Home / Leagues / Denmark / 1st Division / 2015-16

2015-16 1st Division Season

198 games

Final

Promoted

Lyngby

64 pts

Silkeborg · 63 pts

Horsens · 60 pts

Relegated

Vestsjaelland

withdrew

Biggest Overachiever

Silkeborg

11.36 points above expected

63 points · 51.64 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Skive

8.93 points below expected

31 points · 39.93 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Lyngby Promoted 33 19 7 7 64 56 37 +19 55.15 +8.85
2 Silkeborg Promoted 33 18 9 6 63 53 29 +24 51.64 +11.36
3 Horsens Promoted 33 18 6 9 60 46 34 +12 53.09 +6.91
4 Vendsyssel 33 16 8 9 56 38 33 +5 48.37 +7.63
5 Vejle BK 33 16 5 12 53 50 46 +4 51.80 +1.20
6 Fredericia 33 12 11 10 47 42 45 -3 44.82 +2.18
7 Helsingor 33 14 5 14 47 34 42 -8 52.77 -5.77
8 HB Koge 33 13 6 14 45 31 35 -4 44.89 +0.11
9 FC Roskilde 33 10 9 14 39 48 58 -10 44.13 -5.13
10 Naestved 33 10 4 19 34 34 48 -14 40.93 -6.93
11 Skive 33 8 7 18 31 34 50 -16 39.93 -8.93
12 Vestsjaelland Withdrew 33 2 7 24 13 19 28 -9 20.11 -7.11

* Point deductions: FC Vestsjaelland (-6 pts)

Notes

  • FC Vestsjaelland went bankrupt in the middle of the season, causing their 15 remaining matches to be forfeit losses. Their license was subsequently used as an amateur club in the Zealand Series.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Silkeborg 1494 63 51.64 +11.36 95.1% 22 40 47 52 57 63 80
Lyngby 1463 64 55.15 +8.85 89.5% 29 43 50 55 60 67 80
Horsens 1429 60 53.09 +6.91 84.2% 27 41 48 53 58 65 77
Vendsyssel 1391 56 48.37 +7.63 85.5% 20 36 43 48 54 61 78
Vejle BK 1382 53 51.80 +1.20 59.4% 28 40 47 52 57 64 81
Helsingor 1368 47 52.77 -5.77 23.9% 26 41 48 53 58 65 85
HB Koge 1363 45 44.89 +0.11 53.4% 19 33 40 45 50 57 73
Vestsjaelland 1352 13 20.11 -7.11 1.2% 1 11 16 20 24 29 40
FC Roskilde 1336 39 44.13 -5.13 26.9% 16 32 39 44 49 56 72
Fredericia 1335 47 44.82 +2.18 63.9% 18 33 40 45 50 57 73
Naestved 1321 34 40.93 -6.93 18.8% 15 29 36 41 46 53 69
Skive 1285 31 39.93 -8.93 12.0% 16 28 35 40 45 52 69

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team FR FRE HK HEL HOR LYN NAE SIL SKI VB VEN VES
FC Roskilde
0-2-1
4.12
2-1-0
4.11
1-0-2
3.81
0-0-3
3.45
1-1-1
3.41
1-1-1
4.18
0-1-2
4.09
2-1-0
4.35
1-0-2
3.67
1-0-2
3.40
1-2-0
3.63
Fredericia
1-2-0
4.20
0-1-2
4.74
2-1-0
3.86
0-1-2
3.30
2-0-1
3.44
2-1-0
4.43
1-1-1
3.84
1-1-1
4.58
0-2-1
3.57
1-0-2
3.75
2-1-0
3.84
HB Koge
0-1-2
4.22
2-1-0
3.59
1-0-2
4.01
0-0-3
3.68
0-1-2
3.31
2-0-1
4.65
0-1-2
3.71
1-2-0
4.72
1-0-2
3.41
3-0-0
3.90
3-0-0
4.28
Helsingor
2-0-1
4.52
0-1-2
4.47
2-0-1
4.32
0-2-1
4.38
0-0-3
3.85
2-0-1
5.17
0-1-2
4.39
3-0-0
5.31
2-0-1
4.41
1-1-1
4.35
2-0-1
4.53
Horsens
3-0-0
4.89
2-1-0
5.03
3-0-0
4.65
1-2-0
3.95
1-1-1
4.18
0-0-3
5.02
1-1-1
4.23
3-0-0
4.83
0-0-3
4.30
1-1-1
4.36
3-0-0
5.16
Lyngby
1-1-1
4.93
1-0-2
4.91
2-1-0
5.03
3-0-0
4.49
1-1-1
4.15
3-0-0
5.43
2-0-1
4.80
1-2-0
5.76
3-0-0
4.74
1-0-2
4.68
1-2-0
4.85
Naestved
1-1-1
4.15
0-1-2
3.90
1-0-2
3.69
1-0-2
3.17
3-0-0
3.34
0-0-3
2.92
0-1-2
3.23
1-0-2
4.40
1-0-2
2.88
0-1-2
3.79
2-0-1
3.38
Silkeborg
2-1-0
4.25
1-1-1
4.50
2-1-0
4.63
2-1-0
3.93
1-1-1
4.09
1-0-2
3.54
2-1-0
5.12
2-1-0
5.26
2-0-1
4.47
0-2-1
4.41
3-0-0
4.71
Skive
0-1-2
3.98
1-1-1
3.75
0-2-1
3.62
0-0-3
3.04
0-0-3
3.53
0-2-1
2.61
2-0-1
3.93
0-1-2
3.09
1-0-2
3.22
1-0-2
3.75
3-0-0
3.72
Vejle BK
2-0-1
4.67
1-2-0
4.77
2-0-1
4.93
1-0-2
3.93
3-0-0
4.04
0-0-3
3.59
2-0-1
5.48
1-0-2
3.87
2-0-1
5.12
0-2-1
4.46
2-1-0
4.15
Vendsyssel
2-0-1
4.94
2-0-1
4.58
0-0-3
4.43
1-1-1
3.98
1-1-1
3.97
2-0-1
3.66
2-1-0
4.55
1-2-0
3.92
2-0-1
4.59
1-2-0
3.88
2-1-0
4.55
Vestsjaelland
0-2-1
4.71
0-1-2
4.50
0-0-3
4.05
1-0-2
3.80
0-0-3
3.18
0-2-1
3.48
1-0-2
4.96
0-0-3
3.63
0-0-3
4.61
0-1-2
4.19
0-1-2
3.77

