1976-77 Primeira Divisão Season

240 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Champion

Benfica

51 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Benfica

8.42 points above expected

51 points · 42.58 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Os Belenenses (1st)

7.49 points below expected

26 points · 33.49 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Benfica	30	23	5	2	51	67	24	+43	42.6	+8.42
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	30	17	8	5	42	59	26	+33	38.2	+3.75
3	Porto	30	18	5	7	41	72	27	+45	39.4	+1.58
4	Boavista	30	13	8	9	34	41	33	+8	35.4	-1.40
5	Academica de Coimbra	30	14	6	10	34	29	25	+4	29.2	+4.78
6	Vitoria Setubal	30	13	6	11	32	47	46	+1	30.4	+1.58
7	Varzim	30	10	11	9	31	36	36	0	26.0	+5.00
8	Braga	30	10	9	11	29	36	36	0	28.6	+0.45
9	Vitoria Guimaraes	30	10	6	14	26	39	38	+1	31.6	-5.56
10	Os Belenenses (1st)	30	7	12	11	26	29	40	-11	33.5	-7.49
11	Estoril	30	6	13	11	25	26	36	-10	27.3	-2.31
12	Portimonense	30	8	9	13	25	34	46	-12	25.6	-0.63
13	Leixoes	30	4	15	11	23	15	31	-16	23.8	-0.83
14	Montijo	30	7	9	14	23	30	47	-17	23.6	-0.59
15	Beira-Mar	30	7	9	14	23	33	57	-24	23.8	-0.78
16	Atletico Clube de Portugal	30	3	9	18	15	23	68	-45	21.0	-5.97

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	1925	51	42.58	+8.42	99.0%	32	35	40	43	45	49	52
Porto	1832	41	39.42	+1.58	72.0%	32	33	37	39	42	45	49
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1780	42	38.25	+3.75	88.0%	25	31	36	38	41	43	49
Boavista	1701	34	35.40	-1.40	46.0%	28	29	32	35	38	42	44
Vitoria Setubal	1632	32	30.42	+1.58	69.0%	20	23	27	30	34	37	42
Academica de Coimbra	1629	34	29.22	+4.78	90.0%	18	23	27	29	32	35	37
Vitoria Guimaraes	1616	26	31.56	-5.56	12.0%	18	24	30	31	34	40	42
Os Belenenses (1st)	1615	26	33.49	-7.49	5.0%	21	26	30	34	37	40	43
Braga	1598	29	28.55	+0.45	53.0%	18	22	26	29	31	34	38
Varzim	1571	31	26.00	+5.00	96.0%	15	18	23	26	29	31	33
Portimonense	1539	25	25.63	-0.63	49.0%	16	18	22	26	28	33	36
Montijo	1531	23	23.59	-0.59	51.0%	13	17	21	23	26	31	35
Estoril	1531	25	27.31	-2.31	31.0%	19	20	25	27	30	34	36
Beira-Mar	1493	23	23.78	-0.78	51.0%	12	15	22	23	26	30	33
Leixoes	1488	23	23.83	-0.83	44.0%	15	17	21	24	26	30	33
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1393	15	20.97	-5.97	7.0%	11	14	19	21	23	27	33

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BEI	BEN	BOA	BRA	EST	LEI	MON	OB(	POR	POR	SCDP	VAR	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-1-0 3.69	1-1-0 3.14	0-0-2 1.46	1-0-1 2.15	0-0-2 2.88	2-0-0 2.91	1-1-0 3.23	1-1-0 3.25	1-0-1 2.29	1-0-1 3.02	0-1-1 1.76	1-0-1 1.95	1-0-1 3.04	1-1-0 2.47	2-0-0 2.44
Atletico Clube de Portugal	0-1-1 1.81	—	1-1-0 2.50	0-0-2 0.65	0-0-2 1.40	0-0-2 2.10	0-2-0 2.15	0-2-0 2.51	1-0-1 2.55	1-0-1 1.58	0-0-2 2.41	0-1-1 1.08	0-1-1 1.22	0-1-1 2.24	0-0-2 1.96	0-0-2 1.84
Beira-Mar	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 2.99	—	0-1-1 1.05	0-1-1 1.76	1-0-1 2.33	1-1-0 2.40	2-0-0 2.68	1-0-1 2.75	1-0-1 1.82	0-1-1 2.55	0-0-2 1.43	0-1-1 1.24	0-2-0 2.76	1-0-1 2.02	0-0-2 2.09
Benfica	2-0-0 4.09	2-0-0 5.04	1-1-0 4.59	—	2-0-0 3.60	1-1-0 4.12	1-1-0 4.21	2-0-0 4.69	2-0-0 4.63	1-1-0 3.67	2-0-0 4.45	2-0-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.33	2-0-0 4.46	1-1-0 4.09	1-0-1 3.94
Boavista	1-0-1 3.35	2-0-0 4.16	1-1-0 3.77	0-0-2 1.90	—	1-1-0 3.22	1-0-1 3.66	0-2-0 3.74	1-0-1 3.70	0-1-1 2.96	2-0-0 3.52	1-0-1 2.11	0-2-0 2.34	0-0-2 3.72	1-1-0 2.95	2-0-0 3.26
Braga	2-0-0 2.60	2-0-0 3.40	1-0-1 3.16	0-1-1 1.43	0-1-1 2.28	—	0-1-1 2.91	0-1-1 3.19	1-1-0 3.12	0-1-1 2.31	1-1-0 2.97	0-0-2 1.72	1-0-1 1.78	0-1-1 3.00	1-0-1 2.41	1-1-0 2.48
Estoril	0-0-2 2.59	0-2-0 3.35	0-1-1 3.07	0-1-1 1.37	1-0-1 1.85	1-1-0 2.56	—	1-1-0 2.97	1-1-0 2.97	0-2-0 2.18	1-0-1 2.82	1-1-0 1.72	0-0-2 1.65	0-1-1 2.81	0-1-1 2.32	0-1-1 2.37
Leixoes	0-1-1 2.25	0-2-0 2.98	0-0-2 2.80	0-0-2 0.93	0-2-0 1.78	1-1-0 2.30	0-1-1 2.51	—	1-0-1 2.70	0-2-0 1.99	0-1-1 2.63	0-1-1 1.48	0-1-1 1.50	1-1-0 2.45	1-0-1 2.10	0-2-0 2.17
Montijo	0-1-1 2.24	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-1 2.72	0-0-2 0.99	1-0-1 1.84	0-1-1 2.37	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.78	—	2-0-0 1.85	0-2-0 2.63	0-1-1 1.44	0-1-1 1.44	0-1-1 2.76	1-0-1 2.05	0-1-1 2.12
Os Belenenses (1st)	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 3.96	1-0-1 3.69	0-1-1 1.86	1-1-0 2.53	1-1-0 3.17	0-2-0 3.32	0-2-0 3.52	0-0-2 3.65	—	1-1-0 3.45	1-0-1 2.10	0-0-2 2.07	0-2-0 3.32	0-2-0 2.86	0-0-2 3.06
Portimonense	1-0-1 2.47	2-0-0 3.07	1-1-0 2.93	0-0-2 1.16	0-0-2 1.98	0-1-1 2.51	1-0-1 2.66	1-1-0 2.84	0-2-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.05	—	0-0-2 1.65	0-1-1 1.46	1-1-0 2.60	1-0-1 2.19	0-1-1 2.33
Porto	1-1-0 3.75	1-1-0 4.50	2-0-0 4.12	0-0-2 2.31	1-0-1 3.36	2-0-0 3.79	0-1-1 3.84	1-1-0 4.08	1-1-0 4.12	1-0-1 3.42	2-0-0 3.88	—	1-0-1 2.73	1-0-1 4.03	2-0-0 3.44	2-0-0 3.41
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-0-1 3.58	1-1-0 4.38	1-1-0 4.32	1-0-1 2.14	0-2-0 3.14	1-0-1 3.74	2-0-0 3.88	1-1-0 4.07	1-1-0 4.12	2-0-0 3.44	1-1-0 4.07	1-0-1 2.75	—	1-1-0 4.02	2-0-0 3.18	1-0-1 3.49
Varzim	1-0-1 2.44	1-1-0 3.23	0-2-0 2.71	0-0-2 1.12	2-0-0 1.81	1-1-0 2.48	1-1-0 2.65	0-1-1 3.03	1-1-0 2.70	0-2-0 2.18	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 1.52	0-1-1 1.52	—	1-0-1 2.31	1-0-1 2.31
Vitoria Guimaraes	0-1-1 3.00	2-0-0 3.55	1-0-1 3.47	0-1-1 1.44	0-1-1 2.53	1-0-1 3.06	1-1-0 3.17	1-0-1 3.40	1-0-1 3.43	0-2-0 2.62	1-0-1 3.31	0-0-2 2.09	0-0-2 2.34	1-0-1 3.19	—	1-0-1 2.84
Vitoria Setubal	0-0-2 3.05	2-0-0 3.69	2-0-0 3.39	1-0-1 1.61	0-0-2 2.23	0-1-1 2.98	1-1-0 3.12	0-2-0 3.33	1-1-0 3.37	2-0-0 2.43	1-1-0 3.15	0-0-2 2.12	1-0-1 2.02	1-0-1 3.18	1-0-1 2.63	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.17%	9.38%	5.00%	2.92%	0.83%	1.25%	33.54%
1	9.38%	11.67%	6.67%	2.92%	1.88%	0.83%	33.33%
2	5.00%	6.67%	3.33%	1.67%	0.42%	1.25%	18.33%
3	2.92%	2.92%	1.67%	—	0.21%	0.21%	7.92%
4	0.83%	1.88%	0.42%	0.21%	—	—	3.33%
5+	1.25%	0.83%	1.25%	0.21%	—	—	3.54%
Total	33.54%	33.33%	18.33%	7.92%	3.33%	3.54%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.28
Mean allowed	1.28
StdDev scored	1.41
StdDev allowed	1.41
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (home vs away score)	0.106
Sample size (games)	240

