1903-04 Football League First Division Season

306 games

Final

Champion

The Wednesday

47 points · 2nd Title

Last Title: 1902-03

Relegated

West Brom

24 pts

Liverpool · 26 pts

Biggest Overachiever

The Wednesday

9.00 points above expected

47 points · 38.00 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

West Brom

7.32 points below expected

24 points · 31.32 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 The Wednesday Champion 34 20 7 7 47 48 28 +20 38.00 +9.00
2 Manchester City 34 19 6 9 44 71 45 +26 38.00 +6.00
3 Everton 34 19 5 10 43 59 32 +27 35.99 +7.01
4 Newcastle United 34 18 6 10 42 58 45 +13 34.15 +7.85
5 Aston Villa 34 17 7 10 41 70 48 +22 37.83 +3.17
6 Sunderland 34 17 5 12 39 63 49 +14 37.37 +1.63
7 Sheffield United 34 15 8 11 38 62 57 +5 37.13 +0.87
8 Wolverhampton 34 14 8 12 36 44 66 -22 32.62 +3.38
9 Nottingham Forest 34 11 9 14 31 57 57 0 33.65 -2.65
10 Middlesbrough 34 9 12 13 30 46 47 -1 33.91 -3.91
11 Small Heath Birmingham 34 11 8 15 30 39 52 -13 29.59 +0.41
12 Bury 34 7 15 12 29 40 53 -13 33.55 -4.55
13 Notts County 34 12 5 17 29 37 61 -24 29.84 -0.84
14 Derby County 34 9 10 15 28 58 60 -2 32.38 -4.38
15 Blackburn Rovers 34 11 6 17 28 48 60 -12 32.17 -4.17
16 Stoke City 34 10 7 17 27 54 57 -3 32.96 -5.96
17 Liverpool Relegated 34 9 8 17 26 49 62 -13 31.54 -5.54
18 West Brom Relegated 34 7 10 17 24 36 60 -24 31.32 -7.32

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Manchester City 1909 44 38.00 +6.00 92.5% 23 31 35 38 41 45 55
The Wednesday 1899 47 38.00 +9.00 98.5% 20 31 35 38 41 45 54
Everton 1895 43 35.99 +7.01 95.4% 20 29 33 36 39 43 56
Aston Villa 1885 41 37.83 +3.17 79.4% 18 31 35 38 41 45 53
Newcastle United 1866 42 34.15 +7.85 97.1% 18 27 31 34 37 41 50
Sunderland 1847 39 37.37 +1.63 68.0% 18 30 34 37 40 45 54
Sheffield United 1808 38 37.13 +0.87 62.1% 21 30 34 37 40 44 53
Derby County 1778 28 32.38 -4.38 19.4% 16 25 29 32 35 40 50
Nottingham Forest 1776 31 33.65 -2.65 31.4% 17 26 31 34 37 41 50
Small Heath Birmingham 1764 30 29.59 +0.41 58.5% 13 22 27 30 33 37 47
Liverpool 1764 26 31.54 -5.54 12.8% 15 24 29 32 35 39 49
Middlesbrough 1761 30 33.91 -3.91 22.0% 19 27 31 34 37 41 52
Bury 1760 29 33.55 -4.55 18.7% 14 26 31 34 37 41 55
Stoke City 1757 27 32.96 -5.96 11.1% 18 26 30 33 36 40 50
Wolverhampton 1742 36 32.62 +3.38 80.6% 17 25 30 33 36 40 49
Blackburn Rovers 1741 28 32.17 -4.17 20.5% 15 25 29 32 35 40 51
West Brom 1724 24 31.32 -7.32 6.1% 15 24 28 31 34 39 51
Notts County 1717 29 29.84 -0.84 47.1% 13 23 27 30 33 37 46

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AV BR BUR DC EVE LIV MC MID NU NF NC SU SHB SC SUN TW WB WOL
Aston Villa
1-0-1
3.27
0-1-1
3.25
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
3.39
0-0-2
2.77
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.97
2-0-0
3.06
1-1-0
3.57
2-0-0
2.71
0-2-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
2.79
1-0-1
2.80
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.24
Blackburn Rovers
1-0-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.62
1-0-1
2.85
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.43
2-0-0
2.69
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
2.29
0-1-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
2.36
0-1-1
2.34
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-1
2.77
Bury
1-1-0
2.28
1-1-0
2.80
0-2-0
2.95
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
2.88
0-0-2
2.48
0-1-1
2.72
0-0-2
2.66
0-2-0
2.80
1-1-0
3.01
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.84
1-0-1
2.50
1-1-0
2.37
1-0-1
2.99
0-2-0
2.78
Derby County
0-1-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.92
0-2-0
2.57
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
2.53
0-2-0
2.64
0-1-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.59
0-1-1
2.98
0-0-2
2.43
1-0-1
2.94
1-1-0
2.76
2-0-0
2.10
0-0-2
2.21
1-1-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.83
Everton
1-0-1
2.63
2-0-0
2.90
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
3.15
1-1-0
3.12
2-0-0
2.51
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.01
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.67
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.07
0-0-2
2.70
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.08
Liverpool
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-1
2.67
1-1-0
2.64
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.51
0-1-1
2.69
1-0-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.96
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-1
2.87
0-0-2
2.60
Manchester City
2-0-0
2.75
2-0-0
3.32
2-0-0
3.05
2-0-0
2.99
0-0-2
3.02
1-1-0
3.38
0-1-1
3.08
0-0-2
3.06
1-1-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.16
0-0-2
2.82
2-0-0
3.58
1-1-0
2.93
1-1-0
3.00
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.66
2-0-0
3.25
Middlesbrough
1-0-1
2.40
0-1-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.80
0-2-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.44
0-0-2
2.80
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.17
1-0-1
2.50
1-1-0
3.09
1-1-0
2.75
0-0-2
2.41
0-0-2
2.44
0-2-0
2.92
0-1-1
2.92
Newcastle United
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
3.01
2-0-0
2.47
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.90
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-1
3.19
2-0-0
2.81
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.47
2-0-0
2.87
1-0-1
2.84
Nottingham Forest
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.83
0-2-0
2.72
2-0-0
2.92
1-0-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.50
0-2-0
2.76
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
3.21
0-1-1
2.58
0-1-1
3.13
2-0-0
2.80
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.36
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
2.82
Notts County
0-1-1
1.96
1-0-1
2.57
0-1-1
2.51
1-1-0
2.54
0-0-2
2.41
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.77
2-0-0
2.51
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
1.73
0-1-1
2.64
0-1-1
2.62
Sheffield United
0-0-2
2.82
0-1-1
3.24
1-1-0
3.04
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
2.70
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
3.04
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.36
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
2.78
0-1-1
2.60
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
3.20
Small Heath Birmingham
0-2-0
2.17
1-1-0
2.48
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
1.95
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.33
1-1-0
2.39
1-0-1
2.76
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
2.01
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.49
Stoke City
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
2.68
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.47
1-1-0
2.84
0-1-1
2.60
0-1-1
2.76
0-0-2
2.70
0-0-2
2.72
0-0-2
3.02
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
2.75
Sunderland
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.02
0-0-2
3.42
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.26
0-1-1
2.53
2-0-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.11
1-0-1
3.28
2-0-0
2.74
1-0-1
3.46
1-0-1
3.31
0-1-1
2.70
0-2-0
3.23
1-0-1
3.09
The Wednesday
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
3.19
0-1-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.14
1-1-0
2.66
2-0-0
3.08
0-1-1
3.05
2-0-0
3.17
1-0-1
3.81
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.52
1-0-1
3.28
1-1-0
2.82
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.11
West Brom
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.40
1-1-0
2.65
1-0-1
1.87
0-2-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.66
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.85
1-0-1
2.63
0-2-0
2.30
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.63
Wolverhampton
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
2.75
0-2-0
2.75
0-1-1
2.69
0-1-1
2.46
2-0-0
2.92
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
2.60
1-0-1
2.68
1-0-1
2.70
1-1-0
2.90
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
2.77
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.42
2-0-0
2.89

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.37 +4.1
Allowed 0.58 -5.4
Differential 0.70 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.54%8.01%4.25%4.25%1.31%0.82%25.16%
18.01%8.50%6.37%5.23%1.31%0.98%30.39%
24.25%6.37%7.84%2.94%0.98%1.14%23.53%
34.25%5.23%2.94%0.33%0.16%0.65%13.56%
41.31%1.31%0.98%0.16%3.76%
5+0.82%0.98%1.14%0.65%3.59%
Total25.16%30.39%23.53%13.56%3.76%3.59%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.37 1.37 1.99
CV 0.89 0.89
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 306

