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2019-20 LigaPro Season

216 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Farense

10.12 points above expected

48 points · 37.88 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Casa Pia

11.77 points below expected

11 points · 22.77 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Nacional 24 14 8 2 50 36 16 +20 44.73 +5.27
2 Farense 24 15 3 6 48 35 22 +13 37.88 +10.12
3 Feirense 24 11 9 4 42 27 18 +9 37.55 +4.45
4 Estoril 24 12 3 9 39 35 26 +9 36.62 +2.38
5 Mafra 24 10 9 5 39 33 24 +9 36.18 +2.82
6 Varzim 24 10 7 7 37 32 31 +1 29.17 +7.83
7 Academica de Coimbra 24 10 5 9 35 34 26 +8 35.49 -0.49
8 Academico de Viseu 24 9 7 8 34 21 24 -3 30.33 +3.67
9 Leixoes 24 8 9 7 33 23 22 +1 33.46 -0.46
10 Oliveirense 24 9 5 10 32 36 31 +5 30.99 +1.01
11 Sporting Covilha 24 9 5 10 32 29 27 +2 37.27 -5.27
12 Chaves 24 9 5 10 32 26 26 0 39.30 -7.30
13 Porto B 24 7 8 9 29 35 36 -1 30.65 -1.65
14 Penafiel 24 6 10 8 28 23 24 -1 32.62 -4.62
15 Benfica B 24 7 7 10 28 31 35 -4 28.91 -0.91
16 Vilafranquense 24 6 6 12 24 27 45 -18 28.73 -4.73
17 Cova Piedade 24 4 5 15 17 20 42 -22 17.79 -0.79
18 Casa Pia 24 2 5 17 11 19 47 -28 22.77 -11.77

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Nacional 1734 50 58.40 -8.40 14.6% 28 46 53 59 63 70 91
Feirense 1685 42 51.22 -9.22 12.0% 23 39 46 51 56 64 78
Farense 1668 48 51.55 -3.55 34.2% 20 39 46 52 57 64 80
Academica de Coimbra 1659 35 49.16 -14.16 3.4% 24 37 44 49 54 62 77
Mafra 1656 39 49.85 -10.85 8.1% 24 38 45 50 55 62 78
Chaves 1644 32 52.97 -20.97 0.2% 28 41 48 53 58 65 78
Estoril 1644 39 50.29 -11.29 7.3% 24 38 45 50 55 63 79
Oliveirense 1642 32 44.66 -12.66 4.9% 20 33 40 45 50 57 76
Leixoes 1610 33 47.13 -14.13 3.1% 20 35 42 47 52 60 78
Sporting Covilha 1606 32 50.94 -18.94 0.7% 22 39 46 51 56 63 78
Penafiel 1601 28 46.29 -18.29 0.6% 17 34 41 46 51 59 73
Porto B 1601 29 44.32 -15.32 1.9% 19 32 39 44 49 57 72
Varzim 1598 37 42.84 -5.84 23.5% 18 31 38 43 48 55 69
Academico de Viseu 1589 34 44.00 -10.00 9.8% 17 32 39 44 49 56 72
Benfica B 1584 28 42.58 -14.58 2.5% 18 31 37 42 48 55 75
Vilafranquense 1533 24 42.40 -18.40 0.6% 12 31 37 42 47 55 69
Casa Pia 1472 11 36.44 -25.44 0.0% 9 25 32 36 41 48 64
Cova Piedade 1471 17 31.46 -14.46 1.7% 9 20 27 31 36 43 61

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ADC ADV BB CP CHA CP EST FAR FEI LEI MAF NAC OLI PEN PB SC VAR VIL
Academica de Coimbra —
1-1-0
2.82
1-0-0
1.62
1-0-0
1.53
1-0-1
2.55
1-0-0
2.04
0-0-1
1.33
0-0-1
1.21
0-1-1
2.48
1-1-0
2.85
0-1-1
2.74
0-0-2
2.21
1-0-0
1.50
1-1-0
2.74
1-0-0
1.33
1-0-0
1.02
0-0-1
1.40
0-0-1
1.14
Academico de Viseu
0-1-1
2.64
 —
0-2-0
2.85
2-0-0
3.23
0-1-0
1.19
1-0-0
1.86
0-0-1
1.05
1-0-1
2.33
0-1-1
2.48
1-0-0
0.98
0-1-0
1.05
0-1-0
1.00
0-0-1
1.30
2-0-0
2.51
0-0-1
1.66
1-0-1
2.31
1-0-0
1.12
0-0-1
1.48
Benfica B
0-0-1
1.11
0-2-0
2.60
 —
1-0-0
1.71
0-0-1
1.10
1-0-1
3.34
1-0-1
2.57
1-0-0
0.81
0-1-0
0.99
0-0-2
2.55
0-1-0
1.27
1-0-1
1.75
1-0-1
2.88
0-1-0
1.01
0-0-1
1.45
0-1-0
0.94
0-1-0
1.36
1-0-1
2.70
Casa Pia
0-0-1
1.20
0-0-2
2.25
0-0-1
1.02
 —
0-0-1
0.94
1-1-0
2.96
0-0-2
2.29
0-0-2
2.40
0-1-0
1.00
0-0-1
1.14
0-0-1
1.21
0-0-1
1.05
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
2.42
0-1-1
2.29
0-0-1
1.13
0-1-0
1.10
1-0-0
1.41
Chaves
1-0-1
2.90
0-1-0
1.54
1-0-0
1.63
1-0-0
1.80
 —
1-0-0
1.94
1-0-0
1.51
0-0-1
1.25
0-0-2
2.84
0-1-0
1.68
1-0-1
2.92
0-0-2
2.85
0-0-1
1.93
1-1-0
2.94
0-1-0
1.52
1-0-1
2.69
0-1-1
3.40
1-0-0
1.63
Cova Piedade
0-0-1
0.73
0-0-1
0.89
1-0-1
2.13
0-1-1
2.49
0-0-1
0.82
 —
0-0-1
0.90
0-0-1
1.11
1-0-1
1.86
0-1-0
0.72
0-1-1
1.92
1-0-0
0.65
0-0-1
1.16
0-1-1
1.98
0-0-1
0.97
1-0-1
1.65
0-0-2
2.33
0-1-0
0.97
Estoril
1-0-0
1.40
1-0-0
1.69
1-0-1
2.89
2-0-0
3.20
0-0-1
1.22
1-0-0
1.85
 —
1-0-1
2.65
0-0-1
1.60
0-1-0
1.62
0-0-1
1.52
0-0-1
1.31
1-1-0
3.02
0-0-1
1.47
1-1-0
2.88
0-0-1
1.11
1-0-1
3.40
2-0-0
3.15
Farense
1-0-0
1.52
1-0-1
3.13
0-0-1
1.95
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-0
1.47
1-0-0
1.62
1-0-1
2.80
 —
1-0-0
1.71
1-1-0
3.05
1-0-0
1.70
0-0-1
1.22
2-0-0
2.88
0-0-1
1.40
0-1-1
2.98
0-1-0
1.35
1-0-0
1.60
2-0-0
3.00
Feirense
1-1-0
2.98
1-1-0
2.97
0-1-0
1.75
0-1-0
1.74
2-0-0
2.62
1-0-1
3.63
1-0-0
1.13
0-0-1
1.02
 —
1-1-0
2.98
1-0-1
2.93
0-1-0
1.25
0-1-0
1.49
0-1-0
1.24
1-0-0
1.72
1-0-0
1.03
0-0-1
1.69
1-1-0
2.85
Leixoes
0-1-1
2.60
0-0-1
1.75
2-0-0
2.91
1-0-0
1.59
0-1-0
1.05
0-1-0
2.04
0-1-0
1.11
0-1-1
2.41
0-1-1
2.48
 —
0-0-1
1.39
0-1-1
2.13
1-0-0
1.79
0-0-1
1.59
1-0-0
1.34
1-1-0
2.32
2-0-0
3.04
0-1-0
1.30
Mafra
1-1-0
2.71
0-1-0
1.68
0-1-0
1.46
1-0-0
1.51
1-0-1
2.55
1-1-0
3.56
1-0-0
1.21
0-0-1
1.04
1-0-1
2.53
1-0-0
1.33
 —
0-2-0
2.31
1-0-0
1.40
1-0-1
2.83
1-0-0
1.53
0-1-0
1.23
0-1-1
3.25
0-1-0
1.73
Nacional
2-0-0
3.25
0-1-0
1.74
1-0-1
3.75
1-0-0
1.68
2-0-0
2.60
0-0-1
2.13
1-0-0
1.42
1-0-0
1.51
0-1-0
1.47
1-1-0
3.34
0-2-0
3.15
 —
0-1-0
1.95
1-1-0
3.36
1-0-0
1.81
1-0-0
1.49
0-1-0
1.92
2-0-0
3.25
Oliveirense
0-0-1
1.22
1-0-0
1.43
1-0-1
2.57
2-0-0
3.03
1-0-0
0.82
1-0-0
1.57
0-1-1
2.44
0-0-2
2.57
0-1-0
1.24
0-0-1
0.95
0-0-1
1.33
0-1-0
0.80
 —
1-0-0
1.37
1-1-0
2.68
0-0-2
2.33
1-1-0
2.70
0-0-1
1.13
Penafiel
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
2.95
0-1-0
1.72
1-1-0
3.06
0-1-1
2.52
1-1-0
3.50
1-0-0
1.26
1-0-0
1.33
0-1-0
1.49
1-0-0
1.14
1-0-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.11
0-0-1
1.36
 —
0-1-0
1.56
0-1-0
0.99
0-0-1
1.42
0-1-0
1.47
Porto B
0-0-1
1.39
1-0-0
1.07
1-0-0
1.28
1-1-0
3.17
0-1-0
1.21
1-0-0
1.77
0-1-1
2.57
1-1-0
2.48
0-0-1
1.01
0-0-1
1.39
0-0-1
1.19
0-0-1
0.93
0-1-1
2.77
0-1-0
1.17
 —
1-0-1
2.25
1-1-0
2.88
0-1-1
2.99
Sporting Covilha
0-0-1
1.71
1-0-1
3.15
0-1-0
1.80
1-0-0
1.60
1-0-1
2.77
1-0-1
3.85
1-0-0
1.62
0-1-0
1.38
0-0-1
1.71
0-1-1
3.14
0-1-0
1.50
0-0-1
1.24
2-0-0
3.13
0-1-0
1.74
1-0-1
3.21
 —
0-0-1
1.57
1-0-1
3.13
Varzim
1-0-0
1.32
0-0-1
1.61
0-1-0
1.37
0-1-0
1.63
1-1-0
2.07
2-0-0
3.13
1-0-1
2.06
0-0-1
1.13
1-0-0
1.04
0-0-2
2.42
1-1-0
2.21
0-1-0
0.83
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-0
1.30
0-1-1
2.58
1-0-0
1.15
 —
1-0-0
1.16
Vilafranquense
1-0-0
1.59
1-0-0
1.25
1-0-1
2.76
0-0-1
1.32
0-0-1
1.10
0-1-0
1.77
0-0-2
2.32
0-0-2
2.46
0-1-1
2.61
0-1-0
1.42
0-1-0
1.01
0-0-2
2.23
1-0-0
1.60
0-1-0
1.25
1-1-0
2.46
1-0-1
2.33
0-0-1
1.57
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.44 +10.8
Allowed 0.75 -9.4
Differential 0.90 +7.5

