2019-20 Liga Portugal 2 Season

216 games · 100,000 simulations

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Farense

11.36 points above expected

48 points · 36.64 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Casa Pia

14.74 points below expected

11 points · 25.74 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Nacional	24	14	8	2	50	36	16	+20	43.3	+6.65
2	Farense	24	15	3	6	48	35	22	+13	36.6	+11.36
3	Feirense	24	11	9	4	42	27	18	+9	36.5	+5.54
4	Estoril	24	12	3	9	39	35	26	+9	37.4	+1.55
5	Mafra	24	10	9	5	39	33	24	+9	33.6	+5.41
6	Varzim	24	10	7	7	37	32	31	+1	28.5	+8.45
7	Academica de Coimbra	24	10	5	9	35	34	26	+8	34.6	+0.37
8	Academico de Viseu	24	9	7	8	34	21	24	-3	30.1	+3.85
9	Leixoes	24	8	9	7	33	23	22	+1	33.2	-0.18
10	Oliveirense	24	9	5	10	32	36	31	+5	30.6	+1.43
11	Sporting Covilha	24	9	5	10	32	29	27	+2	36.0	-3.97
12	Chaves	24	9	5	10	32	26	26	0	39.5	-7.54
13	Porto B	24	7	8	9	29	35	36	-1	28.3	+0.72
14	Penafiel	24	6	10	8	28	23	24	-1	31.8	-3.76
15	Benfica B	24	7	7	10	28	31	35	-4	27.4	+0.56
16	Vilafranquense	24	6	6	12	24	27	45	-18	30.6	-6.62
17	Cova Piedade	24	4	5	15	17	20	42	-22	18.5	-1.48
18	Casa Pia	24	2	5	17	11	19	47	-28	25.7	-14.74

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Nacional	1721	50	56.83	-6.83	28.0%	42	44	50	57	63	70	80
Feirense	1676	42	49.94	-7.94	15.0%	35	37	45	50	54	61	68
Farense	1659	48	50.12	-2.12	43.0%	33	36	45	50	55	64	66
Chaves	1651	32	53.02	-21.02	0.0%	36	42	48	52	57	67	72
Academica de Coimbra	1650	35	48.11	-13.11	4.0%	32	36	43	48	52	59	74
Mafra	1645	39	47.07	-8.07	15.0%	33	35	42	47	52	58	69
Estoril	1643	39	50.93	-11.93	8.0%	33	37	46	52	56	63	65
Oliveirense	1627	32	44.05	-12.05	3.0%	25	34	40	44	49	55	65
Sporting Covilha	1610	32	49.45	-17.45	1.0%	32	37	45	49	54	63	66
Leixoes	1608	33	46.66	-13.66	3.0%	31	35	42	46	51	59	67
Penafiel	1603	28	45.24	-17.24	1.0%	26	31	40	45	50	58	64
Porto B	1599	29	41.76	-12.76	1.0%	23	32	38	41	46	52	56
Varzim	1592	37	42.03	-5.03	24.0%	29	33	38	42	46	51	55
Academico de Viseu	1590	34	43.63	-9.63	11.0%	21	32	39	44	49	54	61
Benfica B	1587	28	40.92	-12.92	6.0%	17	26	37	40	46	51	53
Vilafranquense	1550	24	44.10	-20.10	1.0%	21	34	37	45	50	56	59
Casa Pia	1499	11	39.22	-28.22	0.0%	21	27	33	39	45	50	55
Cova Piedade	1485	17	31.96	-14.96	2.0%	17	20	26	31	36	44	50

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	ADC	ADV	BB	CP	CHA	CP	EST	FAR	FEI	LEI	MAF	NAC	OLI	PEN	PB	SC	VAR	VIL
Academica de Coimbra	—	1-1-0 2.79	1-0-0 1.58	1-0-0 1.48	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-0 1.99	0-0-1 1.26	0-0-1 1.25	0-1-1 2.44	1-1-0 2.81	0-1-1 2.72	0-0-2 2.21	1-0-0 1.52	1-1-0 2.71	1-0-0 1.31	1-0-0 1.05	0-0-1 1.39	0-0-1 1.12
Academico de Viseu	0-1-1 2.57	—	0-2-0 2.76	2-0-0 3.04	0-1-0 1.15	1-0-0 1.81	0-0-1 1.04	1-0-1 2.34	0-1-1 2.40	1-0-0 1.02	0-1-0 1.07	0-1-0 1.03	0-0-1 1.29	2-0-0 2.48	0-0-1 1.61	1-0-1 2.33	1-0-0 1.14	0-0-1 1.42
Benfica B	0-0-1 1.10	0-2-0 2.59	—	1-0-0 1.61	0-0-1 1.09	1-0-1 3.27	1-0-1 2.49	1-0-0 0.87	0-1-0 0.99	0-0-2 2.54	0-1-0 1.29	1-0-1 1.83	1-0-1 2.85	0-1-0 1.03	0-0-1 1.38	0-1-0 0.98	0-1-0 1.39	1-0-1 2.59
Casa Pia	0-0-1 1.20	0-0-2 2.36	0-0-1 1.08	—	0-0-1 0.95	1-1-0 2.99	0-0-2 2.34	0-0-2 2.46	0-1-0 1.02	0-0-1 1.17	0-0-1 1.28	0-0-1 1.10	0-0-2 2.56	0-1-1 2.48	0-1-1 2.39	0-0-1 1.20	0-1-0 1.20	1-0-0 1.40
Chaves	1-0-1 2.94	0-1-0 1.54	1-0-0 1.60	1-0-0 1.77	—	1-0-0 1.90	1-0-0 1.53	0-0-1 1.30	0-0-2 2.84	0-1-0 1.69	1-0-1 2.99	0-0-2 2.83	0-0-1 1.93	1-1-0 2.98	0-1-0 1.52	1-0-1 2.77	0-1-1 3.41	1-0-0 1.62
Cova Piedade	0-0-1 0.78	0-0-1 0.92	1-0-1 2.14	0-1-1 2.37	0-0-1 0.84	—	0-0-1 0.94	0-0-1 1.13	1-0-1 1.87	0-1-0 0.78	0-1-1 1.97	1-0-0 0.72	0-0-1 1.14	0-1-1 2.00	0-0-1 0.99	1-0-1 1.74	0-0-2 2.32	0-1-0 0.99
Estoril	1-0-0 1.41	1-0-0 1.65	1-0-1 2.86	2-0-0 3.09	0-0-1 1.15	1-0-0 1.77	—	1-0-1 2.66	0-0-1 1.54	0-1-0 1.60	0-0-1 1.46	0-0-1 1.30	1-1-0 3.03	0-0-1 1.42	1-1-0 2.88	0-0-1 1.13	1-0-1 3.33	2-0-0 3.04
Farense	1-0-0 1.42	1-0-1 3.03	0-0-1 1.87	2-0-0 2.90	1-0-0 1.38	1-0-0 1.56	1-0-1 2.70	—	1-0-0 1.62	1-1-0 2.95	1-0-0 1.64	0-0-1 1.16	2-0-0 2.87	0-0-1 1.34	0-1-1 2.92	0-1-0 1.35	1-0-0 1.53	2-0-0 2.85
Feirense	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.96	0-1-0 1.71	0-1-0 1.68	2-0-0 2.51	1-0-1 3.59	1-0-0 1.14	0-0-1 1.07	—	1-1-0 2.96	1-0-1 2.91	0-1-0 1.27	0-1-0 1.48	0-1-0 1.24	1-0-0 1.70	1-0-0 1.08	0-0-1 1.69	1-1-0 2.78
Leixoes	0-1-1 2.55	0-0-1 1.68	2-0-0 2.82	1-0-0 1.51	0-1-0 1.01	0-1-0 1.98	0-1-0 1.09	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-1 2.41	—	0-0-1 1.39	0-1-1 2.13	1-0-0 1.74	0-0-1 1.54	1-0-0 1.30	1-1-0 2.34	2-0-0 2.98	0-1-0 1.23
Mafra	1-1-0 2.63	0-1-0 1.62	0-1-0 1.38	1-0-0 1.39	1-0-1 2.40	1-1-0 3.45	1-0-0 1.21	0-0-1 1.06	1-0-1 2.45	1-0-0 1.28	—	0-2-0 2.26	1-0-0 1.36	1-0-1 2.74	1-0-0 1.51	0-1-0 1.25	0-1-1 3.15	0-1-0 1.63
Nacional	2-0-0 3.17	0-1-0 1.67	1-0-1 3.63	1-0-0 1.59	2-0-0 2.52	0-0-1 2.07	1-0-0 1.37	1-0-0 1.52	0-1-0 1.41	1-1-0 3.27	0-2-0 3.12	—	0-1-0 1.92	1-1-0 3.27	1-0-0 1.78	1-0-0 1.51	0-1-0 1.90	2-0-0 3.16
Oliveirense	0-0-1 1.16	1-0-0 1.39	1-0-1 2.50	2-0-0 2.88	1-0-0 0.82	1-0-0 1.54	0-1-1 2.36	0-0-2 2.48	0-1-0 1.20	0-0-1 0.97	0-0-1 1.31	0-1-0 0.83	—	1-0-0 1.33	1-1-0 2.61	0-0-2 2.30	1-1-0 2.65	0-0-1 1.08
Penafiel	0-1-1 2.65	0-0-2 2.88	0-1-0 1.66	1-1-0 2.95	0-1-1 2.39	1-1-0 3.41	1-0-0 1.26	1-0-0 1.33	0-1-0 1.43	1-0-0 1.15	1-0-1 2.62	0-1-1 2.11	0-0-1 1.35	—	0-1-0 1.54	0-1-0 1.03	0-0-1 1.40	0-1-0 1.37
Porto B	0-0-1 1.36	1-0-0 1.08	1-0-0 1.29	1-1-0 2.97	0-1-0 1.16	1-0-0 1.72	0-1-1 2.48	1-1-0 2.45	0-0-1 1.00	0-0-1 1.37	0-0-1 1.17	0-0-1 0.94	0-1-1 2.74	0-1-0 1.14	—	1-0-1 2.27	1-1-0 2.83	0-1-1 2.82
Sporting Covilha	0-0-1 1.64	1-0-1 3.05	0-1-0 1.73	1-0-0 1.48	1-0-1 2.58	1-0-1 3.73	1-0-0 1.55	0-1-0 1.32	0-0-1 1.61	0-1-1 3.03	0-1-0 1.43	0-0-1 1.17	2-0-0 3.07	0-1-0 1.67	1-0-1 3.09	—	0-0-1 1.52	1-0-1 2.95
Varzim	1-0-0 1.29	0-0-1 1.54	0-1-0 1.29	0-1-0 1.48	1-1-0 2.00	2-0-0 3.04	1-0-1 2.07	0-0-1 1.15	1-0-0 1.01	0-0-2 2.39	1-1-0 2.22	0-1-0 0.85	0-1-1 2.70	1-0-0 1.28	0-1-1 2.53	1-0-0 1.16	—	1-0-0 1.10
Vilafranquense	1-0-0 1.56	1-0-0 1.26	1-0-1 2.77	0-0-1 1.28	0-0-1 1.07	0-1-0 1.72	0-0-2 2.36	0-0-2 2.50	0-1-1 2.56	0-1-0 1.44	0-1-0 1.06	0-0-2 2.26	1-0-0 1.61	0-1-0 1.30	1-1-0 2.53	1-0-1 2.40	0-0-1 1.59	—

