Home / Leagues / Austria / Bundesliga / 1977-78

1977-78 Bundesliga Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Austria Wien

56 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Austria Wien

9.51 points above expected

56 points · 46.49 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Linzer ASK

5.83 points below expected

28 points · 33.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Austria Wien 36 23 10 3 56 77 34 +43 46.49 +9.51
2 Rapid Wien 36 16 10 10 42 76 43 +33 42.55 -0.55
3 SSW Innsbruck 36 15 9 12 39 49 34 +15 43.22 -4.22
4 Sturm Graz 36 13 12 11 38 51 54 -3 33.93 +4.07
5 VOEST Linz 36 10 13 13 33 45 49 -4 34.36 -1.36
6 Grazer AK 36 10 13 13 33 44 49 -5 31.03 +1.97
7 First Vienna 36 12 8 16 32 34 54 -20 31.94 +0.06
8 Wr. Sportclub Post 36 8 15 13 31 47 61 -14 30.38 +0.62
9 Admira Wacker 36 8 12 16 28 45 67 -22 32.28 -4.28
10 Linzer ASK 36 9 10 17 28 35 58 -23 33.83 -5.83

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Austria Wien 56 46.49 +9.51
2 Sturm Graz 38 33.93 +4.07
3 Grazer AK 33 31.03 +1.97
4 Wr. Sportclub Post 31 30.38 +0.62
5 First Vienna 32 31.94 +0.06

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Linzer ASK 28 33.83 -5.83
2 Admira Wacker 28 32.28 -4.28
3 SSW Innsbruck 39 43.22 -4.22
4 VOEST Linz 33 34.36 -1.36
5 Rapid Wien 42 42.55 -0.55

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Wien 6 Sep 30 – Nov 8 1 in 215
2 Wr. Sportclub Post 2 Nov 12 – Nov 19 1 in 164
3 First Vienna 3 Mar 18 – Mar 28 1 in 106
4 Grazer AK 3 Nov 9 – Nov 18 1 in 105
5 Linzer ASK 3 Apr 1 – Apr 15 1 in 77

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Linzer ASK 5 Feb 26 – Mar 24 1 in 248
2 First Vienna 4 Oct 22 – Nov 13 1 in 100
3 Wr. Sportclub Post 3 Aug 30 – Sep 6 1 in 41
4 Admira Wacker 4 Nov 11 – Dec 4 1 in 34
5 Rapid Wien 3 Dec 3 – Dec 17 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Wien 13 Sep 9 – Dec 18 1 in 33
2 Sturm Graz 7 Jan 22 – Mar 4 1 in 25
3 Wr. Sportclub Post 5 Feb 26 – Mar 19 1 in 12
4 First Vienna 4 Aug 30 – Sep 10 1 in 11
5 Linzer ASK 5 Jan 21 – Feb 21 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Grazer AK 12 Aug 11 – Nov 5 1 in 77
2 Admira Wacker 9 Mar 8 – Apr 29 1 in 19
3 Austria Wien 4 Aug 30 – Sep 9 1 in 17
4 Wr. Sportclub Post 11 Mar 4 – Apr 29 1 in 17
5 First Vienna 7 Jan 22 – Mar 12 1 in 15

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Austria Wien 1781 56 +12 8 6.4 +1.6
Rapid Wien 1734 42 -1 6 6.5 -0.5
SSW Innsbruck 1667 39 +2 6 6.2 -0.2
Sturm Graz 1566 38 -1 5 5.5 -0.5
VOEST Linz 1561 33 +16 6 4.9 +1.1
Grazer AK 1511 33 -22 3 4.3 -1.3
First Vienna 1502 32 -7 4 4.5 -0.5
Wr. Sportclub Post 1493 31 +9 5 3.6 +1.4
Linzer ASK 1479 28 +9 5 4.1 +0.9
Admira Wacker 1491 28 -2 4 3.9 +0.1

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AW AW FV GA LA RW SI SG VL WSP
Admira Wacker
0-1-3
3.35
1-0-3
5.39
1-2-1
5.67
3-0-1
5.13
1-0-3
3.97
1-1-2
3.71
0-3-1
5.17
0-3-1
5.10
1-2-1
5.63
Austria Wien
3-1-0
7.57
3-0-1
7.64
3-0-1
7.68
4-0-0
7.03
3-1-0
5.89
2-2-0
5.74
2-1-1
7.32
1-3-0
7.33
2-2-0
8.01
First Vienna
3-0-1
5.35
1-0-3
3.23
0-2-2
5.59
0-2-2
5.31
2-1-1
3.64
2-0-2
3.74
1-1-2
5.11
1-1-2
5.05
2-1-1
5.62
Grazer AK
1-2-1
5.08
1-0-3
3.23
2-2-0
5.14
1-2-1
5.03
1-2-1
3.45
1-0-3
3.67
2-1-1
4.90
1-1-2
4.88
0-3-1
5.50
Linzer ASK
1-0-3
5.63
0-0-4
3.79
2-2-0
5.41
1-2-1
5.75
0-0-4
4.23
2-1-1
3.96
0-3-1
5.30
2-1-1
5.24
1-1-2
5.92
Rapid Wien
3-0-1
6.87
0-1-3
4.86
1-1-2
7.18
1-2-1
7.39
4-0-0
6.53
1-2-1
5.36
2-2-0
6.61
2-1-1
6.30
2-1-1
7.15
SSW Innsbruck
2-1-1
7.12
0-2-2
5.04
2-0-2
7.09
3-0-1
7.19
1-1-2
6.87
1-2-1
5.37
3-0-1
6.89
2-1-1
6.66
1-2-1
7.48
Sturm Graz
1-3-0
5.59
1-1-2
3.53
2-1-1
5.64
1-1-2
5.85
1-3-0
5.48
0-2-2
4.21
1-0-3
3.91
3-0-1
5.22
3-1-0
5.83
VOEST Linz
1-3-0
5.65
0-3-1
3.50
2-1-1
5.68
2-1-1
5.86
1-1-2
5.49
1-1-2
4.49
1-1-2
4.13
1-0-3
5.54
1-2-1
5.95
Wr. Sportclub Post
1-2-1
5.11
0-2-2
2.91
1-1-2
5.13
1-3-0
5.25
2-1-1
4.81
1-1-2
3.73
1-2-1
3.38
0-1-3
4.90
1-2-1
4.81

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.74 +4.9
Allowed 0.65 -6.2
Differential 0.87 +3.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.22%8.33%3.89%2.50%1.11%1.11%24.17%
18.33%18.33%7.22%4.17%1.39%0.56%40.00%
23.89%7.22%3.89%2.50%0.56%0.56%18.61%
32.50%4.17%2.50%1.11%0.28%0.28%10.83%
41.11%1.39%0.56%0.28%0.56%3.89%
5+1.11%0.56%0.56%0.28%2.50%
Total24.17%40.00%18.61%10.83%3.89%2.50%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.40 +0.00
SD 1.28 1.28 1.83
CV 0.92 0.92
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%2.78%19.44%
15.56%16.67%8.33%5.56%2.78%38.89%
28.33%8.33%13.89%5.56%2.78%38.89%
32.78%2.78%
4
5+
Total16.67%30.56%25.00%13.89%8.33%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.86 -0.61
SD 0.81 1.48 1.73
CV 0.64 0.79
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%
18.33%19.44%5.56%2.78%36.11%
25.56%8.33%13.89%
311.11%11.11%8.33%30.56%
42.78%2.78%
5+2.78%2.78%2.78%8.33%
Total36.11%41.67%13.89%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 0.94 +1.19
SD 1.51 0.92 1.60
CV 0.71 0.98
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%11.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%38.89%
111.11%11.11%5.56%2.78%5.56%36.11%
216.67%16.67%
35.56%2.78%8.33%
4
5+
Total22.22%38.89%19.44%8.33%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.94 1.50 -0.56
SD 0.95 1.32 1.50
CV 1.01 0.88
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%11.11%2.78%5.56%2.78%27.78%
18.33%25.00%8.33%5.56%47.22%
22.78%2.78%5.56%
38.33%2.78%2.78%13.89%
42.78%2.78%5.56%
5+
Total22.22%41.67%19.44%11.11%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.22 1.36 -0.14
SD 1.17 1.13 1.62
CV 0.96 0.83
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%13.89%2.78%5.56%5.56%38.89%
15.56%13.89%8.33%5.56%2.78%36.11%
22.78%11.11%2.78%2.78%19.44%
3
42.78%2.78%5.56%
5+
Total19.44%41.67%16.67%13.89%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.61 -0.64
SD 1.06 1.50 1.91
CV 1.09 0.93
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%5.56%8.33%2.78%25.00%
12.78%16.67%5.56%25.00%
25.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%13.89%
311.11%2.78%13.89%
42.78%5.56%8.33%
5+8.33%2.78%2.78%13.89%
Total22.22%47.22%22.22%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.11 1.19 +0.92
SD 2.03 0.95 2.41
CV 0.96 0.80
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%2.78%22.22%
111.11%16.67%11.11%2.78%41.67%
216.67%2.78%2.78%22.22%
32.78%2.78%5.56%
42.78%5.56%8.33%
5+
Total36.11%41.67%13.89%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 0.94 +0.42
SD 1.15 0.92 1.50
CV 0.85 0.98
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%2.78%13.89%
111.11%22.22%11.11%5.56%2.78%52.78%
22.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%16.67%
32.78%8.33%2.78%13.89%
4
5+2.78%2.78%
Total22.22%41.67%13.89%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.50 -0.08
SD 1.08 1.38 1.75
CV 0.76 0.92
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%8.33%2.78%2.78%2.78%19.44%
111.11%25.00%13.89%2.78%52.78%
22.78%5.56%5.56%2.78%16.67%
32.78%2.78%5.56%
45.56%5.56%
5+
Total22.22%41.67%22.22%8.33%2.78%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.36 -0.11
SD 1.02 1.17 1.65
CV 0.82 0.86
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%27.78%
18.33%16.67%5.56%2.78%33.33%
25.56%5.56%8.33%2.78%22.22%
32.78%2.78%2.78%5.56%13.89%
42.78%2.78%
5+
Total22.22%33.33%19.44%16.67%2.78%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.69 -0.39
SD 1.12 1.62 1.64
CV 0.86 0.95
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 36

