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2017 NWSL Season

120 regular-season games · 4 playoff teams

Final

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

North Carolina Courage

24.53% chance to win NWSL Championship

Biggest Overachiever

Orlando Pride

9.65 points above expected

40 points · 30.35 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Washington Spirit

12.28 points below expected

19 points · 31.28 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

# Team W L T Pts Pt% GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 North Carolina Courage Conference 16 7 1 49 .681 38 22 +16 40.61 +8.39
2 Portland Thorns Playoffs 14 5 5 47 .653 37 20 +17 39.46 +7.54
3 Orlando Pride Playoffs 11 6 7 40 .556 45 31 +14 30.35 +9.65
4 Chicago Red Stars Playoffs 11 7 6 39 .542 33 30 +3 36.78 +2.22
5 Seattle Reign 9 8 7 34 .472 43 37 +6 37.17 -3.17
6 Sky Blue FC 10 11 3 33 .458 42 51 -9 31.76 +1.24
7 FC Kansas City 8 9 7 31 .431 29 31 -2 32.05 -1.05
8 Houston Dash 7 14 3 24 .333 23 39 -16 28.25 -4.25
9 Boston Breakers 4 13 7 19 .264 24 35 -11 24.57 -5.57
10 Washington Spirit 5 15 4 19 .264 30 48 -18 31.28 -12.28

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Orlando Pride 40 30.35 +9.65
2 North Carolina Courage 49 40.61 +8.39
3 Portland Thorns 47 39.46 +7.54
4 Chicago Red Stars 39 36.78 +2.22
5 Sky Blue FC 33 31.76 +1.24

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim Luck
1 Washington Spirit 19 31.28 -12.28
2 Boston Breakers 19 24.57 -5.57
3 Houston Dash 24 28.25 -4.25
4 Seattle Reign 34 37.17 -3.17
5 FC Kansas City 31 32.05 -1.05

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Kansas City 3 Aug 14 – Aug 21 1 in 61
2 Orlando Pride 5 Aug 9 – Sep 3 1 in 43
3 North Carolina Courage 5 Aug 6 – Aug 31 1 in 42
4 Portland Thorns 4 Jul 15 – Aug 13 1 in 26
5 Chicago Red Stars 3 May 21 – Jun 4 1 in 19

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Houston Dash 6 May 6 – Jun 18 1 in 184
2 Chicago Red Stars 3 Aug 13 – Aug 21 1 in 52
3 FC Kansas City 4 Jun 29 – Jul 16 1 in 39
4 Boston Breakers 5 Aug 17 – Sep 11 1 in 25
5 Sky Blue FC 3 Jul 23 – Aug 13 1 in 16

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Orlando Pride 9 Aug 6 – Oct 1 1 in 55
2 Houston Dash 6 Jun 24 – Jul 23 1 in 26
3 Boston Breakers 4 Jun 29 – Jul 16 1 in 20
4 Chicago Red Stars 7 May 6 – Jun 26 1 in 14
5 Portland Thorns 6 Apr 29 – Jun 4 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 FC Kansas City 9 Jun 3 – Aug 11 1 in 39
2 Boston Breakers 10 Jul 8 – Sep 11 1 in 22
3 Chicago Red Stars 4 Aug 6 – Aug 21 1 in 15
4 Houston Dash 6 May 6 – Jun 18 1 in 12
5 Washington Spirit 6 Aug 9 – Sep 2 1 in 9

Playoff Bracket

NHL Playoffs

Semifinals

Portland Thorns 1
Orlando Pride 0

1 games · Oct 7–Oct 7

North Carolina Courage 1
Chicago Red Stars 0

1 games · Oct 8–Oct 8

Stanley Cup Final

Portland Thorns 1
North Carolina Courage 0

1 games · Oct 14–Oct 14

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team Breakers Stars City Dash Courage Pride Thorns Reign FC Spirit
Boston Breakers —
2
(1.9 exp.)
1
(2.3 exp.)
1
(3.6 exp.)
0
(2.9 exp.)
0
(2.9 exp.)
1
(2.7 exp.)
4
(1.8 exp.)
3
(3.5 exp.)
7
(3.1 exp.)
Chicago Red Stars
2
(3.7 exp.)
 —
4
(4.8 exp.)
6
(4.6 exp.)
9
(3.9 exp.)
7
(5.1 exp.)
0
(3.7 exp.)
3
(4.5 exp.)
4
(3.2 exp.)
4
(3.4 exp.)
FC Kansas City
4
(3.2 exp.)
4
(3.5 exp.)
 —
4
(4.9 exp.)
0
(2.2 exp.)
1
(4.5 exp.)
4
(3.5 exp.)
5
(3.4 exp.)
3
(4.0 exp.)
6
(2.9 exp.)
Houston Dash
7
(4.7 exp.)
3
(3.7 exp.)
4
(3.4 exp.)
 —
0
(1.6 exp.)
3
(2.3 exp.)
1
(2.9 exp.)
0
(3.5 exp.)
0
(2.6 exp.)
6
(3.5 exp.)
North Carolina Courage
9
(5.5 exp.)
0
(4.4 exp.)
6
(3.3 exp.)
6
(4.0 exp.)
 —
3
(5.7 exp.)
3
(2.9 exp.)
9
(4.2 exp.)
4
(5.4 exp.)
9
(5.0 exp.)
Orlando Pride
9
(5.5 exp.)
1
(3.2 exp.)
7
(3.8 exp.)
3
(3.2 exp.)
6
(2.6 exp.)
 —
1
(2.2 exp.)
2
(2.4 exp.)
6
(3.7 exp.)
5
(3.8 exp.)
Portland Thorns
7
(5.6 exp.)
9
(4.6 exp.)
4
(4.8 exp.)
7
(5.5 exp.)
3
(2.6 exp.)
4
(3.4 exp.)
 —
4
(4.1 exp.)
3
(3.3 exp.)
6
(5.5 exp.)
Seattle Reign
1
(3.8 exp.)
6
(3.8 exp.)
2
(4.9 exp.)
9
(4.8 exp.)
0
(4.0 exp.)
2
(3.1 exp.)
4
(4.2 exp.)
 —
4
(5.2 exp.)
6
(3.3 exp.)
Sky Blue FC
6
(4.8 exp.)
1
(2.3 exp.)
6
(4.3 exp.)
6
(2.9 exp.)
4
(2.9 exp.)
3
(4.6 exp.)
3
(2.2 exp.)
4
(3.1 exp.)
 —
0
(4.6 exp.)
Washington Spirit
1
(5.2 exp.)
1
(2.2 exp.)
0
(2.6 exp.)
3
(4.7 exp.)
0
(3.3 exp.)
2
(4.5 exp.)
3
(2.9 exp.)
0
(2.2 exp.)
9
(3.7 exp.)
 —

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%10.42%6.67%1.67%0.83%0.42%24.17%
110.42%10.83%7.50%3.75%1.25%0.42%34.17%
26.67%7.50%5.83%3.75%0.83%0.42%25.00%
31.67%3.75%3.75%—0.83%—10.00%
40.83%1.25%0.83%0.83%—0.83%4.58%
5+0.42%0.42%0.42%—0.83%—2.08%
Total24.17%34.17%25.00%10.00%4.58%2.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.43 +0.00
SD 1.22 1.22 1.63
CV 0.85 0.85 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 120

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%20.83%12.50%———41.67%
18.33%8.33%4.17%8.33%——29.17%
2——12.50%—4.17%—16.67%
38.33%———4.17%—12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%29.17%29.17%8.33%8.33%—100%

Boston Breakers — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 1.46 -0.46
SD 1.06 1.22 1.41
CV 1.06 0.83 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%4.17%4.17%———16.67%
112.50%12.50%8.33%8.33%——41.67%
24.17%16.67%4.17%4.17%——29.17%
3—4.17%8.33%———12.50%
4———————
5+———————
Total25.00%37.50%25.00%12.50%——100%

Chicago Red Stars — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.38 1.25 +0.12
SD 0.92 0.99 1.19
CV 0.67 0.79 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%12.50%4.17%4.17%——29.17%
112.50%12.50%8.33%—4.17%—37.50%
24.17%4.17%8.33%4.17%——20.83%
3—4.17%4.17%———8.33%
4—4.17%————4.17%
5+———————
Total25.00%37.50%25.00%8.33%4.17%—100%

FC Kansas City — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.29 -0.08
SD 1.10 1.08 1.47
CV 0.91 0.84 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%12.50%16.67%—4.17%—37.50%
18.33%8.33%8.33%4.17%—4.17%33.33%
28.33%8.33%—4.17%4.17%—25.00%
3—4.17%————4.17%
4———————
5+———————
Total20.83%33.33%25.00%8.33%8.33%4.17%100%

Houston Dash — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.96 1.62 -0.67
SD 0.91 1.38 1.71
CV 0.95 0.85 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—8.33%————8.33%
129.17%4.17%4.17%8.33%——45.83%
216.67%4.17%—8.33%——29.17%
3—8.33%4.17%———12.50%
44.17%—————4.17%
5+———————
Total50.00%25.00%8.33%16.67%——100%

