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1928-29 Austrian Football Championship Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Rapid Wien

33 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Wiener AC

5.96 points above expected

30 points · 24.04 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Slovan Wien

7.25 points below expected

10 points · 17.25 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rapid Wien 22 15 3 4 33 57 31 +26 28.15 +4.85
2 Admira Wien 22 13 4 5 30 63 30 +33 29.33 +0.67
3 Wiener AC 22 11 8 3 30 49 28 +21 24.04 +5.96
4 Floridsdorfer 22 10 5 7 25 51 42 +9 23.39 +1.61
5 Wiener Sport-Club 22 11 3 8 25 50 43 +7 21.24 +3.76
6 FC Nicholson 22 11 1 10 23 47 45 +2 19.33 +3.67
7 First Vienna 22 8 6 8 22 43 35 +8 25.62 -3.62
8 Austria Wien 22 8 4 10 20 40 42 -2 21.26 -1.26
9 Hertha Wien 22 8 3 11 19 28 53 -25 17.75 +1.25
10 Wacker Wien 22 7 4 11 18 36 41 -5 22.26 -4.26
11 Slovan Wien 22 3 4 15 10 37 71 -34 17.25 -7.25
12 Brigittenauer AC 22 4 1 17 9 26 66 -40 14.40 -5.40

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Wiener AC 30 24.04 +5.96
2 Rapid Wien 33 28.15 +4.85
3 Wiener Sport-Club 25 21.24 +3.76
4 FC Nicholson 23 19.33 +3.67
5 Floridsdorfer 25 23.39 +1.61

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Slovan Wien 10 17.25 -7.25
2 Brigittenauer AC 9 14.40 -5.40
3 Wacker Wien 18 22.26 -4.26
4 First Vienna 22 25.62 -3.62
5 Austria Wien 20 21.26 -1.26

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wiener Sport-Club 6 Nov 4 – Dec 16 1 in 1,189
2 Rapid Wien 7 Mar 10 – May 23 1 in 93
3 Austria Wien 4 Sep 2 – Oct 14 1 in 52
4 Wiener AC 5 Sep 16 – Nov 4 1 in 28
5 Brigittenauer AC 2 Apr 27 – May 26 1 in 26

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Slovan Wien 8 Nov 1 – Apr 6 1 in 236
2 Brigittenauer AC 6 Aug 25 – Oct 27 1 in 57
3 First Vienna 4 Sep 29 – Nov 18 1 in 55
4 Admira Wien 2 Nov 25 – Dec 2 1 in 24
5 Wiener Sport-Club 3 Mar 10 – Apr 1 1 in 23

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wiener Sport-Club 7 Nov 4 – Mar 3 1 in 152
2 Wiener AC 9 May 2 – Jun 18 1 in 45
3 Floridsdorfer 7 Jan 6 – Apr 28 1 in 35
4 Rapid Wien 9 Jan 13 – May 23 1 in 17
5 Wacker Wien 5 Nov 4 – Feb 24 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Wiener AC 8 Nov 15 – May 26 1 in 99
2 First Vienna 6 Sep 16 – Nov 25 1 in 71
3 Slovan Wien 11 Oct 14 – Apr 13 1 in 69
4 Austria Wien 7 Oct 21 – Mar 10 1 in 30
5 Brigittenauer AC 9 Aug 25 – Nov 25 1 in 18

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. Colored teams are the season’s headline finishers — champion, promoted, and relegated; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Rapid Wien 1569 33 +12 7 6.6 +0.4
Wiener AC 1498 30 +61 9 5.6 +3.4
Admira Wien 1572 30 +32 7 6.9 +0.1
Wiener Sport-Club 1419 25 +0 6 5.8 +0.2
Floridsdorfer 1447 25 -37 3 5.5 -2.5
FC Nicholson 1381 23 +5 5 4.7 +0.3
First Vienna 1459 22 +17 6 5.4 +0.6
Austria Wien 1361 20 -31 2 3.9 -1.9
Hertha Wien 1255 19 -27 2 3.2 -1.2
Wacker Wien 1399 18 -14 3 4.2 -1.2
Slovan Wien 1248 10 -19 2 3.1 -1.1
Brigittenauer AC 1193 9 -45 2 2.7 -0.7