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	20.00%	10.00%	—	—	—	50.00%
1	13.33%	—	—	—	3.33%	—	16.67%
2	3.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	20.00%
3	3.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	43.33%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	0.83
StdDev scored	1.13
StdDev allowed	0.91
Mean total goals/game	1.80
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.061
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	10.00%	50.00%
1	3.33%	13.33%	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	30.00%
2	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.00%	26.67%	23.33%	6.67%	3.33%	20.00%	100%

Atletico Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.77
Mean allowed	2.27
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	2.18
Mean total goals/game	3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.193
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	—	—	13.33%	6.67%	—	33.33%
1	10.00%	10.00%	13.33%	—	6.67%	—	40.00%
2	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	16.67%
3	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%	3.33%
4	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	16.67%	23.33%	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	100%

Beira-Mar — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.10
Mean allowed	1.90
StdDev scored	1.12
StdDev allowed	1.60
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.063
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.33%	—	—	3.33%
1	23.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	26.67%
3	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
Total	40.00%	43.33%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	100%

Benfica — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.23
Mean allowed	0.80
StdDev scored	1.52
StdDev allowed	0.81
Mean total goals/game	3.03
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.073
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	30.00%
1	10.00%	13.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	33.33%
2	6.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
3	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	30.00%	43.33%	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	100%

Boavista — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.37
Mean allowed	1.10
StdDev scored	1.43
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	2.47
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.095
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	6.67%	13.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	26.67%
2	10.00%	—	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	20.00%
3	6.67%	6.67%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.67%	36.67%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	100%

Braga — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.19
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.004
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	3.33%	36.67%
1	3.33%	26.67%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	46.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	10.00%
3	—	6.67%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.67%	53.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	6.67%	100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.87
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	0.86
StdDev allowed	1.37
Mean total goals/game	2.07
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.006
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	30.00%	6.67%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	53.33%
1	10.00%	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	40.00%	30.00%	20.00%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.50
Mean allowed	1.03
StdDev scored	0.57
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	1.53
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.082
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	16.67%	10.00%	—	—	3.33%	43.33%
1	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	30.00%
2	—	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	3.33%	20.00%
3	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	26.67%	23.33%	3.33%	6.67%	6.67%	100%

Montijo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.00
Mean allowed	1.57
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.87
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.014
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	13.33%	—	—	3.33%	3.33%	33.33%
1	6.67%	23.33%	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	43.33%
2	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.00%	40.00%	16.67%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Os Belenenses (1st) — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.97
Mean allowed	1.33
StdDev scored	0.89
StdDev allowed	1.63
Mean total goals/game	2.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.111
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	6.67%	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	6.67%	—	3.33%	20.00%
2	—	16.67%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	36.67%
3	6.67%	—	—	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	23.33%	26.67%	30.00%	16.67%	—	3.33%	100%

Portimonense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.13
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.01
StdDev allowed	1.22
Mean total goals/game	2.67
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.004
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
1	6.67%	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	23.33%
2	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
3	10.00%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	13.33%
4	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	10.00%
5+	6.67%	—	10.00%	—	—	—	16.67%
Total	46.67%	23.33%	23.33%	6.67%	—	—	100%

Porto — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	2.40
Mean allowed	0.90
StdDev scored	2.36
StdDev allowed	0.99
Mean total goals/game	3.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.041
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	10.00%	10.00%	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	33.33%
2	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	6.67%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	13.33%
4	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	—	13.33%
5+	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	—	6.67%
Total	50.00%	26.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	100%

Sporting Clube de Portugal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.97
Mean allowed	0.87
StdDev scored	1.61
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.83
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.003
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.00%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	36.67%
1	10.00%	13.33%	6.67%	—	—	3.33%	33.33%
2	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	3.33%	—	10.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	3.33%	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	36.67%	33.33%	20.00%	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.20
Mean allowed	1.20
StdDev scored	1.47
StdDev allowed	1.49
Mean total goals/game	2.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.232
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	30.00%
1	6.67%	6.67%	13.33%	6.67%	3.33%	—	36.67%
2	6.67%	3.33%	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	16.67%
3	3.33%	—	6.67%	—	—	—	10.00%
4	—	3.33%	—	—	—	—	3.33%
5+	3.33%	—	—	—	—	—	3.33%
Total	33.33%	30.00%	20.00%	10.00%	6.67%	—	100%

Vitoria Guimaraes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.30
Mean allowed	1.27
StdDev scored	1.29
StdDev allowed	1.23
Mean total goals/game	2.57
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.056
Games played	30

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.67%	6.67%	3.33%	6.67%	—	—	23.33%
1	13.33%	10.00%	6.67%	6.67%	—	3.33%	40.00%
2	3.33%	10.00%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	20.00%
3	—	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	—	6.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.33%	3.33%	3.33%	—	—	10.00%
Total	23.33%	33.33%	20.00%	20.00%	—	3.33%	100%

Vitoria Setubal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.57
Mean allowed	1.53
StdDev scored	1.65
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.10
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.060
Games played	30

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Benfica	51	42.6	+8.42
2	Varzim	31	26.0	+5.00
3	Academica de Coimbra	34	29.2	+4.78
4	Sporting Clube de Portugal	42	38.2	+3.75
5	Porto	41	39.4	+1.58

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	26	33.5	-7.49
2	Atletico Clube de Portugal	15	21.0	-5.97
3	Vitoria Guimaraes	26	31.6	-5.56
4	Estoril	25	27.3	-2.31
5	Boavista	34	35.4	-1.40

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Benfica	9	Jan 9 – Mar 20	1 in 214
2	Academica de Coimbra	4	Jan 16 – Feb 6	1 in 194
3	Varzim	3	Sep 19 – Oct 3	1 in 105
4	Porto	6	Jan 23 – Mar 6	1 in 46
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	Oct 31 – Jan 2	1 in 36

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Boavista	3	Sep 26 – Oct 24	1 in 210
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	3	Apr 30 – May 15	1 in 44
3	Beira-Mar	4	Nov 7 – Dec 19	1 in 33
4	Vitoria Setubal	3	Jan 30 – Feb 13	1 in 26
5	Portimonense	5	Oct 31 – Dec 19	1 in 21

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Benfica	25	Oct 24 – May 29	1 in 93
2	Leixoes	6	Oct 3 – Dec 12	1 in 71
3	Academica de Coimbra	8	Mar 6 – May 8	1 in 38
4	Varzim	5	Sep 19 – Oct 31	1 in 31
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	12	Sep 5 – Jan 2	1 in 28

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	10	Feb 27 – May 15	1 in 266
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	Mar 27 – Apr 24	1 in 41
3	Estoril	11	Dec 12 – Mar 6	1 in 41
4	Leixoes	11	Sep 5 – Dec 19	1 in 29
5	Vitoria Guimaraes	8	Feb 27 – Apr 30	1 in 24