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%8.82%5.88%17.65%
18.82%2.94%2.94%14.71%
25.88%11.76%8.82%5.88%2.94%35.29%
35.88%17.65%23.53%
42.94%2.94%
5+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total17.65%50.00%17.65%8.82%2.94%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.06 1.41 +0.65
SD 1.58 1.26 2.06
CV 0.77 0.89
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%5.88%5.88%8.82%23.53%
12.94%8.82%8.82%8.82%29.41%
28.82%5.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%5.88%32.35%
35.88%2.94%2.94%11.76%
42.94%2.94%
5+
Total23.53%23.53%23.53%20.59%2.94%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 1.76 -0.35
SD 1.08 1.50 2.00
CV 0.76 0.85
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.71%8.82%8.82%2.94%35.29%
15.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%2.94%20.59%
22.94%2.94%23.53%5.88%35.29%
35.88%2.94%8.82%
4
5+
Total29.41%20.59%26.47%17.65%2.94%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.56 -0.38
SD 1.03 1.42 1.79
CV 0.87 0.91
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%11.76%2.94%2.94%26.47%
12.94%2.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%20.59%
22.94%2.94%17.65%5.88%2.94%32.35%
35.88%2.94%8.82%
42.94%2.94%5.88%
5+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total23.53%20.59%32.35%14.71%8.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.76 -0.06
SD 1.61 1.52 2.15
CV 0.94 0.86
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%14.71%5.88%2.94%29.41%
18.82%2.94%2.94%2.94%17.65%
214.71%2.94%5.88%23.53%
32.94%8.82%2.94%14.71%
45.88%2.94%8.82%
5+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total38.24%35.29%20.59%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 0.94 +0.79
SD 1.54 0.92 1.89
CV 0.89 0.98
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%2.94%5.88%14.71%
15.88%5.88%20.59%5.88%38.24%
28.82%11.76%2.94%5.88%5.88%35.29%
35.88%2.94%2.94%11.76%
4
5+
Total17.65%20.59%41.18%8.82%5.88%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.82 -0.38
SD 0.89 1.34 1.50
CV 0.62 0.73
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%11.76%2.94%17.65%
18.82%8.82%2.94%5.88%26.47%
28.82%5.88%14.71%
314.71%2.94%5.88%2.94%26.47%
42.94%2.94%5.88%
5+2.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
Total29.41%38.24%17.65%8.82%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.09 1.32 +0.76
SD 1.66 1.41 2.19
CV 0.79 1.06
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%5.88%5.88%2.94%23.53%
18.82%14.71%8.82%5.88%2.94%41.18%
22.94%2.94%11.76%5.88%23.53%
32.94%2.94%5.88%
42.94%2.94%
5+2.94%2.94%
Total26.47%29.41%26.47%14.71%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.35 1.38 -0.03
SD 1.28 1.13 1.80
CV 0.94 0.82
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%8.82%2.94%2.94%17.65%
111.76%11.76%5.88%2.94%32.35%
28.82%2.94%5.88%17.65%
35.88%14.71%5.88%26.47%
42.94%2.94%5.88%
5+
Total23.53%47.06%8.82%14.71%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.71 1.32 +0.38
SD 1.22 1.17 1.86
CV 0.71 0.89
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%11.76%2.94%2.94%2.94%26.47%
12.94%11.76%2.94%11.76%29.41%
25.88%2.94%5.88%2.94%17.65%
32.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%2.94%14.71%
42.94%2.94%
5+2.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
Total20.59%32.35%20.59%20.59%2.94%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.68 +0.00
SD 1.61 1.47 2.15
CV 0.96 0.88
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%2.94%8.82%14.71%2.94%38.24%
111.76%2.94%2.94%8.82%5.88%32.35%
25.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%17.65%
35.88%5.88%
45.88%5.88%
5+
Total26.47%11.76%26.47%26.47%8.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.79 -0.71
SD 1.16 1.34 1.85
CV 1.07 0.75
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%17.65%
18.82%11.76%11.76%2.94%2.94%38.24%
22.94%5.88%8.82%17.65%
32.94%5.88%2.94%11.76%
42.94%2.94%5.88%
5+2.94%5.88%8.82%
Total20.59%26.47%29.41%17.65%2.94%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.68 +0.15
SD 1.66 1.34 2.11
CV 0.91 0.80
Max 7 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%11.76%2.94%2.94%2.94%23.53%
114.71%11.76%2.94%11.76%2.94%2.94%47.06%
25.88%5.88%5.88%2.94%20.59%
35.88%2.94%8.82%
4
5+
Total29.41%29.41%11.76%20.59%5.88%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.53 -0.38
SD 0.89 1.42 1.78
CV 0.78 0.93
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%11.76%8.82%5.88%2.94%38.24%
15.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%17.65%
22.94%5.88%8.82%2.94%20.59%
35.88%2.94%8.82%
42.94%2.94%
5+2.94%2.94%5.88%11.76%
Total20.59%29.41%23.53%17.65%5.88%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.59 1.68 -0.09
SD 1.76 1.32 2.21
CV 1.11 0.79
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%2.94%2.94%5.88%14.71%
12.94%11.76%14.71%5.88%35.29%
25.88%11.76%2.94%20.59%
32.94%14.71%2.94%20.59%
42.94%2.94%
5+2.94%2.94%5.88%
Total17.65%47.06%20.59%11.76%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.85 1.44 +0.41
SD 1.50 1.33 2.26
CV 0.81 0.92
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%5.88%2.94%2.94%20.59%
126.47%11.76%5.88%2.94%47.06%
25.88%5.88%11.76%
32.94%5.88%2.94%11.76%
42.94%2.94%2.94%8.82%
5+
Total47.06%32.35%14.71%2.94%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.41 0.82 +0.59
SD 1.21 1.00 1.58
CV 0.86 1.21
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%14.71%5.88%5.88%2.94%41.18%
12.94%8.82%8.82%5.88%26.47%
25.88%8.82%2.94%17.65%
32.94%2.94%5.88%2.94%14.71%
4
5+
Total17.65%32.35%29.41%5.88%8.82%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.76 -0.71
SD 1.10 1.48 1.70
CV 1.04 0.84
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%5.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%26.47%
111.76%5.88%5.88%2.94%5.88%32.35%
22.94%14.71%8.82%2.94%29.41%
38.82%8.82%
42.94%2.94%
5+
Total23.53%20.59%32.35%5.88%5.88%11.76%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.94 -0.65
SD 1.06 1.81 2.13
CV 0.82 0.93
Max 4 7 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 The Wednesday 47 38.00 +9.00
2 Newcastle United 42 34.15 +7.85
3 Everton 43 35.99 +7.01
4 Manchester City 44 38.00 +6.00
5 Wolverhampton 36 32.62 +3.38

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 West Brom 24 31.32 -7.32
2 Stoke City 27 32.96 -5.96
3 Liverpool 26 31.54 -5.54
4 Bury 29 33.55 -4.55
5 Derby County 28 32.38 -4.38

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sheffield United 8 Sep 5 – Oct 24 1 in 3,904
2 Manchester City 4 Sep 5 – Sep 26 1 in 79
3 Everton 3 Dec 26 – Jan 9 1 in 54
4 Wolverhampton 4 Feb 13 – Mar 12 1 in 39
5 Aston Villa 4 Oct 24 – Nov 14 1 in 27

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Derby County 5 Sep 12 – Oct 10 1 in 161
2 Liverpool 5 Sep 5 – Oct 1 1 in 153
3 Stoke City 4 Sep 5 – Sep 26 1 in 91
4 Everton 3 Oct 31 – Nov 14 1 in 53
5 West Brom 3 Sep 2 – Sep 12 1 in 44

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Small Heath Birmingham 6 Jan 2 – Feb 13 1 in 157
2 Derby County 7 Nov 28 – Jan 2 1 in 50
3 Sheffield United 8 Sep 5 – Oct 24 1 in 46
4 Blackburn Rovers 7 Nov 21 – Dec 26 1 in 44
5 Manchester City 8 Oct 31 – Dec 19 1 in 40

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bury 11 Oct 17 – Dec 26 1 in 214
2 Derby County 11 Sep 12 – Nov 21 1 in 171
3 Stoke City 11 Dec 25 – Mar 12 1 in 105
4 Nottingham Forest 8 Dec 5 – Jan 9 1 in 77
5 Blackburn Rovers 7 Jan 2 – Mar 19 1 in 44

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718
The Wednesday16.63%13.52%11.12%10.11%8.16%7.97%6.18%5.36%4.64%3.50%2.81%2.89%2.00%1.82%1.41%0.88%0.55%0.45%
Manchester City17.51%14.09%11.29%9.66%8.16%7.44%5.57%5.35%4.10%3.66%3.29%2.69%2.22%1.60%1.31%1.11%0.66%0.29%
Everton8.67%9.05%8.74%8.43%8.24%7.63%7.41%6.44%6.26%5.41%4.46%4.32%3.92%3.44%2.96%2.13%1.52%0.97%
Newcastle United3.26%4.40%5.74%6.42%6.52%6.77%7.11%6.68%7.03%6.82%6.54%6.49%5.73%5.28%4.56%3.97%3.78%2.90%
Aston Villa16.06%13.16%11.12%9.53%8.37%7.79%6.40%5.37%4.67%3.98%3.07%2.77%2.32%1.99%1.47%0.91%0.74%0.28%
Sunderland12.76%11.69%10.80%9.59%8.28%7.50%7.02%6.06%5.15%4.17%3.68%3.42%2.64%2.28%1.99%1.49%1.07%0.41%
Sheffield United10.53%10.83%10.55%9.40%9.04%7.26%7.04%6.18%5.59%5.03%4.34%3.50%3.07%2.53%1.99%1.48%1.05%0.59%
Wolverhampton1.56%1.99%2.97%3.47%4.02%4.60%5.20%5.65%6.02%6.32%7.00%6.49%7.46%7.67%7.06%7.71%7.72%7.09%
Nottingham Forest2.20%3.49%4.61%5.12%5.73%5.89%6.32%6.98%6.86%7.34%6.96%6.54%6.54%6.31%5.62%5.41%4.53%3.55%
Middlesbrough2.92%3.85%4.58%5.07%5.85%6.05%7.07%7.07%7.07%7.24%6.88%6.19%6.79%6.05%5.80%4.70%3.73%3.09%
Small Heath Birmingham0.22%0.60%0.90%1.17%1.61%2.17%2.49%3.05%3.61%4.30%4.93%5.95%6.69%8.67%9.06%11.27%14.34%18.97%
Bury1.83%3.45%4.17%4.88%5.91%5.43%5.74%6.25%6.66%6.33%7.46%6.85%6.46%6.62%6.36%6.29%5.15%4.16%
Notts County0.26%0.57%0.87%1.19%1.67%2.19%2.79%2.91%3.39%4.59%4.98%6.18%6.95%7.44%9.41%11.42%13.65%19.54%
Derby County1.32%1.98%2.74%3.63%4.23%5.07%5.54%5.80%6.05%6.59%7.01%7.21%7.20%7.12%8.13%7.06%7.53%5.79%
Blackburn Rovers1.00%1.87%2.63%3.48%3.51%4.38%4.84%5.32%6.37%6.18%6.53%7.38%7.34%7.83%8.19%8.13%7.87%7.15%
Stoke City1.77%2.77%3.36%4.31%4.73%5.58%5.60%5.97%6.31%7.03%6.89%7.35%7.03%7.08%6.62%7.06%5.78%4.76%
Liverpool0.77%1.48%2.08%2.49%3.21%3.35%4.12%4.88%5.29%5.79%6.75%7.02%7.71%7.98%8.85%9.31%9.66%9.26%
West Brom0.73%1.21%1.73%2.05%2.76%2.93%3.56%4.68%4.93%5.72%6.42%6.76%7.93%8.29%9.21%9.67%10.67%10.75%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+31.70%
Strong Edge
54.25%23.20%22.55%
Elo Value
Home Edge
167 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0114.06500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.73 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.68+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
8.2
Wide Open
124611
Champion Preseason Odds
17%
The Wednesday, 2nd of 18
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Photo Finish
00.070.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.58 * Some Luck: 3.58 to 5.37 * Lucky: 5.37 to 7.15 * Wild Swing: 7.15 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.21 * Close: 3.21 to 4.81 * Off: 4.81 to 6.41 * Way Off: 6.41 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.33 * A Surprise: 1.33 to 2.14 * Several Surprises: 2.14 to 2.94 * Many Surprises: 2.94 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.02 points
Some Luck
04.4711
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.39
Pinpoint
04.0110
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.22%
98.45%
The Wednesday
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.78%
6.08%
West Brom
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 18
Minimal Outliers
01.89
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
2 of 2
A Surprise
01.32