North Carolina Courage — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.58 0.92 +0.67
SD 0.97 1.14 1.49
CV 0.62 1.24 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
04.17%4.17%8.33%———16.67%
1—20.83%8.33%4.17%——33.33%
24.17%8.33%4.17%———16.67%
34.17%4.17%8.33%———16.67%
4—4.17%8.33%———12.50%
5+4.17%—————4.17%
Total16.67%41.67%37.50%4.17%——100%

Orlando Pride — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.88 1.29 +0.58
SD 1.45 0.81 1.74
CV 0.78 0.62 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.33%8.33%4.17%———20.83%
112.50%4.17%4.17%4.17%——25.00%
216.67%12.50%8.33%———37.50%
34.17%4.17%4.17%———12.50%
44.17%—————4.17%
5+———————
Total45.83%29.17%20.83%4.17%——100%

Portland Thorns — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.54 0.83 +0.71
SD 1.10 0.92 1.49
CV 0.72 1.10 —
Max 4 3 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—12.50%4.17%4.17%——20.83%
14.17%20.83%8.33%———33.33%
28.33%8.33%8.33%———25.00%
3——4.17%———4.17%
4—————4.17%4.17%
5+—4.17%4.17%—4.17%—12.50%
Total12.50%45.83%29.17%4.17%4.17%4.17%100%

Seattle Reign — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.54 +0.25
SD 1.69 1.18 1.65
CV 0.95 0.76 —
Max 6 5 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—4.17%8.33%——4.17%16.67%
112.50%8.33%8.33%—8.33%—37.50%
2—8.33%4.17%4.17%——16.67%
3—8.33%4.17%—4.17%—16.67%
4———4.17%—4.17%8.33%
5+————4.17%—4.17%
Total12.50%29.17%25.00%8.33%16.67%8.33%100%

Sky Blue FC — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.75 2.12 -0.38
SD 1.39 1.54 1.74
CV 0.79 0.73 —
Max 5 5 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 24

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—16.67%4.17%8.33%4.17%—33.33%
14.17%8.33%12.50%———25.00%
24.17%4.17%8.33%12.50%—4.17%33.33%
3———————
4—4.17%—4.17%——8.33%
5+———————
Total8.33%33.33%25.00%25.00%4.17%4.17%100%

Washington Spirit — Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.25 2.00 -0.75
SD 1.19 1.35 1.70
CV 0.95 0.68 —
Max 4 6 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 24

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.43 +8.9
Allowed 0.51 -7.6
Differential 0.86 +7.4

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team Conference Division Elo Points Avg. Pts. Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Portland Thorns 1625 47 39.46 +7.54 89.59% 12 29 35 39 44 50 63
North Carolina Courage 1601 49 40.61 +8.39 91.77% 12 30 36 41 45 51 66
Orlando Pride 1568 40 30.35 +9.65 94.57% 7 20 26 30 35 41 60
Chicago Red Stars 1544 39 36.78 +2.22 66.41% 11 26 32 37 41 47 65
Seattle Reign 1535 34 37.17 -3.17 33.89% 9 27 33 37 42 48 65
FC Kansas City 1510 31 32.05 -1.05 46.94% 8 22 28 32 36 42 58
Sky Blue FC 1450 33 31.76 +1.24 61.22% 8 22 27 32 36 42 59
Houston Dash 1404 24 28.25 -4.25 27.80% 5 18 24 28 32 39 58
Washington Spirit 1390 19 31.28 -12.28 2.68% 7 21 27 31 35 42 59
Boston Breakers 1374 19 24.57 -5.57 20.52% 3 15 20 24 29 35 55

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team12345678910
North Carolina Courage31.35%21.41%15.48%10.94%7.94%5.39%3.56%2.24%1.21%0.48%
Portland Thorns24.71%20.81%16.21%12.24%9.05%6.79%4.67%3.01%1.80%0.72%
Seattle Reign15.61%16.42%15.60%13.93%11.72%9.48%7.06%5.24%3.33%1.59%
Chicago Red Stars14.22%15.68%15.39%13.95%11.87%9.87%7.60%5.76%3.82%1.85%
FC Kansas City3.88%6.67%9.01%11.12%12.34%13.05%13.20%12.55%10.95%7.24%
Sky Blue FC3.51%6.14%8.52%10.46%12.44%13.19%13.38%12.92%11.37%8.08%
Washington Spirit3.06%5.37%7.64%10.01%11.78%13.23%13.90%13.62%12.35%9.04%
Orlando Pride2.22%4.28%6.55%8.76%10.82%12.46%14.11%15.07%14.61%11.12%
Houston Dash1.15%2.49%4.08%6.07%8.10%10.47%13.25%16.13%19.36%18.90%
Boston Breakers0.30%0.73%1.51%2.53%3.93%6.08%9.26%13.46%21.21%40.99%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team1 Seed2 Seed3 Seed4 SeedMissed Playoffs
North Carolina Courage31.35%21.41%15.48%10.94%20.82%
Portland Thorns24.71%20.81%16.21%12.24%26.04%
Seattle Reign15.61%16.42%15.60%13.93%38.43%
Chicago Red Stars14.22%15.68%15.39%13.95%40.76%
FC Kansas City3.88%6.67%9.01%11.12%69.33%
Sky Blue FC3.51%6.14%8.52%10.46%71.37%
Washington Spirit3.06%5.37%7.64%10.01%73.92%
Orlando Pride2.22%4.28%6.55%8.76%78.18%
Houston Dash1.15%2.49%4.08%6.07%86.21%
Boston Breakers0.30%0.73%1.51%2.53%94.93%

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+14.17%
Fortress
46.67%20.83%32.50%
Elo Value
Home Edge: 49.55 Elo pts.
192 Elo
0.005 goals per Elo point
0500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.35 goals
Lean Home
-2+0.26+2

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 5.03 · As Expected: 5.03 to 6.91 · Elevated: 6.91 to 9.42 · High Variance: 9.42 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.64 · Close: 1.64 to 2.22 · Off Target: 2.22 to 2.9 · Well Off Target: 2.9 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 10 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 10 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.5 · As Expected: 0.5 to 1.2 · Several Outliers: 1.2 to 2.2 · Many Outliers: 2.2 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.95 · As Expected: 0.95 to 1.58 · More Than Expected: 1.58 to 2.52 · Far More Than Expected: 2.52 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.61 points
As Expected
06.2816
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.30
Pinpoint
01.934
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 95.00%
94.57%
Orlando Pride
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 5.00%
2.68%
Washington Spirit
050
Season Outliers
Expected
1 of 10
As Expected
01.010
Unexpected Playoff Teams
Expected
1 of 4
As Expected
01.34

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully
Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge
The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst
The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games
Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Gini Index
0.17
Top-Heavy
00.080.150.240.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.44
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
70%
Tilted
50%58%65%73%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
81%
Lopsided
50%85%100%
Close Games
Expected
68%
Nail-Biters
0%64%100%
Blowouts
Expected
10%
Occasional
0%12%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness
How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.61
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.27
Wide Gaps
00.120.220.340.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.12
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.35
Weak Alignment
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
28%
Chalk Held
0%28%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
27%
As Expected
0%25%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.07 · Within Noise: 0.07 to 0.14 · Above Noise: 0.14 to 0.28 · Well Above Noise: 0.28 and up.
Probability calibration
0.92
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.11
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.04
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.054
Well Within Noise
00.1420.4

