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1896-97 Football League Second Division Season

240 games

Final

Promoted

Notts County

via playoff

Relegated

Burton Wanderers

failed re-election

Biggest Overachiever

Newton Heath

6.28 points above expected

39 points · 32.72 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Lincoln City

9.77 points below expected

12 points · 21.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Notts County Promoted 30 19 4 7 42 92 43 +49 35.95 +6.05
2 Newton Heath 30 17 5 8 39 56 34 +22 32.72 +6.28
3 Grimsby Town 30 17 4 9 38 66 45 +21 37.39 +0.61
4 Small Heath Birmingham 30 16 5 9 37 69 47 +22 32.10 +4.90
5 Newcastle United 30 17 1 12 35 56 52 +4 32.69 +2.31
6 Manchester City 30 12 8 10 32 58 50 +8 34.11 -2.11
7 Blackpool 30 13 5 12 31 59 56 +3 29.64 +1.36
8 Gainsborough Trinity 30 12 7 11 31 50 47 +3 29.59 +1.41
9 Leicester Fosse 30 13 4 13 30 59 56 +3 32.30 -2.30
10 Woolwich Arsenal 30 13 4 13 30 68 70 -2 29.74 +0.26
11 Darwen 30 14 0 16 28 67 61 +6 30.79 -2.79
12 Burton Swifts 30 10 5 15 25 46 59 -13 25.15 -0.15
13 Loughborough United 30 12 1 17 25 50 64 -14 23.86 +1.14
14 Walsall 30 10 5 15 25 53 71 -18 25.33 -0.33
15 Burton Wanderers Relegated 30 9 2 19 20 31 67 -36 26.88 -6.88
16 Lincoln City 30 5 2 23 12 27 85 -58 21.77 -9.77

Notes

  • Buton Wanderers failed re-election and were demoted from the league.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Notts County 1872 42 35.95 +6.05 93.5% 20 29 33 36 39 43 50
Grimsby Town 1854 38 37.39 +0.61 59.6% 21 30 34 37 40 44 54
Small Heath Birmingham 1828 37 32.10 +4.90 88.5% 13 25 29 32 35 40 48
Newton Heath 1820 39 32.72 +6.28 93.7% 16 25 30 33 36 40 48
Manchester City 1789 32 34.11 -2.11 36.1% 17 27 31 34 37 41 50
Blackpool 1754 31 29.64 +1.36 65.5% 12 22 27 30 33 37 48
Leicester Fosse 1748 30 32.30 -2.30 34.2% 16 25 29 32 35 40 48
Newcastle United 1747 35 32.69 +2.31 73.8% 16 26 30 33 36 40 49
Darwen 1740 28 30.79 -2.79 30.1% 14 23 28 31 34 38 51
Gainsborough Trinity 1733 31 29.59 +1.41 66.6% 11 22 27 30 33 37 46
Woolwich Arsenal 1727 30 29.74 +0.26 56.5% 14 22 27 30 33 37 47
Loughborough United 1724 25 23.86 +1.14 64.6% 8 17 21 24 27 31 41
Burton Swifts 1671 25 25.15 -0.15 53.4% 10 18 22 25 28 33 44
Walsall 1664 25 25.33 -0.33 52.3% 10 18 22 25 28 33 42
Burton Wanderers 1640 20 26.88 -6.88 7.3% 12 20 24 27 30 34 43
Lincoln City 1543 12 21.77 -9.77 1.2% 8 15 19 22 25 29 39

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BLA BS BW DAR GT GT LF LC LU MC NU NH NC SHB WAL WA
Blackpool —
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
3.05
2-0-0
2.62
0-1-1
2.84
1-1-0
2.00
1-0-1
2.42
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.56
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
3.38
0-1-1
2.89
Burton Swifts
1-0-1
2.13
 —
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
1.61
1-0-1
2.04
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
1.86
1-0-1
1.90
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-2
1.74
1-1-0
2.14
0-0-2
2.86
0-0-2
2.38
Burton Wanderers
1-0-1
2.45
1-1-0
2.84
 —
1-0-1
2.66
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.20
2-0-0
3.27
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-1
2.02
0-0-2
2.10
0-0-2
1.96
0-0-2
2.14
0-0-2
2.16
1-0-1
3.18
0-0-2
2.69
Darwen
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.85
 —
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
3.68
1-0-1
3.56
1-0-1
2.45
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
2.67
1-0-1
2.05
1-0-1
2.51
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
3.05
Gainsborough Trinity
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
3.04
0-0-2
2.70
 —
0-2-0
1.97
0-1-1
2.49
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
3.60
0-1-1
2.30
2-0-0
2.44
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
1.76
0-1-1
2.72
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.62
Grimsby Town
0-1-1
3.53
1-1-0
3.93
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
3.36
0-2-0
3.56
 —
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
3.97
2-0-0
3.90
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.03
2-0-0
3.25
1-0-1
4.15
1-0-1
3.47
Leicester Fosse
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
3.48
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
2.91
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
2.17
 —
1-0-1
3.80
2-0-0
3.46
0-1-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
2.70
0-0-2
2.76
0-1-1
2.47
1-1-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.07
Lincoln City
1-0-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.28
0-0-2
2.25
1-0-1
1.84
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
1.72
 —
0-0-2
2.69
0-0-2
1.77
0-0-2
2.00
0-0-2
1.60
0-1-1
1.05
1-0-1
1.78
1-0-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.03
Loughborough United
1-0-1
2.40
0-0-2
2.67
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
1.96
1-0-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
2.06
2-0-0
2.83
 —
1-1-0
2.04
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.81
1-0-1
2.07
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
1.72
Manchester City
1-1-0
3.14
1-0-1
3.67
1-1-0
3.50
1-0-1
3.07
1-1-0
3.21
1-0-1
2.49
1-1-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.76
0-1-1
3.48
 —
0-0-2
2.96
0-1-1
3.00
0-1-1
2.88
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
3.52
1-1-0
3.13
Newcastle United
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
3.62
2-0-0
3.42
1-0-1
2.95
0-0-2
3.08
1-0-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.93
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.71
2-0-0
2.56
 —
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
2.55
1-0-1
2.76
2-0-0
3.60
1-0-1
3.10
Newton Heath
1-0-1
2.98
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
3.56
2-0-0
2.84
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.27
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
3.93
1-0-1
3.60
1-1-0
2.52
1-0-1
2.85
 —
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.95
2-0-0
3.14
1-1-0
3.37
Notts County
1-0-1
3.45
2-0-0
3.79
2-0-0
3.41
1-0-1
3.47
1-0-1
3.77
0-0-2
2.48
2-0-0
2.75
1-1-0
4.53
2-0-0
3.71
1-1-0
2.63
1-1-0
2.96
1-1-0
3.21
 —
0-0-2
3.25
2-0-0
4.00
2-0-0
2.89
Small Heath Birmingham
1-0-1
3.03
0-1-1
3.38
2-0-0
3.36
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
2.79
0-0-2
2.26
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-1
3.45
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.56
2-0-0
2.27
 —
1-1-0
3.06
2-0-0
2.97
Walsall
0-1-1
2.14
2-0-0
2.65
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.56
1-0-1
1.41
0-1-1
2.14
1-0-1
3.25
2-0-0
3.16
1-0-1
2.01
0-0-2
1.93
0-0-2
2.37
0-0-2
1.53
0-1-1
2.45
 —
1-1-0
2.37
Woolwich Arsenal
1-1-0
2.62
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.06
1-0-1
2.45
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.81
0-1-1
2.38
1-0-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.15
0-0-2
2.63
0-0-2
2.53
0-1-1
3.14
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.69 +4.2
Allowed 0.81 -5.4
Differential 0.94 +3.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.25%3.75%6.25%4.58%1.25%2.71%19.79%
13.75%7.92%5.42%6.04%3.96%2.29%29.38%
26.25%5.42%2.50%3.12%2.08%1.04%20.42%
34.58%6.04%3.12%1.25%0.21%0.62%15.83%
41.25%3.96%2.08%0.21%—0.21%7.71%
5+2.71%2.29%1.04%0.62%0.21%—6.88%
Total19.79%29.38%20.42%15.83%7.71%6.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 1.89 +0.00
SD 1.65 1.65 2.67
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 12 12 +12
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——10.00%———10.00%
16.67%6.67%3.33%13.33%6.67%—36.67%
2——10.00%—6.67%—16.67%
36.67%6.67%10.00%———23.33%
4—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total16.67%20.00%36.67%13.33%13.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.87 +0.10
SD 1.33 1.25 2.14
CV 0.67 0.67 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%—13.33%——20.00%
1—13.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%40.00%
210.00%6.67%———3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%———3.33%10.00%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total26.67%26.67%6.67%20.00%6.67%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.97 -0.43
SD 1.31 1.83 2.61
CV 0.85 0.93 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%3.33%23.33%—10.00%43.33%
110.00%6.67%13.33%———30.00%
23.33%3.33%—3.33%—3.33%13.33%
3—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total13.33%23.33%23.33%26.67%—13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 2.23 -1.20
SD 1.25 1.65 2.37
CV 1.21 0.74 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.33%6.67%—6.67%—26.67%
1———3.33%6.67%6.67%16.67%
23.33%6.67%—3.33%6.67%—20.00%
33.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
4—10.00%3.33%———13.33%
5+3.33%6.67%————10.00%
Total10.00%43.33%13.33%6.67%20.00%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 2.03 +0.20
SD 2.45 1.54 3.41
CV 1.09 0.76 —
Max 12 5 +12
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%10.00%—3.33%—20.00%
1—16.67%—3.33%3.33%3.33%26.67%
220.00%6.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%—40.00%
3——3.33%———3.33%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total26.67%33.33%16.67%10.00%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.57 +0.10
SD 1.47 1.52 2.40
CV 0.88 0.97 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%—3.33%——13.33%
16.67%6.67%—6.67%—3.33%23.33%
23.33%3.33%3.33%—10.00%—20.00%
310.00%16.67%3.33%———30.00%
4—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total23.33%43.33%10.00%10.00%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.20 1.50 +0.70
SD 1.65 1.41 2.34
CV 0.75 0.94 —
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%—3.33%3.33%3.33%16.67%
13.33%3.33%16.67%3.33%6.67%—33.33%
26.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
33.33%——3.33%——6.67%
4—10.00%6.67%———16.67%
5+3.33%——3.33%——6.67%
Total20.00%23.33%26.67%16.67%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.87 +0.10
SD 1.63 1.48 2.48
CV 0.83 0.79 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%10.00%36.67%
13.33%6.67%6.67%16.67%6.67%—40.00%
2—10.00%—6.67%—3.33%20.00%
3—3.33%————3.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total3.33%23.33%16.67%33.33%10.00%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 2.83 -1.93
SD 0.84 1.84 2.26
CV 0.94 0.65 —
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.33%13.33%3.33%—3.33%23.33%
16.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%10.00%10.00%40.00%
213.33%———3.33%—16.67%
36.67%—————6.67%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+6.67%—————6.67%
Total33.33%10.00%20.00%10.00%13.33%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 2.13 -0.47
SD 1.84 2.13 3.35
CV 1.11 1.00 —
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%—3.33%3.33%—3.33%13.33%
13.33%13.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%—36.67%
2—6.67%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
36.67%6.67%—6.67%——20.00%
43.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total20.00%33.33%16.67%23.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 1.67 +0.27
SD 1.41 1.32 2.29
CV 0.73 0.79 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%16.67%
13.33%—6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
213.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%——33.33%
310.00%3.33%————13.33%
4—6.67%—3.33%——10.00%
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total26.67%26.67%13.33%20.00%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 1.73 +0.13
SD 1.33 1.55 2.53
CV 0.71 0.90 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%13.33%3.33%——26.67%
1—13.33%————13.33%
216.67%10.00%——3.33%—30.00%
33.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
43.33%—3.33%———6.67%
5+3.33%——3.33%——6.67%
Total30.00%40.00%20.00%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 1.13 +0.73
SD 1.59 1.04 2.03
CV 0.85 0.92 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
13.33%6.67%6.67%10.00%——26.67%
23.33%—3.33%6.67%——13.33%
36.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%——30.00%
43.33%6.67%————10.00%
5+10.00%3.33%3.33%—3.33%—20.00%
Total26.67%30.00%20.00%20.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.07 1.43 +1.63
SD 1.91 1.19 2.48
CV 0.62 0.83 —
Max 8 4 +8
Min 1 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.33%6.67%3.33%——13.33%
16.67%6.67%10.00%3.33%——26.67%
2—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
33.33%20.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
4———————
5+—6.67%6.67%———13.33%
Total10.00%40.00%36.67%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.30 1.57 +0.73
SD 1.68 0.94 1.98
CV 0.73 0.60 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%13.33%——6.67%26.67%
13.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%26.67%
23.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%—3.33%20.00%
3—3.33%3.33%3.33%——10.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
Total13.33%26.67%26.67%16.67%3.33%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.37 -0.60
SD 1.68 2.37 3.25
CV 0.95 1.00 —
Max 5 12 +5
Min 0 0 -12