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Benfica	64.00%	17.00%	9.00%	5.00%	2.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	12.00%	29.00%	23.00%	20.00%	8.00%	4.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—
Porto	19.00%	32.00%	27.00%	14.00%	4.00%	3.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Boavista	3.00%	12.00%	16.00%	19.00%	17.00%	13.00%	5.00%	10.00%	4.00%	—	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	5.00%	4.00%	10.00%	5.00%	13.00%	19.00%	12.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%
Vitoria Setubal	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	9.00%	13.00%	12.00%	11.00%	10.00%	8.00%	10.00%	11.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	—	—
Varzim	—	—	—	—	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	9.00%	16.00%	9.00%	12.00%	14.00%	11.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%
Braga	—	—	—	3.00%	7.00%	9.00%	18.00%	13.00%	7.00%	14.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	5.00%	3.00%	1.00%
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	4.00%	6.00%	9.00%	11.00%	23.00%	14.00%	9.00%	3.00%	7.00%	4.00%	3.00%	4.00%	2.00%	—	1.00%
Os Belenenses (1st)	1.00%	5.00%	11.00%	14.00%	18.00%	14.00%	8.00%	9.00%	9.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	—	—	—	1.00%
Estoril	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	4.00%	7.00%	10.00%	7.00%	15.00%	9.00%	16.00%	12.00%	4.00%	4.00%	8.00%	2.00%
Portimonense	—	—	1.00%	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	10.00%	14.00%	13.00%	8.00%	9.00%	17.00%	10.00%	6.00%
Leixoes	—	—	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	10.00%	8.00%	17.00%	15.00%	10.00%	14.00%	15.00%
Montijo	—	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	—	4.00%	3.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	8.00%	17.00%	16.00%	18.00%	16.00%
Beira-Mar	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	4.00%	7.00%	11.00%	13.00%	13.00%	22.00%	14.00%	9.00%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2.00%	—	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	9.00%	11.00%	23.00%	43.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Boavista	100%	—
Porto	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	99.0%	1.0%
Vitoria Guimaraes	93.0%	7.0%
Vitoria Setubal	91.0%	9.0%
Academica de Coimbra	88.0%	12.0%
Braga	84.0%	16.0%
Estoril	82.0%	18.0%
Varzim	70.0%	30.0%
Portimonense	58.0%	42.0%
Leixoes	46.0%	54.0%
Beira-Mar	42.0%	58.0%
Montijo	33.0%	67.0%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	14.0%	86.0%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1976-09-05	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1559	1617	52.4%	26.9%	20.7%	+16.4	3
1976-09-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1617	1559	20.7%	26.9%	52.4%	-16.4	0
1976-09-05	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1518	1663	42.1%	27.2%	30.7%	-19.4	0
1976-09-05	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1663	1518	30.7%	27.2%	42.1%	+19.4	3
1976-09-05	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1581	1687	47.0%	27.2%	25.8%	-1.1	1
1976-09-05	@ Braga	D 1-1	1687	1581	25.8%	27.2%	47.0%	+1.1	1
1976-09-05	Boavista	W 3-1	1548	1725	37.8%	27.0%	35.2%	+14.6	3
1976-09-05	@ Estoril	L 1-3	1725	1548	35.2%	27.0%	37.8%	-14.6	0
1976-09-05	Leixoes	W 1-0	1544	1526	59.9%	25.8%	14.3%	+4.3	3
1976-09-05	@ Montijo	L 0-1	1526	1544	14.3%	25.8%	59.9%	-4.3	0
1976-09-05	Portimonense	W 3-0	1755	1558	73.2%	20.5%	6.3%	+5.0	3
1976-09-05	@ Porto	L 0-3	1558	1755	6.3%	20.5%	73.2%	-5.0	0
1976-09-05	Benfica	W 3-0	1700	1847	41.7%	27.2%	31.1%	+22.4	3
1976-09-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1847	1700	31.1%	27.2%	41.7%	-22.4	0
1976-09-05	Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1512	1533	56.2%	26.5%	17.3%	-2.1	1
1976-09-05	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1533	1512	17.3%	26.5%	56.2%	+2.1	1
1976-09-12	Montijo	W 4-1	1535	1549	56.9%	26.4%	16.7%	+11.5	4
1976-09-12	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-4	1549	1535	16.7%	26.4%	56.9%	-11.5	3
1976-09-12	Estoril	D 1-1	1688	1563	68.3%	23.0%	8.7%	-3.4	2
1976-09-12	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1563	1688	8.7%	23.0%	68.3%	+3.4	4
1976-09-12	Braga	D 2-2	1825	1580	76.2%	18.7%	5.1%	-3.0	1
1976-09-12	@ Benfica	D 2-2	1580	1825	5.1%	18.7%	76.2%	+3.0	2
1976-09-12	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-1	1710	1575	69.1%	22.6%	8.3%	+5.8	3
1976-09-12	@ Boavista	L 1-4	1575	1710	8.3%	22.6%	69.1%	-5.8	3
1976-09-12	Porto	D 0-0	1521	1760	29.5%	26.3%	44.2%	+0.8	1
1976-09-12	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1760	1521	44.2%	26.3%	29.5%	-0.8	4
1976-09-12	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1553	1499	62.9%	25.0%	12.1%	+10.1	3
1976-09-12	@ Portimonense	L 0-3	1499	1553	12.1%	25.0%	62.9%	-10.1	0
1976-09-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1682	1723	54.3%	26.7%	19.0%	-20.9	3
1976-09-12	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1723	1682	19.0%	26.7%	54.3%	+20.9	6
1976-09-12	Varzim	W 7-1	1601	1510	65.8%	24.0%	10.2%	+13.4	3
1976-09-12	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-7	1510	1601	10.2%	24.0%	65.8%	-13.4	1
1976-09-19	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-1	1569	1684	45.8%	27.2%	27.0%	+12.0	6
1976-09-19	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1684	1569	27.0%	27.2%	45.8%	-12.0	2
1976-09-19	Leixoes	D 0-0	1489	1522	55.0%	26.6%	18.4%	-2.2	1
1976-09-19	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1522	1489	18.4%	26.6%	55.0%	+2.2	2
1976-09-19	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	1583	1661	50.2%	27.1%	22.7%	+14.9	5
1976-09-19	@ Braga	L 1-4	1661	1583	22.7%	27.1%	50.2%	-14.9	3
1976-09-19	Benfica	D 1-1	1566	1822	27.6%	26.0%	46.4%	+1.0	5
1976-09-19	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1822	1566	46.4%	26.0%	27.6%	-0.9	2
1976-09-19	Beira-Mar	W 5-2	1759	1546	74.2%	19.9%	5.9%	+3.4	7
1976-09-19	@ Porto	L 2-5	1546	1759	5.9%	19.9%	74.2%	-3.4	4
1976-09-19	Portimonense	W 2-0	1744	1563	72.2%	21.1%	6.8%	+3.8	9
1976-09-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1563	1744	6.8%	21.1%	72.2%	-3.8	3
1976-09-19	Montijo	W 7-2	1496	1537	54.2%	26.7%	19.0%	+17.0	4
1976-09-19	@ Varzim	L 2-7	1537	1496	19.0%	26.7%	54.2%	-17.0	3
1976-09-19	Boavista	L 1-2	1614	1716	47.4%	27.2%	25.4%	-10.7	3
1976-09-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1716	1614	25.4%	27.2%	47.4%	+10.7	6
1976-09-26	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1543	1487	63.1%	24.9%	11.9%	-2.9	5
1976-09-26	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1487	1543	11.9%	24.9%	63.1%	+2.9	2
1976-09-26	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1672	1603	64.1%	24.6%	11.3%	-14.9	2
1976-09-26	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1603	1672	11.3%	24.6%	64.1%	+14.9	6
1976-09-26	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1821	1581	75.9%	18.9%	5.2%	+1.5	5
1976-09-26	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1581	1821	5.2%	18.9%	75.9%	-1.5	6
1976-09-26	Varzim	L 2-3	1727	1513	74.3%	19.9%	5.8%	-14.9	6
1976-09-26	@ Boavista	W 3-2	1513	1727	5.8%	19.9%	74.3%	+14.9	7
1976-09-26	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1524	1747	31.5%	26.5%	42.0%	-7.7	2
1976-09-26	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1747	1524	42.0%	26.5%	31.5%	+7.7	12
1976-09-26	Porto	D 1-1	1520	1763	29.1%	26.2%	44.7%	+0.8	4
1976-09-26	@ Montijo	D 1-1	1763	1520	44.7%	26.2%	29.1%	-0.8	8
1976-09-26	Braga	D 0-0	1559	1598	54.5%	26.7%	18.8%	-2.1	4
1976-09-26	@ Portimonense	D 0-0	1598	1559	18.8%	26.7%	54.5%	+2.1	6
1976-09-26	Estoril	W 2-1	1646	1567	64.9%	24.3%	10.8%	+3.1	6
