Home / Leagues / England / Football League Second Division / 1893-94
‹ ›

1893-94 Football League Second Division Season

210 games

Final

Promoted

Liverpool

via playoff

Small Heath · via playoff

Relegated

Middlesbrough Ironopolis

via dissolution

Northwich Victoria · withdrew

Biggest Overachiever

Liverpool

14.15 points above expected

50 points · 35.85 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Northwich Victoria

10.72 points below expected

9 points · 19.72 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Liverpool Promoted 28 22 6 0 50 77 18 +59 35.85 +14.15
2 Small Heath Birmingham 28 21 0 7 42 103 44 +59 35.51 +6.49
3 Notts County 28 18 3 7 39 70 31 +39 34.39 +4.61
4 Newcastle United 28 15 6 7 36 66 39 +27 30.03 +5.97
5 Grimsby Town 28 15 2 11 32 71 58 +13 29.94 +2.06
6 Burton Swifts 28 14 3 11 31 79 61 +18 29.65 +1.35
7 Port Vale 28 13 4 11 30 66 64 +2 28.15 +1.85
8 Lincoln City 28 11 6 11 28 59 58 +1 28.27 -0.27
9 Woolwich Arsenal 28 12 4 12 28 52 55 -3 27.10 +0.90
10 Walsall Town Swifts 28 10 3 15 23 51 61 -10 22.40 +0.60
11 Middlesbrough Ironopolis Dissolved 28 8 4 16 20 37 72 -35 25.60 -5.60
12 Crewe Alexandra 28 6 7 15 19 42 73 -31 23.27 -4.27
13 Ardwick 28 8 2 18 18 47 71 -24 26.88 -8.88
14 Rotherham Town 28 6 3 19 15 44 91 -47 23.23 -8.23
15 Northwich Victoria Withdrew 28 3 3 22 9 30 98 -68 19.72 -10.72

Notes

  • Middlesbrough resigned from the league and liquidated at the end of the season.
  • Northwich Victoria resigned from the league at the end of the season.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Liverpool 1937 50 35.85 +14.15 100.0% 20 29 33 36 38 42 49
Small Heath Birmingham 1929 42 35.51 +6.49 96.0% 18 29 33 36 38 42 51
Notts County 1877 39 34.39 +4.61 89.8% 19 28 32 34 37 41 49
Newcastle United 1800 36 30.03 +5.97 94.9% 13 23 27 30 33 37 45
Grimsby Town 1754 32 29.94 +2.06 73.6% 13 23 27 30 33 37 46
Burton Swifts 1716 31 29.65 +1.35 67.2% 14 23 27 30 32 36 44
Port Vale 1706 30 28.15 +1.85 71.3% 12 22 25 28 31 35 43
Lincoln City 1700 28 28.27 -0.27 52.1% 13 22 25 28 31 35 44
Woolwich Arsenal 1668 28 27.10 +0.90 63.6% 9 20 24 27 30 34 43
Walsall Town Swifts 1664 23 22.40 +0.60 61.0% 7 16 20 22 25 29 37
Ardwick 1626 18 26.88 -8.88 1.9% 13 20 24 27 30 33 42
Crewe Alexandra 1604 19 23.27 -4.27 17.6% 8 17 21 23 26 30 38
Middlesbrough Ironopolis 1585 20 25.60 -5.60 11.0% 11 19 23 26 28 32 40
Rotherham Town 1509 15 23.23 -8.23 2.8% 8 17 20 23 26 30 38
Northwich Victoria 1444 9 19.72 -10.72 0.3% 6 13 17 20 22 26 40

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARD BS CA GT LC LIV MI NU NV NC PV RT SHB WTS WA
Ardwick —
0-0-2
2.81
0-1-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.41
0-0-2
2.58
0-0-2
2.34
1-0-1
2.90
0-0-2
2.50
2-0-0
3.73
0-1-1
1.90
1-0-1
2.54
2-0-0
3.37
0-0-2
2.00
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.95
Burton Swifts
2-0-0
2.91
 —
2-0-0
3.42
0-0-2
2.85
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.42
1-0-1
3.46
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
4.14
0-0-2
2.52
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
3.25
0-0-2
2.42
2-0-0
3.54
2-0-0
3.09
Crewe Alexandra
1-1-0
2.38
0-0-2
2.30
 —
0-1-1
1.94
0-1-1
2.57
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
2.66
0-1-1
2.10
2-0-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.06
0-1-1
2.40
2-0-0
3.03
0-0-2
1.44
0-1-1
3.27
0-1-1
2.22
Grimsby Town
1-0-1
3.31
2-0-0
2.87
1-1-0
3.78
 —
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
1.87
2-0-0
3.35
0-1-1
2.71
2-0-0
4.10
1-0-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.97
1-0-1
3.28
1-0-1
2.30
1-0-1
3.76
1-0-1
3.13
Lincoln City
2-0-0
3.15
1-1-0
2.87
1-1-0
3.15
1-0-1
2.56
 —
0-1-1
2.11
0-1-1
3.24
1-0-1
2.61
2-0-0
3.68
1-0-1
2.17
0-1-1
3.03
1-1-0
3.00
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-2
3.43
1-0-1
3.28
Liverpool
2-0-0
3.38
1-1-0
3.31
2-0-0
4.17
2-0-0
3.85
1-1-0
3.61
 —
2-0-0
3.11
1-1-0
3.69
2-0-0
5.03
1-1-0
2.72
1-1-0
4.06
2-0-0
4.56
2-0-0
2.57
1-1-0
4.21
2-0-0
3.56
Middlesbrough Ironopolis
1-0-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
3.06
0-0-2
2.37
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-2
2.61
 —
0-1-1
2.29
1-0-1
3.75
0-1-1
1.88
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
1.61
0-1-1
3.11
0-0-2
2.53
Newcastle United
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.11
0-1-1
2.04
1-1-0
3.43
 —
1-0-1
3.67
1-0-1
2.11
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
4.04
1-0-1
2.34
2-0-0
3.71
1-1-0
2.82
Northwich Victoria
0-0-2
1.99
0-1-1
1.58
0-0-2
2.73
0-0-2
1.62
0-0-2
2.04
0-0-2
0.72
1-0-1
1.97
1-0-1
2.06
 —
0-0-2
1.86
0-0-2
2.17
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
1.42
1-0-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.22
Notts County
1-1-0
3.83
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
3.44
1-0-1
3.56
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
3.84
1-0-1
3.61
2-0-0
3.87
 —
1-0-1
3.37
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
2.65
1-0-1
4.33
2-0-0
3.57
Port Vale
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.87
1-1-0
3.32
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
2.69
0-1-1
1.67
1-0-1
3.26
0-1-1
2.69
2-0-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.35
 —
1-0-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
3.33
Rotherham Town
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
2.47
0-0-2
2.69
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.72
0-0-2
1.18
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
1.69
1-1-0
3.14
0-0-2
2.09
1-0-1
2.54
 —
0-0-2
1.40
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
2.56
Small Heath Birmingham
2-0-0
3.72
2-0-0
3.30
2-0-0
4.29
1-0-1
3.42
2-0-0
3.47
0-0-2
3.15
1-0-1
4.12
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
4.31
1-0-1
3.07
1-0-1
3.34
2-0-0
4.32
 —
2-0-0
3.73
2-0-0
3.70
Walsall Town Swifts
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
2.18
1-1-0
2.45
1-0-1
1.96
2-0-0
2.30
0-1-1
1.52
1-1-0
2.61
0-0-2
2.01
1-0-1
2.95
1-0-1
1.40
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.58
0-0-2
2.00
 —
0-0-2
2.40
Woolwich Arsenal
2-0-0
2.76
0-0-2
2.63
1-1-0
3.50
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.17
2-0-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.90
1-1-0
3.51
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
3.16
0-0-2
2.02
2-0-0
3.33
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +5.0
Allowed 0.91 -5.0
Differential 0.96 +2.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.86%3.10%4.05%3.81%1.90%4.52%20.24%
13.10%8.10%5.95%2.86%3.33%4.05%27.38%
24.05%5.95%1.90%2.62%1.19%3.33%19.05%
33.81%2.86%2.62%0.48%0.95%1.19%11.90%
41.90%3.33%1.19%0.95%—0.24%7.62%
5+4.52%4.05%3.33%1.19%0.24%0.48%13.81%
Total20.24%27.38%19.05%11.90%7.62%13.81%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.13 2.13 +0.00
SD 1.94 1.94 3.07
CV 0.91 0.91 —
Max 10 10 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 210

