1945-46 Primeira Divisão Season

132 games

Final

Champion

Os Belenenses (1st)

38 points

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Os Belenenses (1st)

6.84 points above expected

38 points · 31.16 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Oliveirense

6.65 points below expected

8 points · 14.65 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	22	18	2	2	38	74	24	+50	31.16	+6.84
2	Benfica	22	17	3	2	37	82	29	+53	34.21	+2.79
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	22	15	2	5	32	73	36	+37	32.27	-0.27
4	Olhanense	22	13	1	8	27	65	39	+26	26.58	+0.42
5	Atletico Clube de Portugal	22	8	5	9	21	38	55	-17	23.53	-2.53
6	Porto	22	9	2	11	20	65	44	+21	26.14	-6.14
7	Vitoria Setubal	22	8	2	12	18	47	59	-12	19.39	-1.39
8	Vitoria Guimaraes	22	8	2	12	18	39	52	-13	14.89	+3.11
9	O Elvas	22	8	1	13	17	43	78	-35	16.98	+0.02
10	Academica de Coimbra	22	7	2	13	16	51	76	-25	12.11	+3.89
11	Boavista	22	6	0	16	12	39	73	-34	12.10	-0.10
12	Oliveirense	22	3	2	17	8	22	73	-51	14.65	-6.65

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Benfica	2071	37	34.21	+2.79	84.4%	21	29	32	34	36	39	44
Sporting Clube de Portugal	2033	32	32.27	-0.27	51.9%	18	27	30	32	35	38	43
Os Belenenses (1st)	1992	38	31.16	+6.84	98.6%	17	25	29	31	33	37	44
Olhanense	1728	27	26.58	+0.42	59.4%	13	21	24	27	29	32	40
Porto	1701	20	26.14	-6.14	6.3%	11	20	24	26	29	32	40
Atletico Clube de Portugal	1591	21	23.53	-2.53	28.4%	11	17	21	24	26	30	36
Vitoria Guimaraes	1516	18	14.89	+3.11	84.3%	3	9	12	15	17	21	29
Academica de Coimbra	1501	16	12.11	+3.89	89.4%	0	7	10	12	14	18	25
O Elvas	1497	17	16.98	+0.02	56.1%	4	11	15	17	19	23	31
Vitoria Setubal	1478	18	19.39	-1.39	40.7%	5	13	17	19	22	26	33
Oliveirense	1402	8	14.65	-6.65	4.0%	2	9	12	15	17	21	28
Boavista	1369	12	12.10	-0.10	55.3%	1	6	10	12	14	18	27

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ACDP	BEN	BOA	OE	OLH	OLI	OB(	POR	SCDP	VG	VS
Academica de Coimbra	—	0-0-2 0.99	0-1-1 0.55	1-0-1 3.02	1-0-1 2.15	0-0-2 1.13	2-0-0 2.57	0-0-2 0.71	1-0-1 0.70	0-1-1 0.50	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-1 2.34
Atletico Clube de Portugal	2-0-0 4.82	—	0-1-1 2.03	1-0-1 4.42	2-0-0 3.43	1-0-1 2.37	0-2-0 4.08	0-1-1 1.39	1-0-1 2.73	0-0-2 1.96	0-1-1 3.69	1-0-1 3.38
Benfica	1-1-0 5.26	1-1-0 3.78	—	2-0-0 5.19	2-0-0 5.25	2-0-0 4.25	2-0-0 5.42	1-0-1 3.63	2-0-0 3.98	1-0-1 3.42	2-0-0 5.26	1-1-0 4.78
Boavista	1-0-1 2.79	1-0-1 1.39	0-0-2 0.62	—	0-0-2 2.22	0-0-2 1.14	1-0-1 2.34	0-0-2 0.68	1-0-1 1.01	1-0-1 0.55	0-0-2 2.51	1-0-1 1.85
O Elvas	1-0-1 3.66	0-0-2 2.38	0-0-2 0.56	2-0-0 3.59	—	1-0-1 1.15	2-0-0 3.30	0-0-2 0.66	0-1-1 1.74	0-0-2 0.77	1-0-1 3.75	1-0-1 2.83
Olhanense	2-0-0 4.68	1-0-1 3.44	0-0-2 1.56	2-0-0 4.67	1-0-1 4.66	—	2-0-0 4.21	1-0-1 2.02	2-0-0 2.85	0-0-2 2.04	1-1-0 4.56	1-0-1 4.15
Oliveirense	0-0-2 3.24	0-2-0 1.72	0-0-2 0.39	1-0-1 3.47	0-0-2 2.51	0-0-2 1.60	—	0-0-2 1.30	0-0-2 1.30	0-0-2 0.75	1-0-1 2.62	1-0-1 2.06
Os Belenenses (1st)	2-0-0 5.10	1-1-0 4.41	1-0-1 2.18	2-0-0 5.13	2-0-0 5.15	1-0-1 3.78	2-0-0 4.51	—	2-0-0 4.02	1-1-0 2.42	2-0-0 4.86	2-0-0 4.13
Porto	1-0-1 5.11	1-0-1 3.08	0-0-2 1.83	1-0-1 4.80	1-1-0 4.07	0-0-2 2.96	2-0-0 4.51	0-0-2 1.79	—	0-0-2 2.06	2-0-0 4.58	1-1-0 3.36
Sporting Clube de Portugal	1-1-0 5.31	2-0-0 3.85	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 5.27	2-0-0 5.04	2-0-0 3.76	2-0-0 5.06	0-1-1 3.38	2-0-0 3.75	—	1-0-1 4.99	1-0-1 4.55
Vitoria Guimaraes	1-0-1 3.39	1-1-0 2.12	0-0-2 0.55	2-0-0 3.30	1-0-1 2.06	0-1-1 1.25	1-0-1 3.19	0-0-2 0.95	0-0-2 1.23	1-0-1 0.83	—	1-0-1 2.46
Vitoria Setubal	1-0-1 3.47	1-0-1 2.43	0-1-1 1.03	1-0-1 3.96	1-0-1 2.98	1-0-1 1.65	1-0-1 3.74	0-0-2 1.68	0-1-1 2.45	1-0-1 1.26	1-0-1 3.35	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.82	+4.7
Allowed	0.82	-4.6
Differential	0.90	+2.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.17%	2.27%	1.52%	1.14%	4.17%	13.26%
1	4.17%	3.79%	5.68%	3.79%	3.41%	4.55%	25.38%
2	2.27%	5.68%	3.03%	4.92%	3.03%	4.55%	23.48%
3	1.52%	3.79%	4.92%	1.52%	1.52%	0.76%	14.02%
4	1.14%	3.41%	3.03%	1.52%	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.17%	4.55%	4.55%	0.76%	—	0.76%	14.77%
Total	13.26%	25.38%	23.48%	14.02%	9.09%	14.77%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.42	2.42	+0.00
SD	2.00	2.00	3.25
CV	0.83	0.83	—
Max	11	11	+11
Min	0	0	-11

