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2026-27 Championship Season

29 games played · 10 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Top Promotion Contender

Stenhousemuir

59% promotion probability

Biggest Overachiever

Stenhousemuir

4.39 points above expected

13 points · 8.61 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Greenock Morton

5.53 points below expected

1 points · 6.53 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Raith Rovers 6 4 1 1 13 11 3 +8 8.71 +4.29
2 Stenhousemuir 5 4 1 0 13 9 2 +7 8.61 +4.39
3 Partick Thistle 5 3 2 0 11 5 1 +4 8.89 +2.11
4 Livingston 6 3 0 3 9 8 5 +3 8.28 +0.72
5 Dunfermline Athletic 6 2 3 1 9 5 4 +1 8.55 +0.45
6 Arbroath 6 2 2 2 8 4 8 -4 7.39 +0.61
7 Inverness CT 6 1 3 2 6 5 7 -2 8.01 -2.01
8 Ayr United 6 1 2 3 5 5 8 -3 7.79 -2.79
9 Queens Park 6 1 1 4 4 3 9 -6 6.17 -2.17
10 Greenock Morton 6 0 1 5 1 4 12 -8 6.53 -5.53

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Stenhousemuir 13 8.61 +4.39
2 Raith Rovers 13 8.71 +4.29
3 Partick Thistle 11 8.89 +2.11
4 Livingston 9 8.28 +0.72
5 Arbroath 8 7.39 +0.61

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Greenock Morton 1 6.53 -5.53
2 Ayr United 5 7.79 -2.79
3 Queens Park 4 6.17 -2.17
4 Inverness CT 6 8.01 -2.01
5 Dunfermline Athletic 9 8.55 +0.45

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Stenhousemuir 4 Aug 8 – Sep 4 1 in 15
2 Arbroath 2 Aug 22 – Aug 29 1 in 9
3 Raith Rovers 2 Aug 8 – Aug 22 1 in 6
4 Partick Thistle 2 Aug 1 – Aug 7 1 in 5
5 Inverness CT 1 Sep 12 – Sep 12 1 in 3

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Greenock Morton 3 Aug 1 – Aug 22 1 in 13
2 Queens Park 3 Aug 1 – Aug 22 1 in 11
3 Livingston 2 Aug 29 – Sep 4 1 in 7
4 Inverness CT 2 Aug 29 – Sep 5 1 in 6
5 Ayr United 2 Sep 5 – Sep 12 1 in 6

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Arbroath 4 Aug 8 – Sep 5 1 in 6
2 Stenhousemuir 5 Aug 1 – Sep 4 1 in 4
3 Queens Park 2 Aug 29 – Sep 5 1 in 4
4 Partick Thistle 5 Aug 1 – Sep 5 1 in 4
5 Raith Rovers 3 Aug 1 – Aug 22 1 in 3

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inverness CT 5 Aug 1 – Sep 5 1 in 10
2 Ayr United 5 Aug 8 – Sep 12 1 in 8
3 Greenock Morton 6 Aug 1 – Sep 11 1 in 7
4 Partick Thistle 2 Aug 21 – Aug 29 1 in 4
5 Dunfermline Athletic 3 Aug 1 – Aug 22 1 in 4

Position Race

Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.

Recent Elo Movers

Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?

Biggest Elo Gainers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Raith Rovers +76.44 1494
2 Dunfermline Athletic +17.31 1422
3 Livingston +17.23 1423
4 Stenhousemuir +12.19 1530
5 Partick Thistle +6.37 1489

Biggest Elo Losers

# Team Δ Elo Current Elo
1 Greenock Morton -53.65 1243
2 Ayr United -46.19 1317
3 Arbroath -45.01 1336
4 Inverness CT -8.48 1397
5 Queens Park -8.22 1282

Recent Form

Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.

Team Elo Season Pts Form Elo Δ (5) Points (5) Expected (5) Actual − Exp
Stenhousemuir 1530 13 +75 13 8.6 +4.4
Raith Rovers 1494 13 +106 12 7.4 +4.6
Partick Thistle 1489 11 +42 11 8.9 +2.1
Dunfermline Athletic 1422 9 +5 8 7.5 +0.5
Livingston 1423 9 +9 6 6.5 -0.5
Arbroath 1336 8 -5 8 6.2 +1.8
Inverness CT 1397 6 -25 5 6.4 -1.4
Ayr United 1317 5 -71 2 6.2 -4.2
Queens Park 1282 4 -39 4 5.2 -1.2
Greenock Morton 1243 1 -83 1 5.4 -4.4

Upcoming Matches

The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.

Date Favored By Home Win% – Draw% – Win% Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-09-15 0.33 Stenhousemuir 13 pts·1530 49% – 28% – 23% Partick Thistle 11 pts·1489 63.8
2026-09-19 Greenock Morton 1 pts·1243 21% – 28% – 51% Dunfermline Athletic 9 pts·1422 0.5628.6
2026-09-19 0.27 Livingston 9 pts·1423 47% – 28% – 25% Inverness CT 6 pts·1397 55.0
2026-09-19 0.15 Partick Thistle 11 pts·1489 43% – 28% – 29% Raith Rovers 13 pts·1494 67.8
2026-09-19 0.02 Queens Park 4 pts·1282 39% – 28% – 32% Ayr United 5 pts·1317 45.2
2026-09-19 0.95 Stenhousemuir 13 pts·1530 64% – 25% – 11% Arbroath 8 pts·1336 36.1

Recent Matches

The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.

Date Favored By Home Score Away Favored ByExcitement
2026-09-12 0.11 Ayr United 5 pts·1351·-33.45 1 – 3 Inverness CT 6 pts·1364·+33.45 49.9
2026-09-12 0.57 Dunfermline Athletic 9 pts·1402·+19.55 2 – 0 Queens Park 4 pts·1302·-19.55 35.0
2026-09-12 0.48 Raith Rovers 13 pts·1453·+40.87 4 – 0 Arbroath 8 pts·1377·-40.87 37.2
2026-09-11 Greenock Morton 1 pts·1279·-35.95 1 – 4 Livingston 9 pts·1387·+35.95 0.2741.8
2026-09-05 0.07 Arbroath 8 pts·1378·-0.95 1 – 1 Dunfermline Athletic 9 pts·1401·+0.96 57.9
2026-09-05 0.12 Inverness CT 6 pts·1403·-38.75 0 – 2 Raith Rovers 13 pts·1414·+38.75 44.9
2026-09-05 0.65 Partick Thistle 11 pts·1480·+9.57 1 – 0 Ayr United 5 pts·1360·-9.56 40.4
2026-09-05 0.14 Queens Park 4 pts·1287·+14.53 2 – 1 Greenock Morton 1 pts·1294·-14.52 48.8

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ARB AU DA GM IC LIV PT QP RR STE
Arbroath —
0-0-1
1.16
0-1-0
1.51
1-0-0
1.25
0-1-0
1.26
1-0-0
1.35
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.86
0-0-0
0.00
Ayr United
1-0-0
1.56
 —
0-1-0
1.02
0-1-0
1.85
0-0-1
1.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.07
0-0-0
0.00
Dunfermline Athletic
0-1-0
1.21
0-1-0
1.70
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.08
0-0-1
1.21
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.93
1-0-0
1.40
0-0-0
0.00
Greenock Morton
0-0-1
1.47
0-1-0
0.87
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.16
0-0-1
1.17
0-0-1
1.14
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.73
Inverness CT
0-1-0
1.45
1-0-0
1.17
0-1-0
1.63
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.33
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.55
0-0-1
0.87
Livingston
0-0-1
1.37
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.50
1-0-0
1.56
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-1
0.95
1-0-0
1.76
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.14
Partick Thistle
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.99
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.55
0-1-0
1.39
1-0-0
1.77
 —
0-1-0
2.19
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Queens Park
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.80
1-0-0
1.57
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.96
0-1-0
0.57
 —
0-0-1
1.32
0-0-1
0.95
Raith Rovers
1-0-0
1.86
1-0-0
1.65
0-0-1
1.31
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.16
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.39
 —
0-1-0
1.32
Stenhousemuir
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.01
1-0-0
1.86
1-0-0
1.58
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.78
0-1-0
1.39
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.58 +11.7
Allowed 0.88 -10.6
Differential 0.91 +6.9

