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1895-96 Football League Second Division Season

240 games

Final

Promoted

Liverpool

via playoff

Relegated

Port Vale

withdrew

Rotherham Town · via dissolution

Crewe Alexandra · withdrew

Biggest Overachiever

Manchester City

11.45 points above expected

46 points · 34.55 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Crewe Alexandra

7.98 points below expected

13 points · 20.98 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Liverpool Promoted 30 22 2 6 46 106 32 +74 38.64 +7.36
2 Manchester City 30 21 4 5 46 63 38 +25 34.55 +11.45
3 Grimsby Town 30 20 2 8 42 82 38 +44 35.46 +6.54
4 Burton Wanderers 30 19 4 7 42 69 40 +29 35.90 +6.10
5 Newcastle United 30 16 2 12 34 73 50 +23 31.16 +2.84
6 Newton Heath 30 15 3 12 33 66 57 +9 33.88 -0.88
7 Woolwich Arsenal 30 14 4 12 32 59 42 +17 31.61 +0.39
8 Leicester Fosse 30 14 4 12 32 57 44 +13 33.01 -1.01
9 Darwen 30 12 6 12 30 72 67 +5 30.27 -0.27
10 Notts County 30 12 2 16 26 57 54 +3 30.37 -4.37
11 Burton Swifts 30 10 4 16 24 39 69 -30 27.54 -3.54
12 Loughborough United 30 9 5 16 23 40 67 -27 25.12 -2.12
13 Lincoln City 30 9 4 17 22 53 75 -22 24.73 -2.73
14 Port Vale Withdrew 30 7 4 19 18 43 78 -35 23.98 -5.98
15 Rotherham Town Dissolved 30 7 3 20 17 34 97 -63 22.80 -5.80
16 Crewe Alexandra Withdrew 30 5 3 22 13 30 95 -65 20.98 -7.98

Notes

  • Port Vale and Crewe Alexandra both resigned from the league at the end of the season.
  • Rotherham Town resigned from the league and folded.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Liverpool 2068 46 38.64 +7.36 97.9% 24 32 36 39 41 45 54
Grimsby Town 1935 42 35.46 +6.54 96.8% 20 29 33 35 38 42 50
Manchester City 1877 46 34.55 +11.45 99.9% 19 28 32 35 37 41 50
Burton Wanderers 1802 42 35.90 +6.10 95.4% 19 29 33 36 39 42 53
Leicester Fosse 1768 32 33.01 -1.01 44.9% 19 26 30 33 36 39 48
Newcastle United 1762 34 31.16 +2.84 79.6% 17 25 28 31 34 38 47
Notts County 1747 26 30.37 -4.37 16.4% 13 24 28 30 33 37 46
Woolwich Arsenal 1737 32 31.61 +0.39 59.1% 15 25 29 32 34 38 46
Darwen 1736 30 30.27 -0.27 52.6% 15 24 28 30 33 37 47
Newton Heath 1733 33 33.88 -0.88 46.1% 19 27 31 34 37 40 49
Lincoln City 1629 22 24.73 -2.73 28.7% 10 18 22 25 27 31 41
Loughborough United 1595 23 25.12 -2.12 34.8% 11 19 22 25 28 32 40
Port Vale 1554 18 23.98 -5.98 8.1% 10 18 21 24 27 31 42
Burton Swifts 1540 24 27.54 -3.54 22.0% 13 21 25 28 30 34 42
Rotherham Town 1511 17 22.80 -5.80 8.8% 8 16 20 23 25 29 38
Crewe Alexandra 1450 13 20.98 -7.98 2.5% 7 15 18 21 24 27 36

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BS BW CA DAR GT LF LC LIV LU MC NU NH NC PV RT WA
Burton Swifts —
0-0-2
2.32
1-1-0
3.45
0-0-2
2.44
1-0-1
2.25
0-0-2
2.18
2-0-0
3.31
0-0-2
1.23
0-1-1
3.21
0-1-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.26
0-1-1
2.78
1-0-1
3.16
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
2.66
Burton Wanderers
2-0-0
3.35
 —
2-0-0
3.75
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-1
2.72
1-1-0
3.01
2-0-0
4.17
1-0-1
2.03
1-1-0
3.91
1-1-0
3.06
0-0-2
3.87
2-0-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.22
1-1-0
4.13
2-0-0
4.16
1-0-1
3.29
Crewe Alexandra
0-1-1
2.22
0-0-2
1.93
 —
1-0-1
1.85
0-0-2
1.16
0-1-1
1.60
0-1-1
2.56
0-0-2
0.79
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
1.90
1-0-1
1.96
0-0-2
1.91
1-0-1
1.58
1-0-1
2.54
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
1.97
Darwen
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
1.90
1-0-1
3.82
 —
0-1-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.75
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.18
0-1-1
3.63
0-0-2
2.71
0-1-1
2.81
1-0-1
2.22
1-0-1
2.64
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.43
1-1-0
2.59
Grimsby Town
1-0-1
3.41
1-0-1
2.94
2-0-0
4.52
1-1-0
3.13
 —
2-0-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.35
1-0-1
2.51
2-0-0
3.87
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.13
1-0-1
3.11
2-0-0
3.57
1-0-1
4.59
0-1-1
3.09
Leicester Fosse
2-0-0
3.48
0-1-1
2.65
1-1-0
4.07
0-0-2
2.91
0-0-2
2.28
 —
1-0-1
3.65
1-0-1
2.34
2-0-0
3.07
0-0-2
2.76
1-0-1
2.92
1-0-1
2.70
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.82
1-0-1
4.07
1-1-0
3.03
Lincoln City
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
1.50
1-1-0
3.10
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
2.31
1-0-1
2.02
 —
0-0-2
1.22
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.66
1-0-1
2.08
1-1-0
2.15
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-1
2.52
Liverpool
2-0-0
4.46
1-0-1
3.63
2-0-0
4.89
1-1-0
3.49
1-0-1
3.15
1-0-1
3.33
2-0-0
4.47
 —
2-0-0
3.49
1-1-0
3.62
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
3.07
2-0-0
2.97
1-0-1
3.83
2-0-0
4.51
2-0-0
3.32
Loughborough United
1-1-0
2.45
0-1-1
1.77
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
2.03
0-0-2
1.80
0-0-2
2.58
1-0-1
3.27
0-0-2
2.18
 —
0-0-2
1.28
1-0-1
2.06
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.47
1-1-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
1.82
Manchester City
1-1-0
3.45
0-1-1
2.61
2-0-0
3.78
2-0-0
2.95
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
2.90
2-0-0
4.00
0-1-1
2.04
2-0-0
4.41
 —
1-0-1
3.26
1-1-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.69
2-0-0
4.16
2-0-0
3.63
2-0-0
2.81
Newcastle United
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
1.79
1-0-1
3.71
1-1-0
2.85
0-0-2
2.37
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
3.58
1-0-1
2.37
1-0-1
3.60
1-0-1
2.40
 —
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.60
1-0-1
3.99
1-1-0
3.46
1-0-1
2.77
Newton Heath
1-0-1
3.40
0-0-2
2.72
2-0-0
3.75
1-0-1
3.43
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
3.51
1-0-1
2.59
1-1-0
3.30
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
3.05
 —
2-0-0
3.31
1-0-1
3.87
2-0-0
3.92
1-0-1
3.06
Notts County
1-1-0
2.88
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
4.09
1-0-1
3.02
1-0-1
2.56
0-0-2
2.46
2-0-0
3.25
0-0-2
2.69
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
1.98
0-0-2
3.05
0-0-2
2.35
 —
2-0-0
3.00
0-1-1
3.23
0-0-2
2.83
Port Vale
1-0-1
2.50
0-1-1
1.53
1-0-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.10
0-1-1
1.85
0-0-2
2.61
1-0-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.52
1-0-1
1.68
1-0-1
1.79
0-0-2
2.66
 —
2-0-0
2.91
0-0-2
2.26
Rotherham Town
0-0-2
2.69
0-0-2
1.52
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.24
1-0-1
1.09
1-0-1
1.60
0-1-1
2.46
0-0-2
1.18
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
2.04
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
1.75
1-1-0
2.43
0-0-2
2.76
 —
1-0-1
2.02
Woolwich Arsenal
1-0-1
3.00
1-0-1
2.38
2-0-0
3.70
0-1-1
3.07
1-1-0
2.57
0-1-1
2.63
1-1-0
3.14
0-0-2
2.35
1-0-1
3.85
0-0-2
2.85
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
2.83
2-0-0
3.40
1-0-1
3.64
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +4.5
Allowed 0.86 -4.7
Differential 0.88 +2.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.67%4.38%5.21%4.58%3.12%4.38%23.33%
14.38%6.25%6.25%2.71%3.75%3.96%27.29%
25.21%6.25%1.67%2.29%1.25%1.67%18.33%
34.58%2.71%2.29%1.25%0.21%0.21%11.25%
43.12%3.75%1.25%0.21%0.42%0.21%8.96%
5+4.38%3.96%1.67%0.21%0.21%0.42%10.83%
Total23.33%27.29%18.33%11.25%8.96%10.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.96 1.96 +0.00
SD 1.85 1.85 3.02
CV 0.94 0.94 —
Max 10 10 +9
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%—16.67%36.67%
1—6.67%13.33%—3.33%3.33%26.67%
23.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
3—6.67%3.33%———10.00%
43.33%6.67%————10.00%
5+———————
Total10.00%33.33%26.67%6.67%3.33%20.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 2.30 -1.00
SD 1.34 1.88 2.84
CV 1.03 0.82 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%——10.00%3.33%—16.67%
13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—20.00%
23.33%20.00%3.33%———26.67%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
46.67%13.33%————20.00%
5+—10.00%————10.00%
Total20.00%53.33%6.67%13.33%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.30 1.33 +0.97
SD 1.76 1.15 2.54
CV 0.77 0.87 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%10.00%—10.00%16.67%46.67%
1—6.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%6.67%30.00%
2——3.33%——3.33%6.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
4———————
5+—3.33%————3.33%
Total3.33%23.33%26.67%3.33%16.67%26.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 3.17 -2.17
SD 1.29 2.12 2.87
CV 1.29 0.67 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%—6.67%6.67%3.33%23.33%
1—6.67%—3.33%10.00%—20.00%
23.33%3.33%—3.33%—3.33%13.33%
310.00%3.33%3.33%6.67%——23.33%
4—3.33%——3.33%—6.67%
5+3.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
Total20.00%23.33%10.00%20.00%20.00%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.40 2.23 +0.17
SD 2.42 1.79 3.36
CV 1.01 0.80 —
Max 10 7 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.33%————3.33%
110.00%3.33%10.00%6.67%——30.00%
26.67%10.00%—3.33%——20.00%
36.67%——3.33%—3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
5+6.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
Total33.33%30.00%20.00%13.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.73 1.27 +1.47
SD 1.80 1.26 2.30
CV 0.66 0.99 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%10.00%———16.67%
13.33%10.00%6.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%36.67%
210.00%10.00%—3.33%——23.33%
33.33%—3.33%———6.67%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+10.00%—————10.00%
Total30.00%30.00%20.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 1.47 +0.43
SD 1.81 1.55 2.79
CV 0.95 1.06 —
Max 8 7 +8
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%6.67%26.67%
16.67%3.33%10.00%—3.33%3.33%26.67%
23.33%—6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+3.33%—3.33%——3.33%10.00%
Total16.67%13.33%26.67%10.00%16.67%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.77 2.50 -0.73
SD 1.72 1.78 2.80
CV 0.97 0.71 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%———13.33%
16.67%3.33%3.33%———13.33%
23.33%————3.33%6.67%
36.67%10.00%3.33%———20.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%——3.33%13.33%
5+10.00%23.33%————33.33%
Total33.33%46.67%13.33%——6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.53 1.07 +2.47
SD 2.53 1.26 2.92
CV 0.72 1.18 —
Max 10 5 +9
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%6.67%33.33%
13.33%10.00%—3.33%6.67%3.33%26.67%
2—10.00%3.33%—6.67%—20.00%
310.00%——3.33%——13.33%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+———————
Total13.33%33.33%13.33%10.00%20.00%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 2.23 -0.90
SD 1.27 1.72 2.54
CV 0.95 0.77 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.33%—3.33%6.67%
113.33%13.33%—3.33%6.67%—36.67%
213.33%13.33%————26.67%
3——6.67%———6.67%
46.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
5+—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
Total33.33%36.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.10 1.27 +0.83
SD 1.42 1.36 2.20
CV 0.68 1.08 —
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—16.67%
110.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%—6.67%33.33%
2—3.33%———3.33%6.67%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%—3.33%—13.33%
5+10.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
Total30.00%23.33%23.33%6.67%6.67%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.43 1.67 +0.77
SD 2.10 1.63 3.06
CV 0.86 0.98 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——3.33%10.00%——13.33%
1—3.33%13.33%—3.33%6.67%26.67%
213.33%6.67%——3.33%—23.33%
36.67%—6.67%3.33%——16.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+6.67%3.33%3.33%——3.33%16.67%
Total30.00%13.33%26.67%13.33%6.67%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.20 1.90 +0.30
SD 1.63 1.81 2.79
CV 0.74 0.95 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%13.33%10.00%——36.67%
1——6.67%—3.33%6.67%16.67%
26.67%——3.33%——10.00%
33.33%6.67%3.33%—3.33%—16.67%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+6.67%—3.33%3.33%——13.33%
Total26.67%16.67%26.67%16.67%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.90 1.80 +0.10
SD 2.04 1.52 2.82
CV 1.07 0.84 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%23.33%
13.33%6.67%13.33%—3.33%6.67%33.33%
26.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%30.00%
33.33%——3.33%——6.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+————3.33%—3.33%
Total16.67%20.00%20.00%10.00%16.67%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 2.60 -1.17
SD 1.22 2.14 2.46
CV 0.85 0.82 —
Max 5 8 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%—10.00%6.67%6.67%13.33%40.00%
16.67%3.33%——3.33%13.33%26.67%
23.33%—3.33%10.00%—3.33%20.00%
36.67%—————6.67%
46.67%—————6.67%
5+———————
Total26.67%3.33%13.33%16.67%10.00%30.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 3.23 -2.10
SD 1.22 2.90 3.51
CV 1.08 0.90 —
Max 4 10 +4
Min 0 0 -9

