2004-05 Premier League Season
380 games
Champion
Chelsea
95 points · 2nd Title
Last Title: 1954-55
Relegated
Southampton
32 pts
Crystal Palace · 33 pts
Norwich City · 33 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Chelsea
18.67 points above expected
95 points · 76.33 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Southampton
11.71 points below expected
32 points · 43.71 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea Champion | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 95 | 72 | 15 | +57 | 76.33 | +18.67 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 83 | 87 | 36 | +51 | 77.22 | +5.78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 77 | 58 | 26 | +32 | 70.87 | +6.13 |
| 4 | Everton | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 61 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 50.91 | +10.09 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 58 | 52 | 41 | +11 | 62.19 | -4.19 |
| 6 | Bolton Wanderers | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 44 | +5 | 50.15 | +7.85 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 53 | 46 | +7 | 53.52 | +1.48 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 47 | 39 | +8 | 51.90 | +0.10 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 47 | 41 | +6 | 48.02 | +3.98 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 51.59 | -4.59 |
| 11 | Charlton Athletic | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 46 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 47.44 | -1.44 |
| 12 | Birmingham City | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 47.15 | -2.15 |
| 13 | Fulham | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 46.34 | -2.34 |
| 14 | Newcastle United | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 53.64 | -9.64 |
| 15 | Blackburn Rovers | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 42 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 45.84 | -3.84 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 39 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 45.77 | -6.77 |
| 17 | West Brom | 38 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 34 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 34.92 | -0.92 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace Relegated | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 33 | 41 | 62 | -21 | 38.67 | -5.67 |
| 19 | Norwich City Relegated | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 33 | 42 | 77 | -35 | 39.12 | -6.12 |
| 20 | Southampton Relegated | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 32 | 45 | 66 | -21 | 43.71 | -11.71 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2181 | 95 | 76.33 | +18.67 | 99.7% | 45 | 64 | 72 | 76 | 81 | 88 | 102 |
| Arsenal | 2139 | 83 | 77.22 | +5.78 | 80.4% | 51 | 65 | 72 | 77 | 82 | 89 | 102 |
| Manchester United | 2085 | 77 | 70.87 | +6.13 | 81.3% | 43 | 58 | 66 | 71 | 76 | 83 | 97 |
| Liverpool | 1964 | 58 | 62.19 | -4.19 | 31.7% | 35 | 50 | 57 | 62 | 67 | 74 | 87 |
| Manchester City | 1936 | 52 | 51.90 | +0.10 | 53.5% | 21 | 40 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 81 |
| Middlesbrough | 1926 | 55 | 53.52 | +1.48 | 60.1% | 24 | 41 | 48 | 54 | 59 | 66 | 83 |
| Bolton Wanderers | 1924 | 58 | 50.15 | +7.85 | 86.6% | 22 | 38 | 45 | 50 | 55 | 63 | 82 |
| Tottenham | 1907 | 52 | 48.02 | +3.98 | 72.9% | 20 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 60 | 76 |
| Everton | 1900 | 61 | 50.91 | +10.09 | 92.1% | 20 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 56 | 63 | 81 |
| Fulham | 1893 | 44 | 46.34 | -2.34 | 40.9% | 22 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 59 | 77 |
| Newcastle United | 1886 | 44 | 53.64 | -9.64 | 11.1% | 28 | 41 | 48 | 54 | 59 | 66 | 80 |
| Aston Villa | 1884 | 47 | 51.59 | -4.59 | 29.6% | 28 | 39 | 46 | 51 | 57 | 64 | 81 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1876 | 42 | 45.84 | -3.84 | 32.3% | 20 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 58 | 72 |
| Birmingham City | 1871 | 45 | 47.15 | -2.15 | 41.1% | 20 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 60 | 75 |
| Charlton Athletic | 1842 | 46 | 47.44 | -1.44 | 45.7% | 19 | 35 | 42 | 47 | 52 | 60 | 81 |
| Portsmouth | 1830 | 39 | 45.77 | -6.77 | 19.9% | 22 | 34 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 58 | 77 |
| Southampton | 1829 | 32 | 43.71 | -11.71 | 6.2% | 17 | 32 | 39 | 44 | 49 | 56 | 72 |
| Crystal Palace | 1810 | 33 | 38.67 | -5.67 | 24.1% | 15 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 43 | 50 | 66 |
| West Brom | 1804 | 34 | 34.92 | -0.92 | 48.3% | 11 | 24 | 30 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 62 |
| Norwich City | 1779 | 33 | 39.12 | -6.12 | 22.0% | 10 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 68 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | ARS | AV | BC | BR | BW | CA | CHE | CP | EVE | FUL | LIV | MC | MU | MID | NU | NC | POR | SOU | TOT | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | — |
2-0-0
4.05
|
1-0-1
4.41
|
2-0-0
4.10
|
0-1-1
4.21
|
2-0-0
4.16
|
0-2-0
2.56
|
1-1-0
4.48
|
2-0-0
4.05
|
2-0-0
4.15
|
1-0-1
3.70
|
1-1-0
4.05
|
0-0-2
3.20
|
2-0-0
4.05
|
2-0-0
4.03
|
2-0-0
4.43
|
2-0-0
4.25
|
0-2-0
4.38
|
2-0-0
4.28
|
1-1-0
4.72
|
| Aston Villa |
0-0-2
1.46
|
— |
0-0-2
3.10
|
1-1-0
3.00
|
1-1-0
2.73
|
0-1-1
3.05
|
0-1-1
1.70
|
0-1-1
3.58
|
0-1-1
2.71
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
0-1-1
2.27
|
0-0-2
2.68
|
0-0-2
1.65
|
1-0-1
2.46
|
2-0-0
2.43
|
1-1-0
3.25
|
2-0-0
2.90
|
2-0-0
3.01
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
0-2-0
3.44
|
| Birmingham City |
1-0-1
1.17
|
2-0-0
2.32
|
— |
1-1-0
2.67
|
0-1-1
2.73
|
0-1-1
2.72
|
0-1-1
1.49
|
0-0-2
3.21
|
0-1-1
2.39
|
1-0-1
2.95
|
2-0-0
1.83
|
1-0-1
2.55
|
0-1-1
1.60
|
1-0-1
2.32
|
0-1-1
2.36
|
0-1-1
3.13
|
0-2-0
2.81
|
1-1-0
2.84
|
0-1-1
2.66
|
1-0-1
3.55
|
| Blackburn Rovers |
0-0-2
1.41
|
0-1-1
2.41
|
0-1-1
2.72
|
— |
1-0-1
2.56
|
1-0-1
2.58
|
0-0-2
1.24
|
1-1-0
3.16
|
1-1-0
2.19
|
1-0-1
2.73
|
0-2-0
1.77
|
0-2-0
2.41
|
0-2-0
1.65
|
0-0-2
2.40
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
1-1-0
2.92
|
2-0-0
2.60
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
0-1-1
2.57
|
0-2-0
3.39
|
| Bolton Wanderers |
1-1-0
1.33
|
0-1-1
2.67
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
— |
2-0-0
2.86
|
0-1-1
1.41
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
1-0-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
1-0-1
2.16
|
1-0-1
2.57
|
0-1-1
1.84
|
0-2-0
2.56
|
1-0-1
2.48
|
1-0-1
3.47
|
0-1-1
3.16
|
1-1-0
2.98
|
2-0-0
2.77
|
0-1-1
3.49
|
| Charlton Athletic |
0-0-2
1.37
|
1-1-0
2.36
|
1-1-0
2.68
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
0-0-2
2.54
|
— |
0-0-2
1.26
|
1-1-0
3.00
|
2-0-0
2.42
|
1-1-0
2.93
|
0-0-2
2.04
|
0-1-1
2.71
|
0-0-2
1.52
|
0-1-1
2.35
|
0-2-0
2.31
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
0-2-0
2.86
|
2-0-0
2.71
|
1-0-1
3.55
|
| Chelsea |
0-2-0
2.86
|
1-1-0
3.79
|
1-1-0
4.05
|
2-0-0
4.31
|
1-1-0
4.10
|
2-0-0
4.32
|
— |
2-0-0
4.38
|
2-0-0
4.06
|
2-0-0
4.21
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
0-1-1
3.98
|
2-0-0
3.03
|
2-0-0
3.80
|
1-1-0
4.27
|
2-0-0
4.75
|
2-0-0
4.33
|
2-0-0
4.22
|
1-1-0
3.98
|
2-0-0
4.60
|
| Crystal Palace |
0-1-1
1.11
|
1-1-0
1.87
|
2-0-0
2.20
|
0-1-1
2.27
|
0-0-2
2.11
|
0-1-1
2.41
|
0-0-2
1.20
|
— |
0-0-2
2.35
|
1-0-1
2.15
|
1-0-1
1.58
|
0-0-2
1.94
|
0-1-1
1.15
|
0-0-2
2.12
|
0-1-1
2.11
|
0-2-0
2.64
|
0-0-2
2.15
|
0-2-0
2.46
|
1-1-0
1.90
|
1-1-0
2.91
|
| Everton |
0-0-2
1.46
|
1-1-0
2.68
|
1-1-0
3.03
|
0-1-1
3.22
|
1-0-1
2.72
|
0-0-2
2.98
|
0-0-2
1.44
|
2-0-0
3.08
|
— |
1-0-1
3.11
|
1-0-1
2.26
|
2-0-0
2.62
|
1-1-0
1.67
|
1-1-0
2.56
|
1-1-0
2.71
|
2-0-0
3.30
|
2-0-0
2.86
|
1-1-0
3.07
|
0-0-2
2.85
|
1-0-1
3.31
|
| Fulham |
0-0-2
1.39
|
0-1-1
2.44
|
1-0-1
2.45
|
1-0-1
2.70
|
1-0-1
2.58
|
0-1-1
2.47
|
0-0-2
1.35
|
1-0-1
3.26
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
— |
0-0-2
1.90
|
0-2-0
2.54
|
0-1-1
1.38
|
0-1-1
2.68
|
1-0-1
2.38
|
2-0-0
3.02
|
1-0-1
2.82
|
1-1-0
2.82
|
1-0-1
2.53
|
1-1-0
3.34
|
| Liverpool |
1-0-1
1.78
|
1-1-0
3.15
|
0-0-2
3.62
|
0-2-0
3.68
|
1-0-1
3.26
|
2-0-0
3.40
|
0-0-2
2.09
|
1-0-1
3.90
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
2-0-0
3.54
|
— |
1-0-1
3.32
|
0-0-2
2.38
|
0-1-1
3.07
|
1-0-1
3.15
|
2-0-0
3.88
|
1-1-0
3.54
|
1-0-1
3.90
|
0-2-0
3.42
|
2-0-0
4.06
|
| Manchester City |
0-1-1
1.47
|
2-0-0
2.71
|
1-0-1
2.86
|
0-2-0
3.02
|
1-0-1
2.83
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
1-1-0
1.54
|
2-0-0
3.50
|
0-0-2
2.79
|
0-2-0
2.85
|
1-0-1
2.11
|
— |
0-1-1
1.67
|
0-1-1
2.72
|
0-1-1
2.55
|
1-1-0
3.45
|
2-0-0
3.03
|
1-1-0
3.10
|
0-0-2
2.96
|
0-1-1
4.02
|
| Manchester United |
2-0-0
2.20
|
2-0-0
3.84
|
1-1-0
3.91
|
0-2-0
3.86
|
1-1-0
3.63
|
2-0-0
3.97
|
0-0-2
2.37
|
1-1-0
4.44
|
0-1-1
3.80
|
1-1-0
4.17
|
2-0-0
3.02
|
1-1-0
3.79
|
— |
1-1-0
3.53
|
2-0-0
3.60
|
1-0-1
4.33
|
1-0-1
4.02
|
2-0-0
4.18
|
1-1-0
3.68
|
1-1-0
4.44
|
| Middlesbrough |
0-0-2
1.45
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
1-0-1
3.09
|
2-0-0
3.02
|
0-2-0
2.85
|
1-1-0
3.05
|
0-0-2
1.69
|
2-0-0
3.31
|
0-1-1
2.84
|
1-1-0
2.76
|
1-1-0
2.34
|
1-1-0
2.69
|
0-1-1
1.92
|
— |
0-2-0
2.57
|
1-1-0
3.73
|
0-1-1
3.16
|
0-1-1
3.29
|
1-0-1
3.16
|
2-0-0
3.59
|
| Newcastle United |
0-0-2
1.48
|
0-0-2
2.98
|
1-1-0
3.03
|
1-1-0
3.08
|
1-0-1
2.92
|
0-2-0
3.09
|
0-1-1
1.27
|
1-1-0
3.31
|
0-1-1
2.70
|
1-0-1
3.06
|
1-0-1
2.27
|
1-1-0
2.87
|
0-0-2
1.88
|
0-2-0
2.82
|
— |
0-1-1
3.40
|
0-2-0
3.18
|
2-0-0
3.21
|
0-0-2
3.02
|
1-1-0
3.82
|
| Norwich City |
0-0-2
1.17
|
0-1-1
2.18
|
1-1-0
2.28
|
0-1-1
2.51
|
1-0-1
1.99
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
0-0-2
0.91
|
0-2-0
2.79
|
0-0-2
2.14
|
0-0-2
2.40
|
0-0-2
1.60
|
0-1-1
1.97
|
1-0-1
1.22
|
0-1-1
1.73
|
1-1-0
2.03
|
— |
0-2-0
2.34
|
1-0-1
2.42
|
0-1-1
2.30
|
1-1-0
2.90
|
| Portsmouth |
0-0-2
1.30
|
0-0-2
2.51
|
0-2-0
2.60
|
0-0-2
2.80
|
1-1-0
2.25
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
0-0-2
1.24
|
2-0-0
3.28
|
0-0-2
2.56
|
1-0-1
2.59
|
0-1-1
1.90
|
0-0-2
2.40
|
1-0-1
1.51
|
1-1-0
2.25
|
0-2-0
2.23
|
0-2-0
3.09
|
— |
1-0-1
2.78
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
1-0-1
3.24
|
| Southampton |
0-2-0
1.19
|
0-0-2
2.39
|
0-1-1
2.57
|
1-0-1
2.58
|
0-1-1
2.46
|
0-2-0
2.54
|
0-0-2
1.31
|
0-2-0
2.95
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
0-1-1
2.58
|
1-0-1
1.58
|
0-1-1
2.33
|
0-0-2
1.35
|
1-1-0
2.13
|
0-0-2
2.21
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
1-0-1
2.62
|
— |
1-0-1
2.37
|
0-2-0
3.31
|
| Tottenham |
0-0-2
1.27
|
1-0-1
2.34
|
1-1-0
2.74
|
1-1-0
2.84
|
0-0-2
2.63
|
0-0-2
2.69
|
0-1-1
1.51
|
0-1-1
3.54
|
2-0-0
2.56
|
1-0-1
2.88
|
0-2-0
2.01
|
2-0-0
2.46
|
0-1-1
1.79
|
1-0-1
2.24
|
2-0-0
2.41
|
1-1-0
3.10
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
— |
0-2-0
3.20
|
| West Brom |
0-1-1
0.93
|
0-2-0
2.00
|
1-0-1
1.89
|
0-2-0
2.03
|
1-1-0
1.96
|
1-0-1
1.90
|
0-0-2
1.03
|
0-1-1
2.48
|
1-0-1
2.11
|
0-1-1
2.10
|
0-0-2
1.44
|
1-1-0
1.48
|
0-1-1
1.15
|
0-0-2
1.85
|
0-1-1
1.65
|
0-1-1
2.50
|
1-0-1
2.19
|
0-2-0
2.11
|
0-2-0
2.24
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.70 | +11.6 |
| Allowed | 0.79 | -10.6 |
| Differential | 0.94 | +7.0 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 10.39% | 5.92% | 2.63% | 1.58% | 0.39% | 28.82% |
| 1 | 10.39% | 14.21% | 6.18% | 3.55% | 1.32% | 0.39% | 36.05% |
| 2 | 5.92% | 6.18% | 5.79% | 1.71% | 0.53% | 0.26% | 20.39% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 3.55% | 1.71% | 0.79% | 0.39% | 0.13% | 9.21% |
| 4 | 1.58% | 1.32% | 0.53% | 0.39% | 0.26% | 0.13% | 4.21% |
| 5+ | 0.39% | 0.39% | 0.26% | 0.13% | 0.13% | — | 1.32% |
| Total | 28.82% | 36.05% | 20.39% | 9.21% | 4.21% | 1.32% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.28 | 1.28 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.69 |
| CV | 0.93 | 0.93 | — |
| Max | 7 | 7 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 380
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 1 | 18.42% | 10.53% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 5.26% | — | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 4 | 2.63% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 10.53% |
| Total | 42.11% | 34.21% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.29 | 0.95 | +1.34 |
| SD | 1.63 | 1.09 | 1.82 |
| CV | 0.71 | 1.15 | — |
| Max | 7 | 4 | +7 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 18.42% | 7.89% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | 44.74% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 28.95% | 23.68% | 15.79% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.18 | 1.37 | -0.18 |
| SD | 1.04 | 1.22 | 1.75 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.89 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 13.16% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 18.42% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.68% | 42.11% | 23.68% | 10.53% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.05 | 1.21 | -0.16 |
| SD | 1.01 | 0.93 | 1.44 |
| CV | 0.96 | 0.77 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 18.42% | — | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | 44.74% |
| 1 | 15.79% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 2.63% | — | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 13.16% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 39.47% | 31.58% | 10.53% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.84 | 1.13 | -0.29 |
| SD | 0.95 | 1.23 | 1.54 |
| CV | 1.12 | 1.09 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 1 | 18.42% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 42.11% |
| 2 | — | 13.16% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 21.05% | 47.37% | 26.32% | 5.26% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.29 | 1.16 | +0.13 |
| SD | 0.98 | 0.82 | 1.17 |
| CV | 0.76 | 0.71 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 5.26% | — | 10.53% | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 31.58% | 23.68% | 23.68% | 2.63% | 18.42% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.11 | 1.53 | -0.42 |
| SD | 1.06 | 1.45 | 1.95 |
| CV | 0.96 | 0.95 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 1 | 28.95% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 13.16% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 10.53% | — | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | — | — | 18.42% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 65.79% | 28.95% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.89 | 0.39 | +1.50 |
