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1944-45 Gauliga Season

45 games

Final

Champion

Rapid Wien

14 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Wacker Wien

6.16 points above expected

14 points · 7.84 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Austria Wien

5.09 points below expected

4 points · 9.09 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rapid Wien 9 6 2 1 14 35 12 +23 10.88 +3.12
2 Wacker Wien 9 6 2 1 14 26 14 +12 7.84 +6.16
3 First Vienna 9 6 1 2 13 35 18 +17 11.64 +1.36
4 FC Wien 9 5 1 3 11 20 8 +12 9.76 +1.24
5 Floridsdorfer 9 5 1 3 11 18 13 +5 10.19 +0.81
6 Admira Wien 9 4 1 4 9 17 20 -3 8.70 +0.30
7 Wiener Sport-Club 9 2 1 6 5 14 26 -12 7.60 -2.60
8 Wiener AC 9 2 1 6 5 16 34 -18 7.95 -2.95
9 Austria Wien 9 2 0 7 4 15 19 -4 9.09 -5.09
10 SC Rapid Oberlaa 9 1 0 8 2 8 40 -32 6.36 -4.36

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Wacker Wien 14 7.84 +6.16
2 Rapid Wien 14 10.88 +3.12
3 First Vienna 13 11.64 +1.36
4 FC Wien 11 9.76 +1.24
5 Floridsdorfer 11 10.19 +0.81

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Austria Wien 4 9.09 -5.09
2 SC Rapid Oberlaa 2 6.36 -4.36
3 Wiener AC 5 7.95 -2.95
4 Wiener Sport-Club 5 7.60 -2.60
5 Admira Wien 9 8.70 +0.30

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Floridsdorfer 5 Sep 24 – Oct 29 1 in 29
2 Wacker Wien 3 Sep 24 – Oct 8 1 in 22
3 First Vienna 5 Oct 15 – Mar 11 1 in 20
4 Admira Wien 3 Sep 24 – Oct 8 1 in 19
5 Austria Wien 2 Sep 17 – Sep 24 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Wien 7 Oct 1 – Mar 11 1 in 647
2 Wiener AC 3 Sep 24 – Oct 8 1 in 9
3 FC Wien 2 Oct 8 – Oct 15 1 in 7
4 Floridsdorfer 2 Nov 26 – Dec 10 1 in 6
5 SC Rapid Oberlaa 4 Oct 29 – Dec 10 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wacker Wien 4 Sep 17 – Oct 8 1 in 21
2 Rapid Wien 6 Oct 8 – Dec 8 1 in 14
3 Floridsdorfer 6 Sep 24 – Nov 12 1 in 13
4 Admira Wien 3 Sep 24 – Oct 8 1 in 8
5 FC Wien 4 Oct 29 – Dec 8 1 in 8

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Austria Wien 7 Oct 1 – Mar 11 1 in 94
2 Wiener Sport-Club 6 Sep 17 – Oct 29 1 in 20
3 Wiener AC 4 Sep 17 – Oct 8 1 in 11
4 Floridsdorfer 3 Nov 12 – Dec 10 1 in 10
5 First Vienna 2 Sep 17 – Sep 24 1 in 6

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rapid Wien 1914 14 +47 8 6.6 +1.4
Wacker Wien 1843 14 +57 7 4.6 +2.4
First Vienna 1905 13 +93 10 6.3 +3.7
FC Wien 1846 11 +21 7 5.7 +1.3
Floridsdorfer 1855 11 +23 5 5.6 -0.6
Admira Wien 1755 9 -34 3 4.8 -1.8
Wiener Sport-Club 1717 5 -24 4 4.2 -0.2
Wiener AC 1688 5 -41 4 3.9 +0.1
Austria Wien 1761 4 -65 0 5.0 -5.0
SC Rapid Oberlaa 1617 2 -78 2 3.2 -1.2

