1948-49 Segunda División Season

182 games

Final

Promoted

Real Sociedad

35 pts

CD Malaga · 35 pts

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Granada

8.72 points above expected

35 points · 26.28 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Racing Ferrol

9.00 points below expected

15 points · 24.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	CD Malaga Promoted	26	15	5	6	35	73	33	+40	28.73	+6.27
2	Real Sociedad Promoted	26	17	1	8	35	80	41	+39	29.19	+5.81
3	Granada	26	16	3	7	35	50	37	+13	26.28	+8.72
4	Hercules	26	14	4	8	32	64	53	+11	26.71	+5.29
5	Real Gijon	26	12	5	9	29	56	44	+12	26.61	+2.39
6	Baracaldo	26	13	3	10	29	48	37	+11	26.08	+2.92
7	Real Murcia	26	12	2	12	26	51	71	-20	24.51	+1.49
8	Castellon	26	11	2	13	24	47	61	-14	24.86	-0.86
9	Levante	26	9	4	13	22	48	53	-5	26.54	-4.54
10	Girona	26	10	2	14	22	45	53	-8	26.76	-4.76
11	Real Santander	26	8	5	13	21	50	67	-17	23.96	-2.96
12	Mestalla	26	9	2	15	20	43	50	-7	25.32	-5.32
13	Badalona	26	8	3	15	19	40	63	-23	24.46	-5.46
14	Racing Ferrol	26	6	3	17	15	39	71	-32	24.00	-9.00

Phase 1 was played using regional groups. The top teams from each advanced to a final round-robin that started from zero; Phase 1 results did not carry forward. The group tables above are Phase 1 context.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
CD Malaga	1534	35	28.73	+6.27	97.3%	16	23	26	29	31	35	40
Real Sociedad	1509	35	29.19	+5.81	96.1%	17	23	27	29	32	35	43
Granada	1440	35	26.28	+8.72	99.6%	12	21	24	26	29	32	41
Hercules	1398	32	26.71	+5.29	96.2%	14	21	25	27	29	32	39
Real Gijon	1397	29	26.61	+2.39	81.0%	14	21	24	27	29	32	39
Baracaldo	1385	29	26.08	+2.92	84.9%	12	21	24	26	28	32	37
Girona	1374	22	26.76	-4.76	10.8%	14	21	24	27	29	32	42
Levante	1325	22	26.54	-4.54	11.2%	13	21	24	27	29	32	41
Castellon	1293	24	24.86	-0.86	45.7%	12	19	23	25	27	30	39
Real Murcia	1286	26	24.51	+1.49	72.1%	13	19	22	25	27	30	37
Real Santander	1266	21	23.96	-2.96	23.4%	12	18	22	24	26	30	39
Mestalla	1253	20	25.32	-5.32	7.9%	13	20	23	25	28	31	38
Racing Ferrol	1197	15	24.00	-9.00	0.7%	12	18	22	24	26	30	37
Badalona	1191	19	24.46	-5.46	6.9%	11	19	22	25	27	30	40

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	BAD	BAR	CM	CAS	GIR	GRA	HER	LEV	MES	RF	RG	RM	RS	RS
Badalona	—	0-0-2 2.57	0-1-1 2.54	1-0-1 2.73	0-0-2 2.70	1-0-1 2.57	0-0-2 2.74	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.95	0-1-1 2.55	2-0-0 2.78	0-1-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.42
Baracaldo	2-0-0 3.15	—	1-0-1 2.65	2-0-0 2.97	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.75	1-1-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.89	1-0-1 2.95	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-1 3.12	0-0-2 3.01	0-0-2 2.57
CD Malaga	1-1-0 3.19	1-0-1 3.07	—	1-1-0 3.24	1-1-0 3.08	1-0-1 3.09	1-0-1 3.05	2-0-0 3.01	1-1-0 3.30	2-0-0 3.60	1-0-1 3.08	1-0-1 3.19	1-1-0 3.55	1-0-1 2.82
Castellon	1-0-1 3.00	0-0-2 2.76	0-1-1 2.48	—	2-0-0 2.49	1-0-1 2.75	0-0-2 2.68	0-0-2 2.65	1-0-1 2.79	2-0-0 2.93	1-0-1 2.68	1-0-1 2.92	1-1-0 2.88	1-0-1 2.46
Girona	2-0-0 3.03	0-1-1 2.93	0-1-1 2.64	0-0-2 3.23	—	0-0-2 2.79	1-0-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.96	1-0-1 3.39	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 3.07	1-0-1 3.19	1-0-1 2.48
Granada	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 2.63	1-0-1 2.98	2-0-0 2.93	—	0-2-0 2.85	2-0-0 2.84	2-0-0 2.94	1-1-0 2.94	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 3.11	2-0-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.60
Hercules	2-0-0 2.98	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 2.67	2-0-0 3.04	1-0-1 2.89	0-2-0 2.88	—	1-1-0 2.87	1-1-0 3.02	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.86	1-0-1 3.25	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-1 2.67
Levante	1-0-1 2.99	0-1-1 2.96	0-0-2 2.71	2-0-0 3.08	1-0-1 2.74	0-0-2 2.89	0-1-1 2.85	—	1-0-1 2.95	2-0-0 3.07	0-1-1 2.88	1-1-0 2.98	1-0-1 3.16	0-0-2 2.69
Mestalla	1-0-1 2.95	1-0-1 2.84	0-1-1 2.43	1-0-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.76	0-0-2 2.78	0-1-1 2.71	1-0-1 2.78	—	1-0-1 3.00	0-0-2 2.77	1-0-1 2.94	2-0-0 2.99	0-0-2 2.30
Racing Ferrol	1-0-1 2.77	1-0-1 2.78	0-0-2 2.12	0-0-2 2.80	1-0-1 2.34	0-1-1 2.78	1-0-1 2.61	0-0-2 2.65	1-0-1 2.72	—	0-1-1 2.69	0-0-2 2.95	1-1-0 2.81	0-0-2 2.25
Real Gijon	1-1-0 3.17	0-1-1 2.93	1-0-1 2.64	1-0-1 3.04	1-0-1 2.87	1-0-1 2.85	1-0-1 2.86	1-1-0 2.84	2-0-0 2.95	1-1-0 3.03	—	1-0-1 3.15	1-0-1 3.07	0-1-1 2.69
Real Murcia	0-0-2 2.95	1-0-1 2.60	1-0-1 2.53	1-0-1 2.80	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.75	1-0-1 2.79	2-0-0 2.77	1-0-1 2.57	—	1-1-0 2.91	1-0-1 2.57
Real Santander	1-1-0 2.92	2-0-0 2.72	0-1-1 2.17	0-1-1 2.84	1-0-1 2.53	0-0-2 2.76	1-0-1 2.61	1-0-1 2.57	0-0-2 2.73	0-1-1 2.92	1-0-1 2.66	0-1-1 2.82	—	1-0-1 1.96
Real Sociedad	1-0-1 3.31	2-0-0 3.15	1-0-1 2.91	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 3.24	1-0-1 3.13	1-0-1 3.05	2-0-0 3.03	2-0-0 3.42	2-0-0 3.47	1-1-0 3.03	1-0-1 3.16	1-0-1 3.77	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.66	+4.4
Allowed	0.59	-3.9
Differential	0.80	+2.7

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	1.65%	5.49%	3.85%	4.95%	1.37%	2.20%	19.51%
1	5.49%	5.49%	5.49%	3.30%	2.75%	4.40%	26.92%
2	3.85%	5.49%	3.30%	4.12%	2.20%	1.92%	20.88%
3	4.95%	3.30%	4.12%	1.10%	1.10%	0.55%	15.11%
4	1.37%	2.75%	2.20%	1.10%	0.55%	—	7.97%
5+	2.20%	4.40%	1.92%	0.55%	—	0.55%	9.62%
Total	19.51%	26.92%	20.88%	15.11%	7.97%	9.62%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.02	2.02	+0.00
SD	1.74	1.74	2.71
CV	0.86	0.86	—
Max	9	9	+8
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 182

