2022-23 Challenger Pro League Season

192 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

RWD Molenbeek

35.13 points above expected

69 points · 33.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Genk II

5.74 points below expected

26 points · 31.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD
1	RWD Molenbeek	22	14	4	4	46	41	21	+20
2	Beveren	22	12	7	3	43	52	25	+27
3	Beerschot	22	12	2	8	38	33	28	+5
4	Club NXT	22	10	6	6	36	38	30	+8
5	Lierse Kempenzonen	22	11	3	8	36	42	42	0
6	Anderlecht II	22	9	7	6	34	42	35	+7
7	Lommel	22	10	2	10	32	33	36	-3
8	Deinze	22	9	3	10	30	29	33	-4
9	Genk II	22	5	5	12	20	28	40	-12
10	Dender	22	5	4	13	19	27	40	-13
11	Standard Liege II	22	4	7	11	19	25	43	-18
12	Excelsior Virton	22	2	8	12	14	21	38	-17

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	RWD Molenbeek	32	21	6	5	69	65	29	+36	33.9	+35.13
2	Beveren	32	20	8	4	68	76	34	+42	36.0	+31.95
3	Lommel	32	16	3	13	51	53	46	+7	28.5	+22.54
4	Club NXT	32	14	7	11	49	51	48	+3	25.2	+23.80
5	Deinze	32	15	4	13	49	49	47	+2	29.6	+19.38
6	Beerschot	32	15	4	13	49	43	41	+2	32.1	+16.85
7	Lierse Kempenzonen	32	14	4	14	46	53	59	-6	27.7	+18.27
8	Dender	32	11	6	15	39	41	47	-6	27.7	+11.30
9	Anderlecht II	32	9	10	13	37	46	56	-10	35.7	+1.31
10	Standard Liege II	32	5	12	15	27	31	60	-29	31.9	-4.86
11	Genk II	32	6	8	18	26	36	58	-22	31.7	-5.74
12	Excelsior Virton	32	5	10	17	25	32	51	-19	21.0	+3.97

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Beveren	1733	68	36.05	+31.95	90.0%	22	28	32	36	40	44	47
RWD Molenbeek	1721	69	33.87	+35.13	99.0%	18	22	30	35	38	43	48
Beerschot	1581	49	32.15	+16.85	88.0%	21	23	28	32	35	41	43
Lommel	1581	51	28.46	+22.54	79.0%	16	20	24	28	32	39	43
Deinze	1577	49	29.62	+19.38	62.0%	13	18	25	29	33	40	46
Club NXT	1550	49	25.20	+23.80	97.0%	13	17	21	24	28	35	45
Dender	1550	39	27.70	+11.30	9.0%	12	18	23	28	32	39	42
Anderlecht II	1539	37	35.69	+1.31	45.0%	20	25	32	36	40	44	52
Lierse Kempenzonen	1538	46	27.73	+18.27	92.0%	16	19	23	28	31	39	44
Genk II	1474	26	31.74	-5.74	5.0%	18	20	28	31	35	43	47
Standard Liege II	1465	27	31.86	-4.86	2.0%	19	22	28	32	36	41	46
Excelsior Virton	1425	25	21.03	+3.97	8.0%	7	12	18	20	24	30	33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AI	BEE	BEV	CN	DEI	DEN	EV	GI	LK	LOM	RM	SLI
Anderlecht II	—	1-1-2 6.09	0-1-3 4.88	0-3-1 6.72	1-1-0 3.26	0-0-2 3.58	2-0-0 4.08	1-0-1 3.44	1-2-1 6.54	1-1-0 3.28	0-1-3 5.07	2-0-0 3.03
Beerschot	2-1-1 4.84	—	1-0-3 4.48	3-0-1 5.89	1-0-1 3.11	1-1-0 3.06	2-0-0 3.45	2-0-0 2.87	1-0-3 6.34	1-0-1 2.82	0-1-3 4.47	1-1-0 2.74
Beveren	3-1-0 6.13	3-0-1 6.51	—	2-1-1 7.38	2-0-0 3.38	2-0-0 3.56	0-2-0 3.99	1-1-0 3.51	4-0-0 7.16	1-0-1 3.15	1-2-1 5.67	1-1-0 3.12
Club NXT	1-3-0 4.30	1-0-3 5.05	1-1-2 3.68	—	1-0-1 2.65	1-0-1 2.39	1-1-0 3.24	2-0-0 2.36	2-0-2 5.91	2-0-0 2.48	2-0-2 3.95	0-2-0 2.39
Deinze	0-1-1 2.22	1-0-1 2.36	0-0-2 2.11	1-0-1 2.80	—	2-0-2 5.98	3-1-0 7.19	2-1-1 5.49	1-0-1 3.01	1-1-2 5.32	0-0-2 2.42	4-0-0 5.55
Dender	2-0-0 1.93	0-1-1 2.40	0-0-2 1.98	1-0-1 3.07	2-0-2 4.94	—	2-1-1 6.88	3-0-1 4.98	0-0-2 2.66	1-1-2 5.16	0-0-2 2.34	0-3-1 5.28
Excelsior Virton	0-0-2 1.50	0-0-2 2.05	0-2-0 1.58	0-1-1 2.27	0-1-3 3.83	1-1-2 4.11	—	2-1-1 3.85	0-2-0 2.16	1-0-3 3.94	0-1-1 1.77	1-1-2 3.92
Genk II	1-0-1 2.05	0-0-2 2.60	0-1-1 1.99	0-0-2 3.10	1-1-2 5.42	1-0-3 5.96	1-1-2 7.18	—	1-0-1 3.19	0-0-4 5.69	1-1-0 2.36	0-4-0 5.70
Lierse Kempenzonen	1-2-1 4.42	3-0-1 4.61	0-0-4 3.86	2-0-2 5.03	1-0-1 2.45	2-0-0 2.79	0-2-0 3.33	1-0-1 2.30	—	2-0-0 2.61	0-0-4 3.94	2-0-0 2.18
Lommel	0-1-1 2.20	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 2.36	0-0-2 2.99	2-1-1 5.59	2-1-1 5.78	3-0-1 7.07	4-0-0 5.25	0-0-2 2.86	—	1-0-1 2.38	2-0-2 5.67
RWD Molenbeek	3-1-0 5.93	3-1-0 6.49	1-2-1 5.24	2-0-2 7.04	2-0-0 3.06	2-0-0 3.12	1-1-0 3.78	0-1-1 3.11	4-0-0 7.06	1-0-1 3.11	—	2-0-0 3.07
Standard Liege II	0-0-2 2.45	0-1-1 2.75	0-1-1 2.36	0-2-0 3.08	0-0-4 5.37	1-3-0 5.66	2-1-1 7.08	0-4-0 5.24	0-0-2 3.29	2-0-2 5.27	0-0-2 2.44	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.69%	7.81%	5.47%	2.86%	1.30%	0.78%	22.92%
1	7.81%	8.33%	8.33%	4.17%	2.86%	0.52%	32.03%
2	5.47%	8.33%	7.29%	3.91%	0.52%	0.26%	25.78%
3	2.86%	4.17%	3.91%	1.04%	0.52%	—	12.50%
4	1.30%	2.86%	0.52%	0.52%	—	—	5.21%
5+	0.78%	0.52%	0.26%	—	—	—	1.56%
Total	22.92%	32.03%	25.78%	12.50%	5.21%	1.56%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.116
Sample size (games)	192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	3.12%	9.38%	—	6.25%	—	28.12%
1	—	3.12%	12.50%	—	6.25%	—	21.88%
2	6.25%	3.12%	15.62%	3.12%	—	—	28.12%
3	3.12%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	18.75%	43.75%	6.25%	12.50%	—	100%

Anderlecht II — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.44
Mean allowed	1.75
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	3.19
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.128
Games played	32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	9.38%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	—	28.12%
1	12.50%	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	—	28.12%
2	6.25%	12.50%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	28.12%
3	3.12%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	28.12%	31.25%	28.12%	9.38%	3.12%	—	100%

Beerschot — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.34
Mean allowed	1.28
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.214
Games played	32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
1	6.25%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
2	9.38%	9.38%	15.62%	3.12%	—	—	37.50%
3	9.38%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	3.12%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	15.62%
5+	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
Total	34.38%	34.38%	21.88%	9.38%	—	—	100%

