1969 AFL Season
70 regular-season games · 4 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations
Champion
Kansas City Chiefs
3rd Title
Last Title: 1966
Runner-Up
Oakland Raiders
3rd Appearance
Last Appearance: 1968
Biggest Overachiever
Oakland Raiders
2.75 wins above expected
12 wins · 9.75 expected wins
Biggest Disappointment
Miami Dolphins
1.92 wins below expected
3 wins · 5.42 expected wins
Final Standings
Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual wins minus the simulation's mean wins — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Jets Division | 10 | 4 | 0 | .714 | — | 353 | 269 | +84 | 9.13 | +0.87 |
| 2 | Houston Oilers Playoffs | 6 | 6 | 2 | .500 | 3 | 278 | 279 | -1 | 7.92 | -0.92 |
| 3 | Boston Patriots | 4 | 10 | 0 | .286 | 6 | 266 | 316 | -50 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 4 | Buffalo Bills | 4 | 10 | 0 | .286 | 6 | 230 | 359 | -129 | 5.42 | -1.42 |
| 5 | Miami Dolphins | 3 | 10 | 1 | .250 | 6.5 | 233 | 332 | -99 | 5.42 | -1.92 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pct | GB | PF | PA | PD | SimW | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakland Raiders Division | 12 | 1 | 1 | .893 | — | 377 | 242 | +135 | 9.75 | +2.75 |
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs Playoffs | 11 | 3 | 0 | .786 | 1.5 | 359 | 177 | +182 | 9.66 | +1.34 |
| 3 | San Diego Chargers | 8 | 6 | 0 | .571 | 4.5 | 288 | 276 | +12 | 7.52 | +0.48 |
| 4 | Denver Broncos | 5 | 8 | 1 | .393 | 7 | 297 | 344 | -47 | 5.74 | -0.24 |
| 5 | Cincinnati Bengals | 4 | 9 | 1 | .321 | 8 | 280 | 367 | -87 | 4.28 | +0.22 |
Playoff Bracket
The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.
AFL Playoffs
Divisional Round
AFL Championship Game
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Actual | Avg. Wins | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Raiders | West | 1688 | 12.5 | 9.75 | +2.75 | 99.75% | 4 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs | West | 1675 | 11 | 9.66 | +1.34 | 90.60% | 3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 14 | |
| New York Jets | East | 1606 | 10 | 9.13 | +0.87 | 83.36% | 3 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 14 | |
| San Diego Chargers | West | 1541 | 8 | 7.52 | +0.48 | 76.78% | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 13 | |
| Houston Oilers | East | 1518 | 7 | 7.92 | -0.92 | 69.31% | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 13 | |
| Denver Broncos | West | 1434 | 5.5 | 5.74 | -0.24 | 73.66% | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 11 | |
| Boston Patriots | East | 1420 | 4 | 5.15 | -1.15 | 42.79% | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 12 | |
| Buffalo Bills | East | 1395 | 4 | 5.42 | -1.42 | 36.17% | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 11 | |
| Miami Dolphins | East | 1374 | 3.5 | 5.42 | -1.92 | 36.24% | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 12 | |
| Cincinnati Bengals | West | 1349 | 4.5 | 4.28 | +0.22 | 83.55% | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record (row vs column) and below it the expected number of wins the model predicted based on each individual game's win probability. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than half a win in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.
Within East
| Team | Patriots | Bills | Oilers | Dolphins | Jets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Patriots | — |
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Buffalo Bills |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.9 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Houston Oilers |
1-1
(1.3 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
— |
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Miami Dolphins |
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.0 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
| New York Jets |
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
East vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Bengals | Broncos | Chiefs | Raiders | Chargers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Patriots |
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Buffalo Bills |
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.1 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
| Houston Oilers |
0-0-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-0-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Miami Dolphins |
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.1 exp.)
|
0-1-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
| New York Jets |
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
Within West
| Team | Bengals | Broncos | Chiefs | Raiders | Chargers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals | — |
0-2
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
| Denver Broncos |
2-0
(1.1 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-1
(0.8 exp.)
|
| Kansas City Chiefs |
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
— |
0-2
(1.0 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.2 exp.)
|
| Oakland Raiders |
1-1
(1.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.4 exp.)
|
2-0
(0.9 exp.)
|
— |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
| San Diego Chargers |
1-1
(1.4 exp.)
|
1-1
(1.2 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.6 exp.)
|
— |
West vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Patriots | Bills | Oilers | Dolphins | Jets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals |
0-1
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.3 exp.)
|
0-0-1
(0.2 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
0-2
(0.5 exp.)
|
| Denver Broncos |
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
0-1-1
(0.7 exp.)
|
0-1
(0.4 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
| Kansas City Chiefs |
1-0
(0.6 exp.)
|
2-0
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
| Oakland Raiders |
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.7 exp.)
|
1-0-1
(1.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.4 exp.)
|
| San Diego Chargers |
2-0
(1.3 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.8 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.3 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
1-0
(0.5 exp.)
