Home / Leagues / Denmark / 1st Division / 2012-13

2012-13 1st Division Season

198 games

Final

Promoted

Viborg

62 pts

FC Festsjaelland · 62 pts

Relegated

Skive

37 pts

FC Fyn · withdrew

Biggest Overachiever

Vestsjaelland

12.61 points above expected

62 points · 49.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

FC Fyn

10.07 points below expected

11 points · 21.07 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Viborg Promoted 33 17 11 5 62 57 30 +27 53.77 +8.23
2 Vestsjaelland 33 17 11 5 62 36 27 +9 49.39 +12.61
3 Vejle Boldklub Kolding 33 16 10 7 58 43 29 +14 56.77 +1.23
4 Lyngby 33 17 5 11 56 52 42 +10 51.77 +4.23
5 Fredericia 33 11 11 11 44 50 48 +2 47.04 -3.04
6 HB Koge 33 12 8 13 44 36 45 -9 43.71 +0.29
7 FC Hjorring 33 10 10 13 40 35 41 -6 40.19 -0.19
8 Bronshoj* 33 12 9 12 39 35 36 -1 44.55 -5.55
9 Hobro 33 9 11 13 38 31 43 -12 44.40 -6.40
10 AB Gladsaxe 33 8 13 12 37 27 34 -7 40.14 -3.14
11 Skive Relegated 33 10 7 16 37 44 55 -11 42.75 -5.75
12 FC Fyn* Withdrew 33 2 8 23 11 26 42 -16 21.07 -10.07

* Point deductions: Bronshoj (-6 pts), FC Fyn (-3 pts)

Notes

  • FC Fyn went bankrupt in the middle of the season, causing their 14 remaining matches to be forfeit losses. Their license was subsequently used by B 1913 in the Funen Series.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Viborg 1502 62 53.77 +8.23 88.4% 27 42 49 54 59 66 85
Vejle Boldklub Kolding 1480 58 56.77 +1.23 59.0% 23 45 52 57 62 69 84
Vestsjaelland 1455 62 49.39 +12.61 96.5% 22 37 44 49 54 61 78
Lyngby 1450 56 51.77 +4.23 74.0% 26 40 47 52 57 64 78
Fredericia 1403 44 47.04 -3.04 37.1% 20 35 42 47 52 59 71
Bronshoj 1401 39 44.55 -5.55 24.0% 19 33 40 44 49 56 74
FC Hjorring 1381 40 40.19 -0.19 52.5% 16 29 35 40 45 52 73
HB Koge 1381 44 43.71 +0.29 54.5% 15 32 39 44 49 56 75
Skive 1366 37 42.75 -5.75 23.6% 20 31 38 43 48 55 69
Hobro 1357 38 44.40 -6.40 20.4% 21 33 40 44 49 56 72
AB Gladsaxe 1351 37 40.14 -3.14 35.5% 17 29 35 40 45 52 68
FC Fyn 1330 11 21.07 -10.07 4.2% 3 12 17 21 25 30 42

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AG BRO FF FH FRE HK HOB LYN SKI VBK VES VIB
AB Gladsaxe
0-3-0
3.07
2-0-1
4.21
0-3-0
3.85
2-0-1
3.37
0-1-2
3.55
0-2-1
3.58
1-1-1
3.11
0-1-2
3.93
2-0-1
2.38
0-1-2
2.89
1-1-1
2.99
Bronshoj
0-3-0
5.14
2-1-0
4.75
1-1-1
4.85
1-1-1
4.01
0-0-3
4.54
1-0-2
4.51
1-1-1
3.90
3-0-0
4.74
1-1-1
3.47
1-0-2
4.14
1-1-1
4.05
FC Fyn
1-0-2
3.96
0-1-2
3.46
1-0-2
4.26
0-1-2
3.54
0-1-2
3.92
0-1-2
3.97
0-1-2
3.18
0-1-2
3.92
0-1-2
2.99
0-1-2
3.28
0-0-3
2.83
FC Hjorring
0-3-0
4.33
1-1-1
3.35
2-0-1
3.92
0-0-3
3.39
3-0-0
3.89
2-1-0
3.88
1-0-2
3.10
0-1-2
3.87
1-0-2
2.85
0-2-1
3.20
0-2-1
2.76
Fredericia
1-0-2
4.82
1-1-1
4.16
2-1-0
4.65
3-0-0
4.81
1-1-1
4.44
1-1-1
4.67
1-0-2
3.53
1-1-1
4.27
0-2-1
3.05
0-1-2
3.85
0-3-0
3.66
HB Koge
2-1-0
4.64
3-0-0
3.64
2-1-0
4.25
0-0-3
4.28
1-1-1
3.75
0-2-1
4.17
0-0-3
3.57
1-1-1
3.90
1-1-1
3.27
1-0-2
3.71
1-1-1
2.92
Hobro
1-2-0
4.61
2-0-1
3.67
2-1-0
4.20
0-1-2
4.31
1-1-1
3.52
1-2-0
4.01
1-1-1
3.26
0-1-2
4.01
0-0-3
3.19
0-2-1
3.68
1-0-2
2.91
Lyngby
1-1-1
5.10
1-1-1
4.29
2-1-0
5.01
2-0-1
5.10
2-0-1
4.65
3-0-0
4.61
1-1-1
4.94
3-0-0
5.00
1-1-1
3.53
0-0-3
4.11
1-0-2
4.11
Skive
2-1-0
4.24
0-0-3
3.46
2-1-0
4.25
2-1-0
4.30
1-1-1
3.90
1-1-1
4.27
2-1-0
4.16
0-0-3
3.20
0-0-3
2.88
0-1-2
3.38
0-0-3
3.00
Vejle Boldklub Kolding
1-0-2
5.92
1-1-1
4.71
2-1-0
5.25
2-0-1
5.39
1-2-0
5.16
1-1-1
4.94
3-0-0
5.01
1-1-1
4.65
3-0-0
5.36
1-2-0
4.92
0-2-1
4.58
Vestsjaelland
2-1-0
5.34
2-0-1
4.03
2-1-0
4.93
1-2-0
5.00
2-1-0
4.32
2-0-1
4.47
1-2-0
4.52
3-0-0
4.06
2-1-0
4.81
0-2-1
3.27
0-1-2
3.59
Viborg
1-1-1
5.23
1-1-1
4.13
3-0-0
5.42
1-2-0
5.49
0-3-0
4.52
1-1-1
5.30
2-0-1
5.31
2-0-1
4.08
3-0-0
5.23
1-2-0
3.61
2-1-0
4.59

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.45 +9.7
Allowed 0.26 -8.8
Differential 0.73 +9.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.60%8.59%6.06%1.26%0.51%0.76%26.77%
18.59%11.11%7.83%3.03%0.76%0.76%32.07%
26.06%7.83%6.57%1.26%0.25%0.25%22.22%
31.26%3.03%1.26%1.01%0.51%0.25%7.32%
40.51%0.76%0.25%0.51%0.51%2.53%
5+0.76%0.76%0.25%0.25%7.07%9.09%
Total26.77%32.07%22.22%7.32%2.53%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.12 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 1.56
CV 1.15 1.15
Max 7 7 +6
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 198

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%18.18%3.03%3.03%39.39%
13.03%21.21%9.09%3.03%36.36%
23.03%6.06%3.03%12.12%
33.03%3.03%
43.03%3.03%
5+6.06%6.06%
Total21.21%48.48%18.18%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 0.97 -0.21
SD 1.06 0.95 1.11
CV 1.40 0.98
Max 4 3 +2
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%15.15%6.06%3.03%33.33%
16.06%9.09%9.09%3.03%27.27%
29.09%3.03%9.09%21.21%
33.03%3.03%6.06%12.12%
4
5+6.06%6.06%
Total27.27%30.30%30.30%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.03 -0.03
SD 1.15 1.05 1.36
CV 1.15 1.01
Max 3 3 +3
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%3.03%6.06%3.03%18.18%
13.03%6.06%3.03%12.12%
26.06%6.06%3.03%3.03%18.18%
36.06%6.06%
43.03%3.03%
5+42.42%42.42%
Total6.06%12.12%18.18%12.12%3.03%48.48%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.36 0.85 -0.48
SD 1.50 1.94 1.18
CV 4.11 2.28
Max 4 5 +1
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.15%6.06%9.09%3.03%33.33%
16.06%12.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%3.03%39.39%
26.06%6.06%3.03%15.15%
33.03%3.03%
43.03%3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%6.06%
Total33.33%27.27%21.21%9.09%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.03 1.21 -0.18
SD 1.24 1.34 1.89
CV 1.20 1.11
Max 5 5 +5
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%3.03%21.21%
16.06%12.12%9.09%6.06%33.33%
29.09%12.12%21.21%
36.06%3.03%3.03%3.03%15.15%
4
5+3.03%3.03%3.03%9.09%
Total12.12%42.42%27.27%12.12%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.48 1.42 +0.06
SD 1.39 1.06 1.30
CV 0.94 0.75
Max 5 4 +4
Min -1 -1 -2

