2020 USL Season

275 regular-season games · 14 playoff teams · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Louisville City FC

USL Championship winner

Runner-Up

Saint Louis FC

USL Championship runner-up

Biggest Overachiever

Hartford Athletic

13.98 points above expected

34 points · 20.02 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Real Monarchs SLC

13.32 points below expected

11 points · 24.32 expected points

Final Standings

Regular-season records by division. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points — positive means the team overachieved, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Louisville City FC Conference	11	3	2	35	.729	28	12	+16	27.11	+7.89
2	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Playoffs	11	4	1	34	.708	39	10	+29	30.44	+3.56
3	Hartford Athletic	11	3	1	34	.756	30	23	+7	20.02	+13.98
4	Tampa Bay Rowdies Playoffs	10	3	3	33	.688	25	11	+14	29.18	+3.82
5	Charleston Battery Playoffs	9	4	3	30	.625	27	18	+9	25.96	+4.04
6	Charlotte Independence Playoffs	7	3	4	25	.595	22	19	+3	19.46	+5.54
7	Birmingham Legion Playoffs	7	5	4	25	.521	29	19	+10	24.24	+0.76
8	FC Tulsa	6	2	7	25	.556	21	16	+5	19.05	+5.95
9	North Carolina FC	7	7	2	23	.479	19	21	-2	22.83	+0.17
10	Indy Eleven	7	7	2	23	.479	21	19	+2	24.90	-1.90
11	Miami FC	4	8	4	16	.333	20	34	-14	16.29	-0.29
12	Sporting Kansas City 2	5	10	1	16	.333	21	30	-9	16.24	-0.24
13	New York RB II	5	11	0	15	.312	30	37	-7	24.36	-9.36
14	Memphis 901	3	7	5	14	.311	22	31	-9	16.76	-2.76
15	Atlanta United II	3	10	3	12	.250	23	33	-10	16.83	-4.83
16	Loudoun United	2	10	3	9	.200	13	30	-17	16.33	-7.33
17	Philadelphia Union 2	2	11	2	8	.178	19	44	-25	14.31	-6.31

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Reno 1868 FC Conference	11	2	3	36	.750	43	21	+22	28.57	+7.43
2	Phoenix Rising Playoffs	11	3	2	35	.729	46	17	+29	30.49	+4.51
3	San Antonio FC Playoffs	10	3	3	33	.688	30	14	+16	27.75	+5.25
4	El Paso Locomotive Playoffs	9	2	5	32	.667	24	14	+10	23.65	+8.35
5	Sacramento Republic Playoffs	8	2	6	30	.625	27	17	+10	26.19	+3.81
6	New Mexico United Playoffs	8	4	3	27	.600	23	16	+7	21.01	+5.99
7	Los Angeles Galaxy II Playoffs	8	6	2	26	.542	29	32	-3	21.00	+5.00
8	Saint Louis FC Playoffs	7	5	4	25	.521	22	21	+1	21.79	+3.21
9	Orange County SC	7	6	3	24	.500	18	18	0	24.16	-0.16
10	San Diego Loyal	6	5	5	23	.479	17	18	-1	17.38	+5.62
11	Austin Bold	5	4	7	22	.458	30	27	+3	23.36	-1.36
12	Tacoma Defiance	4	10	2	14	.292	25	32	-7	17.80	-3.80
13	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	2	7	7	13	.271	19	28	-9	17.22	-4.22
14	Real Monarchs SLC	3	11	2	11	.229	13	25	-12	24.32	-13.32
15	Las Vegas Lights FC	2	9	5	11	.229	24	34	-10	17.34	-6.34
16	OKC Energy FC	1	8	7	10	.208	12	29	-17	19.50	-9.50
17	Portland Timbers 2	3	13	0	9	.188	20	50	-30	15.92	-6.92
18	Rio Grande Valley FC	2	9	3	9	.214	17	28	-11	16.41	-7.41

Playoff Bracket

The path each team took through the postseason — reconstructed from actual playoff games, not the simulation.

Eastern Conference

Conference Quarterfinals

Charleston Battery 2

Charlotte Independence 1

Oct 11

Tampa Bay Rowdies 4

Birmingham Legion 2

Oct 11

Louisville City FC 2

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0

Oct 11

Tampa Bay Rowdies 1

Charleston Battery 0

Oct 18

Conference Semifinals

Tampa Bay Rowdies 2

Louisville City FC 1

Oct 25

Western Conference

Conference Quarterfinals

Reno 1868 FC 4

Los Angeles Galaxy II 1

Oct 11

New Mexico United 1

San Antonio FC 0

Oct 11

Phoenix Rising 1

Sacramento Republic 0

Oct 11

Phoenix Rising 5

Reno 1868 FC 4

Oct 18

Conference Semifinals

El Paso Locomotive 5

New Mexico United 3

Oct 18

Phoenix Rising 4

El Paso Locomotive 2

Oct 25

USL Championship

Louisville City FC 2

Saint Louis FC 0

Oct 18

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort; use the dropdown to filter by Conference or Division. Luck is the team's actual outcome minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Conference	Elo	Points	Avg. Pts.	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Phoenix Rising	Western	1693	35	30.49	+4.51	83.85%	11	22	27	31	34	39	46
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Eastern	1678	34	30.44	+3.56	78.92%	12	22	27	31	34	38	48
Louisville City FC	Eastern	1640	35	27.11	+7.89	95.30%	8	19	24	27	31	35	44
Reno 1868 FC	Western	1621	36	28.57	+7.43	94.36%	10	20	25	29	32	37	46
Tampa Bay Rowdies	Eastern	1596	33	29.18	+3.82	79.83%	10	21	26	29	33	37	48
San Antonio FC	Western	1582	33	27.75	+5.25	86.33%	8	19	24	28	31	36	46
El Paso Locomotive	Western	1579	32	23.65	+8.35	95.71%	6	15	20	24	27	32	43
Sacramento Republic	Western	1568	30	26.19	+3.81	79.61%	2	18	23	26	30	35	45
Charleston Battery	Eastern	1552	30	25.96	+4.04	80.82%	6	17	22	26	29	34	44
New Mexico United	Western	1549	27	21.01	+5.99	90.28%	2	13	18	21	24	29	41
Hartford Athletic	Eastern	1530	34	20.02	+13.98	99.86%	3	12	17	20	23	28	38
Orange County SC	Western	1529	24	24.16	-0.16	53.23%	6	16	21	24	28	33	42
Indy Eleven	Eastern	1529	23	24.90	-1.90	39.30%	5	16	21	25	28	34	42
North Carolina FC	Eastern	1517	23	22.83	+0.17	55.63%	4	14	19	23	26	31	42
Birmingham Legion	Eastern	1514	25	24.24	+0.76	59.44%	6	16	21	24	28	33	42
Saint Louis FC	Western	1511	25	21.79	+3.21	76.48%	4	13	18	22	25	31	43
Charlotte Independence	Eastern	1508	25	19.46	+5.54	89.08%	4	12	16	19	23	28	37
Austin Bold	Western	1504	22	23.36	-1.36	43.55%	5	15	20	23	27	32	42
Los Angeles Galaxy II	Western	1499	26	21.00	+5.00	85.45%	3	13	17	21	25	30	43
FC Tulsa	Eastern	1487	25	19.05	+5.95	90.31%	3	11	16	19	22	27	39
San Diego Loyal	Western	1485	23	17.38	+5.62	88.51%	2	9	14	17	21	26	37
New York RB II	Eastern	1459	15	24.36	-9.36	4.26%	8	16	21	24	28	33	42
Real Monarchs SLC	Western	1454	11	24.32	-13.32	0.54%	5	16	21	24	28	33	41
Sporting Kansas City 2	Eastern	1441	16	16.24	-0.24	53.43%	1	9	13	16	19	25	35
Rio Grande Valley FC	Western	1437	9	16.41	-7.41	6.57%	2	9	13	16	20	24	35
Las Vegas Lights FC	Western	1436	11	17.34	-6.34	12.11%	2	10	14	17	21	26	37
Memphis 901	Eastern	1433	14	16.76	-2.76	33.29%	2	9	13	17	20	25	36
Tacoma Defiance	Western	1419	14	17.80	-3.80	25.44%	0	10	14	18	21	26	38
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	Western	1409	13	17.22	-4.22	23.25%	2	9	14	17	20	26	37
Loudoun United	Eastern	1407	9	16.33	-7.33	6.98%	2	9	13	16	20	24	38
Miami FC	Eastern	1405	16	16.29	-0.29	53.26%	2	9	13	16	20	25	37
OKC Energy FC	Western	1390	10	19.50	-9.50	3.54%	2	11	16	19	23	28	36
Atlanta United II	Eastern	1389	12	16.83	-4.83	19.35%	2	9	13	17	20	25	37
Portland Timbers 2	Western	1383	9	15.92	-6.92	8.83%	1	8	13	16	19	24	37
Philadelphia Union 2	Eastern	1366	8	14.31	-6.31	10.03%	0	7	11	14	17	22	36

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's points earned in that matchup (row vs column) and below it the expected points the model predicted based on each individual game's win, OT/SO, and loss probabilities. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin. The first matrix for each division covers within-division games; the second (when shown) covers games against teams outside that division — aggregated by division when there are many opponents, broken out team-by-team when there are few.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team	II	Legion	Battery	Independence	Tulsa	Athletic	Eleven	United	FC	901	FC	II	FC	2	Riverhounds	2	Rowdies
Atlanta United II	—	0 (0.9 exp.)	1 (4.0 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	1 (1.4 exp.)	4 (5.3 exp.)	3 (1.0 exp.)	—	3 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	0 (3.0 exp.)
Birmingham Legion	3 (1.9 exp.)	—	3 (1.1 exp.)	7 (6.0 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	5 (6.8 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	—	3 (5.7 exp.)	—	—	—	1 (1.2 exp.)
Charleston Battery	10 (7.0 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)	—	1 (1.4 exp.)	—	—	—	0 (2.1 exp.)	—	—	7 (7.8 exp.)	—	3 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	—	9 (4.7 exp.)
Charlotte Independence	—	4 (4.9 exp.)	1 (1.3 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	7 (4.4 exp.)	1 (3.4 exp.)	—	9 (4.1 exp.)	—	—	3 (1.3 exp.)	—
FC Tulsa	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0 (1.5 exp.)	—
Hartford Athletic	—	—	—	—	—	—	0 (0.9 exp.)	10 (6.3 exp.)	—	—	—	12 (5.1 exp.)	—	9 (5.4 exp.)	3 (2.3 exp.)	—	—
Indy Eleven	—	—	—	—	—	3 (1.8 exp.)	—	—	1 (5.4 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	—	—	—	—	6 (2.3 exp.)	6 (7.7 exp.)	—
Loudoun United	—	—	3 (0.7 exp.)	—	—	1 (4.7 exp.)	—	—	0 (0.9 exp.)	—	—	3 (2.3 exp.)	0 (1.1 exp.)	2 (4.6 exp.)	0 (2.1 exp.)	—	—
Louisville City FC	—	—	—	—	—	—	10 (5.6 exp.)	3 (1.8 exp.)	—	3 (2.2 exp.)	—	—	3 (1.4 exp.)	—	0 (1.5 exp.)	9 (7.9 exp.)	—
Memphis 901	1 (1.3 exp.)	5 (4.2 exp.)	—	1 (3.8 exp.)	—	—	0 (1.2 exp.)	—	0 (0.6 exp.)	—	—	—	4 (4.4 exp.)	—	—	—	—
Miami FC	7 (5.7 exp.)	0 (1.1 exp.)	4 (3.3 exp.)	4 (2.1 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1 (3.1 exp.)
New York RB II	0 (1.7 exp.)	—	—	—	—	0 (5.9 exp.)	—	3 (3.2 exp.)	—	—	—	—	0 (1.6 exp.)	9 (7.3 exp.)	3 (3.1 exp.)	—	0 (1.5 exp.)
North Carolina FC	—	9 (5.3 exp.)	0 (1.5 exp.)	0 (4.1 exp.)	—	—	—	3 (1.6 exp.)	0 (1.4 exp.)	7 (6.6 exp.)	—	3 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	—	—	1 (1.1 exp.)
Philadelphia Union 2	0 (1.6 exp.)	—	—	—	—	0 (2.8 exp.)	—	5 (3.6 exp.)	—	—	—	3 (3.7 exp.)	—	—	0 (2.0 exp.)	—	0 (0.6 exp.)
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	—	—	—	—	—	6 (6.1 exp.)	0 (3.2 exp.)	9 (6.3 exp.)	3 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	6 (5.2 exp.)	—	9 (6.5 exp.)	—	—	—
Sporting Kansas City 2	—	—	—	0 (1.5 exp.)	3 (1.2 exp.)	—	6 (3.4 exp.)	—	3 (3.2 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tampa Bay Rowdies	12 (8.1 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)	3 (6.3 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	10 (8.1 exp.)	3 (1.3 exp.)	1 (1.6 exp.)	3 (2.2 exp.)	—	—	—

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team	Bold	Switchbacks	Locomotive	FC	II	United	FC	SC	Rising	2	SLC	FC	FC	Republic	FC	FC	Loyal	Defiance
Atlanta United II	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Birmingham Legion	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Charleston Battery	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Charlotte Independence	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
FC Tulsa	3 (3.6 exp.)	3 (1.7 exp.)	—	—	—	—	5 (4.6 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	6 (2.8 exp.)	1 (0.9 exp.)	3 (1.0 exp.)	4 (3.0 exp.)	—	—
Hartford Athletic	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Indy Eleven	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	4 (6.1 exp.)	—	—	—
Loudoun United	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Louisville City FC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7 (6.7 exp.)	—	—	—
Memphis 901	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3 (1.1 exp.)	—	—	—
Miami FC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	—
New York RB II	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
North Carolina FC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Philadelphia Union 2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1 (2.0 exp.)	—	—	—
Sporting Kansas City 2	0 (1.1 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	3 (1.6 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1 (4.3 exp.)	—	—	—
Tampa Bay Rowdies	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Within Western

Team	Bold	Switchbacks	Locomotive	FC	II	United	FC	SC	Rising	2	SLC	FC	FC	Republic	FC	FC	Loyal	Defiance
Austin Bold	—	1 (1.5 exp.)	—	—	—	3 (1.5 exp.)	2 (4.9 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	6 (4.7 exp.)	—	—	4 (4.3 exp.)	—	—
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1 (1.2 exp.)	—	2 (3.9 exp.)	—	—	4 (4.3 exp.)	4 (2.6 exp.)	—	—	—	2 (4.2 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
El Paso Locomotive	—	8 (7.2 exp.)	—	—	—	5 (5.7 exp.)	—	1 (1.1 exp.)	0 (0.8 exp.)	—	12 (5.9 exp.)	—	3 (1.7 exp.)	—	—	3 (1.3 exp.)	—	—
Las Vegas Lights FC	—	—	—	—	1 (3.5 exp.)	—	—	3 (4.1 exp.)	1 (2.2 exp.)	—	—	1 (1.8 exp.)	—	—	—	—	2 (4.2 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy II	—	—	—	7 (4.7 exp.)	—	—	—	6 (4.7 exp.)	0 (2.6 exp.)	3 (1.7 exp.)	—	—	3 (1.2 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	—	—	4 (4.7 exp.)	—
New Mexico United	0 (1.2 exp.)	7 (6.7 exp.)	5 (5.3 exp.)	—	—	—	3 (1.3 exp.)	—	0 (1.1 exp.)	—	12 (5.5 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
OKC Energy FC	5 (3.3 exp.)	1 (2.8 exp.)	—	—	—	0 (1.5 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	2 (4.3 exp.)	—	—	0 (2.7 exp.)	—	—
Orange County SC	—	—	1 (1.6 exp.)	9 (6.9 exp.)	6 (6.3 exp.)	—	—	—	4 (3.0 exp.)	—	—	—	—	0 (1.2 exp.)	—	—	4 (5.1 exp.)	—
Phoenix Rising	—	—	3 (2.0 exp.)	7 (6.1 exp.)	9 (5.8 exp.)	3 (1.7 exp.)	—	4 (5.2 exp.)	—	3 (1.9 exp.)	—	0 (1.6 exp.)	—	—	—	—	6 (6.2 exp.)	—
Portland Timbers 2	—	—	—	—	0 (1.1 exp.)	—	—	—	0 (0.8 exp.)	—	3 (0.8 exp.)	0 (3.1 exp.)	—	0 (3.4 exp.)	—	—	—	6 (6.7 exp.)
Real Monarchs SLC	—	8 (6.9 exp.)	0 (5.1 exp.)	—	—	0 (5.5 exp.)	—	—	—	0 (1.9 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	0 (1.4 exp.)	0 (1.9 exp.)	3 (1.7 exp.)
Reno 1868 FC	—	—	—	4 (3.8 exp.)	—	—	—	—	3 (1.2 exp.)	12 (8.0 exp.)	—	—	—	2 (6.2 exp.)	—	—	3 (1.7 exp.)	12 (7.7 exp.)
Rio Grande Valley FC	3 (3.5 exp.)	—	0 (1.0 exp.)	—	0 (1.5 exp.)	—	5 (3.9 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1 (3.8 exp.)	—	—
Sacramento Republic	—	—	—	—	0 (1.3 exp.)	—	—	3 (1.5 exp.)	—	12 (7.7 exp.)	—	8 (4.8 exp.)	—	—	—	—	1 (1.5 exp.)	5 (7.5 exp.)
Saint Louis FC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
San Antonio FC	7 (6.7 exp.)	—	0 (1.5 exp.)	—	—	—	9 (5.6 exp.)	—	—	—	3 (1.3 exp.)	—	10 (7.2 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—
San Diego Loyal	—	—	—	5 (4.0 exp.)	4 (3.5 exp.)	—	—	4 (3.2 exp.)	3 (2.1 exp.)	—	3 (0.9 exp.)	0 (1.0 exp.)	—	1 (1.3 exp.)	—	—	—	3 (1.3 exp.)
Tacoma Defiance	—	—	—	0 (1.3 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	9 (7.0 exp.)	0 (1.0 exp.)	0 (3.4 exp.)	—	5 (3.5 exp.)	—	—	0 (1.4 exp.)	—

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team	II	Legion	Battery	Independence	Tulsa	Athletic	Eleven	United	FC	901	FC	II	FC	2	Riverhounds	2	Rowdies
Austin Bold	—	—	—	—	3 (4.6 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3 (1.7 exp.)	—
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	—	—	—	—	0 (1.0 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
El Paso Locomotive	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Las Vegas Lights FC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Los Angeles Galaxy II	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
New Mexico United	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
OKC Energy FC	—	—	—	—	2 (3.7 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0 (1.1 exp.)	—
Orange County SC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Phoenix Rising	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Portland Timbers 2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Real Monarchs SLC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Reno 1868 FC	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Rio Grande Valley FC	—	—	—	—	0 (2.7 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sacramento Republic	—	—	—	—	1 (1.8 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Saint Louis FC	—	—	—	—	0 (1.8 exp.)	—	7 (4.8 exp.)	—	4 (4.3 exp.)	0 (1.6 exp.)	3 (1.8 exp.)	—	—	—	1 (0.8 exp.)	10 (6.7 exp.)	—
San Antonio FC	—	—	—	—	4 (5.3 exp.)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
San Diego Loyal	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tacoma Defiance	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Scoring Distribution

Histograms of goals scored and allowed, a home-vs-away score scatter (marker size grows with how often that exact score happened), and summary stats — all driven by the team filter below. Default view is league-wide.