|
Scoring Distribution
Histograms of points scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | — |
| Mean allowed | — |
| StdDev scored | — |
| StdDev allowed | — |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | — |
| Sample size (games) | — |
Actual vs. Point Differential
How points translated into wins. Teams above the cluster overperformed their points differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakland Raiders | 12.5 | 9.75 | +2.75 |
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs | 11 | 9.66 | +1.34 |
| 3 | New York Jets | 10 | 9.13 | +0.87 |
| 4 | San Diego Chargers | 8 | 7.52 | +0.48 |
| 5 | Cincinnati Bengals | 4.5 | 4.28 | +0.22 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miami Dolphins | 3.5 | 5.42 | -1.92 |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills | 4 | 5.42 | -1.42 |
| 3 | Boston Patriots | 4 | 5.15 | -1.15 |
| 4 | Houston Oilers | 7 | 7.92 | -0.92 |
| 5 | Denver Broncos | 5.5 | 5.74 | -0.24 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakland Raiders | 6 | Nov 9 – Dec 13 | 1 in 21 |
| 2 | Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | Sep 14 – Sep 28 | 1 in 21 |
| 3 | Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | Oct 5 – Nov 16 | 1 in 15 |
| 4 | Boston Patriots | 3 | Nov 16 – Nov 30 | 1 in 13 |
| 5 | San Diego Chargers | 4 | Sep 28 – Oct 19 | 1 in 9 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Patriots | 7 | Sep 14 – Oct 26 | 1 in 20 |
| 2 | Cincinnati Bengals | 5 | Nov 16 – Dec 14 | 1 in 8 |
| 3 | San Diego Chargers | 4 | Oct 26 – Nov 16 | 1 in 7 |
| 4 | Denver Broncos | 3 | Sep 28 – Oct 12 | 1 in 5 |
| 5 | Oakland Raiders | 1 | Nov 2 – Nov 2 | 1 in 5 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Finish Position Heatmaps
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall AFL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Jets | 63.06% | 25.32% | 7.98% | 2.85% | 0.79% |
| Houston Oilers | 28.77% | 42.13% | 17.54% | 8.08% | 3.48% |
| Buffalo Bills | 2.91% | 11.61% | 25.90% | 30.14% | 29.44% |
| Miami Dolphins | 3.05% | 11.33% | 25.80% | 30.40% | 29.42% |
| Boston Patriots | 2.21% | 9.61% | 22.78% | 28.53% | 36.87% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Raiders | 46.76% | 36.09% | 13.99% | 2.88% | 0.28% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 43.64% | 37.88% | 14.77% | 3.27% | 0.44% |
| San Diego Chargers | 8.18% | 20.26% | 45.21% | 20.48% | 5.87% |
| Denver Broncos | 1.29% | 4.91% | 19.63% | 48.65% | 25.52% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.13% | 0.86% | 6.40% | 24.72% | 67.89% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland Raiders | 34.18% | 25.47% | 18.46% | 11.43% | 5.91% | 2.63% | 1.23% | 0.54% | 0.13% | 0.02% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 31.66% | 25.46% | 19.06% | 11.80% | 6.68% | 3.30% | 1.15% | 0.59% | 0.26% | 0.04% |
| New York Jets | 21.16% | 23.36% | 20.12% | 14.63% | 9.94% | 5.40% | 3.09% | 1.42% | 0.64% | 0.24% |
| Houston Oilers | 6.40% | 11.68% | 17.36% | 20.19% | 17.00% | 11.67% | 7.11% | 4.66% | 2.69% | 1.24% |
| San Diego Chargers | 5.14% | 8.91% | 13.32% | 17.92% | 18.80% | 14.38% | 9.65% | 6.45% | 3.53% | 1.90% |
| Denver Broncos | 0.56% | 1.77% | 3.62% | 7.33% | 11.13% | 15.15% | 18.12% | 16.29% | 15.09% | 10.94% |
| Buffalo Bills | 0.28% | 1.06% | 2.63% | 5.23% | 9.25% | 14.54% | 16.65% | 18.70% | 17.77% | 13.89% |
| Miami Dolphins | 0.27% | 1.16% | 2.62% | 5.39% | 9.72% | 13.79% | 17.40% | 17.39% | 17.08% | 15.18% |
| Boston Patriots | 0.28% | 0.89% | 2.16% | 4.51% | 7.89% | 12.45% | 14.64% | 17.33% | 19.42% | 20.43% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.07% | 0.24% | 0.65% | 1.57% | 3.68% | 6.69% | 10.96% | 16.63% | 23.39% | 36.12% |
Win Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|
| New York Jets | 63.06% | 36.94% |
| Houston Oilers | 28.77% | 71.23% |
| Miami Dolphins | 3.05% | 96.95% |
| Buffalo Bills | 2.91% | 97.09% |
| Boston Patriots | 2.21% | 97.79% |
| Team | 1 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|
| Oakland Raiders | 46.76% | 53.24% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 43.64% | 56.36% |
| San Diego Chargers | 8.18% | 91.82% |
| Denver Broncos | 1.29% | 98.71% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.13% | 99.87% |
Wins Required to Achieve Each Seed
Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each conference, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of wins. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median wins for that seed.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual wins, simulated final wins, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Won Championship Game |
|---|---|---|
| Oakland Raiders | 46.76% | 31.51% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 43.64% | 27.89% |
| New York Jets | 63.06% | 26.37% |
| Houston Oilers | 28.77% | 8.50% |
| San Diego Chargers | 8.18% | 3.90% |
| Miami Dolphins | 3.05% | 0.55% |
| Buffalo Bills | 2.91% | 0.44% |
| Boston Patriots | 2.21% | 0.41% |
| Denver Broncos | 1.29% | 0.41% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.13% | 0.02% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Boston Patriots | Buffalo Bills | Cincinnati Bengals | Denver Broncos | Houston Oilers | Kansas City Chiefs | Miami Dolphins | New York Jets | Oakland Raiders | San Diego Chargers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Patriots | 0.19% | 0.15% | 0.07% | |||||||
| Buffalo Bills | 0.04% | 0.10% | 0.24% | 0.06% | ||||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0.01% | 0.01% | ||||||||
| Denver Broncos | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.17% | 0.02% | 0.20% | |||||
| Houston Oilers | 0.03% | 0.19% | 3.83% | 3.44% | 1.01% | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 0.77% | 0.96% | 8.92% | 1.19% | 16.05% | |||||
| Miami Dolphins | 0.01% | 0.25% | 0.22% | 0.07% | ||||||
| New York Jets | 0.08% | 0.64% | 11.38% | 11.20% | 3.07% | |||||
| Oakland Raiders | 0.88% | 1.25% | 10.01% | 1.07% | 18.30% | |||||
| San Diego Chargers | 0.14% | 0.25% | 1.16% | 0.22% | 2.13% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.