No Trend Data Yet

Season Trends will appear here once midseason progression snapshots are available for this season.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Made Playoffs Advanced to Semifinals Won Semifinals
North Carolina Courage 39.59% 39.59% 24.53%
Portland Thorns 36.98% 36.98% 23.92%
Seattle Reign 30.78% 30.78% 14.77%
Chicago Red Stars 29.62% 29.62% 14.67%
FC Kansas City 15.33% 15.33% 6.35%
Orlando Pride 10.91% 10.91% 5.28%
Sky Blue FC 14.32% 14.32% 4.73%
Washington Spirit 13.04% 13.04% 3.32%
Houston Dash 6.90% 6.90% 1.87%
Boston Breakers 2.53% 2.53% 0.58%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Boston BreakersChicago Red StarsFC Kansas CityHouston DashNorth Carolina CourageOrlando PridePortland ThornsSeattle ReignSky Blue FCWashington Spirit
Boston Breakers22.4%0.08%36.1%0.03%52.9%<0.01%20.1%0.16%24.4%0.02%18.9%0.15%33.7%0.10%40.6%0.02%45.2%0.02%
Chicago Red Stars77.6%0.08%57.3%0.93%72.5%0.26%41.0%4.71%48.2%0.73%38.0%4.42%51.7%2.39%64.2%0.70%71.4%0.46%
FC Kansas City63.9%0.03%42.7%0.93%67.1%0.11%35.2%1.88%42.0%0.29%34.3%1.72%45.8%0.93%56.9%0.26%63.4%0.19%
Houston Dash47.1%<0.01%27.5%0.26%32.9%0.11%21.4%0.53%28.1%0.09%18.1%0.49%26.6%0.26%41.2%0.08%56.9%0.05%
North Carolina Courage79.9%0.16%59.0%4.71%64.8%1.88%78.6%0.53%57.6%1.47%47.1%8.93%60.4%4.60%70.1%1.31%78.6%0.94%
Orlando Pride75.6%0.02%51.8%0.73%58.0%0.29%71.9%0.09%42.4%1.47%40.0%1.50%50.5%0.81%65.9%0.23%69.4%0.14%
Portland Thorns81.1%0.15%62.0%4.42%65.7%1.72%81.9%0.49%52.9%8.93%60.0%1.50%62.6%4.52%72.6%1.29%79.3%0.90%
Seattle Reign66.3%0.10%48.3%2.39%54.2%0.93%73.4%0.26%39.6%4.60%49.5%0.81%37.4%4.52%62.1%0.69%69.9%0.47%
Sky Blue FC59.4%0.02%35.8%0.70%43.1%0.26%58.8%0.08%29.9%1.31%34.1%0.23%27.4%1.29%37.9%0.69%57.5%0.15%
Washington Spirit54.8%0.02%28.6%0.46%36.6%0.19%43.1%0.05%21.4%0.94%30.6%0.14%20.7%0.90%30.1%0.47%42.5%0.15%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Boston BreakersChicago Red StarsFC Kansas CityHouston DashNorth Carolina CourageOrlando PridePortland ThornsSeattle ReignSky Blue FCWashington Spirit
Boston Breakers25.0%0.38%29.6%0.14%50.5%0.05%17.9%0.68%16.0%0.08%16.9%0.55%23.6%0.42%36.7%0.13%40.8%0.10%
Chicago Red Stars75.0%0.38%55.9%2.38%72.1%1.06%40.7%7.30%50.1%1.64%37.7%6.90%51.7%5.51%65.2%2.32%72.2%2.12%
FC Kansas City70.4%0.14%44.1%2.38%68.2%0.38%34.0%3.96%41.3%0.64%31.2%3.54%44.4%2.53%56.8%0.90%68.2%0.85%
Houston Dash49.5%0.05%27.9%1.06%31.8%0.38%22.5%1.85%29.3%0.27%19.4%1.54%29.7%1.06%43.2%0.37%52.2%0.30%
North Carolina Courage82.1%0.68%59.3%7.30%66.0%3.96%77.5%1.85%59.3%2.86%47.0%8.33%60.6%7.63%73.7%3.65%80.1%3.33%
Orlando Pride84.0%0.08%49.9%1.64%58.7%0.64%70.7%0.27%40.7%2.86%38.3%2.51%52.2%1.84%65.5%0.58%72.8%0.48%
Portland Thorns83.1%0.55%62.3%6.90%68.8%3.54%80.6%1.54%53.0%8.33%61.7%2.51%62.8%7.28%75.3%3.36%81.8%2.97%
Seattle Reign76.4%0.42%48.3%5.51%55.6%2.53%70.3%1.06%39.4%7.63%47.8%1.84%37.2%7.28%63.6%2.32%71.1%2.19%
Sky Blue FC63.3%0.13%34.8%2.32%43.2%0.90%56.8%0.37%26.3%3.65%34.5%0.58%24.7%3.36%36.4%2.32%58.9%0.69%
Washington Spirit59.2%0.10%27.8%2.12%31.8%0.85%47.8%0.30%19.9%3.33%27.2%0.48%18.2%2.97%28.9%2.19%41.1%0.69%

Actual Bracket Simulation

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team Advanced to Semifinals Won Semifinals Actual Outcome
North Carolina Courage 50.00% 32.53% Won Semifinals
Portland Thorns 50.00% 32.37% Won Semifinals
Orlando Pride 50.00% 17.63% Eliminated in Semifinals
Chicago Red Stars 50.00% 17.47% Eliminated in Semifinals
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago Red StarsNorth Carolina CourageOrlando PridePortland Thorns
Chicago Red Stars39.5%6.14%33.4%11.33%
North Carolina Courage60.8%11.50%53.8%21.03%
Orlando Pride60.5%6.14%39.2%11.50%
Portland Thorns66.6%11.33%46.2%21.03%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Chicago Red StarsNorth Carolina CourageOrlando PridePortland Thorns
Chicago Red Stars34.9%50.00%
North Carolina Courage65.1%50.00%
Orlando Pride35.3%50.00%
Portland Thorns64.7%50.00%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