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.34%8.62%15.52%—1.72%—36.21%
18.62%17.24%5.17%3.45%1.72%—36.21%
215.52%5.17%————20.69%
3—3.45%————3.45%
41.72%1.72%————3.45%
5+———————
Total36.21%36.21%20.69%3.45%3.45%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.02 1.02 +0.00
SD 1.02 1.02 1.64
CV 1.00 1.00 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—16.67%—16.67%—50.00%
116.67%16.67%————33.33%
2—16.67%————16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%16.67%—16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 1.33 -0.67
SD 0.82 1.51 1.97
CV 1.22 1.13 —
Max 2 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%16.67%———33.33%
1—33.33%—16.67%——50.00%
216.67%—————16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%50.00%16.67%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.33 -0.50
SD 0.75 1.03 1.52
CV 0.90 0.77 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—16.67%———33.33%
116.67%33.33%————50.00%
216.67%—————16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total50.00%33.33%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 0.67 +0.17
SD 0.75 0.82 1.33
CV 0.90 1.22 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%16.67%———33.33%
1—16.67%33.33%—16.67%—66.67%
2———————
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total—33.33%50.00%—16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.67 2.00 -1.33
SD 0.52 1.10 1.03
CV 0.77 0.55 —
Max 1 4 +0
Min 0 1 -3

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
033.33%—16.67%———50.00%
1—16.67%—16.67%——33.33%
2———————
3—16.67%————16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%33.33%16.67%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.17 -0.33
SD 1.17 1.17 1.51
CV 1.40 1.00 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—33.33%16.67%———50.00%
1———————
233.33%—————33.33%
3———————
4—16.67%————16.67%
5+———————
Total33.33%50.00%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 0.83 +0.50
SD 1.63 0.75 2.07
CV 1.22 0.90 —
Max 4 2 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%—————20.00%
140.00%20.00%————60.00%
220.00%—————20.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total80.00%20.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 0.20 +0.80
SD 0.71 0.45 0.84
CV 0.71 2.24 —
Max 2 1 +2
Min 0 0 +0

Games Played: 5

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%—50.00%———66.67%
1——16.67%———16.67%
2—16.67%————16.67%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total16.67%16.67%66.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.50 1.50 -1.00
SD 0.84 0.84 1.26
CV 1.67 0.56 —
Max 2 2 +1
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%————16.67%
1—16.67%————16.67%
233.33%16.67%————50.00%
3———————
416.67%—————16.67%
5+———————
Total50.00%50.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 0.50 +1.33
SD 1.33 0.55 1.75
CV 0.72 1.10 —
Max 4 1 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 6

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
120.00%20.00%————40.00%
240.00%—————40.00%
3—20.00%————20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total60.00%40.00%————100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.80 0.40 +1.40
SD 0.84 0.55 0.89
CV 0.46 1.37 —
Max 3 1 +2
Min 1 0 +0

Games Played: 5

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Exp. Pts. Rem. Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Stenhousemuir 1530 13 70.94 57.94 46 60 66 71 76 82 94
Raith Rovers 1494 13 65.19 52.19 38 54 61 65 70 76 87
Partick Thistle 1489 11 63.32 52.32 34 52 59 63 68 75 90
Livingston 1423 9 53.18 44.18 27 42 49 53 58 64 79
Dunfermline Athletic 1422 9 52.92 43.92 31 42 48 53 58 64 78
Inverness CT 1397 6 48.05 42.05 25 37 43 48 53 59 73
Arbroath 1336 8 41.96 33.96 18 31 38 42 46 53 65
Ayr United 1317 5 36.95 31.95 16 27 32 37 41 48 61
Queens Park 1282 4 32.99 28.99 10 23 29 33 37 44 59
Greenock Morton 1243 1 25.44 24.44 6 16 21 25 29 36 51

