Home / Leagues / Austria / Wiener Liga / 1946-47

1946-47 Wiener Liga Season

110 games

Final

Champion

Wacker Wien

30 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

First Vienna

3.14 points above expected

27 points · 23.86 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Austria Wien

6.95 points below expected

19 points · 25.95 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Wacker Wien 20 14 2 4 30 61 24 +37 27.81 +2.19
2 Rapid Wien 20 13 2 5 28 60 36 +24 29.10 -1.10
3 First Vienna 20 13 1 6 27 51 29 +22 23.86 +3.14
4 FC Wien 20 9 5 6 23 40 28 +12 20.34 +2.66
5 Floridsdorfer 20 7 6 7 20 39 38 +1 17.83 +2.17
6 Admira Wien 20 8 4 8 20 34 36 -2 16.87 +3.13
7 Austria Wien 20 8 3 9 19 45 36 +9 25.95 -6.95
8 Wiener Sport-Club 20 7 5 8 19 25 39 -14 21.50 -2.50
9 Wiener AC 20 6 4 10 16 31 45 -14 16.27 -0.27
10 SCR Hochstadt 20 5 3 12 13 29 51 -22 12.31 +0.69
11 Post SV Wien 20 2 1 17 5 30 83 -53 8.16 -3.16

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 First Vienna 27 23.86 +3.14
2 Admira Wien 20 16.87 +3.13
3 FC Wien 23 20.34 +2.66
4 Wacker Wien 30 27.81 +2.19
5 Floridsdorfer 20 17.83 +2.17

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Austria Wien 19 25.95 -6.95
2 Post SV Wien 5 8.16 -3.16
3 Wiener Sport-Club 19 21.50 -2.50
4 Rapid Wien 28 29.10 -1.10
5 Wiener AC 16 16.27 -0.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 First Vienna 4 Sep 22 – Oct 20 1 in 18
2 Austria Wien 4 Dec 8 – Mar 30 1 in 13
3 Admira Wien 3 Sep 21 – Oct 12 1 in 10
4 Post SV Wien 1 Oct 12 – Oct 12 1 in 9
5 Wacker Wien 4 Aug 24 – Sep 15 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rapid Wien 3 Mar 9 – Mar 30 1 in 346
2 Wiener Sport-Club 5 Apr 26 – Jun 15 1 in 92
3 Wacker Wien 2 Nov 24 – Dec 8 1 in 25
4 SCR Hochstadt 7 Sep 1 – Oct 20 1 in 24
5 Floridsdorfer 3 Mar 10 – Apr 13 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Wien 6 Mar 10 – May 17 1 in 17
2 Admira Wien 4 Sep 15 – Oct 12 1 in 9
3 Wiener Sport-Club 5 Aug 25 – Sep 29 1 in 8
4 Austria Wien 6 Nov 3 – Mar 30 1 in 7
5 First Vienna 4 Sep 22 – Oct 20 1 in 5

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Rapid Wien 3 Mar 9 – Mar 30 1 in 29
2 Floridsdorfer 7 Nov 3 – Apr 13 1 in 25
3 Austria Wien 3 Aug 25 – Sep 7 1 in 21
4 Wiener Sport-Club 5 Apr 26 – Jun 15 1 in 14
5 FC Wien 4 Sep 7 – Sep 29 1 in 14

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Wacker Wien 1902 30 +25 9 7.8 +1.2
Rapid Wien 1905 28 +11 7 7.5 -0.5
First Vienna 1838 27 +19 8 6.5 +1.5
FC Wien 1759 23 +30 8 5.2 +2.8
Floridsdorfer 1679 20 +13 6 3.7 +2.3
Admira Wien 1677 20 +26 4 3.1 +0.9
Austria Wien 1795 19 -52 4 7.3 -3.3
Wiener Sport-Club 1686 19 -70 0 4.6 -4.6
Wiener AC 1625 16 +4 5 3.7 +1.3
SCR Hochstadt 1562 13 +21 5 3.2 +1.8
Post SV Wien 1414 5 -20 0 1.8 -1.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AW AW FW FV FLO PSW RW SH WW WA WS
Admira Wien
1-0-1
1.59
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
1.72
0-0-2
2.84
2-0-0
4.27
0-0-2
1.20
1-1-0
3.74
1-0-1
1.28
1-1-0
2.86
0-2-0
1.84
Austria Wien
1-0-1
4.07
0-0-2
3.54
0-0-2
3.27
0-1-1
3.97
1-1-0
4.99
1-0-1
2.26
2-0-0
4.57
0-0-2
2.52
2-0-0
4.24
1-1-0
3.48
FC Wien
1-0-1
3.45
2-0-0
2.12
1-0-1
2.14
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
4.59
1-0-1
1.47
1-1-0
4.07
0-1-1
1.78
0-1-1
3.51
0-1-1
2.47
First Vienna
1-0-1
3.94
2-0-0
2.39
1-0-1
3.51
2-0-0
3.74
2-0-0
4.93
1-1-0
1.72
1-0-1
4.41
0-0-2
2.30
2-0-0
3.86
1-0-1
3.38
Floridsdorfer
2-0-0
2.81
1-1-0
1.70
0-1-1
2.52
0-0-2
1.92
2-0-0
4.38
1-1-0
1.23
1-0-1
3.89
0-0-2
1.42
0-2-0
3.31
0-1-1
2.20
Post SV Wien
0-0-2
1.40
0-1-1
0.72
0-0-2
1.08
0-0-2
0.77
0-0-2
1.29
1-0-1
0.58
0-0-2
1.95
0-0-2
0.62
0-0-2
1.44
1-0-1
0.91
Rapid Wien
2-0-0
4.47
1-0-1
3.40
1-0-1
4.19
0-1-1
3.94
0-1-1
4.44
1-0-1
5.14
2-0-0
4.80
2-0-0
3.04
2-0-0
4.59
2-0-0
4.13
SCR Hochstadt
0-1-1
1.92
0-0-2
1.10
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
1.26
1-0-1
1.77
2-0-0
3.71
0-0-2
0.89
0-1-1
1.00
0-0-2
2.14
1-0-1
1.38
Wacker Wien
1-0-1
4.39
2-0-0
3.13
1-1-0
3.88
2-0-0
3.36
2-0-0
4.24
2-0-0
5.09
0-0-2
2.61
1-1-0
4.69
2-0-0
4.43
1-0-1
3.98
Wiener AC
0-1-1
2.80
0-0-2
1.43
1-1-0
2.15
0-0-2
1.80
0-2-0
2.34
2-0-0
4.22
0-0-2
1.09
2-0-0
3.51
0-0-2
1.24
1-0-1
2.14
Wiener Sport-Club
0-2-0
3.82
0-1-1
2.18
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
2.27
1-1-0
3.46
1-0-1
4.78
0-0-2
1.53
1-0-1
4.29
1-0-1
1.68
1-0-1
3.51

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.65 +4.6
Allowed 0.82 -4.1
Differential 0.95 +2.8