North Carolina Courage 32.53% chance to win
Finals
vs. Portland Thorns
Matchup
61.79%
Win Prob
53.78%
→
Semifinals
vs. Chicago Red Stars
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
65.06%
Portland Thorns 32.37% chance to win
Finals
vs. North Carolina Courage
Matchup
56.29%
Win Prob
46.22%
→
Semifinals
vs. Orlando Pride
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
64.73%
Orlando Pride 17.63% chance to win
Finals
vs. North Carolina Courage
Matchup
54.79%
Win Prob
39.16%
→
Semifinals
vs. Portland Thorns
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
35.27%
Chicago Red Stars 17.47% chance to win
Finals
vs. Portland Thorns
Matchup
60.97%
Win Prob
33.37%
→
Semifinals
vs. North Carolina Courage
Matchup
100.00%
Win Prob
34.94%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Date Opponent Score Excitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Points
2017-04-17 @ FC Kansas City L 0-2 37.9 1420.70 1511.58 21.71% 21.37% 56.92%-0.73 -12.13 0
2017-04-23 Sky Blue FC W 1-0 48.4 1408.57 1487.57 33.64% 24.44% 41.92%-0.15 +15.09 3
2017-04-30 Seattle Reign W 3-0 46.2 1423.66 1558.48 26.98% 23.33% 49.69%-0.44 +29.89 6
2017-05-08 North Carolina Courage L 0-1 49.0 1453.55 1567.77 29.27% 23.86% 46.87%-0.34 -11.35 6
2017-05-15 @ Chicago Red Stars T 1-1 63.0 1442.20 1520.20 22.83% 21.89% 55.28%-0.67 +2.44 7
2017-05-20 Portland Thorns T 2-2 68.8 1444.64 1546.34 30.76% 24.11% 45.12%-0.27 +1.04 8
2017-05-28 @ Portland Thorns L 0-2 39.7 1445.68 1545.30 20.98% 20.99% 58.02%-0.78 -11.71 8
2017-06-04 @ Orlando Pride L 0-2 39.4 1433.97 1437.96 30.59% 24.09% 45.32%-0.28 -16.67 8
2017-06-18 @ North Carolina Courage L 1-3 43.0 1417.30 1548.95 18.53% 19.53% 61.94%-0.95 -10.25 8
2017-06-24 North Carolina Courage L 0-1 45.4 1407.05 1559.20 25.19% 22.80% 52.01%-0.54 -9.91 8
2017-06-29 @ Houston Dash T 0-0 53.8 1397.14 1423.11 28.04% 23.60% 48.36%-0.39 +1.48 9
2017-07-01 Washington Spirit W 1-0 49.0 1398.62 1494.91 31.43% 24.21% 44.37%-0.24 +15.77 12
2017-07-08 Chicago Red Stars T 0-0 59.5 1414.39 1573.17 24.54% 22.57% 52.89%-0.57 +2.12 13
2017-07-16 @ Seattle Reign T 1-1 64.5 1416.51 1562.33 17.54% 18.84% 63.62%-1.02 +3.55 14
2017-07-23 @ Houston Dash L 0-1 43.0 1420.06 1454.35 27.13% 23.37% 49.49%-0.44 -10.62 14
2017-08-05 FC Kansas City T 2-2 63.8 1409.44 1437.95 40.72% 24.52% 34.76%+0.11 -0.42 15
2017-08-12 @ Washington Spirit T 2-2 65.1 1409.02 1464.28 24.97% 22.72% 52.31%-0.55 +2.03 16
2017-08-17 Houston Dash L 1-3 47.3 1411.05 1439.46 40.74% 24.52% 34.75%+0.11 -20.86 16
2017-08-19 Orlando Pride L 1-2 49.4 1390.19 1516.10 27.95% 23.58% 48.48%-0.40 -10.90 16
2017-08-27 @ Sky Blue FC L 0-1 40.1 1379.29 1463.13 22.32% 21.66% 56.03%-0.70 -8.82 16
2017-09-03 @ Orlando Pride L 2-4 43.6 1370.47 1541.37 15.92% 17.58% 66.50%-1.15 -8.63 16
2017-09-11 Portland Thorns L 0-1 42.0 1361.84 1604.11 17.72% 18.97% 63.31%-1.01 -6.90 16
2017-09-24 @ Washington Spirit W 3-0 41.5 1354.94 1433.82 22.75% 21.85% 55.39%-0.67 +32.61 19
2017-10-01 Sky Blue FC L 3-4 58.0 1387.55 1436.54 37.78% 24.60% 37.62%+0.00 -13.93 19
2017-04-15 @ Houston Dash L 0-2 45.8 1520.81 1483.89 35.92% 24.57% 39.52%-0.07 -18.96 0
2017-04-22 FC Kansas City W 1-0 50.7 1501.85 1523.71 41.67% 24.46% 33.87%+0.14 +12.81 3
2017-04-29 @ Portland Thorns L 0-1 49.8 1514.66 1536.65 28.49% 23.70% 47.81%-0.37 -11.09 3
2017-05-06 Houston Dash W 2-0 43.9 1503.57 1498.86 45.42% 24.07% 30.51%+0.28 +16.63 6
2017-05-15 Boston Breakers T 1-1 63.0 1520.20 1442.20 55.28% 21.89% 22.83%+0.67 -2.45 7
2017-05-21 @ North Carolina Courage W 3-1 57.3 1517.75 1553.42 26.98% 23.34% 49.68%-0.44 +24.40 10
2017-05-27 North Carolina Courage W 3-2 62.1 1542.15 1544.74 44.40% 24.20% 31.40%+0.25 +12.04 13
2017-06-04 Seattle Reign W 1-0 53.6 1554.19 1566.21 43.07% 24.34% 32.59%+0.20 +12.42 16
2017-06-17 Washington Spirit T 1-1 66.2 1566.61 1477.59 56.69% 21.44% 21.87%+0.72 -2.64 17
2017-06-26 Sky Blue FC W 2-1 54.4 1563.97 1510.37 52.09% 22.78% 25.14%+0.54 +9.90 20
2017-06-29 @ Seattle Reign L 1-2 59.2 1573.87 1551.89 33.89% 24.46% 41.65%-0.14 -12.81 20
2017-07-01 @ Orlando Pride W 1-0 50.0 1561.06 1466.22 44.16% 24.23% 31.61%+0.24 +12.11 23
2017-07-08 @ Boston Breakers T 0-0 59.5 1573.17 1414.39 52.89% 22.57% 24.54%+0.57 -2.12 24
2017-07-16 @ Sky Blue FC T 2-2 72.0 1571.05 1512.40 39.01% 24.58% 36.41%+0.05 -0.18 25
2017-07-22 Orlando Pride W 2-1 51.9 1570.87 1476.48 57.36% 21.22% 21.42%+0.75 +8.45 28
2017-08-06 @ Orlando Pride T 1-1 65.6 1579.32 1468.03 46.46% 23.92% 29.61%+0.32 -1.22 29
2017-08-13 Portland Thorns L 2-3 68.3 1578.10 1566.53 46.38% 23.94% 29.69%+0.32 -16.33 29
2017-08-17 Seattle Reign L 1-2 62.4 1561.77 1541.48 47.58% 23.74% 28.68%+0.36 -16.67 29
2017-08-21 FC Kansas City L 1-3 56.4 1545.10 1461.99 55.93% 21.69% 22.38%+0.69 -26.84 29
2017-08-27 @ Washington Spirit W 2-1 54.2 1518.26 1451.98 40.11% 24.55% 35.35%+0.09 +13.24 32
2017-09-04 North Carolina Courage W 2-1 62.3 1531.50 1613.35 33.26% 24.41% 42.33%-0.17 +15.20 35
2017-09-09 @ FC Kansas City T 0-0 60.9 1546.70 1494.97 38.02% 24.59% 37.39%+0.01 -0.04 36
2017-09-24 @ Houston Dash W 3-2 57.2 1546.66 1429.77 47.24% 23.80% 28.97%+0.35 +11.25 39
2017-09-30 @ Portland Thorns L 1-3 52.8 1557.91 1610.75 25.21% 22.80% 51.99%-0.53 -14.04 39
2017-04-17 Boston Breakers W 2-0 37.9 1511.58 1420.70 56.92% 21.37% 21.71%+0.73 +12.13 3
2017-04-22 @ Chicago Red Stars L 0-1 50.7 1523.71 1501.85 33.87% 24.46% 41.67%-0.14 -12.80 3
2017-05-01 @ Sky Blue FC L 0-1 49.8 1510.91 1472.48 36.13% 24.57% 39.30%-0.06 -13.47 3
2017-05-08 Orlando Pride T 1-1 61.3 1497.44 1417.09 55.58% 21.80% 22.62%+0.68 -2.48 4
2017-05-13 Portland Thorns T 0-0 60.9 1494.96 1546.38 37.43% 24.60% 37.97%-0.01 +0.03 5
2017-05-21 @ Washington Spirit W 1-0 52.1 1494.99 1488.47 31.89% 24.27% 43.84%-0.22 +15.63 8
2017-05-28 Washington Spirit W 3-2 56.6 1510.62 1472.85 49.97% 23.28% 26.76%+0.46 +10.48 11
2017-06-03 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-2 45.5 1521.10 1532.70 29.68% 23.94% 46.38%-0.32 -16.24 11
2017-06-18 Seattle Reign T 2-2 71.1 1504.86 1553.80 37.79% 24.60% 37.61%+0.00 -0.01 12
2017-06-25 @ Seattle Reign T 1-1 66.3 1504.85 1553.81 25.60% 22.93% 51.47%-0.51 +1.92 13
2017-06-29 @ Portland Thorns L 0-3 41.9 1506.77 1534.38 27.86% 23.56% 48.59%-0.40 -18.83 13
2017-07-03 Houston Dash L 1-2 56.9 1487.94 1421.62 53.76% 22.33% 23.91%+0.60 -18.39 13
2017-07-09 @ Sky Blue FC L 2-3 56.4 1469.55 1501.70 27.36% 23.43% 49.20%-0.43 -10.69 13
2017-07-16 @ Orlando Pride L 1-4 43.5 1458.86 1455.58 31.48% 24.21% 44.30%-0.24 -20.91 13
2017-08-05 @ Boston Breakers T 2-2 63.8 1437.95 1409.44 34.76% 24.52% 40.72%-0.11 +0.42 14
2017-08-11 North Carolina Courage L 0-1 47.8 1438.37 1567.88 27.55% 23.48% 48.97%-0.42 -10.76 14
2017-08-14 @ Houston Dash W 1-0 49.8 1427.61 1456.46 27.72% 23.52% 48.75%-0.41 +17.00 17
2017-08-17 Portland Thorns W 2-1 60.4 1444.61 1582.86 26.61% 23.23% 50.15%-0.46 +17.38 20
2017-08-21 @ Chicago Red Stars W 3-1 56.4 1461.99 1545.10 22.38% 21.69% 55.93%-0.69 +26.84 23
2017-08-26 Orlando Pride L 1-2 57.1 1488.83 1527.01 39.34% 24.57% 36.09%+0.06 -14.36 23
2017-09-04 Sky Blue FC W 4-1 44.4 1474.47 1471.95 45.11% 24.12% 30.77%+0.27 +20.50 26
2017-09-09 Chicago Red Stars T 0-0 60.9 1494.97 1546.70 37.39% 24.59% 38.02%-0.01 +0.05 27
2017-09-25 @ Seattle Reign W 1-0 55.8 1495.02 1541.24 25.88% 23.02% 51.10%-0.50 +17.65 30
2017-10-02 Houston Dash T 1-1 61.7 1512.67 1400.94 59.52% 20.46% 20.02%+0.84 -3.02 31
2017-04-15 Chicago Red Stars W 2-0 45.8 1483.89 1520.81 39.52% 24.57% 35.92%+0.07 +18.96 3
2017-04-23 @ Seattle Reign L 1-5 45.5 1502.85 1537.25 27.12% 23.37% 49.51%-0.44 -21.23 3