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%12.12%6.06%3.03%6.06%33.33%
16.06%6.06%12.12%24.24%
29.09%12.12%12.12%33.33%
33.03%3.03%6.06%
4
5+3.03%3.03%
Total24.24%33.33%30.30%3.03%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.33 -0.27
SD 1.03 1.36 1.86
CV 0.97 1.02
Max 3 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -5

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%9.09%6.06%3.03%30.30%
115.15%15.15%9.09%6.06%45.45%
23.03%3.03%3.03%9.09%
33.03%3.03%6.06%
43.03%3.03%
5+6.06%6.06%
Total30.30%27.27%18.18%9.09%6.06%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.24 -0.36
SD 1.08 1.46 1.14
CV 1.23 1.17
Max 4 5 +2
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%6.06%15.15%24.24%
112.12%6.06%3.03%3.03%24.24%
23.03%15.15%3.03%3.03%3.03%27.27%
36.06%3.03%3.03%12.12%
43.03%3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%3.03%9.09%
Total24.24%36.36%24.24%6.06%6.06%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 1.24 +0.30
SD 1.46 1.17 1.88
CV 0.94 0.94
Max 5 4 +5
Min -1 -1 -3

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%12.12%12.12%3.03%30.30%
13.03%9.09%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%30.30%
23.03%3.03%9.09%3.03%18.18%
36.06%3.03%9.09%
46.06%6.06%
5+3.03%3.03%6.06%
Total15.15%27.27%33.33%15.15%3.03%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.64 -0.33
SD 1.40 1.27 1.74
CV 1.08 0.78
Max 5 5 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.06%6.06%6.06%3.03%21.21%
19.09%18.18%3.03%3.03%33.33%
224.24%3.03%6.06%33.33%
36.06%6.06%
43.03%3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%
Total39.39%36.36%15.15%3.03%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 0.85 +0.42
SD 1.07 1.03 1.56
CV 0.84 1.22
Max 4 4 +3
Min -1 -1 -4

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
021.21%3.03%24.24%
127.27%9.09%3.03%3.03%3.03%45.45%
23.03%12.12%3.03%3.03%21.21%
33.03%3.03%
43.03%3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%
Total51.52%30.30%6.06%6.06%6.06%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 0.79 +0.27
SD 1.00 1.43 1.48
CV 0.94 1.82
Max 4 7 +3
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 33

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.12%12.12%
19.09%12.12%12.12%33.33%
29.09%15.15%9.09%3.03%36.36%
33.03%3.03%6.06%
43.03%3.03%
5+3.03%3.03%3.03%9.09%
Total36.36%33.33%24.24%3.03%3.03%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.88 +0.82
SD 1.51 0.93 1.61
CV 0.89 1.06
Max 7 3 +6
Min -1 -1 -1

Games Played: 33

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Vestsjaelland 62 49.39 +12.61
2 Viborg 62 53.77 +8.23
3 Lyngby 56 51.77 +4.23
4 Vejle Boldklub Kolding 58 56.77 +1.23
5 HB Koge 44 43.71 +0.29

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 FC Fyn 11 21.07 -10.07
2 Hobro 38 44.40 -6.40
3 Skive 37 42.75 -5.75
4 Bronshoj 39 44.55 -5.55
5 AB Gladsaxe 37 40.14 -3.14

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vestsjaelland 4 Nov 24 – Apr 7 1 in 37
2 FC Hjorring 3 Apr 7 – Apr 17 1 in 37
3 HB Koge 3 Sep 23 – Oct 7 1 in 32
4 Vejle Boldklub Kolding 5 Nov 25 – Apr 7 1 in 26
5 Viborg 4 Apr 1 – Apr 12 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Fyn 21 Oct 14 – May 20 1 in 40,558,643
2 Bronshoj 4 Apr 7 – Apr 24 1 in 67
3 FC Hjorring 5 Aug 19 – Sep 16 1 in 58
4 Fredericia 4 Nov 18 – Apr 1 1 in 57
5 Skive 4 Sep 21 – Oct 14 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Viborg 19 Oct 12 – May 12 1 in 549
2 Vestsjaelland 10 Nov 11 – Apr 21 1 in 46
3 Hobro 7 Aug 8 – Sep 14 1 in 36
4 Fredericia 8 Jul 29 – Sep 9 1 in 33
5 HB Koge 6 Oct 21 – Nov 23 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Fyn 24 Sep 23 – May 20 1 in 5,082
2 Hobro 10 Sep 22 – Nov 24 1 in 71
3 HB Koge 9 Jul 29 – Sep 16 1 in 46
4 Vejle Boldklub Kolding 5 Aug 8 – Sep 2 1 in 26
5 AB Gladsaxe 9 Sep 23 – Nov 18 1 in 20

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Viborg23.97%20.94%15.69%12.04%8.56%6.56%4.75%3.17%2.21%1.42%0.66%0.03%
Vestsjaelland8.53%13.05%14.60%13.29%11.60%10.37%8.97%7.27%5.61%4.40%2.18%0.13%
Vejle Boldklub Kolding38.19%21.95%13.74%9.59%6.03%4.26%2.81%1.68%0.95%0.59%0.21%
Lyngby14.79%17.32%15.93%13.83%11.26%8.25%6.89%4.90%3.40%2.10%1.30%0.03%
Fredericia5.09%8.14%10.36%11.98%12.14%11.17%11.16%9.75%8.60%6.97%4.52%0.12%
HB Koge1.81%3.79%6.06%7.84%9.30%11.14%11.81%11.69%12.09%12.71%11.13%0.63%
FC Hjorring0.72%1.55%2.47%4.30%5.88%7.65%9.94%11.96%14.39%17.61%22.20%1.33%
Bronshoj2.60%4.35%7.58%9.02%10.44%12.08%11.78%11.14%11.77%10.04%8.88%0.32%
Hobro2.19%4.35%6.35%7.97%10.07%11.31%11.62%12.83%12.11%11.21%9.61%0.38%
AB Gladsaxe0.63%1.45%2.65%3.79%5.85%7.47%9.63%12.65%15.10%17.98%21.72%1.08%
Skive1.48%3.11%4.57%6.35%8.87%9.72%10.64%12.94%13.63%14.29%13.74%0.66%
FC Fyn0.02%0.02%0.14%0.68%3.85%95.29%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.66%
Clear Edge
43.43%28.79%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 54.85 Elo pts.
206 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.33 goals
Neutral
-2+0.27+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.2
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
Viborg, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.65 * Some Luck: 5.65 to 8.47 * Lucky: 8.47 to 11.3 * Wild Swing: 11.3 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.63 * Close: 1.63 to 2.45 * Off: 2.45 to 3.27 * Way Off: 3.27 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.77 * A Surprise: 0.77 to 1.24 * Several Surprises: 1.24 to 1.7 * Many Surprises: 1.7 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.24 points
Some Luck
07.0618
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
02.045
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
96.51%
Vestsjaelland
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.19%
FC Fyn
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 2
A Surprise
00.82