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.64%4.55%5.00%3.18%3.18%1.82%21.36%
14.55%5.45%4.09%2.27%2.27%3.18%21.82%
25.00%4.09%6.36%6.36%0.91%2.27%25.00%
33.18%2.27%6.36%0.91%0.91%0.91%14.55%
43.18%2.27%0.91%0.91%0.91%8.18%
5+1.82%3.18%2.27%0.91%0.91%9.09%
Total21.36%21.82%25.00%14.55%8.18%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.02 2.02 +0.00
SD 1.77 1.77 2.66
CV 0.88 0.88
Max 9 9 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 110

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%5.00%15.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%45.00%
15.00%5.00%10.00%
25.00%10.00%15.00%
35.00%10.00%15.00%
45.00%5.00%10.00%
5+5.00%5.00%
Total30.00%10.00%40.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.80 -0.10
SD 2.25 1.88 3.21
CV 1.32 1.04
Max 9 8 +7
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%10.00%5.00%20.00%
110.00%10.00%5.00%25.00%
25.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%20.00%
35.00%5.00%10.00%
45.00%5.00%10.00%
5+10.00%5.00%15.00%
Total25.00%20.00%35.00%15.00%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.25 1.80 +0.45
SD 2.10 1.99 3.30
CV 0.93 1.11
Max 8 9 +8
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%5.00%5.00%20.00%
115.00%15.00%
210.00%5.00%15.00%30.00%
310.00%10.00%5.00%25.00%
45.00%5.00%
5+5.00%5.00%
Total25.00%40.00%10.00%20.00%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.40 +0.60
SD 1.52 1.23 1.88
CV 0.76 0.88
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%5.00%15.00%
115.00%5.00%5.00%25.00%
25.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%
35.00%10.00%5.00%20.00%
45.00%5.00%
5+10.00%5.00%5.00%20.00%
Total30.00%25.00%25.00%10.00%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.55 1.45 +1.10
SD 2.16 1.32 2.38
CV 0.85 0.91
Max 8 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%10.00%5.00%20.00%
15.00%10.00%5.00%20.00%
220.00%5.00%25.00%
310.00%5.00%5.00%20.00%
410.00%10.00%
5+5.00%5.00%
Total20.00%15.00%30.00%25.00%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.90 +0.05
SD 1.47 1.29 1.79
CV 0.75 0.68
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%
15.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%30.00%
25.00%15.00%5.00%20.00%45.00%
310.00%10.00%
4
5+
Total10.00%5.00%5.00%20.00%15.00%45.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 4.15 -2.65
SD 0.89 2.39 2.28
CV 0.59 0.58
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%5.00%10.00%
1
210.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%40.00%
35.00%5.00%10.00%
410.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%25.00%
5+5.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%
Total25.00%25.00%15.00%20.00%10.00%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.00 1.80 +1.20
SD 1.84 1.54 2.24
CV 0.61 0.86
Max 8 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%15.00%5.00%25.00%
110.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%45.00%
25.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%
35.00%5.00%
4
5+5.00%5.00%10.00%
Total10.00%15.00%30.00%10.00%25.00%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.45 2.55 -1.10
SD 1.61 1.54 2.55
CV 1.11 0.60
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.00%5.00%
15.00%10.00%15.00%
25.00%10.00%10.00%25.00%
35.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%
45.00%10.00%5.00%20.00%
5+10.00%10.00%20.00%
Total30.00%45.00%10.00%10.00%5.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.05 1.20 +1.85
SD 1.88 1.28 2.39
CV 0.62 1.07
Max 8 5 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%15.00%5.00%30.00%
15.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%25.00%
25.00%10.00%15.00%
35.00%15.00%5.00%25.00%
4
5+5.00%5.00%
Total25.00%55.00%5.00%5.00%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.55 2.25 -0.70
SD 1.43 1.33 2.08
CV 0.92 0.59
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 20

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
015.00%5.00%5.00%5.00%30.00%
15.00%5.00%5.00%15.00%30.00%
210.00%10.00%5.00%5.00%30.00%
35.00%5.00%
45.00%5.00%
5+
Total30.00%15.00%20.00%15.00%5.00%15.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.95 -0.70
SD 1.12 1.79 2.08
CV 0.89 0.92
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 20

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rapid Wien 1905 28 29.10 -1.10 40.2% 15 23 27 29 31 35 38
Wacker Wien 1902 30 27.81 +2.19 76.4% 16 22 25 28 30 34 39
First Vienna 1838 27 23.86 +3.14 83.0% 13 17 21 24 26 30 34
Austria Wien 1795 19 25.95 -6.95 4.3% 15 20 24 26 28 32 36
FC Wien 1759 23 20.34 +2.66 78.5% 10 14 18 20 23 27 32
Wiener Sport-Club 1686 19 21.50 -2.50 29.2% 9 15 19 22 24 28 33
Floridsdorfer 1679 20 17.83 +2.17 75.4% 7 12 15 18 20 24 29
Admira Wien 1677 20 16.87 +3.13 84.4% 6 11 14 17 19 23 28
Wiener AC 1625 16 16.27 -0.27 52.9% 7 10 14 16 19 22 28
SCR Hochstadt 1562 13 12.31 +0.69 65.6% 2 7 10 12 14 19 25
Post SV Wien 1414 5 8.16 -3.16 20.9% 0 3 6 8 10 14 18

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+3.64%
No Edge
43.64%16.36%40.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 12.64 Elo pts.
140 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
0400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.03 goals
Neutral
-2+0.09+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.0
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
33%
Wacker Wien, 2nd of 11
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.94 * Some Luck: 2.94 to 4.4 * Lucky: 4.4 to 5.87 * Wild Swing: 5.87 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.95 * Close: 0.95 to 1.43 * Off: 1.43 to 1.91 * Way Off: 1.91 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 11 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 11 * As Expected: 11 to 17.6 * Several Outliers: 17.6 to 24.2 * Many Outliers: 24.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.05 points
Some Luck
03.679
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.45
Off
01.192.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.45%
84.40%
Admira Wien
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.55%
4.30%
Austria Wien
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 11
Minimal Outliers
01.111