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
09.26%10.19%5.79%2.55%0.93%0.23%28.94%
110.19%13.89%8.10%4.40%1.39%0.23%38.19%
25.79%8.10%3.24%2.31%0.23%—19.68%
32.55%4.40%2.31%0.46%0.23%—9.95%
40.93%1.39%0.23%0.23%——2.78%
5+0.23%0.23%————0.46%
Total28.94%38.19%19.68%9.95%2.78%0.46%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.21 +0.00
SD 1.08 1.08 1.57
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 216

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%16.67%————29.17%
14.17%8.33%16.67%———29.17%
24.17%8.33%—4.17%——16.67%
38.33%8.33%4.17%———20.83%
4———4.17%——4.17%
5+———————
Total29.17%41.67%20.83%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.42 1.08 +0.33
SD 1.25 0.93 1.34
CV 0.88 0.86 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
020.83%4.17%16.67%———41.67%
120.83%8.33%—12.50%——41.67%
24.17%4.17%————8.33%
3——4.17%———4.17%
4—4.17%————4.17%
5+———————
Total45.83%20.83%20.83%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.88 1.00 -0.12
SD 1.03 1.10 1.45
CV 1.18 1.10 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%16.67%4.17%—4.17%4.17%33.33%
14.17%12.50%4.17%8.33%——29.17%
24.17%8.33%8.33%———20.83%
34.17%——4.17%——8.33%
48.33%—————8.33%
5+———————
Total25.00%37.50%16.67%12.50%4.17%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.46 -0.17
SD 1.27 1.35 2.14
CV 0.98 0.93 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%20.83%8.33%—4.17%—37.50%
14.17%12.50%8.33%16.67%8.33%—50.00%
2——4.17%4.17%——8.33%
3——4.17%———4.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total8.33%33.33%25.00%20.83%12.50%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.96 -1.17
SD 0.78 1.20 1.24
CV 0.98 0.61 —
Max 3 4 +1
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%12.50%8.33%4.17%——37.50%
1—8.33%12.50%———20.83%
216.67%16.67%—4.17%——37.50%
3—4.17%————4.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total29.17%41.67%20.83%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.08 1.08 +0.00
SD 0.97 0.93 1.44
CV 0.90 0.86 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%20.83%8.33%——45.83%
1—8.33%12.50%—8.33%—29.17%
24.17%8.33%4.17%4.17%——20.83%
3—4.17%————4.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total12.50%29.17%37.50%12.50%8.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.83 1.75 -0.92
SD 0.92 1.11 1.50
CV 1.10 0.64 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%8.33%4.17%——20.83%
112.50%12.50%12.50%4.17%——41.67%
212.50%4.17%————16.67%
34.17%8.33%————12.50%
4—8.33%————8.33%
5+———————
Total29.17%41.67%20.83%8.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.08 +0.38
SD 1.22 0.93 1.79
CV 0.83 0.86 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%8.33%4.17%8.33%——25.00%
116.67%8.33%—4.17%——29.17%
28.33%12.50%————20.83%
38.33%16.67%————25.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total37.50%45.83%4.17%12.50%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 0.92 +0.54
SD 1.14 0.97 1.74
CV 0.78 1.06 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%4.17%————12.50%
125.00%25.00%12.50%———62.50%
28.33%12.50%4.17%———25.00%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total41.67%41.67%16.67%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 0.75 +0.38
SD 0.61 0.74 0.88
CV 0.54 0.98 —
Max 2 2 +2
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%20.83%4.17%———37.50%
120.83%20.83%————41.67%
2——4.17%4.17%——8.33%
3—4.17%8.33%———12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%45.83%16.67%4.17%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 0.92 +0.04
SD 1.00 0.83 0.95
CV 1.04 0.91 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%4.17%————12.50%
116.67%20.83%16.67%———54.17%
24.17%4.17%8.33%———16.67%
3—12.50%4.17%———16.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total29.17%41.67%29.17%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.00 +0.38
SD 0.92 0.78 1.01
CV 0.67 0.78 —
Max 3 2 +2
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%4.17%————16.67%
120.83%20.83%—4.17%——45.83%
24.17%16.67%————20.83%
34.17%4.17%————8.33%
4—4.17%————4.17%
5+—4.17%————4.17%
Total41.67%54.17%—4.17%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 0.67 +0.83
SD 1.25 0.70 1.31
CV 0.83 1.05 —
Max 5 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%8.33%4.17%4.17%——29.17%
1—8.33%4.17%8.33%——20.83%
212.50%12.50%—8.33%——33.33%
3—4.17%——4.17%—8.33%
44.17%—————4.17%
5+4.17%—————4.17%
Total33.33%33.33%8.33%20.83%4.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.29 +0.21
SD 1.35 1.27 1.93
CV 0.90 0.98 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
016.67%12.50%4.17%4.17%——37.50%
18.33%16.67%12.50%———37.50%
2—8.33%8.33%———16.67%
38.33%—————8.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total33.33%37.50%25.00%4.17%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.00 -0.04
SD 0.95 0.88 1.33
CV 1.00 0.88 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%4.17%4.17%———16.67%
1—20.83%8.33%12.50%4.17%—45.83%
28.33%4.17%4.17%4.17%——20.83%
3—8.33%————8.33%
4—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
5+———————
Total16.67%41.67%20.83%16.67%4.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.46 1.50 -0.04
SD 1.14 1.10 1.60
CV 0.78 0.74 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
012.50%16.67%4.17%———33.33%
116.67%—12.50%———29.17%
28.33%—8.33%4.17%4.17%—25.00%
3—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
4—4.17%————4.17%
5+———————
Total37.50%25.00%29.17%4.17%4.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.12 +0.08
SD 1.14 1.12 1.35
CV 0.94 0.99 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%8.33%4.17%—4.17%—20.83%
18.33%16.67%4.17%8.33%——37.50%
2—25.00%4.17%———29.17%
38.33%——4.17%——12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.83%50.00%12.50%12.50%4.17%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.29 +0.04
SD 0.96 1.08 1.57
CV 0.72 0.84 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%8.33%12.50%4.17%—33.33%
14.17%20.83%8.33%—4.17%4.17%41.67%
24.17%——4.17%——8.33%
3——12.50%———12.50%
44.17%—————4.17%
5+———————
Total16.67%25.00%29.17%16.67%8.33%4.17%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.12 1.88 -0.75
SD 1.15 1.36 1.98
CV 1.03 0.73 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Farense 48 37.88 +10.12
2 Varzim 37 29.17 +7.83
3 Nacional 50 44.73 +5.27
4 Feirense 42 37.55 +4.45
5 Academico de Viseu 34 30.33 +3.67

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Casa Pia 11 22.77 -11.77
2 Chaves 32 39.30 -7.30
3 Sporting Covilha 32 37.27 -5.27
4 Vilafranquense 24 28.73 -4.73
5 Penafiel 28 32.62 -4.62

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Feirense 6 Feb 2 – Mar 7 1 in 171
2 Farense 6 Oct 13 – Nov 30 1 in 147
3 Academica de Coimbra 5 Dec 8 – Jan 12 1 in 109
4 Estoril 4 Aug 25 – Sep 22 1 in 45
5 Oliveirense 3 Dec 7 – Dec 22 1 in 38

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Cova Piedade 7 Sep 14 – Dec 1 1 in 225
2 Estoril 5 Dec 8 – Jan 11 1 in 198
3 Vilafranquense 4 Aug 24 – Sep 22 1 in 57
4 Sporting Covilha 3 Nov 29 – Dec 15 1 in 53
5 Academico de Viseu 3 Oct 30 – Nov 10 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mafra 14 Nov 9 – Feb 23 1 in 259
2 Benfica B 7 Nov 10 – Jan 11 1 in 63
3 Feirense 11 Dec 29 – Mar 7 1 in 62
4 Varzim 6 Sep 14 – Nov 9 1 in 38
5 Academico de Viseu 5 Dec 29 – Jan 26 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Casa Pia 15 Nov 10 – Mar 8 1 in 90
2 Leixoes 9 Nov 30 – Feb 2 1 in 82
3 Sporting Covilha 7 Nov 2 – Dec 29 1 in 66
4 Penafiel 8 Sep 21 – Dec 15 1 in 45
5 Vilafranquense 8 Dec 7 – Feb 2 1 in 33