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%3.33%6.67%——20.00%
13.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%33.33%
26.67%10.00%—3.33%——20.00%
33.33%3.33%————6.67%
43.33%——3.33%——6.67%
5+13.33%—————13.33%
Total30.00%36.67%6.67%20.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.40 +0.57
SD 1.88 1.38 2.80
CV 0.96 0.99 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Manchester City 46 34.55 +11.45
2 Liverpool 46 38.64 +7.36
3 Grimsby Town 42 35.46 +6.54
4 Burton Wanderers 42 35.90 +6.10
5 Newcastle United 34 31.16 +2.84

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Crewe Alexandra 13 20.98 -7.98
2 Port Vale 18 23.98 -5.98
3 Rotherham Town 17 22.80 -5.80
4 Notts County 26 30.37 -4.37
5 Burton Swifts 24 27.54 -3.54

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lincoln City 3 Feb 22 – Mar 7 1 in 202
2 Notts County 3 Apr 3 – Apr 6 1 in 98
3 Liverpool 10 Dec 7 – Feb 29 1 in 89
4 Burton Wanderers 4 Sep 7 – Sep 28 1 in 39
5 Manchester City 7 Jan 4 – Feb 24 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Notts County 5 Oct 26 – Nov 23 1 in 444
2 Lincoln City 6 Sep 21 – Oct 26 1 in 49
3 Burton Wanderers 2 Feb 8 – Feb 22 1 in 39
4 Loughborough United 5 Nov 16 – Dec 25 1 in 29
5 Burton Swifts 4 Mar 21 – Apr 11 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Burton Wanderers 10 Oct 19 – Dec 28 1 in 123
2 Manchester City 7 Sep 28 – Nov 4 1 in 69
3 Woolwich Arsenal 5 Mar 7 – Apr 6 1 in 18
4 Lincoln City 3 Feb 22 – Mar 7 1 in 18
5 Notts County 3 Apr 3 – Apr 6 1 in 13

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Loughborough United 14 Nov 9 – Feb 24 1 in 157
2 Notts County 6 Oct 26 – Nov 30 1 in 130
3 Burton Swifts 6 Dec 26 – Jan 25 1 in 26
4 Port Vale 7 Feb 10 – Mar 21 1 in 26
5 Lincoln City 8 Sep 7 – Oct 26 1 in 23

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Liverpool45.37%20.82%12.36%7.44%5.46%3.44%2.14%1.39%0.73%0.44%0.27%0.11%0.02%0.01%——
Manchester City9.20%13.03%13.81%12.91%12.50%10.71%8.57%6.48%4.93%3.34%2.36%1.09%0.72%0.22%0.10%0.03%
Grimsby Town13.58%18.03%15.97%14.11%10.97%8.74%6.74%4.58%3.09%2.03%1.19%0.47%0.39%0.06%0.05%—
Burton Wanderers16.06%17.89%16.00%13.16%10.41%8.31%6.39%4.62%3.18%2.03%0.98%0.46%0.33%0.11%0.06%0.01%
Newcastle United1.97%4.05%6.06%7.72%8.95%10.27%11.18%11.15%10.74%9.45%6.78%5.36%3.31%1.85%0.88%0.28%
Newton Heath6.10%9.28%11.46%12.00%11.69%11.48%10.31%9.20%6.90%5.29%3.00%1.83%0.79%0.50%0.12%0.05%
Woolwich Arsenal2.04%4.25%6.25%7.72%10.44%11.03%11.66%11.71%10.56%8.89%6.54%4.04%2.78%1.30%0.63%0.16%
Leicester Fosse3.77%7.31%9.17%11.50%11.21%11.87%11.46%10.19%8.04%6.03%4.20%2.42%1.63%0.78%0.35%0.07%
Darwen0.89%2.30%3.53%5.25%6.58%8.67%10.10%11.68%12.81%11.77%9.80%6.86%5.03%2.98%1.28%0.47%
Notts County0.82%2.29%3.79%5.27%6.92%8.37%10.35%11.93%12.90%11.86%9.54%7.27%4.30%2.66%1.37%0.36%
Burton Swifts0.15%0.51%0.98%1.62%2.63%3.54%5.02%6.77%9.42%12.07%15.00%13.97%11.40%8.99%5.52%2.41%
Loughborough United0.02%0.06%0.26%0.52%0.91%1.41%2.06%3.37%5.37%8.00%11.85%14.62%16.04%15.15%12.32%8.04%
Lincoln City0.01%0.11%0.14%0.33%0.68%1.08%1.91%2.91%4.90%7.79%11.17%14.83%15.53%15.61%13.78%9.22%
Port Vale0.02%0.06%0.14%0.27%0.41%0.69%1.29%2.34%3.47%5.84%8.70%11.81%15.43%18.30%18.22%13.01%
Rotherham Town—0.01%0.08%0.15%0.19%0.26%0.65%1.13%2.21%3.76%5.49%9.33%13.70%17.20%22.67%23.17%
Crewe Alexandra———0.03%0.05%0.13%0.17%0.55%0.75%1.41%3.13%5.53%8.60%14.28%22.65%42.72%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+40.83%
Strong Edge
64.58%11.67%23.75%
Elo Value
Home Edge
115 Elo
0.009 goals per Elo point
0150.65300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.45 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.8
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
45%
Liverpool, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.090.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.16 * Some Luck: 3.16 to 4.74 * Lucky: 4.74 to 6.32 * Wild Swing: 6.32 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.81 * Close: 1.81 to 2.71 * Off: 2.71 to 3.61 * Way Off: 3.61 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.08 * A Surprise: 1.08 to 1.72 * Several Surprises: 1.72 to 2.37 * Many Surprises: 2.37 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.32 points
Lucky
03.9510
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.75
Pinpoint
02.265
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.89%
Manchester City
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
2.51%
Crewe Alexandra
050
Season Outliers
Expected
5 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
0 of 3
As Expected
01.13