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.60
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
72%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
50%
Very Frequent
0%42%100%
Blowouts
Expected
34%
Very Frequent
0%35%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.532
Matchup Imbalance
0.45
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.68
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.78
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Chalky
0%23%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.15 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.15 to 0.22 * Above Noise: 0.22 to 0.3 * Well Above Noise: 0.3 and up.
Probability calibration
0.45
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.87
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.142
Well Within Noise
00.1490.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team1234567891011
Wacker Wien32.70%28.10%19.30%12.00%4.70%2.20%0.80%0.20%
Rapid Wien44.60%29.80%14.90%6.10%3.20%0.70%0.60%0.10%
First Vienna7.10%13.80%18.40%24.50%15.70%9.40%6.30%3.10%1.60%0.10%
FC Wien0.70%3.70%6.60%13.00%19.70%22.20%15.30%9.70%6.20%2.40%0.50%
Floridsdorfer0.90%2.30%4.50%12.60%13.70%21.30%21.30%16.10%5.90%1.40%
Admira Wien0.30%1.40%3.30%6.40%13.50%18.60%24.20%20.00%10.30%2.00%
Austria Wien13.20%19.80%26.20%18.80%11.60%6.30%2.30%1.30%0.50%
Wiener Sport-Club1.70%3.50%10.10%15.20%19.60%19.40%14.30%8.80%6.00%1.30%0.10%
Wiener AC0.80%2.20%5.60%10.70%15.50%21.60%26.40%15.60%1.60%
SCR Hochstadt0.10%0.40%0.90%1.90%4.80%8.00%19.00%49.40%15.50%
Post SV Wien0.20%1.80%4.10%15.00%78.90%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Austria Wien 100%
Rapid Wien 100%
Wacker Wien 100%
First Vienna 99.90% 0.10%
Wiener Sport-Club 98.60% 1.40%
FC Wien 97.10% 2.90%
Floridsdorfer 92.70% 7.30%
Admira Wien 87.70% 12.30%
Wiener AC 82.80% 17.20%
SCR Hochstadt 35.10% 64.90%
Post SV Wien 6.10% 93.90%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1946-08-24 Wacker Wien L 2-364.6 1722 1842 28.00% 17.15% 54.85%-0.77 -3.9 0
1946-08-24 @ FC Wien W 3-264.6 1842 1722 54.85% 17.15% 28.00%+0.77 +3.9 2
1946-08-25 Wiener AC D 2-275.9 1650 1658 42.83% 17.35% 39.82%+0.03 -0.1 1
1946-08-25 @ Admira Wien D 2-275.9 1658 1650 39.82% 17.35% 42.83%-0.03 +0.1 1
1946-08-25 Rapid Wien L 3-848.4 1461 1905 5.85% 14.37% 79.78%-3.08 -2.7 0
1946-08-25 @ Post SV Wien W 8-348.4 1905 1461 79.78% 14.37% 5.85%+3.08 +2.7 2
1946-08-25 First Vienna W 1-066.5 1573 1777 19.29% 16.71% 64.00%-1.37 +9.0 2
1946-08-25 @ SCR Hochstadt L 0-166.5 1777 1573 64.00% 16.71% 19.29%+1.37 -9.0 0
1946-08-25 Austria Wien D 1-173.5 1752 1839 31.96% 17.25% 50.79%-0.54 +0.6 1
1946-08-25 @ Wiener Sport-Club D 1-173.5 1839 1752 50.79% 17.25% 31.96%+0.54 -0.6 1
1946-08-31 Floridsdorfer L 0-354.7 1650 1664 41.94% 17.35% 40.71%-0.01 -16.9 1
1946-08-31 @ Admira Wien W 3-054.7 1664 1650 40.71% 17.35% 41.94%+0.01 +16.9 2
1946-08-31 Wiener Sport-Club L 1-260.8 1658 1752 31.13% 17.23% 51.64%-0.58 -4.5 1
1946-08-31 @ Wiener AC W 2-160.8 1752 1658 51.64% 17.23% 31.13%+0.58 +4.5 3
1946-09-01 FC Wien L 1-367.6 1839 1718 59.28% 17.04% 23.69%+0.95 -13.7 1
1946-09-01 @ Austria Wien W 3-167.6 1718 1839 23.69% 17.04% 59.28%-0.95 +13.7 2
1946-09-01 SCR Hochstadt W 4-149.6 1908 1582 75.76% 15.43% 8.81%+2.42 +3.4 4
1946-09-01 @ Rapid Wien L 1-449.6 1582 1908 8.81% 15.43% 75.76%-2.42 -3.4 2
1946-09-01 Post SV Wien W 5-041.0 1846 1458 78.84% 14.74% 6.41%+2.86 +4.7 4
1946-09-01 @ Wacker Wien L 0-541.0 1458 1846 6.41% 14.74% 78.84%-2.86 -4.7 0
1946-09-07 Wiener AC D 1-172.7 1732 1654 54.41% 17.20% 28.39%+0.65 -0.9 3
1946-09-07 @ FC Wien D 1-172.7 1654 1732 28.39% 17.20% 54.41%-0.65 +0.9 2
1946-09-07 Austria Wien D 1-172.1 1453 1825 8.49% 15.21% 76.30%-2.56 +2.4 1
1946-09-07 @ Post SV Wien D 1-172.1 1825 1453 76.30% 15.21% 8.49%+2.56 -2.4 2
1946-09-07 Wacker Wien L 1-549.4 1579 1851 13.94% 16.19% 69.88%-1.85 -6.9 2
1946-09-07 @ SCR Hochstadt W 5-149.4 1851 1579 69.88% 16.19% 13.94%+1.85 +6.9 6
1946-09-08 Rapid Wien D 2-277.7 1768 1911 25.29% 17.05% 57.66%-0.93 +0.8 1
1946-09-08 @ First Vienna D 2-277.7 1911 1768 57.66% 17.05% 25.29%+0.93 -0.8 5
1946-09-08 Floridsdorfer W 3-264.4 1757 1681 54.07% 17.21% 28.72%+0.63 +4.0 5
1946-09-08 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 2-364.4 1681 1757 28.72% 17.21% 54.07%-0.63 -4.0 2
1946-09-14 FC Wien D 0-069.9 1677 1731 36.40% 17.32% 46.28%-0.30 +0.4 3
1946-09-14 @ Floridsdorfer D 0-069.9 1731 1677 46.28% 17.32% 36.40%+0.30 -0.4 4
1946-09-14 Post SV Wien W 3-255.2 1655 1456 66.95% 16.57% 16.49%+1.51 +2.4 4
1946-09-14 @ Wiener AC L 2-355.2 1456 1655 16.49% 16.57% 66.95%-1.51 -2.4 1
1946-09-15 Wiener Sport-Club D 0-069.9 1633 1761 27.03% 17.11% 55.85%-0.82 +1.1 2
1946-09-15 @ Admira Wien D 0-069.9 1761 1633 55.85% 17.11% 27.03%+0.82 -1.1 6