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.26%	10.19%	5.79%	2.55%	0.93%	0.23%	28.94%
1	10.19%	13.89%	8.10%	4.40%	1.39%	0.23%	38.19%
2	5.79%	8.10%	3.24%	2.31%	0.23%	—	19.68%
3	2.55%	4.40%	2.31%	0.46%	0.23%	—	9.95%
4	0.93%	1.39%	0.23%	0.23%	—	—	2.78%
5+	0.23%	0.23%	—	—	—	—	0.46%
Total	28.94%	38.19%	19.68%	9.95%	2.78%	0.46%	100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.21
Mean allowed	1.21
StdDev scored	1.08
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.42
Correlation (home vs away score)	-0.029
Sample size (games)	216

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	29.17%
1	4.17%	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	29.17%
2	4.17%	8.33%	—	4.17%	—	—	16.67%
3	8.33%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	20.83%
4	—	—	—	4.17%	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	29.17%	41.67%	20.83%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Academica de Coimbra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.42
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	2.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.269
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	20.83%	4.17%	16.67%	—	—	—	41.67%
1	20.83%	8.33%	—	12.50%	—	—	41.67%
2	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
3	—	—	4.17%	—	—	—	4.17%
4	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	45.83%	20.83%	20.83%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Academico de Viseu — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.88
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	1.03
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	1.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.076
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	16.67%	4.17%	—	4.17%	4.17%	33.33%
1	4.17%	12.50%	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	29.17%
2	4.17%	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	20.83%
3	4.17%	—	—	4.17%	—	—	8.33%
4	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	25.00%	37.50%	16.67%	12.50%	4.17%	4.17%	100%

Benfica B — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.29
Mean allowed	1.46
StdDev scored	1.27
StdDev allowed	1.35
Mean total goals/game	2.75
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.335
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	20.83%	8.33%	—	4.17%	—	37.50%
1	4.17%	12.50%	8.33%	16.67%	8.33%	—	50.00%
2	—	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	8.33%
3	—	—	4.17%	—	—	—	4.17%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	8.33%	33.33%	25.00%	20.83%	12.50%	—	100%

Casa Pia — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.79
Mean allowed	1.96
StdDev scored	0.78
StdDev allowed	1.20
Mean total goals/game	2.75
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.270
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	12.50%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	37.50%
1	—	8.33%	12.50%	—	—	—	20.83%
2	16.67%	16.67%	—	4.17%	—	—	37.50%
3	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	29.17%	41.67%	20.83%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Chaves — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.08
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	0.97
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.152
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	8.33%	20.83%	8.33%	—	—	45.83%
1	—	8.33%	12.50%	—	8.33%	—	29.17%
2	4.17%	8.33%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	20.83%
3	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	12.50%	29.17%	37.50%	12.50%	8.33%	—	100%

Cova Piedade — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.83
Mean allowed	1.75
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	1.11
Mean total goals/game	2.58
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.085
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	8.33%	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	20.83%
1	12.50%	12.50%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	41.67%
2	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
3	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	29.17%	41.67%	20.83%	8.33%	—	—	100%

Estoril — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.08
StdDev scored	1.22
StdDev allowed	0.93
Mean total goals/game	2.54
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.382
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	8.33%	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	25.00%
1	16.67%	8.33%	—	4.17%	—	—	29.17%
2	8.33%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	20.83%
3	8.33%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	25.00%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.50%	45.83%	4.17%	12.50%	—	—	100%

Farense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	0.97
Mean total goals/game	2.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.355
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
1	25.00%	25.00%	12.50%	—	—	—	62.50%
2	8.33%	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	41.67%	41.67%	16.67%	—	—	—	100%

Feirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	0.75
StdDev scored	0.61
StdDev allowed	0.74
Mean total goals/game	1.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.169
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	20.83%	4.17%	—	—	—	37.50%
1	20.83%	20.83%	—	—	—	—	41.67%
2	—	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	8.33%
3	—	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	45.83%	16.67%	4.17%	—	—	100%

Leixoes — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.96
Mean allowed	0.92
StdDev scored	1.00
StdDev allowed	0.83
Mean total goals/game	1.88
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.468
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	12.50%
1	16.67%	20.83%	16.67%	—	—	—	54.17%
2	4.17%	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	—	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	—	16.67%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	29.17%	41.67%	29.17%	—	—	—	100%

Mafra — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.38
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.92
StdDev allowed	0.78
Mean total goals/game	2.38
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.302
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	16.67%
1	20.83%	20.83%	—	4.17%	—	—	45.83%
2	4.17%	16.67%	—	—	—	—	20.83%
3	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	41.67%	54.17%	—	4.17%	—	—	100%

Nacional — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	0.67
StdDev scored	1.25
StdDev allowed	0.70
Mean total goals/game	2.17
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.198
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	8.33%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	29.17%
1	—	8.33%	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	20.83%
2	12.50%	12.50%	—	8.33%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	4.17%	—	—	4.17%	—	8.33%
4	4.17%	—	—	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	4.17%	—	—	—	—	—	4.17%
Total	33.33%	33.33%	8.33%	20.83%	4.17%	—	100%

Oliveirense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.50
Mean allowed	1.29
StdDev scored	1.35
StdDev allowed	1.27
Mean total goals/game	2.79
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.089
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	16.67%	12.50%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	37.50%
1	8.33%	16.67%	12.50%	—	—	—	37.50%
2	—	8.33%	8.33%	—	—	—	16.67%
3	8.33%	—	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	37.50%	25.00%	4.17%	—	—	100%

Penafiel — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	0.96
Mean allowed	1.00
StdDev scored	0.95
StdDev allowed	0.88
Mean total goals/game	1.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.051
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.33%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	16.67%
1	—	20.83%	8.33%	12.50%	4.17%	—	45.83%
2	8.33%	4.17%	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	20.83%
3	—	8.33%	—	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	8.33%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	41.67%	20.83%	16.67%	4.17%	—	100%

Porto B — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.46
Mean allowed	1.50
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.10
Mean total goals/game	2.96
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.017
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	16.67%	4.17%	—	—	—	33.33%
1	16.67%	—	12.50%	—	—	—	29.17%
2	8.33%	—	8.33%	4.17%	4.17%	—	25.00%
3	—	4.17%	4.17%	—	—	—	8.33%
4	—	4.17%	—	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.50%	25.00%	29.17%	4.17%	4.17%	—	100%

Sporting Covilha — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.21
Mean allowed	1.12
StdDev scored	1.14
StdDev allowed	1.12
Mean total goals/game	2.33
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	0.286
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	8.33%	4.17%	—	4.17%	—	20.83%
1	8.33%	16.67%	4.17%	8.33%	—	—	37.50%
2	—	25.00%	4.17%	—	—	—	29.17%
3	8.33%	—	—	4.17%	—	—	12.50%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.83%	50.00%	12.50%	12.50%	4.17%	—	100%

Varzim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.33
Mean allowed	1.29
StdDev scored	0.96
StdDev allowed	1.08
Mean total goals/game	2.62
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.181
Games played	24

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.17%	4.17%	8.33%	12.50%	4.17%	—	33.33%
1	4.17%	20.83%	8.33%	—	4.17%	4.17%	41.67%
2	4.17%	—	—	4.17%	—	—	8.33%
3	—	—	12.50%	—	—	—	12.50%
4	4.17%	—	—	—	—	—	4.17%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	16.67%	25.00%	29.17%	16.67%	8.33%	4.17%	100%

Vilafranquense — Summary Statistics

Mean scored	1.12
Mean allowed	1.88
StdDev scored	1.15
StdDev allowed	1.36
Mean total goals/game	3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)	-0.239
Games played	24

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Farense	48	36.6	+11.36
2	Varzim	37	28.5	+8.45
3	Nacional	50	43.3	+6.65
4	Feirense	42	36.5	+5.54
5	Mafra	39	33.6	+5.41

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Casa Pia	11	25.7	-14.74
2	Chaves	32	39.5	-7.54
3	Vilafranquense	24	30.6	-6.62
4	Sporting Covilha	32	36.0	-3.97
5	Penafiel	28	31.8	-3.76

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Farense	6	Oct 13 – Nov 30	1 in 263
2	Feirense	6	Feb 2 – Mar 7	1 in 247
3	Academica de Coimbra	5	Dec 8 – Jan 12	1 in 136
4	Estoril	4	Aug 25 – Sep 22	1 in 58
5	Sporting Covilha	4	Aug 11 – Sep 1	1 in 51

Longest Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Cova Piedade	7	Sep 14 – Dec 1	1 in 334
2	Estoril	5	Dec 8 – Jan 11	1 in 276
3	Vilafranquense	4	Aug 24 – Sep 22	1 in 83
4	Sporting Covilha	3	Nov 29 – Dec 15	1 in 56
5	Casa Pia	4	Nov 10 – Dec 14	1 in 35