2017-04-30 @ Washington Spirit W 1-0 54.1 1481.62 1516.69 27.05% 23.35% 49.60%-0.44 +17.24 6
2017-05-06 @ Chicago Red Stars L 0-2 43.9 1498.86 1503.57 30.51% 24.07% 45.42%-0.28 -16.63 6
2017-05-13 Sky Blue FC L 1-3 52.2 1482.23 1474.53 45.84% 24.02% 30.15%+0.30 -22.88 6
2017-05-20 @ Sky Blue FC L 1-2 50.7 1459.35 1497.42 26.73% 23.27% 50.01%-0.46 -10.48 6
2017-05-27 Seattle Reign L 0-2 43.9 1448.87 1549.40 30.90% 24.13% 44.96%-0.27 -16.80 6
2017-06-04 @ Washington Spirit L 0-2 39.0 1432.07 1462.36 27.56% 23.48% 48.95%-0.42 -15.23 6
2017-06-18 Orlando Pride L 2-4 51.5 1416.84 1454.62 39.39% 24.57% 36.04%+0.06 -20.34 6
2017-06-24 @ Orlando Pride W 2-0 46.2 1396.50 1474.96 22.79% 21.87% 55.34%-0.67 +26.61 9
2017-06-29 Boston Breakers T 0-0 53.8 1423.11 1397.14 48.36% 23.60% 28.04%+0.39 -1.49 10
2017-07-03 @ FC Kansas City W 2-1 56.9 1421.62 1487.94 23.91% 22.33% 53.76%-0.60 +18.39 13
2017-07-09 Portland Thorns T 1-1 62.9 1440.01 1536.96 31.34% 24.20% 44.46%-0.25 +0.94 14
2017-07-16 Washington Spirit W 2-1 52.5 1440.95 1477.67 39.55% 24.57% 35.89%+0.07 +13.40 17
2017-07-23 Boston Breakers W 1-0 43.0 1454.35 1420.06 49.49% 23.37% 27.13%+0.44 +10.61 20
2017-08-05 @ Portland Thorns L 1-2 51.0 1464.96 1558.03 21.53% 21.28% 57.20%-0.74 -8.50 20
2017-08-14 FC Kansas City L 0-1 49.8 1456.46 1427.61 48.75% 23.52% 27.72%+0.41 -17.00 20
2017-08-17 @ Boston Breakers W 3-1 47.3 1439.46 1411.05 34.75% 24.52% 40.74%-0.11 +20.87 23
2017-08-20 @ Portland Thorns L 0-2 40.8 1460.33 1565.47 20.54% 20.75% 58.71%-0.81 -11.45 23
2017-09-04 Seattle Reign L 0-1 48.8 1448.88 1527.30 33.72% 24.45% 41.84%-0.15 -12.75 23
2017-09-10 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-1 43.9 1436.13 1598.16 16.48% 18.03% 65.49%-1.10 -6.36 23
2017-09-24 Chicago Red Stars L 2-3 57.2 1429.77 1546.66 28.97% 23.80% 47.24%-0.35 -11.24 23
2017-09-28 North Carolina Courage L 0-4 38.9 1418.53 1602.18 22.25% 21.63% 56.12%-0.70 -17.59 23
2017-10-02 @ FC Kansas City T 1-1 61.7 1400.94 1512.67 20.02% 20.46% 59.52%-0.84 +3.02 24
2017-04-15 @ Washington Spirit W 1-0 55.4 1529.33 1533.56 30.56% 24.08% 45.35%-0.28 +16.05 3
2017-04-23 Portland Thorns W 1-0 52.3 1545.38 1548.72 44.29% 24.22% 31.49%+0.24 +12.07 6
2017-04-29 Orlando Pride W 3-1 43.7 1557.45 1427.41 61.75% 19.60% 18.65%+0.94 +10.32 9
2017-05-08 @ Boston Breakers W 1-0 49.0 1567.77 1453.55 46.87% 23.86% 29.27%+0.34 +11.35 12
2017-05-14 @ Orlando Pride L 1-3 55.4 1579.12 1419.57 52.99% 22.54% 24.46%+0.57 -25.70 12
2017-05-21 Chicago Red Stars L 1-3 57.3 1553.42 1517.75 49.68% 23.34% 26.98%+0.44 -24.40 12
2017-05-25 Sky Blue FC W 2-0 44.5 1529.02 1507.89 47.70% 23.72% 28.58%+0.37 +15.72 15
2017-05-27 @ Chicago Red Stars L 2-3 62.1 1544.74 1542.15 31.40% 24.20% 44.40%-0.25 -12.04 15
2017-06-03 FC Kansas City W 2-0 45.5 1532.70 1521.10 46.38% 23.94% 29.68%+0.32 +16.25 18
2017-06-18 Boston Breakers W 3-1 43.0 1548.95 1417.30 61.94% 19.53% 18.53%+0.95 +10.25 21
2017-06-24 @ Boston Breakers W 1-0 45.4 1559.20 1407.05 52.01% 22.80% 25.19%+0.54 +9.92 24
2017-07-01 Sky Blue FC L 0-1 57.5 1569.12 1482.61 56.37% 21.55% 22.09%+0.71 -19.10 24
2017-07-09 Seattle Reign W 2-0 49.9 1550.02 1580.95 40.38% 24.53% 35.09%+0.10 +18.62 27
2017-07-15 @ Portland Thorns L 0-1 53.9 1568.64 1536.02 35.32% 24.54% 40.13%-0.09 -13.23 27
2017-08-06 Seattle Reign W 1-0 53.7 1555.41 1568.95 42.85% 24.36% 32.79%+0.19 +12.47 30
2017-08-11 @ FC Kansas City W 1-0 47.8 1567.88 1438.37 48.97% 23.48% 27.55%+0.42 +10.76 33
2017-08-14 @ Seattle Reign W 2-1 61.8 1578.64 1556.48 33.91% 24.46% 41.63%-0.14 +15.01 36
2017-08-19 Washington Spirit W 2-0 41.0 1593.65 1462.24 61.91% 19.54% 18.55%+0.94 +10.26 39
2017-08-31 @ Washington Spirit W 3-2 57.7 1603.91 1438.74 53.73% 22.34% 23.93%+0.60 +9.44 42
2017-09-04 @ Chicago Red Stars L 1-2 62.3 1613.35 1531.50 42.33% 24.41% 33.26%+0.17 -15.19 42
2017-09-10 Houston Dash W 1-0 43.9 1598.16 1436.13 65.49% 18.03% 16.48%+1.10 +6.35 45
2017-09-25 @ Sky Blue FC T 1-1 65.8 1604.51 1434.22 54.40% 22.15% 23.45%+0.63 -2.33 46
2017-09-28 @ Houston Dash W 4-0 38.9 1602.18 1418.53 56.12% 21.63% 22.25%+0.70 +17.59 49
2017-10-01 Orlando Pride L 2-3 70.8 1619.77 1549.08 54.33% 22.17% 23.50%+0.63 -18.54 49
2017-04-15 @ Portland Thorns L 0-2 39.2 1438.34 1536.96 21.07% 21.04% 57.90%-0.77 -11.76 0
2017-04-22 Washington Spirit T 1-1 61.6 1426.58 1517.51 32.10% 24.29% 43.61%-0.22 +0.83 1
2017-04-29 @ North Carolina Courage L 1-3 43.7 1427.41 1557.45 18.65% 19.60% 61.75%-0.94 -10.32 1
2017-05-08 @ FC Kansas City T 1-1 61.3 1417.09 1497.44 22.62% 21.80% 55.58%-0.68 +2.48 2
2017-05-14 North Carolina Courage W 3-1 55.4 1419.57 1579.12 24.46% 22.54% 52.99%-0.57 +25.70 5
2017-05-22 @ Seattle Reign T 1-1 64.7 1445.27 1552.34 20.38% 20.67% 58.95%-0.82 +2.94 6
2017-05-28 @ Sky Blue FC L 1-2 49.9 1448.21 1492.17 26.11% 23.09% 50.80%-0.49 -10.25 6
2017-06-04 Boston Breakers W 2-0 39.4 1437.96 1433.97 45.32% 24.09% 30.59%+0.28 +16.66 9
2017-06-18 @ Houston Dash W 4-2 51.5 1454.62 1416.84 36.04% 24.57% 39.39%-0.06 +20.34 12
2017-06-24 Houston Dash L 0-2 46.2 1474.96 1396.50 55.34% 21.87% 22.79%+0.67 -26.61 12
2017-06-29 @ Sky Blue FC W 3-2 62.7 1448.35 1500.47 25.28% 22.83% 51.89%-0.53 +17.87 15
2017-07-01 Chicago Red Stars L 0-1 50.0 1466.22 1561.06 31.61% 24.23% 44.16%-0.24 -12.11 15
2017-07-08 @ Washington Spirit T 2-2 66.8 1454.11 1479.14 28.15% 23.62% 48.23%-0.39 +1.47 16
2017-07-16 FC Kansas City W 4-1 43.5 1455.58 1458.86 44.30% 24.21% 31.48%+0.24 +20.90 19
2017-07-22 @ Chicago Red Stars L 1-2 51.9 1476.48 1570.87 21.42% 21.22% 57.36%-0.75 -8.45 19
2017-08-06 Chicago Red Stars T 1-1 65.6 1468.03 1579.32 29.61% 23.92% 46.46%-0.32 +1.22 20
2017-08-09 Washington Spirit W 3-0 40.6 1469.25 1486.11 42.38% 24.40% 33.21%+0.17 +21.83 23
2017-08-13 Sky Blue FC W 5-0 40.4 1491.08 1471.80 47.44% 23.76% 28.79%+0.36 +25.02 26
2017-08-19 @ Boston Breakers W 2-1 49.4 1516.10 1390.19 48.48% 23.58% 27.95%+0.40 +10.91 29
2017-08-26 @ FC Kansas City W 2-1 57.1 1527.01 1488.83 36.09% 24.57% 39.34%-0.06 +14.36 32
2017-09-03 Boston Breakers W 4-2 43.6 1541.37 1370.47 66.50% 17.58% 15.92%+1.15 +8.63 35
2017-09-08 Seattle Reign T 1-1 67.0 1550.00 1540.06 46.15% 23.97% 29.88%+0.31 -1.18 36
2017-09-23 Portland Thorns T 0-0 64.7 1548.82 1611.01 35.92% 24.57% 39.52%-0.07 +0.26 37
2017-10-01 @ North Carolina Courage W 3-2 70.8 1549.08 1619.77 23.50% 22.17% 54.33%-0.63 +18.54 40
2017-04-15 Orlando Pride W 2-0 39.2 1536.96 1438.34 57.90% 21.04% 21.07%+0.77 +11.76 3
2017-04-23 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-1 52.3 1548.72 1545.38 31.49% 24.22% 44.29%-0.24 -12.07 3
2017-04-29 Chicago Red Stars W 1-0 49.8 1536.65 1514.66 47.81% 23.70% 28.49%+0.37 +11.09 6
2017-05-07 Seattle Reign T 2-2 72.0 1547.74 1528.59 47.42% 23.77% 28.81%+0.36 -1.36 7
2017-05-13 @ FC Kansas City T 0-0 60.9 1546.38 1494.96 37.97% 24.60% 37.43%+0.01 -0.04 8
2017-05-20 @ Boston Breakers T 2-2 68.8 1546.34 1444.64 45.12% 24.11% 30.76%+0.27 -1.04 9
2017-05-28 Boston Breakers W 2-0 39.7 1545.30 1445.68 58.02% 20.99% 20.98%+0.78 +11.71 12
2017-06-04 @ Sky Blue FC W 2-0 48.1 1557.01 1502.42 38.43% 24.59% 36.98%+0.03 +19.39 15
2017-06-18 Sky Blue FC L 1-3 58.6 1576.40 1483.04 57.24% 21.26% 21.50%+0.75 -27.34 15
2017-06-25 @ Washington Spirit L 0-1 52.8 1549.06 1480.23 40.47% 24.53% 35.00%+0.10 -14.68 15
2017-06-29 FC Kansas City W 3-0 41.9 1534.38 1506.77 48.59% 23.56% 27.86%+0.40 +18.83 18
2017-07-02 @ Seattle Reign L 0-2 47.7 1553.21 1564.70 29.70% 23.94% 46.36%-0.32 -16.25 18
2017-07-09 @ Houston Dash T 1-1 62.9 1536.96 1440.01 44.46% 24.20% 31.34%+0.25 -0.94 19
