Home / Leagues / Denmark / 1st Division / 2013-14

2013-14 1st Division Season

198 games

Final

Promoted

Silkeborg

66 pts

Hobro · 65 pts

Relegated

Marienlyst

15 pts

Hvidovre · 36 pts

Biggest Overachiever

Hobro

16.69 points above expected

65 points · 48.31 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Marienlyst

21.15 points below expected

15 points · 36.15 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Silkeborg Promoted 33 20 6 7 66 67 38 +29 51.92 +14.08
2 Hobro Promoted 33 20 5 8 65 58 36 +22 48.31 +16.69
3 Lyngby 33 18 3 12 57 58 41 +17 48.84 +8.16
4 Bronshoj 33 16 5 12 53 47 39 +8 43.70 +9.30
5 Horsens 33 15 7 11 52 60 48 +12 53.92 -1.92
6 HB Koge 33 13 10 10 49 39 31 +8 44.63 +4.37
7 Vejle BK 33 12 11 10 47 49 38 +11 50.70 -3.70
8 Fredericia 33 12 7 14 43 47 45 +2 45.41 -2.41
9 Vendsyssel 33 12 2 19 38 35 59 -24 37.01 +0.99
10 AB Gladsaxe 33 9 9 15 36 42 57 -15 35.72 +0.28
11 Hvidovre Relegated 33 10 6 17 36 43 63 -20 38.76 -2.76
12 Marienlyst Relegated 33 4 3 26 15 28 78 -50 36.15 -21.15

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Silkeborg 1495 66 51.92 +14.08 97.6% 26 40 47 52 57 64 78
Hobro 1433 65 48.31 +16.69 99.0% 18 36 43 48 53 61 75
Horsens 1428 52 53.92 -1.92 42.2% 27 42 49 54 59 66 80
Lyngby 1428 57 48.84 +8.16 88.3% 25 37 44 49 54 61 81
Vejle BK 1421 47 50.70 -3.70 33.0% 23 39 46 51 56 62 77
Bronshoj 1408 53 43.70 +9.30 91.1% 18 32 39 44 49 56 69
HB Koge 1388 49 44.63 +4.37 75.1% 20 33 40 45 49 56 70
Fredericia 1378 43 45.41 -2.41 39.9% 19 34 41 45 50 58 72
AB Gladsaxe 1323 36 35.72 +0.28 55.6% 13 24 31 36 40 47 71
Hvidovre 1300 36 38.76 -2.76 38.3% 16 27 34 39 43 51 68
Vendsyssel 1283 38 37.01 +0.99 59.2% 16 26 32 37 42 49 68
Marienlyst 1233 15 36.15 -21.15 0.1% 11 25 32 36 41 48 63

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AG BRO FRE HK HOB HOR HVI LYN MAR SIL VB VEN
AB Gladsaxe
1-2-0
3.27
1-1-1
3.08
1-1-1
3.38
2-1-0
2.92
0-2-1
2.63
1-1-1
3.59
0-0-3
2.80
2-0-1
3.99
0-1-2
3.09
1-0-2
2.91
0-0-3
4.03
Bronshoj
0-2-1
4.84
2-0-1
3.84
1-1-1
3.90
0-0-3
3.55
0-1-2
3.37
2-0-1
4.67
2-0-1
3.49
3-0-0
4.80
1-0-2
3.35
2-1-0
3.29
3-0-0
4.68
Fredericia
1-1-1
5.03
1-0-2
4.23
2-1-0
3.94
1-0-2
3.75
1-1-1
3.44
1-1-1
4.69
1-0-2
3.91
2-1-0
4.82
0-0-3
3.43
1-1-1
3.65
1-1-1
4.56
HB Koge
1-1-1
4.71
1-1-1
4.17
0-1-2
4.13
0-1-2
3.72
3-0-0
3.21
2-0-1
4.60
2-0-1
3.78
1-1-1
4.78
1-2-0
3.27
0-3-0
3.50
2-0-1
4.76
Hobro
0-1-2
5.22
3-0-0
4.54
2-0-1
4.33
2-1-0
4.35
2-0-1
3.45
2-1-0
4.73
1-1-1
3.99
3-0-0
4.95
1-0-2
3.57
1-1-1
3.97
3-0-0
5.07
Horsens
1-2-0
5.56
2-1-0
4.72
1-1-1
4.64
0-0-3
4.89
1-0-2
4.64
2-0-1
5.20
3-0-0
4.42
1-1-1
5.78
2-0-1
4.34
0-2-1
4.38
2-0-1
5.29
Hvidovre
1-1-1
4.49
1-0-2
3.42
1-1-1
3.40
1-0-2
3.48
0-1-2
3.39
1-0-2
2.94
0-0-3
3.07
3-0-0
4.49
0-1-2
2.94
0-1-2
3.03
2-1-0
4.08
Lyngby
3-0-0
5.36
1-0-2
4.59
2-0-1
4.16
1-0-2
4.29
1-1-1
4.09
0-0-3
3.66
3-0-0
5.04
3-0-0
5.02
0-1-2
3.71
1-1-1
3.79
3-0-0
5.02
Marienlyst
1-0-2
4.09
0-0-3
3.36
0-1-2
3.30
1-1-1
3.36
0-0-3
3.21
1-1-1
2.44
0-0-3
3.59
0-0-3
3.10
0-0-3
2.84
1-0-2
3.04
0-0-3
3.85
Silkeborg
2-1-0
5.03
2-0-1
4.75
3-0-0
4.67
0-2-1
4.83
2-0-1
4.52
1-0-2
3.74
2-1-0
5.20
2-1-0
4.37
3-0-0
5.33
1-1-1
4.13
2-0-1
5.37
Vejle BK
2-0-1
5.25
0-1-2
4.81
1-1-1
4.44
0-3-0
4.58
1-1-1
4.11
1-2-0
3.70
2-1-0
5.09
1-1-1
4.29
2-0-1
5.11
1-1-1
3.96
1-0-2
5.37
Vendsyssel
3-0-0
4.05
0-0-3
3.43
1-1-1
3.54
1-0-2
3.35
0-0-3
3.04
1-0-2
2.86
0-1-2
3.99
0-0-3
3.11
3-0-0
4.23
1-0-2
2.79
2-0-1
2.79

