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1891-92 The Football League Season

182 games

Final

Champion

Sunderland

42 points · 1st Title

Relegated

Darwen

Biggest Overachiever

Sunderland

6.63 points above expected

42 points · 35.37 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Darwen

9.11 points below expected

11 points · 20.11 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Sunderland Champion 26 21 0 5 42 93 36 +57 35.37 +6.63
2 Preston North End 26 18 1 7 37 61 31 +30 32.57 +4.43
3 Bolton Wanderers 26 17 2 7 36 51 37 +14 29.86 +6.14
4 Aston Villa 26 15 0 11 30 89 56 +33 29.96 +0.04
5 Everton 26 12 4 10 28 49 49 0 28.06 -0.06
6 Wolverhampton 26 11 4 11 26 59 46 +13 24.80 +1.20
7 Notts County 26 11 4 11 26 55 51 +4 27.60 -1.60
8 Burnley 26 11 4 11 26 49 45 +4 25.96 +0.04
9 Blackburn Rovers 26 10 6 10 26 58 65 -7 26.57 -0.57
10 Derby County 26 10 4 12 24 46 52 -6 24.09 -0.09
11 Accrington 26 8 4 14 20 40 78 -38 19.88 +0.12
12 West Brom 26 6 6 14 18 51 58 -7 22.05 -4.05
13 Stoke City 26 5 4 17 14 38 61 -23 17.12 -3.12
14 Darwen Relegated 26 4 3 19 11 38 112 -74 20.11 -9.11

Notes

  • Darwen failed re-election to the league at the end of the season and was demoted to the Second Division.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Sunderland 2136 42 35.37 +6.63 97.5% 19 29 33 35 38 41 48
Preston North End 1995 37 32.57 +4.43 90.1% 15 26 30 33 35 39 47
Bolton Wanderers 1979 36 29.86 +6.14 95.6% 14 23 27 30 33 36 44
Wolverhampton 1927 26 24.80 +1.20 66.8% 10 18 22 25 27 32 39
Aston Villa 1891 30 29.96 +0.04 55.0% 16 23 27 30 33 36 45
Notts County 1838 26 27.60 -1.60 39.2% 12 21 25 28 30 34 42
Everton 1832 28 28.06 -0.06 54.0% 12 21 25 28 31 35 44
Derby County 1806 24 24.09 -0.09 54.2% 7 18 21 24 27 31 39
Burnley 1789 26 25.96 +0.04 55.9% 11 19 23 26 29 33 44
Blackburn Rovers 1781 26 26.57 -0.57 49.7% 12 20 24 27 29 33 42
West Brom 1686 18 22.05 -4.05 18.5% 8 16 19 22 25 29 37
Accrington 1655 20 19.88 +0.12 56.4% 7 13 17 20 22 26 34
Stoke City 1583 14 17.12 -3.12 25.1% 3 11 14 17 20 23 32
Darwen 1461 11 20.11 -9.11 1.3% 5 14 17 20 23 27 35

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ACC AV BR BW BUR DAR DC EVE NC PNE SC SUN WB WOL
Accrington —
1-0-1
1.61
1-1-0
2.26
1-0-1
1.89
1-0-1
2.58
0-1-1
2.31
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
2.03
1-0-1
2.04
0-0-2
0.96
1-0-1
3.03
0-0-2
1.10
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.62
Aston Villa
1-0-1
4.13
 —
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.84
1-0-1
3.46
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.13
0-0-2
3.60
1-0-1
3.20
2-0-0
2.54
2-0-0
3.88
1-0-1
2.48
2-0-0
3.80
0-0-2
3.44
Blackburn Rovers
0-1-1
3.48
1-0-1
2.53
 —
1-0-1
2.31
0-1-1
3.15
2-0-0
3.08
0-1-1
3.18
0-1-1
2.73
1-1-0
2.69
0-0-2
2.66
2-0-0
3.94
1-0-1
2.01
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
3.25
Bolton Wanderers
1-0-1
3.84
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
3.42
 —
2-0-0
3.34
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
3.83
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.80
1-1-0
4.37
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.89
2-0-0
3.05
Burnley
1-0-1
3.16
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
2.39
 —
2-0-0
4.14
1-0-1
3.14
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.72
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
3.80
0-0-2
1.35
1-0-1
3.65
0-2-0
2.73
Darwen
1-1-0
3.42
0-0-2
2.30
0-0-2
2.65
0-0-2
2.89
0-0-2
1.60
 —
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.29
0-0-2
1.89
0-0-2
0.99
1-0-1
3.62
0-0-2
0.55
0-1-1
1.73
0-1-1
2.11
Derby County
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.60
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
1.91
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
3.33
 —
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
2.49
0-0-2
1.77
0-1-1
3.66
0-0-2
1.27
0-1-1
3.52
2-0-0
2.88
Everton
1-1-0
3.71
2-0-0
2.13
1-1-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.66
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.10
 —
2-0-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.91
2-0-0
4.30
0-0-2
2.51
1-0-1
3.57
1-0-1
3.32
Notts County
1-0-1
3.69
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
3.85
1-0-1
3.25
0-0-2
2.97
 —
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
3.88
1-0-1
1.65
1-1-0
3.50
0-1-1
3.41
Preston North End
2-0-0
4.78
0-0-2
3.19
2-0-0
3.08
1-0-1
2.93
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
4.75
2-0-0
3.96
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-1
3.31
 —
2-0-0
4.39
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
4.48
1-0-1
3.69
Stoke City
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
1.80
0-1-1
1.37
1-0-1
1.94
1-0-1
2.12
1-1-0
2.07
0-0-2
1.43
0-1-1
1.85
0-0-2
1.35
 —
0-0-2
1.16
1-1-0
2.17
0-0-2
2.17
Sunderland
2-0-0
4.64
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.73
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
4.38
2-0-0
5.19
2-0-0
4.47
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
4.09
1-0-1
3.08
2-0-0
4.59
 —
2-0-0
3.52
2-0-0
3.90
West Brom
1-0-1
2.73
0-0-2
1.93
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
1.85
1-0-1
2.08
1-1-0
4.00
1-1-0
2.22
1-0-1
2.16
0-1-1
2.23
0-0-2
1.26
0-1-1
3.56
0-0-2
2.21
 —
1-0-1
2.48
Wolverhampton
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
2.29
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
2.69
0-2-0
3.00
1-1-0
3.62
0-0-2
2.85
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.33
1-0-1
2.05
2-0-0
3.57
0-0-2
1.84
1-0-1
3.26
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.52 +3.7
Allowed 0.64 -3.4
Differential 0.80 +2.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
00.55%4.95%3.30%3.30%3.30%2.75%18.13%
14.95%6.59%5.49%4.40%2.47%3.85%27.75%
23.30%5.49%4.40%2.47%1.65%1.92%19.23%
33.30%4.40%2.47%1.10%1.65%1.92%14.84%
43.30%2.47%1.65%1.65%—0.27%9.34%
5+2.75%3.85%1.92%1.92%0.27%—10.71%
Total18.13%27.75%19.23%14.84%9.34%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.13 2.13 +0.00
SD 1.91 1.91 3.03
CV 0.90 0.90 —
Max 12 12 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———7.69%—7.69%15.38%
17.69%11.54%3.85%15.38%7.69%—46.15%
23.85%—3.85%——7.69%15.38%
33.85%—7.69%——3.85%15.38%
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+———————
Total15.38%11.54%19.23%26.92%7.69%19.23%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 3.00 -1.46
SD 1.17 2.71 3.09
CV 0.76 0.90 —
Max 4 12 +3
Min 0 0 -10