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Austria Wien 1781 56 46.49 +9.51 99.4% 33 39 44 46 50 53 57
Rapid Wien 1734 42 42.55 -0.55 49.3% 23 36 40 43 45 49 56
SSW Innsbruck 1667 39 43.22 -4.22 19.2% 30 36 40 43 46 50 57
Sturm Graz 1566 38 33.93 +4.07 87.0% 21 27 31 34 37 41 49
VOEST Linz 1561 33 34.36 -1.36 42.7% 21 27 31 34 37 42 48
Grazer AK 1511 33 31.03 +1.97 73.4% 18 24 28 31 34 38 45
First Vienna 1502 32 31.94 +0.06 55.4% 19 25 29 32 35 40 46
Wr. Sportclub Post 1493 31 30.38 +0.62 60.6% 16 23 28 30 33 37 44
Admira Wacker 1491 28 32.28 -4.28 20.0% 18 25 29 32 35 40 46
Linzer ASK 1479 28 33.83 -5.83 10.2% 21 27 31 34 37 41 48

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+34.44%
Strong Edge
51.67%31.11%17.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge
183 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0124.77500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.68 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.68+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.3
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
60%
Austria Wien, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.39/gm
Tight Race
00.110.6/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.43 * Some Luck: 3.43 to 5.14 * Lucky: 5.14 to 6.86 * Wild Swing: 6.86 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.28 * Close: 1.28 to 1.92 * Off: 1.92 to 2.55 * Way Off: 2.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.28 points
Some Luck
04.2911
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.60
Close
01.604
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.40%
Austria Wien
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
10.20%
Linzer ASK
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.11
Balanced
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.40
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
70%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Strong Edge
50%89%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Frequent
0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.56
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.00
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.48
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%13%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.59
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.85
Overconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.076
Well Within Noise
00.1020.25

