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2003-04 Premier League Season

380 games

Final

Champion

Arsenal

90 points · 13th Title

Last Title: 2001-02

Relegated

Leicester City

33 pts

Leeds United · 33 pts

Wolverhampton · 33 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Arsenal

13.83 points above expected

90 points · 76.17 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Leicester City

10.23 points below expected

33 points · 43.23 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Arsenal Champion 38 26 12 0 90 73 26 +47 76.17 +13.83
2 Chelsea 38 24 7 7 79 67 30 +37 70.00 +9.00
3 Manchester United 38 23 6 9 75 64 35 +29 73.98 +1.02
4 Liverpool 38 16 12 10 60 55 37 +18 64.05 -4.05
5 Newcastle United 38 13 17 8 56 52 40 +12 59.16 -3.16
6 Aston Villa 38 15 11 12 56 48 44 +4 48.18 +7.82
7 Charlton Athletic 38 14 11 13 53 51 51 0 46.81 +6.19
8 Bolton Wanderers 38 14 11 13 53 48 56 -8 43.69 +9.31
9 Fulham 38 14 10 14 52 52 46 +6 48.40 +3.60
10 Birmingham City 38 12 14 12 50 43 48 -5 47.86 +2.14
11 Middlesbrough 38 13 9 16 48 44 52 -8 47.23 +0.77
12 Southampton 38 12 11 15 47 44 45 -1 49.89 -2.89
13 Portsmouth 38 12 9 17 45 47 54 -7 45.22 -0.22
14 Tottenham 38 13 6 19 45 47 57 -10 41.09 +3.91
15 Blackburn Rovers 38 12 8 18 44 51 59 -8 52.80 -8.80
16 Manchester City 38 9 14 15 41 55 54 +1 48.79 -7.79
17 Everton 38 9 12 17 39 45 57 -12 46.99 -7.99
18 Leicester City Relegated 38 6 15 17 33 48 65 -17 43.23 -10.23
19 Leeds United Relegated 38 8 9 21 33 40 79 -39 42.64 -9.64
20 Wolverhampton Relegated 38 7 12 19 33 38 77 -39 40.03 -7.03

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Arsenal 2113 90 76.17 +13.83 97.9% 47 64 71 76 81 88 102
Chelsea 2050 79 70.00 +9.00 89.4% 41 57 65 70 75 82 96
Manchester United 2043 75 73.98 +1.02 57.8% 43 61 69 74 79 86 99
Liverpool 1998 60 64.05 -4.05 32.0% 38 51 59 64 69 77 92
Newcastle United 1957 56 59.16 -3.16 36.7% 34 47 54 59 64 72 86
Aston Villa 1901 56 48.18 +7.82 86.2% 21 36 43 48 53 61 76
Fulham 1892 52 48.40 +3.60 71.3% 20 36 43 48 53 61 81
Blackburn Rovers 1888 44 52.80 -8.80 14.1% 22 40 48 53 58 66 82
Southampton 1876 47 49.89 -2.89 38.4% 23 38 45 50 55 62 76
Manchester City 1871 41 48.79 -7.79 16.7% 22 36 44 49 54 61 77
Charlton Athletic 1862 53 46.81 +6.19 81.0% 21 34 42 47 52 60 81
Middlesbrough 1857 48 47.23 +0.77 56.9% 21 35 42 47 52 60 77
Portsmouth 1856 45 45.22 -0.22 52.5% 21 33 40 45 50 58 72
Bolton Wanderers 1854 53 43.69 +9.31 90.1% 18 32 39 44 49 56 72
Birmingham City 1853 50 47.86 +2.14 63.9% 19 35 43 48 53 61 77
Everton 1828 39 46.99 -7.99 16.4% 22 34 42 47 52 60 72
Tottenham 1824 45 41.09 +3.91 72.5% 15 29 36 41 46 53 70
Leicester City 1808 33 43.23 -10.23 9.5% 13 31 38 43 48 55 74
Leeds United 1781 33 42.64 -9.64 10.6% 12 31 38 42 48 55 71
Wolverhampton 1772 33 40.03 -7.03 19.2% 15 28 35 40 45 52 67

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARS AV BC BR BW CA CHE EVE FUL LU LC LIV MC MU MID NU POR SOU TOT WOL
Arsenal —
2-0-0
4.13
1-1-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
4.37
1-1-0
4.18
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
4.01
1-1-0
4.16
2-0-0
4.39
1-1-0
4.36
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
4.03
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
3.99
1-1-0
3.70
0-2-0
4.20
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
4.55
2-0-0
4.52
Aston Villa
0-0-2
1.41
 —
0-2-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.51
0-2-0
3.01
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
1.64
0-1-1
2.87
2-0-0
2.58
1-1-0
3.10
2-0-0
2.75
0-1-1
1.87
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.61
1-0-1
2.78
0-2-0
2.14
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.13
2-0-0
3.13
Birmingham City
0-1-1
1.38
0-2-0
2.74
 —
0-1-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.79
0-2-0
1.68
1-0-1
2.72
0-2-0
2.75
2-0-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.86
0-0-2
1.89
1-1-0
2.67
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.02
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
2.51
1-0-1
3.06
0-2-0
3.25
Blackburn Rovers
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.94
 —
0-1-1
3.36
0-0-2
3.06
0-1-1
2.00
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
3.28
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
2.27
0-1-1
3.09
1-0-1
1.62
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.26
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
3.26
Bolton Wanderers
0-1-1
1.23
0-2-0
2.39
0-0-2
2.38
1-1-0
2.07
 —
1-1-0
2.49
1-0-1
1.43
2-0-0
2.66
0-0-2
2.49
2-0-0
2.92
0-2-0
2.85
0-1-1
1.85
0-0-2
2.56
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
1.88
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
2.29
2-0-0
2.76
1-1-0
3.00
Charlton Athletic
0-1-1
1.38
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
2.63
2-0-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.93
 —
1-0-1
1.61
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
3.22
0-2-0
2.96
2-0-0
1.74
0-1-1
2.64
0-0-2
1.49
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.06
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
2.78
Chelsea
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
3.86
0-2-0
3.83
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
4.11
1-0-1
3.90
 —
1-1-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
4.34
2-0-0
3.80
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.79
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
3.91
1-0-1
3.29
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.80
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
4.11
Everton
0-1-1
1.51
1-1-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.50
0-0-2
2.75
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
1.60
 —
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
1.97
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.37
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.11
2-0-0
2.79
0-2-0
2.48
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.12
Fulham
0-1-1
1.39
0-0-2
2.83
0-2-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.50
2-0-0
2.93
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.65
1-0-1
2.68
 —
1-0-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.04
0-2-0
2.58
1-1-0
1.46
1-0-1
2.67
0-0-2
2.24
1-1-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.65
2-0-0
2.95
0-1-1
3.21
Leeds United
0-0-2
1.22
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
2.54
2-0-0
2.16
0-0-2
2.52
1-1-0
2.20
0-1-1
1.25
0-1-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.20
 —
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
1.66
1-1-0
2.24
0-1-1
1.29
1-0-1
2.65
0-1-1
2.16
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
3.06
1-0-1
2.73
Leicester City
0-1-1
1.24
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.18
0-2-0
2.55
0-2-0
2.47
0-0-2
1.68
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
2.56
 —
0-1-1
1.71
1-1-0
2.25
0-0-2
1.36
0-2-0
2.62
0-1-1
1.89
2-0-0
2.48
0-2-0
2.52
0-1-1
2.72
0-1-1
2.77
Liverpool
0-0-2
2.09
1-1-0
3.59
2-0-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.17
1-1-0
3.61
0-0-2
3.73
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.41
1-1-0
3.82
1-1-0
3.77
 —
1-1-0
3.62
1-0-1
2.15
1-1-0
3.55
0-2-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.65
0-0-2
3.50
0-1-1
3.85
1-1-0
4.00
Manchester City
0-0-2
1.51
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.33
2-0-0
2.87
1-1-0
2.77
0-0-2
1.69
1-1-0
2.84
0-2-0
2.82
0-1-1
3.17
0-1-1
3.17
0-1-1
1.85
 —
1-0-1
1.42
0-0-2
2.74
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.62
0-2-0
3.24
0-1-1
3.35
Manchester United
0-2-0
2.53
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
3.89
2-0-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.04
0-1-1
2.77
2-0-0
4.19
0-1-1
4.08
1-1-0
4.30
2-0-0
4.21
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
4.13
 —
1-0-1
4.14
1-1-0
3.54
1-0-1
4.14
1-0-1
4.00
2-0-0
4.31
1-0-1
4.34
Middlesbrough
0-0-2
1.54
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
1.60
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.75
0-2-0
2.80
0-1-1
1.90
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
1.41
 —
0-0-2
2.09
0-1-1
2.88
2-0-0
2.48
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.26
Newcastle United
0-1-1
1.77
0-2-0
3.31
0-1-1
3.42
0-1-1
3.16
0-1-1
3.58
1-1-0
3.37
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
3.30
1-1-0
3.58
0-2-0
2.41
1-0-1
3.32
0-1-1
1.92
2-0-0
3.35
 —
1-1-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.65
0-2-0
3.81
Portsmouth
0-2-0
1.36
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.81
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
1.45
0-0-2
2.63
0-1-1
2.55
2-0-0
2.95
0-0-2
2.92
1-0-1
1.83
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
1.40
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
1.94
 —
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.86
0-2-0
2.96
Southampton
0-0-2
1.44
0-1-1
2.78
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.55
0-1-1
3.13
1-0-1
2.83
0-0-2
1.69
0-2-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.76
1-1-0
2.86
0-2-0
2.90
2-0-0
1.95
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
1.52
0-0-2
2.95
0-1-1
2.26
1-0-1
3.13
 —
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.26
Tottenham
0-1-1
1.09
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.12
0-0-2
2.65
1-0-1
2.24
0-0-2
1.41
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.47
2-0-0
2.34
1-1-0
2.70
1-1-0
1.64
0-2-0
2.20
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
2.51
1-0-1
1.81
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
2.21
 —
2-0-0
2.81
Wolverhampton
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
2.29
0-2-0
2.19
0-1-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.68
0-0-2
1.45
1-0-1
2.29
1-1-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.64
0-1-1
1.52
1-1-0
2.10
1-0-1
1.24
1-0-1
2.16
0-2-0
1.69
0-2-0
2.45
0-0-2
2.16
0-0-2
2.59
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.79 +15.2
Allowed 0.81 -9.9
Differential 0.88 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.79%8.16%5.79%2.50%1.71%0.53%29.47%
18.16%11.05%8.16%2.89%1.32%0.53%32.11%
25.79%8.16%5.00%2.24%0.79%0.39%22.37%
32.50%2.89%2.24%1.32%0.66%0.13%9.74%
41.71%1.32%0.79%0.66%0.26%—4.74%
5+0.53%0.53%0.39%0.13%——1.58%
Total29.47%32.11%22.37%9.74%4.74%1.58%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.71
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 380