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.89
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
75%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
97%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
38%
Some Drama
0%38%100%
Blowouts
Expected
43%
Very Frequent
0%41%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.46
Highly Predictable
00.472
Matchup Imbalance
0.61
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.82
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.70
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.08 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.08 to 0.12 * Above Noise: 0.12 to 0.16 * Well Above Noise: 0.16 and up.
Probability calibration
0.02
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.13
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.092
Near Noise Ceiling
00.0820.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Liverpool 100% — —
Newton Heath 100% — —
Grimsby Town 31.61% 68.28% 0.11%
Burton Wanderers 33.95% 65.87% 0.18%
Manchester City 22.23% 77.42% 0.35%
Leicester Fosse 11.08% 87.72% 1.20%
Woolwich Arsenal 6.29% 91.62% 2.09%
Newcastle United 6.02% 90.97% 3.01%
Notts County 3.11% 92.50% 4.39%
Darwen 3.19% 92.08% 4.73%
Burton Swifts 0.66% 82.42% 16.92%
Loughborough United 0.08% 64.41% 35.51%
Lincoln City 0.12% 61.27% 38.61%
Port Vale 0.08% 50.39% 49.53%
Rotherham Town 0.01% 36.95% 63.04%
Crewe Alexandra — 20.35% 79.65%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1895-09-02 Grimsby Town W 3-1 1731 1746 68.39% 17.04% 14.57% +8.6 2
1895-09-02 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-3 1746 1731 14.57% 17.04% 68.39% -8.6 0
1895-09-07 Manchester City L 0-1 1740 1725 70.50% 16.95% 12.55% -21.7 2
1895-09-07 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 1-0 1725 1740 12.55% 16.95% 70.50% +21.7 2
1895-09-07 Darwen W 3-0 1751 1743 69.98% 16.98% 13.04% +13.0 2
1895-09-07 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-3 1743 1751 13.04% 16.98% 69.98% -13.0 0
1895-09-07 Lincoln City W 4-2 1737 1651 74.60% 16.70% 8.70% +4.7 2
1895-09-07 @ Grimsby Town L 2-4 1651 1737 8.70% 16.70% 74.60% -4.7 0
1895-09-07 Burton Swifts W 2-1 1769 1677 74.92% 16.68% 8.40% +2.9 2
1895-09-07 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1677 1769 8.40% 16.68% 74.92% -2.9 0
1895-09-07 Crewe Alexandra W 5-0 1754 1602 77.50% 16.40% 6.10% +10.1 2
1895-09-07 @ Newton Heath L 0-5 1602 1754 6.10% 16.40% 77.50% -10.1 0
1895-09-07 Loughborough United W 3-0 1698 1694 69.77% 16.98% 13.25% +13.2 2
1895-09-07 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1694 1698 13.25% 16.98% 69.77% -13.2 0
1895-09-07 Liverpool L 2-3 1769 1776 68.95% 17.02% 14.03% -18.9 0
1895-09-07 @ Notts County W 3-2 1776 1769 14.03% 17.02% 68.95% +18.9 2
1895-09-07 Port Vale L 0-2 1680 1679 69.52% 16.99% 13.49% -40.2 0
1895-09-07 @ Rotherham Town W 2-0 1679 1680 13.49% 16.99% 69.52% +40.2 2
1895-09-09 Rotherham Town W 2-0 1746 1640 75.59% 16.62% 7.79% +5.5 4
1895-09-09 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1640 1746 7.79% 16.62% 75.59% -5.5 0
1895-09-14 Rotherham Town W 2-0 1674 1634 72.07% 16.87% 11.05% +7.7 2
1895-09-14 @ Burton Swifts L 0-2 1634 1674 11.05% 16.87% 72.07% -7.7 0
1895-09-14 Burton Wanderers L 0-1 1592 1764 52.65% 17.23% 30.12% -16.2 0
1895-09-14 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-0 1764 1592 30.12% 17.23% 52.65% +16.2 4
1895-09-14 Grimsby Town D 3-3 1730 1742 68.63% 17.03% 14.34% -2.5 1
1895-09-14 @ Darwen D 3-3 1742 1730 14.34% 17.03% 68.63% +2.5 3
1895-09-14 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1647 1718 63.66% 17.15% 19.19% -3.3 1
1895-09-14 @ Lincoln City D 1-1 1718 1647 19.19% 17.15% 63.66% +3.3 3
1895-09-14 Newcastle United W 5-1 1795 1711 74.49% 16.71% 8.80% +9.7 4
1895-09-14 @ Liverpool L 1-5 1711 1795 8.80% 16.71% 74.49% -9.7 2
1895-09-14 Newton Heath D 3-3 1681 1764 62.47% 17.17% 20.36% -1.9 1
1895-09-14 @ Loughborough United D 3-3 1764 1681 20.36% 17.17% 62.47% +1.9 3
1895-09-14 Leicester Fosse W 2-0 1752 1772 67.96% 17.05% 14.99% +10.2 6
1895-09-14 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1772 1752 14.99% 17.05% 67.96% -10.2 2
1895-09-14 Notts County L 0-4 1720 1750 67.21% 17.07% 15.72% -73.7 2
1895-09-14 @ Port Vale W 4-0 1750 1720 15.72% 17.07% 67.21% +73.7 2
1895-09-21 Lincoln City W 4-0 1721 1643 74.20% 16.74% 9.07% +12.0 5
1895-09-21 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-4 1643 1721 9.07% 16.74% 74.20% -12.0 1
1895-09-21 Port Vale W 2-1 1780 1646 76.76% 16.49% 6.75% +2.4 6
1895-09-21 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1646 1780 6.75% 16.49% 76.76% -2.4 2
1895-09-21 Leicester Fosse W 4-1 1728 1762 66.87% 17.08% 16.05% +13.2 3
1895-09-21 @ Darwen L 1-4 1762 1728 16.05% 17.08% 66.87% -13.3 2
1895-09-21 Manchester City W 5-0 1745 1762 68.20% 17.04% 14.76% +23.4 5
1895-09-21 @ Grimsby Town L 0-5 1762 1745 14.76% 17.04% 68.20% -23.4 6
1895-09-21 Liverpool L 2-4 1679 1805 58.11% 17.22% 24.67% -26.0 1
1895-09-21 @ Loughborough United W 4-2 1805 1679 24.67% 17.22% 58.11% +26.0 6
1895-09-21 Burton Swifts W 5-0 1766 1682 74.54% 16.71% 8.75% +14.3 5
1895-09-21 @ Newton Heath L 0-5 1682 1766 8.75% 16.71% 74.54% -14.3 2
1895-09-21 Notts County W 5-1 1701 1823 58.54% 17.21% 24.25% +24.8 4
1895-09-21 @ Newcastle United L 1-5 1823 1701 24.25% 17.21% 58.54% -24.8 2
1895-09-21 Crewe Alexandra W 4-0 1627 1575 72.75% 16.83% 10.42% +13.7 2
1895-09-21 @ Rotherham Town L 0-4 1575 1627 10.42% 16.83% 72.75% -13.7 0
1895-09-23 Burton Swifts L 1-4 1640 1667 67.45% 17.07% 15.48% -47.7 2
1895-09-23 @ Rotherham Town W 4-1 1667 1640 15.48% 17.07% 67.45% +47.7 4
1895-09-28 Loughborough United L 1-2 1715 1653 73.37% 16.79% 9.83% -21.3 4
1895-09-28 @ Burton Swifts W 2-1 1653 1715 9.83% 16.79% 73.37% +21.3 3
1895-09-28 Newton Heath L 0-2 1562 1781 46.50% 17.21% 36.29% -27.3 0
1895-09-28 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1781 1562 36.29% 17.21% 46.50% +27.3 7
1895-09-28 Burton Wanderers L 1-3 1749 1782 66.96% 17.08% 15.96% -33.5 2
1895-09-28 @ Leicester Fosse W 3-1 1782 1749 15.96% 17.08% 66.96% +33.5 8
1895-09-28 Grimsby Town L 2-5 1631 1768 56.90% 17.22% 25.87% -34.9 1
1895-09-28 @ Lincoln City W 5-2 1768 1631 25.87% 17.22% 56.90% +34.9 7
1895-09-28 Port Vale W 5-1 1830 1643 78.70% 16.22% 5.08% +5.7 8
1895-09-28 @ Liverpool L 1-5 1643 1830 5.08% 16.22% 78.70% -5.7 2
1895-09-28 Woolwich Arsenal W 1-0 1739 1733 69.84% 16.98% 13.18% +4.8 8
1895-09-28 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1733 1739 13.18% 16.98% 69.84% -4.8 5
1895-09-28 Darwen W 4-1 1799 1741 73.10% 16.81% 10.09% +8.6 4
1895-09-28 @ Notts County L 1-4 1741 1799 10.09% 16.81% 73.10% -8.6 3
1895-09-28 Newcastle United D 1-1 1593 1726 57.25% 17.22% 25.53% -2.3 3
1895-09-28 @ Rotherham Town D 1-1 1726 1593 25.53% 17.22% 57.25% +2.3 5
1895-09-30 Lincoln City W 4-0 1694 1597 75.15% 16.66% 8.20% +10.9 6
