1986-87 Primeira Divisão Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Benfica

49 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Benfica

7.22 points above expected

49 points · 41.78 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

O Elvas

9.70 points below expected

14 points · 23.70 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Benfica 30 20 9 1 49 51 23 +28 41.78 +7.22
2 Porto 30 20 6 4 46 67 22 +45 43.37 +2.63
3 Vitoria Guimaraes 30 14 13 3 41 45 22 +23 36.23 +4.77
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 30 15 8 7 38 52 28 +24 40.45 -2.45
5 Chaves 30 13 7 10 33 39 38 +1 27.29 +5.71
6 Os Belenenses (1st) 30 13 4 13 30 52 40 +12 30.18 -0.18
7 Varzim 30 8 13 9 29 24 29 -5 25.16 +3.84
8 Boavista 30 9 9 12 27 34 36 -2 31.41 -4.41
9 Braga 30 10 6 14 26 32 34 -2 28.50 -2.50
10 Academica de Coimbra 30 7 12 11 26 22 34 -12 27.05 -1.05
11 Portimonense 30 8 10 12 26 27 47 -20 26.58 -0.58
12 Rio Ave 30 8 9 13 25 33 40 -7 26.00 -1.00
13 Maritimo 30 9 7 14 25 34 49 -15 25.87 -0.87
14 Salgueiros 30 6 12 12 24 22 40 -18 24.24 -0.24
15 Farense 30 7 7 16 21 33 47 -14 22.21 -1.21
16 O Elvas 30 3 8 19 14 16 54 -38 23.70 -9.70

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Porto 2004 46 43.37 +2.63 80.5% 30 37 41 43 46 49 55
Benfica 1995 49 41.78 +7.22 98.3% 22 35 39 42 44 48 56
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1941 38 40.45 -2.45 30.3% 28 34 38 40 43 47 53
Vitoria Guimaraes 1861 41 36.23 +4.77 90.7% 22 30 34 36 39 43 50
Os Belenenses (1st) 1746 30 30.18 -0.18 53.0% 16 24 27 30 33 37 44
Boavista 1743 27 31.41 -4.41 16.2% 17 25 29 31 34 38 45
Braga 1720 26 28.50 -2.50 30.6% 14 22 26 28 31 35 45
Chaves 1714 33 27.29 +5.71 94.3% 12 21 25 27 30 34 43
Rio Ave 1675 25 26.00 -1.00 45.2% 11 19 23 26 29 33 43
Academica de Coimbra 1667 26 27.05 -1.05 44.8% 12 21 24 27 30 34 43
Maritimo 1653 25 25.87 -0.87 46.0% 11 19 23 26 28 32 42
Portimonense 1651 26 26.58 -0.58 49.2% 12 20 24 27 29 33 40
Varzim 1644 29 25.16 +3.84 86.5% 11 19 22 25 28 32 42
Farense 1623 21 22.21 -1.21 43.2% 8 16 19 22 25 29 37
Salgueiros 1613 24 24.24 -0.24 52.9% 11 18 22 24 27 30 37
O Elvas 1529 14 23.70 -9.70 0.7% 10 17 21 24 26 30 38

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC BEN BOA BRA CHA FAR MAR OE OB( POR POR RA SAL SCDP VAR VG
Academica de Coimbra
0-1-1
1.20
1-1-0
2.25
0-2-0
2.57
1-1-0
2.57
2-0-0
3.13
0-1-1
2.82
0-2-0
3.07
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.34
1-0-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.98
0-1-1
1.53
0-1-1
2.90
0-1-1
1.81
Benfica
1-1-0
4.30
2-0-0
3.65
1-1-0
4.12
1-1-0
4.11
2-0-0
4.51
1-1-0
4.15
2-0-0
4.18
1-1-0
3.99
1-1-0
4.15
1-1-0
2.45
2-0-0
4.37
1-1-0
4.39
1-0-1
2.89
1-1-0
4.24
2-0-0
3.24
Boavista
0-1-1
3.16
0-0-2
1.78
1-1-0
3.01
0-0-2
3.13
0-2-0
3.69
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
3.38
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.07
0-1-1
1.49
1-0-1
3.26
1-0-1
3.44
0-1-1
1.93
1-1-0
3.20
0-1-1
2.28
Braga
0-2-0
2.84
0-1-1
1.36
0-1-1
2.40
2-0-0
2.78
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
2.78
2-0-0
3.36
0-0-2
2.50
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
1.26
1-0-1
2.95
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
1.57
1-0-1
2.96
0-0-2
2.24
Chaves
0-1-1
2.83
0-1-1
1.39
2-0-0
2.28
0-0-2
2.61
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
2.83
2-0-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.45
0-2-0
2.84
0-0-2
1.22
1-0-1
2.97
1-1-0
3.02
1-0-1
1.44
1-1-0
2.82
0-1-1
1.83
Farense
0-0-2
2.28
0-0-2
1.02
0-2-0
1.76
1-0-1
2.09
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.31
1-1-0
2.49
0-1-1
1.93
1-0-1
2.26
1-0-1
0.87
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.59
1-0-1
1.06
0-0-2
2.42
0-1-1
1.58
Maritimo
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
1.35
0-1-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.62
0-0-2
2.59
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
2.29
0-1-1
2.58
0-0-2
1.14
1-1-0
2.56
2-0-0
2.73
1-0-1
1.42
0-1-1
2.81
0-0-2
1.69
O Elvas
0-2-0
2.33
0-0-2
1.35
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-2
2.05
0-0-2
2.47
0-1-1
2.91
1-0-1
2.60
0-0-2
2.00
0-1-1
2.43
0-0-2
0.87
1-1-0
2.43
0-1-1
2.68
0-0-2
1.22
0-1-1
2.65
0-1-1
1.37
Os Belenenses (1st)
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-1
1.48
0-0-2
2.64
2-0-0
2.90
0-0-2
2.96
1-1-0
3.49
0-0-2
3.14
2-0-0
3.41
2-0-0
2.87
0-0-2
1.77
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-1
1.82
1-0-1
3.31
1-1-0
2.14
Portimonense
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
1.36
1-0-1
2.35
1-0-1
2.47
0-2-0
2.57
1-0-1
3.16
1-1-0
2.81
1-1-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.54
1-0-1
1.06
0-1-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.98
0-1-1
1.37
1-1-0
2.81
0-1-1
1.68
Porto
2-0-0
4.17
0-1-1
2.96
1-1-0
3.99
2-0-0
4.24
2-0-0
4.28
1-0-1
4.71
2-0-0
4.39
2-0-0
4.72
2-0-0
3.71
1-0-1
4.46
1-1-0
4.25
2-0-0
4.53
1-0-1
3.02
1-1-0
4.49
0-2-0
3.41
Rio Ave
1-0-1
2.55
0-0-2
1.14
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
2.46
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.85
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.65
0-1-1
1.26
1-1-0
2.85
0-2-0
1.39
0-1-1
2.81
0-0-2
1.76
Salgueiros
1-1-0
2.43
0-1-1
1.15
1-0-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.28
0-1-1
2.39
1-1-0
2.82
0-0-2
2.66
1-1-0
2.73
0-1-1
2.37
1-1-0
2.43
0-0-2
1.01
0-1-1
2.55
0-1-1
1.24
1-1-0
2.62
0-1-1
1.45
Sporting Clube de Portugal
1-1-0
3.94
1-0-1
2.52
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.89
1-0-1
4.04
1-0-1
4.48
1-0-1
4.07
2-0-0
4.31
1-0-1
3.63
1-1-0
4.12
1-0-1
2.39
0-2-0
4.10
1-1-0
4.26
1-1-0
4.24
0-1-1
3.20
Varzim
1-1-0
2.50
0-1-1
1.26
0-1-1
2.23
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.59
2-0-0
2.98
1-1-0
2.59
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-1
1.05
1-1-0
2.58
0-1-1
2.80
0-1-1
1.26
0-2-0
1.76
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-1-0
3.63
0-0-2
2.18
1-1-0
3.13
2-0-0
3.20
1-1-0
3.60
1-1-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.75
1-1-0
4.08
0-1-1
3.28
1-1-0
3.76
0-2-0
2.02
2-0-0
3.70
1-1-0
4.01
1-1-0
2.22
0-2-0
3.69

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.70 +5.6
Allowed 0.76 -8.2
Differential 0.88 +4.1