Games Played: 132

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	—	9.09%	9.09%
1	—	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	13.64%	31.82%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
3	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
Total	4.55%	13.64%	22.73%	18.18%	9.09%	31.82%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.32	3.45	-1.14
SD	1.70	2.20	3.33
CV	0.73	0.64	—
Max	6	8	+5
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	13.64%
1	—	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
2	—	18.18%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	31.82%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	—	40.91%	27.27%	9.09%	13.64%	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.73	2.50	-0.77
SD	1.16	2.26	2.96
CV	0.67	0.91	—
Max	4	11	+3
Min	0	1	-11

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	—	9.09%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
2	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
3	—	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%
4	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	27.27%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	22.73%	—	—	—	31.82%
Total	22.73%	36.36%	31.82%	4.55%	4.55%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.73	1.32	+2.41
SD	2.00	1.04	2.04
CV	0.54	0.79	—
Max	7	4	+6
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%	18.18%
1	4.55%	—	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%	36.36%
2	—	—	—	—	9.09%	9.09%	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
4	—	—	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	9.09%
Total	13.64%	13.64%	9.09%	13.64%	18.18%	31.82%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	3.32	-1.55
SD	1.51	2.23	3.02
CV	0.85	0.67	—
Max	5	7	+5
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	—	4.55%	9.09%	13.64%
1	9.09%	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	13.64%	36.36%
2	—	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%	22.73%
3	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
4	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
Total	13.64%	4.55%	18.18%	18.18%	4.55%	40.91%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.95	3.55	-1.59
SD	1.62	2.42	3.20
CV	0.83	0.68	—
Max	6	9	+3
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%
1	—	—	18.18%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	9.09%	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	9.09%
5+	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
Total	18.18%	22.73%	40.91%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.95	1.77	+1.18
SD	2.42	1.41	3.20
CV	0.82	0.80	—
Max	8	6	+7
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.64%	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	31.82%
1	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	36.36%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	31.82%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	9.09%	27.27%	—	27.27%	13.64%	22.73%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	3.32	-2.32
SD	0.82	2.68	2.77
CV	0.82	0.81	—
Max	2	10	+2
Min	0	0	-10

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	18.18%
2	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
3	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	—	18.18%
5+	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	27.27%
Total	27.27%	36.36%	36.36%	—	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.36	1.09	+2.27
SD	2.48	0.81	2.81
CV	0.74	0.74	—
Max	10	2	+10
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	4.55%	—	18.18%
1	—	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
2	—	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	22.73%
3	—	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	18.18%
4	—	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	4.55%	31.82%	31.82%	22.73%	9.09%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.95	2.00	+0.95
SD	2.94	1.07	3.51
CV	0.99	0.53	—
Max	11	4	+11
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
1	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
2	—	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	4.55%	18.18%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	4.55%	9.09%	—	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
5+	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	27.27%
Total	22.73%	40.91%	13.64%	13.64%	—	9.09%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	3.32	1.64	+1.68
SD	2.06	1.73	2.77
CV	0.62	1.06	—
Max	7	7	+7
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%
1	9.09%	—	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	31.82%
2	—	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	40.91%
3	—	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	13.64%	18.18%	27.27%	13.64%	13.64%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.77	2.36	-0.59
SD	1.11	1.62	2.11
CV	0.63	0.69	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	13.64%
1	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%	4.55%	22.73%
2	—	—	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	27.27%
3	—	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	—	22.73%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	—	—	13.64%
Total	9.09%	18.18%	22.73%	18.18%	18.18%	13.64%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	2.68	-0.55
SD	1.52	1.76	2.91
CV	0.71	0.65	—
Max	5	7	+5
Min	0	0	-7

Games Played: 22

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	38	31.16	+6.84
2	Academica de Coimbra	16	12.11	+3.89
3	Vitoria Guimaraes	18	14.89	+3.11
4	Benfica	37	34.21	+2.79
5	Olhanense	27	26.58	+0.42

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Oliveirense	8	14.65	-6.65
2	Porto	20	26.14	-6.14
3	Atletico Clube de Portugal	21	23.53	-2.53
4	Vitoria Setubal	18	19.39	-1.39
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	32	32.27	-0.27

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Os Belenenses (1st)	12	Feb 24 – May 26	1 in 72
2	Academica de Coimbra	2	Jan 6 – Jan 13	1 in 64
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	Jan 13 – Feb 24	1 in 26
4	Vitoria Setubal	2	Dec 30 – Jan 6	1 in 23
5	Benfica	11	Jan 27 – Apr 28	1 in 17

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Oliveirense	6	Dec 9 – Jan 13	1 in 171
2	Boavista	11	Jan 27 – Apr 28	1 in 108
3	Porto	3	Dec 30 – Jan 13	1 in 86
4	Olhanense	3	May 5 – May 19	1 in 15
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1	Dec 16 – Dec 16	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Academica de Coimbra	2	Jan 6 – Jan 13	1 in 20
2	Os Belenenses (1st)	12	Feb 24 – May 26	1 in 15
3	Atletico Clube de Portugal	4	Jan 20 – Feb 10	1 in 13
4	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	Jan 27 – Feb 10	1 in 12
5	Sporting Clube de Portugal	6	Jan 13 – Feb 24	1 in 10

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Porto	6	Dec 30 – Feb 3	1 in 114
2	Benfica	3	Dec 9 – Dec 23	1 in 47
3	Atletico Clube de Portugal	5	Apr 21 – May 19	1 in 34
4	O Elvas	8	Dec 30 – Feb 24	1 in 22
5	Boavista	11	Jan 27 – Apr 28	1 in 22

