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1978-79 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Austria Wien

55 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Austria Salzburg

8.44 points above expected

36 points · 27.56 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

SSW Innsbruck

12.27 points below expected

24 points · 36.27 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Austria Wien 36 25 5 6 55 88 44 +44 47.94 +7.06
2 Wr. Sportclub Post 36 15 11 10 41 71 54 +17 36.83 +4.17
3 Rapid Wien 36 13 13 10 39 52 42 +10 44.08 -5.08
4 Sturm Graz 36 14 9 13 37 43 50 -7 34.50 +2.50
5 VOEST Linz 36 11 14 11 36 41 44 -3 36.63 -0.63
6 Austria Salzburg 36 13 10 13 36 38 53 -15 27.56 +8.44
7 Admira Wacker 36 13 8 15 34 42 43 -1 33.43 +0.57
8 First Vienna 36 9 11 16 29 48 62 -14 31.61 -2.61
9 Grazer AK 36 7 15 14 29 36 53 -17 31.15 -2.15
10 SSW Innsbruck 36 8 8 20 24 41 55 -14 36.27 -12.27

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Austria Salzburg 36 27.56 +8.44
2 Austria Wien 55 47.94 +7.06
3 Wr. Sportclub Post 41 36.83 +4.17
4 Sturm Graz 37 34.50 +2.50
5 Admira Wacker 34 33.43 +0.57

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 SSW Innsbruck 24 36.27 -12.27
2 Rapid Wien 39 44.08 -5.08
3 First Vienna 29 31.61 -2.61
4 Grazer AK 29 31.15 -2.15
5 VOEST Linz 36 36.63 -0.63

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Wien 9 Oct 1 – Nov 25 1 in 497
2 Austria Salzburg 2 Aug 18 – Aug 25 1 in 35
3 Admira Wacker 3 Dec 9 – Feb 24 1 in 28
4 Sturm Graz 3 Mar 31 – Apr 13 1 in 27
5 VOEST Linz 3 Aug 18 – Sep 1 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grazer AK 6 Oct 6 – Nov 11 1 in 265
2 SSW Innsbruck 5 Nov 11 – Dec 16 1 in 245
3 Admira Wacker 4 Apr 28 – May 18 1 in 92
4 Rapid Wien 2 Jun 8 – Jun 15 1 in 23
5 First Vienna 4 Sep 30 – Oct 21 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 VOEST Linz 8 Dec 16 – Mar 31 1 in 51
2 Grazer AK 7 Apr 29 – Jun 8 1 in 48
3 Sturm Graz 7 Mar 31 – May 11 1 in 17
4 Admira Wacker 5 Nov 25 – Feb 24 1 in 12
5 Austria Wien 14 Mar 10 – Jun 8 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 SSW Innsbruck 12 Nov 11 – Mar 31 1 in 166
2 VOEST Linz 6 Mar 10 – Apr 14 1 in 40
3 Rapid Wien 6 May 12 – Jun 15 1 in 38
4 Austria Salzburg 12 Dec 17 – May 4 1 in 31
5 Grazer AK 8 Sep 22 – Nov 11 1 in 20

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Austria Wien 1814 55 +1 7 7.7 -0.7
Wr. Sportclub Post 1659 41 +37 8 5.4 +2.6
Rapid Wien 1669 39 -27 3 5.7 -2.7
Sturm Graz 1596 37 -9 5 4.8 +0.2
Austria Salzburg 1535 36 +27 6 3.9 +2.1
VOEST Linz 1574 36 -9 4 4.5 -0.5
Admira Wacker 1575 34 +48 9 4.3 +4.7
First Vienna 1526 29 -23 3 4.7 -1.7
Grazer AK 1532 29 -15 3 4.3 -1.3
SSW Innsbruck 1540 24 -30 2 4.8 -2.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AW AS AW FV GA RW SI SG VL WSP
Admira Wacker —
1-1-2
6.24
0-1-3
3.47
2-1-1
5.47
1-2-1
5.58
1-1-2
3.76
3-1-0
4.97
1-0-3
5.33
2-1-1
4.86
2-0-2
5.09
Austria Salzburg
2-1-1
4.56
 —
1-2-1
2.44
2-0-2
4.92
2-2-0
4.74
1-1-2
2.99
2-0-2
4.32
1-1-2
4.49
2-1-1
3.88
0-2-2
4.17
Austria Wien
3-1-0
7.41
1-2-1
8.52
 —
3-0-1
7.90
4-0-0
8.12
3-0-1
5.87
2-1-1
7.52
4-0-0
7.43
1-1-2
7.18
4-0-0
7.13
First Vienna
1-1-2
5.33
2-0-2
5.87
1-0-3
3.03
 —
2-1-1
5.52
1-2-1
3.52
1-2-1
4.57
0-2-2
4.93
1-2-1
4.65
0-1-3
4.66
Grazer AK
1-2-1
5.21
0-2-2
6.06
0-0-4
2.79
1-1-2
5.28
 —
0-3-1
3.49
3-0-1
4.63
0-1-3
4.98
2-2-0
4.48
0-4-0
4.51
Rapid Wien
2-1-1
7.09
2-1-1
7.90
1-0-3
4.93
1-2-1
7.33
1-3-0
7.37
 —
3-0-1
6.63
2-2-0
6.74
0-3-1
6.69
1-1-2
6.40
SSW Innsbruck
0-1-3
5.82
2-0-2
6.50
1-1-2
3.36
1-2-1
6.24
1-0-3
6.18
1-0-3
4.19
 —
1-2-1
5.57
1-1-2
5.23
0-1-3
5.57
Sturm Graz
3-0-1
5.46
2-1-1
6.32
0-0-4
3.45
2-2-0
5.86
3-1-0
5.82
0-2-2
4.07
1-2-1
5.23
 —
1-1-2
5.09
2-0-2
5.07
VOEST Linz
1-1-2
5.94
1-1-2
6.95
2-1-1
3.67
1-2-1
6.15
0-2-2
6.32
1-3-0
4.13
2-1-1
5.57
2-1-1
5.70
 —
1-2-1
5.10
Wr. Sportclub Post
2-0-2
5.72
2-2-0
6.65
0-0-4
3.71
3-1-0
6.15
0-4-0
6.30
2-1-1
4.42
3-1-0
5.25
2-0-2
5.72
1-2-1
5.69
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.70 +4.2
Allowed 0.29 -6.9
Differential 0.84 +4.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.56%7.78%4.44%3.89%1.67%—28.33%
17.78%10.00%6.39%3.89%1.67%1.11%30.83%
24.44%6.39%6.67%2.78%1.94%—22.22%
33.89%3.89%2.78%1.67%——12.22%
41.67%1.67%1.94%———5.28%
5+—1.11%————1.11%
Total28.33%30.83%22.22%12.22%5.28%1.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.39 1.39 +0.00
SD 1.23 1.23 1.76
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%5.56%5.56%——33.33%
18.33%13.89%11.11%2.78%——36.11%
28.33%5.56%————13.89%
3—5.56%5.56%2.78%——13.89%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%41.67%22.22%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.19 -0.03
SD 1.13 0.95 1.54
CV 0.97 0.80 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%5.56%8.33%2.78%5.56%—33.33%
113.89%5.56%2.78%—8.33%2.78%33.33%
211.11%5.56%11.11%———27.78%
32.78%—2.78%———5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%16.67%25.00%2.78%13.89%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.47 -0.42
SD 0.92 1.59 1.96
CV 0.88 1.08 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%——2.78%—13.89%
12.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
2—11.11%2.78%———13.89%
38.33%13.89%2.78%———25.00%
42.78%11.11%13.89%———27.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total19.44%50.00%22.22%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.44 1.22 +1.22
SD 1.48 0.93 1.81
CV 0.61 0.76 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%—5.56%2.78%——19.44%
111.11%8.33%13.89%5.56%—2.78%41.67%
2—8.33%5.56%11.11%2.78%—27.78%
3——2.78%5.56%——8.33%
42.78%—————2.78%
5+———————
Total25.00%16.67%27.78%25.00%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.72 -0.39
SD 0.99 1.32 1.44
CV 0.74 0.77 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%2.78%——25.00%
111.11%22.22%8.33%8.33%2.78%2.78%55.56%
2—5.56%5.56%—2.78%—13.89%
32.78%——2.78%——5.56%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%36.11%16.67%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.47 -0.47
SD 0.79 1.32 1.38
CV 0.79 0.90 —
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%11.11%—2.78%——27.78%