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.24
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
75%
Clear Edge
50%81%100%
Close Games
Expected
58%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.52
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.26
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.23
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
23%
Chalky
0%18%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.07 to 0.11 * Above Noise: 0.11 to 0.15 * Well Above Noise: 0.15 and up.
Probability calibration
0.84
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.79
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.063
Well Within Noise
00.0730.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Manchester City 99.05% 0.95%
The Wednesday 99.00% 1.00%
Aston Villa 98.98% 1.02%
Sunderland 98.52% 1.48%
Sheffield United 98.36% 1.64%
Everton 97.51% 2.49%
Newcastle United 93.32% 6.68%
Middlesbrough 93.18% 6.82%
Nottingham Forest 91.92% 8.08%
Bury 90.69% 9.31%
Stoke City 89.46% 10.54%
Derby County 86.68% 13.32%
Wolverhampton 85.19% 14.81%
Blackburn Rovers 84.98% 15.02%
Liverpool 81.08% 18.92%
West Brom 78.58% 21.42%
Notts County 66.81% 33.19%
Small Heath Birmingham 66.69% 33.31%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1903-09-01 Small Heath Birmingham W 4-1 1798 1769 60.90% 23.72% 15.38% +7.8 2
1903-09-01 @ Derby County L 1-4 1769 1798 15.38% 23.72% 60.90% -7.8 0
1903-09-01 Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1792 1780 59.42% 23.91% 16.67% +5.9 2
1903-09-01 @ Everton L 1-3 1780 1792 16.67% 23.91% 59.42% -5.9 0
1903-09-01 Bury W 4-1 1802 1815 57.07% 24.16% 18.77% +9.3 2
1903-09-01 @ Stoke City L 1-4 1815 1802 18.77% 24.16% 57.07% -9.3 0
1903-09-01 Notts County W 4-1 1833 1786 62.48% 23.48% 14.04% +7.2 2
1903-09-01 @ Sunderland L 1-4 1786 1833 14.04% 23.48% 62.48% -7.2 0
1903-09-02 Aston Villa D 1-1 1785 1827 54.02% 24.38% 21.60% -1.3 1
1903-09-02 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1827 1785 21.60% 24.38% 54.02% +1.3 1
1903-09-02 The Wednesday L 0-1 1791 1824 55.00% 24.32% 20.68% -9.7 0
1903-09-02 @ West Brom W 1-0 1824 1791 20.68% 24.32% 55.00% +9.7 2
1903-09-05 Liverpool W 2-1 1802 1815 57.05% 24.16% 18.79% +3.8 2
1903-09-05 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-2 1815 1802 18.79% 24.16% 57.05% -3.8 0
1903-09-05 Sheffield United L 1-3 1761 1807 53.65% 24.40% 21.95% -15.5 0
1903-09-05 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 3-1 1807 1761 21.95% 24.40% 53.65% +15.5 2
1903-09-05 Bury D 2-2 1774 1806 55.10% 24.31% 20.59% -1.0 1
1903-09-05 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1806 1774 20.59% 24.31% 55.10% +1.0 1
1903-09-05 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1806 1781 60.54% 23.77% 15.69% +3.2 4
1903-09-05 @ Derby County L 1-2 1781 1806 15.69% 23.77% 60.54% -3.2 0
1903-09-05 Notts County W 3-1 1798 1779 60.03% 23.84% 16.14% +5.8 4
1903-09-05 @ Everton L 1-3 1779 1798 16.14% 23.84% 60.03% -5.8 0
1903-09-05 Middlesbrough W 4-1 1834 1784 62.70% 23.44% 13.86% +7.1 4
1903-09-05 @ The Wednesday L 1-4 1784 1834 13.86% 23.44% 62.70% -7.1 0
1903-09-05 Manchester City L 1-2 1812 1802 59.16% 23.94% 16.89% -9.8 2
1903-09-05 @ Stoke City W 2-1 1802 1812 16.89% 23.94% 59.16% +9.8 2
1903-09-05 Aston Villa W 6-1 1841 1829 59.41% 23.91% 16.67% +13.3 4
1903-09-05 @ Sunderland L 1-6 1829 1841 16.67% 23.91% 59.41% -13.3 1
1903-09-05 Newcastle United L 1-2 1781 1784 58.06% 24.06% 17.88% -9.6 0
1903-09-05 @ West Brom W 2-1 1784 1781 17.88% 24.06% 58.06% +9.6 3
1903-09-07 Nottingham Forest D 3-3 1746 1806 51.98% 24.48% 23.54% -0.7 1
1903-09-07 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 3-3 1806 1746 23.54% 24.48% 51.98% +0.7 3
1903-09-12 West Brom W 3-1 1815 1772 62.15% 23.54% 14.32% +5.2 3
1903-09-12 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1772 1815 14.32% 23.54% 62.15% -5.2 0
1903-09-12 Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1807 1807 58.25% 24.04% 17.71% -1.2 2
1903-09-12 @ Bury D 2-2 1807 1807 17.71% 24.04% 58.25% +1.2 4
1903-09-12 The Wednesday L 1-3 1811 1841 55.36% 24.29% 20.34% -16.0 0
1903-09-12 @ Liverpool W 3-1 1841 1811 20.34% 24.29% 55.36% +15.9 6
1903-09-12 Derby County W 2-1 1812 1809 58.60% 24.01% 17.39% +3.6 4
1903-09-12 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1809 1812 17.39% 24.01% 58.60% -3.6 4
1903-09-12 Sunderland L 2-3 1777 1854 50.04% 24.55% 25.40% -8.0 0
1903-09-12 @ Middlesbrough W 3-2 1854 1777 25.40% 24.55% 50.04% +8.0 6
1903-09-12 Small Heath Birmingham W 3-1 1793 1745 62.57% 23.47% 13.96% +5.1 5
1903-09-12 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1745 1793 13.96% 23.47% 62.57% -5.1 1
1903-09-12 Stoke City W 1-0 1773 1802 55.42% 24.29% 20.29% +4.3 2
1903-09-12 @ Notts County L 0-1 1802 1773 20.29% 24.29% 55.42% -4.3 2
1903-09-12 Everton W 2-1 1822 1803 60.03% 23.84% 16.14% +3.3 4
1903-09-12 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1803 1822 16.14% 23.84% 60.03% -3.3 4
1903-09-12 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1778 1773 58.76% 23.99% 17.25% +3.8 2
1903-09-12 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1773 1778 17.25% 23.99% 58.76% -3.7 1
1903-09-19 Wolverhampton W 4-1 1816 1781 61.38% 23.65% 14.97% +7.6 6
1903-09-19 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1781 1816 14.97% 23.65% 61.38% -7.6 2
1903-09-19 Notts County L 0-1 1805 1777 60.83% 23.73% 15.44% -10.7 4
1903-09-19 @ Derby County W 1-0 1777 1805 15.44% 23.73% 60.83% +10.7 4
1903-09-19 Newcastle United W 4-1 1800 1799 58.43% 24.02% 17.55% +8.8 6
1903-09-19 @ Everton L 1-4 1799 1800 17.55% 24.02% 58.43% -8.8 5
1903-09-19 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1808 1769 61.81% 23.59% 14.60% -10.9 4
1903-09-19 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1769 1808 14.60% 23.59% 61.81% +10.9 3
1903-09-19 Bury D 1-1 1857 1805 62.81% 23.43% 13.77% -2.1 7
1903-09-19 @ The Wednesday D 1-1 1805 1857 13.77% 23.43% 62.81% +2.1 3
1903-09-19 Sheffield United L 3-4 1798 1826 55.51% 24.28% 20.20% -8.5 2
1903-09-19 @ Stoke City W 4-3 1826 1798 20.20% 24.28% 55.51% +8.5 6
1903-09-19 Liverpool W 2-1 1862 1795 63.99% 23.21% 12.80% +2.7 8
1903-09-19 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1795 1862 12.80% 23.21% 63.99% -2.7 0
1903-09-19 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1767 1769 58.10% 24.06% 17.84% -1.8 1
1903-09-19 @ West Brom D 0-0 1769 1767 17.84% 24.06% 58.10% +1.8 1
1903-09-19 Aston Villa D 2-2 1740 1820 49.66% 24.56% 25.78% -0.7 2
1903-09-19 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 2-2 1820 1740 25.78% 24.56% 49.66% +0.7 4
1903-09-26 Manchester City L 0-3 1788 1823 54.75% 24.34% 20.91% -26.5 4
1903-09-26 @ Notts County W 3-0 1823 1788 20.91% 24.34% 54.75% +26.5 8
1903-09-26 Everton W 3-1 1821 1809 59.43% 23.91% 16.66% +5.9 6
1903-09-26 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1809 1821 16.66% 23.91% 59.43% -5.9 6
1903-09-26 The Wednesday D 0-0 1780 1855 50.31% 24.54% 25.15% -1.1 4
1903-09-26 @ Blackburn Rovers D 0-0 1855 1780 25.15% 24.54% 50.31% +1.1 8
1903-09-26 Sunderland W 3-1 1807 1865 52.38% 24.47% 23.16% +7.8 5
1903-09-26 @ Bury L 1-3 1865 1807 23.16% 24.47% 52.38% -7.8 8
1903-09-26 West Brom L 1-3 1793 1765 60.83% 23.73% 15.44% -17.5 0
1903-09-26 @ Liverpool W 3-1 1765 1793 15.44% 23.73% 60.83% +17.5 3
1903-09-26 Stoke City W 1-0 1790 1789 58.36% 24.03% 17.61% +3.8 7
1903-09-26 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1789 1790 17.61% 24.03% 58.36% -3.8 2
1903-09-26 Derby County W 3-2 1834 1795 61.83% 23.59% 14.59% +2.9 8
1903-09-26 @ Sheffield United L 2-3 1795 1834 14.59% 23.59% 61.83% -2.9 4
1903-09-26 Nottingham Forest W 3-2 1774 1797 55.96% 24.25% 19.79% +3.8 4
1903-09-26 @ Wolverhampton L 2-3 1797 1774 19.79% 24.25% 55.96% -3.8 4
1903-09-26 Small Heath Birmingham W 3-1 1770 1739 61.12% 23.69% 15.19% +5.5 3
1903-09-26 @ Middlesbrough L 1-3 1739 1770 15.19% 23.69% 61.12% -5.5 2
1903-10-01 Liverpool W 4-2 1762 1775 56.95% 24.17% 18.89% +5.9 6
1903-10-01 @ Notts County L 2-4 1775 1762 18.89% 24.17% 56.95% -5.9 0
1903-10-03 Sheffield United L 0-1 1850 1837 59.48% 23.91% 16.62% -10.5 8
1903-10-03 @ Manchester City W 1-0 1837 1850 16.62% 23.91% 59.48% +10.5 10
1903-10-03 Newcastle United L 1-3 1792 1794 58.10% 24.06% 17.84% -16.7 4
1903-10-03 @ Derby County W 3-1 1794 1792 17.84% 24.06% 58.10% +16.7 9
1903-10-03 Middlesbrough W 2-0 1803 1776 60.75% 23.74% 15.51% +6.4 8
1903-10-03 @ Everton L 0-2 1776 1803 15.51% 23.74% 60.75% -6.4 3
1903-10-03 Nottingham Forest W 2-1 1856 1794 63.67% 23.27% 13.06% +2.7 10
1903-10-03 @ The Wednesday L 1-2 1794 1856 13.06% 23.27% 63.67% -2.8 4
1903-10-03 Aston Villa W 2-0 1785 1827 54.05% 24.38% 21.57% +8.6 4
1903-10-03 @ Stoke City L 0-2 1827 1785 21.57% 24.38% 54.05% -8.5 6
1903-10-03 Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1857 1779 64.89% 23.03% 12.08% +5.1 10
1903-10-03 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1779 1857 12.08% 23.03% 64.89% -5.1 4
1903-10-03 Bury W 3-2 1782 1815 54.99% 24.32% 20.69% +3.9 5
1903-10-03 @ West Brom L 2-3 1815 1782 20.69% 24.32% 54.99% -3.9 5
1903-10-03 Liverpool L 1-2 1734 1769 54.71% 24.34% 20.95% -9.1 2
1903-10-03 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 2-1 1769 1734 20.95% 24.34% 54.71% +9.1 2
1903-10-03 Wolverhampton L 0-2 1767 1778 57.32% 24.13% 18.55% -19.0 6
1903-10-03 @ Notts County W 2-0 1778 1767 18.55% 24.13% 57.32% +19.0 6
1903-10-10 Derby County W 3-0 1819 1775 62.16% 23.53% 14.31% +8.7 8
1903-10-10 @ Aston Villa L 0-3 1775 1819 14.31% 23.53% 62.16% -8.7 4
1903-10-10 West Brom W 2-0 1773 1786 57.06% 24.16% 18.79% +7.6 6
