78
Leeds United 1984 47 48.05 -1.05 47.8% 21 36 43 48 53 61 81
Crystal Palace 1961 45 51.40 -6.40 22.4% 25 39 46 51 57 64 80
Tottenham 1938 41 50.14 -9.14 12.6% 24 38 45 50 55 63 77
West Ham 1935 39 37.17 +1.83 63.4% 13 25 32 37 42 49 67
Sunderland 1934 54 41.08 +12.92 96.4% 16 29 36 41 46 53 71
Burnley 1832 22 39.21 -17.21 0.9% 14 27 34 39 44 52 72
Wolverhampton 1818 20 32.35 -12.35 3.8% 9 21 28 32 37 44 59

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BOU BRE BRI BUR CHE CP EVE FUL LU LIV MC MU NU NF SUN TOT WH WOL
Arsenal —
1-0-1
3.61
1-0-1
4.27
1-1-0
3.99
2-0-0
4.03
2-0-0
4.47
1-1-0
3.55
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.14
2-0-0
4.12
2-0-0
3.82
0-1-1
3.19
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.90
2-0-0
3.78
1-1-0
4.16
1-1-0
4.35
2-0-0
4.02
2-0-0
4.48
1-1-0
4.90
Aston Villa
1-0-1
1.85
 —
1-1-0
2.95
0-0-2
3.11
2-0-0
3.01
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
3.09
0-1-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.42
1-0-1
2.10
2-0-0
1.68
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.66
1-1-0
3.45
1-1-0
3.31
1-0-1
2.96
2-0-0
3.74
1-0-1
4.25
Bournemouth
1-0-1
1.28
0-1-1
2.47
 —
0-1-1
2.62
1-1-0
2.63
0-2-0
3.52
0-2-0
2.03
1-1-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
3.10
0-2-0
2.90
1-0-1
1.92
0-1-1
1.78
0-2-0
2.40
1-1-0
2.64
1-1-0
3.18
0-1-1
3.30
2-0-0
2.47
0-2-0
3.47
2-0-0
3.54
Brentford
0-1-1
1.51
2-0-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.81
 —
0-0-2
2.78
2-0-0
3.44
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.81
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.86
0-2-0
3.00
1-1-0
1.99
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.55
0-0-2
3.03
1-0-1
3.36
0-1-1
2.64
2-0-0
3.29
1-1-0
3.87
Brighton
0-0-2
1.48
0-0-2
2.43
0-1-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.66
 —
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
2.47
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.89
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.30
1-1-0
1.77
0-0-2
2.73
1-0-1
2.79
2-0-0
3.22
1-1-0
3.33
0-2-0
3.04
0-2-0
3.65
1-1-0
3.82
Burnley
0-0-2
1.14
0-1-1
1.88
0-2-0
1.93
0-0-2
2.01
0-0-2
1.71
 —
0-1-1
1.64
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.06
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
1.57
0-0-2
1.22
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
1.90
0-1-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.97
1-1-0
3.09
Chelsea
0-1-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.86
0-2-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.98
1-1-0
3.86
 —
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
3.68
1-1-0
2.02
0-1-1
1.90
0-0-2
3.17
0-1-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.15
0-0-2
3.56
2-0-0
3.01
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
4.27
Crystal Palace
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
2.34
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.56
0-1-1
2.23
 —
0-1-1
2.77
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.10
1-0-1
1.93
0-0-2
1.65
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
2.46
0-2-0
2.74
0-1-1
3.36
1-0-1
2.83
1-1-0
3.43
2-0-0
3.91
Everton
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.54
1-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
2.07
1-1-0
2.65
 —
2-0-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.61
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
1.59
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
2.89
0-1-1
3.19
0-0-2
2.81
0-1-1
3.39
1-1-0
3.46
Fulham
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
2.52
0-0-2
2.33
1-1-0
2.56
1-1-0
2.53
2-0-0
3.29
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.74
 —
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.56
0-1-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.91
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.59
1-0-1
3.42
1-1-0
3.63
Leeds United
0-0-2
1.66
0-1-1
2.03
0-2-0
2.53
0-2-0
2.43
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
3.41
1-1-0
1.78
1-1-0
2.33
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.74
 —
0-2-0
1.92
0-0-2
1.44
1-1-0
2.33
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.44
2-0-0
3.52
Liverpool
1-1-0
2.27
1-0-1
3.35
1-0-1
3.53
0-1-1
3.46
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
3.93
0-1-1
3.43
1-0-1
3.52
2-0-0
3.48
1-1-0
3.45
0-2-0
3.54
 —
0-0-2
2.38
0-0-2
3.40
2-0-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.81
1-1-0
3.73
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.92
1-0-1
4.44
Manchester City
1-1-0
2.47
0-0-2
3.81
1-1-0
3.68
2-0-0
3.83
0-1-1
3.71
2-0-0
4.35
1-1-0
3.56
2-0-0
3.87
1-1-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
3.05
 —
1-0-1
3.84
1-0-1
3.76
1-1-0
4.28
1-1-0
4.22
0-1-1
3.79
1-1-0
4.49
2-0-0
4.19
Manchester United
1-0-1
1.60
1-0-1
2.53
0-2-0
3.03
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
2.69
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.26
2-0-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.96
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
3.11
2-0-0
2.07
1-0-1
1.64
 —
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
3.16
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
2.68
0-2-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.90
Newcastle United
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.79
0-0-2
2.88
1-0-1
2.63
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
2.24
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.19
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
1.72
1-0-1
2.68
 —
1-1-0
2.94
0-0-2
3.54
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.68
1-1-0
3.93
Nottingham Forest
0-1-1
1.36
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.27
2-0-0
2.41
0-0-2
2.22
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.27
0-2-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
1.67
0-1-1
1.27
0-1-1
2.27
0-1-1
2.51
 —
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
2.31
1-0-1
3.36
1-1-0
3.59
Sunderland
0-1-1
1.22
0-1-1
2.13
1-1-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.08
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.62
2-0-0
1.90
1-1-0
2.09
1-1-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.47
1-1-0
2.36
0-1-1
1.74
0-1-1
1.32
0-1-1
1.98
2-0-0
1.92
1-0-1
2.37
 —
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.79
1-1-0
3.09
Tottenham
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.50
0-0-2
2.95
1-1-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.39
1-1-0
3.02
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.86
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
1.95
1-1-0
1.68
0-1-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-2
3.11
0-1-1
2.88
 —
1-0-1
3.51
1-1-0
3.52
West Ham
0-0-2
1.10
0-0-2
1.73
0-2-0
1.98
0-0-2
2.15
0-2-0
1.81
2-0-0
2.45
0-0-2
1.70
0-1-1
2.01
1-1-0
2.06
1-0-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.00
0-0-2
1.58
0-1-1
1.10
0-2-0
1.84
1-0-1
1.78
1-0-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
1.96
 —
1-0-1
3.16
Wolverhampton
0-1-1
0.78
1-0-1
1.29
0-0-2
1.91
0-1-1
1.62
0-1-1
1.68
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
1.28
0-0-2
1.58
0-1-1
2.00
0-1-1
1.83
0-0-2
1.95
1-0-1
1.14
0-0-2
1.37
0-1-1
1.60
0-1-1
1.56
0-1-1
1.88
0-1-1
2.33
0-1-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.27
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +12.1
Allowed 0.81 -13.9
Differential 0.94 +7.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.11%6.97%5.79%4.87%0.53%0.26%25.53%
16.97%12.37%8.42%3.82%1.32%0.26%33.16%
25.79%8.42%6.84%2.76%0.53%0.13%24.47%
34.87%3.82%2.76%0.79%0.53%—12.76%
40.53%1.32%0.53%0.53%0.26%0.13%3.29%
5+0.26%0.26%0.13%—0.13%—0.79%
Total25.53%33.16%24.47%12.76%3.29%0.79%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.38 +0.00
SD 1.14 1.14 1.65
CV 0.83 0.83 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 380

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%2.63%————7.89%
121.05%7.89%7.89%———36.84%
210.53%13.16%5.26%2.63%——31.58%
37.89%—2.63%———10.53%
42.63%7.89%————10.53%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total50.00%31.58%15.79%2.63%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 0.71 +1.16
SD 1.21 0.84 1.46
CV 0.65 1.18 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%10.53%5.26%2.63%——26.32%
17.89%10.53%2.63%2.63%5.26%—28.95%
25.26%18.42%2.63%———26.32%
3—5.26%2.63%———7.89%
42.63%—2.63%5.26%——10.53%
5+———————
Total23.68%44.74%15.79%10.53%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.29 +0.18
SD 1.27 1.11 1.57
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%2.63%——2.63%—18.42%
17.89%15.79%—2.63%2.63%—28.95%
25.26%10.53%13.16%5.26%2.63%—36.84%
32.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%——13.16%
4————2.63%—2.63%
5+———————
Total28.95%31.58%18.42%10.53%10.53%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.42 +0.11
SD 1.03 1.31 1.33
CV 0.68 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%2.63%15.79%2.63%——31.58%
15.26%7.89%7.89%5.26%——26.32%
25.26%—10.53%———15.79%
35.26%7.89%5.26%———18.42%
4—2.63%2.63%2.63%——7.89%
5+———————
Total26.32%21.05%42.11%10.53%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.37 +0.08
SD 1.33 1.00 1.65
CV 0.92 0.73 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%5.26%2.63%——23.68%
12.63%15.79%7.89%2.63%——28.95%
210.53%13.16%7.89%—2.63%—34.21%
37.89%2.63%——2.63%—13.16%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.32%42.11%21.05%5.26%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.21 +0.16
SD 1.00 1.07 1.52
CV 0.73 0.88 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%15.79%5.26%——36.84%
1—13.16%5.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%34.21%
25.26%—7.89%7.89%——21.05%
3——5.26%—2.63%—7.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.53%23.68%34.21%23.68%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.97 -0.97
SD 0.96 1.17 1.35
CV 0.96 0.59 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%—7.89%——18.42%
12.63%10.53%15.79%7.89%——36.84%
210.53%5.26%10.53%———26.32%
