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2002-03 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Austria Wien

70 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Admira Wacker Modling

12.79 points above expected

44 points · 31.21 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ried

7.20 points below expected

38 points · 45.20 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Austria Wien 36 21 7 8 70 59 28 +31 66.51 +3.49
2 Grazer AK 36 15 12 9 57 56 39 +17 60.28 -3.28
3 Austria Salzburg 36 15 11 10 56 51 46 +5 47.11 +8.89
4 Rapid Wien 36 13 12 11 51 40 38 +2 50.96 +0.04
5 SV PlusCity Pasching 36 13 10 13 49 41 37 +4 49.21 -0.21
6 Sturm Graz 36 14 5 17 47 50 62 -12 52.92 -5.92
7 Admira Wacker Modling 36 11 11 14 44 36 46 -10 31.21 +12.79
8 FC Karnten 36 11 8 17 41 45 57 -12 44.45 -3.45
9 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 36 9 12 15 39 48 58 -10 45.05 -6.05
10 Ried 36 10 8 18 38 41 56 -15 45.20 -7.20

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Admira Wacker Modling 44 31.21 +12.79
2 Austria Salzburg 56 47.11 +8.89
3 Austria Wien 70 66.51 +3.49
4 Rapid Wien 51 50.96 +0.04
5 SV PlusCity Pasching 49 49.21 -0.21

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ried 38 45.20 -7.20
2 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 39 45.05 -6.05
3 Sturm Graz 47 52.92 -5.92
4 FC Karnten 41 44.45 -3.45
5 Grazer AK 57 60.28 -3.28

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Salzburg 5 Mar 22 – Apr 23 1 in 241
2 Admira Wacker Modling 4 May 10 – May 29 1 in 194
3 SV PlusCity Pasching 4 Aug 17 – Sep 11 1 in 72
4 Sturm Graz 4 Jul 17 – Aug 7 1 in 19
5 Ried 2 Aug 24 – Aug 31 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Salzburg 4 Jul 10 – Jul 31 1 in 73
2 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 4 Nov 30 – Mar 8 1 in 57
3 FC Karnten 4 Oct 19 – Nov 6 1 in 37
4 Sturm Graz 3 Aug 18 – Aug 31 1 in 33
5 Ried 4 Apr 12 – Apr 26 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Salzburg 13 Mar 8 – May 29 1 in 477
2 Ried 6 Aug 24 – Sep 28 1 in 40
3 Admira Wacker Modling 4 Nov 23 – Mar 8 1 in 21
4 Rapid Wien 7 Jul 23 – Sep 11 1 in 18
5 SV PlusCity Pasching 6 Nov 23 – Mar 16 1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Wien 5 May 3 – May 29 1 in 71
2 Grazer AK 6 Jul 10 – Aug 17 1 in 31
3 Ried 9 Apr 12 – May 29 1 in 30
4 SV PlusCity Pasching 7 Apr 23 – May 29 1 in 29
5 Rapid Wien 5 Aug 31 – Sep 28 1 in 25

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Austria Wien 1772 70 -46 2 9.6 -7.6
Grazer AK 1781 57 +5 10 9.1 +0.9
Austria Salzburg 1715 56 +32 11 6.3 +4.7
Rapid Wien 1673 51 +19 13 6.9 +6.1
SV PlusCity Pasching 1657 49 -17 3 6.8 -3.8
Sturm Graz 1651 47 -15 2 7.1 -5.1
Admira Wacker Modling 1597 44 +31 12 5.5 +6.5
FC Karnten 1618 41 +2 4 4.9 -0.9
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1641 39 +24 10 6.0 +4.0
Ried 1593 38 -36 1 6.2 -5.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AWM AS AW FK GA RW RIE SPP SB SG
Admira Wacker Modling —
1-2-1
3.72
1-0-3
2.27
1-1-2
4.04
1-2-1
2.85
1-2-1
3.57
1-1-2
4.15
2-1-1
3.56
2-2-0
3.91
1-0-3
3.40
Austria Salzburg
1-2-1
7.26
 —
1-1-2
3.71
2-2-0
5.78
1-3-0
4.19
3-1-0
4.81
2-0-2
5.59
3-0-1
5.33
1-1-2
5.66
1-1-2
4.90
Austria Wien
3-0-1
9.02
2-1-1
7.32
 —
2-1-1
7.66
4-0-0
6.10
1-3-0
7.13
2-1-1
7.45
1-1-2
7.10
3-0-1
7.81
3-0-1
6.81
FC Karnten
2-1-1
6.93
0-2-2
5.11
1-1-2
3.40
 —
0-1-3
3.94
1-0-3
4.71
2-0-2
5.36
1-1-2
5.03
2-1-1
5.28
2-1-1
4.45
Grazer AK
1-2-1
8.30
0-3-1
6.74
0-0-4
4.80
3-1-0
7.03
 —
1-3-0
6.35
3-0-1
6.91
2-1-1
6.70
2-1-1
7.02
3-1-0
5.99
Rapid Wien
1-2-1
7.45
0-1-3
6.09
0-3-1
3.84
3-0-1
6.19
0-3-1
4.56
 —
1-2-1
6.19
2-0-2
5.62
3-1-0
6.00
3-0-1
5.21
Ried
2-1-1
6.78
2-0-2
5.30
1-1-2
3.55
2-0-2
5.53
1-0-3
4.03
1-2-1
4.72
 —
0-2-2
4.99
0-2-2
5.52
1-0-3
4.68
SV PlusCity Pasching
1-1-2
7.46
1-0-3
5.58
2-1-1
3.87
2-1-1
5.85
1-1-2
4.24
2-0-2
5.27
2-2-0
5.90
 —
0-3-1
5.99
2-1-1
5.07
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz
0-2-2
7.05
2-1-1
5.24
1-0-3
3.25
1-1-2
5.60
1-1-2
3.93
0-1-3
4.90
2-2-0
5.37
1-3-0
4.89
 —
1-1-2
4.50
Sturm Graz
3-0-1
7.66
2-1-1
5.99
1-0-3
4.16
1-1-2
6.47
0-1-3
4.93
1-0-3
5.69
3-0-1
6.23
1-1-2
5.84
2-1-1
6.41
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.49 +9.3
Allowed 0.65 -7.1
Differential 0.91 +6.3

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.89%6.39%7.22%5.83%1.67%0.56%30.56%
16.39%12.22%7.50%4.17%1.11%0.28%31.67%
27.22%7.50%5.00%1.11%0.28%0.28%21.39%
35.83%4.17%1.11%0.56%—0.28%11.94%
41.67%1.11%0.28%———3.06%
5+0.56%0.28%0.28%0.28%——1.39%
Total30.56%31.67%21.39%11.94%3.06%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.30 +0.00
SD 1.20 1.20 1.87
CV 0.92 0.92 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%5.56%11.11%11.11%——41.67%
111.11%8.33%8.33%—2.78%—30.56%
22.78%5.56%8.33%———16.67%
32.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total33.33%22.22%30.56%11.11%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.28 -0.28
SD 1.10 1.14 1.72
CV 1.10 0.89 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%——5.56%—25.00%
111.11%11.11%2.78%8.33%—2.78%36.11%
28.33%5.56%5.56%———19.44%
35.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%——13.89%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total36.11%30.56%13.89%11.11%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.28 +0.14
SD 1.25 1.37 1.87
CV 0.88 1.07 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%5.56%2.78%——25.00%
15.56%11.11%2.78%2.78%——22.22%
28.33%16.67%————25.00%
311.11%8.33%————19.44%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+———————
Total41.67%44.44%8.33%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 0.78 +0.86
SD 1.29 0.83 1.81
CV 0.79 1.07 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%13.89%2.78%2.78%36.11%
12.78%11.11%11.11%5.56%——30.56%
22.78%2.78%5.56%———11.11%
311.11%5.56%————16.67%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total22.22%30.56%22.22%19.44%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.58 -0.33
SD 1.27 1.27 2.22
CV 1.02 0.80 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
1—19.44%8.33%———27.78%
222.22%8.33%5.56%2.78%——38.89%
32.78%2.78%—2.78%——8.33%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total33.33%38.89%16.67%8.33%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 1.08 +0.47
SD 1.16 1.05 1.76
CV 0.74 0.97 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
019.44%2.78%11.11%2.78%——36.11%
113.89%11.11%8.33%5.56%——38.89%
22.78%8.33%2.78%———13.89%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———2.78%——2.78%
Total41.67%22.22%25.00%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.11 1.06 +0.06
SD 1.30 1.07 1.55
CV 1.17 1.01 —
Max 6 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%2.78%16.67%8.33%——36.11%
18.33%13.89%5.56%5.56%2.78%—36.11%
22.78%2.78%—2.78%2.78%2.78%13.89%
32.78%5.56%————8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total27.78%25.00%22.22%16.67%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.56 -0.42
SD 1.25 1.36 2.03
CV 1.09 0.88 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%8.33%5.56%——33.33%
111.11%13.89%5.56%2.78%——33.33%
211.11%—2.78%5.56%——19.44%
38.33%5.56%————13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total41.67%27.78%16.67%13.89%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.03 +0.11
SD 1.05 1.08 1.65
CV 0.92 1.05 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%5.56%5.56%——27.78%
1—13.89%8.33%2.78%5.56%—30.56%
25.56%8.33%13.89%———27.78%
32.78%5.56%———2.78%11.11%
4———————
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total13.89%41.67%27.78%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.61 -0.28
SD 1.17 1.27 1.73
CV 0.88 0.79 —
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—5.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%25.00%
1—8.33%13.89%8.33%——30.56%
25.56%16.67%5.56%———27.78%
38.33%2.78%2.78%———13.89%
4——2.78%———2.78%
5+———————
Total13.89%33.33%30.56%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.72 -0.33
SD 1.10 1.21 2.06
CV 0.79 0.70 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Grazer AK 1781 57 60.28 -3.28 35.4% 36 47 55 60 66 73 83
Austria Wien 1772 70 66.51 +3.49 69.5% 44 54 61 67 72 78 88
Austria Salzburg 1715 56 47.11 +8.89 89.0% 25 35 41 47 52 60 71
Rapid Wien 1673 51 50.96 +0.04 54.8% 24 39 46 51 56 64 77
SV PlusCity Pasching 1657 49 49.21 -0.21 52.4% 21 37 44 49 54 61 75
Sturm Graz 1651 47 52.92 -5.92 23.6% 25 40 48 53 58 66 78
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1641 39 45.05 -6.05 23.4% 16 32 40 45 50 57 69
FC Karnten 1618 41 44.45 -3.45 33.5% 23 32 39 44 49 57 69
Admira Wacker Modling 1597 44 31.21 +12.79 96.6% 9 20 27 31 36 43 54
Ried 1593 38 45.20 -7.20 17.2% 24 33 40 45 50 57 68

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+13.33%
Slight Edge
43.33%26.67%30.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 46.60 Elo pts.
