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2026 First Division Season

79 games played · 16 teams · 100,000 simulations

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Top Promotion Contender

Kongsvinger

85% promotion probability

Biggest Overachiever

Odds

6.26 points above expected

22 points · 15.74 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Bryne

6.96 points below expected

10 points · 16.96 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Stromsgodset 10 7 2 1 23 26 11 +15 19.7 +3.31
2 Kongsvinger 10 7 2 1 23 23 11 +12 17.2 +5.83
3 Haugesund 10 7 1 2 22 30 17 +13 19.2 +2.79
4 Odds 10 7 1 2 22 23 12 +11 15.7 +6.26
5 Stabaek 10 5 2 3 17 22 13 +9 14.7 +2.35
6 Ranheim 9 5 1 3 16 26 18 +8 12.8 +3.21
7 Moss 10 5 1 4 16 17 20 -3 10.6 +5.45
8 Hodd 10 4 2 4 14 13 13 0 12.9 +1.06
9 Egersunds 10 4 1 5 13 13 16 -3 16.4 -3.44
10 Sogndal 10 3 3 4 12 17 22 -5 11.9 +0.06
11 Bryne 10 3 1 6 10 14 20 -6 17.0 -6.96
12 Sandnes Ulf 10 3 1 6 10 12 18 -6 9.4 +0.64
13 Lyn Oslo 10 3 1 6 10 8 18 -10 13.5 -3.52
14 Asane 10 2 1 7 7 13 22 -9 10.7 -3.73
15 Raufoss 10 2 1 7 7 12 21 -9 10.1 -3.12
16 Strommen 9 1 1 7 4 12 29 -17 8.7 -4.68

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Expected Add is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Expected Add Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Lillestrom 1688 — 44.31 — 29 35 40 44 48 53 63
Kongsvinger 1647 23 59.27 -36.27 36 50 55 59 63 69 75
Odds 1599 22 55.34 -33.34 38 46 51 55 59 64 72
Stabaek 1598 17 51.98 -34.98 36 43 48 52 56 61 68
Ranheim 1570 16 50.14 -34.14 30 40 46 50 54 60 70
Aalesund 1558 — 27.48 — 15 20 24 27 31 35 44
Start 1531 — 22.47 — 9 14 19 22 25 31 38
Egersunds 1485 13 37.93 -24.93 22 29 34 38 42 47 56
Moss 1479 16 42.59 -26.59 26 34 39 42 46 53 61
Hodd 1478 14 37.55 -23.55 23 29 34 37 41 47 62
Sogndal 1474 12 36.51 -24.51 21 27 33 36 40 47 52
Lyn Oslo 1430 10 31.71 -21.71 15 23 28 31 35 41 49
Asane 1422 7 26.92 -19.92 13 18 23 27 31 36 43
Raufoss 1421 7 28.85 -21.85 13 20 25 29 32 38 47
Sandnes Ulf 1413 10 31.43 -21.43 16 23 28 31 35 40 48
Strommen 1319 4 19.48 -15.48 5 11 16 19 23 28 38

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL ASA EGE HOD KON LIL LO MOS ODD RAN RAU SU SOG STA STA STR
Aalesund —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Asane
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.92
0-0-1
0.56
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.65
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.29
1-0-0
1.32
0-0-1
1.15
0-0-1
1.03
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.66
Egersunds
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-1
1.55
0-0-1
1.15
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
2.05
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.77
1-0-0
1.75
1-0-0
2.22
0-0-1
1.87
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.52
Hodd
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.87
1-0-0
1.23
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.12
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.85
0-1-0
1.24
1-0-0
1.85
0-1-0
1.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.32
Kongsvinger
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.26
1-0-0
1.63
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.79
1-0-0
2.02
1-0-0
1.93
0-1-0
1.40
1-0-0
1.64
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.90
Lillestrom
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Lyn Oslo
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.74
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.99
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-1
1.27
0-0-1
0.73
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.31
0-0-1
2.20
1-0-0
1.42
0-0-1
1.47
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.00
Moss
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.14
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.67
0-0-1
0.78
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.51
 —
1-0-0
0.70
0-0-1
1.06
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.02
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Odds
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.02
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.87
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
2.07
0-0-1
2.10
 —
1-0-0
1.60
1-0-0
2.10
1-0-0
1.70
1-0-0
1.57
0-1-0
1.72
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Ranheim
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.04
1-0-0
1.95
0-1-0
1.38
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.73
0-0-1
1.18
 —
1-0-0
1.91
1-0-0
2.01
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Raufoss
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.49
0-0-1
0.60
0-1-0
1.54
0-0-1
1.14
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.47
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.70
0-0-1
0.88
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.55
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sandnes Ulf
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.47
1-0-0
0.92
0-0-1
0.94
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.61
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.09
0-0-1
0.79
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
1.28
0-0-1
0.92
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Sogndal
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.63
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.23
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.36
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.21
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.50
 —
0-1-0
1.24
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.70
Stabaek
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.75
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.29
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.31
0-0-1
1.76
0-1-0
1.06
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
2.27
1-0-0
1.87
0-1-0
1.54
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
Start
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —
0-0-0
0.00
Strommen
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.12
0-0-1
1.26
0-0-1
1.46
0-1-0
0.89
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.08
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
 —

Goal Differential vs Points

Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
01.27%6.33%4.43%6.96%2.53%1.27%22.78%
16.33%6.33%5.70%3.80%—1.90%24.05%
24.43%5.70%5.06%5.06%3.16%—23.42%
36.96%3.80%5.06%1.27%0.63%—17.72%
42.53%—3.16%0.63%—1.27%7.59%
5+1.27%1.90%——1.27%—4.43%
Total22.78%24.05%23.42%17.72%7.59%4.43%100%

Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.78
Mean allowed1.78
StdDev scored1.45
StdDev allowed1.45
Mean total goals/game3.56
Correlation (home vs away score)-0.153
Sample size (games)79
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%—40.00%
1—10.00%—10.00%——20.00%
210.00%——10.00%——20.00%
310.00%—————10.00%
4—————10.00%10.00%
5+———————
Total20.00%20.00%10.00%30.00%10.00%10.00%100%

Asane — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.30
Mean allowed2.20
StdDev scored1.42
StdDev allowed1.69
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.065
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%—20.00%——40.00%
110.00%—10.00%———20.00%
2———10.00%——10.00%
3——10.00%10.00%——20.00%
4——10.00%———10.00%
5+———————
Total10.00%20.00%30.00%40.00%——100%

Bryne — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.40
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.51
StdDev allowed1.05
Mean total goals/game3.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.210
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%10.00%———10.00%30.00%
110.00%—10.00%10.00%——30.00%
2—10.00%——10.00%—20.00%
320.00%—————20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%20.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%100%

Egersunds — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.30
Mean allowed1.60
StdDev scored1.16
StdDev allowed1.84
Mean total goals/game2.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.302
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
1—10.00%———10.00%20.00%
220.00%——10.00%——30.00%
3—10.00%————10.00%
4——20.00%10.00%——30.00%
5+10.00%—————10.00%
Total30.00%20.00%20.00%20.00%—10.00%100%

Haugesund — Summary Statistics

Mean scored3.00
Mean allowed1.70
StdDev scored1.83
StdDev allowed1.64
Mean total goals/game4.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.298
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%10.00%———30.00%
110.00%10.00%————20.00%
2—20.00%10.00%10.00%——40.00%
3—10.00%————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%60.00%20.00%10.00%——100%

Hodd — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.30
Mean allowed1.30
StdDev scored1.06
StdDev allowed0.82
Mean total goals/game2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.140
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——10.00%———10.00%
1—10.00%————10.00%
2—20.00%10.00%———30.00%
320.00%20.00%————40.00%
4——10.00%———10.00%
5+———————
Total20.00%50.00%30.00%———100%

Kongsvinger — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.30
Mean allowed1.10
StdDev scored1.16
StdDev allowed0.74
Mean total goals/game3.40
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.299
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%—10.00%20.00%10.00%—50.00%
120.00%—10.00%———30.00%
2————10.00%—10.00%
310.00%—————10.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total40.00%—20.00%20.00%20.00%—100%

Lyn Oslo — Summary Statistics

Mean scored0.80
Mean allowed1.80
StdDev scored1.03
StdDev allowed1.69
Mean total goals/game2.60
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.281
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0————10.00%—10.00%
110.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%——40.00%
2—10.00%—10.00%——20.00%
3——30.00%———30.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%20.00%40.00%20.00%10.00%—100%