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.67 +11.5
Allowed 0.04 -3.4
Differential 0.68 +9.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.07%10.10%5.81%3.03%0.51%0.25%26.77%
110.10%9.60%6.06%4.04%0.51%0.25%30.56%
25.81%6.06%3.03%2.78%1.26%0.25%19.19%
33.03%4.04%2.78%0.51%0.76%11.11%
40.51%0.51%1.26%0.76%1.01%4.04%
5+0.25%0.25%0.25%7.58%8.33%
Total26.77%30.56%19.19%11.11%4.04%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.15 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.30 1.54
CV 1.13 1.13
Max 6 6 +5
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%3.03%3.03%21.21%
16.06%9.09%9.09%6.06%30.30%
26.06%3.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%27.27%
33.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%12.12%
43.03%3.03%6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%
Total21.21%24.24%21.21%18.18%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.73 -0.30
SD 1.23 1.55 1.57
CV 0.86 0.90
Max 4 6 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%3.03%6.06%6.06%30.30%
19.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%27.27%
23.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%24.24%
33.03%3.03%3.03%9.09%
43.03%3.03%6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%
Total30.30%27.27%18.18%12.12%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.33 -0.09
SD 1.25 1.36 1.53
CV 1.01 1.02
Max 4 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%3.03%6.06%3.03%36.36%
112.12%9.09%9.09%3.03%33.33%
212.12%6.06%3.03%21.21%
33.03%3.03%6.06%
4
5+3.03%3.03%
Total33.33%36.36%15.15%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.91 1.03 -0.12
SD 0.98 1.13 1.63
CV 1.08 1.10
Max 3 4 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%18.18%3.03%12.12%39.39%
112.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%24.24%
23.03%6.06%6.06%15.15%
36.06%6.06%12.12%
43.03%3.03%
5+6.06%6.06%
Total24.24%33.33%18.18%15.15%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.21 -0.24
SD 1.26 1.24 1.71
CV 1.30 1.03
Max 4 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%3.03%15.15%
112.12%12.12%3.03%6.06%3.03%36.36%
215.15%6.06%3.03%24.24%
312.12%3.03%3.03%18.18%
4
5+6.06%6.06%
Total45.45%24.24%6.06%9.09%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.97 +0.36
SD 1.14 1.49 1.76
CV 0.85 1.54
Max 3 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%6.06%15.15%
118.18%9.09%6.06%3.03%36.36%
29.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%18.18%
33.03%6.06%3.03%12.12%
43.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%15.15%
5+3.03%3.03%
Total36.36%24.24%24.24%9.09%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.09 +0.58
SD 1.38 1.18 1.37
CV 0.83 1.08
Max 4 4 +3
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%15.15%15.15%3.03%39.39%
16.06%6.06%9.09%9.09%30.30%
23.03%9.09%6.06%18.18%
33.03%3.03%
43.03%3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%6.06%
Total15.15%36.36%27.27%18.18%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.42 -0.42
SD 1.27 1.06 1.56
CV 1.27 0.75
Max 5 3 +4
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%6.06%21.21%
19.09%18.18%3.03%30.30%
23.03%9.09%3.03%15.15%
33.03%12.12%3.03%18.18%
43.03%3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%6.06%12.12%
Total24.24%51.52%18.18%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 0.82 +0.73
SD 1.62 0.81 1.59
CV 1.05 0.99
Max 6 2 +5
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%18.18%9.09%3.03%33.33%
16.06%15.15%9.09%6.06%36.36%
23.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%15.15%
36.06%3.03%3.03%12.12%
4
5+3.03%3.03%
Total12.12%42.42%24.24%12.12%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.48 -0.48
SD 1.06 1.15 1.28
CV 1.06 0.77
Max 3 4 +2
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%21.21%
19.09%6.06%3.03%6.06%24.24%
23.03%9.09%3.03%9.09%24.24%
39.09%6.06%3.03%18.18%
43.03%3.03%6.06%
5+6.06%6.06%
Total27.27%27.27%15.15%18.18%3.03%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.33 +0.12
SD 1.35 1.45 1.75
CV 0.93 1.09
Max 4 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%6.06%6.06%3.03%24.24%
121.21%12.12%6.06%3.03%42.42%
29.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%21.21%
36.06%6.06%
43.03%3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%
Total39.39%24.24%24.24%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.97 +0.15
SD 1.05 1.07 1.28
CV 0.94 1.11
Max 4 3 +2
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%9.09%6.06%24.24%
16.06%6.06%3.03%15.15%
23.03%3.03%6.06%
33.03%3.03%6.06%
43.03%3.03%
5+45.45%45.45%
Total12.12%15.15%18.18%3.03%6.06%45.45%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.12 0.39 -0.27
SD 1.39 1.58 0.94
CV 11.44 4.01
Max 4 4 +3
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Silkeborg 63 51.64 +11.36
2 Lyngby 64 55.15 +8.85
3 Vendsyssel 56 48.37 +7.63
4 Horsens 60 53.09 +6.91
5 Fredericia 47 44.82 +2.18

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Skive 31 39.93 -8.93
2 Vestsjaelland 13 20.11 -7.11
3 Naestved 34 40.93 -6.93
4 Helsingor 47 52.77 -5.77
5 FC Roskilde 39 44.13 -5.13

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 HB Koge 5 Nov 8 – Mar 13 1 in 277
2 Vendsyssel 5 Apr 24 – May 16 1 in 159
3 Horsens 5 Aug 16 – Sep 20 1 in 91
4 Silkeborg 5 Mar 28 – Apr 24 1 in 89
5 Naestved 2 Nov 29 – Mar 13 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vestsjaelland 16 Nov 29 – May 28 1 in 1,245,719
2 FC Roskilde 6 Oct 4 – Nov 13 1 in 112
3 Vendsyssel 4 Nov 29 – Mar 17 1 in 74
4 Naestved 5 Aug 2 – Aug 30 1 in 72
5 HB Koge 4 Oct 18 – Nov 1 1 in 33

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vendsyssel 12 Aug 30 – Nov 12 1 in 212
2 Horsens 9 Aug 16 – Oct 9 1 in 84
3 Fredericia 7 Jul 26 – Sep 10 1 in 42
4 Silkeborg 7 Mar 20 – Apr 24 1 in 22
5 Lyngby 8 Sep 18 – Nov 5 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vestsjaelland 16 Nov 29 – May 28 1 in 1,226
2 Vendsyssel 10 Nov 12 – Apr 20 1 in 179
3 FC Roskilde 9 Sep 18 – Nov 18 1 in 52
4 Fredericia 6 Sep 10 – Oct 14 1 in 25
5 Naestved 6 Aug 2 – Sep 6 1 in 15

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Lyngby27.27%18.01%14.69%11.12%8.91%7.27%4.98%3.35%2.43%1.42%0.55%
Silkeborg13.75%14.12%13.74%12.49%11.70%9.52%8.62%6.54%4.77%3.17%1.56%0.02%
Horsens17.07%16.54%14.01%13.00%10.37%9.02%7.41%5.13%3.93%2.41%1.10%0.01%
Vendsyssel6.46%9.05%9.45%10.56%11.20%11.57%10.93%10.43%8.80%6.92%4.54%0.09%
Vejle BK12.88%13.63%13.44%12.75%11.90%10.45%8.27%6.72%5.02%3.35%1.58%0.01%
Fredericia2.18%4.03%5.89%7.27%9.04%10.53%11.53%13.01%13.22%12.62%10.32%0.36%
Helsingor15.04%15.11%14.30%12.25%11.21%9.23%8.04%5.97%4.28%3.08%1.48%0.01%
HB Koge2.30%3.68%5.67%7.29%8.84%10.75%11.99%13.12%13.53%12.34%10.12%0.37%
FC Roskilde1.91%3.28%4.85%6.66%7.87%9.70%11.54%12.52%13.74%14.26%13.18%0.49%
Naestved0.67%1.59%2.08%3.76%5.08%6.14%8.67%12.27%15.31%19.40%23.69%1.34%
Skive0.47%0.96%1.88%2.85%3.88%5.82%8.02%10.94%14.90%20.53%28.18%1.57%
Vestsjaelland0.07%0.50%3.70%95.73%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+4.04%
No Edge
41.41%21.21%37.37%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 12.29 Elo pts.
354 Elo
0.003 goals per Elo point
01000
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.09 goals
Neutral
-2+0.03+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
6.0
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
27%
Lyngby, 1st of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.77 * Some Luck: 5.77 to 8.66 * Lucky: 8.66 to 11.55 * Wild Swing: 11.55 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.68 * Close: 1.68 to 2.52 * Off: 2.52 to 3.36 * Way Off: 3.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
7.52 points
Some Luck
07.2218
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.17
Pinpoint
02.105
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
95.11%
Silkeborg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
1.19%
Vestsjaelland
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected 0.0
0 of 1
As Expected
01