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718
Nacional36.27%17.89%11.92%8.81%6.22%4.51%3.55%3.20%2.07%1.64%1.34%0.85%0.63%0.49%0.30%0.21%0.08%0.02%
Farense9.22%10.61%10.05%9.35%8.95%7.90%7.25%6.47%5.69%5.03%4.74%4.07%3.10%2.66%2.11%1.54%0.93%0.33%
Feirense8.09%10.05%9.41%8.96%8.73%7.92%7.46%6.82%6.72%5.49%5.00%3.96%3.38%2.87%2.16%1.59%1.04%0.35%
Estoril6.83%8.23%8.73%8.19%8.65%7.93%7.30%6.87%6.59%6.02%5.35%4.64%4.48%3.34%3.07%1.99%1.27%0.52%
Mafra5.37%8.04%8.32%8.34%8.35%8.31%7.39%7.62%6.63%5.84%5.63%5.16%4.16%3.61%3.07%2.23%1.41%0.52%
Varzim0.79%1.22%2.13%2.49%3.41%4.14%4.38%5.34%5.96%6.62%7.16%8.28%8.66%9.09%9.25%9.60%7.01%4.47%
Academica de Coimbra4.85%6.72%7.31%7.75%7.52%8.19%8.08%6.92%7.05%6.50%5.79%5.32%4.93%4.17%3.44%3.01%1.72%0.73%
Academico de Viseu1.09%1.83%2.62%3.28%3.68%4.99%5.22%5.73%6.78%7.28%6.82%8.03%8.49%8.07%8.50%7.81%6.34%3.44%
Leixoes3.01%4.11%5.00%5.61%6.23%6.58%7.09%6.91%7.27%7.26%7.40%6.51%6.72%6.13%5.36%4.47%2.89%1.45%
Oliveirense1.35%2.50%3.27%4.08%4.34%5.05%6.03%5.94%7.05%6.96%7.71%7.69%7.88%8.22%7.46%6.40%5.44%2.63%
Sporting Covilha6.87%8.74%9.02%9.20%8.51%7.96%7.50%7.30%6.14%5.89%5.28%4.59%4.09%3.01%2.54%1.86%1.07%0.43%
Chaves11.48%11.91%11.28%10.12%8.60%7.40%6.47%6.33%5.33%4.67%3.73%3.57%3.24%2.15%1.83%1.12%0.55%0.22%
Porto B1.22%2.22%2.94%3.65%4.32%5.09%5.42%5.81%6.10%6.92%7.61%8.05%8.13%7.77%8.36%6.87%6.48%3.04%
Penafiel2.15%3.38%4.06%4.96%5.64%6.04%6.91%6.98%6.83%7.51%7.56%7.11%7.17%6.63%6.09%5.56%3.76%1.66%
Benfica B0.79%1.17%2.03%2.39%3.01%3.64%4.26%5.09%5.56%6.73%7.31%7.69%8.17%9.70%9.71%9.45%8.79%4.51%
Vilafranquense0.54%1.23%1.57%2.29%3.06%3.38%4.27%4.73%5.48%6.09%6.67%7.89%8.30%9.49%10.08%10.45%9.42%5.06%
Cova Piedade0.01%—0.06%0.04%0.10%0.23%0.22%0.37%0.65%0.91%1.30%1.77%2.53%4.65%6.61%10.63%20.28%49.64%
Casa Pia0.07%0.15%0.28%0.49%0.68%0.74%1.20%1.57%2.10%2.64%3.60%4.82%5.94%7.95%10.06%15.21%21.52%20.98%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+17.59%
Clear Edge
45.37%26.85%27.78%
Elo Value
Home Edge
202 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
061.77600
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.31 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.7
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
36%
Nacional, 1st of 18
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.08/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 4.97 * Some Luck: 4.97 to 7.45 * Lucky: 7.45 to 9.94 * Wild Swing: 9.94 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 3.09 * Close: 3.09 to 4.64 * Off: 4.64 to 6.19 * Way Off: 6.19 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.16 points
Some Luck
06.2116
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.44
Pinpoint
03.878
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.22%
96.62%
Farense
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.78%
0.67%
Casa Pia
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 18
Minimal Outliers
01.89