1903-10-10 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1786 1773 18.79% 24.16% 57.06% -7.6 5
1903-10-10 Everton D 2-2 1779 1809 55.22% 24.30% 20.47% -1.0 3
1903-10-10 @ Liverpool D 2-2 1809 1779 20.47% 24.30% 55.22% +1.0 9
1903-10-10 Stoke City W 2-0 1769 1794 55.90% 24.25% 19.85% +8.0 5
1903-10-10 @ Middlesbrough L 0-2 1794 1769 19.85% 24.25% 55.90% -8.0 4
1903-10-10 Manchester City W 1-0 1810 1839 55.41% 24.29% 20.30% +4.3 11
1903-10-10 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1839 1810 20.30% 24.29% 55.41% -4.3 8
1903-10-10 Sunderland W 3-0 1791 1862 50.79% 24.53% 24.68% +13.9 6
1903-10-10 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-3 1862 1791 24.68% 24.53% 50.79% -13.9 10
1903-10-10 The Wednesday W 2-1 1797 1859 51.81% 24.49% 23.69% +4.6 8
1903-10-10 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1859 1797 23.69% 24.49% 51.81% -4.6 10
1903-10-10 Small Heath Birmingham W 1-0 1811 1725 65.53% 22.89% 11.58% +2.6 7
1903-10-10 @ Bury L 0-1 1725 1811 11.58% 22.89% 65.53% -2.6 2
1903-10-10 Notts County W 3-1 1847 1748 66.41% 22.69% 10.91% +4.0 12
1903-10-10 @ Sheffield United L 1-3 1748 1847 10.91% 22.69% 66.41% -4.0 6
1903-10-17 Wolverhampton W 7-2 1851 1801 62.71% 23.44% 13.84% +9.4 14
1903-10-17 @ Sheffield United L 2-7 1801 1851 13.84% 23.44% 62.71% -9.4 8
1903-10-17 Middlesbrough D 2-2 1766 1777 57.20% 24.14% 18.65% -1.2 5
1903-10-17 @ Derby County D 2-2 1777 1766 18.65% 24.14% 57.20% +1.2 6
1903-10-17 Bury W 2-1 1810 1814 57.94% 24.07% 17.98% +3.7 11
1903-10-17 @ Everton L 1-2 1814 1810 17.98% 24.07% 57.94% -3.7 7
1903-10-17 Aston Villa W 1-0 1835 1827 59.02% 23.96% 17.02% +3.7 10
1903-10-17 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1827 1835 17.02% 23.96% 59.02% -3.7 8
1903-10-17 Newcastle United W 3-2 1744 1815 50.89% 24.52% 24.59% +4.5 8
1903-10-17 @ Notts County L 2-3 1815 1744 24.59% 24.52% 50.89% -4.5 11
1903-10-17 Liverpool W 5-2 1786 1777 59.06% 23.95% 16.98% +7.4 6
1903-10-17 @ Stoke City L 2-5 1777 1786 16.98% 23.95% 59.06% -7.4 3
1903-10-17 The Wednesday L 0-1 1848 1854 57.71% 24.10% 18.20% -10.2 10
1903-10-17 @ Sunderland W 1-0 1854 1848 18.20% 24.10% 57.71% +10.2 12
1903-10-17 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1779 1805 55.70% 24.27% 20.03% -1.4 6
1903-10-17 @ West Brom D 1-1 1805 1779 20.03% 24.27% 55.70% +1.4 7
1903-10-17 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1722 1781 52.15% 24.48% 23.37% +4.6 4
1903-10-17 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 1-2 1781 1722 23.37% 24.48% 52.15% -4.6 6
1903-10-24 Manchester City W 6-0 1779 1839 52.05% 24.48% 23.47% +25.5 8
1903-10-24 @ Middlesbrough L 0-6 1839 1779 23.47% 24.48% 52.05% -25.5 10
1903-10-24 Notts County W 4-0 1824 1749 64.62% 23.09% 12.29% +9.9 10
1903-10-24 @ Aston Villa L 0-4 1749 1824 12.29% 23.09% 64.62% -9.9 8
1903-10-24 Everton L 0-2 1777 1814 54.52% 24.35% 21.13% -18.1 6
1903-10-24 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1814 1777 21.13% 24.35% 54.52% +18.2 13
1903-10-24 Stoke City D 2-2 1810 1793 59.87% 23.86% 16.27% -1.3 8
1903-10-24 @ Bury D 2-2 1793 1810 16.27% 23.86% 59.87% +1.3 7
1903-10-24 Derby County W 3-1 1770 1765 58.76% 23.99% 17.25% +6.1 5
1903-10-24 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1765 1770 17.25% 23.99% 58.76% -6.1 5
1903-10-24 Sheffield United L 0-1 1810 1861 53.08% 24.43% 22.49% -9.4 11
1903-10-24 @ Newcastle United W 1-0 1861 1810 22.49% 24.43% 53.08% +9.4 16
1903-10-24 West Brom W 1-0 1864 1777 65.54% 22.89% 11.57% +2.6 14
1903-10-24 @ The Wednesday L 0-1 1777 1864 11.57% 22.89% 65.54% -2.6 6
1903-10-24 Sunderland W 2-1 1792 1838 53.60% 24.41% 21.99% +4.3 10
1903-10-24 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1838 1792 21.99% 24.41% 53.60% -4.3 10
1903-10-24 Small Heath Birmingham L 0-1 1806 1727 65.00% 23.01% 11.99% -11.4 7
1903-10-24 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1727 1806 11.99% 23.01% 65.00% +11.4 6
1903-10-31 Middlesbrough W 3-2 1739 1804 51.48% 24.50% 24.02% +4.4 10
1903-10-31 @ Notts County L 2-3 1804 1739 24.02% 24.50% 51.48% -4.4 8
1903-10-31 Bury D 2-2 1759 1809 53.17% 24.43% 22.41% -0.9 6
1903-10-31 @ Derby County D 2-2 1809 1759 22.41% 24.43% 53.17% +0.9 9
1903-10-31 Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1832 1795 61.64% 23.61% 14.74% -20.4 13
1903-10-31 @ Everton W 2-0 1795 1832 14.74% 23.61% 61.64% +20.4 9
1903-10-31 Liverpool W 3-2 1813 1776 61.61% 23.62% 14.77% +2.9 12
1903-10-31 @ Manchester City L 2-3 1776 1813 14.77% 23.62% 61.61% -2.9 5
1903-10-31 Wolverhampton W 3-0 1801 1796 58.72% 23.99% 17.29% +10.3 13
1903-10-31 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1796 1801 17.29% 23.99% 58.72% -10.3 10
1903-10-31 Aston Villa L 1-2 1870 1833 61.60% 23.62% 14.78% -10.2 16
1903-10-31 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1833 1870 14.78% 23.62% 61.60% +10.2 12
1903-10-31 Blackburn Rovers W 6-2 1794 1758 61.53% 23.63% 14.84% +8.3 9
1903-10-31 @ Stoke City L 2-6 1758 1794 14.84% 23.63% 61.53% -8.3 6
1903-10-31 Sunderland D 1-1 1775 1833 52.18% 24.48% 23.35% -1.1 7
1903-10-31 @ West Brom D 1-1 1833 1775 23.35% 24.48% 52.18% +1.1 11
1903-10-31 The Wednesday D 0-0 1738 1867 43.57% 24.60% 31.82% -0.5 7
1903-10-31 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 0-0 1867 1738 31.82% 24.60% 43.57% +0.5 15
1903-11-07 Sheffield United W 4-1 1800 1860 52.01% 24.48% 23.51% +11.2 10
1903-11-07 @ Middlesbrough L 1-4 1860 1800 23.51% 24.48% 52.01% -11.2 16
1903-11-07 Newcastle United W 3-1 1844 1811 61.23% 23.67% 15.09% +5.4 14
1903-11-07 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1811 1844 15.09% 23.67% 61.23% -5.4 13
1903-11-07 Derby County W 2-1 1750 1758 57.52% 24.11% 18.36% +3.7 8
1903-11-07 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1758 1750 18.36% 24.11% 57.52% -3.7 6
1903-11-07 Manchester City L 1-3 1810 1816 57.69% 24.10% 18.21% -16.6 9
1903-11-07 @ Bury W 3-1 1816 1810 18.21% 24.10% 57.69% +16.6 14
1903-11-07 Notts County W 2-1 1773 1744 60.99% 23.71% 15.30% +3.2 7
1903-11-07 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1744 1773 15.30% 23.71% 60.99% -3.2 10
1903-11-07 Everton W 1-0 1867 1812 63.13% 23.37% 13.50% +3.0 17
1903-11-07 @ The Wednesday L 0-1 1812 1867 13.50% 23.37% 63.13% -3.0 13
1903-11-07 Small Heath Birmingham W 3-1 1835 1737 66.27% 22.72% 11.01% +4.0 13
1903-11-07 @ Sunderland L 1-3 1737 1835 11.01% 22.72% 66.27% -4.0 7
1903-11-07 West Brom W 1-0 1786 1773 59.44% 23.91% 16.65% +3.6 12
1903-11-07 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1773 1786 16.65% 23.91% 59.44% -3.6 7
1903-11-14 The Wednesday W 3-1 1803 1870 51.20% 24.51% 24.29% +8.2 11
1903-11-14 @ Stoke City L 1-3 1870 1803 24.29% 24.51% 51.20% -8.2 17
1903-11-14 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1849 1789 63.46% 23.31% 13.23% +5.6 16
1903-11-14 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1789 1849 13.23% 23.31% 63.46% -5.6 12
1903-11-14 West Brom L 0-1 1733 1770 54.64% 24.34% 21.02% -9.6 7
1903-11-14 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 1-0 1770 1733 21.02% 24.34% 54.64% +9.6 9
1903-11-14 Nottingham Forest L 2-6 1754 1815 51.96% 24.48% 23.56% -23.3 6
1903-11-14 @ Derby County W 6-2 1815 1754 23.56% 24.48% 51.96% +23.3 11
1903-11-14 Sunderland L 0-1 1809 1839 55.32% 24.30% 20.38% -9.8 13
1903-11-14 @ Everton W 1-0 1839 1809 20.38% 24.30% 55.32% +9.8 15
1903-11-14 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1833 1754 64.94% 23.02% 12.04% +2.7 16
1903-11-14 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1754 1833 12.04% 23.02% 64.94% -2.7 8
1903-11-14 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1806 1811 57.77% 24.09% 18.14% +3.7 15
1903-11-14 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1811 1806 18.14% 24.09% 57.77% -3.7 10
1903-11-14 Bury D 0-0 1740 1793 52.84% 24.44% 22.72% -1.3 11
1903-11-14 @ Notts County D 0-0 1793 1740 22.72% 24.44% 52.84% +1.3 10
1903-11-14 Liverpool W 2-1 1849 1776 64.45% 23.12% 12.43% +2.6 18
1903-11-14 @ Sheffield United L 1-2 1776 1849 12.43% 23.12% 64.45% -2.6 7
1903-11-21 Manchester City L 0-3 1838 1835 58.58% 24.01% 17.42% -28.2 11
1903-11-21 @ Nottingham Forest W 3-0 1835 1838 17.42% 24.01% 58.58% +28.2 18
1903-11-21 Stoke City W 3-0 1848 1811 61.64% 23.61% 14.74% +8.9 17
1903-11-21 @ Sunderland L 0-3 1811 1848 14.74% 23.61% 61.64% -8.9 11
1903-11-21 Notts County W 3-0 1751 1739 59.42% 23.91% 16.67% +10.0 10
1903-11-21 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-3 1739 1751 16.67% 23.91% 59.42% -10.0 11
1903-11-21 Sheffield United L 0-1 1795 1851 52.42% 24.46% 23.12% -9.3 10
1903-11-21 @ Bury W 1-0 1851 1795 23.12% 24.46% 52.42% +9.3 20
1903-11-21 Newcastle United W 1-0 1774 1809 54.74% 24.34% 20.92% +4.4 9
1903-11-21 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1809 1774 20.92% 24.34% 54.74% -4.4 15
1903-11-21 Aston Villa W 2-1 1807 1855 53.46% 24.41% 22.13% +4.4 12
1903-11-21 @ Middlesbrough L 1-2 1855 1807 22.13% 24.41% 53.46% -4.4 16
1903-11-21 Derby County W 1-0 1862 1731 68.57% 22.11% 9.32% +2.1 19
1903-11-21 @ The Wednesday L 0-1 1731 1862 9.32% 22.11% 68.57% -2.1 6
1903-11-21 Everton D 0-0 1779 1799 56.37% 24.22% 19.41% -1.7 10
1903-11-21 @ West Brom D 0-0 1799 1779 19.41% 24.22% 56.37% +1.7 14
1903-11-21 Small Heath Birmingham W 1-0 1784 1724 63.50% 23.30% 13.20% +2.9 14
1903-11-21 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1724 1784 13.20% 23.30% 63.50% -2.9 7
1903-11-25 Stoke City W 4-2 1810 1802 59.06% 23.95% 16.99% +5.4 13
1903-11-25 @ Nottingham Forest L 2-4 1802 1810 16.99% 23.95% 59.06% -5.4 11
1903-11-28 Wolverhampton L 1-2 1812 1787 60.55% 23.77% 15.68% -10.0 12
1903-11-28 @ Middlesbrough W 2-1 1787 1812 15.68% 23.77% 60.55% +10.0 16
