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1990-91 Premier Division Season

180 games

Final

Champion

Rangers

55 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Aberdeen

6.74 points above expected

53 points · 46.26 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

St. Mirren

6.94 points below expected

19 points · 25.94 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Rangers 36 24 7 5 55 62 23 +39 48.97 +6.03
2 Aberdeen 36 22 9 5 53 62 27 +35 46.26 +6.74
3 Celtic 36 17 7 12 41 52 38 +14 37.72 +3.28
4 Dundee United 36 17 7 12 41 41 29 +12 41.64 -0.64
5 Heart of Midlothian 36 14 7 15 35 48 55 -7 35.73 -0.73
6 Motherwell 36 12 9 15 33 51 50 +1 32.81 +0.19
7 St. Johnstone 36 11 9 16 31 41 54 -13 33.64 -2.64
8 Dunfermline Athletic 36 8 11 17 27 38 61 -23 29.85 -2.85
9 Hibernian 36 6 13 17 25 24 51 -27 27.46 -2.46
10 St. Mirren 36 5 9 22 19 28 59 -31 25.94 -6.94

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Aberdeen 1861 53 46.26 +6.74 94.7% 28 39 43 46 49 54 62
Rangers 1838 55 48.97 +6.03 93.3% 32 41 46 49 52 56 67
Celtic 1760 41 37.72 +3.28 79.2% 19 30 35 38 41 46 54
Dundee United 1698 41 41.64 -0.64 48.3% 24 34 38 42 45 49 60
Motherwell 1681 33 32.81 +0.19 56.2% 16 25 30 33 36 41 51
Heart of Midlothian 1669 35 35.73 -0.73 47.7% 18 28 33 36 39 43 52
St. Johnstone 1553 31 33.64 -2.64 32.7% 18 26 30 34 37 41 49
Dunfermline Athletic 1521 27 29.85 -2.85 30.9% 14 22 27 30 33 38 48
Hibernian 1510 25 27.46 -2.46 34.1% 10 20 24 27 31 35 46
St. Mirren 1473 19 25.94 -6.94 8.0% 9 19 23 26 29 34 44

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ABE CEL DU DA HOM HIB MOT RAN SJ SM
Aberdeen —
3-0-1
6.87
2-1-1
6.30
2-2-0
7.77
3-0-1
7.26
3-1-0
8.09
2-2-0
7.59
1-2-1
4.99
2-1-1
7.67
4-0-0
8.39
Celtic
1-0-3
4.11
 —
1-1-2
4.87
2-1-1
6.90
2-1-1
5.66
3-1-0
6.83
1-1-2
6.35
1-1-2
3.52
2-1-1
6.35
4-0-0
7.40
Dundee United
1-1-2
4.67
2-1-1
6.10
 —
2-0-2
7.55
1-1-2
6.39
1-2-1
8.06
3-0-1
6.64
2-0-2
4.19
2-1-1
6.43
3-1-0
7.85
Dunfermline Athletic
0-2-2
3.26
1-1-2
4.10
2-0-2
3.44
 —
2-1-1
4.49
0-3-1
5.91
0-1-3
5.07
0-0-4
2.80
2-0-2
5.04
1-3-0
6.14
Heart of Midlothian
1-0-3
3.73
1-1-2
5.30
2-1-1
4.59
1-1-2
6.49
 —
3-1-0
6.68
3-1-0
5.68
0-0-4
3.51
2-0-2
5.84
1-2-1
7.16
Hibernian
0-1-3
2.95
0-1-3
4.15
1-2-1
2.96
1-3-0
5.07
0-1-3
4.31
 —
1-1-2
4.43
0-2-2
2.65
1-2-1
4.49
2-0-2
5.65
Motherwell
0-2-2
3.43
2-1-1
4.63
1-0-3
4.35
3-1-0
5.90
0-1-3
5.28
2-1-1
6.55
 —
1-0-3
3.16
2-1-1
4.98
1-2-1
6.43
Rangers
1-2-1
5.98
2-1-1
7.49
2-0-2
6.80
4-0-0
8.23
4-0-0
7.51
2-2-0
8.42
3-0-1
7.86
 —
2-2-0
7.83
4-0-0
8.95
St. Johnstone
1-1-2
3.35
1-1-2
4.63
1-1-2
4.55
2-0-2
5.93
2-0-2
5.13
1-2-1
6.49
1-1-2
6.01
0-2-2
3.19
 —
2-1-1
6.63
St. Mirren
0-0-4
2.66
0-0-4
3.62
0-1-3
3.16
0-3-1
4.84
1-2-1
3.83
2-0-2
5.32
1-2-1
4.55
0-0-4
2.14
1-1-2
4.36
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.80 +8.2
Allowed 0.83 -7.5
Differential 0.97 +4.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%12.22%4.72%4.44%0.83%0.83%31.39%
112.22%12.22%6.11%2.22%2.22%0.28%35.28%
24.72%6.11%3.33%2.78%0.56%0.28%17.78%
34.44%2.22%2.78%0.56%0.28%—10.28%
40.83%2.22%0.56%0.28%——3.89%
5+0.83%0.28%0.28%———1.39%
Total31.39%35.28%17.78%10.28%3.89%1.39%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.24 1.24 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.19 1.75
CV 0.96 0.96 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 180

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%8.33%2.78%——2.78%25.00%
113.89%11.11%————25.00%
28.33%8.33%2.78%———19.44%
311.11%—5.56%———16.67%
42.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total50.00%33.33%13.89%——2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.75 +0.97
SD 1.45 1.02 1.84
CV 0.84 1.37 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%5.56%5.56%5.56%——22.22%
113.89%13.89%11.11%2.78%——41.67%
28.33%2.78%—2.78%——13.89%
311.11%—5.56%———16.67%
4—2.78%————2.78%
5+—2.78%————2.78%
Total38.89%27.78%22.22%11.11%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.44 1.06 +0.39
SD 1.25 1.04 1.79
CV 0.87 0.99 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%19.44%————30.56%
119.44%8.33%11.11%———38.89%
22.78%11.11%—2.78%——16.67%
35.56%5.56%2.78%———13.89%
4———————
5+———————
Total38.89%44.44%13.89%2.78%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 0.81 +0.33
SD 1.02 0.79 1.20
CV 0.89 0.98 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%13.89%5.56%5.56%——30.56%
111.11%16.67%2.78%2.78%5.56%2.78%41.67%
22.78%2.78%5.56%5.56%—2.78%19.44%
3—2.78%2.78%2.78%——8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total19.44%36.11%16.67%16.67%5.56%5.56%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.69 -0.64
SD 0.92 1.41 1.51
CV 0.88 0.83 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%5.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%22.22%
18.33%16.67%11.11%5.56%2.78%—44.44%
25.56%8.33%—2.78%——16.67%
32.78%5.56%2.78%———11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+———————
Total19.44%41.67%16.67%13.89%5.56%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.53 -0.19
SD 1.12 1.28 1.97
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%13.89%5.56%2.78%—50.00%
111.11%22.22%—2.78%5.56%—41.67%
2————2.78%—2.78%
32.78%—————2.78%
4———2.78%——2.78%
5+———————
Total27.78%36.11%13.89%11.11%11.11%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.42 -0.75
SD 0.89 1.32 1.50
CV 1.34 0.93 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.78%11.11%8.33%5.56%——27.78%
18.33%13.89%8.33%2.78%——33.33%
25.56%2.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%—19.44%
35.56%2.78%—2.78%——11.11%
4—5.56%————5.56%
5+——2.78%———2.78%
Total22.22%36.11%25.00%13.89%2.78%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.39 +0.03
SD 1.32 1.08 1.75
CV 0.93 0.78 —
Max 5 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.11%2.78%—5.56%——19.44%
119.44%5.56%5.56%———30.56%
213.89%8.33%2.78%———25.00%
35.56%5.56%————11.11%
45.56%2.78%2.78%———11.11%
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total58.33%25.00%11.11%5.56%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.72 0.64 +1.08
SD 1.37 0.90 1.73
CV 0.79 1.41 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.89%13.89%2.78%8.33%——38.89%
15.56%5.56%5.56%2.78%5.56%—25.00%
2—13.89%5.56%5.56%——25.00%
3——8.33%———8.33%
4———————
5+2.78%—————2.78%
Total22.22%33.33%22.22%16.67%5.56%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.14 1.50 -0.36
SD 1.20 1.18 1.62
CV 1.05 0.79 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 36