1976-09-26	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1567	1646	10.8%	24.3%	64.9%	-3.1	5
1976-10-03	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1580	1649	51.2%	27.0%	21.8%	+5.9	9
1976-10-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1649	1580	21.8%	27.0%	51.2%	-5.9	6
1976-10-03	Montijo	W 1-0	1489	1521	55.2%	26.6%	18.2%	+5.4	5
1976-10-03	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1521	1489	18.2%	26.6%	55.2%	-5.4	4
1976-10-03	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1712	1657	63.0%	25.0%	12.1%	-14.7	6
1976-10-03	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1657	1712	12.1%	25.0%	63.0%	+14.7	5
1976-10-03	Leixoes	D 0-0	1600	1517	65.3%	24.2%	10.5%	-3.5	7
1976-10-03	@ Braga	D 0-0	1517	1600	10.5%	24.2%	65.3%	+3.5	3
1976-10-03	Portimonense	W 2-0	1564	1557	58.9%	26.0%	15.1%	+8.6	8
1976-10-03	@ Estoril	L 0-2	1557	1564	15.1%	26.0%	58.9%	-8.6	4
1976-10-03	Beira-Mar	W 4-0	1755	1540	74.4%	19.9%	5.8%	+6.0	15
1976-10-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1540	1755	5.8%	19.9%	74.4%	-6.0	5
1976-10-03	Porto	W 1-0	1528	1762	30.2%	26.4%	43.5%	+10.5	10
1976-10-03	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1762	1528	43.5%	26.4%	30.2%	-10.5	8
1976-10-03	Benfica	W 2-1	1618	1822	34.0%	26.8%	39.2%	+9.1	9
1976-10-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1822	1618	39.2%	26.8%	34.0%	-9.1	5
1976-10-24	Braga	W 4-2	1534	1597	52.0%	27.0%	21.1%	+8.9	8
1976-10-24	@ Beira-Mar	L 2-4	1597	1534	21.1%	27.0%	52.0%	-8.8	7
1976-10-24	Varzim	D 0-0	1672	1539	68.9%	22.7%	8.4%	-3.8	6
1976-10-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1539	1672	8.4%	22.7%	68.9%	+3.9	11
1976-10-24	Boavista	W 2-1	1813	1697	67.7%	23.2%	9.1%	+2.6	8
1976-10-24	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1697	1813	9.1%	23.2%	67.7%	-2.6	6
1976-10-24	Estoril	D 1-1	1520	1573	53.0%	26.9%	20.1%	-1.7	4
1976-10-24	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1573	1520	20.1%	26.9%	53.0%	+1.7	9
1976-10-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1516	1761	28.8%	26.2%	45.1%	+0.8	5
1976-10-24	@ Montijo	D 1-1	1761	1516	45.1%	26.2%	28.8%	-0.8	16
1976-10-24	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1548	1586	54.6%	26.7%	18.7%	+5.5	7
1976-10-24	@ Portimonense	L 0-1	1586	1548	18.7%	26.7%	54.6%	-5.5	9
1976-10-24	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 8-2	1752	1495	76.9%	18.3%	4.8%	+4.8	11
1976-10-24	@ Porto	L 2-8	1495	1752	4.8%	18.3%	76.9%	-4.8	5
1976-10-24	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1643	1628	59.7%	25.8%	14.5%	+3.9	9
1976-10-24	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1628	1643	14.5%	25.8%	59.7%	-3.9	9
1976-10-31	Leixoes	D 0-0	1580	1518	63.6%	24.8%	11.7%	-3.2	10
1976-10-31	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1518	1580	11.7%	24.8%	63.6%	+3.2	5
1976-10-31	Benfica	L 2-3	1668	1816	41.7%	27.2%	31.1%	-9.1	6
1976-10-31	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 3-2	1816	1668	31.1%	27.2%	41.7%	+9.1	11
1976-10-31	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1695	1647	62.4%	25.1%	12.5%	+3.6	9
1976-10-31	@ Boavista	L 1-2	1647	1695	12.5%	25.1%	62.4%	-3.6	9
1976-10-31	Montijo	W 1-0	1588	1516	64.3%	24.5%	11.2%	+3.4	10
1976-10-31	@ Braga	L 0-1	1516	1588	11.2%	24.5%	64.3%	-3.4	5
1976-10-31	Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1575	1543	61.1%	25.5%	13.5%	-2.9	10
1976-10-31	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1543	1575	13.5%	25.5%	61.1%	+2.9	9
1976-10-31	Porto	W 3-0	1760	1756	58.6%	26.1%	15.3%	+12.7	19
1976-10-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1756	1760	15.3%	26.1%	58.6%	-12.7	11
1976-10-31	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1543	1490	62.8%	25.0%	12.2%	+3.5	14
1976-10-31	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1490	1543	12.2%	25.0%	62.8%	-3.5	5
1976-10-31	Portimonense	W 1-0	1624	1554	64.2%	24.6%	11.2%	+3.4	12
1976-10-31	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1554	1624	11.2%	24.6%	64.2%	-3.4	7
1976-11-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1486	1773	24.2%	25.3%	50.5%	-6.6	5
1976-11-07	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1773	1486	50.5%	25.3%	24.2%	+6.6	22
1976-11-07	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1546	1577	55.3%	26.6%	18.1%	-12.3	9
1976-11-07	@ Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1577	1546	18.1%	26.6%	55.3%	+12.3	13
1976-11-07	Varzim	W 2-0	1825	1546	78.2%	17.4%	4.3%	+2.2	14
1976-11-07	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1546	1825	4.3%	17.4%	78.2%	-2.2	14
1976-11-07	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1522	1627	47.0%	27.2%	25.8%	-1.1	6
1976-11-07	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1627	1522	25.8%	27.2%	47.0%	+1.1	13
1976-11-07	Estoril	D 0-0	1513	1572	52.4%	26.9%	20.7%	-1.9	6
1976-11-07	@ Montijo	D 0-0	1572	1513	20.7%	26.9%	52.4%	+1.9	11
1976-11-07	Boavista	L 1-3	1550	1698	41.6%	27.2%	31.1%	-16.6	7
1976-11-07	@ Portimonense	W 3-1	1698	1550	31.1%	27.2%	41.6%	+16.6	12
1976-11-07	Braga	W 5-2	1744	1591	70.3%	22.1%	7.7%	+4.6	14
1976-11-07	@ Porto	L 2-5	1591	1744	7.7%	22.1%	70.3%	-4.6	10
1976-11-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1644	1659	56.8%	26.4%	16.8%	-2.4	10
1976-11-07	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1659	1644	16.8%	26.4%	56.8%	+2.4	7
1976-11-21	Montijo	W 2-1	1589	1511	64.8%	24.3%	10.8%	+3.1	16
1976-11-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1511	1589	10.8%	24.3%	64.8%	-3.1	6
1976-11-21	Portimonense	W 3-2	1662	1534	68.5%	22.9%	8.6%	+2.3	10
1976-11-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1534	1662	8.6%	22.9%	68.5%	-2.3	7
1976-11-21	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1827	1641	72.5%	20.9%	6.6%	+1.9	17
1976-11-21	@ Benfica	L 0-1	1641	1827	6.6%	20.9%	72.5%	-1.9	10
1976-11-21	Leixoes	D 1-1	1715	1521	73.0%	20.6%	6.3%	-3.8	13
1976-11-21	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1521	1715	6.3%	20.6%	73.0%	+3.8	7
1976-11-21	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1587	1480	67.0%	23.5%	9.5%	+5.4	13
1976-11-21	@ Braga	L 0-2	1480	1587	9.5%	23.5%	67.0%	-5.4	5
1976-11-21	Porto	W 2-1	1574	1748	38.0%	27.1%	34.9%	+8.4	14
1976-11-21	@ Estoril	L 1-2	1748	1574	34.9%	27.1%	38.0%	-8.4	14
1976-11-21	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 3-4	1544	1780	29.9%	26.3%	43.7%	-6.9	14
1976-11-21	@ Varzim	W 4-3	1780	1544	43.7%	26.3%	29.9%	+6.9	25
1976-11-21	Beira-Mar	W 5-3	1628	1534	66.1%	23.9%	10.0%	+4.2	16
1976-11-21	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 3-5	1534	1628	10.0%	23.9%	66.1%	-4.2	9
1976-12-12	Estoril	D 1-1	1474	1582	46.8%	27.2%	26.0%	-1.0	6
1976-12-12	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1582	1474	26.0%	27.2%	46.8%	+1.0	15
1976-12-12	Boavista	L 1-2	1530	1711	37.1%	27.0%	35.9%	-8.8	9
1976-12-12	@ Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1711	1530	35.9%	27.0%	37.1%	+8.8	16
1976-12-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1524	1664	42.7%	27.2%	30.1%	-0.7	8
1976-12-12	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1664	1524	30.1%	27.2%	42.7%	+0.7	11
1976-12-12	Vitoria Setubal	L 0-2	1508	1632	44.7%	27.3%	28.1%	-20.3	6
1976-12-12	@ Montijo	W 2-0	1632	1508	28.1%	27.3%	44.7%	+20.4	19
1976-12-12	Benfica	L 1-2	1532	1829	23.1%	25.1%	51.9%	-6.0	7
1976-12-12	@ Portimonense	W 2-1	1829	1532	51.9%	25.1%	23.1%	+6.0	20
1976-12-12	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1740	1592	69.9%	22.2%	7.8%	+4.4	17
1976-12-12	@ Porto	L 0-2	1592	1740	7.8%	22.2%	69.9%	-4.4	16
1976-12-12	Braga	W 4-1	1786	1592	73.0%	20.6%	6.3%	+4.3	28
1976-12-12	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1592	1786	6.3%	20.6%	73.0%	-4.3	13