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AW AW BA FN FV FLO HW RW SW WW WA WS
Admira Wien —
2-0-0
3.76
2-0-0
4.72
2-0-0
4.09
0-1-1
3.33
0-1-1
3.64
1-0-1
4.33
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
4.07
2-0-0
3.55
0-2-0
3.55
1-0-1
4.02
Austria Wien
0-0-2
1.88
 —
2-0-0
3.49
1-0-1
2.99
2-0-0
2.15
0-2-0
2.63
0-1-1
3.22
0-1-1
1.88
2-0-0
3.66
1-0-1
2.57
0-0-2
2.53
0-0-2
2.82
Brigittenauer AC
0-0-2
0.94
0-0-2
2.15
 —
0-0-2
2.17
0-0-2
1.36
1-0-1
1.63
0-0-2
2.53
1-0-1
1.11
0-0-2
2.58
1-1-0
1.80
0-0-2
1.60
1-0-1
1.92
FC Nicholson
0-0-2
1.56
1-0-1
2.64
2-0-0
3.46
 —
0-1-1
2.21
2-0-0
2.19
0-0-2
2.99
1-0-1
1.67
2-0-0
3.09
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
2.29
2-0-0
2.54
First Vienna
1-1-0
2.30
0-0-2
3.48
2-0-0
4.28
1-1-0
3.43
 —
2-0-0
2.84
0-1-1
3.96
0-0-2
2.54
1-1-0
3.66
1-1-0
3.26
0-0-2
2.97
0-1-1
3.56
Floridsdorfer
1-1-0
2.00
0-2-0
3.00
1-0-1
4.01
0-0-2
3.45
0-0-2
2.80
 —
2-0-0
3.46
0-0-2
2.19
2-0-0
3.36
1-1-0
2.77
1-1-0
2.86
2-0-0
2.98
Hertha Wien
1-0-1
1.31
1-1-0
2.41
2-0-0
3.11
2-0-0
2.64
1-1-0
1.68
0-0-2
2.18
 —
0-0-2
1.28
1-1-0
2.76
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
2.04
0-0-2
2.52
Rapid Wien
1-0-1
2.61
1-1-0
3.76
1-0-1
4.54
1-0-1
3.97
2-0-0
3.10
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
4.37
 —
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.68
0-2-0
3.26
1-0-1
3.56
Slovan Wien
0-0-2
1.57
0-0-2
1.98
2-0-0
3.05
0-0-2
2.54
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-2
2.28
0-1-1
2.87
0-0-2
1.57
 —
1-0-1
2.18
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.08
Wacker Wien
0-0-2
2.08
1-0-1
3.06
0-1-1
3.84
1-0-1
3.24
0-1-1
2.37
0-1-1
2.86
2-0-0
3.17
0-0-2
1.96
1-0-1
3.45
 —
1-1-0
2.43
1-0-1
3.06
Wiener AC
0-2-0
2.08
2-0-0
3.10
2-0-0
4.04
2-0-0
3.34
2-0-0
2.66
0-1-1
2.77
2-0-0
3.60
0-2-0
2.37
1-1-0
3.63
0-1-1
3.20
 —
0-1-1
3.16
Wiener Sport-Club
1-0-1
1.62
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
3.71
0-0-2
3.10
1-1-0
2.07
0-0-2
2.65
2-0-0
3.11
1-0-1
2.08
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.48
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.74 +5.8
Allowed 0.83 -5.0
Differential 0.91 +3.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.03%4.92%3.03%1.89%0.76%1.52%15.15%
14.92%6.06%7.20%6.82%1.52%3.41%29.92%
23.03%7.20%6.06%4.17%2.27%1.52%24.24%
31.89%6.82%4.17%1.52%0.38%1.14%15.91%
40.76%1.52%2.27%0.38%0.76%0.76%6.44%
5+1.52%3.41%1.52%1.14%0.76%—8.33%
Total15.15%29.92%24.24%15.91%6.44%8.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 2.00 +0.00
SD 1.59 1.59 2.35
CV 0.80 0.80 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.64%9.09%—4.55%——27.27%
1———9.09%——9.09%
2—13.64%————13.64%
34.55%—9.09%———13.64%
4—4.55%——4.55%—9.09%
5+—22.73%4.55%———27.27%
Total18.18%50.00%13.64%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.86 1.36 +1.50
SD 2.55 1.09 2.74
CV 0.89 0.80 —
Max 7 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—9.09%—4.55%——13.64%
1—4.55%9.09%13.64%4.55%—31.82%
24.55%4.55%13.64%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%9.09%9.09%———22.73%
4———————
5+———4.55%——4.55%
Total9.09%27.27%31.82%27.27%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.82 1.91 -0.09
SD 1.37 1.06 1.80
CV 0.75 0.56 —
Max 6 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
19.09%4.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%9.09%45.45%
2—9.09%—4.55%4.55%4.55%22.73%
3————4.55%4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+———————
Total9.09%18.18%13.64%18.18%18.18%22.73%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 3.00 -1.82
SD 0.91 1.93 2.06
CV 0.77 0.64 —
Max 3 7 +1
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
1——22.73%4.55%4.55%—31.82%
2—9.09%4.55%9.09%——22.73%
3—18.18%9.09%———27.27%
4——9.09%4.55%——13.64%
5+———————
Total—27.27%45.45%22.73%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.14 2.05 +0.09
SD 1.17 0.84 1.66
CV 0.55 0.41 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%—22.73%
1—13.64%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
29.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%——22.73%
34.55%4.55%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%———9.09%13.64%
5+4.55%—————4.55%
Total27.27%31.82%18.18%9.09%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.95 1.59 +0.36
SD 1.76 1.56 2.26
CV 0.90 0.98 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
14.55%—4.55%4.55%—4.55%18.18%
24.55%4.55%18.18%—4.55%—31.82%
3—9.09%————9.09%
4—4.55%9.09%—4.55%—18.18%
5+4.55%——4.55%——9.09%
Total13.64%22.73%40.91%9.09%9.09%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.32 1.91 +0.41
SD 1.64 1.31 2.13
CV 0.71 0.68 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.55%4.55%9.09%——13.64%31.82%
113.64%9.09%4.55%4.55%—4.55%36.36%
2—13.64%——9.09%—22.73%
3———————
4———————
5+———4.55%4.55%—9.09%
Total18.18%27.27%13.64%9.09%13.64%18.18%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.41 -1.14
SD 1.42 2.09 2.46
CV 1.12 0.87 —
Max 5 7 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.55%————4.55%
19.09%—4.55%———13.64%
24.55%9.09%9.09%9.09%——31.82%
34.55%18.18%4.55%4.55%——31.82%
4——4.55%———4.55%
5+—4.55%9.09%———13.64%
Total18.18%36.36%31.82%13.64%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.59 1.41 +1.18
SD 1.33 0.96 1.47
CV 0.51 0.68 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———4.55%——4.55%
1—9.09%18.18%4.55%—13.64%45.45%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%4.55%13.64%31.82%
3—4.55%—4.55%—4.55%13.64%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+———————
Total9.09%13.64%22.73%18.18%4.55%31.82%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 3.23 -1.55
SD 0.95 2.18 2.48
CV 0.56 0.68 —
Max 4 7 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.64%4.55%———18.18%
19.09%13.64%4.55%9.09%—4.55%40.91%
2—9.09%4.55%4.55%4.55%—22.73%
3——4.55%——4.55%9.09%
4———————
5+4.55%4.55%————9.09%
Total13.64%40.91%18.18%13.64%4.55%9.09%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.86 -0.23
SD 1.53 1.58 2.18
CV 0.93 0.85 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.09%4.55%————13.64%
14.55%9.09%——4.55%—18.18%
24.55%9.09%9.09%4.55%——27.27%
34.55%9.09%4.55%9.09%——27.27%
44.55%—————4.55%
5+—9.09%————9.09%
Total27.27%40.91%13.64%13.64%4.55%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.27 +0.95
SD 1.54 1.16 1.86
CV 0.69 0.91 —
Max 6 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——4.55%———4.55%
19.09%9.09%4.55%18.18%—4.55%45.45%
24.55%—4.55%4.55%——13.64%
3—9.09%4.55%———13.64%
4—4.55%4.55%———9.09%
5+4.55%—4.55%—4.55%—13.64%
Total18.18%22.73%27.27%22.73%4.55%4.55%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.27 1.95 +0.32
SD 1.75 1.62 2.55
CV 0.77 0.83 —
Max 6 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 22

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Admira Wien 1572 30 29.33 +0.67 60.1% 17 23 27 29 32 36 39
Rapid Wien 1569 33 28.15 +4.85 92.2% 16 22 26 28 31 34 39
Wiener AC 1498 30 24.04 +5.96 94.4% 12 18 21 24 27 31 36
First Vienna 1459 22 25.62 -3.62 21.9% 12 19 23 26 28 32 36
Floridsdorfer 1447 25 23.39 +1.61 70.2% 10 17 21 23 26 30 37
Wiener Sport-Club 1419 25 21.24 +3.76 85.2% 7 15 18 21 24 28 33
Wacker Wien 1399 18 22.26 -4.26 17.9% 10 16 20 22 25 29 38
FC Nicholson 1381 23 19.33 +3.67 84.2% 8 13 17 19 22 26 35
Austria Wien 1361 20 21.26 -1.26 43.0% 5 15 19 21 24 28 35
Hertha Wien 1255 19 17.75 +1.25 66.6% 5 11 15 18 20 24 30
Slovan Wien 1248 10 17.25 -7.25 4.3% 6 11 15 17 20 24 32
Brigittenauer AC 1193 9 14.40 -5.40 8.5% 5 9 12 14 17 20 28

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.91%
Clear Edge
49.24%17.42%33.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
129 Elo
0.008 goals per Elo point
055.75400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.13 goals
Neutral
-2+0.43+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
3.1
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
29%
Rapid Wien, 2nd of 12
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.14/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.16 * Some Luck: 3.16 to 4.74 * Lucky: 4.74 to 6.32 * Wild Swing: 6.32 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.51 * Close: 1.51 to 2.27 * Off: 2.27 to 3.02 * Way Off: 3.02 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.14 points
Some Luck
03.9510
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.67
Close
01.894
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.83%
94.40%
Wiener AC
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 4.17%
4.30%
Slovan Wien
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 12
Minimal Outliers
01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.59
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
68%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
90%
Strong Edge
50%92%100%
Close Games
Expected
52%
Very Frequent
0%48%100%
Blowouts
Expected
23%
Very Frequent
0%29%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.572
Matchup Imbalance
0.35
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.13
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.51
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
30%
As Expected
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
24%
As Expected
0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.14 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.14 to 0.21 * Above Noise: 0.21 to 0.29 * Well Above Noise: 0.29 and up.
Probability calibration
0.57
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.96
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.079
Well Within Noise
00.1430.4