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%17.86%3.57%3.57%—14.29%42.86%
1—3.57%7.14%—3.57%—14.29%
2———3.57%3.57%7.14%14.29%
33.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
4—7.14%3.57%———10.71%
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total7.14%39.29%17.86%7.14%7.14%21.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 2.54 -0.86
SD 2.07 2.25 3.37
CV 1.24 0.89 —
Max 8 10 +7
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——7.14%3.57%——10.71%
1—10.71%7.14%10.71%3.57%3.57%35.71%
23.57%3.57%———3.57%10.71%
3—3.57%————3.57%
4—7.14%—3.57%——10.71%
5+7.14%3.57%10.71%3.57%—3.57%28.57%
Total10.71%28.57%25.00%21.43%3.57%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.82 2.18 +0.64
SD 2.37 1.61 3.05
CV 0.84 0.74 —
Max 8 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—10.71%——3.57%17.86%
1—17.86%7.14%——17.86%42.86%
23.57%7.14%—7.14%3.57%—21.43%
33.57%——3.57%—3.57%10.71%
4—3.57%————3.57%
5+3.57%—————3.57%
Total14.29%28.57%17.86%10.71%3.57%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.61 -1.11
SD 1.23 2.31 2.85
CV 0.82 0.89 —
Max 5 9 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%—3.57%17.86%
13.57%——3.57%7.14%3.57%17.86%
2—14.29%——3.57%3.57%21.43%
33.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%3.57%—17.86%
43.57%—————3.57%
5+7.14%3.57%10.71%———21.43%
Total21.43%25.00%17.86%10.71%14.29%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.54 2.07 +0.46
SD 2.10 1.76 3.18
CV 0.83 0.85 —
Max 7 6 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—7.14%—7.14%3.57%21.43%
13.57%14.29%3.57%——3.57%25.00%
2—7.14%3.57%3.57%—7.14%21.43%
37.14%3.57%———3.57%14.29%
4—3.57%3.57%———7.14%
5+3.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
Total17.86%32.14%21.43%3.57%7.14%17.86%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 2.07 +0.04
SD 2.02 1.82 3.05
CV 0.96 0.88 —
Max 8 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—————3.57%
17.14%14.29%————21.43%
214.29%7.14%3.57%———25.00%
37.14%7.14%3.57%———17.86%
47.14%3.57%—3.57%——14.29%
5+10.71%7.14%————17.86%
Total50.00%39.29%7.14%3.57%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.75 0.64 +2.11
SD 1.58 0.78 1.75
CV 0.57 1.21 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%3.57%3.57%3.57%10.71%35.71%
1—7.14%10.71%—3.57%3.57%25.00%
27.14%7.14%———7.14%21.43%
33.57%3.57%3.57%——3.57%14.29%
4———————
5+—3.57%————3.57%
Total17.86%28.57%17.86%3.57%7.14%25.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 2.57 -1.25
SD 1.42 2.36 2.94
CV 1.07 0.92 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—3.57%———10.71%
1—10.71%7.14%7.14%—3.57%28.57%
23.57%14.29%3.57%———21.43%
37.14%—3.57%——3.57%14.29%
43.57%10.71%————14.29%
5+3.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
Total25.00%39.29%21.43%7.14%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 1.39 +0.96
SD 1.79 1.34 2.40
CV 0.76 0.96 —
Max 7 5 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—14.29%3.57%14.29%39.29%
13.57%7.14%7.14%—7.14%7.14%32.14%
2—3.57%3.57%7.14%3.57%3.57%21.43%
3———————
4—————3.57%3.57%
5+———3.57%——3.57%
Total3.57%17.86%10.71%25.00%14.29%28.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 3.50 -2.43
SD 1.25 2.12 2.56
CV 1.16 0.60 —
Max 5 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%3.57%—7.14%——17.86%
13.57%3.57%10.71%———17.86%
217.86%3.57%———3.57%25.00%
37.14%7.14%3.57%———17.86%
4——3.57%———3.57%
5+3.57%10.71%3.57%———17.86%
Total39.29%28.57%21.43%7.14%—3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.50 1.11 +1.39
SD 2.22 1.23 2.62
CV 0.89 1.11 —
Max 9 5 +8
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————3.57%3.57%7.14%
17.14%7.14%10.71%3.57%3.57%7.14%39.29%
2—3.57%7.14%3.57%——14.29%
3—3.57%3.57%——3.57%10.71%
43.57%—7.14%———10.71%
5+7.14%7.14%—3.57%——17.86%
Total17.86%21.43%28.57%10.71%7.14%14.29%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.36 2.29 +0.07
SD 1.75 2.03 3.18
CV 0.74 0.89 —
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.57%7.14%7.14%3.57%—21.43%
1—10.71%—3.57%10.71%10.71%35.71%
2—3.57%—7.14%3.57%7.14%21.43%
3——7.14%—3.57%—10.71%
4—3.57%—3.57%——7.14%
5+————3.57%—3.57%
Total—21.43%14.29%21.43%25.00%17.86%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 3.25 -1.68
SD 1.35 1.84 2.26
CV 0.86 0.57 —
Max 5 8 +3
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———3.57%—3.57%7.14%
13.57%—3.57%7.14%3.57%—17.86%
27.14%3.57%————10.71%
33.57%3.57%3.57%—3.57%—14.29%
43.57%7.14%—3.57%——14.29%
5+14.29%7.14%10.71%3.57%——35.71%
Total32.14%21.43%17.86%17.86%7.14%3.57%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.68 1.57 +2.11
SD 2.51 1.48 3.38
CV 0.68 0.94 —
Max 10 5 +8
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.57%7.14%7.14%7.14%3.57%28.57%
13.57%10.71%7.14%3.57%——25.00%
23.57%7.14%—3.57%—3.57%17.86%
37.14%———3.57%—10.71%
4———————
5+3.57%3.57%7.14%——3.57%17.86%
Total17.86%25.00%21.43%14.29%10.71%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 2.18 -0.36
SD 1.79 1.89 2.66
CV 0.98 0.87 —
Max 5 8 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 28

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.57%—7.14%3.57%—7.14%21.43%
110.71%3.57%7.14%3.57%7.14%—32.14%
2—3.57%7.14%3.57%—3.57%17.86%
33.57%3.57%3.57%———10.71%
47.14%3.57%————10.71%
5+3.57%——3.57%——7.14%
Total28.57%14.29%25.00%14.29%7.14%10.71%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.86 1.96 -0.11
SD 1.72 1.82 2.87
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 28

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Liverpool 50 35.85 +14.15
2 Small Heath Birmingham 42 35.51 +6.49
3 Newcastle United 36 30.03 +5.97
4 Notts County 39 34.39 +4.61
5 Grimsby Town 32 29.94 +2.06

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Northwich Victoria 9 19.72 -10.72
2 Ardwick 18 26.88 -8.88
3 Rotherham Town 15 23.23 -8.23
4 Middlesbrough Ironopolis 20 25.60 -5.60
5 Crewe Alexandra 19 23.27 -4.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Walsall Town Swifts 5 Mar 12 – Apr 14 1 in 151
2 Port Vale 7 Sep 2 – Sep 30 1 in 108
3 Woolwich Arsenal 4 Feb 10 – Feb 24 1 in 42
4 Crewe Alexandra 2 Apr 7 – Apr 9 1 in 40
5 Lincoln City 3 Jan 20 – Feb 10 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rotherham Town 6 Oct 28 – Dec 26 1 in 201
2 Ardwick 5 Sep 11 – Sep 30 1 in 162
3 Northwich Victoria 10 Dec 23 – Mar 3 1 in 108
4 Walsall Town Swifts 4 Sep 2 – Sep 16 1 in 25
5 Port Vale 3 Oct 7 – Oct 26 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Liverpool 28 Sep 2 – Apr 14 1 in 134,403
2 Newcastle United 11 Nov 25 – Jan 13 1 in 213
3 Woolwich Arsenal 8 Feb 6 – Mar 23 1 in 67
4 Walsall Town Swifts 5 Mar 12 – Apr 14 1 in 24
5 Lincoln City 4 Nov 16 – Dec 25 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Northwich Victoria 17 Nov 23 – Mar 31 1 in 185
2 Crewe Alexandra 9 Dec 2 – Jan 20 1 in 132
3 Rotherham Town 7 Feb 6 – Apr 9 1 in 34
4 Ardwick 5 Sep 11 – Sep 30 1 in 26
5 Lincoln City 5 Feb 17 – Mar 23 1 in 25

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415
Liverpool35.58%24.96%16.48%9.23%5.64%3.53%2.12%1.10%0.73%0.24%0.21%0.08%0.08%0.02%—
Small Heath Birmingham32.75%24.83%15.95%9.71%6.53%3.97%2.34%1.77%0.94%0.53%0.39%0.16%0.07%0.05%0.01%
Notts County19.52%22.10%20.68%12.99%8.69%6.00%3.99%2.41%1.51%1.10%0.46%0.30%0.16%0.06%0.03%
Newcastle United2.87%6.58%10.35%13.77%12.71%11.80%10.22%8.87%7.24%5.61%4.10%2.62%2.02%0.91%0.33%
Grimsby Town2.93%6.21%9.43%11.62%12.72%12.35%10.69%9.54%7.75%5.60%4.65%3.16%1.83%1.15%0.37%
Burton Swifts2.59%5.30%8.48%12.03%12.56%12.05%10.51%9.90%8.26%6.56%4.93%3.32%1.87%1.21%0.43%
Port Vale1.06%2.77%5.15%7.46%9.73%10.29%10.94%10.37%11.04%9.49%7.62%5.79%4.24%2.78%1.27%
Lincoln City1.21%2.93%5.33%7.43%9.32%10.93%11.13%10.99%10.64%9.31%7.50%5.44%4.08%2.63%1.13%
Woolwich Arsenal0.68%1.72%2.97%5.67%7.09%8.56%10.23%10.98%10.49%10.48%10.34%8.63%6.23%4.20%1.73%
Walsall Town Swifts0.02%0.11%0.24%0.70%1.14%1.75%2.84%4.18%5.79%7.93%10.98%13.72%17.04%17.67%15.89%
Middlesbrough Ironopolis0.18%0.74%1.58%2.83%4.35%5.44%7.19%8.90%9.26%11.20%11.74%12.53%10.67%8.53%4.86%
Crewe Alexandra0.07%0.17%0.47%1.08%1.44%2.76%3.68%5.09%6.66%8.51%11.30%14.28%15.94%15.89%12.66%
Ardwick0.48%1.43%2.41%4.36%6.42%7.83%9.95%9.94%11.41%11.49%10.37%9.18%7.37%5.02%2.34%
Rotherham Town0.04%0.13%0.44%1.01%1.45%2.31%3.34%4.91%6.47%8.92%10.65%13.16%15.97%17.89%13.31%
Northwich Victoria0.02%0.02%0.04%0.11%0.21%0.43%0.83%1.05%1.81%3.03%4.76%7.63%12.43%21.99%45.64%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+33.33%
Strong Edge
60.00%13.33%26.67%
Elo Value
Home Edge
103 Elo
0.010 goals per Elo point
0120.41300
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+1.28 goals
Strong Home
-2+1.17+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.6
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Liverpool, 1st of 15
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.29/gm
Tight Race
00.100.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.24 * Some Luck: 3.24 to 4.86 * Lucky: 4.86 to 6.48 * Wild Swing: 6.48 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.86 * Close: 1.86 to 2.8 * Off: 2.8 to 3.73 * Way Off: 3.73 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 15 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 15 * As Expected: 15 to 24 * Several Outliers: 24 to 33 * Many Outliers: 33 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.43 points
Lucky
04.0510
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.67
Pinpoint
02.335
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.67%
100.00%
Liverpool
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.33%
0.33%
Northwich Victoria
050
Season Outliers
Expected
5 of 15
Minimal Outliers
01.57
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
Several Surprises
00.52