15.56%11.11%2.78%—2.78%2.78%25.00%
28.33%5.56%8.33%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
35.56%5.56%—2.78%——13.89%
45.56%—————5.56%
5+———————
Total38.89%33.33%11.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.17 +0.28
SD 1.21 1.34 1.81
CV 0.83 1.15 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%16.67%11.11%11.11%2.78%—47.22%
1—13.89%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
22.78%—2.78%2.78%——8.33%
35.56%2.78%————8.33%
42.78%2.78%2.78%———8.33%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total16.67%38.89%22.22%19.44%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.53 -0.39
SD 1.46 1.08 2.07
CV 1.28 0.71 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%2.78%2.78%8.33%2.78%—33.33%
15.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%—25.00%
213.89%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
3—5.56%5.56%———11.11%
4———————
5+———————
Total36.11%22.22%16.67%16.67%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.39 -0.19
SD 1.04 1.36 1.74
CV 0.87 0.98 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%8.33%5.56%2.78%——30.56%
116.67%8.33%8.33%———33.33%
2—5.56%16.67%2.78%2.78%—27.78%
3—5.56%2.78%———8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.56%27.78%33.33%5.56%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.22 -0.08
SD 0.96 1.05 1.13
CV 0.84 0.86 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%2.78%—2.78%—19.44%
12.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%——16.67%
2—8.33%11.11%5.56%5.56%—30.56%
313.89%—5.56%2.78%——22.22%
4—2.78%2.78%———5.56%
5+—5.56%————5.56%
Total27.78%25.00%25.00%13.89%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.50 +0.47
SD 1.46 1.28 1.98
CV 0.74 0.85 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Austria Wien 1814 55 47.94 +7.06 95.9% 32 40 45 48 51 55 61
Rapid Wien 1669 39 44.08 -5.08 17.3% 28 36 41 44 47 52 57
Wr. Sportclub Post 1659 41 36.83 +4.17 85.7% 24 29 34 37 40 44 53
Sturm Graz 1596 37 34.50 +2.50 72.0% 19 27 31 35 38 42 51
Admira Wacker 1575 34 33.43 +0.57 61.0% 18 26 30 33 37 41 49
VOEST Linz 1574 36 36.63 -0.63 47.0% 22 29 34 37 40 44 52
SSW Innsbruck 1540 24 36.27 -12.27 1.1% 21 29 33 36 40 44 51
Austria Salzburg 1535 36 27.56 +8.44 96.8% 15 20 24 28 31 35 44
Grazer AK 1532 29 31.15 -2.15 35.0% 18 23 28 31 34 38 49
First Vienna 1526 29 31.61 -2.61 32.2% 17 24 29 31 35 39 47

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.22%
Clear Edge
46.67%28.89%24.44%
Elo Value
Home Edge
191 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
078.52500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.58 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.41+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
1.9
One-Team Race
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
69%
Austria Wien, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.39/gm
Tight Race
00.140.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.71 * Some Luck: 3.71 to 5.56 * Lucky: 5.56 to 7.42 * Wild Swing: 7.42 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.22 * Close: 1.22 to 1.83 * Off: 1.83 to 2.44 * Way Off: 2.44 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.77 points
Lucky
04.6412
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.40
Close
01.534
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
96.80%
Austria Salzburg
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
1.10%
SSW Innsbruck
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.12
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.41
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
65%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Strong Edge
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Very Frequent
0%60%100%
Blowouts
Expected
17%
Frequent
0%16%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.63
Hard to Predict
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.42
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.54
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.27
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%20%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
23%
As Expected
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.09
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.58
Overconfident
0.4530831.001.54692
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.104
Well Within Noise
00.1180.3

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Austria Wien68.60%22.90%5.00%2.30%0.70%0.30%—0.10%0.10%—
Wr. Sportclub Post2.10%8.70%21.00%19.80%15.90%11.10%8.80%7.40%4.10%1.10%
Rapid Wien25.10%46.10%13.20%7.50%3.30%2.60%1.30%0.20%0.70%—
Sturm Graz0.60%3.40%11.90%12.80%14.10%15.10%12.70%12.80%10.40%6.20%
VOEST Linz1.30%7.40%18.40%18.90%18.10%12.50%9.80%7.50%4.30%1.80%
Austria Salzburg—0.20%0.70%2.00%1.80%5.90%6.90%13.40%21.30%47.80%
Admira Wacker0.40%2.90%7.20%10.60%13.60%13.70%18.70%13.30%13.30%6.30%
First Vienna—1.30%3.60%5.20%8.70%11.90%15.30%18.70%20.00%15.30%
Grazer AK0.10%0.80%3.20%4.80%8.10%11.20%14.80%18.60%19.50%18.90%
SSW Innsbruck1.80%6.30%15.80%16.10%15.70%15.70%11.70%8.00%6.30%2.60%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Austria Wien 100% —
Rapid Wien 100% —
Wr. Sportclub Post 98.90% 1.10%
VOEST Linz 98.20% 1.80%
SSW Innsbruck 97.40% 2.60%
Sturm Graz 93.80% 6.20%
Admira Wacker 93.70% 6.30%
First Vienna 84.70% 15.30%
Grazer AK 81.10% 18.90%
Austria Salzburg 52.20% 47.80%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1978-08-18 Sturm Graz W 1-053.8 1601 1603 49.47% 30.22% 20.31%+0.40 +5.8 2
1978-08-18 @ VOEST Linz L 0-153.8 1603 1601 20.31% 30.22% 49.47%-0.40 -5.8 0
1978-08-18 SSW Innsbruck D 1-168.1 1567 1659 38.38% 30.63% 30.99%-0.07 -0.3 1
1978-08-18 @ First Vienna D 1-168.1 1659 1567 30.99% 30.63% 38.38%+0.07 +0.3 1
1978-08-18 Austria Salzburg L 1-265.9 1576 1479 58.86% 28.55% 12.59%+0.92 -12.4 0
1978-08-18 @ Grazer AK W 2-165.9 1479 1576 12.59% 28.55% 58.86%-0.92 +12.4 2
1978-08-18 Austria Wien W 3-158.8 1696 1709 48.15% 30.34% 21.52%+0.34 +9.8 2
1978-08-18 @ Rapid Wien L 1-358.8 1709 1696 21.52% 30.34% 48.15%-0.34 -9.8 0
1978-08-19 Wr. Sportclub Post W 3-262.3 1565 1566 49.55% 30.21% 20.24%+0.41 +5.1 2