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112
Rapid Wien28.90%26.90%16.40%11.70%8.20%3.60%2.00%1.50%0.50%0.20%0.10%—
Admira Wien47.10%22.70%12.60%6.50%4.80%3.50%1.70%0.60%0.40%0.10%——
Wiener AC4.80%11.90%15.30%14.60%14.00%12.90%9.10%8.20%4.80%2.40%1.70%0.30%
Floridsdorfer2.40%9.20%13.10%13.30%15.10%12.50%11.90%8.90%6.90%4.00%1.50%1.20%
Wiener Sport-Club1.70%3.70%5.90%9.80%11.20%12.30%13.10%12.10%11.10%10.00%6.40%2.70%
FC Nicholson0.50%0.60%3.20%5.00%6.30%10.20%10.70%15.00%15.00%14.80%12.50%6.20%
First Vienna10.10%15.50%18.30%15.90%12.40%10.60%6.50%4.30%3.10%2.00%0.80%0.50%
Austria Wien1.30%3.80%6.40%9.00%10.00%10.40%13.30%12.90%12.20%9.80%8.00%2.90%
Hertha Wien0.20%0.50%0.70%2.10%4.20%6.10%7.40%11.40%15.10%17.00%20.30%15.00%
Wacker Wien2.90%4.60%7.30%10.40%10.70%12.90%13.80%12.10%11.50%8.40%3.70%1.70%
Slovan Wien0.10%0.50%0.80%1.10%2.60%3.70%7.80%9.00%12.50%20.40%24.30%17.20%
Brigittenauer AC—0.10%—0.60%0.50%1.30%2.70%4.00%6.90%10.90%20.70%52.30%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Admira Wien 100% —
Rapid Wien 99.90% 0.10%
First Vienna 98.70% 1.30%
Wiener AC 98.00% 2.00%
Floridsdorfer 97.30% 2.70%
Wacker Wien 94.60% 5.40%
Wiener Sport-Club 90.90% 9.10%
Austria Wien 89.10% 10.90%
FC Nicholson 81.30% 18.70%
Hertha Wien 64.70% 35.30%
Slovan Wien 58.50% 41.50%
Brigittenauer AC 27.00% 73.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
1928-08-25 Brigittenauer AC W 2-034.5 1344 1319 55.22% 18.37% 26.41%+0.63 +11.0 2
1928-08-25 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 0-234.5 1319 1344 26.41% 18.37% 55.22%-0.63 -11.0 0
1928-08-26 First Vienna D 0-058.6 1497 1462 56.27% 18.35% 25.38%+0.70 -1.6 1
1928-08-26 @ Admira Wien D 0-058.6 1462 1497 25.38% 18.35% 56.27%-0.70 +1.6 1
1928-08-26 Wiener AC L 0-146.1 1373 1391 49.73% 18.46% 31.82%+0.29 -9.9 0
1928-08-26 @ Austria Wien W 1-046.1 1391 1373 31.82% 18.46% 49.73%-0.29 +9.9 2
1928-08-26 Wacker Wien W 6-348.4 1402 1445 46.39% 18.48% 35.13%+0.09 +13.7 2
1928-08-26 @ Floridsdorfer L 3-648.4 1445 1402 35.13% 18.48% 46.39%-0.09 -13.7 0
1928-08-26 FC Nicholson W 2-141.9 1364 1338 55.16% 18.37% 26.47%+0.63 +5.5 2
1928-08-26 @ Hertha Wien L 1-241.9 1338 1364 26.47% 18.37% 55.16%-0.63 -5.5 0
1928-09-02 Austria Wien L 2-351.6 1308 1363 44.77% 18.48% 36.75%+0.00 -8.1 0
1928-09-02 @ Brigittenauer AC W 3-251.6 1363 1308 36.75% 18.48% 44.77%+0.00 +8.1 2
1928-09-02 Wiener Sport-Club W 3-140.9 1333 1355 49.18% 18.46% 32.36%+0.26 +11.3 2
1928-09-02 @ FC Nicholson L 1-340.9 1355 1333 32.36% 18.46% 49.18%-0.26 -11.3 2
1928-09-02 Floridsdorfer W 2-038.0 1464 1415 57.81% 18.31% 23.89%+0.81 +10.1 3
1928-09-02 @ First Vienna L 0-238.0 1415 1464 23.89% 18.31% 57.81%-0.81 -10.1 2
1928-09-02 Slovan Wien L 0-246.4 1431 1380 58.09% 18.30% 23.61%+0.83 -21.7 0
1928-09-02 @ Wacker Wien W 2-046.4 1380 1431 23.61% 18.30% 58.09%-0.83 +21.7 2
1928-09-02 Admira Wien D 0-056.4 1401 1496 39.18% 18.45% 42.37%-0.30 +0.2 3
1928-09-02 @ Wiener AC D 0-056.4 1496 1401 42.37% 18.45% 39.18%+0.30 -0.2 2
1928-09-08 Wacker Wien L 0-145.5 1369 1410 46.79% 18.47% 34.74%+0.12 -9.4 2
1928-09-08 @ Hertha Wien W 1-045.5 1410 1369 34.74% 18.47% 46.79%-0.12 +9.4 2
1928-09-08 First Vienna L 0-340.9 1402 1474 42.38% 18.47% 39.14%-0.13 -23.7 2
1928-09-08 @ Slovan Wien W 3-040.9 1474 1402 39.14% 18.47% 42.38%+0.13 +23.7 5
1928-09-09 FC Nicholson W 3-032.5 1371 1344 55.32% 18.37% 26.31%+0.64 +15.9 4
1928-09-09 @ Austria Wien L 0-332.5 1344 1371 26.31% 18.37% 55.32%-0.64 -15.9 2
1928-09-09 Wiener AC D 2-261.2 1405 1401 52.59% 18.42% 28.99%+0.46 -0.8 3
1928-09-09 @ Floridsdorfer D 2-261.2 1401 1405 28.99% 18.42% 52.59%-0.46 +0.8 4
1928-09-16 Hertha Wien D 0-055.3 1498 1360 66.39% 17.89% 15.72%+1.50 -2.7 6
1928-09-16 @ First Vienna D 0-055.3 1360 1498 15.72% 17.89% 66.39%-1.50 +2.7 3
1928-09-16 Wiener Sport-Club W 3-245.8 1419 1344 60.61% 18.21% 21.18%+1.01 +4.3 4
1928-09-16 @ Wacker Wien L 2-345.8 1344 1419 21.18% 18.21% 60.61%-1.01 -4.3 2
1928-09-16 Slovan Wien W 6-136.0 1402 1378 54.99% 18.38% 26.64%+0.62 +21.4 6
1928-09-16 @ Wiener AC L 1-636.0 1378 1402 26.64% 18.38% 54.99%-0.62 -21.4 2
1928-09-29 First Vienna W 5-462.2 1340 1495 31.04% 18.32% 50.64%-0.77 +8.7 4
1928-09-29 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 4-562.2 1495 1340 50.64% 18.32% 31.04%+0.77 -8.7 6
1928-09-30 Rapid Wien W 3-254.2 1496 1484 53.56% 18.41% 28.03%+0.52 +5.5 4
1928-09-30 @ Admira Wien L 2-354.2 1484 1496 28.03% 18.41% 53.56%-0.52 -5.5 0
1928-09-30 Wacker Wien W 3-143.6 1387 1424 47.31% 18.47% 34.22%+0.15 +11.9 6
