2008-09 Primeira Liga Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Porto

70 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Sporting Clube de Portugal

12.13 points above expected

66 points · 53.87 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Os Belenenses (1st)

11.83 points below expected

24 points · 35.83 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Porto 30 21 7 2 70 61 18 +43 59.7 +10.32
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 30 20 6 4 66 45 20 +25 53.9 +12.13
3 Benfica 30 17 8 5 59 54 32 +22 55.4 +3.62
4 Nacional 30 15 7 8 52 47 32 +15 44.0 +8.05
5 Braga 30 13 11 6 50 38 21 +17 45.3 +4.66
6 Leixoes 30 12 9 9 45 30 31 -1 40.6 +4.44
7 Academica de Coimbra 30 10 9 11 39 28 32 -4 37.2 +1.81
8 Vitoria Guimaraes 30 10 8 12 38 32 36 -4 40.4 -2.44
9 Maritimo 30 9 10 11 37 35 36 -1 44.9 -7.94
10 Pacos de Ferreira 30 9 7 14 34 37 42 -5 36.0 -2.05
11 Estrela da Amadora (1st) 30 8 10 12 34 26 38 -12 35.1 -1.07
12 Rio Ave 30 8 6 16 30 20 35 -15 30.1 -0.08
13 Naval 1 de Maio 30 7 8 15 29 25 39 -14 34.6 -5.62
14 Vitoria Setubal 30 7 5 18 26 21 46 -25 32.9 -6.87
15 Os Belenenses (1st) 30 5 9 16 24 28 52 -24 35.8 -11.83
16 Trofense 30 5 8 17 23 25 42 -17 30.5 -7.50

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Porto 2000 70 59.68 +10.32 94.0% 41 46 55 60 64 72 79
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1908 66 53.87 +12.13 96.0% 37 44 49 54 58 65 71
Benfica 1902 59 55.38 +3.62 67.0% 39 42 51 56 61 65 68
Braga 1837 50 45.34 +4.66 77.0% 32 34 41 45 50 55 59
Nacional 1823 52 43.95 +8.05 86.0% 27 32 39 44 50 55 59
Maritimo 1746 37 44.94 -7.94 15.0% 29 34 40 44 49 57 66
Vitoria Guimaraes 1739 38 40.44 -2.44 38.0% 24 28 36 41 45 50 63
Academica de Coimbra 1735 39 37.19 +1.81 64.0% 18 27 32 36 42 48 53
Pacos de Ferreira 1727 34 36.05 -2.05 40.0% 23 24 31 36 41 47 56
Leixoes 1721 45 40.56 +4.44 77.0% 22 30 37 41 44 50 54
Estrela da Amadora (1st) 1685 34 35.07 -1.07 46.0% 20 24 30 35 40 47 56
Os Belenenses (1st) 1658 24 35.83 -11.83 6.0% 21 24 30 35 41 49 52
Naval 1 de Maio 1655 29 34.62 -5.62 17.0% 23 25 30 34 38 45 48
Rio Ave 1644 30 30.08 -0.08 52.0% 14 19 25 29 35 40 46
Trofense 1643 23 30.50 -7.50 14.0% 9 20 26 31 35 40 49
Vitoria Setubal 1640 26 32.87 -6.87 16.0% 20 23 29 34 38 41 46

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC BEN BRA EDA( LEI MAR NAC N1DM OB( PDF POR RA SCDP TRO VG VS
Academica de Coimbra
1-0-1
1.65
0-2-0
2.19
0-1-1
2.85
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
2.32
0-1-1
2.27
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-1
2.76
1-1-0
2.74
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
3.25
0-2-0
1.66
1-1-0
3.20
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-1
2.83
Benfica
1-0-1
3.88
2-0-0
3.17
2-0-0
3.99
1-1-0
3.63
2-0-0
3.38
0-1-1
3.55
2-0-0
4.02
1-1-0
4.20
2-0-0
3.97
0-2-0
2.36
1-1-0
4.21
1-0-1
2.84
0-1-1
4.46
1-0-1
3.61
1-1-0
4.14
Braga
0-2-0
3.26
0-0-2
2.28
1-1-0
3.24
0-0-2
3.12
0-2-0
2.82
1-1-0
2.82
1-1-0
3.34
2-0-0
3.57
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-1
1.77
1-1-0
3.92
1-0-1
2.28
1-1-0
3.85
1-1-0
2.89
2-0-0
3.50
Estrela da Amadora (1st)
1-1-0
2.55
0-0-2
1.55
0-1-1
2.18
1-1-0
2.27
0-1-1
2.28
2-0-0
2.03
1-1-0
2.70
0-2-0
2.60
0-0-2
2.68
0-0-2
1.24
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
1.57
1-1-0
3.11
1-1-0
2.24
0-1-1
2.78
Leixoes
0-1-1
2.81
0-1-1
1.85
2-0-0
2.30
0-1-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.46
0-1-1
2.53
0-1-1
3.14
1-1-0
2.86
1-0-1
3.22
1-0-1
1.58
2-0-0
3.45
1-0-1
1.86
2-0-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.68
1-1-0
3.23
Maritimo
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
2.09
0-2-0
2.62
1-1-0
3.15
0-1-1
2.95
1-1-0
2.69
1-0-1
3.23
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.16
0-1-1
1.56
0-2-0
3.69
0-0-2
1.94
1-1-0
3.67
0-0-2
2.78
2-0-0
3.17
Nacional
1-1-0
3.18
1-1-0
1.94
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
3.41
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.72
2-0-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.37
0-0-2
1.70
1-1-0
3.70
0-1-1
2.09
2-0-0
3.70
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.48
Naval 1 de Maio
1-0-1
2.38
0-0-2
1.53
0-1-1
2.09
0-1-1
2.69
1-1-0
2.28
1-0-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.28
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
2.72
1-0-1
1.35
0-0-2
3.16
0-0-2
1.71
1-1-0
2.93
0-1-1
2.24
1-1-0
2.83
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-0-1
2.67
0-1-1
1.40
0-0-2
1.89
0-2-0
2.79
0-1-1
2.59
0-1-1
2.14
0-0-2
2.08
0-1-1
2.92
0-2-0
3.01
0-0-2
1.60
2-0-0
2.98
0-0-2
1.89
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.97
Pacos de Ferreira
0-1-1
2.67
0-0-2
1.59
0-0-2
2.20
2-0-0
2.72
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
2.09
1-1-0
2.66
0-2-0
2.42
0-0-2
1.31
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-1
1.64
2-0-0
3.00
0-2-0
2.33
1-0-1
3.00
Porto
2-0-0
4.21
0-2-0
3.05
1-1-0
3.75
2-0-0
4.41
1-0-1
3.97
1-1-0
3.98
2-0-0
3.83
1-0-1
4.28
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.31
1-1-0
4.48
1-1-0
3.22
1-1-0
4.74
2-0-0
3.90
2-0-0
4.43
Rio Ave
1-0-1
2.17
0-1-1
1.40
0-1-1
1.61
1-0-1
2.33
0-0-2
2.01
0-2-0
1.79
0-1-1
1.78
2-0-0
2.26
0-0-2
2.42
1-0-1
2.49
0-1-1
1.19
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
1.98
1-0-1
2.35
Sporting Clube de Portugal
0-2-0
3.85
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-1
3.15
2-0-0
4.00
1-0-1
3.60
2-0-0
3.51
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.83
2-0-0
3.57
1-1-0
3.90
0-1-1
2.22
2-0-0
4.11
1-1-0
3.99
2-0-0
3.53
2-0-0
4.13
Trofense
0-1-1
2.22
1-1-0
1.20
0-1-1
1.68
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
1.82
0-0-2
1.78
0-1-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.36
0-0-2
2.44
0-1-1
1.00
1-0-1
2.79
0-1-1
1.56
1-0-1
2.00
1-0-1
2.42
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
1.89
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
3.20
1-1-0
2.72
2-0-0
2.62
0-0-2
2.66
1-1-0
3.20
1-1-0
2.95
0-2-0
3.10
0-0-2
1.62
1-0-1
3.49
0-0-2
1.92
1-0-1
3.45
1-1-0
3.13
Vitoria Setubal
1-0-1
2.56
0-1-1
1.44
0-0-2
1.95
1-1-0
2.65
0-1-1
2.21
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
1.96
0-1-1
2.57
1-0-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.39
0-0-2
1.24
1-0-1
3.09
0-0-2
1.46
1-0-1
3.02
0-1-1
2.28