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.56%27.78%5.56%2.78%2.78%2.78%47.22%
111.11%8.33%5.56%2.78%2.78%—30.56%
2—2.78%11.11%5.56%——19.44%
3————2.78%—2.78%
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%38.89%22.22%11.11%8.33%2.78%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.78 1.64 -0.86
SD 0.87 1.29 1.36
CV 1.11 0.79 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 36

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Aberdeen 53 46.26 +6.74
2 Rangers 55 48.97 +6.03
3 Celtic 41 37.72 +3.28
4 Motherwell 33 32.81 +0.19
5 Dundee United 41 41.64 -0.64

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 St. Mirren 19 25.94 -6.94
2 Dunfermline Athletic 27 29.85 -2.85
3 St. Johnstone 31 33.64 -2.64
4 Hibernian 25 27.46 -2.46
5 Heart of Midlothian 35 35.73 -0.73

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Motherwell 5 Mar 9 – Apr 16 1 in 382
2 Celtic 6 Feb 2 – Mar 24 1 in 179
3 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Dec 15 – Jan 2 1 in 157
4 Aberdeen 7 Mar 23 – May 4 1 in 50
5 Rangers 7 Dec 29 – Feb 16 1 in 30

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Mirren 5 Sep 22 – Oct 20 1 in 64
2 St. Johnstone 4 Mar 2 – Mar 23 1 in 43
3 Celtic 3 Dec 8 – Dec 22 1 in 25
4 Heart of Midlothian 3 Oct 13 – Oct 27 1 in 22
5 Dundee United 3 Apr 16 – Apr 24 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 St. Johnstone 5 Sep 29 – Oct 27 1 in 38
2 Celtic 9 Jan 5 – Mar 24 1 in 35
3 Rangers 15 Nov 17 – Feb 26 1 in 19
4 Dunfermline Athletic 5 Oct 13 – Nov 17 1 in 19
5 Aberdeen 12 Feb 2 – May 4 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Hibernian 16 Oct 27 – Feb 9 1 in 107
2 Motherwell 10 Sep 29 – Dec 1 1 in 67
3 St. Mirren 17 Dec 26 – May 5 1 in 39
4 Celtic 6 Dec 8 – Jan 5 1 in 27
5 St. Johnstone 8 Feb 13 – Mar 30 1 in 21