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%—————10.53%
17.89%18.42%————26.32%
210.53%26.32%2.63%———39.47%
35.26%2.63%2.63%———10.53%
42.63%5.26%2.63%———10.53%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total39.47%52.63%7.89%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.92 0.68 +1.24
SD 1.22 0.62 1.24
CV 0.63 0.91 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%5.26%15.79%—2.63%—36.84%
15.26%10.53%5.26%—2.63%—23.68%
25.26%13.16%5.26%———23.68%
32.63%2.63%5.26%———10.53%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+2.63%—————2.63%
Total31.58%31.58%31.58%—5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.16 +0.11
SD 1.29 1.05 1.83
CV 1.02 0.91 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.42%5.26%—7.89%2.63%—34.21%
17.89%10.53%5.26%5.26%2.63%—31.58%
210.53%5.26%7.89%———23.68%
32.63%2.63%———2.63%7.89%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total39.47%26.32%13.16%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.26 -0.13
SD 1.07 1.39 1.73
CV 0.95 1.10 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.89%13.16%—2.63%—23.68%
115.79%10.53%10.53%2.63%——39.47%
22.63%5.26%10.53%7.89%——26.32%
3————2.63%—2.63%
42.63%——2.63%——5.26%
5+—2.63%————2.63%
Total21.05%26.32%34.21%13.16%5.26%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.55 -0.21
SD 1.19 1.13 1.60
CV 0.89 0.73 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%2.63%10.53%—5.26%—26.32%
17.89%10.53%7.89%5.26%——31.58%
210.53%13.16%10.53%——2.63%36.84%
3———————
4—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
5+———————
Total26.32%28.95%28.95%7.89%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.47 -0.21
SD 1.03 1.35 1.71
CV 0.82 0.92 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%7.89%2.63%——23.68%
113.16%13.16%10.53%2.63%——39.47%
22.63%7.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%—21.05%
3—2.63%5.26%2.63%——10.53%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total26.32%28.95%31.58%10.53%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.34 1.34 +0.00
SD 1.12 1.07 1.41
CV 0.84 0.80 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%2.63%————13.16%
126.32%5.26%10.53%———42.11%
25.26%10.53%2.63%2.63%2.63%—23.68%
32.63%—2.63%———5.26%
45.26%—2.63%———7.89%
5+5.26%—2.63%———7.89%
Total55.26%18.42%21.05%2.63%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 0.79 +0.97
SD 1.42 1.04 1.65
CV 0.81 1.32 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%10.53%2.63%7.89%——34.21%
15.26%10.53%13.16%——2.63%31.58%
25.26%2.63%5.26%2.63%2.63%—18.42%
3—5.26%2.63%2.63%2.63%—13.16%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total26.32%28.95%23.68%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.50 -0.32
SD 1.14 1.31 1.60
CV 0.96 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%5.26%—2.63%——23.68%
1—5.26%13.16%7.89%——26.32%
221.05%7.89%5.26%5.26%——39.47%
32.63%2.63%2.63%—2.63%—10.53%
4———————
5+———————
Total39.47%21.05%21.05%15.79%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.21 +0.16
SD 0.97 1.21 1.46
CV 0.71 1.00 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%10.53%10.53%2.63%5.26%2.63%36.84%
12.63%10.53%7.89%5.26%7.89%2.63%36.84%
2—7.89%5.26%———13.16%
3——7.89%2.63%——10.53%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total7.89%31.58%31.58%10.53%13.16%5.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.05 2.08 -1.03
SD 1.09 1.40 1.84
CV 1.03 0.67 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%7.89%—2.63%2.63%28.95%
12.63%15.79%10.53%5.26%2.63%—36.84%
25.26%—7.89%5.26%——18.42%
32.63%2.63%—2.63%2.63%—10.53%
42.63%———2.63%—5.26%
5+———————
Total23.68%23.68%26.32%13.16%10.53%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.71 -0.45
SD 1.16 1.39 1.72
CV 0.91 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%5.26%2.63%———23.68%
110.53%7.89%13.16%———31.58%
22.63%7.89%7.89%2.63%2.63%—23.68%
37.89%10.53%————18.42%
42.63%—————2.63%
5+———————
Total39.47%31.58%23.68%2.63%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 0.97 +0.47
SD 1.13 1.00 1.45
CV 0.78 1.03 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%10.53%—5.26%——26.32%
12.63%18.42%15.79%5.26%——42.11%
22.63%—5.26%—2.63%—10.53%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%——10.53%
4—5.26%————5.26%
5+—2.63%2.63%———5.26%
Total18.42%39.47%26.32%13.16%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.42 +0.03
SD 1.48 1.03 1.72
CV 1.02 0.72 —
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.26%15.79%————21.05%
110.53%10.53%—2.63%2.63%—26.32%
27.89%15.79%—2.63%——26.32%
37.89%2.63%5.26%———15.79%
45.26%2.63%—2.63%——10.53%
5+———————
Total36.84%47.37%5.26%7.89%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 0.92 +0.76
SD 1.28 1.00 1.60
CV 0.76 1.08 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%10.53%7.89%—2.63%—36.84%
110.53%2.63%7.89%2.63%2.63%2.63%28.95%
27.89%5.26%2.63%5.26%——21.05%
32.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%——10.53%
4———————
5+———2.63%——2.63%
Total36.84%21.05%21.05%13.16%5.26%2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.37 -0.21
SD 1.20 1.38 1.65
CV 1.03 1.01 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.16%13.16%———2.63%28.95%
17.89%23.68%2.63%———34.21%
2—5.26%5.26%2.63%——13.16%
35.26%7.89%2.63%2.63%——18.42%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+———————
Total28.95%50.00%13.16%5.26%—2.63%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.05 +0.32
SD 1.24 1.04 1.51
CV 0.91 0.99 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%5.26%10.53%13.16%——36.84%
17.89%15.79%10.53%2.63%——36.84%
22.63%7.89%————10.53%
3—2.63%——2.63%—5.26%
42.63%—2.63%———5.26%
5+—5.26%————5.26%
Total21.05%36.84%23.68%15.79%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.42 -0.18
SD 1.50 1.08 1.98
CV 1.21 0.76 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.79%15.79%7.89%—2.63%—42.11%
15.26%5.26%7.89%2.63%——21.05%
27.89%5.26%2.63%2.63%——18.42%
32.63%5.26%2.63%5.26%——15.79%
4—2.63%————2.63%
5+———————
Total31.58%34.21%21.05%10.53%2.63%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.16 1.18 -0.03
SD 1.22 1.09 1.52
CV 1.05 0.92 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.89%21.05%5.26%5.26%2.63%—42.11%
17.89%2.63%7.89%5.26%——23.68%
22.63%10.53%2.63%—2.63%—18.42%
32.63%—————2.63%
4—2.63%2.63%2.63%2.63%—10.53%
5+——2.63%———2.63%
Total21.05%36.84%21.05%13.16%7.89%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.50 -0.26
SD 1.44 1.20 1.69
CV 1.17 0.80 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 38

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.53%5.26%13.16%2.63%5.26%2.63%39.47%
15.26%13.16%2.63%2.63%5.26%2.63%31.58%
22.63%5.26%5.26%2.63%—5.26%21.05%
3—2.63%—2.63%——5.26%
4———2.63%——2.63%
5+———————
Total18.42%26.32%21.05%13.16%10.53%10.53%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.03 -1.03
SD 1.04 1.60 1.79
CV 1.04 0.79 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 38

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Arsenal 90 76.17 +13.83
2 Bolton Wanderers 53 43.69 +9.31
3 Chelsea 79 70.00 +9.00
4 Aston Villa 56 48.18 +7.82
5 Charlton Athletic 53 46.81 +6.19

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Leicester City 33 43.23 -10.23
2 Leeds United 33 42.64 -9.64
3 Blackburn Rovers 44 52.80 -8.80
4 Everton 39 46.99 -7.99
5 Manchester City 41 48.79 -7.79

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bolton Wanderers 5 Apr 12 – May 8 1 in 184
2 Blackburn Rovers 4 Apr 12 – May 1 1 in 99
3 Charlton Athletic 3 Sep 28 – Oct 20 1 in 84
4 Arsenal 9 Jan 10 – Mar 20 1 in 83
5 Tottenham 3 Jan 7 – Jan 17 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Blackburn Rovers 5 Sep 28 – Nov 2 1 in 507
2 Leeds United 6 Dec 28 – Feb 7 1 in 162
3 Everton 4 Apr 24 – May 15 1 in 77
4 Leicester City 5 Sep 20 – Oct 25 1 in 64
5 Liverpool 3 Sep 28 – Oct 18 1 in 43

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Arsenal 38 Aug 16 – May 15 1 in 2,112
2 Portsmouth 8 Mar 21 – May 4 1 in 137
3 Charlton Athletic 7 Sep 28 – Nov 22 1 in 78
4 Birmingham City 8 Jan 10 – Mar 6 1 in 65
5 Middlesbrough 8 Oct 26 – Dec 26 1 in 44

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Manchester City 14 Nov 9 – Feb 11 1 in 274
2 Leicester City 13 Dec 6 – Feb 28 1 in 114
3 Manchester United 4 Feb 11 – Mar 14 1 in 60
4 Arsenal 3 Apr 25 – May 4 1 in 30
5 Chelsea 4 Apr 10 – Apr 25 1 in 28

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314151617181920
Arsenal47.47%28.08%15.40%5.82%2.01%0.59%0.32%0.17%0.11%0.01%0.01%———0.01%—————
Chelsea16.25%23.82%28.46%16.44%7.99%3.12%1.61%1.07%0.51%0.37%0.13%0.14%0.04%0.02%0.01%0.01%0.01%———
Manchester United30.87%32.69%20.38%9.67%3.66%1.41%0.65%0.38%0.15%0.04%0.07%0.01%0.01%—0.01%—————
Liverpool4.00%9.96%18.63%26.45%16.45%9.13%4.97%3.66%1.91%1.63%1.09%0.69%0.48%0.42%0.24%0.12%0.10%0.04%0.03%—
Newcastle United1.13%3.35%8.61%17.22%20.59%13.87%10.11%7.02%5.04%3.59%2.81%1.75%1.54%1.08%0.81%0.61%0.42%0.29%0.13%0.03%
Aston Villa0.02%0.19%0.80%2.22%4.30%6.29%7.21%7.44%7.86%8.05%7.25%7.02%6.97%6.25%5.77%5.77%5.62%4.73%3.69%2.55%
Charlton Athletic—0.11%0.39%1.52%3.35%5.03%5.69%6.29%7.31%6.81%7.49%7.07%6.90%7.28%7.09%6.56%6.22%5.66%5.00%4.23%
Bolton Wanderers—0.03%0.17%0.62%1.20%2.64%3.22%3.78%4.48%5.06%5.80%6.54%7.07%7.27%8.06%8.29%8.40%8.94%9.56%8.87%
Fulham0.03%0.20%0.68%2.21%4.62%7.01%7.47%7.71%7.60%7.54%7.39%7.57%6.83%6.56%6.22%5.56%4.90%4.08%3.20%2.62%
Birmingham City0.01%0.16%0.59%1.81%3.92%6.01%6.54%7.43%7.27%7.53%7.20%7.44%7.06%6.56%6.61%5.98%5.90%4.78%4.02%3.18%
Middlesbrough—0.14%0.44%1.53%3.24%5.23%6.04%6.66%6.97%7.21%7.29%7.34%7.35%7.60%6.42%6.02%6.20%5.70%4.61%4.01%
Southampton0.11%0.36%1.16%2.98%6.01%7.86%8.90%8.61%8.31%7.53%7.75%7.04%6.25%5.74%5.18%4.53%3.94%3.52%2.90%1.32%
Portsmouth0.01%0.03%0.21%0.97%2.09%3.45%4.33%5.28%5.63%5.90%6.79%6.68%7.09%7.76%7.43%7.88%7.46%7.73%7.04%6.24%
Tottenham—0.03%0.03%0.29%0.75%0.97%1.75%2.42%3.22%3.62%4.36%4.53%5.89%6.59%7.41%8.43%10.02%10.54%13.52%15.63%
Blackburn Rovers0.08%0.60%2.67%5.49%9.36%11.21%11.11%9.40%8.48%8.03%6.45%5.51%4.63%4.10%3.61%2.92%2.21%1.83%1.47%0.84%
Manchester City0.02%0.16%0.76%2.53%4.86%6.88%7.71%7.83%7.95%7.42%7.45%7.98%6.69%5.84%6.06%5.85%4.63%3.82%3.34%2.22%
Everton—0.06%0.41%1.49%3.02%4.78%6.08%6.53%6.91%7.28%6.91%6.78%7.22%7.01%7.31%6.71%5.98%6.21%5.13%4.18%
Leicester City—0.01%0.11%0.29%1.29%2.02%2.65%3.49%4.37%5.02%5.71%5.81%6.32%7.24%7.95%8.52%8.96%9.63%10.16%10.45%
Leeds United—0.02%0.08%0.32%0.91%1.77%2.23%3.13%3.73%4.38%4.71%5.85%6.48%7.07%7.21%8.28%9.62%10.61%11.69%11.91%
Wolverhampton——0.02%0.13%0.38%0.73%1.41%1.70%2.19%2.98%3.34%4.25%5.18%5.61%6.59%7.96%9.41%11.89%14.51%21.72%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.32%
Clear Edge
43.95%28.42%27.63%
Elo Value
Home Edge
189 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
057.20500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Neutral
-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 10th * Longshot: 11th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.9
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
47%
Arsenal, 1st of 20
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.29/gm
Tight Race
00.170.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 6.03 * Some Luck: 6.03 to 9.05 * Lucky: 9.05 to 12.06 * Wild Swing: 12.06 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.6 * Close: 2.6 to 3.9 * Off: 3.9 to 5.2 * Way Off: 5.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 20 * As Expected: 20 to 32 * Several Outliers: 32 to 44 * Many Outliers: 44 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.78 * A Surprise: 1.78 to 2.85 * Several Surprises: 2.85 to 3.92 * Many Surprises: 3.92 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.98 points
Some Luck
07.5419
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.90
Close
03.258
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.50%
97.87%
Arsenal
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.50%
9.52%
Leicester City
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 20
Minimal Outliers
02.010
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 3
As Expected
01.83