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%———3.85%
13.85%—7.69%—3.85%3.85%19.23%
2—7.69%—3.85%3.85%3.85%19.23%
33.85%3.85%3.85%—7.69%3.85%23.08%
4———————
5+7.69%19.23%3.85%3.85%——34.62%
Total15.38%30.77%19.23%7.69%15.38%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.42 2.15 +1.27
SD 2.56 1.74 3.52
CV 0.75 0.81 —
Max 12 6 +10
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
13.85%3.85%—3.85%—11.54%23.08%
23.85%—15.38%3.85%7.69%—30.77%
3—3.85%3.85%3.85%——11.54%
47.69%——3.85%——11.54%
5+———7.69%3.85%—11.54%
Total15.38%11.54%23.08%26.92%11.54%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 2.50 -0.27
SD 1.53 1.70 2.39
CV 0.69 0.68 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.85%—7.69%—11.54%
111.54%7.69%3.85%—3.85%—26.92%
211.54%15.38%—3.85%——30.77%
311.54%3.85%——3.85%—19.23%
4——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
5+——3.85%———3.85%
Total34.62%26.92%15.38%7.69%15.38%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.42 +0.54
SD 1.28 1.45 2.04
CV 0.65 1.02 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
111.54%7.69%11.54%——11.54%42.31%
23.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
33.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+3.85%—3.85%———7.69%
Total26.92%26.92%23.08%7.69%3.85%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.73 +0.15
SD 2.07 1.71 2.91
CV 1.10 0.99 —
Max 9 6 +9
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%——11.54%23.08%38.46%
1—7.69%3.85%—3.85%11.54%26.92%
23.85%—3.85%3.85%—3.85%15.38%
3—3.85%———7.69%11.54%
4———————
5+——3.85%3.85%——7.69%
Total3.85%15.38%11.54%7.69%15.38%46.15%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 4.31 -2.85
SD 2.00 2.81 3.96
CV 1.37 0.65 —
Max 9 12 +6
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%7.69%—3.85%23.08%
1—11.54%11.54%3.85%—3.85%30.77%
23.85%7.69%——3.85%—15.38%
33.85%7.69%3.85%3.85%——19.23%
4——7.69%———7.69%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total11.54%34.62%26.92%15.38%3.85%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.00 -0.23
SD 1.66 1.67 2.73
CV 0.94 0.84 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%——11.54%—19.23%
17.69%11.54%7.69%3.85%—3.85%34.62%
2—3.85%3.85%——3.85%11.54%
37.69%7.69%————15.38%
43.85%——7.69%——11.54%
5+—3.85%—3.85%——7.69%
Total19.23%34.62%11.54%15.38%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.88 +0.00
SD 1.58 1.58 2.43
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%3.85%7.69%3.85%26.92%
13.85%3.85%3.85%3.85%—3.85%19.23%
27.69%3.85%11.54%———23.08%
3—3.85%3.85%———7.69%
43.85%————3.85%7.69%
5+7.69%3.85%3.85%———15.38%
Total23.08%19.23%30.77%7.69%7.69%11.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.12 1.96 +0.15
SD 2.18 1.71 3.28
CV 1.03 0.87 —
Max 9 6 +9
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%7.69%7.69%——19.23%
17.69%3.85%—3.85%3.85%—19.23%
23.85%7.69%————11.54%
33.85%7.69%7.69%———19.23%
415.38%3.85%3.85%———23.08%
5+3.85%3.85%————7.69%
Total34.62%30.77%19.23%11.54%3.85%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.35 1.19 +1.15
SD 1.74 1.17 2.54
CV 0.74 0.98 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—19.23%—3.85%——23.08%
13.85%7.69%3.85%11.54%11.54%—38.46%
2—3.85%3.85%7.69%——15.38%
33.85%3.85%—3.85%—7.69%19.23%
4———————
5+—3.85%————3.85%
Total7.69%38.46%7.69%26.92%11.54%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 2.35 -0.88
SD 1.27 1.92 2.07
CV 0.87 0.82 —
Max 5 9 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.85%————3.85%
13.85%——7.69%——11.54%
2—15.38%————15.38%
3—7.69%——3.85%3.85%15.38%
411.54%15.38%————26.92%
5+3.85%11.54%7.69%3.85%——26.92%
Total19.23%53.85%7.69%11.54%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.58 1.38 +2.19
SD 1.92 1.27 2.48
CV 0.54 0.92 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%3.85%3.85%7.69%—23.08%
13.85%11.54%7.69%——3.85%26.92%
2——11.54%7.69%3.85%3.85%26.92%
3—3.85%——3.85%—7.69%
43.85%—3.85%3.85%——11.54%
5+3.85%—————3.85%
Total11.54%23.08%26.92%15.38%15.38%7.69%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 2.23 -0.27
SD 2.41 1.48 3.16
CV 1.23 0.66 —
Max 12 5 +12
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.85%—7.69%3.85%——15.38%
1—3.85%11.54%7.69%——23.08%
23.85%7.69%7.69%3.85%—3.85%26.92%
33.85%3.85%——3.85%—11.54%
4—7.69%————7.69%
5+3.85%7.69%—3.85%——15.38%
Total15.38%30.77%26.92%19.23%3.85%3.85%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.77 +0.50
SD 1.80 1.27 2.40
CV 0.79 0.72 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sunderland 42 35.37 +6.63
2 Bolton Wanderers 36 29.86 +6.14
3 Preston North End 37 32.57 +4.43
4 Wolverhampton 26 24.80 +1.20
5 Accrington 20 19.88 +0.12

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Darwen 11 20.11 -9.11
2 West Brom 18 22.05 -4.05
3 Stoke City 14 17.12 -3.12
4 Notts County 26 27.60 -1.60
5 Blackburn Rovers 26 26.57 -0.57

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Preston North End 13 Oct 24 – Mar 5 1 in 650
2 Sunderland 13 Nov 14 – Apr 2 1 in 205
3 Bolton Wanderers 6 Oct 10 – Nov 7 1 in 102
4 Aston Villa 5 Oct 24 – Nov 21 1 in 40
5 Derby County 4 Sep 12 – Oct 3 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Darwen 10 Dec 5 – Apr 4 1 in 75
2 Derby County 4 Nov 28 – Dec 19 1 in 38
3 Bolton Wanderers 2 Oct 1 – Oct 3 1 in 20
4 Stoke City 8 Dec 25 – Apr 2 1 in 17
5 Aston Villa 3 Oct 3 – Oct 17 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Preston North End 15 Oct 3 – Mar 5 1 in 154
2 Bolton Wanderers 7 Oct 10 – Nov 14 1 in 19
3 Sunderland 13 Nov 14 – Apr 2 1 in 18
4 West Brom 4 Dec 5 – Dec 26 1 in 17
5 Blackburn Rovers 4 Sep 26 – Oct 17 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 West Brom 10 Oct 3 – Nov 28 1 in 100
2 Derby County 7 Jan 9 – Apr 2 1 in 27
3 Darwen 13 Dec 5 – Apr 23 1 in 21
4 Wolverhampton 5 Sep 19 – Oct 10 1 in 16
5 Notts County 4 Oct 31 – Nov 21 1 in 12

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011121314
Sunderland56.75%21.83%9.60%5.61%2.79%1.66%0.99%0.43%0.17%0.08%0.05%0.03%0.01%—
Preston North End20.54%27.18%19.53%11.99%8.16%4.96%3.68%1.83%1.15%0.56%0.28%0.12%0.01%0.01%
Bolton Wanderers6.47%13.25%16.62%16.12%13.53%10.87%8.00%6.04%3.79%2.66%1.61%0.68%0.29%0.07%
Aston Villa7.55%15.74%17.54%15.20%12.65%10.04%7.16%5.34%3.68%2.54%1.43%0.73%0.32%0.08%
Everton2.86%6.50%9.99%12.31%12.90%13.11%11.52%9.67%8.14%5.73%3.59%2.29%1.08%0.31%
Wolverhampton0.54%1.87%3.84%5.91%7.51%9.30%11.16%12.66%12.66%11.69%9.50%7.11%4.43%1.82%
Notts County2.42%6.07%8.74%11.00%12.57%12.74%12.11%10.45%8.16%6.63%4.48%2.84%1.36%0.43%
Burnley1.09%2.72%5.18%7.52%10.04%11.14%11.67%12.83%11.95%9.89%7.37%4.72%2.82%1.06%
Blackburn Rovers1.37%3.18%5.66%8.41%10.08%11.86%12.56%12.06%11.49%9.84%6.78%4.11%2.02%0.58%
Derby County0.33%1.15%2.00%3.52%5.36%6.96%9.91%11.82%13.53%13.82%12.87%9.80%6.13%2.80%
Accrington0.01%0.09%0.24%0.36%0.87%1.37%2.44%3.56%6.32%9.21%13.81%19.29%21.89%20.54%
West Brom0.05%0.34%0.80%1.50%2.37%4.09%5.40%8.19%10.77%13.85%17.37%14.89%13.34%7.04%
Stoke City——0.02%0.13%0.17%0.29%0.65%0.93%2.21%3.96%7.91%14.43%23.83%45.47%
Darwen0.02%0.08%0.24%0.42%1.00%1.61%2.75%4.19%5.98%9.54%12.95%18.96%22.47%19.79%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+37.91%
Strong Edge
62.64%12.64%24.73%
Elo Value
Home Edge
125 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0138.64400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.31 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.11+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.7
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
57%
Sunderland, 1st of 14
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.19/gm
Tight Race
00.120.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.15 * Some Luck: 3.15 to 4.73 * Lucky: 4.73 to 6.3 * Wild Swing: 6.3 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 * Close: 1.6 to 2.4 * Off: 2.4 to 3.2 * Way Off: 3.2 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.92 points
Some Luck
03.9410
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.00
Pinpoint
02.004
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.43%
97.49%
Sunderland
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.57%
1.27%
Darwen
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 14
Minimal Outliers
01.47
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
Several Surprises
00.11