261 Elo
0.004 goals per Elo point
0800
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.32 goals
Neutral
-2+0.18+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
64%
Austria Wien, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.36/gm
Tight Race
00.200.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.97 * Some Luck: 5.97 to 8.95 * Lucky: 8.95 to 11.94 * Wild Swing: 11.94 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.24 * Close: 1.24 to 1.86 * Off: 1.86 to 2.48 * Way Off: 2.48 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.33 points
Some Luck
07.4619
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Close
01.554
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.60%
Admira Wacker Modling
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
17.20%
Ried
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.10
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.09
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
61%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
75%
Clear Edge
50%78%100%
Close Games
Expected
57%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.65
Hard to Predict
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.29
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.76
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.62
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
As Expected
0%26%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Shaky Favorites
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.13 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.13 to 0.19 * Above Noise: 0.19 to 0.25 * Well Above Noise: 0.25 and up.
Probability calibration
0.22
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.53
Overconfident
0.3900841.001.60992
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.102
Well Within Noise
00.1260.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Austria Wien64.00%22.20%7.50%3.30%1.20%1.30%0.40%0.10%——
Grazer AK23.50%35.90%17.00%9.40%6.80%4.00%2.00%1.00%0.40%—
Austria Salzburg1.10%5.30%9.90%13.20%12.70%13.30%13.40%16.00%12.70%2.40%
Rapid Wien2.60%11.50%15.10%15.30%14.90%14.40%10.80%8.90%5.30%1.20%
SV PlusCity Pasching1.60%7.60%12.40%17.10%15.20%13.40%11.80%10.40%8.00%2.50%
Sturm Graz5.50%12.10%20.10%16.70%14.10%11.20%9.80%5.50%3.80%1.20%
Admira Wacker Modling——0.10%0.30%0.80%0.90%3.10%7.20%15.30%72.30%
FC Karnten0.70%1.60%5.30%8.20%10.80%12.60%16.70%17.50%19.10%7.50%
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz0.40%1.70%7.40%7.50%13.30%14.40%15.20%15.30%18.40%6.40%
Ried0.60%2.10%5.20%9.00%10.20%14.50%16.80%18.10%17.00%6.50%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Austria Wien 100% —
Grazer AK 100% —
Rapid Wien 98.80% 1.20%
Sturm Graz 98.80% 1.20%
Austria Salzburg 97.60% 2.40%
SV PlusCity Pasching 97.50% 2.50%
Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 93.60% 6.40%
Ried 93.50% 6.50%
FC Karnten 92.50% 7.50%
Admira Wacker Modling 27.70% 72.30%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2002-07-09 Ried W 2-052.2 1723 1640 53.74% 25.07% 21.19%+0.50 +6.3 3
2002-07-09 @ Austria Wien L 0-252.2 1640 1723 21.19% 25.07% 53.74%-0.50 -6.3 0
2002-07-10 FC Karnten W 3-053.5 1633 1649 40.19% 28.10% 31.70%+0.12 +13.0 3
2002-07-10 @ SV PlusCity Pasching L 0-353.5 1649 1633 31.70% 28.10% 40.19%-0.12 -13.0 0
2002-07-10 Grazer AK D 2-278.2 1655 1754 29.00% 27.74% 43.26%-0.20 +0.3 1
2002-07-10 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 2-278.2 1754 1655 43.26% 27.74% 29.00%+0.20 -0.3 1
2002-07-10 Rapid Wien L 0-459.9 1737 1667 52.01% 25.66% 22.33%+0.45 -24.6 0
2002-07-10 @ Sturm Graz W 4-059.9 1667 1737 22.33% 25.66% 52.01%-0.45 +24.7 3
2002-07-10 Austria Salzburg W 1-062.4 1554 1686 25.28% 26.83% 47.89%-0.33 +6.5 3
2002-07-10 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-162.4 1686 1554 47.89% 26.83% 25.28%+0.33 -6.5 0
2002-07-16 Austria Wien D 1-171.5 1636 1729 29.62% 27.84% 42.54%-0.18 +0.4 1
2002-07-16 @ FC Karnten D 1-171.5 1729 1636 42.54% 27.84% 29.62%+0.18 -0.4 4
2002-07-17 Admira Wacker Modling L 1-271.1 1691 1561 59.68% 22.67% 17.65%+0.68 -7.2 3
2002-07-17 @ Rapid Wien W 2-171.1 1561 1691 17.65% 22.67% 59.68%-0.68 +7.2 6
2002-07-17 SV PlusCity Pasching L 0-262.8 1754 1646 56.86% 23.88% 19.26%+0.59 -13.9 1
2002-07-17 @ Grazer AK W 2-062.8 1646 1754 19.26% 23.88% 56.86%-0.59 +13.9 6
2002-07-17 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-170.5 1633 1656 39.35% 28.17% 32.48%+0.09 -0.2 1
2002-07-17 @ Ried D 1-170.5 1656 1633 32.48% 28.17% 39.35%-0.09 +0.2 2
2002-07-17 Sturm Graz L 1-267.8 1680 1712 37.92% 28.25% 33.83%+0.05 -5.1 0
2002-07-17 @ Austria Salzburg W 2-167.8 1712 1680 33.83% 28.25% 37.92%-0.05 +5.1 3
2002-07-23 Rapid Wien L 0-161.3 1656 1684 38.46% 28.23% 33.31%+0.07 -5.5 2
2002-07-23 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 1-061.3 1684 1656 33.31% 28.23% 38.46%-0.07 +5.5 6
2002-07-24 FC Karnten L 0-352.5 1568 1636 32.82% 28.20% 38.99%-0.08 -13.4 6
2002-07-24 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 3-052.5 1636 1568 38.99% 28.20% 32.82%+0.08 +13.4 4
2002-07-24 Grazer AK W 3-054.9 1729 1740 40.99% 28.03% 30.98%+0.14 +12.8 7
2002-07-24 @ Austria Wien L 0-354.9 1740 1729 30.98% 28.03% 40.99%-0.14 -12.8 1
2002-07-24 Ried W 2-052.0 1717 1633 53.83% 25.04% 21.13%+0.50 +6.3 6
2002-07-24 @ Sturm Graz L 0-252.0 1633 1717 21.13% 25.04% 53.83%-0.50 -6.3 1
2002-07-24 Austria Salzburg W 1-059.2 1660 1675 40.34% 28.09% 31.57%+0.12 +4.7 9
2002-07-24 @ SV PlusCity Pasching L 0-159.2 1675 1660 31.57% 28.09% 40.34%-0.12 -4.7 0
2002-07-30 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 3-050.9 1724 1650 52.43% 25.52% 22.05%+0.46 +9.5 9
2002-07-30 @ Sturm Graz L 0-350.9 1650 1724 22.05% 25.52% 52.43%-0.46 -9.5 2
2002-07-31 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-049.8 1627 1554 52.33% 25.55% 22.12%+0.46 +6.6 4
2002-07-31 @ Ried L 0-249.8 1554 1627 22.12% 25.55% 52.33%-0.46 -6.6 6
2002-07-31 SV PlusCity Pasching W 1-057.6 1690 1664 46.02% 27.25% 26.73%+0.28 +4.1 9
2002-07-31 @ Rapid Wien L 0-157.6 1664 1690 26.73% 27.25% 46.02%-0.28 -4.1 9