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Mafra	14	Nov 9 – Feb 23	1 in 195
2	Feirense	11	Dec 29 – Mar 7	1 in 47
3	Benfica B	7	Nov 10 – Jan 11	1 in 44
4	Varzim	6	Sep 14 – Nov 9	1 in 31
5	Academico de Viseu	5	Dec 29 – Jan 26	1 in 14

Longest Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Casa Pia	15	Nov 10 – Mar 8	1 in 101
2	Leixoes	9	Nov 30 – Feb 2	1 in 58
3	Sporting Covilha	7	Nov 2 – Dec 29	1 in 41
4	Penafiel	8	Sep 21 – Dec 15	1 in 33
5	Vilafranquense	8	Dec 7 – Feb 2	1 in 29

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18
Nacional	33.00%	18.00%	12.00%	6.00%	4.00%	3.00%	8.00%	2.00%	5.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—	—	—	—	—
Farense	15.00%	8.00%	7.00%	6.00%	10.00%	4.00%	7.00%	7.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	6.00%	4.00%	2.00%	4.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Feirense	7.00%	10.00%	8.00%	11.00%	9.00%	12.00%	9.00%	4.00%	7.00%	3.00%	3.00%	3.00%	4.00%	4.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Estoril	9.00%	11.00%	15.00%	12.00%	10.00%	5.00%	1.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	2.00%	7.00%	2.00%	1.00%	3.00%	2.00%	1.00%	1.00%
Mafra	3.00%	5.00%	8.00%	7.00%	2.00%	12.00%	8.00%	7.00%	7.00%	9.00%	6.00%	4.00%	5.00%	4.00%	7.00%	2.00%	4.00%	—
Varzim	—	—	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	2.00%	3.00%	7.00%	8.00%	8.00%	5.00%	9.00%	11.00%	10.00%	9.00%	16.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Academica de Coimbra	4.00%	9.00%	4.00%	7.00%	11.00%	5.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	4.00%	8.00%	2.00%	8.00%	2.00%	3.00%	3.00%	—
Academico de Viseu	1.00%	—	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	8.00%	6.00%	4.00%	9.00%	7.00%	6.00%	7.00%	7.00%	6.00%
Leixoes	5.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	6.00%	7.00%	11.00%	8.00%	5.00%	9.00%	6.00%	5.00%	9.00%	2.00%	5.00%	5.00%	—
Oliveirense	1.00%	3.00%	6.00%	2.00%	4.00%	5.00%	9.00%	5.00%	1.00%	9.00%	11.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	3.00%	8.00%	3.00%	3.00%
Sporting Covilha	5.00%	12.00%	7.00%	9.00%	8.00%	8.00%	6.00%	8.00%	5.00%	7.00%	6.00%	1.00%	6.00%	3.00%	6.00%	2.00%	1.00%	—
Chaves	15.00%	14.00%	9.00%	11.00%	12.00%	8.00%	4.00%	9.00%	3.00%	5.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	3.00%	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	—
Porto B	—	1.00%	1.00%	1.00%	2.00%	4.00%	4.00%	7.00%	2.00%	7.00%	13.00%	7.00%	9.00%	10.00%	8.00%	12.00%	4.00%	8.00%
Penafiel	2.00%	4.00%	8.00%	3.00%	3.00%	10.00%	6.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	6.00%	12.00%	9.00%	5.00%	4.00%	1.00%	8.00%	4.00%
Benfica B	—	—	—	1.00%	5.00%	5.00%	5.00%	4.00%	3.00%	5.00%	5.00%	8.00%	9.00%	7.00%	16.00%	13.00%	7.00%	7.00%
Vilafranquense	—	2.00%	4.00%	9.00%	4.00%	6.00%	5.00%	3.00%	10.00%	4.00%	5.00%	3.00%	3.00%	10.00%	10.00%	11.00%	8.00%	3.00%
Cova Piedade	—	—	—	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	1.00%	—	3.00%	4.00%	3.00%	1.00%	8.00%	6.00%	24.00%	48.00%
Casa Pia	—	—	—	3.00%	2.00%	2.00%	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	3.00%	5.00%	6.00%	6.00%	8.00%	8.00%	7.00%	19.00%	17.00%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level
Nacional	51.0%	49.0%
Chaves	29.0%	71.0%
Farense	23.0%	77.0%
Estoril	20.0%	80.0%
Feirense	17.0%	83.0%
Sporting Covilha	17.0%	83.0%
Academica de Coimbra	13.0%	87.0%
Leixoes	9.0%	91.0%
Mafra	8.0%	92.0%
Penafiel	6.0%	94.0%
Oliveirense	4.0%	96.0%
Vilafranquense	2.0%	98.0%
Academico de Viseu	1.0%	99.0%
Benfica B	—	100%
Casa Pia	—	100%
Cova Piedade	—	100%
Porto B	—	100%
Varzim	—	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2019-08-10	Casa Pia	W 3-1	1605	1640	32.9%	32.7%	34.5%	+11.2	3
2019-08-10	@ Farense	L 1-3	1640	1605	34.5%	32.7%	32.9%	-11.2	0
2019-08-10	Cova Piedade	W 3-2	1593	1557	43.2%	31.1%	25.8%	+4.9	3
2019-08-10	@ Mafra	L 2-3	1557	1593	25.8%	31.1%	43.2%	-4.9	0
2019-08-10	Chaves	W 3-0	1638	1683	31.6%	32.6%	35.7%	+19.3	3
2019-08-10	@ Nacional	L 0-3	1683	1638	35.7%	32.6%	31.6%	-19.3	0
2019-08-10	Oliveirense	D 0-0	1564	1578	35.9%	32.6%	31.5%	-0.2	1
2019-08-10	@ Varzim	D 0-0	1578	1564	31.5%	32.6%	35.9%	+0.2	1
2019-08-11	Leixoes	W 3-2	1613	1604	39.4%	32.1%	28.5%	+5.4	3
2019-08-11	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 2-3	1604	1613	28.5%	32.1%	39.4%	-5.4	0
2019-08-11	Estoril	W 2-1	1599	1623	34.4%	32.7%	32.9%	+6.3	3
2019-08-11	@ Benfica B	L 1-2	1623	1599	32.9%	32.7%	34.4%	-6.3	0
2019-08-11	Vilafranquense	W 2-0	1625	1645	35.0%	32.7%	32.3%	+12.4	3
2019-08-11	@ Feirense	L 0-2	1645	1625	32.3%	32.7%	35.0%	-12.4	0
2019-08-11	Academico de Viseu	L 0-2	1611	1600	39.5%	32.1%	28.4%	-14.2	0
2019-08-11	@ Penafiel	W 2-0	1600	1611	28.4%	32.1%	39.5%	+14.2	3
2019-08-11	Porto B	W 2-0	1622	1597	41.7%	31.5%	26.8%	+10.8	3
2019-08-11	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1597	1622	26.8%	31.5%	41.7%	-10.8	0
2019-08-17	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1615	1619	37.4%	32.4%	30.2%	-0.3	4
2019-08-17	@ Academico de Viseu	D 0-0	1619	1615	30.2%	32.4%	37.4%	+0.3	4
2019-08-17	Penafiel	L 1-2	1629	1596	42.8%	31.2%	26.0%	-7.5	0
2019-08-17	@ Casa Pia	W 2-1	1596	1629	26.0%	31.2%	42.8%	+7.5	3
2019-08-17	Mafra	W 2-1	1663	1598	47.7%	29.3%	23.0%	+4.7	3
2019-08-17	@ Chaves	L 1-2	1598	1663	23.0%	29.3%	47.7%	-4.7	3
2019-08-17	Sporting Covilha	L 0-2	1578	1632	30.3%	32.5%	37.2%	-11.9	1
2019-08-17	@ Oliveirense	W 2-0	1632	1578	37.2%	32.5%	30.3%	+11.9	6
2019-08-18	Benfica B	W 4-0	1633	1605	42.0%	31.4%	26.5%	+20.3	3
2019-08-18	@ Vilafranquense	L 0-4	1605	1633	26.5%	31.4%	42.0%	-20.3	3
2019-08-18	Feirense	W 2-1	1552	1637	26.7%	31.5%	41.8%	+7.4	3
2019-08-18	@ Cova Piedade	L 1-2	1637	1552	41.8%	31.5%	26.7%	-7.4	3
2019-08-18	Farense	L 1-2	1617	1616	38.0%	32.4%	29.6%	-6.9	0
2019-08-18	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1616	1617	29.6%	32.4%	38.0%	+6.9	6
2019-08-18	Nacional	D 1-1	1599	1658	29.7%	32.4%	38.0%	+0.3	1
2019-08-18	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1658	1599	38.0%	32.4%	29.7%	-0.3	4
2019-08-18	Varzim	D 1-1	1586	1563	41.3%	31.6%	27.1%	-0.5	1