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.21
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
2.08
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
72%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
39%
Some Drama
0%37%100%
Blowouts
Expected
43%
Very Frequent
0%42%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.49
Highly Predictable
00.472
Matchup Imbalance
0.56
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
2.59
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.44
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Chalky
0%19%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%17%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.13 * Above Noise: 0.13 to 0.18 * Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.
Probability calibration
<0.01
Miscalibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.42
Very Underconfident
0.450741.001.54926
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.093
Near Noise Ceiling
00.0880.2

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Liverpool 100% — —
Notts County 100% — —
Small Heath Birmingham 100% — —
Newcastle United 19.80% 74.32% 5.88%
Grimsby Town 18.57% 74.92% 6.51%
Burton Swifts 16.37% 76.80% 6.83%
Lincoln City 9.47% 77.25% 13.28%
Port Vale 8.98% 76.94% 14.08%
Woolwich Arsenal 5.37% 73.84% 20.79%
Ardwick 4.32% 71.77% 23.91%
Middlesbrough Ironopolis 2.50% 60.91% 36.59%
Crewe Alexandra 0.71% 40.52% 58.77%
Rotherham Town 0.61% 39.06% 60.33%
Walsall Town Swifts 0.37% 35.31% 64.32%
Northwich Victoria 0.08% 12.23% 87.69%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1893-09-02 Newcastle United D 2-2 1703 1703 68.45% 14.00% 17.55% -1.9 1
1893-09-02 @ Woolwich Arsenal D 2-2 1703 1703 17.55% 14.00% 68.45% +1.9 1
1893-09-02 Notts County L 0-2 1664 1788 55.37% 14.14% 30.49% -21.1 0
1893-09-02 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1788 1664 30.49% 14.14% 55.37% +21.1 2
1893-09-02 Northwich Victoria W 7-0 1715 1663 72.50% 13.89% 13.61% +19.0 2
1893-09-02 @ Grimsby Town L 0-7 1663 1715 13.61% 13.89% 72.50% -19.0 0
1893-09-02 Rotherham Town D 1-1 1688 1703 67.12% 14.03% 18.85% -2.4 1
1893-09-02 @ Lincoln City D 1-1 1703 1688 18.85% 14.03% 67.12% +2.4 1
1893-09-02 Liverpool L 0-2 1703 1703 68.45% 14.00% 17.55% -26.0 0
1893-09-02 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 2-0 1703 1703 17.55% 14.00% 68.45% +26.0 2
1893-09-02 Ardwick W 4-2 1643 1704 62.61% 14.10% 23.29% +7.6 2
1893-09-02 @ Port Vale L 2-4 1704 1643 23.29% 14.10% 62.61% -7.6 0
1893-09-02 Small Heath Birmingham L 1-3 1650 1795 52.76% 14.14% 33.10% -17.4 0
1893-09-02 @ Walsall Town Swifts W 3-1 1795 1650 33.10% 14.14% 52.76% +17.5 2
1893-09-04 Rotherham Town W 4-3 1812 1706 75.94% 13.73% 10.33% +2.1 4
1893-09-04 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 3-4 1706 1812 10.33% 13.73% 75.94% -2.1 1
1893-09-09 Burton Swifts W 6-1 1814 1691 76.83% 13.68% 9.49% +8.1 6
1893-09-09 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 1-6 1691 1814 9.49% 13.68% 76.83% -8.1 0
1893-09-09 Lincoln City W 4-0 1729 1686 71.89% 13.91% 14.20% +11.7 4
1893-09-09 @ Liverpool L 0-4 1686 1729 14.20% 13.91% 71.89% -11.7 1
1893-09-09 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 6-1 1697 1677 70.04% 13.96% 16.00% +13.3 2
1893-09-09 @ Ardwick L 1-6 1677 1697 16.00% 13.96% 70.04% -13.3 0
1893-09-09 Crewe Alexandra L 1-2 1644 1643 68.60% 14.00% 17.39% -13.0 0
1893-09-09 @ Northwich Victoria W 2-1 1643 1644 17.39% 14.00% 68.60% +13.0 2
1893-09-09 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-2 1809 1701 75.98% 13.73% 10.29% +2.2 4
1893-09-09 @ Notts County L 2-3 1701 1809 10.29% 13.73% 75.98% -2.2 1
1893-09-09 Grimsby Town W 4-3 1704 1734 65.66% 14.06% 20.28% +4.0 3
1893-09-09 @ Rotherham Town L 3-4 1734 1704 20.28% 14.06% 65.66% -4.0 2
1893-09-09 Port Vale L 0-5 1633 1651 66.87% 14.04% 19.10% -59.4 0
1893-09-09 @ Walsall Town Swifts W 5-0 1651 1633 19.10% 14.04% 66.87% +59.4 4
1893-09-11 Walsall Town Swifts W 4-0 1699 1573 77.00% 13.66% 9.34% +7.8 3
1893-09-11 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-4 1573 1699 9.34% 13.66% 77.00% -7.8 0
1893-09-11 Notts County L 0-1 1631 1811 48.06% 14.13% 37.81% -9.8 0
1893-09-11 @ Northwich Victoria W 1-0 1811 1631 37.81% 14.13% 48.06% +9.8 6
1893-09-11 Burton Swifts L 1-4 1710 1683 70.62% 13.95% 15.43% -32.9 2
1893-09-11 @ Ardwick W 4-1 1683 1710 15.43% 13.95% 70.62% +32.9 2
1893-09-16 Crewe Alexandra W 4-2 1710 1656 72.67% 13.88% 13.45% +4.5 6
1893-09-16 @ Port Vale L 2-4 1656 1710 13.45% 13.88% 72.67% -4.5 2
1893-09-16 Burton Swifts W 2-1 1730 1716 69.63% 13.98% 16.39% +3.5 4
1893-09-16 @ Grimsby Town L 1-2 1716 1730 16.39% 13.98% 69.63% -3.5 2
1893-09-16 Northwich Victoria W 4-1 1674 1622 72.55% 13.89% 13.56% +7.2 3
1893-09-16 @ Lincoln City L 1-4 1622 1674 13.56% 13.89% 72.55% -7.2 0
1893-09-16 Notts County L 0-2 1708 1821 56.71% 14.14% 29.15% -21.6 3
1893-09-16 @ Rotherham Town W 2-0 1821 1708 29.15% 14.14% 56.71% +21.6 8
1893-09-16 Liverpool L 0-1 1677 1741 62.29% 14.10% 23.61% -12.5 2
1893-09-16 @ Ardwick W 1-0 1741 1677 23.61% 14.10% 62.29% +12.5 6
1893-09-16 Walsall Town Swifts W 4-0 1822 1566 82.22% 13.12% 4.67% +3.9 8
1893-09-16 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-4 1566 1822 4.67% 13.12% 82.22% -3.9 0
1893-09-18 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 4-0 1714 1664 72.40% 13.89% 13.71% +11.3 8
1893-09-18 @ Port Vale L 0-4 1664 1714 13.71% 13.89% 72.40% -11.3 0
1893-09-20 Ardwick W 5-0 1713 1664 72.24% 13.90% 13.86% +14.1 4
1893-09-20 @ Burton Swifts L 0-5 1664 1713 13.86% 13.90% 72.24% -14.1 2
1893-09-23 Grimsby Town L 1-2 1681 1734 63.50% 14.09% 22.41% -12.0 3
1893-09-23 @ Lincoln City W 2-1 1734 1681 22.41% 14.09% 63.50% +12.0 6
1893-09-23 Newcastle United W 3-1 1727 1705 70.23% 13.96% 15.81% +5.9 6
1893-09-23 @ Burton Swifts L 1-3 1705 1727 15.81% 13.96% 70.23% -5.9 1
1893-09-23 Small Heath Birmingham W 3-1 1754 1826 61.37% 14.11% 24.52% +8.9 8
1893-09-23 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1826 1754 24.52% 14.11% 61.37% -8.9 8
1893-09-23 Crewe Alexandra W 5-1 1562 1651 59.49% 14.12% 26.38% +17.3 2
1893-09-23 @ Walsall Town Swifts L 1-5 1651 1562 26.38% 14.12% 59.49% -17.3 2
1893-09-23 Ardwick W 2-0 1653 1650 68.65% 14.00% 17.35% +7.4 2
1893-09-23 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis L 0-2 1650 1653 17.35% 14.00% 68.65% -7.4 2
1893-09-23 Port Vale L 1-5 1614 1726 56.89% 14.13% 28.97% -34.2 0
1893-09-23 @ Northwich Victoria W 5-1 1726 1614 28.97% 14.13% 56.89% +34.2 10
1893-09-25 Grimsby Town W 3-1 1707 1746 64.87% 14.07% 21.06% +7.7 5
1893-09-25 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-3 1746 1707 21.06% 14.07% 64.87% -7.7 6
1893-09-25 Small Heath Birmingham W 5-0 1760 1817 63.00% 14.09% 22.91% +22.5 12