1946-09-15 SCR Hochstadt W 4-044.8 1823 1572 71.03% 16.15% 12.81%+1.88 +7.6 4
1946-09-15 @ Austria Wien L 0-444.8 1572 1823 12.81% 16.15% 71.03%-1.88 -7.6 2
1946-09-15 First Vienna W 4-156.0 1858 1769 55.70% 17.17% 27.14%+0.73 +9.8 8
1946-09-15 @ Wacker Wien L 1-456.0 1769 1858 27.14% 17.17% 55.70%-0.73 -9.8 1
1946-09-21 Admira Wien L 0-359.6 1731 1634 56.64% 17.14% 26.22%+0.78 -22.0 4
1946-09-21 @ FC Wien W 3-059.6 1634 1731 26.22% 17.14% 56.64%-0.78 +22.0 4
1946-09-21 Floridsdorfer L 0-343.4 1453 1678 17.53% 16.57% 65.90%-1.51 -7.8 1
1946-09-21 @ Post SV Wien W 3-043.4 1678 1453 65.90% 16.57% 17.53%+1.51 +7.8 5
1946-09-21 Wiener AC L 1-356.4 1564 1657 31.28% 17.24% 51.48%-0.57 -7.9 2
1946-09-21 @ SCR Hochstadt W 3-156.4 1657 1564 51.48% 17.24% 31.28%+0.57 +7.9 6
1946-09-22 Austria Wien W 2-060.6 1759 1830 34.05% 17.29% 48.66%-0.42 +13.2 3
1946-09-22 @ First Vienna L 0-260.6 1830 1759 48.66% 17.29% 34.05%+0.42 -13.2 4
1946-09-22 Wacker Wien W 3-266.4 1910 1867 49.91% 17.30% 32.79%+0.40 +4.5 7
1946-09-22 @ Rapid Wien L 2-366.4 1867 1910 32.79% 17.30% 49.91%-0.40 -4.5 8
1946-09-29 Post SV Wien W 4-040.3 1656 1446 67.92% 16.48% 15.60%+1.59 +9.2 6
1946-09-29 @ Admira Wien L 0-440.3 1446 1656 15.60% 16.48% 67.92%-1.59 -9.2 1
1946-09-29 Rapid Wien L 0-352.9 1817 1915 30.65% 17.22% 52.13%-0.61 -13.0 4
1946-09-29 @ Austria Wien W 3-052.9 1915 1817 52.13% 17.22% 30.65%+0.61 +13.0 9
1946-09-29 SCR Hochstadt W 4-258.2 1685 1556 60.23% 16.99% 22.77%+1.01 +5.3 7
1946-09-29 @ Floridsdorfer L 2-458.2 1556 1685 22.77% 16.99% 60.23%-1.01 -5.3 2
1946-09-29 First Vienna L 1-653.3 1665 1772 29.53% 17.19% 53.28%-0.67 -16.7 6
1946-09-29 @ Wiener AC W 6-153.3 1772 1665 53.28% 17.19% 29.53%+0.67 +16.7 5
1946-09-29 FC Wien W 1-057.8 1760 1709 50.94% 17.28% 31.78%+0.45 +4.9 8
1946-09-29 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 0-157.8 1709 1760 31.78% 17.28% 50.94%-0.45 -4.9 4
1946-10-12 Wiener Sport-Club W 2-064.2 1436 1765 10.56% 15.67% 73.78%-2.26 +19.6 3
1946-10-12 @ Post SV Wien L 0-264.2 1765 1436 73.78% 15.67% 10.56%+2.26 -19.6 8
1946-10-12 Admira Wien L 2-361.8 1551 1665 28.67% 17.17% 54.16%-0.72 -4.0 2
1946-10-12 @ SCR Hochstadt W 3-261.8 1665 1551 54.16% 17.17% 28.67%+0.72 +4.0 8
1946-10-13 Floridsdorfer W 1-056.1 1789 1691 56.74% 17.13% 26.13%+0.79 +4.1 7
1946-10-13 @ First Vienna L 0-156.1 1691 1789 26.13% 17.13% 56.74%-0.79 -4.1 7
1946-10-13 Wiener AC W 2-048.9 1928 1648 73.00% 15.89% 11.11%+2.09 +3.5 11
1946-10-13 @ Rapid Wien L 0-248.9 1648 1928 11.11% 15.89% 73.00%-2.09 -3.5 6
1946-10-13 Austria Wien W 2-161.5 1863 1804 51.97% 17.26% 30.77%+0.51 +4.5 10
1946-10-13 @ Wacker Wien L 1-261.5 1804 1863 30.77% 17.26% 51.97%-0.51 -4.5 4
1946-10-19 Post SV Wien W 6-144.2 1704 1456 70.83% 16.18% 12.99%+1.86 +7.9 6
1946-10-19 @ FC Wien L 1-644.2 1456 1704 12.99% 16.18% 70.83%-1.86 -7.9 3
1946-10-20 First Vienna L 0-156.5 1669 1793 27.55% 17.13% 55.32%-0.79 -4.3 8
1946-10-20 @ Admira Wien W 1-056.5 1793 1669 55.32% 17.13% 27.55%+0.79 +4.3 9
1946-10-20 Rapid Wien W 5-482.3 1687 1931 15.90% 16.41% 67.68%-1.66 +8.2 9
1946-10-20 @ Floridsdorfer L 4-582.3 1931 1687 67.68% 16.41% 15.90%+1.66 -8.2 11
1946-10-20 Wacker Wien L 0-546.3 1645 1867 17.65% 16.58% 65.77%-1.50 -12.7 6
1946-10-20 @ Wiener AC W 5-046.3 1867 1645 65.77% 16.58% 17.65%+1.50 +12.7 12
1946-10-20 SCR Hochstadt W 2-048.9 1745 1547 66.88% 16.57% 16.55%+1.51 +5.1 10
1946-10-20 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 0-248.9 1547 1745 16.55% 16.57% 66.88%-1.51 -5.1 2
1946-11-03 Wiener AC W 4-152.9 1800 1632 64.12% 16.78% 19.10%+1.29 +7.2 6
1946-11-03 @ Austria Wien L 1-452.9 1632 1800 19.10% 16.78% 64.12%-1.29 -7.2 6
1946-11-03 Wiener Sport-Club L 3-474.9 1797 1750 50.41% 17.29% 32.30%+0.43 -6.3 9
1946-11-03 @ First Vienna W 4-374.9 1750 1797 32.30% 17.29% 50.41%-0.43 +6.3 12
1946-11-03 Admira Wien W 4-045.4 1923 1665 71.57% 16.09% 12.35%+1.94 +7.4 13
1946-11-03 @ Rapid Wien L 0-445.4 1665 1923 12.35% 16.09% 71.57%-1.94 -7.3 8
1946-11-03 Floridsdorfer W 3-155.0 1880 1695 65.75% 16.66% 17.59%+1.41 +4.7 14
1946-11-03 @ Wacker Wien L 1-355.0 1695 1880 17.59% 16.66% 65.75%-1.41 -4.7 9
1946-11-23 First Vienna W 2-166.8 1712 1791 33.08% 17.27% 49.64%-0.47 +6.7 8
1946-11-23 @ FC Wien L 1-266.8 1791 1712 49.64% 17.27% 33.08%+0.47 -6.7 9
1946-11-23 Austria Wien D 2-277.3 1690 1807 28.38% 17.16% 54.46%-0.74 +0.6 10
1946-11-23 @ Floridsdorfer D 2-277.3 1807 1690 54.46% 17.16% 28.38%+0.74 -0.6 7
1946-11-23 SCR Hochstadt L 2-355.5 1448 1542 31.17% 17.23% 51.59%-0.58 -4.3 3
1946-11-23 @ Post SV Wien W 3-255.5 1542 1448 51.59% 17.23% 31.17%+0.58 +4.3 4
1946-11-24 Wacker Wien W 3-275.9 1657 1885 17.27% 16.54% 66.18%-1.53 +8.4 10
1946-11-24 @ Admira Wien L 2-375.9 1885 1657 66.18% 16.54% 17.27%+1.53 -8.4 14
1946-11-24 Rapid Wien L 1-258.8 1756 1930 22.10% 16.89% 61.01%-1.15 -3.3 12
1946-11-24 @ Wiener Sport-Club W 2-158.8 1930 1756 61.01% 16.89% 22.10%+1.15 +3.3 15