35.26%5.26%2.63%———13.16%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total23.68%31.58%28.95%15.79%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.37 +0.16
SD 1.18 1.02 1.78
CV 0.77 0.75 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%5.26%2.63%7.89%——31.58%
17.89%7.89%13.16%5.26%2.63%—36.84%
25.26%10.53%5.26%2.63%——23.68%
32.63%2.63%—2.63%——7.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total31.58%26.32%21.05%18.42%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.34 -0.26
SD 0.94 1.19 1.48
CV 0.87 0.89 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%7.89%2.63%——26.32%
17.89%13.16%10.53%2.63%2.63%—36.84%
210.53%5.26%5.26%—2.63%—23.68%
35.26%—5.26%2.63%——13.16%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.95%28.95%28.95%7.89%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.32 -0.08
SD 1.00 1.14 1.53
CV 0.81 0.87 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%7.89%5.26%——28.95%
113.16%10.53%7.89%5.26%——36.84%
22.63%10.53%2.63%2.63%——18.42%
32.63%7.89%2.63%———13.16%
4—————2.63%2.63%
5+———————
Total23.68%39.47%21.05%13.16%—2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.34 -0.11
SD 1.10 1.15 1.48
CV 0.89 0.85 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%2.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%31.58%
17.89%15.79%5.26%2.63%——31.58%
2—5.26%7.89%2.63%——15.79%
32.63%10.53%—2.63%2.63%—18.42%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total21.05%42.11%15.79%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.47 -0.18
SD 1.18 1.27 1.74
CV 0.92 0.86 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%——5.26%——10.53%
110.53%13.16%15.79%———39.47%
210.53%10.53%2.63%7.89%2.63%—34.21%
3—2.63%2.63%2.63%——7.89%
4—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
5+——2.63%———2.63%
Total26.32%28.95%26.32%15.79%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.66 1.39 +0.26
SD 1.12 1.13 1.46
CV 0.68 0.81 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%2.63%5.26%———10.53%
17.89%13.16%7.89%———28.95%
25.26%10.53%5.26%———21.05%
323.68%2.63%2.63%2.63%——31.58%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+—2.63%——2.63%—5.26%
Total42.11%31.58%21.05%2.63%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 0.92 +1.11
SD 1.28 1.00 1.64
CV 0.63 1.08 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%5.26%—2.63%——10.53%
17.89%13.16%7.89%2.63%——31.58%
27.89%13.16%10.53%———31.58%
32.63%2.63%13.16%———18.42%
4—2.63%2.63%—2.63%—7.89%
5+———————
Total21.05%36.84%34.21%5.26%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.32 +0.50
SD 1.11 0.96 1.27
CV 0.61 0.73 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%5.26%———23.68%
15.26%2.63%15.79%5.26%2.63%—31.58%
25.26%13.16%5.26%7.89%——31.58%
3—7.89%————7.89%
4—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
5+———————
Total21.05%34.21%26.32%15.79%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.45 -0.05
SD 1.10 1.08 1.41
CV 0.79 0.75 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%7.89%10.53%10.53%——36.84%
12.63%15.79%5.26%5.26%——28.95%
22.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%——13.16%
37.89%7.89%————15.79%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total23.68%36.84%21.05%18.42%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.34 -0.08
SD 1.33 1.05 1.98
CV 1.05 0.78 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%7.89%5.26%7.89%—2.63%34.21%
110.53%18.42%—5.26%——34.21%
22.63%13.16%2.63%———18.42%
35.26%2.63%2.63%—2.63%—13.16%
4———————
5+———————
Total28.95%42.11%10.53%13.16%2.63%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.26 -0.16
SD 1.03 1.25 1.70
CV 0.94 0.99 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.63%7.89%2.63%5.26%——18.42%
17.89%10.53%18.42%2.63%5.26%—44.74%
25.26%5.26%15.79%2.63%——28.95%
37.89%—————7.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.68%23.68%36.84%10.53%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.50 -0.24
SD 0.86 1.13 1.58
CV 0.68 0.76 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%5.26%10.53%13.16%——34.21%
12.63%13.16%7.89%2.63%—2.63%28.95%
22.63%5.26%5.26%5.26%—2.63%21.05%
35.26%5.26%2.63%———13.16%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total18.42%28.95%26.32%21.05%—5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.71 -0.50
SD 1.14 1.29 1.93
CV 0.94 0.76 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%13.16%10.53%5.26%—50.00%
1—18.42%5.26%5.26%2.63%—31.58%
22.63%2.63%5.26%5.26%——15.79%
32.63%—————2.63%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.53%36.84%23.68%21.05%7.89%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.71 1.79 -1.08
SD 0.84 1.14 1.51
CV 1.18 0.64 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Manchester United 71 52.76 +18.24
2 Sunderland 54 41.08 +12.92
3 Arsenal 85 75.84 +9.16
4 Aston Villa 65 56.62 +8.38
5 Bournemouth 57 50.98 +6.02

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Burnley 22 39.21 -17.21
2 Wolverhampton 20 32.35 -12.35
3 Tottenham 41 50.14 -9.14
4 Chelsea 52 59.70 -7.70
5 Crystal Palace 45 51.40 -6.40

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aston Villa 8 Nov 9 – Dec 27 1 in 1,690
2 Manchester United 4 Jan 17 – Feb 7 1 in 162
3 Wolverhampton 2 Feb 27 – Mar 3 1 in 47
4 Liverpool 5 Aug 15 – Sep 20 1 in 39
5 Manchester City 6 Nov 29 – Dec 27 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chelsea 6 Mar 14 – May 4 1 in 1,102
2 Wolverhampton 11 Oct 18 – Dec 27 1 in 795
3 Liverpool 4 Sep 27 – Oct 25 1 in 323
4 Burnley 7 Nov 1 – Dec 13 1 in 285
5 Tottenham 5 Feb 7 – Mar 5 1 in 72

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bournemouth 18 Jan 7 – May 24 1 in 5,574
2 Manchester United 11 Dec 26 – Mar 1 1 in 105
3 Nottingham Forest 8 Mar 4 – May 10 1 in 66
4 Leeds United 8 Mar 15 – May 17 1 in 37
5 Sunderland 5 Dec 14 – Jan 4 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Tottenham 15 Jan 1 – Apr 18 1 in 496
2 Burnley 16 Nov 1 – Feb 7 1 in 157
3 Bournemouth 11 Nov 2 – Jan 3 1 in 100
4 Wolverhampton 19 Aug 16 – Dec 30 1 in 97
5 Crystal Palace 9 Dec 14 – Feb 1 1 in 46

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Arsenal53.76%28.64%10.31%3.90%1.59%0.93%0.34%0.28%0.15%0.05%0.03%—0.01%0.01%——————
Manchester City33.42%36.26%15.50%7.36%3.30%1.84%0.90%0.62%0.36%0.19%0.13%0.05%0.03%0.02%0.02%—————
Manchester United0.29%1.22%4.06%6.15%7.57%8.61%8.17%8.79%7.89%7.59%7.42%6.83%6.15%5.23%4.76%3.54%2.89%1.59%0.98%0.27%
Aston Villa0.86%3.21%7.65%11.22%11.75%10.39%9.70%8.47%7.29%6.73%5.30%4.41%3.75%3.24%2.32%1.72%1.18%0.57%0.20%0.04%
Liverpool8.30%17.29%26.62%15.67%10.14%7.09%4.50%3.15%2.29%1.66%0.98%0.82%0.73%0.32%0.20%0.18%0.03%0.01%0.02%—
Bournemouth0.13%0.65%2.21%4.11%5.33%6.49%7.55%7.78%7.69%7.92%7.87%7.90%7.47%6.72%6.52%4.72%4.19%2.58%1.60%0.57%
Sunderland0.01%0.01%0.12%0.23%0.44%0.74%0.95%1.61%2.14%2.98%3.42%4.48%5.82%6.92%9.00%11.46%13.41%14.61%13.21%8.44%
Brighton0.34%1.46%4.52%6.81%8.55%9.00%9.13%8.68%8.31%7.86%7.08%6.26%5.21%5.09%3.79%3.24%2.20%1.47%0.84%0.16%
Brentford0.12%0.75%2.81%4.45%5.99%6.38%7.14%7.45%7.99%8.10%7.99%7.47%7.34%6.59%6.02%4.88%3.85%2.54%1.67%0.47%
Chelsea1.99%6.35%12.99%16.09%12.86%11.01%8.32%7.23%5.64%4.48%3.54%2.95%2.17%1.65%1.10%0.75%0.54%0.22%0.11%0.01%
Fulham0.03%0.32%1.20%2.03%3.58%4.18%5.15%5.76%6.73%7.31%7.51%8.06%8.03%8.22%8.53%7.69%6.42%4.61%3.35%1.29%
Newcastle United0.41%1.73%4.96%7.97%9.30%9.31%9.27%8.41%7.84%7.22%6.78%6.40%5.36%4.61%3.72%3.12%1.92%0.93%0.59%0.15%
Everton0.08%0.31%1.23%3.15%4.03%5.07%6.04%6.49%7.19%7.68%8.01%8.18%8.08%8.07%7.34%6.73%5.20%3.84%2.31%0.97%
Leeds United0.06%0.29%1.23%1.98%3.15%4.05%4.63%5.12%6.03%6.77%7.57%7.79%8.12%8.19%8.71%8.53%7.35%5.51%3.51%1.41%
Crystal Palace0.15%0.84%2.50%4.29%5.37%6.36%7.30%7.71%7.84%7.55%7.84%7.50%7.37%6.72%6.15%5.44%4.05%2.88%1.63%0.51%
Nottingham Forest—0.15%0.46%0.99%2.24%2.64%3.56%3.90%4.91%5.50%6.51%7.28%8.24%9.12%9.51%9.97%9.38%7.98%5.23%2.43%
Tottenham0.05%0.51%1.58%3.39%4.44%5.37%6.24%6.91%7.50%7.19%8.04%7.68%7.89%8.13%6.99%6.49%5.06%3.77%2.09%0.68%
West Ham—0.01%0.02%0.04%0.15%0.19%0.33%0.61%0.73%1.13%1.38%2.27%2.98%4.24%5.86%8.09%12.56%17.46%22.62%19.33%
Burnley——0.03%0.17%0.20%0.33%0.74%0.93%1.27%1.79%2.22%3.09%4.14%5.38%7.26%9.75%13.04%17.85%18.56%13.25%
Wolverhampton————0.02%0.02%0.04%0.10%0.21%0.30%0.38%0.58%1.11%1.53%2.20%3.70%6.73%11.58%21.48%50.02%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.63%
Slight Edge
42.63%27.37%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 44.12 Elo pts.
208 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.30 goals
Neutral
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 10th * Longshot: 11th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.5
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
54%
Arsenal, 1st of 20
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.18/gm
Tight Race
00.180.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.05 * Some Luck: 6.05 to 9.08 * Lucky: 9.08 to 12.1 * Wild Swing: 12.1 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.34 * Close: 2.34 to 3.51 * Off: 3.51 to 4.69 * Way Off: 4.69 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 20 * As Expected: 20 to 32 * Several Outliers: 32 to 44 * Many Outliers: 44 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.08 * A Surprise: 1.08 to 1.73 * Several Surprises: 1.73 to 2.37 * Many Surprises: 2.37 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.47 points
Some Luck
07.5619
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.70
Close
02.936
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.50%
99.26%
Manchester United
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.50%
0.90%
Burnley
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 20
Minimal Outliers
02.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.13

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.71
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
63%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
92%
Strong Edge
50%91%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
15%
Frequent
0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.62
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.29
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.50