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.25%11.67%7.29%1.46%0.62%0.62%32.92%
111.67%11.25%7.08%3.75%0.62%0.21%34.58%
27.29%7.08%4.17%1.88%1.25%21.67%
31.46%3.75%1.88%0.21%7.29%
40.62%0.62%1.25%0.21%2.71%
5+0.62%0.21%0.83%
Total32.92%34.58%21.67%7.29%2.71%0.83%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.15
Mean allowed1.15
StdDev scored1.10
StdDev allowed1.10
Mean total goals/game2.30
Correlation (home vs away score)0.015
Sample size (games)240
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%33.33%
120.00%13.33%10.00%3.33%46.67%
26.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
36.67%6.67%
4
5+
Total33.33%36.67%20.00%10.00%100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.93
Mean allowed1.07
StdDev scored0.87
StdDev allowed0.98
Mean total goals/game2.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.127
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
110.00%13.33%3.33%26.67%
26.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%33.33%
36.67%6.67%13.33%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total30.00%43.33%16.67%10.00%100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.80
Mean allowed1.07
StdDev scored1.37
StdDev allowed0.94
Mean total goals/game2.87
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.090
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%6.67%30.00%
116.67%20.00%3.33%40.00%
210.00%3.33%3.33%16.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
4
5+6.67%6.67%
Total50.00%33.33%13.33%3.33%100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.27
Mean allowed0.70
StdDev scored1.34
StdDev allowed0.84
Mean total goals/game1.97
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.173
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%36.67%
116.67%10.00%10.00%3.33%40.00%
23.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%23.33%
3
4
5+
Total33.33%30.00%23.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Estrela da Amadora (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.87
Mean allowed1.27
StdDev scored0.78
StdDev allowed1.28
Mean total goals/game2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.106
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%3.33%30.00%
120.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%43.33%
26.67%10.00%6.67%23.33%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total40.00%33.33%16.67%3.33%6.67%100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.00
Mean allowed1.03
StdDev scored0.83
StdDev allowed1.16
Mean total goals/game2.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.107
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%3.33%33.33%
16.67%20.00%10.00%3.33%40.00%
213.33%3.33%16.67%
3
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total33.33%36.67%16.67%10.00%3.33%100%

Maritimo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.17
Mean allowed1.20
StdDev scored1.29
StdDev allowed1.32
Mean total goals/game2.37
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.081
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%3.33%23.33%
110.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%30.00%
23.33%10.00%6.67%20.00%
36.67%10.00%3.33%20.00%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+
Total33.33%43.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%100%

Nacional — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.57
Mean allowed1.07
StdDev scored1.25
StdDev allowed1.11
Mean total goals/game2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.096
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%36.67%
113.33%10.00%16.67%6.67%46.67%
26.67%6.67%13.33%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total23.33%36.67%30.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Naval 1 de Maio — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.83
Mean allowed1.30
StdDev scored0.79
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game2.13
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.064
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%16.67%3.33%30.00%
110.00%16.67%13.33%10.00%50.00%
23.33%10.00%3.33%16.67%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total13.33%26.67%43.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.93
Mean allowed1.73
StdDev scored0.78
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.056
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%16.67%30.00%
16.67%10.00%10.00%3.33%30.00%
210.00%6.67%3.33%10.00%30.00%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total30.00%23.33%30.00%10.00%6.67%100%

Pacos de Ferreira — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.23
Mean allowed1.40
StdDev scored1.07
StdDev allowed1.22
Mean total goals/game2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.058
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%16.67%
13.33%10.00%13.33%
223.33%6.67%3.33%33.33%
313.33%10.00%23.33%
46.67%6.67%13.33%
5+
Total53.33%36.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.03
Mean allowed0.60
StdDev scored1.27
StdDev allowed0.77
Mean total goals/game2.63
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.331
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%26.67%13.33%3.33%53.33%
113.33%10.00%3.33%3.33%30.00%
23.33%6.67%3.33%13.33%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total26.67%43.33%20.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Rio Ave — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.67
Mean allowed1.17
StdDev scored0.84
StdDev allowed1.02
Mean total goals/game1.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.107
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%3.33%3.33%23.33%
113.33%3.33%3.33%20.00%
220.00%16.67%3.33%40.00%
313.33%3.33%16.67%
4
5+
Total50.00%36.67%10.00%3.33%100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.50
Mean allowed0.67
StdDev scored1.04
StdDev allowed0.80
Mean total goals/game2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.289
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%20.00%6.67%40.00%
13.33%6.67%10.00%13.33%3.33%36.67%
210.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%23.33%
3
4
5+
Total26.67%30.00%23.33%16.67%3.33%100%

Trofense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.83
Mean allowed1.40
StdDev scored0.79
StdDev allowed1.16
Mean total goals/game2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.187
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%10.00%3.33%40.00%
113.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%36.67%
23.33%3.33%6.67%
36.67%3.33%10.00%
46.67%6.67%
5+
Total26.67%33.33%33.33%6.67%100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.07
Mean allowed1.20
StdDev scored1.23
StdDev allowed0.92
Mean total goals/game2.27
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.230
Games played30
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%20.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%53.33%
110.00%3.33%6.67%3.33%23.33%
26.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%23.33%
3
4
5+
Total23.33%30.00%30.00%6.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.70
Mean allowed1.53
StdDev scored0.84
StdDev allowed1.31
Mean total goals/game2.23
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.069
Games played30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 66 53.9 +12.13
2 Porto 70 59.7 +10.32
3 Nacional 52 44.0 +8.05
4 Braga 50 45.3 +4.66
5 Leixoes 45 40.6 +4.44

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 24 35.8 -11.83
2 Maritimo 37 44.9 -7.94
3 Trofense 23 30.5 -7.50
4 Vitoria Setubal 26 32.9 -6.87
5 Naval 1 de Maio 29 34.6 -5.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leixoes 4 Oct 25 – Nov 21 1 in 164
2 Porto 9 Mar 7 – May 16 1 in 43
3 Nacional 3 Aug 24 – Sep 22 1 in 25
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 6 Mar 7 – Apr 25 1 in 18
5 Vitoria Setubal 2 Mar 9 – Mar 15 1 in 15

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vitoria Setubal 4 Oct 7 – Nov 16 1 in 63
2 Trofense 5 Aug 23 – Oct 5 1 in 48
3 Maritimo 5 Apr 26 – May 23 1 in 48
4 Rio Ave 5 Dec 20 – Jan 31 1 in 32
5 Porto 2 Oct 25 – Nov 1 1 in 30

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Leixoes 9 Aug 31 – Nov 28 1 in 134
2 Porto 23 Nov 15 – May 24 1 in 84
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 13 Feb 14 – May 24 1 in 33
4 Braga 10 Sep 27 – Jan 5 1 in 30
5 Benfica 12 Aug 24 – Dec 22 1 in 29

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Maritimo 10 Mar 6 – May 23 1 in 85
2 Leixoes 7 Nov 28 – Feb 1 1 in 35
3 Os Belenenses (1st) 9 Jan 23 – Apr 3 1 in 21
4 Vitoria Guimaraes 6 Oct 6 – Nov 30 1 in 12
5 Academica de Coimbra 7 Sep 28 – Dec 1 1 in 11