Filter by team:

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	—
Mean allowed	—
StdDev scored	—
StdDev allowed	—
Correlation (home vs away score)	—
Sample size (games)	—

Points vs. Goal Differential

How goals translated into points. Teams above the cluster overperformed their goals differential (often called Pythagorean luck), while teams below underperformed. Hover for exact values.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams furthest from where the simulation said they'd land — a fast read of the Luck column on top of the main season summary above.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Hartford Athletic	34	20.02	+13.98
2	El Paso Locomotive	32	23.65	+8.35
3	Louisville City FC	35	27.11	+7.89
4	Reno 1868 FC	36	28.57	+7.43
5	New Mexico United	27	21.01	+5.99

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Real Monarchs SLC	11	24.32	-13.32
2	OKC Energy FC	10	19.50	-9.50
3	New York RB II	15	24.36	-9.36
4	Rio Grande Valley FC	9	16.41	-7.41
5	Loudoun United	9	16.33	-7.33

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/T/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hartford Athletic	5	Sep 17 – Oct 5	1 in 186
2	Sacramento Republic	6	Aug 9 – Sep 10	1 in 104
3	San Diego Loyal	3	Sep 10 – Sep 20	1 in 90
4	Charlotte Independence	4	Sep 3 – Sep 20	1 in 82
5	El Paso Locomotive	5	Aug 30 – Sep 20	1 in 79

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Portland Timbers 2	10	Mar 8 – Sep 6	1 in 921
2	Tacoma Defiance	6	Aug 9 – Sep 18	1 in 91
3	New York RB II	4	Aug 5 – Aug 16	1 in 88
4	Real Monarchs SLC	4	Aug 16 – Aug 30	1 in 82
5	North Carolina FC	3	Aug 16 – Aug 27	1 in 31

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	El Paso Locomotive	11	Aug 9 – Oct 4	1 in 83
2	San Diego Loyal	6	Aug 30 – Sep 24	1 in 83
3	Sacramento Republic	10	Aug 2 – Sep 27	1 in 47
4	Louisville City FC	11	Aug 9 – Oct 4	1 in 37
5	San Antonio FC	11	Mar 8 – Sep 6	1 in 33

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	OKC Energy FC	13	Jul 23 – Oct 4	1 in 119
2	Rio Grande Valley FC	12	Mar 8 – Sep 6	1 in 76
3	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	11	Jul 12 – Sep 17	1 in 44
4	Loudoun United	9	Aug 16 – Sep 19	1 in 22
5	Portland Timbers 2	10	Mar 8 – Sep 6	1 in 19

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we add up those probabilities over home games and compare to actual home wins — and do the same on the road. The bar height is (home wins above expected) minus (road wins above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real Coors-style edge. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmaps

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between divisions, leagues, and the overall USL view. Rows are sorted by the simulation's average finish (best at top).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	32.19%	20.90%	14.21%	9.80%	7.03%	5.05%	3.63%	2.44%	1.71%	1.18%	0.70%	0.47%	0.37%	0.15%	0.13%	0.03%	0.01%
Tampa Bay Rowdies	23.16%	18.80%	15.12%	11.35%	8.84%	6.51%	5.04%	3.56%	2.50%	1.93%	1.24%	0.84%	0.46%	0.29%	0.17%	0.15%	0.04%
Louisville City FC	13.09%	14.37%	13.65%	11.61%	10.09%	8.73%	7.54%	5.55%	4.78%	3.35%	2.37%	1.90%	1.29%	0.72%	0.55%	0.29%	0.12%
Charleston Battery	9.18%	12.00%	11.35%	11.64%	10.43%	9.65%	8.60%	6.53%	5.80%	4.24%	2.96%	2.61%	1.86%	1.36%	0.88%	0.57%	0.34%
Indy Eleven	6.62%	8.59%	10.14%	11.19%	10.16%	9.66%	8.73%	8.41%	6.30%	5.38%	4.24%	3.75%	2.57%	1.70%	1.29%	0.98%	0.29%
New York RB II	5.51%	7.45%	8.84%	9.89%	10.65%	9.82%	9.28%	8.31%	7.09%	6.09%	4.54%	4.01%	3.00%	2.35%	1.53%	1.07%	0.57%
Birmingham Legion	4.83%	6.91%	9.24%	10.30%	10.31%	10.26%	9.14%	8.15%	6.88%	5.71%	4.94%	4.06%	3.15%	2.39%	1.85%	1.34%	0.54%
North Carolina FC	3.07%	5.20%	6.85%	7.75%	8.82%	9.16%	8.76%	8.47%	8.37%	7.15%	6.93%	5.70%	4.45%	3.56%	2.72%	1.90%	1.14%
Hartford Athletic	0.91%	1.64%	2.53%	3.69%	5.32%	6.13%	7.61%	8.24%	8.89%	9.57%	8.60%	8.41%	7.90%	6.49%	5.80%	4.82%	3.45%
Charlotte Independence	0.48%	1.18%	2.28%	3.75%	4.64%	5.89%	6.85%	7.91%	8.22%	8.86%	9.08%	8.79%	8.43%	7.37%	6.52%	5.78%	3.97%
FC Tulsa	0.33%	0.82%	1.68%	2.84%	3.53%	4.83%	6.17%	7.13%	8.60%	9.43%	9.43%	9.36%	9.13%	8.95%	7.63%	5.93%	4.21%
Memphis 901	0.06%	0.41%	0.93%	1.27%	2.23%	3.12%	3.84%	4.92%	6.07%	6.61%	8.27%	8.44%	9.80%	10.75%	10.56%	11.65%	11.07%
Atlanta United II	0.23%	0.59%	0.95%	1.28%	2.11%	2.94%	3.61%	5.12%	5.25%	7.03%	8.08%	9.09%	9.87%	10.66%	10.09%	11.46%	11.64%
Loudoun United	0.12%	0.34%	0.57%	0.99%	1.71%	2.25%	3.51%	4.28%	5.68%	6.65%	7.73%	8.48%	9.37%	10.79%	12.69%	11.91%	12.93%
Miami FC	0.10%	0.37%	0.72%	1.13%	1.75%	2.38%	3.18%	4.18%	5.46%	6.55%	7.92%	8.32%	9.40%	10.69%	12.05%	12.76%	13.04%
Sporting Kansas City 2	0.10%	0.31%	0.81%	1.16%	1.64%	2.48%	2.91%	4.42%	5.06%	5.85%	7.42%	8.74%	9.79%	11.53%	12.58%	12.31%	12.89%
Philadelphia Union 2	0.02%	0.12%	0.13%	0.36%	0.74%	1.14%	1.60%	2.38%	3.34%	4.42%	5.55%	7.03%	9.16%	10.25%	12.96%	17.05%	23.75%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18
Phoenix Rising	32.11%	19.83%	13.06%	9.87%	6.68%	4.92%	3.83%	2.85%	1.99%	1.60%	0.98%	0.76%	0.59%	0.42%	0.21%	0.16%	0.10%	0.04%
Reno 1868 FC	20.14%	16.71%	13.59%	10.67%	8.88%	7.50%	5.49%	4.30%	3.55%	2.55%	2.07%	1.42%	1.15%	0.80%	0.52%	0.38%	0.16%	0.12%
San Antonio FC	15.10%	15.15%	13.25%	11.15%	9.58%	7.67%	6.31%	5.40%	3.92%	3.71%	2.63%	1.92%	1.21%	1.28%	0.77%	0.46%	0.32%	0.17%
Sacramento Republic	9.75%	11.00%	10.87%	10.79%	9.44%	8.57%	7.89%	6.42%	5.71%	4.91%	3.85%	2.89%	2.53%	1.76%	1.52%	0.94%	0.73%	0.43%
Real Monarchs SLC	4.92%	7.05%	8.46%	8.99%	9.19%	8.84%	8.03%	7.47%	6.62%	5.82%	5.16%	4.63%	4.19%	3.42%	2.80%	2.05%	1.45%	0.91%
Orange County SC	4.69%	6.66%	7.98%	8.24%	8.67%	9.08%	8.67%	7.95%	7.34%	5.89%	5.49%	5.08%	3.86%	3.21%	2.87%	2.03%	1.48%	0.81%
El Paso Locomotive	3.76%	6.44%	7.31%	8.16%	7.88%	7.91%	7.91%	7.72%	7.43%	7.14%	5.85%	5.69%	4.58%	3.62%	3.28%	2.48%	1.84%	1.00%
Austin Bold	3.64%	5.22%	6.91%	7.58%	7.85%	7.87%	7.89%	8.28%	7.55%	6.98%	6.21%	5.55%	4.89%	4.07%	3.46%	2.71%	2.17%	1.17%
Saint Louis FC	1.55%	2.77%	4.10%	5.29%	6.19%	7.12%	7.21%	7.71%	7.79%	7.49%	7.92%	7.20%	6.55%	5.96%	5.56%	4.12%	3.34%	2.13%
New Mexico United	1.11%	2.36%	3.68%	4.37%	5.73%	6.44%	6.89%	7.32%	7.10%	7.77%	7.40%	7.38%	7.02%	6.48%	5.84%	5.63%	4.26%	3.22%
Los Angeles Galaxy II	1.32%	2.62%	3.75%	4.63%	5.23%	6.18%	6.48%	6.68%	7.60%	7.73%	7.63%	7.16%	6.74%	6.63%	6.08%	5.51%	4.49%	3.54%
OKC Energy FC	0.55%	1.49%	1.87%	2.89%	3.64%	4.31%	5.17%	6.10%	6.57%	7.41%	8.33%	8.23%	7.83%	8.44%	7.66%	7.20%	6.31%	6.00%
Tacoma Defiance	0.36%	0.65%	1.24%	1.58%	2.21%	2.76%	3.50%	4.18%	4.96%	5.92%	7.21%	7.98%	8.51%	9.34%	8.64%	10.14%	10.22%	10.60%
San Diego Loyal	0.30%	0.54%	1.10%	1.40%	2.28%	2.50%	3.56%	3.90%	4.48%	5.56%	6.04%	7.26%	8.53%	9.42%	9.50%	10.30%	11.20%	12.13%
Las Vegas Lights FC	0.27%	0.51%	0.93%	1.42%	2.07%	2.59%	3.04%	4.15%	4.82%	5.42%	6.48%	7.28%	8.44%	9.09%	9.58%	9.93%	11.79%	12.19%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0.18%	0.52%	0.87%	1.40%	2.00%	2.58%	3.39%	3.76%	4.99%	5.39%	6.33%	6.43%	7.74%	8.96%	10.23%	11.44%	11.96%	11.83%
Rio Grande Valley FC	0.08%	0.22%	0.55%	0.85%	1.36%	1.68%	2.66%	3.03%	4.11%	4.78%	5.30%	6.50%	8.11%	8.92%	11.13%	12.28%	13.72%	14.72%
Portland Timbers 2	0.17%	0.26%	0.48%	0.72%	1.12%	1.48%	2.08%	2.78%	3.47%	3.93%	5.12%	6.64%	7.53%	8.18%	10.35%	12.24%	14.46%	18.99%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32	33	34	35
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	18.22%	13.77%	10.98%	9.06%	7.47%	6.10%	5.80%	4.41%	3.73%	3.20%	2.82%	2.53%	1.91%	1.69%	1.51%	1.29%	0.92%	0.82%	0.70%	0.75%	0.41%	0.41%	0.29%	0.34%	0.23%	0.18%	0.12%	0.13%	0.07%	0.07%	0.01%	0.02%	0.03%	—	0.01%
Phoenix Rising	18.86%	13.39%	10.99%	8.84%	7.72%	6.34%	5.13%	4.59%	4.07%	3.18%	2.55%	2.21%	1.90%	1.94%	1.35%	1.22%	1.06%	0.82%	0.69%	0.72%	0.46%	0.46%	0.26%	0.21%	0.22%	0.26%	0.19%	0.07%	0.09%	0.06%	0.08%	0.01%	0.05%	0.01%	—
Tampa Bay Rowdies	12.55%	11.02%	9.56%	8.25%	8.04%	6.67%	5.80%	5.24%	4.33%	4.25%	3.66%	2.88%	2.68%	2.11%	2.13%	1.97%	1.57%	1.30%	0.95%	1.01%	0.74%	0.73%	0.67%	0.44%	0.29%	0.29%	0.20%	0.15%	0.12%	0.10%	0.11%	0.07%	0.07%	0.03%	0.02%
Reno 1868 FC	10.45%	9.45%	9.23%	7.79%	7.38%	7.13%	5.78%	5.38%	5.08%	4.55%	3.67%	3.13%	3.12%	2.50%	2.20%	2.16%	1.86%	1.50%	1.22%	1.28%	1.03%	0.80%	0.64%	0.54%	0.54%	0.32%	0.29%	0.28%	0.21%	0.14%	0.14%	0.11%	0.04%	0.04%	0.02%
San Antonio FC	7.56%	8.23%	7.96%	7.53%	6.97%	6.25%	5.86%	5.28%	5.30%	4.75%	4.22%	4.15%	3.50%	2.90%	2.50%	2.65%	2.14%	1.83%	1.68%	1.53%	1.52%	0.95%	0.84%	0.72%	0.74%	0.60%	0.46%	0.26%	0.41%	0.25%	0.15%	0.12%	0.10%	0.08%	0.01%
Louisville City FC	6.38%	6.81%	7.15%	7.21%	6.29%	6.14%	6.13%	5.42%	5.09%	4.42%	4.09%	4.29%	3.96%	3.03%	3.45%	2.62%	2.66%	2.17%	1.84%	1.60%	1.57%	1.34%	1.38%	0.94%	0.82%	0.68%	0.59%	0.46%	0.42%	0.25%	0.33%	0.27%	0.09%	0.09%	0.02%
Sacramento Republic	4.47%	5.40%	5.70%	5.91%	5.80%	5.52%	5.39%	5.61%	5.20%	4.95%	5.04%	4.33%	3.90%	3.63%	3.71%	2.82%	3.19%	2.85%	2.47%	1.82%	1.96%	1.76%	1.35%	1.34%	1.15%	0.89%	0.84%	0.75%	0.55%	0.48%	0.24%	0.44%	0.21%	0.25%	0.08%
Charleston Battery	3.95%	5.11%	5.84%	5.34%	5.93%	5.43%	5.44%	5.72%	5.23%	4.59%	4.82%	4.25%	3.99%	3.95%	3.57%	3.41%	3.10%	3.01%	2.55%	1.98%	1.89%	1.56%	1.58%	1.42%	1.19%	1.14%	0.84%	0.81%	0.61%	0.44%	0.34%	0.44%	0.21%	0.24%	0.08%
Indy Eleven	2.77%	3.81%	3.81%	4.69%	4.78%	4.97%	5.12%	5.06%	4.84%	4.84%	4.65%	4.38%	4.36%	4.18%	3.91%	3.43%	3.44%	3.15%	2.93%	2.90%	2.40%	2.23%	2.08%	1.88%	1.80%	1.46%	1.23%	1.14%	0.93%	0.86%	0.65%	0.51%	0.33%	0.36%	0.12%
New York RB II	2.09%	2.93%	3.56%	4.03%	4.01%	4.70%	4.42%	4.84%	4.58%	4.52%	4.82%	4.99%	4.33%	3.96%	4.10%	4.29%	3.60%	3.57%	3.16%	2.94%	2.57%	2.80%	2.22%	2.15%	1.79%	1.65%	1.57%	1.28%	0.98%	1.05%	0.87%	0.56%	0.45%	0.39%	0.23%
Real Monarchs SLC	2.13%	2.91%	3.50%	3.92%	3.98%	4.55%	4.69%	5.17%	5.08%	4.75%	4.32%	4.42%	4.38%	4.32%	3.75%	3.65%	3.50%	3.49%	3.06%	3.20%	2.78%	2.63%	2.35%	2.23%	1.69%	1.69%	1.50%	1.43%	1.26%	0.92%	0.85%	0.75%	0.46%	0.44%	0.25%
Birmingham Legion	2.05%	2.73%	3.36%	3.92%	4.02%	4.33%	4.65%	4.94%	4.89%	4.68%	4.75%	4.40%	4.64%	4.32%	3.95%	3.98%	3.59%	3.16%	2.89%	3.08%	2.92%	2.44%	2.56%	2.20%	2.06%	1.68%	1.39%	1.36%	1.05%	1.23%	0.80%	0.75%	0.59%	0.43%	0.21%
Orange County SC	1.92%	2.70%	3.53%	3.75%	3.88%	4.08%	4.45%	4.31%	4.58%	4.74%	4.93%	4.69%	4.54%	4.45%	4.19%	4.14%	3.77%	3.59%	3.41%	3.05%	2.77%	2.76%	2.23%	2.20%	2.14%	1.60%	1.53%	1.34%	1.14%	0.97%	0.68%	0.90%	0.47%	0.38%	0.19%
El Paso Locomotive	1.46%	2.48%	2.65%	3.70%	3.50%	4.32%	4.11%	4.25%	4.08%	4.12%	4.52%	4.54%	4.46%	4.50%	4.07%	3.83%	3.49%	3.90%	3.49%	3.49%	3.34%	3.07%	3.10%	2.20%	1.87%	1.94%	2.00%	1.58%	1.56%	1.12%	1.08%	0.82%	0.58%	0.46%	0.32%
Austin Bold	1.37%	2.33%	2.38%	3.04%	3.39%	3.80%	4.16%	4.08%	3.96%	4.44%	4.14%	4.25%	4.51%	4.43%	4.35%	4.07%	3.85%	3.89%	3.74%	3.23%	2.91%	2.97%	2.93%	2.36%	2.55%	2.08%	2.01%	1.89%	1.55%	1.34%	1.22%	0.96%	0.91%	0.57%	0.34%
North Carolina FC	1.20%	1.75%	2.41%	2.66%	3.10%	3.58%	3.61%	3.41%	3.84%	3.91%	4.11%	4.19%	4.34%	4.08%	3.72%	4.17%	4.09%	3.92%	3.90%	3.83%	3.35%	3.36%	3.11%	2.98%	2.54%	2.44%	2.02%	2.01%	1.89%	1.61%	1.50%	1.15%	0.91%	0.75%	0.56%
Saint Louis FC	0.72%	1.23%	1.43%	2.10%	2.27%	2.56%	2.77%	2.99%	3.38%	3.52%	3.80%	3.85%	3.72%	3.99%	3.92%	4.26%	3.96%	4.03%	3.80%	3.77%	3.52%	3.79%	3.71%	3.24%	3.40%	3.06%	2.93%	2.61%	2.22%	2.16%	2.17%	1.73%	1.28%	1.22%	0.89%
New Mexico United	0.37%	0.68%	1.00%	1.39%	1.71%	2.06%	2.52%	2.29%	2.87%	3.22%	3.36%	3.65%	3.83%	3.86%	3.89%	4.02%	3.96%	4.06%	4.23%	3.99%	4.11%	4.21%	3.56%	3.59%	3.36%	3.56%	3.18%	3.02%	2.65%	2.72%	2.52%	2.26%	1.98%	1.43%	0.89%
Los Angeles Galaxy II	0.47%	0.87%	1.03%	1.38%	1.94%	1.97%	2.32%	2.81%	3.06%	3.18%	2.91%	3.40%	3.33%	3.96%	3.87%	3.82%	3.93%	4.12%	3.97%	4.15%	4.20%	3.63%	3.53%	3.81%	3.72%	3.55%	3.04%	3.08%	2.92%	2.50%	2.46%	2.32%	2.15%	1.47%	1.13%
Hartford Athletic	0.17%	0.54%	0.60%	0.95%	1.11%	1.25%	1.43%	1.71%	2.46%	2.32%	2.38%	2.77%	3.36%	3.72%	3.85%	3.65%	3.80%	4.08%	4.48%	4.23%	4.13%	4.32%	4.20%	4.43%	4.34%	3.47%	3.89%	3.80%	3.21%	3.27%	3.12%	2.71%	2.47%	2.00%	1.78%
OKC Energy FC	0.11%	0.37%	0.65%	0.83%	1.04%	1.24%	1.50%	1.72%	1.75%	2.13%	2.56%	2.49%	2.89%	3.15%	3.21%	3.18%	3.88%	3.94%	4.12%	4.07%	4.43%	4.36%	4.18%	4.26%	3.96%	4.28%	4.17%	3.89%	3.55%	3.79%	3.22%	3.14%	2.72%	2.64%	2.58%
Charlotte Independence	0.15%	0.32%	0.46%	0.65%	0.83%	1.32%	1.35%	1.68%	1.81%	2.33%	2.51%	2.52%	2.78%	3.22%	3.56%	3.63%	3.55%	3.96%	3.95%	4.06%	4.07%	4.30%	4.45%	4.34%	4.11%	4.07%	4.17%	4.16%	3.93%	3.46%	3.66%	3.20%	3.01%	2.47%	1.96%
FC Tulsa	0.13%	0.22%	0.41%	0.52%	0.92%	0.95%	1.25%	1.56%	1.64%	2.12%	2.07%	2.45%	2.66%	2.79%	3.21%	3.20%	3.54%	3.77%	3.72%	3.81%	4.60%	4.29%	4.04%	4.04%	4.07%	4.63%	4.60%	4.57%	4.50%	3.95%	3.98%	3.29%	3.34%	2.86%	2.30%
Tacoma Defiance	0.09%	0.18%	0.26%	0.39%	0.57%	0.72%	0.76%	0.91%	0.98%	1.50%	1.52%	1.78%	1.73%	2.00%	2.46%	2.62%	2.84%	3.08%	3.25%	3.59%	4.12%	3.83%	4.24%	4.75%	4.54%	4.56%	4.65%	4.81%	4.51%	4.79%	4.88%	5.06%	4.87%	4.91%	4.25%
San Diego Loyal	0.07%	0.08%	0.29%	0.32%	0.40%	0.58%	0.77%	0.97%	1.11%	1.27%	1.46%	1.52%	1.80%	1.84%	2.10%	2.55%	2.62%	2.70%	3.22%	3.37%	3.29%	3.72%	4.05%	4.38%	4.23%	4.58%	5.22%	4.84%	5.27%	5.16%	5.18%	4.85%	5.53%	5.36%	5.30%
Las Vegas Lights FC	0.05%	0.13%	0.20%	0.29%	0.53%	0.48%	0.73%	0.79%	1.06%	1.21%	1.39%	1.61%	1.72%	1.79%	2.16%	2.27%	2.74%	2.97%	3.52%	3.28%	3.23%	3.78%	3.99%	4.25%	4.51%	4.95%	4.63%	4.86%	4.59%	5.29%	5.33%	5.22%	5.52%	5.73%	5.20%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0.07%	0.09%	0.15%	0.27%	0.42%	0.50%	0.77%	0.94%	1.01%	1.09%	1.39%	1.64%	1.86%	1.99%	1.99%	2.51%	2.70%	2.76%	3.01%	3.22%	3.32%	3.66%	3.69%	3.89%	4.29%	4.61%	4.71%	5.27%	5.29%	5.43%	5.47%	5.82%	5.53%	5.38%	5.26%
Atlanta United II	0.03%	0.13%	0.20%	0.23%	0.37%	0.48%	0.64%	0.55%	0.77%	0.98%	1.18%	1.27%	1.48%	1.64%	2.07%	2.19%	2.21%	2.40%	3.11%	2.85%	3.30%	3.59%	3.69%	4.32%	4.84%	4.76%	4.77%	4.61%	5.68%	5.28%	5.67%	5.76%	5.85%	6.17%	6.93%
Memphis 901	0.02%	0.02%	0.09%	0.19%	0.31%	0.44%	0.58%	0.72%	0.83%	1.13%	1.13%	1.41%	1.42%	1.83%	1.97%	2.08%	2.57%	2.44%	2.83%	2.98%	3.54%	3.50%	3.98%	3.95%	4.04%	4.49%	4.91%	5.06%	5.48%	5.50%	5.37%	6.17%	6.22%	6.33%	6.47%
Rio Grande Valley FC	0.02%	0.06%	0.09%	0.13%	0.19%	0.35%	0.35%	0.40%	0.70%	0.83%	1.04%	1.20%	1.28%	1.51%	1.84%	1.98%	2.26%	2.45%	2.41%	3.08%	3.24%	3.54%	3.43%	3.92%	4.34%	4.99%	4.73%	5.28%	5.92%	5.91%	6.35%	6.34%	6.71%	6.74%	6.39%
Miami FC	0.02%	0.05%	0.14%	0.14%	0.31%	0.35%	0.44%	0.48%	0.78%	0.84%	0.87%	1.10%	1.40%	1.62%	1.49%	1.88%	2.14%	2.27%	2.83%	2.97%	2.86%	3.32%	3.94%	3.80%	4.14%	4.43%	4.49%	5.36%	5.46%	5.88%	5.93%	6.23%	7.04%	7.35%	7.65%
Sporting Kansas City 2	0.02%	0.06%	0.13%	0.21%	0.32%	0.40%	0.47%	0.55%	0.79%	0.77%	1.02%	1.17%	1.29%	1.48%	1.82%	2.02%	2.08%	2.12%	2.20%	2.86%	2.88%	3.06%	3.83%	3.88%	4.35%	4.45%	4.89%	4.99%	5.39%	5.85%	6.26%	6.63%	6.62%	7.08%	8.06%
Loudoun United	0.02%	0.07%	0.10%	0.17%	0.25%	0.22%	0.37%	0.51%	0.45%	0.77%	0.85%	1.12%	1.39%	1.55%	1.76%	1.62%	2.19%	2.54%	2.81%	2.93%	2.96%	3.30%	3.77%	4.10%	4.75%	4.23%	4.91%	5.01%	5.37%	5.90%	6.38%	6.59%	6.71%	6.89%	7.44%
Portland Timbers 2	0.04%	0.07%	0.13%	0.17%	0.15%	0.18%	0.29%	0.53%	0.49%	0.63%	1.06%	0.79%	1.20%	1.38%	1.38%	1.69%	2.06%	2.12%	2.32%	2.38%	3.22%	3.21%	3.49%	3.81%	4.13%	4.39%	4.96%	4.92%	5.62%	5.89%	6.14%	6.94%	7.80%	8.22%	8.20%
Philadelphia Union 2	—	0.01%	0.03%	0.03%	0.10%	0.04%	0.15%	0.18%	0.18%	0.27%	0.39%	0.63%	0.34%	0.69%	0.99%	1.13%	1.14%	1.22%	1.54%	2.00%	2.36%	2.32%	2.64%	3.09%	3.26%	4.04%	4.37%	4.92%	5.60%	6.38%	6.86%	7.86%	9.15%	11.23%	14.86%