1928-09-30 @ Austria Wien L 1-343.6 1424 1387 34.22% 18.47% 47.31%-0.15 -11.8 4
1928-09-30 FC Nicholson L 1-350.0 1405 1328 60.73% 18.20% 21.06%+1.02 -19.6 3
1928-09-30 @ Floridsdorfer W 3-150.0 1328 1405 21.06% 18.20% 60.73%-1.02 +19.6 4
1928-09-30 Wiener AC L 0-241.7 1363 1424 43.98% 18.48% 37.54%-0.04 -16.8 3
1928-09-30 @ Hertha Wien W 2-041.7 1424 1363 37.54% 18.48% 43.98%+0.04 +16.8 8
1928-09-30 Brigittenauer AC W 4-029.5 1357 1299 58.75% 18.28% 22.98%+0.88 +18.5 4
1928-09-30 @ Slovan Wien L 0-429.5 1299 1357 22.98% 18.28% 58.75%-0.88 -18.5 0
1928-10-13 Hertha Wien L 0-142.5 1281 1346 43.45% 18.48% 38.07%-0.07 -8.8 0
1928-10-13 @ Brigittenauer AC W 1-042.5 1346 1281 38.07% 18.48% 43.45%+0.07 +8.8 5
1928-10-14 Slovan Wien W 2-144.1 1348 1375 48.55% 18.47% 32.98%+0.22 +6.6 6
1928-10-14 @ FC Nicholson L 1-244.1 1375 1348 32.98% 18.47% 48.55%-0.22 -6.6 4
1928-10-14 Austria Wien L 0-249.5 1486 1399 61.87% 18.15% 19.97%+1.11 -23.0 6
1928-10-14 @ First Vienna W 2-049.5 1399 1486 19.97% 18.15% 61.87%-1.11 +23.0 8
1928-10-14 Floridsdorfer W 5-136.6 1478 1385 62.40% 18.13% 19.47%+1.15 +13.3 2
1928-10-14 @ Rapid Wien L 1-536.6 1385 1478 19.47% 18.13% 62.40%-1.15 -13.3 3
1928-10-14 Admira Wien L 1-544.4 1412 1501 39.92% 18.46% 41.62%-0.26 -24.6 4
1928-10-14 @ Wacker Wien W 5-144.4 1501 1412 41.62% 18.46% 39.92%+0.26 +24.6 6
1928-10-20 Wiener Sport-Club W 2-035.3 1372 1348 54.90% 18.38% 26.72%+0.61 +11.1 5
1928-10-20 @ Floridsdorfer L 0-235.3 1348 1372 26.72% 18.38% 54.90%-0.61 -11.1 4
1928-10-21 Austria Wien W 2-145.5 1526 1422 63.42% 18.08% 18.50%+1.24 +4.0 8
1928-10-21 @ Admira Wien L 1-245.5 1422 1526 18.50% 18.08% 63.42%-1.24 -4.0 8
1928-10-21 Brigittenauer AC W 5-236.6 1491 1272 72.18% 17.33% 10.49%+2.13 +5.0 4
1928-10-21 @ Rapid Wien L 2-536.6 1272 1491 10.49% 17.33% 72.18%-2.13 -5.0 0
1928-10-21 Hertha Wien D 1-155.3 1369 1355 53.80% 18.40% 27.80%+0.54 -1.2 5
1928-10-21 @ Slovan Wien D 1-155.3 1355 1369 27.80% 18.40% 53.80%-0.54 +1.2 6
1928-10-21 FC Nicholson W 2-141.5 1440 1354 61.69% 18.16% 20.15%+1.10 +4.3 10
1928-10-21 @ Wiener AC L 1-241.5 1354 1440 20.15% 18.16% 61.69%-1.10 -4.3 6
1928-10-27 Wiener AC L 0-333.1 1267 1445 28.32% 18.24% 53.44%-0.94 -16.9 0
1928-10-27 @ Brigittenauer AC W 3-033.1 1445 1267 53.44% 18.24% 28.32%+0.94 +16.9 12
1928-11-01 Rapid Wien L 2-352.2 1367 1496 34.45% 18.39% 47.16%-0.57 -6.5 5
1928-11-01 @ Slovan Wien W 3-252.2 1496 1367 47.16% 18.39% 34.45%+0.57 +6.5 6
1928-11-01 Admira Wien L 1-441.3 1350 1530 28.06% 18.24% 53.70%-0.96 -14.1 6
1928-11-01 @ FC Nicholson W 4-141.3 1530 1350 53.70% 18.24% 28.06%+0.96 +14.1 10
1928-11-04 Wacker Wien D 1-154.3 1250 1387 33.43% 18.37% 48.20%-0.63 +0.7 1
1928-11-04 @ Brigittenauer AC D 1-154.3 1387 1250 48.20% 18.37% 33.43%+0.63 -0.7 5
1928-11-04 First Vienna W 2-148.2 1462 1463 51.85% 18.43% 29.72%+0.42 +6.1 14
1928-11-04 @ Wiener AC L 1-248.2 1463 1462 29.72% 18.43% 51.85%-0.42 -6.1 6
1928-11-04 Admira Wien W 3-152.3 1337 1544 25.00% 18.12% 56.88%-1.17 +18.3 6
1928-11-04 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 1-352.3 1544 1337 56.88% 18.12% 25.00%+1.17 -18.4 10
1928-11-15 Brigittenauer AC W 2-137.1 1526 1251 75.25% 16.85% 7.91%+2.56 +1.8 12
1928-11-15 @ Admira Wien L 1-237.1 1251 1526 7.91% 16.85% 75.25%-2.56 -1.8 1
1928-11-15 Wiener AC W 1-045.4 1386 1468 41.11% 18.47% 40.42%-0.20 +8.3 7
1928-11-15 @ Wacker Wien L 0-145.4 1468 1386 40.42% 18.47% 41.11%+0.20 -8.3 14
1928-11-15 Rapid Wien W 3-256.8 1336 1503 29.59% 18.28% 52.13%-0.86 +9.3 8
1928-11-15 @ FC Nicholson L 2-356.8 1503 1336 52.13% 18.28% 29.59%+0.86 -9.3 6
1928-11-18 Slovan Wien W 6-238.4 1527 1361 68.62% 17.71% 13.67%+1.72 +8.1 14
1928-11-18 @ Admira Wien L 2-638.4 1361 1527 13.67% 17.71% 68.62%-1.72 -8.1 5
1928-11-18 Austria Wien D 2-261.0 1383 1418 47.55% 18.47% 33.97%+0.16 -0.5 6
1928-11-18 @ Floridsdorfer D 2-261.0 1418 1383 33.97% 18.47% 47.55%-0.16 +0.5 9
1928-11-18 First Vienna W 3-145.2 1494 1457 56.43% 18.34% 25.23%+0.71 +9.1 8
1928-11-18 @ Rapid Wien L 1-345.2 1457 1494 25.23% 18.34% 56.43%-0.71 -9.1 6
1928-11-18 FC Nicholson W 2-141.6 1395 1345 57.90% 18.30% 23.80%+0.81 +5.0 9
1928-11-18 @ Wacker Wien L 1-241.6 1345 1395 23.80% 18.30% 57.90%-0.81 -5.0 8
1928-11-18 Hertha Wien W 4-244.7 1356 1356 52.08% 18.43% 29.49%+0.43 +9.3 8
1928-11-18 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 2-444.7 1356 1356 29.49% 18.43% 52.08%-0.43 -9.4 6
1928-11-25 Austria Wien D 2-264.6 1503 1418 61.57% 18.17% 20.26%+1.09 -1.4 9