| Team | Won Championship Game | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Oakland Raiders | 61.73% | Eliminated in Championship Game |
Loser → ↓ Winner | New York Jets | Oakland Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| New York Jets | 38.27% | |
| Oakland Raiders | 61.73% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.
Regular Season Games
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1969-09-14 | @ Denver Broncos | L 7-35 | 1426.73 | 1441.74 | 32.50% | 63.18% | -12.32 | 0-1 |
| 1969-09-21 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 0-31 | 1414.41 | 1625.97 | 32.11% | 63.57% | -12.82 | 0-2 |
| 1969-09-28 | Oakland Raiders | L 23-38 | 1401.59 | 1639.87 | 28.85% | 66.84% | -8.03 | 0-3 |
| 1969-10-05 | New York Jets | L 14-23 | 1393.56 | 1580.16 | 35.32% | 60.35% | -7.58 | 0-4 |
| 1969-10-11 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 16-23 | 1385.98 | 1420.63 | 30.07% | 65.62% | -5.71 | 0-5 |
| 1969-10-19 | San Diego Chargers | L 10-13 | 1380.27 | 1536.79 | 39.38% | 56.29% | -4.86 | 0-6 |
| 1969-10-26 | @ New York Jets | L 17-23 | 1375.41 | 1602.49 | 12.45% | 83.37% | -2.22 | 0-7 |
| 1969-11-02 | Houston Oilers | W 24-0 | 1373.19 | 1538.47 | 38.18% | 57.49% | +19.78 | 1-7 |
| 1969-11-09 | Miami Dolphins | L 16-17 | 1392.97 | 1419.93 | 57.66% | 38.01% | -4.05 | 1-8 |
| 1969-11-16 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | W 25-14 | 1388.92 | 1380.13 | 35.58% | 60.10% | +13.99 | 2-8 |
| 1969-11-23 | Buffalo Bills | W 35-21 | 1402.91 | 1411.31 | 60.15% | 35.53% | +9.50 | 3-8 |
| 1969-11-30 | @ Miami Dolphins | W 38-23 | 1412.41 | 1394.08 | 36.85% | 58.83% | +16.00 | 4-8 |
| 1969-12-07 | @ San Diego Chargers | L 18-28 | 1428.41 | 1526.65 | 22.97% | 72.75% | -5.25 | 4-9 |
| 1969-12-14 | @ Houston Oilers | L 23-27 | 1423.16 | 1514.75 | 23.66% | 72.06% | -3.42 | 4-10 |
| 1969-09-14 | New York Jets | L 19-33 | 1439.56 | 1582.89 | 41.21% | 54.46% | -10.96 | 0-1 |
| 1969-09-21 | Houston Oilers | L 3-17 | 1428.60 | 1526.31 | 47.69% | 47.97% | -12.61 | 0-2 |
| 1969-09-28 | Denver Broncos | W 41-28 | 1415.99 | 1459.43 | 55.39% | 40.28% | +10.33 | 1-2 |
| 1969-10-05 | @ Houston Oilers | L 14-28 | 1426.32 | 1544.34 | 21.02% | 74.71% | -5.69 | 1-3 |
| 1969-10-11 | Boston Patriots | W 23-16 | 1420.63 | 1385.98 | 65.62% | 30.07% | +5.71 | 2-3 |
| 1969-10-19 | @ Oakland Raiders | L 21-50 | 1426.34 | 1654.69 | 12.37% | 83.45% | -4.86 | 2-4 |
| 1969-10-26 | @ Miami Dolphins | L 6-24 | 1421.48 | 1411.03 | 35.80% | 59.88% | -10.85 | 2-5 |
| 1969-11-02 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 7-29 | 1410.63 | 1651.08 | 28.60% | 67.10% | -9.64 | 2-6 |
| 1969-11-09 | @ New York Jets | L 6-16 | 1400.99 | 1606.66 | 13.86% | 81.95% | -3.19 | 2-7 |
| 1969-11-16 | Miami Dolphins | W 28-3 | 1397.80 | 1423.98 | 57.76% | 37.91% | +13.51 | 3-7 |
| 1969-11-23 | @ Boston Patriots | L 21-35 | 1411.31 | 1402.91 | 35.53% | 60.15% | -9.50 | 3-8 |
| 1969-11-30 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 16-13 | 1401.81 | 1360.94 | 66.37% | 29.32% | +3.65 | 4-8 |
| 1969-12-07 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 19-22 | 1405.46 | 1678.76 | 9.84% | 86.03% | -1.24 | 4-9 |
| 1969-12-14 | @ San Diego Chargers | L 6-45 | 1404.22 | 1531.90 | 20.11% | 75.63% | -9.10 | 4-10 |
| 1969-09-14 | Miami Dolphins | W 27-21 | 1350.51 | 1436.63 | 49.36% | 46.31% | +8.03 | 1-0 |