2017-07-15 North Carolina Courage W 1-0 53.9 1536.02 1568.64 40.13% 24.54% 35.32%+0.09 +13.23 22
2017-07-23 Washington Spirit W 2-1 51.0 1549.25 1464.27 56.17% 21.61% 22.22%+0.70 +8.78 25
2017-08-05 Houston Dash W 2-1 51.0 1558.03 1464.96 57.20% 21.28% 21.53%+0.74 +8.50 28
2017-08-13 @ Chicago Red Stars W 3-2 68.3 1566.53 1578.10 29.69% 23.94% 46.38%-0.32 +16.33 31
2017-08-17 @ FC Kansas City L 1-2 60.4 1582.86 1444.61 50.15% 23.23% 26.61%+0.46 -17.39 31
2017-08-20 Houston Dash W 2-0 40.8 1565.47 1460.33 58.71% 20.75% 20.54%+0.81 +11.45 34
2017-08-26 @ Seattle Reign W 2-1 60.8 1576.92 1541.79 35.67% 24.56% 39.77%-0.08 +14.49 37
2017-09-02 Washington Spirit W 4-0 36.0 1591.41 1429.29 65.50% 18.02% 16.47%+1.10 +12.70 40
2017-09-11 @ Boston Breakers W 1-0 42.0 1604.11 1361.84 63.31% 18.97% 17.72%+1.01 +6.90 43
2017-09-23 @ Orlando Pride T 0-0 64.7 1611.01 1548.82 39.52% 24.57% 35.92%+0.07 -0.26 44
2017-09-30 Chicago Red Stars W 3-1 52.8 1610.75 1557.91 51.99% 22.80% 25.21%+0.53 +14.04 47
2017-04-16 Sky Blue FC T 1-1 65.1 1539.26 1485.56 52.10% 22.78% 25.12%+0.54 -2.01 1
2017-04-23 Houston Dash W 5-1 45.5 1537.25 1502.85 49.51% 23.37% 27.12%+0.44 +21.23 4
2017-04-30 @ Boston Breakers L 0-3 46.2 1558.48 1423.66 49.69% 23.33% 26.98%+0.44 -29.89 4
2017-05-07 @ Portland Thorns T 2-2 72.0 1528.59 1547.74 28.81% 23.77% 47.42%-0.36 +1.36 5
2017-05-13 Washington Spirit W 6-2 48.1 1529.95 1510.87 47.41% 23.77% 28.82%+0.36 +22.39 8
2017-05-22 Orlando Pride T 1-1 64.7 1552.34 1445.27 58.95% 20.67% 20.38%+0.82 -2.94 9
2017-05-27 @ Houston Dash W 2-0 43.9 1549.40 1448.87 44.96% 24.13% 30.90%+0.27 +16.81 12
2017-06-04 @ Chicago Red Stars L 0-1 53.6 1566.21 1554.19 32.59% 24.34% 43.07%-0.20 -12.41 12
2017-06-18 @ FC Kansas City T 2-2 71.1 1553.80 1504.86 37.61% 24.60% 37.79%+0.00 +0.01 13
2017-06-25 FC Kansas City T 1-1 66.3 1553.81 1504.85 51.47% 22.93% 25.60%+0.51 -1.92 14
2017-06-29 Chicago Red Stars W 2-1 59.2 1551.89 1573.87 41.65% 24.46% 33.89%+0.14 +12.81 17
2017-07-02 Portland Thorns W 2-0 47.7 1564.70 1553.21 46.36% 23.94% 29.70%+0.32 +16.25 20
2017-07-09 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-2 49.9 1580.95 1550.02 35.09% 24.53% 40.38%-0.10 -18.62 20
2017-07-16 Boston Breakers T 1-1 64.5 1562.33 1416.51 63.62% 18.84% 17.54%+1.02 -3.55 21
2017-07-23 Sky Blue FC W 5-4 63.6 1558.78 1512.58 51.10% 23.02% 25.88%+0.50 +10.17 24
2017-08-06 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-1 53.7 1568.95 1555.41 32.79% 24.36% 42.85%-0.19 -12.47 24
2017-08-14 North Carolina Courage L 1-2 61.8 1556.48 1578.64 41.63% 24.46% 33.91%+0.14 -15.00 24
2017-08-17 @ Chicago Red Stars W 2-1 62.4 1541.48 1561.77 28.68% 23.74% 47.58%-0.36 +16.67 27
2017-08-20 @ Sky Blue FC L 4-5 67.6 1558.15 1446.78 46.47% 23.92% 29.61%+0.32 -16.36 27
2017-08-26 Portland Thorns L 1-2 60.8 1541.79 1576.92 39.77% 24.56% 35.67%+0.08 -14.49 27
2017-09-04 @ Houston Dash W 1-0 48.8 1527.30 1448.88 41.84% 24.45% 33.72%+0.15 +12.76 30
2017-09-08 @ Orlando Pride T 1-1 67.0 1540.06 1550.00 29.88% 23.97% 46.15%-0.31 +1.18 31
2017-09-25 FC Kansas City L 0-1 55.8 1541.24 1495.02 51.10% 23.02% 25.88%+0.50 -17.65 31
2017-10-01 @ Washington Spirit W 3-2 55.1 1523.59 1401.21 47.99% 23.67% 28.34%+0.38 +11.03 34
2017-04-16 @ Seattle Reign T 1-1 65.1 1485.56 1539.26 25.12% 22.78% 52.10%-0.54 +2.01 1
2017-04-23 @ Boston Breakers L 0-1 48.4 1487.57 1408.57 41.92% 24.44% 33.64%+0.15 -15.09 1
2017-05-01 FC Kansas City W 1-0 49.8 1472.48 1510.91 39.30% 24.57% 36.13%+0.06 +13.47 4
2017-05-07 @ Washington Spirit L 3-4 60.5 1485.95 1499.46 29.46% 23.89% 46.64%-0.33 -11.42 4
2017-05-13 @ Houston Dash W 3-1 52.2 1474.53 1482.23 30.15% 24.02% 45.84%-0.30 +22.89 7
2017-05-20 Houston Dash W 2-1 50.7 1497.42 1459.35 50.01% 23.27% 26.73%+0.46 +10.47 10
2017-05-25 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-2 44.5 1507.89 1529.02 28.58% 23.72% 47.70%-0.37 -15.72 10
2017-05-28 Orlando Pride W 2-1 49.9 1492.17 1448.21 50.80% 23.09% 26.11%+0.49 +10.25 13
2017-06-04 Portland Thorns L 0-2 48.1 1502.42 1557.01 36.98% 24.59% 38.43%-0.03 -19.38 13
2017-06-18 @ Portland Thorns W 3-1 58.6 1483.04 1576.40 21.50% 21.26% 57.24%-0.75 +27.33 16
2017-06-26 @ Chicago Red Stars L 1-2 54.4 1510.37 1563.97 25.14% 22.78% 52.09%-0.54 -9.90 16
2017-06-29 Orlando Pride L 2-3 62.7 1500.47 1448.35 51.89% 22.83% 25.28%+0.53 -17.86 16
2017-07-01 @ North Carolina Courage W 1-0 57.5 1482.61 1569.12 22.09% 21.55% 56.37%-0.71 +19.09 19
2017-07-09 FC Kansas City W 3-2 56.4 1501.70 1469.55 49.20% 23.43% 27.36%+0.43 +10.70 22
2017-07-16 Chicago Red Stars T 2-2 72.0 1512.40 1571.05 36.41% 24.58% 39.01%-0.05 +0.18 23
2017-07-23 @ Seattle Reign L 4-5 63.6 1512.58 1558.78 25.88% 23.02% 51.10%-0.50 -10.17 23
2017-08-05 Washington Spirit L 1-4 50.6 1502.41 1455.49 51.20% 23.00% 25.81%+0.50 -30.61 23
2017-08-13 @ Orlando Pride L 0-5 40.4 1471.80 1491.08 28.79% 23.76% 47.44%-0.36 -25.02 23
2017-08-20 Seattle Reign W 5-4 67.6 1446.78 1558.15 29.61% 23.92% 46.47%-0.32 +16.35 26
2017-08-27 Boston Breakers W 1-0 40.1 1463.13 1379.29 56.03% 21.66% 22.32%+0.70 +8.82 29
2017-09-04 @ FC Kansas City L 1-4 44.4 1471.95 1474.47 30.77% 24.12% 45.11%-0.27 -20.51 29
2017-09-11 Washington Spirit L 1-2 54.6 1451.44 1416.60 49.57% 23.36% 27.07%+0.44 -17.22 29
2017-09-25 North Carolina Courage T 1-1 65.8 1434.22 1604.51 23.45% 22.15% 54.40%-0.63 +2.32 30
2017-10-01 @ Boston Breakers W 4-3 58.0 1436.54 1387.55 37.62% 24.60% 37.78%+0.00 +13.93 33
2017-04-15 North Carolina Courage L 0-1 55.4 1533.56 1529.33 45.35% 24.08% 30.56%+0.28 -16.05 0
2017-04-22 @ Orlando Pride T 1-1 61.6 1517.51 1426.58 43.61% 24.29% 32.10%+0.22 -0.82 1
2017-04-30 Houston Dash L 0-1 54.1 1516.69 1481.62 49.60% 23.35% 27.05%+0.44 -17.23 1
2017-05-07 Sky Blue FC W 4-3 60.5 1499.46 1485.95 46.64% 23.89% 29.46%+0.33 +11.41 4
2017-05-13 @ Seattle Reign L 2-6 48.1 1510.87 1529.95 28.82% 23.77% 47.41%-0.36 -22.40 4
2017-05-21 FC Kansas City L 0-1 52.1 1488.47 1494.99 43.84% 24.27% 31.89%+0.22 -15.62 4
2017-05-28 @ FC Kansas City L 2-3 56.6 1472.85 1510.62 26.76% 23.28% 49.97%-0.46 -10.49 4
2017-06-04 Houston Dash W 2-0 39.0 1462.36 1432.07 48.95% 23.48% 27.56%+0.42 +15.23 7
2017-06-17 @ Chicago Red Stars T 1-1 66.2 1477.59 1566.61 21.87% 21.44% 56.69%-0.72 +2.64 8
2017-06-25 Portland Thorns W 1-0 52.8 1480.23 1549.06 35.00% 24.53% 40.47%-0.10 +14.68 11
2017-07-01 @ Boston Breakers L 0-1 49.0 1494.91 1398.62 44.37% 24.21% 31.43%+0.24 -15.77 11
2017-07-08 Orlando Pride T 2-2 66.8 1479.14 1454.11 48.23% 23.62% 28.15%+0.39 -1.47 12
2017-07-16 @ Houston Dash L 1-2 52.5 1477.67 1440.95 35.89% 24.57% 39.55%-0.07 -13.40 12
2017-07-23 @ Portland Thorns L 1-2 51.0 1464.27 1549.25 22.22% 21.61% 56.17%-0.70 -8.78 12
2017-08-05 @ Sky Blue FC W 4-1 50.6 1455.49 1502.41 25.81% 23.00% 51.20%-0.50 +30.62 15
2017-08-09 @ Orlando Pride L 0-3 40.6 1486.11 1469.25 33.21% 24.40% 42.38%-0.17 -21.83 15
2017-08-12 Boston Breakers T 2-2 65.1 1464.28 1409.02 52.31% 22.72% 24.97%+0.55 -2.04 16
2017-08-19 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-2 41.0 1462.24 1593.65 18.55% 19.54% 61.91%-0.94 -10.26 16
2017-08-27 Chicago Red Stars L 1-2 54.2 1451.98 1518.26 35.35% 24.55% 40.11%-0.09 -13.24 16
2017-08-31 North Carolina Courage L 2-3 57.7 1438.74 1603.91 23.93% 22.34% 53.73%-0.60 -9.45 16
2017-09-02 @ Portland Thorns L 0-4 36.0 1429.29 1591.41 16.47% 18.02% 65.50%-1.10 -12.69 16
2017-09-11 @ Sky Blue FC W 2-1 54.6 1416.60 1451.44 27.07% 23.36% 49.57%-0.44 +17.22 19
2017-09-24 Boston Breakers L 0-3 41.5 1433.82 1354.94 55.39% 21.85% 22.75%+0.67 -32.61 19
2017-10-01 Seattle Reign L 2-3 55.1 1401.21 1523.59 28.34% 23.67% 47.99%-0.38 -11.04 19