Moss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.70
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.06
StdDev allowed1.15
Mean total goals/game3.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.182
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
120.00%—————20.00%
2—10.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%—40.00%
310.00%20.00%————30.00%
410.00%—————10.00%
5+———————
Total40.00%30.00%10.00%10.00%10.00%—100%

Odds — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.30
Mean allowed1.20
StdDev scored0.95
StdDev allowed1.40
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.134
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———11.11%——11.11%
1—11.11%—11.11%——22.22%
2———————
3——22.22%———22.22%
411.11%————11.11%22.22%
5+—22.22%————22.22%
Total11.11%33.33%22.22%22.22%—11.11%100%

Ranheim — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.89
Mean allowed2.00
StdDev scored1.83
StdDev allowed1.50
Mean total goals/game4.89
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.273
Games played9
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%—10.00%——30.00%
1—10.00%10.00%10.00%—10.00%40.00%
2—10.00%————10.00%
310.00%———10.00%—20.00%
4———————
5+———————
Total10.00%40.00%10.00%20.00%10.00%10.00%100%

Raufoss — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.20
Mean allowed2.10
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.60
Mean total goals/game3.30
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.012
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%20.00%———30.00%
1—10.00%10.00%10.00%—10.00%40.00%
220.00%—————20.00%
3———————
4——10.00%———10.00%
5+———————
Total20.00%20.00%40.00%10.00%—10.00%100%

Sandnes Ulf — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.20
Mean allowed1.80
StdDev scored1.23
StdDev allowed1.48
Mean total goals/game3.00
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.159
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——10.00%20.00%10.00%—40.00%
1———————
210.00%—20.00%———30.00%
3——10.00%10.00%——20.00%
4———————
5+—10.00%————10.00%
Total10.00%10.00%40.00%30.00%10.00%—100%

Sogndal — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.70
Mean allowed2.20
StdDev scored1.70
StdDev allowed1.14
Mean total goals/game3.90
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.540
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
110.00%—20.00%———30.00%
210.00%—20.00%10.00%——40.00%
3——10.00%———10.00%
420.00%—————20.00%
5+———————
Total40.00%—50.00%10.00%——100%

Stabaek — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.20
Mean allowed1.30
StdDev scored1.14
StdDev allowed1.16
Mean total goals/game3.50
Correlation (scored vs allowed)-0.388
Games played10
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—11.11%—22.22%—11.11%44.44%
1——11.11%———11.11%
2——11.11%11.11%11.11%—33.33%
3———————
4———————
5+————11.11%—11.11%
Total—11.11%22.22%33.33%22.22%11.11%100%

Strommen — Summary Statistics

Mean scored1.33
Mean allowed3.22
StdDev scored1.66
StdDev allowed1.72
Mean total goals/game4.56
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.059
Games played9
↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0———————
110.00%20.00%————30.00%
2—10.00%——10.00%—20.00%
330.00%—————30.00%
4———————
5+10.00%———10.00%—20.00%
Total50.00%30.00%——20.00%—100%

Stromsgodset — Summary Statistics

Mean scored2.60
Mean allowed1.10
StdDev scored1.51
StdDev allowed1.60
Mean total goals/game3.70
Correlation (scored vs allowed)0.157
Games played10

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Odds 22 15.7 +6.26
2 Kongsvinger 23 17.2 +5.83
3 Moss 16 10.6 +5.45
4 Stromsgodset 23 19.7 +3.31
5 Ranheim 16 12.8 +3.21

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Bryne 10 17.0 -6.96
2 Strommen 4 8.7 -4.68
3 Asane 7 10.7 -3.73
4 Lyn Oslo 10 13.5 -3.52
5 Egersunds 13 16.4 -3.44

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Longest Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Raufoss 2 May 16 – May 20 1 in 33
2 Odds 3 Apr 25 – May 11 1 in 22
3 Stabaek 3 Apr 26 – May 10 1 in 17
4 Kongsvinger 3 Apr 7 – Apr 18 1 in 12
5 Egersunds 3 Apr 11 – Apr 27 1 in 10

Longest Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Asane 6 Apr 6 – May 10 1 in 125
2 Lyn Oslo 3 Apr 20 – May 1 1 in 46
3 Strommen 6 May 1 – May 31 1 in 35
4 Egersunds 2 May 11 – May 15 1 in 16
5 Odds 2 May 16 – May 20 1 in 10

Longest Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sogndal 5 Apr 25 – May 20 1 in 32
2 Kongsvinger 8 Apr 7 – May 20 1 in 18
3 Odds 6 Apr 6 – May 11 1 in 15
4 Stabaek 5 Apr 12 – May 10 1 in 12
5 Asane 3 May 16 – May 25 1 in 10

Longest Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Egersunds 5 May 11 – May 31 1 in 30
2 Asane 7 Apr 6 – May 16 1 in 13
3 Lyn Oslo 3 Apr 20 – May 1 1 in 8
4 Raufoss 6 Apr 13 – May 10 1 in 8
5 Strommen 7 Apr 25 – May 31 1 in 7

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Stromsgodset————————————————
Kongsvinger55.20%26.60%11.70%4.50%1.30%0.60%———0.10%——————
Haugesund————————————————
Odds25.80%34.50%20.80%12.70%3.90%1.60%0.60%0.10%————————
Stabaek10.90%19.70%30.00%20.60%10.90%5.50%1.60%0.70%—0.10%——————
Ranheim7.20%14.30%22.10%28.00%14.70%8.60%3.10%0.80%1.00%—0.20%—————
Moss0.40%1.90%6.20%8.70%17.70%20.00%18.10%13.30%6.80%4.50%1.50%0.30%0.40%0.20%——
Hodd0.10%0.20%0.90%2.70%7.50%12.70%17.00%19.80%14.30%10.50%7.40%4.00%1.70%1.10%0.10%—
Egersunds0.10%0.50%1.40%3.10%8.00%12.90%18.60%17.50%16.40%8.00%6.70%3.50%1.70%1.30%0.30%—
Sogndal—0.30%0.50%1.90%5.70%9.40%14.30%16.70%15.20%12.90%9.80%6.10%4.20%1.80%0.70%0.50%
Bryne————————————————
Sandnes Ulf———0.30%0.80%2.30%4.60%8.00%13.20%17.30%14.40%14.70%9.90%8.40%4.50%1.60%
Lyn Oslo———0.40%0.80%3.10%5.60%7.30%11.20%14.20%19.00%14.10%11.20%7.70%4.00%1.40%
Asane————0.30%0.60%1.30%2.10%5.60%7.30%11.10%12.40%15.40%19.40%16.80%7.70%
Raufoss————0.30%0.80%1.60%4.50%6.80%11.30%12.50%16.90%17.30%13.30%10.30%4.40%
Strommen———————0.30%0.30%1.00%1.40%2.90%5.60%10.80%20.10%57.60%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability — day by day.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Direct promotion Won promotion playoff Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Kongsvinger 81.8% 2.8% 15.3% 0.1% —
Odds 60.3% 5.4% 33.6% 0.7% —
Stabaek 30.6% 10.2% 56.8% 2.4% —
Ranheim 21.5% 9.1% 64.3% 5.1% —
Lillestrom 2.3% 16.2% 56.9% 24.6% —
Moss 2.3% 1.8% 50.8% 45.1% —
Egersunds 0.6% 0.8% 24.6% 73.7% 0.3%
Hodd 0.3% 0.8% 23.0% 75.8% 0.1%
Sogndal 0.3% 0.8% 16.7% 81.0% 1.2%
Lyn Oslo — — 4.3% 90.3% 5.4%
Sandnes Ulf — — 3.4% 90.5% 6.1%
Aalesund — — 0.3% 85.9% 13.8%
Raufoss — — 1.1% 84.2% 14.7%
Asane — — 0.9% 74.6% 24.5%
Start — — 0.1% 43.7% 56.2%
Strommen — — — 22.3% 77.7%