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Os Belenenses (1st)	17.70%	29.55%	30.79%	13.65%	5.88%	2.04%	0.33%	0.04%	0.02%	—	—	—
Benfica	55.60%	26.19%	12.45%	4.30%	1.20%	0.22%	0.04%	—	—	—	—	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	23.38%	33.64%	27.67%	10.63%	3.63%	0.97%	0.07%	—	0.01%	—	—	—
Olhanense	1.68%	5.03%	13.18%	31.27%	27.77%	14.50%	4.69%	1.43%	0.33%	0.10%	0.02%	—
Atletico Clube de Portugal	0.20%	1.08%	3.61%	11.60%	21.52%	34.74%	16.95%	6.77%	2.15%	0.98%	0.37%	0.03%
Porto	1.43%	4.42%	11.74%	25.58%	30.20%	18.38%	6.07%	1.56%	0.48%	0.09%	0.03%	0.02%
Vitoria Setubal	—	0.08%	0.44%	2.41%	6.86%	16.85%	32.57%	19.31%	10.37%	6.47%	3.35%	1.29%
Vitoria Guimaraes	—	—	0.03%	0.12%	0.66%	3.00%	10.18%	17.57%	23.44%	19.29%	15.44%	10.27%
O Elvas	0.01%	0.01%	0.08%	0.34%	1.73%	6.13%	17.30%	25.58%	20.32%	15.19%	8.91%	4.40%
Academica de Coimbra	—	—	—	0.01%	0.08%	0.49%	2.55%	7.18%	12.04%	18.52%	26.70%	32.43%
Boavista	—	—	0.01%	0.01%	0.08%	0.49%	2.24%	6.74%	11.61%	17.40%	24.96%	36.46%
Oliveirense	—	—	—	0.08%	0.39%	2.19%	7.01%	13.82%	19.23%	21.96%	20.22%	15.10%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+31.82%

Strong Edge

61.36%9.09%29.55%

Elo Value

Home Edge

150 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

0114.52400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+1.23 goals

Strong Home

-2+0.77+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd * Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th * Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

2.5

Top-Heavy

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

18%

Os Belenenses (1st), 3rd of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.05/gm

Photo Finish

00.130.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 2.84 * Some Luck: 2.84 to 4.26 * Lucky: 4.26 to 5.67 * Wild Swing: 5.67 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 0.89 * Close: 0.89 to 1.33 * Off: 1.33 to 1.78 * Way Off: 1.78 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 12 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 12 * As Expected: 12 to 19.2 * Several Outliers: 19.2 to 26.4 * Many Outliers: 26.4 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

3.76 points

Some Luck

03.559

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.00

01.112.5

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

98.56%

Os Belenenses (1st)

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

3.97%

Oliveirense

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 12

Minimal Outliers

01.26

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.23

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

2.03

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

85%

Wide Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline 99%

98%

Dominant

50%100%

Close Games

Expected

42%

Frequent

0%35%100%

Blowouts

Expected

39%

Very Frequent

0%45%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.41

Highly Predictable

00.412

Matchup Imbalance

0.57

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.13

Wilder Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.66

Strong Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

17%

Chalky

0%19%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

14%

Solid Favorites

0%16%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.12 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.12 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.