| 1969-09-21 | San Diego Chargers | W 34-20 | 1358.54 | 1531.49 | 37.14% | 58.53% | +15.38 | 2-0 |
| 1969-09-28 | Kansas City Chiefs | W 24-19 | 1373.92 | 1638.79 | 25.82% | 69.89% | +10.95 | 3-0 |
| 1969-10-04 | @ San Diego Chargers | L 14-21 | 1384.87 | 1524.43 | 19.04% | 76.71% | -3.65 | 3-1 |
| 1969-10-12 | New York Jets | L 7-21 | 1381.22 | 1587.74 | 32.75% | 62.93% | -8.78 | 3-2 |
| 1969-10-19 | Denver Broncos | L 23-30 | 1372.44 | 1432.35 | 53.09% | 42.58% | -9.88 | 3-3 |
| 1969-10-26 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 22-42 | 1362.56 | 1648.07 | 9.23% | 86.65% | -3.02 | 3-4 |
| 1969-11-02 | Oakland Raiders | W 31-17 | 1359.54 | 1670.55 | 21.07% | 74.67% | +19.59 | 4-4 |
| 1969-11-09 | @ Houston Oilers | T 31-31 | 1379.13 | 1518.68 | 19.04% | 76.71% | +1.00 | 4-4 |
| 1969-11-16 | Boston Patriots | L 14-25 | 1380.13 | 1388.92 | 60.10% | 35.58% | -13.99 | 4-5 |
| 1969-11-23 | @ New York Jets | L 7-40 | 1366.14 | 1593.90 | 12.41% | 83.41% | -5.20 | 4-6 |
| 1969-11-30 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 13-16 | 1360.94 | 1401.81 | 29.32% | 66.37% | -3.64 | 4-7 |
| 1969-12-07 | @ Oakland Raiders | L 17-37 | 1357.30 | 1680.74 | 7.56% | 88.36% | -2.48 | 4-8 |
| 1969-12-14 | @ Denver Broncos | L 16-27 | 1354.82 | 1428.22 | 25.60% | 70.11% | -6.12 | 4-9 |
| 1969-09-14 | Boston Patriots | W 35-7 | 1441.74 | 1426.73 | 63.18% | 32.50% | +12.32 | 1-0 |
| 1969-09-21 | New York Jets | W 21-19 | 1454.06 | 1593.85 | 41.70% | 53.97% | +5.37 | 2-0 |
| 1969-09-28 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 28-41 | 1459.43 | 1415.99 | 40.28% | 55.39% | -10.33 | 2-1 |
| 1969-10-05 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 13-26 | 1449.10 | 1627.83 | 36.37% | 59.31% | -9.36 | 2-2 |
| 1969-10-12 | Oakland Raiders | L 14-24 | 1439.74 | 1647.30 | 32.62% | 63.07% | -7.39 | 2-3 |
| 1969-10-19 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | W 30-23 | 1432.35 | 1372.44 | 42.58% | 53.09% | +9.89 | 3-3 |
| 1969-10-26 | @ Houston Oilers | L 21-24 | 1442.24 | 1535.53 | 23.48% | 72.24% | -2.94 | 3-4 |
| 1969-11-02 | San Diego Chargers | W 13-0 | 1439.30 | 1530.65 | 48.61% | 47.06% | +12.00 | 4-4 |
| 1969-11-09 | @ Oakland Raiders | L 10-41 | 1451.30 | 1650.96 | 14.27% | 81.52% | -5.79 | 4-5 |
| 1969-11-16 | Houston Oilers | T 20-20 | 1445.51 | 1517.68 | 51.35% | 44.31% | -0.12 | 4-5 |
| 1969-11-23 | @ San Diego Chargers | L 24-45 | 1445.39 | 1508.95 | 26.69% | 69.01% | -8.81 | 4-6 |
| 1969-11-27 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 17-31 | 1436.58 | 1675.56 | 11.73% | 84.10% | -3.20 | 4-7 |
| 1969-12-07 | @ Miami Dolphins | L 24-27 | 1433.38 | 1378.09 | 41.93% | 53.74% | -5.16 | 4-8 |
| 1969-12-14 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 27-16 | 1428.22 | 1354.82 | 70.11% | 25.60% | +6.13 | 5-8 |
| 1969-09-14 | @ Oakland Raiders | L 17-21 | 1529.53 | 1634.94 | 22.25% | 73.47% | -3.22 | 0-1 |
| 1969-09-21 | @ Buffalo Bills | W 17-3 | 1526.31 | 1428.60 | 47.97% | 47.69% | +12.61 | 1-1 |
| 1969-09-28 | Miami Dolphins | W 22-10 | 1538.92 | 1426.89 | 74.13% | 21.60% | +5.42 | 2-1 |
| 1969-10-05 | Buffalo Bills | W 28-14 | 1544.34 | 1426.32 | 74.71% | 21.02% | +5.69 | 3-1 |
| 1969-10-12 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 0-24 | 1550.03 | 1637.20 | 24.12% | 71.60% | -8.53 | 3-2 |