1895-09-30 @ Burton Swifts L 0-4 1597 1694 8.20% 16.66% 75.15% -10.9 1
1895-09-30 Burton Wanderers W 4-1 1836 1816 70.86% 16.94% 12.20% +10.3 10
1895-09-30 @ Liverpool L 1-4 1816 1836 12.20% 16.94% 70.86% -10.3 8
1895-10-03 Grimsby Town W 5-3 1807 1803 69.77% 16.98% 13.24% +6.6 6
1895-10-03 @ Notts County L 3-5 1803 1807 13.24% 16.98% 69.77% -6.6 7
1895-10-05 Rotherham Town W 5-0 1729 1590 76.94% 16.47% 6.59% +10.9 7
1895-10-05 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-5 1590 1729 6.59% 16.47% 76.94% -10.9 3
1895-10-05 Grimsby Town W 2-1 1805 1796 70.11% 16.97% 12.92% +4.4 10
1895-10-05 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1796 1805 12.92% 16.97% 70.11% -4.4 7
1895-10-05 Notts County W 5-1 1534 1814 38.01% 17.13% 44.86% +41.8 2
1895-10-05 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-5 1814 1534 44.86% 17.13% 38.01% -41.8 6
1895-10-05 Loughborough United W 5-0 1715 1674 72.18% 16.87% 10.95% +17.7 4
1895-10-05 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-5 1674 1715 10.95% 16.87% 72.18% -17.7 3
1895-10-05 Burton Swifts L 1-2 1586 1705 58.87% 17.21% 23.92% -17.0 1
1895-10-05 @ Lincoln City W 2-1 1705 1586 23.92% 17.21% 58.87% +17.0 8
1895-10-05 Manchester City D 1-1 1808 1743 73.49% 16.79% 9.72% -4.9 8
1895-10-05 @ Newton Heath D 1-1 1743 1808 9.72% 16.79% 73.49% +4.9 9
1895-10-05 Liverpool W 1-0 1728 1846 58.97% 17.21% 23.82% +8.2 7
1895-10-05 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1846 1728 23.82% 17.21% 58.97% -8.2 10
1895-10-05 Darwen D 3-3 1638 1733 61.39% 17.19% 21.42% -1.8 3
1895-10-05 @ Port Vale D 3-3 1733 1638 21.42% 17.19% 61.39% +1.8 4
1895-10-07 Crewe Alexandra W 6-1 1838 1576 80.83% 15.78% 3.39% +4.6 12
1895-10-07 @ Liverpool L 1-6 1576 1838 3.39% 15.78% 80.83% -4.6 2
1895-10-12 Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1739 1810 63.74% 17.15% 19.11% +18.4 9
1895-10-12 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-3 1810 1739 19.11% 17.15% 63.74% -18.4 10
1895-10-12 Newton Heath W 7-1 1843 1803 72.08% 16.87% 11.05% +17.5 14
1895-10-12 @ Liverpool L 1-7 1803 1843 11.05% 16.87% 72.08% -17.5 8
1895-10-12 Darwen W 4-1 1748 1734 70.43% 16.96% 12.61% +10.6 11
1895-10-12 @ Manchester City L 1-4 1734 1748 12.61% 16.96% 70.43% -10.6 4
1895-10-19 Burton Swifts W 5-0 1758 1722 71.86% 16.89% 11.25% +18.2 11
1895-10-19 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-5 1722 1758 11.25% 16.89% 71.86% -18.2 8
1895-10-19 Leicester Fosse D 0-0 1791 1733 73.14% 16.81% 10.05% -5.4 11
1895-10-19 @ Burton Wanderers D 0-0 1733 1791 10.05% 16.81% 73.14% +5.4 5
1895-10-19 Manchester City L 0-2 1571 1759 50.71% 17.23% 32.06% -29.5 2
1895-10-19 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1759 1571 32.06% 17.23% 50.71% +29.5 13
1895-10-19 Port Vale W 8-2 1724 1636 74.69% 16.70% 8.61% +11.4 6
1895-10-19 @ Darwen L 2-8 1636 1724 8.61% 16.70% 74.69% -11.4 3
1895-10-19 Liverpool W 1-0 1792 1860 63.91% 17.15% 18.94% +6.7 9
1895-10-19 @ Grimsby Town L 0-1 1860 1792 18.94% 17.15% 63.91% -6.7 14
1895-10-19 Newcastle United W 2-1 1786 1737 72.62% 16.84% 10.54% +3.7 10
1895-10-19 @ Newton Heath L 1-2 1737 1786 10.54% 16.84% 72.62% -3.6 7
1895-10-19 Lincoln City W 2-0 1772 1569 79.21% 16.13% 4.66% +3.3 8
1895-10-19 @ Notts County L 0-2 1569 1772 4.66% 16.13% 79.21% -3.3 1
1895-10-21 Liverpool W 5-4 1625 1854 45.10% 17.20% 37.69% +10.4 5
1895-10-21 @ Port Vale L 4-5 1854 1625 37.69% 17.20% 45.10% -10.4 14
1895-10-26 Burton Wanderers L 0-2 1703 1786 62.59% 17.17% 20.24% -36.1 8
1895-10-26 @ Burton Swifts W 2-0 1786 1703 20.24% 17.17% 62.59% +36.1 13
1895-10-26 Darwen L 2-3 1739 1735 69.71% 16.99% 13.30% -19.1 5
1895-10-26 @ Leicester Fosse W 3-2 1735 1739 13.30% 16.99% 69.71% +19.1 8
1895-10-26 Notts County W 3-0 1843 1775 73.68% 16.77% 9.55% +9.7 16
1895-10-26 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1775 1843 9.55% 16.77% 73.68% -9.7 8
1895-10-26 Lincoln City W 3-0 1656 1565 74.84% 16.68% 8.47% +8.6 5
1895-10-26 @ Loughborough United L 0-3 1565 1656 8.47% 16.68% 74.84% -8.6 1
1895-10-26 Grimsby Town W 2-1 1788 1799 68.74% 17.02% 14.23% +4.8 15
1895-10-26 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1799 1788 14.23% 17.02% 68.74% -4.8 9
1895-10-26 Newton Heath W 2-1 1733 1789 65.02% 17.13% 17.85% +6.0 9
1895-10-26 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1789 1733 17.85% 17.13% 65.02% -6.0 10
1895-10-26 Crewe Alexandra W 2-1 1635 1542 74.95% 16.67% 8.38% +2.9 7
1895-10-26 @ Port Vale L 1-2 1542 1635 8.38% 16.67% 74.95% -2.9 2
1895-10-26 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-0 1579 1776 49.51% 17.23% 33.26% +29.9 5
1895-10-26 @ Rotherham Town L 0-3 1776 1579 33.26% 17.23% 49.51% -29.9 11
1895-11-02 Manchester City L 2-3 1754 1793 66.50% 17.09% 16.41% -18.2 8
1895-11-02 @ Darwen W 3-2 1793 1754 16.41% 17.09% 66.50% +18.2 17
1895-11-02 Liverpool W 5-2 1783 1853 63.81% 17.15% 19.04% +13.4 12
1895-11-02 @ Newton Heath L 2-5 1853 1783 19.04% 17.15% 63.81% -13.4 16
1895-11-02 Woolwich Arsenal L 3-4 1766 1746 70.80% 16.94% 12.26% -19.0 8
1895-11-02 @ Notts County W 4-3 1746 1766 12.26% 16.94% 70.80% +19.0 13
1895-11-04 Manchester City L 2-3 1609 1811 48.78% 17.22% 34.00% -13.5 5
1895-11-04 @ Rotherham Town W 3-2 1811 1609 34.00% 17.22% 48.78% +13.5 19
1895-11-09 Newton Heath W 2-1 1765 1797 67.10% 17.08% 15.83% +5.3 15
1895-11-09 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1797 1765 15.83% 17.08% 67.10% -5.3 12
1895-11-09 Grimsby Town W 2-1 1667 1794 58.06% 17.22% 24.72% +8.0 10
1895-11-09 @ Burton Swifts L 1-2 1794 1667 24.72% 17.22% 58.06% -8.0 9
1895-11-09 Rotherham Town W 3-2 1539 1596 64.98% 17.13% 17.89% +5.7 4
1895-11-09 @ Crewe Alexandra L 2-3 1596 1539 17.89% 17.13% 64.98% -5.7 5
1895-11-09 Newcastle United D 4-4 1736 1739 69.28% 17.00% 13.72% -2.3 9
1895-11-09 @ Darwen D 4-4 1739 1736 13.72% 17.00% 69.28% +2.3 10
1895-11-09 Loughborough United W 4-1 1557 1665 60.03% 17.20% 22.77% +18.2 3
1895-11-09 @ Lincoln City L 1-4 1665 1557 22.77% 17.20% 60.03% -18.2 5
1895-11-09 Leicester Fosse W 3-1 1840 1720 76.18% 16.56% 7.26% +4.4 18
1895-11-09 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1720 1840 7.26% 16.56% 76.18% -4.4 5
1895-11-09 Burton Wanderers L 1-4 1747 1822 63.27% 17.16% 19.57% -44.7 8
1895-11-09 @ Notts County W 4-1 1822 1747 19.57% 17.16% 63.27% +44.7 15
1895-11-15 Burton Wanderers D 1-1 1647 1867 46.36% 17.21% 36.43% -0.7 6
1895-11-15 @ Loughborough United D 1-1 1867 1647 36.43% 17.21% 46.36% +0.7 16
1895-11-16 Liverpool L 0-2 1770 1844 63.46% 17.16% 19.39% -36.6 15
1895-11-16 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 2-0 1844 1770 19.39% 17.16% 63.46% +36.6 20
1895-11-16 Manchester City W 4-1 1868 1825 72.24% 16.87% 10.90% +9.2 18
1895-11-16 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-4 1825 1868 10.90% 16.87% 72.24% -9.2 19
1895-11-16 Burton Swifts L 1-3 1545 1675 57.59% 17.22% 25.19% -28.8 4
1895-11-16 @ Crewe Alexandra W 3-1 1675 1545 25.19% 17.22% 57.59% +28.8 12