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Porto56.00%23.00%10.00%6.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%
Sporting Clube de Portugal15.00%26.00%26.00%16.00%9.00%6.00%1.00%1.00%
Benfica23.00%35.00%22.00%5.00%4.00%3.00%5.00%3.00%
Nacional2.00%3.00%9.00%16.00%13.00%14.00%6.00%12.00%7.00%5.00%3.00%5.00%1.00%1.00%3.00%
Braga2.00%3.00%12.00%17.00%17.00%11.00%11.00%3.00%7.00%8.00%5.00%4.00%
Leixoes1.00%2.00%9.00%15.00%8.00%11.00%11.00%12.00%7.00%6.00%2.00%7.00%3.00%3.00%3.00%
Academica de Coimbra3.00%4.00%4.00%6.00%11.00%4.00%12.00%12.00%7.00%8.00%11.00%8.00%8.00%2.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes2.00%4.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%13.00%14.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%4.00%6.00%3.00%4.00%2.00%
Maritimo2.00%7.00%6.00%8.00%17.00%16.00%14.00%12.00%6.00%5.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%2.00%
Pacos de Ferreira1.00%3.00%5.00%5.00%7.00%13.00%5.00%12.00%8.00%9.00%10.00%10.00%6.00%6.00%
Estrela da Amadora (1st)1.00%2.00%4.00%4.00%4.00%7.00%9.00%6.00%13.00%9.00%13.00%6.00%7.00%15.00%
Rio Ave1.00%1.00%2.00%2.00%1.00%5.00%4.00%9.00%11.00%8.00%14.00%16.00%26.00%
Naval 1 de Maio1.00%8.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%10.00%11.00%7.00%12.00%20.00%10.00%3.00%
Vitoria Setubal1.00%4.00%8.00%7.00%9.00%13.00%9.00%10.00%11.00%14.00%14.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)2.00%5.00%3.00%7.00%5.00%7.00%5.00%6.00%7.00%18.00%8.00%7.00%12.00%8.00%
Trofense1.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%2.00%8.00%6.00%12.00%12.00%15.00%17.00%21.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100%
Braga 100%
Maritimo 100%
Porto 100%
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100%
Nacional 97.0% 3.0%
Leixoes 94.0% 6.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes 94.0% 6.0%
Academica de Coimbra 90.0% 10.0%
Pacos de Ferreira 88.0% 12.0%
Naval 1 de Maio 87.0% 13.0%
Os Belenenses (1st) 80.0% 20.0%
Estrela da Amadora (1st) 78.0% 22.0%
Vitoria Setubal 72.0% 28.0%
Trofense 62.0% 38.0%
Rio Ave 58.0% 42.0%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2008-08-22 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1768 1741 46.8% 28.6% 24.6% -0.9 1
2008-08-22 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1741 1768 24.6% 28.6% 46.8% +0.9 1
2008-08-23 Braga L 0-2 1714 1767 35.3% 30.7% 34.0% -13.9 0
2008-08-23 @ Pacos de Ferreira W 2-0 1767 1714 34.0% 30.7% 35.3% +13.9 3
2008-08-23 Trofense W 3-1 1826 1682 63.1% 20.5% 16.4% +5.7 3
2008-08-23 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1682 1826 16.4% 20.5% 63.1% -5.7 0
2008-08-24 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1716 1737 39.9% 30.3% 29.8% +6.5 3
2008-08-24 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1737 1716 29.8% 30.3% 39.9% -6.5 0
2008-08-24 Nacional L 1-3 1716 1745 38.6% 30.4% 30.9% -12.8 0
2008-08-24 @ Leixoes W 3-1 1745 1716 30.9% 30.4% 38.6% +12.8 3
2008-08-24 Maritimo W 1-0 1709 1774 33.6% 30.6% 35.7% +7.4 3
2008-08-24 @ Naval 1 de Maio L 0-1 1774 1709 35.7% 30.6% 33.6% -7.4 0
2008-08-24 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1883 1769 59.0% 22.9% 18.1% +7.4 3
2008-08-24 @ Porto L 0-2 1769 1883 18.1% 22.9% 59.0% -7.4 0
2008-08-24 Benfica D 1-1 1675 1840 22.5% 27.3% 50.2% +1.1 1
2008-08-24 @ Rio Ave D 1-1 1840 1675 50.2% 27.3% 22.5% -1.1 1
2008-08-29 Pacos de Ferreira D 2-2 1762 1700 51.7% 26.7% 21.7% -0.9 1
2008-08-29 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1700 1762 21.7% 26.7% 51.7% +0.9 1
2008-08-30 Porto D 1-1 1839 1891 35.4% 30.7% 33.9% -0.0 2
2008-08-30 @ Benfica D 1-1 1891 1839 33.9% 30.7% 35.4% +0.1 4
2008-08-31 Rio Ave W 1-0 1730 1676 50.7% 27.1% 22.2% +5.0 3
2008-08-31 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1676 1730 22.2% 27.1% 50.7% -5.0 1
2008-08-31 Naval 1 de Maio W 2-1 1758 1717 48.9% 27.8% 23.3% +5.0 6
2008-08-31 @ Nacional L 1-2 1717 1758 23.3% 27.8% 48.9% -5.0 3
2008-08-31 Leixoes L 1-2 1676 1703 39.1% 30.4% 30.6% -7.5 0
2008-08-31 @ Trofense W 2-1 1703 1676 30.6% 30.4% 39.1% +7.5 3
2008-08-31 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 1-0 1742 1723 45.7% 28.9% 25.4% +5.7 4
2008-08-31 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1723 1742 25.4% 28.9% 45.7% -5.7 3
2008-09-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1781 1832 35.5% 30.6% 33.8% -7.4 3
2008-09-01 @ Braga W 1-0 1832 1781 33.8% 30.6% 35.5% +7.4 6
2008-09-01 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1766 1767 42.8% 29.7% 27.5% -8.4 0
2008-09-01 @ Maritimo W 1-0 1767 1766 27.5% 29.7% 42.8% +8.4 4
2008-09-20 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1839 1761 54.1% 25.5% 20.4% +8.6 9
2008-09-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1761 1839 20.4% 25.5% 54.1% -8.6 1
2008-09-21 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1735 1748 41.2% 30.0% 28.8% +6.3 6
2008-09-21 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1748 1735 28.8% 30.0% 41.2% -6.3 4
2008-09-21 Maritimo D 0-0 1717 1758 37.0% 30.6% 32.4% -0.2 4
2008-09-21 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 0-0 1758 1717 32.4% 30.6% 37.0% +0.2 1
2008-09-21 Braga W 2-0 1710 1773 33.9% 30.6% 35.5% +13.9 6
2008-09-21 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1773 1710 35.5% 30.6% 33.9% -13.9 3
2008-09-21 Trofense W 3-1 1712 1669 49.0% 27.8% 23.2% +8.5 6
2008-09-21 @ Naval 1 de Maio L 1-3 1669 1712 23.2% 27.8% 49.0% -8.5 0
2008-09-21 Porto D 0-0 1671 1891 18.6% 23.5% 57.8% +1.8 2
2008-09-21 @ Rio Ave D 0-0 1891 1671 57.8% 23.5% 18.6% -1.8 5
2008-09-22 Benfica L 3-4 1701 1839 25.0% 28.7% 46.3% -4.9 1
2008-09-22 @ Pacos de Ferreira W 4-3 1839 1701 46.3% 28.7% 25.0% +4.9 5
2008-09-22 Nacional L 0-2 1775 1763 44.7% 29.2% 26.1% -16.4 4
2008-09-22 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1763 1775 26.1% 29.2% 44.7% +16.4 9
2008-09-26 Pacos de Ferreira W 2-0 1889 1696 69.5% 16.5% 14.1% +5.2 8
2008-09-26 @ Porto L 0-2 1696 1889 14.1% 16.5% 69.5% -5.3 1
2008-09-27 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1844 1848 42.4% 29.8% 27.8% +11.6 8
2008-09-27 @ Benfica L 0-2 1848 1844 27.8% 29.8% 42.4% -11.6 9
2008-09-27 Naval 1 de Maio D 1-1 1759 1720 48.5% 28.0% 23.5% -1.0 4
2008-09-27 @ Braga D 1-1 1720 1759 23.5% 28.0% 48.5% +1.0 7
2008-09-27 Rio Ave W 1-0 1741 1673 52.7% 26.2% 21.1% +4.8 7
2008-09-27 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1673 1741 21.1% 26.2% 52.7% -4.7 2
2008-09-28 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1758 1742 45.3% 29.1% 25.7% +10.9 4
2008-09-28 @ Maritimo L 0-2 1742 1758 25.7% 29.1% 45.3% -10.8 6
2008-09-28 Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 1-2 1780 1717 51.9% 26.6% 21.6% -9.1 9
2008-09-28 @ Nacional W 2-1 1717 1780 21.6% 26.6% 51.9% +9.1 7
2008-09-28 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1660 1759 29.2% 30.1% 40.7% -10.5 0
2008-09-28 @ Trofense W 3-1 1759 1660 40.7% 30.1% 29.2% +10.5 7
2008-09-29 Leixoes L 0-1 1752 1724 46.9% 28.5% 24.6% -9.0 1
2008-09-29 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1724 1752 24.6% 28.5% 46.9% +9.0 9
2008-10-04 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1721 1743 39.8% 30.3% 29.9% -0.4 8
2008-10-04 @ Naval 1 de Maio D 1-1 1743 1721 29.9% 30.3% 39.8% +0.4 2
2008-10-05 Nacional D 1-1 1731 1770 37.2% 30.6% 32.2% -0.2 7
2008-10-05 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1770 1731 32.2% 30.6% 37.2% +0.2 10
2008-10-05 Trofense W 1-0 1726 1650 53.7% 25.7% 20.6% +4.6 10
2008-10-05 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1650 1726 20.6% 25.7% 53.7% -4.6 0
2008-10-05 Pacos de Ferreira W 3-2 1668 1691 39.6% 30.3% 30.1% +5.9 5
2008-10-05 @ Rio Ave L 2-3 1691 1668 30.1% 30.3% 39.6% -5.9 1
2008-10-05 Porto L 1-2 1836 1894 34.5% 30.7% 34.8% -6.8 9
2008-10-05 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1894 1836 34.8% 30.7% 34.5% +6.8 11
2008-10-06 Benfica D 1-1 1733 1856 26.6% 29.4% 44.0% +0.7 10
