Home / Leagues / USL / 2020

2020 USL Season

275 regular-season games · 14 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Louisville City FC

USL Championship winner

Runner-Up

Saint Louis FC

USL Championship runner-up

Biggest Overachiever

Hartford Athletic

12.41 points above expected

34 points · 21.59 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Real Monarchs SLC

11.71 points below expected

11 points · 22.71 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pts Pt% GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Louisville City FC Conference 11 3 2 35 .729 28 12 +16 27.83 +7.17
2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Playoffs 11 4 1 34 .708 39 10 +29 32.21 +1.79
3 Hartford Athletic 11 3 1 34 .756 30 23 +7 21.59 +12.41
4 Tampa Bay Rowdies Playoffs 10 3 3 33 .688 25 11 +14 30.62 +2.38
5 Charleston Battery Playoffs 9 4 3 30 .625 27 18 +9 27.27 +2.73
6 Charlotte Independence Playoffs 7 3 4 25 .595 22 19 +3 20.01 +4.99
7 Birmingham Legion Playoffs 7 5 4 25 .521 29 19 +10 26.76 -1.76
8 FC Tulsa 6 2 7 25 .556 21 16 +5 20.20 +4.80
9 North Carolina FC 7 7 2 23 .479 19 21 -2 22.14 +0.86
10 Indy Eleven 7 7 2 23 .479 21 19 +2 25.62 -2.62
11 Sporting Kansas City 2 5 10 1 16 .333 21 30 -9 16.33 -0.33
12 Miami FC 4 8 4 16 .333 20 34 -14 15.11 +0.89
13 New York RB II 5 11 0 15 .312 30 37 -7 24.24 -9.24
14 Memphis 901 3 7 5 14 .311 22 31 -9 15.97 -1.97
15 Atlanta United II 3 10 3 12 .250 23 33 -10 16.56 -4.56
16 Loudoun United 2 10 3 9 .200 13 30 -17 15.44 -6.44
17 Philadelphia Union 2 2 11 2 8 .178 19 44 -25 13.34 -5.34
# Team W L T Pts Pt% GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Reno 1868 FC Conference 11 2 3 36 .750 43 21 +22 30.29 +5.71
2 Phoenix Rising Playoffs 11 3 2 35 .729 46 17 +29 31.85 +3.15
3 San Antonio FC Playoffs 10 3 3 33 .688 30 14 +16 29.88 +3.12
4 El Paso Locomotive Playoffs 9 2 5 32 .667 24 14 +10 24.72 +7.28
5 Sacramento Republic Playoffs 8 2 6 30 .625 27 17 +10 27.54 +2.46
6 New Mexico United Playoffs 8 4 3 27 .600 23 16 +7 22.56 +4.44
7 Los Angeles Galaxy II Playoffs 8 6 2 26 .542 29 32 -3 21.12 +4.88
8 Saint Louis FC Playoffs 7 5 4 25 .521 22 21 +1 21.81 +3.19
9 Orange County SC 7 6 3 24 .500 18 18 0 24.45 -0.45
10 San Diego Loyal 6 5 5 23 .479 17 18 -1 17.75 +5.25
11 Austin Bold 5 4 7 22 .458 30 27 +3 23.80 -1.80
12 Tacoma Defiance 4 10 2 14 .292 25 32 -7 17.87 -3.87
13 Colorado Springs Switchbacks 2 7 7 13 .271 19 28 -9 17.23 -4.23
14 Real Monarchs SLC 3 11 2 11 .229 13 25 -12 22.71 -11.71
15 Las Vegas Lights FC 2 9 5 11 .229 24 34 -10 16.98 -5.98
16 OKC Energy FC 1 8 7 10 .208 12 29 -17 18.64 -8.64
17 Portland Timbers 2 3 13 0 9 .188 20 50 -30 14.33 -5.33
18 Rio Grande Valley FC 2 9 3 9 .214 17 28 -11 15.24 -6.24

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Quarterfinals

Charleston Battery 2
Charlotte Independence 1

Oct 11

Tampa Bay Rowdies 4
Birmingham Legion 2

Oct 11

Louisville City FC 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0

Oct 11

Tampa Bay Rowdies 1
Charleston Battery 0

Oct 18

Conference Semifinals

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2
Louisville City FC 1

Oct 25

Western Conference

Conference Quarterfinals

Reno 1868 FC 4
Los Angeles Galaxy II 1

Oct 11

New Mexico United 1
San Antonio FC 0

Oct 11

Phoenix Rising 1
Sacramento Republic 0

Oct 11

Phoenix Rising 5
Reno 1868 FC 4

Oct 18

Conference Semifinals

El Paso Locomotive 5
New Mexico United 3

Oct 18

Phoenix Rising 4
El Paso Locomotive 2

Oct 25

USL Championship

Louisville City FC 2
Saint Louis FC 0

Oct 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Points Avg. Pts. Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Phoenix Rising Western 1741 35 31.85 +3.15 76.05% 11 23 28 32 35 40 48
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Eastern 1719 34 32.21 +1.79 67.26% 8 24 29 32 36 40 48
Louisville City FC Eastern 1683 35 27.83 +7.17 93.12% 5 19 24 28 31 36 48
Reno 1868 FC Western 1651 36 30.29 +5.71 89.14% 9 22 27 30 34 38 48
Tampa Bay Rowdies Eastern 1612 33 30.62 +2.38 71.16% 8 22 27 31 34 39 48
El Paso Locomotive Western 1610 32 24.72 +7.28 93.37% 6 16 21 25 28 33 48
San Antonio FC Western 1602 33 29.88 +3.12 75.47% 9 21 26 30 33 38 48
Sacramento Republic Western 1588 30 27.54 +2.46 71.52% 6 19 24 28 31 36 48
New Mexico United Western 1575 27 22.56 +4.44 83.30% 3 14 19 23 26 31 42
Hartford Athletic Eastern 1569 34 21.59 +12.41 99.63% 2 14 18 22 25 30 42
Charleston Battery Eastern 1568 30 27.27 +2.73 73.37% 6 19 24 27 31 36 46
Charlotte Independence Eastern 1531 25 20.01 +4.99 86.50% 2 12 17 20 23 28 40
Birmingham Legion Eastern 1525 25 26.76 -1.76 40.36% 4 18 23 27 30 35 46
Orange County SC Western 1521 24 24.45 -0.45 50.66% 5 16 21 24 28 33 46
Indy Eleven Eastern 1517 23 25.62 -2.62 34.53% 5 17 22 26 29 34 46
Saint Louis FC Western 1515 25 21.81 +3.19 76.18% 2 13 18 22 25 30 42
North Carolina FC Eastern 1514 23 22.14 +0.86 60.48% 2 14 19 22 26 31 46
FC Tulsa Eastern 1512 25 20.20 +4.80 85.42% 2 12 17 20 24 28 45
San Diego Loyal Western 1511 23 17.75 +5.25 87.10% 1 10 14 18 21 26 39
Austin Bold Western 1504 22 23.80 -1.80 40.58% 1 15 20 24 27 32 45
Los Angeles Galaxy II Western 1498 26 21.12 +4.88 84.94% 2 13 18 21 25 30 46
Sporting Kansas City 2 Eastern 1429 16 16.33 -0.33 52.75% 0 8 13 16 20 25 40
Memphis 901 Eastern 1421 14 15.97 -1.97 39.25% 0 8 13 16 19 24 38
Las Vegas Lights FC Western 1419 11 16.98 -5.98 13.61% 0 9 14 17 20 25 38
New York RB II Eastern 1415 15 24.24 -9.24 4.57% 4 16 21 24 28 33 45
Rio Grande Valley FC Western 1413 9 15.24 -6.24 11.01% 0 8 12 15 18 23 36
Real Monarchs SLC Western 1403 11 22.71 -11.71 1.39% 2 14 19 23 26 31 46
Miami FC Eastern 1394 16 15.11 +0.89 62.54% 0 7 12 15 18 23 37
Tacoma Defiance Western 1393 14 17.87 -3.87 25.85% 0 10 14 18 21 26 40
Colorado Springs Switchbacks Western 1391 13 17.23 -4.23 23.41% 0 9 14 17 21 26 40
Atlanta United II Eastern 1367 12 16.56 -4.56 21.16% 0 9 13 16 20 25 39
Loudoun United Eastern 1363 9 15.44 -6.44 10.08% 0 8 12 15 19 23 38
Portland Timbers 2 Western 1347 9 14.33 -5.33 15.64% 0 7 11 14 17 22 36
OKC Energy FC Western 1346 10 18.64 -8.64 4.84% 0 11 15 19 22 27 43
Philadelphia Union 2 Eastern 1331 8 13.34 -5.34 14.61% 0 6 10 13 16 21 34

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team II Legion Battery Independence Tulsa Athletic Eleven United FC 901 FC II FC 2 Riverhounds 2 Rowdies
Atlanta United II
0
(0.8 exp.)
1
(3.9 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
1
(1.5 exp.)
4
(5.4 exp.)
3
(1.0 exp.)
-
3
(1.2 exp.)
-
-
0
(2.7 exp.)
Birmingham Legion
3
(2.0 exp.)
3
(1.1 exp.)
7
(6.6 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
5
(7.5 exp.)
3
(1.8 exp.)
-
3
(6.4 exp.)
-
-
-
1
(1.3 exp.)
Charleston Battery
10
(7.3 exp.)
0
(1.7 exp.)
1
(1.4 exp.)
-
-
-
0
(2.4 exp.)
-
-
7
(8.5 exp.)
-
3
(1.2 exp.)
-
-
-
9
(4.7 exp.)
Charlotte Independence
-
4
(4.6 exp.)
1
(1.3 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
7
(4.6 exp.)
1
(3.7 exp.)
-
9
(4.5 exp.)
-
-
3
(1.3 exp.)
-
FC Tulsa
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0
(1.6 exp.)
-
Hartford Athletic
-
-
-
-
-
0
(0.9 exp.)
10
(6.8 exp.)
-
-
-
12
(5.6 exp.)
-
9
(6.0 exp.)
3
(2.2 exp.)
-
-
Indy Eleven
-
-
-
-
-
3
(1.9 exp.)
-
1
(5.7 exp.)
3
(1.5 exp.)
-
-
-
-
6
(2.3 exp.)
6
(8.0 exp.)
-
Loudoun United
-
-
3
(0.5 exp.)
-
-
1
(4.3 exp.)
-
0
(1.0 exp.)
-
-
3
(2.2 exp.)
0
(1.0 exp.)
2
(4.8 exp.)
0
(1.6 exp.)
-
-
Louisville City FC
-
-
-
-
-
-
10
(5.4 exp.)
3
(1.8 exp.)
3
(2.4 exp.)
-
-
3
(1.4 exp.)
-
0
(1.6 exp.)
9
(8.1 exp.)
-
Memphis 901
1
(1.3 exp.)
5
(3.7 exp.)
-
1
(3.7 exp.)
-
-
0
(1.2 exp.)
-
0
(0.5 exp.)
-
-
4
(4.5 exp.)
-
-
-
-
Miami FC
7
(5.8 exp.)
0
(1.0 exp.)
4
(2.8 exp.)
4
(1.9 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1
(2.7 exp.)
New York RB II
0
(1.8 exp.)
-
-
-
-
0
(5.5 exp.)
-
3
(3.3 exp.)
-
-
-
0
(1.6 exp.)
9
(7.7 exp.)
3
(2.9 exp.)
-
0
(1.5 exp.)
North Carolina FC
-
9
(4.8 exp.)
0
(1.5 exp.)
0
(3.8 exp.)
-
-
-
3
(1.8 exp.)
0
(1.4 exp.)
7
(6.6 exp.)
-
3
(1.2 exp.)
-
-
-
1
(1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Union 2
0
(1.5 exp.)
-
-
-
-
0
(2.4 exp.)
-
5
(3.6 exp.)
-
-
-
3
(3.6 exp.)
-
0
(1.8 exp.)
-
0
(0.5 exp.)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
-
-
-
-
-
6
(6.3 exp.)
0
(3.3 exp.)
9
(6.9 exp.)
3
(1.2 exp.)
-
-
6
(5.5 exp.)
-
9
(6.8 exp.)
-
-
Sporting Kansas City 2
-
-
-
0
(1.5 exp.)
3
(1.2 exp.)
-
6
(3.2 exp.)
-
3
(3.1 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
12
(8.6 exp.)
1
(1.5 exp.)
3
(6.4 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
10
(8.7 exp.)
3
(1.3 exp.)
1
(1.7 exp.)
3
(2.4 exp.)
-
-

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team Bold Switchbacks Locomotive FC II United FC SC Rising 2 SLC FC FC Republic FC FC Loyal Defiance
Atlanta United II
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Birmingham Legion
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Charleston Battery
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Charlotte Independence
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
FC Tulsa
3
(3.8 exp.)
3
(1.9 exp.)
-
-
-
-
5
(5.0 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
6
(3.1 exp.)
1
(0.9 exp.)
3
(1.0 exp.)
4
(2.9 exp.)
-
-
Hartford Athletic
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Indy Eleven
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
4
(6.2 exp.)
-
-
-
Loudoun United
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Louisville City FC
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
7
(7.0 exp.)
-
-
-
Memphis 901
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
3
(1.0 exp.)
-
-
-
Miami FC
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0
(1.0 exp.)
-
-
-
New York RB II
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
North Carolina FC
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Philadelphia Union 2
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1
(2.1 exp.)
-
-
-
Sporting Kansas City 2
0
(1.1 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
3
(1.7 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1
(4.4 exp.)
-
-
-
Tampa Bay Rowdies
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-

Within Western

Team Bold Switchbacks Locomotive FC II United FC SC Rising 2 SLC FC FC Republic FC FC Loyal Defiance
Austin Bold
1
(1.6 exp.)
-
-
-
3
(1.6 exp.)
2
(5.3 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
6
(5.2 exp.)
-
-
4
(4.0 exp.)
-
-
Colorado Springs Switchbacks
1
(1.2 exp.)
2
(3.7 exp.)
-
-
4
(4.1 exp.)
4
(2.8 exp.)
-
-
-
2
(4.6 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
El Paso Locomotive
-
8
(7.5 exp.)
-
-
5
(5.7 exp.)
-
1
(1.1 exp.)
0
(0.8 exp.)
-
12
(6.6 exp.)
-
3
(1.8 exp.)
-
-
3
(1.2 exp.)
-
-
Las Vegas Lights FC
-
-
-
1
(3.6 exp.)
-
-
3
(4.0 exp.)
1
(2.0 exp.)
-
-
1
(1.6 exp.)
-
-
-
-
2
(4.3 exp.)
3
(1.4 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy II
-
-
-
7
(4.7 exp.)
-
-
6
(4.7 exp.)
0
(2.5 exp.)
3
(1.9 exp.)
-
-
3
(1.3 exp.)
3
(1.5 exp.)
-
-
4
(4.6 exp.)
-
New Mexico United
0
(1.2 exp.)
7
(7.1 exp.)
5
(5.5 exp.)
-
-
3
(1.3 exp.)
-
0
(1.1 exp.)
-
12
(6.4 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
OKC Energy FC
5
(3.1 exp.)
1
(2.8 exp.)
-
-
-
0
(1.5 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
2
(4.5 exp.)
-
-
0
(2.3 exp.)
-
-
Orange County SC
-
-
1
(1.7 exp.)
9
(7.2 exp.)
6
(6.5 exp.)
-
-
4
(2.8 exp.)
-
-
-
-
0
(1.2 exp.)
-
-
4
(5.1 exp.)
-
Phoenix Rising
-
-
3
(2.0 exp.)
7
(6.5 exp.)
9
(6.0 exp.)
3
(1.7 exp.)
-
4
(5.6 exp.)
3
(1.9 exp.)
-
0
(1.7 exp.)
-
-
-
-
6
(6.4 exp.)
-
Portland Timbers 2
-
-
-
-
0
(0.9 exp.)
-
-
-
0
(0.9 exp.)
3
(0.8 exp.)
0
(2.6 exp.)
-
0
(2.7 exp.)
-
-
-
6
(6.5 exp.)
Real Monarchs SLC
-
8
(6.6 exp.)
0
(4.5 exp.)
-
-
0
(4.8 exp.)
-
-
-
0
(2.0 exp.)
-
-
-
-
0
(1.4 exp.)
0
(1.8 exp.)
3
(1.6 exp.)
Reno 1868 FC
-
-
-
4
(4.0 exp.)
-
-
-
-
3
(1.1 exp.)
12
(8.8 exp.)
-
-
2
(6.5 exp.)
-
-
3
(1.8 exp.)
12
(8.1 exp.)
Rio Grande Valley FC
3
(3.2 exp.)
-
0
(1.0 exp.)
-
0
(1.5 exp.)
-
5
(3.8 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1
(3.3 exp.)
-
-
Sacramento Republic
-
-
-
-
0
(1.3 exp.)
-
-
3
(1.6 exp.)
-
12
(8.6 exp.)
-
8
(4.7 exp.)
-
-
-
1
(1.4 exp.)
5
(8.0 exp.)
Saint Louis FC
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
San Antonio FC
7
(7.2 exp.)
-
0
(1.6 exp.)
-
-
-
9
(6.2 exp.)
-
-
-
3
(1.4 exp.)
-
10
(8.0 exp.)
-
-
-
-
San Diego Loyal
-
-
-
5
(4.0 exp.)
4
(3.8 exp.)
-
-
4
(3.2 exp.)
3
(2.1 exp.)
-
3
(0.9 exp.)
0
(1.0 exp.)
-
1
(1.3 exp.)
-
-
3
(1.3 exp.)
Tacoma Defiance
-
-
-
0
(1.4 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
9
(7.4 exp.)
0
(1.2 exp.)
0
(3.2 exp.)
-
5
(3.2 exp.)
-
-
0
(1.4 exp.)

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team II Legion Battery Independence Tulsa Athletic Eleven United FC 901 FC II FC 2 Riverhounds 2 Rowdies
Austin Bold
-
-
-
-
3
(4.5 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
3
(1.7 exp.)
-
Colorado Springs Switchbacks
-
-
-
-
0
(0.9 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
El Paso Locomotive
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Las Vegas Lights FC
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Los Angeles Galaxy II
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
New Mexico United
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
OKC Energy FC
-
-
-
-
2
(3.4 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0
(1.1 exp.)
-
Orange County SC
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Phoenix Rising
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Portland Timbers 2
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Real Monarchs SLC
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Reno 1868 FC
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Rio Grande Valley FC
-
-
-
-
0
(2.4 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Sacramento Republic
-
-
-
-
1
(1.9 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Saint Louis FC
-
-
-
-
0
(1.8 exp.)
-
7
(4.9 exp.)
-
4
(4.1 exp.)
0
(1.8 exp.)
3
(1.8 exp.)
-
-
-
1
(0.8 exp.)
10
(6.7 exp.)
-
San Antonio FC
-
-
-
-
4
(5.5 exp.)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
San Diego Loyal
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Tacoma Defiance
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.36%8.36%4.18%3.27%1.64%0.55%22.36%
18.36%10.18%8.55%3.82%2.36%0.91%34.18%
24.18%8.55%4.36%3.45%0.91%0.55%22.00%
33.27%3.82%3.45%1.82%0.55%0.18%13.09%
41.64%2.36%0.91%0.55%0.36%0.18%6.00%
5+0.55%0.91%0.55%0.18%0.18%2.36%
Total22.36%34.18%22.00%13.09%6.00%2.36%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 1.54 +0.00
SD 1.30 1.30 1.88
CV 0.84 0.84
Max 7 7 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 275

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%6.25%25.00%
16.25%25.00%6.25%37.50%
26.25%12.50%6.25%25.00%
3
46.25%6.25%
5+6.25%6.25%
Total25.00%43.75%31.25%100%

Atlanta United II — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 2.06 -0.62
SD 1.41 0.77 1.26
CV 0.98 0.37
Max 5 3 +2
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%12.50%
16.25%18.75%6.25%31.25%
26.25%12.50%6.25%6.25%31.25%
36.25%6.25%
46.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%
5+
Total18.75%31.25%25.00%12.50%12.50%100%

Austin Bold — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.69 +0.19
SD 1.31 1.30 1.64
CV 0.70 0.77
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%
16.25%18.75%12.50%12.50%50.00%
26.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%
36.25%6.25%
46.25%12.50%18.75%
5+
Total25.00%43.75%18.75%12.50%100%

Birmingham Legion — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 1.19 +0.62
SD 1.28 0.98 1.89
CV 0.70 0.83
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%
118.75%18.75%6.25%6.25%50.00%
26.25%6.25%12.50%
312.50%6.25%6.25%6.25%31.25%
4
5+
Total37.50%31.25%18.75%6.25%6.25%100%

Charleston Battery — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.12 +0.56
SD 1.01 1.20 1.55
CV 0.60 1.07
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%
114.29%14.29%7.14%14.29%50.00%
27.14%7.14%7.14%21.43%
314.29%7.14%21.43%
4
5+
Total28.57%35.71%21.43%14.29%100%

Charlotte Independence — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.36 +0.21
SD 0.94 1.34 1.63
CV 0.60 0.98
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%6.25%6.25%31.25%
112.50%18.75%6.25%37.50%
212.50%6.25%18.75%
36.25%6.25%
46.25%6.25%
5+
Total18.75%31.25%25.00%6.25%18.75%100%

Colorado Springs Switchbacks — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.75 -0.56
SD 1.17 1.39 1.09
CV 0.98 0.79
Max 4 4 +1
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
025.00%25.00%
118.75%6.25%6.25%31.25%
218.75%6.25%25.00%
36.25%6.25%
46.25%6.25%12.50%
5+
Total50.00%18.75%25.00%6.25%100%

El Paso Locomotive — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.88 +0.62
SD 1.32 1.02 1.31
CV 0.88 1.17
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%13.33%
16.67%26.67%6.67%40.00%
213.33%13.33%13.33%40.00%
36.67%6.67%
4
5+
Total26.67%40.00%33.33%100%

FC Tulsa — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.40 1.07 +0.33
SD 0.83 0.80 1.05
CV 0.59 0.75
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%13.33%
113.33%6.67%20.00%
26.67%13.33%6.67%26.67%
36.67%13.33%13.33%33.33%
46.67%6.67%
5+
Total26.67%33.33%20.00%6.67%6.67%6.67%100%

Hartford Athletic — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.53 +0.47
SD 1.20 1.51 2.33
CV 0.60 0.98
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%6.25%25.00%
112.50%12.50%12.50%6.25%43.75%
26.25%12.50%18.75%
3
46.25%6.25%12.50%
5+
Total18.75%50.00%25.00%6.25%100%

Indy Eleven — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.19 +0.12
SD 1.25 0.83 1.50
CV 0.95 0.70
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%6.25%25.00%
112.50%6.25%6.25%25.00%
212.50%6.25%6.25%25.00%
312.50%6.25%6.25%25.00%
4
5+
Total43.75%25.00%12.50%12.50%6.25%100%

Las Vegas Lights FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 2.12 -0.62
SD 1.15 1.31 1.45
CV 0.77 0.62
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 1 -4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%12.50%
112.50%6.25%12.50%12.50%43.75%
26.25%6.25%12.50%
36.25%12.50%18.75%
46.25%6.25%
5+6.25%6.25%
Total12.50%25.00%31.25%12.50%18.75%100%

Los Angeles Galaxy II — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.81 2.00 -0.19
SD 1.42 1.32 2.17
CV 0.79 0.66
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%13.33%6.67%6.67%46.67%
16.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%26.67%
26.67%6.67%6.67%20.00%
36.67%6.67%
4
5+
Total6.67%33.33%26.67%20.00%13.33%100%

Loudoun United — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 2.00 -1.13
SD 0.99 1.20 1.60
CV 1.14 0.60
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%
125.00%12.50%6.25%6.25%50.00%
212.50%6.25%18.75%
36.25%6.25%12.50%
412.50%12.50%
5+
Total43.75%43.75%6.25%6.25%100%

Louisville City FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 0.75 +1.00
SD 1.18 0.86 1.51
CV 0.68 1.14
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%6.67%20.00%
16.67%13.33%6.67%26.67%
220.00%13.33%6.67%40.00%
36.67%6.67%13.33%
4
5+
Total6.67%26.67%33.33%20.00%13.33%100%

Memphis 901 — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 2.07 -0.60
SD 0.99 1.16 1.45
CV 0.68 0.56
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%6.25%12.50%6.25%37.50%
112.50%6.25%6.25%25.00%
212.50%6.25%18.75%
36.25%6.25%12.50%
46.25%6.25%
5+
Total6.25%37.50%12.50%25.00%18.75%100%

Miami FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 2.12 -0.88
SD 1.29 1.31 1.78
CV 1.03 0.62
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%13.33%
113.33%6.67%6.67%26.67%
220.00%13.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%53.33%
36.67%6.67%
4
5+
Total46.67%26.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%100%

New Mexico United — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.07 +0.47
SD 0.83 1.44 1.55
CV 0.54 1.35
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%12.50%31.25%
112.50%6.25%6.25%25.00%
26.25%6.25%12.50%
36.25%6.25%12.50%
4
5+6.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%
Total6.25%25.00%25.00%25.00%12.50%6.25%100%

New York RB II — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 2.31 -0.44
SD 2.00 1.35 2.53
CV 1.06 0.58
Max 6 5 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%6.25%6.25%31.25%
118.75%6.25%6.25%31.25%
212.50%6.25%6.25%25.00%
36.25%6.25%12.50%
4
5+
Total25.00%37.50%18.75%18.75%100%