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.77 +11.0
Allowed 0.76 -8.9
Differential 0.93 +6.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%6.82%6.82%5.05%1.52%0.51%26.26%
16.82%8.59%8.59%4.80%2.27%0.25%31.31%
26.82%8.59%3.03%2.27%0.25%1.01%21.97%
35.05%4.80%2.27%1.52%0.51%14.14%
41.52%2.27%0.25%0.51%4.55%
5+0.51%0.25%1.01%1.77%
Total26.26%31.31%21.97%14.14%4.55%1.77%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 1.45 +0.00
SD 1.24 1.24 1.91
CV 0.86 0.86
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%30.30%
16.06%9.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%33.33%
23.03%9.09%6.06%18.18%
36.06%6.06%3.03%15.15%
43.03%3.03%
5+
Total24.24%27.27%21.21%12.12%9.09%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.73 -0.45
SD 1.15 1.51 2.02
CV 0.91 0.87
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%6.06%15.15%
115.15%9.09%15.15%6.06%3.03%48.48%
23.03%9.09%3.03%15.15%
39.09%9.09%3.03%21.21%
4
5+
Total30.30%33.33%27.27%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.18 +0.24
SD 1.00 1.04 1.60
CV 0.70 0.88
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%27.27%
19.09%15.15%9.09%3.03%36.36%
23.03%3.03%6.06%12.12%
39.09%6.06%15.15%
43.03%6.06%9.09%
5+
Total30.30%36.36%15.15%9.09%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.36 +0.06
SD 1.30 1.41 2.08
CV 0.91 1.03
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%6.06%27.27%
19.09%15.15%12.12%3.03%39.39%
29.09%12.12%21.21%
36.06%3.03%3.03%12.12%
4
5+
Total36.36%39.39%18.18%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 0.94 +0.24
SD 0.98 0.90 1.35
CV 0.83 0.96
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%6.06%6.06%18.18%
112.12%6.06%6.06%24.24%
29.09%18.18%6.06%3.03%36.36%
39.09%3.03%12.12%
43.03%3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%6.06%
Total36.36%30.30%21.21%12.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.09 +0.67
SD 1.32 1.04 1.80
CV 0.75 0.95
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%21.21%
19.09%9.09%6.06%3.03%27.27%
23.03%9.09%3.03%6.06%3.03%24.24%
36.06%3.03%9.09%
412.12%12.12%
5+6.06%6.06%
Total18.18%42.42%21.21%15.15%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.45 +0.36
SD 1.51 1.15 1.80
CV 0.83 0.79
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%3.03%15.15%6.06%6.06%33.33%
13.03%9.09%3.03%3.03%6.06%24.24%
212.12%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%3.03%27.27%
33.03%3.03%3.03%9.09%
43.03%3.03%6.06%
5+
Total21.21%21.21%24.24%15.15%15.15%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.91 -0.61
SD 1.21 1.47 2.12
CV 0.93 0.77
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%9.09%6.06%24.24%
13.03%3.03%6.06%9.09%21.21%
29.09%9.09%3.03%21.21%
312.12%9.09%3.03%24.24%
43.03%3.03%6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%
Total33.33%27.27%21.21%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.76 1.24 +0.52
SD 1.39 1.12 2.06
CV 0.79 0.90
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%18.18%3.03%36.36%
13.03%6.06%12.12%12.12%9.09%42.42%
23.03%6.06%3.03%9.09%21.21%
3
4
5+
Total6.06%15.15%27.27%39.39%12.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 2.36 -1.52
SD 0.76 1.08 1.46
CV 0.89 0.46
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%3.03%3.03%15.15%
13.03%9.09%6.06%3.03%21.21%
218.18%9.09%3.03%30.30%
33.03%6.06%6.06%3.03%18.18%
43.03%3.03%3.03%9.09%
5+3.03%3.03%6.06%
Total33.33%36.36%18.18%9.09%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 1.15 +0.88
SD 1.40 1.18 2.04
CV 0.69 1.02
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%12.12%27.27%
13.03%9.09%12.12%6.06%30.30%
26.06%9.09%15.15%
36.06%6.06%9.09%21.21%
43.03%3.03%6.06%
5+
Total33.33%27.27%30.30%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.15 +0.33
SD 1.28 1.00 1.45
CV 0.86 0.87
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%9.09%12.12%3.03%39.39%
16.06%3.03%6.06%6.06%6.06%27.27%
23.03%18.18%21.21%
36.06%3.03%3.03%12.12%
4
5+
Total12.12%39.39%18.18%18.18%12.12%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.79 -0.73
SD 1.06 1.24 1.77
CV 1.00 0.70
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 33

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hobro 65 48.31 +16.69
2 Silkeborg 66 51.92 +14.08
3 Bronshoj 53 43.70 +9.30
4 Lyngby 57 48.84 +8.16
5 HB Koge 49 44.63 +4.37

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Marienlyst 15 36.15 -21.15
2 Vejle BK 47 50.70 -3.70
3 Hvidovre 36 38.76 -2.76
4 Fredericia 43 45.41 -2.41
5 Horsens 52 53.92 -1.92

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bronshoj 8 Nov 23 – Apr 26 1 in 3,464
2 Hobro 5 Jul 28 – Aug 25 1 in 383
3 Silkeborg 6 Nov 7 – Mar 27 1 in 259
4 AB Gladsaxe 3 Mar 30 – Apr 12 1 in 140
5 Lyngby 4 Sep 1 – Sep 22 1 in 64

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Marienlyst 11 Nov 27 – May 11 1 in 4,107
2 Bronshoj 4 Jul 28 – Aug 17 1 in 55
3 Fredericia 4 Nov 10 – Mar 20 1 in 49
4 Silkeborg 3 Sep 29 – Oct 6 1 in 43
5 Hobro 3 Mar 27 – Apr 12 1 in 41

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Bronshoj 9 Nov 17 – Apr 26 1 in 37
2 Silkeborg 11 Apr 17 – Jun 9 1 in 21
3 Hobro 8 Oct 14 – Mar 20 1 in 17
4 Lyngby 6 Oct 6 – Nov 10 1 in 9
5 HB Koge 4 Apr 17 – May 4 1 in 7

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Horsens 6 Apr 17 – May 16 1 in 27
2 AB Gladsaxe 10 Sep 29 – Mar 23 1 in 22
3 Marienlyst 11 Nov 27 – May 11 1 in 21
4 HB Koge 5 Apr 21 – May 16 1 in 10
5 Vejle BK 4 Nov 23 – Apr 6 1 in 10