2019-08-18	@ Porto B	D 1-1	1563	1586	27.1%	31.6%	41.3%	+0.5	2
2019-08-23	Oliveirense	W 2-1	1585	1566	40.7%	31.8%	27.5%	+5.5	6
2019-08-23	@ Benfica B	L 1-2	1566	1585	27.5%	31.8%	40.7%	-5.5	1
2019-08-24	Chaves	L 1-2	1619	1668	31.0%	32.6%	36.4%	-6.0	4
2019-08-24	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1668	1619	36.4%	32.6%	31.0%	+6.0	6
2019-08-24	Academico de Viseu	D 0-0	1630	1614	40.3%	31.9%	27.8%	-0.5	4
2019-08-24	@ Feirense	D 0-0	1614	1630	27.8%	31.9%	40.3%	+0.5	5
2019-08-24	Cova Piedade	W 3-0	1604	1560	44.5%	30.6%	24.9%	+14.7	6
2019-08-24	@ Penafiel	L 0-3	1560	1604	24.9%	30.6%	44.5%	-14.7	3
2019-08-24	Vilafranquense	W 1-0	1644	1653	36.7%	32.5%	30.8%	+6.4	9
2019-08-24	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1653	1644	30.8%	32.5%	36.7%	-6.4	3
2019-08-25	Estoril	L 0-1	1622	1610	39.7%	32.0%	28.2%	-7.6	0
2019-08-25	@ Casa Pia	W 1-0	1610	1622	28.2%	32.0%	39.7%	+7.6	3
2019-08-25	Porto B	L 1-3	1623	1585	43.6%	30.9%	25.5%	-13.2	6
2019-08-25	@ Farense	W 3-1	1585	1623	25.5%	30.9%	43.6%	+13.2	4
2019-08-25	Mafra	D 0-0	1658	1593	47.5%	29.3%	23.1%	-1.0	5
2019-08-25	@ Nacional	D 0-0	1593	1658	23.1%	29.3%	47.5%	+1.0	4
2019-08-25	Leixoes	L 0-1	1564	1599	32.9%	32.7%	34.4%	-6.7	2
2019-08-25	@ Varzim	W 1-0	1599	1564	34.4%	32.7%	32.9%	+6.7	4
2019-08-31	Nacional	L 1-2	1647	1656	36.5%	32.6%	30.9%	-6.8	3
2019-08-31	@ Vilafranquense	W 2-1	1656	1647	30.9%	32.6%	36.5%	+6.8	8
2019-08-31	Benfica B	W 2-0	1545	1590	31.5%	32.6%	35.9%	+13.4	6
2019-08-31	@ Cova Piedade	L 0-2	1590	1545	35.9%	32.6%	31.5%	-13.3	6
2019-08-31	Feirense	D 2-2	1606	1629	34.5%	32.7%	32.8%	-0.0	5
2019-08-31	@ Leixoes	D 2-2	1629	1606	32.8%	32.7%	34.5%	+0.0	5
2019-08-31	Casa Pia	D 0-0	1598	1614	35.7%	32.6%	31.7%	-0.2	5
2019-08-31	@ Porto B	D 0-0	1614	1598	31.7%	32.6%	35.7%	+0.2	1
2019-09-01	Sporting Covilha	L 1-3	1615	1651	32.8%	32.7%	34.5%	-10.9	5
2019-09-01	@ Academico de Viseu	W 3-1	1651	1615	34.5%	32.7%	32.8%	+10.9	12
2019-09-01	Penafiel	W 2-1	1674	1619	46.2%	29.9%	23.9%	+4.9	9
2019-09-01	@ Chaves	L 1-2	1619	1674	23.9%	29.9%	46.2%	-4.9	6
2019-09-01	Varzim	W 3-1	1617	1557	46.9%	29.6%	23.5%	+8.3	6
2019-09-01	@ Estoril	L 1-3	1557	1617	23.5%	29.6%	46.9%	-8.3	2
2019-09-01	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1594	1613	35.2%	32.7%	32.2%	+6.6	7
2019-09-01	@ Mafra	L 0-1	1613	1594	32.2%	32.7%	35.2%	-6.6	4
2019-09-01	Farense	L 0-1	1561	1610	30.9%	32.6%	36.5%	-6.4	1
2019-09-01	@ Oliveirense	W 1-0	1610	1561	36.5%	32.6%	30.9%	+6.4	9
2019-09-13	Academico de Viseu	D 0-0	1577	1604	34.0%	32.7%	33.3%	-0.0	7
2019-09-13	@ Benfica B	D 0-0	1604	1577	33.3%	32.7%	34.0%	+0.0	6
2019-09-14	Porto B	W 2-1	1626	1598	42.0%	31.4%	26.6%	+5.4	9
2019-09-14	@ Estoril	L 1-2	1598	1626	26.6%	31.4%	42.0%	-5.3	5
2019-09-14	Vilafranquense	W 3-0	1617	1640	34.6%	32.7%	32.7%	+18.2	12
2019-09-14	@ Farense	L 0-3	1640	1617	32.7%	32.7%	34.6%	-18.2	3
2019-09-14	Chaves	W 1-0	1630	1679	31.0%	32.6%	36.5%	+7.2	8
2019-09-14	@ Feirense	L 0-1	1679	1630	36.5%	32.6%	31.0%	-7.2	9
2019-09-14	Cova Piedade	W 2-1	1549	1558	36.6%	32.5%	30.9%	+6.0	5
2019-09-14	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1558	1549	30.9%	32.5%	36.6%	-6.0	6
2019-09-15	Nacional	L 1-2	1606	1663	30.0%	32.4%	37.6%	-5.9	4
2019-09-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1663	1606	37.6%	32.4%	30.0%	+5.9	11
2019-09-15	Oliveirense	L 1-3	1614	1554	46.8%	29.7%	23.5%	-13.9	1
2019-09-15	@ Casa Pia	W 3-1	1554	1614	23.5%	29.7%	46.8%	+13.9	4
2019-09-15	Mafra	W 2-1	1614	1600	39.9%	32.0%	28.1%	+5.6	9
2019-09-15	@ Penafiel	L 1-2	1600	1614	28.1%	32.0%	39.9%	-5.6	7
2019-09-15	Leixoes	L 2-3	1662	1605	46.3%	29.9%	23.8%	-7.5	12
2019-09-15	@ Sporting Covilha	W 3-2	1605	1662	23.8%	29.9%	46.3%	+7.5	8
2019-09-21	Farense	W 1-0	1604	1635	33.5%	32.7%	33.8%	+6.8	9
2019-09-21	@ Academico de Viseu	L 0-1	1635	1604	33.8%	32.7%	33.5%	-6.8	12
2019-09-21	Sporting Covilha	L 2-3	1672	1654	40.6%	31.8%	27.6%	-6.9	9
2019-09-21	@ Chaves	W 3-2	1654	1672	27.6%	31.8%	40.6%	+6.9	15
2019-09-21	Penafiel	W 2-1	1669	1619	45.3%	30.3%	24.4%	+4.9	14
2019-09-21	@ Nacional	L 1-2	1619	1669	24.4%	30.3%	45.3%	-5.0	9
2019-09-21	Porto B	D 0-0	1568	1593	34.4%	32.7%	32.9%	-0.0	5
2019-09-21	@ Oliveirense	D 0-0	1593	1568	32.9%	32.7%	34.4%	+0.0	6
2019-09-22	Feirense	D 1-1	1601	1637	32.7%	32.7%	34.6%	+0.1	5
2019-09-22	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1637	1601	34.6%	32.7%	32.7%	-0.1	9
2019-09-22	Estoril	L 1-4	1622	1631	36.6%	32.5%	30.9%	-16.6	3
2019-09-22	@ Vilafranquense	W 4-1	1631	1622	30.9%	32.5%	36.6%	+16.6	12
2019-09-22	Casa Pia	L 0-1	1552	1600	31.1%	32.6%	36.3%	-6.4	6
2019-09-22	@ Cova Piedade	W 1-0	1600	1552	36.3%	32.6%	31.1%	+6.4	4
2019-09-22	Benfica B	W 1-0	1613	1577	43.3%	31.0%	25.7%	+5.5	11
2019-09-22	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1577	1613	25.7%	31.0%	43.3%	-5.5	7
2019-09-22	Varzim	D 1-1	1595	1555	43.9%	30.8%	25.3%	-0.7	8
2019-09-22	@ Mafra	D 1-1	1555	1595	25.3%	30.8%	43.9%	+0.7	6
2019-10-05	Benfica B	W 1-0	1601	1571	42.3%	31.4%	26.4%	+5.6	8
2019-10-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-1	1571	1601	26.4%	31.4%	42.3%	-5.6	7
2019-10-05	Porto B	W 4-1	1674	1593	50.0%	28.2%	21.8%	+10.8	17
2019-10-05	@ Nacional	L 1-4	1593	1674	21.8%	28.2%	50.0%	-10.8	6
2019-10-12	Estoril	W 2-0	1665	1648	40.5%	31.8%	27.7%	+11.1	12
2019-10-12	@ Chaves	L 0-2	1648	1665	27.7%	31.8%	40.5%	-11.1	12
2019-10-12	Casa Pia	W 1-0	1618	1607	39.7%	32.0%	28.3%	+6.0	14
2019-10-12	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1607	1618	28.3%	32.0%	39.7%	-6.0	4
2019-10-13	Oliveirense	W 3-2	1605	1568	43.4%	31.0%	25.6%	+4.9	6
2019-10-13	@ Vilafranquense	L 2-3	1568	1605	25.6%	31.0%	43.4%	-4.9	5
2019-10-13	Farense	L 0-2	1546	1628	27.1%	31.6%	41.3%	-10.9	6
2019-10-13	@ Cova Piedade	W 2-0	1628	1546	41.3%	31.6%	27.1%	+10.9	15
2019-10-26	Nacional	W 1-0	1566	1685	23.5%	29.7%	46.8%	+8.5	10
2019-10-26	@ Benfica B	L 0-1	1685	1566	46.8%	29.7%	23.5%	-8.5	17
2019-10-26	Academico de Viseu	L 2-3	1601	1611	36.5%	32.6%	30.9%	-6.4	4
2019-10-26	@ Casa Pia	W 3-2	1611	1601	30.9%	32.6%	36.5%	+6.4	12
2019-10-26	Mafra	L 1-2	1637	1594	44.2%	30.7%	25.1%	-7.7	9