| SD | 1.33 | 0.59 | 1.31 |
| CV | 0.70 | 1.51 | — |
| Max | 4 | 2 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | 2.63% | — | 31.58% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 2 | 7.89% | — | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 23.68% |
| 3 | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.32% | 26.32% | 21.05% | 15.79% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.08 | 1.63 | -0.55 |
| SD | 0.94 | 1.44 | 1.67 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.88 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 15.79% | 5.26% | — | — | 2.63% | 28.95% |
| 1 | 23.68% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 34.21% | 39.47% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.18 | 1.21 | -0.03 |
| SD | 1.06 | 1.49 | 1.84 |
| CV | 0.90 | 1.23 | — |
| Max | 4 | 7 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -7 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 10.53% | 2.63% | — | 39.47% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 21.05% | 34.21% | 18.42% | 18.42% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.37 | 1.58 | -0.21 |
| SD | 1.32 | 1.24 | 1.93 |
| CV | 0.97 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 23.68% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 34.21% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 18.42% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 18.42% | 57.89% | 21.05% | 2.63% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.37 | 1.08 | +0.29 |
| SD | 1.30 | 0.71 | 1.58 |
| CV | 0.95 | 0.66 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 13.16% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 21.05% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | 13.16% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 47.37% | 18.42% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.03 | +0.21 |
| SD | 1.10 | 0.91 | 1.32 |
| CV | 0.89 | 0.89 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.79% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 2 | 15.79% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 31.58% |
| 3 | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| Total | 50.00% | 34.21% | 13.16% | 2.63% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.53 | 0.68 | +0.84 |
| SD | 1.29 | 0.81 | 1.42 |
| CV | 0.84 | 1.18 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.26% | 7.89% | 13.16% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 18.42% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | — | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 2.63% | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% | 7.89% |
| 4 | 5.26% | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 28.95% | 36.84% | 26.32% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.39 | 1.21 | +0.18 |
| SD | 1.20 | 1.14 | 1.57 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.94 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 10.53% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 18.42% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | 36.84% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 10.53% | — | 2.63% | — | 26.32% |
| 3 | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.79% | 44.74% | 21.05% | 10.53% | 7.89% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.50 | -0.26 |
| SD | 1.02 | 1.13 | 1.48 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.76 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 1 | 5.26% | 13.16% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | 31.58% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 18.42% |
| 3 | — | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 10.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 15.79% | 26.32% | 21.05% | 18.42% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.11 | 2.03 | -0.92 |
| SD | 1.11 | 1.48 | 1.73 |
| CV | 1.00 | 0.73 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.63% | 10.53% | 7.89% | 7.89% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 7.89% | 18.42% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 5.26% |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 13.16% | 36.84% | 31.58% | 18.42% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.13 | 1.55 | -0.42 |
| SD | 1.14 | 0.95 | 1.48 |
| CV | 1.01 | 0.61 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.16% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | — | — | 28.95% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 5.26% | 21.05% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 36.84% |
| 2 | 2.63% | 2.63% | 15.79% | 2.63% | — | — | 23.68% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 7.89% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.63% | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 18.42% | 42.11% | 15.79% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.18 | 1.74 | -0.55 |
| SD | 1.04 | 1.18 | 1.31 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.68 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.53% | 15.79% | 7.89% | 2.63% | — | — | 36.84% |
| 1 | 15.79% | 13.16% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 34.21% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | — | 15.79% |
| 3 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63% | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | 5.26% | 2.63% | — | — | — | 7.89% |
| Total | 34.21% | 39.47% | 15.79% | 7.89% | — | 2.63% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.08 | +0.16 |
| SD | 1.46 | 1.12 | 1.62 |
| CV | 1.18 | 1.04 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 38
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.89% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 7.89% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 34.21% |
| 1 | 2.63% | 28.95% | 5.26% | 2.63% | 2.63% | — | 42.11% |
| 2 | 7.89% | 2.63% | 5.26% | 5.26% | — | — | 21.05% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 2.63% | — | — | — | — | 2.63% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.42% | 42.11% | 13.16% | 15.79% | 7.89% | 2.63% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.95 | 1.61 | -0.66 |
| SD | 0.90 | 1.33 | 1.76 |
| CV | 0.95 | 0.83 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 38
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 95 | 76.33 | +18.67 |
| 2 | Everton | 61 | 50.91 | +10.09 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers | 58 | 50.15 | +7.85 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 77 | 70.87 | +6.13 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 83 | 77.22 | +5.78 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton | 32 | 43.71 | -11.71 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 44 | 53.64 | -9.64 |
| 3 | Portsmouth | 39 | 45.77 | -6.77 |
| 4 | Norwich City | 33 | 39.12 | -6.12 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 38.67 | -5.67 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton Wanderers | 5 | Jan 4 – Feb 5 | 1 in 629 |
| 2 | Tottenham | 5 | Nov 28 – Dec 26 | 1 in 378 |
| 3 | Birmingham City | 4 | Dec 12 – Dec 28 | 1 in 87 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 6 | Jan 15 – Feb 26 | 1 in 74 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | Dec 18 – Feb 2 | 1 in 55 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton Wanderers | 6 | Nov 27 – Dec 28 | 1 in 682 |
| 2 | Tottenham | 6 | Oct 18 – Nov 22 | 1 in 242 |
| 3 | Birmingham City | 4 | Jan 1 – Jan 22 | 1 in 102 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace | 5 | Aug 21 – Sep 18 | 1 in 54 |
| 5 | Newcastle United | 4 | Apr 2 – Apr 24 | 1 in 53 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 29 | Oct 23 – May 15 | 1 in 164 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 20 | Nov 7 – Apr 2 | 1 in 79 |
| 3 | Tottenham | 8 | Nov 28 – Jan 4 | 1 in 54 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 8 | Apr 2 – May 15 | 1 in 27 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers | 7 | Jan 1 – Feb 12 | 1 in 27 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolton Wanderers | 10 | Nov 7 – Jan 1 | 1 in 100 |
| 2 | Norwich City | 13 | Aug 14 – Nov 13 | 1 in 95 |
| 3 | Southampton | 10 | Aug 25 – Nov 6 | 1 in 56 |
| 4 | Charlton Athletic | 9 | Mar 19 – May 15 | 1 in 55 |
| 5 | West Brom | 15 | Oct 16 – Jan 16 | 1 in 32 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 39.64% | 34.39% | 18.11% | 5.35% | 1.51% | 0.49% | 0.24% | 0.14% | 0.08% | — | 0.04% | — | — | — | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arsenal | 44.77% | 32.48% | 15.97% | 4.39% | 1.49% | 0.45% | 0.28% | 0.12% | 0.02% | 0.01% | 0.02% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manchester United | 13.35% | 24.98% | 36.10% | 14.60% | 5.78% | 2.53% | 1.22% | 0.61% | 0.39% | 0.16% | 0.08% | 0.08% | 0.07% | 0.01% | 0.04% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton | 0.04% | 0.28% | 1.17% | 4.42% | 7.41% | 8.62% | 8.50% | 8.88% | 8.71% | 8.24% | 7.55% | 6.95% | 6.47% | 5.32% | 5.20% | 4.32% | 3.26% | 2.46% | 1.39% | 0.81% |
| Liverpool | 1.69% | 5.30% | 16.08% | 29.26% | 15.93% | 9.77% | 6.74% | 4.42% | 3.21% | 2.30% | 1.76% | 1.35% | 0.68% | 0.66% | 0.35% | 0.27% | 0.13% | 0.07% | 0.02% | 0.01% |
| Bolton Wanderers | 0.06% | 0.24% | 0.99% | 4.00% | 6.94% | 8.00% | 8.47% | 8.60% | 7.94% | 8.14% | 7.19% | 7.35% | 6.29% | 6.18% | 5.23% | 4.59% | 3.74% | 2.97% | 1.95% | 1.13% |
| Middlesbrough | 0.13% | 0.55% | 2.91% | 8.25% | 12.30% | 11.01% | 10.88% | 9.23% | 7.75% | 6.93% | 5.92% | 5.40% | 4.71% | 3.94% | 3.20% | 2.82% | 1.76% | 1.30% | 0.71% | 0.30% |
| Manchester City | 0.07% | 0.26% | 1.99% | 6.17% | 8.92% | 10.01% | 9.60% | 9.34% | 8.41% | 7.92% | 6.86% | 6.18% | 6.11% | 4.74% | 3.86% | 3.36% | 2.55% | 2.01% | 1.19% | 0.45% |
| Tottenham | 0.01% | 0.12% | 0.59% | 2.42% | 4.28% | 6.08% | 5.95% | 6.76% | 8.03% | 7.51% | 7.85% | 7.58% | 7.79% | 7.18% | 6.59% | 6.04% | 5.57% | 4.59% | 3.29% | 1.77% |
| Aston Villa | 0.04% | 0.46% | 1.56% | 5.19% | 8.06% | 8.98% | 9.42% | 9.21% | 7.71% | 7.69% | 7.70% | 7.18% | 5.87% | 5.42% | 4.66% | 3.79% | 3.15% | 2.08% | 1.37% | 0.46% |
| Charlton Athletic | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.47% | 1.93% | 3.53% | 4.70% | 5.57% | 6.07% | 6.64% | 7.45% | 7.15% | 7.69% | 7.21% | 7.66% | 7.71% | 7.27% | 6.80% | 5.28% | 4.43% | 2.27% |
| Birmingham City | — | 0.12% | 0.39% | 1.86% | 3.51% | 4.45% | 5.38% | 5.84% | 6.79% | 7.14% | 7.86% | 7.89% | 8.17% | 7.47% | 7.48% | 7.34% | 6.41% | 5.35% | 4.10% | 2.45% |
| Fulham | — | 0.04% | 0.32% | 1.42% | 2.90% | 3.93% | 4.90% | 5.58% | 5.94% | 6.65% | 7.15% | 7.25% | 7.59% | 8.58% | 8.51% | 7.41% | 7.44% | 6.84% | 4.80% | 2.75% |
| Newcastle United | 0.15% | 0.56% | 2.75% | 7.79% | 10.93% | 11.08% | 10.26% | 9.00% | 8.63% | 7.51% | 6.38% | 5.65% | 5.04% | 3.83% | 3.14% | 2.87% | 2.12% | 1.20% | 0.75% | 0.36% |
| Blackburn Rovers | — | 0.03% | 0.23% | 1.11% | 2.37% | 3.36% | 4.17% | 5.06% | 5.78% | 6.13% | 7.41% | 8.09% | 7.64% | 8.42% | 8.66% | 7.77% | 7.91% | 6.81% | 6.07% | 2.98% |
| Portsmouth | — | 0.06% | 0.19% | 1.08% | 2.23% | 3.22% | 4.18% | 5.15% | 6.01% | 6.32% | 7.15% | 6.87% | 7.69% | 8.34% | 8.30% | 8.57% | 8.34% | 7.30% | 5.84% | 3.16% |
| West Brom | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.04% | 0.10% | 0.18% | 0.27% | 0.62% | 0.72% | 1.15% | 1.49% | 2.09% | 3.05% | 3.88% | 6.26% | 8.45% | 13.01% | 20.59% | 38.09% |
| Crystal Palace | — | — | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.31% | 0.40% | 0.58% | 1.04% | 1.44% | 2.09% | 2.65% | 3.43% | 4.55% | 5.57% | 7.01% | 8.84% | 11.35% | 14.50% | 17.48% | 18.67% |
| Norwich City | — | — | 0.02% | 0.10% | 0.26% | 0.47% | 0.92% | 1.23% | 1.65% | 2.09% | 2.72% | 3.34% | 4.51% | 5.68% | 7.14% | 8.81% | 11.25% | 14.27% | 17.27% | 18.27% |
| Southampton | — | 0.01% | 0.15% | 0.57% | 1.30% | 2.35% | 2.56% | 3.45% | 4.25% | 5.00% | 5.41% | 6.23% | 7.52% | 7.95% | 9.03% | 9.67% | 9.77% | 9.96% | 8.75% | 6.07% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 10th * Longshot: 11th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.92 * Some Luck: 5.92 to 8.88 * Lucky: 8.88 to 11.84 * Wild Swing: 11.84 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.38 * Close: 2.38 to 3.57 * Off: 3.57 to 4.75 * Way Off: 4.75 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 20 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 20 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 20 * As Expected: 20 to 32 * Several Outliers: 32 to 44 * Many Outliers: 44 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 1.28 * A Surprise: 1.28 to 2.05 * Several Surprises: 2.05 to 2.81 * Many Surprises: 2.81 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 100% | — |
| Chelsea | 100% | — |
| Manchester United | 100% | — |
| Liverpool | 99.90% | 0.10% |
| Middlesbrough | 97.69% | 2.31% |
| Newcastle United | 97.69% | 2.31% |
| Manchester City | 96.35% | 3.65% |
| Aston Villa | 96.09% | 3.91% |
| Everton | 95.34% | 4.66% |
| Bolton Wanderers | 93.95% | 6.05% |
| Tottenham | 90.35% | 9.65% |
| Birmingham City | 88.10% | 11.90% |
| Charlton Athletic | 88.02% | 11.98% |
| Fulham | 85.61% | 14.39% |
| Blackburn Rovers | 84.14% | 15.86% |
| Portsmouth | 83.70% | 16.30% |
| Southampton | 75.22% | 24.78% |
| Norwich City | 50.19% | 49.81% |
| Crystal Palace | 49.35% | 50.65% |
| West Brom | 28.31% | 71.69% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-08-14 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1889 | 1886 | 45.06% | 29.72% | 25.22% | -0.8 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1889 | 25.22% | 29.72% | 45.06% | +0.8 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-1 | 1885 | 1892 | 43.75% | 29.95% | 26.30% | +14.2 | 3 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-4 | 1892 | 1885 | 26.30% | 29.95% | 43.75% | -14.2 | 0 |
| 2004-08-14 | Crystal Palace | D 1-1 | 1873 | 1831 | 50.02% | 28.50% | 21.47% | -1.2 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1831 | 1873 | 21.47% | 28.50% | 50.02% | +1.2 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1900 | 1911 | 43.10% | 30.06% | 26.84% | -0.7 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1911 | 1900 | 26.84% | 30.06% | 43.10% | +0.7 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1868 | 1982 | 28.94% | 30.38% | 40.68% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1982 | 1868 | 40.68% | 30.38% | 28.94% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1888 | 1954 | 35.44% | 30.71% | 33.85% | -0.0 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1954 | 1888 | 33.85% | 30.71% | 35.44% | +0.0 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | Southampton | W 2-0 | 1916 | 1901 | 46.63% | 29.38% | 23.98% | +10.8 | 3 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1901 | 1916 | 23.98% | 29.38% | 46.63% | -10.7 | 0 |