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Silkeborg21.96%18.54%14.77%12.50%9.39%7.87%5.69%3.81%2.64%1.59%0.89%0.35%
Hobro10.36%12.01%12.79%12.78%11.85%11.15%9.22%7.18%5.46%3.40%2.52%1.28%
Lyngby10.80%12.98%13.78%12.40%12.37%10.32%9.21%7.07%4.88%3.37%2.00%0.82%
Bronshoj2.98%5.02%6.84%8.68%9.93%11.50%11.48%12.58%11.00%9.51%6.54%3.94%
Horsens29.28%19.99%14.81%11.28%8.59%6.14%4.31%2.43%1.61%1.00%0.41%0.15%
HB Koge3.77%5.59%7.99%9.57%11.01%11.63%12.93%11.38%9.96%7.80%5.11%3.26%
Vejle BK15.28%15.71%14.78%13.81%11.49%9.27%7.18%4.95%3.67%2.18%1.03%0.65%
Fredericia4.29%6.97%8.46%10.08%11.16%12.44%12.23%10.99%9.32%6.70%4.91%2.45%
Vendsyssel0.23%0.70%1.52%2.03%3.53%5.32%7.12%9.66%12.96%16.93%19.21%20.79%
AB Gladsaxe0.26%0.51%0.76%1.74%2.93%3.93%6.01%9.11%11.85%16.16%21.14%25.60%
Hvidovre0.59%1.35%2.44%3.42%4.94%6.34%8.93%11.88%14.28%15.74%15.78%14.31%
Marienlyst0.20%0.63%1.06%1.71%2.81%4.09%5.69%8.96%12.37%15.62%20.46%26.40%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+12.63%
Slight Edge
46.97%18.69%34.34%
Elo Value
Home Edge
147 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
044.10400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.24 goals
Neutral
-2+0.30+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.4
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
22%
Silkeborg, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.03/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.7 * Some Luck: 5.7 to 8.55 * Lucky: 8.55 to 11.4 * Wild Swing: 11.4 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.75 * Close: 1.75 to 2.63 * Off: 2.63 to 3.5 * Way Off: 3.5 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.06 * A Surprise: 1.06 to 1.7 * Several Surprises: 1.7 to 2.34 * Many Surprises: 2.34 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
9.52 points
Lucky
07.1218
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.17
Close
02.195
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
99.01%
Hobro
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
0.06%
Marienlyst
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
As Expected
01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.64
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Clear Edge
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
55%
Very Frequent
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
21%
Frequent
0%19%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.23
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.88
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.20
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
32%
As Expected
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.22 * Well Above Noise: 0.22 and up.
Probability calibration
0.05
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.086
Well Within Noise
00.1080.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Horsens 49.27% 50.17% 0.56%
Silkeborg 40.50% 58.26% 1.24%
Vejle BK 30.99% 67.33% 1.68%
Lyngby 23.78% 73.40% 2.82%
Hobro 22.37% 73.83% 3.80%
Fredericia 11.26% 81.38% 7.36%
HB Koge 9.36% 82.27% 8.37%
Bronshoj 8.00% 81.52% 10.48%
Hvidovre 1.94% 67.97% 30.09%
Vendsyssel 0.93% 59.07% 40.00%
AB Gladsaxe 0.77% 52.49% 46.74%
Marienlyst 0.83% 52.31% 46.86%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2013-07-25 Lyngby W 2-0 1355 1384 33.47% 31.06% 35.48% +10.6 3
2013-07-25 @ HB Koge L 0-2 1384 1355 35.48% 31.06% 33.47% -10.6 0
2013-07-28 AB Gladsaxe W 4-1 1431 1343 49.60% 28.53% 21.87% +8.9 3
2013-07-28 @ Horsens L 1-4 1343 1431 21.87% 28.53% 49.60% -8.9 0
2013-07-28 Bronshoj W 4-1 1412 1364 44.27% 30.00% 25.73% +10.2 3
2013-07-28 @ Silkeborg L 1-4 1364 1412 25.73% 30.00% 44.27% -10.3 0
2013-07-28 Hobro L 1-2 1357 1346 39.01% 30.84% 30.15% -5.7 0
2013-07-28 @ Hvidovre W 2-1 1346 1357 30.15% 30.84% 39.01% +5.7 3
2013-07-28 Marienlyst W 3-0 1365 1410 31.17% 30.94% 37.89% +16.2 3
2013-07-28 @ Fredericia L 0-3 1410 1365 37.89% 30.94% 31.17% -16.2 0
2013-07-28 Vendsyssel L 1-3 1396 1356 43.17% 30.23% 26.60% -10.6 0
2013-07-28 @ Vejle BK W 3-1 1356 1396 26.60% 30.23% 43.17% +10.6 3
2013-08-01 HB Koge D 1-1 1393 1366 41.36% 30.54% 28.10% -0.4 1
2013-08-01 @ Marienlyst D 1-1 1366 1393 28.10% 30.54% 41.36% +0.4 4
2013-08-01 Lyngby W 2-0 1385 1373 39.26% 30.82% 29.92% +9.4 3
2013-08-01 @ Vejle BK L 0-2 1373 1385 29.92% 30.82% 39.26% -9.4 0
2013-08-02 Fredericia D 1-1 1351 1381 33.20% 31.05% 35.75% +0.1 1
2013-08-02 @ Hvidovre D 1-1 1381 1351 35.75% 31.05% 33.20% -0.1 4
2013-08-03 AB Gladsaxe L 1-2 1353 1334 40.20% 30.71% 29.10% -5.8 0
2013-08-03 @ Bronshoj W 2-1 1334 1353 29.10% 30.71% 40.20% +5.8 3
2013-08-04 Horsens L 0-1 1366 1440 27.60% 30.45% 41.95% -4.7 3
2013-08-04 @ Vendsyssel W 1-0 1440 1366 41.95% 30.45% 27.60% +4.7 6
2013-08-04 Silkeborg W 5-0 1352 1422 27.96% 30.52% 41.53% +27.8 6
2013-08-04 @ Hobro L 0-5 1422 1352 41.53% 30.52% 27.96% -27.8 3
2013-08-08 Silkeborg W 1-0 1445 1394 44.55% 29.94% 25.51% +4.4 9
2013-08-08 @ Horsens L 0-1 1394 1445 25.51% 29.94% 44.55% -4.4 3
2013-08-09 Hobro L 1-2 1393 1379 39.44% 30.80% 29.77% -5.7 1
2013-08-09 @ Marienlyst W 2-1 1379 1393 29.77% 30.80% 39.44% +5.7 9
2013-08-10 Hvidovre L 1-3 1348 1351 37.02% 31.00% 31.98% -9.5 0
2013-08-10 @ Bronshoj W 3-1 1351 1348 31.98% 31.00% 37.02% +9.5 4
2013-08-11 Fredericia L 1-3 1366 1381 35.44% 31.06% 33.50% -9.2 4
2013-08-11 @ HB Koge W 3-1 1381 1366 33.50% 31.06% 35.44% +9.2 7
2013-08-11 Vejle BK L 1-3 1340 1395 29.92% 30.82% 39.27% -8.2 3
2013-08-11 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-1 1395 1340 39.27% 30.82% 29.92% +8.2 6
2013-08-11 Vendsyssel W 3-1 1364 1362 37.76% 30.95% 31.28% +8.4 3
2013-08-11 @ Lyngby L 1-3 1362 1364 31.28% 30.95% 37.76% -8.4 3
2013-08-15 Lyngby W 3-2 1390 1372 40.05% 30.73% 29.23% +4.4 6
2013-08-15 @ Silkeborg L 2-3 1372 1390 29.23% 30.73% 40.05% -4.4 3
2013-08-17 Bronshoj W 1-0 1385 1338 44.09% 30.04% 25.87% +4.5 12
2013-08-17 @ Hobro L 0-1 1338 1385 25.87% 30.04% 44.09% -4.5 0
2013-08-18 AB Gladsaxe W 4-0 1360 1332 41.51% 30.52% 27.97% +17.0 7