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.16
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.31
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
59%
Even
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
82%
Clear Edge
50%82%100%
Close Games
Expected
69%
Very Frequent
0%66%100%
Blowouts
Expected
11%
Occasional
0%11%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.64
Hard to Predict
00.642
Matchup Imbalance
0.21
Notable Separation
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.01
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.01
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
As Expected
0%29%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
25%
Shaky Favorites
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.17 * Above Noise: 0.17 to 0.23 * Well Above Noise: 0.23 and up.
Probability calibration
0.67
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.91
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.067
Well Within Noise
00.1130.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Same level
Nacional 54.89% 45.11%
Chaves 23.99% 76.01%
Farense 20.46% 79.54%
Feirense 18.64% 81.36%
Sporting Covilha 16.02% 83.98%
Estoril 15.58% 84.42%
Mafra 13.90% 86.10%
Academica de Coimbra 11.98% 88.02%
Leixoes 7.30% 92.70%
Penafiel 5.83% 94.17%
Oliveirense 3.97% 96.03%
Academico de Viseu 3.11% 96.89%
Varzim 2.12% 97.88%
Vilafranquense 1.81% 98.19%
Casa Pia 0.23% 99.77%
Cova Piedade 0.01% 99.99%
Benfica B — 100%
Porto B — 100%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2019-08-10 Casa Pia W 3-1 1607 1640 35.8% 27.4% 36.8% +14.3 3
2019-08-10 @ Farense L 1-3 1640 1607 36.8% 27.4% 35.8% -14.3 0
2019-08-10 Chaves W 3-0 1634 1680 34.0% 27.4% 38.7% +24.9 3
2019-08-10 @ Nacional L 0-3 1680 1634 38.7% 27.4% 34.0% -24.9 0
2019-08-10 Cova Piedade W 3-2 1592 1557 45.2% 26.9% 27.9% +6.3 3
2019-08-10 @ Mafra L 2-3 1557 1592 27.9% 26.9% 45.2% -6.3 0
2019-08-10 Oliveirense D 0-0 1562 1580 38.0% 27.4% 34.7% -0.2 1
2019-08-10 @ Varzim D 0-0 1580 1562 34.7% 27.4% 38.0% +0.2 1
2019-08-11 Academico de Viseu L 0-2 1611 1603 41.6% 27.2% 31.1% -18.1 0
2019-08-11 @ Penafiel W 2-0 1603 1611 31.1% 27.2% 41.6% +18.1 3
2019-08-11 Vilafranquense W 2-0 1619 1646 36.6% 27.4% 36.0% +16.2 3
2019-08-11 @ Feirense L 0-2 1646 1619 36.0% 27.4% 36.6% -16.2 0
2019-08-11 Estoril W 2-1 1599 1622 37.4% 27.4% 35.3% +8.0 3
2019-08-11 @ Benfica B L 1-2 1622 1599 35.3% 27.4% 37.4% -8.0 0
2019-08-11 Leixoes W 3-2 1612 1606 41.5% 27.2% 31.3% +6.9 3
2019-08-11 @ Academica de Coimbra L 2-3 1606 1612 31.3% 27.2% 41.5% -6.9 0
2019-08-11 Porto B W 2-0 1628 1599 44.5% 27.0% 28.5% +13.6 3
2019-08-11 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1599 1628 28.5% 27.0% 44.5% -13.6 0
2019-08-17 Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1621 1619 40.8% 27.3% 32.0% -0.5 4
2019-08-17 @ Academico de Viseu D 0-0 1619 1621 32.0% 27.3% 40.8% +0.4 4
2019-08-17 Mafra W 2-1 1655 1598 48.2% 26.6% 25.3% +6.2 3
2019-08-17 @ Chaves L 1-2 1598 1655 25.3% 26.6% 48.2% -6.2 3
2019-08-17 Penafiel L 1-2 1626 1593 45.1% 26.9% 28.0% -9.6 0
2019-08-17 @ Casa Pia W 2-1 1593 1626 28.0% 26.9% 45.1% +9.6 3
2019-08-17 Sporting Covilha L 0-2 1581 1641 32.0% 27.3% 40.7% -14.9 1
2019-08-17 @ Oliveirense W 2-0 1641 1581 40.7% 27.3% 32.0% +14.9 6
2019-08-18 Benfica B W 4-0 1630 1607 43.7% 27.1% 29.3% +26.4 3
2019-08-18 @ Vilafranquense L 0-4 1607 1630 29.3% 27.1% 43.7% -26.3 3
2019-08-18 Farense L 1-2 1614 1622 39.4% 27.3% 33.3% -8.7 0
2019-08-18 @ Estoril W 2-1 1622 1614 33.3% 27.3% 39.4% +8.7 6
2019-08-18 Feirense W 2-1 1551 1635 29.0% 27.1% 43.9% +9.4 3
2019-08-18 @ Cova Piedade L 1-2 1635 1551 43.9% 27.1% 29.0% -9.4 3
2019-08-18 Nacional D 1-1 1599 1659 32.1% 27.3% 40.6% +0.4 1
2019-08-18 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1659 1599 40.6% 27.3% 32.1% -0.4 4
2019-08-18 Varzim D 1-1 1585 1562 43.6% 27.1% 29.3% -0.7 1
2019-08-18 @ Porto B D 1-1 1562 1585 29.3% 27.1% 43.6% +0.7 2
2019-08-23 Oliveirense W 2-1 1581 1566 42.6% 27.2% 30.2% +7.1 6
2019-08-23 @ Benfica B L 1-2 1566 1581 30.2% 27.2% 42.6% -7.1 1
2019-08-24 Academico de Viseu D 0-0 1625 1621 41.2% 27.3% 31.6% -0.5 4
2019-08-24 @ Feirense D 0-0 1621 1625 31.6% 27.3% 41.2% +0.5 5
2019-08-24 Vilafranquense W 1-0 1656 1656 40.5% 27.3% 32.2% +7.9 9
2019-08-24 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1656 1656 32.2% 27.3% 40.5% -7.9 3
2019-08-24 Chaves L 1-2 1620 1661 34.6% 27.4% 38.0% -7.9 4
2019-08-24 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1661 1620 38.0% 27.4% 34.6% +7.9 6
2019-08-24 Cova Piedade W 3-0 1602 1560 46.2% 26.8% 26.9% +18.9 6
2019-08-24 @ Penafiel L 0-3 1560 1602 26.9% 26.8% 46.2% -18.9 3
2019-08-25 Estoril L 0-1 1616 1605 42.1% 27.2% 30.7% -9.7 0
2019-08-25 @ Casa Pia W 1-0 1605 1616 30.7% 27.2% 42.1% +9.7 3
2019-08-25 Leixoes L 0-1 1563 1599 35.4% 27.4% 37.2% -8.5 2
2019-08-25 @ Varzim W 1-0 1599 1563 37.2% 27.4% 35.4% +8.5 4
2019-08-25 Mafra D 0-0 1658 1592 49.4% 26.4% 24.3% -1.4 5
2019-08-25 @ Nacional D 0-0 1592 1658 24.3% 26.4% 49.4% +1.4 4
2019-08-25 Porto B L 1-3 1630 1584 46.7% 26.8% 26.5% -17.2 6
2019-08-25 @ Farense W 3-1 1584 1630 26.5% 26.8% 46.7% +17.2 4
2019-08-31 Benfica B W 2-0 1541 1588 33.9% 27.4% 38.8% +17.1 6
2019-08-31 @ Cova Piedade L 0-2 1588 1541 38.8% 27.4% 33.9% -17.1 6
2019-08-31 Casa Pia D 0-0 1601 1607 39.8% 27.3% 32.9% -0.3 5
2019-08-31 @ Porto B D 0-0 1607 1601 32.9% 27.3% 39.8% +0.4 1
2019-08-31 Feirense D 2-2 1607 1625 38.1% 27.4% 34.6% -0.1 5
2019-08-31 @ Leixoes D 2-2 1625 1607 34.6% 27.4% 38.1% +0.1 5
2019-08-31 Nacional L 1-2 1648 1657 39.4% 27.3% 33.3% -8.7 3
2019-08-31 @ Vilafranquense W 2-1 1657 1648 33.3% 27.3% 39.4% +8.7 8
2019-09-01 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1593 1612 37.9% 27.4% 34.8% +8.4 7
2019-09-01 @ Mafra L 0-1 1612 1593 34.8% 27.4% 37.9% -8.4 4
2019-09-01 Farense L 0-1 1559 1613 32.9% 27.3% 39.8% -8.1 1
2019-09-01 @ Oliveirense W 1-0 1613 1559 39.8% 27.3% 32.9% +8.0 9
2019-09-01 Penafiel W 2-1 1669 1621 47.0% 26.7% 26.3% +6.4 9
2019-09-01 @ Chaves L 1-2 1621 1669 26.3% 26.7% 47.0% -6.4 6
2019-09-01 Sporting Covilha L 1-3 1621 1664 34.4% 27.4% 38.2% -13.6 5
2019-09-01 @ Academico de Viseu W 3-1 1664 1621 38.2% 27.4% 34.4% +13.6 12
2019-09-01 Varzim W 3-1 1615 1554 48.6% 26.5% 24.9% +10.6 6
2019-09-01 @ Estoril L 1-3 1554 1615 24.9% 26.5% 48.6% -10.6 2
2019-09-13 Academico de Viseu D 0-0 1571 1607 35.3% 27.4% 37.3% +0.1 7
2019-09-13 @ Benfica B D 0-0 1607 1571 37.3% 27.4% 35.3% -0.1 6
2019-09-14 Vilafranquense W 3-0 1621 1640 37.9% 27.4% 34.7% +23.0 12
2019-09-14 @ Farense L 0-3 1640 1621 34.7% 27.4% 37.9% -23.0 3
2019-09-14 Chaves W 1-0 1625 1676 33.4% 27.3% 39.3% +9.2 8
2019-09-14 @ Feirense L 0-1 1676 1625 39.3% 27.3% 33.4% -9.2 9
2019-09-14 Cova Piedade W 2-1 1544 1558 38.5% 27.4% 34.2% +7.8 5
2019-09-14 @ Varzim L 1-2 1558 1544 34.2% 27.4% 38.5% -7.8 6
2019-09-14 Porto B W 2-1 1625 1601 43.8% 27.1% 29.1% +6.9 9
2019-09-14 @ Estoril L 1-2 1601 1625 29.1% 27.1% 43.8% -6.9 5
2019-09-15 Leixoes L 2-3 1678 1607 49.8% 26.3% 23.9% -9.9 12
2019-09-15 @ Sporting Covilha W 3-2 1607 1678 23.9% 26.3% 49.8% +9.9 8
2019-09-15 Mafra W 2-1 1615 1601 42.4% 27.2% 30.4% +7.2 9
2019-09-15 @ Penafiel L 1-2 1601 1615 30.4% 27.2% 42.4% -7.2 7
2019-09-15 Nacional L 1-2 1604 1665 31.9% 27.3% 40.9% -7.4 4
2019-09-15 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1665 1604 40.9% 27.3% 31.9% +7.4 11
2019-09-15 Oliveirense L 1-3 1607 1551 48.1% 26.6% 25.3% -17.6 1
2019-09-15 @ Casa Pia W 3-1 1551 1607 25.3% 26.6% 48.1% +17.6 4
2019-09-21 Farense W 1-0 1607 1644 35.3% 27.4% 37.3% +8.9 9
2019-09-21 @ Academico de Viseu L 0-1 1644 1607 37.3% 27.4% 35.3% -8.8 12
