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2012 First Division Season

240 games · 5 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Sandnes Ulf

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Mjondalen

15.40 points above expected

55 points · 39.60 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Baerum

17.49 points below expected

22 points · 39.49 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Start 30 20 6 4 66 71 35 +36 53.66 +12.34
2 Sarpsborg 08 30 19 6 5 63 73 43 +30 48.01 +14.99
3 Sandefjord 30 16 7 7 55 44 29 +15 47.24 +7.76
4 Mjondalen 30 16 7 7 55 52 43 +9 39.60 +15.40
5 Bodo Glimt 30 13 9 8 48 59 36 +23 46.33 +1.67
6 Hamarkameratene 30 13 6 11 45 51 49 +2 40.69 +4.31
7 Ullensaker Kisa 30 14 2 14 44 45 39 +6 46.56 -2.56
8 Ranheim 30 11 10 9 43 55 40 +15 47.99 -4.99
9 Kongsvinger 30 12 3 15 39 44 48 -4 42.87 -3.87
10 Bryne 30 10 8 12 38 41 53 -12 37.74 +0.26
11 Strommen 30 10 7 13 37 39 51 -12 35.23 +1.77
12 Hodd 30 10 5 15 35 43 52 -9 36.00 -1.00
13 Tromsdalen 30 10 5 15 35 51 62 -11 32.01 +2.99
14 Baerum 30 5 7 18 22 49 73 -24 39.49 -17.49
15 Alta 30 4 10 16 22 30 61 -31 31.48 -9.48
16 Notodden 30 6 4 20 22 38 71 -33 33.73 -11.73

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Quarterfinals

Bodo Glimt 2
Mjondalen 1

Sim: 2.0%

Ullensaker Kisa 4
Sandefjord 3

Sim: 4.0%

Semifinals

Ullensaker Kisa 2
Bodo Glimt 0

Sim: 1.0%

Finals

Sandnes Ulf 7
Ullensaker Kisa 1

Leg 1: Ullensaker Kisa 0-4 Sandnes Ulf

Leg 2: Sandnes Ulf 3-1 Ullensaker Kisa

Sim: 1.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Start 1424 66 53.66 +12.34 96.9% 25 42 49 54 58 65 79
Sarpsborg 08 1404 63 48.01 +14.99 99.1% 25 37 43 48 53 59 75
Sandefjord 1373 55 47.24 +7.76 88.6% 19 36 43 47 52 59 74
Bodo Glimt 1360 48 46.33 +1.67 62.2% 20 35 42 46 51 58 71
Ranheim 1326 43 47.99 -4.99 26.4% 24 37 43 48 53 59 76
Mjondalen 1306 55 39.60 +15.40 98.9% 12 28 35 40 44 51 65
Hamarkameratene 1295 45 40.69 +4.31 65.8% 16 29 36 41 45 52 68
Ullensaker Kisa 1293 44 46.56 -2.56 38.2% 21 35 42 47 51 58 71
Kongsvinger 1262 39 42.87 -3.87 31.0% 17 32 38 43 47 54 72
Hodd 1243 35 36.00 -1.00 47.6% 12 25 31 36 40 47 60
Bryne 1236 38 37.74 +0.26 55.0% 15 27 33 38 42 49 65
Baerum 1219 22 39.49 -17.49 0.5% 15 28 35 39 44 51 66
Tromsdalen 1218 35 32.01 +2.99 70.4% 9 21 27 32 36 43 56
Strommen 1196 37 35.23 +1.77 63.6% 11 24 31 35 40 47 63
Alta 1146 22 31.48 -9.48 6.7% 9 20 27 31 36 43 57
Notodden 1136 22 33.73 -11.73 4.3% 10 23 29 34 38 45 61