Beveren — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.38
Mean allowed	1.06
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	0.98
Mean total goals/game	3.44
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.155
Games played	32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	3.12%	—	18.75%
1	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	25.00%
2	6.25%	18.75%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	40.62%
3	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
4	—	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.88%	37.50%	15.62%	18.75%	6.25%	—	100%

Club NXT — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.59
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.10
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	3.09
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.060
Games played	32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.25%	9.38%	—	—	—	21.88%
1	6.25%	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	9.38%	—	34.38%
2	3.12%	15.62%	—	3.12%	—	—	21.88%
3	3.12%	3.12%	9.38%	—	—	—	15.62%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	21.88%	34.38%	28.12%	6.25%	9.38%	—	100%

Deinze — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.53
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.19
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.170
Games played	32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	18.75%	—	3.12%	—	—	25.00%
1	9.38%	15.62%	3.12%	—	6.25%	—	34.38%
2	9.38%	9.38%	—	9.38%	—	3.12%	31.25%
3	—	—	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	6.25%
4	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	43.75%	6.25%	12.50%	9.38%	3.12%	100%

Dender — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	1.47
StdDev scored	1.02
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	2.75
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.151
Games played	32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	18.75%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	31.25%
1	6.25%	15.62%	12.50%	15.62%	—	—	50.00%
2	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	9.38%
3	—	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	40.62%	21.88%	25.00%	—	—	100%

Excelsior Virton — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.59
StdDev scored	0.98
StdDev allowed	1.01
Mean total goals/game	2.59
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.357
Games played	32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	—	34.38%
1	6.25%	9.38%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	31.25%
2	3.12%	—	9.38%	9.38%	3.12%	—	25.00%
3	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	15.62%	21.88%	34.38%	21.88%	6.25%	—	100%

Genk II — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.81
StdDev scored	1.07
StdDev allowed	1.15
Mean total goals/game	2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.020
Games played	32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	—	3.12%	21.88%
1	6.25%	—	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	25.00%
2	9.38%	6.25%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	28.12%
3	—	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
4	—	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	9.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	21.88%	31.25%	18.75%	3.12%	6.25%	100%

Lierse Kempenzonen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.66
Mean allowed	1.84
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.163
Games played	32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	—	3.12%	21.88%
1	12.50%	6.25%	9.38%	6.25%	—	—	34.38%
2	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	15.62%
3	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	—	3.12%	—	18.75%
4	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	25.00%	31.25%	28.12%	9.38%	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Lommel — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.66
Mean allowed	1.44
StdDev scored	1.45
StdDev allowed	1.24
Mean total goals/game	3.09
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.236
Games played	32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	6.25%	—	—	—	6.25%
1	12.50%	15.62%	9.38%	—	—	—	37.50%
2	3.12%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	—	18.75%
3	6.25%	15.62%	3.12%	—	—	—	25.00%
4	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	31.25%	46.88%	21.88%	—	—	—	100%

RWD Molenbeek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.03
Mean allowed	0.91
StdDev scored	1.26
StdDev allowed	0.73
Mean total goals/game	2.94
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.381
Games played	32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	—	3.12%	28.12%
1	9.38%	12.50%	9.38%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	46.88%
2	3.12%	3.12%	15.62%	—	3.12%	—	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.88%	21.88%	28.12%	12.50%	9.38%	6.25%	100%

Standard Liege II — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	0.74
StdDev allowed	1.56
Mean total goals/game	2.84
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.052
Games played	32

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	RWD Molenbeek	69	33.9	+35.13
2	Beveren	68	36.0	+31.95
3	Club NXT	49	25.2	+23.80
4	Lommel	51	28.5	+22.54
5	Deinze	49	29.6	+19.38

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Genk II	26	31.7	-5.74
2	Standard Liege II	27	31.9	-4.86
3	Anderlecht II	37	35.7	+1.31
4	Excelsior Virton	25	21.0	+3.97
5	Dender	39	27.7	+11.30

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Lommel	5	Nov 18 – Dec 17	1 in 259
2	Beerschot	6	Nov 6 – Dec 11	1 in 212
3	RWD Molenbeek	7	Dec 11 – Feb 26	1 in 174
4	Club NXT	4	Nov 25 – Jan 20	1 in 113
5	Lierse Kempenzonen	4	Aug 21 – Sep 9	1 in 74

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Dender	5	Nov 25 – Jan 24	1 in 270
2	Anderlecht II	5	Mar 3 – Apr 8	1 in 131
3	Standard Liege II	4	Nov 26 – Dec 17	1 in 82
4	Deinze	4	Sep 3 – Oct 1	1 in 70
5	Excelsior Virton	5	Oct 21 – Nov 18	1 in 30

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Club NXT	6	Sep 10 – Oct 21	1 in 44
2	Excelsior Virton	5	Aug 12 – Sep 11	1 in 36
3	Dender	7	Mar 10 – May 6	1 in 21
4	Beveren	9	Mar 4 – May 13	1 in 14
5	Lommel	5	Nov 18 – Dec 17	1 in 14

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Genk II	9	Mar 5 – May 12	1 in 111
2	Anderlecht II	10	Feb 26 – May 13	1 in 73
3	Standard Liege II	9	Mar 5 – May 12	1 in 53
4	Excelsior Virton	13	Sep 18 – Dec 17	1 in 45
5	Dender	8	Nov 25 – Feb 11	1 in 35

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
RWD Molenbeek	12.00%	18.00%	19.00%	17.00%	2.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%
Beveren	29.00%	20.00%	8.00%	12.00%	10.00%	9.00%	6.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Lommel	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	8.00%	10.00%	10.00%	10.00%	14.00%	9.00%	12.00%	12.00%	4.00%
Club NXT	2.00%	1.00%	4.00%	2.00%	7.00%	4.00%	7.00%	6.00%	15.00%	18.00%	21.00%	13.00%
Deinze	7.00%	6.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	12.00%	11.00%	19.00%	9.00%	6.00%	9.00%	4.00%
Beerschot	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	13.00%	17.00%	5.00%	9.00%	13.00%	5.00%	8.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Lierse Kempenzonen	—	7.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%	10.00%	9.00%	17.00%	10.00%	13.00%	10.00%
Dender	1.00%	5.00%	10.00%	7.00%	3.00%	7.00%	7.00%	7.00%	13.00%	18.00%	16.00%	6.00%
Anderlecht II	25.00%	12.00%	16.00%	9.00%	7.00%	12.00%	8.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	3.00%	—
Standard Liege II	5.00%	9.00%	10.00%	12.00%	12.00%	16.00%	10.00%	6.00%	3.00%	8.00%	5.00%	4.00%
Genk II	7.00%	7.00%	13.00%	8.00%	16.00%	9.00%	9.00%	9.00%	12.00%	5.00%	1.00%	4.00%
Excelsior Virton	—	—	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	6.00%	6.00%	7.00%	10.00%	17.00%	50.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Won promotion playoff	Qualified for promotion playoff	Same level	Qualified for relegation playoff
Beveren	40.0%	—	54.0%	6.0%
Anderlecht II	21.0%	2.0%	67.0%	10.0%
RWD Molenbeek	19.0%	2.0%	61.0%	18.0%
Beerschot	9.0%	3.0%	61.0%	27.0%
Standard Liege II	4.0%	—	72.0%	24.0%
Deinze	2.0%	1.0%	55.0%	42.0%
Lierse Kempenzonen	2.0%	5.0%	36.0%	57.0%
Lommel	2.0%	4.0%	47.0%	47.0%
Dender	1.0%	2.0%	37.0%	60.0%
Club NXT	—	—	100%	—
Excelsior Virton	—	1.0%	10.0%	89.0%
Genk II	—	—	100%	—