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——6.67%——3.33%10.00%
13.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%—30.00%
23.33%6.67%—6.67%—3.33%20.00%
310.00%—3.33%——6.67%20.00%
4——6.67%——3.33%10.00%
5+—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
Total16.67%26.67%23.33%10.00%6.67%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 2.33 -0.07
SD 1.64 2.12 2.80
CV 0.72 0.91 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Newton Heath 39 32.72 +6.28
2 Notts County 42 35.95 +6.05
3 Small Heath Birmingham 37 32.10 +4.90
4 Newcastle United 35 32.69 +2.31
5 Gainsborough Trinity 31 29.59 +1.41

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Lincoln City 12 21.77 -9.77
2 Burton Wanderers 20 26.88 -6.88
3 Darwen 28 30.79 -2.79
4 Leicester Fosse 30 32.30 -2.30
5 Manchester City 32 34.11 -2.11

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Small Heath Birmingham 6 Mar 13 – Apr 10 1 in 574
2 Newcastle United 4 Oct 3 – Oct 24 1 in 80
3 Newton Heath 5 Feb 6 – Mar 20 1 in 56
4 Gainsborough Trinity 4 Mar 6 – Apr 3 1 in 49
5 Walsall 3 Oct 5 – Oct 17 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lincoln City 12 Sep 21 – Jan 9 1 in 7,610
2 Burton Wanderers 7 Sep 14 – Nov 7 1 in 375
3 Loughborough United 5 Sep 2 – Sep 26 1 in 68
4 Gainsborough Trinity 4 Jan 2 – Feb 6 1 in 46
5 Manchester City 3 Oct 17 – Oct 31 1 in 43

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Gainsborough Trinity 7 Sep 5 – Oct 21 1 in 49
2 Small Heath Birmingham 8 Mar 13 – Apr 19 1 in 31
3 Newton Heath 10 Jan 9 – Apr 3 1 in 26
4 Blackpool 5 Feb 13 – Mar 13 1 in 18
5 Burton Swifts 4 Sep 12 – Oct 3 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leicester Fosse 8 Mar 13 – Apr 19 1 in 60
2 Lincoln City 12 Sep 21 – Jan 9 1 in 47
3 Manchester City 6 Sep 26 – Oct 31 1 in 29
4 Small Heath Birmingham 5 Sep 19 – Oct 17 1 in 26
5 Notts County 4 Mar 27 – Apr 10 1 in 16

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Notts County23.95%18.70%14.42%11.92%8.40%6.17%4.68%3.75%2.63%2.23%1.27%0.85%0.53%0.36%0.09%0.05%
Newton Heath7.02%9.93%10.90%10.50%9.63%9.60%8.51%7.76%6.65%5.67%4.79%3.70%2.55%1.56%0.83%0.40%
Grimsby Town33.96%19.89%13.59%9.50%6.62%5.35%3.69%2.56%1.81%1.22%0.83%0.53%0.22%0.13%0.09%0.01%
Small Heath Birmingham5.66%8.08%9.34%9.36%10.32%9.51%9.25%8.25%7.38%6.06%5.17%4.62%3.09%2.28%1.02%0.61%
Newcastle United5.78%8.56%9.66%9.76%10.30%9.81%8.83%8.57%7.77%6.53%5.18%3.84%2.69%1.62%0.77%0.33%
Manchester City10.52%12.24%12.59%11.41%10.63%9.36%8.37%6.83%5.38%4.50%3.00%2.16%1.58%0.84%0.44%0.15%
Blackpool1.45%2.90%4.14%5.88%6.81%7.51%7.83%8.57%9.47%9.73%9.46%8.28%7.10%5.41%3.69%1.77%
Gainsborough Trinity1.39%2.64%4.34%5.14%6.68%7.53%8.23%8.91%9.91%9.74%9.19%8.67%6.84%5.17%3.87%1.75%
Leicester Fosse5.42%7.89%8.29%9.36%9.50%9.36%9.61%9.13%7.49%6.53%5.91%4.38%3.11%2.25%1.28%0.49%
Woolwich Arsenal1.39%2.75%3.91%5.42%6.46%7.71%8.58%9.27%9.92%9.50%9.60%7.99%7.15%5.05%3.47%1.83%
Darwen2.81%4.94%6.14%7.14%8.04%8.40%9.41%9.19%9.36%8.45%7.55%6.22%5.28%3.49%2.37%1.21%
Burton Swifts0.14%0.36%0.43%0.94%1.39%2.16%2.87%4.02%4.97%7.29%8.44%11.32%13.06%14.95%15.38%12.28%
Loughborough United0.07%0.14%0.33%0.56%0.83%1.33%1.75%2.74%3.78%5.09%6.96%9.19%12.49%16.18%19.01%19.55%
Walsall0.13%0.31%0.67%1.04%1.60%2.19%3.06%3.97%5.32%6.79%8.80%11.09%13.45%15.09%14.95%11.54%
Burton Wanderers0.31%0.67%1.18%1.89%2.50%3.58%4.79%5.63%6.82%8.17%10.08%11.85%12.36%12.66%10.47%7.04%
Lincoln City——0.07%0.18%0.29%0.43%0.54%0.85%1.34%2.50%3.77%5.31%8.50%12.96%22.27%40.99%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+44.58%
Strong Edge
65.83%12.92%21.25%
Elo Value
Home Edge
118 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
0166.59300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.37 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.42+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.0
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
Notts County, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.54 * Some Luck: 3.54 to 5.32 * Lucky: 5.32 to 7.09 * Wild Swing: 7.09 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.23 * Close: 2.23 to 3.34 * Off: 3.34 to 4.46 * Way Off: 4.46 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.12 points
Some Luck
04.4311
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.00
Pinpoint
02.796
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
93.68%
Newton Heath
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
1.25%
Lincoln City
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 1
Several Surprises
00.21