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AW AW FW FV FLO RW SRO WW WA WS
Admira Wien —
1-0-0
0.82
0-0-1
1.58
0-0-1
0.78
0-0-1
1.51
0-1-0
1.05
1-0-0
1.79
0-0-1
1.69
1-0-0
1.37
1-0-0
1.88
Austria Wien
0-0-1
2.06
 —
0-0-1
1.55
0-0-1
0.81
0-0-1
1.23
0-0-1
1.52
1-0-0
1.35
0-0-1
1.33
1-0-0
1.30
0-0-1
2.01
FC Wien
1-0-0
1.30
1-0-0
1.33
 —
0-0-1
1.74
0-0-1
1.26
0-1-0
0.90
1-0-0
2.25
0-0-1
1.43
1-0-0
2.09
1-0-0
1.91
First Vienna
1-0-0
2.11
1-0-0
2.07
1-0-0
1.14
 —
1-0-0
1.66
0-0-1
1.89
1-0-0
2.13
0-0-1
1.67
1-0-0
2.11
0-1-0
2.04
Floridsdorfer
1-0-0
1.37
1-0-0
1.65
1-0-0
1.62
0-0-1
1.22
 —
0-0-1
1.31
1-0-0
2.09
0-1-0
2.05
1-0-0
1.62
0-0-1
1.84
Rapid Wien
0-1-0
1.83
1-0-0
1.36
0-1-0
1.98
1-0-0
0.99
1-0-0
1.56
 —
1-0-0
2.02
0-0-1
1.91
1-0-0
2.36
1-0-0
1.80
SC Rapid Oberlaa
0-0-1
1.09
0-0-1
1.53
0-0-1
0.63
0-0-1
0.75
0-0-1
0.79
0-0-1
0.86
 —
1-0-0
1.31
0-0-1
1.00
0-1-0
1.01
Wacker Wien
1-0-0
1.19
1-0-0
1.55
1-0-0
1.45
1-0-0
1.21
0-1-0
0.83
1-0-0
0.97
0-0-1
1.57
 —
0-1-0
1.06
1-0-0
1.50
Wiener AC
0-0-1
1.51
0-0-1
1.58
0-0-1
0.79
0-0-1
0.78
0-0-1
1.26
0-0-1
0.52
1-0-0
1.88
0-1-0
1.82
 —
1-0-0
1.14
Wiener Sport-Club
0-0-1
1.00
1-0-0
0.87
0-0-1
0.97
0-1-0
0.84
1-0-0
1.04
0-0-1
1.08
0-1-0
1.87
0-0-1
1.38
0-0-1
1.74
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.75 +4.3
Allowed 0.65 -3.6
Differential 0.86 +2.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%2.22%3.33%—3.33%15.56%
16.67%2.22%3.33%6.67%1.11%5.56%25.56%
22.22%3.33%8.89%5.56%—2.22%22.22%
33.33%6.67%5.56%——2.22%17.78%
4—1.11%———1.11%2.22%
5+3.33%5.56%2.22%2.22%1.11%2.22%16.67%
Total15.56%25.56%22.22%17.78%2.22%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.24 2.24 +0.00
SD 2.19 2.19 3.28
CV 0.98 0.98 —
Max 11 11 +10
Min -1 -1 -10

Games Played: 45

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———11.11%——11.11%
1——11.11%—11.11%—22.22%
222.22%—11.11%———33.33%
3——22.22%——11.11%33.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total22.22%—44.44%11.11%11.11%11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.89 2.22 -0.33
SD 1.05 1.64 2.00
CV 0.56 0.74 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.22%11.11%———33.33%
1——11.11%11.11%—11.11%33.33%
2———11.11%——11.11%
3———————
4———————
5+11.11%11.11%————22.22%
Total11.11%33.33%22.22%22.22%—11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 2.11 -0.44
SD 2.00 1.76 3.09
CV 1.20 0.84 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—22.22%————22.22%
111.11%11.11%—11.11%——33.33%
2———————
322.22%11.11%————33.33%
4———————
5+—11.11%————11.11%
Total33.33%55.56%—11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.22 0.89 +1.33
SD 2.49 0.93 2.78
CV 1.12 1.04 —
Max 8 3 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—————11.11%11.11%
111.11%—————11.11%
2——11.11%11.11%——22.22%
3—11.11%————11.11%
4———————
5+—22.22%11.11%11.11%——44.44%
Total11.11%33.33%22.22%22.22%—11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.89 2.00 +1.89
SD 3.33 1.50 4.14
CV 0.86 0.75 —
Max 11 5 +10
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%————11.11%
122.22%——11.11%——33.33%
2—11.11%11.11%——11.11%33.33%
3—11.11%————11.11%
4———————
5+11.11%—————11.11%
Total33.33%33.33%11.11%11.11%—11.11%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.44 +0.56
SD 1.73 1.67 2.60
CV 0.87 1.15 —
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—11.11%————11.11%
2——11.11%11.11%——22.22%
311.11%22.22%————33.33%
4———————
5+11.11%11.11%—11.11%——33.33%
Total22.22%44.44%11.11%22.22%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 3.89 1.33 +2.56
SD 2.62 1.12 2.65
CV 0.67 0.84 —
Max 9 3 +6
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——11.11%———11.11%
1———22.22%—44.44%66.67%
2—11.11%————11.11%
3———————
4———————
5+—————11.11%11.11%
Total—11.11%11.11%22.22%—55.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 4.33 -3.56
SD 0.83 3.77 3.54
CV 1.07 0.87 —
Max 2 11 +1
Min -1 -1 -10