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALT BAE BG BRY HAM HOD KON MJO NOT RAN SAN S0 STA STR TRO UK
Alta —
0-2-0
2.18
0-1-1
1.84
1-1-0
2.48
0-1-1
1.99
1-1-0
2.53
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
2.55
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
1.68
0-1-1
1.88
0-0-2
1.87
0-0-2
1.27
0-0-2
2.59
1-1-0
2.52
0-0-2
2.09
Baerum
0-2-0
3.32
 —
0-1-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.84
0-0-2
2.49
0-0-2
2.94
1-0-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.60
1-1-0
3.19
0-1-1
2.01
0-1-1
2.13
0-0-2
2.26
0-0-2
1.90
1-1-0
2.89
1-0-1
3.28
0-0-2
2.44
Bodo Glimt
1-1-0
3.68
1-1-0
2.89
 —
1-0-1
3.32
1-1-0
3.01
1-0-1
3.29
1-1-0
3.14
0-1-1
3.23
2-0-0
3.60
0-1-1
2.82
1-0-1
2.73
0-1-1
2.67
1-0-1
2.25
0-2-0
3.39
1-0-1
3.76
2-0-0
2.63
Bryne
0-1-1
3.01
1-0-1
2.64
1-0-1
2.18
 —
0-1-1
2.34
2-0-0
2.92
2-0-0
2.52
0-2-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.97
0-1-1
2.26
0-0-2
2.15
1-1-0
1.98
0-0-2
1.66
1-1-0
3.22
0-1-1
3.18
1-0-1
2.16
Hamarkameratene
1-1-0
3.51
2-0-0
3.03
0-1-1
2.49
1-1-0
3.17
 —
1-0-1
3.39
1-0-1
2.68
0-1-1
2.94
2-0-0
3.09
1-1-0
2.37
0-0-2
2.46
0-0-2
2.34
0-0-2
2.10
1-0-1
3.11
1-1-0
3.42
2-0-0
2.51
Hodd
0-1-1
2.98
2-0-0
2.55
1-0-1
2.23
0-0-2
2.57
1-0-1
2.11
 —
0-0-2
2.38
1-0-1
2.43
1-1-0
3.14
0-1-1
2.04
1-0-1
1.90
1-1-0
1.99
0-1-1
1.69
1-0-1
2.98
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
2.06
Kongsvinger
1-1-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.12
0-1-1
2.37
0-0-2
2.97
1-0-1
2.84
2-0-0
3.13
 —
0-0-2
3.06
1-0-1
3.40
0-1-1
2.47
1-0-1
2.48
1-0-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.15
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
3.69
2-0-0
2.39
Mjondalen
2-0-0
2.96
2-0-0
2.88
1-1-0
2.28
0-2-0
2.95
1-1-0
2.58
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
2.44
 —
1-1-0
3.41
2-0-0
2.22
0-1-1
2.31
0-0-2
2.29
1-0-1
1.76
1-1-0
3.13
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
2.21
Notodden
1-0-1
2.75
0-1-1
2.30
0-0-2
1.94
1-0-1
2.53
0-0-2
2.41
0-1-1
2.37
1-0-1
2.10
0-1-1
2.10
 —
0-0-2
1.96
1-1-0
2.06
0-0-2
2.03
1-0-1
1.44
1-0-1
2.66
0-0-2
2.96
0-0-2
2.07
Ranheim
1-1-0
3.88
1-1-0
3.50
1-1-0
2.68
1-1-0
3.26
0-1-1
3.12
1-1-0
3.47
1-1-0
3.03
0-0-2
3.31
2-0-0
3.59
 —
0-0-2
2.87
0-1-1
2.65
0-2-0
2.54
0-0-2
3.67
2-0-0
3.63
1-0-1
2.78
Sandefjord
1-1-0
3.63
1-1-0
3.41
1-0-1
2.78
2-0-0
3.39
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
3.62
1-0-1
3.01
1-1-0
3.21
0-1-1
3.49
2-0-0
2.62
 —
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.42
1-1-0
3.51
1-0-1
3.69
1-1-0
2.74
Sarpsborg 08
2-0-0
3.69
2-0-0
3.24
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
3.53
2-0-0
3.14
0-1-1
3.54
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.22
2-0-0
3.56
1-1-0
2.83
1-0-1
2.81
 —
1-1-0
2.43
2-0-0
3.32
1-1-0
3.79
1-0-1
2.91
Start
2-0-0
4.32
2-0-0
3.65
1-0-1
3.24
2-0-0
3.88
2-0-0
3.40
1-1-0
3.87
2-0-0
3.38
1-0-1
3.77
1-0-1
4.12
0-2-0
2.97
1-1-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.07
 —
2-0-0
3.74
1-1-0
4.14
2-0-0
3.06
Strommen
2-0-0
2.91
0-1-1
2.61
0-2-0
2.13
0-1-1
2.28
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.52
1-0-1
2.22
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.85
2-0-0
1.87
0-1-1
2.04
0-0-2
2.20
0-0-2
1.78
 —
1-0-1
3.10
1-1-0
1.91
Tromsdalen
0-1-1
2.96
1-0-1
2.25
1-0-1
1.76
1-1-0
2.32
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.58
1-0-1
1.84
1-0-1
2.32
2-0-0
2.52
0-0-2
1.92
1-0-1
1.83
0-1-1
1.77
0-1-1
1.45
1-0-1
2.39
 —
0-0-2
2.01
Ullensaker Kisa
2-0-0
3.44
2-0-0
3.08
0-0-2
2.89
1-0-1
3.35
0-0-2
2.99
2-0-0
3.44
0-0-2
3.10
1-0-1
3.30
2-0-0
3.43
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.75
1-0-1
2.61
0-0-2
2.43
0-1-1
3.62
2-0-0
3.52
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.60 +9.2
Allowed 0.73 -9.1
Differential 0.90 +6.2