North Carolina FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.19 1.31 -0.12
SD 1.05 1.08 1.54
CV 0.88 0.82
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%6.25%18.75%6.25%50.00%
125.00%6.25%31.25%
26.25%6.25%12.50%
36.25%6.25%
4
5+
Total18.75%31.25%12.50%25.00%12.50%100%

OKC Energy FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.75 1.81 -1.06
SD 0.93 1.38 1.61
CV 1.24 0.76
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%6.25%25.00%
118.75%6.25%12.50%12.50%50.00%
26.25%12.50%18.75%
3
46.25%6.25%
5+
Total37.50%25.00%25.00%12.50%100%

Orange County SC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.12 +0.00
SD 1.02 1.09 1.37
CV 0.91 0.97
Max 4 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%6.67%6.67%13.33%40.00%
16.67%13.33%6.67%26.67%
213.33%13.33%
36.67%6.67%
46.67%6.67%13.33%
5+
Total13.33%6.67%26.67%20.00%6.67%26.67%100%

Philadelphia Union 2 — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.93 -1.67
SD 1.44 1.94 2.64
CV 1.13 0.66
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%
16.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%
212.50%6.25%18.75%
36.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%
46.25%12.50%18.75%
5+12.50%6.25%18.75%
Total31.25%43.75%12.50%12.50%100%

Phoenix Rising — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.88 1.06 +1.81
SD 1.71 1.00 1.94
CV 0.59 0.94
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
018.75%18.75%
16.25%6.25%12.50%
26.25%6.25%6.25%18.75%
318.75%6.25%25.00%
46.25%6.25%12.50%
5+12.50%12.50%
Total50.00%37.50%12.50%100%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.44 0.62 +1.81
SD 1.79 0.72 2.23
CV 0.73 1.15
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%12.50%25.00%
118.75%6.25%12.50%37.50%
26.25%6.25%12.50%25.00%
36.25%6.25%12.50%
4
5+
Total6.25%18.75%18.75%12.50%18.75%25.00%100%

Portland Timbers 2 — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 3.12 -1.88
SD 1.00 2.00 2.47
CV 0.80 0.64
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
031.25%18.75%6.25%56.25%
16.25%6.25%12.50%25.00%
26.25%6.25%
36.25%6.25%
46.25%6.25%
5+
Total6.25%50.00%31.25%6.25%6.25%100%

Real Monarchs SLC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.81 1.56 -0.75
SD 1.22 0.96 1.57
CV 1.51 0.62
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%
16.25%6.25%12.50%
218.75%6.25%25.00%
312.50%6.25%6.25%25.00%
46.25%6.25%
5+6.25%12.50%18.75%
Total6.25%62.50%25.00%6.25%100%

Reno 1868 FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.69 1.31 +1.38
SD 1.89 0.70 1.78
CV 0.70 0.54
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%21.43%
114.29%14.29%7.14%7.14%7.14%50.00%
27.14%14.29%21.43%
3
47.14%7.14%
5+
Total14.29%28.57%21.43%21.43%7.14%7.14%100%

Rio Grande Valley FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 2.00 -0.79
SD 1.05 1.47 1.63
CV 0.87 0.73
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%12.50%18.75%
118.75%12.50%31.25%
218.75%18.75%
36.25%18.75%25.00%
46.25%6.25%
5+
Total31.25%50.00%18.75%100%

Sacramento Republic — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.69 1.06 +0.62
SD 1.25 1.06 1.20
CV 0.74 1.00
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%6.25%31.25%
112.50%18.75%31.25%
26.25%6.25%12.50%
36.25%12.50%18.75%
46.25%6.25%
5+
Total12.50%50.00%31.25%6.25%100%

Saint Louis FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.31 +0.06
SD 1.31 0.79 1.57
CV 0.95 0.60
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%12.50%
112.50%12.50%12.50%37.50%
212.50%12.50%
36.25%6.25%12.50%25.00%
46.25%6.25%12.50%
5+
Total43.75%25.00%31.25%100%

San Antonio FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 0.88 +1.00
SD 1.31 0.89 1.46
CV 0.70 1.01
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%6.25%12.50%6.25%37.50%
16.25%18.75%6.25%31.25%
26.25%12.50%18.75%
36.25%6.25%12.50%
4
5+
Total31.25%37.50%18.75%12.50%100%

San Diego Loyal — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.12 -0.06
SD 1.06 1.02 1.61
CV 1.00 0.91
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%12.50%
16.25%6.25%25.00%6.25%6.25%50.00%
218.75%12.50%31.25%
36.25%6.25%
4
5+
Total12.50%31.25%25.00%18.75%12.50%100%

Sporting Kansas City 2 — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.31 1.88 -0.56
SD 0.79 1.26 1.71
CV 0.60 0.67
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.25%12.50%
16.25%18.75%25.00%50.00%
26.25%6.25%12.50%
36.25%12.50%18.75%
46.25%6.25%
5+
Total18.75%12.50%18.75%50.00%100%

Tacoma Defiance — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 2.00 -0.44
SD 1.15 1.21 1.90
CV 0.74 0.61
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 16

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%
112.50%12.50%6.25%31.25%
218.75%18.75%6.25%43.75%
312.50%12.50%
4
5+
Total43.75%43.75%12.50%100%

Tampa Bay Rowdies — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.56 0.69 +0.88
SD 0.89 0.70 1.31
CV 0.57 1.02
Max 3 2 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 16

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.48 +8.4
Allowed 0.66 -8.0
Differential 0.86 +6.2

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Hartford Athletic 34 21.59 +12.41
2 El Paso Locomotive 32 24.72 +7.28
3 Louisville City FC 35 27.83 +7.17
4 Reno 1868 FC 36 30.29 +5.71
5 San Diego Loyal 23 17.75 +5.25

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Real Monarchs SLC 11 22.71 -11.71
2 New York RB II 15 24.24 -9.24
3 OKC Energy FC 10 18.64 -8.64
4 Loudoun United 9 15.44 -6.44
5 Rio Grande Valley FC 9 15.24 -6.24

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hartford Athletic 5 Sep 17 – Oct 5 1 in 98
2 San Diego Loyal 3 Sep 10 – Sep 20 1 in 79
3 Charlotte Independence 4 Sep 3 – Sep 20 1 in 57
4 Sacramento Republic 6 Aug 9 – Sep 10 1 in 57
5 El Paso Locomotive 5 Aug 30 – Sep 20 1 in 56

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Portland Timbers 2 10 Mar 8 – Sep 6 1 in 237
2 Tacoma Defiance 6 Aug 9 – Sep 18 1 in 100
3 New York RB II 4 Aug 5 – Aug 16 1 in 75
4 Charleston Battery 2 Sep 27 – Oct 1 1 in 45
5 Real Monarchs SLC 4 Aug 16 – Aug 30 1 in 40

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 San Diego Loyal 6 Aug 30 – Sep 24 1 in 113
2 El Paso Locomotive 11 Aug 9 – Oct 4 1 in 91
3 Sacramento Republic 10 Aug 2 – Sep 27 1 in 52
4 Louisville City FC 11 Aug 9 – Oct 4 1 in 46
5 Austin Bold 8 Aug 9 – Sep 9 1 in 37

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 OKC Energy FC 13 Jul 23 – Oct 4 1 in 115
2 Colorado Springs Switchbacks 11 Jul 12 – Sep 17 1 in 61
3 Rio Grande Valley FC 12 Mar 8 – Sep 6 1 in 60
4 Las Vegas Lights FC 9 Aug 30 – Oct 4 1 in 23
5 Loudoun United 9 Aug 16 – Sep 19 1 in 23

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team1234567891011121314151617
Pittsburgh Riverhounds35.70%22.14%14.30%9.60%6.39%4.37%2.89%1.84%1.14%0.76%0.41%0.24%0.11%0.07%0.03%0.01%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Rowdies23.98%20.82%15.35%11.61%8.78%6.36%4.56%3.13%1.96%1.38%0.91%0.54%0.29%0.17%0.10%0.06%0.01%
Louisville City FC11.06%13.26%13.99%12.87%11.18%9.58%7.73%6.00%4.71%3.25%2.35%1.58%1.09%0.68%0.39%0.21%0.07%
Charleston Battery9.37%11.91%12.58%12.60%11.71%10.30%8.40%6.57%5.13%3.80%2.78%1.91%1.31%0.81%0.47%0.25%0.11%
Birmingham Legion7.37%10.53%12.53%12.40%11.64%10.15%8.54%7.13%5.78%4.35%3.28%2.33%1.66%1.12%0.67%0.38%0.15%
Indy Eleven5.74%8.23%9.98%10.69%10.85%10.71%9.71%8.66%6.94%5.56%4.26%3.05%2.23%1.56%1.02%0.56%0.25%
New York RB II3.46%5.38%7.15%8.80%9.99%10.57%10.49%9.30%8.38%7.08%5.75%4.44%3.42%2.44%1.73%1.03%0.59%
North Carolina FC1.49%3.07%4.67%6.12%7.32%8.33%8.93%9.53%9.42%8.83%8.12%6.73%5.57%4.62%3.50%2.45%1.29%
Hartford Athletic0.85%1.84%3.37%4.88%6.60%8.03%9.38%10.11%10.38%9.93%8.60%7.42%6.04%4.85%3.65%2.51%1.53%
FC Tulsa0.35%0.86%1.83%3.02%4.37%5.88%7.68%8.99%9.93%10.45%10.34%9.66%8.33%6.84%5.38%3.92%2.19%
Charlotte Independence0.34%0.99%2.11%3.38%4.69%5.90%7.20%8.71%9.46%9.93%9.73%9.24%8.21%7.14%5.80%4.48%2.70%
Atlanta United II0.10%0.31%0.60%1.01%1.60%2.31%3.23%4.28%5.63%6.93%8.53%9.90%10.78%11.09%11.34%11.18%11.17%
Sporting Kansas City 20.06%0.24%0.52%0.90%1.49%2.14%3.05%4.09%5.29%6.60%8.07%9.61%10.98%12.05%12.48%12.11%10.30%
Memphis 9010.03%0.18%0.42%0.83%1.27%2.00%2.90%3.96%5.10%6.32%7.74%9.21%10.69%11.57%12.79%13.17%11.82%
Loudoun United0.04%0.11%0.25%0.55%0.91%1.47%2.30%3.30%4.32%5.82%7.42%9.03%10.60%12.24%13.29%13.90%14.45%
Miami FC0.05%0.12%0.27%0.57%0.84%1.32%2.02%2.79%4.06%5.49%7.00%8.64%10.16%11.73%13.51%15.29%16.13%
Philadelphia Union 2<0.01%0.02%0.08%0.17%0.35%0.60%1.01%1.63%2.36%3.51%4.71%6.46%8.53%11.01%13.85%18.47%27.23%
Team123456789101112131415161718
Phoenix Rising33.47%20.91%14.24%9.56%6.57%4.80%3.29%2.32%1.69%1.19%0.73%0.48%0.33%0.21%0.11%0.06%0.03%<0.01%
Reno 1868 FC22.15%19.24%15.37%11.65%8.82%6.49%4.84%3.55%2.47%1.77%1.24%0.87%0.61%0.41%0.26%0.14%0.08%0.03%
San Antonio FC18.75%18.75%15.84%11.96%9.10%6.98%5.16%3.96%2.88%2.12%1.54%1.14%0.72%0.50%0.30%0.17%0.09%0.03%
Sacramento Republic9.93%12.16%12.65%12.15%10.87%9.40%7.85%6.38%5.02%3.84%2.97%2.29%1.59%1.15%0.81%0.48%0.32%0.14%
El Paso Locomotive3.61%5.99%7.97%9.44%9.67%9.46%9.03%8.26%7.32%6.52%5.59%4.65%3.82%3.09%2.35%1.66%1.07%0.51%
Orange County SC3.64%5.59%7.32%8.64%9.26%9.40%9.10%8.38%7.73%6.73%5.69%4.95%4.06%3.28%2.58%1.83%1.21%0.60%
Austin Bold2.68%4.75%6.20%7.56%8.49%8.77%8.97%8.76%8.09%7.18%6.54%5.58%4.67%3.80%3.06%2.34%1.62%0.93%
Real Monarchs SLC1.63%3.31%4.81%6.26%7.33%7.98%8.24%8.45%8.24%7.87%7.27%6.40%5.80%5.12%4.20%3.31%2.39%1.40%
New Mexico United1.34%2.96%4.61%6.30%7.23%8.05%8.49%8.38%8.17%8.04%7.45%6.72%5.95%5.12%4.23%3.38%2.30%1.27%
Saint Louis FC0.94%2.05%3.31%4.68%5.76%6.92%7.78%8.34%8.62%8.67%8.25%7.73%7.06%6.12%5.15%4.09%2.86%1.69%
Los Angeles Galaxy II0.95%1.85%2.97%4.14%5.31%6.12%6.92%7.58%8.13%8.32%8.05%7.81%7.36%6.75%5.84%5.05%3.97%2.87%
OKC Energy FC0.22%0.61%1.16%1.82%2.61%3.50%4.50%5.30%6.22%6.99%7.92%8.73%8.98%9.15%9.00%8.74%8.01%6.53%
Tacoma Defiance0.20%0.48%0.93%1.42%2.15%2.84%3.52%4.34%5.44%6.38%7.52%8.39%9.02%9.50%9.33%9.53%9.52%9.49%
San Diego Loyal0.22%0.53%0.87%1.44%2.15%2.85%3.50%4.47%5.33%6.34%7.11%7.93%8.67%9.54%9.90%10.11%10.00%9.05%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks0.11%0.34%0.74%1.26%1.86%2.48%3.24%4.01%4.94%5.59%6.68%7.45%8.53%9.46%10.60%11.09%11.44%10.17%
Las Vegas Lights FC0.11%0.33%0.66%1.06%1.58%2.15%2.91%3.72%4.61%5.69%6.54%7.45%8.63%9.57%10.63%11.24%11.74%11.37%
Rio Grande Valley FC0.02%0.07%0.21%0.38%0.72%1.07%1.51%2.20%2.90%3.80%5.01%6.21%7.63%9.11%11.19%13.64%16.01%18.32%
Portland Timbers 20.03%0.08%0.16%0.27%0.52%0.73%1.15%1.59%2.20%2.94%3.91%5.21%6.55%8.13%10.46%13.14%17.35%25.59%
Team1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132333435
Pittsburgh Riverhounds20.08%15.26%11.86%9.87%8.00%6.54%5.26%4.29%3.64%2.91%2.48%2.04%1.62%1.27%1.03%0.80%0.69%0.56%0.43%0.35%0.25%0.20%0.15%0.14%0.08%0.06%0.04%0.04%0.02%0.02%0.01%<0.01%<0.01%-<0.01%
Phoenix Rising18.79%14.40%11.61%9.53%7.84%6.53%5.49%4.49%3.78%3.17%2.59%2.23%1.78%1.49%1.23%1.03%0.88%0.71%0.53%0.46%0.36%0.24%0.24%0.18%0.12%0.10%0.06%0.04%0.04%0.03%0.02%<0.01%<0.01%<0.01%-
Tampa Bay Rowdies12.64%11.64%10.60%9.34%8.21%7.21%6.17%5.29%4.55%4.01%3.51%2.92%2.53%2.10%1.75%1.47%1.21%0.98%0.79%0.68%0.53%0.44%0.35%0.26%0.22%0.16%0.14%0.09%0.06%0.06%0.03%0.03%0.01%0.01%<0.01%
Reno 1868 FC11.58%10.74%10.25%9.09%8.20%7.14%6.37%5.60%4.86%4.17%3.59%3.06%2.68%2.24%1.91%1.65%1.30%1.10%0.91%0.76%0.60%0.46%0.41%0.37%0.26%0.19%0.18%0.12%0.08%0.07%0.03%0.02%0.02%<0.01%<0.01%
San Antonio FC9.80%10.11%9.57%8.74%8.08%7.24%6.51%5.86%5.01%4.42%3.78%3.24%2.90%2.42%2.11%1.82%1.55%1.30%1.06%0.97%0.69%0.62%0.54%0.41%0.29%0.28%0.20%0.15%0.11%0.09%0.05%0.04%0.03%0.01%<0.01%
Louisville City FC5.15%6.07%6.70%6.69%6.83%6.50%6.38%6.01%5.63%5.23%4.69%4.34%3.96%3.57%3.27%2.93%2.46%2.19%1.96%1.66%1.39%1.22%1.04%0.90%0.74%0.63%0.48%0.39%0.30%0.24%0.20%0.14%0.08%0.05%0.01%
Sacramento Republic4.32%5.58%6.15%6.40%6.47%6.42%6.36%6.14%5.77%5.39%4.98%4.58%4.23%3.83%3.42%3.12%2.66%2.31%1.98%1.75%1.54%1.32%1.09%0.93%0.76%0.62%0.48%0.38%0.32%0.24%0.17%0.12%0.08%0.06%0.02%
Charleston Battery4.07%5.26%5.71%6.14%6.10%6.11%6.17%6.02%5.74%5.49%5.06%4.69%4.40%3.95%3.52%3.23%2.78%2.46%2.20%1.87%1.67%1.43%1.21%1.01%0.86%0.73%0.53%0.46%0.35%0.26%0.20%0.15%0.09%0.07%0.03%
Birmingham Legion3.31%4.33%5.09%5.50%5.89%5.98%6.04%5.85%5.66%5.32%5.10%4.71%4.40%4.09%3.83%3.36%3.12%2.85%2.38%2.03%1.93%1.60%1.42%1.25%1.06%0.87%0.73%0.60%0.53%0.36%0.30%0.21%0.14%0.11%0.05%
Indy Eleven2.37%3.25%3.88%4.43%4.77%5.01%5.04%5.23%5.19%5.28%5.02%4.81%4.75%4.46%4.23%3.85%3.61%3.36%3.05%2.74%2.44%2.20%1.89%1.71%1.46%1.21%1.09%0.94%0.75%0.61%0.44%0.40%0.26%0.16%0.10%
El Paso Locomotive1.40%2.15%2.85%3.43%4.00%4.31%4.71%4.81%4.95%5.05%5.02%5.07%4.75%4.57%4.40%4.30%4.05%3.66%3.55%3.14%2.79%2.65%2.34%2.13%1.88%1.67%1.38%1.26%1.01%0.80%0.68%0.52%0.38%0.25%0.10%
Orange County SC1.42%2.12%2.59%3.18%3.58%4.11%4.36%4.56%4.72%4.83%4.90%4.88%4.91%4.74%4.54%4.24%4.13%3.86%3.60%3.27%3.16%2.74%2.51%2.22%2.02%1.78%1.48%1.32%1.13%0.92%0.75%0.59%0.44%0.25%0.14%
New York RB II1.28%1.85%2.49%2.99%3.35%3.84%4.07%4.40%4.75%4.68%4.91%4.92%4.85%4.79%4.53%4.38%4.25%3.93%3.75%3.51%3.12%2.82%2.63%2.36%2.08%1.80%1.65%1.36%1.23%1.06%0.76%0.63%0.47%0.31%0.21%
Austin Bold0.97%1.71%2.13%2.74%3.06%3.48%3.85%4.04%4.43%4.56%4.68%4.65%4.78%4.66%4.68%4.38%4.26%4.00%3.86%3.60%3.35%3.10%2.91%2.58%2.30%2.09%1.83%1.59%1.43%1.19%0.97%0.80%0.64%0.43%0.24%
Real Monarchs SLC0.53%1.02%1.50%1.96%2.31%2.66%3.08%3.32%3.79%3.94%4.21%4.34%4.46%4.54%4.56%4.46%4.35%4.38%4.15%4.05%3.84%3.59%3.38%3.23%3.00%2.68%2.32%2.22%1.90%1.74%1.43%1.11%0.91%0.65%0.40%
New Mexico United0.43%0.80%1.23%1.75%2.11%2.71%3.04%3.49%3.71%3.85%4.12%4.48%4.52%4.51%4.57%4.53%4.39%4.39%4.28%4.27%3.93%3.70%3.47%3.27%2.91%2.76%2.48%2.24%1.91%1.73%1.39%1.17%0.86%0.63%0.37%
North Carolina FC0.51%0.90%1.21%1.68%2.02%2.49%2.77%3.03%3.25%3.64%3.82%3.90%4.13%4.22%4.31%4.43%4.33%4.43%4.44%4.19%3.91%3.93%3.60%3.42%3.23%3.00%2.67%2.44%2.21%2.01%1.78%1.47%1.20%0.88%0.56%
Saint Louis FC0.40%0.71%1.10%1.44%1.84%2.21%2.42%2.77%3.06%3.34%3.54%3.88%3.98%4.21%4.25%4.40%4.49%4.46%4.40%4.27%4.24%4.11%3.77%3.64%3.40%3.12%2.97%2.67%2.50%2.12%1.89%1.51%1.32%0.94%0.62%
Hartford Athletic0.21%0.48%0.72%1.02%1.52%1.81%2.19%2.51%2.86%3.25%3.65%3.87%4.14%4.35%4.41%4.63%4.64%4.84%4.80%4.58%4.47%4.23%4.08%3.76%3.52%3.22%2.97%2.60%2.43%2.10%1.84%1.58%1.18%0.97%0.58%
Los Angeles Galaxy II0.27%0.56%0.78%1.10%1.38%1.73%2.02%2.33%2.59%2.97%3.19%3.52%3.70%3.90%4.16%4.19%4.26%4.42%4.41%4.40%4.42%4.35%4.18%3.92%3.82%3.57%3.30%3.11%2.84%2.54%2.23%1.96%1.67%1.36%0.85%
FC Tulsa0.12%0.25%0.49%0.66%0.88%1.19%1.42%1.83%2.10%2.30%2.64%2.95%3.26%3.70%3.83%4.01%4.37%4.31%4.38%4.58%4.64%4.49%4.46%4.52%4.28%4.12%3.94%3.65%3.34%3.08%2.80%2.46%2.15%1.70%1.11%
Charlotte Independence0.07%0.19%0.35%0.56%0.84%1.08%1.38%1.69%1.94%2.34%2.59%2.93%3.09%3.44%3.81%3.87%4.19%4.37%4.40%4.54%4.59%4.58%4.61%4.63%4.36%4.16%4.05%3.75%3.61%3.29%2.82%2.68%2.19%1.79%1.22%
OKC Energy FC0.06%0.12%0.24%0.35%0.53%0.66%0.87%1.09%1.32%1.56%1.88%2.09%2.38%2.62%2.88%3.19%3.44%3.63%3.88%4.10%4.35%4.54%4.49%4.74%4.69%4.65%4.73%4.55%4.52%4.46%4.13%3.97%3.64%3.16%2.49%
Tacoma Defiance0.05%0.10%0.17%0.24%0.37%0.55%0.68%0.79%1.04%1.27%1.44%1.69%1.84%2.10%2.41%2.74%2.98%3.23%3.54%4.02%4.01%4.27%4.47%4.75%4.95%4.92%5.05%4.92%4.87%4.89%4.77%4.57%4.49%4.20%3.65%
San Diego Loyal0.06%0.13%0.16%0.27%0.40%0.50%0.67%0.85%0.96%1.23%1.43%1.69%1.81%2.11%2.42%2.63%2.94%3.20%3.57%3.63%4.07%4.11%4.45%4.60%4.68%4.87%5.00%5.02%5.10%5.17%4.88%4.72%4.73%4.33%3.63%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks0.03%0.06%0.12%0.18%0.32%0.39%0.54%0.73%0.86%1.02%1.29%1.42%1.69%1.93%2.15%2.48%2.71%2.87%3.17%3.49%3.65%4.04%4.09%4.40%4.72%4.95%5.12%5.25%5.38%5.38%5.54%5.45%5.27%5.00%4.28%
Las Vegas Lights FC0.01%0.07%0.12%0.15%0.29%0.33%0.46%0.62%0.77%0.91%1.07%1.24%1.52%1.82%1.96%2.27%2.54%2.79%3.08%3.42%3.69%3.90%4.20%4.43%4.71%5.08%5.12%5.44%5.49%5.49%5.71%5.58%5.58%5.35%4.79%
Atlanta United II0.02%0.06%0.09%0.15%0.19%0.27%0.42%0.50%0.63%0.82%0.95%1.09%1.29%1.53%1.75%2.00%2.23%2.50%2.77%3.14%3.51%3.80%4.00%4.34%4.69%5.05%5.27%5.56%5.71%5.71%5.89%6.04%5.95%5.89%6.22%
Sporting Kansas City 20.01%0.03%0.08%0.14%0.19%0.27%0.36%0.46%0.65%0.73%0.96%1.15%1.26%1.48%1.70%1.96%2.19%2.45%2.69%2.95%3.38%3.57%3.89%4.22%4.59%4.76%5.16%5.54%5.71%5.94%6.31%6.43%6.35%6.42%6.02%
Memphis 901<0.01%0.02%0.06%0.08%0.13%0.22%0.30%0.39%0.46%0.65%0.81%0.90%1.13%1.24%1.50%1.82%2.08%2.30%2.60%2.79%3.10%3.43%3.89%4.13%4.46%4.90%5.18%5.56%5.69%6.11%6.54%6.74%6.88%7.07%6.83%
Loudoun United<0.01%0.01%0.03%0.06%0.09%0.11%0.17%0.26%0.35%0.44%0.52%0.70%0.81%1.03%1.23%1.47%1.67%1.95%2.30%2.48%2.87%3.33%3.71%3.95%4.43%4.90%5.04%5.83%6.07%6.47%6.91%7.26%7.64%7.70%8.22%
Rio Grande Valley FC<0.01%<0.01%0.02%0.04%0.07%0.10%0.14%0.25%0.34%0.39%0.48%0.66%0.80%0.97%1.17%1.43%1.65%1.93%2.19%2.57%2.77%3.19%3.58%3.98%4.29%4.63%5.23%5.47%5.96%6.55%7.03%7.50%7.92%8.35%8.36%
Miami FC<0.01%0.03%0.04%0.05%0.09%0.15%0.18%0.24%0.34%0.42%0.53%0.65%0.78%0.99%1.11%1.25%1.52%1.87%2.01%2.33%2.73%3.15%3.54%3.62%4.21%4.55%5.00%5.42%5.91%6.38%6.96%7.52%8.13%8.77%9.55%
Portland Timbers 2<0.01%0.01%0.02%0.03%0.06%0.10%0.09%0.16%0.20%0.30%0.36%0.48%0.59%0.67%0.82%0.97%1.21%1.43%1.66%1.89%2.27%2.66%2.97%3.35%3.75%4.18%4.82%5.13%5.92%6.34%7.24%8.15%9.10%10.69%12.34%
Philadelphia Union 2-<0.01%<0.01%<0.01%0.03%0.03%0.06%0.09%0.11%0.13%0.21%0.26%0.31%0.44%0.59%0.70%0.86%0.98%1.20%1.52%1.77%1.98%2.41%2.66%3.17%3.72%4.29%4.91%5.58%6.57%7.32%8.47%10.21%12.43%16.98%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 Seed6 Seed7 Seed8 SeedMissed Playoffs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds35.70%22.14%14.30%9.60%6.39%4.37%2.89%1.84%2.78%
Tampa Bay Rowdies23.98%20.82%15.35%11.61%8.78%6.36%4.56%3.13%5.42%
Louisville City FC11.06%13.26%13.99%12.87%11.18%9.58%7.73%6.00%14.32%
Charleston Battery9.37%11.91%12.58%12.60%11.71%10.30%8.40%6.57%16.57%
Birmingham Legion7.37%10.53%12.53%12.40%11.64%10.15%8.54%7.13%19.71%
Indy Eleven5.74%8.23%9.98%10.69%10.85%10.71%9.71%8.66%25.44%
New York RB II3.46%5.38%7.15%8.80%9.99%10.57%10.49%9.30%34.86%
North Carolina FC1.49%3.07%4.67%6.12%7.32%8.33%8.93%9.53%50.55%
Hartford Athletic0.85%1.84%3.37%4.88%6.60%8.03%9.38%10.11%54.93%
FC Tulsa0.35%0.86%1.83%3.02%4.37%5.88%7.68%8.99%67.03%
Charlotte Independence0.34%0.99%2.11%3.38%4.69%5.90%7.20%8.71%66.69%
Atlanta United II0.10%0.31%0.60%1.01%1.60%2.31%3.23%4.28%86.57%
Sporting Kansas City 20.06%0.24%0.52%0.90%1.49%2.14%3.05%4.09%87.49%
Miami FC0.05%0.12%0.27%0.57%0.84%1.32%2.02%2.79%92.03%
Loudoun United0.04%0.11%0.25%0.55%0.91%1.47%2.30%3.30%91.07%
Memphis 9010.03%0.18%0.42%0.83%1.27%2.00%2.90%3.96%88.42%
Philadelphia Union 2<0.01%0.02%0.08%0.17%0.35%0.60%1.01%1.63%96.13%
Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 Seed5 Seed6 Seed7 Seed8 SeedMissed Playoffs
Phoenix Rising33.47%20.91%14.24%9.56%6.57%4.80%3.29%2.32%4.84%
Reno 1868 FC22.15%19.24%15.37%11.65%8.82%6.49%4.84%3.55%7.88%
San Antonio FC18.75%18.75%15.84%11.96%9.10%6.98%5.16%3.96%9.49%
Sacramento Republic9.93%12.16%12.65%12.15%10.87%9.40%7.85%6.38%18.61%
Orange County SC3.64%5.59%7.32%8.64%9.26%9.40%9.10%8.38%38.67%
El Paso Locomotive3.61%5.99%7.97%9.44%9.67%9.46%9.03%8.26%36.56%
Austin Bold2.68%4.75%6.20%7.56%8.49%8.77%8.97%8.76%43.81%
Real Monarchs SLC1.63%3.31%4.81%6.26%7.33%7.98%8.24%8.45%52.00%
New Mexico United1.34%2.96%4.61%6.30%7.23%8.05%8.49%8.38%52.63%
Los Angeles Galaxy II0.95%1.85%2.97%4.14%5.31%6.12%6.92%7.58%64.17%
Saint Louis FC0.94%2.05%3.31%4.68%5.76%6.92%7.78%8.34%60.22%
OKC Energy FC0.22%0.61%1.16%1.82%2.61%3.50%4.50%5.30%80.28%
San Diego Loyal0.22%0.53%0.87%1.44%2.15%2.85%3.50%4.47%83.98%
Tacoma Defiance0.20%0.48%0.93%1.42%2.15%2.84%3.52%4.34%84.12%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks0.11%0.34%0.74%1.26%1.86%2.48%3.24%4.01%85.95%
Las Vegas Lights FC0.11%0.33%0.66%1.06%1.58%2.15%2.91%3.72%87.48%
Portland Timbers 20.03%0.08%0.16%0.27%0.52%0.73%1.15%1.59%95.47%
Rio Grande Valley FC0.02%0.07%0.21%0.38%0.72%1.07%1.51%2.20%93.83%