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Rangers60.94%27.32%8.45%2.60%0.54%0.15%————
Aberdeen30.37%42.50%18.00%6.00%2.04%0.75%0.19%0.12%0.02%0.01%
Celtic1.55%6.04%17.70%27.40%20.21%13.25%7.65%3.85%1.81%0.54%
Dundee United6.26%18.64%36.00%20.42%10.27%4.98%2.26%0.88%0.21%0.08%
Heart of Midlothian0.60%3.16%9.41%18.59%21.24%19.11%13.90%8.23%4.31%1.45%
Motherwell0.13%0.75%4.02%9.31%16.04%20.04%20.29%15.46%9.48%4.48%
St. Johnstone0.15%1.31%4.82%10.63%17.39%20.17%19.63%13.99%8.39%3.52%
Dunfermline Athletic—0.21%1.05%3.41%7.34%11.60%17.18%23.42%21.30%14.49%
Hibernian—0.06%0.33%1.10%3.27%6.17%11.33%19.60%28.89%29.25%
St. Mirren—0.01%0.22%0.54%1.66%3.78%7.57%14.45%25.59%46.18%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+21.11%
Clear Edge
48.33%24.44%27.22%
Elo Value
Home Edge
195 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
074.47500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.42 goals
Neutral
-2+0.38+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 5th * Longshot: 6th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
61%
Rangers, 1st of 10
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.06/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.73 * Some Luck: 3.73 to 5.6 * Lucky: 5.6 to 7.47 * Wild Swing: 7.47 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.93 * Close: 0.93 to 1.39 * Off: 1.39 to 1.86 * Way Off: 1.86 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 10 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 10 * As Expected: 10 to 16 * Several Outliers: 16 to 22 * Many Outliers: 22 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.04 points
Some Luck
04.6712
Average Finish Error
Expected
0.40
Pinpoint
01.162.5
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.67%
Aberdeen
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
7.95%
St. Mirren
050
Season Outliers
Expected
0 of 10
Minimal Outliers
01.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.95
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
78%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
90%
Strong Edge
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
67%
Very Frequent
0%61%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%15%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.57
Predictable
00.592
Matchup Imbalance
0.43
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.77
Very Predictable
01.002
Repeatability
0.86
Near-Lock
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%21%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Solid Favorites
0%18%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.18 * Above Noise: 0.18 to 0.24 * Well Above Noise: 0.24 and up.
Probability calibration
0.58
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.35
Very Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.068
Well Within Noise
00.1210.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Aberdeen 100%
Celtic 100%
Dundee United 100%
Dunfermline Athletic 100%
Heart of Midlothian 100%
Hibernian 100%
Motherwell 100%
Rangers 100%
St. Johnstone 100%
St. Mirren 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1990-08-25 Hibernian W 2-0 1731 1630 61.1% 24.9% 14.0% +9.1 2
1990-08-25 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1630 1731 14.0% 24.9% 61.1% -9.1 0
1990-08-25 St. Mirren D 1-1 1689 1598 60.3% 25.0% 14.7% -2.9 1
1990-08-25 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1598 1689 14.7% 25.0% 60.3% +2.9 1
1990-08-25 Celtic W 2-0 1624 1664 46.7% 25.9% 27.5% +16.0 2
1990-08-25 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1664 1624 27.5% 25.9% 46.7% -16.0 0
1990-08-25 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-1 1752 1593 65.4% 24.1% 10.5% +6.1 2
1990-08-25 @ Rangers L 1-3 1593 1752 10.5% 24.1% 65.4% -6.1 0
1990-08-25 Dundee United L 1-3 1615 1666 45.3% 25.9% 28.8% -20.4 0
1990-08-25 @ St. Johnstone W 3-1 1666 1615 28.8% 25.9% 45.3% +20.4 2
1990-09-01 Aberdeen L 0-3 1648 1740 39.8% 25.9% 34.3% -30.9 0
1990-09-01 @ Celtic W 3-0 1740 1648 34.3% 25.9% 39.8% +30.9 4
1990-09-01 Motherwell W 1-0 1687 1640 56.3% 25.4% 18.2% +6.1 4
1990-09-01 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1640 1687 18.2% 25.4% 56.3% -6.1 2
1990-09-01 Heart of Midlothian W 2-0 1587 1687 38.8% 25.9% 35.3% +19.4 2
1990-09-01 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-2 1687 1587 35.3% 25.9% 38.8% -19.4 1
1990-09-01 Rangers D 0-0 1621 1758 33.6% 25.8% 40.6% +0.4 1
1990-09-01 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1758 1621 40.6% 25.8% 33.6% -0.4 3
1990-09-01 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1601 1594 52.2% 25.7% 22.1% -1.3 2
1990-09-01 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1594 1601 22.1% 25.7% 52.2% +1.4 1
1990-09-08 Hibernian W 2-0 1617 1621 50.9% 25.8% 23.3% +14.1 2
1990-09-08 @ Celtic L 0-2 1621 1617 23.3% 25.8% 50.9% -14.1 1
1990-09-08 St. Mirren W 1-0 1693 1600 60.5% 25.0% 14.6% +5.0 6
1990-09-08 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1600 1693 14.6% 25.0% 60.5% -5.0 2
1990-09-08 Aberdeen D 1-1 1606 1771 29.9% 25.6% 44.5% +0.8 3
1990-09-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1771 1606 44.5% 25.6% 29.9% -0.8 5
1990-09-08 Rangers L 1-3 1667 1757 40.1% 25.9% 34.0% -18.5 1
1990-09-08 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1757 1667 34.0% 25.9% 40.1% +18.5 5
1990-09-08 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1634 1596 55.4% 25.5% 19.1% +17.4 4
1990-09-08 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1596 1634 19.1% 25.5% 55.4% -17.4 1
1990-09-15 Dundee United D 1-1 1770 1698 58.7% 25.2% 16.1% -2.7 6
1990-09-15 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1698 1770 16.1% 25.2% 58.7% +2.7 7
1990-09-15 Heart of Midlothian L 0-3 1607 1649 46.5% 25.9% 27.6% -35.1 1
1990-09-15 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1649 1607 27.6% 25.9% 46.5% +35.1 3
1990-09-15 Celtic D 1-1 1776 1631 64.4% 24.3% 11.2% -3.5 6
1990-09-15 @ Rangers D 1-1 1631 1776 11.2% 24.3% 64.4% +3.5 3
1990-09-15 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-2 1578 1607 48.1% 25.9% 26.1% +7.3 3