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	19.23%
1	—	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	30.77%
2	3.85%	15.38%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	30.77%
3	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	3.85%	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	7.69%	30.77%	19.23%	11.54%	19.23%	11.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.54	2.42	-0.88
SD	1.10	1.65	2.23
CV	0.72	0.68	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	26.92%
1	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
3	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	30.77%	26.92%	23.08%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.85	1.42	+0.42
SD	1.78	1.36	2.44
CV	0.97	0.96	—
Max	6	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
1	11.54%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	26.92%
2	—	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
3	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
Total	30.77%	30.77%	26.92%	7.69%	—	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.81	1.27	+1.54
SD	2.28	1.22	2.86
CV	0.81	0.96	—
Max	8	5	+8
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
1	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	34.62%
2	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%	7.69%
3	—	7.69%	11.54%	—	—	3.85%	23.08%
4	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	11.54%	26.92%	30.77%	3.85%	11.54%	15.38%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	2.35	-0.54
SD	1.41	1.87	2.50
CV	0.78	0.80	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	—	34.62%
1	—	—	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	15.38%
2	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
4	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	15.38%
5+	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
Total	19.23%	26.92%	15.38%	23.08%	7.69%	7.69%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	2.04	-0.31
SD	1.71	1.73	2.90
CV	0.99	0.85	—
Max	5	7	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	15.38%
1	15.38%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	7.69%	34.62%
2	—	7.69%	—	—	—	—	7.69%
3	19.23%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	30.77%
4	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	34.62%	26.92%	23.08%	3.85%	—	11.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.92	1.42	+0.50
SD	1.41	1.58	2.37
CV	0.73	1.11	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	3.85%	11.54%	—	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	23.08%
3	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	11.54%
4	—	7.69%	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
5+	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
Total	15.38%	38.46%	15.38%	19.23%	—	11.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.46	2.04	+0.42
SD	1.92	2.05	2.59
CV	0.78	1.01	—
Max	8	9	+6
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	11.54%
1	7.69%	11.54%	11.54%	—	—	7.69%	38.46%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	3.85%	—	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
5+	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	30.77%	19.23%	15.38%	7.69%	11.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.85	2.04	-0.19
SD	1.35	1.59	2.35
CV	0.73	0.78	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
1	7.69%	7.69%	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	34.62%
2	7.69%	—	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	23.08%
3	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
4	—	—	3.85%	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	3.85%	—	—	—	—	3.85%
Total	15.38%	30.77%	23.08%	15.38%	11.54%	3.85%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.65	1.92	-0.27
SD	1.41	1.49	2.01
CV	0.85	0.78	—
Max	6	6	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
1	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	11.54%	38.46%
2	—	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	30.77%
3	3.85%	—	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	11.54%
4	3.85%	—	—	—	—	—	3.85%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	19.23%	15.38%	11.54%	19.23%	11.54%	23.08%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	2.73	-1.23
SD	1.03	2.09	2.30
CV	0.69	0.77	—
Max	4	6	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	23.08%
1	—	7.69%	—	3.85%	3.85%	—	15.38%
2	7.69%	7.69%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	3.85%	—	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	19.23%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	3.85%	—	—	15.38%
Total	23.08%	26.92%	15.38%	26.92%	7.69%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.15	1.69	+0.46
SD	1.91	1.32	2.39
CV	0.89	0.78	—
Max	7	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	11.54%	26.92%
1	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	3.85%	19.23%
2	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	19.23%
3	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	—	15.38%
4	—	3.85%	—	3.85%	—	—	7.69%
5+	—	7.69%	3.85%	—	—	—	11.54%
Total	15.38%	15.38%	30.77%	15.38%	3.85%	19.23%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.96	2.73	-0.77
SD	1.78	2.41	3.61
CV	0.91	0.88	—
Max	6	8	+4
Min	0	0	-8

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.85%	—	7.69%	3.85%	3.85%	19.23%
1	3.85%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	30.77%
2	7.69%	—	11.54%	3.85%	3.85%	—	26.92%
3	—	—	7.69%	—	—	—	7.69%
4	—	—	—	—	3.85%	—	3.85%
5+	—	7.69%	—	—	—	3.85%	11.54%
Total	11.54%	15.38%	26.92%	15.38%	19.23%	11.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.92	2.58	-0.65
SD	1.83	1.72	2.67
CV	0.95	0.67	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 26

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.85%	—	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
1	—	—	3.85%	7.69%	3.85%	—	15.38%
2	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	3.85%	—	15.38%
3	3.85%	7.69%	—	—	—	—	11.54%
4	—	7.69%	—	7.69%	—	—	15.38%
5+	11.54%	11.54%	3.85%	—	—	—	26.92%
Total	23.08%	34.62%	11.54%	23.08%	7.69%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.08	1.58	+1.50
SD	2.40	1.30	3.15
CV	0.78	0.83	—
Max	9	4	+7
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 26

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Granada	35	26.28	+8.72
2	CD Malaga	35	28.73	+6.27
3	Real Sociedad	35	29.19	+5.81
4	Hercules	32	26.71	+5.29
5	Baracaldo	29	26.08	+2.92

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Racing Ferrol	15	24.00	-9.00
2	Badalona	19	24.46	-5.46
3	Mestalla	20	25.32	-5.32
4	Girona	22	26.76	-4.76
5	Levante	22	26.54	-4.54

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Castellon	2	Nov 21 – Nov 28	1 in 160
2	Granada	5	Jan 9 – Feb 6	1 in 92
3	CD Malaga	5	Sep 12 – Oct 10	1 in 21
4	Racing Ferrol	2	Jan 30 – Feb 6	1 in 20
5	Real Murcia	3	Dec 5 – Jan 9	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Racing Ferrol	8	Nov 14 – Jan 23	1 in 4,910
2	Real Santander	5	Jan 23 – Feb 20	1 in 1,034
3	Girona	3	Nov 21 – Dec 5	1 in 216
4	Badalona	6	Feb 6 – Apr 3	1 in 122
5	Mestalla	4	Mar 6 – Apr 17	1 in 32

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Hercules	7	Jan 9 – Feb 20	1 in 87
2	Baracaldo	5	Nov 14 – Dec 12	1 in 25
3	Real Gijon	4	Nov 28 – Jan 9	1 in 20
4	CD Malaga	7	Sep 12 – Oct 24	1 in 18
5	Granada	6	Jan 9 – Feb 13	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Racing Ferrol	8	Nov 14 – Jan 23	1 in 172
2	Real Santander	7	Jan 23 – Mar 6	1 in 168
3	Levante	6	Dec 12 – Feb 6	1 in 109
4	Badalona	8	Feb 6 – Apr 17	1 in 66
5	Girona	4	Mar 6 – Apr 17	1 in 8

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
CD Malaga	23.04%	15.66%	12.52%	10.17%	8.20%	6.29%	5.14%	4.63%	4.00%	3.57%	2.57%	1.84%	1.48%	0.89%
Real Sociedad	27.92%	17.25%	11.98%	9.09%	7.34%	5.85%	4.85%	3.98%	3.28%	2.59%	2.26%	1.69%	1.13%	0.79%
Granada	6.01%	8.13%	8.47%	8.03%	8.83%	8.90%	8.09%	7.71%	7.60%	6.77%	6.70%	5.97%	5.02%	3.77%
Hercules	7.19%	9.13%	9.42%	9.00%	9.60%	8.64%	8.28%	7.72%	7.42%	6.48%	5.59%	4.94%	4.18%	2.41%
Real Gijon	6.73%	8.73%	9.35%	9.16%	9.26%	9.02%	8.46%	7.61%	7.23%	6.39%	6.15%	4.89%	4.09%	2.93%
Baracaldo	5.44%	6.90%	7.83%	8.32%	8.76%	8.38%	8.69%	8.66%	7.29%	7.36%	6.56%	6.18%	5.56%	4.07%
Real Murcia	1.48%	2.72%	3.73%	4.64%	5.32%	5.90%	6.65%	7.78%	8.02%	8.74%	9.87%	11.02%	11.63%	12.50%
Castellon	1.99%	3.63%	4.35%	5.60%	6.18%	6.41%	7.30%	7.76%	8.69%	8.62%	9.65%	9.56%	10.06%	10.20%
Levante	6.01%	7.83%	8.63%	8.77%	8.06%	8.68%	8.22%	7.91%	7.83%	7.13%	6.68%	5.45%	5.08%	3.72%
Girona	6.85%	8.61%	8.59%	8.67%	8.25%	8.72%	8.14%	8.20%	7.20%	6.65%	5.88%	5.79%	4.81%	3.64%
Real Santander	1.30%	2.30%	2.78%	3.91%	4.56%	5.05%	5.99%	7.09%	7.19%	8.89%	10.24%	11.48%	13.30%	15.92%
Mestalla	3.06%	4.88%	5.52%	6.38%	6.89%	7.81%	7.53%	7.64%	8.24%	8.81%	8.52%	8.73%	8.01%	7.98%
Badalona	1.68%	2.31%	3.82%	4.76%	4.73%	5.56%	6.74%	6.93%	8.78%	8.77%	9.65%	10.89%	12.43%	12.95%
Racing Ferrol	1.30%	1.92%	3.01%	3.50%	4.02%	4.79%	5.92%	6.38%	7.23%	9.23%	9.68%	11.57%	13.22%	18.23%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+56.04%