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.69
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
77%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
98%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
42%
Frequent
0%38%100%
Blowouts
Expected
36%
Very Frequent
0%41%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.46
Highly Predictable
00.472
Matchup Imbalance
0.54
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.02
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.64
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
17%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
Solid Favorites
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.37
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.21
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.112
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1000.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Sunderland 99.91% 0.09%
Preston North End 99.58% 0.42%
Aston Villa 97.44% 2.56%
Bolton Wanderers 97.35% 2.65%
Everton 92.73% 7.27%
Notts County 90.89% 9.11%
Blackburn Rovers 86.51% 13.49%
Burnley 84.03% 15.97%
Wolverhampton 77.14% 22.86%
Derby County 68.40% 31.60%
West Brom 47.36% 52.64%
Darwen 25.83% 74.17%
Accrington 24.47% 75.53%
Stoke City 8.36% 91.64%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1891-09-05 Burnley W 1-0 1751 1788 64.77% 13.37% 21.86% +8.8 2
1891-09-05 @ Accrington L 0-1 1788 1751 21.86% 13.37% 64.77% -8.8 0
1891-09-05 Blackburn Rovers W 5-1 1800 1834 65.03% 13.37% 21.60% +26.1 2
1891-09-05 @ Aston Villa L 1-5 1834 1800 21.60% 13.37% 65.03% -26.1 0
1891-09-05 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1865 1830 71.12% 13.31% 15.56% -24.6 0
1891-09-05 @ Darwen W 2-1 1830 1865 15.56% 13.31% 71.12% +24.6 2
1891-09-05 Preston North End W 2-0 1844 1893 63.45% 13.38% 23.17% +17.6 2
1891-09-05 @ Notts County L 0-2 1893 1844 23.17% 13.38% 63.45% -17.6 0
1891-09-05 Derby County W 2-1 1648 1780 53.83% 13.41% 32.77% +12.0 2
1891-09-05 @ Stoke City L 1-2 1780 1648 32.77% 13.41% 53.83% -12.0 0
1891-09-05 Wolverhampton W 5-2 1889 1786 75.70% 13.22% 11.08% +9.3 2
1891-09-05 @ Sunderland L 2-5 1786 1889 11.08% 13.22% 75.70% -9.3 0
1891-09-05 Everton W 4-0 1769 1879 56.57% 13.40% 30.03% +42.2 2
1891-09-05 @ West Brom L 0-4 1879 1769 30.03% 13.40% 56.57% -42.2 0
1891-09-07 Preston North End W 2-0 1779 1876 58.17% 13.40% 28.43% +21.2 2
1891-09-07 @ Burnley L 0-2 1876 1779 28.43% 13.40% 58.17% -21.2 0
1891-09-07 Darwen W 5-3 1837 1840 67.91% 13.35% 18.74% +10.6 2
1891-09-07 @ Everton L 3-5 1840 1837 18.74% 13.35% 67.91% -10.6 0
1891-09-12 West Brom W 5-1 1826 1812 69.49% 13.33% 17.18% +21.1 4
1891-09-12 @ Aston Villa L 1-5 1812 1826 17.18% 13.33% 69.49% -21.1 2
1891-09-12 Notts County W 5-4 1808 1861 63.05% 13.38% 23.57% +8.1 2
1891-09-12 @ Blackburn Rovers L 4-5 1861 1808 23.57% 13.38% 63.05% -8.2 2
1891-09-12 Accrington W 3-1 1768 1760 68.85% 13.34% 17.82% +11.9 2
1891-09-12 @ Derby County L 1-3 1760 1768 17.82% 13.34% 68.85% -11.9 2
1891-09-12 Sunderland W 3-1 1854 1898 64.01% 13.38% 22.62% +14.9 2
1891-09-12 @ Preston North End L 1-3 1898 1854 22.62% 13.38% 64.01% -14.9 2
1891-09-12 Wolverhampton L 1-3 1660 1777 55.69% 13.40% 30.91% -33.4 2
1891-09-12 @ Stoke City W 3-1 1777 1660 30.91% 13.40% 55.69% +33.4 2
1891-09-12 Darwen W 1-0 1854 1830 70.30% 13.32% 16.38% +6.8 4
1891-09-12 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1830 1854 16.38% 13.32% 70.30% -6.8 0
1891-09-14 Accrington W 5-0 1810 1748 73.10% 13.28% 13.62% +25.0 4
1891-09-14 @ Wolverhampton L 0-5 1748 1810 13.62% 13.28% 73.10% -25.1 2
1891-09-19 Sunderland W 4-3 1861 1884 66.15% 13.36% 20.49% +7.3 6
1891-09-19 @ Bolton Wanderers L 3-4 1884 1861 20.49% 13.36% 66.15% -7.3 2
1891-09-19 Stoke City W 4-1 1800 1627 79.24% 13.11% 7.65% +7.5 4
1891-09-19 @ Burnley L 1-4 1627 1800 7.65% 13.11% 79.24% -7.5 2
1891-09-19 Notts County W 3-0 1780 1853 60.81% 13.39% 25.80% +28.2 4
1891-09-19 @ Derby County L 0-3 1853 1780 25.80% 13.39% 60.81% -28.2 2
1891-09-19 Blackburn Rovers W 3-1 1848 1816 70.81% 13.32% 15.87% +10.7 4
1891-09-19 @ Everton L 1-3 1816 1848 15.87% 13.32% 70.81% -10.7 2
1891-09-19 Aston Villa L 0-1 1869 1848 70.06% 13.33% 16.61% -25.7 2
1891-09-19 @ Preston North End W 1-0 1848 1869 16.61% 13.33% 70.06% +25.7 6
1891-09-19 Wolverhampton W 4-3 1791 1835 63.91% 13.38% 22.71% +8.0 4
1891-09-19 @ West Brom L 3-4 1835 1791 22.71% 13.38% 63.91% -8.0 4
1891-09-19 Accrington W 5-2 1823 1723 75.51% 13.23% 11.26% +9.5 2
1891-09-19 @ Darwen L 2-5 1723 1823 11.26% 13.23% 75.51% -9.5 2
1891-09-21 Burnley W 5-1 1844 1808 71.18% 13.31% 15.51% +19.1 4
1891-09-21 @ Preston North End L 1-5 1808 1844 15.51% 13.31% 71.18% -19.1 4
1891-09-26 Preston North End W 3-0 1868 1863 68.70% 13.34% 17.96% +20.2 8
1891-09-26 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-3 1863 1868 17.96% 13.34% 68.70% -20.2 4
1891-09-26 Stoke City D 1-1 1825 1619 80.52% 13.04% 6.44% -7.0 3
1891-09-26 @ Notts County D 1-1 1619 1825 6.44% 13.04% 80.52% +7.0 3
1891-09-26 Derby County L 1-3 1827 1808 69.90% 13.33% 16.78% -41.9 4
1891-09-26 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 1808 1827 16.78% 13.33% 69.90% +41.9 6
1891-09-26 Everton D 1-1 1714 1858 52.13% 13.41% 34.46% -1.5 3
1891-09-26 @ Accrington D 1-1 1858 1714 34.46% 13.41% 52.13% +1.5 5
1891-09-26 Burnley D 3-3 1806 1789 69.67% 13.33% 17.00% -3.0 3
1891-09-26 @ Blackburn Rovers D 3-3 1789 1806 17.00% 13.33% 69.67% +3.0 5