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
111.11%—11.11%———22.22%
2—11.11%22.22%———33.33%
3——22.22%———22.22%
4—11.11%————11.11%
5+——11.11%———11.11%
Total11.11%22.22%66.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.89 1.56 +1.33
SD 2.15 0.73 2.06
CV 0.74 0.47 —
Max 8 2 +6
Min 1 0 -1

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%———22.22%33.33%
1———11.11%——11.11%
2——11.11%11.11%——22.22%
3—11.11%———11.11%22.22%
4———————
5+————11.11%—11.11%
Total—22.22%11.11%22.22%11.11%33.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.78 3.78 -2.00
SD 1.72 2.59 3.00
CV 0.97 0.68 —
Max 5 9 +2
Min 0 1 -6

Games Played: 9

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———22.22%——22.22%
111.11%—————11.11%
2——11.11%11.11%—11.11%33.33%
3——11.11%———11.11%
4—————11.11%11.11%
5+—————11.11%11.11%
Total11.11%—22.22%33.33%—33.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 2.78 -1.33
SD 1.59 2.64 2.29
CV 1.10 0.95 —
Max 4 8 +1
Min -1 -1 -6

Games Played: 9

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Rapid Wien 1914 14 10.88 +3.12 91.5% 2 7 9 11 13 15 18
First Vienna 1905 13 11.64 +1.36 74.9% 3 7 10 12 14 16 18
Floridsdorfer 1855 11 10.19 +0.81 67.8% 2 5 8 10 12 15 18
FC Wien 1846 11 9.76 +1.24 73.0% 2 6 8 10 12 14 17
Wacker Wien 1843 14 7.84 +6.16 99.1% 0 3 6 8 10 12 16
Austria Wien 1761 4 9.09 -5.09 5.0% 1 4 7 9 11 14 17
Admira Wien 1755 9 8.70 +0.30 61.7% 1 4 7 9 11 13 16
Wiener Sport-Club 1717 5 7.60 -2.60 21.4% 0 3 6 8 9 12 16
Wiener AC 1688 5 7.95 -2.95 18.2% 0 3 6 8 10 12 16
SC Rapid Oberlaa 1617 2 6.36 -4.36 7.1% 0 2 4 6 8 11 16

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+11.11%
Slight Edge
48.89%13.33%37.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
64 Elo
0.016 goals per Elo point
038.76200
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.18 goals
Neutral
-2+0.60+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.8
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
Rapid Wien, 2nd of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.00/gm
Photo Finish
00.190.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.14 * Some Luck: 2.14 to 3.22 * Lucky: 3.22 to 4.29 * Wild Swing: 4.29 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.78 * Close: 1.78 to 2.67 * Off: 2.67 to 3.55 * Way Off: 3.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
3.34 points
Lucky
02.687
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.80
Close
02.225
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
99.10%
Wacker Wien
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
5.00%
Austria Wien
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.27
Lopsided
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.49
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
85%
Strong Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
47%
Frequent
0%35%100%
Blowouts
Expected
33%
Very Frequent
0%45%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.562
Matchup Imbalance
0.28
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.56
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.42
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
38%
Upset-Prone
0%32%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
26%
Shaky Favorites
0%26%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.22 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.22 to 0.33 * Above Noise: 0.33 to 0.44 * Well Above Noise: 0.44 and up.
Probability calibration
0.75
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.18
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.105
Well Within Noise
00.2210.5