Overall Game Log

Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2026-04-05 Stabaek W 2-1 1636 1496 63.2% 19.8% 16.9% +6.6 3
2026-04-05 @ Stromsgodset L 1-2 1496 1636 16.9% 19.8% 63.2% -6.6 0
2026-04-06 Moss L 2-3 1473 1469 47.7% 21.7% 30.6% -15.2 0
2026-04-06 @ Asane W 3-2 1469 1473 30.6% 21.7% 47.7% +15.2 3
2026-04-06 Haugesund L 2-4 1544 1604 38.8% 21.9% 39.2% -21.0 0
2026-04-06 @ Lyn Oslo W 4-2 1604 1544 39.2% 21.9% 38.8% +21.0 3
2026-04-06 Sogndal W 4-0 1487 1503 44.9% 21.8% 33.2% +45.3 3
2026-04-06 @ Odds L 0-4 1503 1487 33.2% 21.8% 44.9% -45.3 0
2026-04-07 Bryne W 3-0 1543 1668 30.1% 21.7% 48.2% +46.9 3
2026-04-07 @ Kongsvinger L 0-3 1668 1543 48.2% 21.7% 30.1% -46.9 0
2026-04-07 Sandnes Ulf W 2-1 1467 1408 54.6% 21.2% 24.2% +9.2 3
2026-04-07 @ Hodd L 1-2 1408 1467 24.2% 21.2% 54.6% -9.2 0
2026-04-11 Stromsgodset W 4-2 1624 1642 44.8% 21.9% 33.4% +18.6 6
2026-04-11 @ Haugesund L 2-4 1642 1624 33.4% 21.9% 44.8% -18.6 3
2026-04-11 Odds L 1-3 1399 1532 29.0% 21.6% 49.3% -18.5 0
2026-04-11 @ Sandnes Ulf W 3-1 1532 1399 49.3% 21.6% 29.0% +18.5 6
2026-04-11 Lyn Oslo L 0-3 1458 1523 38.1% 21.9% 39.9% -38.7 0
2026-04-11 @ Sogndal W 3-0 1523 1458 39.9% 21.9% 38.1% +38.7 3
2026-04-11 Egersunds L 0-3 1448 1537 34.8% 21.9% 43.3% -36.1 0
2026-04-11 @ Strommen W 3-0 1537 1448 43.3% 21.9% 34.8% +36.1 3
2026-04-12 Ranheim L 2-3 1621 1510 60.3% 20.4% 19.3% -18.7 0
2026-04-12 @ Bryne W 3-2 1510 1621 19.3% 20.4% 60.3% +18.7 3
2026-04-12 Hodd W 1-0 1484 1476 48.3% 21.7% 30.0% +11.7 6
2026-04-12 @ Moss L 0-1 1476 1484 30.0% 21.7% 48.3% -11.7 3
2026-04-12 Asane W 4-0 1489 1458 51.2% 21.5% 27.3% +38.5 3
2026-04-12 @ Stabaek L 0-4 1458 1489 27.3% 21.5% 51.2% -38.5 0
2026-04-13 Kongsvinger L 1-3 1471 1590 30.8% 21.7% 47.4% -19.5 0
2026-04-13 @ Raufoss W 3-1 1590 1471 47.4% 21.7% 30.8% +19.5 6
2026-04-17 Raufoss W 5-1 1529 1451 56.8% 20.9% 22.3% +26.9 6
2026-04-17 @ Ranheim L 1-5 1451 1529 22.3% 20.9% 56.8% -26.9 0
2026-04-18 Haugesund L 0-2 1464 1643 23.9% 21.1% 54.9% -18.1 3
2026-04-18 @ Hodd W 2-0 1643 1464 54.9% 21.1% 23.9% +18.1 9
2026-04-18 Moss W 2-1 1609 1496 60.6% 20.3% 19.1% +7.4 9
2026-04-18 @ Kongsvinger L 1-2 1496 1609 19.1% 20.3% 60.6% -7.4 6
2026-04-18 Sogndal W 3-0 1624 1419 69.0% 18.4% 12.6% +14.2 6
2026-04-18 @ Stromsgodset L 0-3 1419 1624 12.6% 18.4% 69.0% -14.2 0
2026-04-19 Strommen L 4-5 1419 1412 48.1% 21.7% 30.2% -14.7 0
2026-04-19 @ Asane W 5-4 1412 1419 30.2% 21.7% 48.1% +14.7 3
2026-04-19 Bryne W 1-0 1573 1602 43.1% 21.9% 35.0% +13.2 6
2026-04-19 @ Egersunds L 0-1 1602 1573 35.0% 21.9% 43.1% -13.2 0
2026-04-19 Stabaek D 2-2 1551 1528 50.1% 21.6% 28.3% -1.3 7
2026-04-19 @ Odds D 2-2 1528 1551 28.3% 21.6% 50.1% +1.3 4
2026-04-20 Sandnes Ulf L 0-2 1561 1380 67.0% 18.9% 14.0% -43.4 3
2026-04-20 @ Lyn Oslo W 2-0 1380 1561 14.0% 18.9% 67.0% +43.4 3
2026-04-25 Kongsvinger D 2-2 1427 1617 22.8% 21.0% 56.2% +2.0 4
2026-04-25 @ Strommen D 2-2 1617 1427 56.2% 21.0% 22.8% -2.0 10
2026-04-25 Asane W 2-0 1405 1405 47.2% 21.8% 31.1% +22.6 3
2026-04-25 @ Sogndal L 0-2 1405 1405 31.1% 21.8% 47.2% -22.6 0
2026-04-25 Odds L 1-2 1589 1549 52.2% 21.4% 26.4% -17.3 0
2026-04-25 @ Bryne W 2-1 1549 1589 26.4% 21.4% 52.2% +17.3 10
2026-04-26 Lyn Oslo W 2-1 1489 1518 43.2% 21.9% 34.9% +12.4 9
2026-04-26 @ Moss L 1-2 1518 1489 34.9% 21.9% 43.2% -12.4 3
2026-04-26 Hodd D 1-1 1424 1446 44.2% 21.9% 33.9% -0.8 1
2026-04-26 @ Raufoss D 1-1 1446 1424 33.9% 21.9% 44.2% +0.8 4
2026-04-26 Stromsgodset D 1-1 1423 1638 20.5% 20.6% 58.9% +3.1 4
2026-04-26 @ Sandnes Ulf D 1-1 1638 1423 58.9% 20.6% 20.5% -3.1 7
2026-04-26 Haugesund W 3-2 1529 1661 29.2% 21.6% 49.2% +15.6 7
2026-04-26 @ Stabaek L 2-3 1661 1529 49.2% 21.6% 29.2% -15.6 9
2026-04-27 Ranheim W 3-0 1586 1556 51.0% 21.5% 27.5% +29.6 9
2026-04-27 @ Egersunds L 0-3 1556 1586 27.5% 21.5% 51.0% -29.6 6
2026-05-01 Sogndal D 3-3 1572 1427 63.7% 19.7% 16.6% -2.4 1
2026-05-01 @ Bryne D 3-3 1427 1572 16.6% 19.7% 63.7% +2.4 4
2026-05-01 Sandnes Ulf W 2-0 1646 1427 70.2% 18.0% 11.8% +9.2 12
2026-05-01 @ Haugesund L 0-2 1427 1646 11.8% 18.0% 70.2% -9.1 4
2026-05-01 Asane W 1-0 1447 1382 55.3% 21.1% 23.6% +9.5 7
2026-05-01 @ Hodd L 0-1 1382 1447 23.6% 21.1% 55.3% -9.5 0
2026-05-01 Egersunds W 2-1 1615 1616 47.0% 21.8% 31.2% +11.4 13
2026-05-01 @ Kongsvinger L 1-2 1616 1615 31.2% 21.8% 47.0% -11.4 9
2026-05-01 Stabaek L 0-4 1505 1544 41.8% 21.9% 36.3% -54.4 3
2026-05-01 @ Lyn Oslo W 4-0 1544 1505 36.3% 21.9% 41.8% +54.4 10
2026-05-01 Raufoss W 1-0 1567 1423 63.5% 19.8% 16.7% +6.9 13
2026-05-01 @ Odds L 0-1 1423 1567 16.7% 19.8% 63.5% -6.9 1
2026-05-01 Strommen W 3-0 1635 1429 69.1% 18.3% 12.5% +14.1 10
2026-05-01 @ Stromsgodset L 0-3 1429 1635 12.5% 18.3% 69.1% -14.1 4
2026-05-01 Moss W 4-0 1526 1501 50.4% 21.6% 28.0% +39.4 9
2026-05-01 @ Ranheim L 0-4 1501 1526 28.0% 21.6% 50.4% -39.4 9
2026-05-06 Raufoss W 2-1 1604 1417 67.6% 18.8% 13.6% +5.3 12
2026-05-06 @ Egersunds L 1-2 1417 1604 13.6% 18.8% 67.6% -5.3 1
2026-05-08 Kongsvinger D 1-1 1566 1626 38.8% 21.9% 39.3% +0.0 10
2026-05-08 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1626 1566 39.3% 21.9% 38.8% -0.0 14