Point Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Final Table Odds

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910
Raith Rovers23.77%35.85%25.93%9.81%3.60%0.81%0.21%0.02%——
Stenhousemuir59.34%25.76%11.12%2.94%0.73%0.11%————
Partick Thistle15.04%28.76%34.17%13.95%5.78%1.82%0.41%0.06%0.01%—
Livingston0.89%4.26%12.79%29.60%27.07%16.55%6.57%1.85%0.40%0.02%
Dunfermline Athletic0.82%4.16%11.29%27.41%28.95%18.13%6.92%2.02%0.29%0.01%
Arbroath0.01%0.06%0.75%2.87%8.20%18.60%35.58%23.31%9.19%1.43%
Inverness CT0.13%1.13%3.85%12.55%22.38%32.89%17.74%7.08%1.96%0.29%
Ayr United—0.02%0.07%0.74%2.74%7.79%21.61%36.65%23.97%6.41%
Queens Park——0.03%0.13%0.51%3.04%9.64%23.79%46.67%16.19%
Greenock Morton————0.04%0.26%1.32%5.22%17.51%75.65%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Qualified for promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Stenhousemuir 59.34% 39.82% 0.84% —
Raith Rovers 23.77% 71.59% 4.64% —
Partick Thistle 15.04% 76.88% 8.08% —
Livingston 0.89% 46.65% 52.44% 0.02%
Dunfermline Athletic 0.82% 42.86% 56.31% 0.01%
Inverness CT 0.13% 17.53% 82.05% 0.29%
Arbroath 0.01% 3.68% 94.88% 1.43%
Ayr United — 0.83% 92.76% 6.41%
Queens Park — 0.16% 83.65% 16.19%
Greenock Morton — — 24.35% 75.65%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent ScoreExcitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2026-08-01 Arbroath W 2-039.3 1359 1370 42.44% 28.24% 29.32%+0.12 +29.5 3
2026-08-01 @ Ayr United L 0-239.3 1370 1359 29.32% 28.24% 42.44%-0.12 -29.5 0
2026-08-01 Partick Thistle L 0-143.7 1342 1447 29.47% 28.24% 42.29%-0.26 -15.7 0
2026-08-01 @ Greenock Morton W 1-043.7 1447 1342 42.29% 28.24% 29.47%+0.26 +15.7 3
2026-08-01 Dunfermline Athletic D 0-052.6 1424 1415 45.11% 28.10% 26.79%+0.20 -2.0 1
2026-08-01 @ Inverness CT D 0-052.6 1415 1424 26.79% 28.10% 45.11%-0.20 +2.0 1
2026-08-01 Queens Park W 2-037.3 1390 1346 49.35% 27.75% 22.90%+0.35 +24.3 3
2026-08-01 @ Livingston L 0-237.3 1346 1390 22.90% 27.75% 49.35%-0.35 -24.3 0
2026-08-01 Stenhousemuir D 1-159.4 1388 1454 34.70% 28.37% 36.93%-0.10 +0.2 1
2026-08-01 @ Raith Rovers D 1-159.4 1454 1388 36.93% 28.37% 34.70%+0.10 -0.2 1
2026-08-07 Livingston W 2-040.4 1463 1414 49.91% 27.69% 22.40%+0.36 +23.9 6
2026-08-07 @ Partick Thistle L 0-240.4 1414 1463 22.40% 27.69% 49.91%-0.36 -23.9 3
2026-08-08 Inverness CT D 0-050.8 1341 1422 32.66% 28.34% 39.00%-0.16 +0.7 1
2026-08-08 @ Arbroath D 0-050.8 1422 1341 39.00% 28.34% 32.66%+0.16 -0.7 2
2026-08-08 Ayr United D 1-158.6 1417 1389 47.41% 27.93% 24.66%+0.28 -2.3 2
2026-08-08 @ Dunfermline Athletic D 1-158.6 1389 1417 24.66% 27.93% 47.41%-0.28 +2.3 4
2026-08-08 Raith Rovers L 1-251.8 1321 1388 34.65% 28.37% 36.98%-0.11 -16.7 0
2026-08-08 @ Queens Park W 2-151.8 1388 1321 36.98% 28.37% 34.65%+0.11 +16.7 4
2026-08-08 Greenock Morton W 2-035.5 1454 1326 58.18% 26.38% 15.44%+0.69 +17.4 4
2026-08-08 @ Stenhousemuir L 0-235.5 1326 1454 15.44% 26.38% 58.18%-0.69 -17.4 0
2026-08-21 Partick Thistle D 1-161.4 1421 1487 34.85% 28.37% 36.78%-0.10 +0.2 3
2026-08-21 @ Inverness CT D 1-161.4 1487 1421 36.78% 28.37% 34.85%+0.10 -0.2 7
2026-08-22 Arbroath L 1-252.6 1309 1341 39.50% 28.33% 32.17%+0.03 -18.3 0
2026-08-22 @ Greenock Morton W 2-152.6 1341 1309 32.17% 28.33% 39.50%-0.03 +18.4 4
2026-08-22 Dunfermline Athletic W 2-041.3 1390 1414 40.66% 28.30% 31.04%+0.07 +30.8 6
2026-08-22 @ Livingston L 0-241.3 1414 1390 31.04% 28.30% 40.66%-0.07 -30.8 2
2026-08-22 Stenhousemuir L 0-237.9 1305 1472 22.32% 27.68% 49.99%-0.51 -23.8 0
2026-08-22 @ Queens Park W 2-037.9 1472 1305 49.99% 27.68% 22.32%+0.51 +23.8 7
2026-08-22 Ayr United W 2-039.6 1405 1391 45.66% 28.06% 26.28%+0.22 +27.1 7
2026-08-22 @ Raith Rovers L 0-239.6 1391 1405 26.28% 28.06% 45.66%-0.22 -27.1 4
2026-08-28 Raith Rovers W 1-045.8 1384 1432 37.28% 28.37% 34.35%-0.03 +17.6 5
2026-08-28 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-145.8 1432 1384 34.35% 28.37% 37.28%+0.03 -17.6 7
2026-08-29 Livingston W 1-045.5 1360 1421 35.48% 28.37% 36.15%-0.08 +18.2 7
2026-08-29 @ Arbroath L 0-145.5 1421 1360 36.15% 28.37% 35.48%+0.08 -18.2 6
2026-08-29 Greenock Morton D 1-156.4 1364 1290 52.67% 27.35% 19.97%+0.47 -3.4 5
2026-08-29 @ Ayr United D 1-156.4 1290 1364 19.97% 27.35% 52.67%-0.47 +3.4 1
2026-08-29 Queens Park D 0-052.0 1487 1281 64.75% 24.56% 10.68%+1.00 -6.7 8
2026-08-29 @ Partick Thistle D 0-052.0 1281 1487 10.68% 24.56% 64.75%-1.00 +6.7 1
2026-08-29 Inverness CT W 3-147.8 1495 1421 52.73% 27.35% 19.93%+0.47 +18.8 10
2026-08-29 @ Stenhousemuir L 1-347.8 1421 1495 19.93% 27.35% 52.73%-0.47 -18.8 3
2026-09-04 Stenhousemuir L 0-147.0 1403 1514 28.66% 28.21% 43.13%-0.29 -15.4 6
2026-09-04 @ Livingston W 1-047.0 1514 1403 43.13% 28.21% 28.66%+0.29 +15.4 13
2026-09-05 Dunfermline Athletic D 1-157.9 1378 1401 40.82% 28.30% 30.89%+0.07 -1.0 8
2026-09-05 @ Arbroath D 1-157.9 1401 1378 30.89% 28.30% 40.82%-0.07 +1.0 6
2026-09-05 Raith Rovers L 0-244.9 1403 1414 42.35% 28.24% 29.41%+0.12 -38.8 3
2026-09-05 @ Inverness CT W 2-044.9 1414 1403 29.41% 28.24% 42.35%-0.12 +38.8 10
2026-09-05 Ayr United W 1-040.4 1480 1360 57.36% 26.56% 16.08%+0.65 +9.6 11
2026-09-05 @ Partick Thistle L 0-140.4 1360 1480 16.08% 26.56% 57.36%-0.65 -9.6 5
2026-09-05 Greenock Morton W 2-148.8 1287 1294 43.05% 28.21% 28.74%+0.14 +14.5 4
2026-09-05 @ Queens Park L 1-248.8 1294 1287 28.74% 28.21% 43.05%-0.14 -14.5 1
2026-09-11 Livingston L 1-441.8 1279 1387 29.13% 28.23% 42.64%-0.27 -36.0 1
2026-09-11 @ Greenock Morton W 4-141.8 1387 1279 42.64% 28.23% 29.13%+0.27 +36.0 9
2026-09-12 Inverness CT L 1-349.9 1351 1364 42.18% 28.25% 29.57%+0.11 -33.5 5
2026-09-12 @ Ayr United W 3-149.9 1364 1351 29.57% 28.25% 42.18%-0.11 +33.4 6
2026-09-12 Queens Park W 2-035.0 1402 1302 55.46% 26.92% 17.62%+0.57 +19.5 9
2026-09-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic L 0-235.0 1302 1402 17.62% 26.92% 55.46%-0.57 -19.5 4
2026-09-12 Arbroath W 4-037.2 1453 1377 52.95% 27.31% 19.73%+0.48 +40.9 13
2026-09-12 @ Raith Rovers L 0-437.2 1377 1453 19.73% 27.31% 52.95%-0.48 -40.9 8