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.74
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
77%
Clear Edge
50%77%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%67%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Occasional
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.632
Matchup Imbalance
0.21
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.24
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.08
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
37%
Upset-Prone
0%31%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
30%
Shaky Favorites
0%27%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.80
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.75
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.095
Well Within Noise
00.1070.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Lyngby 59.97% 40.03%
Horsens 47.62% 52.37% 0.01%
Helsingor 44.45% 55.54% 0.01%
Silkeborg 41.61% 58.37% 0.02%
Vejle BK 39.95% 60.04% 0.01%
Vendsyssel 24.96% 74.95% 0.09%
Fredericia 12.10% 87.54% 0.36%
HB Koge 11.65% 87.98% 0.37%
FC Roskilde 10.04% 89.47% 0.49%
Naestved 4.34% 94.32% 1.34%
Skive 3.31% 95.12% 1.57%
Vestsjaelland 4.27% 95.73%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2015-07-23 HB Koge W 1-0 1383 1372 46.76% 22.26% 30.98% +6.2 3
2015-07-23 @ Lyngby L 0-1 1372 1383 30.98% 22.26% 46.76% -6.2 0
2015-07-25 Vestsjaelland W 2-1 1381 1419 39.95% 22.50% 37.55% +6.8 3
2015-07-25 @ Silkeborg L 1-2 1419 1381 37.55% 22.50% 39.95% -6.8 0
2015-07-26 Fredericia D 1-1 1363 1334 49.04% 22.10% 28.87% -0.8 1
2015-07-26 @ Vejle BK D 1-1 1334 1363 28.87% 22.10% 49.04% +0.8 1
2015-07-26 Helsingor W 3-0 1366 1449 33.59% 22.40% 44.01% +22.4 3
2015-07-26 @ FC Roskilde L 0-3 1449 1366 44.01% 22.40% 33.59% -22.4 0
2015-07-26 Horsens W 2-1 1369 1368 45.32% 22.34% 32.34% +6.0 3
2015-07-26 @ Naestved L 1-2 1368 1369 32.34% 22.34% 45.32% -6.1 0
2015-07-26 Vendsyssel L 0-2 1357 1358 45.00% 22.36% 32.64% -15.7 0
2015-07-26 @ Skive W 2-0 1358 1357 32.64% 22.36% 45.00% +15.7 3
2015-08-01 Vejle BK D 2-2 1412 1362 51.77% 21.84% 26.39% -0.8 1
2015-08-01 @ Vestsjaelland D 2-2 1362 1412 26.39% 21.84% 51.77% +0.8 2
2015-08-02 FC Roskilde W 4-0 1335 1389 37.58% 22.50% 39.92% +27.1 4
2015-08-02 @ Fredericia L 0-4 1389 1335 39.92% 22.50% 37.58% -27.1 3
2015-08-02 Lyngby L 2-4 1362 1390 41.39% 22.48% 36.13% -11.4 0
2015-08-02 @ Horsens W 4-2 1390 1362 36.13% 22.48% 41.39% +11.4 6
2015-08-02 Naestved W 2-1 1427 1375 51.98% 21.82% 26.21% +5.1 3
2015-08-02 @ Helsingor L 1-2 1375 1427 26.21% 21.82% 51.98% -5.1 3
2015-08-02 Silkeborg D 1-1 1374 1388 43.25% 22.43% 34.32% -0.4 4
2015-08-02 @ Vendsyssel D 1-1 1388 1374 34.32% 22.43% 43.25% +0.3 4
2015-08-02 Skive D 1-1 1366 1341 48.49% 22.14% 29.36% -0.8 1
2015-08-02 @ HB Koge D 1-1 1341 1366 29.36% 22.14% 48.49% +0.8 1
2015-08-07 HB Koge W 1-0 1362 1365 44.76% 22.37% 32.88% +6.5 6
2015-08-07 @ FC Roskilde L 0-1 1365 1362 32.88% 22.37% 44.76% -6.5 1
2015-08-07 Horsens W 3-0 1362 1351 46.79% 22.26% 30.95% +16.9 5
2015-08-07 @ Vejle BK L 0-3 1351 1362 30.95% 22.26% 46.79% -16.9 0
2015-08-07 Vestsjaelland W 3-1 1342 1411 35.44% 22.46% 42.09% +12.9 4
2015-08-07 @ Skive L 1-3 1411 1342 42.09% 22.46% 35.44% -12.9 1
2015-08-09 Helsingor W 1-0 1362 1432 35.32% 22.46% 42.22% +7.9 7
2015-08-09 @ Fredericia L 0-1 1432 1362 42.22% 22.46% 35.32% -7.9 3
2015-08-09 Silkeborg W 1-0 1401 1388 46.89% 22.25% 30.85% +6.2 9
2015-08-09 @ Lyngby L 0-1 1388 1401 30.85% 22.25% 46.89% -6.2 4
2015-08-09 Vendsyssel L 0-1 1370 1374 44.72% 22.37% 32.91% -8.3 3
2015-08-09 @ Naestved W 1-0 1374 1370 32.91% 22.37% 44.72% +8.3 7
2015-08-15 Fredericia D 0-0 1398 1370 49.02% 22.10% 28.88% -0.9 2
2015-08-15 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-0 1370 1398 28.88% 22.10% 49.02% +0.9 8
2015-08-16 FC Roskilde W 1-0 1334 1368 40.42% 22.49% 37.09% +7.2 3
2015-08-16 @ Horsens L 0-1 1368 1334 37.09% 22.49% 40.42% -7.1 6
2015-08-16 Lyngby W 2-1 1382 1407 41.70% 22.47% 35.83% +6.6 10
2015-08-16 @ Vendsyssel L 1-2 1407 1382 35.83% 22.47% 41.70% -6.6 9
2015-08-16 Naestved W 2-0 1358 1362 44.73% 22.37% 32.90% +12.2 4
2015-08-16 @ HB Koge L 0-2 1362 1358 32.90% 22.37% 44.73% -12.2 3
2015-08-16 Skive W 2-1 1382 1355 48.88% 22.11% 29.01% +5.5 7
2015-08-16 @ Silkeborg L 1-2 1355 1382 29.01% 22.11% 48.88% -5.5 4
2015-08-16 Vejle BK W 3-1 1424 1379 51.07% 21.91% 27.01% +9.0 6
2015-08-16 @ Helsingor L 1-3 1379 1424 27.01% 21.91% 51.07% -9.0 5
2015-08-19 Silkeborg W 2-0 1341 1388 38.63% 22.50% 38.87% +14.0 6
2015-08-19 @ Horsens L 0-2 1388 1341 38.87% 22.50% 38.63% -14.0 7
2015-08-20 Naestved W 1-0 1370 1349 48.01% 22.18% 29.81% +6.0 8
2015-08-20 @ Vejle BK L 0-1 1349 1370 29.81% 22.18% 48.01% -6.0 3
2015-08-23 FC Roskilde D 0-0 1397 1361 50.03% 22.01% 27.96% -1.0 3
2015-08-23 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-0 1361 1397 27.96% 22.01% 50.03% +1.0 7
2015-08-23 Lyngby W 3-1 1370 1400 41.02% 22.48% 36.50% +11.5 11
2015-08-23 @ Fredericia L 1-3 1400 1370 36.50% 22.48% 41.02% -11.5 9
2015-08-23 Skive W 1-0 1433 1349 55.85% 21.31% 22.84% +4.8 9
2015-08-23 @ Helsingor L 0-1 1349 1433 22.84% 21.31% 55.85% -4.8 4