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.66
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
62%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
73%
Clear Edge
50%75%100%
Close Games
Expected
72%
Very Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
9%
Occasional
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.22
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.87
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.69
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
24%
Chalky
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
17%
As Expected
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.27
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.54
Very Underconfident
0.3013631.001.69864
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.100
Well Within Noise
00.1190.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level Direct relegation
Vejle Boldklub Kolding 60.14% 39.65% 0.21%
Viborg 44.91% 54.40% 0.69%
Lyngby 32.11% 66.56% 1.33%
Vestsjaelland 21.58% 76.11% 2.31%
Fredericia 13.23% 82.13% 4.64%
Bronshoj 6.95% 83.85% 9.20%
Hobro 6.54% 83.47% 9.99%
HB Koge 5.60% 82.64% 11.76%
Skive 4.59% 81.01% 14.40%
AB Gladsaxe 2.08% 75.12% 22.80%
FC Hjorring 2.27% 74.20% 23.53%
FC Fyn 0.86% 99.14%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2012-07-28 AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1393 1361 45.85% 26.95% 27.21% +4.3 3
2012-07-28 @ Hobro L 0-1 1361 1393 27.21% 26.95% 45.85% -4.3 0
2012-07-28 Viborg D 2-2 1417 1416 41.50% 27.58% 30.92% -0.2 1
2012-07-28 @ Bronshoj D 2-2 1416 1417 30.92% 27.58% 41.50% +0.2 1
2012-07-29 FC Fyn W 3-2 1423 1395 45.24% 27.06% 27.70% +3.9 3
2012-07-29 @ Lyngby L 2-3 1395 1423 27.70% 27.06% 45.24% -3.9 0
2012-07-29 Fredericia D 1-1 1393 1406 39.53% 27.75% 32.73% -0.2 1
2012-07-29 @ Skive D 1-1 1406 1393 32.73% 27.75% 39.53% +0.2 1
2012-07-29 Vejle Boldklub Kolding D 1-1 1404 1466 32.64% 27.74% 39.62% +0.2 1
2012-07-29 @ HB Koge D 1-1 1466 1404 39.62% 27.74% 32.64% -0.2 1
2012-07-29 FC Hjorring W 1-0 1409 1375 46.19% 26.88% 26.93% +4.2 3
2012-07-29 @ Vestsjaelland L 0-1 1375 1409 26.93% 26.88% 46.19% -4.2 0
2012-08-03 Bronshoj W 1-0 1406 1416 39.95% 27.72% 32.33% +4.9 4
2012-08-03 @ Fredericia L 0-1 1416 1406 32.33% 27.72% 39.95% -4.9 1
2012-08-03 Hobro W 2-0 1370 1398 37.52% 27.84% 34.64% +9.7 3
2012-08-03 @ FC Hjorring L 0-2 1398 1370 34.64% 27.84% 37.52% -9.7 3
2012-08-03 Vestsjaelland W 7-1 1416 1413 41.73% 27.56% 30.71% +20.3 4
2012-08-03 @ Viborg L 1-7 1413 1416 30.71% 27.56% 41.73% -20.3 3
2012-08-05 HB Koge D 2-2 1391 1404 39.58% 27.74% 32.67% -0.2 1
2012-08-05 @ FC Fyn D 2-2 1404 1391 32.67% 27.74% 39.58% +0.1 2
2012-08-05 Lyngby L 0-1 1357 1427 31.60% 27.65% 40.75% -4.8 0
2012-08-05 @ AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1427 1357 40.75% 27.65% 31.60% +4.8 6
2012-08-05 Skive W 4-1 1466 1393 51.30% 25.64% 23.06% +8.5 4
2012-08-05 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 1-4 1393 1466 23.06% 25.64% 51.30% -8.5 1
2012-08-08 AB Gladsaxe D 2-2 1404 1352 48.56% 26.37% 25.07% -0.5 3
2012-08-08 @ HB Koge D 2-2 1352 1404 25.07% 26.37% 48.56% +0.5 1
2012-08-08 FC Fyn D 1-1 1384 1391 40.40% 27.68% 31.92% -0.2 2
2012-08-08 @ Skive D 1-1 1391 1384 31.92% 27.68% 40.40% +0.2 2
2012-08-08 Vestsjaelland D 1-1 1388 1393 40.62% 27.66% 31.72% -0.2 4
2012-08-08 @ Hobro D 1-1 1393 1388 31.72% 27.66% 40.62% +0.2 4
2012-08-08 Vejle Boldklub Kolding D 0-0 1412 1474 32.55% 27.73% 39.72% +0.2 2
2012-08-08 @ Bronshoj D 0-0 1474 1412 39.72% 27.73% 32.55% -0.2 5
2012-08-08 FC Hjorring W 3-1 1432 1380 48.48% 26.39% 25.14% +6.5 9
2012-08-08 @ Lyngby L 1-3 1380 1432 25.14% 26.39% 48.48% -6.5 3
2012-08-08 Viborg D 1-1 1411 1436 37.81% 27.83% 34.36% -0.1 5
2012-08-08 @ Fredericia D 1-1 1436 1411 34.36% 27.83% 37.81% +0.1 5
2012-08-11 Lyngby W 4-1 1393 1438 35.00% 27.85% 37.15% +12.5 7
2012-08-11 @ Vestsjaelland L 1-4 1438 1393 37.15% 27.85% 35.00% -12.5 9
2012-08-12 Bronshoj D 0-0 1392 1412 38.51% 27.80% 33.69% -0.1 3
2012-08-12 @ FC Fyn D 0-0 1412 1392 33.69% 27.80% 38.51% +0.2 3
2012-08-12 Fredericia D 0-0 1474 1411 49.99% 26.01% 24.01% -0.9 6
2012-08-12 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding D 0-0 1411 1474 24.01% 26.01% 49.99% +0.9 6
2012-08-12 HB Koge W 1-0 1374 1404 37.09% 27.85% 35.06% +5.2 6
2012-08-12 @ FC Hjorring L 0-1 1404 1374 35.06% 27.85% 37.09% -5.2 3
2012-08-12 Hobro L 1-2 1436 1388 48.11% 26.47% 25.42% -6.2 5
2012-08-12 @ Viborg W 2-1 1388 1436 25.42% 26.47% 48.11% +6.2 7
2012-08-12 Skive L 0-1 1353 1384 36.88% 27.85% 35.27% -5.4 1
2012-08-12 @ AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1384 1353 35.27% 27.85% 36.88% +5.4 5
2012-08-18 AB Gladsaxe D 1-1 1412 1347 50.22% 25.94% 23.84% -0.8 4
2012-08-18 @ Bronshoj D 1-1 1347 1412 23.84% 25.94% 50.22% +0.8 2
2012-08-19 FC Fyn D 3-3 1412 1391 44.25% 27.22% 28.52% -0.3 7
2012-08-19 @ Fredericia D 3-3 1391 1412 28.52% 27.22% 44.25% +0.3 4
2012-08-19 Hobro D 0-0 1426 1394 45.81% 26.96% 27.24% -0.6 10
2012-08-19 @ Lyngby D 0-0 1394 1426 27.24% 26.96% 45.81% +0.6 8
2012-08-19 Vestsjaelland L 0-1 1399 1406 40.33% 27.69% 31.98% -5.8 3
2012-08-19 @ HB Koge W 1-0 1406 1399 31.98% 27.69% 40.33% +5.8 10
2012-08-19 FC Hjorring W 2-0 1390 1379 42.88% 27.42% 29.70% +8.6 8
2012-08-19 @ Skive L 0-2 1379 1390 29.70% 27.42% 42.88% -8.6 6
2012-08-19 Viborg D 2-2 1473 1430 47.32% 26.65% 26.03% -0.5 7
2012-08-19 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding D 2-2 1430 1473 26.03% 26.65% 47.32% +0.5 6
2012-08-25 HB Koge D 0-0 1394 1393 41.60% 27.57% 30.83% -0.3 9
2012-08-25 @ Hobro D 0-0 1393 1394 30.83% 27.57% 41.60% +0.3 4
2012-08-26 Bronshoj L 0-3 1370 1411 35.54% 27.86% 36.60% -14.4 6
2012-08-26 @ FC Hjorring W 3-0 1411 1370 36.60% 27.86% 35.54% +14.4 7
