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1904-05 Football League First Division Season

306 games

Final

Champion

Newcastle United

48 points · 1st Title

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Everton

6.38 points above expected

47 points · 40.62 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Notts County

6.96 points below expected

18 points · 24.96 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Newcastle United Champion 34 23 2 9 48 72 33 +39 41.98 +6.02
2 Everton 34 21 5 8 47 63 36 +27 40.62 +6.38
3 Manchester City 34 20 6 8 46 66 37 +29 41.58 +4.42
4 Aston Villa 34 19 4 11 42 63 43 +20 38.37 +3.63
5 Sunderland 34 16 8 10 40 60 44 +16 37.67 +2.33
6 Sheffield United 34 19 2 13 40 64 56 +8 35.01 +4.99
7 Birmingham City 34 17 5 12 39 54 38 +16 36.43 +2.57
8 Preston North End 34 13 10 11 36 42 37 +5 34.05 +1.95
9 The Wednesday 34 14 5 15 33 61 57 +4 37.78 -4.78
10 Woolwich Arsenal 34 12 9 13 33 36 40 -4 34.04 -1.04
11 Derby County 34 12 8 14 32 37 48 -11 32.87 -0.87
12 Stoke City 34 13 4 17 30 40 58 -18 28.82 +1.18
13 Blackburn Rovers 34 11 5 18 27 40 51 -11 31.91 -4.91
14 Middlesbrough 34 9 8 17 26 36 56 -20 29.21 -3.21
15 Wolverhampton 34 11 4 19 26 47 73 -26 28.85 -2.85
16 Nottingham Forest 34 9 7 18 25 40 61 -21 29.39 -4.39
17 Bury 34 10 4 20 24 47 67 -20 28.49 -4.49
18 Notts County 34 5 8 21 18 36 69 -33 24.96 -6.96

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Newcastle United 2054 48 41.98 +6.02 92.6% 24 34 39 42 45 49 60
Manchester City 2051 46 41.58 +4.42 86.0% 24 34 39 42 45 49 56
Everton 2024 47 40.62 +6.38 93.2% 22 33 37 41 44 48 56
Aston Villa 2008 42 38.37 +3.63 81.7% 22 31 35 38 41 46 55
Sunderland 1957 40 37.67 +2.33 72.7% 19 30 35 38 41 45 55
Birmingham City 1909 39 36.43 +2.57 74.3% 19 29 33 36 40 44 55
Preston North End 1890 36 34.05 +1.95 70.1% 18 27 31 34 37 42 53
Sheffield United 1883 40 35.01 +4.99 87.9% 17 27 32 35 38 43 52
The Wednesday 1871 33 37.78 -4.78 17.5% 19 30 35 38 41 45 55
Woolwich Arsenal 1850 33 34.04 -1.04 45.5% 17 26 31 34 37 42 50
Stoke City 1831 30 28.82 +1.18 64.8% 11 21 26 29 32 37 46
Derby County 1813 32 32.87 -0.87 46.7% 14 25 30 33 36 41 52
Bury 1776 24 28.49 -4.49 20.0% 11 21 25 28 32 36 46
Middlesbrough 1767 26 29.21 -3.21 27.6% 13 22 26 29 32 37 48
Nottingham Forest 1766 25 29.39 -4.39 19.8% 12 22 26 29 32 37 45
Blackburn Rovers 1758 27 31.91 -4.91 16.9% 14 24 29 32 35 39 50
Wolverhampton 1735 26 28.85 -2.85 30.6% 9 21 26 29 32 36 49
Notts County 1684 18 24.96 -6.96 7.7% 9 18 22 25 28 33 41

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AV BC BR BUR DC EVE MC MID NU NF NC PNE SU SC SUN TW WOL WA
Aston Villa —
2-0-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
4.00
0-0-2
2.60
1-1-0
3.67
2-0-0
4.36
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-2
2.73
1-1-0
3.70
1-0-1
2.94
Birmingham City
0-0-2
2.90
 —
2-0-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.43
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
2.40
2-0-0
3.25
2-0-0
2.26
1-0-1
3.34
0-1-1
3.82
1-1-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
3.43
1-1-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.21
Blackburn Rovers
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.39
 —
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.04
0-0-2
3.02
1-0-1
1.47
0-1-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.57
0-2-0
2.58
0-0-2
2.72
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
2.74
Bury
0-0-2
1.79
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.70
 —
1-0-1
2.28
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
1.65
1-1-0
2.84
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
2.99
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.10
0-0-2
2.08
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.52
Derby County
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
3.36
 —
0-1-1
2.34
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.25
2-0-0
2.99
0-2-0
3.69
1-0-1
2.74
0-0-2
2.64
2-0-0
3.04
1-0-1
2.19
1-1-0
2.46
1-0-1
3.07
0-2-0
2.72
Everton
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.79
1-1-0
3.30
 —
0-1-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.64
1-0-1
2.73
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
3.69
1-1-0
3.51
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
3.96
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
3.12
2-0-0
3.71
1-0-1
3.83
Manchester City
1-0-1
3.23
1-0-1
3.24
1-0-1
3.62
2-0-0
4.01
2-0-0
3.73
1-1-0
2.88
 —
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
2.87
0-1-1
4.15
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-1
3.22
2-0-0
4.21
1-0-1
3.47
Middlesbrough
1-1-0
1.65
0-0-2
2.39
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
2.01
 —
0-0-2
1.60
0-2-0
2.85
0-1-1
3.30
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.01
0-0-2
2.30
1-0-1
2.82
1-1-0
2.47
Newcastle United
2-0-0
3.04
0-0-2
3.38
1-0-1
4.18
2-0-0
4.06
1-1-0
3.40
1-0-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
4.05
 —
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
3.71
1-0-1
3.47
1-1-0
3.34
1-0-1
3.84
0-0-2
3.44
2-0-0
3.49
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
3.22
Nottingham Forest
0-1-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.31
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.75
0-0-2
2.66
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
1.50
0-2-0
2.79
0-0-2
1.66
 —
2-0-0
3.48
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
2.97
0-0-2
2.26
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.99
1-0-1
2.35
Notts County
0-0-2
1.29
1-1-0
1.82
1-0-1
2.08
0-0-2
2.66
0-2-0
1.96
0-0-2
1.96
0-1-1
1.91
1-1-0
2.35
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
2.16
 —
0-0-2
2.08
0-0-2
2.07
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
1.52
0-1-1
1.70
0-0-2
2.40
1-0-1
1.97
Preston North End
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.65
0-2-0
3.07
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.32
1-1-0
3.27
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
3.57
 —
1-0-1
2.65
1-1-0
3.17
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.64
0-2-0
3.34
1-1-0
2.66
Sheffield United
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
2.93
1-0-1
3.53
2-0-0
3.00
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.49
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
2.31
2-0-0
3.18
2-0-0
3.57
1-0-1
2.99
 —
1-0-1
3.30
1-0-1
2.53
2-0-0
2.64
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
2.59
Stoke City
0-0-2
2.14
2-0-0
2.21
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.60
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
1.99
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
1.81
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
3.06
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.34
 —
0-0-2
2.02
1-0-1
1.88
2-0-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.25
Sunderland
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
3.14
1-0-1
3.54
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.44
1-1-0
3.63
2-0-0
2.21
2-0-0
3.39
1-1-0
4.13
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.63
 —
1-1-0
2.59
1-0-1
3.45
0-2-0
3.23
The Wednesday
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.49
2-0-0
3.56
0-1-1
3.19
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
2.43
2-0-0
3.34
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
3.50
1-1-0
3.96
1-0-1
3.01
0-0-2
3.00
1-0-1
3.77
0-1-1
3.05
 —
1-0-1
3.67
0-0-2
3.36
Wolverhampton
0-1-1
1.96
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-1
2.62
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.93
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-1
2.82
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
2.65
2-0-0
3.24
0-2-0
2.30
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
1.97
 —
1-0-1
2.38
Woolwich Arsenal
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.43
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
3.13
0-2-0
2.93
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
3.18
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
3.69
0-1-1
2.98
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
3.39
0-2-0
2.42
2-0-0
2.29
1-0-1
3.26
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.68 +5.8
Allowed 0.70 -5.9
Differential 0.95 +4.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%8.33%6.05%4.25%1.47%0.65%26.63%
18.33%8.17%7.52%4.90%1.31%1.63%31.86%
26.05%7.52%2.61%2.78%1.31%0.98%21.24%
34.25%4.90%2.78%—0.16%0.16%12.25%
41.47%1.31%1.31%0.16%——4.25%
5+0.65%1.63%0.98%0.16%—0.33%3.76%
Total26.63%31.86%21.24%12.25%4.25%3.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.48 +0.00
SD 1.34 1.34 2.01
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 306