2026-05-10 Stromsgodset L 0-3 1372 1649 15.5% 19.4% 65.1% -17.5 0
2026-05-10 @ Asane W 3-0 1649 1372 65.1% 19.4% 15.5% +17.5 13
2026-05-10 Bryne L 2-3 1462 1569 32.3% 21.8% 45.9% -11.1 9
2026-05-10 @ Moss W 3-2 1569 1462 45.9% 21.8% 32.3% +11.1 4
2026-05-10 Lyn Oslo L 0-1 1411 1451 41.7% 21.9% 36.4% -15.2 1
2026-05-10 @ Raufoss W 1-0 1451 1411 36.4% 21.9% 41.7% +15.2 6
2026-05-10 Stabaek L 0-1 1417 1599 23.7% 21.1% 55.2% -9.5 4
2026-05-10 @ Sandnes Ulf W 1-0 1599 1417 55.2% 21.1% 23.7% +9.5 13
2026-05-10 Haugesund W 5-1 1430 1655 19.5% 20.4% 60.0% +62.1 7
2026-05-10 @ Sogndal L 1-5 1655 1430 60.0% 20.4% 19.5% -62.1 12
2026-05-10 Hodd L 1-2 1415 1456 41.4% 21.9% 36.7% -14.2 4
2026-05-10 @ Strommen W 2-1 1456 1415 36.7% 21.9% 41.4% +14.2 10
2026-05-11 Odds L 0-1 1609 1573 51.8% 21.4% 26.8% -18.2 12
2026-05-11 @ Egersunds W 1-0 1573 1609 26.8% 21.4% 51.8% +18.2 16
2026-05-15 Egersunds W 4-2 1408 1591 23.5% 21.1% 55.4% +28.3 7
2026-05-15 @ Sandnes Ulf L 2-4 1591 1408 55.4% 21.1% 23.5% -28.3 12
2026-05-16 Strommen W 4-2 1580 1400 66.9% 19.0% 14.1% +8.5 7
2026-05-16 @ Bryne L 2-4 1400 1580 14.1% 19.0% 66.9% -8.5 4
2026-05-16 Asane D 1-1 1593 1355 71.7% 17.5% 10.8% -5.2 13
2026-05-16 @ Haugesund D 1-1 1355 1593 10.8% 17.5% 71.7% +5.1 1
2026-05-16 Sogndal D 2-2 1471 1492 44.3% 21.9% 33.9% -0.6 11
2026-05-16 @ Hodd D 2-2 1492 1471 33.9% 21.9% 44.3% +0.6 8
2026-05-16 Kongsvinger L 0-3 1466 1626 26.0% 21.4% 52.6% -28.3 6
2026-05-16 @ Lyn Oslo W 3-0 1626 1466 52.6% 21.4% 26.0% +28.3 17
2026-05-16 Moss L 2-3 1592 1451 63.3% 19.8% 16.8% -19.6 16
2026-05-16 @ Odds W 3-2 1451 1592 16.8% 19.8% 63.3% +19.6 12
2026-05-16 Raufoss L 1-2 1608 1396 69.7% 18.2% 12.2% -22.5 13
2026-05-16 @ Stabaek W 2-1 1396 1608 12.2% 18.2% 69.7% +22.5 4
2026-05-16 Ranheim W 5-4 1666 1566 59.2% 20.6% 20.2% +7.1 16
2026-05-16 @ Stromsgodset L 4-5 1566 1666 20.2% 20.6% 59.2% -7.1 10
2026-05-20 Sandnes Ulf W 2-0 1360 1436 36.5% 21.9% 41.5% +28.6 4
2026-05-20 @ Asane L 0-2 1436 1360 41.5% 21.9% 36.5% -28.5 7
2026-05-20 Lyn Oslo D 0-0 1563 1438 61.8% 20.1% 18.1% -4.0 13
2026-05-20 @ Egersunds D 0-0 1438 1563 18.1% 20.1% 61.8% +4.0 7
2026-05-20 Odds W 4-2 1654 1572 57.2% 20.9% 21.9% +13.0 20
2026-05-20 @ Kongsvinger L 2-4 1572 1654 21.9% 20.9% 57.2% -13.0 16
2026-05-20 Stromsgodset D 1-1 1470 1673 21.5% 20.8% 57.7% +2.9 13
2026-05-20 @ Moss D 1-1 1673 1470 57.7% 20.8% 21.5% -2.9 17
2026-05-20 Hodd W 3-2 1559 1470 58.0% 20.8% 21.3% +7.7 13
2026-05-20 @ Ranheim L 2-3 1470 1559 21.3% 20.8% 58.0% -7.7 11
2026-05-20 Bryne W 3-0 1419 1589 24.9% 21.2% 53.9% +51.7 7
2026-05-20 @ Raufoss L 0-3 1589 1419 53.9% 21.2% 24.9% -51.7 7
2026-05-20 Stabaek D 2-2 1492 1586 34.2% 21.9% 44.0% +0.6 9
2026-05-20 @ Sogndal D 2-2 1586 1492 44.0% 21.9% 34.2% -0.6 14
2026-05-20 Haugesund L 0-7 1392 1587 22.2% 20.9% 56.8% -54.6 4
2026-05-20 @ Strommen W 7-0 1587 1392 56.8% 20.9% 22.2% +54.6 16
2026-05-25 Raufoss W 3-0 1389 1470 35.8% 21.9% 42.3% +42.1 7
2026-05-25 @ Asane L 0-3 1470 1389 42.3% 21.9% 35.8% -42.1 7
2026-05-25 Moss W 3-1 1642 1473 66.0% 19.2% 14.8% +10.0 19
2026-05-25 @ Haugesund L 1-3 1473 1642 14.8% 19.2% 66.0% -10.0 13
2026-05-25 Egersunds W 3-1 1462 1559 33.7% 21.9% 44.4% +26.1 14
2026-05-25 @ Hodd L 1-3 1559 1462 44.4% 21.9% 33.7% -26.1 13
2026-05-25 Strommen W 1-0 1442 1337 59.7% 20.5% 19.8% +8.1 10
2026-05-25 @ Lyn Oslo L 0-1 1337 1442 19.8% 20.5% 59.7% -8.1 4
2026-05-25 Ranheim W 3-1 1559 1566 46.2% 21.8% 32.0% +20.1 19
2026-05-25 @ Odds L 1-3 1566 1559 32.0% 21.8% 46.2% -20.1 13
2026-05-25 Sogndal W 2-0 1408 1493 35.2% 21.9% 42.9% +29.3 10
2026-05-25 @ Sandnes Ulf L 0-2 1493 1408 42.9% 21.9% 35.2% -29.3 9
2026-05-25 Kongsvinger W 2-0 1585 1667 35.8% 21.9% 42.3% +29.0 17
2026-05-25 @ Stabaek L 0-2 1667 1585 42.3% 21.9% 35.8% -29.0 20
2026-05-25 Bryne W 1-0 1671 1537 62.6% 20.0% 17.4% +7.2 20
2026-05-25 @ Stromsgodset L 0-1 1537 1671 17.4% 20.0% 62.6% -7.2 7
2026-05-30 Stabaek W 3-2 1463 1614 27.0% 21.5% 51.6% +16.2 16
2026-05-30 @ Moss L 2-3 1614 1463 51.6% 21.5% 27.0% -16.2 17
2026-05-30 Lyn Oslo W 3-0 1579 1450 62.2% 20.0% 17.8% +20.0 22
2026-05-30 @ Odds L 0-3 1450 1579 17.8% 20.0% 62.2% -20.0 10
2026-05-31 Hodd W 1-0 1530 1488 52.5% 21.4% 26.2% +10.4 10
2026-05-31 @ Bryne L 0-1 1488 1530 26.2% 21.4% 52.5% -10.4 14
2026-05-31 Stromsgodset L 0-5 1533 1678 27.7% 21.5% 50.8% -48.0 13
2026-05-31 @ Egersunds W 5-0 1678 1533 50.8% 21.5% 27.7% +48.0 23
2026-05-31 Asane W 3-1 1638 1431 69.3% 18.3% 12.4% +8.4 23
2026-05-31 @ Kongsvinger L 1-3 1431 1638 12.4% 18.3% 69.3% -8.4 7
2026-05-31 Sandnes Ulf W 5-1 1546 1437 60.2% 20.4% 19.4% +23.7 16
2026-05-31 @ Ranheim L 1-5 1437 1546 19.4% 20.4% 60.2% -23.7 10
2026-05-31 Haugesund L 3-4 1428 1652 19.6% 20.4% 59.9% -7.0 7
2026-05-31 @ Raufoss W 4-3 1652 1428 59.9% 20.4% 19.6% +7.0 22
2026-05-31 Sogndal L 2-3 1329 1464 28.9% 21.6% 49.5% -10.1 4
2026-05-31 @ Strommen W 3-2 1464 1329 49.5% 21.6% 28.9% +10.1 12

Upcoming Games

Scheduled but not-yet-played games for the team selected at the top of the tab — their remaining schedule and the model's win probability for each matchup.