Probability calibration

0.98

Excellent

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.96

Calibrated

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.049

Well Within Noise

00.1160.3

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Same level	Direct relegation
Benfica	100%	—
Olhanense	100%	—
Os Belenenses (1st)	100%	—
Sporting Clube de Portugal	100%	—
Porto	99.98%	0.02%
Atletico Clube de Portugal	99.97%	0.03%
Vitoria Setubal	98.71%	1.29%
O Elvas	95.60%	4.40%
Vitoria Guimaraes	89.73%	10.27%
Oliveirense	84.90%	15.10%
Academica de Coimbra	67.57%	32.43%
Boavista	63.54%	36.46%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1945-12-09	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1424	1811	19.1%	9.6%	71.4%	-8.0	0
1945-12-09	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1811	1424	71.4%	9.6%	19.1%	+8.0	2
1945-12-09	Vitoria Setubal	D 1-1	1909	1634	84.7%	9.5%	5.9%	-8.8	1
1945-12-09	@ Benfica	D 1-1	1634	1909	5.9%	9.5%	84.7%	+8.8	1
1945-12-09	Boavista	W 6-3	1674	1346	86.2%	9.5%	4.4%	+4.0	2
1945-12-09	@ O Elvas	L 3-6	1346	1674	4.4%	9.5%	86.2%	-3.9	0
1945-12-09	Oliveirense	W 8-1	1645	1674	63.9%	9.6%	26.4%	+60.7	2
1945-12-09	@ Olhanense	L 1-8	1674	1645	26.4%	9.6%	63.9%	-60.7	0
1945-12-09	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-2	1652	1444	82.0%	9.6%	8.4%	+3.6	2
1945-12-09	@ Porto	L 2-3	1444	1652	8.4%	9.6%	82.0%	-3.6	0
1945-12-09	Os Belenenses (1st)	D 1-1	1862	1802	72.7%	9.6%	17.6%	-6.0	1
1945-12-09	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1802	1862	17.6%	9.6%	72.7%	+6.0	1
1945-12-16	Benfica	D 1-1	1819	1900	57.6%	9.6%	32.7%	-2.6	3
1945-12-16	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1900	1819	32.7%	9.6%	57.6%	+2.6	2
1945-12-16	Academica de Coimbra	W 7-0	1808	1416	87.5%	9.4%	3.1%	+9.1	3
1945-12-16	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-7	1416	1808	3.1%	9.4%	87.5%	-9.1	0
1945-12-16	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 1-0	1342	1856	10.2%	9.5%	80.3%	+35.0	2
1945-12-16	@ Boavista	L 0-1	1856	1342	80.3%	9.5%	10.2%	-35.0	1
1945-12-16	O Elvas	L 0-1	1613	1678	59.7%	9.6%	30.7%	-25.9	0
1945-12-16	@ Oliveirense	W 1-0	1678	1613	30.7%	9.6%	59.7%	+25.9	4
1945-12-16	Olhanense	D 2-2	1441	1706	32.4%	9.6%	58.0%	+2.0	1
1945-12-16	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1706	1441	58.0%	9.6%	32.4%	-2.0	3
1945-12-16	Porto	L 1-4	1643	1655	65.8%	9.6%	24.6%	-65.9	1
1945-12-16	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1655	1643	24.6%	9.6%	65.8%	+65.9	4
1945-12-23	Benfica	D 3-3	1407	1903	11.2%	9.5%	79.3%	+4.7	1
1945-12-23	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 3-3	1903	1407	79.3%	9.5%	11.2%	-4.7	3
1945-12-23	Boavista	W 6-1	1817	1377	88.3%	9.4%	2.4%	+4.2	5
1945-12-23	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-6	1377	1817	2.4%	9.4%	88.3%	-4.2	2
1945-12-23	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-2	1704	1443	84.2%	9.5%	6.3%	+4.5	6
1945-12-23	@ O Elvas	L 2-4	1443	1704	6.3%	9.5%	84.2%	-4.5	1
1945-12-23	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1704	1577	77.6%	9.6%	12.8%	+11.5	5
1945-12-23	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1577	1704	12.8%	9.6%	77.6%	-11.5	1
1945-12-23	Oliveirense	W 3-0	1821	1587	83.2%	9.5%	7.3%	+9.6	3
1945-12-23	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-3	1587	1821	7.3%	9.5%	83.2%	-9.6	0
1945-12-25	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 11-0	1721	1817	55.7%	9.6%	34.6%	+146.3	6
1945-12-25	@ Porto	L 0-11	1817	1721	34.6%	9.6%	55.7%	-146.3	3
1945-12-30	Olhanense	W 2-1	1670	1715	62.1%	9.6%	28.2%	+12.2	5
1945-12-30	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1715	1670	28.2%	9.6%	62.1%	-12.2	5
1945-12-30	Porto	W 4-0	1898	1867	70.1%	9.6%	20.3%	+33.9	5
1945-12-30	@ Benfica	L 0-4	1867	1898	20.3%	9.6%	70.1%	-33.9	6
1945-12-30	Academica de Coimbra	W 5-0	1373	1411	62.9%	9.6%	27.5%	+55.7	4
1945-12-30	@ Boavista	L 0-5	1411	1373	27.5%	9.6%	62.9%	-55.7	1
1945-12-30	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1577	1821	35.2%	9.6%	55.2%	-15.9	0
1945-12-30	@ Oliveirense	W 1-0	1821	1577	55.2%	9.6%	35.2%	+15.9	7
1945-12-30	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1438	1831	18.6%	9.6%	71.8%	-14.3	1
1945-12-30	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1831	1438	71.8%	9.6%	18.6%	+14.3	5
1945-12-30	O Elvas	W 5-0	1566	1708	49.4%	9.6%	41.0%	+80.5	3
1945-12-30	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-5	1708	1566	41.0%	9.6%	49.4%	-80.5	6
1946-01-06	Porto	W 2-1	1356	1834	12.3%	9.5%	78.2%	+32.1	3
1946-01-06	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1834	1356	78.2%	9.5%	12.3%	-32.1	6
1946-01-06	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-1	1837	1424	87.9%	9.4%	2.7%	+4.0	9
1946-01-06	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-5	1424	1837	2.7%	9.4%	87.9%	-4.0	1
1946-01-06	Oliveirense	W 3-0	1429	1562	50.7%	9.6%	39.6%	+48.5	6
1946-01-06	@ Boavista	L 0-3	1562	1429	39.6%	9.6%	50.7%	-48.5	0
1946-01-06	Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1628	1683	60.9%	9.6%	29.5%	-24.9	6
1946-01-06	@ O Elvas	W 2-1	1683	1628	29.5%	9.6%	60.9%	+24.9	7
1946-01-06	Benfica	L 1-2	1703	1932	37.1%	9.6%	53.3%	-15.7	5
1946-01-06	@ Olhanense	W 2-1	1932	1703	53.3%	9.6%	37.1%	+15.7	7
1946-01-06	Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1845	1646	81.7%	9.6%	8.8%	-31.9	5
1946-01-06	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1646	1845	8.8%	9.6%	81.7%	+31.9	5