1928-11-25 @ Rapid Wien D 2-264.6 1418 1503 20.26% 18.17% 61.57%-1.09 +1.4 10
1928-11-25 Wiener Sport-Club L 2-359.5 1459 1365 62.50% 18.13% 19.38%+1.16 -11.0 14
1928-11-25 @ Wiener AC W 3-259.5 1365 1459 19.38% 18.13% 62.50%-1.16 +11.0 10
1928-11-25 Hertha Wien L 0-154.9 1536 1346 70.23% 17.56% 12.21%+1.90 -13.9 14
1928-11-25 @ Admira Wien W 1-054.9 1346 1536 12.21% 17.56% 70.23%-1.90 +13.9 8
1928-11-25 Floridsdorfer L 1-248.9 1353 1382 48.25% 18.47% 33.28%+0.20 -9.1 5
1928-11-25 @ Slovan Wien W 2-148.9 1382 1353 33.28% 18.47% 48.25%-0.20 +9.1 8
1928-11-25 Brigittenauer AC W 4-240.5 1340 1249 62.19% 18.14% 19.67%+1.14 +6.6 10
1928-11-25 @ FC Nicholson L 2-440.5 1249 1340 19.67% 18.14% 62.19%-1.14 -6.6 1
1928-11-25 Wacker Wien D 1-157.9 1448 1400 57.78% 18.31% 23.91%+0.81 -1.6 7
1928-11-25 @ First Vienna D 1-157.9 1400 1448 23.91% 18.31% 57.78%-0.81 +1.6 10
1928-12-01 FC Nicholson W 2-141.1 1447 1347 63.03% 18.10% 18.87%+1.20 +4.1 9
1928-12-01 @ First Vienna L 1-241.1 1347 1447 18.87% 18.10% 63.03%-1.20 -4.1 10
1928-12-02 Rapid Wien W 1-048.0 1376 1501 34.96% 18.40% 46.64%-0.54 +9.4 12
1928-12-02 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 0-148.0 1501 1376 46.64% 18.40% 34.96%+0.54 -9.4 9
1928-12-02 Admira Wien W 1-049.3 1391 1522 34.31% 18.39% 47.30%-0.58 +9.5 10
1928-12-02 @ Floridsdorfer L 0-149.3 1522 1391 47.30% 18.39% 34.31%+0.58 -9.5 14
1928-12-09 Floridsdorfer W 1-044.8 1243 1401 30.65% 18.31% 51.03%-0.79 +10.2 3
1928-12-09 @ Brigittenauer AC L 0-144.8 1401 1243 51.03% 18.31% 30.65%+0.79 -10.2 10
1928-12-09 Wiener Sport-Club L 1-350.1 1420 1386 56.17% 18.35% 25.48%+0.70 -18.2 10
1928-12-09 @ Austria Wien W 3-150.1 1386 1420 25.48% 18.35% 56.17%-0.70 +18.2 14
1928-12-16 Wiener Sport-Club L 2-644.4 1344 1404 44.10% 18.48% 37.42%-0.03 -22.6 5
1928-12-16 @ Slovan Wien W 6-244.4 1404 1344 37.42% 18.48% 44.10%+0.03 +22.6 16
1928-12-23 Austria Wien W 1-041.6 1360 1401 46.70% 18.47% 34.82%+0.11 +7.4 10
1928-12-23 @ Hertha Wien L 0-141.6 1401 1360 34.82% 18.47% 46.70%-0.11 -7.4 10
1929-01-06 Floridsdorfer L 0-538.6 1368 1391 49.10% 18.46% 32.44%+0.25 -43.3 10
1929-01-06 @ Hertha Wien W 5-038.6 1391 1368 32.44% 18.46% 49.10%-0.25 +43.3 12
1929-01-13 Hertha Wien W 2-139.9 1492 1324 68.71% 17.71% 13.59%+1.73 +3.0 11
1929-01-13 @ Rapid Wien L 1-239.9 1324 1492 13.59% 17.71% 68.71%-1.73 -3.0 10
1929-02-03 Brigittenauer AC W 4-132.3 1451 1253 70.82% 17.49% 11.68%+1.96 +6.4 11
1929-02-03 @ First Vienna L 1-432.3 1253 1451 11.68% 17.49% 70.82%-1.96 -6.4 3
1929-02-24 Admira Wien L 1-737.0 1321 1512 26.72% 18.19% 55.09%-1.05 -25.4 5
1929-02-24 @ Slovan Wien W 7-137.0 1512 1321 55.09% 18.19% 26.72%+1.05 +25.4 16
1929-02-24 Floridsdorfer D 2-261.9 1401 1434 47.83% 18.47% 33.70%+0.18 -0.5 11
1929-02-24 @ Wacker Wien D 2-261.9 1434 1401 33.70% 18.47% 47.83%-0.18 +0.5 13
1929-03-02 Hertha Wien D 1-155.2 1394 1321 60.37% 18.22% 21.41%+1.00 -1.8 11
1929-03-02 @ Austria Wien D 1-155.2 1321 1394 21.41% 18.22% 60.37%-1.00 +1.8 11
1929-03-02 Brigittenauer AC L 0-149.7 1401 1246 67.71% 17.79% 14.50%+1.63 -13.4 11
1929-03-02 @ Wacker Wien W 1-049.7 1246 1401 14.50% 17.79% 67.71%-1.63 +13.4 5
1929-03-03 FC Nicholson W 3-245.7 1537 1343 70.61% 17.52% 11.87%+1.94 +2.5 18
1929-03-03 @ Admira Wien L 2-345.7 1343 1537 11.87% 17.52% 70.61%-1.94 -2.5 10
1929-03-03 Wiener Sport-Club D 1-158.9 1457 1426 55.79% 18.36% 25.85%+0.67 -1.4 12
1929-03-03 @ First Vienna D 1-158.9 1426 1457 25.85% 18.36% 55.79%-0.67 +1.4 17
1929-03-03 Slovan Wien W 4-240.7 1435 1296 66.47% 17.89% 15.64%+1.51 +5.3 15
1929-03-03 @ Floridsdorfer L 2-440.7 1296 1435 15.64% 17.89% 66.47%-1.51 -5.3 5
1929-03-03 Wiener AC D 3-369.7 1495 1448 57.60% 18.31% 24.09%+0.79 -1.0 12
1929-03-03 @ Rapid Wien D 3-369.7 1448 1495 24.09% 18.31% 57.60%-0.79 +1.0 15
1929-03-10 Admira Wien L 0-339.6 1392 1540 32.01% 18.34% 49.65%-0.71 -18.8 11
1929-03-10 @ Austria Wien W 3-039.6 1540 1392 49.65% 18.34% 32.01%+0.71 +18.8 20
1929-03-10 Wiener Sport-Club W 3-143.2 1494 1428 59.71% 18.24% 22.05%+0.95 +8.1 14
1929-03-10 @ Rapid Wien L 1-343.2 1428 1494 22.05% 18.24% 59.71%-0.95 -8.1 17
1929-03-10 First Vienna L 2-354.2 1387 1456 42.96% 18.48% 38.57%-0.10 -7.8 11
1929-03-10 @ Wacker Wien W 3-254.2 1456 1387 38.57% 18.48% 42.96%+0.10 +7.8 14
1929-03-17 Hertha Wien W 5-029.9 1380 1323 58.67% 18.28% 23.05%+0.87 +22.8 13
1929-03-17 @ Wacker Wien L 0-529.9 1323 1380 23.05% 18.28% 58.67%-0.87 -22.8 11
1929-03-17 Floridsdorfer L 1-349.5 1420 1440 49.47% 18.46% 32.07%+0.27 -16.2 17