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. MarginExcitement
2026-09-15 Partick Thistle 1530 1489 48.89% 27.80% 23.31%+0.3363.8
2026-09-15 @ Stenhousemuir 1489 1530 23.31% 27.80% 48.89%-0.3363.8
2026-09-19 Dunfermline Athletic 1243 1422 21.19% 27.54% 51.28%-0.5628.6
2026-09-19 @ Greenock Morton 1422 1243 51.28% 27.54% 21.19%+0.5628.6
2026-09-19 Inverness CT 1423 1397 47.16% 27.95% 24.89%+0.2755.0
2026-09-19 @ Livingston 1397 1423 24.89% 27.95% 47.16%-0.2755.0
2026-09-19 Raith Rovers 1489 1494 43.30% 28.20% 28.51%+0.1567.8
2026-09-19 @ Partick Thistle 1494 1489 28.51% 28.20% 43.30%-0.1567.8
2026-09-19 Ayr United 1282 1317 39.16% 28.34% 32.50%+0.0245.2
2026-09-19 @ Queens Park 1317 1282 32.50% 28.34% 39.16%-0.0245.2
2026-09-19 Arbroath 1530 1336 63.79% 24.88% 11.33%+0.9536.1
2026-09-19 @ Stenhousemuir 1336 1530 11.33% 24.88% 63.79%-0.9536.1
2026-09-25 Queens Park 1336 1282 50.48% 27.63% 21.89%+0.3840.5
2026-09-25 @ Arbroath 1282 1336 21.89% 27.63% 50.48%-0.3840.5
2026-09-25 Stenhousemuir 1317 1530 18.07% 27.01% 54.92%-0.7038.3
2026-09-25 @ Ayr United 1530 1317 54.92% 27.01% 18.07%+0.7038.3
2026-09-25 Partick Thistle 1422 1489 34.51% 28.37% 37.12%-0.1149.7
2026-09-25 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1489 1422 37.12% 28.37% 34.51%+0.1149.7
2026-09-25 Greenock Morton 1397 1243 60.53% 25.83% 13.65%+0.7927.8
2026-09-25 @ Inverness CT 1243 1397 13.65% 25.83% 60.53%-0.7927.8
2026-09-25 Livingston 1494 1423 52.38% 27.39% 20.22%+0.4556.6
2026-09-25 @ Raith Rovers 1423 1494 20.22% 27.39% 52.38%-0.4556.6
2026-10-03 Raith Rovers 1243 1494 15.06% 26.28% 58.66%-0.8633.4
2026-10-03 @ Greenock Morton 1494 1243 58.66% 26.28% 15.06%+0.8633.4
2026-10-03 Ayr United 1423 1317 56.03% 26.81% 17.16%+0.6040.1
2026-10-03 @ Livingston 1317 1423 17.16% 26.81% 56.03%-0.6040.1
2026-10-03 Arbroath 1489 1336 60.46% 25.85% 13.70%+0.7932.0
2026-10-03 @ Partick Thistle 1336 1489 13.70% 25.85% 60.46%-0.7932.0
2026-10-03 Inverness CT 1282 1397 28.25% 28.19% 43.57%-0.3034.1
2026-10-03 @ Queens Park 1397 1282 43.57% 28.19% 28.25%+0.3034.1
2026-10-03 Dunfermline Athletic 1530 1422 56.25% 26.77% 16.97%+0.6148.9
2026-10-03 @ Stenhousemuir 1422 1530 16.97% 26.77% 56.25%-0.6148.9
2026-10-10 Greenock Morton 1336 1243 54.73% 27.04% 18.23%+0.5434.5
2026-10-10 @ Arbroath 1243 1336 18.23% 27.04% 54.73%-0.5434.5
2026-10-10 Dunfermline Athletic 1317 1422 29.62% 28.25% 42.13%-0.2638.6
2026-10-10 @ Ayr United 1422 1317 42.13% 28.25% 29.62%+0.2638.6
2026-10-10 Stenhousemuir 1397 1530 26.16% 28.05% 45.79%-0.3747.0
2026-10-10 @ Inverness CT 1530 1397 45.79% 28.05% 26.16%+0.3747.0
2026-10-10 Partick Thistle 1423 1489 34.74% 28.37% 36.89%-0.1053.9
2026-10-10 @ Livingston 1489 1423 36.89% 28.37% 34.74%+0.1053.9
2026-10-10 Queens Park 1494 1282 65.19% 24.41% 10.40%+1.0331.9
2026-10-10 @ Raith Rovers 1282 1494 10.40% 24.41% 65.19%-1.0331.9
2026-10-17 Partick Thistle 1317 1489 21.82% 27.62% 50.56%-0.5333.7
2026-10-17 @ Ayr United 1489 1317 50.56% 27.62% 21.82%+0.5333.7
2026-10-17 Livingston 1422 1423 43.68% 28.18% 28.14%+0.1658.8
2026-10-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1423 1422 28.14% 28.18% 43.68%-0.1658.8
2026-10-17 Queens Park 1243 1282 38.60% 28.35% 33.04%+0.0143.4
2026-10-17 @ Greenock Morton 1282 1243 33.04% 28.35% 38.60%-0.0143.4
2026-10-17 Arbroath 1397 1336 51.31% 27.53% 21.16%+0.4142.5
2026-10-17 @ Inverness CT 1336 1397 21.16% 27.53% 51.31%-0.4142.5
2026-10-17 Raith Rovers 1530 1494 48.35% 27.85% 23.80%+0.3167.9
2026-10-17 @ Stenhousemuir 1494 1530 23.80% 27.85% 48.35%-0.3167.9
2026-10-24 Ayr United 1243 1317 33.63% 28.36% 38.01%-0.1440.2
2026-10-24 @ Greenock Morton 1317 1243 38.01% 28.36% 33.63%+0.1440.2
2026-10-24 Arbroath 1423 1336 54.11% 27.14% 18.75%+0.5242.2
2026-10-24 @ Livingston 1336 1423 18.75% 27.14% 54.11%-0.5242.2
2026-10-24 Stenhousemuir 1489 1530 38.45% 28.35% 33.20%+0.0064.8
2026-10-24 @ Partick Thistle 1530 1489 33.20% 28.35% 38.45%+0.0064.8
2026-10-24 Dunfermline Athletic 1282 1422 25.35% 27.99% 46.66%-0.4031.5
2026-10-24 @ Queens Park 1422 1282 46.66% 27.99% 25.35%+0.4031.5
2026-10-24 Inverness CT 1494 1397 55.11% 26.98% 17.91%+0.5648.8
2026-10-24 @ Raith Rovers 1397 1494 17.91% 26.98% 55.11%-0.5648.8
2026-10-31 Raith Rovers 1336 1494 23.29% 27.79% 48.91%-0.4840.6
2026-10-31 @ Arbroath 1494 1336 48.91% 27.79% 23.29%+0.4840.6
2026-10-31 Queens Park 1317 1282 48.28% 27.85% 23.86%+0.3144.4
2026-10-31 @ Ayr United 1282 1317 23.86% 27.85% 48.28%-0.3144.4
2026-10-31 Inverness CT 1422 1397 46.96% 27.97% 25.07%+0.2651.3
2026-10-31 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1397 1422 25.07% 27.97% 46.96%-0.2651.3
2026-10-31 Greenock Morton 1489 1243 67.69% 23.46% 8.85%+1.1724.5
2026-10-31 @ Partick Thistle 1243 1489 8.85% 23.46% 67.69%-1.1724.5
2026-10-31 Livingston 1530 1423 56.10% 26.80% 17.10%+0.6051.8
2026-10-31 @ Stenhousemuir 1423 1530 17.10% 26.80% 56.10%-0.6051.8
2026-11-07 Ayr United 1336 1317 46.28% 28.02% 25.70%+0.2448.3
2026-11-07 @ Arbroath 1317 1336 25.70% 28.02% 46.28%-0.2448.3
2026-11-07 Stenhousemuir 1243 1530 12.72% 25.49% 61.79%-1.0032.6