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.39
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
62%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
87%
Strong Edge
50%86%100%
Close Games
Expected
38%
Some Drama
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
32%
Very Frequent
0%36%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.51
Highly Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.37
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.89
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.49
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
<0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.22
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.102
Near Noise Ceiling
00.0950.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Newton Heath 100% — —
Notts County 100% — —
Grimsby Town 53.85% 45.92% 0.23%
Manchester City 22.76% 75.81% 1.43%
Newcastle United 14.34% 82.94% 2.72%
Small Heath Birmingham 13.74% 82.35% 3.91%
Leicester Fosse 13.31% 82.67% 4.02%
Darwen 7.75% 85.18% 7.07%
Woolwich Arsenal 4.14% 85.51% 10.35%
Gainsborough Trinity 4.03% 85.18% 10.79%
Blackpool 4.35% 84.78% 10.87%
Burton Wanderers 0.98% 68.85% 30.17%
Walsall 0.44% 57.98% 41.58%
Burton Swifts 0.50% 56.89% 42.61%
Loughborough United 0.21% 45.05% 54.74%
Lincoln City — 23.78% 76.22%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1896-09-01 Gainsborough Trinity W 2-0 1742 1735 52.70% 24.43% 22.88% +8.0 2
1896-09-01 @ Newton Heath L 0-2 1735 1742 22.88% 24.43% 52.70% -8.0 0
1896-09-02 Grimsby Town L 1-4 1675 1840 30.43% 24.34% 45.24% -12.3 0
1896-09-02 @ Loughborough United W 4-1 1840 1675 45.24% 24.34% 30.43% +12.3 2
1896-09-05 Newcastle United W 3-1 1748 1756 51.00% 24.53% 24.47% +7.4 2
1896-09-05 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 1-3 1756 1748 24.47% 24.53% 51.00% -7.3 0
1896-09-05 Newton Heath L 3-5 1649 1750 38.94% 24.71% 36.35% -8.9 0
1896-09-05 @ Burton Swifts W 5-3 1750 1649 36.35% 24.71% 38.94% +8.9 4
1896-09-05 Gainsborough Trinity D 1-1 1852 1727 64.04% 22.86% 13.10% -1.9 3
1896-09-05 @ Grimsby Town D 1-1 1727 1852 13.10% 22.86% 64.04% +1.9 1
1896-09-05 Darwen W 4-1 1759 1744 53.67% 24.35% 21.98% +9.5 2
1896-09-05 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-4 1744 1759 21.98% 24.35% 53.67% -9.5 0
1896-09-05 Blackpool W 3-1 1692 1735 46.71% 24.70% 28.59% +8.3 2
1896-09-05 @ Lincoln City L 1-3 1735 1692 28.59% 24.70% 46.71% -8.3 0
1896-09-05 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1812 1744 59.03% 23.77% 17.20% -1.5 1
1896-09-05 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1744 1812 17.20% 23.77% 59.03% +1.5 1
1896-09-05 Loughborough United W 3-1 1749 1663 60.71% 23.51% 15.78% +5.0 2
1896-09-05 @ Notts County L 1-3 1663 1749 15.78% 23.51% 60.71% -5.0 0
1896-09-05 Burton Wanderers W 2-0 1697 1775 42.08% 24.75% 33.18% +10.8 2
1896-09-05 @ Walsall L 0-2 1775 1697 33.18% 24.75% 42.08% -10.8 0
1896-09-07 Walsall W 2-0 1759 1708 57.43% 23.98% 18.59% +6.7 6
1896-09-07 @ Newton Heath L 0-2 1708 1759 18.59% 23.98% 57.43% -6.7 2
1896-09-12 Walsall D 1-1 1746 1701 56.77% 24.05% 19.17% -1.4 2
1896-09-12 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1701 1746 19.17% 24.05% 56.77% +1.4 3
1896-09-12 Grimsby Town W 5-1 1765 1850 41.15% 24.74% 34.11% +17.4 2
1896-09-12 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-5 1850 1765 34.11% 24.74% 41.15% -17.4 3
1896-09-12 Blackpool L 2-3 1734 1727 52.76% 24.42% 22.82% -7.5 0
1896-09-12 @ Darwen W 3-2 1727 1734 22.82% 24.42% 52.76% +7.5 2
1896-09-12 Manchester City D 1-1 1729 1810 41.77% 24.75% 33.49% -0.3 2
1896-09-12 @ Gainsborough Trinity D 1-1 1810 1729 33.49% 24.75% 41.77% +0.3 2
1896-09-12 Notts County L 2-3 1768 1754 53.60% 24.36% 22.04% -7.6 2
1896-09-12 @ Leicester Fosse W 3-2 1754 1768 22.04% 24.36% 53.60% +7.6 4
1896-09-12 Burton Swifts L 0-2 1658 1640 54.00% 24.33% 21.68% -16.1 0
1896-09-12 @ Loughborough United W 2-0 1640 1658 21.68% 24.33% 54.00% +16.1 2
1896-09-12 Lincoln City W 3-1 1766 1700 58.81% 23.80% 17.39% +5.5 8
1896-09-12 @ Newton Heath L 1-3 1700 1766 17.39% 23.80% 58.81% -5.5 2
1896-09-12 Small Heath Birmingham W 4-3 1749 1755 51.21% 24.52% 24.27% +3.9 2
1896-09-12 @ Newcastle United L 3-4 1755 1749 24.27% 24.52% 51.21% -3.9 2
1896-09-14 Darwen W 5-1 1751 1727 54.69% 24.27% 21.04% +11.8 4
1896-09-14 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 1-5 1727 1751 21.04% 24.27% 54.69% -11.8 0
1896-09-14 Woolwich Arsenal L 0-3 1782 1744 56.09% 24.13% 19.78% -24.2 2
1896-09-14 @ Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1744 1782 19.78% 24.13% 56.09% +24.2 4
1896-09-19 Loughborough United W 2-0 1768 1642 64.19% 22.83% 12.98% +4.8 6
1896-09-19 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-2 1642 1768 12.98% 22.83% 64.19% -4.8 0
1896-09-19 Lincoln City L 1-2 1763 1695 59.10% 23.76% 17.14% -8.8 4
1896-09-19 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 2-1 1695 1763 17.14% 23.76% 59.10% +8.8 4
1896-09-19 Burton Wanderers W 5-0 1735 1758 49.19% 24.62% 26.19% +21.0 4
1896-09-19 @ Blackpool L 0-5 1758 1735 26.19% 24.62% 49.19% -21.0 2
1896-09-19 Leicester Fosse W 2-1 1656 1761 38.42% 24.70% 36.88% +5.8 4
1896-09-19 @ Burton Swifts L 1-2 1761 1656 36.88% 24.70% 38.42% -5.8 2
1896-09-19 Newton Heath W 2-0 1832 1771 58.45% 23.85% 17.70% +6.5 5
1896-09-19 @ Grimsby Town L 0-2 1771 1832 17.70% 23.85% 58.45% -6.5 8
1896-09-19 Darwen W 4-1 1810 1715 61.59% 23.35% 15.05% +6.8 4
1896-09-19 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1715 1810 15.05% 23.35% 61.59% -6.8 0
1896-09-19 Newcastle United W 3-1 1761 1753 52.95% 24.41% 22.65% +6.9 6
1896-09-19 @ Notts County L 1-3 1753 1761 22.65% 24.41% 52.95% -6.9 2
1896-09-19 Gainsborough Trinity D 1-1 1702 1729 48.80% 24.64% 26.56% -0.8 4
1896-09-19 @ Walsall D 1-1 1729 1702 26.56% 24.64% 48.80% +0.8 3
1896-09-21 Lincoln City W 3-0 1817 1704 63.13% 23.06% 13.81% +7.5 6
1896-09-21 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1704 1817 13.81% 23.06% 63.13% -7.5 4
1896-09-21 Newton Heath L 2-3 1702 1765 44.16% 24.74% 31.10% -6.4 4
1896-09-21 @ Walsall W 3-2 1765 1702 31.10% 24.74% 44.16% +6.4 10
1896-09-26 Notts County L 2-3 1773 1768 52.53% 24.44% 23.03% -7.4 6
1896-09-26 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 3-2 1768 1773 23.03% 24.44% 52.53% +7.4 8
1896-09-26 Manchester City D 2-2 1756 1825 43.35% 24.75% 31.90% -0.3 5
1896-09-26 @ Blackpool D 2-2 1825 1756 31.90% 24.75% 43.35% +0.3 7
1896-09-26 Small Heath Birmingham D 1-1 1662 1754 40.14% 24.73% 35.13% -0.2 5
1896-09-26 @ Burton Swifts D 1-1 1754 1662 35.13% 24.73% 40.14% +0.2 5
1896-09-26 Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1708 1737 48.51% 24.65% 26.84% +13.3 2
1896-09-26 @ Darwen L 0-3 1737 1708 26.84% 24.65% 48.51% -13.3 2
1896-09-26 Walsall W 2-0 1730 1695 55.74% 24.17% 20.10% +7.2 5
1896-09-26 @ Gainsborough Trinity L 0-2 1695 1730 20.10% 24.17% 55.74% -7.2 4
1896-09-26 Lincoln City W 3-1 1839 1696 65.48% 22.52% 12.00% +3.9 7
1896-09-26 @ Grimsby Town L 1-3 1696 1839 12.00% 22.52% 65.48% -3.9 4
1896-09-26 Leicester Fosse L 0-2 1637 1755 36.59% 24.65% 38.76% -11.6 0
1896-09-26 @ Loughborough United W 2-0 1755 1637 38.76% 24.65% 36.59% +11.6 4
1896-09-26 Newcastle United W 4-0 1771 1746 54.76% 24.26% 20.98% +14.2 12
1896-09-26 @ Newton Heath L 0-4 1746 1771 20.98% 24.26% 54.76% -14.2 2
1896-10-01 Grimsby Town L 1-3 1776 1843 43.60% 24.75% 31.65% -11.6 8
1896-10-01 @ Notts County W 3-1 1843 1776 31.65% 24.75% 43.60% +11.6 9
1896-10-03 Burton Swifts L 1-2 1755 1662 61.36% 23.39% 15.24% -9.1 5
1896-10-03 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 2-1 1662 1755 15.24% 23.39% 61.36% +9.1 7