1978-08-19 @ Admira Wacker L 2-362.3 1566 1565 20.24% 30.21% 49.55%-0.41 -5.1 0
1978-08-25 VOEST Linz L 1-368.4 1699 1607 58.49% 28.65% 12.86%+0.89 -21.3 0
1978-08-25 @ Austria Wien W 3-168.4 1607 1699 12.86% 28.65% 58.49%-0.89 +21.4 4
1978-08-25 Grazer AK D 3-375.4 1567 1563 50.02% 30.16% 19.82%+0.43 -0.9 2
1978-08-25 @ First Vienna D 3-375.4 1563 1567 19.82% 30.16% 50.02%-0.43 +0.9 1
1978-08-25 Rapid Wien W 1-061.7 1491 1706 22.87% 29.36% 47.77%-0.71 +10.8 4
1978-08-25 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-161.7 1706 1491 47.77% 29.36% 22.87%+0.71 -10.8 2
1978-08-25 Admira Wacker W 2-048.3 1597 1570 52.44% 29.86% 17.70%+0.55 +9.7 2
1978-08-25 @ Sturm Graz L 0-248.3 1570 1597 17.70% 29.86% 52.44%-0.55 -9.7 2
1978-08-25 Wr. Sportclub Post L 0-359.4 1659 1561 59.02% 28.51% 12.47%+0.93 -36.1 1
1978-08-25 @ SSW Innsbruck W 3-059.4 1561 1659 12.47% 28.51% 59.02%-0.93 +36.1 2
1978-09-01 Austria Salzburg W 1-048.4 1629 1502 61.28% 27.83% 10.90%+1.07 +3.4 6
1978-09-01 @ VOEST Linz L 0-148.4 1502 1629 10.90% 27.83% 61.28%-1.07 -3.3 4
1978-09-01 SSW Innsbruck W 1-055.5 1564 1623 42.67% 30.61% 26.72%+0.10 +7.1 3
1978-09-01 @ Grazer AK L 0-155.5 1623 1564 26.72% 30.61% 42.67%-0.10 -7.1 1
1978-09-01 Sturm Graz W 3-048.3 1597 1607 48.50% 30.31% 21.19%+0.36 +16.3 4
1978-09-01 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 0-348.3 1607 1597 21.19% 30.31% 48.50%-0.36 -16.3 2
1978-09-02 Austria Wien D 1-168.4 1561 1678 34.80% 30.53% 34.67%-0.20 +0.0 3
1978-09-02 @ Admira Wacker D 1-168.4 1678 1561 34.67% 30.53% 34.80%+0.20 +0.0 1
1978-09-02 First Vienna W 2-156.7 1695 1566 61.48% 27.76% 10.76%+1.09 +3.1 4
1978-09-02 @ Rapid Wien L 1-256.7 1566 1695 10.76% 27.76% 61.48%-1.09 -3.1 2
1978-09-08 Admira Wacker W 1-051.7 1499 1561 42.31% 30.62% 27.07%+0.09 +7.1 6
1978-09-08 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-151.7 1561 1499 27.07% 30.62% 42.31%-0.09 -7.1 3
1978-09-08 Sturm Graz D 1-167.9 1616 1590 52.28% 29.88% 17.83%+0.54 -1.7 2
1978-09-08 @ SSW Innsbruck D 1-167.9 1590 1616 17.83% 29.88% 52.28%-0.54 +1.7 3
1978-09-09 Wr. Sportclub Post W 3-155.3 1678 1613 56.10% 29.22% 14.68%+0.75 +7.2 3
1978-09-09 @ Austria Wien L 1-355.3 1613 1678 14.68% 29.22% 56.10%-0.75 -7.2 4
1978-09-09 VOEST Linz W 1-056.1 1563 1632 41.34% 30.63% 28.03%+0.05 +7.3 4
1978-09-09 @ First Vienna L 0-156.1 1632 1563 28.03% 30.63% 41.34%-0.05 -7.3 6
1978-09-09 Rapid Wien D 1-168.9 1571 1698 33.46% 30.47% 36.07%-0.25 +0.1 4
1978-09-09 @ Grazer AK D 1-168.9 1698 1571 36.07% 30.47% 33.46%+0.25 -0.1 5
1978-09-15 Grazer AK L 1-269.2 1625 1571 55.04% 29.43% 15.53%+0.69 -11.7 6
1978-09-15 @ VOEST Linz W 2-169.2 1571 1625 15.53% 29.43% 55.04%-0.69 +11.7 6
1978-09-15 SSW Innsbruck W 2-049.4 1698 1614 57.79% 28.83% 13.38%+0.85 +7.6 7
1978-09-15 @ Rapid Wien L 0-249.4 1614 1698 13.38% 28.83% 57.79%-0.85 -7.6 2
1978-09-16 First Vienna D 3-375.1 1553 1570 47.75% 30.37% 21.88%+0.32 -0.8 4
1978-09-16 @ Admira Wacker D 3-375.1 1570 1553 21.88% 30.37% 47.75%-0.32 +0.8 5
1978-09-16 Austria Wien L 0-354.8 1592 1685 38.19% 30.63% 31.19%-0.08 -24.9 3
1978-09-16 @ Sturm Graz W 3-054.8 1685 1592 31.19% 30.63% 38.19%+0.08 +24.9 5
1978-09-17 Austria Salzburg W 6-145.9 1606 1506 59.14% 28.48% 12.38%+0.93 +13.8 6
1978-09-17 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 1-645.9 1506 1606 12.38% 28.48% 59.14%-0.93 -13.8 6
1978-09-22 Admira Wacker L 0-161.7 1583 1553 52.78% 29.81% 17.41%+0.57 -11.9 6
1978-09-22 @ Grazer AK W 1-061.7 1553 1583 17.41% 29.81% 52.78%-0.57 +11.9 6
1978-09-22 VOEST Linz L 0-166.7 1706 1613 58.53% 28.64% 12.83%+0.90 -13.1 7
1978-09-22 @ Rapid Wien W 1-066.7 1613 1706 12.83% 28.64% 58.53%-0.90 +13.1 8
1978-09-22 Sturm Graz W 2-048.5 1492 1567 40.57% 30.64% 28.79%+0.02 +14.0 8
1978-09-22 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-248.5 1567 1492 28.79% 30.64% 40.57%-0.02 -14.0 3
1978-09-23 Austria Wien W 4-053.4 1606 1710 36.72% 30.60% 32.68%-0.13 +29.1 4
1978-09-23 @ SSW Innsbruck L 0-453.4 1710 1606 32.68% 30.60% 36.72%+0.13 -29.2 5
1978-09-24 Wr. Sportclub Post D 2-273.0 1571 1620 43.93% 30.58% 25.49%+0.16 -0.6 6
1978-09-24 @ First Vienna D 2-273.0 1620 1571 25.49% 30.58% 43.93%-0.16 +0.6 7
1978-09-29 Rapid Wien L 0-158.8 1565 1692 33.33% 30.47% 36.21%-0.26 -8.2 6
1978-09-29 @ Admira Wacker W 1-058.8 1692 1565 36.21% 30.47% 33.33%+0.26 +8.2 9
1978-09-29 SSW Innsbruck W 3-157.1 1626 1636 48.56% 30.30% 21.13%+0.36 +9.7 10
1978-09-29 @ VOEST Linz L 1-357.1 1636 1626 21.13% 30.30% 48.56%-0.36 -9.7 4
1978-09-29 Grazer AK D 1-167.7 1620 1571 54.65% 29.50% 15.85%+0.67 -2.0 8
1978-09-29 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 1-167.7 1571 1620 15.85% 29.50% 54.65%-0.67 +2.0 7
1978-09-30 First Vienna W 3-154.1 1553 1570 47.72% 30.37% 21.91%+0.32 +10.0 5
1978-09-30 @ Sturm Graz L 1-354.1 1570 1553 21.91% 30.37% 47.72%-0.32 -10.0 6
1978-10-01 Austria Salzburg W 4-148.0 1681 1506 64.84% 26.48% 8.67%+1.33 +6.2 7
1978-10-01 @ Austria Wien L 1-448.0 1506 1681 8.67% 26.48% 64.84%-1.33 -6.1 8
1978-10-06 Admira Wacker W 1-051.2 1636 1556 57.40% 28.92% 13.67%+0.83 +4.1 12
1978-10-06 @ VOEST Linz L 0-151.2 1556 1636 13.67% 28.92% 57.40%-0.83 -4.1 6
1978-10-06 Sturm Graz L 1-266.5 1573 1563 50.67% 30.09% 19.24%+0.46 -10.8 7
1978-10-06 @ Grazer AK W 2-166.5 1563 1573 19.24% 30.09% 50.67%-0.46 +10.8 7
1978-10-06 Wr. Sportclub Post W 1-053.3 1701 1618 57.66% 28.86% 13.48%+0.84 +4.1 11
1978-10-06 @ Rapid Wien L 0-153.3 1618 1701 13.48% 28.86% 57.66%-0.84 -4.1 8
1978-10-07 Austria Wien L 1-360.6 1560 1687 33.48% 30.48% 36.04%-0.25 -13.5 6
1978-10-07 @ First Vienna W 3-160.6 1687 1560 36.04% 30.48% 33.48%+0.25 +13.5 9
1978-10-07 Austria Salzburg W 4-147.5 1626 1500 61.23% 27.84% 10.93%+1.07 +7.8 6
1978-10-07 @ SSW Innsbruck L 1-447.5 1500 1626 10.93% 27.84% 61.23%-1.07 -7.8 8
1978-10-13 Grazer AK W 4-150.3 1701 1562 62.21% 27.51% 10.28%+1.14 +7.3 11
1978-10-13 @ Austria Wien L 1-450.3 1562 1701 10.28% 27.51% 62.21%-1.14 -7.3 7
1978-10-13 First Vienna W 2-047.0 1492 1547 43.23% 30.60% 26.17%+0.13 +13.1 10
1978-10-13 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-247.0 1547 1492 26.17% 30.60% 43.23%-0.13 -13.1 6
