1983-84 Primeira Divisão Season

240 games

Final

Champion

Benfica

52 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Braga

6.61 points above expected

37 points · 30.39 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Espinho

6.92 points below expected

17 points · 23.92 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Benfica 30 24 4 2 52 86 22 +64 45.69 +6.31
2 Porto 30 22 5 3 49 65 9 +56 44.48 +4.52
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 30 19 4 7 42 58 24 +34 38.71 +3.29
4 Braga 30 15 7 8 37 40 32 +8 30.39 +6.61
5 Vitoria Setubal 30 13 8 9 34 43 28 +15 30.79 +3.21
6 Boavista 30 12 7 11 31 36 31 +5 30.34 +0.66
7 Vitoria Guimaraes 30 14 3 13 31 41 41 0 32.00 -1.00
8 Rio Ave 30 11 7 12 29 35 35 0 27.50 +1.50
9 Varzim 30 10 9 11 29 32 39 -7 26.58 +2.42
10 Portimonense 30 10 6 14 26 27 37 -10 30.96 -4.96
11 Salgueiros 30 6 9 15 21 23 41 -18 25.50 -4.50
12 Farense 30 5 11 14 21 29 54 -25 23.41 -2.41
13 Estoril 30 6 9 15 21 22 51 -29 24.17 -3.17
14 Penafiel 30 7 7 16 21 18 55 -37 21.32 -0.32
15 R.D. Agueda 30 7 5 18 19 25 55 -30 24.26 -5.26
16 Espinho 30 5 7 18 17 19 45 -26 23.92 -6.92

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Benfica 2098 52 45.69 +6.31 97.7% 32 40 43 46 48 52 58
Porto 2066 49 44.48 +4.52 91.3% 27 38 42 45 47 50 57
Sporting Clube de Portugal 1981 42 38.71 +3.29 83.0% 24 32 36 39 41 45 52
Vitoria Setubal 1828 34 30.79 +3.21 82.2% 16 24 28 31 34 37 48
Braga 1823 37 30.39 +6.61 96.2% 15 24 28 30 33 37 48
Vitoria Guimaraes 1786 31 32.00 -1.00 44.8% 17 25 29 32 35 39 46
Boavista 1775 31 30.34 +0.66 61.4% 15 24 28 30 33 37 47
Rio Ave 1724 29 27.50 +1.50 68.8% 13 21 25 27 30 34 41
Portimonense 1723 26 30.96 -4.96 13.2% 16 24 28 31 34 37 46
Varzim 1709 29 26.58 +2.42 77.0% 13 20 24 27 29 33 41
Salgueiros 1653 21 25.50 -4.50 16.0% 10 19 23 25 28 32 41
Estoril 1630 21 24.17 -3.17 24.6% 10 18 22 24 27 31 40
Espinho 1621 17 23.92 -6.92 4.9% 11 18 21 24 27 30 40
R.D. Agueda 1618 19 24.26 -5.26 11.7% 9 18 22 24 27 31 40
Farense 1601 21 23.41 -2.41 31.0% 8 17 21 23 26 30 41
Penafiel 1597 21 21.32 -0.32 52.3% 6 15 19 21 24 28 39

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team BEN BOA BRA ESP EST FAR PEN POR POR RA RA SAL SCDP VAR VG VS
Benfica
2-0-0
4.25
1-1-0
4.19
2-0-0
4.74
1-1-0
4.51
2-0-0
4.84
2-0-0
4.85
2-0-0
4.45
1-0-1
2.90
2-0-0
4.73
2-0-0
4.49
2-0-0
4.81
1-1-0
3.49
1-1-0
4.69
1-0-1
4.43
2-0-0
4.10
Boavista
0-0-2
1.34
0-0-2
2.90
0-2-0
3.24
1-1-0
3.33
1-1-0
3.42
1-1-0
3.57
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
1.33
2-0-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
3.41
0-1-1
2.06
2-0-0
3.09
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.79
Braga
0-1-1
1.39
2-0-0
2.64
2-0-0
3.44
1-0-1
3.38
1-1-0
3.39
0-1-1
3.62
1-1-0
2.88
0-0-2
1.53
2-0-0
3.19
1-1-0
2.92
1-1-0
3.23
2-0-0
1.92
0-1-1
3.14
1-0-1
2.73
1-0-1
2.78
Espinho
0-0-2
0.89
0-2-0
2.31
0-0-2
2.09
1-1-0
2.71
1-0-1
2.85
0-2-0
2.98
0-0-2
2.02
0-0-2
0.96
2-0-0
2.69
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-2
1.35
0-0-2
2.49
0-0-2
2.09
0-1-1
2.01
Estoril
0-1-1
1.10
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.15
0-1-1
2.82
0-1-1
2.86
1-0-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.14
0-1-1
0.85
0-2-0
2.68
1-0-1
2.29
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
1.33
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.05
0-0-2
2.13
Farense
0-0-2
0.78
0-1-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.68
1-1-0
2.67
1-1-0
2.86
0-2-0
1.98
0-0-2
0.95
0-1-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.38
0-1-1
2.59
0-0-2
1.38
0-1-1
2.43
1-0-1
1.83
1-1-0
2.16
Penafiel
0-0-2
0.79
0-1-1
1.98
1-1-0
1.93
0-2-0
2.56
1-0-1
2.53
0-1-1
2.68
1-0-1
1.66
0-0-2
0.76
1-0-1
2.49
1-0-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.34
0-0-2
1.18
0-1-1
2.21
1-0-1
1.63
0-1-1
1.84
Portimonense
0-0-2
1.14
1-0-1
2.92
0-1-1
2.66
2-0-0
3.53
1-0-1
3.41
0-2-0
3.57
1-0-1
3.90
1-0-1
1.22
1-0-1
3.35
0-1-1
3.00
1-1-0
3.30
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-1
3.31
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.78
Porto
1-0-1
2.63
1-0-1
4.24
2-0-0
4.04
2-0-0
4.64
1-1-0
4.77
2-0-0
4.67
2-0-0
4.87
1-0-1
4.35
2-0-0
4.42
1-1-0
4.47
1-1-0
4.53
2-0-0
3.39
1-1-0
4.49
2-0-0
3.97
1-1-0
4.10
R.D. Agueda
0-0-2
0.88
0-0-2
2.24
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
2.85
0-2-0
2.86
1-1-0
2.80
1-0-1
3.05
1-0-1
2.19
0-0-2
1.18
1-0-1
2.41
1-1-0
2.59
0-0-2
1.18
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
1.93
0-1-1
1.96
Rio Ave
0-0-2
1.10
1-0-1
2.44
0-1-1
2.61
1-1-0
3.11
1-0-1
3.25
1-1-0
3.16
1-0-1
3.38
1-1-0
2.54
0-1-1
1.12
1-0-1
3.13
1-1-0
2.91
1-0-1
1.41
0-1-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.47
Salgueiros
0-0-2
0.81
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.89
1-0-1
2.90
1-1-0
2.94
1-0-1
3.19
0-1-1
2.24
0-1-1
1.05
0-1-1
2.94
0-1-1
2.62
0-1-1
1.69
0-1-1
2.65
1-0-1
2.11
0-1-1
2.43
Sporting Clube de Portugal
0-1-1
2.05
1-1-0
3.49
0-0-2
3.63
2-0-0
4.22
1-1-0
4.26
2-0-0
4.21
2-0-0
4.40
2-0-0
3.31
0-0-2
2.15
2-0-0
4.40
1-0-1
4.14
1-1-0
3.87
2-0-0
3.83
1-0-1
3.26
2-0-0
3.57
Varzim
0-1-1
0.92
0-0-2
2.45
1-1-0
2.40
2-0-0
3.05
1-0-1
3.00
1-1-0
3.10
1-1-0
3.33
1-0-1
2.24
0-1-1
1.11
1-0-1
2.93
1-1-0
2.65
1-1-0
2.89
0-0-2
1.74
0-1-1
2.25
0-1-1
2.40
Vitoria Guimaraes
1-0-1
1.15
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
2.81
2-0-0
3.46
1-1-0
3.50
1-0-1
3.72
1-0-1
3.93
1-0-1
2.78
0-0-2
1.59
1-0-1
3.61
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
3.42
1-0-1
2.29
1-1-0
3.29
0-0-2
2.91
Vitoria Setubal
0-0-2
1.48
1-0-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.75
1-1-0
3.52
2-0-0
3.42
0-1-1
3.39
1-1-0
3.71
1-1-0
2.77
0-1-1
1.47
1-1-0
3.58
1-0-1
3.06
1-1-0
3.12
0-0-2
1.98
1-1-0
3.14
2-0-0
2.64