1946-12-07 Floridsdorfer D 2-276.0 1625 1691 34.78% 17.30% 47.92%-0.38 +0.3 7
1946-12-07 @ Wiener AC D 2-276.0 1691 1625 47.92% 17.30% 34.78%+0.38 -0.3 11
1946-12-08 Admira Wien W 8-048.8 1806 1666 61.41% 16.94% 21.66%+1.09 +24.0 9
1946-12-08 @ Austria Wien L 0-848.8 1666 1806 21.66% 16.94% 61.41%-1.09 -23.9 10
1946-12-08 Post SV Wien W 5-250.4 1784 1444 76.53% 15.28% 8.19%+2.52 +2.7 11
1946-12-08 @ First Vienna L 2-550.4 1444 1784 8.19% 15.28% 76.53%-2.52 -2.7 3
1946-12-08 FC Wien W 4-364.3 1934 1719 68.31% 16.45% 15.24%+1.63 +2.2 17
1946-12-08 @ Rapid Wien L 3-464.3 1719 1934 15.24% 16.45% 68.31%-1.63 -2.2 8
1946-12-08 Wiener Sport-Club L 0-263.8 1876 1753 59.60% 17.02% 23.38%+0.97 -15.9 14
1946-12-08 @ Wacker Wien W 2-063.8 1753 1876 23.38% 17.02% 59.60%-0.97 +15.9 14
1946-12-15 FC Wien D 1-171.4 1546 1716 22.48% 16.91% 60.61%-1.13 +1.3 5
1946-12-15 @ SCR Hochstadt D 1-171.4 1716 1546 60.61% 16.91% 22.48%+1.13 -1.3 9
1947-03-09 Wiener Sport-Club D 2-277.1 1691 1769 33.12% 17.27% 49.61%-0.47 +0.4 12
1947-03-09 @ Floridsdorfer D 2-277.1 1769 1691 49.61% 17.27% 33.12%+0.47 -0.4 15
1947-03-09 First Vienna L 0-460.8 1936 1787 62.32% 16.89% 20.79%+1.16 -31.6 17
1947-03-09 @ Rapid Wien W 4-060.8 1787 1936 20.79% 16.89% 62.32%-1.16 +31.6 13
1947-03-09 FC Wien W 3-270.4 1625 1715 31.65% 17.25% 51.10%-0.55 +6.5 9
1947-03-09 @ Wiener AC L 2-370.4 1715 1625 51.10% 17.25% 31.65%+0.55 -6.5 9
1947-03-10 Floridsdorfer W 3-160.1 1709 1691 46.49% 17.34% 36.18%+0.22 +8.9 11
1947-03-10 @ FC Wien L 1-360.1 1691 1709 36.18% 17.34% 46.49%-0.22 -8.9 12
1947-03-10 Wiener AC L 2-550.3 1441 1632 20.50% 16.79% 62.71%-1.27 -6.6 3
1947-03-10 @ Post SV Wien W 5-250.3 1632 1441 62.71% 16.79% 20.50%+1.27 +6.6 11
1947-03-11 Wacker Wien L 0-355.1 1818 1860 38.04% 17.34% 44.63%-0.21 -15.6 13
1947-03-11 @ First Vienna W 3-055.1 1860 1818 44.63% 17.34% 38.04%+0.21 +15.6 16
1947-03-11 Austria Wien L 0-544.2 1548 1830 13.24% 16.10% 70.66%-1.93 -9.7 5
1947-03-11 @ SCR Hochstadt W 5-044.2 1830 1548 70.66% 16.10% 13.24%+1.93 +9.7 11
1947-03-11 Admira Wien D 0-070.0 1769 1642 59.98% 17.01% 23.01%+1.00 -1.4 16
1947-03-11 @ Wiener Sport-Club D 0-070.0 1642 1769 23.01% 17.01% 59.98%-1.00 +1.4 11
1947-03-22 Wiener Sport-Club W 3-052.3 1840 1767 53.67% 17.22% 29.11%+0.61 +12.4 13
1947-03-22 @ Austria Wien L 0-352.3 1767 1840 29.11% 17.22% 53.67%-0.61 -12.4 16
1947-03-22 FC Wien D 1-173.6 1876 1717 63.25% 16.83% 19.92%+1.22 -1.5 17
1947-03-22 @ Wacker Wien D 1-173.6 1717 1876 19.92% 16.83% 63.25%-1.22 +1.5 12
1947-03-23 SCR Hochstadt W 2-154.1 1803 1538 72.02% 16.03% 11.95%+1.98 +1.9 15
1947-03-23 @ First Vienna L 1-254.1 1538 1803 11.95% 16.03% 72.02%-1.98 -1.9 5
1947-03-23 Post SV Wien L 0-171.0 1904 1435 82.07% 13.73% 4.19%+3.45 -11.5 17
1947-03-23 @ Rapid Wien W 1-071.0 1435 1904 4.19% 13.73% 82.07%-3.45 +11.5 5
1947-03-29 Wiener AC W 1-053.8 1805 1638 64.00% 16.79% 19.21%+1.28 +3.1 17
1947-03-29 @ First Vienna L 0-153.8 1638 1805 19.21% 16.79% 64.00%-1.28 -3.1 11
1947-03-29 Floridsdorfer W 1-062.9 1536 1682 25.01% 17.03% 57.95%-0.95 +8.2 7
1947-03-29 @ SCR Hochstadt L 0-162.9 1682 1536 57.95% 17.03% 25.01%+0.95 -8.2 12
1947-03-30 Wiener Sport-Club D 0-070.3 1719 1755 38.91% 17.34% 43.75%-0.17 +0.2 13
1947-03-30 @ FC Wien D 0-070.3 1755 1719 43.75% 17.34% 38.91%+0.17 -0.2 17
1947-03-30 Admira Wien L 1-447.1 1446 1643 19.88% 16.75% 63.37%-1.32 -7.4 5
1947-03-30 @ Post SV Wien W 4-147.1 1643 1446 63.37% 16.75% 19.88%+1.32 +7.4 13
1947-03-30 Austria Wien L 2-371.4 1893 1852 49.62% 17.30% 33.08%+0.38 -6.4 17
1947-03-30 @ Rapid Wien W 3-271.4 1852 1893 33.08% 17.30% 49.62%-0.38 +6.4 15
1947-04-02 Admira Wien L 0-256.7 1635 1651 41.82% 17.35% 40.83%-0.02 -11.6 11
1947-04-02 @ Wiener AC W 2-056.7 1651 1635 40.83% 17.35% 41.82%+0.02 +11.6 15
1947-04-12 SCR Hochstadt D 2-274.3 1662 1544 59.04% 17.05% 23.92%+0.93 -0.9 16
1947-04-12 @ Admira Wien D 2-274.3 1544 1662 23.92% 17.05% 59.04%-0.93 +0.9 8
1947-04-13 Wacker Wien L 1-264.8 1858 1875 41.73% 17.35% 40.91%-0.02 -5.8 15
1947-04-13 @ Austria Wien W 2-164.8 1875 1858 40.91% 17.35% 41.73%+0.02 +5.8 19
1947-04-13 First Vienna L 0-351.2 1674 1808 26.36% 17.09% 56.55%-0.87 -11.3 12
1947-04-13 @ Floridsdorfer W 3-051.2 1808 1674 56.55% 17.09% 26.36%+0.87 +11.3 19
1947-04-13 Rapid Wien L 1-256.0 1624 1887 14.56% 16.27% 69.17%-1.79 -2.3 11
1947-04-13 @ Wiener AC W 2-156.0 1887 1624 69.17% 16.27% 14.56%+1.79 +2.3 19
1947-04-13 Post SV Wien W 2-150.8 1755 1439 75.22% 15.53% 9.25%+2.35 +1.5 19
1947-04-13 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 1-250.8 1439 1755 9.25% 15.53% 75.22%-2.35 -1.5 5
1947-04-19 Post SV Wien W 4-251.9 1662 1437 69.12% 16.37% 14.51%+1.70 +3.5 14
1947-04-19 @ Floridsdorfer L 2-451.9 1437 1662 14.51% 16.37% 69.12%-1.70 -3.5 5
1947-04-19 SCR Hochstadt W 2-156.5 1621 1545 54.15% 17.21% 28.64%+0.64 +4.2 13