Win Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed). Click a division in the legend to toggle it.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Across the 10,000 regular-season simulations, the probability that each team finished as each playoff seed (or missed the playoffs entirely). Rows sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed; teams that more often missed the playoffs sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	32.19%	20.90%	14.21%	9.80%	7.03%	5.05%	3.63%	2.44%	4.75%
Tampa Bay Rowdies	23.16%	18.80%	15.12%	11.35%	8.84%	6.51%	5.04%	3.56%	7.62%
Louisville City FC	13.09%	14.37%	13.65%	11.61%	10.09%	8.73%	7.54%	5.55%	15.37%
Charleston Battery	9.18%	12.00%	11.35%	11.64%	10.43%	9.65%	8.60%	6.53%	20.62%
Indy Eleven	6.62%	8.59%	10.14%	11.19%	10.16%	9.66%	8.73%	8.41%	26.50%
New York RB II	5.51%	7.45%	8.84%	9.89%	10.65%	9.82%	9.28%	8.31%	30.25%
Birmingham Legion	4.83%	6.91%	9.24%	10.30%	10.31%	10.26%	9.14%	8.15%	30.86%
North Carolina FC	3.07%	5.20%	6.85%	7.75%	8.82%	9.16%	8.76%	8.47%	41.92%
Hartford Athletic	0.91%	1.64%	2.53%	3.69%	5.32%	6.13%	7.61%	8.24%	63.93%
Charlotte Independence	0.48%	1.18%	2.28%	3.75%	4.64%	5.89%	6.85%	7.91%	67.02%
FC Tulsa	0.33%	0.82%	1.68%	2.84%	3.53%	4.83%	6.17%	7.13%	72.67%
Atlanta United II	0.23%	0.59%	0.95%	1.28%	2.11%	2.94%	3.61%	5.12%	83.17%
Loudoun United	0.12%	0.34%	0.57%	0.99%	1.71%	2.25%	3.51%	4.28%	86.23%
Sporting Kansas City 2	0.10%	0.31%	0.81%	1.16%	1.64%	2.48%	2.91%	4.42%	86.17%
Miami FC	0.10%	0.37%	0.72%	1.13%	1.75%	2.38%	3.18%	4.18%	86.19%
Memphis 901	0.06%	0.41%	0.93%	1.27%	2.23%	3.12%	3.84%	4.92%	83.22%
Philadelphia Union 2	0.02%	0.12%	0.13%	0.36%	0.74%	1.14%	1.60%	2.38%	93.51%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Phoenix Rising	32.11%	19.83%	13.06%	9.87%	6.68%	4.92%	3.83%	2.85%	6.85%
Reno 1868 FC	20.14%	16.71%	13.59%	10.67%	8.88%	7.50%	5.49%	4.30%	12.72%
San Antonio FC	15.10%	15.15%	13.25%	11.15%	9.58%	7.67%	6.31%	5.40%	16.39%
Sacramento Republic	9.75%	11.00%	10.87%	10.79%	9.44%	8.57%	7.89%	6.42%	25.27%
Real Monarchs SLC	4.92%	7.05%	8.46%	8.99%	9.19%	8.84%	8.03%	7.47%	37.05%
Orange County SC	4.69%	6.66%	7.98%	8.24%	8.67%	9.08%	8.67%	7.95%	38.06%
El Paso Locomotive	3.76%	6.44%	7.31%	8.16%	7.88%	7.91%	7.91%	7.72%	42.91%
Austin Bold	3.64%	5.22%	6.91%	7.58%	7.85%	7.87%	7.89%	8.28%	44.76%
Saint Louis FC	1.55%	2.77%	4.10%	5.29%	6.19%	7.12%	7.21%	7.71%	58.06%
Los Angeles Galaxy II	1.32%	2.62%	3.75%	4.63%	5.23%	6.18%	6.48%	6.68%	63.11%
New Mexico United	1.11%	2.36%	3.68%	4.37%	5.73%	6.44%	6.89%	7.32%	62.10%
OKC Energy FC	0.55%	1.49%	1.87%	2.89%	3.64%	4.31%	5.17%	6.10%	73.98%
Tacoma Defiance	0.36%	0.65%	1.24%	1.58%	2.21%	2.76%	3.50%	4.18%	83.52%
San Diego Loyal	0.30%	0.54%	1.10%	1.40%	2.28%	2.50%	3.56%	3.90%	84.42%
Las Vegas Lights FC	0.27%	0.51%	0.93%	1.42%	2.07%	2.59%	3.04%	4.15%	85.02%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0.18%	0.52%	0.87%	1.40%	2.00%	2.58%	3.39%	3.76%	85.30%
Portland Timbers 2	0.17%	0.26%	0.48%	0.72%	1.12%	1.48%	2.08%	2.78%	90.91%
Rio Grande Valley FC	0.08%	0.22%	0.55%	0.85%	1.36%	1.68%	2.66%	3.03%	89.57%

Points Required to Achieve Each Seed

Empirical cumulative distribution: for each seed in each division, the probability that a team holding that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability — day by day. Pick a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces every team's game-by-game Elo trajectory through their playoff run — teams eliminated early have short lines, deeper runs extend further right; click a team in the legend to isolate it. Net Elo Change summarizes the same data as one bar per team from first playoff game to last, sorted biggest gain to biggest loss.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

Across 10,000 simulations starting from preseason Elo, every team had a chance to make the playoffs based on how the regular-season Monte Carlo played out. The default view sums those simulations up: what fraction of them had each team making the playoffs, advancing each round, and winning the title. The round buttons switch to heatmaps showing how often every pair of teams faced off in each round across all sims.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Conference Semifinals	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to USL Championship	Won USL Championship
Phoenix Rising	93.15%	70.24%	48.82%	33.52%	20.37%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	95.25%	70.66%	48.08%	31.58%	18.76%
Louisville City FC	84.63%	55.75%	33.69%	19.16%	10.26%
Reno 1868 FC	87.28%	56.36%	33.66%	17.94%	9.49%
Tampa Bay Rowdies	92.38%	56.93%	31.57%	16.08%	8.08%
San Antonio FC	83.61%	48.76%	25.08%	12.11%	6.02%
Sacramento Republic	74.73%	40.25%	19.19%	8.65%	4.02%
Charleston Battery	79.38%	41.55%	19.58%	8.22%	3.53%
El Paso Locomotive	57.09%	29.83%	14.94%	7.02%	3.25%
Indy Eleven	73.50%	34.39%	14.90%	6.19%	2.11%
Orange County SC	61.94%	28.97%	12.05%	4.72%	2.05%
Birmingham Legion	69.14%	30.96%	12.66%	5.05%	1.97%
North Carolina FC	58.08%	25.42%	10.23%	3.81%	1.57%
New Mexico United	37.90%	16.90%	7.90%	3.52%	1.29%
Austin Bold	55.24%	23.27%	9.05%	3.23%	1.17%
Saint Louis FC	41.94%	17.01%	6.94%	2.58%	1.12%
New York RB II	69.75%	25.50%	8.62%	2.89%	1.00%
Hartford Athletic	36.07%	15.09%	6.51%	2.50%	0.77%
Real Monarchs SLC	62.95%	22.82%	7.73%	2.17%	0.70%
Los Angeles Galaxy II	36.89%	14.97%	5.66%	2.10%	0.63%
Charlotte Independence	32.98%	13.23%	5.13%	1.77%	0.56%
FC Tulsa	27.33%	9.60%	3.48%	1.12%	0.24%
San Diego Loyal	15.58%	5.71%	2.05%	0.66%	0.21%
OKC Energy FC	26.02%	6.48%	1.72%	0.40%	0.11%
Memphis 901	16.78%	4.24%	1.25%	0.37%	0.11%
Las Vegas Lights FC	14.98%	4.73%	1.55%	0.44%	0.10%
Sporting Kansas City 2	13.83%	4.34%	1.35%	0.47%	0.10%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	14.70%	3.63%	0.95%	0.24%	0.10%
Tacoma Defiance	16.48%	5.16%	1.32%	0.38%	0.08%
Loudoun United	13.77%	3.56%	0.91%	0.29%	0.07%
Rio Grande Valley FC	10.43%	2.79%	0.86%	0.22%	0.06%
Miami FC	13.81%	3.39%	0.86%	0.20%	0.04%
Atlanta United II	16.83%	4.23%	0.98%	0.26%	0.04%
Portland Timbers 2	9.09%	2.12%	0.53%	0.10%	0.02%
Philadelphia Union 2	6.49%	1.16%	0.20%	0.04%	—