2013-08-18 @ Hvidovre L 0-4 1332 1360 27.97% 30.52% 41.51% -17.0 3
2013-08-18 HB Koge D 0-0 1403 1357 43.91% 30.08% 26.01% -0.6 7
2013-08-18 @ Vejle BK D 0-0 1357 1403 26.01% 30.08% 43.91% +0.6 5
2013-08-18 Horsens L 2-5 1390 1449 29.36% 30.74% 39.90% -9.8 7
2013-08-18 @ Fredericia W 5-2 1449 1390 39.90% 30.74% 29.36% +9.9 12
2013-08-18 Marienlyst W 2-1 1353 1387 32.62% 31.03% 36.35% +5.4 6
2013-08-18 @ Vendsyssel L 1-2 1387 1353 36.35% 31.03% 32.62% -5.4 1
2013-08-22 Vejle BK D 1-1 1380 1402 34.30% 31.07% 34.63% +0.0 8
2013-08-22 @ Fredericia D 1-1 1402 1380 34.63% 31.07% 34.30% -0.0 8
2013-08-23 Vendsyssel W 2-1 1358 1359 37.40% 30.98% 31.63% +4.9 8
2013-08-23 @ HB Koge L 1-2 1359 1358 31.63% 30.98% 37.40% -4.9 6
2013-08-25 Bronshoj L 1-3 1368 1334 42.27% 30.39% 27.33% -10.5 3
2013-08-25 @ Lyngby W 3-1 1334 1368 27.33% 30.39% 42.27% +10.4 3
2013-08-25 Hobro L 2-5 1459 1390 47.14% 29.28% 23.57% -13.9 12
2013-08-25 @ Horsens W 5-2 1390 1459 23.57% 29.28% 47.14% +13.9 15
2013-08-25 Hvidovre W 4-2 1394 1377 39.90% 30.74% 29.36% +7.2 9
2013-08-25 @ Silkeborg L 2-4 1377 1394 29.36% 30.74% 39.90% -7.2 7
2013-08-25 Marienlyst W 2-0 1315 1382 28.41% 30.60% 40.99% +11.8 6
2013-08-25 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-2 1382 1315 40.99% 30.60% 28.41% -11.8 1
2013-08-31 Fredericia L 1-3 1344 1380 32.37% 31.02% 36.61% -8.6 3
2013-08-31 @ Bronshoj W 3-1 1380 1344 36.61% 31.02% 32.37% +8.6 11
2013-08-31 Vejle BK W 2-1 1370 1402 32.89% 31.04% 36.07% +5.4 4
2013-08-31 @ Marienlyst L 1-2 1402 1370 36.07% 31.04% 32.89% -5.4 8
2013-09-01 Hobro W 2-0 1357 1403 30.99% 30.93% 38.08% +11.2 6
2013-09-01 @ Lyngby L 0-2 1403 1357 38.08% 30.93% 30.99% -11.2 15
2013-09-01 Horsens W 1-0 1363 1445 26.62% 30.24% 43.14% +6.5 11
2013-09-01 @ HB Koge L 0-1 1445 1363 43.14% 30.24% 26.62% -6.5 12
2013-09-01 Hvidovre D 1-1 1354 1370 35.11% 31.07% 33.82% -0.0 7
2013-09-01 @ Vendsyssel D 1-1 1370 1354 33.82% 31.07% 35.11% +0.0 8
2013-09-01 Silkeborg D 1-1 1327 1402 27.48% 30.43% 42.09% +0.4 7
2013-09-01 @ AB Gladsaxe D 1-1 1402 1327 42.09% 30.43% 27.48% -0.4 10
2013-09-07 Bronshoj L 1-2 1376 1335 43.13% 30.24% 26.64% -6.1 4
2013-09-07 @ Marienlyst W 2-1 1335 1376 26.64% 30.24% 43.13% +6.1 6
2013-09-08 AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1354 1327 41.22% 30.57% 28.22% +4.8 10
2013-09-08 @ Vendsyssel L 0-1 1327 1354 28.22% 30.57% 41.22% -4.8 7
2013-09-08 Horsens L 1-4 1370 1439 28.23% 30.57% 41.20% -11.0 8
2013-09-08 @ Hvidovre W 4-1 1439 1370 41.20% 30.57% 28.23% +11.0 15
2013-09-08 Lyngby L 2-5 1389 1368 40.40% 30.68% 28.92% -12.4 11
2013-09-08 @ Fredericia W 5-2 1368 1389 28.92% 30.68% 40.40% +12.4 9
2013-09-09 HB Koge W 2-1 1392 1369 40.74% 30.63% 28.62% +4.6 18
2013-09-09 @ Hobro L 1-2 1369 1392 28.62% 30.63% 40.74% -4.6 11
2013-09-12 Vejle BK L 2-3 1450 1397 44.86% 29.87% 25.27% -6.0 15
2013-09-12 @ Horsens W 3-2 1397 1450 25.27% 29.87% 44.86% +6.0 11
2013-09-13 Hvidovre W 2-0 1365 1359 38.28% 30.91% 30.81% +9.6 14
2013-09-13 @ HB Koge L 0-2 1359 1365 30.81% 30.91% 38.28% -9.6 8
2013-09-14 Vendsyssel W 3-0 1342 1358 35.08% 31.07% 33.85% +15.0 9
2013-09-14 @ Bronshoj L 0-3 1358 1342 33.85% 31.07% 35.08% -15.0 10
2013-09-15 Fredericia W 2-0 1401 1376 40.99% 30.60% 28.41% +9.1 13
2013-09-15 @ Silkeborg L 0-2 1376 1401 28.41% 30.60% 40.99% -9.1 11
2013-09-15 Hobro D 2-2 1322 1397 27.53% 30.44% 42.03% +0.3 8
2013-09-15 @ AB Gladsaxe D 2-2 1397 1322 42.03% 30.44% 27.53% -0.3 19
2013-09-15 Marienlyst W 4-0 1381 1369 39.09% 30.83% 30.07% +17.9 12
2013-09-15 @ Lyngby L 0-4 1369 1381 30.07% 30.83% 39.09% -18.0 4
2013-09-19 Silkeborg L 1-2 1351 1410 29.40% 30.75% 39.85% -4.7 4
2013-09-19 @ Marienlyst W 2-1 1410 1351 39.85% 30.75% 29.40% +4.6 16
2013-09-19 Vejle BK W 2-1 1396 1403 36.56% 31.02% 32.42% +5.0 22
2013-09-19 @ Hobro L 1-2 1403 1396 32.42% 31.02% 36.56% -5.0 11
2013-09-20 HB Koge W 2-1 1323 1374 30.31% 30.86% 38.83% +5.7 11
2013-09-20 @ AB Gladsaxe L 1-2 1374 1323 38.83% 30.86% 30.31% -5.7 14
2013-09-21 Horsens L 1-2 1357 1444 26.09% 30.10% 43.81% -4.2 9
2013-09-21 @ Bronshoj W 2-1 1444 1357 43.81% 30.10% 26.09% +4.2 18
2013-09-22 Fredericia W 2-1 1343 1367 34.06% 31.07% 34.87% +5.2 13
2013-09-22 @ Vendsyssel L 1-2 1367 1343 34.87% 31.07% 34.06% -5.2 11
2013-09-22 Hvidovre W 2-0 1399 1350 44.37% 29.98% 25.65% +8.4 15
2013-09-22 @ Lyngby L 0-2 1350 1399 25.65% 29.98% 44.37% -8.3 8
2013-09-28 Vendsyssel W 2-1 1401 1349 44.89% 29.86% 25.25% +4.1 25
2013-09-28 @ Hobro L 1-2 1349 1401 25.25% 29.86% 44.89% -4.1 13
2013-09-29 AB Gladsaxe D 1-1 1362 1328 42.24% 30.40% 27.36% -0.4 12
2013-09-29 @ Fredericia D 1-1 1328 1362 27.36% 30.40% 42.24% +0.4 12
2013-09-29 Bronshoj L 0-1 1398 1352 43.91% 30.08% 26.01% -6.6 11
2013-09-29 @ Vejle BK W 1-0 1352 1398 26.01% 30.08% 43.91% +6.6 12
2013-09-29 HB Koge L 1-2 1415 1369 43.97% 30.07% 25.96% -6.2 16
2013-09-29 @ Silkeborg W 2-1 1369 1415 25.96% 30.07% 43.97% +6.2 17
2013-09-29 Lyngby W 3-1 1448 1407 43.25% 30.21% 26.53% +7.4 21
2013-09-29 @ Horsens L 1-3 1407 1448 26.53% 30.21% 43.25% -7.4 15
2013-09-29 Marienlyst W 3-2 1341 1347 36.69% 31.02% 32.29% +4.7 11
2013-09-29 @ Hvidovre L 2-3 1347 1341 32.29% 31.02% 36.69% -4.7 4
2013-10-02 Silkeborg W 3-0 1391 1409 35.02% 31.07% 33.91% +15.0 14
2013-10-02 @ Vejle BK L 0-3 1409 1391 33.91% 31.07% 35.02% -15.0 16
2013-10-03 Hobro W 3-0 1362 1406 31.30% 30.95% 37.74% +16.1 15
2013-10-03 @ Fredericia L 0-3 1406 1362 37.74% 30.95% 31.30% -16.1 25
2013-10-06 AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1400 1329 47.30% 29.24% 23.46% +3.9 18
2013-10-06 @ Lyngby L 1-2 1329 1400 23.46% 29.24% 47.30% -3.9 12
2013-10-06 Bronshoj D 1-1 1375 1359 39.76% 30.76% 29.48% -0.3 18
2013-10-06 @ HB Koge D 1-1 1359 1375 29.48% 30.76% 39.76% +0.3 13
2013-10-06 Hvidovre W 2-0 1406 1346 45.93% 29.61% 24.46% +8.0 17
2013-10-06 @ Vejle BK L 0-2 1346 1406 24.46% 29.61% 45.93% -8.0 11
2013-10-06 Marienlyst D 2-2 1455 1342 52.92% 27.31% 19.77% -0.8 22
2013-10-06 @ Horsens D 2-2 1342 1455 19.77% 27.31% 52.92% +0.8 5