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rapid Wien24.00%21.30%13.80%11.10%8.80%7.90%5.20%4.00%2.70%1.20%
Wacker Wien2.90%5.10%7.70%8.70%11.80%14.90%12.40%12.10%12.80%11.60%
First Vienna33.60%20.90%13.10%10.10%7.30%5.60%4.40%2.50%2.00%0.50%
FC Wien10.20%13.10%14.40%14.00%14.00%11.00%7.70%7.10%5.60%2.90%
Floridsdorfer13.40%15.80%14.40%12.30%10.80%8.80%8.10%7.40%5.50%3.50%
Admira Wien2.80%7.10%11.70%11.20%11.50%13.00%12.70%13.00%10.00%7.00%
Wiener Sport-Club2.10%4.00%5.40%7.20%8.00%11.20%13.70%14.70%17.90%15.80%
Wiener AC3.00%4.30%5.90%8.20%11.20%9.20%14.40%14.30%15.30%14.20%
Austria Wien6.80%7.10%11.10%13.10%11.90%12.00%12.80%10.80%8.30%6.10%
SC Rapid Oberlaa1.20%1.30%2.50%4.10%4.70%6.40%8.60%14.10%19.90%37.20%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Admira Wien 100%
Austria Wien 100%
FC Wien 100%
First Vienna 100%
Floridsdorfer 100%
Rapid Wien 100%
SC Rapid Oberlaa 100%
Wacker Wien 100%
Wiener AC 100%
Wiener Sport-Club 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1944-09-16 FC Wien L 0-358.2 1770 1797 48.57% 12.05% 39.38%+0.18 -27.9 0
1944-09-16 @ Admira Wien W 3-058.2 1797 1770 39.38% 12.05% 48.57%-0.18 +27.9 2
1944-09-17 Wiener Sport-Club D 2-277.7 1872 1776 63.91% 11.98% 24.11%+2.09 -1.5 1
1944-09-17 @ First Vienna D 2-277.7 1776 1872 24.11% 11.98% 63.91%-2.09 +1.5 1
1944-09-17 Floridsdorfer W 3-160.7 1791 1821 48.14% 12.05% 39.81%+0.13 +14.0 2
1944-09-17 @ Rapid Wien L 1-360.7 1821 1791 39.81% 12.05% 48.14%-0.13 -14.0 0
1944-09-17 Austria Wien L 1-559.7 1746 1784 46.94% 12.05% 41.01%+0.00 -29.5 0
1944-09-17 @ SC Rapid Oberlaa W 5-159.7 1784 1746 41.01% 12.05% 46.94%+0.00 +29.5 2
1944-09-17 Wacker Wien D 2-277.5 1789 1754 56.76% 12.03% 31.21%+1.14 -0.9 1
1944-09-17 @ Wiener AC D 2-277.5 1754 1789 31.21% 12.03% 56.76%-1.14 +1.0 1
1944-09-24 SC Rapid Oberlaa W 2-054.8 1742 1716 55.64% 12.04% 32.32%+1.00 +13.4 2
1944-09-24 @ Admira Wien L 0-254.8 1716 1742 32.32% 12.04% 55.64%-1.00 -13.4 0
1944-09-24 FC Wien W 1-058.8 1807 1825 49.92% 12.05% 38.03%+0.33 +8.2 2
1944-09-24 @ Floridsdorfer L 0-158.8 1825 1807 38.03% 12.05% 49.92%-0.33 -8.2 2
1944-09-24 Wiener Sport-Club W 3-053.3 1805 1777 55.90% 12.03% 32.07%+1.03 +19.3 4
1944-09-24 @ Rapid Wien L 0-353.3 1777 1805 32.07% 12.03% 55.90%-1.03 -19.3 1
1944-09-24 First Vienna W 3-269.4 1755 1870 36.25% 12.03% 51.72%-1.18 +9.7 3
1944-09-24 @ Wacker Wien L 2-369.4 1870 1755 51.72% 12.03% 36.25%+1.18 -9.7 1
1944-09-24 Austria Wien L 0-555.9 1788 1814 48.75% 12.05% 39.20%+0.20 -45.1 1
1944-09-24 @ Wiener AC W 5-055.9 1814 1788 39.20% 12.05% 48.75%-0.20 +45.1 4
1944-09-30 SC Rapid Oberlaa W 3-155.3 1816 1703 65.71% 11.96% 22.33%+2.36 +8.2 4
1944-09-30 @ Floridsdorfer L 1-355.3 1703 1816 22.33% 11.96% 65.71%-2.36 -8.2 0