Points Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+9.82%
Clear Edge
44.36%21.09%34.55%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 34.22 Elo pts.
164 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.23 goals
Lean Home
-2+0.21+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 6th · Middle of the Pack: 7th to 18th · Longshot: 19th or lower.
Title Run Odds
Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 12.5% · Tough Road: 12.5% to 25% · Favored: 25% to 50% · Heavy Favorite: 50% and up.
Title-Race Openness
7.6
Open Race
124810
Champion Preseason Odds
11%
Louisville City FC, 3rd of 35
LongshotFavorite
Title Run Odds
Coin-flip
34.6%
Favored
025.00%50%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 4.03 · As Expected: 4.03 to 5.54 · Elevated: 5.54 to 7.56 · High Variance: 7.56 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.83 · Close: 4.83 to 6.53 · Off Target: 6.53 to 8.52 · Well Off Target: 8.52 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 35 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 35 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.75 · As Expected: 1.75 to 4.2 · Several Outliers: 4.2 to 7.7 · Many Outliers: 7.7 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.86 · As Expected: 2.86 to 4.77 · More Than Expected: 4.77 to 7.63 · Far More Than Expected: 7.63 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
5.36 points
As Expected
05.0413
Average Finish Error
Expected
4.74
Pinpoint
05.6815
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 98.57%
99.63%
Hartford Athletic
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 1.43%
1.38%
Real Monarchs SLC
050
Season Outliers
Expected
4 of 35
As Expected
03.517
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Expected
6 of 16
More Than Expected
03.816