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Austria Wien59.70%24.60%11.10%3.10%1.00%0.30%0.10%0.10%
Rapid Wien19.10%32.30%31.00%9.20%4.50%2.30%0.80%0.30%0.30%0.20%
SSW Innsbruck19.60%35.20%29.00%9.10%4.40%1.40%0.70%0.60%
Sturm Graz0.60%0.90%5.00%17.20%18.00%16.50%14.20%12.00%8.00%7.60%
VOEST Linz0.20%2.90%7.60%19.10%16.20%16.40%12.10%10.60%8.40%6.50%
Grazer AK0.10%0.30%2.20%6.60%9.40%12.70%14.50%17.70%18.20%18.30%
First Vienna1.10%3.40%8.40%12.20%11.60%14.90%13.00%17.50%17.90%
Wr. Sportclub Post0.10%0.40%1.10%4.10%7.90%11.80%11.70%17.30%20.20%25.40%
Admira Wacker0.30%0.70%4.10%7.80%11.60%14.10%15.70%13.80%16.40%15.50%
Linzer ASK0.30%1.60%5.50%15.40%14.80%12.90%15.30%14.60%11.00%8.60%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Austria Wien 100%
SSW Innsbruck 100%
Rapid Wien 99.80% 0.20%
VOEST Linz 93.50% 6.50%
Sturm Graz 92.40% 7.60%
Linzer ASK 91.40% 8.60%
Admira Wacker 84.50% 15.50%
First Vienna 82.10% 17.90%
Grazer AK 81.70% 18.30%
Wr. Sportclub Post 74.60% 25.40%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1977-08-09 Rapid Wien D 1-166.6 1573 1652 47.74% 32.76% 19.51%+0.25 -1.2 1
1977-08-09 @ VOEST Linz D 1-166.6 1652 1573 19.51% 32.76% 47.74%-0.25 +1.2 1
1977-08-09 SSW Innsbruck L 1-362.6 1533 1684 39.20% 32.95% 27.85%-0.14 -13.9 0
1977-08-09 @ Sturm Graz W 3-162.6 1684 1533 27.85% 32.95% 39.20%+0.14 +13.9 2
1977-08-10 First Vienna W 1-047.8 1503 1538 52.14% 32.16% 15.70%+0.49 +4.4 2
1977-08-10 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 0-147.8 1538 1503 15.70% 32.16% 52.14%-0.49 -4.4 0
1977-08-11 Grazer AK D 1-162.0 1543 1498 59.27% 30.17% 10.55%+0.93 -2.3 1
1977-08-11 @ Admira Wacker D 1-162.0 1498 1543 10.55% 30.17% 59.27%-0.93 +2.3 1
1977-08-11 Linzer ASK W 2-156.1 1670 1591 61.90% 29.07% 9.03%+1.11 +2.5 2
1977-08-11 @ Austria Wien L 1-256.1 1591 1670 9.03% 29.07% 61.90%-1.11 -2.5 0
1977-08-13 Linzer ASK W 1-050.8 1653 1588 60.80% 29.56% 9.64%+1.04 +2.8 3
1977-08-13 @ Rapid Wien L 0-150.8 1588 1653 9.64% 29.56% 60.80%-1.04 -2.8 0
1977-08-16 Sturm Graz L 1-267.4 1572 1519 59.84% 29.95% 10.21%+0.97 -11.5 1
1977-08-16 @ VOEST Linz W 2-167.4 1519 1572 10.21% 29.95% 59.84%-0.97 +11.5 2
1977-08-16 Admira Wacker W 3-258.3 1534 1541 54.78% 31.59% 13.63%+0.64 +3.5 2
1977-08-16 @ First Vienna L 2-358.3 1541 1534 13.63% 31.59% 54.78%-0.64 -3.5 1
1977-08-16 Austria Wien L 0-353.4 1500 1672 36.34% 32.80% 30.86%-0.26 -22.0 1
1977-08-16 @ Grazer AK W 3-053.4 1672 1500 30.86% 32.80% 36.34%+0.26 +22.0 4
1977-08-19 Wr. Sportclub Post W 2-044.3 1698 1507 69.78% 24.67% 5.56%+1.72 +2.9 4
1977-08-19 @ SSW Innsbruck L 0-244.3 1507 1698 5.56% 24.67% 69.78%-1.72 -2.9 2
1977-08-26 SSW Innsbruck L 0-257.0 1537 1700 37.57% 32.87% 29.55%-0.21 -15.5 1
1977-08-26 @ Admira Wacker W 2-057.0 1700 1537 29.55% 32.87% 37.57%+0.21 +15.5 6
1977-08-26 First Vienna W 5-356.7 1694 1537 67.51% 26.08% 6.41%+1.54 +2.5 6
1977-08-26 @ Austria Wien L 3-556.7 1537 1694 6.41% 26.08% 67.51%-1.54 -2.5 2
1977-08-26 Grazer AK W 2-150.2 1585 1478 63.99% 28.05% 7.96%+1.27 +2.2 2
1977-08-26 @ Linzer ASK L 1-250.2 1478 1585 7.96% 28.05% 63.99%-1.27 -2.2 1
1977-08-26 Rapid Wien L 1-362.9 1531 1656 42.38% 33.00% 24.62%+0.00 -14.8 2
1977-08-26 @ Sturm Graz W 3-162.9 1656 1531 24.62% 33.00% 42.38%+0.00 +14.8 5
1977-08-27 VOEST Linz W 3-044.3 1504 1561 50.07% 32.49% 17.44%+0.37 +13.1 4
1977-08-27 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 0-344.3 1561 1504 17.44% 32.49% 50.07%-0.37 -13.1 1
1977-08-30 Admira Wacker W 1-047.2 1548 1522 57.62% 30.76% 11.62%+0.82 +3.4 3
1977-08-30 @ VOEST Linz L 0-147.2 1522 1548 11.62% 30.76% 57.62%-0.82 -3.4 1
1977-08-30 Linzer ASK D 0-059.7 1535 1587 50.45% 32.44% 17.11%+0.39 -1.7 3
1977-08-30 @ First Vienna D 0-059.7 1587 1535 17.11% 32.44% 50.45%-0.39 +1.7 3
1977-08-30 Grazer AK D 1-167.2 1671 1476 70.08% 24.47% 5.45%+1.75 -3.2 6
1977-08-30 @ Rapid Wien D 1-167.2 1476 1671 5.45% 24.47% 70.08%-1.75 +3.2 2
1977-08-30 Wr. Sportclub Post W 3-148.9 1516 1518 55.29% 31.46% 13.25%+0.67 +6.2 4
1977-08-30 @ Sturm Graz L 1-348.9 1518 1516 13.25% 31.46% 55.29%-0.67 -6.2 4
1977-08-30 Austria Wien D 1-169.4 1716 1697 57.08% 30.94% 11.98%+0.79 -2.1 7
1977-08-30 @ SSW Innsbruck D 1-169.4 1697 1716 11.98% 30.94% 57.08%-0.79 +2.1 7
1977-09-02 Sturm Graz D 2-267.1 1519 1522 55.08% 31.51% 13.41%+0.66 -1.4 2
1977-09-02 @ Admira Wacker D 2-267.1 1522 1519 13.41% 31.51% 55.08%-0.66 +1.4 5
1977-09-02 VOEST Linz D 1-168.9 1699 1551 66.89% 26.45% 6.66%+1.49 -3.0 8
1977-09-02 @ Austria Wien D 1-168.9 1551 1699 6.66% 26.45% 66.89%-1.49 +3.0 4
1977-09-02 First Vienna D 0-055.9 1479 1533 50.27% 32.47% 17.26%+0.39 -1.7 3
1977-09-02 @ Grazer AK D 0-055.9 1533 1479 17.26% 32.47% 50.27%-0.39 +1.6 4
1977-09-02 SSW Innsbruck W 2-162.5 1589 1714 42.41% 33.00% 24.59%+0.00 +5.8 5
1977-09-02 @ Linzer ASK L 1-262.5 1714 1589 24.59% 33.00% 42.41%+0.00 -5.8 7
1977-09-02 Rapid Wien L 2-758.3 1511 1667 38.45% 32.92% 28.63%-0.17 -25.6 4
1977-09-02 @ Wr. Sportclub Post W 7-258.3 1667 1511 28.63% 32.92% 38.45%+0.17 +25.6 8
1977-09-06 Linzer ASK W 3-153.8 1554 1595 51.59% 32.26% 16.15%+0.46 +7.4 6
1977-09-06 @ VOEST Linz L 1-353.8 1595 1554 16.15% 32.26% 51.59%-0.46 -7.4 5
1977-09-06 First Vienna L 0-166.9 1693 1535 67.61% 26.02% 6.37%+1.55 -13.4 8
1977-09-06 @ Rapid Wien W 1-066.9 1535 1693 6.37% 26.02% 67.61%-1.55 +13.4 6
1977-09-06 Austria Wien W 3-160.1 1524 1696 36.35% 32.80% 30.84%-0.26 +11.7 7
1977-09-06 @ Sturm Graz L 1-360.1 1696 1524 30.84% 32.80% 36.35%+0.26 -11.7 8
1977-09-06 Grazer AK W 2-043.0 1708 1477 72.42% 22.90% 4.68%+1.94 +2.3 9
1977-09-06 @ SSW Innsbruck L 0-243.0 1477 1708 4.68% 22.90% 72.42%-1.94 -2.3 3
1977-09-06 Admira Wacker L 1-262.6 1486 1517 52.52% 32.09% 15.39%+0.51 -10.3 4
1977-09-06 @ Wr. Sportclub Post W 2-162.6 1517 1486 15.39% 32.09% 52.52%-0.51 +10.3 4
1977-09-09 Rapid Wien W 2-053.6 1527 1680 38.96% 32.94% 28.10%-0.15 +12.7 6
1977-09-09 @ Admira Wacker L 0-253.6 1680 1527 28.10% 32.94% 38.96%+0.15 -12.7 8