1944-10-01 Admira Wien L 0-264.9 1859 1755 64.77% 11.97% 23.26%+2.22 -25.3 4
1944-10-01 @ Austria Wien W 2-064.9 1755 1859 23.26% 11.97% 64.77%-2.22 +25.3 4
1944-10-01 Wiener Sport-Club W 3-052.1 1816 1758 59.68% 12.01% 28.30%+1.51 +17.2 4
1944-10-01 @ FC Wien L 0-352.1 1758 1816 28.30% 12.01% 59.68%-1.51 -17.2 1
1944-10-01 Wiener AC W 1-053.9 1860 1743 66.19% 11.96% 21.85%+2.44 +5.0 3
1944-10-01 @ First Vienna L 0-153.9 1743 1860 21.85% 11.96% 66.19%-2.44 -4.9 1
1944-10-01 Wacker Wien L 2-371.7 1824 1765 59.80% 12.01% 28.19%+1.53 -11.1 4
1944-10-01 @ Rapid Wien W 3-271.7 1765 1824 28.19% 12.01% 59.80%-1.53 +11.1 5
1944-10-08 SC Rapid Oberlaa FL69.9 1741 1694 58.26% 12.02% 29.72%+1.33 +0.0 1
1944-10-08 @ Wiener Sport-Club FL69.9 1694 1741 29.72% 12.02% 58.26%-1.33 +0.0 0
1944-10-08 Rapid Wien L 0-559.0 1865 1813 58.94% 12.02% 29.04%+1.42 -53.9 3
1944-10-08 @ First Vienna W 5-059.0 1813 1865 29.04% 12.02% 58.94%-1.42 +53.9 6
1944-10-08 Austria Wien W 1-058.6 1824 1834 50.96% 12.05% 36.99%+0.45 +8.0 6
1944-10-08 @ Floridsdorfer L 0-158.6 1834 1824 36.99% 12.05% 50.96%-0.45 -8.0 4
1944-10-08 FC Wien W 1-060.5 1776 1834 44.25% 12.05% 43.69%-0.29 +9.3 7
1944-10-08 @ Wacker Wien L 0-160.5 1834 1776 43.69% 12.05% 44.25%+0.29 -9.3 4
1944-10-08 Admira Wien L 2-367.6 1738 1780 46.39% 12.05% 41.55%-0.06 -8.8 1
1944-10-08 @ Wiener AC W 3-267.6 1780 1738 41.55% 12.05% 46.39%+0.06 +8.8 6
1944-10-15 Floridsdorfer L 1-264.2 1789 1832 46.38% 12.05% 41.57%-0.06 -9.2 6
1944-10-15 @ Admira Wien W 2-164.2 1832 1789 41.57% 12.05% 46.38%+0.06 +9.2 8
1944-10-15 Rapid Wien L 1-362.8 1826 1867 46.52% 12.05% 41.43%-0.04 -16.0 4
1944-10-15 @ Austria Wien W 3-162.8 1867 1826 41.43% 12.05% 46.52%+0.04 +16.0 8
1944-10-15 First Vienna L 1-365.0 1824 1811 54.00% 12.04% 33.96%+0.81 -18.4 4
1944-10-15 @ FC Wien W 3-165.0 1811 1824 33.96% 12.04% 54.00%-0.81 +18.4 5
1944-10-15 Wacker Wien W 2-164.5 1694 1785 39.51% 12.04% 48.45%-0.81 +9.6 2
1944-10-15 @ SC Rapid Oberlaa L 1-264.5 1785 1694 48.45% 12.04% 39.51%+0.81 -9.6 7
1944-10-15 Wiener AC L 4-575.6 1741 1729 53.86% 12.04% 34.10%+0.79 -9.7 1
1944-10-15 @ Wiener Sport-Club W 5-475.6 1729 1741 34.10% 12.04% 53.86%-0.79 +9.7 3
1944-10-29 Wiener Sport-Club W 3-262.4 1780 1731 58.52% 12.02% 29.46%+1.36 +5.8 8
1944-10-29 @ Admira Wien L 2-362.4 1731 1780 29.46% 12.02% 58.52%-1.36 -5.8 1
1944-10-29 SC Rapid Oberlaa W 11-149.2 1830 1704 67.00% 11.94% 21.06%+2.56 +33.4 7
1944-10-29 @ First Vienna L 1-1149.2 1704 1830 21.06% 11.94% 67.00%-2.56 -33.4 2
1944-10-29 FC Wien D 1-174.4 1883 1806 61.87% 12.00% 26.13%+1.81 -1.8 9
1944-10-29 @ Rapid Wien D 1-174.4 1806 1883 26.13% 12.00% 61.87%-1.81 +1.8 5