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully
Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games
Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.24
Top-Heavy
00.080.150.240.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.54
Stratified
01.003
Interquartile Edge
72%
Tilted
50%58%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 94%
91%
No Contest
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
63%
Nail-Biters
0%57%100%
Blowouts
Expected
19%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness
How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.32
Wide Gaps
00.120.220.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.14
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.47
Weak Alignment
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
27%
Chalk Held
0%27%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
22%
As Expected
0%23%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.2 · Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.98
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.11
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.02
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.035
Well Within Noise
00.1000.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Conference Semifinals Advanced to Conference Finals Advanced to USL Championship Won USL Championship
Phoenix Rising 95.16% 74.89% 54.30% 37.91% 23.39%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 97.22% 74.87% 53.01% 35.58% 20.55%
Louisville City FC 85.68% 59.36% 36.48% 21.10% 11.04%
Reno 1868 FC 92.12% 61.99% 36.02% 18.72% 9.65%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 94.58% 59.28% 31.85% 14.88% 6.90%
San Antonio FC 90.51% 54.45% 27.27% 12.13% 5.68%
Sacramento Republic 81.39% 44.11% 20.68% 8.87% 3.90%
El Paso Locomotive 63.44% 34.46% 16.66% 7.44% 3.37%
Charleston Battery 83.43% 43.27% 19.37% 7.97% 3.24%
Birmingham Legion 80.29% 36.37% 14.12% 5.11% 1.79%
New Mexico United 47.37% 22.10% 9.51% 3.82% 1.59%
Indy Eleven 74.56% 31.46% 12.01% 4.19% 1.45%
Hartford Athletic 45.07% 20.07% 8.88% 3.60% 1.43%
Orange County SC 61.33% 25.32% 9.51% 3.37% 1.22%
Austin Bold 56.19% 21.61% 7.66% 2.46% 0.80%
North Carolina FC 49.45% 19.34% 7.15% 2.48% 0.80%
Saint Louis FC 39.77% 14.77% 5.40% 1.82% 0.67%
Charlotte Independence 33.31% 13.00% 5.02% 1.76% 0.57%
FC Tulsa 32.97% 12.15% 4.41% 1.51% 0.49%
Los Angeles Galaxy II 35.83% 12.73% 4.41% 1.38% 0.47%
New York RB II 65.14% 17.90% 4.63% 1.09% 0.27%
San Diego Loyal 16.02% 5.68% 2.07% 0.67% 0.25%
Real Monarchs SLC 48.00% 12.22% 2.96% 0.64% 0.14%
Sporting Kansas City 2 12.51% 3.29% 0.86% 0.24% 0.06%
Memphis 901 11.58% 2.82% 0.74% 0.19% 0.05%
Las Vegas Lights FC 12.52% 3.11% 0.79% 0.20% 0.05%
Tacoma Defiance 15.88% 3.59% 0.82% 0.18% 0.03%
OKC Energy FC 19.72% 3.64% 0.73% 0.12% 0.03%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks 14.05% 3.04% 0.69% 0.14% 0.03%
Rio Grande Valley FC 6.17% 1.44% 0.36% 0.09% 0.02%
Miami FC 7.98% 1.85% 0.44% 0.10% 0.02%
Atlanta United II 13.43% 2.63% 0.54% 0.10% 0.02%
Loudoun United 8.93% 1.76% 0.37% 0.08% 0.01%
Portland Timbers 2 4.53% 0.83% 0.16% 0.03% <0.01%
Philadelphia Union 2 3.87% 0.58% 0.12% 0.03% <0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta United IIBirmingham LegionCharleston BatteryCharlotte IndependenceFC TulsaHartford AthleticIndy ElevenLoudoun UnitedLouisville City FCMemphis 901Miami FCNew York RB IINorth Carolina FCPhiladelphia Union 2Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSporting Kansas City 2Tampa Bay Rowdies
Atlanta United II26.0%1.43%20.9%1.18%25.2%0.26%31.7%0.26%19.6%0.42%25.1%1.22%42.4%0.06%11.9%1.85%41.5%0.07%50.0%0.03%40.9%0.76%27.0%0.56%47.4%0.02%10.3%3.05%48.1%0.08%16.9%2.20%
Birmingham Legion74.0%1.43%43.8%10.16%51.5%3.14%55.5%3.65%46.6%5.28%52.3%8.89%74.0%1.06%29.1%9.99%69.0%0.91%69.2%0.87%65.6%7.87%52.9%5.66%81.7%0.44%23.1%9.29%64.8%1.45%35.1%10.21%
Charleston Battery79.1%1.18%56.2%10.16%57.4%3.98%60.9%3.82%52.9%5.41%57.5%9.00%76.2%1.01%34.1%10.11%74.2%1.39%75.9%0.67%71.1%8.16%59.8%5.99%83.9%0.45%27.2%9.26%73.0%1.51%42.7%11.34%
Charlotte Independence74.8%0.26%48.5%3.14%42.6%3.98%51.8%0.68%45.4%1.19%49.7%3.07%76.4%0.17%26.3%4.47%60.2%0.13%76.6%0.11%63.2%2.37%51.4%1.14%84.1%0.07%21.5%6.50%67.5%0.19%34.7%5.82%
FC Tulsa68.3%0.26%44.5%3.65%39.1%3.82%48.2%0.68%42.4%1.05%45.7%2.85%69.2%0.12%25.8%4.14%62.9%0.18%67.2%0.13%62.0%2.22%51.8%1.32%82.5%0.04%20.9%6.69%63.0%0.16%32.5%5.66%
Hartford Athletic80.4%0.42%53.4%5.28%47.1%5.41%54.6%1.19%57.6%1.05%54.3%3.98%77.0%0.11%31.2%5.82%72.5%0.40%72.6%0.27%70.2%2.50%55.7%2.26%82.7%0.05%26.4%8.45%73.9%0.36%40.1%7.52%
Indy Eleven74.9%1.22%47.7%8.89%42.5%9.00%50.3%3.07%54.3%2.85%45.7%3.98%72.8%0.77%26.9%10.64%66.1%1.00%67.9%0.70%64.3%6.55%52.7%4.95%79.4%0.34%21.8%10.01%62.6%0.76%33.2%9.83%
Loudoun United57.6%0.06%26.0%1.06%23.8%1.01%23.6%0.17%30.8%0.12%23.0%0.11%27.2%0.77%12.2%1.06%36.4%0.04%38.9%0.04%41.3%0.41%25.0%0.31%0.0%<0.01%9.4%1.95%32.1%0.03%16.5%1.78%
Louisville City FC88.1%1.85%70.9%9.99%65.9%10.11%73.7%4.47%74.2%4.14%68.8%5.82%73.1%10.64%87.8%1.06%85.9%1.49%85.2%1.09%83.6%8.35%74.7%6.35%90.7%0.51%42.8%8.85%84.2%1.29%58.3%9.66%
Memphis 90158.5%0.07%31.0%0.91%25.8%1.39%39.8%0.13%37.1%0.18%27.5%0.40%33.9%1.00%63.6%0.04%14.1%1.49%58.1%0.04%50.5%0.72%32.2%0.24%58.8%0.02%12.8%2.69%42.3%0.05%22.2%2.20%
Miami FC50.0%0.03%30.8%0.87%24.1%0.67%23.4%0.11%32.8%0.13%27.4%0.27%32.1%0.70%61.1%0.04%14.8%1.09%41.9%0.04%44.3%0.49%30.8%0.33%60.0%0.01%11.6%1.85%42.6%0.05%21.0%1.29%
New York RB II59.1%0.76%34.4%7.87%28.9%8.16%36.8%2.37%38.0%2.22%29.8%2.50%35.7%6.55%58.7%0.41%16.4%8.35%49.5%0.72%55.7%0.49%36.5%3.74%63.4%0.10%13.0%10.34%49.1%0.81%22.3%9.76%
North Carolina FC73.0%0.56%47.1%5.66%40.2%5.99%48.6%1.14%48.2%1.32%44.3%2.26%47.3%4.95%75.0%0.31%25.3%6.35%67.8%0.24%69.2%0.33%63.5%3.74%74.6%0.14%21.1%8.15%63.1%0.53%33.0%7.79%
Philadelphia Union 252.6%0.02%18.3%0.44%16.1%0.45%15.9%0.07%17.5%0.04%17.3%0.05%20.6%0.34%100.0%<0.01%9.3%0.51%41.2%0.02%40.0%0.01%36.6%0.10%25.4%0.14%8.0%0.90%23.5%0.02%14.1%0.75%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds89.7%3.05%76.9%9.29%72.8%9.26%78.5%6.50%79.1%6.69%73.6%8.45%78.2%10.01%90.6%1.95%57.2%8.85%87.2%2.69%88.4%1.85%87.0%10.34%78.9%8.15%92.0%0.90%86.1%2.85%67.1%6.40%
Sporting Kansas City 251.9%0.08%35.2%1.45%27.0%1.51%32.5%0.19%37.0%0.16%26.1%0.36%37.4%0.76%67.9%0.03%15.8%1.29%57.7%0.05%57.4%0.05%50.9%0.81%36.9%0.53%76.5%0.02%13.9%2.85%22.4%2.38%
Tampa Bay Rowdies83.1%2.20%64.9%10.21%57.3%11.34%65.3%5.82%67.5%5.66%59.9%7.52%66.8%9.83%83.5%1.78%41.7%9.66%77.8%2.20%79.0%1.29%77.7%9.76%67.0%7.79%85.9%0.75%32.9%6.40%77.6%2.38%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Austin BoldColorado Springs SwitchbacksEl Paso LocomotiveLas Vegas Lights FCLos Angeles Galaxy IINew Mexico UnitedOKC Energy FCOrange County SCPhoenix RisingPortland Timbers 2Real Monarchs SLCReno 1868 FCRio Grande Valley FCSacramento RepublicSaint Louis FCSan Antonio FCSan Diego LoyalTacoma Defiance
Austin Bold67.6%0.69%34.9%4.79%63.0%0.73%53.6%2.27%39.8%3.06%70.6%0.78%47.9%4.44%18.7%8.31%77.1%0.21%64.1%3.30%27.6%7.85%68.7%0.20%37.4%6.62%49.3%2.44%34.6%8.67%50.2%0.94%70.2%0.90%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks32.4%0.69%20.4%0.70%42.5%0.13%34.9%0.43%24.9%0.36%58.1%0.17%28.2%1.02%10.3%2.80%51.3%0.04%48.1%0.39%15.8%2.49%42.9%0.05%21.4%1.71%33.0%0.38%19.7%2.38%34.3%0.17%49.3%0.15%
El Paso Locomotive65.1%4.79%79.6%0.70%78.6%0.97%66.6%2.92%55.6%3.36%83.3%1.41%62.3%5.44%29.1%8.80%81.9%0.37%76.7%3.50%41.2%8.76%79.5%0.37%52.2%7.75%65.3%3.05%49.3%8.81%68.8%1.21%78.6%1.23%
Las Vegas Lights FC37.0%0.73%57.5%0.13%21.4%0.97%36.6%0.25%26.2%0.60%61.0%0.16%38.7%0.50%11.0%2.36%61.3%0.03%48.5%0.52%19.0%2.08%57.1%0.05%26.8%1.52%32.8%0.34%21.8%2.12%53.0%0.07%54.8%0.10%
Los Angeles Galaxy II46.4%2.27%65.1%0.43%33.4%2.92%63.4%0.25%38.7%1.87%66.6%0.60%47.2%1.97%18.1%6.37%78.7%0.09%61.8%1.85%26.6%5.65%66.7%0.13%36.1%4.04%46.7%1.26%32.5%5.38%51.4%0.32%66.3%0.45%
New Mexico United60.2%3.06%75.1%0.36%44.4%3.36%73.8%0.60%61.3%1.87%79.5%0.75%56.5%3.72%24.8%7.59%78.2%0.17%71.8%2.03%35.8%7.14%75.1%0.25%46.7%5.92%57.7%1.90%43.2%7.16%61.5%0.68%76.2%0.82%
OKC Energy FC29.4%0.78%41.9%0.17%16.7%1.41%39.0%0.16%33.4%0.60%20.5%0.75%25.1%1.34%8.0%3.94%40.7%0.05%40.2%0.89%13.4%3.34%47.4%0.02%16.7%2.32%29.3%0.60%16.5%2.94%30.7%0.22%43.5%0.19%
Orange County SC52.1%4.44%71.8%1.02%37.7%5.44%61.3%0.50%52.8%1.97%43.5%3.72%74.9%1.34%20.1%9.30%72.1%0.30%67.0%4.01%29.9%8.33%68.4%0.40%39.6%7.49%54.7%2.85%36.3%8.33%51.4%0.84%69.8%1.05%
Phoenix Rising81.3%8.31%89.7%2.80%70.9%8.80%89.0%2.36%81.9%6.37%75.2%7.59%92.0%3.94%79.9%9.30%92.2%0.99%88.3%7.62%63.3%7.02%88.4%1.39%72.1%8.69%80.7%6.83%70.9%7.09%80.6%3.02%90.1%3.05%
Portland Timbers 222.9%0.21%48.7%0.04%18.1%0.37%38.7%0.03%21.3%0.09%21.8%0.17%59.3%0.05%27.9%0.30%7.8%0.99%40.0%0.15%12.7%0.70%50.0%0.01%19.5%0.38%25.0%0.12%17.6%0.85%42.0%0.05%33.3%<0.01%
Real Monarchs SLC35.9%3.30%51.9%0.39%23.3%3.50%51.5%0.52%38.2%1.85%28.2%2.03%59.8%0.89%33.0%4.01%11.7%7.62%60.0%0.15%16.9%7.14%47.7%0.28%24.0%5.89%36.2%1.94%22.0%7.05%37.0%0.75%51.5%0.69%
Reno 1868 FC72.4%7.85%84.2%2.49%58.8%8.76%81.0%2.08%73.4%5.65%64.2%7.14%86.6%3.34%70.1%8.33%36.7%7.02%87.3%0.70%83.1%7.14%82.1%1.17%60.6%10.90%72.5%6.16%58.1%8.26%71.8%2.70%83.3%2.44%
Rio Grande Valley FC31.3%0.20%57.1%0.05%20.5%0.37%42.9%0.05%33.3%0.13%24.9%0.25%52.6%0.02%31.6%0.40%11.6%1.39%50.0%0.01%52.3%0.28%17.9%1.17%24.7%0.79%31.2%0.15%24.6%0.81%40.4%0.06%51.9%0.05%
Sacramento Republic62.6%6.62%78.6%1.71%47.8%7.75%73.2%1.52%63.9%4.04%53.3%5.92%83.3%2.32%60.4%7.49%27.9%8.69%80.5%0.38%76.0%5.89%39.4%10.90%75.3%0.79%62.8%4.74%45.5%9.33%62.2%1.82%79.2%1.47%
Saint Louis FC50.7%2.44%67.0%0.38%34.7%3.05%67.2%0.34%53.3%1.26%42.3%1.90%70.7%0.60%45.3%2.85%19.3%6.83%75.0%0.12%63.8%1.94%27.5%6.16%68.8%0.15%37.2%4.74%33.9%6.09%50.5%0.44%65.9%0.48%
San Antonio FC65.4%8.67%80.3%2.38%50.7%8.81%78.2%2.12%67.5%5.38%56.8%7.16%83.5%2.94%63.7%8.33%29.1%7.09%82.4%0.85%78.0%7.05%41.9%8.26%75.4%0.81%54.5%9.33%66.1%6.09%67.6%2.60%78.8%2.64%
San Diego Loyal49.8%0.94%65.7%0.17%31.2%1.21%47.0%0.07%48.6%0.32%38.5%0.68%69.3%0.22%48.6%0.84%19.4%3.02%58.0%0.05%63.0%0.75%28.2%2.70%59.6%0.06%37.8%1.82%49.5%0.44%32.4%2.60%60.7%0.14%
Tacoma Defiance29.8%0.90%50.7%0.15%21.4%1.23%45.2%0.10%33.7%0.45%23.8%0.82%56.5%0.19%30.2%1.05%9.9%3.05%66.7%<0.01%48.5%0.69%16.7%2.44%48.1%0.05%20.8%1.47%34.1%0.48%21.2%2.64%39.3%0.14%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta United IIBirmingham LegionCharleston BatteryCharlotte IndependenceFC TulsaHartford AthleticIndy ElevenLoudoun UnitedLouisville City FCMemphis 901Miami FCNew York RB IINorth Carolina FCPhiladelphia Union 2Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSporting Kansas City 2Tampa Bay Rowdies
Atlanta United II27.8%0.24%22.5%0.24%31.0%0.10%26.6%0.08%22.6%0.11%26.1%0.18%30.0%0.01%11.6%0.42%38.5%0.01%70.0%0.01%37.6%0.11%27.9%0.12%50.0%<0.01%11.3%0.60%39.3%0.03%19.9%0.37%
Birmingham Legion72.2%0.24%43.2%4.11%50.2%1.00%56.1%1.05%46.1%1.74%50.7%2.82%69.7%0.17%30.4%6.10%73.9%0.22%67.9%0.16%66.0%1.57%52.9%1.54%72.9%0.06%23.7%8.68%67.5%0.30%37.1%6.61%
Charleston Battery77.5%0.24%56.8%4.11%57.3%1.38%59.6%1.36%50.8%2.28%56.6%3.53%77.7%0.18%34.5%7.47%71.1%0.30%74.4%0.16%70.9%1.85%59.2%2.07%78.2%0.08%28.2%10.10%73.0%0.36%42.8%7.80%
Charlotte Independence69.0%0.10%49.8%1.00%42.7%1.38%54.5%0.37%41.2%0.65%49.6%1.07%72.5%0.07%28.8%2.08%69.1%0.06%64.0%0.05%65.5%0.56%50.4%0.48%71.4%0.02%23.0%2.88%67.9%0.11%37.2%2.14%
FC Tulsa73.4%0.08%43.9%1.05%40.4%1.36%45.5%0.37%43.0%0.53%47.6%0.93%85.2%0.05%26.2%1.91%56.6%0.08%64.7%0.05%60.1%0.55%45.6%0.57%73.7%0.02%22.8%2.59%61.7%0.08%32.8%1.91%
Hartford Athletic77.4%0.11%53.9%1.74%49.2%2.28%58.8%0.65%57.0%0.53%55.5%1.60%77.4%0.06%32.4%3.27%72.3%0.15%76.4%0.09%68.7%0.77%57.7%0.97%76.0%0.03%28.8%4.28%72.5%0.16%41.7%3.38%
Indy Eleven73.9%0.18%49.3%2.82%43.4%3.53%50.4%1.07%52.4%0.93%44.5%1.60%70.4%0.14%30.0%4.73%61.7%0.22%64.7%0.17%65.6%1.36%51.8%1.52%68.1%0.05%22.9%7.54%62.6%0.20%35.0%5.43%
Loudoun United70.0%0.01%30.3%0.17%22.3%0.18%27.5%0.07%14.8%0.05%22.6%0.06%29.6%0.14%13.7%0.28%42.9%0.01%55.6%<0.01%39.1%0.06%26.3%0.08%10.8%0.36%50.0%0.02%20.1%0.25%
Louisville City FC88.4%0.42%69.6%6.10%65.5%7.47%71.2%2.08%73.8%1.91%67.6%3.27%70.0%4.73%86.3%0.28%81.1%0.47%86.0%0.31%81.4%2.97%72.2%3.00%83.0%0.09%42.7%14.74%80.6%0.46%57.4%11.05%
Memphis 90161.5%0.01%26.1%0.22%28.9%0.30%30.9%0.06%43.4%0.08%27.7%0.15%38.3%0.22%57.1%0.01%18.9%0.47%61.5%0.01%41.1%0.13%28.2%0.08%100.0%<0.01%16.6%0.58%55.0%0.02%25.7%0.45%
Miami FC30.0%0.01%32.1%0.16%25.6%0.16%36.0%0.05%35.3%0.05%23.6%0.09%35.3%0.17%44.4%<0.01%14.0%0.31%38.5%0.01%52.2%0.09%31.2%0.08%33.3%<0.01%13.0%0.39%70.0%0.01%18.4%0.26%
New York RB II62.4%0.11%34.0%1.57%29.1%1.85%34.5%0.56%39.9%0.55%31.3%0.77%34.4%1.36%60.9%0.06%18.6%2.97%58.9%0.13%47.8%0.09%37.2%0.76%53.8%0.01%14.6%4.05%56.8%0.15%23.8%2.90%
North Carolina FC72.1%0.12%47.1%1.54%40.8%2.07%49.6%0.48%54.4%0.57%42.3%0.97%48.2%1.52%73.7%0.08%27.8%3.00%71.8%0.08%68.8%0.08%62.8%0.76%80.0%0.03%23.1%4.51%57.7%0.14%34.6%3.38%
Philadelphia Union 250.0%<0.01%27.1%0.06%21.8%0.08%28.6%0.02%26.3%0.02%24.0%0.03%31.9%0.05%17.0%0.09%0.0%<0.01%66.7%<0.01%46.2%0.01%20.0%0.03%12.1%0.10%40.0%<0.01%11.4%0.08%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds88.7%0.60%76.3%8.68%71.8%10.10%77.0%2.88%77.2%2.59%71.2%4.28%77.1%7.54%89.2%0.36%57.3%14.74%83.4%0.58%87.0%0.39%85.4%4.05%76.9%4.51%87.9%0.10%87.4%0.71%65.0%12.76%
Sporting Kansas City 260.7%0.03%32.5%0.30%27.0%0.36%32.1%0.11%38.3%0.08%27.5%0.16%37.4%0.20%50.0%0.02%19.4%0.46%45.0%0.02%30.0%0.01%43.2%0.15%42.3%0.14%60.0%<0.01%12.6%0.71%25.7%0.53%
Tampa Bay Rowdies80.1%0.37%62.9%6.61%57.2%7.80%62.8%2.14%67.2%1.91%58.3%3.38%65.0%5.43%79.9%0.25%42.6%11.05%74.3%0.45%81.6%0.26%76.2%2.90%65.4%3.38%88.6%0.08%35.0%12.76%74.3%0.53%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Austin BoldColorado Springs SwitchbacksEl Paso LocomotiveLas Vegas Lights FCLos Angeles Galaxy IINew Mexico UnitedOKC Energy FCOrange County SCPhoenix RisingPortland Timbers 2Real Monarchs SLCReno 1868 FCRio Grande Valley FCSacramento RepublicSaint Louis FCSan Antonio FCSan Diego LoyalTacoma Defiance
Austin Bold68.2%0.15%34.9%1.90%63.6%0.15%51.1%0.66%42.3%1.15%63.1%0.13%47.7%1.28%20.4%4.97%73.5%0.05%62.8%0.61%29.7%3.88%72.1%0.06%37.1%2.56%49.0%0.72%36.9%2.84%54.1%0.29%65.4%0.21%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks31.8%0.15%23.4%0.23%25.0%0.02%34.1%0.08%28.8%0.11%56.0%0.03%36.4%0.18%13.7%0.69%28.6%<0.01%43.3%0.06%18.7%0.52%50.0%<0.01%19.1%0.34%30.3%0.12%21.3%0.42%27.1%0.05%55.0%0.02%
El Paso Locomotive65.1%1.90%76.6%0.23%72.4%0.27%64.4%1.11%55.2%1.60%82.6%0.30%60.3%2.14%30.4%8.10%81.2%0.08%76.2%0.82%41.3%6.34%74.0%0.12%51.2%4.06%64.8%1.26%48.9%5.30%64.9%0.52%75.2%0.31%
Las Vegas Lights FC36.4%0.15%75.0%0.02%27.6%0.27%31.6%0.06%27.6%0.16%48.6%0.04%38.3%0.14%13.9%0.67%28.6%<0.01%40.4%0.10%20.3%0.53%71.4%<0.01%23.0%0.36%38.0%0.12%25.9%0.42%29.6%0.03%40.0%0.02%
Los Angeles Galaxy II48.9%0.66%65.9%0.08%35.6%1.11%68.4%0.06%41.4%0.69%70.6%0.10%45.2%0.64%20.0%2.73%72.7%0.02%61.4%0.38%28.6%2.20%68.3%0.04%37.0%1.40%44.2%0.43%33.2%1.92%50.6%0.16%65.5%0.12%
New Mexico United57.7%1.15%71.2%0.11%44.8%1.60%72.4%0.16%58.6%0.69%78.6%0.17%54.2%1.52%26.5%5.04%81.6%0.04%71.7%0.51%36.9%3.92%74.2%0.09%45.4%2.48%58.5%0.76%42.8%3.36%56.2%0.34%77.8%0.18%
OKC Energy FC36.9%0.13%44.0%0.03%17.4%0.30%51.4%0.04%29.4%0.10%21.4%0.17%28.1%0.20%11.1%0.86%58.3%0.01%44.3%0.09%14.4%0.64%75.0%<0.01%18.2%0.40%30.8%0.11%20.1%0.47%25.0%0.04%51.4%0.04%
Orange County SC52.3%1.28%63.6%0.18%39.7%2.14%61.7%0.14%54.8%0.64%45.8%1.52%71.9%0.20%21.8%5.89%71.4%0.06%67.1%0.73%31.1%4.46%66.0%0.10%41.7%2.72%50.5%0.89%37.6%3.88%50.8%0.29%70.1%0.20%
Phoenix Rising79.6%4.97%86.3%0.69%69.6%8.10%86.1%0.67%80.0%2.73%73.5%5.04%88.9%0.86%78.2%5.89%88.3%0.18%87.4%2.86%62.6%14.26%90.2%0.31%71.3%10.36%80.2%3.21%69.0%12.75%78.4%1.17%86.4%0.85%
Portland Timbers 226.5%0.05%71.4%<0.01%18.8%0.08%71.4%<0.01%27.3%0.02%18.4%0.04%41.7%0.01%28.6%0.06%11.7%0.18%40.0%0.01%16.2%0.13%14.3%<0.01%17.2%0.06%21.2%0.03%14.4%0.11%28.6%0.01%0.0%<0.01%
Real Monarchs SLC37.2%0.61%56.7%0.06%23.8%0.82%59.6%0.10%38.6%0.38%28.3%0.51%55.7%0.09%32.9%0.73%12.6%2.86%60.0%0.01%19.5%2.20%44.2%0.04%26.9%1.45%35.0%0.43%22.9%1.69%46.9%0.14%60.4%0.09%
Reno 1868 FC70.3%3.88%81.3%0.52%58.7%6.34%79.7%0.53%71.4%2.20%63.1%3.92%85.6%0.64%68.9%4.46%37.4%14.26%83.8%0.13%80.5%2.20%84.9%0.24%60.1%8.10%70.4%2.58%55.9%10.57%69.9%0.90%80.8%0.53%
Rio Grande Valley FC27.9%0.06%50.0%<0.01%26.0%0.12%28.6%<0.01%31.7%0.04%25.8%0.09%25.0%<0.01%34.0%0.10%9.8%0.31%85.7%<0.01%55.8%0.04%15.1%0.24%30.6%0.16%41.2%0.05%29.2%0.16%35.7%0.03%63.6%0.01%
Sacramento Republic62.9%2.56%80.9%0.34%48.8%4.06%77.0%0.36%63.0%1.40%54.6%2.48%81.8%0.40%58.3%2.72%28.7%10.36%82.8%0.06%73.1%1.45%39.9%8.10%69.4%0.16%60.1%1.64%47.2%7.06%61.2%0.61%77.4%0.34%
Saint Louis FC51.0%0.72%69.7%0.12%35.2%1.26%62.0%0.12%55.8%0.43%41.5%0.76%69.2%0.11%49.5%0.89%19.8%3.21%78.8%0.03%65.0%0.43%29.6%2.58%58.8%0.05%39.9%1.64%38.2%2.12%42.3%0.18%74.6%0.12%
San Antonio FC63.1%2.84%78.7%0.42%51.1%5.30%74.1%0.42%66.8%1.92%57.2%3.36%79.9%0.47%62.4%3.88%31.0%12.75%85.6%0.11%77.1%1.69%44.1%10.57%70.8%0.16%52.8%7.06%61.8%2.12%66.9%0.86%77.1%0.51%
San Diego Loyal45.9%0.29%72.9%0.05%35.1%0.52%70.4%0.03%49.4%0.16%43.8%0.34%75.0%0.04%49.2%0.29%21.6%1.17%71.4%0.01%53.1%0.14%30.1%0.90%64.3%0.03%38.8%0.61%57.7%0.18%33.1%0.86%71.1%0.04%
Tacoma Defiance34.6%0.21%45.0%0.02%24.8%0.31%60.0%0.02%34.5%0.12%22.2%0.18%48.6%0.04%29.9%0.20%13.6%0.85%100.0%<0.01%39.6%0.09%19.2%0.53%36.4%0.01%22.6%0.34%25.4%0.12%22.9%0.51%28.9%0.04%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Atlanta United IIBirmingham LegionCharleston BatteryCharlotte IndependenceFC TulsaHartford AthleticIndy ElevenLoudoun UnitedLouisville City FCMemphis 901Miami FCNew York RB IINorth Carolina FCPhiladelphia Union 2Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSporting Kansas City 2Tampa Bay Rowdies
Atlanta United II28.1%0.03%20.0%0.04%16.7%0.01%40.0%0.01%28.6%0.02%34.5%0.03%100.0%<0.01%11.8%0.11%100.0%<0.01%50.0%0.01%42.9%0.02%100.0%<0.01%9.3%0.17%100.0%<0.01%22.1%0.07%
Birmingham Legion71.9%0.03%45.6%1.28%52.0%0.27%54.6%0.29%48.8%0.59%50.5%0.75%76.0%0.03%31.5%2.86%46.5%0.04%66.7%0.02%59.0%0.24%51.7%0.43%83.3%<0.01%26.1%4.97%69.6%0.06%38.5%2.25%
Charleston Battery80.0%0.04%54.4%1.28%60.4%0.45%60.2%0.39%50.3%0.79%57.5%1.11%75.0%0.03%35.3%4.11%62.7%0.07%75.8%0.03%68.2%0.42%59.1%0.66%58.3%0.01%30.2%6.86%62.9%0.09%44.6%3.02%
Charlotte Independence83.3%0.01%48.0%0.27%39.6%0.45%42.3%0.10%48.3%0.21%58.0%0.29%80.0%0.01%27.5%1.02%62.5%<0.01%66.7%<0.01%63.5%0.10%48.1%0.14%60.0%<0.01%25.1%1.68%58.3%0.01%38.5%0.72%
FC Tulsa60.0%0.01%45.4%0.29%39.8%0.39%57.7%0.10%48.8%0.17%47.8%0.23%40.0%<0.01%29.8%0.87%84.6%0.01%33.3%<0.01%64.0%0.09%45.5%0.13%50.0%<0.01%23.5%1.39%40.0%0.01%34.1%0.70%
Hartford Athletic71.4%0.02%51.2%0.59%49.7%0.79%51.7%0.21%51.2%0.17%54.2%0.51%83.3%<0.01%34.3%1.84%60.0%0.03%68.8%0.02%67.2%0.13%56.8%0.31%100.0%<0.01%30.7%2.83%59.0%0.04%43.4%1.39%
Indy Eleven65.5%0.03%49.5%0.75%42.5%1.11%42.0%0.29%52.2%0.23%45.8%0.51%71.0%0.03%29.1%2.27%62.8%0.04%75.0%0.02%63.2%0.26%53.2%0.39%66.7%<0.01%25.2%4.08%42.1%0.04%36.2%1.94%
Loudoun United0.0%<0.01%24.0%0.03%25.0%0.03%20.0%0.01%60.0%<0.01%16.7%<0.01%29.0%0.03%10.0%0.07%0.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%71.4%<0.01%44.4%<0.01%16.5%0.11%0.0%<0.01%21.0%0.06%
Louisville City FC88.2%0.11%68.5%2.86%64.7%4.11%72.5%1.02%70.2%0.87%65.7%1.84%70.9%2.27%90.0%0.07%83.3%0.14%79.3%0.11%82.4%0.94%69.5%1.43%85.2%0.03%43.8%13.60%76.6%0.15%59.0%6.93%
Memphis 9010.0%<0.01%53.5%0.04%37.3%0.07%37.5%<0.01%15.4%0.01%40.0%0.03%37.2%0.04%100.0%<0.01%16.7%0.14%100.0%<0.01%45.5%0.02%31.2%0.02%17.3%0.24%33.3%<0.01%22.0%0.11%
Miami FC33.3%0.02%24.2%0.03%33.3%<0.01%66.7%<0.01%31.2%0.02%25.0%0.02%0.0%<0.01%20.7%0.11%0.0%<0.01%20.0%<0.01%40.0%0.01%100.0%<0.01%15.7%0.14%100.0%<0.01%21.0%0.06%
New York RB II50.0%0.01%41.0%0.24%31.8%0.42%36.5%0.10%36.0%0.09%32.8%0.13%36.8%0.26%28.6%<0.01%17.6%0.94%54.5%0.02%80.0%<0.01%33.9%0.12%0.0%<0.01%14.7%1.55%68.8%0.02%24.7%0.72%
North Carolina FC57.1%0.02%48.3%0.43%40.9%0.66%51.9%0.14%54.5%0.13%43.2%0.31%46.8%0.39%55.6%<0.01%30.5%1.43%68.8%0.02%60.0%0.01%66.1%0.12%100.0%<0.01%24.2%2.39%40.0%0.03%37.6%1.06%
Philadelphia Union 20.0%<0.01%16.7%<0.01%41.7%0.01%40.0%<0.01%50.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%33.3%<0.01%14.8%0.03%0.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%15.2%0.03%0.0%<0.01%23.5%0.02%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds90.7%0.17%73.9%4.97%69.8%6.86%74.9%1.68%76.5%1.39%69.3%2.83%74.8%4.08%83.5%0.11%56.2%13.60%82.7%0.24%84.3%0.14%85.3%1.55%75.8%2.39%84.8%0.03%83.2%0.29%64.4%12.68%
Sporting Kansas City 20.0%<0.01%30.4%0.06%37.1%0.09%41.7%0.01%60.0%0.01%41.0%0.04%57.9%0.04%100.0%<0.01%23.4%0.15%66.7%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%31.2%0.02%60.0%0.03%100.0%<0.01%16.8%0.29%24.0%0.12%
Tampa Bay Rowdies77.9%0.07%61.5%2.25%55.4%3.02%61.5%0.72%65.9%0.70%56.6%1.39%63.8%1.94%79.0%0.06%41.0%6.93%78.0%0.11%79.0%0.06%75.3%0.72%62.4%1.06%76.5%0.02%35.6%12.68%76.0%0.12%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Austin BoldColorado Springs SwitchbacksEl Paso LocomotiveLas Vegas Lights FCLos Angeles Galaxy IINew Mexico UnitedOKC Energy FCOrange County SCPhoenix RisingPortland Timbers 2Real Monarchs SLCReno 1868 FCRio Grande Valley FCSacramento RepublicSaint Louis FCSan Antonio FCSan Diego LoyalTacoma Defiance
Austin Bold50.0%0.02%38.2%0.62%71.4%0.03%54.2%0.15%46.6%0.30%52.9%0.02%48.7%0.32%20.5%2.70%55.6%<0.01%59.6%0.09%29.5%1.41%30.0%0.01%39.6%0.77%47.6%0.17%36.1%0.95%45.2%0.07%75.0%0.02%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks50.0%0.02%21.4%0.04%100.0%<0.01%33.3%0.02%23.5%0.02%50.0%<0.01%27.5%0.04%13.2%0.26%20.0%<0.01%17.3%0.13%23.3%0.06%33.3%0.01%24.7%0.08%16.7%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%
El Paso Locomotive61.8%0.62%78.6%0.04%69.0%0.07%64.1%0.36%52.2%0.66%87.9%0.06%60.7%0.69%31.1%5.92%86.7%0.01%75.5%0.20%44.1%3.36%60.7%0.03%51.1%1.76%59.5%0.39%50.2%2.25%67.6%0.17%76.6%0.06%
Las Vegas Lights FC28.6%0.03%0.0%<0.01%31.0%0.07%42.9%0.01%42.4%0.03%66.7%<0.01%38.7%0.03%18.3%0.26%54.5%0.01%22.1%0.14%32.5%0.08%42.9%0.01%21.6%0.10%66.7%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%
Los Angeles Galaxy II45.8%0.15%66.7%0.02%35.9%0.36%57.1%0.01%48.2%0.19%60.0%0.01%32.6%0.14%18.8%1.44%66.7%<0.01%70.7%0.06%28.6%0.88%44.4%<0.01%35.8%0.42%53.3%0.10%37.6%0.55%37.9%0.03%68.4%0.02%
New Mexico United53.4%0.30%76.5%0.02%47.8%0.66%57.6%0.03%51.8%0.19%76.7%0.03%52.8%0.43%28.9%3.27%66.7%<0.01%77.6%0.10%38.7%1.88%60.0%0.01%45.2%0.98%57.1%0.23%44.5%1.29%51.2%0.08%70.0%0.03%
OKC Energy FC47.1%0.02%50.0%<0.01%12.1%0.06%33.3%<0.01%40.0%0.01%23.3%0.03%25.0%0.03%9.7%0.24%80.0%<0.01%13.3%0.14%0.0%<0.01%24.7%0.07%29.4%0.02%16.9%0.08%33.3%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%