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.08%8.12%8.33%2.71%1.46%0.62%33.33%
18.12%13.75%5.62%4.17%0.62%1.25%33.54%
28.33%5.62%3.33%1.88%0.42%19.58%
32.71%4.17%1.88%0.21%8.96%
41.46%0.62%0.42%2.50%
5+0.62%1.25%0.21%2.08%
Total33.33%33.54%19.58%8.96%2.50%2.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.25 1.25 1.84
CV 1.03 1.03
Max 8 8 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%3.33%16.67%3.33%3.33%46.67%
16.67%20.00%3.33%6.67%36.67%
210.00%3.33%13.33%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total36.67%30.00%20.00%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.13 -0.40
SD 0.83 1.14 1.54
CV 1.13 1.00
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%
110.00%13.33%3.33%26.67%
226.67%13.33%6.67%46.67%
33.33%13.33%16.67%
4
5+
Total50.00%40.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 0.77 +0.93
SD 0.88 1.33 1.60
CV 0.52 1.74
Max 3 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%13.33%33.33%
113.33%13.33%6.67%6.67%40.00%
26.67%3.33%6.67%16.67%
33.33%3.33%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total30.00%33.33%23.33%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.20 -0.07
SD 1.22 1.03 1.57
CV 1.08 0.86
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%23.33%6.67%3.33%43.33%
110.00%6.67%3.33%20.00%
26.67%13.33%3.33%23.33%
310.00%3.33%13.33%
4
5+
Total26.67%50.00%13.33%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.13 -0.07
SD 1.11 1.07 1.70
CV 1.04 0.95
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%26.67%
113.33%6.67%13.33%6.67%40.00%
23.33%6.67%3.33%13.33%
310.00%6.67%16.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total33.33%23.33%30.00%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.27 +0.03
SD 1.15 1.14 1.71
CV 0.88 0.90
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%13.33%10.00%3.33%40.00%
16.67%6.67%6.67%3.33%3.33%26.67%
23.33%6.67%3.33%10.00%23.33%
33.33%3.33%
46.67%6.67%
5+
Total30.00%26.67%20.00%16.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.57 -0.47
SD 1.18 1.70 1.87
CV 1.08 1.08
Max 4 8 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%16.67%3.33%36.67%
16.67%10.00%6.67%3.33%6.67%33.33%
26.67%3.33%6.67%16.67%
33.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total23.33%30.00%26.67%10.00%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.13 1.63 -0.50
SD 1.22 1.50 2.06
CV 1.08 0.92
Max 5 6 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%50.00%
16.67%16.67%6.67%10.00%6.67%46.67%
23.33%3.33%
3
4
5+
Total20.00%30.00%23.33%16.67%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.53 1.80 -1.27
SD 0.57 1.56 1.68
CV 1.07 0.87
Max 2 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%3.33%6.67%30.00%
13.33%6.67%6.67%6.67%23.33%
210.00%3.33%3.33%16.67%
33.33%6.67%3.33%13.33%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+3.33%6.67%10.00%
Total26.67%36.67%16.67%16.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.33 +0.40
SD 1.66 1.15 2.18
CV 0.96 0.87
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%6.67%40.00%
110.00%20.00%6.67%3.33%40.00%
26.67%3.33%10.00%
33.33%6.67%10.00%
4
5+
Total33.33%23.33%20.00%10.00%3.33%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.57 -0.67
SD 0.96 1.61 2.04
CV 1.07 1.03
Max 3 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
113.33%3.33%3.33%20.00%
210.00%6.67%10.00%26.67%
313.33%6.67%20.00%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+6.67%3.33%10.00%
Total53.33%26.67%13.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 0.73 +1.50
SD 1.85 0.94 2.00
CV 0.83 1.29
Max 8 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%10.00%3.33%36.67%
16.67%13.33%6.67%6.67%33.33%
23.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%16.67%
33.33%6.67%10.00%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total23.33%33.33%30.00%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.10 1.33 -0.23
SD 1.12 0.99 1.48
CV 1.02 0.75
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%10.00%53.33%
113.33%6.67%3.33%23.33%
26.67%10.00%3.33%20.00%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total30.00%33.33%20.00%6.67%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.33 -0.60
SD 0.91 1.27 1.67
CV 1.24 0.95
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%6.67%16.67%
110.00%16.67%10.00%3.33%40.00%
213.33%6.67%3.33%23.33%
36.67%3.33%10.00%
43.33%3.33%
5+6.67%6.67%
Total36.67%36.67%23.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 0.93 +0.80
SD 1.64 0.87 1.90
CV 0.95 0.93
Max 7 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%40.00%
110.00%23.33%6.67%3.33%43.33%
26.67%6.67%13.33%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total36.67%40.00%16.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.80 0.97 -0.17
SD 0.81 1.00 1.23
CV 1.01 1.03
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%13.33%
113.33%26.67%3.33%43.33%
216.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%30.00%
36.67%6.67%
43.33%3.33%6.67%
5+
Total43.33%43.33%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.73 +0.77
SD 1.04 0.78 1.22
CV 0.69 1.07
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Benfica 49 41.78 +7.22
2 Chaves 33 27.29 +5.71
3 Vitoria Guimaraes 41 36.23 +4.77
4 Varzim 29 25.16 +3.84
5 Porto 46 43.37 +2.63

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 O Elvas 14 23.70 -9.70
2 Boavista 27 31.41 -4.41
3 Braga 26 28.50 -2.50
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 38 40.45 -2.45
5 Farense 21 22.21 -1.21

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Chaves 4 Sep 14 – Oct 5 1 in 125
2 Os Belenenses (1st) 4 Aug 24 – Sep 14 1 in 95
3 Porto 6 Sep 21 – Nov 9 1 in 43
4 Boavista 3 Jan 25 – Feb 22 1 in 43
5 Maritimo 3 Mar 1 – Mar 22 1 in 22

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Os Belenenses (1st) 3 Oct 19 – Nov 9 1 in 111
2 Braga 6 Sep 28 – Nov 16 1 in 96
3 O Elvas 5 Apr 26 – May 31 1 in 26
4 Boavista 2 Sep 6 – Sep 14 1 in 24
5 Portimonense 2 Aug 23 – Aug 31 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Varzim 13 Nov 16 – Mar 22 1 in 4,228
2 Vitoria Guimaraes 14 Oct 19 – Feb 28 1 in 50
3 Maritimo 6 Sep 28 – Nov 16 1 in 44
4 Benfica 16 Dec 28 – May 31 1 in 19
5 Porto 15 Aug 24 – Dec 28 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 O Elvas 18 Sep 21 – Mar 15 1 in 301
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 6 Dec 28 – Feb 22 1 in 129
3 Varzim 14 Jan 4 – May 24 1 in 120
4 Farense 12 Aug 24 – Nov 29 1 in 41
5 Rio Ave 11 Aug 24 – Nov 16 1 in 36