1891-09-28 Sunderland W 5-3 1873 1876 67.94% 13.35% 18.71% +10.6 8
1891-09-28 @ Aston Villa L 3-5 1876 1873 18.71% 13.35% 67.94% -10.6 2
1891-09-28 Darwen D 2-2 1786 1832 63.72% 13.38% 22.91% -2.7 5
1891-09-28 @ Wolverhampton D 2-2 1832 1786 22.91% 13.38% 63.72% +2.7 3
1891-10-01 Bolton Wanderers W 2-0 1818 1889 61.17% 13.39% 25.44% +19.1 5
1891-10-01 @ Notts County L 0-2 1889 1818 25.44% 13.39% 61.17% -19.1 8
1891-10-03 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1799 1803 67.84% 13.35% 18.81% -3.3 5
1891-10-03 @ West Brom D 2-2 1803 1799 18.81% 13.35% 67.84% +3.3 4
1891-10-03 Aston Villa W 4-2 1850 1884 64.99% 13.37% 21.63% +12.8 8
1891-10-03 @ Derby County L 2-4 1884 1850 21.63% 13.37% 64.99% -12.8 8
1891-10-03 Everton W 2-1 1866 1860 68.73% 13.34% 17.93% +6.9 4
1891-10-03 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1860 1866 17.93% 13.34% 68.73% -6.9 5
1891-10-03 Accrington L 3-4 1869 1712 78.52% 13.14% 8.35% -25.3 8
1891-10-03 @ Bolton Wanderers W 4-3 1712 1869 8.35% 13.14% 78.52% +25.3 5
1891-10-03 Stoke City W 9-3 1835 1626 80.63% 13.04% 6.33% +8.7 5
1891-10-03 @ Darwen L 3-9 1626 1835 6.33% 13.04% 80.63% -8.7 3
1891-10-03 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1843 1783 72.94% 13.28% 13.78% +10.8 6
1891-10-03 @ Preston North End L 0-2 1783 1843 13.78% 13.28% 72.94% -10.8 5
1891-10-10 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1871 1844 70.48% 13.32% 16.20% -24.4 8
1891-10-10 @ Aston Villa W 2-1 1844 1871 16.20% 13.32% 70.48% +24.4 10
1891-10-10 Wolverhampton W 2-0 1806 1772 71.03% 13.31% 15.66% +12.2 6
1891-10-10 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-2 1772 1806 15.66% 13.31% 71.03% -12.2 5
1891-10-10 Preston North End D 1-1 1853 1853 68.16% 13.35% 18.50% -4.5 6
1891-10-10 @ Everton D 1-1 1853 1853 18.50% 13.35% 68.16% +4.5 7
1891-10-10 West Brom W 4-0 1837 1795 71.65% 13.30% 15.05% +22.3 7
1891-10-10 @ Notts County L 0-4 1795 1837 15.05% 13.30% 71.65% -22.3 5
1891-10-10 Burnley W 3-0 1618 1792 48.11% 13.40% 38.49% +40.2 5
1891-10-10 @ Stoke City L 0-3 1792 1618 38.49% 13.40% 48.11% -40.2 5
1891-10-10 Darwen D 1-1 1738 1844 57.00% 13.40% 29.60% -2.4 6
1891-10-10 @ Accrington D 1-1 1844 1738 29.60% 13.40% 57.00% +2.4 6
1891-10-17 Sunderland L 2-5 1773 1873 57.78% 13.40% 28.82% -42.4 5
1891-10-17 @ West Brom W 5-2 1873 1773 28.82% 13.40% 57.78% +42.4 6
1891-10-17 Everton W 1-0 1868 1848 69.93% 13.33% 16.74% +6.9 12
1891-10-17 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1848 1868 16.74% 13.33% 69.93% -6.9 6
1891-10-17 Aston Villa W 4-1 1751 1847 58.32% 13.40% 28.28% +25.8 7
1891-10-17 @ Burnley L 1-4 1847 1751 28.28% 13.40% 58.32% -25.8 8
1891-10-17 Stoke City D 3-3 1862 1658 80.47% 13.04% 6.48% -4.3 9
1891-10-17 @ Derby County D 3-3 1658 1862 6.48% 13.04% 80.47% +4.3 6
1891-10-17 Notts County W 2-1 1760 1860 57.78% 13.40% 28.82% +10.7 7
1891-10-17 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1860 1760 28.82% 13.40% 57.78% -10.7 7
1891-10-17 Blackburn Rovers L 3-5 1846 1818 70.56% 13.32% 16.12% -35.7 6
1891-10-17 @ Darwen W 5-3 1818 1846 16.12% 13.32% 70.56% +35.7 8
1891-10-24 West Brom W 4-0 1915 1731 79.70% 13.08% 7.22% +11.0 8
1891-10-24 @ Sunderland L 0-4 1731 1915 7.22% 13.08% 79.70% -11.0 5
1891-10-24 Wolverhampton W 3-2 1735 1771 64.89% 13.37% 21.74% +7.9 8
1891-10-24 @ Accrington L 2-3 1771 1735 21.74% 13.37% 64.89% -7.9 7
1891-10-24 Preston North End L 2-4 1854 1858 67.86% 13.35% 18.79% -36.3 8
1891-10-24 @ Blackburn Rovers W 4-2 1858 1854 18.79% 13.35% 67.86% +36.3 9
1891-10-24 Burnley W 2-0 1875 1777 75.43% 13.23% 11.34% +9.0 14
1891-10-24 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1777 1875 11.34% 13.23% 75.43% -9.0 7
1891-10-24 Everton L 0-3 1858 1841 69.64% 13.33% 17.03% -70.0 9
1891-10-24 @ Derby County W 3-0 1841 1858 17.03% 13.33% 69.64% +69.9 8
1891-10-24 Aston Villa L 2-3 1662 1821 50.22% 13.40% 36.38% -16.6 6
1891-10-24 @ Stoke City W 3-2 1821 1662 36.38% 13.40% 50.22% +16.6 10
1891-10-24 Darwen W 5-0 1849 1810 71.37% 13.31% 15.32% +28.0 9
1891-10-24 @ Notts County L 0-5 1810 1849 15.32% 13.31% 71.37% -28.0 6
1891-10-31 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1788 1763 70.35% 13.32% 16.32% +6.4 11
1891-10-31 @ Derby County L 1-2 1763 1788 16.32% 13.32% 70.35% -6.4 7
1891-10-31 Blackburn Rovers W 4-2 1884 1818 73.42% 13.27% 13.30% +8.1 16
1891-10-31 @ Bolton Wanderers L 2-4 1818 1884 13.30% 13.27% 73.42% -8.1 8
1891-10-31 Aston Villa L 1-5 1782 1837 62.86% 13.38% 23.76% -68.6 6
1891-10-31 @ Darwen W 5-1 1837 1782 23.76% 13.38% 62.86% +68.6 12
1891-10-31 Everton W 4-0 1894 1911 66.65% 13.36% 19.99% +29.1 11
1891-10-31 @ Preston North End L 0-4 1911 1894 19.99% 13.36% 66.65% -29.1 8
1891-10-31 Accrington W 4-1 1926 1743 79.64% 13.09% 7.28% +7.2 10
1891-10-31 @ Sunderland L 1-4 1743 1926 7.28% 13.09% 79.64% -7.2 8
1891-10-31 Notts County D 2-2 1720 1877 50.39% 13.40% 36.20% -0.9 6
1891-10-31 @ West Brom D 2-2 1877 1720 36.20% 13.40% 50.39% +0.9 10
1891-11-02 Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1719 1892 48.13% 13.40% 38.47% -33.7 6
1891-11-02 @ West Brom W 2-0 1892 1719 38.47% 13.40% 48.13% +33.7 18
1891-11-07 Sunderland W 3-1 1810 1933 54.81% 13.40% 31.78% +20.2 10
1891-11-07 @ Blackburn Rovers L 1-3 1933 1810 31.78% 13.40% 54.81% -20.2 10
1891-11-07 Preston North End L 0-1 1646 1923 33.67% 13.34% 52.98% -13.0 6
1891-11-07 @ Stoke City W 1-0 1923 1646 52.98% 13.34% 33.67% +13.1 13