2002-07-31 Austria Wien L 0-454.8 1670 1742 32.38% 28.16% 39.46%-0.10 -17.3 0
2002-07-31 @ Austria Salzburg W 4-054.8 1742 1670 39.46% 28.16% 32.38%+0.10 +17.3 10
2002-08-04 Grazer AK D 1-171.5 1650 1727 31.65% 28.10% 40.25%-0.12 +0.2 5
2002-08-04 @ FC Karnten D 1-171.5 1727 1650 40.25% 28.10% 31.65%+0.12 -0.2 2
2002-08-07 Rapid Wien D 1-172.6 1759 1694 51.38% 25.86% 22.76%+0.43 -0.8 11
2002-08-07 @ Austria Wien D 1-172.6 1694 1759 22.76% 25.86% 51.38%-0.43 +0.8 10
2002-08-07 Ried W 3-052.2 1650 1633 44.78% 27.49% 27.73%+0.24 +11.7 8
2002-08-07 @ FC Karnten L 0-352.2 1633 1650 27.73% 27.49% 44.78%-0.24 -11.7 4
2002-08-07 Sturm Graz L 0-349.1 1548 1733 20.49% 24.67% 54.85%-0.53 -8.8 6
2002-08-07 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 3-049.1 1733 1548 54.85% 24.67% 20.49%+0.53 +8.9 12
2002-08-10 Austria Salzburg L 0-165.1 1727 1653 52.51% 25.49% 21.99%+0.46 -6.9 2
2002-08-10 @ Grazer AK W 1-065.1 1653 1727 21.99% 25.49% 52.51%-0.46 +6.9 3
2002-08-10 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 0-065.9 1660 1641 45.19% 27.41% 27.39%+0.25 -0.6 10
2002-08-10 @ SV PlusCity Pasching D 0-065.9 1641 1660 27.39% 27.41% 45.19%-0.25 +0.6 3
2002-08-17 Admira Wacker Modling D 2-276.0 1641 1539 56.15% 24.16% 19.68%+0.57 -0.8 4
2002-08-17 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 2-276.0 1539 1641 19.68% 24.16% 56.15%-0.57 +0.8 7
2002-08-17 SV PlusCity Pasching L 0-160.2 1622 1660 37.12% 28.28% 34.60%+0.03 -5.3 4
2002-08-17 @ Ried W 1-060.2 1660 1622 34.60% 28.28% 37.12%-0.03 +5.3 13
2002-08-17 Grazer AK D 1-171.7 1695 1720 38.94% 28.20% 32.86%+0.08 -0.2 11
2002-08-17 @ Rapid Wien D 1-171.7 1720 1695 32.86% 28.20% 38.94%-0.08 +0.2 3
2002-08-18 Austria Wien L 0-259.6 1742 1758 40.19% 28.11% 31.71%+0.12 -10.7 12
2002-08-18 @ Sturm Graz W 2-059.6 1758 1742 31.71% 28.11% 40.19%-0.12 +10.7 14
2002-08-18 FC Karnten D 0-066.0 1660 1662 42.24% 27.88% 29.88%+0.17 -0.4 4
2002-08-18 @ Austria Salzburg D 0-066.0 1662 1660 29.88% 27.88% 42.24%-0.17 +0.4 9
2002-08-24 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-048.3 1665 1540 58.98% 22.98% 18.04%+0.66 +5.3 16
2002-08-24 @ SV PlusCity Pasching L 0-248.3 1540 1665 18.04% 22.98% 58.98%-0.66 -5.3 7
2002-08-24 Rapid Wien L 0-356.3 1662 1694 37.87% 28.25% 33.88%+0.05 -14.8 9
2002-08-24 @ FC Karnten W 3-056.3 1694 1662 33.88% 28.25% 37.87%-0.05 +14.8 14
2002-08-24 Ried L 1-366.2 1659 1616 48.40% 26.70% 24.90%+0.34 -10.6 4
2002-08-24 @ Austria Salzburg W 3-166.2 1616 1659 24.90% 26.70% 48.40%-0.34 +10.6 7
2002-08-24 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 3-157.2 1769 1640 59.39% 22.80% 17.81%+0.67 +4.5 17
2002-08-24 @ Austria Wien L 1-357.2 1640 1769 17.81% 22.80% 59.39%-0.67 -4.5 4
2002-08-24 Sturm Graz W 2-166.1 1720 1731 40.89% 28.04% 31.07%+0.14 +4.4 6
2002-08-24 @ Grazer AK L 1-266.1 1731 1720 31.07% 28.04% 40.89%-0.14 -4.4 12
2002-08-31 SV PlusCity Pasching L 1-367.8 1727 1670 50.24% 26.20% 23.56%+0.40 -11.0 12
2002-08-31 @ Sturm Graz W 3-167.8 1670 1727 23.56% 26.20% 50.24%-0.40 +11.0 19
2002-08-31 Austria Wien L 0-347.5 1534 1773 16.68% 21.84% 61.48%-0.74 -7.1 7
2002-08-31 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 3-047.5 1773 1534 61.48% 21.84% 16.68%+0.74 +7.1 20
2002-08-31 Grazer AK W 1-062.7 1627 1724 29.17% 27.77% 43.06%-0.19 +6.0 10
2002-08-31 @ Ried L 0-162.7 1724 1627 43.06% 27.77% 29.17%+0.19 -6.0 6
2002-08-31 Austria Salzburg D 2-278.3 1709 1649 50.77% 26.04% 23.18%+0.41 -0.6 15
2002-08-31 @ Rapid Wien D 2-278.3 1649 1709 23.18% 26.04% 50.77%-0.41 +0.6 5
2002-09-01 FC Karnten W 2-164.6 1636 1647 40.92% 28.04% 31.04%+0.14 +4.4 7
2002-09-01 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-264.6 1647 1636 31.04% 28.04% 40.92%-0.14 -4.4 9
2002-09-11 Admira Wacker Modling L 2-377.3 1718 1527 66.70% 19.22% 14.08%+0.91 -7.4 6
2002-09-11 @ Grazer AK W 3-277.3 1527 1718 14.08% 19.22% 66.70%-0.91 +7.4 10
2002-09-11 Austria Wien W 3-166.6 1681 1781 28.92% 27.73% 43.36%-0.20 +9.8 22
2002-09-11 @ SV PlusCity Pasching L 1-366.6 1781 1681 43.36% 27.73% 28.92%+0.20 -9.8 20
2002-09-11 Ried D 0-066.9 1709 1633 52.74% 25.42% 21.84%+0.47 -1.0 16
2002-09-11 @ Rapid Wien D 0-066.9 1633 1709 21.84% 25.42% 52.74%-0.47 +1.0 11
2002-09-11 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-365.3 1649 1640 43.74% 27.67% 28.59%+0.21 -9.8 5
2002-09-11 @ Austria Salzburg W 3-165.3 1640 1649 28.59% 27.67% 43.74%-0.21 +9.9 10
2002-09-11 Sturm Graz D 2-277.7 1643 1716 32.19% 28.15% 39.67%-0.10 +0.2 10
2002-09-11 @ FC Karnten D 2-277.7 1716 1643 39.67% 28.15% 32.19%+0.10 -0.1 13
2002-09-14 SV PlusCity Pasching W 3-051.1 1771 1691 53.28% 25.23% 21.49%+0.48 +9.3 23
2002-09-14 @ Austria Wien L 0-351.1 1691 1771 21.49% 25.23% 53.28%-0.48 -9.3 22
2002-09-14 FC Karnten L 1-368.0 1716 1643 52.38% 25.54% 22.08%+0.46 -11.3 13
2002-09-14 @ Sturm Graz W 3-168.0 1643 1716 22.08% 25.54% 52.38%-0.46 +11.3 13
2002-09-14 Grazer AK D 2-277.1 1535 1711 21.23% 25.09% 53.68%-0.50 +0.7 11
2002-09-14 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 2-277.1 1711 1535 53.68% 25.09% 21.23%+0.50 -0.7 7
2002-09-14 Austria Salzburg D 0-065.7 1650 1639 44.00% 27.62% 28.38%+0.22 -0.5 11
2002-09-14 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 0-065.7 1639 1650 28.38% 27.62% 44.00%-0.22 +0.5 6
2002-09-15 Rapid Wien W 3-164.8 1634 1708 32.13% 28.14% 39.73%-0.10 +9.2 14
2002-09-15 @ Ried L 1-364.8 1708 1634 39.73% 28.14% 32.13%+0.10 -9.2 16
2002-09-21 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-048.4 1640 1536 56.41% 24.06% 19.53%+0.58 +5.8 9
2002-09-21 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-248.4 1536 1640 19.53% 24.06% 56.41%-0.58 -5.8 11
2002-09-21 Austria Wien D 1-172.2 1643 1780 24.82% 26.68% 48.50%-0.35 +0.7 15
2002-09-21 @ Ried D 1-172.2 1780 1643 48.50% 26.68% 24.82%+0.35 -0.7 24
2002-09-22 SV PlusCity Pasching W 2-056.5 1654 1682 38.59% 28.22% 33.19%+0.07 +9.3 16
2002-09-22 @ FC Karnten L 0-256.5 1682 1654 33.19% 28.22% 38.59%-0.07 -9.3 22
2002-09-22 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-053.1 1710 1650 50.75% 26.05% 23.20%+0.41 +6.9 10