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2022-08-12	Lommel	L 1-4	1556	1544	43.3%	26.8%	29.8%	-18.5	0
2022-08-12	@ Dender	W 4-1	1544	1556	29.8%	26.8%	43.3%	+18.6	3
2022-08-12	RWD Molenbeek	D 1-1	1471	1568	28.7%	26.6%	44.7%	+0.6	1
2022-08-12	@ Excelsior Virton	D 1-1	1568	1471	44.7%	26.6%	28.7%	-0.6	1
2022-08-13	Beveren	W 1-0	1564	1566	41.5%	27.1%	31.5%	+6.3	3
2022-08-13	@ Beerschot	L 0-1	1566	1564	31.5%	27.1%	41.5%	-6.3	0
2022-08-13	Standard Liege II	D 2-2	1492	1628	24.6%	25.3%	50.1%	+0.7	1
2022-08-13	@ Club NXT	D 2-2	1628	1492	50.1%	25.3%	24.6%	-0.8	1
2022-08-14	Deinze	D 0-0	1628	1568	50.1%	25.3%	24.6%	-1.1	1
2022-08-14	@ Anderlecht II	D 0-0	1568	1628	24.6%	25.3%	50.1%	+1.1	1
2022-08-14	Lierse Kempenzonen	W 4-1	1628	1521	56.3%	23.1%	20.6%	+9.9	3
2022-08-14	@ Genk II	L 1-4	1521	1628	20.6%	23.1%	56.3%	-9.9	0
2022-08-19	Genk II	W 3-2	1569	1638	32.1%	27.1%	40.8%	+6.9	4
2022-08-19	@ Deinze	L 2-3	1638	1569	40.8%	27.1%	32.1%	-6.9	3
2022-08-19	Beerschot	D 2-2	1627	1570	49.6%	25.4%	24.9%	-0.7	2
2022-08-19	@ Standard Liege II	D 2-2	1570	1627	24.9%	25.4%	49.6%	+0.7	4
2022-08-20	Dender	W 1-0	1567	1537	46.0%	26.3%	27.7%	+5.7	4
2022-08-20	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 0-1	1537	1567	27.7%	26.3%	46.0%	-5.7	0
2022-08-20	Excelsior Virton	D 2-2	1559	1472	53.8%	24.1%	22.1%	-0.9	1
2022-08-20	@ Beveren	D 2-2	1472	1559	22.1%	24.1%	53.8%	+0.9	2
2022-08-21	Club NXT	W 3-1	1511	1493	44.4%	26.6%	29.0%	+9.7	3
2022-08-21	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	L 1-3	1493	1511	29.0%	26.6%	44.4%	-9.7	1
2022-08-21	Anderlecht II	L 0-2	1563	1627	32.8%	27.2%	40.0%	-12.3	3
2022-08-21	@ Lommel	W 2-0	1627	1563	40.0%	27.2%	32.8%	+12.3	4
2022-08-26	Standard Liege II	L 0-1	1531	1626	28.9%	26.6%	44.5%	-5.9	0
2022-08-26	@ Dender	W 1-0	1626	1531	44.5%	26.6%	28.9%	+5.9	5
2022-08-26	Lommel	L 0-3	1631	1551	52.8%	24.4%	22.8%	-25.6	3
2022-08-26	@ Genk II	W 3-0	1551	1631	22.8%	24.4%	52.8%	+25.6	6
2022-08-27	Beveren	D 2-2	1639	1558	52.9%	24.4%	22.7%	-0.9	5
2022-08-27	@ Anderlecht II	D 2-2	1558	1639	22.7%	24.4%	52.9%	+0.9	2
2022-08-27	Excelsior Virton	D 1-1	1576	1473	55.9%	23.3%	20.9%	-1.4	5
2022-08-27	@ Deinze	D 1-1	1473	1576	20.9%	23.3%	55.9%	+1.4	3
2022-08-28	Lierse Kempenzonen	L 2-3	1571	1521	48.7%	25.7%	25.6%	-7.9	4
2022-08-28	@ Beerschot	W 3-2	1521	1571	25.6%	25.7%	48.7%	+7.9	6
2022-08-28	RWD Molenbeek	W 2-1	1483	1573	29.5%	26.8%	43.8%	+7.6	4
2022-08-28	@ Club NXT	L 1-2	1573	1483	43.8%	26.8%	29.5%	-7.6	4
2022-09-02	Anderlecht II	D 2-2	1565	1638	31.6%	27.1%	41.3%	+0.3	5
2022-09-02	@ RWD Molenbeek	D 2-2	1638	1565	41.3%	27.1%	31.6%	-0.3	6
2022-09-02	Genk II	D 2-2	1632	1605	45.6%	26.4%	28.0%	-0.5	6
2022-09-02	@ Standard Liege II	D 2-2	1605	1632	28.0%	26.4%	45.6%	+0.5	4
2022-09-03	Beerschot	L 1-2	1491	1563	31.6%	27.1%	41.3%	-6.0	4
2022-09-03	@ Club NXT	W 2-1	1563	1491	41.3%	27.1%	31.6%	+6.0	7
2022-09-03	Deinze	W 4-1	1529	1574	35.3%	27.3%	37.4%	+16.6	9
2022-09-03	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	L 1-4	1574	1529	37.4%	27.3%	35.3%	-16.6	5
2022-09-04	Dender	D 1-1	1474	1526	34.4%	27.3%	38.3%	+0.2	4
2022-09-04	@ Excelsior Virton	D 1-1	1526	1474	38.3%	27.3%	34.4%	-0.1	1
2022-09-04	Beveren	L 0-2	1576	1559	44.1%	26.7%	29.2%	-15.4	6
2022-09-04	@ Lommel	W 2-0	1559	1576	29.2%	26.7%	44.1%	+15.4	5
2022-09-09	Lommel	L 0-2	1569	1561	42.9%	26.9%	30.2%	-15.0	7
2022-09-09	@ Beerschot	W 2-0	1561	1569	30.2%	26.9%	42.9%	+15.0	9
2022-09-09	Lierse Kempenzonen	L 2-3	1525	1546	38.9%	27.3%	33.9%	-6.6	1
2022-09-09	@ Dender	W 3-2	1546	1525	33.9%	27.3%	38.9%	+6.6	12
2022-09-10	Club NXT	D 1-1	1638	1485	62.3%	20.3%	17.4%	-1.8	7
2022-09-10	@ Anderlecht II	D 1-1	1485	1638	17.4%	20.3%	62.3%	+1.8	5
2022-09-10	Standard Liege II	W 2-1	1575	1632	33.7%	27.3%	39.1%	+7.0	8
2022-09-10	@ Beveren	L 1-2	1632	1575	39.1%	27.3%	33.7%	-7.0	6
2022-09-11	RWD Molenbeek	L 1-2	1557	1566	40.6%	27.2%	32.3%	-7.2	5
2022-09-11	@ Deinze	W 2-1	1566	1557	32.3%	27.2%	40.6%	+7.2	8
2022-09-11	Excelsior Virton	L 0-1	1606	1474	59.6%	21.6%	18.8%	-10.2	4
2022-09-11	@ Genk II	W 1-0	1474	1606	18.8%	21.6%	59.6%	+10.2	7
2022-09-16	Dender	L 0-2	1550	1519	46.2%	26.3%	27.5%	-15.9	5
2022-09-16	@ Deinze	W 2-0	1519	1550	27.5%	26.3%	46.2%	+15.9	4
2022-09-16	Anderlecht II	L 2-3	1552	1636	30.2%	26.9%	42.9%	-5.5	12
2022-09-16	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	W 3-2	1636	1552	42.9%	26.9%	30.2%	+5.5	10
2022-09-17	Beveren	D 2-2	1487	1582	28.9%	26.6%	44.5%	+0.4	6
2022-09-17	@ Club NXT	D 2-2	1582	1487	44.5%	26.6%	28.9%	-0.5	9
2022-09-17	Genk II	D 1-1	1573	1595	38.5%	27.3%	34.2%	-0.2	9