2012-08-26 Fredericia L 1-3 1348 1412 32.42% 27.72% 39.86% -8.0 2
2012-08-26 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-1 1412 1348 39.86% 27.72% 32.42% +8.0 10
2012-08-26 Skive W 2-1 1412 1398 43.27% 27.37% 29.36% +4.3 13
2012-08-26 @ Vestsjaelland L 1-2 1398 1412 29.36% 27.37% 43.27% -4.3 8
2012-08-26 Viborg W 2-1 1425 1431 40.59% 27.67% 31.75% +4.5 13
2012-08-26 @ Lyngby L 1-2 1431 1425 31.75% 27.67% 40.59% -4.5 6
2012-08-27 Vejle Boldklub Kolding D 2-2 1392 1473 30.20% 27.49% 42.31% +0.3 5
2012-08-27 @ FC Fyn D 2-2 1473 1392 42.31% 27.49% 30.20% -0.3 8
2012-09-01 Vestsjaelland W 3-1 1425 1416 42.71% 27.44% 29.85% +7.5 10
2012-09-01 @ Bronshoj L 1-3 1416 1425 29.85% 27.44% 42.71% -7.5 13
2012-09-02 AB Gladsaxe L 0-2 1472 1340 58.80% 22.95% 18.25% -14.5 8
2012-09-02 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding W 2-0 1340 1472 18.25% 22.95% 58.80% +14.5 5
2012-09-02 FC Fyn W 2-1 1426 1392 46.13% 26.90% 26.98% +4.0 9
2012-09-02 @ Viborg L 1-2 1392 1426 26.98% 26.90% 46.13% -4.0 5
2012-09-02 Hobro D 1-1 1394 1394 41.35% 27.60% 31.05% -0.3 9
2012-09-02 @ Skive D 1-1 1394 1394 31.05% 27.60% 41.35% +0.3 10
2012-09-02 FC Hjorring W 2-1 1420 1356 50.11% 25.97% 23.92% +3.6 13
2012-09-02 @ Fredericia L 1-2 1356 1420 23.92% 25.97% 50.11% -3.6 6
2012-09-03 Lyngby L 0-5 1393 1430 36.17% 27.86% 35.97% -23.4 4
2012-09-03 @ HB Koge W 5-0 1430 1393 35.97% 27.86% 36.17% +23.4 16
2012-09-07 Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 0-2 1352 1458 27.30% 26.97% 45.72% -8.0 6
2012-09-07 @ FC Hjorring W 2-0 1458 1352 45.72% 26.97% 27.30% +8.1 11
2012-09-08 Bronshoj W 1-0 1394 1433 35.87% 27.86% 36.28% +5.3 13
2012-09-08 @ Hobro L 0-1 1433 1394 36.28% 27.86% 35.87% -5.3 10
2012-09-09 FC Fyn L 1-2 1355 1388 36.61% 27.86% 35.53% -5.0 5
2012-09-09 @ AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1388 1355 35.53% 27.86% 36.61% +5.0 8
2012-09-09 Fredericia D 0-0 1408 1423 39.28% 27.76% 32.96% -0.2 14
2012-09-09 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-0 1423 1408 32.96% 27.76% 39.28% +0.2 14
2012-09-09 HB Koge W 5-0 1430 1370 49.65% 26.09% 24.25% +17.0 12
2012-09-09 @ Viborg L 0-5 1370 1430 24.25% 26.09% 49.65% -17.0 4
2012-09-09 Skive W 5-1 1453 1394 49.53% 26.13% 24.35% +11.5 19
2012-09-09 @ Lyngby L 1-5 1394 1453 24.35% 26.13% 49.53% -11.5 9
2012-09-14 Hobro L 0-1 1423 1400 44.70% 27.15% 28.15% -6.2 14
2012-09-14 @ Fredericia W 1-0 1400 1423 28.15% 27.15% 44.70% +6.2 16
2012-09-15 Lyngby W 3-2 1428 1464 36.12% 27.86% 36.03% +4.7 13
2012-09-15 @ Bronshoj L 2-3 1464 1428 36.03% 27.86% 36.12% -4.7 19
2012-09-16 HB Koge W 2-1 1382 1353 45.47% 27.02% 27.52% +4.1 12
2012-09-16 @ Skive L 1-2 1353 1382 27.52% 27.02% 45.47% -4.0 4
2012-09-16 Vestsjaelland D 1-1 1466 1408 49.30% 26.19% 24.52% -0.7 12
2012-09-16 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding D 1-1 1408 1466 24.52% 26.19% 49.30% +0.7 15
2012-09-16 FC Hjorring W 2-1 1393 1344 48.11% 26.47% 25.42% +3.8 11
2012-09-16 @ FC Fyn L 1-2 1344 1393 25.42% 26.47% 48.11% -3.8 6
2012-09-16 Viborg W 2-1 1349 1447 28.22% 27.16% 44.62% +5.8 8
2012-09-16 @ AB Gladsaxe L 1-2 1447 1349 44.62% 27.16% 28.22% -5.8 12
2012-09-21 Skive W 2-1 1441 1386 48.95% 26.27% 24.78% +3.7 15
2012-09-21 @ Viborg L 1-2 1386 1441 24.78% 26.27% 48.95% -3.7 12
2012-09-22 Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 0-1 1406 1465 32.99% 27.76% 39.24% -5.0 16
2012-09-22 @ Hobro W 1-0 1465 1406 39.24% 27.76% 32.99% +5.0 15
2012-09-23 AB Gladsaxe D 0-0 1340 1355 39.26% 27.76% 32.97% -0.2 7
2012-09-23 @ FC Hjorring D 0-0 1355 1340 32.97% 27.76% 39.26% +0.2 9
2012-09-23 Bronshoj W 2-1 1349 1432 29.87% 27.44% 42.69% +5.7 7
2012-09-23 @ HB Koge L 1-2 1432 1349 42.69% 27.44% 29.87% -5.7 13
2012-09-23 FC Fyn D 0-0 1409 1397 43.09% 27.39% 29.51% -0.4 16
2012-09-23 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-0 1397 1409 29.51% 27.39% 43.09% +0.4 12
2012-09-23 Fredericia L 1-2 1460 1417 47.27% 26.66% 26.07% -6.1 19
2012-09-23 @ Lyngby W 2-1 1417 1460 26.07% 26.66% 47.27% +6.1 17
2012-09-28 FC Hjorring W 4-1 1445 1340 55.38% 24.30% 20.33% +7.5 18
2012-09-28 @ Viborg L 1-4 1340 1445 20.33% 24.30% 55.38% -7.5 7
2012-09-29 Skive W 1-0 1427 1382 47.50% 26.61% 25.89% +4.1 16
2012-09-29 @ Bronshoj L 0-1 1382 1427 25.89% 26.61% 47.50% -4.1 12
2012-09-30 AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1409 1356 48.68% 26.34% 24.98% +4.0 19
2012-09-30 @ Vestsjaelland L 0-1 1356 1409 24.98% 26.34% 48.68% -4.0 9
2012-09-30 Fredericia W 3-1 1354 1423 31.72% 27.66% 40.62% +9.4 10
2012-09-30 @ HB Koge L 1-3 1423 1354 40.62% 27.66% 31.72% -9.4 17
2012-09-30 Lyngby D 1-1 1470 1454 43.69% 27.31% 29.00% -0.4 16
2012-09-30 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding D 1-1 1454 1470 29.00% 27.31% 43.69% +0.4 20
2012-10-01 Hobro D 4-4 1397 1401 40.85% 27.64% 31.51% -0.2 13
2012-10-01 @ FC Fyn D 4-4 1401 1397 31.51% 27.64% 40.85% +0.1 17
2012-10-06 FC Hjorring D 1-1 1401 1333 50.71% 25.81% 23.48% -0.8 18
2012-10-06 @ Hobro D 1-1 1333 1401 23.48% 25.81% 50.71% +0.8 8
2012-10-07 FC Fyn D 3-3 1454 1397 49.21% 26.21% 24.58% -0.5 21
2012-10-07 @ Lyngby D 3-3 1397 1454 24.58% 26.21% 49.21% +0.5 14
2012-10-07 HB Koge L 0-2 1352 1364 39.65% 27.74% 32.61% -10.7 9
2012-10-07 @ AB Gladsaxe W 2-0 1364 1352 32.61% 27.74% 39.65% +10.7 13
2012-10-07 Vestsjaelland L 0-1 1414 1413 41.57% 27.57% 30.85% -5.9 17
2012-10-07 @ Fredericia W 1-0 1413 1414 30.85% 27.57% 41.57% +5.9 22
2012-10-07 Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 0-2 1378 1470 28.94% 27.30% 43.76% -8.4 12
2012-10-07 @ Skive W 2-0 1470 1378 43.76% 27.30% 28.94% +8.5 19
2012-10-07 Viborg W 3-2 1431 1452 38.31% 27.81% 33.88% +4.5 19
2012-10-07 @ Bronshoj L 2-3 1452 1431 33.88% 27.81% 38.31% -4.5 18
2012-10-12 AB Gladsaxe D 0-0 1448 1341 55.67% 24.19% 20.14% -1.2 19