1977-09-09 Wr. Sportclub Post D 0-063.4 1684 1475 71.00% 23.86% 5.14%+1.82 -3.6 9
1977-09-09 @ Austria Wien D 0-063.4 1475 1684 5.14% 23.86% 71.00%-1.82 +3.6 5
1977-09-09 VOEST Linz D 1-161.0 1475 1561 46.88% 32.83% 20.29%+0.21 -1.2 4
1977-09-09 @ Grazer AK D 1-161.0 1561 1475 20.29% 32.83% 46.88%-0.21 +1.2 7
1977-09-10 SSW Innsbruck W 1-058.1 1548 1710 37.69% 32.88% 29.43%-0.20 +7.0 8
1977-09-10 @ First Vienna L 0-158.1 1710 1548 29.43% 32.88% 37.69%+0.20 -7.0 9
1977-09-10 Sturm Graz D 1-164.9 1587 1536 59.78% 29.98% 10.24%+0.97 -2.4 6
1977-09-10 @ Linzer ASK D 1-164.9 1536 1587 10.24% 29.98% 59.78%-0.97 +2.4 8
1977-09-30 Austria Wien L 3-473.6 1540 1681 40.47% 32.98% 26.55%-0.09 -7.6 6
1977-09-30 @ Admira Wacker W 4-373.6 1681 1540 26.55% 32.98% 40.47%+0.09 +7.6 11
1977-09-30 SSW Innsbruck D 0-064.4 1667 1703 52.04% 32.18% 15.78%+0.48 -1.8 9
1977-09-30 @ Rapid Wien D 0-064.4 1703 1667 15.78% 32.18% 52.04%-0.48 +1.8 10
1977-09-30 Grazer AK W 1-044.1 1538 1474 60.73% 29.59% 9.68%+1.03 +2.8 10
1977-09-30 @ Sturm Graz L 0-144.1 1474 1538 9.68% 29.59% 60.73%-1.03 -2.8 4
1977-10-01 First Vienna W 4-043.9 1562 1555 56.04% 31.25% 12.71%+0.72 +13.2 9
1977-10-01 @ VOEST Linz L 0-443.9 1555 1562 12.71% 31.25% 56.04%-0.72 -13.2 8
1977-10-01 Linzer ASK W 3-261.0 1479 1585 44.63% 32.95% 22.42%+0.10 +5.2 7
1977-10-01 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 2-361.0 1585 1479 22.42% 32.95% 44.63%-0.10 -5.2 6
1977-10-04 Rapid Wien W 3-263.5 1688 1665 57.41% 30.83% 11.76%+0.81 +3.1 13
1977-10-04 @ Austria Wien L 2-363.5 1665 1688 11.76% 30.83% 57.41%-0.81 -3.1 9
1977-10-04 Sturm Graz W 3-258.4 1542 1541 55.54% 31.39% 13.07%+0.69 +3.4 10
1977-10-04 @ First Vienna L 2-358.4 1541 1542 13.07% 31.39% 55.54%-0.69 -3.4 10
1977-10-04 Wr. Sportclub Post D 1-158.4 1471 1484 54.23% 31.72% 14.05%+0.61 -1.9 5
1977-10-04 @ Grazer AK D 1-158.4 1484 1471 14.05% 31.72% 54.23%-0.61 +1.8 8
1977-10-04 Admira Wacker W 4-254.3 1580 1532 59.42% 30.12% 10.47%+0.94 +4.5 8
1977-10-04 @ Linzer ASK L 2-454.3 1532 1580 10.47% 30.12% 59.42%-0.94 -4.5 6
1977-10-04 VOEST Linz W 2-155.3 1705 1576 65.61% 27.19% 7.21%+1.39 +2.0 12
1977-10-04 @ SSW Innsbruck L 1-255.3 1576 1705 7.21% 27.19% 65.61%-1.39 -2.0 9
1977-10-14 Wr. Sportclub Post W 1-045.0 1545 1486 60.37% 29.74% 9.89%+1.01 +2.9 12
1977-10-14 @ First Vienna L 0-145.0 1486 1545 9.89% 29.74% 60.37%-1.01 -2.9 8
1977-10-14 Admira Wacker D 1-159.7 1469 1528 49.80% 32.53% 17.67%+0.36 -1.4 6
1977-10-14 @ Grazer AK D 1-159.7 1528 1469 17.67% 32.53% 49.80%-0.36 +1.4 7
1977-10-14 VOEST Linz W 4-044.9 1662 1574 62.60% 28.75% 8.66%+1.16 +9.1 11
1977-10-14 @ Rapid Wien L 0-444.9 1574 1662 8.66% 28.75% 62.60%-1.16 -9.1 9
1977-10-15 Austria Wien L 0-357.9 1584 1691 44.55% 32.95% 22.50%+0.10 -25.8 8
1977-10-15 @ Linzer ASK W 3-057.9 1691 1584 22.50% 32.95% 44.55%-0.10 +25.8 15
1977-10-15 Sturm Graz W 2-045.5 1707 1537 68.40% 25.54% 6.06%+1.61 +3.2 14
1977-10-15 @ SSW Innsbruck L 0-245.5 1537 1707 6.06% 25.54% 68.40%-1.61 -3.2 10
1977-10-22 First Vienna W 2-045.5 1529 1548 53.70% 31.85% 14.45%+0.58 +7.8 9
1977-10-22 @ Admira Wacker L 0-245.5 1548 1529 14.45% 31.85% 53.70%-0.58 -7.8 12
1977-10-22 Grazer AK W 3-040.9 1717 1468 73.60% 22.08% 4.32%+2.04 +3.1 17
1977-10-22 @ Austria Wien L 0-340.9 1468 1717 4.32% 22.08% 73.60%-2.04 -3.0 6
1977-10-22 Rapid Wien L 1-364.2 1559 1671 43.88% 32.97% 23.14%+0.07 -15.2 8
1977-10-22 @ Linzer ASK W 3-164.2 1671 1559 23.14% 32.97% 43.88%-0.07 +15.2 13
1977-10-22 VOEST Linz W 5-252.4 1534 1565 52.63% 32.07% 15.30%+0.52 +8.6 12
1977-10-22 @ Sturm Graz L 2-552.4 1565 1534 15.30% 32.07% 52.63%-0.52 -8.6 9
1977-10-22 SSW Innsbruck W 1-059.4 1483 1710 29.05% 32.03% 38.92%-0.56 +8.4 10
1977-10-22 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 0-159.4 1710 1483 38.92% 32.03% 29.05%+0.56 -8.4 14
1977-11-05 Wr. Sportclub Post D 3-371.8 1556 1492 60.76% 29.58% 9.67%+1.03 -1.5 10
1977-11-05 @ VOEST Linz D 3-371.8 1492 1556 9.67% 29.58% 60.76%-1.03 +1.5 11
1977-11-05 Austria Wien L 1-265.1 1541 1720 35.36% 32.73% 31.91%-0.30 -7.4 12
1977-11-05 @ First Vienna W 2-165.1 1720 1541 31.91% 32.73% 35.36%+0.30 +7.4 19
1977-11-05 Linzer ASK D 0-055.7 1465 1543 47.70% 32.76% 19.54%+0.25 -1.4 7
1977-11-05 @ Grazer AK D 0-055.7 1543 1465 19.54% 32.76% 47.70%-0.25 +1.4 9
1977-11-05 Sturm Graz D 2-274.0 1686 1543 66.58% 26.63% 6.79%+1.47 -2.2 14
1977-11-05 @ Rapid Wien D 2-274.0 1543 1686 6.79% 26.63% 66.58%-1.47 +2.2 13
1977-11-05 Admira Wacker D 1-169.0 1702 1537 68.05% 25.75% 6.19%+1.58 -3.0 15
1977-11-05 @ SSW Innsbruck D 1-169.0 1537 1702 6.19% 25.75% 68.05%-1.58 +3.0 10
1977-11-08 SSW Innsbruck W 1-053.8 1728 1699 57.88% 30.68% 11.45%+0.84 +3.4 21
1977-11-08 @ Austria Wien L 0-153.8 1699 1728 11.45% 30.68% 57.88%-0.84 -3.3 15
1977-11-08 First Vienna W 4-147.8 1545 1533 56.43% 31.14% 12.43%+0.75 +8.3 11
1977-11-08 @ Linzer ASK L 1-447.8 1533 1545 12.43% 31.14% 56.43%-0.75 -8.3 12
1977-11-09 VOEST Linz D 2-268.9 1540 1554 54.14% 31.74% 14.11%+0.60 -1.4 11
1977-11-09 @ Admira Wacker D 2-268.9 1554 1540 14.11% 31.74% 54.14%-0.60 +1.4 11
1977-11-09 Rapid Wien W 4-264.2 1463 1684 29.84% 32.15% 38.01%-0.52 +12.0 9
1977-11-09 @ Grazer AK L 2-464.2 1684 1463 38.01% 32.15% 29.84%+0.52 -12.0 14
1977-11-09 Sturm Graz L 2-368.3 1493 1545 50.50% 32.43% 17.06%+0.40 -9.4 11
1977-11-09 @ Wr. Sportclub Post W 3-268.3 1545 1493 17.06% 32.43% 50.50%-0.40 +9.4 15
1977-11-11 Admira Wacker W 2-153.5 1554 1539 56.77% 31.03% 12.20%+0.77 +3.3 17
1977-11-11 @ Sturm Graz L 1-253.5 1539 1554 12.20% 31.03% 56.77%-0.77 -3.3 11
1977-11-12 Austria Wien D 1-167.6 1556 1731 35.94% 32.77% 31.28%-0.28 -0.2 12
1977-11-12 @ VOEST Linz D 1-167.6 1731 1556 31.28% 32.77% 35.94%+0.28 +0.2 22
1977-11-12 Wr. Sportclub Post L 1-270.7 1672 1484 69.66% 24.75% 5.60%+1.71 -12.9 14
1977-11-12 @ Rapid Wien W 2-170.7 1484 1672 5.60% 24.75% 69.66%-1.71 +12.9 13
1977-11-12 Linzer ASK W 4-149.2 1696 1553 66.51% 26.67% 6.82%+1.46 +4.5 17