1895-11-16 Leicester Fosse L 1-4 1646 1715 63.87% 17.15% 18.98% -45.1 6
1895-11-16 @ Loughborough United W 4-1 1715 1646 18.98% 17.15% 63.87% +45.1 7
1895-11-16 Lincoln City D 5-5 1791 1575 79.60% 16.06% 4.34% -2.9 13
1895-11-16 @ Newton Heath D 5-5 1575 1791 4.34% 16.06% 79.60% +2.9 4
1895-11-16 Darwen W 7-2 1741 1734 69.98% 16.98% 13.04% +14.5 12
1895-11-16 @ Newcastle United L 2-7 1734 1741 13.04% 16.98% 69.98% -14.5 9
1895-11-16 Grimsby Town L 1-4 1638 1786 55.61% 17.23% 27.16% -39.4 7
1895-11-16 @ Port Vale W 4-1 1786 1638 27.16% 17.23% 55.61% +39.4 11
1895-11-16 Notts County W 1-0 1590 1702 59.64% 17.20% 23.16% +8.0 7
1895-11-16 @ Rotherham Town L 0-1 1702 1590 23.16% 17.20% 59.64% -8.0 8
1895-11-23 Darwen D 0-0 1881 1719 77.81% 16.36% 5.84% -6.3 21
1895-11-23 @ Liverpool D 0-0 1719 1881 5.84% 16.36% 77.81% +6.3 10
1895-11-23 Burton Wanderers D 1-1 1816 1877 64.60% 17.13% 18.27% -3.4 20
1895-11-23 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1877 1816 18.27% 17.13% 64.60% +3.4 19
1895-11-23 Newton Heath L 0-2 1694 1788 61.43% 17.19% 21.39% -35.4 8
1895-11-23 @ Notts County W 2-0 1788 1694 21.39% 17.19% 61.43% +35.4 15
1895-11-30 Manchester City L 1-4 1704 1812 60.02% 17.20% 22.78% -42.4 12
1895-11-30 @ Burton Swifts W 4-1 1812 1704 22.78% 17.20% 60.02% +42.4 22
1895-11-30 Crewe Alexandra W 6-1 1726 1516 79.41% 16.10% 4.49% +6.2 12
1895-11-30 @ Darwen L 1-6 1516 1726 4.49% 16.10% 79.41% -6.2 4
1895-11-30 Loughborough United W 2-0 1825 1601 79.83% 16.01% 4.16% +2.9 13
1895-11-30 @ Grimsby Town L 0-2 1601 1825 4.16% 16.01% 79.83% -2.9 6
1895-11-30 Liverpool W 2-0 1760 1874 59.40% 17.21% 23.40% +15.2 9
1895-11-30 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-2 1874 1760 23.40% 17.21% 59.40% -15.2 21
1895-11-30 Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1578 1880 34.89% 17.09% 48.02% -10.7 4
1895-11-30 @ Lincoln City W 2-1 1880 1578 48.02% 17.09% 34.89% +10.7 21
1895-11-30 Woolwich Arsenal W 5-1 1824 1734 74.80% 16.69% 8.51% +9.4 17
1895-11-30 @ Newton Heath L 1-5 1734 1824 8.51% 16.69% 74.80% -9.4 15
1895-11-30 Rotherham Town D 0-0 1659 1598 73.27% 16.80% 9.93% -5.5 9
1895-11-30 @ Notts County D 0-0 1598 1659 9.93% 16.80% 73.27% +5.5 8
1895-12-07 Leicester Fosse D 1-1 1724 1775 65.48% 17.12% 17.40% -3.6 16
1895-12-07 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1775 1724 17.40% 17.12% 65.48% +3.6 10
1895-12-07 Newcastle United W 3-1 1662 1756 61.48% 17.19% 21.34% +12.1 14
1895-12-07 @ Burton Swifts L 1-3 1756 1662 21.34% 17.19% 61.48% -12.1 12
1895-12-07 Darwen W 3-1 1510 1732 46.09% 17.21% 36.70% +19.4 6
1895-12-07 @ Crewe Alexandra L 1-3 1732 1510 36.70% 17.21% 46.09% -19.4 12
1895-12-07 Loughborough United W 1-0 1859 1598 80.81% 15.79% 3.40% +1.3 23
1895-12-07 @ Liverpool L 0-1 1598 1859 3.40% 15.79% 80.81% -1.3 6
1895-12-07 Newton Heath W 2-1 1855 1833 70.93% 16.93% 12.14% +4.2 24
1895-12-07 @ Manchester City L 1-2 1833 1855 12.14% 16.93% 70.93% -4.2 17
1895-12-07 Port Vale W 7-2 1653 1599 72.94% 16.82% 10.24% +11.5 11
1895-12-07 @ Notts County L 2-7 1599 1653 10.24% 16.82% 72.94% -11.5 7
1895-12-07 Burton Wanderers L 1-6 1604 1891 36.92% 17.12% 45.96% -43.5 8
1895-12-07 @ Rotherham Town W 6-1 1891 1604 45.96% 17.12% 36.92% +43.5 23
1895-12-14 Woolwich Arsenal W 4-1 1934 1721 79.52% 16.07% 4.41% +3.8 25
1895-12-14 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-4 1721 1934 4.41% 16.07% 79.52% -3.8 16
1895-12-14 Liverpool L 0-4 1712 1860 55.60% 17.23% 27.17% -61.0 12
1895-12-14 @ Darwen W 4-0 1860 1712 27.17% 17.23% 55.60% +61.0 25
1895-12-14 Notts County W 3-0 1829 1665 77.92% 16.34% 5.73% +5.9 19
1895-12-14 @ Newton Heath L 0-3 1665 1829 5.73% 16.34% 77.92% -5.9 11
1895-12-21 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-2 1674 1717 66.14% 17.10% 16.76% +5.3 16
1895-12-21 @ Burton Swifts L 2-3 1717 1674 16.76% 17.10% 66.14% -5.3 16
1895-12-21 Newton Heath W 3-0 1652 1835 51.23% 17.23% 31.54% +28.6 14
1895-12-21 @ Darwen L 0-3 1835 1652 31.54% 17.23% 51.23% -28.6 19
1895-12-21 Crewe Alexandra W 4-1 1779 1529 80.52% 15.86% 3.62% +3.1 12
1895-12-21 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-4 1529 1779 3.62% 15.86% 80.52% -3.1 6
1895-12-21 Liverpool L 0-1 1567 1921 28.32% 16.96% 54.72% -9.5 4
1895-12-21 @ Lincoln City W 1-0 1921 1567 54.72% 16.96% 28.32% +9.5 27
1895-12-21 Grimsby Town L 0-1 1597 1828 44.81% 17.20% 37.99% -14.0 6
1895-12-21 @ Loughborough United W 1-0 1828 1597 37.99% 17.20% 44.81% +14.0 15
1895-12-21 Rotherham Town W 6-1 1744 1560 78.58% 16.24% 5.18% +7.1 14
1895-12-21 @ Newcastle United L 1-6 1560 1744 5.18% 16.24% 78.58% -7.1 8
1895-12-23 Woolwich Arsenal L 0-1 1526 1712 50.94% 17.23% 31.83% -15.7 6
1895-12-23 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-0 1712 1526 31.83% 17.23% 50.94% +15.7 18
1895-12-25 Port Vale W 2-1 1727 1587 77.02% 16.46% 6.52% +2.3 20
1895-12-25 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1587 1727 6.52% 16.46% 77.02% -2.3 7
1895-12-25 Crewe Alexandra W 6-0 1751 1510 80.27% 15.92% 3.81% +7.5 16
1895-12-25 @ Newcastle United L 0-6 1510 1751 3.81% 15.92% 80.27% -7.5 6
1895-12-25 Loughborough United W 2-0 1659 1583 74.10% 16.74% 9.16% +6.4 13
1895-12-25 @ Notts County L 0-2 1583 1659 9.16% 16.74% 74.10% -6.4 6
1895-12-26 Newcastle United W 2-1 1842 1758 74.50% 16.71% 8.79% +3.1 17
1895-12-26 @ Grimsby Town L 1-2 1758 1842 8.79% 16.71% 74.50% -3.1 16
1895-12-26 Crewe Alexandra W 6-2 1558 1503 72.95% 16.82% 10.22% +9.5 6
1895-12-26 @ Lincoln City L 2-6 1503 1558 10.22% 16.82% 72.95% -9.5 6
1895-12-26 Burton Swifts D 2-2 1576 1679 60.57% 17.20% 22.24% -2.1 7
1895-12-26 @ Loughborough United D 2-2 1679 1576 22.24% 17.20% 60.57% +2.1 17
1895-12-26 Darwen W 3-0 1553 1680 57.97% 17.22% 24.81% +23.2 10
1895-12-26 @ Rotherham Town L 0-3 1680 1553 24.81% 17.22% 57.97% -23.2 14
1895-12-28 Crewe Alexandra W 4-0 1938 1493 84.29% 14.46% 1.25% +1.6 27
1895-12-28 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-4 1493 1938 1.25% 14.46% 84.29% -1.6 6
1895-12-28 Burton Swifts W 3-0 1845 1681 77.90% 16.35% 5.75% +5.9 19
1895-12-28 @ Grimsby Town L 0-3 1681 1845 5.75% 16.35% 77.90% -5.9 17
1895-12-28 Newcastle United W 4-0 1567 1755 50.66% 17.23% 32.11% +37.9 8
1895-12-28 @ Lincoln City L 0-4 1755 1567 32.11% 17.23% 50.66% -37.9 16
1895-12-28 Notts County L 1-3 1574 1665 61.78% 17.18% 21.04% -30.8 7
1895-12-28 @ Loughborough United W 3-1 1665 1574 21.04% 17.18% 61.78% +30.9 15
1896-01-01 Notts County W 2-0 1657 1696 66.48% 17.09% 16.43% +11.1 16
1896-01-01 @ Darwen L 0-2 1696 1657 16.43% 17.09% 66.48% -11.1 15
1896-01-01 Manchester City W 3-1 1931 1859 73.89% 16.76% 9.35% +5.7 29
1896-01-01 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1859 1931 9.35% 16.76% 73.89% -5.6 24
1896-01-01 Grimsby Town W 3-2 1806 1851 66.02% 17.10% 16.88% +5.4 21
1896-01-01 @ Newton Heath L 2-3 1851 1806 16.88% 17.10% 66.02% -5.4 19
1896-01-01 Leicester Fosse W 1-0 1717 1782 64.24% 17.14% 18.62% +6.6 18