1891-11-07 Burnley D 0-0 1756 1768 67.14% 13.36% 19.51% -4.8 8
1891-11-07 @ Wolverhampton D 0-0 1768 1756 19.51% 13.36% 67.14% +4.8 8
1891-11-07 Bolton Wanderers L 0-3 1736 1926 45.84% 13.40% 40.77% -46.9 8
1891-11-07 @ Accrington W 3-0 1926 1736 40.77% 13.40% 45.84% +46.8 20
1891-11-07 Notts County W 5-1 1906 1878 70.59% 13.32% 16.10% +19.8 14
1891-11-07 @ Aston Villa L 1-5 1878 1906 16.10% 13.32% 70.59% -19.8 10
1891-11-07 West Brom W 4-3 1882 1685 80.20% 13.06% 6.74% +2.5 10
1891-11-07 @ Everton L 3-4 1685 1882 6.74% 13.06% 80.20% -2.5 6
1891-11-09 Blackburn Rovers L 0-1 1633 1830 44.84% 13.39% 41.77% -16.8 6
1891-11-09 @ Stoke City W 1-0 1830 1633 41.77% 13.39% 44.84% +16.8 12
1891-11-14 Derby County W 7-1 1913 1794 76.59% 13.20% 10.21% +18.6 12
1891-11-14 @ Sunderland L 1-7 1794 1913 10.21% 13.20% 76.59% -18.6 11
1891-11-14 Stoke City D 1-1 1973 1616 84.52% 12.67% 2.81% -7.8 21
1891-11-14 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1616 1973 2.81% 12.67% 84.52% +7.8 7
1891-11-14 Accrington W 2-1 1773 1689 74.55% 13.25% 12.20% +4.8 10
1891-11-14 @ Burnley L 1-2 1689 1773 12.20% 13.25% 74.55% -4.8 8
1891-11-14 Everton W 3-1 1714 1885 48.54% 13.40% 38.06% +23.8 8
1891-11-14 @ Darwen L 1-3 1885 1714 38.06% 13.40% 48.54% -23.8 10
1891-11-14 Wolverhampton D 2-2 1858 1752 75.91% 13.22% 10.87% -4.5 11
1891-11-14 @ Notts County D 2-2 1752 1858 10.87% 13.22% 75.91% +4.5 9
1891-11-14 Aston Villa L 0-3 1682 1926 38.29% 13.37% 48.34% -40.0 6
1891-11-14 @ West Brom W 3-0 1926 1682 48.34% 13.37% 38.29% +40.0 16
1891-11-14 Blackburn Rovers W 3-2 1936 1847 74.92% 13.24% 11.83% +4.4 15
1891-11-14 @ Preston North End L 2-3 1847 1936 11.83% 13.24% 74.92% -4.4 12
1891-11-21 Burnley W 2-1 1932 1778 78.36% 13.14% 8.49% +3.4 14
1891-11-21 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1778 1932 8.49% 13.14% 78.36% -3.4 10
1891-11-21 Notts County W 2-0 1684 1853 48.78% 13.40% 37.82% +27.3 10
1891-11-21 @ Accrington L 0-2 1853 1684 37.82% 13.40% 48.78% -27.3 11
1891-11-21 Stoke City W 2-1 1966 1624 84.24% 12.71% 3.05% +1.2 18
1891-11-21 @ Aston Villa L 1-2 1624 1966 3.05% 12.71% 84.24% -1.2 7
1891-11-21 Darwen W 7-0 1776 1738 71.36% 13.31% 15.33% +38.5 13
1891-11-21 @ Derby County L 0-7 1738 1776 15.33% 13.31% 71.36% -38.5 8
1891-11-21 Preston North End L 1-2 1642 1941 31.03% 13.33% 55.64% -11.4 6
1891-11-21 @ West Brom W 2-1 1941 1642 55.64% 13.33% 31.03% +11.4 17
1891-11-21 Everton W 5-1 1756 1861 57.14% 13.40% 29.45% +34.5 11
1891-11-21 @ Wolverhampton L 1-5 1861 1756 29.45% 13.40% 57.14% -34.5 10
1891-11-21 Bolton Wanderers W 4-0 1842 1965 54.88% 13.40% 31.71% +44.3 14
1891-11-21 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-4 1965 1842 31.71% 13.40% 54.88% -44.3 21
1891-11-28 West Brom W 3-2 1774 1631 77.88% 13.16% 8.96% +3.4 12
1891-11-28 @ Burnley L 2-3 1631 1774 8.96% 13.16% 77.88% -3.4 6
1891-11-28 Derby County W 2-0 1699 1814 55.88% 13.40% 30.71% +22.7 10
1891-11-28 @ Darwen L 0-2 1814 1699 30.71% 13.40% 55.88% -22.7 13
1891-11-28 Aston Villa W 5-1 1826 1967 52.61% 13.41% 33.98% +39.2 12
1891-11-28 @ Everton L 1-5 1967 1826 33.98% 13.41% 52.61% -39.2 18
1891-11-28 Accrington W 9-0 1826 1712 76.37% 13.21% 10.42% +33.9 13
1891-11-28 @ Notts County L 0-9 1712 1826 10.42% 13.21% 76.37% -33.9 10
1891-11-28 Sunderland L 1-3 1622 1935 29.28% 13.31% 57.41% -18.8 7
1891-11-28 @ Stoke City W 3-1 1935 1622 57.41% 13.31% 29.28% +18.8 16
1891-11-28 Blackburn Rovers W 6-1 1791 1886 58.25% 13.40% 28.35% +40.9 13
1891-11-28 @ Wolverhampton L 1-6 1886 1791 28.35% 13.40% 58.25% -40.9 14
1891-11-28 Bolton Wanderers W 4-0 1952 1921 70.83% 13.32% 15.86% +23.5 19
1891-11-28 @ Preston North End L 0-4 1921 1952 15.86% 13.32% 70.83% -23.5 21
1891-12-05 Preston North End L 1-2 1792 1976 46.69% 13.40% 39.91% -16.4 13
1891-12-05 @ Derby County W 2-1 1976 1792 39.91% 13.40% 46.69% +16.4 21
1891-12-05 Burnley W 6-1 1928 1778 78.19% 13.15% 8.66% +13.4 20
1891-12-05 @ Aston Villa L 1-6 1778 1928 8.66% 13.15% 78.19% -13.4 12
1891-12-05 Everton D 2-2 1846 1866 66.36% 13.36% 20.28% -3.1 15
1891-12-05 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1866 1846 20.28% 13.36% 66.36% +3.1 13
1891-12-05 Darwen W 5-1 1603 1722 55.49% 13.40% 31.10% +36.3 9
1891-12-05 @ Stoke City L 1-5 1722 1603 31.10% 13.40% 55.49% -36.3 10
1891-12-05 Notts County W 4-0 1954 1860 75.16% 13.24% 11.60% +17.4 18
1891-12-05 @ Sunderland L 0-4 1860 1954 11.60% 13.24% 75.16% -17.4 13
1891-12-05 Accrington W 3-1 1628 1678 63.37% 13.38% 23.25% +15.3 8
1891-12-05 @ West Brom L 1-3 1678 1628 23.25% 13.38% 63.37% -15.3 10
1891-12-05 Wolverhampton W 3-0 1897 1831 73.37% 13.28% 13.35% +15.3 23
1891-12-05 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-3 1831 1897 13.35% 13.28% 73.37% -15.3 13
1891-12-12 Blackburn Rovers W 3-0 1764 1842 60.32% 13.39% 26.28% +28.6 14
1891-12-12 @ Burnley L 0-3 1842 1764 26.28% 13.39% 60.32% -28.6 15
1891-12-12 Wolverhampton W 2-1 1869 1816 72.43% 13.29% 14.28% +5.6 15
1891-12-12 @ Everton L 1-2 1816 1869 14.28% 13.29% 72.43% -5.6 13
1891-12-12 Notts County W 6-0 1992 1843 78.17% 13.15% 8.68% +19.3 23
1891-12-12 @ Preston North End L 0-6 1843 1992 8.68% 13.15% 78.17% -19.3 13
1891-12-12 Bolton Wanderers L 0-1 1640 1913 34.30% 13.35% 52.35% -13.3 9
1891-12-12 @ Stoke City W 1-0 1913 1640 52.35% 13.35% 34.30% +13.3 25
1891-12-12 Darwen W 7-0 1971 1686 82.97% 12.86% 4.17% +10.9 20
1891-12-12 @ Sunderland L 0-7 1686 1971 4.17% 12.86% 82.97% -10.9 10