1944-10-29 Austria Wien W 2-162.3 1776 1810 47.65% 12.05% 40.30%+0.08 +8.2 9
1944-10-29 @ Wacker Wien L 1-262.3 1810 1776 40.30% 12.05% 47.65%-0.08 -8.1 4
1944-10-29 Floridsdorfer L 0-652.2 1739 1841 37.94% 12.04% 50.02%-0.99 -42.9 3
1944-10-29 @ Wiener AC W 6-052.2 1841 1739 50.02% 12.04% 37.94%+0.99 +42.9 10
1944-11-12 Wiener AC W 3-155.3 1808 1696 65.62% 11.96% 22.42%+2.35 +8.3 7
1944-11-12 @ FC Wien L 1-355.3 1696 1808 22.42% 11.96% 65.62%-2.35 -8.3 3
1944-11-12 Wacker Wien D 2-277.7 1884 1784 64.36% 11.98% 23.66%+2.16 -1.5 11
1944-11-12 @ Floridsdorfer D 2-277.7 1784 1884 23.66% 11.98% 64.36%-2.16 +1.5 10
1944-11-12 Rapid Wien L 1-751.1 1671 1881 24.54% 11.94% 63.52%-2.68 -23.8 2
1944-11-12 @ SC Rapid Oberlaa W 7-151.1 1881 1671 63.52% 11.94% 24.54%+2.68 +23.8 11
1944-11-26 Wacker Wien L 1-462.9 1786 1786 52.31% 12.05% 35.64%+0.61 -25.2 8
1944-11-26 @ Admira Wien W 4-162.9 1786 1786 35.64% 12.05% 52.31%-0.61 +25.2 12
1944-11-26 SC Rapid Oberlaa W 8-148.1 1816 1647 70.94% 11.88% 17.18%+3.24 +19.7 9
1944-11-26 @ FC Wien L 1-848.1 1647 1816 17.18% 11.88% 70.94%-3.24 -19.7 2
1944-11-26 Wiener AC W 9-351.1 1905 1688 74.65% 11.79% 13.56%+3.99 +10.1 13
1944-11-26 @ Rapid Wien L 3-951.1 1688 1905 13.56% 11.79% 74.65%-3.99 -10.1 3
1944-11-26 Floridsdorfer W 1-064.5 1725 1882 30.79% 12.00% 57.22%-1.84 +11.9 3
1944-11-26 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 0-164.5 1882 1725 57.22% 12.00% 30.79%+1.84 -11.9 11
1944-12-03 Wacker Wien L 2-858.4 1737 1811 41.98% 12.05% 45.97%-0.54 -32.0 3
1944-12-03 @ Wiener Sport-Club W 8-258.4 1811 1737 45.97% 12.05% 41.98%+0.54 +32.0 14
1944-12-08 Rapid Wien D 2-277.7 1761 1915 31.05% 12.00% 56.95%-1.81 +1.0 9
1944-12-08 @ Admira Wien D 2-277.7 1915 1761 56.95% 12.00% 31.05%+1.81 -1.0 14
1944-12-08 FC Wien L 0-161.7 1801 1836 47.54% 12.05% 40.40%+0.07 -10.0 4
1944-12-08 @ Austria Wien W 1-061.7 1836 1801 40.40% 12.05% 47.54%-0.07 +10.0 11
1944-12-10 Floridsdorfer W 5-261.7 1863 1870 51.30% 12.05% 36.65%+0.49 +15.9 9
1944-12-10 @ First Vienna L 2-561.7 1870 1863 36.65% 12.05% 51.30%-0.49 -15.9 11
1944-12-10 SC Rapid Oberlaa W 3-155.9 1677 1627 58.72% 12.02% 29.26%+1.39 +10.6 5
1944-12-10 @ Wiener AC L 1-355.9 1627 1677 29.26% 12.02% 58.72%-1.39 -10.6 2
1945-02-25 Wiener Sport-Club L 2-372.4 1791 1705 62.87% 11.99% 25.14%+1.94 -11.7 4
1945-02-25 @ Austria Wien W 3-272.4 1705 1791 25.14% 11.99% 62.87%-1.94 +11.7 5
1945-02-25 Admira Wien W 5-362.0 1879 1761 66.19% 11.96% 21.85%+2.44 +6.8 11
1945-02-25 @ First Vienna L 3-562.0 1761 1879 21.85% 11.96% 66.19%-2.44 -6.8 9
1945-03-11 Austria Wien W 6-151.6 1886 1780 65.03% 11.97% 23.00%+2.26 +19.0 13
1945-03-11 @ First Vienna L 1-651.6 1780 1886 23.00% 11.97% 65.03%-2.26 -19.0 4

