Home / Leagues / Denmark / 1st Division / 2016-17

2016-17 1st Division Season

198 games

Final

Promoted

Hobro

58 pts

Helsingor · via playoff

Relegated

AB Gladsaxe

24 pts

Naestved · 35 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Skive

9.31 points above expected

49 points · 39.69 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Fremad Amager

10.67 points below expected

41 points · 51.67 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Hobro Promoted 33 17 7 9 58 54 34 +20 53.67 +4.33
2 Vendsyssel 33 16 7 10 55 51 39 +12 49.39 +5.61
3 Helsingor Promoted 33 14 11 8 53 43 31 +12 50.57 +2.43
4 FC Roskilde 33 14 8 11 50 44 43 +1 44.13 +5.87
5 Skive 33 15 4 14 49 41 51 -10 39.69 +9.31
6 HB Koge 33 11 14 8 47 33 27 +6 48.87 -1.87
7 Nykobing 33 13 7 13 46 50 51 -1 42.56 +3.44
8 Fredericia 33 11 10 12 43 36 43 -7 39.65 +3.35
9 Vejle BK 33 10 11 12 41 49 46 +3 50.07 -9.07
10 Fremad Amager 33 10 11 12 41 42 45 -3 51.67 -10.67
11 Naestved Relegated 33 9 8 16 35 45 51 -6 40.64 -5.64
12 AB Gladsaxe Relegated 33 6 6 21 24 34 61 -27 29.03 -5.03

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Hobro 1561 58 53.67 +4.33 74.1% 25 42 49 54 59 66 81
Helsingor 1535 53 50.57 +2.43 65.7% 22 39 46 51 56 63 79
Vendsyssel 1516 55 49.39 +5.61 80.2% 19 38 45 49 54 61 78
HB Koge 1485 47 48.87 -1.87 42.7% 20 37 44 49 54 61 77
Vejle BK 1472 41 50.07 -9.07 12.0% 21 38 45 50 55 62 76
Nykobing 1462 46 42.56 +3.44 70.6% 19 31 38 43 47 54 71
FC Roskilde 1462 50 44.13 +5.87 80.6% 17 32 39 44 49 56 70
Fremad Amager 1434 41 51.67 -10.67 8.2% 24 40 47 52 57 64 81
Naestved 1427 35 40.64 -5.64 23.7% 15 29 36 41 45 53 68
Fredericia 1421 43 39.65 +3.35 70.8% 15 28 35 40 44 51 69
Skive 1411 49 39.69 +9.31 91.5% 14 28 35 40 44 52 64
AB Gladsaxe 1304 24 29.03 -5.03 25.2% 7 18 24 29 33 40 55

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AG FR FRE FA HK HEL HOB NAE NYK SKI VB VEN
AB Gladsaxe
1-0-2
2.95
1-0-2
2.99
1-0-2
2.20
1-1-1
2.10
1-0-2
2.37
0-0-3
2.31
0-1-2
3.38
1-1-1
2.90
0-1-2
3.26
0-2-1
2.13
0-0-3
2.46
FC Roskilde
2-0-1
5.26
2-0-1
4.60
2-1-0
3.68
0-2-1
3.73
0-1-2
3.19
2-0-1
3.52
2-0-1
4.72
1-1-1
3.97
2-0-1
4.23
1-1-1
3.69
0-2-1
3.63
Fredericia
2-0-1
5.21
1-0-2
3.57
0-2-1
3.00
1-2-0
3.47
0-1-2
3.15
1-2-0
2.93
2-0-1
4.12
0-1-2
4.07
1-0-2
3.73
2-1-0
3.21
1-1-1
3.13
Fremad Amager
2-0-1
6.07
0-1-2
4.49
1-2-0
5.21
1-2-0
4.04
0-1-2
4.17
2-0-1
4.01
1-1-1
5.04
1-1-1
4.48
2-0-1
5.31
0-1-2
4.17
0-2-1
4.71
HB Koge
1-1-1
6.18
1-2-0
4.42
0-2-1
4.69
0-2-1
4.11
0-2-1
4.25
1-2-0
3.34
1-2-0
4.83
2-0-1
4.69
1-1-1
4.89
2-0-1
3.91
2-0-1
3.63
Helsingor
2-0-1
5.88
2-1-0
4.99
2-1-0
5.03
2-1-0
3.99
1-2-0
3.91
1-1-1
3.58
1-0-2
5.27
1-1-1
4.67
0-2-1
5.43
1-2-0
3.74
1-0-2
4.07
Hobro
3-0-0
5.97
1-0-2
4.66
0-2-1
5.27
1-0-2
4.15
0-2-1
4.83
1-1-1
4.58
1-1-1
4.90
2-0-1
5.46
3-0-0
4.76
2-1-0
4.64
3-0-0
4.46
Naestved
2-1-0
4.80
1-0-2
3.45
1-0-2
4.03
1-1-1
3.13
0-2-1
3.34
2-0-1
2.92
1-1-1
3.28
1-1-1
4.14
0-0-3
4.04
0-1-2
3.50
0-1-2
3.90
Nykobing
1-1-1
5.30
1-1-1
4.19
2-1-0
4.09
1-1-1
3.69
1-0-2
3.48
1-1-1
3.50
1-0-2
2.75
1-1-1
4.02
2-0-1
4.30
1-1-1
3.24
1-0-2
3.90
Skive
2-1-0
4.94
1-0-2
3.93
2-0-1
4.42
1-0-2
2.90
1-1-1
3.29
1-2-0
2.78
0-0-3
3.41
3-0-0
4.12
1-0-2
3.85
2-0-1
3.24
1-0-2
2.94
Vejle BK
1-2-0
6.15
1-1-1
4.47
0-1-2
4.97
2-1-0
3.98
1-0-2
4.25
0-2-1
4.41
0-1-2
3.53
2-1-0
4.68
1-1-1
4.93
1-0-2
4.95
1-1-1
3.78
Vendsyssel
3-0-0
5.77
1-2-0
4.53
1-1-1
5.05
1-2-0
3.46
1-0-2
4.54
2-0-1
4.08
0-0-3
3.70
2-1-0
4.27
2-0-1
4.26
2-0-1
5.25
1-1-1
4.38

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.28 +7.3
Allowed 0.54 -7.1
Differential 0.75 +6.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.61%7.58%5.56%3.03%2.02%0.76%29.55%
17.58%9.09%8.84%4.04%1.52%0.51%31.57%
25.56%8.84%5.56%2.78%22.73%
33.03%4.04%2.78%1.01%0.25%11.11%
42.02%1.52%0.25%3.79%
5+0.76%0.51%1.26%
Total29.55%31.57%22.73%11.11%3.79%1.26%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.32 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.19 1.78
CV 0.90 0.90
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%9.09%6.06%3.03%39.39%
13.03%18.18%6.06%3.03%30.30%
29.09%6.06%3.03%18.18%
36.06%3.03%3.03%12.12%
4
5+
Total6.06%33.33%36.36%18.18%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.85 -0.82
SD 1.05 1.00 1.42
CV 1.01 0.54
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%12.12%3.03%30.30%
13.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%21.21%
26.06%21.21%6.06%3.03%36.36%
39.09%9.09%
43.03%3.03%
5+
Total21.21%45.45%24.24%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.30 +0.03
SD 1.11 1.13 1.76
CV 0.83 0.87
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.18%18.18%3.03%39.39%
13.03%6.06%12.12%3.03%24.24%
26.06%12.12%6.06%24.24%
36.06%6.06%12.12%
4
5+
Total27.27%24.24%42.42%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.09 1.30 -0.21
SD 1.07 1.02 1.47
CV 0.98 0.78
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%3.03%6.06%3.03%6.06%30.30%
19.09%15.15%6.06%6.06%3.03%39.39%
23.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%18.18%
33.03%3.03%
43.03%3.03%
5+6.06%6.06%
Total33.33%27.27%18.18%12.12%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.36 -0.09
SD 1.35 1.32 2.14
CV 1.06 0.97
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%3.03%6.06%3.03%33.33%
118.18%15.15%9.09%42.42%
23.03%3.03%6.06%3.03%15.15%
39.09%9.09%
4
5+
Total51.52%21.21%21.21%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.82 +0.18
SD 0.94 0.98 1.36
CV 0.94 1.20
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%3.03%24.24%
112.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%33.33%
212.12%9.09%12.12%33.33%
36.06%6.06%
43.03%3.03%
5+
Total45.45%27.27%21.21%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 0.94 +0.36
SD 1.02 1.14 1.60
CV 0.78 1.22
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%6.06%6.06%3.03%27.27%
112.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%33.33%
26.06%6.06%12.12%
33.03%3.03%6.06%
49.09%9.09%18.18%
5+3.03%3.03%
Total42.42%36.36%6.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.03 +0.61
SD 1.56 1.29 2.28
CV 0.95 1.25
Max 5 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%6.06%21.21%
13.03%9.09%18.18%9.09%3.03%42.42%
29.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%21.21%
36.06%6.06%12.12%
4
5+3.03%3.03%
Total24.24%27.27%21.21%24.24%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 1.55 -0.18
SD 1.14 1.20 1.74
CV 0.84 0.78
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%3.03%6.06%18.18%
19.09%9.09%12.12%6.06%36.36%
26.06%6.06%9.09%6.06%27.27%
33.03%9.09%12.12%
43.03%3.03%6.06%
5+
Total21.21%24.24%33.33%21.21%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.52 1.55 -0.03
SD 1.12 1.06 1.53
CV 0.74 0.69
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%3.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%33.33%
19.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%27.27%
29.09%12.12%3.03%24.24%
36.06%6.06%12.12%
43.03%3.03%
5+
Total24.24%36.36%15.15%12.12%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.55 -0.30
SD 1.15 1.39 2.04
CV 0.92 0.90
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%6.06%30.30%
13.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%21.21%
23.03%6.06%9.09%6.06%24.24%
36.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%18.18%
43.03%3.03%6.06%
5+
Total27.27%33.33%21.21%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.39 +0.09
SD 1.28 1.27 1.68
CV 0.86 0.91
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%12.12%6.06%27.27%
19.09%9.09%3.03%6.06%27.27%
23.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%18.18%
33.03%12.12%6.06%21.21%
43.03%3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%
Total30.30%42.42%12.12%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.18 +0.36
SD 1.35 1.16 1.93
CV 0.87 0.98
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skive 49 39.69 +9.31
2 FC Roskilde 50 44.13 +5.87
3 Vendsyssel 55 49.39 +5.61
4 Hobro 58 53.67 +4.33
5 Nykobing 46 42.56 +3.44