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %
2026-06-07 Strommen 1570 1319 72.7% 17.2% 10.2%
2026-06-07 @ Ranheim 1319 1570 10.2% 17.2% 72.7%
2026-06-14 Odds 1422 1599 24.1% 21.2% 54.7%
2026-06-14 @ Asane 1599 1422 54.7% 21.2% 24.1%
2026-06-14 Ranheim 1659 1570 58.0% 20.8% 21.2%
2026-06-14 @ Haugesund 1570 1659 21.2% 20.8% 58.0%
2026-06-14 Kongsvinger 1478 1647 25.0% 21.3% 53.7%
2026-06-14 @ Hodd 1647 1478 53.7% 21.3% 25.0%
2026-06-14 Bryne 1430 1540 31.9% 21.8% 46.3%
2026-06-14 @ Lyn Oslo 1540 1430 46.3% 21.8% 31.9%
2026-06-14 Strommen 1413 1319 58.6% 20.7% 20.8%
2026-06-14 @ Sandnes Ulf 1319 1413 20.8% 20.7% 58.6%
2026-06-14 Moss 1474 1479 46.4% 21.8% 31.8%
2026-06-14 @ Sogndal 1479 1474 31.8% 21.8% 46.4%
2026-06-14 Egersunds 1598 1485 60.6% 20.3% 19.1%
2026-06-14 @ Stabaek 1485 1598 19.1% 20.3% 60.6%
2026-06-14 Raufoss 1726 1421 76.4% 15.6% 8.0%
2026-06-14 @ Stromsgodset 1421 1726 8.0% 15.6% 76.4%
2026-06-21 Asane 1540 1422 61.1% 20.3% 18.7%
2026-06-21 @ Bryne 1422 1540 18.7% 20.3% 61.1%
2026-06-21 Haugesund 1485 1659 24.4% 21.2% 54.4%
2026-06-21 @ Egersunds 1659 1485 54.4% 21.2% 24.4%
2026-06-21 Stromsgodset 1647 1726 36.1% 21.9% 42.0%
2026-06-21 @ Kongsvinger 1726 1647 42.0% 21.9% 36.1%
2026-06-21 Sandnes Ulf 1479 1413 55.4% 21.1% 23.5%
2026-06-21 @ Moss 1413 1479 23.5% 21.1% 55.4%
2026-06-21 Hodd 1599 1478 61.4% 20.2% 18.4%
2026-06-21 @ Odds 1478 1599 18.4% 20.2% 61.4%
2026-06-21 Lyn Oslo 1570 1430 63.2% 19.8% 16.9%
2026-06-21 @ Ranheim 1430 1570 16.9% 19.8% 63.2%
2026-06-21 Sogndal 1421 1474 39.9% 21.9% 38.2%
2026-06-21 @ Raufoss 1474 1421 38.2% 21.9% 39.9%
2026-06-21 Stabaek 1319 1598 15.3% 19.4% 65.3%
2026-06-21 @ Strommen 1598 1319 65.3% 19.4% 15.3%
2026-06-28 Ranheim 1422 1570 27.4% 21.5% 51.1%
2026-06-28 @ Asane 1570 1422 51.1% 21.5% 27.4%
2026-06-28 Kongsvinger 1659 1647 48.8% 21.7% 29.5%
2026-06-28 @ Haugesund 1647 1659 29.5% 21.7% 48.8%
2026-06-28 Hodd 1430 1478 40.5% 21.9% 37.5%
2026-06-28 @ Lyn Oslo 1478 1430 37.5% 21.9% 40.5%
2026-06-28 Raufoss 1413 1421 46.1% 21.8% 32.1%
2026-06-28 @ Sandnes Ulf 1421 1413 32.1% 21.8% 46.1%
2026-06-28 Egersunds 1474 1485 45.7% 21.8% 32.5%
2026-06-28 @ Sogndal 1485 1474 32.5% 21.8% 45.7%
2026-06-28 Bryne 1598 1540 54.4% 21.2% 24.4%
2026-06-28 @ Stabaek 1540 1598 24.4% 21.2% 54.4%
2026-06-28 Moss 1319 1479 25.9% 21.4% 52.7%
2026-06-28 @ Strommen 1479 1319 52.7% 21.4% 25.9%
2026-06-28 Odds 1726 1599 61.9% 20.1% 18.0%
2026-06-28 @ Stromsgodset 1599 1726 18.0% 20.1% 61.9%
2026-07-03 Sandnes Ulf 1540 1413 62.0% 20.1% 17.9%
2026-07-03 @ Bryne 1413 1540 17.9% 20.1% 62.0%
2026-07-03 Moss 1485 1479 47.9% 21.7% 30.4%
2026-07-03 @ Egersunds 1479 1485 30.4% 21.7% 47.9%
2026-07-03 Stromsgodset 1478 1726 17.6% 20.0% 62.4%
2026-07-03 @ Hodd 1726 1478 62.4% 20.0% 17.6%
2026-07-03 Sogndal 1647 1474 66.3% 19.1% 14.6%
2026-07-03 @ Kongsvinger 1474 1647 14.6% 19.1% 66.3%
2026-07-03 Asane 1430 1422 48.2% 21.7% 30.1%
2026-07-03 @ Lyn Oslo 1422 1430 30.1% 21.7% 48.2%
2026-07-03 Haugesund 1599 1659 38.8% 21.9% 39.2%
2026-07-03 @ Odds 1659 1599 39.2% 21.9% 38.8%
2026-07-03 Stabaek 1570 1598 43.3% 21.9% 34.8%
2026-07-03 @ Ranheim 1598 1570 34.8% 21.9% 43.3%
2026-07-03 Strommen 1421 1319 59.4% 20.5% 20.1%
2026-07-03 @ Raufoss 1319 1421 20.1% 20.5% 59.4%
2026-07-26 Egersunds 1422 1485 38.5% 21.9% 39.6%
2026-07-26 @ Asane 1485 1422 39.6% 21.9% 38.5%
2026-07-26 Bryne 1659 1540 61.2% 20.2% 18.6%
2026-07-26 @ Haugesund 1540 1659 18.6% 20.2% 61.2%
2026-07-26 Raufoss 1479 1421 54.5% 21.2% 24.3%
2026-07-26 @ Moss 1421 1479 24.3% 21.2% 54.5%
2026-07-26 Kongsvinger 1413 1647 18.8% 20.3% 60.9%
2026-07-26 @ Sandnes Ulf 1647 1413 60.9% 20.3% 18.8%
2026-07-26 Ranheim 1474 1570 33.8% 21.9% 44.3%
2026-07-26 @ Sogndal 1570 1474 44.3% 21.9% 33.8%
2026-07-26 Hodd 1598 1478 61.3% 20.2% 18.5%
2026-07-26 @ Stabaek 1478 1598 18.5% 20.2% 61.3%
2026-07-26 Odds 1319 1599 15.2% 19.3% 65.4%
2026-07-26 @ Strommen 1599 1319 65.4% 19.3% 15.2%
2026-07-26 Lyn Oslo 1726 1430 75.8% 15.9% 8.3%
2026-07-26 @ Stromsgodset 1430 1726 8.3% 15.9% 75.8%
2026-08-02 Stromsgodset 1540 1726 23.3% 21.1% 55.7%
2026-08-02 @ Bryne 1726 1540 55.7% 21.1% 23.3%
2026-08-02 Sandnes Ulf 1485 1413 56.0% 21.0% 23.0%
2026-08-02 @ Egersunds 1413 1485 23.0% 21.0% 56.0%
2026-08-02 Moss 1478 1479 47.0% 21.8% 31.3%
2026-08-02 @ Hodd 1479 1478 31.3% 21.8% 47.0%
2026-08-02 Strommen 1647 1319 77.9% 15.0% 7.1%
2026-08-02 @ Kongsvinger 1319 1647 7.1% 15.0% 77.9%
2026-08-02 Sogndal 1430 1474 41.1% 21.9% 37.0%
2026-08-02 @ Lyn Oslo 1474 1430 37.0% 21.9% 41.1%
2026-08-02 Asane 1599 1422 66.7% 19.0% 14.3%
2026-08-02 @ Odds 1422 1599 14.3% 19.0% 66.7%
2026-08-02 Haugesund 1570 1659 34.7% 21.9% 43.4%
2026-08-02 @ Ranheim 1659 1570 43.4% 21.9% 34.7%
2026-08-02 Stabaek 1421 1598 24.1% 21.2% 54.7%
2026-08-02 @ Raufoss 1598 1421 54.7% 21.2% 24.1%
2026-08-09 Kongsvinger 1422 1647 19.6% 20.4% 60.0%
2026-08-09 @ Asane 1647 1422 60.0% 20.4% 19.6%
2026-08-09 Raufoss 1659 1421 71.7% 17.5% 10.8%
2026-08-09 @ Haugesund 1421 1659 10.8% 17.5% 71.7%
2026-08-09 Odds 1479 1599 30.7% 21.7% 47.5%
2026-08-09 @ Moss 1599 1479 47.5% 21.7% 30.7%
2026-08-09 Hodd 1413 1478 38.1% 21.9% 39.9%
2026-08-09 @ Sandnes Ulf 1478 1413 39.9% 21.9% 38.1%
2026-08-09 Bryne 1474 1540 37.9% 21.9% 40.2%