2008-10-06 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1856 1733 44.0% 29.4% 26.6% -0.7 9
2008-10-06 Braga D 0-0 1769 1758 44.5% 29.3% 26.2% -0.8 8
2008-10-06 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1758 1769 26.2% 29.3% 44.5% +0.8 5
2008-10-07 Maritimo L 0-2 1746 1769 39.6% 30.3% 30.1% -15.0 7
2008-10-07 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1769 1746 30.1% 30.3% 39.6% +15.0 7
2008-10-24 Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1645 1731 30.8% 30.4% 38.8% +0.3 1
2008-10-24 @ Trofense D 0-0 1731 1645 38.8% 30.4% 30.8% -0.3 8
2008-10-25 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1743 1769 39.3% 30.3% 30.3% -0.3 3
2008-10-25 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1769 1743 30.3% 30.3% 39.3% +0.3 9
2008-10-25 Leixoes L 2-3 1901 1734 66.1% 18.6% 15.3% -10.2 11
2008-10-25 @ Porto W 3-2 1734 1901 15.3% 18.6% 66.1% +10.2 13
2008-10-26 Naval 1 de Maio W 2-1 1855 1721 61.7% 21.3% 17.0% +3.4 12
2008-10-26 @ Benfica L 1-2 1721 1855 17.0% 21.3% 61.7% -3.4 8
2008-10-26 Rio Ave D 1-1 1784 1674 58.5% 23.2% 18.3% -1.7 8
2008-10-26 @ Maritimo D 1-1 1674 1784 18.3% 23.2% 58.5% +1.7 6
2008-10-26 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1771 1731 48.6% 27.9% 23.5% +5.3 13
2008-10-26 @ Nacional L 0-1 1731 1771 23.5% 27.9% 48.6% -5.3 7
2008-10-26 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1685 1830 24.4% 28.4% 47.2% +1.0 2
2008-10-26 @ Pacos de Ferreira D 0-0 1830 1685 47.2% 28.4% 24.4% -1.0 10
2008-10-27 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 5-0 1759 1731 47.0% 28.5% 24.5% +24.3 8
2008-10-27 @ Braga L 0-5 1731 1759 24.5% 28.5% 47.0% -24.3 10
2008-10-31 Trofense L 0-2 1726 1646 54.3% 25.4% 20.3% -18.9 7
2008-10-31 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1646 1726 20.3% 25.4% 54.3% +18.9 4
2008-11-01 Porto W 1-0 1717 1891 21.9% 26.8% 51.3% +9.6 11
2008-11-01 @ Naval 1 de Maio L 0-1 1891 1717 51.3% 26.8% 21.9% -9.6 11
2008-11-01 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1675 1828 23.6% 28.0% 48.4% -5.3 6
2008-11-01 @ Rio Ave W 1-0 1828 1675 48.4% 28.0% 23.6% +5.3 13
2008-11-02 Braga D 1-1 1730 1784 35.2% 30.7% 34.1% -0.0 9
2008-11-02 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1784 1730 34.1% 30.7% 35.2% +0.0 9
2008-11-02 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1706 1743 37.6% 30.5% 31.9% -0.2 11
2008-11-02 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 1-1 1743 1706 31.9% 30.5% 37.6% +0.2 4
2008-11-02 Pacos de Ferreira W 2-1 1744 1686 51.2% 26.9% 21.9% +4.7 16
2008-11-02 @ Leixoes L 1-2 1686 1744 21.9% 26.9% 51.2% -4.7 2
2008-11-02 Benfica L 1-2 1769 1858 30.3% 30.3% 39.3% -6.2 9
2008-11-02 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1858 1769 39.3% 30.3% 30.3% +6.2 15
2008-11-03 Nacional W 4-2 1782 1776 43.8% 29.5% 26.7% +8.7 11
2008-11-03 @ Maritimo L 2-4 1776 1782 26.7% 29.5% 43.8% -8.7 13
2008-11-14 Maritimo L 0-2 1664 1791 26.1% 29.2% 44.7% -11.0 4
2008-11-14 @ Trofense W 2-0 1791 1664 44.7% 29.2% 26.1% +11.0 14
2008-11-15 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1881 1763 59.6% 22.5% 17.8% +7.3 14
2008-11-15 @ Porto L 0-2 1763 1881 17.8% 22.5% 59.6% -7.3 9
2008-11-15 Leixoes L 0-1 1834 1749 54.9% 25.1% 20.0% -10.1 13
2008-11-15 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1749 1834 20.0% 25.1% 54.9% +10.1 19
2008-11-16 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 1-0 1865 1706 65.0% 19.3% 15.7% +3.3 18
2008-11-16 @ Benfica L 0-1 1706 1865 15.7% 19.3% 65.0% -3.3 11
2008-11-16 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1784 1707 53.8% 25.6% 20.5% +4.6 12
2008-11-16 @ Braga L 0-1 1707 1784 20.5% 25.6% 53.8% -4.6 7
2008-11-16 Rio Ave D 0-0 1767 1670 56.6% 24.2% 19.1% -1.8 14
2008-11-16 @ Nacional D 0-0 1670 1767 19.1% 24.2% 56.6% +1.8 7
2008-11-16 Naval 1 de Maio W 2-1 1682 1727 36.4% 30.6% 33.0% +6.6 5
2008-11-16 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 1-2 1727 1682 33.0% 30.6% 36.4% -6.6 11
2008-11-17 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1743 1730 44.8% 29.2% 26.0% +5.8 7
2008-11-17 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1730 1743 26.0% 29.2% 44.8% -5.8 9
2008-11-21 Leixoes L 1-2 1672 1759 30.6% 30.4% 39.0% -6.3 7
2008-11-21 @ Rio Ave W 2-1 1759 1672 39.0% 30.4% 30.6% +6.3 22
2008-11-22 Braga D 0-0 1802 1788 44.9% 29.2% 25.9% -0.8 15
2008-11-22 @ Maritimo D 0-0 1788 1802 25.9% 29.2% 44.9% +0.8 13
2008-11-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1720 1824 28.7% 30.0% 41.3% -6.3 11
2008-11-22 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 1-0 1824 1720 41.3% 30.0% 28.7% +6.3 16
2008-11-23 Benfica L 0-2 1725 1868 24.5% 28.5% 47.1% -10.4 9
2008-11-23 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1868 1725 47.1% 28.5% 24.5% +10.4 21
2008-11-23 Trofense W 1-0 1766 1653 58.7% 23.1% 18.2% +4.0 17
2008-11-23 @ Nacional L 0-1 1653 1766 18.2% 23.1% 58.7% -4.0 4
2008-11-23 Pacos de Ferreira D 0-0 1755 1688 52.5% 26.3% 21.2% -1.5 10
2008-11-23 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1688 1755 21.2% 26.3% 52.5% +1.4 6
2008-11-24 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1702 1749 36.1% 30.6% 33.2% +13.3 10
2008-11-24 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1749 1702 33.2% 30.6% 36.1% -13.3 7
2008-11-28 Naval 1 de Maio D 1-1 1765 1714 50.2% 27.3% 22.5% -1.1 23
2008-11-28 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1714 1765 22.5% 27.3% 50.2% +1.1 12
2008-11-29 Maritimo L 0-2 1736 1801 33.5% 30.6% 35.8% -13.4 7
2008-11-29 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1801 1736 35.8% 30.6% 33.5% +13.4 18
2008-11-30 Nacional W 1-0 1789 1770 45.7% 28.9% 25.4% +5.7 16
2008-11-30 @ Braga L 0-1 1770 1789 25.4% 28.9% 45.7% -5.7 17
2008-11-30 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 1-0 1690 1703 41.0% 30.1% 28.9% +6.3 9
2008-11-30 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 0-1 1703 1690 28.9% 30.1% 41.0% -6.3 11
2008-11-30 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1830 1754 53.7% 25.7% 20.6% +8.7 19
2008-11-30 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1754 1830 20.6% 25.7% 53.7% -8.7 10
2008-11-30 Rio Ave W 2-0 1649 1666 40.6% 30.2% 29.3% +12.1 7
2008-11-30 @ Trofense L 0-2 1666 1649 29.3% 30.2% 40.6% -12.1 7
2008-12-01 Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1878 1715 65.6% 18.9% 15.5% -1.6 22
2008-12-01 @ Benfica D 2-2 1715 1878 15.5% 18.9% 65.6% +1.6 11
2008-12-01 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1889 1714 67.1% 18.0% 14.9% +2.9 17
2008-12-01 @ Porto L 1-2 1714 1889 14.9% 18.0% 67.1% -2.9 9
2008-12-05 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1696 1839 24.6% 28.5% 46.9% -9.0 11
2008-12-05 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 3-1 1839 1696 46.9% 28.5% 24.6% +9.0 22
2008-12-06 Pacos de Ferreira W 2-1 1711 1696 45.1% 29.1% 25.8% +5.4 12
2008-12-06 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1696 1711 25.8% 29.1% 45.1% -5.4 9
2008-12-06 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-2 1764 1722 48.8% 27.8% 23.3% +7.7 20
2008-12-06 @ Nacional L 2-4 1722 1764 23.3% 27.8% 48.8% -7.7 7
2008-12-06 Porto L 0-3 1717 1892 21.8% 26.7% 51.5% -13.4 11
2008-12-06 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1892 1717 51.5% 26.7% 21.8% +13.4 20
2008-12-07 Benfica L 0-6 1815 1877 34.0% 30.7% 35.4% -37.5 18
2008-12-07 @ Maritimo W 6-0 1877 1815 35.4% 30.7% 34.0% +37.5 25
2008-12-07 Naval 1 de Maio W 2-0 1654 1715 34.0% 30.7% 35.3% +13.9 10
2008-12-07 @ Rio Ave L 0-2 1715 1654 35.3% 30.7% 34.0% -13.9 12
2008-12-08 Braga D 0-0 1662 1795 25.4% 28.9% 45.6% +0.9 8
2008-12-08 @ Trofense D 0-0 1795 1662 45.6% 28.9% 25.4% -0.9 17
2008-12-08 Leixoes W 1-0 1745 1764 40.2% 30.2% 29.6% +6.5 13
2008-12-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1764 1745 29.6% 30.2% 40.2% -6.5 23
2008-12-17 Porto L 2-4 1687 1905 18.8% 23.7% 57.5% -6.0 11
2008-12-17 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 4-2 1905 1687 57.5% 23.7% 18.8% +6.0 23