2002-09-22 @ Grazer AK L 0-253.1 1650 1710 23.20% 26.05% 50.75%-0.41 -6.9 11
2002-09-22 Sturm Graz L 1-268.9 1699 1704 41.67% 27.95% 30.38%+0.16 -5.5 16
2002-09-22 @ Rapid Wien W 2-168.9 1704 1699 30.38% 27.95% 41.67%-0.16 +5.5 16
2002-09-27 FC Karnten W 3-157.8 1779 1663 57.85% 23.47% 18.68%+0.62 +4.8 27
2002-09-27 @ Austria Wien L 1-357.8 1663 1779 18.68% 23.47% 57.85%-0.62 -4.8 16
2002-09-28 Rapid Wien D 0-065.1 1530 1693 22.32% 25.65% 52.02%-0.45 +1.0 12
2002-09-28 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 0-065.1 1693 1530 52.02% 25.65% 22.32%+0.45 -1.0 17
2002-09-28 Ried D 1-170.6 1643 1644 42.35% 27.87% 29.78%+0.17 -0.3 12
2002-09-28 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-170.6 1644 1643 29.78% 27.87% 42.35%-0.17 +0.3 16
2002-09-28 Austria Salzburg W 3-159.2 1710 1646 51.24% 25.90% 22.86%+0.42 +5.9 19
2002-09-28 @ Sturm Graz L 1-359.2 1646 1710 22.86% 25.90% 51.24%-0.42 -5.9 9
2002-09-29 Grazer AK D 1-171.5 1672 1717 36.13% 28.29% 35.58%+0.01 -0.0 23
2002-09-29 @ SV PlusCity Pasching D 1-171.5 1717 1672 35.58% 28.29% 36.13%-0.01 +0.0 11
2002-10-05 SV PlusCity Pasching W 3-271.2 1640 1672 37.87% 28.25% 33.87%+0.05 +4.5 12
2002-10-05 @ Austria Salzburg L 2-371.2 1672 1640 33.87% 28.25% 37.87%-0.05 -4.5 23
2002-10-05 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-162.7 1692 1642 49.30% 26.46% 24.23%+0.37 +3.6 20
2002-10-05 @ Rapid Wien L 1-262.7 1642 1692 24.23% 26.46% 49.30%-0.37 -3.6 12
2002-10-06 Admira Wacker Modling W 4-151.4 1659 1531 59.33% 22.83% 17.85%+0.67 +6.4 19
2002-10-06 @ FC Karnten L 1-451.4 1531 1659 17.85% 22.83% 59.33%-0.67 -6.4 12
2002-10-06 Austria Wien L 0-455.4 1717 1784 33.01% 28.21% 38.79%-0.08 -17.5 11
2002-10-06 @ Grazer AK W 4-055.4 1784 1717 38.79% 28.21% 33.01%+0.08 +17.5 30
2002-10-06 Sturm Graz L 1-265.9 1644 1716 32.41% 28.17% 39.43%-0.10 -4.6 16
2002-10-06 @ Ried W 2-165.9 1716 1644 39.43% 28.17% 32.41%+0.10 +4.6 22
2002-10-19 FC Karnten W 2-054.1 1700 1665 47.27% 26.98% 25.76%+0.31 +7.6 14
2002-10-19 @ Grazer AK L 0-254.1 1665 1700 25.76% 26.98% 47.27%-0.31 -7.6 19
2002-10-19 Rapid Wien W 2-056.7 1668 1696 38.56% 28.22% 33.22%+0.07 +9.3 26
2002-10-19 @ SV PlusCity Pasching L 0-256.7 1696 1668 33.22% 28.22% 38.56%-0.07 -9.3 20
2002-10-19 Ried D 1-168.3 1524 1640 27.08% 27.34% 45.59%-0.26 +0.5 13
2002-10-19 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 1-168.3 1640 1524 45.59% 27.34% 27.08%+0.26 -0.5 17
2002-10-19 Austria Salzburg D 0-069.0 1802 1644 62.85% 21.18% 15.97%+0.78 -1.6 31
2002-10-19 @ Austria Wien D 0-069.0 1644 1802 15.97% 21.18% 62.85%-0.78 +1.6 13
2002-10-20 Sturm Graz W 3-057.1 1639 1720 31.12% 28.04% 40.83%-0.13 +15.7 15
2002-10-20 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-357.1 1720 1639 40.83% 28.04% 31.12%+0.13 -15.7 22
2002-10-26 Admira Wacker Modling W 3-045.1 1705 1525 65.45% 19.87% 14.68%+0.87 +6.1 25
2002-10-26 @ Sturm Graz L 0-345.1 1525 1705 14.68% 19.87% 65.45%-0.87 -6.1 13
2002-10-26 SV PlusCity Pasching D 2-277.4 1655 1677 39.29% 28.18% 32.53%+0.09 -0.1 16
2002-10-26 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 2-277.4 1677 1655 32.53% 28.18% 39.29%-0.09 +0.1 27
2002-10-26 FC Karnten W 3-053.8 1639 1658 39.90% 28.13% 31.97%+0.11 +13.1 20
2002-10-26 @ Ried L 0-353.8 1658 1639 31.97% 28.13% 39.90%-0.11 -13.1 19
2002-10-26 Grazer AK D 1-171.2 1646 1707 33.79% 28.25% 37.96%-0.06 +0.1 14
2002-10-26 @ Austria Salzburg D 1-171.2 1707 1646 37.96% 28.25% 33.79%+0.06 -0.1 15
2002-10-27 Austria Wien L 1-264.9 1686 1800 27.27% 27.38% 45.35%-0.26 -4.0 20
2002-10-27 @ Rapid Wien W 2-164.9 1800 1686 45.35% 27.38% 27.27%+0.26 +4.0 34
2002-11-02 Rapid Wien W 2-054.7 1707 1682 45.92% 27.27% 26.81%+0.27 +7.8 18
2002-11-02 @ Grazer AK L 0-254.7 1682 1707 26.81% 27.27% 45.92%-0.27 -7.8 20
2002-11-02 Ried D 1-171.3 1677 1652 45.98% 27.26% 26.76%+0.27 -0.5 28
2002-11-02 @ SV PlusCity Pasching D 1-171.3 1652 1677 26.76% 27.26% 45.98%-0.27 +0.5 21
2002-11-02 Austria Salzburg L 0-161.8 1644 1646 42.27% 27.88% 29.85%+0.17 -5.9 19
2002-11-02 @ FC Karnten W 1-061.8 1646 1644 29.85% 27.88% 42.27%-0.17 +5.9 17
2002-11-02 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 2-275.1 1519 1654 24.93% 26.71% 48.36%-0.34 +0.5 14
2002-11-02 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 2-275.1 1654 1519 48.36% 26.71% 24.93%+0.34 -0.5 17
2002-11-03 Sturm Graz W 4-050.6 1804 1711 55.01% 24.60% 20.38%+0.54 +11.5 37
2002-11-03 @ Austria Wien L 0-450.6 1711 1804 20.38% 24.60% 55.01%-0.54 -11.5 25
2002-11-06 SV PlusCity Pasching W 3-165.3 1519 1677 22.84% 25.89% 51.27%-0.42 +11.1 17
2002-11-06 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 1-365.3 1677 1519 51.27% 25.89% 22.84%+0.42 -11.1 28
2002-11-06 Austria Wien L 0-156.7 1654 1816 22.48% 25.73% 51.80%-0.44 -3.5 17
2002-11-06 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 1-056.7 1816 1654 51.80% 25.73% 22.48%+0.44 +3.5 40
2002-11-06 FC Karnten W 2-053.5 1675 1639 47.48% 26.93% 25.60%+0.32 +7.5 23
2002-11-06 @ Rapid Wien L 0-253.5 1639 1675 25.60% 26.93% 47.48%-0.32 -7.5 19
2002-11-06 Grazer AK D 1-171.7 1699 1715 40.29% 28.10% 31.62%+0.12 -0.2 26
2002-11-06 @ Sturm Graz D 1-171.7 1715 1699 31.62% 28.10% 40.29%-0.12 +0.2 19
2002-11-06 Austria Salzburg W 4-052.9 1653 1652 42.62% 27.83% 29.55%+0.18 +16.1 24
2002-11-06 @ Ried L 0-452.9 1652 1653 29.55% 27.83% 42.62%-0.18 -16.1 17
2002-11-09 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-154.6 1819 1530 76.70% 13.65% 9.65%+1.28 +1.2 43
2002-11-09 @ Austria Wien L 1-254.6 1530 1819 9.65% 13.65% 76.70%-1.28 -1.2 17
2002-11-09 Rapid Wien W 3-163.4 1636 1682 35.90% 28.29% 35.81%+0.00 +8.5 20
2002-11-09 @ Austria Salzburg L 1-363.4 1682 1636 35.81% 28.29% 35.90%+0.00 -8.5 23
2002-11-09 Ried W 2-053.8 1715 1669 48.85% 26.59% 24.56%+0.36 +7.3 22
2002-11-09 @ Grazer AK L 0-253.8 1669 1715 24.56% 26.59% 48.85%-0.36 -7.3 24
2002-11-09 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 3-053.6 1631 1650 39.75% 28.14% 32.11%+0.10 +13.1 22
2002-11-09 @ FC Karnten L 0-353.6 1650 1631 32.11% 28.14% 39.75%-0.10 -13.1 17