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%5.88%8.82%—2.94%—20.59%
12.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%——17.65%
28.82%5.88%2.94%5.88%——23.53%
317.65%2.94%11.76%———32.35%
4—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
5+———————
Total32.35%23.53%32.35%8.82%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.26 +0.59
SD 1.26 1.11 1.88
CV 0.68 0.88 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%5.88%—5.88%——14.71%
18.82%8.82%20.59%2.94%——41.18%
214.71%11.76%2.94%———29.41%
3—2.94%————2.94%
4—8.82%————8.82%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total29.41%38.24%23.53%8.82%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.12 +0.47
SD 1.23 0.95 1.80
CV 0.78 0.85 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%8.82%14.71%2.94%2.94%—35.29%
15.88%8.82%11.76%2.94%2.94%—32.35%
25.88%5.88%——2.94%2.94%17.65%
32.94%5.88%————8.82%
45.88%—————5.88%
5+———————
Total26.47%29.41%26.47%5.88%8.82%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.50 -0.32
SD 1.19 1.35 2.03
CV 1.01 0.90 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%2.94%14.71%—5.88%2.94%29.41%
18.82%5.88%8.82%2.94%2.94%2.94%32.35%
28.82%—2.94%8.82%5.88%—26.47%
3—5.88%————5.88%
4———————
5+—5.88%————5.88%
Total20.59%20.59%26.47%11.76%14.71%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.97 -0.59
SD 1.50 1.53 2.36
CV 1.08 0.78 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%2.94%20.59%2.94%—2.94%41.18%
18.82%11.76%2.94%5.88%——29.41%
22.94%5.88%—2.94%——11.76%
35.88%2.94%5.88%———14.71%
4——2.94%———2.94%
5+———————
Total29.41%23.53%32.35%11.76%—2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.41 -0.32
SD 1.19 1.31 1.89
CV 1.09 0.92 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%14.71%2.94%———23.53%
111.76%2.94%2.94%———17.65%
28.82%20.59%2.94%2.94%——35.29%
32.94%—5.88%———8.82%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+—5.88%2.94%——2.94%11.76%
Total29.41%47.06%17.65%2.94%—2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.06 +0.79
SD 1.56 1.04 1.49
CV 0.84 0.98 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%5.88%2.94%———14.71%
114.71%11.76%5.88%5.88%——38.24%
22.94%11.76%—2.94%——17.65%
35.88%—8.82%———14.71%
4——2.94%———2.94%
5+2.94%5.88%2.94%———11.76%
Total32.35%35.29%23.53%8.82%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.94 1.09 +0.85
SD 1.67 0.97 1.88
CV 0.86 0.89 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%14.71%2.94%5.88%—2.94%35.29%
18.82%11.76%2.94%8.82%——32.35%
25.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%23.53%
3—5.88%———2.94%8.82%
4———————
5+———————
Total23.53%38.24%8.82%17.65%2.94%8.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.65 -0.59
SD 0.98 1.54 1.67
CV 0.93 0.93 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.82%2.94%———11.76%
111.76%5.88%5.88%5.88%——29.41%
211.76%——2.94%——14.71%
314.71%14.71%2.94%———32.35%
4—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
5+—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
Total38.24%35.29%17.65%8.82%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 0.97 +1.15
SD 1.45 0.97 1.78
CV 0.69 1.00 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%11.76%11.76%2.94%2.94%—38.24%
12.94%8.82%2.94%2.94%—8.82%26.47%
2—14.71%2.94%8.82%——26.47%
32.94%—————2.94%
4———————
5+—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
Total14.71%38.24%20.59%14.71%2.94%8.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.79 -0.62
SD 1.31 1.43 1.97
CV 1.12 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%11.76%2.94%2.94%—2.94%32.35%
1—5.88%17.65%8.82%—8.82%41.18%
22.94%8.82%5.88%—2.94%—20.59%
3————2.94%—2.94%
4———————
5+——2.94%———2.94%
Total14.71%26.47%29.41%11.76%5.88%11.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 2.03 -0.97
SD 1.07 1.53 1.71
CV 1.01 0.75 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%14.71%5.88%———32.35%
111.76%11.76%—2.94%—2.94%29.41%
25.88%5.88%5.88%5.88%——23.53%
32.94%8.82%————11.76%
42.94%—————2.94%
5+———————
Total35.29%41.18%11.76%8.82%—2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.09 +0.15
SD 1.13 1.26 1.69
CV 0.91 1.16 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.88%5.88%8.82%2.94%—23.53%
111.76%5.88%5.88%2.94%—2.94%29.41%
2—8.82%——2.94%—11.76%
3—8.82%2.94%———11.76%
48.82%—8.82%———17.65%
5+—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
Total20.59%32.35%26.47%11.76%5.88%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.65 +0.24
SD 1.63 1.47 2.47
CV 0.87 0.90 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%2.94%2.94%8.82%2.94%—23.53%
114.71%2.94%11.76%8.82%8.82%—47.06%
25.88%8.82%2.94%——2.94%20.59%
3—5.88%————5.88%
42.94%—————2.94%
5+———————
Total29.41%20.59%17.65%17.65%11.76%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.71 -0.53
SD 0.97 1.51 1.99
CV 0.82 0.88 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%11.76%————17.65%
15.88%11.76%2.94%2.94%2.94%—26.47%
2—8.82%5.88%5.88%—2.94%23.53%
38.82%14.71%5.88%———29.41%
4———————
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total23.53%47.06%14.71%8.82%2.94%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.29 +0.47
SD 1.23 1.19 1.74
CV 0.70 0.92 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.82%—8.82%——17.65%
15.88%8.82%11.76%5.88%——32.35%
28.82%2.94%2.94%—2.94%5.88%23.53%
32.94%5.88%2.94%———11.76%
45.88%2.94%————8.82%
5+2.94%————2.94%5.88%
Total26.47%29.41%17.65%14.71%2.94%8.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.68 +0.12
SD 1.43 1.61 2.27
CV 0.80 0.96 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%2.94%2.94%17.65%2.94%—29.41%
15.88%2.94%8.82%11.76%2.94%2.94%35.29%
28.82%—5.88%—2.94%—17.65%
3—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
4—2.94%2.94%2.94%——8.82%
5+———2.94%——2.94%
Total17.65%11.76%23.53%35.29%8.82%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 2.15 -0.76
SD 1.37 1.35 2.06
CV 0.99 0.63 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%8.82%5.88%8.82%2.94%—38.24%
18.82%14.71%5.88%2.94%2.94%—35.29%
25.88%8.82%————14.71%
38.82%—————8.82%
4———————
5+—2.94%————2.94%
Total35.29%35.29%11.76%11.76%5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.18 -0.12
SD 1.18 1.22 1.95
CV 1.11 1.04 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Everton 47 40.62 +6.38
2 Newcastle United 48 41.98 +6.02
3 Sheffield United 40 35.01 +4.99
4 Manchester City 46 41.58 +4.42
5 Aston Villa 42 38.37 +3.63

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Notts County 18 24.96 -6.96
2 Blackburn Rovers 27 31.91 -4.91
3 The Wednesday 33 37.78 -4.78
4 Bury 24 28.49 -4.49
5 Nottingham Forest 25 29.39 -4.39

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aston Villa 5 Jan 28 – Mar 18 1 in 198
2 Nottingham Forest 3 Mar 11 – Mar 25 1 in 128
3 Sheffield United 4 Nov 26 – Dec 17 1 in 128
4 Birmingham City 5 Nov 5 – Dec 3 1 in 116
5 The Wednesday 7 Sep 3 – Oct 15 1 in 101

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nottingham Forest 4 Oct 1 – Oct 15 1 in 165
2 The Wednesday 4 Jan 28 – Mar 11 1 in 61
3 Derby County 5 Dec 26 – Jan 7 1 in 52
4 Preston North End 4 Dec 17 – Jan 2 1 in 49
5 Notts County 5 Feb 25 – Apr 1 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sunderland 9 Sep 24 – Nov 19 1 in 89
2 Nottingham Forest 4 Mar 4 – Mar 25 1 in 45
3 Birmingham City 8 Dec 26 – Feb 11 1 in 37
4 Aston Villa 8 Dec 3 – Jan 14 1 in 26
5 Middlesbrough 4 Dec 3 – Dec 24 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Notts County 18 Nov 26 – Apr 8 1 in 625
2 Middlesbrough 10 Oct 8 – Dec 10 1 in 83
3 Sunderland 6 Mar 4 – Apr 8 1 in 62
4 Woolwich Arsenal 7 Mar 4 – Apr 15 1 in 61
5 Bury 9 Sep 3 – Oct 29 1 in 47

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718
Newcastle United29.54%20.18%14.14%10.05%7.69%5.55%4.37%2.74%1.95%1.39%1.14%0.61%0.26%0.19%0.12%0.05%0.03%—
Everton17.94%17.74%14.38%12.33%9.81%7.18%6.03%4.35%3.26%2.47%1.68%1.06%0.67%0.52%0.29%0.19%0.06%0.04%
Manchester City24.22%19.40%15.54%11.40%8.73%6.30%4.08%3.61%2.28%1.59%1.13%0.65%0.50%0.30%0.15%0.09%0.02%0.01%
Aston Villa7.97%10.03%11.50%12.00%11.31%10.36%8.37%7.25%6.06%4.28%3.59%2.74%1.87%1.10%0.67%0.57%0.25%0.08%
Sunderland6.13%8.79%9.64%10.42%11.24%10.41%9.29%7.98%6.57%5.21%4.30%3.28%2.31%1.72%1.14%0.93%0.43%0.21%
Sheffield United1.79%3.44%4.90%6.50%7.37%8.45%9.58%9.38%8.91%8.36%7.62%6.03%5.34%4.43%3.35%2.28%1.55%0.72%
Birmingham City3.51%5.60%7.57%9.33%9.37%9.67%10.27%9.03%8.10%7.15%5.47%4.79%3.28%2.66%1.99%1.21%0.76%0.24%
Preston North End1.11%2.22%3.40%4.47%6.16%7.53%8.10%9.28%9.11%9.08%8.96%7.76%6.60%5.57%4.62%3.21%1.88%0.94%
The Wednesday5.22%7.75%9.76%10.49%11.21%10.83%9.16%8.46%7.17%5.90%4.26%3.54%2.23%1.90%1.07%0.62%0.36%0.07%
Woolwich Arsenal1.21%2.32%3.64%4.34%5.63%6.88%7.78%8.60%9.39%9.04%8.58%8.49%7.56%5.62%4.04%3.46%2.24%1.18%
Derby County0.66%1.14%2.21%3.27%3.94%5.27%6.23%7.34%8.83%9.24%9.62%9.03%9.01%7.79%6.20%4.81%3.45%1.96%
Stoke City0.07%0.06%0.39%0.65%0.77%1.60%2.12%2.86%3.97%5.06%6.39%7.65%9.24%10.65%12.25%12.89%12.94%10.44%
Blackburn Rovers0.44%0.74%1.33%2.30%2.95%3.74%5.24%6.85%7.76%8.69%9.43%10.09%9.58%8.61%7.82%6.23%5.26%2.94%
Middlesbrough0.06%0.16%0.45%0.80%1.04%1.64%2.38%2.94%4.36%5.42%6.54%8.20%9.61%11.12%12.04%12.23%11.79%9.22%
Wolverhampton0.03%0.14%0.21%0.53%0.75%1.51%2.22%2.73%3.60%4.78%6.36%7.68%9.19%10.52%12.00%12.52%13.34%11.89%
Nottingham Forest0.06%0.11%0.49%0.66%1.14%1.52%2.47%3.36%4.25%6.18%6.90%8.07%9.47%10.62%12.27%12.71%10.86%8.86%
Bury0.04%0.17%0.42%0.41%0.79%1.30%1.93%2.68%3.47%4.74%5.96%7.20%8.69%10.68%11.50%13.32%14.88%11.82%
Notts County—0.01%0.03%0.05%0.10%0.26%0.38%0.56%0.96%1.42%2.07%3.13%4.59%6.00%8.48%12.68%19.90%39.38%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+31.37%
Strong Edge
57.19%16.99%25.82%
Elo Value
Home Edge
180 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0112.80500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.69 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.63+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.2
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
30%
Newcastle United, 1st of 18
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.7 * Some Luck: 3.7 to 5.55 * Lucky: 5.55 to 7.4 * Wild Swing: 7.4 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.34 * Close: 2.34 to 3.5 * Off: 3.5 to 4.67 * Way Off: 4.67 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.13 points
Some Luck
04.6212
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.926
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.22%
93.16%
Everton
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.78%
7.74%
Notts County
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 18
Minimal Outliers
01.89