Strong Edge

71.98%12.09%15.93%

Elo Value

Home Edge

127 Elo

0.008 goals per Elo point

0220.09400

Scoring Tilt

Expected +1.74 goals

+1.71 goals

Strong Home

-2+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 7th * Longshot: 8th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

6.3

Wide Open

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

28%

Real Sociedad, 1st of 14

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.00/gm

Photo Finish

00.080.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.72 * Some Luck: 2.72 to 4.09 * Lucky: 4.09 to 5.45 * Wild Swing: 5.45 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.78 * Close: 2.78 to 4.16 * Off: 4.16 to 5.55 * Way Off: 5.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 14 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 14 * As Expected: 14 to 22.4 * Several Outliers: 22.4 to 30.8 * Many Outliers: 30.8 and up.
Unexpected Promotions: Number of teams that were actually promoted but were not in the model's projected top field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 1.14 * A Surprise: 1.14 to 1.82 * Several Surprises: 1.82 to 2.5 * Many Surprises: 2.5 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.25 points

Lucky

03.409

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.29

Pinpoint

03.478

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 96.43%

99.60%

Granada

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 3.57%

0.66%

Racing Ferrol

050

Season Outliers

Expected

5 of 14

Minimal Outliers

01.47

Unexpected Promotions

Expected

0 of 2

As Expected

01.12

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.14

Even

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.29

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

67%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

88%

Strong Edge

50%90%100%

Close Games

Expected

45%

Frequent

0%40%100%

Blowouts

Expected

35%

Very Frequent

0%38%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.43

Highly Predictable

00.402

Matchup Imbalance

0.74

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

2.36

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

-0.00

Weak Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

16%

Chalky

0%11%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

As Expected

0%11%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.07 to 0.1 * Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.13 * Well Above Noise: 0.13 and up.