1903-11-28 Liverpool W 2-1 1850 1778 64.42% 23.13% 12.45% +2.6 18
1903-11-28 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1778 1850 12.45% 23.13% 64.42% -2.6 9
1903-11-28 Sunderland W 7-2 1729 1857 43.63% 24.60% 31.77% +18.9 8
1903-11-28 @ Derby County L 2-7 1857 1729 31.77% 24.60% 43.63% -18.9 17
1903-11-28 Small Heath Birmingham W 5-1 1801 1721 65.02% 23.00% 11.98% +8.0 16
1903-11-28 @ Everton L 1-5 1721 1801 11.98% 23.00% 65.02% -8.0 7
1903-11-28 The Wednesday D 1-1 1864 1864 58.23% 24.04% 17.72% -1.7 19
1903-11-28 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1864 1864 17.72% 24.04% 58.23% +1.7 20
1903-11-28 Bury W 3-2 1805 1785 60.08% 23.83% 16.09% +3.2 17
1903-11-28 @ Newcastle United L 2-3 1785 1805 16.09% 23.83% 60.08% -3.1 10
1903-11-28 Nottingham Forest L 1-3 1729 1816 48.93% 24.58% 26.49% -14.2 11
1903-11-28 @ Notts County W 3-1 1816 1729 26.49% 24.58% 48.93% +14.2 15
1903-11-28 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1861 1761 66.45% 22.68% 10.87% -1.8 21
1903-11-28 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1761 1861 10.87% 22.68% 66.45% +1.8 11
1903-11-28 West Brom W 5-0 1797 1778 60.03% 23.84% 16.13% +15.6 13
1903-11-28 @ Stoke City L 0-5 1778 1797 16.13% 23.84% 60.03% -15.6 10
1903-12-05 Stoke City W 1-0 1713 1812 47.36% 24.60% 28.04% +5.6 9
1903-12-05 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-1 1812 1713 28.04% 24.60% 47.36% -5.6 13
1903-12-05 Newcastle United W 4-0 1763 1808 53.70% 24.40% 21.90% +16.4 13
1903-12-05 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-4 1808 1763 21.90% 24.40% 53.70% -16.4 17
1903-12-05 Aston Villa D 2-2 1782 1853 50.84% 24.53% 24.64% -0.8 11
1903-12-05 @ Bury D 2-2 1853 1782 24.64% 24.53% 50.84% +0.8 19
1903-12-05 Sheffield United D 1-1 1830 1859 55.41% 24.29% 20.30% -1.4 16
1903-12-05 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1859 1830 20.30% 24.29% 55.41% +1.4 22
1903-12-05 Manchester City D 1-1 1838 1862 55.97% 24.25% 19.78% -1.5 18
1903-12-05 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1862 1838 19.78% 24.25% 55.97% +1.5 20
1903-12-05 Everton D 2-2 1797 1809 57.14% 24.15% 18.71% -1.2 17
1903-12-05 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 1809 1797 18.71% 24.15% 57.14% +1.2 17
1903-12-12 Wolverhampton L 1-2 1776 1796 56.32% 24.22% 19.46% -9.4 9
1903-12-12 @ Liverpool W 2-1 1796 1776 19.46% 24.22% 56.32% +9.3 19
1903-12-12 West Brom W 6-3 1863 1762 66.56% 22.65% 10.79% +4.5 22
1903-12-12 @ Manchester City L 3-6 1762 1863 10.79% 22.65% 66.56% -4.5 10
1903-12-12 The Wednesday D 1-1 1860 1866 57.76% 24.09% 18.15% -1.6 23
1903-12-12 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1866 1860 18.15% 24.09% 57.76% +1.6 21
1903-12-12 Blackburn Rovers L 2-3 1854 1779 64.60% 23.09% 12.31% -10.1 19
1903-12-12 @ Aston Villa W 3-2 1779 1854 12.31% 23.09% 64.60% +10.1 15
1903-12-12 Bury W 1-0 1802 1781 60.14% 23.82% 16.04% +3.5 14
1903-12-12 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1781 1802 16.04% 23.82% 60.14% -3.5 11
1903-12-12 Nottingham Forest W 3-1 1792 1828 54.57% 24.35% 21.08% +7.3 19
1903-12-12 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1828 1792 21.08% 24.35% 54.57% -7.3 16
1903-12-12 Sunderland W 2-1 1715 1837 44.45% 24.61% 30.94% +5.7 13
1903-12-12 @ Notts County L 1-2 1837 1715 30.94% 24.61% 44.45% -5.7 18
1903-12-12 Everton L 2-3 1807 1810 57.98% 24.07% 17.95% -9.1 13
1903-12-12 @ Stoke City W 3-2 1810 1807 17.95% 24.07% 57.98% +9.1 19
1903-12-14 Derby County D 0-0 1758 1748 59.21% 23.94% 16.85% -2.0 11
1903-12-14 @ West Brom D 0-0 1748 1758 16.85% 23.94% 59.21% +1.9 9
1903-12-19 Derby County L 0-1 1819 1750 64.21% 23.17% 12.62% -11.3 19
1903-12-19 @ Everton W 1-0 1750 1819 12.62% 23.17% 64.21% +11.3 11
1903-12-19 Manchester City L 0-3 1718 1868 40.78% 24.55% 34.67% -20.5 9
1903-12-19 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 3-0 1868 1718 34.67% 24.55% 40.78% +20.5 24
1903-12-19 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1789 1805 56.76% 24.18% 19.05% -1.5 16
1903-12-19 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1805 1789 19.05% 24.18% 56.76% +1.5 15
1903-12-19 Liverpool D 2-2 1778 1766 59.37% 23.92% 16.71% -1.3 12
1903-12-19 @ Bury D 2-2 1766 1778 16.71% 23.92% 59.37% +1.3 10
1903-12-19 Aston Villa L 3-7 1821 1843 56.10% 24.24% 19.66% -22.8 16
1903-12-19 @ Nottingham Forest W 7-3 1843 1821 19.66% 24.24% 56.10% +22.8 21
1903-12-19 Newcastle United D 1-1 1867 1799 64.17% 23.18% 12.65% -2.2 22
1903-12-19 @ The Wednesday D 1-1 1799 1867 12.65% 23.18% 64.17% +2.2 20
1903-12-19 Wolverhampton W 5-1 1797 1805 57.56% 24.11% 18.33% +11.8 15
1903-12-19 @ Stoke City L 1-5 1805 1797 18.33% 24.11% 57.56% -11.8 19
1903-12-19 Sheffield United W 2-1 1831 1859 55.57% 24.28% 20.15% +4.0 20
1903-12-19 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1859 1831 20.15% 24.28% 55.57% -4.0 23
1903-12-19 Notts County D 0-0 1756 1720 61.46% 23.64% 14.90% -2.2 12
1903-12-19 @ West Brom D 0-0 1720 1756 14.90% 23.64% 61.46% +2.2 14
1903-12-25 Liverpool W 2-0 1761 1768 57.66% 24.10% 18.24% +7.4 13
1903-12-25 @ Derby County L 0-2 1768 1761 18.24% 24.10% 57.66% -7.4 10
1903-12-25 Stoke City W 2-0 1788 1809 56.19% 24.23% 19.58% +7.9 18
1903-12-25 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1809 1788 19.58% 24.23% 56.19% -7.9 15
1903-12-25 Notts County L 0-1 1798 1723 64.71% 23.07% 12.22% -11.3 16
1903-12-25 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1723 1798 12.22% 23.07% 64.71% +11.3 16
1903-12-25 Newcastle United D 2-2 1855 1801 62.99% 23.39% 13.61% -1.5 24
1903-12-25 @ Sheffield United D 2-2 1801 1855 13.61% 23.39% 62.99% +1.5 21
1903-12-26 The Wednesday W 2-1 1866 1865 58.38% 24.03% 17.59% +3.6 23
1903-12-26 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1865 1866 17.59% 24.03% 58.38% -3.6 22
1903-12-26 Stoke City W 5-0 1768 1801 55.00% 24.32% 20.68% +19.3 15
1903-12-26 @ Derby County L 0-5 1801 1768 20.68% 24.32% 55.00% -19.3 15
1903-12-26 Everton L 1-3 1888 1808 65.08% 22.99% 11.93% -18.6 24
1903-12-26 @ Manchester City W 3-1 1808 1888 11.93% 22.99% 65.08% +18.6 21
1903-12-26 Sunderland L 1-3 1802 1835 55.01% 24.32% 20.67% -15.8 21
1903-12-26 @ Newcastle United W 3-1 1835 1802 20.67% 24.32% 55.01% +15.9 22
1903-12-26 Small Heath Birmingham W 2-0 1734 1698 61.53% 23.63% 14.84% +6.2 18
1903-12-26 @ Notts County L 0-2 1698 1734 14.84% 23.63% 61.53% -6.2 9
1903-12-26 West Brom W 4-0 1853 1754 66.45% 22.68% 10.88% +8.8 26
1903-12-26 @ Sheffield United L 0-4 1754 1853 10.88% 22.68% 66.45% -8.8 12
1903-12-26 Bury D 0-0 1793 1777 59.83% 23.86% 16.31% -2.0 20
1903-12-26 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1777 1793 16.31% 23.86% 59.83% +2.0 13
1903-12-26 Blackburn Rovers L 1-2 1760 1796 54.72% 24.34% 20.94% -9.1 10
1903-12-26 @ Liverpool W 2-1 1796 1760 20.94% 24.34% 54.72% +9.1 20
1903-12-26 Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1807 1787 60.09% 23.83% 16.08% -1.8 16
1903-12-26 @ Middlesbrough D 1-1 1787 1807 16.08% 23.83% 60.09% +1.8 17
1903-12-28 Manchester City W 5-3 1862 1870 57.53% 24.11% 18.36% +5.5 28
1903-12-28 @ Sheffield United L 3-5 1870 1862 18.36% 24.11% 57.53% -5.5 24
1903-12-28 Aston Villa D 2-2 1788 1870 49.48% 24.57% 25.96% -0.7 16
1903-12-28 @ Derby County D 2-2 1870 1788 25.96% 24.57% 49.48% +0.7 24
1903-12-28 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1745 1805 52.04% 24.48% 23.48% +4.6 14
1903-12-28 @ West Brom L 1-2 1805 1745 23.48% 24.48% 52.04% -4.6 20
1903-12-28 Liverpool W 4-2 1791 1751 61.88% 23.58% 14.54% +4.7 22
1903-12-28 @ Wolverhampton L 2-4 1751 1791 14.54% 23.58% 61.88% -4.7 10
1903-12-28 Middlesbrough D 0-0 1782 1805 56.05% 24.24% 19.71% -1.6 16
1903-12-28 @ Stoke City D 0-0 1805 1782 19.71% 24.24% 56.05% +1.6 17
1904-01-01 Wolverhampton W 4-0 1862 1796 63.94% 23.22% 12.84% +10.3 24
1904-01-01 @ The Wednesday L 0-4 1796 1862 12.84% 23.22% 63.94% -10.3 22
1904-01-01 Notts County W 3-0 1779 1740 61.73% 23.60% 14.67% +8.9 15
1904-01-01 @ Bury L 0-3 1740 1779 14.67% 23.60% 61.73% -8.9 18
1904-01-01 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1864 1806 63.32% 23.34% 13.34% -2.1 25
1904-01-01 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1806 1864 13.34% 23.34% 63.32% +2.1 18
1904-01-01 Newcastle United D 1-1 1851 1787 63.85% 23.24% 12.91% -2.2 23
1904-01-01 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1787 1851 12.91% 23.24% 63.85% +2.1 22
1904-01-01 Nottingham Forest W 3-1 1800 1789 59.35% 23.92% 16.72% +6.0 22
1904-01-01 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-3 1789 1800 16.72% 23.92% 59.35% -6.0 17
1904-01-02 The Wednesday L 0-1 1809 1872 51.66% 24.50% 23.84% -9.2 18
1904-01-02 @ Middlesbrough W 1-0 1872 1809 23.84% 24.50% 51.66% +9.2 26
1904-01-02 Everton L 0-3 1731 1826 47.90% 24.59% 27.50% -23.4 18
1904-01-02 @ Notts County W 3-0 1826 1731 27.50% 24.59% 47.90% +23.4 23
1904-01-02 Small Heath Birmingham D 1-1 1867 1692 71.29% 21.21% 7.50% -2.8 29
1904-01-02 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1692 1867 7.50% 21.21% 71.29% +2.8 10
1904-01-02 Sunderland W 2-0 1871 1849 60.27% 23.81% 15.93% +6.6 26
1904-01-02 @ Aston Villa L 0-2 1849 1871 15.93% 23.81% 60.27% -6.6 23
1904-01-02 Derby County D 2-2 1786 1787 58.16% 24.05% 17.79% -1.2 23
1904-01-02 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 1787 1786 17.79% 24.05% 58.16% +1.2 17
1904-01-02 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1746 1783 54.62% 24.34% 21.03% -1.5 11
1904-01-02 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1783 1746 21.03% 24.34% 54.62% +1.5 18
1904-01-02 Stoke City D 2-2 1862 1780 65.16% 22.97% 11.87% -1.7 26