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
26%
As Expected
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
19%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Probability calibration
0.99
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.072
Well Within Noise
00.0900.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Manchester City 100% —
Liverpool 99.97% 0.03%
Chelsea 99.66% 0.34%
Aston Villa 99.19% 0.81%
Newcastle United 98.33% 1.67%
Brighton 97.53% 2.47%
Manchester United 97.16% 2.84%
Brentford 95.32% 4.68%
Bournemouth 95.25% 4.75%
Crystal Palace 94.98% 5.02%
Tottenham 93.46% 6.54%
Everton 92.88% 7.12%
Fulham 90.75% 9.25%
Leeds United 89.57% 10.43%
Nottingham Forest 84.36% 15.64%
Sunderland 63.74% 36.26%
Burnley 50.34% 49.66%
West Ham 40.59% 59.41%
Wolverhampton 16.92% 83.08%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2025-08-15 Bournemouth W 4-2 2113 2010 54.78% 26.18% 19.04% +7.2 3
2025-08-15 @ Liverpool L 2-4 2010 2113 19.04% 26.18% 54.78% -7.2 0
2025-08-16 Newcastle United D 0-0 2020 2048 37.81% 29.00% 33.19% -0.2 1
2025-08-16 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 2048 2020 33.19% 29.00% 37.81% +0.2 1
2025-08-16 Fulham D 1-1 2000 1987 43.49% 28.58% 27.93% -0.7 1
2025-08-16 @ Brighton D 1-1 1987 2000 27.93% 28.58% 43.49% +0.7 1
2025-08-16 West Ham W 3-0 1898 1953 33.88% 29.02% 37.11% +23.2 3
2025-08-16 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1953 1898 37.11% 29.02% 33.88% -23.2 0
2025-08-16 Burnley W 3-0 1981 1998 39.41% 28.93% 31.67% +20.7 3
2025-08-16 @ Tottenham L 0-3 1998 1981 31.67% 28.93% 39.41% -20.7 0
2025-08-16 Manchester City L 0-4 1955 2102 22.98% 27.59% 49.43% -20.9 0
2025-08-16 @ Wolverhampton W 4-0 2102 1955 49.43% 27.59% 22.98% +20.9 3
2025-08-17 Crystal Palace D 0-0 2039 2008 45.96% 28.24% 25.80% -1.0 1
2025-08-17 @ Chelsea D 0-0 2008 2039 25.80% 28.24% 45.96% +1.0 1
2025-08-17 Arsenal L 0-1 1965 2115 22.58% 27.48% 49.94% -5.8 0
2025-08-17 @ Manchester United W 1-0 2115 1965 49.94% 27.48% 22.58% +5.8 3
2025-08-17 Brentford W 3-1 2002 2003 41.51% 28.78% 29.71% +11.8 3
2025-08-17 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-3 2003 2002 29.71% 28.78% 41.51% -11.8 0
2025-08-18 Everton W 1-0 2019 1982 46.57% 28.14% 25.29% +6.3 3
2025-08-18 @ Leeds United L 0-1 1982 2019 25.29% 28.14% 46.57% -6.3 0
2025-08-22 Chelsea L 1-5 1930 2038 27.13% 28.46% 44.41% -20.0 0
2025-08-22 @ West Ham W 5-1 2038 1930 44.41% 28.46% 27.13% +20.0 4
2025-08-23 Leeds United W 5-0 2121 2025 54.02% 26.41% 19.57% +22.3 6
2025-08-23 @ Arsenal L 0-5 2025 2121 19.57% 26.41% 54.02% -22.3 3
2025-08-23 Wolverhampton W 1-0 2003 1934 50.70% 27.30% 22.00% +5.6 3
2025-08-23 @ Bournemouth L 0-1 1934 2003 22.00% 27.30% 50.70% -5.6 0
2025-08-23 Aston Villa W 1-0 1991 2020 37.74% 29.00% 33.26% +7.8 3
2025-08-23 @ Brentford L 0-1 2020 1991 33.26% 29.00% 37.74% -7.8 1
2025-08-23 Sunderland W 2-0 1977 1921 49.09% 27.66% 23.25% +11.1 3
2025-08-23 @ Burnley L 0-2 1921 1977 23.25% 27.66% 49.09% -11.1 3
2025-08-23 Tottenham L 0-2 2123 2002 56.90% 25.48% 17.62% -22.3 3
2025-08-23 @ Manchester City W 2-0 2002 2123 17.62% 25.48% 56.90% +22.3 6
2025-08-24 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 2009 2013 41.08% 28.81% 30.11% -0.5 2
2025-08-24 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 2013 2009 30.11% 28.81% 41.08% +0.5 4
2025-08-24 Brighton W 2-0 1976 2000 38.39% 28.98% 32.64% +14.6 3
2025-08-24 @ Everton L 0-2 2000 1976 32.64% 28.98% 38.39% -14.6 1
2025-08-24 Manchester United D 1-1 1988 1959 45.65% 28.28% 26.06% -0.9 2
2025-08-24 @ Fulham D 1-1 1959 1988 26.06% 28.28% 45.65% +0.9 1
2025-08-25 Liverpool L 2-3 2048 2120 31.59% 28.92% 39.49% -6.8 1
2025-08-25 @ Newcastle United W 3-2 2120 2048 39.49% 28.92% 31.59% +6.7 6
2025-08-30 Fulham W 2-0 2058 1987 50.99% 27.23% 21.78% +10.5 7
2025-08-30 @ Chelsea L 0-2 1987 2058 21.78% 27.23% 50.99% -10.5 2
2025-08-30 Newcastle United D 0-0 2003 2041 36.30% 29.03% 34.66% -0.1 4
2025-08-30 @ Leeds United D 0-0 2041 2003 34.66% 29.03% 36.30% +0.1 2
2025-08-30 Burnley W 3-2 1960 1988 37.74% 29.00% 33.26% +7.0 4
2025-08-30 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1988 1960 33.26% 29.00% 37.74% -7.0 3
2025-08-30 Brentford W 2-1 1910 1999 29.43% 28.75% 41.82% +8.7 6
2025-08-30 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1999 1910 41.82% 28.75% 29.43% -8.7 3
2025-08-30 Bournemouth L 0-1 2024 2009 43.81% 28.54% 27.65% -9.6 6
2025-08-30 @ Tottenham W 1-0 2009 2024 27.65% 28.54% 43.81% +9.6 6
2025-08-30 Everton L 2-3 1929 1991 32.98% 28.99% 38.03% -7.0 0
2025-08-30 @ Wolverhampton W 3-2 1991 1929 38.03% 28.99% 32.98% +7.0 6
2025-08-31 Crystal Palace L 0-3 2012 2008 42.18% 28.72% 29.10% -25.5 1
2025-08-31 @ Aston Villa W 3-0 2008 2012 29.10% 28.72% 42.18% +25.5 5
2025-08-31 Manchester City W 2-1 1985 2101 26.31% 28.33% 45.36% +9.3 4
2025-08-31 @ Brighton L 1-2 2101 1985 45.36% 28.33% 26.31% -9.3 3
2025-08-31 Arsenal W 1-0 2127 2144 39.39% 28.93% 31.69% +7.5 9
2025-08-31 @ Liverpool L 0-1 2144 2127 31.69% 28.93% 39.39% -7.6 6
2025-08-31 West Ham L 0-3 2014 1910 54.89% 26.15% 18.96% -31.5 4
2025-08-31 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-0 1910 2014 18.96% 26.15% 54.89% +31.5 3
2025-09-13 Nottingham Forest W 3-0 2136 1982 60.48% 24.13% 15.39% +10.9 9
2025-09-13 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1982 2136 15.39% 24.13% 60.48% -10.9 4
2025-09-13 Brighton W 2-1 2018 1995 44.91% 28.39% 26.70% +6.2 9
2025-09-13 @ Bournemouth L 1-2 1995 2018 26.70% 28.39% 44.91% -6.2 4
2025-09-13 Chelsea D 2-2 1990 2069 30.77% 28.87% 40.36% +0.3 4
2025-09-13 @ Brentford D 2-2 2069 1990 40.36% 28.87% 30.77% -0.3 8
2025-09-13 Sunderland D 0-0 2034 1919 56.22% 25.72% 18.07% -2.0 6
2025-09-13 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1919 2034 18.07% 25.72% 56.22% +2.0 7
2025-09-13 Aston Villa D 0-0 1998 1986 43.25% 28.60% 28.14% -0.8 7
2025-09-13 @ Everton D 0-0 1986 1998 28.14% 28.60% 43.25% +0.8 2
2025-09-13 Leeds United W 1-0 1977 2003 38.09% 28.99% 32.93% +7.8 5
2025-09-13 @ Fulham L 0-1 2003 1977 32.93% 28.99% 38.09% -7.8 4
2025-09-13 Wolverhampton W 1-0 2041 1922 56.71% 25.55% 17.74% +4.6 5
2025-09-13 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1922 2041 17.74% 25.55% 56.71% -4.6 0
2025-09-13 Tottenham L 0-3 1942 2014 31.51% 28.92% 39.57% -20.6 3
2025-09-13 @ West Ham W 3-0 2014 1942 39.57% 28.92% 31.51% +20.6 9
2025-09-14 Liverpool L 0-1 1981 2134 22.35% 27.41% 50.25% -5.7 3
2025-09-14 @ Burnley W 1-0 2134 1981 50.25% 27.41% 22.35% +5.7 12
2025-09-14 Manchester United W 3-0 2091 1967 57.29% 25.35% 17.37% +12.3 6
2025-09-14 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1967 2091 17.37% 25.35% 57.29% -12.3 4
2025-09-20 Tottenham D 2-2 1988 2035 35.10% 29.03% 35.86% +0.0 5
2025-09-20 @ Brighton D 2-2 2035 1988 35.86% 29.03% 35.10% -0.0 10
2025-09-20 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1975 1971 42.25% 28.71% 29.04% -0.6 4
2025-09-20 @ Burnley D 1-1 1971 1975 29.04% 28.71% 42.25% +0.6 5
2025-09-20 Brentford W 3-1 1984 1991 40.86% 28.83% 30.31% +11.9 8
2025-09-20 @ Fulham L 1-3 1991 1984 30.31% 28.83% 40.86% -11.9 4
2025-09-20 Everton W 2-1 2140 1997 59.36% 24.57% 16.07% +3.9 15
2025-09-20 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1997 2140 16.07% 24.57% 59.36% -3.9 7
2025-09-20 Chelsea W 2-1 1954 2068 26.44% 28.35% 45.21% +9.3 7
2025-09-20 @ Manchester United L 1-2 2068 1954 45.21% 28.35% 26.44% -9.3 8
2025-09-20 Crystal Palace L 1-2 1921 2032 26.83% 28.41% 44.75% -6.3 3
2025-09-20 @ West Ham W 2-1 2032 1921 44.75% 28.41% 26.83% +6.3 9
2025-09-20 Leeds United L 1-3 1917 1995 30.87% 28.88% 40.25% -12.1 0
2025-09-20 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 1995 1917 40.25% 28.88% 30.87% +12.1 7
2025-09-21 Manchester City D 1-1 2147 2104 47.48% 27.98% 24.54% -1.0 10
2025-09-21 @ Arsenal D 1-1 2104 2147 24.54% 27.98% 47.48% +1.0 7
2025-09-21 Newcastle United D 0-0 2024 2046 38.73% 28.96% 32.30% -0.3 10
2025-09-21 @ Bournemouth D 0-0 2046 2024 32.30% 28.96% 38.73% +0.3 6
2025-09-21 Aston Villa D 1-1 1921 1987 32.39% 28.97% 38.64% +0.3 8
2025-09-21 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1987 1921 38.64% 28.97% 32.39% -0.3 3
2025-09-27 Manchester United W 3-1 1979 1964 43.75% 28.54% 27.70% +11.1 7
2025-09-27 @ Brentford L 1-3 1964 1979 27.70% 28.54% 43.75% -11.1 7
2025-09-27 Brighton L 1-3 2059 1988 50.97% 27.24% 21.80% -17.7 8
2025-09-27 @ Chelsea W 3-1 1988 2059 21.80% 27.24% 50.97% +17.7 8
2025-09-27 Liverpool W 2-1 2038 2144 27.38% 28.50% 44.12% +9.1 12
2025-09-27 @ Crystal Palace L 1-2 2144 2038 44.12% 28.50% 27.38% -9.1 15
2025-09-27 Bournemouth D 2-2 2007 2024 39.31% 28.93% 31.75% -0.2 8
2025-09-27 @ Leeds United D 2-2 2024 2007 31.75% 28.93% 39.31% +0.2 11
2025-09-27 Burnley W 5-1 2105 1975 57.88% 25.13% 16.99% +13.1 10
2025-09-27 @ Manchester City L 1-5 1975 2105 16.99% 25.13% 57.88% -13.1 4
2025-09-27 Sunderland L 0-1 1972 1921 48.48% 27.79% 23.73% -10.4 5
2025-09-27 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1921 1972 23.73% 27.79% 48.48% +10.4 11
2025-09-27 Wolverhampton D 1-1 2035 1905 57.90% 25.12% 16.97% -2.0 11
2025-09-27 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1905 2035 16.97% 25.12% 57.90% +2.0 1
2025-09-28 Fulham W 3-1 1987 1996 40.36% 28.87% 30.77% +12.1 6
2025-09-28 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1996 1987 30.77% 28.87% 40.36% -12.1 8
2025-09-28 Arsenal L 1-2 2046 2146 28.12% 28.60% 43.28% -6.5 6
2025-09-28 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 2146 2046 43.28% 28.60% 28.12% +6.5 13
2025-09-29 West Ham D 1-1 1993 1915 51.85% 27.01% 21.13% -1.4 8
2025-09-29 @ Everton D 1-1 1915 1993 21.13% 27.01% 51.85% +1.4 4
2025-10-03 Fulham W 3-1 2024 1984 47.06% 28.05% 24.89% +10.2 14
2025-10-03 @ Bournemouth L 1-3 1984 2024 24.89% 28.05% 47.06% -10.2 8
2025-10-04 West Ham W 2-0 2152 1916 68.76% 20.23% 11.01% +5.1 16
2025-10-04 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1916 2152 11.01% 20.23% 68.76% -5.1 4
2025-10-04 Liverpool W 2-1 2042 2135 28.90% 28.69% 42.41% +8.8 11
2025-10-04 @ Chelsea L 1-2 2135 2042 42.41% 28.69% 28.90% -8.8 15