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

Slope
Scored 0.92 +5.5
Allowed 0.81 -7.3
Differential 0.96 +3.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.25%12.71%7.08%2.92%1.46%1.67%37.08%
112.71%10.42%4.79%1.88%1.46%1.25%32.50%
27.08%4.79%0.42%1.67%0.62%1.04%15.62%
32.92%1.88%1.67%0.42%0.21%7.08%
41.46%1.46%0.62%0.21%3.75%
5+1.67%1.25%1.04%3.96%
Total37.08%32.50%15.62%7.08%3.75%3.96%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 1.25 +0.00
SD 1.50 1.50 2.22
CV 1.20 1.20
Max 8 8 +8
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0
120.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%40.00%
216.67%3.33%20.00%
36.67%6.67%13.33%
46.67%6.67%
5+13.33%6.67%20.00%
Total56.67%23.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.87 0.73 +2.13
SD 2.32 1.05 2.60
CV 0.81 1.43
Max 8 4 +8
Min 1 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%40.00%
113.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%26.67%
210.00%6.67%16.67%
36.67%6.67%
43.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
5+
Total43.33%30.00%13.33%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.20 1.03 +0.17
SD 1.32 1.22 1.76
CV 1.10 1.18
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%3.33%30.00%
110.00%20.00%30.00%
213.33%10.00%23.33%
36.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total33.33%46.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.07 +0.27
SD 1.24 1.36 2.13
CV 0.93 1.28
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%23.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%63.33%
110.00%6.67%3.33%20.00%
23.33%10.00%13.33%
3
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total30.00%30.00%13.33%20.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.63 1.50 -0.87
SD 1.10 1.48 1.76
CV 1.73 0.99
Max 5 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%10.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%46.67%
113.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%40.00%
23.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
3
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total30.00%26.67%20.00%10.00%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.73 1.70 -0.97
SD 0.91 1.90 1.99
CV 1.24 1.12
Max 4 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%43.33%
13.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%30.00%
23.33%3.33%10.00%16.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total23.33%40.00%16.67%3.33%3.33%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.97 1.80 -0.83
SD 1.10 2.02 2.10
CV 1.14 1.12
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%6.67%53.33%
113.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%6.67%36.67%
26.67%6.67%
33.33%3.33%
4
5+
Total36.67%26.67%6.67%10.00%6.67%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.60 1.83 -1.23
SD 0.77 2.29 2.50
CV 1.28 1.25
Max 3 8 +2
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%46.67%
110.00%6.67%10.00%26.67%
210.00%3.33%3.33%16.67%
36.67%3.33%10.00%
4
5+
Total36.67%23.33%30.00%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.90 1.23 -0.33
SD 1.03 1.33 1.94
CV 1.14 1.08
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%6.67%20.00%
130.00%3.33%3.33%36.67%
213.33%13.33%
33.33%6.67%10.00%
46.67%6.67%
5+6.67%6.67%13.33%
Total73.33%23.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.17 0.30 +1.87
SD 2.34 0.53 2.33
CV 1.08 1.78
Max 8 2 +8
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%16.67%10.00%3.33%40.00%
113.33%6.67%10.00%6.67%10.00%46.67%
23.33%3.33%6.67%
33.33%3.33%
43.33%3.33%
5+
Total30.00%26.67%20.00%6.67%16.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.83 -1.00
SD 0.95 1.95 2.20
CV 1.14 1.06
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%30.00%
113.33%13.33%6.67%6.67%3.33%43.33%
26.67%6.67%3.33%16.67%
33.33%3.33%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total33.33%36.67%13.33%13.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.17 +0.00
SD 1.21 1.15 1.70
CV 1.03 0.98
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%16.67%13.33%3.33%6.67%56.67%
110.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%30.00%
23.33%3.33%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
4
5+3.33%3.33%
Total26.67%33.33%23.33%10.00%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.77 1.37 -0.60
SD 1.30 1.19 1.67
CV 1.70 0.87
Max 6 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%13.33%20.00%
113.33%6.67%10.00%30.00%
210.00%10.00%20.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
5+3.33%3.33%3.33%10.00%
Total40.00%40.00%20.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.93 0.80 +1.13
SD 1.68 0.76 1.78
CV 0.87 0.95
Max 6 2 +6
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%10.00%6.67%33.33%
110.00%23.33%33.33%
210.00%6.67%10.00%26.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%
4
5+
Total26.67%43.33%13.33%6.67%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.30 -0.23
SD 0.94 1.24 1.50
CV 0.89 0.95
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%40.00%
110.00%6.67%3.33%20.00%
213.33%10.00%23.33%
33.33%3.33%
43.33%6.67%10.00%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total30.00%36.67%20.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.37 +0.00
SD 1.56 1.63 2.55
CV 1.14 1.19
Max 6 8 +5
Min 0 0 -8

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%16.67%30.00%
110.00%10.00%6.67%3.33%30.00%
210.00%3.33%3.33%16.67%
36.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%16.67%
43.33%3.33%
5+3.33%3.33%
Total43.33%33.33%10.00%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 0.93 +0.50
SD 1.36 1.05 1.55
CV 0.95 1.12
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Braga 37 30.39 +6.61
2 Benfica 52 45.69 +6.31
3 Porto 49 44.48 +4.52
4 Sporting Clube de Portugal 42 38.71 +3.29
5 Vitoria Setubal 34 30.79 +3.21

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Espinho 17 23.92 -6.92
2 R.D. Agueda 19 24.26 -5.26
3 Portimonense 26 30.96 -4.96
4 Salgueiros 21 25.50 -4.50
5 Estoril 21 24.17 -3.17

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Braga 6 Apr 1 – May 13 1 in 1,378
2 Benfica 12 Oct 9 – Feb 12 1 in 186
3 Vitoria Setubal 5 Feb 26 – Mar 25 1 in 68
4 Porto 7 Feb 12 – Mar 25 1 in 45
5 Portimonense 4 Sep 11 – Oct 9 1 in 34

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Vitoria Guimaraes 4 Mar 4 – Mar 25 1 in 36
2 Espinho 5 Sep 3 – Oct 9 1 in 32
3 R.D. Agueda 4 Apr 8 – May 6 1 in 31
4 Farense 4 Mar 4 – Mar 25 1 in 15
5 Portimonense 3 Oct 16 – Nov 27 1 in 14

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Estoril 5 Jan 22 – Feb 26 1 in 86
2 Braga 7 Mar 25 – May 13 1 in 29
3 Varzim 5 Mar 18 – Apr 15 1 in 23
4 Benfica 20 Aug 28 – Mar 4 1 in 21
5 Rio Ave 4 Apr 8 – May 6 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Farense 15 Jan 15 – May 6 1 in 181
2 Estoril 11 Oct 9 – Feb 5 1 in 32
3 Espinho 9 Aug 28 – Nov 27 1 in 30
4 Salgueiros 9 Feb 26 – Apr 29 1 in 26
5 R.D. Agueda 9 Mar 18 – May 20 1 in 23