| 1969-10-20 | @ New York Jets | L 17-26 | 1541.50 | 1596.51 | 27.67% | 68.03% | -5.97 | 3-3 |
| 1969-10-26 | Denver Broncos | W 24-21 | 1535.53 | 1442.24 | 72.24% | 23.48% | +2.94 | 4-3 |
| 1969-11-02 | @ Boston Patriots | L 0-24 | 1538.47 | 1373.19 | 57.49% | 38.18% | -19.79 | 4-4 |
| 1969-11-09 | Cincinnati Bengals | T 31-31 | 1518.68 | 1379.13 | 76.71% | 19.04% | -1.00 | 4-4 |
| 1969-11-16 | @ Denver Broncos | T 20-20 | 1517.68 | 1445.51 | 44.31% | 51.35% | +0.12 | 4-4 |
| 1969-11-23 | @ Miami Dolphins | W 32-7 | 1517.80 | 1410.47 | 49.36% | 46.31% | +16.39 | 5-4 |
| 1969-11-27 | San Diego Chargers | L 17-21 | 1534.19 | 1517.76 | 63.36% | 32.32% | -8.89 | 5-5 |
| 1969-12-06 | New York Jets | L 26-34 | 1525.30 | 1585.92 | 52.99% | 42.68% | -10.55 | 5-6 |
| 1969-12-14 | Boston Patriots | W 27-23 | 1514.75 | 1423.16 | 72.06% | 23.66% | +3.42 | 6-6 |
| 1969-09-14 | @ San Diego Chargers | W 27-9 | 1610.25 | 1547.22 | 43.02% | 52.65% | +15.72 | 1-0 |
| 1969-09-21 | @ Boston Patriots | W 31-0 | 1625.97 | 1414.41 | 63.57% | 32.11% | +12.82 | 2-0 |
| 1969-09-28 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | L 19-24 | 1638.79 | 1373.92 | 69.89% | 25.82% | -10.96 | 2-1 |
| 1969-10-05 | @ Denver Broncos | W 26-13 | 1627.83 | 1449.10 | 59.31% | 36.37% | +9.37 | 3-1 |
| 1969-10-12 | Houston Oilers | W 24-0 | 1637.20 | 1550.03 | 71.60% | 24.12% | +8.53 | 4-1 |
| 1969-10-19 | Miami Dolphins | W 17-10 | 1645.73 | 1413.37 | 83.70% | 12.13% | +2.34 | 5-1 |
| 1969-10-26 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 42-22 | 1648.07 | 1362.56 | 86.65% | 9.23% | +3.01 | 6-1 |
| 1969-11-02 | @ Buffalo Bills | W 29-7 | 1651.08 | 1410.63 | 67.10% | 28.60% | +9.65 | 7-1 |
| 1969-11-09 | San Diego Chargers | W 27-3 | 1660.73 | 1518.65 | 76.93% | 18.82% | +6.68 | 8-1 |
| 1969-11-16 | @ New York Jets | W 34-16 | 1667.41 | 1609.85 | 42.25% | 53.42% | +15.95 | 9-1 |
| 1969-11-23 | Oakland Raiders | L 24-27 | 1683.36 | 1659.75 | 64.26% | 31.43% | -7.80 | 9-2 |
| 1969-11-27 | Denver Broncos | W 31-17 | 1675.56 | 1436.58 | 84.10% | 11.73% | +3.20 | 10-2 |
| 1969-12-07 | Buffalo Bills | W 22-19 | 1678.76 | 1405.46 | 86.03% | 9.84% | +1.24 | 11-2 |
| 1969-12-13 | @ Oakland Raiders | L 6-10 | 1680.00 | 1683.21 | 34.01% | 61.67% | -4.87 | 11-3 |
| 1969-09-14 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | L 21-27 | 1436.63 | 1350.51 | 46.31% | 49.36% | -8.03 | 0-1 |
| 1969-09-20 | @ Oakland Raiders | L 17-20 | 1428.60 | 1638.16 | 13.59% | 82.21% | -1.71 | 0-2 |
| 1969-09-28 | @ Houston Oilers | L 10-22 | 1426.89 | 1538.92 | 21.60% | 74.13% | -5.42 | 0-3 |
| 1969-10-04 | Oakland Raiders | T 20-20 | 1421.47 | 1647.91 | 30.27% | 65.41% | +0.61 | 0-3 |
| 1969-10-11 | San Diego Chargers | L 14-21 | 1422.08 | 1528.08 | 46.50% | 49.17% | -8.71 | 0-4 |
| 1969-10-19 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 10-17 | 1413.37 | 1645.73 | 12.13% | 83.70% | -2.34 | 0-5 |
| 1969-10-26 | Buffalo Bills | W 24-6 | 1411.03 | 1421.48 | 59.88% | 35.80% | +10.86 | 1-5 |
| 1969-11-02 | @ New York Jets | L 31-34 | 1421.89 | 1604.71 | 15.50% | 80.28% | -1.96 | 1-6 |
| 1969-11-09 | @ Boston Patriots | W 17-16 | 1419.93 | 1392.97 | 38.01% | 57.66% | +4.05 | 2-6 |
| 1969-11-16 | @ Buffalo Bills | L 3-28 | 1423.98 | 1397.80 | 37.91% | 57.76% | -13.51 | 2-7 |
| 1969-11-23 | Houston Oilers | L 7-32 | 1410.47 | 1517.80 | 46.31% | 49.36% | -16.39 | 2-8 |