| 2004-08-14 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1908 | 1831 | 54.47% | 27.01% | 18.52% | -1.6 | 1 |
| 2004-08-14 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1831 | 1908 | 18.52% | 27.01% | 54.47% | +1.6 | 1 |
| 2004-08-15 | Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1873 | 2052 | 21.91% | 28.68% | 49.41% | -12.2 | 0 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ Everton | W 4-1 | 2052 | 1873 | 49.41% | 28.68% | 21.91% | +12.2 | 3 |
| 2004-08-15 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 2015 | 2009 | 45.42% | 29.64% | 24.93% | +5.9 | 3 |
| 2004-08-15 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 2009 | 2015 | 24.93% | 29.64% | 45.42% | -5.9 | 0 |
| 2004-08-21 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-2 | 1891 | 1907 | 42.43% | 30.16% | 27.41% | +5.7 | 3 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Southampton | L 2-3 | 1907 | 1891 | 27.41% | 30.16% | 42.43% | -5.7 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 1912 | 1900 | 46.28% | 29.46% | 24.26% | +10.8 | 4 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1900 | 1912 | 24.26% | 29.46% | 46.28% | -10.8 | 3 |
| 2004-08-21 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1887 | 2021 | 26.56% | 30.01% | 43.44% | -6.2 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 2021 | 1887 | 43.44% | 30.01% | 26.56% | +6.2 | 6 |
| 2004-08-21 | Everton | L 1-3 | 1833 | 1860 | 40.84% | 30.37% | 28.79% | -13.9 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Crystal Palace | W 3-1 | 1860 | 1833 | 28.79% | 30.37% | 40.84% | +13.8 | 3 |
| 2004-08-21 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1982 | 1899 | 55.18% | 26.74% | 18.09% | +4.1 | 4 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1899 | 1982 | 18.09% | 26.74% | 55.18% | -4.1 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | Norwich City | W 2-1 | 2003 | 1871 | 60.87% | 24.24% | 14.90% | +3.4 | 3 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1871 | 2003 | 14.90% | 24.24% | 60.87% | -3.4 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1878 | 1888 | 43.24% | 30.04% | 26.72% | +5.9 | 3 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 1-2 | 1888 | 1878 | 26.72% | 30.04% | 43.24% | -5.9 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1954 | 1869 | 55.50% | 26.61% | 17.89% | -10.7 | 1 |
| 2004-08-21 | @ Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1869 | 1954 | 17.89% | 26.61% | 55.50% | +10.7 | 4 |
| 2004-08-22 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1833 | 1927 | 31.53% | 30.62% | 37.85% | +0.2 | 2 |
| 2004-08-22 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1927 | 1833 | 37.85% | 30.62% | 31.53% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2004-08-22 | Middlesbrough | W 5-3 | 2064 | 1888 | 65.67% | 21.76% | 12.57% | +4.0 | 6 |
| 2004-08-22 | @ Arsenal | L 3-5 | 1888 | 2064 | 12.57% | 21.76% | 65.67% | -4.0 | 1 |
| 2004-08-24 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1819 | 2027 | 19.44% | 27.54% | 53.02% | -8.9 | 1 |
| 2004-08-24 | @ Crystal Palace | W 2-0 | 2027 | 1819 | 53.02% | 27.54% | 19.44% | +8.9 | 9 |
| 2004-08-24 | Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1881 | 1895 | 42.70% | 30.12% | 27.18% | +6.3 | 4 |
| 2004-08-24 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 1895 | 1881 | 27.18% | 30.12% | 42.70% | -6.3 | 1 |
| 2004-08-25 | Aston Villa | W 3-0 | 1884 | 1927 | 38.71% | 30.56% | 30.72% | +18.9 | 6 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-3 | 1927 | 1884 | 30.72% | 30.56% | 38.71% | -19.0 | 4 |
| 2004-08-25 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 2068 | 1901 | 64.72% | 22.27% | 13.01% | +8.3 | 9 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1901 | 2068 | 13.01% | 22.27% | 64.72% | -8.3 | 1 |
| 2004-08-25 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1896 | 1889 | 45.65% | 29.60% | 24.75% | -8.7 | 3 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ Southampton | W 2-1 | 1889 | 1896 | 24.75% | 29.60% | 45.65% | +8.7 | 6 |
| 2004-08-25 | Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1923 | 1884 | 49.68% | 28.60% | 21.72% | -18.6 | 4 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ Fulham | W 2-0 | 1884 | 1923 | 21.72% | 28.60% | 49.68% | +18.6 | 4 |
| 2004-08-25 | Norwich City | D 2-2 | 1944 | 1868 | 54.30% | 27.07% | 18.63% | -1.2 | 2 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1868 | 1944 | 18.63% | 27.07% | 54.30% | +1.2 | 2 |
| 2004-08-25 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1833 | 1879 | 38.27% | 30.59% | 31.14% | -0.3 | 3 |
| 2004-08-25 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1879 | 1833 | 31.14% | 30.59% | 38.27% | +0.3 | 5 |
| 2004-08-28 | Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1869 | 2077 | 19.50% | 27.57% | 52.93% | -10.9 | 2 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Norwich City | W 4-1 | 2077 | 1869 | 52.93% | 27.57% | 19.50% | +10.9 | 12 |
| 2004-08-28 | Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1880 | 1887 | 43.68% | 29.97% | 26.35% | +6.1 | 8 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1887 | 1880 | 26.35% | 29.97% | 43.68% | -6.2 | 4 |
| 2004-08-28 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-0 | 1889 | 1903 | 42.74% | 30.12% | 27.14% | +22.5 | 4 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Manchester City | L 0-4 | 1903 | 1889 | 27.14% | 30.12% | 42.74% | -22.5 | 6 |
| 2004-08-28 | Crystal Palace | W 2-1 | 1903 | 1810 | 56.36% | 26.26% | 17.38% | +4.0 | 7 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1810 | 1903 | 17.38% | 26.26% | 56.36% | -4.0 | 1 |
| 2004-08-28 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1893 | 2007 | 28.97% | 30.39% | 40.64% | +0.5 | 2 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 2007 | 1893 | 40.64% | 30.39% | 28.97% | -0.5 | 4 |
| 2004-08-28 | Newcastle United | W 4-2 | 1908 | 1942 | 39.89% | 30.46% | 29.64% | +9.8 | 7 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Aston Villa | L 2-4 | 1942 | 1908 | 29.64% | 30.46% | 39.89% | -9.9 | 2 |
| 2004-08-28 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 2036 | 1888 | 62.69% | 23.33% | 13.98% | +3.1 | 12 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Chelsea | L 1-2 | 1888 | 2036 | 13.98% | 23.33% | 62.69% | -3.1 | 3 |
| 2004-08-28 | West Brom | W 2-1 | 1874 | 1833 | 50.06% | 28.49% | 21.45% | +4.9 | 6 |
| 2004-08-28 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1833 | 1874 | 21.45% | 28.49% | 50.06% | -4.9 | 3 |
| 2004-08-29 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1897 | 1986 | 32.25% | 30.66% | 37.09% | +7.9 | 9 |
| 2004-08-29 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1986 | 1897 | 37.09% | 30.66% | 32.25% | -7.9 | 4 |
| 2004-08-30 | Everton | D 0-0 | 2006 | 1879 | 60.30% | 24.51% | 15.19% | -2.2 | 5 |
| 2004-08-30 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1879 | 2006 | 15.19% | 24.51% | 60.30% | +2.2 | 7 |
| 2004-08-30 | Fulham | W 4-3 | 1882 | 1904 | 41.69% | 30.26% | 28.05% | +5.6 | 4 |
| 2004-08-30 | @ Portsmouth | L 3-4 | 1904 | 1882 | 28.05% | 30.26% | 41.69% | -5.6 | 4 |
| 2004-09-11 | Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1898 | 2088 | 21.04% | 28.32% | 50.65% | -13.9 | 4 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Fulham | W 3-0 | 2088 | 1898 | 50.65% | 28.32% | 21.04% | +13.9 | 15 |
| 2004-09-11 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1907 | 1881 | 48.08% | 29.04% | 22.88% | +5.2 | 10 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1881 | 1907 | 22.88% | 29.04% | 48.08% | -5.2 | 4 |
| 2004-09-11 | Blackburn Rovers | W 3-0 | 1933 | 1893 | 49.78% | 28.57% | 21.64% | +14.3 | 5 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-3 | 1893 | 1933 | 21.64% | 28.57% | 49.78% | -14.3 | 2 |
| 2004-09-11 | Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1918 | 2039 | 28.04% | 30.26% | 41.70% | +0.6 | 8 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 2039 | 1918 | 41.70% | 30.26% | 28.04% | -0.6 | 13 |
| 2004-09-11 | Crystal Palace | W 3-1 | 1888 | 1806 | 55.07% | 26.78% | 18.15% | +7.2 | 7 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-3 | 1806 | 1888 | 18.15% | 26.78% | 55.07% | -7.2 | 1 |
| 2004-09-11 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1911 | 1881 | 48.55% | 28.91% | 22.54% | -9.7 | 4 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1881 | 1911 | 22.54% | 28.91% | 48.55% | +9.7 | 10 |
| 2004-09-11 | Manchester United | D 2-2 | 1905 | 2004 | 30.91% | 30.58% | 38.51% | +0.2 | 10 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 2004 | 1905 | 38.51% | 30.58% | 30.91% | -0.2 | 6 |
| 2004-09-11 | West Brom | W 3-0 | 1978 | 1828 | 62.87% | 23.24% | 13.89% | +9.0 | 7 |
| 2004-09-11 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1828 | 1978 | 13.89% | 23.24% | 62.87% | -9.0 | 3 |
| 2004-09-12 | Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1886 | 1858 | 48.29% | 28.98% | 22.72% | -1.2 | 9 |
| 2004-09-12 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1858 | 1886 | 22.72% | 28.98% | 48.29% | +1.2 | 3 |
| 2004-09-13 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 1880 | 1884 | 44.06% | 29.90% | 26.04% | -0.8 | 7 |
| 2004-09-13 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1884 | 1880 | 26.04% | 29.90% | 44.06% | +0.8 | 4 |
| 2004-09-18 | Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1859 | 1918 | 36.48% | 30.68% | 32.84% | -0.2 | 4 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1918 | 1859 | 32.84% | 30.68% | 36.48% | +0.2 | 9 |
| 2004-09-18 | Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 2102 | 1906 | 67.73% | 20.62% | 11.65% | -1.9 | 16 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Arsenal | D 2-2 | 1906 | 2102 | 11.65% | 20.62% | 67.73% | +1.9 | 11 |
| 2004-09-18 | Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1876 | 1879 | 44.14% | 29.89% | 25.97% | -0.8 | 5 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1879 | 1876 | 25.97% | 29.89% | 44.14% | +0.8 | 8 |
| 2004-09-18 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1819 | 1884 | 35.53% | 30.70% | 33.77% | -0.1 | 4 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1884 | 1819 | 33.77% | 30.70% | 35.53% | +0.1 | 5 |
| 2004-09-18 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1799 | 1901 | 30.39% | 30.54% | 39.08% | -6.5 | 1 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Crystal Palace | W 2-1 | 1901 | 1799 | 39.08% | 30.54% | 30.39% | +6.5 | 7 |
| 2004-09-18 | Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1879 | 1895 | 42.46% | 30.16% | 27.38% | +6.3 | 5 |
| 2004-09-18 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1895 | 1879 | 27.38% | 30.16% | 42.46% | -6.3 | 7 |
| 2004-09-19 | Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 1891 | 1912 | 41.83% | 30.24% | 27.93% | +6.4 | 13 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1912 | 1891 | 27.93% | 30.24% | 41.83% | -6.4 | 10 |
| 2004-09-19 | Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1885 | 1947 | 36.07% | 30.69% | 33.23% | -7.3 | 4 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Southampton | W 2-1 | 1947 | 1885 | 33.23% | 30.69% | 36.07% | +7.3 | 8 |
| 2004-09-19 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 2039 | 1885 | 63.28% | 23.03% | 13.69% | -2.5 | 14 |
| 2004-09-19 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1885 | 2039 | 13.69% | 23.03% | 63.28% | +2.5 | 10 |
| 2004-09-20 | Liverpool | W 2-1 | 2004 | 1987 | 46.85% | 29.34% | 23.82% | +5.3 | 9 |
| 2004-09-20 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1987 | 2004 | 23.82% | 29.34% | 46.85% | -5.3 | 7 |
| 2004-09-25 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1908 | 2100 | 20.82% | 28.22% | 50.96% | -5.0 | 7 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 2100 | 1908 | 50.96% | 28.22% | 20.82% | +5.0 | 19 |
| 2004-09-25 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1907 | 1875 | 48.93% | 28.81% | 22.25% | -1.1 | 12 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1875 | 1907 | 22.25% | 28.81% | 48.93% | +1.1 | 6 |
| 2004-09-25 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1905 | 2036 | 26.97% | 30.08% | 42.95% | -6.3 | 10 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 2036 | 1905 | 42.95% | 30.08% | 26.97% | +6.3 | 17 |
| 2004-09-25 | Crystal Palace | D 1-1 | 1918 | 1792 | 60.20% | 24.55% | 15.24% | -2.0 | 10 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1792 | 1918 | 15.24% | 24.55% | 60.20% | +2.0 | 2 |
| 2004-09-25 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1887 | 2009 | 27.99% | 30.25% | 41.76% | -6.5 | 10 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Tottenham | W 1-0 | 2009 | 1887 | 41.76% | 30.25% | 27.99% | +6.5 | 12 |
| 2004-09-25 | Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1982 | 1859 | 59.80% | 24.74% | 15.46% | +10.2 | 10 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Liverpool | L 0-3 | 1859 | 1982 | 15.46% | 24.74% | 59.80% | -10.2 | 4 |
| 2004-09-25 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1885 | 1878 | 45.53% | 29.62% | 24.84% | +5.9 | 8 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1878 | 1885 | 24.84% | 29.62% | 45.53% | -5.9 | 4 |
| 2004-09-25 | West Brom | W 3-1 | 1954 | 1819 | 61.22% | 24.06% | 14.72% | +5.7 | 11 |
| 2004-09-25 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1819 | 1954 | 14.72% | 24.06% | 61.22% | -5.8 | 4 |
| 2004-09-26 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1889 | 1898 | 43.46% | 30.00% | 26.54% | -8.9 | 7 |
| 2004-09-26 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1898 | 1889 | 26.54% | 30.00% | 43.46% | +8.9 | 16 |
| 2004-09-27 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1880 | 1885 | 43.92% | 29.93% | 26.15% | +6.1 | 11 |
| 2004-09-27 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1885 | 1880 | 26.15% | 29.93% | 43.92% | -6.1 | 5 |
| 2004-10-02 | Aston Villa | D 2-2 | 1879 | 1916 | 39.54% | 30.50% | 29.96% | -0.3 | 6 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1916 | 1879 | 29.96% | 30.50% | 39.54% | +0.3 | 11 |