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.15
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.64
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
60%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
88%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%62%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Occasional
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.87
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.33
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Probability calibration
0.28
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.05
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.048
Well Within Noise
00.0880.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Arsenal 100% —
Chelsea 100% —
Manchester United 100% —
Liverpool 99.93% 0.07%
Newcastle United 99.55% 0.45%
Blackburn Rovers 95.86% 4.14%
Southampton 92.26% 7.74%
Manchester City 90.62% 9.38%
Fulham 90.10% 9.90%
Aston Villa 89.03% 10.97%
Birmingham City 88.02% 11.98%
Middlesbrough 85.68% 14.32%
Charlton Athletic 85.11% 14.89%
Everton 84.48% 15.52%
Portsmouth 78.99% 21.01%
Bolton Wanderers 72.63% 27.37%
Leicester City 69.76% 30.24%
Leeds United 65.79% 34.21%
Tottenham 60.31% 39.69%
Wolverhampton 51.88% 48.12%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2003-08-16 Aston Villa W 2-1 1865 1853 44.76% 29.11% 26.13% +4.1 3
2003-08-16 @ Portsmouth L 1-2 1853 1865 26.13% 29.11% 44.76% -4.1 0
2003-08-16 Bolton Wanderers W 4-0 2031 1842 66.89% 19.90% 13.21% +7.5 3
2003-08-16 @ Manchester United L 0-4 1842 2031 13.21% 19.90% 66.89% -7.5 0
2003-08-16 Everton W 2-1 2016 1871 61.75% 22.68% 15.57% +2.4 3
2003-08-16 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1871 2016 15.57% 22.68% 61.75% -2.4 0
2003-08-16 Middlesbrough W 3-2 1846 1868 40.01% 29.88% 30.11% +4.3 3
2003-08-16 @ Fulham L 2-3 1868 1846 30.11% 29.88% 40.01% -4.3 0
2003-08-16 Southampton D 2-2 1848 1872 39.74% 29.91% 30.36% -0.2 1
2003-08-16 @ Leicester City D 2-2 1872 1848 30.36% 29.91% 39.74% +0.2 1
2003-08-16 Tottenham W 1-0 1854 1823 47.34% 28.49% 24.17% +4.0 3
2003-08-16 @ Birmingham City L 0-1 1823 1854 24.17% 28.49% 47.34% -4.0 0
2003-08-16 Wolverhampton W 5-1 1929 1884 49.25% 27.94% 22.81% +11.4 3
2003-08-16 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-5 1884 1929 22.81% 27.94% 49.25% -11.4 0
2003-08-17 Chelsea L 1-2 1970 1973 42.63% 29.52% 27.85% -5.8 0
2003-08-17 @ Liverpool W 2-1 1973 1970 27.85% 29.52% 42.63% +5.8 3
2003-08-17 Manchester City L 0-3 1835 1866 38.72% 30.00% 31.28% -15.8 0
2003-08-17 @ Charlton Athletic W 3-0 1866 1835 31.28% 30.00% 38.72% +15.8 3
2003-08-17 Newcastle United D 2-2 1901 1942 37.20% 30.10% 32.70% -0.1 1
2003-08-17 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1942 1901 32.70% 30.10% 37.20% +0.1 1
2003-08-23 Birmingham City D 0-0 1872 1858 44.88% 29.09% 26.03% -0.6 2
2003-08-23 @ Southampton D 0-0 1858 1872 26.03% 29.09% 44.88% +0.6 4
2003-08-23 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1834 1940 28.46% 29.63% 41.91% +0.3 1
2003-08-23 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1940 1834 41.91% 29.63% 28.46% -0.3 4
2003-08-23 Charlton Athletic L 0-4 1872 1819 50.22% 27.63% 22.15% -25.1 0
2003-08-23 @ Wolverhampton W 4-0 1819 1872 22.15% 27.63% 50.22% +25.1 3
2003-08-23 Fulham W 3-1 1868 1850 45.52% 28.94% 25.53% +6.9 3
2003-08-23 @ Everton L 1-3 1850 1868 25.53% 28.94% 45.52% -6.9 3
2003-08-23 Leeds United W 2-1 1819 1900 31.58% 30.03% 38.39% +5.4 3
2003-08-23 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1900 1819 38.39% 30.03% 31.58% -5.4 1
2003-08-23 Leicester City W 2-1 1979 1848 60.05% 23.54% 16.41% +2.6 6
2003-08-23 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1848 1979 16.41% 23.54% 60.05% -2.6 1
2003-08-23 Manchester United L 1-2 1942 2039 29.60% 29.81% 40.59% -4.5 1
2003-08-23 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 2039 1942 40.59% 29.81% 29.60% +4.5 6
2003-08-23 Portsmouth D 1-1 1881 1869 44.76% 29.11% 26.13% -0.5 4
2003-08-23 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1869 1881 26.13% 29.11% 44.76% +0.5 4
2003-08-24 Arsenal L 0-4 1863 2018 23.29% 28.15% 48.56% -13.9 0
2003-08-24 @ Middlesbrough W 4-0 2018 1863 48.56% 28.15% 23.29% +13.9 6
2003-08-24 Liverpool D 0-0 1849 1964 27.40% 29.42% 43.18% +0.5 1
2003-08-24 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1964 1849 43.18% 29.42% 27.40% -0.5 1
2003-08-25 Manchester City L 2-3 1940 1881 51.05% 27.35% 21.59% -6.4 4
2003-08-25 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-2 1881 1940 21.59% 27.35% 51.05% +6.3 7
2003-08-26 Bolton Wanderers W 4-0 1870 1835 47.85% 28.35% 23.80% +14.2 7
2003-08-26 @ Portsmouth L 0-4 1835 1870 23.80% 28.35% 47.85% -14.2 1
2003-08-26 Everton D 2-2 1844 1875 38.68% 30.00% 31.31% -0.2 4
2003-08-26 @ Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1875 1844 31.31% 30.00% 38.68% +0.2 4
2003-08-26 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1845 1849 42.46% 29.54% 28.00% -0.5 2
2003-08-26 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1849 1845 28.00% 29.54% 42.46% +0.5 1
2003-08-26 Southampton D 0-0 1895 1871 46.34% 28.75% 24.91% -0.7 2
2003-08-26 @ Leeds United D 0-0 1871 1895 24.91% 28.75% 46.34% +0.7 3
2003-08-27 Aston Villa W 2-0 2032 1849 66.14% 20.32% 13.54% +4.1 9
2003-08-27 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1849 2032 13.54% 20.32% 66.14% -4.0 1
2003-08-27 Tottenham D 0-0 1963 1824 61.03% 23.05% 15.92% -1.6 2
2003-08-27 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1824 1963 15.92% 23.05% 61.03% +1.6 4
2003-08-27 Wolverhampton W 1-0 2043 1847 67.63% 19.48% 12.89% +2.0 9
2003-08-27 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1847 2043 12.89% 19.48% 67.63% -2.0 0
2003-08-30 Birmingham City L 0-1 1938 1859 53.54% 26.44% 20.02% -7.4 1
2003-08-30 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1859 1938 20.02% 26.44% 53.54% +7.4 7
2003-08-30 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1981 1934 49.47% 27.87% 22.66% -0.6 7
2003-08-30 @ Chelsea D 2-2 1934 1981 22.66% 27.87% 49.47% +0.6 5
2003-08-30 Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1820 1844 39.70% 29.91% 30.39% -0.3 2
2003-08-30 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1844 1820 30.39% 29.91% 39.70% +0.3 5
2003-08-30 Fulham L 0-3 1826 1843 40.60% 29.81% 29.59% -16.4 4
2003-08-30 @ Tottenham W 3-0 1843 1826 29.59% 29.81% 40.60% +16.4 6
2003-08-30 Leeds United L 2-3 1850 1894 36.75% 30.12% 33.13% -5.0 1
2003-08-30 @ Middlesbrough W 3-2 1894 1850 33.13% 30.12% 36.75% +5.0 5
2003-08-30 Leicester City W 3-1 1845 1845 43.08% 29.44% 27.49% +7.3 4
2003-08-30 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1845 1845 27.49% 29.44% 43.08% -7.3 2
2003-08-30 Liverpool L 0-3 1875 1962 30.92% 29.97% 39.11% -13.5 4
2003-08-30 @ Everton W 3-0 1962 1875 39.11% 29.97% 30.92% +13.5 5
2003-08-30 Portsmouth D 0-0 1845 1884 37.56% 30.08% 32.36% -0.2 1
2003-08-30 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1884 1845 32.36% 30.08% 37.56% +0.2 8
2003-08-31 Arsenal L 1-2 1887 2036 23.86% 28.38% 47.76% -3.8 7
2003-08-31 @ Manchester City W 2-1 2036 1887 47.76% 28.38% 23.86% +3.8 12
2003-08-31 Manchester United W 1-0 1872 2045 21.60% 27.36% 51.04% +7.1 6
2003-08-31 @ Southampton L 0-1 2045 1872 51.04% 27.36% 21.60% -7.1 9
2003-09-13 Liverpool L 1-3 1934 1975 37.28% 30.10% 32.63% -9.2 5
2003-09-13 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1975 1934 32.63% 30.10% 37.28% +9.2 8
2003-09-13 Manchester United L 0-2 1844 2038 19.94% 26.39% 53.67% -6.3 5
2003-09-13 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-0 2038 1844 53.67% 26.39% 19.94% +6.3 12
2003-09-13 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1820 1845 39.54% 29.93% 30.53% +9.2 5
2003-09-13 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1845 1820 30.53% 29.93% 39.54% -9.2 1
2003-09-13 Newcastle United D 2-2 1862 1930 33.36% 30.13% 36.51% +0.1 5
2003-09-13 @ Everton D 2-2 1930 1862 36.51% 30.13% 33.36% -0.1 2
2003-09-13 Portsmouth D 1-1 2040 1884 63.03% 22.01% 14.96% -1.5 13
2003-09-13 @ Arsenal D 1-1 1884 2040 14.96% 22.01% 63.03% +1.5 9
2003-09-13 Tottenham W 4-2 1980 1810 64.76% 21.08% 14.16% +3.3 10
2003-09-13 @ Chelsea L 2-4 1810 1980 14.16% 21.08% 64.76% -3.3 4
2003-09-13 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1879 1845 47.71% 28.39% 23.90% +7.5 9
2003-09-13 @ Southampton L 0-2 1845 1879 23.90% 28.39% 47.71% -7.5 1
2003-09-14 Aston Villa W 4-1 1884 1852 47.33% 28.50% 24.18% +9.3 10
2003-09-14 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1852 1884 24.18% 28.50% 47.33% -9.3 4
2003-09-14 Fulham D 2-2 1866 1860 43.96% 29.28% 26.77% -0.4 8
2003-09-14 @ Birmingham City D 2-2 1860 1866 26.77% 29.28% 43.96% +0.4 7
2003-09-15 Leeds United W 4-0 1837 1899 34.25% 30.15% 35.60% +19.5 5
2003-09-15 @ Leicester City L 0-4 1899 1837 35.60% 30.15% 34.25% -19.5 5
2003-09-20 Birmingham City L 0-2 1880 1866 44.95% 29.07% 25.98% -12.2 5
2003-09-20 @ Leeds United W 2-0 1866 1880 25.98% 29.07% 44.95% +12.2 11
2003-09-20 Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1886 1925 37.42% 30.09% 32.49% -5.3 9
2003-09-20 @ Portsmouth W 2-1 1925 1886 32.49% 30.09% 37.42% +5.3 8
2003-09-20 Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1930 1829 56.38% 25.25% 18.36% -1.3 3
2003-09-20 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1829 1930 18.36% 25.25% 56.38% +1.3 6
2003-09-20 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1843 1838 43.73% 29.32% 26.95% +4.2 7
2003-09-20 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1838 1843 26.95% 29.32% 43.73% -4.2 5
2003-09-20 Chelsea L 0-5 1837 1984 24.09% 28.46% 47.44% -17.7 1
2003-09-20 @ Wolverhampton W 5-0 1984 1837 47.44% 28.46% 24.09% +17.7 13
2003-09-20 Leicester City W 2-1 1984 1857 59.66% 23.73% 16.61% +2.6 11
2003-09-20 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1857 1984 16.61% 23.73% 59.66% -2.6 5
2003-09-20 Manchester City D 2-2 1860 1893 38.45% 30.02% 31.53% -0.1 8
2003-09-20 @ Fulham D 2-2 1893 1860 31.53% 30.02% 38.45% +0.1 11
2003-09-20 Southampton L 1-3 1806 1886 31.76% 30.04% 38.20% -8.2 4
2003-09-20 @ Tottenham W 3-1 1886 1806 38.20% 30.04% 31.76% +8.2 12
2003-09-21 Arsenal D 0-0 2045 2038 43.91% 29.28% 26.81% -0.6 13
2003-09-21 @ Manchester United D 0-0 2038 2045 26.81% 29.28% 43.91% +0.6 14
2003-09-21 Everton W 1-0 1836 1862 39.35% 29.94% 30.70% +4.9 4
2003-09-21 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1862 1836 30.70% 29.94% 39.35% -4.9 5
2003-09-26 Newcastle United W 3-2 2039 1929 57.53% 24.74% 17.73% +2.6 17
2003-09-26 @ Arsenal L 2-3 1929 2039 17.73% 24.74% 57.53% -2.6 3
2003-09-27 Aston Villa W 1-0 2002 1847 62.85% 22.11% 15.04% +2.5 16
2003-09-27 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1847 2002 15.04% 22.11% 62.85% -2.5 7
2003-09-27 Manchester United L 1-4 1854 2044 20.26% 26.59% 53.15% -7.9 5