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%5.42%3.96%4.79%1.88%2.29%21.67%
15.42%10.00%9.58%4.58%1.25%0.42%31.25%
23.96%9.58%5.83%2.92%0.62%0.62%23.54%
34.79%4.58%2.92%1.67%0.62%0.21%14.79%
41.88%1.25%0.62%0.62%0.42%0.21%5.00%
5+2.29%0.42%0.62%0.21%0.21%—3.75%
Total21.67%31.25%23.54%14.79%5.00%3.75%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.64 1.64 +0.00
SD 1.38 1.38 2.16
CV 0.84 0.84 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%13.33%3.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%40.00%
13.33%23.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%—40.00%
2——3.33%3.33%——6.67%
3——6.67%3.33%——10.00%
4———————
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total10.00%36.67%16.67%20.00%13.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.00 2.03 -1.03
SD 1.20 1.45 2.08
CV 1.20 0.71 —
Max 5 6 +5
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—20.00%
1—3.33%13.33%20.00%——36.67%
2—3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%6.67%23.33%
3——3.33%6.67%——10.00%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+3.33%———3.33%—6.67%
Total10.00%13.33%26.67%33.33%10.00%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 2.43 -0.80
SD 1.47 1.41 2.01
CV 0.90 0.58 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%——10.00%——16.67%
16.67%16.67%13.33%———36.67%
2—3.33%3.33%3.33%——10.00%
33.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%——16.67%
410.00%3.33%————13.33%
5+6.67%—————6.67%
Total33.33%30.00%20.00%16.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.20 +0.77
SD 1.63 1.10 2.30
CV 0.83 0.91 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%——26.67%
16.67%13.33%—3.33%3.33%3.33%30.00%
2—16.67%10.00%3.33%——30.00%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———3.33%—3.33%6.67%
5+———————
Total10.00%46.67%16.67%16.67%3.33%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.77 -0.40
SD 1.16 1.33 1.57
CV 0.85 0.75 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%—3.33%——6.67%16.67%
110.00%13.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%—36.67%
23.33%10.00%—6.67%3.33%—23.33%
310.00%3.33%———3.33%16.67%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+——3.33%———3.33%
Total33.33%26.67%10.00%13.33%6.67%10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 1.63 +0.07
SD 1.47 1.69 2.38
CV 0.86 1.04 —
Max 7 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%6.67%—3.33%3.33%26.67%
13.33%6.67%10.00%10.00%——30.00%
23.33%13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
33.33%—————3.33%
4—3.33%—3.33%——6.67%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total16.67%33.33%23.33%16.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.73 -0.30
SD 1.30 1.31 2.05
CV 0.91 0.76 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—10.00%3.33%6.67%—3.33%23.33%
16.67%6.67%16.67%6.67%3.33%—40.00%
210.00%10.00%3.33%———23.33%
3—3.33%————3.33%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+3.33%—3.33%———6.67%
Total23.33%30.00%26.67%13.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.60 -0.13
SD 1.46 1.50 2.45
CV 0.99 0.94 —
Max 6 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——6.67%6.67%—3.33%16.67%
13.33%10.00%—6.67%——20.00%
26.67%23.33%13.33%———43.33%
310.00%—3.33%———13.33%
43.33%—3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total23.33%33.33%26.67%13.33%—3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.43 +0.30
SD 1.11 1.19 2.04
CV 0.64 0.83 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%10.00%36.67%
1——13.33%3.33%—3.33%20.00%
23.33%3.33%10.00%10.00%——26.67%
36.67%3.33%—3.33%——13.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total10.00%23.33%30.00%20.00%3.33%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 2.37 -1.10
SD 1.20 1.77 2.52
CV 0.95 0.75 —
Max 4 7 +3
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%—3.33%——10.00%
13.33%16.67%23.33%———43.33%
2—3.33%13.33%———16.67%
36.67%10.00%6.67%———23.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total16.67%36.67%43.33%3.33%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.83 1.33 +0.50
SD 1.44 0.80 1.87
CV 0.79 0.60 —
Max 7 3 +7
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—20.00%
116.67%13.33%6.67%———36.67%
210.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
313.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——23.33%
4———————
5+———————
Total43.33%30.00%16.67%6.67%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 0.97 +0.50
SD 1.07 1.10 1.72
CV 0.73 1.14 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%——3.33%——6.67%
16.67%3.33%10.00%———20.00%
210.00%10.00%10.00%———30.00%
3—10.00%6.67%—3.33%—20.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—16.67%
5+3.33%——3.33%——6.67%
Total26.67%26.67%30.00%10.00%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.43 1.43 +1.00
SD 1.43 1.19 1.70
CV 0.59 0.83 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%——3.33%—3.33%10.00%
16.67%6.67%3.33%———16.67%
26.67%13.33%3.33%———23.33%
313.33%13.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—36.67%
46.67%———3.33%—10.00%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total40.00%33.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.37 1.17 +1.20
SD 1.45 1.39 2.20
CV 0.61 1.19 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%6.67%—26.67%
16.67%13.33%10.00%6.67%3.33%—40.00%
2—13.33%3.33%3.33%——20.00%
3——6.67%———6.67%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+3.33%—————3.33%
Total16.67%30.00%30.00%13.33%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.30 1.70 -0.40
SD 1.24 1.21 1.89
CV 0.95 0.71 —
Max 5 4 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%—6.67%6.67%—3.33%20.00%
13.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%3.33%—26.67%
23.33%10.00%3.33%10.00%—3.33%30.00%
36.67%—3.33%3.33%3.33%—16.67%
4———————
5+—6.67%————6.67%
Total16.67%23.33%23.33%23.33%6.67%6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.70 2.07 -0.37
SD 1.34 1.62 2.28
CV 0.79 0.78 —
Max 5 7 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.33%6.67%10.00%——30.00%
13.33%6.67%16.67%———26.67%
26.67%13.33%————20.00%
33.33%13.33%————16.67%
4———————
5+3.33%—3.33%———6.67%
Total16.67%46.67%26.67%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.50 1.30 +0.20
SD 1.43 0.88 1.99
CV 0.95 0.67 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Mjondalen 55 39.60 +15.40
2 Sarpsborg 08 63 48.01 +14.99
3 Start 66 53.66 +12.34
4 Sandefjord 55 47.24 +7.76
5 Hamarkameratene 45 40.69 +4.31