2008-12-19 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1701 1752 35.6% 30.6% 33.7% -0.1 13
2008-12-19 @ Naval 1 de Maio D 0-0 1752 1701 33.7% 30.6% 35.6% +0.1 14
2008-12-20 Rio Ave W 1-0 1794 1667 60.7% 21.9% 17.4% +3.8 20
2008-12-20 @ Braga L 0-1 1667 1794 17.4% 21.9% 60.7% -3.8 10
2008-12-20 Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1848 1717 61.3% 21.6% 17.1% -2.1 23
2008-12-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1717 1848 17.1% 21.6% 61.3% +2.1 13
2008-12-21 Trofense W 3-2 1715 1662 50.4% 27.2% 22.4% +4.5 10
2008-12-21 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-3 1662 1715 22.4% 27.2% 50.4% -4.5 8
2008-12-21 Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 1-1 1758 1681 53.8% 25.7% 20.6% -1.4 24
2008-12-21 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1681 1758 20.6% 25.7% 53.8% +1.4 12
2008-12-21 Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1691 1704 41.0% 30.1% 28.9% +12.0 12
2008-12-21 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 0-2 1704 1691 28.9% 30.1% 41.0% -12.0 11
2008-12-21 Maritimo D 0-0 1911 1777 61.7% 21.3% 17.0% -2.1 24
2008-12-21 @ Porto D 0-0 1777 1911 17.0% 21.3% 61.7% +2.1 19
2008-12-22 Nacional D 0-0 1914 1772 62.9% 20.6% 16.5% -2.2 26
2008-12-22 @ Benfica D 0-0 1772 1914 16.5% 20.6% 62.9% +2.2 21
2009-01-02 Leixoes D 0-0 1719 1756 37.5% 30.6% 31.9% -0.2 14
2009-01-02 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1756 1719 31.9% 30.6% 37.5% +0.2 25
2009-01-03 Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-4 1664 1752 30.5% 30.4% 39.1% -9.7 10
2009-01-03 @ Rio Ave W 4-2 1752 1664 39.1% 30.4% 30.5% +9.7 17
2009-01-03 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1692 1846 23.5% 27.9% 48.6% -10.0 11
2009-01-03 @ Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1846 1692 48.6% 27.9% 23.5% +10.0 26
2009-01-04 Naval 1 de Maio W 1-0 1683 1701 40.2% 30.2% 29.5% +6.5 15
2009-01-04 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1701 1683 29.5% 30.2% 40.2% -6.5 13
2009-01-04 Pacos de Ferreira W 4-1 1779 1703 53.8% 25.7% 20.5% +10.6 22
2009-01-04 @ Maritimo L 1-4 1703 1779 20.5% 25.7% 53.8% -10.6 12
2009-01-04 Porto L 2-4 1774 1909 25.2% 28.9% 45.9% -8.3 21
2009-01-04 @ Nacional W 4-2 1909 1774 45.9% 28.9% 25.2% +8.3 27
2009-01-04 Benfica W 2-0 1658 1912 16.7% 20.8% 62.5% +20.7 11
2009-01-04 @ Trofense L 0-2 1912 1658 62.5% 20.8% 16.7% -20.7 26
2009-01-05 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1798 1719 54.0% 25.5% 20.4% +8.6 23
2009-01-05 @ Braga L 0-2 1719 1798 20.4% 25.5% 54.0% -8.6 10
2009-01-10 Maritimo W 2-0 1856 1790 52.3% 26.4% 21.3% +9.0 29
2009-01-10 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1790 1856 21.3% 26.4% 52.3% -9.0 22
2009-01-10 Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 0-0 1762 1689 53.2% 25.9% 20.8% -1.5 18
2009-01-10 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1689 1762 20.8% 25.9% 53.2% +1.5 16
2009-01-11 Braga W 1-0 1891 1806 55.0% 25.1% 20.0% +4.5 29
2009-01-11 @ Benfica L 0-1 1806 1891 20.0% 25.1% 55.0% -4.5 23
2009-01-11 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1757 1682 53.6% 25.8% 20.7% -1.5 26
2009-01-11 @ Leixoes D 0-0 1682 1757 20.7% 25.8% 53.6% +1.5 12
2009-01-11 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1695 1719 39.5% 30.3% 30.2% +6.2 16
2009-01-11 @ Naval 1 de Maio L 1-2 1719 1695 30.2% 30.3% 39.5% -6.2 14
2009-01-11 Nacional L 2-3 1692 1765 32.4% 30.6% 37.0% -6.2 12
2009-01-11 @ Pacos de Ferreira W 3-2 1765 1692 37.0% 30.6% 32.4% +6.2 24
2009-01-11 Trofense D 0-0 1917 1679 75.1% 12.8% 12.1% -2.9 28
2009-01-11 @ Porto D 0-0 1679 1917 12.1% 12.8% 75.1% +2.9 12
2009-01-11 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1654 1711 34.7% 30.7% 34.6% -7.3 10
2009-01-11 @ Rio Ave W 1-0 1711 1654 34.6% 30.7% 34.7% +7.3 13
2009-01-23 Benfica D 0-0 1718 1896 21.5% 26.5% 51.9% +1.4 14
2009-01-23 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1896 1718 51.9% 26.5% 21.5% -1.4 30
2009-01-23 Leixoes D 0-0 1781 1755 46.6% 28.6% 24.8% -1.0 23
2009-01-23 @ Maritimo D 0-0 1755 1781 24.8% 28.6% 46.6% +1.0 27
2009-01-24 Porto L 0-2 1802 1914 27.6% 29.7% 42.6% -11.5 23
2009-01-24 @ Braga W 2-0 1914 1802 42.6% 29.7% 27.6% +11.5 31
2009-01-24 Rio Ave W 2-0 1691 1647 49.2% 27.7% 23.1% +9.8 19
2009-01-24 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-2 1647 1691 23.1% 27.7% 49.2% -9.8 10
2009-01-24 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1772 1865 29.9% 30.3% 39.9% +0.4 25
2009-01-24 @ Nacional D 1-1 1865 1772 39.9% 30.3% 29.9% -0.4 30
2009-01-24 Pacos de Ferreira L 1-3 1682 1686 42.3% 29.8% 27.9% -13.7 12
2009-01-24 @ Trofense W 3-1 1686 1682 27.9% 29.8% 42.3% +13.7 15
2009-01-24 Naval 1 de Maio L 0-1 1683 1701 40.4% 30.2% 29.5% -8.1 12
2009-01-24 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1701 1683 29.5% 30.2% 40.4% +8.1 19
2009-01-25 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1712 1760 36.0% 30.6% 33.3% +6.7 17
2009-01-25 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1760 1712 33.3% 30.6% 36.0% -6.7 18
2009-01-30 Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-4 1675 1753 31.8% 30.5% 37.7% -10.0 12
2009-01-30 @ Vitoria Setubal W 4-2 1753 1675 37.7% 30.5% 31.8% +10.0 21
2009-01-31 Rio Ave W 1-0 1894 1637 77.3% 11.5% 11.3% +2.0 33
2009-01-31 @ Benfica L 0-1 1637 1894 11.3% 11.5% 77.3% -2.0 10
2009-01-31 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1668 1864 20.2% 25.3% 54.5% +1.6 13
2009-01-31 @ Trofense D 0-0 1864 1668 54.5% 25.3% 20.2% -1.6 31
2009-02-01 Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 2-2 1719 1701 45.6% 29.0% 25.5% -0.6 18
2009-02-01 @ Academica de Coimbra D 2-2 1701 1719 25.5% 29.0% 45.6% +0.6 20
2009-02-01 Porto L 1-3 1719 1926 19.5% 24.6% 56.0% -7.1 14
2009-02-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1926 1719 56.0% 24.6% 19.5% +7.1 34
2009-02-01 Pacos de Ferreira W 2-0 1790 1699 55.8% 24.6% 19.6% +8.2 26
2009-02-01 @ Braga L 0-2 1699 1790 19.6% 24.6% 55.8% -8.2 15
2009-02-01 Naval 1 de Maio W 1-0 1780 1709 53.0% 26.1% 21.0% +4.7 26
2009-02-01 @ Maritimo L 0-1 1709 1780 21.0% 26.1% 53.0% -4.7 19
2009-02-01 Leixoes D 0-0 1772 1756 45.2% 29.1% 25.7% -0.9 26
2009-02-01 @ Nacional D 0-0 1756 1772 25.7% 29.1% 45.2% +0.9 28
2009-02-06 Trofense W 2-0 1757 1670 55.3% 24.9% 19.8% +8.3 31
2009-02-06 @ Leixoes L 0-2 1670 1757 19.8% 24.9% 55.3% -8.3 13
2009-02-07 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1701 1665 48.1% 28.1% 23.8% -1.1 21
2009-02-07 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 0-0 1665 1701 23.8% 28.1% 48.1% +1.1 13
2009-02-08 Nacional L 0-4 1704 1771 33.3% 30.6% 36.0% -25.3 19
2009-02-08 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 4-0 1771 1704 36.0% 30.6% 33.3% +25.3 29
2009-02-08 Benfica D 1-1 1933 1896 48.1% 28.1% 23.8% -1.0 35
2009-02-08 @ Porto D 1-1 1896 1933 23.8% 28.1% 48.1% +1.0 34
2009-02-08 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1635 1718 31.1% 30.4% 38.5% +7.8 13
2009-02-08 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1718 1635 38.5% 30.4% 31.1% -7.8 18
2009-02-08 Braga L 2-3 1863 1798 52.1% 26.5% 21.4% -8.7 31
2009-02-08 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-2 1798 1863 21.4% 26.5% 52.1% +8.7 29
2009-02-08 Maritimo W 2-1 1763 1784 39.9% 30.3% 29.8% +6.1 24
2009-02-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1784 1763 29.8% 30.3% 39.9% -6.1 26
2009-02-09 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1691 1712 39.9% 30.3% 29.8% -0.4 16
2009-02-09 @ Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1712 1691 29.8% 30.3% 39.9% +0.4 15
2009-02-13 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1796 1770 46.8% 28.6% 24.6% +15.2 32
2009-02-13 @ Nacional L 0-3 1770 1796 24.6% 28.6% 46.8% -15.2 24
2009-02-14 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1713 1854 24.6% 28.6% 46.8% -5.2 15
2009-02-14 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1854 1713 46.8% 28.6% 24.6% +5.2 34
2009-02-14 Leixoes L 0-1 1807 1765 48.9% 27.8% 23.3% -9.3 29