1978-10-13 Rapid Wien D 0-064.6 1574 1705 32.93% 30.45% 36.62%-0.27 +0.2 8
1978-10-13 @ Sturm Graz D 0-064.6 1705 1574 36.62% 30.45% 32.93%+0.27 -0.2 12
1978-10-14 SSW Innsbruck D 1-167.2 1552 1634 39.72% 30.64% 29.64%-0.02 -0.5 7
1978-10-14 @ Admira Wacker D 1-167.2 1634 1552 29.64% 30.64% 39.72%+0.02 +0.5 7
1978-10-14 VOEST Linz D 0-064.2 1614 1640 46.71% 30.44% 22.85%+0.28 -1.3 9
1978-10-14 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 0-064.2 1640 1614 22.85% 30.44% 46.71%-0.28 +1.3 13
1978-10-20 Grazer AK W 2-047.6 1506 1555 43.87% 30.58% 25.55%+0.15 +12.9 12
1978-10-20 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-247.6 1555 1506 25.55% 30.58% 43.87%-0.15 -12.9 7
1978-10-20 VOEST Linz D 2-273.5 1574 1641 41.62% 30.63% 27.75%+0.06 -0.5 9
1978-10-20 @ Sturm Graz D 2-273.5 1641 1574 27.75% 30.63% 41.62%-0.06 +0.5 14
1978-10-21 First Vienna W 3-044.2 1634 1534 59.20% 28.46% 12.34%+0.94 +10.3 9
1978-10-21 @ SSW Innsbruck L 0-344.2 1534 1634 12.34% 28.46% 59.20%-0.94 -10.3 6
1978-10-21 Admira Wacker W 2-156.4 1613 1552 55.77% 29.29% 14.95%+0.73 +4.2 11
1978-10-21 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 1-256.4 1552 1613 14.95% 29.29% 55.77%-0.73 -4.2 7
1978-10-22 Rapid Wien W 5-154.2 1708 1705 49.97% 30.17% 19.86%+0.43 +16.8 13
1978-10-22 @ Austria Wien L 1-554.2 1705 1708 19.86% 30.17% 49.97%-0.43 -16.8 12
1978-10-28 Sturm Graz W 3-154.4 1548 1574 46.65% 30.45% 22.91%+0.27 +10.3 9
1978-10-28 @ Admira Wacker L 1-354.4 1574 1548 22.91% 30.45% 46.65%-0.27 -10.3 9
1978-10-28 Austria Wien L 1-267.5 1642 1725 39.51% 30.64% 29.85%-0.02 -8.8 14
1978-10-28 @ VOEST Linz W 2-167.5 1725 1642 29.85% 30.64% 39.51%+0.02 +8.8 15
1978-10-28 First Vienna L 0-159.1 1542 1523 51.59% 29.98% 18.43%+0.51 -11.7 7
1978-10-28 @ Grazer AK W 1-059.1 1523 1542 18.43% 29.98% 51.59%-0.51 +11.7 8
1978-10-28 Austria Salzburg W 4-043.3 1688 1518 64.47% 26.64% 8.89%+1.30 +9.8 14
1978-10-28 @ Rapid Wien L 0-443.3 1518 1688 8.89% 26.64% 64.47%-1.30 -9.8 12
1978-10-29 SSW Innsbruck D 0-064.3 1617 1644 46.53% 30.45% 23.02%+0.27 -1.2 12
1978-10-29 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 0-064.3 1644 1617 23.02% 30.45% 46.53%-0.27 +1.2 10
1978-11-04 Rapid Wien W 3-271.0 1535 1698 28.77% 30.14% 41.08%-0.44 +8.6 10
1978-11-04 @ First Vienna L 2-371.0 1698 1535 41.08% 30.14% 28.77%+0.44 -8.6 14
1978-11-04 VOEST Linz W 1-056.9 1509 1633 33.84% 30.49% 35.66%-0.24 +8.6 14
1978-11-04 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-156.9 1633 1509 35.66% 30.49% 33.84%+0.24 -8.6 14
1978-11-04 Wr. Sportclub Post W 3-265.5 1563 1616 43.46% 30.59% 25.94%+0.14 +6.2 11
1978-11-04 @ Sturm Graz L 2-365.5 1616 1563 25.94% 30.59% 43.46%-0.14 -6.2 12
1978-11-04 Grazer AK W 5-147.7 1646 1530 60.42% 28.10% 11.48%+1.02 +10.5 12
1978-11-04 @ SSW Innsbruck L 1-547.7 1530 1646 11.48% 28.10% 60.42%-1.02 -10.5 7
1978-11-05 Admira Wacker W 1-050.7 1733 1558 64.92% 26.45% 8.63%+1.33 +2.6 17
1978-11-05 @ Austria Wien L 0-150.7 1558 1733 8.63% 26.45% 64.92%-1.33 -2.6 9
1978-11-10 Austria Wien L 1-361.9 1610 1736 33.53% 30.48% 35.99%-0.25 -13.5 12
1978-11-10 @ Wr. Sportclub Post W 3-161.9 1736 1610 35.99% 30.48% 33.53%+0.25 +13.5 19
1978-11-11 Austria Salzburg W 2-045.1 1555 1517 53.54% 29.69% 16.77%+0.61 +9.3 11
1978-11-11 @ Admira Wacker L 0-245.1 1517 1555 16.77% 29.69% 53.54%-0.61 -9.3 14
1978-11-11 First Vienna W 3-261.0 1624 1544 57.51% 28.90% 13.59%+0.83 +3.7 16
1978-11-11 @ VOEST Linz L 2-361.0 1544 1624 13.59% 28.90% 57.51%-0.83 -3.7 10
1978-11-11 Grazer AK W 3-151.3 1689 1520 64.47% 26.64% 8.89%+1.30 +4.5 16
1978-11-11 @ Rapid Wien L 1-351.3 1520 1689 8.89% 26.64% 64.47%-1.30 -4.5 7
1978-11-11 SSW Innsbruck W 2-053.7 1570 1656 39.04% 30.64% 30.32%-0.04 +14.6 13
1978-11-11 @ Sturm Graz L 0-253.7 1656 1570 30.32% 30.64% 39.04%+0.04 -14.6 12
1978-11-18 Admira Wacker W 2-157.3 1540 1564 46.84% 30.43% 22.73%+0.28 +5.9 12
1978-11-18 @ First Vienna L 1-257.3 1564 1540 22.73% 30.43% 46.84%-0.28 -5.9 11
1978-11-18 VOEST Linz W 3-050.7 1515 1628 35.47% 30.56% 33.97%-0.18 +22.9 9
1978-11-18 @ Grazer AK L 0-350.7 1628 1515 33.97% 30.56% 35.47%+0.18 -22.9 16
1978-11-18 Wr. Sportclub Post D 0-060.5 1508 1596 38.82% 30.63% 30.54%-0.05 -0.4 15
1978-11-18 @ Austria Salzburg D 0-060.5 1596 1508 30.54% 30.63% 38.82%+0.05 +0.4 13
1978-11-18 Rapid Wien L 0-259.2 1642 1693 43.55% 30.59% 25.87%+0.14 -19.0 12
1978-11-18 @ SSW Innsbruck W 2-059.2 1693 1642 25.87% 30.59% 43.55%-0.14 +19.0 18
1978-11-19 Sturm Graz W 4-150.7 1750 1584 64.20% 26.75% 9.05%+1.28 +6.4 21
1978-11-19 @ Austria Wien L 1-450.7 1584 1750 9.05% 26.75% 64.20%-1.28 -6.4 13
1978-11-25 Grazer AK D 0-060.4 1559 1538 51.78% 29.95% 18.27%+0.52 -1.8 12
1978-11-25 @ Admira Wacker D 0-060.4 1538 1559 18.27% 29.95% 51.78%-0.52 +1.8 10
1978-11-25 SSW Innsbruck W 3-046.7 1756 1623 61.83% 27.64% 10.53%+1.11 +8.9 23
1978-11-25 @ Austria Wien L 0-346.7 1623 1756 10.53% 27.64% 61.83%-1.11 -8.9 12
1978-11-25 Rapid Wien D 0-065.1 1605 1712 36.18% 30.58% 33.24%-0.15 -0.1 17
1978-11-25 @ VOEST Linz D 0-065.1 1712 1605 33.24% 30.58% 36.18%+0.15 +0.1 19
1978-11-25 Austria Salzburg D 0-060.3 1578 1508 56.58% 29.11% 14.31%+0.78 -2.4 14
1978-11-25 @ Sturm Graz D 0-060.3 1508 1578 14.31% 29.11% 56.58%-0.78 +2.4 16
1978-11-26 First Vienna W 5-148.5 1597 1546 54.79% 29.47% 15.73%+0.68 +13.9 15
1978-11-26 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 1-548.5 1546 1597 15.73% 29.47% 54.79%-0.68 -13.9 12
1978-12-02 Wr. Sportclub Post D 1-166.3 1540 1611 41.17% 30.64% 28.20%+0.04 -0.6 11
1978-12-02 @ Grazer AK D 1-166.3 1611 1540 28.20% 30.64% 41.17%-0.04 +0.6 16
1978-12-02 Admira Wacker D 1-169.9 1713 1557 63.51% 27.03% 9.47%+1.23 -2.9 20
1978-12-02 @ Rapid Wien D 1-169.9 1557 1713 9.47% 27.03% 63.51%-1.23 +2.9 13
1978-12-03 Austria Wien W 1-064.3 1510 1765 18.98% 28.52% 52.50%-0.92 +11.7 18
1978-12-03 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-164.3 1765 1510 52.50% 28.52% 18.98%+0.92 -11.7 23
1978-12-05 Sturm Graz D 0-060.6 1532 1575 44.58% 30.55% 24.87%+0.18 -1.0 13
1978-12-05 @ First Vienna D 0-060.6 1575 1532 24.87% 30.55% 44.58%-0.18 +1.0 15
1978-12-08 SSW Innsbruck W 2-160.8 1522 1614 38.31% 30.63% 31.06%-0.07 +7.4 20