1896-10-03 Notts County L 0-3 1724 1764 47.07% 24.69% 28.24% -20.7 2
1896-10-03 @ Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1764 1724 28.24% 24.69% 47.07% +20.7 10
1896-10-03 Grimsby Town D 1-1 1737 1854 36.64% 24.65% 38.71% +0.1 6
1896-10-03 @ Gainsborough Trinity D 1-1 1854 1737 38.71% 24.65% 36.64% -0.1 10
1896-10-03 Blackpool W 2-1 1767 1755 53.24% 24.39% 22.37% +3.9 6
1896-10-03 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1755 1767 22.37% 24.39% 53.24% -3.9 5
1896-10-03 Loughborough United L 0-2 1692 1626 58.96% 23.78% 17.27% -17.5 4
1896-10-03 @ Lincoln City W 2-0 1626 1692 17.27% 23.78% 58.96% +17.5 2
1896-10-03 Newton Heath D 0-0 1825 1785 56.27% 24.11% 19.62% -1.5 8
1896-10-03 @ Manchester City D 0-0 1785 1825 19.62% 24.11% 56.27% +1.5 13
1896-10-03 Darwen W 5-1 1732 1721 53.12% 24.40% 22.48% +12.5 4
1896-10-03 @ Newcastle United L 1-5 1721 1732 22.48% 24.40% 53.12% -12.5 2
1896-10-05 Walsall L 1-3 1671 1688 49.92% 24.59% 25.49% -13.0 7
1896-10-05 @ Burton Swifts W 3-1 1688 1671 25.49% 24.59% 49.92% +13.0 6
1896-10-10 Walsall L 1-2 1643 1701 44.81% 24.74% 30.45% -6.8 2
1896-10-10 @ Loughborough United W 2-1 1701 1643 30.45% 24.74% 44.81% +6.8 8
1896-10-10 Small Heath Birmingham D 1-1 1787 1745 56.43% 24.09% 19.47% -1.3 14
1896-10-10 @ Newton Heath D 1-1 1745 1787 19.47% 24.09% 56.43% +1.3 6
1896-10-10 Grimsby Town W 3-0 1744 1854 37.65% 24.68% 37.67% +17.3 6
1896-10-10 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1854 1744 37.67% 24.68% 37.65% -17.3 10
1896-10-10 Manchester City D 3-3 1785 1823 47.31% 24.69% 28.00% -0.4 11
1896-10-10 @ Notts County D 3-3 1823 1785 28.00% 24.69% 47.31% +0.4 9
1896-10-12 Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1766 1703 58.59% 23.83% 17.58% +9.3 8
1896-10-12 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-3 1703 1766 17.58% 23.83% 58.59% -9.3 2
1896-10-17 Gainsborough Trinity D 2-2 1747 1737 53.06% 24.40% 22.54% -0.8 7
1896-10-17 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 2-2 1737 1747 22.54% 24.40% 53.06% +0.8 7
1896-10-17 Newton Heath W 4-2 1751 1785 47.87% 24.67% 27.46% +7.2 7
1896-10-17 @ Blackpool L 2-4 1785 1751 27.46% 24.67% 47.87% -7.2 14
1896-10-17 Burton Swifts W 5-1 1709 1658 57.42% 23.98% 18.60% +10.7 4
1896-10-17 @ Darwen L 1-5 1658 1709 18.60% 23.98% 57.42% -10.6 7
1896-10-17 Loughborough United W 8-1 1837 1636 69.63% 21.29% 9.08% +9.0 12
1896-10-17 @ Grimsby Town L 1-8 1636 1837 9.08% 21.29% 69.63% -9.0 2
1896-10-17 Newcastle United L 1-2 1824 1761 58.55% 23.83% 17.62% -8.7 9
1896-10-17 @ Manchester City W 2-1 1761 1824 17.62% 23.83% 58.55% +8.7 8
1896-10-17 Leicester Fosse W 6-0 1784 1770 53.52% 24.36% 22.12% +21.7 13
1896-10-17 @ Notts County L 0-6 1770 1784 22.12% 24.36% 53.52% -21.7 6
1896-10-17 Woolwich Arsenal W 5-3 1708 1775 43.58% 24.75% 31.67% +7.6 10
1896-10-17 @ Walsall L 3-5 1775 1708 31.67% 24.75% 43.58% -7.6 8
1896-10-21 Newton Heath W 2-0 1738 1778 47.09% 24.69% 28.21% +9.5 9
1896-10-21 @ Gainsborough Trinity L 0-2 1778 1738 28.21% 24.69% 47.09% -9.5 14
1896-10-24 Gainsborough Trinity W 6-1 1768 1747 54.21% 24.31% 21.48% +14.8 10
1896-10-24 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-6 1747 1768 21.48% 24.31% 54.21% -14.8 9
1896-10-24 Blackpool W 2-0 1647 1758 37.49% 24.68% 37.84% +11.9 9
1896-10-24 @ Burton Swifts L 0-2 1758 1647 37.84% 24.68% 37.49% -11.9 7
1896-10-24 Leicester Fosse W 4-1 1719 1749 48.45% 24.65% 26.90% +11.2 6
1896-10-24 @ Darwen L 1-4 1749 1719 26.90% 24.65% 48.45% -11.2 6
1896-10-24 Manchester City W 3-1 1846 1815 55.37% 24.20% 20.43% +6.3 14
1896-10-24 @ Grimsby Town L 1-3 1815 1846 20.43% 24.20% 55.37% -6.3 9
1896-10-24 Newcastle United L 1-2 1675 1770 39.77% 24.72% 35.50% -6.2 4
1896-10-24 @ Lincoln City W 2-1 1770 1675 35.50% 24.72% 39.77% +6.2 10
1896-10-24 Notts County L 0-1 1627 1806 28.61% 24.19% 47.20% -5.1 2
1896-10-24 @ Loughborough United W 1-0 1806 1627 47.20% 24.19% 28.61% +5.1 15
1896-10-24 Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1769 1694 59.73% 23.66% 16.60% +8.8 16
1896-10-24 @ Newton Heath L 0-3 1694 1769 16.60% 23.66% 59.73% -8.9 2
1896-10-24 Small Heath Birmingham L 1-6 1715 1746 48.32% 24.65% 27.03% -28.2 10
1896-10-24 @ Walsall W 6-1 1746 1715 27.03% 24.65% 48.32% +28.2 9
1896-10-31 Grimsby Town L 0-1 1774 1852 42.11% 24.75% 33.14% -6.9 9
1896-10-31 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 1-0 1852 1774 33.14% 24.75% 42.11% +6.9 16
1896-10-31 Notts County L 1-4 1809 1811 51.68% 24.49% 23.83% -18.9 9
1896-10-31 @ Manchester City W 4-1 1811 1809 23.83% 24.49% 51.68% +18.9 17
1896-10-31 Loughborough United W 5-1 1687 1622 58.81% 23.80% 17.39% +10.0 12
1896-10-31 @ Walsall L 1-5 1622 1687 17.39% 23.80% 58.81% -10.0 2
1896-11-07 Loughborough United W 3-1 1659 1612 57.02% 24.03% 18.96% +5.9 11
1896-11-07 @ Burton Swifts L 1-3 1612 1659 18.96% 24.03% 57.02% -5.9 2
1896-11-07 Newcastle United W 2-1 1731 1776 46.42% 24.71% 28.87% +4.9 8
1896-11-07 @ Darwen L 1-2 1776 1731 28.87% 24.71% 46.42% -4.9 10
1896-11-07 Burton Wanderers W 2-1 1733 1685 57.10% 24.02% 18.88% +3.4 11
1896-11-07 @ Gainsborough Trinity L 1-2 1685 1733 18.88% 24.02% 57.10% -3.4 2
1896-11-07 Lincoln City W 4-1 1738 1669 59.17% 23.75% 17.08% +7.7 8
1896-11-07 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-4 1669 1738 17.08% 23.75% 59.17% -7.6 4
1896-11-07 Blackpool W 4-2 1790 1747 56.64% 24.07% 19.29% +5.4 11
1896-11-07 @ Manchester City L 2-4 1747 1790 19.29% 24.07% 56.64% -5.4 7
1896-11-07 Grimsby Town W 4-2 1777 1859 41.62% 24.74% 33.64% +8.5 18
1896-11-07 @ Newton Heath L 2-4 1859 1777 33.64% 24.74% 41.62% -8.5 16
1896-11-07 Woolwich Arsenal W 7-4 1830 1782 57.10% 24.02% 18.88% +6.4 19
1896-11-07 @ Notts County L 4-7 1782 1830 18.88% 24.02% 57.10% -6.4 10
1896-11-14 Woolwich Arsenal W 5-2 1767 1776 50.96% 24.54% 24.51% +9.0 11
1896-11-14 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 2-5 1776 1767 24.51% 24.54% 50.96% -9.0 10
1896-11-14 Lincoln City W 3-1 1741 1661 60.22% 23.59% 16.19% +5.1 9
1896-11-14 @ Blackpool L 1-3 1661 1741 16.19% 23.59% 60.22% -5.2 4
1896-11-14 Darwen W 1-0 1681 1735 45.33% 24.73% 29.95% +5.3 4
1896-11-14 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-1 1735 1681 29.95% 24.73% 45.33% -5.3 8
1896-11-14 Gainsborough Trinity W 1-0 1606 1736 34.92% 24.59% 40.49% +6.6 4
1896-11-14 @ Loughborough United L 0-1 1736 1606 40.49% 24.59% 34.92% -6.7 11
1896-11-14 Burton Swifts W 3-1 1795 1665 64.50% 22.75% 12.74% +4.1 13
1896-11-14 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1665 1795 12.74% 22.75% 64.50% -4.1 11
1896-11-14 Leicester Fosse W 3-1 1771 1745 54.85% 24.25% 20.90% +6.5 12
1896-11-14 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1745 1771 20.90% 24.25% 54.85% -6.5 8
1896-11-14 Walsall W 5-2 1836 1697 65.20% 22.59% 12.21% +4.8 21
1896-11-14 @ Notts County L 2-5 1697 1836 12.21% 22.59% 65.20% -4.8 12
1896-11-21 Small Heath Birmingham W 2-0 1730 1776 46.35% 24.71% 28.94% +9.7 10
1896-11-21 @ Darwen L 0-2 1776 1730 28.94% 24.71% 46.35% -9.7 11
1896-11-21 Notts County W 3-1 1851 1841 53.03% 24.40% 22.57% +6.9 18
1896-11-21 @ Grimsby Town L 1-3 1841 1851 22.57% 24.40% 53.03% -6.9 21
1896-11-23 Manchester City W 3-2 1692 1799 38.13% 24.69% 37.18% +5.6 14
1896-11-23 @ Walsall L 2-3 1799 1692 37.18% 24.69% 38.13% -5.6 13
1896-11-28 Grimsby Town W 4-2 1767 1858 40.38% 24.73% 34.89% +8.7 12
1896-11-28 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 2-4 1858 1767 34.89% 24.73% 40.38% -8.7 18
1896-11-28 Newton Heath W 1-0 1767 1786 49.69% 24.60% 25.71% +4.7 13