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta United II	Birmingham Legion	Charleston Battery	Charlotte Independence	FC Tulsa	Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	Loudoun United	Louisville City FC	Memphis 901	Miami FC	New York RB II	North Carolina FC	Philadelphia Union 2	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Sporting Kansas City 2	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Atlanta United II		0.43%	0.24%	0.13%	0.10%	0.14%	0.41%	0.03%	0.36%	0.12%	0.01%	0.51%	0.47%		0.57%	0.03%	0.68%
Birmingham Legion	1.01%		3.79%	1.11%	1.44%	1.41%	3.15%	0.78%	2.74%	0.71%	0.73%	3.65%	2.88%	0.44%	2.56%	0.86%	3.70%
Charleston Battery	0.96%	4.51%		2.28%	1.96%	2.38%	4.29%	1.16%	3.59%	1.51%	0.87%	5.59%	3.43%	0.65%	2.51%	1.23%	4.63%
Charlotte Independence	0.22%	1.11%	1.52%		0.34%	0.52%	1.47%	0.18%	1.52%	0.18%	0.10%	1.49%	0.90%	0.09%	1.55%	0.19%	1.85%
FC Tulsa	0.22%	1.02%	1.05%	0.28%		0.38%	1.21%	0.08%	0.79%	0.21%	0.12%	1.11%	0.72%	0.05%	0.91%	0.12%	1.33%
Hartford Athletic	0.34%	1.74%	1.73%	0.65%	0.36%		1.48%	0.11%	1.55%	0.32%	0.23%	1.35%	1.34%	0.04%	1.65%	0.18%	2.02%
Indy Eleven	1.27%	3.95%	3.65%	1.74%	1.30%	1.73%		0.73%	3.27%	1.04%	0.99%	4.29%	3.24%	0.44%	2.52%	0.59%	3.64%
Loudoun United	0.06%	0.40%	0.37%	0.07%	0.10%	0.11%	0.45%		0.34%	0.03%	0.03%	0.36%	0.17%	0.01%	0.38%	0.09%	0.59%
Louisville City FC	1.93%	5.56%	5.70%	3.15%	2.82%	3.21%	6.95%	1.77%		1.96%	1.55%	6.19%	4.48%	0.85%	3.48%	1.27%	4.88%
Memphis 901	0.08%	0.34%	0.52%	0.07%	0.13%	0.14%	0.44%	0.08%	0.36%		0.09%	0.46%	0.14%	0.09%	0.54%	0.06%	0.70%
Miami FC	0.06%	0.38%	0.34%	0.07%	0.04%	0.09%	0.35%	0.05%	0.35%	0.08%		0.35%	0.24%	0.02%	0.51%	0.04%	0.42%
New York RB II	0.88%	2.72%	3.07%	1.45%	1.01%	1.06%	3.07%	0.58%	1.97%	0.94%	0.73%		2.39%	0.20%	1.92%	0.60%	2.91%
North Carolina FC	0.64%	2.75%	3.03%	1.01%	0.91%	1.24%	2.93%	0.43%	2.29%	0.31%	0.54%	3.40%		0.26%	2.23%	0.56%	2.89%
Philadelphia Union 2	0.01%	0.10%	0.20%	0.02%			0.12%	0.01%	0.11%	0.01%	0.03%	0.14%	0.10%		0.08%	0.01%	0.22%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2.80%	6.74%	6.42%	4.34%	3.86%	4.63%	6.85%	2.35%	5.18%	2.93%	2.60%	8.03%	6.38%	1.17%		1.98%	4.40%
Sporting Kansas City 2	0.07%	0.50%	0.42%	0.13%	0.07%	0.17%	0.30%	0.08%	0.36%	0.06%	0.06%	0.66%	0.33%	0.02%	0.52%		0.59%
Tampa Bay Rowdies	2.05%	5.93%	5.78%	3.25%	3.29%	3.77%	5.64%	1.79%	4.10%	2.13%	1.74%	6.67%	5.45%	1.00%	2.66%	1.68%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Austin Bold	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	El Paso Locomotive	Las Vegas Lights FC	Los Angeles Galaxy II	New Mexico United	OKC Energy FC	Orange County SC	Phoenix Rising	Portland Timbers 2	Real Monarchs SLC	Reno 1868 FC	Rio Grande Valley FC	Sacramento Republic	Saint Louis FC	San Antonio FC	San Diego Loyal	Tacoma Defiance
Austin Bold		0.62%	1.76%	0.53%	1.26%	1.01%	1.09%	2.24%	1.71%	0.41%	2.57%	2.36%	0.20%	2.13%	1.47%	2.85%	0.50%	0.56%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0.23%		0.15%	0.08%	0.17%	0.15%	0.13%	0.25%	0.38%	0.08%	0.32%	0.43%	0.04%	0.49%	0.19%	0.37%	0.10%	0.07%
El Paso Locomotive	2.42%	0.49%		0.86%	1.46%	1.27%	1.22%	2.78%	2.12%	0.51%	3.25%	3.19%	0.36%	3.06%	1.67%	3.55%	0.73%	0.89%
Las Vegas Lights FC	0.47%	0.07%	0.27%		0.14%	0.19%	0.21%	0.21%	0.39%	0.05%	0.52%	0.49%	0.05%	0.54%	0.26%	0.70%	0.03%	0.14%
Los Angeles Galaxy II	1.25%	0.37%	1.06%	0.21%		0.75%	0.74%	0.96%	1.24%	0.16%	1.71%	1.51%	0.29%	1.61%	0.68%	1.75%	0.32%	0.36%
New Mexico United	1.32%	0.20%	1.11%	0.33%	1.04%		0.63%	1.41%	1.47%	0.21%	1.40%	1.95%	0.18%	1.90%	0.92%	2.04%	0.25%	0.54%
OKC Energy FC	0.41%	0.13%	0.58%	0.13%	0.31%	0.18%		0.62%	0.57%	0.10%	0.97%	0.49%	0.01%	0.60%	0.37%	0.66%	0.12%	0.23%
Orange County SC	2.66%	0.80%	2.19%	0.44%	1.28%	1.52%	1.29%		2.42%	0.39%	3.07%	3.00%	0.58%	2.89%	1.88%	3.25%	0.40%	0.91%
Phoenix Rising	5.86%	2.64%	5.14%	2.23%	4.57%	4.48%	3.91%	6.39%		1.63%	6.65%	4.39%	1.98%	5.82%	5.29%	4.88%	2.07%	2.31%
Portland Timbers 2	0.16%	0.04%	0.15%		0.05%	0.09%	0.07%	0.25%	0.21%		0.27%	0.30%	0.03%	0.19%	0.05%	0.22%	0.04%
Real Monarchs SLC	2.00%	0.46%	1.86%	0.79%	1.51%	1.08%	1.14%	2.12%	1.54%	0.56%		1.91%	0.51%	2.28%	1.52%	2.22%	0.58%	0.74%
Reno 1868 FC	4.76%	1.88%	4.24%	1.50%	3.48%	3.93%	3.27%	4.84%	2.74%	0.88%	5.97%		1.25%	5.52%	3.86%	4.78%	1.67%	1.79%
Rio Grande Valley FC	0.16%	0.08%	0.17%	0.06%	0.10%	0.08%	0.07%	0.27%	0.26%	0.03%	0.34%	0.26%		0.31%	0.17%	0.29%	0.09%	0.05%
Sacramento Republic	3.38%	1.14%	3.04%	1.12%	2.46%	2.35%	1.94%	3.69%	2.66%	0.56%	4.69%	3.79%	0.97%		2.52%	3.93%	1.01%	1.00%
Saint Louis FC	1.37%	0.43%	1.20%	0.29%	0.87%	0.70%	0.68%	1.59%	1.52%	0.23%	1.87%	1.74%	0.31%	1.76%		1.89%	0.29%	0.27%
San Antonio FC	4.70%	1.48%	3.66%	1.54%	2.88%	2.80%	2.71%	4.38%	2.62%	1.09%	5.32%	3.90%	0.77%	4.41%	3.62%		1.54%	1.34%
San Diego Loyal	0.49%	0.13%	0.30%	0.05%	0.09%	0.23%	0.25%	0.49%	0.55%	0.05%	0.63%	0.66%	0.07%	0.51%	0.32%	0.77%		0.12%
Tacoma Defiance	0.33%	0.11%	0.38%	0.09%	0.25%	0.19%	0.19%	0.48%	0.51%	0.03%	0.58%	0.55%	0.04%	0.46%	0.14%	0.70%	0.13%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta United II	Birmingham Legion	Charleston Battery	Charlotte Independence	FC Tulsa	Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	Loudoun United	Louisville City FC	Memphis 901	Miami FC	New York RB II	North Carolina FC	Philadelphia Union 2	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Sporting Kansas City 2	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Atlanta United II		0.06%	0.14%	0.04%		0.07%	0.06%	0.01%	0.12%	0.01%	0.01%	0.13%	0.08%		0.12%	0.02%	0.11%
Birmingham Legion	0.18%		1.47%	0.50%	0.37%	0.63%	1.30%	0.19%	1.64%	0.12%	0.13%	1.13%	0.91%	0.07%	1.90%	0.20%	1.92%
Charleston Battery	0.28%	1.95%		0.73%	0.54%	0.96%	2.17%	0.27%	2.65%	0.30%	0.27%	1.67%	1.51%	0.09%	2.92%	0.26%	3.01%
Charlotte Independence	0.08%	0.43%	0.65%		0.18%	0.27%	0.54%	0.08%	0.59%	0.06%	0.04%	0.37%	0.34%	0.01%	0.73%	0.11%	0.65%
FC Tulsa	0.10%	0.25%	0.43%	0.18%		0.10%	0.35%	0.04%	0.44%	0.08%	0.08%	0.19%	0.24%	0.02%	0.49%	0.03%	0.46%
Hartford Athletic	0.10%	0.50%	0.68%	0.22%	0.19%		0.57%	0.07%	0.75%	0.13%	0.06%	0.51%	0.50%	0.04%	0.97%	0.16%	1.06%
Indy Eleven	0.39%	1.43%	1.91%	0.65%	0.50%	0.61%		0.14%	1.74%	0.16%	0.15%	1.46%	1.10%	0.11%	2.30%	0.19%	2.06%
Loudoun United	0.02%	0.14%	0.09%	0.03%	0.05%	0.02%	0.04%		0.13%	0.03%		0.09%	0.09%		0.05%		0.13%
Louisville City FC	0.59%	3.33%	4.15%	1.40%	0.78%	1.56%	3.35%	0.49%		0.45%	0.45%	2.87%	2.86%	0.15%	5.62%	0.42%	5.22%
Memphis 901	0.02%	0.10%	0.11%	0.01%	0.06%	0.11%	0.16%	0.04%	0.14%		0.03%	0.12%	0.12%		0.15%	0.01%	0.07%
Miami FC		0.09%	0.06%	0.03%	0.01%	0.01%	0.07%	0.04%	0.09%	0.01%		0.10%	0.09%		0.11%	0.02%	0.13%
New York RB II	0.18%	0.98%	0.93%	0.25%	0.36%	0.30%	0.93%	0.14%	1.03%	0.18%	0.15%		0.60%	0.01%	1.09%	0.16%	1.33%
North Carolina FC	0.20%	0.87%	1.17%	0.37%	0.34%	0.51%	0.90%	0.17%	1.15%	0.12%	0.20%	0.96%		0.08%	1.49%	0.17%	1.53%
Philadelphia Union 2	0.01%	0.03%	0.03%						0.03%	0.01%		0.02%			0.06%		0.01%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0.68%	4.65%	6.23%	2.16%	1.52%	1.88%	5.66%	0.55%	6.91%	0.76%	0.59%	4.21%	3.81%	0.26%		0.68%	7.53%
Sporting Kansas City 2	0.04%	0.11%	0.16%	0.05%	0.03%	0.03%	0.10%	0.03%	0.24%	0.03%	0.01%	0.10%	0.11%		0.17%		0.14%
Tampa Bay Rowdies	0.38%	3.38%	3.76%	1.48%	1.19%	1.52%	3.29%	0.39%	4.41%	0.54%	0.36%	2.95%	2.83%	0.12%	4.41%	0.56%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Austin Bold	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	El Paso Locomotive	Las Vegas Lights FC	Los Angeles Galaxy II	New Mexico United	OKC Energy FC	Orange County SC	Phoenix Rising	Portland Timbers 2	Real Monarchs SLC	Reno 1868 FC	Rio Grande Valley FC	Sacramento Republic	Saint Louis FC	San Antonio FC	San Diego Loyal	Tacoma Defiance
Austin Bold		0.12%	0.68%	0.14%	0.47%	0.50%	0.18%	0.70%	1.30%	0.08%	0.78%	1.28%	0.05%	0.81%	0.48%	1.07%	0.22%	0.19%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks	0.06%		0.06%	0.02%	0.03%	0.04%	0.01%	0.10%	0.13%		0.05%	0.15%	0.02%	0.11%	0.07%	0.09%		0.01%
El Paso Locomotive	1.03%	0.17%		0.20%	0.71%	0.49%	0.47%	1.39%	2.18%	0.16%	0.89%	2.12%	0.19%	1.85%	0.67%	1.77%	0.36%	0.29%
Las Vegas Lights FC	0.17%	0.03%	0.17%		0.11%	0.04%	0.01%	0.11%	0.14%	0.03%	0.16%	0.10%	0.01%	0.16%	0.03%	0.23%	0.02%	0.03%
Los Angeles Galaxy II	0.45%	0.09%	0.43%	0.04%		0.27%	0.17%	0.27%	0.75%	0.05%	0.38%	0.85%	0.06%	0.54%	0.28%	0.83%	0.06%	0.14%
New Mexico United	0.54%	0.09%	0.39%	0.14%	0.32%		0.19%	0.68%	1.09%	0.03%	0.60%	1.11%	0.11%	0.92%	0.35%	1.04%	0.10%	0.20%
OKC Energy FC	0.07%	0.01%	0.12%	0.02%	0.05%	0.09%		0.14%	0.34%	0.04%	0.11%	0.22%	0.01%	0.16%	0.07%	0.18%	0.03%	0.06%
Orange County SC	0.93%	0.12%	0.98%	0.19%	0.51%	0.44%	0.33%		1.68%	0.08%	1.14%	1.46%	0.12%	1.33%	0.70%	1.65%	0.21%	0.18%
Phoenix Rising	3.51%	0.70%	4.51%	0.67%	2.47%	2.38%	1.07%	4.69%		0.40%	3.93%	6.57%	0.41%	6.24%	2.67%	6.76%	0.88%	0.96%
Portland Timbers 2	0.05%	0.01%	0.04%		0.03%	0.05%	0.03%	0.02%	0.06%		0.04%	0.05%		0.01%	0.05%	0.07%	0.02%
Real Monarchs SLC	0.71%	0.14%	0.51%	0.18%	0.32%	0.25%	0.15%	0.57%	1.11%	0.03%		1.01%	0.04%	0.83%	0.44%	1.18%	0.11%	0.15%
Reno 1868 FC	2.62%	0.40%	2.72%	0.57%	1.60%	1.83%	0.95%	3.26%	4.90%	0.21%	2.70%		0.31%	4.12%	1.71%	4.61%	0.50%	0.65%
Rio Grande Valley FC	0.02%		0.04%	0.03%	0.05%		0.01%	0.06%	0.16%	0.01%	0.07%	0.11%		0.15%	0.04%	0.07%	0.03%	0.01%
Sacramento Republic	1.43%	0.27%	1.55%	0.35%	0.89%	0.77%	0.49%	1.71%	2.66%	0.16%	1.54%	2.41%	0.15%		1.16%	2.91%	0.40%	0.34%
Saint Louis FC	0.49%	0.14%	0.64%	0.10%	0.31%	0.37%	0.15%	0.56%	0.86%	0.06%	0.41%	1.04%	0.11%	0.56%		0.82%	0.10%	0.22%
San Antonio FC	1.88%	0.34%	1.79%	0.48%	1.24%	1.32%	0.45%	2.42%	3.64%	0.22%	1.91%	3.84%	0.32%	3.01%	1.25%		0.59%	0.38%
San Diego Loyal	0.11%	0.03%	0.15%	0.03%	0.13%	0.08%	0.08%	0.11%	0.25%	0.03%	0.29%	0.22%	0.01%	0.17%	0.06%	0.27%		0.03%
Tacoma Defiance	0.15%	0.02%	0.11%	0.02%	0.07%	0.08%	0.02%	0.13%	0.17%		0.09%	0.16%	0.01%	0.09%	0.04%	0.13%	0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta United II	Birmingham Legion	Charleston Battery	Charlotte Independence	FC Tulsa	Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	Loudoun United	Louisville City FC	Memphis 901	Miami FC	New York RB II	North Carolina FC	Philadelphia Union 2	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Sporting Kansas City 2	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Atlanta United II		0.02%	0.02%	0.03%	0.01%	0.02%	0.02%		0.03%			0.01%	0.03%		0.05%		0.02%
Birmingham Legion	0.04%		0.42%	0.18%	0.15%	0.29%	0.61%	0.03%	0.94%	0.06%	0.03%	0.32%	0.26%	0.02%	0.92%	0.03%	0.75%
Charleston Battery	0.06%	0.62%		0.19%	0.18%	0.30%	0.64%	0.04%	1.52%	0.06%	0.08%	0.50%	0.59%		2.04%	0.09%	1.31%
Charlotte Independence	0.02%	0.11%	0.21%		0.05%	0.09%	0.22%		0.32%		0.01%	0.07%	0.04%		0.39%		0.24%
FC Tulsa		0.08%	0.19%	0.05%		0.03%	0.10%		0.15%	0.01%		0.02%	0.03%		0.26%	0.01%	0.19%
Hartford Athletic	0.01%	0.20%	0.23%	0.06%	0.01%		0.21%	0.02%	0.39%		0.03%	0.07%	0.26%		0.61%	0.01%	0.39%
Indy Eleven	0.04%	0.52%	0.62%	0.25%	0.10%	0.29%		0.01%	0.94%	0.04%	0.05%	0.40%	0.45%	0.01%	1.45%	0.03%	0.99%
Loudoun United		0.02%	0.04%		0.01%		0.01%		0.05%				0.02%		0.07%	0.01%	0.06%
Louisville City FC	0.15%	1.53%	2.46%	0.69%	0.49%	0.84%	1.53%	0.12%		0.18%	0.12%	1.21%	1.21%	0.04%	4.79%	0.19%	3.61%
Memphis 901		0.02%	0.04%				0.03%	0.02%	0.07%			0.04%	0.02%		0.09%		0.04%
Miami FC		0.02%	0.02%	0.01%			0.01%		0.04%			0.01%	0.02%		0.05%		0.02%
New York RB II	0.02%	0.23%	0.35%	0.12%	0.05%	0.14%	0.22%		0.40%	0.03%	0.03%		0.16%	0.02%	0.62%		0.50%
North Carolina FC	0.02%	0.24%	0.42%	0.16%	0.10%	0.23%	0.32%	0.03%	0.51%	0.01%	0.01%	0.21%		0.02%	0.90%	0.03%	0.60%
Philadelphia Union 2				0.01%					0.01%			0.01%			0.01%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0.26%	2.71%	4.24%	1.07%	0.86%	1.22%	3.03%	0.27%	6.31%	0.29%	0.16%	1.81%	2.27%	0.02%		0.34%	6.72%
Sporting Kansas City 2		0.07%	0.07%	0.04%	0.01%		0.02%		0.04%		0.01%	0.04%	0.02%		0.10%		0.05%
Tampa Bay Rowdies	0.10%	1.22%	2.03%	0.50%	0.34%	0.56%	1.74%	0.08%	2.81%	0.20%	0.13%	1.01%	1.04%	0.03%	4.15%	0.14%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Austin Bold	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	El Paso Locomotive	Las Vegas Lights FC	Los Angeles Galaxy II	New Mexico United	OKC Energy FC	Orange County SC	Phoenix Rising	Portland Timbers 2	Real Monarchs SLC	Reno 1868 FC	Rio Grande Valley FC	Sacramento Republic	Saint Louis FC	San Antonio FC	San Diego Loyal	Tacoma Defiance
Austin Bold		0.05%	0.25%	0.04%	0.08%	0.14%	0.06%	0.23%	0.58%	0.05%	0.26%	0.49%		0.45%	0.13%	0.40%	0.01%	0.01%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks			0.01%	0.01%	0.01%	0.01%		0.03%	0.05%		0.03%		0.01%	0.04%		0.02%	0.01%	0.01%
El Paso Locomotive	0.45%	0.04%		0.07%	0.27%	0.28%	0.11%	0.47%	1.56%	0.03%	0.42%	1.18%	0.03%	0.74%	0.35%	0.95%	0.02%	0.05%
Las Vegas Lights FC	0.04%		0.07%		0.03%	0.02%			0.08%		0.02%	0.05%		0.06%	0.01%	0.04%	0.01%	0.01%
Los Angeles Galaxy II	0.12%	0.01%	0.13%	0.01%		0.12%	0.02%	0.16%	0.36%		0.13%	0.42%	0.01%	0.24%	0.07%	0.21%	0.05%	0.04%
New Mexico United	0.16%	0.04%	0.17%	0.04%	0.16%		0.06%	0.34%	0.82%	0.01%	0.13%	0.59%		0.42%	0.11%	0.38%	0.05%	0.04%
OKC Energy FC	0.04%		0.01%		0.02%	0.02%		0.02%	0.07%		0.04%	0.09%	0.01%	0.05%	0.01%	0.01%		0.01%
Orange County SC	0.28%	0.01%	0.45%	0.06%	0.11%	0.22%	0.08%		0.87%	0.01%	0.40%	0.86%	0.03%	0.41%	0.22%	0.62%	0.03%	0.06%
Phoenix Rising	2.07%	0.25%	3.15%	0.43%	1.14%	1.45%	0.36%	2.43%		0.14%	1.98%	7.36%	0.30%	4.33%	1.62%	5.70%	0.51%	0.30%
Portland Timbers 2	0.01%		0.03%		0.01%			0.01%	0.01%			0.01%				0.01%	0.01%
Real Monarchs SLC	0.15%	0.01%	0.13%	0.02%	0.07%	0.05%	0.04%	0.20%	0.51%	0.02%		0.36%	0.01%	0.19%	0.09%	0.26%	0.03%	0.03%
Reno 1868 FC	1.03%	0.17%	1.58%	0.18%	0.64%	0.84%	0.25%	1.49%	4.54%	0.08%	1.04%		0.11%	1.96%	0.87%	2.65%	0.33%	0.18%
Rio Grande Valley FC			0.01%			0.01%		0.02%	0.04%	0.02%	0.04%	0.04%		0.03%		0.01%
Sacramento Republic	0.59%	0.02%	0.68%	0.06%	0.37%	0.52%	0.08%	0.67%	2.04%	0.03%	0.45%	1.36%	0.08%		0.39%	1.18%	0.09%	0.04%
Saint Louis FC	0.08%	0.01%	0.26%	0.03%	0.13%	0.06%	0.06%	0.20%	0.67%		0.09%	0.34%	0.01%	0.23%		0.34%	0.04%	0.03%
San Antonio FC	0.69%	0.10%	0.94%	0.15%	0.48%	0.59%	0.17%	1.00%	2.90%	0.04%	0.50%	2.39%	0.04%	1.33%	0.47%		0.19%	0.13%
San Diego Loyal	0.07%		0.04%	0.01%	0.03%	0.04%	0.01%	0.05%	0.08%		0.01%	0.11%		0.05%	0.01%	0.15%
Tacoma Defiance	0.04%		0.01%		0.01%	0.01%	0.02%	0.01%	0.12%		0.02%	0.07%		0.01%	0.01%	0.04%	0.01%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta United II	Austin Bold	Birmingham Legion	Charleston Battery	Charlotte Independence	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	El Paso Locomotive	FC Tulsa	Hartford Athletic	Indy Eleven	Las Vegas Lights FC	Los Angeles Galaxy II	Loudoun United	Louisville City FC	Memphis 901	Miami FC	New Mexico United	New York RB II	North Carolina FC	OKC Energy FC	Orange County SC	Philadelphia Union 2	Phoenix Rising	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Portland Timbers 2	Real Monarchs SLC	Reno 1868 FC	Rio Grande Valley FC	Sacramento Republic	Saint Louis FC	San Antonio FC	San Diego Loyal	Sporting Kansas City 2	Tacoma Defiance	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Atlanta United II							0.01%										0.01%												0.01%		0.01%
Austin Bold	0.02%		0.11%	0.11%	0.05%			0.02%	0.04%	0.10%			0.01%	0.20%	0.01%			0.07%	0.05%					0.26%											0.12%
Birmingham Legion		0.12%					0.17%					0.10%					0.08%			0.02%	0.13%		0.43%			0.07%	0.33%		0.16%	0.09%	0.24%	0.02%		0.01%
Charleston Battery		0.16%					0.25%				0.03%	0.10%					0.15%			0.02%	0.18%		0.91%		0.01%	0.15%	0.64%	0.03%	0.34%	0.11%	0.37%	0.04%		0.04%
Charlotte Independence		0.02%					0.03%				0.01%	0.03%					0.03%			0.01%	0.01%		0.09%			0.01%	0.14%		0.05%	0.05%	0.08%
Colorado Springs Switchbacks			0.01%	0.01%						0.02%				0.02%										0.02%											0.02%
El Paso Locomotive	0.01%		0.18%	0.33%	0.14%			0.04%	0.12%	0.26%			0.02%	0.49%		0.01%		0.21%	0.13%					0.73%									0.03%		0.55%
FC Tulsa		0.02%					0.02%					0.01%					0.01%				0.02%		0.06%				0.04%		0.02%	0.01%	0.02%			0.01%
Hartford Athletic		0.05%					0.09%					0.05%					0.01%				0.04%		0.21%			0.03%	0.10%		0.09%	0.01%	0.07%	0.01%		0.01%
Indy Eleven		0.11%				0.01%	0.15%				0.04%	0.04%					0.07%			0.01%	0.11%		0.52%			0.01%	0.38%	0.02%	0.24%	0.10%	0.30%
Las Vegas Lights FC			0.02%						0.01%	0.01%				0.01%				0.01%	0.01%					0.02%											0.01%
Los Angeles Galaxy II	0.01%		0.02%	0.07%	0.02%			0.03%	0.01%	0.07%				0.05%	0.01%			0.01%	0.04%					0.16%											0.13%
Loudoun United																	0.01%						0.03%				0.03%
Louisville City FC		0.46%				0.02%	0.68%				0.09%	0.36%					0.44%			0.09%	0.62%		2.91%		0.03%	0.27%	1.78%	0.02%	0.88%	0.24%	1.29%	0.04%		0.04%
Memphis 901		0.01%									0.01%						0.01%				0.01%		0.03%				0.01%		0.01%		0.02%
Miami FC		0.01%																								0.01%					0.01%			0.01%
New Mexico United	0.01%		0.13%	0.11%	0.05%			0.04%	0.04%	0.09%			0.03%	0.20%	0.01%	0.01%		0.05%	0.06%					0.27%											0.19%
New York RB II		0.05%				0.01%	0.05%				0.01%	0.02%					0.02%			0.01%	0.06%		0.37%			0.03%	0.08%	0.02%	0.07%	0.06%	0.12%	0.01%		0.01%
North Carolina FC		0.07%					0.14%				0.01%	0.08%					0.11%			0.01%	0.07%		0.43%			0.03%	0.23%		0.15%	0.05%	0.16%	0.01%		0.02%
OKC Energy FC			0.01%	0.01%										0.03%				0.01%						0.03%											0.02%
Orange County SC	0.02%		0.09%	0.32%	0.05%				0.13%	0.16%			0.01%	0.29%	0.02%	0.03%		0.05%	0.04%					0.48%									0.01%		0.35%
Phoenix Rising	0.07%		1.09%	1.81%	0.43%			0.38%	0.62%	1.62%			0.06%	3.63%	0.07%	0.05%		0.67%	0.92%			0.03%		5.65%									0.17%		3.10%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds		0.66%				0.07%	1.49%				0.09%	0.44%					0.95%			0.09%	0.97%		4.98%		0.04%	0.57%	3.33%	0.05%	1.90%	0.54%	2.24%	0.24%		0.11%
Portland Timbers 2																		0.01%																	0.01%
Real Monarchs SLC	0.01%		0.05%	0.04%	0.02%				0.02%	0.07%				0.11%				0.01%	0.07%					0.18%									0.01%		0.11%
Reno 1868 FC	0.03%		0.62%	0.86%	0.19%			0.13%	0.33%	0.75%			0.01%	1.72%	0.07%	0.01%		0.34%	0.48%			0.01%		2.34%									0.07%		1.53%
Rio Grande Valley FC				0.01%														0.01%																	0.04%
Sacramento Republic	0.02%		0.24%	0.35%	0.06%			0.05%	0.12%	0.29%			0.02%	0.72%	0.06%	0.03%		0.16%	0.16%					0.95%									0.02%		0.77%
Saint Louis FC	0.01%		0.06%	0.14%	0.02%			0.01%	0.06%	0.07%				0.26%	0.01%	0.01%		0.04%	0.03%					0.24%									0.01%		0.15%
San Antonio FC	0.01%		0.43%	0.50%	0.17%			0.18%	0.23%	0.54%			0.06%	1.13%		0.01%		0.23%	0.23%					1.40%									0.04%		0.86%
San Diego Loyal				0.02%	0.01%					0.01%				0.02%				0.01%	0.02%					0.07%									0.01%		0.04%
Sporting Kansas City 2							0.02%														0.01%		0.03%			0.01%	0.02%		0.01%
Tacoma Defiance			0.02%							0.02%				0.02%										0.02%
Tampa Bay Rowdies		0.32%				0.03%	0.67%				0.05%	0.24%					0.33%			0.03%	0.44%		2.15%			0.28%	1.34%	0.02%	0.70%	0.20%	1.16%	0.08%		0.04%

Actual Bracket Simulation

With the actual playoff bracket fixed in place, this second simulation re-runs each matchup 10,000 times and tallies how often each team advanced past each round and won the title. The right-most column shows what actually happened. Round buttons switch to matchup heatmaps for that round.

Team	Advanced to Conference Semifinals	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to USL Championship	Won USL Championship	Actual Outcome
Phoenix Rising	79.28%	56.65%	35.84%	22.11%	Eliminated in Conference Finals
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	76.72%	56.89%	34.06%	19.46%	Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals
Louisville City FC	74.72%	46.92%	26.88%	13.76%	Won USL Championship
Reno 1868 FC	69.80%	42.01%	22.14%	12.20%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Tampa Bay Rowdies	61.08%	28.25%	12.72%	6.12%	Eliminated in Conference Finals
El Paso Locomotive	56.65%	27.00%	10.92%	4.83%	Eliminated in Conference Finals
San Antonio FC	60.18%	22.25%	11.02%	4.68%	Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals
Sacramento Republic	43.35%	19.97%	8.15%	3.53%	Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals
Charleston Battery	38.92%	16.04%	6.94%	2.69%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
New Mexico United	39.82%	13.44%	5.92%	2.20%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Birmingham Legion	42.56%	13.91%	4.86%	1.53%	Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals
Charlotte Independence	23.28%	10.17%	3.95%	1.43%	Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals
Saint Louis FC	30.20%	11.02%	3.34%	1.04%	Eliminated in USL Championship
Los Angeles Galaxy II	20.72%	7.66%	2.67%	0.95%	Eliminated in Conference Quarterfinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Birmingham Legion	Charleston Battery	Charlotte Independence	FC Tulsa	Hartford Athletic	Louisville City FC	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion					42.56%
Charleston Battery								38.92%
Charlotte Independence							23.28%
FC Tulsa						25.28%
Hartford Athletic	57.44%
Louisville City FC				74.72%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds			76.72%
Tampa Bay Rowdies		61.08%

Loser → ↓ Winner	El Paso Locomotive	Los Angeles Galaxy II	New Mexico United	Phoenix Rising	Reno 1868 FC	Sacramento Republic	Saint Louis FC	San Antonio FC
El Paso Locomotive						56.65%
Los Angeles Galaxy II				20.72%
New Mexico United								39.82%
Phoenix Rising		79.28%
Reno 1868 FC							69.80%
Sacramento Republic	43.35%
Saint Louis FC					30.20%
San Antonio FC			60.18%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Birmingham Legion	Charleston Battery	Charlotte Independence	FC Tulsa	Hartford Athletic	Louisville City FC	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion			5.65%				8.26%
Charleston Battery				6.28%		9.76%
Charlotte Independence	4.22%				5.95%
FC Tulsa		3.64%						5.15%
Hartford Athletic			7.46%				11.57%
Louisville City FC		19.24%						27.68%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	24.43%				32.46%
Tampa Bay Rowdies				10.21%		18.04%

Loser → ↓ Winner	El Paso Locomotive	Los Angeles Galaxy II	New Mexico United	Phoenix Rising	Reno 1868 FC	Sacramento Republic	Saint Louis FC	San Antonio FC
El Paso Locomotive					16.19%		10.81%
Los Angeles Galaxy II			2.78%					4.88%
New Mexico United		5.10%		8.34%
Phoenix Rising			23.60%					33.05%
Reno 1868 FC	23.36%					18.65%
Sacramento Republic					11.60%		8.37%
Saint Louis FC	6.29%					4.73%
San Antonio FC		7.96%		14.29%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Birmingham Legion	Charleston Battery	Charlotte Independence	FC Tulsa	Hartford Athletic	Louisville City FC	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion		0.78%		0.46%		2.21%		1.41%
Charleston Battery	1.38%		0.87%		1.67%		3.02%
Charlotte Independence		0.72%		0.64%		1.47%		1.12%
FC Tulsa	0.52%		0.36%		0.65%		1.09%
Hartford Athletic		1.50%		1.19%		3.02%		2.26%
Louisville City FC	4.49%		3.14%		5.92%		13.33%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds		6.10%		3.88%		13.34%		10.74%
Tampa Bay Rowdies	2.66%		1.85%		2.82%		5.39%

Loser → ↓ Winner	El Paso Locomotive	Los Angeles Galaxy II	New Mexico United	Phoenix Rising	Reno 1868 FC	Sacramento Republic	Saint Louis FC	San Antonio FC
El Paso Locomotive		1.47%	1.84%	4.64%				2.97%
Los Angeles Galaxy II	0.60%				0.93%	0.60%	0.54%
New Mexico United	1.69%				1.90%	1.29%	1.04%
Phoenix Rising	10.48%				13.22%	7.58%	4.56%
Reno 1868 FC		2.22%	3.32%	10.86%				5.74%
Sacramento Republic		0.93%	1.72%	3.73%				1.77%
Saint Louis FC		0.37%	0.64%	1.58%				0.75%
San Antonio FC	3.31%				3.82%	2.35%	1.54%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Birmingham Legion	Charleston Battery	Charlotte Independence	El Paso Locomotive	FC Tulsa	Hartford Athletic	Los Angeles Galaxy II	Louisville City FC	New Mexico United	Phoenix Rising	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	Reno 1868 FC	Sacramento Republic	Saint Louis FC	San Antonio FC	Tampa Bay Rowdies
Birmingham Legion				0.15%			0.08%		0.09%	0.48%		0.34%	0.09%	0.08%	0.22%
Charleston Battery				0.34%			0.09%		0.26%	0.79%		0.58%	0.24%	0.15%	0.24%
Charlotte Independence				0.22%			0.04%		0.18%	0.37%		0.21%	0.12%	0.07%	0.22%
El Paso Locomotive	0.31%	0.39%	0.32%		0.20%	0.55%		1.14%			1.37%					0.55%
FC Tulsa				0.12%			0.03%		0.11%	0.17%		0.12%	0.08%	0.04%	0.12%
Hartford Athletic				0.30%			0.11%		0.22%	0.68%		0.52%	0.26%	0.16%	0.43%
Los Angeles Galaxy II	0.05%	0.11%	0.04%		0.06%	0.12%		0.20%			0.28%					0.09%
Louisville City FC				1.76%			0.50%		1.06%	3.98%		2.69%	1.38%	0.59%	1.80%
New Mexico United	0.09%	0.18%	0.11%		0.08%	0.36%		0.64%			0.40%					0.34%
Phoenix Rising	1.45%	1.85%	0.98%		0.65%	2.23%		5.55%			6.42%					2.98%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds				2.44%			0.63%		1.31%	5.48%		4.21%	1.92%	0.83%	2.64%
Reno 1868 FC	0.73%	0.90%	0.65%		0.41%	1.14%		3.43%			3.52%					1.42%
Sacramento Republic	0.32%	0.26%	0.15%		0.11%	0.34%		0.88%			1.03%					0.44%
Saint Louis FC	0.09%	0.11%	0.06%		0.10%	0.10%		0.25%			0.26%					0.07%
San Antonio FC	0.29%	0.45%	0.21%		0.22%	0.45%		1.03%			1.32%					0.71%
Tampa Bay Rowdies				0.76%			0.24%		0.49%	1.78%		1.27%	0.53%	0.38%	0.67%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, the opponent they most often faced and defeated at each round across all bracket simulations. Each step shows two numbers: Matchup % is the fraction of this team's wins in this round that came against this opponent; Win % is the head-to-head probability they beat this opponent when the two meet. Note: fixed early-round matchups against bracket-determined opponents will show 100% Matchup — that's because those pairings are decided by the bracket.