2019-09-21 Penafiel W 2-1 1673 1622 47.4% 26.7% 26.0% +6.3 14
2019-09-21 @ Nacional L 1-2 1622 1673 26.0% 26.7% 47.4% -6.3 9
2019-09-21 Porto B D 0-0 1568 1594 36.8% 27.4% 35.8% -0.0 5
2019-09-21 @ Oliveirense D 0-0 1594 1568 35.8% 27.4% 36.8% +0.0 6
2019-09-21 Sporting Covilha L 2-3 1666 1668 40.3% 27.3% 32.4% -8.4 9
2019-09-21 @ Chaves W 3-2 1668 1666 32.4% 27.3% 40.3% +8.4 15
2019-09-22 Benfica B W 1-0 1617 1571 46.8% 26.7% 26.5% +6.8 11
2019-09-22 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1571 1617 26.5% 26.7% 46.8% -6.8 7
2019-09-22 Casa Pia L 0-1 1551 1590 35.0% 27.4% 37.6% -8.4 6
2019-09-22 @ Cova Piedade W 1-0 1590 1551 37.6% 27.4% 35.0% +8.4 4
2019-09-22 Estoril L 1-4 1617 1632 38.4% 27.4% 34.3% -20.8 3
2019-09-22 @ Vilafranquense W 4-1 1632 1617 34.3% 27.4% 38.4% +20.8 12
2019-09-22 Feirense D 1-1 1596 1634 35.1% 27.4% 37.5% +0.1 5
2019-09-22 @ Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1634 1596 37.5% 27.4% 35.1% -0.1 9
2019-09-22 Varzim D 1-1 1594 1552 46.3% 26.8% 26.9% -0.9 8
2019-09-22 @ Mafra D 1-1 1552 1594 26.9% 26.8% 46.3% +0.9 6
2019-10-05 Benfica B W 1-0 1596 1564 44.9% 27.0% 28.1% +7.1 8
2019-10-05 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-1 1564 1596 28.1% 27.0% 44.9% -7.1 7
2019-10-05 Porto B W 4-1 1679 1594 51.6% 25.9% 22.4% +13.6 17
2019-10-05 @ Nacional L 1-4 1594 1679 22.4% 25.9% 51.6% -13.6 6
2019-10-12 Casa Pia W 1-0 1624 1598 44.1% 27.0% 28.9% +7.3 14
2019-10-12 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1598 1624 28.9% 27.0% 44.1% -7.3 4
2019-10-12 Estoril W 2-0 1658 1653 41.2% 27.3% 31.5% +14.7 12
2019-10-12 @ Chaves L 0-2 1653 1658 31.5% 27.3% 41.2% -14.7 12
2019-10-13 Farense L 0-2 1542 1635 27.9% 26.9% 45.1% -13.4 6
2019-10-13 @ Cova Piedade W 2-0 1635 1542 45.1% 26.9% 27.9% +13.4 15
2019-10-13 Oliveirense W 3-2 1596 1568 44.3% 27.0% 28.6% +6.5 6
2019-10-13 @ Vilafranquense L 2-3 1568 1596 28.6% 27.0% 44.3% -6.5 5
2019-10-26 Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1616 1603 42.2% 27.2% 30.6% -0.6 10
2019-10-26 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1603 1616 30.6% 27.2% 42.2% +0.6 9
2019-10-26 Academico de Viseu L 2-3 1591 1616 36.9% 27.4% 35.7% -7.8 4
2019-10-26 @ Casa Pia W 3-2 1616 1591 35.7% 27.4% 36.9% +7.8 12
2019-10-26 Vilafranquense D 1-1 1581 1602 37.4% 27.4% 35.2% -0.1 7
2019-10-26 @ Porto B D 1-1 1602 1581 35.2% 27.4% 37.4% +0.1 7
2019-10-26 Mafra L 1-2 1634 1593 46.0% 26.8% 27.1% -9.8 9
2019-10-26 @ Feirense W 2-1 1593 1634 27.1% 26.8% 46.0% +9.8 11
2019-10-26 Nacional W 1-0 1557 1693 23.3% 26.2% 50.6% +11.2 10
2019-10-26 @ Benfica B L 0-1 1693 1557 50.6% 26.2% 23.3% -11.2 17
2019-10-27 Chaves W 2-1 1553 1673 24.9% 26.5% 48.6% +10.2 9
2019-10-27 @ Varzim L 1-2 1673 1553 48.6% 26.5% 24.9% -10.3 12
2019-10-27 Cova Piedade W 1-0 1676 1529 58.8% 24.1% 17.1% +4.6 18
2019-10-27 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1529 1676 17.1% 24.1% 58.8% -4.6 6
2019-10-27 Leixoes W 1-0 1649 1631 42.9% 27.1% 29.9% +7.5 18
2019-10-27 @ Farense L 0-1 1631 1649 29.9% 27.1% 42.9% -7.5 14
2019-10-27 Oliveirense W 3-0 1638 1562 50.6% 26.2% 23.2% +16.7 15
2019-10-27 @ Estoril L 0-3 1562 1638 23.2% 26.2% 50.6% -16.7 5
2019-10-30 Porto B L 0-2 1624 1581 46.4% 26.8% 26.8% -19.7 12
2019-10-30 @ Academico de Viseu W 2-0 1581 1624 26.8% 26.8% 46.4% +19.7 10
2019-10-30 Varzim D 1-1 1682 1563 55.6% 25.0% 19.4% -1.8 18
2019-10-30 @ Nacional D 1-1 1563 1682 19.4% 25.0% 55.6% +1.8 10
2019-11-02 Vilafranquense W 3-2 1583 1603 37.7% 27.4% 34.9% +7.5 7
2019-11-02 @ Casa Pia L 2-3 1603 1583 34.9% 27.4% 37.7% -7.5 7
2019-11-02 Penafiel D 0-0 1681 1615 49.2% 26.4% 24.4% -1.3 19
2019-11-02 @ Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1615 1681 24.4% 26.4% 49.2% +1.3 11
2019-11-03 Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1565 1604 34.9% 27.4% 37.7% +8.4 13
2019-11-03 @ Varzim L 1-2 1604 1565 37.7% 27.4% 34.9% -8.4 9
2019-11-03 Academico de Viseu W 3-1 1655 1604 47.3% 26.7% 26.0% +10.9 18
2019-11-03 @ Estoril L 1-3 1604 1655 26.0% 26.7% 47.3% -10.9 12
2019-11-03 Chaves L 1-3 1568 1662 27.8% 26.9% 45.3% -11.6 10
2019-11-03 @ Benfica B W 3-1 1662 1568 45.3% 26.9% 27.8% +11.6 15
2019-11-03 Cova Piedade W 2-0 1545 1524 43.4% 27.1% 29.5% +14.0 8
2019-11-03 @ Oliveirense L 0-2 1524 1545 29.5% 27.1% 43.4% -14.0 6
2019-11-03 Leixoes L 1-3 1600 1624 37.2% 27.4% 35.4% -14.4 10
2019-11-03 @ Porto B W 3-1 1624 1600 35.4% 27.4% 37.2% +14.4 17
2019-11-03 Mafra W 2-1 1656 1603 47.6% 26.6% 25.7% +6.3 21
2019-11-03 @ Farense L 1-2 1603 1656 25.7% 26.6% 47.6% -6.3 11
2019-11-03 Nacional D 1-1 1624 1680 32.7% 27.3% 40.0% +0.3 10
2019-11-03 @ Feirense D 1-1 1680 1624 40.0% 27.3% 32.7% -0.3 19
2019-11-09 Farense L 1-2 1596 1662 31.2% 27.2% 41.6% -7.3 9
2019-11-09 @ Academica de Coimbra W 2-1 1662 1596 41.6% 27.2% 31.2% +7.3 24
2019-11-09 Oliveirense W 3-2 1638 1559 50.9% 26.1% 23.0% +5.4 20
2019-11-09 @ Leixoes L 2-3 1559 1638 23.0% 26.1% 50.9% -5.4 8
2019-11-09 Porto B W 3-1 1597 1586 42.0% 27.2% 30.8% +12.5 14
2019-11-09 @ Mafra L 1-3 1586 1597 30.8% 27.2% 42.0% -12.5 10
2019-11-09 Varzim L 1-2 1625 1573 47.5% 26.7% 25.9% -10.0 10
2019-11-09 @ Feirense W 2-1 1573 1625 25.9% 26.7% 47.5% +10.0 16
2019-11-10 Vilafranquense L 0-2 1593 1595 40.3% 27.3% 32.4% -17.7 12
2019-11-10 @ Academico de Viseu W 2-0 1595 1593 32.4% 27.3% 40.3% +17.7 10
2019-11-10 Benfica B D 1-1 1616 1557 48.5% 26.5% 25.0% -1.1 12
2019-11-10 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1557 1616 25.0% 26.5% 48.5% +1.1 11
2019-11-10 Casa Pia W 2-0 1674 1590 51.5% 26.0% 22.5% +11.2 18
2019-11-10 @ Chaves L 0-2 1590 1674 22.5% 26.0% 51.5% -11.2 7
2019-11-10 Estoril L 0-2 1510 1666 21.3% 25.7% 53.0% -10.7 6
2019-11-10 @ Cova Piedade W 2-0 1666 1510 53.0% 25.7% 21.3% +10.7 21
2019-11-10 Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1679 1679 40.5% 27.3% 32.2% +7.9 22
2019-11-10 @ Nacional L 0-1 1679 1679 32.2% 27.3% 40.5% -7.9 19
2019-11-16 Farense L 1-3 1583 1670 28.7% 27.0% 44.3% -11.8 16
2019-11-16 @ Varzim W 3-1 1670 1583 44.3% 27.0% 28.7% +11.8 27
2019-11-16 Feirense D 0-0 1615 1615 40.6% 27.3% 32.1% -0.4 13
2019-11-16 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1615 1615 32.1% 27.3% 40.6% +0.4 11
2019-11-17 Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1609 1671 31.8% 27.3% 40.9% +0.3 15
2019-11-17 @ Mafra D 2-2 1671 1609 40.9% 27.3% 31.8% -0.3 20
2019-11-29 Feirense L 1-2 1671 1615 48.0% 26.6% 25.4% -10.2 20
2019-11-29 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1615 1671 25.4% 26.6% 48.0% +10.1 14
2019-11-30 Academica de Coimbra W 3-2 1613 1588 43.9% 27.1% 29.1% +6.5 13
2019-11-30 @ Vilafranquense L 2-3 1588 1613 29.1% 27.1% 43.9% -6.5 9
2019-11-30 Chaves W 1-0 1682 1685 40.0% 27.3% 32.7% +8.0 30
2019-11-30 @ Farense L 0-1 1685 1682 32.7% 27.3% 40.0% -8.0 18
2019-11-30 Leixoes D 1-1 1676 1644 45.0% 27.0% 28.1% -0.8 22
2019-11-30 @ Estoril D 1-1 1644 1676 28.1% 27.0% 45.0% +0.8 21
2019-11-30 Penafiel W 1-0 1571 1615 34.3% 27.4% 38.3% +9.0 19
2019-11-30 @ Varzim L 0-1 1615 1571 38.3% 27.4% 34.3% -9.0 13
2019-12-01 Cova Piedade W 4-1 1573 1499 50.3% 26.2% 23.5% +14.2 13
2019-12-01 @ Porto B L 1-4 1499 1573 23.5% 26.2% 50.3% -14.2 6
2019-12-01 Mafra D 2-2 1558 1610 33.2% 27.3% 39.5% +0.2 12
2019-12-01 @ Benfica B D 2-2 1610 1558 39.5% 27.3% 33.2% -0.2 16
2019-12-01 Nacional L 0-1 1579 1687 26.2% 26.7% 47.1% -6.7 7
2019-12-01 @ Casa Pia W 1-0 1687 1579 47.1% 26.7% 26.2% +6.7 25
2019-12-07 Vilafranquense D 0-0 1485 1619 23.4% 26.2% 50.4% +1.5 7
2019-12-07 @ Cova Piedade D 0-0 1619 1485 50.4% 26.2% 23.4% -1.5 14
2019-12-07 Farense W 1-0 1694 1690 41.1% 27.3% 31.6% +7.8 28
2019-12-07 @ Nacional L 0-1 1690 1694 31.6% 27.3% 41.1% -7.8 30