2012-10-12 @ Viborg D 0-0 1341 1448 20.14% 24.19% 55.67% +1.2 10
2012-10-14 Bronshoj W 2-1 1334 1435 27.74% 27.07% 45.20% +5.9 11
2012-10-14 @ FC Hjorring L 1-2 1435 1334 45.20% 27.07% 27.74% -5.9 19
2012-10-14 Fredericia L 1-3 1398 1408 39.89% 27.72% 32.39% -9.3 14
2012-10-14 @ FC Fyn W 3-1 1408 1398 32.39% 27.72% 39.89% +9.3 20
2012-10-14 Hobro W 2-0 1478 1400 51.96% 25.44% 22.60% +6.8 22
2012-10-14 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 0-2 1400 1478 22.60% 25.44% 51.96% -6.8 18
2012-10-14 Lyngby L 0-2 1374 1454 30.43% 27.52% 42.05% -8.8 13
2012-10-14 @ HB Koge W 2-0 1454 1374 42.05% 27.52% 30.43% +8.8 24
2012-10-14 Skive W 2-1 1418 1370 48.07% 26.48% 25.45% +3.8 25
2012-10-14 @ Vestsjaelland L 1-2 1370 1418 25.45% 26.48% 48.07% -3.8 12
2012-10-20 Hobro W 1-0 1429 1393 46.37% 26.85% 26.78% +4.2 22
2012-10-20 @ Bronshoj L 0-1 1393 1429 26.78% 26.85% 46.37% -4.2 18
2012-10-21 FC Fyn W 5-2 1366 1388 38.24% 27.81% 33.94% +10.1 15
2012-10-21 @ Skive L 2-5 1388 1366 33.94% 27.81% 38.24% -10.1 14
2012-10-21 HB Koge D 2-2 1417 1366 48.49% 26.38% 25.12% -0.5 21
2012-10-21 @ Fredericia D 2-2 1366 1417 25.12% 26.38% 48.49% +0.5 14
2012-10-21 Vejle Boldklub Kolding D 1-1 1422 1485 32.53% 27.73% 39.74% +0.2 26
2012-10-21 @ Vestsjaelland D 1-1 1485 1422 39.74% 27.73% 32.53% -0.2 23
2012-10-21 FC Hjorring D 1-1 1342 1339 41.75% 27.55% 30.70% -0.3 11
2012-10-21 @ AB Gladsaxe D 1-1 1339 1342 30.70% 27.55% 41.75% +0.3 12
2012-10-21 Viborg L 0-2 1462 1447 43.59% 27.32% 29.09% -11.5 24
2012-10-21 @ Lyngby W 2-0 1447 1462 29.09% 27.32% 43.59% +11.5 22
2012-10-27 AB Gladsaxe D 1-1 1389 1342 47.94% 26.51% 25.55% -0.7 19
2012-10-27 @ Hobro D 1-1 1342 1389 25.55% 26.51% 47.94% +0.7 12
2012-10-27 Fredericia D 2-2 1458 1417 47.10% 26.70% 26.20% -0.5 23
2012-10-27 @ Viborg D 2-2 1417 1458 26.20% 26.70% 47.10% +0.5 22
2012-10-28 Bronshoj L 0-2 1485 1434 48.43% 26.40% 25.17% -12.5 23
2012-10-28 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding W 2-0 1434 1485 25.17% 26.40% 48.43% +12.5 25
2012-10-28 Lyngby W 2-0 1340 1451 26.69% 26.83% 46.48% +12.1 15
2012-10-28 @ FC Hjorring L 0-2 1451 1340 46.48% 26.83% 26.69% -12.1 24
2012-10-28 Skive D 2-2 1366 1376 39.95% 27.72% 32.33% -0.2 15
2012-10-28 @ HB Koge D 2-2 1376 1366 32.33% 27.72% 39.95% +0.2 16
2012-10-29 Vestsjaelland L 0-1 1378 1422 35.05% 27.85% 37.10% -5.2 14
2012-10-29 @ FC Fyn W 1-0 1422 1378 37.10% 27.85% 35.05% +5.2 29
2012-11-02 Viborg L 0-2 1376 1458 30.17% 27.49% 42.35% -8.7 16
2012-11-02 @ Skive W 2-0 1458 1376 42.35% 27.49% 30.17% +8.7 26
2012-11-04 Bronshoj D 1-1 1342 1446 27.52% 27.02% 45.46% +0.5 13
2012-11-04 @ AB Gladsaxe D 1-1 1446 1342 45.46% 27.02% 27.52% -0.5 26
2012-11-04 HB Koge L 1-2 1428 1366 49.81% 26.05% 24.14% -6.4 29
2012-11-04 @ Vestsjaelland W 2-1 1366 1428 24.14% 26.05% 49.81% +6.4 18
2012-11-04 Hobro W 2-1 1439 1389 48.30% 26.43% 25.27% +3.8 27
2012-11-04 @ Lyngby L 1-2 1389 1439 25.27% 26.43% 48.30% -3.8 19
2012-11-04 Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 0-2 1373 1472 28.00% 27.12% 44.88% -8.2 14
2012-11-04 @ FC Fyn W 2-0 1472 1373 44.88% 27.12% 28.00% +8.2 26
2012-11-04 FC Hjorring W 5-1 1417 1352 50.33% 25.91% 23.76% +11.3 25
2012-11-04 @ Fredericia L 1-5 1352 1417 23.76% 25.91% 50.33% -11.3 15
2012-11-10 Fredericia D 2-2 1385 1429 35.14% 27.85% 37.01% +0.0 20
2012-11-10 @ Hobro D 2-2 1429 1385 37.01% 27.85% 35.14% -0.0 26
2012-11-10 Lyngby L 0-1 1446 1443 41.80% 27.55% 30.66% -5.9 26
2012-11-10 @ Bronshoj W 1-0 1443 1446 30.66% 27.55% 41.80% +5.9 30
2012-11-11 AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1480 1343 59.43% 22.69% 17.88% +2.8 29
2012-11-11 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 0-1 1343 1480 17.88% 22.69% 59.43% -2.8 13
2012-11-11 FC Fyn W 2-0 1372 1365 42.47% 27.47% 30.06% +8.7 21
2012-11-11 @ HB Koge L 0-2 1365 1372 30.06% 27.47% 42.47% -8.7 14
2012-11-11 Skive D 2-2 1341 1368 37.52% 27.84% 34.64% -0.1 16
2012-11-11 @ FC Hjorring D 2-2 1368 1341 34.64% 27.84% 37.52% +0.1 17
2012-11-11 Vestsjaelland D 0-0 1466 1421 47.63% 26.58% 25.79% -0.7 27
2012-11-11 @ Viborg D 0-0 1421 1466 25.79% 26.58% 47.63% +0.7 30
2012-11-18 AB Gladsaxe D 1-1 1448 1340 55.85% 24.12% 20.03% -1.1 31
2012-11-18 @ Lyngby D 1-1 1340 1448 20.03% 24.12% 55.85% +1.1 14
2012-11-18 Bronshoj L 1-2 1428 1440 39.80% 27.73% 32.47% -5.4 26
2012-11-18 @ Fredericia W 2-1 1440 1428 32.47% 27.73% 39.80% +5.4 29
2012-11-18 Hobro W 3-0 1368 1385 38.95% 27.78% 33.27% +13.7 20
2012-11-18 @ Skive L 0-3 1385 1368 33.27% 27.78% 38.95% -13.7 20
2012-11-18 Vejle Boldklub Kolding W 1-0 1381 1483 27.69% 27.06% 45.26% +6.3 24
2012-11-18 @ HB Koge L 0-1 1483 1381 45.26% 27.06% 27.69% -6.3 29
2012-11-18 FC Hjorring D 0-0 1422 1341 52.41% 25.30% 22.29% -1.0 31
2012-11-18 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-0 1341 1422 22.29% 25.30% 52.41% +1.0 17
2012-11-18 Viborg L 1-2 1356 1466 26.84% 26.86% 46.29% -4.0 14
2012-11-18 @ FC Fyn W 2-1 1466 1356 46.29% 26.86% 26.84% +4.0 30
2012-11-23 HB Koge D 0-0 1470 1387 52.53% 25.27% 22.21% -1.0 31
2012-11-23 @ Viborg D 0-0 1387 1470 22.21% 25.27% 52.53% +1.0 25
2012-11-24 Skive W 2-0 1445 1381 50.08% 25.98% 23.94% +7.2 32
2012-11-24 @ Bronshoj L 0-2 1381 1445 23.94% 25.98% 50.08% -7.2 20
2012-11-24 Vestsjaelland L 1-3 1371 1421 34.30% 27.83% 37.87% -8.3 20
2012-11-24 @ Hobro W 3-1 1421 1371 37.87% 27.83% 34.30% +8.3 34
2012-11-25 FC Fyn W 5-0 1342 1352 39.90% 27.72% 32.38% +21.6 20
2012-11-25 @ FC Hjorring L 0-5 1352 1342 32.38% 27.72% 39.90% -21.6 14
2012-11-25 Fredericia W 1-0 1341 1423 30.08% 27.47% 42.44% +6.0 17
2012-11-25 @ AB Gladsaxe L 0-1 1423 1341 42.44% 27.47% 30.08% -6.0 26
2012-11-25 Lyngby W 2-0 1477 1447 45.51% 27.01% 27.48% +8.1 32
2012-11-25 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 0-2 1447 1477 27.48% 27.01% 45.51% -8.1 31