2022-09-17	@ RWD Molenbeek	D 1-1	1595	1573	34.2%	27.3%	38.5%	+0.2	5
2022-09-18	Beerschot	L 1-2	1484	1554	32.0%	27.1%	40.9%	-6.0	7
2022-09-18	@ Excelsior Virton	W 2-1	1554	1484	40.9%	27.1%	32.0%	+6.0	10
2022-09-18	Standard Liege II	L 0-1	1576	1625	34.8%	27.3%	37.9%	-6.8	9
2022-09-18	@ Lommel	W 1-0	1625	1576	37.9%	27.3%	34.8%	+6.8	9
2022-09-30	Club NXT	D 3-3	1478	1487	40.5%	27.2%	32.3%	-0.2	8
2022-09-30	@ Excelsior Virton	D 3-3	1487	1478	32.3%	27.2%	40.5%	+0.2	7
2022-09-30	Dender	L 0-2	1595	1535	50.2%	25.3%	24.5%	-17.0	5
2022-09-30	@ Genk II	W 2-0	1535	1595	24.5%	25.3%	50.2%	+17.0	7
2022-10-01	Deinze	W 2-0	1560	1534	45.4%	26.5%	28.2%	+10.9	13
2022-10-01	@ Beerschot	L 0-2	1534	1560	28.2%	26.5%	45.4%	-10.9	5
2022-10-01	RWD Molenbeek	W 2-1	1569	1573	41.2%	27.1%	31.7%	+6.0	12
2022-10-01	@ Lommel	L 1-2	1573	1569	31.7%	27.1%	41.2%	-6.0	9
2022-10-02	Lierse Kempenzonen	W 5-0	1581	1547	46.6%	26.2%	27.2%	+24.7	12
2022-10-02	@ Beveren	L 0-5	1547	1581	27.2%	26.2%	46.6%	-24.7	12
2022-10-02	Anderlecht II	L 1-3	1631	1641	40.3%	27.2%	32.5%	-12.4	9
2022-10-02	@ Standard Liege II	W 3-1	1641	1631	32.5%	27.2%	40.3%	+12.4	13
2022-10-07	Excelsior Virton	W 3-1	1654	1478	65.1%	18.9%	16.1%	+5.2	16
2022-10-07	@ Anderlecht II	L 1-3	1478	1654	16.1%	18.9%	65.1%	-5.2	8
2022-10-07	Beveren	L 0-3	1552	1606	34.0%	27.3%	38.7%	-18.4	7
2022-10-07	@ Dender	W 3-0	1606	1552	38.7%	27.3%	34.0%	+18.4	15
2022-10-08	Lommel	W 3-0	1523	1575	34.4%	27.3%	38.3%	+20.1	8
2022-10-08	@ Deinze	L 0-3	1575	1523	38.3%	27.3%	34.4%	-20.1	12
2022-10-08	Beerschot	W 2-0	1567	1571	41.1%	27.1%	31.8%	+12.0	12
2022-10-08	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 0-2	1571	1567	31.8%	27.1%	41.1%	-12.0	13
2022-10-09	Genk II	W 3-1	1487	1579	29.3%	26.7%	44.0%	+13.3	10
2022-10-09	@ Club NXT	L 1-3	1579	1487	44.0%	26.7%	29.3%	-13.3	5
2022-10-09	Standard Liege II	W 2-0	1522	1619	28.7%	26.6%	44.8%	+15.5	15
2022-10-09	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	L 0-2	1619	1522	44.8%	26.6%	28.7%	-15.5	9
2022-10-14	Deinze	W 2-1	1624	1544	52.9%	24.4%	22.7%	+4.5	18
2022-10-14	@ Beveren	L 1-2	1544	1624	22.7%	24.4%	52.9%	-4.5	8
2022-10-14	RWD Molenbeek	L 1-4	1603	1579	45.2%	26.5%	28.3%	-19.2	9
2022-10-14	@ Standard Liege II	W 4-1	1579	1603	28.3%	26.5%	45.2%	+19.2	15
2022-10-15	Lierse Kempenzonen	D 0-0	1473	1538	32.6%	27.2%	40.2%	+0.3	9
2022-10-15	@ Excelsior Virton	D 0-0	1538	1473	40.2%	27.2%	32.6%	-0.3	16
2022-10-15	Club NXT	L 3-4	1555	1501	49.4%	25.5%	25.1%	-7.8	12
2022-10-15	@ Lommel	W 4-3	1501	1555	25.1%	25.5%	49.4%	+7.8	13
2022-10-16	Dender	D 1-1	1559	1533	45.4%	26.5%	28.2%	-0.7	14
2022-10-16	@ Beerschot	D 1-1	1533	1559	28.2%	26.5%	45.4%	+0.7	8
2022-10-16	Anderlecht II	W 3-2	1565	1659	29.0%	26.7%	44.3%	+7.3	8
2022-10-16	@ Genk II	L 2-3	1659	1565	44.3%	26.7%	29.0%	-7.3	16
2022-10-21	Deinze	W 2-0	1508	1539	37.3%	27.3%	35.3%	+13.0	16
2022-10-21	@ Club NXT	L 0-2	1539	1508	35.3%	27.3%	37.3%	-13.0	8
2022-10-21	Excelsior Virton	W 2-1	1584	1473	56.9%	22.8%	20.3%	+4.0	12
2022-10-21	@ Standard Liege II	L 1-2	1473	1584	20.3%	22.8%	56.9%	-4.0	9
2022-10-22	Dender	L 0-2	1652	1534	57.8%	22.4%	19.8%	-18.9	16
2022-10-22	@ Anderlecht II	W 2-0	1534	1652	19.8%	22.4%	57.8%	+18.9	11
2022-10-22	Beerschot	L 1-2	1573	1558	43.8%	26.8%	29.5%	-7.6	8
2022-10-22	@ Genk II	W 2-1	1558	1573	29.5%	26.8%	43.8%	+7.6	17
2022-10-23	Lommel	W 3-1	1537	1547	40.3%	27.2%	32.5%	+10.6	19
2022-10-23	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	L 1-3	1547	1537	32.5%	27.2%	40.3%	-10.6	12
2022-10-23	Beveren	W 3-1	1598	1629	37.3%	27.3%	35.4%	+11.3	18
2022-10-23	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 1-3	1629	1598	35.4%	27.3%	37.3%	-11.3	18
2022-10-28	Standard Liege II	W 4-1	1526	1588	33.0%	27.2%	39.8%	+17.4	11
2022-10-28	@ Deinze	L 1-4	1588	1526	39.8%	27.2%	33.0%	-17.4	12
2022-10-28	Excelsior Virton	W 3-1	1537	1469	51.1%	25.0%	23.9%	+8.1	15
2022-10-28	@ Lommel	L 1-3	1469	1537	23.9%	25.0%	51.1%	-8.1	9
2022-10-29	Anderlecht II	L 1-2	1566	1633	32.3%	27.2%	40.5%	-6.1	17
2022-10-29	@ Beerschot	W 2-1	1633	1566	40.5%	27.2%	32.3%	+6.1	19
2022-10-29	Club NXT	W 3-2	1553	1521	46.2%	26.3%	27.5%	+5.1	14
2022-10-29	@ Dender	L 2-3	1521	1553	27.5%	26.3%	46.2%	-5.1	16
2022-10-30	Lierse Kempenzonen	W 3-0	1609	1548	50.3%	25.2%	24.5%	+14.0	21
2022-10-30	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 0-3	1548	1609	24.5%	25.2%	50.3%	-13.9	19
2022-10-30	Genk II	W 3-0	1618	1565	49.1%	25.6%	25.3%	+14.4	21
2022-10-30	@ Beveren	L 0-3	1565	1618	25.3%	25.6%	49.1%	-14.4	8