2019-12-07 Oliveirense L 0-2 1677 1554 56.1% 24.9% 19.0% -23.1 18
2019-12-07 @ Chaves W 2-0 1554 1677 19.0% 24.9% 56.1% +23.1 11
2019-12-07 Porto B D 2-2 1606 1588 43.0% 27.1% 29.8% -0.5 14
2019-12-07 @ Penafiel D 2-2 1588 1606 29.8% 27.1% 43.0% +0.5 14
2019-12-08 Academico de Viseu L 0-1 1644 1576 49.6% 26.3% 24.0% -11.1 21
2019-12-08 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1576 1644 24.0% 26.3% 49.6% +11.1 15
2019-12-08 Benfica B D 1-1 1625 1558 49.4% 26.4% 24.2% -1.2 15
2019-12-08 @ Feirense D 1-1 1558 1625 24.2% 26.4% 49.4% +1.2 13
2019-12-08 Casa Pia W 3-1 1582 1572 41.8% 27.2% 31.0% +12.6 12
2019-12-08 @ Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1572 1582 31.0% 27.2% 41.8% -12.6 7
2019-12-08 Estoril W 3-1 1610 1676 31.3% 27.2% 41.5% +15.6 19
2019-12-08 @ Mafra L 1-3 1676 1610 41.5% 27.2% 31.3% -15.6 22
2019-12-08 Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1580 1661 29.4% 27.1% 43.5% +9.9 22
2019-12-08 @ Varzim L 0-1 1661 1580 43.5% 27.1% 29.4% -9.9 20
2019-12-13 Chaves D 1-1 1588 1654 31.3% 27.2% 41.4% +0.5 15
2019-12-13 @ Porto B D 1-1 1654 1588 41.4% 27.2% 31.3% -0.5 19
2019-12-13 Cova Piedade W 4-1 1587 1487 53.4% 25.6% 21.0% +12.9 18
2019-12-13 @ Academico de Viseu L 1-4 1487 1587 21.0% 25.6% 53.4% -12.9 7
2019-12-13 Varzim D 3-3 1559 1590 36.1% 27.4% 36.5% +0.0 14
2019-12-13 @ Benfica B D 3-3 1590 1559 36.5% 27.4% 36.1% -0.0 23
2019-12-14 Leixoes D 1-1 1618 1633 38.3% 27.4% 34.3% -0.2 15
2019-12-14 @ Vilafranquense D 1-1 1633 1618 34.3% 27.4% 38.3% +0.2 22
2019-12-14 Mafra L 0-1 1560 1625 31.4% 27.2% 41.3% -7.8 7
2019-12-14 @ Casa Pia W 1-0 1625 1560 41.3% 27.2% 31.4% +7.8 22
2019-12-14 Nacional L 1-2 1660 1702 34.6% 27.4% 38.1% -7.9 22
2019-12-14 @ Estoril W 2-1 1702 1660 38.1% 27.4% 34.6% +7.9 31
2019-12-15 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1651 1594 48.1% 26.6% 25.3% -10.2 20
2019-12-15 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1594 1651 25.3% 26.6% 48.1% +10.2 15
2019-12-15 Feirense W 1-0 1682 1624 48.3% 26.5% 25.2% +6.5 33
2019-12-15 @ Farense L 0-1 1624 1682 25.2% 26.5% 48.3% -6.5 15
2019-12-15 Penafiel W 2-1 1577 1605 36.4% 27.4% 36.2% +8.1 14
2019-12-15 @ Oliveirense L 1-2 1605 1577 36.2% 27.4% 36.4% -8.2 14
2019-12-21 Cova Piedade D 0-0 1634 1474 60.1% 23.7% 16.2% -2.5 23
2019-12-21 @ Leixoes D 0-0 1474 1634 16.2% 23.7% 60.1% +2.5 8
2019-12-22 Academico de Viseu W 2-0 1585 1600 38.4% 27.4% 34.2% +15.6 17
2019-12-22 @ Oliveirense L 0-2 1600 1585 34.2% 27.4% 38.4% -15.6 18
2019-12-28 Estoril W 1-0 1597 1652 32.8% 27.3% 39.9% +9.3 17
2019-12-28 @ Penafiel L 0-1 1652 1597 39.9% 27.3% 32.8% -9.3 22
2019-12-28 Oliveirense W 4-3 1604 1600 41.1% 27.3% 31.7% +6.8 18
2019-12-28 @ Academica de Coimbra L 3-4 1600 1604 31.7% 27.3% 41.1% -6.8 17
2019-12-29 Academico de Viseu D 1-1 1633 1584 47.1% 26.7% 26.2% -1.0 23
2019-12-29 @ Mafra D 1-1 1584 1633 26.2% 26.7% 47.1% +1.0 19
2019-12-29 Vilafranquense W 2-1 1654 1618 45.4% 26.9% 27.7% +6.6 22
2019-12-29 @ Chaves L 1-2 1618 1654 27.7% 26.9% 45.4% -6.6 15
2019-12-29 Benfica B D 2-2 1641 1559 51.2% 26.0% 22.7% -1.0 21
2019-12-29 @ Sporting Covilha D 2-2 1559 1641 22.7% 26.0% 51.2% +1.0 15
2019-12-29 Casa Pia D 1-1 1617 1552 49.2% 26.4% 24.4% -1.2 16
2019-12-29 @ Feirense D 1-1 1552 1617 24.4% 26.4% 49.2% +1.2 8
2020-01-04 Chaves L 0-2 1476 1660 18.9% 24.9% 56.2% -9.5 8
2020-01-04 @ Cova Piedade W 2-0 1660 1476 56.2% 24.9% 18.9% +9.5 25
2020-01-04 Feirense L 0-2 1643 1616 44.2% 27.0% 28.8% -19.0 22
2020-01-04 @ Estoril W 2-0 1616 1643 28.8% 27.0% 44.2% +19.0 19
2020-01-04 Mafra L 1-3 1594 1632 35.1% 27.4% 37.5% -13.8 17
2020-01-04 @ Oliveirense W 3-1 1632 1594 37.5% 27.4% 35.1% +13.8 26
2020-01-04 Penafiel L 0-1 1631 1607 43.9% 27.1% 29.1% -10.0 23
2020-01-04 @ Leixoes W 1-0 1607 1631 29.1% 27.1% 43.9% +10.0 20
2020-01-05 Academica de Coimbra L 1-3 1588 1611 37.3% 27.4% 35.3% -14.4 15
2020-01-05 @ Porto B W 3-1 1611 1588 35.3% 27.4% 37.3% +14.4 21
2020-01-05 Benfica B L 0-3 1688 1560 56.6% 24.8% 18.6% -33.8 33
2020-01-05 @ Farense W 3-0 1560 1688 18.6% 24.8% 56.6% +33.8 18
2020-01-05 Nacional D 0-0 1585 1710 24.4% 26.4% 49.2% +1.3 20
2020-01-05 @ Academico de Viseu D 0-0 1710 1585 49.2% 26.4% 24.4% -1.3 32
2020-01-05 Sporting Covilha L 1-4 1553 1640 28.7% 27.0% 44.2% -16.8 8
2020-01-05 @ Casa Pia W 4-1 1640 1553 44.2% 27.0% 28.7% +16.8 24
2020-01-05 Varzim L 0-3 1611 1590 43.4% 27.1% 29.5% -27.2 15
2020-01-05 @ Vilafranquense W 3-0 1590 1611 29.5% 27.1% 43.4% +27.2 26
2020-01-10 Academico de Viseu L 1-2 1617 1586 44.8% 27.0% 28.3% -9.6 26
2020-01-10 @ Varzim W 2-1 1586 1617 28.3% 27.0% 44.8% +9.6 23
2020-01-11 Casa Pia W 4-0 1594 1537 48.2% 26.5% 25.2% +23.4 21
2020-01-11 @ Benfica B L 0-4 1537 1594 25.2% 26.5% 48.2% -23.4 8
2020-01-11 Estoril W 1-0 1657 1624 45.0% 27.0% 28.1% +7.1 27
2020-01-11 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1624 1657 28.1% 27.0% 45.0% -7.1 22
2020-01-11 Leixoes D 0-0 1670 1621 47.1% 26.7% 26.2% -1.1 26
2020-01-11 @ Chaves D 0-0 1621 1670 26.2% 26.7% 47.1% +1.1 24
2020-01-11 Porto B W 1-0 1635 1574 48.7% 26.5% 24.9% +6.4 22
2020-01-11 @ Feirense L 0-1 1574 1635 24.9% 26.5% 48.7% -6.5 15
2020-01-12 Vilafranquense D 1-1 1646 1584 48.8% 26.5% 24.8% -1.2 27
2020-01-12 @ Mafra D 1-1 1584 1646 24.8% 26.5% 48.8% +1.2 16
2020-01-12 Cova Piedade W 3-0 1626 1467 60.0% 23.7% 16.3% +12.0 24
2020-01-12 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1467 1626 16.3% 23.7% 60.0% -12.0 8
2020-01-12 Farense W 3-0 1617 1655 35.1% 27.4% 37.5% +24.3 23
2020-01-12 @ Penafiel L 0-3 1655 1617 37.5% 27.4% 35.1% -24.3 33
2020-01-12 Oliveirense D 0-0 1709 1580 56.7% 24.7% 18.6% -2.1 33
2020-01-12 @ Nacional D 0-0 1580 1709 18.6% 24.7% 56.7% +2.1 18
2020-01-18 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1617 1638 37.6% 27.4% 35.1% +8.5 25
2020-01-18 @ Estoril L 0-1 1638 1617 35.1% 27.4% 37.6% -8.5 24
2020-01-18 Benfica B W 2-1 1568 1618 33.5% 27.3% 39.2% +8.6 18
2020-01-18 @ Porto B L 1-2 1618 1568 39.2% 27.3% 33.5% -8.7 21
2020-01-18 Feirense D 1-1 1582 1642 32.2% 27.3% 40.6% +0.4 19
2020-01-18 @ Oliveirense D 1-1 1642 1582 40.6% 27.3% 32.2% -0.4 23
2020-01-18 Mafra L 0-2 1622 1645 37.4% 27.4% 35.3% -16.7 24
2020-01-18 @ Leixoes W 2-0 1645 1622 35.3% 27.4% 37.4% +16.7 30
2020-01-19 Chaves D 0-0 1596 1669 30.4% 27.2% 42.4% +0.6 24
2020-01-19 @ Academico de Viseu D 0-0 1669 1596 42.4% 27.2% 30.4% -0.6 27
2020-01-19 Nacional W 3-1 1455 1706 14.1% 22.5% 63.4% +22.1 11
2020-01-19 @ Cova Piedade L 1-3 1706 1455 63.4% 22.5% 14.1% -22.1 33
2020-01-19 Penafiel D 1-1 1585 1641 32.7% 27.3% 40.0% +0.3 17
2020-01-19 @ Vilafranquense D 1-1 1641 1585 40.0% 27.3% 32.7% -0.3 24
2020-01-19 Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1630 1664 35.8% 27.4% 36.9% +0.1 34
2020-01-19 @ Farense D 0-0 1664 1630 36.9% 27.4% 35.8% -0.0 28
2020-01-19 Varzim D 2-2 1513 1608 27.8% 26.9% 45.3% +0.6 9
2020-01-19 @ Casa Pia D 2-2 1608 1513 45.3% 26.9% 27.8% -0.6 27
2020-01-26 Academica de Coimbra D 1-1 1606 1629 37.2% 27.4% 35.5% -0.1 25
2020-01-26 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1629 1606 35.5% 27.4% 37.2% +0.1 25
2020-01-26 Farense L 0-2 1514 1630 25.3% 26.6% 48.2% -12.3 9
2020-01-26 @ Casa Pia W 2-0 1630 1514 48.2% 26.6% 25.3% +12.3 37
2020-01-26 Feirense D 1-1 1585 1641 32.7% 27.3% 40.0% +0.3 18
2020-01-26 @ Vilafranquense D 1-1 1641 1585 40.0% 27.3% 32.7% -0.3 24
2020-01-26 Mafra D 1-1 1477 1661 18.9% 24.9% 56.3% +1.9 12
2020-01-26 @ Cova Piedade D 1-1 1661 1477 56.3% 24.9% 18.9% -1.9 31
2020-01-26 Nacional L 0-2 1668 1684 38.2% 27.4% 34.4% -17.0 27
2020-01-26 @ Chaves W 2-0 1684 1668 34.4% 27.4% 38.2% +17.0 36
2020-01-26 Penafiel W 1-0 1596 1641 34.3% 27.4% 38.4% +9.0 27