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Fremad Amager 41 51.67 -10.67
2 Vejle BK 41 50.07 -9.07
3 Naestved 35 40.64 -5.64
4 AB Gladsaxe 24 29.03 -5.03
5 HB Koge 47 48.87 -1.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skive 5 Dec 1 – Mar 26 1 in 247
2 Vendsyssel 5 Sep 11 – Oct 2 1 in 78
3 Hobro 5 Nov 24 – Mar 26 1 in 76
4 Helsingor 4 Apr 2 – Apr 23 1 in 69
5 AB Gladsaxe 2 Oct 16 – Oct 23 1 in 32

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Fremad Amager 5 Mar 26 – Apr 23 1 in 247
2 AB Gladsaxe 8 Oct 30 – Mar 19 1 in 157
3 Helsingor 3 May 7 – May 14 1 in 99
4 Nykobing 4 Oct 16 – Nov 2 1 in 90
5 Naestved 4 Sep 11 – Oct 2 1 in 62

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HB Koge 9 Aug 21 – Oct 16 1 in 26
2 Helsingor 8 Mar 12 – Apr 30 1 in 23
3 Fredericia 4 Oct 16 – Nov 6 1 in 15
4 FC Roskilde 6 Nov 6 – Mar 12 1 in 15
5 AB Gladsaxe 3 May 7 – May 14 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Nykobing 9 Sep 11 – Nov 2 1 in 62
2 Helsingor 7 Sep 15 – Oct 23 1 in 37
3 Fremad Amager 7 Mar 19 – Apr 30 1 in 33
4 AB Gladsaxe 10 Jul 24 – Sep 25 1 in 20
5 Naestved 7 Sep 1 – Oct 16 1 in 14

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Hobro27.71%19.20%14.74%10.77%8.68%6.57%4.83%3.06%2.28%1.44%0.60%0.12%
Vendsyssel11.08%12.29%13.37%13.07%11.69%10.61%8.74%6.93%5.73%3.88%2.06%0.55%
Helsingor15.03%14.75%13.37%12.76%11.30%9.33%8.08%6.05%4.66%2.90%1.31%0.46%
FC Roskilde3.19%4.65%6.43%8.24%8.95%10.90%11.59%12.62%12.42%10.30%7.98%2.73%
Skive0.68%1.56%2.44%3.41%4.78%6.71%9.51%11.61%14.58%17.34%18.97%8.41%
HB Koge9.73%11.33%12.59%12.42%11.98%11.30%9.12%8.12%6.16%4.11%2.34%0.80%
Nykobing1.81%2.89%4.89%6.44%8.45%9.84%11.72%12.67%13.12%12.93%11.16%4.08%
Fredericia0.80%1.48%2.26%3.39%5.51%6.89%9.01%11.89%13.95%17.58%19.04%8.20%
Vejle BK12.00%13.88%13.30%12.49%11.76%10.15%8.90%6.74%5.09%3.59%1.64%0.46%
Fremad Amager17.02%16.05%13.56%12.85%10.41%9.34%7.20%5.79%3.64%2.56%1.22%0.36%
Naestved0.95%1.92%3.02%4.03%6.21%7.79%10.26%12.59%14.67%16.00%15.70%6.86%
AB Gladsaxe0.03%0.13%0.28%0.57%1.04%1.93%3.70%7.37%17.98%66.97%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+16.16%
Clear Edge
44.95%26.26%28.79%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 56.65 Elo pts.
288 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.37 goals
Neutral
-2+0.20+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.0
Wide Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
28%
Hobro, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.09/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.74 * Some Luck: 5.74 to 8.61 * Lucky: 8.61 to 11.48 * Wild Swing: 11.48 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.75 * Close: 1.75 to 2.62 * Off: 2.62 to 3.49 * Way Off: 3.49 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.88 * A Surprise: 0.88 to 1.4 * Several Surprises: 1.4 to 1.93 * Many Surprises: 1.93 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.17 points
Some Luck
07.1718
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.50
Close
02.185
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
91.54%
Skive
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
8.22%
Fremad Amager
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.92