2002-11-10 Sturm Graz W 2-057.0 1666 1699 37.76% 28.26% 33.98%+0.05 +9.4 31
2002-11-10 @ SV PlusCity Pasching L 0-257.0 1699 1666 33.98% 28.26% 37.76%-0.05 -9.4 26
2002-11-16 SV PlusCity Pasching W 2-164.9 1674 1675 42.28% 27.88% 29.84%+0.17 +4.3 26
2002-11-16 @ Rapid Wien L 1-264.9 1675 1674 29.84% 27.88% 42.28%-0.17 -4.3 31
2002-11-16 Grazer AK L 0-250.1 1529 1722 19.85% 24.27% 55.87%-0.56 -5.9 17
2002-11-16 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 2-050.1 1722 1529 55.87% 24.27% 19.85%+0.56 +5.9 25
2002-11-16 Austria Salzburg W 5-156.7 1637 1644 41.50% 27.97% 30.52%+0.15 +13.8 20
2002-11-16 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-556.7 1644 1637 30.52% 27.97% 41.50%-0.15 -13.8 20
2002-11-17 Austria Wien W 1-065.4 1662 1820 22.74% 25.85% 51.42%-0.43 +6.8 27
2002-11-17 @ Ried L 0-165.4 1820 1662 51.42% 25.85% 22.74%+0.43 -6.8 43
2002-11-17 FC Karnten W 2-162.9 1690 1644 48.74% 26.61% 24.64%+0.35 +3.6 29
2002-11-17 @ Sturm Graz L 1-262.9 1644 1690 24.64% 26.61% 48.74%-0.35 -3.6 22
2002-11-23 Admira Wacker Modling D 0-064.4 1640 1523 58.03% 23.39% 18.58%+0.63 -1.3 23
2002-11-23 @ FC Karnten D 0-064.4 1523 1640 18.58% 23.39% 58.03%-0.63 +1.3 18
2002-11-23 Rapid Wien D 0-067.2 1728 1678 49.41% 26.44% 24.16%+0.37 -0.8 26
2002-11-23 @ Grazer AK D 0-067.2 1678 1728 24.16% 26.44% 49.41%-0.37 +0.8 27
2002-11-23 Ried W 5-262.3 1631 1668 37.10% 28.28% 34.62%+0.03 +10.2 23
2002-11-23 @ Austria Salzburg L 2-562.3 1668 1631 34.62% 28.28% 37.10%-0.03 -10.2 27
2002-11-23 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-171.2 1671 1651 45.25% 27.40% 27.35%+0.25 -0.5 32
2002-11-23 @ SV PlusCity Pasching D 1-171.2 1651 1671 27.35% 27.40% 45.25%-0.25 +0.5 21
2002-11-24 Sturm Graz L 1-273.0 1814 1693 58.40% 23.23% 18.37%+0.64 -7.1 43
2002-11-24 @ Austria Wien W 2-173.0 1693 1814 18.37% 23.23% 58.40%-0.64 +7.1 32
2002-11-30 FC Karnten W 5-052.6 1658 1639 45.16% 27.42% 27.42%+0.25 +18.7 30
2002-11-30 @ Ried L 0-552.6 1639 1658 27.42% 27.42% 45.16%-0.25 -18.7 23
2002-11-30 Rapid Wien L 3-664.6 1652 1679 38.64% 28.22% 33.14%+0.07 -10.2 21
2002-11-30 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 6-364.6 1679 1652 33.14% 28.22% 38.64%-0.07 +10.2 30
2002-11-30 Austria Salzburg D 1-168.3 1524 1641 26.99% 27.32% 45.69%-0.27 +0.5 19
2002-11-30 @ Admira Wacker Modling D 1-168.3 1641 1524 45.69% 27.32% 26.99%+0.27 -0.5 24
2002-12-01 SV PlusCity Pasching D 1-171.7 1700 1670 46.65% 27.12% 26.24%+0.29 -0.6 33
2002-12-01 @ Sturm Graz D 1-171.7 1670 1700 26.24% 27.12% 46.65%-0.29 +0.6 33
2002-12-01 Grazer AK W 2-162.7 1806 1727 53.17% 25.27% 21.56%+0.48 +3.2 46
2002-12-01 @ Austria Wien L 1-262.7 1727 1806 21.56% 25.27% 53.17%-0.48 -3.2 26
2002-12-04 Sturm Graz W 2-167.3 1640 1700 34.03% 28.26% 37.71%-0.05 +5.1 27
2002-12-04 @ Austria Salzburg L 1-267.3 1700 1640 37.71% 28.26% 34.03%+0.05 -5.1 33
2003-02-22 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 4-155.7 1724 1641 53.68% 25.09% 21.23%+0.50 +7.7 29
2003-02-22 @ Grazer AK L 1-455.7 1641 1724 21.23% 25.09% 53.68%-0.50 -7.7 21
2003-02-23 Austria Wien L 1-358.5 1621 1810 20.18% 24.48% 55.34%-0.55 -5.2 23
2003-02-23 @ FC Karnten W 3-158.5 1810 1621 55.34% 24.48% 20.18%+0.55 +5.2 49
2003-03-01 SV PlusCity Pasching L 0-159.5 1615 1671 34.58% 28.28% 37.14%-0.03 -5.1 23
2003-03-01 @ FC Karnten W 1-059.5 1671 1615 37.14% 28.28% 34.58%+0.03 +5.1 36
2003-03-01 Rapid Wien D 0-066.4 1677 1689 40.82% 28.05% 31.14%+0.13 -0.3 31
2003-03-01 @ Ried D 0-066.4 1689 1677 31.14% 28.05% 40.82%-0.13 +0.3 31
2003-03-01 Austria Salzburg W 1-052.9 1815 1645 64.27% 20.47% 15.26%+0.83 +2.3 52
2003-03-01 @ Austria Wien L 0-152.9 1645 1815 15.26% 20.47% 64.27%-0.83 -2.3 27
2003-03-01 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 1-059.7 1525 1634 27.85% 27.51% 44.64%-0.24 +6.1 22
2003-03-01 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-159.7 1634 1525 44.64% 27.51% 27.85%+0.24 -6.1 21
2003-03-02 Grazer AK L 0-557.0 1695 1732 37.18% 28.28% 34.54%+0.04 -23.6 33
2003-03-02 @ Sturm Graz W 5-057.0 1732 1695 34.54% 28.28% 37.18%-0.04 +23.6 32
2003-03-08 Admira Wacker Modling D 0-065.9 1676 1531 61.37% 21.89% 16.74%+0.73 -1.5 37
2003-03-08 @ SV PlusCity Pasching D 0-065.9 1531 1676 16.74% 21.89% 61.37%-0.73 +1.5 23
2003-03-08 FC Karnten D 1-170.3 1643 1610 47.01% 27.03% 25.95%+0.30 -0.6 28
2003-03-08 @ Austria Salzburg D 1-170.3 1610 1643 25.95% 27.03% 47.01%-0.30 +0.6 24
2003-03-08 Ried W 2-052.8 1756 1677 53.16% 25.28% 21.57%+0.48 +6.4 35
2003-03-08 @ Grazer AK L 0-252.8 1677 1756 21.57% 25.28% 53.16%-0.48 -6.4 31
2003-03-08 Sturm Graz L 0-257.0 1627 1671 36.29% 28.29% 35.42%+0.01 -9.9 21
2003-03-08 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-057.0 1671 1627 35.42% 28.29% 36.29%-0.01 +9.9 36
2003-03-09 Austria Wien D 1-172.5 1689 1817 25.73% 26.97% 47.30%-0.31 +0.6 32
2003-03-09 @ Rapid Wien D 1-172.5 1817 1689 47.30% 26.97% 25.73%+0.31 -0.6 53
2003-03-12 Ried W 3-053.4 1674 1670 43.08% 27.77% 29.15%+0.19 +12.2 40
2003-03-12 @ SV PlusCity Pasching L 0-353.4 1670 1674 29.15% 27.77% 43.08%-0.19 -12.2 31
2003-03-15 Admira Wacker Modling W 2-157.1 1681 1533 61.78% 21.70% 16.53%+0.75 +2.4 39
2003-03-15 @ Sturm Graz L 1-257.1 1533 1681 16.53% 21.70% 61.78%-0.75 -2.4 23
2003-03-15 Grazer AK D 1-171.9 1642 1762 26.62% 27.22% 46.17%-0.28 +0.6 29
2003-03-15 @ Austria Salzburg D 1-171.9 1762 1642 46.17% 27.22% 26.62%+0.28 -0.6 36
2003-03-15 Rapid Wien W 1-061.4 1611 1690 31.44% 28.08% 40.48%-0.12 +5.7 27
2003-03-15 @ FC Karnten L 0-161.4 1690 1611 40.48% 28.08% 31.44%+0.12 -5.7 32
2003-03-15 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-366.1 1658 1618 48.08% 26.78% 25.14%+0.33 -10.6 31
2003-03-15 @ Ried W 3-166.1 1618 1658 25.14% 26.78% 48.08%-0.33 +10.6 24
2003-03-16 SV PlusCity Pasching L 0-167.0 1817 1687 59.57% 22.72% 17.71%+0.68 -7.6 53
2003-03-16 @ Austria Wien W 1-067.0 1687 1817 17.71% 22.72% 59.57%-0.68 +7.6 43
2003-03-18 Admira Wacker Modling D 0-066.2 1684 1530 62.44% 21.38% 16.18%+0.77 -1.6 33
2003-03-18 @ Rapid Wien D 0-066.2 1530 1684 16.18% 21.38% 62.44%-0.77 +1.6 24
2003-03-22 Austria Wien L 1-262.0 1628 1809 20.85% 24.88% 54.27%-0.51 -3.1 24