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.51
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
73%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
89%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Very Frequent
0%54%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.55
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.48
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.80
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.75
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.08 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.08 to 0.12 * Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.16 * Well Above Noise: 0.16 and up.
Probability calibration
0.61
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.01
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.054
Well Within Noise
00.0810.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Aston Villa 100%
Birmingham City 100%
Blackburn Rovers 100%
Bury 100%
Derby County 100%
Everton 100%
Manchester City 100%
Middlesbrough 100%
Newcastle United 100%
Nottingham Forest 100%
Notts County 100%
Preston North End 100%
Sheffield United 100%
Stoke City 100%
Sunderland 100%
The Wednesday 100%
Wolverhampton 100%
Woolwich Arsenal 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1904-09-01 Preston North End L 1-2 1918 1834 68.96% 17.58% 13.46% -16.2 0
1904-09-01 @ Aston Villa W 2-1 1834 1918 13.46% 17.58% 68.96% +16.2 2
1904-09-01 Derby County L 1-2 1845 1857 60.64% 17.91% 21.45% -14.2 0
1904-09-01 @ Stoke City W 2-1 1857 1845 21.45% 17.91% 60.64% +14.2 2
1904-09-03 Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1842 1833 62.73% 17.85% 19.42% -29.3 0
1904-09-03 @ Bury W 2-0 1833 1842 19.42% 17.85% 62.73% +29.3 2
1904-09-03 Birmingham City W 2-1 1932 1844 69.24% 17.56% 13.20% +3.7 2
1904-09-03 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1844 1932 13.20% 17.56% 69.24% -3.7 0
1904-09-03 The Wednesday L 1-3 1845 1926 52.90% 18.02% 29.09% -21.5 0
1904-09-03 @ Middlesbrough W 3-1 1926 1845 29.09% 18.02% 52.90% +21.5 2
1904-09-03 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-0 1907 1863 65.81% 17.74% 16.45% +13.1 2
1904-09-03 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1863 1907 16.45% 17.74% 65.81% -13.1 0
1904-09-03 Everton L 1-2 1812 1925 48.79% 18.03% 33.18% -11.6 0
1904-09-03 @ Notts County W 2-1 1925 1812 33.18% 18.03% 48.79% +11.6 2
1904-09-03 Derby County W 3-1 1871 1871 61.77% 17.88% 20.35% +9.5 2
1904-09-03 @ Sheffield United L 1-3 1871 1871 20.35% 17.88% 61.77% -9.5 2
1904-09-03 Nottingham Forest W 3-2 1823 1854 58.58% 17.95% 23.47% +5.9 2
1904-09-03 @ Wolverhampton L 2-3 1854 1823 23.47% 17.95% 58.58% -5.9 0
1904-09-03 Stoke City W 3-0 1902 1831 67.99% 17.64% 14.37% +11.6 2
1904-09-03 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1831 1902 14.37% 17.64% 67.99% -11.6 0
1904-09-03 Sunderland W 3-1 1850 1895 57.09% 17.97% 24.94% +11.3 4
1904-09-03 @ Preston North End L 1-3 1895 1850 24.94% 17.97% 57.09% -11.3 0
1904-09-05 Notts County W 5-0 1884 1800 68.88% 17.58% 13.54% +17.6 2
1904-09-05 @ Sunderland L 0-5 1800 1884 13.54% 17.58% 68.88% -17.6 0
1904-09-05 Sheffield United W 4-2 1828 1880 56.36% 17.98% 25.66% +10.4 4
1904-09-05 @ Wolverhampton L 2-4 1880 1828 25.66% 17.98% 56.36% -10.4 2
1904-09-10 Newcastle United D 1-1 1862 1920 55.56% 17.99% 26.45% -1.7 3
1904-09-10 @ Derby County D 1-1 1920 1862 26.45% 17.99% 55.56% +1.7 3
1904-09-10 Bury W 5-1 1848 1813 65.09% 17.77% 17.13% +14.8 2
1904-09-10 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-5 1813 1848 17.13% 17.77% 65.09% -14.8 0
1904-09-10 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1901 1824 68.45% 17.61% 13.94% -3.3 3
1904-09-10 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1824 1901 13.94% 17.61% 68.45% +3.3 1
1904-09-10 Preston North End D 0-0 1850 1861 60.70% 17.91% 21.39% -2.6 1
1904-09-10 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 0-0 1861 1850 21.39% 17.91% 60.70% +2.6 5
1904-09-10 Notts County L 1-2 1840 1783 66.92% 17.69% 15.39% -15.7 0
1904-09-10 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 1783 1840 15.39% 17.69% 66.92% +15.7 2
1904-09-10 Aston Villa W 4-0 1862 1914 56.33% 17.98% 25.69% +25.5 4
1904-09-10 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-4 1914 1862 25.69% 17.98% 56.33% -25.5 2
1904-09-10 Sheffield United W 2-0 1936 1870 67.64% 17.65% 14.71% +8.1 4
1904-09-10 @ Everton L 0-2 1870 1936 14.71% 17.65% 67.64% -8.1 2
1904-09-10 Wolverhampton W 4-0 1948 1839 70.63% 17.46% 11.91% +12.7 4
1904-09-10 @ The Wednesday L 0-4 1839 1948 11.91% 17.46% 70.63% -12.7 4
1904-09-10 Manchester City W 1-0 1819 1936 48.26% 18.03% 33.71% +9.0 2
1904-09-10 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1936 1819 33.71% 18.03% 48.26% -9.0 2
1904-09-12 Everton W 1-0 1888 1945 55.83% 17.99% 26.18% +7.2 4
1904-09-12 @ Aston Villa L 0-1 1945 1888 26.18% 17.99% 55.83% -7.2 4
1904-09-17 The Wednesday L 1-4 1798 1960 41.96% 18.00% 40.04% -24.9 0
1904-09-17 @ Bury W 4-1 1960 1798 40.04% 18.00% 41.96% +24.8 6
1904-09-17 Woolwich Arsenal W 1-0 1827 1847 59.79% 17.93% 22.28% +6.3 3
1904-09-17 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1847 1827 22.28% 17.93% 59.79% -6.3 1
1904-09-17 Everton W 3-2 1922 1937 60.29% 17.92% 21.80% +5.5 5
1904-09-17 @ Newcastle United L 2-3 1937 1922 21.80% 17.92% 60.29% -5.5 4
1904-09-17 Manchester City D 1-1 1798 1927 46.66% 18.02% 35.31% -0.6 3
1904-09-17 @ Notts County D 1-1 1927 1798 35.31% 18.02% 46.66% +0.6 3
1904-09-17 Stoke City W 4-0 1887 1828 67.04% 17.69% 15.27% +16.0 6
1904-09-17 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-4 1828 1887 15.27% 17.69% 67.04% -16.0 2
1904-09-17 Derby County W 2-0 1864 1860 62.21% 17.87% 19.93% +10.7 7
1904-09-17 @ Preston North End L 0-2 1860 1864 19.93% 17.87% 62.21% -10.7 3
1904-09-17 Birmingham City W 2-1 1862 1825 65.21% 17.77% 17.03% +4.7 4
1904-09-17 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1825 1862 17.03% 17.77% 65.21% -4.7 0
1904-09-17 Sunderland W 1-0 1826 1898 53.97% 18.01% 28.02% +7.7 6
1904-09-17 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1898 1826 28.02% 18.01% 53.97% -7.7 3
1904-09-17 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 1896 1863 64.83% 17.78% 17.39% +9.5 6
1904-09-17 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1863 1896 17.39% 17.78% 64.83% -9.5 2
1904-09-24 Newcastle United W 2-1 1820 1927 49.50% 18.03% 32.47% +8.2 2
1904-09-24 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1927 1820 32.47% 18.03% 49.50% -8.2 5
1904-09-24 Middlesbrough W 4-2 1849 1834 63.32% 17.84% 18.84% +7.9 5
1904-09-24 @ Derby County L 2-4 1834 1849 18.84% 17.84% 63.32% -7.9 3
1904-09-24 Sheffield United D 1-1 1928 1866 67.24% 17.68% 15.08% -3.2 4
1904-09-24 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1866 1928 15.08% 17.68% 67.24% +3.2 5
1904-09-24 Blackburn Rovers W 5-2 1854 1903 56.56% 17.98% 25.46% +14.1 4
1904-09-24 @ Nottingham Forest L 2-5 1903 1854 25.46% 17.98% 56.56% -14.1 6
1904-09-24 Bury W 2-1 1890 1773 71.17% 17.42% 11.40% +3.2 5
1904-09-24 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1773 1890 11.40% 17.42% 71.17% -3.2 0
1904-09-24 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1841 1834 62.53% 17.86% 19.61% +10.6 3
1904-09-24 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-2 1834 1841 19.61% 17.86% 62.53% -10.6 6
1904-09-24 Preston North End W 1-0 1932 1875 66.88% 17.69% 15.42% +4.5 6
1904-09-24 @ Everton L 0-1 1875 1932 15.42% 17.69% 66.88% -4.5 7
1904-09-24 Notts County L 0-2 1812 1798 63.21% 17.84% 18.95% -29.5 2
1904-09-24 @ Stoke City W 2-0 1798 1812 18.95% 17.84% 63.21% +29.5 5
1904-09-24 Aston Villa W 3-2 1985 1905 68.64% 17.60% 13.76% +3.6 8
1904-09-24 @ The Wednesday L 2-3 1905 1985 13.76% 17.60% 68.64% -3.6 6
1904-10-01 The Wednesday L 0-1 1889 1989 50.52% 18.03% 31.45% -12.6 6
1904-10-01 @ Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1989 1889 31.45% 18.03% 50.52% +12.6 10
1904-10-01 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1770 1852 52.75% 18.02% 29.23% -1.3 1
1904-10-01 @ Bury D 1-1 1852 1770 29.23% 18.02% 52.75% +1.3 4
1904-10-01 Everton W 1-0 1826 1936 49.08% 18.03% 32.89% +8.8 5
1904-10-01 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1936 1826 32.89% 18.03% 49.08% -8.8 6
1904-10-01 Manchester City W 2-0 1919 1925 61.29% 17.89% 20.81% +11.2 7
1904-10-01 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1925 1919 20.81% 17.89% 61.29% -11.2 4
1904-10-01 Stoke City L 0-1 1868 1783 68.99% 17.58% 13.43% -17.2 4
1904-10-01 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1783 1868 13.43% 17.58% 68.99% +17.2 4
1904-10-01 Birmingham City D 2-2 1870 1828 65.64% 17.75% 16.61% -2.2 8
1904-10-01 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1828 1870 16.61% 17.75% 65.64% +2.2 3
1904-10-01 Notts County W 2-1 1869 1827 65.64% 17.75% 16.61% +4.5 7
1904-10-01 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1827 1869 16.61% 17.75% 65.64% -4.5 5