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.08
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
60%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Clear Edge
50%80%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
16%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.25
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.74
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.41
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
31%
As Expected
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.25
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.39
Overconfident
0.2015771.001.79842
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.085
Well Within Noise
00.1190.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Hobro 27.71% 33.94% 37.63% 0.72%
Fremad Amager 17.02% 29.61% 51.79% 1.58%
Helsingor 15.03% 28.12% 55.08% 1.77%
Vejle BK 12.00% 27.18% 58.72% 2.10%
Vendsyssel 11.08% 25.66% 60.65% 2.61%
HB Koge 9.73% 23.92% 63.21% 3.14%
FC Roskilde 3.19% 11.08% 75.02% 10.71%
Nykobing 1.81% 7.78% 75.17% 15.24%
Naestved 0.95% 4.94% 71.55% 22.56%
Fredericia 0.80% 3.74% 68.22% 27.24%
Skive 0.68% 4.00% 67.94% 27.38%
AB Gladsaxe 0.03% 15.02% 84.95%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2016-07-21 Hobro W 3-1 1451 1481 38.26% 28.28% 33.46% +14.4 3
2016-07-21 @ FC Roskilde L 1-3 1481 1451 33.46% 28.28% 38.26% -14.4 0
2016-07-24 AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1469 1395 51.93% 26.67% 21.39% +6.2 3
2016-07-24 @ Helsingor L 0-1 1395 1469 21.39% 26.67% 51.93% -6.2 0
2016-07-24 Fredericia W 2-1 1422 1450 38.53% 28.27% 33.20% +8.3 3
2016-07-24 @ Skive L 1-2 1450 1422 33.20% 28.27% 38.53% -8.3 0
2016-07-24 Fremad Amager D 1-1 1477 1526 35.54% 28.31% 36.14% +0.0 1
2016-07-24 @ Vejle BK D 1-1 1526 1477 36.14% 28.31% 35.54% -0.0 1
2016-07-24 HB Koge L 0-1 1482 1466 44.59% 27.86% 27.56% -10.9 0
2016-07-24 @ Vendsyssel W 1-0 1466 1482 27.56% 27.86% 44.59% +10.9 3
2016-07-24 Nykobing L 0-1 1442 1442 42.50% 28.05% 29.45% -10.5 0
2016-07-24 @ Naestved W 1-0 1442 1442 29.45% 28.05% 42.50% +10.5 3
2016-07-28 FC Roskilde D 0-0 1477 1465 44.03% 27.92% 28.06% -0.9 2
2016-07-28 @ Vejle BK D 0-0 1465 1477 28.06% 27.92% 44.03% +0.9 4
2016-07-31 Fredericia D 0-0 1526 1442 53.12% 26.40% 20.48% -1.9 2
2016-07-31 @ Fremad Amager D 0-0 1442 1526 20.48% 26.40% 53.12% +1.9 1
2016-07-31 Helsingor D 1-1 1467 1475 41.37% 28.14% 30.49% -0.5 1
2016-07-31 @ Hobro D 1-1 1475 1467 30.49% 28.14% 41.37% +0.5 4
2016-07-31 Naestved D 3-3 1389 1432 36.46% 28.31% 35.23% -0.0 1
2016-07-31 @ AB Gladsaxe D 3-3 1432 1389 35.23% 28.31% 36.46% +0.0 1
2016-07-31 Skive D 0-0 1477 1430 48.62% 27.31% 24.07% -1.4 4
2016-07-31 @ HB Koge D 0-0 1430 1477 24.07% 27.31% 48.62% +1.4 4
2016-07-31 Vendsyssel W 3-2 1453 1471 40.04% 28.21% 31.75% +7.6 6
2016-07-31 @ Nykobing L 2-3 1471 1453 31.75% 28.21% 40.04% -7.6 0
2016-08-04 Vejle BK L 1-3 1463 1476 40.75% 28.17% 31.08% -16.6 0
2016-08-04 @ Vendsyssel W 3-1 1476 1463 31.08% 28.17% 40.75% +16.6 5
2016-08-07 AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1444 1389 49.66% 27.13% 23.21% +6.2 4
2016-08-07 @ Fredericia L 1-2 1389 1444 23.21% 27.13% 49.66% -6.2 1
2016-08-07 FC Roskilde W 2-0 1432 1466 37.67% 28.30% 34.04% +16.8 7
2016-08-07 @ Skive L 0-2 1466 1432 34.04% 28.30% 37.67% -16.8 4
2016-08-07 Fremad Amager W 2-0 1476 1524 35.68% 28.31% 36.01% +17.5 7
2016-08-07 @ Helsingor L 0-2 1524 1476 36.01% 28.31% 35.68% -17.5 2
2016-08-07 Hobro W 3-0 1432 1466 37.70% 28.29% 34.01% +24.5 4
2016-08-07 @ Naestved L 0-3 1466 1432 34.01% 28.29% 37.70% -24.4 1
2016-08-07 Nykobing W 3-0 1476 1460 44.51% 27.87% 27.63% +20.9 7
2016-08-07 @ HB Koge L 0-3 1460 1476 27.63% 27.87% 44.51% -20.9 6
2016-08-11 Helsingor D 2-2 1492 1493 42.39% 28.06% 29.55% -0.5 6
2016-08-11 @ Vejle BK D 2-2 1493 1492 29.55% 28.06% 42.39% +0.5 8
2016-08-14 AB Gladsaxe W 4-1 1442 1383 50.17% 27.03% 22.80% +15.0 4
2016-08-14 @ Hobro L 1-4 1383 1442 22.80% 27.03% 50.17% -15.0 1
2016-08-14 HB Koge W 2-1 1450 1496 36.01% 28.31% 35.67% +8.7 7
2016-08-14 @ Fredericia L 1-2 1496 1450 35.67% 28.31% 36.01% -8.7 7
2016-08-14 Naestved L 0-2 1449 1456 41.52% 28.13% 30.36% -19.5 4
2016-08-14 @ FC Roskilde W 2-0 1456 1449 30.36% 28.13% 41.52% +19.5 7
2016-08-14 Skive W 4-0 1440 1448 41.29% 28.14% 30.57% +29.5 9
2016-08-14 @ Nykobing L 0-4 1448 1440 30.57% 28.14% 41.29% -29.5 7
2016-08-14 Vendsyssel D 1-1 1507 1446 50.27% 27.01% 22.72% -1.4 3
2016-08-14 @ Fremad Amager D 1-1 1446 1507 22.72% 27.01% 50.27% +1.4 1
2016-08-18 Hobro L 1-4 1419 1457 37.17% 28.30% 34.52% -22.0 7
2016-08-18 @ Skive W 4-1 1457 1419 34.52% 28.30% 37.17% +22.0 7
2016-08-21 FC Roskilde W 2-0 1494 1430 50.72% 26.92% 22.36% +12.1 11
2016-08-21 @ Helsingor L 0-2 1430 1494 22.36% 26.92% 50.72% -12.1 4
2016-08-21 Fredericia W 2-0 1448 1459 40.97% 28.16% 30.87% +15.7 4
2016-08-21 @ Vendsyssel L 0-2 1459 1448 30.87% 28.16% 40.97% -15.7 7
2016-08-21 Fremad Amager D 1-1 1488 1505 40.09% 28.21% 31.70% -0.4 8
2016-08-21 @ HB Koge D 1-1 1505 1488 31.70% 28.21% 40.09% +0.4 4
2016-08-21 Nykobing L 1-2 1368 1469 28.61% 27.97% 43.42% -7.4 1
2016-08-21 @ AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1469 1368 43.42% 27.97% 28.61% +7.4 12
2016-08-21 Vejle BK L 0-3 1476 1492 40.28% 28.20% 31.52% -27.7 7
2016-08-21 @ Naestved W 3-0 1492 1476 31.52% 28.20% 40.28% +27.7 9
2016-08-25 AB Gladsaxe D 0-0 1520 1360 61.35% 23.87% 14.78% -2.8 10
2016-08-25 @ Vejle BK D 0-0 1360 1520 14.78% 23.87% 61.35% +2.9 2
2016-08-28 Naestved L 1-2 1506 1448 49.94% 27.07% 22.98% -11.3 11
2016-08-28 @ Helsingor W 2-1 1448 1506 22.98% 27.07% 49.94% +11.3 10
2016-08-28 Nykobing L 1-2 1443 1476 37.86% 28.29% 33.84% -9.1 7