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Benfica57.93%34.55%6.82%0.53%0.16%0.01%
Porto38.01%48.80%11.14%1.62%0.26%0.13%0.02%0.01%0.01%
Sporting Clube de Portugal3.88%14.61%56.74%14.23%5.32%2.36%1.48%0.72%0.32%0.14%0.15%0.05%
Braga0.04%0.26%3.85%12.89%14.52%14.10%12.63%11.56%8.94%6.78%5.19%3.88%2.70%1.53%0.79%0.34%
Vitoria Setubal0.04%0.29%4.83%15.51%15.65%14.50%12.94%9.82%8.55%5.96%4.53%2.91%2.26%1.32%0.67%0.22%
Boavista0.01%0.30%3.58%12.16%14.18%14.68%12.54%11.55%9.62%6.81%4.86%3.80%2.79%1.67%1.04%0.41%
Vitoria Guimaraes0.05%0.80%7.01%19.85%17.37%15.07%11.98%8.49%6.83%4.61%3.14%2.15%1.42%0.76%0.34%0.13%
Rio Ave0.03%0.84%4.10%6.68%7.86%10.17%10.59%11.49%10.95%10.23%8.55%7.01%5.44%3.75%2.31%
Varzim0.01%0.55%2.55%4.03%5.51%7.54%9.26%11.23%12.41%11.50%10.24%9.07%7.27%5.60%3.23%
Portimonense0.04%0.33%4.11%13.51%14.89%14.39%13.12%11.13%9.07%6.73%4.74%3.15%2.41%1.46%0.73%0.19%
Salgueiros0.02%0.22%1.17%2.40%3.64%5.15%7.53%8.65%10.61%12.11%12.12%10.74%10.67%9.07%5.90%
Farense0.02%0.36%0.79%1.41%2.43%3.66%5.06%6.89%8.73%11.57%13.51%14.81%15.86%14.90%
Estoril0.06%0.54%1.23%2.06%3.02%4.39%5.92%8.29%10.32%11.35%12.94%14.02%14.04%11.82%
Penafiel0.01%0.07%0.21%0.49%0.80%1.63%2.36%3.33%4.79%7.17%9.57%13.55%19.75%36.27%
R.D. Agueda0.13%0.46%1.22%1.86%3.34%5.21%6.53%8.30%9.97%11.46%12.34%13.57%13.70%11.91%
Espinho0.09%0.45%1.09%1.93%2.84%4.46%5.42%8.18%9.74%11.60%13.24%13.93%14.66%12.37%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+37.50%
Strong Edge
57.50%22.50%20.00%
Elo Value
Home Edge
158 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0136.97400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.95 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.87+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
2.1
Top-Heavy
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
58%
Benfica, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Photo Finish
00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 3.15 * Some Luck: 3.15 to 4.73 * Lucky: 4.73 to 6.3 * Wild Swing: 6.3 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.68 * Close: 1.68 to 2.52 * Off: 2.52 to 3.36 * Way Off: 3.36 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
4.12 points
Some Luck
03.9410
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.62
Pinpoint
02.105
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
97.67%
Benfica
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
4.92%
Espinho
050
Season Outliers
Expected
3 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.19
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.94
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
76%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 97%
95%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
61%
Very Frequent
0%50%100%
Blowouts
Expected
20%
Frequent
0%26%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.49
Highly Predictable
00.522
Matchup Imbalance
0.60
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.12
Wilder Than Modeled
01.002
Repeatability
0.84
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
14%
Chalky
0%16%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
12%
Solid Favorites
0%14%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.09 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.09 to 0.14 * Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Probability calibration
0.63
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.27
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.028
Well Within Noise
00.0930.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Direct relegation
Benfica 100%
Porto 100%
Sporting Clube de Portugal 100%
Vitoria Guimaraes 98.77% 1.23%
Vitoria Setubal 97.79% 2.21%
Portimonense 97.62% 2.38%
Braga 97.34% 2.66%
Boavista 96.88% 3.12%
Rio Ave 88.50% 11.50%
Varzim 83.90% 16.10%
Salgueiros 74.36% 25.64%
R.D. Agueda 60.82% 39.18%
Estoril 60.12% 39.88%
Espinho 59.04% 40.96%
Farense 54.43% 45.57%
Penafiel 30.43% 69.57%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
1983-08-28 Boavista D 1-1 1699 1769 55.5% 23.7% 20.8% -1.9 1
1983-08-28 @ Espinho D 1-1 1769 1699 20.8% 23.7% 55.5% +1.9 1
1983-08-28 R.D. Agueda D 0-0 1696 1675 63.5% 23.1% 13.3% -3.3 1
1983-08-28 @ Estoril D 0-0 1675 1696 13.3% 23.1% 63.5% +3.3 1
1983-08-28 Farense D 2-2 1826 1629 73.7% 20.9% 5.5% -3.1 1
1983-08-28 @ Portimonense D 2-2 1629 1826 5.5% 20.9% 73.7% +3.1 1
1983-08-28 Salgueiros W 1-0 2005 1708 77.6% 19.1% 3.3% +1.0 2
1983-08-28 @ Porto L 0-1 1708 2005 3.3% 19.1% 77.6% -1.0 0
1983-08-28 Braga D 1-1 1710 1744 59.0% 23.5% 17.5% -2.4 1
1983-08-28 @ Rio Ave D 1-1 1744 1710 17.5% 23.5% 59.0% +2.4 1
1983-08-28 Penafiel W 5-1 1897 1597 77.7% 19.0% 3.2% +3.0 2
1983-08-28 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-5 1597 1897 3.2% 19.0% 77.7% -3.0 0
1983-08-28 Varzim W 2-0 1801 1701 68.8% 22.3% 8.9% +5.4 2
1983-08-28 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1701 1801 8.9% 22.3% 68.8% -5.3 0
1983-08-28 Benfica L 2-3 1762 2015 32.2% 23.5% 44.3% -7.7 0
1983-08-28 @ Vitoria Setubal W 3-2 2015 1762 44.3% 23.5% 32.2% +7.7 2
1983-09-03 Rio Ave W 1-0 2023 1708 78.2% 18.8% 3.0% +0.9 4
1983-09-03 @ Benfica L 0-1 1708 2023 3.0% 18.8% 78.2% -0.9 1
1983-09-03 Vitoria Guimaraes D 0-0 1771 1807 58.7% 23.5% 17.7% -2.6 2
1983-09-03 @ Boavista D 0-0 1807 1771 17.7% 23.5% 58.7% +2.6 3
1983-09-03 Estoril W 1-0 1746 1693 65.8% 22.8% 11.4% +3.6 3
1983-09-03 @ Braga L 0-1 1693 1746 11.4% 22.8% 65.8% -3.6 1
1983-09-03 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1632 1755 49.6% 23.8% 26.6% +7.0 3
1983-09-03 @ Farense L 1-2 1755 1632 26.6% 23.8% 49.6% -7.0 0
1983-09-03 Portimonense W 1-0 1594 1823 35.4% 23.6% 41.0% +10.4 2
1983-09-03 @ Penafiel L 0-1 1823 1594 41.0% 23.6% 35.4% -10.4 1
1983-09-03 Porto L 0-2 1679 2006 23.4% 22.9% 53.7% -12.5 1
1983-09-03 @ R.D. Agueda W 2-0 2006 1679 53.7% 22.9% 23.4% +12.5 4
1983-09-03 Espinho W 1-0 1707 1697 62.7% 23.2% 14.1% +4.4 2
1983-09-03 @ Salgueiros L 0-1 1697 1707 14.1% 23.2% 62.7% -4.4 1
1983-09-03 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1695 1900 38.7% 23.7% 37.5% -10.0 0
1983-09-03 @ Varzim W 1-0 1900 1695 37.5% 23.7% 38.7% +10.0 4
1983-09-11 Benfica L 1-4 1689 2024 22.7% 22.8% 54.5% -14.9 1
1983-09-11 @ Estoril W 4-1 2024 1689 54.5% 22.8% 22.7% +14.9 6
1983-09-11 Varzim W 2-0 1812 1685 70.3% 21.9% 7.8% +4.7 3
1983-09-11 @ Portimonense L 0-2 1685 1812 7.8% 21.9% 70.3% -4.7 0
1983-09-11 Espinho W 4-0 2018 1693 78.6% 18.6% 2.9% +3.1 6
1983-09-11 @ Porto L 0-4 1693 2018 2.9% 18.6% 78.6% -3.1 1
1983-09-11 Braga L 0-2 1666 1749 54.0% 23.8% 22.2% -25.1 1
1983-09-11 @ R.D. Agueda W 2-0 1749 1666 22.2% 23.8% 54.0% +25.1 5
1983-09-11 Farense W 1-0 1707 1639 66.8% 22.7% 10.5% +3.3 3
1983-09-11 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1639 1707 10.5% 22.7% 66.8% -3.3 3
1983-09-11 Boavista W 3-2 1910 1768 71.1% 21.7% 7.2% +2.1 6
1983-09-11 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-3 1768 1910 7.2% 21.7% 71.1% -2.1 2
1983-09-11 Salgueiros W 4-0 1809 1712 68.7% 22.3% 9.0% +10.3 5
1983-09-11 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-4 1712 1809 9.0% 22.3% 68.7% -10.3 2
1983-09-11 Penafiel W 5-0 1748 1605 71.1% 21.7% 7.2% +10.2 2
1983-09-11 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-5 1605 1748 7.2% 21.7% 71.1% -10.2 2
1983-09-25 R.D. Agueda W 2-0 2039 1641 80.9% 17.1% 2.0% +1.1 8
1983-09-25 @ Benfica L 0-2 1641 2039 2.0% 17.1% 80.9% -1.1 1