1977-11-12 @ SSW Innsbruck L 1-449.2 1553 1696 6.82% 26.67% 66.51%-1.46 -4.5 11
1977-11-13 Grazer AK L 0-158.8 1525 1475 59.58% 30.05% 10.36%+0.95 -12.2 12
1977-11-13 @ First Vienna W 1-058.8 1475 1525 10.36% 30.05% 59.58%-0.95 +12.2 11
1977-11-18 SSW Innsbruck W 3-268.8 1487 1700 30.90% 32.29% 36.80%-0.48 +7.2 13
1977-11-18 @ Grazer AK L 2-368.8 1700 1487 36.80% 32.29% 30.90%+0.48 -7.2 17
1977-11-19 Wr. Sportclub Post L 0-159.8 1536 1497 58.73% 30.38% 10.89%+0.89 -12.0 11
1977-11-19 @ Admira Wacker W 1-059.8 1497 1536 10.89% 30.38% 58.73%-0.89 +12.0 15
1977-11-19 Rapid Wien D 0-061.0 1513 1659 39.70% 32.96% 27.33%-0.12 -0.6 13
1977-11-19 @ First Vienna D 0-061.0 1659 1513 27.33% 32.96% 39.70%+0.12 +0.6 15
1977-11-19 VOEST Linz D 0-059.4 1549 1556 54.80% 31.59% 13.62%+0.64 -2.1 12
1977-11-19 @ Linzer ASK D 0-059.4 1556 1549 13.62% 31.59% 54.80%-0.64 +2.1 13
1977-11-20 Sturm Graz W 3-151.6 1731 1558 68.64% 25.39% 5.97%+1.63 +2.7 24
1977-11-20 @ Austria Wien L 1-351.6 1558 1731 5.97% 25.39% 68.64%-1.63 -2.7 17
1977-11-26 Grazer AK W 1-045.6 1558 1495 60.65% 29.62% 9.73%+1.03 +2.8 15
1977-11-26 @ VOEST Linz L 0-145.6 1495 1558 9.73% 29.62% 60.65%-1.03 -2.9 13
1977-11-26 Admira Wacker W 3-150.3 1660 1523 66.07% 26.92% 7.00%+1.43 +3.3 17
1977-11-26 @ Rapid Wien L 1-350.3 1523 1660 7.00% 26.92% 66.07%-1.43 -3.3 11
1977-11-26 Linzer ASK D 1-163.8 1555 1546 56.17% 31.21% 12.62%+0.73 -2.0 18
1977-11-26 @ Sturm Graz D 1-163.8 1546 1555 12.62% 31.21% 56.17%-0.73 +2.0 13
1977-11-27 Austria Wien D 0-062.8 1509 1734 29.29% 32.07% 38.64%-0.55 +0.4 16
1977-11-27 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 0-062.8 1734 1509 38.64% 32.07% 29.29%+0.55 -0.4 25
1977-11-30 First Vienna W 1-047.6 1693 1512 69.14% 25.08% 5.78%+1.67 +1.6 19
1977-11-30 @ SSW Innsbruck L 0-147.6 1512 1693 5.78% 25.08% 69.14%-1.67 -1.6 13
1977-12-03 VOEST Linz W 2-154.5 1510 1561 50.70% 32.40% 16.90%+0.41 +4.4 15
1977-12-03 @ First Vienna L 1-254.5 1561 1510 16.90% 32.40% 50.70%-0.41 -4.4 15
1977-12-03 Wr. Sportclub Post W 2-043.3 1549 1509 58.77% 30.36% 10.87%+0.90 +6.0 15
1977-12-03 @ Linzer ASK L 0-243.3 1509 1549 10.87% 30.36% 58.77%-0.90 -6.0 16
1977-12-03 Rapid Wien W 2-050.0 1694 1663 58.11% 30.60% 11.29%+0.85 +6.2 21
1977-12-03 @ SSW Innsbruck L 0-250.0 1663 1694 11.29% 30.60% 58.11%-0.85 -6.2 17
1977-12-04 Admira Wacker W 3-150.2 1733 1520 71.29% 23.67% 5.04%+1.85 +2.2 27
1977-12-04 @ Austria Wien L 1-350.2 1520 1733 5.04% 23.67% 71.29%-1.85 -2.2 11
1977-12-04 Sturm Graz W 3-151.0 1492 1553 49.57% 32.56% 17.87%+0.35 +8.0 15
1977-12-04 @ Grazer AK L 1-351.0 1553 1492 17.87% 32.56% 49.57%-0.35 -8.0 18
1977-12-10 SSW Innsbruck L 0-161.2 1556 1701 39.95% 32.97% 27.08%-0.11 -8.6 15
1977-12-10 @ VOEST Linz W 1-061.2 1701 1556 27.08% 32.97% 39.95%+0.11 +8.6 23
1977-12-10 Grazer AK D 4-471.4 1503 1500 55.70% 31.35% 12.96%+0.70 -1.1 17
1977-12-10 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 4-471.4 1500 1503 12.96% 31.35% 55.70%-0.70 +1.1 16
1977-12-11 Linzer ASK W 2-154.2 1518 1555 52.03% 32.18% 15.79%+0.48 +4.2 13
1977-12-11 @ Admira Wacker L 1-254.2 1555 1518 15.79% 32.18% 52.03%-0.48 -4.2 15
1977-12-11 Austria Wien L 0-165.0 1657 1736 47.69% 32.76% 19.55%+0.25 -10.0 17
1977-12-11 @ Rapid Wien W 1-065.0 1736 1657 19.55% 32.76% 47.69%-0.25 +10.0 29
1977-12-11 First Vienna D 0-058.2 1545 1515 58.00% 30.63% 11.37%+0.85 -2.5 19
1977-12-11 @ Sturm Graz D 0-058.2 1515 1545 11.37% 30.63% 58.00%-0.85 +2.5 16
1977-12-17 Grazer AK W 2-150.8 1522 1501 57.26% 30.88% 11.86%+0.80 +3.2 15
1977-12-17 @ Admira Wacker L 1-250.8 1501 1522 11.86% 30.88% 57.26%-0.80 -3.3 16
1977-12-17 Rapid Wien W 2-051.4 1548 1647 45.42% 32.92% 21.66%+0.14 +10.6 17
1977-12-17 @ VOEST Linz L 0-251.4 1647 1548 21.66% 32.92% 45.42%-0.14 -10.6 17
1977-12-17 First Vienna L 1-263.6 1502 1517 54.02% 31.77% 14.21%+0.60 -10.5 17
1977-12-17 @ Wr. Sportclub Post W 2-163.6 1517 1502 14.21% 31.77% 54.02%-0.60 +10.5 18
1977-12-18 Linzer ASK W 1-048.9 1746 1550 70.11% 24.45% 5.44%+1.75 +1.5 31
1977-12-18 @ Austria Wien L 0-148.9 1550 1746 5.44% 24.45% 70.11%-1.75 -1.5 15
1977-12-18 SSW Innsbruck W 1-058.2 1543 1709 37.06% 32.85% 30.09%-0.23 +7.1 21
1977-12-18 @ Sturm Graz L 0-158.2 1709 1543 30.09% 32.85% 37.06%+0.23 -7.1 23
1978-01-14 Sturm Graz W 1-048.9 1558 1550 56.17% 31.21% 12.62%+0.73 +3.6 19
1978-01-14 @ VOEST Linz L 0-148.9 1550 1558 12.62% 31.21% 56.17%-0.73 -3.6 21
1978-01-14 Austria Wien W 2-166.4 1498 1747 26.41% 31.57% 42.03%-0.68 +8.4 18
1978-01-14 @ Grazer AK L 1-266.4 1747 1498 42.03% 31.57% 26.41%+0.68 -8.4 31
1978-01-14 Linzer ASK W 6-045.2 1636 1549 62.51% 28.79% 8.71%+1.16 +13.3 19
1978-01-14 @ Rapid Wien L 0-645.2 1549 1636 8.71% 28.79% 62.51%-1.16 -13.3 15
1978-01-15 Admira Wacker W 2-152.4 1528 1525 55.64% 31.36% 13.00%+0.70 +3.5 20
1978-01-15 @ First Vienna L 1-252.4 1525 1528 13.00% 31.36% 55.64%-0.70 -3.5 15
1978-01-21 SSW Innsbruck W 2-055.0 1522 1702 35.25% 32.72% 32.03%-0.30 +13.9 17
1978-01-21 @ Admira Wacker L 0-255.0 1702 1522 32.03% 32.72% 35.25%+0.30 -13.9 23
1978-01-21 Grazer AK D 2-267.3 1536 1506 57.95% 30.65% 11.40%+0.84 -1.6 16
1978-01-21 @ Linzer ASK D 2-267.3 1506 1536 11.40% 30.65% 57.95%-0.84 +1.7 19
1978-01-21 VOEST Linz D 1-161.7 1491 1562 48.59% 32.67% 18.73%+0.30 -1.3 18
1978-01-21 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 1-161.7 1562 1491 18.73% 32.67% 48.59%-0.30 +1.3 20
1978-01-22 First Vienna W 3-150.6 1739 1531 70.90% 23.93% 5.17%+1.81 +2.3 33
1978-01-22 @ Austria Wien L 1-350.6 1531 1739 5.17% 23.93% 70.90%-1.81 -2.3 20
1978-01-22 Rapid Wien D 1-165.9 1546 1649 44.93% 32.94% 22.13%+0.12 -1.0 22
1978-01-22 @ Sturm Graz D 1-165.9 1649 1546 22.13% 32.94% 44.93%-0.12 +1.0 20
1978-01-28 Admira Wacker D 2-269.3 1563 1536 57.77% 30.71% 11.52%+0.83 -1.6 21
1978-01-28 @ VOEST Linz D 2-269.3 1536 1563 11.52% 30.71% 57.77%-0.83 +1.6 18
1978-01-28 Linzer ASK D 1-162.4 1529 1534 55.00% 31.53% 13.47%+0.66 -1.9 21