Orange County SC51.3%0.32%72.5%0.04%39.3%0.69%61.3%0.03%67.4%0.14%47.2%0.43%75.0%0.03%22.5%3.28%66.7%<0.01%66.1%0.12%33.3%1.85%75.0%0.02%45.7%0.94%55.1%0.22%39.1%1.27%57.5%0.08%56.8%0.04%
Phoenix Rising79.5%2.70%86.8%0.26%68.9%5.92%81.7%0.26%81.2%1.44%71.1%3.27%90.3%0.24%77.5%3.28%94.0%0.05%87.0%1.05%62.2%14.53%85.0%0.13%69.8%7.65%76.2%1.92%68.3%10.62%81.7%0.68%88.5%0.29%
Portland Timbers 244.4%<0.01%13.3%0.01%33.3%<0.01%33.3%<0.01%33.3%<0.01%6.0%0.05%75.0%<0.01%10.7%0.03%28.6%<0.01%12.5%<0.01%21.7%0.02%100.0%<0.01%
Real Monarchs SLC40.4%0.09%80.0%<0.01%24.5%0.20%45.5%0.01%29.3%0.06%22.4%0.10%20.0%<0.01%33.9%0.12%13.0%1.05%25.0%<0.01%22.1%0.58%42.9%<0.01%22.5%0.24%31.0%0.06%27.8%0.39%40.0%0.03%60.0%0.01%
Reno 1868 FC70.5%1.41%82.7%0.13%55.9%3.36%77.9%0.14%71.4%0.88%61.3%1.88%86.7%0.14%66.7%1.85%37.8%14.53%89.3%0.03%77.9%0.58%71.2%0.06%58.4%3.93%68.6%0.99%56.1%5.63%72.2%0.37%77.2%0.12%
Rio Grande Valley FC70.0%0.01%39.3%0.03%55.6%<0.01%40.0%0.01%100.0%<0.01%25.0%0.02%15.0%0.13%57.1%<0.01%28.8%0.06%21.9%0.03%25.0%<0.01%23.8%0.04%0.0%<0.01%
Sacramento Republic60.4%0.77%76.7%0.06%48.9%1.76%67.5%0.08%64.2%0.42%54.8%0.98%75.3%0.07%54.3%0.94%30.2%7.65%71.4%<0.01%77.5%0.24%41.6%3.93%78.1%0.03%62.0%0.52%48.1%2.93%56.4%0.20%74.4%0.09%
Saint Louis FC52.4%0.17%66.7%0.01%40.5%0.39%57.1%0.01%46.7%0.10%42.9%0.23%70.6%0.02%44.9%0.22%23.8%1.92%87.5%<0.01%69.0%0.06%31.4%0.99%75.0%<0.01%38.0%0.52%37.4%0.69%45.2%0.04%65.2%0.02%
San Antonio FC63.9%0.95%75.3%0.08%49.8%2.25%78.4%0.10%62.4%0.55%55.5%1.29%83.1%0.08%60.9%1.27%31.7%10.62%78.3%0.02%72.2%0.39%43.9%5.63%76.2%0.04%51.9%2.93%62.6%0.69%62.0%0.27%76.8%0.10%
San Diego Loyal54.8%0.07%83.3%<0.01%32.4%0.17%33.3%<0.01%62.1%0.03%48.8%0.08%66.7%<0.01%42.5%0.08%18.3%0.68%0.0%<0.01%60.0%0.03%27.8%0.37%100.0%<0.01%43.6%0.20%54.8%0.04%38.0%0.27%55.6%<0.01%
Tacoma Defiance25.0%0.02%0.0%<0.01%23.4%0.06%0.0%<0.01%31.6%0.02%30.0%0.03%0.0%<0.01%43.2%0.04%11.5%0.29%40.0%0.01%22.8%0.12%25.6%0.09%34.8%0.02%23.2%0.10%44.4%<0.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Austin BoldColorado Springs SwitchbacksEl Paso LocomotiveLas Vegas Lights FCLos Angeles Galaxy IINew Mexico UnitedOKC Energy FCOrange County SCPhoenix RisingPortland Timbers 2Real Monarchs SLCReno 1868 FCRio Grande Valley FCSacramento RepublicSaint Louis FCSan Antonio FCSan Diego LoyalTacoma DefianceAtlanta United IIBirmingham LegionCharleston BatteryCharlotte IndependenceFC TulsaHartford AthleticIndy ElevenLoudoun UnitedLouisville City FCMemphis 901Miami FCNew York RB IINorth Carolina FCPhiladelphia Union 2Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSporting Kansas City 2Tampa Bay Rowdies
Atlanta United II40.0%<0.01%27.3%0.01%66.7%<0.01%20.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%18.4%0.04%0.0%<0.01%12.5%0.02%12.5%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%10.0%0.01%0.0%<0.01%
Birmingham Legion54.7%0.13%66.7%<0.01%37.0%0.37%78.6%0.01%51.9%0.08%43.6%0.17%100.0%<0.01%48.9%0.18%26.5%1.90%0.0%<0.01%63.6%0.03%33.1%0.96%60.0%<0.01%40.8%0.45%45.1%0.10%39.3%0.64%54.5%0.04%70.0%0.01%
Charleston Battery60.3%0.19%83.3%0.01%49.2%0.58%69.2%0.03%57.1%0.10%52.0%0.31%63.6%0.01%58.6%0.27%29.0%2.97%66.7%<0.01%71.1%0.04%38.3%1.53%54.5%0.01%52.2%0.71%54.7%0.17%45.2%0.97%55.0%0.06%80.0%0.01%
Charlotte Independence47.4%0.04%80.0%<0.01%38.6%0.13%50.0%<0.01%58.3%0.02%25.7%0.07%0.0%<0.01%48.1%0.05%23.9%0.68%41.7%0.01%35.0%0.33%50.0%<0.01%39.2%0.17%38.7%0.03%35.0%0.20%69.2%0.01%100.0%<0.01%
FC Tulsa62.9%0.03%100.0%<0.01%35.1%0.11%50.0%<0.01%48.3%0.03%37.9%0.06%66.7%<0.01%43.2%0.04%21.8%0.57%55.6%<0.01%35.2%0.30%50.0%<0.01%40.7%0.12%41.2%0.03%36.5%0.17%38.5%0.01%100.0%<0.01%
Hartford Athletic63.5%0.10%75.0%<0.01%42.9%0.27%50.0%<0.01%64.8%0.05%42.5%0.12%100.0%<0.01%46.9%0.11%32.2%1.38%0.0%<0.01%50.0%0.02%38.9%0.66%66.7%<0.01%42.4%0.32%60.9%0.07%43.8%0.48%55.0%0.02%100.0%<0.01%
Indy Eleven60.7%0.12%75.0%<0.01%36.9%0.31%80.0%<0.01%43.1%0.06%41.0%0.14%71.4%<0.01%45.6%0.14%26.2%1.60%50.0%<0.01%54.8%0.03%33.2%0.77%42.9%<0.01%41.1%0.39%47.0%0.07%39.5%0.51%41.7%0.02%77.8%<0.01%
Loudoun United20.0%<0.01%25.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%6.7%0.03%100.0%<0.01%15.4%0.01%27.3%0.01%37.5%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%
Louisville City FC70.8%0.53%78.6%0.03%57.7%1.54%72.4%0.03%69.8%0.29%61.8%0.85%80.0%0.01%71.8%0.76%41.5%8.00%100.0%<0.01%84.5%0.14%52.8%3.95%83.3%0.02%58.6%1.90%66.7%0.34%56.9%2.53%63.8%0.14%80.6%0.04%
Memphis 9010.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%66.7%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%40.0%0.01%66.7%<0.01%12.7%0.06%0.0%<0.01%21.1%0.04%23.5%0.02%42.9%<0.01%38.2%0.03%
Miami FC0.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%25.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%33.3%<0.01%11.1%0.04%100.0%<0.01%13.3%0.01%0.0%<0.01%25.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%26.7%0.01%
New York RB II45.9%0.04%100.0%<0.01%26.6%0.08%100.0%<0.01%40.0%0.01%32.3%0.03%100.0%<0.01%35.6%0.04%18.8%0.39%0.0%<0.01%50.0%<0.01%29.0%0.21%0.0%<0.01%22.6%0.11%31.6%0.02%21.3%0.14%22.2%<0.01%
North Carolina FC46.6%0.06%66.7%<0.01%36.8%0.18%25.0%<0.01%50.0%0.05%44.7%0.09%80.0%<0.01%50.0%0.09%21.4%0.96%70.6%0.02%32.8%0.46%0.0%<0.01%44.3%0.21%31.4%0.05%38.1%0.28%40.0%0.01%100.0%<0.01%
Philadelphia Union 20.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%20.0%0.01%0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%50.0%<0.01%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds76.3%0.85%85.2%0.05%64.2%2.75%89.3%0.07%75.2%0.49%68.2%1.35%85.7%0.05%71.5%1.16%47.1%13.46%100.0%0.01%85.8%0.22%57.7%6.67%93.9%0.03%65.2%3.14%73.2%0.66%62.3%4.30%71.1%0.24%82.9%0.07%
Sporting Kansas City 260.0%<0.01%46.2%0.01%0.0%<0.01%50.0%0.01%28.6%<0.01%15.3%0.10%100.0%<0.01%14.0%0.04%20.0%0.02%50.0%<0.01%38.2%0.03%0.0%<0.01%
Tampa Bay Rowdies62.2%0.37%88.2%0.02%53.2%1.06%80.0%0.03%65.8%0.19%55.1%0.60%68.2%0.02%60.2%0.51%35.4%5.71%80.0%<0.01%78.4%0.10%46.1%2.76%75.0%<0.01%55.4%1.29%65.6%0.27%51.4%1.81%64.3%0.08%88.5%0.03%
Austin Bold60.0%<0.01%45.3%0.13%39.7%0.19%52.6%0.04%37.1%0.03%36.5%0.10%39.3%0.12%29.2%0.53%100.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%54.1%0.04%53.4%0.06%23.7%0.85%40.0%<0.01%37.8%0.37%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks33.3%<0.01%16.7%0.01%20.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%25.0%<0.01%25.0%<0.01%21.4%0.03%0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%33.3%<0.01%14.8%0.05%11.8%0.02%
El Paso Locomotive72.7%0.01%63.0%0.37%50.8%0.58%61.4%0.13%64.9%0.11%57.1%0.27%63.1%0.31%80.0%<0.01%42.3%1.54%33.3%<0.01%75.0%<0.01%73.4%0.08%63.2%0.18%100.0%<0.01%35.8%2.75%53.8%0.01%46.8%1.06%
Las Vegas Lights FC21.4%0.01%30.8%0.03%50.0%<0.01%50.0%<0.01%50.0%<0.01%20.0%<0.01%27.6%0.03%0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%75.0%<0.01%10.7%0.07%20.0%0.03%
Los Angeles Galaxy II33.3%<0.01%48.1%0.08%42.9%0.10%41.7%0.02%51.7%0.03%35.2%0.05%56.9%0.06%75.0%<0.01%30.2%0.29%100.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%60.0%0.01%50.0%0.05%24.8%0.49%100.0%<0.01%34.2%0.19%
New Mexico United80.0%<0.01%56.4%0.17%48.0%0.31%74.3%0.07%62.1%0.06%57.5%0.12%59.0%0.14%0.0%<0.01%38.2%0.85%60.0%0.01%100.0%<0.01%67.7%0.03%55.3%0.09%31.8%1.35%50.0%0.01%44.9%0.60%
OKC Energy FC0.0%<0.01%36.4%0.01%100.0%<0.01%33.3%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%28.6%<0.01%20.0%0.01%0.0%<0.01%20.0%<0.01%14.3%0.05%31.8%0.02%
Orange County SC100.0%<0.01%51.1%0.18%41.4%0.27%51.9%0.05%56.8%0.04%53.1%0.11%54.4%0.14%100.0%<0.01%28.2%0.76%33.3%<0.01%66.7%<0.01%64.4%0.04%50.0%0.09%100.0%<0.01%28.5%1.16%71.4%<0.01%39.8%0.51%
Phoenix Rising81.6%0.04%73.5%1.90%71.0%2.97%76.1%0.68%78.2%0.57%67.8%1.38%73.8%1.60%93.3%0.03%58.5%8.00%87.3%0.06%88.9%0.04%81.2%0.39%78.6%0.96%80.0%0.01%52.9%13.46%84.7%0.10%64.6%5.71%
Portland Timbers 2100.0%<0.01%33.3%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%50.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%0.0%0.01%20.0%<0.01%
Real Monarchs SLC100.0%<0.01%36.4%0.03%28.9%0.04%58.3%0.01%44.4%<0.01%50.0%0.02%45.2%0.03%0.0%<0.01%15.5%0.14%100.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%50.0%<0.01%29.4%0.02%14.2%0.22%0.0%<0.01%21.6%0.10%
Reno 1868 FC87.5%0.02%66.9%0.96%61.7%1.53%65.0%0.33%64.8%0.30%61.1%0.66%66.8%0.77%84.6%0.01%47.2%3.95%78.9%0.04%86.7%0.01%71.0%0.21%67.2%0.46%100.0%<0.01%42.3%6.67%86.0%0.04%53.9%2.76%
Rio Grande Valley FC40.0%<0.01%45.5%0.01%50.0%<0.01%50.0%<0.01%33.3%<0.01%57.1%<0.01%16.7%0.02%100.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%100.0%<0.01%6.1%0.03%25.0%<0.01%
Sacramento Republic87.5%<0.01%59.2%0.45%47.8%0.71%60.8%0.17%59.3%0.12%57.6%0.32%58.9%0.39%72.7%0.01%41.4%1.90%76.5%0.02%75.0%<0.01%77.4%0.11%55.7%0.21%100.0%<0.01%34.8%3.14%80.0%0.02%44.6%1.29%
Saint Louis FC100.0%<0.01%54.9%0.10%45.3%0.17%61.3%0.03%58.8%0.03%39.1%0.07%53.0%0.07%33.3%0.34%57.1%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%68.4%0.02%68.6%0.05%26.8%0.66%50.0%<0.01%34.4%0.27%
San Antonio FC90.0%0.01%60.7%0.64%54.8%0.97%65.0%0.20%63.5%0.17%56.2%0.48%60.5%0.51%62.5%<0.01%43.1%2.53%61.8%0.03%73.3%0.01%78.7%0.14%61.9%0.28%50.0%<0.01%37.7%4.30%61.8%0.03%48.6%1.81%
San Diego Loyal100.0%<0.01%45.5%0.04%45.0%0.06%30.8%0.01%61.5%0.01%45.0%0.02%58.3%0.02%100.0%<0.01%36.2%0.14%77.8%<0.01%60.0%0.01%28.9%0.24%100.0%<0.01%35.7%0.08%
Tacoma Defiance30.0%0.01%20.0%0.01%0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%0.0%<0.01%22.2%<0.01%19.4%0.04%0.0%<0.01%17.1%0.07%11.5%0.03%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Advanced to Conference Semifinals Advanced to Conference Finals Advanced to USL Championship Won USL Championship Actual Outcome
Phoenix Rising 83.25% 60.42% 39.20% 24.47% Eliminated in Conference Finals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 78.40% 58.91% 35.00% 19.13% Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals
Louisville City FC 76.83% 50.29% 29.34% 15.36% Won USL Championship
Reno 1868 FC 73.18% 44.41% 22.50% 12.22% Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Tampa Bay Rowdies 61.53% 26.66% 11.53% 4.92% Eliminated in Conference Finals
El Paso Locomotive 58.19% 27.51% 10.72% 4.41% Eliminated in Conference Finals
San Antonio FC 58.86% 20.49% 10.24% 4.28% Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals
Sacramento Republic 41.81% 18.79% 6.99% 2.85% Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals
Charleston Battery 38.46% 14.89% 5.88% 2.23% Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
New Mexico United 41.14% 13.30% 5.65% 2.18% Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Birmingham Legion 38.54% 11.31% 3.83% 1.21% Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals
Charlotte Independence 21.61% 9.59% 3.40% 1.11% Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals
Saint Louis FC 26.82% 9.29% 2.67% 0.90% Eliminated in USL Championship
Los Angeles Galaxy II 16.75% 5.79% 2.02% 0.66% Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Birmingham LegionCharleston BatteryCharlotte IndependenceFC TulsaHartford AthleticLouisville City FCPittsburgh RiverhoundsTampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion38.5%100.00%
Charleston Battery38.5%100.00%
Charlotte Independence21.6%100.00%
FC Tulsa23.2%100.00%
Hartford Athletic61.5%100.00%
Louisville City FC76.8%100.00%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds78.4%100.00%
Tampa Bay Rowdies61.5%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
El Paso LocomotiveLos Angeles Galaxy IINew Mexico UnitedPhoenix RisingReno 1868 FCSacramento RepublicSaint Louis FCSan Antonio FC
El Paso Locomotive58.2%100.00%
Los Angeles Galaxy II16.8%100.00%
New Mexico United41.1%100.00%
Phoenix Rising83.2%100.00%
Reno 1868 FC73.2%100.00%
Sacramento Republic41.8%100.00%
Saint Louis FC26.8%100.00%
San Antonio FC58.9%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Birmingham LegionCharleston BatteryCharlotte IndependenceFC TulsaHartford AthleticLouisville City FCPittsburgh RiverhoundsTampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion52.8%8.29%22.9%30.25%
Charleston Battery61.4%8.90%31.9%29.56%
Charlotte Independence47.2%8.29%42.6%13.32%
FC Tulsa38.6%8.90%33.2%14.26%
Hartford Athletic57.4%13.32%26.1%48.15%
Louisville City FC68.1%29.56%63.8%47.27%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds77.1%30.25%73.9%48.15%
Tampa Bay Rowdies66.8%14.26%36.2%47.27%
Loser →
↓ Winner
El Paso LocomotiveLos Angeles Galaxy IINew Mexico UnitedPhoenix RisingReno 1868 FCSacramento RepublicSaint Louis FCSan Antonio FC
El Paso Locomotive40.3%42.49%66.1%15.70%
Los Angeles Galaxy II35.8%6.88%33.7%9.87%
New Mexico United64.2%6.88%25.9%34.26%
Phoenix Rising74.1%34.26%71.5%48.98%
Reno 1868 FC59.7%42.49%62.1%30.69%
Sacramento Republic37.9%30.69%64.3%11.12%
Saint Louis FC33.9%15.70%35.7%11.12%
San Antonio FC66.3%9.87%28.5%48.98%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Birmingham LegionCharleston BatteryCharlotte IndependenceFC TulsaHartford AthleticLouisville City FCPittsburgh RiverhoundsTampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion38.8%1.69%55.0%0.94%28.6%5.66%34.4%3.02%
Charleston Battery61.2%1.69%57.8%1.44%47.5%2.98%29.6%8.77%
Charlotte Independence42.2%1.44%60.0%0.76%29.8%4.79%34.7%2.60%
FC Tulsa45.0%0.94%40.0%0.76%41.8%1.69%24.1%4.78%
Hartford Athletic52.5%2.98%58.2%1.69%31.8%10.12%49.4%5.39%
Louisville City FC71.4%5.66%70.2%4.79%68.2%10.12%50.6%29.72%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds70.4%8.77%75.9%4.78%49.4%29.72%67.3%15.65%
Tampa Bay Rowdies65.6%3.02%65.3%2.60%50.6%5.39%32.7%15.65%
Loser →
↓ Winner
El Paso LocomotiveLos Angeles Galaxy IINew Mexico UnitedPhoenix RisingReno 1868 FCSacramento RepublicSaint Louis FCSan Antonio FC
El Paso Locomotive65.5%1.57%58.2%3.61%30.8%16.71%43.5%5.62%
Los Angeles Galaxy II34.5%1.57%31.3%2.56%35.9%1.11%50.2%0.55%
New Mexico United41.8%3.61%38.8%5.92%43.5%2.54%60.3%1.23%
Phoenix Rising69.2%16.71%56.5%26.78%71.9%11.35%78.0%5.58%
Reno 1868 FC68.7%2.56%61.2%5.92%43.5%26.78%59.8%9.15%
Sacramento Republic64.1%1.11%56.5%2.54%28.1%11.35%43.7%3.79%
Saint Louis FC49.8%0.55%39.7%1.23%22.0%5.58%35.0%1.93%
San Antonio FC56.5%5.62%40.2%9.15%56.3%3.79%65.0%1.93%
Loser →
↓ Winner
El Paso LocomotiveLos Angeles Galaxy IINew Mexico UnitedPhoenix RisingReno 1868 FCSacramento RepublicSaint Louis FCSan Antonio FCBirmingham LegionCharleston BatteryCharlotte IndependenceFC TulsaHartford AthleticLouisville City FCPittsburgh RiverhoundsTampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion37.2%0.41%48.6%0.07%43.1%0.19%24.4%1.51%31.2%0.86%36.5%0.27%49.5%0.10%36.9%0.41%
Charleston Battery41.7%0.59%61.2%0.13%55.0%0.34%30.1%2.28%36.2%1.32%49.9%0.43%56.2%0.16%39.1%0.63%
Charlotte Independence36.9%0.35%51.5%0.07%36.8%0.20%24.4%1.31%35.0%0.81%43.5%0.22%50.0%0.11%37.5%0.33%
FC Tulsa35.3%0.28%46.0%0.05%41.7%0.14%24.7%0.99%33.0%0.58%38.3%0.19%50.7%0.07%37.6%0.28%
Hartford Athletic48.8%0.86%59.6%0.16%51.9%0.49%27.5%3.29%35.3%1.94%51.7%0.61%59.4%0.22%51.0%0.87%
Louisville City FC63.2%3.18%71.6%0.59%65.1%1.70%43.1%11.49%48.3%6.56%61.6%2.03%68.5%0.78%63.6%3.01%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds66.9%3.82%74.5%0.71%69.9%1.93%42.5%13.77%52.9%7.87%66.5%2.48%74.0%0.93%67.1%3.49%
Tampa Bay Rowdies57.1%1.23%59.8%0.24%55.2%0.64%30.8%4.55%40.8%2.56%58.4%0.78%62.3%0.30%51.5%1.23%
El Paso Locomotive62.8%0.41%58.3%0.59%63.1%0.35%64.7%0.28%51.2%0.86%36.8%3.18%33.1%3.82%42.9%1.23%
Los Angeles Galaxy II51.4%0.07%38.8%0.13%48.5%0.07%54.0%0.05%40.4%0.16%28.4%0.59%25.5%0.71%40.2%0.24%
New Mexico United56.9%0.19%45.0%0.34%63.2%0.20%58.3%0.14%48.1%0.49%34.9%1.70%30.1%1.93%44.8%0.64%
Phoenix Rising75.6%1.51%69.9%2.28%75.6%1.31%75.3%0.99%72.5%3.29%56.9%11.49%57.5%13.77%69.2%4.55%
Reno 1868 FC68.8%0.86%63.8%1.32%65.0%0.81%67.0%0.58%64.7%1.94%51.7%6.56%47.1%7.87%59.2%2.56%
Sacramento Republic63.5%0.27%50.1%0.43%56.5%0.22%61.7%0.19%48.3%0.61%38.4%2.03%33.5%2.48%41.6%0.78%
Saint Louis FC50.5%0.10%43.8%0.16%50.0%0.11%49.3%0.07%40.6%0.22%31.5%0.78%26.0%0.93%37.7%0.30%
San Antonio FC63.1%0.41%60.9%0.63%62.5%0.33%62.4%0.28%49.0%0.87%36.4%3.01%32.9%3.49%48.5%1.23%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Phoenix Rising 24.47% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Los Angeles Galaxy II
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
83.25%
Conference Semifinals
vs. San Antonio FC
Matchup
58.00%
Win Prob
71.53%
Conference Finals
vs. Reno 1868 FC
Matchup
38.59%
Win Prob
56.49%
USL Championship
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
32.37%
Win Prob
57.52%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 19.13% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Charlotte Independence
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
78.40%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Hartford Athletic
Matchup
60.43%
Win Prob
73.94%
Conference Finals
vs. Louisville City FC
Matchup
41.93%
Win Prob
49.39%
USL Championship
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
30.59%
Win Prob
42.48%
Louisville City FC 15.36% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. FC Tulsa
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
76.83%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies
Matchup
59.95%
Win Prob
63.78%
Conference Finals
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
51.25%
Win Prob
50.61%
USL Championship
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
32.22%
Win Prob
43.08%
Reno 1868 FC 12.22% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Saint Louis FC
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
73.18%
Conference Semifinals
vs. El Paso Locomotive
Matchup
57.10%
Win Prob
59.67%
Conference Finals
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
51.79%
Win Prob
43.51%
USL Championship
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
30.32%
Win Prob
47.10%
Tampa Bay Rowdies 4.92% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Charleston Battery
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
61.53%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Louisville City FC
Matchup
64.24%
Win Prob
36.22%
Conference Finals
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
44.45%
Win Prob
32.75%
USL Championship
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
28.52%
Win Prob
30.80%
El Paso Locomotive 4.41% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Sacramento Republic
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
58.19%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Reno 1868 FC
Matchup
62.29%
Win Prob
40.33%
Conference Finals
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
48.01%
Win Prob
30.81%
USL Championship
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
28.72%
Win Prob
33.07%
San Antonio FC 4.28% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. New Mexico United
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
58.86%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
68.07%
Win Prob
28.47%
Conference Finals
vs. Reno 1868 FC
Matchup
35.95%
Win Prob
40.23%
USL Championship
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
26.78%
Win Prob
32.88%
Hartford Athletic 3.25% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Birmingham Legion
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
61.46%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
62.16%
Win Prob
26.06%
Conference Finals
vs. Louisville City FC
Matchup
38.16%
Win Prob
31.80%
USL Championship
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
27.95%
Win Prob
27.53%
Sacramento Republic 2.85% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. El Paso Locomotive
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
41.81%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Reno 1868 FC
Matchup
61.93%
Win Prob
37.92%
Conference Finals
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
45.57%
Win Prob
28.09%
USL Championship
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
29.07%
Win Prob
33.49%
Charleston Battery 2.23% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
38.46%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Louisville City FC
Matchup
63.29%
Win Prob
31.88%
Conference Finals
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
44.14%
Win Prob
29.57%
USL Championship
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
30.88%
Win Prob
30.15%
New Mexico United 2.18% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. San Antonio FC
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
41.14%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
66.81%
Win Prob
25.93%
Conference Finals
vs. Reno 1868 FC
Matchup
40.58%
Win Prob
38.77%
USL Championship
vs. Louisville City FC
Matchup
27.29%
Win Prob
34.88%
Birmingham Legion 1.21% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Hartford Athletic
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
38.54%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
61.34%
Win Prob
22.93%
Conference Finals
vs. Louisville City FC
Matchup
42.23%
Win Prob
28.62%
USL Championship
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
30.52%
Win Prob
24.40%
Charlotte Independence 1.11% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
21.61%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Hartford Athletic
Matchup
59.18%
Win Prob
42.64%
Conference Finals
vs. Louisville City FC
Matchup
42.12%
Win Prob
29.82%
USL Championship
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
28.64%
Win Prob
24.43%
Saint Louis FC 0.90% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Reno 1868 FC
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
26.82%
Conference Semifinals
vs. El Paso Locomotive
Matchup
57.33%
Win Prob
33.93%
Conference Finals
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
45.95%
Win Prob
21.95%
USL Championship
vs. Louisville City FC
Matchup
27.51%
Win Prob
31.55%
FC Tulsa 0.83% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Louisville City FC
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
23.17%
Conference Semifinals
vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies
Matchup
57.91%
Win Prob
33.17%
Conference Finals
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
44.55%
Win Prob
24.12%
USL Championship
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
29.45%
Win Prob
24.70%
Los Angeles Galaxy II 0.66% chance to win
Conference Quarterfinals
vs. Phoenix Rising
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
16.75%
Conference Semifinals
vs. San Antonio FC
Matchup
57.44%
Win Prob
33.71%
Conference Finals
vs. Reno 1868 FC
Matchup
39.57%
Win Prob
31.27%
USL Championship
vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matchup
27.74%
Win Prob
25.53%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2020-03-08 Charleston Battery L 0-1 1430.59 1516.22 32.09% 21.97% 45.94% -11.80 0
2020-07-12 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies L 1-2 1418.79 1560.82 19.48% 17.92% 62.60% -6.86 0
2020-07-19 Memphis 901 T 2-2 1411.93 1417.59 43.11% 22.23% 34.67% -0.45 1