2015-08-23 Vendsyssel W 2-0 1371 1388 42.74% 22.44% 34.82% +12.8 7
2015-08-23 @ HB Koge L 0-2 1388 1371 34.82% 22.44% 42.74% -12.8 10
2015-08-26 HB Koge D 0-0 1374 1383 43.87% 22.41% 33.73% -0.4 8
2015-08-26 @ Silkeborg D 0-0 1383 1374 33.73% 22.41% 43.87% +0.4 8
2015-08-28 Helsingor W 4-1 1389 1438 38.32% 22.50% 39.18% +17.2 12
2015-08-28 @ Lyngby L 1-4 1438 1389 39.18% 22.50% 38.32% -17.2 9
2015-08-28 Horsens L 0-2 1344 1355 43.74% 22.41% 33.85% -15.4 4
2015-08-28 @ Skive W 2-0 1355 1344 33.85% 22.41% 43.74% +15.4 9
2015-08-30 Fredericia L 0-2 1343 1382 39.80% 22.50% 37.70% -14.2 3
2015-08-30 @ Naestved W 2-0 1382 1343 37.70% 22.50% 39.80% +14.2 14
2015-08-30 Vestsjaelland W 4-2 1376 1396 42.32% 22.45% 35.22% +10.0 13
2015-08-30 @ Vendsyssel L 2-4 1396 1376 35.22% 22.45% 42.32% -10.0 3
2015-08-30 Vejle BK L 1-2 1362 1376 43.20% 22.43% 34.37% -7.6 7
2015-08-30 @ FC Roskilde W 2-1 1376 1362 34.37% 22.43% 43.20% +7.6 11
2015-09-06 FC Roskilde D 1-1 1329 1354 41.72% 22.47% 35.81% -0.2 4
2015-09-06 @ Naestved D 1-1 1354 1329 35.81% 22.47% 41.72% +0.2 8
2015-09-06 Vestsjaelland W 2-1 1384 1386 44.86% 22.36% 32.77% +6.1 11
2015-09-06 @ HB Koge L 1-2 1386 1384 32.77% 22.36% 44.86% -6.1 3
2015-09-06 Vejle BK W 3-2 1406 1384 48.17% 22.17% 29.66% +5.3 15
2015-09-06 @ Lyngby L 2-3 1384 1406 29.66% 22.17% 48.17% -5.3 11
2015-09-07 Helsingor W 1-0 1373 1421 38.54% 22.50% 38.96% +7.4 11
2015-09-07 @ Silkeborg L 0-1 1421 1373 38.96% 22.50% 38.54% -7.4 9
2015-09-10 Lyngby W 2-0 1355 1412 37.17% 22.49% 40.34% +14.4 11
2015-09-10 @ FC Roskilde L 0-2 1412 1355 40.34% 22.49% 37.17% -14.4 15
2015-09-10 Silkeborg D 1-1 1396 1381 47.30% 22.23% 30.47% -0.7 15
2015-09-10 @ Fredericia D 1-1 1381 1396 30.47% 22.23% 47.30% +0.7 12
2015-09-13 HB Koge W 3-0 1370 1390 42.48% 22.45% 35.07% +18.7 12
2015-09-13 @ Horsens L 0-3 1390 1370 35.07% 22.45% 42.48% -18.7 11
2015-09-13 Naestved L 0-2 1380 1329 51.90% 21.83% 26.28% -17.8 3
2015-09-13 @ Vestsjaelland W 2-0 1329 1380 26.28% 21.83% 51.90% +17.8 7
2015-09-13 Skive W 3-1 1379 1329 51.71% 21.85% 26.44% +8.8 14
2015-09-13 @ Vejle BK L 1-3 1329 1379 26.44% 21.85% 51.71% -8.8 4
2015-09-13 Vendsyssel D 2-2 1413 1386 48.88% 22.11% 29.01% -0.6 10
2015-09-13 @ Helsingor D 2-2 1386 1413 29.01% 22.11% 48.88% +0.6 14
2015-09-17 Vejle BK L 0-2 1381 1388 44.36% 22.39% 33.26% -15.5 12
2015-09-17 @ Silkeborg W 2-0 1388 1381 33.26% 22.39% 44.36% +15.5 17
2015-09-18 FC Roskilde D 1-1 1320 1369 38.34% 22.50% 39.16% +0.0 5
2015-09-18 @ Skive D 1-1 1369 1320 39.16% 22.50% 38.34% -0.0 12
2015-09-18 Fredericia W 3-2 1386 1396 43.90% 22.40% 33.69% +5.9 17
2015-09-18 @ Vendsyssel L 2-3 1396 1386 33.69% 22.40% 43.90% -5.9 15
2015-09-18 Naestved W 3-1 1397 1347 51.79% 21.84% 26.37% +8.8 18
2015-09-18 @ Lyngby L 1-3 1347 1397 26.37% 21.84% 51.79% -8.8 7
2015-09-20 Helsingor L 0-4 1371 1413 39.40% 22.50% 38.10% -26.8 11
2015-09-20 @ HB Koge W 4-0 1413 1371 38.10% 22.50% 39.40% +26.8 13
2015-09-20 Vestsjaelland W 1-0 1389 1362 48.75% 22.12% 29.12% +5.9 15
2015-09-20 @ Horsens L 0-1 1362 1389 29.12% 22.12% 48.75% -5.9 3
2015-09-26 Vendsyssel D 1-1 1403 1392 46.68% 22.27% 31.05% -0.6 18
2015-09-26 @ Vejle BK D 1-1 1392 1403 31.05% 22.27% 46.68% +0.6 18
2015-09-27 HB Koge D 0-0 1390 1344 51.15% 21.90% 26.94% -1.1 16
2015-09-27 @ Fredericia D 0-0 1344 1390 26.94% 21.90% 51.15% +1.1 12
2015-09-27 Horsens D 1-1 1439 1395 51.05% 21.91% 27.03% -1.0 14
2015-09-27 @ Helsingor D 1-1 1395 1439 27.03% 21.91% 51.05% +1.0 16
2015-09-27 Lyngby D 1-1 1357 1406 38.25% 22.50% 39.25% +0.0 4
2015-09-27 @ Vestsjaelland D 1-1 1406 1357 39.25% 22.50% 38.25% -0.0 19
2015-09-27 Silkeborg D 2-2 1369 1366 45.62% 22.33% 32.06% -0.4 13
2015-09-27 @ FC Roskilde D 2-2 1366 1369 32.06% 22.33% 45.62% +0.4 13
2015-09-27 Skive L 0-1 1338 1320 47.59% 22.21% 30.20% -8.7 7
2015-09-27 @ Naestved W 1-0 1320 1338 30.20% 22.21% 47.59% +8.7 8
2015-09-30 Fredericia W 2-0 1329 1389 36.79% 22.49% 40.72% +14.5 11
2015-09-30 @ Skive L 0-2 1389 1329 40.72% 22.49% 36.79% -14.5 16
2015-09-30 Horsens D 1-1 1393 1396 44.77% 22.37% 32.86% -0.5 19
2015-09-30 @ Vendsyssel D 1-1 1396 1393 32.86% 22.37% 44.77% +0.5 17
2015-10-03 Fredericia D 1-1 1396 1374 48.19% 22.16% 29.65% -0.7 18
2015-10-03 @ Horsens D 1-1 1374 1396 29.65% 22.16% 48.19% +0.7 17
2015-10-04 FC Roskilde W 1-0 1392 1368 48.38% 22.15% 29.47% +5.9 22
2015-10-04 @ Vendsyssel L 0-1 1368 1392 29.47% 22.15% 48.38% -5.9 13
2015-10-04 HB Koge L 0-1 1402 1345 52.61% 21.74% 25.65% -9.5 18
2015-10-04 @ Vejle BK W 1-0 1345 1402 25.65% 21.74% 52.61% +9.5 15
2015-10-04 Helsingor W 3-0 1357 1438 33.76% 22.41% 43.83% +22.4 7
2015-10-04 @ Vestsjaelland L 0-3 1438 1357 43.83% 22.41% 33.76% -22.4 14
2015-10-04 Skive W 1-0 1406 1343 53.29% 21.66% 25.05% +5.2 22
2015-10-04 @ Lyngby L 0-1 1343 1406 25.05% 21.66% 53.29% -5.2 11
2015-10-05 Naestved D 1-1 1366 1329 50.11% 22.01% 27.89% -0.9 14
2015-10-05 @ Silkeborg D 1-1 1329 1366 27.89% 22.01% 50.11% +0.9 8
2015-10-09 Horsens L 0-2 1338 1396 37.12% 22.49% 40.39% -13.5 11
2015-10-09 @ Skive W 2-0 1396 1338 40.39% 22.49% 37.12% +13.5 21
2015-10-11 Lyngby L 0-1 1416 1411 45.88% 22.31% 31.81% -8.5 14
2015-10-11 @ Helsingor W 1-0 1411 1416 31.81% 22.31% 45.88% +8.5 25