2003-09-27 @ Leicester City W 4-1 2044 1854 53.15% 26.59% 20.26% +7.9 16
2003-09-27 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1895 1841 50.36% 27.59% 22.05% -7.0 12
2003-09-27 @ Southampton W 1-0 1841 1895 22.05% 27.59% 50.36% +7.0 7
2003-09-27 Portsmouth W 2-0 1878 1880 42.77% 29.49% 27.74% +8.5 14
2003-09-27 @ Birmingham City L 0-2 1880 1878 27.74% 29.49% 42.77% -8.5 9
2003-09-27 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1831 1820 44.55% 29.16% 26.29% -0.5 7
2003-09-27 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1820 1831 26.29% 29.16% 44.55% +0.5 2
2003-09-28 Fulham L 0-2 1931 1860 52.52% 26.83% 20.65% -13.7 8
2003-09-28 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1860 1931 20.65% 26.83% 52.52% +13.7 11
2003-09-28 Leeds United W 4-0 1857 1868 41.56% 29.68% 28.76% +16.6 8
2003-09-28 @ Everton L 0-4 1868 1857 28.76% 29.68% 41.56% -16.6 5
2003-09-28 Liverpool W 3-2 1834 1987 23.45% 28.22% 48.33% +6.1 8
2003-09-28 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-3 1987 1834 48.33% 28.22% 23.45% -6.1 11
2003-09-28 Tottenham D 0-0 1893 1798 55.62% 25.59% 18.79% -1.3 12
2003-09-28 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1798 1893 18.79% 25.59% 55.62% +1.3 5
2003-10-04 Arsenal L 1-2 1981 2042 34.43% 30.15% 35.42% -5.0 11
2003-10-04 @ Liverpool W 2-1 2042 1981 35.42% 30.15% 34.43% +5.0 20
2003-10-04 Birmingham City W 3-0 2052 1887 64.11% 21.43% 14.46% +6.4 19
2003-10-04 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1887 2052 14.46% 21.43% 64.11% -6.4 14
2003-10-04 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1851 1917 33.70% 30.14% 36.17% +5.2 8
2003-10-04 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1917 1851 36.17% 30.14% 33.70% -5.2 8
2003-10-04 Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1872 1840 47.39% 28.48% 24.14% -6.3 9
2003-10-04 @ Portsmouth W 2-1 1840 1872 24.14% 28.48% 47.39% +6.3 11
2003-10-04 Everton W 3-0 1799 1874 32.54% 30.09% 37.37% +15.4 8
2003-10-04 @ Tottenham L 0-3 1874 1799 37.37% 30.09% 32.54% -15.4 8
2003-10-04 Leicester City W 2-0 1874 1846 46.80% 28.63% 24.57% +7.7 14
2003-10-04 @ Fulham L 0-2 1846 1874 24.57% 28.63% 46.80% -7.7 5
2003-10-04 Manchester City W 1-0 1820 1892 32.91% 30.11% 36.98% +5.6 5
2003-10-04 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1892 1820 36.98% 30.11% 32.91% -5.6 12
2003-10-04 Southampton W 1-0 1926 1888 48.31% 28.22% 23.47% +3.9 6
2003-10-04 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1888 1926 23.47% 28.22% 48.31% -3.9 12
2003-10-05 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1845 1830 45.08% 29.04% 25.87% -0.6 8
2003-10-05 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1830 1845 25.87% 29.04% 45.08% +0.6 8
2003-10-05 Chelsea L 1-2 1848 2004 23.15% 28.09% 48.76% -3.7 7
2003-10-05 @ Middlesbrough W 2-1 2004 1848 48.76% 28.09% 23.15% +3.7 19
2003-10-14 Chelsea D 0-0 1880 2008 26.08% 29.10% 44.82% +0.6 15
2003-10-14 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 2008 1880 44.82% 29.10% 26.08% -0.6 20
2003-10-18 Bolton Wanderers W 6-2 1886 1831 50.57% 27.52% 21.91% +9.3 15
2003-10-18 @ Manchester City L 2-6 1831 1886 21.91% 27.52% 50.57% -9.3 8
2003-10-18 Chelsea W 2-1 2047 2007 48.45% 28.18% 23.37% +3.7 23
2003-10-18 @ Arsenal L 1-2 2007 2047 23.37% 28.18% 48.45% -3.7 20
2003-10-18 Liverpool W 1-0 1865 1976 27.95% 29.54% 42.51% +6.2 12
2003-10-18 @ Portsmouth L 0-1 1976 1865 42.51% 29.54% 27.95% -6.2 11
2003-10-18 Manchester United L 0-1 1856 2058 19.32% 25.97% 54.72% -3.2 8
2003-10-18 @ Leeds United W 1-0 2058 1856 54.72% 25.97% 19.32% +3.2 22
2003-10-18 Newcastle United L 0-1 1844 1930 30.97% 29.97% 39.05% -4.9 7
2003-10-18 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1930 1844 39.05% 29.97% 30.97% +4.9 9
2003-10-18 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1881 1826 50.59% 27.51% 21.90% -1.0 15
2003-10-18 @ Fulham D 0-0 1826 1881 21.90% 27.51% 50.59% +1.0 6
2003-10-19 Aston Villa D 0-0 1881 1844 48.08% 28.29% 23.63% -0.8 16
2003-10-19 @ Birmingham City D 0-0 1844 1881 23.63% 28.29% 48.08% +0.8 9
2003-10-19 Southampton D 0-0 1858 1884 39.48% 29.93% 30.59% -0.3 9
2003-10-19 @ Everton D 0-0 1884 1858 30.59% 29.93% 39.48% +0.3 13
2003-10-19 Tottenham L 1-2 1839 1815 46.33% 28.75% 24.92% -6.2 5
2003-10-19 @ Leicester City W 2-1 1815 1839 24.92% 28.75% 46.33% +6.2 11
2003-10-20 Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1912 1846 51.86% 27.07% 21.07% -7.2 8
2003-10-20 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1846 1912 21.07% 27.07% 51.86% +7.2 14
2003-10-21 Newcastle United L 2-3 1880 1935 35.31% 30.15% 34.54% -4.8 15
2003-10-21 @ Fulham W 3-2 1935 1880 34.54% 30.15% 35.31% +4.8 12
2003-10-25 Birmingham City L 0-1 1821 1880 34.67% 30.15% 35.17% -5.3 8
2003-10-25 @ Bolton Wanderers W 1-0 1880 1821 35.17% 30.15% 34.67% +5.3 19
2003-10-25 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1884 1905 40.15% 29.86% 29.99% +9.0 16
2003-10-25 @ Southampton L 0-2 1905 1884 29.99% 29.86% 40.15% -9.0 8
2003-10-25 Everton D 0-0 1845 1858 41.22% 29.73% 29.05% -0.4 10
2003-10-25 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1858 1845 29.05% 29.73% 41.22% +0.4 10
2003-10-25 Fulham L 1-3 2062 1876 66.47% 20.13% 13.40% -14.1 22
2003-10-25 @ Manchester United W 3-1 1876 2062 13.40% 20.13% 66.47% +14.1 18
2003-10-25 Leeds United W 3-1 1970 1853 58.34% 24.36% 17.29% +4.7 14
2003-10-25 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1853 1970 17.29% 24.36% 58.34% -4.7 8
2003-10-25 Leicester City W 4-3 1827 1832 42.24% 29.58% 28.18% +4.0 9
2003-10-25 @ Wolverhampton L 3-4 1832 1827 28.18% 29.58% 42.24% -4.0 5
2003-10-25 Manchester City W 1-0 2003 1895 57.25% 24.87% 17.88% +3.0 23
2003-10-25 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1895 2003 17.88% 24.87% 57.25% -3.0 15
2003-10-25 Portsmouth W 3-0 1940 1872 52.23% 26.94% 20.84% +9.6 15
2003-10-25 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1872 1940 20.84% 26.94% 52.23% -9.6 12
2003-10-26 Arsenal D 1-1 1854 2050 19.72% 26.24% 54.04% +1.1 15
2003-10-26 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 2050 1854 54.04% 26.24% 19.72% -1.1 24
2003-10-26 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1821 1839 40.52% 29.82% 29.66% -0.3 12
2003-10-26 @ Tottenham D 0-0 1839 1821 29.66% 29.82% 40.52% +0.4 8
2003-11-01 Arsenal L 1-4 1848 2049 19.40% 26.03% 54.57% -7.5 8
2003-11-01 @ Leeds United W 4-1 2049 1848 54.57% 26.03% 19.40% +7.5 27
2003-11-01 Aston Villa D 1-1 1949 1845 56.87% 25.04% 18.09% -1.2 16
2003-11-01 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1845 1949 18.09% 25.04% 56.87% +1.2 11
2003-11-01 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1821 1816 43.72% 29.32% 26.96% -6.3 12
2003-11-01 @ Tottenham W 1-0 1816 1821 26.96% 29.32% 43.72% +6.3 11
2003-11-01 Chelsea L 0-1 1858 2006 23.96% 28.41% 47.63% -4.0 10
2003-11-01 @ Everton W 1-0 2006 1858 47.63% 28.41% 23.96% +4.0 26
2003-11-01 Manchester City L 0-2 1893 1892 43.12% 29.43% 27.45% -11.8 16
2003-11-01 @ Southampton W 2-0 1892 1893 27.45% 29.43% 43.12% +11.8 18
2003-11-01 Portsmouth W 3-0 2048 1862 66.43% 20.16% 13.41% +5.8 25
2003-11-01 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1862 2048 13.41% 20.16% 66.43% -5.8 12
2003-11-01 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1839 1831 44.25% 29.22% 26.53% +8.2 11
2003-11-01 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1831 1839 26.53% 29.22% 44.25% -8.2 9
2003-11-02 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1828 1896 33.53% 30.13% 36.33% +10.4 8
2003-11-02 @ Leicester City L 0-2 1896 1828 36.33% 30.13% 33.53% -10.4 8
2003-11-02 Liverpool L 1-2 1890 1974 31.14% 29.99% 38.87% -4.7 18
2003-11-02 @ Fulham W 2-1 1974 1890 38.87% 29.99% 31.14% +4.7 17
2003-11-03 Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1885 1855 47.28% 28.51% 24.21% -6.3 19
2003-11-03 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 1855 1885 24.21% 28.51% 47.28% +6.3 18
2003-11-08 Birmingham City D 1-1 1822 1879 35.00% 30.15% 34.85% -0.0 10
2003-11-08 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1879 1822 34.85% 30.15% 35.00% +0.0 20
2003-11-08 Fulham W 3-1 1861 1885 39.65% 29.92% 30.44% +7.9 21
2003-11-08 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-3 1885 1861 30.44% 29.92% 39.65% -7.9 18
2003-11-08 Leeds United W 6-1 1856 1841 45.16% 29.02% 25.81% +15.6 15
2003-11-08 @ Portsmouth L 1-6 1841 1856 25.81% 29.02% 45.16% -15.6 8
2003-11-08 Middlesbrough L 0-2 1846 1848 42.79% 29.49% 27.73% -11.7 11
2003-11-08 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 1848 1846 27.73% 29.49% 42.79% +11.7 14
2003-11-08 Southampton D 0-0 1822 1881 34.66% 30.15% 35.19% +0.0 12
2003-11-08 @ Bolton Wanderers D 0-0 1881 1822 35.19% 30.15% 34.66% -0.0 17
2003-11-08 Tottenham W 2-1 2057 1814 72.50% 16.64% 10.86% +1.5 30
2003-11-08 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1814 2057 10.86% 16.64% 72.50% -1.5 12
2003-11-09 Leicester City L 0-3 1904 1839 51.85% 27.08% 21.08% -19.7 18
2003-11-09 @ Manchester City W 3-0 1839 1904 21.08% 27.08% 51.85% +19.7 11
2003-11-09 Manchester United L 1-2 1979 2053 32.54% 30.09% 37.37% -4.8 17
2003-11-09 @ Liverpool W 2-1 2053 1979 37.37% 30.09% 32.54% +4.8 28
2003-11-09 Newcastle United W 5-0 2010 1948 51.43% 27.22% 21.35% +15.8 29
2003-11-09 @ Chelsea L 0-5 1948 2010 21.35% 27.22% 51.43% -15.8 16
2003-11-10 Everton W 2-1 1885 1854 47.25% 28.52% 24.23% +3.8 11
2003-11-10 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1854 1885 24.23% 28.52% 47.25% -3.8 10
2003-11-22 Arsenal L 0-3 1879 2058 21.13% 27.10% 51.77% -9.7 20
2003-11-22 @ Birmingham City W 3-0 2058 1879 51.77% 27.10% 21.13% +9.7 33
2003-11-22 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 2058 1889 64.58% 21.18% 14.24% +2.2 31
2003-11-22 @ Manchester United L 1-2 1889 2058 14.24% 21.18% 64.58% -2.2 11
2003-11-22 Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1825 1822 43.46% 29.37% 27.17% -11.9 8
2003-11-22 @ Leeds United W 2-0 1822 1825 27.17% 29.37% 43.46% +11.8 15
2003-11-22 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1859 1869 41.61% 29.67% 28.71% -0.4 12
2003-11-22 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1869 1859 28.71% 29.67% 41.61% +0.4 22
2003-11-22 Chelsea L 0-1 1881 2026 24.25% 28.52% 47.23% -4.0 17
2003-11-22 @ Southampton W 1-0 2026 1881 47.23% 28.52% 24.25% +4.0 32
2003-11-22 Liverpool D 0-0 1859 1974 27.45% 29.43% 43.12% +0.5 15
2003-11-22 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1974 1859 43.12% 29.43% 27.45% -0.5 18
2003-11-22 Manchester City W 3-0 1932 1885 49.55% 27.85% 22.60% +10.4 19
2003-11-22 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1885 1932 22.60% 27.85% 49.55% -10.4 18
2003-11-22 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1851 1822 46.91% 28.61% 24.49% +7.7 13
2003-11-22 @ Everton L 0-2 1822 1851 24.49% 28.61% 46.91% -7.7 10