| 1969-11-30 | Boston Patriots | L 23-38 | 1394.08 | 1412.41 | 58.83% | 36.85% | -15.99 | 2-9 |
| 1969-12-07 | Denver Broncos | W 27-24 | 1378.09 | 1433.38 | 53.74% | 41.93% | +5.16 | 3-9 |
| 1969-12-14 | New York Jets | L 9-27 | 1383.25 | 1596.47 | 31.90% | 63.78% | -9.71 | 3-10 |
| 1969-09-14 | @ Buffalo Bills | W 33-19 | 1582.89 | 1439.56 | 54.46% | 41.21% | +10.96 | 1-0 |
| 1969-09-21 | @ Denver Broncos | L 19-21 | 1593.85 | 1454.06 | 53.97% | 41.70% | -5.37 | 1-1 |
| 1969-09-28 | @ San Diego Chargers | L 27-34 | 1588.48 | 1516.12 | 44.34% | 51.32% | -8.32 | 1-2 |
| 1969-10-05 | @ Boston Patriots | W 23-14 | 1580.16 | 1393.56 | 60.35% | 35.32% | +7.58 | 2-2 |
| 1969-10-12 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | W 21-7 | 1587.74 | 1381.22 | 62.93% | 32.75% | +8.77 | 3-2 |
| 1969-10-20 | Houston Oilers | W 26-17 | 1596.51 | 1541.50 | 68.03% | 27.67% | +5.98 | 4-2 |
| 1969-10-26 | Boston Patriots | W 23-17 | 1602.49 | 1375.41 | 83.37% | 12.45% | +2.22 | 5-2 |
| 1969-11-02 | Miami Dolphins | W 34-31 | 1604.71 | 1421.89 | 80.28% | 15.50% | +1.95 | 6-2 |
| 1969-11-09 | Buffalo Bills | W 16-6 | 1606.66 | 1400.99 | 81.95% | 13.86% | +3.19 | 7-2 |
| 1969-11-16 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 16-34 | 1609.85 | 1667.41 | 53.42% | 42.25% | -15.95 | 7-3 |
| 1969-11-23 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 40-7 | 1593.90 | 1366.14 | 83.41% | 12.41% | +5.20 | 8-3 |
| 1969-11-30 | Oakland Raiders | L 14-27 | 1599.10 | 1667.56 | 51.88% | 43.79% | -13.18 | 8-4 |
| 1969-12-06 | @ Houston Oilers | W 34-26 | 1585.92 | 1525.30 | 42.68% | 52.99% | +10.55 | 9-4 |
| 1969-12-14 | @ Miami Dolphins | W 27-9 | 1596.47 | 1383.25 | 63.78% | 31.90% | +9.71 | 10-4 |
| 1969-09-14 | Houston Oilers | W 21-17 | 1634.94 | 1529.53 | 73.47% | 22.25% | +3.22 | 1-0 |
| 1969-09-20 | Miami Dolphins | W 20-17 | 1638.16 | 1428.60 | 82.21% | 13.59% | +1.71 | 2-0 |
| 1969-09-28 | @ Boston Patriots | W 38-23 | 1639.87 | 1401.59 | 66.84% | 28.85% | +8.04 | 3-0 |
| 1969-10-04 | @ Miami Dolphins | T 20-20 | 1647.91 | 1421.47 | 65.41% | 30.27% | -0.61 | 3-0 |
| 1969-10-12 | @ Denver Broncos | W 24-14 | 1647.30 | 1439.74 | 63.07% | 32.62% | +7.39 | 4-0 |
| 1969-10-19 | Buffalo Bills | W 50-21 | 1654.69 | 1426.34 | 83.45% | 12.37% | +4.86 | 5-0 |
| 1969-10-26 | @ San Diego Chargers | W 24-12 | 1659.55 | 1541.65 | 50.87% | 44.80% | +11.00 | 6-0 |
| 1969-11-02 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | L 17-31 | 1670.55 | 1359.54 | 74.67% | 21.07% | -19.59 | 6-1 |
| 1969-11-09 | Denver Broncos | W 41-10 | 1650.96 | 1451.30 | 81.52% | 14.27% | +5.78 | 7-1 |
| 1969-11-16 | San Diego Chargers | W 21-16 | 1656.74 | 1511.97 | 77.17% | 18.58% | +3.01 | 8-1 |
| 1969-11-23 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | W 27-24 | 1659.75 | 1683.36 | 31.43% | 64.26% | +7.81 | 9-1 |
| 1969-11-30 | @ New York Jets | W 27-14 | 1667.56 | 1599.10 | 43.79% | 51.88% | +13.18 | 10-1 |
| 1969-12-07 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 37-17 | 1680.74 | 1357.30 | 88.36% | 7.56% | +2.47 | 11-1 |
| 1969-12-13 | Kansas City Chiefs | W 10-6 | 1683.21 | 1680.00 | 61.67% | 34.01% | +4.86 | 12-1 |
| 1969-09-14 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 9-27 | 1547.22 | 1610.25 | 52.65% | 43.02% | -15.73 | 0-1 |
| 1969-09-21 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | L 20-34 | 1531.49 | 1358.54 | 58.53% | 37.14% | -15.37 | 0-2 |