1947-04-19 @ Wiener AC L 1-256.5 1545 1621 28.64% 17.21% 54.15%-0.64 -4.2 8
1947-04-20 FC Wien L 0-255.9 1661 1719 35.89% 17.32% 46.79%-0.32 -10.2 16
1947-04-20 @ Admira Wien W 2-055.9 1719 1661 46.79% 17.32% 35.89%+0.32 +10.2 15
1947-04-20 First Vienna L 2-371.0 1853 1819 48.65% 17.31% 34.04%+0.33 -6.3 15
1947-04-20 @ Austria Wien W 3-271.0 1819 1853 34.04% 17.31% 48.65%-0.33 +6.3 21
1947-04-20 Rapid Wien L 4-575.2 1880 1889 42.82% 17.35% 39.82%+0.03 -5.4 19
1947-04-20 @ Wacker Wien W 5-475.2 1889 1880 39.82% 17.35% 42.82%-0.03 +5.4 21
1947-04-26 FC Wien L 2-355.4 1434 1729 12.41% 15.98% 71.61%-2.02 -1.8 5
1947-04-26 @ Post SV Wien W 3-255.4 1729 1434 71.61% 15.98% 12.41%+2.02 +1.9 17
1947-04-26 Wiener Sport-Club W 5-163.7 1541 1756 18.27% 16.63% 65.10%-1.45 +27.4 10
1947-04-26 @ SCR Hochstadt L 1-563.7 1756 1541 65.10% 16.63% 18.27%+1.45 -27.4 19
1947-04-27 Admira Wien L 0-167.6 1825 1651 64.74% 16.74% 18.52%+1.33 -9.2 21
1947-04-27 @ First Vienna W 1-067.6 1651 1825 18.52% 16.74% 64.74%-1.33 +9.2 18
1947-04-27 Floridsdorfer D 2-277.7 1894 1666 69.35% 16.34% 14.31%+1.72 -1.4 22
1947-04-27 @ Rapid Wien D 2-277.7 1666 1894 14.31% 16.34% 69.35%-1.72 +1.4 15
1947-04-27 Wiener AC W 1-051.9 1875 1626 70.93% 16.17% 12.90%+1.87 +2.1 21
1947-04-27 @ Wacker Wien L 0-151.9 1626 1875 12.90% 16.17% 70.93%-1.87 -2.1 13
1947-05-14 Post SV Wien W 5-250.2 1846 1432 79.99% 14.42% 5.59%+3.05 +1.8 17
1947-05-14 @ Austria Wien L 2-550.2 1432 1846 5.59% 14.42% 79.99%-3.05 -1.8 5
1947-05-17 SCR Hochstadt W 4-046.1 1731 1568 63.67% 16.81% 19.52%+1.25 +11.3 19
1947-05-17 @ FC Wien L 0-446.1 1568 1731 19.52% 16.81% 63.67%-1.25 -11.3 10
1947-05-18 Rapid Wien L 0-250.7 1660 1893 16.86% 16.51% 66.63%-1.57 -5.2 18
1947-05-18 @ Admira Wien W 2-050.7 1893 1660 66.63% 16.51% 16.86%+1.57 +5.2 24
1947-05-18 Wacker Wien L 1-453.1 1667 1877 18.76% 16.67% 64.57%-1.41 -7.0 15
1947-05-18 @ Floridsdorfer W 4-153.1 1877 1667 64.57% 16.67% 18.76%+1.41 +7.0 23
1947-05-18 Austria Wien L 0-250.7 1623 1848 17.48% 16.56% 65.96%-1.52 -5.4 13
1947-05-18 @ Wiener AC W 2-050.7 1848 1623 65.96% 16.56% 17.48%+1.52 +5.4 19
1947-05-18 First Vienna L 1-555.6 1729 1816 31.97% 17.25% 50.78%-0.53 -14.6 19
1947-05-18 @ Wiener Sport-Club W 5-155.6 1816 1729 50.78% 17.25% 31.97%+0.53 +14.6 23
1947-05-21 SCR Hochstadt D 1-173.5 1884 1557 75.84% 15.42% 8.75%+2.43 -2.4 24
1947-05-21 @ Wacker Wien D 1-173.5 1557 1884 8.75% 15.42% 75.84%-2.43 +2.4 11
1947-05-21 First Vienna L 3-847.7 1430 1831 7.31% 14.89% 77.80%-2.77 -3.4 5
1947-05-21 @ Post SV Wien W 8-347.7 1831 1430 77.80% 14.89% 7.31%+2.77 +3.4 25
1947-05-31 Post SV Wien W 6-245.4 1559 1427 60.62% 16.98% 22.40%+1.04 +9.1 13
1947-05-31 @ SCR Hochstadt L 2-645.4 1427 1559 22.40% 16.98% 60.62%-1.04 -9.1 5
1947-06-01 Floridsdorfer L 0-168.2 1854 1660 66.47% 16.61% 16.93%+1.47 -9.4 19
1947-06-01 @ Austria Wien W 1-068.2 1660 1854 16.93% 16.61% 66.47%-1.47 +9.4 17
1947-06-01 FC Wien W 3-264.3 1834 1742 56.01% 17.16% 26.83%+0.75 +3.8 27
1947-06-01 @ First Vienna L 2-364.3 1742 1834 26.83% 17.16% 56.01%-0.75 -3.8 19
1947-06-01 Wiener Sport-Club W 5-151.2 1898 1714 65.63% 16.67% 17.70%+1.40 +8.6 26
1947-06-01 @ Rapid Wien L 1-551.2 1714 1898 17.70% 16.67% 65.63%-1.40 -8.6 19
1947-06-01 Admira Wien W 2-049.9 1882 1655 69.22% 16.36% 14.42%+1.71 +4.5 26
1947-06-01 @ Wacker Wien L 0-249.9 1655 1882 14.42% 16.36% 69.22%-1.71 -4.5 18
1947-06-07 Wiener AC D 3-379.7 1670 1618 51.05% 17.28% 31.68%+0.46 -0.4 18
1947-06-07 @ Floridsdorfer D 3-379.7 1618 1670 31.68% 17.28% 51.05%-0.46 +0.4 14
1947-06-08 Austria Wien W 9-264.0 1651 1844 20.22% 16.77% 63.01%-1.29 +36.5 20
1947-06-08 @ Admira Wien L 2-964.0 1844 1651 63.01% 16.77% 20.22%+1.29 -36.5 19
1947-06-08 Rapid Wien W 3-274.4 1739 1907 22.72% 16.92% 60.36%-1.11 +7.6 21
1947-06-08 @ FC Wien L 2-374.4 1907 1739 60.36% 16.92% 22.72%+1.11 -7.6 26
1947-06-08 Wacker Wien L 0-448.3 1706 1886 21.44% 16.85% 61.71%-1.20 -12.3 19
1947-06-08 @ Wiener Sport-Club W 4-048.3 1886 1706 61.71% 16.85% 21.44%+1.20 +12.3 28
1947-06-14 Wacker Wien L 1-843.3 1418 1898 4.84% 13.91% 81.25%-3.35 -4.0 5
1947-06-14 @ Post SV Wien W 8-143.3 1898 1418 81.25% 13.91% 4.84%+3.35 +4.0 30
1947-06-15 Austria Wien W 2-060.1 1746 1808 35.41% 17.31% 47.28%-0.35 +12.9 23
1947-06-15 @ FC Wien L 0-260.1 1808 1746 47.28% 17.31% 35.41%+0.35 -12.9 19
1947-06-15 Admira Wien W 3-161.3 1669 1687 41.49% 17.35% 41.16%-0.04 +9.9 20
1947-06-15 @ Floridsdorfer L 1-361.3 1687 1669 41.16% 17.35% 41.49%+0.04 -9.9 20
1947-06-15 Wiener AC L 2-371.0 1693 1618 53.96% 17.22% 28.82%+0.62 -6.9 19
1947-06-15 @ Wiener Sport-Club W 3-271.0 1618 1693 28.82% 17.22% 53.96%-0.62 +6.9 16
1947-07-05 Rapid Wien L 0-444.3 1568 1899 10.44% 15.64% 73.92%-2.27 -6.2 13
1947-07-05 @ SCR Hochstadt W 4-044.3 1899 1568 73.92% 15.64% 10.44%+2.27 +6.2 28