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1944-10-01 23.26% Admira Wien 1755 2 @ Austria Wien 1859 0
2 1945-02-25 25.14% Wiener Sport-Club 1705 3 @ Austria Wien 1791 2
3 1944-10-01 28.19% Wacker Wien 1765 3 @ Rapid Wien 1824 2
4 1944-10-08 29.04% Rapid Wien 1813 5 @ First Vienna 1865 0
5 1944-11-26 30.79% @ Wiener Sport-Club 1725 1 Floridsdorfer 1882 0
6 1944-10-15 33.96% First Vienna 1811 3 @ FC Wien 1824 1
7 1944-10-15 34.10% Wiener AC 1729 5 @ Wiener Sport-Club 1741 4
8 1944-11-26 35.64% Wacker Wien 1786 4 @ Admira Wien 1786 1
9 1944-09-24 36.25% @ Wacker Wien 1755 3 First Vienna 1870 2
10 1944-09-24 39.20% Austria Wien 1814 5 @ Wiener AC 1788 0
11 1944-09-16 39.38% FC Wien 1797 3 @ Admira Wien 1770 0
12 1944-10-15 39.51% @ SC Rapid Oberlaa 1694 2 Wacker Wien 1785 1
13 1944-12-08 40.40% FC Wien 1836 1 @ Austria Wien 1801 0
14 1944-09-17 41.01% Austria Wien 1784 5 @ SC Rapid Oberlaa 1746 1
15 1944-10-15 41.43% Rapid Wien 1867 3 @ Austria Wien 1826 1
16 1944-10-08 41.55% Admira Wien 1780 3 @ Wiener AC 1738 2
17 1944-10-15 41.57% Floridsdorfer 1832 2 @ Admira Wien 1789 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1944-10-08 53.93 Rapid Wien 5 1813 29.04% @ First Vienna 0 1865 58.94% 12.02%
2 1944-09-24 45.13 Austria Wien 5 1814 39.20% @ Wiener AC 0 1788 48.75% 12.05%
3 1944-10-29 42.89 Floridsdorfer 6 1841 50.02% @ Wiener AC 0 1739 37.94% 12.04%
4 1944-10-29 33.42 @ First Vienna 11 1830 67.00% SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1704 21.06% 11.94%
5 1944-12-03 32.05 Wacker Wien 8 1811 45.97% @ Wiener Sport-Club 2 1737 41.98% 12.05%
6 1944-09-17 29.49 Austria Wien 5 1784 41.01% @ SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1746 46.94% 12.05%
7 1944-09-16 27.94 FC Wien 3 1797 39.38% @ Admira Wien 0 1770 48.57% 12.05%
8 1944-10-01 25.31 Admira Wien 2 1755 23.26% @ Austria Wien 0 1859 64.77% 11.97%
9 1944-11-26 25.22 Wacker Wien 4 1786 35.64% @ Admira Wien 1 1786 52.31% 12.05%
10 1944-11-12 23.80 Rapid Wien 7 1881 63.52% @ SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1671 24.54% 11.94%
11 1944-11-26 19.68 @ FC Wien 8 1816 70.94% SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1647 17.18% 11.88%
12 1944-09-24 19.28 @ Rapid Wien 3 1805 55.90% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1777 32.07% 12.03%
13 1945-03-11 18.96 @ First Vienna 6 1886 65.03% Austria Wien 1 1780 23.00% 11.97%
14 1944-10-15 18.37 First Vienna 3 1811 33.96% @ FC Wien 1 1824 54.00% 12.04%
15 1944-10-01 17.21 @ FC Wien 3 1816 59.68% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1758 28.30% 12.01%
16 1944-10-15 16.02 Rapid Wien 3 1867 41.43% @ Austria Wien 1 1826 46.52% 12.05%
17 1944-12-10 15.88 @ First Vienna 5 1863 51.30% Floridsdorfer 2 1870 36.65% 12.05%
18 1944-09-17 13.96 @ Rapid Wien 3 1791 48.14% Floridsdorfer 1 1821 39.81% 12.05%
19 1944-09-24 13.37 @ Admira Wien 2 1742 55.64% SC Rapid Oberlaa 0 1716 32.32% 12.04%
20 1944-11-26 11.89 @ Wiener Sport-Club 1 1725 30.79% Floridsdorfer 0 1882 57.22% 12.00%
21 1945-02-25 11.66 Wiener Sport-Club 3 1705 25.14% @ Austria Wien 2 1791 62.87% 11.99%
22 1944-10-01 11.10 Wacker Wien 3 1765 28.19% @ Rapid Wien 2 1824 59.80% 12.01%
23 1944-12-10 10.58 @ Wiener AC 3 1677 58.72% SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1627 29.26% 12.02%
24 1944-11-26 10.10 @ Rapid Wien 9 1905 74.65% Wiener AC 3 1688 13.56% 11.79%
25 1944-12-08 10.01 FC Wien 1 1836 40.40% @ Austria Wien 0 1801 47.54% 12.05%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1944-09-17 77.7 @ First Vienna 2 1872 63.91% Wiener Sport-Club 2 1776 24.11% 11.98%
2 1944-11-12 77.7 @ Floridsdorfer 2 1884 64.36% Wacker Wien 2 1784 23.66% 11.98%
3 1944-12-08 77.7 @ Admira Wien 2 1761 31.05% Rapid Wien 2 1915 56.95% 12.00%
4 1944-09-17 77.5 @ Wiener AC 2 1789 56.76% Wacker Wien 2 1754 31.21% 12.03%
5 1944-10-15 75.6 Wiener AC 5 1729 34.10% @ Wiener Sport-Club 4 1741 53.86% 12.04%