2013-10-06 Vendsyssel L 1-2 1394 1345 44.38% 29.98% 25.64% -6.2 16
2013-10-06 @ Silkeborg W 2-1 1345 1394 25.64% 29.98% 44.38% +6.2 16
2013-10-11 Vejle BK L 0-4 1338 1414 27.28% 30.38% 42.34% -16.7 11
2013-10-11 @ Hvidovre W 4-0 1414 1338 42.34% 30.38% 27.28% +16.7 20
2013-10-12 Lyngby L 1-2 1359 1403 31.27% 30.95% 37.78% -4.9 13
2013-10-12 @ Bronshoj W 2-1 1403 1359 37.78% 30.95% 31.27% +4.9 21
2013-10-13 Fredericia L 0-4 1351 1378 33.62% 31.06% 35.31% -19.5 16
2013-10-13 @ Vendsyssel W 4-0 1378 1351 35.31% 31.06% 33.62% +19.5 18
2013-10-13 Horsens D 3-3 1325 1455 21.92% 28.55% 49.53% +0.5 13
2013-10-13 @ AB Gladsaxe D 3-3 1455 1325 49.53% 28.55% 21.92% -0.5 23
2013-10-14 Hobro L 0-2 1375 1389 35.36% 31.06% 33.58% -10.6 18
2013-10-14 @ HB Koge W 2-0 1389 1375 33.58% 31.06% 35.36% +10.6 28
2013-10-17 HB Koge L 1-3 1454 1364 49.89% 28.43% 21.68% -11.8 23
2013-10-17 @ Horsens W 3-1 1364 1454 21.68% 28.43% 49.89% +11.8 21
2013-10-18 Vendsyssel W 4-3 1400 1331 47.05% 29.31% 23.64% +3.6 31
2013-10-18 @ Hobro L 3-4 1331 1400 23.64% 29.31% 47.05% -3.6 16
2013-10-20 AB Gladsaxe W 5-0 1387 1326 46.12% 29.56% 24.32% +18.7 19
2013-10-20 @ Silkeborg L 0-5 1326 1387 24.32% 29.56% 46.12% -18.7 13
2013-10-20 Bronshoj D 0-0 1431 1354 48.13% 29.00% 22.88% -0.9 21
2013-10-20 @ Vejle BK D 0-0 1354 1431 22.88% 29.00% 48.13% +0.9 14
2013-10-20 Hvidovre W 4-1 1397 1321 48.03% 29.03% 22.95% +9.3 21
2013-10-20 @ Fredericia L 1-4 1321 1397 22.95% 29.03% 48.03% -9.3 11
2013-10-20 Marienlyst W 3-1 1408 1343 46.61% 29.43% 23.96% +6.8 24
2013-10-20 @ Lyngby L 1-3 1343 1408 23.96% 29.43% 46.61% -6.8 5
2013-10-24 Hobro D 1-1 1312 1404 25.59% 29.97% 44.44% +0.6 12
2013-10-24 @ Hvidovre D 1-1 1404 1312 44.44% 29.97% 25.59% -0.6 32
2013-10-26 Fredericia W 2-1 1355 1407 30.34% 30.86% 38.79% +5.7 17
2013-10-26 @ Bronshoj L 1-2 1407 1355 38.79% 30.86% 30.34% -5.7 21
2013-10-26 Vejle BK L 0-3 1336 1430 25.33% 29.89% 44.78% -12.0 5
2013-10-26 @ Marienlyst W 3-0 1430 1336 44.78% 29.89% 25.33% +12.0 24
2013-10-27 AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1376 1307 47.08% 29.30% 23.62% +4.1 24
2013-10-27 @ HB Koge L 0-1 1307 1376 23.62% 29.30% 47.08% -4.1 13
2013-10-27 Horsens L 1-4 1328 1442 23.30% 29.17% 47.53% -9.4 16
2013-10-27 @ Vendsyssel W 4-1 1442 1328 47.53% 29.17% 23.30% +9.4 26
2013-10-27 Silkeborg D 0-0 1415 1406 38.77% 30.87% 30.36% -0.3 25
2013-10-27 @ Lyngby D 0-0 1406 1415 30.36% 30.87% 38.77% +0.3 20
2013-11-02 Bronshoj W 2-1 1403 1361 43.43% 30.18% 26.39% +4.3 35
2013-11-02 @ Hobro L 1-2 1361 1403 26.39% 30.18% 43.43% -4.3 17
2013-11-03 HB Koge D 1-1 1406 1380 41.23% 30.56% 28.21% -0.4 21
2013-11-03 @ Silkeborg D 1-1 1380 1406 28.21% 30.56% 41.23% +0.4 25
2013-11-03 Hvidovre L 0-2 1452 1313 56.18% 25.91% 17.91% -14.9 26
2013-11-03 @ Horsens W 2-0 1313 1452 17.91% 25.91% 56.18% +14.9 15
2013-11-03 Lyngby D 0-0 1442 1415 41.36% 30.54% 28.09% -0.4 25
2013-11-03 @ Vejle BK D 0-0 1415 1442 28.09% 30.54% 41.36% +0.4 26
2013-11-03 Marienlyst W 4-1 1401 1324 48.14% 28.99% 22.87% +9.3 24
2013-11-03 @ Fredericia L 1-4 1324 1401 22.87% 28.99% 48.14% -9.3 5
2013-11-03 Vendsyssel L 0-2 1303 1318 35.26% 31.06% 33.68% -10.6 13
2013-11-03 @ AB Gladsaxe W 2-0 1318 1303 33.68% 31.06% 35.26% +10.6 19
2013-11-07 Silkeborg L 1-2 1442 1406 42.54% 30.35% 27.11% -6.1 25
2013-11-07 @ Vejle BK W 2-1 1406 1442 27.11% 30.35% 42.54% +6.1 24
2013-11-08 AB Gladsaxe D 0-0 1327 1292 42.47% 30.36% 27.17% -0.5 16
2013-11-08 @ Hvidovre D 0-0 1292 1327 27.17% 30.36% 42.47% +0.5 14
2013-11-09 Horsens L 1-2 1357 1437 26.87% 30.29% 42.83% -4.3 17
2013-11-09 @ Bronshoj W 2-1 1437 1357 42.83% 30.29% 26.87% +4.3 29
2013-11-10 Fredericia W 1-0 1415 1410 38.22% 30.91% 30.87% +5.1 29
2013-11-10 @ Lyngby L 0-1 1410 1415 30.87% 30.91% 38.22% -5.1 24
2013-11-10 HB Koge W 2-1 1329 1380 30.33% 30.86% 38.80% +5.7 22
2013-11-10 @ Vendsyssel L 1-2 1380 1329 38.80% 30.86% 30.33% -5.7 25
2013-11-14 Lyngby W 3-0 1407 1420 35.63% 31.06% 33.32% +14.8 38
2013-11-14 @ Hobro L 0-3 1420 1407 33.32% 31.06% 35.63% -14.8 29
2013-11-17 Bronshoj D 1-1 1293 1352 29.30% 30.74% 39.96% +0.3 15
2013-11-17 @ AB Gladsaxe D 1-1 1352 1293 39.96% 30.74% 29.30% -0.3 18
2013-11-17 Hvidovre W 3-0 1375 1327 44.19% 30.02% 25.79% +12.2 28
2013-11-17 @ HB Koge L 0-3 1327 1375 25.79% 30.02% 44.19% -12.2 16
2013-11-17 Marienlyst W 4-1 1441 1315 54.58% 26.62% 18.80% +7.7 32
2013-11-17 @ Horsens L 1-4 1315 1441 18.80% 26.62% 54.58% -7.7 5
2013-11-17 Vendsyssel W 2-0 1412 1335 48.22% 28.97% 22.81% +7.5 27
2013-11-17 @ Silkeborg L 0-2 1335 1412 22.81% 28.97% 48.22% -7.5 22
2013-11-18 Vejle BK L 1-3 1405 1436 33.11% 31.05% 35.84% -8.8 24
2013-11-18 @ Fredericia W 3-1 1436 1405 35.84% 31.05% 33.11% +8.8 28
2013-11-21 Horsens L 1-2 1406 1449 31.42% 30.96% 37.62% -4.9 29
2013-11-21 @ Lyngby W 2-1 1449 1406 37.62% 30.96% 31.42% +4.9 35
2013-11-22 Vendsyssel W 2-0 1315 1327 35.73% 31.05% 33.22% +10.2 19
2013-11-22 @ Hvidovre L 0-2 1327 1315 33.22% 31.05% 35.73% -10.2 22
2013-11-23 AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1307 1293 39.49% 30.79% 29.72% +4.7 8
2013-11-23 @ Marienlyst L 1-2 1293 1307 29.72% 30.79% 39.49% -4.7 15
2013-11-23 HB Koge W 1-0 1352 1387 32.52% 31.03% 36.45% +5.8 21
2013-11-23 @ Bronshoj L 0-1 1387 1352 36.45% 31.03% 32.52% -5.8 28
2013-11-23 Hobro D 2-2 1444 1422 40.65% 30.65% 28.70% -0.3 29
2013-11-23 @ Vejle BK D 2-2 1422 1444 28.70% 30.65% 40.65% +0.3 39
2013-11-24 Silkeborg L 0-2 1396 1420 34.14% 31.07% 34.79% -10.4 24
2013-11-24 @ Fredericia W 2-0 1420 1396 34.79% 31.07% 34.14% +10.4 30
2013-11-27 Hobro L 0-1 1312 1422 23.66% 29.32% 47.02% -4.1 8
2013-11-27 @ Marienlyst W 1-0 1422 1312 47.02% 29.32% 23.66% +4.1 42
2013-12-01 Silkeborg L 1-3 1308 1430 22.56% 28.86% 48.58% -6.5 8
2013-12-01 @ Marienlyst W 3-1 1430 1308 48.58% 28.86% 22.56% +6.5 33
2014-03-20 Fredericia W 1-0 1427 1386 43.22% 30.22% 26.56% +4.6 45
2014-03-20 @ Hobro L 0-1 1386 1427 26.56% 30.22% 43.22% -4.5 24
2014-03-22 Bronshoj L 0-3 1317 1358 31.72% 30.98% 37.30% -14.3 22