2025-10-04 Tottenham L 1-2 2007 2033 38.02% 28.99% 32.99% -8.1 8
2025-10-04 @ Leeds United W 2-1 2033 2007 32.99% 28.99% 38.02% +8.1 14
2025-10-04 Sunderland W 2-0 1952 1931 44.58% 28.44% 26.98% +12.6 10
2025-10-04 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1931 1952 26.98% 28.44% 44.58% -12.6 11
2025-10-05 Burnley W 2-1 1999 1962 46.68% 28.12% 25.20% +6.0 9
2025-10-05 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1962 1999 25.20% 28.12% 46.68% -5.9 4
2025-10-05 Manchester City L 0-1 1990 2118 24.92% 28.06% 47.02% -6.3 7
2025-10-05 @ Brentford W 1-0 2118 1990 47.02% 28.06% 24.92% +6.3 13
2025-10-05 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1991 2047 33.85% 29.02% 37.14% +8.0 11
2025-10-05 @ Everton L 1-2 2047 1991 37.14% 29.02% 33.85% -8.0 12
2025-10-05 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2040 1962 51.83% 27.02% 21.15% +10.2 9
2025-10-05 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1962 2040 21.15% 27.02% 51.83% -10.2 5
2025-10-05 Brighton D 1-1 1907 2006 28.21% 28.61% 43.18% +0.7 2
2025-10-05 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 2006 1907 43.18% 28.61% 28.21% -0.7 9
2025-10-18 Newcastle United W 2-1 2005 2050 35.43% 29.04% 35.53% +7.7 12
2025-10-18 @ Brighton L 1-2 2050 2005 35.53% 29.04% 35.43% -7.7 9
2025-10-18 Leeds United W 2-0 1956 1999 35.66% 29.03% 35.30% +15.4 7
2025-10-18 @ Burnley L 0-2 1999 1956 35.30% 29.03% 35.66% -15.4 8
2025-10-18 Bournemouth D 3-3 2039 2035 42.33% 28.70% 28.97% -0.4 13
2025-10-18 @ Crystal Palace D 3-3 2035 2039 28.97% 28.70% 42.33% +0.4 15
2025-10-18 Arsenal L 0-1 1974 2157 19.66% 26.45% 53.89% -5.1 8
2025-10-18 @ Fulham W 1-0 2157 1974 53.89% 26.45% 19.66% +5.1 19
2025-10-18 Everton W 2-0 2124 1999 57.29% 25.34% 17.36% +8.5 16
2025-10-18 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1999 2124 17.36% 25.34% 57.29% -8.5 11
2025-10-18 Chelsea L 0-3 1951 2050 28.21% 28.61% 43.18% -18.9 5
2025-10-18 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-0 2050 1951 43.18% 28.61% 28.21% +18.9 14
2025-10-18 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1919 1908 43.23% 28.61% 28.17% +13.0 14
2025-10-18 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1908 1919 28.17% 28.61% 43.23% -13.0 2
2025-10-19 Manchester United L 1-2 2126 1965 61.26% 23.80% 14.94% -11.8 15
2025-10-19 @ Liverpool W 2-1 1965 2126 14.94% 23.80% 61.26% +11.8 13
2025-10-19 Aston Villa L 1-2 2041 2005 46.60% 28.13% 25.27% -9.5 14
2025-10-19 @ Tottenham W 2-1 2005 2041 25.27% 28.13% 46.60% +9.5 12
2025-10-20 Brentford L 0-2 1911 1984 31.56% 28.92% 39.52% -14.2 4
2025-10-20 @ West Ham W 2-0 1984 1911 39.52% 28.92% 31.56% +14.2 10
2025-10-24 West Ham W 2-1 1983 1897 52.84% 26.75% 20.41% +4.9 11
2025-10-24 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1897 1983 20.41% 26.75% 52.84% -5.0 4
2025-10-25 Liverpool W 3-2 1998 2114 26.17% 28.30% 45.52% +8.8 13
2025-10-25 @ Brentford L 2-3 2114 1998 45.52% 28.30% 26.17% -8.8 15
2025-10-25 Sunderland L 1-2 2069 1932 58.73% 24.82% 16.45% -11.4 14
2025-10-25 @ Chelsea W 2-1 1932 2069 16.45% 24.82% 58.73% +11.4 17
2025-10-25 Brighton W 4-2 1977 2013 36.63% 29.03% 34.34% +11.7 16
2025-10-25 @ Manchester United L 2-4 2013 1977 34.34% 29.03% 36.63% -11.7 12
2025-10-25 Fulham W 2-1 2042 1969 51.23% 27.17% 21.60% +5.2 12
2025-10-25 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1969 2042 21.60% 27.17% 51.23% -5.2 8
2025-10-26 Crystal Palace W 1-0 2163 2039 57.20% 25.38% 17.42% +4.5 22
2025-10-26 @ Arsenal L 0-1 2039 2163 17.42% 25.38% 57.20% -4.5 13
2025-10-26 Manchester City W 1-0 2014 2133 25.97% 28.27% 45.76% +9.9 15
2025-10-26 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 2133 2014 45.76% 28.27% 25.97% -9.9 16
2025-10-26 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2035 1932 54.76% 26.19% 19.05% +9.3 18
2025-10-26 @ Bournemouth L 0-2 1932 2035 19.05% 26.19% 54.76% -9.3 5
2025-10-26 Tottenham L 0-3 1991 2032 35.96% 29.03% 35.00% -22.7 11
2025-10-26 @ Everton W 3-0 2032 1991 35.00% 29.03% 35.96% +22.7 17
2025-10-26 Burnley L 2-3 1895 1971 31.03% 28.89% 40.08% -6.6 2
2025-10-26 @ Wolverhampton W 3-2 1971 1895 40.08% 28.89% 31.03% +6.7 10
2025-11-01 Leeds United W 3-0 2001 1988 43.51% 28.57% 27.91% +18.8 15
2025-11-01 @ Brighton L 0-3 1988 2001 27.91% 28.57% 43.51% -18.8 11
2025-11-01 Arsenal L 0-2 1978 2167 19.17% 26.24% 54.59% -9.4 10
2025-11-01 @ Burnley W 2-0 2167 1978 54.59% 26.24% 19.17% +9.3 25
2025-11-01 Brentford W 2-0 2034 2007 45.44% 28.32% 26.25% +12.3 16
2025-11-01 @ Crystal Palace L 0-2 2007 2034 26.25% 28.32% 45.44% -12.3 13
2025-11-01 Wolverhampton W 3-0 1964 1888 51.58% 27.08% 21.34% +15.0 11
2025-11-01 @ Fulham L 0-3 1888 1964 21.34% 27.08% 51.58% -15.0 2
2025-11-01 Aston Villa W 2-0 2105 2024 52.23% 26.91% 20.85% +10.1 18
2025-11-01 @ Liverpool L 0-2 2024 2105 20.85% 26.91% 52.23% -10.1 15
2025-11-01 Manchester United D 2-2 1923 1989 32.50% 28.97% 38.53% +0.2 6
2025-11-01 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1989 1923 38.53% 28.97% 32.50% -0.2 17
2025-11-01 Chelsea L 0-1 2054 2058 41.22% 28.80% 29.97% -9.2 17
2025-11-01 @ Tottenham W 1-0 2058 2054 29.97% 28.80% 41.22% +9.2 17
2025-11-02 Bournemouth W 3-1 2123 2044 51.88% 27.01% 21.11% +8.9 19
2025-11-02 @ Manchester City L 1-3 2044 2123 21.11% 27.01% 51.88% -8.9 18
2025-11-02 Newcastle United W 3-1 1892 2047 22.15% 27.35% 50.50% +17.5 7
2025-11-02 @ West Ham L 1-3 2047 1892 50.50% 27.35% 22.15% -17.5 12
2025-11-03 Everton D 1-1 1943 1968 38.21% 28.98% 32.81% -0.2 18
2025-11-03 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1968 1943 32.81% 28.98% 38.21% +0.2 12
2025-11-08 Wolverhampton W 3-0 2067 1873 64.68% 22.27% 13.05% +9.1 20
2025-11-08 @ Chelsea L 0-3 1873 2067 13.05% 22.27% 64.68% -9.1 2
2025-11-08 Fulham W 2-0 1968 1979 40.28% 28.87% 30.85% +14.0 15
2025-11-08 @ Everton L 0-2 1979 1968 30.85% 28.87% 40.28% -14.0 11
2025-11-08 Arsenal D 2-2 1943 2176 15.94% 24.49% 59.57% +1.6 19
2025-11-08 @ Sunderland D 2-2 2176 1943 59.57% 24.49% 15.94% -1.6 26
2025-11-08 Manchester United D 2-2 2045 1988 49.21% 27.64% 23.16% -0.9 18
2025-11-08 @ Tottenham D 2-2 1988 2045 23.16% 27.64% 49.21% +0.9 18
2025-11-08 Burnley W 3-2 1909 1968 33.39% 29.00% 37.61% +7.6 10
2025-11-08 @ West Ham L 2-3 1968 1909 37.61% 29.00% 33.39% -7.6 10
2025-11-09 Bournemouth W 4-0 2014 2035 38.73% 28.96% 32.31% +27.4 18
2025-11-09 @ Aston Villa L 0-4 2035 2014 32.31% 28.96% 38.73% -27.4 18
2025-11-09 Newcastle United W 3-1 1994 2030 36.72% 29.02% 34.25% +13.1 16
2025-11-09 @ Brentford L 1-3 2030 1994 34.25% 29.02% 36.72% -13.1 12
2025-11-09 Brighton D 0-0 2047 2020 45.27% 28.34% 26.38% -1.0 17
2025-11-09 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 2020 2047 26.38% 28.34% 45.27% +1.0 16
2025-11-09 Liverpool W 3-0 2131 2116 43.87% 28.53% 27.60% +18.6 22
2025-11-09 @ Manchester City L 0-3 2116 2131 27.60% 28.53% 43.87% -18.6 18
2025-11-09 Leeds United W 3-1 1923 1969 35.21% 29.03% 35.75% +13.5 9
2025-11-09 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1969 1923 35.75% 29.03% 35.21% -13.5 11
2025-11-22 West Ham D 2-2 2008 1917 53.39% 26.60% 20.02% -1.2 19
2025-11-22 @ Bournemouth D 2-2 1917 2008 20.02% 26.60% 53.39% +1.2 11
2025-11-22 Brentford W 2-1 2021 2007 43.58% 28.57% 27.85% +6.5 19
2025-11-22 @ Brighton L 1-2 2007 2021 27.85% 28.57% 43.58% -6.5 16
2025-11-22 Chelsea L 0-2 1961 2076 26.30% 28.33% 45.37% -12.3 10
2025-11-22 @ Burnley W 2-0 2076 1961 45.37% 28.33% 26.30% +12.3 23
2025-11-22 Sunderland W 1-0 1965 1945 44.46% 28.45% 27.08% +6.7 14
2025-11-22 @ Fulham L 0-1 1945 1965 27.08% 28.45% 44.46% -6.7 19
2025-11-22 Nottingham Forest L 0-3 2097 1937 61.17% 23.84% 14.99% -34.3 18
2025-11-22 @ Liverpool W 3-0 1937 2097 14.99% 23.84% 61.17% +34.3 12
2025-11-22 Manchester City W 2-1 2017 2150 24.34% 27.93% 47.72% +9.7 15
2025-11-22 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 2150 2017 47.72% 27.93% 24.34% -9.7 22
2025-11-22 Crystal Palace L 0-2 1864 2046 19.79% 26.51% 53.70% -9.6 2
2025-11-22 @ Wolverhampton W 2-0 2046 1864 53.70% 26.51% 19.79% +9.6 20
2025-11-23 Tottenham W 4-1 2175 2044 57.95% 25.11% 16.94% +10.1 29
2025-11-23 @ Arsenal L 1-4 2044 2175 16.94% 25.11% 57.95% -10.1 18
2025-11-23 Aston Villa L 1-2 1956 2041 29.87% 28.79% 41.34% -6.8 11
2025-11-23 @ Leeds United W 2-1 2041 1956 41.34% 28.79% 29.87% +6.8 21
2025-11-24 Everton L 0-1 1989 1982 42.65% 28.67% 28.68% -9.4 18
2025-11-24 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1982 1989 28.68% 28.67% 42.65% +9.4 18
2025-11-29 Burnley W 3-1 2001 1948 48.66% 27.75% 23.59% +9.8 19
2025-11-29 @ Brentford L 1-3 1948 2001 23.59% 27.75% 48.66% -9.8 10
2025-11-29 Newcastle United L 1-4 1992 2026 36.86% 29.02% 34.12% -19.5 18
2025-11-29 @ Everton W 4-1 2026 1992 34.12% 29.02% 36.86% +19.5 18
2025-11-29 Leeds United W 3-2 2140 1949 64.40% 22.40% 13.20% +3.0 25
2025-11-29 @ Manchester City L 2-3 1949 2140 13.20% 22.40% 64.40% -3.0 11
2025-11-29 Bournemouth W 3-2 1938 2007 32.03% 28.95% 39.02% +7.9 22
2025-11-29 @ Sunderland L 2-3 2007 1938 39.02% 28.95% 32.03% -7.9 19
2025-11-29 Fulham L 1-2 2034 1972 49.94% 27.48% 22.58% -10.0 18
2025-11-29 @ Tottenham W 2-1 1972 2034 22.58% 27.48% 49.94% +10.0 17
2025-11-30 Wolverhampton W 1-0 2048 1854 64.67% 22.27% 13.05% +3.3 24
2025-11-30 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1854 2048 13.05% 22.27% 64.67% -3.3 2
2025-11-30 Arsenal D 1-1 2088 2185 28.51% 28.65% 42.84% +0.6 24
2025-11-30 @ Chelsea D 1-1 2185 2088 42.84% 28.65% 28.51% -0.6 30
2025-11-30 Manchester United L 1-2 2055 1980 51.51% 27.10% 21.39% -10.3 20
2025-11-30 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 1980 2055 21.39% 27.10% 51.51% +10.3 21
2025-11-30 Brighton L 0-2 1971 2028 33.74% 29.01% 37.25% -14.9 12
2025-11-30 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2028 1971 37.25% 29.01% 33.74% +14.9 22
2025-11-30 Liverpool L 0-2 1918 2063 23.22% 27.66% 49.12% -11.1 11
2025-11-30 @ West Ham W 2-0 2063 1918 49.12% 27.66% 23.22% +11.1 21
2025-12-02 Everton L 0-1 1999 1972 45.29% 28.34% 26.37% -9.9 19
2025-12-02 @ Bournemouth W 1-0 1972 1999 26.37% 28.34% 45.29% +9.8 21