2022-11-04	Standard Liege II	W 3-0	1639	1571	51.2%	24.9%	23.8%	+13.6	22
2022-11-04	@ Anderlecht II	L 0-3	1571	1639	23.8%	24.9%	51.2%	-13.6	12
2022-11-04	RWD Molenbeek	L 0-1	1558	1623	32.6%	27.2%	40.3%	-6.5	14
2022-11-04	@ Dender	W 1-0	1623	1558	40.3%	27.2%	32.6%	+6.5	24
2022-11-05	Deinze	L 0-1	1461	1543	30.4%	26.9%	42.7%	-6.2	9
2022-11-05	@ Excelsior Virton	W 1-0	1543	1461	42.7%	26.9%	30.4%	+6.2	14
2022-11-05	Club NXT	W 1-0	1632	1516	57.5%	22.6%	19.9%	+4.1	24
2022-11-05	@ Beveren	L 0-1	1516	1632	19.9%	22.6%	57.5%	-4.1	16
2022-11-06	Genk II	W 4-2	1534	1551	39.4%	27.2%	33.4%	+9.7	22
2022-11-06	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	L 2-4	1551	1534	33.4%	27.2%	39.4%	-9.7	8
2022-11-06	Beerschot	L 1-3	1545	1560	39.6%	27.2%	33.2%	-12.3	15
2022-11-06	@ Lommel	W 3-1	1560	1545	33.2%	27.2%	39.6%	+12.3	20
2022-11-11	Anderlecht II	D 2-2	1512	1652	24.1%	25.1%	50.8%	+0.8	17
2022-11-11	@ Club NXT	D 2-2	1652	1512	50.8%	25.1%	24.1%	-0.8	23
2022-11-11	Dender	D 1-1	1557	1551	42.6%	26.9%	30.5%	-0.5	13
2022-11-11	@ Standard Liege II	D 1-1	1551	1557	30.5%	26.9%	42.6%	+0.5	15
2022-11-12	Excelsior Virton	W 3-0	1572	1455	57.7%	22.5%	19.8%	+11.2	23
2022-11-12	@ Beerschot	L 0-3	1455	1572	19.8%	22.5%	57.7%	-11.2	9
2022-11-12	Deinze	D 0-0	1541	1550	40.5%	27.2%	32.4%	-0.3	9
2022-11-12	@ Genk II	D 0-0	1550	1541	32.4%	27.2%	40.5%	+0.3	15
2022-11-13	Beveren	L 1-5	1544	1636	29.2%	26.7%	44.1%	-17.7	22
2022-11-13	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	W 5-1	1636	1544	44.1%	26.7%	29.2%	+17.7	27
2022-11-13	Lommel	W 5-0	1630	1533	55.1%	23.6%	21.3%	+19.6	27
2022-11-13	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 0-5	1533	1630	21.3%	23.6%	55.1%	-19.6	15
2022-11-18	Standard Liege II	L 0-2	1444	1557	26.9%	26.1%	47.0%	-10.5	9
2022-11-18	@ Excelsior Virton	W 2-0	1557	1444	47.0%	26.1%	26.9%	+10.5	16
2022-11-18	Genk II	W 2-1	1513	1541	37.8%	27.3%	34.9%	+6.5	18
2022-11-18	@ Lommel	L 1-2	1541	1513	34.9%	27.3%	37.8%	-6.5	9
2022-11-19	Club NXT	W 1-0	1583	1513	51.5%	24.9%	23.6%	+4.9	26
2022-11-19	@ Beerschot	L 0-1	1513	1583	23.6%	24.9%	51.5%	-4.9	17
2022-11-19	RWD Molenbeek	D 1-1	1654	1649	42.4%	26.9%	30.6%	-0.4	28
2022-11-19	@ Beveren	D 1-1	1649	1654	30.6%	26.9%	42.4%	+0.4	28
2022-11-20	Lierse Kempenzonen	W 2-1	1550	1526	45.1%	26.5%	28.3%	+5.5	18
2022-11-20	@ Deinze	L 1-2	1526	1550	28.3%	26.5%	45.1%	-5.5	22
2022-11-20	Anderlecht II	W 2-1	1552	1652	28.3%	26.5%	45.2%	+7.8	18
2022-11-20	@ Dender	L 1-2	1652	1552	45.2%	26.5%	28.3%	-7.8	23
2022-11-25	Dender	W 4-1	1508	1560	34.4%	27.3%	38.3%	+16.9	20
2022-11-25	@ Club NXT	L 1-4	1560	1508	38.3%	27.3%	34.4%	-16.9	18
2022-11-25	RWD Molenbeek	W 2-0	1534	1650	26.6%	26.0%	47.4%	+16.2	12
2022-11-25	@ Genk II	L 0-2	1650	1534	47.4%	26.0%	26.6%	-16.2	28
2022-11-26	Beerschot	L 1-2	1644	1588	49.5%	25.5%	25.0%	-8.4	23
2022-11-26	@ Anderlecht II	W 2-1	1588	1644	25.0%	25.5%	49.5%	+8.4	29
2022-11-26	Deinze	L 1-2	1567	1555	43.4%	26.8%	29.8%	-7.6	16
2022-11-26	@ Standard Liege II	W 2-1	1555	1567	29.8%	26.8%	43.4%	+7.6	21
2022-11-27	Excelsior Virton	D 2-2	1520	1433	53.8%	24.1%	22.2%	-0.9	23
2022-11-27	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	D 2-2	1433	1520	22.2%	24.1%	53.8%	+0.9	10
2022-11-27	Lommel	L 2-3	1653	1519	59.9%	21.5%	18.6%	-9.2	28
2022-11-27	@ Beveren	W 3-2	1519	1653	18.6%	21.5%	59.9%	+9.2	21
2022-12-02	Genk II	W 2-0	1635	1550	53.5%	24.2%	22.3%	+8.8	26
2022-12-02	@ Anderlecht II	L 0-2	1550	1635	22.3%	24.2%	53.5%	-8.8	12
2022-12-02	Lierse Kempenzonen	L 2-4	1560	1519	47.4%	26.0%	26.6%	-12.6	16
2022-12-02	@ Standard Liege II	W 4-2	1519	1560	26.6%	26.0%	47.4%	+12.6	26
2022-12-03	Lommel	L 0-1	1434	1529	29.0%	26.6%	44.4%	-5.9	10
2022-12-03	@ Excelsior Virton	W 1-0	1529	1434	44.4%	26.6%	29.0%	+5.9	24
2022-12-03	Club NXT	L 0-2	1633	1525	56.6%	23.0%	20.4%	-18.6	28
2022-12-03	@ RWD Molenbeek	W 2-0	1525	1633	20.4%	23.0%	56.6%	+18.6	23
2022-12-04	Beveren	L 1-4	1563	1644	30.5%	26.9%	42.5%	-14.3	21
2022-12-04	@ Deinze	W 4-1	1644	1563	42.5%	26.9%	30.5%	+14.2	31
2022-12-04	Beerschot	L 2-3	1543	1597	34.1%	27.3%	38.7%	-6.0	18
2022-12-04	@ Dender	W 3-2	1597	1543	38.7%	27.3%	34.1%	+6.0	32
2022-12-09	Club NXT	L 1-2	1542	1543	41.5%	27.1%	31.5%	-7.3	12
2022-12-09	@ Genk II	W 2-1	1543	1542	31.5%	27.1%	41.5%	+7.3	26
2022-12-09	Anderlecht II	W 4-1	1658	1644	43.8%	26.8%	29.5%	+13.9	34
2022-12-09	@ Beveren	L 1-4	1644	1658	29.5%	26.8%	43.8%	-13.9	26
2022-12-10	Dender	W 2-1	1532	1537	41.1%	27.1%	31.8%	+6.0	29
2022-12-10	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	L 1-2	1537	1532	31.8%	27.1%	41.1%	-6.0	18