2014-03-22 @ Vendsyssel W 3-0 1358 1317 37.30% 30.98% 31.72% +14.3 24
2014-03-23 Hvidovre W 2-0 1436 1325 52.68% 27.40% 19.91% +6.6 36
2014-03-23 @ Silkeborg L 0-2 1325 1436 19.91% 27.40% 52.68% -6.6 19
2014-03-23 Lyngby L 0-3 1288 1401 23.50% 29.25% 47.25% -11.2 15
2014-03-23 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-0 1401 1288 47.25% 29.25% 23.50% +11.3 32
2014-03-23 Marienlyst W 3-0 1381 1301 48.55% 28.87% 22.58% +10.9 31
2014-03-23 @ HB Koge L 0-3 1301 1381 22.58% 28.87% 48.55% -10.9 8
2014-03-23 Vejle BK D 0-0 1454 1444 38.82% 30.86% 30.32% -0.3 36
2014-03-23 @ Horsens D 0-0 1444 1454 30.32% 30.86% 38.82% +0.3 30
2014-03-27 Silkeborg L 0-1 1431 1443 35.78% 31.05% 33.16% -5.7 45
2014-03-27 @ Hobro W 1-0 1443 1431 33.16% 31.05% 35.78% +5.7 39
2014-03-29 Hvidovre W 1-0 1372 1318 45.01% 29.84% 25.16% +4.4 27
2014-03-29 @ Bronshoj L 0-1 1318 1372 25.16% 29.84% 45.01% -4.4 19
2014-03-29 Vendsyssel L 2-3 1290 1303 35.73% 31.05% 33.22% -5.1 8
2014-03-29 @ Marienlyst W 3-2 1303 1290 33.22% 31.05% 35.73% +5.1 25
2014-03-30 AB Gladsaxe L 0-1 1444 1277 59.67% 24.22% 16.11% -8.3 30
2014-03-30 @ Vejle BK W 1-0 1277 1444 16.11% 24.22% 59.67% +8.3 18
2014-03-30 HB Koge L 1-2 1412 1392 40.32% 30.69% 28.98% -5.8 32
2014-03-30 @ Lyngby W 2-1 1392 1412 28.98% 30.69% 40.32% +5.8 34
2014-03-30 Horsens W 3-0 1381 1453 27.81% 30.49% 41.70% +17.3 27
2014-03-30 @ Fredericia L 0-3 1453 1381 41.70% 30.49% 27.81% -17.3 36
2014-04-03 Hobro W 2-0 1436 1425 38.98% 30.85% 30.17% +9.5 39
2014-04-03 @ Horsens L 0-2 1425 1436 30.17% 30.85% 38.98% -9.5 45
2014-04-04 Marienlyst W 2-0 1314 1285 41.55% 30.51% 27.94% +8.9 22
2014-04-04 @ Hvidovre L 0-2 1285 1314 27.94% 30.51% 41.55% -9.0 8
2014-04-06 Bronshoj L 0-1 1449 1376 47.54% 29.17% 23.29% -7.0 39
2014-04-06 @ Silkeborg W 1-0 1376 1449 23.29% 29.17% 47.54% +7.0 30
2014-04-06 Fredericia W 1-0 1285 1399 23.40% 29.22% 47.38% +7.0 21
2014-04-06 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-1 1399 1285 47.38% 29.22% 23.40% -7.0 27
2014-04-06 Lyngby L 0-3 1308 1406 24.89% 29.75% 45.36% -11.8 25
2014-04-06 @ Vendsyssel W 3-0 1406 1308 45.36% 29.75% 24.89% +11.8 35
2014-04-06 Vejle BK D 1-1 1398 1436 32.04% 31.00% 36.96% +0.1 35
2014-04-06 @ HB Koge D 1-1 1436 1398 36.96% 31.00% 32.04% -0.2 31
2014-04-12 AB Gladsaxe L 1-2 1416 1292 54.24% 26.76% 18.99% -7.3 45
2014-04-12 @ Hobro W 2-1 1292 1416 18.99% 26.76% 54.24% +7.3 24
2014-04-12 Bronshoj L 1-3 1276 1383 24.02% 29.45% 46.53% -6.8 8
2014-04-12 @ Marienlyst W 3-1 1383 1276 46.53% 29.45% 24.02% +6.8 33
2014-04-12 Horsens L 1-3 1442 1445 36.96% 31.00% 32.04% -9.5 39
2014-04-12 @ Silkeborg W 3-1 1445 1442 32.04% 31.00% 36.96% +9.5 42
2014-04-13 HB Koge W 1-0 1392 1398 36.60% 31.02% 32.38% +5.3 30
2014-04-13 @ Fredericia L 0-1 1398 1392 32.38% 31.02% 36.60% -5.3 35
2014-04-13 Hvidovre W 3-2 1418 1323 50.55% 28.20% 21.25% +3.3 38
2014-04-13 @ Lyngby L 2-3 1323 1418 21.25% 28.20% 50.55% -3.4 22
2014-04-13 Vendsyssel W 1-0 1436 1296 56.33% 25.84% 17.83% +3.1 34
2014-04-13 @ Vejle BK L 0-1 1296 1436 17.83% 25.84% 56.33% -3.1 25
2014-04-17 Fredericia W 2-1 1320 1397 27.17% 30.36% 42.47% +6.0 25
2014-04-17 @ Hvidovre L 1-2 1397 1320 42.47% 30.36% 27.17% -6.0 30
2014-04-17 Horsens W 2-1 1393 1455 28.97% 30.69% 40.34% +5.8 38
2014-04-17 @ HB Koge L 1-2 1455 1393 40.34% 30.69% 28.97% -5.8 42
2014-04-17 Lyngby L 0-3 1269 1421 20.05% 27.49% 52.45% -9.7 8
2014-04-17 @ Marienlyst W 3-0 1421 1269 52.45% 27.49% 20.05% +9.7 41
2014-04-17 Silkeborg L 1-5 1300 1432 21.64% 28.41% 49.95% -11.4 24
2014-04-17 @ AB Gladsaxe W 5-1 1432 1300 49.95% 28.41% 21.64% +11.4 42
2014-04-17 Vejle BK W 2-1 1390 1439 30.64% 30.89% 38.47% +5.6 36
2014-04-17 @ Bronshoj L 1-2 1439 1390 38.47% 30.89% 30.64% -5.6 34
2014-04-18 Hobro L 1-3 1293 1409 23.15% 29.11% 47.74% -6.6 25
2014-04-18 @ Vendsyssel W 3-1 1409 1293 47.74% 29.11% 23.15% +6.6 48
2014-04-20 AB Gladsaxe D 0-0 1449 1288 58.87% 24.62% 16.51% -1.5 43
2014-04-20 @ Horsens D 0-0 1288 1449 16.51% 24.62% 58.87% +1.5 25
2014-04-21 Bronshoj L 0-3 1431 1396 42.46% 30.36% 27.18% -17.6 41
2014-04-21 @ Lyngby W 3-0 1396 1431 27.18% 30.36% 42.46% +17.6 39
2014-04-21 HB Koge D 0-0 1415 1398 39.88% 30.75% 29.37% -0.3 49
2014-04-21 @ Hobro D 0-0 1398 1415 29.37% 30.75% 39.88% +0.3 39
2014-04-21 Hvidovre D 2-2 1434 1326 52.24% 27.58% 20.19% -0.8 35
2014-04-21 @ Vejle BK D 2-2 1326 1434 20.19% 27.58% 52.24% +0.8 26
2014-04-21 Marienlyst W 2-0 1444 1260 61.64% 23.20% 15.17% +4.9 45
2014-04-21 @ Silkeborg L 0-2 1260 1444 15.17% 23.20% 61.64% -4.9 8
2014-04-21 Vendsyssel D 0-0 1391 1286 51.83% 27.73% 20.44% -1.1 31
2014-04-21 @ Fredericia D 0-0 1286 1391 20.44% 27.73% 51.83% +1.1 26
2014-04-25 Lyngby L 0-3 1326 1413 26.09% 30.10% 43.80% -12.3 26
2014-04-25 @ Hvidovre W 3-0 1413 1326 43.80% 30.10% 26.09% +12.3 44
2014-04-26 Marienlyst W 2-0 1413 1255 58.59% 24.76% 16.65% +5.5 42
2014-04-26 @ Bronshoj L 0-2 1255 1413 16.65% 24.76% 58.59% -5.5 8
2014-04-27 Fredericia D 0-0 1399 1390 38.77% 30.87% 30.37% -0.3 40
2014-04-27 @ HB Koge D 0-0 1390 1399 30.37% 30.87% 38.77% +0.3 32
2014-04-27 Hobro W 3-0 1290 1415 22.30% 28.73% 48.97% +19.6 28
2014-04-27 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-3 1415 1290 48.97% 28.73% 22.30% -19.6 49
2014-04-27 Silkeborg L 2-3 1448 1449 37.35% 30.98% 31.67% -5.2 43
2014-04-27 @ Horsens W 3-2 1449 1448 31.67% 30.98% 37.35% +5.2 48
2014-04-27 Vejle BK W 1-0 1287 1433 20.55% 27.80% 51.65% +7.4 29
2014-04-27 @ Vendsyssel L 0-1 1433 1287 51.65% 27.80% 20.55% -7.4 35
2014-04-30 Hvidovre L 1-4 1249 1314 28.68% 30.64% 40.68% -11.2 8
2014-04-30 @ Marienlyst W 4-1 1314 1249 40.68% 30.64% 28.68% +11.2 29
2014-05-01 Horsens W 2-0 1395 1442 30.92% 30.92% 38.16% +11.2 52
2014-05-01 @ Hobro L 0-2 1442 1395 38.16% 30.92% 30.92% -11.2 43
2014-05-03 Silkeborg L 0-2 1419 1454 32.52% 31.03% 36.45% -10.0 42
2014-05-03 @ Bronshoj W 2-0 1454 1419 36.45% 31.03% 32.52% +10.0 51
2014-05-04 AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1390 1309 48.67% 28.83% 22.50% +4.0 35