2025-12-02 Manchester City L 4-5 1982 2143 21.55% 27.16% 51.29% -4.8 17
2025-12-02 @ Fulham W 5-4 2143 1982 51.29% 27.16% 21.55% +4.8 28
2025-12-02 Tottenham D 2-2 2046 2024 44.64% 28.43% 26.93% -0.6 19
2025-12-02 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 2024 2046 26.93% 28.43% 44.64% +0.6 19
2025-12-03 Brentford W 2-0 2184 2011 62.60% 23.22% 14.18% +6.9 33
2025-12-03 @ Arsenal L 0-2 2011 2184 14.18% 23.22% 62.60% -6.9 19
2025-12-03 Aston Villa L 3-4 2042 2052 40.44% 28.86% 30.69% -7.9 22
2025-12-03 @ Brighton W 4-3 2052 2042 30.69% 28.86% 40.44% +7.9 27
2025-12-03 Crystal Palace L 0-1 1939 2045 27.35% 28.49% 44.16% -6.8 10
2025-12-03 @ Burnley W 1-0 2045 1939 44.16% 28.49% 27.35% +6.7 23
2025-12-03 Chelsea W 3-1 1946 2089 23.36% 27.69% 48.95% +17.1 14
2025-12-03 @ Leeds United L 1-3 2089 1946 48.95% 27.69% 23.36% -17.1 24
2025-12-03 Sunderland D 1-1 2074 1946 57.67% 25.21% 17.12% -1.9 22
2025-12-03 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1946 2074 17.12% 25.21% 57.67% +1.9 23
2025-12-03 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1851 1956 27.46% 28.51% 44.03% -6.8 2
2025-12-03 @ Wolverhampton W 1-0 1956 1851 44.03% 28.51% 27.46% +6.8 15
2025-12-04 West Ham D 1-1 1990 1907 52.45% 26.86% 20.69% -1.5 22
2025-12-04 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1907 1990 20.69% 26.86% 52.45% +1.5 12
2025-12-06 Arsenal W 2-1 2059 2191 24.51% 27.97% 47.51% +9.6 30
2025-12-06 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 2191 2059 47.51% 27.97% 24.51% -9.6 33
2025-12-06 Chelsea D 0-0 1989 2072 30.21% 28.82% 40.97% +0.5 20
2025-12-06 @ Bournemouth D 0-0 2072 1989 40.97% 28.82% 30.21% -0.5 25
2025-12-06 Nottingham Forest W 3-0 1982 1963 44.32% 28.47% 27.20% +18.4 24
2025-12-06 @ Everton L 0-3 1963 1982 27.20% 28.47% 44.32% -18.4 15
2025-12-06 Liverpool D 3-3 1963 2072 27.07% 28.45% 44.47% +0.5 15
2025-12-06 @ Leeds United D 3-3 2072 1963 44.47% 28.45% 27.07% -0.5 23
2025-12-06 Sunderland W 3-0 2148 1948 65.32% 21.96% 12.71% +8.8 31
2025-12-06 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1948 2148 12.71% 21.96% 65.32% -8.8 23
2025-12-06 Burnley W 2-1 2045 1932 56.01% 25.79% 18.21% +4.4 22
2025-12-06 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1932 2045 18.21% 25.79% 56.01% -4.5 10
2025-12-06 Brentford W 2-0 2025 2004 44.55% 28.44% 27.01% +12.6 22
2025-12-06 @ Tottenham L 0-2 2004 2025 27.01% 28.44% 44.55% -12.6 19
2025-12-07 West Ham D 1-1 2035 1909 57.44% 25.29% 17.27% -1.9 23
2025-12-07 @ Brighton D 1-1 1909 2035 17.27% 25.29% 57.44% +1.9 13
2025-12-07 Crystal Palace L 1-2 1977 2052 31.25% 28.90% 39.85% -7.0 17
2025-12-07 @ Fulham W 2-1 2052 1977 39.85% 28.90% 31.25% +7.1 26
2025-12-08 Manchester United L 1-4 1844 1989 23.20% 27.65% 49.15% -13.6 2
2025-12-08 @ Wolverhampton W 4-1 1989 1844 49.15% 27.65% 23.20% +13.6 25
2025-12-13 Wolverhampton W 2-1 2182 1830 78.48% 14.68% 6.84% +1.4 36
2025-12-13 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1830 2182 6.84% 14.68% 78.48% -1.4 2
2025-12-13 Fulham L 2-3 1927 1970 35.74% 29.03% 35.23% -7.4 10
2025-12-13 @ Burnley W 3-2 1970 1927 35.23% 29.03% 35.74% +7.4 20
2025-12-13 Everton W 2-0 2071 2001 50.96% 27.24% 21.81% +10.5 28
2025-12-13 @ Chelsea L 0-2 2001 2071 21.81% 27.24% 50.96% -10.5 24
2025-12-13 Brighton W 2-0 2071 2033 46.88% 28.08% 25.03% +11.8 26
2025-12-13 @ Liverpool L 0-2 2033 2071 25.03% 28.08% 46.88% -11.9 23
2025-12-14 Leeds United D 1-1 1991 1964 45.42% 28.32% 26.26% -0.9 20
2025-12-14 @ Brentford D 1-1 1964 1991 26.26% 28.32% 45.42% +0.9 16
2025-12-14 Manchester City L 0-3 2059 2157 28.30% 28.62% 43.07% -19.0 26
2025-12-14 @ Crystal Palace W 3-0 2157 2059 43.07% 28.62% 28.30% +19.0 34
2025-12-14 Tottenham W 3-0 1945 2037 28.97% 28.70% 42.33% +25.6 18
2025-12-14 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 2037 1945 42.33% 28.70% 28.97% -25.6 22
2025-12-14 Newcastle United W 1-0 1939 2050 26.82% 28.41% 44.77% +9.8 26
2025-12-14 @ Sunderland L 0-1 2050 1939 44.77% 28.41% 26.82% -9.7 22
2025-12-14 Aston Villa L 2-3 1911 2069 21.85% 27.25% 50.89% -5.0 13
2025-12-14 @ West Ham W 3-2 2069 1911 50.89% 27.25% 21.85% +5.0 33
2025-12-15 Bournemouth D 4-4 2002 1990 43.44% 28.58% 27.98% -0.4 26
2025-12-15 @ Manchester United D 4-4 1990 2002 27.98% 28.58% 43.44% +0.4 21
2025-12-20 Burnley D 1-1 1990 1920 50.84% 27.27% 21.89% -1.3 22
2025-12-20 @ Bournemouth D 1-1 1920 1990 21.89% 27.27% 50.84% +1.4 11
2025-12-20 Sunderland D 0-0 2021 1949 51.13% 27.20% 21.67% -1.5 24
2025-12-20 @ Brighton D 0-0 1949 2021 21.67% 27.20% 51.13% +1.5 27
2025-12-20 Arsenal L 0-1 1990 2183 18.88% 26.11% 55.01% -4.9 24
2025-12-20 @ Everton W 1-0 2183 1990 55.01% 26.11% 18.88% +4.9 39
2025-12-20 Crystal Palace W 4-1 1964 2040 31.20% 28.90% 39.91% +20.6 19
2025-12-20 @ Leeds United L 1-4 2040 1964 39.91% 28.90% 31.20% -20.6 26
2025-12-20 West Ham W 3-0 2176 1906 71.89% 18.54% 9.58% +6.3 37
2025-12-20 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1906 2176 9.58% 18.54% 71.89% -6.3 13
2025-12-20 Chelsea D 2-2 2040 2082 35.78% 29.03% 35.19% -0.0 23
2025-12-20 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 2082 2040 35.19% 29.03% 35.78% +0.0 29
2025-12-20 Liverpool L 1-2 2012 2083 31.71% 28.93% 39.36% -7.1 22
2025-12-20 @ Tottenham W 2-1 2083 2012 39.36% 28.93% 31.71% +7.1 29
2025-12-20 Brentford L 0-2 1829 1990 21.60% 27.17% 51.22% -10.4 2
2025-12-20 @ Wolverhampton W 2-0 1990 1829 51.22% 27.17% 21.60% +10.4 23
2025-12-21 Manchester United W 2-1 2074 2002 51.12% 27.20% 21.68% +5.2 36
2025-12-21 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 2002 2074 21.68% 27.20% 51.12% -5.2 26
2025-12-22 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1977 1970 42.67% 28.67% 28.67% +7.0 23
2025-12-22 @ Fulham L 0-1 1970 1977 28.67% 28.67% 42.67% -7.0 18
2025-12-26 Newcastle United W 1-0 1997 2040 35.62% 29.03% 35.35% +8.2 29
2025-12-26 @ Manchester United L 0-1 2040 1997 35.35% 29.03% 35.62% -8.2 23
2025-12-27 Brighton W 2-1 2188 2019 62.07% 23.46% 14.48% +3.5 42
2025-12-27 @ Arsenal L 1-2 2019 2188 14.48% 23.46% 62.07% -3.5 24
2025-12-27 Bournemouth W 4-1 2001 1989 43.36% 28.59% 28.05% +15.9 26
2025-12-27 @ Brentford L 1-4 1989 2001 28.05% 28.59% 43.36% -15.9 22
2025-12-27 Everton D 0-0 1921 1985 32.73% 28.98% 38.29% +0.3 12
2025-12-27 @ Burnley D 0-0 1985 1921 38.29% 28.98% 32.73% -0.3 25
2025-12-27 Aston Villa L 1-2 2082 2079 42.07% 28.73% 29.20% -8.8 29
2025-12-27 @ Chelsea W 2-1 2079 2082 29.20% 28.73% 42.07% +8.8 39
2025-12-27 Wolverhampton W 2-1 2090 1819 71.99% 18.48% 9.53% +2.2 32
2025-12-27 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1819 2090 9.53% 18.48% 71.99% -2.2 2
2025-12-27 Manchester City L 1-2 1963 2182 16.91% 25.09% 57.99% -4.1 18
2025-12-27 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-1 2182 1963 57.99% 25.09% 16.91% +4.1 40
2025-12-27 Fulham L 0-1 1899 1984 29.95% 28.80% 41.25% -7.2 13
2025-12-27 @ West Ham W 1-0 1984 1899 41.25% 28.80% 29.95% +7.2 26
2025-12-28 Tottenham L 0-1 2019 2005 43.68% 28.55% 27.77% -9.6 26
2025-12-28 @ Crystal Palace W 1-0 2005 2019 27.77% 28.55% 43.68% +9.6 25
2025-12-28 Leeds United D 1-1 1950 1985 36.79% 29.02% 34.19% -0.1 28
2025-12-28 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1985 1950 34.19% 29.02% 36.79% +0.1 20
2025-12-30 Aston Villa W 4-1 2191 2088 54.85% 26.16% 18.99% +11.3 45
2025-12-30 @ Arsenal L 1-4 2088 2191 18.99% 26.16% 54.85% -11.3 39
2025-12-30 Newcastle United L 1-3 1922 2032 26.91% 28.43% 44.66% -10.9 12
2025-12-30 @ Burnley W 3-1 2032 1922 44.66% 28.43% 26.91% +10.9 26
2025-12-30 Bournemouth D 2-2 2073 1973 54.52% 26.26% 19.22% -1.2 30
2025-12-30 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1973 2073 19.22% 26.26% 54.52% +1.2 23
2025-12-30 Wolverhampton D 1-1 2005 1816 64.11% 22.54% 13.35% -2.5 30
2025-12-30 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1816 2005 13.35% 22.54% 64.11% +2.5 3
2025-12-30 Everton L 0-2 1959 1985 38.08% 28.99% 32.93% -16.3 18
2025-12-30 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 1985 1959 32.93% 28.99% 38.08% +16.3 28
2025-12-30 Brighton D 2-2 1892 2016 25.37% 28.15% 46.48% +0.7 14
2025-12-30 @ West Ham D 2-2 2016 1892 46.48% 28.15% 25.37% -0.7 25
2026-01-01 Tottenham D 0-0 2017 2014 42.04% 28.73% 29.23% -0.6 27
2026-01-01 @ Brentford D 0-0 2014 2017 29.23% 28.73% 42.04% +0.6 26
2026-01-01 Fulham D 1-1 2010 1991 44.17% 28.49% 27.33% -0.8 27
2026-01-01 @ Crystal Palace D 1-1 1991 2010 27.33% 28.49% 44.17% +0.8 27
2026-01-01 Leeds United D 0-0 2092 1985 55.30% 26.02% 18.68% -1.9 33
2026-01-01 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1985 2092 18.68% 26.02% 55.30% +1.9 21
2026-01-01 Manchester City D 0-0 1950 2186 15.75% 24.36% 59.89% +2.4 29
2026-01-01 @ Sunderland D 0-0 2186 1950 59.89% 24.36% 15.75% -2.4 41
2026-01-03 Nottingham Forest W 3-1 2077 1943 58.34% 24.96% 16.70% +7.1 42
2026-01-03 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1943 2077 16.70% 24.96% 58.34% -7.1 18
2026-01-03 Arsenal L 2-3 1974 2203 16.25% 24.69% 59.06% -3.8 23
2026-01-03 @ Bournemouth W 3-2 2203 1974 59.06% 24.69% 16.25% +3.8 48
2026-01-03 Burnley W 2-0 2015 1911 54.96% 26.12% 18.92% +9.2 28
2026-01-03 @ Brighton L 0-2 1911 2015 18.92% 26.12% 54.96% -9.2 12
2026-01-03 West Ham W 3-0 1819 1893 31.40% 28.91% 39.69% +24.4 6
2026-01-03 @ Wolverhampton L 0-3 1893 1819 39.69% 28.91% 31.40% -24.4 14
2026-01-04 Brentford L 2-4 2001 2016 39.65% 28.91% 31.44% -13.0 28
2026-01-04 @ Everton W 4-2 2016 2001 31.44% 28.91% 39.65% +13.0 30
2026-01-04 Liverpool D 2-2 1992 2090 28.29% 28.62% 43.09% +0.5 28
2026-01-04 @ Fulham D 2-2 2090 1992 43.09% 28.62% 28.29% -0.5 34
2026-01-04 Manchester United D 1-1 1987 2002 39.59% 28.92% 31.50% -0.4 22
2026-01-04 @ Leeds United D 1-1 2002 1987 31.50% 28.92% 39.59% +0.3 31
2026-01-04 Chelsea D 1-1 2184 2072 55.86% 25.83% 18.30% -1.8 42
2026-01-04 @ Manchester City D 1-1 2072 2184 18.30% 25.83% 55.86% +1.8 31
2026-01-04 Crystal Palace W 2-0 2043 2009 46.25% 28.19% 25.56% +12.0 29
2026-01-04 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 2009 2043 25.56% 28.19% 46.25% -12.0 27
2026-01-04 Sunderland D 1-1 2015 1952 49.92% 27.48% 22.60% -1.3 27