1896-01-01 @ Newcastle United L 0-1 1782 1717 18.62% 17.14% 64.24% -6.6 12
1896-01-02 Lincoln City W 5-0 1724 1605 76.12% 16.56% 7.32% +12.0 20
1896-01-02 @ Newcastle United L 0-5 1605 1724 7.32% 16.56% 76.12% -12.0 8
1896-01-04 Loughborough United W 6-0 1730 1543 78.68% 16.23% 5.10% +10.0 22
1896-01-04 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-6 1543 1730 5.10% 16.23% 78.68% -10.0 7
1896-01-04 Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1675 1492 78.59% 16.24% 5.17% -5.8 18
1896-01-04 @ Burton Swifts D 1-1 1492 1675 5.17% 16.24% 78.59% +5.8 7
1896-01-04 Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1668 1940 39.07% 17.15% 43.79% +37.6 18
1896-01-04 @ Darwen L 0-3 1940 1668 43.79% 17.15% 39.07% -37.6 27
1896-01-04 Port Vale W 6-1 1846 1585 80.80% 15.79% 3.41% +4.7 21
1896-01-04 @ Grimsby Town L 1-6 1585 1846 3.41% 15.79% 80.80% -4.7 7
1896-01-04 Newton Heath W 3-0 1776 1812 66.72% 17.09% 16.20% +15.9 14
1896-01-04 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-3 1812 1776 16.20% 17.09% 66.72% -15.8 21
1896-01-04 Newcastle United W 5-2 1853 1736 76.07% 16.57% 7.36% +5.5 26
1896-01-04 @ Manchester City L 2-5 1736 1853 7.36% 16.57% 76.07% -5.5 20
1896-01-04 Liverpool L 0-5 1576 1936 27.60% 16.94% 55.46% -40.9 10
1896-01-04 @ Rotherham Town W 5-0 1936 1576 55.46% 16.94% 27.60% +40.9 31
1896-01-11 Notts County W 2-1 1791 1685 75.58% 16.62% 7.80% +2.7 16
1896-01-11 @ Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1685 1791 7.80% 16.62% 75.58% -2.7 15
1896-01-11 Manchester City L 1-2 1593 1859 39.95% 17.16% 42.89% -12.0 8
1896-01-11 @ Lincoln City W 2-1 1859 1593 42.89% 17.16% 39.95% +12.0 28
1896-01-11 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-0 1977 1740 80.20% 15.93% 3.87% +4.0 33
1896-01-11 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1740 1977 3.87% 15.93% 80.20% -4.0 22
1896-01-11 Rotherham Town W 3-0 1796 1535 80.79% 15.79% 3.42% +3.5 23
1896-01-11 @ Newton Heath L 0-3 1535 1796 3.42% 15.79% 80.79% -3.5 10
1896-01-11 Grimsby Town L 1-5 1730 1850 58.75% 17.21% 24.03% -53.6 20
1896-01-11 @ Newcastle United W 5-1 1850 1730 24.03% 17.21% 58.75% +53.6 23
1896-01-11 Burton Swifts W 1-0 1580 1670 61.92% 17.18% 20.90% +7.3 9
1896-01-11 @ Port Vale L 0-1 1670 1580 20.90% 17.18% 61.92% -7.3 18
1896-01-13 Rotherham Town W 10-2 1706 1532 78.25% 16.29% 5.46% +9.5 20
1896-01-13 @ Darwen L 2-10 1532 1706 5.46% 16.29% 78.25% -9.4 10
1896-01-18 Notts County D 0-0 1662 1682 68.01% 17.05% 14.94% -4.5 19
1896-01-18 @ Burton Swifts D 0-0 1682 1662 14.94% 17.05% 68.01% +4.5 16
1896-01-18 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-1 1677 1736 64.77% 17.13% 18.10% +10.5 22
1896-01-18 @ Newcastle United L 1-3 1736 1677 18.10% 17.13% 64.77% -10.5 22
1896-01-18 Burton Wanderers D 2-2 1587 1902 33.23% 17.06% 49.70% +0.9 10
1896-01-18 @ Port Vale D 2-2 1902 1587 49.70% 17.06% 33.23% -0.9 28
1896-01-18 Leicester Fosse W 2-0 1522 1794 39.09% 17.15% 43.77% +25.9 12
1896-01-18 @ Rotherham Town L 0-2 1794 1522 43.77% 17.15% 39.09% -25.9 16
1896-01-20 Loughborough United W 4-0 1901 1533 83.05% 15.05% 1.90% +2.5 30
1896-01-20 @ Burton Wanderers L 0-4 1533 1901 1.90% 15.05% 83.05% -2.5 7
1896-01-25 Burton Swifts W 2-1 1904 1658 80.42% 15.88% 3.70% +1.3 32
1896-01-25 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1658 1904 3.70% 15.88% 80.42% -1.3 19
1896-01-25 Newcastle United W 3-0 1497 1687 50.42% 17.23% 32.35% +29.2 9
1896-01-25 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-3 1687 1497 32.35% 17.23% 50.42% -29.2 22
1896-01-25 Darwen W 5-0 1904 1715 78.76% 16.21% 5.03% +8.3 25
1896-01-25 @ Grimsby Town L 0-5 1715 1904 5.03% 16.21% 78.76% -8.3 20
1896-01-25 Woolwich Arsenal W 1-0 1768 1725 72.26% 16.86% 10.87% +4.0 18
1896-01-25 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-1 1725 1768 10.87% 16.86% 72.26% -4.0 22
1896-01-25 Lincoln City W 6-1 1981 1581 83.60% 14.81% 1.60% +2.2 35
1896-01-25 @ Liverpool L 1-6 1581 1981 1.60% 14.81% 83.60% -2.1 8
1896-01-25 Rotherham Town W 4-0 1588 1548 72.08% 16.87% 11.04% +14.5 12
1896-01-25 @ Port Vale L 0-4 1548 1588 11.04% 16.87% 72.08% -14.5 12
1896-02-01 Rotherham Town W 5-0 1579 1534 72.39% 16.86% 10.75% +17.4 10
1896-02-01 @ Lincoln City L 0-5 1534 1579 10.75% 16.86% 72.39% -17.4 12
1896-02-01 Manchester City L 2-4 1531 1871 30.05% 17.00% 52.95% -14.6 7
1896-02-01 @ Loughborough United W 4-2 1871 1531 52.95% 17.00% 30.05% +14.6 30
1896-02-03 Leicester Fosse W 2-0 1799 1772 71.30% 16.92% 11.79% +8.1 25
1896-02-03 @ Newton Heath L 0-2 1772 1799 11.79% 16.92% 71.30% -8.1 18
1896-02-08 Newton Heath W 4-1 1657 1808 55.23% 17.23% 27.54% +21.5 21
1896-02-08 @ Burton Swifts L 1-4 1808 1657 27.54% 17.23% 55.23% -21.5 25
1896-02-08 Lincoln City D 2-2 1527 1596 63.81% 17.15% 19.04% -2.5 10
1896-02-08 @ Crewe Alexandra D 2-2 1596 1527 19.04% 17.15% 63.81% +2.5 11
1896-02-08 Burton Wanderers W 4-0 1658 1905 42.57% 17.18% 40.25% +45.8 24
1896-02-08 @ Newcastle United L 0-4 1905 1658 40.25% 17.18% 42.57% -45.8 32
1896-02-08 Leicester Fosse L 1-2 1687 1764 63.08% 17.16% 19.75% -18.2 16
1896-02-08 @ Notts County W 2-1 1764 1687 19.75% 17.16% 63.08% +18.2 20
1896-02-08 Grimsby Town W 1-0 1516 1912 23.64% 16.82% 59.54% +18.1 14
1896-02-08 @ Rotherham Town L 0-1 1912 1516 59.54% 16.82% 23.64% -18.1 25
1896-02-10 Manchester City L 0-1 1603 1885 37.58% 17.13% 45.29% -12.1 12
1896-02-10 @ Port Vale W 1-0 1885 1603 45.29% 17.13% 37.58% +12.1 32
1896-02-15 Burton Swifts W 3-0 1707 1678 71.39% 16.91% 11.70% +11.7 22
1896-02-15 @ Darwen L 0-3 1678 1707 11.70% 16.91% 71.39% -11.7 21
1896-02-15 Leicester Fosse L 2-3 1599 1782 51.22% 17.23% 31.55% -14.1 11
1896-02-15 @ Lincoln City W 3-2 1782 1599 31.55% 17.23% 51.22% +14.1 22
1896-02-15 Crewe Alexandra W 4-0 1897 1524 83.14% 15.01% 1.85% +2.5 34
1896-02-15 @ Manchester City L 0-4 1524 1897 1.85% 15.01% 83.14% -2.5 10
1896-02-15 Woolwich Arsenal L 0-2 1591 1721 57.58% 17.22% 25.20% -33.2 12
1896-02-15 @ Port Vale W 2-0 1721 1591 25.20% 17.22% 57.58% +33.2 24
1896-02-17 Port Vale W 1-0 1900 1557 82.58% 15.24% 2.19% +0.8 36
1896-02-17 @ Manchester City L 0-1 1557 1900 2.19% 15.24% 82.58% -0.8 12
1896-02-18 Rotherham Town W 10-1 1983 1535 84.35% 14.42% 1.22% +2.8 37
1896-02-18 @ Liverpool L 1-10 1535 1983 1.22% 14.42% 84.35% -2.8 14
1896-02-22 Newcastle United L 0-3 1859 1704 77.60% 16.39% 6.01% -65.6 32
1896-02-22 @ Burton Wanderers W 3-0 1704 1859 6.01% 16.39% 77.60% +65.7 26
1896-02-22 Leicester Fosse D 1-1 1522 1796 38.67% 17.14% 44.19% +0.4 11
1896-02-22 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1796 1522 44.19% 17.14% 38.67% -0.4 23
1896-02-22 Loughborough United D 1-1 1718 1516 79.18% 16.14% 4.68% -5.9 23
1896-02-22 @ Darwen D 1-1 1516 1718 4.68% 16.14% 79.18% +5.9 8
1896-02-22 Grimsby Town W 3-1 1986 1894 74.91% 16.68% 8.41% +5.1 39
1896-02-22 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1894 1986 8.41% 16.68% 74.91% -5.1 25