1976-12-12	Varzim	W 3-0	1639	1537	66.7%	23.7%	9.7%	+8.1	13
1976-12-12	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-3	1537	1639	9.7%	23.7%	66.7%	-8.1	14
1976-12-19	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1588	1473	67.6%	23.3%	9.1%	-3.7	17
1976-12-19	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1473	1588	9.1%	23.3%	67.6%	+3.7	7
1976-12-19	Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1665	1521	69.7%	22.4%	8.0%	+6.6	14
1976-12-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-3	1521	1665	8.0%	22.4%	69.7%	-6.6	9
1976-12-19	Leixoes	W 3-1	1835	1524	80.1%	16.1%	3.8%	+1.6	23
1976-12-19	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1524	1835	3.8%	16.1%	80.1%	-1.6	8
1976-12-19	Montijo	W 2-0	1720	1488	75.4%	19.2%	5.4%	+2.9	19
1976-12-19	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1488	1720	5.4%	19.2%	75.4%	-2.9	6
1976-12-19	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1583	1791	33.5%	26.7%	39.8%	-8.6	15
1976-12-19	@ Estoril	W 1-0	1791	1583	39.8%	26.7%	33.5%	+8.6	31
1976-12-19	Braga	W 2-0	1529	1588	52.4%	26.9%	20.7%	+11.3	17
1976-12-19	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1588	1529	20.7%	26.9%	52.4%	-11.3	13
1976-12-19	Portimonense	W 1-0	1648	1526	68.1%	23.1%	8.8%	+2.7	16
1976-12-19	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1526	1648	8.8%	23.1%	68.1%	-2.7	7
1976-12-19	Porto	L 0-1	1653	1744	48.7%	27.2%	24.2%	-11.6	19
1976-12-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1744	1653	24.2%	27.2%	48.7%	+11.6	20
1977-01-02	Vitoria Setubal	L 2-5	1477	1641	39.5%	27.1%	33.4%	-19.5	7
1977-01-02	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-2	1641	1477	33.4%	27.1%	39.5%	+19.5	22
1977-01-02	Benfica	D 2-2	1514	1837	20.7%	24.4%	54.8%	+1.3	10
1977-01-02	@ Beira-Mar	D 2-2	1837	1514	54.8%	24.4%	20.7%	-1.3	24
1977-01-02	Estoril	D 1-1	1576	1574	58.4%	26.1%	15.5%	-2.3	14
1977-01-02	@ Braga	D 1-1	1574	1576	15.5%	26.1%	58.4%	+2.3	16
1977-01-02	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1522	1650	44.2%	27.3%	28.6%	+7.2	11
1977-01-02	@ Leixoes	L 1-2	1650	1522	28.6%	27.3%	44.2%	-7.2	16
1977-01-02	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1485	1671	36.4%	27.0%	36.6%	+9.2	9
1977-01-02	@ Montijo	L 0-1	1671	1485	36.6%	27.0%	36.4%	-9.2	14
1977-01-02	Varzim	W 2-1	1523	1540	56.6%	26.4%	17.0%	+4.8	10
1977-01-02	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1540	1523	17.0%	26.4%	56.6%	-4.8	17
1977-01-02	Boavista	W 2-0	1756	1723	61.2%	25.5%	13.3%	+7.7	23
1977-01-02	@ Porto	L 0-2	1723	1756	13.3%	25.5%	61.2%	-7.7	19
1977-01-02	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1799	1584	74.4%	19.8%	5.8%	+3.1	34
1977-01-02	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1584	1799	5.8%	19.8%	74.4%	-3.1	17
1977-01-09	Braga	L 0-1	1581	1574	58.9%	26.0%	15.1%	-13.8	17
1977-01-09	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1574	1581	15.1%	26.0%	58.9%	+13.8	17
1977-01-09	Porto	W 2-0	1662	1764	47.5%	27.2%	25.3%	+13.2	17
1977-01-09	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1764	1662	25.3%	27.2%	47.5%	-13.2	23
1977-01-09	Montijo	W 4-1	1835	1494	81.7%	15.0%	3.3%	+2.0	27
1977-01-09	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1494	1835	3.3%	15.0%	81.7%	-2.0	9
1977-01-09	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 6-2	1715	1458	77.0%	18.2%	4.8%	+3.4	22
1977-01-09	@ Boavista	L 2-6	1458	1715	4.8%	18.2%	77.0%	-3.4	7
1977-01-09	Leixoes	W 3-0	1528	1529	58.1%	26.2%	15.8%	+13.0	13
1977-01-09	@ Portimonense	L 0-3	1529	1528	15.8%	26.2%	58.1%	-13.0	11
1977-01-09	Estoril	W 1-0	1536	1577	54.2%	26.7%	19.0%	+5.6	20
1977-01-09	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1577	1536	19.0%	26.7%	54.2%	-5.6	16
1977-01-09	Beira-Mar	W 4-1	1643	1516	68.5%	22.9%	8.6%	+6.0	19
1977-01-09	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-4	1516	1643	8.6%	22.9%	68.5%	-6.0	10
1977-01-09	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1661	1802	42.4%	27.2%	30.3%	+8.0	25
1977-01-09	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1802	1661	30.3%	27.2%	42.4%	-8.0	34
1977-01-16	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1454	1675	31.8%	26.6%	41.7%	+9.5	10
1977-01-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1675	1454	41.7%	26.6%	31.8%	-9.5	17
1977-01-16	Portimonense	D 2-2	1510	1541	55.2%	26.6%	18.1%	-1.5	11
1977-01-16	@ Beira-Mar	D 2-2	1541	1510	18.1%	26.6%	55.2%	+1.5	14
1977-01-16	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-0	1588	1669	49.9%	27.1%	23.0%	+17.8	20
1977-01-16	@ Braga	L 0-3	1669	1588	23.0%	27.1%	49.9%	-17.8	25
1977-01-16	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1571	1567	58.6%	26.1%	15.3%	-13.8	16
1977-01-16	@ Estoril	W 1-0	1567	1571	15.3%	26.1%	58.6%	+13.8	20
1977-01-16	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1492	1649	40.4%	27.2%	32.4%	+8.4	12
1977-01-16	@ Montijo	L 0-1	1649	1492	32.4%	27.2%	40.4%	-8.4	19
1977-01-16	Benfica	L 0-1	1750	1837	49.2%	27.2%	23.6%	-11.7	23
1977-01-16	@ Porto	W 1-0	1837	1750	23.6%	27.2%	49.2%	+11.7	30
1977-01-16	Boavista	D 0-0	1794	1718	64.7%	24.4%	10.9%	-3.4	35
1977-01-16	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1718	1794	10.9%	24.4%	64.7%	+3.4	23
1977-01-16	Leixoes	D 0-0	1541	1516	60.5%	25.6%	13.9%	-2.9	21
1977-01-16	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1516	1541	13.9%	25.6%	60.5%	+2.9	12
1977-01-23	Varzim	W 1-0	1581	1538	62.0%	25.2%	12.8%	+3.9	23
1977-01-23	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1538	1581	12.8%	25.2%	62.0%	-3.9	21
1977-01-23	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1666	1791	44.5%	27.3%	28.2%	-10.8	17
1977-01-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1791	1666	28.2%	27.3%	44.5%	+10.8	38
1977-01-23	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 6-0	1849	1464	84.0%	13.3%	2.7%	+3.5	33
1977-01-23	@ Benfica	L 0-6	1464	1849	2.7%	13.3%	84.0%	-3.5	10
1977-01-23	Braga	D 1-1	1722	1606	67.7%	23.2%	9.1%	-3.3	24
1977-01-23	@ Boavista	D 1-1	1606	1722	9.1%	23.2%	67.7%	+3.3	21
1977-01-23	Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1519	1508	59.2%	25.9%	14.8%	-13.9	12
1977-01-23	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1508	1519	14.8%	25.9%	59.2%	+13.9	14
1977-01-23	Montijo	D 0-0	1542	1501	61.9%	25.3%	12.8%	-3.0	15
1977-01-23	@ Portimonense	D 0-0	1501	1542	12.8%	25.3%	61.9%	+3.0	13
1977-01-23	Porto	L 0-1	1641	1739	47.9%	27.2%	24.9%	-11.5	19
1977-01-23	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1739	1641	24.9%	27.2%	47.9%	+11.5	26
1977-01-23	Estoril	D 0-0	1651	1557	66.0%	23.9%	10.1%	-3.5	26
1977-01-23	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1557	1651	10.1%	23.9%	66.0%	+3.5	17
1977-01-30	Varzim	D 0-0	1522	1534	57.1%	26.3%	16.6%	-2.4	15
1977-01-30	@ Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1534	1522	16.6%	26.3%	57.1%	+2.5	22
1977-01-30	Braga	W 2-0	1655	1609	62.3%	25.2%	12.6%	+7.2	20
1977-01-30	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-2	1609	1655	12.6%	25.2%	62.3%	-7.2	21
1977-01-30	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1853	1802	62.7%	25.1%	12.3%	+3.5	36
1977-01-30	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1802	1853	12.3%	25.1%	62.7%	-3.5	38
1977-01-30	Estoril	W 1-0	1719	1561	70.6%	21.9%	7.5%	+2.2	27
1977-01-30	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1561	1719	7.5%	21.9%	70.6%	-2.2	17
1977-01-30	Montijo	W 1-0	1505	1504	58.4%	26.1%	15.5%	+4.7	15
1977-01-30	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1504	1505	15.5%	26.1%	58.4%	-4.7	13
1977-01-30	Porto	L 0-2	1539	1750	33.1%	26.7%	40.3%	-16.1	15
1977-01-30	@ Portimonense	W 2-0	1750	1539	40.3%	26.7%	33.1%	+16.1	29