1983-09-25 Portimonense L 2-3 1766 1817 57.3% 23.6% 19.0% -12.6 2
1983-09-25 @ Boavista W 3-2 1817 1766 19.0% 23.6% 57.3% +12.6 5
1983-09-25 Porto L 0-1 1775 2021 33.0% 23.5% 43.5% -8.8 5
1983-09-25 @ Braga W 1-0 2021 1775 43.5% 23.5% 33.0% +8.8 8
1983-09-25 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1690 1820 48.7% 23.9% 27.5% -12.1 1
1983-09-25 @ Espinho W 1-0 1820 1690 27.5% 23.9% 48.7% +12.1 7
1983-09-25 Estoril W 3-1 1636 1675 58.5% 23.6% 17.9% +8.8 5
1983-09-25 @ Farense L 1-3 1675 1636 17.9% 23.6% 58.5% -8.8 1
1983-09-25 Rio Ave L 0-1 1594 1710 50.3% 23.8% 25.8% -12.5 2
1983-09-25 @ Penafiel W 1-0 1710 1594 25.8% 23.8% 50.3% +12.5 5
1983-09-25 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 1701 1912 37.9% 23.7% 38.4% +0.0 3
1983-09-25 @ Salgueiros D 1-1 1912 1701 38.4% 23.7% 37.9% -0.0 7
1983-09-25 Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1680 1758 54.7% 23.8% 21.6% -1.8 1
1983-09-25 @ Varzim D 1-1 1758 1680 21.6% 23.8% 54.7% +1.8 3
1983-10-01 Benfica D 1-1 1766 2040 29.5% 23.3% 47.2% +0.9 6
1983-10-01 @ Braga D 1-1 2040 1766 47.2% 23.3% 29.5% -0.9 9
1983-10-01 Penafiel W 1-0 1666 1582 67.8% 22.5% 9.7% +3.1 3
1983-10-01 @ Estoril L 0-1 1582 1666 9.7% 22.5% 67.8% -3.1 2
1983-10-01 Salgueiros W 1-0 1830 1701 70.4% 21.9% 7.7% +2.5 7
1983-10-01 @ Portimonense L 0-1 1701 1830 7.7% 21.9% 70.4% -2.5 3
1983-10-01 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 2030 1832 73.7% 20.8% 5.4% +3.3 10
1983-10-01 @ Porto L 0-2 1832 2030 5.4% 20.8% 73.7% -3.2 7
1983-10-01 Farense D 1-1 1640 1645 61.5% 23.3% 15.2% -2.7 2
1983-10-01 @ R.D. Agueda D 1-1 1645 1640 15.2% 23.3% 61.5% +2.7 6
1983-10-01 Varzim D 1-1 1723 1679 65.2% 22.9% 11.9% -3.2 6
1983-10-01 @ Rio Ave D 1-1 1679 1723 11.9% 22.9% 65.2% +3.2 2
1983-10-01 Espinho W 2-0 1912 1678 75.3% 20.2% 4.5% +2.7 9
1983-10-01 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1678 1912 4.5% 20.2% 75.3% -2.7 1
1983-10-01 Boavista L 0-1 1760 1753 62.4% 23.3% 14.4% -15.3 3
1983-10-01 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1753 1760 14.4% 23.3% 62.4% +15.3 4
1983-10-09 Porto W 1-0 2039 2033 62.3% 23.3% 14.4% +4.5 11
1983-10-09 @ Benfica L 0-1 2033 2039 14.4% 23.3% 62.3% -4.4 10
1983-10-09 Rio Ave W 1-0 1769 1720 65.6% 22.9% 11.6% +3.6 6
1983-10-09 @ Boavista L 0-1 1720 1769 11.6% 22.9% 65.6% -3.6 6
1983-10-09 Portimonense L 0-1 1675 1832 45.2% 23.8% 30.9% -11.3 1
1983-10-09 @ Espinho W 1-0 1832 1675 30.9% 23.8% 45.2% +11.3 9
1983-10-09 Braga D 1-1 1647 1767 49.9% 23.8% 26.2% -1.3 7
1983-10-09 @ Farense D 1-1 1767 1647 26.2% 23.8% 49.9% +1.3 7
1983-10-09 R.D. Agueda W 1-0 1579 1637 56.6% 23.7% 19.7% +5.8 4
1983-10-09 @ Penafiel L 0-1 1637 1579 19.7% 23.7% 56.6% -5.8 2
1983-10-09 Vitoria Setubal D 3-3 1699 1744 57.9% 23.6% 18.5% -1.4 4
1983-10-09 @ Salgueiros D 3-3 1744 1699 18.5% 23.6% 57.9% +1.4 4
1983-10-09 Estoril W 1-0 1682 1669 62.9% 23.2% 13.9% +4.3 4
1983-10-09 @ Varzim L 0-1 1669 1682 13.9% 23.2% 62.9% -4.3 3
1983-10-09 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1829 1915 53.7% 23.8% 22.5% +6.1 9
1983-10-09 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1915 1829 22.5% 23.8% 53.7% -6.1 9
1983-10-16 Farense W 6-2 2043 1646 80.9% 17.1% 2.0% +1.5 13
1983-10-16 @ Benfica L 2-6 1646 2043 2.0% 17.1% 80.9% -1.5 7
1983-10-16 Penafiel D 1-1 1768 1585 73.1% 21.1% 5.9% -4.1 8
1983-10-16 @ Braga D 1-1 1585 1768 5.9% 21.1% 73.1% +4.1 5
1983-10-16 Boavista D 0-0 1665 1772 51.3% 23.8% 24.9% -1.6 4
1983-10-16 @ Estoril D 0-0 1772 1665 24.9% 23.8% 51.3% +1.6 7
1983-10-16 Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1843 1835 62.6% 23.2% 14.2% -29.0 9
1983-10-16 @ Portimonense W 2-0 1835 1843 14.2% 23.2% 62.6% +29.0 11
1983-10-16 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 2029 1909 69.9% 22.0% 8.1% +2.6 12
1983-10-16 @ Porto L 0-1 1909 2029 8.1% 22.0% 69.9% -2.6 9
1983-10-16 Varzim W 1-0 1631 1686 57.0% 23.6% 19.4% +5.8 4
1983-10-16 @ R.D. Agueda L 0-1 1686 1631 19.4% 23.6% 57.0% -5.8 4
1983-10-16 Salgueiros W 2-0 1716 1697 63.3% 23.2% 13.5% +7.9 8
1983-10-16 @ Rio Ave L 0-2 1697 1716 13.5% 23.2% 63.3% -7.9 4
1983-10-16 Espinho D 0-0 1746 1664 67.7% 22.5% 9.8% -3.9 5
1983-10-16 @ Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1664 1746 9.8% 22.5% 67.7% +3.9 2
1983-11-20 R.D. Agueda W 4-1 1774 1637 70.8% 21.8% 7.4% +5.5 9
1983-11-20 @ Boavista L 1-4 1637 1774 7.4% 21.8% 70.8% -5.5 4
1983-11-20 Rio Ave L 2-3 1668 1724 56.8% 23.7% 19.5% -12.5 2
1983-11-20 @ Espinho W 3-2 1724 1668 19.5% 23.7% 56.8% +12.5 10
1983-11-20 Porto L 0-2 1645 2031 17.8% 22.2% 60.0% -9.8 7
1983-11-20 @ Farense W 2-0 2031 1645 60.0% 22.2% 17.8% +9.8 14
1983-11-20 Benfica L 0-3 1589 2045 12.8% 21.2% 66.0% -10.5 5
1983-11-20 @ Penafiel W 3-0 2045 1589 66.0% 21.2% 12.8% +10.5 15
1983-11-20 Estoril W 6-2 1690 1663 63.9% 23.1% 13.0% +10.2 6
1983-11-20 @ Salgueiros L 2-6 1663 1690 13.0% 23.1% 63.9% -10.2 4
1983-11-20 Portimonense W 3-0 1906 1814 68.3% 22.4% 9.3% +8.1 11
1983-11-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-3 1814 1906 9.3% 22.4% 68.3% -8.1 9
1983-11-20 Braga W 2-0 1680 1764 54.0% 23.8% 22.2% +12.2 6
1983-11-20 @ Varzim L 0-2 1764 1680 22.2% 23.8% 54.0% -12.2 8
1983-11-20 Vitoria Setubal L 3-4 1864 1742 70.0% 22.0% 8.0% -15.0 11
1983-11-20 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 4-3 1742 1864 8.0% 22.0% 70.0% +15.0 7
1983-11-27 Varzim W 2-0 2055 1693 79.8% 17.8% 2.4% +1.3 17
1983-11-27 @ Benfica L 0-2 1693 2055 2.4% 17.8% 79.8% -1.3 6
1983-11-27 Boavista W 2-1 1752 1780 59.5% 23.5% 17.0% +4.8 10
1983-11-27 @ Braga L 1-2 1780 1752 17.0% 23.5% 59.5% -4.8 9
1983-11-27 Espinho D 1-1 1653 1655 61.7% 23.3% 15.0% -2.7 5
1983-11-27 @ Estoril D 1-1 1655 1653 15.0% 23.3% 61.7% +2.7 3
1983-11-27 Penafiel W 4-1 1635 1578 66.1% 22.8% 11.2% +8.1 9
1983-11-27 @ Farense L 1-4 1578 1635 11.2% 22.8% 66.1% -8.1 5
1983-11-27 Portimonense W 2-0 2041 1806 75.3% 20.2% 4.5% +2.7 16
1983-11-27 @ Porto L 0-2 1806 2041 4.5% 20.2% 75.3% -2.7 9
1983-11-27 Salgueiros W 4-0 1632 1700 55.6% 23.7% 20.7% +21.7 6
1983-11-27 @ R.D. Agueda L 0-4 1700 1632 20.7% 23.7% 55.6% -21.7 6
1983-11-27 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1736 1849 50.8% 23.8% 25.4% +13.6 12
1983-11-27 @ Rio Ave L 0-2 1849 1736 25.4% 23.8% 50.8% -13.6 11
1983-11-27 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1757 1914 45.2% 23.8% 31.0% -11.3 7
1983-11-27 @ Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1914 1757 31.0% 23.8% 45.2% +11.3 13
1983-12-04 Benfica L 1-2 1775 2056 28.5% 23.3% 48.2% -7.4 9
1983-12-04 @ Boavista W 2-1 2056 1775 48.2% 23.3% 28.5% +7.4 19
1983-12-04 R.D. Agueda W 1-0 1658 1653 62.2% 23.3% 14.5% +4.5 5
1983-12-04 @ Espinho L 0-1 1653 1658 14.5% 23.3% 62.2% -4.5 6
1983-12-04 Porto L 0-1 1570 2044 11.8% 20.9% 67.4% -3.5 5
1983-12-04 @ Penafiel W 1-0 2044 1570 67.4% 20.9% 11.8% +3.5 18
1983-12-04 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1804 1745 66.2% 22.8% 11.1% -3.7 10
1983-12-04 @ Portimonense D 0-0 1745 1804 11.1% 22.8% 66.2% +3.7 8
1983-12-04 Braga D 0-0 1678 1756 54.5% 23.8% 21.7% -2.0 7
1983-12-04 @ Salgueiros D 0-0 1756 1678 21.7% 23.8% 54.5% +2.0 11
1983-12-04 Rio Ave W 4-1 1925 1750 72.7% 21.2% 6.1% +4.5 15
1983-12-04 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-4 1750 1925 6.1% 21.2% 72.7% -4.5 12
1983-12-04 Farense W 2-0 1691 1643 65.5% 22.9% 11.6% +6.9 8
1983-12-04 @ Varzim L 0-2 1643 1691 11.6% 22.9% 65.5% -6.9 9