1978-01-28 @ First Vienna D 1-162.4 1534 1529 13.47% 31.53% 55.00%-0.66 +1.9 17
1978-01-28 Grazer AK D 1-166.9 1650 1508 66.53% 26.66% 6.81%+1.46 -2.9 21
1978-01-28 @ Rapid Wien D 1-166.9 1508 1650 6.81% 26.66% 66.53%-1.46 +2.9 20
1978-02-04 Sturm Graz D 1-163.1 1537 1545 54.74% 31.60% 13.66%+0.64 -1.9 19
1978-02-04 @ Admira Wacker D 1-163.1 1545 1537 13.66% 31.60% 54.74%-0.64 +1.9 23
1978-02-04 First Vienna W 3-042.2 1511 1527 53.91% 31.80% 14.29%+0.59 +11.2 22
1978-02-04 @ Grazer AK L 0-342.2 1527 1511 14.29% 31.80% 53.91%-0.59 -11.2 21
1978-02-04 SSW Innsbruck D 1-166.5 1536 1688 38.93% 32.94% 28.13%-0.15 -0.4 18
1978-02-04 @ Linzer ASK D 1-166.5 1688 1536 28.13% 32.94% 38.93%+0.15 +0.4 24
1978-02-04 Rapid Wien D 1-164.4 1490 1648 38.29% 32.91% 28.80%-0.18 -0.4 19
1978-02-04 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 1-164.4 1648 1490 28.80% 32.91% 38.29%+0.18 +0.4 22
1978-02-05 VOEST Linz W 2-046.2 1741 1561 69.06% 25.13% 5.82%+1.66 +3.0 35
1978-02-05 @ Austria Wien L 0-246.2 1561 1741 5.82% 25.13% 69.06%-1.66 -3.0 21
1978-02-07 Wr. Sportclub Post W 1-045.2 1547 1490 60.19% 29.81% 10.00%+0.99 +2.9 25
1978-02-07 @ Sturm Graz L 0-145.2 1490 1547 10.00% 29.81% 60.19%-0.99 -2.9 19
1978-02-07 Austria Wien L 1-271.2 1689 1744 50.17% 32.48% 17.35%+0.38 -9.9 24
1978-02-07 @ SSW Innsbruck W 2-171.2 1744 1689 17.35% 32.48% 50.17%-0.38 +9.9 37
1978-02-10 Austria Wien D 1-168.0 1550 1754 32.02% 32.42% 35.55%-0.43 +0.1 26
1978-02-10 @ Sturm Graz D 1-168.0 1754 1550 35.55% 32.42% 32.02%+0.43 -0.1 38
1978-02-11 First Vienna W 4-147.6 1648 1516 65.76% 27.10% 7.14%+1.40 +4.7 24
1978-02-11 @ Rapid Wien L 1-447.6 1516 1648 7.14% 27.10% 65.76%-1.40 -4.7 21
1978-02-11 Grazer AK W 1-048.0 1679 1522 67.53% 26.07% 6.40%+1.54 +1.8 26
1978-02-11 @ SSW Innsbruck L 0-148.0 1522 1679 6.40% 26.07% 67.53%-1.54 -1.8 22
1978-02-17 VOEST Linz W 1-049.2 1520 1558 51.84% 32.22% 15.94%+0.47 +4.5 24
1978-02-17 @ Grazer AK L 0-149.2 1558 1520 15.94% 32.22% 51.84%-0.47 -4.5 21
1978-02-18 Rapid Wien L 1-559.5 1536 1653 43.33% 32.99% 23.68%+0.04 -27.5 19
1978-02-18 @ Admira Wacker W 5-159.5 1653 1536 23.68% 32.99% 43.33%-0.04 +27.5 26
1978-02-18 Sturm Graz D 1-163.1 1535 1550 54.10% 31.75% 14.14%+0.60 -1.8 19
1978-02-18 @ Linzer ASK D 1-163.1 1550 1535 14.14% 31.75% 54.10%-0.60 +1.8 27
1978-02-19 Wr. Sportclub Post W 6-042.7 1754 1487 74.69% 21.30% 4.01%+2.14 +5.3 40
1978-02-19 @ Austria Wien L 0-642.7 1487 1754 4.01% 21.30% 74.69%-2.14 -5.3 19
1978-02-21 Linzer ASK L 0-161.5 1554 1534 57.19% 30.90% 11.91%+0.79 -11.8 21
1978-02-21 @ VOEST Linz W 1-061.5 1534 1554 11.91% 30.90% 57.19%-0.79 +11.8 21
1978-02-25 Austria Wien D 1-167.7 1508 1759 26.22% 31.53% 42.25%-0.69 +0.7 20
1978-02-25 @ Admira Wacker D 1-167.7 1759 1508 42.25% 31.53% 26.22%+0.69 -0.7 41
1978-02-25 First Vienna W 2-151.7 1542 1511 58.06% 30.61% 11.33%+0.85 +3.1 23
1978-02-25 @ VOEST Linz L 1-251.7 1511 1542 11.33% 30.61% 58.06%-0.85 -3.1 21
1978-02-25 SSW Innsbruck W 3-156.3 1680 1681 55.36% 31.44% 13.20%+0.68 +6.2 28
1978-02-25 @ Rapid Wien L 1-356.3 1681 1680 13.20% 31.44% 55.36%-0.68 -6.2 26
1978-02-25 Grazer AK D 1-163.1 1552 1524 57.77% 30.71% 11.52%+0.83 -2.2 28
1978-02-25 @ Sturm Graz D 1-163.1 1524 1552 11.52% 30.71% 57.77%-0.83 +2.2 25
1978-02-26 Linzer ASK W 2-153.3 1481 1545 49.28% 32.59% 18.12%+0.33 +4.6 21
1978-02-26 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 1-253.3 1545 1481 18.12% 32.59% 49.28%-0.33 -4.6 21
1978-03-04 Sturm Graz L 0-256.0 1508 1550 51.56% 32.27% 16.18%+0.46 -20.2 21
1978-03-04 @ First Vienna W 2-056.0 1550 1508 16.18% 32.27% 51.56%-0.46 +20.2 30
1978-03-04 Wr. Sportclub Post D 1-160.9 1527 1486 58.85% 30.33% 10.82%+0.90 -2.3 26
1978-03-04 @ Grazer AK D 1-160.9 1486 1527 10.82% 30.33% 58.85%-0.90 +2.3 22
1978-03-04 Admira Wacker L 0-160.4 1541 1509 58.15% 30.58% 11.27%+0.86 -11.9 21
1978-03-04 @ Linzer ASK W 1-060.4 1509 1541 11.27% 30.58% 58.15%-0.86 +11.9 22
1978-03-04 VOEST Linz D 1-168.2 1674 1545 65.57% 27.21% 7.22%+1.39 -2.9 27
1978-03-04 @ SSW Innsbruck D 1-168.2 1545 1674 7.22% 27.21% 65.57%-1.39 +2.9 24
1978-03-05 Rapid Wien W 3-047.8 1758 1686 61.35% 29.32% 9.33%+1.08 +7.5 43
1978-03-05 @ Austria Wien L 0-347.8 1686 1758 9.33% 29.32% 61.35%-1.08 -7.5 28
1978-03-08 Admira Wacker D 2-265.7 1488 1521 52.44% 32.11% 15.45%+0.51 -1.3 23
1978-03-08 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 2-265.7 1521 1488 15.45% 32.11% 52.44%-0.51 +1.2 23
1978-03-10 Admira Wacker W 3-042.0 1524 1522 55.63% 31.37% 13.00%+0.69 +10.3 28
1978-03-10 @ Grazer AK L 0-342.0 1522 1524 13.00% 31.37% 55.63%-0.69 -10.3 23
1978-03-11 Austria Wien L 0-254.7 1529 1766 27.84% 31.83% 40.33%-0.61 -12.5 21
1978-03-11 @ Linzer ASK W 2-054.7 1766 1529 40.33% 31.83% 27.84%+0.61 +12.5 45
1978-03-11 VOEST Linz W 2-154.3 1679 1548 65.68% 27.15% 7.18%+1.40 +1.9 30
1978-03-11 @ Rapid Wien L 1-254.3 1548 1679 7.18% 27.15% 65.68%-1.40 -1.9 24
1978-03-11 Sturm Graz W 4-150.0 1672 1570 63.59% 28.26% 8.15%+1.24 +5.5 29
1978-03-11 @ SSW Innsbruck L 1-450.0 1570 1672 8.15% 28.26% 63.59%-1.24 -5.5 30
1978-03-12 Wr. Sportclub Post D 1-159.2 1488 1487 55.50% 31.40% 13.10%+0.69 -2.0 22
1978-03-12 @ First Vienna D 1-159.2 1487 1488 13.10% 31.40% 55.50%-0.69 +2.0 24
1978-03-18 First Vienna L 1-263.5 1512 1486 57.62% 30.76% 11.62%+0.82 -11.1 23
1978-03-18 @ Admira Wacker W 2-163.5 1486 1512 11.62% 30.76% 57.62%-0.82 +11.2 24
1978-03-18 Rapid Wien L 0-655.3 1516 1681 37.36% 32.86% 29.78%-0.22 -43.0 21
1978-03-18 @ Linzer ASK W 6-055.3 1681 1516 29.78% 32.86% 37.36%+0.22 +43.0 32
1978-03-18 VOEST Linz W 3-151.0 1564 1546 56.99% 30.97% 12.05%+0.78 +5.7 32
1978-03-18 @ Sturm Graz L 1-351.0 1546 1564 12.05% 30.97% 56.99%-0.78 -5.7 24
1978-03-19 Grazer AK W 3-150.5 1778 1535 73.25% 22.33% 4.43%+2.01 +1.9 47
1978-03-19 @ Austria Wien L 1-350.5 1535 1778 4.43% 22.33% 73.25%-2.01 -1.9 28
1978-03-19 SSW Innsbruck D 3-374.6 1489 1677 34.19% 32.64% 33.17%-0.35 -0.0 25