| 1969-09-28 | New York Jets | W 34-27 | 1516.12 | 1588.48 | 51.32% | 44.34% | +8.31 | 1-2 |
| 1969-10-04 | Cincinnati Bengals | W 21-14 | 1524.43 | 1384.87 | 76.71% | 19.04% | +3.65 | 2-2 |
| 1969-10-11 | @ Miami Dolphins | W 21-14 | 1528.08 | 1422.08 | 49.17% | 46.50% | +8.71 | 3-2 |
| 1969-10-19 | @ Boston Patriots | W 13-10 | 1536.79 | 1380.27 | 56.29% | 39.38% | +4.86 | 4-2 |
| 1969-10-26 | Oakland Raiders | L 12-24 | 1541.65 | 1659.55 | 44.80% | 50.87% | -11.00 | 4-3 |
| 1969-11-02 | @ Denver Broncos | L 0-13 | 1530.65 | 1439.30 | 47.06% | 48.61% | -12.00 | 4-4 |
| 1969-11-09 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | L 3-27 | 1518.65 | 1660.73 | 18.82% | 76.93% | -6.68 | 4-5 |
| 1969-11-16 | @ Oakland Raiders | L 16-21 | 1511.97 | 1656.74 | 18.58% | 77.17% | -3.02 | 4-6 |
| 1969-11-23 | Denver Broncos | W 45-24 | 1508.95 | 1445.39 | 69.01% | 26.69% | +8.81 | 5-6 |
| 1969-11-27 | @ Houston Oilers | W 21-17 | 1517.76 | 1534.19 | 32.32% | 63.36% | +8.89 | 6-6 |
| 1969-12-07 | Boston Patriots | W 28-18 | 1526.65 | 1428.41 | 72.75% | 22.97% | +5.25 | 7-6 |
| 1969-12-14 | Buffalo Bills | W 45-6 | 1531.90 | 1404.22 | 75.63% | 20.11% | +9.10 | 8-6 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1969-12-21 | @ Oakland Raiders | L 7-56 | 1518.17 | 1688.07 | 17.73% | 82.27% | -8.39 | 0-1 |
| 1969-12-20 | @ New York Jets | W 13-6 | 1675.13 | 1606.18 | 46.01% | 53.99% | +9.66 | 1-0 |
| 1970-01-04 | @ Oakland Raiders | W 17-7 | 1684.79 | 1696.46 | 34.89% | 65.11% | +13.92 | 2-0 |
| 1969-12-20 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 6-13 | 1606.18 | 1675.13 | 53.99% | 46.01% | -9.66 | 0-1 |
| 1969-12-21 | Houston Oilers | W 56-7 | 1688.07 | 1518.17 | 82.27% | 17.73% | +8.39 | 1-0 |
| 1970-01-04 | Kansas City Chiefs | L 7-17 | 1696.46 | 1684.79 | 65.11% | 34.89% | -13.92 | 1-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 1969-11-02 | 21.07% | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 1359.54 | 31 | Oakland Raiders | 1670.55 | 17 |
| 2 | 1969-09-28 | 25.82% | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 1373.92 | 24 | Kansas City Chiefs | 1638.79 | 19 |
| 3 | 1969-11-23 | 31.43% | Oakland Raiders | 1659.75 | 27 | @ Kansas City Chiefs | 1683.36 | 24 |
| 4 | 1969-11-27 | 32.32% | San Diego Chargers | 1517.76 | 21 | @ Houston Oilers | 1534.19 | 17 |
| 5 | 1970-01-04 * | 34.89% | Kansas City Chiefs | 1684.79 | 17 | @ Oakland Raiders | 1696.46 | 7 |
| 6 | 1969-11-16 | 35.58% | Boston Patriots | 1388.92 | 25 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 1380.13 | 14 |
| 7 | 1969-11-30 | 36.85% | Boston Patriots | 1412.41 | 38 | @ Miami Dolphins | 1394.08 | 23 |
| 8 | 1969-09-21 | 37.14% | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 1358.54 | 34 | San Diego Chargers | 1531.49 | 20 |
| 9 | 1969-11-09 | 38.01% | Miami Dolphins | 1419.93 | 17 | @ Boston Patriots | 1392.97 | 16 |
| 10 | 1969-11-02 | 38.18% | @ Boston Patriots | 1373.19 | 24 | Houston Oilers | 1538.47 | 0 |
| 11 | 1969-09-21 | 41.70% | @ Denver Broncos | 1454.06 | 21 | New York Jets | 1593.85 | 19 |
| 12 | 1969-11-16 | 42.25% | Kansas City Chiefs | 1667.41 | 34 | @ New York Jets | 1609.85 | 16 |
| 13 | 1969-10-19 | 42.58% | Denver Broncos | 1432.35 | 30 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 1372.44 | 23 |