| 2004-10-02 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1813 | 1906 | 31.67% | 30.63% | 37.71% | +7.5 | 7 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ West Brom | L 1-2 | 1906 | 1813 | 37.71% | 30.63% | 31.67% | -7.5 | 12 |
| 2004-10-02 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-0 | 2105 | 1886 | 69.99% | 19.32% | 10.69% | +8.5 | 22 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Arsenal | L 0-4 | 1886 | 2105 | 10.69% | 19.32% | 69.99% | -8.5 | 11 |
| 2004-10-02 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1872 | 1903 | 40.42% | 30.41% | 29.17% | -0.5 | 5 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Southampton | D 0-0 | 1903 | 1872 | 29.17% | 30.41% | 40.42% | +0.5 | 8 |
| 2004-10-02 | Portsmouth | D 2-2 | 1849 | 1880 | 40.43% | 30.41% | 29.16% | -0.3 | 5 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Norwich City | D 2-2 | 1880 | 1849 | 29.16% | 30.41% | 40.43% | +0.3 | 8 |
| 2004-10-02 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1906 | 1881 | 48.05% | 29.04% | 22.90% | -9.6 | 16 |
| 2004-10-02 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 1881 | 1906 | 22.90% | 29.04% | 48.05% | +9.6 | 13 |
| 2004-10-03 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 2042 | 1992 | 51.18% | 28.15% | 20.67% | +5.0 | 20 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1992 | 2042 | 20.67% | 28.15% | 51.18% | -5.0 | 10 |
| 2004-10-03 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 2016 | 1899 | 59.10% | 25.07% | 15.83% | -1.9 | 13 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1899 | 2016 | 15.83% | 25.07% | 59.10% | +1.9 | 11 |
| 2004-10-03 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1876 | 1960 | 32.89% | 30.68% | 36.42% | +0.1 | 7 |
| 2004-10-03 | @ Birmingham City | D 2-2 | 1960 | 1876 | 36.42% | 30.68% | 32.89% | -0.1 | 12 |
| 2004-10-04 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1794 | 1890 | 31.24% | 30.60% | 38.15% | +15.2 | 5 |
| 2004-10-04 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-2 | 1890 | 1794 | 38.15% | 30.60% | 31.24% | -15.2 | 8 |
| 2004-10-16 | Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 2113 | 1917 | 67.78% | 20.59% | 11.63% | +4.3 | 25 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1917 | 2113 | 11.63% | 20.59% | 67.78% | -4.3 | 11 |
| 2004-10-16 | Chelsea | W 1-0 | 1903 | 2047 | 25.48% | 29.78% | 44.75% | +9.1 | 11 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 2047 | 1903 | 44.75% | 29.78% | 25.48% | -9.1 | 20 |
| 2004-10-16 | Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1899 | 1809 | 55.93% | 26.44% | 17.63% | +4.3 | 15 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1809 | 1899 | 17.63% | 26.44% | 55.93% | -4.3 | 5 |
| 2004-10-16 | Liverpool | L 2-4 | 1875 | 1987 | 29.23% | 30.42% | 40.35% | -9.7 | 8 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Fulham | W 4-2 | 1987 | 1875 | 40.35% | 30.42% | 29.23% | +9.7 | 13 |
| 2004-10-16 | Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1876 | 2014 | 26.17% | 29.93% | 43.90% | +0.8 | 8 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 2014 | 1876 | 43.90% | 29.93% | 26.17% | -0.8 | 14 |
| 2004-10-16 | Middlesbrough | L 0-4 | 1879 | 1901 | 41.64% | 30.27% | 28.10% | -30.8 | 6 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 4-0 | 1901 | 1879 | 28.10% | 30.27% | 41.64% | +30.8 | 14 |
| 2004-10-16 | Norwich City | D 0-0 | 1821 | 1849 | 40.83% | 30.37% | 28.81% | -0.5 | 8 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1849 | 1821 | 28.81% | 30.37% | 40.83% | +0.5 | 6 |
| 2004-10-16 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 1897 | 1872 | 47.99% | 29.06% | 22.95% | +5.5 | 19 |
| 2004-10-16 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1872 | 1897 | 22.95% | 29.06% | 47.99% | -5.5 | 5 |
| 2004-10-17 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1878 | 1960 | 33.14% | 30.69% | 36.17% | +0.1 | 12 |
| 2004-10-17 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1960 | 1878 | 36.17% | 30.69% | 33.14% | -0.1 | 13 |
| 2004-10-18 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1880 | 1890 | 43.29% | 30.03% | 26.68% | +6.2 | 11 |
| 2004-10-18 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1890 | 1880 | 26.68% | 30.03% | 43.29% | -6.2 | 13 |
| 2004-10-23 | Blackburn Rovers | W 4-0 | 2038 | 1848 | 67.11% | 20.96% | 11.92% | +9.8 | 23 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1848 | 2038 | 11.92% | 20.96% | 67.11% | -9.8 | 6 |
| 2004-10-23 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1884 | 1903 | 42.07% | 30.21% | 27.72% | -8.2 | 13 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Tottenham | W 2-1 | 1903 | 1884 | 27.72% | 30.21% | 42.07% | +8.2 | 18 |
| 2004-10-23 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-0 | 1997 | 1878 | 59.40% | 24.93% | 15.67% | +7.1 | 16 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Liverpool | L 0-2 | 1878 | 1997 | 15.67% | 24.93% | 59.40% | -7.1 | 12 |
| 2004-10-23 | Everton | L 2-3 | 1849 | 1902 | 37.29% | 30.65% | 32.06% | -7.1 | 6 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Norwich City | W 3-2 | 1902 | 1849 | 32.06% | 30.65% | 37.29% | +7.1 | 22 |
| 2004-10-23 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1912 | 1865 | 50.75% | 28.29% | 20.97% | +9.6 | 14 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1865 | 1912 | 20.97% | 28.29% | 50.75% | -9.5 | 8 |
| 2004-10-23 | West Brom | W 3-0 | 1805 | 1820 | 42.60% | 30.14% | 27.26% | +17.3 | 8 |
| 2004-10-23 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-3 | 1820 | 1805 | 27.26% | 30.14% | 42.60% | -17.3 | 8 |
| 2004-10-24 | Arsenal | W 2-0 | 2013 | 2118 | 30.12% | 30.51% | 39.37% | +15.6 | 17 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 2118 | 2013 | 39.37% | 30.51% | 30.12% | -15.6 | 25 |
| 2004-10-24 | Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 1866 | 1877 | 43.19% | 30.05% | 26.77% | -0.8 | 6 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Southampton | D 0-0 | 1877 | 1866 | 26.77% | 30.05% | 43.19% | +0.8 | 9 |
| 2004-10-24 | Manchester City | W 4-3 | 1960 | 1912 | 50.79% | 28.27% | 20.94% | +4.4 | 16 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Newcastle United | L 3-4 | 1912 | 1960 | 20.94% | 28.27% | 50.79% | -4.4 | 11 |
| 2004-10-24 | Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1932 | 1886 | 50.56% | 28.34% | 21.10% | -1.3 | 15 |
| 2004-10-24 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1886 | 1932 | 21.10% | 28.34% | 50.56% | +1.3 | 12 |
| 2004-10-30 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1909 | 1922 | 42.96% | 30.08% | 26.95% | -0.7 | 23 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1922 | 1909 | 26.95% | 30.08% | 42.96% | +0.7 | 15 |
| 2004-10-30 | Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1803 | 2048 | 16.76% | 25.81% | 57.42% | -9.4 | 8 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ West Brom | W 4-1 | 2048 | 1803 | 57.42% | 25.81% | 16.76% | +9.4 | 26 |
| 2004-10-30 | Crystal Palace | L 0-1 | 1878 | 1823 | 51.77% | 27.96% | 20.27% | -10.2 | 9 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1823 | 1878 | 20.27% | 27.96% | 51.77% | +10.2 | 11 |
| 2004-10-30 | Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1838 | 2004 | 23.24% | 29.16% | 47.60% | +0.8 | 7 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 2004 | 1838 | 47.60% | 29.16% | 23.24% | -0.8 | 17 |
| 2004-10-30 | Manchester United | W 2-0 | 1888 | 2028 | 25.84% | 29.86% | 44.31% | +17.0 | 15 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Portsmouth | L 0-2 | 2028 | 1888 | 44.31% | 29.86% | 25.84% | -17.0 | 17 |
| 2004-10-30 | Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1871 | 1931 | 36.30% | 30.69% | 33.01% | -7.3 | 12 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1931 | 1871 | 33.01% | 30.69% | 36.30% | +7.3 | 18 |
| 2004-10-30 | Southampton | D 2-2 | 2102 | 1865 | 71.75% | 18.29% | 9.96% | -2.1 | 26 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Arsenal | D 2-2 | 1865 | 2102 | 9.96% | 18.29% | 71.75% | +2.1 | 7 |
| 2004-10-30 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1856 | 1876 | 41.93% | 30.23% | 27.84% | +12.1 | 11 |
| 2004-10-30 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1876 | 1856 | 27.84% | 30.23% | 41.93% | -12.1 | 13 |
| 2004-10-31 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1911 | 1964 | 37.32% | 30.65% | 32.04% | +6.7 | 21 |
| 2004-10-31 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1964 | 1911 | 32.04% | 30.65% | 37.32% | -6.7 | 16 |
| 2004-11-01 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1908 | 1842 | 53.11% | 27.51% | 19.38% | -1.5 | 12 |
| 2004-11-01 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1842 | 1908 | 19.38% | 27.51% | 53.11% | +1.5 | 7 |
| 2004-11-06 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1833 | 2100 | 15.36% | 24.66% | 59.97% | +2.0 | 12 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Crystal Palace | D 1-1 | 2100 | 1833 | 59.97% | 24.66% | 15.36% | -2.0 | 27 |
| 2004-11-06 | Birmingham City | L 0-1 | 2003 | 1867 | 61.28% | 24.03% | 14.69% | -11.6 | 17 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1867 | 2003 | 14.69% | 24.03% | 61.28% | +11.6 | 12 |
| 2004-11-06 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1844 | 1839 | 45.25% | 29.68% | 25.07% | -0.8 | 8 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1839 | 1844 | 25.07% | 29.68% | 45.25% | +0.8 | 8 |
| 2004-11-06 | Charlton Athletic | L 2-3 | 1864 | 1863 | 44.72% | 29.78% | 25.50% | -8.1 | 13 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Tottenham | W 3-2 | 1863 | 1864 | 25.50% | 29.78% | 44.72% | +8.1 | 15 |
| 2004-11-06 | Everton | W 1-0 | 2057 | 1909 | 62.70% | 23.32% | 13.98% | +3.3 | 29 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1909 | 2057 | 13.98% | 23.32% | 62.70% | -3.3 | 23 |
| 2004-11-06 | Portsmouth | W 3-0 | 1923 | 1905 | 47.01% | 29.30% | 23.69% | +15.4 | 18 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-3 | 1905 | 1923 | 23.69% | 29.30% | 47.01% | -15.5 | 15 |
| 2004-11-06 | West Brom | D 2-2 | 1867 | 1794 | 54.08% | 27.16% | 18.77% | -1.1 | 8 |
| 2004-11-06 | @ Southampton | D 2-2 | 1794 | 1867 | 18.77% | 27.16% | 54.08% | +1.1 | 9 |
| 2004-11-07 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1938 | 1918 | 47.30% | 29.23% | 23.47% | -1.0 | 19 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1918 | 1938 | 23.47% | 29.23% | 47.30% | +1.0 | 22 |
| 2004-11-07 | Fulham | L 1-4 | 1957 | 1868 | 55.94% | 26.43% | 17.63% | -24.9 | 16 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ Newcastle United | W 4-1 | 1868 | 1957 | 17.63% | 26.43% | 55.94% | +24.9 | 14 |
| 2004-11-07 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 2011 | 1907 | 57.76% | 25.67% | 16.57% | -2.0 | 18 |
| 2004-11-07 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1907 | 2011 | 16.57% | 25.67% | 57.76% | +2.0 | 13 |
| 2004-11-13 | Arsenal | L 4-5 | 1856 | 2098 | 16.95% | 25.95% | 57.10% | -3.5 | 13 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Tottenham | W 5-4 | 2098 | 1856 | 57.10% | 25.95% | 16.95% | +3.5 | 30 |
| 2004-11-13 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1919 | 1938 | 42.05% | 30.21% | 27.74% | -8.2 | 22 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1938 | 1919 | 27.74% | 30.21% | 42.05% | +8.2 | 21 |
| 2004-11-13 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1909 | 1840 | 53.45% | 27.39% | 19.17% | -1.5 | 14 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1840 | 1909 | 19.17% | 27.39% | 53.45% | +1.5 | 9 |
| 2004-11-13 | Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1893 | 2061 | 23.02% | 29.08% | 47.89% | -12.7 | 14 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Fulham | W 4-1 | 2061 | 1893 | 47.89% | 29.08% | 23.02% | +12.7 | 32 |
| 2004-11-13 | Crystal Palace | W 3-2 | 1992 | 1835 | 63.60% | 22.86% | 13.54% | +2.8 | 20 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Liverpool | L 2-3 | 1835 | 1992 | 13.54% | 22.86% | 63.60% | -2.9 | 12 |
| 2004-11-13 | Everton | L 0-1 | 1879 | 1906 | 41.02% | 30.34% | 28.63% | -8.5 | 12 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1906 | 1879 | 28.63% | 30.34% | 41.02% | +8.5 | 26 |
| 2004-11-13 | Norwich City | W 4-0 | 1871 | 1843 | 48.41% | 28.95% | 22.64% | +19.4 | 18 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-4 | 1843 | 1871 | 22.64% | 28.95% | 48.41% | -19.4 | 8 |
| 2004-11-13 | Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1866 | 1889 | 41.50% | 30.29% | 28.21% | +6.1 | 11 |
| 2004-11-13 | @ Southampton | L 1-2 | 1889 | 1866 | 28.21% | 30.29% | 41.50% | -6.1 | 15 |
| 2004-11-14 | Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1932 | 2009 | 33.88% | 30.71% | 35.41% | -12.1 | 16 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 2009 | 1932 | 35.41% | 30.71% | 33.88% | +12.1 | 21 |
| 2004-11-14 | Middlesbrough | L 1-2 | 1795 | 1937 | 25.66% | 29.82% | 44.52% | -5.7 | 9 |
| 2004-11-14 | @ West Brom | W 2-1 | 1937 | 1795 | 44.52% | 29.82% | 25.66% | +5.7 | 22 |
| 2004-11-20 | Bolton Wanderers | D 2-2 | 2073 | 1911 | 64.23% | 22.53% | 13.24% | -1.7 | 33 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Chelsea | D 2-2 | 1911 | 2073 | 13.24% | 22.53% | 64.23% | +1.7 | 23 |
| 2004-11-20 | Charlton Athletic | W 2-0 | 2021 | 1891 | 60.72% | 24.31% | 14.97% | +6.8 | 24 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1891 | 2021 | 14.97% | 24.31% | 60.72% | -6.8 | 18 |
| 2004-11-20 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 1914 | 1880 | 49.08% | 28.77% | 22.15% | +5.3 | 29 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1880 | 1914 | 22.15% | 28.77% | 49.08% | -5.3 | 14 |
| 2004-11-20 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1943 | 1994 | 37.48% | 30.64% | 31.88% | +13.4 | 25 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1994 | 1943 | 31.88% | 30.64% | 37.48% | -13.4 | 20 |
| 2004-11-20 | Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1883 | 1907 | 41.38% | 30.30% | 28.32% | -14.0 | 15 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Portsmouth | W 3-1 | 1907 | 1883 | 28.32% | 30.30% | 41.38% | +14.0 | 17 |
| 2004-11-20 | Newcastle United | L 0-2 | 1832 | 1920 | 32.28% | 30.66% | 37.06% | -13.5 | 12 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Crystal Palace | W 2-0 | 1920 | 1832 | 37.06% | 30.66% | 32.28% | +13.5 | 19 |
| 2004-11-20 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1823 | 1872 | 37.88% | 30.62% | 31.50% | +6.6 | 11 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1872 | 1823 | 31.50% | 30.62% | 37.88% | -6.6 | 11 |