2026-11-07 @ Greenock Morton 1530 1243 61.79% 25.49% 12.72%+1.0032.6
2026-11-07 Livingston 1397 1423 40.44% 28.31% 31.25%+0.0655.6
2026-11-07 @ Inverness CT 1423 1397 31.25% 28.31% 40.44%-0.0655.6
2026-11-07 Partick Thistle 1282 1489 18.52% 27.10% 54.39%-0.6828.4
2026-11-07 @ Queens Park 1489 1282 54.39% 27.10% 18.52%+0.6828.4
2026-11-07 Dunfermline Athletic 1494 1422 52.56% 27.37% 20.08%+0.4653.7
2026-11-07 @ Raith Rovers 1422 1494 20.08% 27.37% 52.56%-0.4653.7
2026-11-14 Raith Rovers 1317 1494 21.36% 27.56% 51.08%-0.5539.7
2026-11-14 @ Ayr United 1494 1317 51.08% 27.56% 21.36%+0.5539.7
2026-11-14 Arbroath 1422 1336 53.95% 27.17% 18.89%+0.5138.7
2026-11-14 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1336 1422 18.89% 27.17% 53.95%-0.5138.7
2026-11-14 Greenock Morton 1423 1243 62.70% 25.22% 12.08%+0.9029.6
2026-11-14 @ Livingston 1243 1423 12.08% 25.22% 62.70%-0.9029.6
2026-11-14 Inverness CT 1489 1397 54.64% 27.06% 18.30%+0.5443.2
2026-11-14 @ Partick Thistle 1397 1489 18.30% 27.06% 54.64%-0.5443.2
2026-11-14 Queens Park 1530 1282 67.76% 23.43% 8.80%+1.1730.9
2026-11-14 @ Stenhousemuir 1282 1530 8.80% 23.43% 67.76%-1.1730.9
2026-11-21 Stenhousemuir 1336 1530 19.74% 27.31% 52.94%-0.6238.7
2026-11-21 @ Arbroath 1530 1336 52.94% 27.31% 19.74%+0.6238.7
2026-11-21 Greenock Morton 1422 1243 62.57% 25.26% 12.17%+0.8926.0
2026-11-21 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1243 1422 12.17% 25.26% 62.57%-0.8926.0
2026-11-21 Ayr United 1397 1317 53.37% 27.25% 19.38%+0.4940.1
2026-11-21 @ Inverness CT 1317 1397 19.38% 27.25% 53.37%-0.4940.1
2026-11-21 Livingston 1282 1423 25.17% 27.97% 46.85%-0.4134.7
2026-11-21 @ Queens Park 1423 1282 46.85% 27.97% 25.17%+0.4134.7
2026-11-21 Partick Thistle 1494 1489 44.48% 28.14% 27.38%+0.1867.7
2026-11-21 @ Raith Rovers 1489 1494 27.38% 28.14% 44.48%-0.1867.7
2026-12-05 Inverness CT 1243 1397 23.70% 27.84% 48.46%-0.4630.3
2026-12-05 @ Greenock Morton 1397 1243 48.46% 27.84% 23.70%+0.4630.3
2026-12-05 Raith Rovers 1423 1494 34.10% 28.37% 37.54%-0.1258.2
2026-12-05 @ Livingston 1494 1423 37.54% 28.37% 34.10%+0.1258.2
2026-12-05 Dunfermline Athletic 1489 1422 52.06% 27.44% 20.51%+0.4448.1
2026-12-05 @ Partick Thistle 1422 1489 20.51% 27.44% 52.06%-0.4448.1
2026-12-05 Arbroath 1282 1336 36.52% 28.37% 35.11%-0.0541.8
2026-12-05 @ Queens Park 1336 1282 35.11% 28.37% 36.52%+0.0541.8
2026-12-05 Ayr United 1530 1317 65.23% 24.40% 10.37%+1.0335.6
2026-12-05 @ Stenhousemuir 1317 1530 10.37% 24.40% 65.23%-1.0335.6
2026-12-12 Partick Thistle 1336 1489 23.79% 27.85% 48.37%-0.4634.5
2026-12-12 @ Arbroath 1489 1336 48.37% 27.85% 23.79%+0.4634.5
2026-12-12 Livingston 1317 1423 29.41% 28.24% 42.34%-0.2642.2
2026-12-12 @ Ayr United 1423 1317 42.34% 28.24% 29.41%+0.2642.2
2026-12-12 Stenhousemuir 1422 1530 29.12% 28.23% 42.65%-0.2751.0
2026-12-12 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1530 1422 42.65% 28.23% 29.12%+0.2751.0
2026-12-12 Queens Park 1397 1282 56.93% 26.64% 16.42%+0.6331.9
2026-12-12 @ Inverness CT 1282 1397 16.42% 26.64% 56.93%-0.6331.9
2026-12-12 Greenock Morton 1494 1243 68.00% 23.33% 8.66%+1.1930.7
2026-12-12 @ Raith Rovers 1243 1494 8.66% 23.33% 68.00%-1.1930.7
2026-12-19 Arbroath 1243 1336 31.09% 28.30% 40.61%-0.2136.4
2026-12-19 @ Greenock Morton 1336 1243 40.61% 28.30% 31.09%+0.2136.4
2026-12-19 Dunfermline Athletic 1423 1422 44.10% 28.16% 27.75%+0.1758.8
2026-12-19 @ Livingston 1422 1423 27.75% 28.16% 44.10%-0.1758.8
2026-12-19 Ayr United 1489 1317 62.05% 25.41% 12.54%+0.8731.2
2026-12-19 @ Partick Thistle 1317 1489 12.54% 25.41% 62.05%-0.8731.2
2026-12-19 Raith Rovers 1282 1494 18.12% 27.02% 54.86%-0.7034.5
2026-12-19 @ Queens Park 1494 1282 54.86% 27.02% 18.12%+0.7034.5
2026-12-19 Inverness CT 1530 1397 58.57% 26.30% 15.13%+0.7044.7
2026-12-19 @ Stenhousemuir 1397 1530 15.13% 26.30% 58.57%-0.7044.7
2026-12-26 Inverness CT 1336 1397 35.46% 28.37% 36.16%-0.0843.9
2026-12-26 @ Arbroath 1397 1336 36.16% 28.37% 35.46%+0.0843.9
2026-12-26 Greenock Morton 1317 1243 52.75% 27.34% 19.91%+0.4738.6
2026-12-26 @ Ayr United 1243 1317 19.91% 27.34% 52.75%-0.4738.6
2026-12-26 Raith Rovers 1422 1494 33.88% 28.36% 37.76%-0.1355.3
2026-12-26 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1494 1422 37.76% 28.36% 33.88%+0.1355.3
2026-12-26 Stenhousemuir 1423 1530 29.32% 28.24% 42.44%-0.2753.9
2026-12-26 @ Livingston 1530 1423 42.44% 28.24% 29.32%+0.2753.9
2026-12-26 Queens Park 1489 1282 64.84% 24.53% 10.63%+1.0125.7
2026-12-26 @ Partick Thistle 1282 1489 10.63% 24.53% 64.84%-1.0125.7
2027-01-02 Livingston 1243 1423 21.03% 27.51% 51.45%-0.5732.2
2027-01-02 @ Greenock Morton 1423 1243 51.45% 27.51% 21.03%+0.5732.2
2027-01-02 Dunfermline Athletic 1397 1422 40.66% 28.30% 31.04%+0.0751.9
2027-01-02 @ Inverness CT 1422 1397 31.04% 28.30% 40.66%-0.0751.9
2027-01-02 Ayr United 1282 1317 39.16% 28.34% 32.50%+0.0245.2
2027-01-02 @ Queens Park 1317 1282 32.50% 28.34% 39.16%-0.0245.2
2027-01-02 Arbroath 1494 1336 60.85% 25.74% 13.41%+0.8138.1
2027-01-02 @ Raith Rovers 1336 1494 13.41% 25.74% 60.85%-0.8138.1
2027-01-02 Partick Thistle 1530 1489 48.89% 27.80% 23.31%+0.3363.8