Phoenix Rising 22.11% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Los Angeles Galaxy II

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

79.28%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. San Antonio FC

Matchup

58.34%

Win Prob

69.81%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Reno 1868 FC

Matchup

36.89%

Win Prob

54.90%

→

USL Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

29.04%

Win Prob

53.95%

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 19.46% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Charlotte Independence

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

76.72%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Hartford Athletic

Matchup

57.06%

Win Prob

73.72%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Louisville City FC

Matchup

39.17%

Win Prob

50.02%

→

USL Championship

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

28.16%

Win Prob

46.05%

Louisville City FC 13.76% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. FC Tulsa

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

74.72%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies

Matchup

58.99%

Win Prob

60.54%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

49.59%

Win Prob

49.98%

→

USL Championship

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

28.92%

Win Prob

41.76%

Reno 1868 FC 12.20% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Saint Louis FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

69.80%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. El Paso Locomotive

Matchup

55.61%

Win Prob

59.06%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

49.05%

Win Prob

45.10%

→

USL Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

28.85%

Win Prob

45.54%

Tampa Bay Rowdies 6.12% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Charleston Battery

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

61.08%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Louisville City FC

Matchup

63.86%

Win Prob

39.46%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

42.37%

Win Prob

33.42%

→

USL Championship

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

29.08%

Win Prob

37.39%

El Paso Locomotive 4.83% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Sacramento Republic

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

56.65%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Reno 1868 FC

Matchup

59.96%

Win Prob

40.94%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

42.49%

Win Prob

30.69%

→

USL Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

28.36%

Win Prob

35.96%

San Antonio FC 4.68% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. New Mexico United

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

60.18%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

64.22%

Win Prob

30.19%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Reno 1868 FC

Matchup

34.66%

Win Prob

39.96%

→

USL Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

28.21%

Win Prob

33.33%

Sacramento Republic 3.53% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. El Paso Locomotive

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

43.35%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Reno 1868 FC

Matchup

58.09%

Win Prob

38.35%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

45.77%

Win Prob

32.98%

→

USL Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

29.18%

Win Prob

34.92%

Charleston Battery 2.69% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.92%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Louisville City FC

Matchup

60.85%

Win Prob

33.66%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

43.52%

Win Prob

33.11%

→

USL Championship

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

29.37%

Win Prob

29.92%

Hartford Athletic 2.68% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Birmingham Legion

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

57.44%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

60.80%

Win Prob

26.28%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Louisville City FC

Matchup

37.89%

Win Prob

33.78%

→

USL Championship

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

25.37%

Win Prob

23.37%

New Mexico United 2.20% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. San Antonio FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

39.82%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

62.05%

Win Prob

26.11%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Reno 1868 FC

Matchup

32.09%

Win Prob

36.40%

→

USL Championship

vs. Louisville City FC

Matchup

29.09%

Win Prob

37.65%

Birmingham Legion 1.53% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Hartford Athletic

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.56%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

59.38%

Win Prob

25.27%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Louisville City FC

Matchup

45.47%

Win Prob

32.99%

→

USL Championship

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

31.37%

Win Prob

24.87%

Charlotte Independence 1.43% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

23.28%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Hartford Athletic

Matchup

58.51%

Win Prob

44.37%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Louisville City FC

Matchup

37.22%

Win Prob

31.89%

→

USL Championship

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

25.87%

Win Prob

27.41%

Saint Louis FC 1.04% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Reno 1868 FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

30.20%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. El Paso Locomotive

Matchup

57.08%

Win Prob

36.78%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

47.31%

Win Prob

25.73%

→

USL Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

25.00%

Win Prob

23.85%

Los Angeles Galaxy II 0.95% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

20.72%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. San Antonio FC

Matchup

63.71%

Win Prob

38.01%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Reno 1868 FC

Matchup

34.83%

Win Prob

29.52%

→

USL Championship

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

29.47%

Win Prob

30.77%

FC Tulsa 0.79% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Louisville City FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