1893-09-25 @ Port Vale L 0-5 1817 1760 22.91% 14.09% 63.00% -22.5 8
1893-09-26 Rotherham Town W 3-0 1579 1686 57.42% 14.13% 28.45% +17.0 4
1893-09-26 @ Walsall Town Swifts L 0-3 1686 1579 28.45% 14.13% 57.42% -17.0 3
1893-09-30 Liverpool D 1-1 1842 1762 74.35% 13.81% 11.84% -3.2 9
1893-09-30 @ Notts County D 1-1 1762 1842 11.84% 13.81% 74.35% +3.2 9
1893-09-30 Northwich Victoria W 3-2 1782 1580 80.39% 13.37% 6.24% +1.3 14
1893-09-30 @ Port Vale L 2-3 1580 1782 6.24% 13.37% 80.39% -1.3 0
1893-09-30 Rotherham Town W 4-1 1733 1669 73.30% 13.86% 12.84% +6.8 8
1893-09-30 @ Burton Swifts L 1-4 1669 1733 12.84% 13.86% 73.30% -6.8 3
1893-09-30 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 5-0 1634 1660 66.07% 14.05% 19.88% +19.7 4
1893-09-30 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-5 1660 1634 19.88% 14.05% 66.07% -19.7 2
1893-09-30 Walsall Town Swifts W 5-2 1738 1596 77.82% 13.61% 8.57% +4.0 8
1893-09-30 @ Grimsby Town L 2-5 1596 1738 8.57% 13.61% 77.82% -4.0 4
1893-09-30 Woolwich Arsenal W 6-0 1699 1715 67.08% 14.03% 18.89% +22.4 3
1893-09-30 @ Newcastle United L 0-6 1715 1699 18.89% 14.03% 67.08% -22.3 5
1893-09-30 Small Heath Birmingham L 0-1 1643 1795 51.77% 14.14% 34.09% -10.5 2
1893-09-30 @ Ardwick W 1-0 1795 1643 34.09% 14.14% 51.77% +10.5 10
1893-10-02 Northwich Victoria W 6-2 1740 1579 78.68% 13.54% 7.78% +4.6 10
1893-10-02 @ Burton Swifts L 2-6 1579 1740 7.78% 13.54% 78.68% -4.6 0
1893-10-05 Grimsby Town W 3-0 1839 1742 75.38% 13.76% 10.86% +6.9 11
1893-10-05 @ Notts County L 0-3 1742 1839 10.86% 13.76% 75.38% -6.9 8
1893-10-07 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 6-0 1766 1640 76.96% 13.67% 9.37% +11.5 11
1893-10-07 @ Liverpool L 0-6 1640 1766 9.37% 13.67% 76.96% -11.5 2
1893-10-07 Port Vale W 8-1 1632 1784 51.84% 14.14% 34.01% +36.2 4
1893-10-07 @ Ardwick L 1-8 1784 1632 34.01% 14.14% 51.84% -36.2 14
1893-10-07 Burton Swifts L 1-2 1654 1744 59.35% 14.12% 26.53% -11.3 4
1893-10-07 @ Crewe Alexandra W 2-1 1744 1654 26.53% 14.12% 59.35% +11.3 12
1893-10-07 Newcastle United W 2-1 1669 1722 63.52% 14.09% 22.39% +4.7 5
1893-10-07 @ Lincoln City L 1-2 1722 1669 22.39% 14.09% 63.52% -4.7 3
1893-10-07 Grimsby Town W 5-2 1805 1735 73.73% 13.84% 12.43% +5.8 12
1893-10-07 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 2-5 1735 1805 12.43% 13.84% 73.73% -5.8 8
1893-10-07 Walsall Town Swifts W 1-0 1574 1592 66.88% 14.04% 19.09% +4.3 2
1893-10-07 @ Northwich Victoria L 0-1 1592 1574 19.09% 14.04% 66.88% -4.3 4
1893-10-14 Newcastle United W 3-1 1846 1717 77.15% 13.65% 9.19% +3.5 13
1893-10-14 @ Notts County L 1-3 1717 1846 9.19% 13.65% 77.15% -3.5 3
1893-10-14 Liverpool L 3-4 1811 1777 71.19% 13.93% 14.87% -12.5 12
1893-10-14 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 4-3 1777 1811 14.87% 13.93% 71.19% +12.5 13
1893-10-21 Newcastle United L 2-3 1669 1713 64.28% 14.08% 21.64% -11.6 4
1893-10-21 @ Ardwick W 3-2 1713 1669 21.64% 14.08% 64.28% +11.6 5
1893-10-21 Notts County W 5-2 1730 1849 55.88% 14.14% 29.99% +13.0 10
1893-10-21 @ Grimsby Town L 2-5 1849 1730 29.99% 14.14% 55.88% -13.0 13
1893-10-21 Woolwich Arsenal W 4-1 1799 1692 75.92% 13.73% 10.34% +5.6 14
1893-10-21 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 1-4 1692 1799 10.34% 13.73% 75.92% -5.6 5
1893-10-21 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 1-0 1588 1629 64.62% 14.07% 21.30% +4.8 6
1893-10-21 @ Walsall Town Swifts L 0-1 1629 1588 21.30% 14.07% 64.62% -4.8 2
1893-10-21 Lincoln City D 1-1 1642 1674 65.55% 14.06% 20.39% -2.2 5
1893-10-21 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1674 1642 20.39% 14.06% 65.55% +2.2 6
1893-10-21 Rotherham Town L 2-3 1748 1662 74.70% 13.79% 11.50% -13.5 14
1893-10-21 @ Port Vale W 3-2 1662 1748 11.50% 13.79% 74.70% +13.5 5
1893-10-21 Liverpool D 1-1 1755 1790 65.33% 14.06% 20.61% -2.2 13
1893-10-21 @ Burton Swifts D 1-1 1790 1755 20.61% 14.06% 65.33% +2.2 14
1893-10-26 Port Vale W 6-1 1836 1734 75.71% 13.74% 10.55% +9.0 15
1893-10-26 @ Notts County L 1-6 1734 1836 10.55% 13.74% 75.71% -9.0 14
1893-10-28 Small Heath Birmingham L 0-2 1725 1804 60.65% 14.11% 25.23% -23.0 5
1893-10-28 @ Newcastle United W 2-0 1804 1725 25.23% 14.11% 60.65% +23.0 16
1893-10-28 Northwich Victoria W 3-0 1640 1579 73.16% 13.86% 12.98% +8.2 7
1893-10-28 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-3 1579 1640 12.98% 13.86% 73.16% -8.2 2
1893-10-28 Lincoln City L 2-4 1743 1676 73.48% 13.85% 12.67% -21.7 10
1893-10-28 @ Grimsby Town W 4-2 1676 1743 12.67% 13.85% 73.48% +21.7 8
1893-10-28 Liverpool L 0-5 1687 1792 57.68% 14.13% 28.18% -51.3 5
1893-10-28 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 5-0 1792 1687 28.18% 14.13% 57.68% +51.3 16
1893-10-28 Burton Swifts W 2-1 1624 1753 54.72% 14.14% 31.14% +6.3 4
1893-10-28 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis L 1-2 1753 1624 31.14% 14.14% 54.72% -6.3 13
1893-10-28 Notts County D 0-0 1657 1845 46.83% 14.13% 39.05% -0.4 5
1893-10-28 @ Ardwick D 0-0 1845 1657 39.05% 14.13% 46.83% +0.4 16
1893-10-28 Port Vale L 0-1 1676 1725 63.82% 14.08% 22.10% -12.8 5
1893-10-28 @ Rotherham Town W 1-0 1725 1676 22.10% 14.08% 63.82% +12.8 16
1893-11-04 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 3-0 1846 1631 80.86% 13.31% 5.83% +3.8 18
1893-11-04 @ Notts County L 0-3 1631 1846 5.83% 13.31% 80.86% -3.8 4
1893-11-04 Newcastle United W 5-1 1843 1702 77.76% 13.61% 8.63% +6.0 18
1893-11-04 @ Liverpool L 1-5 1702 1843 8.63% 13.61% 77.76% -6.0 5
1893-11-11 Liverpool D 1-1 1592 1849 37.19% 14.06% 48.76% +0.5 7
1893-11-11 @ Walsall Town Swifts D 1-1 1849 1592 48.76% 14.06% 37.19% -0.5 19
1893-11-11 Ardwick W 1-0 1636 1657 66.57% 14.04% 19.39% +4.4 7
1893-11-11 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-1 1657 1636 19.39% 14.04% 66.57% -4.4 5
1893-11-11 Burton Swifts L 2-5 1663 1747 60.10% 14.12% 25.78% -24.2 5
1893-11-11 @ Rotherham Town W 5-2 1747 1663 25.78% 14.12% 60.10% +24.2 15
1893-11-11 Small Heath Birmingham L 2-5 1698 1827 54.70% 14.14% 31.15% -22.1 8
1893-11-11 @ Lincoln City W 5-2 1827 1698 31.15% 14.14% 54.70% +22.1 18
1893-11-11 Grimsby Town L 2-6 1627 1721 58.94% 14.13% 26.93% -30.0 4
1893-11-11 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 6-2 1721 1627 26.93% 14.13% 58.94% +30.0 12
1893-11-13 Rotherham Town W 3-0 1640 1639 68.56% 14.00% 17.44% +10.8 9
1893-11-13 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-3 1639 1640 17.44% 14.00% 68.56% -10.9 5
1893-11-16 Lincoln City L 1-2 1850 1676 79.24% 13.49% 7.27% -15.1 18
1893-11-16 @ Notts County W 2-1 1676 1850 7.27% 13.49% 79.24% +15.1 10
1893-11-18 Newcastle United W 5-3 1570 1696 55.14% 14.14% 30.72% +9.2 4
1893-11-18 @ Northwich Victoria L 3-5 1696 1570 30.72% 14.14% 55.14% -9.2 5
1893-11-18 Woolwich Arsenal W 6-2 1771 1651 76.70% 13.68% 9.62% +5.7 17
1893-11-18 @ Burton Swifts L 2-6 1651 1771 9.62% 13.68% 76.70% -5.7 9