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Benfica27.75%34.20%25.01%9.56%2.51%0.58%0.28%0.05%0.03%0.01%0.01%0.01%
Porto52.27%28.24%13.94%4.43%0.82%0.24%0.03%0.02%0.01%
Vitoria Guimaraes2.91%7.95%19.88%38.94%15.24%7.36%3.52%1.92%1.02%0.48%0.37%0.18%0.14%0.06%0.03%
Sporting Clube de Portugal16.88%27.81%33.43%15.85%3.89%1.30%0.60%0.18%0.03%0.03%
Chaves0.03%0.51%2.06%7.04%8.80%10.58%10.80%11.51%10.18%9.54%8.25%6.95%6.22%4.60%2.93%
Os Belenenses (1st)0.02%0.41%2.16%7.79%18.59%17.17%13.51%10.30%8.32%6.04%5.04%3.70%3.13%1.97%1.19%0.66%
Varzim0.01%0.14%0.67%2.49%4.14%5.78%7.50%9.02%9.53%9.73%10.34%10.84%10.63%10.53%8.65%
Boavista0.15%0.99%3.16%11.13%21.42%18.42%13.25%9.82%6.70%5.34%3.48%2.43%1.69%1.08%0.61%0.33%
Braga0.01%0.12%0.74%3.87%9.46%12.86%12.71%11.98%10.38%9.19%7.83%6.66%5.23%4.22%3.07%1.67%
Academica de Coimbra0.08%0.33%1.70%5.42%7.55%9.36%10.09%10.05%10.46%9.93%8.90%8.70%7.52%6.18%3.73%
Portimonense0.06%0.33%1.30%4.00%5.77%7.63%9.50%9.70%10.24%10.61%9.73%9.76%8.74%7.45%5.18%
Rio Ave0.01%0.07%0.14%1.13%3.79%5.89%7.57%8.41%9.28%9.99%10.29%9.80%9.86%9.40%8.44%5.93%
Maritimo0.03%0.14%0.95%2.83%4.92%7.04%8.04%9.21%9.55%10.14%11.13%10.05%9.90%8.81%7.26%
Salgueiros0.07%0.21%1.16%2.26%3.56%5.06%6.07%7.85%9.13%10.99%11.96%13.88%14.05%13.75%
Farense0.01%0.11%0.42%0.89%1.99%2.35%3.45%4.78%6.47%8.11%10.29%12.90%18.96%29.27%
O Elvas0.01%0.30%0.92%1.85%2.59%3.98%5.22%6.33%7.44%9.78%11.40%13.47%16.07%20.64%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+34.17%
Strong Edge
52.50%29.17%18.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
210 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0123.68600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.70 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.59+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.6
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
28%
Benfica, 2nd of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Photo Finish
00.110.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.13 * Some Luck: 3.13 to 4.69 * Lucky: 4.69 to 6.25 * Wild Swing: 6.25 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.77 * Close: 1.77 to 2.66 * Off: 2.66 to 3.55 * Way Off: 3.55 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.03 points
Some Luck
03.9110
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.50
Pinpoint
02.225
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
98.29%
Benfica
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
0.68%
O Elvas
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.69
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
67%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 95%
94%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
60%
Very Frequent
0%58%100%
Blowouts
Expected
14%
Occasional
0%18%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.54
Highly Predictable
00.552
Matchup Imbalance
0.57
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.07
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.73
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
13%
Chalky
0%15%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.76
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.18
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.048
Well Within Noise
00.0950.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level
Academica de Coimbra 100%
Benfica 100%
Boavista 100%
Braga 100%
Chaves 100%
Farense 100%
Maritimo 100%
O Elvas 100%
Os Belenenses (1st) 100%
Portimonense 100%
Porto 100%
Rio Ave 100%
Salgueiros 100%
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100%
Varzim 100%
Vitoria Guimaraes 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1986-08-20 Chaves W 3-1 1926 1673 73.2% 22.5% 4.3% +2.1 2
1986-08-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1673 1926 4.3% 22.5% 73.2% -2.1 0
1986-08-23 Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1796 1702 63.3% 27.7% 9.0% -3.3 1
1986-08-23 @ Boavista D 0-0 1702 1796 9.0% 27.7% 63.3% +3.3 1
1986-08-23 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1722 1793 49.0% 30.7% 20.3% -11.2 0
1986-08-23 @ Braga W 1-0 1793 1722 20.3% 30.7% 49.0% +11.2 2
1986-08-23 Salgueiros L 1-2 1725 1648 62.1% 28.2% 9.7% -13.2 0
1986-08-23 @ Portimonense W 2-1 1648 1725 9.7% 28.2% 62.1% +13.2 2
1986-08-24 Rio Ave W 3-1 1710 1675 58.9% 29.1% 11.9% +6.1 2
1986-08-24 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1675 1710 11.9% 29.1% 58.9% -6.1 0
1986-08-24 Farense W 1-0 1660 1608 60.2% 28.8% 11.0% +3.5 2
1986-08-24 @ Maritimo L 0-1 1608 1660 11.0% 28.8% 60.2% -3.5 0
1986-08-24 Benfica D 2-2 1945 1915 58.4% 29.3% 12.3% -1.8 1
1986-08-24 @ Porto D 2-2 1915 1945 12.3% 29.3% 58.4% +1.8 1
1986-08-24 O Elvas W 1-0 1618 1660 52.0% 30.4% 17.5% +5.2 2
1986-08-24 @ Varzim L 0-1 1660 1618 17.5% 30.4% 52.0% -5.2 0
1986-08-30 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1661 1716 50.7% 30.6% 18.7% -21.9 2
1986-08-30 @ Salgueiros W 2-0 1716 1661 18.7% 30.6% 50.7% +21.9 4
1986-08-31 Portimonense W 1-0 1705 1712 55.3% 29.9% 14.7% +4.5 3
1986-08-31 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1712 1705 14.7% 29.9% 55.3% -4.5 0
1986-08-31 Varzim W 2-0 1917 1624 75.4% 21.0% 3.6% +1.9 3
1986-08-31 @ Benfica L 0-2 1624 1917 3.6% 21.0% 75.4% -1.9 2
1986-08-31 Braga L 0-2 1671 1711 52.2% 30.4% 17.4% -22.5 0
1986-08-31 @ Chaves W 2-0 1711 1671 17.4% 30.4% 52.2% +22.5 2
1986-08-31 Boavista D 1-1 1604 1792 34.3% 30.6% 35.0% +0.0 1
1986-08-31 @ Farense D 1-1 1792 1604 35.0% 30.6% 34.3% -0.0 2
1986-08-31 Maritimo W 2-0 1655 1663 55.2% 30.0% 14.8% +8.5 2
1986-08-31 @ O Elvas L 0-2 1663 1655 14.8% 30.0% 55.2% -8.5 2
1986-08-31 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 2-2 1669 1928 25.4% 29.6% 45.0% +0.7 1
1986-08-31 @ Rio Ave D 2-2 1928 1669 45.0% 29.6% 25.4% -0.7 3
1986-08-31 Porto D 2-2 1804 1943 41.0% 30.9% 28.1% -0.4 3
1986-08-31 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 1943 1804 28.1% 30.9% 41.0% +0.4 2
1986-09-06 Portimonense L 2-3 1792 1708 62.7% 28.0% 9.4% -12.6 2
1986-09-06 @ Boavista W 3-2 1708 1792 9.4% 28.0% 62.7% +12.6 2
1986-09-06 Salgueiros W 1-0 1927 1640 75.1% 21.2% 3.7% +1.0 5
1986-09-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1640 1927 3.7% 21.2% 75.1% -1.0 2
1986-09-07 Academica de Coimbra W 3-0 1738 1710 58.4% 29.3% 12.3% +10.5 6
1986-09-07 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-3 1710 1738 12.3% 29.3% 58.4% -10.6 3
1986-09-07 Rio Ave W 2-1 1733 1670 61.1% 28.5% 10.4% +3.1 4
1986-09-07 @ Braga L 1-2 1670 1733 10.4% 28.5% 61.1% -3.1 1
1986-09-07 O Elvas D 1-1 1604 1664 50.3% 30.6% 19.1% -1.5 2
1986-09-07 @ Farense D 1-1 1664 1604 19.1% 30.6% 50.3% +1.5 3
1986-09-07 Benfica D 2-2 1655 1919 24.8% 29.5% 45.6% +0.7 3
1986-09-07 @ Maritimo D 2-2 1919 1655 45.6% 29.5% 24.8% -0.7 4
1986-09-07 Chaves W 3-0 1943 1649 75.4% 21.0% 3.6% +2.8 4
1986-09-07 @ Porto L 0-3 1649 1943 3.6% 21.0% 75.4% -2.8 0
1986-09-07 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1622 1804 35.1% 30.7% 34.2% -0.0 3
1986-09-07 @ Varzim D 1-1 1804 1622 34.2% 30.7% 35.1% +0.0 4
1986-09-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1699 1928 28.9% 30.1% 40.9% -14.1 3
1986-09-13 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1928 1699 40.9% 30.1% 28.9% +14.1 7
1986-09-13 Farense W 1-0 1918 1603 76.5% 20.2% 3.3% +0.9 6
1986-09-13 @ Benfica L 0-1 1603 1918 3.3% 20.2% 76.5% -0.9 2
1986-09-13 Maritimo W 1-0 1804 1656 67.0% 26.1% 7.0% +2.2 6
1986-09-13 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1656 1804 7.0% 26.1% 67.0% -2.2 3
1986-09-14 Varzim W 1-0 1646 1622 58.0% 29.4% 12.6% +3.9 2