1896-11-28 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-1 1786 1767 25.71% 24.60% 49.69% -4.7 18
1896-11-28 Notts County W 3-2 1746 1834 40.76% 24.74% 34.50% +5.3 11
1896-11-28 @ Blackpool L 2-3 1834 1746 34.50% 24.74% 40.76% -5.3 21
1896-11-28 Darwen W 2-0 1661 1740 42.00% 24.75% 33.26% +10.8 13
1896-11-28 @ Burton Swifts L 0-2 1740 1661 33.26% 24.75% 42.00% -10.8 10
1896-11-28 Walsall W 4-1 1739 1698 56.38% 24.10% 19.52% +8.6 10
1896-11-28 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-4 1698 1739 19.52% 24.10% 56.38% -8.6 14
1896-11-28 Burton Wanderers W 2-1 1794 1687 62.59% 23.16% 14.24% +2.6 15
1896-11-28 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1687 1794 14.24% 23.16% 62.59% -2.6 4
1896-11-28 Loughborough United W 4-1 1778 1613 67.14% 22.07% 10.79% +5.0 14
1896-11-28 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 1613 1778 10.79% 22.07% 67.14% -5.0 4
1896-12-05 Newcastle United L 0-1 1684 1783 39.28% 24.72% 36.00% -6.5 4
1896-12-05 @ Burton Wanderers W 1-0 1783 1684 36.00% 24.72% 39.28% +6.5 16
1896-12-05 Loughborough United W 2-0 1729 1608 63.79% 22.91% 13.29% +5.0 13
1896-12-05 @ Gainsborough Trinity L 0-2 1608 1729 13.29% 22.91% 63.79% -5.0 4
1896-12-05 Grimsby Town W 4-2 1747 1849 38.87% 24.71% 36.42% +9.0 12
1896-12-05 @ Leicester Fosse L 2-4 1849 1747 36.42% 24.71% 38.87% -9.0 18
1896-12-05 Woolwich Arsenal L 2-3 1656 1776 36.31% 24.64% 39.05% -5.5 4
1896-12-05 @ Lincoln City W 3-2 1776 1656 39.05% 24.64% 36.31% +5.5 14
1896-12-05 Burton Swifts W 6-1 1829 1672 66.59% 22.23% 11.18% +8.1 23
1896-12-05 @ Notts County L 1-6 1672 1829 11.18% 22.23% 66.59% -8.1 13
1896-12-12 Small Heath Birmingham W 2-1 1840 1771 59.15% 23.75% 17.10% +3.1 20
1896-12-12 @ Grimsby Town L 1-2 1771 1840 17.10% 23.75% 59.15% -3.1 13
1896-12-12 Woolwich Arsenal W 8-0 1603 1781 28.70% 24.20% 47.10% +51.8 6
1896-12-12 @ Loughborough United L 0-8 1781 1603 47.10% 24.20% 28.70% -51.8 14
1896-12-12 Notts County D 2-2 1789 1837 46.11% 24.72% 29.18% -0.4 17
1896-12-12 @ Newcastle United D 2-2 1837 1789 29.18% 24.72% 46.11% +0.4 24
1896-12-19 Blackpool W 4-2 1729 1752 49.32% 24.62% 26.07% +6.9 16
1896-12-19 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 2-4 1752 1729 26.07% 24.62% 49.32% -6.9 11
1896-12-19 Leicester Fosse W 2-1 1678 1756 42.03% 24.75% 33.23% +5.4 6
1896-12-19 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1756 1678 33.23% 24.75% 42.03% -5.4 12
1896-12-19 Lincoln City W 4-1 1729 1650 60.09% 23.61% 16.31% +7.3 12
1896-12-19 @ Darwen L 1-4 1650 1729 16.31% 23.61% 60.09% -7.3 4
1896-12-19 Small Heath Birmingham W 2-0 1655 1768 37.19% 24.67% 38.14% +12.0 8
1896-12-19 @ Loughborough United L 0-2 1768 1655 38.14% 24.67% 37.19% -12.0 13
1896-12-19 Grimsby Town W 3-1 1796 1843 46.27% 24.71% 29.02% +8.4 17
1896-12-19 @ Manchester City L 1-3 1843 1796 29.02% 24.71% 46.27% -8.4 20
1896-12-19 Newton Heath W 3-0 1838 1781 57.97% 23.91% 18.12% +9.6 26
1896-12-19 @ Notts County L 0-3 1781 1838 18.12% 23.91% 57.97% -9.6 18
1896-12-25 Lincoln City W 6-2 1736 1643 61.39% 23.39% 15.22% +7.5 18
1896-12-25 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 2-6 1643 1736 15.22% 23.39% 61.39% -7.5 4
1896-12-25 Walsall D 3-3 1756 1689 58.96% 23.78% 17.26% -1.0 14
1896-12-25 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 3-3 1689 1756 17.26% 23.78% 58.96% +0.9 15
1896-12-25 Burton Swifts W 1-0 1683 1664 54.13% 24.32% 21.56% +4.1 8
1896-12-25 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-1 1664 1683 21.56% 24.32% 54.13% -4.0 13
1896-12-25 Darwen L 2-4 1734 1736 51.71% 24.49% 23.79% -12.0 13
1896-12-25 @ Gainsborough Trinity W 4-2 1736 1734 23.79% 24.49% 51.71% +12.0 14
1896-12-25 Loughborough United W 4-2 1751 1667 60.59% 23.53% 15.88% +4.5 14
1896-12-25 @ Leicester Fosse L 2-4 1667 1751 15.88% 23.53% 60.59% -4.5 8
1896-12-25 Manchester City W 2-1 1772 1805 47.98% 24.67% 27.35% +4.6 20
1896-12-25 @ Newton Heath L 1-2 1805 1772 27.35% 24.67% 47.98% -4.6 17
1896-12-26 Manchester City W 5-0 1659 1800 33.45% 24.52% 42.03% +30.2 15
1896-12-26 @ Burton Swifts L 0-5 1800 1659 42.03% 24.52% 33.45% -30.2 17
1896-12-26 Walsall W 12-0 1748 1690 58.11% 23.89% 17.99% +35.3 16
1896-12-26 @ Darwen L 0-12 1690 1748 17.99% 23.89% 58.11% -35.3 15
1896-12-26 Woolwich Arsenal W 4-1 1722 1744 49.43% 24.61% 25.96% +10.9 15
1896-12-26 @ Gainsborough Trinity L 1-4 1744 1722 25.96% 24.61% 49.43% -10.9 18
1896-12-26 Newcastle United W 3-2 1835 1789 56.91% 24.04% 19.05% +3.3 22
1896-12-26 @ Grimsby Town L 2-3 1789 1835 19.05% 24.04% 56.91% -3.3 17
1896-12-26 Burton Wanderers L 2-3 1635 1687 45.65% 24.72% 29.62% -6.6 4
1896-12-26 @ Lincoln City W 3-2 1687 1635 29.62% 24.72% 45.65% +6.6 10
1896-12-26 Blackpool W 2-0 1776 1745 55.43% 24.20% 20.37% +7.3 22
1896-12-26 @ Newton Heath L 0-2 1745 1776 20.37% 24.20% 55.43% -7.3 11
1896-12-28 Newcastle United W 2-0 1733 1786 45.55% 24.73% 29.72% +9.9 17
1896-12-28 @ Gainsborough Trinity L 0-2 1786 1733 29.72% 24.73% 45.55% -9.9 17
1896-12-28 Newton Heath W 1-0 1755 1784 48.62% 24.64% 26.74% +4.8 16
1896-12-28 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-1 1784 1755 26.74% 24.64% 48.62% -4.8 22
1897-01-01 Grimsby Town W 1-0 1737 1838 39.02% 24.71% 36.27% +6.1 13
1897-01-01 @ Blackpool L 0-1 1838 1737 36.27% 24.71% 39.02% -6.1 22
1897-01-01 Woolwich Arsenal W 4-1 1784 1733 57.41% 23.98% 18.61% +8.2 18
1897-01-01 @ Darwen L 1-4 1733 1784 18.61% 23.98% 57.41% -8.3 18
1897-01-01 Small Heath Birmingham W 3-0 1770 1755 53.62% 24.36% 22.03% +11.3 19
1897-01-01 @ Manchester City L 0-3 1755 1770 22.03% 24.36% 53.62% -11.3 14
1897-01-01 Newton Heath W 2-0 1776 1779 51.60% 24.50% 23.90% +8.3 19
1897-01-01 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1779 1776 23.90% 24.50% 51.60% -8.3 22
1897-01-02 Notts County L 1-4 1690 1847 31.25% 24.39% 44.36% -12.6 15
1897-01-02 @ Burton Swifts W 4-1 1847 1690 44.36% 24.39% 31.25% +12.6 28
1897-01-02 Small Heath Birmingham L 1-3 1743 1744 51.87% 24.48% 23.65% -13.4 17
1897-01-02 @ Gainsborough Trinity W 3-1 1744 1743 23.65% 24.48% 51.87% +13.4 16
1897-01-02 Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1832 1694 65.13% 22.60% 12.26% +6.7 24
1897-01-02 @ Grimsby Town L 0-3 1694 1832 12.26% 22.60% 65.13% -6.7 10
1897-01-02 Darwen W 4-2 1662 1792 34.93% 24.59% 40.48% +9.7 10
1897-01-02 @ Loughborough United L 2-4 1792 1662 40.48% 24.59% 34.93% -9.7 18
1897-01-02 Lincoln City W 2-1 1784 1629 66.42% 22.27% 11.31% +2.1 21
1897-01-02 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1629 1784 11.31% 22.27% 66.42% -2.1 4
1897-01-04 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1744 1725 54.08% 24.32% 21.60% -1.2 14
1897-01-04 @ Blackpool D 1-1 1725 1744 21.60% 24.32% 54.08% +1.2 19
1897-01-06 Walsall W 5-0 1781 1655 64.17% 22.83% 13.00% +11.3 21
1897-01-06 @ Manchester City L 0-5 1655 1781 13.00% 22.83% 64.17% -11.4 15
1897-01-09 Walsall W 1-0 1687 1644 56.63% 24.07% 19.30% +3.7 12
1897-01-09 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-1 1644 1687 19.30% 24.07% 56.63% -3.7 15
1897-01-09 Manchester City W 3-1 1782 1793 50.74% 24.55% 24.71% +7.4 20
1897-01-09 @ Darwen L 1-3 1793 1782 24.71% 24.55% 50.74% -7.4 21
1897-01-09 Newcastle United W 5-0 1760 1786 48.90% 24.63% 26.47% +21.2 18
1897-01-09 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-5 1786 1760 26.47% 24.63% 48.90% -21.2 21
1897-01-09 Grimsby Town L 0-3 1627 1838 24.85% 23.80% 51.35% -12.3 4
1897-01-09 @ Lincoln City W 3-0 1838 1627 51.35% 23.80% 24.85% +12.4 26
1897-01-09 Burton Swifts D 1-1 1770 1677 61.40% 23.39% 15.21% -1.7 23
1897-01-09 @ Newton Heath D 1-1 1677 1770 15.21% 23.39% 61.40% +1.7 16