Probability calibration

0.16

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.23

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.058

Well Within Noise

00.0670.15

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level	Direct relegation
Real Sociedad	46.45%	51.63%	1.92%
CD Malaga	39.96%	57.67%	2.37%
Hercules	16.99%	76.42%	6.59%
Real Gijon	16.13%	76.85%	7.02%
Girona	16.37%	75.18%	8.45%
Granada	14.72%	76.49%	8.79%
Levante	14.38%	76.82%	8.80%
Baracaldo	12.84%	77.53%	9.63%
Castellon	6.04%	73.70%	20.26%
Mestalla	—	84.01%	15.99%
Real Murcia	4.55%	71.32%	24.13%
Badalona	4.31%	70.31%	25.38%
Real Santander	3.78%	67.00%	29.22%
Racing Ferrol	3.48%	65.07%	31.45%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1948-09-12	Real Murcia	W 8-0	1359	1313	78.2%	13.7%	8.1%	+22.6	2
1948-09-12	@ CD Malaga	L 0-8	1313	1359	8.1%	13.7%	78.2%	-22.6	0
1948-09-12	Castellon	W 1-0	1308	1329	74.7%	13.9%	11.5%	+4.6	2
1948-09-12	@ Granada	L 0-1	1329	1308	11.5%	13.9%	74.7%	-4.6	0
1948-09-12	Real Sociedad	W 4-2	1333	1400	71.6%	13.9%	14.5%	+8.3	2
1948-09-12	@ Hercules	L 2-4	1400	1333	14.5%	13.9%	71.6%	-8.3	0
1948-09-12	Baracaldo	W 1-0	1375	1317	78.6%	13.7%	7.6%	+3.1	2
1948-09-12	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-1	1317	1375	7.6%	13.7%	78.6%	-3.1	0
1948-09-12	Girona	W 7-1	1295	1430	65.9%	14.0%	20.2%	+33.6	2
1948-09-12	@ Real Santander	L 1-7	1430	1295	20.2%	14.0%	65.9%	-33.6	0
1948-09-12	Levante	W 2-1	1362	1359	76.1%	13.8%	10.1%	+3.8	2
1948-09-12	@ Real Gijon	L 1-2	1359	1362	10.1%	13.8%	76.1%	-3.8	0
1948-09-12	Badalona	W 3-2	1342	1326	76.7%	13.8%	9.5%	+3.4	2
1948-09-12	@ Mestalla	L 2-3	1326	1342	9.5%	13.8%	76.7%	-3.4	0
1948-09-19	Hercules	L 3-4	1322	1342	74.8%	13.8%	11.4%	-22.7	0
1948-09-19	@ Badalona	W 4-3	1342	1322	11.4%	13.8%	74.8%	+22.7	4
1948-09-19	Granada	W 5-1	1314	1313	76.0%	13.8%	10.2%	+12.2	2
1948-09-19	@ Baracaldo	L 1-5	1313	1314	10.2%	13.8%	76.0%	-12.2	2
1948-09-19	Real Santander	W 3-2	1324	1328	75.6%	13.8%	10.5%	+3.8	2
1948-09-19	@ Castellon	L 2-3	1328	1324	10.5%	13.8%	75.6%	-3.8	2
1948-09-19	Real Sociedad	W 3-1	1382	1391	75.3%	13.8%	10.8%	+7.1	4
1948-09-19	@ CD Malaga	L 1-3	1391	1382	10.8%	13.8%	75.3%	-7.1	0
1948-09-19	Real Gijon	W 4-2	1396	1366	77.4%	13.8%	8.8%	+5.2	2
1948-09-19	@ Girona	L 2-4	1366	1396	8.8%	13.8%	77.4%	-5.2	2
1948-09-19	Mestalla	W 1-0	1355	1345	76.4%	13.8%	9.8%	+3.9	2
1948-09-19	@ Levante	L 0-1	1345	1355	9.8%	13.8%	76.4%	-3.9	2
1948-09-19	Racing Ferrol	W 6-2	1291	1378	70.1%	13.9%	16.0%	+15.9	2
1948-09-19	@ Real Murcia	L 2-6	1378	1291	16.0%	13.9%	70.1%	-15.9	2
1948-09-26	Badalona	W 6-1	1389	1300	79.9%	13.6%	6.4%	+9.6	6
1948-09-26	@ CD Malaga	L 1-6	1300	1389	6.4%	13.6%	79.9%	-9.6	0
1948-09-26	Levante	W 4-2	1364	1359	76.2%	13.8%	10.0%	+5.9	6
1948-09-26	@ Hercules	L 2-4	1359	1364	10.0%	13.8%	76.2%	-5.9	2
1948-09-26	Granada	D 1-1	1362	1300	78.8%	13.7%	7.5%	-6.3	3
1948-09-26	@ Racing Ferrol	D 1-1	1300	1362	7.5%	13.7%	78.8%	+6.3	3
1948-09-26	Baracaldo	W 2-0	1324	1327	75.8%	13.8%	10.4%	+7.9	4
1948-09-26	@ Real Santander	L 0-2	1327	1324	10.4%	13.8%	75.8%	-7.9	2
1948-09-26	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1307	1384	70.8%	13.9%	15.3%	+16.5	4
1948-09-26	@ Real Murcia	L 0-3	1384	1307	15.3%	13.9%	70.8%	-16.5	0
1948-09-26	Castellon	W 5-2	1361	1328	77.6%	13.8%	8.7%	+7.0	4
1948-09-26	@ Real Gijon	L 2-5	1328	1361	8.7%	13.8%	77.6%	-7.0	2
1948-09-26	Girona	W 3-1	1341	1401	72.1%	13.9%	14.0%	+9.1	4
1948-09-26	@ Mestalla	L 1-3	1401	1341	14.0%	13.9%	72.1%	-9.1	2
1948-10-03	Real Murcia	W 3-0	1290	1323	73.9%	13.9%	12.2%	+13.4	2
1948-10-03	@ Badalona	L 0-3	1323	1290	12.2%	13.9%	73.9%	-13.4	4
1948-10-03	Real Gijon	W 1-0	1319	1368	72.8%	13.9%	13.3%	+5.3	4
1948-10-03	@ Baracaldo	L 0-1	1368	1319	13.3%	13.9%	72.8%	-5.3	4
1948-10-03	Mestalla	W 1-0	1321	1350	74.1%	13.9%	12.0%	+4.8	4
1948-10-03	@ Castellon	L 0-1	1350	1321	12.0%	13.9%	74.1%	-4.8	4
1948-10-03	Hercules	W 2-0	1392	1370	77.0%	13.8%	9.2%	+7.0	4
1948-10-03	@ Girona	L 0-2	1370	1392	9.2%	13.8%	77.0%	-7.0	6
1948-10-03	Real Santander	W 3-0	1307	1332	74.4%	13.9%	11.8%	+12.9	5
1948-10-03	@ Granada	L 0-3	1332	1307	11.8%	13.9%	74.4%	-12.9	4
1948-10-03	CD Malaga	L 2-3	1353	1399	73.1%	13.9%	13.0%	-22.7	2
1948-10-03	@ Levante	W 3-2	1399	1353	13.0%	13.9%	73.1%	+22.7	8
1948-10-03	Racing Ferrol	W 3-1	1368	1356	76.5%	13.8%	9.7%	+6.4	2
1948-10-03	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1356	1368	9.7%	13.8%	76.5%	-6.4	3
1948-10-10	Girona	W 4-2	1421	1399	77.0%	13.8%	9.2%	+5.4	10
1948-10-10	@ CD Malaga	L 2-4	1399	1421	9.2%	13.8%	77.0%	-5.4	4
1948-10-10	Castellon	W 5-3	1363	1326	77.8%	13.8%	8.5%	+4.7	8
1948-10-10	@ Hercules	L 3-5	1326	1363	8.5%	13.8%	77.8%	-4.7	4
1948-10-10	Real Santander	D 2-2	1349	1319	77.4%	13.8%	8.8%	-4.5	4
1948-10-10	@ Racing Ferrol	D 2-2	1319	1349	8.8%	13.8%	77.4%	+4.5	5
1948-10-10	Levante	L 1-3	1310	1330	74.7%	13.9%	11.5%	-42.4	4
1948-10-10	@ Real Murcia	W 3-1	1330	1310	11.5%	13.9%	74.7%	+42.4	4
1948-10-10	Badalona	W 4-1	1374	1303	79.2%	13.7%	7.1%	+6.7	4
1948-10-10	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-4	1303	1374	7.1%	13.7%	79.2%	-6.7	2
1948-10-10	Granada	W 2-0	1363	1320	78.0%	13.7%	8.2%	+6.3	6
1948-10-10	@ Real Gijon	L 0-2	1320	1363	8.2%	13.7%	78.0%	-6.3	5
1948-10-10	Baracaldo	W 2-0	1345	1324	77.0%	13.8%	9.2%	+7.0	6
1948-10-10	@ Mestalla	L 0-2	1324	1345	9.2%	13.8%	77.0%	-7.0	4
1948-10-17	Racing Ferrol	W 2-1	1297	1345	72.9%	13.9%	13.2%	+4.9	4
1948-10-17	@ Badalona	L 1-2	1345	1297	13.2%	13.9%	72.9%	-4.9	4
1948-10-17	Hercules	W 3-0	1317	1368	72.7%	13.9%	13.4%	+14.5	6
1948-10-17	@ Baracaldo	L 0-3	1368	1317	13.4%	13.9%	72.7%	-14.5	8
1948-10-17	CD Malaga	D 1-1	1321	1427	68.5%	13.9%	17.5%	-4.4	5
1948-10-17	@ Castellon	D 1-1	1427	1321	17.5%	13.9%	68.5%	+4.4	11
1948-10-17	Real Murcia	W 2-1	1394	1267	81.2%	13.6%	5.3%	+2.0	6
1948-10-17	@ Girona	L 1-2	1267	1394	5.3%	13.6%	81.2%	-2.0	4
1948-10-17	Mestalla	W 4-2	1313	1352	73.5%	13.9%	12.6%	+7.3	7
1948-10-17	@ Granada	L 2-4	1352	1313	12.6%	13.9%	73.5%	-7.3	6
1948-10-17	Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1373	1381	75.4%	13.8%	10.8%	-24.8	4
1948-10-17	@ Levante	W 2-1	1381	1373	10.8%	13.8%	75.4%	+24.8	6
1948-10-17	Real Gijon	W 3-2	1324	1369	73.1%	13.9%	13.0%	+4.6	7