1986-09-14 @ Chaves L 0-1 1622 1646 12.6% 29.4% 58.0% -3.9 3
1986-09-14 Boavista W 1-0 1665 1780 44.0% 30.9% 25.1% +6.8 5
1986-09-14 @ O Elvas L 0-1 1780 1665 25.1% 30.9% 44.0% -6.8 2
1986-09-14 Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-5 1720 1749 53.3% 30.3% 16.4% -36.2 2
1986-09-14 @ Portimonense W 5-1 1749 1720 16.4% 30.3% 53.3% +36.2 8
1986-09-14 Porto D 0-0 1666 1946 23.2% 29.2% 47.6% +1.3 2
1986-09-14 @ Rio Ave D 0-0 1946 1666 47.6% 29.2% 23.2% -1.3 5
1986-09-14 Braga D 1-1 1639 1737 46.0% 30.9% 23.2% -1.1 3
1986-09-14 @ Salgueiros D 1-1 1737 1639 23.2% 30.9% 46.0% +1.1 5
1986-09-20 Rio Ave W 1-0 1618 1668 51.2% 30.5% 18.3% +5.4 5
1986-09-20 @ Varzim L 0-1 1668 1618 18.3% 30.5% 51.2% -5.4 2
1986-09-21 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1773 1785 54.9% 30.0% 15.1% +7.5 4
1986-09-21 @ Boavista L 1-3 1785 1773 15.1% 30.0% 54.9% -7.5 8
1986-09-21 Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1738 1685 60.3% 28.8% 11.0% -2.9 6
1986-09-21 @ Braga D 0-0 1685 1738 11.0% 28.8% 60.3% +2.9 4
1986-09-21 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-4 1602 1806 32.1% 30.5% 37.4% -18.6 2
1986-09-21 @ Farense W 4-1 1806 1602 37.4% 30.5% 32.1% +18.6 8
1986-09-21 Chaves L 0-2 1653 1650 56.3% 29.8% 14.0% -24.1 3
1986-09-21 @ Maritimo W 2-0 1650 1653 14.0% 29.8% 56.3% +24.1 4
1986-09-21 Benfica L 0-2 1672 1919 26.7% 29.8% 43.4% -13.2 5
1986-09-21 @ O Elvas W 2-0 1919 1672 43.4% 29.8% 26.7% +13.2 8
1986-09-21 Salgueiros W 4-0 1945 1637 76.1% 20.5% 3.4% +3.4 7
1986-09-21 @ Porto L 0-4 1637 1945 3.4% 20.5% 76.1% -3.4 3
1986-09-21 Portimonense W 2-0 1942 1684 73.5% 22.3% 4.2% +2.3 9
1986-09-21 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1684 1942 4.2% 22.3% 73.5% -2.3 2
1986-09-27 Boavista W 3-1 1933 1780 67.2% 26.0% 6.8% +3.5 10
1986-09-27 @ Benfica L 1-3 1780 1933 6.8% 26.0% 67.2% -3.5 4
1986-09-27 O Elvas W 1-0 1825 1659 68.1% 25.5% 6.4% +2.0 10
1986-09-27 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1659 1825 6.4% 25.5% 68.1% -2.0 5
1986-09-28 Porto L 1-3 1688 1948 25.3% 29.6% 45.1% -11.0 4
1986-09-28 @ Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1948 1688 45.1% 29.6% 25.3% +11.0 9
1986-09-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1777 1945 37.2% 30.8% 32.0% +15.2 10
1986-09-28 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1945 1777 32.0% 30.8% 37.2% -15.2 9
1986-09-28 Farense W 3-2 1674 1583 63.1% 27.8% 9.1% +2.6 6
1986-09-28 @ Chaves L 2-3 1583 1674 9.1% 27.8% 63.1% -2.6 2
1986-09-28 Braga W 2-0 1682 1735 50.9% 30.6% 18.5% +10.2 4
1986-09-28 @ Portimonense L 0-2 1735 1682 18.5% 30.6% 50.9% -10.2 6
1986-09-28 Maritimo D 0-0 1662 1629 58.7% 29.2% 12.1% -2.8 3
1986-09-28 @ Rio Ave D 0-0 1629 1662 12.1% 29.2% 58.7% +2.8 4
1986-09-28 Varzim W 2-1 1634 1623 56.9% 29.6% 13.5% +3.9 5
1986-09-28 @ Salgueiros L 1-2 1623 1634 13.5% 29.6% 56.9% -3.9 5
1986-10-05 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1936 1827 64.4% 27.3% 8.3% +2.7 12
1986-10-05 @ Benfica L 0-1 1827 1936 8.3% 27.3% 64.4% -2.6 10
1986-10-05 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1777 1930 39.2% 30.9% 30.0% -0.4 5
1986-10-05 @ Boavista D 1-1 1930 1777 30.0% 30.9% 39.2% +0.4 10
1986-10-05 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-1 1724 1793 49.3% 30.7% 20.0% -11.3 6
1986-10-05 @ Braga W 1-0 1793 1724 20.0% 30.7% 49.3% +11.3 12
1986-10-05 Rio Ave D 2-2 1581 1660 48.1% 30.8% 21.1% -1.0 3
1986-10-05 @ Farense D 2-2 1660 1581 21.1% 30.8% 48.1% +1.0 4
1986-10-05 Salgueiros W 2-1 1632 1638 55.4% 29.9% 14.6% +4.2 6
1986-10-05 @ Maritimo L 1-2 1638 1632 14.6% 29.9% 55.4% -4.2 5
1986-10-05 Chaves L 1-2 1657 1676 54.2% 30.1% 15.7% -11.6 5
1986-10-05 @ O Elvas W 2-1 1676 1657 15.7% 30.1% 54.2% +11.6 8
1986-10-05 Portimonense W 5-0 1959 1692 74.0% 22.0% 4.1% +5.2 11
1986-10-05 @ Porto L 0-5 1692 1959 4.1% 22.0% 74.0% -5.2 4
1986-10-05 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1619 1677 50.4% 30.6% 19.0% +10.4 7
1986-10-05 @ Varzim L 0-2 1677 1619 19.0% 30.6% 50.4% -10.4 4
1986-10-18 Varzim W 1-0 1687 1630 60.6% 28.6% 10.7% +3.4 6
1986-10-18 @ Portimonense L 0-1 1630 1687 10.7% 28.6% 60.6% -3.4 7
1986-10-18 Braga W 2-1 1930 1713 71.1% 23.8% 5.1% +1.4 12
1986-10-18 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1713 1930 5.1% 23.8% 71.1% -1.5 6
1986-10-19 Maritimo D 1-1 1667 1636 58.5% 29.2% 12.2% -2.4 5
1986-10-19 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1636 1667 12.2% 29.2% 58.5% +2.4 7
1986-10-19 Porto L 0-3 1804 1964 38.1% 30.8% 31.1% -25.0 12
1986-10-19 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-0 1964 1804 31.1% 30.8% 38.1% +25.0 13
1986-10-19 Benfica L 1-2 1688 1939 26.4% 29.8% 43.9% -6.5 8
1986-10-19 @ Chaves W 2-1 1939 1688 43.9% 29.8% 26.4% +6.5 14
1986-10-19 O Elvas D 1-1 1661 1645 57.3% 29.5% 13.2% -2.3 5
1986-10-19 @ Rio Ave D 1-1 1645 1661 13.2% 29.5% 57.3% +2.3 6
1986-10-19 Farense W 2-0 1634 1580 60.4% 28.7% 10.9% +6.5 7
1986-10-19 @ Salgueiros L 0-2 1580 1634 10.9% 28.7% 60.4% -6.5 3
1986-10-19 Boavista W 2-0 1824 1777 59.9% 28.9% 11.2% +6.7 12
1986-10-19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1777 1824 11.2% 28.9% 59.9% -6.7 5
1986-11-01 Rio Ave W 3-1 1945 1658 75.0% 21.2% 3.7% +1.7 16
1986-11-01 @ Benfica L 1-3 1658 1945 3.7% 21.2% 75.0% -1.7 5
1986-11-01 Braga W 1-0 1770 1712 60.7% 28.6% 10.7% +3.4 7
1986-11-01 @ Boavista L 0-1 1712 1770 10.7% 28.6% 60.7% -3.4 6
1986-11-01 Chaves W 3-1 1831 1681 67.0% 26.1% 6.9% +3.5 14
1986-11-01 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1681 1831 6.9% 26.1% 67.0% -3.5 8
1986-11-02 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1573 1664 46.8% 30.9% 22.4% -10.2 3
1986-11-02 @ Farense W 2-1 1664 1573 22.4% 30.9% 46.8% +10.2 7
1986-11-02 Portimonense D 0-0 1639 1690 51.1% 30.6% 18.4% -1.8 8
1986-11-02 @ Maritimo D 0-0 1690 1639 18.4% 30.6% 51.1% +1.8 7
1986-11-02 Salgueiros D 0-0 1647 1640 56.6% 29.7% 13.7% -2.5 7
1986-11-02 @ O Elvas D 0-0 1640 1647 13.7% 29.7% 56.6% +2.5 8
1986-11-02 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-0 1989 1931 60.7% 28.6% 10.7% +6.3 15
1986-11-02 @ Porto L 0-2 1931 1989 10.7% 28.6% 60.7% -6.3 12
1986-11-02 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1626 1779 39.1% 30.9% 30.0% +7.3 9
1986-11-02 @ Varzim L 1-2 1779 1626 30.0% 30.9% 39.1% -7.3 12
1986-11-09 O Elvas D 1-1 1674 1645 58.5% 29.3% 12.3% -2.4 8
1986-11-09 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1645 1674 12.3% 29.3% 58.5% +2.4 8
1986-11-09 Maritimo L 0-3 1772 1637 66.1% 26.5% 7.4% -40.3 12
1986-11-09 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-0 1637 1772 7.4% 26.5% 66.1% +40.3 10
1986-11-09 Porto L 0-1 1708 1996 22.4% 29.0% 48.6% -6.1 6
1986-11-09 @ Braga W 1-0 1996 1708 48.6% 29.0% 22.4% +6.1 17
1986-11-09 Boavista W 1-0 1678 1773 46.3% 30.9% 22.9% +6.4 10
1986-11-09 @ Chaves L 0-1 1773 1678 22.9% 30.9% 46.3% -6.4 7
1986-11-09 Farense W 3-2 1692 1563 65.7% 26.7% 7.6% +2.1 9
1986-11-09 @ Portimonense L 2-3 1563 1692 7.6% 26.7% 65.7% -2.1 3
1986-11-09 Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1657 1834 35.8% 30.7% 33.5% -8.2 5
1986-11-09 @ Rio Ave W 2-1 1834 1657 33.5% 30.7% 35.8% +8.2 16
1986-11-09 Benfica D 1-1 1643 1947 20.8% 28.7% 50.6% +1.5 9
1986-11-09 @ Salgueiros D 1-1 1947 1643 50.6% 28.7% 20.8% -1.5 17
1986-11-09 Varzim W 3-0 1925 1633 75.3% 21.1% 3.6% +2.8 14
1986-11-09 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1633 1925 3.6% 21.1% 75.3% -2.8 9
1986-11-16 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1946 1672 74.3% 21.7% 4.0% +2.1 19