2003-11-23 Aston Villa W 2-1 1813 1834 40.07% 29.87% 30.06% +4.5 15
2003-11-23 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1834 1813 30.06% 29.87% 40.07% -4.5 11
2003-11-24 Portsmouth W 2-0 1877 1872 43.80% 29.31% 26.89% +8.3 21
2003-11-24 @ Fulham L 0-2 1872 1877 26.89% 29.31% 43.80% -8.3 15
2003-11-29 Everton W 2-0 1834 1858 39.64% 29.92% 30.45% +9.2 18
2003-11-29 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1858 1834 30.45% 29.92% 39.64% -9.2 13
2003-11-29 Leeds United L 0-1 1869 1813 50.60% 27.51% 21.89% -7.0 22
2003-11-29 @ Charlton Athletic W 1-0 1813 1869 21.89% 27.51% 50.60% +7.1 11
2003-11-29 Leicester City L 0-2 1863 1858 43.76% 29.31% 26.93% -11.9 15
2003-11-29 @ Portsmouth W 2-0 1858 1863 26.93% 29.31% 43.76% +11.9 15
2003-11-29 Newcastle United D 1-1 1815 1943 26.00% 29.08% 44.92% +0.6 11
2003-11-29 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1943 1815 44.92% 29.08% 26.00% -0.6 20
2003-11-29 Southampton W 1-0 1830 1877 36.30% 30.13% 33.57% +5.2 14
2003-11-29 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1877 1830 33.57% 30.13% 36.30% -5.2 17
2003-11-29 Tottenham W 1-0 1887 1817 52.36% 26.89% 20.75% +3.5 14
2003-11-29 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1817 1887 20.75% 26.89% 52.36% -3.5 15
2003-11-30 Birmingham City W 3-1 1974 1869 56.81% 25.06% 18.12% +5.0 21
2003-11-30 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1869 1974 18.12% 25.06% 56.81% -5.0 20
2003-11-30 Fulham D 0-0 2068 1885 66.10% 20.34% 13.56% -1.9 34
2003-11-30 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1885 2068 13.56% 20.34% 66.10% +1.8 22
2003-11-30 Manchester United W 1-0 2030 2060 38.80% 29.99% 31.21% +5.0 35
2003-11-30 @ Chelsea L 0-1 2060 2030 31.21% 29.99% 38.80% -4.9 31
2003-11-30 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1874 1860 45.02% 29.06% 25.92% -6.5 18
2003-11-30 @ Manchester City W 1-0 1860 1874 25.92% 29.06% 45.02% +6.5 18
2003-12-06 Arsenal D 1-1 1870 2066 19.77% 26.28% 53.95% +1.1 16
2003-12-06 @ Leicester City D 1-1 2066 1870 53.95% 26.28% 19.77% -1.0 35
2003-12-06 Aston Villa W 4-0 2055 1835 70.25% 17.97% 11.78% +6.4 34
2003-12-06 @ Manchester United L 0-4 1835 2055 11.78% 17.97% 70.25% -6.5 14
2003-12-06 Blackburn Rovers L 0-4 1864 1890 39.42% 29.94% 30.64% -20.9 20
2003-12-06 @ Birmingham City W 4-0 1890 1864 30.64% 29.94% 39.42% +20.9 17
2003-12-06 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1887 1843 49.05% 28.00% 22.95% +3.6 25
2003-12-06 @ Fulham L 1-2 1843 1887 22.95% 28.00% 49.05% -3.6 18
2003-12-06 Chelsea D 1-1 1820 2035 18.40% 25.29% 56.31% +1.2 12
2003-12-06 @ Leeds United D 1-1 2035 1820 56.31% 25.29% 18.40% -1.2 36
2003-12-06 Liverpool D 1-1 1942 1979 37.88% 30.06% 32.06% -0.2 21
2003-12-06 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1979 1942 32.06% 30.06% 37.88% +0.2 22
2003-12-06 Portsmouth D 0-0 1866 1851 45.10% 29.04% 25.86% -0.6 19
2003-12-06 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1851 1866 25.86% 29.04% 45.10% +0.6 16
2003-12-06 Wolverhampton W 5-2 1814 1815 42.84% 29.48% 27.68% +9.0 18
2003-12-06 @ Tottenham L 2-5 1815 1814 27.68% 29.48% 42.84% -9.0 11
2003-12-07 Charlton Athletic W 3-2 1872 1862 44.40% 29.19% 26.41% +3.9 20
2003-12-07 @ Southampton L 2-3 1862 1872 26.41% 29.19% 44.40% -3.9 22
2003-12-07 Manchester City D 0-0 1849 1868 40.44% 29.83% 29.73% -0.3 14
2003-12-07 @ Everton D 0-0 1868 1849 29.73% 29.83% 40.44% +0.3 19
2003-12-13 Birmingham City L 0-2 1871 1844 46.83% 28.62% 24.54% -12.5 16
2003-12-13 @ Leicester City W 2-0 1844 1871 24.54% 28.62% 46.83% +12.5 23
2003-12-13 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 2034 1840 67.41% 19.61% 12.99% -8.2 36
2003-12-13 @ Chelsea W 2-1 1840 2034 12.99% 19.61% 67.41% +8.2 21
2003-12-13 Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1866 1858 44.08% 29.25% 26.67% -0.6 20
2003-12-13 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1858 1866 26.67% 29.25% 44.08% +0.6 23
2003-12-13 Everton L 1-2 1852 1849 43.50% 29.36% 27.14% -5.9 16
2003-12-13 @ Portsmouth W 2-1 1849 1852 27.14% 29.36% 43.50% +5.9 17
2003-12-13 Manchester City W 3-1 2062 1868 67.34% 19.64% 13.02% +3.3 37
2003-12-13 @ Manchester United L 1-3 1868 2062 13.02% 19.64% 67.34% -3.3 19
2003-12-13 Southampton L 1-2 1979 1876 56.65% 25.14% 18.21% -7.2 22
2003-12-13 @ Liverpool W 2-1 1876 1979 18.21% 25.14% 56.65% +7.2 23
2003-12-13 Tottenham W 4-0 1942 1823 58.63% 24.23% 17.14% +10.2 24
2003-12-13 @ Newcastle United L 0-4 1823 1942 17.14% 24.23% 58.63% -10.2 18
2003-12-14 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 2065 1911 62.81% 22.13% 15.06% +2.5 38
2003-12-14 @ Arsenal L 0-1 1911 2065 15.06% 22.13% 62.81% -2.5 17
2003-12-14 Fulham W 3-2 1822 1891 33.22% 30.12% 36.66% +5.0 15
2003-12-14 @ Leeds United L 2-3 1891 1822 36.66% 30.12% 33.22% -5.0 25
2003-12-14 Wolverhampton W 3-2 1828 1806 46.07% 28.81% 25.12% +3.7 17
2003-12-14 @ Aston Villa L 2-3 1806 1828 25.12% 28.81% 46.07% -3.7 11
2003-12-20 Arsenal D 1-1 1848 2068 18.05% 25.01% 56.94% +1.2 22
2003-12-20 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 2068 1848 56.94% 25.01% 18.05% -1.2 39
2003-12-20 Aston Villa L 0-2 1909 1832 53.31% 26.53% 20.16% -13.8 17
2003-12-20 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1832 1909 20.16% 26.53% 53.31% +13.8 20
2003-12-20 Chelsea L 0-1 1886 2026 24.76% 28.70% 46.54% -4.1 25
2003-12-20 @ Fulham W 1-0 2026 1886 46.54% 28.70% 24.76% +4.1 39
2003-12-20 Leicester City W 3-2 1855 1859 42.50% 29.54% 27.96% +4.1 20
2003-12-20 @ Everton L 2-3 1859 1855 27.96% 29.54% 42.50% -4.1 16
2003-12-20 Newcastle United D 0-0 1859 1952 30.03% 29.87% 40.10% +0.3 24
2003-12-20 @ Charlton Athletic D 0-0 1952 1859 40.10% 29.87% 30.03% -0.3 25
2003-12-21 Manchester United L 1-2 1813 2065 15.98% 23.10% 60.92% -2.5 18
2003-12-21 @ Tottenham W 2-1 2065 1813 60.92% 23.10% 15.98% +2.5 40
2003-12-21 Portsmouth W 3-0 1883 1846 48.09% 28.28% 23.62% +10.8 26
2003-12-21 @ Southampton L 0-3 1846 1883 23.62% 28.28% 48.09% -10.8 16
2003-12-22 Leeds United D 1-1 1865 1827 48.26% 28.24% 23.50% -0.8 20
2003-12-22 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1827 1865 23.50% 28.24% 48.26% +0.7 16
2003-12-26 Aston Villa D 0-0 1827 1846 40.44% 29.83% 29.73% -0.3 17
2003-12-26 @ Leeds United D 0-0 1846 1827 29.73% 29.83% 40.44% +0.3 21
2003-12-26 Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 1972 1849 59.07% 24.02% 16.91% +4.6 25
2003-12-26 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1849 1972 16.91% 24.02% 59.07% -4.6 22
2003-12-26 Chelsea W 4-2 1859 2030 21.85% 27.48% 50.67% +10.3 27
2003-12-26 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-4 2030 1859 50.67% 27.48% 21.85% -10.3 39
2003-12-26 Everton W 3-2 2068 1859 68.99% 18.70% 12.31% +1.7 43
2003-12-26 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1859 2068 12.31% 18.70% 68.99% -1.7 20
2003-12-26 Manchester City W 2-1 1856 1864 41.94% 29.62% 28.43% +4.3 26
2003-12-26 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1864 1856 28.43% 29.62% 41.94% -4.3 20
2003-12-26 Middlesbrough D 2-2 1895 1865 47.13% 28.55% 24.32% -0.5 18
2003-12-26 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1865 1895 24.32% 28.55% 47.13% +0.5 21
2003-12-26 Newcastle United D 1-1 1855 1952 29.54% 29.80% 40.66% +0.3 17
2003-12-26 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1952 1855 40.66% 29.80% 29.54% -0.3 26
2003-12-26 Southampton W 2-0 1882 1894 41.36% 29.71% 28.93% +8.8 28
2003-12-26 @ Fulham L 0-2 1894 1882 28.93% 29.71% 41.36% -8.8 26
2003-12-26 Tottenham W 2-0 1835 1810 46.49% 28.71% 24.80% +7.8 19
2003-12-26 @ Portsmouth L 0-2 1810 1835 24.80% 28.71% 46.49% -7.8 18
2003-12-26 Wolverhampton W 3-0 2066 1803 74.63% 15.38% 10.00% +4.0 42
2003-12-26 @ Arsenal L 0-3 1803 2066 10.00% 15.38% 74.63% -4.0 11
2003-12-28 Birmingham City W 1-0 1857 1860 42.58% 29.52% 27.90% +4.5 23
2003-12-28 @ Everton L 0-1 1860 1857 27.90% 29.52% 42.58% -4.5 26
2003-12-28 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1952 1894 50.79% 27.44% 21.77% -7.1 26
2003-12-28 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1894 1952 21.77% 27.44% 50.79% +7.1 21
2003-12-28 Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1802 1869 33.54% 30.13% 36.32% -5.2 18
2003-12-28 @ Tottenham W 1-0 1869 1802 36.32% 30.13% 33.54% +5.2 30
2003-12-28 Fulham W 3-0 1846 1891 36.76% 30.12% 33.12% +14.2 24
2003-12-28 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1891 1846 33.12% 30.12% 36.76% -14.2 28
2003-12-28 Leeds United W 3-1 1799 1827 39.06% 29.97% 30.97% +8.0 14
2003-12-28 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1827 1799 30.97% 29.97% 39.06% -8.0 17
2003-12-28 Leicester City D 2-2 1844 1855 41.58% 29.68% 28.74% -0.3 23
2003-12-28 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1855 1844 28.74% 29.68% 41.58% +0.3 18
2003-12-28 Liverpool D 2-2 1860 1976 27.26% 29.39% 43.36% +0.3 21
2003-12-28 @ Manchester City D 2-2 1976 1860 43.36% 29.39% 27.26% -0.3 26
2003-12-28 Manchester United L 0-1 1866 2069 19.19% 25.88% 54.93% -3.2 21
2003-12-28 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 2069 1866 54.93% 25.88% 19.19% +3.2 46
2003-12-28 Portsmouth W 3-0 2020 1843 65.40% 20.73% 13.87% +6.1 42
2003-12-28 @ Chelsea L 0-3 1843 2020 13.87% 20.73% 65.40% -6.1 19
2003-12-29 Arsenal L 0-1 1885 2070 20.62% 26.81% 52.57% -3.5 26
2003-12-29 @ Southampton W 1-0 2070 1885 52.57% 26.81% 20.62% +3.5 45
2004-01-06 Portsmouth W 2-1 1860 1837 46.25% 28.77% 24.98% +3.9 27
2004-01-06 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1837 1860 24.98% 28.77% 46.25% -3.9 19
2004-01-07 Arsenal D 1-1 1862 2074 18.58% 25.42% 56.00% +1.2 24
2004-01-07 @ Everton D 1-1 2074 1862 56.00% 25.42% 18.58% -1.2 46
2004-01-07 Birmingham City W 4-1 1797 1856 34.72% 30.15% 35.13% +12.4 21
2004-01-07 @ Tottenham L 1-4 1856 1797 35.13% 30.15% 34.72% -12.4 26
2004-01-07 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1807 1901 29.86% 29.85% 40.29% +0.2 15
2004-01-07 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 1901 1807 40.29% 29.85% 29.86% -0.2 22
2004-01-07 Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1860 1875 40.99% 29.76% 29.25% -0.3 22
2004-01-07 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1875 1860 29.25% 29.76% 40.99% +0.3 31
2004-01-07 Fulham W 2-1 1862 1876 41.07% 29.75% 29.18% +4.4 24
2004-01-07 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1876 1862 29.18% 29.75% 41.07% -4.4 28
2004-01-07 Leeds United W 1-0 1945 1819 59.43% 23.84% 16.73% +2.8 29
2004-01-07 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1819 1945 16.73% 23.84% 59.43% -2.8 17
2004-01-07 Leicester City D 0-0 1882 1855 46.68% 28.66% 24.66% -0.7 27
2004-01-07 @ Southampton D 0-0 1855 1882 24.66% 28.66% 46.68% +0.7 19
2004-01-07 Liverpool L 0-1 2026 1976 49.80% 27.77% 22.43% -7.0 42
2004-01-07 @ Chelsea W 1-0 1976 2026 22.43% 27.77% 49.80% +7.0 29