1896-02-22 Burton Swifts W 5-0 1668 1666 69.63% 16.99% 13.38% +21.4 18
1896-02-22 @ Notts County L 0-5 1666 1668 13.38% 16.99% 69.63% -21.4 21
1896-02-22 Lincoln City L 0-1 1557 1585 67.37% 17.07% 15.56% -20.6 12
1896-02-22 @ Port Vale W 1-0 1585 1557 15.56% 17.07% 67.37% +20.6 13
1896-02-24 Loughborough United W 5-1 1901 1522 83.23% 14.97% 1.80% +2.0 38
1896-02-24 @ Manchester City L 1-5 1522 1901 1.80% 14.97% 83.23% -2.0 8
1896-02-29 Liverpool L 0-7 1645 1991 29.24% 16.98% 53.78% -59.1 21
1896-02-29 @ Burton Swifts W 7-0 1991 1645 53.78% 16.98% 29.24% +59.1 41
1896-02-29 Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1889 1522 83.03% 15.06% 1.91% +1.3 27
1896-02-29 @ Grimsby Town L 0-2 1522 1889 1.91% 15.06% 83.03% -1.3 11
1896-02-29 Lincoln City L 1-3 1796 1605 78.82% 16.20% 4.98% -39.8 23
1896-02-29 @ Leicester Fosse W 3-1 1605 1796 4.98% 16.20% 78.82% +39.8 15
1896-02-29 Woolwich Arsenal W 2-1 1520 1755 44.37% 17.20% 38.43% +11.6 10
1896-02-29 @ Loughborough United L 1-2 1755 1520 38.43% 17.20% 44.37% -11.6 24
1896-02-29 Burton Wanderers L 1-2 1786 1794 68.93% 17.02% 14.06% -19.9 25
1896-02-29 @ Newton Heath W 2-1 1794 1786 14.06% 17.02% 68.93% +19.9 34
1896-02-29 Manchester City W 3-0 1690 1903 47.36% 17.22% 35.42% +31.5 20
1896-02-29 @ Notts County L 0-3 1903 1690 35.42% 17.22% 47.36% -31.5 38
1896-03-03 Rotherham Town W 4-0 1890 1532 82.88% 15.12% 2.00% +2.7 29
1896-03-03 @ Grimsby Town L 0-4 1532 1890 2.00% 15.12% 82.88% -2.7 14
1896-03-07 Notts County W 2-0 1743 1721 70.93% 16.93% 12.13% +8.3 26
1896-03-07 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-2 1721 1743 12.13% 16.93% 70.93% -8.4 20
1896-03-07 Liverpool W 2-1 1814 2050 44.04% 17.20% 38.77% +11.7 36
1896-03-07 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-2 2050 1814 38.77% 17.20% 44.04% -11.7 41
1896-03-07 Grimsby Town L 0-1 1521 1893 26.23% 16.90% 56.87% -8.9 11
1896-03-07 @ Crewe Alexandra W 1-0 1893 1521 56.87% 16.90% 26.23% +8.9 31
1896-03-07 Darwen W 1-0 1645 1713 64.02% 17.15% 18.83% +6.6 17
1896-03-07 @ Lincoln City L 0-1 1713 1645 18.83% 17.15% 64.02% -6.6 23
1896-03-07 Newcastle United W 1-0 1532 1769 43.92% 17.20% 38.88% +12.4 12
1896-03-07 @ Loughborough United L 0-1 1769 1532 38.88% 17.20% 43.92% -12.5 26
1896-03-07 Burton Swifts D 1-1 1871 1586 81.38% 15.63% 2.99% -6.2 39
1896-03-07 @ Manchester City D 1-1 1586 1871 2.99% 15.63% 81.38% +6.2 22
1896-03-07 Leicester Fosse D 1-1 1536 1756 46.33% 17.21% 36.46% -0.7 13
1896-03-07 @ Port Vale D 1-1 1756 1536 36.46% 17.21% 46.33% +0.7 24
1896-03-07 Newton Heath L 2-3 1529 1766 44.00% 17.20% 38.81% -12.3 14
1896-03-07 @ Rotherham Town W 3-2 1766 1529 38.81% 17.20% 44.00% +12.3 27
1896-03-14 Port Vale W 2-1 1592 1535 73.06% 16.82% 10.13% +3.5 24
1896-03-14 @ Burton Swifts L 1-2 1535 1592 10.13% 16.82% 73.06% -3.5 13
1896-03-14 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1706 1751 65.96% 17.11% 16.94% -3.7 24
1896-03-14 @ Darwen D 1-1 1751 1706 16.94% 17.11% 65.96% +3.7 27
1896-03-14 Newton Heath W 4-2 1902 1778 76.32% 16.54% 7.14% +3.9 33
1896-03-14 @ Grimsby Town L 2-4 1778 1902 7.14% 16.54% 76.32% -3.9 27
1896-03-14 Lincoln City W 4-0 1865 1652 79.51% 16.08% 4.41% +5.9 41
1896-03-14 @ Manchester City L 0-4 1652 1865 4.41% 16.08% 79.51% -5.9 17
1896-03-14 Newcastle United L 0-1 1713 1757 66.08% 17.10% 16.82% -20.2 20
1896-03-14 @ Notts County W 1-0 1757 1713 16.82% 17.10% 66.08% +20.2 28
1896-03-14 Loughborough United W 4-0 1517 1544 67.42% 17.07% 15.52% +19.9 16
1896-03-14 @ Rotherham Town L 0-4 1544 1517 15.52% 17.07% 67.42% -19.9 12
1896-03-16 Lincoln City D 2-2 1537 1646 59.91% 17.20% 22.89% -2.0 17
1896-03-16 @ Rotherham Town D 2-2 1646 1537 22.89% 17.20% 59.91% +2.0 18
1896-03-18 Newton Heath W 5-1 1825 1775 72.72% 16.84% 10.44% +11.5 38
1896-03-18 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-5 1775 1825 10.44% 16.84% 72.72% -11.5 27
1896-03-21 Crewe Alexandra W 7-0 1755 1512 80.35% 15.90% 3.76% +8.5 29
1896-03-21 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-7 1512 1755 3.76% 15.90% 80.35% -8.5 11
1896-03-21 Rotherham Town W 6-1 1837 1535 81.76% 15.52% 2.72% +3.7 40
1896-03-21 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-6 1535 1837 2.72% 15.52% 81.76% -3.7 17
1896-03-21 Notts County W 3-0 1906 1693 79.50% 16.08% 4.42% +4.5 35
1896-03-21 @ Grimsby Town L 0-3 1693 1906 4.42% 16.08% 79.50% -4.5 20
1896-03-21 Port Vale W 5-0 1757 1532 79.86% 16.01% 4.14% +6.8 26
1896-03-21 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-5 1532 1757 4.14% 16.01% 79.86% -6.8 13
1896-03-21 Burton Swifts W 6-1 2039 1595 84.27% 14.47% 1.26% +1.7 43
1896-03-21 @ Liverpool L 1-6 1595 2039 1.26% 14.47% 84.27% -1.7 24
1896-03-21 Darwen W 4-1 1524 1702 51.92% 17.23% 30.85% +23.7 14
1896-03-21 @ Loughborough United L 1-4 1702 1524 30.85% 17.23% 51.92% -23.7 24
1896-03-21 Manchester City W 4-1 1777 1871 61.51% 17.18% 21.31% +17.1 30
1896-03-21 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 1871 1777 21.31% 17.18% 61.51% -17.1 41
1896-03-23 Newton Heath W 3-0 1525 1763 43.84% 17.19% 38.97% +34.1 15
1896-03-23 @ Port Vale L 0-3 1763 1525 38.97% 17.19% 43.84% -34.1 27
1896-03-25 Port Vale W 3-2 1503 1559 65.07% 17.13% 17.80% +5.7 13
1896-03-25 @ Crewe Alexandra L 2-3 1559 1503 17.80% 17.13% 65.07% -5.6 15
1896-03-28 Leicester Fosse L 0-2 1594 1764 52.92% 17.23% 29.84% -30.7 24
1896-03-28 @ Burton Swifts W 2-0 1764 1594 29.84% 17.23% 52.92% +30.7 28
1896-03-28 Liverpool L 0-7 1509 2040 12.39% 16.20% 71.41% -26.9 13
1896-03-28 @ Crewe Alexandra W 7-0 2040 1509 71.41% 16.20% 12.39% +26.9 45
1896-03-28 Lincoln City W 5-0 1679 1648 71.52% 16.90% 11.57% +18.7 26
1896-03-28 @ Darwen L 0-5 1648 1679 11.57% 16.90% 71.52% -18.7 18
1896-03-28 Burton Wanderers W 2-1 1910 1841 73.77% 16.77% 9.46% +3.3 37
1896-03-28 @ Grimsby Town L 1-2 1841 1910 9.46% 16.77% 73.77% -3.3 40
1896-04-03 Loughborough United L 1-2 1482 1548 64.16% 17.14% 18.69% -18.5 13
1896-04-03 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-1 1548 1482 18.69% 17.14% 64.16% +18.5 16
1896-04-03 Rotherham Town W 8-0 1794 1531 80.87% 15.77% 3.36% +8.7 30
1896-04-03 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-8 1531 1794 3.36% 15.77% 80.87% -8.7 17
1896-04-03 Notts County L 2-3 1629 1688 64.77% 17.13% 18.10% -17.7 18
1896-04-03 @ Lincoln City W 3-2 1688 1629 18.10% 17.13% 64.77% +17.7 22
1896-04-03 Liverpool D 1-1 1854 2067 47.23% 17.22% 35.55% -0.8 42
1896-04-03 @ Manchester City D 1-1 2067 1854 35.55% 17.22% 47.23% +0.8 46
1896-04-03 Darwen W 4-0 1729 1697 71.58% 16.90% 11.52% +15.1 29
1896-04-03 @ Newton Heath L 0-4 1697 1729 11.52% 16.90% 71.58% -15.1 26
1896-04-03 Port Vale W 4-2 1794 1553 80.29% 15.91% 3.80% +2.1 32
1896-04-03 @ Newcastle United L 2-4 1553 1794 3.80% 15.91% 80.29% -2.1 15
1896-04-04 Lincoln City W 4-1 1837 1611 79.88% 16.00% 4.12% +3.6 42
1896-04-04 @ Burton Wanderers L 1-4 1611 1837 4.12% 16.00% 79.88% -3.6 18