1986-11-16 @ Benfica L 0-2 1672 1946 4.0% 21.7% 74.3% -2.1 8
1986-11-16 Porto D 1-1 1767 2002 28.2% 30.0% 41.8% +0.6 8
1986-11-16 @ Boavista D 1-1 2002 1767 41.8% 30.0% 28.2% -0.6 18
1986-11-16 Rio Ave W 3-2 1684 1648 59.0% 29.1% 11.9% +3.3 12
1986-11-16 @ Chaves L 2-3 1648 1684 11.9% 29.1% 59.0% -3.3 5
1986-11-16 Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1561 1731 36.8% 30.8% 32.5% -0.2 4
1986-11-16 @ Farense D 0-0 1731 1561 32.5% 30.8% 36.8% +0.2 13
1986-11-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1677 1928 26.4% 29.8% 43.9% +10.1 12
1986-11-16 @ Maritimo L 0-1 1928 1677 43.9% 29.8% 26.4% -10.1 14
1986-11-16 Portimonense D 1-1 1647 1694 51.5% 30.5% 18.0% -1.7 9
1986-11-16 @ O Elvas D 1-1 1694 1647 18.0% 30.5% 51.5% +1.7 10
1986-11-16 Braga W 1-0 1631 1702 48.9% 30.7% 20.3% +5.8 11
1986-11-16 @ Varzim L 0-1 1702 1631 20.3% 30.7% 48.9% -5.8 6
1986-11-16 Salgueiros W 2-0 1843 1644 70.0% 24.4% 5.5% +3.2 18
1986-11-16 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1644 1843 5.5% 24.4% 70.0% -3.2 9
1986-11-29 Chaves D 2-2 1641 1688 51.5% 30.5% 18.0% -1.2 10
1986-11-29 @ Salgueiros D 2-2 1688 1641 18.0% 30.5% 51.5% +1.2 13
1986-11-29 Farense W 1-0 1918 1561 78.6% 18.7% 2.7% +0.7 16
1986-11-29 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1561 1918 2.7% 18.7% 78.6% -0.7 4
1986-11-30 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1670 1846 36.0% 30.7% 33.3% -0.1 9
1986-11-30 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1846 1670 33.3% 30.7% 36.0% +0.1 19
1986-11-30 O Elvas W 5-1 1732 1646 62.7% 27.9% 9.3% +8.8 15
1986-11-30 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-5 1646 1732 9.3% 27.9% 62.7% -8.8 9
1986-11-30 Maritimo W 3-0 1696 1687 56.7% 29.7% 13.6% +11.5 8
1986-11-30 @ Braga L 0-3 1687 1696 13.6% 29.7% 56.7% -11.5 12
1986-11-30 Benfica L 0-3 1696 1948 26.2% 29.8% 44.0% -19.0 10
1986-11-30 @ Portimonense W 3-0 1948 1696 44.0% 29.8% 26.2% +19.0 21
1986-11-30 Varzim D 0-0 2001 1636 79.0% 18.4% 2.6% -4.5 19
1986-11-30 @ Porto D 0-0 1636 2001 2.6% 18.4% 79.0% +4.5 12
1986-11-30 Boavista W 3-2 1645 1768 43.0% 30.9% 26.1% +6.2 7
1986-11-30 @ Rio Ave L 2-3 1768 1645 26.1% 30.9% 43.0% -6.3 8
1986-12-06 Portimonense W 2-0 1846 1677 68.3% 25.4% 6.3% +3.7 21
1986-12-06 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1677 1846 6.3% 25.4% 68.3% -3.7 10
1986-12-07 Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-0 1967 1740 71.7% 23.4% 4.9% +2.8 23
1986-12-07 @ Benfica L 0-2 1740 1967 4.9% 23.4% 71.7% -2.8 15
1986-12-07 Varzim D 0-0 1761 1641 65.1% 27.0% 7.9% -3.5 9
1986-12-07 @ Boavista D 0-0 1641 1761 7.9% 27.0% 65.1% +3.5 13
1986-12-07 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1689 1670 57.6% 29.5% 12.9% -2.3 14
1986-12-07 @ Chaves D 1-1 1670 1689 12.9% 29.5% 57.6% +2.3 10
1986-12-07 Braga W 1-0 1560 1708 39.8% 30.9% 29.3% +7.6 6
1986-12-07 @ Farense L 0-1 1708 1560 29.3% 30.9% 39.8% -7.6 8
1986-12-07 Porto L 1-4 1676 1997 19.3% 28.2% 52.5% -12.4 12
1986-12-07 @ Maritimo W 4-1 1997 1676 52.5% 28.2% 19.3% +12.4 21
1986-12-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1637 1918 23.0% 29.2% 47.8% -17.1 9
1986-12-07 @ O Elvas W 3-0 1918 1637 47.8% 29.2% 23.0% +17.1 18
1986-12-07 Salgueiros W 3-1 1651 1640 57.0% 29.6% 13.4% +6.8 9
1986-12-07 @ Rio Ave L 1-3 1640 1651 13.4% 29.6% 57.0% -6.8 10
1986-12-13 Salgueiros W 4-0 1758 1633 65.4% 26.8% 7.8% +8.8 11
1986-12-13 @ Boavista L 0-4 1633 1758 7.8% 26.8% 65.4% -8.8 10
1986-12-13 Farense W 8-3 2009 1568 82.5% 15.7% 1.8% +1.2 23
1986-12-13 @ Porto L 3-8 1568 2009 1.8% 15.7% 82.5% -1.2 6
1986-12-14 Rio Ave W 2-0 1672 1658 57.2% 29.6% 13.3% +7.8 12
1986-12-14 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1658 1672 13.3% 29.6% 57.2% -7.7 9
1986-12-14 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1738 1850 44.3% 30.9% 24.8% -0.9 16
1986-12-14 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1850 1738 24.8% 30.9% 44.3% +0.9 22
1986-12-14 O Elvas W 3-1 1700 1620 62.4% 28.1% 9.6% +5.0 10
1986-12-14 @ Braga L 1-3 1620 1700 9.6% 28.1% 62.4% -5.0 9
1986-12-14 Chaves D 0-0 1673 1687 54.7% 30.0% 15.2% -2.2 11
1986-12-14 @ Portimonense D 0-0 1687 1673 15.2% 30.0% 54.7% +2.3 15
1986-12-14 Benfica W 7-1 1936 1969 52.8% 30.3% 16.9% +21.7 20
1986-12-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-7 1969 1936 16.9% 30.3% 52.8% -21.7 23
1986-12-14 Maritimo W 2-0 1644 1664 54.2% 30.1% 15.6% +8.9 15
1986-12-14 @ Varzim L 0-2 1664 1644 15.6% 30.1% 54.2% -8.9 12
1986-12-28 Braga W 2-1 1948 1705 72.6% 22.9% 4.5% +1.3 25
1986-12-28 @ Benfica L 1-2 1705 1948 4.5% 22.9% 72.6% -1.3 10
1986-12-28 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1689 1737 51.4% 30.5% 18.1% +5.3 17
1986-12-28 @ Chaves L 0-1 1737 1689 18.1% 30.5% 51.4% -5.3 16
1986-12-28 Varzim L 1-2 1566 1653 47.2% 30.8% 21.9% -10.3 6
1986-12-28 @ Farense W 2-1 1653 1566 21.9% 30.8% 47.2% +10.3 17
1986-12-28 Boavista D 2-2 1655 1767 44.3% 30.9% 24.8% -0.7 13
1986-12-28 @ Maritimo D 2-2 1767 1655 24.8% 30.9% 44.3% +0.7 12
1986-12-28 Porto L 0-2 1615 2010 13.8% 26.1% 60.2% -7.4 9
1986-12-28 @ O Elvas W 2-0 2010 1615 60.2% 26.1% 13.8% +7.4 25
1986-12-28 Portimonense D 1-1 1650 1671 54.1% 30.2% 15.8% -1.9 10
1986-12-28 @ Rio Ave D 1-1 1671 1650 15.8% 30.2% 54.1% +1.9 12
1986-12-28 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1624 1680 50.6% 30.6% 18.8% +5.2 12
1986-12-28 @ Salgueiros L 1-2 1680 1624 18.8% 30.6% 50.6% -5.2 12
1986-12-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 3-1 1850 1957 44.9% 30.9% 24.2% +10.8 24
1986-12-28 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-3 1957 1850 24.2% 30.9% 44.9% -10.8 20
1987-01-04 Boavista W 2-0 1675 1767 46.6% 30.9% 22.6% +11.9 14
1987-01-04 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1767 1675 22.6% 30.9% 46.6% -11.9 12
1987-01-04 Porto W 3-1 1949 2018 49.2% 30.7% 20.1% +9.4 27
1987-01-04 @ Benfica L 1-3 2018 1949 20.1% 30.7% 49.2% -9.4 25
1987-01-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1694 1946 26.2% 29.8% 44.1% +9.6 19
1987-01-04 @ Chaves L 1-2 1946 1694 44.1% 29.8% 26.2% -9.6 20
1987-01-04 Maritimo W 2-0 1556 1654 46.0% 30.9% 23.1% +12.1 8
1987-01-04 @ Farense L 0-2 1654 1556 23.1% 30.9% 46.0% -12.1 13
1987-01-04 Varzim D 0-0 1607 1664 50.5% 30.6% 18.9% -1.8 10
1987-01-04 @ O Elvas D 0-0 1664 1607 18.9% 30.6% 50.5% +1.8 18
1987-01-04 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1648 1731 47.7% 30.8% 21.5% +6.1 12
1987-01-04 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1731 1648 21.5% 30.8% 47.7% -6.1 16
1987-01-04 Portimonense D 0-0 1629 1673 51.9% 30.5% 17.7% -1.9 13
1987-01-04 @ Salgueiros D 0-0 1673 1629 17.7% 30.5% 51.9% +1.9 13
1987-01-04 Braga W 4-0 1861 1704 67.5% 25.8% 6.7% +7.5 26
1987-01-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-4 1704 1861 6.7% 25.8% 67.5% -7.5 10
1987-01-10 Farense D 0-0 1755 1568 69.4% 24.8% 5.8% -3.9 13
1987-01-10 @ Boavista D 0-0 1568 1755 5.8% 24.8% 69.4% +3.9 9
1987-01-10 Benfica D 0-0 1665 1958 21.9% 28.9% 49.2% +1.5 19
1987-01-10 @ Varzim D 0-0 1958 1665 49.2% 28.9% 21.9% -1.5 28
1987-01-11 Salgueiros D 0-0 1725 1627 63.6% 27.6% 8.8% -3.3 17
1987-01-11 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 0-0 1627 1725 8.8% 27.6% 63.6% +3.3 14
1987-01-11 Chaves W 2-1 1697 1704 55.3% 29.9% 14.7% +4.2 12
1987-01-11 @ Braga L 1-2 1704 1697 14.7% 29.9% 55.3% -4.2 19
1987-01-11 O Elvas W 5-1 1642 1606 59.0% 29.1% 11.9% +11.1 15
1987-01-11 @ Maritimo L 1-5 1606 1642 11.9% 29.1% 59.0% -11.1 10
1987-01-11 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1675 1687 54.9% 30.0% 15.1% +8.7 15