1990-09-15 @ St. Johnstone L 2-3 1607 1578 26.1% 25.9% 48.1% -7.3 3
1990-09-15 Motherwell W 1-0 1595 1651 44.7% 25.9% 29.4% +9.0 4
1990-09-15 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1651 1595 29.4% 25.9% 44.7% -9.0 4
1990-09-22 St. Mirren W 2-1 1768 1604 65.7% 24.1% 10.2% +3.4 8
1990-09-22 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1604 1768 10.2% 24.1% 65.7% -3.4 4
1990-09-22 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1635 1684 45.6% 25.9% 28.5% +24.0 5
1990-09-22 @ Celtic L 0-3 1684 1635 28.5% 25.9% 45.6% -24.0 3
1990-09-22 Rangers W 2-1 1700 1772 42.6% 25.9% 31.5% +8.9 9
1990-09-22 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1772 1700 31.5% 25.9% 42.6% -8.9 6
1990-09-22 St. Johnstone W 1-0 1572 1586 49.9% 25.8% 24.3% +7.7 3
1990-09-22 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1586 1572 24.3% 25.8% 49.9% -7.7 3
1990-09-22 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1642 1600 55.9% 25.5% 18.7% +11.8 6
1990-09-22 @ Motherwell L 0-2 1600 1642 18.7% 25.5% 55.9% -11.8 3
1990-09-29 Hibernian D 1-1 1588 1580 52.3% 25.7% 22.0% -1.8 4
1990-09-29 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1580 1588 22.0% 25.7% 52.3% +1.8 4
1990-09-29 Dundee United W 1-0 1660 1709 45.5% 25.9% 28.6% +8.8 5
1990-09-29 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1709 1660 28.6% 25.9% 45.5% -8.8 9
1990-09-29 Motherwell W 1-0 1763 1654 61.8% 24.8% 13.4% +4.7 8
1990-09-29 @ Rangers L 0-1 1654 1763 13.4% 24.8% 61.8% -4.7 6
1990-09-29 Aberdeen W 5-0 1578 1771 26.5% 25.4% 48.1% +57.9 5
1990-09-29 @ St. Johnstone L 0-5 1771 1578 48.1% 25.4% 26.5% -57.9 8
1990-09-29 Celtic L 2-3 1600 1659 44.4% 25.9% 29.7% -11.0 4
1990-09-29 @ St. Mirren W 3-2 1659 1600 29.7% 25.9% 44.4% +11.0 7
1990-10-06 Rangers D 0-0 1713 1768 44.8% 25.9% 29.3% -1.0 9
1990-10-06 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1768 1713 29.3% 25.9% 44.8% +1.0 9
1990-10-06 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1670 1636 55.0% 25.5% 19.4% -2.4 8
1990-10-06 @ Celtic D 0-0 1636 1670 19.4% 25.5% 55.0% +2.4 6
1990-10-06 St. Mirren W 1-0 1582 1589 50.6% 25.8% 23.7% +7.6 6
1990-10-06 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1589 1582 23.7% 25.8% 50.6% -7.6 4
1990-10-06 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1649 1668 49.2% 25.8% 25.0% -1.4 7
1990-10-06 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1668 1649 25.0% 25.8% 49.2% +1.4 6
1990-10-10 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1700 1586 62.2% 24.7% 13.1% +12.5 11
1990-10-10 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1586 1700 13.1% 24.7% 62.2% -12.5 4
1990-10-13 Hibernian W 1-0 1713 1589 62.9% 24.6% 12.5% +4.4 13
1990-10-13 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1589 1713 12.5% 24.6% 62.9% -4.4 6
1990-10-13 Celtic D 1-1 1574 1667 39.6% 25.9% 34.5% -0.3 5
1990-10-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1667 1574 34.5% 25.9% 39.6% +0.3 9
1990-10-13 St. Johnstone L 2-3 1670 1638 54.8% 25.5% 19.7% -13.3 6
1990-10-13 @ Heart of Midlothian W 3-2 1638 1670 19.7% 25.5% 54.8% +13.3 8
1990-10-13 Aberdeen D 0-0 1648 1712 43.6% 25.9% 30.5% -0.8 8
1990-10-13 @ Motherwell D 0-0 1712 1648 30.5% 25.9% 43.6% +0.8 10
1990-10-13 St. Mirren W 5-0 1769 1582 67.2% 23.7% 9.1% +14.3 11
1990-10-13 @ Rangers L 0-5 1582 1769 9.1% 23.7% 67.2% -14.3 4
1990-10-20 Heart of Midlothian W 3-0 1713 1657 57.2% 25.3% 17.4% +16.1 12
1990-10-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1657 1713 17.4% 25.3% 57.2% -16.1 6
1990-10-20 Dundee United D 0-0 1667 1717 45.4% 25.9% 28.7% -1.1 10
1990-10-20 @ Celtic D 0-0 1717 1667 28.7% 25.9% 45.4% +1.1 14
1990-10-20 Motherwell W 1-0 1585 1647 43.9% 25.9% 30.2% +9.1 8
1990-10-20 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1647 1585 30.2% 25.9% 43.9% -9.2 8
1990-10-20 Rangers D 0-0 1651 1783 34.2% 25.8% 39.9% +0.4 9
1990-10-20 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1783 1651 39.9% 25.8% 34.2% -0.3 12
1990-10-20 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1568 1573 50.8% 25.8% 23.5% -13.8 4
1990-10-20 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1573 1568 23.5% 25.8% 50.8% +13.8 7
1990-10-27 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1718 1652 58.2% 25.2% 16.6% -14.8 14
1990-10-27 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1652 1718 16.6% 25.2% 58.2% +14.8 11
1990-10-27 Aberdeen D 1-1 1594 1729 33.8% 25.8% 40.4% +0.4 9
1990-10-27 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1729 1594 40.4% 25.8% 33.8% -0.4 13
1990-10-27 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1554 1640 40.6% 25.9% 33.5% +9.3 6
1990-10-27 @ St. Mirren L 1-2 1640 1554 33.5% 25.9% 40.6% -9.3 6
1990-11-03 Celtic W 3-0 1729 1666 57.8% 25.3% 16.9% +15.7 15
1990-11-03 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1666 1729 16.9% 25.3% 57.8% -15.7 10
1990-11-03 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1631 1587 56.0% 25.4% 18.5% -2.3 7
1990-11-03 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1587 1631 18.5% 25.4% 56.0% +2.3 8
1990-11-03 Dundee United L 0-2 1638 1704 43.4% 25.9% 30.7% -22.8 8
1990-11-03 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1704 1638 30.7% 25.9% 43.4% +22.8 16
1990-11-03 Hibernian W 4-0 1783 1594 67.3% 23.7% 9.0% +11.5 14
1990-11-03 @ Rangers L 0-4 1594 1783 9.0% 23.7% 67.3% -11.5 9
1990-11-03 St. Mirren L 0-1 1667 1563 61.3% 24.9% 13.8% -16.6 11
1990-11-03 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1563 1667 13.8% 24.9% 61.3% +16.6 8
1990-11-06 Motherwell W 2-1 1651 1615 55.2% 25.5% 19.3% +6.0 12
1990-11-06 @ Celtic L 1-2 1615 1651 19.3% 25.5% 55.2% -6.0 8
1990-11-10 Motherwell D 3-3 1590 1609 49.2% 25.8% 25.0% -0.9 9
1990-11-10 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 3-3 1609 1590 25.0% 25.8% 49.2% +0.9 9
1990-11-10 Celtic W 1-0 1629 1657 48.2% 25.9% 26.0% +8.2 9
1990-11-10 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1657 1629 26.0% 25.9% 48.2% -8.2 12
1990-11-10 Dundee United L 1-2 1794 1726 58.3% 25.2% 16.4% -14.9 14