2020-07-25 @ Charleston Battery L 0-3 1411.48 1512.59 22.86% 19.58% 57.56% -23.58 1
2020-07-30 Miami FC W 4-3 1387.90 1426.84 38.34% 22.37% 39.29% +12.13 4
2020-08-06 Charleston Battery T 1-1 1400.03 1515.05 28.62% 21.38% 50.00% +1.59 5
2020-08-09 @ Birmingham Legion L 0-1 1401.62 1528.72 20.65% 18.55% 60.80% -7.75 5
2020-08-13 Tampa Bay Rowdies L 0-2 1393.87 1610.77 19.21% 17.76% 63.03% -13.51 5
2020-08-16 @ Charleston Battery L 2-3 1380.36 1513.17 20.20% 18.31% 61.49% -6.77 5
2020-08-20 @ Miami FC T 2-2 1373.59 1395.76 31.14% 21.84% 47.03% +0.87 6
2020-08-23 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies L 1-2 1374.46 1619.68 12.92% 13.20% 73.89% -4.30 6
2020-09-03 @ Philadelphia Union 2 W 2-1 1370.16 1371.33 33.77% 22.15% 44.07% +14.35 9
2020-09-13 Miami FC L 1-2 1384.51 1386.63 43.61% 22.19% 34.20% -14.22 9
2020-09-17 Tampa Bay Rowdies L 1-2 1370.29 1617.70 17.04% 16.39% 66.57% -5.92 9
2020-09-24 New York RB II W 5-3 1364.37 1495.46 26.88% 20.95% 52.18% +24.08 12
2020-10-05 @ Miami FC L 1-3 1388.45 1372.73 36.02% 22.31% 41.67% -21.18 12
2020-03-08 New Mexico United W 1-0 1491.90 1487.23 44.57% 22.11% 33.32% +12.17 3
2020-07-18 OKC Energy FC L 1-3 1504.07 1469.16 48.79% 21.58% 29.63% -26.97 3
2020-08-02 San Antonio FC L 2-4 1477.10 1537.89 35.31% 22.27% 42.42% -18.64 3
2020-08-09 Rio Grande Valley FC W 4-1 1458.46 1419.41 49.36% 21.49% 29.15% +25.05 6
2020-08-16 @ San Antonio FC T 1-1 1483.51 1585.64 22.77% 19.54% 57.69% +2.68 7
2020-08-20 @ FC Tulsa T 2-2 1486.19 1490.83 33.32% 22.11% 44.57% +0.61 8
2020-08-23 @ Rio Grande Valley FC W 3-2 1486.80 1395.82 46.68% 21.88% 31.43% +10.36 11
2020-08-27 @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks T 4-4 1497.16 1412.78 45.76% 21.99% 32.25% -0.54 12
2020-08-30 @ OKC Energy FC T 1-1 1496.62 1368.38 51.79% 21.03% 27.18% -1.85 13
2020-09-06 FC Tulsa T 1-1 1494.77 1469.02 47.52% 21.77% 30.71% -1.24 14
2020-09-09 FC Tulsa T 2-2 1493.53 1470.27 47.18% 21.82% 31.00% -0.89 15
2020-09-17 @ San Antonio FC L 2-3 1492.64 1621.70 20.49% 18.47% 61.04% -6.87 15
2020-09-23 Sporting Kansas City 2 W 4-0 1485.77 1454.11 48.34% 21.65% 30.01% +39.81 18
2020-09-27 @ OKC Energy FC T 0-0 1525.58 1366.44 55.87% 20.06% 24.08% -2.71 19
2020-10-01 @ Rio Grande Valley FC L 0-2 1522.87 1362.43 56.03% 20.01% 23.96% -34.89 19
2020-10-04 San Antonio FC W 2-1 1487.98 1618.04 26.98% 20.98% 52.04% +16.42 22
2020-07-16 Memphis 901 W 3-0 1465.01 1449.80 46.05% 21.96% 31.99% +32.21 3
2020-07-20 @ Charleston Battery W 2-1 1497.22 1528.01 30.11% 21.67% 48.22% +15.43 6
2020-07-26 Tampa Bay Rowdies T 1-1 1512.65 1566.47 36.25% 22.32% 41.43% +0.37 7
2020-08-02 @ North Carolina FC L 0-1 1513.02 1523.85 32.54% 22.03% 45.44% -11.93 7
2020-08-06 Charlotte Independence W 4-1 1501.09 1491.20 45.31% 22.04% 32.65% +27.63 10
2020-08-09 Atlanta United II W 1-0 1528.72 1401.62 60.80% 18.55% 20.65% +7.75 13
2020-08-13 @ Charlotte Independence T 1-1 1536.47 1463.85 44.10% 22.15% 33.74% -0.75 14
2020-08-16 @ North Carolina FC W 2-0 1535.72 1547.02 32.48% 22.02% 45.51% +29.43 17
2020-08-23 Memphis 901 T 2-2 1565.15 1414.98 63.57% 17.56% 18.87% -2.59 18
2020-08-30 @ Charlotte Independence W 4-1 1562.56 1472.69 46.53% 21.90% 31.57% +26.86 21
2020-09-03 North Carolina FC L 1-2 1589.42 1463.30 60.68% 18.59% 20.73% -18.62 21
2020-09-06 @ Memphis 901 T 1-1 1570.80 1391.08 58.49% 19.30% 22.21% -2.78 22
2020-09-13 Charlotte Independence L 1-3 1568.02 1493.12 54.17% 20.49% 25.33% -29.39 22
2020-09-17 @ Miami FC W 4-0 1538.63 1400.85 53.07% 20.75% 26.18% +35.16 25
2020-09-27 North Carolina FC L 1-2 1573.79 1442.25 61.34% 18.36% 20.30% -18.78 25
2020-10-04 @ Memphis 901 L 1-3 1555.01 1390.46 56.56% 19.86% 23.57% -30.44 25
2020-03-08 @ Atlanta United II W 1-0 1516.22 1430.59 45.94% 21.97% 32.09% +11.79 3
2020-07-20 Birmingham Legion L 1-2 1528.01 1497.22 48.22% 21.67% 30.11% -15.42 3
2020-07-25 Atlanta United II W 3-0 1512.59 1411.48 57.56% 19.58% 22.86% +23.57 6
2020-08-01 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies L 0-2 1536.16 1566.10 30.21% 21.69% 48.11% -21.11 6
2020-08-06 @ Atlanta United II T 1-1 1515.05 1400.03 50.00% 21.38% 28.62% -1.59 7
2020-08-09 @ Charlotte Independence T 1-1 1513.46 1463.56 40.86% 22.34% 36.80% -0.29 8
2020-08-16 Atlanta United II W 3-2 1513.17 1380.36 61.49% 18.31% 20.20% +6.77 11
2020-08-20 @ North Carolina FC W 3-0 1519.94 1517.59 34.23% 22.19% 43.58% +41.28 14
2020-08-27 Miami FC W 3-1 1561.22 1409.49 63.75% 17.49% 18.75% +11.40 17
2020-08-30 Tampa Bay Rowdies W 1-0 1572.62 1623.97 36.59% 22.33% 41.07% +14.38 20
2020-09-06 @ Miami FC T 1-1 1587.00 1383.44 61.43% 18.33% 20.24% -3.18 21
2020-09-12 Tampa Bay Rowdies W 1-0 1583.82 1631.96 37.04% 22.35% 40.61% +14.25 24
2020-09-20 Miami FC W 2-0 1598.07 1365.69 72.60% 13.79% 13.61% +9.14 27
2020-09-27 Loudoun United L 1-3 1607.21 1334.49 76.51% 11.96% 11.53% -38.43 27
2020-10-01 @ Miami FC L 3-4 1568.78 1355.05 62.66% 17.90% 19.45% -17.68 27
2020-10-04 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies W 2-1 1551.10 1629.48 24.99% 20.38% 54.63% +17.09 30
2020-03-08 @ Sporting Kansas City 2 W 2-1 1477.89 1466.82 35.39% 22.28% 42.34% +13.89 3
2020-07-26 @ Memphis 901 T 2-2 1491.78 1418.05 44.26% 22.14% 33.60% -0.58 4
2020-08-06 @ Birmingham Legion L 1-4 1491.20 1501.09 32.65% 22.04% 45.31% -27.64 4
2020-08-09 Charleston Battery T 1-1 1463.56 1513.46 36.80% 22.34% 40.86% +0.29 5
2020-08-13 Birmingham Legion T 1-1 1463.85 1536.47 33.74% 22.15% 44.10% +0.76 6
2020-08-16 Memphis 901 W 3-2 1464.61 1424.66 49.48% 21.47% 29.05% +9.67 9
2020-08-24 @ Miami FC L 1-2 1474.28 1394.89 45.06% 22.06% 32.88% -14.60 9
2020-08-27 North Carolina FC W 1-0 1459.68 1476.31 41.54% 22.32% 36.14% +13.01 12
2020-08-30 Birmingham Legion L 1-4 1472.69 1562.56 31.57% 21.90% 46.53% -26.86 12
2020-09-03 @ Memphis 901 W 2-0 1445.83 1417.57 37.76% 22.37% 39.87% +26.50 15
2020-09-06 North Carolina FC W 3-1 1472.33 1481.91 42.55% 22.26% 35.19% +20.79 18
2020-09-13 @ Birmingham Legion W 3-1 1493.12 1568.02 25.33% 20.49% 54.17% +29.38 21
2020-09-20 @ North Carolina FC W 1-0 1522.50 1455.09 43.36% 22.21% 34.43% +12.51 24
2020-09-24 Miami FC T 0-0 1535.01 1356.55 66.83% 16.29% 16.88% -4.36 25
2020-03-08 @ OKC Energy FC W 2-1 1445.18 1486.28 28.92% 21.44% 49.64% +15.79 3
2020-07-12 New Mexico United L 1-2 1460.97 1475.06 41.90% 22.30% 35.80% -13.78 3
2020-07-18 @ Real Monarchs SLC T 3-3 1447.19 1524.91 25.06% 20.40% 54.54% +1.39 4
2020-08-02 Real Monarchs SLC L 1-2 1448.58 1523.52 33.45% 22.12% 44.43% -11.51 4
2020-08-09 @ El Paso Locomotive L 2-4 1437.07 1493.83 27.20% 21.04% 51.76% -14.88 4
2020-08-15 New Mexico United L 0-1 1422.19 1523.88 30.15% 21.68% 48.17% -11.17 4
2020-08-23 El Paso Locomotive T 0-0 1411.02 1524.89 28.75% 21.40% 49.85% +1.76 5
2020-08-27 Austin Bold T 4-4 1412.78 1497.16 32.25% 21.99% 45.76% +0.54 6
2020-08-30 New Mexico United T 1-1 1413.32 1585.76 22.86% 19.57% 57.57% +2.66 7
2020-09-06 OKC Energy FC T 0-0 1415.98 1370.23 50.27% 21.33% 28.40% -1.83 8
2020-09-10 @ Real Monarchs SLC L 1-4 1414.15 1470.53 27.24% 21.05% 51.71% -23.55 8
2020-09-17 @ El Paso Locomotive L 1-2 1390.60 1563.02 17.29% 16.56% 66.15% -6.02 8
2020-09-19 @ New Mexico United W 2-1 1384.58 1585.85 15.42% 15.23% 69.35% +20.66 11
2020-09-27 Real Monarchs SLC T 1-1 1405.24 1449.18 37.63% 22.36% 40.01% +0.17 12
2020-10-01 El Paso Locomotive T 0-0 1405.41 1577.83 22.86% 19.58% 57.57% +2.98 13
2020-10-04 @ FC Tulsa L 0-2 1408.39 1494.49 24.25% 20.12% 55.64% -17.21 13
2020-03-07 @ Orange County SC T 0-0 1511.03 1542.01 30.09% 21.66% 48.25% +1.51 1
2020-07-12 Rio Grande Valley FC W 1-0 1512.54 1449.55 52.60% 20.86% 26.55% +9.95 4
2020-07-16 New Mexico United T 2-2 1522.49 1488.83 48.62% 21.61% 29.77% -1.04 5
2020-07-25 New Mexico United L 1-2 1521.45 1489.88 48.33% 21.65% 30.02% -15.45 5
2020-08-02 @ Phoenix Rising L 1-3 1506.00 1642.42 19.91% 18.16% 61.93% -12.17 5
2020-08-09 Colorado Springs Switchbacks W 4-2 1493.83 1437.07 51.76% 21.04% 27.20% +14.87 8
2020-08-16 @ Real Monarchs SLC W 1-0 1508.70 1535.03 30.64% 21.76% 47.60% +16.19 11
2020-08-23 @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks T 0-0 1524.89 1411.02 49.85% 21.40% 28.75% -1.76 12
2020-08-30 Real Monarchs SLC W 2-1 1523.13 1468.13 51.53% 21.08% 27.39% +9.66 15
2020-09-06 @ New Mexico United W 3-2 1532.79 1583.10 27.90% 21.21% 50.89% +15.30 18
2020-09-13 San Antonio FC W 2-1 1548.09 1636.63 31.73% 21.92% 46.34% +14.93 21
2020-09-17 Colorado Springs Switchbacks W 2-1 1563.02 1390.60 66.15% 16.56% 17.29% +6.02 24
2020-09-20 Real Monarchs SLC W 1-0 1569.04 1457.44 58.88% 19.18% 21.94% +8.25 27
2020-09-27 @ New Mexico United T 0-0 1577.29 1565.18 35.53% 22.28% 42.19% +0.54 28
2020-10-01 @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks T 0-0 1577.83 1405.41 57.57% 19.58% 22.86% -2.98 29
2020-10-04 @ Real Monarchs SLC W 4-0 1574.85 1438.37 52.90% 20.79% 26.31% +35.33 32
2020-03-08 @ Sacramento Republic T 1-1 1438.06 1526.97 23.98% 20.02% 56.00% +2.45 1
2020-07-14 @ OKC Energy FC T 1-1 1440.51 1470.49 30.20% 21.69% 48.11% +1.32 2
2020-08-02 @ Rio Grande Valley FC W 2-1 1441.83 1433.40 35.04% 22.25% 42.71% +13.99 5
2020-08-09 @ Saint Louis FC W 2-0 1455.82 1525.94 25.81% 20.64% 53.54% +33.61 8
2020-08-13 San Antonio FC T 0-0 1489.43 1587.04 30.63% 21.76% 47.61% +1.40 9
2020-08-20 Austin Bold T 2-2 1490.83 1486.19 44.57% 22.11% 33.32% -0.61 10
2020-08-23 @ San Antonio FC L 0-2 1490.22 1606.97 21.50% 18.97% 59.52% -15.24 10
2020-08-30 Sporting Kansas City 2 L 1-2 1474.98 1467.63 44.95% 22.08% 32.98% -14.57 10
2020-09-03 Rio Grande Valley FC W 2-1 1460.41 1374.72 55.58% 20.13% 24.29% +8.61 13
2020-09-06 @ Austin Bold T 1-1 1469.02 1494.77 30.71% 21.77% 47.52% +1.25 14
2020-09-09 @ Austin Bold T 2-2 1470.27 1493.53 31.00% 21.82% 47.18% +0.89 15
2020-09-13 OKC Energy FC T 1-1 1471.16 1372.06 57.31% 19.65% 23.04% -2.63 16
2020-09-27 San Antonio FC W 1-0 1468.53 1636.81 23.23% 19.73% 57.04% +18.77 19
2020-10-01 OKC Energy FC W 3-2 1487.30 1369.15 59.70% 18.91% 21.39% +7.19 22
2020-10-04 Colorado Springs Switchbacks W 2-0 1494.49 1408.39 55.64% 20.12% 24.25% +17.21 25
2020-07-18 @ New York RB II W 1-0 1456.41 1522.99 26.17% 20.75% 53.07% +17.70 3
2020-07-21 Loudoun United W 3-1 1474.11 1488.64 41.84% 22.30% 35.86% +21.11 6
2020-07-26 Philadelphia Union 2 W 3-2 1495.22 1376.64 59.75% 18.90% 21.35% +7.17 9
2020-07-30 @ Indy Eleven L 1-4 1502.39 1589.43 24.16% 20.08% 55.76% -21.00 9
2020-08-03 Loudoun United W 4-1 1481.39 1467.53 45.86% 21.98% 32.16% +27.28 12
2020-08-16 New York RB II W 2-1 1508.67 1499.81 45.16% 22.05% 32.78% +11.32 15
2020-08-24 Loudoun United T 2-2 1519.99 1425.11 56.77% 19.81% 23.43% -1.90 16
2020-08-29 Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-3 1518.09 1652.91 26.49% 20.84% 52.67% -27.21 16
2020-09-06 Loudoun United W 2-1 1490.88 1404.25 55.71% 20.10% 24.20% +8.59 19
2020-09-13 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-5 1499.47 1713.31 14.67% 14.65% 70.69% -23.32 19
2020-09-17 New York RB II W 3-1 1476.15 1518.36 37.87% 22.37% 39.76% +22.90 22
2020-09-20 Philadelphia Union 2 W 3-0 1499.05 1367.12 61.39% 18.35% 20.26% +20.80 25
2020-09-27 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 1-0 1519.85 1739.65 14.32% 14.37% 71.31% +22.37 28
2020-10-01 @ Philadelphia Union 2 W 3-2 1542.22 1339.59 61.32% 18.37% 20.31% +6.81 31
2020-10-05 @ New York RB II W 2-0 1549.03 1434.75 49.90% 21.39% 28.70% +20.17 34
2020-03-08 @ Memphis 901 W 4-2 1540.27 1467.77 44.08% 22.15% 33.76% +17.97 3
2020-07-12 Saint Louis FC W 2-0 1558.24 1534.12 47.30% 21.80% 30.90% +21.53 6
2020-07-19 Sporting Kansas City 2 W 2-1 1579.77 1452.93 60.77% 18.56% 20.67% +7.31 9
2020-07-22 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 1-0 1587.08 1652.92 26.25% 20.77% 52.98% +17.67 12
2020-07-26 @ Saint Louis FC L 0-1 1604.75 1529.65 44.45% 22.12% 33.42% -15.32 12
2020-07-30 Hartford Athletic W 4-1 1589.43 1502.39 55.76% 20.08% 24.16% +21.00 15
2020-08-02 Sporting Kansas City 2 L 0-1 1610.43 1455.25 64.16% 17.34% 18.50% -20.63 15
2020-08-09 @ Louisville City FC T 1-1 1589.80 1535.04 41.56% 22.32% 36.13% -0.39 16
2020-08-16 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 1-0 1589.41 1655.99 34.54% 22.22% 43.25% +14.98 19
2020-08-27 @ Louisville City FC L 0-1 1604.39 1573.55 38.13% 22.37% 39.50% -13.57 19
2020-09-06 Louisville City FC L 1-3 1590.82 1586.36 44.54% 22.11% 33.34% -25.05 19
2020-09-10 Sporting Kansas City 2 W 2-1 1565.77 1472.28 56.59% 19.86% 23.55% +8.36 22
2020-09-17 Louisville City FC L 0-2 1574.13 1636.35 35.12% 22.26% 42.62% -23.97 22
2020-09-24 Saint Louis FC T 1-1 1550.16 1509.63 49.56% 21.45% 28.98% -1.53 23
2020-10-01 Sporting Kansas City 2 L 1-2 1548.63 1414.29 61.68% 18.25% 20.07% -18.86 23
2020-10-04 @ Saint Louis FC L 1-2 1529.77 1502.09 37.68% 22.36% 39.96% -12.67 23
2020-03-08 @ San Diego Loyal T 1-1 1469.98 1450.00 36.61% 22.33% 41.06% +0.32 1
2020-07-26 @ San Diego Loyal L 1-2 1470.30 1467.17 34.33% 22.20% 43.46% -11.76 1
2020-08-02 Reno 1868 FC L 0-1 1458.54 1578.14 28.11% 21.26% 50.63% -10.50 1
2020-08-16 @ Orange County SC L 0-1 1448.04 1581.79 20.12% 18.27% 61.61% -7.53 1
2020-08-20 Tacoma Defiance W 3-1 1440.51 1473.21 39.23% 22.37% 38.39% +22.28 4
2020-08-23 Phoenix Rising T 3-3 1462.79 1707.87 17.19% 16.50% 66.31% +2.37 5
2020-08-26 Orange County SC W 3-1 1465.16 1600.89 26.39% 20.81% 52.79% +28.77 8
2020-08-30 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 3-4 1493.93 1511.72 31.67% 21.91% 46.41% -10.18 8
2020-09-03 San Diego Loyal T 1-1 1483.75 1434.75 50.72% 21.24% 28.04% -1.69 9
2020-09-06 Phoenix Rising L 0-2 1482.06 1690.12 19.88% 18.14% 61.98% -14.04 9
2020-09-12 @ Phoenix Rising L 1-5 1468.02 1704.15 13.41% 13.61% 72.98% -14.19 9
2020-09-16 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 2-3 1453.83 1477.66 30.94% 21.81% 47.26% -10.22 9
2020-09-19 @ Orange County SC L 0-1 1443.61 1522.59 24.93% 20.36% 54.71% -9.38 9
2020-09-27 Los Angeles Galaxy II T 2-2 1434.23 1488.12 36.25% 22.32% 41.43% +0.28 10
2020-10-01 @ Reno 1868 FC T 2-2 1434.51 1648.25 14.67% 14.65% 70.68% +3.26 11
2020-10-04 Orange County SC L 2-4 1437.77 1502.83 34.74% 22.23% 43.03% -18.40 11
2020-03-08 @ Rio Grande Valley FC W 5-1 1498.68 1494.24 34.50% 22.22% 43.28% +44.70 3
2020-07-12 @ Phoenix Rising L 0-4 1543.38 1628.24 24.36% 20.16% 55.48% -32.81 3
2020-07-20 @ San Diego Loyal W 1-0 1510.57 1481.18 37.92% 22.37% 39.71% +14.01 6
2020-07-26 Sacramento Republic W 1-0 1524.58 1536.92 42.15% 22.29% 35.56% +12.83 9
2020-08-19 Phoenix Rising L 1-4 1537.41 1686.08 25.09% 20.41% 54.50% -21.78 9
2020-08-23 Orange County SC L 1-2 1515.63 1589.33 33.60% 22.14% 44.26% -11.56 9
2020-08-27 @ Portland Timbers 2 W 3-2 1504.07 1330.05 57.77% 19.52% 22.72% +7.65 12
2020-08-30 Las Vegas Lights FC W 4-3 1511.72 1493.93 46.41% 21.91% 31.67% +10.18 15
2020-09-03 @ Orange County SC L 1-2 1521.90 1568.39 28.32% 21.31% 50.38% -9.97 15
2020-09-06 @ Orange County SC W 2-1 1511.93 1578.35 26.19% 20.76% 53.05% +16.68 18
2020-09-10 San Diego Loyal L 0-3 1528.61 1436.44 56.42% 19.90% 23.68% -50.95 18
2020-09-16 Las Vegas Lights FC W 3-2 1477.66 1453.83 47.26% 21.81% 30.94% +10.22 21
2020-09-24 San Diego Loyal T 1-1 1487.88 1535.04 37.18% 22.35% 40.47% +0.24 22
2020-09-27 @ Las Vegas Lights FC T 2-2 1488.12 1434.23 41.43% 22.32% 36.25% -0.28 23
2020-10-01 Orange County SC W 3-1 1487.84 1525.43 38.53% 22.37% 39.09% +22.60 26
2020-10-04 @ Phoenix Rising L 1-4 1510.44 1729.01 14.39% 14.43% 71.18% -11.95 26
2020-03-08 @ Philadelphia Union 2 T 0-0 1488.43 1462.02 37.50% 22.36% 40.14% +0.21 1
2020-07-21 @ Hartford Athletic L 1-3 1488.64 1474.11 35.86% 22.30% 41.84% -21.11 1
2020-08-03 @ Hartford Athletic L 1-4 1467.53 1481.39 32.16% 21.98% 45.86% -27.28 1
2020-08-13 @ New York RB II W 2-1 1440.25 1516.83 25.17% 20.44% 54.39% +17.03 4
2020-08-16 @ Louisville City FC L 0-2 1457.28 1535.43 25.01% 20.39% 54.60% -17.74 4
2020-08-20 Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-2 1439.54 1641.01 20.40% 18.42% 61.18% -14.43 4
2020-08-24 @ Hartford Athletic T 2-2 1425.11 1519.99 23.43% 19.81% 56.77% +1.90 5
2020-08-29 New York RB II L 2-3 1427.01 1488.49 35.22% 22.27% 42.52% -11.39 5
2020-09-02 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-3 1415.62 1680.12 11.93% 12.32% 75.75% -11.37 5
2020-09-06 @ Hartford Athletic L 1-2 1404.25 1490.88 24.20% 20.10% 55.71% -8.59 5
2020-09-13 Philadelphia Union 2 T 1-1 1395.66 1308.97 55.71% 20.10% 24.19% -2.40 6
2020-09-17 @ Philadelphia Union 2 L 0-4 1393.26 1311.37 45.41% 22.03% 32.56% -55.75 6
2020-09-19 Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-1 1337.51 1736.63 9.10% 9.65% 81.25% -3.02 6
2020-09-27 @ Charleston Battery W 3-1 1334.49 1607.21 11.53% 11.96% 76.51% +38.43 9
2020-10-04 North Carolina FC L 0-1 1372.92 1504.38 26.84% 20.94% 52.22% -10.06 9
2020-03-07 @ North Carolina FC W 1-0 1573.47 1536.34 39.03% 22.37% 38.60% +13.70 3
2020-07-12 Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 1-3 1587.17 1576.44 45.43% 22.03% 32.55% -25.45 3
2020-07-19 Saint Louis FC L 0-1 1561.72 1512.60 50.73% 21.24% 28.03% -17.05 3
2020-07-26 Sporting Kansas City 2 W 1-0 1544.67 1445.62 57.30% 19.65% 23.05% +8.68 6
2020-07-30 Sporting Kansas City 2 L 1-2 1553.35 1436.94 59.48% 18.98% 21.53% -18.31 6
2020-08-09 Indy Eleven T 1-1 1535.04 1589.80 36.13% 22.32% 41.56% +0.39 7
2020-08-16 Loudoun United W 2-0 1535.43 1457.28 54.60% 20.39% 25.01% +17.74 10
2020-08-20 Sporting Kansas City 2 W 4-1 1553.17 1458.41 56.75% 19.81% 23.44% +20.38 13
2020-08-27 Indy Eleven W 1-0 1573.55 1604.39 39.50% 22.37% 38.13% +13.57 16
2020-08-30 @ Saint Louis FC T 1-1 1587.12 1514.09 44.16% 22.15% 33.69% -0.76 17
2020-09-06 @ Indy Eleven W 3-1 1586.36 1590.82 33.34% 22.11% 44.54% +25.05 20
2020-09-13 Saint Louis FC W 3-0 1611.41 1524.77 55.71% 20.10% 24.20% +24.94 23
2020-09-17 @ Indy Eleven W 2-0 1636.35 1574.13 42.62% 22.26% 35.12% +23.97 26
2020-09-20 Memphis 901 W 4-1 1660.32 1399.90 75.36% 12.51% 12.13% +9.78 29
2020-09-27 @ Saint Louis FC W 1-0 1670.10 1511.17 55.84% 20.06% 24.10% +9.07 32
2020-10-04 Sporting Kansas City 2 W 2-1 1679.17 1433.15 73.96% 13.16% 12.88% +4.28 35
2020-03-08 Indy Eleven L 2-4 1467.77 1540.27 33.76% 22.15% 44.08% -17.97 0
2020-07-16 @ Birmingham Legion L 0-3 1449.80 1465.01 31.99% 21.96% 46.05% -32.21 0
2020-07-19 @ Atlanta United II T 2-2 1417.59 1411.93 34.67% 22.23% 43.11% +0.46 1
2020-07-26 Charlotte Independence T 2-2 1418.05 1491.78 33.60% 22.14% 44.26% +0.58 2
2020-08-02 Saint Louis FC W 1-0 1418.63 1544.96 27.38% 21.08% 51.54% +17.27 5
2020-08-08 North Carolina FC L 0-1 1435.90 1535.78 30.36% 21.71% 47.92% -11.24 5
2020-08-16 @ Charlotte Independence L 2-3 1424.66 1464.61 29.05% 21.47% 49.48% -9.68 5
2020-08-23 @ Birmingham Legion T 2-2 1414.98 1565.15 18.87% 17.56% 63.57% +2.59 6
2020-09-03 Charlotte Independence L 0-2 1417.57 1445.83 39.87% 22.37% 37.76% -26.49 6
2020-09-06 Birmingham Legion T 1-1 1391.08 1570.80 22.21% 19.30% 58.49% +2.79 7
2020-09-11 @ North Carolina FC W 3-2 1393.87 1461.12 26.10% 20.73% 53.16% +15.85 10
2020-09-13 @ North Carolina FC L 2-3 1409.72 1445.27 29.55% 21.57% 48.88% -9.82 10
2020-09-20 @ Louisville City FC L 1-4 1399.90 1660.32 12.13% 12.51% 75.36% -9.79 10
2020-09-24 North Carolina FC T 1-1 1390.11 1442.59 36.44% 22.33% 41.23% +0.35 11
2020-10-04 Birmingham Legion W 3-1 1390.46 1555.01 23.57% 19.86% 56.56% +30.44 14
2020-03-08 @ Saint Louis FC L 1-4 1450.00 1510.96 26.76% 20.92% 52.33% -23.16 0
2020-07-30 @ Atlanta United II L 3-4 1426.84 1387.90 39.29% 22.37% 38.34% -12.13 0
2020-08-08 Tampa Bay Rowdies L 0-3 1414.71 1587.21 22.85% 19.57% 57.58% -23.56 0
2020-08-17 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies T 1-1 1391.15 1624.29 13.57% 13.75% 72.68% +4.61 1
2020-08-20 Atlanta United II T 2-2 1395.76 1373.59 47.03% 21.84% 31.14% -0.87 2
2020-08-24 Charlotte Independence W 2-1 1394.89 1474.28 32.88% 22.06% 45.06% +14.60 5
2020-08-27 @ Charleston Battery L 1-3 1409.49 1561.22 18.75% 17.49% 63.75% -11.41 5
2020-09-03 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies L 0-3 1398.08 1609.59 14.81% 14.75% 70.44% -14.64 5
2020-09-06 Charleston Battery T 1-1 1383.44 1587.00 20.24% 18.33% 61.43% +3.19 6
2020-09-13 @ Atlanta United II W 2-1 1386.63 1384.51 34.20% 22.19% 43.61% +14.22 9
2020-09-17 Birmingham Legion L 0-4 1400.85 1538.63 26.18% 20.75% 53.07% -35.16 9
2020-09-20 @ Charleston Battery L 0-2 1365.69 1598.07 13.61% 13.79% 72.60% -9.14 9
2020-09-24 @ Charlotte Independence T 0-0 1356.55 1535.01 16.88% 16.29% 66.83% +4.36 10
2020-09-27 Tampa Bay Rowdies L 0-1 1360.91 1623.62 16.04% 15.69% 68.28% -5.86 10
2020-10-01 Charleston Battery W 4-3 1355.05 1568.78 19.45% 17.90% 62.66% +17.68 13
2020-10-05 Atlanta United II W 3-1 1372.73 1388.45 41.67% 22.31% 36.02% +21.18 16
2020-03-08 @ Austin Bold L 0-1 1487.23 1491.90 33.32% 22.11% 44.57% -12.17 0
2020-07-12 @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks W 2-1 1475.06 1460.97 35.80% 22.30% 41.90% +13.77 3
2020-07-16 @ El Paso Locomotive T 2-2 1488.83 1522.49 29.77% 21.61% 48.62% +1.05 4
2020-07-25 @ El Paso Locomotive W 2-1 1489.88 1521.45 30.02% 21.65% 48.33% +15.45 7
2020-08-02 @ OKC Energy FC W 3-0 1505.33 1494.31 35.38% 22.28% 42.34% +40.35 10
2020-08-09 Phoenix Rising L 2-5 1545.68 1654.59 29.31% 21.52% 49.17% -21.80 10
2020-08-15 @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks W 1-0 1523.88 1422.19 48.17% 21.68% 30.15% +11.17 13
2020-08-20 @ Real Monarchs SLC W 2-0 1535.05 1518.84 36.09% 22.31% 41.60% +27.40 16
2020-08-23 @ Real Monarchs SLC W 2-0 1562.45 1491.45 43.87% 22.17% 33.96% +23.31 19
2020-08-30 @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks T 1-1 1585.76 1413.32 57.57% 19.57% 22.86% -2.66 20
2020-09-06 El Paso Locomotive L 2-3 1583.10 1532.79 50.89% 21.21% 27.90% -15.29 20
2020-09-12 Real Monarchs SLC W 2-0 1567.81 1494.08 54.02% 20.53% 25.45% +18.04 23
2020-09-19 Colorado Springs Switchbacks L 1-2 1585.85 1384.58 69.35% 15.23% 15.42% -20.67 23
2020-09-27 El Paso Locomotive T 0-0 1565.18 1577.29 42.19% 22.28% 35.53% -0.53 24
2020-10-01 @ Real Monarchs SLC W 1-0 1564.65 1449.01 50.09% 21.36% 28.55% +10.64 27
2020-03-07 Tampa Bay Rowdies L 0-1 1537.84 1545.97 42.75% 22.25% 34.99% -14.85 0
2020-07-18 Hartford Athletic L 0-1 1522.99 1456.41 53.07% 20.75% 26.17% -17.69 0
2020-07-23 @ Philadelphia Union 2 W 5-1 1505.30 1410.78 47.18% 21.82% 31.00% +34.13 3
2020-07-26 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 2-1 1539.43 1635.25 30.85% 21.79% 47.36% +15.20 6
2020-08-05 @ Philadelphia Union 2 L 2-3 1554.63 1353.57 61.13% 18.44% 20.43% -17.76 6
2020-08-09 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 1-4 1536.87 1635.95 23.04% 19.65% 57.30% -20.04 6
2020-08-13 Loudoun United L 1-2 1516.83 1440.25 54.39% 20.44% 25.17% -17.02 6
2020-08-16 @ Hartford Athletic L 1-2 1499.81 1508.67 32.78% 22.05% 45.16% -11.32 6
2020-08-29 @ Loudoun United W 3-2 1488.49 1427.01 42.52% 22.27% 35.22% +11.39 9