2016-08-28 @ Fredericia W 2-1 1476 1443 33.84% 28.29% 37.86% +9.1 15
2016-08-28 Skive W 5-0 1506 1397 55.95% 25.66% 18.39% +23.7 7
2016-08-28 @ Fremad Amager L 0-5 1397 1506 18.39% 25.66% 55.95% -23.7 7
2016-08-29 HB Koge D 1-1 1418 1487 32.74% 28.26% 39.01% +0.3 5
2016-08-29 @ FC Roskilde D 1-1 1487 1418 39.01% 28.26% 32.74% -0.3 9
2016-08-29 Vendsyssel W 4-0 1479 1464 44.55% 27.86% 27.58% +27.2 10
2016-08-29 @ Hobro L 0-4 1464 1479 27.58% 27.86% 44.55% -27.2 4
2016-09-01 Naestved D 2-2 1487 1460 46.14% 27.67% 26.18% -0.8 10
2016-09-01 @ HB Koge D 2-2 1460 1487 26.18% 27.67% 46.14% +0.8 11
2016-09-04 FC Roskilde L 0-2 1363 1418 34.75% 28.31% 36.94% -17.1 2
2016-09-04 @ AB Gladsaxe W 2-0 1418 1363 36.94% 28.31% 34.75% +17.1 8
2016-09-04 Hobro D 0-0 1434 1506 32.41% 28.24% 39.34% +0.4 8
2016-09-04 @ Fredericia D 0-0 1506 1434 39.34% 28.24% 32.41% -0.4 11
2016-09-11 Fredericia W 4-0 1494 1435 50.23% 27.02% 22.75% +23.2 14
2016-09-11 @ Helsingor L 0-4 1435 1494 22.75% 27.02% 50.23% -23.3 8
2016-09-11 Fremad Amager W 1-0 1435 1529 29.54% 28.06% 42.40% +10.5 11
2016-09-11 @ FC Roskilde L 0-1 1529 1435 42.40% 28.06% 29.54% -10.5 7
2016-09-11 HB Koge L 0-2 1517 1486 46.54% 27.62% 25.84% -21.3 10
2016-09-11 @ Vejle BK W 2-0 1486 1517 25.84% 27.62% 46.54% +21.3 13
2016-09-11 Nykobing W 1-0 1506 1486 45.19% 27.79% 27.02% +7.5 14
2016-09-11 @ Hobro L 0-1 1486 1506 27.02% 27.79% 45.19% -7.5 15
2016-09-11 Skive L 1-3 1346 1373 38.70% 28.27% 33.03% -16.0 2
2016-09-11 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-1 1373 1346 33.03% 28.27% 38.70% +16.0 10
2016-09-11 Vendsyssel L 1-3 1460 1436 45.69% 27.73% 26.58% -18.2 11
2016-09-11 @ Naestved W 3-1 1436 1460 26.58% 27.73% 45.69% +18.2 7
2016-09-15 Helsingor D 1-1 1478 1518 36.97% 28.31% 34.73% -0.1 16
2016-09-15 @ Nykobing D 1-1 1518 1478 34.73% 28.31% 36.97% +0.1 15
2016-09-18 AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1508 1330 63.16% 23.16% 13.68% +4.0 16
2016-09-18 @ HB Koge L 0-1 1330 1508 13.68% 23.16% 63.16% -4.0 2
2016-09-18 FC Roskilde W 5-0 1454 1446 43.69% 27.95% 28.36% +34.3 10
2016-09-18 @ Vendsyssel L 0-5 1446 1454 28.36% 27.95% 43.69% -34.3 11
2016-09-18 Hobro W 4-1 1519 1513 43.22% 27.99% 28.79% +18.2 10
2016-09-18 @ Fremad Amager L 1-4 1513 1519 28.79% 27.99% 43.22% -18.2 14
2016-09-18 Naestved W 2-1 1389 1442 35.06% 28.31% 36.63% +8.9 13
2016-09-18 @ Skive L 1-2 1442 1389 36.63% 28.31% 35.06% -8.9 11
2016-09-18 Vejle BK W 3-2 1411 1495 30.81% 28.16% 41.03% +9.2 11
2016-09-18 @ Fredericia L 2-3 1495 1411 41.03% 28.16% 30.81% -9.2 10
2016-09-21 Helsingor W 1-0 1489 1518 38.48% 28.27% 33.25% +8.8 13
2016-09-21 @ Vendsyssel L 0-1 1518 1489 33.25% 28.27% 38.48% -8.8 15
2016-09-23 Nykobing W 2-0 1486 1478 43.60% 27.96% 28.44% +14.7 13
2016-09-23 @ Vejle BK L 0-2 1478 1486 28.44% 27.96% 43.60% -14.7 16
2016-09-25 Fredericia W 2-0 1411 1420 41.23% 28.15% 30.62% +15.6 14
2016-09-25 @ FC Roskilde L 0-2 1420 1411 30.62% 28.15% 41.23% -15.6 11
2016-09-25 Fremad Amager L 0-1 1433 1537 28.35% 27.95% 43.70% -7.8 11
2016-09-25 @ Naestved W 1-0 1537 1433 43.70% 27.95% 28.35% +7.8 13
2016-09-25 HB Koge D 0-0 1495 1512 40.22% 28.20% 31.57% -0.5 15
2016-09-25 @ Hobro D 0-0 1512 1495 31.57% 28.20% 40.22% +0.5 17
2016-09-25 Skive D 1-1 1509 1398 56.19% 25.59% 18.22% -2.0 16
2016-09-25 @ Helsingor D 1-1 1398 1509 18.22% 25.59% 56.19% +2.0 14
2016-09-25 Vendsyssel L 1-3 1326 1498 21.11% 26.59% 52.31% -9.9 2
2016-09-25 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-1 1498 1326 52.31% 26.59% 21.11% +9.9 16
2016-09-28 Fremad Amager D 1-1 1463 1545 31.17% 28.18% 40.65% +0.5 17
2016-09-28 @ Nykobing D 1-1 1545 1463 40.65% 28.18% 31.17% -0.5 14
2016-09-28 Vejle BK W 1-0 1400 1501 28.70% 27.98% 43.31% +10.7 17
2016-09-28 @ Skive L 0-1 1501 1400 43.31% 27.98% 28.70% -10.7 13
2016-09-29 Helsingor D 0-0 1512 1507 43.18% 28.00% 28.82% -0.8 18
2016-09-29 @ HB Koge D 0-0 1507 1512 28.82% 28.00% 43.18% +0.8 17
2016-10-02 AB Gladsaxe L 1-3 1544 1316 67.90% 21.04% 11.06% -25.1 14
2016-10-02 @ Fremad Amager W 3-1 1316 1544 11.06% 21.04% 67.90% +25.1 5
2016-10-02 FC Roskilde D 1-1 1464 1427 47.36% 27.50% 25.14% -1.1 18
2016-10-02 @ Nykobing D 1-1 1427 1464 25.14% 27.50% 47.36% +1.1 15
2016-10-02 Naestved W 3-1 1405 1425 39.66% 28.23% 32.11% +14.0 14
2016-10-02 @ Fredericia L 1-3 1425 1405 32.11% 28.23% 39.66% -14.0 11
2016-10-02 Skive W 1-0 1508 1411 54.60% 26.03% 19.37% +5.6 19
2016-10-02 @ Vendsyssel L 0-1 1411 1508 19.37% 26.03% 54.60% -5.6 17
2016-10-02 Vejle BK W 1-0 1495 1490 43.08% 28.01% 28.92% +7.9 18
2016-10-02 @ Hobro L 0-1 1490 1495 28.92% 28.01% 43.08% -7.9 13
2016-10-09 Fredericia W 2-0 1405 1419 40.61% 28.18% 31.21% +15.8 20
2016-10-09 @ Skive L 0-2 1419 1405 31.21% 28.18% 40.61% -15.8 14
2016-10-09 Helsingor D 2-2 1428 1508 31.38% 28.19% 40.42% +0.3 16
2016-10-09 @ FC Roskilde D 2-2 1508 1428 40.42% 28.19% 31.38% -0.3 18
2016-10-09 Hobro L 0-3 1341 1502 22.07% 26.85% 51.07% -17.3 5
2016-10-09 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-0 1502 1341 51.07% 26.85% 22.07% +17.3 21
2016-10-10 HB Koge D 1-1 1411 1511 28.83% 28.00% 43.18% +0.7 12
2016-10-10 @ Naestved D 1-1 1511 1411 43.18% 28.00% 28.83% -0.7 19
2016-10-13 Vejle BK W 2-1 1428 1482 34.89% 28.31% 36.80% +8.9 19
2016-10-13 @ FC Roskilde L 1-2 1482 1428 36.80% 28.31% 34.89% -8.9 13
2016-10-16 AB Gladsaxe L 2-3 1463 1324 59.22% 24.64% 16.14% -12.3 18
2016-10-16 @ Nykobing W 3-2 1324 1463 16.14% 24.64% 59.22% +12.4 8
2016-10-16 Fremad Amager D 2-2 1507 1519 40.89% 28.17% 30.95% -0.4 19
2016-10-16 @ Helsingor D 2-2 1519 1507 30.95% 28.17% 40.89% +0.4 15
2016-10-16 Naestved W 4-1 1520 1412 55.84% 25.69% 18.47% +12.4 24
2016-10-16 @ Hobro L 1-4 1412 1520 18.47% 25.69% 55.84% -12.5 12