25.28%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Tampa Bay Rowdies

Matchup

58.59%

Win Prob

33.53%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Matchup

41.60%

Win Prob

21.93%

→

USL Championship

vs. Phoenix Rising

Matchup

21.52%

Win Prob

20.73%

Regular Season Games

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Pick a team from the dropdown — it filters every table on this tab. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2020-03-08	Charleston Battery	L 0-1	1429.80	1514.60	30.36%	25.73%	43.91%	-6.92	0
2020-07-12	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 1-2	1422.88	1556.65	18.77%	21.67%	59.56%	-4.15	0
2020-07-19	Memphis 901	T 2-2	1418.73	1436.96	39.42%	26.09%	34.49%	-0.16	1
2020-07-25	@ Charleston Battery	L 0-3	1418.57	1512.34	21.96%	23.43%	54.60%	-14.19	1
2020-07-30	Miami FC	W 4-3	1404.38	1436.44	37.44%	26.14%	36.42%	+6.95	4
2020-08-06	Charleston Battery	T 1-1	1411.33	1514.32	28.20%	25.38%	46.42%	+0.80	5
2020-08-09	@ Birmingham Legion	L 0-1	1412.13	1503.01	22.22%	23.55%	54.24%	-5.24	5
2020-08-13	Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-2	1406.89	1587.49	20.65%	22.79%	56.56%	-9.19	5
2020-08-16	@ Charleston Battery	L 2-3	1397.70	1513.42	20.14%	22.51%	57.35%	-4.24	5
2020-08-20	@ Miami FC	T 2-2	1393.46	1416.34	29.23%	25.56%	45.20%	+0.52	6
2020-08-23	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 1-2	1393.98	1594.36	14.54%	18.16%	67.30%	-3.11	6
2020-09-03	@ Philadelphia Union 2	W 2-1	1390.87	1398.84	31.05%	25.82%	43.13%	+8.54	9
2020-09-13	Miami FC	L 1-2	1399.41	1407.41	40.88%	26.01%	33.11%	-8.19	9
2020-09-17	Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 1-2	1391.22	1596.97	18.71%	21.64%	59.65%	-4.14	9
2020-09-24	New York RB II	W 5-3	1387.08	1509.26	26.09%	24.89%	49.02%	+13.81	12
2020-10-05	@ Miami FC	L 1-3	1400.89	1392.50	33.16%	26.02%	40.82%	-12.11	12
2020-03-08	New Mexico United	W 1-0	1493.96	1487.63	42.90%	25.84%	31.25%	+7.08	3
2020-07-18	OKC Energy FC	L 1-3	1501.04	1472.98	45.92%	25.46%	28.62%	-15.52	3
2020-08-02	San Antonio FC	L 2-4	1485.52	1531.22	35.50%	26.13%	38.37%	-11.41	3
2020-08-09	Rio Grande Valley FC	W 4-1	1474.11	1449.03	45.51%	25.52%	28.97%	+15.37	6
2020-08-16	@ San Antonio FC	T 1-1	1489.48	1561.22	23.99%	24.25%	51.77%	+1.24	7
2020-08-20	@ FC Tulsa	T 2-2	1490.72	1471.15	34.67%	26.10%	39.23%	+0.14	8
2020-08-23	@ Rio Grande Valley FC	W 3-2	1490.86	1434.29	39.93%	26.07%	34.00%	+6.77	11
2020-08-27	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	T 4-4	1497.63	1423.20	42.46%	25.89%	31.66%	-0.25	12
2020-08-30	@ OKC Energy FC	T 1-1	1497.38	1408.61	44.46%	25.66%	29.87%	-0.63	13
2020-09-06	FC Tulsa	T 1-1	1496.75	1459.48	47.17%	25.25%	27.58%	-0.86	14
2020-09-09	FC Tulsa	T 2-2	1495.89	1460.34	46.94%	25.29%	27.77%	-0.63	15
2020-09-17	@ San Antonio FC	L 2-3	1495.26	1589.96	21.88%	23.40%	54.72%	-4.62	15
2020-09-23	Sporting Kansas City 2	W 4-0	1490.64	1457.05	46.67%	25.34%	27.99%	+23.13	18
2020-09-27	@ OKC Energy FC	T 0-0	1513.77	1404.23	47.31%	25.23%	27.46%	-0.97	19
2020-10-01	@ Rio Grande Valley FC	L 0-2	1512.80	1409.58	46.45%	25.37%	28.18%	-18.09	19
2020-10-04	San Antonio FC	W 2-1	1494.71	1590.85	29.00%	25.52%	45.48%	+8.89	22
2020-07-16	Memphis 901	W 3-0	1463.88	1456.27	43.08%	25.83%	31.09%	+19.31	3
2020-07-20	@ Charleston Battery	W 2-1	1483.19	1521.51	27.46%	25.22%	47.32%	+9.18	6
2020-07-26	Tampa Bay Rowdies	T 1-1	1492.37	1560.21	32.50%	25.97%	41.53%	+0.38	7
2020-08-02	@ North Carolina FC	L 0-1	1492.75	1529.29	27.66%	25.27%	47.08%	-6.40	7
2020-08-06	Charlotte Independence	W 4-1	1486.35	1485.77	42.09%	25.92%	31.99%	+16.66	10
2020-08-09	Atlanta United II	W 1-0	1503.01	1412.13	54.24%	23.55%	22.22%	+5.23	13
2020-08-13	@ Charlotte Independence	T 1-1	1508.24	1469.23	37.42%	26.14%	36.44%	-0.04	14
2020-08-16	@ North Carolina FC	W 2-0	1508.20	1542.51	27.91%	25.32%	46.77%	+18.19	17
2020-08-23	Memphis 901	T 2-2	1526.39	1433.92	54.44%	23.48%	22.08%	-1.09	18
2020-08-30	@ Charlotte Independence	W 4-1	1525.30	1475.00	39.03%	26.11%	34.86%	+17.80	21
2020-09-03	North Carolina FC	L 1-2	1543.10	1491.64	49.09%	24.88%	26.03%	-9.45	21
2020-09-06	@ Memphis 901	T 1-1	1533.65	1419.25	47.97%	25.10%	26.93%	-0.93	22
2020-09-13	Charlotte Independence	L 1-3	1532.72	1485.82	48.48%	25.00%	26.52%	-16.20	22
2020-09-17	@ Miami FC	W 4-0	1516.52	1415.60	46.14%	25.42%	28.44%	+23.44	25
2020-09-27	North Carolina FC	L 1-2	1539.96	1475.67	50.79%	24.49%	24.72%	-9.71	25
2020-10-04	@ Memphis 901	L 1-3	1530.25	1416.61	47.87%	25.12%	27.01%	-16.04	25
2020-03-08	@ Atlanta United II	W 1-0	1514.60	1429.80	43.91%	25.73%	30.36%	+6.91	3
2020-07-20	Birmingham Legion	L 1-2	1521.51	1483.19	47.32%	25.22%	27.46%	-9.17	3
2020-07-25	Atlanta United II	W 3-0	1512.34	1418.57	54.60%	23.43%	21.96%	+14.19	6
2020-08-01	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-2	1526.53	1559.83	28.02%	25.34%	46.63%	-12.21	6
2020-08-06	@ Atlanta United II	T 1-1	1514.32	1411.33	46.42%	25.38%	28.20%	-0.79	7
2020-08-09	@ Charlotte Independence	T 1-1	1513.53	1469.12	38.19%	26.13%	35.68%	-0.11	8
2020-08-16	Atlanta United II	W 3-2	1513.42	1397.70	57.35%	22.51%	20.14%	+4.25	11
2020-08-20	@ North Carolina FC	W 3-0	1517.67	1524.32	31.21%	25.84%	42.95%	+24.71	14
2020-08-27	Miami FC	W 3-1	1542.38	1423.93	57.69%	22.39%	19.92%	+7.66	17
2020-08-30	Tampa Bay Rowdies	W 1-0	1550.04	1597.47	35.26%	26.12%	38.62%	+8.32	20
2020-09-06	@ Miami FC	T 1-1	1558.36	1406.06	52.97%	23.92%	23.11%	-1.34	21
2020-09-12	Tampa Bay Rowdies	W 1-0	1557.02	1605.31	35.14%	26.12%	38.75%	+8.34	24
2020-09-20	Miami FC	W 2-0	1565.36	1392.15	64.22%	19.66%	16.12%	+7.01	27
2020-09-27	Loudoun United	L 1-3	1572.37	1392.76	64.95%	19.31%	15.73%	-20.38	27
2020-10-01	@ Miami FC	L 3-4	1551.99	1382.91	55.12%	23.27%	21.61%	-9.59	27
2020-10-04	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	W 2-1	1542.40	1605.36	24.85%	24.53%	50.62%	+9.68	30
2020-03-08	@ Sporting Kansas City 2	W 2-1	1477.85	1462.99	34.03%	26.07%	39.90%	+8.04	3
2020-07-26	@ Memphis 901	T 2-2	1485.89	1437.12	38.82%	26.11%	35.07%	-0.12	4
2020-08-06	@ Birmingham Legion	L 1-4	1485.77	1486.35	31.99%	25.92%	42.09%	-16.65	4
2020-08-09	Charleston Battery	T 1-1	1469.12	1513.53	35.68%	26.13%	38.19%	+0.11	5
2020-08-13	Birmingham Legion	T 1-1	1469.23	1508.24	36.44%	26.14%	37.42%	+0.04	6
2020-08-16	Memphis 901	W 3-2	1469.27	1439.78	46.11%	25.43%	28.46%	+5.86	9
2020-08-24	@ Miami FC	L 1-2	1475.13	1415.83	40.32%	26.05%	33.63%	-8.10	9
2020-08-27	North Carolina FC	W 1-0	1467.03	1499.62	37.37%	26.14%	36.49%	+7.97	12
2020-08-30	Birmingham Legion	L 1-4	1475.00	1525.30	34.86%	26.11%	39.03%	-17.80	12
2020-09-03	@ Memphis 901	W 2-0	1457.20	1435.01	35.03%	26.11%	38.86%	+15.76	15
2020-09-06	North Carolina FC	W 3-1	1472.96	1501.09	38.01%	26.13%	35.86%	+12.86	18
2020-09-13	@ Birmingham Legion	W 3-1	1485.82	1532.72	26.52%	25.00%	48.48%	+16.20	21
2020-09-20	@ North Carolina FC	W 1-0	1502.02	1484.42	34.40%	26.09%	39.51%	+8.47	24
2020-09-24	Miami FC	T 0-0	1510.49	1385.14	58.54%	22.07%	19.39%	-2.01	25
2020-03-08	@ OKC Energy FC	W 2-1	1441.56	1483.02	27.11%	25.15%	47.74%	+9.25	3
2020-07-12	New Mexico United	L 1-2	1450.81	1480.55	37.77%	26.14%	36.09%	-7.72	3
2020-07-18	@ Real Monarchs SLC	T 3-3	1443.09	1542.64	21.47%	23.20%	55.33%	+0.96	4
2020-08-02	Real Monarchs SLC	L 1-2	1444.05	1541.68	28.82%	25.49%	45.68%	-6.25	4
2020-08-09	@ El Paso Locomotive	L 2-4	1437.80	1503.62	24.57%	24.44%	50.99%	-8.41	4
2020-08-15	New Mexico United	L 0-1	1429.39	1509.06	30.99%	25.81%	43.19%	-7.04	4
2020-08-23	El Paso Locomotive	T 0-0	1422.35	1521.72	28.62%	25.46%	45.92%	+0.85	5
2020-08-27	Austin Bold	T 4-4	1423.20	1497.63	31.66%	25.89%	42.46%	+0.25	6
2020-08-30	New Mexico United	T 1-1	1423.45	1549.91	25.64%	24.77%	49.59%	+1.06	7
2020-09-06	OKC Energy FC	T 0-0	1424.51	1409.24	44.15%	25.70%	30.15%	-0.68	8
2020-09-10	@ Real Monarchs SLC	L 1-4	1423.83	1504.16	23.17%	23.94%	52.88%	-12.60	8
2020-09-17	@ El Paso Locomotive	L 1-2	1411.23	1543.87	18.85%	21.73%	59.43%	-4.17	8
2020-09-19	@ New Mexico United	W 2-1	1407.06	1553.09	17.90%	21.07%	61.03%	+11.22	11
2020-09-27	Real Monarchs SLC	T 1-1	1418.28	1487.48	32.33%	25.95%	41.72%	+0.40	12
2020-10-01	El Paso Locomotive	T 0-0	1418.68	1554.36	24.70%	24.49%	50.81%	+1.31	13
2020-10-04	@ FC Tulsa	L 0-2	1419.99	1475.54	25.61%	24.76%	49.63%	-11.28	13
2020-03-07	@ Orange County SC	T 0-0	1513.95	1540.92	28.75%	25.48%	45.77%	+0.83	1
2020-07-12	Rio Grande Valley FC	W 1-0	1514.78	1468.71	48.36%	25.03%	26.61%	+6.19	4
2020-07-16	New Mexico United	T 2-2	1520.97	1488.26	46.55%	25.36%	28.09%	-0.61	5
2020-07-25	New Mexico United	L 1-2	1520.36	1488.87	46.39%	25.38%	28.23%	-9.03	5
2020-08-02	@ Phoenix Rising	L 1-3	1511.33	1628.47	20.03%	22.44%	57.53%	-7.71	5
2020-08-09	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	W 4-2	1503.62	1437.80	50.99%	24.44%	24.57%	+8.42	8
2020-08-16	@ Real Monarchs SLC	W 1-0	1512.04	1547.93	27.73%	25.28%	46.99%	+9.68	11
2020-08-23	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	T 0-0	1521.72	1422.35	45.92%	25.46%	28.62%	-0.84	12
2020-08-30	Real Monarchs SLC	W 2-1	1520.88	1504.42	44.31%	25.68%	30.00%	+6.45	15
2020-09-06	@ New Mexico United	W 3-2	1527.33	1548.85	29.39%	25.59%	45.02%	+8.37	18
2020-09-13	San Antonio FC	W 2-1	1535.70	1598.13	33.22%	26.02%	40.76%	+8.17	21
2020-09-17	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	W 2-1	1543.87	1411.23	59.43%	21.73%	18.85%	+4.18	24
2020-09-20	Real Monarchs SLC	W 1-0	1548.05	1493.48	49.50%	24.79%	25.71%	+6.00	27
2020-09-27	@ New Mexico United	T 0-0	1554.05	1541.86	33.67%	26.05%	40.28%	+0.31	28
2020-10-01	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	T 0-0	1554.36	1418.68	50.81%	24.49%	24.70%	-1.30	29
2020-10-04	@ Real Monarchs SLC	W 4-0	1553.06	1479.47	42.34%	25.90%	31.76%	+25.66	32
2020-03-08	@ Sacramento Republic	T 1-1	1439.88	1526.22	22.62%	23.72%	53.66%	+1.41	1
2020-07-14	@ OKC Energy FC	T 1-1	1441.29	1473.78	28.11%	25.36%	46.52%	+0.80	2
2020-08-02	@ Rio Grande Valley FC	W 2-1	1442.09	1457.73	30.10%	25.70%	44.20%	+8.70	5
2020-08-09	@ Saint Louis FC	W 2-0	1450.79	1520.03	24.23%	24.33%	51.44%	+19.62	8
2020-08-13	San Antonio FC	T 0-0	1470.41	1561.96	29.54%	25.61%	44.85%	+0.74	9
2020-08-20	Austin Bold	T 2-2	1471.15	1490.72	39.23%	26.10%	34.67%	-0.15	10
2020-08-23	@ San Antonio FC	L 0-2	1471.00	1576.96	20.93%	22.93%	56.14%	-9.31	10
2020-08-30	Sporting Kansas City 2	L 1-2	1461.69	1465.02	41.54%	25.97%	32.49%	-8.29	10
2020-09-03	Rio Grande Valley FC	W 2-1	1453.40	1418.85	46.80%	25.31%	27.88%	+6.08	13
2020-09-06	@ Austin Bold	T 1-1	1459.48	1496.75	27.58%	25.25%	47.17%	+0.86	14
2020-09-09	@ Austin Bold	T 2-2	1460.34	1495.89	27.77%	25.29%	46.94%	+0.62	15
2020-09-13	OKC Energy FC	T 1-1	1460.96	1409.91	49.03%	24.89%	26.08%	-1.01	16
2020-09-27	San Antonio FC	W 1-0	1459.95	1601.27	24.15%	24.30%	51.55%	+10.42	19
2020-10-01	OKC Energy FC	W 3-2	1470.37	1405.21	50.91%	24.46%	24.63%	+5.17	22
2020-10-04	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	W 2-0	1475.54	1419.99	49.63%	24.76%	25.61%	+11.28	25
2020-07-18	@ New York RB II	W 1-0	1455.18	1527.99	23.88%	24.21%	51.91%	+10.48	3
2020-07-21	Loudoun United	W 3-1	1465.66	1489.37	38.64%	26.12%	35.24%	+12.69	6
2020-07-26	Philadelphia Union 2	W 3-2	1478.35	1405.81	51.87%	24.22%	23.91%	+5.03	9
2020-07-30	@ Indy Eleven	L 1-4	1483.38	1570.53	22.55%	23.69%	53.76%	-12.28	9
2020-08-03	Loudoun United	W 4-1	1471.10	1476.68	41.22%	25.99%	32.79%	+16.98	12
2020-08-16	New York RB II	W 2-1	1488.08	1514.21	38.29%	26.13%	35.58%	+7.38	15
2020-08-24	Loudoun United	T 2-2	1495.46	1449.20	48.39%	25.02%	26.59%	-0.72	16
2020-08-29	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 0-3	1494.74	1629.42	24.80%	24.52%	50.68%	-15.92	16
2020-09-06	Loudoun United	W 2-1	1478.82	1434.23	48.17%	25.07%	26.77%	+5.87	19
2020-09-13	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 0-5	1484.69	1669.85	15.40%	19.01%	65.59%	-15.55	19
2020-09-17	New York RB II	W 3-1	1469.14	1523.09	34.36%	26.09%	39.56%	+13.83	22
2020-09-20	Philadelphia Union 2	W 3-0	1482.97	1391.85	54.27%	23.54%	22.20%	+14.34	25
2020-09-27	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	W 1-0	1497.31	1688.42	15.06%	18.68%	66.26%	+12.66	28
2020-10-01	@ Philadelphia Union 2	W 3-2	1509.97	1373.46	50.92%	24.46%	24.62%	+5.16	31
2020-10-05	@ New York RB II	W 2-0	1515.13	1474.32	37.67%	26.14%	36.19%	+14.95	34
2020-03-08	@ Memphis 901	W 4-2	1541.52	1466.70	42.51%	25.88%	31.61%	+10.44	3
2020-07-12	Saint Louis FC	W 2-0	1551.96	1524.27	45.87%	25.47%	28.67%	+12.43	6
2020-07-19	Sporting Kansas City 2	W 2-1	1564.39	1454.95	56.58%	22.78%	20.64%	+4.60	9
2020-07-22	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	W 1-0	1568.99	1623.79	25.68%	24.78%	49.53%	+10.09	12
2020-07-26	@ Saint Louis FC	L 0-1	1579.08	1521.89	40.02%	26.06%	33.92%	-8.55	12
2020-07-30	Hartford Athletic	W 4-1	1570.53	1483.38	53.76%	23.69%	22.55%	+12.28	15
2020-08-02	Sporting Kansas City 2	L 0-1	1582.81	1456.07	58.71%	22.00%	19.29%	-11.55	15
2020-08-09	@ Louisville City FC	T 1-1	1571.26	1549.31	35.00%	26.11%	38.89%	+0.16	16
2020-08-16	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	W 1-0	1571.42	1629.39	33.81%	26.06%	40.13%	+8.56	19
2020-08-27	@ Louisville City FC	L 0-1	1579.98	1571.07	33.23%	26.02%	40.75%	-7.43	19
2020-09-06	Louisville City FC	L 1-3	1572.55	1578.13	41.22%	25.99%	32.79%	-14.27	19
2020-09-10	Sporting Kansas City 2	W 2-1	1558.28	1467.64	54.21%	23.56%	22.24%	+4.94	22
2020-09-17	Louisville City FC	L 0-2	1563.22	1607.71	35.67%	26.13%	38.20%	-14.78	22
2020-09-24	Saint Louis FC	T 1-1	1548.44	1508.71	47.51%	25.19%	27.30%	-0.89	23
2020-10-01	Sporting Kansas City 2	L 1-2	1547.55	1433.92	57.10%	22.60%	20.30%	-10.66	23
2020-10-04	@ Saint Louis FC	L 1-2	1536.89	1503.48	36.61%	26.14%	37.25%	-7.54	23
2020-03-08	@ San Diego Loyal	T 1-1	1470.43	1450.00	34.79%	26.10%	39.11%	+0.18	1
2020-07-26	@ San Diego Loyal	L 1-2	1470.61	1460.78	33.35%	26.03%	40.62%	-7.03	1
2020-08-02	Reno 1868 FC	L 0-1	1463.58	1567.71	28.07%	25.35%	46.57%	-6.48	1
2020-08-16	@ Orange County SC	L 0-1	1457.10	1563.45	20.90%	22.92%	56.19%	-4.93	1
2020-08-20	Tacoma Defiance	W 3-1	1452.17	1464.42	40.28%	26.05%	33.67%	+12.26	4
2020-08-23	Phoenix Rising	T 3-3	1464.43	1668.64	18.83%	21.71%	59.46%	+1.16	5
2020-08-26	Orange County SC	W 3-1	1465.59	1575.46	27.43%	25.22%	47.36%	+15.91	8
2020-08-30	@ Los Angeles Galaxy II	L 3-4	1481.50	1508.26	28.78%	25.49%	45.74%	-5.78	8
2020-09-03	San Diego Loyal	T 1-1	1475.72	1440.77	46.86%	25.31%	27.84%	-0.83	9
2020-09-06	Phoenix Rising	L 0-2	1474.89	1658.91	20.37%	22.64%	56.99%	-9.06	9
2020-09-12	@ Phoenix Rising	L 1-5	1465.83	1667.97	14.44%	18.07%	67.49%	-9.73	9
2020-09-16	@ Los Angeles Galaxy II	L 2-3	1456.10	1488.79	28.09%	25.36%	46.55%	-5.80	9
2020-09-19	@ Orange County SC	L 0-1	1450.30	1530.27	23.21%	23.96%	52.84%	-5.47	9
2020-09-27	Los Angeles Galaxy II	T 2-2	1444.83	1494.21	34.99%	26.11%	38.90%	+0.13	10
2020-10-01	@ Reno 1868 FC	T 2-2	1444.96	1618.70	16.09%	19.63%	64.28%	+1.67	11
2020-10-04	Orange County SC	L 2-4	1446.63	1518.07	32.04%	25.92%	42.04%	-10.55	11
2020-03-08	@ Rio Grande Valley FC	W 5-1	1500.21	1494.78	32.77%	25.99%	41.24%	+26.07	3
2020-07-12	@ Phoenix Rising	L 0-4	1526.28	1620.14	21.96%	23.43%	54.62%	-18.53	3
2020-07-20	@ San Diego Loyal	W 1-0	1507.75	1468.75	37.41%	26.14%	36.44%	+7.97	6
2020-07-26	Sacramento Republic	W 1-0	1515.72	1531.93	39.71%	26.08%	34.21%	+7.60	9
2020-08-19	Phoenix Rising	L 1-4	1523.32	1655.07	25.10%	24.61%	50.29%	-13.57	9
2020-08-23	Orange County SC	L 1-2	1509.75	1568.38	33.73%	26.05%	40.22%	-7.09	9
2020-08-27	@ Portland Timbers 2	W 3-2	1502.66	1388.26	47.97%	25.10%	26.93%	+5.60	12
2020-08-30	Las Vegas Lights FC	W 4-3	1508.26	1481.50	45.74%	25.49%	28.78%	+5.77	15
2020-09-03	@ Orange County SC	L 1-2	1514.03	1557.59	26.88%	25.09%	48.03%	-5.88	15
2020-09-06	@ Orange County SC	W 2-1	1508.15	1563.48	25.63%	24.77%	49.61%	+9.52	18
2020-09-10	San Diego Loyal	L 0-3	1517.67	1441.60	52.33%	24.10%	23.57%	-28.88	18
2020-09-16	Las Vegas Lights FC	W 3-2	1488.79	1456.10	46.55%	25.36%	28.09%	+5.80	21
2020-09-24	San Diego Loyal	T 1-1	1494.59	1498.76	41.42%	25.97%	32.60%	-0.38	22
2020-09-27	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	T 2-2	1494.21	1444.83	38.90%	26.11%	34.99%	-0.12	23
2020-10-01	Orange County SC	W 3-1	1494.09	1531.27	36.71%	26.14%	37.15%	+13.20	26
2020-10-04	@ Phoenix Rising	L 1-4	1507.29	1684.67	15.87%	19.43%	64.70%	-8.43	26
2020-03-08	@ Philadelphia Union 2	T 0-0	1489.34	1456.13	36.58%	26.14%	37.28%	+0.03	1
2020-07-21	@ Hartford Athletic	L 1-3	1489.37	1465.66	35.24%	26.12%	38.64%	-12.69	1
2020-08-03	@ Hartford Athletic	L 1-4	1476.68	1471.10	32.79%	25.99%	41.22%	-16.98	1
2020-08-13	@ New York RB II	W 2-1	1459.70	1523.92	24.72%	24.49%	50.78%	+9.71	4
2020-08-16	@ Louisville City FC	L 0-2	1469.41	1549.14	23.23%	23.97%	52.81%	-10.31	4
2020-08-20	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 0-2	1459.10	1620.82	22.25%	23.56%	54.18%	-9.90	4
2020-08-24	@ Hartford Athletic	T 2-2	1449.20	1495.46	26.59%	25.02%	48.39%	+0.72	5
2020-08-29	New York RB II	L 2-3	1449.92	1506.84	33.96%	26.07%	39.98%	-6.76	5
2020-09-02	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 0-3	1443.16	1645.34	14.44%	18.06%	67.50%	-8.93	5
2020-09-06	@ Hartford Athletic	L 1-2	1434.23	1478.82	26.77%	25.07%	48.17%	-5.87	5
2020-09-13	Philadelphia Union 2	T 1-1	1428.36	1359.28	51.42%	24.33%	24.25%	-1.22	6
2020-09-17	@ Philadelphia Union 2	L 0-4	1427.14	1360.49	41.36%	25.98%	32.66%	-31.35	6
2020-09-19	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 0-1	1395.79	1685.39	13.58%	17.15%	69.27%	-3.03	6
2020-09-27	@ Charleston Battery	W 3-1	1392.76	1572.37	15.73%	19.31%	64.95%	+20.38	9
2020-10-04	North Carolina FC	L 0-1	1413.14	1510.55	28.85%	25.50%	45.65%	-6.63	9
2020-03-07	@ North Carolina FC	W 1-0	1571.51	1536.76	36.80%	26.14%	37.06%	+8.07	3
2020-07-12	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 1-3	1579.58	1579.17	42.07%	25.92%	32.01%	-14.50	3
2020-07-19	Saint Louis FC	L 0-1	1565.08	1511.83	49.33%	24.83%	25.85%	-10.06	3
2020-07-26	Sporting Kansas City 2	W 1-0	1555.02	1450.36	55.98%	22.99%	21.03%	+4.96	6
2020-07-30	Sporting Kansas City 2	L 1-2	1559.98	1445.39	57.21%	22.56%	20.23%	-10.67	6
2020-08-09	Indy Eleven	T 1-1	1549.31	1571.26	38.89%	26.11%	35.00%	-0.17	7
2020-08-16	Loudoun United	W 2-0	1549.14	1469.41	52.81%	23.97%	23.23%	+10.31	10
2020-08-20	Sporting Kansas City 2	W 4-1	1559.45	1458.04	55.57%	23.12%	21.31%	+11.62	13
2020-08-27	Indy Eleven	W 1-0	1571.07	1579.98	40.75%	26.02%	33.23%	+7.42	16
2020-08-30	@ Saint Louis FC	T 1-1	1578.49	1512.33	41.29%	25.98%	32.72%	-0.36	17
2020-09-06	@ Indy Eleven	W 3-1	1578.13	1572.55	32.79%	25.99%	41.22%	+14.27	20
2020-09-13	Saint Louis FC	W 3-0	1592.40	1518.36	52.07%	24.17%	23.77%	+15.31	23
2020-09-17	@ Indy Eleven	W 2-0	1607.71	1563.22	38.20%	26.13%	35.67%	+14.78	26
2020-09-20	Memphis 901	W 4-1	1622.49	1423.99	67.09%	18.27%	14.64%	+7.67	29
2020-09-27	@ Saint Louis FC	W 1-0	1630.16	1509.59	48.80%	24.94%	26.26%	+6.12	32
2020-10-04	Sporting Kansas City 2	W 2-1	1636.28	1444.58	66.32%	18.65%	15.03%	+3.22	35
2020-03-08	Indy Eleven	L 2-4	1466.70	1541.52	31.61%	25.88%	42.51%	-10.43	0
2020-07-16	@ Birmingham Legion	L 0-3	1456.27	1463.88	31.09%	25.83%	43.08%	-19.31	0
2020-07-19	@ Atlanta United II	T 2-2	1436.96	1418.73	34.49%	26.09%	39.42%	+0.16	1
2020-07-26	Charlotte Independence	T 2-2	1437.12	1485.89	35.07%	26.11%	38.82%	+0.11	2
2020-08-02	Saint Louis FC	W 1-0	1437.23	1530.44	29.34%	25.58%	45.07%	+9.37	5
2020-08-08	North Carolina FC	L 0-1	1446.60	1535.69	29.84%	25.66%	44.50%	-6.82	5
2020-08-16	@ Charlotte Independence	L 2-3	1439.78	1469.27	28.46%	25.43%	46.11%	-5.86	5
2020-08-23	@ Birmingham Legion	T 2-2	1433.92	1526.39	22.08%	23.48%	54.44%	+1.09	6
2020-09-03	Charlotte Independence	L 0-2	1435.01	1457.20	38.86%	26.11%	35.03%	-15.76	6
2020-09-06	Birmingham Legion	T 1-1	1419.25	1533.65	26.93%	25.10%	47.97%	+0.93	7
2020-09-11	@ North Carolina FC	W 3-2	1420.18	1488.23	24.35%	24.37%	51.29%	+9.28	10
2020-09-13	@ North Carolina FC	L 2-3	1429.46	1478.95	26.24%	24.93%	48.82%	-5.47	10
2020-09-20	@ Louisville City FC	L 1-4	1423.99	1622.49	14.64%	18.27%	67.09%	-7.66	10
2020-09-24	North Carolina FC	T 1-1	1416.33	1475.95	33.59%	26.04%	40.36%	+0.28	11
2020-10-04	Birmingham Legion	W 3-1	1416.61	1530.25	27.01%	25.12%	47.87%	+16.05	14
2020-03-08	@ Saint Louis FC	L 1-4	1450.00	1510.71	25.08%	24.60%	50.32%	-13.56	0
2020-07-30	@ Atlanta United II	L 3-4	1436.44	1404.38	36.42%	26.14%	37.44%	-6.95	0
2020-08-08	Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-3	1429.49	1572.03	24.03%	24.26%	51.71%	-15.46	0
2020-08-17	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	T 1-1	1414.03	1596.68	15.55%	19.15%	65.30%	+2.31	1
2020-08-20	Atlanta United II	T 2-2	1416.34	1393.46	45.20%	25.56%	29.23%	-0.51	2
2020-08-24	Charlotte Independence	W 2-1	1415.83	1475.13	33.63%	26.05%	40.32%	+8.10	5
2020-08-27	@ Charleston Battery	L 1-3	1423.93	1542.38	19.92%	22.39%	57.69%	-7.67	5
2020-09-03	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-3	1416.26	1589.15	16.14%	19.68%	64.18%	-10.20	5
2020-09-06	Charleston Battery	T 1-1	1406.06	1558.36	23.11%	23.92%	52.97%	+1.35	6
2020-09-13	@ Atlanta United II	W 2-1	1407.41	1399.41	33.11%	26.01%	40.88%	+8.19	9
2020-09-17	Birmingham Legion	L 0-4	1415.60	1516.52	28.44%	25.42%	46.14%	-23.45	9
2020-09-20	@ Charleston Battery	L 0-2	1392.15	1565.36	16.12%	19.66%	64.22%	-7.01	9
2020-09-24	@ Charlotte Independence	T 0-0	1385.14	1510.49	19.39%	22.07%	58.54%	+2.01	10
2020-09-27	Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-1	1387.15	1601.11	18.13%	21.24%	60.64%	-4.24	10
2020-10-01	Charleston Battery	W 4-3	1382.91	1551.99	21.61%	23.27%	55.12%	+9.59	13
2020-10-05	Atlanta United II	W 3-1	1392.50	1400.89	40.82%	26.02%	33.16%	+12.12	16
2020-03-08	@ Austin Bold	L 0-1	1487.63	1493.96	31.25%	25.84%	42.90%	-7.08	0
2020-07-12	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	W 2-1	1480.55	1450.81	36.09%	26.14%	37.77%	+7.71	3
2020-07-16	@ El Paso Locomotive	T 2-2	1488.26	1520.97	28.09%	25.36%	46.55%	+0.61	4
2020-07-25	@ El Paso Locomotive	W 2-1	1488.87	1520.36	28.23%	25.38%	46.39%	+9.03	7
2020-08-02	@ OKC Energy FC	W 3-0	1497.90	1487.77	33.39%	26.03%	40.58%	+23.65	10
2020-08-09	Phoenix Rising	L 2-5	1521.55	1636.18	26.90%	25.10%	48.00%	-12.49	10
2020-08-15	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	W 1-0	1509.06	1429.39	43.19%	25.81%	30.99%	+7.03	13
2020-08-20	@ Real Monarchs SLC	W 2-0	1516.09	1538.25	29.32%	25.58%	45.10%	+17.67	16
2020-08-23	@ Real Monarchs SLC	W 2-0	1533.76	1520.57	33.80%	26.06%	40.14%	+16.15	19
2020-08-30	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	T 1-1	1549.91	1423.45	49.59%	24.77%	25.64%	-1.06	20
2020-09-06	El Paso Locomotive	L 2-3	1548.85	1527.33	45.02%	25.59%	29.39%	-8.37	20
2020-09-12	Real Monarchs SLC	W 2-0	1540.48	1516.76	45.32%	25.55%	29.13%	+12.61	23
2020-09-19	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	L 1-2	1553.09	1407.06	61.03%	21.07%	17.90%	-11.23	23
2020-09-27	El Paso Locomotive	T 0-0	1541.86	1554.05	40.28%	26.05%	33.67%	-0.31	24
2020-10-01	@ Real Monarchs SLC	W 1-0	1541.55	1487.08	39.63%	26.08%	34.29%	+7.61	27
2020-03-07	Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-1	1536.60	1548.05	40.39%	26.04%	33.57%	-8.61	0
2020-07-18	Hartford Athletic	L 0-1	1527.99	1455.18	51.91%	24.21%	23.88%	-10.48	0
2020-07-23	@ Philadelphia Union 2	W 5-1	1517.51	1425.98	44.84%	25.61%	29.54%	+20.17	3
2020-07-26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	W 2-1	1537.68	1613.69	31.45%	25.87%	42.68%	+8.46	6
2020-08-05	@ Philadelphia Union 2	L 2-3	1546.14	1389.23	53.57%	23.75%	22.69%	-9.61	6
2020-08-09	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 1-4	1536.53	1616.78	23.18%	23.95%	52.87%	-12.61	6
2020-08-13	Loudoun United	L 1-2	1523.92	1459.70	50.78%	24.49%	24.72%	-9.71	6
2020-08-16	@ Hartford Athletic	L 1-2	1514.21	1488.08	35.58%	26.13%	38.29%	-7.37	6
2020-08-29	@ Loudoun United	W 3-2	1506.84	1449.92	39.98%	26.07%	33.96%	+6.75	9
2020-09-05	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 0-3	1513.59	1654.28	24.21%	24.32%	51.46%	-15.57	9
2020-09-09	Philadelphia Union 2	W 6-0	1498.02	1384.35	57.10%	22.60%	20.30%	+25.07	12
2020-09-17	@ Hartford Athletic	L 1-3	1523.09	1469.14	39.56%	26.09%	34.36%	-13.83	12
2020-09-24	@ Atlanta United II	L 3-5	1509.26	1387.08	49.02%	24.89%	26.09%	-13.82	12
2020-09-26	Philadelphia Union 2	W 5-4	1495.44	1377.51	57.63%	22.41%	19.96%	+4.05	15
2020-09-30	North Carolina FC	L 0-3	1499.49	1485.38	43.99%	25.72%	30.29%	-25.17	15
2020-10-05	Hartford Athletic	L 0-2	1474.32	1515.13	36.19%	26.14%	37.67%	-14.94	15
2020-03-07	Louisville City FC	L 0-1	1536.76	1571.51	37.06%	26.14%	36.80%	-8.07	0
2020-07-18	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	T 2-2	1528.69	1560.81	28.16%	25.37%	46.47%	+0.60	1
2020-08-02	Birmingham Legion	W 1-0	1529.29	1492.75	47.08%	25.27%	27.66%	+6.40	4
2020-08-08	@ Memphis 901	W 1-0	1535.69	1446.60	44.50%	25.66%	29.84%	+6.82	7
2020-08-16	Birmingham Legion	L 0-2	1542.51	1508.20	46.77%	25.32%	27.91%	-18.19	7
2020-08-20	Charleston Battery	L 0-3	1524.32	1517.67	42.95%	25.84%	31.21%	-24.70	7
2020-08-27	@ Charlotte Independence	L 0-1	1499.62	1467.03	36.49%	26.14%	37.37%	-7.98	7
2020-09-03	@ Birmingham Legion	W 2-1	1491.64	1543.10	26.03%	24.88%	49.09%	+9.45	10
2020-09-06	@ Charlotte Independence	L 1-3	1501.09	1472.96	35.86%	26.13%	38.01%	-12.86	10
2020-09-11	Memphis 901	L 2-3	1488.23	1420.18	51.29%	24.37%	24.35%	-9.28	10
2020-09-13	Memphis 901	W 3-2	1478.95	1429.46	48.82%	24.93%	26.24%	+5.47	13
2020-09-20	Charlotte Independence	L 0-1	1484.42	1502.02	39.51%	26.09%	34.40%	-8.47	13
2020-09-24	@ Memphis 901	T 1-1	1475.95	1416.33	40.36%	26.04%	33.59%	-0.28	14
2020-09-27	@ Birmingham Legion	W 2-1	1475.67	1539.96	24.72%	24.49%	50.79%	+9.71	17
2020-09-30	@ New York RB II	W 3-0	1485.38	1499.49	30.29%	25.72%	43.99%	+25.17	20
2020-10-04	@ Loudoun United	W 1-0	1510.55	1413.14	45.65%	25.50%	28.85%	+6.63	23
2020-03-08	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	L 1-2	1483.02	1441.56	47.74%	25.15%	27.11%	-9.24	0
2020-07-14	FC Tulsa	T 1-1	1473.78	1441.29	46.52%	25.36%	28.11%	-0.80	1
2020-07-18	@ Austin Bold	W 3-1	1472.98	1501.04	28.62%	25.46%	45.92%	+15.52	4
2020-07-23	Rio Grande Valley FC	T 1-1	1488.50	1462.85	45.58%	25.51%	28.91%	-0.73	5
2020-08-02	New Mexico United	L 0-3	1487.77	1497.90	40.58%	26.03%	33.39%	-23.65	5
2020-08-09	San Antonio FC	L 0-3	1464.12	1542.63	31.14%	25.83%	43.03%	-19.33	5
2020-08-16	Rio Grande Valley FC	T 0-0	1444.79	1433.66	43.57%	25.77%	30.66%	-0.62	6
2020-08-20	@ San Antonio FC	L 0-4	1444.17	1559.98	20.13%	22.50%	57.37%	-16.98	6
2020-08-23	@ Sporting Kansas City 2	L 0-3	1427.19	1446.43	29.67%	25.63%	44.70%	-18.58	6
2020-08-30	Austin Bold	T 1-1	1408.61	1497.38	29.87%	25.66%	44.46%	+0.63	7
2020-09-06	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	T 0-0	1409.24	1424.51	30.15%	25.70%	44.15%	+0.67	8
2020-09-13	@ FC Tulsa	T 1-1	1409.91	1460.96	26.08%	24.89%	49.03%	+1.02	9
2020-09-20	@ San Antonio FC	L 0-2	1410.93	1594.58	15.49%	19.09%	65.41%	-6.70	9
2020-09-27	Austin Bold	T 0-0	1404.23	1513.77	27.46%	25.23%	47.31%	+0.98	10
2020-10-01	@ FC Tulsa	L 2-3	1405.21	1470.37	24.63%	24.46%	50.91%	-5.17	10
2020-10-04	@ Rio Grande Valley FC	L 2-4	1400.04	1427.67	28.67%	25.47%	45.86%	-9.63	10
2020-03-07	El Paso Locomotive	T 0-0	1540.92	1513.95	45.77%	25.48%	28.75%	-0.83	1
2020-07-17	Phoenix Rising	T 1-1	1540.09	1638.67	28.71%	25.47%	45.81%	+0.75	2
2020-07-26	Phoenix Rising	W 1-0	1540.84	1637.93	28.88%	25.51%	45.61%	+9.45	5
2020-08-13	@ San Diego Loyal	W 2-0	1550.29	1468.08	43.55%	25.77%	30.68%	+13.16	8
2020-08-16	Las Vegas Lights FC	W 1-0	1563.45	1457.10	56.19%	22.92%	20.90%	+4.93	11
2020-08-23	@ Los Angeles Galaxy II	W 2-1	1568.38	1509.75	40.22%	26.05%	33.73%	+7.08	14
2020-08-26	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	L 1-3	1575.46	1465.59	47.36%	25.22%	27.43%	-15.91	14
2020-08-30	San Diego Loyal	T 0-0	1559.55	1438.81	57.97%	22.28%	19.74%	-1.96	15
2020-09-03	Los Angeles Galaxy II	W 2-1	1557.59	1514.03	48.03%	25.09%	26.88%	+5.89	18
2020-09-06	Los Angeles Galaxy II	L 1-2	1563.48	1508.15	49.61%	24.77%	25.63%	-9.53	18
2020-09-10	@ Sacramento Republic	L 1-2	1553.95	1558.11	31.53%	25.87%	42.60%	-6.72	18
2020-09-14	@ San Diego Loyal	L 0-2	1547.23	1470.49	42.78%	25.86%	31.36%	-16.96	18
2020-09-19	Las Vegas Lights FC	W 1-0	1530.27	1450.30	52.84%	23.96%	23.21%	+5.46	21
2020-09-27	@ Phoenix Rising	L 0-1	1535.73	1666.39	19.00%	21.82%	59.18%	-4.46	21
2020-10-01	@ Los Angeles Galaxy II	L 1-3	1531.27	1494.09	37.15%	26.14%	36.71%	-13.20	21
2020-10-04	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	W 4-2	1518.07	1446.63	42.04%	25.92%	32.04%	+10.55	24
2020-03-08	Loudoun United	T 0-0	1456.13	1489.34	37.28%	26.14%	36.58%	-0.03	1
2020-07-19	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 0-6	1456.10	1593.67	24.52%	24.43%	51.06%	-30.12	1
2020-07-23	New York RB II	L 1-5	1425.98	1517.51	29.54%	25.61%	44.84%	-20.17	1
2020-07-26	@ Hartford Athletic	L 2-3	1405.81	1478.35	23.91%	24.22%	51.87%	-5.02	1
2020-08-02	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 0-4	1400.79	1605.23	14.31%	17.94%	67.75%	-11.56	1
2020-08-05	New York RB II	W 3-2	1389.23	1546.14	22.69%	23.75%	53.57%	+9.61	4
2020-09-03	Atlanta United II	L 1-2	1398.84	1390.87	43.13%	25.82%	31.05%	-8.53	4
2020-09-07	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-2	1390.31	1599.34	14.07%	17.68%	68.26%	-5.96	4
2020-09-09	@ New York RB II	L 0-6	1384.35	1498.02	20.30%	22.60%	57.10%	-25.07	4
2020-09-13	@ Loudoun United	T 1-1	1359.28	1428.36	24.25%	24.33%	51.42%	+1.21	5
2020-09-17	Loudoun United	W 4-0	1360.49	1427.14	32.66%	25.98%	41.36%	+31.36	8
2020-09-20	@ Hartford Athletic	L 0-3	1391.85	1482.97	22.20%	23.54%	54.27%	-14.34	8
2020-09-26	@ New York RB II	L 4-5	1377.51	1495.44	19.96%	22.41%	57.63%	-4.05	8
2020-10-01	Hartford Athletic	L 2-3	1373.46	1509.97	24.62%	24.46%	50.92%	-5.16	8
2020-10-04	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	L 1-2	1368.30	1675.76	9.59%	12.11%	78.30%	-1.85	8
2020-03-08	Portland Timbers 2	W 6-1	1602.41	1492.34	56.65%	22.76%	20.59%	+17.73	3
2020-07-12	Los Angeles Galaxy II	W 4-0	1620.14	1526.28	54.62%	23.43%	21.96%	+18.53	6
2020-07-17	@ Orange County SC	T 1-1	1638.67	1540.09	45.81%	25.47%	28.71%	-0.74	7
2020-07-26	@ Orange County SC	L 0-1	1637.93	1540.84	45.61%	25.51%	28.88%	-9.46	7
2020-08-02	El Paso Locomotive	W 3-1	1628.47	1511.33	57.53%	22.44%	20.03%	+7.71	10
2020-08-09	@ New Mexico United	W 5-2	1636.18	1521.55	48.00%	25.10%	26.90%	+12.50	13
2020-08-16	San Diego Loyal	W 2-0	1648.68	1454.93	66.56%	18.54%	14.91%	+6.39	16
2020-08-19	@ Los Angeles Galaxy II	W 4-1	1655.07	1523.32	50.29%	24.61%	25.10%	+13.57	19
2020-08-23	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	T 3-3	1668.64	1464.43	59.46%	21.71%	18.83%	-1.16	20
2020-08-30	@ Reno 1868 FC	L 1-2	1667.48	1586.36	43.39%	25.79%	30.81%	-8.57	20
2020-09-06	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	W 2-0	1658.91	1474.89	56.99%	22.64%	20.37%	+9.06	23
2020-09-12	Las Vegas Lights FC	W 5-1	1667.97	1465.83	67.49%	18.07%	14.44%	+9.73	26
2020-09-20	San Diego Loyal	L 2-3	1677.70	1487.45	66.16%	18.73%	15.11%	-11.31	26
2020-09-27	Orange County SC	W 1-0	1666.39	1535.73	59.18%	21.82%	19.00%	+4.46	29
2020-10-01	@ San Diego Loyal	W 3-0	1670.85	1499.14	55.45%	23.16%	21.39%	+13.82	32
2020-10-04	Los Angeles Galaxy II	W 4-1	1684.67	1507.29	64.70%	19.43%	15.87%	+8.43	35
2020-07-12	@ Louisville City FC	W 3-1	1579.17	1579.58	32.01%	25.92%	42.07%	+14.50	3
2020-07-19	@ Philadelphia Union 2	W 6-0	1593.67	1456.10	51.06%	24.43%	24.52%	+30.12	6
2020-07-22	Indy Eleven	L 0-1	1623.79	1568.99	49.53%	24.78%	25.68%	-10.10	6
2020-07-26	@ New York RB II	L 1-2	1613.69	1537.68	42.68%	25.87%	31.45%	-8.46	6
2020-08-02	Philadelphia Union 2	W 4-0	1605.23	1400.79	67.75%	17.94%	14.31%	+11.55	9
2020-08-09	New York RB II	W 4-1	1616.78	1536.53	52.87%	23.95%	23.18%	+12.61	12
2020-08-16	@ Indy Eleven	L 0-1	1629.39	1571.42	40.13%	26.06%	33.81%	-8.57	12
2020-08-20	@ Loudoun United	W 2-0	1620.82	1459.10	54.18%	23.56%	22.25%	+9.90	15
2020-08-23	Saint Louis FC	T 2-2	1630.72	1511.03	57.84%	22.33%	19.83%	-1.30	16
2020-08-29	@ Hartford Athletic	W 3-0	1629.42	1494.74	50.68%	24.52%	24.80%	+15.92	19
2020-09-02	Loudoun United	W 3-0	1645.34	1443.16	67.50%	18.06%	14.44%	+8.94	22
2020-09-05	@ New York RB II	W 3-0	1654.28	1513.59	51.46%	24.32%	24.21%	+15.57	25
2020-09-13	Hartford Athletic	W 5-0	1669.85	1484.69	65.59%	19.01%	15.40%	+15.54	28
2020-09-19	@ Loudoun United	W 1-0	1685.39	1395.79	69.27%	17.15%	13.58%	+3.03	31
2020-09-27	Hartford Athletic	L 0-1	1688.42	1497.31	66.26%	18.68%	15.06%	-12.66	31
2020-10-04	Philadelphia Union 2	W 2-1	1675.76	1368.30	78.30%	12.11%	9.59%	+1.85	34
2020-03-08	@ Phoenix Rising	L 1-6	1492.34	1602.41	20.59%	22.76%	56.65%	-17.73	0
2020-07-19	@ Tacoma Defiance	L 0-3	1474.61	1424.94	38.94%	26.11%	34.95%	-22.93	0
2020-07-30	Reno 1868 FC	L 1-4	1451.68	1552.58	28.44%	25.43%	46.13%	-15.13	0
2020-08-04	Tacoma Defiance	L 0-4	1436.55	1447.86	40.41%	26.04%	33.55%	-30.80	0
2020-08-09	Sacramento Republic	L 0-1	1405.75	1524.05	26.50%	25.00%	48.50%	-6.17	0
2020-08-16	@ Reno 1868 FC	L 2-5	1399.58	1569.08	16.35%	19.86%	63.79%	-7.56	0
2020-08-23	@ Sacramento Republic	L 1-2	1392.02	1549.57	17.12%	20.48%	62.40%	-3.76	0
2020-08-27	Los Angeles Galaxy II	L 2-3	1388.26	1502.66	26.93%	25.10%	47.97%	-5.59	0
2020-09-02	Sacramento Republic	L 1-2	1382.67	1553.33	21.48%	23.21%	55.32%	-4.78	0
2020-09-06	@ Reno 1868 FC	L 1-7	1377.89	1594.93	13.64%	17.22%	69.13%	-13.16	0
2020-09-10	Tacoma Defiance	W 3-0	1364.73	1445.97	30.80%	25.79%	43.41%	+24.91	3
2020-09-17	@ Real Monarchs SLC	W 2-1	1389.64	1504.15	20.23%	22.56%	57.21%	+10.68	6
2020-09-21	Reno 1868 FC	L 2-5	1400.32	1611.17	18.35%	21.39%	60.26%	-8.60	6
2020-09-25	Tacoma Defiance	W 3-1	1391.72	1419.17	38.10%	26.13%	35.77%	+12.83	9
2020-09-27	@ Tacoma Defiance	L 1-2	1404.55	1406.34	31.83%	25.90%	42.26%	-6.77	9
2020-10-04	@ Sacramento Republic	L 0-4	1397.78	1554.08	17.20%	20.55%	62.25%	-14.33	9
2020-03-08	@ San Antonio FC	L 0-1	1561.84	1517.45	38.19%	26.13%	35.68%	-8.25	0
2020-07-11	San Diego Loyal	L 0-1	1553.59	1457.79	54.86%	23.35%	21.79%	-10.95	0
2020-07-18	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	T 3-3	1542.64	1443.09	55.33%	23.20%	21.47%	-0.96	1
2020-08-02	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	W 2-1	1541.68	1444.05	45.68%	25.49%	28.82%	+6.25	4
2020-08-16	El Paso Locomotive	L 0-1	1547.93	1512.04	46.99%	25.28%	27.73%	-9.68	4
2020-08-20	New Mexico United	L 0-2	1538.25	1516.09	45.10%	25.58%	29.32%	-17.68	4
2020-08-23	New Mexico United	L 0-2	1520.57	1533.76	40.14%	26.06%	33.80%	-16.15	4
2020-08-30	@ El Paso Locomotive	L 1-2	1504.42	1520.88	30.00%	25.68%	44.31%	-6.46	4
2020-09-05	Tacoma Defiance	W 1-0	1497.96	1452.17	48.33%	25.03%	26.64%	+6.20	7
2020-09-10	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	W 4-1	1504.16	1423.83	52.88%	23.94%	23.17%	+12.60	10
2020-09-12	@ New Mexico United	L 0-2	1516.76	1540.48	29.13%	25.55%	45.32%	-12.61	10
2020-09-17	Portland Timbers 2	L 1-2	1504.15	1389.64	57.21%	22.56%	20.23%	-10.67	10
2020-09-20	@ El Paso Locomotive	L 0-1	1493.48	1548.05	25.71%	24.79%	49.50%	-6.00	10
2020-09-27	@ Colorado Springs Switchbacks	T 1-1	1487.48	1418.28	41.72%	25.95%	32.33%	-0.40	11
2020-10-01	New Mexico United	L 0-1	1487.08	1541.55	34.29%	26.08%	39.63%	-7.61	11
2020-10-04	El Paso Locomotive	L 0-4	1479.47	1553.06	31.76%	25.90%	42.34%	-25.66	11
2020-03-07	@ Tacoma Defiance	W 3-1	1550.20	1442.40	47.08%	25.27%	27.66%	+10.45	3
2020-07-20	@ Sacramento Republic	L 0-1	1560.65	1523.86	37.10%	26.14%	36.76%	-8.07	3
2020-07-30	@ Portland Timbers 2	W 4-1	1552.58	1451.68	46.13%	25.43%	28.44%	+15.13	6
2020-08-02	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	W 1-0	1567.71	1463.58	46.57%	25.35%	28.07%	+6.48	9
2020-08-09	Tacoma Defiance	W 2-1	1574.19	1478.66	54.83%	23.36%	21.81%	+4.85	12
2020-08-13	Sacramento Republic	L 0-1	1579.04	1530.22	48.73%	24.95%	26.31%	-9.96	12
2020-08-16	Portland Timbers 2	W 5-2	1569.08	1399.58	63.79%	19.86%	16.35%	+7.56	15
2020-08-23	@ San Diego Loyal	W 3-1	1576.64	1448.53	49.81%	24.72%	25.47%	+9.72	18
2020-08-30	Phoenix Rising	W 2-1	1586.36	1667.48	30.81%	25.79%	43.39%	+8.57	21
2020-09-06	Portland Timbers 2	W 7-1	1594.93	1377.89	69.13%	17.22%	13.64%	+13.17	24
2020-09-13	@ Sacramento Republic	T 3-3	1608.10	1564.83	38.03%	26.13%	35.84%	-0.06	25
2020-09-18	Tacoma Defiance	W 3-2	1608.04	1421.06	65.79%	18.91%	15.30%	+3.13	28
2020-09-21	@ Portland Timbers 2	W 5-2	1611.17	1400.32	60.26%	21.39%	18.35%	+8.60	31
2020-09-27	Sacramento Republic	T 1-1	1619.77	1563.64	49.71%	24.74%	25.55%	-1.07	32
2020-10-01	Las Vegas Lights FC	T 2-2	1618.70	1444.96	64.28%	19.63%	16.09%	-1.67	33
2020-10-04	@ Tacoma Defiance	W 2-1	1617.03	1423.75	58.13%	22.22%	19.65%	+4.36	36
2020-03-08	Los Angeles Galaxy II	L 1-5	1494.78	1500.21	41.24%	25.99%	32.77%	-26.07	0
2020-07-12	@ El Paso Locomotive	L 0-1	1468.71	1514.78	26.61%	25.03%	48.36%	-6.19	0
2020-07-20	San Antonio FC	T 1-1	1462.52	1525.70	33.12%	26.01%	40.87%	+0.33	1
2020-07-23	@ OKC Energy FC	T 1-1	1462.85	1488.50	28.91%	25.51%	45.58%	+0.73	2
2020-07-26	@ San Antonio FC	L 0-1	1463.58	1525.37	24.97%	24.57%	50.46%	-5.85	2
2020-08-02	FC Tulsa	L 1-2	1457.73	1442.09	44.20%	25.70%	30.10%	-8.70	2
2020-08-09	@ Austin Bold	L 1-4	1449.03	1474.11	28.97%	25.52%	45.51%	-15.37	2
2020-08-16	@ OKC Energy FC	T 0-0	1433.66	1444.79	30.66%	25.77%	43.57%	+0.63	3
2020-08-23	Austin Bold	L 2-3	1434.29	1490.86	34.00%	26.07%	39.93%	-6.77	3
2020-08-29	San Antonio FC	L 1-3	1427.52	1586.27	22.52%	23.68%	53.80%	-8.67	3
2020-09-03	@ FC Tulsa	L 1-2	1418.85	1453.40	27.88%	25.31%	46.80%	-6.07	3
2020-09-06	@ San Antonio FC	L 2-3	1412.78	1594.94	15.58%	19.17%	65.24%	-3.20	3
2020-10-01	Austin Bold	W 2-0	1409.58	1512.80	28.18%	25.37%	46.45%	+18.09	6
2020-10-04	OKC Energy FC	W 4-2	1427.67	1400.04	45.86%	25.47%	28.67%	+9.64	9
2020-03-08	FC Tulsa	T 1-1	1526.22	1439.88	53.66%	23.72%	22.62%	-1.40	1
2020-07-14	Tacoma Defiance	T 3-3	1524.82	1423.97	55.50%	23.15%	21.35%	-0.96	2
2020-07-20	Reno 1868 FC	W 1-0	1523.86	1560.65	36.76%	26.14%	37.10%	+8.07	5
2020-07-26	@ Los Angeles Galaxy II	L 0-1	1531.93	1515.72	34.21%	26.08%	39.71%	-7.60	5
2020-08-02	@ San Diego Loyal	T 0-0	1524.33	1467.80	39.92%	26.07%	34.01%	-0.28	6
2020-08-09	@ Portland Timbers 2	W 1-0	1524.05	1405.75	48.50%	25.00%	26.50%	+6.17	9
2020-08-13	@ Reno 1868 FC	W 1-0	1530.22	1579.04	26.31%	24.95%	48.73%	+9.96	12
2020-08-16	Tacoma Defiance	W 3-1	1540.18	1473.81	51.06%	24.42%	24.51%	+9.39	15
2020-08-23	Portland Timbers 2	W 2-1	1549.57	1392.02	62.40%	20.48%	17.12%	+3.76	18
2020-09-02	@ Portland Timbers 2	W 2-1	1553.33	1382.67	55.32%	23.21%	21.48%	+4.78	21
2020-09-10	Orange County SC	W 2-1	1558.11	1553.95	42.60%	25.87%	31.53%	+6.72	24
2020-09-13	Reno 1868 FC	T 3-3	1564.83	1608.10	35.84%	26.13%	38.03%	+0.05	25
2020-09-21	Tacoma Defiance	T 3-3	1564.88	1417.93	61.14%	21.02%	17.83%	-1.24	26
2020-09-27	@ Reno 1868 FC	T 1-1	1563.64	1619.77	25.55%	24.74%	49.71%	+1.08	27
2020-10-01	@ Tacoma Defiance	L 0-1	1564.72	1413.11	52.88%	23.94%	23.17%	-10.64	27
2020-10-04	Portland Timbers 2	W 4-0	1554.08	1397.78	62.25%	20.55%	17.20%	+14.33	30
2020-03-08	Miami FC	W 4-1	1510.71	1450.00	50.32%	24.60%	25.08%	+13.56	3
2020-07-12	@ Indy Eleven	L 0-2	1524.27	1551.96	28.67%	25.47%	45.87%	-12.44	3
2020-07-19	@ Louisville City FC	W 1-0	1511.83	1565.08	25.85%	24.83%	49.33%	+10.06	6
2020-07-26	Indy Eleven	W 1-0	1521.89	1579.08	33.92%	26.06%	40.02%	+8.55	9
2020-08-02	@ Memphis 901	L 0-1	1530.44	1437.23	45.07%	25.58%	29.34%	-9.37	9
2020-08-06	Sporting Kansas City 2	T 1-1	1521.07	1467.62	49.35%	24.82%	25.83%	-1.04	10
2020-08-09	FC Tulsa	L 0-2	1520.03	1450.79	51.44%	24.33%	24.23%	-19.62	10
2020-08-16	Sporting Kansas City 2	W 3-1	1500.41	1468.67	46.42%	25.38%	28.20%	+10.62	13
2020-08-23	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	T 2-2	1511.03	1630.72	19.83%	22.33%	57.84%	+1.30	14
2020-08-30	Louisville City FC	T 1-1	1512.33	1578.49	32.72%	25.98%	41.29%	+0.36	15
2020-09-05	Sporting Kansas City 2	W 3-2	1512.69	1473.31	47.46%	25.20%	27.34%	+5.67	18
2020-09-13	@ Louisville City FC	L 0-3	1518.36	1592.40	23.77%	24.17%	52.07%	-15.30	18
2020-09-20	Sporting Kansas City 2	W 3-2	1503.06	1462.70	47.59%	25.17%	27.23%	+5.65	21
2020-09-24	@ Indy Eleven	T 1-1	1508.71	1548.44	27.30%	25.19%	47.51%	+0.88	22
2020-09-27	Louisville City FC	L 0-1	1509.59	1630.16	26.26%	24.94%	48.80%	-6.11	22
2020-10-04	Indy Eleven	W 2-1	1503.48	1536.89	37.25%	26.14%	36.61%	+7.53	25
2020-03-08	Real Monarchs SLC	W 1-0	1517.45	1561.84	35.68%	26.13%	38.19%	+8.25	3
2020-07-20	@ Rio Grande Valley FC	T 1-1	1525.70	1462.52	40.87%	26.01%	33.12%	-0.33	4
2020-07-26	Rio Grande Valley FC	W 1-0	1525.37	1463.58	50.46%	24.57%	24.97%	+5.85	7
2020-08-02	@ Austin Bold	W 4-2	1531.22	1485.52	38.37%	26.13%	35.50%	+11.41	10
2020-08-09	@ OKC Energy FC	W 3-0	1542.63	1464.12	43.03%	25.83%	31.14%	+19.33	13
2020-08-13	@ FC Tulsa	T 0-0	1561.96	1470.41	44.85%	25.61%	29.54%	-0.74	14
2020-08-16	Austin Bold	T 1-1	1561.22	1489.48	51.77%	24.25%	23.99%	-1.24	15
2020-08-20	OKC Energy FC	W 4-0	1559.98	1444.17	57.37%	22.50%	20.13%	+16.98	18
2020-08-23	FC Tulsa	W 2-0	1576.96	1471.00	56.14%	22.93%	20.93%	+9.31	21
2020-08-29	@ Rio Grande Valley FC	W 3-1	1586.27	1427.52	53.80%	23.68%	22.52%	+8.67	24
2020-09-06	Rio Grande Valley FC	W 3-2	1594.94	1412.78	65.24%	19.17%	15.58%	+3.19	27
2020-09-13	@ El Paso Locomotive	L 1-2	1598.13	1535.70	40.76%	26.02%	33.22%	-8.17	27
2020-09-17	Austin Bold	W 3-2	1589.96	1495.26	54.72%	23.40%	21.88%	+4.62	30
2020-09-20	OKC Energy FC	W 2-0	1594.58	1410.93	65.41%	19.09%	15.49%	+6.69	33
2020-09-27	@ FC Tulsa	L 0-1	1601.27	1459.95	51.55%	24.30%	24.15%	-10.42	33
2020-10-04	@ Austin Bold	L 1-2	1590.85	1494.71	45.48%	25.52%	29.00%	-8.89	33
2020-03-08	Las Vegas Lights FC	T 1-1	1450.00	1470.43	39.11%	26.10%	34.79%	-0.18	1
2020-03-12	@ Tacoma Defiance	W 2-1	1449.82	1431.95	34.44%	26.09%	39.48%	+7.97	4
2020-07-11	@ Real Monarchs SLC	W 1-0	1457.79	1553.59	21.79%	23.35%	54.86%	+10.96	7
2020-07-20	Los Angeles Galaxy II	L 0-1	1468.75	1507.75	36.44%	26.14%	37.41%	-7.97	7
2020-07-26	Las Vegas Lights FC	W 2-1	1460.78	1470.61	40.62%	26.03%	33.35%	+7.02	10
2020-08-02	Sacramento Republic	T 0-0	1467.80	1524.33	34.01%	26.07%	39.92%	+0.28	11
2020-08-13	Orange County SC	L 0-2	1468.08	1550.29	30.68%	25.77%	43.55%	-13.15	11
2020-08-16	@ Phoenix Rising	L 0-2	1454.93	1648.68	14.91%	18.54%	66.56%	-6.40	11
2020-08-23	Reno 1868 FC	L 1-3	1448.53	1576.64	25.47%	24.72%	49.81%	-9.72	11
2020-08-30	@ Orange County SC	T 0-0	1438.81	1559.55	19.74%	22.28%	57.97%	+1.96	12
2020-09-03	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	T 1-1	1440.77	1475.72	27.84%	25.31%	46.86%	+0.83	13
2020-09-10	@ Los Angeles Galaxy II	W 3-0	1441.60	1517.67	23.57%	24.10%	52.33%	+28.89	16
2020-09-14	Orange County SC	W 2-0	1470.49	1547.23	31.36%	25.86%	42.78%	+16.96	19
2020-09-20	@ Phoenix Rising	W 3-2	1487.45	1677.70	15.11%	18.73%	66.16%	+11.31	22
2020-09-24	@ Los Angeles Galaxy II	T 1-1	1498.76	1494.59	32.60%	25.97%	41.42%	+0.38	23
2020-10-01	Phoenix Rising	L 0-3	1499.14	1670.85	21.39%	23.16%	55.45%	-13.82	23
2020-03-08	Charlotte Independence	L 1-2	1462.99	1477.85	39.90%	26.07%	34.03%	-8.04	0
2020-07-19	@ Indy Eleven	L 1-2	1454.95	1564.39	20.64%	22.78%	56.58%	-4.59	0
2020-07-26	@ Louisville City FC	L 0-1	1450.36	1555.02	21.03%	22.99%	55.98%	-4.97	0
2020-07-30	@ Louisville City FC	W 2-1	1445.39	1559.98	20.23%	22.56%	57.21%	+10.68	3
2020-08-02	@ Indy Eleven	W 1-0	1456.07	1582.81	19.29%	22.00%	58.71%	+11.55	6
2020-08-06	@ Saint Louis FC	T 1-1	1467.62	1521.07	25.83%	24.82%	49.35%	+1.05	7
2020-08-16	@ Saint Louis FC	L 1-3	1468.67	1500.41	28.20%	25.38%	46.42%	-10.63	7
2020-08-20	@ Louisville City FC	L 1-4	1458.04	1559.45	21.31%	23.12%	55.57%	-11.61	7
2020-08-23	OKC Energy FC	W 3-0	1446.43	1427.19	44.70%	25.63%	29.67%	+18.59	10
2020-08-30	@ FC Tulsa	W 2-1	1465.02	1461.69	32.49%	25.97%	41.54%	+8.29	13
2020-09-05	@ Saint Louis FC	L 2-3	1473.31	1512.69	27.34%	25.20%	47.46%	-5.67	13
2020-09-10	@ Indy Eleven	L 1-2	1467.64	1558.28	22.24%	23.56%	54.21%	-4.94	13
2020-09-20	@ Saint Louis FC	L 2-3	1462.70	1503.06	27.23%	25.17%	47.59%	-5.65	13
2020-09-23	@ Austin Bold	L 0-4	1457.05	1490.64	27.99%	25.34%	46.67%	-23.13	13
2020-10-01	@ Indy Eleven	W 2-1	1433.92	1547.55	20.30%	22.60%	57.10%	+10.66	16
2020-10-04	@ Louisville City FC	L 1-2	1444.58	1636.28	15.03%	18.65%	66.32%	-3.23	16
2020-03-07	Reno 1868 FC	L 1-3	1442.40	1550.20	27.66%	25.27%	47.08%	-10.45	0
2020-03-12	San Diego Loyal	L 1-2	1431.95	1449.82	39.48%	26.09%	34.44%	-7.98	0
2020-07-14	@ Sacramento Republic	T 3-3	1423.97	1524.82	21.35%	23.15%	55.50%	+0.97	1
2020-07-19	Portland Timbers 2	W 3-0	1424.94	1474.61	34.95%	26.11%	38.94%	+22.92	4
2020-08-04	@ Portland Timbers 2	W 4-0	1447.86	1436.55	33.55%	26.04%	40.41%	+30.80	7
2020-08-09	@ Reno 1868 FC	L 1-2	1478.66	1574.19	21.81%	23.36%	54.83%	-4.85	7
2020-08-16	@ Sacramento Republic	L 1-3	1473.81	1540.18	24.51%	24.42%	51.06%	-9.39	7
2020-08-20	@ Las Vegas Lights FC	L 1-3	1464.42	1452.17	33.67%	26.05%	40.28%	-12.25	7
2020-09-05	@ Real Monarchs SLC	L 0-1	1452.17	1497.96	26.64%	25.03%	48.33%	-6.20	7
2020-09-10	@ Portland Timbers 2	L 0-3	1445.97	1364.73	43.41%	25.79%	30.80%	-24.91	7
2020-09-18	@ Reno 1868 FC	L 2-3	1421.06	1608.04	15.30%	18.91%	65.79%	-3.13	7
2020-09-21	@ Sacramento Republic	T 3-3	1417.93	1564.88	17.83%	21.02%	61.14%	+1.24	8
2020-09-25	@ Portland Timbers 2	L 1-3	1419.17	1391.72	35.77%	26.13%	38.10%	-12.83	8
2020-09-27	Portland Timbers 2	W 2-1	1406.34	1404.55	42.26%	25.90%	31.83%	+6.77	11
2020-10-01	Sacramento Republic	W 1-0	1413.11	1564.72	23.17%	23.94%	52.88%	+10.64	14
2020-10-04	Reno 1868 FC	L 1-2	1423.75	1617.03	19.65%	22.22%	58.13%	-4.36	14
2020-03-07	@ New York RB II	W 1-0	1548.05	1536.60	33.57%	26.04%	40.39%	+8.60	3
2020-07-12	Atlanta United II	W 2-1	1556.65	1422.88	59.56%	21.67%	18.77%	+4.16	6
2020-07-18	North Carolina FC	T 2-2	1560.81	1528.69	46.47%	25.37%	28.16%	-0.60	7
2020-07-26	@ Birmingham Legion	T 1-1	1560.21	1492.37	41.53%	25.97%	32.50%	-0.38	8
2020-08-01	Charleston Battery	W 2-0	1559.83	1526.53	46.63%	25.34%	28.02%	+12.20	11
2020-08-08	@ Miami FC	W 3-0	1572.03	1429.49	51.71%	24.26%	24.03%	+15.46	14
2020-08-13	@ Atlanta United II	W 2-0	1587.49	1406.89	56.56%	22.79%	20.65%	+9.19	17
2020-08-17	Miami FC	T 1-1	1596.68	1414.03	65.30%	19.15%	15.55%	-2.32	18
2020-08-23	Atlanta United II	W 2-1	1594.36	1393.98	67.30%	18.16%	14.54%	+3.11	21
2020-08-30	@ Charleston Battery	L 0-1	1597.47	1550.04	38.62%	26.12%	35.26%	-8.32	21
2020-09-03	Miami FC	W 3-0	1589.15	1416.26	64.18%	19.68%	16.14%	+10.19	24
2020-09-07	Philadelphia Union 2	W 2-0	1599.34	1390.31	68.26%	17.68%	14.07%	+5.97	27
2020-09-12	@ Charleston Battery	L 0-1	1605.31	1557.02	38.75%	26.12%	35.14%	-8.34	27
2020-09-17	@ Atlanta United II	W 2-1	1596.97	1391.22	59.65%	21.64%	18.71%	+4.14	30
2020-09-27	@ Miami FC	W 1-0	1601.11	1387.15	60.64%	21.24%	18.13%	+4.25	33
2020-10-04	Charleston Battery	L 1-2	1605.36	1542.40	50.62%	24.53%	24.85%	-9.69	33