2019-10-26	@ Feirense	W 2-1	1594	1637	25.1%	30.7%	44.2%	+7.7	11
2019-10-26	Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1614	1606	39.2%	32.1%	28.7%	-0.4	10
2019-10-26	@ Penafiel	D 0-0	1606	1614	28.7%	32.1%	39.2%	+0.4	9
2019-10-26	Vilafranquense	D 1-1	1582	1610	33.9%	32.7%	33.4%	-0.0	7
2019-10-26	@ Porto B	D 1-1	1610	1582	33.4%	32.7%	33.9%	+0.0	7
2019-10-27	Oliveirense	W 3-0	1636	1563	48.8%	28.8%	22.4%	+13.2	15
2019-10-27	@ Estoril	L 0-3	1563	1636	22.4%	28.8%	48.8%	-13.2	5
2019-10-27	Leixoes	W 1-0	1639	1624	40.1%	31.9%	28.0%	+5.9	18
2019-10-27	@ Farense	L 0-1	1624	1639	28.0%	31.9%	40.1%	-5.9	14
2019-10-27	Cova Piedade	W 1-0	1661	1535	56.6%	24.4%	19.0%	+3.9	18
2019-10-27	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1535	1661	19.0%	24.4%	56.6%	-3.9	6
2019-10-27	Chaves	W 2-1	1556	1676	23.4%	29.6%	47.0%	+8.0	9
2019-10-27	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1676	1556	47.0%	29.6%	23.4%	-8.0	12
2019-10-30	Porto B	L 0-2	1617	1582	43.1%	31.1%	25.8%	-15.1	12
2019-10-30	@ Academico de Viseu	W 2-0	1582	1617	25.8%	31.1%	43.1%	+15.1	10
2019-10-30	Varzim	D 1-1	1676	1564	54.7%	25.6%	19.7%	-1.4	18
2019-10-30	@ Nacional	D 1-1	1564	1676	19.7%	25.6%	54.7%	+1.4	10
2019-11-02	Vilafranquense	W 3-2	1594	1610	35.7%	32.6%	31.7%	+5.8	7
2019-11-02	@ Casa Pia	L 2-3	1610	1594	31.7%	32.6%	35.7%	-5.8	7
2019-11-02	Penafiel	D 0-0	1665	1614	45.5%	30.2%	24.3%	-0.9	19
2019-11-02	@ Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1614	1665	24.3%	30.2%	45.5%	+0.9	11
2019-11-03	Chaves	L 1-3	1574	1668	25.9%	31.1%	43.0%	-9.1	10
2019-11-03	@ Benfica B	W 3-1	1668	1574	43.0%	31.1%	25.9%	+9.1	15
2019-11-03	Academico de Viseu	W 3-1	1650	1602	45.0%	30.4%	24.6%	+8.6	18
2019-11-03	@ Estoril	L 1-3	1602	1650	24.6%	30.4%	45.0%	-8.6	12
2019-11-03	Mafra	W 2-1	1645	1602	44.3%	30.7%	25.0%	+5.1	21
2019-11-03	@ Farense	L 1-2	1602	1645	25.0%	30.7%	44.3%	-5.1	11
2019-11-03	Nacional	D 1-1	1629	1675	31.4%	32.6%	36.0%	+0.2	10
2019-11-03	@ Feirense	D 1-1	1675	1629	36.0%	32.6%	31.4%	-0.2	19
2019-11-03	Cova Piedade	W 2-0	1550	1531	40.8%	31.8%	27.5%	+11.0	8
2019-11-03	@ Oliveirense	L 0-2	1531	1550	27.5%	31.8%	40.8%	-11.0	6
2019-11-03	Leixoes	L 1-3	1597	1619	34.9%	32.7%	32.5%	-11.3	10
2019-11-03	@ Porto B	W 3-1	1619	1597	32.5%	32.7%	34.9%	+11.3	17
2019-11-03	Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1565	1607	32.0%	32.6%	35.4%	+6.6	13
2019-11-03	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1607	1565	35.4%	32.6%	32.0%	-6.6	9
2019-11-09	Farense	L 1-2	1600	1650	30.9%	32.5%	36.6%	-6.0	9
2019-11-09	@ Academica de Coimbra	W 2-1	1650	1600	36.6%	32.5%	30.9%	+6.0	24
2019-11-09	Varzim	L 1-2	1629	1572	46.5%	29.8%	23.7%	-8.0	10
2019-11-09	@ Feirense	W 2-1	1572	1629	23.7%	29.8%	46.5%	+8.0	16
2019-11-09	Oliveirense	W 3-2	1630	1561	48.2%	29.1%	22.8%	+4.4	20
2019-11-09	@ Leixoes	L 2-3	1561	1630	22.8%	29.1%	48.2%	-4.4	8
2019-11-09	Porto B	W 3-1	1597	1586	39.6%	32.0%	28.4%	+9.8	14
2019-11-09	@ Mafra	L 1-3	1586	1597	28.4%	32.0%	39.6%	-9.8	10
2019-11-10	Vilafranquense	L 0-2	1593	1604	36.4%	32.6%	31.0%	-13.5	12
2019-11-10	@ Academico de Viseu	W 2-0	1604	1593	31.0%	32.6%	36.4%	+13.5	10
2019-11-10	Casa Pia	W 2-0	1677	1600	49.3%	28.5%	22.2%	+9.0	18
2019-11-10	@ Chaves	L 0-2	1600	1677	22.2%	28.5%	49.3%	-9.0	7
2019-11-10	Estoril	L 0-2	1520	1658	22.0%	28.3%	49.6%	-8.9	6
2019-11-10	@ Cova Piedade	W 2-0	1658	1520	49.6%	28.3%	22.0%	+8.9	21
2019-11-10	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1675	1664	39.6%	32.0%	28.4%	+6.0	22
2019-11-10	@ Nacional	L 0-1	1664	1675	28.4%	32.0%	39.6%	-6.0	19
2019-11-10	Benfica B	D 1-1	1615	1565	45.3%	30.3%	24.4%	-0.8	12
2019-11-10	@ Penafiel	D 1-1	1565	1615	24.4%	30.3%	45.3%	+0.8	11
2019-11-16	Feirense	D 0-0	1614	1621	36.9%	32.5%	30.6%	-0.2	13
2019-11-16	@ Penafiel	D 0-0	1621	1614	30.6%	32.5%	36.9%	+0.3	11
2019-11-16	Farense	L 1-3	1580	1656	27.7%	31.9%	40.5%	-9.6	16
2019-11-16	@ Varzim	W 3-1	1656	1580	40.5%	31.9%	27.7%	+9.6	27
2019-11-17	Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1607	1658	30.7%	32.5%	36.8%	+0.2	15
2019-11-17	@ Mafra	D 2-2	1658	1607	36.8%	32.5%	30.7%	-0.2	20
2019-11-29	Feirense	L 1-2	1658	1621	43.3%	31.0%	25.7%	-7.6	20
2019-11-29	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1621	1658	25.7%	31.0%	43.3%	+7.6	14
2019-11-30	Academica de Coimbra	W 3-2	1618	1594	41.4%	31.6%	27.0%	+5.1	13
2019-11-30	@ Vilafranquense	L 2-3	1594	1618	27.0%	31.6%	41.4%	-5.1	9
2019-11-30	Leixoes	D 1-1	1667	1634	42.8%	31.2%	26.0%	-0.6	22
2019-11-30	@ Estoril	D 1-1	1634	1667	26.0%	31.2%	42.8%	+0.6	21
2019-11-30	Chaves	W 1-0	1665	1686	35.0%	32.7%	32.4%	+6.6	30
2019-11-30	@ Farense	L 0-1	1686	1665	32.4%	32.7%	35.0%	-6.6	18
2019-11-30	Penafiel	W 1-0	1570	1614	31.7%	32.6%	35.7%	+7.1	19
2019-11-30	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1614	1570	35.7%	32.6%	31.7%	-7.1	13
2019-12-01	Mafra	D 2-2	1566	1607	32.1%	32.6%	35.3%	+0.1	12
2019-12-01	@ Benfica B	D 2-2	1607	1566	35.3%	32.6%	32.1%	-0.1	16
2019-12-01	Nacional	L 0-1	1591	1681	26.3%	31.3%	42.4%	-5.6	7
2019-12-01	@ Casa Pia	W 1-0	1681	1591	42.4%	31.3%	26.3%	+5.6	25
2019-12-01	Cova Piedade	W 4-1	1576	1511	47.6%	29.3%	23.1%	+11.5	13
2019-12-01	@ Porto B	L 1-4	1511	1576	23.1%	29.3%	47.6%	-11.5	6
2019-12-07	Oliveirense	L 0-2	1679	1557	56.2%	24.7%	19.1%	-18.0	18
2019-12-07	@ Chaves	W 2-0	1557	1679	19.1%	24.7%	56.2%	+18.1	11
2019-12-07	Vilafranquense	D 0-0	1500	1623	23.2%	29.4%	47.4%	+1.0	7
2019-12-07	@ Cova Piedade	D 0-0	1623	1500	47.4%	29.4%	23.2%	-1.0	14
2019-12-07	Farense	W 1-0	1687	1672	40.1%	31.9%	28.0%	+5.9	28
2019-12-07	@ Nacional	L 0-1	1672	1687	28.0%	31.9%	40.1%	-5.9	30
2019-12-07	Porto B	D 2-2	1607	1588	40.8%	31.8%	27.5%	-0.4	14
2019-12-07	@ Penafiel	D 2-2	1588	1607	27.5%	31.8%	40.8%	+0.4	14
2019-12-08	Casa Pia	W 3-1	1589	1586	38.5%	32.3%	29.3%	+10.0	12
2019-12-08	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1586	1589	29.3%	32.3%	38.5%	-10.0	7
2019-12-08	Benfica B	D 1-1	1629	1566	47.3%	29.5%	23.2%	-0.9	15
2019-12-08	@ Feirense	D 1-1	1566	1629	23.2%	29.5%	47.3%	+0.9	13
2019-12-08	Academico de Viseu	L 0-1	1635	1580	46.1%	30.0%	23.9%	-8.4	21