1946-01-13	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1708	1813	54.4%	9.6%	35.9%	-54.8	7
1946-01-13	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-1	1813	1708	35.9%	9.6%	54.4%	+54.8	7
1946-01-13	O Elvas	W 5-2	1948	1603	86.6%	9.4%	4.0%	+3.9	9
1946-01-13	@ Benfica	L 2-5	1603	1948	4.0%	9.4%	86.6%	-3.9	6
1946-01-13	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1513	1388	77.6%	9.6%	12.8%	-30.2	0
1946-01-13	@ Oliveirense	W 3-2	1388	1513	12.8%	9.6%	77.6%	+30.2	5
1946-01-13	Olhanense	L 3-4	1801	1687	76.8%	9.6%	13.6%	-29.2	6
1946-01-13	@ Porto	W 4-3	1687	1801	13.6%	9.6%	76.8%	+29.2	7
1946-01-13	Boavista	W 3-1	1420	1477	60.6%	9.6%	29.8%	+22.2	3
1946-01-13	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-3	1477	1420	29.8%	9.6%	60.6%	-22.2	6
1946-01-13	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1678	1841	46.5%	9.6%	43.9%	-47.3	5
1946-01-13	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1841	1678	43.9%	9.6%	46.5%	+47.3	11
1946-01-20	Olhanense	L 1-3	1418	1716	28.3%	9.6%	62.1%	-21.2	5
1946-01-20	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1716	1418	62.1%	9.6%	28.3%	+21.2	9
1946-01-20	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1888	1653	83.2%	9.5%	7.2%	-6.3	12
1946-01-20	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	D 2-2	1653	1888	7.2%	9.5%	83.2%	+6.3	8
1946-01-20	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-1	1455	1631	44.6%	9.6%	45.8%	+60.2	8
1946-01-20	@ Boavista	L 1-5	1631	1455	45.8%	9.6%	44.6%	-60.2	5
1946-01-20	Porto	D 3-3	1599	1772	45.0%	9.6%	45.4%	+0.0	7
1946-01-20	@ O Elvas	D 3-3	1772	1599	45.4%	9.6%	45.0%	-0.0	7
1946-01-20	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 1-0	1483	1442	71.0%	9.6%	19.4%	+9.1	2
1946-01-20	@ Oliveirense	L 0-1	1442	1483	19.4%	9.6%	71.0%	-9.1	3
1946-01-20	Benfica	W 4-3	1868	1952	57.3%	9.6%	33.1%	+13.1	9
1946-01-20	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 3-4	1952	1868	33.1%	9.6%	57.3%	-13.1	9
1946-01-27	Boavista	W 4-1	1659	1515	78.7%	9.6%	11.7%	+12.9	10
1946-01-27	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1515	1659	11.7%	9.6%	78.7%	-12.9	8
1946-01-27	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1939	1882	72.4%	9.6%	17.9%	+15.9	11
1946-01-27	@ Benfica	L 0-2	1882	1939	17.9%	9.6%	72.4%	-15.9	12
1946-01-27	O Elvas	W 8-1	1738	1599	78.4%	9.6%	12.0%	+28.5	11
1946-01-27	@ Olhanense	L 1-8	1599	1738	12.0%	9.6%	78.4%	-28.5	7
1946-01-27	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-3	1772	1881	54.0%	9.6%	36.4%	-21.0	7
1946-01-27	@ Porto	W 3-2	1881	1772	36.4%	9.6%	54.0%	+21.0	11
1946-01-27	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1433	1397	70.6%	9.6%	19.7%	+8.7	5
1946-01-27	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1397	1433	19.7%	9.6%	70.6%	-8.7	5
1946-01-27	Oliveirense	W 3-1	1571	1492	74.3%	9.6%	16.1%	+12.5	7
1946-01-27	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1492	1571	16.1%	9.6%	74.3%	-12.5	2
1946-02-03	O Elvas	W 5-1	1388	1570	43.7%	9.6%	46.7%	+61.3	7
1946-02-03	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-5	1570	1388	46.7%	9.6%	43.7%	-61.3	7
1946-02-03	Porto	W 3-2	1866	1751	76.9%	9.6%	13.5%	+5.8	14
1946-02-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1751	1866	13.5%	9.6%	76.9%	-5.8	7
1946-02-03	Benfica	L 2-4	1502	1955	14.0%	9.5%	76.5%	-9.7	8
1946-02-03	@ Boavista	W 4-2	1955	1502	76.5%	9.5%	14.0%	+9.7	13
1946-02-03	Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1479	1672	42.2%	9.6%	48.2%	+0.6	3
1946-02-03	@ Oliveirense	D 1-1	1672	1479	48.2%	9.6%	42.2%	-0.6	11
1946-02-03	Olhanense	W 1-0	1902	1766	78.3%	9.6%	12.2%	+5.8	13
1946-02-03	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1766	1902	12.2%	9.6%	78.3%	-5.8	11
1946-02-03	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1442	1583	49.5%	9.6%	40.8%	+16.3	7
1946-02-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1583	1442	40.8%	9.6%	49.5%	-16.3	7
1946-02-10	Vitoria Setubal	L 3-5	1449	1567	52.8%	9.6%	37.6%	-31.8	7
1946-02-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 5-3	1567	1449	37.6%	9.6%	52.8%	+31.8	9
1946-02-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	D 2-2	1671	1458	82.3%	9.5%	8.1%	-6.2	12
1946-02-10	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 2-2	1458	1671	8.1%	9.5%	82.3%	+6.2	8
1946-02-10	Oliveirense	W 7-2	1964	1480	88.9%	9.3%	1.8%	+2.7	15
1946-02-10	@ Benfica	L 2-7	1480	1964	1.8%	9.3%	88.9%	-2.7	3
1946-02-10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 2-6	1509	1908	18.1%	9.6%	72.3%	-21.5	7
1946-02-10	@ O Elvas	W 6-2	1908	1509	72.3%	9.6%	18.1%	+21.5	15
1946-02-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	W 2-0	1760	1872	53.6%	9.6%	36.7%	+31.2	13
1946-02-10	@ Olhanense	L 0-2	1872	1760	36.7%	9.6%	53.6%	-31.2	14
1946-02-10	Boavista	W 3-1	1745	1493	83.9%	9.5%	6.6%	+5.2	9
1946-02-10	@ Porto	L 1-3	1493	1745	6.6%	9.5%	83.9%	-5.2	8
1946-02-24	O Elvas	W 5-2	1841	1487	86.8%	9.4%	3.8%	+3.7	16
1946-02-24	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-5	1487	1841	3.8%	9.4%	86.8%	-3.7	7
1946-02-24	Olhanense	L 2-7	1488	1791	27.7%	9.6%	62.7%	-38.8	8
1946-02-24	@ Boavista	W 7-2	1791	1488	62.7%	9.6%	27.7%	+38.8	15
1946-02-24	Porto	L 2-4	1477	1751	31.4%	9.6%	59.0%	-20.9	3
1946-02-24	@ Oliveirense	W 4-2	1751	1477	59.0%	9.6%	31.4%	+20.9	11
1946-02-24	Academica de Coimbra	W 6-1	1929	1417	89.1%	9.3%	1.6%	+2.8	17
1946-02-24	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-6	1417	1929	1.6%	9.3%	89.1%	-2.8	7