2022-12-11	Standard Liege II	W 1-0	1603	1547	49.5%	25.5%	25.0%	+5.2	35
2022-12-11	@ Beerschot	L 0-1	1547	1603	25.0%	25.5%	49.5%	-5.2	16
2022-12-11	Deinze	W 1-0	1535	1549	39.7%	27.2%	33.1%	+6.6	27
2022-12-11	@ Lommel	L 0-1	1549	1535	33.1%	27.2%	39.7%	-6.6	21
2022-12-11	Excelsior Virton	W 3-1	1615	1428	66.4%	18.1%	15.4%	+5.0	31
2022-12-11	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 1-3	1428	1615	15.4%	18.1%	66.4%	-5.0	10
2022-12-17	Beveren	D 0-0	1423	1672	16.2%	19.0%	64.8%	+2.2	11
2022-12-17	@ Excelsior Virton	D 0-0	1672	1423	64.8%	19.0%	16.2%	-2.2	35
2022-12-17	Lommel	L 0-3	1542	1541	41.8%	27.0%	31.1%	-21.4	16
2022-12-17	@ Standard Liege II	W 3-0	1541	1542	31.1%	27.0%	41.8%	+21.4	30
2022-12-18	RWD Molenbeek	L 1-2	1630	1620	43.2%	26.8%	29.9%	-7.6	26
2022-12-18	@ Anderlecht II	W 2-1	1620	1630	29.9%	26.8%	43.2%	+7.6	34
2023-01-15	Beerschot	W 3-2	1542	1608	32.5%	27.2%	40.3%	+6.8	24
2023-01-15	@ Deinze	L 2-3	1608	1542	40.3%	27.2%	32.5%	-6.8	35
2023-01-20	Lommel	W 2-1	1551	1563	40.1%	27.2%	32.7%	+6.2	29
2023-01-20	@ Club NXT	L 1-2	1563	1551	32.7%	27.2%	40.1%	-6.1	30
2023-01-21	Excelsior Virton	L 3-4	1531	1426	56.1%	23.2%	20.7%	-8.5	18
2023-01-21	@ Dender	W 4-3	1426	1531	20.7%	23.2%	56.1%	+8.5	14
2023-01-21	Deinze	W 2-1	1627	1549	52.6%	24.5%	22.9%	+4.5	37
2023-01-21	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 1-2	1549	1627	22.9%	24.5%	52.6%	-4.5	24
2023-01-22	Lierse Kempenzonen	D 3-3	1623	1538	53.5%	24.2%	22.4%	-0.8	27
2023-01-22	@ Anderlecht II	D 3-3	1538	1623	22.4%	24.2%	53.5%	+0.8	30
2023-01-22	Beerschot	W 2-0	1670	1601	51.3%	24.9%	23.8%	+9.3	38
2023-01-22	@ Beveren	L 0-2	1601	1670	23.8%	24.9%	51.3%	-9.3	35
2023-01-24	Genk II	L 0-1	1522	1534	40.0%	27.2%	32.8%	-7.6	18
2023-01-24	@ Dender	W 1-0	1534	1522	32.8%	27.2%	40.0%	+7.6	15
2023-01-27	Genk II	W 3-2	1592	1542	48.7%	25.7%	25.6%	+4.7	38
2023-01-27	@ Beerschot	L 2-3	1542	1592	25.6%	25.7%	48.7%	-4.8	15
2023-01-27	Club NXT	W 2-1	1545	1557	40.0%	27.2%	32.8%	+6.2	27
2023-01-27	@ Deinze	L 1-2	1557	1545	32.8%	27.2%	40.0%	-6.2	29
2023-01-28	Anderlecht II	L 1-3	1434	1622	20.2%	22.8%	57.1%	-6.8	14
2023-01-28	@ Excelsior Virton	W 3-1	1622	1434	57.1%	22.8%	20.2%	+6.8	30
2023-01-28	Dender	D 1-1	1556	1515	47.6%	26.0%	26.4%	-0.8	31
2023-01-28	@ Lommel	D 1-1	1515	1556	26.4%	26.0%	47.6%	+0.8	19
2023-01-29	RWD Molenbeek	L 1-2	1539	1632	29.1%	26.7%	44.2%	-5.6	30
2023-01-29	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	W 2-1	1632	1539	44.2%	26.7%	29.1%	+5.6	40
2023-01-29	Beveren	D 2-2	1520	1679	22.5%	24.2%	53.3%	+0.9	17
2023-01-29	@ Standard Liege II	D 2-2	1679	1520	53.3%	24.2%	22.5%	-0.9	39
2023-02-01	Lierse Kempenzonen	W 1-0	1551	1533	44.2%	26.7%	29.1%	+5.9	32
2023-02-01	@ Club NXT	L 0-1	1533	1551	29.1%	26.7%	44.2%	-5.9	30
2023-02-03	Lommel	D 2-2	1629	1556	51.9%	24.7%	23.4%	-0.8	31
2023-02-03	@ Anderlecht II	D 2-2	1556	1629	23.4%	24.7%	51.9%	+0.8	32
2023-02-03	Beveren	D 2-2	1537	1678	24.0%	25.0%	50.9%	+0.8	16
2023-02-03	@ Genk II	D 2-2	1678	1537	50.9%	25.0%	24.0%	-0.8	40
2023-02-04	Beerschot	W 1-0	1527	1596	32.0%	27.1%	40.8%	+7.7	33
2023-02-04	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	L 0-1	1596	1527	40.8%	27.1%	32.0%	-7.7	38
2023-02-04	Standard Liege II	W 3-1	1637	1521	57.6%	22.5%	19.9%	+6.7	43
2023-02-04	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 1-3	1521	1637	19.9%	22.5%	57.6%	-6.7	17
2023-02-05	Excelsior Virton	W 1-0	1557	1427	59.3%	21.8%	18.9%	+3.9	35
2023-02-05	@ Club NXT	L 0-1	1427	1557	18.9%	21.8%	59.3%	-3.9	14
2023-02-05	Deinze	L 0-1	1515	1551	36.7%	27.3%	36.0%	-7.1	19
2023-02-05	@ Dender	W 1-0	1551	1515	36.0%	27.3%	36.7%	+7.1	30
2023-02-11	Anderlecht II	L 2-3	1558	1628	31.9%	27.1%	41.0%	-5.7	30
2023-02-11	@ Deinze	W 3-2	1628	1558	41.0%	27.1%	31.9%	+5.7	34
2023-02-11	Lierse Kempenzonen	L 0-2	1556	1535	44.8%	26.6%	28.6%	-15.5	32
2023-02-11	@ Lommel	W 2-0	1535	1556	28.6%	26.6%	44.8%	+15.5	36
2023-02-11	Dender	W 5-2	1678	1508	64.3%	19.3%	16.4%	+6.6	43
2023-02-11	@ Beveren	L 2-5	1508	1678	16.4%	19.3%	64.3%	-6.6	19
2023-02-11	Club NXT	D 0-0	1515	1561	35.1%	27.3%	37.5%	+0.1	18
2023-02-11	@ Standard Liege II	D 0-0	1561	1515	37.5%	27.3%	35.1%	-0.1	36
2023-02-12	RWD Molenbeek	L 0-1	1589	1644	33.9%	27.3%	38.9%	-6.7	38
2023-02-12	@ Beerschot	W 1-0	1644	1589	38.9%	27.3%	33.9%	+6.7	46
2023-02-12	Genk II	L 0-1	1423	1538	26.7%	26.1%	47.2%	-5.5	14
2023-02-12	@ Excelsior Virton	W 1-0	1538	1423	47.2%	26.1%	26.7%	+5.5	19
2023-02-19	Standard Liege II	D 2-2	1543	1515	45.8%	26.4%	27.9%	-0.5	20
2023-02-19	@ Genk II	D 2-2	1515	1543	27.9%	26.4%	45.8%	+0.5	19