| 2004-11-20 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 2101 | 1789 | 78.46% | 14.19% | 7.35% | -3.1 | 31 |
| 2004-11-20 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1789 | 2101 | 7.35% | 14.19% | 78.46% | +3.1 | 10 |
| 2004-11-21 | Birmingham City | D 3-3 | 1841 | 1870 | 40.68% | 30.38% | 28.93% | -0.3 | 10 |
| 2004-11-21 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 3-3 | 1870 | 1841 | 28.93% | 30.38% | 40.68% | +0.3 | 13 |
| 2004-11-22 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1946 | 1852 | 56.50% | 26.20% | 17.30% | +4.2 | 24 |
| 2004-11-22 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1852 | 1946 | 17.30% | 26.20% | 56.50% | -4.2 | 13 |
| 2004-11-27 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1921 | 1950 | 40.65% | 30.39% | 28.97% | +12.5 | 20 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1950 | 1921 | 28.97% | 30.39% | 40.65% | -12.5 | 24 |
| 2004-11-27 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-2 | 1875 | 1841 | 49.08% | 28.77% | 22.15% | -18.4 | 14 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Fulham | W 2-0 | 1841 | 1875 | 22.15% | 28.77% | 49.08% | +18.4 | 13 |
| 2004-11-27 | Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1884 | 2072 | 21.17% | 28.38% | 50.45% | -18.3 | 18 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 4-0 | 2072 | 1884 | 50.45% | 28.38% | 21.17% | +18.3 | 36 |
| 2004-11-27 | Crystal Palace | D 2-2 | 1866 | 1818 | 50.81% | 28.27% | 20.92% | -1.0 | 12 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Southampton | D 2-2 | 1818 | 1866 | 20.92% | 28.27% | 50.81% | +1.0 | 13 |
| 2004-11-27 | Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1792 | 2028 | 17.38% | 26.26% | 56.36% | -11.6 | 10 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ West Brom | W 3-0 | 2028 | 1792 | 56.36% | 26.26% | 17.38% | +11.5 | 27 |
| 2004-11-27 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1871 | 1830 | 49.97% | 28.52% | 21.51% | -1.2 | 14 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1830 | 1871 | 21.51% | 28.52% | 49.97% | +1.2 | 12 |
| 2004-11-27 | Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1912 | 1869 | 50.29% | 28.42% | 21.28% | -9.9 | 23 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1869 | 1912 | 21.28% | 28.42% | 50.29% | +9.9 | 18 |
| 2004-11-28 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1981 | 2098 | 28.54% | 30.33% | 41.13% | +8.0 | 23 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 2098 | 1981 | 41.13% | 30.33% | 28.54% | -8.0 | 31 |
| 2004-11-28 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1934 | 1919 | 46.57% | 29.40% | 24.03% | -1.0 | 20 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1919 | 1934 | 24.03% | 29.40% | 46.57% | +0.9 | 30 |
| 2004-11-28 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1848 | 1956 | 29.70% | 30.47% | 39.83% | +15.7 | 16 |
| 2004-11-28 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1956 | 1848 | 39.83% | 30.47% | 29.70% | -15.7 | 25 |
| 2004-12-04 | Birmingham City | W 3-0 | 2090 | 1870 | 70.21% | 19.19% | 10.60% | +6.5 | 34 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1870 | 2090 | 10.60% | 19.19% | 70.21% | -6.5 | 14 |
| 2004-12-04 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-2 | 1920 | 1902 | 47.01% | 29.30% | 23.69% | +5.0 | 33 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Everton | L 2-3 | 1902 | 1920 | 23.69% | 29.30% | 47.01% | -5.0 | 23 |
| 2004-12-04 | Fulham | L 0-1 | 1831 | 1857 | 41.20% | 30.32% | 28.48% | -8.5 | 12 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1857 | 1831 | 28.48% | 30.32% | 41.20% | +8.5 | 17 |
| 2004-12-04 | Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1938 | 1989 | 37.57% | 30.64% | 31.80% | -0.2 | 25 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1989 | 1938 | 31.80% | 30.64% | 37.57% | +0.2 | 24 |
| 2004-12-04 | Newcastle United | W 4-0 | 2090 | 1933 | 63.63% | 22.84% | 13.52% | +11.4 | 39 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1933 | 2090 | 13.52% | 22.84% | 63.63% | -11.4 | 20 |
| 2004-12-04 | Southampton | W 3-0 | 2040 | 1865 | 65.55% | 21.83% | 12.63% | +8.0 | 30 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Manchester United | L 0-3 | 1865 | 2040 | 12.63% | 21.83% | 65.55% | -8.0 | 12 |
| 2004-12-04 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1860 | 1864 | 44.10% | 29.89% | 26.00% | -9.0 | 13 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1864 | 1860 | 26.00% | 29.89% | 44.10% | +9.0 | 19 |
| 2004-12-04 | West Brom | W 3-2 | 1879 | 1781 | 57.03% | 25.98% | 16.99% | +3.7 | 21 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ Portsmouth | L 2-3 | 1781 | 1879 | 16.99% | 25.98% | 57.03% | -3.7 | 10 |
| 2004-12-05 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1819 | 1866 | 38.23% | 30.60% | 31.17% | -8.1 | 13 |
| 2004-12-05 | @ Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1866 | 1819 | 31.17% | 30.60% | 38.23% | +8.1 | 21 |
| 2004-12-06 | Manchester City | W 3-2 | 1940 | 1934 | 45.54% | 29.62% | 24.84% | +5.2 | 28 |
| 2004-12-06 | @ Middlesbrough | L 2-3 | 1934 | 1940 | 24.84% | 29.62% | 45.54% | -5.2 | 20 |
| 2004-12-11 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1811 | 1851 | 39.22% | 30.52% | 30.25% | -0.4 | 14 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Crystal Palace | D 0-0 | 1851 | 1811 | 30.25% | 30.52% | 39.22% | +0.4 | 14 |
| 2004-12-11 | Bolton Wanderers | W 3-2 | 1823 | 1897 | 34.20% | 30.71% | 35.09% | +6.8 | 15 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Norwich City | L 2-3 | 1897 | 1823 | 35.09% | 30.71% | 34.20% | -6.8 | 23 |
| 2004-12-11 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1777 | 1874 | 31.15% | 30.60% | 38.25% | -7.0 | 10 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ West Brom | W 1-0 | 1874 | 1777 | 38.25% | 30.60% | 31.15% | +7.0 | 24 |
| 2004-12-11 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1925 | 1989 | 35.74% | 30.70% | 33.55% | +7.4 | 36 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1989 | 1925 | 33.55% | 30.70% | 35.74% | -7.4 | 24 |
| 2004-12-11 | Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1857 | 1946 | 32.22% | 30.66% | 37.12% | +0.1 | 13 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Southampton | D 2-2 | 1946 | 1857 | 37.12% | 30.66% | 32.22% | -0.1 | 29 |
| 2004-12-11 | Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1921 | 1883 | 49.71% | 28.60% | 21.70% | -1.2 | 21 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1883 | 1921 | 21.70% | 28.60% | 49.71% | +1.2 | 22 |
| 2004-12-11 | Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1928 | 1873 | 51.86% | 27.93% | 20.21% | -10.2 | 20 |
| 2004-12-11 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1873 | 1928 | 20.21% | 27.93% | 51.86% | +10.2 | 22 |
| 2004-12-12 | Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1938 | 1863 | 54.17% | 27.12% | 18.71% | -9.9 | 25 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1863 | 1938 | 18.71% | 27.12% | 54.17% | +9.9 | 17 |
| 2004-12-12 | Chelsea | D 2-2 | 2097 | 2101 | 44.03% | 29.91% | 26.07% | -0.6 | 35 |
| 2004-12-12 | @ Arsenal | D 2-2 | 2101 | 2097 | 26.07% | 29.91% | 44.03% | +0.6 | 40 |
| 2004-12-13 | Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1865 | 2048 | 21.62% | 28.56% | 49.82% | +1.2 | 18 |
| 2004-12-13 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 2048 | 1865 | 49.82% | 28.56% | 21.62% | -1.2 | 31 |
| 2004-12-14 | Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1982 | 1884 | 56.95% | 26.01% | 17.04% | -1.8 | 25 |
| 2004-12-14 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1884 | 1982 | 17.04% | 26.01% | 56.95% | +1.8 | 23 |
| 2004-12-18 | Aston Villa | W 3-0 | 1945 | 1928 | 47.00% | 29.30% | 23.70% | +15.4 | 32 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-3 | 1928 | 1945 | 23.70% | 29.30% | 47.00% | -15.5 | 25 |
| 2004-12-18 | Crystal Palace | W 5-2 | 2047 | 1811 | 71.67% | 18.34% | 10.00% | +4.4 | 34 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Manchester United | L 2-5 | 1811 | 2047 | 10.00% | 18.34% | 71.67% | -4.4 | 14 |
| 2004-12-18 | Everton | D 0-0 | 1851 | 1933 | 33.21% | 30.69% | 36.10% | +0.1 | 15 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1933 | 1851 | 36.10% | 30.69% | 33.21% | -0.1 | 37 |
| 2004-12-18 | Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1891 | 1918 | 40.88% | 30.36% | 28.76% | -8.5 | 23 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1918 | 1891 | 28.76% | 30.36% | 40.88% | +8.5 | 23 |
| 2004-12-18 | Norwich City | W 4-0 | 2102 | 1830 | 75.05% | 16.30% | 8.66% | +6.5 | 43 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Chelsea | L 0-4 | 1830 | 2102 | 8.66% | 16.30% | 75.05% | -6.5 | 15 |
| 2004-12-18 | Southampton | W 5-1 | 1883 | 1857 | 48.07% | 29.04% | 22.89% | +16.3 | 25 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Tottenham | L 1-5 | 1857 | 1883 | 22.89% | 29.04% | 48.07% | -16.3 | 13 |
| 2004-12-18 | West Brom | W 4-0 | 1873 | 1770 | 57.56% | 25.75% | 16.69% | +14.5 | 20 |
| 2004-12-18 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-4 | 1770 | 1873 | 16.69% | 25.75% | 57.56% | -14.5 | 10 |
| 2004-12-19 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1886 | 2096 | 19.27% | 27.44% | 53.29% | -4.7 | 23 |
| 2004-12-19 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 2096 | 1886 | 53.29% | 27.44% | 19.27% | +4.7 | 38 |
| 2004-12-19 | Newcastle United | W 3-1 | 1980 | 1920 | 52.37% | 27.76% | 19.87% | +7.9 | 28 |
| 2004-12-19 | @ Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1920 | 1980 | 19.87% | 27.76% | 52.37% | -7.9 | 21 |
| 2004-12-20 | Fulham | W 2-1 | 1881 | 1866 | 46.58% | 29.40% | 24.03% | +5.4 | 27 |
| 2004-12-20 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 1-2 | 1866 | 1881 | 24.03% | 29.40% | 46.58% | -5.4 | 18 |
| 2004-12-26 | Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 2108 | 1912 | 67.75% | 20.61% | 11.65% | +2.7 | 46 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1912 | 2108 | 11.65% | 20.61% | 67.75% | -2.7 | 25 |
| 2004-12-26 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2051 | 1882 | 64.89% | 22.18% | 12.93% | +5.7 | 37 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1882 | 2051 | 12.93% | 22.18% | 64.89% | -5.7 | 23 |
| 2004-12-26 | Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1840 | 1886 | 38.34% | 30.59% | 31.07% | -0.3 | 14 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Southampton | D 0-0 | 1886 | 1840 | 31.07% | 30.59% | 38.34% | +0.3 | 28 |
| 2004-12-26 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 2101 | 1861 | 72.07% | 18.10% | 9.84% | +4.1 | 41 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1861 | 2101 | 9.84% | 18.10% | 72.07% | -4.1 | 18 |
| 2004-12-26 | Liverpool | L 0-5 | 1755 | 1988 | 17.63% | 26.43% | 55.94% | -18.9 | 10 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ West Brom | W 5-0 | 1988 | 1755 | 55.94% | 26.43% | 17.63% | +18.9 | 31 |
| 2004-12-26 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1933 | 1927 | 45.43% | 29.64% | 24.92% | +5.5 | 40 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1927 | 1933 | 24.92% | 29.64% | 45.43% | -5.6 | 23 |
| 2004-12-26 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1887 | 1961 | 34.38% | 30.71% | 34.91% | +14.3 | 23 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-2 | 1961 | 1887 | 34.91% | 30.71% | 34.38% | -14.3 | 32 |
| 2004-12-26 | Newcastle United | D 2-2 | 1851 | 1912 | 36.12% | 30.69% | 33.19% | -0.1 | 16 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 2-2 | 1912 | 1851 | 33.19% | 30.69% | 36.12% | +0.1 | 22 |
| 2004-12-26 | Portsmouth | L 0-1 | 1806 | 1881 | 34.20% | 30.71% | 35.09% | -7.5 | 14 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1881 | 1806 | 35.09% | 30.71% | 34.20% | +7.5 | 26 |
| 2004-12-26 | Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1823 | 1899 | 33.99% | 30.71% | 35.30% | -14.0 | 15 |
| 2004-12-26 | @ Norwich City | W 2-0 | 1899 | 1823 | 35.30% | 30.71% | 33.99% | +14.0 | 28 |
| 2004-12-28 | Birmingham City | L 2-3 | 1857 | 1902 | 38.45% | 30.58% | 30.97% | -7.3 | 18 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Fulham | W 3-2 | 1902 | 1857 | 30.97% | 30.58% | 38.45% | +7.3 | 26 |
| 2004-12-28 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1876 | 1851 | 48.00% | 29.06% | 22.94% | -9.6 | 23 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1851 | 1876 | 22.94% | 29.06% | 48.00% | +9.6 | 19 |
| 2004-12-28 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1889 | 2111 | 18.34% | 26.90% | 54.76% | -8.4 | 26 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 2111 | 1889 | 54.76% | 26.90% | 18.34% | +8.4 | 49 |
| 2004-12-28 | Crystal Palace | D 1-1 | 1913 | 1799 | 58.85% | 25.18% | 15.97% | -1.9 | 29 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1799 | 1913 | 15.97% | 25.18% | 58.85% | +1.9 | 15 |
| 2004-12-28 | Everton | W 2-0 | 1886 | 1938 | 37.50% | 30.64% | 31.86% | +13.4 | 31 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-2 | 1938 | 1886 | 31.86% | 30.64% | 37.50% | -13.4 | 40 |
| 2004-12-28 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1910 | 2057 | 25.13% | 29.69% | 45.17% | -5.9 | 25 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Aston Villa | W 1-0 | 2057 | 1910 | 45.17% | 29.69% | 25.13% | +5.9 | 40 |
| 2004-12-28 | Norwich City | W 2-0 | 1947 | 1809 | 61.49% | 23.93% | 14.58% | +6.6 | 35 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-2 | 1809 | 1947 | 14.58% | 23.93% | 61.49% | -6.6 | 15 |
| 2004-12-28 | Southampton | W 1-0 | 2007 | 1840 | 64.66% | 22.30% | 13.04% | +3.1 | 34 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1840 | 2007 | 13.04% | 22.30% | 64.66% | -3.1 | 14 |
| 2004-12-28 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1921 | 1737 | 66.54% | 21.28% | 12.18% | -2.4 | 24 |
| 2004-12-28 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1737 | 1921 | 12.18% | 21.28% | 66.54% | +2.4 | 11 |
| 2004-12-29 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1912 | 2105 | 20.75% | 28.19% | 51.05% | -5.0 | 22 |
| 2004-12-29 | @ Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 2105 | 1912 | 51.05% | 28.19% | 20.75% | +5.0 | 44 |
| 2005-01-01 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1900 | 2110 | 19.30% | 27.46% | 53.24% | -7.7 | 31 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 3-1 | 2110 | 1900 | 53.24% | 27.46% | 19.30% | +7.7 | 47 |