1893-11-18 Walsall Town Swifts W 3-0 1652 1593 73.02% 13.87% 13.11% +8.3 7
1893-11-18 @ Ardwick L 0-3 1593 1652 13.11% 13.87% 73.02% -8.3 7
1893-11-18 Notts County W 2-1 1849 1834 69.63% 13.98% 16.39% +3.5 21
1893-11-18 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1834 1849 16.39% 13.98% 69.63% -3.5 18
1893-11-23 Northwich Victoria W 6-1 1831 1579 82.06% 13.14% 4.80% +4.1 20
1893-11-23 @ Notts County L 1-6 1579 1831 4.80% 13.14% 82.06% -4.1 4
1893-11-25 Small Heath Birmingham W 3-0 1597 1849 37.76% 14.06% 48.18% +26.9 6
1893-11-25 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis L 0-3 1849 1597 48.18% 14.06% 37.76% -26.9 18
1893-11-25 Liverpool D 0-0 1687 1852 49.99% 14.14% 35.87% -0.7 6
1893-11-25 @ Newcastle United D 0-0 1852 1687 35.87% 14.14% 49.99% +0.7 22
1893-11-25 Notts County W 1-0 1738 1835 58.61% 14.13% 27.27% +6.0 18
1893-11-25 @ Port Vale L 0-1 1835 1738 27.27% 14.13% 58.61% -6.0 20
1893-11-30 Burton Swifts W 6-2 1829 1777 72.52% 13.89% 13.59% +7.9 22
1893-11-30 @ Notts County L 2-6 1777 1829 13.59% 13.89% 72.52% -7.9 17
1893-12-02 Walsall Town Swifts D 1-1 1648 1585 73.30% 13.86% 12.84% -3.0 8
1893-12-02 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1585 1648 12.84% 13.86% 73.30% +3.0 8
1893-12-02 Port Vale W 4-0 1751 1744 69.04% 13.99% 16.97% +13.8 14
1893-12-02 @ Grimsby Town L 0-4 1744 1751 16.97% 13.99% 69.04% -13.8 18
1893-12-02 Ardwick W 3-0 1853 1661 80.00% 13.41% 6.59% +4.2 24
1893-12-02 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1661 1853 6.59% 13.41% 80.00% -4.2 7
1893-12-02 Northwich Victoria W 8-0 1822 1575 81.92% 13.16% 4.91% +8.0 20
1893-12-02 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-8 1575 1822 4.91% 13.16% 81.92% -8.0 4
1893-12-02 Lincoln City L 2-8 1628 1691 62.38% 14.10% 23.52% -44.9 5
1893-12-02 @ Rotherham Town W 8-2 1691 1628 23.52% 14.10% 62.38% +44.9 12
1893-12-04 Grimsby Town W 6-1 1730 1765 65.28% 14.06% 20.66% +16.9 20
1893-12-04 @ Port Vale L 1-6 1765 1730 20.66% 14.06% 65.28% -16.9 14
1893-12-06 Crewe Alexandra W 6-1 1830 1645 79.72% 13.44% 6.84% +5.9 22
1893-12-06 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 1-6 1645 1830 6.84% 13.44% 79.72% -5.9 8
1893-12-09 Grimsby Town W 4-1 1656 1748 59.26% 14.12% 26.62% +13.5 9
1893-12-09 @ Ardwick L 1-4 1748 1656 26.62% 14.12% 59.26% -13.5 14
1893-12-09 Small Heath Birmingham L 0-2 1769 1836 61.94% 14.10% 23.96% -23.5 17
1893-12-09 @ Burton Swifts W 2-0 1836 1769 23.96% 14.10% 61.94% +23.5 24
1893-12-09 Woolwich Arsenal D 2-2 1567 1645 60.79% 14.11% 25.09% -1.3 5
1893-12-09 @ Northwich Victoria D 2-2 1645 1567 25.09% 14.11% 60.79% +1.3 10
1893-12-09 Rotherham Town W 6-1 1624 1583 71.69% 13.92% 14.39% +12.1 8
1893-12-09 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis L 1-6 1583 1624 14.39% 13.92% 71.69% -12.1 5
1893-12-09 Walsall Town Swifts W 3-0 1857 1588 82.59% 13.05% 4.36% +2.8 26
1893-12-09 @ Liverpool L 0-3 1588 1857 4.36% 13.05% 82.59% -2.8 8
1893-12-09 Notts County W 3-0 1686 1837 51.91% 14.14% 33.95% +19.8 8
1893-12-09 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1837 1686 33.95% 14.14% 51.91% -19.9 22
1893-12-09 Port Vale D 1-1 1639 1747 57.35% 14.13% 28.52% -1.4 9
1893-12-09 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1747 1639 28.52% 14.13% 57.35% +1.4 21
1893-12-16 Burton Swifts W 3-1 1748 1745 68.71% 14.00% 17.30% +6.4 23
1893-12-16 @ Port Vale L 1-3 1745 1748 17.30% 14.00% 68.71% -6.4 17
1893-12-16 Notts County D 0-0 1636 1817 47.78% 14.13% 38.09% -0.5 9
1893-12-16 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis D 0-0 1817 1636 38.09% 14.13% 47.78% +0.5 23
1893-12-16 Newcastle United L 1-4 1860 1706 78.36% 13.56% 8.07% -36.7 24
1893-12-16 @ Small Heath Birmingham W 4-1 1706 1860 8.07% 13.56% 78.36% +36.7 10
1893-12-23 Burton Swifts D 1-1 1736 1739 68.19% 14.01% 17.80% -2.5 13
1893-12-23 @ Lincoln City D 1-1 1739 1736 17.80% 14.01% 68.19% +2.5 18
1893-12-23 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 2-1 1823 1635 79.83% 13.43% 6.74% +1.5 26
1893-12-23 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 1-2 1635 1823 6.74% 13.43% 79.83% -1.5 9
1893-12-23 Northwich Victoria W 3-0 1585 1566 70.01% 13.97% 16.03% +10.0 10
1893-12-23 @ Walsall Town Swifts L 0-3 1566 1585 16.03% 13.97% 70.01% -10.0 5
1893-12-25 Newcastle United D 1-1 1634 1743 57.20% 14.13% 28.66% -1.4 10
1893-12-25 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis D 1-1 1743 1634 28.66% 14.13% 57.20% +1.4 11
1893-12-25 Port Vale W 4-1 1646 1755 57.27% 14.13% 28.60% +14.4 12
1893-12-25 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 1-4 1755 1646 28.60% 14.13% 57.27% -14.4 23
1893-12-25 Crewe Alexandra W 6-1 1733 1638 75.32% 13.76% 10.92% +9.3 15
1893-12-25 @ Lincoln City L 1-6 1638 1733 10.92% 13.76% 75.32% -9.3 9
1893-12-26 Rotherham Town W 3-2 1670 1571 75.52% 13.75% 10.73% +2.2 11
1893-12-26 @ Ardwick L 2-3 1571 1670 10.73% 13.75% 75.52% -2.2 5
1893-12-26 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-1 1734 1661 73.95% 13.83% 12.22% +4.6 16
1893-12-26 @ Grimsby Town L 1-3 1661 1734 12.22% 13.83% 73.95% -4.6 12
1893-12-26 Middlesbrough Ironopolis L 2-3 1743 1632 76.17% 13.72% 10.12% -13.8 15
1893-12-26 @ Lincoln City W 3-2 1632 1743 10.12% 13.72% 76.17% +13.8 12
1893-12-26 Newcastle United L 1-2 1595 1744 52.14% 14.14% 33.72% -10.0 10
1893-12-26 @ Walsall Town Swifts W 2-1 1744 1595 33.72% 14.14% 52.14% +10.0 13
1893-12-27 Newcastle United D 1-1 1629 1754 55.19% 14.14% 30.67% -1.2 10
1893-12-27 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1754 1629 30.67% 14.14% 55.19% +1.2 14
1893-12-28 Liverpool L 0-5 1627 1860 40.56% 14.09% 45.35% -37.3 10
1893-12-28 @ Crewe Alexandra W 5-0 1860 1627 45.35% 14.09% 40.56% +37.3 28
1893-12-30 Walsall Town Swifts D 1-1 1646 1585 73.14% 13.86% 13.00% -3.0 13
1893-12-30 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis D 1-1 1585 1646 13.00% 13.86% 73.14% +3.0 11
1893-12-30 Northwich Victoria W 5-4 1569 1556 69.50% 13.98% 16.52% +3.2 7
1893-12-30 @ Rotherham Town L 4-5 1556 1569 16.52% 13.98% 69.50% -3.2 5
1893-12-30 Lincoln City W 6-0 1825 1729 75.32% 13.76% 10.92% +13.3 28
1893-12-30 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-6 1729 1825 10.92% 13.76% 75.32% -13.3 15
1893-12-30 Notts County L 0-2 1741 1818 60.98% 14.11% 24.91% -23.1 18
1893-12-30 @ Burton Swifts W 2-0 1818 1741 24.91% 14.11% 60.98% +23.2 25
1893-12-30 Grimsby Town W 2-0 1897 1739 78.57% 13.55% 7.89% +3.5 30
1893-12-30 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1739 1897 7.89% 13.55% 78.57% -3.5 16
1893-12-30 Port Vale W 2-1 1755 1740 69.67% 13.97% 16.35% +3.5 16
1893-12-30 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1740 1755 16.35% 13.97% 69.67% -3.5 23
1893-12-30 Woolwich Arsenal L 0-1 1672 1656 69.77% 13.97% 16.26% -14.1 11