1983-12-04 Estoril W 2-0 1835 1650 73.2% 21.1% 5.8% +3.5 13
1983-12-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1650 1835 5.8% 21.1% 73.2% -3.5 5
1983-12-11 Salgueiros W 3-0 2064 1676 80.6% 17.3% 2.1% +1.7 21
1983-12-11 @ Benfica L 0-3 1676 2064 2.1% 17.3% 80.6% -1.7 7
1983-12-11 Espinho W 2-0 1759 1662 68.6% 22.3% 9.1% +5.5 13
1983-12-11 @ Braga L 0-2 1662 1759 9.1% 22.3% 68.6% -5.5 5
1983-12-11 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1646 1930 28.3% 23.3% 48.4% +1.2 6
1983-12-11 @ Estoril D 0-0 1930 1646 48.4% 23.3% 28.3% -1.2 16
1983-12-11 Boavista D 0-0 1636 1767 48.5% 23.9% 27.7% -1.3 10
1983-12-11 @ Farense D 0-0 1767 1636 27.7% 23.9% 48.5% +1.2 10
1983-12-11 Varzim D 1-1 1567 1698 48.5% 23.9% 27.7% -1.1 6
1983-12-11 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1698 1567 27.7% 23.9% 48.5% +1.1 9
1983-12-11 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 2048 1749 77.7% 19.1% 3.3% +1.0 20
1983-12-11 @ Porto L 0-1 1749 2048 3.3% 19.1% 77.7% -1.0 8
1983-12-11 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1649 1839 40.8% 23.8% 35.4% +25.5 8
1983-12-11 @ R.D. Agueda L 0-3 1839 1649 35.4% 23.8% 40.8% -25.5 13
1983-12-11 Portimonense W 2-1 1745 1800 57.0% 23.6% 19.4% +5.4 14
1983-12-11 @ Rio Ave L 1-2 1800 1745 19.4% 23.6% 57.0% -5.4 10
1983-12-18 Penafiel W 4-0 1769 1566 73.9% 20.8% 5.3% +6.0 12
1983-12-18 @ Boavista L 0-4 1566 1769 5.3% 20.8% 73.9% -6.0 6
1983-12-18 Benfica L 0-2 1657 2066 16.1% 21.9% 62.1% -8.9 5
1983-12-18 @ Espinho W 2-0 2066 1657 62.1% 21.9% 16.1% +8.9 23
1983-12-18 Estoril W 2-0 1795 1648 71.3% 21.6% 7.0% +4.2 12
1983-12-18 @ Portimonense L 0-2 1648 1795 7.0% 21.6% 71.3% -4.2 6
1983-12-18 Farense W 1-0 1674 1635 64.9% 22.9% 12.2% +3.8 9
1983-12-18 @ Salgueiros L 0-1 1635 1674 12.2% 22.9% 64.9% -3.8 10
1983-12-18 R.D. Agueda W 5-2 1929 1674 76.0% 19.9% 4.1% +2.6 18
1983-12-18 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-5 1674 1929 4.1% 19.9% 76.0% -2.6 8
1983-12-18 Porto D 0-0 1699 2049 21.2% 22.6% 56.2% +2.2 10
1983-12-18 @ Varzim D 0-0 2049 1699 56.2% 22.6% 21.2% -2.2 21
1983-12-18 Braga W 2-0 1813 1764 65.6% 22.9% 11.6% +6.9 15
1983-12-18 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-2 1764 1813 11.6% 22.9% 65.6% -6.9 13
1983-12-18 Rio Ave W 3-0 1748 1751 61.7% 23.3% 15.0% +12.7 10
1983-12-18 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-3 1751 1748 15.0% 23.3% 61.7% -12.6 14
1984-01-07 Vitoria Guimaraes W 8-0 2074 1820 76.1% 19.9% 4.1% +8.8 25
1984-01-07 @ Benfica L 0-8 1820 2074 4.1% 19.9% 76.1% -8.8 15
1984-01-07 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1757 1931 43.0% 23.8% 33.2% +8.4 15
1984-01-07 @ Braga L 1-2 1931 1757 33.2% 23.8% 43.0% -8.4 18
1984-01-07 Vitoria Setubal L 1-3 1643 1761 50.2% 23.8% 26.0% -20.3 6
1984-01-07 @ Estoril W 3-1 1761 1643 26.0% 23.8% 50.2% +20.3 12
1984-01-07 Espinho W 3-0 1631 1648 60.5% 23.4% 16.1% +13.5 12
1984-01-07 @ Farense L 0-3 1648 1631 16.1% 23.4% 60.5% -13.5 5
1984-01-07 Salgueiros W 1-0 1560 1678 50.0% 23.8% 26.1% +7.4 8
1984-01-07 @ Penafiel L 0-1 1678 1560 26.1% 23.8% 50.0% -7.4 9
1984-01-07 Rio Ave W 3-1 2046 1738 78.0% 18.9% 3.1% +1.6 23
1984-01-07 @ Porto L 1-3 1738 2046 3.1% 18.9% 78.0% -1.6 14
1984-01-07 Portimonense W 2-1 1672 1799 49.0% 23.9% 27.1% +7.1 10
1984-01-07 @ R.D. Agueda L 1-2 1799 1672 27.1% 23.9% 49.0% -7.1 12
1984-01-07 Boavista L 2-4 1701 1775 55.1% 23.7% 21.2% -19.8 10
1984-01-07 @ Varzim W 4-2 1775 1701 21.2% 23.7% 55.1% +19.8 14
1984-01-15 Penafiel D 0-0 1634 1567 66.8% 22.7% 10.5% -3.8 6
1984-01-15 @ Espinho D 0-0 1567 1634 10.5% 22.7% 66.8% +3.8 9
1984-01-15 Braga D 1-1 1792 1766 63.9% 23.1% 13.0% -3.0 13
1984-01-15 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1766 1792 13.0% 23.1% 63.9% +3.0 16
1984-01-15 Boavista W 4-0 2048 1794 76.0% 19.9% 4.1% +4.6 25
1984-01-15 @ Porto L 0-4 1794 2048 4.1% 19.9% 76.0% -4.6 14
1984-01-15 Estoril W 4-0 1737 1623 69.5% 22.1% 8.3% +9.5 16
1984-01-15 @ Rio Ave L 0-4 1623 1737 8.3% 22.1% 69.5% -9.5 6
1984-01-15 Varzim D 0-0 1671 1682 61.0% 23.4% 15.6% -2.9 10
1984-01-15 @ Salgueiros D 0-0 1682 1671 15.6% 23.4% 61.0% +2.9 11
1984-01-15 Benfica L 0-1 1923 2083 44.8% 23.8% 31.4% -11.2 18
1984-01-15 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 2083 1923 31.4% 23.8% 44.8% +11.2 27
1984-01-15 Farense W 2-1 1811 1644 72.3% 21.3% 6.4% +1.9 17
1984-01-15 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1644 1811 6.4% 21.3% 72.3% -1.9 12
1984-01-15 R.D. Agueda W 2-1 1781 1679 68.9% 22.2% 8.9% +2.7 14
1984-01-15 @ Vitoria Setubal L 1-2 1679 1781 8.9% 22.2% 68.9% -2.7 10
1984-01-22 Portimonense W 1-0 2095 1789 77.9% 18.9% 3.1% +1.0 29
1984-01-22 @ Benfica L 0-1 1789 2095 3.1% 18.9% 77.9% -1.0 13
1984-01-22 Salgueiros W 2-1 1790 1668 70.0% 22.0% 8.0% +2.4 16
1984-01-22 @ Boavista L 1-2 1668 1790 8.0% 22.0% 70.0% -2.4 10
1984-01-22 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 1769 1784 60.6% 23.4% 16.0% +4.9 18
1984-01-22 @ Braga L 0-1 1784 1769 16.0% 23.4% 60.6% -4.9 14
1984-01-22 Porto D 0-0 1614 2053 13.9% 21.4% 64.7% +3.3 7
1984-01-22 @ Estoril D 0-0 2053 1614 64.7% 21.4% 13.9% -3.3 26
1984-01-22 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1642 1912 30.1% 23.4% 46.6% -7.7 12
1984-01-22 @ Farense W 2-1 1912 1642 46.6% 23.4% 30.1% +7.7 20
1984-01-22 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1571 1813 33.5% 23.5% 42.9% +10.8 11
1984-01-22 @ Penafiel L 0-1 1813 1571 42.9% 23.5% 33.5% -10.8 17
1984-01-22 Rio Ave W 1-0 1676 1746 55.4% 23.7% 20.8% +6.1 12
1984-01-22 @ R.D. Agueda L 0-1 1746 1676 20.8% 23.7% 55.4% -6.1 16
1984-01-22 Espinho W 3-1 1685 1631 65.9% 22.8% 11.3% +5.8 13
1984-01-22 @ Varzim L 1-3 1631 1685 11.3% 22.8% 65.9% -5.8 6
1984-02-05 Vitoria Setubal W 1-0 2096 1779 78.3% 18.7% 3.0% +0.9 31
1984-02-05 @ Benfica L 0-1 1779 2096 3.0% 18.7% 78.3% -0.9 14
1984-02-05 Espinho D 0-0 1792 1625 72.3% 21.3% 6.3% -4.5 17
1984-02-05 @ Boavista D 0-0 1625 1792 6.3% 21.3% 72.3% +4.5 7
1984-02-05 Rio Ave W 2-0 1773 1740 64.5% 23.0% 12.5% +7.4 20
1984-02-05 @ Braga L 0-2 1740 1773 12.5% 23.0% 64.5% -7.4 16
1984-02-05 Portimonense D 0-0 1635 1788 45.8% 23.8% 30.4% -0.9 13
1984-02-05 @ Farense D 0-0 1788 1635 30.4% 23.8% 45.8% +0.9 14
1984-02-05 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1582 1919 22.3% 22.8% 54.9% -6.0 11
1984-02-05 @ Penafiel W 2-1 1919 1582 54.9% 22.8% 22.3% +6.0 22
1984-02-05 Estoril D 1-1 1683 1617 66.7% 22.7% 10.7% -3.4 13
1984-02-05 @ R.D. Agueda D 1-1 1617 1683 10.7% 22.7% 66.7% +3.4 8
1984-02-05 Porto D 0-0 1665 2049 18.1% 22.2% 59.7% +2.6 11
1984-02-05 @ Salgueiros D 0-0 2049 1665 59.7% 22.2% 18.1% -2.7 27
1984-02-05 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1690 1802 50.8% 23.8% 25.4% -1.4 14
1984-02-05 @ Varzim D 1-1 1802 1690 25.4% 23.8% 50.8% +1.4 18
1984-02-12 Salgueiros W 1-0 1629 1668 58.5% 23.6% 17.9% +5.4 9
1984-02-12 @ Espinho L 0-1 1668 1629 17.9% 23.6% 58.5% -5.4 11
1984-02-12 Braga W 1-0 1620 1781 44.8% 23.8% 31.4% +8.5 10
1984-02-12 @ Estoril L 0-1 1781 1620 31.4% 23.8% 44.8% -8.5 20
1984-02-12 Penafiel W 3-0 1789 1576 74.4% 20.6% 5.0% +4.4 16
1984-02-12 @ Portimonense L 0-3 1576 1789 5.0% 20.6% 74.4% -4.4 11
1984-02-12 R.D. Agueda W 6-0 2047 1679 80.0% 17.7% 2.3% +3.6 29
1984-02-12 @ Porto L 0-6 1679 2047 2.3% 17.7% 80.0% -3.6 13
1984-02-12 Benfica L 2-3 1733 2096 19.8% 22.4% 57.7% -5.1 16
1984-02-12 @ Rio Ave W 3-2 2096 1733 57.7% 22.4% 19.8% +5.1 33