2014-05-04 @ Fredericia L 0-1 1309 1390 22.50% 28.83% 48.67% -4.0 28
2014-05-04 HB Koge D 0-0 1425 1399 41.29% 30.55% 28.16% -0.4 36
2014-05-04 @ Vejle BK D 0-0 1399 1425 28.16% 30.55% 41.29% +0.4 41
2014-05-04 Vendsyssel W 4-1 1426 1295 55.18% 26.36% 18.46% +7.5 47
2014-05-04 @ Lyngby L 1-4 1295 1426 18.46% 26.36% 55.18% -7.5 29
2014-05-09 Bronshoj L 1-3 1325 1409 26.48% 30.20% 43.33% -7.4 29
2014-05-09 @ Hvidovre W 3-1 1409 1325 43.33% 30.20% 26.48% +7.4 45
2014-05-09 Hobro W 2-1 1464 1407 45.48% 29.72% 24.80% +4.1 54
2014-05-09 @ Silkeborg L 1-2 1407 1464 24.80% 29.72% 45.48% -4.0 52
2014-05-09 Lyngby L 1-2 1399 1433 32.61% 31.03% 36.36% -5.0 41
2014-05-09 @ HB Koge W 2-1 1433 1399 36.36% 31.03% 32.61% +5.0 50
2014-05-10 Fredericia D 1-1 1431 1394 42.71% 30.32% 26.97% -0.5 44
2014-05-10 @ Horsens D 1-1 1394 1431 26.97% 30.32% 42.71% +0.5 36
2014-05-11 Marienlyst W 3-1 1287 1238 44.36% 29.98% 25.66% +7.2 32
2014-05-11 @ Vendsyssel L 1-3 1238 1287 25.66% 29.98% 44.36% -7.2 8
2014-05-11 Vejle BK L 3-4 1305 1425 22.81% 28.97% 48.22% -3.5 28
2014-05-11 @ AB Gladsaxe W 4-3 1425 1305 48.22% 28.97% 22.81% +3.5 39
2014-05-16 HB Koge W 2-0 1231 1394 19.20% 26.91% 53.88% +14.5 11
2014-05-16 @ Marienlyst L 0-2 1394 1231 53.88% 26.91% 19.20% -14.5 41
2014-05-16 Hobro L 0-3 1395 1403 36.34% 31.03% 32.63% -15.7 36
2014-05-16 @ Fredericia W 3-0 1403 1395 32.63% 31.03% 36.34% +15.7 55
2014-05-16 Horsens D 1-1 1428 1431 37.18% 30.99% 31.83% -0.2 40
2014-05-16 @ Vejle BK D 1-1 1431 1428 31.83% 30.99% 37.18% +0.1 45
2014-05-16 Silkeborg D 3-3 1318 1468 20.20% 27.58% 52.22% +0.6 30
2014-05-16 @ Hvidovre D 3-3 1468 1318 52.22% 27.58% 20.20% -0.6 55
2014-05-17 Vendsyssel W 1-0 1416 1294 54.02% 26.86% 19.12% +3.4 48
2014-05-17 @ Bronshoj L 0-1 1294 1416 19.12% 26.86% 54.02% -3.4 32
2014-05-18 AB Gladsaxe W 2-0 1438 1302 55.85% 26.06% 18.09% +6.0 53
2014-05-18 @ Lyngby L 0-2 1302 1438 18.09% 26.06% 55.85% -6.0 28
2014-05-21 Bronshoj W 2-0 1379 1420 31.81% 30.99% 37.20% +11.0 44
2014-05-21 @ HB Koge L 0-2 1420 1379 37.20% 30.99% 31.81% -11.0 48
2014-05-21 Fredericia W 4-0 1467 1379 49.67% 28.50% 21.83% +13.8 58
2014-05-21 @ Silkeborg L 0-4 1379 1467 21.83% 28.50% 49.67% -13.8 36
2014-05-21 Hvidovre L 0-2 1291 1318 33.56% 31.06% 35.38% -10.2 32
2014-05-21 @ Vendsyssel W 2-0 1318 1291 35.38% 31.06% 33.56% +10.2 33
2014-05-21 Lyngby W 1-0 1431 1444 35.56% 31.06% 33.38% +5.4 48
2014-05-21 @ Horsens L 0-1 1444 1431 33.38% 31.06% 35.56% -5.4 53
2014-05-21 Marienlyst W 3-0 1296 1245 44.56% 29.94% 25.50% +12.1 31
2014-05-21 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-3 1245 1296 25.50% 29.94% 44.56% -12.1 11
2014-05-21 Vejle BK L 2-3 1418 1428 36.06% 31.04% 32.90% -5.1 55
2014-05-21 @ Hobro W 3-2 1428 1418 32.90% 31.04% 36.06% +5.1 43
2014-05-24 AB Gladsaxe D 2-2 1409 1308 51.29% 27.93% 20.78% -0.7 49
2014-05-24 @ Bronshoj D 2-2 1308 1409 20.78% 27.93% 51.29% +0.7 32
2014-05-24 Horsens W 1-0 1233 1436 16.52% 24.63% 58.85% +8.2 14
2014-05-24 @ Marienlyst L 0-1 1436 1233 58.85% 24.63% 16.52% -8.2 48
2014-05-25 Fredericia L 0-1 1433 1365 47.00% 29.32% 23.68% -6.9 43
2014-05-25 @ Vejle BK W 1-0 1365 1433 23.68% 29.32% 47.00% +6.9 39
2014-05-25 HB Koge W 1-0 1329 1390 29.02% 30.70% 40.28% +6.2 36
2014-05-25 @ Hvidovre L 0-1 1390 1329 40.28% 30.70% 29.02% -6.2 44
2014-05-25 Hobro D 1-1 1439 1413 41.12% 30.58% 28.30% -0.4 54
2014-05-25 @ Lyngby D 1-1 1413 1439 28.30% 30.58% 41.12% +0.4 56
2014-05-26 Silkeborg L 0-3 1281 1481 16.68% 24.79% 58.53% -8.0 32
2014-05-26 @ Vendsyssel W 3-0 1481 1281 58.53% 24.79% 16.68% +8.0 61
2014-05-29 Bronshoj D 1-1 1428 1408 40.34% 30.69% 28.97% -0.3 49
2014-05-29 @ Horsens D 1-1 1408 1428 28.97% 30.69% 40.34% +0.3 50
2014-05-29 Hvidovre W 4-0 1309 1335 33.74% 31.06% 35.20% +20.1 35
2014-05-29 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-4 1335 1309 35.20% 31.06% 33.74% -20.1 36
2014-05-29 Lyngby W 2-0 1372 1438 28.46% 30.61% 40.93% +11.8 42
2014-05-29 @ Fredericia L 0-2 1438 1372 40.93% 30.61% 28.46% -11.8 54
2014-05-29 Marienlyst W 3-0 1414 1242 60.22% 23.94% 15.84% +7.5 59
2014-05-29 @ Hobro L 0-3 1242 1414 15.84% 23.94% 60.22% -7.5 14
2014-05-29 Vejle BK D 2-2 1489 1426 46.20% 29.54% 24.26% -0.5 62
2014-05-29 @ Silkeborg D 2-2 1426 1489 24.26% 29.54% 46.20% +0.5 44
2014-05-29 Vendsyssel W 1-0 1384 1273 52.69% 27.40% 19.91% +3.5 47
2014-05-29 @ HB Koge L 0-1 1273 1384 19.91% 27.40% 52.69% -3.5 32
2014-06-01 AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1269 1329 29.32% 30.74% 39.94% +5.8 35
2014-06-01 @ Vendsyssel L 1-2 1329 1269 39.94% 30.74% 29.32% -5.8 35
2014-06-01 Fredericia D 1-1 1234 1384 20.22% 27.60% 52.18% +1.0 15
2014-06-01 @ Marienlyst D 1-1 1384 1234 52.18% 27.60% 20.22% -1.0 43
2014-06-01 Hobro L 0-1 1408 1421 35.65% 31.05% 33.29% -5.7 50
2014-06-01 @ Bronshoj W 1-0 1421 1408 33.29% 31.05% 35.65% +5.7 62
2014-06-01 Horsens L 2-5 1315 1428 23.44% 29.23% 47.32% -8.2 36
2014-06-01 @ Hvidovre W 5-2 1428 1315 47.32% 29.23% 23.44% +8.2 52
2014-06-01 Silkeborg D 1-1 1388 1488 24.67% 29.68% 45.65% +0.6 48
2014-06-01 @ HB Koge D 1-1 1488 1388 45.65% 29.68% 24.67% -0.6 63
2014-06-01 Vejle BK W 3-1 1427 1427 37.45% 30.97% 31.58% +8.5 57
2014-06-01 @ Lyngby L 1-3 1427 1427 31.58% 30.97% 37.45% -8.5 44
2014-06-07 Marienlyst W 3-2 1418 1235 61.58% 23.22% 15.19% +2.3 47
2014-06-07 @ Vejle BK L 2-3 1235 1418 15.19% 23.22% 61.58% -2.3 15
2014-06-09 Bronshoj L 2-3 1383 1403 34.65% 31.07% 34.28% -5.0 43
2014-06-09 @ Fredericia W 3-2 1403 1383 34.28% 31.07% 34.65% +5.0 53
2014-06-09 HB Koge D 3-3 1323 1388 28.57% 30.63% 40.80% +0.2 36
2014-06-09 @ AB Gladsaxe D 3-3 1388 1323 40.80% 30.63% 28.57% -0.2 49
2014-06-09 Hvidovre W 2-0 1427 1307 53.80% 26.95% 19.25% +6.4 65
2014-06-09 @ Hobro L 0-2 1307 1427 19.25% 26.95% 53.80% -6.4 36
2014-06-09 Lyngby W 3-1 1488 1435 44.86% 29.87% 25.27% +7.1 66
2014-06-09 @ Silkeborg L 1-3 1435 1488 25.27% 29.87% 44.86% -7.2 57
2014-06-09 Vendsyssel L 1-2 1436 1275 58.87% 24.62% 16.51% -7.7 52
2014-06-09 @ Horsens W 2-1 1275 1436 16.51% 24.62% 58.87% +7.7 38