1893-12-30 @ Ardwick W 1-0 1656 1672 16.26% 13.97% 69.77% +14.1 14
1894-01-01 Port Vale W 3-1 1643 1737 58.98% 14.13% 26.89% +9.6 15
1894-01-01 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis L 1-3 1737 1643 26.89% 14.13% 58.98% -9.6 23
1894-01-01 Woolwich Arsenal W 2-0 1901 1670 81.38% 13.24% 5.37% +2.4 32
1894-01-01 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1670 1901 5.37% 13.24% 81.38% -2.4 14
1894-01-01 Lincoln City W 5-1 1759 1716 71.86% 13.91% 14.23% +9.8 18
1894-01-01 @ Newcastle United L 1-5 1716 1759 14.23% 13.91% 71.86% -9.8 15
1894-01-02 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 7-2 1768 1653 76.46% 13.70% 9.85% +7.0 20
1894-01-02 @ Newcastle United L 2-7 1653 1768 9.85% 13.70% 76.46% -7.0 15
1894-01-06 Ardwick W 2-1 1775 1658 76.55% 13.69% 9.76% +2.1 22
1894-01-06 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1658 1775 9.76% 13.69% 76.55% -2.1 11
1894-01-06 Burton Swifts L 3-4 1588 1718 54.56% 14.14% 31.30% -9.6 11
1894-01-06 @ Walsall Town Swifts W 4-3 1718 1588 31.30% 14.14% 54.56% +9.6 20
1894-01-06 Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1646 1590 72.75% 13.88% 13.37% +5.8 17
1894-01-06 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis L 0-2 1590 1646 13.37% 13.88% 72.75% -5.8 10
1894-01-06 Woolwich Arsenal W 2-1 1727 1668 73.02% 13.87% 13.11% +2.9 25
1894-01-06 @ Port Vale L 1-2 1668 1727 13.11% 13.87% 73.02% -2.9 14
1894-01-06 Small Heath Birmingham L 0-7 1553 1838 33.41% 14.01% 52.58% -43.2 5
1894-01-06 @ Northwich Victoria W 7-0 1838 1553 52.58% 14.01% 33.41% +43.2 30
1894-01-06 Liverpool L 1-4 1572 1903 27.72% 13.91% 58.37% -13.9 7
1894-01-06 @ Rotherham Town W 4-1 1903 1572 58.37% 13.91% 27.72% +13.9 34
1894-01-11 Rotherham Town W 4-2 1841 1558 82.96% 12.99% 4.05% +1.4 27
1894-01-11 @ Notts County L 2-4 1558 1841 4.05% 12.99% 82.96% -1.4 7
1894-01-13 Port Vale W 5-3 1728 1730 68.25% 14.01% 17.74% +5.6 22
1894-01-13 @ Burton Swifts L 3-5 1730 1728 17.74% 14.01% 68.25% -5.6 25
1894-01-13 Ardwick W 5-0 1735 1656 74.34% 13.81% 11.84% +12.1 18
1894-01-13 @ Grimsby Town L 0-5 1656 1735 11.84% 13.81% 74.34% -12.1 11
1894-01-13 Small Heath Birmingham L 3-5 1584 1881 31.92% 13.99% 54.10% -9.5 10
1894-01-13 @ Crewe Alexandra W 5-3 1881 1584 54.10% 13.99% 31.92% +9.5 32
1894-01-13 Rotherham Town W 5-1 1917 1557 84.78% 12.56% 2.65% +1.9 36
1894-01-13 @ Liverpool L 1-5 1557 1917 2.65% 12.56% 84.78% -1.8 7
1894-01-13 Northwich Victoria W 3-0 1778 1510 82.55% 13.06% 4.39% +2.8 24
1894-01-13 @ Newcastle United L 0-3 1510 1778 4.39% 13.06% 82.55% -2.8 5
1894-01-13 Lincoln City D 0-0 1652 1706 63.31% 14.09% 22.61% -2.2 18
1894-01-13 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis D 0-0 1706 1652 22.61% 14.09% 63.31% +2.2 16
1894-01-20 Newcastle United W 2-1 1555 1780 41.51% 14.10% 44.39% +8.6 9
1894-01-20 @ Rotherham Town L 1-2 1780 1555 44.39% 14.10% 41.51% -8.6 24
1894-01-20 Grimsby Town D 3-3 1575 1748 48.98% 14.14% 36.89% -0.4 11
1894-01-20 @ Crewe Alexandra D 3-3 1748 1575 36.89% 14.14% 48.98% +0.4 19
1894-01-20 Lincoln City L 0-3 1507 1708 44.98% 14.12% 40.90% -25.3 5
1894-01-20 @ Northwich Victoria W 3-0 1708 1507 40.90% 14.12% 44.98% +25.3 18
1894-01-20 Walsall Town Swifts W 2-0 1842 1578 82.43% 13.08% 4.49% +2.0 29
1894-01-20 @ Notts County L 0-2 1578 1842 4.49% 13.08% 82.43% -2.0 11
1894-01-27 Rotherham Town W 2-0 1575 1563 69.40% 13.98% 16.62% +7.2 13
1894-01-27 @ Crewe Alexandra L 0-2 1563 1575 16.62% 13.98% 69.40% -7.1 9
1894-01-27 Northwich Victoria W 4-2 1644 1481 78.75% 13.53% 7.72% +2.7 13
1894-01-27 @ Ardwick L 2-4 1481 1644 7.72% 13.53% 78.75% -2.7 5
1894-02-03 Woolwich Arsenal W 3-0 1733 1665 73.62% 13.84% 12.53% +7.9 20
1894-02-03 @ Lincoln City L 0-3 1665 1733 12.53% 13.84% 73.62% -7.9 14
1894-02-03 Northwich Victoria W 4-0 1919 1479 86.21% 12.08% 1.71% +1.4 38
1894-02-03 @ Liverpool L 0-4 1479 1919 1.71% 12.08% 86.21% -1.4 5
1894-02-03 Walsall Town Swifts W 3-2 1556 1576 66.65% 14.04% 19.31% +3.9 11
1894-02-03 @ Rotherham Town L 2-3 1576 1556 19.31% 14.04% 66.65% -3.9 11
1894-02-03 Small Heath Birmingham W 3-1 1844 1891 64.12% 14.08% 21.80% +8.0 31
1894-02-03 @ Notts County L 1-3 1891 1844 21.80% 14.08% 64.12% -8.0 32
1894-02-03 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 2-1 1748 1649 75.50% 13.75% 10.75% +2.3 21
1894-02-03 @ Grimsby Town L 1-2 1649 1748 10.75% 13.75% 75.50% -2.3 18
1894-02-03 Newcastle United D 1-1 1725 1772 64.04% 14.08% 21.88% -2.1 26
1894-02-03 @ Port Vale D 1-1 1772 1725 21.88% 14.08% 64.04% +2.1 25
1894-02-06 Woolwich Arsenal D 1-1 1560 1657 58.61% 14.13% 27.27% -1.5 12
1894-02-06 @ Rotherham Town D 1-1 1657 1560 27.27% 14.13% 58.61% +1.5 15
1894-02-10 Crewe Alexandra W 3-2 1659 1582 74.17% 13.82% 12.01% +2.5 17
1894-02-10 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 2-3 1582 1659 12.01% 13.82% 74.17% -2.5 13
1894-02-10 Rotherham Town W 7-1 1750 1559 79.98% 13.41% 6.61% +6.7 23
1894-02-10 @ Grimsby Town L 1-7 1559 1750 6.61% 13.41% 79.98% -6.7 12
1894-02-10 Walsall Town Swifts L 1-2 1723 1572 78.19% 13.58% 8.23% -14.9 26
1894-02-10 @ Port Vale W 2-1 1572 1723 8.23% 13.58% 78.19% +14.9 13
1894-02-10 Lincoln City L 1-3 1733 1741 67.76% 14.02% 18.22% -22.3 22
1894-02-10 @ Burton Swifts W 3-1 1741 1733 18.22% 14.02% 67.76% +22.3 22
1894-02-10 Ardwick L 1-4 1477 1646 49.46% 14.14% 36.40% -23.3 5
1894-02-10 @ Northwich Victoria W 4-1 1646 1477 36.40% 14.14% 49.46% +23.2 15
1894-02-12 Woolwich Arsenal L 1-2 1587 1661 61.25% 14.11% 24.64% -11.6 13
1894-02-12 @ Walsall Town Swifts W 2-1 1661 1587 24.64% 14.11% 61.25% +11.6 19
1894-02-17 Lincoln City W 4-0 1673 1764 59.32% 14.12% 26.56% +20.8 21
1894-02-17 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-4 1764 1673 26.56% 14.12% 59.32% -20.8 22
1894-02-17 Grimsby Town L 0-1 1454 1757 31.13% 13.97% 54.90% -6.7 5
1894-02-17 @ Northwich Victoria W 1-0 1757 1454 54.90% 13.97% 31.13% +6.7 25
1894-02-17 Crewe Alexandra W 9-1 1852 1579 82.69% 13.04% 4.27% +5.7 33
1894-02-17 @ Notts County L 1-9 1579 1852 4.27% 13.04% 82.69% -5.7 13
1894-02-17 Rotherham Town W 4-0 1774 1552 81.10% 13.28% 5.62% +4.7 27
1894-02-17 @ Newcastle United L 0-4 1552 1774 5.62% 13.28% 81.10% -4.7 12
1894-02-24 Port Vale D 2-2 1743 1708 71.28% 13.93% 14.79% -2.1 23
1894-02-24 @ Lincoln City D 2-2 1708 1743 14.79% 13.93% 71.28% +2.1 27
1894-02-24 Woolwich Arsenal L 3-6 1647 1694 64.09% 14.08% 21.83% -23.9 18
1894-02-24 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 6-3 1694 1647 21.83% 14.08% 64.09% +23.9 23
1894-02-24 Grimsby Town W 4-1 1779 1764 69.69% 13.97% 16.34% +8.6 29
1894-02-24 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 1764 1779 16.34% 13.97% 69.69% -8.6 25
1894-02-24 Ardwick D 1-1 1574 1670 58.71% 14.13% 27.16% -1.5 14
1894-02-24 @ Crewe Alexandra D 1-1 1670 1574 27.16% 14.13% 58.71% +1.5 16