2019-12-08	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1580	1635	23.9%	30.0%	46.1%	+8.4	15
2019-12-08	Estoril	W 3-1	1607	1667	29.6%	32.3%	38.0%	+12.0	19
2019-12-08	@ Mafra	L 1-3	1667	1607	38.0%	32.3%	29.6%	-12.0	22
2019-12-08	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1577	1650	28.1%	32.0%	40.0%	+7.6	22
2019-12-08	@ Varzim	L 0-1	1650	1577	40.0%	32.0%	28.1%	-7.6	20
2019-12-13	Cova Piedade	W 4-1	1588	1501	51.0%	27.7%	21.4%	+10.6	18
2019-12-13	@ Academico de Viseu	L 1-4	1501	1588	21.4%	27.7%	51.0%	-10.6	7
2019-12-13	Varzim	D 3-3	1567	1585	35.4%	32.6%	32.0%	-0.1	14
2019-12-13	@ Benfica B	D 3-3	1585	1567	32.0%	32.6%	35.4%	+0.1	23
2019-12-13	Chaves	D 1-1	1588	1661	28.0%	32.0%	40.0%	+0.4	15
2019-12-13	@ Porto B	D 1-1	1661	1588	40.0%	32.0%	28.0%	-0.4	19
2019-12-14	Leixoes	D 1-1	1622	1626	37.3%	32.5%	30.3%	-0.2	15
2019-12-14	@ Vilafranquense	D 1-1	1626	1622	30.3%	32.5%	37.3%	+0.2	22
2019-12-14	Mafra	L 0-1	1576	1619	31.8%	32.6%	35.6%	-6.5	7
2019-12-14	@ Casa Pia	W 1-0	1619	1576	35.6%	32.6%	31.8%	+6.5	22
2019-12-14	Nacional	L 1-2	1655	1692	32.5%	32.7%	34.8%	-6.2	22
2019-12-14	@ Estoril	W 2-1	1692	1655	34.8%	32.7%	32.5%	+6.2	31
2019-12-15	Feirense	W 1-0	1666	1628	43.6%	30.9%	25.5%	+5.5	33
2019-12-15	@ Farense	L 0-1	1628	1666	25.5%	30.9%	43.6%	-5.5	15
2019-12-15	Penafiel	W 2-1	1575	1606	33.4%	32.7%	33.9%	+6.4	14
2019-12-15	@ Oliveirense	L 1-2	1606	1575	33.9%	32.7%	33.4%	-6.4	14
2019-12-15	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1643	1599	44.4%	30.6%	24.9%	-7.7	20
2019-12-15	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1599	1643	24.9%	30.6%	44.4%	+7.7	15
2019-12-21	Cova Piedade	D 0-0	1627	1490	58.2%	23.4%	18.4%	-1.7	23
2019-12-21	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1490	1627	18.4%	23.4%	58.2%	+1.8	8
2019-12-22	Academico de Viseu	W 2-0	1581	1599	35.4%	32.6%	32.0%	+12.3	17
2019-12-22	@ Oliveirense	L 0-2	1599	1581	32.0%	32.6%	35.4%	-12.3	18
2019-12-28	Oliveirense	W 4-3	1607	1594	39.9%	32.0%	28.1%	+5.2	18
2019-12-28	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 3-4	1594	1607	28.1%	32.0%	39.9%	-5.2	17
2019-12-28	Estoril	W 1-0	1600	1648	31.1%	32.6%	36.4%	+7.1	17
2019-12-28	@ Penafiel	L 0-1	1648	1600	36.4%	32.6%	31.1%	-7.1	22
2019-12-29	Vilafranquense	W 2-1	1661	1622	43.8%	30.9%	25.4%	+5.1	22
2019-12-29	@ Chaves	L 1-2	1622	1661	25.4%	30.9%	43.8%	-5.1	15
2019-12-29	Casa Pia	D 1-1	1623	1569	45.9%	30.1%	24.1%	-0.8	16
2019-12-29	@ Feirense	D 1-1	1569	1623	24.1%	30.1%	45.9%	+0.8	8
2019-12-29	Academico de Viseu	D 1-1	1625	1587	43.7%	30.9%	25.4%	-0.7	23
2019-12-29	@ Mafra	D 1-1	1587	1625	25.4%	30.9%	43.7%	+0.7	19
2019-12-29	Benfica B	D 2-2	1635	1567	48.0%	29.1%	22.8%	-0.7	21
2019-12-29	@ Sporting Covilha	D 2-2	1567	1635	22.8%	29.1%	48.0%	+0.7	15
2020-01-04	Chaves	L 0-2	1492	1666	19.6%	25.4%	55.0%	-7.8	8
2020-01-04	@ Cova Piedade	W 2-0	1666	1492	55.0%	25.4%	19.6%	+7.8	25
2020-01-04	Feirense	L 0-2	1641	1622	40.8%	31.8%	27.4%	-14.6	22
2020-01-04	@ Estoril	W 2-0	1622	1641	27.4%	31.8%	40.8%	+14.6	19
2020-01-04	Penafiel	L 0-1	1625	1607	40.6%	31.8%	27.6%	-7.7	23
2020-01-04	@ Leixoes	W 1-0	1607	1625	27.6%	31.8%	40.6%	+7.7	20
2020-01-04	Mafra	L 1-3	1588	1625	32.7%	32.7%	34.6%	-10.9	17
2020-01-04	@ Oliveirense	W 3-1	1625	1588	34.6%	32.7%	32.7%	+10.9	26
2020-01-05	Nacional	D 0-0	1587	1699	24.2%	30.1%	45.7%	+0.9	20
2020-01-05	@ Academico de Viseu	D 0-0	1699	1587	45.7%	30.1%	24.2%	-0.9	32
2020-01-05	Varzim	L 0-3	1616	1585	42.6%	31.2%	26.1%	-21.8	15
2020-01-05	@ Vilafranquense	W 3-0	1585	1616	26.1%	31.2%	42.6%	+21.8	26
2020-01-05	Sporting Covilha	L 1-4	1570	1634	29.1%	32.2%	38.7%	-14.1	8
2020-01-05	@ Casa Pia	W 4-1	1634	1570	38.7%	32.2%	29.1%	+14.1	24
2020-01-05	Benfica B	L 0-3	1672	1568	53.4%	26.3%	20.3%	-25.4	33
2020-01-05	@ Farense	W 3-0	1568	1672	20.3%	26.3%	53.4%	+25.4	18
2020-01-05	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-3	1588	1612	34.6%	32.7%	32.8%	-11.3	15
2020-01-05	@ Porto B	W 3-1	1612	1588	32.8%	32.7%	34.6%	+11.3	21
2020-01-10	Academico de Viseu	L 1-2	1607	1588	40.7%	31.8%	27.5%	-7.3	26
2020-01-10	@ Varzim	W 2-1	1588	1607	27.5%	31.8%	40.7%	+7.3	23
2020-01-11	Casa Pia	W 4-0	1593	1556	43.5%	31.0%	25.6%	+19.6	21
2020-01-11	@ Benfica B	L 0-4	1556	1593	25.6%	31.0%	43.5%	-19.6	8
2020-01-11	Leixoes	D 0-0	1674	1617	46.3%	29.9%	23.8%	-1.0	26
2020-01-11	@ Chaves	D 0-0	1617	1674	23.8%	29.9%	46.3%	+1.0	24
2020-01-11	Porto B	W 1-0	1636	1577	46.7%	29.7%	23.6%	+5.1	22
2020-01-11	@ Feirense	L 0-1	1577	1636	23.6%	29.7%	46.7%	-5.1	15
2020-01-11	Estoril	W 1-0	1648	1627	41.1%	31.7%	27.2%	+5.8	27
2020-01-11	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1627	1648	27.2%	31.7%	41.1%	-5.8	22
2020-01-12	Cova Piedade	W 3-0	1623	1484	58.6%	23.2%	18.2%	+10.2	24
2020-01-12	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1484	1623	18.2%	23.2%	58.6%	-10.2	8
2020-01-12	Vilafranquense	D 1-1	1635	1595	44.0%	30.8%	25.2%	-0.7	27
2020-01-12	@ Mafra	D 1-1	1595	1635	25.2%	30.8%	44.0%	+0.7	16
2020-01-12	Oliveirense	D 0-0	1698	1577	55.8%	24.9%	19.3%	-1.6	33
2020-01-12	@ Nacional	D 0-0	1577	1698	19.3%	24.9%	55.8%	+1.6	18
2020-01-12	Farense	W 3-0	1615	1646	33.4%	32.7%	33.9%	+18.7	23
2020-01-12	@ Penafiel	L 0-3	1646	1615	33.9%	32.7%	33.4%	-18.7	33
2020-01-18	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1621	1633	36.1%	32.6%	31.3%	+6.5	25
2020-01-18	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1633	1621	31.3%	32.6%	36.1%	-6.4	24
2020-01-18	Mafra	L 0-2	1618	1635	35.6%	32.6%	31.8%	-13.3	24
2020-01-18	@ Leixoes	W 2-0	1635	1618	31.8%	32.6%	35.6%	+13.3	30
2020-01-18	Feirense	D 1-1	1579	1641	29.3%	32.3%	38.4%	+0.3	19
2020-01-18	@ Oliveirense	D 1-1	1641	1579	38.4%	32.3%	29.3%	-0.3	23
2020-01-18	Benfica B	W 2-1	1572	1613	32.1%	32.6%	35.2%	+6.6	18
2020-01-18	@ Porto B	L 1-2	1613	1572	35.2%	32.6%	32.1%	-6.6	21
2020-01-19	Chaves	D 0-0	1595	1673	27.6%	31.8%	40.6%	+0.5	24
2020-01-19	@ Academico de Viseu	D 0-0	1673	1595	40.6%	31.8%	27.6%	-0.5	27
2020-01-19	Penafiel	D 1-1	1595	1634	32.4%	32.7%	34.9%	+0.1	17
2020-01-19	@ Vilafranquense	D 1-1	1634	1595	34.9%	32.7%	32.4%	-0.1	24
2020-01-19	Varzim	D 2-2	1536	1599	29.2%	32.3%	38.5%	+0.2	9