1987-01-11 @ Portimonense L 0-2 1687 1675 15.1% 30.0% 54.9% -8.6 14
1987-01-11 Vitoria Guimaraes D 2-2 2008 1869 66.4% 26.4% 7.2% -2.4 26
1987-01-11 @ Porto D 2-2 1869 2008 7.2% 26.4% 66.4% +2.4 27
1987-01-11 Rio Ave D 0-0 1937 1654 74.8% 21.4% 3.8% -4.3 21
1987-01-11 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1654 1937 3.8% 21.4% 74.8% +4.3 13
1987-01-25 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-1 1678 1722 51.8% 30.5% 17.7% +8.5 16
1987-01-25 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1722 1678 17.7% 30.5% 51.8% -8.6 17
1987-01-25 Maritimo W 3-1 1957 1653 75.9% 20.6% 3.4% +1.6 30
1987-01-25 @ Benfica L 1-3 1653 1957 3.4% 20.6% 75.9% -1.6 15
1987-01-25 Porto L 1-2 1699 2006 20.6% 28.6% 50.8% -5.4 19
1987-01-25 @ Chaves W 2-1 2006 1699 50.8% 28.6% 20.6% +5.3 28
1987-01-25 Farense L 1-2 1595 1572 57.9% 29.4% 12.7% -12.3 10
1987-01-25 @ O Elvas W 2-1 1572 1595 12.7% 29.4% 57.9% +12.3 11
1987-01-25 Boavista L 1-2 1683 1751 49.3% 30.7% 20.0% -10.7 15
1987-01-25 @ Portimonense W 2-1 1751 1683 20.0% 30.7% 49.3% +10.7 15
1987-01-25 Braga W 1-0 1659 1701 52.0% 30.4% 17.5% +5.2 15
1987-01-25 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1701 1659 17.5% 30.4% 52.0% -5.2 12
1987-01-25 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1631 1933 21.0% 28.7% 50.3% +1.6 15
1987-01-25 @ Salgueiros D 0-0 1933 1631 50.3% 28.7% 21.0% -1.6 22
1987-01-25 Varzim D 1-1 1871 1667 70.4% 24.2% 5.4% -3.6 28
1987-01-25 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1667 1871 5.4% 24.2% 70.4% +3.6 20
1987-01-27 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1931 1686 72.7% 22.8% 4.5% -3.7 23
1987-01-27 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1686 1931 4.5% 22.8% 72.7% +3.7 17
1987-01-31 O Elvas W 1-0 1762 1582 68.9% 25.1% 6.0% +1.9 17
1987-01-31 @ Boavista L 0-1 1582 1762 6.0% 25.1% 68.9% -1.9 10
1987-02-01 Portimonense W 5-0 1713 1673 59.4% 29.0% 11.6% +16.1 19
1987-02-01 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-5 1673 1713 11.6% 29.0% 59.4% -16.1 15
1987-02-01 Salgueiros W 2-1 1696 1632 61.1% 28.5% 10.4% +3.1 14
1987-02-01 @ Braga L 1-2 1632 1696 10.4% 28.5% 61.1% -3.1 15
1987-02-01 Benfica L 0-2 1585 1958 15.2% 26.8% 58.1% -8.1 11
1987-02-01 @ Farense W 2-0 1958 1585 58.1% 26.8% 15.2% +8.1 32
1987-02-01 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1651 1868 30.6% 30.3% 39.1% -14.7 15
1987-02-01 @ Maritimo W 2-0 1868 1651 39.1% 30.3% 30.6% +14.7 30
1987-02-01 Rio Ave W 3-0 2011 1664 78.1% 19.1% 2.8% +2.1 30
1987-02-01 @ Porto L 0-3 1664 2011 2.8% 19.1% 78.1% -2.1 15
1987-02-01 Chaves D 0-0 1670 1694 53.8% 30.2% 16.0% -2.1 21
1987-02-01 @ Varzim D 0-0 1694 1670 16.0% 30.2% 53.8% +2.1 20
1987-02-22 Braga D 0-0 1690 1699 55.2% 30.0% 14.8% -2.3 18
1987-02-22 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1699 1690 14.8% 30.0% 55.2% +2.3 15
1987-02-22 Boavista L 1-2 1730 1764 52.8% 30.3% 16.9% -11.3 19
1987-02-22 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 2-1 1764 1730 16.9% 30.3% 52.8% +11.3 19
1987-02-22 O Elvas W 2-0 1967 1580 80.0% 17.6% 2.4% +1.2 34
1987-02-22 @ Benfica L 0-2 1580 1967 2.4% 17.6% 80.0% -1.1 10
1987-02-22 Maritimo W 3-1 1696 1637 60.8% 28.6% 10.6% +5.5 22
1987-02-22 @ Chaves L 1-3 1637 1696 10.6% 28.6% 60.8% -5.5 15
1987-02-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1657 1927 24.1% 29.4% 46.5% +1.1 16
1987-02-22 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1927 1657 46.5% 29.4% 24.1% -1.1 24
1987-02-22 Varzim D 1-1 1662 1668 55.4% 29.9% 14.7% -2.1 16
1987-02-22 @ Rio Ave D 1-1 1668 1662 14.7% 29.9% 55.4% +2.1 22
1987-02-22 Porto L 0-3 1629 2013 14.5% 26.5% 59.1% -11.3 15
1987-02-22 @ Salgueiros W 3-0 2013 1629 59.1% 26.5% 14.5% +11.3 32
1987-02-22 Farense D 0-0 1882 1576 76.0% 20.6% 3.4% -4.4 31
1987-02-22 @ Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1576 1882 3.4% 20.6% 76.0% +4.4 12
1987-02-28 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1579 1878 21.3% 28.8% 49.9% +1.5 11
1987-02-28 @ O Elvas D 0-0 1878 1579 49.9% 28.8% 21.3% -1.6 32
1987-02-28 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 2025 1688 77.6% 19.4% 3.0% +0.8 34
1987-02-28 @ Porto L 0-1 1688 2025 3.0% 19.4% 77.6% -0.8 18
1987-02-28 Os Belenenses (1st) W 4-2 1926 1718 70.6% 24.1% 5.3% +2.3 26
1987-02-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1718 1926 5.3% 24.1% 70.6% -2.3 19
1987-02-28 Salgueiros D 1-1 1670 1618 60.3% 28.8% 11.0% -2.6 23
1987-02-28 @ Varzim D 1-1 1618 1670 11.0% 28.8% 60.3% +2.6 16
1987-03-01 Benfica L 0-2 1775 1968 33.7% 30.6% 35.7% -15.8 19
1987-03-01 @ Boavista W 2-0 1968 1775 35.7% 30.6% 33.7% +15.8 36
1987-03-01 Portimonense W 3-0 1701 1658 59.6% 29.0% 11.5% +9.9 17
1987-03-01 @ Braga L 0-3 1658 1701 11.5% 29.0% 59.6% -9.9 16
1987-03-01 Chaves W 4-0 1581 1702 43.2% 30.9% 25.9% +24.9 14
1987-03-01 @ Farense L 0-4 1702 1581 25.9% 30.9% 43.2% -24.9 22
1987-03-01 Rio Ave W 2-0 1631 1660 53.3% 30.3% 16.4% +9.3 17
1987-03-01 @ Maritimo L 0-2 1660 1631 16.4% 30.3% 53.3% -9.3 16
1987-03-14 Porto W 1-0 1648 2025 14.9% 26.7% 58.5% +12.8 18
1987-03-14 @ Portimonense L 0-1 2025 1648 58.5% 26.7% 14.9% -12.8 34
1987-03-14 Boavista W 2-1 1928 1760 68.3% 25.4% 6.3% +1.8 28
1987-03-14 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1760 1928 6.3% 25.4% 68.3% -1.8 19
1987-03-14 Benfica L 1-2 1876 1984 44.9% 30.9% 24.2% -9.8 32
1987-03-14 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1984 1876 24.2% 30.9% 44.9% +9.8 38
1987-03-15 Varzim D 0-0 1687 1668 57.6% 29.5% 12.9% -2.6 19
1987-03-15 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1668 1687 12.9% 29.5% 57.6% +2.6 24
1987-03-15 Braga W 4-2 1716 1711 56.4% 29.8% 13.9% +6.2 21
1987-03-15 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-4 1711 1716 13.9% 29.8% 56.4% -6.2 17
1987-03-15 O Elvas W 3-1 1677 1581 63.5% 27.7% 8.9% +4.6 24
1987-03-15 @ Chaves L 1-3 1581 1677 8.9% 27.7% 63.5% -4.6 11
1987-03-15 Farense W 2-0 1651 1606 59.7% 28.9% 11.4% +6.8 18
1987-03-15 @ Rio Ave L 0-2 1606 1651 11.4% 28.9% 59.7% -6.8 14
1987-03-15 Maritimo L 0-2 1621 1640 54.1% 30.1% 15.7% -23.2 16
1987-03-15 @ Salgueiros W 2-0 1640 1621 15.7% 30.1% 54.1% +23.2 19
1987-03-22 Chaves D 0-0 1993 1681 76.3% 20.3% 3.3% -4.4 39
1987-03-22 @ Benfica D 0-0 1681 1993 3.3% 20.3% 76.3% +4.4 25
1987-03-22 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1758 1867 44.7% 30.9% 24.4% -1.0 20
1987-03-22 @ Boavista D 1-1 1867 1758 24.4% 30.9% 44.7% +1.0 33
1987-03-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1705 1930 29.3% 30.2% 40.5% -14.2 17
1987-03-22 @ Braga W 2-0 1930 1705 40.5% 30.2% 29.3% +14.2 30
1987-03-22 Salgueiros D 0-0 1599 1597 56.1% 29.8% 14.1% -2.4 15
1987-03-22 @ Farense D 0-0 1597 1599 14.1% 29.8% 56.1% +2.4 17
1987-03-22 Academica de Coimbra W 3-1 1664 1684 54.1% 30.2% 15.8% +7.8 21
1987-03-22 @ Maritimo L 1-3 1684 1664 15.8% 30.2% 54.1% -7.8 19
1987-03-22 Rio Ave W 1-0 1576 1657 47.9% 30.8% 21.3% +6.0 13
1987-03-22 @ O Elvas L 0-1 1657 1576 21.3% 30.8% 47.9% -6.0 18
1987-03-22 Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 2013 1722 75.2% 21.1% 3.7% +1.0 36
1987-03-22 @ Porto L 0-1 1722 2013 3.7% 21.1% 75.2% -1.0 21
1987-03-22 Portimonense D 1-1 1670 1661 56.8% 29.7% 13.5% -2.2 25
1987-03-22 @ Varzim D 1-1 1661 1670 13.5% 29.7% 56.8% +2.2 19
1987-04-04 Benfica L 0-2 1651 1989 17.9% 27.8% 54.3% -9.5 18
1987-04-04 @ Rio Ave W 2-0 1989 1651 54.3% 27.8% 17.9% +9.5 41
1987-04-04 Porto W 2-0 1945 2014 49.2% 30.7% 20.1% +10.9 32
1987-04-04 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 2014 1945 20.1% 30.7% 49.2% -10.9 36