1984-02-12 Varzim W 4-2 1925 1689 75.3% 20.2% 4.5% +2.1 24
1984-02-12 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2-4 1689 1925 4.5% 20.2% 75.3% -2.1 14
1984-02-12 Boavista W 4-1 1804 1788 63.1% 23.2% 13.7% +9.8 20
1984-02-12 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-4 1788 1804 13.7% 23.2% 63.1% -9.8 17
1984-02-12 Farense D 1-1 1778 1634 71.2% 21.7% 7.1% -3.9 15
1984-02-12 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 1634 1778 7.1% 21.7% 71.2% +3.9 14
1984-02-19 Estoril D 1-1 2102 1629 83.1% 15.6% 1.3% -4.9 34
1984-02-19 @ Benfica D 1-1 1629 2102 1.3% 15.6% 83.1% +4.9 11
1984-02-19 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 0-0 1778 1927 46.2% 23.9% 30.0% -1.0 18
1984-02-19 @ Boavista D 0-0 1927 1778 30.0% 23.9% 46.2% +1.0 25
1984-02-19 R.D. Agueda W 5-1 1772 1676 68.6% 22.3% 9.1% +8.6 22
1984-02-19 @ Braga L 1-5 1676 1772 9.1% 22.3% 68.6% -8.6 13
1984-02-19 Porto L 0-1 1635 2050 15.6% 21.8% 62.7% -4.6 9
1984-02-19 @ Espinho W 1-0 2050 1635 62.7% 21.8% 15.6% +4.6 31
1984-02-19 Rio Ave D 0-0 1638 1728 53.3% 23.8% 22.9% -1.9 15
1984-02-19 @ Farense D 0-0 1728 1638 22.9% 23.8% 53.3% +1.9 17
1984-02-19 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1571 1774 39.0% 23.7% 37.2% -0.1 12
1984-02-19 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1774 1571 37.2% 23.7% 39.0% +0.1 16
1984-02-19 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-1 1663 1813 46.0% 23.9% 30.1% +7.8 13
1984-02-19 @ Salgueiros L 1-2 1813 1663 30.1% 23.9% 46.0% -7.8 20
1984-02-19 Portimonense W 1-0 1687 1793 51.5% 23.8% 24.7% +7.0 16
1984-02-19 @ Varzim L 0-1 1793 1687 24.7% 23.8% 51.5% -7.0 16
1984-02-26 Farense D 0-0 1634 1636 61.7% 23.3% 15.0% -3.0 12
1984-02-26 @ Estoril D 0-0 1636 1634 15.0% 23.3% 61.7% +3.0 16
1984-02-26 Boavista L 1-2 1786 1777 62.6% 23.2% 14.2% -14.5 16
1984-02-26 @ Portimonense W 2-1 1777 1786 14.2% 23.2% 62.6% +14.5 20
1984-02-26 Braga W 1-0 2055 1781 76.8% 19.5% 3.7% +1.2 33
1984-02-26 @ Porto L 0-1 1781 2055 3.7% 19.5% 76.8% -1.2 22
1984-02-26 Benfica L 1-4 1667 2097 14.5% 21.6% 63.9% -10.0 13
1984-02-26 @ R.D. Agueda W 4-1 2097 1667 63.9% 21.6% 14.5% +10.0 36
1984-02-26 Penafiel L 1-3 1729 1571 71.9% 21.5% 6.6% -28.8 17
1984-02-26 @ Rio Ave W 3-1 1571 1729 6.6% 21.5% 71.9% +28.8 14
1984-02-26 Salgueiros W 2-0 1928 1670 76.2% 19.8% 4.0% +2.4 27
1984-02-26 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1670 1928 4.0% 19.8% 76.2% -2.4 13
1984-02-26 Espinho W 1-0 1806 1630 72.7% 21.2% 6.1% +1.9 22
1984-02-26 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1630 1806 6.1% 21.2% 72.7% -2.0 9
1984-02-26 Varzim W 1-0 1774 1694 67.6% 22.5% 9.9% +3.1 18
1984-02-26 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1694 1774 9.9% 22.5% 67.6% -3.1 16
1984-03-04 Braga W 7-0 2107 1780 78.7% 18.5% 2.8% +5.2 38
1984-03-04 @ Benfica L 0-7 1780 2107 2.8% 18.5% 78.7% -5.2 22
1984-03-04 Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1791 1777 63.0% 23.2% 13.8% -15.5 20
1984-03-04 @ Boavista W 1-0 1777 1791 13.8% 23.2% 63.0% +15.5 20
1984-03-04 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1628 1931 26.1% 23.1% 50.8% -7.3 9
1984-03-04 @ Espinho W 1-0 1931 1628 50.8% 23.1% 26.1% +7.3 29
1984-03-04 R.D. Agueda L 0-1 1639 1657 60.4% 23.4% 16.2% -14.8 16
1984-03-04 @ Farense W 1-0 1657 1639 16.2% 23.4% 60.4% +14.8 15
1984-03-04 Estoril W 2-0 1600 1631 59.2% 23.5% 17.3% +9.8 16
1984-03-04 @ Penafiel L 0-2 1631 1600 17.3% 23.5% 59.2% -9.8 12
1984-03-04 Portimonense D 0-0 1668 1771 51.8% 23.8% 24.4% -1.7 14
1984-03-04 @ Salgueiros D 0-0 1771 1668 24.4% 23.8% 51.8% +1.7 17
1984-03-04 Rio Ave W 1-0 1691 1701 61.1% 23.4% 15.6% +4.8 18
1984-03-04 @ Varzim L 0-1 1701 1691 15.6% 23.4% 61.1% -4.8 17
1984-03-04 Porto L 0-1 1808 2056 32.8% 23.5% 43.7% -8.8 22
1984-03-04 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 2056 1808 43.7% 23.5% 32.8% +8.8 35
1984-03-11 Farense W 1-0 1775 1624 71.5% 21.6% 6.9% +2.2 24
1984-03-11 @ Braga L 0-1 1624 1775 6.9% 21.6% 71.5% -2.2 16
1984-03-11 Varzim W 4-2 1621 1696 54.9% 23.7% 21.3% +9.1 14
1984-03-11 @ Estoril L 2-4 1696 1621 21.3% 23.7% 54.9% -9.1 18
1984-03-11 Espinho W 3-0 1773 1621 71.6% 21.6% 6.9% +6.0 19
1984-03-11 @ Portimonense L 0-3 1621 1773 6.9% 21.6% 71.6% -6.0 9
1984-03-11 Benfica W 3-1 2065 2112 57.7% 23.6% 18.7% +9.1 37
1984-03-11 @ Porto L 1-3 2112 2065 18.7% 23.6% 57.7% -9.1 38
1984-03-11 Penafiel W 1-0 1672 1610 66.4% 22.7% 10.8% +3.4 17
1984-03-11 @ R.D. Agueda L 0-1 1610 1672 10.8% 22.7% 66.4% -3.4 16
1984-03-11 Boavista W 1-0 1696 1776 54.4% 23.8% 21.9% +6.4 19
1984-03-11 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1776 1696 21.9% 23.8% 54.4% -6.4 20
1984-03-11 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1938 1799 70.9% 21.7% 7.3% +4.4 31
1984-03-11 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-2 1799 1938 7.3% 21.7% 70.9% -4.4 22
1984-03-11 Salgueiros W 2-0 1793 1666 70.2% 21.9% 7.8% +4.7 22
1984-03-11 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1666 1793 7.8% 21.9% 70.2% -4.7 14
1984-03-18 Estoril W 1-0 1770 1630 71.0% 21.7% 7.3% +2.3 22
1984-03-18 @ Boavista L 0-1 1630 1770 7.3% 21.7% 71.0% -2.3 14
1984-03-18 Vitoria Setubal L 0-1 1615 1797 41.8% 23.8% 34.4% -10.6 9
1984-03-18 @ Espinho W 1-0 1797 1615 34.4% 23.8% 41.8% +10.6 24
1984-03-18 Benfica L 2-7 1622 2103 11.3% 20.8% 67.9% -10.4 16
1984-03-18 @ Farense W 7-2 2103 1622 67.9% 20.8% 11.3% +10.4 40
1984-03-18 Braga W 2-0 1606 1777 43.4% 23.8% 32.7% +16.6 18
1984-03-18 @ Penafiel L 0-2 1777 1606 32.7% 23.8% 43.4% -16.6 24
1984-03-18 Rio Ave D 1-1 1662 1702 58.3% 23.6% 18.1% -2.3 15
1984-03-18 @ Salgueiros D 1-1 1702 1662 18.1% 23.6% 58.3% +2.3 20
1984-03-18 Porto L 0-1 1942 2074 48.5% 23.9% 27.7% -12.0 31
1984-03-18 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 2074 1942 27.7% 23.9% 48.5% +12.0 39
1984-03-18 R.D. Agueda W 2-1 1686 1675 62.8% 23.2% 14.0% +4.1 20
1984-03-18 @ Varzim L 1-2 1675 1686 14.0% 23.2% 62.8% -4.1 17
1984-03-18 Portimonense L 0-2 1794 1779 63.1% 23.2% 13.7% -29.2 22
1984-03-18 @ Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1779 1794 13.7% 23.2% 63.1% +29.2 21
1984-03-25 Penafiel W 8-0 2113 1623 83.5% 15.2% 1.2% +2.4 42
1984-03-25 @ Benfica L 0-8 1623 2113 1.2% 15.2% 83.5% -2.4 18
1984-03-25 Varzim D 1-1 1760 1691 66.9% 22.6% 10.4% -3.4 25
1984-03-25 @ Braga D 1-1 1691 1760 10.4% 22.6% 66.9% +3.4 21
1984-03-25 Salgueiros W 1-0 1628 1659 59.1% 23.5% 17.3% +5.2 16
1984-03-25 @ Estoril L 0-1 1659 1628 17.3% 23.5% 59.1% -5.2 15
1984-03-25 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-6 1808 1930 49.6% 23.8% 26.6% -64.3 21
1984-03-25 @ Portimonense W 6-0 1930 1808 26.6% 23.8% 49.6% +64.3 33
1984-03-25 Farense W 7-1 2086 1611 83.1% 15.6% 1.3% +1.6 41
1984-03-25 @ Porto L 1-7 1611 2086 1.3% 15.6% 83.1% -1.6 16
1984-03-25 Boavista L 0-1 1671 1772 52.1% 23.8% 24.1% -12.8 17
1984-03-25 @ R.D. Agueda W 1-0 1772 1671 24.1% 23.8% 52.1% +12.9 24
1984-03-25 Espinho D 0-0 1705 1604 68.8% 22.3% 8.9% -4.0 21
1984-03-25 @ Rio Ave D 0-0 1604 1705 8.9% 22.3% 68.8% +4.1 10
1984-03-25 Vitoria Guimaraes W 2-0 1808 1765 65.1% 22.9% 12.0% +7.1 26
1984-03-25 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1765 1808 12.0% 22.9% 65.1% -7.1 22
1984-04-01 Braga L 0-2 1785 1757 64.0% 23.1% 12.9% -29.7 24
1984-04-01 @ Boavista W 2-0 1757 1785 12.9% 23.1% 64.0% +29.6 27
1984-04-01 Estoril W 2-0 1608 1633 59.8% 23.5% 16.7% +9.6 12
1984-04-01 @ Espinho L 0-2 1633 1608 16.7% 23.5% 59.8% -9.6 16