2026-01-04 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1952 2015 22.60% 27.48% 49.92% +1.3 30
2026-01-06 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1868 1936 32.25% 28.96% 38.80% -7.2 14
2026-01-06 @ West Ham W 2-1 1936 1868 38.80% 28.96% 32.25% +7.2 21
2026-01-07 Tottenham W 3-2 1970 2014 35.59% 29.04% 35.37% +7.3 26
2026-01-07 @ Bournemouth L 2-3 2014 1970 35.37% 29.04% 35.59% -7.3 27
2026-01-07 Sunderland W 3-0 2029 1954 51.51% 27.10% 21.39% +15.0 33
2026-01-07 @ Brentford L 0-3 1954 2029 21.39% 27.10% 51.51% -15.0 30
2026-01-07 Manchester United D 2-2 1902 2003 27.95% 28.58% 43.47% +0.5 13
2026-01-07 @ Burnley D 2-2 2003 1902 43.47% 28.58% 27.95% -0.5 32
2026-01-07 Aston Villa D 0-0 1997 2084 29.68% 28.78% 41.54% +0.6 28
2026-01-07 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 2084 1997 41.54% 28.78% 29.68% -0.6 43
2026-01-07 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1988 1843 59.54% 24.50% 15.96% -2.1 29
2026-01-07 @ Everton D 1-1 1843 1988 15.96% 24.50% 59.54% +2.1 7
2026-01-07 Chelsea W 2-1 1993 2074 30.43% 28.84% 40.72% +8.6 31
2026-01-07 @ Fulham L 1-2 2074 1993 40.72% 28.84% 30.43% -8.6 31
2026-01-07 Brighton D 1-1 2182 2024 60.94% 23.94% 15.12% -2.2 43
2026-01-07 @ Manchester City D 1-1 2024 2182 15.12% 23.94% 60.94% +2.2 29
2026-01-07 Leeds United W 4-3 2055 1987 50.59% 27.33% 22.09% +4.9 32
2026-01-07 @ Newcastle United L 3-4 1987 2055 22.09% 27.33% 50.59% -4.9 22
2026-01-08 Liverpool D 0-0 2207 2090 56.38% 25.66% 17.96% -2.1 49
2026-01-08 @ Arsenal D 0-0 2090 2207 17.96% 25.66% 56.38% +2.1 35
2026-01-17 Brentford W 2-0 2065 2044 44.58% 28.44% 26.98% +12.6 34
2026-01-17 @ Chelsea L 0-2 2044 2065 26.98% 28.44% 44.58% -12.6 33
2026-01-17 Fulham W 1-0 1982 2001 39.02% 28.95% 32.03% +7.6 25
2026-01-17 @ Leeds United L 0-1 2001 1982 32.03% 28.95% 39.02% -7.6 31
2026-01-17 Burnley D 1-1 2092 1902 64.26% 22.47% 13.27% -2.5 36
2026-01-17 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1902 2092 13.27% 22.47% 64.26% +2.5 14
2026-01-17 Manchester City W 2-0 2002 2180 20.13% 26.64% 53.22% +21.1 35
2026-01-17 @ Manchester United L 0-2 2180 2002 53.22% 26.64% 20.13% -21.1 43
2026-01-17 Arsenal D 0-0 1943 2204 14.20% 23.24% 62.56% +2.6 22
2026-01-17 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 2204 1943 62.56% 23.24% 14.20% -2.6 50
2026-01-17 Crystal Palace W 2-1 1939 1997 33.42% 29.00% 37.57% +8.1 33
2026-01-17 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1997 1939 37.57% 29.00% 33.42% -8.0 28
2026-01-17 West Ham L 1-2 2006 1861 59.56% 24.49% 15.94% -11.6 27
2026-01-17 @ Tottenham W 2-1 1861 2006 15.94% 24.49% 59.56% +11.6 17
2026-01-18 Everton L 0-1 2083 1986 54.12% 26.38% 19.50% -11.4 43
2026-01-18 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 1986 2083 19.50% 26.38% 54.12% +11.4 32
2026-01-18 Newcastle United D 0-0 1845 2060 17.27% 25.29% 57.44% +2.1 8
2026-01-18 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 2060 1845 57.44% 25.29% 17.27% -2.2 33
2026-01-19 Bournemouth D 1-1 2026 1978 48.21% 27.84% 23.95% -1.1 30
2026-01-19 @ Brighton D 1-1 1978 2026 23.95% 27.84% 48.21% +1.1 27
2026-01-24 Liverpool W 3-2 1979 2090 26.81% 28.41% 44.78% +8.7 30
2026-01-24 @ Bournemouth L 2-3 2090 1979 44.78% 28.41% 26.81% -8.7 36
2026-01-24 Tottenham D 2-2 1905 1995 29.30% 28.74% 41.96% +0.4 15
2026-01-24 @ Burnley D 2-2 1995 1905 41.96% 28.74% 29.30% -0.4 28
2026-01-24 Brighton W 2-1 1994 2025 37.24% 29.01% 33.74% +7.5 34
2026-01-24 @ Fulham L 1-2 2025 1994 33.74% 29.01% 37.24% -7.5 30
2026-01-24 Wolverhampton W 2-0 2159 1848 75.37% 16.54% 8.09% +3.5 46
2026-01-24 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1848 2159 8.09% 16.54% 75.37% -3.5 8
2026-01-24 Sunderland W 3-1 1873 1947 31.36% 28.91% 39.73% +14.5 20
2026-01-24 @ West Ham L 1-3 1947 1873 39.73% 28.91% 31.36% -14.5 33
2026-01-25 Manchester United L 2-3 2202 2023 63.09% 23.01% 13.91% -11.5 50
2026-01-25 @ Arsenal W 3-2 2023 2202 13.91% 23.01% 63.09% +11.5 38
2026-01-25 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 2031 1946 52.79% 26.76% 20.44% -21.0 33
2026-01-25 @ Brentford W 2-0 1946 2031 20.44% 26.76% 52.79% +21.0 25
2026-01-25 Chelsea L 1-3 1989 2078 29.50% 28.76% 41.75% -11.7 28
2026-01-25 @ Crystal Palace W 3-1 2078 1989 41.75% 28.76% 29.50% +11.7 37
2026-01-25 Aston Villa L 0-2 2057 2072 39.70% 28.91% 31.39% -16.8 33
2026-01-25 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 2072 2057 31.39% 28.91% 39.70% +16.8 46
2026-01-26 Leeds United D 1-1 1997 1989 42.80% 28.65% 28.55% -0.6 33
2026-01-26 @ Everton D 1-1 1989 1997 28.55% 28.65% 42.80% +0.6 26
2026-01-31 Everton D 1-1 2018 1997 44.56% 28.44% 27.00% -0.8 31
2026-01-31 @ Brighton D 1-1 1997 2018 27.00% 28.44% 44.56% +0.8 34
2026-01-31 West Ham W 3-2 2089 1887 65.50% 21.88% 12.62% +2.9 40
2026-01-31 @ Chelsea L 2-3 1887 2089 12.62% 21.88% 65.50% -2.9 20
2026-01-31 Arsenal L 0-4 1990 2190 18.31% 25.84% 55.86% -17.0 26
2026-01-31 @ Leeds United W 4-0 2190 1990 55.86% 25.84% 18.31% +17.0 53
2026-01-31 Newcastle United W 4-1 2081 2041 47.08% 28.05% 24.87% +14.4 39
2026-01-31 @ Liverpool L 1-4 2041 2081 24.87% 28.05% 47.08% -14.4 33
2026-01-31 Bournemouth L 0-2 1844 1987 23.32% 27.68% 49.00% -11.2 8
2026-01-31 @ Wolverhampton W 2-0 1987 1844 49.00% 27.68% 23.32% +11.2 33
2026-02-01 Brentford L 0-1 2089 2010 51.86% 27.01% 21.13% -11.0 46
2026-02-01 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 2010 2089 21.13% 27.01% 51.86% +11.0 36
2026-02-01 Fulham W 3-2 2035 2001 46.25% 28.19% 25.56% +5.7 41
2026-02-01 @ Manchester United L 2-3 2001 2035 25.56% 28.19% 46.25% -5.7 34
2026-02-01 Crystal Palace D 1-1 1966 1978 40.17% 28.88% 30.95% -0.4 26
2026-02-01 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1978 1966 30.95% 28.88% 40.17% +0.4 29
2026-02-01 Manchester City D 2-2 1994 2162 20.97% 26.96% 52.07% +1.1 29
2026-02-01 @ Tottenham D 2-2 2162 1994 52.07% 26.96% 20.97% -1.1 47
2026-02-02 Burnley W 3-0 1932 1905 45.37% 28.33% 26.30% +17.9 36
2026-02-02 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1905 1932 26.30% 28.33% 45.37% -17.9 15
2026-02-06 Nottingham Forest W 3-1 1973 1966 42.67% 28.67% 28.66% +11.4 29
2026-02-06 @ Leeds United L 1-3 1966 1973 28.66% 28.67% 42.67% -11.4 26
2026-02-07 Sunderland W 3-0 2207 1950 70.71% 19.19% 10.10% +6.7 56
2026-02-07 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1950 2207 10.10% 19.19% 70.71% -6.7 36
2026-02-07 Aston Villa D 1-1 1999 2078 30.69% 28.86% 40.45% +0.4 34
2026-02-07 @ Bournemouth D 1-1 2078 1999 40.45% 28.86% 30.69% -0.4 47
2026-02-07 West Ham L 0-2 1887 1884 42.08% 28.73% 29.19% -17.5 15
2026-02-07 @ Burnley W 2-0 1884 1887 29.19% 28.73% 42.08% +17.5 23
2026-02-07 Everton L 1-2 1995 1998 41.38% 28.79% 29.83% -8.7 34
2026-02-07 @ Fulham W 2-1 1998 1995 29.83% 28.79% 41.38% +8.7 37
2026-02-07 Tottenham W 2-0 2041 1995 47.73% 27.93% 24.34% +11.6 44
2026-02-07 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1995 2041 24.34% 27.93% 47.73% -11.6 29
2026-02-07 Brentford L 2-3 2026 2021 42.36% 28.70% 28.94% -8.4 33
2026-02-07 @ Newcastle United W 3-2 2021 2026 28.94% 28.70% 42.36% +8.4 39
2026-02-07 Chelsea L 1-3 1833 2092 14.32% 23.34% 62.34% -6.0 8
2026-02-07 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 2092 1833 62.34% 23.34% 14.32% +6.0 43
2026-02-08 Crystal Palace L 0-1 2017 1978 46.95% 28.07% 24.98% -10.1 31
2026-02-08 @ Brighton W 1-0 1978 2017 24.98% 28.07% 46.95% +10.1 32
2026-02-08 Manchester City L 1-2 2095 2161 32.42% 28.97% 38.62% -7.2 39
2026-02-08 @ Liverpool W 2-1 2161 2095 38.62% 28.97% 32.42% +7.2 50
2026-02-10 Leeds United D 2-2 2098 1985 56.06% 25.77% 18.17% -1.3 44
2026-02-10 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1985 2098 18.17% 25.77% 56.06% +1.3 30
2026-02-10 Bournemouth L 1-2 2006 1999 42.71% 28.66% 28.63% -8.9 37
2026-02-10 @ Everton W 2-1 1999 2006 28.63% 28.66% 42.71% +8.9 37
2026-02-10 Newcastle United L 1-2 1984 2018 36.92% 29.02% 34.06% -8.0 29
2026-02-10 @ Tottenham W 2-1 2018 1984 34.06% 29.02% 36.92% +8.0 36
2026-02-10 Manchester United D 1-1 1902 2052 22.64% 27.49% 49.87% +1.2 24
2026-02-10 @ West Ham D 1-1 2052 1902 49.87% 27.49% 22.64% -1.2 45
2026-02-11 Brighton W 1-0 2077 2007 50.88% 27.26% 21.86% +5.6 50
2026-02-11 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 2007 2077 21.86% 27.26% 50.88% -5.6 31
2026-02-11 Burnley L 2-3 1988 1870 56.61% 25.58% 17.81% -10.5 32
2026-02-11 @ Crystal Palace W 3-2 1870 1988 17.81% 25.58% 56.61% +10.5 18
2026-02-11 Fulham W 3-0 2169 1987 63.45% 22.84% 13.71% +9.6 53
2026-02-11 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1987 2169 13.71% 22.84% 63.45% -9.6 34
2026-02-11 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1955 1827 57.65% 25.22% 17.13% -2.2 27
2026-02-11 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1827 1955 17.13% 25.22% 57.65% +2.2 9
2026-02-11 Liverpool L 0-1 1943 2088 23.19% 27.65% 49.17% -5.9 36
2026-02-11 @ Sunderland W 1-0 2088 1943 49.17% 27.65% 23.19% +5.9 42
2026-02-12 Arsenal D 1-1 2030 2214 19.58% 26.42% 54.00% +1.6 40
2026-02-12 @ Brentford D 1-1 2214 2030 54.00% 26.42% 19.58% -1.6 57
2026-02-18 Arsenal D 2-2 1829 2212 8.65% 17.32% 74.03% +2.4 10
2026-02-18 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 2212 1829 74.03% 17.32% 8.65% -2.4 58
2026-02-21 Leeds United D 1-1 2083 1986 54.10% 26.39% 19.51% -1.6 51
2026-02-21 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1986 2083 19.51% 26.39% 54.10% +1.6 31
2026-02-21 Brighton L 0-2 2031 2001 45.74% 28.27% 25.99% -18.7 40
2026-02-21 @ Brentford W 2-0 2001 2031 25.99% 28.27% 45.74% +18.7 34
2026-02-21 Burnley D 1-1 2097 1880 66.93% 21.17% 11.90% -2.7 45
2026-02-21 @ Chelsea D 1-1 1880 2097 11.90% 21.17% 66.93% +2.7 19
2026-02-21 Newcastle United W 2-1 2178 2026 60.35% 24.18% 15.47% +3.8 56
2026-02-21 @ Manchester City L 1-2 2026 2178 15.47% 24.18% 60.35% -3.8 36
2026-02-21 Bournemouth D 0-0 1903 2008 27.53% 28.52% 43.95% +0.8 25
2026-02-21 @ West Ham D 0-0 2008 1903 43.95% 28.52% 27.53% -0.8 38
2026-02-22 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1978 1831 59.68% 24.45% 15.87% +4.1 35
2026-02-22 @ Crystal Palace L 0-1 1831 1978 15.87% 24.45% 59.68% -4.1 10