1978-12-08 @ Austria Salzburg L 1-260.8 1614 1522 31.06% 30.63% 38.31%+0.07 -7.4 12
1978-12-08 Grazer AK D 1-165.6 1576 1539 53.45% 29.71% 16.84%+0.60 -1.8 16
1978-12-08 @ Sturm Graz D 1-165.6 1539 1576 16.84% 29.71% 53.45%-0.60 +1.8 12
1978-12-08 Rapid Wien D 3-379.1 1611 1710 37.41% 30.61% 31.98%-0.10 -0.1 17
1978-12-08 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 3-379.1 1710 1611 31.98% 30.61% 37.41%+0.10 +0.1 21
1978-12-09 VOEST Linz W 2-050.7 1560 1605 44.36% 30.56% 25.07%+0.17 +12.7 15
1978-12-09 @ Admira Wacker L 0-250.7 1605 1560 25.07% 30.56% 44.36%-0.17 -12.7 17
1978-12-09 First Vienna W 4-255.5 1753 1531 68.07% 24.98% 6.95%+1.58 +3.1 25
1978-12-09 @ Austria Wien L 2-455.5 1531 1753 6.95% 24.98% 68.07%-1.58 -3.1 13
1978-12-16 Wr. Sportclub Post D 2-273.3 1592 1611 47.50% 30.39% 22.12%+0.31 -0.9 18
1978-12-16 @ VOEST Linz D 2-273.3 1611 1592 22.12% 30.39% 47.50%-0.31 +0.9 18
1978-12-16 Sturm Graz W 3-045.7 1710 1575 61.97% 27.59% 10.44%+1.12 +8.8 23
1978-12-16 @ Rapid Wien L 0-345.7 1575 1710 10.44% 27.59% 61.97%-1.12 -8.8 16
1978-12-16 Admira Wacker L 0-259.2 1606 1572 53.16% 29.75% 17.09%+0.59 -22.6 12
1978-12-16 @ SSW Innsbruck W 2-059.2 1572 1606 17.09% 29.75% 53.16%-0.59 +22.6 17
1978-12-17 Austria Salzburg W 4-043.4 1528 1529 49.47% 30.22% 20.31%+0.40 +20.6 15
1978-12-17 @ First Vienna L 0-443.4 1529 1528 20.31% 30.22% 49.47%-0.40 -20.6 20
1978-12-17 Austria Wien L 0-350.1 1541 1756 22.78% 29.35% 47.88%-0.72 -16.9 12
1978-12-17 @ Grazer AK W 3-050.1 1756 1541 47.88% 29.35% 22.78%+0.72 +16.9 27
1979-02-10 VOEST Linz D 2-272.7 1584 1591 48.79% 30.28% 20.93%+0.37 -1.0 13
1979-02-10 @ SSW Innsbruck D 2-272.7 1591 1584 20.93% 30.28% 48.79%-0.37 +1.0 19
1979-02-24 Wr. Sportclub Post W 4-048.3 1595 1612 47.72% 30.37% 21.91%+0.32 +21.8 19
1979-02-24 @ Admira Wacker L 0-448.3 1612 1595 21.91% 30.37% 47.72%-0.32 -21.8 18
1979-02-24 Sturm Graz W 2-157.2 1592 1566 52.40% 29.87% 17.73%+0.55 +4.9 21
1979-02-24 @ VOEST Linz L 1-257.2 1566 1592 17.73% 29.87% 52.40%-0.55 -4.9 16
1979-02-24 Austria Salzburg D 0-058.2 1524 1509 51.31% 30.01% 18.68%+0.49 -1.8 13
1979-02-24 @ Grazer AK D 0-058.2 1509 1524 18.68% 30.01% 51.31%-0.49 +1.8 21
1979-02-24 Austria Wien L 1-269.3 1719 1773 43.20% 30.60% 26.20%+0.13 -9.4 23
1979-02-24 @ Rapid Wien W 2-169.3 1773 1719 26.20% 30.60% 43.20%-0.13 +9.5 29
1979-02-25 SSW Innsbruck D 1-165.8 1548 1583 45.69% 30.50% 23.81%+0.23 -1.0 16
1979-02-25 @ First Vienna D 1-165.8 1583 1548 23.81% 30.50% 45.69%-0.23 +1.0 14
1979-03-03 VOEST Linz L 0-168.7 1783 1597 65.62% 26.15% 8.24%+1.38 -14.5 29
1979-03-03 @ Austria Wien W 1-068.7 1597 1783 8.24% 26.15% 65.62%-1.38 +14.5 23
1979-03-03 Rapid Wien D 2-273.9 1510 1709 24.51% 29.63% 45.86%-0.63 +0.8 22
1979-03-03 @ Austria Salzburg D 2-273.9 1709 1510 45.86% 29.63% 24.51%+0.63 -0.8 24
1979-03-03 Admira Wacker W 2-051.4 1561 1617 43.05% 30.60% 26.35%+0.12 +13.2 18
1979-03-03 @ Sturm Graz L 0-251.4 1617 1561 26.35% 30.60% 43.05%-0.12 -13.2 19
1979-03-03 Wr. Sportclub Post L 1-267.1 1584 1590 48.91% 30.27% 20.81%+0.38 -10.5 14
1979-03-03 @ SSW Innsbruck W 2-167.1 1590 1584 20.81% 30.27% 48.91%-0.38 +10.5 20
1979-03-04 Grazer AK W 2-154.5 1547 1523 52.23% 29.89% 17.88%+0.54 +4.9 18
1979-03-04 @ First Vienna L 1-254.5 1523 1547 17.88% 29.89% 52.23%-0.54 -4.9 13
1979-03-10 Austria Wien L 1-360.5 1604 1768 28.50% 30.12% 41.38%-0.45 -12.0 19
1979-03-10 @ Admira Wacker W 3-160.5 1768 1604 41.38% 30.12% 28.50%+0.45 +12.0 31
1979-03-10 Austria Salzburg D 2-271.8 1611 1511 59.19% 28.46% 12.35%+0.94 -1.8 24
1979-03-10 @ VOEST Linz D 2-271.8 1511 1611 12.35% 28.46% 59.19%-0.94 +1.8 23
1979-03-10 SSW Innsbruck W 1-052.6 1518 1573 43.08% 30.60% 26.32%+0.12 +7.0 15
1979-03-10 @ Grazer AK L 0-152.6 1573 1518 26.32% 30.60% 43.08%-0.12 -7.0 14
1979-03-10 First Vienna D 0-065.3 1708 1552 63.53% 27.02% 9.45%+1.23 -3.2 25
1979-03-10 @ Rapid Wien D 0-065.3 1552 1708 9.45% 27.02% 63.53%-1.23 +3.2 19
1979-03-11 Sturm Graz W 2-157.6 1601 1574 52.41% 29.87% 17.73%+0.55 +4.9 22
1979-03-11 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 1-257.6 1574 1601 17.73% 29.87% 52.41%-0.55 -4.9 18
1979-03-17 Wr. Sportclub Post W 4-257.5 1780 1605 64.86% 26.47% 8.66%+1.33 +3.9 33
1979-03-17 @ Austria Wien L 2-457.5 1605 1780 8.66% 26.47% 64.86%-1.33 -3.9 22
1979-03-17 Rapid Wien D 2-274.0 1525 1705 26.59% 29.91% 43.50%-0.53 +0.6 16
1979-03-17 @ Grazer AK D 2-274.0 1705 1525 43.50% 29.91% 26.59%+0.53 -0.6 26
1979-03-17 Admira Wacker D 1-164.9 1513 1591 40.11% 30.64% 29.25%+0.00 -0.5 24
1979-03-17 @ Austria Salzburg D 1-164.9 1591 1513 29.25% 30.64% 40.11%+0.00 +0.5 20
1979-03-17 Sturm Graz D 0-061.5 1566 1569 49.29% 30.24% 20.48%+0.40 -1.6 15
1979-03-17 @ SSW Innsbruck D 0-061.5 1569 1566 20.48% 30.24% 49.29%-0.40 +1.6 19
1979-03-18 VOEST Linz D 0-062.3 1555 1610 43.24% 30.60% 26.16%+0.13 -0.9 20
1979-03-18 @ First Vienna D 0-062.3 1610 1555 26.16% 30.60% 43.24%-0.13 +0.9 25
1979-03-24 First Vienna W 2-156.6 1592 1555 53.50% 29.70% 16.80%+0.61 +4.7 22
1979-03-24 @ Admira Wacker L 1-256.6 1555 1592 16.80% 29.70% 53.50%-0.61 -4.6 20
1979-03-24 Grazer AK D 1-166.4 1611 1525 57.92% 28.80% 13.29%+0.86 -2.3 26
1979-03-24 @ VOEST Linz D 1-166.4 1525 1611 13.29% 28.80% 57.92%-0.86 +2.3 17
1979-03-24 SSW Innsbruck W 3-045.4 1705 1565 62.32% 27.47% 10.21%+1.14 +8.6 28
1979-03-24 @ Rapid Wien L 0-345.4 1565 1705 10.21% 27.47% 62.32%-1.14 -8.6 15
1979-03-24 Austria Wien L 2-367.0 1571 1784 22.95% 29.38% 47.67%-0.71 -5.6 19
1979-03-24 @ Sturm Graz W 3-267.0 1784 1571 47.67% 29.38% 22.95%+0.71 +5.6 35
1979-03-24 Austria Salzburg W 4-148.0 1602 1512 58.24% 28.72% 13.04%+0.88 +9.1 24
1979-03-24 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 1-448.0 1512 1602 13.04% 28.72% 58.24%-0.88 -9.1 24
1979-03-31 Admira Wacker W 1-054.2 1528 1597 41.35% 30.63% 28.02%+0.05 +7.3 19
1979-03-31 @ Grazer AK L 0-154.2 1597 1528 28.02% 30.63% 41.35%-0.05 -7.3 22
1979-03-31 VOEST Linz D 1-170.2 1713 1608 59.57% 28.35% 12.08%+0.96 -2.5 29
1979-03-31 @ Rapid Wien D 1-170.2 1608 1713 12.08% 28.35% 59.57%-0.96 +2.5 27
1979-03-31 Sturm Graz L 0-252.9 1503 1565 42.27% 30.62% 27.11%+0.09 -18.6 24