1984-04-01 Farense D 0-0 1620 1610 62.7% 23.2% 14.1% -3.2 19
1984-04-01 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1610 1620 14.1% 23.2% 62.7% +3.2 17
1984-04-01 Porto W 1-0 1744 2087 21.8% 22.7% 55.6% +13.5 23
1984-04-01 @ Portimonense L 0-1 2087 1744 55.6% 22.7% 21.8% -13.5 41
1984-04-01 R.D. Agueda D 0-0 1654 1658 61.5% 23.3% 15.1% -3.0 16
1984-04-01 @ Salgueiros D 0-0 1658 1654 15.1% 23.3% 61.5% +3.0 18
1984-04-01 Vitoria Setubal W 3-1 1995 1815 72.9% 21.1% 6.0% +3.1 35
1984-04-01 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-3 1815 1995 6.0% 21.1% 72.9% -3.1 26
1984-04-01 Benfica D 1-1 1694 2116 15.1% 21.7% 63.2% +2.8 22
1984-04-01 @ Varzim D 1-1 2116 1694 63.2% 21.7% 15.1% -2.8 43
1984-04-01 Rio Ave W 2-1 1758 1701 66.1% 22.8% 11.1% +3.3 24
1984-04-01 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-2 1701 1758 11.1% 22.8% 66.1% -3.3 21
1984-04-08 Boavista W 1-0 2113 1755 79.7% 17.9% 2.4% +0.7 45
1984-04-08 @ Benfica L 0-1 1755 2113 2.4% 17.9% 79.7% -0.7 24
1984-04-08 Salgueiros W 3-1 1786 1651 70.7% 21.8% 7.5% +3.9 29
1984-04-08 @ Braga L 1-3 1651 1786 7.5% 21.8% 70.7% -3.9 16
1984-04-08 Vitoria Guimaraes D 1-1 1623 1761 47.6% 23.9% 28.5% -1.0 17
1984-04-08 @ Estoril D 1-1 1761 1623 28.5% 23.9% 47.6% +1.0 25
1984-04-08 Varzim D 1-1 1613 1697 54.0% 23.8% 22.2% -1.8 18
1984-04-08 @ Farense D 1-1 1697 1613 22.2% 23.8% 54.0% +1.8 23
1984-04-08 Penafiel W 8-1 2074 1617 82.6% 15.9% 1.5% +2.1 43
1984-04-08 @ Porto L 1-8 1617 2074 1.5% 15.9% 82.6% -2.1 19
1984-04-08 Espinho L 0-1 1661 1618 65.2% 22.9% 11.9% -16.0 18
1984-04-08 @ R.D. Agueda W 1-0 1618 1661 11.9% 22.9% 65.2% +16.0 14
1984-04-08 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 1-0 1697 1998 26.3% 23.1% 50.6% +12.4 23
1984-04-08 @ Rio Ave L 0-1 1998 1697 50.6% 23.1% 26.3% -12.4 35
1984-04-08 Portimonense W 2-0 1812 1757 65.9% 22.8% 11.3% +6.7 28
1984-04-08 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-2 1757 1812 11.3% 22.8% 65.9% -6.7 23
1984-04-15 Farense W 3-0 1754 1611 71.1% 21.7% 7.2% +6.3 26
1984-04-15 @ Boavista L 0-3 1611 1754 7.2% 21.7% 71.1% -6.3 18
1984-04-15 Braga L 2-3 1634 1790 45.3% 23.8% 30.8% -10.2 14
1984-04-15 @ Espinho W 3-2 1790 1634 30.8% 23.8% 45.3% +10.2 31
1984-04-15 Rio Ave D 1-1 1751 1710 65.0% 22.9% 12.0% -3.1 24
1984-04-15 @ Portimonense D 1-1 1710 1751 12.0% 22.9% 65.0% +3.1 24
1984-04-15 Benfica L 0-2 1647 2114 12.2% 21.0% 66.8% -6.9 16
1984-04-15 @ Salgueiros W 2-0 2114 1647 66.8% 21.0% 12.2% +6.9 47
1984-04-15 Estoril W 2-1 1986 1622 79.8% 17.8% 2.4% +0.7 37
1984-04-15 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 1-2 1622 1986 2.4% 17.8% 79.8% -0.7 17
1984-04-15 Penafiel W 2-0 1698 1615 67.8% 22.5% 9.7% +5.8 25
1984-04-15 @ Varzim L 0-2 1615 1698 9.7% 22.5% 67.8% -5.8 19
1984-04-15 R.D. Agueda W 6-1 1762 1645 69.8% 22.1% 8.2% +9.6 27
1984-04-15 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-6 1645 1762 8.2% 22.1% 69.8% -9.6 18
1984-04-15 Porto D 1-1 1819 2076 31.6% 23.5% 45.0% +0.7 29
1984-04-15 @ Vitoria Setubal D 1-1 2076 1819 45.0% 23.5% 31.6% -0.7 44
1984-04-29 Espinho W 6-0 2120 1624 83.7% 15.1% 1.2% +1.8 49
1984-04-29 @ Benfica L 0-6 1624 2120 1.2% 15.1% 83.7% -1.8 14
1984-04-29 Vitoria Guimaraes W 3-0 1801 1772 64.1% 23.1% 12.8% +11.0 33
1984-04-29 @ Braga L 0-3 1772 1801 12.8% 23.1% 64.1% -11.0 27
1984-04-29 Portimonense W 1-0 1622 1748 49.1% 23.9% 27.0% +7.6 19
1984-04-29 @ Estoril L 0-1 1748 1622 27.0% 23.9% 49.1% -7.6 24
1984-04-29 Salgueiros D 1-1 1605 1640 58.8% 23.5% 17.6% -2.4 19
1984-04-29 @ Farense D 1-1 1640 1605 17.6% 23.5% 58.8% +2.4 17
1984-04-29 Boavista D 0-0 1609 1761 46.0% 23.9% 30.2% -0.9 20
1984-04-29 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1761 1609 30.2% 23.9% 46.0% +0.9 27
1984-04-29 Varzim W 3-0 2075 1704 80.1% 17.6% 2.3% +1.8 46
1984-04-29 @ Porto L 0-3 1704 2075 2.3% 17.6% 80.1% -1.9 25
1984-04-29 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-1 1636 1986 21.1% 22.6% 56.3% -6.1 18
1984-04-29 @ R.D. Agueda W 1-0 1986 1636 56.3% 22.6% 21.1% +6.1 39
1984-04-29 Vitoria Setubal W 2-1 1713 1819 51.4% 23.8% 24.8% +6.6 26
1984-04-29 @ Rio Ave L 1-2 1819 1713 24.8% 23.8% 51.4% -6.6 29
1984-05-06 Varzim W 3-0 1762 1702 66.2% 22.8% 11.0% +9.5 29
1984-05-06 @ Boavista L 0-3 1702 1762 11.0% 22.8% 66.2% -9.5 25
1984-05-06 Farense W 5-2 1622 1603 63.4% 23.1% 13.5% +8.4 16
1984-05-06 @ Espinho L 2-5 1603 1622 13.5% 23.1% 63.4% -8.4 19
1984-05-06 R.D. Agueda W 2-1 1740 1630 69.4% 22.1% 8.5% +2.6 26
1984-05-06 @ Portimonense L 1-2 1630 1740 8.5% 22.1% 69.4% -2.5 18
1984-05-06 Porto D 0-0 1719 2077 20.4% 22.5% 57.1% +2.3 27
1984-05-06 @ Rio Ave D 0-0 2077 1719 57.1% 22.5% 20.4% -2.3 47
1984-05-06 Penafiel W 3-1 1643 1608 64.5% 23.0% 12.5% +6.4 19
1984-05-06 @ Salgueiros L 1-3 1608 1643 12.5% 23.0% 64.5% -6.4 20
1984-05-06 Braga L 1-2 1992 1812 73.0% 21.1% 5.9% -16.8 39
1984-05-06 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2-1 1812 1992 5.9% 21.1% 73.0% +16.8 35
1984-05-06 Benfica W 4-1 1761 2122 20.1% 22.5% 57.5% +32.2 29
1984-05-06 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 1-4 2122 1761 57.5% 22.5% 20.1% -32.2 49
1984-05-06 Estoril W 3-2 1813 1629 73.1% 21.1% 5.8% +1.7 31
1984-05-06 @ Vitoria Setubal L 2-3 1629 1813 5.8% 21.1% 73.1% -1.7 19
1984-05-13 Sporting Clube de Portugal D 1-1 2090 1975 69.6% 22.1% 8.3% -3.7 50
1984-05-13 @ Benfica D 1-1 1975 2090 8.3% 22.1% 69.6% +3.7 40
1984-05-13 Porto W 2-1 1771 2075 25.9% 23.1% 51.0% +11.8 31
1984-05-13 @ Boavista L 1-2 2075 1771 51.0% 23.1% 25.9% -11.8 47
1984-05-13 Portimonense W 3-0 1828 1743 67.9% 22.4% 9.6% +8.4 37
1984-05-13 @ Braga L 0-3 1743 1828 9.6% 22.4% 67.9% -8.4 26
1984-05-13 Rio Ave W 2-1 1627 1722 52.8% 23.8% 23.4% +6.3 21
1984-05-13 @ Estoril L 1-2 1722 1627 23.4% 23.8% 52.8% -6.4 27
1984-05-13 Vitoria Guimaraes W 1-0 1594 1793 39.5% 23.8% 36.7% +9.6 21
1984-05-13 @ Farense L 0-1 1793 1594 36.7% 23.8% 39.5% -9.6 29
1984-05-13 Espinho D 0-0 1602 1630 59.4% 23.5% 17.1% -2.7 21
1984-05-13 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1630 1602 17.1% 23.5% 59.4% +2.7 17
1984-05-13 Vitoria Setubal D 0-0 1627 1814 41.2% 23.8% 35.0% -0.3 19
1984-05-13 @ R.D. Agueda D 0-0 1814 1627 35.0% 23.8% 41.2% +0.4 32
1984-05-13 Salgueiros W 2-1 1693 1649 65.2% 22.9% 11.9% +3.5 27
1984-05-13 @ Varzim L 1-2 1649 1693 11.9% 22.9% 65.2% -3.5 19
1984-05-20 Varzim L 2-3 1633 1696 56.1% 23.7% 20.2% -12.3 17
1984-05-20 @ Espinho W 3-2 1696 1633 20.2% 23.7% 56.1% +12.3 29
1984-05-20 Benfica L 0-2 1734 2086 20.9% 22.6% 56.5% -11.3 26
1984-05-20 @ Portimonense W 2-0 2086 1734 56.5% 22.6% 20.9% +11.4 52
1984-05-20 Estoril W 8-0 2063 1634 81.8% 16.5% 1.7% +3.4 49
1984-05-20 @ Porto L 0-8 1634 2063 1.7% 16.5% 81.8% -3.4 21
1984-05-20 R.D. Agueda W 5-1 1715 1627 68.1% 22.4% 9.5% +9.0 29
1984-05-20 @ Rio Ave L 1-5 1627 1715 9.5% 22.4% 68.1% -9.0 19
1984-05-20 Boavista W 1-0 1646 1783 47.7% 23.9% 28.4% +7.9 21
1984-05-20 @ Salgueiros L 0-1 1783 1646 28.4% 23.9% 47.7% -7.9 31
1984-05-20 Farense W 4-0 1979 1604 80.2% 17.6% 2.2% +2.4 42
1984-05-20 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal L 0-4 1604 1979 2.2% 17.6% 80.2% -2.4 21
1984-05-20 Penafiel W 1-0 1784 1599 73.1% 21.1% 5.8% +1.9 31
1984-05-20 @ Vitoria Guimaraes L 0-1 1599 1784 5.8% 21.1% 73.1% -1.9 21
1984-05-20 Braga W 3-0 1815 1837 60.0% 23.5% 16.5% +13.7 34
1984-05-20 @ Vitoria Setubal L 0-3 1837 1815 16.5% 23.5% 60.0% -13.8 37