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from each team's perspective, controlled by the team filter above. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff W-L.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2020-10-11	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 2-4	1514.21	1595.67	33.76%	0.00%	66.24%	-7.94	0-1
2020-10-11	@ Charlotte Independence	W 2-1	1552.08	1508.48	51.15%	0.00%	48.85%	+7.41	1-0
2020-10-18	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 0-1	1559.49	1603.61	38.72%	0.00%	61.28%	-6.23	1-1
2020-10-11	Charleston Battery	L 1-2	1508.48	1552.08	48.85%	0.00%	51.15%	-7.42	0-1
2020-10-11	FC Tulsa	W 4-2	1578.72	1486.82	67.57%	0.00%	32.43%	+7.62	1-0
2020-10-18	New Mexico United	W 5-3	1586.34	1558.77	59.00%	0.00%	41.00%	+9.11	2-0
2020-10-25	@ Phoenix Rising	L 2-4	1595.45	1704.01	30.36%	0.00%	69.64%	-7.14	2-1
2020-10-11	@ El Paso Locomotive	L 2-4	1486.82	1578.72	32.43%	0.00%	67.57%	-7.63	0-1
2020-10-11	Saint Louis FC	L 0-1	1530.08	1511.01	57.81%	0.00%	42.19%	-9.30	0-1
2020-10-11	@ Reno 1868 FC	L 1-4	1498.86	1621.39	28.69%	0.00%	71.31%	-10.67	0-1
2020-10-11	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	W 2-0	1639.50	1677.61	49.64%	0.00%	50.36%	+15.28	1-0
2020-10-18	Saint Louis FC	W 2-0	1654.78	1520.32	72.69%	0.00%	27.31%	+8.29	2-0
2020-10-25	Tampa Bay Rowdies	L 1-2	1663.07	1609.84	62.52%	0.00%	37.48%	-9.49	2-1
2020-10-11	@ San Antonio FC	W 1-0	1549.16	1581.96	40.28%	0.00%	59.72%	+9.61	1-0
2020-10-18	@ El Paso Locomotive	L 3-5	1558.77	1586.34	41.00%	0.00%	59.00%	-9.11	1-1
2020-10-11	Sacramento Republic	W 1-0	1693.10	1568.41	71.56%	0.00%	28.44%	+4.58	1-0
2020-10-18	@ Reno 1868 FC	W 5-4	1697.68	1632.05	54.31%	0.00%	45.69%	+6.33	2-0
2020-10-25	El Paso Locomotive	W 4-2	1704.01	1595.45	69.64%	0.00%	30.36%	+7.14	3-0
2020-10-11	@ Louisville City FC	L 0-2	1677.61	1639.50	50.36%	0.00%	49.64%	-15.28	0-1
2020-10-11	Los Angeles Galaxy II	W 4-1	1621.39	1498.86	71.31%	0.00%	28.69%	+10.66	1-0
2020-10-18	Phoenix Rising	L 4-5	1632.05	1697.68	45.69%	0.00%	54.31%	-6.33	1-1
2020-10-11	@ Phoenix Rising	L 0-1	1568.41	1693.10	28.44%	0.00%	71.56%	-4.58	0-1
2020-10-11	@ Hartford Athletic	W 1-0	1511.01	1530.08	42.19%	0.00%	57.81%	+9.31	1-0
2020-10-18	@ Louisville City FC	L 0-2	1520.32	1654.78	27.31%	0.00%	72.69%	-8.29	1-1
2020-10-11	New Mexico United	L 0-1	1581.96	1549.16	59.72%	0.00%	40.28%	-9.62	0-1
2020-10-11	Birmingham Legion	W 4-2	1595.67	1514.21	66.24%	0.00%	33.76%	+7.94	1-0
2020-10-18	Charleston Battery	W 1-0	1603.61	1559.49	61.28%	0.00%	38.72%	+6.23	2-0
2020-10-25	@ Louisville City FC	W 2-1	1609.84	1663.07	37.48%	0.00%	62.52%	+9.48	3-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2020-09-27	15.06%	Hartford Athletic	1497.31	1	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1688.42	0
2	2020-09-20	15.11%	San Diego Loyal	1487.45	3	@ Phoenix Rising	1677.70	2
3	2020-09-27	15.73%	Loudoun United	1392.76	3	@ Charleston Battery	1572.37	1
4	2020-09-19	17.90%	Colorado Springs Switchbacks	1407.06	2	@ New Mexico United	1553.09	1
5	2020-08-02	19.29%	Sporting Kansas City 2	1456.07	1	@ Indy Eleven	1582.81	0
6	2020-07-30	20.23%	Sporting Kansas City 2	1445.39	2	@ Louisville City FC	1559.98	1
7	2020-09-17	20.23%	Portland Timbers 2	1389.64	2	@ Real Monarchs SLC	1504.15	1
8	2020-10-01	20.30%	Sporting Kansas City 2	1433.92	2	@ Indy Eleven	1547.55	1
9	2020-10-01	21.61%	@ Miami FC	1382.91	4	Charleston Battery	1551.99	3
10	2020-07-11	21.79%	San Diego Loyal	1457.79	1	@ Real Monarchs SLC	1553.59	0
11	2020-08-05	22.69%	@ Philadelphia Union 2	1389.23	3	New York RB II	1546.14	2
12	2020-10-01	23.17%	@ Tacoma Defiance	1413.11	1	Sacramento Republic	1564.72	0
13	2020-09-10	23.57%	San Diego Loyal	1441.60	3	@ Los Angeles Galaxy II	1517.67	0
14	2020-07-18	23.88%	Hartford Athletic	1455.18	1	@ New York RB II	1527.99	0
15	2020-09-27	24.15%	@ FC Tulsa	1459.95	1	San Antonio FC	1601.27	0
16	2020-08-09	24.23%	FC Tulsa	1450.79	2	@ Saint Louis FC	1520.03	0
17	2020-09-11	24.35%	Memphis 901	1420.18	3	@ North Carolina FC	1488.23	2
18	2020-08-13	24.72%	Loudoun United	1459.70	2	@ New York RB II	1523.92	1
19	2020-09-27	24.72%	North Carolina FC	1475.67	2	@ Birmingham Legion	1539.96	1
20	2020-10-04	24.85%	Charleston Battery	1542.40	2	@ Tampa Bay Rowdies	1605.36	1
21	2020-09-06	25.63%	Los Angeles Galaxy II	1508.15	2	@ Orange County SC	1563.48	1
22	2020-07-22	25.68%	Indy Eleven	1568.99	1	@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1623.79	0
23	2020-07-19	25.85%	Saint Louis FC	1511.83	1	@ Louisville City FC	1565.08	0
24	2020-09-03	26.03%	North Carolina FC	1491.64	2	@ Birmingham Legion	1543.10	1
25	2020-09-24	26.09%	@ Atlanta United II	1387.08	5	New York RB II	1509.26	3