| 2005-01-01 | Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1907 | 1909 | 44.44% | 29.83% | 25.73% | +5.7 | 25 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1909 | 1907 | 25.73% | 29.83% | 44.44% | -5.7 | 26 |
| 2005-01-01 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1904 | 1861 | 50.26% | 28.43% | 21.30% | +5.1 | 28 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-1 | 1861 | 1904 | 21.30% | 28.43% | 50.26% | -5.1 | 19 |
| 2005-01-01 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 2010 | 2120 | 29.50% | 30.45% | 40.05% | -6.7 | 34 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 2120 | 2010 | 40.05% | 30.45% | 29.50% | +6.7 | 52 |
| 2005-01-01 | Crystal Palace | W 3-1 | 1850 | 1801 | 50.99% | 28.21% | 20.80% | +8.2 | 21 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Fulham | L 1-3 | 1801 | 1850 | 20.80% | 28.21% | 50.99% | -8.2 | 15 |
| 2005-01-01 | Everton | W 5-2 | 1911 | 1925 | 42.82% | 30.10% | 27.08% | +12.6 | 32 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Tottenham | L 2-5 | 1925 | 1911 | 27.08% | 30.10% | 42.82% | -12.6 | 40 |
| 2005-01-01 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1953 | 2063 | 29.52% | 30.45% | 40.02% | -12.7 | 35 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 2063 | 1953 | 40.02% | 30.45% | 29.52% | +12.7 | 43 |
| 2005-01-01 | Norwich City | D 1-1 | 1880 | 1802 | 54.56% | 26.98% | 18.47% | -1.6 | 27 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1802 | 1880 | 18.47% | 26.98% | 54.56% | +1.6 | 16 |
| 2005-01-01 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1919 | 1837 | 55.01% | 26.80% | 18.19% | +4.2 | 27 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1837 | 1919 | 18.19% | 26.80% | 55.01% | -4.2 | 14 |
| 2005-01-01 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1867 | 1739 | 60.39% | 24.46% | 15.14% | -2.0 | 24 |
| 2005-01-01 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1739 | 1867 | 15.14% | 24.46% | 60.39% | +2.0 | 12 |
| 2005-01-03 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1793 | 1909 | 28.69% | 30.35% | 40.96% | +16.0 | 18 |
| 2005-01-03 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-2 | 1909 | 1793 | 40.96% | 30.35% | 28.69% | -16.0 | 28 |
| 2005-01-03 | Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1855 | 1892 | 39.60% | 30.49% | 29.91% | +6.8 | 22 |
| 2005-01-03 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1892 | 1855 | 29.91% | 30.49% | 39.60% | -6.8 | 31 |
| 2005-01-03 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1804 | 2003 | 20.18% | 27.92% | 51.89% | -4.6 | 16 |
| 2005-01-03 | @ Norwich City | W 2-1 | 2003 | 1804 | 51.89% | 27.92% | 20.18% | +4.6 | 37 |
| 2005-01-03 | Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1741 | 1913 | 22.60% | 28.94% | 48.46% | +1.2 | 13 |
| 2005-01-03 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1913 | 1741 | 48.46% | 28.94% | 22.60% | -1.2 | 26 |
| 2005-01-04 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1903 | 1865 | 49.68% | 28.60% | 21.72% | -9.3 | 26 |
| 2005-01-04 | @ Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1865 | 1903 | 21.72% | 28.60% | 49.68% | +9.3 | 27 |
| 2005-01-04 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 2118 | 1923 | 67.60% | 20.69% | 11.71% | -2.5 | 48 |
| 2005-01-04 | @ Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1923 | 2118 | 11.71% | 20.69% | 67.60% | +2.5 | 28 |
| 2005-01-04 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 2126 | 1940 | 66.67% | 21.21% | 12.12% | +5.3 | 55 |
| 2005-01-04 | @ Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1940 | 2126 | 12.12% | 21.21% | 66.67% | -5.3 | 35 |
| 2005-01-04 | Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1912 | 1879 | 49.05% | 28.78% | 22.17% | +5.0 | 43 |
| 2005-01-04 | @ Everton | L 1-2 | 1879 | 1912 | 22.17% | 28.78% | 49.05% | -5.0 | 27 |
| 2005-01-04 | Tottenham | D 0-0 | 2075 | 1924 | 63.02% | 23.16% | 13.82% | -2.5 | 44 |
| 2005-01-04 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1924 | 2075 | 13.82% | 23.16% | 63.02% | +2.5 | 33 |
| 2005-01-05 | Fulham | D 3-3 | 1833 | 1858 | 41.26% | 30.32% | 28.43% | -0.3 | 15 |
| 2005-01-05 | @ Southampton | D 3-3 | 1858 | 1833 | 28.43% | 30.32% | 41.26% | +0.3 | 22 |
| 2005-01-15 | Arsenal | W 1-0 | 1874 | 2115 | 17.04% | 26.02% | 56.95% | +10.9 | 30 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 2115 | 1874 | 56.95% | 26.02% | 17.04% | -10.9 | 48 |
| 2005-01-15 | Birmingham City | W 3-1 | 1885 | 1894 | 43.49% | 30.00% | 26.51% | +10.1 | 34 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 1-3 | 1894 | 1885 | 26.51% | 30.00% | 43.49% | -10.1 | 26 |
| 2005-01-15 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1874 | 1862 | 46.15% | 29.49% | 24.36% | -9.3 | 27 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Portsmouth | W 1-0 | 1862 | 1874 | 24.36% | 29.49% | 46.15% | +9.3 | 25 |
| 2005-01-15 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1926 | 2132 | 19.69% | 27.67% | 52.64% | -9.0 | 33 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Tottenham | W 2-0 | 2132 | 1926 | 52.64% | 27.67% | 19.69% | +9.0 | 58 |
| 2005-01-15 | Crystal Palace | W 3-1 | 1925 | 1809 | 59.14% | 25.05% | 15.81% | +6.2 | 31 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Manchester City | L 1-3 | 1809 | 1925 | 15.81% | 25.05% | 59.14% | -6.2 | 18 |
| 2005-01-15 | Manchester United | L 0-1 | 2008 | 2073 | 35.58% | 30.70% | 33.71% | -7.7 | 37 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Liverpool | W 1-0 | 2073 | 2008 | 33.71% | 30.70% | 35.58% | +7.7 | 47 |
| 2005-01-15 | Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1893 | 1799 | 56.43% | 26.23% | 17.34% | +11.5 | 31 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-3 | 1799 | 1893 | 17.34% | 26.23% | 56.43% | -11.5 | 16 |
| 2005-01-15 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1912 | 1833 | 54.74% | 26.90% | 18.35% | +4.2 | 29 |
| 2005-01-15 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1833 | 1912 | 18.35% | 26.90% | 54.74% | -4.2 | 15 |
| 2005-01-16 | Everton | D 1-1 | 1935 | 1917 | 47.04% | 29.29% | 23.67% | -1.0 | 36 |
| 2005-01-16 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1917 | 1935 | 23.67% | 29.29% | 47.04% | +1.0 | 44 |
| 2005-01-16 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 1858 | 1742 | 59.03% | 25.10% | 15.87% | +3.8 | 25 |
| 2005-01-16 | @ Fulham | L 0-1 | 1742 | 1858 | 15.87% | 25.10% | 59.03% | -3.8 | 13 |
| 2005-01-22 | Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 2080 | 1904 | 65.67% | 21.76% | 12.57% | +4.8 | 50 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Manchester United | L 1-3 | 1904 | 2080 | 12.57% | 21.76% | 65.67% | -4.8 | 31 |
| 2005-01-22 | Charlton Athletic | L 0-1 | 1918 | 1896 | 47.63% | 29.15% | 23.22% | -9.5 | 44 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 1896 | 1918 | 23.22% | 29.15% | 47.63% | +9.5 | 37 |
| 2005-01-22 | Fulham | L 1-2 | 1884 | 1862 | 47.55% | 29.17% | 23.28% | -9.0 | 26 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Birmingham City | W 2-1 | 1862 | 1884 | 23.28% | 29.17% | 47.55% | +9.0 | 28 |
| 2005-01-22 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1828 | 2000 | 22.64% | 28.95% | 48.40% | +18.2 | 18 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Southampton | L 0-2 | 2000 | 1828 | 48.40% | 28.95% | 22.64% | -18.2 | 37 |
| 2005-01-22 | Manchester City | W 2-0 | 1738 | 1932 | 20.70% | 28.17% | 51.13% | +19.0 | 16 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ West Brom | L 0-2 | 1932 | 1738 | 51.13% | 28.17% | 20.70% | -19.0 | 31 |
| 2005-01-22 | Middlesbrough | D 4-4 | 1788 | 1934 | 25.21% | 29.71% | 45.08% | +0.5 | 17 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Norwich City | D 4-4 | 1934 | 1788 | 45.08% | 29.71% | 25.21% | -0.5 | 37 |
| 2005-01-22 | Portsmouth | W 3-0 | 2141 | 1864 | 75.39% | 16.09% | 8.52% | +4.9 | 61 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Chelsea | L 0-3 | 1864 | 2141 | 8.52% | 16.09% | 75.39% | -4.9 | 27 |
| 2005-01-22 | Tottenham | W 3-0 | 1802 | 1917 | 28.85% | 30.37% | 40.78% | +23.2 | 21 |
| 2005-01-22 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-3 | 1917 | 1802 | 40.78% | 30.37% | 28.85% | -23.2 | 33 |
| 2005-01-23 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 2104 | 1916 | 66.90% | 21.08% | 12.02% | +2.8 | 51 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1916 | 2104 | 12.02% | 21.08% | 66.90% | -2.8 | 29 |
| 2005-01-24 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1872 | 1885 | 42.82% | 30.10% | 27.08% | -8.8 | 25 |
| 2005-01-24 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1885 | 1872 | 27.08% | 30.10% | 42.82% | +8.8 | 33 |
| 2005-02-01 | Crystal Palace | D 2-2 | 1757 | 1826 | 35.14% | 30.71% | 34.15% | -0.0 | 17 |
| 2005-02-01 | @ West Brom | D 2-2 | 1826 | 1757 | 34.15% | 30.71% | 35.14% | +0.0 | 22 |
| 2005-02-01 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1905 | 1982 | 33.90% | 30.71% | 35.39% | -7.0 | 37 |
| 2005-02-01 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1982 | 1905 | 35.39% | 30.71% | 33.90% | +7.0 | 40 |
| 2005-02-01 | Manchester United | L 2-4 | 2107 | 2085 | 47.52% | 29.18% | 23.31% | -13.9 | 51 |
| 2005-02-01 | @ Arsenal | W 4-2 | 2085 | 2107 | 23.31% | 29.18% | 47.52% | +13.9 | 53 |
| 2005-02-01 | Middlesbrough | W 2-1 | 1859 | 1934 | 34.24% | 30.71% | 35.05% | +7.2 | 30 |
| 2005-02-01 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-2 | 1934 | 1859 | 35.05% | 30.71% | 34.24% | -7.2 | 37 |
| 2005-02-01 | Tottenham | W 3-1 | 1894 | 1894 | 44.62% | 29.80% | 25.58% | +9.8 | 36 |
| 2005-02-01 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-3 | 1894 | 1894 | 25.58% | 29.80% | 44.62% | -9.8 | 33 |
| 2005-02-02 | Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1871 | 1900 | 40.74% | 30.38% | 28.89% | -0.5 | 29 |
| 2005-02-02 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 1900 | 1871 | 28.89% | 30.38% | 40.74% | +0.5 | 32 |
| 2005-02-02 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1863 | 2145 | 14.47% | 23.83% | 61.70% | -3.5 | 25 |
| 2005-02-02 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 2145 | 1863 | 61.70% | 23.83% | 14.47% | +3.4 | 64 |
| 2005-02-02 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1913 | 1913 | 44.54% | 29.81% | 25.65% | -0.8 | 32 |
| 2005-02-02 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1913 | 1913 | 25.65% | 29.81% | 44.54% | +0.8 | 30 |
| 2005-02-02 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1909 | 1788 | 59.55% | 24.86% | 15.59% | +3.8 | 47 |
| 2005-02-02 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 1788 | 1909 | 15.59% | 24.86% | 59.55% | -3.8 | 17 |
| 2005-02-02 | Southampton | W 2-1 | 1875 | 1847 | 48.38% | 28.96% | 22.66% | +5.1 | 29 |
| 2005-02-02 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1847 | 1875 | 22.66% | 28.96% | 48.38% | -5.1 | 18 |
| 2005-02-05 | Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1900 | 2093 | 20.71% | 28.17% | 51.13% | -8.2 | 32 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 2093 | 1900 | 51.13% | 28.17% | 20.71% | +8.2 | 54 |
| 2005-02-05 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 2099 | 1880 | 70.04% | 19.29% | 10.67% | +4.5 | 56 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1880 | 2099 | 10.67% | 19.29% | 70.04% | -4.5 | 29 |
| 2005-02-05 | Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 1927 | 1859 | 53.28% | 27.45% | 19.27% | +4.7 | 40 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1859 | 1927 | 19.27% | 27.45% | 53.28% | -4.7 | 25 |
| 2005-02-05 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1826 | 1904 | 33.72% | 30.70% | 35.57% | -7.4 | 22 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1904 | 1826 | 35.57% | 30.70% | 33.72% | +7.4 | 39 |
| 2005-02-05 | Charlton Athletic | D 1-1 | 1914 | 1898 | 46.78% | 29.35% | 23.87% | -1.0 | 31 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1898 | 1914 | 23.87% | 29.35% | 46.78% | +1.0 | 38 |
| 2005-02-05 | Fulham | W 3-1 | 1989 | 1870 | 59.33% | 24.96% | 15.71% | +6.2 | 43 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Liverpool | L 1-3 | 1870 | 1989 | 15.71% | 24.96% | 59.33% | -6.2 | 29 |
| 2005-02-05 | Portsmouth | W 3-1 | 1884 | 1866 | 47.00% | 29.30% | 23.70% | +9.2 | 36 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Tottenham | L 1-3 | 1866 | 1884 | 23.70% | 29.30% | 47.00% | -9.2 | 30 |
| 2005-02-05 | West Brom | W 3-2 | 1785 | 1757 | 48.22% | 29.00% | 22.78% | +4.9 | 20 |
| 2005-02-05 | @ Norwich City | L 2-3 | 1757 | 1785 | 22.78% | 29.00% | 48.22% | -4.9 | 17 |
| 2005-02-06 | Everton | D 2-2 | 1842 | 1912 | 34.75% | 30.71% | 34.54% | -0.0 | 19 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ Southampton | D 2-2 | 1912 | 1842 | 34.54% | 30.71% | 34.75% | +0.0 | 48 |
| 2005-02-06 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 2149 | 1912 | 71.79% | 18.26% | 9.95% | -3.1 | 65 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 1912 | 2149 | 9.95% | 18.26% | 71.79% | +3.1 | 33 |
| 2005-02-12 | Aston Villa | L 1-2 | 1857 | 1892 | 39.91% | 30.46% | 29.63% | -7.9 | 30 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1892 | 1857 | 29.63% | 30.46% | 39.91% | +7.9 | 35 |
| 2005-02-12 | Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1912 | 2146 | 17.56% | 26.39% | 56.05% | -4.3 | 48 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 2146 | 1912 | 56.05% | 26.39% | 17.56% | +4.3 | 68 |
| 2005-02-12 | Liverpool | W 2-0 | 1876 | 1995 | 28.28% | 30.30% | 41.42% | +16.2 | 32 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-2 | 1995 | 1876 | 41.42% | 30.30% | 28.28% | -16.2 | 43 |
| 2005-02-12 | Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1911 | 1931 | 41.90% | 30.23% | 27.87% | -0.6 | 40 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 0-0 | 1931 | 1911 | 27.87% | 30.23% | 41.90% | +0.6 | 41 |
| 2005-02-12 | Norwich City | W 3-0 | 1855 | 1789 | 53.03% | 27.53% | 19.43% | +12.9 | 28 |
| 2005-02-12 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-3 | 1789 | 1855 | 19.43% | 27.53% | 53.03% | -12.9 | 20 |
| 2005-02-13 | Manchester United | L 0-2 | 1915 | 2104 | 21.08% | 28.34% | 50.59% | -9.6 | 33 |
| 2005-02-13 | @ Manchester City | W 2-0 | 2104 | 1915 | 50.59% | 28.34% | 21.08% | +9.6 | 59 |
| 2005-02-14 | Crystal Palace | W 5-1 | 2101 | 1818 | 75.98% | 15.73% | 8.30% | +5.2 | 57 |
| 2005-02-14 | @ Arsenal | L 1-5 | 1818 | 2101 | 8.30% | 15.73% | 75.98% | -5.2 | 22 |
| 2005-02-22 | Southampton | D 0-0 | 1753 | 1842 | 32.21% | 30.66% | 37.13% | +0.2 | 18 |