1979-03-31 @ Austria Salzburg W 2-052.9 1565 1503 27.11% 30.62% 42.27%-0.09 +18.6 21
1979-03-31 Austria Wien D 1-170.3 1556 1790 20.93% 28.98% 50.09%-0.81 +1.4 16
1979-03-31 @ SSW Innsbruck D 1-170.3 1790 1556 50.09% 28.98% 20.93%+0.81 -1.4 36
1979-04-01 Wr. Sportclub Post L 2-369.9 1550 1611 42.42% 30.62% 26.97%+0.09 -8.8 20
1979-04-01 @ First Vienna W 3-269.9 1611 1550 26.97% 30.62% 42.42%-0.09 +8.8 26
1979-04-06 First Vienna W 2-155.8 1584 1541 54.02% 29.61% 16.37%+0.64 +4.5 23
1979-04-06 @ Sturm Graz L 1-255.8 1541 1584 16.37% 29.61% 54.02%-0.64 -4.6 20
1979-04-07 Austria Salzburg D 0-067.0 1788 1485 73.00% 22.19% 4.81%+2.00 -4.1 37
1979-04-07 @ Austria Wien D 0-067.0 1485 1788 4.81% 22.19% 73.00%-2.00 +4.1 25
1979-04-07 Grazer AK D 0-062.5 1620 1535 57.86% 28.81% 13.33%+0.85 -2.6 27
1979-04-07 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 0-062.5 1535 1620 13.33% 28.81% 57.86%-0.85 +2.6 20
1979-04-08 Rapid Wien L 1-265.1 1589 1711 34.23% 30.51% 35.26%-0.22 -7.9 22
1979-04-08 @ Admira Wacker W 2-165.1 1711 1589 35.26% 30.51% 34.23%+0.22 +7.9 31
1979-04-10 SSW Innsbruck L 0-259.4 1611 1557 55.03% 29.43% 15.54%+0.69 -23.3 27
1979-04-10 @ VOEST Linz W 2-059.4 1557 1611 15.54% 29.43% 55.03%-0.69 +23.3 18
1979-04-12 Wr. Sportclub Post L 0-167.1 1719 1617 59.30% 28.43% 12.27%+0.94 -13.2 31
1979-04-12 @ Rapid Wien W 1-067.1 1617 1719 12.27% 28.43% 59.30%-0.94 +13.2 29
1979-04-13 Austria Wien L 1-260.5 1536 1784 19.63% 28.68% 51.69%-0.89 -5.1 20
1979-04-13 @ First Vienna W 2-160.5 1784 1536 51.69% 28.68% 19.63%+0.89 +5.1 39
1979-04-13 Sturm Graz L 0-158.9 1537 1588 43.66% 30.59% 25.75%+0.14 -10.1 20
1979-04-13 @ Grazer AK W 1-058.9 1588 1537 25.75% 30.59% 43.66%-0.14 +10.1 25
1979-04-14 Admira Wacker D 0-062.5 1587 1581 50.27% 30.14% 19.60%+0.44 -1.7 28
1979-04-14 @ VOEST Linz D 0-062.5 1581 1587 19.60% 30.14% 50.27%-0.44 +1.7 23
1979-04-14 Austria Salzburg W 3-041.4 1581 1489 58.48% 28.65% 12.86%+0.89 +10.7 20
1979-04-14 @ SSW Innsbruck L 0-341.4 1489 1581 12.86% 28.65% 58.48%-0.89 -10.7 25
1979-04-20 SSW Innsbruck W 1-053.4 1583 1591 48.69% 30.29% 21.02%+0.37 +5.9 25
1979-04-20 @ Admira Wacker L 0-153.4 1591 1583 21.02% 30.29% 48.69%-0.37 -5.9 20
1979-04-20 Rapid Wien D 0-064.9 1598 1705 36.25% 30.58% 33.17%-0.15 -0.2 26
1979-04-20 @ Sturm Graz D 0-064.9 1705 1598 33.17% 30.58% 36.25%+0.15 +0.1 32
1979-04-21 Grazer AK W 3-151.3 1789 1527 70.55% 23.65% 5.81%+1.78 +2.8 41
1979-04-21 @ Austria Wien L 1-351.3 1527 1789 5.81% 23.65% 70.55%-1.78 -2.8 20
1979-04-21 First Vienna L 0-154.8 1478 1531 43.37% 30.60% 26.04%+0.13 -10.0 25
1979-04-21 @ Austria Salzburg W 1-054.8 1531 1478 26.04% 30.60% 43.37%-0.13 +10.1 22
1979-04-21 VOEST Linz L 1-269.4 1630 1586 54.19% 29.58% 16.23%+0.64 -11.5 29
1979-04-21 @ Wr. Sportclub Post W 2-169.4 1586 1630 16.23% 29.58% 54.19%-0.64 +11.5 30
1979-04-27 VOEST Linz W 3-264.0 1598 1597 49.73% 30.19% 20.08%+0.42 +5.1 28
1979-04-27 @ Sturm Graz L 2-364.0 1597 1598 20.08% 30.19% 49.73%-0.42 -5.1 30
1979-04-28 Rapid Wien W 4-153.6 1792 1706 58.02% 28.77% 13.21%+0.86 +9.2 43
1979-04-28 @ Austria Wien L 1-453.6 1706 1792 13.21% 28.77% 58.02%-0.86 -9.2 32
1979-04-28 First Vienna L 0-161.8 1586 1541 54.16% 29.59% 16.25%+0.64 -12.2 20
1979-04-28 @ SSW Innsbruck W 1-061.8 1541 1586 16.25% 29.59% 54.16%-0.64 +12.2 24
1979-04-28 Admira Wacker W 3-047.1 1619 1589 52.73% 29.82% 17.45%+0.57 +13.9 31
1979-04-28 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 0-347.1 1589 1619 17.45% 29.82% 52.73%-0.57 -13.9 25
1979-04-29 Grazer AK D 1-160.9 1468 1525 42.97% 30.61% 26.43%+0.12 -0.8 26
1979-04-29 @ Austria Salzburg D 1-160.9 1525 1468 26.43% 30.61% 42.97%-0.12 +0.8 21
1979-05-04 Sturm Graz L 0-161.1 1575 1603 46.40% 30.46% 23.14%+0.26 -10.6 25
1979-05-04 @ Admira Wacker W 1-061.1 1603 1575 23.14% 30.46% 46.40%-0.26 +10.6 30
1979-05-04 Austria Wien D 0-066.1 1592 1801 23.39% 29.45% 47.16%-0.68 +1.3 31
1979-05-04 @ VOEST Linz D 0-066.1 1801 1592 47.16% 29.45% 23.39%+0.68 -1.3 44
1979-05-04 First Vienna W 2-156.6 1525 1554 46.40% 30.46% 23.14%+0.26 +6.0 23
1979-05-04 @ Grazer AK L 1-256.6 1554 1525 23.14% 30.46% 46.40%-0.26 -6.0 24
1979-05-04 Austria Salzburg W 2-043.4 1696 1467 68.49% 24.76% 6.74%+1.61 +3.8 34
1979-05-04 @ Rapid Wien L 0-243.4 1467 1696 6.74% 24.76% 68.49%-1.61 -3.8 26
1979-05-05 SSW Innsbruck W 3-046.2 1633 1573 55.58% 29.32% 15.09%+0.72 +12.3 33
1979-05-05 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 0-346.2 1573 1633 15.09% 29.32% 55.58%-0.72 -12.3 20
1979-05-11 VOEST Linz W 1-054.4 1463 1593 33.05% 30.45% 36.50%-0.27 +8.8 28
1979-05-11 @ Austria Salzburg L 0-154.4 1593 1463 36.50% 30.45% 33.05%+0.27 -8.8 31
1979-05-11 Wr. Sportclub Post W 2-052.2 1614 1645 46.09% 30.48% 23.43%+0.25 +12.1 32
1979-05-11 @ Sturm Graz L 0-252.2 1645 1614 23.43% 30.48% 46.09%-0.25 -12.1 33
1979-05-12 Admira Wacker W 2-155.7 1800 1564 68.92% 24.54% 6.54%+1.65 +1.9 46
1979-05-12 @ Austria Wien L 1-255.7 1564 1800 6.54% 24.54% 68.92%-1.65 -1.9 25
1979-05-12 Rapid Wien D 1-168.6 1548 1700 30.04% 30.25% 39.71%-0.39 +0.4 25
1979-05-12 @ First Vienna D 1-168.6 1700 1548 39.71% 30.25% 30.04%+0.39 -0.4 35
1979-05-13 Grazer AK L 0-160.3 1561 1531 52.74% 29.82% 17.44%+0.57 -11.9 20
1979-05-13 @ SSW Innsbruck W 1-060.3 1531 1561 17.44% 29.82% 52.74%-0.57 +11.9 25
1979-05-18 Austria Salzburg L 0-353.8 1563 1472 58.34% 28.69% 12.97%+0.88 -35.7 25
1979-05-18 @ Admira Wacker W 3-053.8 1472 1563 12.97% 28.69% 58.34%-0.88 +35.7 30
1979-05-18 First Vienna D 2-271.7 1585 1548 53.42% 29.71% 16.87%+0.60 -1.4 32
1979-05-18 @ VOEST Linz D 2-271.7 1548 1585 16.87% 29.71% 53.42%-0.60 +1.4 26
1979-05-18 Grazer AK D 0-065.0 1700 1543 63.56% 27.01% 9.44%+1.23 -3.2 36
1979-05-18 @ Rapid Wien D 0-065.0 1543 1700 9.44% 27.01% 63.56%-1.23 +3.2 26
1979-05-18 SSW Innsbruck L 1-365.7 1626 1549 57.19% 28.98% 13.84%+0.81 -20.9 32
1979-05-18 @ Sturm Graz W 3-165.7 1549 1626 13.84% 28.98% 57.19%-0.81 +20.9 22
1979-05-19 Austria Wien L 2-464.7 1633 1802 27.96% 30.06% 41.97%-0.47 -10.6 33
1979-05-19 @ Wr. Sportclub Post W 4-264.7 1802 1633 41.97% 30.06% 27.96%+0.47 +10.6 48
1979-05-25 VOEST Linz D 1-165.7 1546 1583 45.38% 30.52% 24.10%+0.22 -1.0 27