1946-02-24	Benfica	L 2-5	1464	1967	10.8%	9.5%	79.7%	-10.3	8
1946-02-24	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-2	1967	1464	79.7%	9.5%	10.8%	+10.3	17
1946-02-24	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-1	1599	1665	59.5%	9.6%	30.9%	+23.0	11
1946-02-24	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1665	1599	30.9%	9.6%	59.5%	-23.0	12
1946-03-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1642	1415	82.9%	9.5%	7.5%	+3.4	14
1946-03-03	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1415	1642	7.5%	9.5%	82.9%	-3.4	7
1946-03-03	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1844	1932	56.8%	9.6%	33.6%	+14.4	18
1946-03-03	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1932	1844	33.6%	9.6%	56.8%	-14.3	17
1946-03-03	O Elvas	L 0-1	1449	1484	63.2%	9.6%	27.1%	-27.4	8
1946-03-03	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1484	1449	27.1%	9.6%	63.2%	+27.4	9
1946-03-03	Olhanense	L 2-3	1456	1830	20.3%	9.6%	70.1%	-8.5	3
1946-03-03	@ Oliveirense	W 3-2	1830	1456	70.1%	9.6%	20.3%	+8.5	17
1946-03-03	Porto	L 1-2	1454	1771	26.1%	9.6%	64.2%	-11.4	8
1946-03-03	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-1	1771	1454	64.2%	9.6%	26.1%	+11.4	13
1946-03-03	Benfica	L 1-4	1622	1977	22.1%	9.6%	68.3%	-23.7	11
1946-03-03	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 4-1	1977	1622	68.3%	9.6%	22.1%	+23.7	19
1946-03-10	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-3	1411	1859	14.3%	9.5%	76.2%	-11.1	7
1946-03-10	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 3-1	1859	1411	76.2%	9.5%	14.3%	+11.1	20
1946-03-10	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 5-0	2001	1646	86.8%	9.4%	3.8%	+8.1	21
1946-03-10	@ Benfica	L 0-5	1646	2001	3.8%	9.4%	86.8%	-8.1	14
1946-03-10	Oliveirense	W 3-0	1511	1448	73.0%	9.6%	17.4%	+22.4	11
1946-03-10	@ O Elvas	L 0-3	1448	1511	17.4%	9.6%	73.0%	-22.5	3
1946-03-10	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 5-2	1839	1443	87.6%	9.4%	3.0%	+2.9	19
1946-03-10	@ Olhanense	L 2-5	1443	1839	3.0%	9.4%	87.6%	-2.9	8
1946-03-10	Vitoria Setubal	D 2-2	1783	1598	81.0%	9.6%	9.4%	-5.9	14
1946-03-10	@ Porto	D 2-2	1598	1783	9.4%	9.6%	81.0%	+5.9	12
1946-03-10	Boavista	W 7-1	1918	1421	89.0%	9.3%	1.7%	+3.6	19
1946-03-10	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-7	1421	1918	1.7%	9.3%	89.0%	-3.6	8
1946-03-17	Porto	W 2-1	1638	1777	49.8%	9.6%	40.6%	+17.0	16
1946-03-17	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1777	1638	40.6%	9.6%	49.8%	-17.1	14
1946-03-17	Academica de Coimbra	W 7-1	2009	1400	89.9%	9.2%	0.9%	+1.9	23
1946-03-17	@ Benfica	L 1-7	1400	2009	0.9%	9.2%	89.9%	-1.9	7
1946-03-17	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-4	1418	1870	14.0%	9.5%	76.5%	-15.3	8
1946-03-17	@ Boavista	W 4-1	1870	1418	76.5%	9.5%	14.0%	+15.3	22
1946-03-17	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-4	1426	1921	11.2%	9.5%	79.3%	-12.3	3
1946-03-17	@ Oliveirense	W 4-1	1921	1426	79.3%	9.5%	11.2%	+12.4	21
1946-03-17	O Elvas	W 5-0	1440	1534	56.0%	9.6%	34.4%	+68.6	10
1946-03-17	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-5	1534	1440	34.4%	9.6%	56.0%	-68.6	11
1946-03-17	Olhanense	W 3-2	1604	1842	36.0%	9.6%	54.4%	+21.2	14
1946-03-17	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 2-3	1842	1604	54.4%	9.6%	36.0%	-21.2	19
1946-03-31	Boavista	W 5-2	1398	1402	66.6%	9.6%	23.7%	+22.0	9
1946-03-31	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-5	1402	1398	23.7%	9.6%	66.6%	-22.0	8
1946-03-31	Oliveirense	W 10-0	1885	1413	88.7%	9.3%	2.0%	+8.2	24
1946-03-31	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-10	1413	1885	2.0%	9.3%	88.7%	-8.2	3
1946-03-31	Vitoria Setubal	W 5-2	1465	1625	46.9%	9.6%	43.5%	+38.6	13
1946-03-31	@ O Elvas	L 2-5	1625	1465	43.5%	9.6%	46.9%	-38.6	14
1946-03-31	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 3-0	1821	1655	80.0%	9.6%	10.4%	+13.7	21
1946-03-31	@ Olhanense	L 0-3	1655	1821	10.4%	9.6%	80.0%	-13.7	16
1946-03-31	Benfica	L 0-2	1760	2011	34.2%	9.6%	56.2%	-29.1	14
1946-03-31	@ Porto	W 2-0	2011	1760	56.2%	9.6%	34.2%	+29.2	25
1946-03-31	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 2-3	1934	1508	88.1%	9.4%	2.5%	-34.6	21
1946-03-31	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 3-2	1508	1934	2.5%	9.4%	88.1%	+34.6	12
1946-04-07	O Elvas	W 3-1	1641	1504	78.3%	9.6%	12.1%	+9.4	18
1946-04-07	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 1-3	1504	1641	12.1%	9.6%	78.3%	-9.4	13
1946-04-07	Olhanense	W 2-1	2040	1834	82.0%	9.6%	8.5%	+3.8	27
1946-04-07	@ Benfica	L 1-2	1834	2040	8.5%	9.6%	82.0%	-3.8	21
1946-04-07	Boavista	W 2-1	1405	1380	69.5%	9.6%	20.9%	+9.2	5
1946-04-07	@ Oliveirense	L 1-2	1380	1405	20.9%	9.6%	69.5%	-9.2	8
1946-04-07	Academica de Coimbra	W 8-1	1731	1420	85.7%	9.5%	4.8%	+11.7	16
1946-04-07	@ Porto	L 1-8	1420	1731	4.8%	9.5%	85.7%	-11.7	9
1946-04-07	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-4	1543	1893	22.6%	9.6%	67.8%	-15.4	12
1946-04-07	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-2	1893	1543	67.8%	9.6%	22.6%	+15.4	26
1946-04-07	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-7	1587	1899	26.7%	9.6%	63.7%	-74.5	14
1946-04-07	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 7-0	1899	1587	63.7%	9.6%	26.7%	+74.5	23
1946-04-21	Oliveirense	W 6-1	1409	1414	66.5%	9.6%	23.9%	+40.4	11
1946-04-21	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-6	1414	1409	23.9%	9.6%	66.5%	-40.4	5
1946-04-21	Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1909	1512	87.6%	9.4%	3.0%	+1.3	28