1904-10-01 Derby County W 2-0 1823 1857 58.33% 17.95% 23.72% +12.5 8
1904-10-01 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1857 1823 23.72% 17.95% 58.33% -12.5 5
1904-10-01 Sunderland D 2-2 1901 1894 62.58% 17.86% 19.56% -1.9 7
1904-10-01 @ Aston Villa D 2-2 1894 1901 19.56% 17.86% 62.58% +1.9 6
1904-10-06 Preston North End L 0-1 1851 1868 60.08% 17.92% 21.99% -14.9 4
1904-10-06 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1868 1851 21.99% 17.92% 60.08% +14.9 10
1904-10-08 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1830 1834 61.43% 17.89% 20.68% +5.5 5
1904-10-08 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1834 1830 20.68% 17.89% 61.43% -5.5 5
1904-10-08 Bury W 3-2 1845 1768 68.35% 17.62% 14.04% +3.7 7
1904-10-08 @ Derby County L 2-3 1768 1845 14.04% 17.62% 68.35% -3.7 1
1904-10-08 Preston North End W 6-1 1913 1883 64.67% 17.79% 17.54% +18.5 6
1904-10-08 @ Manchester City L 1-6 1883 1913 17.54% 17.79% 64.67% -18.5 10
1904-10-08 Newcastle United L 0-3 1823 1930 49.48% 18.03% 32.49% -34.0 5
1904-10-08 @ Notts County W 3-0 1930 1823 32.49% 18.03% 49.48% +34.0 9
1904-10-08 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1928 1836 69.47% 17.55% 12.99% +3.6 8
1904-10-08 @ Everton L 1-2 1836 1928 12.99% 17.55% 69.47% -3.6 8
1904-10-08 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2002 1836 73.96% 17.15% 8.89% +5.0 12
1904-10-08 @ The Wednesday L 0-2 1836 2002 8.89% 17.15% 73.96% -5.1 4
1904-10-08 Sheffield United W 2-1 1800 1874 53.72% 18.01% 28.27% +7.3 6
1904-10-08 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1874 1800 28.27% 18.01% 53.72% -7.3 7
1904-10-08 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1896 1877 63.61% 17.83% 18.56% +5.0 8
1904-10-08 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1877 1896 18.56% 17.83% 63.61% -5.0 6
1904-10-08 Aston Villa W 1-0 1853 1900 56.94% 17.98% 25.09% +7.0 6
1904-10-08 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-1 1900 1853 25.09% 17.98% 56.94% -7.0 7
1904-10-15 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1872 1860 62.94% 17.85% 19.22% -2.6 7
1904-10-15 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1860 1872 19.22% 17.85% 62.94% +2.6 7
1904-10-15 Everton L 1-2 1765 1931 41.42% 17.99% 40.59% -10.0 1
1904-10-15 @ Bury W 2-1 1931 1765 40.59% 17.99% 41.42% +10.0 10
1904-10-15 Manchester City L 0-1 1829 1932 50.06% 18.03% 31.91% -12.5 5
1904-10-15 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1932 1829 31.91% 18.03% 50.06% +12.5 8
1904-10-15 Sheffield United D 1-1 1964 1867 69.89% 17.52% 12.60% -3.5 10
1904-10-15 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1867 1964 12.60% 17.52% 69.89% +3.5 8
1904-10-15 Sunderland L 2-3 1831 1901 54.21% 18.01% 27.79% -12.1 4
1904-10-15 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-2 1901 1831 27.79% 18.01% 54.21% +12.1 10
1904-10-15 Notts County W 3-1 1864 1789 68.30% 17.62% 14.08% +6.8 12
1904-10-15 @ Preston North End L 1-3 1789 1864 14.08% 17.62% 68.30% -6.8 5
1904-10-15 Stoke City W 3-0 2007 1807 75.60% 16.93% 7.46% +6.2 14
1904-10-15 @ The Wednesday L 0-3 1807 2007 7.46% 16.93% 75.60% -6.2 6
1904-10-15 Birmingham City L 0-1 1832 1836 61.46% 17.89% 20.66% -15.2 8
1904-10-15 @ Wolverhampton W 1-0 1836 1832 20.66% 17.89% 61.46% +15.2 7
1904-10-15 Derby County L 0-2 1893 1848 65.83% 17.74% 16.43% -30.8 7
1904-10-15 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 1848 1893 16.43% 17.74% 65.83% +30.8 9
1904-10-22 Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1863 1819 65.82% 17.74% 16.44% -44.7 7
1904-10-22 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 3-0 1819 1863 16.44% 17.74% 65.82% +44.7 6
1904-10-22 Bury W 5-0 1851 1755 69.79% 17.52% 12.68% +16.6 9
1904-10-22 @ Birmingham City L 0-5 1755 1851 12.68% 17.52% 69.79% -16.6 1
1904-10-22 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1879 1869 62.80% 17.85% 19.35% -2.6 10
1904-10-22 @ Derby County D 1-1 1869 1879 19.35% 17.85% 62.80% +2.6 8
1904-10-22 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1782 1816 58.29% 17.96% 23.76% -2.3 6
1904-10-22 @ Notts County D 0-0 1816 1782 23.76% 17.96% 58.29% +2.2 6
1904-10-22 Newcastle United W 1-0 1801 1961 42.34% 18.00% 39.66% +10.3 8
1904-10-22 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1961 1801 39.66% 18.00% 42.34% -10.3 10
1904-10-22 The Wednesday W 3-0 1913 2013 50.45% 18.03% 31.52% +23.2 12
1904-10-22 @ Sunderland L 0-3 2013 1913 31.52% 18.03% 50.45% -23.2 14
1904-10-22 Aston Villa W 3-2 1941 1862 68.58% 17.60% 13.81% +3.6 12
1904-10-22 @ Everton L 2-3 1862 1941 13.81% 17.60% 68.58% -3.6 7
1904-10-22 Preston North End W 1-0 1870 1871 61.73% 17.88% 20.39% +5.8 10
1904-10-22 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1871 1870 20.39% 17.88% 61.73% -5.8 12
1904-10-29 Everton W 1-0 1872 1945 53.82% 18.01% 28.17% +7.7 10
1904-10-29 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1945 1872 28.17% 18.01% 53.82% -7.7 12
1904-10-29 Manchester City L 2-4 1738 1945 35.81% 17.92% 46.27% -13.8 1
1904-10-29 @ Bury W 4-2 1945 1738 46.27% 17.92% 35.81% +13.8 10
1904-10-29 Sheffield United L 0-1 1819 1876 55.70% 17.99% 26.31% -13.8 6
1904-10-29 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1876 1819 26.31% 17.99% 55.70% +13.8 12
1904-10-29 Newcastle United W 1-0 1865 1951 52.33% 18.02% 29.65% +8.1 14
1904-10-29 @ Preston North End L 0-1 1951 1865 29.65% 18.02% 52.33% -8.1 10
1904-10-29 Woolwich Arsenal L 0-3 1990 1818 74.26% 17.11% 8.63% -50.7 14
1904-10-29 @ The Wednesday W 3-0 1818 1990 8.63% 17.11% 74.26% +50.7 9
1904-10-29 Derby County L 0-1 1863 1877 60.50% 17.91% 21.59% -15.0 6
1904-10-29 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1877 1863 21.59% 17.91% 60.50% +15.0 12
1904-10-29 Stoke City W 3-1 1936 1811 71.63% 17.38% 10.99% +5.4 14
1904-10-29 @ Sunderland L 1-3 1811 1936 10.99% 17.38% 71.63% -5.4 8
1904-10-29 Notts County W 3-1 1817 1780 65.23% 17.77% 17.00% +8.1 10
1904-10-29 @ Wolverhampton L 1-3 1780 1817 17.00% 17.77% 65.23% -8.0 6
1904-10-29 Birmingham City W 2-1 1858 1868 60.87% 17.90% 21.22% +5.7 9
1904-10-29 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1868 1858 21.22% 17.90% 60.87% -5.7 9
1904-11-05 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1862 1879 60.10% 17.92% 21.98% +11.7 11
1904-11-05 @ Birmingham City L 0-2 1879 1862 21.98% 17.92% 60.10% -11.7 10
1904-11-05 Middlesbrough W 3-0 1943 1805 72.41% 17.31% 10.28% +8.4 12
1904-11-05 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1805 1943 10.28% 17.31% 72.41% -8.4 6
1904-11-05 Bury L 0-1 1772 1724 66.09% 17.73% 16.18% -16.4 6
1904-11-05 @ Notts County W 1-0 1724 1772 16.18% 17.73% 66.09% +16.4 3
1904-11-05 Sunderland D 0-0 1869 1941 53.88% 18.01% 28.11% -1.6 10
1904-11-05 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 0-0 1941 1869 28.11% 18.01% 53.88% +1.7 15
1904-11-05 The Wednesday W 1-0 1892 1939 56.85% 17.98% 25.17% +7.0 14
1904-11-05 @ Derby County L 0-1 1939 1892 25.17% 17.98% 56.85% -7.0 14
1904-11-05 Nottingham Forest W 5-1 1937 1848 69.26% 17.56% 13.18% +11.6 14
1904-11-05 @ Everton L 1-5 1848 1937 13.18% 17.56% 69.26% -11.6 6
1904-11-05 Wolverhampton W 4-2 1890 1825 67.49% 17.66% 14.85% +6.4 14
1904-11-05 @ Sheffield United L 2-4 1825 1890 14.85% 17.66% 67.49% -6.4 10
1904-11-05 Preston North End D 1-1 1806 1873 54.51% 18.00% 27.48% -1.6 9
1904-11-05 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1873 1806 27.48% 18.00% 54.51% +1.5 15
1904-11-09 Aston Villa W 2-1 1958 1864 69.66% 17.53% 12.80% +3.6 12
1904-11-09 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1864 1958 12.80% 17.53% 69.66% -3.6 9
1904-11-12 Manchester City W 3-1 1868 1962 51.20% 18.02% 30.78% +13.6 12
1904-11-12 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-3 1962 1868 30.78% 18.02% 51.20% -13.6 12
1904-11-12 Sheffield United W 7-1 1741 1896 42.98% 18.01% 39.02% +43.8 5
1904-11-12 @ Bury L 1-7 1896 1741 39.02% 18.01% 42.98% -43.8 14
1904-11-12 Preston North End D 1-1 1796 1875 53.16% 18.01% 28.82% -1.4 7
1904-11-12 @ Middlesbrough D 1-1 1875 1796 28.82% 18.01% 53.16% +1.4 16
1904-11-12 Birmingham City L 0-2 1837 1874 57.98% 17.96% 24.06% -27.1 6
1904-11-12 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 1874 1837 24.06% 17.96% 57.98% +27.1 13
1904-11-12 Newcastle United L 1-3 1819 1951 46.17% 18.02% 35.80% -19.1 10
1904-11-12 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 1951 1819 35.80% 18.02% 46.17% +19.1 14
1904-11-12 Stoke City W 2-1 1867 1804 67.32% 17.67% 15.01% +4.1 12
1904-11-12 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1804 1867 15.01% 17.67% 67.32% -4.1 9
1904-11-12 Everton D 5-5 1932 1949 60.13% 17.92% 21.95% -1.1 15
1904-11-12 @ The Wednesday D 5-5 1949 1932 21.95% 17.92% 60.13% +1.1 15
1904-11-12 Derby County W 3-0 1943 1899 65.84% 17.74% 16.42% +13.1 17
1904-11-12 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1899 1943 16.42% 17.74% 65.84% -13.1 14
1904-11-12 Notts County W 4-2 1860 1755 70.37% 17.48% 12.15% +5.3 11