2020-09-05 Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-3 1499.88 1691.49 21.20% 18.83% 59.97% -21.82 9
2020-09-09 Philadelphia Union 2 W 6-0 1478.06 1349.26 61.01% 18.48% 20.51% +40.30 12
2020-09-17 @ Hartford Athletic L 1-3 1518.36 1476.15 39.76% 22.37% 37.87% -22.90 12
2020-09-24 @ Atlanta United II L 3-5 1495.46 1364.37 52.18% 20.95% 26.88% -24.08 12
2020-09-26 Philadelphia Union 2 W 5-4 1471.38 1346.32 60.55% 18.63% 20.82% +6.73 15
2020-09-30 North Carolina FC L 0-3 1478.11 1461.02 46.32% 21.93% 31.76% -43.36 15
2020-10-05 Hartford Athletic L 0-2 1434.75 1549.03 28.70% 21.39% 49.90% -20.17 15
2020-03-07 Louisville City FC L 0-1 1536.34 1573.47 38.60% 22.37% 39.03% -13.70 0
2020-07-18 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies T 2-2 1522.64 1567.68 28.48% 21.34% 50.18% +1.21 1
2020-08-02 Birmingham Legion W 1-0 1523.85 1513.02 45.44% 22.03% 32.54% +11.93 4
2020-08-08 @ Memphis 901 W 1-0 1535.78 1435.90 47.92% 21.71% 30.36% +11.24 7
2020-08-16 Birmingham Legion L 0-2 1547.02 1535.72 45.51% 22.02% 32.48% -29.43 7
2020-08-20 Charleston Battery L 0-3 1517.59 1519.94 43.58% 22.19% 34.23% -41.28 7
2020-08-27 @ Charlotte Independence L 0-1 1476.31 1459.68 36.14% 22.32% 41.54% -13.01 7
2020-09-03 @ Birmingham Legion W 2-1 1463.30 1589.42 20.73% 18.59% 60.68% +18.61 10
2020-09-06 @ Charlotte Independence L 1-3 1481.91 1472.33 35.19% 22.26% 42.55% -20.79 10
2020-09-11 Memphis 901 L 2-3 1461.12 1393.87 53.16% 20.73% 26.10% -15.85 10
2020-09-13 Memphis 901 W 3-2 1445.27 1409.72 48.88% 21.57% 29.55% +9.82 13
2020-09-20 Charlotte Independence L 0-1 1455.09 1522.50 34.43% 22.21% 43.36% -12.50 13
2020-09-24 @ Memphis 901 T 1-1 1442.59 1390.11 41.23% 22.33% 36.44% -0.34 14
2020-09-27 @ Birmingham Legion W 2-1 1442.25 1573.79 20.30% 18.36% 61.34% +18.77 17
2020-09-30 @ New York RB II W 3-0 1461.02 1478.11 31.76% 21.93% 46.32% +43.36 20
2020-10-04 @ Loudoun United W 1-0 1504.38 1372.92 52.22% 20.94% 26.84% +10.06 23
2020-03-08 Colorado Springs Switchbacks L 1-2 1486.28 1445.18 49.64% 21.44% 28.92% -15.79 0
2020-07-14 FC Tulsa T 1-1 1470.49 1440.51 48.11% 21.69% 30.20% -1.33 1
2020-07-18 @ Austin Bold W 3-1 1469.16 1504.07 29.63% 21.58% 48.79% +26.97 4
2020-07-23 Rio Grande Valley FC T 1-1 1496.13 1440.70 51.59% 21.07% 27.34% -1.82 5
2020-08-02 New Mexico United L 0-3 1494.31 1505.33 42.34% 22.28% 35.38% -40.35 5
2020-08-09 San Antonio FC L 0-3 1453.96 1556.53 30.05% 21.66% 48.29% -30.51 5
2020-08-16 Rio Grande Valley FC T 0-0 1423.45 1394.36 47.99% 21.70% 30.31% -1.46 6
2020-08-20 @ San Antonio FC L 0-4 1421.99 1582.96 18.09% 17.08% 64.83% -24.01 6
2020-08-23 @ Sporting Kansas City 2 L 0-3 1397.98 1438.02 29.04% 21.46% 49.50% -29.60 6
2020-08-30 Austin Bold T 1-1 1368.38 1496.62 27.18% 21.03% 51.79% +1.85 7
2020-09-06 @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks T 0-0 1370.23 1415.98 28.40% 21.33% 50.27% +1.83 8
2020-09-13 @ FC Tulsa T 1-1 1372.06 1471.16 23.04% 19.65% 57.31% +2.62 9
2020-09-20 @ San Antonio FC L 0-2 1374.68 1628.57 12.47% 12.80% 74.73% -8.24 9
2020-09-27 Austin Bold T 0-0 1366.44 1525.58 24.08% 20.06% 55.87% +2.71 10
2020-10-01 @ FC Tulsa L 2-3 1369.15 1487.30 21.39% 18.91% 59.70% -7.19 10
2020-10-04 @ Rio Grande Valley FC L 2-4 1361.96 1397.31 29.58% 21.57% 48.85% -16.05 10
2020-03-07 El Paso Locomotive T 0-0 1542.01 1511.03 48.25% 21.66% 30.09% -1.50 1
2020-07-17 Phoenix Rising T 1-1 1540.51 1661.05 28.01% 21.24% 50.75% +1.70 2
2020-07-26 Phoenix Rising W 1-0 1542.21 1659.35 28.39% 21.32% 50.29% +16.93 5
2020-08-13 @ San Diego Loyal W 2-0 1559.14 1479.15 45.14% 22.06% 32.80% +22.65 8
2020-08-16 Las Vegas Lights FC W 1-0 1581.79 1448.04 61.61% 18.27% 20.12% +7.54 11
2020-08-23 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II W 2-1 1589.33 1515.63 44.26% 22.14% 33.60% +11.56 14
2020-08-26 @ Las Vegas Lights FC L 1-3 1600.89 1465.16 52.79% 20.81% 26.39% -28.77 14
2020-08-30 San Diego Loyal T 0-0 1572.12 1431.02 62.49% 17.96% 19.55% -3.73 15
2020-09-03 Los Angeles Galaxy II W 2-1 1568.39 1521.90 50.38% 21.31% 28.32% +9.96 18
2020-09-06 Los Angeles Galaxy II L 1-2 1578.35 1511.93 53.05% 20.76% 26.19% -16.67 18
2020-09-10 @ Sacramento Republic L 1-2 1561.68 1577.01 31.97% 21.96% 46.07% -11.09 18
2020-09-14 @ San Diego Loyal L 0-2 1550.59 1487.40 42.76% 22.25% 34.99% -28.00 18
2020-09-19 Las Vegas Lights FC W 1-0 1522.59 1443.61 54.71% 20.36% 24.93% +9.38 21
2020-09-27 @ Phoenix Rising L 0-1 1531.97 1698.71 17.68% 16.82% 65.50% -6.54 21
2020-10-01 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 1-3 1525.43 1487.84 39.09% 22.37% 38.53% -22.60 21
2020-10-04 @ Las Vegas Lights FC W 4-2 1502.83 1437.77 43.03% 22.23% 34.74% +18.40 24
2020-03-08 Loudoun United T 0-0 1462.02 1488.43 40.14% 22.36% 37.50% -0.22 1
2020-07-19 Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-6 1461.80 1601.89 25.94% 20.68% 53.37% -51.02 1
2020-07-23 New York RB II L 1-5 1410.78 1505.30 31.00% 21.82% 47.18% -34.14 1
2020-07-26 @ Hartford Athletic L 2-3 1376.64 1495.22 21.35% 18.90% 59.75% -7.18 1
2020-08-02 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 0-4 1369.46 1620.05 12.64% 12.95% 74.41% -15.89 1
2020-08-05 New York RB II W 3-2 1353.57 1554.63 20.43% 18.44% 61.13% +17.76 4
2020-09-03 Atlanta United II L 1-2 1371.33 1370.16 44.07% 22.15% 33.77% -14.34 4
2020-09-07 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies L 0-2 1356.99 1624.23 11.80% 12.20% 76.00% -7.73 4
2020-09-09 @ New York RB II L 0-6 1349.26 1478.06 20.51% 18.48% 61.01% -40.29 4
2020-09-13 @ Loudoun United T 1-1 1308.97 1395.66 24.19% 20.10% 55.71% +2.40 5
2020-09-17 Loudoun United W 4-0 1311.37 1393.26 32.56% 22.03% 45.41% +55.75 8
2020-09-20 @ Hartford Athletic L 0-3 1367.12 1499.05 20.26% 18.35% 61.39% -20.80 8
2020-09-26 @ New York RB II L 4-5 1346.32 1471.38 20.82% 18.63% 60.55% -6.73 8
2020-10-01 Hartford Athletic L 2-3 1339.59 1542.22 20.31% 18.37% 61.32% -6.81 8
2020-10-04 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds L 1-2 1332.78 1717.27 7.04% 7.59% 85.37% -2.12 8
2020-03-08 Portland Timbers 2 W 6-1 1597.12 1493.51 57.88% 19.48% 22.64% +31.12 3
2020-07-12 Los Angeles Galaxy II W 4-0 1628.24 1543.38 55.48% 20.16% 24.36% +32.81 6
2020-07-17 @ Orange County SC T 1-1 1661.05 1540.51 50.75% 21.24% 28.01% -1.70 7
2020-07-26 @ Orange County SC L 0-1 1659.35 1542.21 50.29% 21.32% 28.39% -16.93 7
2020-08-02 El Paso Locomotive W 3-1 1642.42 1506.00 61.93% 18.16% 19.91% +12.17 10
2020-08-09 @ New Mexico United W 5-2 1654.59 1545.68 49.17% 21.52% 29.31% +21.80 13
2020-08-16 San Diego Loyal W 2-0 1676.39 1456.50 71.32% 14.36% 14.32% +9.69 16
2020-08-19 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II W 4-1 1686.08 1537.41 54.50% 20.41% 25.09% +21.79 19
2020-08-23 @ Las Vegas Lights FC T 3-3 1707.87 1462.79 66.31% 16.50% 17.19% -2.37 20
2020-08-30 @ Reno 1868 FC L 1-2 1705.50 1604.82 48.03% 21.70% 30.27% -15.38 20
2020-09-06 @ Las Vegas Lights FC W 2-0 1690.12 1482.06 61.98% 18.14% 19.88% +14.03 23
2020-09-12 Las Vegas Lights FC W 5-1 1704.15 1468.02 72.98% 13.61% 13.41% +14.20 26
2020-09-20 San Diego Loyal L 2-3 1718.35 1515.40 69.53% 15.15% 15.32% -19.64 26
2020-09-27 Orange County SC W 1-0 1698.71 1531.97 65.50% 16.82% 17.68% +6.54 29
2020-10-01 @ San Diego Loyal W 3-0 1705.25 1534.80 57.32% 19.65% 23.03% +23.76 32
2020-10-04 Los Angeles Galaxy II W 4-1 1729.01 1510.44 71.18% 14.43% 14.39% +11.94 35
2020-07-12 @ Louisville City FC W 3-1 1576.44 1587.17 32.55% 22.03% 45.43% +25.45 3
2020-07-19 @ Philadelphia Union 2 W 6-0 1601.89 1461.80 53.37% 20.68% 25.94% +51.03 6
2020-07-22 Indy Eleven L 0-1 1652.92 1587.08 52.98% 20.77% 26.25% -17.67 6
2020-07-26 @ New York RB II L 1-2 1635.25 1539.43 47.36% 21.79% 30.85% -15.20 6
2020-08-02 Philadelphia Union 2 W 4-0 1620.05 1369.46 74.41% 12.95% 12.64% +15.90 9
2020-08-09 New York RB II W 4-1 1635.95 1536.87 57.30% 19.65% 23.04% +20.04 12
2020-08-16 @ Indy Eleven L 0-1 1655.99 1589.41 43.25% 22.22% 34.54% -14.98 12
2020-08-20 @ Loudoun United W 2-0 1641.01 1439.54 61.18% 18.42% 20.40% +14.42 15
2020-08-23 Saint Louis FC T 2-2 1655.43 1511.57 62.82% 17.84% 19.34% -2.52 16
2020-08-29 @ Hartford Athletic W 3-0 1652.91 1518.09 52.67% 20.84% 26.49% +27.21 19
2020-09-02 Loudoun United W 3-0 1680.12 1415.62 75.75% 12.32% 11.93% +11.37 22
2020-09-05 @ New York RB II W 3-0 1691.49 1499.88 59.97% 18.83% 21.20% +21.82 25
2020-09-13 Hartford Athletic W 5-0 1713.31 1499.47 70.69% 14.65% 14.67% +23.32 28
2020-09-19 @ Loudoun United W 1-0 1736.63 1337.51 81.25% 9.65% 9.10% +3.02 31
2020-09-27 Hartford Athletic L 0-1 1739.65 1519.85 71.31% 14.37% 14.32% -22.38 31
2020-10-04 Philadelphia Union 2 W 2-1 1717.27 1332.78 85.37% 7.59% 7.04% +2.13 34
2020-03-08 @ Phoenix Rising L 1-6 1493.51 1597.12 22.64% 19.48% 57.88% -31.12 0
2020-07-19 @ Tacoma Defiance L 0-3 1462.39 1411.72 40.97% 22.34% 36.69% -39.32 0
2020-07-30 Reno 1868 FC L 1-4 1423.07 1554.94 26.79% 20.93% 52.28% -23.19 0
2020-08-04 Tacoma Defiance L 0-4 1399.88 1451.04 36.62% 22.34% 41.04% -47.03 0
2020-08-09 Sacramento Republic L 0-1 1352.85 1523.87 22.98% 19.63% 57.39% -8.65 0
2020-08-16 @ Reno 1868 FC L 2-5 1344.20 1579.47 13.45% 13.65% 72.90% -9.57 0
2020-08-23 @ Sacramento Republic L 1-2 1334.63 1566.55 13.64% 13.81% 72.56% -4.58 0
2020-08-27 Los Angeles Galaxy II L 2-3 1330.05 1504.07 22.72% 19.52% 57.77% -7.64 0
2020-09-02 Sacramento Republic L 1-2 1322.41 1571.13 16.95% 16.33% 66.72% -5.89 0
2020-09-06 @ Reno 1868 FC L 1-7 1316.52 1620.19 10.11% 10.63% 79.26% -14.77 0
2020-09-10 Tacoma Defiance W 3-0 1301.75 1438.87 26.25% 20.77% 52.98% +48.39 3
2020-09-17 @ Real Monarchs SLC W 2-1 1350.14 1476.04 20.75% 18.60% 60.65% +18.61 6
2020-09-21 Reno 1868 FC L 2-5 1368.75 1638.91 15.57% 15.34% 69.09% -11.34 6
2020-09-25 Tacoma Defiance W 3-1 1357.41 1389.00 39.39% 22.37% 38.23% +22.21 9
2020-09-27 @ Tacoma Defiance L 1-2 1379.62 1366.79 35.63% 22.29% 42.08% -12.12 9
2020-10-04 @ Sacramento Republic L 0-4 1367.50 1567.52 15.50% 15.29% 69.21% -20.17 9
2020-03-08 @ San Antonio FC L 0-1 1557.07 1515.89 39.61% 22.37% 38.02% -13.98 0
2020-07-11 San Diego Loyal L 0-1 1543.09 1463.00 54.85% 20.32% 24.82% -18.18 0
2020-07-18 Colorado Springs Switchbacks T 3-3 1524.91 1447.19 54.54% 20.40% 25.06% -1.39 1
2020-08-02 @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks W 2-1 1523.52 1448.58 44.43% 22.12% 33.45% +11.51 4
2020-08-16 El Paso Locomotive L 0-1 1535.03 1508.70 47.60% 21.76% 30.64% -16.19 4
2020-08-20 New Mexico United L 0-2 1518.84 1535.05 41.60% 22.31% 36.09% -27.39 4
2020-08-23 New Mexico United L 0-2 1491.45 1562.45 33.96% 22.17% 43.87% -23.32 4
2020-08-30 @ El Paso Locomotive L 1-2 1468.13 1523.13 27.39% 21.08% 51.53% -9.66 4
2020-09-05 Tacoma Defiance W 1-0 1458.47 1450.92 44.98% 22.07% 32.95% +12.06 7
2020-09-10 Colorado Springs Switchbacks W 4-1 1470.53 1414.15 51.71% 21.05% 27.24% +23.55 10
2020-09-12 @ New Mexico United L 0-2 1494.08 1567.81 25.45% 20.53% 54.02% -18.04 10
2020-09-17 Portland Timbers 2 L 1-2 1476.04 1350.14 60.65% 18.60% 20.75% -18.60 10
2020-09-20 @ El Paso Locomotive L 0-1 1457.44 1569.04 21.94% 19.18% 58.88% -8.26 10
2020-09-27 @ Colorado Springs Switchbacks T 1-1 1449.18 1405.24 40.01% 22.36% 37.63% -0.17 11
2020-10-01 New Mexico United L 0-1 1449.01 1564.65 28.55% 21.36% 50.09% -10.64 11
2020-10-04 El Paso Locomotive L 0-4 1438.37 1574.85 26.31% 20.79% 52.90% -35.33 11
2020-03-07 @ Tacoma Defiance W 3-1 1551.43 1440.95 49.38% 21.48% 29.13% +17.70 3
2020-07-20 @ Sacramento Republic L 0-1 1569.13 1522.74 40.36% 22.36% 37.28% -14.19 3
2020-07-30 @ Portland Timbers 2 W 4-1 1554.94 1423.07 52.28% 20.93% 26.79% +23.20 6
2020-08-02 @ Las Vegas Lights FC W 1-0 1578.14 1458.54 50.63% 21.26% 28.11% +10.49 9
2020-08-09 Tacoma Defiance W 2-1 1588.63 1498.07 56.21% 19.96% 23.83% +8.46 12
2020-08-13 Sacramento Republic L 0-1 1597.09 1532.52 52.81% 20.81% 26.38% -17.62 12
2020-08-16 Portland Timbers 2 W 5-2 1579.47 1344.20 72.90% 13.65% 13.45% +9.56 15
2020-08-23 @ San Diego Loyal W 3-1 1589.03 1446.81 53.66% 20.62% 25.73% +15.79 18
2020-08-30 Phoenix Rising W 2-1 1604.82 1705.50 30.27% 21.70% 48.03% +15.37 21
2020-09-06 Portland Timbers 2 W 7-1 1620.19 1316.52 79.26% 10.63% 10.11% +14.77 24
2020-09-13 @ Sacramento Republic T 3-3 1634.96 1588.09 40.43% 22.35% 37.22% -0.14 25
2020-09-18 Tacoma Defiance W 3-2 1634.82 1390.48 73.80% 13.24% 12.97% +4.09 28
2020-09-21 @ Portland Timbers 2 W 5-2 1638.91 1368.75 69.09% 15.34% 15.57% +11.33 31
2020-09-27 Sacramento Republic T 1-1 1650.24 1585.62 52.81% 20.81% 26.38% -1.99 32
2020-10-01 Las Vegas Lights FC T 2-2 1648.25 1434.51 70.68% 14.65% 14.67% -3.26 33
2020-10-04 @ Tacoma Defiance W 2-1 1644.99 1399.01 66.41% 16.46% 17.13% +5.95 36
2020-03-08 Los Angeles Galaxy II L 1-5 1494.24 1498.68 43.28% 22.22% 34.50% -44.69 0
2020-07-12 @ El Paso Locomotive L 0-1 1449.55 1512.54 26.55% 20.86% 52.60% -9.96 0
2020-07-20 San Antonio FC T 1-1 1439.59 1529.87 31.52% 21.89% 46.59% +1.11 1
2020-07-23 @ OKC Energy FC T 1-1 1440.70 1496.13 27.34% 21.07% 51.59% +1.82 2
2020-07-26 @ San Antonio FC L 0-1 1442.52 1528.76 24.23% 20.11% 55.65% -9.12 2
2020-08-02 FC Tulsa L 1-2 1433.40 1441.83 42.71% 22.25% 35.04% -13.99 2
2020-08-09 @ Austin Bold L 1-4 1419.41 1458.46 29.15% 21.49% 49.36% -25.05 2
2020-08-16 @ OKC Energy FC T 0-0 1394.36 1423.45 30.31% 21.70% 47.99% +1.46 3
2020-08-23 Austin Bold L 2-3 1395.82 1486.80 31.43% 21.88% 46.68% -10.36 3
2020-08-29 San Antonio FC L 1-3 1385.46 1622.21 17.77% 16.88% 65.36% -10.74 3
2020-09-03 @ FC Tulsa L 1-2 1374.72 1460.41 24.29% 20.13% 55.58% -8.62 3
2020-09-06 @ San Antonio FC L 2-3 1366.10 1632.96 11.81% 12.22% 75.97% -3.67 3
2020-10-01 Austin Bold W 2-0 1362.43 1522.87 23.96% 20.01% 56.03% +34.88 6
2020-10-04 OKC Energy FC W 4-2 1397.31 1361.96 48.85% 21.57% 29.58% +16.05 9
2020-03-08 FC Tulsa T 1-1 1526.97 1438.06 56.00% 20.02% 23.98% -2.44 1
2020-07-14 Tacoma Defiance T 3-3 1524.53 1409.93 59.26% 19.06% 21.69% -1.79 2
2020-07-20 Reno 1868 FC W 1-0 1522.74 1569.13 37.28% 22.36% 40.36% +14.18 5
2020-07-26 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II L 0-1 1536.92 1524.58 35.56% 22.29% 42.15% -12.84 5
2020-08-02 @ San Diego Loyal T 0-0 1524.08 1478.93 40.18% 22.36% 37.46% -0.21 6
2020-08-09 @ Portland Timbers 2 W 1-0 1523.87 1352.85 57.39% 19.63% 22.98% +8.65 9
2020-08-13 @ Reno 1868 FC W 1-0 1532.52 1597.09 26.38% 20.81% 52.81% +17.62 12
2020-08-16 Tacoma Defiance W 3-1 1550.14 1489.61 52.27% 20.93% 26.80% +16.41 15
2020-08-23 Portland Timbers 2 W 2-1 1566.55 1334.63 72.56% 13.81% 13.64% +4.58 18
2020-09-02 @ Portland Timbers 2 W 2-1 1571.13 1322.41 66.72% 16.33% 16.95% +5.88 21
2020-09-10 Orange County SC W 2-1 1577.01 1561.68 46.07% 21.96% 31.97% +11.08 24
2020-09-13 Reno 1868 FC T 3-3 1588.09 1634.96 37.22% 22.35% 40.43% +0.15 25
2020-09-21 Tacoma Defiance T 3-3 1588.24 1386.38 69.41% 15.20% 15.39% -2.62 26
2020-09-27 @ Reno 1868 FC T 1-1 1585.62 1650.24 26.38% 20.81% 52.81% +1.99 27
2020-10-01 @ Tacoma Defiance L 0-1 1587.61 1378.91 62.05% 18.11% 19.83% -20.09 27
2020-10-04 Portland Timbers 2 W 4-0 1567.52 1367.50 69.21% 15.29% 15.50% +20.16 30
2020-03-08 Miami FC W 4-1 1510.96 1450.00 52.33% 20.92% 26.76% +23.16 3
2020-07-12 @ Indy Eleven L 0-2 1534.12 1558.24 30.90% 21.80% 47.30% -21.52 3
2020-07-19 @ Louisville City FC W 1-0 1512.60 1561.72 28.03% 21.24% 50.73% +17.05 6
2020-07-26 Indy Eleven W 1-0 1529.65 1604.75 33.42% 22.12% 44.45% +15.31 9
2020-08-02 @ Memphis 901 L 0-1 1544.96 1418.63 51.54% 21.08% 27.38% -17.27 9
2020-08-06 Sporting Kansas City 2 T 1-1 1527.69 1475.89 51.09% 21.17% 27.73% -1.75 10
2020-08-09 FC Tulsa L 0-2 1525.94 1455.82 53.54% 20.64% 25.81% -33.61 10
2020-08-16 Sporting Kansas City 2 W 3-1 1492.33 1477.64 45.98% 21.97% 32.05% +19.24 13
2020-08-23 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds T 2-2 1511.57 1655.43 19.34% 17.84% 62.82% +2.52 14
2020-08-30 Louisville City FC T 1-1 1514.09 1587.12 33.69% 22.15% 44.16% +0.76 15
2020-09-05 Sporting Kansas City 2 W 3-2 1514.85 1482.20 48.48% 21.63% 29.89% +9.92 18
2020-09-13 @ Louisville City FC L 0-3 1524.77 1611.41 24.20% 20.10% 55.71% -24.95 18
2020-09-20 Sporting Kansas City 2 W 3-2 1499.82 1463.92 48.93% 21.56% 29.51% +9.81 21
2020-09-24 @ Indy Eleven T 1-1 1509.63 1550.16 28.98% 21.45% 49.56% +1.54 22
2020-09-27 Louisville City FC L 0-1 1511.17 1670.10 24.10% 20.06% 55.84% -9.08 22
2020-10-04 Indy Eleven W 2-1 1502.09 1529.77 39.96% 22.36% 37.68% +12.68 25
2020-03-08 Real Monarchs SLC W 1-0 1515.89 1557.07 38.02% 22.37% 39.61% +13.98 3
2020-07-20 @ Rio Grande Valley FC T 1-1 1529.87 1439.59 46.59% 21.89% 31.52% -1.11 4
2020-07-26 Rio Grande Valley FC W 1-0 1528.76 1442.52 55.65% 20.11% 24.23% +9.13 7
2020-08-02 @ Austin Bold W 4-2 1537.89 1477.10 42.42% 22.27% 35.31% +18.64 10
2020-08-09 @ OKC Energy FC W 3-0 1556.53 1453.96 48.29% 21.66% 30.05% +30.51 13
2020-08-13 @ FC Tulsa T 0-0 1587.04 1489.43 47.61% 21.76% 30.63% -1.40 14
2020-08-16 Austin Bold T 1-1 1585.64 1483.51 57.69% 19.54% 22.77% -2.68 15
2020-08-20 OKC Energy FC W 4-0 1582.96 1421.99 64.83% 17.08% 18.09% +24.01 18
2020-08-23 FC Tulsa W 2-0 1606.97 1490.22 59.52% 18.97% 21.50% +15.24 21
2020-08-29 @ Rio Grande Valley FC W 3-1 1622.21 1385.46 65.36% 16.88% 17.77% +10.75 24
2020-09-06 Rio Grande Valley FC W 3-2 1632.96 1366.10 75.97% 12.22% 11.81% +3.67 27
2020-09-13 @ El Paso Locomotive L 1-2 1636.63 1548.09 46.34% 21.92% 31.73% -14.93 27
2020-09-17 Austin Bold W 3-2 1621.70 1492.64 61.04% 18.47% 20.49% +6.87 30
2020-09-20 OKC Energy FC W 2-0 1628.57 1374.68 74.73% 12.80% 12.47% +8.24 33
2020-09-27 @ FC Tulsa L 0-1 1636.81 1468.53 57.04% 19.73% 23.23% -18.77 33
2020-10-04 @ Austin Bold L 1-2 1618.04 1487.98 52.04% 20.98% 26.98% -16.41 33
2020-03-08 Las Vegas Lights FC T 1-1 1450.00 1469.98 41.06% 22.33% 36.61% -0.32 1
2020-03-12 @ Tacoma Defiance W 2-1 1449.68 1423.25 37.50% 22.36% 40.13% +13.32 4
2020-07-11 @ Real Monarchs SLC W 1-0 1463.00 1543.09 24.82% 20.32% 54.85% +18.18 7
2020-07-20 Los Angeles Galaxy II L 0-1 1481.18 1510.57 39.71% 22.37% 37.92% -14.01 7
2020-07-26 Las Vegas Lights FC W 2-1 1467.17 1470.30 43.46% 22.20% 34.33% +11.76 10
2020-08-02 Sacramento Republic T 0-0 1478.93 1524.08 37.46% 22.36% 40.18% +0.22 11
2020-08-13 Orange County SC L 0-2 1479.15 1559.14 32.80% 22.06% 45.14% -22.65 11
2020-08-16 @ Phoenix Rising L 0-2 1456.50 1676.39 14.32% 14.36% 71.32% -9.69 11
2020-08-23 Reno 1868 FC L 1-3 1446.81 1589.03 25.73% 20.62% 53.66% -15.79 11
2020-08-30 @ Orange County SC T 0-0 1431.02 1572.12 19.55% 17.96% 62.49% +3.73 12
2020-09-03 @ Las Vegas Lights FC T 1-1 1434.75 1483.75 28.04% 21.24% 50.72% +1.69 13
2020-09-10 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II W 3-0 1436.44 1528.61 23.68% 19.90% 56.42% +50.96 16
2020-09-14 Orange County SC W 2-0 1487.40 1550.59 34.99% 22.25% 42.76% +28.00 19
2020-09-20 @ Phoenix Rising W 3-2 1515.40 1718.35 15.32% 15.15% 69.53% +19.64 22
2020-09-24 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II T 1-1 1535.04 1487.88 40.47% 22.35% 37.18% -0.24 23
2020-10-01 Phoenix Rising L 0-3 1534.80 1705.25 23.03% 19.65% 57.32% -23.75 23
2020-03-08 Charlotte Independence L 1-2 1466.82 1477.89 42.34% 22.28% 35.39% -13.89 0
2020-07-19 @ Indy Eleven L 1-2 1452.93 1579.77 20.67% 18.56% 60.77% -7.31 0
2020-07-26 @ Louisville City FC L 0-1 1445.62 1544.67 23.05% 19.65% 57.30% -8.68 0
2020-07-30 @ Louisville City FC W 2-1 1436.94 1553.35 21.53% 18.98% 59.48% +18.31 3
2020-08-02 @ Indy Eleven W 1-0 1455.25 1610.43 18.50% 17.34% 64.16% +20.64 6
2020-08-06 @ Saint Louis FC T 1-1 1475.89 1527.69 27.73% 21.17% 51.09% +1.75 7
2020-08-16 @ Saint Louis FC L 1-3 1477.64 1492.33 32.05% 21.97% 45.98% -19.23 7
2020-08-20 @ Louisville City FC L 1-4 1458.41 1553.17 23.44% 19.81% 56.75% -20.39 7
2020-08-23 OKC Energy FC W 3-0 1438.02 1397.98 49.50% 21.46% 29.04% +29.61 10
2020-08-30 @ FC Tulsa W 2-1 1467.63 1474.98 32.98% 22.08% 44.95% +14.57 13
2020-09-05 @ Saint Louis FC L 2-3 1482.20 1514.85 29.89% 21.63% 48.48% -9.92 13
2020-09-10 @ Indy Eleven L 1-2 1472.28 1565.77 23.55% 19.86% 56.59% -8.36 13
2020-09-20 @ Saint Louis FC L 2-3 1463.92 1499.82 29.51% 21.56% 48.93% -9.81 13
2020-09-23 @ Austin Bold L 0-4 1454.11 1485.77 30.01% 21.65% 48.34% -39.82 13
2020-10-01 @ Indy Eleven W 2-1 1414.29 1548.63 20.07% 18.25% 61.68% +18.86 16
2020-10-04 @ Louisville City FC L 1-2 1433.15 1679.17 12.88% 13.16% 73.96% -4.28 16
2020-03-07 Reno 1868 FC L 1-3 1440.95 1551.43 29.13% 21.48% 49.38% -17.70 0
2020-03-12 San Diego Loyal L 1-2 1423.25 1449.68 40.13% 22.36% 37.50% -13.32 0
2020-07-14 @ Sacramento Republic T 3-3 1409.93 1524.53 21.69% 19.06% 59.26% +1.79 1
2020-07-19 Portland Timbers 2 W 3-0 1411.72 1462.39 36.69% 22.34% 40.97% +39.32 4
2020-08-04 @ Portland Timbers 2 W 4-0 1451.04 1399.88 41.04% 22.34% 36.62% +47.03 7
2020-08-09 @ Reno 1868 FC L 1-2 1498.07 1588.63 23.83% 19.96% 56.21% -8.46 7
2020-08-16 @ Sacramento Republic L 1-3 1489.61 1550.14 26.80% 20.93% 52.27% -16.40 7
2020-08-20 @ Las Vegas Lights FC L 1-3 1473.21 1440.51 38.39% 22.37% 39.23% -22.29 7
2020-09-05 @ Real Monarchs SLC L 0-1 1450.92 1458.47 32.95% 22.07% 44.98% -12.05 7
2020-09-10 @ Portland Timbers 2 L 0-3 1438.87 1301.75 52.98% 20.77% 26.25% -48.39 7
2020-09-18 @ Reno 1868 FC L 2-3 1390.48 1634.82 12.97% 13.24% 73.80% -4.10 7
2020-09-21 @ Sacramento Republic T 3-3 1386.38 1588.24 15.39% 15.20% 69.41% +2.62 8
2020-09-25 @ Portland Timbers 2 L 1-3 1389.00 1357.41 38.23% 22.37% 39.39% -22.21 8
2020-09-27 Portland Timbers 2 W 2-1 1366.79 1379.62 42.08% 22.29% 35.63% +12.12 11
2020-10-01 Sacramento Republic W 1-0 1378.91 1587.61 19.83% 18.11% 62.05% +20.10 14
2020-10-04 Reno 1868 FC L 1-2 1399.01 1644.99 17.13% 16.46% 66.41% -5.95 14
2020-03-07 @ New York RB II W 1-0 1545.97 1537.84 34.99% 22.25% 42.75% +14.85 3
2020-07-12 Atlanta United II W 2-1 1560.82 1418.79 62.60% 17.92% 19.48% +6.86 6
2020-07-18 North Carolina FC T 2-2 1567.68 1522.64 50.18% 21.34% 28.48% -1.21 7
2020-07-26 @ Birmingham Legion T 1-1 1566.47 1512.65 41.43% 22.32% 36.25% -0.37 8
2020-08-01 Charleston Battery W 2-0 1566.10 1536.16 48.11% 21.69% 30.21% +21.11 11
2020-08-08 @ Miami FC W 3-0 1587.21 1414.71 57.58% 19.57% 22.85% +23.56 14
2020-08-13 @ Atlanta United II W 2-0 1610.77 1393.87 63.03% 17.76% 19.21% +13.52 17
2020-08-17 Miami FC T 1-1 1624.29 1391.15 72.68% 13.75% 13.57% -4.61 18
2020-08-23 Atlanta United II W 2-1 1619.68 1374.46 73.89% 13.20% 12.92% +4.29 21
2020-08-30 @ Charleston Battery L 0-1 1623.97 1572.62 41.07% 22.33% 36.59% -14.38 21
2020-09-03 Miami FC W 3-0 1609.59 1398.08 70.44% 14.75% 14.81% +14.64 24
2020-09-07 Philadelphia Union 2 W 2-0 1624.23 1356.99 76.00% 12.20% 11.80% +7.73 27
2020-09-12 @ Charleston Battery L 0-1 1631.96 1583.82 40.61% 22.35% 37.04% -14.26 27
2020-09-17 @ Atlanta United II W 2-1 1617.70 1370.29 66.57% 16.39% 17.04% +5.92 30
2020-09-27 @ Miami FC W 1-0 1623.62 1360.91 68.28% 15.69% 16.04% +5.86 33
2020-10-04 Charleston Battery L 1-2 1629.48 1551.10 54.63% 20.38% 24.99% -17.08 33