1904-01-02 @ Manchester City D 2-2 1780 1862 11.87% 22.97% 65.16% +1.7 17
1904-01-02 West Brom W 1-0 1789 1749 61.81% 23.59% 14.60% +3.2 24
1904-01-02 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1749 1789 14.60% 23.59% 61.81% -3.2 14
1904-01-02 Blackburn Rovers W 3-0 1788 1806 56.46% 24.21% 19.33% +11.3 17
1904-01-02 @ Bury L 0-3 1806 1788 19.33% 24.21% 56.46% -11.3 22
1904-01-09 Sheffield United W 2-0 1850 1865 56.85% 24.18% 18.97% +7.7 25
1904-01-09 @ Everton L 0-2 1865 1850 18.97% 24.18% 56.85% -7.7 29
1904-01-09 Liverpool W 2-1 1881 1745 68.90% 22.01% 9.09% +1.9 28
1904-01-09 @ The Wednesday L 1-2 1745 1881 9.09% 22.01% 68.90% -1.9 11
1904-01-09 Manchester City L 2-3 1788 1861 50.65% 24.53% 24.82% -8.0 17
1904-01-09 @ Derby County W 3-2 1861 1788 24.82% 24.53% 50.65% +8.0 28
1904-01-09 Middlesbrough W 3-1 1842 1799 62.12% 23.54% 14.34% +5.2 25
1904-01-09 @ Sunderland L 1-3 1799 1842 14.34% 23.54% 62.12% -5.2 18
1904-01-09 Aston Villa L 1-3 1746 1877 43.28% 24.60% 32.12% -12.8 14
1904-01-09 @ West Brom W 3-1 1877 1746 32.12% 24.60% 43.28% +12.8 28
1904-01-09 Newcastle United W 3-0 1695 1792 47.60% 24.60% 27.80% +15.3 12
1904-01-09 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-3 1792 1695 27.80% 24.60% 47.60% -15.3 24
1904-01-09 Bury D 2-2 1784 1799 56.89% 24.17% 18.94% -1.2 19
1904-01-09 @ Nottingham Forest D 2-2 1799 1784 18.94% 24.17% 56.89% +1.1 18
1904-01-09 Notts County L 0-2 1782 1708 64.60% 23.09% 12.31% -21.4 17
1904-01-09 @ Stoke City W 2-0 1708 1782 12.31% 23.09% 64.60% +21.4 20
1904-01-09 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1795 1784 59.26% 23.93% 16.81% -1.7 23
1904-01-09 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1784 1795 16.81% 23.93% 59.26% +1.8 24
1904-01-16 Small Heath Birmingham D 1-1 1890 1710 71.56% 21.11% 7.33% -2.8 29
1904-01-16 @ Aston Villa D 1-1 1710 1890 7.33% 21.11% 71.56% +2.8 13
1904-01-16 The Wednesday W 1-0 1800 1883 49.36% 24.57% 26.07% +5.3 20
1904-01-16 @ Bury L 0-1 1883 1800 26.07% 24.57% 49.36% -5.3 28
1904-01-16 Everton W 1-0 1777 1857 49.65% 24.56% 25.79% +5.3 26
1904-01-16 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1857 1777 25.79% 24.56% 49.65% -5.2 25
1904-01-16 Sunderland W 2-1 1743 1848 46.70% 24.61% 28.69% +5.4 13
1904-01-16 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1848 1743 28.69% 24.61% 46.70% -5.4 25
1904-01-16 West Brom D 2-2 1794 1733 63.56% 23.29% 13.15% -1.6 19
1904-01-16 @ Middlesbrough D 2-2 1733 1794 13.15% 23.29% 63.56% +1.6 15
1904-01-16 Derby County D 2-2 1729 1780 53.05% 24.43% 22.51% -0.9 21
1904-01-16 @ Notts County D 2-2 1780 1729 22.51% 24.43% 53.05% +0.9 18
1904-01-16 Stoke City D 1-1 1857 1761 66.20% 22.74% 11.06% -2.4 30
1904-01-16 @ Sheffield United D 1-1 1761 1857 11.06% 22.74% 66.20% +2.3 18
1904-01-23 Middlesbrough D 2-2 1713 1793 49.73% 24.56% 25.71% -0.7 14
1904-01-23 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 2-2 1793 1713 25.71% 24.56% 49.73% +0.7 20
1904-01-23 Aston Villa W 1-0 1852 1887 54.79% 24.33% 20.88% +4.4 27
1904-01-23 @ Everton L 0-1 1887 1852 20.88% 24.33% 54.79% -4.4 29
1904-01-23 Notts County W 3-0 1869 1728 69.16% 21.93% 8.91% +5.5 30
1904-01-23 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1728 1869 8.91% 21.93% 69.16% -5.5 21
1904-01-23 Sheffield United L 3-5 1781 1855 50.51% 24.54% 24.95% -12.4 18
1904-01-23 @ Derby County W 5-3 1855 1781 24.95% 24.54% 50.51% +12.4 32
1904-01-23 Wolverhampton W 5-0 1783 1786 58.00% 24.07% 17.93% +17.1 21
1904-01-23 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-5 1786 1783 17.93% 24.07% 58.00% -17.1 24
1904-01-23 Bury W 6-0 1842 1805 61.60% 23.62% 14.78% +17.1 27
1904-01-23 @ Sunderland L 0-6 1805 1842 14.78% 23.62% 61.60% -17.1 20
1904-01-23 Liverpool D 2-2 1735 1748 56.99% 24.16% 18.85% -1.2 16
1904-01-23 @ West Brom D 2-2 1748 1735 18.85% 24.16% 56.99% +1.2 14
1904-01-23 Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1878 1793 65.37% 22.93% 11.71% +4.3 30
1904-01-23 @ The Wednesday L 1-3 1793 1878 11.71% 22.93% 65.37% -4.3 23
1904-01-23 Newcastle United L 2-3 1763 1782 56.44% 24.21% 19.35% -8.9 18
1904-01-23 @ Stoke City W 3-2 1782 1763 19.35% 24.21% 56.44% +8.9 28
1904-01-30 Small Heath Birmingham L 0-2 1749 1712 61.66% 23.61% 14.73% -20.4 14
1904-01-30 @ Liverpool W 2-0 1712 1749 14.73% 23.61% 61.66% +20.4 16
1904-01-30 Everton W 3-0 1793 1857 51.67% 24.50% 23.83% +13.5 22
1904-01-30 @ Middlesbrough L 0-3 1857 1793 23.83% 24.50% 51.67% -13.5 27
1904-01-30 Sunderland L 1-3 1789 1859 50.85% 24.53% 24.62% -14.7 23
1904-01-30 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1859 1789 24.62% 24.53% 50.85% +14.8 29
1904-01-30 West Brom W 2-1 1788 1734 63.05% 23.38% 13.57% +2.8 22
1904-01-30 @ Bury L 1-2 1734 1788 13.57% 23.38% 63.05% -2.8 16
1904-01-30 Derby County D 0-0 1791 1769 60.32% 23.80% 15.88% -2.1 29
1904-01-30 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1769 1791 15.88% 23.80% 60.32% +2.0 19
1904-01-30 The Wednesday L 0-1 1800 1882 49.53% 24.56% 25.91% -8.8 21
1904-01-30 @ Nottingham Forest W 1-0 1882 1800 25.91% 24.56% 49.53% +8.8 32
1904-01-30 Stoke City W 3-1 1883 1754 68.41% 22.16% 9.44% +3.5 31
1904-01-30 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1754 1883 9.44% 22.16% 68.41% -3.5 18
1904-01-30 Notts County D 1-1 1769 1723 62.39% 23.50% 14.12% -2.0 25
1904-01-30 @ Wolverhampton D 1-1 1723 1769 14.12% 23.50% 62.39% +2.0 22
1904-02-13 Small Heath Birmingham D 1-1 1774 1732 62.02% 23.56% 14.43% -2.0 24
1904-02-13 @ Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1732 1774 14.43% 23.56% 62.02% +2.0 17
1904-02-13 Everton D 0-0 1791 1843 52.93% 24.44% 22.63% -1.3 23
1904-02-13 @ Bury D 0-0 1843 1791 22.63% 24.44% 52.93% +1.3 28
1904-02-13 Sheffield United W 1-0 1767 1867 47.31% 24.60% 28.09% +5.6 27
1904-02-13 @ Wolverhampton L 0-1 1867 1767 28.09% 24.60% 47.31% -5.6 32
1904-02-13 Manchester City L 0-1 1886 1874 59.42% 23.91% 16.67% -10.5 31
1904-02-13 @ Aston Villa W 1-0 1874 1886 16.67% 23.91% 59.42% +10.4 32
1904-02-13 Derby County D 0-0 1807 1771 61.52% 23.63% 14.85% -2.2 23
1904-02-13 @ Middlesbrough D 0-0 1771 1807 14.85% 23.63% 61.52% +2.2 20
1904-02-13 Sunderland D 0-0 1891 1874 59.84% 23.86% 16.30% -2.0 33
1904-02-13 @ The Wednesday D 0-0 1874 1891 16.30% 23.86% 59.84% +2.0 30
1904-02-13 Stoke City D 0-0 1729 1751 56.16% 24.23% 19.61% -1.6 15
1904-02-13 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1751 1729 19.61% 24.23% 56.16% +1.7 19
1904-02-13 Notts County W 4-1 1789 1725 63.81% 23.25% 12.95% +6.7 31
1904-02-13 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 1725 1789 12.95% 23.25% 63.81% -6.7 22
1904-02-20 West Brom L 2-3 1718 1731 57.05% 24.16% 18.79% -9.0 22
1904-02-20 @ Notts County W 3-2 1731 1718 18.79% 24.16% 57.05% +9.0 18
1904-02-22 Notts County W 2-0 1889 1709 71.53% 21.12% 7.35% +3.1 35
1904-02-22 @ The Wednesday L 0-2 1709 1889 7.35% 21.12% 71.53% -3.1 22
1904-02-22 Middlesbrough W 1-0 1727 1805 50.06% 24.55% 25.39% +5.2 17
1904-02-22 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1805 1727 25.39% 24.55% 50.06% -5.2 23
1904-02-27 Everton L 0-4 1792 1844 52.84% 24.44% 22.71% -33.5 21
1904-02-27 @ Nottingham Forest W 4-0 1844 1792 22.71% 24.44% 52.84% +33.4 30
1904-02-27 Small Heath Birmingham W 3-2 1892 1734 70.23% 21.58% 8.18% +1.6 37
1904-02-27 @ The Wednesday L 2-3 1734 1892 8.18% 21.58% 70.23% -1.6 17
1904-02-27 Sheffield United W 6-1 1876 1861 59.63% 23.89% 16.48% +13.2 33
1904-02-27 @ Aston Villa L 1-6 1861 1876 16.48% 23.89% 59.63% -13.1 32
1904-02-27 Derby County D 2-2 1790 1773 59.83% 23.86% 16.31% -1.3 24
1904-02-27 @ Bury D 2-2 1773 1790 16.31% 23.86% 59.83% +1.3 21
1904-02-27 Notts County W 1-0 1799 1706 66.01% 22.78% 11.21% +2.5 25
1904-02-27 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1706 1799 11.21% 22.78% 66.01% -2.5 22
1904-02-27 West Brom D 1-1 1876 1740 68.90% 22.01% 9.09% -2.6 31
1904-02-27 @ Sunderland D 1-1 1740 1876 9.09% 22.01% 68.90% +2.6 19
1904-02-27 Manchester City D 2-2 1733 1885 40.44% 24.55% 35.01% -0.1 18
1904-02-27 @ Liverpool D 2-2 1885 1733 35.01% 24.55% 40.44% +0.2 33
1904-02-27 Newcastle United W 3-2 1773 1796 56.04% 24.24% 19.71% +3.8 29
1904-02-27 @ Wolverhampton L 2-3 1796 1773 19.71% 24.24% 56.04% -3.8 31
1904-03-05 Sunderland W 2-1 1733 1874 41.96% 24.58% 33.46% +6.1 19
1904-03-05 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 1-2 1874 1733 33.46% 24.58% 41.96% -6.1 31
1904-03-05 Nottingham Forest L 2-3 1752 1758 57.74% 24.09% 18.17% -9.1 19
1904-03-05 @ Stoke City W 3-2 1758 1752 18.17% 24.09% 57.74% +9.1 23
1904-03-05 Wolverhampton L 1-2 1742 1776 54.89% 24.33% 20.79% -9.1 19
1904-03-05 @ West Brom W 2-1 1776 1742 20.79% 24.33% 54.89% +9.1 31
1904-03-12 Everton W 2-0 1867 1878 57.28% 24.14% 18.59% +7.5 33
1904-03-12 @ Sunderland L 0-2 1878 1867 18.59% 24.14% 57.28% -7.5 30
1904-03-12 Manchester City L 2-5 1772 1885 45.70% 24.61% 29.69% -16.4 24
1904-03-12 @ Blackburn Rovers W 5-2 1885 1772 29.69% 24.61% 45.70% +16.4 35
1904-03-12 Derby County W 5-1 1767 1774 57.60% 24.11% 18.29% +11.8 25
1904-03-12 @ Nottingham Forest L 1-5 1774 1767 18.29% 24.11% 57.60% -11.8 21
1904-03-12 Aston Villa W 3-2 1786 1889 46.87% 24.61% 28.53% +5.1 33
1904-03-12 @ Wolverhampton L 2-3 1889 1786 28.53% 24.61% 46.87% -5.1 33
1904-03-12 Sheffield United W 3-0 1732 1848 45.29% 24.61% 30.10% +16.2 20
1904-03-12 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1848 1732 30.10% 24.61% 45.29% -16.2 32
1904-03-12 Newcastle United L 1-3 1802 1792 59.24% 23.93% 16.83% -17.0 25
1904-03-12 @ Middlesbrough W 3-1 1792 1802 16.83% 23.93% 59.24% +17.0 33
1904-03-12 Stoke City W 1-0 1894 1743 69.78% 21.73% 8.48% +1.9 39