1897-01-09 Gainsborough Trinity W 2-0 1860 1730 64.49% 22.76% 12.75% +4.8 30
1897-01-09 @ Notts County L 0-2 1730 1860 12.75% 22.76% 64.49% -4.8 17
1897-01-16 Grimsby Town D 0-0 1679 1851 29.44% 24.26% 46.30% +0.6 17
1897-01-16 @ Burton Swifts D 0-0 1851 1679 46.30% 24.26% 29.44% -0.6 27
1897-01-16 Burton Wanderers W 2-1 1781 1691 61.19% 23.43% 15.39% +2.8 20
1897-01-16 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1691 1781 15.39% 23.43% 61.19% -2.8 12
1897-01-16 Darwen W 1-0 1614 1790 29.05% 24.23% 46.72% +7.5 6
1897-01-16 @ Lincoln City L 0-1 1790 1614 46.72% 24.23% 29.05% -7.5 20
1897-01-16 Blackpool W 4-1 1765 1742 54.47% 24.29% 21.24% +9.2 23
1897-01-16 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 1742 1765 21.24% 24.29% 54.47% -9.2 14
1897-01-16 Notts County L 1-3 1640 1865 23.50% 23.62% 52.88% -7.0 15
1897-01-16 @ Walsall W 3-1 1865 1640 52.88% 23.62% 23.50% +7.0 32
1897-01-23 Small Heath Birmingham L 1-3 1733 1757 49.09% 24.63% 26.29% -12.8 14
1897-01-23 @ Blackpool W 3-1 1757 1733 26.29% 24.63% 49.09% +12.8 18
1897-01-23 Gainsborough Trinity W 3-2 1688 1725 47.48% 24.68% 27.84% +4.5 14
1897-01-23 @ Burton Wanderers L 2-3 1725 1688 27.84% 24.68% 47.48% -4.5 17
1897-01-23 Leicester Fosse W 4-1 1850 1784 58.88% 23.79% 17.33% +7.8 29
1897-01-23 @ Grimsby Town L 1-4 1784 1850 17.33% 23.79% 58.88% -7.8 20
1897-01-23 Woolwich Arsenal W 2-0 1774 1726 57.17% 24.01% 18.82% +6.8 25
1897-01-23 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1726 1774 18.82% 24.01% 57.17% -6.8 19
1897-01-23 Lincoln City W 8-0 1872 1622 72.69% 20.12% 7.19% +9.7 34
1897-01-23 @ Notts County L 0-8 1622 1872 7.19% 20.12% 72.69% -9.7 6
1897-01-23 Burton Swifts W 5-2 1633 1679 46.32% 24.71% 28.97% +10.3 17
1897-01-23 @ Walsall L 2-5 1679 1633 28.97% 24.71% 46.32% -10.3 17
1897-01-30 Blackpool W 4-1 1672 1720 46.05% 24.72% 29.24% +12.0 12
1897-01-30 @ Loughborough United L 1-4 1720 1672 29.24% 24.72% 46.05% -12.0 14
1897-02-06 Lincoln City W 4-0 1669 1612 58.02% 23.90% 18.08% +12.5 19
1897-02-06 @ Burton Swifts L 0-4 1612 1669 18.08% 23.90% 58.02% -12.5 6
1897-02-06 Leicester Fosse L 0-2 1720 1777 45.06% 24.73% 30.20% -13.7 17
1897-02-06 @ Gainsborough Trinity W 2-0 1777 1720 30.20% 24.73% 45.06% +13.7 22
1897-02-06 Loughborough United W 6-0 1769 1684 60.64% 23.52% 15.84% +16.2 25
1897-02-06 @ Newton Heath L 0-6 1684 1769 15.84% 23.52% 60.64% -16.2 12
1897-02-06 Manchester City W 3-0 1781 1785 51.47% 24.51% 24.03% +12.2 27
1897-02-06 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1785 1781 24.03% 24.51% 51.47% -12.2 21
1897-02-06 Darwen W 4-0 1881 1782 61.92% 23.29% 14.79% +10.4 36
1897-02-06 @ Notts County L 0-4 1782 1881 14.79% 23.29% 61.92% -10.4 20
1897-02-13 Walsall W 3-2 1708 1643 58.79% 23.80% 17.41% +3.0 16
1897-02-13 @ Blackpool L 2-3 1643 1708 17.41% 23.80% 58.79% -3.0 17
1897-02-13 Small Heath Birmingham L 2-6 1692 1770 42.15% 24.75% 33.10% -17.4 14
1897-02-13 @ Burton Wanderers W 6-2 1770 1692 33.10% 24.75% 42.15% +17.4 20
1897-02-13 Loughborough United W 5-1 1772 1668 62.34% 23.21% 14.45% +8.5 22
1897-02-13 @ Darwen L 1-5 1668 1772 14.45% 23.21% 62.34% -8.5 12
1897-02-13 Burton Swifts W 4-1 1707 1682 54.75% 24.26% 20.99% +9.2 19
1897-02-13 @ Gainsborough Trinity L 1-4 1682 1707 20.99% 24.26% 54.75% -9.1 19
1897-02-13 Woolwich Arsenal W 6-3 1790 1719 59.40% 23.71% 16.89% +6.1 24
1897-02-13 @ Leicester Fosse L 3-6 1719 1790 16.89% 23.71% 59.40% -6.1 19
1897-02-13 Manchester City L 0-1 1600 1773 29.28% 24.25% 46.48% -5.2 6
1897-02-13 @ Lincoln City W 1-0 1773 1600 46.48% 24.25% 29.28% +5.2 23
1897-02-20 Burton Swifts W 3-0 1713 1672 56.35% 24.10% 19.55% +10.2 21
1897-02-20 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-3 1672 1713 19.55% 24.10% 56.35% -10.2 19
1897-02-20 Blackpool D 2-2 1858 1711 65.78% 22.44% 11.78% -1.5 30
1897-02-20 @ Grimsby Town D 2-2 1711 1858 11.78% 22.44% 65.78% +1.5 17
1897-02-20 Gainsborough Trinity L 0-2 1595 1716 36.08% 24.63% 39.29% -11.5 6
1897-02-20 @ Lincoln City W 2-0 1716 1595 39.29% 24.63% 36.08% +11.5 21
1897-02-20 Newcastle United W 3-0 1659 1793 34.36% 24.56% 41.08% +18.4 14
1897-02-20 @ Loughborough United L 0-3 1793 1659 41.08% 24.56% 34.36% -18.4 27
1897-02-20 Leicester Fosse W 2-1 1785 1796 50.62% 24.55% 24.83% +4.3 27
1897-02-20 @ Newton Heath L 1-2 1796 1785 24.83% 24.55% 50.62% -4.3 24
1897-02-27 Burton Wanderers W 3-2 1788 1675 63.07% 23.07% 13.86% +2.5 22
1897-02-27 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 2-3 1675 1788 13.86% 23.07% 63.07% -2.4 14
1897-02-27 Leicester Fosse W 3-0 1713 1792 41.98% 24.75% 33.27% +15.7 19
1897-02-27 @ Blackpool L 0-3 1792 1713 33.27% 24.75% 41.98% -15.7 24
1897-02-27 Notts County W 2-1 1780 1892 37.47% 24.67% 37.85% +6.0 24
1897-02-27 @ Darwen L 1-2 1892 1780 37.85% 24.67% 37.47% -6.0 36
1897-02-27 Gainsborough Trinity W 4-1 1778 1727 57.40% 23.98% 18.62% +8.2 25
1897-02-27 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1727 1778 18.62% 23.98% 57.40% -8.3 21
1897-02-27 Grimsby Town L 0-1 1640 1856 24.38% 23.74% 51.87% -4.4 17
1897-02-27 @ Walsall W 1-0 1856 1640 51.87% 23.74% 24.38% +4.4 32
1897-03-02 Darwen W 3-1 1789 1786 52.30% 24.45% 23.25% +7.0 29
1897-03-02 @ Newton Heath L 1-3 1786 1789 23.25% 24.45% 52.30% -7.1 24
1897-03-06 Blackpool L 1-3 1790 1729 58.45% 23.85% 17.71% -15.0 22
1897-03-06 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 3-1 1729 1790 17.71% 23.85% 58.45% +15.0 21
1897-03-06 Manchester City D 1-1 1672 1786 37.10% 24.66% 38.23% +0.0 15
1897-03-06 @ Burton Wanderers D 1-1 1786 1672 38.23% 24.66% 37.10% -0.0 26
1897-03-06 Notts County W 3-2 1719 1886 30.11% 24.31% 45.57% +6.5 23
1897-03-06 @ Gainsborough Trinity L 2-3 1886 1719 45.57% 24.31% 30.11% -6.5 36
1897-03-06 Darwen W 4-2 1861 1779 60.36% 23.56% 16.07% +4.6 34
1897-03-06 @ Grimsby Town L 2-4 1779 1861 16.07% 23.56% 60.36% -4.6 24
1897-03-06 Burton Swifts W 3-0 1776 1662 63.19% 23.04% 13.77% +7.4 26
1897-03-06 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-3 1662 1776 13.77% 23.04% 63.19% -7.4 19
1897-03-06 Lincoln City W 3-0 1678 1583 61.51% 23.37% 15.12% +8.1 16
1897-03-06 @ Loughborough United L 0-3 1583 1678 15.12% 23.37% 61.51% -8.1 6
1897-03-06 Walsall W 2-0 1775 1636 65.17% 22.59% 12.23% +4.6 29
1897-03-06 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1636 1775 12.23% 22.59% 65.17% -4.6 17
1897-03-13 Newcastle United W 4-1 1744 1779 47.67% 24.68% 27.65% +11.5 23
1897-03-13 @ Blackpool L 1-4 1779 1744 27.65% 24.68% 47.67% -11.5 29
1897-03-13 Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1655 1723 43.45% 24.75% 31.80% -6.6 19
1897-03-13 @ Burton Swifts W 2-1 1723 1655 31.80% 24.75% 43.45% +6.7 23
1897-03-13 Newton Heath L 0-2 1775 1796 49.40% 24.61% 25.99% -14.8 24
1897-03-13 @ Darwen W 2-0 1796 1775 25.99% 24.61% 49.40% +14.8 31
1897-03-13 Walsall L 0-1 1865 1631 71.75% 20.50% 7.75% -11.1 34
1897-03-13 @ Grimsby Town W 1-0 1631 1865 7.75% 20.50% 71.75% +11.1 19
1897-03-13 Small Heath Birmingham L 1-3 1575 1775 26.13% 23.95% 49.91% -7.7 6
1897-03-13 @ Lincoln City W 3-1 1775 1575 49.91% 23.95% 26.13% +7.7 24
1897-03-13 Leicester Fosse W 4-0 1786 1784 52.26% 24.46% 23.29% +15.5 28
1897-03-13 @ Manchester City L 0-4 1784 1786 23.29% 24.46% 52.26% -15.5 26
1897-03-13 Burton Wanderers W 5-0 1879 1672 70.02% 21.15% 8.83% +7.7 38
1897-03-13 @ Notts County L 0-5 1672 1879 8.83% 21.15% 70.02% -7.7 15
1897-03-17 Manchester City W 2-0 1686 1802 36.81% 24.66% 38.53% +12.1 18
1897-03-17 @ Loughborough United L 0-2 1802 1686 38.53% 24.66% 36.81% -12.1 28
1897-03-20 Loughborough United W 3-0 1783 1698 60.65% 23.52% 15.84% +8.5 26