2020-01-26 @ Academico de Viseu L 0-1 1641 1596 38.4% 27.4% 34.3% -9.0 24
2020-01-26 Sporting Covilha W 4-2 1576 1664 28.6% 27.0% 44.4% +14.8 21
2020-01-26 @ Porto B L 2-4 1664 1576 44.4% 27.0% 28.6% -14.7 28
2020-01-26 Varzim W 4-0 1582 1607 37.0% 27.4% 35.6% +30.6 22
2020-01-26 @ Oliveirense L 0-4 1607 1582 35.6% 27.4% 37.0% -30.6 27
2020-01-27 Benfica B W 1-0 1625 1609 42.8% 27.1% 30.1% +7.5 28
2020-01-27 @ Estoril L 0-1 1609 1625 30.1% 27.1% 42.8% -7.5 21
2020-01-30 Academico de Viseu W 2-0 1629 1606 43.8% 27.1% 29.1% +13.8 28
2020-01-30 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-2 1606 1629 29.1% 27.1% 43.8% -13.8 27
2020-02-01 Casa Pia D 1-1 1632 1501 56.9% 24.7% 18.4% -1.9 25
2020-02-01 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1501 1632 18.4% 24.7% 56.9% +1.9 10
2020-02-01 Chaves W 1-0 1659 1651 41.7% 27.2% 31.1% +7.7 34
2020-02-01 @ Mafra L 0-1 1651 1659 31.1% 27.2% 41.7% -7.7 27
2020-02-01 Estoril L 0-2 1643 1633 41.9% 27.2% 30.9% -18.2 37
2020-02-01 @ Farense W 2-0 1633 1643 30.9% 27.2% 41.9% +18.2 31
2020-02-02 Vilafranquense W 4-0 1601 1586 42.7% 27.2% 30.2% +27.0 24
2020-02-02 @ Benfica B L 0-4 1586 1601 30.2% 27.2% 42.7% -27.0 18
2020-02-02 Cova Piedade W 2-1 1641 1479 60.3% 23.6% 16.1% +4.1 27
2020-02-02 @ Feirense L 1-2 1479 1641 16.1% 23.6% 60.3% -4.1 12
2020-02-02 Leixoes W 1-0 1701 1605 52.9% 25.7% 21.4% +5.7 39
2020-02-02 @ Nacional L 0-1 1605 1701 21.4% 25.7% 52.9% -5.7 25
2020-02-02 Porto B L 0-2 1577 1591 38.5% 27.4% 34.2% -17.0 27
2020-02-02 @ Varzim W 2-0 1591 1577 34.2% 27.4% 38.5% +17.0 24
2020-02-03 Oliveirense W 1-0 1649 1613 45.4% 26.9% 27.7% +7.0 31
2020-02-03 @ Sporting Covilha L 0-1 1613 1649 27.7% 26.9% 45.4% -7.1 22
2020-02-08 Feirense L 0-1 1592 1645 33.0% 27.3% 39.7% -8.1 27
2020-02-08 @ Academico de Viseu W 1-0 1645 1592 39.7% 27.3% 33.0% +8.1 30
2020-02-08 Nacional D 1-1 1667 1707 34.9% 27.4% 37.8% +0.1 35
2020-02-08 @ Mafra D 1-1 1707 1667 37.8% 27.4% 34.9% -0.1 40
2020-02-08 Penafiel D 2-2 1475 1630 21.4% 25.7% 52.9% +1.2 13
2020-02-08 @ Cova Piedade D 2-2 1630 1475 52.9% 25.7% 21.4% -1.1 26
2020-02-08 Varzim W 1-0 1600 1559 46.0% 26.8% 27.2% +6.9 28
2020-02-08 @ Leixoes L 0-1 1559 1600 27.2% 26.8% 46.0% -6.9 27
2020-02-09 Academica de Coimbra L 1-2 1643 1643 40.6% 27.3% 32.2% -8.9 27
2020-02-09 @ Chaves W 2-1 1643 1643 32.2% 27.3% 40.6% +8.9 31
2020-02-09 Benfica B W 5-0 1606 1628 37.4% 27.4% 35.3% +37.4 25
2020-02-09 @ Oliveirense L 0-5 1628 1606 35.3% 27.4% 37.4% -37.4 24
2020-02-09 Casa Pia W 4-1 1651 1503 58.8% 24.1% 17.1% +10.6 34
2020-02-09 @ Estoril L 1-4 1503 1651 17.1% 24.1% 58.8% -10.6 10
2020-02-09 Farense D 1-1 1608 1624 38.2% 27.4% 34.4% -0.2 25
2020-02-09 @ Porto B D 1-1 1624 1608 34.4% 27.4% 38.2% +0.2 38
2020-02-09 Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1559 1656 27.4% 26.9% 45.7% +10.3 21
2020-02-09 @ Vilafranquense L 0-1 1656 1559 45.7% 26.9% 27.4% -10.3 31
2020-02-15 Vilafranquense W 5-1 1707 1569 57.7% 24.4% 17.8% +14.3 43
2020-02-15 @ Nacional L 1-5 1569 1707 17.8% 24.4% 57.7% -14.3 21
2020-02-15 Estoril W 3-0 1553 1662 26.1% 26.7% 47.2% +29.0 30
2020-02-15 @ Varzim L 0-3 1662 1553 47.2% 26.7% 26.1% -29.0 34
2020-02-15 Leixoes W 1-0 1653 1607 46.8% 26.7% 26.5% +6.8 33
2020-02-15 @ Feirense L 0-1 1607 1653 26.5% 26.7% 46.8% -6.8 28
2020-02-15 Mafra D 0-0 1652 1667 38.4% 27.4% 34.3% -0.2 32
2020-02-15 @ Academica de Coimbra D 0-0 1667 1652 34.3% 27.4% 38.4% +0.2 36
2020-02-16 Academico de Viseu L 0-1 1646 1584 48.8% 26.5% 24.7% -10.9 31
2020-02-16 @ Sporting Covilha W 1-0 1584 1646 24.7% 26.5% 48.8% +10.9 30
2020-02-16 Cova Piedade W 2-0 1591 1476 55.2% 25.1% 19.7% +9.9 27
2020-02-16 @ Benfica B L 0-2 1476 1591 19.7% 25.1% 55.2% -9.9 13
2020-02-16 Oliveirense W 3-1 1625 1643 37.9% 27.4% 34.7% +13.7 41
2020-02-16 @ Farense L 1-3 1643 1625 34.7% 27.4% 37.9% -13.7 25
2020-02-16 Porto B L 1-3 1493 1608 25.4% 26.6% 48.0% -10.7 10
2020-02-16 @ Casa Pia W 3-1 1608 1493 48.0% 26.6% 25.4% +10.7 28
2020-02-17 Chaves D 0-0 1628 1634 39.7% 27.3% 33.0% -0.3 27
2020-02-17 @ Penafiel D 0-0 1634 1628 33.0% 27.3% 39.7% +0.3 28
2020-02-21 Farense L 0-3 1555 1638 29.1% 27.1% 43.9% -20.1 21
2020-02-21 @ Vilafranquense W 3-0 1638 1555 43.9% 27.1% 29.1% +20.1 44
2020-02-22 Casa Pia W 2-1 1630 1482 58.8% 24.1% 17.1% +4.3 28
2020-02-22 @ Oliveirense L 1-2 1482 1630 17.1% 24.1% 58.8% -4.3 10
2020-02-22 Estoril D 1-1 1619 1633 38.6% 27.4% 34.1% -0.2 29
2020-02-22 @ Porto B D 1-1 1633 1619 34.1% 27.4% 38.6% +0.2 35
2020-02-22 Feirense L 1-2 1635 1660 37.0% 27.4% 35.6% -8.3 28
2020-02-22 @ Chaves W 2-1 1660 1635 35.6% 27.4% 37.0% +8.3 36
2020-02-22 Sporting Covilha D 0-0 1600 1635 35.6% 27.4% 37.0% +0.1 29
2020-02-22 @ Leixoes D 0-0 1635 1600 37.0% 27.4% 35.6% -0.1 32
2020-02-23 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1721 1652 49.7% 26.3% 24.0% +6.3 46
2020-02-23 @ Nacional L 0-1 1652 1721 24.0% 26.3% 49.7% -6.3 32
2020-02-23 Benfica B D 1-1 1594 1601 39.6% 27.3% 33.0% -0.3 31
2020-02-23 @ Academico de Viseu D 1-1 1601 1594 33.0% 27.3% 39.6% +0.3 28
2020-02-23 Penafiel W 1-0 1667 1628 45.9% 26.9% 27.3% +7.0 39
2020-02-23 @ Mafra L 0-1 1628 1667 27.3% 26.9% 45.9% -7.0 27
2020-02-23 Varzim L 1-2 1466 1582 25.4% 26.6% 48.0% -6.2 13
2020-02-23 @ Cova Piedade W 2-1 1582 1466 48.0% 26.6% 25.4% +6.2 33
2020-02-28 Leixoes L 0-1 1601 1600 40.7% 27.3% 32.0% -9.4 28
2020-02-28 @ Benfica B W 1-0 1600 1601 32.0% 27.3% 40.7% +9.4 32
2020-02-29 Academica de Coimbra W 1-0 1668 1646 43.6% 27.1% 29.3% +7.4 39
2020-02-29 @ Feirense L 0-1 1646 1668 29.3% 27.1% 43.6% -7.4 32
2020-02-29 Academico de Viseu W 3-1 1658 1594 49.1% 26.4% 24.5% +10.4 47
2020-02-29 @ Farense L 1-3 1594 1658 24.5% 26.4% 49.1% -10.4 31
2020-02-29 Nacional D 1-1 1621 1727 26.4% 26.7% 46.8% +1.0 28
2020-02-29 @ Penafiel D 1-1 1727 1621 46.8% 26.7% 26.4% -1.0 47
2020-03-01 Vilafranquense W 2-0 1633 1535 53.2% 25.6% 21.2% +10.6 38
2020-03-01 @ Estoril L 0-2 1535 1633 21.2% 25.6% 53.2% -10.6 21
2020-03-01 Chaves L 0-2 1635 1627 41.7% 27.2% 31.1% -18.1 32
2020-03-01 @ Sporting Covilha W 2-0 1627 1635 31.1% 27.2% 41.7% +18.1 31
2020-03-01 Cova Piedade D 1-1 1478 1460 43.0% 27.1% 29.9% -0.6 11
2020-03-01 @ Casa Pia D 1-1 1460 1478 29.9% 27.1% 43.0% +0.6 14
2020-03-01 Mafra W 2-1 1588 1674 28.7% 27.0% 44.3% +9.5 36
2020-03-01 @ Varzim L 1-2 1674 1588 44.3% 27.0% 28.7% -9.5 39
2020-03-01 Oliveirense L 1-2 1618 1634 38.3% 27.4% 34.3% -8.5 29
2020-03-01 @ Porto B W 2-1 1634 1618 34.3% 27.4% 38.3% +8.5 31
2020-03-05 Penafiel W 3-0 1638 1622 42.7% 27.2% 30.1% +20.6 35
2020-03-05 @ Academica de Coimbra L 0-3 1622 1638 30.1% 27.2% 42.7% -20.6 28
2020-03-07 Estoril D 1-1 1642 1643 40.4% 27.3% 32.3% -0.4 32
2020-03-07 @ Oliveirense D 1-1 1643 1642 32.3% 27.3% 40.4% +0.4 39
2020-03-07 Feirense L 0-1 1665 1675 39.0% 27.3% 33.6% -9.1 39
2020-03-07 @ Mafra W 1-0 1675 1665 33.6% 27.3% 39.0% +9.1 42
2020-03-07 Porto B W 3-2 1524 1610 28.8% 27.0% 44.1% +9.0 24
2020-03-07 @ Vilafranquense L 2-3 1610 1524 44.1% 27.0% 28.8% -9.0 29
2020-03-08 Benfica B W 3-1 1726 1592 57.4% 24.6% 18.1% +7.9 50
2020-03-08 @ Nacional L 1-3 1592 1726 18.1% 24.6% 57.4% -7.9 28
2020-03-08 Casa Pia W 1-0 1584 1477 54.2% 25.4% 20.4% +5.4 34
2020-03-08 @ Academico de Viseu L 0-1 1477 1584 20.4% 25.4% 54.2% -5.4 11
2020-03-08 Sporting Covilha W 2-1 1460 1617 21.3% 25.7% 53.0% +11.0 17
2020-03-08 @ Cova Piedade L 1-2 1617 1460 53.0% 25.7% 21.3% -11.0 32
2020-03-08 Varzim D 1-1 1645 1597 46.9% 26.7% 26.4% -1.0 32
2020-03-08 @ Chaves D 1-1 1597 1645 26.4% 26.7% 46.9% +1.0 37
2020-03-09 Farense D 1-1 1609 1669 32.2% 27.3% 40.5% +0.4 33
2020-03-09 @ Leixoes D 1-1 1669 1609 40.5% 27.3% 32.2% -0.4 48