| 2005-02-22 | @ West Brom | D 0-0 | 1842 | 1753 | 37.13% | 30.66% | 32.21% | -0.2 | 20 |
| 2005-02-26 | Arsenal | D 1-1 | 1841 | 2106 | 15.49% | 24.78% | 59.73% | +2.0 | 21 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Southampton | D 1-1 | 2106 | 1841 | 59.73% | 24.78% | 15.49% | -2.0 | 58 |
| 2005-02-26 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1813 | 1892 | 33.64% | 30.70% | 35.66% | +14.5 | 25 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-2 | 1892 | 1813 | 35.66% | 30.70% | 33.64% | -14.5 | 32 |
| 2005-02-26 | Everton | L 1-3 | 1900 | 1908 | 43.51% | 29.99% | 26.50% | -14.5 | 35 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Aston Villa | W 3-1 | 1908 | 1900 | 26.50% | 29.99% | 43.51% | +14.5 | 51 |
| 2005-02-26 | Fulham | W 2-0 | 1893 | 1864 | 48.49% | 28.93% | 22.58% | +10.2 | 39 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Tottenham | L 0-2 | 1864 | 1893 | 22.58% | 28.93% | 48.49% | -10.2 | 29 |
| 2005-02-26 | Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 2113 | 1849 | 74.27% | 16.77% | 8.96% | +1.8 | 62 |
| 2005-02-26 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1849 | 2113 | 8.96% | 16.77% | 74.27% | -1.8 | 30 |
| 2005-02-27 | Bolton Wanderers | W 2-1 | 1913 | 1910 | 45.02% | 29.72% | 25.26% | +5.6 | 34 |
| 2005-02-27 | @ Newcastle United | L 1-2 | 1910 | 1913 | 25.26% | 29.72% | 45.02% | -5.6 | 40 |
| 2005-02-27 | Charlton Athletic | D 2-2 | 1932 | 1899 | 48.97% | 28.80% | 22.23% | -0.9 | 42 |
| 2005-02-27 | @ Middlesbrough | D 2-2 | 1899 | 1932 | 22.23% | 28.80% | 48.97% | +0.9 | 39 |
| 2005-02-28 | Manchester City | L 2-3 | 1777 | 1905 | 27.18% | 30.12% | 42.70% | -5.6 | 20 |
| 2005-02-28 | @ Norwich City | W 3-2 | 1905 | 1777 | 42.70% | 30.12% | 27.18% | +5.6 | 36 |
| 2005-03-05 | Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1854 | 1900 | 38.32% | 30.59% | 31.09% | -0.3 | 30 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Fulham | D 0-0 | 1900 | 1854 | 31.09% | 30.59% | 38.32% | +0.3 | 40 |
| 2005-03-05 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1771 | 2150 | 9.99% | 18.33% | 71.68% | -3.6 | 20 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Norwich City | W 3-1 | 2150 | 1771 | 71.68% | 18.33% | 9.99% | +3.6 | 71 |
| 2005-03-05 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1919 | 1979 | 36.29% | 30.69% | 33.02% | +7.3 | 37 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Newcastle United | L 0-1 | 1979 | 1919 | 33.02% | 30.69% | 36.29% | -7.3 | 43 |
| 2005-03-05 | Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1828 | 2115 | 14.21% | 23.56% | 62.23% | +2.4 | 26 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Crystal Palace | D 0-0 | 2115 | 1828 | 62.23% | 23.56% | 14.21% | -2.4 | 63 |
| 2005-03-05 | Middlesbrough | W 2-0 | 1885 | 1931 | 38.31% | 30.59% | 31.10% | +13.2 | 38 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Aston Villa | L 0-2 | 1931 | 1885 | 31.10% | 30.59% | 38.31% | -13.2 | 42 |
| 2005-03-05 | Portsmouth | W 3-0 | 2104 | 1848 | 73.63% | 17.16% | 9.21% | +5.4 | 61 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Arsenal | L 0-3 | 1848 | 2104 | 9.21% | 17.16% | 73.63% | -5.4 | 30 |
| 2005-03-05 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1843 | 1904 | 36.25% | 30.69% | 33.07% | +7.3 | 24 |
| 2005-03-05 | @ Southampton | L 0-1 | 1904 | 1843 | 33.07% | 30.69% | 36.25% | -7.3 | 39 |
| 2005-03-06 | Birmingham City | W 2-0 | 1753 | 1877 | 27.69% | 30.21% | 42.10% | +16.4 | 21 |
| 2005-03-06 | @ West Brom | L 0-2 | 1877 | 1753 | 42.10% | 30.21% | 27.69% | -16.4 | 32 |
| 2005-03-06 | Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1923 | 1868 | 51.77% | 27.96% | 20.27% | -10.2 | 51 |
| 2005-03-06 | @ Everton | W 1-0 | 1868 | 1923 | 20.27% | 27.96% | 51.77% | +10.2 | 31 |
| 2005-03-07 | Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1911 | 1905 | 45.46% | 29.64% | 24.90% | -9.2 | 36 |
| 2005-03-07 | @ Manchester City | W 1-0 | 1905 | 1911 | 24.90% | 29.64% | 45.46% | +9.2 | 43 |
| 2005-03-15 | West Brom | W 1-0 | 2154 | 1769 | 83.79% | 10.82% | 5.39% | +1.0 | 74 |
| 2005-03-15 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1769 | 2154 | 5.39% | 10.82% | 83.79% | -1.0 | 21 |
| 2005-03-16 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1972 | 1878 | 56.48% | 26.21% | 17.31% | -1.9 | 44 |
| 2005-03-16 | @ Liverpool | D 0-0 | 1878 | 1972 | 17.31% | 26.21% | 56.48% | +1.9 | 32 |
| 2005-03-16 | Tottenham | W 2-0 | 1900 | 1896 | 45.16% | 29.70% | 25.14% | +11.2 | 43 |
| 2005-03-16 | @ Charlton Athletic | L 0-2 | 1896 | 1900 | 25.14% | 29.70% | 45.16% | -11.2 | 39 |
| 2005-03-19 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1880 | 2110 | 17.79% | 26.54% | 55.66% | -4.3 | 32 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 1-0 | 2110 | 1880 | 55.66% | 26.54% | 17.79% | +4.3 | 64 |
| 2005-03-19 | Crystal Palace | W 4-1 | 2155 | 1830 | 79.44% | 13.58% | 6.99% | +3.2 | 77 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Chelsea | L 1-4 | 1830 | 2155 | 6.99% | 13.58% | 79.44% | -3.2 | 26 |
| 2005-03-19 | Fulham | W 1-0 | 2113 | 1854 | 73.83% | 17.04% | 9.13% | +2.0 | 66 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Manchester United | L 0-1 | 1854 | 2113 | 9.13% | 17.04% | 73.83% | -2.0 | 30 |
| 2005-03-19 | Manchester City | W 2-1 | 1885 | 1902 | 42.40% | 30.17% | 27.43% | +6.0 | 42 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Tottenham | L 1-2 | 1902 | 1885 | 27.43% | 30.17% | 42.40% | -6.0 | 36 |
| 2005-03-19 | Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 1842 | 1926 | 32.91% | 30.68% | 36.41% | +0.1 | 31 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1926 | 1842 | 36.41% | 30.68% | 32.91% | -0.1 | 38 |
| 2005-03-19 | Norwich City | W 1-0 | 1914 | 1767 | 62.50% | 23.43% | 14.07% | +3.3 | 46 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 0-1 | 1767 | 1914 | 14.07% | 23.43% | 62.50% | -3.3 | 20 |
| 2005-03-19 | West Brom | L 1-4 | 1911 | 1768 | 62.12% | 23.62% | 14.26% | -27.0 | 43 |
| 2005-03-19 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 4-1 | 1768 | 1911 | 14.26% | 23.62% | 62.12% | +27.0 | 24 |
| 2005-03-20 | Aston Villa | W 2-0 | 1861 | 1898 | 39.50% | 30.50% | 30.00% | +12.8 | 35 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ Birmingham City | L 0-2 | 1898 | 1861 | 30.00% | 30.50% | 39.50% | -12.8 | 38 |
| 2005-03-20 | Everton | W 2-1 | 1970 | 1912 | 52.04% | 27.87% | 20.08% | +4.6 | 47 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1912 | 1970 | 20.08% | 27.87% | 52.04% | -4.6 | 51 |
| 2005-03-20 | Southampton | L 1-3 | 1918 | 1851 | 53.29% | 27.44% | 19.27% | -17.0 | 42 |
| 2005-03-20 | @ Middlesbrough | W 3-1 | 1851 | 1918 | 19.27% | 27.44% | 53.29% | +17.0 | 27 |
| 2005-04-02 | Aston Villa | L 0-3 | 1926 | 1886 | 49.94% | 28.53% | 21.53% | -27.1 | 38 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Newcastle United | W 3-0 | 1886 | 1926 | 21.53% | 28.53% | 49.94% | +27.1 | 41 |
| 2005-04-02 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 2115 | 1875 | 71.99% | 18.14% | 9.87% | -3.1 | 67 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Manchester United | D 0-0 | 1875 | 2115 | 9.87% | 18.14% | 71.99% | +3.1 | 33 |
| 2005-04-02 | Bolton Wanderers | W 1-0 | 1974 | 1917 | 52.00% | 27.88% | 20.11% | +4.9 | 50 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Liverpool | L 0-1 | 1917 | 1974 | 20.11% | 27.88% | 52.00% | -4.9 | 46 |
| 2005-04-02 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1868 | 2158 | 14.05% | 23.40% | 62.55% | -5.4 | 27 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Southampton | W 3-1 | 2158 | 1868 | 62.55% | 23.40% | 14.05% | +5.4 | 80 |
| 2005-04-02 | Manchester City | D 2-2 | 1884 | 1896 | 43.11% | 30.06% | 26.83% | -0.5 | 44 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 2-2 | 1896 | 1884 | 26.83% | 30.06% | 43.11% | +0.5 | 37 |
| 2005-04-02 | Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1827 | 1901 | 34.27% | 30.71% | 35.02% | -7.5 | 26 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1901 | 1827 | 35.02% | 30.71% | 34.27% | +7.5 | 45 |
| 2005-04-02 | Norwich City | W 4-1 | 2114 | 1764 | 81.38% | 12.35% | 6.27% | +2.8 | 67 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Arsenal | L 1-4 | 1764 | 2114 | 6.27% | 12.35% | 81.38% | -2.8 | 20 |
| 2005-04-02 | Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1874 | 1891 | 42.27% | 30.18% | 27.55% | -0.6 | 36 |
| 2005-04-02 | @ Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1891 | 1874 | 27.55% | 30.18% | 42.27% | +0.6 | 43 |
| 2005-04-03 | Everton | W 1-0 | 1795 | 1908 | 29.11% | 30.40% | 40.48% | +8.4 | 27 |
| 2005-04-03 | @ West Brom | L 0-1 | 1908 | 1795 | 40.48% | 30.40% | 29.11% | -8.4 | 51 |
| 2005-04-03 | Portsmouth | W 3-1 | 1852 | 1842 | 45.91% | 29.54% | 24.55% | +9.5 | 33 |
| 2005-04-03 | @ Fulham | L 1-3 | 1842 | 1852 | 24.55% | 29.54% | 45.91% | -9.5 | 31 |
| 2005-04-09 | Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1908 | 2117 | 19.42% | 27.53% | 53.05% | -4.7 | 45 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Middlesbrough | W 1-0 | 2117 | 1908 | 53.05% | 27.53% | 19.42% | +4.7 | 70 |
| 2005-04-09 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 2163 | 1873 | 76.60% | 15.34% | 8.06% | -3.0 | 81 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1873 | 2163 | 8.06% | 15.34% | 76.60% | +3.0 | 37 |
| 2005-04-09 | Charlton Athletic | W 4-2 | 1833 | 1884 | 37.58% | 30.63% | 31.79% | +10.4 | 34 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Portsmouth | L 2-4 | 1884 | 1833 | 31.79% | 30.63% | 37.58% | -10.4 | 44 |
| 2005-04-09 | Fulham | W 3-1 | 1912 | 1861 | 51.29% | 28.12% | 20.59% | +8.1 | 49 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 1-3 | 1861 | 1912 | 20.59% | 28.12% | 51.29% | -8.1 | 33 |
| 2005-04-09 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1896 | 1979 | 33.04% | 30.69% | 36.27% | +7.8 | 40 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Manchester City | L 0-1 | 1979 | 1896 | 36.27% | 30.69% | 33.04% | -7.8 | 50 |
| 2005-04-09 | Manchester United | W 2-0 | 1761 | 2111 | 11.17% | 19.97% | 68.86% | +23.7 | 23 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Norwich City | L 0-2 | 2111 | 1761 | 68.86% | 19.97% | 11.17% | -23.7 | 67 |
| 2005-04-09 | Southampton | W 3-0 | 1878 | 1862 | 46.82% | 29.34% | 23.84% | +15.5 | 36 |
| 2005-04-09 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-3 | 1862 | 1878 | 23.84% | 29.34% | 46.82% | -15.5 | 27 |
| 2005-04-10 | Crystal Palace | W 4-0 | 1899 | 1819 | 54.85% | 26.86% | 18.29% | +15.9 | 54 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ Everton | L 0-4 | 1819 | 1899 | 18.29% | 26.86% | 54.85% | -15.9 | 26 |
| 2005-04-10 | Newcastle United | W 1-0 | 1892 | 1899 | 43.69% | 29.96% | 26.35% | +6.2 | 46 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ Tottenham | L 0-1 | 1899 | 1892 | 26.35% | 29.96% | 43.69% | -6.2 | 38 |
| 2005-04-10 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1913 | 1804 | 58.25% | 25.45% | 16.30% | -1.9 | 42 |
| 2005-04-10 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1804 | 1913 | 16.30% | 25.45% | 58.25% | +1.9 | 28 |
| 2005-04-16 | Aston Villa | L 2-3 | 1847 | 1911 | 35.71% | 30.70% | 33.59% | -6.9 | 27 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Southampton | W 3-2 | 1911 | 1847 | 33.59% | 30.70% | 35.71% | +6.9 | 45 |
| 2005-04-16 | Bolton Wanderers | L 1-2 | 1874 | 1921 | 38.14% | 30.60% | 31.25% | -7.6 | 44 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 2-1 | 1921 | 1874 | 31.25% | 30.60% | 38.14% | +7.6 | 52 |
| 2005-04-16 | Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1853 | 1904 | 37.60% | 30.63% | 31.76% | -0.2 | 34 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Fulham | D 1-1 | 1904 | 1853 | 31.76% | 30.63% | 37.60% | +0.2 | 41 |
| 2005-04-16 | Norwich City | D 3-3 | 1803 | 1785 | 47.11% | 29.27% | 23.61% | -0.6 | 27 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Crystal Palace | D 3-3 | 1785 | 1803 | 23.61% | 29.27% | 47.11% | +0.6 | 24 |
| 2005-04-16 | Portsmouth | D 0-0 | 1876 | 1843 | 48.97% | 28.80% | 22.23% | -1.3 | 38 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Birmingham City | D 0-0 | 1843 | 1876 | 22.23% | 28.80% | 48.97% | +1.3 | 35 |
| 2005-04-16 | Tottenham | D 2-2 | 1971 | 1898 | 54.03% | 27.17% | 18.80% | -1.1 | 51 |
| 2005-04-16 | @ Liverpool | D 2-2 | 1898 | 1971 | 18.80% | 27.17% | 54.03% | +1.1 | 47 |
| 2005-04-19 | Fulham | D 1-1 | 1904 | 1853 | 51.24% | 28.13% | 20.63% | -1.3 | 46 |
| 2005-04-19 | @ Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1853 | 1904 | 20.63% | 28.13% | 51.24% | +1.3 | 35 |
| 2005-04-19 | Southampton | D 1-1 | 1928 | 1840 | 55.85% | 26.47% | 17.68% | -1.7 | 53 |
| 2005-04-19 | @ Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1840 | 1928 | 17.68% | 26.47% | 55.85% | +1.7 | 28 |
| 2005-04-20 | Arsenal | D 0-0 | 2160 | 2122 | 49.70% | 28.60% | 21.70% | -1.3 | 82 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Chelsea | D 0-0 | 2122 | 2160 | 21.70% | 28.60% | 49.70% | +1.3 | 71 |
| 2005-04-20 | Birmingham City | W 3-0 | 1904 | 1875 | 48.52% | 28.92% | 22.56% | +14.8 | 44 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Manchester City | L 0-3 | 1875 | 1904 | 22.56% | 28.92% | 48.52% | -14.8 | 38 |
| 2005-04-20 | Charlton Athletic | D 0-0 | 1918 | 1866 | 51.35% | 28.10% | 20.55% | -1.5 | 46 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Aston Villa | D 0-0 | 1866 | 1918 | 20.55% | 28.10% | 51.35% | +1.5 | 45 |
| 2005-04-20 | Crystal Palace | W 1-0 | 1894 | 1803 | 56.17% | 26.34% | 17.49% | +4.2 | 39 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Blackburn Rovers | L 0-1 | 1803 | 1894 | 17.49% | 26.34% | 56.17% | -4.2 | 27 |
| 2005-04-20 | Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1844 | 1970 | 27.54% | 30.18% | 42.28% | -6.0 | 35 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Portsmouth | W 2-1 | 1970 | 1844 | 42.28% | 30.18% | 27.54% | +6.0 | 54 |
| 2005-04-20 | Manchester United | W 1-0 | 1915 | 2088 | 22.57% | 28.93% | 48.51% | +9.7 | 57 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Everton | L 0-1 | 2088 | 1915 | 48.51% | 28.93% | 22.57% | -9.7 | 67 |
| 2005-04-20 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 1785 | 1893 | 29.80% | 30.48% | 39.73% | +7.8 | 27 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Norwich City | L 1-2 | 1893 | 1785 | 39.73% | 30.48% | 29.80% | -7.8 | 38 |
| 2005-04-20 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 1899 | 1805 | 56.46% | 26.22% | 17.32% | -1.7 | 48 |