1891-12-12 Derby County W 4-2 1643 1775 53.69% 13.41% 32.90% +18.7 10
1891-12-12 @ West Brom L 2-4 1775 1643 32.90% 13.41% 53.69% -18.7 13
1891-12-19 Burnley L 0-1 1757 1793 64.77% 13.37% 21.86% -23.7 13
1891-12-19 @ Derby County W 1-0 1793 1757 21.86% 13.37% 64.77% +23.7 16
1891-12-19 Accrington W 3-1 1626 1662 64.83% 13.37% 21.80% +14.4 11
1891-12-19 @ Stoke City L 1-3 1662 1626 21.80% 13.37% 64.83% -14.4 10
1891-12-19 Aston Villa W 2-0 1811 1941 53.91% 13.41% 32.68% +24.0 15
1891-12-19 @ Wolverhampton L 0-2 1941 1811 32.68% 13.41% 53.91% -24.0 20
1891-12-19 West Brom D 1-1 1926 1661 82.41% 12.91% 4.68% -7.4 26
1891-12-19 @ Bolton Wanderers D 1-1 1661 1926 4.68% 12.91% 82.41% +7.4 11
1891-12-19 Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1823 1814 69.04% 13.34% 17.62% -3.5 14
1891-12-19 @ Notts County D 2-2 1814 1823 17.62% 13.34% 69.04% +3.5 16
1891-12-25 Sunderland L 0-4 1874 1982 56.81% 13.40% 29.79% -74.6 15
1891-12-25 @ Everton W 4-0 1982 1874 29.79% 13.40% 56.81% +74.6 22
1891-12-25 Darwen W 4-0 1817 1675 77.83% 13.16% 9.01% +13.7 18
1891-12-25 @ Blackburn Rovers L 0-4 1675 1817 9.01% 13.16% 77.83% -13.7 10
1891-12-25 Stoke City W 3-2 2011 1641 84.76% 12.63% 2.61% +1.0 25
1891-12-25 @ Preston North End L 2-3 1641 2011 2.61% 12.63% 84.76% -1.0 11
1891-12-26 Darwen W 7-0 1917 1661 82.17% 12.93% 4.90% +12.8 22
1891-12-26 @ Aston Villa L 0-7 1661 1917 4.90% 12.93% 82.17% -12.8 10
1891-12-26 Accrington D 2-2 1831 1648 79.64% 13.09% 7.28% -5.1 19
1891-12-26 @ Blackburn Rovers D 2-2 1648 1831 7.28% 13.09% 79.64% +5.1 11
1891-12-26 Sunderland L 1-3 1835 2057 41.29% 13.38% 45.33% -25.5 15
1891-12-26 @ Wolverhampton W 3-1 2057 1835 45.33% 13.38% 41.29% +25.5 24
1891-12-26 Burnley W 1-0 1669 1817 51.66% 13.41% 34.93% +13.5 13
1891-12-26 @ West Brom L 0-1 1817 1669 34.93% 13.41% 51.66% -13.5 16
1891-12-26 Bolton Wanderers W 3-2 1733 1919 46.45% 13.40% 40.15% +13.6 15
1891-12-26 @ Derby County L 2-3 1919 1733 40.15% 13.40% 46.45% -13.6 26
1891-12-28 Everton L 3-4 1930 1800 77.21% 13.18% 9.61% -24.9 22
1891-12-28 @ Aston Villa W 4-3 1800 1930 9.61% 13.18% 77.21% +24.9 17
1891-12-28 West Brom W 2-1 1809 1682 77.03% 13.19% 9.79% +3.9 17
1891-12-28 @ Wolverhampton L 1-2 1682 1809 9.79% 13.19% 77.03% -3.9 13
1892-01-01 Preston North End L 0-4 1648 2012 23.47% 13.25% 63.28% -33.7 10
1892-01-01 @ Darwen W 4-0 2012 1648 63.28% 13.25% 23.47% +33.7 27
1892-01-01 Derby County W 3-1 1905 1746 78.59% 13.13% 8.28% +5.8 28
1892-01-01 @ Bolton Wanderers L 1-3 1746 1905 8.28% 13.13% 78.59% -5.7 15
1892-01-02 Preston North End L 1-3 1653 2046 20.59% 13.21% 66.20% -13.6 11
1892-01-02 @ Accrington W 3-1 2046 1653 66.20% 13.21% 20.59% +13.6 29
1892-01-02 Burnley D 1-1 1825 1803 70.03% 13.33% 16.64% -4.9 18
1892-01-02 @ Everton D 1-1 1803 1825 16.64% 13.33% 70.03% +4.9 17
1892-01-02 Aston Villa W 5-2 1820 1905 59.47% 13.40% 27.13% +21.5 16
1892-01-02 @ Notts County L 2-5 1905 1820 27.13% 13.40% 59.47% -21.5 22
1892-01-02 Stoke City W 4-1 1813 1640 79.23% 13.11% 7.67% +7.5 19
1892-01-02 @ Wolverhampton L 1-4 1640 1813 7.67% 13.11% 79.23% -7.5 11
1892-01-02 Derby County L 0-2 1826 1741 74.63% 13.25% 12.12% -51.8 19
1892-01-02 @ Blackburn Rovers W 2-0 1741 1826 12.12% 13.25% 74.63% +51.8 17
1892-01-04 Aston Villa W 3-2 1639 1884 38.18% 13.37% 48.45% +16.1 13
1892-01-04 @ Accrington L 2-3 1884 1639 48.45% 13.37% 38.18% -16.1 22
1892-01-09 Everton L 1-3 1841 1820 70.04% 13.33% 16.63% -42.0 16
1892-01-09 @ Notts County W 3-1 1820 1841 16.63% 13.33% 70.04% +42.0 20
1892-01-09 Stoke City W 3-0 1656 1632 70.18% 13.32% 16.50% +18.6 15
1892-01-09 @ Accrington L 0-3 1632 1656 16.50% 13.32% 70.18% -18.6 11
1892-01-09 Darwen W 9-0 1808 1615 80.06% 13.07% 6.87% +22.6 19
1892-01-09 @ Burnley L 0-9 1615 1808 6.87% 13.07% 80.06% -22.6 10
1892-01-09 West Brom W 1-0 2060 1678 84.94% 12.59% 2.46% +1.1 31
1892-01-09 @ Preston North End L 0-1 1678 2060 2.46% 12.59% 84.94% -1.1 13
1892-01-09 Derby County W 6-0 1868 1792 73.98% 13.26% 12.75% +27.9 24
1892-01-09 @ Aston Villa L 0-6 1792 1868 12.75% 13.26% 73.98% -27.9 17
1892-01-23 West Brom W 4-2 1674 1677 67.92% 13.35% 18.73% +11.2 17
1892-01-23 @ Accrington L 2-4 1677 1674 18.73% 13.35% 67.92% -11.2 13
1892-02-06 Notts County L 1-3 1614 1799 46.48% 13.40% 40.13% -28.3 11
1892-02-06 @ Stoke City W 3-1 1799 1614 40.13% 13.40% 46.48% +28.3 18
1892-02-06 West Brom D 1-1 1765 1666 75.44% 13.23% 11.33% -5.9 18
1892-02-06 @ Derby County D 1-1 1666 1765 11.33% 13.23% 75.44% +5.9 14
1892-02-13 Everton W 1-0 1831 1862 65.31% 13.37% 21.32% +8.6 21
1892-02-13 @ Burnley L 0-1 1862 1831 21.32% 13.37% 65.31% -8.6 20
1892-02-20 Derby County W 2-1 1828 1759 73.58% 13.27% 13.15% +5.2 20
1892-02-20 @ Notts County L 1-2 1759 1828 13.15% 13.27% 73.58% -5.2 18
1892-02-27 Notts County L 2-3 1592 1833 38.65% 13.37% 47.98% -13.2 10
1892-02-27 @ Darwen W 3-2 1833 1592 47.98% 13.37% 38.65% +13.2 22
1892-02-27 Blackburn Rovers W 1-0 1685 1774 59.09% 13.40% 27.51% +10.9 19
1892-02-27 @ Accrington L 0-1 1774 1685 27.51% 13.40% 59.09% -10.9 19
1892-03-01 Bolton Wanderers W 4-1 2082 1911 79.15% 13.11% 7.74% +7.6 26
1892-03-01 @ Sunderland L 1-4 1911 2082 7.74% 13.11% 79.15% -7.6 28
1892-03-01 Wolverhampton L 1-4 1579 1821 38.52% 13.37% 48.10% -33.9 10
1892-03-01 @ Darwen W 4-1 1821 1579 48.10% 13.37% 38.52% +33.9 21
1892-03-01 Burnley W 5-1 1846 1839 68.79% 13.34% 17.87% +21.9 24
1892-03-01 @ Notts County L 1-5 1839 1846 17.87% 13.34% 68.79% -21.9 21