1894-02-24 Walsall Town Swifts W 8-5 1711 1576 77.48% 13.63% 8.89% +3.5 24
1894-02-24 @ Burton Swifts L 5-8 1576 1711 8.89% 13.63% 77.48% -3.5 13
1894-03-03 Woolwich Arsenal D 0-0 1572 1717 52.61% 14.14% 33.24% -1.0 15
1894-03-03 @ Crewe Alexandra D 0-0 1717 1572 33.24% 14.14% 52.61% +1.0 24
1894-03-03 Northwich Victoria W 2-1 1623 1447 79.33% 13.48% 7.19% +1.6 20
1894-03-03 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis L 1-2 1447 1623 7.19% 13.48% 79.33% -1.6 5
1894-03-03 Burton Swifts W 3-1 1920 1715 80.51% 13.35% 6.14% +2.4 40
1894-03-03 @ Liverpool L 1-3 1715 1920 6.14% 13.35% 80.51% -2.4 24
1894-03-03 Small Heath Birmingham W 2-1 1755 1883 54.92% 14.14% 30.94% +6.3 27
1894-03-03 @ Grimsby Town L 1-2 1883 1755 30.94% 14.14% 54.92% -6.3 32
1894-03-10 Lincoln City W 5-3 1710 1741 65.63% 14.06% 20.31% +6.3 29
1894-03-10 @ Port Vale L 3-5 1741 1710 20.31% 14.06% 65.63% -6.3 23
1894-03-10 Crewe Alexandra W 3-2 1761 1571 79.93% 13.42% 6.65% +1.4 29
1894-03-10 @ Grimsby Town L 2-3 1571 1761 6.65% 13.42% 79.93% -1.4 15
1894-03-10 Burton Swifts D 1-1 1446 1712 35.85% 14.04% 50.11% +0.7 6
1894-03-10 @ Northwich Victoria D 1-1 1712 1446 50.11% 14.04% 35.85% -0.7 25
1894-03-10 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 1-0 1718 1625 75.22% 13.77% 11.01% +2.6 26
1894-03-10 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-1 1625 1718 11.01% 13.77% 75.22% -2.6 20
1894-03-10 Walsall Town Swifts W 2-0 1787 1572 80.85% 13.31% 5.84% +2.6 31
1894-03-10 @ Newcastle United L 0-2 1572 1787 5.84% 13.31% 80.85% -2.6 13
1894-03-12 Notts County W 2-1 1570 1858 33.01% 14.00% 52.99% +10.1 15
1894-03-12 @ Walsall Town Swifts L 1-2 1858 1570 52.99% 14.00% 33.01% -10.1 33
1894-03-15 Ardwick W 5-0 1848 1671 79.36% 13.47% 7.16% +7.4 35
1894-03-15 @ Notts County L 0-5 1671 1848 7.16% 13.47% 79.36% -7.4 16
1894-03-17 Ardwick W 10-2 1876 1664 80.77% 13.32% 5.91% +6.4 34
1894-03-17 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 2-10 1664 1876 5.91% 13.32% 80.77% -6.4 16
1894-03-17 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 7-0 1712 1622 74.96% 13.78% 11.25% +15.8 27
1894-03-17 @ Burton Swifts L 0-7 1622 1712 11.25% 13.78% 74.96% -15.8 20
1894-03-17 Liverpool D 1-1 1734 1923 46.83% 14.13% 39.04% -0.4 24
1894-03-17 @ Lincoln City D 1-1 1923 1734 39.04% 14.13% 46.83% +0.4 41
1894-03-23 Small Heath Birmingham L 2-3 1547 1883 27.21% 13.90% 58.90% -5.3 12
1894-03-23 @ Rotherham Town W 3-2 1883 1547 58.90% 13.90% 27.21% +5.3 36
1894-03-23 Northwich Victoria W 6-0 1721 1446 82.74% 13.03% 4.23% +5.2 28
1894-03-23 @ Woolwich Arsenal L 0-6 1446 1721 4.23% 13.03% 82.74% -5.2 6
1894-03-23 Crewe Alexandra W 2-1 1790 1570 81.04% 13.29% 5.68% +1.3 33
1894-03-23 @ Newcastle United L 1-2 1570 1790 5.68% 13.29% 81.04% -1.3 15
1894-03-23 Notts County L 0-2 1734 1855 55.72% 14.14% 30.14% -21.2 24
1894-03-23 @ Lincoln City W 2-0 1855 1734 30.14% 14.14% 55.72% +21.2 37
1894-03-24 Ardwick W 6-0 1713 1657 72.75% 13.88% 13.37% +16.2 26
1894-03-24 @ Lincoln City L 0-6 1657 1713 13.37% 13.88% 72.75% -16.1 16
1894-03-24 Grimsby Town W 5-0 1580 1763 47.55% 14.13% 38.32% +35.5 17
1894-03-24 @ Walsall Town Swifts L 0-5 1763 1580 38.32% 14.13% 47.55% -35.5 29
1894-03-24 Notts County L 1-2 1726 1876 52.01% 14.14% 33.84% -9.9 28
1894-03-24 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 2-1 1876 1726 33.84% 14.14% 52.01% +9.9 39
1894-03-24 Crewe Alexandra W 2-0 1923 1568 84.67% 12.60% 2.74% +1.2 43
1894-03-24 @ Liverpool L 0-2 1568 1923 2.74% 12.60% 84.67% -1.2 15
1894-03-24 Burton Swifts W 4-1 1791 1728 73.29% 13.86% 12.85% +6.9 35
1894-03-24 @ Newcastle United L 1-4 1728 1791 12.85% 13.86% 73.29% -6.8 27
1894-03-24 Port Vale W 6-0 1888 1716 79.17% 13.49% 7.33% +9.0 38
1894-03-24 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-6 1716 1888 7.33% 13.49% 79.17% -9.0 29
1894-03-26 Lincoln City W 5-2 1615 1729 56.62% 14.14% 29.25% +12.7 19
1894-03-26 @ Walsall Town Swifts L 2-5 1729 1615 29.25% 14.14% 56.62% -12.7 26
1894-03-26 Ardwick L 1-3 1542 1641 58.33% 14.13% 27.54% -19.2 12
1894-03-26 @ Rotherham Town W 3-1 1641 1542 27.54% 14.13% 58.33% +19.2 18
1894-03-28 Liverpool L 2-3 1441 1924 13.77% 13.40% 72.83% -2.8 6
1894-03-28 @ Northwich Victoria W 3-2 1924 1441 72.83% 13.40% 13.77% +2.8 45
1894-03-31 Small Heath Birmingham L 1-4 1716 1897 47.87% 14.13% 38.00% -22.6 28
1894-03-31 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 4-1 1897 1716 38.00% 14.13% 47.87% +22.6 40
1894-03-31 Crewe Alexandra W 6-1 1721 1567 78.36% 13.56% 8.08% +6.9 29
1894-03-31 @ Burton Swifts L 1-6 1567 1721 8.08% 13.56% 78.36% -6.9 15
1894-03-31 Liverpool L 0-1 1727 1927 45.21% 14.12% 40.67% -9.3 29
1894-03-31 @ Grimsby Town W 1-0 1927 1727 40.67% 14.12% 45.21% +9.3 47
1894-03-31 Lincoln City L 0-1 1660 1716 63.15% 14.09% 22.76% -12.7 18
1894-03-31 @ Ardwick W 1-0 1716 1660 22.76% 14.09% 63.15% +12.7 28
1894-03-31 Rotherham Town D 1-1 1438 1523 60.08% 14.12% 25.80% -1.7 7
1894-03-31 @ Northwich Victoria D 1-1 1523 1438 25.80% 14.12% 60.08% +1.7 13
1894-04-07 Liverpool D 2-2 1707 1936 41.00% 14.09% 44.91% +0.1 30
1894-04-07 @ Port Vale D 2-2 1936 1707 44.91% 14.09% 41.00% -0.1 48
1894-04-07 Grimsby Town L 0-3 1728 1718 69.26% 13.98% 16.75% -38.2 29
1894-04-07 @ Burton Swifts W 3-0 1718 1728 16.75% 13.98% 69.26% +38.2 31
1894-04-07 Crewe Alexandra L 1-2 1648 1560 74.83% 13.79% 11.38% -14.3 18
1894-04-07 @ Ardwick W 2-1 1560 1648 11.38% 13.79% 74.83% +14.3 17
1894-04-07 Notts County W 3-0 1920 1886 71.14% 13.93% 14.92% +9.4 42
1894-04-07 @ Small Heath Birmingham L 0-3 1886 1920 14.92% 13.93% 71.14% -9.4 39
1894-04-07 Walsall Town Swifts L 0-2 1729 1628 75.64% 13.75% 10.62% -28.8 28
1894-04-07 @ Lincoln City W 2-0 1628 1729 10.62% 13.75% 75.64% +28.8 21
1894-04-07 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 2-1 1437 1606 49.41% 14.14% 36.45% +7.3 9
1894-04-07 @ Northwich Victoria L 1-2 1606 1437 36.45% 14.14% 49.41% -7.3 20
1894-04-09 Crewe Alexandra L 1-4 1524 1574 63.73% 14.08% 22.18% -29.6 13
1894-04-09 @ Rotherham Town W 4-1 1574 1524 22.18% 14.08% 63.73% +29.6 19
1894-04-14 Ardwick W 5-2 1657 1633 70.37% 13.96% 15.67% +7.2 23
1894-04-14 @ Walsall Town Swifts L 2-5 1633 1657 15.67% 13.96% 70.37% -7.2 18
1894-04-14 Middlesbrough Ironopolis W 4-1 1495 1599 57.75% 14.13% 28.12% +14.2 15
1894-04-14 @ Rotherham Town L 1-4 1599 1495 28.12% 14.13% 57.75% -14.2 20
1894-04-14 Burton Swifts L 0-2 1694 1689 68.82% 14.00% 17.19% -26.1 28
1894-04-14 @ Woolwich Arsenal W 2-0 1689 1694 17.19% 14.00% 68.82% +26.1 31
1894-04-14 Newcastle United D 0-0 1756 1798 64.59% 14.07% 21.34% -2.4 32
1894-04-14 @ Grimsby Town D 0-0 1798 1756 21.34% 14.07% 64.59% +2.4 36
1894-04-14 Port Vale W 2-1 1936 1707 81.34% 13.25% 5.41% +1.2 50
1894-04-14 @ Liverpool L 1-2 1707 1936 5.41% 13.25% 81.34% -1.2 30