2004-01-07 Manchester United L 1-2 1844 2073 17.47% 24.52% 58.01% -2.8 23
2004-01-07 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 2073 1844 58.01% 24.52% 17.47% +2.8 49
2004-01-10 Aston Villa W 1-0 1983 1864 58.58% 24.25% 17.17% +2.9 32
2004-01-10 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1864 1983 17.17% 24.25% 58.58% -2.9 27
2004-01-10 Bolton Wanderers L 3-4 1901 1841 51.13% 27.33% 21.54% -6.2 22
2004-01-10 @ Blackburn Rovers W 4-3 1841 1901 21.54% 27.33% 51.13% +6.2 26
2004-01-10 Everton W 2-1 1872 1863 44.33% 29.20% 26.47% +4.1 31
2004-01-10 @ Fulham L 1-2 1863 1872 26.47% 29.20% 44.33% -4.1 24
2004-01-10 Manchester City W 4-2 1833 1860 39.31% 29.95% 30.74% +7.1 22
2004-01-10 @ Portsmouth L 2-4 1860 1833 30.74% 29.95% 39.31% -7.1 22
2004-01-10 Middlesbrough W 4-1 2073 1867 68.67% 18.89% 12.45% +4.5 49
2004-01-10 @ Arsenal L 1-4 1867 2073 12.45% 18.89% 68.67% -4.5 24
2004-01-10 Southampton W 2-1 1843 1881 37.76% 30.07% 32.17% +4.8 29
2004-01-10 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1881 1843 32.17% 30.07% 37.76% -4.8 27
2004-01-10 Tottenham L 0-1 1816 1810 43.93% 29.28% 26.79% -6.3 17
2004-01-10 @ Leeds United W 1-0 1810 1816 26.79% 29.28% 43.93% +6.3 24
2004-01-10 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1875 1807 52.21% 26.94% 20.85% +6.6 34
2004-01-10 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-2 1807 1875 20.85% 26.94% 52.21% -6.6 15
2004-01-11 Chelsea L 0-4 1856 2019 22.55% 27.83% 49.62% -13.5 19
2004-01-11 @ Leicester City W 4-0 2019 1856 49.62% 27.83% 22.55% +13.5 45
2004-01-11 Newcastle United D 0-0 2075 1947 59.72% 23.70% 16.58% -1.5 50
2004-01-11 @ Manchester United D 0-0 1947 2075 16.58% 23.70% 59.72% +1.5 30
2004-01-17 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1853 1895 37.03% 30.11% 32.86% -0.1 23
2004-01-17 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1895 1853 32.86% 30.11% 37.03% +0.1 23
2004-01-17 Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1859 1882 39.82% 29.90% 30.28% -5.9 24
2004-01-17 @ Everton W 1-0 1882 1859 30.28% 29.90% 39.82% +5.9 37
2004-01-17 Leeds United W 2-1 1876 1810 51.97% 27.03% 21.00% +3.3 30
2004-01-17 @ Southampton L 1-2 1810 1876 21.00% 27.03% 51.97% -3.3 17
2004-01-17 Leicester City D 3-3 1862 1842 45.80% 28.88% 25.32% -0.4 25
2004-01-17 @ Middlesbrough D 3-3 1842 1862 25.32% 28.88% 45.80% +0.4 20
2004-01-17 Liverpool W 2-1 1816 1986 21.94% 27.53% 50.53% +6.6 27
2004-01-17 @ Tottenham L 1-2 1986 1816 50.53% 27.53% 21.94% -6.6 32
2004-01-17 Manchester United W 1-0 1800 2074 14.78% 21.81% 63.41% +8.3 18
2004-01-17 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 2074 1800 63.41% 21.81% 14.78% -8.3 50
2004-01-17 Portsmouth W 1-0 1848 1840 44.06% 29.26% 26.69% +4.4 29
2004-01-17 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1840 1848 26.69% 29.26% 44.06% -4.4 22
2004-01-18 Arsenal L 0-2 1861 2077 18.33% 25.23% 56.44% -5.8 27
2004-01-18 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 2077 1861 56.44% 25.23% 18.33% +5.8 52
2004-01-18 Birmingham City D 0-0 2032 1848 66.25% 20.26% 13.49% -1.9 46
2004-01-18 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1848 2032 13.49% 20.26% 66.25% +1.9 30
2004-01-19 Fulham W 3-1 1949 1876 52.80% 26.72% 20.48% +5.6 33
2004-01-19 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1876 1949 20.48% 26.72% 52.80% -5.6 31
2004-01-21 Liverpool D 1-1 1809 1979 21.86% 27.49% 50.64% +0.9 19
2004-01-21 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1979 1809 50.64% 27.49% 21.86% -0.9 33
2004-01-31 Aston Villa L 0-5 1843 1856 41.24% 29.73% 29.03% -26.7 20
2004-01-31 @ Leicester City W 5-0 1856 1843 29.03% 29.73% 41.24% +26.7 30
2004-01-31 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1888 1852 47.91% 28.34% 23.76% -6.4 37
2004-01-31 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1852 1888 23.76% 28.34% 47.91% +6.4 32
2004-01-31 Everton D 0-0 1978 1853 59.40% 23.85% 16.74% -1.5 34
2004-01-31 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1853 1978 16.74% 23.85% 59.40% +1.5 25
2004-01-31 Middlesbrough L 0-3 1806 1862 35.17% 30.15% 34.68% -14.8 17
2004-01-31 @ Leeds United W 3-0 1862 1806 34.68% 30.15% 35.17% +14.8 28
2004-01-31 Newcastle United D 1-1 1850 1954 28.69% 29.67% 41.64% +0.4 31
2004-01-31 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1954 1850 41.64% 29.67% 28.69% -0.4 34
2004-01-31 Southampton W 3-2 2065 1879 66.48% 20.13% 13.39% +1.9 53
2004-01-31 @ Manchester United L 2-3 1879 2065 13.39% 20.13% 66.48% -1.9 30
2004-01-31 Tottenham W 2-1 1871 1823 49.55% 27.85% 22.60% +3.6 34
2004-01-31 @ Fulham L 1-2 1823 1871 22.60% 27.85% 49.55% -3.6 27
2004-01-31 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1836 1809 46.68% 28.66% 24.66% -0.7 23
2004-01-31 @ Portsmouth D 0-0 1809 1836 24.66% 28.66% 46.68% +0.7 20
2004-02-01 Chelsea L 2-3 1895 2030 25.24% 28.85% 45.91% -3.7 23
2004-02-01 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-2 2030 1895 45.91% 28.85% 25.24% +3.7 49
2004-02-01 Manchester City W 2-1 2083 1852 71.29% 17.36% 11.35% +1.6 55
2004-02-01 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1852 2083 11.35% 17.36% 71.29% -1.6 23
2004-02-07 Arsenal L 1-3 1810 2085 14.74% 21.76% 63.51% -3.9 20
2004-02-07 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 2085 1810 63.51% 21.76% 14.74% +3.9 58
2004-02-07 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1877 1891 40.99% 29.76% 29.25% -6.0 28
2004-02-07 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1891 1877 29.25% 29.76% 40.99% +6.0 26
2004-02-07 Fulham D 0-0 1878 1874 43.52% 29.36% 27.12% -0.5 31
2004-02-07 @ Southampton D 0-0 1874 1878 27.12% 29.36% 43.52% +0.5 35
2004-02-07 Leeds United W 2-0 1882 1792 55.08% 25.81% 19.10% +6.1 33
2004-02-07 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1792 1882 19.10% 25.81% 55.08% -6.0 17
2004-02-07 Leicester City W 3-1 1954 1816 60.92% 23.10% 15.98% +4.3 37
2004-02-07 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1816 1954 15.98% 23.10% 60.92% -4.3 20
2004-02-07 Liverpool D 2-2 1858 1977 27.06% 29.34% 43.60% +0.4 33
2004-02-07 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1977 1858 43.60% 29.34% 27.06% -0.4 35
2004-02-07 Manchester United L 3-4 1854 2067 18.52% 25.38% 56.11% -2.7 25
2004-02-07 @ Everton W 4-3 2067 1854 56.11% 25.38% 18.52% +2.7 56
2004-02-07 Portsmouth W 4-3 1819 1835 40.80% 29.78% 29.42% +4.1 30
2004-02-07 @ Tottenham L 3-4 1835 1819 29.42% 29.78% 40.80% -4.1 23
2004-02-08 Birmingham City D 0-0 1851 1850 43.09% 29.44% 27.48% -0.5 24
2004-02-08 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1850 1851 27.48% 29.44% 43.09% +0.5 32
2004-02-08 Charlton Athletic W 1-0 2034 1881 62.69% 22.19% 15.12% +2.5 52
2004-02-08 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1881 2034 15.12% 22.19% 62.69% -2.5 37
2004-02-10 Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1812 1859 36.40% 30.13% 33.47% -0.1 21
2004-02-10 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1859 1812 33.47% 30.13% 36.40% +0.1 34
2004-02-10 Southampton W 2-0 2088 1877 69.27% 18.54% 12.19% +3.6 61
2004-02-10 @ Arsenal L 0-2 1877 2088 12.19% 18.54% 69.27% -3.6 31
2004-02-10 Wolverhampton W 4-1 1786 1806 40.15% 29.86% 29.99% +11.1 20
2004-02-10 @ Leeds United L 1-4 1806 1786 29.99% 29.86% 40.15% -11.1 20
2004-02-11 Aston Villa L 1-2 1875 1888 41.13% 29.74% 29.13% -5.7 35
2004-02-11 @ Fulham W 2-1 1888 1875 29.13% 29.74% 41.13% +5.7 36
2004-02-11 Chelsea L 0-2 1831 2037 19.06% 25.78% 55.15% -6.0 23
2004-02-11 @ Portsmouth W 2-0 2037 1831 55.15% 25.78% 19.06% +6.0 55
2004-02-11 Everton W 3-0 1851 1852 42.96% 29.46% 27.58% +12.3 35
2004-02-11 @ Birmingham City L 0-3 1852 1851 27.58% 29.46% 42.96% -12.3 25
2004-02-11 Manchester City W 2-1 1976 1850 59.49% 23.81% 16.70% +2.6 38
2004-02-11 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1850 1976 16.70% 23.81% 59.49% -2.6 24
2004-02-11 Middlesbrough L 2-3 2070 1871 67.96% 19.29% 12.75% -7.8 56
2004-02-11 @ Manchester United W 3-2 1871 2070 12.75% 19.29% 67.96% +7.8 31
2004-02-11 Newcastle United D 1-1 1897 1958 34.39% 30.15% 35.46% +0.0 27
2004-02-11 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1958 1897 35.46% 30.15% 34.39% -0.0 38
2004-02-11 Tottenham L 2-4 1879 1823 50.55% 27.52% 21.93% -10.3 37
2004-02-11 @ Charlton Athletic W 4-2 1823 1879 21.93% 27.52% 50.55% +10.3 33
2004-02-21 Arsenal L 1-2 2043 2092 36.04% 30.14% 33.82% -5.2 55
2004-02-21 @ Chelsea W 2-1 2092 2043 33.82% 30.14% 36.04% +5.2 64
2004-02-21 Blackburn Rovers W 3-2 1868 1897 38.95% 29.98% 31.07% +4.4 40
2004-02-21 @ Charlton Athletic L 2-3 1897 1868 31.07% 29.98% 38.95% -4.4 27
2004-02-21 Everton D 3-3 1873 1839 47.72% 28.39% 23.89% -0.4 32
2004-02-21 @ Southampton D 3-3 1839 1873 23.89% 28.39% 47.72% +0.5 26
2004-02-21 Fulham W 2-1 1795 1869 32.61% 30.09% 37.30% +5.3 23
2004-02-21 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1869 1795 37.30% 30.09% 32.61% -5.3 35
2004-02-21 Leeds United D 1-1 2062 1797 74.80% 15.27% 9.93% -2.0 57
2004-02-21 @ Manchester United D 1-1 1797 2062 9.93% 15.27% 74.80% +2.0 21
2004-02-21 Manchester City L 1-3 1859 1848 44.59% 29.15% 26.27% -10.5 34
2004-02-21 @ Bolton Wanderers W 3-1 1848 1859 26.27% 29.15% 44.59% +10.5 27
2004-02-21 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1958 1879 53.71% 26.37% 19.92% +3.2 41
2004-02-21 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1879 1958 19.92% 26.37% 53.71% -3.2 31
2004-02-22 Birmingham City D 2-2 1894 1863 47.26% 28.51% 24.23% -0.5 37
2004-02-22 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1863 1894 24.23% 28.51% 47.26% +0.5 36
2004-02-22 Leicester City D 4-4 1834 1812 46.05% 28.82% 25.13% -0.3 34
2004-02-22 @ Tottenham D 4-4 1812 1834 25.13% 28.82% 46.05% +0.3 22
2004-02-28 Aston Villa W 2-0 1840 1893 35.41% 30.15% 34.43% +10.0 29
2004-02-28 @ Everton L 0-2 1893 1840 34.43% 30.15% 35.41% -10.0 37
2004-02-28 Charlton Athletic W 2-1 2097 1873 70.65% 17.74% 11.62% +1.7 67
2004-02-28 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1873 2097 11.62% 17.74% 70.65% -1.7 40
2004-02-28 Chelsea L 0-1 1858 2037 21.11% 27.09% 51.79% -3.5 27
2004-02-28 @ Manchester City W 1-0 2037 1858 51.79% 27.09% 21.11% +3.5 58
2004-02-28 Manchester United D 1-1 1864 2060 19.73% 26.25% 54.02% +1.1 36
2004-02-28 @ Fulham D 1-1 2060 1864 54.02% 26.25% 19.73% -1.1 58
2004-02-28 Southampton D 1-1 1893 1873 45.80% 28.88% 25.32% -0.6 28
2004-02-28 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1873 1893 25.32% 28.88% 45.80% +0.6 33
2004-02-28 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1812 1800 44.64% 29.14% 26.22% -0.6 23
2004-02-28 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1800 1812 26.22% 29.14% 44.64% +0.6 24
2004-02-29 Liverpool D 2-2 1799 1979 21.04% 27.05% 51.91% +0.7 22
2004-02-29 @ Leeds United D 2-2 1979 1799 51.91% 27.05% 21.04% -0.7 39
2004-02-29 Newcastle United D 1-1 1825 1962 25.10% 28.81% 46.09% +0.6 24