1892-03-05 Aston Villa W 4-3 1763 1896 53.69% 13.41% 32.90% +11.2 21
1892-03-05 @ Blackburn Rovers L 3-4 1896 1763 32.90% 13.41% 53.69% -11.2 24
1892-03-05 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1818 1903 59.45% 13.40% 27.16% -20.5 21
1892-03-05 @ Burnley W 2-1 1903 1818 27.16% 13.40% 59.45% +20.5 30
1892-03-05 Stoke City W 1-0 1853 1585 82.49% 12.90% 4.60% +2.0 22
1892-03-05 @ Everton L 0-1 1585 1853 4.60% 12.90% 82.49% -2.0 11
1892-03-05 Derby County W 3-0 2061 1753 83.49% 12.80% 3.70% +4.4 33
1892-03-05 @ Preston North End L 0-3 1753 2061 3.70% 12.80% 83.49% -4.4 18
1892-03-05 Sunderland L 3-5 1696 2090 20.55% 13.20% 66.25% -11.5 19
1892-03-05 @ Accrington W 5-3 2090 1696 66.25% 13.20% 20.55% +11.5 28
1892-03-12 Preston North End W 4-1 2101 2065 71.20% 13.31% 15.49% +14.8 30
1892-03-12 @ Sunderland L 1-4 2065 2101 15.49% 13.31% 71.20% -14.8 33
1892-03-12 West Brom W 3-2 1774 1672 75.66% 13.23% 11.11% +4.2 23
1892-03-12 @ Blackburn Rovers L 2-3 1672 1774 11.11% 13.23% 75.66% -4.2 14
1892-03-12 Everton L 0-1 1583 1855 34.48% 13.35% 52.17% -13.3 11
1892-03-12 @ Stoke City W 1-0 1855 1583 52.17% 13.35% 34.48% +13.3 24
1892-03-12 Accrington W 12-2 1884 1685 80.29% 13.05% 6.65% +16.1 26
1892-03-12 @ Aston Villa L 2-12 1685 1884 6.65% 13.05% 80.29% -16.1 19
1892-03-19 Sunderland L 0-1 1749 2116 23.18% 13.24% 63.58% -9.3 18
1892-03-19 @ Derby County W 1-0 2116 1749 63.58% 13.24% 23.18% +9.3 32
1892-03-19 Stoke City W 5-3 1778 1570 80.61% 13.04% 6.35% +3.8 25
1892-03-19 @ Blackburn Rovers L 3-5 1570 1778 6.35% 13.04% 80.61% -3.8 11
1892-03-19 Accrington W 3-0 1868 1669 80.30% 13.05% 6.65% +7.8 26
1892-03-19 @ Everton L 0-3 1669 1868 6.65% 13.05% 80.30% -7.8 19
1892-03-26 Wolverhampton D 1-1 1797 1854 62.59% 13.38% 24.03% -3.4 22
1892-03-26 @ Burnley D 1-1 1854 1797 24.03% 13.38% 62.59% +3.4 22
1892-03-26 Notts County W 2-0 1924 1868 72.66% 13.29% 14.05% +11.0 32
1892-03-26 @ Bolton Wanderers L 0-2 1868 1924 14.05% 13.29% 72.66% -11.0 24
1892-03-26 Aston Villa W 2-1 2125 1900 81.19% 13.00% 5.81% +2.3 34
1892-03-26 @ Sunderland L 1-2 1900 2125 5.81% 13.00% 81.19% -2.3 26
1892-03-26 Blackburn Rovers D 1-1 1740 1782 64.16% 13.38% 22.46% -3.7 19
1892-03-26 @ Derby County D 1-1 1782 1740 22.46% 13.38% 64.16% +3.7 26
1892-04-02 Burnley L 2-6 1545 1794 37.56% 13.37% 49.07% -36.4 10
1892-04-02 @ Darwen W 6-2 1794 1545 49.07% 13.37% 37.56% +36.4 24
1892-04-02 Preston North End W 3-0 1858 2050 45.52% 13.40% 41.09% +42.6 24
1892-04-02 @ Wolverhampton L 0-3 2050 1858 41.09% 13.40% 45.52% -42.6 33
1892-04-02 Aston Villa L 1-2 1935 1898 71.24% 13.31% 15.46% -24.7 32
1892-04-02 @ Bolton Wanderers W 2-1 1898 1935 15.46% 13.31% 71.24% +24.7 28
1892-04-02 Stoke City W 4-1 2128 1566 87.12% 11.98% 0.90% +0.9 36
1892-04-02 @ Sunderland L 1-4 1566 2128 0.90% 11.98% 87.12% -0.9 11
1892-04-02 Derby County D 1-1 1661 1736 60.65% 13.39% 25.96% -3.1 20
1892-04-02 @ Accrington D 1-1 1736 1661 25.96% 13.39% 60.65% +3.1 20
1892-04-04 Darwen W 12-0 1668 1508 78.63% 13.13% 8.24% +35.6 16
1892-04-04 @ West Brom L 0-12 1508 1668 8.24% 13.13% 78.63% -35.6 10
1892-04-09 Sunderland W 1-0 1857 2129 34.46% 13.35% 52.19% +19.2 26
1892-04-09 @ Notts County L 0-1 2129 1857 52.19% 13.35% 34.46% -19.2 36
1892-04-11 Stoke City D 2-2 1704 1565 77.61% 13.17% 9.22% -4.8 17
1892-04-11 @ West Brom D 2-2 1565 1704 9.22% 13.17% 77.61% +4.8 12
1892-04-15 Derby County L 1-2 1876 1739 77.56% 13.17% 9.27% -27.0 26
1892-04-15 @ Everton W 2-1 1739 1876 9.27% 13.17% 77.56% +27.0 22
1892-04-15 Notts County W 1-0 1830 1876 63.78% 13.38% 22.84% +9.2 26
1892-04-15 @ Burnley L 0-1 1876 1830 22.84% 13.38% 63.78% -9.2 26
1892-04-15 Accrington W 4-1 2008 1658 84.39% 12.69% 2.93% +2.9 35
1892-04-15 @ Preston North End L 1-4 1658 2008 2.93% 12.69% 84.39% -2.9 20
1892-04-16 West Brom D 1-1 1473 1699 40.73% 13.38% 45.89% +0.4 11
1892-04-16 @ Darwen D 1-1 1699 1473 45.89% 13.38% 40.73% -0.4 18
1892-04-16 Blackburn Rovers W 6-1 2109 1786 83.85% 12.76% 3.39% +5.3 38
1892-04-16 @ Sunderland L 1-6 1786 2109 3.39% 12.76% 83.85% -5.3 26
1892-04-16 Preston North End W 3-1 1923 2011 59.18% 13.40% 27.42% +17.7 30
1892-04-16 @ Aston Villa L 1-3 2011 1923 27.42% 13.40% 59.18% -17.7 35
1892-04-16 Derby County L 2-4 1839 1766 73.84% 13.27% 12.89% -39.7 26
1892-04-16 @ Burnley W 4-2 1766 1839 12.89% 13.27% 73.84% +39.7 24
1892-04-16 Bolton Wanderers L 1-2 1900 1910 67.35% 13.35% 19.30% -23.3 24
1892-04-16 @ Wolverhampton W 2-1 1910 1900 19.30% 13.35% 67.35% +23.3 34
1892-04-16 Notts County W 4-0 1849 1867 66.60% 13.36% 20.04% +29.2 28
1892-04-16 @ Everton L 0-4 1867 1849 20.04% 13.36% 66.60% -29.2 26
1892-04-18 Darwen W 4-0 1993 1473 86.73% 12.14% 1.14% +1.7 37
1892-04-18 @ Preston North End L 0-4 1473 1993 1.14% 12.14% 86.73% -1.7 11
1892-04-18 Wolverhampton L 3-6 1941 1877 73.19% 13.28% 13.53% -49.8 30
1892-04-18 @ Aston Villa W 6-3 1877 1941 13.53% 13.28% 73.19% +49.8 26
1892-04-18 Bolton Wanderers L 2-5 1878 1933 62.86% 13.38% 23.75% -46.0 28
1892-04-18 @ Everton W 5-2 1933 1878 23.75% 13.38% 62.86% +46.0 36
1892-04-23 Sunderland L 1-7 1472 2115 5.78% 12.64% 81.58% -10.6 11
1892-04-23 @ Darwen W 7-1 2115 1472 81.58% 12.64% 5.78% +10.6 40
1892-04-23 West Brom W 1-0 1570 1698 54.24% 13.40% 32.35% +12.6 14
1892-04-23 @ Stoke City L 0-1 1698 1570 32.35% 13.40% 54.24% -12.6 18
1892-04-30 Sunderland L 1-2 1799 2125 27.71% 13.30% 58.99% -10.3 26
1892-04-30 @ Burnley W 2-1 2125 1799 58.99% 13.30% 27.71% +10.3 42