1990-11-10 @ Rangers W 2-1 1726 1794 16.4% 25.2% 58.3% +14.8 18
1990-11-10 Hibernian D 1-1 1650 1583 58.2% 25.2% 16.5% -2.6 12
1990-11-10 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1583 1650 16.5% 25.2% 58.2% +2.6 10
1990-11-10 Aberdeen L 0-4 1580 1744 29.9% 25.6% 44.5% -32.4 8
1990-11-10 @ St. Mirren W 4-0 1744 1580 44.5% 25.6% 29.9% +32.4 17
1990-11-17 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1777 1647 63.3% 24.5% 12.1% -3.7 18
1990-11-17 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1647 1777 12.1% 24.5% 63.3% +3.7 13
1990-11-17 St. Mirren W 4-1 1649 1547 61.2% 24.9% 14.0% +11.2 14
1990-11-17 @ Celtic L 1-4 1547 1649 14.0% 24.9% 61.2% -11.2 8
1990-11-17 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1741 1637 61.4% 24.9% 13.8% -3.0 19
1990-11-17 @ Dundee United D 1-1 1637 1741 13.8% 24.9% 61.4% +3.0 10
1990-11-17 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1586 1589 51.1% 25.8% 23.2% -1.7 11
1990-11-17 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1589 1586 23.2% 25.8% 51.1% +1.7 10
1990-11-17 Rangers L 2-4 1610 1780 29.2% 25.6% 45.1% -13.0 9
1990-11-17 @ Motherwell W 4-2 1780 1610 45.1% 25.6% 29.2% +13.0 16
1990-11-20 Rangers L 0-1 1590 1793 25.4% 25.4% 49.2% -8.0 10
1990-11-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1793 1590 49.2% 25.4% 25.4% +8.0 18
1990-11-24 Aberdeen L 2-3 1738 1773 47.3% 25.9% 26.8% -11.6 19
1990-11-24 @ Dundee United W 3-2 1773 1738 26.8% 25.9% 47.3% +11.6 20
1990-11-24 St. Johnstone L 1-2 1582 1651 43.0% 25.9% 31.1% -11.3 10
1990-11-24 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 2-1 1651 1582 31.1% 25.9% 43.0% +11.3 15
1990-11-24 Hibernian D 1-1 1640 1584 57.2% 25.3% 17.4% -2.5 11
1990-11-24 @ Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1584 1640 17.4% 25.3% 57.2% +2.5 12
1990-11-24 St. Mirren D 1-1 1597 1536 57.6% 25.3% 17.1% -2.5 10
1990-11-24 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1536 1597 17.1% 25.3% 57.6% +2.5 9
1990-11-25 Rangers L 1-2 1660 1801 33.0% 25.8% 41.2% -9.2 14
1990-11-25 @ Celtic W 2-1 1801 1660 41.2% 25.8% 33.0% +9.2 20
1990-12-01 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-2 1785 1571 68.8% 23.3% 8.0% +2.5 22
1990-12-01 @ Aberdeen L 2-3 1571 1785 8.0% 23.3% 68.8% -2.5 10
1990-12-01 Celtic L 0-3 1586 1650 43.6% 25.9% 30.5% -33.2 12
1990-12-01 @ Hibernian W 3-0 1650 1586 30.5% 25.9% 43.6% +33.2 16
1990-12-01 Heart of Midlothian W 4-0 1810 1638 66.3% 23.9% 9.8% +12.5 22
1990-12-01 @ Rangers L 0-4 1638 1810 9.8% 23.9% 66.3% -12.5 11
1990-12-01 Motherwell W 2-1 1662 1594 58.3% 25.2% 16.4% +5.3 17
1990-12-01 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1594 1662 16.4% 25.2% 58.3% -5.3 10
1990-12-01 Dundee United D 1-1 1539 1727 27.1% 25.5% 47.5% +1.2 10
1990-12-01 @ St. Mirren D 1-1 1727 1539 47.5% 25.5% 27.1% -1.2 20
1990-12-08 Celtic W 3-1 1725 1684 55.8% 25.5% 18.7% +10.2 22
1990-12-08 @ Dundee United L 1-3 1684 1725 18.7% 25.5% 55.8% -10.2 16
1990-12-08 Aberdeen W 1-0 1625 1787 30.2% 25.7% 44.1% +12.2 13
1990-12-08 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-1 1787 1625 44.1% 25.7% 30.2% -12.2 22
1990-12-08 St. Johnstone W 4-1 1822 1668 65.1% 24.2% 10.7% +8.8 24
1990-12-08 @ Rangers L 1-4 1668 1822 10.7% 24.2% 65.1% -8.8 17
1990-12-11 St. Mirren D 0-0 1568 1540 54.5% 25.6% 19.9% -2.4 11
1990-12-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1540 1568 19.9% 25.6% 54.5% +2.4 11
1990-12-11 Hibernian W 4-1 1589 1553 55.2% 25.5% 19.3% +14.8 12
1990-12-11 @ Motherwell L 1-4 1553 1589 19.3% 25.5% 55.2% -14.8 12
1990-12-15 Motherwell D 1-1 1775 1604 66.2% 23.9% 9.8% -3.7 23
1990-12-15 @ Aberdeen D 1-1 1604 1775 9.8% 23.9% 66.2% +3.7 13
1990-12-15 Dunfermline Athletic L 1-2 1673 1566 61.6% 24.8% 13.5% -15.7 16
1990-12-15 @ Celtic W 2-1 1566 1673 13.5% 24.8% 61.6% +15.7 13
1990-12-15 Dundee United D 0-0 1538 1736 26.0% 25.4% 48.6% +1.5 13
1990-12-15 @ Hibernian D 0-0 1736 1538 48.6% 25.4% 26.0% -1.5 23
1990-12-15 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1659 1637 53.8% 25.6% 20.6% +6.4 19
1990-12-15 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1637 1659 20.6% 25.6% 53.8% -6.4 13
1990-12-15 Rangers L 0-3 1542 1831 17.0% 24.4% 58.6% -15.5 11
1990-12-15 @ St. Mirren W 3-0 1831 1542 58.6% 24.4% 17.0% +15.5 26
1990-12-22 Dundee United W 1-0 1582 1734 31.5% 25.7% 42.8% +11.9 15
1990-12-22 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1734 1582 42.8% 25.7% 31.5% -11.9 23
1990-12-22 Motherwell W 3-2 1631 1607 54.0% 25.6% 20.4% +6.0 15
1990-12-22 @ Heart of Midlothian L 2-3 1607 1631 20.4% 25.6% 54.0% -6.0 13
1990-12-22 Aberdeen D 2-2 1847 1771 59.0% 25.2% 15.9% -2.0 27
1990-12-22 @ Rangers D 2-2 1771 1847 15.9% 25.2% 59.0% +2.0 24
1990-12-22 Celtic W 3-2 1665 1658 52.3% 25.7% 22.0% +6.4 21
1990-12-22 @ St. Johnstone L 2-3 1658 1665 22.0% 25.7% 52.3% -6.4 16
1990-12-22 Hibernian W 1-0 1527 1540 49.9% 25.8% 24.3% +7.7 13
1990-12-22 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1540 1527 24.3% 25.8% 49.9% -7.7 13
1990-12-26 St. Mirren W 1-0 1773 1534 70.2% 22.8% 7.0% +2.5 26
1990-12-26 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1534 1773 7.0% 22.8% 70.2% -2.5 13
1990-12-29 Heart of Midlothian D 1-1 1651 1637 53.0% 25.7% 21.3% -1.9 17
1990-12-29 @ Celtic D 1-1 1637 1651 21.3% 25.7% 53.0% +1.9 16
1990-12-29 Rangers L 1-2 1722 1844 35.6% 25.8% 38.6% -9.8 23
1990-12-29 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1844 1722 38.6% 25.8% 35.6% +9.8 29
1990-12-29 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1532 1672 33.2% 25.8% 41.0% -9.8 13
1990-12-29 @ Hibernian W 1-0 1672 1532 41.0% 25.8% 33.2% +9.8 23
1991-01-02 Dundee United L 0-1 1776 1712 57.9% 25.3% 16.8% -15.6 26
1991-01-02 @ Aberdeen W 1-0 1712 1776 16.8% 25.3% 57.9% +15.6 25
1991-01-02 Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1522 1639 36.4% 25.9% 37.8% -24.3 13
1991-01-02 @ Hibernian W 4-1 1639 1522 37.8% 25.9% 36.4% +24.3 18
1991-01-02 Celtic W 2-0 1854 1649 68.3% 23.4% 8.3% +5.6 31
1991-01-02 @ Rangers L 0-2 1649 1854 8.3% 23.4% 68.3% -5.6 17