1979-05-25 @ Grazer AK D 1-165.7 1583 1546 24.10% 30.52% 45.38%-0.22 +1.0 33
1979-05-25 Wr. Sportclub Post D 2-271.4 1508 1622 35.23% 30.55% 34.22%-0.19 -0.0 31
1979-05-25 @ Austria Salzburg D 2-271.4 1622 1508 34.22% 30.55% 35.23%+0.19 +0.0 34
1979-05-26 Sturm Graz W 4-257.1 1813 1605 67.08% 25.47% 7.45%+1.50 +3.3 50
1979-05-26 @ Austria Wien L 2-457.1 1605 1813 7.45% 25.47% 67.08%-1.50 -3.3 32
1979-05-26 Admira Wacker L 2-370.0 1549 1527 52.01% 29.92% 18.07%+0.53 -10.5 26
1979-05-26 @ First Vienna W 3-270.0 1527 1549 18.07% 29.92% 52.01%-0.53 +10.5 27
1979-05-26 Rapid Wien W 4-265.6 1570 1696 33.53% 30.48% 35.99%-0.25 +12.7 24
1979-05-26 @ SSW Innsbruck L 2-465.6 1696 1570 35.99% 30.48% 33.53%+0.25 -12.7 36
1979-06-01 Grazer AK D 1-164.3 1537 1545 48.73% 30.29% 20.99%+0.37 -1.3 28
1979-06-01 @ Admira Wacker D 1-164.3 1545 1537 20.99% 30.29% 48.73%-0.37 +1.3 28
1979-06-01 SSW Innsbruck W 4-044.6 1816 1583 68.75% 24.63% 6.62%+1.63 +7.1 52
1979-06-01 @ Austria Wien L 0-444.6 1583 1816 6.62% 24.63% 68.75%-1.63 -7.1 24
1979-06-01 Rapid Wien D 2-274.4 1584 1684 37.28% 30.61% 32.11%-0.11 -0.2 34
1979-06-01 @ VOEST Linz D 2-274.4 1684 1584 32.11% 30.61% 37.28%+0.11 +0.2 37
1979-06-01 Austria Salzburg W 2-153.9 1602 1508 58.65% 28.61% 12.74%+0.90 +3.6 34
1979-06-01 @ Sturm Graz L 1-253.9 1508 1602 12.74% 28.61% 58.65%-0.90 -3.7 31
1979-06-01 First Vienna W 3-260.7 1622 1539 57.75% 28.84% 13.41%+0.85 +3.6 36
1979-06-01 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 2-360.7 1539 1622 13.41% 28.84% 57.75%-0.85 -3.6 26
1979-06-08 Sturm Graz D 0-061.6 1535 1606 41.19% 30.64% 28.17%+0.04 -0.7 27
1979-06-08 @ First Vienna D 0-061.6 1606 1535 28.17% 30.64% 41.19%-0.04 +0.7 35
1979-06-08 Wr. Sportclub Post D 2-272.5 1547 1626 40.02% 30.64% 29.34%+0.00 -0.4 29
1979-06-08 @ Grazer AK D 2-272.5 1626 1547 29.34% 30.64% 40.02%+0.00 +0.4 37
1979-06-08 Admira Wacker L 0-166.1 1684 1536 62.92% 27.25% 9.83%+1.19 -14.0 37
1979-06-08 @ Rapid Wien W 1-066.1 1536 1684 9.83% 27.25% 62.92%-1.19 +14.0 30
1979-06-08 Austria Wien D 2-276.4 1504 1823 14.15% 26.86% 58.98%-1.26 +1.7 32
1979-06-08 @ Austria Salzburg D 2-276.4 1823 1504 58.98% 26.86% 14.15%+1.26 -1.7 53
1979-06-08 VOEST Linz L 0-161.3 1576 1584 48.69% 30.29% 21.02%+0.37 -11.1 24
1979-06-08 @ SSW Innsbruck W 1-061.3 1584 1576 21.02% 30.29% 48.69%-0.37 +11.1 36
1979-06-15 VOEST Linz W 2-159.3 1550 1595 44.37% 30.56% 25.07%+0.17 +6.4 32
1979-06-15 @ Admira Wacker L 1-259.3 1595 1550 25.07% 30.56% 44.37%-0.17 -6.4 36
1979-06-15 First Vienna L 1-274.8 1821 1535 72.02% 22.78% 5.19%+1.91 -14.6 53
1979-06-15 @ Austria Wien W 2-174.8 1535 1821 5.19% 22.78% 72.02%-1.91 +14.6 29
1979-06-15 SSW Innsbruck W 3-262.4 1506 1565 42.70% 30.61% 26.69%+0.10 +6.3 34
1979-06-15 @ Austria Salzburg L 2-362.4 1565 1506 26.69% 30.61% 42.70%-0.10 -6.3 24
1979-06-15 Grazer AK W 3-152.6 1606 1546 55.64% 29.31% 15.05%+0.72 +7.3 37
1979-06-15 @ Sturm Graz L 1-352.6 1546 1606 15.05% 29.31% 55.64%-0.72 -7.3 29
1979-06-15 Rapid Wien W 3-051.1 1626 1670 44.55% 30.55% 24.89%+0.18 +18.4 39
1979-06-15 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 0-351.1 1670 1626 24.89% 30.55% 44.55%-0.18 -18.4 37
1979-06-22 Wr. Sportclub Post L 2-467.2 1589 1645 43.04% 30.60% 26.36%+0.12 -14.6 36
1979-06-22 @ VOEST Linz W 4-267.2 1645 1589 26.36% 30.60% 43.04%-0.12 +14.6 41
1979-06-22 Austria Salzburg L 0-255.7 1549 1512 53.45% 29.71% 16.85%+0.60 -22.7 29
1979-06-22 @ First Vienna W 2-055.7 1512 1549 16.85% 29.71% 53.45%-0.60 +22.7 36
1979-06-22 Austria Wien L 2-460.5 1539 1807 17.90% 28.22% 53.88%-0.99 -7.4 29
1979-06-22 @ Grazer AK W 4-260.5 1807 1539 53.88% 28.22% 17.90%+0.99 +7.4 55
1979-06-22 Sturm Graz W 4-047.7 1652 1614 53.56% 29.69% 16.75%+0.61 +17.6 39
1979-06-22 @ Rapid Wien L 0-447.7 1614 1652 16.75% 29.69% 53.56%-0.61 -17.6 37
1979-06-22 Admira Wacker L 1-362.2 1558 1556 49.83% 30.18% 19.99%+0.42 -18.5 24
1979-06-22 @ SSW Innsbruck W 3-162.2 1556 1558 19.99% 30.18% 49.83%-0.42 +18.5 34

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1979-06-15 5.19% First Vienna 1535 2 @ Austria Wien 1821 1
2 1979-03-03 8.24% VOEST Linz 1597 1 @ Austria Wien 1783 0
3 1979-06-08 9.83% Admira Wacker 1536 1 @ Rapid Wien 1684 0
4 1979-04-12 12.27% Wr. Sportclub Post 1617 1 @ Rapid Wien 1719 0
5 1978-08-25 12.47% Wr. Sportclub Post 1561 3 @ SSW Innsbruck 1659 0
6 1978-08-18 12.59% Austria Salzburg 1479 2 @ Grazer AK 1576 1
7 1978-09-22 12.83% VOEST Linz 1613 1 @ Rapid Wien 1706 0
8 1978-08-25 12.86% VOEST Linz 1607 3 @ Austria Wien 1699 1
9 1979-05-18 12.97% Austria Salzburg 1472 3 @ Admira Wacker 1563 0
10 1979-05-18 13.84% SSW Innsbruck 1549 3 @ Sturm Graz 1626 1
11 1978-09-15 15.53% Grazer AK 1571 2 @ VOEST Linz 1625 1
12 1979-04-10 15.54% SSW Innsbruck 1557 2 @ VOEST Linz 1611 0
13 1979-04-21 16.23% VOEST Linz 1586 2 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 1630 1
14 1979-04-28 16.25% First Vienna 1541 1 @ SSW Innsbruck 1586 0
15 1979-06-22 16.85% Austria Salzburg 1512 2 @ First Vienna 1549 0
16 1978-12-16 17.09% Admira Wacker 1572 2 @ SSW Innsbruck 1606 0
17 1978-09-22 17.41% Admira Wacker 1553 1 @ Grazer AK 1583 0
18 1979-05-13 17.44% Grazer AK 1531 1 @ SSW Innsbruck 1561 0
19 1979-05-26 18.07% Admira Wacker 1527 3 @ First Vienna 1549 2
20 1978-10-28 18.43% First Vienna 1523 1 @ Grazer AK 1542 0
21 1978-12-03 18.98% @ Austria Salzburg 1510 1 Austria Wien 1765 0
22 1978-10-06 19.24% Sturm Graz 1563 2 @ Grazer AK 1573 1
23 1979-06-22 19.99% Admira Wacker 1556 3 @ SSW Innsbruck 1558 1
24 1979-03-03 20.81% Wr. Sportclub Post 1590 2 @ SSW Innsbruck 1584 1
25 1979-06-08 21.02% VOEST Linz 1584 1 @ SSW Innsbruck 1576 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-08-25 36.12 Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1561 12.47% @ SSW Innsbruck 0 1659 59.02% 28.51%
2 1979-05-18 35.74 Austria Salzburg 3 1472 12.97% @ Admira Wacker 0 1563 58.34% 28.69%
3 1978-09-23 29.15 @ SSW Innsbruck 4 1606 36.72% Austria Wien 0 1710 32.68% 30.60%
4 1978-09-16 24.93 Austria Wien 3 1685 31.19% @ Sturm Graz 0 1592 38.19% 30.63%
5 1979-04-10 23.32 SSW Innsbruck 2 1557 15.54% @ VOEST Linz 0 1611 55.03% 29.43%
6 1978-11-18 22.92 @ Grazer AK 3 1515 35.47% VOEST Linz 0 1628 33.97% 30.56%