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2020-01-19 14.13% @ Cova Piedade 1455 3 Nacional 1706 1
2 2020-01-05 18.60% Benfica B 1560 3 @ Farense 1688 0
3 2019-12-07 18.96% Oliveirense 1554 2 @ Chaves 1677 0
4 2020-03-08 21.29% @ Cova Piedade 1460 2 Sporting Covilha 1617 1
5 2019-10-26 23.26% @ Benfica B 1557 1 Nacional 1693 0
6 2019-09-15 23.88% Leixoes 1607 3 @ Sporting Covilha 1678 2
7 2019-12-08 24.04% Academico de Viseu 1576 1 @ Leixoes 1644 0
8 2020-02-16 24.74% Academico de Viseu 1584 1 @ Sporting Covilha 1646 0
9 2019-10-27 24.88% @ Varzim 1553 2 Chaves 1673 1
10 2019-12-15 25.31% Academica de Coimbra 1594 2 @ Sporting Covilha 1651 1
11 2019-09-15 25.34% Oliveirense 1551 3 @ Casa Pia 1607 1
12 2019-11-29 25.38% Feirense 1615 2 @ Sporting Covilha 1671 1
13 2019-11-09 25.89% Varzim 1573 2 @ Feirense 1625 1
14 2020-02-15 26.11% @ Varzim 1553 3 Estoril 1662 0
15 2019-08-25 26.51% Porto B 1584 3 @ Farense 1630 1
16 2019-10-30 26.81% Porto B 1581 2 @ Academico de Viseu 1624 0
17 2019-10-26 27.13% Mafra 1593 2 @ Feirense 1634 1
18 2020-02-09 27.44% @ Vilafranquense 1559 1 Sporting Covilha 1656 0
19 2019-08-17 27.99% Penafiel 1593 2 @ Casa Pia 1626 1
20 2020-01-10 28.27% Academico de Viseu 1586 2 @ Varzim 1617 1
21 2020-01-26 28.62% @ Porto B 1576 4 Sporting Covilha 1664 2
22 2020-03-01 28.73% @ Varzim 1588 2 Mafra 1674 1
23 2020-01-04 28.79% Feirense 1616 2 @ Estoril 1643 0
24 2020-03-07 28.82% @ Vilafranquense 1524 3 Porto B 1610 2
25 2019-08-18 29.03% @ Cova Piedade 1551 2 Feirense 1635 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2020-02-09 37.42 @ Oliveirense 5 1606 37.35% Benfica B 0 1628 35.28% 27.38%
2 2020-01-05 33.82 Benfica B 3 1560 18.60% @ Farense 0 1688 56.64% 24.76%
3 2020-01-26 30.56 @ Oliveirense 4 1582 37.02% Varzim 0 1607 35.60% 27.38%
4 2020-02-15 29.05 @ Varzim 3 1553 26.11% Estoril 0 1662 47.21% 26.68%
5 2020-01-05 27.16 Varzim 3 1590 29.51% @ Vilafranquense 0 1611 43.39% 27.10%
6 2020-02-02 26.97 @ Benfica B 4 1601 42.69% Vilafranquense 0 1586 30.16% 27.15%
7 2019-08-18 26.35 @ Vilafranquense 4 1630 43.66% Benfica B 0 1607 29.27% 27.07%
8 2019-08-10 24.87 @ Nacional 3 1634 33.97% Chaves 0 1680 38.68% 27.35%
9 2020-01-12 24.29 @ Penafiel 3 1617 35.13% Farense 0 1655 37.49% 27.37%
10 2020-01-11 23.38 @ Benfica B 4 1594 48.23% Casa Pia 0 1537 25.23% 26.54%
11 2019-12-07 23.11 Oliveirense 2 1554 18.96% @ Chaves 0 1677 56.15% 24.90%
12 2019-09-14 22.97 @ Farense 3 1621 37.90% Vilafranquense 0 1640 34.73% 27.37%
13 2020-01-19 22.13 @ Cova Piedade 3 1455 14.13% Nacional 1 1706 63.36% 22.51%
14 2019-09-22 20.84 Estoril 4 1632 34.27% @ Vilafranquense 1 1617 38.37% 27.36%
15 2020-03-05 20.62 @ Academica de Coimbra 3 1638 42.74% Penafiel 0 1622 30.11% 27.15%
16 2020-02-21 20.08 Farense 3 1638 43.85% @ Vilafranquense 0 1555 29.10% 27.06%
17 2019-10-30 19.73 Porto B 2 1581 26.81% @ Academico de Viseu 0 1624 46.40% 26.79%
18 2020-01-04 18.97 Feirense 2 1616 28.79% @ Estoril 0 1643 44.19% 27.03%
19 2019-08-24 18.89 @ Penafiel 3 1602 46.25% Cova Piedade 0 1560 26.94% 26.81%
20 2020-02-01 18.20 Estoril 2 1633 30.91% @ Farense 0 1643 41.89% 27.21%
21 2019-08-11 18.11 Academico de Viseu 2 1603 31.15% @ Penafiel 0 1611 41.63% 27.22%
22 2020-03-01 18.11 Chaves 2 1627 31.12% @ Sporting Covilha 0 1635 41.66% 27.22%
23 2019-11-10 17.66 Vilafranquense 2 1595 32.42% @ Academico de Viseu 0 1593 40.28% 27.29%
24 2019-09-15 17.59 Oliveirense 3 1551 25.34% @ Casa Pia 1 1607 48.10% 26.56%
25 2019-08-25 17.19 Porto B 3 1584 26.51% @ Farense 1 1630 46.74% 26.75%