2016-10-16 Skive W 3-0 1510 1421 53.77% 26.24% 19.99% +15.9 22
2016-10-16 @ HB Koge L 0-3 1421 1510 19.99% 26.24% 53.77% -15.9 20
2016-10-16 Vendsyssel D 0-0 1403 1513 27.58% 27.86% 44.56% +1.0 15
2016-10-16 @ Fredericia D 0-0 1513 1403 44.56% 27.86% 27.58% -1.0 20
2016-10-20 Fredericia D 1-1 1532 1404 58.09% 25.01% 16.90% -2.2 25
2016-10-20 @ Hobro D 1-1 1404 1532 16.90% 25.01% 58.09% +2.2 16
2016-10-23 FC Roskilde L 1-2 1405 1437 38.02% 28.29% 33.70% -9.1 20
2016-10-23 @ Skive W 2-1 1437 1405 33.70% 28.29% 38.02% +9.1 22
2016-10-23 HB Koge W 2-1 1336 1526 19.47% 26.07% 54.47% +12.1 11
2016-10-23 @ AB Gladsaxe L 1-2 1526 1336 54.47% 26.07% 19.47% -12.1 22
2016-10-23 Helsingor W 5-1 1400 1507 27.91% 27.90% 44.19% +32.4 15
2016-10-23 @ Naestved L 1-5 1507 1400 44.19% 27.90% 27.91% -32.4 19
2016-10-23 Nykobing W 1-0 1519 1450 51.37% 26.79% 21.84% +6.3 18
2016-10-23 @ Fremad Amager L 0-1 1450 1519 21.84% 26.79% 51.37% -6.3 18
2016-10-23 Vendsyssel D 1-1 1473 1512 37.07% 28.31% 34.62% -0.1 14
2016-10-23 @ Vejle BK D 1-1 1512 1473 34.62% 28.31% 37.07% +0.1 21
2016-10-27 Vejle BK L 0-3 1514 1473 47.87% 27.43% 24.70% -31.7 22
2016-10-27 @ HB Koge W 3-0 1473 1514 24.70% 27.43% 47.87% +31.7 17
2016-10-30 AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1475 1348 57.89% 25.07% 17.03% +4.7 22
2016-10-30 @ Helsingor L 1-2 1348 1475 17.03% 25.07% 57.89% -4.7 11
2016-10-30 FC Roskilde W 2-0 1406 1446 36.88% 28.31% 34.81% +17.1 19
2016-10-30 @ Fredericia L 0-2 1446 1406 34.81% 28.31% 36.88% -17.1 22
2016-10-30 Hobro L 0-4 1512 1530 40.04% 28.21% 31.74% -36.0 21
2016-10-30 @ Vendsyssel W 4-0 1530 1512 31.74% 28.21% 40.04% +36.0 28
2016-10-30 Naestved L 1-2 1444 1432 44.09% 27.91% 28.00% -10.2 18
2016-10-30 @ Nykobing W 2-1 1432 1444 28.00% 27.91% 44.09% +10.2 18
2016-10-30 Skive W 3-0 1526 1396 58.25% 24.96% 16.79% +13.5 21
2016-10-30 @ Fremad Amager L 0-3 1396 1526 16.79% 24.96% 58.25% -13.5 20
2016-11-02 Fremad Amager W 4-0 1505 1539 37.74% 28.29% 33.97% +31.9 20
2016-11-02 @ Vejle BK L 0-4 1539 1505 33.97% 28.29% 37.74% -31.9 21
2016-11-02 Nykobing W 3-1 1476 1434 48.09% 27.39% 24.52% +11.3 24
2016-11-02 @ Vendsyssel L 1-3 1434 1476 24.52% 27.39% 48.09% -11.3 18
2016-11-03 Helsingor W 1-0 1383 1479 29.19% 28.03% 42.78% +10.6 23
2016-11-03 @ Skive L 0-1 1479 1383 42.78% 28.03% 29.19% -10.6 22
2016-11-06 Fredericia D 0-0 1537 1423 56.49% 25.50% 18.00% -2.3 21
2016-11-06 @ Vejle BK D 0-0 1423 1537 18.00% 25.50% 56.49% +2.3 20
2016-11-06 Fremad Amager L 1-2 1344 1507 21.86% 26.80% 51.35% -5.9 11
2016-11-06 @ AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1507 1344 51.35% 26.80% 21.86% +5.9 24
2016-11-06 HB Koge D 1-1 1429 1482 35.00% 28.31% 36.69% +0.1 23
2016-11-06 @ FC Roskilde D 1-1 1482 1429 36.69% 28.31% 35.00% -0.1 23
2016-11-06 Nykobing L 0-1 1566 1422 59.72% 24.46% 15.82% -13.9 28
2016-11-06 @ Hobro W 1-0 1422 1566 15.82% 24.46% 59.72% +13.9 21
2016-11-06 Vendsyssel L 1-3 1442 1488 36.13% 28.31% 35.56% -15.2 18
2016-11-06 @ Naestved W 3-1 1488 1442 35.56% 28.31% 36.13% +15.2 27
2016-11-13 AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1503 1338 61.93% 23.65% 14.42% +4.0 30
2016-11-13 @ Vendsyssel L 1-2 1338 1503 14.42% 23.65% 61.93% -4.0 11
2016-11-13 FC Roskilde L 1-3 1513 1429 53.11% 26.40% 20.49% -20.6 24
2016-11-13 @ Fremad Amager W 3-1 1429 1513 20.49% 26.40% 53.11% +20.6 26
2016-11-13 Helsingor L 0-2 1426 1469 36.46% 28.31% 35.23% -17.7 20
2016-11-13 @ Fredericia W 2-0 1469 1426 35.23% 28.31% 36.46% +17.7 25
2016-11-14 Hobro W 1-0 1482 1552 32.72% 28.26% 39.03% +9.9 26
2016-11-14 @ HB Koge L 0-1 1552 1482 39.03% 28.26% 32.72% -9.9 28
2016-11-17 Naestved W 2-1 1535 1427 55.83% 25.70% 18.48% +5.1 24
2016-11-17 @ Vejle BK L 1-2 1427 1535 18.48% 25.70% 55.83% -5.1 18
2016-11-20 Fredericia L 2-3 1334 1408 32.09% 28.23% 39.68% -7.7 11
2016-11-20 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-2 1408 1334 39.68% 28.23% 32.09% +7.7 23
2016-11-20 HB Koge D 2-2 1486 1492 41.69% 28.11% 30.20% -0.4 26
2016-11-20 @ Helsingor D 2-2 1492 1486 30.20% 28.11% 41.69% +0.4 27
2016-11-20 Hobro W 5-0 1493 1542 35.50% 28.31% 36.18% +41.2 27
2016-11-20 @ Fremad Amager L 0-5 1542 1493 36.18% 28.31% 35.50% -41.2 28
2016-11-20 Nykobing W 2-1 1450 1436 44.31% 27.89% 27.80% +7.2 29
2016-11-20 @ FC Roskilde L 1-2 1436 1450 27.80% 27.89% 44.31% -7.2 21
2016-11-20 Vendsyssel W 3-1 1393 1507 27.15% 27.81% 45.04% +18.0 26
2016-11-20 @ Skive L 1-3 1507 1393 45.04% 27.81% 27.15% -18.0 30
2016-11-24 Skive W 2-1 1501 1411 53.83% 26.23% 19.94% +5.5 31
2016-11-24 @ Hobro L 1-2 1411 1501 19.94% 26.23% 53.83% -5.5 26
2016-11-27 AB Gladsaxe W 2-0 1422 1326 54.51% 26.05% 19.43% +10.6 21
2016-11-27 @ Naestved L 0-2 1326 1422 19.43% 26.05% 54.51% -10.7 11
2016-11-27 FC Roskilde D 2-2 1489 1457 46.69% 27.60% 25.71% -0.8 31
2016-11-27 @ Vendsyssel D 2-2 1457 1489 25.71% 27.60% 46.69% +0.8 30
2016-11-27 Fremad Amager D 0-0 1493 1534 36.76% 28.31% 34.94% -0.1 28
2016-11-27 @ HB Koge D 0-0 1534 1493 34.94% 28.31% 36.76% +0.1 28
2016-11-27 Nykobing L 0-2 1416 1429 40.63% 28.18% 31.18% -19.2 23
2016-11-27 @ Fredericia W 2-0 1429 1416 31.18% 28.18% 40.63% +19.2 24
2016-11-27 Vejle BK D 0-0 1486 1540 34.94% 28.31% 36.75% +0.1 27
2016-11-27 @ Helsingor D 0-0 1540 1486 36.75% 28.31% 34.94% -0.1 25
2016-12-01 Skive L 2-3 1433 1406 46.08% 27.68% 26.24% -10.0 21
2016-12-01 @ Naestved W 3-2 1406 1433 26.24% 27.68% 46.08% +10.0 29
2016-12-01 Vejle BK W 4-3 1448 1540 29.89% 28.09% 42.02% +9.1 27
2016-12-01 @ Nykobing L 3-4 1540 1448 42.02% 28.09% 29.89% -9.1 25
2017-03-05 FC Roskilde L 0-4 1315 1458 23.96% 27.28% 48.76% -24.3 11
2017-03-05 @ AB Gladsaxe W 4-0 1458 1315 48.76% 27.28% 23.96% +24.3 33