1904-11-12 @ Aston Villa L 2-4 1755 1860 12.15% 17.48% 70.37% -5.3 6
1904-11-14 Wolverhampton W 5-1 1948 1800 73.04% 17.25% 9.71% +8.7 14
1904-11-14 @ Manchester City L 1-5 1800 1948 9.71% 17.25% 73.04% -8.7 10
1904-11-19 The Wednesday W 2-1 1901 1931 58.77% 17.95% 23.28% +6.2 15
1904-11-19 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1931 1901 23.28% 17.95% 58.77% -6.2 15
1904-11-19 Woolwich Arsenal D 0-0 1885 1871 63.20% 17.84% 18.96% -3.0 15
1904-11-19 @ Derby County D 0-0 1871 1885 18.96% 17.84% 63.20% +3.0 13
1904-11-19 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1957 1810 72.97% 17.26% 9.77% -3.9 15
1904-11-19 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1810 1957 9.77% 17.26% 72.97% +3.9 7
1904-11-19 Bury W 3-1 1970 1785 74.95% 17.02% 8.03% +4.0 16
1904-11-19 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1785 1970 8.03% 17.02% 74.95% -4.0 5
1904-11-19 Sunderland L 0-1 1950 1956 61.22% 17.89% 20.89% -15.2 15
1904-11-19 @ Everton W 1-0 1956 1950 20.89% 17.89% 61.22% +15.2 19
1904-11-19 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1750 1881 46.34% 18.02% 35.64% +8.9 8
1904-11-19 @ Notts County L 1-2 1881 1750 35.64% 18.02% 46.34% -8.9 12
1904-11-19 Middlesbrough W 3-1 1800 1795 62.34% 17.86% 19.80% +9.2 11
1904-11-19 @ Stoke City L 1-3 1795 1800 19.80% 17.86% 62.34% -9.2 7
1904-11-19 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1876 1791 69.02% 17.57% 13.40% -2.5 17
1904-11-19 @ Preston North End D 2-2 1791 1876 13.40% 17.57% 69.02% +2.5 11
1904-11-19 Aston Villa L 0-3 1852 1866 60.51% 17.91% 21.58% -41.1 14
1904-11-19 @ Sheffield United W 3-0 1866 1852 21.58% 17.91% 60.51% +41.1 13
1904-11-26 Preston North End L 0-1 1781 1874 51.35% 18.02% 30.63% -12.8 5
1904-11-26 @ Bury W 1-0 1874 1781 30.63% 18.02% 51.35% +12.8 19
1904-11-26 Manchester City W 2-1 1925 1953 58.91% 17.94% 23.14% +6.1 17
1904-11-26 @ The Wednesday L 1-2 1953 1925 23.14% 17.94% 58.91% -6.1 15
1904-11-26 Middlesbrough W 5-3 1793 1786 62.57% 17.86% 19.57% +7.7 13
1904-11-26 @ Wolverhampton L 3-5 1786 1793 19.57% 17.86% 62.57% -7.7 7
1904-11-26 Sheffield United L 2-4 1872 1811 67.20% 17.68% 15.13% -24.4 12
1904-11-26 @ Blackburn Rovers W 4-2 1811 1872 15.13% 17.68% 67.20% +24.4 16
1904-11-26 Stoke City W 3-0 1883 1809 68.12% 17.63% 14.25% +11.5 17
1904-11-26 @ Derby County L 0-3 1809 1883 14.25% 17.63% 68.12% -11.5 11
1904-11-26 Notts County W 2-1 1813 1759 66.68% 17.70% 15.62% +4.3 9
1904-11-26 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1759 1813 15.62% 17.70% 66.68% -4.3 8
1904-11-26 Birmingham City L 1-4 1971 1907 67.43% 17.67% 14.90% -38.7 19
1904-11-26 @ Sunderland W 4-1 1907 1971 14.90% 17.67% 67.43% +38.7 17
1904-11-26 Newcastle United L 0-1 1907 1974 54.52% 18.00% 27.48% -13.6 13
1904-11-26 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 1974 1907 27.48% 18.00% 54.52% +13.6 18
1904-12-03 Woolwich Arsenal W 2-1 1946 1874 68.01% 17.63% 14.35% +4.0 19
1904-12-03 @ Birmingham City L 1-2 1874 1946 14.35% 17.63% 68.01% -4.0 13
1904-12-03 Sunderland W 5-2 1947 1932 63.20% 17.84% 18.96% +10.9 17
1904-12-03 @ Manchester City L 2-5 1932 1947 18.96% 17.84% 63.20% -10.9 19
1904-12-03 Bury D 2-2 1778 1768 62.80% 17.85% 19.35% -1.9 8
1904-12-03 @ Middlesbrough D 2-2 1768 1778 19.35% 17.85% 62.80% +1.9 6
1904-12-03 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1988 1848 72.52% 17.30% 10.18% +3.1 20
1904-12-03 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1848 1988 10.18% 17.30% 72.52% -3.0 12
1904-12-03 Derby County D 0-0 1935 1894 65.53% 17.75% 16.72% -3.3 16
1904-12-03 @ Everton D 0-0 1894 1935 16.72% 17.75% 65.53% +3.3 18
1904-12-03 The Wednesday D 2-2 1755 1931 40.02% 17.98% 42.00% +0.1 9
1904-12-03 @ Notts County D 2-2 1931 1755 42.00% 17.98% 40.02% -0.1 18
1904-12-03 Nottingham Forest W 4-0 1836 1818 63.52% 17.83% 18.65% +19.2 18
1904-12-03 @ Sheffield United L 0-4 1818 1836 18.65% 17.83% 63.52% -19.2 9
1904-12-03 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1798 1801 61.52% 17.89% 20.60% +5.5 13
1904-12-03 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1801 1798 20.60% 17.89% 61.52% -5.5 13
1904-12-03 Aston Villa L 2-3 1887 1893 61.19% 17.90% 20.92% -13.6 19
1904-12-03 @ Preston North End W 3-2 1893 1887 20.92% 17.90% 61.19% +13.6 15
1904-12-10 Manchester City W 1-0 1870 1958 52.02% 18.02% 29.96% +8.1 15
1904-12-10 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-1 1958 1870 29.96% 18.02% 52.02% -8.1 17
1904-12-10 Wolverhampton W 3-1 1770 1796 59.19% 17.94% 22.87% +10.5 8
1904-12-10 @ Bury L 1-3 1796 1770 22.87% 17.94% 59.19% -10.5 13
1904-12-10 Birmingham City W 3-0 1897 1950 56.26% 17.98% 25.75% +19.5 20
1904-12-10 @ Derby County L 0-3 1950 1897 25.75% 17.98% 56.26% -19.5 19
1904-12-10 Newcastle United L 1-3 1799 1991 37.78% 17.95% 44.27% -16.1 9
1904-12-10 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-1 1991 1799 44.27% 17.95% 37.78% +16.1 22
1904-12-10 Stoke City W 4-1 1931 1803 71.82% 17.37% 10.81% +7.5 18
1904-12-10 @ Everton L 1-4 1803 1931 10.81% 17.37% 71.82% -7.5 13
1904-12-10 Sheffield United L 1-3 1931 1855 68.32% 17.62% 14.06% -27.7 18
1904-12-10 @ The Wednesday W 3-1 1855 1931 14.06% 17.62% 68.32% +27.7 20
1904-12-10 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1907 1776 71.99% 17.35% 10.66% -4.2 16
1904-12-10 @ Aston Villa D 0-0 1776 1907 10.66% 17.35% 71.99% +4.2 9
1904-12-10 Preston North End D 1-1 1845 1873 58.96% 17.94% 23.10% -2.1 13
1904-12-10 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1873 1845 23.10% 17.94% 58.96% +2.1 20
1904-12-17 Everton L 1-2 1930 1939 60.97% 17.90% 21.13% -14.2 19
1904-12-17 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 1939 1930 21.13% 17.90% 60.97% +14.2 20
1904-12-17 Derby County W 6-0 1950 1917 64.86% 17.78% 17.36% +26.3 19
1904-12-17 @ Manchester City L 0-6 1917 1950 17.36% 17.78% 64.86% -26.3 20
1904-12-17 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1780 1843 55.09% 18.00% 26.91% +7.0 11
1904-12-17 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1843 1780 26.91% 18.00% 55.09% -7.0 13
1904-12-17 The Wednesday W 6-2 2007 1903 70.29% 17.49% 12.22% +9.2 24
1904-12-17 @ Newcastle United L 2-6 1903 2007 12.22% 17.49% 70.29% -9.2 18
1904-12-17 Woolwich Arsenal L 1-5 1755 1878 47.37% 18.03% 34.60% -35.6 9
1904-12-17 @ Notts County W 5-1 1878 1755 34.60% 18.03% 47.37% +35.6 17
1904-12-17 Stoke City W 3-1 1780 1796 60.24% 17.92% 21.84% +10.1 10
1904-12-17 @ Bury L 1-3 1796 1780 21.84% 17.92% 60.24% -10.1 13
1904-12-17 Sunderland W 1-0 1883 1922 57.76% 17.96% 24.27% +6.8 22
1904-12-17 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1922 1883 24.27% 17.96% 57.76% -6.8 19
1904-12-17 Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1875 1782 69.53% 17.54% 12.93% -17.3 20
1904-12-17 @ Preston North End W 1-0 1782 1875 12.93% 17.54% 69.53% +17.3 11
1904-12-17 Aston Villa D 1-1 1785 1902 48.21% 18.03% 33.77% -0.8 14
1904-12-17 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1902 1785 33.77% 18.03% 48.21% +0.8 17
1904-12-24 Notts County D 1-1 1891 1719 74.25% 17.11% 8.64% -4.1 21
1904-12-24 @ Derby County D 1-1 1719 1891 8.64% 17.11% 74.25% +4.1 10
1904-12-24 Manchester City D 0-0 1953 1976 59.50% 17.93% 22.57% -2.4 21
1904-12-24 @ Everton D 0-0 1976 1953 22.57% 17.93% 59.50% +2.4 20
1904-12-24 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1800 1787 63.02% 17.84% 19.13% -2.6 12
1904-12-24 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1787 1800 19.13% 17.84% 63.02% +2.6 12
1904-12-24 Newcastle United W 3-1 1915 2016 50.33% 18.03% 31.64% +13.9 21
1904-12-24 @ Sunderland L 1-3 2016 1915 31.64% 18.03% 50.33% -13.9 24
1904-12-24 Sheffield United W 1-0 1914 1889 64.12% 17.81% 18.07% +5.2 19
1904-12-24 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-1 1889 1914 18.07% 17.81% 64.12% -5.2 22
1904-12-24 Wolverhampton W 3-0 1836 1784 66.43% 17.71% 15.85% +12.7 15
1904-12-24 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-3 1784 1836 15.85% 17.71% 66.43% -12.7 14
1904-12-24 Bury W 2-0 1903 1790 70.89% 17.44% 11.67% +6.6 19
1904-12-24 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1790 1903 11.67% 17.44% 70.89% -6.5 10
1904-12-26 Sunderland W 2-1 1848 1929 52.95% 18.01% 29.03% +7.5 17
1904-12-26 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1929 1848 29.03% 18.01% 52.95% -7.5 21
1904-12-26 Derby County W 2-0 1784 1886 50.12% 18.03% 31.85% +16.1 12
1904-12-26 @ Bury L 0-2 1886 1784 31.85% 18.03% 50.12% -16.2 21
1904-12-26 Birmingham City L 0-1 1790 1916 47.02% 18.03% 34.95% -11.9 12
1904-12-26 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1916 1790 34.95% 18.03% 47.02% +11.9 21
1904-12-26 Manchester City L 0-1 1858 1978 47.75% 18.03% 34.22% -12.0 20
1904-12-26 @ Preston North End W 1-0 1978 1858 34.22% 18.03% 47.75% +12.0 22
1904-12-26 Stoke City W 5-2 1884 1786 69.91% 17.52% 12.57% +7.5 24
1904-12-26 @ Sheffield United L 2-5 1786 1884 12.57% 17.52% 69.91% -7.5 13
1904-12-26 The Wednesday W 2-1 1797 1894 50.90% 18.02% 31.07% +7.9 14