1929-03-17 @ Wiener Sport-Club W 3-149.5 1440 1420 32.07% 18.46% 49.47%-0.27 +16.2 17
1929-03-23 Brigittenauer AC W 3-134.8 1456 1260 70.72% 17.50% 11.78%+1.95 +4.6 19
1929-03-23 @ Floridsdorfer L 1-334.8 1260 1456 11.78% 17.50% 70.72%-1.95 -4.6 5
1929-03-23 Wacker Wien L 1-637.6 1290 1402 36.74% 18.43% 44.83%-0.44 -28.1 5
1929-03-23 @ Slovan Wien W 6-137.6 1402 1290 44.83% 18.43% 36.74%+0.44 +28.1 15
1929-03-30 Wiener AC D 0-060.5 1559 1449 63.92% 18.05% 18.03%+1.28 -2.5 21
1929-03-30 @ Admira Wien D 0-060.5 1449 1559 18.03% 18.05% 63.92%-1.28 +2.4 16
1929-03-30 FC Nicholson L 3-453.4 1255 1340 40.56% 18.46% 40.97%-0.23 -7.3 5
1929-03-30 @ Brigittenauer AC W 4-353.4 1340 1255 40.97% 18.46% 40.56%+0.23 +7.3 12
1929-03-31 Rapid Wien L 0-151.1 1464 1502 47.05% 18.47% 34.48%+0.13 -9.5 14
1929-03-31 @ First Vienna W 1-051.1 1502 1464 34.48% 18.47% 47.05%-0.13 +9.5 16
1929-04-01 FC Nicholson L 1-349.7 1403 1347 58.60% 18.28% 23.12%+0.86 -18.9 17
1929-04-01 @ Wiener Sport-Club W 3-149.7 1347 1403 23.12% 18.28% 58.60%-0.86 +18.9 14
1929-04-06 Slovan Wien W 6-339.5 1373 1262 64.08% 18.04% 17.88%+1.29 +7.6 13
1929-04-06 @ Austria Wien L 3-639.5 1262 1373 17.88% 18.04% 64.08%-1.29 -7.6 5
1929-04-13 Wacker Wien W 3-144.5 1366 1431 43.53% 18.48% 38.00%-0.07 +12.9 16
1929-04-13 @ FC Nicholson L 1-344.5 1431 1366 38.00% 18.48% 43.53%+0.07 -12.9 15
1929-04-13 Slovan Wien D 1-155.3 1454 1255 70.93% 17.48% 11.59%+1.98 -2.9 15
1929-04-13 @ First Vienna D 1-155.3 1255 1454 11.59% 17.48% 70.93%-1.98 +2.9 6
1929-04-17 Wacker Wien W 1-041.4 1512 1418 62.47% 18.13% 19.40%+1.16 +4.4 18
1929-04-17 @ Rapid Wien L 0-141.4 1418 1512 19.40% 18.13% 62.47%-1.16 -4.4 15
1929-04-20 Hertha Wien L 1-251.9 1379 1300 61.00% 18.19% 20.80%+1.04 -11.4 16
1929-04-20 @ FC Nicholson W 2-151.9 1300 1379 20.80% 18.19% 61.00%-1.04 +11.4 13
1929-04-20 Slovan Wien L 1-345.2 1248 1257 50.87% 18.44% 30.69%+0.36 -16.6 5
1929-04-20 @ Brigittenauer AC W 3-145.2 1257 1248 30.69% 18.44% 50.87%-0.36 +16.6 8
1929-04-20 Floridsdorfer D 2-262.0 1381 1461 41.35% 18.47% 40.18%-0.18 -0.0 14
1929-04-20 @ Austria Wien D 2-262.0 1461 1381 40.18% 18.47% 41.35%+0.18 +0.0 20
1929-04-20 Wiener Sport-Club L 0-636.2 1312 1384 42.30% 18.47% 39.22%-0.13 -45.3 13
1929-04-20 @ Hertha Wien W 6-036.2 1384 1312 39.22% 18.47% 42.30%+0.13 +45.3 19
1929-04-24 Brigittenauer AC W 2-137.3 1381 1231 67.33% 17.82% 14.84%+1.59 +3.3 16
1929-04-24 @ Austria Wien L 1-237.3 1231 1381 14.84% 17.82% 67.33%-1.59 -3.3 5
1929-04-27 FC Nicholson L 1-245.1 1274 1368 39.30% 18.45% 42.25%-0.30 -7.7 8
1929-04-27 @ Slovan Wien W 2-145.1 1368 1274 42.25% 18.45% 39.30%+0.30 +7.7 18
1929-04-27 Wiener Sport-Club W 2-150.3 1228 1430 25.53% 18.14% 56.33%-1.13 +10.5 7
1929-04-27 @ Brigittenauer AC L 1-250.3 1430 1228 56.33% 18.14% 25.53%+1.13 -10.5 19
1929-04-28 Floridsdorfer L 1-449.2 1452 1461 50.94% 18.44% 30.61%+0.36 -23.5 16
1929-04-28 @ Wiener AC W 4-149.2 1461 1452 30.61% 18.44% 50.94%-0.36 +23.5 22
1929-04-28 Admira Wien W 3-045.6 1516 1556 46.83% 18.47% 34.69%+0.12 +20.1 20
1929-04-28 @ Rapid Wien L 0-345.6 1556 1516 34.69% 18.47% 46.83%-0.12 -20.1 21
1929-04-28 Austria Wien W 2-143.4 1413 1384 55.57% 18.36% 26.07%+0.66 +5.4 17
1929-04-28 @ Wacker Wien L 1-243.4 1384 1413 26.07% 18.36% 55.57%-0.66 -5.4 16
1929-04-30 FC Nicholson W 3-140.3 1536 1376 68.17% 17.75% 14.08%+1.67 +5.4 22
1929-04-30 @ Rapid Wien L 1-340.3 1376 1536 14.08% 17.75% 68.17%-1.67 -5.4 18
1929-05-02 Wiener AC D 1-157.9 1419 1428 50.95% 18.44% 30.61%+0.36 -0.9 20
1929-05-02 @ Wiener Sport-Club D 1-157.9 1428 1419 30.61% 18.44% 50.95%-0.36 +0.9 17
1929-05-04 Slovan Wien W 2-141.4 1266 1266 52.08% 18.43% 29.49%+0.43 +6.0 15
1929-05-04 @ Hertha Wien L 1-241.4 1266 1266 29.49% 18.43% 52.08%-0.43 -6.0 8
1929-05-09 Wacker Wien W 2-145.4 1536 1419 64.64% 18.01% 17.35%+1.34 +3.8 23
1929-05-09 @ Admira Wien L 1-245.4 1419 1536 17.35% 18.01% 64.64%-1.34 -3.8 17
1929-05-09 First Vienna W 5-460.8 1272 1451 28.17% 18.24% 53.59%-0.95 +9.1 17
1929-05-09 @ Hertha Wien L 4-560.8 1451 1272 53.59% 18.24% 28.17%+0.95 -9.1 15
1929-05-09 Austria Wien L 1-341.5 1260 1379 35.87% 18.42% 45.71%-0.49 -12.3 8
1929-05-09 @ Slovan Wien W 3-141.5 1379 1260 45.71% 18.42% 35.87%+0.49 +12.3 18
1929-05-12 First Vienna D 2-261.3 1370 1442 42.45% 18.47% 39.07%-0.12 -0.1 19
1929-05-12 @ FC Nicholson D 2-261.3 1442 1370 39.07% 18.47% 42.45%+0.12 +0.1 16
1929-05-15 First Vienna L 0-249.5 1484 1442 57.07% 18.33% 24.61%+0.76 -21.3 22
1929-05-15 @ Floridsdorfer W 2-049.5 1442 1484 24.61% 18.33% 57.07%-0.76 +21.3 18