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date Opponent Score Excitement Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %Proj. Margin Elo Δ Record
2017-10-08 @ North Carolina Courage L 0-1 47.7 1543.87 1601.23 35.08% 0.00% 64.92%-0.56 -9.76 0-1
2017-10-08 Chicago Red Stars W 1-0 47.7 1601.23 1543.87 64.92% 0.00% 35.08%+0.56 +9.76 1-0
2017-10-14 @ Portland Thorns L 0-1 51.2 1610.99 1641.71 38.65% 0.00% 61.35%-0.42 -10.76 1-1
2017-10-07 @ Portland Thorns L 1-4 46.6 1567.62 1624.79 35.11% 0.00% 64.89%-0.56 -16.92 0-1
2017-10-07 Orlando Pride W 4-1 46.6 1624.79 1567.62 64.89% 0.00% 35.11%+0.56 +16.92 1-0
2017-10-14 North Carolina Courage W 1-0 51.2 1641.71 1610.99 61.35% 0.00% 38.65%+0.42 +10.75 2-0

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2017-06-18 21.50% Sky Blue FC 1483.04 3 @ Portland Thorns 1576.40 1
2 2017-07-01 22.09% Sky Blue FC 1482.61 1 @ North Carolina Courage 1569.12 0
3 2017-08-21 22.38% FC Kansas City 1461.99 3 @ Chicago Red Stars 1545.10 1
4 2017-09-24 22.75% Boston Breakers 1354.94 3 @ Washington Spirit 1433.82 0
5 2017-06-24 22.79% Houston Dash 1396.50 2 @ Orlando Pride 1474.96 0
6 2017-10-01 23.50% Orlando Pride 1549.08 3 @ North Carolina Courage 1619.77 2
7 2017-07-03 23.91% Houston Dash 1421.62 2 @ FC Kansas City 1487.94 1
8 2017-05-14 24.46% @ Orlando Pride 1419.57 3 North Carolina Courage 1579.12 1
9 2017-06-29 25.28% Orlando Pride 1448.35 3 @ Sky Blue FC 1500.47 2
10 2017-08-05 25.81% Washington Spirit 1455.49 4 @ Sky Blue FC 1502.41 1
11 2017-09-25 25.88% FC Kansas City 1495.02 1 @ Seattle Reign 1541.24 0
12 2017-08-17 26.61% @ FC Kansas City 1444.61 2 Portland Thorns 1582.86 1
13 2017-04-30 26.98% @ Boston Breakers 1423.66 3 Seattle Reign 1558.48 0
14 2017-05-21 26.98% Chicago Red Stars 1517.75 3 @ North Carolina Courage 1553.42 1
15 2017-04-30 27.05% Houston Dash 1481.62 1 @ Washington Spirit 1516.69 0
16 2017-09-11 27.07% Washington Spirit 1416.60 2 @ Sky Blue FC 1451.44 1
17 2017-08-14 27.72% FC Kansas City 1427.61 1 @ Houston Dash 1456.46 0
18 2017-08-17 28.68% Seattle Reign 1541.48 2 @ Chicago Red Stars 1561.77 1
19 2017-08-20 29.61% @ Sky Blue FC 1446.78 5 Seattle Reign 1558.15 4
20 2017-08-13 29.69% Portland Thorns 1566.53 3 @ Chicago Red Stars 1578.10 2
21 2017-05-13 30.15% Sky Blue FC 1474.53 3 @ Houston Dash 1482.23 1
22 2017-04-15 30.56% North Carolina Courage 1529.33 1 @ Washington Spirit 1533.56 0
23 2017-07-01 31.43% @ Boston Breakers 1398.62 1 Washington Spirit 1494.91 0
24 2017-05-21 31.89% FC Kansas City 1494.99 1 @ Washington Spirit 1488.47 0
25 2017-09-04 33.26% @ Chicago Red Stars 1531.50 2 North Carolina Courage 1613.35 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-09-24 32.61 Boston Breakers 3 1354.94 22.75% @ Washington Spirit 0 1433.82 55.39% 21.85%
2 2017-08-05 30.62 Washington Spirit 4 1455.49 25.81% @ Sky Blue FC 1 1502.41 51.20% 23.00%
3 2017-04-30 29.89 @ Boston Breakers 3 1423.66 26.98% Seattle Reign 0 1558.48 49.69% 23.33%
4 2017-06-18 27.34 Sky Blue FC 3 1483.04 21.50% @ Portland Thorns 1 1576.40 57.24% 21.26%
5 2017-08-21 26.84 FC Kansas City 3 1461.99 22.38% @ Chicago Red Stars 1 1545.10 55.93% 21.69%
6 2017-06-24 26.61 Houston Dash 2 1396.50 22.79% @ Orlando Pride 0 1474.96 55.34% 21.87%
7 2017-05-14 25.70 @ Orlando Pride 3 1419.57 24.46% North Carolina Courage 1 1579.12 52.99% 22.54%
8 2017-08-13 25.02 @ Orlando Pride 5 1491.08 47.44% Sky Blue FC 0 1471.80 28.79% 23.76%
9 2017-05-21 24.40 Chicago Red Stars 3 1517.75 26.98% @ North Carolina Courage 1 1553.42 49.68% 23.34%
10 2017-05-13 22.89 Sky Blue FC 3 1474.53 30.15% @ Houston Dash 1 1482.23 45.84% 24.02%
11 2017-05-13 22.40 @ Seattle Reign 6 1529.95 47.41% Washington Spirit 2 1510.87 28.82% 23.77%
12 2017-08-09 21.83 @ Orlando Pride 3 1469.25 42.38% Washington Spirit 0 1486.11 33.21% 24.40%
13 2017-04-23 21.23 @ Seattle Reign 5 1537.25 49.51% Houston Dash 1 1502.85 27.12% 23.37%
14 2017-07-16 20.91 @ Orlando Pride 4 1455.58 44.30% FC Kansas City 1 1458.86 31.48% 24.21%
15 2017-08-17 20.87 Houston Dash 3 1439.46 34.75% @ Boston Breakers 1 1411.05 40.74% 24.52%
16 2017-09-04 20.51 @ FC Kansas City 4 1474.47 45.11% Sky Blue FC 1 1471.95 30.77% 24.12%
17 2017-06-18 20.34 Orlando Pride 4 1454.62 36.04% @ Houston Dash 2 1416.84 39.39% 24.57%
18 2017-06-04 19.39 Portland Thorns 2 1557.01 38.43% @ Sky Blue FC 0 1502.42 36.98% 24.59%
19 2017-07-01 19.10 Sky Blue FC 1 1482.61 22.09% @ North Carolina Courage 0 1569.12 56.37% 21.55%
20 2017-04-15 18.96 @ Houston Dash 2 1483.89 39.52% Chicago Red Stars 0 1520.81 35.92% 24.57%
21 2017-06-29 18.83 @ Portland Thorns 3 1534.38 48.59% FC Kansas City 0 1506.77 27.86% 23.56%
22 2017-07-09 18.62 @ North Carolina Courage 2 1550.02 40.38% Seattle Reign 0 1580.95 35.09% 24.53%
23 2017-10-01 18.54 Orlando Pride 3 1549.08 23.50% @ North Carolina Courage 2 1619.77 54.33% 22.17%
24 2017-07-03 18.39 Houston Dash 2 1421.62 23.91% @ FC Kansas City 1 1487.94 53.76% 22.33%
25 2017-06-29 17.87 Orlando Pride 3 1448.35 25.28% @ Sky Blue FC 2 1500.47 51.89% 22.83%