1978-03-19 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 3-374.6 1677 1489 33.17% 32.64% 34.19%+0.35 +0.0 30
1978-03-24 Linzer ASK W 3-039.0 1533 1473 60.37% 29.74% 9.89%+1.01 +8.0 30
1978-03-24 @ Grazer AK L 0-339.0 1473 1533 9.89% 29.74% 60.37%-1.01 -8.0 21
1978-03-25 Wr. Sportclub Post W 1-045.1 1541 1489 59.74% 29.99% 10.27%+0.96 +3.0 26
1978-03-25 @ VOEST Linz L 0-145.1 1489 1541 10.27% 29.99% 59.74%-0.96 -3.0 25
1978-03-25 Austria Wien W 2-168.1 1497 1780 22.81% 30.71% 46.49%-0.86 +9.0 26
1978-03-25 @ First Vienna L 1-268.1 1780 1497 46.49% 30.71% 22.81%+0.86 -9.0 47
1978-03-25 Sturm Graz W 4-149.7 1724 1570 67.29% 26.21% 6.49%+1.52 +4.2 34
1978-03-25 @ Rapid Wien L 1-449.7 1570 1724 6.49% 26.21% 67.29%-1.52 -4.2 32
1978-03-25 Admira Wacker W 4-041.8 1677 1500 68.87% 25.25% 5.88%+1.65 +5.8 32
1978-03-25 @ SSW Innsbruck L 0-441.8 1500 1677 5.88% 25.25% 68.87%-1.65 -5.8 23
1978-03-28 SSW Innsbruck W 1-057.3 1506 1683 35.73% 32.76% 31.51%-0.28 +7.3 28
1978-03-28 @ First Vienna L 0-157.3 1683 1506 31.51% 32.76% 35.73%+0.28 -7.3 32
1978-03-31 Rapid Wien L 1-264.8 1541 1728 34.29% 32.65% 33.06%-0.34 -7.3 30
1978-03-31 @ Grazer AK W 2-164.8 1728 1541 33.06% 32.65% 34.29%+0.34 +7.3 36
1978-03-31 Sturm Graz D 1-161.6 1486 1566 47.59% 32.77% 19.64%+0.25 -1.2 26
1978-03-31 @ Wr. Sportclub Post D 1-161.6 1566 1486 19.64% 32.77% 47.59%-0.25 +1.2 33
1978-04-01 VOEST Linz D 1-161.2 1495 1544 50.81% 32.39% 16.81%+0.41 -1.5 24
1978-04-01 @ Admira Wacker D 1-161.2 1544 1495 16.81% 32.39% 50.81%-0.41 +1.5 27
1978-04-01 SSW Innsbruck D 1-170.3 1771 1676 63.12% 28.49% 8.39%+1.20 -2.7 48
1978-04-01 @ Austria Wien D 1-170.3 1676 1771 8.39% 28.49% 63.12%-1.20 +2.7 33
1978-04-01 First Vienna W 1-045.8 1465 1514 50.88% 32.38% 16.75%+0.42 +4.6 23
1978-04-01 @ Linzer ASK L 0-145.8 1514 1465 16.75% 32.38% 50.88%-0.42 -4.6 28
1978-04-07 Austria Wien D 1-168.2 1545 1769 29.52% 32.10% 38.38%-0.54 +0.4 28
1978-04-07 @ VOEST Linz D 1-168.2 1769 1545 38.38% 32.10% 29.52%+0.54 -0.4 49
1978-04-07 Admira Wacker D 0-058.6 1567 1493 61.50% 29.25% 9.25%+1.09 -2.8 34
1978-04-07 @ Sturm Graz D 0-058.6 1493 1567 9.25% 29.25% 61.50%-1.09 +2.8 25
1978-04-07 Linzer ASK L 1-270.6 1678 1470 70.98% 23.88% 5.14%+1.82 -13.0 33
1978-04-07 @ SSW Innsbruck W 2-170.6 1470 1678 5.14% 23.88% 70.98%-1.82 +13.0 25
1978-04-08 Wr. Sportclub Post W 3-256.7 1735 1485 73.66% 22.03% 4.31%+2.05 +1.0 38
1978-04-08 @ Rapid Wien L 2-356.7 1485 1735 4.31% 22.03% 73.66%-2.05 -1.0 26
1978-04-09 Grazer AK D 1-161.5 1509 1533 53.18% 31.96% 14.86%+0.55 -1.8 29
1978-04-09 @ First Vienna D 1-161.5 1533 1509 14.86% 31.96% 53.18%-0.55 +1.8 31
1978-04-11 Wr. Sportclub Post D 0-062.8 1665 1484 69.19% 25.04% 5.77%+1.67 -3.5 34
1978-04-11 @ SSW Innsbruck D 0-062.8 1484 1665 5.77% 25.04% 69.19%-1.67 +3.5 27
1978-04-14 Wr. Sportclub Post D 2-265.0 1496 1487 56.17% 31.21% 12.62%+0.73 -1.5 26
1978-04-14 @ Admira Wacker D 2-265.0 1487 1496 12.62% 31.21% 56.17%-0.73 +1.5 28
1978-04-14 SSW Innsbruck L 0-160.7 1535 1662 42.17% 33.00% 24.83%-0.01 -9.0 31
1978-04-14 @ Grazer AK W 1-060.7 1662 1535 24.83% 33.00% 42.17%+0.01 +9.0 36
1978-04-15 Rapid Wien W 2-165.7 1507 1736 28.81% 31.99% 39.19%-0.57 +7.9 31
1978-04-15 @ First Vienna L 1-265.7 1736 1507 39.19% 31.99% 28.81%+0.57 -8.0 38
1978-04-15 VOEST Linz W 2-153.4 1483 1545 49.43% 32.58% 17.99%+0.34 +4.6 27
1978-04-15 @ Linzer ASK L 1-253.4 1545 1483 17.99% 32.58% 49.43%-0.34 -4.6 28
1978-04-16 Sturm Graz W 6-147.2 1768 1564 70.69% 24.07% 5.24%+1.80 +5.2 51
1978-04-16 @ Austria Wien L 1-647.2 1564 1768 5.24% 24.07% 70.69%-1.80 -5.2 34
1978-04-21 Linzer ASK W 1-045.2 1559 1488 61.30% 29.34% 9.36%+1.07 +2.8 36
1978-04-21 @ Sturm Graz L 0-145.2 1488 1559 9.36% 29.34% 61.30%-1.07 -2.7 27
1978-04-21 Austria Wien L 2-365.6 1489 1773 22.66% 30.67% 46.68%-0.87 -5.0 28
1978-04-21 @ Wr. Sportclub Post W 3-265.6 1773 1489 46.68% 30.67% 22.66%+0.87 +5.0 53
1978-04-22 Grazer AK W 4-042.1 1541 1526 56.70% 31.06% 12.25%+0.76 +12.7 30
1978-04-22 @ VOEST Linz L 0-442.1 1526 1541 12.25% 31.06% 56.70%-0.76 -12.7 31
1978-04-22 Admira Wacker W 6-043.0 1728 1494 72.62% 22.76% 4.62%+1.96 +6.3 40
1978-04-22 @ Rapid Wien L 0-643.0 1494 1728 4.62% 22.76% 72.62%-1.96 -6.3 26
1978-04-22 First Vienna W 2-044.6 1671 1515 67.44% 26.13% 6.44%+1.53 +3.4 38
1978-04-22 @ SSW Innsbruck L 0-244.6 1515 1671 6.44% 26.13% 67.44%-1.53 -3.4 31
1978-04-29 Admira Wacker W 3-256.8 1778 1488 76.09% 20.28% 3.63%+2.27 +0.8 55
1978-04-29 @ Austria Wien L 2-356.8 1488 1778 3.63% 20.28% 76.09%-2.27 -0.8 26
1978-04-29 VOEST Linz D 1-162.3 1512 1554 51.51% 32.27% 16.22%+0.45 -1.6 32
1978-04-29 @ First Vienna D 1-162.3 1554 1512 16.22% 32.27% 51.51%-0.45 +1.6 31
1978-04-29 Sturm Graz W 1-049.4 1513 1562 50.86% 32.38% 16.76%+0.42 +4.6 33
1978-04-29 @ Grazer AK L 0-149.4 1562 1513 16.76% 32.38% 50.86%-0.42 -4.6 36
1978-04-29 Wr. Sportclub Post D 0-054.6 1485 1484 55.51% 31.40% 13.09%+0.69 -2.2 28
1978-04-29 @ Linzer ASK D 0-054.6 1484 1485 13.09% 31.40% 55.51%-0.69 +2.2 29
1978-04-29 Rapid Wien D 1-168.9 1674 1735 49.65% 32.55% 17.80%+0.35 -1.4 39
1978-04-29 @ SSW Innsbruck D 1-168.9 1735 1674 17.80% 32.55% 49.65%-0.35 +1.4 41
1978-05-02 Linzer ASK W 1-044.0 1487 1483 55.82% 31.31% 12.87%+0.71 +3.7 28
1978-05-02 @ Admira Wacker L 0-144.0 1483 1487 12.87% 31.31% 55.82%-0.71 -3.7 28
1978-05-02 SSW Innsbruck W 2-161.1 1555 1673 43.26% 32.99% 23.75%+0.04 +5.7 33
1978-05-02 @ VOEST Linz L 1-261.1 1673 1555 23.75% 32.99% 43.26%-0.04 -5.7 39
1978-05-02 First Vienna W 3-041.6 1557 1510 59.38% 30.13% 10.49%+0.94 +8.4 38
1978-05-02 @ Sturm Graz L 0-341.6 1510 1557 10.49% 30.13% 59.38%-0.94 -8.4 32
1978-05-02 Grazer AK W 3-148.6 1486 1518 52.47% 32.10% 15.43%+0.51 +7.1 31
1978-05-02 @ Wr. Sportclub Post L 1-348.6 1518 1486 15.43% 32.10% 52.47%-0.51 -7.1 33
1978-05-06 Austria Wien D 0-065.1 1736 1779 51.38% 32.29% 16.32%+0.45 -1.8 42
1978-05-06 @ Rapid Wien D 0-065.1 1779 1736 16.32% 32.29% 51.38%-0.45 +1.8 56