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1947-03-23 4.19% Post SV Wien 1435 1 @ Rapid Wien 1904 0
2 1946-10-12 10.56% @ Post SV Wien 1436 2 Wiener Sport-Club 1765 0
3 1946-10-20 15.90% @ Floridsdorfer 1687 5 Rapid Wien 1931 4
4 1947-06-01 16.93% Floridsdorfer 1660 1 @ Austria Wien 1854 0
5 1946-11-24 17.27% @ Admira Wien 1657 3 Wacker Wien 1885 2
6 1947-04-26 18.27% @ SCR Hochstadt 1541 5 Wiener Sport-Club 1756 1
7 1947-04-27 18.52% Admira Wien 1651 1 @ First Vienna 1825 0
8 1946-08-25 19.29% @ SCR Hochstadt 1573 1 First Vienna 1777 0
9 1947-06-08 20.22% @ Admira Wien 1651 9 Austria Wien 1844 2
10 1947-03-09 20.79% First Vienna 1787 4 @ Rapid Wien 1936 0
11 1947-06-08 22.72% @ FC Wien 1739 3 Rapid Wien 1907 2
12 1946-12-08 23.38% Wiener Sport-Club 1753 2 @ Wacker Wien 1876 0
13 1946-09-01 23.69% FC Wien 1718 3 @ Austria Wien 1839 1
14 1947-03-29 25.01% @ SCR Hochstadt 1536 1 Floridsdorfer 1682 0
15 1946-09-21 26.22% Admira Wien 1634 3 @ FC Wien 1731 0
16 1947-06-15 28.82% Wiener AC 1618 3 @ Wiener Sport-Club 1693 2
17 1947-03-09 31.65% @ Wiener AC 1625 3 FC Wien 1715 2
18 1946-11-03 32.30% Wiener Sport-Club 1750 4 @ First Vienna 1797 3
19 1946-11-23 33.08% @ FC Wien 1712 2 First Vienna 1791 1
20 1947-03-30 33.08% Austria Wien 1852 3 @ Rapid Wien 1893 2
21 1947-04-20 34.04% First Vienna 1819 3 @ Austria Wien 1853 2
22 1946-09-22 34.05% @ First Vienna 1759 2 Austria Wien 1830 0
23 1947-06-15 35.41% @ FC Wien 1746 2 Austria Wien 1808 0
24 1947-04-20 39.82% Rapid Wien 1889 5 @ Wacker Wien 1880 4
25 1946-08-31 40.71% Floridsdorfer 1664 3 @ Admira Wien 1650 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1947-06-08 36.53 @ Admira Wien 9 1651 20.22% Austria Wien 2 1844 63.01% 16.77%
2 1947-03-09 31.56 First Vienna 4 1787 20.79% @ Rapid Wien 0 1936 62.32% 16.89%
3 1947-04-26 27.44 @ SCR Hochstadt 5 1541 18.27% Wiener Sport-Club 1 1756 65.10% 16.63%
4 1946-12-08 23.95 @ Austria Wien 8 1806 61.41% Admira Wien 0 1666 21.66% 16.94%
5 1946-09-21 22.03 Admira Wien 3 1634 26.22% @ FC Wien 0 1731 56.64% 17.14%
6 1946-10-12 19.65 @ Post SV Wien 2 1436 10.56% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1765 73.78% 15.67%
7 1946-08-31 16.87 Floridsdorfer 3 1664 40.71% @ Admira Wien 0 1650 41.94% 17.35%
8 1946-09-29 16.72 First Vienna 6 1772 53.28% @ Wiener AC 1 1665 29.53% 17.19%
9 1946-12-08 15.93 Wiener Sport-Club 2 1753 23.38% @ Wacker Wien 0 1876 59.60% 17.02%
10 1947-03-11 15.56 Wacker Wien 3 1860 44.63% @ First Vienna 0 1818 38.04% 17.34%
11 1947-05-18 14.62 First Vienna 5 1816 50.78% @ Wiener Sport-Club 1 1729 31.97% 17.25%
12 1946-09-01 13.73 FC Wien 3 1718 23.69% @ Austria Wien 1 1839 59.28% 17.04%
13 1946-09-22 13.20 @ First Vienna 2 1759 34.05% Austria Wien 0 1830 48.66% 17.29%
14 1946-09-29 12.95 Rapid Wien 3 1915 52.13% @ Austria Wien 0 1817 30.65% 17.22%
15 1947-06-15 12.87 @ FC Wien 2 1746 35.41% Austria Wien 0 1808 47.28% 17.31%
16 1946-10-20 12.69 Wacker Wien 5 1867 65.77% @ Wiener AC 0 1645 17.65% 16.58%
17 1947-03-22 12.39 @ Austria Wien 3 1840 53.67% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1767 29.11% 17.22%
18 1947-06-08 12.31 Wacker Wien 4 1886 61.71% @ Wiener Sport-Club 0 1706 21.44% 16.85%
19 1947-04-02 11.59 Admira Wien 2 1651 40.83% @ Wiener AC 0 1635 41.82% 17.35%
20 1947-03-23 11.49 Post SV Wien 1 1435 4.19% @ Rapid Wien 0 1904 82.07% 13.73%
21 1947-04-13 11.35 First Vienna 3 1808 56.55% @ Floridsdorfer 0 1674 26.36% 17.09%
22 1947-05-17 11.32 @ FC Wien 4 1731 63.67% SCR Hochstadt 0 1568 19.52% 16.81%
23 1947-04-20 10.20 FC Wien 2 1719 46.79% @ Admira Wien 0 1661 35.89% 17.32%
24 1947-06-15 9.91 @ Floridsdorfer 3 1669 41.49% Admira Wien 1 1687 41.16% 17.35%
25 1946-09-15 9.83 @ Wacker Wien 4 1858 55.70% First Vienna 1 1769 27.14% 17.17%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1946-10-20 82.3 @ Floridsdorfer 5 1687 15.90% Rapid Wien 4 1931 67.68% 16.41%
2 1947-06-07 79.7 @ Floridsdorfer 3 1670 51.05% Wiener AC 3 1618 31.68% 17.28%