Second Phase Game Log

Every second-phase (championship / middle / relegation round) game from each team's perspective, filtered by the team selected at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game. The final column is running points within the second phase only.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2023-02-24	Excelsior Virton	W 2-1	1502	1418	53.3%	24.2%	22.4%	+4.4	3
2023-02-24	@ Dender	L 1-2	1418	1502	22.4%	24.2%	53.3%	-4.4	0
2023-02-24	Lommel	W 1-0	1515	1541	38.1%	27.3%	34.6%	+6.8	3
2023-02-24	@ Standard Liege II	L 0-1	1541	1515	34.6%	27.3%	38.1%	-6.8	0
2023-02-25	Beveren	W 3-0	1561	1684	25.8%	25.7%	48.5%	+24.0	3
2023-02-25	@ Club NXT	L 0-3	1684	1561	48.5%	25.7%	25.8%	-24.0	0
2023-02-25	Genk II	L 1-3	1552	1543	43.0%	26.9%	30.1%	-13.1	0
2023-02-25	@ Deinze	W 3-1	1543	1552	30.1%	26.9%	43.0%	+13.0	3
2023-02-26	Anderlecht II	D 0-0	1582	1634	34.4%	27.3%	38.3%	+0.2	1
2023-02-26	@ Beerschot	D 0-0	1634	1582	38.3%	27.3%	34.4%	-0.2	1
2023-02-26	Lierse Kempenzonen	W 3-1	1651	1550	55.5%	23.4%	21.1%	+7.2	3
2023-02-26	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 1-3	1550	1651	21.1%	23.4%	55.5%	-7.2	0
2023-03-03	Club NXT	L 1-2	1634	1585	48.6%	25.7%	25.7%	-8.3	1
2023-03-03	@ Anderlecht II	W 2-1	1585	1634	25.7%	25.7%	48.6%	+8.3	6
2023-03-03	Dender	W 1-0	1534	1506	45.7%	26.4%	27.9%	+5.7	3
2023-03-03	@ Lommel	L 0-1	1506	1534	27.9%	26.4%	45.7%	-5.7	3
2023-03-04	Deinze	L 1-2	1414	1539	25.6%	25.7%	48.7%	-5.0	0
2023-03-04	@ Excelsior Virton	W 2-1	1539	1414	48.7%	25.7%	25.6%	+5.0	3
2023-03-04	RWD Molenbeek	W 2-1	1660	1658	42.1%	27.0%	30.9%	+5.9	3
2023-03-04	@ Beveren	L 1-2	1658	1660	30.9%	27.0%	42.1%	-5.9	3
2023-03-05	Standard Liege II	D 1-1	1556	1522	46.5%	26.2%	27.3%	-0.7	4
2023-03-05	@ Genk II	D 1-1	1522	1556	27.3%	26.2%	46.5%	+0.7	4
2023-03-05	Beerschot	L 0-1	1543	1582	36.1%	27.3%	36.5%	-7.0	0
2023-03-05	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	W 1-0	1582	1543	36.5%	27.3%	36.1%	+7.0	4
2023-03-10	Beveren	L 0-1	1589	1666	31.1%	27.0%	41.9%	-6.3	4
2023-03-10	@ Beerschot	W 1-0	1666	1589	41.9%	27.0%	31.1%	+6.2	6
2023-03-10	Deinze	W 1-0	1500	1544	35.5%	27.3%	37.2%	+7.2	6
2023-03-10	@ Dender	L 0-1	1544	1500	37.2%	27.3%	35.5%	-7.2	3
2023-03-11	Standard Liege II	W 1-0	1409	1523	26.7%	26.1%	47.2%	+8.6	3
2023-03-11	@ Excelsior Virton	L 0-1	1523	1409	47.2%	26.1%	26.7%	-8.6	4
2023-03-11	Anderlecht II	W 2-0	1536	1625	29.6%	26.8%	43.7%	+15.2	3
2023-03-11	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	L 0-2	1625	1536	43.7%	26.8%	29.6%	-15.2	1
2023-03-12	Genk II	W 2-0	1540	1555	39.6%	27.2%	33.2%	+12.4	6
2023-03-12	@ Lommel	L 0-2	1555	1540	33.2%	27.2%	39.6%	-12.4	4
2023-03-12	Club NXT	W 3-2	1652	1593	50.0%	25.3%	24.7%	+4.6	6
2023-03-12	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 2-3	1593	1652	24.7%	25.3%	50.0%	-4.6	6
2023-03-17	Excelsior Virton	D 1-1	1543	1417	58.8%	22.0%	19.2%	-1.6	5
2023-03-17	@ Genk II	D 1-1	1417	1543	19.2%	22.0%	58.8%	+1.6	4
2023-03-17	Lierse Kempenzonen	W 2-0	1672	1552	58.2%	22.3%	19.5%	+7.6	9
2023-03-17	@ Beveren	L 0-2	1552	1672	19.5%	22.3%	58.2%	-7.6	3
2023-03-18	RWD Molenbeek	L 0-4	1610	1657	35.1%	27.3%	37.6%	-24.6	1
2023-03-18	@ Anderlecht II	W 4-0	1657	1610	37.6%	27.3%	35.1%	+24.6	9
2023-03-18	Lommel	D 1-1	1537	1552	39.5%	27.2%	33.2%	-0.2	4
2023-03-18	@ Deinze	D 1-1	1552	1537	33.2%	27.2%	39.5%	+0.2	7
2023-03-19	Beerschot	W 2-1	1588	1583	42.5%	26.9%	30.6%	+5.8	9
2023-03-19	@ Club NXT	L 1-2	1583	1588	30.6%	26.9%	42.5%	-5.8	4
2023-03-19	Dender	D 1-1	1514	1508	42.7%	26.9%	30.4%	-0.5	5
2023-03-19	@ Standard Liege II	D 1-1	1508	1514	30.4%	26.9%	42.7%	+0.5	7
2023-03-31	Beveren	L 0-4	1586	1680	28.9%	26.6%	44.4%	-21.1	1
2023-03-31	@ Anderlecht II	W 4-0	1680	1586	44.4%	26.6%	28.9%	+21.1	12
2023-03-31	Genk II	W 1-0	1508	1541	37.0%	27.3%	35.7%	+7.0	10
2023-03-31	@ Dender	L 0-1	1541	1508	35.7%	27.3%	37.0%	-6.9	5
2023-04-01	Standard Liege II	W 5-0	1537	1514	45.0%	26.5%	28.5%	+25.7	7
2023-04-01	@ Deinze	L 0-5	1514	1537	28.5%	26.5%	45.0%	-25.7	5
2023-04-01	Club NXT	L 1-2	1544	1594	34.6%	27.3%	38.1%	-6.4	3
2023-04-01	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	W 2-1	1594	1544	38.1%	27.3%	34.6%	+6.4	12
2023-04-02	RWD Molenbeek	D 1-1	1577	1681	27.9%	26.4%	45.8%	+0.7	5
2023-04-02	@ Beerschot	D 1-1	1681	1577	45.8%	26.4%	27.9%	-0.7	10
2023-04-02	Excelsior Virton	L 1-2	1552	1419	59.9%	21.5%	18.6%	-9.7	7
2023-04-02	@ Lommel	W 2-1	1419	1552	18.6%	21.5%	59.9%	+9.7	7
2023-04-07	Dender	L 0-4	1534	1515	44.5%	26.6%	28.9%	-29.3	5
2023-04-07	@ Genk II	W 4-0	1515	1534	28.9%	26.6%	44.5%	+29.3	13
2023-04-07	Deinze	L 1-2	1488	1562	31.4%	27.1%	41.6%	-6.0	5
2023-04-07	@ Standard Liege II	W 2-1	1562	1488	41.6%	27.1%	31.4%	+6.0	10
2023-04-08	Lierse Kempenzonen	L 0-1	1600	1538	50.5%	25.2%	24.3%	-9.0	12
2023-04-08	@ Club NXT	W 1-0	1538	1600	24.3%	25.2%	50.5%	+9.0	6
2023-04-08	Anderlecht II	W 4-1	1701	1564	60.2%	21.3%	18.4%	+8.7	15
2023-04-08	@ Beveren	L 1-4	1564	1701	18.4%	21.3%	60.2%	-8.7	1
2023-04-09	Lommel	L 0-1	1428	1543	26.7%	26.1%	47.2%	-5.5	7
2023-04-09	@ Excelsior Virton	W 1-0	1543	1428	47.2%	26.1%	26.7%	+5.5	10
2023-04-09	Beerschot	W 4-0	1681	1578	55.8%	23.3%	20.9%	+15.6	13
2023-04-09	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 0-4	1578	1681	20.9%	23.3%	55.8%	-15.5	5
2023-04-14	Club NXT	W 4-0	1562	1591	37.6%	27.3%	35.1%	+24.6	8
2023-04-14	@ Beerschot	L 0-4	1591	1562	35.1%	27.3%	37.6%	-24.6	12
2023-04-14	Deinze	W 4-1	1548	1568	38.9%	27.3%	33.8%	+15.4	13
2023-04-14	@ Lommel	L 1-4	1568	1548	33.8%	27.3%	38.9%	-15.5	10
2023-04-15	Lierse Kempenzonen	D 2-2	1556	1547	43.0%	26.9%	30.1%	-0.4	2
2023-04-15	@ Anderlecht II	D 2-2	1547	1556	30.1%	26.9%	43.0%	+0.4	7
2023-04-15	Genk II	D 0-0	1482	1505	38.5%	27.3%	34.2%	-0.2	6
2023-04-15	@ Standard Liege II	D 0-0	1505	1482	34.2%	27.3%	38.5%	+0.2	6
2023-04-16	Dender	L 0-1	1423	1544	26.0%	25.8%	48.2%	-5.4	7
2023-04-16	@ Excelsior Virton	W 1-0	1544	1423	48.2%	25.8%	26.0%	+5.4	16
2023-04-16	Beveren	D 1-1	1696	1710	39.8%	27.2%	33.0%	-0.2	14
2023-04-16	@ RWD Molenbeek	D 1-1	1710	1696	33.0%	27.2%	39.8%	+0.2	16
2023-04-21	Anderlecht II	D 0-0	1567	1555	43.4%	26.8%	29.8%	-0.6	13
2023-04-21	@ Club NXT	D 0-0	1555	1567	29.8%	26.8%	43.4%	+0.6	3
2023-04-21	Standard Liege II	D 0-0	1550	1482	51.2%	25.0%	23.9%	-1.2	17
2023-04-21	@ Dender	D 0-0	1482	1550	23.9%	25.0%	51.2%	+1.2	7
2023-04-21	Lommel	L 2-3	1505	1564	33.4%	27.3%	39.4%	-5.9	6
2023-04-21	@ Genk II	W 3-2	1564	1505	39.4%	27.3%	33.4%	+5.9	16
2023-04-22	Excelsior Virton	W 3-1	1553	1417	60.1%	21.4%	18.5%	+6.2	13
2023-04-22	@ Deinze	L 1-3	1417	1553	18.5%	21.4%	60.1%	-6.2	7
2023-04-22	RWD Molenbeek	L 0-3	1547	1696	23.3%	24.7%	51.9%	-13.3	7
2023-04-22	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	W 3-0	1696	1547	51.9%	24.7%	23.3%	+13.3	17
2023-04-22	Beerschot	W 3-0	1710	1587	58.5%	22.1%	19.4%	+10.9	19
2023-04-22	@ Beveren	L 0-3	1587	1710	19.4%	22.1%	58.5%	-11.0	8
2023-05-05	Beerschot	L 0-2	1556	1576	38.9%	27.3%	33.9%	-14.0	3
2023-05-05	@ Anderlecht II	W 2-0	1576	1556	33.9%	27.3%	38.9%	+14.0	11
2023-05-05	Excelsior Virton	D 1-1	1483	1411	51.7%	24.8%	23.5%	-1.1	8
2023-05-05	@ Standard Liege II	D 1-1	1411	1483	23.5%	24.8%	51.7%	+1.1	8
2023-05-06	RWD Molenbeek	L 1-3	1566	1709	23.9%	25.0%	51.1%	-8.1	13
2023-05-06	@ Club NXT	W 3-1	1709	1566	51.1%	25.0%	23.9%	+8.1	20
2023-05-06	Lommel	W 2-1	1548	1570	38.7%	27.3%	34.0%	+6.3	20
2023-05-06	@ Dender	L 1-2	1570	1548	34.0%	27.3%	38.7%	-6.3	16
2023-05-06	Deinze	L 0-2	1499	1559	33.2%	27.2%	39.5%	-12.4	6
2023-05-06	@ Genk II	W 2-0	1559	1499	39.5%	27.2%	33.2%	+12.4	16
2023-05-07	Beveren	L 2-3	1534	1721	20.2%	22.8%	57.0%	-3.8	7
2023-05-07	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	W 3-2	1721	1534	57.0%	22.8%	20.2%	+3.7	22
2023-05-12	Dender	W 3-2	1571	1555	44.1%	26.7%	29.2%	+5.3	19
2023-05-12	@ Deinze	L 2-3	1555	1571	29.2%	26.7%	44.1%	-5.3	20
2023-05-12	Genk II	W 3-1	1412	1487	31.4%	27.1%	41.6%	+12.7	11
2023-05-12	@ Excelsior Virton	L 1-3	1487	1412	41.6%	27.1%	31.4%	-12.7	6
2023-05-12	Standard Liege II	W 6-1	1563	1482	53.0%	24.3%	22.7%	+17.2	19
2023-05-12	@ Lommel	L 1-6	1482	1563	22.7%	24.3%	53.0%	-17.2	8
2023-05-13	Lierse Kempenzonen	L 1-2	1590	1530	50.1%	25.3%	24.6%	-8.5	11
2023-05-13	@ Beerschot	W 2-1	1530	1590	24.6%	25.3%	50.1%	+8.5	10
2023-05-13	Anderlecht II	W 1-0	1717	1542	65.1%	18.9%	16.1%	+3.2	23
2023-05-13	@ RWD Molenbeek	L 0-1	1542	1717	16.1%	18.9%	65.1%	-3.2	3
2023-05-13	Club NXT	W 4-1	1725	1558	64.0%	19.4%	16.6%	+7.7	25
2023-05-13	@ Beveren	L 1-4	1558	1725	16.6%	19.4%	64.0%	-7.7	13