1904-12-26 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1894 1797 31.07% 18.02% 50.90% -7.9 18
1904-12-26 Everton L 0-3 1772 1951 39.60% 17.98% 42.42% -28.1 14
1904-12-26 @ Wolverhampton W 3-0 1951 1772 42.42% 17.98% 39.60% +28.1 23
1904-12-26 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-1 1910 1919 60.91% 17.90% 21.19% +9.8 21
1904-12-26 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1919 1910 21.19% 17.90% 60.91% -9.8 19
1904-12-27 Woolwich Arsenal L 0-3 1805 1909 49.93% 18.03% 32.04% -34.3 14
1904-12-27 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-0 1909 1805 32.04% 18.03% 49.93% +34.3 21
1904-12-27 Sunderland D 1-1 1886 1921 58.16% 17.96% 23.88% -2.0 19
1904-12-27 @ The Wednesday D 1-1 1921 1886 23.88% 17.96% 58.16% +2.0 22
1904-12-27 Everton L 1-2 1870 1979 49.37% 18.03% 32.60% -11.7 21
1904-12-27 @ Derby County W 2-1 1979 1870 32.60% 18.03% 49.37% +11.7 25
1904-12-28 Woolwich Arsenal W 4-0 1892 1943 56.32% 17.98% 25.69% +25.5 26
1904-12-28 @ Sheffield United L 0-4 1943 1892 25.69% 17.98% 56.32% -25.5 21
1904-12-31 Newcastle United L 0-2 1918 2002 52.49% 18.02% 29.49% -24.7 21
1904-12-31 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 2-0 2002 1918 29.49% 18.02% 52.49% +24.7 26
1904-12-31 Notts County W 5-1 1990 1723 78.34% 16.44% 5.22% +4.7 27
1904-12-31 @ Everton L 1-5 1723 1990 5.22% 16.44% 78.34% -4.7 10
1904-12-31 Manchester City W 3-1 1928 1990 55.07% 18.00% 26.93% +12.1 23
1904-12-31 @ Birmingham City L 1-3 1990 1928 26.93% 18.00% 55.07% -12.1 22
1904-12-31 Bury L 0-2 1856 1800 66.80% 17.70% 15.51% -31.3 17
1904-12-31 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1800 1856 15.51% 17.70% 66.80% +31.3 14
1904-12-31 Middlesbrough W 5-0 1884 1778 70.43% 17.48% 12.09% +15.9 21
1904-12-31 @ The Wednesday L 0-5 1778 1884 12.09% 17.48% 70.43% -15.9 12
1904-12-31 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1771 1744 64.37% 17.80% 17.83% -2.1 15
1904-12-31 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1744 1771 17.83% 17.80% 64.37% +2.1 15
1904-12-31 Preston North End W 3-2 1923 1846 68.45% 17.61% 13.94% +3.7 24
1904-12-31 @ Sunderland L 2-3 1846 1923 13.94% 17.61% 68.45% -3.7 20
1904-12-31 Sheffield United L 2-3 1859 1917 55.57% 17.99% 26.44% -12.4 21
1904-12-31 @ Derby County W 3-2 1917 1859 26.44% 17.99% 55.57% +12.4 28
1904-12-31 Aston Villa L 1-4 1778 1920 44.97% 18.02% 37.01% -26.4 13
1904-12-31 @ Stoke City W 4-1 1920 1778 37.01% 18.02% 44.97% +26.4 23
1905-01-02 Notts County W 1-0 2027 1718 79.70% 16.10% 4.20% +1.3 28
1905-01-02 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1718 2027 4.20% 16.10% 79.70% -1.3 10
1905-01-02 Derby County W 3-1 1825 1846 59.65% 17.93% 22.42% +10.3 19
1905-01-02 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-3 1846 1825 22.42% 17.93% 59.65% -10.3 21
1905-01-02 Birmingham City D 1-1 1831 1940 49.33% 18.03% 32.64% -0.9 15
1905-01-02 @ Bury D 1-1 1940 1831 32.64% 18.03% 49.33% +0.9 24
1905-01-02 Preston North End W 2-0 1900 1842 66.92% 17.69% 15.39% +8.5 23
1905-01-02 @ The Wednesday L 0-2 1842 1900 15.39% 17.69% 66.92% -8.5 20
1905-01-02 Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1927 1769 73.56% 17.19% 9.25% +2.8 26
1905-01-02 @ Sunderland L 0-1 1769 1927 9.25% 17.19% 73.56% -2.8 15
1905-01-07 Stoke City W 1-0 1978 1752 76.77% 16.74% 6.48% +2.0 24
1905-01-07 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1752 1978 6.48% 16.74% 76.77% -2.0 13
1905-01-07 Sunderland L 1-3 1762 1930 41.23% 17.99% 40.77% -17.3 12
1905-01-07 @ Middlesbrough W 3-1 1930 1762 40.77% 17.99% 41.23% +17.3 28
1905-01-07 Derby County W 2-0 2028 1836 75.26% 16.98% 7.76% +4.4 30
1905-01-07 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1836 2028 7.76% 16.98% 75.26% -4.4 21
1905-01-07 Birmingham City D 0-0 1717 1941 33.50% 17.88% 48.61% +0.9 11
1905-01-07 @ Notts County D 0-0 1941 1717 48.61% 17.88% 33.50% -0.9 25
1905-01-07 Nottingham Forest W 5-1 1830 1766 67.45% 17.66% 14.89% +13.0 17
1905-01-07 @ Bury L 1-5 1766 1830 14.89% 17.66% 67.45% -13.0 15
1905-01-07 The Wednesday W 1-0 1746 1908 41.95% 18.00% 40.05% +10.4 17
1905-01-07 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1908 1746 40.05% 18.00% 41.95% -10.4 23
1905-01-07 Blackburn Rovers W 3-0 1946 1835 70.76% 17.45% 11.79% +9.6 25
1905-01-07 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1835 1946 11.79% 17.45% 70.76% -9.6 19
1905-01-07 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-0 1834 1893 55.43% 17.99% 26.58% +20.1 22
1905-01-07 @ Preston North End L 0-3 1893 1834 26.58% 17.99% 55.43% -20.1 21
1905-01-07 Everton W 1-0 1929 1995 54.71% 18.00% 27.29% +7.5 30
1905-01-07 @ Sheffield United L 0-1 1995 1929 27.29% 18.00% 54.71% -7.5 27
1905-01-14 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1873 1745 71.85% 17.36% 10.78% -3.8 22
1905-01-14 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1745 1873 10.78% 17.36% 71.85% +3.8 13
1905-01-14 Newcastle United W 2-1 1988 2032 57.13% 17.97% 24.89% +6.5 29
1905-01-14 @ Everton L 1-2 2032 1988 24.89% 17.97% 57.13% -6.5 30
1905-01-14 Notts County W 2-1 1980 1718 78.16% 16.48% 5.36% +1.5 26
1905-01-14 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1718 1980 5.36% 16.48% 78.16% -1.5 11
1905-01-14 Blackburn Rovers W 4-0 1750 1825 53.57% 18.01% 28.42% +27.8 15
1905-01-14 @ Stoke City L 0-4 1825 1750 28.42% 18.01% 53.57% -27.8 19
1905-01-14 Bury W 4-0 1898 1843 66.68% 17.70% 15.62% +16.3 25
1905-01-14 @ The Wednesday L 0-4 1843 1898 15.62% 17.70% 66.68% -16.3 17
1905-01-14 Wolverhampton W 3-0 1947 1756 75.22% 16.99% 7.79% +6.5 30
1905-01-14 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1756 1947 7.79% 16.99% 75.22% -6.5 17
1905-01-14 Sheffield United W 2-0 1940 1937 62.12% 17.87% 20.01% +10.8 27
1905-01-14 @ Birmingham City L 0-2 1937 1940 20.01% 17.87% 62.12% -10.8 30
1905-01-14 Preston North End W 3-1 1831 1854 59.58% 17.93% 22.49% +10.4 23
1905-01-14 @ Derby County L 1-3 1854 1831 22.49% 17.93% 59.58% -10.4 22
1905-01-14 Aston Villa D 1-1 1753 1956 36.32% 17.93% 45.75% +0.5 16
1905-01-14 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1956 1753 45.75% 17.93% 36.32% -0.5 26
1905-01-21 Derby County W 2-0 1749 1842 51.33% 18.02% 30.64% +15.6 15
1905-01-21 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1842 1749 30.64% 18.02% 51.33% -15.6 23
1905-01-21 Birmingham City L 0-1 2026 1951 68.27% 17.62% 14.11% -17.0 30
1905-01-21 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1951 2026 14.11% 17.62% 68.27% +17.0 29
1905-01-21 Stoke City D 0-0 1717 1778 55.23% 18.00% 26.77% -1.8 12
1905-01-21 @ Notts County D 0-0 1778 1717 26.77% 18.00% 55.23% +1.8 16
1905-01-21 Manchester City L 0-3 1926 1982 55.88% 17.99% 26.13% -38.0 30
1905-01-21 @ Sheffield United W 3-0 1982 1926 26.13% 17.99% 55.88% +38.0 28
1905-01-21 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1798 1753 65.83% 17.74% 16.43% -3.3 20
1905-01-21 @ Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1753 1798 16.43% 17.74% 65.83% +3.3 17
1905-01-21 Sunderland W 1-0 1827 1954 46.95% 18.02% 35.02% +9.3 19
1905-01-21 @ Bury L 0-1 1954 1827 35.02% 18.02% 46.95% -9.3 30
1905-01-21 Woolwich Arsenal W 4-1 1750 1869 47.85% 18.03% 34.12% +20.9 19
1905-01-21 @ Wolverhampton L 1-4 1869 1750 34.12% 18.03% 47.85% -20.9 22
1905-01-21 The Wednesday L 0-2 1955 1914 65.55% 17.75% 16.70% -30.7 26
1905-01-21 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 1914 1955 16.70% 17.75% 65.55% +30.7 27
1905-01-21 Everton D 1-1 1843 1994 43.61% 18.01% 38.38% -0.3 23
1905-01-21 @ Preston North End D 1-1 1994 1843 38.38% 18.01% 43.61% +0.3 30
1905-01-28 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1994 1764 76.94% 16.72% 6.35% +1.9 32
1905-01-28 @ Everton L 0-1 1764 1994 6.35% 16.72% 76.94% -1.9 15
1905-01-28 Newcastle United W 3-2 2020 2009 62.88% 17.85% 19.27% +4.9 30
1905-01-28 @ Manchester City L 2-3 2009 2020 19.27% 17.85% 62.88% -4.9 30
1905-01-28 Sheffield United L 1-5 1715 1888 40.42% 17.98% 41.59% -31.1 12
1905-01-28 @ Notts County W 5-1 1888 1715 41.59% 17.98% 40.42% +31.1 32
1905-01-28 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1780 1757 63.99% 17.81% 18.20% -3.1 17
1905-01-28 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1757 1780 18.20% 17.81% 63.99% +3.1 18
1905-01-28 Bury W 2-1 1848 1836 63.00% 17.85% 19.15% +5.2 24
1905-01-28 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1836 1848 19.15% 17.85% 63.00% -5.2 19
1905-01-28 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1826 1770 66.78% 17.70% 15.53% +4.3 25
1905-01-28 @ Derby County L 1-2 1770 1826 15.53% 17.70% 66.78% -4.3 19
1905-01-28 Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1945 1794 73.14% 17.24% 9.62% -17.2 27
1905-01-28 @ The Wednesday W 2-1 1794 1945 9.62% 17.24% 73.14% +17.2 22
1905-01-28 Preston North End W 2-0 1968 1843 71.62% 17.38% 10.99% +6.2 31
1905-01-28 @ Birmingham City L 0-2 1843 1968 10.99% 17.38% 71.62% -6.2 23
1905-01-28 Aston Villa L 2-3 1944 1924 63.71% 17.82% 18.47% -14.1 30