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-09-17	31.36	@ Philadelphia Union 2	4	1360.49	32.66%	Loudoun United	0	1427.14	41.36%	25.98%
2	2020-08-04	30.80	Tacoma Defiance	4	1447.86	33.55%	@ Portland Timbers 2	0	1436.55	40.41%	26.04%
3	2020-07-19	30.12	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	6	1593.67	51.06%	@ Philadelphia Union 2	0	1456.10	24.52%	24.43%
4	2020-09-10	28.89	San Diego Loyal	3	1441.60	23.57%	@ Los Angeles Galaxy II	0	1517.67	52.33%	24.10%
5	2020-03-08	26.07	Los Angeles Galaxy II	5	1500.21	32.77%	@ Rio Grande Valley FC	1	1494.78	41.24%	25.99%
6	2020-10-04	25.66	El Paso Locomotive	4	1553.06	42.34%	@ Real Monarchs SLC	0	1479.47	31.76%	25.90%
7	2020-09-30	25.17	North Carolina FC	3	1485.38	30.29%	@ New York RB II	0	1499.49	43.99%	25.72%
8	2020-09-09	25.07	@ New York RB II	6	1498.02	57.10%	Philadelphia Union 2	0	1384.35	20.30%	22.60%
9	2020-09-10	24.91	@ Portland Timbers 2	3	1364.73	30.80%	Tacoma Defiance	0	1445.97	43.41%	25.79%
10	2020-08-20	24.71	Charleston Battery	3	1517.67	31.21%	@ North Carolina FC	0	1524.32	42.95%	25.84%
11	2020-08-02	23.65	New Mexico United	3	1497.90	33.39%	@ OKC Energy FC	0	1487.77	40.58%	26.03%
12	2020-09-17	23.45	Birmingham Legion	4	1516.52	46.14%	@ Miami FC	0	1415.60	28.44%	25.42%
13	2020-09-23	23.13	@ Austin Bold	4	1490.64	46.67%	Sporting Kansas City 2	0	1457.05	27.99%	25.34%
14	2020-07-19	22.93	@ Tacoma Defiance	3	1424.94	34.95%	Portland Timbers 2	0	1474.61	38.94%	26.11%
15	2020-09-27	20.38	Loudoun United	3	1392.76	15.73%	@ Charleston Battery	1	1572.37	64.95%	19.31%
16	2020-07-23	20.17	New York RB II	5	1517.51	44.84%	@ Philadelphia Union 2	1	1425.98	29.54%	25.61%
17	2020-08-09	19.62	FC Tulsa	2	1450.79	24.23%	@ Saint Louis FC	0	1520.03	51.44%	24.33%
18	2020-08-09	19.33	San Antonio FC	3	1542.63	43.03%	@ OKC Energy FC	0	1464.12	31.14%	25.83%
19	2020-07-16	19.31	@ Birmingham Legion	3	1463.88	43.08%	Memphis 901	0	1456.27	31.09%	25.83%
20	2020-08-23	18.59	@ Sporting Kansas City 2	3	1446.43	44.70%	OKC Energy FC	0	1427.19	29.67%	25.63%
21	2020-07-12	18.53	@ Phoenix Rising	4	1620.14	54.62%	Los Angeles Galaxy II	0	1526.28	21.96%	23.43%
22	2020-08-16	18.19	Birmingham Legion	2	1508.20	27.91%	@ North Carolina FC	0	1542.51	46.77%	25.32%
23	2020-10-01	18.09	@ Rio Grande Valley FC	2	1409.58	28.18%	Austin Bold	0	1512.80	46.45%	25.37%
24	2020-08-30	17.80	Birmingham Legion	4	1525.30	39.03%	@ Charlotte Independence	1	1475.00	34.86%	26.11%
25	2020-03-08	17.73	@ Phoenix Rising	6	1602.41	56.65%	Portland Timbers 2	1	1492.34	20.59%	22.76%