2003-03-22 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-162.0 1809 1628 54.27% 24.88% 20.85%+0.51 +3.1 56
2003-03-22 FC Karnten W 3-048.2 1761 1617 61.37% 21.89% 16.74%+0.73 +7.1 39
2003-03-22 @ Grazer AK L 0-348.2 1617 1761 16.74% 21.89% 61.37%-0.73 -7.1 27
2003-03-22 Ried L 0-154.9 1532 1647 27.05% 27.33% 45.62%-0.26 -4.2 24
2003-03-22 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 1-054.9 1647 1532 45.62% 27.33% 27.05%+0.26 +4.2 34
2003-03-22 Austria Salzburg L 0-164.1 1694 1643 49.55% 26.40% 24.05%+0.38 -6.6 43
2003-03-22 @ SV PlusCity Pasching W 1-064.1 1643 1694 24.05% 26.40% 49.55%-0.38 +6.6 32
2003-03-23 Sturm Graz W 1-058.8 1683 1683 42.38% 27.87% 29.76%+0.18 +4.5 36
2003-03-23 @ Rapid Wien L 0-158.8 1683 1683 29.76% 27.87% 42.38%-0.18 -4.5 39
2003-04-05 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-265.1 1812 1528 76.29% 13.89% 9.82%+1.27 -17.1 56
2003-04-05 @ Austria Wien W 2-065.1 1528 1812 9.82% 13.89% 76.29%-1.27 +17.1 27
2003-04-05 Rapid Wien W 2-056.9 1649 1687 37.15% 28.28% 34.57%+0.03 +9.6 35
2003-04-05 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-256.9 1687 1649 34.57% 28.28% 37.15%-0.03 -9.6 36
2003-04-05 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 2-276.0 1609 1625 40.29% 28.10% 31.62%+0.12 -0.2 28
2003-04-05 @ FC Karnten D 2-276.0 1625 1609 31.62% 28.10% 40.29%-0.12 +0.2 25
2003-04-05 Sturm Graz W 2-165.8 1652 1679 38.64% 28.22% 33.14%+0.07 +4.6 37
2003-04-05 @ Ried L 1-265.8 1679 1652 33.14% 28.22% 38.64%-0.07 -4.6 39
2003-04-06 SV PlusCity Pasching W 2-052.9 1768 1688 53.41% 25.19% 21.40%+0.49 +6.4 42
2003-04-06 @ Grazer AK L 0-252.9 1688 1768 21.40% 25.19% 53.41%-0.49 -6.4 43
2003-04-12 FC Karnten L 1-267.7 1625 1609 44.72% 27.50% 27.78%+0.24 -5.8 25
2003-04-12 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 2-167.7 1609 1625 27.78% 27.50% 44.72%-0.24 +5.8 31
2003-04-12 Grazer AK L 0-256.1 1681 1775 29.61% 27.84% 42.55%-0.18 -8.5 43
2003-04-12 @ SV PlusCity Pasching W 2-056.1 1775 1681 42.55% 27.84% 29.61%+0.18 +8.5 45
2003-04-12 Ried W 4-264.6 1674 1656 44.99% 27.45% 27.56%+0.25 +6.2 42
2003-04-12 @ Sturm Graz L 2-464.6 1656 1674 27.56% 27.45% 44.99%-0.25 -6.2 37
2003-04-12 Austria Salzburg L 0-259.8 1678 1659 45.06% 27.44% 27.50%+0.25 -11.6 36
2003-04-12 @ Rapid Wien W 2-059.8 1659 1678 27.50% 27.44% 45.06%-0.25 +11.6 38
2003-04-13 Austria Wien L 1-258.7 1545 1795 15.99% 21.20% 62.81%-0.78 -2.3 27
2003-04-13 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 2-158.7 1795 1545 62.81% 21.20% 15.99%+0.78 +2.3 59
2003-04-16 Admira Wacker Modling D 1-174.5 1783 1542 72.05% 16.30% 11.65%+1.10 -1.8 46
2003-04-16 @ Grazer AK D 1-174.5 1542 1783 11.65% 16.30% 72.05%-1.10 +1.8 28
2003-04-16 Rapid Wien W 3-053.2 1673 1666 43.46% 27.71% 28.83%+0.20 +12.1 46
2003-04-16 @ SV PlusCity Pasching L 0-353.2 1666 1673 28.83% 27.71% 43.46%-0.20 -12.1 36
2003-04-16 Ried W 2-050.4 1797 1650 61.64% 21.76% 16.60%+0.74 +4.8 62
2003-04-16 @ Austria Wien L 0-250.4 1650 1797 16.60% 21.76% 61.64%-0.74 -4.8 37
2003-04-16 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 4-156.1 1671 1619 49.52% 26.40% 24.07%+0.37 +8.7 41
2003-04-16 @ Austria Salzburg L 1-456.1 1619 1671 24.07% 26.40% 49.52%-0.37 -8.7 25
2003-04-16 Sturm Graz W 3-163.9 1615 1680 33.23% 28.22% 38.55%-0.07 +9.0 34
2003-04-16 @ FC Karnten L 1-363.9 1680 1615 38.55% 28.22% 33.23%+0.07 -9.0 42
2003-04-22 Austria Wien L 0-352.9 1671 1802 25.45% 26.88% 47.66%-0.32 -10.9 42
2003-04-22 @ Sturm Graz W 3-052.9 1802 1671 47.66% 26.88% 25.45%+0.32 +10.9 65
2003-04-23 SV PlusCity Pasching W 2-167.4 1611 1685 32.07% 28.14% 39.80%-0.11 +5.3 28
2003-04-23 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-267.4 1685 1611 39.80% 28.14% 32.07%+0.11 -5.3 46
2003-04-23 FC Karnten W 4-053.7 1544 1624 31.33% 28.07% 40.60%-0.13 +20.4 31
2003-04-23 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-453.7 1624 1544 40.60% 28.07% 31.33%+0.13 -20.4 34
2003-04-23 Grazer AK D 0-067.2 1654 1782 25.75% 26.98% 47.27%-0.31 +0.7 37
2003-04-23 @ Rapid Wien D 0-067.2 1782 1654 47.27% 26.98% 25.75%+0.31 -0.7 47
2003-04-23 Austria Salzburg L 1-267.1 1645 1679 37.64% 28.26% 34.10%+0.05 -5.1 37
2003-04-23 @ Ried W 2-167.1 1679 1645 34.10% 28.26% 37.64%-0.05 +5.1 44
2003-04-26 Admira Wacker Modling D 0-066.3 1684 1565 58.34% 23.26% 18.40%+0.64 -1.3 45
2003-04-26 @ Austria Salzburg D 0-066.3 1565 1684 18.40% 23.26% 58.34%-0.64 +1.3 32
2003-04-26 Ried W 4-159.1 1604 1640 37.30% 28.27% 34.43%+0.04 +11.7 37
2003-04-26 @ FC Karnten L 1-459.1 1640 1604 34.43% 28.27% 37.30%-0.04 -11.7 37
2003-04-26 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-170.7 1654 1616 47.80% 26.85% 25.35%+0.33 -0.7 38
2003-04-26 @ Rapid Wien D 1-170.7 1616 1654 25.35% 26.85% 47.80%-0.33 +0.7 29
2003-04-26 Sturm Graz L 2-374.6 1680 1661 45.14% 27.42% 27.44%+0.25 -5.5 46
2003-04-26 @ SV PlusCity Pasching W 3-274.6 1661 1680 27.44% 27.42% 45.14%-0.25 +5.5 45
2003-04-27 Austria Wien L 1-268.6 1781 1813 37.94% 28.25% 33.81%+0.06 -5.1 47
2003-04-27 @ Grazer AK W 2-168.6 1813 1781 33.81% 28.25% 37.94%-0.06 +5.1 68
2003-05-03 SV PlusCity Pasching D 0-065.6 1628 1674 36.00% 28.29% 35.70%+0.00 -0.0 38
2003-05-03 @ Ried D 0-065.6 1674 1628 35.70% 28.29% 36.00%+0.00 +0.0 47
2003-05-03 FC Karnten L 0-362.9 1818 1615 68.00% 18.52% 13.47%+0.95 -23.0 68
2003-05-03 @ Austria Wien W 3-062.9 1615 1818 13.47% 18.52% 68.00%-0.95 +23.0 40
2003-05-03 Rapid Wien L 0-157.0 1566 1654 30.31% 27.94% 41.75%-0.16 -4.6 32
2003-05-03 @ Admira Wacker Modling W 1-057.0 1654 1566 41.75% 27.94% 30.31%+0.16 +4.6 41
2003-05-03 Austria Salzburg D 2-277.6 1666 1683 40.08% 28.11% 31.80%+0.11 -0.2 46
2003-05-03 @ Sturm Graz D 2-277.6 1683 1666 31.80% 28.11% 40.08%-0.11 +0.2 46
2003-05-04 Grazer AK W 2-171.2 1617 1776 22.71% 25.83% 51.46%-0.43 +6.4 32
2003-05-04 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 1-271.2 1776 1617 51.46% 25.83% 22.71%+0.43 -6.4 47
2003-05-10 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-161.8 1623 1561 50.92% 26.00% 23.08%+0.41 -6.8 32