1905-01-28 @ Sunderland W 3-2 1924 1944 18.47% 17.82% 63.71% +14.1 28
1905-02-11 Middlesbrough W 3-2 2025 1762 78.18% 16.47% 5.35% +1.5 32
1905-02-11 @ Manchester City L 2-3 1762 2025 5.35% 16.47% 78.18% -1.5 15
1905-02-11 Preston North End L 1-3 1684 1837 43.28% 18.01% 38.71% -18.0 12
1905-02-11 @ Notts County W 3-1 1837 1684 38.71% 18.01% 43.28% +18.0 25
1905-02-11 Newcastle United L 1-3 1919 2004 52.40% 18.02% 29.58% -21.4 32
1905-02-11 @ Sheffield United W 3-1 2004 1919 29.58% 18.02% 52.40% +21.3 32
1905-02-11 The Wednesday W 2-1 1777 1928 43.60% 18.01% 38.39% +9.4 19
1905-02-11 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1928 1777 38.39% 18.01% 43.60% -9.4 27
1905-02-11 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1854 1811 65.66% 17.75% 16.59% +9.1 26
1905-02-11 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-2 1811 1854 16.59% 17.75% 65.66% -9.1 22
1905-02-11 Wolverhampton W 4-1 1974 1766 75.98% 16.88% 7.15% +5.0 33
1905-02-11 @ Birmingham City L 1-4 1766 1974 7.15% 16.88% 75.98% -5.0 19
1905-02-11 Bury W 2-0 1996 1831 73.94% 17.15% 8.91% +5.1 34
1905-02-11 @ Everton L 0-2 1831 1996 8.91% 17.15% 73.94% -5.1 19
1905-02-11 Aston Villa L 0-2 1830 1938 49.44% 18.03% 32.54% -23.4 25
1905-02-11 @ Derby County W 2-0 1938 1830 32.54% 18.03% 49.44% +23.4 30
1905-02-18 Derby County D 0-0 1666 1807 44.92% 18.02% 37.07% -0.5 13
1905-02-18 @ Notts County D 0-0 1807 1666 37.07% 18.02% 44.92% +0.5 26
1905-02-25 Preston North End W 1-0 2025 1855 74.20% 17.12% 8.68% +2.6 34
1905-02-25 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1855 2025 8.68% 17.12% 74.20% -2.6 25
1905-02-25 Middlesbrough L 0-1 1898 1761 72.37% 17.32% 10.32% -18.0 32
1905-02-25 @ Sheffield United W 1-0 1761 1898 10.32% 17.32% 72.37% +18.0 17
1905-02-25 Sunderland L 1-3 1786 1930 44.57% 18.02% 37.41% -18.5 19
1905-02-25 @ Stoke City W 3-1 1930 1786 37.41% 18.02% 44.57% +18.5 32
1905-02-25 The Wednesday W 3-0 1863 1918 55.91% 17.99% 26.10% +19.8 28
1905-02-25 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-3 1918 1863 26.10% 17.99% 55.91% -19.8 27
1905-02-25 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 2001 1802 75.59% 16.93% 7.48% +2.3 36
1905-02-25 @ Everton L 0-1 1802 2001 7.48% 16.93% 75.59% -2.3 22
1905-02-25 Bury W 3-2 2026 1826 75.65% 16.93% 7.43% +2.0 34
1905-02-25 @ Manchester City L 2-3 1826 2026 7.43% 16.93% 75.65% -2.0 19
1905-02-25 Wolverhampton L 3-4 1665 1761 50.98% 18.02% 30.99% -11.1 13
1905-02-25 @ Notts County W 4-3 1761 1665 30.99% 18.02% 50.98% +11.1 21
1905-02-25 Aston Villa L 0-3 1979 1962 63.44% 17.83% 18.73% -43.1 33
1905-02-25 @ Birmingham City W 3-0 1962 1979 18.73% 17.83% 63.44% +43.1 32
1905-02-25 Nottingham Forest W 3-2 1808 1760 66.13% 17.73% 16.14% +4.2 28
1905-02-25 @ Derby County L 2-3 1760 1808 16.14% 17.73% 66.13% -4.2 18
1905-03-04 Birmingham City L 1-4 1800 1936 45.71% 18.02% 36.26% -26.7 22
1905-03-04 @ Blackburn Rovers W 4-1 1936 1800 36.26% 18.02% 45.71% +26.7 35
1905-03-04 Manchester City L 0-1 1812 2028 34.45% 17.90% 47.65% -9.1 28
1905-03-04 @ Derby County W 1-0 2028 1812 47.65% 17.90% 34.45% +9.1 36
1905-03-04 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1779 1756 64.01% 17.81% 18.18% -3.1 18
1905-03-04 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1756 1779 18.18% 17.81% 64.01% +3.1 19
1905-03-04 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1949 1883 67.59% 17.66% 14.76% -3.2 33
1905-03-04 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1883 1949 14.76% 17.66% 67.59% +3.2 29
1905-03-11 Wolverhampton W 3-0 2028 1772 77.92% 16.53% 5.55% +4.6 36
1905-03-11 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1772 2028 5.55% 16.53% 77.92% -4.6 21
1905-03-11 Woolwich Arsenal W 2-0 1768 1886 48.10% 18.03% 33.87% +17.0 21
1905-03-11 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1886 1768 33.87% 18.03% 48.10% -17.0 29
1905-03-11 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1962 1759 75.81% 16.90% 7.29% -17.8 35
1905-03-11 @ Birmingham City W 2-1 1759 1962 7.29% 16.90% 75.81% +17.8 21
1905-03-11 The Wednesday W 5-2 2004 1898 70.39% 17.48% 12.13% +7.2 38
1905-03-11 @ Everton L 2-5 1898 2004 12.13% 17.48% 70.39% -7.2 27
1905-03-11 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 2037 1773 78.23% 16.46% 5.31% +1.5 38
1905-03-11 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1773 2037 5.31% 16.46% 78.23% -1.5 22
1905-03-11 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1852 1776 68.37% 17.61% 14.02% +7.8 27
1905-03-11 @ Preston North End L 0-2 1776 1852 14.02% 17.61% 68.37% -7.8 18
1905-03-11 Bury W 4-0 1880 1824 66.79% 17.70% 15.52% +16.2 34
1905-03-11 @ Sheffield United L 0-4 1824 1880 15.52% 17.70% 66.79% -16.2 19
1905-03-11 Sunderland W 1-0 1803 1945 44.75% 18.02% 37.24% +9.8 30
1905-03-11 @ Derby County L 0-1 1945 1803 37.24% 18.02% 44.75% -9.8 33
1905-03-11 Aston Villa L 1-2 1654 2005 19.32% 17.38% 63.31% -5.2 13
1905-03-11 @ Notts County W 2-1 2005 1654 63.31% 17.38% 19.32% +5.2 34
1905-03-18 Stoke City W 2-1 1768 1785 60.16% 17.92% 21.92% +5.8 20
1905-03-18 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1785 1768 21.92% 17.92% 60.16% -5.8 21
1905-03-18 Notts County W 1-0 1772 1649 71.52% 17.39% 11.09% +3.3 24
1905-03-18 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1649 1772 11.09% 17.39% 71.52% -3.3 13
1905-03-18 Newcastle United L 2-4 1808 2033 33.35% 17.88% 48.77% -13.0 19
1905-03-18 @ Bury W 4-2 2033 1808 48.77% 17.88% 33.35% +13.0 38
1905-03-18 Manchester City W 2-1 1776 2039 28.62% 17.77% 53.62% +12.6 23
1905-03-18 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 2039 1776 53.62% 17.77% 28.62% -12.6 38
1905-03-18 Birmingham City W 3-1 1891 1945 56.15% 17.99% 25.87% +11.7 29
1905-03-18 @ The Wednesday L 1-3 1945 1891 25.87% 17.99% 56.15% -11.7 35
1905-03-18 Derby County D 0-0 1869 1812 66.82% 17.70% 15.49% -3.5 30
1905-03-18 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 0-0 1812 1869 15.49% 17.70% 66.82% +3.5 31
1905-03-18 Sheffield United W 3-0 2010 1896 70.96% 17.44% 11.60% +9.5 36
1905-03-18 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1896 2010 11.60% 17.44% 70.96% -9.5 34
1905-03-18 Everton L 2-3 1936 2011 53.56% 18.01% 28.43% -11.9 33
1905-03-18 @ Sunderland W 3-2 2011 1936 28.43% 18.01% 53.56% +11.9 40
1905-03-18 Preston North End D 0-0 1768 1860 51.44% 18.02% 30.54% -1.3 22
1905-03-18 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1860 1768 30.54% 18.02% 51.44% +1.3 28
1905-03-25 Wolverhampton W 3-1 1774 1766 62.55% 17.86% 19.59% +9.2 22
1905-03-25 @ Middlesbrough L 1-3 1766 1774 19.59% 17.86% 62.55% -9.2 22
1905-03-25 Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1646 1789 44.63% 18.02% 37.35% -10.7 13
1905-03-25 @ Notts County W 2-1 1789 1646 37.35% 18.02% 44.63% +10.7 25
1905-03-25 Bury D 0-0 1861 1795 67.63% 17.66% 14.71% -3.6 29
1905-03-25 @ Preston North End D 0-0 1795 1861 14.71% 17.66% 67.63% +3.6 20
1905-03-25 Sunderland D 1-1 1933 1924 62.72% 17.85% 19.43% -2.6 36
1905-03-25 @ Birmingham City D 1-1 1924 1933 19.43% 17.85% 62.72% +2.6 34
1905-03-25 Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1887 1775 70.79% 17.45% 11.76% +5.7 36
1905-03-25 @ Sheffield United L 1-3 1775 1887 11.76% 17.45% 70.79% -5.7 24
1905-04-01 Newcastle United W 2-0 1769 2046 27.02% 17.72% 55.27% +25.8 26
1905-04-01 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 2046 1769 55.27% 17.72% 27.02% -25.8 38
1905-04-01 Stoke City L 1-3 1757 1779 59.64% 17.93% 22.43% -24.2 22
1905-04-01 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 1779 1757 22.43% 17.93% 59.64% +24.2 23
1905-04-01 Manchester City D 0-0 1926 2026 50.45% 18.03% 31.52% -1.2 35
1905-04-01 @ Sunderland D 0-0 2026 1926 31.52% 18.03% 50.45% +1.2 39
1905-04-01 Birmingham City D 1-1 1865 1930 54.78% 18.00% 27.22% -1.6 31
1905-04-01 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1930 1865 27.22% 18.00% 54.78% +1.6 37
1905-04-01 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1798 1783 63.28% 17.84% 18.88% +5.4 22
1905-04-01 @ Bury L 0-1 1783 1798 18.88% 17.84% 63.28% -5.4 22
1905-04-01 Notts County W 1-0 1903 1635 78.37% 16.43% 5.20% +1.6 31
1905-04-01 @ The Wednesday L 0-1 1635 1903 5.20% 16.43% 78.37% -1.6 13
1905-04-01 Sheffield United L 1-2 1800 1892 51.42% 18.02% 30.56% -12.1 25
1905-04-01 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1892 1800 30.56% 18.02% 51.42% +12.1 38
1905-04-03 Derby County D 1-1 1904 1816 69.25% 17.56% 13.19% -3.4 32
1905-04-03 @ The Wednesday D 1-1 1816 1904 13.19% 17.56% 69.25% +3.4 32
1905-04-05 Aston Villa W 2-0 2020 2020 61.84% 17.88% 20.28% +10.9 40
1905-04-05 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 2020 2020 20.28% 17.88% 61.84% -10.9 36
1905-04-05 Woolwich Arsenal W 1-0 2023 1864 73.61% 17.19% 9.20% +2.8 42
1905-04-05 @ Everton L 0-1 1864 2023 9.20% 17.19% 73.61% -2.8 31
1905-04-08 Everton D 2-2 1803 2026 33.63% 17.89% 48.48% +0.6 24
1905-04-08 @ Stoke City D 2-2 2026 1803 48.48% 17.89% 33.63% -0.6 43