2015-10-14 Vejle BK L 0-1 1375 1393 42.70% 22.44% 34.86% -8.0 17
2015-10-14 @ Fredericia W 1-0 1393 1375 34.86% 22.44% 42.70% +8.0 21
2015-10-17 Helsingor D 0-0 1365 1408 39.27% 22.50% 38.23% -0.0 15
2015-10-17 @ Silkeborg D 0-0 1408 1365 38.23% 22.50% 39.27% +0.0 15
2015-10-18 FC Roskilde W 3-1 1420 1363 52.61% 21.74% 25.64% +8.6 28
2015-10-18 @ Lyngby L 1-3 1363 1420 25.64% 21.74% 52.61% -8.6 13
2015-10-18 Fredericia L 0-1 1379 1367 46.84% 22.26% 30.90% -8.6 7
2015-10-18 @ Vestsjaelland W 1-0 1367 1379 30.90% 22.26% 46.84% +8.6 20
2015-10-18 HB Koge W 1-0 1330 1355 41.74% 22.47% 35.79% +7.0 11
2015-10-18 @ Naestved L 0-1 1355 1330 35.79% 22.47% 41.74% -7.0 15
2015-10-18 Skive L 2-3 1401 1325 54.93% 21.45% 23.63% -8.9 21
2015-10-18 @ Vejle BK W 3-2 1325 1401 23.63% 21.45% 54.93% +8.8 14
2015-10-18 Vendsyssel L 0-1 1409 1398 46.68% 22.27% 31.06% -8.6 21
2015-10-18 @ Horsens W 1-0 1398 1409 31.06% 22.27% 46.68% +8.6 25
2015-10-21 Silkeborg L 1-2 1348 1365 42.82% 22.44% 34.74% -7.5 15
2015-10-21 @ HB Koge W 2-1 1365 1348 34.74% 22.44% 42.82% +7.5 18
2015-10-22 Vestsjaelland D 4-4 1428 1370 52.72% 21.73% 25.55% -0.6 29
2015-10-22 @ Lyngby D 4-4 1370 1428 25.55% 21.73% 52.72% +0.6 8
2015-10-22 Vejle BK W 2-0 1407 1392 47.19% 22.23% 30.58% +11.5 28
2015-10-22 @ Vendsyssel L 0-2 1392 1407 30.58% 22.23% 47.19% -11.5 21
2015-10-23 Fredericia L 1-2 1334 1375 39.33% 22.50% 38.17% -7.0 14
2015-10-23 @ Skive W 2-1 1375 1334 38.17% 22.50% 39.33% +7.0 23
2015-10-25 Horsens L 0-1 1341 1400 36.75% 22.49% 40.77% -7.1 15
2015-10-25 @ HB Koge W 1-0 1400 1341 40.77% 22.49% 36.75% +7.1 24
2015-10-25 Naestved W 1-0 1408 1337 54.27% 21.54% 24.19% +5.0 18
2015-10-25 @ Helsingor L 0-1 1337 1408 24.19% 21.54% 54.27% -5.0 11
2015-10-25 Silkeborg L 2-3 1354 1373 42.59% 22.45% 34.97% -7.1 13
2015-10-25 @ FC Roskilde W 3-2 1373 1354 34.97% 22.45% 42.59% +7.1 21
2015-10-28 Naestved D 0-0 1418 1332 56.12% 21.27% 22.61% -1.5 29
2015-10-28 @ Vendsyssel D 0-0 1332 1418 22.61% 21.27% 56.12% +1.5 12
2015-10-31 Lyngby L 1-2 1380 1428 38.51% 22.50% 38.99% -6.9 21
2015-10-31 @ Silkeborg W 2-1 1428 1380 38.99% 22.50% 38.51% +6.9 32
2015-11-01 FC Roskilde W 2-1 1334 1347 43.38% 22.42% 34.20% +6.3 15
2015-11-01 @ Naestved L 1-2 1347 1334 34.20% 22.42% 43.38% -6.3 13
2015-11-01 HB Koge W 3-1 1381 1333 51.38% 21.88% 26.74% +8.9 24
2015-11-01 @ Vejle BK L 1-3 1333 1381 26.74% 21.88% 51.38% -8.9 15
2015-11-01 Helsingor D 0-0 1408 1413 44.51% 22.38% 33.11% -0.5 25
2015-11-01 @ Horsens D 0-0 1413 1408 33.11% 22.38% 44.51% +0.5 19
2015-11-01 Skive L 0-1 1371 1327 51.04% 21.92% 27.04% -9.3 8
2015-11-01 @ Vestsjaelland W 1-0 1327 1371 27.04% 21.92% 51.04% +9.3 17
2015-11-01 Vendsyssel L 1-2 1382 1417 40.41% 22.49% 37.10% -7.2 23
2015-11-01 @ Fredericia W 2-1 1417 1382 37.10% 22.49% 40.41% +7.2 32
2015-11-05 Naestved W 2-0 1434 1340 57.07% 21.12% 21.81% +8.6 35
2015-11-05 @ Lyngby L 0-2 1340 1434 21.81% 21.12% 57.07% -8.6 15
2015-11-06 Horsens L 0-1 1340 1407 35.83% 22.47% 41.70% -7.0 13
2015-11-06 @ FC Roskilde W 1-0 1407 1340 41.70% 22.47% 35.83% +7.0 28
2015-11-08 Fredericia W 2-1 1324 1375 38.05% 22.50% 39.45% +7.1 18
2015-11-08 @ HB Koge L 1-2 1375 1324 39.45% 22.50% 38.05% -7.1 23
2015-11-08 Skive W 1-0 1424 1336 56.33% 21.24% 22.43% +4.7 35
2015-11-08 @ Vendsyssel L 0-1 1336 1424 22.43% 21.24% 56.33% -4.7 17
2015-11-08 Vejle BK L 0-3 1413 1389 48.38% 22.15% 29.47% -24.3 19
2015-11-08 @ Helsingor W 3-0 1389 1413 29.47% 22.15% 48.38% +24.3 27
2015-11-12 Vendsyssel D 0-0 1362 1429 35.77% 22.47% 41.76% +0.3 9
2015-11-12 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-0 1429 1362 41.76% 22.47% 35.77% -0.3 36
2015-11-13 FC Roskilde W 4-2 1414 1334 55.40% 21.38% 23.22% +7.0 30
2015-11-13 @ Vejle BK L 2-4 1334 1414 23.22% 21.38% 55.40% -7.0 13
2015-11-15 Helsingor D 2-2 1368 1389 42.34% 22.45% 35.21% -0.2 24
2015-11-15 @ Fredericia D 2-2 1389 1368 35.21% 22.45% 42.34% +0.2 20
2015-11-15 Silkeborg L 1-3 1331 1373 39.35% 22.50% 38.15% -12.2 15
2015-11-15 @ Naestved W 3-1 1373 1331 38.15% 22.50% 39.35% +12.2 24
2015-11-16 Lyngby W 2-1 1414 1443 41.16% 22.48% 36.36% +6.6 31
2015-11-16 @ Horsens L 1-2 1443 1414 36.36% 22.48% 41.16% -6.6 35
2015-11-18 Vestsjaelland D 1-1 1326 1362 40.25% 22.49% 37.26% -0.1 14
2015-11-18 @ FC Roskilde D 1-1 1362 1326 37.26% 22.49% 40.25% +0.1 10
2015-11-19 Vejle BK W 1-0 1436 1421 47.32% 22.23% 30.46% +6.1 38
2015-11-19 @ Lyngby L 0-1 1421 1436 30.46% 22.23% 47.32% -6.1 30
2015-11-22 Vestsjaelland L 2-3 1319 1362 39.17% 22.50% 38.33% -6.7 15
2015-11-22 @ Naestved W 3-2 1362 1319 38.33% 22.50% 39.17% +6.7 13
2015-11-25 HB Koge L 0-1 1331 1332 45.14% 22.35% 32.51% -8.4 17
2015-11-25 @ Skive W 1-0 1332 1331 32.51% 22.35% 45.14% +8.4 21
2015-11-28 Silkeborg L 1-3 1415 1385 49.12% 22.09% 28.79% -14.7 30
2015-11-28 @ Vejle BK W 3-1 1385 1415 28.79% 22.09% 49.12% +14.7 27
2015-11-29 FC Roskilde L 0-1 1323 1326 44.71% 22.37% 32.92% -8.3 17
2015-11-29 @ Skive W 1-0 1326 1323 32.92% 22.37% 44.71% +8.3 17
2015-11-29 HB Koge L 0-2 1369 1340 49.04% 22.10% 28.86% -16.9 13
2015-11-29 @ Vestsjaelland W 2-0 1340 1369 28.86% 22.10% 49.04% +16.9 24
2015-11-29 Helsingor L 2-3 1428 1389 50.40% 21.98% 27.62% -8.2 36