2003-05-10 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz W 1-061.8 1561 1623 23.08% 26.00% 50.92%-0.41 +6.8 35
2003-05-10 Austria Wien W 1-064.0 1683 1795 27.49% 27.44% 45.07%-0.25 +6.2 49
2003-05-10 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-164.0 1795 1683 45.07% 27.44% 27.49%+0.25 -6.2 68
2003-05-10 FC Karnten D 1-171.2 1674 1638 47.44% 26.94% 25.63%+0.32 -0.6 48
2003-05-10 @ SV PlusCity Pasching D 1-171.2 1638 1674 25.63% 26.94% 47.44%-0.32 +0.6 41
2003-05-10 Ried W 3-268.2 1658 1628 46.64% 27.12% 26.24%+0.29 +3.6 44
2003-05-10 @ Rapid Wien L 2-368.2 1628 1658 26.24% 27.12% 46.64%-0.29 -3.7 38
2003-05-11 Sturm Graz W 2-161.4 1769 1666 56.28% 24.11% 19.60%+0.57 +2.9 50
2003-05-11 @ Grazer AK L 1-261.4 1666 1769 19.60% 24.11% 56.28%-0.57 -2.9 46
2003-05-17 SV PlusCity Pasching W 1-061.5 1568 1673 28.22% 27.59% 44.18%-0.22 +6.1 38
2003-05-17 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 0-161.5 1673 1568 44.18% 27.59% 28.22%+0.22 -6.1 48
2003-05-17 Grazer AK L 1-359.9 1625 1772 23.79% 26.29% 49.91%-0.39 -6.1 38
2003-05-17 @ Ried W 3-159.9 1772 1625 49.91% 26.29% 23.79%+0.39 +6.1 53
2003-05-17 Austria Salzburg L 0-355.2 1639 1689 35.29% 28.29% 36.42%-0.02 -14.1 41
2003-05-17 @ FC Karnten W 3-055.2 1689 1639 36.42% 28.29% 35.29%+0.02 +14.1 52
2003-05-17 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz D 1-170.9 1663 1616 48.91% 26.57% 24.52%+0.36 -0.7 47
2003-05-17 @ Sturm Graz D 1-170.9 1616 1663 24.52% 26.57% 48.91%-0.36 +0.7 33
2003-05-18 Rapid Wien D 0-068.5 1789 1662 59.19% 22.89% 17.92%+0.66 -1.4 69
2003-05-18 @ Austria Wien D 0-068.5 1662 1789 17.92% 22.89% 59.19%-0.66 +1.4 45
2003-05-24 Austria Wien D 0-067.2 1667 1787 26.56% 27.21% 46.23%-0.28 +0.6 49
2003-05-24 @ SV PlusCity Pasching D 0-067.2 1787 1667 46.23% 27.21% 26.56%+0.28 -0.6 70
2003-05-24 FC Karnten W 2-162.6 1663 1625 47.83% 26.84% 25.33%+0.33 +3.7 48
2003-05-24 @ Rapid Wien L 1-262.6 1625 1663 25.33% 26.84% 47.83%-0.33 -3.7 41
2003-05-24 Ried W 2-053.9 1617 1619 42.26% 27.88% 29.86%+0.17 +8.5 36
2003-05-24 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-253.9 1619 1617 29.86% 27.88% 42.26%-0.17 -8.5 38
2003-05-24 Austria Salzburg D 3-383.0 1778 1704 52.62% 25.46% 21.92%+0.46 -0.6 54
2003-05-24 @ Grazer AK D 3-383.0 1704 1778 21.92% 25.46% 52.62%-0.46 +0.6 53
2003-05-24 Sturm Graz W 2-167.0 1574 1662 30.28% 27.94% 41.78%-0.16 +5.5 41
2003-05-24 @ Admira Wacker Modling L 1-267.0 1662 1574 41.78% 27.94% 30.28%+0.16 -5.5 47
2003-05-29 Admira Wacker Modling L 0-356.0 1610 1580 46.72% 27.10% 26.18%+0.30 -17.4 38
2003-05-29 @ Ried W 3-056.0 1580 1610 26.18% 27.10% 46.72%-0.30 +17.4 44
2003-05-29 SV PlusCity Pasching W 3-052.3 1704 1668 47.49% 26.92% 25.58%+0.32 +10.9 56
2003-05-29 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-352.3 1668 1704 25.58% 26.92% 47.49%-0.32 -10.9 49
2003-05-29 Grazer AK L 1-262.7 1621 1778 22.93% 25.93% 51.14%-0.42 -3.4 41
2003-05-29 @ FC Karnten W 2-162.7 1778 1621 51.14% 25.93% 22.93%+0.42 +3.4 57
2003-05-29 Rapid Wien L 0-161.9 1657 1667 41.03% 28.02% 30.94%+0.14 -5.8 47
2003-05-29 @ Sturm Graz W 1-061.9 1667 1657 30.94% 28.02% 41.03%-0.14 +5.8 51
2003-05-29 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz L 0-263.9 1787 1626 63.30% 20.96% 15.74%+0.80 -15.1 70
2003-05-29 @ Austria Wien W 2-063.9 1626 1787 15.74% 20.96% 63.30%-0.80 +15.1 39

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2003-04-05 9.82% Admira Wacker Modling 1528 2 @ Austria Wien 1812 0
2 2003-05-03 13.47% FC Karnten 1615 3 @ Austria Wien 1818 0
3 2002-09-11 14.08% Admira Wacker Modling 1527 3 @ Grazer AK 1718 2
4 2003-05-29 15.74% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1626 2 @ Austria Wien 1787 0
5 2002-07-17 17.65% Admira Wacker Modling 1561 2 @ Rapid Wien 1691 1
6 2003-03-16 17.71% SV PlusCity Pasching 1687 1 @ Austria Wien 1817 0
7 2002-11-24 18.37% Sturm Graz 1693 2 @ Austria Wien 1814 1
8 2002-07-17 19.26% SV PlusCity Pasching 1646 2 @ Grazer AK 1754 0
9 2002-08-10 21.99% Austria Salzburg 1653 1 @ Grazer AK 1727 0
10 2002-09-14 22.08% FC Karnten 1643 3 @ Sturm Graz 1716 1
11 2002-07-10 22.33% Rapid Wien 1667 4 @ Sturm Graz 1737 0
12 2003-05-04 22.71% @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1617 2 Grazer AK 1776 1
13 2002-11-17 22.74% @ Ried 1662 1 Austria Wien 1820 0
14 2002-11-06 22.84% @ Admira Wacker Modling 1519 3 SV PlusCity Pasching 1677 1
15 2003-05-10 23.08% Admira Wacker Modling 1561 1 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1623 0
16 2002-08-31 23.56% SV PlusCity Pasching 1670 3 @ Sturm Graz 1727 1
17 2003-03-22 24.05% Austria Salzburg 1643 1 @ SV PlusCity Pasching 1694 0
18 2002-08-24 24.90% Ried 1616 3 @ Austria Salzburg 1659 1
19 2003-03-15 25.14% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1618 3 @ Ried 1658 1
20 2002-07-10 25.28% @ Admira Wacker Modling 1554 1 Austria Salzburg 1686 0
21 2003-05-29 26.18% Admira Wacker Modling 1580 3 @ Ried 1610 0
22 2003-04-26 27.44% Sturm Graz 1661 3 @ SV PlusCity Pasching 1680 2
23 2003-05-10 27.49% @ Austria Salzburg 1683 1 Austria Wien 1795 0
24 2003-04-12 27.50% Austria Salzburg 1659 2 @ Rapid Wien 1678 0
25 2003-04-12 27.78% FC Karnten 1609 2 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 1625 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-07-10 24.65 Rapid Wien 4 1667 22.33% @ Sturm Graz 0 1737 52.01% 25.66%
2 2003-03-02 23.57 Grazer AK 5 1732 34.54% @ Sturm Graz 0 1695 37.18% 28.28%
3 2003-05-03 23.03 FC Karnten 3 1615 13.47% @ Austria Wien 0 1818 68.00% 18.52%
4 2003-04-23 20.40 @ Admira Wacker Modling 4 1544 31.33% FC Karnten 0 1624 40.60% 28.07%
5 2002-11-30 18.66 @ Ried 5 1658 45.16% FC Karnten 0 1639 27.42% 27.42%
6 2002-10-06 17.53 Austria Wien 4 1784 38.79% @ Grazer AK 0 1717 33.01% 28.21%
7 2003-05-29 17.37 Admira Wacker Modling 3 1580 26.18% @ Ried 0 1610 46.72% 27.10%
8 2002-07-31 17.28 Austria Wien 4 1742 39.46% @ Austria Salzburg 0 1670 32.38% 28.16%
9 2003-04-05 17.09 Admira Wacker Modling 2 1528 9.82% @ Austria Wien 0 1812 76.29% 13.89%
10 2002-11-06 16.10 @ Ried 4 1653 42.62% Austria Salzburg 0 1652 29.55% 27.83%