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2014-03-30 16.11% AB Gladsaxe 1277 1 @ Vejle BK 1444 0
2 2014-06-09 16.51% Vendsyssel 1275 2 @ Horsens 1436 1
3 2014-05-24 16.52% @ Marienlyst 1233 1 Horsens 1436 0
4 2013-11-03 17.91% Hvidovre 1313 2 @ Horsens 1452 0
5 2014-04-12 18.99% AB Gladsaxe 1292 2 @ Hobro 1416 1
6 2014-05-16 19.20% @ Marienlyst 1231 2 HB Koge 1394 0
7 2014-04-27 20.55% @ Vendsyssel 1287 1 Vejle BK 1433 0
8 2013-10-17 21.68% HB Koge 1364 3 @ Horsens 1454 1
9 2014-04-27 22.30% @ AB Gladsaxe 1290 3 Hobro 1415 0
10 2014-04-06 23.29% Bronshoj 1376 1 @ Silkeborg 1449 0
11 2014-04-06 23.40% @ AB Gladsaxe 1285 1 Fredericia 1399 0
12 2013-08-25 23.57% Hobro 1390 5 @ Horsens 1459 2
13 2014-05-25 23.68% Fredericia 1365 1 @ Vejle BK 1433 0
14 2013-09-12 25.27% Vejle BK 1397 3 @ Horsens 1450 2
15 2013-10-06 25.64% Vendsyssel 1345 2 @ Silkeborg 1394 1
16 2013-09-29 25.96% HB Koge 1369 2 @ Silkeborg 1415 1
17 2013-09-29 26.01% Bronshoj 1352 1 @ Vejle BK 1398 0
18 2013-07-28 26.60% Vendsyssel 1356 3 @ Vejle BK 1396 1
19 2013-09-01 26.62% @ HB Koge 1363 1 Horsens 1445 0
20 2013-09-07 26.64% Bronshoj 1335 2 @ Marienlyst 1376 1
21 2013-11-07 27.11% Silkeborg 1406 2 @ Vejle BK 1442 1
22 2014-04-17 27.17% @ Hvidovre 1320 2 Fredericia 1397 1
23 2014-04-21 27.18% Bronshoj 1396 3 @ Lyngby 1431 0
24 2013-08-25 27.33% Bronshoj 1334 3 @ Lyngby 1368 1
25 2014-03-30 27.81% @ Fredericia 1381 3 Horsens 1453 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2013-08-04 27.84 @ Hobro 5 1352 27.96% Silkeborg 0 1422 41.53% 30.52%
2 2014-05-29 20.07 @ AB Gladsaxe 4 1309 33.74% Hvidovre 0 1335 35.20% 31.06%
3 2014-04-27 19.56 @ AB Gladsaxe 3 1290 22.30% Hobro 0 1415 48.97% 28.73%
4 2013-10-13 19.45 Fredericia 4 1378 35.31% @ Vendsyssel 0 1351 33.62% 31.06%
5 2013-10-20 18.68 @ Silkeborg 5 1387 46.12% AB Gladsaxe 0 1326 24.32% 29.56%
6 2013-09-15 17.95 @ Lyngby 4 1381 39.09% Marienlyst 0 1369 30.07% 30.83%
7 2014-04-21 17.58 Bronshoj 3 1396 27.18% @ Lyngby 0 1431 42.46% 30.36%
8 2014-03-30 17.35 @ Fredericia 3 1381 27.81% Horsens 0 1453 41.70% 30.49%
9 2013-08-18 16.99 @ Hvidovre 4 1360 41.51% AB Gladsaxe 0 1332 27.97% 30.52%
10 2013-10-11 16.66 Vejle BK 4 1414 42.34% @ Hvidovre 0 1338 27.28% 30.38%
11 2013-07-28 16.18 @ Fredericia 3 1365 31.17% Marienlyst 0 1410 37.89% 30.94%
12 2013-10-03 16.14 @ Fredericia 3 1362 31.30% Hobro 0 1406 37.74% 30.95%
13 2014-05-16 15.71 Hobro 3 1403 32.63% @ Fredericia 0 1395 36.34% 31.03%
14 2013-10-02 14.98 @ Vejle BK 3 1391 35.02% Silkeborg 0 1409 33.91% 31.07%
15 2013-09-14 14.96 @ Bronshoj 3 1342 35.08% Vendsyssel 0 1358 33.85% 31.07%
16 2013-11-03 14.92 Hvidovre 2 1313 17.91% @ Horsens 0 1452 56.18% 25.91%
17 2013-11-14 14.79 @ Hobro 3 1407 35.63% Lyngby 0 1420 33.32% 31.06%
18 2014-05-16 14.47 @ Marienlyst 2 1231 19.20% HB Koge 0 1394 53.88% 26.91%
19 2014-03-22 14.29 Bronshoj 3 1358 37.30% @ Vendsyssel 0 1317 31.72% 30.98%
20 2013-08-25 13.88 Hobro 5 1390 23.57% @ Horsens 2 1459 47.14% 29.28%
21 2014-05-21 13.75 @ Silkeborg 4 1467 49.67% Fredericia 0 1379 21.83% 28.50%
22 2013-09-08 12.38 Lyngby 5 1368 28.92% @ Fredericia 2 1389 40.40% 30.68%
23 2014-04-25 12.30 Lyngby 3 1413 43.80% @ Hvidovre 0 1326 26.09% 30.10%
24 2013-11-17 12.19 @ HB Koge 3 1375 44.19% Hvidovre 0 1327 25.79% 30.02%
25 2014-05-21 12.07 @ AB Gladsaxe 3 1296 44.56% Marienlyst 0 1245 25.50% 29.94%