2026-08-09 @ Sogndal 1540 1474 40.2% 21.9% 37.9%
2026-08-09 Lyn Oslo 1598 1430 65.9% 19.2% 14.9%
2026-08-09 @ Stabaek 1430 1598 14.9% 19.2% 65.9%
2026-08-09 Ranheim 1319 1570 17.4% 20.0% 62.7%
2026-08-09 @ Strommen 1570 1319 62.7% 20.0% 17.4%
2026-08-09 Egersunds 1726 1485 71.9% 17.4% 10.7%
2026-08-09 @ Stromsgodset 1485 1726 10.7% 17.4% 71.9%
2026-08-16 Moss 1540 1479 54.8% 21.2% 24.1%
2026-08-16 @ Bryne 1479 1540 24.1% 21.2% 54.8%
2026-08-16 Stabaek 1485 1598 31.5% 21.8% 46.7%
2026-08-16 @ Egersunds 1598 1485 46.7% 21.8% 31.5%
2026-08-16 Strommen 1478 1319 65.0% 19.4% 15.5%
2026-08-16 @ Hodd 1319 1478 15.5% 19.4% 65.0%
2026-08-16 Haugesund 1647 1659 45.5% 21.8% 32.7%
2026-08-16 @ Kongsvinger 1659 1647 32.7% 21.8% 45.5%
2026-08-16 Odds 1430 1599 25.0% 21.3% 53.8%
2026-08-16 @ Lyn Oslo 1599 1430 53.8% 21.3% 25.0%
2026-08-16 Stromsgodset 1570 1726 26.4% 21.4% 52.1%
2026-08-16 @ Ranheim 1726 1570 52.1% 21.4% 26.4%
2026-08-16 Asane 1421 1422 47.0% 21.8% 31.2%
2026-08-16 @ Raufoss 1422 1421 31.2% 21.8% 47.0%
2026-08-16 Sandnes Ulf 1474 1413 54.8% 21.2% 24.1%
2026-08-16 @ Sogndal 1413 1474 24.1% 21.2% 54.8%
2026-08-26 Lyn Oslo 1422 1430 46.1% 21.8% 32.1%
2026-08-26 @ Asane 1430 1422 32.1% 21.8% 46.1%
2026-08-26 Egersunds 1659 1485 66.4% 19.1% 14.5%
2026-08-26 @ Haugesund 1485 1659 14.5% 19.1% 66.4%
2026-08-26 Sogndal 1479 1474 47.9% 21.7% 30.4%
2026-08-26 @ Moss 1474 1479 30.4% 21.7% 47.9%
2026-08-26 Kongsvinger 1599 1647 40.6% 21.9% 37.4%
2026-08-26 @ Odds 1647 1599 37.4% 21.9% 40.6%
2026-08-26 Bryne 1413 1540 29.8% 21.7% 48.5%
2026-08-26 @ Sandnes Ulf 1540 1413 48.5% 21.7% 29.8%
2026-08-26 Ranheim 1598 1570 50.8% 21.5% 27.7%
2026-08-26 @ Stabaek 1570 1598 27.7% 21.5% 50.8%
2026-08-26 Raufoss 1319 1421 33.0% 21.8% 45.1%
2026-08-26 @ Strommen 1421 1319 45.1% 21.8% 33.0%
2026-08-26 Hodd 1726 1478 72.4% 17.2% 10.3%
2026-08-26 @ Stromsgodset 1478 1726 10.3% 17.2% 72.4%
2026-08-30 Haugesund 1540 1659 30.9% 21.7% 47.4%
2026-08-30 @ Bryne 1659 1540 47.4% 21.7% 30.9%
2026-08-30 Asane 1485 1422 55.0% 21.1% 23.9%
2026-08-30 @ Egersunds 1422 1485 23.9% 21.1% 55.0%
2026-08-30 Stabaek 1478 1598 30.7% 21.7% 47.6%
2026-08-30 @ Hodd 1598 1478 47.6% 21.7% 30.7%
2026-08-30 Lyn Oslo 1647 1430 70.0% 18.1% 11.9%
2026-08-30 @ Kongsvinger 1430 1647 11.9% 18.1% 70.0%
2026-08-30 Strommen 1479 1319 65.2% 19.4% 15.4%
2026-08-30 @ Moss 1319 1479 15.4% 19.4% 65.2%
2026-08-30 Odds 1570 1599 43.2% 21.9% 34.9%
2026-08-30 @ Ranheim 1599 1570 34.9% 21.9% 43.2%
2026-08-30 Sandnes Ulf 1421 1413 48.2% 21.7% 30.1%
2026-08-30 @ Raufoss 1413 1421 30.1% 21.7% 48.2%
2026-08-30 Stromsgodset 1474 1726 17.3% 19.9% 62.8%
2026-08-30 @ Sogndal 1726 1474 62.8% 19.9% 17.3%
2026-09-06 Hodd 1422 1478 39.4% 21.9% 38.6%
2026-09-06 @ Asane 1478 1422 38.6% 21.9% 39.4%
2026-09-06 Sogndal 1659 1474 67.4% 18.8% 13.8%
2026-09-06 @ Haugesund 1474 1659 13.8% 18.8% 67.4%
2026-09-06 Raufoss 1647 1421 70.7% 17.8% 11.5%
2026-09-06 @ Kongsvinger 1421 1647 11.5% 17.8% 70.7%
2026-09-06 Egersunds 1430 1485 39.6% 21.9% 38.5%
2026-09-06 @ Lyn Oslo 1485 1430 38.5% 21.9% 39.6%
2026-09-06 Stromsgodset 1599 1726 29.9% 21.7% 48.4%
2026-09-06 @ Odds 1726 1599 48.4% 21.7% 29.9%
2026-09-06 Ranheim 1413 1570 26.3% 21.4% 52.3%
2026-09-06 @ Sandnes Ulf 1570 1413 52.3% 21.4% 26.3%
2026-09-06 Moss 1598 1479 61.1% 20.2% 18.6%
2026-09-06 @ Stabaek 1479 1598 18.6% 20.2% 61.1%
2026-09-06 Bryne 1319 1540 19.9% 20.5% 59.6%
2026-09-06 @ Strommen 1540 1319 59.6% 20.5% 19.9%
2026-09-13 Stabaek 1540 1598 39.1% 21.9% 39.0%
2026-09-13 @ Bryne 1598 1540 39.0% 21.9% 39.1%
2026-09-13 Kongsvinger 1485 1647 25.8% 21.3% 52.9%
2026-09-13 @ Egersunds 1647 1485 52.9% 21.3% 25.8%
2026-09-13 Lyn Oslo 1478 1430 53.3% 21.3% 25.4%
2026-09-13 @ Hodd 1430 1478 25.4% 21.3% 53.3%
2026-09-13 Haugesund 1479 1659 23.9% 21.1% 55.0%
2026-09-13 @ Moss 1659 1479 55.0% 21.1% 23.9%
2026-09-13 Asane 1570 1422 64.0% 19.7% 16.3%
2026-09-13 @ Ranheim 1422 1570 16.3% 19.7% 64.0%
2026-09-13 Odds 1421 1599 24.0% 21.1% 54.8%
2026-09-13 @ Raufoss 1599 1421 54.8% 21.1% 24.0%
2026-09-13 Strommen 1474 1319 64.7% 19.5% 15.8%
2026-09-13 @ Sogndal 1319 1474 15.8% 19.5% 64.7%
2026-09-13 Sandnes Ulf 1726 1413 76.9% 15.4% 7.7%
2026-09-13 @ Stromsgodset 1413 1726 7.7% 15.4% 76.9%
2026-09-20 Bryne 1422 1540 31.0% 21.8% 47.3%
2026-09-20 @ Asane 1540 1422 47.3% 21.8% 31.0%
2026-09-20 Strommen 1659 1319 78.7% 14.6% 6.7%
2026-09-20 @ Haugesund 1319 1659 6.7% 14.6% 78.7%
2026-09-20 Hodd 1647 1478 65.9% 19.2% 14.9%
2026-09-20 @ Kongsvinger 1478 1647 14.9% 19.2% 65.9%
2026-09-20 Ranheim 1430 1570 28.3% 21.6% 50.2%
2026-09-20 @ Lyn Oslo 1570 1430 50.2% 21.6% 28.3%
2026-09-20 Egersunds 1599 1485 60.7% 20.3% 19.0%
2026-09-20 @ Odds 1485 1599 19.0% 20.3% 60.7%
2026-09-20 Stromsgodset 1421 1726 13.6% 18.8% 67.6%
2026-09-20 @ Raufoss 1726 1421 67.6% 18.8% 13.6%
2026-09-20 Moss 1413 1479 37.9% 21.9% 40.1%
2026-09-20 @ Sandnes Ulf 1479 1413 40.1% 21.9% 37.9%
2026-09-20 Sogndal 1598 1474 61.7% 20.1% 18.2%
2026-09-20 @ Stabaek 1474 1598 18.2% 20.1% 61.7%
2026-10-04 Lyn Oslo 1540 1430 60.3% 20.4% 19.3%
2026-10-04 @ Bryne 1430 1540 19.3% 20.4% 60.3%
2026-10-04 Stabaek 1659 1598 54.8% 21.1% 24.1%
2026-10-04 @ Haugesund 1598 1659 24.1% 21.1% 54.8%