| 2005-04-20 | @ Tottenham | D 1-1 | 1805 | 1899 | 17.32% | 26.22% | 56.46% | +1.7 | 29 |
| 2005-04-23 | Birmingham City | D 1-1 | 1925 | 1860 | 53.00% | 27.55% | 19.46% | -1.5 | 58 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Everton | D 1-1 | 1860 | 1925 | 19.46% | 27.55% | 53.00% | +1.5 | 39 |
| 2005-04-23 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1916 | 1927 | 43.24% | 30.04% | 26.73% | -0.7 | 47 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Aston Villa | D 1-1 | 1927 | 1916 | 26.73% | 30.04% | 43.24% | +0.7 | 54 |
| 2005-04-23 | Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 1793 | 1867 | 34.27% | 30.71% | 35.02% | +7.6 | 30 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Norwich City | L 0-1 | 1867 | 1793 | 35.02% | 30.71% | 34.27% | -7.6 | 45 |
| 2005-04-23 | Fulham | W 3-1 | 2159 | 1854 | 77.82% | 14.58% | 7.59% | +2.5 | 85 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Chelsea | L 1-3 | 1854 | 2159 | 7.59% | 14.58% | 77.82% | -2.5 | 35 |
| 2005-04-23 | Liverpool | W 1-0 | 1799 | 1976 | 22.08% | 28.74% | 49.18% | +9.8 | 30 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Crystal Palace | L 0-1 | 1976 | 1799 | 49.18% | 28.74% | 22.08% | -9.8 | 54 |
| 2005-04-23 | Manchester City | D 0-0 | 1898 | 1919 | 41.81% | 30.25% | 27.94% | -0.6 | 40 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1919 | 1898 | 27.94% | 30.25% | 41.81% | +0.6 | 45 |
| 2005-04-23 | West Brom | W 4-0 | 1902 | 1807 | 56.64% | 26.14% | 17.21% | +14.9 | 49 |
| 2005-04-23 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-4 | 1807 | 1902 | 17.21% | 26.14% | 56.64% | -14.9 | 29 |
| 2005-04-24 | Newcastle United | W 2-1 | 2078 | 1885 | 67.44% | 20.78% | 11.78% | +2.6 | 70 |
| 2005-04-24 | @ Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1885 | 2078 | 11.78% | 20.78% | 67.44% | -2.5 | 38 |
| 2005-04-24 | Southampton | W 4-1 | 1838 | 1841 | 44.26% | 29.87% | 25.88% | +14.0 | 38 |
| 2005-04-24 | @ Portsmouth | L 1-4 | 1841 | 1838 | 25.88% | 29.87% | 44.26% | -14.0 | 28 |
| 2005-04-25 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 2123 | 1897 | 70.68% | 18.92% | 10.40% | +2.3 | 74 |
| 2005-04-25 | @ Arsenal | L 0-1 | 1897 | 2123 | 10.40% | 18.92% | 70.68% | -2.3 | 48 |
| 2005-04-26 | Blackburn Rovers | D 1-1 | 1792 | 1898 | 30.04% | 30.50% | 39.46% | +0.4 | 30 |
| 2005-04-26 | @ West Brom | D 1-1 | 1898 | 1792 | 39.46% | 30.50% | 30.04% | -0.4 | 41 |
| 2005-04-27 | Middlesbrough | D 0-0 | 1882 | 1917 | 39.85% | 30.47% | 29.68% | -0.5 | 39 |
| 2005-04-27 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1917 | 1882 | 29.68% | 30.47% | 39.85% | +0.5 | 50 |
| 2005-04-30 | Blackburn Rovers | W 2-1 | 1862 | 1897 | 39.74% | 30.48% | 29.78% | +6.4 | 42 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 1897 | 1862 | 29.78% | 30.48% | 39.74% | -6.4 | 41 |
| 2005-04-30 | Chelsea | L 0-2 | 1927 | 2161 | 17.50% | 26.35% | 56.15% | -8.0 | 54 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Bolton Wanderers | W 2-0 | 2161 | 1927 | 56.15% | 26.35% | 17.50% | +8.0 | 88 |
| 2005-04-30 | Crystal Palace | D 0-0 | 1882 | 1808 | 54.05% | 27.16% | 18.78% | -1.7 | 40 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Newcastle United | D 0-0 | 1808 | 1882 | 18.78% | 27.16% | 54.05% | +1.7 | 31 |
| 2005-04-30 | Everton | W 2-0 | 1852 | 1924 | 34.61% | 30.71% | 34.68% | +14.2 | 38 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Fulham | L 0-2 | 1924 | 1852 | 34.68% | 30.71% | 34.61% | -14.2 | 58 |
| 2005-04-30 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1966 | 1918 | 50.98% | 28.22% | 20.81% | -1.3 | 55 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Liverpool | D 1-1 | 1918 | 1966 | 20.81% | 28.22% | 50.98% | +1.3 | 51 |
| 2005-04-30 | Norwich City | W 4-3 | 1827 | 1801 | 48.14% | 29.02% | 22.83% | +4.8 | 31 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Southampton | L 3-4 | 1801 | 1827 | 22.83% | 29.02% | 48.14% | -4.8 | 30 |
| 2005-04-30 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 1920 | 1852 | 53.27% | 27.45% | 19.28% | +8.8 | 48 |
| 2005-04-30 | @ Manchester City | L 0-2 | 1852 | 1920 | 19.28% | 27.45% | 53.27% | -8.8 | 38 |
| 2005-05-01 | Aston Villa | W 5-1 | 1895 | 1915 | 41.87% | 30.24% | 27.89% | +19.2 | 51 |
| 2005-05-01 | @ Tottenham | L 1-5 | 1915 | 1895 | 27.89% | 30.24% | 41.87% | -19.2 | 47 |
| 2005-05-01 | Manchester United | L 0-4 | 1860 | 2081 | 18.47% | 26.98% | 54.55% | -16.0 | 45 |
| 2005-05-01 | @ Charlton Athletic | W 4-0 | 2081 | 1860 | 54.55% | 26.98% | 18.47% | +16.0 | 73 |
| 2005-05-02 | Arsenal | L 0-2 | 1793 | 2125 | 11.94% | 20.99% | 67.07% | -5.2 | 30 |
| 2005-05-02 | @ West Brom | W 2-0 | 2125 | 1793 | 67.07% | 20.99% | 11.94% | +5.2 | 77 |
| 2005-05-04 | Newcastle United | L 1-3 | 1866 | 1880 | 42.71% | 30.12% | 27.17% | -14.3 | 38 |
| 2005-05-04 | @ Fulham | W 3-1 | 1880 | 1866 | 27.17% | 30.12% | 42.71% | +14.3 | 43 |
| 2005-05-07 | Birmingham City | W 1-0 | 1796 | 1868 | 34.61% | 30.71% | 34.68% | +7.5 | 33 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Norwich City | L 0-1 | 1868 | 1796 | 34.68% | 30.71% | 34.61% | -7.5 | 42 |
| 2005-05-07 | Bolton Wanderers | D 1-1 | 1844 | 1919 | 34.08% | 30.71% | 35.22% | +0.0 | 39 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Portsmouth | D 1-1 | 1919 | 1844 | 35.22% | 30.71% | 34.08% | -0.0 | 55 |
| 2005-05-07 | Charlton Athletic | W 1-0 | 2169 | 1844 | 79.52% | 13.53% | 6.96% | +1.4 | 91 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Chelsea | L 0-1 | 1844 | 2169 | 6.96% | 13.53% | 79.52% | -1.4 | 45 |
| 2005-05-07 | Fulham | L 1-3 | 1891 | 1852 | 49.78% | 28.57% | 21.64% | -16.1 | 41 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Blackburn Rovers | W 3-1 | 1852 | 1891 | 21.64% | 28.57% | 49.78% | +16.1 | 41 |
| 2005-05-07 | Manchester City | L 1-2 | 1896 | 1929 | 40.23% | 30.43% | 29.34% | -7.9 | 47 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1929 | 1896 | 29.34% | 30.43% | 40.23% | +7.9 | 51 |
| 2005-05-07 | Newcastle United | W 2-0 | 1909 | 1894 | 46.62% | 29.39% | 23.99% | +10.8 | 61 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Everton | L 0-2 | 1894 | 1909 | 23.99% | 29.39% | 46.62% | -10.8 | 43 |
| 2005-05-07 | Southampton | D 2-2 | 1810 | 1832 | 41.64% | 30.27% | 28.10% | -0.4 | 32 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Crystal Palace | D 2-2 | 1832 | 1810 | 28.10% | 30.27% | 41.64% | +0.4 | 32 |
| 2005-05-07 | Tottenham | W 1-0 | 1919 | 1914 | 45.29% | 29.67% | 25.04% | +5.9 | 54 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Middlesbrough | L 0-1 | 1914 | 1919 | 25.04% | 29.67% | 45.29% | -5.9 | 51 |
| 2005-05-07 | West Brom | D 1-1 | 2097 | 1787 | 78.20% | 14.35% | 7.45% | -3.1 | 74 |
| 2005-05-07 | @ Manchester United | D 1-1 | 1787 | 2097 | 7.45% | 14.35% | 78.20% | +3.1 | 31 |
| 2005-05-08 | Liverpool | W 3-1 | 2130 | 1965 | 64.52% | 22.38% | 13.10% | +5.0 | 80 |
| 2005-05-08 | @ Arsenal | L 1-3 | 1965 | 2130 | 13.10% | 22.38% | 64.52% | -5.0 | 55 |
| 2005-05-10 | Chelsea | L 1-3 | 2094 | 2171 | 33.84% | 30.71% | 35.46% | -12.1 | 74 |
| 2005-05-10 | @ Manchester United | W 3-1 | 2171 | 2094 | 35.46% | 30.71% | 33.84% | +12.1 | 94 |
| 2005-05-11 | Everton | W 7-0 | 2136 | 1920 | 69.68% | 19.50% | 10.82% | +14.7 | 83 |
| 2005-05-11 | @ Arsenal | L 0-7 | 1920 | 2136 | 10.82% | 19.50% | 69.68% | -14.7 | 61 |
| 2005-05-15 | Arsenal | W 2-1 | 1860 | 2150 | 14.08% | 23.43% | 62.50% | +11.1 | 45 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Birmingham City | L 1-2 | 2150 | 1860 | 62.50% | 23.43% | 14.08% | -11.1 | 83 |
| 2005-05-15 | Aston Villa | W 2-1 | 1960 | 1888 | 53.83% | 27.25% | 18.92% | +4.3 | 58 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Liverpool | L 1-2 | 1888 | 1960 | 18.92% | 27.25% | 53.83% | -4.3 | 47 |
| 2005-05-15 | Blackburn Rovers | D 0-0 | 1908 | 1875 | 49.06% | 28.78% | 22.16% | -1.3 | 52 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Tottenham | D 0-0 | 1875 | 1908 | 22.16% | 28.78% | 49.06% | +1.3 | 42 |
| 2005-05-15 | Chelsea | D 1-1 | 1884 | 2183 | 13.58% | 22.90% | 63.52% | +2.2 | 44 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Newcastle United | D 1-1 | 2183 | 1884 | 63.52% | 22.90% | 13.58% | -2.2 | 95 |
| 2005-05-15 | Crystal Palace | D 2-2 | 1842 | 1810 | 48.96% | 28.81% | 22.24% | -0.9 | 46 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Charlton Athletic | D 2-2 | 1810 | 1842 | 22.24% | 28.81% | 48.96% | +0.9 | 33 |
| 2005-05-15 | Everton | W 3-2 | 1919 | 1905 | 46.48% | 29.42% | 24.10% | +5.1 | 58 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Bolton Wanderers | L 2-3 | 1905 | 1919 | 24.10% | 29.42% | 46.48% | -5.1 | 61 |
| 2005-05-15 | Manchester United | L 1-2 | 1833 | 2082 | 16.51% | 25.61% | 57.88% | -3.8 | 32 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Southampton | W 2-1 | 2082 | 1833 | 57.88% | 25.61% | 16.51% | +3.8 | 77 |
| 2005-05-15 | Middlesbrough | D 1-1 | 1936 | 1925 | 46.17% | 29.49% | 24.34% | -0.9 | 52 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Manchester City | D 1-1 | 1925 | 1936 | 24.34% | 29.49% | 46.17% | +0.9 | 55 |
| 2005-05-15 | Norwich City | W 6-0 | 1868 | 1804 | 52.89% | 27.58% | 19.53% | +24.8 | 44 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ Fulham | L 0-6 | 1804 | 1868 | 19.53% | 27.58% | 52.89% | -24.8 | 33 |
| 2005-05-15 | Portsmouth | W 2-0 | 1791 | 1844 | 37.27% | 30.65% | 32.08% | +13.5 | 34 |
| 2005-05-15 | @ West Brom | L 0-2 | 1844 | 1791 | 32.08% | 30.65% | 37.27% | -13.5 | 39 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2005-04-09 | 11.17% | @ Norwich City | 1761 | 2 | Manchester United | 2111 | 0 |
| 2 | 2005-05-15 | 14.08% | @ Birmingham City | 1860 | 2 | Arsenal | 2150 | 1 |
| 3 | 2005-03-19 | 14.26% | West Brom | 1768 | 4 | @ Charlton Athletic | 1911 | 1 |
| 4 | 2004-11-06 | 14.69% | Birmingham City | 1867 | 1 | @ Liverpool | 2003 | 0 |
| 5 | 2005-01-15 | 17.04% | @ Bolton Wanderers | 1874 | 1 | Arsenal | 2115 | 0 |
| 6 | 2004-11-07 | 17.63% | Fulham | 1868 | 4 | @ Newcastle United | 1957 | 1 |
| 7 | 2004-08-21 | 17.89% | Tottenham | 1869 | 1 | @ Newcastle United | 1954 | 0 |
| 8 | 2004-12-12 | 18.71% | Birmingham City | 1863 | 2 | @ Aston Villa | 1938 | 1 |
| 9 | 2005-03-20 | 19.27% | Southampton | 1851 | 3 | @ Middlesbrough | 1918 | 1 |
| 10 | 2004-12-11 | 20.21% | Tottenham | 1873 | 1 | @ Manchester City | 1928 | 0 |
| 11 | 2004-10-30 | 20.27% | Crystal Palace | 1823 | 1 | @ Birmingham City | 1878 | 0 |
| 12 | 2005-03-06 | 20.27% | Blackburn Rovers | 1868 | 1 | @ Everton | 1923 | 0 |
| 13 | 2005-01-22 | 20.70% | @ West Brom | 1738 | 2 | Manchester City | 1932 | 0 |
| 14 | 2004-11-27 | 21.28% | Portsmouth | 1869 | 1 | @ Bolton Wanderers | 1912 | 0 |
| 15 | 2005-04-02 | 21.53% | Aston Villa | 1886 | 3 | @ Newcastle United | 1926 | 0 |
| 16 | 2005-05-07 | 21.64% | Fulham | 1852 | 3 | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1891 | 1 |
| 17 | 2004-08-25 | 21.72% | Middlesbrough | 1884 | 2 | @ Fulham | 1923 | 0 |
| 18 | 2005-01-04 | 21.72% | Bolton Wanderers | 1865 | 2 | @ Birmingham City | 1903 | 1 |
| 19 | 2005-04-23 | 22.08% | @ Crystal Palace | 1799 | 1 | Liverpool | 1976 | 0 |
| 20 | 2004-11-27 | 22.15% | Blackburn Rovers | 1841 | 2 | @ Fulham | 1875 | 0 |
| 21 | 2004-09-11 | 22.54% | Everton | 1881 | 1 | @ Manchester City | 1911 | 0 |
| 22 | 2005-04-20 | 22.57% | @ Everton | 1915 | 1 | Manchester United | 2088 | 0 |
| 23 | 2005-01-22 | 22.64% | @ Southampton | 1828 | 2 | Liverpool | 2000 | 0 |
| 24 | 2004-10-02 | 22.90% | Tottenham | 1881 | 1 | @ Everton | 1906 | 0 |
| 25 | 2004-12-28 | 22.94% | Blackburn Rovers | 1851 | 1 | @ Bolton Wanderers | 1876 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2004-10-16 | 30.78 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 1901 | 28.10% | @ Blackburn Rovers | 0 | 1879 | 41.64% | 30.27% |
| 2 | 2005-04-02 | 27.08 | Aston Villa | 3 | 1886 | 21.53% | @ Newcastle United | 0 | 1926 | 49.94% | 28.53% |
| 3 | 2005-03-19 | 26.99 | West Brom | 4 | 1768 | 14.26% | @ Charlton Athletic | 1 | 1911 | 62.12% | 23.62% |
| 4 | 2004-11-07 | 24.94 | Fulham | 4 | 1868 | 17.63% | @ Newcastle United | 1 | 1957 | 55.94% | 26.43% |
| 5 | 2005-05-15 | 24.80 | @ Fulham | 6 | 1868 | 52.89% | Norwich City | 0 | 1804 | 19.53% | 27.58% |
| 6 | 2005-04-09 | 23.68 | @ Norwich City | 2 | 1761 | 11.17% | Manchester United | 0 | 2111 | 68.86% | 19.97% |
| 7 | 2005-01-22 | 23.20 | @ Crystal Palace | 3 | 1802 | 28.85% | Tottenham | 0 | 1917 | 40.78% | 30.37% |
| 8 | 2004-08-28 | 22.54 | @ Manchester City | 4 | 1889 | 42.74% | Charlton Athletic | 0 | 1903 | 27.14% | 30.12% |
| 9 | 2004-11-13 | 19.41 | @ Charlton Athletic | 4 | 1871 | 48.41% | Norwich City | 0 | 1843 | 22.64% | 28.95% |
| 10 | 2005-05-01 | 19.19 | @ Tottenham | 5 | 1895 | 41.87% | Aston Villa | 1 | 1915 | 27.89% | 30.24% |
| 11 | 2005-01-22 | 18.99 | @ West Brom | 2 | 1738 | 20.70% | Manchester City | 0 | 1932 | 51.13% | 28.17% |
| 12 | 2004-08-25 | 18.95 | @ Charlton Athletic | 3 | 1884 | 38.71% | Aston Villa | 0 | 1927 | 30.72% | 30.56% |
| 13 | 2004-12-26 | 18.87 | Liverpool | 5 | 1988 | 55.94% | @ West Brom | 0 | 1755 | 17.63% | 26.43% |
| 14 | 2004-08-25 | 18.57 | Middlesbrough | 2 | 1884 | 21.72% | @ Fulham | 0 | 1923 | 49.68% | 28.60% |
| 15 | 2004-11-27 | 18.40 | Blackburn Rovers | 2 | 1841 | 22.15% | @ Fulham | 0 | 1875 | 49.08% | 28.77% |
| 16 | 2004-11-27 | 18.28 | Chelsea | 4 | 2072 | 50.45% | @ Charlton Athletic | 0 | 1884 | 21.17% | 28.38% |
| 17 | 2005-01-22 | 18.20 | @ Southampton | 2 | 1828 | 22.64% | Liverpool | 0 | 2000 | 48.40% | 28.95% |
| 18 | 2004-10-23 | 17.32 | @ Crystal Palace | 3 | 1805 | 42.60% | West Brom | 0 | 1820 | 27.26% | 30.14% |
| 19 | 2004-10-30 | 17.01 | @ Portsmouth | 2 | 1888 | 25.84% | Manchester United | 0 | 2028 | 44.31% | 29.86% |
| 20 | 2005-03-20 | 16.99 | Southampton | 3 | 1851 | 19.27% | @ Middlesbrough | 1 | 1918 | 53.29% | 27.44% |
| 21 | 2005-03-06 | 16.36 | @ West Brom | 2 | 1753 | 27.69% | Birmingham City | 0 | 1877 | 42.10% | 30.21% |
| 22 | 2004-12-18 | 16.33 | @ Tottenham | 5 | 1883 | 48.07% | Southampton | 1 | 1857 | 22.89% | 29.04% |
| 23 | 2005-02-12 | 16.16 | @ Birmingham City | 2 | 1876 | 28.28% | Liverpool | 0 | 1995 | 41.42% | 30.30% |
| 24 | 2005-05-07 | 16.11 | Fulham | 3 | 1852 | 21.64% | @ Blackburn Rovers | 1 | 1891 | 49.78% | 28.57% |
| 25 | 2005-05-01 | 16.04 | Manchester United | 4 | 2081 | 54.55% | @ Charlton Athletic | 0 | 1860 | 18.47% | 26.98% |