1946-04-21	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-3	1512	1909	3.0%	9.4%	87.6%	-1.3	14
1946-04-21	Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1371	1528	47.4%	9.6%	43.0%	-20.8	8
1946-04-21	@ Boavista	W 1-0	1528	1371	43.0%	9.6%	47.4%	+20.8	14
1946-04-21	Benfica	L 0-4	1494	2044	8.5%	9.5%	82.1%	-14.5	13
1946-04-21	@ O Elvas	W 4-0	2044	1494	82.1%	9.5%	8.5%	+14.5	29
1946-04-21	Porto	W 3-1	1830	1742	75.0%	9.6%	15.4%	+11.9	23
1946-04-21	@ Olhanense	L 1-3	1742	1830	15.4%	9.6%	75.0%	-11.9	16
1946-04-21	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1974	1650	86.0%	9.5%	4.5%	+2.1	25
1946-04-21	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-2	1650	1974	4.5%	9.5%	86.0%	-2.1	18
1946-04-28	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 2-4	1648	1910	32.9%	9.6%	57.5%	-21.8	18
1946-04-28	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-2	1910	1648	57.5%	9.6%	32.9%	+21.8	30
1946-04-28	Sporting Clube de Portugal	W 7-2	2059	1976	74.6%	9.6%	15.8%	+22.8	31
1946-04-28	@ Benfica	L 2-7	1976	2059	15.8%	9.6%	74.6%	-22.9	25
1946-04-28	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-2	1842	1449	87.5%	9.4%	3.0%	+2.2	25
1946-04-28	@ Olhanense	L 2-4	1449	1842	3.0%	9.4%	87.5%	-2.2	11
1946-04-28	O Elvas	W 9-2	1730	1480	83.8%	9.5%	6.7%	+13.2	18
1946-04-28	@ Porto	L 2-9	1480	1730	6.7%	9.5%	83.8%	-13.2	13
1946-04-28	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1548	1374	80.5%	9.6%	10.0%	+4.8	16
1946-04-28	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 0-1	1374	1548	10.0%	9.6%	80.5%	-4.8	5
1946-04-28	Boavista	W 5-0	1511	1350	79.7%	9.6%	10.7%	+22.7	16
1946-04-28	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 0-5	1350	1511	10.7%	9.6%	79.7%	-22.7	8
1946-05-05	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 2-0	1447	1553	54.3%	9.6%	36.0%	+30.6	13
1946-05-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1553	1447	36.0%	9.6%	54.3%	-30.6	16
1946-05-05	Benfica	W 1-0	1932	2081	48.3%	9.6%	42.0%	+18.7	32
1946-05-05	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	2081	1932	42.0%	9.6%	48.3%	-18.7	31
1946-05-05	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 4-3	1328	1627	28.3%	9.6%	62.1%	+23.5	10
1946-05-05	@ Boavista	L 3-4	1627	1328	62.1%	9.6%	28.3%	-23.5	18
1946-05-05	Olhanense	W 2-1	1466	1844	20.0%	9.6%	70.5%	+28.8	15
1946-05-05	@ O Elvas	L 1-2	1844	1466	70.5%	9.6%	20.0%	-28.8	25
1946-05-05	Vitoria Setubal	W 2-0	1369	1533	46.2%	9.6%	44.1%	+36.8	7
1946-05-05	@ Oliveirense	L 0-2	1533	1369	44.1%	9.6%	46.2%	-36.8	16
1946-05-05	Porto	W 1-0	1953	1744	82.1%	9.5%	8.3%	+4.0	27
1946-05-05	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-1	1744	1953	8.3%	9.5%	82.1%	-4.0	18
1946-05-12	Oliveirense	D 1-1	1603	1406	81.6%	9.6%	8.8%	-8.1	19
1946-05-12	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	D 1-1	1406	1603	8.8%	9.6%	81.6%	+8.1	8
1946-05-12	Boavista	W 4-2	2063	1351	90.5%	9.0%	0.5%	+0.4	33
1946-05-12	@ Benfica	L 2-4	1351	2063	0.5%	9.0%	90.5%	-0.4	10
1946-05-12	Academica de Coimbra	W 4-3	1495	1478	68.9%	9.6%	21.5%	+8.8	17
1946-05-12	@ O Elvas	L 3-4	1478	1495	21.5%	9.6%	68.9%	-8.8	13
1946-05-12	Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 0-4	1816	1957	49.5%	9.6%	40.8%	-77.7	25
1946-05-12	@ Olhanense	W 4-0	1957	1816	40.8%	9.6%	49.5%	+77.7	29
1946-05-12	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-1	1740	1950	39.7%	9.6%	50.7%	-17.7	18
1946-05-12	@ Porto	W 1-0	1950	1740	50.7%	9.6%	39.7%	+17.7	34
1946-05-12	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 3-1	1497	1523	64.3%	9.6%	26.1%	+19.6	18
1946-05-12	@ Vitoria Setubal	L 1-3	1523	1497	26.1%	9.6%	64.3%	-19.6	16
1946-05-19	Olhanense	W 6-0	1968	1738	83.0%	9.5%	7.4%	+18.8	36
1946-05-19	@ Os Belenenses (1st)	L 0-6	1738	1968	7.4%	9.5%	83.0%	-18.8	25
1946-05-19	Porto	W 3-2	1351	1722	20.6%	9.6%	69.8%	+27.1	12
1946-05-19	@ Boavista	L 2-3	1722	1351	69.8%	9.6%	20.6%	-27.1	18
1946-05-19	Benfica	L 2-6	1414	2063	5.0%	9.4%	85.7%	-6.1	8
1946-05-19	@ Oliveirense	W 6-2	2063	1414	85.7%	9.4%	5.0%	+6.1	35
1946-05-19	O Elvas	W 5-1	2034	1504	89.3%	9.3%	1.4%	+2.0	31
1946-05-19	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	L 1-5	1504	2034	1.4%	9.3%	89.3%	-2.1	17
1946-05-19	Atletico Clube de Portugal	W 2-1	1503	1595	56.2%	9.6%	34.2%	+14.6	18
1946-05-19	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	L 1-2	1595	1503	34.2%	9.6%	56.2%	-14.6	19
1946-05-19	Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1516	1469	71.6%	9.6%	18.8%	-27.8	18
1946-05-19	@ Vitoria Setubal	W 3-2	1469	1516	18.8%	9.6%	71.6%	+27.8	15
1946-05-26	Sporting Clube de Portugal	D 5-5	1497	2037	8.9%	9.5%	81.6%	+4.0	16
1946-05-26	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 5-5	2037	1497	81.6%	9.5%	8.9%	-4.0	32
1946-05-26	Vitoria Setubal	W 4-2	1580	1488	75.2%	9.6%	15.1%	+10.5	21
1946-05-26	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	L 2-4	1488	1580	15.1%	9.6%	75.2%	-10.5	18
1946-05-26	Vitoria Guimaraes	W 4-1	2069	1517	89.5%	9.2%	1.2%	+1.4	37
1946-05-26	@ Benfica	L 1-4	1517	2069	1.2%	9.2%	89.5%	-1.4	18
1946-05-26	Os Belenenses (1st)	L 1-2	1502	1987	11.8%	9.5%	78.6%	-5.3	17
1946-05-26	@ O Elvas	W 2-1	1987	1502	78.6%	9.5%	11.8%	+5.3	38
1946-05-26	Boavista	W 5-0	1719	1378	86.5%	9.4%	4.1%	+8.7	27
1946-05-26	@ Olhanense	L 0-5	1378	1719	4.1%	9.4%	86.5%	-8.7	12
1946-05-26	Oliveirense	W 4-1	1695	1408	85.0%	9.5%	5.5%	+6.1	20
1946-05-26	@ Porto	L 1-4	1408	1695	5.5%	9.5%	85.0%	-6.1	8