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2022-11-27	18.63%	Lommel	1519	3	@ Beveren	1653	2
2	2023-04-02	18.64%	Excelsior Virton	1419	2	@ Lommel	1552	1
3	2022-09-11	18.80%	Excelsior Virton	1474	1	@ Genk II	1606	0
4	2022-10-22	19.77%	Dender	1534	2	@ Anderlecht II	1652	0
5	2022-12-03	20.45%	Club NXT	1525	2	@ RWD Molenbeek	1633	0
6	2023-01-21	20.71%	Excelsior Virton	1426	4	@ Dender	1531	3
7	2022-08-26	22.77%	Lommel	1551	3	@ Genk II	1631	0
8	2023-04-08	24.32%	Lierse Kempenzonen	1538	1	@ Club NXT	1600	0
9	2022-09-30	24.53%	Dender	1535	2	@ Genk II	1595	0
10	2023-05-13	24.59%	Lierse Kempenzonen	1530	2	@ Beerschot	1590	1
11	2022-11-26	25.03%	Beerschot	1588	2	@ Anderlecht II	1644	1
12	2022-10-15	25.13%	Club NXT	1501	4	@ Lommel	1555	3
13	2022-08-28	25.59%	Lierse Kempenzonen	1521	3	@ Beerschot	1571	2
14	2023-03-03	25.67%	Club NXT	1585	2	@ Anderlecht II	1634	1
15	2023-02-25	25.76%	@ Club NXT	1561	3	Beveren	1684	0
16	2022-12-02	26.59%	Lierse Kempenzonen	1519	4	@ Standard Liege II	1560	2
17	2022-11-25	26.61%	@ Genk II	1534	2	RWD Molenbeek	1650	0
18	2023-03-11	26.74%	@ Excelsior Virton	1409	1	Standard Liege II	1523	0
19	2022-09-16	27.53%	Dender	1519	2	@ Deinze	1550	0
20	2022-10-14	28.27%	RWD Molenbeek	1579	4	@ Standard Liege II	1603	1
21	2022-11-20	28.32%	@ Dender	1552	2	Anderlecht II	1652	1
22	2023-02-11	28.65%	Lierse Kempenzonen	1535	2	@ Lommel	1556	0
23	2022-10-09	28.66%	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	1522	2	Standard Liege II	1619	0
24	2023-04-07	28.92%	Dender	1515	4	@ Genk II	1534	0
25	2022-10-16	29.03%	@ Genk II	1565	3	Anderlecht II	1659	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2023-04-07	29.31	Dender	4	1515	28.92%	@ Genk II	0	1534	44.45%
2	2023-04-01	25.71	@ Deinze	5	1537	44.97%	Standard Liege II	0	1514	28.49%
3	2022-08-26	25.61	Lommel	3	1551	22.77%	@ Genk II	0	1631	52.81%
4	2022-10-02	24.71	@ Beveren	5	1581	46.60%	Lierse Kempenzonen	0	1547	27.19%
5	2023-04-14	24.58	@ Beerschot	4	1562	37.58%	Club NXT	0	1591	35.09%
6	2023-03-18	24.58	RWD Molenbeek	4	1657	37.60%	@ Anderlecht II	0	1610	35.07%
7	2023-02-25	23.99	@ Club NXT	3	1561	25.76%	Beveren	0	1684	48.50%
8	2022-12-17	21.43	Lommel	3	1541	31.14%	@ Standard Liege II	0	1542	41.84%
9	2023-03-31	21.14	Beveren	4	1680	44.43%	@ Anderlecht II	0	1586	28.93%
10	2022-10-08	20.07	@ Deinze	3	1523	34.37%	Lommel	0	1575	38.33%
11	2022-11-13	19.61	@ RWD Molenbeek	5	1630	55.07%	Lommel	0	1533	21.35%
12	2022-10-14	19.17	RWD Molenbeek	4	1579	28.27%	@ Standard Liege II	1	1603	45.24%
13	2022-10-22	18.87	Dender	2	1534	19.77%	@ Anderlecht II	0	1652	57.78%
14	2022-12-03	18.57	Club NXT	2	1525	20.45%	@ RWD Molenbeek	0	1633	56.58%
15	2022-08-12	18.56	Lommel	4	1544	29.85%	@ Dender	1	1556	43.34%
16	2022-10-07	18.38	Beveren	3	1606	38.71%	@ Dender	0	1552	34.01%
17	2022-11-13	17.73	Beveren	5	1636	44.15%	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	1	1544	29.17%
18	2022-10-28	17.42	@ Deinze	4	1526	32.96%	Standard Liege II	1	1588	39.83%
19	2023-05-12	17.24	@ Lommel	6	1563	53.00%	Standard Liege II	1	1482	22.65%
20	2022-09-30	16.97	Dender	2	1535	24.53%	@ Genk II	0	1595	50.21%
21	2022-11-25	16.94	@ Club NXT	4	1508	34.36%	Dender	1	1560	38.34%
22	2022-09-03	16.63	@ Lierse Kempenzonen	4	1529	35.28%	Deinze	1	1574	37.39%
23	2022-11-25	16.22	@ Genk II	2	1534	26.61%	RWD Molenbeek	0	1650	47.36%
24	2022-09-16	15.91	Dender	2	1519	27.53%	@ Deinze	0	1550	46.17%
25	2023-04-09	15.55	@ RWD Molenbeek	4	1681	55.83%	Beerschot	0	1578	20.90%