2026-02-22 Liverpool L 0-1 1952 2094 23.52% 27.73% 48.75% -6.0 27
2026-02-22 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 2094 1952 48.75% 27.73% 23.52% +6.0 45
2026-02-22 Fulham L 1-3 1937 1977 36.13% 29.03% 34.84% -13.6 36
2026-02-22 @ Sunderland W 3-1 1977 1937 34.84% 29.03% 36.13% +13.6 37
2026-02-22 Arsenal L 1-4 1976 2210 15.89% 24.46% 59.66% -9.5 29
2026-02-22 @ Tottenham W 4-1 2210 1976 59.66% 24.46% 15.89% +9.5 61
2026-02-23 Manchester United L 0-1 1997 2051 34.15% 29.02% 36.82% -8.0 37
2026-02-23 @ Everton W 1-0 2051 1997 36.82% 29.02% 34.15% +8.0 48
2026-02-27 Aston Villa W 2-0 1827 2081 14.65% 23.59% 61.76% +23.8 13
2026-02-27 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 2081 1827 61.76% 23.59% 14.65% -23.8 51
2026-02-28 Sunderland D 1-1 2007 1924 52.46% 26.85% 20.69% -1.5 39
2026-02-28 @ Bournemouth D 1-1 1924 2007 20.69% 26.85% 52.46% +1.5 37
2026-02-28 Brentford L 3-4 1883 2013 24.71% 28.02% 47.27% -5.4 19
2026-02-28 @ Burnley W 4-3 2013 1883 47.27% 28.02% 24.71% +5.4 43
2026-02-28 Manchester City L 0-1 1988 2182 18.76% 26.05% 55.18% -4.8 31
2026-02-28 @ Leeds United W 1-0 2182 1988 55.18% 26.05% 18.76% +4.9 59
2026-02-28 West Ham W 5-2 2100 1904 64.86% 22.18% 12.95% +6.6 48
2026-02-28 @ Liverpool L 2-5 1904 2100 12.95% 22.18% 64.86% -6.6 25
2026-02-28 Everton L 2-3 2022 1989 46.09% 28.22% 25.70% -8.9 36
2026-02-28 @ Newcastle United W 3-2 1989 2022 25.70% 28.22% 46.09% +8.9 40
2026-03-01 Chelsea W 2-1 2220 2094 57.36% 25.32% 17.32% +4.2 64
2026-03-01 @ Arsenal L 1-2 2094 2220 17.32% 25.32% 57.36% -4.2 45
2026-03-01 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 2020 1947 51.30% 27.16% 21.55% +5.2 37
2026-03-01 @ Brighton L 1-2 1947 2020 21.55% 27.16% 51.30% -5.2 27
2026-03-01 Tottenham W 2-1 1991 1966 44.99% 28.38% 26.63% +6.2 40
2026-03-01 @ Fulham L 1-2 1966 1991 26.63% 28.38% 44.99% -6.2 29
2026-03-01 Crystal Palace W 2-1 2059 1982 51.74% 27.04% 21.22% +5.1 51
2026-03-01 @ Manchester United L 1-2 1982 2059 21.22% 27.04% 51.74% -5.1 35
2026-03-03 Brentford D 0-0 2006 2018 39.96% 28.89% 31.14% -0.4 40
2026-03-03 @ Bournemouth D 0-0 2018 2006 31.14% 28.89% 39.96% +0.4 44
2026-03-03 Burnley W 2-0 1998 1877 56.89% 25.49% 17.63% +8.6 43
2026-03-03 @ Everton L 0-2 1877 1998 17.63% 25.49% 56.89% -8.6 19
2026-03-03 Sunderland L 0-1 1983 1925 49.28% 27.62% 23.10% -10.5 31
2026-03-03 @ Leeds United W 1-0 1925 1983 23.10% 27.62% 49.28% +10.5 40
2026-03-03 Liverpool W 2-1 1851 2106 14.57% 23.52% 61.91% +11.9 16
2026-03-03 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 2106 1851 61.91% 23.52% 14.57% -11.9 48
2026-03-04 Chelsea L 1-4 2057 2090 37.12% 29.02% 33.86% -19.6 51
2026-03-04 @ Aston Villa W 4-1 2090 2057 33.86% 29.02% 37.12% +19.6 48
2026-03-04 Arsenal L 0-1 2025 2224 18.44% 25.90% 55.65% -4.8 37
2026-03-04 @ Brighton W 1-0 2224 2025 55.65% 25.90% 18.44% +4.8 67
2026-03-04 West Ham L 0-1 1997 1897 54.40% 26.30% 19.30% -11.4 40
2026-03-04 @ Fulham W 1-0 1897 1997 19.30% 26.30% 54.40% +11.4 28
2026-03-04 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 2187 1941 69.63% 19.77% 10.60% -2.2 60
2026-03-04 @ Manchester City D 2-2 1941 2187 10.60% 19.77% 69.63% +2.2 28
2026-03-04 Manchester United W 2-1 2013 2064 34.51% 29.03% 36.46% +7.9 39
2026-03-04 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 2064 2013 36.46% 29.03% 34.51% -7.9 51
2026-03-05 Crystal Palace L 1-3 1960 1977 39.42% 28.93% 31.65% -14.4 29
2026-03-05 @ Tottenham W 3-1 1977 1960 31.65% 28.93% 39.42% +14.5 38
2026-03-14 Everton W 2-0 2229 2007 67.38% 20.94% 11.68% +5.5 70
2026-03-14 @ Arsenal L 0-2 2007 2229 11.68% 20.94% 67.38% -5.5 43
2026-03-14 Bournemouth D 0-0 1869 2005 24.03% 27.86% 48.10% +1.2 20
2026-03-14 @ Burnley D 0-0 2005 1869 48.10% 27.86% 24.03% -1.2 41
2026-03-14 Newcastle United L 0-1 2110 2021 53.12% 26.67% 20.21% -11.2 48
2026-03-14 @ Chelsea W 1-0 2021 2110 20.21% 26.67% 53.12% +11.2 42
2026-03-14 Brighton L 0-1 1936 2021 29.98% 28.80% 41.22% -7.2 40
2026-03-14 @ Sunderland W 1-0 2021 1936 41.22% 28.80% 29.98% +7.2 40
2026-03-14 Manchester City D 1-1 1909 2185 13.40% 22.57% 64.03% +2.5 29
2026-03-14 @ West Ham D 1-1 2185 1909 64.03% 22.57% 13.40% -2.5 61
2026-03-15 Leeds United D 0-0 1991 1972 44.26% 28.48% 27.26% -0.8 39
2026-03-15 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1972 1991 27.26% 28.48% 44.26% +0.8 32
2026-03-15 Tottenham D 1-1 2095 1946 59.97% 24.33% 15.70% -2.1 49
2026-03-15 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1946 2095 15.70% 24.33% 59.97% +2.1 30
2026-03-15 Aston Villa W 3-1 2056 2038 44.19% 28.49% 27.32% +11.0 54
2026-03-15 @ Manchester United L 1-3 2038 2056 27.32% 28.49% 44.19% -11.0 51
2026-03-15 Fulham D 0-0 1943 1985 35.80% 29.03% 35.17% -0.0 29
2026-03-15 @ Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1985 1943 35.17% 29.03% 35.80% +0.0 41
2026-03-16 Wolverhampton D 2-2 2019 1863 60.68% 24.04% 15.28% -1.6 45
2026-03-16 @ Brentford D 2-2 1863 2019 15.28% 24.04% 60.68% +1.6 17
2026-03-20 Manchester United D 2-2 2004 2067 32.80% 28.98% 38.22% +0.2 42
2026-03-20 @ Bournemouth D 2-2 2067 2004 38.22% 28.98% 32.80% -0.2 55
2026-03-21 Liverpool W 2-1 2028 2092 32.62% 28.98% 38.40% +8.2 43
2026-03-21 @ Brighton L 1-2 2092 2028 38.40% 28.98% 32.62% -8.2 49
2026-03-21 Chelsea W 3-0 2001 2098 28.46% 28.64% 42.90% +25.8 46
2026-03-21 @ Everton L 0-3 2098 2001 42.90% 28.64% 28.46% -25.8 48
2026-03-21 Burnley W 3-1 1985 1870 56.26% 25.70% 18.04% +7.6 44
2026-03-21 @ Fulham L 1-3 1870 1985 18.04% 25.70% 56.26% -7.6 20
2026-03-21 Brentford D 0-0 1973 2017 35.52% 29.04% 35.45% -0.0 33
2026-03-21 @ Leeds United D 0-0 2017 1973 35.45% 29.04% 35.52% +0.0 46
2026-03-22 West Ham W 2-0 2027 1911 56.27% 25.70% 18.03% +8.8 54
2026-03-22 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1911 2027 18.03% 25.70% 56.27% -8.8 29
2026-03-22 Sunderland L 1-2 2032 1929 54.88% 26.15% 18.97% -10.8 42
2026-03-22 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 1929 2032 18.97% 26.15% 54.88% +10.8 43
2026-03-22 Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1948 1943 42.30% 28.70% 29.00% -25.6 30
2026-03-22 @ Tottenham W 3-0 1943 1948 29.00% 28.70% 42.30% +25.6 32
2026-04-10 Wolverhampton W 4-0 1902 1865 46.77% 28.10% 25.13% +22.5 32
2026-04-10 @ West Ham L 0-4 1865 1902 25.13% 28.10% 46.77% -22.5 17
2026-04-11 Bournemouth L 1-2 2234 2004 68.19% 20.53% 11.28% -12.8 70
2026-04-11 @ Arsenal W 2-1 2004 2234 11.28% 20.53% 68.19% +12.8 45
2026-04-11 Everton D 2-2 2017 2027 40.26% 28.87% 30.87% -0.3 47
2026-04-11 @ Brentford D 2-2 2027 2017 30.87% 28.87% 40.26% +0.3 47
2026-04-11 Brighton L 0-2 1862 2036 20.49% 26.78% 52.74% -10.0 20
2026-04-11 @ Burnley W 2-0 2036 1862 52.74% 26.78% 20.49% +10.0 46
2026-04-11 Fulham W 2-0 2084 1993 53.41% 26.59% 20.00% +9.7 52
2026-04-11 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1993 2084 20.00% 26.59% 53.41% -9.7 44
2026-04-12 Manchester City L 0-3 2073 2182 26.96% 28.44% 44.60% -18.3 48
2026-04-12 @ Chelsea W 3-0 2182 2073 44.60% 28.44% 26.96% +18.3 64
2026-04-12 Newcastle United W 2-1 1990 2021 37.33% 29.01% 33.65% +7.4 42
2026-04-12 @ Crystal Palace L 1-2 2021 1990 33.65% 29.01% 37.33% -7.4 42
2026-04-12 Aston Villa D 1-1 1969 2036 32.34% 28.96% 38.69% +0.3 33
2026-04-12 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 2036 1969 38.69% 28.96% 32.34% -0.3 55
2026-04-12 Tottenham W 1-0 1939 1922 44.05% 28.51% 27.44% +6.8 46
2026-04-12 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1922 1939 27.44% 28.51% 44.05% -6.8 30
2026-04-13 Leeds United L 1-2 2067 1973 53.75% 26.49% 19.76% -10.6 55
2026-04-13 @ Manchester United W 2-1 1973 2067 19.76% 26.49% 53.75% +10.7 36
2026-04-18 Fulham D 0-0 2017 1983 46.17% 28.20% 25.62% -1.0 48
2026-04-18 @ Brentford D 0-0 1983 2017 25.62% 28.20% 46.17% +1.0 45
2026-04-18 Manchester United L 0-1 2054 2056 41.43% 28.78% 29.78% -9.2 48
2026-04-18 @ Chelsea W 1-0 2056 2054 29.78% 28.78% 41.43% +9.2 58
2026-04-18 Wolverhampton W 3-0 1984 1842 59.17% 24.65% 16.18% +11.5 39
2026-04-18 @ Leeds United L 0-3 1842 1984 16.18% 24.65% 59.17% -11.5 17
2026-04-18 Bournemouth L 1-2 2014 2017 41.30% 28.80% 29.91% -8.6 42
2026-04-18 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 2017 2014 29.91% 28.80% 41.30% +8.6 48
2026-04-18 Brighton D 2-2 1915 2046 24.65% 28.00% 47.35% +0.8 31
2026-04-18 @ Tottenham D 2-2 2046 1915 47.35% 28.00% 24.65% -0.8 47
2026-04-19 Sunderland W 4-3 2035 1946 53.18% 26.66% 20.16% +4.5 58
2026-04-19 @ Aston Villa L 3-4 1946 2035 20.16% 26.66% 53.18% -4.5 46
2026-04-19 Liverpool L 1-2 2028 2094 32.39% 28.97% 38.64% -7.2 47
2026-04-19 @ Everton W 2-1 2094 2028 38.64% 28.97% 32.39% +7.2 55
2026-04-19 Arsenal W 2-1 2200 2221 38.81% 28.96% 32.24% +7.2 67
2026-04-19 @ Manchester City L 1-2 2221 2200 32.24% 28.96% 38.81% -7.2 70
2026-04-19 Burnley W 4-1 1969 1852 56.42% 25.65% 17.93% +10.7 36
2026-04-19 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-4 1852 1969 17.93% 25.65% 56.42% -10.7 20
2026-04-20 West Ham D 0-0 1998 1925 51.18% 27.18% 21.64% -1.5 43
2026-04-20 @ Crystal Palace D 0-0 1925 1998 21.64% 27.18% 51.18% +1.5 33
2026-04-21 Chelsea W 3-0 2045 2045 41.71% 28.76% 29.53% +19.6 50
2026-04-21 @ Brighton L 0-3 2045 2045 29.53% 28.76% 41.71% -19.6 48
2026-04-22 Leeds United D 2-2 2026 1995 45.80% 28.26% 25.94% -0.7 49
2026-04-22 @ Bournemouth D 2-2 1995 2026 25.94% 28.26% 45.80% +0.7 40
2026-04-22 Manchester City L 0-1 1842 2208 9.29% 18.17% 72.53% -2.2 20
2026-04-22 @ Burnley W 1-0 2208 1842 72.53% 18.17% 9.29% +2.2 70
2026-04-24 Nottingham Forest L 0-5 1942 1980 36.31% 29.03% 34.66% -36.8 46
2026-04-24 @ Sunderland W 5-0 1980 1942 34.66% 29.03% 36.31% +36.8 39
2026-04-25 Aston Villa W 1-0 1984 2040 33.87% 29.02% 37.12% +8.5 48
2026-04-25 @ Fulham L 0-1 2040 1984 37.12% 29.02% 33.87% -8.5 58
2026-04-25 Crystal Palace W 3-1 2101 1996 55.06% 26.09% 18.85% +8.0 58
2026-04-25 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1996 2101 18.85% 26.09% 55.06% -8.0 43
2026-04-25 Everton W 2-1 1926 2020 28.83% 28.69% 42.48% +8.8 36
2026-04-25 @ West Ham L 1-2 2020 1926 42.48% 28.69% 28.83% -8.8 47