1896-04-04 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1914 1763 77.39% 16.41% 6.19% -5.6 38
1896-04-04 @ Grimsby Town D 1-1 1763 1914 6.19% 16.41% 77.39% +5.6 30
1896-04-04 Manchester City L 1-2 1803 1853 65.59% 17.11% 17.30% -18.9 30
1896-04-04 @ Leicester Fosse W 2-1 1853 1803 17.30% 17.11% 65.59% +18.9 44
1896-04-04 Loughborough United W 2-0 1744 1566 78.38% 16.27% 5.34% +3.8 31
1896-04-04 @ Newton Heath L 0-2 1566 1744 5.34% 16.27% 78.38% -3.8 16
1896-04-04 Burton Swifts W 5-0 1796 1563 80.08% 15.96% 3.96% +6.5 34
1896-04-04 @ Newcastle United L 0-5 1563 1796 3.96% 15.96% 80.08% -6.6 24
1896-04-04 Crewe Alexandra W 6-0 1706 1464 80.33% 15.90% 3.77% +7.4 24
1896-04-04 @ Notts County L 0-6 1464 1706 3.77% 15.90% 80.33% -7.4 13
1896-04-06 Newcastle United W 2-1 1769 1803 66.91% 17.08% 16.01% +5.4 32
1896-04-06 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1803 1769 16.01% 17.08% 66.91% -5.4 34
1896-04-06 Notts County L 1-3 1841 1713 76.49% 16.52% 6.99% -38.6 42
1896-04-06 @ Burton Wanderers W 3-1 1713 1841 6.99% 16.52% 76.49% +38.6 26
1896-04-06 Grimsby Town L 1-2 1784 1908 58.35% 17.22% 24.44% -16.8 30
1896-04-06 @ Leicester Fosse W 2-1 1908 1784 24.44% 17.22% 58.35% +16.8 40
1896-04-06 Rotherham Town W 3-0 1563 1522 72.11% 16.87% 11.01% +11.1 18
1896-04-06 @ Loughborough United L 0-3 1522 1563 11.01% 16.87% 72.11% -11.1 17
1896-04-06 Port Vale W 2-1 1748 1551 79.00% 16.17% 4.83% +1.7 33
1896-04-06 @ Newton Heath L 1-2 1551 1748 4.83% 16.17% 79.00% -1.7 15
1896-04-07 Newcastle United W 2-0 1767 1798 67.21% 17.07% 15.72% +10.6 32
1896-04-07 @ Leicester Fosse L 0-2 1798 1767 15.72% 17.07% 67.21% -10.6 34
1896-04-07 Loughborough United D 1-1 1550 1574 67.68% 17.06% 15.26% -3.9 16
1896-04-07 @ Port Vale D 1-1 1574 1550 15.26% 17.06% 67.68% +3.9 19
1896-04-08 Notts County W 2-0 1872 1752 76.17% 16.56% 7.27% +5.1 46
1896-04-08 @ Manchester City L 0-2 1752 1872 7.27% 16.56% 76.17% -5.1 26
1896-04-11 Darwen L 1-2 1557 1682 58.14% 17.22% 24.64% -16.8 24
1896-04-11 @ Burton Swifts W 2-1 1682 1557 24.64% 17.22% 58.14% +16.8 28
1896-04-11 Leicester Fosse W 7-1 1925 1778 77.27% 16.43% 6.30% +10.2 42
1896-04-11 @ Grimsby Town L 1-7 1778 1925 6.30% 16.43% 77.27% -10.2 32
1896-04-11 Newton Heath W 2-0 1608 1750 56.32% 17.23% 26.45% +16.9 20
1896-04-11 @ Lincoln City L 0-2 1750 1608 26.45% 17.23% 56.32% -16.9 33
1896-04-11 Port Vale W 3-0 1578 1546 71.60% 16.90% 11.50% +11.5 21
1896-04-11 @ Loughborough United L 0-3 1546 1578 11.50% 16.90% 71.60% -11.5 16
1896-04-18 Darwen L 1-3 1774 1699 74.07% 16.74% 9.18% -37.3 32
1896-04-18 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 3-1 1699 1774 9.18% 16.74% 74.07% +37.3 30
1896-04-18 Port Vale W 4-2 1625 1534 74.83% 16.68% 8.48% +4.6 22
1896-04-18 @ Lincoln City L 2-4 1534 1625 8.48% 16.68% 74.83% -4.6 16
1896-04-18 Crewe Alexandra W 4-1 1589 1456 76.72% 16.50% 6.78% +5.8 23
1896-04-18 @ Loughborough United L 1-4 1456 1589 6.78% 16.50% 76.72% -5.9 13
1896-04-20 Newcastle United W 2-0 1530 1787 41.12% 17.17% 41.71% +24.9 18
1896-04-20 @ Port Vale L 0-2 1787 1530 41.71% 17.17% 41.12% -24.9 34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1896-02-29 4.98% Lincoln City 1605 3 @ Leicester Fosse 1796 1
2 1896-02-22 6.01% Newcastle United 1704 3 @ Burton Wanderers 1859 0
3 1896-04-06 6.99% Notts County 1713 3 @ Burton Wanderers 1841 1
4 1896-04-18 9.18% Darwen 1699 3 @ Woolwich Arsenal 1774 1
5 1895-09-28 9.83% Loughborough United 1653 2 @ Burton Swifts 1715 1
6 1895-11-02 12.26% Woolwich Arsenal 1746 4 @ Notts County 1766 3
7 1895-09-07 12.55% Manchester City 1725 1 @ Woolwich Arsenal 1740 0
8 1895-10-26 13.30% Darwen 1735 3 @ Leicester Fosse 1739 2
9 1895-09-07 13.49% Port Vale 1679 2 @ Rotherham Town 1680 0
10 1895-09-07 14.03% Liverpool 1776 3 @ Notts County 1769 2
11 1896-02-29 14.06% Burton Wanderers 1794 2 @ Newton Heath 1786 1
12 1895-09-23 15.48% Burton Swifts 1667 4 @ Rotherham Town 1640 1
13 1896-02-22 15.56% Lincoln City 1585 1 @ Port Vale 1557 0
14 1895-09-14 15.72% Notts County 1750 4 @ Port Vale 1720 0
15 1895-09-28 15.96% Burton Wanderers 1782 3 @ Leicester Fosse 1749 1
16 1895-11-02 16.41% Manchester City 1793 3 @ Darwen 1754 2
17 1896-03-14 16.82% Newcastle United 1757 1 @ Notts County 1713 0
18 1896-04-04 17.30% Manchester City 1853 2 @ Leicester Fosse 1803 1
19 1896-04-03 18.10% Notts County 1688 3 @ Lincoln City 1629 2
20 1896-04-03 18.69% Loughborough United 1548 2 @ Crewe Alexandra 1482 1
21 1895-11-16 18.98% Leicester Fosse 1715 4 @ Loughborough United 1646 1
22 1895-11-16 19.39% Liverpool 1844 2 @ Woolwich Arsenal 1770 0
23 1895-11-09 19.57% Burton Wanderers 1822 4 @ Notts County 1747 1
24 1896-02-08 19.75% Leicester Fosse 1764 2 @ Notts County 1687 1
25 1895-10-26 20.24% Burton Wanderers 1786 2 @ Burton Swifts 1703 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1895-09-14 73.66 Notts County 4 1750 15.72% @ Port Vale 0 1720 67.21% 17.07%
2 1896-02-22 65.65 Newcastle United 3 1704 6.01% @ Burton Wanderers 0 1859 77.60% 16.39%
3 1895-12-14 60.97 Liverpool 4 1860 27.17% @ Darwen 0 1712 55.60% 17.23%
4 1896-02-29 59.09 Liverpool 7 1991 53.78% @ Burton Swifts 0 1645 29.24% 16.98%
5 1896-01-11 53.59 Grimsby Town 5 1850 24.03% @ Newcastle United 1 1730 58.75% 17.21%
6 1895-09-23 47.73 Burton Swifts 4 1667 15.48% @ Rotherham Town 1 1640 67.45% 17.07%
7 1896-02-08 45.82 @ Newcastle United 4 1658 42.57% Burton Wanderers 0 1905 40.25% 17.18%
8 1895-11-16 45.12 Leicester Fosse 4 1715 18.98% @ Loughborough United 1 1646 63.87% 17.15%
9 1895-11-09 44.69 Burton Wanderers 4 1822 19.57% @ Notts County 1 1747 63.27% 17.16%
10 1895-12-07 43.48 Burton Wanderers 6 1891 45.96% @ Rotherham Town 1 1604 36.92% 17.12%
11 1895-11-30 42.39 Manchester City 4 1812 22.78% @ Burton Swifts 1 1704 60.02% 17.20%
12 1895-10-05 41.80 @ Crewe Alexandra 5 1534 38.01% Notts County 1 1814 44.86% 17.13%
13 1896-01-04 40.87 Liverpool 5 1936 55.46% @ Rotherham Town 0 1576 27.60% 16.94%
14 1895-09-07 40.22 Port Vale 2 1679 13.49% @ Rotherham Town 0 1680 69.52% 16.99%
15 1896-02-29 39.77 Lincoln City 3 1605 4.98% @ Leicester Fosse 1 1796 78.82% 16.20%
16 1895-11-16 39.37 Grimsby Town 4 1786 27.16% @ Port Vale 1 1638 55.61% 17.23%
17 1896-04-06 38.56 Notts County 3 1713 6.99% @ Burton Wanderers 1 1841 76.49% 16.52%
18 1895-12-28 37.91 @ Lincoln City 4 1567 50.66% Newcastle United 0 1755 32.11% 17.23%
19 1896-01-04 37.61 @ Darwen 3 1668 39.07% Burton Wanderers 0 1940 43.79% 17.15%
20 1896-04-18 37.27 Darwen 3 1699 9.18% @ Woolwich Arsenal 1 1774 74.07% 16.74%
21 1895-11-16 36.60 Liverpool 2 1844 19.39% @ Woolwich Arsenal 0 1770 63.46% 17.16%
22 1895-10-26 36.09 Burton Wanderers 2 1786 20.24% @ Burton Swifts 0 1703 62.59% 17.17%
23 1895-11-23 35.42 Newton Heath 2 1788 21.39% @ Notts County 0 1694 61.43% 17.19%
24 1895-09-28 34.85 Grimsby Town 5 1768 25.87% @ Lincoln City 2 1631 56.90% 17.22%
25 1896-03-23 34.14 @ Port Vale 3 1525 43.84% Newton Heath 0 1763 38.97% 17.19%