2015-11-29 @ Vendsyssel W 3-2 1389 1428 27.62% 21.98% 50.40% +8.2 23
2015-11-29 Lyngby L 2-4 1368 1443 34.74% 22.44% 42.82% -9.9 24
2015-11-29 @ Fredericia W 4-2 1443 1368 42.82% 22.44% 34.74% +9.9 41
2015-11-29 Naestved L 1-3 1421 1312 58.60% 20.85% 20.55% -17.1 31
2015-11-29 @ Horsens W 3-1 1312 1421 20.55% 20.85% 58.60% +17.1 18
2015-12-03 Fredericia D 4-4 1335 1358 41.95% 22.46% 35.59% -0.1 18
2015-12-03 @ FC Roskilde D 4-4 1358 1335 35.59% 22.46% 41.95% +0.1 25
2015-12-03 Horsens D 1-1 1400 1404 44.70% 22.37% 32.93% -0.5 28
2015-12-03 @ Silkeborg D 1-1 1404 1400 32.93% 22.37% 44.70% +0.5 32
2016-03-06 Skive W 2-1 1397 1314 55.71% 21.33% 22.96% +4.5 26
2016-03-06 @ Helsingor L 1-2 1314 1397 22.96% 21.33% 55.71% -4.5 17
2016-03-06 Vendsyssel W 1-0 1357 1420 36.28% 22.48% 41.24% +7.8 27
2016-03-06 @ HB Koge L 0-1 1420 1357 41.24% 22.48% 36.28% -7.8 36
2016-03-10 Vestsjaelland FW 1399 1352 51.45% 21.87% 26.67% +0.0 31
2016-03-10 @ Silkeborg FL 1352 1399 26.67% 21.87% 51.45% +0.0 13
2016-03-10 Fredericia L 0-1 1399 1358 50.64% 21.95% 27.41% -9.2 31
2016-03-10 @ Silkeborg W 1-0 1358 1399 27.41% 21.95% 50.64% +9.2 28
2016-03-13 Vestsjaelland FW 1404 1352 52.03% 21.81% 26.16% +0.0 35
2016-03-13 @ Horsens FL 1352 1404 26.16% 21.81% 52.03% +0.0 13
2016-03-13 HB Koge L 1-3 1402 1365 50.13% 22.00% 27.87% -14.9 26
2016-03-13 @ Helsingor W 3-1 1365 1402 27.87% 22.00% 50.13% +14.9 30
2016-03-13 Naestved L 1-2 1400 1330 54.25% 21.54% 24.21% -9.2 30
2016-03-13 @ Vejle BK W 2-1 1330 1400 24.21% 21.54% 54.25% +9.2 21
2016-03-13 Skive D 1-1 1452 1310 62.23% 20.09% 17.68% -1.9 42
2016-03-13 @ Lyngby D 1-1 1310 1452 17.68% 20.09% 62.23% +1.9 18
2016-03-13 Vendsyssel W 3-1 1335 1412 34.29% 22.43% 43.28% +13.2 21
2016-03-13 @ FC Roskilde L 1-3 1412 1335 43.28% 22.43% 34.29% -13.2 36
2016-03-17 Lyngby L 0-2 1399 1451 37.97% 22.50% 39.53% -13.7 36
2016-03-17 @ Vendsyssel W 2-0 1451 1399 39.53% 22.50% 37.97% +13.7 45
2016-03-20 Helsingor FL 1352 1387 40.30% 22.49% 37.21% +0.0 13
2016-03-20 @ Vestsjaelland FW 1387 1352 37.21% 22.49% 40.30% +0.0 29
2016-03-20 FC Roskilde L 1-2 1380 1348 49.43% 22.07% 28.50% -8.5 30
2016-03-20 @ HB Koge W 2-1 1348 1380 28.50% 22.07% 49.43% +8.5 24
2016-03-20 Horsens W 4-3 1391 1404 43.37% 22.42% 34.21% +5.8 33
2016-03-20 @ Vejle BK L 3-4 1404 1391 34.21% 22.42% 43.37% -5.8 35
2016-03-20 Naestved W 2-1 1367 1339 49.03% 22.10% 28.87% +5.5 31
2016-03-20 @ Fredericia L 1-2 1339 1367 28.87% 22.10% 49.03% -5.5 21
2016-03-20 Silkeborg D 1-1 1312 1390 34.23% 22.42% 43.35% +0.3 19
2016-03-20 @ Skive D 1-1 1390 1312 43.35% 22.42% 34.23% -0.3 32
2016-03-23 Vendsyssel D 1-1 1390 1386 45.79% 22.32% 31.89% -0.6 33
2016-03-23 @ Silkeborg D 1-1 1386 1390 31.89% 22.32% 45.79% +0.5 37
2016-03-24 Vejle BK FL 1352 1397 38.90% 22.50% 38.60% +0.0 13
2016-03-24 @ Vestsjaelland FW 1397 1352 38.60% 22.50% 38.90% +0.0 36
2016-03-24 Fredericia W 3-0 1398 1373 48.58% 22.13% 29.29% +16.2 38
2016-03-24 @ Horsens L 0-3 1373 1398 29.29% 22.13% 48.58% -16.2 31
2016-03-24 HB Koge D 1-1 1464 1371 56.92% 21.14% 21.94% -1.5 46
2016-03-24 @ Lyngby D 1-1 1371 1464 21.94% 21.14% 56.92% +1.5 31
2016-03-24 Helsingor L 0-2 1356 1387 40.93% 22.48% 36.59% -14.6 24
2016-03-24 @ FC Roskilde W 2-0 1387 1356 36.59% 22.48% 40.93% +14.6 32
2016-03-24 Skive L 1-3 1333 1312 48.02% 22.18% 29.80% -14.4 21
2016-03-24 @ Naestved W 3-1 1312 1333 29.80% 22.18% 48.02% +14.4 22
2016-03-28 Vestsjaelland FW 1357 1352 45.88% 22.31% 31.81% +0.0 34
2016-03-28 @ Fredericia FL 1352 1357 31.81% 22.31% 45.88% +0.0 13
2016-03-28 Lyngby D 0-0 1342 1463 28.79% 22.09% 49.12% +0.9 25
2016-03-28 @ FC Roskilde D 0-0 1463 1342 49.12% 22.09% 28.79% -0.9 47
2016-03-28 Naestved W 2-0 1372 1319 52.19% 21.79% 26.01% +10.1 34
2016-03-28 @ HB Koge L 0-2 1319 1372 26.01% 21.79% 52.19% -10.1 21
2016-03-28 Silkeborg L 0-1 1401 1389 46.84% 22.26% 30.91% -8.6 32
2016-03-28 @ Helsingor W 1-0 1389 1401 30.91% 22.26% 46.84% +8.6 36
2016-03-28 Vejle BK L 0-3 1327 1397 35.36% 22.46% 42.18% -18.8 22
2016-03-28 @ Skive W 3-0 1397 1327 42.18% 22.46% 35.36% +18.9 39
2016-03-31 Vendsyssel D 0-0 1415 1386 49.12% 22.09% 28.79% -0.9 40
2016-03-31 @ Vejle BK D 0-0 1386 1415 28.79% 22.09% 49.12% +0.9 38
2016-04-03 Lyngby FL 1352 1462 30.13% 22.20% 47.67% +0.0 13
2016-04-03 @ Vestsjaelland FW 1462 1352 47.67% 22.20% 30.13% +0.0 50
2016-04-03 FC Roskilde W 6-2 1398 1343 52.41% 21.77% 25.82% +13.4 39
2016-04-03 @ Silkeborg L 2-6 1343 1398 25.82% 21.77% 52.41% -13.4 25
2016-04-03 HB Koge W 2-0 1414 1383 49.44% 22.06% 28.50% +10.9 41
2016-04-03 @ Horsens L 0-2 1383 1414 28.50% 22.06% 49.44% -10.9 34
2016-04-03 Helsingor W 1-0 1309 1393 33.47% 22.40% 44.13% +8.2 24
2016-04-03 @ Naestved L 0-1 1393 1309 44.13% 22.40% 33.47% -8.2 32
2016-04-03 Skive D 0-0 1357 1308 51.62% 21.85% 26.52% -1.1 35
2016-04-03 @ Fredericia D 0-0 1308 1357 26.52% 21.85% 51.62% +1.1 23
2016-04-07 Silkeborg L 0-2 1462 1411 51.82% 21.83% 26.35% -17.7 50
2016-04-07 @ Lyngby W 2-0 1411 1462 26.35% 21.83% 51.82% +17.7 42
2016-04-10 Vestsjaelland FW 1309 1352 39.18% 22.50% 38.32% +0.0 26
2016-04-10 @ Skive FL 1352 1309 38.32% 22.50% 39.18% +0.0 13
2016-04-10 Fredericia L 1-2 1387 1356 49.37% 22.07% 28.56% -8.5 38