11 2002-10-20 15.68 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 3 1639 31.12% Sturm Graz 0 1720 40.83% 28.04%
12 2003-05-29 15.07 Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1626 15.74% @ Austria Wien 0 1787 63.30% 20.96%
13 2002-08-24 14.83 Rapid Wien 3 1694 33.88% @ FC Karnten 0 1662 37.87% 28.25%
14 2003-05-17 14.09 Austria Salzburg 3 1689 36.42% @ FC Karnten 0 1639 35.29% 28.29%
15 2002-07-17 13.92 SV PlusCity Pasching 2 1646 19.26% @ Grazer AK 0 1754 56.86% 23.88%
16 2002-11-16 13.76 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 5 1637 41.50% Austria Salzburg 1 1644 30.52% 27.97%
17 2002-07-24 13.36 FC Karnten 3 1636 38.99% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1568 32.82% 28.20%
18 2002-11-09 13.14 @ FC Karnten 3 1631 39.75% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1650 32.11% 28.14%
19 2002-10-26 13.10 @ Ried 3 1639 39.90% FC Karnten 0 1658 31.97% 28.13%
20 2002-07-10 13.01 @ SV PlusCity Pasching 3 1633 40.19% FC Karnten 0 1649 31.70% 28.10%
21 2002-07-24 12.79 @ Austria Wien 3 1729 40.99% Grazer AK 0 1740 30.98% 28.03%
22 2003-03-12 12.18 @ SV PlusCity Pasching 3 1674 43.08% Ried 0 1670 29.15% 27.77%
23 2003-04-16 12.07 @ SV PlusCity Pasching 3 1673 43.46% Rapid Wien 0 1666 28.83% 27.71%
24 2002-08-07 11.70 @ FC Karnten 3 1650 44.78% Ried 0 1633 27.73% 27.49%
25 2003-04-26 11.67 @ FC Karnten 4 1604 37.30% Ried 1 1640 34.43% 28.27%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-05-24 83.0 @ Grazer AK 3 1778 52.62% Austria Salzburg 3 1704 21.92% 25.46%
2 2002-08-31 78.3 @ Rapid Wien 2 1709 50.77% Austria Salzburg 2 1649 23.18% 26.04%
3 2002-07-10 78.2 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1655 29.00% Grazer AK 2 1754 43.26% 27.74%
4 2002-09-11 77.7 @ FC Karnten 2 1643 32.19% Sturm Graz 2 1716 39.67% 28.15%
5 2003-05-03 77.6 @ Sturm Graz 2 1666 40.08% Austria Salzburg 2 1683 31.80% 28.11%
6 2002-10-26 77.4 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1655 39.29% SV PlusCity Pasching 2 1677 32.53% 28.18%
7 2002-09-11 77.3 Admira Wacker Modling 3 1527 14.08% @ Grazer AK 2 1718 66.70% 19.22%
8 2002-09-14 77.1 @ Admira Wacker Modling 2 1535 21.23% Grazer AK 2 1711 53.68% 25.09%
9 2002-08-17 76.0 @ Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1641 56.15% Admira Wacker Modling 2 1539 19.68% 24.16%
10 2003-04-05 76.0 @ FC Karnten 2 1609 40.29% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1625 31.62% 28.10%
11 2002-11-02 75.1 @ Admira Wacker Modling 2 1519 24.93% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 2 1654 48.36% 26.71%
12 2003-04-26 74.6 Sturm Graz 3 1661 27.44% @ SV PlusCity Pasching 2 1680 45.14% 27.42%
13 2003-04-16 74.5 @ Grazer AK 1 1783 72.05% Admira Wacker Modling 1 1542 11.65% 16.30%
14 2002-11-24 73.0 Sturm Graz 2 1693 18.37% @ Austria Wien 1 1814 58.40% 23.23%
15 2002-08-07 72.6 @ Austria Wien 1 1759 51.38% Rapid Wien 1 1694 22.76% 25.86%
16 2003-03-09 72.5 @ Rapid Wien 1 1689 25.73% Austria Wien 1 1817 47.30% 26.97%
17 2002-09-21 72.2 @ Ried 1 1643 24.82% Austria Wien 1 1780 48.50% 26.68%
18 2003-03-15 71.9 @ Austria Salzburg 1 1642 26.62% Grazer AK 1 1762 46.17% 27.22%
19 2002-08-17 71.7 @ Rapid Wien 1 1695 38.94% Grazer AK 1 1720 32.86% 28.20%
20 2002-11-06 71.7 @ Sturm Graz 1 1699 40.29% Grazer AK 1 1715 31.62% 28.10%
21 2002-12-01 71.7 @ Sturm Graz 1 1700 46.65% SV PlusCity Pasching 1 1670 26.24% 27.12%
22 2002-07-16 71.5 @ FC Karnten 1 1636 29.62% Austria Wien 1 1729 42.54% 27.84%
23 2002-08-04 71.5 @ FC Karnten 1 1650 31.65% Grazer AK 1 1727 40.25% 28.10%
24 2002-09-29 71.5 @ SV PlusCity Pasching 1 1672 36.13% Grazer AK 1 1717 35.58% 28.29%
25 2002-11-02 71.3 @ SV PlusCity Pasching 1 1677 45.98% Ried 1 1652 26.76% 27.26%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2002-10-26 45.1 @ Sturm Graz 3 1705 65.45% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1525 14.68% 19.87%
2 2002-08-31 47.5 Austria Wien 3 1773 61.48% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1534 16.68% 21.84%
3 2003-03-22 48.2 @ Grazer AK 3 1761 61.37% FC Karnten 0 1617 16.74% 21.89%
4 2002-08-24 48.3 @ SV PlusCity Pasching 2 1665 58.98% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1540 18.04% 22.98%
5 2002-09-21 48.4 @ Austria Salzburg 2 1640 56.41% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1536 19.53% 24.06%
6 2002-08-07 49.1 Sturm Graz 3 1733 54.85% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1548 20.49% 24.67%
7 2002-07-31 49.8 @ Ried 2 1627 52.33% Admira Wacker Modling 0 1554 22.12% 25.55%
8 2002-11-16 50.1 Grazer AK 2 1722 55.87% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1529 19.85% 24.27%
9 2003-04-16 50.4 @ Austria Wien 2 1797 61.64% Ried 0 1650 16.60% 21.76%
10 2002-11-03 50.6 @ Austria Wien 4 1804 55.01% Sturm Graz 0 1711 20.38% 24.60%
11 2002-07-30 50.9 @ Sturm Graz 3 1724 52.43% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1650 22.05% 25.52%
12 2002-09-14 51.1 @ Austria Wien 3 1771 53.28% SV PlusCity Pasching 0 1691 21.49% 25.23%
13 2002-10-06 51.4 @ FC Karnten 4 1659 59.33% Admira Wacker Modling 1 1531 17.85% 22.83%
14 2002-07-24 52.0 @ Sturm Graz 2 1717 53.83% Ried 0 1633 21.13% 25.04%
15 2002-07-09 52.2 @ Austria Wien 2 1723 53.74% Ried 0 1640 21.19% 25.07%
16 2002-08-07 52.2 @ FC Karnten 3 1650 44.78% Ried 0 1633 27.73% 27.49%
17 2003-05-29 52.3 @ Austria Salzburg 3 1704 47.49% SV PlusCity Pasching 0 1668 25.58% 26.92%
18 2002-07-24 52.5 FC Karnten 3 1636 38.99% @ Admira Wacker Modling 0 1568 32.82% 28.20%
19 2002-11-30 52.6 @ Ried 5 1658 45.16% FC Karnten 0 1639 27.42% 27.42%
20 2003-03-08 52.8 @ Grazer AK 2 1756 53.16% Ried 0 1677 21.57% 25.28%
21 2002-11-06 52.9 @ Ried 4 1653 42.62% Austria Salzburg 0 1652 29.55% 27.83%
22 2003-03-01 52.9 @ Austria Wien 1 1815 64.27% Austria Salzburg 0 1645 15.26% 20.47%
23 2003-04-06 52.9 @ Grazer AK 2 1768 53.41% SV PlusCity Pasching 0 1688 21.40% 25.19%
24 2003-04-22 52.9 Austria Wien 3 1802 47.66% @ Sturm Graz 0 1671 25.45% 26.88%
25 2002-09-22 53.1 @ Grazer AK 2 1710 50.75% Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz 0 1650 23.20% 26.05%