1948-10-17	@ Real Santander	L 2-3	1369	1324	13.0%	13.9%	73.1%	-4.6	6
1948-10-24	Levante	W 3-2	1302	1348	73.0%	13.9%	13.1%	+4.6	6
1948-10-24	@ Badalona	L 2-3	1348	1302	13.1%	13.9%	73.0%	-4.6	4
1948-10-24	Baracaldo	W 3-0	1431	1331	80.3%	13.6%	6.1%	+6.8	13
1948-10-24	@ CD Malaga	L 0-3	1331	1431	6.1%	13.6%	80.3%	-6.8	6
1948-10-24	Granada	D 3-3	1353	1321	77.5%	13.8%	8.7%	-3.8	9
1948-10-24	@ Hercules	D 3-3	1321	1353	8.7%	13.8%	77.5%	+3.8	8
1948-10-24	Real Gijon	D 3-3	1340	1364	74.4%	13.9%	11.7%	-3.4	5
1948-10-24	@ Racing Ferrol	D 3-3	1364	1340	11.7%	13.9%	74.4%	+3.4	7
1948-10-24	Castellon	W 2-0	1265	1317	72.7%	13.9%	13.4%	+10.0	6
1948-10-24	@ Real Murcia	L 0-2	1317	1265	13.4%	13.9%	72.7%	-10.0	5
1948-10-24	Girona	W 5-1	1406	1396	76.4%	13.8%	9.8%	+11.8	8
1948-10-24	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-5	1396	1406	9.8%	13.8%	76.4%	-11.8	6
1948-10-24	Real Santander	W 4-2	1345	1329	76.7%	13.8%	9.5%	+5.6	8
1948-10-24	@ Mestalla	L 2-4	1329	1345	9.5%	13.8%	76.7%	-5.6	7
1948-10-31	Real Murcia	W 3-0	1325	1275	78.3%	13.7%	8.0%	+8.8	8
1948-10-31	@ Baracaldo	L 0-3	1275	1325	8.0%	13.7%	78.3%	-8.8	6
1948-10-31	Real Sociedad	W 3-1	1307	1417	68.1%	14.0%	18.0%	+11.4	7
1948-10-31	@ Castellon	L 1-3	1417	1307	18.0%	14.0%	68.1%	-11.4	8
1948-10-31	Badalona	W 5-0	1384	1306	79.5%	13.7%	6.8%	+12.3	8
1948-10-31	@ Girona	L 0-5	1306	1384	6.8%	13.7%	79.5%	-12.3	6
1948-10-31	CD Malaga	W 1-0	1324	1438	67.9%	14.0%	18.2%	+7.1	10
1948-10-31	@ Granada	L 0-1	1438	1324	18.2%	14.0%	67.9%	-7.1	13
1948-10-31	Racing Ferrol	W 5-2	1343	1336	76.2%	13.8%	10.0%	+8.0	6
1948-10-31	@ Levante	L 2-5	1336	1343	10.0%	13.8%	76.2%	-8.0	5
1948-10-31	Hercules	W 6-5	1323	1350	74.3%	13.9%	11.8%	+4.0	9
1948-10-31	@ Real Santander	L 5-6	1350	1323	11.8%	13.9%	74.3%	-4.0	9
1948-10-31	Mestalla	W 3-2	1368	1351	76.8%	13.8%	9.4%	+3.4	9
1948-10-31	@ Real Gijon	L 2-3	1351	1368	9.4%	13.8%	76.8%	-3.4	8
1948-11-07	Castellon	W 4-1	1294	1318	74.5%	13.9%	11.7%	+10.8	8
1948-11-07	@ Badalona	L 1-4	1318	1294	11.7%	13.9%	74.5%	-10.8	7
1948-11-07	Real Santander	W 7-1	1431	1327	80.4%	13.6%	5.9%	+10.5	15
1948-11-07	@ CD Malaga	L 1-7	1327	1431	5.9%	13.6%	80.4%	-10.5	9
1948-11-07	Real Gijon	W 3-1	1346	1371	74.4%	13.9%	11.8%	+7.7	11
1948-11-07	@ Hercules	L 1-3	1371	1346	11.8%	13.9%	74.4%	-7.7	9
1948-11-07	Girona	W 4-0	1351	1396	73.1%	13.9%	13.0%	+18.5	8
1948-11-07	@ Levante	L 0-4	1396	1351	13.0%	13.9%	73.1%	-18.5	8
1948-11-07	Mestalla	W 3-0	1328	1347	74.8%	13.8%	11.4%	+12.5	7
1948-11-07	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-3	1347	1328	11.4%	13.8%	74.8%	-12.5	8
1948-11-07	Granada	W 2-1	1267	1332	71.7%	13.9%	14.4%	+5.4	8
1948-11-07	@ Real Murcia	L 1-2	1332	1267	14.4%	13.9%	71.7%	-5.3	10
1948-11-07	Baracaldo	W 4-1	1406	1334	79.3%	13.7%	7.0%	+6.6	10
1948-11-07	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-4	1334	1406	7.0%	13.7%	79.3%	-6.6	8
1948-11-14	Badalona	W 3-1	1327	1305	77.0%	13.8%	9.2%	+6.1	10
1948-11-14	@ Baracaldo	L 1-3	1305	1327	9.2%	13.8%	77.0%	-6.1	8
1948-11-14	Levante	L 1-2	1307	1370	71.9%	13.9%	14.2%	-23.5	7
1948-11-14	@ Castellon	W 2-1	1370	1307	14.2%	13.9%	71.9%	+23.5	10
1948-11-14	Racing Ferrol	W 4-1	1378	1341	77.8%	13.8%	8.5%	+7.9	10
1948-11-14	@ Girona	L 1-4	1341	1378	8.5%	13.8%	77.8%	-7.9	7
1948-11-14	Real Sociedad	W 3-0	1326	1413	70.1%	13.9%	16.0%	+17.2	12
1948-11-14	@ Granada	L 0-3	1413	1326	16.0%	13.9%	70.1%	-17.2	10
1948-11-14	Real Murcia	D 2-2	1317	1272	78.1%	13.7%	8.2%	-4.6	10
1948-11-14	@ Real Santander	D 2-2	1272	1317	8.2%	13.7%	78.1%	+4.6	9
1948-11-14	CD Malaga	W 2-1	1363	1441	70.8%	13.9%	15.3%	+5.7	11
1948-11-14	@ Real Gijon	L 1-2	1441	1363	15.3%	13.9%	70.8%	-5.7	15
1948-11-14	Hercules	D 1-1	1335	1353	74.8%	13.8%	11.3%	-5.5	9
1948-11-14	@ Mestalla	D 1-1	1353	1335	11.3%	13.8%	74.8%	+5.5	12
1948-11-21	Granada	W 2-0	1299	1343	73.2%	13.9%	13.0%	+9.7	10
1948-11-21	@ Badalona	L 0-2	1343	1299	13.0%	13.9%	73.2%	-9.7	12
1948-11-21	Mestalla	D 1-1	1436	1329	80.5%	13.6%	5.9%	-6.7	16
1948-11-21	@ CD Malaga	D 1-1	1329	1436	5.9%	13.6%	80.5%	+6.7	10
1948-11-21	Castellon	L 2-3	1386	1284	80.4%	13.6%	6.0%	-25.2	10
1948-11-21	@ Girona	W 3-2	1284	1386	6.0%	13.6%	80.4%	+25.1	9
1948-11-21	Baracaldo	D 1-1	1393	1333	78.8%	13.7%	7.5%	-6.3	11
1948-11-21	@ Levante	D 1-1	1333	1393	7.5%	13.7%	78.8%	+6.3	11
1948-11-21	Hercules	L 0-1	1333	1359	74.4%	13.9%	11.8%	-25.9	7
1948-11-21	@ Racing Ferrol	W 1-0	1359	1333	11.8%	13.9%	74.4%	+25.9	14
1948-11-21	Real Gijon	W 3-2	1276	1369	69.6%	13.9%	16.4%	+5.8	11
1948-11-21	@ Real Murcia	L 2-3	1369	1276	16.4%	13.9%	69.6%	-5.8	11
1948-11-21	Real Santander	W 5-0	1395	1312	79.7%	13.7%	6.6%	+11.9	12
1948-11-21	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-5	1312	1395	6.6%	13.7%	79.7%	-11.9	10
1948-11-28	Girona	W 3-0	1339	1361	74.6%	13.9%	11.5%	+12.6	13
1948-11-28	@ Baracaldo	L 0-3	1361	1339	11.5%	13.9%	74.6%	-12.6	10
1948-11-28	Levante	W 3-0	1334	1387	72.6%	13.9%	13.6%	+14.7	14
1948-11-28	@ Granada	L 0-3	1387	1334	13.6%	13.9%	72.6%	-14.7	11
1948-11-28	CD Malaga	W 3-0	1385	1429	73.2%	13.9%	13.0%	+14.1	16
1948-11-28	@ Hercules	L 0-3	1429	1385	13.0%	13.9%	73.2%	-14.1	16
1948-11-28	Castellon	L 2-4	1307	1309	75.8%	13.8%	10.4%	-38.5	7
1948-11-28	@ Racing Ferrol	W 4-2	1309	1307	10.4%	13.8%	75.8%	+38.5	11
1948-11-28	Badalona	W 1-0	1300	1308	75.4%	13.8%	10.8%	+4.3	12
1948-11-28	@ Real Santander	L 0-1	1308	1300	10.8%	13.8%	75.4%	-4.3	10
1948-11-28	Real Sociedad	D 0-0	1363	1407	73.2%	13.9%	12.9%	-5.9	12
1948-11-28	@ Real Gijon	D 0-0	1407	1363	12.9%	13.9%	73.2%	+5.9	13
1948-11-28	Real Murcia	W 2-0	1336	1282	78.5%	13.7%	7.8%	+5.9	12
1948-11-28	@ Mestalla	L 0-2	1282	1336	7.8%	13.7%	78.5%	-6.0	11
1948-12-05	Real Gijon	D 1-1	1304	1358	72.6%	13.9%	13.6%	-5.1	11
1948-12-05	@ Badalona	D 1-1	1358	1304	13.6%	13.9%	72.6%	+5.1	13
1948-12-05	Baracaldo	L 0-2	1347	1352	75.6%	13.8%	10.6%	-49.6	11
1948-12-05	@ Castellon	W 2-0	1352	1347	10.6%	13.8%	75.6%	+49.6	15
1948-12-05	Racing Ferrol	W 6-2	1415	1268	81.8%	13.5%	4.7%	+4.9	18
1948-12-05	@ CD Malaga	L 2-6	1268	1415	4.7%	13.5%	81.8%	-4.9	7
1948-12-05	Granada	L 0-1	1348	1348	75.9%	13.8%	10.3%	-26.4	10
1948-12-05	@ Girona	W 1-0	1348	1348	10.3%	13.8%	75.9%	+26.4	16