2026-10-04 Odds 1478 1599 30.6% 21.7% 47.7%
2026-10-04 @ Hodd 1599 1478 47.7% 21.7% 30.6%
2026-10-04 Kongsvinger 1479 1647 25.2% 21.3% 53.5%
2026-10-04 @ Moss 1647 1479 53.5% 21.3% 25.2%
2026-10-04 Egersunds 1570 1485 57.6% 20.8% 21.6%
2026-10-04 @ Ranheim 1485 1570 21.6% 20.8% 57.6%
2026-10-04 Raufoss 1474 1421 53.8% 21.3% 24.9%
2026-10-04 @ Sogndal 1421 1474 24.9% 21.3% 53.8%
2026-10-04 Sandnes Ulf 1319 1413 34.1% 21.9% 44.1%
2026-10-04 @ Strommen 1413 1319 44.1% 21.9% 34.1%
2026-10-04 Asane 1726 1422 76.3% 15.7% 8.0%
2026-10-04 @ Stromsgodset 1422 1726 8.0% 15.7% 76.3%
2026-10-11 Sogndal 1422 1474 40.0% 21.9% 38.0%
2026-10-11 @ Asane 1474 1422 38.0% 21.9% 40.0%
2026-10-11 Hodd 1485 1478 48.0% 21.7% 30.2%
2026-10-11 @ Egersunds 1478 1485 30.2% 21.7% 48.0%
2026-10-11 Ranheim 1647 1570 56.6% 20.9% 22.5%
2026-10-11 @ Kongsvinger 1570 1647 22.5% 20.9% 56.6%
2026-10-11 Stromsgodset 1430 1726 14.2% 19.0% 66.8%
2026-10-11 @ Lyn Oslo 1726 1430 66.8% 19.0% 14.2%
2026-10-11 Bryne 1599 1540 54.6% 21.2% 24.2%
2026-10-11 @ Odds 1540 1599 24.2% 21.2% 54.6%
2026-10-11 Moss 1421 1479 39.1% 21.9% 39.0%
2026-10-11 @ Raufoss 1479 1421 39.0% 21.9% 39.1%
2026-10-11 Haugesund 1413 1659 17.8% 20.1% 62.2%
2026-10-11 @ Sandnes Ulf 1659 1413 62.2% 20.1% 17.8%
2026-10-11 Strommen 1598 1319 74.7% 16.4% 8.9%
2026-10-11 @ Stabaek 1319 1598 8.9% 16.4% 74.7%
2026-10-14 Raufoss 1540 1421 61.2% 20.2% 18.6%
2026-10-14 @ Bryne 1421 1540 18.6% 20.2% 61.2%
2026-10-14 Lyn Oslo 1659 1430 71.0% 17.7% 11.3%
2026-10-14 @ Haugesund 1430 1659 11.3% 17.7% 71.0%
2026-10-14 Ranheim 1478 1570 34.4% 21.9% 43.8%
2026-10-14 @ Hodd 1570 1478 43.8% 21.9% 34.4%
2026-10-14 Egersunds 1479 1485 46.5% 21.8% 31.8%
2026-10-14 @ Moss 1485 1479 31.8% 21.8% 46.5%
2026-10-14 Odds 1474 1599 30.0% 21.7% 48.3%
2026-10-14 @ Sogndal 1599 1474 48.3% 21.7% 30.0%
2026-10-14 Sandnes Ulf 1598 1413 67.4% 18.8% 13.8%
2026-10-14 @ Stabaek 1413 1598 13.8% 18.8% 67.4%
2026-10-14 Asane 1319 1422 32.9% 21.8% 45.3%
2026-10-14 @ Strommen 1422 1319 45.3% 21.8% 32.9%
2026-10-14 Kongsvinger 1726 1647 56.9% 20.9% 22.2%
2026-10-14 @ Stromsgodset 1647 1726 22.2% 20.9% 56.9%
2026-10-18 Stabaek 1422 1598 24.3% 21.2% 54.6%
2026-10-18 @ Asane 1598 1422 54.6% 21.2% 24.3%
2026-10-18 Sogndal 1485 1474 48.6% 21.7% 29.7%
2026-10-18 @ Egersunds 1474 1485 29.7% 21.7% 48.6%
2026-10-18 Raufoss 1478 1421 54.3% 21.2% 24.5%
2026-10-18 @ Hodd 1421 1478 24.5% 21.2% 54.3%
2026-10-18 Sandnes Ulf 1647 1413 71.3% 17.6% 11.1%
2026-10-18 @ Kongsvinger 1413 1647 11.1% 17.6% 71.3%
2026-10-18 Moss 1430 1479 40.3% 21.9% 37.7%
2026-10-18 @ Lyn Oslo 1479 1430 37.7% 21.9% 40.3%
2026-10-18 Strommen 1599 1319 74.8% 16.3% 8.9%
2026-10-18 @ Odds 1319 1599 8.9% 16.3% 74.8%
2026-10-18 Bryne 1570 1540 51.0% 21.5% 27.5%
2026-10-18 @ Ranheim 1540 1570 27.5% 21.5% 51.0%
2026-10-18 Haugesund 1726 1659 55.5% 21.1% 23.4%
2026-10-18 @ Stromsgodset 1659 1726 23.4% 21.1% 55.5%
2026-10-25 Egersunds 1540 1485 54.2% 21.2% 24.6%
2026-10-25 @ Bryne 1485 1540 24.6% 21.2% 54.2%
2026-10-25 Hodd 1659 1478 67.0% 18.9% 14.0%
2026-10-25 @ Haugesund 1478 1659 14.0% 18.9% 67.0%
2026-10-25 Asane 1479 1422 54.3% 21.2% 24.4%
2026-10-25 @ Moss 1422 1479 24.4% 21.2% 54.3%
2026-10-25 Ranheim 1421 1570 27.2% 21.5% 51.3%
2026-10-25 @ Raufoss 1570 1421 51.3% 21.5% 27.2%
2026-10-25 Lyn Oslo 1413 1430 44.9% 21.9% 33.3%
2026-10-25 @ Sandnes Ulf 1430 1413 33.3% 21.9% 44.9%
2026-10-25 Kongsvinger 1474 1647 24.6% 21.2% 54.2%
2026-10-25 @ Sogndal 1647 1474 54.2% 21.2% 24.6%
2026-10-25 Odds 1598 1599 47.0% 21.8% 31.2%
2026-10-25 @ Stabaek 1599 1598 31.2% 21.8% 47.0%
2026-10-25 Stromsgodset 1319 1726 8.5% 16.1% 75.4%
2026-10-25 @ Strommen 1726 1319 75.4% 16.1% 8.5%
2026-11-01 Haugesund 1422 1659 18.5% 20.2% 61.3%
2026-11-01 @ Asane 1659 1422 61.3% 20.2% 18.5%
2026-11-01 Strommen 1485 1319 65.6% 19.3% 15.1%
2026-11-01 @ Egersunds 1319 1485 15.1% 19.3% 65.6%
2026-11-01 Bryne 1478 1540 38.5% 21.9% 39.6%
2026-11-01 @ Hodd 1540 1478 39.6% 21.9% 38.5%
2026-11-01 Stabaek 1647 1598 53.3% 21.3% 25.4%
2026-11-01 @ Kongsvinger 1598 1647 25.4% 21.3% 53.3%
2026-11-01 Raufoss 1430 1421 48.3% 21.7% 30.0%
2026-11-01 @ Lyn Oslo 1421 1430 30.0% 21.7% 48.3%
2026-11-01 Sandnes Ulf 1599 1413 67.5% 18.8% 13.7%
2026-11-01 @ Odds 1413 1599 13.7% 18.8% 67.5%
2026-11-01 Sogndal 1570 1474 58.8% 20.6% 20.6%
2026-11-01 @ Ranheim 1474 1570 20.6% 20.6% 58.8%
2026-11-01 Moss 1726 1479 72.3% 17.3% 10.4%
2026-11-01 @ Stromsgodset 1479 1726 10.4% 17.3% 72.3%
2026-11-08 Kongsvinger 1540 1647 32.5% 21.8% 45.7%
2026-11-08 @ Bryne 1647 1540 45.7% 21.8% 32.5%
2026-11-08 Odds 1659 1599 54.7% 21.2% 24.2%
2026-11-08 @ Haugesund 1599 1659 24.2% 21.2% 54.7%
2026-11-08 Ranheim 1479 1570 34.5% 21.9% 43.6%
2026-11-08 @ Moss 1570 1479 43.6% 21.9% 34.5%
2026-11-08 Egersunds 1421 1485 38.3% 21.9% 39.8%
2026-11-08 @ Raufoss 1485 1421 39.8% 21.9% 38.3%
2026-11-08 Asane 1413 1422 45.9% 21.8% 32.3%
2026-11-08 @ Sandnes Ulf 1422 1413 32.3% 21.8% 45.9%
2026-11-08 Hodd 1474 1478 46.6% 21.8% 31.6%
2026-11-08 @ Sogndal 1478 1474 31.6% 21.8% 46.6%
2026-11-08 Stromsgodset 1598 1726 29.8% 21.7% 48.6%
2026-11-08 @ Stabaek 1726 1598 48.6% 21.7% 29.8%
2026-11-08 Lyn Oslo 1319 1430 31.9% 21.8% 46.4%
2026-11-08 @ Strommen 1430 1319 46.4% 21.8% 31.9%