2013-03-23 AB Gladsaxe D 0-0 1374 1347 45.16% 27.07% 27.77% -0.6 21
2013-03-23 @ Skive D 0-0 1347 1374 27.77% 27.07% 45.16% +0.6 18
2013-03-24 Hobro FL 1330 1363 36.75% 27.85% 35.40% +0.0 14
2013-03-24 @ FC Fyn FW 1363 1330 35.40% 27.85% 36.75% +0.0 23
2013-03-24 Bronshoj W 1-0 1429 1452 38.12% 27.82% 34.07% +5.1 37
2013-03-24 @ Vestsjaelland L 0-1 1452 1429 34.07% 27.82% 38.12% -5.1 32
2013-03-24 FC Hjorring D 0-0 1469 1363 55.49% 24.25% 20.25% -1.2 32
2013-03-24 @ Viborg D 0-0 1363 1469 20.25% 24.25% 55.49% +1.2 21
2013-03-28 FC Fyn FW 1447 1330 56.88% 23.73% 19.39% +0.0 35
2013-03-28 @ Bronshoj FL 1330 1447 19.39% 23.73% 56.88% +0.0 14
2013-03-28 Fredericia W 2-0 1485 1417 50.67% 25.82% 23.51% +7.1 35
2013-03-28 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 0-2 1417 1485 23.51% 25.82% 50.67% -7.1 26
2013-03-28 HB Koge W 1-0 1363 1388 37.74% 27.83% 34.43% +5.1 26
2013-03-28 @ Hobro L 0-1 1388 1363 34.43% 27.83% 37.74% -5.1 25
2013-03-28 Skive W 1-0 1439 1374 50.35% 25.91% 23.74% +3.8 34
2013-03-28 @ Lyngby L 0-1 1374 1439 23.74% 25.91% 50.35% -3.8 21
2013-03-31 FC Hjorring W 2-0 1492 1364 58.26% 23.18% 18.56% +5.6 38
2013-03-31 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 0-2 1364 1492 18.56% 23.18% 58.26% -5.6 21
2013-04-01 AB Gladsaxe FL 1330 1348 38.92% 27.78% 33.30% +0.0 14
2013-04-01 @ FC Fyn FW 1348 1330 33.30% 27.78% 38.92% +0.0 21
2013-04-01 Fredericia W 4-3 1370 1410 35.64% 27.86% 36.50% +4.7 24
2013-04-01 @ Skive L 3-4 1410 1370 36.50% 27.86% 35.64% -4.7 26
2013-04-01 Hobro W 2-1 1467 1368 54.73% 24.53% 20.74% +3.1 35
2013-04-01 @ Viborg L 1-2 1368 1467 20.74% 24.53% 54.73% -3.1 26
2013-04-01 Lyngby W 2-0 1434 1443 40.14% 27.70% 32.16% +9.2 40
2013-04-01 @ Vestsjaelland L 0-2 1443 1434 32.16% 27.70% 40.14% -9.2 34
2013-04-04 FC Fyn FW 1405 1330 51.59% 25.55% 22.86% +0.0 29
2013-04-04 @ Fredericia FL 1330 1405 22.86% 25.55% 51.59% +0.0 14
2013-04-04 HB Koge W 2-1 1434 1383 48.35% 26.42% 25.23% +3.8 37
2013-04-04 @ Lyngby L 1-2 1383 1434 25.23% 26.42% 48.35% -3.8 25
2013-04-04 Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 1-2 1365 1498 24.43% 26.16% 49.42% -3.6 26
2013-04-04 @ Hobro W 2-1 1498 1365 49.42% 26.16% 24.43% +3.7 41
2013-04-04 FC Hjorring D 0-0 1447 1359 53.31% 25.01% 21.67% -1.1 36
2013-04-04 @ Bronshoj D 0-0 1359 1447 21.67% 25.01% 53.31% +1.1 22
2013-04-04 Viborg L 0-1 1348 1471 25.44% 26.48% 48.07% -4.0 21
2013-04-04 @ AB Gladsaxe W 1-0 1471 1348 48.07% 26.48% 25.44% +4.0 38
2013-04-07 Lyngby FL 1330 1438 27.12% 26.93% 45.95% +0.0 14
2013-04-07 @ FC Fyn FW 1438 1330 45.95% 26.93% 27.12% +0.0 40
2013-04-07 AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1380 1344 46.36% 26.85% 26.79% +4.0 28
2013-04-07 @ HB Koge L 1-2 1344 1380 26.79% 26.85% 46.36% -4.0 21
2013-04-07 Bronshoj W 1-0 1475 1446 45.36% 27.04% 27.60% +4.3 41
2013-04-07 @ Viborg L 0-1 1446 1475 27.60% 27.04% 45.36% -4.3 36
2013-04-07 Fredericia W 1-0 1444 1405 46.66% 26.79% 26.55% +4.2 43
2013-04-07 @ Vestsjaelland L 0-1 1405 1444 26.55% 26.79% 46.66% -4.2 29
2013-04-07 Hobro W 3-1 1360 1361 41.18% 27.61% 31.21% +7.8 25
2013-04-07 @ FC Hjorring L 1-3 1361 1360 31.21% 27.61% 41.18% -7.8 26
2013-04-07 Skive W 3-1 1501 1375 58.13% 23.23% 18.64% +4.8 44
2013-04-07 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 1-3 1375 1501 18.64% 23.23% 58.13% -4.8 24
2013-04-10 Vestsjaelland D 2-2 1370 1448 30.58% 27.54% 41.88% +0.2 25
2013-04-10 @ Skive D 2-2 1448 1370 41.88% 27.54% 30.58% -0.2 44
2013-04-12 Vejle Boldklub Kolding W 1-0 1368 1506 23.86% 25.95% 50.19% +6.8 28
2013-04-12 @ FC Hjorring L 0-1 1506 1368 50.19% 25.95% 23.86% -6.8 44
2013-04-12 Viborg L 0-1 1353 1479 25.18% 26.40% 48.42% -4.0 26
2013-04-12 @ Hobro W 1-0 1479 1353 48.42% 26.40% 25.18% +4.0 44
2013-04-13 HB Koge L 0-3 1442 1384 49.37% 26.17% 24.46% -18.4 36
2013-04-13 @ Bronshoj W 3-0 1384 1442 24.46% 26.17% 49.37% +18.4 31
2013-04-14 FC Fyn FW 1340 1330 42.69% 27.44% 29.87% +0.0 24
2013-04-14 @ AB Gladsaxe FL 1330 1340 29.87% 27.44% 42.69% +0.0 14
2013-04-14 Skive W 3-2 1401 1370 45.73% 26.97% 27.30% +3.8 32
2013-04-14 @ Fredericia L 2-3 1370 1401 27.30% 26.97% 45.73% -3.8 25
2013-04-14 Vestsjaelland L 0-1 1438 1447 40.00% 27.71% 32.29% -5.7 40
2013-04-14 @ Lyngby W 1-0 1447 1438 32.29% 27.71% 40.00% +5.7 47
2013-04-17 Vestsjaelland L 1-2 1340 1453 26.45% 26.76% 46.79% -3.9 24
2013-04-17 @ AB Gladsaxe W 2-1 1453 1340 46.79% 26.76% 26.45% +3.9 50
2013-04-17 FC Hjorring L 1-2 1402 1374 45.22% 27.06% 27.72% -5.9 31
2013-04-17 @ HB Koge W 2-1 1374 1402 27.72% 27.06% 45.22% +5.9 31
2013-04-19 Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 1-3 1423 1499 30.81% 27.57% 41.63% -7.7 36
2013-04-19 @ Bronshoj W 3-1 1499 1423 41.63% 27.57% 30.81% +7.7 47
2013-04-19 Viborg D 1-1 1405 1483 30.60% 27.54% 41.86% +0.3 33
2013-04-19 @ Fredericia D 1-1 1483 1405 41.86% 27.54% 30.60% -0.3 45
2013-04-20 HB Koge L 0-1 1366 1396 37.13% 27.85% 35.02% -5.4 25
2013-04-20 @ Skive W 1-0 1396 1366 35.02% 27.85% 37.13% +5.4 34
2013-04-21 FC Fyn FW 1457 1330 58.11% 23.24% 18.65% +0.0 53
2013-04-21 @ Vestsjaelland FL 1330 1457 18.65% 23.24% 58.11% +0.0 14
2013-04-21 Hobro D 0-0 1336 1349 39.44% 27.75% 32.81% -0.2 25
2013-04-21 @ AB Gladsaxe D 0-0 1349 1336 32.81% 27.75% 39.44% +0.2 27
2013-04-21 FC Hjorring W 2-1 1432 1380 48.50% 26.38% 25.12% +3.7 43
2013-04-21 @ Lyngby L 1-2 1380 1432 25.12% 26.38% 48.50% -3.7 31
2013-04-24 Skive FL 1330 1361 37.05% 27.85% 35.10% +0.0 14
2013-04-24 @ FC Fyn FW 1361 1330 35.10% 27.85% 37.05% +0.0 28
2013-04-24 AB Gladsaxe D 1-1 1377 1336 47.04% 26.71% 26.25% -0.6 32
2013-04-24 @ FC Hjorring D 1-1 1336 1377 26.25% 26.71% 47.04% +0.6 26
2013-04-24 Bronshoj W 2-0 1350 1416 32.11% 27.70% 40.19% +10.8 30
2013-04-24 @ Hobro L 0-2 1416 1350 40.19% 27.70% 32.11% -10.8 36