2009-02-14 @ Braga W 1-0 1765 1807 23.3% 27.8% 48.9% +9.3 34
2009-02-14 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 1-0 1778 1700 54.0% 25.5% 20.4% +4.6 29
2009-02-14 @ Maritimo L 0-1 1700 1778 20.4% 25.5% 54.0% -4.6 21
2009-02-15 Pacos de Ferreira W 3-2 1897 1691 71.2% 15.3% 13.5% +2.3 37
2009-02-15 @ Benfica L 2-3 1691 1897 13.5% 15.3% 71.2% -2.3 16
2009-02-15 Rio Ave W 3-1 1932 1643 80.7% 9.3% 10.0% +2.8 38
2009-02-15 @ Porto L 1-3 1643 1932 10.0% 9.3% 80.7% -2.8 13
2009-02-15 Naval 1 de Maio D 2-2 1661 1679 40.3% 30.2% 29.5% -0.3 14
2009-02-15 @ Trofense D 2-2 1679 1661 29.5% 30.2% 40.3% +0.3 20
2009-02-16 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1666 1711 36.5% 30.6% 32.9% +6.6 16
2009-02-16 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1711 1666 32.9% 30.6% 36.5% -6.6 18
2009-02-20 Porto L 0-2 1688 1935 17.1% 21.5% 61.4% -6.9 16
2009-02-20 @ Pacos de Ferreira W 2-0 1935 1688 61.4% 21.5% 17.1% +6.9 41
2009-02-21 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1640 1673 38.2% 30.5% 31.4% +6.8 16
2009-02-21 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1673 1640 31.4% 30.5% 38.2% -6.8 16
2009-02-21 Benfica W 3-2 1859 1900 37.1% 30.6% 32.3% +6.2 37
2009-02-21 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1900 1859 32.3% 30.6% 37.1% -6.2 37
2009-02-22 Maritimo W 3-1 1704 1783 31.7% 30.5% 37.8% +12.6 21
2009-02-22 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1783 1704 37.8% 30.5% 31.7% -12.6 29
2009-02-22 Nacional W 1-0 1695 1812 27.2% 29.6% 43.2% +8.5 24
2009-02-22 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1812 1695 43.2% 29.6% 27.2% -8.5 32
2009-02-22 Braga L 1-2 1679 1798 27.0% 29.5% 43.5% -5.7 20
2009-02-22 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 2-1 1798 1679 43.5% 29.5% 27.0% +5.7 32
2009-02-22 Trofense L 0-1 1754 1661 56.1% 24.5% 19.4% -10.2 24
2009-02-22 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1661 1754 19.4% 24.5% 56.1% +10.2 17
2009-02-23 Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1775 1707 52.5% 26.3% 21.2% -1.0 35
2009-02-23 @ Leixoes D 2-2 1707 1775 21.2% 26.3% 52.5% +1.0 16
2009-02-27 Leixoes W 2-1 1893 1774 59.8% 22.4% 17.8% +3.6 40
2009-02-27 @ Benfica L 1-2 1774 1893 17.8% 22.4% 59.8% -3.6 35
2009-02-28 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1803 1717 55.2% 25.0% 19.9% +7.2 35
2009-02-28 @ Nacional L 1-3 1717 1803 19.9% 25.0% 55.2% -7.2 21
2009-02-28 Rio Ave W 2-0 1682 1647 47.9% 28.2% 23.9% +10.2 19
2009-02-28 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 0-2 1647 1682 23.9% 28.2% 47.9% -10.2 16
2009-02-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1942 1865 53.8% 25.7% 20.6% -1.5 42
2009-02-28 @ Porto D 0-0 1865 1942 20.6% 25.7% 53.8% +1.5 38
2009-03-01 Naval 1 de Maio L 1-2 1708 1674 47.9% 28.2% 23.9% -8.6 16
2009-03-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1674 1708 23.9% 28.2% 47.9% +8.6 23
2009-03-01 Vitoria Setubal W 5-1 1770 1666 57.6% 23.7% 18.7% +12.3 32
2009-03-01 @ Maritimo L 1-5 1666 1770 18.7% 23.7% 57.6% -12.3 16
2009-03-01 Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 1-1 1671 1704 38.2% 30.5% 31.3% -0.3 18
2009-03-01 @ Trofense D 1-1 1704 1671 31.3% 30.5% 38.2% +0.3 25
2009-03-02 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1803 1744 51.4% 26.8% 21.8% +4.9 35
2009-03-02 @ Braga L 0-1 1744 1803 21.8% 26.8% 51.4% -4.9 24
2009-03-06 Maritimo D 1-1 1636 1783 24.2% 28.3% 47.5% +0.9 17
2009-03-06 @ Rio Ave D 1-1 1783 1636 47.5% 28.3% 24.2% -0.9 33
2009-03-07 Porto L 1-4 1770 1940 22.1% 27.0% 50.9% -11.5 35
2009-03-07 @ Leixoes W 4-1 1940 1770 50.9% 27.0% 22.1% +11.5 45
2009-03-07 Pacos de Ferreira W 2-0 1867 1692 67.2% 17.9% 14.9% +5.7 41
2009-03-07 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1692 1867 14.9% 17.9% 67.2% -5.7 19
2009-03-08 Trofense W 1-0 1709 1671 48.4% 28.0% 23.6% +5.3 24
2009-03-08 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1671 1709 23.6% 28.0% 48.4% -5.3 18
2009-03-08 Braga D 2-2 1704 1808 28.6% 30.0% 41.4% +0.4 26
2009-03-08 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 2-2 1808 1704 41.4% 30.0% 28.6% -0.4 36
2009-03-08 Benfica L 1-2 1682 1897 18.9% 24.0% 57.1% -3.9 23
2009-03-08 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 2-1 1897 1682 57.1% 24.0% 18.9% +3.9 43
2009-03-08 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1739 1700 48.5% 28.0% 23.5% +8.6 27
2009-03-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1700 1739 23.5% 28.0% 48.5% -8.6 16
2009-03-09 Nacional W 2-0 1654 1810 23.3% 27.8% 48.9% +17.5 19
2009-03-09 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1810 1654 48.9% 27.8% 23.3% -17.5 35
2009-03-13 Leixoes W 4-0 1686 1758 32.6% 30.6% 36.9% +27.2 22
2009-03-13 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 0-4 1758 1686 36.9% 30.6% 32.6% -27.2 35
2009-03-14 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1901 1748 64.3% 19.7% 16.0% -11.2 43
2009-03-14 @ Benfica W 1-0 1748 1901 16.0% 19.7% 64.3% +11.2 30
2009-03-14 Rio Ave W 2-0 1873 1637 74.7% 13.1% 12.2% +4.3 44
2009-03-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1637 1873 12.2% 13.1% 74.7% -4.3 17
2009-03-15 Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 2-2 1691 1705 41.0% 30.1% 28.9% -0.4 17
2009-03-15 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 2-2 1705 1691 28.9% 30.1% 41.0% +0.4 27
2009-03-15 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1808 1715 56.1% 24.5% 19.4% -1.5 37
2009-03-15 @ Braga D 1-1 1715 1808 19.4% 24.5% 56.1% +1.5 25
2009-03-15 Naval 1 de Maio W 2-0 1952 1678 79.0% 10.3% 10.7% +3.6 48
2009-03-15 @ Porto L 0-2 1678 1952 10.7% 10.3% 79.0% -3.6 23
2009-03-15 Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1666 1671 42.1% 29.9% 28.0% -8.3 18
2009-03-15 @ Trofense W 1-0 1671 1666 28.0% 29.9% 42.1% +8.3 22
2009-03-16 Maritimo D 1-1 1793 1782 44.5% 29.3% 26.2% -0.7 36
2009-03-16 @ Nacional D 1-1 1782 1793 26.2% 29.3% 44.5% +0.7 34
2009-04-03 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1716 1691 46.6% 28.6% 24.8% +5.6 28
2009-04-03 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1691 1716 24.8% 28.6% 46.6% -5.6 17
2009-04-04 Porto L 1-3 1759 1955 20.2% 25.3% 54.5% -7.4 30
2009-04-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-1 1955 1759 54.5% 25.3% 20.2% +7.4 51
2009-04-05 Benfica L 1-2 1705 1890 21.0% 26.1% 52.9% -4.5 27
2009-04-05 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 2-1 1890 1705 52.9% 26.1% 21.0% +4.4 46
2009-04-05 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1731 1877 24.2% 28.4% 47.4% -5.5 35
2009-04-05 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1877 1731 47.4% 28.4% 24.2% +5.5 47
2009-04-05 Trofense D 1-1 1782 1657 60.5% 22.0% 17.5% -1.8 35
2009-04-05 @ Maritimo D 1-1 1657 1782 17.5% 22.0% 60.5% +1.8 19
2009-04-05 Pacos de Ferreira D 0-0 1675 1713 37.4% 30.6% 32.0% -0.2 24
2009-04-05 @ Naval 1 de Maio D 0-0 1713 1675 32.0% 30.6% 37.4% +0.2 23
2009-04-05 Braga L 0-3 1680 1806 26.1% 29.2% 44.7% -16.0 22
2009-04-05 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-0 1806 1680 44.7% 29.2% 26.1% +16.0 40
2009-04-06 Nacional L 0-3 1633 1792 23.1% 27.7% 49.3% -14.2 17
2009-04-06 @ Rio Ave W 3-0 1792 1633 49.3% 27.7% 23.1% +14.2 39
2009-04-10 Maritimo D 1-1 1822 1781 48.9% 27.8% 23.3% -1.0 41
2009-04-10 @ Braga D 1-1 1781 1822 23.3% 27.8% 48.9% +1.0 36
2009-04-10 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1713 1752 37.4% 30.6% 32.0% -0.2 24
2009-04-10 @ Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1752 1713 32.0% 30.6% 37.4% +0.2 31
2009-04-11 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1685 1664 46.0% 28.8% 25.2% +5.3 20
2009-04-11 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-2 1664 1685 25.2% 28.8% 46.0% -5.3 22
2009-04-11 Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1894 1722 66.8% 18.1% 15.0% -11.5 46
2009-04-11 @ Benfica W 1-0 1722 1894 15.0% 18.1% 66.8% +11.5 31
2009-04-11 Rio Ave W 1-0 1726 1619 58.0% 23.4% 18.5% +4.1 38