2016-04-10 @ Vendsyssel W 2-1 1356 1387 28.56% 22.07% 49.37% +8.5 38
2016-04-10 Horsens L 0-3 1385 1425 39.51% 22.50% 37.99% -20.6 32
2016-04-10 @ Helsingor W 3-0 1425 1385 37.99% 22.50% 39.51% +20.6 44
2016-04-10 Naestved W 3-2 1329 1317 46.84% 22.26% 30.90% +5.5 28
2016-04-10 @ FC Roskilde L 2-3 1317 1329 30.90% 22.26% 46.84% -5.5 24
2016-04-10 Vejle BK L 1-2 1372 1415 39.18% 22.50% 38.32% -7.0 34
2016-04-10 @ HB Koge W 2-1 1415 1372 38.32% 22.50% 39.18% +7.0 43
2016-04-14 Helsingor L 2-3 1422 1364 52.68% 21.74% 25.58% -8.5 43
2016-04-14 @ Vejle BK W 3-2 1364 1422 25.58% 21.74% 52.68% +8.5 35
2016-04-17 Silkeborg FL 1352 1429 34.37% 22.43% 43.20% +0.0 13
2016-04-17 @ Vestsjaelland FW 1429 1352 43.20% 22.43% 34.37% +0.0 45
2016-04-17 FC Roskilde W 2-1 1446 1335 58.91% 20.79% 20.30% +4.0 47
2016-04-17 @ Horsens L 1-2 1335 1446 20.30% 20.79% 58.91% -4.0 28
2016-04-17 HB Koge L 0-3 1364 1365 45.14% 22.35% 32.51% -22.9 38
2016-04-17 @ Fredericia W 3-0 1365 1364 32.51% 22.35% 45.14% +22.9 37
2016-04-17 Lyngby L 0-2 1312 1444 27.44% 21.96% 50.60% -10.5 24
2016-04-17 @ Naestved W 2-0 1444 1312 50.60% 21.96% 27.44% +10.5 53
2016-04-17 Vendsyssel W 2-1 1309 1378 35.42% 22.46% 42.12% +7.4 29
2016-04-17 @ Skive L 1-2 1378 1309 42.12% 22.46% 35.42% -7.5 38
2016-04-20 Horsens L 0-3 1371 1450 34.17% 22.42% 43.41% -18.3 38
2016-04-20 @ Vendsyssel W 3-0 1450 1371 43.41% 22.42% 34.17% +18.4 50
2016-04-21 Vejle BK W 2-0 1331 1413 33.69% 22.40% 43.91% +15.4 31
2016-04-21 @ FC Roskilde L 0-2 1413 1331 43.91% 22.40% 33.69% -15.4 43
2016-04-24 Vestsjaelland FW 1353 1352 45.32% 22.34% 32.34% +0.0 41
2016-04-24 @ Vendsyssel FL 1352 1353 32.34% 22.34% 45.32% +0.0 13
2016-04-24 Fredericia L 1-2 1373 1341 49.37% 22.07% 28.56% -8.5 35
2016-04-24 @ Helsingor W 2-1 1341 1373 28.56% 22.07% 49.37% +8.5 41
2016-04-24 Horsens D 0-0 1455 1468 43.35% 22.42% 34.23% -0.4 54
2016-04-24 @ Lyngby D 0-0 1468 1455 34.23% 22.42% 43.35% +0.4 51
2016-04-24 Naestved W 3-0 1429 1301 60.74% 20.42% 18.84% +10.9 48
2016-04-24 @ Silkeborg L 0-3 1301 1429 18.84% 20.42% 60.74% -10.9 24
2016-04-24 Skive D 1-1 1388 1316 54.33% 21.53% 24.14% -1.2 38
2016-04-24 @ HB Koge D 1-1 1316 1388 24.14% 21.53% 54.33% +1.2 30
2016-04-28 Silkeborg W 1-0 1353 1440 33.04% 22.38% 44.59% +8.3 44
2016-04-28 @ Vendsyssel L 0-1 1440 1353 44.59% 22.38% 33.04% -8.3 48
2016-05-01 Vestsjaelland FW 1398 1352 51.23% 21.90% 26.88% +0.0 46
2016-05-01 @ Vejle BK FL 1352 1398 26.88% 21.90% 51.23% +0.0 13
2016-05-01 FC Roskilde W 3-1 1364 1346 47.62% 22.21% 30.17% +9.9 38
2016-05-01 @ Helsingor L 1-3 1346 1364 30.17% 22.21% 47.62% -9.9 31
2016-05-01 Horsens L 0-2 1350 1469 29.07% 22.12% 48.81% -11.1 41
2016-05-01 @ Fredericia W 2-0 1469 1350 48.81% 22.12% 29.07% +11.1 54
2016-05-01 Lyngby L 0-3 1386 1454 35.62% 22.46% 41.91% -19.0 38
2016-05-01 @ HB Koge W 3-0 1454 1386 41.91% 22.46% 35.62% +19.0 57
2016-05-01 Naestved L 2-4 1318 1290 48.87% 22.11% 29.01% -13.0 30
2016-05-01 @ Skive W 4-2 1290 1318 29.01% 22.11% 48.87% +13.1 27
2016-05-05 Fredericia D 0-0 1398 1339 52.86% 21.72% 25.43% -1.2 47
2016-05-05 @ Vejle BK D 0-0 1339 1398 25.43% 21.72% 52.86% +1.3 42
2016-05-08 FC Roskilde FL 1352 1336 47.30% 22.23% 30.47% +0.0 13
2016-05-08 @ Vestsjaelland FW 1336 1352 30.47% 22.23% 47.30% +0.0 34
2016-05-08 HB Koge W 1-0 1432 1367 53.52% 21.63% 24.84% +5.1 51
2016-05-08 @ Silkeborg L 0-1 1367 1432 24.84% 21.63% 53.52% -5.1 38
2016-05-08 Helsingor W 1-0 1473 1374 57.61% 21.03% 21.37% +4.5 60
2016-05-08 @ Lyngby L 0-1 1374 1473 21.37% 21.03% 57.61% -4.5 38
2016-05-08 Skive W 3-2 1480 1305 65.43% 19.28% 15.30% +2.9 57
2016-05-08 @ Horsens L 2-3 1305 1480 15.30% 19.28% 65.43% -2.9 30
2016-05-08 Vendsyssel L 0-1 1303 1361 37.05% 22.49% 40.46% -7.1 27
2016-05-08 @ Naestved W 1-0 1361 1303 40.46% 22.49% 37.05% +7.1 47
2016-05-11 Vestsjaelland FW 1369 1352 47.58% 22.21% 30.21% +0.0 41
2016-05-11 @ Helsingor FL 1352 1369 30.21% 22.21% 47.58% +0.0 13
2016-05-11 Fredericia D 0-0 1296 1340 39.03% 22.50% 38.47% -0.0 28
2016-05-11 @ Naestved D 0-0 1340 1296 38.47% 22.50% 39.03% +0.0 43
2016-05-11 HB Koge D 2-2 1336 1362 41.59% 22.47% 35.94% -0.2 35
2016-05-11 @ FC Roskilde D 2-2 1362 1336 35.94% 22.47% 41.59% +0.2 39
2016-05-11 Skive W 3-1 1437 1302 61.48% 20.26% 18.26% +6.3 54
2016-05-11 @ Silkeborg L 1-3 1302 1437 18.26% 20.26% 61.48% -6.3 30
2016-05-11 Vejle BK L 0-1 1483 1396 56.10% 21.27% 22.63% -10.1 57
2016-05-11 @ Horsens W 1-0 1396 1483 22.63% 21.27% 56.10% +10.1 50
2016-05-11 Vendsyssel L 0-1 1478 1368 58.76% 20.82% 20.42% -10.5 60
2016-05-11 @ Lyngby W 1-0 1368 1478 20.42% 20.82% 58.76% +10.5 50
2016-05-16 Horsens FL 1352 1472 28.85% 22.10% 49.05% +0.0 13
2016-05-16 @ Vestsjaelland FW 1472 1352 49.05% 22.10% 28.85% +0.0 60
2016-05-16 FC Roskilde W 3-2 1379 1336 50.81% 21.94% 27.25% +5.0 53
2016-05-16 @ Vendsyssel L 2-3 1336 1379 27.25% 21.94% 50.81% -5.0 35
2016-05-16 Helsingor L 0-1 1362 1369 44.22% 22.39% 33.39% -8.2 39
2016-05-16 @ HB Koge W 1-0 1369 1362 33.39% 22.39% 44.22% +8.2 44
2016-05-16 Lyngby D 2-2 1295 1467 23.22% 21.38% 55.40% +1.0 31
2016-05-16 @ Skive D 2-2 1467 1295 55.40% 21.38% 23.22% -1.0 61
2016-05-16 Naestved W 2-1 1406 1296 58.85% 20.80% 20.35% +4.0 53