2013-04-24 Fredericia L 1-2 1401 1405 40.81% 27.65% 31.54% -5.5 34
2013-04-24 @ HB Koge W 2-1 1405 1401 31.54% 27.65% 40.81% +5.5 36
2013-04-24 Lyngby W 2-0 1483 1436 47.85% 26.53% 25.62% +7.6 48
2013-04-24 @ Viborg L 0-2 1436 1483 25.62% 26.53% 47.85% -7.6 43
2013-04-24 Vestsjaelland W 1-0 1507 1457 48.29% 26.43% 25.28% +4.0 50
2013-04-24 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 0-1 1457 1507 25.28% 26.43% 48.29% -4.0 53
2013-04-28 Bronshoj FL 1330 1405 31.02% 27.59% 41.39% +0.0 14
2013-04-28 @ FC Fyn FW 1405 1330 41.39% 27.59% 31.02% +0.0 39
2013-04-28 AB Gladsaxe D 0-0 1453 1336 56.90% 23.72% 19.38% -1.3 54
2013-04-28 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-0 1336 1453 19.38% 23.72% 56.90% +1.3 27
2013-04-28 Hobro D 1-1 1396 1360 46.30% 26.86% 26.84% -0.6 35
2013-04-28 @ HB Koge D 1-1 1360 1396 26.84% 26.86% 46.30% +0.6 31
2013-04-28 Lyngby L 0-1 1361 1428 31.93% 27.68% 40.38% -4.8 28
2013-04-28 @ Skive W 1-0 1428 1361 40.38% 27.68% 31.93% +4.8 46
2013-04-28 Vejle Boldklub Kolding D 1-1 1411 1511 27.91% 27.10% 44.99% +0.5 37
2013-04-28 @ Fredericia D 1-1 1511 1411 44.99% 27.10% 27.91% -0.5 51
2013-04-28 Viborg D 1-1 1376 1490 26.35% 26.74% 46.91% +0.6 33
2013-04-28 @ FC Hjorring D 1-1 1490 1376 46.91% 26.74% 26.35% -0.6 49
2013-05-01 Bronshoj W 2-0 1395 1405 40.03% 27.71% 32.25% +9.2 38
2013-05-01 @ HB Koge L 0-2 1405 1395 32.25% 27.71% 40.03% -9.2 39
2013-05-01 Lyngby L 1-3 1411 1433 38.31% 27.81% 33.88% -9.0 37
2013-05-01 @ Fredericia W 3-1 1433 1411 33.88% 27.81% 38.31% +9.0 49
2013-05-02 Viborg D 1-1 1511 1490 44.32% 27.21% 28.47% -0.5 52
2013-05-02 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding D 1-1 1490 1511 28.47% 27.21% 44.32% +0.5 50
2013-05-04 FC Fyn FW 1361 1330 45.64% 26.99% 27.37% +0.0 34
2013-05-04 @ Hobro FL 1330 1361 27.37% 26.99% 45.64% +0.0 14
2013-05-04 Skive L 0-3 1338 1356 38.76% 27.79% 33.45% -15.3 27
2013-05-04 @ AB Gladsaxe W 3-0 1356 1338 33.45% 27.79% 38.76% +15.3 31
2013-05-04 Vestsjaelland L 1-2 1396 1452 33.42% 27.79% 38.79% -4.7 39
2013-05-04 @ Bronshoj W 2-1 1452 1396 38.79% 27.79% 33.42% +4.7 57
2013-05-05 Fredericia W 2-1 1442 1402 46.87% 26.75% 26.38% +3.9 52
2013-05-05 @ Lyngby L 1-2 1402 1442 26.38% 26.75% 46.87% -3.9 37
2013-05-05 HB Koge W 4-0 1377 1405 37.38% 27.84% 34.77% +18.5 36
2013-05-05 @ FC Hjorring L 0-4 1405 1377 34.77% 27.84% 37.38% -18.5 38
2013-05-05 Vejle Boldklub Kolding W 2-1 1490 1510 38.51% 27.80% 33.68% +4.8 53
2013-05-05 @ Viborg L 1-2 1510 1490 33.68% 27.80% 38.51% -4.8 52
2013-05-08 HB Koge FL 1330 1386 33.48% 27.79% 38.72% +0.0 14
2013-05-08 @ FC Fyn FW 1386 1330 38.72% 27.79% 33.48% +0.0 41
2013-05-08 Bronshoj D 2-2 1446 1391 48.94% 26.28% 24.79% -0.5 53
2013-05-08 @ Lyngby D 2-2 1391 1446 24.79% 26.28% 48.94% +0.5 40
2013-05-08 Hobro W 5-3 1398 1361 46.56% 26.81% 26.63% +5.8 40
2013-05-08 @ Fredericia L 3-5 1361 1398 26.63% 26.81% 46.56% -5.8 34
2013-05-08 Vejle Boldklub Kolding W 3-1 1322 1505 19.99% 24.10% 55.91% +12.1 30
2013-05-08 @ AB Gladsaxe L 1-3 1505 1322 55.91% 24.10% 19.99% -12.1 52
2013-05-08 FC Hjorring W 3-1 1371 1395 38.00% 27.82% 34.18% +8.3 34
2013-05-08 @ Skive L 1-3 1395 1371 34.18% 27.82% 38.00% -8.3 36
2013-05-08 Viborg L 2-3 1457 1495 35.91% 27.86% 36.23% -4.7 57
2013-05-08 @ Vestsjaelland W 3-2 1495 1457 36.23% 27.86% 35.91% +4.7 56
2013-05-11 AB Gladsaxe D 1-1 1391 1334 49.23% 26.20% 24.57% -0.7 41
2013-05-11 @ Bronshoj D 1-1 1334 1391 24.57% 26.20% 49.23% +0.7 31
2013-05-11 Lyngby W 1-0 1355 1445 29.10% 27.32% 43.58% +6.1 37
2013-05-11 @ Hobro L 0-1 1445 1355 43.58% 27.32% 29.10% -6.1 53
2013-05-12 FC Fyn FW 1493 1330 62.44% 21.34% 16.23% +0.0 55
2013-05-12 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding FL 1330 1493 16.23% 21.34% 62.44% +0.0 14
2013-05-12 Fredericia L 0-1 1387 1404 38.89% 27.78% 33.33% -5.6 36
2013-05-12 @ FC Hjorring W 1-0 1404 1387 33.33% 27.78% 38.89% +5.6 43
2013-05-12 Skive W 3-0 1500 1380 57.29% 23.57% 19.14% +8.4 59
2013-05-12 @ Viborg L 0-3 1380 1500 19.14% 23.57% 57.29% -8.4 34
2013-05-12 Vestsjaelland L 0-1 1386 1452 32.15% 27.70% 40.15% -4.9 41
2013-05-12 @ HB Koge W 1-0 1452 1386 40.15% 27.70% 32.15% +4.9 60
2013-05-16 FC Hjorring FL 1330 1381 34.17% 27.82% 38.00% +0.0 14
2013-05-16 @ FC Fyn FW 1381 1330 38.00% 27.82% 34.17% +0.0 39
2013-05-16 AB Gladsaxe L 1-2 1410 1335 51.55% 25.56% 22.88% -6.5 43
2013-05-16 @ Fredericia W 2-1 1335 1410 22.88% 25.56% 51.55% +6.5 34
2013-05-16 Bronshoj L 0-2 1371 1391 38.60% 27.80% 33.60% -10.5 34
2013-05-16 @ Skive W 2-0 1391 1371 33.60% 27.80% 38.60% +10.5 44
2013-05-16 Hobro D 0-0 1457 1361 54.19% 24.72% 21.09% -1.1 61
2013-05-16 @ Vestsjaelland D 0-0 1361 1457 21.09% 24.72% 54.19% +1.1 38
2013-05-16 Vejle Boldklub Kolding W 4-0 1439 1493 33.69% 27.80% 38.50% +19.9 56
2013-05-16 @ Lyngby L 0-4 1493 1439 38.50% 27.80% 33.69% -19.9 55
2013-05-17 Viborg W 2-1 1381 1508 25.06% 26.36% 48.58% +6.2 44
2013-05-17 @ HB Koge L 1-2 1508 1381 48.58% 26.36% 25.06% -6.2 59
2013-05-20 FC Fyn FW 1502 1330 63.39% 20.88% 15.72% +0.0 62
2013-05-20 @ Viborg FL 1330 1502 15.72% 20.88% 63.39% +0.0 14
2013-05-20 Fredericia D 2-2 1401 1403 41.09% 27.62% 31.29% -0.2 45
2013-05-20 @ Bronshoj D 2-2 1403 1401 31.29% 27.62% 41.09% +0.2 44
2013-05-20 HB Koge W 2-0 1473 1387 53.01% 25.11% 21.88% +6.6 58
2013-05-20 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding L 0-2 1387 1473 21.88% 25.11% 53.01% -6.6 44
2013-05-20 Lyngby W 4-2 1342 1459 26.00% 26.64% 47.35% +9.5 37
2013-05-20 @ AB Gladsaxe L 2-4 1459 1342 47.35% 26.64% 26.00% -9.5 56
2013-05-20 Skive L 3-4 1362 1361 41.64% 27.57% 30.80% -5.1 38
2013-05-20 @ Hobro W 4-3 1361 1362 30.80% 27.57% 41.64% +5.1 37
2013-05-20 Vestsjaelland D 0-0 1381 1456 31.01% 27.59% 41.39% +0.3 40
2013-05-20 @ FC Hjorring D 0-0 1456 1381 41.39% 27.59% 31.01% -0.3 62