2020-01-19	@ Casa Pia	D 2-2	1599	1536	38.5%	32.3%	29.2%	-0.2	27
2020-01-19	Nacional	W 3-1	1474	1696	17.0%	20.8%	62.1%	+16.6	11
2020-01-19	@ Cova Piedade	L 1-3	1696	1474	62.1%	20.8%	17.0%	-16.7	33
2020-01-19	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1628	1654	34.1%	32.7%	33.2%	-0.0	34
2020-01-19	@ Farense	D 0-0	1654	1628	33.2%	32.7%	34.1%	+0.0	28
2020-01-26	Penafiel	W 1-0	1596	1633	32.6%	32.7%	34.8%	+6.9	27
2020-01-26	@ Academico de Viseu	L 0-1	1633	1596	34.8%	32.7%	32.6%	-6.9	24
2020-01-26	Feirense	D 1-1	1595	1641	31.4%	32.6%	36.0%	+0.2	18
2020-01-26	@ Vilafranquense	D 1-1	1641	1595	36.0%	32.6%	31.4%	-0.2	24
2020-01-26	Farense	L 0-2	1536	1628	26.1%	31.2%	42.6%	-10.6	9
2020-01-26	@ Casa Pia	W 2-0	1628	1536	42.6%	31.2%	26.1%	+10.5	37
2020-01-26	Nacional	L 0-2	1672	1680	36.9%	32.5%	30.6%	-13.6	27
2020-01-26	@ Chaves	W 2-0	1680	1672	30.6%	32.5%	36.9%	+13.6	36
2020-01-26	Mafra	D 1-1	1491	1648	20.7%	26.8%	52.5%	+1.2	12
2020-01-26	@ Cova Piedade	D 1-1	1648	1491	52.5%	26.8%	20.7%	-1.2	31
2020-01-26	Academica de Coimbra	D 1-1	1605	1627	34.8%	32.7%	32.6%	-0.1	25
2020-01-26	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1627	1605	32.6%	32.7%	34.8%	+0.1	25
2020-01-26	Varzim	W 4-0	1579	1599	35.1%	32.7%	32.2%	+23.6	22
2020-01-26	@ Oliveirense	L 0-4	1599	1579	32.2%	32.7%	35.1%	-23.5	27
2020-01-26	Sporting Covilha	W 4-2	1579	1654	27.8%	31.9%	40.3%	+11.2	21
2020-01-26	@ Porto B	L 2-4	1654	1579	40.3%	31.9%	27.8%	-11.2	28
2020-01-27	Benfica B	W 1-0	1627	1606	41.1%	31.7%	27.2%	+5.8	28
2020-01-27	@ Estoril	L 0-1	1606	1627	27.2%	31.7%	41.1%	-5.8	21
2020-01-30	Academico de Viseu	W 2-0	1627	1603	41.5%	31.6%	26.9%	+10.8	28
2020-01-30	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-2	1603	1627	26.9%	31.6%	41.5%	-10.8	27
2020-02-01	Estoril	L 0-2	1638	1633	38.7%	32.2%	29.1%	-14.0	37
2020-02-01	@ Farense	W 2-0	1633	1638	29.1%	32.2%	38.7%	+14.0	31
2020-02-01	Chaves	W 1-0	1647	1659	36.2%	32.6%	31.2%	+6.4	34
2020-02-01	@ Mafra	L 0-1	1659	1647	31.2%	32.6%	36.2%	-6.4	27
2020-02-01	Casa Pia	D 1-1	1626	1526	52.9%	26.6%	20.5%	-1.2	25
2020-02-01	@ Penafiel	D 1-1	1526	1626	20.5%	26.6%	52.9%	+1.3	10
2020-02-02	Vilafranquense	W 4-0	1600	1596	38.7%	32.2%	29.1%	+21.9	24
2020-02-02	@ Benfica B	L 0-4	1596	1600	29.1%	32.2%	38.7%	-21.9	18
2020-02-02	Cova Piedade	W 2-1	1641	1492	60.1%	22.2%	17.7%	+3.4	27
2020-02-02	@ Feirense	L 1-2	1492	1641	17.7%	22.2%	60.1%	-3.4	12
2020-02-02	Leixoes	W 1-0	1693	1605	51.1%	27.6%	21.3%	+4.6	39
2020-02-02	@ Nacional	L 0-1	1605	1693	21.3%	27.6%	51.1%	-4.6	25
2020-02-02	Porto B	L 0-2	1575	1590	35.9%	32.6%	31.5%	-13.3	27
2020-02-02	@ Varzim	W 2-0	1590	1575	31.5%	32.6%	35.9%	+13.3	24
2020-02-03	Oliveirense	W 1-0	1643	1603	43.9%	30.8%	25.3%	+5.4	31
2020-02-03	@ Sporting Covilha	L 0-1	1603	1643	25.3%	30.8%	43.9%	-5.4	22
2020-02-08	Feirense	L 0-1	1592	1644	30.6%	32.5%	36.9%	-6.3	27
2020-02-08	@ Academico de Viseu	W 1-0	1644	1592	36.9%	32.5%	30.6%	+6.3	30
2020-02-08	Penafiel	D 2-2	1488	1625	22.1%	28.4%	49.4%	+0.8	13
2020-02-08	@ Cova Piedade	D 2-2	1625	1488	49.4%	28.4%	22.1%	-0.8	26
2020-02-08	Varzim	W 1-0	1600	1562	43.6%	30.9%	25.5%	+5.5	28
2020-02-08	@ Leixoes	L 0-1	1562	1600	25.5%	30.9%	43.6%	-5.5	27
2020-02-08	Nacional	D 1-1	1653	1698	31.6%	32.6%	35.8%	+0.1	35
2020-02-08	@ Mafra	D 1-1	1698	1653	35.8%	32.6%	31.6%	-0.2	40
2020-02-09	Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1574	1648	27.9%	31.9%	40.2%	+7.6	21
2020-02-09	@ Vilafranquense	L 0-1	1648	1574	40.2%	31.9%	27.9%	-7.6	31
2020-02-09	Academica de Coimbra	L 1-2	1652	1638	40.1%	31.9%	28.0%	-7.2	27
2020-02-09	@ Chaves	W 2-1	1638	1652	28.0%	31.9%	40.1%	+7.2	31
2020-02-09	Casa Pia	W 4-1	1647	1527	55.8%	24.9%	19.3%	+9.3	34
2020-02-09	@ Estoril	L 1-4	1527	1647	19.3%	24.9%	55.8%	-9.3	10
2020-02-09	Benfica B	W 5-0	1597	1622	34.4%	32.7%	32.9%	+29.5	25
2020-02-09	@ Oliveirense	L 0-5	1622	1597	32.9%	32.7%	34.4%	-29.5	24
2020-02-09	Farense	D 1-1	1603	1624	34.9%	32.7%	32.4%	-0.1	25
2020-02-09	@ Porto B	D 1-1	1624	1603	32.4%	32.7%	34.9%	+0.1	38
2020-02-15	Mafra	D 0-0	1645	1653	36.8%	32.5%	30.7%	-0.2	32
2020-02-15	@ Academica de Coimbra	D 0-0	1653	1645	30.7%	32.5%	36.8%	+0.2	36
2020-02-15	Leixoes	W 1-0	1651	1606	44.6%	30.6%	24.8%	+5.3	33
2020-02-15	@ Feirense	L 0-1	1606	1651	24.8%	30.6%	44.6%	-5.3	28
2020-02-15	Vilafranquense	W 5-1	1698	1581	55.2%	25.2%	19.5%	+12.2	43
2020-02-15	@ Nacional	L 1-5	1581	1698	19.5%	25.2%	55.2%	-12.2	21
2020-02-15	Estoril	W 3-0	1557	1656	25.3%	30.8%	43.9%	+22.3	30
2020-02-15	@ Varzim	L 0-3	1656	1557	43.9%	30.8%	25.3%	-22.2	34
2020-02-16	Cova Piedade	W 2-0	1593	1489	53.3%	26.4%	20.3%	+8.1	27
2020-02-16	@ Benfica B	L 0-2	1489	1593	20.3%	26.4%	53.3%	-8.1	13
2020-02-16	Porto B	L 1-3	1518	1603	26.7%	31.5%	41.8%	-9.3	10
2020-02-16	@ Casa Pia	W 3-1	1603	1518	41.8%	31.5%	26.7%	+9.3	28
2020-02-16	Oliveirense	W 3-1	1624	1627	37.6%	32.4%	30.0%	+10.2	41
2020-02-16	@ Farense	L 1-3	1627	1624	30.0%	32.4%	37.6%	-10.2	25
2020-02-16	Academico de Viseu	L 0-1	1641	1586	46.1%	30.0%	23.9%	-8.4	31
2020-02-16	@ Sporting Covilha	W 1-0	1586	1641	23.9%	30.0%	46.1%	+8.4	30
2020-02-17	Chaves	D 0-0	1624	1645	35.0%	32.7%	32.4%	-0.1	27
2020-02-17	@ Penafiel	D 0-0	1645	1624	32.4%	32.7%	35.0%	+0.1	28
2020-02-21	Farense	L 0-3	1569	1634	29.0%	32.2%	38.8%	-16.7	21
2020-02-21	@ Vilafranquense	W 3-0	1634	1569	38.8%	32.2%	29.0%	+16.7	44
2020-02-22	Feirense	L 1-2	1645	1656	36.4%	32.6%	31.1%	-6.7	28
2020-02-22	@ Chaves	W 2-1	1656	1645	31.1%	32.6%	36.4%	+6.7	36
2020-02-22	Sporting Covilha	D 0-0	1600	1632	33.4%	32.7%	34.0%	+0.0	29
2020-02-22	@ Leixoes	D 0-0	1632	1600	34.0%	32.7%	33.4%	-0.0	32
2020-02-22	Casa Pia	W 2-1	1617	1509	54.0%	26.0%	20.0%	+4.0	28
2020-02-22	@ Oliveirense	L 1-2	1509	1617	20.0%	26.0%	54.0%	-4.0	10
2020-02-22	Estoril	D 1-1	1612	1634	34.8%	32.7%	32.5%	-0.1	29
2020-02-22	@ Porto B	D 1-1	1634	1612	32.5%	32.7%	34.8%	+0.1	35
2020-02-23	Benfica B	D 1-1	1594	1601	37.0%	32.5%	30.5%	-0.2	31
2020-02-23	@ Academico de Viseu	D 1-1	1601	1594	30.5%	32.5%	37.0%	+0.2	28
2020-02-23	Varzim	L 1-2	1481	1579	25.4%	30.9%	43.6%	-5.2	13