2017-03-05 Fremad Amager D 0-0 1488 1534 36.07% 28.31% 35.62% -0.0 32
2017-03-05 @ Vendsyssel D 0-0 1534 1488 35.62% 28.31% 36.07% +0.0 29
2017-03-05 HB Koge W 1-0 1457 1493 37.58% 28.30% 34.12% +8.9 30
2017-03-05 @ Nykobing L 0-1 1493 1457 34.12% 28.30% 37.58% -8.9 28
2017-03-05 Helsingor W 2-0 1507 1486 45.22% 27.79% 26.99% +14.1 34
2017-03-05 @ Hobro L 0-2 1486 1507 26.99% 27.79% 45.22% -14.1 27
2017-03-05 Naestved W 2-1 1396 1423 38.87% 28.26% 32.87% +8.2 26
2017-03-05 @ Fredericia L 1-2 1423 1396 32.87% 28.26% 38.87% -8.2 21
2017-03-05 Skive L 0-2 1530 1416 56.63% 25.46% 17.91% -25.1 25
2017-03-05 @ Vejle BK W 2-0 1416 1530 17.91% 25.46% 56.63% +25.1 32
2017-03-12 AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1441 1291 60.35% 24.24% 15.41% +4.5 35
2017-03-12 @ Skive L 0-1 1291 1441 15.41% 24.24% 60.35% -4.5 11
2017-03-12 Fredericia W 2-1 1534 1405 58.19% 24.98% 16.83% +4.7 32
2017-03-12 @ Fremad Amager L 1-2 1405 1534 16.83% 24.98% 58.19% -4.7 26
2017-03-12 Hobro L 1-5 1505 1521 40.38% 28.19% 31.42% -30.2 25
2017-03-12 @ Vejle BK W 5-1 1521 1505 31.42% 28.19% 40.38% +30.2 37
2017-03-12 Naestved W 2-1 1482 1414 51.21% 26.82% 21.96% +5.9 36
2017-03-12 @ FC Roskilde L 1-2 1414 1482 21.96% 26.82% 51.21% -5.9 21
2017-03-12 Nykobing W 3-0 1472 1466 43.25% 27.99% 28.76% +21.5 30
2017-03-12 @ Helsingor L 0-3 1466 1472 28.76% 27.99% 43.25% -21.5 30
2017-03-12 Vendsyssel W 1-0 1484 1488 41.89% 28.10% 30.01% +8.1 31
2017-03-12 @ HB Koge L 0-1 1488 1484 30.01% 28.10% 41.89% -8.1 32
2017-03-19 Fremad Amager D 1-1 1408 1538 25.30% 27.53% 47.16% +1.1 22
2017-03-19 @ Naestved D 1-1 1538 1408 47.16% 27.53% 25.30% -1.1 33
2017-03-19 HB Koge D 0-0 1400 1492 29.83% 28.09% 42.09% +0.7 27
2017-03-19 @ Fredericia D 0-0 1492 1400 42.09% 28.09% 29.83% -0.7 32
2017-03-19 Skive L 2-3 1445 1445 42.43% 28.06% 29.51% -9.4 30
2017-03-19 @ Nykobing W 3-2 1445 1445 29.51% 28.06% 42.43% +9.4 38
2017-03-19 Vejle BK L 1-2 1287 1475 19.60% 26.11% 54.29% -5.4 11
2017-03-19 @ AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1475 1287 54.29% 26.11% 19.60% +5.4 28
2017-03-20 Helsingor L 1-2 1480 1494 40.61% 28.18% 31.21% -9.6 32
2017-03-20 @ Vendsyssel W 2-1 1494 1480 31.21% 28.18% 40.61% +9.6 33
2017-03-20 Hobro L 1-2 1488 1551 33.68% 28.29% 38.03% -8.4 36
2017-03-20 @ FC Roskilde W 2-1 1551 1488 38.03% 28.29% 33.68% +8.4 40
2017-03-26 Fredericia D 0-0 1503 1401 55.25% 25.86% 18.89% -2.2 34
2017-03-26 @ Helsingor D 0-0 1401 1503 18.89% 25.86% 55.25% +2.2 28
2017-03-26 Fremad Amager W 4-0 1559 1537 45.41% 27.76% 26.82% +26.6 43
2017-03-26 @ Hobro L 0-4 1537 1559 26.82% 27.76% 45.41% -26.6 33
2017-03-26 Naestved W 2-1 1455 1410 48.41% 27.34% 24.25% +6.5 41
2017-03-26 @ Skive L 1-2 1410 1455 24.25% 27.34% 48.41% -6.5 22
2017-03-27 Vendsyssel L 1-2 1435 1470 37.63% 28.30% 34.08% -9.1 30
2017-03-27 @ Nykobing W 2-1 1470 1435 34.08% 28.30% 37.63% +9.1 35
2017-03-30 Skive W 3-1 1480 1461 44.99% 27.81% 27.19% +12.3 39
2017-03-30 @ FC Roskilde L 1-3 1461 1480 27.19% 27.81% 44.99% -12.3 41
2017-04-02 AB Gladsaxe L 1-3 1403 1281 57.39% 25.23% 17.38% -22.0 28
2017-04-02 @ Fredericia W 3-1 1281 1403 17.38% 25.23% 57.39% +22.0 14
2017-04-02 HB Koge D 0-0 1586 1491 54.38% 26.09% 19.53% -2.1 44
2017-04-02 @ Hobro D 0-0 1491 1586 19.53% 26.09% 54.38% +2.1 33
2017-04-02 Helsingor L 1-2 1511 1501 43.80% 27.94% 28.26% -10.2 33
2017-04-02 @ Fremad Amager W 2-1 1501 1511 28.26% 27.94% 43.80% +10.2 37
2017-04-02 Nykobing D 0-0 1403 1426 39.27% 28.25% 32.49% -0.4 23
2017-04-02 @ Naestved D 0-0 1426 1403 32.49% 28.25% 39.27% +0.4 31
2017-04-02 Vejle BK W 3-2 1479 1481 42.32% 28.07% 29.61% +7.2 38
2017-04-02 @ Vendsyssel L 2-3 1481 1479 29.61% 28.07% 42.32% -7.2 28
2017-04-05 AB Gladsaxe D 0-0 1493 1303 64.36% 22.65% 12.98% -3.2 34
2017-04-05 @ HB Koge D 0-0 1303 1493 12.98% 22.65% 64.36% +3.2 15
2017-04-05 FC Roskilde W 4-1 1473 1492 39.90% 28.22% 31.88% +19.7 31
2017-04-05 @ Vejle BK L 1-4 1492 1473 31.88% 28.22% 39.90% -19.7 39
2017-04-09 FC Roskilde W 1-0 1511 1472 47.59% 27.47% 24.94% +7.0 40
2017-04-09 @ Helsingor L 0-1 1472 1511 24.94% 27.47% 47.59% -7.0 39
2017-04-09 Fredericia L 0-1 1487 1381 55.61% 25.76% 18.63% -13.1 38
2017-04-09 @ Vendsyssel W 1-0 1381 1487 18.63% 25.76% 55.61% +13.1 31
2017-04-09 Fremad Amager W 4-1 1449 1501 35.22% 28.31% 36.47% +21.7 44
2017-04-09 @ Skive L 1-4 1501 1449 36.47% 28.31% 35.22% -21.7 33
2017-04-09 HB Koge L 0-1 1493 1490 42.90% 28.02% 29.08% -10.6 31
2017-04-09 @ Vejle BK W 1-0 1490 1493 29.08% 28.02% 42.90% +10.6 37
2017-04-09 Hobro L 1-3 1427 1584 22.50% 26.96% 50.54% -10.5 31
2017-04-09 @ Nykobing W 3-1 1584 1427 50.54% 26.96% 22.50% +10.5 47
2017-04-09 Naestved L 0-1 1306 1403 29.25% 28.04% 42.72% -8.0 15
2017-04-09 @ AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1403 1306 42.72% 28.04% 29.25% +8.0 26
2017-04-13 AB Gladsaxe W 2-0 1594 1298 73.63% 18.06% 8.31% +4.3 50
2017-04-13 @ Hobro L 0-2 1298 1594 8.31% 18.06% 73.63% -4.3 15
2017-04-13 FC Roskilde L 1-2 1411 1465 34.78% 28.31% 36.91% -8.5 26
2017-04-13 @ Naestved W 2-1 1465 1411 36.91% 28.31% 34.78% +8.5 42
2017-04-13 Helsingor L 0-2 1501 1518 40.07% 28.21% 31.72% -19.0 37
2017-04-13 @ HB Koge W 2-0 1518 1501 31.72% 28.21% 40.07% +19.0 43
2017-04-13 Nykobing D 2-2 1482 1416 51.01% 26.87% 22.12% -1.1 32
2017-04-13 @ Vejle BK D 2-2 1416 1482 22.12% 26.87% 51.01% +1.1 32
2017-04-13 Skive W 2-0 1394 1471 31.80% 28.22% 39.98% +19.0 34
2017-04-13 @ Fredericia L 0-2 1471 1394 39.98% 28.22% 31.80% -19.0 44
2017-04-13 Vendsyssel L 1-2 1479 1473 43.22% 27.99% 28.79% -10.1 33
2017-04-13 @ Fremad Amager W 2-1 1473 1479 28.79% 27.99% 43.22% +10.1 41
2017-04-23 AB Gladsaxe L 1-2 1474 1294 63.38% 23.07% 13.55% -13.8 42