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-09-02 18.25% AB Gladsaxe 1340 2 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding 1472 0
2 2013-05-08 19.99% @ AB Gladsaxe 1322 3 Vejle Boldklub Kolding 1505 1
3 2013-05-16 22.88% AB Gladsaxe 1335 2 @ Fredericia 1410 1
4 2013-04-12 23.86% @ FC Hjorring 1368 1 Vejle Boldklub Kolding 1506 0
5 2012-11-04 24.14% HB Koge 1366 2 @ Vestsjaelland 1428 1
6 2013-04-13 24.46% HB Koge 1384 3 @ Bronshoj 1442 0
7 2013-05-17 25.06% @ HB Koge 1381 2 Viborg 1508 1
8 2012-10-28 25.17% Bronshoj 1434 2 @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding 1485 0
9 2012-08-12 25.42% Hobro 1388 2 @ Viborg 1436 1
10 2013-05-20 26.00% @ AB Gladsaxe 1342 4 Lyngby 1459 2
11 2012-09-23 26.07% Fredericia 1417 2 @ Lyngby 1460 1
12 2012-10-28 26.69% @ FC Hjorring 1340 2 Lyngby 1451 0
13 2012-11-18 27.69% @ HB Koge 1381 1 Vejle Boldklub Kolding 1483 0
14 2013-04-17 27.72% FC Hjorring 1374 2 @ HB Koge 1402 1
15 2012-10-14 27.74% @ FC Hjorring 1334 2 Bronshoj 1435 1
16 2012-09-14 28.15% Hobro 1400 1 @ Fredericia 1423 0
17 2012-09-16 28.22% @ AB Gladsaxe 1349 2 Viborg 1447 1
18 2012-10-21 29.09% Viborg 1447 2 @ Lyngby 1462 0
19 2013-05-11 29.10% @ Hobro 1355 1 Lyngby 1445 0
20 2012-09-23 29.87% @ HB Koge 1349 2 Bronshoj 1432 1
21 2012-11-25 30.08% @ AB Gladsaxe 1341 1 Fredericia 1423 0
22 2012-11-10 30.66% Lyngby 1443 1 @ Bronshoj 1446 0
23 2013-05-20 30.80% Skive 1361 4 @ Hobro 1362 3
24 2012-10-07 30.85% Vestsjaelland 1413 1 @ Fredericia 1414 0
25 2013-04-24 31.54% Fredericia 1405 2 @ HB Koge 1401 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-09-03 23.41 Lyngby 5 1430 35.97% @ HB Koge 0 1393 36.17% 27.86%
2 2012-11-25 21.56 @ FC Hjorring 5 1342 39.90% FC Fyn 0 1352 32.38% 27.72%
3 2012-08-03 20.28 @ Viborg 7 1416 41.73% Vestsjaelland 1 1413 30.71% 27.56%
4 2013-05-16 19.88 @ Lyngby 4 1439 33.69% Vejle Boldklub Kolding 0 1493 38.50% 27.80%
5 2013-05-05 18.46 @ FC Hjorring 4 1377 37.38% HB Koge 0 1405 34.77% 27.84%
6 2013-04-13 18.40 HB Koge 3 1384 24.46% @ Bronshoj 0 1442 49.37% 26.17%
7 2012-09-09 16.97 @ Viborg 5 1430 49.65% HB Koge 0 1370 24.25% 26.09%
8 2013-05-04 15.29 Skive 3 1356 33.45% @ AB Gladsaxe 0 1338 38.76% 27.79%
9 2012-09-02 14.51 AB Gladsaxe 2 1340 18.25% @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding 0 1472 58.80% 22.95%
10 2012-08-26 14.35 Bronshoj 3 1411 36.60% @ FC Hjorring 0 1370 35.54% 27.86%
11 2012-11-18 13.67 @ Skive 3 1368 38.95% Hobro 0 1385 33.27% 27.78%
12 2012-08-11 12.50 @ Vestsjaelland 4 1393 35.00% Lyngby 1 1438 37.15% 27.85%
13 2012-10-28 12.48 Bronshoj 2 1434 25.17% @ Vejle Boldklub Kolding 0 1485 48.43% 26.40%
14 2013-05-08 12.09 @ AB Gladsaxe 3 1322 19.99% Vejle Boldklub Kolding 1 1505 55.91% 24.10%
15 2012-10-28 12.08 @ FC Hjorring 2 1340 26.69% Lyngby 0 1451 46.48% 26.83%
16 2012-09-09 11.51 @ Lyngby 5 1453 49.53% Skive 1 1394 24.35% 26.13%
17 2012-10-21 11.50 Viborg 2 1447 29.09% @ Lyngby 0 1462 43.59% 27.32%
18 2012-11-04 11.26 @ Fredericia 5 1417 50.33% FC Hjorring 1 1352 23.76% 25.91%
19 2013-04-24 10.82 @ Hobro 2 1350 32.11% Bronshoj 0 1416 40.19% 27.70%
20 2012-10-07 10.71 HB Koge 2 1364 32.61% @ AB Gladsaxe 0 1352 39.65% 27.74%
21 2013-05-16 10.50 Bronshoj 2 1391 33.60% @ Skive 0 1371 38.60% 27.80%
22 2012-10-21 10.14 @ Skive 5 1366 38.24% FC Fyn 2 1388 33.94% 27.81%
23 2012-08-03 9.70 @ FC Hjorring 2 1370 37.52% Hobro 0 1398 34.64% 27.84%
24 2013-05-20 9.50 @ AB Gladsaxe 4 1342 26.00% Lyngby 2 1459 47.35% 26.64%
25 2012-09-30 9.44 @ HB Koge 3 1354 31.72% Fredericia 1 1423 40.62% 27.66%