2016-05-16 @ Vejle BK L 1-2 1296 1406 20.35% 20.80% 58.85% -4.0 28
2016-05-16 Silkeborg L 1-4 1340 1443 31.00% 22.26% 46.74% -14.3 43
2016-05-16 @ Fredericia W 4-1 1443 1340 46.74% 22.26% 31.00% +14.3 57
2016-05-22 Naestved FL 1352 1292 52.97% 21.70% 25.33% +0.0 13
2016-05-22 @ Vestsjaelland FW 1292 1352 25.33% 21.70% 52.97% +0.0 31
2016-05-22 FC Roskilde D 3-3 1326 1331 44.46% 22.38% 33.16% -0.3 44
2016-05-22 @ Fredericia D 3-3 1331 1326 33.16% 22.38% 44.46% +0.3 36
2016-05-22 HB Koge L 0-1 1384 1354 49.13% 22.09% 28.78% -9.0 53
2016-05-22 @ Vendsyssel W 1-0 1354 1384 28.78% 22.09% 49.13% +9.0 42
2016-05-22 Helsingor L 0-1 1296 1378 33.82% 22.41% 43.77% -6.6 31
2016-05-22 @ Skive W 1-0 1378 1296 43.77% 22.41% 33.82% +6.6 47
2016-05-22 Lyngby L 3-4 1411 1466 37.34% 22.49% 40.17% -6.3 53
2016-05-22 @ Vejle BK W 4-3 1466 1411 40.17% 22.49% 37.34% +6.3 64
2016-05-22 Silkeborg L 1-3 1472 1457 47.23% 22.23% 30.54% -14.2 60
2016-05-22 @ Horsens W 3-1 1457 1472 30.54% 22.23% 47.23% +14.2 60
2016-05-28 Vestsjaelland FW 1363 1352 46.73% 22.26% 31.01% +0.0 45
2016-05-28 @ HB Koge FL 1352 1363 31.01% 22.26% 46.73% +0.0 13
2016-05-28 Fredericia L 2-3 1473 1325 62.70% 19.98% 17.32% -10.0 64
2016-05-28 @ Lyngby W 3-2 1325 1473 17.32% 19.98% 62.70% +10.0 47
2016-05-28 Horsens W 5-1 1292 1458 23.79% 21.47% 54.74% +29.4 34
2016-05-28 @ Naestved L 1-5 1458 1292 54.74% 21.47% 23.79% -29.4 60
2016-05-28 Skive W 4-3 1331 1290 50.70% 21.95% 27.35% +4.9 39
2016-05-28 @ FC Roskilde L 3-4 1290 1331 27.35% 21.95% 50.70% -4.9 31
2016-05-28 Vejle BK W 5-0 1472 1404 53.88% 21.59% 24.53% +22.3 63
2016-05-28 @ Silkeborg L 0-5 1404 1472 24.53% 21.59% 53.88% -22.3 53
2016-05-28 Vendsyssel L 0-2 1384 1375 46.52% 22.28% 31.20% -16.2 47
2016-05-28 @ Helsingor W 2-0 1375 1384 31.20% 22.28% 46.52% +16.2 56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2016-05-28 17.32% Fredericia 1325 3 @ Lyngby 1473 2
2 2016-05-11 20.42% Vendsyssel 1368 1 @ Lyngby 1478 0
3 2015-11-29 20.55% Naestved 1312 3 @ Horsens 1421 1
4 2016-05-11 22.63% Vejle BK 1396 1 @ Horsens 1483 0
5 2015-10-18 23.63% Skive 1325 3 @ Vejle BK 1401 2
6 2016-05-28 23.79% @ Naestved 1292 5 Horsens 1458 1
7 2016-03-13 24.21% Naestved 1330 2 @ Vejle BK 1400 1
8 2016-04-14 25.58% Helsingor 1364 3 @ Vejle BK 1422 2
9 2015-10-04 25.65% HB Koge 1345 1 @ Vejle BK 1402 0
10 2015-09-13 26.28% Naestved 1329 2 @ Vestsjaelland 1380 0
11 2016-04-07 26.35% Silkeborg 1411 2 @ Lyngby 1462 0
12 2015-11-01 27.04% Skive 1327 1 @ Vestsjaelland 1371 0
13 2016-03-10 27.41% Fredericia 1358 1 @ Silkeborg 1399 0
14 2015-11-29 27.62% Helsingor 1389 3 @ Vendsyssel 1428 2
15 2016-03-13 27.87% HB Koge 1365 3 @ Helsingor 1402 1
16 2016-03-20 28.50% FC Roskilde 1348 2 @ HB Koge 1380 1
17 2016-04-10 28.56% Fredericia 1356 2 @ Vendsyssel 1387 1
18 2016-04-24 28.56% Fredericia 1341 2 @ Helsingor 1373 1
19 2016-05-22 28.78% HB Koge 1354 1 @ Vendsyssel 1384 0
20 2015-11-28 28.79% Silkeborg 1385 3 @ Vejle BK 1415 1
21 2015-11-29 28.86% HB Koge 1340 2 @ Vestsjaelland 1369 0
22 2016-05-01 29.01% Naestved 1290 4 @ Skive 1318 2
23 2015-11-08 29.47% Vejle BK 1389 3 @ Helsingor 1413 0
24 2016-03-24 29.80% Skive 1312 3 @ Naestved 1333 1
25 2015-09-27 30.20% Skive 1320 1 @ Naestved 1338 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2016-05-28 29.41 @ Naestved 5 1292 23.79% Horsens 1 1458 54.74% 21.47%
2 2015-08-02 27.09 @ Fredericia 4 1335 37.58% FC Roskilde 0 1389 39.92% 22.50%
3 2015-09-20 26.81 Helsingor 4 1413 38.10% @ HB Koge 0 1371 39.40% 22.50%
4 2015-11-08 24.26 Vejle BK 3 1389 29.47% @ Helsingor 0 1413 48.38% 22.15%
5 2016-04-17 22.89 HB Koge 3 1365 32.51% @ Fredericia 0 1364 45.14% 22.35%
6 2015-07-26 22.42 @ FC Roskilde 3 1366 33.59% Helsingor 0 1449 44.01% 22.40%
7 2015-10-04 22.35 @ Vestsjaelland 3 1357 33.76% Helsingor 0 1438 43.83% 22.41%
8 2016-05-28 22.35 @ Silkeborg 5 1472 53.88% Vejle BK 0 1404 24.53% 21.59%
9 2016-04-10 20.57 Horsens 3 1425 37.99% @ Helsingor 0 1385 39.51% 22.50%
10 2016-05-01 18.97 Lyngby 3 1454 41.91% @ HB Koge 0 1386 35.62% 22.46%
11 2016-03-28 18.86 Vejle BK 3 1397 42.18% @ Skive 0 1327 35.36% 22.46%
12 2015-09-13 18.73 @ Horsens 3 1370 42.48% HB Koge 0 1390 35.07% 22.45%
13 2016-04-20 18.35 Horsens 3 1450 43.41% @ Vendsyssel 0 1371 34.17% 22.42%
14 2015-09-13 17.75 Naestved 2 1329 26.28% @ Vestsjaelland 0 1380 51.90% 21.83%
15 2016-04-07 17.73 Silkeborg 2 1411 26.35% @ Lyngby 0 1462 51.82% 21.83%
16 2015-08-28 17.23 @ Lyngby 4 1389 38.32% Helsingor 1 1438 39.18% 22.50%
17 2015-11-29 17.11 Naestved 3 1312 20.55% @ Horsens 1 1421 58.60% 20.85%
18 2015-08-07 16.93 @ Vejle BK 3 1362 46.79% Horsens 0 1351 30.95% 22.26%
19 2015-11-29 16.90 HB Koge 2 1340 28.86% @ Vestsjaelland 0 1369 49.04% 22.10%
20 2016-03-24 16.17 @ Horsens 3 1398 48.58% Fredericia 0 1373 29.29% 22.13%
21 2016-05-28 16.17 Vendsyssel 2 1375 31.20% @ Helsingor 0 1384 46.52% 22.28%
22 2015-07-26 15.72 Vendsyssel 2 1358 32.64% @ Skive 0 1357 45.00% 22.36%
23 2015-09-17 15.54 Vejle BK 2 1388 33.26% @ Silkeborg 0 1381 44.36% 22.39%
24 2016-04-21 15.41 @ FC Roskilde 2 1331 33.69% Vejle BK 0 1413 43.91% 22.40%
25 2015-08-28 15.36 Horsens 2 1355 33.85% @ Skive 0 1344 43.74% 22.41%