2027-01-02 @ Stenhousemuir 1489 1530 23.31% 27.80% 48.89%-0.3363.8
2027-01-09 Arbroath 1317 1336 41.40% 28.28% 30.32%+0.0948.7
2027-01-09 @ Ayr United 1336 1317 30.32% 28.28% 41.40%-0.0948.7
2027-01-09 Queens Park 1422 1282 59.21% 26.15% 14.64%+0.7329.1
2027-01-09 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1282 1422 14.64% 26.15% 59.21%-0.7329.1
2027-01-09 Raith Rovers 1397 1494 30.59% 28.29% 41.12%-0.2350.8
2027-01-09 @ Inverness CT 1494 1397 41.12% 28.29% 30.59%+0.2350.8
2027-01-09 Livingston 1489 1423 51.88% 27.46% 20.66%+0.4452.4
2027-01-09 @ Partick Thistle 1423 1489 20.66% 27.46% 51.88%-0.4452.4
2027-01-09 Greenock Morton 1530 1243 70.37% 22.29% 7.34%+1.3330.0
2027-01-09 @ Stenhousemuir 1243 1530 7.34% 22.29% 70.37%-1.3330.0
2027-01-23 Dunfermline Athletic 1336 1422 32.09% 28.33% 39.58%-0.1840.5
2027-01-23 @ Arbroath 1422 1336 39.58% 28.33% 32.09%+0.1840.5
2027-01-23 Partick Thistle 1243 1489 15.39% 26.37% 58.24%-0.8427.1
2027-01-23 @ Greenock Morton 1489 1243 58.24% 26.37% 15.39%+0.8427.1
2027-01-23 Inverness CT 1423 1397 47.16% 27.95% 24.89%+0.2755.0
2027-01-23 @ Livingston 1397 1423 24.89% 27.95% 47.16%-0.2755.0
2027-01-23 Stenhousemuir 1282 1530 15.31% 26.35% 58.34%-0.8433.5
2027-01-23 @ Queens Park 1530 1282 58.34% 26.35% 15.31%+0.8433.5
2027-01-23 Ayr United 1494 1317 62.43% 25.30% 12.27%+0.8837.2
2027-01-23 @ Raith Rovers 1317 1494 12.27% 25.30% 62.43%-0.8837.2
2027-01-30 Livingston 1336 1423 31.87% 28.33% 39.80%-0.1944.0
2027-01-30 @ Arbroath 1423 1336 39.80% 28.33% 31.87%+0.1944.0
2027-01-30 Ayr United 1422 1317 55.87% 26.84% 17.29%+0.5936.5
2027-01-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1317 1422 17.29% 26.84% 55.87%-0.5936.5
2027-01-30 Partick Thistle 1397 1489 31.19% 28.31% 40.50%-0.2145.1
2027-01-30 @ Inverness CT 1489 1397 40.50% 28.31% 31.19%+0.2145.1
2027-01-30 Greenock Morton 1282 1243 48.76% 27.81% 23.43%+0.3242.5
2027-01-30 @ Queens Park 1243 1282 23.43% 27.81% 48.76%-0.3242.5
2027-01-30 Stenhousemuir 1494 1530 39.08% 28.34% 32.57%+0.0268.8
2027-01-30 @ Raith Rovers 1530 1494 32.57% 28.34% 39.08%-0.0268.8
2027-02-13 Inverness CT 1317 1397 32.84% 28.35% 38.82%-0.1641.9
2027-02-13 @ Ayr United 1397 1317 38.82% 28.35% 32.84%+0.1641.9
2027-02-13 Dunfermline Athletic 1243 1422 21.19% 27.54% 51.28%-0.5628.6
2027-02-13 @ Greenock Morton 1422 1243 51.28% 27.54% 21.19%+0.5628.6
2027-02-13 Queens Park 1423 1282 59.35% 26.12% 14.53%+0.7432.3
2027-02-13 @ Livingston 1282 1423 14.53% 26.12% 59.35%-0.7432.3
2027-02-13 Raith Rovers 1489 1494 43.30% 28.20% 28.51%+0.1567.8
2027-02-13 @ Partick Thistle 1494 1489 28.51% 28.20% 43.30%-0.1567.8
2027-02-13 Arbroath 1530 1336 63.79% 24.88% 11.33%+0.9536.1
2027-02-13 @ Stenhousemuir 1336 1530 11.33% 24.88% 63.79%-0.9536.1
2027-02-20 Queens Park 1336 1282 50.48% 27.63% 21.89%+0.3840.5
2027-02-20 @ Arbroath 1282 1336 21.89% 27.63% 50.48%-0.3840.5
2027-02-20 Stenhousemuir 1317 1530 18.07% 27.01% 54.92%-0.7038.3
2027-02-20 @ Ayr United 1530 1317 54.92% 27.01% 18.07%+0.7038.3
2027-02-20 Partick Thistle 1422 1489 34.51% 28.37% 37.12%-0.1149.7
2027-02-20 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1489 1422 37.12% 28.37% 34.51%+0.1149.7
2027-02-20 Greenock Morton 1397 1243 60.53% 25.83% 13.65%+0.7927.8
2027-02-20 @ Inverness CT 1243 1397 13.65% 25.83% 60.53%-0.7927.8
2027-02-20 Livingston 1494 1423 52.38% 27.39% 20.22%+0.4556.6
2027-02-20 @ Raith Rovers 1423 1494 20.22% 27.39% 52.38%-0.4556.6
2027-02-27 Raith Rovers 1243 1494 15.06% 26.28% 58.66%-0.8633.4
2027-02-27 @ Greenock Morton 1494 1243 58.66% 26.28% 15.06%+0.8633.4
2027-02-27 Ayr United 1423 1317 56.03% 26.81% 17.16%+0.6040.1
2027-02-27 @ Livingston 1317 1423 17.16% 26.81% 56.03%-0.6040.1
2027-02-27 Arbroath 1489 1336 60.46% 25.85% 13.70%+0.7932.0
2027-02-27 @ Partick Thistle 1336 1489 13.70% 25.85% 60.46%-0.7932.0
2027-02-27 Inverness CT 1282 1397 28.25% 28.19% 43.57%-0.3034.1
2027-02-27 @ Queens Park 1397 1282 43.57% 28.19% 28.25%+0.3034.1
2027-02-27 Dunfermline Athletic 1530 1422 56.25% 26.77% 16.97%+0.6148.9
2027-02-27 @ Stenhousemuir 1422 1530 16.97% 26.77% 56.25%-0.6148.9
2027-03-06 Greenock Morton 1336 1243 54.73% 27.04% 18.23%+0.5434.5
2027-03-06 @ Arbroath 1243 1336 18.23% 27.04% 54.73%-0.5434.5
2027-03-06 Partick Thistle 1317 1489 21.82% 27.62% 50.56%-0.5333.7
2027-03-06 @ Ayr United 1489 1317 50.56% 27.62% 21.82%+0.5333.7
2027-03-06 Livingston 1422 1423 43.68% 28.18% 28.14%+0.1658.8
2027-03-06 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1423 1422 28.14% 28.18% 43.68%-0.1658.8
2027-03-06 Stenhousemuir 1397 1530 26.16% 28.05% 45.79%-0.3747.0
2027-03-06 @ Inverness CT 1530 1397 45.79% 28.05% 26.16%+0.3747.0
2027-03-06 Queens Park 1494 1282 65.19% 24.41% 10.40%+1.0331.9
2027-03-06 @ Raith Rovers 1282 1494 10.40% 24.41% 65.19%-1.0331.9
2027-03-13 Raith Rovers 1336 1494 23.29% 27.79% 48.91%-0.4840.6
2027-03-13 @ Arbroath 1494 1336 48.91% 27.79% 23.29%+0.4840.6
2027-03-13 Inverness CT 1422 1397 46.96% 27.97% 25.07%+0.2651.3
2027-03-13 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1397 1422 25.07% 27.97% 46.96%-0.2651.3