1904-03-12 @ The Wednesday L 0-1 1743 1894 8.48% 21.73% 69.78% -1.9 19
1904-03-12 Small Heath Birmingham L 0-1 1733 1739 57.78% 24.09% 18.13% -10.2 19
1904-03-12 @ West Brom W 1-0 1739 1733 18.13% 24.09% 57.78% +10.2 21
1904-03-19 Bury D 0-0 1832 1788 62.16% 23.53% 14.31% -2.2 33
1904-03-19 @ Sheffield United D 0-0 1788 1832 14.31% 23.53% 62.16% +2.2 25
1904-03-19 Middlesbrough W 2-1 1884 1785 66.40% 22.69% 10.91% +2.3 35
1904-03-19 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1785 1884 10.91% 22.69% 66.40% -2.3 25
1904-03-19 Wolverhampton W 3-0 1749 1791 54.06% 24.38% 21.56% +12.4 23
1904-03-19 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-3 1791 1749 21.56% 24.38% 54.06% -12.4 33
1904-03-19 Blackburn Rovers W 4-2 1704 1756 52.93% 24.44% 22.63% +6.9 24
1904-03-19 @ Notts County L 2-4 1756 1704 22.63% 24.44% 52.93% -6.9 24
1904-03-19 Liverpool D 1-1 1809 1749 63.50% 23.30% 13.20% -2.1 34
1904-03-19 @ Newcastle United D 1-1 1749 1809 13.20% 23.30% 63.50% +2.1 21
1904-03-19 Sunderland W 3-1 1741 1875 42.94% 24.59% 32.47% +10.3 21
1904-03-19 @ Stoke City L 1-3 1875 1741 32.47% 24.59% 42.94% -10.3 33
1904-03-21 Manchester City L 1-6 1778 1901 44.36% 24.61% 31.03% -29.3 33
1904-03-21 @ Wolverhampton W 6-1 1901 1778 31.03% 24.61% 44.36% +29.3 37
1904-03-26 Everton D 1-1 1761 1870 46.14% 24.61% 29.25% -0.6 24
1904-03-26 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 1-1 1870 1761 29.25% 24.61% 46.14% +0.6 31
1904-03-26 Manchester City W 1-0 1896 1930 54.80% 24.33% 20.87% +4.4 41
1904-03-26 @ The Wednesday L 0-1 1930 1896 20.87% 24.33% 54.80% -4.4 37
1904-03-26 Derby County L 0-3 1865 1763 66.63% 22.63% 10.74% -31.9 33
1904-03-26 @ Sunderland W 3-0 1763 1865 10.74% 22.63% 66.63% +32.0 23
1904-03-26 Sheffield United W 3-0 1749 1830 49.63% 24.56% 25.81% +14.4 26
1904-03-26 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-3 1830 1749 25.81% 24.56% 49.63% -14.4 33
1904-03-26 Aston Villa D 1-1 1751 1886 42.69% 24.59% 32.71% -0.4 22
1904-03-26 @ Liverpool D 1-1 1886 1751 32.71% 24.59% 42.69% +0.4 36
1904-03-26 Middlesbrough D 2-2 1749 1783 54.93% 24.32% 20.75% -1.0 34
1904-03-26 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 1783 1749 20.75% 24.32% 54.93% +1.0 26
1904-03-26 Newcastle United L 0-3 1791 1807 56.72% 24.19% 19.09% -27.4 25
1904-03-26 @ Bury W 3-0 1807 1791 19.09% 24.19% 56.72% +27.4 36
1904-03-26 Stoke City W 3-0 1723 1752 55.47% 24.29% 20.25% +11.8 21
1904-03-26 @ West Brom L 0-3 1752 1723 20.25% 24.29% 55.47% -11.8 21
1904-03-28 Middlesbrough W 3-0 1815 1784 61.15% 23.69% 15.16% +9.2 35
1904-03-28 @ Sheffield United L 0-3 1784 1815 15.16% 23.69% 61.15% -9.2 26
1904-03-30 West Brom W 2-0 1779 1735 62.19% 23.53% 14.28% +6.0 27
1904-03-30 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-2 1735 1779 14.28% 23.53% 62.19% -6.0 21
1904-04-01 Liverpool W 5-2 1871 1750 67.88% 22.31% 9.81% +4.4 33
1904-04-01 @ Everton L 2-5 1750 1871 9.81% 22.31% 67.88% -4.4 22
1904-04-01 Aston Villa D 0-0 1710 1887 37.06% 24.44% 38.50% +0.1 25
1904-04-01 @ Notts County D 0-0 1887 1710 38.50% 24.44% 37.06% -0.1 37
1904-04-01 Newcastle United L 1-3 1926 1834 65.90% 22.81% 11.29% -18.9 37
1904-04-01 @ Manchester City W 3-1 1834 1926 11.29% 22.81% 65.90% +18.9 38
1904-04-01 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1833 1748 65.38% 22.93% 11.69% +2.5 35
1904-04-01 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1748 1833 11.69% 22.93% 65.38% -2.5 34
1904-04-02 West Brom W 4-2 1795 1729 63.93% 23.22% 12.85% +4.2 25
1904-04-02 @ Derby County L 2-4 1729 1795 12.85% 23.22% 63.93% -4.2 21
1904-04-02 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1875 1746 68.50% 22.13% 9.37% +4.0 35
1904-04-02 @ Everton L 0-2 1746 1875 9.37% 22.13% 68.50% -4.0 34
1904-04-02 The Wednesday W 1-0 1710 1900 35.21% 24.36% 40.43% +7.4 27
1904-04-02 @ Notts County L 0-1 1900 1710 40.43% 24.36% 35.21% -7.4 41
1904-04-02 Nottingham Forest W 2-0 1824 1785 61.82% 23.59% 14.59% +6.1 37
1904-04-02 @ Sheffield United L 0-2 1785 1824 14.59% 23.59% 61.82% -6.1 27
1904-04-02 Bury L 0-2 1886 1763 68.06% 22.26% 9.68% -22.4 37
1904-04-02 @ Aston Villa W 2-0 1763 1886 9.68% 22.26% 68.06% +22.4 27
1904-04-02 Small Heath Birmingham W 1-0 1740 1761 56.25% 24.23% 19.52% +4.2 23
1904-04-02 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1761 1740 19.52% 24.23% 56.25% -4.2 24
1904-04-02 Sunderland W 2-1 1907 1835 64.41% 23.13% 12.46% +2.6 39
1904-04-02 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1835 1907 12.46% 23.13% 64.41% -2.6 35
1904-04-02 Liverpool W 1-0 1774 1746 60.88% 23.72% 15.40% +3.4 28
1904-04-02 @ Middlesbrough L 0-1 1746 1774 15.40% 23.72% 60.88% -3.4 22
1904-04-02 Blackburn Rovers W 2-1 1853 1763 65.74% 22.85% 11.42% +2.4 40
1904-04-02 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1763 1853 11.42% 22.85% 65.74% -2.4 26
1904-04-04 The Wednesday W 2-0 1879 1893 57.02% 24.16% 18.82% +7.6 37
1904-04-04 @ Everton L 0-2 1893 1879 18.82% 24.16% 57.02% -7.6 41
1904-04-04 Bury W 1-0 1756 1786 55.39% 24.29% 20.32% +4.3 26
1904-04-04 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-1 1786 1756 20.32% 24.29% 55.39% -4.3 27
1904-04-04 Stoke City D 0-0 1742 1744 58.05% 24.06% 17.89% -1.8 35
1904-04-04 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1744 1742 17.89% 24.06% 58.05% +1.8 24
1904-04-04 Sheffield United W 2-1 1718 1831 45.68% 24.61% 29.71% +5.5 29
1904-04-04 @ Notts County L 1-2 1831 1718 29.71% 24.61% 45.68% -5.5 37
1904-04-04 Nottingham Forest W 3-1 1833 1779 63.00% 23.39% 13.61% +5.0 37
1904-04-04 @ Sunderland L 1-3 1779 1833 13.61% 23.39% 63.00% -4.9 27
1904-04-09 Derby County W 1-0 1761 1799 54.47% 24.35% 21.17% +4.5 28
1904-04-09 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-1 1799 1761 21.17% 24.35% 54.47% -4.5 25
1904-04-09 Aston Villa L 0-3 1761 1864 46.88% 24.61% 28.52% -23.0 26
1904-04-09 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-0 1864 1761 28.52% 24.61% 46.88% +23.0 39
1904-04-09 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1781 1778 58.61% 24.00% 17.38% -1.7 28
1904-04-09 @ Bury D 1-1 1778 1781 17.38% 24.00% 58.61% +1.7 29
1904-04-09 Stoke City L 0-1 1887 1746 69.22% 21.91% 8.87% -12.1 37
1904-04-09 @ Everton W 1-0 1746 1887 8.87% 21.91% 69.22% +12.1 26
1904-04-09 Sheffield United W 3-0 1885 1825 63.48% 23.31% 13.21% +8.1 43
1904-04-09 @ The Wednesday L 0-3 1825 1885 13.21% 23.31% 63.48% -8.1 37
1904-04-09 Manchester City W 2-1 1725 1910 35.83% 24.39% 39.78% +6.9 23
1904-04-09 @ West Brom L 1-2 1910 1725 39.78% 24.39% 35.83% -6.9 39
1904-04-09 Newcastle United W 1-0 1774 1855 49.56% 24.56% 25.88% +5.3 29
1904-04-09 @ Nottingham Forest L 0-1 1855 1774 25.88% 24.56% 49.56% -5.3 40
1904-04-11 Blackburn Rovers W 3-0 1794 1738 63.21% 23.36% 13.43% +8.2 27
1904-04-11 @ Derby County L 0-3 1738 1794 13.43% 23.36% 63.21% -8.2 26
1904-04-11 Bury W 3-0 1903 1780 68.06% 22.26% 9.69% +6.0 41
1904-04-11 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1780 1903 9.69% 22.26% 68.06% -6.0 28
1904-04-13 Nottingham Forest D 0-0 1909 1779 68.48% 22.14% 9.38% -2.8 42
1904-04-13 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1779 1909 9.38% 22.14% 68.48% +2.8 30
1904-04-16 Everton L 0-1 1802 1875 50.61% 24.53% 24.86% -9.0 27
1904-04-16 @ Derby County W 1-0 1875 1802 24.86% 24.53% 50.61% +9.0 39
1904-04-16 Nottingham Forest W 3-1 1887 1782 66.83% 22.58% 10.59% +3.9 41
1904-04-16 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 1782 1887 10.59% 22.58% 66.83% -3.9 30
1904-04-16 Bury W 3-0 1743 1774 55.20% 24.31% 20.50% +11.9 24
1904-04-16 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1774 1743 20.50% 24.31% 55.20% -11.9 28
1904-04-16 Small Heath Birmingham W 4-0 1906 1765 69.19% 21.92% 8.89% +7.2 44
1904-04-16 @ Manchester City L 0-4 1765 1906 8.89% 21.92% 69.19% -7.2 28
1904-04-16 Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1780 1730 62.69% 23.45% 13.87% -20.7 29
1904-04-16 @ Middlesbrough W 2-0 1730 1780 13.87% 23.45% 62.69% +20.8 28
1904-04-16 The Wednesday W 4-0 1850 1893 53.94% 24.39% 21.68% +16.3 42
1904-04-16 @ Newcastle United L 0-4 1893 1850 21.68% 24.39% 53.94% -16.3 43
1904-04-16 Sunderland L 1-2 1817 1838 56.27% 24.22% 19.51% -9.4 37
1904-04-16 @ Sheffield United W 2-1 1838 1817 19.51% 24.22% 56.27% +9.4 39
1904-04-18 West Brom W 4-0 1884 1732 69.90% 21.69% 8.40% +6.8 41
1904-04-18 @ Everton L 0-4 1732 1884 8.40% 21.69% 69.90% -6.8 23
1904-04-23 Aston Villa W 4-2 1877 1891 56.90% 24.17% 18.93% +5.9 45
1904-04-23 @ The Wednesday L 2-4 1891 1877 18.93% 24.17% 56.90% -5.9 41
1904-04-23 Derby County D 1-1 1758 1793 54.73% 24.34% 20.93% -1.4 27
1904-04-23 @ Stoke City D 1-1 1793 1758 20.93% 24.34% 54.73% +1.3 28
1904-04-23 Notts County W 2-0 1758 1723 61.41% 23.65% 14.94% +6.2 30
1904-04-23 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-2 1723 1758 14.94% 23.65% 61.41% -6.2 29
1904-04-23 Liverpool L 2-3 1750 1755 57.89% 24.08% 18.03% -9.1 28
1904-04-23 @ Blackburn Rovers W 3-2 1755 1750 18.03% 24.08% 57.89% +9.1 26
1904-04-23 Wolverhampton D 0-0 1762 1740 60.31% 23.80% 15.89% -2.0 29
1904-04-23 @ Bury D 0-0 1740 1762 15.89% 23.80% 60.31% +2.1 36
1904-04-23 Middlesbrough D 1-1 1778 1759 60.06% 23.83% 16.10% -1.8 31
1904-04-23 @ Nottingham Forest D 1-1 1759 1778 16.10% 23.83% 60.06% +1.8 30
1904-04-23 Sheffield United D 2-2 1725 1808 49.41% 24.57% 26.02% -0.7 24
1904-04-23 @ West Brom D 2-2 1808 1725 26.02% 24.57% 49.41% +0.7 38
1904-04-25 Manchester City W 1-0 1891 1913 56.09% 24.24% 19.68% +4.2 43
1904-04-25 @ Everton L 0-1 1913 1891 19.68% 24.24% 56.09% -4.2 44
1904-04-30 The Wednesday L 0-2 1795 1883 48.79% 24.58% 26.63% -16.4 28
1904-04-30 @ Derby County W 2-0 1883 1795 26.63% 24.58% 48.79% +16.4 47