1929-05-18 Admira Wien L 1-734.5 1282 1540 19.78% 17.84% 62.38%-1.57 -19.4 17
1929-05-18 @ Hertha Wien W 7-134.5 1540 1282 62.38% 17.84% 19.78%+1.57 +19.4 25
1929-05-19 Rapid Wien L 1-254.6 1463 1542 41.47% 18.47% 40.06%-0.18 -8.0 22
1929-05-19 @ Floridsdorfer W 2-154.6 1542 1463 40.06% 18.47% 41.47%+0.18 +8.0 24
1929-05-20 Wacker Wien D 1-157.8 1429 1415 53.84% 18.40% 27.76%+0.54 -1.2 18
1929-05-20 @ Wiener AC D 1-157.8 1415 1429 27.76% 18.40% 53.84%-0.54 +1.2 18
1929-05-23 Rapid Wien L 0-234.0 1262 1550 17.26% 17.65% 65.09%-1.79 -7.5 17
1929-05-23 @ Hertha Wien W 2-034.0 1550 1262 65.09% 17.65% 17.26%+1.79 +7.5 26
1929-05-26 Rapid Wien W 2-155.6 1239 1557 14.86% 17.42% 67.72%-2.03 +12.6 9
1929-05-26 @ Brigittenauer AC L 1-255.6 1557 1239 67.72% 17.42% 14.86%+2.03 -12.6 26
1929-05-26 Austria Wien W 3-249.1 1370 1391 49.38% 18.46% 32.16%+0.27 +6.2 21
1929-05-26 @ FC Nicholson L 2-349.1 1391 1370 32.16% 18.46% 49.38%-0.27 -6.2 18
1929-05-26 Admira Wien W 3-153.1 1463 1559 39.01% 18.45% 42.53%-0.31 +14.2 20
1929-05-26 @ First Vienna L 1-353.1 1559 1463 42.53% 18.45% 39.01%+0.31 -14.2 25
1929-05-26 Hertha Wien W 4-239.0 1455 1255 70.97% 17.48% 11.56%+1.98 +4.0 24
1929-05-26 @ Floridsdorfer L 2-439.0 1255 1455 11.56% 17.48% 70.97%-1.98 -4.0 17
1929-05-26 Wiener AC D 3-363.4 1248 1428 28.03% 18.24% 53.74%-0.96 +0.7 9
1929-05-26 @ Slovan Wien D 3-363.4 1428 1248 53.74% 18.24% 28.03%+0.96 -0.7 19
1929-05-26 Wacker Wien W 1-041.5 1418 1416 52.37% 18.42% 29.21%+0.45 +6.4 22
1929-05-26 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 0-141.5 1416 1418 29.21% 18.42% 52.37%-0.45 -6.3 18
1929-05-30 Brigittenauer AC W 5-130.9 1427 1251 69.32% 17.65% 13.03%+1.80 +9.2 21
1929-05-30 @ Wiener AC L 1-530.9 1251 1427 13.03% 17.65% 69.32%-1.80 -9.1 9
1929-06-01 First Vienna W 3-254.5 1385 1478 39.49% 18.46% 42.05%-0.28 +7.7 20
1929-06-01 @ Austria Wien L 2-354.5 1478 1385 42.05% 18.46% 39.49%+0.28 -7.7 20
1929-06-02 Floridsdorfer D 4-474.9 1545 1459 61.73% 18.16% 20.11%+1.10 -1.1 26
1929-06-02 @ Admira Wien D 4-474.9 1459 1545 20.11% 18.16% 61.73%-1.10 +1.1 25
1929-06-02 Wiener AC L 2-353.8 1376 1436 44.10% 18.48% 37.42%-0.03 -8.0 21
1929-06-02 @ FC Nicholson W 3-253.8 1436 1376 37.42% 18.48% 44.10%+0.03 +8.0 23
1929-06-02 Brigittenauer AC W 5-345.7 1251 1242 53.16% 18.41% 28.42%+0.50 +8.6 19
1929-06-02 @ Hertha Wien L 3-545.7 1242 1251 28.42% 18.41% 53.16%-0.50 -8.6 9
1929-06-02 Rapid Wien L 2-452.2 1410 1545 33.69% 18.38% 47.93%-0.61 -10.5 18
1929-06-02 @ Wacker Wien W 4-252.2 1545 1410 47.93% 18.38% 33.69%+0.61 +10.5 28
1929-06-05 Rapid Wien L 1-346.5 1393 1555 30.18% 18.30% 51.52%-0.82 -10.7 20
1929-06-05 @ Austria Wien W 3-146.5 1555 1393 51.52% 18.30% 30.18%+0.82 +10.6 30
1929-06-05 Slovan Wien D 2-259.2 1425 1249 69.31% 17.65% 13.04%+1.79 -2.0 23
1929-06-05 @ Wiener Sport-Club D 2-259.2 1249 1425 13.04% 17.65% 69.31%-1.79 +2.0 10
1929-06-08 Austria Wien W 3-140.4 1444 1382 59.28% 18.26% 22.46%+0.91 +8.3 25
1929-06-08 @ Wiener AC L 1-340.4 1382 1444 22.46% 18.26% 59.28%-0.91 -8.2 20
1929-06-08 First Vienna L 0-730.9 1233 1470 21.86% 17.97% 60.17%-1.40 -29.8 9
1929-06-08 @ Brigittenauer AC W 7-030.9 1470 1233 60.17% 17.97% 21.86%+1.40 +29.8 22
1929-06-09 Slovan Wien W 5-236.2 1566 1251 77.12% 16.46% 6.42%+2.87 +3.1 32
1929-06-09 @ Rapid Wien L 2-536.2 1251 1566 6.42% 16.46% 77.12%-2.87 -3.1 10
1929-06-09 Floridsdorfer W 4-250.7 1368 1460 39.62% 18.46% 41.92%-0.28 +12.5 23
1929-06-09 @ FC Nicholson L 2-450.7 1460 1368 41.92% 18.46% 39.62%+0.28 -12.5 25
1929-06-12 Hertha Wien W 3-134.8 1453 1259 70.52% 17.53% 11.96%+1.93 +4.6 27
1929-06-12 @ Wiener AC L 1-334.8 1259 1453 11.96% 17.53% 70.52%-1.93 -4.6 19
1929-06-13 Wiener Sport-Club W 7-138.4 1544 1423 64.99% 17.99% 17.03%+1.37 +17.0 28
1929-06-13 @ Admira Wien L 1-738.4 1423 1544 17.03% 17.99% 64.99%-1.37 -17.0 23
1929-06-15 Admira Wien L 1-631.0 1204 1561 12.27% 17.10% 70.63%-2.34 -10.5 9
1929-06-15 @ Brigittenauer AC W 6-131.0 1561 1204 70.63% 17.10% 12.27%+2.34 +10.5 30
1929-06-15 Wiener AC L 0-446.7 1500 1457 57.12% 18.33% 24.56%+0.76 -40.4 22
1929-06-15 @ First Vienna W 4-046.7 1457 1500 24.56% 18.33% 57.12%-0.76 +40.4 29
1929-06-16 Austria Wien W 4-138.0 1406 1374 55.90% 18.36% 25.74%+0.68 +13.2 25
1929-06-16 @ Wiener Sport-Club L 1-438.0 1374 1406 25.74% 18.36% 55.90%-0.68 -13.2 20
1929-06-18 Rapid Wien D 2-269.8 1498 1569 42.57% 18.47% 38.96%-0.12 -0.1 30
1929-06-18 @ Wiener AC D 2-269.8 1569 1498 38.96% 18.47% 42.57%+0.12 +0.1 33