2004-02-29 @ Portsmouth D 1-1 1962 1825 46.09% 28.81% 25.10% -0.6 42
2004-03-03 Middlesbrough W 3-1 1864 1875 41.42% 29.70% 28.87% +7.6 39
2004-03-03 @ Birmingham City L 1-3 1875 1864 28.87% 29.70% 41.42% -7.6 31
2004-03-06 Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1871 1848 46.22% 28.78% 25.00% +7.8 42
2004-03-06 @ Birmingham City L 0-2 1848 1871 25.00% 28.78% 46.22% -7.8 34
2004-03-09 Tottenham W 1-0 1868 1833 47.77% 28.37% 23.85% +4.0 34
2004-03-09 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1833 1868 23.85% 28.37% 47.77% -4.0 34
2004-03-13 Arsenal L 0-2 1892 2099 19.00% 25.74% 55.27% -6.0 28
2004-03-13 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 2099 1892 55.27% 25.74% 19.00% +6.0 70
2004-03-13 Chelsea L 0-2 1840 2041 19.44% 26.05% 54.51% -6.2 34
2004-03-13 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 2041 1840 54.51% 26.05% 19.44% +6.2 61
2004-03-13 Leeds United W 2-0 1865 1799 51.83% 27.08% 21.09% +6.7 39
2004-03-13 @ Fulham L 0-2 1799 1865 21.09% 27.08% 51.83% -6.7 22
2004-03-13 Leicester City L 0-1 1879 1811 52.17% 26.96% 20.87% -7.2 42
2004-03-13 @ Birmingham City W 1-0 1811 1879 20.87% 26.96% 52.17% +7.2 26
2004-03-13 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1871 1872 42.96% 29.46% 27.58% +4.5 43
2004-03-13 @ Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1872 1871 27.58% 29.46% 42.96% -4.5 34
2004-03-13 Portsmouth W 1-0 1850 1826 46.36% 28.74% 24.89% +4.1 32
2004-03-13 @ Everton L 0-1 1826 1850 24.89% 28.74% 46.36% -4.1 24
2004-03-14 Aston Villa L 0-4 1801 1883 31.45% 30.02% 38.53% -17.8 24
2004-03-14 @ Wolverhampton W 4-0 1883 1801 38.53% 30.02% 31.45% +17.8 40
2004-03-14 Liverpool W 2-0 1874 1978 28.65% 29.66% 41.69% +11.5 36
2004-03-14 @ Southampton L 0-2 1978 1874 41.69% 29.66% 28.65% -11.5 39
2004-03-14 Manchester United W 4-1 1855 2059 19.13% 25.83% 55.04% +17.4 30
2004-03-14 @ Manchester City L 1-4 2059 1855 55.04% 25.83% 19.13% -17.4 58
2004-03-14 Newcastle United W 1-0 1829 1961 25.61% 28.97% 45.43% +6.5 37
2004-03-14 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1961 1829 45.43% 28.97% 25.61% -6.5 42
2004-03-17 Portsmouth W 3-0 1967 1821 61.79% 22.66% 15.55% +7.0 42
2004-03-17 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1821 1967 15.55% 22.66% 61.79% -7.0 24
2004-03-20 Birmingham City W 5-3 1867 1872 42.38% 29.56% 28.07% +6.3 37
2004-03-20 @ Middlesbrough L 3-5 1872 1867 28.07% 29.56% 42.38% -6.3 42
2004-03-20 Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1901 1886 45.10% 29.04% 25.86% -12.2 40
2004-03-20 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 1886 1901 25.86% 29.04% 45.10% +12.2 31
2004-03-20 Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 2105 1834 75.28% 14.98% 9.74% +1.3 73
2004-03-20 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1834 2105 9.74% 14.98% 75.28% -1.3 34
2004-03-20 Charlton Athletic W 3-1 1954 1876 53.58% 26.42% 20.00% +5.5 45
2004-03-20 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1876 1954 20.00% 26.42% 53.58% -5.5 43
2004-03-20 Everton D 1-1 1819 1854 38.08% 30.05% 31.88% -0.2 27
2004-03-20 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1854 1819 31.88% 30.05% 38.08% +0.2 33
2004-03-20 Fulham W 2-1 2047 1871 65.32% 20.77% 13.91% +2.1 64
2004-03-20 @ Chelsea L 1-2 1871 2047 13.91% 20.77% 65.32% -2.1 39
2004-03-20 Tottenham W 3-0 2042 1836 68.70% 18.87% 12.43% +5.3 61
2004-03-20 @ Manchester United L 0-3 1836 2042 12.43% 18.87% 68.70% -5.3 37
2004-03-20 Wolverhampton W 1-0 1974 1783 66.98% 19.85% 13.17% +2.1 45
2004-03-20 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1783 1974 13.17% 19.85% 66.98% -2.1 24
2004-03-21 Southampton W 1-0 1814 1885 33.04% 30.11% 36.85% +5.6 27
2004-03-21 @ Portsmouth L 0-1 1885 1814 36.85% 30.11% 33.04% -5.6 36
2004-03-22 Manchester City W 2-1 1793 1872 31.88% 30.05% 38.07% +5.4 25
2004-03-22 @ Leeds United L 1-2 1872 1793 38.07% 30.05% 31.88% -5.4 30
2004-03-27 Aston Villa L 1-2 1870 1889 40.38% 29.83% 29.78% -5.6 43
2004-03-27 @ Charlton Athletic W 2-1 1889 1870 29.78% 29.83% 40.38% +5.6 43
2004-03-27 Fulham D 0-0 1867 1869 42.66% 29.51% 27.83% -0.5 31
2004-03-27 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1869 1867 27.83% 29.51% 42.66% +0.5 40
2004-03-27 Leeds United W 4-1 1866 1798 52.14% 26.97% 20.89% +8.1 45
2004-03-27 @ Birmingham City L 1-4 1798 1866 20.89% 26.97% 52.14% -8.1 25
2004-03-27 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1854 1874 40.31% 29.84% 29.85% -0.3 34
2004-03-27 @ Everton D 1-1 1874 1854 29.85% 29.84% 40.31% +0.3 38
2004-03-27 Portsmouth L 1-2 1899 1820 53.55% 26.43% 20.01% -6.9 31
2004-03-27 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1820 1899 20.01% 26.43% 53.55% +6.9 30
2004-03-27 Tottenham W 1-0 1880 1830 49.72% 27.80% 22.49% +3.8 39
2004-03-27 @ Southampton L 0-1 1830 1880 22.49% 27.80% 49.72% -3.8 37
2004-03-27 Wolverhampton W 5-2 2049 1781 75.04% 15.13% 9.83% +2.9 67
2004-03-27 @ Chelsea L 2-5 1781 2049 9.83% 15.13% 75.04% -2.9 24
2004-03-28 Liverpool D 0-0 1818 1976 23.05% 28.05% 48.91% +0.9 28
2004-03-28 @ Leicester City D 0-0 1976 1818 48.91% 28.05% 23.05% -0.9 46
2004-03-28 Manchester United D 1-1 2106 2047 51.03% 27.36% 21.61% -0.9 74
2004-03-28 @ Arsenal D 1-1 2047 2106 21.61% 27.36% 51.03% +0.9 62
2004-03-28 Newcastle United W 1-0 1833 1960 26.12% 29.11% 44.77% +6.4 37
2004-03-28 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1960 1833 44.77% 29.11% 26.12% -6.4 45
2004-04-03 Birmingham City D 0-0 1870 1874 42.47% 29.54% 27.98% -0.5 41
2004-04-03 @ Fulham D 0-0 1874 1870 27.98% 29.54% 42.47% +0.5 46
2004-04-03 Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1874 1839 47.75% 28.38% 23.87% +7.5 41
2004-04-03 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1839 1874 23.87% 28.38% 47.75% -7.5 37
2004-04-03 Chelsea L 0-1 1827 2052 17.67% 24.69% 57.64% -3.0 37
2004-04-03 @ Tottenham W 1-0 2052 1827 57.64% 24.69% 17.67% +3.0 70
2004-04-03 Everton W 4-2 1953 1854 56.24% 25.32% 18.44% +4.5 48
2004-04-03 @ Newcastle United L 2-4 1854 1953 18.44% 25.32% 56.24% -4.5 34
2004-04-03 Southampton L 1-4 1778 1883 28.62% 29.66% 41.72% -10.7 24
2004-04-03 @ Wolverhampton W 4-1 1883 1778 41.72% 29.66% 28.62% +10.7 42
2004-04-04 Blackburn Rovers W 4-0 1975 1892 54.17% 26.19% 19.64% +11.8 49
2004-04-04 @ Liverpool L 0-4 1892 1975 19.64% 26.19% 54.17% -11.8 31
2004-04-04 Manchester City D 1-1 1895 1866 46.98% 28.59% 24.43% -0.7 44
2004-04-04 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1866 1895 24.43% 28.59% 46.98% +0.7 32
2004-04-05 Leicester City W 3-2 1790 1819 38.92% 29.98% 31.10% +4.4 28
2004-04-05 @ Leeds United L 2-3 1819 1790 31.10% 29.98% 38.92% -4.4 28
2004-04-09 Liverpool W 4-2 2105 1987 58.56% 24.26% 17.18% +4.2 77
2004-04-09 @ Arsenal L 2-4 1987 2105 17.18% 24.26% 58.56% -4.2 49
2004-04-09 Tottenham W 3-1 1849 1824 46.55% 28.70% 24.75% +6.7 37
2004-04-09 @ Everton L 1-3 1824 1849 24.75% 28.70% 46.55% -6.7 37
2004-04-10 Aston Villa D 2-2 1832 1894 34.22% 30.15% 35.63% +0.0 38
2004-04-10 @ Bolton Wanderers D 2-2 1894 1832 35.63% 30.15% 34.22% -0.0 45
2004-04-10 Fulham L 0-2 1815 1869 35.33% 30.15% 34.52% -10.2 28
2004-04-10 @ Leicester City W 2-0 1869 1815 34.52% 30.15% 35.33% +10.2 44
2004-04-10 Leeds United L 1-2 1880 1794 54.43% 26.09% 19.49% -7.0 31
2004-04-10 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1794 1880 19.49% 26.09% 54.43% +7.0 31
2004-04-10 Manchester United L 1-2 1874 2048 21.59% 27.35% 51.06% -3.4 46
2004-04-10 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 2048 1874 51.06% 27.35% 21.59% +3.4 65
2004-04-10 Middlesbrough D 0-0 2055 1881 65.09% 20.90% 14.01% -1.8 71
2004-04-10 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1881 2055 14.01% 20.90% 65.09% +1.8 42
2004-04-10 Portsmouth D 1-1 1865 1827 48.17% 28.26% 23.57% -0.7 44
2004-04-10 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1827 1865 23.57% 28.26% 48.17% +0.7 31
2004-04-10 Wolverhampton D 3-3 1867 1768 56.15% 25.36% 18.49% -0.7 33
2004-04-10 @ Manchester City D 3-3 1768 1867 18.49% 25.36% 56.15% +0.7 25
2004-04-11 Arsenal D 0-0 1958 2110 23.60% 28.28% 48.12% +0.8 49
2004-04-11 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 2110 1958 48.12% 28.28% 23.60% -0.8 78
2004-04-12 Birmingham City W 3-1 1828 1871 36.94% 30.11% 32.95% +8.4 34
2004-04-12 @ Portsmouth L 1-3 1871 1828 32.95% 30.11% 36.94% -8.4 46
2004-04-12 Blackburn Rovers L 3-4 1880 1873 43.97% 29.27% 26.76% -5.5 44
2004-04-12 @ Fulham W 4-3 1873 1880 26.76% 29.27% 43.97% +5.5 34
2004-04-12 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1768 1832 34.02% 30.15% 35.84% -5.0 25
2004-04-12 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 1832 1768 35.84% 30.15% 34.02% +5.0 41
2004-04-12 Charlton Athletic L 0-1 1983 1864 58.60% 24.24% 17.16% -7.9 49
2004-04-12 @ Liverpool W 1-0 1864 1983 17.16% 24.24% 58.60% +7.9 47
2004-04-12 Chelsea W 3-2 1894 2053 22.88% 27.97% 49.15% +6.2 48
2004-04-12 @ Aston Villa L 2-3 2053 1894 49.15% 27.97% 22.88% -6.2 71
2004-04-12 Manchester City D 1-1 1817 1866 36.10% 30.14% 33.76% -0.1 38
2004-04-12 @ Tottenham D 1-1 1866 1817 33.76% 30.14% 36.10% +0.1 34
2004-04-12 Southampton W 3-1 1883 1894 41.53% 29.69% 28.79% +7.6 45
2004-04-12 @ Middlesbrough L 1-3 1894 1883 28.79% 29.69% 41.53% -7.6 42
2004-04-13 Everton D 1-1 1801 1856 35.32% 30.15% 34.53% -0.0 32
2004-04-13 @ Leeds United D 1-1 1856 1801 34.53% 30.15% 35.32% +0.0 38
2004-04-13 Leicester City W 1-0 2051 1805 72.94% 16.38% 10.68% +1.6 68
2004-04-13 @ Manchester United L 0-1 1805 2051 10.68% 16.38% 72.94% -1.6 28
2004-04-16 Leeds United W 5-0 2109 1801 78.64% 12.96% 8.41% +5.2 81
2004-04-16 @ Arsenal L 0-5 1801 2109 8.41% 12.96% 78.64% -5.2 32
2004-04-17 Birmingham City D 1-1 1872 1862 44.31% 29.21% 26.48% -0.5 48
2004-04-17 @ Charlton Athletic D 1-1 1862 1872 26.48% 29.21% 44.31% +0.5 47
2004-04-17 Everton D 0-0 2047 1856 67.05% 19.81% 13.14% -1.9 72
2004-04-17 @ Chelsea D 0-0 1856 2047 13.14% 19.81% 67.05% +1.9 39
2004-04-17 Fulham D 0-0 1975 1874 56.37% 25.26% 18.37% -1.3 50
2004-04-17 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1874 1975 18.37% 25.26% 56.37% +1.3 45
2004-04-17 Leicester City W 1-0 1878 1803 53.12% 26.60% 20.28% +3.4 37
2004-04-17 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1803 1878 20.28% 26.60% 53.12% -3.4 28
2004-04-17 Manchester United W 1-0 1836 2053 18.25% 25.17% 56.58% +7.7 37
2004-04-17 @ Portsmouth L 0-1 2053 1836 56.58% 25.17% 18.25% -7.7 68
2004-04-17 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1763 1891 26.07% 29.10% 44.83% +12.1 28
2004-04-17 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1891 1763 44.83% 29.10% 26.07% -12.1 45
2004-04-17 Southampton L 1-3 1866 1886 40.19% 29.86% 29.95% -9.7 34
2004-04-17 @ Manchester City W 3-1 1886 1866 29.95% 29.86% 40.19% +9.7 45
2004-04-17 Tottenham W 2-0 1837 1817 45.80% 28.88% 25.32% +7.9 44