1905-04-08 Woolwich Arsenal W 1-0 2028 1861 74.01% 17.14% 8.85% +2.7 41
1905-04-08 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1861 2028 8.85% 17.14% 74.01% -2.7 31
1905-04-08 Nottingham Forest W 5-1 2031 1788 77.44% 16.62% 5.94% +5.4 42
1905-04-08 @ Newcastle United L 1-5 1788 2031 5.94% 16.62% 77.44% -5.4 25
1905-04-08 Derby County W 2-0 1932 1819 70.87% 17.44% 11.69% +6.6 39
1905-04-08 @ Birmingham City L 0-2 1819 1932 11.69% 17.44% 70.87% -6.6 32
1905-04-08 Aston Villa W 3-1 1778 2009 32.54% 17.86% 49.60% +20.3 24
1905-04-08 @ Middlesbrough L 1-3 2009 1778 49.60% 17.86% 32.54% -20.3 36
1905-04-08 Sunderland D 2-2 1633 1925 25.24% 17.66% 57.10% +1.4 14
1905-04-08 @ Notts County D 2-2 1925 1633 57.10% 17.66% 25.24% -1.4 36
1905-04-08 Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1858 1795 67.31% 17.67% 15.02% -3.6 30
1905-04-08 @ Preston North End D 0-0 1795 1858 15.02% 17.67% 67.31% +3.5 27
1905-04-08 Bury W 2-0 1733 1804 54.12% 18.01% 27.88% +14.4 24
1905-04-08 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1804 1733 27.88% 18.01% 54.12% -14.4 22
1905-04-08 The Wednesday W 4-2 1904 1901 62.15% 17.87% 19.98% +8.3 40
1905-04-08 @ Sheffield United L 2-4 1901 1904 19.98% 17.87% 62.15% -8.3 32
1905-04-10 Stoke City W 2-1 1854 1804 66.36% 17.72% 15.92% +4.4 32
1905-04-10 @ Preston North End L 1-2 1804 1854 15.92% 17.72% 66.36% -4.4 24
1905-04-15 The Wednesday D 1-1 2030 1893 72.40% 17.31% 10.29% -3.8 42
1905-04-15 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1893 2030 10.29% 17.31% 72.40% +3.9 33
1905-04-15 Bury W 2-0 1799 1789 62.77% 17.85% 19.37% +10.5 26
1905-04-15 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1789 1799 19.37% 17.85% 62.77% -10.5 22
1905-04-15 Notts County L 1-2 1858 1635 76.66% 16.76% 6.57% -18.0 31
1905-04-15 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 2-1 1635 1858 6.57% 16.76% 76.66% +18.0 16
1905-04-15 Middlesbrough L 0-2 1799 1798 61.92% 17.88% 20.20% -28.9 27
1905-04-15 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1798 1799 20.20% 17.88% 61.92% +29.0 26
1905-04-15 Birmingham City W 2-1 2025 1939 69.10% 17.57% 13.33% +3.7 45
1905-04-15 @ Everton L 1-2 1939 2025 13.33% 17.57% 69.10% -3.7 39
1905-04-21 Everton W 2-0 2026 2029 61.60% 17.88% 20.51% +11.0 44
1905-04-21 @ Manchester City L 0-2 2029 2026 20.51% 17.88% 61.60% -11.0 45
1905-04-21 Stoke City W 4-1 2036 1810 76.77% 16.74% 6.48% +4.5 44
1905-04-21 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 1810 2036 6.48% 16.74% 76.77% -4.5 26
1905-04-21 Notts County W 2-0 1779 1653 71.72% 17.37% 10.90% +6.2 24
1905-04-21 @ Bury L 0-2 1653 1779 10.90% 17.37% 71.72% -6.2 16
1905-04-21 Sheffield United W 4-0 1859 1913 56.07% 17.99% 25.95% +25.7 34
1905-04-21 @ Preston North End L 0-4 1913 1859 25.95% 17.99% 56.07% -25.7 40
1905-04-22 Aston Villa L 2-3 1785 1988 36.22% 17.93% 45.85% -8.5 24
1905-04-22 @ Bury W 3-2 1988 1785 45.85% 17.93% 36.22% +8.5 38
1905-04-22 Sunderland L 1-3 2040 1924 71.14% 17.42% 11.44% -28.9 44
1905-04-22 @ Newcastle United W 3-1 1924 2040 11.44% 17.42% 71.14% +28.9 38
1905-04-22 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1747 1770 59.56% 17.93% 22.51% +12.0 26
1905-04-22 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1770 1747 22.51% 17.93% 59.56% -12.0 27
1905-04-22 Stoke City L 0-1 1935 1805 71.93% 17.36% 10.71% -17.9 39
1905-04-22 @ Birmingham City W 1-0 1805 1935 10.71% 17.36% 71.93% +17.9 28
1905-04-22 Everton W 2-1 1840 2018 39.82% 17.98% 42.20% +10.2 33
1905-04-22 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 2018 1840 42.20% 17.98% 39.82% -10.2 45
1905-04-22 The Wednesday W 1-0 1884 1897 60.61% 17.91% 21.49% +6.1 36
1905-04-22 @ Preston North End L 0-1 1897 1884 21.49% 17.91% 60.61% -6.1 33
1905-04-24 Notts County L 2-5 1827 1647 74.69% 17.06% 8.25% -37.2 26
1905-04-24 @ Middlesbrough W 5-2 1647 1827 8.25% 17.06% 74.69% +37.2 18
1905-04-24 Manchester City L 0-3 1759 2037 26.79% 17.71% 55.50% -20.2 26
1905-04-24 @ Wolverhampton W 3-0 2037 1759 55.50% 17.71% 26.79% +20.2 46
1905-04-24 Everton L 0-2 1782 2008 33.29% 17.88% 48.83% -16.7 25
1905-04-24 @ Nottingham Forest W 2-0 2008 1782 48.83% 17.88% 33.29% +16.7 47
1905-04-24 Sheffield United W 2-1 1953 1887 67.55% 17.66% 14.79% +4.1 40
1905-04-24 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1887 1953 14.79% 17.66% 67.55% -4.1 40
1905-04-26 Newcastle United L 1-3 1890 2012 47.70% 18.03% 34.28% -19.6 33
1905-04-26 @ The Wednesday W 3-1 2012 1890 34.28% 18.03% 47.70% +19.6 46
1905-04-27 Wolverhampton W 3-0 1997 1739 78.00% 16.51% 5.49% +4.6 40
1905-04-27 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1739 1997 5.49% 16.51% 78.00% -4.6 26
1905-04-29 Manchester City W 3-2 2001 2058 55.84% 17.99% 26.17% +6.5 42
1905-04-29 @ Aston Villa L 2-3 2058 2001 26.17% 17.99% 55.84% -6.5 46
1905-04-29 Newcastle United L 0-3 1790 2031 31.19% 17.83% 50.98% -23.0 26
1905-04-29 @ Middlesbrough W 3-0 2031 1790 50.98% 17.83% 31.19% +23.0 48
1905-04-29 Birmingham City W 1-0 1823 1917 51.25% 18.02% 30.72% +8.3 30
1905-04-29 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1917 1823 30.72% 18.02% 51.25% -8.3 39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1905-04-15 6.57% Notts County 1635 2 @ Woolwich Arsenal 1858 1
2 1905-03-11 7.29% Nottingham Forest 1759 2 @ Birmingham City 1962 1
3 1905-04-24 8.25% Notts County 1647 5 @ Middlesbrough 1827 2
4 1904-10-29 8.63% Woolwich Arsenal 1818 3 @ The Wednesday 1990 0
5 1905-01-28 9.62% Blackburn Rovers 1794 2 @ The Wednesday 1945 1
6 1905-02-25 10.32% Middlesbrough 1761 1 @ Sheffield United 1898 0
7 1905-04-22 10.71% Stoke City 1805 1 @ Birmingham City 1935 0
8 1905-04-22 11.44% Sunderland 1924 3 @ Newcastle United 2040 1
9 1904-12-17 12.93% Nottingham Forest 1782 1 @ Preston North End 1875 0
10 1904-10-01 13.43% Stoke City 1783 1 @ Nottingham Forest 1868 0
11 1904-09-01 13.46% Preston North End 1834 2 @ Aston Villa 1918 1
12 1904-12-10 14.06% Sheffield United 1855 3 @ The Wednesday 1931 1
13 1905-01-21 14.11% Birmingham City 1951 1 @ Newcastle United 2026 0
14 1904-11-26 14.90% Birmingham City 1907 4 @ Sunderland 1971 1
15 1904-11-26 15.13% Sheffield United 1811 4 @ Blackburn Rovers 1872 2
16 1904-09-10 15.39% Notts County 1783 2 @ Birmingham City 1840 1
17 1904-12-31 15.51% Bury 1800 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1856 0
18 1904-11-05 16.18% Bury 1724 1 @ Notts County 1772 0
19 1904-10-15 16.43% Derby County 1848 2 @ Aston Villa 1893 0
20 1904-10-22 16.44% Nottingham Forest 1819 3 @ Woolwich Arsenal 1863 0
21 1905-01-21 16.70% The Wednesday 1914 2 @ Aston Villa 1955 0
22 1905-01-28 18.47% Aston Villa 1924 3 @ Sunderland 1944 2
23 1905-02-25 18.73% Aston Villa 1962 3 @ Birmingham City 1979 0
24 1904-09-24 18.95% Notts County 1798 2 @ Stoke City 1812 0
25 1904-09-03 19.42% Blackburn Rovers 1833 2 @ Bury 1842 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1904-10-29 50.70 Woolwich Arsenal 3 1818 8.63% @ The Wednesday 0 1990 74.26% 17.11%
2 1904-10-22 44.73 Nottingham Forest 3 1819 16.44% @ Woolwich Arsenal 0 1863 65.82% 17.74%
3 1904-11-12 43.80 @ Bury 7 1741 42.98% Sheffield United 1 1896 39.02% 18.01%
4 1905-02-25 43.08 Aston Villa 3 1962 18.73% @ Birmingham City 0 1979 63.44% 17.83%
5 1904-11-19 41.09 Aston Villa 3 1866 21.58% @ Sheffield United 0 1852 60.51% 17.91%
6 1904-11-26 38.67 Birmingham City 4 1907 14.90% @ Sunderland 1 1971 67.43% 17.67%
7 1905-01-21 38.03 Manchester City 3 1982 26.13% @ Sheffield United 0 1926 55.88% 17.99%
8 1905-04-24 37.25 Notts County 5 1647 8.25% @ Middlesbrough 2 1827 74.69% 17.06%
9 1904-12-17 35.59 Woolwich Arsenal 5 1878 34.60% @ Notts County 1 1755 47.37% 18.03%
10 1904-12-27 34.26 Woolwich Arsenal 3 1909 32.04% @ Nottingham Forest 0 1805 49.93% 18.03%
11 1904-10-08 33.99 Newcastle United 3 1930 32.49% @ Notts County 0 1823 49.48% 18.03%
12 1904-12-31 31.27 Bury 2 1800 15.51% @ Blackburn Rovers 0 1856 66.80% 17.70%
13 1905-01-28 31.11 Sheffield United 5 1888 41.59% @ Notts County 1 1715 40.42% 17.98%
14 1904-10-15 30.80 Derby County 2 1848 16.43% @ Aston Villa 0 1893 65.83% 17.74%
15 1905-01-21 30.67 The Wednesday 2 1914 16.70% @ Aston Villa 0 1955 65.55% 17.75%
16 1904-09-24 29.55 Notts County 2 1798 18.95% @ Stoke City 0 1812 63.21% 17.84%
17 1904-09-03 29.33 Blackburn Rovers 2 1833 19.42% @ Bury 0 1842 62.73% 17.85%
18 1905-04-15 28.95 Middlesbrough 2 1798 20.20% @ Blackburn Rovers 0 1799 61.92% 17.88%
19 1905-04-22 28.91 Sunderland 3 1924 11.44% @ Newcastle United 1 2040 71.14% 17.42%
20 1904-12-26 28.10 Everton 3 1951 42.42% @ Wolverhampton 0 1772 39.60% 17.98%
21 1905-01-14 27.80 @ Stoke City 4 1750 53.57% Blackburn Rovers 0 1825 28.42% 18.01%
22 1904-12-10 27.72 Sheffield United 3 1855 14.06% @ The Wednesday 1 1931 68.32% 17.62%
23 1904-11-12 27.13 Birmingham City 2 1874 24.06% @ Nottingham Forest 0 1837 57.98% 17.96%
24 1905-03-04 26.73 Birmingham City 4 1936 36.26% @ Blackburn Rovers 1 1800 45.71% 18.02%
25 1904-12-31 26.35 Aston Villa 4 1920 37.01% @ Stoke City 1 1778 44.97% 18.02%