1987-04-05 Farense W 1-0 1677 1597 62.3% 28.1% 9.6% +3.0 21
1987-04-05 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1597 1677 9.6% 28.1% 62.3% -3.0 15
1987-04-05 Varzim W 4-1 1721 1668 60.3% 28.7% 10.9% +8.0 23
1987-04-05 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-4 1668 1721 10.9% 28.7% 60.3% -8.0 25
1987-04-05 Boavista D 0-0 1690 1757 49.5% 30.7% 19.8% -1.6 18
1987-04-05 @ Braga D 0-0 1757 1690 19.8% 30.7% 49.5% +1.6 21
1987-04-05 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1686 1867 35.2% 30.7% 34.1% -0.0 26
1987-04-05 @ Chaves D 1-1 1867 1686 34.1% 30.7% 35.2% +0.0 34
1987-04-05 Maritimo W 1-0 1663 1671 55.2% 30.0% 14.8% +4.5 21
1987-04-05 @ Portimonense L 0-1 1671 1663 14.8% 30.0% 55.2% -4.5 21
1987-04-05 O Elvas W 3-1 1600 1582 57.5% 29.5% 13.0% +6.6 19
1987-04-05 @ Salgueiros L 1-3 1582 1600 13.0% 29.5% 57.5% -6.6 13
1987-04-11 Chaves L 1-3 1758 1686 61.8% 28.3% 9.9% -22.7 21
1987-04-11 @ Boavista W 3-1 1686 1758 9.9% 28.3% 61.8% +22.7 28
1987-04-12 Salgueiros W 1-0 1998 1606 80.2% 17.4% 2.3% +0.6 43
1987-04-12 @ Benfica L 0-1 1606 1998 2.3% 17.4% 80.2% -0.6 19
1987-04-12 Portimonense W 4-0 1594 1667 48.7% 30.8% 20.6% +21.0 17
1987-04-12 @ Farense L 0-4 1667 1594 20.6% 30.8% 48.7% -21.0 21
1987-04-12 Os Belenenses (1st) W 3-2 1667 1729 50.0% 30.6% 19.4% +5.0 23
1987-04-12 @ Maritimo L 2-3 1729 1667 19.4% 30.6% 50.0% -5.0 23
1987-04-12 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1576 1680 45.2% 30.9% 23.9% -1.0 14
1987-04-12 @ O Elvas D 1-1 1680 1576 23.9% 30.9% 45.2% +1.0 22
1987-04-12 Braga W 3-1 2003 1689 76.4% 20.3% 3.3% +1.5 38
1987-04-12 @ Porto L 1-3 1689 2003 3.3% 20.3% 76.4% -1.5 18
1987-04-12 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1660 1955 21.6% 28.9% 49.5% +1.3 26
1987-04-12 @ Varzim D 1-1 1955 1660 49.5% 28.9% 21.6% -1.3 33
1987-04-12 Rio Ave W 1-0 1868 1642 71.6% 23.5% 4.9% +1.5 36
1987-04-12 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1642 1868 4.9% 23.5% 71.6% -1.5 18
1987-04-26 Benfica D 0-0 1681 1999 19.5% 28.3% 52.2% +1.8 23
1987-04-26 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1999 1681 52.2% 28.3% 19.5% -1.8 44
1987-04-26 Farense W 3-1 1724 1615 64.4% 27.3% 8.3% +4.3 25
1987-04-26 @ Os Belenenses (1st) L 1-3 1615 1724 8.3% 27.3% 64.4% -4.3 17
1987-04-26 Varzim W 2-1 1687 1662 58.1% 29.3% 12.5% +3.7 20
1987-04-26 @ Braga L 1-2 1662 1687 12.5% 29.3% 58.1% -3.7 26
1987-04-26 O Elvas W 3-0 1646 1575 61.7% 28.3% 10.0% +8.7 23
1987-04-26 @ Portimonense L 0-3 1575 1646 10.0% 28.3% 61.7% -8.6 14
1987-04-26 Boavista W 2-1 2004 1736 74.1% 21.9% 4.0% +1.1 40
1987-04-26 @ Porto L 1-2 1736 2004 4.0% 21.9% 74.1% -1.1 21
1987-04-26 Chaves W 2-1 1640 1708 49.3% 30.7% 20.0% +5.4 20
1987-04-26 @ Rio Ave L 1-2 1708 1640 20.0% 30.7% 49.3% -5.4 28
1987-04-26 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1606 1869 24.9% 29.5% 45.5% +1.1 20
1987-04-26 @ Salgueiros D 0-0 1869 1606 45.5% 29.5% 24.9% -1.1 37
1987-04-26 Maritimo W 6-1 1954 1672 74.8% 21.4% 3.8% +3.9 35
1987-04-26 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-6 1672 1954 3.8% 21.4% 74.8% -4.0 23
1987-05-02 Rio Ave W 1-0 1735 1646 62.9% 27.8% 9.2% +2.9 23
1987-05-02 @ Boavista L 0-1 1646 1735 9.2% 27.8% 62.9% -2.9 20
1987-05-03 Portimonense D 1-1 1997 1655 77.9% 19.2% 2.9% -4.0 45
1987-05-03 @ Benfica D 1-1 1655 1997 2.9% 19.2% 77.9% +4.0 24
1987-05-03 Salgueiros W 4-0 1703 1607 63.5% 27.6% 8.9% +10.1 30
1987-05-03 @ Chaves L 0-4 1607 1703 8.9% 27.6% 63.5% -10.1 20
1987-05-03 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1610 1958 17.1% 27.5% 55.4% +11.5 19
1987-05-03 @ Farense L 1-2 1958 1610 55.4% 27.5% 17.1% -11.5 35
1987-05-03 Braga D 1-1 1668 1691 53.8% 30.2% 16.0% -1.9 24
1987-05-03 @ Maritimo D 1-1 1691 1668 16.0% 30.2% 53.8% +1.9 21
1987-05-03 Porto L 0-2 1658 2005 17.1% 27.5% 55.4% -9.1 26
1987-05-03 @ Varzim W 2-0 2005 1658 55.4% 27.5% 17.1% +9.1 42
1987-05-03 Academica de Coimbra W 2-0 1868 1683 69.3% 24.9% 5.9% +3.4 39
1987-05-03 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1683 1868 5.9% 24.9% 69.3% -3.4 23
1987-05-10 Os Belenenses (1st) L 0-2 1566 1728 37.9% 30.8% 31.3% -17.2 14
1987-05-10 @ O Elvas W 2-0 1728 1566 31.3% 30.8% 37.9% +17.2 27
1987-05-17 Chaves W 2-0 1679 1713 52.8% 30.3% 16.9% +9.5 25
1987-05-17 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1713 1679 16.9% 30.3% 52.8% -9.5 30
1987-05-17 Benfica D 1-1 1745 1993 26.7% 29.8% 43.5% +0.8 28
1987-05-17 @ Os Belenenses (1st) D 1-1 1993 1745 43.5% 29.8% 26.7% -0.8 46
1987-05-17 Farense W 3-0 1693 1622 61.7% 28.3% 10.0% +8.7 23
1987-05-17 @ Braga L 0-3 1622 1693 10.0% 28.3% 61.7% -8.7 19
1987-05-17 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1659 1871 31.1% 30.4% 38.6% +0.3 25
1987-05-17 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1871 1659 38.6% 30.4% 31.1% -0.3 40
1987-05-17 Maritimo W 1-0 2014 1666 78.2% 19.0% 2.8% +0.8 44
1987-05-17 @ Porto L 0-1 1666 2014 2.8% 19.0% 78.2% -0.8 24
1987-05-17 Rio Ave D 1-1 1597 1643 51.6% 30.5% 17.9% -1.7 21
1987-05-17 @ Salgueiros D 1-1 1643 1597 17.9% 30.5% 51.6% +1.7 21
1987-05-17 O Elvas W 1-0 1947 1549 80.5% 17.2% 2.2% +0.6 37
1987-05-17 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1549 1947 2.2% 17.2% 80.5% -0.6 14
1987-05-17 Boavista L 0-1 1649 1737 47.0% 30.8% 22.1% -10.8 26
1987-05-17 @ Varzim W 1-0 1737 1649 22.1% 30.8% 47.0% +10.8 25
1987-05-24 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1992 1947 59.7% 28.9% 11.4% +3.4 48
1987-05-24 @ Benfica L 1-2 1947 1992 11.4% 28.9% 59.7% -3.4 37
1987-05-24 Portimonense D 0-0 1704 1659 59.6% 28.9% 11.4% -2.9 31
1987-05-24 @ Chaves D 0-0 1659 1704 11.4% 28.9% 59.6% +2.9 26
1987-05-24 Porto W 1-0 1613 2015 13.4% 25.9% 60.8% +13.3 21
1987-05-24 @ Farense L 0-1 2015 1613 60.8% 25.9% 13.4% -13.2 44
1987-05-24 Varzim D 1-1 1665 1638 58.3% 29.3% 12.4% -2.4 25
1987-05-24 @ Maritimo D 1-1 1638 1665 12.4% 29.3% 58.3% +2.4 27
1987-05-24 Braga L 0-2 1548 1702 39.1% 30.9% 30.1% -17.6 14
1987-05-24 @ O Elvas W 2-0 1702 1548 30.1% 30.9% 39.1% +17.6 25
1987-05-24 Academica de Coimbra W 4-0 1645 1689 51.8% 30.5% 17.7% +18.7 23
1987-05-24 @ Rio Ave L 0-4 1689 1645 17.7% 30.5% 51.8% -18.7 25
1987-05-24 Boavista W 2-0 1595 1748 39.1% 30.9% 30.1% +14.6 23
1987-05-24 @ Salgueiros L 0-2 1748 1595 30.1% 30.9% 39.1% -14.6 25
1987-05-24 Os Belenenses (1st) L 2-3 1871 1746 65.4% 26.8% 7.8% -13.1 40
1987-05-24 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-2 1746 1871 7.8% 26.8% 65.4% +13.1 30
1987-05-31 Salgueiros D 0-0 1670 1610 60.9% 28.6% 10.6% -3.0 26
1987-05-31 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1610 1670 10.6% 28.6% 60.9% +3.0 24
1987-05-31 Chaves L 0-1 1759 1701 60.7% 28.6% 10.7% -13.7 30
1987-05-31 @ Os Belenenses (1st) W 1-0 1701 1759 10.7% 28.6% 60.7% +13.7 33
1987-05-31 Maritimo W 5-1 1734 1663 61.7% 28.3% 10.0% +9.5 27
1987-05-31 @ Boavista L 1-5 1663 1734 10.0% 28.3% 61.7% -9.5 25
1987-05-31 Benfica D 1-1 1719 1996 23.5% 29.3% 47.2% +1.1 26
1987-05-31 @ Braga D 1-1 1996 1719 47.2% 29.3% 23.5% -1.1 49
1987-05-31 Rio Ave L 2-3 1662 1663 55.9% 29.8% 14.3% -11.3 26
1987-05-31 @ Portimonense W 3-2 1663 1662 14.3% 29.8% 55.9% +11.3 25
1987-05-31 O Elvas W 6-0 2002 1531 83.7% 14.7% 1.6% +2.0 46
1987-05-31 @ Porto L 0-6 1531 2002 1.6% 14.7% 83.7% -2.0 14
1987-05-31 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1944 1858 62.7% 27.9% 9.3% -2.9 38
1987-05-31 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1858 1944 9.3% 27.9% 62.7% +2.9 41
1987-05-31 Farense W 3-2 1640 1626 57.2% 29.6% 13.3% +3.7 29
1987-05-31 @ Varzim L 2-3 1626 1640 13.3% 29.6% 57.2% -3.7 21