1991-01-02 Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1682 1594 60.0% 25.0% 14.9% -16.2 23
1991-01-02 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1594 1682 14.9% 25.0% 60.0% +16.2 17
1991-01-02 Motherwell D 2-2 1532 1601 42.9% 25.9% 31.2% -0.5 14
1991-01-02 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1601 1532 31.2% 25.9% 42.9% +0.5 14
1991-01-05 Hibernian D 1-1 1644 1498 64.5% 24.3% 11.2% -3.5 18
1991-01-05 @ Celtic D 1-1 1498 1644 11.2% 24.3% 64.5% +3.5 14
1991-01-05 St. Mirren W 3-2 1728 1531 67.8% 23.5% 8.6% +2.8 27
1991-01-05 @ Dundee United L 2-3 1531 1728 8.6% 23.5% 67.8% -2.8 14
1991-01-05 Aberdeen L 1-4 1610 1760 31.8% 25.7% 42.5% -21.9 17
1991-01-05 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 4-1 1760 1610 42.5% 25.7% 31.8% +21.9 28
1991-01-05 Rangers L 0-1 1663 1860 26.0% 25.4% 48.6% -8.1 18
1991-01-05 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1860 1663 48.6% 25.4% 26.0% +8.1 33
1991-01-05 St. Johnstone D 2-2 1602 1665 43.7% 25.9% 30.4% -0.6 15
1991-01-05 @ Motherwell D 2-2 1665 1602 30.4% 25.9% 43.7% +0.6 24
1991-01-12 Hibernian W 2-0 1782 1501 72.3% 22.0% 5.7% +3.8 30
1991-01-12 @ Aberdeen L 0-2 1501 1782 5.7% 22.0% 72.3% -3.8 14
1991-01-12 St. Mirren W 2-0 1655 1529 63.1% 24.6% 12.3% +8.2 20
1991-01-12 @ Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1529 1655 12.3% 24.6% 63.1% -8.1 14
1991-01-12 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-0 1868 1588 72.3% 22.0% 5.7% +3.8 35
1991-01-12 @ Rangers L 0-2 1588 1868 5.7% 22.0% 72.3% -3.8 17
1991-01-19 Aberdeen W 1-0 1640 1786 32.4% 25.8% 41.9% +11.7 20
1991-01-19 @ Celtic L 0-1 1786 1640 41.9% 25.8% 32.4% -11.7 30
1991-01-19 Motherwell W 3-0 1731 1601 63.3% 24.5% 12.1% +11.7 29
1991-01-19 @ Dundee United L 0-3 1601 1731 12.1% 24.5% 63.3% -11.7 15
1991-01-19 Rangers L 0-2 1498 1872 11.2% 23.1% 65.7% -7.3 14
1991-01-19 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1872 1498 65.7% 23.1% 11.2% +7.3 37
1991-01-19 St. Johnstone L 0-1 1520 1666 32.4% 25.8% 41.9% -9.6 14
1991-01-19 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1666 1520 41.9% 25.8% 32.4% +9.6 26
1991-01-30 Celtic D 1-1 1590 1652 43.8% 25.9% 30.3% -0.8 16
1991-01-30 @ Motherwell D 1-1 1652 1590 30.3% 25.9% 43.8% +0.8 21
1991-02-02 Heart of Midlothian W 5-0 1774 1663 61.9% 24.8% 13.3% +20.4 32
1991-02-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-5 1663 1774 13.3% 24.8% 61.9% -20.4 20
1991-02-02 Dundee United W 1-0 1653 1743 40.2% 25.9% 33.9% +10.0 23
1991-02-02 @ Celtic L 0-1 1743 1653 33.9% 25.9% 40.2% -10.0 29
1991-02-02 Motherwell D 1-1 1490 1589 38.9% 25.9% 35.2% -0.2 15
1991-02-02 @ Hibernian D 1-1 1589 1490 35.2% 25.9% 38.9% +0.2 17
1991-02-09 Hibernian D 0-0 1733 1490 70.4% 22.8% 6.9% -4.7 30
1991-02-09 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1490 1733 6.9% 22.8% 70.4% +4.8 16
1991-02-09 St. Mirren W 1-0 1879 1511 76.1% 20.2% 3.7% +1.3 39
1991-02-09 @ Rangers L 0-1 1511 1879 3.7% 20.2% 76.1% -1.3 14
1991-02-13 Aberdeen L 0-1 1676 1795 36.0% 25.9% 38.1% -10.4 26
1991-02-13 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1795 1676 38.1% 25.9% 36.0% +10.4 34
1991-02-16 Dundee United W 2-1 1643 1728 40.8% 25.9% 33.3% +9.3 22
1991-02-16 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1728 1643 33.3% 25.9% 40.8% -9.3 30
1991-02-16 Motherwell W 2-0 1880 1589 72.8% 21.8% 5.4% +3.6 41
1991-02-16 @ Rangers L 0-2 1589 1880 5.4% 21.8% 72.8% -3.6 17
1991-02-19 Dundee United L 0-1 1665 1718 45.0% 25.9% 29.1% -12.5 26
1991-02-19 @ St. Johnstone W 1-0 1718 1665 29.1% 25.9% 45.0% +12.5 32
1991-02-19 Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1510 1584 42.2% 25.9% 31.9% -0.4 15
1991-02-19 @ St. Mirren D 2-2 1584 1510 31.9% 25.9% 42.2% +0.4 18
1991-02-23 Heart of Midlothian W 3-1 1585 1652 43.2% 25.9% 30.9% +15.2 20
1991-02-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 1-3 1652 1585 30.9% 25.9% 43.2% -15.2 22
1991-02-26 Rangers D 1-1 1653 1884 22.3% 25.1% 52.6% +1.8 27
1991-02-26 @ St. Johnstone D 1-1 1884 1653 52.6% 25.1% 22.3% -1.8 42
1991-02-27 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1585 1600 49.8% 25.8% 24.4% +7.8 19
1991-02-27 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1600 1585 24.4% 25.8% 49.8% -7.8 20
1991-03-02 Rangers W 1-0 1805 1882 41.9% 25.9% 32.2% +9.6 36
1991-03-02 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1882 1805 32.2% 25.9% 41.9% -9.6 42
1991-03-02 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1663 1655 52.4% 25.7% 21.9% +19.5 25
1991-03-02 @ Celtic L 0-3 1655 1663 21.9% 25.7% 52.4% -19.5 27
1991-03-02 Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1731 1592 64.0% 24.4% 11.6% +4.1 34
1991-03-02 @ Dundee United L 0-1 1592 1731 11.6% 24.4% 64.0% -4.1 20
1991-03-02 St. Mirren W 4-3 1495 1509 49.8% 25.8% 24.4% +6.8 18
1991-03-02 @ Hibernian L 3-4 1509 1495 24.4% 25.8% 49.8% -6.8 15
1991-03-02 Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1593 1637 46.2% 25.9% 27.9% -20.8 19
1991-03-02 @ Motherwell W 3-1 1637 1593 27.9% 25.9% 46.2% +20.8 24
1991-03-05 Aberdeen L 0-2 1572 1815 21.2% 25.0% 53.9% -12.9 19
1991-03-05 @ Motherwell W 2-0 1815 1572 53.9% 25.0% 21.2% +12.9 38
1991-03-06 Celtic L 0-1 1588 1682 39.5% 25.9% 34.6% -11.2 20
1991-03-06 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1682 1588 34.6% 25.9% 39.5% +11.2 27
1991-03-06 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1658 1635 53.9% 25.6% 20.5% +6.4 26
1991-03-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1635 1658 20.5% 25.6% 53.9% -6.3 27
1991-03-09 Celtic L 0-2 1502 1694 26.6% 25.4% 48.0% -15.6 18
1991-03-09 @ Hibernian W 2-0 1694 1502 48.0% 25.4% 26.6% +15.6 29
1991-03-09 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1872 1664 68.5% 23.4% 8.2% +2.8 44
1991-03-09 @ Rangers L 1-2 1664 1872 8.2% 23.4% 68.5% -2.8 26
1991-03-09 Motherwell L 1-4 1629 1560 58.4% 25.2% 16.4% -36.4 27
1991-03-09 @ St. Johnstone W 4-1 1560 1629 16.4% 25.2% 58.4% +36.4 21
1991-03-09 Dundee United L 0-1 1502 1735 22.1% 25.1% 52.8% -7.1 15
1991-03-09 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1735 1502 52.8% 25.1% 22.1% +7.1 36