2004-04-17 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1817 1837 25.32% 28.88% 45.80% -7.9 38
2004-04-18 Newcastle United D 0-0 1900 1959 34.72% 30.15% 35.13% +0.0 49
2004-04-18 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1959 1900 35.13% 30.15% 34.72% -0.0 50
2004-04-20 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 2045 1871 65.15% 20.87% 13.98% +4.2 71
2004-04-20 @ Manchester United L 0-2 1871 2045 13.98% 20.87% 65.15% -4.2 48
2004-04-24 Aston Villa L 1-2 1879 1900 40.02% 29.88% 30.11% -5.6 45
2004-04-24 @ Middlesbrough W 2-1 1900 1879 30.11% 29.88% 40.02% +5.6 52
2004-04-24 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1858 1882 39.68% 29.91% 30.40% -5.9 39
2004-04-24 @ Everton W 1-0 1882 1858 30.40% 29.91% 39.68% +5.9 40
2004-04-24 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1896 1845 50.00% 27.70% 22.29% -6.6 45
2004-04-24 @ Southampton W 2-1 1845 1896 22.29% 27.70% 50.00% +6.6 47
2004-04-24 Charlton Athletic W 2-0 1875 1867 44.21% 29.23% 26.57% +8.2 48
2004-04-24 @ Fulham L 0-2 1867 1875 26.57% 29.23% 44.21% -8.2 48
2004-04-24 Liverpool L 0-1 2050 1973 53.25% 26.55% 20.20% -7.3 71
2004-04-24 @ Manchester United W 1-0 1973 2050 20.20% 26.55% 53.25% +7.3 53
2004-04-24 Manchester City D 1-1 1800 1856 35.00% 30.15% 34.85% -0.0 29
2004-04-24 @ Leicester City D 1-1 1856 1800 34.85% 30.15% 35.00% +0.0 35
2004-04-25 Arsenal D 2-2 1809 2114 13.18% 19.85% 66.97% +1.3 39
2004-04-25 @ Tottenham D 2-2 2114 1809 66.97% 19.85% 13.18% -1.3 82
2004-04-25 Chelsea W 2-1 1959 2045 30.93% 29.97% 39.10% +5.5 53
2004-04-25 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 2045 1959 39.10% 29.97% 30.93% -5.5 72
2004-04-25 Portsmouth L 1-2 1796 1844 36.31% 30.13% 33.56% -5.2 32
2004-04-25 @ Leeds United W 2-1 1844 1796 33.56% 30.13% 36.31% +5.2 40
2004-04-25 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1863 1776 54.69% 25.98% 19.33% -0.8 48
2004-04-25 @ Birmingham City D 2-2 1776 1863 19.33% 25.98% 54.69% +0.8 29
2004-05-01 Birmingham City D 0-0 2113 1862 73.31% 16.16% 10.53% -2.2 83
2004-05-01 @ Arsenal D 0-0 1862 2113 10.53% 16.16% 73.31% +2.2 49
2004-05-01 Everton W 2-1 1776 1852 32.36% 30.08% 37.56% +5.3 32
2004-05-01 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1852 1776 37.56% 30.08% 32.36% -5.3 39
2004-05-01 Fulham D 1-1 1849 1884 38.18% 30.04% 31.78% -0.2 41
2004-05-01 @ Portsmouth D 1-1 1884 1849 31.78% 30.04% 38.18% +0.2 49
2004-05-01 Leicester City D 2-2 1859 1800 51.01% 27.37% 21.62% -0.7 49
2004-05-01 @ Charlton Athletic D 2-2 1800 1859 21.62% 27.37% 51.01% +0.7 30
2004-05-01 Manchester United W 1-0 1888 2042 23.31% 28.16% 48.54% +6.8 43
2004-05-01 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 2042 1888 48.54% 28.16% 23.31% -6.8 71
2004-05-01 Newcastle United W 1-0 1856 1964 28.27% 29.60% 42.13% +6.1 38
2004-05-01 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1964 1856 42.13% 29.60% 28.27% -6.1 53
2004-05-01 Southampton W 4-0 2040 1890 62.36% 22.36% 15.27% +8.9 75
2004-05-01 @ Chelsea L 0-4 1890 2040 15.27% 22.36% 62.36% -8.9 45
2004-05-02 Leeds United W 4-1 1851 1791 51.19% 27.31% 21.50% +8.3 50
2004-05-02 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-4 1791 1851 21.50% 27.31% 51.19% -8.3 32
2004-05-02 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1981 1873 57.23% 24.88% 17.89% +5.7 56
2004-05-02 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1873 1981 17.89% 24.88% 57.23% -5.6 45
2004-05-02 Tottenham W 1-0 1906 1810 55.70% 25.55% 18.75% +3.1 55
2004-05-02 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1810 1906 18.75% 25.55% 55.70% -3.1 39
2004-05-04 Arsenal D 1-1 1849 2110 15.45% 22.55% 62.01% +1.5 42
2004-05-04 @ Portsmouth D 1-1 2110 1849 62.01% 22.55% 15.45% -1.5 84
2004-05-08 Aston Villa D 1-1 1881 1909 39.06% 29.97% 30.97% -0.2 46
2004-05-08 @ Southampton D 1-1 1909 1881 30.97% 29.97% 39.06% +0.2 56
2004-05-08 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1807 1894 30.81% 29.96% 39.23% +5.8 42
2004-05-08 @ Tottenham L 0-1 1894 1807 39.23% 29.96% 30.81% -5.8 43
2004-05-08 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1847 1860 41.21% 29.73% 29.06% -5.7 39
2004-05-08 @ Everton W 2-1 1860 1847 29.06% 29.73% 41.21% +5.7 53
2004-05-08 Charlton Athletic D 3-3 1783 1858 32.40% 30.08% 37.52% +0.1 33
2004-05-08 @ Leeds United D 3-3 1858 1783 37.52% 30.08% 32.40% -0.1 50
2004-05-08 Chelsea D 1-1 2035 2049 41.20% 29.73% 29.07% -0.4 72
2004-05-08 @ Manchester United D 1-1 2049 2035 29.07% 29.73% 41.20% +0.3 76
2004-05-08 Liverpool L 0-3 1864 1986 26.65% 29.25% 44.10% -12.0 49
2004-05-08 @ Birmingham City W 3-0 1986 1864 44.10% 29.25% 26.65% +12.0 59
2004-05-08 Manchester City W 2-1 1867 1863 43.72% 29.32% 26.96% +4.2 48
2004-05-08 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1863 1867 26.96% 29.32% 43.72% -4.2 38
2004-05-08 Portsmouth W 3-1 1800 1850 35.97% 30.14% 33.89% +8.6 33
2004-05-08 @ Leicester City L 1-3 1850 1800 33.89% 30.14% 35.97% -8.6 42
2004-05-09 Arsenal L 0-1 1884 2109 17.68% 24.70% 57.62% -3.0 49
2004-05-09 @ Fulham W 1-0 2109 1884 57.62% 24.70% 17.68% +3.0 87
2004-05-09 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1958 1782 65.40% 20.73% 13.87% -1.6 54
2004-05-09 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1782 1958 13.87% 20.73% 65.40% +1.6 33
2004-05-12 Newcastle United D 3-3 1880 1956 32.28% 30.08% 37.64% +0.1 47
2004-05-12 @ Southampton D 3-3 1956 1880 37.64% 30.08% 32.28% -0.1 55
2004-05-15 Birmingham City D 1-1 1889 1852 48.00% 28.31% 23.69% -0.7 44
2004-05-15 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1852 1889 23.69% 28.31% 48.00% +0.7 50
2004-05-15 Everton W 5-1 1858 1841 45.45% 28.96% 25.59% +12.6 41
2004-05-15 @ Manchester City L 1-5 1841 1858 25.59% 28.96% 45.45% -12.6 39
2004-05-15 Fulham L 0-2 1865 1881 40.90% 29.77% 29.33% -11.3 53
2004-05-15 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1881 1865 29.33% 29.77% 40.90% +11.3 52
2004-05-15 Leeds United W 1-0 2049 1783 74.86% 15.24% 9.91% +1.4 79
2004-05-15 @ Chelsea L 0-1 1783 2049 9.91% 15.24% 74.86% -1.4 33
2004-05-15 Leicester City W 2-1 2112 1809 78.26% 13.19% 8.56% +1.1 90
2004-05-15 @ Arsenal L 1-2 1809 2112 8.56% 13.19% 78.26% -1.1 33
2004-05-15 Manchester United L 0-2 1909 2035 26.22% 29.14% 44.64% -8.1 56
2004-05-15 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 2035 1909 44.64% 29.14% 26.22% +8.1 75
2004-05-15 Middlesbrough W 5-1 1842 1872 38.84% 29.99% 31.17% +14.7 45
2004-05-15 @ Portsmouth L 1-5 1872 1842 31.17% 29.99% 38.84% -14.7 48
2004-05-15 Newcastle United D 1-1 1998 1956 48.77% 28.09% 23.14% -0.8 60
2004-05-15 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1956 1998 23.14% 28.09% 48.77% +0.8 56
2004-05-15 Southampton W 2-1 1858 1880 39.88% 29.89% 30.23% +4.5 53
2004-05-15 @ Charlton Athletic L 1-2 1880 1858 30.23% 29.89% 39.88% -4.5 47
2004-05-15 Tottenham L 0-2 1783 1813 38.87% 29.99% 31.14% -10.9 33
2004-05-15 @ Wolverhampton W 2-0 1813 1783 31.14% 29.99% 38.87% +10.9 45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-02-11 12.75% Middlesbrough 1871 3 @ Manchester United 2070 2
2 2003-12-13 12.99% Bolton Wanderers 1840 2 @ Chelsea 2034 1
3 2003-10-25 13.40% Fulham 1876 3 @ Manchester United 2062 1
4 2004-01-17 14.78% @ Wolverhampton 1800 1 Manchester United 2074 0
5 2004-04-12 17.16% Charlton Athletic 1864 1 @ Liverpool 1983 0
6 2003-12-13 18.21% Southampton 1876 2 @ Liverpool 1979 1
7 2004-04-17 18.25% @ Portsmouth 1836 1 Manchester United 2053 0
8 2004-03-14 19.13% @ Manchester City 1855 4 Manchester United 2059 1
9 2004-04-10 19.49% Leeds United 1794 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1880 1
10 2004-03-27 20.01% Portsmouth 1820 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1899 1
11 2003-08-30 20.02% Birmingham City 1859 1 @ Newcastle United 1938 0
12 2003-12-20 20.16% Aston Villa 1832 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1909 0
13 2004-04-24 20.20% Liverpool 1973 1 @ Manchester United 2050 0
14 2003-09-28 20.65% Fulham 1860 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1931 0
15 2004-03-13 20.87% Leicester City 1811 1 @ Birmingham City 1879 0
16 2003-10-20 21.07% Charlton Athletic 1846 1 @ Blackburn Rovers 1912 0
17 2003-11-09 21.08% Leicester City 1839 3 @ Manchester City 1904 0
18 2004-01-10 21.54% Bolton Wanderers 1841 4 @ Blackburn Rovers 1901 3
19 2003-08-25 21.59% Manchester City 1881 3 @ Blackburn Rovers 1940 2
20 2003-08-31 21.60% @ Southampton 1872 1 Manchester United 2045 0
21 2003-12-28 21.77% Blackburn Rovers 1894 1 @ Newcastle United 1952 0
22 2003-12-26 21.85% @ Charlton Athletic 1859 4 Chelsea 2030 2
23 2003-11-29 21.89% Leeds United 1813 1 @ Charlton Athletic 1869 0
24 2004-02-11 21.93% Tottenham 1823 4 @ Charlton Athletic 1879 2
25 2004-01-17 21.94% @ Tottenham 1816 2 Liverpool 1986 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2004-01-31 26.65 Aston Villa 5 1856 29.03% @ Leicester City 0 1843 41.24% 29.73%
2 2003-08-23 25.08 Charlton Athletic 4 1819 22.15% @ Wolverhampton 0 1872 50.22% 27.63%
3 2003-12-06 20.93 Blackburn Rovers 4 1890 30.64% @ Birmingham City 0 1864 39.42% 29.94%
4 2003-11-09 19.67 Leicester City 3 1839 21.08% @ Manchester City 0 1904 51.85% 27.08%
5 2003-09-15 19.46 @ Leicester City 4 1837 34.25% Leeds United 0 1899 35.60% 30.15%
6 2004-03-14 17.80 Aston Villa 4 1883 38.53% @ Wolverhampton 0 1801 31.45% 30.02%
7 2003-09-20 17.71 Chelsea 5 1984 47.44% @ Wolverhampton 0 1837 24.09% 28.46%
8 2004-03-14 17.35 @ Manchester City 4 1855 19.13% Manchester United 1 2059 55.04% 25.83%
9 2003-09-28 16.63 @ Everton 4 1857 41.56% Leeds United 0 1868 28.76% 29.68%
10 2003-08-30 16.37 Fulham 3 1843 29.59% @ Tottenham 0 1826 40.60% 29.81%
11 2003-11-09 15.84 @ Chelsea 5 2010 51.43% Newcastle United 0 1948 21.35% 27.22%
12 2003-08-17 15.81 Manchester City 3 1866 31.28% @ Charlton Athletic 0 1835 38.72% 30.00%
13 2003-11-08 15.56 @ Portsmouth 6 1856 45.16% Leeds United 1 1841 25.81% 29.02%
14 2003-10-04 15.41 @ Tottenham 3 1799 32.54% Everton 0 1874 37.37% 30.09%
15 2004-01-31 14.76 Middlesbrough 3 1862 34.68% @ Leeds United 0 1806 35.17% 30.15%
16 2004-05-15 14.74 @ Portsmouth 5 1842 38.84% Middlesbrough 1 1872 31.17% 29.99%
17 2003-08-26 14.21 @ Portsmouth 4 1870 47.85% Bolton Wanderers 0 1835 23.80% 28.35%
18 2003-12-28 14.16 @ Aston Villa 3 1846 36.76% Fulham 0 1891 33.12% 30.12%
19 2003-10-25 14.06 Fulham 3 1876 13.40% @ Manchester United 1 2062 66.47% 20.13%
20 2003-08-24 13.94 Arsenal 4 2018 48.56% @ Middlesbrough 0 1863 23.29% 28.15%
21 2003-12-20 13.83 Aston Villa 2 1832 20.16% @ Blackburn Rovers 0 1909 53.31% 26.53%
22 2003-09-28 13.67 Fulham 2 1860 20.65% @ Blackburn Rovers 0 1931 52.52% 26.83%
23 2004-01-11 13.53 Chelsea 4 2019 49.62% @ Leicester City 0 1856 22.55% 27.83%
24 2003-08-30 13.46 Liverpool 3 1962 39.11% @ Everton 0 1875 30.92% 29.97%
25 2004-05-15 12.61 @ Manchester City 5 1858 45.45% Everton 1 1841 25.59% 28.96%