2020-02-23	@ Cova Piedade	W 2-1	1579	1481	43.6%	30.9%	25.4%	+5.1	33
2020-02-23	Penafiel	W 1-0	1654	1624	42.3%	31.4%	26.4%	+5.6	39
2020-02-23	@ Mafra	L 0-1	1624	1654	26.4%	31.4%	42.3%	-5.6	27
2020-02-23	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1710	1645	47.6%	29.3%	23.1%	+5.0	46
2020-02-23	@ Nacional	L 0-1	1645	1710	23.1%	29.3%	47.6%	-5.0	32
2020-02-28	Leixoes	L 0-1	1601	1600	38.0%	32.3%	29.6%	-7.4	28
2020-02-28	@ Benfica B	W 1-0	1600	1601	29.6%	32.3%	38.0%	+7.4	32
2020-02-29	Academico de Viseu	W 3-1	1651	1594	46.4%	29.8%	23.7%	+8.4	47
2020-02-29	@ Farense	L 1-3	1594	1651	23.7%	29.8%	46.4%	-8.4	31
2020-02-29	Academica de Coimbra	W 1-0	1663	1640	41.3%	31.6%	27.0%	+5.8	39
2020-02-29	@ Feirense	L 0-1	1640	1663	27.0%	31.6%	41.3%	-5.8	32
2020-02-29	Nacional	D 1-1	1619	1715	25.6%	31.0%	43.4%	+0.7	28
2020-02-29	@ Penafiel	D 1-1	1715	1619	43.4%	31.0%	25.6%	-0.7	47
2020-03-01	Cova Piedade	D 1-1	1505	1476	42.2%	31.4%	26.4%	-0.6	11
2020-03-01	@ Casa Pia	D 1-1	1476	1505	26.4%	31.4%	42.2%	+0.6	14
2020-03-01	Vilafranquense	W 2-0	1634	1552	50.1%	28.1%	21.8%	+8.8	38
2020-03-01	@ Estoril	L 0-2	1552	1634	21.8%	28.1%	50.1%	-8.8	21
2020-03-01	Oliveirense	L 1-2	1612	1621	36.8%	32.5%	30.7%	-6.8	29
2020-03-01	@ Porto B	W 2-1	1621	1612	30.7%	32.5%	36.8%	+6.8	31
2020-03-01	Chaves	L 0-2	1632	1638	37.1%	32.5%	30.4%	-13.7	32
2020-03-01	@ Sporting Covilha	W 2-0	1638	1632	30.4%	32.5%	37.1%	+13.7	31
2020-03-01	Mafra	W 2-1	1584	1659	27.8%	31.9%	40.3%	+7.2	36
2020-03-01	@ Varzim	L 1-2	1659	1584	40.3%	31.9%	27.8%	-7.2	39
2020-03-05	Penafiel	W 3-0	1634	1619	40.1%	31.9%	28.0%	+16.2	35
2020-03-05	@ Academica de Coimbra	L 0-3	1619	1634	28.0%	31.9%	40.1%	-16.2	28
2020-03-07	Porto B	W 3-2	1544	1606	29.4%	32.3%	38.4%	+6.6	24
2020-03-07	@ Vilafranquense	L 2-3	1606	1544	38.4%	32.3%	29.4%	-6.6	29
2020-03-07	Feirense	L 0-1	1652	1668	35.6%	32.6%	31.8%	-7.0	39
2020-03-07	@ Mafra	W 1-0	1668	1652	31.8%	32.6%	35.6%	+7.0	42
2020-03-07	Estoril	D 1-1	1627	1643	35.7%	32.6%	31.7%	-0.1	32
2020-03-07	@ Oliveirense	D 1-1	1643	1627	31.7%	32.6%	35.7%	+0.1	39
2020-03-08	Casa Pia	W 1-0	1586	1504	50.1%	28.1%	21.8%	+4.7	34
2020-03-08	@ Academico de Viseu	L 0-1	1504	1586	21.8%	28.1%	50.1%	-4.7	11
2020-03-08	Varzim	D 1-1	1652	1591	47.0%	29.6%	23.4%	-0.9	32
2020-03-08	@ Chaves	D 1-1	1591	1652	23.4%	29.6%	47.0%	+0.9	37
2020-03-08	Sporting Covilha	W 2-1	1477	1619	21.7%	28.1%	50.2%	+8.4	17
2020-03-08	@ Cova Piedade	L 1-2	1619	1477	50.2%	28.1%	21.7%	-8.4	32
2020-03-08	Benfica B	W 3-1	1714	1594	55.9%	24.9%	19.3%	+6.6	50
2020-03-08	@ Nacional	L 1-3	1594	1714	19.3%	24.9%	55.9%	-6.6	28
2020-03-09	Farense	D 1-1	1608	1659	30.7%	32.5%	36.8%	+0.2	33
2020-03-09	@ Leixoes	D 1-1	1659	1608	36.8%	32.5%	30.7%	-0.2	48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2020-01-19	17.04%	@ Cova Piedade	1474	3	Nacional	1696	1
2	2019-12-07	19.15%	Oliveirense	1557	2	@ Chaves	1679	0
3	2020-01-05	20.26%	Benfica B	1568	3	@ Farense	1672	0
4	2020-03-08	21.72%	@ Cova Piedade	1477	2	Sporting Covilha	1619	1
5	2019-10-27	23.42%	@ Varzim	1556	2	Chaves	1676	1
6	2019-09-15	23.50%	Oliveirense	1554	3	@ Casa Pia	1614	1
7	2019-10-26	23.50%	@ Benfica B	1566	1	Nacional	1685	0
8	2019-11-09	23.71%	Varzim	1572	2	@ Feirense	1629	1
9	2019-09-15	23.83%	Leixoes	1605	3	@ Sporting Covilha	1662	2
10	2019-12-08	23.92%	Academico de Viseu	1580	1	@ Leixoes	1635	0
11	2020-02-16	23.93%	Academico de Viseu	1586	1	@ Sporting Covilha	1641	0
12	2019-12-15	24.95%	Academica de Coimbra	1599	2	@ Sporting Covilha	1643	1
13	2019-10-26	25.06%	Mafra	1594	2	@ Feirense	1637	1
14	2020-02-15	25.26%	@ Varzim	1557	3	Estoril	1656	0
15	2019-08-25	25.48%	Porto B	1585	3	@ Farense	1623	1
16	2019-11-29	25.65%	Feirense	1621	2	@ Sporting Covilha	1658	1
17	2019-10-30	25.78%	Porto B	1582	2	@ Academico de Viseu	1617	0
18	2019-08-17	26.01%	Penafiel	1596	2	@ Casa Pia	1629	1
19	2020-01-05	26.12%	Varzim	1585	3	@ Vilafranquense	1616	0
20	2019-08-18	26.74%	@ Cova Piedade	1552	2	Feirense	1637	1
21	2020-01-04	27.41%	Feirense	1622	2	@ Estoril	1641	0
22	2020-01-10	27.53%	Academico de Viseu	1588	2	@ Varzim	1607	1
23	2020-01-04	27.59%	Penafiel	1607	1	@ Leixoes	1625	0
24	2019-09-21	27.60%	Sporting Covilha	1654	3	@ Chaves	1672	2
25	2020-01-26	27.80%	@ Porto B	1579	4	Sporting Covilha	1654	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-02-09	29.46	@ Oliveirense	5	1597	34.39%	Benfica B	0	1622	32.92%
2	2020-01-05	25.38	Benfica B	3	1568	20.26%	@ Farense	0	1672	53.42%
3	2020-01-26	23.55	@ Oliveirense	4	1579	35.10%	Varzim	0	1599	32.24%
4	2020-02-15	22.26	@ Varzim	3	1557	25.26%	Estoril	0	1656	43.93%
5	2020-02-02	21.86	@ Benfica B	4	1600	38.66%	Vilafranquense	0	1596	29.11%
6	2020-01-05	21.81	Varzim	3	1585	26.12%	@ Vilafranquense	0	1616	42.63%
7	2019-08-18	20.29	@ Vilafranquense	4	1633	42.05%	Benfica B	0	1605	26.53%
8	2020-01-11	19.65	@ Benfica B	4	1593	43.45%	Casa Pia	0	1556	25.57%
9	2019-08-10	19.33	@ Nacional	3	1638	31.65%	Chaves	0	1683	35.74%
10	2020-01-12	18.66	@ Penafiel	3	1615	33.41%	Farense	0	1646	33.89%
11	2019-09-14	18.23	@ Farense	3	1617	34.57%	Vilafranquense	0	1640	32.74%
12	2019-12-07	18.06	Oliveirense	2	1557	19.15%	@ Chaves	0	1679	56.18%
13	2020-02-21	16.68	Farense	3	1634	38.83%	@ Vilafranquense	0	1569	28.97%
14	2020-01-19	16.65	@ Cova Piedade	3	1474	17.04%	Nacional	1	1696	62.11%
15	2019-09-22	16.57	Estoril	4	1631	30.86%	@ Vilafranquense	1	1622	36.60%
16	2020-03-05	16.21	@ Academica de Coimbra	3	1634	40.13%	Penafiel	0	1619	27.95%
17	2019-10-30	15.14	Porto B	2	1582	25.78%	@ Academico de Viseu	0	1617	43.15%
18	2019-08-24	14.67	@ Penafiel	3	1604	44.51%	Cova Piedade	0	1560	24.89%
19	2020-01-04	14.58	Feirense	2	1622	27.41%	@ Estoril	0	1641	40.83%
20	2019-08-11	14.25	Academico de Viseu	2	1600	28.45%	@ Penafiel	0	1611	39.48%
21	2020-01-05	14.11	Sporting Covilha	4	1634	38.68%	@ Casa Pia	1	1570	29.09%
22	2020-02-01	14.05	Estoril	2	1633	29.07%	@ Farense	0	1638	38.71%
23	2019-09-15	13.86	Oliveirense	3	1554	23.50%	@ Casa Pia	1	1614	46.83%
24	2020-03-01	13.65	Chaves	2	1638	30.45%	@ Sporting Covilha	0	1632	37.07%
25	2020-01-26	13.61	Nacional	2	1680	30.60%	@ Chaves	0	1672	36.89%