| 14 | 1969-12-06 | 42.68% | New York Jets | 1585.92 | 34 | @ Houston Oilers | 1525.30 | 26 |
| 15 | 1969-09-14 | 43.02% | Kansas City Chiefs | 1610.25 | 27 | @ San Diego Chargers | 1547.22 | 9 |
| 16 | 1969-11-30 | 43.79% | Oakland Raiders | 1667.56 | 27 | @ New York Jets | 1599.10 | 14 |
| 17 | 1969-12-20 * | 46.01% | Kansas City Chiefs | 1675.13 | 13 | @ New York Jets | 1606.18 | 6 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | |||
| 1 | 1969-11-02 | 19.79 | @ Boston Patriots | 24 | 1373.19 | 38.18% | Houston Oilers | 0 | 1538.47 | 57.49% |
| 2 | 1969-11-02 | 19.59 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 31 | 1359.54 | 21.07% | Oakland Raiders | 17 | 1670.55 | 74.67% |
| 3 | 1969-11-23 | 16.39 | Houston Oilers | 32 | 1517.80 | 49.36% | @ Miami Dolphins | 7 | 1410.47 | 46.31% |
| 4 | 1969-11-30 | 16.00 | Boston Patriots | 38 | 1412.41 | 36.85% | @ Miami Dolphins | 23 | 1394.08 | 58.83% |
| 5 | 1969-11-16 | 15.95 | Kansas City Chiefs | 34 | 1667.41 | 42.25% | @ New York Jets | 16 | 1609.85 | 53.42% |
| 6 | 1969-09-14 | 15.73 | Kansas City Chiefs | 27 | 1610.25 | 43.02% | @ San Diego Chargers | 9 | 1547.22 | 52.65% |
| 7 | 1969-09-21 | 15.38 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 34 | 1358.54 | 37.14% | San Diego Chargers | 20 | 1531.49 | 58.53% |
| 8 | 1969-11-16 | 13.99 | Boston Patriots | 25 | 1388.92 | 35.58% | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 14 | 1380.13 | 60.10% |
| 9 | 1970-01-04 * | 13.92 | Kansas City Chiefs | 17 | 1684.79 | 34.89% | @ Oakland Raiders | 7 | 1696.46 | 65.11% |
| 10 | 1969-11-16 | 13.51 | @ Buffalo Bills | 28 | 1397.80 | 57.76% | Miami Dolphins | 3 | 1423.98 | 37.91% |
| 11 | 1969-11-30 | 13.18 | Oakland Raiders | 27 | 1667.56 | 43.79% | @ New York Jets | 14 | 1599.10 | 51.88% |
| 12 | 1969-09-21 | 12.82 | Kansas City Chiefs | 31 | 1625.97 | 63.57% | @ Boston Patriots | 0 | 1414.41 | 32.11% |
| 13 | 1969-09-21 | 12.61 | Houston Oilers | 17 | 1526.31 | 47.97% | @ Buffalo Bills | 3 | 1428.60 | 47.69% |
| 14 | 1969-09-14 | 12.32 | @ Denver Broncos | 35 | 1441.74 | 63.18% | Boston Patriots | 7 | 1426.73 | 32.50% |
| 15 | 1969-11-02 | 12.00 | @ Denver Broncos | 13 | 1439.30 | 48.61% | San Diego Chargers | 0 | 1530.65 | 47.06% |
| 16 | 1969-10-26 | 11.00 | Oakland Raiders | 24 | 1659.55 | 50.87% | @ San Diego Chargers | 12 | 1541.65 | 44.80% |
| 17 | 1969-09-14 | 10.96 | New York Jets | 33 | 1582.89 | 54.46% | @ Buffalo Bills | 19 | 1439.56 | 41.21% |
| 18 | 1969-09-28 | 10.96 | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 24 | 1373.92 | 25.82% | Kansas City Chiefs | 19 | 1638.79 | 69.89% |
| 19 | 1969-10-26 | 10.86 | @ Miami Dolphins | 24 | 1411.03 | 59.88% | Buffalo Bills | 6 | 1421.48 | 35.80% |
| 20 | 1969-12-06 | 10.55 | New York Jets | 34 | 1585.92 | 42.68% | @ Houston Oilers | 26 | 1525.30 | 52.99% |
| 21 | 1969-09-28 | 10.33 | @ Buffalo Bills | 41 | 1415.99 | 55.39% | Denver Broncos | 28 | 1459.43 | 40.28% |
| 22 | 1969-10-19 | 9.89 | Denver Broncos | 30 | 1432.35 | 42.58% | @ Cincinnati Bengals | 23 | 1372.44 | 53.09% |
| 23 | 1969-12-14 | 9.71 | New York Jets | 27 | 1596.47 | 63.78% | @ Miami Dolphins | 9 | 1383.25 | 31.90% |
| 24 | 1969-12-20 * | 9.66 | Kansas City Chiefs | 13 | 1675.13 | 46.01% | @ New York Jets | 6 | 1606.18 | 53.99% |
| 25 | 1969-11-02 | 9.65 | Kansas City Chiefs | 29 | 1651.08 | 67.10% | @ Buffalo Bills | 7 | 1410.63 | 28.60% |