1948-12-05	Real Santander	W 3-1	1372	1304	79.1%	13.7%	7.2%	+4.8	13
1948-12-05	@ Levante	L 1-3	1304	1372	7.2%	13.7%	79.1%	-4.8	12
1948-12-05	Hercules	W 5-1	1276	1399	67.1%	14.0%	19.0%	+22.0	13
1948-12-05	@ Real Murcia	L 1-5	1399	1276	19.0%	14.0%	67.1%	-22.0	16
1948-12-05	Mestalla	W 2-0	1413	1342	79.2%	13.7%	7.1%	+5.4	15
1948-12-05	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-2	1342	1413	7.1%	13.7%	79.2%	-5.4	12
1948-12-12	Mestalla	W 2-1	1299	1336	73.6%	13.9%	12.5%	+4.7	13
1948-12-12	@ Badalona	L 1-2	1336	1299	12.5%	13.9%	73.6%	-4.7	12
1948-12-12	Racing Ferrol	W 2-0	1402	1264	81.5%	13.5%	4.9%	+3.8	17
1948-12-12	@ Baracaldo	L 0-2	1264	1402	4.9%	13.5%	81.5%	-3.8	7
1948-12-12	Granada	W 1-0	1298	1375	70.8%	13.9%	15.2%	+6.0	13
1948-12-12	@ Castellon	L 0-1	1375	1298	15.2%	13.9%	70.8%	-6.0	16
1948-12-12	Real Santander	W 4-0	1322	1300	77.0%	13.8%	9.2%	+13.3	12
1948-12-12	@ Girona	L 0-4	1300	1322	9.2%	13.8%	77.0%	-13.3	12
1948-12-12	Real Gijon	D 1-1	1377	1363	76.6%	13.8%	9.6%	-5.9	14
1948-12-12	@ Levante	D 1-1	1363	1377	9.6%	13.8%	76.6%	+5.9	14
1948-12-12	CD Malaga	W 1-0	1298	1420	67.1%	14.0%	18.9%	+7.3	15
1948-12-12	@ Real Murcia	L 0-1	1420	1298	18.9%	14.0%	67.1%	-7.3	18
1948-12-12	Hercules	W 9-2	1419	1377	78.0%	13.7%	8.3%	+13.8	17
1948-12-12	@ Real Sociedad	L 2-9	1377	1419	8.3%	13.7%	78.0%	-13.8	16
1949-01-09	Baracaldo	W 3-1	1369	1405	73.7%	13.9%	12.4%	+8.1	18
1949-01-09	@ Granada	L 1-3	1405	1369	12.4%	13.9%	73.7%	-8.1	17
1949-01-09	Badalona	W 2-1	1363	1304	78.7%	13.7%	7.5%	+2.9	18
1949-01-09	@ Hercules	L 1-2	1304	1363	7.5%	13.7%	78.7%	-2.9	13
1949-01-09	Real Murcia	L 2-3	1260	1306	73.1%	13.9%	13.1%	-22.7	7
1949-01-09	@ Racing Ferrol	W 3-2	1306	1260	13.1%	13.9%	73.1%	+22.7	17
1949-01-09	Castellon	D 4-4	1286	1304	74.9%	13.8%	11.3%	-3.0	13
1949-01-09	@ Real Santander	D 4-4	1304	1286	11.3%	13.8%	74.9%	+3.0	14
1949-01-09	CD Malaga	W 5-1	1432	1412	76.9%	13.8%	9.3%	+11.2	19
1949-01-09	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-5	1412	1432	9.3%	13.8%	76.9%	-11.2	18
1949-01-09	Girona	W 2-0	1369	1335	77.6%	13.8%	8.7%	+6.6	16
1949-01-09	@ Real Gijon	L 0-2	1335	1369	8.7%	13.8%	77.6%	-6.6	12
1949-01-09	Levante	W 1-0	1332	1371	73.5%	13.9%	12.6%	+5.0	14
1949-01-09	@ Mestalla	L 0-1	1371	1332	12.6%	13.9%	73.5%	-5.0	14
1949-01-16	CD Malaga	D 2-2	1301	1401	69.0%	13.9%	17.1%	-3.3	14
1949-01-16	@ Badalona	D 2-2	1401	1301	17.1%	13.9%	69.0%	+3.3	19
1949-01-16	Real Santander	L 2-3	1397	1283	80.8%	13.6%	5.6%	-25.3	17
1949-01-16	@ Baracaldo	W 3-2	1283	1397	5.6%	13.6%	80.8%	+25.3	15
1949-01-16	Real Gijon	W 4-1	1307	1375	71.5%	13.9%	14.6%	+13.3	16
1949-01-16	@ Castellon	L 1-4	1375	1307	14.6%	13.9%	71.5%	-13.3	16
1949-01-16	Mestalla	W 2-1	1328	1337	75.4%	13.8%	10.8%	+4.1	14
1949-01-16	@ Girona	L 1-2	1337	1328	10.8%	13.8%	75.4%	-4.1	14
1949-01-16	Racing Ferrol	W 3-0	1377	1237	81.6%	13.5%	4.9%	+5.5	20
1949-01-16	@ Granada	L 0-3	1237	1377	4.9%	13.5%	81.6%	-5.5	7
1949-01-16	Hercules	D 1-1	1366	1366	75.9%	13.8%	10.3%	-5.8	15
1949-01-16	@ Levante	D 1-1	1366	1366	10.3%	13.8%	75.9%	+5.8	19
1949-01-16	Real Murcia	W 7-0	1444	1328	80.8%	13.6%	5.6%	+13.8	21
1949-01-16	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-7	1328	1444	5.6%	13.6%	80.8%	-13.8	17
1949-01-23	Levante	W 5-0	1405	1360	78.1%	13.7%	8.2%	+14.6	21
1949-01-23	@ CD Malaga	L 0-5	1360	1405	8.2%	13.7%	78.1%	-14.6	15
1949-01-23	Girona	W 2-0	1372	1332	77.8%	13.8%	8.4%	+6.4	21
1949-01-23	@ Hercules	L 0-2	1332	1372	8.4%	13.8%	77.8%	-6.4	14
1949-01-23	Real Sociedad	L 3-4	1232	1457	56.0%	14.0%	30.0%	-16.9	7
1949-01-23	@ Racing Ferrol	W 4-3	1457	1232	30.0%	14.0%	56.0%	+16.9	23
1949-01-23	Granada	L 1-2	1309	1382	71.1%	13.9%	15.0%	-23.2	15
1949-01-23	@ Real Santander	W 2-1	1382	1309	15.0%	13.9%	71.1%	+23.2	22
1949-01-23	Badalona	L 1-2	1314	1298	76.8%	13.8%	9.4%	-25.2	17
1949-01-23	@ Real Murcia	W 2-1	1298	1314	9.4%	13.8%	76.8%	+25.2	16
1949-01-23	Baracaldo	D 0-0	1362	1372	75.3%	13.8%	10.9%	-6.3	17
1949-01-23	@ Real Gijon	D 0-0	1372	1362	10.9%	13.8%	75.3%	+6.3	18
1949-01-23	Castellon	W 3-1	1333	1320	76.5%	13.8%	9.7%	+6.3	16
1949-01-23	@ Mestalla	L 1-3	1320	1333	9.7%	13.8%	76.5%	-6.3	16
1949-01-30	Real Sociedad	W 2-1	1323	1474	64.3%	14.0%	21.7%	+7.9	18
1949-01-30	@ Badalona	L 1-2	1474	1323	21.7%	14.0%	64.3%	-7.9	23
1949-01-30	Mestalla	W 6-2	1378	1339	77.8%	13.8%	8.4%	+8.6	20
1949-01-30	@ Baracaldo	L 2-6	1339	1378	8.4%	13.8%	77.8%	-8.6	16
1949-01-30	Hercules	L 1-2	1314	1378	71.8%	13.9%	14.3%	-23.5	16
1949-01-30	@ Castellon	W 2-1	1378	1314	14.3%	13.9%	71.8%	+23.5	23
1949-01-30	CD Malaga	D 2-2	1326	1419	69.6%	13.9%	16.5%	-3.4	15
1949-01-30	@ Girona	D 2-2	1419	1326	16.5%	13.9%	69.6%	+3.4	22
1949-01-30	Real Gijon	W 1-0	1406	1356	78.3%	13.7%	7.9%	+3.2	24
1949-01-30	@ Granada	L 0-1	1356	1406	7.9%	13.7%	78.3%	-3.2	17
1949-01-30	Real Murcia	D 2-2	1346	1289	78.6%	13.7%	7.7%	-4.7	16
1949-01-30	@ Levante	D 2-2	1289	1346	7.7%	13.7%	78.6%	+4.7	18
1949-01-30	Racing Ferrol	L 1-2	1285	1215	79.2%	13.7%	7.1%	-26.1	15
1949-01-30	@ Real Santander	W 2-1	1215	1285	7.1%	13.7%	79.2%	+26.1	9
1949-02-06	Castellon	W 1-0	1423	1290	81.4%	13.5%	5.1%	+2.1	24
1949-02-06	@ CD Malaga	L 0-1	1290	1423	5.1%	13.5%	81.4%	-2.1	16
1949-02-06	Baracaldo	W 2-0	1402	1387	76.6%	13.8%	9.6%	+7.3	25
1949-02-06	@ Hercules	L 0-2	1387	1402	9.6%	13.8%	76.6%	-7.3	20
1949-02-06	Badalona	W 4-0	1241	1331	69.8%	13.9%	16.2%	+22.8	11
1949-02-06	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-4	1331	1241	16.2%	13.9%	69.8%	-22.8	18
1949-02-06	Girona	W 3-0	1294	1323	74.2%	13.9%	12.0%	+13.1	20
1949-02-06	@ Real Murcia	L 0-3	1323	1294	12.0%	13.9%	74.2%	-13.1	15
1949-02-06	Levante	W 4-3	1466	1341	81.2%	13.6%	5.3%	+1.9	25
1949-02-06	@ Real Sociedad	L 3-4	1341	1466	5.3%	13.6%	81.2%	-1.9	16
1949-02-06	Real Santander	W 3-0	1352	1259	80.1%	13.6%	6.3%	+7.0	19
1949-02-06	@ Real Gijon	L 0-3	1259	1352	6.3%	13.6%	80.1%	-7.0	15
1949-02-06	Granada	L 1-2	1330	1409	70.7%	13.9%	15.3%	-23.1	16
1949-02-06	@ Mestalla	W 2-1	1409	1330	15.3%	13.9%	70.7%	+23.1	26
1949-02-13	CD Malaga	W 3-2	1380	1425	73.1%	13.9%	13.0%	+4.6	22
1949-02-13	@ Baracaldo	L 2-3	1425	1380	13.0%	13.9%	73.1%	-4.6	24
1949-02-13	Real Murcia	W 4-0	1288	1307	74.8%	13.8%	11.4%	+16.3	18