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1928-11-25 12.21% Hertha Wien 1346 1 @ Admira Wien 1536 0
2 1929-03-02 14.50% Brigittenauer AC 1246 1 @ Wacker Wien 1401 0
3 1929-05-26 14.86% @ Brigittenauer AC 1239 2 Rapid Wien 1557 1
4 1928-11-25 19.38% Wiener Sport-Club 1365 3 @ Wiener AC 1459 2
5 1928-10-14 19.97% Austria Wien 1399 2 @ First Vienna 1486 0
6 1929-04-20 20.80% Hertha Wien 1300 2 @ FC Nicholson 1379 1
7 1928-09-30 21.06% FC Nicholson 1328 3 @ Floridsdorfer 1405 1
8 1929-04-01 23.12% FC Nicholson 1347 3 @ Wiener Sport-Club 1403 1
9 1928-09-02 23.61% Slovan Wien 1380 2 @ Wacker Wien 1431 0
10 1929-06-15 24.56% Wiener AC 1457 4 @ First Vienna 1500 0
11 1929-05-15 24.61% First Vienna 1442 2 @ Floridsdorfer 1484 0
12 1928-11-04 25.00% @ Wiener Sport-Club 1337 3 Admira Wien 1544 1
13 1928-12-09 25.48% Wiener Sport-Club 1386 3 @ Austria Wien 1420 1
14 1929-04-27 25.53% @ Brigittenauer AC 1228 2 Wiener Sport-Club 1430 1
15 1929-05-09 28.17% @ Hertha Wien 1272 5 First Vienna 1451 4
16 1928-11-15 29.59% @ FC Nicholson 1336 3 Rapid Wien 1503 2
17 1929-04-28 30.61% Floridsdorfer 1461 4 @ Wiener AC 1452 1
18 1928-12-09 30.65% @ Brigittenauer AC 1243 1 Floridsdorfer 1401 0
19 1929-04-20 30.69% Slovan Wien 1257 3 @ Brigittenauer AC 1248 1
20 1928-09-29 31.04% @ Wiener Sport-Club 1340 5 First Vienna 1495 4
21 1928-08-26 31.82% Wiener AC 1391 1 @ Austria Wien 1373 0
22 1929-03-17 32.07% Floridsdorfer 1440 3 @ Wiener Sport-Club 1420 1
23 1929-01-06 32.44% Floridsdorfer 1391 5 @ Hertha Wien 1368 0
24 1928-11-25 33.28% Floridsdorfer 1382 2 @ Slovan Wien 1353 1
25 1928-12-02 34.31% @ Floridsdorfer 1391 1 Admira Wien 1522 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-04-20 45.27 Wiener Sport-Club 6 1384 39.22% @ Hertha Wien 0 1312 42.30% 18.47%
2 1929-01-06 43.34 Floridsdorfer 5 1391 32.44% @ Hertha Wien 0 1368 49.10% 18.46%
3 1929-06-15 40.42 Wiener AC 4 1457 24.56% @ First Vienna 0 1500 57.12% 18.33%
4 1929-06-08 29.79 First Vienna 7 1470 60.17% @ Brigittenauer AC 0 1233 21.86% 17.97%
5 1929-03-23 28.10 Wacker Wien 6 1402 44.83% @ Slovan Wien 1 1290 36.74% 18.43%
6 1929-02-24 25.36 Admira Wien 7 1512 55.09% @ Slovan Wien 1 1321 26.72% 18.19%
7 1928-10-14 24.57 Admira Wien 5 1501 41.62% @ Wacker Wien 1 1412 39.92% 18.46%
8 1928-09-08 23.71 First Vienna 3 1474 39.14% @ Slovan Wien 0 1402 42.38% 18.47%
9 1929-04-28 23.46 Floridsdorfer 4 1461 30.61% @ Wiener AC 1 1452 50.94% 18.44%
10 1928-10-14 23.03 Austria Wien 2 1399 19.97% @ First Vienna 0 1486 61.87% 18.15%
11 1929-03-17 22.81 @ Wacker Wien 5 1380 58.67% Hertha Wien 0 1323 23.05% 18.28%
12 1928-12-16 22.65 Wiener Sport-Club 6 1404 37.42% @ Slovan Wien 2 1344 44.10% 18.48%
13 1928-09-02 21.66 Slovan Wien 2 1380 23.61% @ Wacker Wien 0 1431 58.09% 18.30%
14 1928-09-16 21.43 @ Wiener AC 6 1402 54.99% Slovan Wien 1 1378 26.64% 18.38%
15 1929-05-15 21.29 First Vienna 2 1442 24.61% @ Floridsdorfer 0 1484 57.07% 18.33%
16 1929-04-28 20.11 @ Rapid Wien 3 1516 46.83% Admira Wien 0 1556 34.69% 18.47%
17 1928-09-30 19.58 FC Nicholson 3 1328 21.06% @ Floridsdorfer 1 1405 60.73% 18.20%
18 1929-05-18 19.39 Admira Wien 7 1540 62.38% @ Hertha Wien 1 1282 19.78% 17.84%
19 1929-04-01 18.91 FC Nicholson 3 1347 23.12% @ Wiener Sport-Club 1 1403 58.60% 18.28%
20 1929-03-10 18.77 Admira Wien 3 1540 49.65% @ Austria Wien 0 1392 32.01% 18.34%
21 1928-09-30 18.46 @ Slovan Wien 4 1357 58.75% Brigittenauer AC 0 1299 22.98% 18.28%
22 1928-11-04 18.35 @ Wiener Sport-Club 3 1337 25.00% Admira Wien 1 1544 56.88% 18.12%
23 1928-12-09 18.16 Wiener Sport-Club 3 1386 25.48% @ Austria Wien 1 1420 56.17% 18.35%
24 1929-06-13 17.02 @ Admira Wien 7 1544 64.99% Wiener Sport-Club 1 1423 17.03% 17.99%
25 1928-10-27 16.90 Wiener AC 3 1445 53.44% @ Brigittenauer AC 0 1267 28.32% 18.24%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1929-06-02 74.9 @ Admira Wien 4 1545 61.73% Floridsdorfer 4 1459 20.11% 18.16%
2 1929-06-18 69.8 @ Wiener AC 2 1498 42.57% Rapid Wien 2 1569 38.96% 18.47%
3 1929-03-03 69.7 @ Rapid Wien 3 1495 57.60% Wiener AC 3 1448 24.09% 18.31%
4 1928-11-25 64.6 @ Rapid Wien 2 1503 61.57% Austria Wien 2 1418 20.26% 18.17%
5 1929-05-26 63.4 @ Slovan Wien 3 1248 28.03% Wiener AC 3 1428 53.74% 18.24%
6 1928-09-29 62.2 @ Wiener Sport-Club 5 1340 31.04% First Vienna 4 1495 50.64% 18.32%
7 1929-04-20 62.0 @ Austria Wien 2 1381 41.35% Floridsdorfer 2 1461 40.18% 18.47%
8 1929-02-24 61.9 @ Wacker Wien 2 1401 47.83% Floridsdorfer 2 1434 33.70% 18.47%
9 1929-05-12 61.3 @ FC Nicholson 2 1370 42.45% First Vienna 2 1442 39.07% 18.47%
10 1928-09-09 61.2 @ Floridsdorfer 2 1405 52.59% Wiener AC 2 1401 28.99% 18.42%
11 1928-11-18 61.0 @ Floridsdorfer 2 1383 47.55% Austria Wien 2 1418 33.97% 18.47%
12 1929-05-09 60.8 @ Hertha Wien 5 1272 28.17% First Vienna 4 1451 53.59% 18.24%
13 1929-03-30 60.5 @ Admira Wien 0 1559 63.92% Wiener AC 0 1449 18.03% 18.05%
14 1928-11-25 59.5 Wiener Sport-Club 3 1365 19.38% @ Wiener AC 2 1459 62.50% 18.13%
15 1929-06-05 59.2 @ Wiener Sport-Club 2 1425 69.31% Slovan Wien 2 1249 13.04% 17.65%
16 1929-03-03 58.9 @ First Vienna 1 1457 55.79% Wiener Sport-Club 1 1426 25.85% 18.36%
17 1928-08-26 58.6 @ Admira Wien 0 1497 56.27% First Vienna 0 1462 25.38% 18.35%
18 1928-11-25 57.9 @ First Vienna 1 1448 57.78% Wacker Wien 1 1400 23.91% 18.31%
19 1929-05-02 57.9 @ Wiener Sport-Club 1 1419 50.95% Wiener AC 1 1428 30.61% 18.44%
20 1929-05-20 57.8 @ Wiener AC 1 1429 53.84% Wacker Wien 1 1415 27.76% 18.40%
21 1928-11-15 56.8 @ FC Nicholson 3 1336 29.59% Rapid Wien 2 1503 52.13% 18.28%
22 1928-09-02 56.4 @ Wiener AC 0 1401 39.18% Admira Wien 0 1496 42.37% 18.45%
23 1929-05-26 55.6 @ Brigittenauer AC 2 1239 14.86% Rapid Wien 1 1557 67.72% 17.42%
24 1928-09-16 55.3 @ First Vienna 0 1498 66.39% Hertha Wien 0 1360 15.72% 17.89%
25 1928-10-21 55.3 @ Slovan Wien 1 1369 53.80% Hertha Wien 1 1355 27.80% 18.40%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1928-09-30 29.5 @ Slovan Wien 4 1357 58.75% Brigittenauer AC 0 1299 22.98% 18.28%
2 1929-03-17 29.9 @ Wacker Wien 5 1380 58.67% Hertha Wien 0 1323 23.05% 18.28%
3 1929-05-30 30.9 @ Wiener AC 5 1427 69.32% Brigittenauer AC 1 1251 13.03% 17.65%
4 1929-06-08 30.9 First Vienna 7 1470 60.17% @ Brigittenauer AC 0 1233 21.86% 17.97%
5 1929-06-15 31.0 Admira Wien 6 1561 70.63% @ Brigittenauer AC 1 1204 12.27% 17.10%
6 1929-02-03 32.3 @ First Vienna 4 1451 70.82% Brigittenauer AC 1 1253 11.68% 17.49%
7 1928-09-09 32.5 @ Austria Wien 3 1371 55.32% FC Nicholson 0 1344 26.31% 18.37%
8 1928-10-27 33.1 Wiener AC 3 1445 53.44% @ Brigittenauer AC 0 1267 28.32% 18.24%
9 1929-05-23 34.0 Rapid Wien 2 1550 65.09% @ Hertha Wien 0 1262 17.26% 17.65%
10 1928-08-25 34.5 @ Wiener Sport-Club 2 1344 55.22% Brigittenauer AC 0 1319 26.41% 18.37%
11 1929-05-18 34.5 Admira Wien 7 1540 62.38% @ Hertha Wien 1 1282 19.78% 17.84%
12 1929-03-23 34.8 @ Floridsdorfer 3 1456 70.72% Brigittenauer AC 1 1260 11.78% 17.50%
13 1929-06-12 34.8 @ Wiener AC 3 1453 70.52% Hertha Wien 1 1259 11.96% 17.53%
14 1928-10-20 35.3 @ Floridsdorfer 2 1372 54.90% Wiener Sport-Club 0 1348 26.72% 18.38%
15 1928-09-16 36.0 @ Wiener AC 6 1402 54.99% Slovan Wien 1 1378 26.64% 18.38%
16 1929-04-20 36.2 Wiener Sport-Club 6 1384 39.22% @ Hertha Wien 0 1312 42.30% 18.47%
17 1929-06-09 36.2 @ Rapid Wien 5 1566 77.12% Slovan Wien 2 1251 6.42% 16.46%
18 1928-10-14 36.6 @ Rapid Wien 5 1478 62.40% Floridsdorfer 1 1385 19.47% 18.13%
19 1928-10-21 36.6 @ Rapid Wien 5 1491 72.18% Brigittenauer AC 2 1272 10.49% 17.33%
20 1929-02-24 37.0 Admira Wien 7 1512 55.09% @ Slovan Wien 1 1321 26.72% 18.19%
21 1928-11-15 37.1 @ Admira Wien 2 1526 75.25% Brigittenauer AC 1 1251 7.91% 16.85%
22 1929-04-24 37.3 @ Austria Wien 2 1381 67.33% Brigittenauer AC 1 1231 14.84% 17.82%
23 1929-03-23 37.6 Wacker Wien 6 1402 44.83% @ Slovan Wien 1 1290 36.74% 18.43%
24 1928-09-02 38.0 @ First Vienna 2 1464 57.81% Floridsdorfer 0 1415 23.89% 18.31%
25 1929-06-16 38.0 @ Wiener Sport-Club 4 1406 55.90% Austria Wien 1 1374 25.74% 18.36%