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2020-10-11 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies L 2-4 1524.57 1612.40 32.94% 0.00% 67.06% -13.24 0-1
2020-10-11 @ Charlotte Independence W 2-1 1568.19 1530.65 50.27% 0.00% 49.73% +12.90 1-0
2020-10-18 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies L 0-1 1581.09 1625.64 38.66% 0.00% 61.34% -10.64 1-1
2020-10-11 Charleston Battery L 1-2 1530.65 1568.19 49.73% 0.00% 50.27% -12.90 0-1
2020-10-11 FC Tulsa W 4-2 1610.18 1511.70 68.39% 0.00% 31.61% +12.70 1-0
2020-10-18 New Mexico United W 5-3 1622.88 1591.48 59.53% 0.00% 40.47% +15.37 2-0
2020-10-25 @ Phoenix Rising L 2-4 1638.25 1758.20 29.00% 0.00% 71.00% -11.65 2-1
2020-10-11 @ El Paso Locomotive L 2-4 1511.70 1610.18 31.61% 0.00% 68.39% -12.70 0-1
2020-10-11 Saint Louis FC L 0-1 1569.20 1514.77 62.68% 0.00% 37.32% -17.25 0-1
2020-10-11 @ Reno 1868 FC L 1-4 1498.49 1650.94 25.30% 0.00% 74.70% -16.08 0-1
2020-10-11 Pittsburgh Riverhounds W 2-0 1683.45 1719.40 49.95% 0.00% 50.05% +25.97 1-0
2020-10-18 Saint Louis FC W 2-0 1709.42 1532.02 77.32% 0.00% 22.68% +11.77 2-0
2020-10-25 Tampa Bay Rowdies L 1-2 1721.19 1636.28 66.68% 0.00% 33.32% -17.30 2-1
2020-10-11 @ San Antonio FC W 1-0 1575.29 1601.63 41.18% 0.00% 58.82% +16.19 1-0
2020-10-18 @ El Paso Locomotive L 3-5 1591.48 1622.88 40.47% 0.00% 59.53% -15.37 1-1
2020-10-11 Sacramento Republic W 1-0 1740.95 1587.68 74.79% 0.00% 25.21% +6.94 1-0
2020-10-18 @ Reno 1868 FC W 5-4 1747.89 1667.02 56.47% 0.00% 43.53% +10.31 2-0
2020-10-25 El Paso Locomotive W 4-2 1758.20 1638.25 71.00% 0.00% 29.00% +11.65 3-0
2020-10-11 @ Louisville City FC L 0-2 1719.40 1683.45 50.05% 0.00% 49.95% -25.97 0-1
2020-10-11 Los Angeles Galaxy II W 4-1 1650.94 1498.49 74.70% 0.00% 25.30% +16.08 1-0
2020-10-18 Phoenix Rising L 4-5 1667.02 1747.89 43.53% 0.00% 56.47% -10.31 1-1
2020-10-11 @ Phoenix Rising L 0-1 1587.68 1740.95 25.21% 0.00% 74.79% -6.94 0-1
2020-10-11 @ Hartford Athletic W 1-0 1514.77 1569.20 37.32% 0.00% 62.68% +17.25 1-0
2020-10-18 @ Louisville City FC L 0-2 1532.02 1709.42 22.68% 0.00% 77.32% -11.77 1-1
2020-10-11 New Mexico United L 0-1 1601.63 1575.29 58.82% 0.00% 41.18% -16.19 0-1
2020-10-11 Birmingham Legion W 4-2 1612.40 1524.57 67.06% 0.00% 32.94% +13.24 1-0
2020-10-18 Charleston Battery W 1-0 1625.64 1581.09 61.34% 0.00% 38.66% +10.64 2-0
2020-10-25 @ Louisville City FC W 2-1 1636.28 1721.19 33.32% 0.00% 66.68% +17.30 3-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2020-09-27 11.53% Loudoun United 1334.49 3 @ Charleston Battery 1607.21 1
2 2020-09-27 14.32% Hartford Athletic 1519.85 1 @ Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1739.65 0
3 2020-09-20 15.32% San Diego Loyal 1515.40 3 @ Phoenix Rising 1718.35 2
4 2020-09-19 15.42% Colorado Springs Switchbacks 1384.58 2 @ New Mexico United 1585.85 1
5 2020-08-02 18.50% Sporting Kansas City 2 1455.25 1 @ Indy Eleven 1610.43 0
6 2020-10-01 19.45% @ Miami FC 1355.05 4 Charleston Battery 1568.78 3
7 2020-10-01 19.83% @ Tacoma Defiance 1378.91 1 Sacramento Republic 1587.61 0
8 2020-10-01 20.07% Sporting Kansas City 2 1414.29 2 @ Indy Eleven 1548.63 1
9 2020-09-27 20.30% North Carolina FC 1442.25 2 @ Birmingham Legion 1573.79 1
10 2020-08-05 20.43% @ Philadelphia Union 2 1353.57 3 New York RB II 1554.63 2
11 2020-09-03 20.73% North Carolina FC 1463.30 2 @ Birmingham Legion 1589.42 1
12 2020-09-17 20.75% Portland Timbers 2 1350.14 2 @ Real Monarchs SLC 1476.04 1
13 2020-07-30 21.53% Sporting Kansas City 2 1436.94 2 @ Louisville City FC 1553.35 1
14 2020-09-27 23.23% @ FC Tulsa 1468.53 1 San Antonio FC 1636.81 0
15 2020-10-04 23.57% @ Memphis 901 1390.46 3 Birmingham Legion 1555.01 1
16 2020-09-10 23.68% San Diego Loyal 1436.44 3 @ Los Angeles Galaxy II 1528.61 0
17 2020-10-01 23.96% @ Rio Grande Valley FC 1362.43 2 Austin Bold 1522.87 0
18 2020-07-11 24.82% San Diego Loyal 1463.00 1 @ Real Monarchs SLC 1543.09 0
19 2020-10-04 24.99% Charleston Battery 1551.10 2 @ Tampa Bay Rowdies 1629.48 1
20 2020-08-13 25.17% Loudoun United 1440.25 2 @ New York RB II 1516.83 1
21 2020-09-13 25.33% Charlotte Independence 1493.12 3 @ Birmingham Legion 1568.02 1
22 2020-08-09 25.81% FC Tulsa 1455.82 2 @ Saint Louis FC 1525.94 0
23 2020-09-11 26.10% Memphis 901 1393.87 3 @ North Carolina FC 1461.12 2
24 2020-07-18 26.17% Hartford Athletic 1456.41 1 @ New York RB II 1522.99 0
25 2020-09-06 26.19% Los Angeles Galaxy II 1511.93 2 @ Orange County SC 1578.35 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-09-17 55.75 @ Philadelphia Union 2 4 1311.37 32.56% Loudoun United 0 1393.26 45.41% 22.03%
2 2020-07-19 51.03 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 6 1601.89 53.37% @ Philadelphia Union 2 0 1461.80 25.94% 20.68%
3 2020-09-10 50.96 San Diego Loyal 3 1436.44 23.68% @ Los Angeles Galaxy II 0 1528.61 56.42% 19.90%
4 2020-09-10 48.39 @ Portland Timbers 2 3 1301.75 26.25% Tacoma Defiance 0 1438.87 52.98% 20.77%
5 2020-08-04 47.03 Tacoma Defiance 4 1451.04 41.04% @ Portland Timbers 2 0 1399.88 36.62% 22.34%
6 2020-03-08 44.70 Los Angeles Galaxy II 5 1498.68 34.50% @ Rio Grande Valley FC 1 1494.24 43.28% 22.22%
7 2020-09-30 43.36 North Carolina FC 3 1461.02 31.76% @ New York RB II 0 1478.11 46.32% 21.93%
8 2020-08-20 41.28 Charleston Battery 3 1519.94 34.23% @ North Carolina FC 0 1517.59 43.58% 22.19%
9 2020-08-02 40.35 New Mexico United 3 1505.33 35.38% @ OKC Energy FC 0 1494.31 42.34% 22.28%
10 2020-09-09 40.30 @ New York RB II 6 1478.06 61.01% Philadelphia Union 2 0 1349.26 20.51% 18.48%
11 2020-09-23 39.82 @ Austin Bold 4 1485.77 48.34% Sporting Kansas City 2 0 1454.11 30.01% 21.65%
12 2020-07-19 39.32 @ Tacoma Defiance 3 1411.72 36.69% Portland Timbers 2 0 1462.39 40.97% 22.34%
13 2020-09-27 38.43 Loudoun United 3 1334.49 11.53% @ Charleston Battery 1 1607.21 76.51% 11.96%
14 2020-10-04 35.33 El Paso Locomotive 4 1574.85 52.90% @ Real Monarchs SLC 0 1438.37 26.31% 20.79%
15 2020-09-17 35.16 Birmingham Legion 4 1538.63 53.07% @ Miami FC 0 1400.85 26.18% 20.75%
16 2020-10-01 34.89 @ Rio Grande Valley FC 2 1362.43 23.96% Austin Bold 0 1522.87 56.03% 20.01%
17 2020-07-23 34.14 New York RB II 5 1505.30 47.18% @ Philadelphia Union 2 1 1410.78 31.00% 21.82%
18 2020-08-09 33.61 FC Tulsa 2 1455.82 25.81% @ Saint Louis FC 0 1525.94 53.54% 20.64%
19 2020-07-12 32.81 @ Phoenix Rising 4 1628.24 55.48% Los Angeles Galaxy II 0 1543.38 24.36% 20.16%
20 2020-07-16 32.21 @ Birmingham Legion 3 1465.01 46.05% Memphis 901 0 1449.80 31.99% 21.96%
21 2020-03-08 31.12 @ Phoenix Rising 6 1597.12 57.88% Portland Timbers 2 1 1493.51 22.64% 19.48%
22 2020-08-09 30.51 San Antonio FC 3 1556.53 48.29% @ OKC Energy FC 0 1453.96 30.05% 21.66%
23 2020-10-04 30.44 @ Memphis 901 3 1390.46 23.57% Birmingham Legion 1 1555.01 56.56% 19.86%
24 2020-08-23 29.61 @ Sporting Kansas City 2 3 1438.02 49.50% OKC Energy FC 0 1397.98 29.04% 21.46%
25 2020-08-16 29.43 Birmingham Legion 2 1535.72 32.48% @ North Carolina FC 0 1547.02 45.51% 22.02%