1977-01-30	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-0	1629	1460	71.4%	21.5%	7.1%	+9.3	22
1977-01-30	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-5	1460	1629	7.1%	21.5%	71.4%	-9.3	10
1977-01-30	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1647	1585	63.6%	24.8%	11.6%	-28.0	26
1977-01-30	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1585	1647	11.6%	24.8%	63.6%	+28.0	26
1977-02-06	Boavista	W 3-1	1613	1721	46.7%	27.2%	26.1%	+11.7	29
1977-02-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1721	1613	26.1%	27.2%	46.7%	-11.7	27
1977-02-06	Portimonense	L 1-2	1451	1523	50.9%	27.1%	22.1%	-11.4	10
1977-02-06	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1523	1451	22.1%	27.1%	50.9%	+11.4	18
1977-02-06	Benfica	L 0-1	1602	1856	27.7%	26.0%	46.3%	-7.4	21
1977-02-06	@ Braga	W 1-0	1856	1602	46.3%	26.0%	27.7%	+7.4	39
1977-02-06	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1559	1662	47.2%	27.2%	25.5%	-1.1	18
1977-02-06	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1662	1559	25.5%	27.2%	47.2%	+1.1	21
1977-02-06	Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1499	1520	56.3%	26.5%	17.3%	+14.0	16
1977-02-06	@ Montijo	L 0-3	1520	1499	17.3%	26.5%	56.3%	-14.0	15
1977-02-06	Leixoes	W 4-0	1766	1510	76.9%	18.3%	4.8%	+4.8	32
1977-02-06	@ Porto	L 0-4	1510	1766	4.8%	18.3%	76.9%	-4.8	15
1977-02-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1798	1638	70.8%	21.8%	7.4%	+2.0	41
1977-02-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1638	1798	7.4%	21.8%	70.8%	-2.0	22
1977-02-06	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-1	1537	1619	49.7%	27.1%	23.2%	+6.2	25
1977-02-06	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1619	1537	23.2%	27.1%	49.7%	-6.2	26
1977-02-13	Porto	L 0-3	1505	1771	26.5%	25.8%	47.8%	-19.5	15
1977-02-13	@ Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1771	1505	47.8%	25.8%	26.5%	+19.5	35
1977-02-13	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1663	1624	61.7%	25.3%	13.0%	+4.0	24
1977-02-13	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1624	1663	13.0%	25.3%	61.7%	-4.0	29
1977-02-13	Estoril	W 6-1	1864	1558	79.8%	16.4%	3.9%	+3.8	42
1977-02-13	@ Benfica	L 1-6	1558	1864	3.9%	16.4%	79.8%	-3.7	18
1977-02-13	Vitoria Setubal	W 1-0	1709	1613	66.2%	23.8%	9.9%	+3.0	30
1977-02-13	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1613	1709	9.9%	23.8%	66.2%	-3.0	26
1977-02-13	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1505	1440	63.9%	24.7%	11.5%	-3.3	16
1977-02-13	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1440	1505	11.5%	24.7%	63.9%	+3.3	11
1977-02-13	Varzim	D 2-2	1513	1543	55.4%	26.6%	18.1%	-1.5	17
1977-02-13	@ Montijo	D 2-2	1543	1513	18.1%	26.6%	55.4%	+1.5	26
1977-02-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1534	1800	26.4%	25.8%	47.8%	+0.8	19
1977-02-13	@ Portimonense	D 2-2	1800	1534	47.8%	25.8%	26.4%	-0.8	42
1977-02-13	Braga	W 1-0	1636	1594	61.9%	25.3%	12.8%	+3.9	25
1977-02-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1594	1636	12.8%	25.3%	61.9%	-3.9	21
1977-02-27	Benfica	L 0-1	1621	1867	28.6%	26.1%	45.3%	-7.6	29
1977-02-27	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1867	1621	45.3%	26.1%	28.6%	+7.6	45
1977-02-27	Beira-Mar	W 4-1	1443	1486	54.0%	26.8%	19.2%	+13.0	14
1977-02-27	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1486	1443	19.2%	26.8%	54.0%	-13.0	15
1977-02-27	Portimonense	W 3-1	1590	1535	63.0%	24.9%	12.0%	+6.0	24
1977-02-27	@ Braga	L 1-3	1535	1590	12.0%	24.9%	63.0%	-6.0	19
1977-02-27	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1554	1640	49.3%	27.2%	23.6%	-1.5	19
1977-02-27	@ Estoril	D 0-0	1640	1554	23.6%	27.2%	49.3%	+1.5	26
1977-02-27	Montijo	W 7-0	1790	1511	78.2%	17.4%	4.3%	+7.2	38
1977-02-27	@ Porto	L 0-7	1511	1790	4.3%	17.4%	78.2%	-7.2	17
1977-02-27	Leixoes	D 0-0	1799	1502	79.3%	16.7%	4.0%	-4.7	43
1977-02-27	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1502	1799	4.0%	16.7%	79.3%	+4.7	17
1977-02-27	Boavista	W 2-0	1544	1712	39.0%	27.1%	33.9%	+16.4	29
1977-02-27	@ Varzim	L 0-2	1712	1544	33.9%	27.1%	39.0%	-16.4	30
1977-02-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1610	1667	52.5%	26.9%	20.5%	+5.6	29
1977-02-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1667	1610	20.5%	26.9%	52.5%	-5.6	24
1977-03-06	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1473	1795	20.8%	24.4%	54.7%	+1.8	16
1977-03-06	@ Beira-Mar	D 1-1	1795	1473	54.7%	24.4%	20.8%	-1.8	44
1977-03-06	Boavista	D 1-1	1662	1696	54.9%	26.7%	18.4%	-1.9	25
1977-03-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1696	1662	18.4%	26.7%	54.9%	+1.9	31
1977-03-06	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1875	1616	77.1%	18.2%	4.8%	+2.2	48
1977-03-06	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1616	1875	4.8%	18.2%	77.1%	-2.2	29
1977-03-06	Braga	W 1-0	1507	1596	48.9%	27.2%	24.0%	+6.7	20
1977-03-06	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1596	1507	24.0%	27.2%	48.9%	-6.7	24
1977-03-06	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 6-0	1504	1456	62.5%	25.1%	12.4%	+19.9	20
1977-03-06	@ Montijo	L 0-6	1456	1504	12.4%	25.1%	62.5%	-19.9	14
1977-03-06	Estoril	W 2-1	1529	1552	56.0%	26.5%	17.5%	+4.9	22
1977-03-06	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1552	1529	17.5%	26.5%	56.0%	-4.9	19
1977-03-06	Varzim	W 2-1	1798	1561	75.7%	19.0%	5.3%	+1.4	41
1977-03-06	@ Porto	L 1-2	1561	1798	5.3%	19.0%	75.7%	-1.4	29
1977-03-06	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1642	1613	60.8%	25.6%	13.6%	-2.9	27
1977-03-06	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1613	1642	13.6%	25.6%	60.8%	+2.9	30
1977-03-20	Portimonense	W 3-2	1616	1534	65.1%	24.2%	10.6%	+2.9	33
1977-03-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1534	1616	10.6%	24.2%	65.1%	-2.9	22
1977-03-20	Porto	D 1-1	1436	1799	17.4%	23.3%	59.3%	+2.2	15
1977-03-20	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1799	1436	59.3%	23.3%	17.4%	-2.2	42
1977-03-20	Benfica	L 0-3	1698	1877	37.4%	27.0%	35.6%	-25.6	31
1977-03-20	@ Boavista	W 3-0	1877	1698	35.6%	27.0%	37.4%	+25.6	51
1977-03-20	Beira-Mar	W 3-0	1590	1475	67.6%	23.3%	9.1%	+7.6	27
1977-03-20	@ Braga	L 0-3	1475	1590	9.1%	23.3%	67.6%	-7.6	16
1977-03-20	Leixoes	W 2-0	1547	1513	61.3%	25.4%	13.3%	+7.6	22
1977-03-20	@ Estoril	L 0-2	1513	1547	13.3%	25.4%	61.3%	-7.6	20
1977-03-20	Montijo	W 2-0	1793	1524	77.6%	17.8%	4.5%	+2.4	47
1977-03-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-2	1524	1793	4.5%	17.8%	77.6%	-2.4	20
1977-03-20	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 0-0	1559	1660	47.6%	27.2%	25.1%	-1.3	30
1977-03-20	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1660	1559	25.1%	27.2%	47.6%	+1.3	26
1977-03-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1614	1639	55.8%	26.5%	17.6%	+5.2	32
1977-03-20	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-1	1639	1614	17.6%	26.5%	55.8%	-5.2	27
1977-03-27	Varzim	D 0-0	1438	1558	45.2%	27.3%	27.5%	-1.0	16
1977-03-27	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1558	1438	27.5%	27.3%	45.2%	+1.0	31
1977-03-27	Estoril	W 2-1	1467	1555	49.1%	27.2%	23.8%	+6.3	19
1977-03-27	@ Beira-Mar	L 1-2	1555	1467	23.8%	27.2%	49.1%	-6.3	22
1977-03-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1903	1661	76.0%	18.8%	5.1%	-4.0	52
1977-03-27	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1661	1903	5.1%	18.8%	76.0%	+4.0	27
1977-03-27	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1506	1619	46.1%	27.2%	26.7%	-10.4	20
1977-03-27	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1619	1506	26.7%	27.2%	46.1%	+10.4	36
1977-03-27	Braga	D 0-0	1522	1597	50.5%	27.1%	22.4%	-1.6	21