2017-04-23 @ FC Roskilde W 2-1 1294 1474 13.55% 23.07% 63.38% +13.8 18
2017-04-23 Fredericia D 2-2 1417 1413 43.08% 28.00% 28.91% -0.5 33
2017-04-23 @ Nykobing D 2-2 1413 1417 28.91% 28.00% 43.08% +0.5 35
2017-04-23 HB Koge W 2-1 1452 1482 38.31% 28.28% 33.41% +8.3 47
2017-04-23 @ Skive L 1-2 1482 1452 33.41% 28.28% 38.31% -8.3 37
2017-04-23 Hobro W 3-0 1537 1599 33.85% 28.29% 37.86% +26.4 46
2017-04-23 @ Helsingor L 0-3 1599 1537 37.86% 28.29% 33.85% -26.4 50
2017-04-23 Naestved D 1-1 1484 1402 52.82% 26.47% 20.71% -1.7 42
2017-04-23 @ Vendsyssel D 1-1 1402 1484 20.71% 26.47% 52.82% +1.7 27
2017-04-23 Vejle BK L 2-3 1469 1481 40.77% 28.17% 31.05% -9.1 33
2017-04-23 @ Fremad Amager W 3-2 1481 1469 31.05% 28.17% 40.77% +9.1 35
2017-04-30 FC Roskilde L 1-2 1572 1460 56.31% 25.56% 18.13% -12.5 50
2017-04-30 @ Hobro W 2-1 1460 1572 18.13% 25.56% 56.31% +12.5 45
2017-04-30 Fremad Amager D 2-2 1413 1460 36.01% 28.31% 35.68% -0.0 36
2017-04-30 @ Fredericia D 2-2 1460 1413 35.68% 28.31% 36.01% +0.0 34
2017-04-30 Nykobing W 2-1 1473 1417 49.83% 27.10% 23.08% +6.2 40
2017-04-30 @ HB Koge L 1-2 1417 1473 23.08% 27.10% 49.83% -6.2 33
2017-04-30 Skive D 0-0 1564 1460 55.39% 25.82% 18.79% -2.2 47
2017-04-30 @ Helsingor D 0-0 1460 1564 18.79% 25.82% 55.39% +2.2 48
2017-04-30 Vejle BK D 3-3 1404 1490 30.49% 28.14% 41.38% +0.3 28
2017-04-30 @ Naestved D 3-3 1490 1404 41.38% 28.14% 30.49% -0.3 36
2017-04-30 Vendsyssel L 0-3 1308 1482 20.90% 26.53% 52.57% -16.5 18
2017-04-30 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-0 1482 1308 52.57% 26.53% 20.90% +16.5 45
2017-05-07 AB Gladsaxe D 2-2 1490 1291 65.19% 22.29% 12.51% -2.2 37
2017-05-07 @ Vejle BK D 2-2 1291 1490 12.51% 22.29% 65.19% +2.2 19
2017-05-07 Fredericia W 2-0 1404 1413 41.21% 28.15% 30.64% +15.6 31
2017-05-07 @ Naestved L 0-2 1413 1404 30.64% 28.15% 41.21% -15.6 36
2017-05-07 HB Koge W 2-0 1460 1480 39.75% 28.23% 32.02% +16.1 37
2017-05-07 @ Fremad Amager L 0-2 1480 1460 32.02% 28.23% 39.75% -16.1 40
2017-05-07 Helsingor W 3-1 1411 1561 23.12% 27.11% 49.77% +19.5 36
2017-05-07 @ Nykobing L 1-3 1561 1411 49.77% 27.11% 23.12% -19.5 47
2017-05-07 Hobro L 0-1 1462 1560 29.10% 28.02% 42.88% -7.9 48
2017-05-07 @ Skive W 1-0 1560 1462 42.88% 28.02% 29.10% +7.9 53
2017-05-07 Vendsyssel D 0-0 1473 1498 38.94% 28.26% 32.80% -0.3 46
2017-05-07 @ FC Roskilde D 0-0 1498 1473 32.80% 28.26% 38.94% +0.3 46
2017-05-11 FC Roskilde W 3-2 1430 1472 36.57% 28.31% 35.12% +8.2 39
2017-05-11 @ Nykobing L 2-3 1472 1430 35.12% 28.31% 36.57% -8.2 46
2017-05-11 Fredericia D 1-1 1463 1398 50.93% 26.88% 22.19% -1.5 41
2017-05-11 @ HB Koge D 1-1 1398 1463 22.19% 26.88% 50.93% +1.5 37
2017-05-11 Helsingor W 2-1 1294 1542 15.15% 24.09% 60.76% +13.3 22
2017-05-11 @ AB Gladsaxe L 1-2 1542 1294 60.76% 24.09% 15.15% -13.3 47
2017-05-11 Naestved L 0-3 1476 1420 49.77% 27.11% 23.12% -32.7 37
2017-05-11 @ Fremad Amager W 3-0 1420 1476 23.12% 27.11% 49.77% +32.7 34
2017-05-11 Skive W 4-0 1499 1454 48.33% 27.35% 24.31% +24.6 49
2017-05-11 @ Vendsyssel L 0-4 1454 1499 24.31% 27.35% 48.33% -24.6 48
2017-05-11 Vejle BK D 1-1 1568 1488 52.62% 26.52% 20.86% -1.7 54
2017-05-11 @ Hobro D 1-1 1488 1568 20.86% 26.52% 52.62% +1.7 38
2017-05-14 Fremad Amager D 0-0 1464 1443 45.32% 27.77% 26.90% -1.0 47
2017-05-14 @ FC Roskilde D 0-0 1443 1464 26.90% 27.77% 45.32% +1.0 38
2017-05-14 Hobro W 2-1 1399 1566 21.59% 26.72% 51.69% +11.6 40
2017-05-14 @ Fredericia L 1-2 1566 1399 51.69% 26.72% 21.59% -11.6 54
2017-05-14 Naestved W 3-0 1462 1452 43.77% 27.94% 28.29% +21.3 44
2017-05-14 @ HB Koge L 0-3 1452 1462 28.29% 27.94% 43.77% -21.3 34
2017-05-14 Nykobing D 2-2 1307 1438 25.14% 27.51% 47.35% +0.9 23
2017-05-14 @ AB Gladsaxe D 2-2 1438 1307 47.35% 27.51% 25.14% -0.8 40
2017-05-14 Vejle BK L 0-1 1430 1490 34.05% 28.30% 37.66% -8.9 48
2017-05-14 @ Skive W 1-0 1490 1430 37.66% 28.30% 34.05% +8.9 41
2017-05-14 Vendsyssel L 0-1 1529 1523 43.20% 27.99% 28.80% -10.7 47
2017-05-14 @ Helsingor W 1-0 1523 1529 28.80% 27.99% 43.20% +10.7 52
2017-05-21 AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1444 1308 58.97% 24.72% 16.31% +4.8 41
2017-05-21 @ Fremad Amager L 0-1 1308 1444 16.31% 24.72% 58.97% -4.8 23
2017-05-21 Fredericia W 2-1 1463 1411 49.29% 27.19% 23.52% +6.3 50
2017-05-21 @ FC Roskilde L 1-2 1411 1463 23.52% 27.19% 49.29% -6.3 40
2017-05-21 HB Koge W 3-2 1534 1483 49.11% 27.22% 23.67% +6.0 55
2017-05-21 @ Vendsyssel L 2-3 1483 1534 23.67% 27.22% 49.11% -6.0 44
2017-05-21 Helsingor L 0-1 1499 1518 39.82% 28.22% 31.96% -10.0 41
2017-05-21 @ Vejle BK W 1-0 1518 1499 31.96% 28.22% 39.82% +10.0 50
2017-05-21 Hobro D 0-0 1431 1554 26.08% 27.66% 46.27% +1.1 35
2017-05-21 @ Naestved D 0-0 1554 1431 46.27% 27.66% 26.08% -1.1 55
2017-05-21 Nykobing L 2-3 1421 1437 40.17% 28.21% 31.63% -9.0 48
2017-05-21 @ Skive W 3-2 1437 1421 31.63% 28.21% 40.17% +9.0 43
2017-05-27 FC Roskilde W 1-0 1477 1469 43.53% 27.96% 28.51% +7.8 47
2017-05-27 @ HB Koge L 0-1 1469 1477 28.51% 27.96% 43.53% -7.8 50
2017-05-27 Fremad Amager W 2-0 1446 1449 42.16% 28.08% 29.76% +15.2 46
2017-05-27 @ Nykobing L 0-2 1449 1446 29.76% 28.08% 42.16% -15.2 41
2017-05-27 Naestved W 1-0 1528 1432 54.47% 26.07% 19.47% +5.7 53
2017-05-27 @ Helsingor L 0-1 1432 1528 19.47% 26.07% 54.47% -5.7 35
2017-05-27 Skive D 1-1 1303 1412 27.75% 27.88% 44.37% +0.8 24
2017-05-27 @ AB Gladsaxe D 1-1 1412 1303 44.37% 27.88% 27.75% -0.8 49
2017-05-27 Vejle BK W 3-1 1405 1488 30.85% 28.16% 40.99% +16.7 43
2017-05-27 @ Fredericia L 1-3 1488 1405 40.99% 28.16% 30.85% -16.7 41
2017-05-27 Vendsyssel W 1-0 1553 1540 44.26% 27.89% 27.84% +7.7 58
2017-05-27 @ Hobro L 0-1 1540 1553 27.84% 27.89% 44.26% -7.7 55