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1986-11-09 7.41% Maritimo 1637 3 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1772 0
2 1987-05-24 7.76% Os Belenenses (1st) 1746 3 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1871 2
3 1986-09-06 9.38% Portimonense 1708 3 @ Boavista 1792 2
4 1986-08-23 9.74% Salgueiros 1648 2 @ Portimonense 1725 1
5 1987-04-11 9.94% Chaves 1686 3 @ Boavista 1758 1
6 1987-05-31 10.65% Chaves 1701 1 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1759 0
7 1987-01-25 12.72% Farense 1572 2 @ O Elvas 1595 1
8 1987-05-24 13.35% @ Farense 1613 1 Porto 2015 0
9 1986-09-21 13.96% Chaves 1650 2 @ Maritimo 1653 0
10 1987-05-31 14.30% Rio Ave 1663 3 @ Portimonense 1662 2
11 1987-03-14 14.90% @ Portimonense 1648 1 Porto 2025 0
12 1986-10-05 15.70% Chaves 1676 2 @ O Elvas 1657 1
13 1987-03-15 15.71% Maritimo 1640 2 @ Salgueiros 1621 0
14 1986-09-14 16.41% Os Belenenses (1st) 1749 5 @ Portimonense 1720 1
15 1987-02-22 16.90% Boavista 1764 2 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 1730 1
16 1987-05-03 17.06% @ Farense 1610 2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1958 1
17 1986-08-31 17.37% Braga 1711 2 @ Chaves 1671 0
18 1986-08-30 18.72% Os Belenenses (1st) 1716 2 @ Salgueiros 1661 0
19 1987-01-25 19.99% Boavista 1751 2 @ Portimonense 1683 1
20 1986-10-05 20.01% Os Belenenses (1st) 1793 1 @ Braga 1724 0
21 1986-08-23 20.27% Vitoria Guimaraes 1793 1 @ Braga 1722 0
22 1986-12-28 21.95% Varzim 1653 2 @ Farense 1566 1
23 1987-05-17 22.13% Boavista 1737 1 @ Varzim 1649 0
24 1986-11-02 22.38% Academica de Coimbra 1664 2 @ Farense 1573 1
25 1987-03-14 24.22% Benfica 1984 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1876 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1986-11-09 40.34 Maritimo 3 1637 7.41% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1772 66.08% 26.51%
2 1986-09-14 36.21 Os Belenenses (1st) 5 1749 16.41% @ Portimonense 1 1720 53.32% 30.27%
3 1986-10-19 25.04 Porto 3 1964 31.06% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1804 38.11% 30.83%
4 1987-03-01 24.91 @ Farense 4 1581 43.21% Chaves 0 1702 25.86% 30.93%
5 1986-09-21 24.07 Chaves 2 1650 13.96% @ Maritimo 0 1653 56.27% 29.77%
6 1987-03-15 23.22 Maritimo 2 1640 15.71% @ Salgueiros 0 1621 54.14% 30.15%
7 1987-04-11 22.72 Chaves 3 1686 9.94% @ Boavista 1 1758 61.79% 28.27%
8 1986-08-31 22.46 Braga 2 1711 17.37% @ Chaves 0 1671 52.21% 30.42%
9 1986-08-30 21.87 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1716 18.72% @ Salgueiros 0 1661 50.70% 30.58%
10 1986-12-14 21.72 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 1936 52.80% Benfica 1 1969 16.86% 30.34%
11 1987-04-12 21.04 @ Farense 4 1594 48.68% Portimonense 0 1667 20.58% 30.75%
12 1986-11-30 18.95 Benfica 3 1948 44.04% @ Portimonense 0 1696 26.21% 29.75%
13 1987-05-24 18.74 @ Rio Ave 4 1645 51.80% Academica de Coimbra 0 1689 17.74% 30.47%
14 1986-09-21 18.65 Vitoria Guimaraes 4 1806 37.40% @ Farense 1 1602 32.15% 30.46%
15 1987-05-24 17.57 Braga 2 1702 30.09% @ O Elvas 0 1548 39.05% 30.86%
16 1987-05-10 17.16 Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1728 31.33% @ O Elvas 0 1566 37.85% 30.82%
17 1986-12-07 17.06 Sporting Clube de Portugal 3 1918 47.84% @ O Elvas 0 1637 22.99% 29.17%
18 1987-02-01 16.09 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 5 1713 59.35% Portimonense 0 1673 11.62% 29.03%
19 1987-03-01 15.76 Benfica 2 1968 35.70% @ Boavista 0 1775 33.72% 30.58%
20 1986-09-28 15.24 @ Os Belenenses (1st) 2 1777 37.18% Sporting Clube de Portugal 0 1945 32.03% 30.79%
21 1987-02-01 14.67 Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1868 39.14% @ Maritimo 0 1651 30.55% 30.31%
22 1987-05-24 14.59 @ Salgueiros 2 1595 39.08% Boavista 0 1748 30.06% 30.86%
23 1987-03-22 14.24 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1930 40.47% @ Braga 0 1705 29.35% 30.18%
24 1986-09-13 14.08 Sporting Clube de Portugal 2 1928 40.94% @ Academica de Coimbra 0 1699 28.93% 30.13%
25 1987-05-31 13.70 Chaves 1 1701 10.65% @ Os Belenenses (1st) 0 1759 60.73% 28.62%