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1946-03-31	2.55%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1508	3	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1934	2
2	1946-01-06	8.79%	Vitoria Setubal	1646	3	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	1845	2
3	1945-12-16	10.22%	@ Boavista	1342	1	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1856	0
4	1946-01-06	12.27%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1356	2	Porto	1834	1
5	1946-01-13	12.82%	Academica de Coimbra	1388	3	@ Oliveirense	1513	2
6	1946-01-13	13.56%	Olhanense	1687	4	@ Porto	1801	3
7	1946-05-19	18.75%	Academica de Coimbra	1469	3	@ Vitoria Setubal	1516	2
8	1946-05-05	19.95%	@ O Elvas	1466	2	Olhanense	1844	1
9	1946-05-19	20.60%	@ Boavista	1351	3	Porto	1722	2
10	1945-12-16	24.58%	Porto	1655	4	@ Vitoria Setubal	1643	1
11	1946-03-03	27.13%	O Elvas	1484	1	@ Boavista	1449	0
12	1946-05-05	28.27%	@ Boavista	1328	4	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1627	3
13	1946-01-06	29.50%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	1683	2	@ O Elvas	1628	1
14	1945-12-16	30.67%	O Elvas	1678	1	@ Oliveirense	1613	0
15	1946-01-13	35.92%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1813	4	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1708	1
16	1946-03-17	35.97%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1604	3	Olhanense	1842	2
17	1946-01-27	36.37%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1881	3	@ Porto	1772	2
18	1946-02-10	37.57%	Vitoria Setubal	1567	5	@ Academica de Coimbra	1449	3
19	1946-05-12	40.82%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	1957	4	@ Olhanense	1816	0
20	1946-04-21	42.97%	Vitoria Guimaraes	1528	1	@ Boavista	1371	0
21	1946-02-03	43.67%	@ Academica de Coimbra	1388	5	O Elvas	1570	1
22	1946-01-13	43.87%	Os Belenenses (1st)	1841	4	@ Vitoria Setubal	1678	1
23	1946-01-20	44.60%	@ Boavista	1455	5	Vitoria Setubal	1631	1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1945-12-25	146.26	@ Porto	11	1721	55.74%	Atletico Clube de Portugal	0	1817	34.61%	9.64%
2	1945-12-30	80.51	@ Vitoria Setubal	5	1566	49.39%	O Elvas	0	1708	40.97%	9.64%
3	1946-05-12	77.66	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1957	40.82%	@ Olhanense	0	1816	49.54%	9.64%
4	1946-04-07	74.46	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	1899	63.70%	@ Vitoria Setubal	0	1587	26.69%	9.61%
5	1946-03-17	68.58	@ Vitoria Guimaraes	5	1440	55.97%	O Elvas	0	1534	34.39%	9.64%
6	1945-12-16	65.88	Porto	4	1655	24.58%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1	1643	65.79%	9.63%
7	1946-02-03	61.28	@ Academica de Coimbra	5	1388	43.67%	O Elvas	1	1570	46.69%	9.64%
8	1945-12-09	60.74	@ Olhanense	8	1645	63.94%	Oliveirense	1	1674	26.43%	9.64%
9	1946-01-20	60.17	@ Boavista	5	1455	44.60%	Vitoria Setubal	1	1631	45.76%	9.64%
10	1945-12-30	55.70	@ Boavista	5	1373	62.88%	Academica de Coimbra	0	1411	27.48%	9.64%
11	1946-01-13	54.76	Sporting Clube de Portugal	4	1813	35.92%	@ Atletico Clube de Portugal	1	1708	54.43%	9.64%
12	1946-01-06	48.51	@ Boavista	3	1429	50.72%	Oliveirense	0	1562	39.63%	9.64%
13	1946-01-13	47.29	Os Belenenses (1st)	4	1841	43.87%	@ Vitoria Setubal	1	1678	46.49%	9.64%
14	1946-04-21	40.44	@ Academica de Coimbra	6	1409	66.48%	Oliveirense	1	1414	23.89%	9.63%
15	1946-02-24	38.83	Olhanense	7	1791	62.71%	@ Boavista	2	1488	27.68%	9.61%
16	1946-03-31	38.56	@ O Elvas	5	1465	46.86%	Vitoria Setubal	2	1625	43.50%	9.64%
17	1946-05-05	36.83	@ Oliveirense	2	1369	46.23%	Vitoria Setubal	0	1533	44.13%	9.64%
18	1945-12-16	35.01	@ Boavista	1	1342	10.22%	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	1856	80.29%	9.49%
19	1946-03-31	34.58	Vitoria Guimaraes	3	1508	2.55%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1934	88.08%	9.37%
20	1945-12-30	33.89	@ Benfica	4	1898	70.12%	Porto	0	1867	20.26%	9.62%
21	1946-01-06	32.11	@ Academica de Coimbra	2	1356	12.27%	Porto	1	1834	78.21%	9.52%
22	1946-01-06	31.91	Vitoria Setubal	3	1646	8.79%	@ Sporting Clube de Portugal	2	1845	81.66%	9.55%
23	1946-02-10	31.79	Vitoria Setubal	5	1567	37.57%	@ Academica de Coimbra	3	1449	52.78%	9.64%
24	1946-02-10	31.15	@ Olhanense	2	1760	53.64%	Os Belenenses (1st)	0	1872	36.72%	9.64%
25	1946-05-05	30.61	@ Academica de Coimbra	2	1447	54.33%	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	1553	36.03%	9.64%