2009-04-11 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1619 1726 18.5% 23.4% 58.0% -4.1 17
2009-04-11 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 3-0 1963 1701 77.8% 11.1% 11.1% +5.5 54
2009-04-11 @ Porto L 0-3 1701 1963 11.1% 11.1% 77.8% -5.5 27
2009-04-11 Naval 1 de Maio W 3-1 1882 1675 71.4% 15.2% 13.4% +4.2 50
2009-04-11 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1675 1882 13.4% 15.2% 71.4% -4.2 24
2009-04-13 Nacional L 1-2 1659 1806 24.1% 28.3% 47.6% -5.1 19
2009-04-13 @ Trofense W 2-1 1806 1659 47.6% 28.3% 24.1% +5.1 42
2009-04-17 Pacos de Ferreira L 0-2 1695 1713 40.3% 30.2% 29.5% -15.2 27
2009-04-17 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 2-0 1713 1695 29.5% 30.2% 40.3% +15.2 27
2009-04-18 Braga D 1-1 1811 1821 41.5% 30.0% 28.5% -0.5 43
2009-04-18 @ Nacional D 1-1 1821 1811 28.5% 30.0% 41.5% +0.5 42
2009-04-18 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1752 1887 25.3% 28.9% 45.8% -5.3 31
2009-04-18 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1887 1752 45.8% 28.9% 25.3% +5.3 53
2009-04-19 Porto L 0-3 1733 1968 17.8% 22.4% 59.9% -10.5 31
2009-04-19 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1968 1733 59.9% 22.4% 17.8% +10.5 57
2009-04-19 Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1782 1691 55.8% 24.6% 19.6% -1.5 37
2009-04-19 @ Maritimo D 1-1 1691 1782 19.6% 24.6% 55.8% +1.5 21
2009-04-19 Trofense W 2-1 1615 1654 37.3% 30.6% 32.1% +6.5 20
2009-04-19 @ Rio Ave L 1-2 1654 1615 32.1% 30.6% 37.3% -6.5 19
2009-04-19 Benfica L 0-4 1658 1883 18.4% 23.2% 58.4% -14.4 22
2009-04-19 @ Vitoria Setubal W 4-0 1883 1658 58.4% 23.2% 18.4% +14.4 49
2009-04-20 Leixoes W 1-0 1670 1730 34.4% 30.7% 35.0% +7.3 27
2009-04-20 @ Naval 1 de Maio L 0-1 1730 1670 35.0% 30.7% 34.4% -7.3 38
2009-04-24 Trofense W 1-0 1822 1647 67.1% 18.0% 14.9% +3.0 45
2009-04-24 @ Braga L 0-1 1647 1822 14.9% 18.0% 67.1% -3.0 19
2009-04-25 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 2-1 1892 1680 71.9% 14.9% 13.2% +2.4 56
2009-04-25 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1680 1892 13.2% 14.9% 71.9% -2.4 27
2009-04-26 Nacional L 1-2 1692 1811 26.9% 29.5% 43.6% -5.6 21
2009-04-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1811 1692 43.6% 29.5% 26.9% +5.6 46
2009-04-26 Maritimo W 3-2 1897 1780 59.4% 22.7% 17.9% +3.5 52
2009-04-26 @ Benfica L 2-3 1780 1897 17.9% 22.7% 59.4% -3.5 37
2009-04-26 Rio Ave L 0-1 1678 1621 51.0% 27.0% 22.1% -9.6 27
2009-04-26 @ Naval 1 de Maio W 1-0 1621 1678 22.1% 27.0% 51.0% +9.6 23
2009-04-26 Vitoria Setubal W 2-0 1979 1644 85.0% 6.7% 8.3% +2.6 60
2009-04-26 @ Porto L 0-2 1644 1979 8.3% 6.7% 85.0% -2.6 22
2009-04-27 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1723 1747 39.5% 30.3% 30.2% -0.3 39
2009-04-27 @ Leixoes D 2-2 1747 1723 30.2% 30.3% 39.5% +0.3 32
2009-04-27 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1728 1723 43.7% 29.5% 26.8% -0.7 28
2009-04-27 @ Pacos de Ferreira D 1-1 1723 1728 26.8% 29.5% 43.7% +0.7 32
2009-05-01 Braga D 0-0 1631 1825 20.3% 25.4% 54.2% +1.6 24
2009-05-01 @ Rio Ave D 0-0 1825 1631 54.2% 25.4% 20.3% -1.6 46
2009-05-02 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1723 1894 22.1% 27.0% 51.0% +1.3 33
2009-05-02 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1894 1723 51.0% 27.0% 22.1% -1.3 57
2009-05-02 Benfica W 3-1 1817 1901 31.0% 30.4% 38.6% +12.8 49
2009-05-02 @ Nacional L 1-3 1901 1817 38.6% 30.4% 31.0% -12.8 52
2009-05-03 Leixoes W 2-1 1677 1722 36.4% 30.6% 32.9% +6.6 30
2009-05-03 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 1-2 1722 1677 32.9% 30.6% 36.4% -6.6 39
2009-05-03 Porto L 0-3 1777 1981 19.6% 24.7% 55.7% -11.9 37
2009-05-03 @ Maritimo W 3-0 1981 1777 55.7% 24.7% 19.6% +11.9 63
2009-05-03 Naval 1 de Maio W 1-0 1747 1668 54.1% 25.5% 20.4% +4.6 35
2009-05-03 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1668 1747 20.4% 25.5% 54.1% -4.6 27
2009-05-03 Pacos de Ferreira W 2-1 1641 1728 30.7% 30.4% 38.9% +7.4 25
2009-05-03 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1728 1641 38.9% 30.4% 30.7% -7.4 28
2009-05-04 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1644 1686 36.9% 30.6% 32.6% +6.6 22
2009-05-04 @ Trofense L 1-2 1686 1644 32.6% 30.6% 36.9% -6.5 21
2009-05-08 Rio Ave L 0-1 1751 1632 59.7% 22.5% 17.8% -10.7 35
2009-05-08 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1632 1751 17.8% 22.5% 59.7% +10.7 27
2009-05-09 Trofense D 2-2 1888 1651 74.9% 13.0% 12.1% -1.9 53
2009-05-09 @ Benfica D 2-2 1651 1888 12.1% 13.0% 74.9% +1.9 23
2009-05-09 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1893 1649 75.8% 12.4% 11.8% +2.1 60
2009-05-09 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1649 1893 11.8% 12.4% 75.8% -2.0 25
2009-05-10 Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1716 1725 41.6% 30.0% 28.4% -8.3 39
2009-05-10 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1725 1716 28.4% 30.0% 41.6% +8.3 36
2009-05-10 Estrela da Amadora (1st) D 0-0 1664 1684 40.0% 30.2% 29.8% -0.4 28
2009-05-10 @ Naval 1 de Maio D 0-0 1684 1664 29.8% 30.2% 40.0% +0.4 31
2009-05-10 Maritimo W 2-1 1720 1765 36.5% 30.6% 32.9% +6.6 31
2009-05-10 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 1-2 1765 1720 32.9% 30.6% 36.5% -6.6 37
2009-05-10 Nacional W 1-0 1993 1829 65.7% 18.9% 15.4% +3.2 66
2009-05-10 @ Porto L 0-1 1829 1993 15.4% 18.9% 65.7% -3.2 49
2009-05-11 Braga L 0-5 1680 1823 24.4% 28.5% 47.1% -24.3 21
2009-05-11 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 5-0 1823 1680 47.1% 28.5% 24.4% +24.2 49
2009-05-16 Naval 1 de Maio W 3-1 1733 1663 52.9% 26.1% 21.0% +7.7 39
2009-05-16 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1663 1733 21.0% 26.1% 52.9% -7.7 28
2009-05-16 Rio Ave W 1-0 1656 1643 44.7% 29.2% 26.1% +5.8 24
2009-05-16 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1643 1656 26.1% 29.2% 44.7% -5.8 27
2009-05-16 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1684 1741 34.8% 30.7% 34.5% +7.2 34
2009-05-16 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) L 0-1 1741 1684 34.5% 30.7% 34.8% -7.2 35
2009-05-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1758 1895 25.1% 28.8% 46.2% -5.3 37
2009-05-16 @ Maritimo W 2-1 1895 1758 46.2% 28.8% 25.1% +5.3 63
2009-05-16 Porto L 1-4 1653 1996 12.5% 13.6% 74.0% -5.4 23
2009-05-16 @ Trofense W 4-1 1996 1653 74.0% 13.6% 12.5% +5.4 69
2009-05-16 Leixoes L 0-1 1647 1707 34.2% 30.7% 35.2% -7.2 25
2009-05-16 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1707 1647 35.2% 30.7% 34.2% +7.2 42
2009-05-17 Benfica L 1-3 1848 1886 37.4% 30.6% 32.0% -12.5 49
2009-05-17 @ Braga W 3-1 1886 1848 32.0% 30.6% 37.4% +12.5 56
2009-05-17 Pacos de Ferreira W 1-0 1826 1727 57.0% 24.0% 19.0% +4.2 52
2009-05-17 @ Nacional L 0-1 1727 1826 19.0% 24.0% 57.0% -4.2 31
2009-05-23 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1898 1661 74.9% 13.0% 12.1% +3.7 59
2009-05-23 @ Benfica L 1-3 1661 1898 12.1% 13.0% 74.9% -3.7 24
2009-05-23 Maritimo W 1-0 1715 1753 37.4% 30.6% 32.0% +6.9 45
2009-05-23 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1753 1715 32.0% 30.6% 37.4% -6.9 37
2009-05-23 Vitoria Setubal D 2-2 1655 1640 45.2% 29.1% 25.7% -0.6 29
2009-05-23 @ Naval 1 de Maio D 2-2 1640 1655 25.7% 29.1% 45.2% +0.6 26
2009-05-23 Trofense W 1-0 1723 1647 53.6% 25.8% 20.6% +4.6 34
2009-05-23 @ Pacos de Ferreira L 0-1 1647 1723 20.6% 25.8% 53.6% -4.6 23
2009-05-23 Estrela da Amadora (1st) W 2-1 1637 1692 35.1% 30.7% 34.3% +6.8 30
2009-05-23 @ Rio Ave L 1-2 1692 1637 34.3% 30.7% 35.1% -6.8 34
2009-05-23 Academica de Coimbra W 3-2 1733 1741 41.9% 29.9% 28.2% +5.6 38
2009-05-23 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 2-3 1741 1733 28.2% 29.9% 41.9% -5.6 39
2009-05-24 Braga D 1-1 2002 1835 66.1% 18.6% 15.3% -2.1 70
2009-05-24 @ Porto D 1-1 1835 2002 15.3% 18.6% 66.1% +2.1 50
2009-05-24 Nacional W 3-1 1900 1830 52.9% 26.1% 21.0% +7.7 66
2009-05-24 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1830 1900 21.0% 26.1% 52.9% -7.7 52