2027-03-13 Ayr United 1243 1317 33.63% 28.36% 38.01%-0.1440.2
2027-03-13 @ Greenock Morton 1317 1243 38.01% 28.36% 33.63%+0.1440.2
2027-03-13 Partick Thistle 1282 1489 18.52% 27.10% 54.39%-0.6828.4
2027-03-13 @ Queens Park 1489 1282 54.39% 27.10% 18.52%+0.6828.4
2027-03-13 Livingston 1530 1423 56.10% 26.80% 17.10%+0.6051.8
2027-03-13 @ Stenhousemuir 1423 1530 17.10% 26.80% 56.10%-0.6051.8
2027-03-20 Queens Park 1317 1282 48.28% 27.85% 23.86%+0.3144.4
2027-03-20 @ Ayr United 1282 1317 23.86% 27.85% 48.28%-0.3144.4
2027-03-20 Arbroath 1397 1336 51.31% 27.53% 21.16%+0.4142.5
2027-03-20 @ Inverness CT 1336 1397 21.16% 27.53% 51.31%-0.4142.5
2027-03-20 Greenock Morton 1423 1243 62.70% 25.22% 12.08%+0.9029.6
2027-03-20 @ Livingston 1243 1423 12.08% 25.22% 62.70%-0.9029.6
2027-03-20 Stenhousemuir 1489 1530 38.45% 28.35% 33.20%+0.0064.8
2027-03-20 @ Partick Thistle 1530 1489 33.20% 28.35% 38.45%+0.0064.8
2027-03-20 Dunfermline Athletic 1494 1422 52.56% 27.37% 20.08%+0.4653.7
2027-03-20 @ Raith Rovers 1422 1494 20.08% 27.37% 52.56%-0.4653.7
2027-03-27 Ayr United 1336 1317 46.28% 28.02% 25.70%+0.2448.3
2027-03-27 @ Arbroath 1317 1336 25.70% 28.02% 46.28%-0.2448.3
2027-03-27 Stenhousemuir 1243 1530 12.72% 25.49% 61.79%-1.0032.6
2027-03-27 @ Greenock Morton 1530 1243 61.79% 25.49% 12.72%+1.0032.6
2027-03-27 Livingston 1397 1423 40.44% 28.31% 31.25%+0.0655.6
2027-03-27 @ Inverness CT 1423 1397 31.25% 28.31% 40.44%-0.0655.6
2027-03-27 Dunfermline Athletic 1282 1422 25.35% 27.99% 46.66%-0.4031.5
2027-03-27 @ Queens Park 1422 1282 46.66% 27.99% 25.35%+0.4031.5
2027-03-27 Partick Thistle 1494 1489 44.48% 28.14% 27.38%+0.1867.7
2027-03-27 @ Raith Rovers 1489 1494 27.38% 28.14% 44.48%-0.1867.7
2027-04-03 Raith Rovers 1317 1494 21.36% 27.56% 51.08%-0.5539.7
2027-04-03 @ Ayr United 1494 1317 51.08% 27.56% 21.36%+0.5539.7
2027-04-03 Greenock Morton 1422 1243 62.57% 25.26% 12.17%+0.8926.0
2027-04-03 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1243 1422 12.17% 25.26% 62.57%-0.8926.0
2027-04-03 Arbroath 1423 1336 54.11% 27.14% 18.75%+0.5242.2
2027-04-03 @ Livingston 1336 1423 18.75% 27.14% 54.11%-0.5242.2
2027-04-03 Inverness CT 1489 1397 54.64% 27.06% 18.30%+0.5443.2
2027-04-03 @ Partick Thistle 1397 1489 18.30% 27.06% 54.64%-0.5443.2
2027-04-03 Queens Park 1530 1282 67.76% 23.43% 8.80%+1.1730.9
2027-04-03 @ Stenhousemuir 1282 1530 8.80% 23.43% 67.76%-1.1730.9
2027-04-10 Stenhousemuir 1336 1530 19.74% 27.31% 52.94%-0.6238.7
2027-04-10 @ Arbroath 1530 1336 52.94% 27.31% 19.74%+0.6238.7
2027-04-10 Dunfermline Athletic 1317 1422 29.62% 28.25% 42.13%-0.2638.6
2027-04-10 @ Ayr United 1422 1317 42.13% 28.25% 29.62%+0.2638.6
2027-04-10 Greenock Morton 1489 1243 67.69% 23.46% 8.85%+1.1724.5
2027-04-10 @ Partick Thistle 1243 1489 8.85% 23.46% 67.69%-1.1724.5
2027-04-10 Livingston 1282 1423 25.17% 27.97% 46.85%-0.4134.7
2027-04-10 @ Queens Park 1423 1282 46.85% 27.97% 25.17%+0.4134.7
2027-04-10 Inverness CT 1494 1397 55.11% 26.98% 17.91%+0.5648.8
2027-04-10 @ Raith Rovers 1397 1494 17.91% 26.98% 55.11%-0.5648.8
2027-04-17 Arbroath 1422 1336 53.95% 27.17% 18.89%+0.5138.7
2027-04-17 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1336 1422 18.89% 27.17% 53.95%-0.5138.7
2027-04-17 Queens Park 1243 1282 38.60% 28.35% 33.04%+0.0143.4
2027-04-17 @ Greenock Morton 1282 1243 33.04% 28.35% 38.60%-0.0143.4
2027-04-17 Ayr United 1397 1317 53.37% 27.25% 19.38%+0.4940.1
2027-04-17 @ Inverness CT 1317 1397 19.38% 27.25% 53.37%-0.4940.1
2027-04-17 Partick Thistle 1423 1489 34.74% 28.37% 36.89%-0.1053.9
2027-04-17 @ Livingston 1489 1423 36.89% 28.37% 34.74%+0.1053.9
2027-04-17 Raith Rovers 1530 1494 48.35% 27.85% 23.80%+0.3167.9
2027-04-17 @ Stenhousemuir 1494 1530 23.80% 27.85% 48.35%-0.3167.9
2027-04-24 Inverness CT 1243 1397 23.70% 27.84% 48.46%-0.4630.3
2027-04-24 @ Greenock Morton 1397 1243 48.46% 27.84% 23.70%+0.4630.3
2027-04-24 Raith Rovers 1423 1494 34.10% 28.37% 37.54%-0.1258.2
2027-04-24 @ Livingston 1494 1423 37.54% 28.37% 34.10%+0.1258.2
2027-04-24 Dunfermline Athletic 1489 1422 52.06% 27.44% 20.51%+0.4448.1
2027-04-24 @ Partick Thistle 1422 1489 20.51% 27.44% 52.06%-0.4448.1
2027-04-24 Arbroath 1282 1336 36.52% 28.37% 35.11%-0.0541.8
2027-04-24 @ Queens Park 1336 1282 35.11% 28.37% 36.52%+0.0541.8
2027-04-24 Ayr United 1530 1317 65.23% 24.40% 10.37%+1.0335.6
2027-04-24 @ Stenhousemuir 1317 1530 10.37% 24.40% 65.23%-1.0335.6
2027-04-30 Partick Thistle 1336 1489 23.79% 27.85% 48.37%-0.4634.5
2027-04-30 @ Arbroath 1489 1336 48.37% 27.85% 23.79%+0.4634.5
2027-04-30 Livingston 1317 1423 29.41% 28.24% 42.34%-0.2642.2
2027-04-30 @ Ayr United 1423 1317 42.34% 28.24% 29.41%+0.2642.2
2027-04-30 Stenhousemuir 1422 1530 29.12% 28.23% 42.65%-0.2751.0
2027-04-30 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1530 1422 42.65% 28.23% 29.12%+0.2751.0
2027-04-30 Queens Park 1397 1282 56.93% 26.64% 16.42%+0.6331.9
2027-04-30 @ Inverness CT 1282 1397 16.42% 26.64% 56.93%-0.6331.9
2027-04-30 Greenock Morton 1494 1243 68.00% 23.33% 8.66%+1.1930.7
2027-04-30 @ Raith Rovers 1243 1494 8.66% 23.33% 68.00%-1.1930.7