1949-02-13	@ Castellon	L 0-4	1307	1288	11.4%	13.8%	74.8%	-16.3	20
1949-02-13	Real Sociedad	W 4-1	1310	1468	63.5%	14.0%	22.5%	+19.9	17
1949-02-13	@ Girona	L 1-4	1468	1310	22.5%	14.0%	63.5%	-19.9	25
1949-02-13	Hercules	D 1-1	1432	1409	77.1%	13.8%	9.2%	-6.0	27
1949-02-13	@ Granada	D 1-1	1409	1432	9.2%	13.8%	77.1%	+6.0	26
1949-02-13	Badalona	W 4-0	1339	1308	77.5%	13.8%	8.8%	+12.7	18
1949-02-13	@ Levante	L 0-4	1308	1339	8.8%	13.8%	77.5%	-12.7	18
1949-02-13	Mestalla	L 0-1	1252	1307	72.4%	13.9%	13.7%	-25.2	15
1949-02-13	@ Real Santander	W 1-0	1307	1252	13.7%	13.9%	72.4%	+25.2	18
1949-02-13	Racing Ferrol	W 6-1	1359	1263	80.2%	13.6%	6.2%	+9.2	21
1949-02-13	@ Real Gijon	L 1-6	1263	1359	6.2%	13.6%	80.2%	-9.2	11
1949-02-20	Girona	L 0-3	1295	1329	73.8%	13.9%	12.3%	-70.3	18
1949-02-20	@ Badalona	W 3-0	1329	1295	12.3%	13.9%	73.8%	+70.3	19
1949-02-20	Granada	W 5-0	1420	1426	75.5%	13.8%	10.6%	+18.8	26
1949-02-20	@ CD Malaga	L 0-5	1426	1420	10.6%	13.8%	75.5%	-18.8	27
1949-02-20	Real Santander	W 4-1	1415	1227	82.8%	13.4%	3.8%	+3.6	28
1949-02-20	@ Hercules	L 1-4	1227	1415	3.8%	13.4%	82.8%	-3.6	15
1949-02-20	Levante	L 0-1	1254	1352	69.2%	13.9%	16.9%	-24.0	11
1949-02-20	@ Racing Ferrol	W 1-0	1352	1254	16.9%	13.9%	69.2%	+24.0	20
1949-02-20	Baracaldo	W 5-1	1291	1384	69.5%	13.9%	16.5%	+19.3	22
1949-02-20	@ Real Murcia	L 1-5	1384	1291	16.5%	13.9%	69.5%	-19.3	22
1949-02-20	Castellon	W 7-0	1449	1304	81.7%	13.5%	4.8%	+11.9	27
1949-02-20	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-7	1304	1449	4.8%	13.5%	81.7%	-11.9	18
1949-02-20	Real Gijon	L 2-3	1332	1369	73.7%	13.9%	12.4%	-22.9	18
1949-02-20	@ Mestalla	W 3-2	1369	1332	12.4%	13.9%	73.7%	+22.9	23
1949-02-27	Real Sociedad	L 1-2	1365	1460	69.4%	13.9%	16.7%	-22.7	22
1949-02-27	@ Baracaldo	W 2-1	1460	1365	16.7%	13.9%	69.4%	+22.7	29
1949-02-27	Badalona	W 2-1	1293	1225	79.1%	13.7%	7.2%	+2.8	20
1949-02-27	@ Castellon	L 1-2	1225	1293	7.2%	13.7%	79.1%	-2.8	18
1949-02-27	Levante	W 5-1	1400	1376	77.1%	13.8%	9.1%	+11.0	21
1949-02-27	@ Girona	L 1-5	1376	1400	9.1%	13.8%	77.1%	-11.0	20
1949-02-27	Real Murcia	W 5-1	1407	1310	80.2%	13.6%	6.2%	+7.5	29
1949-02-27	@ Granada	L 1-5	1310	1407	6.2%	13.6%	80.2%	-7.5	22
1949-02-27	CD Malaga	D 2-2	1223	1439	57.2%	14.0%	28.8%	-1.7	16
1949-02-27	@ Real Santander	D 2-2	1439	1223	28.8%	14.0%	57.2%	+1.8	27
1949-02-27	Hercules	W 3-2	1392	1418	74.3%	13.9%	11.8%	+4.2	25
1949-02-27	@ Real Gijon	L 2-3	1418	1392	11.8%	13.9%	74.3%	-4.2	28
1949-02-27	Racing Ferrol	W 6-1	1310	1230	79.5%	13.7%	6.8%	+10.1	20
1949-02-27	@ Mestalla	L 1-6	1230	1310	6.8%	13.7%	79.5%	-10.1	11
1949-03-06	Baracaldo	L 1-2	1222	1342	67.3%	14.0%	18.8%	-22.0	18
1949-03-06	@ Badalona	W 2-1	1342	1222	18.8%	14.0%	67.3%	+22.0	24
1949-03-06	Real Gijon	W 3-0	1441	1396	78.1%	13.7%	8.2%	+9.0	29
1949-03-06	@ CD Malaga	L 0-3	1396	1441	8.2%	13.7%	78.1%	-9.0	25
1949-03-06	Mestalla	W 4-1	1414	1320	80.1%	13.6%	6.3%	+5.9	30
1949-03-06	@ Hercules	L 1-4	1320	1414	6.3%	13.6%	80.1%	-5.9	20
1949-03-06	Castellon	W 4-1	1365	1295	79.2%	13.7%	7.1%	+6.7	22
1949-03-06	@ Levante	L 1-4	1295	1365	7.1%	13.7%	79.2%	-6.7	20
1949-03-06	Girona	W 1-0	1220	1411	60.2%	14.0%	25.9%	+9.8	13
1949-03-06	@ Racing Ferrol	L 0-1	1411	1220	25.9%	14.0%	60.2%	-9.8	21
1949-03-06	Real Santander	W 4-1	1303	1222	79.6%	13.7%	6.7%	+6.3	24
1949-03-06	@ Real Murcia	L 1-4	1222	1303	6.7%	13.7%	79.6%	-6.3	16
1949-03-06	Granada	W 5-1	1483	1415	79.1%	13.7%	7.2%	+8.7	31
1949-03-06	@ Real Sociedad	L 1-5	1415	1483	7.2%	13.7%	79.1%	-8.7	29
1949-04-03	Levante	W 2-1	1364	1372	75.5%	13.8%	10.7%	+4.0	26
1949-04-03	@ Baracaldo	L 1-2	1372	1364	10.7%	13.8%	75.5%	-4.0	22
1949-04-03	Girona	W 3-1	1289	1401	68.0%	14.0%	18.1%	+11.5	22
1949-04-03	@ Castellon	L 1-3	1401	1289	18.1%	14.0%	68.0%	-11.5	21
1949-04-03	Badalona	W 4-2	1406	1200	83.2%	13.3%	3.4%	+2.0	31
1949-04-03	@ Granada	L 2-4	1200	1406	3.4%	13.3%	83.2%	-2.0	18
1949-04-03	Racing Ferrol	L 0-1	1420	1230	82.9%	13.4%	3.7%	-29.0	30
1949-04-03	@ Hercules	W 1-0	1230	1420	3.7%	13.4%	82.9%	+29.0	15
1949-04-03	Real Sociedad	W 2-0	1215	1492	49.4%	14.0%	36.6%	+25.1	18
1949-04-03	@ Real Santander	L 0-2	1492	1215	36.6%	14.0%	49.4%	-25.1	31
1949-04-03	Real Murcia	W 7-0	1387	1309	79.5%	13.7%	6.8%	+16.9	27
1949-04-03	@ Real Gijon	L 0-7	1309	1387	6.8%	13.7%	79.5%	-16.9	24
1949-04-03	CD Malaga	L 0-1	1314	1450	65.8%	14.0%	20.2%	-22.8	20
1949-04-03	@ Mestalla	W 1-0	1450	1314	20.2%	14.0%	65.8%	+22.8	31
1949-04-10	Real Santander	D 1-1	1198	1240	73.3%	13.9%	12.8%	-5.3	19
1949-04-10	@ Badalona	D 1-1	1240	1198	12.8%	13.9%	73.3%	+5.3	19
1949-04-10	Racing Ferrol	W 3-2	1300	1259	77.9%	13.7%	8.3%	+3.0	24
1949-04-10	@ Castellon	L 2-3	1259	1300	8.3%	13.7%	77.9%	-3.0	15
1949-04-10	Hercules	W 1-0	1472	1391	79.6%	13.7%	6.7%	+2.7	33
1949-04-10	@ CD Malaga	L 0-1	1391	1472	6.7%	13.7%	79.6%	-2.7	30
1949-04-10	Baracaldo	D 0-0	1389	1368	77.0%	13.8%	9.2%	-6.7	22
1949-04-10	@ Girona	D 0-0	1368	1389	9.2%	13.8%	77.0%	+6.7	27
1949-04-10	Granada	L 2-3	1368	1408	73.4%	13.9%	12.7%	-22.8	22
1949-04-10	@ Levante	W 3-2	1408	1368	12.7%	13.9%	73.4%	+22.8	33
1949-04-10	Mestalla	W 4-3	1292	1291	75.9%	13.8%	10.3%	+3.6	26
1949-04-10	@ Real Murcia	L 3-4	1291	1292	10.3%	13.8%	75.9%	-3.6	20
1949-04-10	Real Gijon	W 3-0	1467	1404	78.9%	13.7%	7.4%	+8.2	33
1949-04-10	@ Real Sociedad	L 0-3	1404	1467	7.4%	13.7%	78.9%	-8.2	27
1949-04-17	Castellon	W 6-1	1375	1303	79.2%	13.7%	7.1%	+10.5	29
1949-04-17	@ Baracaldo	L 1-6	1303	1375	7.1%	13.7%	79.2%	-10.5	24
1949-04-17	Girona	W 3-0	1431	1383	78.2%	13.7%	8.0%	+8.9	35
1949-04-17	@ Granada	L 0-3	1383	1431	8.0%	13.7%	78.2%	-8.9	22
1949-04-17	Real Murcia	W 8-2	1388	1296	80.0%	13.6%	6.3%	+9.2	32
1949-04-17	@ Hercules	L 2-8	1296	1388	6.3%	13.6%	80.0%	-9.2	26
1949-04-17	CD Malaga	L 1-5	1256	1475	56.8%	14.0%	29.2%	-58.7	15
1949-04-17	@ Racing Ferrol	W 5-1	1475	1256	29.2%	14.0%	56.8%	+58.7	35
1949-04-17	Levante	W 5-1	1246	1345	69.1%	13.9%	17.0%	+19.8	21
1949-04-17	@ Real Santander	L 1-5	1345	1246	17.0%	13.9%	69.1%	-19.8	22
1949-04-17	Badalona	W 5-3	1395	1193	83.2%	13.4%	3.5%	+2.0	29
1949-04-17	@ Real Gijon	L 3-5	1193	1395	3.5%	13.4%	83.2%	-2.0	19
1949-04-17	Real Sociedad	L 1-3	1287	1475	60.5%	14.0%	25.5%	-34.2	20
1949-04-17	@ Mestalla	W 3-1	1475	1287	25.5%	14.0%	60.5%	+34.2	35