2026-04-25 Tottenham L 0-1 1831 1916 29.87% 28.79% 41.34% -7.2 17
2026-04-25 @ Wolverhampton W 1-0 1916 1831 41.34% 28.79% 29.87% +7.2 34
2026-04-25 Newcastle United W 1-0 2214 2005 66.14% 21.57% 12.30% +3.1 73
2026-04-25 @ Arsenal L 0-1 2005 2214 12.30% 21.57% 66.14% -3.1 42
2026-04-27 Brentford W 2-1 2066 2016 48.34% 27.82% 23.85% +5.7 61
2026-04-27 @ Manchester United L 1-2 2016 2066 23.85% 27.82% 48.34% -5.7 48
2026-05-01 Burnley W 3-1 1996 1839 60.78% 24.00% 15.22% +6.4 43
2026-05-01 @ Leeds United L 1-3 1839 1996 15.22% 24.00% 60.78% -6.4 20
2026-05-02 Fulham W 3-0 2217 1993 67.64% 20.81% 11.55% +7.9 76
2026-05-02 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1993 2217 11.55% 20.81% 67.64% -7.9 48
2026-05-02 West Ham W 3-0 2010 1935 51.41% 27.13% 21.46% +15.1 51
2026-05-02 @ Brentford L 0-3 1935 2010 21.46% 27.13% 51.41% -15.1 36
2026-05-02 Brighton W 3-1 2002 2065 32.89% 28.99% 38.13% +14.1 45
2026-05-02 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 2065 2002 38.13% 28.99% 32.89% -14.1 50
2026-05-02 Sunderland D 1-1 1823 1905 30.38% 28.84% 40.78% +0.5 18
2026-05-02 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1905 1823 40.78% 28.84% 30.38% -0.5 47
2026-05-03 Tottenham L 1-2 2031 1923 55.40% 25.99% 18.62% -10.9 58
2026-05-03 @ Aston Villa W 2-1 1923 2031 18.62% 25.99% 55.40% +10.9 37
2026-05-03 Crystal Palace W 3-0 2025 1988 46.63% 28.13% 25.24% +17.3 52
2026-05-03 @ Bournemouth L 0-3 1988 2025 25.24% 28.13% 46.63% -17.3 43
2026-05-03 Liverpool W 3-2 2071 2109 36.37% 29.03% 34.60% +7.2 64
2026-05-03 @ Manchester United L 2-3 2109 2071 34.60% 29.03% 36.37% -7.2 58
2026-05-04 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 2026 2017 42.90% 28.64% 28.45% -15.4 48
2026-05-04 @ Chelsea W 3-1 2017 2026 28.45% 28.64% 42.90% +15.4 42
2026-05-04 Manchester City D 3-3 2012 2210 18.45% 25.91% 55.64% +1.1 48
2026-05-04 @ Everton D 3-3 2210 2012 55.64% 25.91% 18.45% -1.1 71
2026-05-09 Wolverhampton W 3-0 2051 1824 67.88% 20.69% 11.43% +7.8 53
2026-05-09 @ Brighton L 0-3 1824 2051 11.43% 20.69% 67.88% -7.8 18
2026-05-09 Bournemouth L 0-1 1985 2042 33.64% 29.01% 37.35% -7.9 48
2026-05-09 @ Fulham W 1-0 2042 1985 37.35% 29.01% 33.64% +7.9 55
2026-05-09 Chelsea D 1-1 2102 2010 53.50% 26.57% 19.94% -1.6 59
2026-05-09 @ Liverpool D 1-1 2010 2102 19.94% 26.57% 53.50% +1.6 49
2026-05-09 Brentford W 3-0 2209 2025 63.64% 22.75% 13.60% +9.5 74
2026-05-09 @ Manchester City L 0-3 2025 2209 13.60% 22.75% 63.64% -9.5 51
2026-05-09 Manchester United D 0-0 1904 2078 20.46% 26.77% 52.77% +1.7 48
2026-05-09 @ Sunderland D 0-0 2078 1904 52.77% 26.77% 20.46% -1.7 65
2026-05-10 Aston Villa D 2-2 1833 2021 19.31% 26.30% 54.38% +1.2 21
2026-05-10 @ Burnley D 2-2 2021 1833 54.38% 26.30% 19.31% -1.2 59
2026-05-10 Everton D 2-2 1971 2013 35.80% 29.03% 35.16% -0.0 44
2026-05-10 @ Crystal Palace D 2-2 2013 1971 35.16% 29.03% 35.80% +0.0 49
2026-05-10 Newcastle United D 1-1 2032 2016 43.87% 28.53% 27.60% -0.7 43
2026-05-10 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 2016 2032 27.60% 28.53% 43.87% +0.7 46
2026-05-10 Arsenal L 0-1 1920 2225 11.92% 21.19% 66.90% -3.0 36
2026-05-10 @ West Ham W 1-0 2225 1920 66.90% 21.19% 11.92% +3.0 79
2026-05-11 Leeds United D 1-1 1934 2002 32.18% 28.96% 38.87% +0.3 38
2026-05-11 @ Tottenham D 1-1 2002 1934 38.87% 28.96% 32.18% -0.3 44
2026-05-13 Crystal Palace W 3-0 2218 1971 69.83% 19.67% 10.51% +7.1 77
2026-05-13 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1971 2218 10.51% 19.67% 69.83% -7.1 44
2026-05-15 Liverpool W 4-2 2019 2100 30.44% 28.84% 40.71% +13.2 62
2026-05-15 @ Aston Villa L 2-4 2100 2019 40.71% 28.84% 30.44% -13.2 59
2026-05-17 Crystal Palace D 2-2 2015 1964 48.56% 27.77% 23.67% -0.8 52
2026-05-17 @ Brentford D 2-2 1964 2015 23.67% 27.77% 48.56% +0.8 45
2026-05-17 Sunderland L 1-3 2013 1906 55.23% 26.04% 18.73% -18.9 49
2026-05-17 @ Everton W 3-1 1906 2013 18.73% 26.04% 55.23% +18.9 51
2026-05-17 Brighton W 1-0 2002 2058 33.72% 29.01% 37.26% +8.5 47
2026-05-17 @ Leeds United L 0-1 2058 2002 37.26% 29.01% 33.72% -8.5 53
2026-05-17 Nottingham Forest W 3-2 2077 2031 47.73% 27.93% 24.34% +5.5 68
2026-05-17 @ Manchester United L 2-3 2031 2077 24.34% 27.93% 47.73% -5.5 43
2026-05-17 West Ham W 3-1 2017 1917 54.43% 26.29% 19.28% +8.1 49
2026-05-17 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1917 2017 19.28% 26.29% 54.43% -8.2 36
2026-05-17 Fulham D 1-1 1816 1977 21.62% 27.18% 51.20% +1.4 19
2026-05-17 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1977 1816 51.20% 27.18% 21.62% -1.4 49
2026-05-18 Burnley W 1-0 2228 1834 81.52% 12.80% 5.68% +1.2 82
2026-05-18 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1834 2228 5.68% 12.80% 81.52% -1.2 21
2026-05-19 Manchester City D 1-1 2050 2225 20.34% 26.72% 52.94% +1.5 56
2026-05-19 @ Bournemouth D 1-1 2225 2050 52.94% 26.72% 20.34% -1.5 78
2026-05-19 Tottenham W 2-1 2012 1935 51.72% 27.05% 21.23% +5.1 52
2026-05-19 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1935 2012 21.23% 27.05% 51.72% -5.1 38
2026-05-24 Manchester United L 0-3 2050 2082 37.19% 29.01% 33.80% -23.2 53
2026-05-24 @ Brighton W 3-0 2082 2050 33.80% 29.01% 37.19% +23.2 71
2026-05-24 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1833 1817 43.83% 28.54% 27.64% -0.7 22
2026-05-24 @ Burnley D 1-1 1817 1833 27.64% 28.54% 43.83% +0.7 20
2026-05-24 Arsenal L 1-2 1965 2229 14.02% 23.10% 62.88% -3.4 45
2026-05-24 @ Crystal Palace W 2-1 2229 1965 62.88% 23.10% 14.02% +3.4 85
2026-05-24 Newcastle United W 2-0 1976 2025 34.72% 29.03% 36.24% +15.7 52
2026-05-24 @ Fulham L 0-2 2025 1976 36.24% 29.03% 34.72% -15.7 49
2026-05-24 Brentford D 1-1 2087 2015 51.17% 27.19% 21.65% -1.4 60
2026-05-24 @ Liverpool D 1-1 2015 2087 21.65% 27.19% 51.17% +1.4 53
2026-05-24 Aston Villa L 1-2 2224 2033 64.40% 22.40% 13.20% -12.3 78
2026-05-24 @ Manchester City W 2-1 2033 2224 13.20% 22.40% 64.40% +12.3 65
2026-05-24 Bournemouth D 1-1 2026 2052 38.13% 28.99% 32.88% -0.2 44
2026-05-24 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 2052 2026 32.88% 28.99% 38.13% +0.2 57
2026-05-24 Chelsea W 2-1 1925 2017 29.09% 28.71% 42.20% +8.8 54
2026-05-24 @ Sunderland L 1-2 2017 1925 42.20% 28.71% 29.09% -8.8 52
2026-05-24 Everton W 1-0 1930 1994 32.66% 28.98% 38.37% +8.7 41
2026-05-24 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1994 1930 38.37% 28.98% 32.66% -8.7 49
2026-05-24 Leeds United W 3-0 1909 2010 27.94% 28.58% 43.49% +26.1 39
2026-05-24 @ West Ham L 0-3 2010 1909 43.49% 28.58% 27.94% -26.1 47

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-04-11 11.28% Bournemouth 2004 2 @ Arsenal 2234 1
2 2026-05-24 13.20% Aston Villa 2033 2 @ Manchester City 2224 1
3 2026-01-25 13.91% Manchester United 2023 3 @ Arsenal 2202 2
4 2026-03-03 14.57% @ Wolverhampton 1851 2 Liverpool 2106 1
5 2026-02-27 14.65% @ Wolverhampton 1827 2 Aston Villa 2081 0
6 2025-10-19 14.94% Manchester United 1965 2 @ Liverpool 2126 1
7 2025-11-22 14.99% Nottingham Forest 1937 3 @ Liverpool 2097 0
8 2026-01-17 15.94% West Ham 1861 2 @ Tottenham 2006 1
9 2025-10-25 16.45% Sunderland 1932 2 @ Chelsea 2069 1
10 2025-08-23 17.62% Tottenham 2002 2 @ Manchester City 2123 0
11 2026-02-11 17.81% Burnley 1870 3 @ Crystal Palace 1988 2
12 2026-05-03 18.62% Tottenham 1923 2 @ Aston Villa 2031 1
13 2026-05-17 18.73% Sunderland 1906 3 @ Everton 2013 1
14 2025-08-31 18.96% West Ham 1910 3 @ Nottingham Forest 2014 0
15 2026-03-22 18.97% Sunderland 1929 2 @ Newcastle United 2032 1
16 2026-03-04 19.30% West Ham 1897 1 @ Fulham 1997 0
17 2026-01-18 19.50% Everton 1986 1 @ Aston Villa 2083 0
18 2026-04-13 19.76% Leeds United 1973 2 @ Manchester United 2067 1
19 2026-01-17 20.13% @ Manchester United 2002 2 Manchester City 2180 0
20 2026-03-14 20.21% Newcastle United 2021 1 @ Chelsea 2110 0
21 2026-01-25 20.44% Nottingham Forest 1946 2 @ Brentford 2031 0
22 2026-02-01 21.13% Brentford 2010 1 @ Aston Villa 2089 0
23 2025-11-30 21.39% Manchester United 1980 2 @ Crystal Palace 2055 1
24 2025-09-27 21.80% Brighton 1988 3 @ Chelsea 2059 1
25 2025-11-02 22.15% @ West Ham 1892 3 Newcastle United 2047 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-04-24 36.76 Nottingham Forest 5 1980 34.66% @ Sunderland 0 1942 36.31% 29.03%
2 2025-11-22 34.32 Nottingham Forest 3 1937 14.99% @ Liverpool 0 2097 61.17% 23.84%
3 2025-08-31 31.47 West Ham 3 1910 18.96% @ Nottingham Forest 0 2014 54.89% 26.15%
4 2025-11-09 27.42 @ Aston Villa 4 2014 38.73% Bournemouth 0 2035 32.31% 28.96%
5 2026-05-24 26.12 @ West Ham 3 1909 27.94% Leeds United 0 2010 43.49% 28.58%
6 2026-03-21 25.85 @ Everton 3 2001 28.46% Chelsea 0 2098 42.90% 28.64%
7 2025-12-14 25.58 @ Nottingham Forest 3 1945 28.97% Tottenham 0 2037 42.33% 28.70%
8 2026-03-22 25.57 Nottingham Forest 3 1943 29.00% @ Tottenham 0 1948 42.30% 28.70%
9 2025-08-31 25.51 Crystal Palace 3 2008 29.10% @ Aston Villa 0 2012 42.18% 28.72%
10 2026-01-03 24.37 @ Wolverhampton 3 1819 31.40% West Ham 0 1893 39.69% 28.91%
11 2026-02-27 23.81 @ Wolverhampton 2 1827 14.65% Aston Villa 0 2081 61.76% 23.59%
12 2026-05-24 23.23 Manchester United 3 2082 33.80% @ Brighton 0 2050 37.19% 29.01%
13 2025-08-16 23.19 @ Sunderland 3 1898 33.88% West Ham 0 1953 37.11% 29.02%
14 2025-10-26 22.67 Tottenham 3 2032 35.00% @ Everton 0 1991 35.96% 29.03%
15 2026-04-10 22.54 @ West Ham 4 1902 46.77% Wolverhampton 0 1865 25.13% 28.10%
16 2025-08-23 22.31 Tottenham 2 2002 17.62% @ Manchester City 0 2123 56.90% 25.48%
17 2025-08-23 22.30 @ Arsenal 5 2121 54.02% Leeds United 0 2025 19.57% 26.41%
18 2026-01-17 21.14 @ Manchester United 2 2002 20.13% Manchester City 0 2180 53.22% 26.64%
19 2026-01-25 21.00 Nottingham Forest 2 1946 20.44% @ Brentford 0 2031 52.79% 26.76%
20 2025-08-16 20.91 Manchester City 4 2102 49.43% @ Wolverhampton 0 1955 22.98% 27.59%
21 2025-08-16 20.68 @ Tottenham 3 1981 39.41% Burnley 0 1998 31.67% 28.93%
22 2025-12-20 20.63 @ Leeds United 4 1964 31.20% Crystal Palace 1 2040 39.91% 28.90%
23 2025-09-13 20.60 Tottenham 3 2014 39.57% @ West Ham 0 1942 31.51% 28.92%
24 2025-08-22 19.99 Chelsea 5 2038 44.41% @ West Ham 1 1930 27.13% 28.46%
25 2026-04-21 19.62 @ Brighton 3 2045 41.71% Chelsea 0 2045 29.53% 28.76%