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1893-11-16 7.27% Lincoln City 1676 2 @ Notts County 1850 1
2 1893-12-16 8.07% Newcastle United 1706 4 @ Small Heath Birmingham 1860 1
3 1894-02-10 8.23% Walsall Town Swifts 1572 2 @ Port Vale 1723 1
4 1893-12-26 10.12% Middlesbrough Ironopolis 1632 3 @ Lincoln City 1743 2
5 1894-04-07 10.62% Walsall Town Swifts 1628 2 @ Lincoln City 1729 0
6 1894-04-07 11.38% Crewe Alexandra 1560 2 @ Ardwick 1648 1
7 1893-10-21 11.50% Rotherham Town 1662 3 @ Port Vale 1748 2
8 1893-10-28 12.67% Lincoln City 1676 4 @ Grimsby Town 1743 2
9 1893-10-14 14.87% Liverpool 1777 4 @ Small Heath Birmingham 1811 3
10 1893-09-11 15.43% Burton Swifts 1683 4 @ Ardwick 1710 1
11 1893-12-30 16.26% Woolwich Arsenal 1656 1 @ Ardwick 1672 0
12 1894-04-07 16.75% Grimsby Town 1718 3 @ Burton Swifts 1728 0
13 1894-04-14 17.19% Burton Swifts 1689 2 @ Woolwich Arsenal 1694 0
14 1893-09-09 17.39% Crewe Alexandra 1643 2 @ Northwich Victoria 1644 1
15 1893-09-02 17.55% Liverpool 1703 2 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis 1703 0
16 1894-02-10 18.22% Lincoln City 1741 3 @ Burton Swifts 1733 1
17 1893-09-09 19.10% Port Vale 1651 5 @ Walsall Town Swifts 1633 0
18 1893-10-21 21.64% Newcastle United 1713 3 @ Ardwick 1669 2
19 1894-02-24 21.83% Woolwich Arsenal 1694 6 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis 1647 3
20 1893-10-28 22.10% Port Vale 1725 1 @ Rotherham Town 1676 0
21 1894-04-09 22.18% Crewe Alexandra 1574 4 @ Rotherham Town 1524 1
22 1893-09-23 22.41% Grimsby Town 1734 2 @ Lincoln City 1681 1
23 1894-03-31 22.76% Lincoln City 1716 1 @ Ardwick 1660 0
24 1893-12-02 23.52% Lincoln City 1691 8 @ Rotherham Town 1628 2
25 1893-09-16 23.61% Liverpool 1741 1 @ Ardwick 1677 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1893-09-09 59.36 Port Vale 5 1651 19.10% @ Walsall Town Swifts 0 1633 66.87% 14.04%
2 1893-10-28 51.26 Liverpool 5 1792 28.18% @ Woolwich Arsenal 0 1687 57.68% 14.13%
3 1893-12-02 44.91 Lincoln City 8 1691 23.52% @ Rotherham Town 2 1628 62.38% 14.10%
4 1894-01-06 43.25 Small Heath Birmingham 7 1838 52.58% @ Northwich Victoria 0 1553 33.41% 14.01%
5 1894-04-07 38.22 Grimsby Town 3 1718 16.75% @ Burton Swifts 0 1728 69.26% 13.98%
6 1893-12-28 37.30 Liverpool 5 1860 45.35% @ Crewe Alexandra 0 1627 40.56% 14.09%
7 1893-12-16 36.67 Newcastle United 4 1706 8.07% @ Small Heath Birmingham 1 1860 78.36% 13.56%
8 1893-10-07 36.21 @ Ardwick 8 1632 51.84% Port Vale 1 1784 34.01% 14.14%
9 1894-03-24 35.52 @ Walsall Town Swifts 5 1580 47.55% Grimsby Town 0 1763 38.32% 14.13%
10 1893-09-23 34.21 Port Vale 5 1726 28.97% @ Northwich Victoria 1 1614 56.89% 14.13%
11 1893-09-11 32.88 Burton Swifts 4 1683 15.43% @ Ardwick 1 1710 70.62% 13.95%
12 1893-11-11 30.03 Grimsby Town 6 1721 26.93% @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis 2 1627 58.94% 14.13%
13 1894-04-09 29.62 Crewe Alexandra 4 1574 22.18% @ Rotherham Town 1 1524 63.73% 14.08%
14 1894-04-07 28.85 Walsall Town Swifts 2 1628 10.62% @ Lincoln City 0 1729 75.64% 13.75%
15 1893-11-25 26.91 @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis 3 1597 37.76% Small Heath Birmingham 0 1849 48.18% 14.06%
16 1894-04-14 26.14 Burton Swifts 2 1689 17.19% @ Woolwich Arsenal 0 1694 68.82% 14.00%
17 1893-09-02 26.00 Liverpool 2 1703 17.55% @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis 0 1703 68.45% 14.00%
18 1894-01-20 25.33 Lincoln City 3 1708 40.90% @ Northwich Victoria 0 1507 44.98% 14.12%
19 1893-11-11 24.20 Burton Swifts 5 1747 25.78% @ Rotherham Town 2 1663 60.10% 14.12%
20 1894-02-24 23.88 Woolwich Arsenal 6 1694 21.83% @ Middlesbrough Ironopolis 3 1647 64.09% 14.08%
21 1893-12-09 23.51 Small Heath Birmingham 2 1836 23.96% @ Burton Swifts 0 1769 61.94% 14.10%
22 1894-02-10 23.26 Ardwick 4 1646 36.40% @ Northwich Victoria 1 1477 49.46% 14.14%
23 1893-12-30 23.15 Notts County 2 1818 24.91% @ Burton Swifts 0 1741 60.98% 14.11%
24 1893-10-28 23.02 Small Heath Birmingham 2 1804 25.23% @ Newcastle United 0 1725 60.65% 14.11%
25 1894-03-31 22.58 Small Heath Birmingham 4 1897 38.00% @ Woolwich Arsenal 1 1716 47.87% 14.13%