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2017-05-31 Vendsyssel D 0-0 1541 1532 43.61% 27.96% 28.43% -0.8 0-0-1
2017-05-31 @ Horsens D 0-0 1532 1541 28.43% 27.96% 43.61% +0.8 0-0-1
2017-05-31 Viborg D 1-1 1534 1592 34.25% 28.30% 37.45% +0.2 0-0-1
2017-05-31 @ Helsingor D 1-1 1592 1534 37.45% 28.30% 34.25% -0.2 0-0-1
2017-06-04 Helsingor D 2-2 1592 1534 50.04% 27.06% 22.90% -1.0 0-0-2
2017-06-04 @ Viborg D 2-2 1534 1592 22.90% 27.06% 50.04% +1.0 0-0-2
2017-06-04 Horsens L 1-3 1533 1540 41.58% 28.12% 30.30% -16.9 0-1-1
2017-06-04 @ Vendsyssel W 3-1 1540 1533 30.30% 28.12% 41.58% +16.9 1-0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-10-02 11.06% AB Gladsaxe 1316 3 @ Fremad Amager 1544 1
2 2017-04-23 13.55% AB Gladsaxe 1294 2 @ FC Roskilde 1474 1
3 2017-05-11 15.15% @ AB Gladsaxe 1294 2 Helsingor 1542 1
4 2016-11-06 15.82% Nykobing 1422 1 @ Hobro 1566 0
5 2016-10-16 16.14% AB Gladsaxe 1324 3 @ Nykobing 1463 2
6 2017-04-02 17.38% AB Gladsaxe 1281 3 @ Fredericia 1403 1
7 2017-03-05 17.91% Skive 1416 2 @ Vejle BK 1530 0
8 2017-04-30 18.13% FC Roskilde 1460 2 @ Hobro 1572 1
9 2017-04-09 18.63% Fredericia 1381 1 @ Vendsyssel 1487 0
10 2016-10-23 19.47% @ AB Gladsaxe 1336 2 HB Koge 1526 1
11 2016-11-13 20.49% FC Roskilde 1429 3 @ Fremad Amager 1513 1
12 2017-05-14 21.59% @ Fredericia 1399 2 Hobro 1566 1
13 2016-08-28 22.98% Naestved 1448 2 @ Helsingor 1506 1
14 2017-05-07 23.12% @ Nykobing 1411 3 Helsingor 1561 1
15 2017-05-11 23.12% Naestved 1420 3 @ Fremad Amager 1476 0
16 2016-10-27 24.70% Vejle BK 1473 3 @ HB Koge 1514 0
17 2016-09-11 25.84% HB Koge 1486 2 @ Vejle BK 1517 0
18 2016-12-01 26.24% Skive 1406 3 @ Naestved 1433 2
19 2016-09-11 26.58% Vendsyssel 1436 3 @ Naestved 1460 1
20 2016-11-20 27.15% @ Skive 1393 3 Vendsyssel 1507 1
21 2016-07-24 27.56% HB Koge 1466 1 @ Vendsyssel 1482 0
22 2016-10-23 27.91% @ Naestved 1400 5 Helsingor 1507 1
23 2016-10-30 28.00% Naestved 1432 2 @ Nykobing 1444 1
24 2017-04-02 28.26% Helsingor 1501 2 @ Fremad Amager 1511 1
25 2016-09-28 28.70% @ Skive 1400 1 Vejle BK 1501 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-11-20 41.16 @ Fremad Amager 5 1493 35.50% Hobro 0 1542 36.18% 28.31%
2 2016-10-30 36.00 Hobro 4 1530 31.74% @ Vendsyssel 0 1512 40.04% 28.21%
3 2016-09-18 34.33 @ Vendsyssel 5 1454 43.69% FC Roskilde 0 1446 28.36% 27.95%
4 2017-05-11 32.73 Naestved 3 1420 23.12% @ Fremad Amager 0 1476 49.77% 27.11%
5 2016-10-23 32.37 @ Naestved 5 1400 27.91% Helsingor 1 1507 44.19% 27.90%
6 2016-11-02 31.91 @ Vejle BK 4 1505 37.74% Fremad Amager 0 1539 33.97% 28.29%
7 2016-10-27 31.71 Vejle BK 3 1473 24.70% @ HB Koge 0 1514 47.87% 27.43%
8 2017-03-12 30.19 Hobro 5 1521 31.42% @ Vejle BK 1 1505 40.38% 28.19%
9 2016-08-14 29.50 @ Nykobing 4 1440 41.29% Skive 0 1448 30.57% 28.14%
10 2016-08-21 27.68 Vejle BK 3 1492 31.52% @ Naestved 0 1476 40.28% 28.20%
11 2016-08-29 27.25 @ Hobro 4 1479 44.55% Vendsyssel 0 1464 27.58% 27.86%
12 2017-03-26 26.65 @ Hobro 4 1559 45.41% Fremad Amager 0 1537 26.82% 27.76%
13 2017-04-23 26.42 @ Helsingor 3 1537 33.85% Hobro 0 1599 37.86% 28.29%
14 2016-10-02 25.13 AB Gladsaxe 3 1316 11.06% @ Fremad Amager 1 1544 67.90% 21.04%
15 2017-03-05 25.10 Skive 2 1416 17.91% @ Vejle BK 0 1530 56.63% 25.46%
16 2017-05-11 24.60 @ Vendsyssel 4 1499 48.33% Skive 0 1454 24.31% 27.35%
17 2016-08-07 24.45 @ Naestved 3 1432 37.70% Hobro 0 1466 34.01% 28.29%
18 2017-03-05 24.30 FC Roskilde 4 1458 48.76% @ AB Gladsaxe 0 1315 23.96% 27.28%
19 2016-08-28 23.67 @ Fremad Amager 5 1506 55.95% Skive 0 1397 18.39% 25.66%
20 2016-09-11 23.26 @ Helsingor 4 1494 50.23% Fredericia 0 1435 22.75% 27.02%
21 2016-08-18 21.99 Hobro 4 1457 34.52% @ Skive 1 1419 37.17% 28.30%
22 2017-04-02 21.98 AB Gladsaxe 3 1281 17.38% @ Fredericia 1 1403 57.39% 25.23%
23 2017-04-09 21.68 @ Skive 4 1449 35.22% Fremad Amager 1 1501 36.47% 28.31%
24 2017-03-12 21.55 @ Helsingor 3 1472 43.25% Nykobing 0 1466 28.76% 27.99%
25 2016-09-11 21.34 HB Koge 2 1486 25.84% @ Vejle BK 0 1517 46.54% 27.62%