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1891-10-03 8.35% Accrington 1712 4 @ Bolton Wanderers 1869 3
2 1892-04-15 9.27% Derby County 1739 2 @ Everton 1876 1
3 1891-12-28 9.61% Everton 1800 4 @ Aston Villa 1930 3
4 1892-01-02 12.12% Derby County 1741 2 @ Blackburn Rovers 1826 0
5 1892-04-16 12.89% Derby County 1766 4 @ Burnley 1839 2
6 1892-04-18 13.53% Wolverhampton 1877 6 @ Aston Villa 1941 3
7 1892-04-02 15.46% Aston Villa 1898 2 @ Bolton Wanderers 1935 1
8 1891-09-05 15.56% Bolton Wanderers 1830 2 @ Darwen 1865 1
9 1891-10-17 16.12% Blackburn Rovers 1818 5 @ Darwen 1846 3
10 1891-10-10 16.20% Bolton Wanderers 1844 2 @ Aston Villa 1871 1
11 1891-09-19 16.61% Aston Villa 1848 1 @ Preston North End 1869 0
12 1892-01-09 16.63% Everton 1820 3 @ Notts County 1841 1
13 1891-09-26 16.78% Derby County 1808 3 @ Wolverhampton 1827 1
14 1891-10-24 17.03% Everton 1841 3 @ Derby County 1858 0
15 1891-10-24 18.79% Preston North End 1858 4 @ Blackburn Rovers 1854 2
16 1892-04-16 19.30% Bolton Wanderers 1910 2 @ Wolverhampton 1900 1
17 1891-12-19 21.86% Burnley 1793 1 @ Derby County 1757 0
18 1892-04-18 23.75% Bolton Wanderers 1933 5 @ Everton 1878 2
19 1891-10-31 23.76% Aston Villa 1837 5 @ Darwen 1782 1
20 1892-03-05 27.16% Bolton Wanderers 1903 2 @ Burnley 1818 1
21 1891-10-17 28.82% Sunderland 1873 5 @ West Brom 1773 2
22 1891-12-25 29.79% Sunderland 1982 4 @ Everton 1874 0
23 1891-09-12 30.91% Wolverhampton 1777 3 @ Stoke City 1660 1
24 1892-04-09 34.46% @ Notts County 1857 1 Sunderland 2129 0
25 1891-10-24 36.38% Aston Villa 1821 3 @ Stoke City 1662 2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1891-12-25 74.59 Sunderland 4 1982 29.79% @ Everton 0 1874 56.81% 13.40%
2 1891-10-24 69.95 Everton 3 1841 17.03% @ Derby County 0 1858 69.64% 13.33%
3 1891-10-31 68.62 Aston Villa 5 1837 23.76% @ Darwen 1 1782 62.86% 13.38%
4 1892-01-02 51.80 Derby County 2 1741 12.12% @ Blackburn Rovers 0 1826 74.63% 13.25%
5 1892-04-18 49.82 Wolverhampton 6 1877 13.53% @ Aston Villa 3 1941 73.19% 13.28%
6 1891-11-07 46.85 Bolton Wanderers 3 1926 40.77% @ Accrington 0 1736 45.84% 13.40%
7 1892-04-18 46.03 Bolton Wanderers 5 1933 23.75% @ Everton 2 1878 62.86% 13.38%
8 1891-11-21 44.29 @ Blackburn Rovers 4 1842 54.88% Bolton Wanderers 0 1965 31.71% 13.40%
9 1892-04-02 42.59 @ Wolverhampton 3 1858 45.52% Preston North End 0 2050 41.09% 13.40%
10 1891-10-17 42.38 Sunderland 5 1873 28.82% @ West Brom 2 1773 57.78% 13.40%
11 1891-09-05 42.18 @ West Brom 4 1769 56.57% Everton 0 1879 30.03% 13.40%
12 1892-01-09 41.97 Everton 3 1820 16.63% @ Notts County 1 1841 70.04% 13.33%
13 1891-09-26 41.87 Derby County 3 1808 16.78% @ Wolverhampton 1 1827 69.90% 13.33%
14 1891-11-28 40.90 @ Wolverhampton 6 1791 58.25% Blackburn Rovers 1 1886 28.35% 13.40%
15 1891-10-10 40.23 @ Stoke City 3 1618 48.11% Burnley 0 1792 38.49% 13.40%
16 1891-11-14 40.04 Aston Villa 3 1926 48.34% @ West Brom 0 1682 38.29% 13.37%
17 1892-04-16 39.67 Derby County 4 1766 12.89% @ Burnley 2 1839 73.84% 13.27%
18 1891-11-28 39.25 @ Everton 5 1826 52.61% Aston Villa 1 1967 33.98% 13.41%
19 1891-11-21 38.51 @ Derby County 7 1776 71.36% Darwen 0 1738 15.33% 13.31%
20 1892-04-02 36.37 Burnley 6 1794 49.07% @ Darwen 2 1545 37.56% 13.37%
21 1891-10-24 36.33 Preston North End 4 1858 18.79% @ Blackburn Rovers 2 1854 67.86% 13.35%
22 1891-12-05 36.28 @ Stoke City 5 1603 55.49% Darwen 1 1722 31.10% 13.40%
23 1891-10-17 35.74 Blackburn Rovers 5 1818 16.12% @ Darwen 3 1846 70.56% 13.32%
24 1892-04-04 35.62 @ West Brom 12 1668 78.63% Darwen 0 1508 8.24% 13.13%
25 1891-11-21 34.55 @ Wolverhampton 5 1756 57.14% Everton 1 1861 29.45% 13.40%