1897-03-20 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-3 1698 1783 15.84% 23.52% 60.65% -8.5 18
1897-03-20 Newton Heath L 1-2 1665 1811 32.70% 24.48% 42.82% -5.3 15
1897-03-20 @ Burton Wanderers W 2-1 1811 1665 42.82% 24.48% 32.70% +5.3 33
1897-03-20 Grimsby Town W 3-1 1760 1854 39.84% 24.73% 35.43% +9.8 26
1897-03-20 @ Darwen L 1-3 1854 1760 35.43% 24.73% 39.84% -9.8 34
1897-03-20 Burton Swifts D 1-1 1567 1648 41.74% 24.75% 33.51% -0.3 7
1897-03-20 @ Lincoln City D 1-1 1648 1567 33.51% 24.75% 41.74% +0.3 20
1897-03-20 Gainsborough Trinity L 1-2 1768 1726 56.52% 24.08% 19.39% -8.4 29
1897-03-20 @ Newcastle United W 2-1 1726 1768 19.39% 24.08% 56.52% +8.4 25
1897-03-20 Blackpool W 3-1 1887 1755 64.63% 22.73% 12.65% +4.1 40
1897-03-20 @ Notts County L 1-3 1755 1887 12.65% 22.73% 64.63% -4.1 23
1897-03-20 Leicester Fosse D 1-1 1642 1768 35.46% 24.61% 39.93% +0.1 20
1897-03-20 @ Walsall D 1-1 1768 1642 39.93% 24.61% 35.46% -0.1 27
1897-03-22 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1816 1730 60.81% 23.49% 15.70% -1.7 34
1897-03-22 @ Newton Heath D 1-1 1730 1816 15.70% 23.49% 60.81% +1.7 24
1897-03-27 Loughborough United W 4-1 1751 1689 58.47% 23.84% 17.68% +7.9 25
1897-03-27 @ Blackpool L 1-4 1689 1751 17.68% 23.84% 58.47% -7.9 18
1897-03-27 Lincoln City W 7-0 1734 1567 67.30% 22.03% 10.68% +12.9 27
1897-03-27 @ Gainsborough Trinity L 0-7 1567 1734 10.68% 22.03% 67.30% -12.9 7
1897-03-27 Small Heath Birmingham L 0-1 1768 1791 49.24% 24.62% 26.14% -7.9 27
1897-03-27 @ Leicester Fosse W 1-0 1791 1768 26.14% 24.62% 49.24% +7.8 28
1897-03-27 Notts County D 1-1 1815 1891 42.37% 24.75% 32.88% -0.3 35
1897-03-27 @ Newton Heath D 1-1 1891 1815 32.88% 24.75% 42.37% +0.3 41
1897-03-27 Burton Swifts W 2-1 1759 1648 62.92% 23.10% 13.98% +2.6 31
1897-03-27 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1648 1759 13.98% 23.10% 62.92% -2.6 20
1897-03-29 Small Heath Birmingham L 2-3 1731 1799 43.54% 24.75% 31.71% -6.3 24
1897-03-29 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 3-2 1799 1731 31.71% 24.75% 43.54% +6.3 30
1897-03-29 Blackpool W 3-1 1659 1759 39.17% 24.71% 36.12% +10.0 17
1897-03-29 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-3 1759 1659 36.12% 24.71% 39.17% -10.0 25
1897-03-31 Notts County D 1-1 1554 1891 14.08% 21.53% 64.39% +1.9 8
1897-03-31 @ Lincoln City D 1-1 1891 1554 64.39% 21.53% 14.08% -1.9 42
1897-04-01 Newton Heath L 1-3 1556 1814 20.19% 23.09% 56.72% -6.2 8
1897-04-01 @ Lincoln City W 3-1 1814 1556 56.72% 23.09% 20.19% +6.1 37
1897-04-03 Newton Heath L 0-2 1725 1821 39.73% 24.72% 35.55% -12.4 24
1897-04-03 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 2-0 1821 1725 35.55% 24.72% 39.73% +12.4 39
1897-04-03 Lincoln City W 2-0 1669 1550 63.63% 22.95% 13.42% +5.0 19
1897-04-03 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-2 1550 1669 13.42% 22.95% 63.63% -5.0 8
1897-04-03 Blackpool W 2-0 1747 1749 51.73% 24.49% 23.78% +8.3 29
1897-04-03 @ Gainsborough Trinity L 0-2 1749 1747 23.78% 24.49% 51.73% -8.3 25
1897-04-03 Burton Swifts W 3-0 1845 1646 69.49% 21.34% 9.18% +5.0 36
1897-04-03 @ Grimsby Town L 0-3 1646 1845 9.18% 21.34% 69.49% -5.0 20
1897-04-03 Small Heath Birmingham L 1-2 1889 1805 60.58% 23.53% 15.89% -9.0 42
1897-04-03 @ Notts County W 2-1 1805 1889 15.89% 23.53% 60.58% +9.0 32
1897-04-03 Newcastle United L 0-2 1643 1762 36.36% 24.64% 39.00% -11.6 20
1897-04-03 @ Walsall W 2-0 1762 1643 39.00% 24.64% 36.36% +11.6 33
1897-04-08 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-1 1850 1713 65.02% 22.63% 12.35% +4.0 38
1897-04-08 @ Grimsby Town L 1-3 1713 1850 12.35% 22.63% 65.02% -4.0 24
1897-04-10 Notts County W 3-1 1814 1881 43.72% 24.75% 31.53% +9.0 34
1897-04-10 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 1-3 1881 1814 31.53% 24.75% 43.72% -9.0 42
1897-04-10 Gainsborough Trinity W 3-2 1770 1755 53.56% 24.36% 22.08% +3.7 28
1897-04-10 @ Darwen L 2-3 1755 1770 22.08% 24.36% 53.56% -3.7 29
1897-04-10 Leicester Fosse W 2-1 1545 1760 24.44% 23.75% 51.81% +7.7 10
1897-04-10 @ Lincoln City L 1-2 1760 1545 51.81% 23.75% 24.44% -7.7 27
1897-04-10 Newton Heath W 2-0 1681 1833 32.03% 24.44% 43.53% +13.3 20
1897-04-10 @ Loughborough United L 0-2 1833 1681 43.53% 24.44% 32.03% -13.3 39
1897-04-10 Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1774 1674 61.92% 23.29% 14.79% +8.0 35
1897-04-10 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1674 1774 14.79% 23.29% 61.92% -8.0 19
1897-04-10 Blackpool D 2-2 1631 1741 37.75% 24.68% 37.57% +0.0 21
1897-04-10 @ Walsall D 2-2 1741 1631 37.57% 24.68% 37.75% +0.0 26
1897-04-12 Newcastle United W 3-0 1641 1782 33.46% 24.52% 42.02% +18.8 22
1897-04-12 @ Burton Swifts L 0-3 1782 1641 42.02% 24.52% 33.46% -18.8 35
1897-04-12 Manchester City D 3-3 1753 1790 47.48% 24.68% 27.83% -0.4 28
1897-04-12 @ Leicester Fosse D 3-3 1790 1753 27.83% 24.68% 47.48% +0.4 29
1897-04-16 Newcastle United W 5-1 1709 1763 45.33% 24.73% 29.95% +15.8 26
1897-04-16 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-5 1763 1709 29.95% 24.73% 45.33% -15.8 35
1897-04-16 Leicester Fosse D 2-2 1823 1752 59.37% 23.72% 16.91% -1.2 35
1897-04-16 @ Small Heath Birmingham D 2-2 1752 1823 16.91% 23.72% 59.37% +1.2 29
1897-04-16 Darwen W 1-0 1741 1773 48.05% 24.66% 27.28% +4.9 28
1897-04-16 @ Blackpool L 0-1 1773 1741 27.28% 24.66% 48.05% -4.9 28
1897-04-16 Burton Wanderers D 1-1 1660 1666 51.17% 24.52% 24.30% -0.9 23
1897-04-16 @ Burton Swifts D 1-1 1666 1660 24.30% 24.52% 51.17% +0.9 20
1897-04-16 Walsall W 2-1 1552 1631 42.07% 24.75% 33.18% +5.4 12
1897-04-16 @ Lincoln City L 1-2 1631 1552 33.18% 24.75% 42.07% -5.4 21
1897-04-16 Loughborough United D 1-1 1790 1695 61.59% 23.35% 15.05% -1.7 30
1897-04-16 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1695 1790 15.05% 23.35% 61.59% +1.7 21
1897-04-17 Leicester Fosse W 2-1 1724 1753 48.51% 24.65% 26.84% +4.6 28
1897-04-17 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1753 1724 26.84% 24.65% 48.51% -4.6 29
1897-04-17 Gainsborough Trinity W 4-0 1659 1752 40.09% 24.73% 35.18% +21.4 25
1897-04-17 @ Burton Swifts L 0-4 1752 1659 35.18% 24.73% 40.09% -21.4 29
1897-04-17 Burton Wanderers W 6-0 1696 1667 55.18% 24.22% 20.60% +20.4 23
1897-04-17 @ Loughborough United L 0-6 1667 1696 20.60% 24.22% 55.18% -20.4 20
1897-04-17 Lincoln City W 5-0 1626 1558 59.05% 23.76% 17.18% +14.7 23
1897-04-17 @ Walsall L 0-5 1558 1626 17.18% 23.76% 59.05% -14.7 12
1897-04-19 Darwen W 1-0 1729 1768 47.22% 24.69% 28.09% +5.0 30
1897-04-19 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-1 1768 1729 28.09% 24.69% 47.22% -5.0 28
1897-04-19 Manchester City W 3-1 1822 1789 55.65% 24.18% 20.18% +6.3 37
1897-04-19 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 1-3 1789 1822 20.18% 24.18% 55.65% -6.3 30
1897-04-19 Burton Swifts W 3-0 1746 1680 58.84% 23.79% 17.37% +9.2 30
1897-04-19 @ Blackpool L 0-3 1680 1746 17.37% 23.79% 58.84% -9.2 25
1897-04-19 Loughborough United L 0-1 1647 1717 43.22% 24.75% 32.03% -7.0 20
1897-04-19 @ Burton Wanderers W 1-0 1717 1647 32.03% 24.75% 43.22% +7.0 25
1897-04-19 Gainsborough Trinity D 0-0 1749 1730 54.05% 24.32% 21.63% -1.3 30
1897-04-19 @ Leicester Fosse D 0-0 1730 1749 21.63% 24.32% 54.05% +1.3 30
1897-04-21 Darwen W 4-0 1640 1763 35.86% 24.62% 39.51% +23.4 25
1897-04-21 @ Walsall L 0-4 1763 1640 39.51% 24.62% 35.86% -23.4 28
1897-04-24 Gainsborough Trinity D 1-1 1755 1731 54.55% 24.28% 21.17% -1.2 31
1897-04-24 @ Blackpool D 1-1 1731 1755 21.17% 24.28% 54.55% +1.2 31
1897-04-28 Manchester City L 1-2 1734 1782 46.09% 24.72% 29.20% -7.0 30
1897-04-28 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 2-1 1782 1734 29.20% 24.72% 46.09% +7.0 32