Most & Least Exciting Games

The season's games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-05-07 72.0 @ Portland Thorns 2 1547.74 47.42% Seattle Reign 2 1528.59 28.81% 23.77%
2 2017-07-16 72.0 @ Sky Blue FC 2 1512.40 36.41% Chicago Red Stars 2 1571.05 39.01% 24.58%
3 2017-06-18 71.1 @ FC Kansas City 2 1504.86 37.79% Seattle Reign 2 1553.80 37.61% 24.60%
4 2017-10-01 70.8 Orlando Pride 3 1549.08 23.50% @ North Carolina Courage 2 1619.77 54.33% 22.17%
5 2017-05-20 68.8 @ Boston Breakers 2 1444.64 30.76% Portland Thorns 2 1546.34 45.12% 24.11%
6 2017-08-13 68.3 Portland Thorns 3 1566.53 29.69% @ Chicago Red Stars 2 1578.10 46.38% 23.94%
7 2017-08-20 67.6 @ Sky Blue FC 5 1446.78 29.61% Seattle Reign 4 1558.15 46.47% 23.92%
8 2017-09-08 67.0 @ Orlando Pride 1 1550.00 46.15% Seattle Reign 1 1540.06 29.88% 23.97%
9 2017-07-08 66.8 @ Washington Spirit 2 1479.14 48.23% Orlando Pride 2 1454.11 28.15% 23.62%
10 2017-06-25 66.3 @ Seattle Reign 1 1553.81 51.47% FC Kansas City 1 1504.85 25.60% 22.93%
11 2017-06-17 66.2 @ Chicago Red Stars 1 1566.61 56.69% Washington Spirit 1 1477.59 21.87% 21.44%
12 2017-09-25 65.8 @ Sky Blue FC 1 1434.22 23.45% North Carolina Courage 1 1604.51 54.40% 22.15%
13 2017-08-06 65.6 @ Orlando Pride 1 1468.03 29.61% Chicago Red Stars 1 1579.32 46.46% 23.92%
14 2017-04-16 65.1 @ Seattle Reign 1 1539.26 52.10% Sky Blue FC 1 1485.56 25.12% 22.78%
15 2017-08-12 65.1 @ Washington Spirit 2 1464.28 52.31% Boston Breakers 2 1409.02 24.97% 22.72%
16 2017-05-22 64.7 @ Seattle Reign 1 1552.34 58.95% Orlando Pride 1 1445.27 20.38% 20.67%
17 2017-09-23 64.7 @ Orlando Pride 0 1548.82 35.92% Portland Thorns 0 1611.01 39.52% 24.57%
18 2017-07-16 64.5 @ Seattle Reign 1 1562.33 63.62% Boston Breakers 1 1416.51 17.54% 18.84%
19 2017-08-05 63.8 @ Boston Breakers 2 1409.44 40.72% FC Kansas City 2 1437.95 34.76% 24.52%
20 2017-07-23 63.6 @ Seattle Reign 5 1558.78 51.10% Sky Blue FC 4 1512.58 25.88% 23.02%
21 2017-05-15 63.0 @ Chicago Red Stars 1 1520.20 55.28% Boston Breakers 1 1442.20 22.83% 21.89%
22 2017-07-09 62.9 @ Houston Dash 1 1440.01 31.34% Portland Thorns 1 1536.96 44.46% 24.20%
23 2017-06-29 62.7 Orlando Pride 3 1448.35 25.28% @ Sky Blue FC 2 1500.47 51.89% 22.83%
24 2017-08-17 62.4 Seattle Reign 2 1541.48 28.68% @ Chicago Red Stars 1 1561.77 47.58% 23.74%
25 2017-09-04 62.3 @ Chicago Red Stars 2 1531.50 33.26% North Carolina Courage 1 1613.35 42.33% 24.41%
# Date Excitement Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2017-09-02 36.0 @ Portland Thorns 4 1591.41 65.50% Washington Spirit 0 1429.29 16.47% 18.02%
2 2017-04-17 37.9 @ FC Kansas City 2 1511.58 56.92% Boston Breakers 0 1420.70 21.71% 21.37%
3 2017-09-28 38.9 North Carolina Courage 4 1602.18 56.12% @ Houston Dash 0 1418.53 22.25% 21.63%
4 2017-06-04 39.0 @ Washington Spirit 2 1462.36 48.95% Houston Dash 0 1432.07 27.56% 23.48%
5 2017-04-15 39.2 @ Portland Thorns 2 1536.96 57.90% Orlando Pride 0 1438.34 21.07% 21.04%
6 2017-06-04 39.4 @ Orlando Pride 2 1437.96 45.32% Boston Breakers 0 1433.97 30.59% 24.09%
7 2017-05-28 39.7 @ Portland Thorns 2 1545.30 58.02% Boston Breakers 0 1445.68 20.98% 20.99%
8 2017-08-27 40.1 @ Sky Blue FC 1 1463.13 56.03% Boston Breakers 0 1379.29 22.32% 21.66%
9 2017-08-13 40.4 @ Orlando Pride 5 1491.08 47.44% Sky Blue FC 0 1471.80 28.79% 23.76%
10 2017-08-09 40.6 @ Orlando Pride 3 1469.25 42.38% Washington Spirit 0 1486.11 33.21% 24.40%
11 2017-08-20 40.8 @ Portland Thorns 2 1565.47 58.71% Houston Dash 0 1460.33 20.54% 20.75%
12 2017-08-19 41.0 @ North Carolina Courage 2 1593.65 61.91% Washington Spirit 0 1462.24 18.55% 19.54%
13 2017-09-24 41.5 Boston Breakers 3 1354.94 22.75% @ Washington Spirit 0 1433.82 55.39% 21.85%
14 2017-06-29 41.9 @ Portland Thorns 3 1534.38 48.59% FC Kansas City 0 1506.77 27.86% 23.56%
15 2017-09-11 42.0 Portland Thorns 1 1604.11 63.31% @ Boston Breakers 0 1361.84 17.72% 18.97%
16 2017-06-18 43.0 @ North Carolina Courage 3 1548.95 61.94% Boston Breakers 1 1417.30 18.53% 19.53%
17 2017-07-23 43.0 @ Houston Dash 1 1454.35 49.49% Boston Breakers 0 1420.06 27.13% 23.37%
18 2017-07-16 43.5 @ Orlando Pride 4 1455.58 44.30% FC Kansas City 1 1458.86 31.48% 24.21%
19 2017-09-03 43.6 @ Orlando Pride 4 1541.37 66.50% Boston Breakers 2 1370.47 15.92% 17.58%
20 2017-04-29 43.7 @ North Carolina Courage 3 1557.45 61.75% Orlando Pride 1 1427.41 18.65% 19.60%
21 2017-05-06 43.9 @ Chicago Red Stars 2 1503.57 45.42% Houston Dash 0 1498.86 30.51% 24.07%
22 2017-05-27 43.9 Seattle Reign 2 1549.40 44.96% @ Houston Dash 0 1448.87 30.90% 24.13%
23 2017-09-10 43.9 @ North Carolina Courage 1 1598.16 65.49% Houston Dash 0 1436.13 16.48% 18.03%
24 2017-09-04 44.4 @ FC Kansas City 4 1474.47 45.11% Sky Blue FC 1 1471.95 30.77% 24.12%
25 2017-05-25 44.5 @ North Carolina Courage 2 1529.02 47.70% Sky Blue FC 0 1507.89 28.58% 23.72%