1977-03-27	@ Montijo	D 0-0	1597	1522	22.4%	27.1%	50.5%	+1.6	28
1977-03-27	Vitoria Setubal	D 0-0	1531	1619	49.1%	27.2%	23.7%	-1.5	23
1977-03-27	@ Portimonense	D 0-0	1619	1531	23.7%	27.2%	49.1%	+1.5	33
1977-03-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1797	1795	58.4%	26.1%	15.5%	+10.8	45
1977-03-27	@ Porto	L 1-4	1795	1797	15.5%	26.1%	58.4%	-10.8	47
1977-03-27	Boavista	D 0-0	1634	1672	54.5%	26.7%	18.8%	-2.1	28
1977-03-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 0-0	1672	1634	18.8%	26.7%	54.5%	+2.1	32
1977-04-03	Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1629	1474	70.5%	22.0%	7.6%	-4.0	37
1977-04-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1474	1629	7.6%	22.0%	70.5%	+4.0	20
1977-04-03	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1665	1632	61.2%	25.4%	13.3%	-2.7	28
1977-04-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1632	1665	13.3%	25.4%	61.2%	+2.7	29
1977-04-03	Portimonense	W 2-0	1674	1530	69.7%	22.3%	8.0%	+4.5	35
1977-04-03	@ Boavista	L 0-2	1530	1674	8.0%	22.3%	69.7%	-4.5	23
1977-04-03	Porto	L 0-3	1599	1808	33.4%	26.7%	39.9%	-23.5	28
1977-04-03	@ Braga	W 3-0	1808	1599	39.9%	26.7%	33.4%	+23.5	48
1977-04-03	Montijo	W 1-0	1549	1520	60.8%	25.6%	13.6%	+4.2	25
1977-04-03	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1520	1549	13.6%	25.6%	60.8%	-4.2	21
1977-04-03	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1785	1437	82.0%	14.8%	3.2%	-4.8	48
1977-04-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1437	1785	3.2%	14.8%	82.0%	+4.8	17
1977-04-03	Benfica	L 0-1	1559	1899	19.3%	24.0%	56.8%	-5.4	31
1977-04-03	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1899	1559	56.8%	24.0%	19.3%	+5.4	55
1977-04-03	Leixoes	D 1-1	1620	1495	68.3%	23.0%	8.7%	-3.4	34
1977-04-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1495	1620	8.7%	23.0%	68.3%	+3.4	21
1977-04-17	Braga	L 0-2	1442	1575	43.5%	27.2%	29.2%	-19.9	17
1977-04-17	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1575	1442	29.2%	27.2%	43.5%	+19.9	31
1977-04-17	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-2	1478	1617	42.8%	27.2%	30.0%	-9.8	20
1977-04-17	@ Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1617	1478	30.0%	27.2%	42.8%	+9.8	37
1977-04-17	Boavista	D 1-1	1499	1679	37.3%	27.0%	35.7%	-0.1	22
1977-04-17	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1679	1499	35.7%	27.0%	37.3%	+0.1	36
1977-04-17	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1516	1625	46.6%	27.2%	26.2%	-1.2	22
1977-04-17	@ Montijo	D 0-0	1625	1516	26.2%	27.2%	46.6%	+1.1	38
1977-04-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1525	1662	43.0%	27.2%	29.7%	-0.5	24
1977-04-17	@ Portimonense	D 2-2	1662	1525	29.7%	27.2%	43.0%	+0.5	29
1977-04-17	Estoril	D 0-0	1831	1553	78.2%	17.4%	4.4%	-4.6	49
1977-04-17	@ Porto	D 0-0	1553	1831	4.4%	17.4%	78.2%	+4.6	26
1977-04-17	Varzim	D 1-1	1780	1554	75.0%	19.4%	5.5%	-3.9	49
1977-04-17	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1554	1780	5.5%	19.4%	75.0%	+3.9	32
1977-04-17	Benfica	D 1-1	1634	1904	26.0%	25.7%	48.3%	+1.1	30
1977-04-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 1-1	1904	1634	48.3%	25.7%	26.0%	-1.1	56
1977-04-24	Porto	D 0-0	1626	1826	34.5%	26.8%	38.7%	+0.2	39
1977-04-24	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1826	1626	38.7%	26.8%	34.5%	-0.2	50
1977-04-24	Leixoes	D 1-1	1663	1498	71.1%	21.7%	7.3%	-3.6	30
1977-04-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1498	1663	7.3%	21.7%	71.1%	+3.6	23
1977-04-24	Portimonense	W 5-1	1903	1525	83.6%	13.6%	2.8%	+2.0	59
1977-04-24	@ Benfica	L 1-5	1525	1903	2.8%	13.6%	83.6%	-2.0	24
1977-04-24	Beira-Mar	D 0-0	1679	1468	74.1%	20.0%	5.9%	-4.3	37
1977-04-24	@ Boavista	D 0-0	1468	1679	5.9%	20.0%	74.1%	+4.3	21
1977-04-24	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1595	1776	37.2%	27.0%	35.8%	+14.8	34
1977-04-24	@ Braga	L 1-3	1776	1595	35.8%	27.0%	37.2%	-14.8	49
1977-04-24	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1558	1422	69.1%	22.6%	8.3%	-3.5	27
1977-04-24	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1422	1558	8.3%	22.6%	69.1%	+3.5	18
1977-04-24	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1558	1635	50.3%	27.1%	22.6%	+10.5	35
1977-04-24	@ Varzim	L 1-3	1635	1558	22.6%	27.1%	50.3%	-10.5	30
1977-04-24	Montijo	D 2-2	1627	1515	67.4%	23.4%	9.2%	-2.5	38
1977-04-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1515	1627	9.2%	23.4%	67.4%	+2.5	23
1977-04-30	Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1426	1627	34.4%	26.8%	38.8%	-8.8	18
1977-04-30	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1627	1426	38.8%	26.8%	34.4%	+8.8	42
1977-04-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 1-0	1472	1659	36.3%	27.0%	36.8%	+9.2	24
1977-04-30	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1659	1472	36.8%	27.0%	36.3%	-9.2	30
1977-04-30	Varzim	D 0-0	1610	1568	61.9%	25.3%	12.8%	-3.0	35
1977-04-30	@ Braga	D 0-0	1568	1610	12.8%	25.3%	61.9%	+3.0	36
1977-04-30	Benfica	L 1-2	1502	1905	14.6%	22.0%	63.4%	-3.8	23
1977-04-30	@ Leixoes	W 2-1	1905	1502	63.4%	22.0%	14.6%	+3.9	62
1977-04-30	Boavista	W 1-0	1517	1674	40.4%	27.2%	32.4%	+8.4	26
1977-04-30	@ Montijo	L 0-1	1674	1517	32.4%	27.2%	40.4%	-8.4	37
1977-04-30	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1523	1625	47.4%	27.2%	25.4%	+6.6	27
1977-04-30	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1625	1523	25.4%	27.2%	47.4%	-6.6	30
1977-04-30	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-1	1826	1624	73.5%	20.3%	6.1%	+2.9	53
1977-04-30	@ Porto	L 1-3	1624	1826	6.1%	20.3%	73.5%	-2.9	38
1977-04-30	Estoril	W 5-0	1761	1554	73.8%	20.2%	6.0%	+7.7	52
1977-04-30	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-5	1554	1761	6.0%	20.2%	73.8%	-7.7	27
1977-05-08	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1635	1769	43.5%	27.2%	29.2%	+7.4	45
1977-05-08	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1769	1635	29.2%	27.2%	43.5%	-7.4	52
1977-05-08	Montijo	L 1-2	1650	1526	68.3%	23.0%	8.7%	-14.8	30
1977-05-08	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-1	1526	1650	8.7%	23.0%	68.3%	+14.8	29
1977-05-08	Beira-Mar	W 4-0	1909	1481	86.0%	11.8%	2.2%	+1.9	65
1977-05-08	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1481	1909	2.2%	11.8%	86.0%	-1.9	24
1977-05-08	Porto	W 2-1	1666	1829	39.6%	27.1%	33.3%	+8.1	40
1977-05-08	@ Boavista	L 1-2	1829	1666	33.3%	27.1%	39.6%	-8.1	53
1977-05-08	Braga	W 3-1	1546	1607	52.1%	27.0%	20.9%	+9.8	30
1977-05-08	@ Estoril	L 1-3	1607	1546	20.9%	27.0%	52.1%	-9.8	35
1977-05-08	Portimonense	D 1-1	1571	1529	61.9%	25.3%	12.8%	-2.7	37
1977-05-08	@ Varzim	D 1-1	1529	1571	12.8%	25.3%	61.9%	+2.7	28
1977-05-08	Leixoes	W 2-0	1618	1498	68.0%	23.1%	8.9%	+5.1	33
1977-05-08	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-2	1498	1618	8.9%	23.1%	68.0%	-5.1	23
1977-05-08	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1621	1417	73.7%	20.2%	6.1%	+1.6	41
1977-05-08	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1417	1621	6.1%	20.2%	73.7%	-1.6	18
1977-05-15	Boavista	L 1-4	1415	1674	27.2%	25.9%	46.9%	-16.8	18
1977-05-15	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1674	1415	46.9%	25.9%	27.2%	+16.8	43
1977-05-15	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1479	1623	42.2%	27.2%	30.6%	+8.1	27
1977-05-15	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-1	1623	1479	30.6%	27.2%	42.2%	-8.1	33
1977-05-15	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-0	1597	1643	53.8%	26.8%	19.4%	+10.7	38
1977-05-15	@ Braga	L 0-2	1643	1597	19.4%	26.8%	53.8%	-10.7	45
1977-05-15	Varzim	D 1-1	1556	1569	57.1%	26.3%	16.6%	-2.2	31
1977-05-15	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1569	1556	16.6%	26.3%	57.1%	+2.2	38