7 1979-06-22 22.71 Austria Salzburg 2 1512 16.85% @ First Vienna 0 1549 53.45% 29.71%
8 1978-12-16 22.60 Admira Wacker 2 1572 17.09% @ SSW Innsbruck 0 1606 53.16% 29.75%
9 1979-02-24 21.81 @ Admira Wacker 4 1595 47.72% Wr. Sportclub Post 0 1612 21.91% 30.37%
10 1978-08-25 21.36 VOEST Linz 3 1607 12.86% @ Austria Wien 1 1699 58.49% 28.65%
11 1979-05-18 20.92 SSW Innsbruck 3 1549 13.84% @ Sturm Graz 1 1626 57.19% 28.98%
12 1978-12-17 20.57 @ First Vienna 4 1528 49.47% Austria Salzburg 0 1529 20.31% 30.22%
13 1978-11-18 19.02 Rapid Wien 2 1693 25.87% @ SSW Innsbruck 0 1642 43.55% 30.59%
14 1979-03-31 18.57 Sturm Graz 2 1565 27.11% @ Austria Salzburg 0 1503 42.27% 30.62%
15 1979-06-22 18.47 Admira Wacker 3 1556 19.99% @ SSW Innsbruck 1 1558 49.83% 30.18%
16 1979-06-15 18.38 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1626 44.55% Rapid Wien 0 1670 24.89% 30.55%
17 1979-06-22 17.60 @ Rapid Wien 4 1652 53.56% Sturm Graz 0 1614 16.75% 29.69%
18 1978-12-17 16.91 Austria Wien 3 1756 47.88% @ Grazer AK 0 1541 22.78% 29.35%
19 1978-10-22 16.84 @ Austria Wien 5 1708 49.97% Rapid Wien 1 1705 19.86% 30.17%
20 1978-09-01 16.27 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1597 48.50% Sturm Graz 0 1607 21.19% 30.31%
21 1979-06-15 14.60 First Vienna 2 1535 5.19% @ Austria Wien 1 1821 72.02% 22.78%
22 1979-06-22 14.60 Wr. Sportclub Post 4 1645 26.36% @ VOEST Linz 2 1589 43.04% 30.60%
23 1978-11-11 14.58 @ Sturm Graz 2 1570 39.04% SSW Innsbruck 0 1656 30.32% 30.64%
24 1979-03-03 14.47 VOEST Linz 1 1597 8.24% @ Austria Wien 0 1783 65.62% 26.15%
25 1978-09-22 14.05 @ Austria Salzburg 2 1492 40.57% Sturm Graz 0 1567 28.79% 30.64%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-12-08 79.1 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1611 37.41% Rapid Wien 3 1710 31.98% 30.61%
2 1979-06-08 76.4 @ Austria Salzburg 2 1504 14.15% Austria Wien 2 1823 58.98% 26.86%
3 1978-08-25 75.4 @ First Vienna 3 1567 50.02% Grazer AK 3 1563 19.82% 30.16%
4 1978-09-16 75.1 @ Admira Wacker 3 1553 47.75% First Vienna 3 1570 21.88% 30.37%
5 1979-06-15 74.8 First Vienna 2 1535 5.19% @ Austria Wien 1 1821 72.02% 22.78%
6 1979-06-01 74.4 @ VOEST Linz 2 1584 37.28% Rapid Wien 2 1684 32.11% 30.61%
7 1979-03-17 74.0 @ Grazer AK 2 1525 26.59% Rapid Wien 2 1705 43.50% 29.91%
8 1979-03-03 73.9 @ Austria Salzburg 2 1510 24.51% Rapid Wien 2 1709 45.86% 29.63%
9 1978-10-20 73.5 @ Sturm Graz 2 1574 41.62% VOEST Linz 2 1641 27.75% 30.63%
10 1978-12-16 73.3 @ VOEST Linz 2 1592 47.50% Wr. Sportclub Post 2 1611 22.12% 30.39%
11 1978-09-24 73.0 @ First Vienna 2 1571 43.93% Wr. Sportclub Post 2 1620 25.49% 30.58%
12 1979-02-10 72.7 @ SSW Innsbruck 2 1584 48.79% VOEST Linz 2 1591 20.93% 30.28%
13 1979-06-08 72.5 @ Grazer AK 2 1547 40.02% Wr. Sportclub Post 2 1626 29.34% 30.64%
14 1979-03-10 71.8 @ VOEST Linz 2 1611 59.19% Austria Salzburg 2 1511 12.35% 28.46%
15 1979-05-18 71.7 @ VOEST Linz 2 1585 53.42% First Vienna 2 1548 16.87% 29.71%
16 1979-05-25 71.4 @ Austria Salzburg 2 1508 35.23% Wr. Sportclub Post 2 1622 34.22% 30.55%
17 1978-11-04 71.0 @ First Vienna 3 1535 28.77% Rapid Wien 2 1698 41.08% 30.14%
18 1979-03-31 70.3 @ SSW Innsbruck 1 1556 20.93% Austria Wien 1 1790 50.09% 28.98%
19 1979-03-31 70.2 @ Rapid Wien 1 1713 59.57% VOEST Linz 1 1608 12.08% 28.35%
20 1979-05-26 70.0 Admira Wacker 3 1527 18.07% @ First Vienna 2 1549 52.01% 29.92%
21 1978-12-02 69.9 @ Rapid Wien 1 1713 63.51% Admira Wacker 1 1557 9.47% 27.03%
22 1979-04-01 69.9 Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1611 26.97% @ First Vienna 2 1550 42.42% 30.62%
23 1979-04-21 69.4 VOEST Linz 2 1586 16.23% @ Wr. Sportclub Post 1 1630 54.19% 29.58%
24 1979-02-24 69.3 Austria Wien 2 1773 26.20% @ Rapid Wien 1 1719 43.20% 30.60%
25 1978-09-15 69.2 Grazer AK 2 1571 15.53% @ VOEST Linz 1 1625 55.04% 29.43%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1979-04-14 41.4 @ SSW Innsbruck 3 1581 58.48% Austria Salzburg 0 1489 12.86% 28.65%
2 1978-10-28 43.3 @ Rapid Wien 4 1688 64.47% Austria Salzburg 0 1518 8.89% 26.64%
3 1978-12-17 43.4 @ First Vienna 4 1528 49.47% Austria Salzburg 0 1529 20.31% 30.22%
4 1979-05-04 43.4 @ Rapid Wien 2 1696 68.49% Austria Salzburg 0 1467 6.74% 24.76%
5 1978-10-21 44.2 @ SSW Innsbruck 3 1634 59.20% First Vienna 0 1534 12.34% 28.46%
6 1979-06-01 44.6 @ Austria Wien 4 1816 68.75% SSW Innsbruck 0 1583 6.62% 24.63%
7 1978-11-11 45.1 @ Admira Wacker 2 1555 53.54% Austria Salzburg 0 1517 16.77% 29.69%
8 1979-03-24 45.4 @ Rapid Wien 3 1705 62.32% SSW Innsbruck 0 1565 10.21% 27.47%
9 1978-12-16 45.7 @ Rapid Wien 3 1710 61.97% Sturm Graz 0 1575 10.44% 27.59%
10 1978-09-17 45.9 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 6 1606 59.14% Austria Salzburg 1 1506 12.38% 28.48%
11 1979-05-05 46.2 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1633 55.58% SSW Innsbruck 0 1573 15.09% 29.32%
12 1978-11-25 46.7 @ Austria Wien 3 1756 61.83% SSW Innsbruck 0 1623 10.53% 27.64%
13 1978-10-13 47.0 @ Austria Salzburg 2 1492 43.23% First Vienna 0 1547 26.17% 30.60%
14 1979-04-28 47.1 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1619 52.73% Admira Wacker 0 1589 17.45% 29.82%
15 1978-10-07 47.5 @ SSW Innsbruck 4 1626 61.23% Austria Salzburg 1 1500 10.93% 27.84%
16 1978-10-20 47.6 @ Austria Salzburg 2 1506 43.87% Grazer AK 0 1555 25.55% 30.58%
17 1978-11-04 47.7 @ SSW Innsbruck 5 1646 60.42% Grazer AK 1 1530 11.48% 28.10%
18 1979-06-22 47.7 @ Rapid Wien 4 1652 53.56% Sturm Graz 0 1614 16.75% 29.69%
19 1978-10-01 48.0 @ Austria Wien 4 1681 64.84% Austria Salzburg 1 1506 8.67% 26.48%
20 1979-03-24 48.0 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 4 1602 58.24% Austria Salzburg 1 1512 13.04% 28.72%
21 1978-08-25 48.3 @ Sturm Graz 2 1597 52.44% Admira Wacker 0 1570 17.70% 29.86%
22 1978-09-01 48.3 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1597 48.50% Sturm Graz 0 1607 21.19% 30.31%
23 1979-02-24 48.3 @ Admira Wacker 4 1595 47.72% Wr. Sportclub Post 0 1612 21.91% 30.37%
24 1978-09-01 48.4 @ VOEST Linz 1 1629 61.28% Austria Salzburg 0 1502 10.90% 27.83%
25 1978-09-22 48.5 @ Austria Salzburg 2 1492 40.57% Sturm Graz 0 1567 28.79% 30.64%