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-04-11 15.02% Academica de Coimbra 1722 1 @ Benfica 1894 0
2 2008-10-25 15.28% Leixoes 1734 3 @ Porto 1901 2
3 2009-03-14 15.97% Vitoria Guimaraes 1748 1 @ Benfica 1901 0
4 2009-01-04 16.68% @ Trofense 1658 2 Benfica 1912 0
5 2009-05-08 17.82% Rio Ave 1632 1 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1751 0
6 2009-02-22 19.39% Trofense 1661 1 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1754 0
7 2008-11-15 19.97% Leixoes 1749 1 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1834 0
8 2008-10-31 20.30% Trofense 1646 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1726 0
9 2009-02-08 21.45% Braga 1798 3 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1863 2
10 2008-09-28 21.57% Estrela da Amadora (1st) 1717 2 @ Nacional 1780 1
11 2008-11-01 21.85% @ Naval 1 de Maio 1717 1 Porto 1891 0
12 2009-04-26 22.07% Rio Ave 1621 1 @ Naval 1 de Maio 1678 0
13 2009-03-09 23.26% @ Vitoria Setubal 1654 2 Nacional 1810 0
14 2009-02-14 23.28% Leixoes 1765 1 @ Braga 1807 0
15 2009-03-01 23.92% Naval 1 de Maio 1674 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1708 1
16 2008-09-29 24.57% Leixoes 1724 1 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1752 0
17 2008-09-22 26.10% Nacional 1763 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1775 0
18 2009-02-22 27.21% @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) 1695 1 Nacional 1812 0
19 2008-09-01 27.46% Vitoria Guimaraes 1767 1 @ Maritimo 1766 0
20 2009-01-24 27.86% Pacos de Ferreira 1686 3 @ Trofense 1682 1
21 2009-03-15 28.04% Vitoria Setubal 1671 1 @ Trofense 1666 0
22 2009-05-10 28.42% Academica de Coimbra 1725 1 @ Leixoes 1716 0
23 2009-01-24 29.46% Naval 1 de Maio 1701 1 @ Vitoria Setubal 1683 0
24 2009-04-17 29.49% Pacos de Ferreira 1713 2 @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) 1695 0
25 2008-10-07 30.09% Maritimo 1769 2 @ Vitoria Setubal 1746 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2008-12-07 37.54 Benfica 6 1877 35.36% @ Maritimo 0 1815 33.98%
2 2009-03-13 27.15 @ Pacos de Ferreira 4 1686 32.55% Leixoes 0 1758 36.86%
3 2009-02-08 25.30 Nacional 4 1771 36.04% @ Naval 1 de Maio 0 1704 33.33%
4 2008-10-27 24.28 @ Braga 5 1759 47.04% Estrela da Amadora (1st) 0 1731 24.47%
5 2009-05-11 24.26 Braga 5 1823 47.09% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1680 24.44%
6 2009-01-04 20.74 @ Trofense 2 1658 16.68% Benfica 0 1912 62.47%
7 2008-10-31 18.86 Trofense 2 1646 20.30% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1726 54.28%
8 2009-03-09 17.52 @ Vitoria Setubal 2 1654 23.26% Nacional 0 1810 48.94%
9 2008-09-22 16.41 Nacional 2 1763 26.10% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1775 44.67%
10 2009-04-05 15.97 Braga 3 1806 44.71% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1680 26.07%
11 2009-04-17 15.25 Pacos de Ferreira 2 1713 29.49% @ Estrela da Amadora (1st) 0 1695 40.31%
12 2009-02-13 15.18 @ Nacional 3 1796 46.78% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1770 24.64%
13 2008-10-07 15.05 Maritimo 2 1769 30.09% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1746 39.61%
14 2009-04-19 14.38 Benfica 4 1883 58.44% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1658 18.35%
15 2009-04-06 14.24 Nacional 3 1792 49.29% @ Rio Ave 0 1633 23.05%
16 2008-09-21 13.93 @ Leixoes 2 1710 33.85% Braga 0 1773 35.49%
17 2008-08-23 13.89 Braga 2 1767 34.03% @ Pacos de Ferreira 0 1714 35.31%
18 2008-12-07 13.89 @ Rio Ave 2 1654 34.03% Naval 1 de Maio 0 1715 35.31%
19 2009-01-24 13.67 Pacos de Ferreira 3 1686 27.86% @ Trofense 1 1682 42.33%
20 2008-12-06 13.43 Porto 3 1892 51.48% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1717 21.78%
21 2008-11-29 13.39 Maritimo 2 1801 35.84% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1736 33.52%
22 2008-11-24 13.30 @ Vitoria Setubal 2 1702 36.14% Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1749 33.23%
23 2008-08-24 12.81 Nacional 3 1745 30.91% @ Leixoes 1 1716 38.65%
24 2009-05-02 12.79 @ Nacional 3 1817 31.01% Benfica 1 1901 38.55%
25 2009-02-22 12.61 @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1704 31.69% Maritimo 1 1783 37.79%