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1949-04-03	3.72%	Racing Ferrol	1230	1	@ Hercules	1420	0
2	1949-01-16	5.63%	Real Santander	1283	3	@ Baracaldo	1397	2
3	1948-11-21	6.00%	Castellon	1284	3	@ Girona	1386	2
4	1949-01-30	7.11%	Racing Ferrol	1215	2	@ Real Santander	1285	1
5	1949-01-23	9.45%	Badalona	1298	2	@ Real Murcia	1314	1
6	1948-12-05	10.33%	Granada	1348	1	@ Girona	1348	0
7	1948-11-28	10.42%	Castellon	1309	4	@ Racing Ferrol	1307	2
8	1948-12-05	10.56%	Baracaldo	1352	2	@ Castellon	1347	0
9	1948-10-17	10.77%	Real Sociedad	1381	2	@ Levante	1373	1
10	1948-09-19	11.39%	Hercules	1342	4	@ Badalona	1322	3
11	1948-10-10	11.46%	Levante	1330	3	@ Real Murcia	1310	1
12	1948-11-21	11.79%	Hercules	1359	1	@ Racing Ferrol	1333	0
13	1949-02-20	12.30%	Girona	1329	3	@ Badalona	1295	0
14	1949-02-20	12.42%	Real Gijon	1369	3	@ Mestalla	1332	2
15	1949-04-10	12.69%	Granada	1408	3	@ Levante	1368	2
16	1948-10-03	13.04%	CD Malaga	1399	3	@ Levante	1353	2
17	1949-01-09	13.05%	Real Murcia	1306	3	@ Racing Ferrol	1260	2
18	1949-02-13	13.67%	Mestalla	1307	1	@ Real Santander	1252	0
19	1948-11-14	14.19%	Levante	1370	2	@ Castellon	1307	1
20	1949-01-30	14.32%	Hercules	1378	2	@ Castellon	1314	1
21	1949-01-23	15.00%	Granada	1382	2	@ Real Santander	1309	1
22	1949-02-06	15.34%	Granada	1409	2	@ Mestalla	1330	1
23	1949-02-27	16.68%	Real Sociedad	1460	2	@ Baracaldo	1365	1
24	1949-02-20	16.85%	Levante	1352	1	@ Racing Ferrol	1254	0
25	1949-03-06	18.78%	Baracaldo	1342	2	@ Badalona	1222	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1949-02-20	70.30	Girona	3	1329	12.30%	@ Badalona	0	1295	73.83%	13.87%
2	1949-04-17	58.66	CD Malaga	5	1475	29.22%	@ Racing Ferrol	1	1256	56.79%	13.99%
3	1948-12-05	49.65	Baracaldo	2	1352	10.56%	@ Castellon	0	1347	75.61%	13.82%
4	1948-10-10	42.44	Levante	3	1330	11.46%	@ Real Murcia	1	1310	74.69%	13.85%
5	1948-11-28	38.55	Castellon	4	1309	10.42%	@ Racing Ferrol	2	1307	75.77%	13.82%
6	1949-04-17	34.16	Real Sociedad	3	1475	25.54%	@ Mestalla	1	1287	60.48%	13.99%
7	1948-09-12	33.61	@ Real Santander	7	1295	65.88%	Girona	1	1430	20.15%	13.96%
8	1949-04-03	29.05	Racing Ferrol	1	1230	3.72%	@ Hercules	0	1420	82.89%	13.39%
9	1948-12-05	26.42	Granada	1	1348	10.33%	@ Girona	0	1348	75.86%	13.82%
10	1949-01-30	26.10	Racing Ferrol	2	1215	7.11%	@ Real Santander	1	1285	79.21%	13.68%
11	1948-11-21	25.86	Hercules	1	1359	11.79%	@ Racing Ferrol	0	1333	74.35%	13.85%
12	1949-01-16	25.29	Real Santander	3	1283	5.63%	@ Baracaldo	2	1397	80.78%	13.59%
13	1949-01-23	25.23	Badalona	2	1298	9.45%	@ Real Murcia	1	1314	76.77%	13.79%
14	1949-02-13	25.16	Mestalla	1	1307	13.67%	@ Real Santander	0	1252	72.44%	13.89%
15	1948-11-21	25.15	Castellon	3	1284	6.00%	@ Girona	2	1386	80.38%	13.62%
16	1949-04-03	25.07	@ Real Santander	2	1215	49.40%	Real Sociedad	0	1492	36.62%	13.97%
17	1948-10-17	24.76	Real Sociedad	2	1381	10.77%	@ Levante	1	1373	75.41%	13.83%
18	1949-02-20	23.98	Levante	1	1352	16.85%	@ Racing Ferrol	0	1254	69.21%	13.94%
19	1948-11-14	23.53	Levante	2	1370	14.19%	@ Castellon	1	1307	71.91%	13.90%
20	1949-01-30	23.48	Hercules	2	1378	14.32%	@ Castellon	1	1314	71.78%	13.90%
21	1949-01-23	23.25	Granada	2	1382	15.00%	@ Real Santander	1	1309	71.09%	13.91%
22	1949-02-06	23.13	Granada	2	1409	15.34%	@ Mestalla	1	1330	70.74%	13.92%
23	1949-02-20	22.92	Real Gijon	3	1369	12.42%	@ Mestalla	2	1332	73.71%	13.87%
24	1949-04-10	22.83	Granada	3	1408	12.69%	@ Levante	2	1368	73.43%	13.87%
25	1949-02-06	22.79	@ Racing Ferrol	4	1241	69.83%	Badalona	0	1331	16.24%	13.93%