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 1984-05-06 5.93% Braga 1812 2 @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1992 1
2 1984-02-26 6.64% Penafiel 1571 3 @ Rio Ave 1729 1
3 1983-11-20 8.00% Vitoria Setubal 1742 4 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1864 3
4 1984-04-08 11.92% Espinho 1618 1 @ R.D. Agueda 1661 0
5 1984-04-01 12.89% Braga 1757 2 @ Boavista 1785 0
6 1984-03-18 13.73% Portimonense 1779 2 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1794 0
7 1984-03-04 13.81% Vitoria Setubal 1777 1 @ Boavista 1791 0
8 1984-02-26 14.16% Boavista 1777 2 @ Portimonense 1786 1
9 1983-10-16 14.19% Vitoria Guimaraes 1835 2 @ Portimonense 1843 0
10 1983-10-01 14.38% Boavista 1753 1 @ Vitoria Setubal 1760 0
11 1984-03-04 16.20% R.D. Agueda 1657 1 @ Farense 1639 0
12 1983-09-25 19.04% Portimonense 1817 3 @ Boavista 1766 2
13 1983-11-20 19.53% Rio Ave 1724 3 @ Espinho 1668 2
14 1984-05-06 20.07% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 1761 4 Benfica 2122 1
15 1984-05-20 20.21% Varzim 1696 3 @ Espinho 1633 2
16 1984-01-07 21.17% Boavista 1775 4 @ Varzim 1701 2
17 1984-04-01 21.75% @ Portimonense 1744 1 Porto 2087 0
18 1983-09-11 22.21% Braga 1749 2 @ R.D. Agueda 1666 0
19 1984-03-25 24.09% Boavista 1772 1 @ R.D. Agueda 1671 0
20 1983-09-25 25.81% Rio Ave 1710 1 @ Penafiel 1594 0
21 1984-05-13 25.95% @ Boavista 1771 2 Porto 2075 1
22 1984-01-07 25.97% Vitoria Setubal 1761 3 @ Estoril 1643 1
23 1984-04-08 26.30% @ Rio Ave 1697 1 Sporting Clube de Portugal 1998 0
24 1984-03-25 26.55% Sporting Clube de Portugal 1930 6 @ Portimonense 1808 0
25 1983-09-25 27.49% Vitoria Guimaraes 1820 1 @ Espinho 1690 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 1984-03-25 64.35 Sporting Clube de Portugal 6 1930 26.55% @ Portimonense 0 1808 49.60% 23.85%
2 1984-05-06 32.19 @ Vitoria Guimaraes 4 1761 20.07% Benfica 1 2122 57.45% 22.49%
3 1984-04-01 29.65 Braga 2 1757 12.89% @ Boavista 0 1785 64.05% 23.07%
4 1984-03-18 29.20 Portimonense 2 1779 13.73% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1794 63.09% 23.18%
5 1983-10-16 28.96 Vitoria Guimaraes 2 1835 14.19% @ Portimonense 0 1843 62.58% 23.24%
6 1984-02-26 28.77 Penafiel 3 1571 6.64% @ Rio Ave 1 1729 71.89% 21.46%
7 1983-12-11 25.53 @ R.D. Agueda 3 1649 40.84% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1839 35.37% 23.79%
8 1983-09-11 25.06 Braga 2 1749 22.21% @ R.D. Agueda 0 1666 54.02% 23.77%
9 1983-11-27 21.74 @ R.D. Agueda 4 1632 55.62% Salgueiros 0 1700 20.67% 23.71%
10 1984-01-07 20.28 Vitoria Setubal 3 1761 25.97% @ Estoril 1 1643 50.18% 23.85%
11 1984-01-07 19.78 Boavista 4 1775 21.17% @ Varzim 2 1701 55.09% 23.73%
12 1984-05-06 16.83 Braga 2 1812 5.93% @ Sporting Clube de Portugal 1 1992 72.95% 21.12%
13 1984-03-18 16.57 @ Penafiel 2 1606 43.44% Braga 0 1777 32.72% 23.83%
14 1984-04-08 16.00 Espinho 1 1618 11.92% @ R.D. Agueda 0 1661 65.16% 22.92%
15 1984-03-04 15.47 Vitoria Setubal 1 1777 13.81% @ Boavista 0 1791 63.00% 23.19%
16 1983-10-01 15.31 Boavista 1 1753 14.38% @ Vitoria Setubal 0 1760 62.37% 23.26%
17 1983-11-20 15.00 Vitoria Setubal 4 1742 8.00% @ Vitoria Guimaraes 3 1864 70.02% 21.98%
18 1983-09-11 14.93 Benfica 4 2024 54.52% @ Estoril 1 1689 22.69% 22.79%
19 1984-03-04 14.81 R.D. Agueda 1 1657 16.20% @ Farense 0 1639 60.36% 23.44%
20 1984-02-26 14.49 Boavista 2 1777 14.16% @ Portimonense 1 1786 62.61% 23.23%
21 1984-05-20 13.75 @ Vitoria Setubal 3 1815 60.01% Braga 0 1837 16.52% 23.46%
22 1983-11-27 13.57 @ Rio Ave 2 1736 50.76% Vitoria Guimaraes 0 1849 25.40% 23.84%
23 1984-04-01 13.51 @ Portimonense 1 1744 21.75% Porto 0 2087 55.56% 22.69%
24 1984-01-07 13.46 @ Farense 3 1631 60.45% Espinho 0 1648 16.12% 23.43%
25 1984-03-25 12.85 Boavista 1 1772 24.09% @ R.D. Agueda 0 1671 52.09% 23.82%