1991-03-12 Celtic L 0-2 1495 1709 24.1% 25.3% 50.6% -14.4 15
1991-03-12 @ St. Mirren W 2-0 1709 1495 50.6% 25.3% 24.1% +14.4 31
1991-03-13 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-0 1828 1577 70.8% 22.6% 6.6% -4.8 39
1991-03-13 @ Aberdeen D 0-0 1577 1828 6.6% 22.6% 70.8% +4.8 21
1991-03-16 Hibernian D 1-1 1582 1486 60.7% 24.9% 14.4% -2.9 22
1991-03-16 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-1 1486 1582 14.4% 24.9% 60.7% +2.9 19
1991-03-23 Aberdeen L 1-2 1742 1823 41.4% 25.9% 32.7% -11.0 36
1991-03-23 @ Dundee United W 2-1 1823 1742 32.7% 25.9% 41.4% +11.0 41
1991-03-23 St. Johnstone W 3-2 1579 1592 49.9% 25.8% 24.3% +6.9 24
1991-03-23 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 2-3 1592 1579 24.3% 25.8% 49.9% -6.9 27
1991-03-23 Hibernian W 3-1 1661 1489 66.3% 23.9% 9.8% +5.7 28
1991-03-23 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-3 1489 1661 9.8% 23.9% 66.3% -5.7 19
1991-03-23 St. Mirren W 3-1 1596 1481 62.3% 24.7% 13.0% +7.4 23
1991-03-23 @ Motherwell L 1-3 1481 1596 13.0% 24.7% 62.3% -7.4 15
1991-03-24 Rangers W 3-0 1724 1875 31.6% 25.7% 42.7% +32.6 33
1991-03-24 @ Celtic L 0-3 1875 1724 42.7% 25.7% 31.6% -32.6 44
1991-03-30 Motherwell L 1-2 1756 1603 65.0% 24.2% 10.8% -16.5 33
1991-03-30 @ Celtic W 2-1 1603 1756 10.8% 24.2% 65.0% +16.5 25
1991-03-30 St. Johnstone D 0-0 1731 1585 64.5% 24.3% 11.2% -3.9 37
1991-03-30 @ Dundee United D 0-0 1585 1731 11.2% 24.3% 64.5% +3.9 28
1991-03-30 Rangers L 0-1 1586 1843 19.8% 24.8% 55.4% -6.4 24
1991-03-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 1-0 1843 1586 55.4% 24.8% 19.8% +6.4 46
1991-03-30 Aberdeen L 2-4 1483 1834 12.6% 23.5% 63.9% -6.3 19
1991-03-30 @ Hibernian W 4-2 1834 1483 63.9% 23.5% 12.6% +6.3 43
1991-03-30 Heart of Midlothian D 0-0 1473 1667 26.4% 25.4% 48.1% +1.4 16
1991-03-30 @ St. Mirren D 0-0 1667 1473 48.1% 25.4% 26.4% -1.4 29
1991-04-06 Celtic W 1-0 1840 1740 61.1% 24.9% 14.0% +4.9 45
1991-04-06 @ Aberdeen L 0-1 1740 1840 14.0% 24.9% 61.1% -4.9 33
1991-04-06 Dunfermline Athletic W 4-1 1665 1579 59.9% 25.1% 15.0% +12.0 31
1991-04-06 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-4 1579 1665 15.0% 25.1% 59.9% -12.0 24
1991-04-06 Hibernian D 0-0 1849 1477 76.3% 20.1% 3.6% -5.4 47
1991-04-06 @ Rangers D 0-0 1477 1849 3.6% 20.1% 76.3% +5.4 20
1991-04-09 St. Mirren W 2-1 1589 1475 62.2% 24.7% 13.1% +4.3 30
1991-04-09 @ St. Johnstone L 1-2 1475 1589 13.1% 24.7% 62.2% -4.3 16
1991-04-13 Celtic W 2-1 1727 1735 50.6% 25.8% 23.6% +7.1 39
1991-04-13 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1735 1727 23.6% 25.8% 50.6% -7.1 33
1991-04-13 St. Mirren D 2-2 1567 1471 60.8% 24.9% 14.3% -2.2 25
1991-04-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 2-2 1471 1567 14.3% 24.9% 60.8% +2.2 17
1991-04-13 Aberdeen L 1-4 1677 1845 29.5% 25.6% 44.8% -20.7 31
1991-04-13 @ Heart of Midlothian W 4-1 1845 1677 44.8% 25.6% 29.5% +20.7 47
1991-04-13 Hibernian W 1-0 1620 1483 63.9% 24.4% 11.7% +4.1 27
1991-04-13 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1483 1620 11.7% 24.4% 63.9% -4.1 20
1991-04-13 St. Johnstone W 3-0 1844 1593 70.8% 22.6% 6.6% +6.5 49
1991-04-13 @ Rangers L 0-3 1593 1844 6.6% 22.6% 70.8% -6.5 30
1991-04-16 Dundee United W 1-0 1624 1734 37.2% 25.9% 36.9% +10.6 29
1991-04-16 @ Motherwell L 0-1 1734 1624 36.9% 25.9% 37.2% -10.6 39
1991-04-20 Motherwell W 3-0 1866 1635 69.8% 23.0% 7.3% +7.1 49
1991-04-20 @ Aberdeen L 0-3 1635 1866 7.3% 23.0% 69.8% -7.1 29
1991-04-20 Dunfermline Athletic W 5-1 1728 1565 65.7% 24.1% 10.3% +10.9 35
1991-04-20 @ Celtic L 1-5 1565 1728 10.3% 24.1% 65.7% -10.9 25
1991-04-20 Dundee United W 1-0 1478 1724 20.9% 24.9% 54.2% +14.6 22
1991-04-20 @ Hibernian L 0-1 1724 1478 54.2% 24.9% 20.9% -14.6 39
1991-04-20 Heart of Midlothian L 0-2 1587 1657 42.9% 25.9% 31.2% -22.5 30
1991-04-20 @ St. Johnstone W 2-0 1657 1587 31.2% 25.9% 42.9% +22.5 33
1991-04-20 Rangers L 0-1 1473 1850 11.1% 23.0% 65.9% -3.8 17
1991-04-20 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1850 1473 65.9% 23.0% 11.1% +3.8 51
1991-04-24 Dundee United W 1-0 1854 1709 64.4% 24.3% 11.2% +4.0 53
1991-04-24 @ Rangers L 0-1 1709 1854 11.2% 24.3% 64.4% -4.0 39
1991-04-27 Motherwell L 2-5 1554 1628 42.4% 25.9% 31.7% -23.7 25
1991-04-27 @ Dunfermline Athletic W 5-2 1628 1554 31.7% 25.9% 42.4% +23.7 31
1991-04-27 Celtic L 0-1 1679 1738 44.2% 25.9% 29.8% -12.3 33
1991-04-27 @ Heart of Midlothian W 1-0 1738 1679 29.8% 25.9% 44.2% +12.3 37
1991-04-27 Hibernian D 0-0 1564 1493 58.6% 25.2% 16.2% -3.0 31
1991-04-27 @ St. Johnstone D 0-0 1493 1564 16.2% 25.2% 58.6% +3.0 23
1991-04-27 Aberdeen L 0-1 1469 1873 9.7% 22.5% 67.8% -3.4 17
1991-04-27 @ St. Mirren W 1-0 1873 1469 67.8% 22.5% 9.7% +3.4 51
1991-05-04 St. Johnstone W 2-1 1876 1561 73.9% 21.3% 4.8% +1.6 53
1991-05-04 @ Aberdeen L 1-2 1561 1876 4.8% 21.3% 73.9% -1.6 31
1991-05-04 Heart of Midlothian W 2-1 1705 1667 55.5% 25.5% 19.0% +6.0 41
1991-05-04 @ Dundee United L 1-2 1667 1705 19.0% 25.5% 55.5% -6.0 33
1991-05-04 Dunfermline Athletic W 3-0 1496 1530 47.4% 25.9% 26.7% +22.8 25
1991-05-04 @ Hibernian L 0-3 1530 1496 26.7% 25.9% 47.4% -22.8 25
1991-05-04 Rangers W 3-0 1651 1858 24.9% 25.3% 49.8% +37.0 33
1991-05-04 @ Motherwell L 0-3 1858 1651 49.8% 25.3% 24.9% -37.0 53
1991-05-05 St. Mirren W 1-0 1751 1466 72.5% 21.9% 5.6% +2.0 39
1991-05-05 @ Celtic L 0-1 1466 1751 5.6% 21.9% 72.5% -2.0 17
1991-05-11 Dundee United W 1-0 1508 1711 25.2% 25.4% 49.4% +13.4 27
1991-05-11 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-1 1711 1508 49.4% 25.4% 25.2% -13.4 41
1991-05-11 Motherwell W 2-1 1661 1688 48.3% 25.9% 25.9% +7.7 35
1991-05-11 @ Heart of Midlothian L 1-2 1688 1661 25.9% 25.9% 48.3% -7.7 33
1991-05-11 Aberdeen W 2-0 1821 1878 44.6% 25.9% 29.5% +17.0 55
1991-05-11 @ Rangers L 0-2 1878 1821 29.5% 25.9% 44.6% -17.0 53
1991-05-11 Celtic L 2-3 1560 1753 26.5% 25.4% 48.1% -7.4 31
1991-05-11 @ St. Johnstone W 3-2 1753 1560 48.1% 25.4% 26.5% +7.4 41
1991-05-11 Hibernian W 1-0 1464 1519 44.8% 25.9% 29.3% +8.9 19
1991-05-11 @ St. Mirren L 0-1 1519 1464 29.3% 25.9% 44.8% -9.0 25