1977-05-15	Portimonense	D 0-0	1493	1532	54.5%	26.7%	18.8%	-2.1	24
1977-05-15	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1532	1493	18.8%	26.7%	54.5%	+2.1	29
1977-05-15	Benfica	L 0-1	1541	1911	16.9%	23.0%	60.1%	-4.7	29
1977-05-15	@ Montijo	W 1-0	1911	1541	60.1%	23.0%	16.9%	+4.7	68
1977-05-15	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 8-0	1821	1635	72.5%	20.9%	6.6%	+13.3	56
1977-05-15	@ Porto	L 0-8	1635	1821	6.6%	20.9%	72.5%	-13.3	30
1977-05-15	Vitoria Setubal	W 6-1	1761	1623	69.3%	22.5%	8.2%	+9.0	55
1977-05-15	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1623	1761	8.2%	22.5%	69.3%	-9.0	41
1977-05-22	Estoril	W 1-0	1632	1554	64.8%	24.4%	10.8%	+3.3	48
1977-05-22	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1554	1632	10.8%	24.4%	64.8%	-3.3	31
1977-05-22	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1622	1398	74.9%	19.5%	5.6%	+1.5	33
1977-05-22	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1398	1622	5.6%	19.5%	74.9%	-1.5	18
1977-05-22	Porto	W 3-1	1915	1834	65.1%	24.3%	10.7%	+5.3	71
1977-05-22	@ Benfica	L 1-3	1834	1915	10.7%	24.3%	65.1%	-5.3	56
1977-05-22	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 0-0	1691	1770	50.1%	27.1%	22.8%	-1.6	44
1977-05-22	@ Boavista	D 0-0	1770	1691	22.8%	27.1%	50.1%	+1.6	56
1977-05-22	Varzim	W 1-0	1491	1571	50.0%	27.1%	22.9%	+6.5	27
1977-05-22	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1571	1491	22.9%	27.1%	50.0%	-6.5	38
1977-05-22	Beira-Mar	W 2-1	1534	1487	62.3%	25.1%	12.5%	+3.6	32
1977-05-22	@ Portimonense	L 1-2	1487	1534	12.5%	25.1%	62.3%	-3.6	27
1977-05-22	Montijo	W 3-2	1615	1536	64.9%	24.3%	10.7%	+2.9	36
1977-05-22	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1536	1615	10.7%	24.3%	64.9%	-2.9	29
1977-05-22	Braga	D 1-1	1614	1608	58.8%	26.0%	15.2%	-2.4	42
1977-05-22	@ Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1608	1614	15.2%	26.0%	58.8%	+2.4	39
1977-05-29	Benfica	L 0-2	1397	1921	8.7%	17.5%	73.8%	-4.3	18
1977-05-29	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-0	1921	1397	73.8%	17.5%	8.7%	+4.3	74
1977-05-29	Leixoes	W 2-0	1484	1498	57.0%	26.4%	16.7%	+9.4	30
1977-05-29	@ Beira-Mar	L 0-2	1498	1484	16.7%	26.4%	57.0%	-9.4	27
1977-05-29	Boavista	L 0-1	1610	1689	50.1%	27.1%	22.8%	-11.9	39
1977-05-29	@ Braga	W 1-0	1689	1610	22.8%	27.1%	50.1%	+11.9	47
1977-05-29	Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1551	1612	52.1%	27.0%	20.9%	-20.2	31
1977-05-29	@ Estoril	W 3-1	1612	1551	20.9%	27.0%	52.1%	+20.2	45
1977-05-29	Portimonense	D 2-2	1533	1538	57.8%	26.2%	16.0%	-1.7	30
1977-05-29	@ Montijo	D 2-2	1538	1533	16.0%	26.2%	57.8%	+1.7	33
1977-05-29	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-2	1829	1618	74.1%	20.0%	5.9%	+2.5	59
1977-05-29	@ Porto	L 2-4	1618	1829	5.9%	20.0%	74.1%	-2.5	36
1977-05-29	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 4-0	1772	1623	70.0%	22.2%	7.8%	+8.4	59
1977-05-29	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1623	1772	7.8%	22.2%	70.0%	-8.4	33
1977-05-29	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1564	1635	51.0%	27.0%	21.9%	+6.3	41
1977-05-29	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1635	1564	21.9%	27.0%	51.0%	-6.3	48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1976-09-26	5.83%	Varzim	1513	3	@ Boavista	1727	2
2	1977-05-08	8.73%	Montijo	1526	2	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1650	1
3	1976-09-26	11.27%	Vitoria Setubal	1603	1	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1672	0
4	1977-01-30	11.62%	Academica de Coimbra	1585	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1647	0
5	1976-10-03	12.06%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1657	1	@ Boavista	1712	0
6	1977-01-23	14.83%	Beira-Mar	1508	1	@ Leixoes	1519	0
7	1977-01-09	15.13%	Braga	1574	1	@ Academica de Coimbra	1581	0
8	1977-01-16	15.34%	Academica de Coimbra	1567	1	@ Estoril	1571	0
9	1976-11-07	18.12%	Academica de Coimbra	1577	2	@ Beira-Mar	1546	1
10	1976-09-12	18.99%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1723	3	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1682	1
11	1977-05-29	20.90%	Vitoria Setubal	1612	3	@ Estoril	1551	1
12	1977-02-06	22.05%	Portimonense	1523	2	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1451	1
13	1977-05-29	22.77%	Boavista	1689	1	@ Braga	1610	0
14	1977-01-16	23.65%	Benfica	1837	1	@ Porto	1750	0
15	1976-12-19	24.17%	Porto	1744	1	@ Vitoria Setubal	1653	0
16	1977-01-23	24.91%	Porto	1739	1	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1641	0
17	1976-09-19	25.36%	Boavista	1716	2	@ Vitoria Setubal	1614	1
18	1977-03-27	26.69%	Academica de Coimbra	1619	2	@ Leixoes	1506	1
19	1976-12-12	28.07%	Vitoria Setubal	1632	2	@ Montijo	1508	0
20	1977-01-23	28.20%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1791	1	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1666	0
21	1977-04-17	29.24%	Braga	1575	2	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1442	0
22	1977-04-17	30.02%	Vitoria Setubal	1617	2	@ Beira-Mar	1478	1
23	1976-10-03	30.18%	@ Varzim	1528	1	Porto	1762	0
24	1976-09-05	30.69%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1663	2	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1518	0
25	1976-10-31	31.12%	Benfica	1816	3	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1668	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1977-01-30	27.96	Academica de Coimbra	2	1585	11.62%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1647	63.62%
2	1977-03-20	25.61	Benfica	3	1877	35.62%	@ Boavista	0	1698	37.36%
3	1977-04-03	23.50	Porto	3	1808	39.91%	@ Braga	0	1599	33.38%
4	1976-09-05	22.40	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1700	41.74%	Benfica	0	1847	31.05%
5	1976-09-12	20.93	Sporting Clube de Portugal	3	1723	18.99%	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1682	54.27%
6	1976-12-12	20.35	Vitoria Setubal	2	1632	28.07%	@ Montijo	0	1508	44.68%
7	1977-05-29	20.18	Vitoria Setubal	3	1612	20.90%	@ Estoril	1	1551	52.15%
8	1977-04-17	19.91	Braga	2	1575	29.24%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1442	43.51%
9	1977-03-06	19.87	@ Montijo	6	1504	62.48%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1456	12.41%
10	1977-01-02	19.52	Vitoria Setubal	5	1641	33.40%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	2	1477	39.48%
11	1977-02-13	19.48	Porto	3	1771	47.77%	@ Beira-Mar	0	1505	26.46%
12	1976-09-05	19.38	Vitoria Guimaraes	2	1663	30.69%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1518	42.09%
13	1977-01-16	17.81	@ Braga	3	1588	49.92%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1669	22.97%
14	1976-09-19	17.02	@ Varzim	7	1496	54.25%	Montijo	2	1537	19.01%
15	1977-05-15	16.82	Boavista	4	1674	46.88%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1	1415	27.21%
16	1976-11-07	16.64	Boavista	3	1698	31.15%	@ Portimonense	1	1550	41.64%
17	1977-02-27	16.44	@ Varzim	2	1544	38.98%	Boavista	0	1712	33.92%
18	1976-09-05	16.36	@ Academica de Coimbra	3	1559	52.39%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1617	20.68%
19	1977-01-30	16.06	Porto	2	1750	40.26%	@ Portimonense	0	1539	33.06%
20	1976-09-26	14.94	Varzim	3	1513	5.83%	@ Boavista	2	1727	74.26%
21	1976-09-26	14.93	Vitoria Setubal	1	1603	11.27%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1672	64.13%
22	1976-09-19	14.86	@ Braga	4	1583	50.23%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1	1661	22.68%
23	1977-05-08	14.84	Montijo	2	1526	8.73%	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1650	68.27%
24	1977-04-24	14.79	@ Braga	3	1595	37.23%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	1776	35.76%
25	1976-10-03	14.69	Os Belenenses (1st)	1	1657	12.06%	@ Boavista	0	1712	62.97%