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-09-05 29.41% Raith Rovers 1414 2 @ Inverness CT 1403 0
2 2026-09-12 29.57% Inverness CT 1364 3 @ Ayr United 1351 1
3 2026-08-22 32.17% Arbroath 1341 2 @ Greenock Morton 1309 1
4 2026-08-29 35.48% @ Arbroath 1360 1 Livingston 1421 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-12 40.87 @ Raith Rovers 4 1453 52.95% Arbroath 0 1377 19.73% 27.31%
2 2026-09-05 38.75 Raith Rovers 2 1414 29.41% @ Inverness CT 0 1403 42.35% 28.24%
3 2026-09-11 35.95 Livingston 4 1387 42.64% @ Greenock Morton 1 1279 29.13% 28.23%
4 2026-09-12 33.45 Inverness CT 3 1364 29.57% @ Ayr United 1 1351 42.18% 28.25%
5 2026-08-22 30.77 @ Livingston 2 1390 40.66% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1414 31.04% 28.30%
6 2026-08-01 29.49 @ Ayr United 2 1359 42.44% Arbroath 0 1370 29.32% 28.24%
7 2026-08-22 27.13 @ Raith Rovers 2 1405 45.66% Ayr United 0 1391 26.28% 28.06%
8 2026-08-01 24.34 @ Livingston 2 1390 49.35% Queens Park 0 1346 22.90% 27.75%
9 2026-08-07 23.91 @ Partick Thistle 2 1463 49.91% Livingston 0 1414 22.40% 27.69%
10 2026-08-22 23.84 Stenhousemuir 2 1472 49.99% @ Queens Park 0 1305 22.32% 27.68%
11 2026-09-12 19.55 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1402 55.46% Queens Park 0 1302 17.62% 26.92%
12 2026-08-29 18.81 @ Stenhousemuir 3 1495 52.73% Inverness CT 1 1421 19.93% 27.35%
13 2026-08-22 18.36 Arbroath 2 1341 32.17% @ Greenock Morton 1 1309 39.50% 28.33%
14 2026-08-29 18.23 @ Arbroath 1 1360 35.48% Livingston 0 1421 36.15% 28.37%
15 2026-08-28 17.58 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1384 37.28% Raith Rovers 0 1432 34.35% 28.37%
16 2026-08-08 17.39 @ Stenhousemuir 2 1454 58.18% Greenock Morton 0 1326 15.44% 26.38%
17 2026-08-08 16.68 Raith Rovers 2 1388 36.98% @ Queens Park 1 1321 34.65% 28.37%
18 2026-08-01 15.70 Partick Thistle 1 1447 42.29% @ Greenock Morton 0 1342 29.47% 28.24%
19 2026-09-04 15.38 Stenhousemuir 1 1514 43.13% @ Livingston 0 1403 28.66% 28.21%
20 2026-09-05 14.53 @ Queens Park 2 1287 43.05% Greenock Morton 1 1294 28.74% 28.21%
21 2026-09-05 9.57 @ Partick Thistle 1 1480 57.36% Ayr United 0 1360 16.08% 26.56%
22 2026-08-29 6.71 @ Partick Thistle 0 1487 64.75% Queens Park 0 1281 10.68% 24.56%
23 2026-08-29 3.40 @ Ayr United 1 1364 52.67% Greenock Morton 1 1290 19.97% 27.35%
24 2026-08-08 2.29 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1417 47.41% Ayr United 1 1389 24.66% 27.93%
25 2026-08-01 2.03 @ Inverness CT 0 1424 45.11% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1415 26.79% 28.10%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-08-21 61.4 @ Inverness CT 1 1421 34.85% Partick Thistle 1 1487 36.78% 28.37%
2 2026-08-01 59.4 @ Raith Rovers 1 1388 34.70% Stenhousemuir 1 1454 36.93% 28.37%
3 2026-08-08 58.6 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1417 47.41% Ayr United 1 1389 24.66% 27.93%
4 2026-09-05 57.9 @ Arbroath 1 1378 40.82% Dunfermline Athletic 1 1401 30.89% 28.30%
5 2026-08-29 56.4 @ Ayr United 1 1364 52.67% Greenock Morton 1 1290 19.97% 27.35%
6 2026-08-01 52.6 @ Inverness CT 0 1424 45.11% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1415 26.79% 28.10%
7 2026-08-22 52.6 Arbroath 2 1341 32.17% @ Greenock Morton 1 1309 39.50% 28.33%
8 2026-08-29 52.0 @ Partick Thistle 0 1487 64.75% Queens Park 0 1281 10.68% 24.56%
9 2026-08-08 51.8 Raith Rovers 2 1388 36.98% @ Queens Park 1 1321 34.65% 28.37%
10 2026-08-08 50.8 @ Arbroath 0 1341 32.66% Inverness CT 0 1422 39.00% 28.34%
11 2026-09-12 49.9 Inverness CT 3 1364 29.57% @ Ayr United 1 1351 42.18% 28.25%
12 2026-09-05 48.8 @ Queens Park 2 1287 43.05% Greenock Morton 1 1294 28.74% 28.21%
13 2026-08-29 47.8 @ Stenhousemuir 3 1495 52.73% Inverness CT 1 1421 19.93% 27.35%
14 2026-09-04 47.0 Stenhousemuir 1 1514 43.13% @ Livingston 0 1403 28.66% 28.21%
15 2026-08-28 45.8 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1384 37.28% Raith Rovers 0 1432 34.35% 28.37%
16 2026-08-29 45.5 @ Arbroath 1 1360 35.48% Livingston 0 1421 36.15% 28.37%
17 2026-09-05 44.9 Raith Rovers 2 1414 29.41% @ Inverness CT 0 1403 42.35% 28.24%
18 2026-08-01 43.7 Partick Thistle 1 1447 42.29% @ Greenock Morton 0 1342 29.47% 28.24%
19 2026-09-11 41.8 Livingston 4 1387 42.64% @ Greenock Morton 1 1279 29.13% 28.23%
20 2026-08-22 41.3 @ Livingston 2 1390 40.66% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1414 31.04% 28.30%
21 2026-08-07 40.4 @ Partick Thistle 2 1463 49.91% Livingston 0 1414 22.40% 27.69%
22 2026-09-05 40.4 @ Partick Thistle 1 1480 57.36% Ayr United 0 1360 16.08% 26.56%
23 2026-08-22 39.6 @ Raith Rovers 2 1405 45.66% Ayr United 0 1391 26.28% 28.06%
24 2026-08-01 39.3 @ Ayr United 2 1359 42.44% Arbroath 0 1370 29.32% 28.24%
25 2026-08-22 37.9 Stenhousemuir 2 1472 49.99% @ Queens Park 0 1305 22.32% 27.68%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-09-12 35.0 @ Dunfermline Athletic 2 1402 55.46% Queens Park 0 1302 17.62% 26.92%
2 2026-08-08 35.5 @ Stenhousemuir 2 1454 58.18% Greenock Morton 0 1326 15.44% 26.38%
3 2026-09-12 37.2 @ Raith Rovers 4 1453 52.95% Arbroath 0 1377 19.73% 27.31%
4 2026-08-01 37.3 @ Livingston 2 1390 49.35% Queens Park 0 1346 22.90% 27.75%
5 2026-08-22 37.9 Stenhousemuir 2 1472 49.99% @ Queens Park 0 1305 22.32% 27.68%
6 2026-08-01 39.3 @ Ayr United 2 1359 42.44% Arbroath 0 1370 29.32% 28.24%
7 2026-08-22 39.6 @ Raith Rovers 2 1405 45.66% Ayr United 0 1391 26.28% 28.06%
8 2026-08-07 40.4 @ Partick Thistle 2 1463 49.91% Livingston 0 1414 22.40% 27.69%
9 2026-09-05 40.4 @ Partick Thistle 1 1480 57.36% Ayr United 0 1360 16.08% 26.56%
10 2026-08-22 41.3 @ Livingston 2 1390 40.66% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1414 31.04% 28.30%
11 2026-09-11 41.8 Livingston 4 1387 42.64% @ Greenock Morton 1 1279 29.13% 28.23%
12 2026-08-01 43.7 Partick Thistle 1 1447 42.29% @ Greenock Morton 0 1342 29.47% 28.24%
13 2026-09-05 44.9 Raith Rovers 2 1414 29.41% @ Inverness CT 0 1403 42.35% 28.24%
14 2026-08-29 45.5 @ Arbroath 1 1360 35.48% Livingston 0 1421 36.15% 28.37%
15 2026-08-28 45.8 @ Dunfermline Athletic 1 1384 37.28% Raith Rovers 0 1432 34.35% 28.37%
16 2026-09-04 47.0 Stenhousemuir 1 1514 43.13% @ Livingston 0 1403 28.66% 28.21%
17 2026-08-29 47.8 @ Stenhousemuir 3 1495 52.73% Inverness CT 1 1421 19.93% 27.35%
18 2026-09-05 48.8 @ Queens Park 2 1287 43.05% Greenock Morton 1 1294 28.74% 28.21%
19 2026-09-12 49.9 Inverness CT 3 1364 29.57% @ Ayr United 1 1351 42.18% 28.25%
20 2026-08-08 50.8 @ Arbroath 0 1341 32.66% Inverness CT 0 1422 39.00% 28.34%
21 2026-08-08 51.8 Raith Rovers 2 1388 36.98% @ Queens Park 1 1321 34.65% 28.37%
22 2026-08-29 52.0 @ Partick Thistle 0 1487 64.75% Queens Park 0 1281 10.68% 24.56%
23 2026-08-01 52.6 @ Inverness CT 0 1424 45.11% Dunfermline Athletic 0 1415 26.79% 28.10%
24 2026-08-22 52.6 Arbroath 2 1341 32.17% @ Greenock Morton 1 1309 39.50% 28.33%
25 2026-08-29 56.4 @ Ayr United 1 1364 52.67% Greenock Morton 1 1290 19.97% 27.35%