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-05-16 12.17% Raufoss 1396 2 @ Stabaek 1608 1
2 2026-04-20 14.02% Sandnes Ulf 1380 2 @ Lyn Oslo 1561 0
3 2026-05-16 16.84% Moss 1451 3 @ Odds 1592 2
4 2026-04-12 19.32% Ranheim 1510 3 @ Bryne 1621 2
5 2026-05-10 19.53% @ Sogndal 1430 5 Haugesund 1655 1
6 2026-05-15 23.48% @ Sandnes Ulf 1408 4 Egersunds 1591 2
7 2026-05-20 24.85% @ Raufoss 1419 3 Bryne 1589 0
8 2026-04-25 26.35% Odds 1549 2 @ Bryne 1589 1
9 2026-05-11 26.77% Odds 1573 1 @ Egersunds 1609 0
10 2026-05-30 26.96% @ Moss 1463 3 Stabaek 1614 2
11 2026-04-26 29.18% @ Stabaek 1529 3 Haugesund 1661 2
12 2026-04-07 30.08% @ Kongsvinger 1543 3 Bryne 1668 0
13 2026-04-19 30.18% Strommen 1412 5 @ Asane 1419 4
14 2026-04-06 30.62% Moss 1469 3 @ Asane 1473 2
15 2026-05-25 33.73% @ Hodd 1462 3 Egersunds 1559 1
16 2026-05-25 35.25% @ Sandnes Ulf 1408 2 Sogndal 1493 0
17 2026-05-25 35.75% @ Stabaek 1585 2 Kongsvinger 1667 0
18 2026-05-25 35.76% @ Asane 1389 3 Raufoss 1470 0
19 2026-05-01 36.28% Stabaek 1544 4 @ Lyn Oslo 1505 0
20 2026-05-10 36.38% Lyn Oslo 1451 1 @ Raufoss 1411 0
21 2026-05-20 36.53% @ Asane 1360 2 Sandnes Ulf 1436 0
22 2026-05-10 36.66% Hodd 1456 2 @ Strommen 1415 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-05-10 62.10 @ Sogndal 5 1430 19.53% Haugesund 1 1655 60.03%
2 2026-05-20 54.56 Haugesund 7 1587 56.84% @ Strommen 0 1392 22.25%
3 2026-05-01 54.43 Stabaek 4 1544 36.28% @ Lyn Oslo 0 1505 41.80%
4 2026-05-20 51.74 @ Raufoss 3 1419 24.85% Bryne 0 1589 53.90%
5 2026-05-31 48.05 Stromsgodset 5 1678 50.79% @ Egersunds 0 1533 27.69%
6 2026-04-07 46.92 @ Kongsvinger 3 1543 30.08% Bryne 0 1668 48.22%
7 2026-04-06 45.34 @ Odds 4 1487 44.94% Sogndal 0 1503 33.21%
8 2026-04-20 43.42 Sandnes Ulf 2 1380 14.02% @ Lyn Oslo 0 1561 67.05%
9 2026-05-25 42.09 @ Asane 3 1389 35.76% Raufoss 0 1470 42.32%
10 2026-05-01 39.38 @ Ranheim 4 1526 50.43% Moss 0 1501 28.02%
11 2026-04-11 38.74 Lyn Oslo 3 1523 39.94% @ Sogndal 0 1458 38.11%
12 2026-04-12 38.54 @ Stabaek 4 1489 51.19% Asane 0 1458 27.32%
13 2026-04-11 36.07 Egersunds 3 1537 43.28% @ Strommen 0 1448 34.83%
14 2026-04-27 29.64 @ Egersunds 3 1586 51.03% Ranheim 0 1556 27.46%
15 2026-05-25 29.27 @ Sandnes Ulf 2 1408 35.25% Sogndal 0 1493 42.85%
16 2026-05-25 28.99 @ Stabaek 2 1585 35.75% Kongsvinger 0 1667 42.34%
17 2026-05-20 28.55 @ Asane 2 1360 36.53% Sandnes Ulf 0 1436 41.55%
18 2026-05-15 28.30 @ Sandnes Ulf 4 1408 23.48% Egersunds 2 1591 55.44%
19 2026-05-16 28.27 Kongsvinger 3 1626 52.63% @ Lyn Oslo 0 1466 26.00%
20 2026-04-17 26.92 @ Ranheim 5 1529 56.75% Raufoss 1 1451 22.33%
21 2026-05-25 26.10 @ Hodd 3 1462 33.73% Egersunds 1 1559 44.40%
22 2026-05-31 23.69 @ Ranheim 5 1546 60.17% Sandnes Ulf 1 1437 19.42%
23 2026-04-25 22.63 @ Sogndal 2 1405 47.17% Asane 0 1405 31.08%
24 2026-05-16 22.45 Raufoss 2 1396 12.17% @ Stabaek 1 1608 69.66%
25 2026-04-06 20.95 Haugesund 4 1604 39.25% @ Lyn Oslo 2 1544 38.80%