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1904-04-09 8.87% Stoke City 1746 1 @ Everton 1887 0
2 1904-04-02 9.68% Bury 1763 2 @ Aston Villa 1886 0
3 1904-03-26 10.74% Derby County 1763 3 @ Sunderland 1865 0
4 1904-04-01 11.29% Newcastle United 1834 3 @ Manchester City 1926 1
5 1903-12-26 11.93% Everton 1808 3 @ Manchester City 1888 1
6 1903-10-24 11.99% Small Heath Birmingham 1727 1 @ Nottingham Forest 1806 0
7 1903-12-25 12.22% Notts County 1723 1 @ Nottingham Forest 1798 0
8 1903-12-12 12.31% Blackburn Rovers 1779 3 @ Aston Villa 1854 2
9 1904-01-09 12.31% Notts County 1708 2 @ Stoke City 1782 0
10 1903-12-19 12.62% Derby County 1750 1 @ Everton 1819 0
11 1904-04-16 13.87% Blackburn Rovers 1730 2 @ Middlesbrough 1780 0
12 1903-09-19 14.60% Blackburn Rovers 1769 1 @ Nottingham Forest 1808 0
13 1904-01-30 14.73% Small Heath Birmingham 1712 2 @ Liverpool 1749 0
14 1903-10-31 14.74% Nottingham Forest 1795 2 @ Everton 1832 0
15 1903-10-31 14.78% Aston Villa 1833 2 @ Sheffield United 1870 1
16 1903-09-19 15.44% Notts County 1777 1 @ Derby County 1805 0
17 1903-09-26 15.44% West Brom 1765 3 @ Liverpool 1793 1
18 1903-11-28 15.68% Wolverhampton 1787 2 @ Middlesbrough 1812 1
19 1903-10-03 16.62% Sheffield United 1837 1 @ Manchester City 1850 0
20 1904-02-13 16.67% Manchester City 1874 1 @ Aston Villa 1886 0
21 1904-03-12 16.83% Newcastle United 1792 3 @ Middlesbrough 1802 1
22 1903-09-05 16.89% Manchester City 1802 2 @ Stoke City 1812 1
23 1903-11-21 17.42% Manchester City 1835 3 @ Nottingham Forest 1838 0
24 1903-10-03 17.84% Newcastle United 1794 3 @ Derby County 1792 1
25 1903-09-05 17.88% Newcastle United 1784 2 @ West Brom 1781 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1904-02-27 33.45 Everton 4 1844 22.71% @ Nottingham Forest 0 1792 52.84% 24.44%
2 1904-03-26 31.95 Derby County 3 1763 10.74% @ Sunderland 0 1865 66.63% 22.63%
3 1904-03-21 29.26 Manchester City 6 1901 31.03% @ Wolverhampton 1 1778 44.36% 24.61%
4 1903-11-21 28.22 Manchester City 3 1835 17.42% @ Nottingham Forest 0 1838 58.58% 24.01%
5 1904-03-26 27.37 Newcastle United 3 1807 19.09% @ Bury 0 1791 56.72% 24.19%
6 1903-09-26 26.46 Manchester City 3 1823 20.91% @ Notts County 0 1788 54.75% 24.34%
7 1903-10-24 25.49 @ Middlesbrough 6 1779 52.05% Manchester City 0 1839 23.47% 24.48%
8 1904-01-02 23.44 Everton 3 1826 27.50% @ Notts County 0 1731 47.90% 24.59%
9 1903-11-14 23.29 Nottingham Forest 6 1815 23.56% @ Derby County 2 1754 51.96% 24.48%
10 1904-04-09 23.01 Aston Villa 3 1864 28.52% @ Blackburn Rovers 0 1761 46.88% 24.61%
11 1903-12-19 22.84 Aston Villa 7 1843 19.66% @ Nottingham Forest 3 1821 56.10% 24.24%
12 1904-04-02 22.44 Bury 2 1763 9.68% @ Aston Villa 0 1886 68.06% 22.26%
13 1904-01-09 21.36 Notts County 2 1708 12.31% @ Stoke City 0 1782 64.60% 23.09%
14 1904-04-16 20.75 Blackburn Rovers 2 1730 13.87% @ Middlesbrough 0 1780 62.69% 23.45%
15 1903-12-19 20.48 Manchester City 3 1868 34.67% @ Small Heath Birmingham 0 1718 40.78% 24.55%
16 1904-01-30 20.42 Small Heath Birmingham 2 1712 14.73% @ Liverpool 0 1749 61.66% 23.61%
17 1903-10-31 20.41 Nottingham Forest 2 1795 14.74% @ Everton 0 1832 61.64% 23.61%
18 1903-12-26 19.32 @ Derby County 5 1768 55.00% Stoke City 0 1801 20.68% 24.32%
19 1903-10-03 19.03 Wolverhampton 2 1778 18.55% @ Notts County 0 1767 57.32% 24.13%
20 1903-11-28 18.89 @ Derby County 7 1729 43.63% Sunderland 2 1857 31.77% 24.60%
21 1904-04-01 18.86 Newcastle United 3 1834 11.29% @ Manchester City 1 1926 65.90% 22.81%
22 1903-12-26 18.63 Everton 3 1808 11.93% @ Manchester City 1 1888 65.08% 22.99%
23 1903-10-24 18.15 Everton 2 1814 21.13% @ Blackburn Rovers 0 1777 54.52% 24.35%
24 1903-09-26 17.46 West Brom 3 1765 15.44% @ Liverpool 1 1793 60.83% 23.73%
25 1904-01-23 17.11 @ Sunderland 6 1842 61.60% Bury 0 1805 14.78% 23.62%