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1991-03-30 10.79% Motherwell 1603 2 @ Celtic 1756 1
2 1990-12-15 13.54% Dunfermline Athletic 1566 2 @ Celtic 1673 1
3 1990-11-03 13.80% St. Mirren 1563 1 @ St. Johnstone 1667 0
4 1991-01-02 14.92% Dunfermline Athletic 1594 1 @ St. Johnstone 1682 0
5 1991-03-09 16.37% Motherwell 1560 4 @ St. Johnstone 1629 1
6 1990-11-10 16.45% Dundee United 1726 2 @ Rangers 1794 1
7 1990-10-27 16.57% St. Johnstone 1652 2 @ Dundee United 1718 1
8 1991-01-02 16.83% Dundee United 1712 1 @ Aberdeen 1776 0
9 1990-10-13 19.65% St. Johnstone 1638 3 @ Heart of Midlothian 1670 2
10 1991-04-20 20.87% @ Hibernian 1478 1 Dundee United 1724 0
11 1990-10-20 23.46% Dunfermline Athletic 1573 1 @ St. Mirren 1568 0
12 1991-05-04 24.90% @ Motherwell 1651 3 Rangers 1858 0
13 1991-05-11 25.24% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1508 1 Dundee United 1711 0
14 1990-09-29 26.45% @ St. Johnstone 1578 5 Aberdeen 1771 0
15 1990-11-24 26.79% Aberdeen 1773 3 @ Dundee United 1738 2
16 1990-09-15 27.58% Heart of Midlothian 1649 3 @ Hibernian 1607 0
17 1991-03-02 27.86% Heart of Midlothian 1637 3 @ Motherwell 1593 1
18 1990-08-25 28.84% Dundee United 1666 3 @ St. Johnstone 1615 1
19 1991-02-19 29.08% Dundee United 1718 1 @ St. Johnstone 1665 0
20 1990-09-29 29.69% Celtic 1659 3 @ St. Mirren 1600 2
21 1991-04-27 29.84% Celtic 1738 1 @ Heart of Midlothian 1679 0
22 1990-12-08 30.23% @ Heart of Midlothian 1625 1 Aberdeen 1787 0
23 1990-12-01 30.47% Celtic 1650 3 @ Hibernian 1586 0
24 1990-11-03 30.73% Dundee United 1704 2 @ Motherwell 1638 0
25 1990-11-24 31.10% St. Johnstone 1651 2 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1582 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1990-09-29 57.89 @ St. Johnstone 5 1578 26.45% Aberdeen 0 1771 48.11% 25.44%
2 1991-05-04 37.03 @ Motherwell 3 1651 24.90% Rangers 0 1858 49.78% 25.33%
3 1991-03-09 36.44 Motherwell 4 1560 16.37% @ St. Johnstone 1 1629 58.41% 25.22%
4 1990-09-15 35.07 Heart of Midlothian 3 1649 27.58% @ Hibernian 0 1607 46.54% 25.88%
5 1990-12-01 33.21 Celtic 3 1650 30.47% @ Hibernian 0 1586 43.61% 25.92%
6 1991-03-24 32.59 @ Celtic 3 1724 31.58% Rangers 0 1875 42.70% 25.72%
7 1990-11-10 32.41 Aberdeen 4 1744 44.45% @ St. Mirren 0 1580 29.91% 25.64%
8 1990-09-01 30.86 Aberdeen 3 1740 34.30% @ Celtic 0 1648 39.78% 25.91%
9 1991-01-02 24.31 Heart of Midlothian 4 1639 37.76% @ Hibernian 1 1522 36.38% 25.86%
10 1990-09-22 24.02 @ Celtic 3 1635 45.55% Heart of Midlothian 0 1684 28.55% 25.90%
11 1991-04-27 23.69 Motherwell 5 1628 31.71% @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1554 42.37% 25.92%
12 1991-05-04 22.83 @ Hibernian 3 1496 47.39% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1530 26.74% 25.87%
13 1990-11-03 22.76 Dundee United 2 1704 30.73% @ Motherwell 0 1638 43.35% 25.92%
14 1991-04-20 22.55 Heart of Midlothian 2 1657 31.21% @ St. Johnstone 0 1587 42.87% 25.92%
15 1991-01-05 21.93 Aberdeen 4 1760 42.50% @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1610 31.77% 25.73%
16 1991-03-02 20.81 Heart of Midlothian 3 1637 27.86% @ Motherwell 1 1593 46.25% 25.89%
17 1991-04-13 20.73 Aberdeen 4 1845 44.82% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1677 29.55% 25.63%
18 1991-02-02 20.44 @ Aberdeen 5 1774 61.93% Heart of Midlothian 0 1663 13.29% 24.77%
19 1990-08-25 20.43 Dundee United 3 1666 28.84% @ St. Johnstone 1 1615 45.26% 25.90%
20 1991-03-02 19.51 @ Celtic 3 1663 52.36% St. Johnstone 0 1655 21.95% 25.69%
21 1990-09-01 19.43 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1587 38.76% Heart of Midlothian 0 1687 35.34% 25.90%
22 1990-09-08 18.51 Rangers 3 1757 33.99% @ Heart of Midlothian 1 1667 40.10% 25.91%
23 1990-09-08 17.37 @ Motherwell 3 1634 55.44% St. Johnstone 0 1596 19.07% 25.49%
24 1991-05-11 16.97 @ Rangers 2 1821 44.56% Aberdeen 0 1878 29.53% 25.91%
25 1990-11-03 16.55 St. Mirren 1 1563 13.80% @ St. Johnstone 0 1667 61.34% 24.86%