3 1946-09-08 77.7 @ First Vienna 2 1768 25.29% Rapid Wien 2 1911 57.66% 17.05%
4 1947-04-27 77.7 @ Rapid Wien 2 1894 69.35% Floridsdorfer 2 1666 14.31% 16.34%
5 1946-11-23 77.3 @ Floridsdorfer 2 1690 28.38% Austria Wien 2 1807 54.46% 17.16%
6 1947-03-09 77.1 @ Floridsdorfer 2 1691 33.12% Wiener Sport-Club 2 1769 49.61% 17.27%
7 1946-12-07 76.0 @ Wiener AC 2 1625 34.78% Floridsdorfer 2 1691 47.92% 17.30%
8 1946-08-25 75.9 @ Admira Wien 2 1650 42.83% Wiener AC 2 1658 39.82% 17.35%
9 1946-11-24 75.9 @ Admira Wien 3 1657 17.27% Wacker Wien 2 1885 66.18% 16.54%
10 1947-04-20 75.2 Rapid Wien 5 1889 39.82% @ Wacker Wien 4 1880 42.82% 17.35%
11 1946-11-03 74.9 Wiener Sport-Club 4 1750 32.30% @ First Vienna 3 1797 50.41% 17.29%
12 1947-06-08 74.4 @ FC Wien 3 1739 22.72% Rapid Wien 2 1907 60.36% 16.92%
13 1947-04-12 74.3 @ Admira Wien 2 1662 59.04% SCR Hochstadt 2 1544 23.92% 17.05%
14 1947-03-22 73.6 @ Wacker Wien 1 1876 63.25% FC Wien 1 1717 19.92% 16.83%
15 1946-08-25 73.5 @ Wiener Sport-Club 1 1752 31.96% Austria Wien 1 1839 50.79% 17.25%
16 1947-05-21 73.5 @ Wacker Wien 1 1884 75.84% SCR Hochstadt 1 1557 8.75% 15.42%
17 1946-09-07 72.7 @ FC Wien 1 1732 54.41% Wiener AC 1 1654 28.39% 17.20%
18 1946-09-07 72.1 @ Post SV Wien 1 1453 8.49% Austria Wien 1 1825 76.30% 15.21%
19 1946-12-15 71.4 @ SCR Hochstadt 1 1546 22.48% FC Wien 1 1716 60.61% 16.91%
20 1947-03-30 71.4 Austria Wien 3 1852 33.08% @ Rapid Wien 2 1893 49.62% 17.30%
21 1947-03-23 71.0 Post SV Wien 1 1435 4.19% @ Rapid Wien 0 1904 82.07% 13.73%
22 1947-04-20 71.0 First Vienna 3 1819 34.04% @ Austria Wien 2 1853 48.65% 17.31%
23 1947-06-15 71.0 Wiener AC 3 1618 28.82% @ Wiener Sport-Club 2 1693 53.96% 17.22%
24 1947-03-09 70.4 @ Wiener AC 3 1625 31.65% FC Wien 2 1715 51.10% 17.25%
25 1947-03-30 70.3 @ FC Wien 0 1719 38.91% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1755 43.75% 17.34%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1946-09-29 40.3 @ Admira Wien 4 1656 67.92% Post SV Wien 0 1446 15.60% 16.48%
2 1946-09-01 41.0 @ Wacker Wien 5 1846 78.84% Post SV Wien 0 1458 6.41% 14.74%
3 1947-06-14 43.3 Wacker Wien 8 1898 81.25% @ Post SV Wien 1 1418 4.84% 13.91%
4 1946-09-21 43.4 Floridsdorfer 3 1678 65.90% @ Post SV Wien 0 1453 17.53% 16.57%
5 1946-10-19 44.2 @ FC Wien 6 1704 70.83% Post SV Wien 1 1456 12.99% 16.18%
6 1947-03-11 44.2 Austria Wien 5 1830 70.66% @ SCR Hochstadt 0 1548 13.24% 16.10%
7 1947-07-05 44.3 Rapid Wien 4 1899 73.92% @ SCR Hochstadt 0 1568 10.44% 15.64%
8 1946-09-15 44.8 @ Austria Wien 4 1823 71.03% SCR Hochstadt 0 1572 12.81% 16.15%
9 1946-11-03 45.4 @ Rapid Wien 4 1923 71.57% Admira Wien 0 1665 12.35% 16.09%
10 1947-05-31 45.4 @ SCR Hochstadt 6 1559 60.62% Post SV Wien 2 1427 22.40% 16.98%
11 1947-05-17 46.1 @ FC Wien 4 1731 63.67% SCR Hochstadt 0 1568 19.52% 16.81%
12 1946-10-20 46.3 Wacker Wien 5 1867 65.77% @ Wiener AC 0 1645 17.65% 16.58%
13 1947-03-30 47.1 Admira Wien 4 1643 63.37% @ Post SV Wien 1 1446 19.88% 16.75%
14 1947-05-21 47.7 First Vienna 8 1831 77.80% @ Post SV Wien 3 1430 7.31% 14.89%
15 1947-06-08 48.3 Wacker Wien 4 1886 61.71% @ Wiener Sport-Club 0 1706 21.44% 16.85%
16 1946-08-25 48.4 Rapid Wien 8 1905 79.78% @ Post SV Wien 3 1461 5.85% 14.37%
17 1946-12-08 48.8 @ Austria Wien 8 1806 61.41% Admira Wien 0 1666 21.66% 16.94%
18 1946-10-13 48.9 @ Rapid Wien 2 1928 73.00% Wiener AC 0 1648 11.11% 15.89%
19 1946-10-20 48.9 @ Wiener Sport-Club 2 1745 66.88% SCR Hochstadt 0 1547 16.55% 16.57%
20 1946-09-07 49.4 Wacker Wien 5 1851 69.88% @ SCR Hochstadt 1 1579 13.94% 16.19%
21 1946-09-01 49.6 @ Rapid Wien 4 1908 75.76% SCR Hochstadt 1 1582 8.81% 15.43%
22 1947-06-01 49.9 @ Wacker Wien 2 1882 69.22% Admira Wien 0 1655 14.42% 16.36%
23 1947-05-14 50.2 @ Austria Wien 5 1846 79.99% Post SV Wien 2 1432 5.59% 14.42%
24 1947-03-10 50.3 Wiener AC 5 1632 62.71% @ Post SV Wien 2 1441 20.50% 16.79%
25 1946-12-08 50.4 @ First Vienna 5 1784 76.53% Post SV Wien 2 1444 8.19% 15.28%