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1897-03-13 7.75% Walsall 1631 1 @ Grimsby Town 1865 0
2 1896-10-03 15.24% Burton Swifts 1662 2 @ Small Heath Birmingham 1755 1
3 1897-04-03 15.89% Small Heath Birmingham 1805 2 @ Notts County 1889 1
4 1896-09-19 17.14% Lincoln City 1695 2 @ Small Heath Birmingham 1763 1
5 1896-10-03 17.27% Loughborough United 1626 2 @ Lincoln City 1692 0
6 1896-10-17 17.62% Newcastle United 1761 2 @ Manchester City 1824 1
7 1897-03-06 17.71% Blackpool 1729 3 @ Small Heath Birmingham 1790 1
8 1897-03-20 19.39% Gainsborough Trinity 1726 2 @ Newcastle United 1768 1
9 1896-09-14 19.78% Woolwich Arsenal 1744 3 @ Burton Wanderers 1782 0
10 1896-09-12 21.68% Burton Swifts 1640 2 @ Loughborough United 1658 0
11 1896-09-12 22.04% Notts County 1754 3 @ Leicester Fosse 1768 2
12 1896-09-12 22.82% Blackpool 1727 3 @ Darwen 1734 2
13 1896-09-26 23.03% Notts County 1768 3 @ Woolwich Arsenal 1773 2
14 1897-01-02 23.65% Small Heath Birmingham 1744 3 @ Gainsborough Trinity 1743 1
15 1896-12-25 23.79% Darwen 1736 4 @ Gainsborough Trinity 1734 2
16 1896-10-31 23.83% Notts County 1811 4 @ Manchester City 1809 1
17 1897-04-10 24.44% @ Lincoln City 1545 2 Leicester Fosse 1760 1
18 1896-10-05 25.49% Walsall 1688 3 @ Burton Swifts 1671 1
19 1897-03-13 25.99% Newton Heath 1796 2 @ Darwen 1775 0
20 1897-03-27 26.14% Small Heath Birmingham 1791 1 @ Leicester Fosse 1768 0
21 1897-01-23 26.29% Small Heath Birmingham 1757 3 @ Blackpool 1733 1
22 1896-10-24 27.03% Small Heath Birmingham 1746 6 @ Walsall 1715 1
23 1896-10-03 28.24% Notts County 1764 3 @ Burton Wanderers 1724 0
24 1896-12-12 28.70% @ Loughborough United 1603 8 Woolwich Arsenal 1781 0
25 1897-01-16 29.05% @ Lincoln City 1614 1 Darwen 1790 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1896-12-12 51.77 @ Loughborough United 8 1603 28.70% Woolwich Arsenal 0 1781 47.10% 24.20%
2 1896-12-26 35.28 @ Darwen 12 1748 58.11% Walsall 0 1690 17.99% 23.89%
3 1896-12-26 30.22 @ Burton Swifts 5 1659 33.45% Manchester City 0 1800 42.03% 24.52%
4 1896-10-24 28.20 Small Heath Birmingham 6 1746 27.03% @ Walsall 1 1715 48.32% 24.65%
5 1896-09-14 24.20 Woolwich Arsenal 3 1744 19.78% @ Burton Wanderers 0 1782 56.09% 24.13%
6 1897-04-21 23.38 @ Walsall 4 1640 35.86% Darwen 0 1763 39.51% 24.62%
7 1896-10-17 21.69 @ Notts County 6 1784 53.52% Leicester Fosse 0 1770 22.12% 24.36%
8 1897-04-17 21.43 @ Burton Swifts 4 1659 40.09% Gainsborough Trinity 0 1752 35.18% 24.73%
9 1897-01-09 21.17 @ Leicester Fosse 5 1760 48.90% Newcastle United 0 1786 26.47% 24.63%
10 1896-09-19 20.99 @ Blackpool 5 1735 49.19% Burton Wanderers 0 1758 26.19% 24.62%
11 1896-10-03 20.68 Notts County 3 1764 28.24% @ Burton Wanderers 0 1724 47.07% 24.69%
12 1897-04-17 20.43 @ Loughborough United 6 1696 55.18% Burton Wanderers 0 1667 20.60% 24.22%
13 1896-10-31 18.93 Notts County 4 1811 23.83% @ Manchester City 1 1809 51.68% 24.49%
14 1897-04-12 18.77 @ Burton Swifts 3 1641 33.46% Newcastle United 0 1782 42.02% 24.52%
15 1897-02-20 18.43 @ Loughborough United 3 1659 34.36% Newcastle United 0 1793 41.08% 24.56%
16 1896-10-03 17.46 Loughborough United 2 1626 17.27% @ Lincoln City 0 1692 58.96% 23.78%
17 1896-09-12 17.44 @ Burton Wanderers 5 1765 41.15% Grimsby Town 1 1850 34.11% 24.74%
18 1897-02-13 17.42 Small Heath Birmingham 6 1770 33.10% @ Burton Wanderers 2 1692 42.15% 24.75%
19 1896-10-10 17.26 @ Newcastle United 3 1744 37.65% Grimsby Town 0 1854 37.67% 24.68%
20 1897-02-06 16.21 @ Newton Heath 6 1769 60.64% Loughborough United 0 1684 15.84% 23.52%
21 1896-09-12 16.09 Burton Swifts 2 1640 21.68% @ Loughborough United 0 1658 54.00% 24.33%
22 1897-04-16 15.78 @ Woolwich Arsenal 5 1709 45.33% Newcastle United 1 1763 29.95% 24.73%
23 1897-02-27 15.72 @ Blackpool 3 1713 41.98% Leicester Fosse 0 1792 33.27% 24.75%
24 1897-03-13 15.47 @ Manchester City 4 1786 52.26% Leicester Fosse 0 1784 23.29% 24.46%
25 1897-03-06 15.00 Blackpool 3 1729 17.71% @ Small Heath Birmingham 1 1790 58.45% 23.85%