6 1944-10-29 74.4 @ Rapid Wien 1 1883 61.87% FC Wien 1 1806 26.13% 12.00%
7 1945-02-25 72.4 Wiener Sport-Club 3 1705 25.14% @ Austria Wien 2 1791 62.87% 11.99%
8 1944-10-01 71.7 Wacker Wien 3 1765 28.19% @ Rapid Wien 2 1824 59.80% 12.01%
9 1944-09-24 69.4 @ Wacker Wien 3 1755 36.25% First Vienna 2 1870 51.72% 12.03%
10 1944-10-08 67.6 Admira Wien 3 1780 41.55% @ Wiener AC 2 1738 46.39% 12.05%
11 1944-10-15 65.0 First Vienna 3 1811 33.96% @ FC Wien 1 1824 54.00% 12.04%
12 1944-10-01 64.9 Admira Wien 2 1755 23.26% @ Austria Wien 0 1859 64.77% 11.97%
13 1944-10-15 64.5 @ SC Rapid Oberlaa 2 1694 39.51% Wacker Wien 1 1785 48.45% 12.04%
14 1944-11-26 64.5 @ Wiener Sport-Club 1 1725 30.79% Floridsdorfer 0 1882 57.22% 12.00%
15 1944-10-15 64.2 Floridsdorfer 2 1832 41.57% @ Admira Wien 1 1789 46.38% 12.05%
16 1944-11-26 62.9 Wacker Wien 4 1786 35.64% @ Admira Wien 1 1786 52.31% 12.05%
17 1944-10-15 62.8 Rapid Wien 3 1867 41.43% @ Austria Wien 1 1826 46.52% 12.05%
18 1944-10-29 62.4 @ Admira Wien 3 1780 58.52% Wiener Sport-Club 2 1731 29.46% 12.02%
19 1944-10-29 62.3 @ Wacker Wien 2 1776 47.65% Austria Wien 1 1810 40.30% 12.05%
20 1945-02-25 62.0 @ First Vienna 5 1879 66.19% Admira Wien 3 1761 21.85% 11.96%
21 1944-12-08 61.7 FC Wien 1 1836 40.40% @ Austria Wien 0 1801 47.54% 12.05%
22 1944-12-10 61.7 @ First Vienna 5 1863 51.30% Floridsdorfer 2 1870 36.65% 12.05%
23 1944-09-17 60.7 @ Rapid Wien 3 1791 48.14% Floridsdorfer 1 1821 39.81% 12.05%
24 1944-10-08 60.5 @ Wacker Wien 1 1776 44.25% FC Wien 0 1834 43.69% 12.05%
25 1944-09-17 59.7 Austria Wien 5 1784 41.01% @ SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1746 46.94% 12.05%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1944-11-26 48.1 @ FC Wien 8 1816 70.94% SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1647 17.18% 11.88%
2 1944-10-29 49.2 @ First Vienna 11 1830 67.00% SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1704 21.06% 11.94%
3 1944-11-12 51.1 Rapid Wien 7 1881 63.52% @ SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1671 24.54% 11.94%
4 1944-11-26 51.1 @ Rapid Wien 9 1905 74.65% Wiener AC 3 1688 13.56% 11.79%
5 1945-03-11 51.6 @ First Vienna 6 1886 65.03% Austria Wien 1 1780 23.00% 11.97%
6 1944-10-01 52.1 @ FC Wien 3 1816 59.68% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1758 28.30% 12.01%
7 1944-10-29 52.2 Floridsdorfer 6 1841 50.02% @ Wiener AC 0 1739 37.94% 12.04%
8 1944-09-24 53.3 @ Rapid Wien 3 1805 55.90% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1777 32.07% 12.03%
9 1944-10-01 53.9 @ First Vienna 1 1860 66.19% Wiener AC 0 1743 21.85% 11.96%
10 1944-09-24 54.8 @ Admira Wien 2 1742 55.64% SC Rapid Oberlaa 0 1716 32.32% 12.04%
11 1944-09-30 55.3 @ Floridsdorfer 3 1816 65.71% SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1703 22.33% 11.96%
12 1944-11-12 55.3 @ FC Wien 3 1808 65.62% Wiener AC 1 1696 22.42% 11.96%
13 1944-09-24 55.9 Austria Wien 5 1814 39.20% @ Wiener AC 0 1788 48.75% 12.05%
14 1944-12-10 55.9 @ Wiener AC 3 1677 58.72% SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1627 29.26% 12.02%
15 1944-09-16 58.2 FC Wien 3 1797 39.38% @ Admira Wien 0 1770 48.57% 12.05%
16 1944-12-03 58.4 Wacker Wien 8 1811 45.97% @ Wiener Sport-Club 2 1737 41.98% 12.05%
17 1944-10-08 58.6 @ Floridsdorfer 1 1824 50.96% Austria Wien 0 1834 36.99% 12.05%
18 1944-09-24 58.8 @ Floridsdorfer 1 1807 49.92% FC Wien 0 1825 38.03% 12.05%
19 1944-10-08 59.0 Rapid Wien 5 1813 29.04% @ First Vienna 0 1865 58.94% 12.02%
20 1944-09-17 59.7 Austria Wien 5 1784 41.01% @ SC Rapid Oberlaa 1 1746 46.94% 12.05%
21 1944-10-08 60.5 @ Wacker Wien 1 1776 44.25% FC Wien 0 1834 43.69% 12.05%
22 1944-09-17 60.7 @ Rapid Wien 3 1791 48.14% Floridsdorfer 1 1821 39.81% 12.05%
23 1944-12-08 61.7 FC Wien 1 1836 40.40% @ Austria Wien 0 1801 47.54% 12.05%
24 1944-12-10 61.7 @ First Vienna 5 1863 51.30% Floridsdorfer 2 1870 36.65% 12.05%
25 1945-02-25 62.0 @ First Vienna 5 1879 66.19% Admira Wien 3 1761 21.85% 11.96%