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1978-04-07 5.14% Linzer ASK 1470 2 @ SSW Innsbruck 1678 1
2 1977-11-12 5.60% Wr. Sportclub Post 1484 2 @ Rapid Wien 1672 1
3 1977-09-06 6.37% First Vienna 1535 1 @ Rapid Wien 1693 0
4 1977-08-16 10.21% Sturm Graz 1519 2 @ VOEST Linz 1572 1
5 1977-11-13 10.36% Grazer AK 1475 1 @ First Vienna 1525 0
6 1977-11-19 10.89% Wr. Sportclub Post 1497 1 @ Admira Wacker 1536 0
7 1978-03-04 11.27% Admira Wacker 1509 1 @ Linzer ASK 1541 0
8 1978-03-18 11.62% First Vienna 1486 2 @ Admira Wacker 1512 1
9 1978-02-21 11.91% Linzer ASK 1534 1 @ VOEST Linz 1554 0
10 1977-12-17 14.21% First Vienna 1517 2 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 1502 1
11 1977-09-06 15.39% Admira Wacker 1517 2 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 1486 1
12 1978-03-04 16.18% Sturm Graz 1550 2 @ First Vienna 1508 0
13 1977-11-09 17.06% Sturm Graz 1545 3 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 1493 2
14 1978-02-07 17.35% Austria Wien 1744 2 @ SSW Innsbruck 1689 1
15 1977-12-11 19.55% Austria Wien 1736 1 @ Rapid Wien 1657 0
16 1977-10-15 22.50% Austria Wien 1691 3 @ Linzer ASK 1584 0
17 1978-03-25 22.81% @ First Vienna 1497 2 Austria Wien 1780 1
18 1977-10-22 23.14% Rapid Wien 1671 3 @ Linzer ASK 1559 1
19 1978-02-18 23.68% Rapid Wien 1653 5 @ Admira Wacker 1536 1
20 1977-08-26 24.62% Rapid Wien 1656 3 @ Sturm Graz 1531 1
21 1978-04-14 24.83% SSW Innsbruck 1662 1 @ Grazer AK 1535 0
22 1978-01-14 26.41% @ Grazer AK 1498 2 Austria Wien 1747 1
23 1977-09-30 26.55% Austria Wien 1681 4 @ Admira Wacker 1540 3
24 1977-12-10 27.08% SSW Innsbruck 1701 1 @ VOEST Linz 1556 0
25 1977-08-09 27.85% SSW Innsbruck 1684 3 @ Sturm Graz 1533 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-03-18 42.97 Rapid Wien 6 1681 29.78% @ Linzer ASK 0 1516 37.36% 32.86%
2 1978-02-18 27.49 Rapid Wien 5 1653 23.68% @ Admira Wacker 1 1536 43.33% 32.99%
3 1977-10-15 25.84 Austria Wien 3 1691 22.50% @ Linzer ASK 0 1584 44.55% 32.95%
4 1977-09-02 25.62 Rapid Wien 7 1667 28.63% @ Wr. Sportclub Post 2 1511 38.45% 32.92%
5 1977-08-16 22.01 Austria Wien 3 1672 30.86% @ Grazer AK 0 1500 36.34% 32.80%
6 1978-03-04 20.20 Sturm Graz 2 1550 16.18% @ First Vienna 0 1508 51.56% 32.27%
7 1977-08-26 15.54 SSW Innsbruck 2 1700 29.55% @ Admira Wacker 0 1537 37.57% 32.87%
8 1977-10-22 15.21 Rapid Wien 3 1671 23.14% @ Linzer ASK 1 1559 43.88% 32.97%
9 1977-08-26 14.79 Rapid Wien 3 1656 24.62% @ Sturm Graz 1 1531 42.38% 33.00%
10 1977-08-09 13.90 SSW Innsbruck 3 1684 27.85% @ Sturm Graz 1 1533 39.20% 32.95%
11 1978-01-21 13.89 @ Admira Wacker 2 1522 35.25% SSW Innsbruck 0 1702 32.03% 32.72%
12 1977-09-06 13.43 First Vienna 1 1535 6.37% @ Rapid Wien 0 1693 67.61% 26.02%
13 1978-01-14 13.33 @ Rapid Wien 6 1636 62.51% Linzer ASK 0 1549 8.71% 28.79%
14 1977-10-01 13.16 @ VOEST Linz 4 1562 56.04% First Vienna 0 1555 12.71% 31.25%
15 1977-08-27 13.11 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1504 50.07% VOEST Linz 0 1561 17.44% 32.49%
16 1978-04-07 13.05 Linzer ASK 2 1470 5.14% @ SSW Innsbruck 1 1678 70.98% 23.88%
17 1977-11-12 12.91 Wr. Sportclub Post 2 1484 5.60% @ Rapid Wien 1 1672 69.66% 24.75%
18 1977-09-09 12.73 @ Admira Wacker 2 1527 38.96% Rapid Wien 0 1680 28.10% 32.94%
19 1978-04-22 12.73 @ VOEST Linz 4 1541 56.70% Grazer AK 0 1526 12.25% 31.06%
20 1978-03-11 12.48 Austria Wien 2 1766 40.33% @ Linzer ASK 0 1529 27.84% 31.83%
21 1977-11-13 12.18 Grazer AK 1 1475 10.36% @ First Vienna 0 1525 59.58% 30.05%
22 1977-11-09 12.05 @ Grazer AK 4 1463 29.84% Rapid Wien 2 1684 38.01% 32.15%
23 1977-11-19 12.03 Wr. Sportclub Post 1 1497 10.89% @ Admira Wacker 0 1536 58.73% 30.38%
24 1978-03-04 11.93 Admira Wacker 1 1509 11.27% @ Linzer ASK 0 1541 58.15% 30.58%
25 1978-02-21 11.76 Linzer ASK 1 1534 11.91% @ VOEST Linz 0 1554 57.19% 30.90%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-03-19 74.6 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1489 34.19% SSW Innsbruck 3 1677 33.17% 32.64%
2 1977-11-05 74.0 @ Rapid Wien 2 1686 66.58% Sturm Graz 2 1543 6.79% 26.63%
3 1977-09-30 73.6 Austria Wien 4 1681 26.55% @ Admira Wacker 3 1540 40.47% 32.98%
4 1977-11-05 71.8 @ VOEST Linz 3 1556 60.76% Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1492 9.67% 29.58%
5 1977-12-10 71.4 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 4 1503 55.70% Grazer AK 4 1500 12.96% 31.35%
6 1978-02-07 71.2 Austria Wien 2 1744 17.35% @ SSW Innsbruck 1 1689 50.17% 32.48%
7 1977-11-12 70.7 Wr. Sportclub Post 2 1484 5.60% @ Rapid Wien 1 1672 69.66% 24.75%
8 1978-04-07 70.6 Linzer ASK 2 1470 5.14% @ SSW Innsbruck 1 1678 70.98% 23.88%
9 1978-04-01 70.3 @ Austria Wien 1 1771 63.12% SSW Innsbruck 1 1676 8.39% 28.49%
10 1977-08-30 69.4 @ SSW Innsbruck 1 1716 57.08% Austria Wien 1 1697 11.98% 30.94%
11 1978-01-28 69.3 @ VOEST Linz 2 1563 57.77% Admira Wacker 2 1536 11.52% 30.71%
12 1977-11-05 69.0 @ SSW Innsbruck 1 1702 68.05% Admira Wacker 1 1537 6.19% 25.75%
13 1977-09-02 68.9 @ Austria Wien 1 1699 66.89% VOEST Linz 1 1551 6.66% 26.45%
14 1977-11-09 68.9 @ Admira Wacker 2 1540 54.14% VOEST Linz 2 1554 14.11% 31.74%
15 1978-04-29 68.9 @ SSW Innsbruck 1 1674 49.65% Rapid Wien 1 1735 17.80% 32.55%
16 1977-11-18 68.8 @ Grazer AK 3 1487 30.90% SSW Innsbruck 2 1700 36.80% 32.29%
17 1977-11-09 68.3 Sturm Graz 3 1545 17.06% @ Wr. Sportclub Post 2 1493 50.50% 32.43%
18 1978-03-04 68.2 @ SSW Innsbruck 1 1674 65.57% VOEST Linz 1 1545 7.22% 27.21%
19 1978-04-07 68.2 @ VOEST Linz 1 1545 29.52% Austria Wien 1 1769 38.38% 32.10%
20 1978-03-25 68.1 @ First Vienna 2 1497 22.81% Austria Wien 1 1780 46.49% 30.71%
21 1978-02-10 68.0 @ Sturm Graz 1 1550 32.02% Austria Wien 1 1754 35.55% 32.42%
22 1978-02-25 67.7 @ Admira Wacker 1 1508 26.22% Austria Wien 1 1759 42.25% 31.53%
23 1977-11-12 67.6 @ VOEST Linz 1 1556 35.94% Austria Wien 1 1731 31.28% 32.77%
24 1977-08-16 67.4 Sturm Graz 2 1519 10.21% @ VOEST Linz 1 1572 59.84% 29.95%
25 1978-01-21 67.3 @ Linzer ASK 2 1536 57.95% Grazer AK 2 1506 11.40% 30.65%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1978-03-24 39.0 @ Grazer AK 3 1533 60.37% Linzer ASK 0 1473 9.89% 29.74%
2 1977-10-22 40.9 @ Austria Wien 3 1717 73.60% Grazer AK 0 1468 4.32% 22.08%
3 1978-05-02 41.6 @ Sturm Graz 3 1557 59.38% First Vienna 0 1510 10.49% 30.13%
4 1978-03-25 41.8 @ SSW Innsbruck 4 1677 68.87% Admira Wacker 0 1500 5.88% 25.25%
5 1978-03-10 42.0 @ Grazer AK 3 1524 55.63% Admira Wacker 0 1522 13.00% 31.37%
6 1978-04-22 42.1 @ VOEST Linz 4 1541 56.70% Grazer AK 0 1526 12.25% 31.06%
7 1978-02-04 42.2 @ Grazer AK 3 1511 53.91% First Vienna 0 1527 14.29% 31.80%
8 1978-02-19 42.7 @ Austria Wien 6 1754 74.69% Wr. Sportclub Post 0 1487 4.01% 21.30%
9 1977-09-06 43.0 @ SSW Innsbruck 2 1708 72.42% Grazer AK 0 1477 4.68% 22.90%
10 1978-04-22 43.0 @ Rapid Wien 6 1728 72.62% Admira Wacker 0 1494 4.62% 22.76%
11 1977-12-03 43.3 @ Linzer ASK 2 1549 58.77% Wr. Sportclub Post 0 1509 10.87% 30.36%
12 1977-10-01 43.9 @ VOEST Linz 4 1562 56.04% First Vienna 0 1555 12.71% 31.25%
13 1978-05-02 44.0 @ Admira Wacker 1 1487 55.82% Linzer ASK 0 1483 12.87% 31.31%
14 1977-09-30 44.1 @ Sturm Graz 1 1538 60.73% Grazer AK 0 1474 9.68% 29.59%
15 1977-08-19 44.3 @ SSW Innsbruck 2 1698 69.78% Wr. Sportclub Post 0 1507 5.56% 24.67%
16 1977-08-27 44.3 @ Wr. Sportclub Post 3 1504 50.07% VOEST Linz 0 1561 17.44% 32.49%
17 1978-04-22 44.6 @ SSW Innsbruck 2 1671 67.44% First Vienna 0 1515 6.44% 26.13%
18 1977-10-14 44.9 @ Rapid Wien 4 1662 62.60% VOEST Linz 0 1574 8.66% 28.75%
19 1977-10-14 45.0 @ First Vienna 1 1545 60.37% Wr. Sportclub Post 0 1486 9.89% 29.74%
20 1978-03-25 45.1 @ VOEST Linz 1 1541 59.74% Wr. Sportclub Post 0 1489 10.27% 29.99%
21 1978-01-14 45.2 @ Rapid Wien 6 1636 62.51% Linzer ASK 0 1549 8.71% 28.79%
22 1978-02-07 45.2 @ Sturm Graz 1 1547 60.19% Wr. Sportclub Post 0 1490 10.00% 29.81%
23 1978-04-21 45.2 @ Sturm Graz 1 1559 61.30% Linzer ASK 0 1488 9.36% 29.34%
24 1977-10-15 45.5 @ SSW Innsbruck 2 1707 68.40% Sturm Graz 0 1537 6.06% 25.54%
25 1977-10-22 45.5 @ Admira Wacker 2 1529 53.70% First Vienna 0 1548 14.45% 31.85%