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Baerum 22 39.49 -17.49
2 Notodden 22 33.73 -11.73
3 Alta 22 31.48 -9.48
4 Ranheim 43 47.99 -4.99
5 Kongsvinger 39 42.87 -3.87

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mjondalen 6 Aug 19 – Sep 23 1 in 319
2 Sarpsborg 08 6 Jul 29 – Sep 2 1 in 171
3 Sandefjord 5 Jul 8 – Aug 5 1 in 89
4 Ullensaker Kisa 5 May 13 – Jun 3 1 in 56
5 Hamarkameratene 4 Jun 30 – Jul 22 1 in 49

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Baerum 9 Apr 28 – Jun 30 1 in 11,024
2 Kongsvinger 5 Apr 28 – May 20 1 in 152
3 Hodd 5 Apr 28 – May 28 1 in 61
4 Notodden 4 May 28 – Jul 8 1 in 31
5 Hamarkameratene 3 Apr 9 – Apr 22 1 in 31

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Mjondalen 13 Jun 30 – Sep 23 1 in 1,356
2 Sandefjord 11 Jul 8 – Sep 16 1 in 64
3 Hodd 6 Jun 3 – Jul 22 1 in 32
4 Hamarkameratene 6 Apr 28 – May 28 1 in 21
5 Start 9 May 28 – Aug 13 1 in 15

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Baerum 11 Apr 9 – Jun 30 1 in 288
2 Alta 12 May 6 – Aug 5 1 in 76
3 Ullensaker Kisa 7 Jun 30 – Aug 13 1 in 45
4 Ranheim 5 Oct 14 – Nov 11 1 in 26
5 Bodo Glimt 5 Jul 8 – Aug 5 1 in 25

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Start40.15%20.26%12.32%8.57%6.59%4.01%2.96%2.06%1.13%0.84%0.44%0.33%0.18%0.12%0.03%0.01%
Sarpsborg 0812.64%15.29%13.56%12.10%10.43%9.15%7.35%5.45%4.25%3.13%2.56%1.63%1.17%0.86%0.36%0.07%
Sandefjord9.84%12.44%12.76%12.42%11.02%9.64%8.09%6.57%5.17%4.06%2.95%2.06%1.37%0.95%0.40%0.26%
Mjondalen1.32%2.42%3.64%4.94%6.34%6.70%8.52%8.59%9.56%9.50%9.12%8.26%7.12%6.15%5.04%2.78%
Bodo Glimt8.62%11.47%11.49%11.88%10.40%9.63%8.11%7.15%5.83%5.03%3.48%2.82%1.82%1.28%0.63%0.36%
Hamarkameratene1.52%3.10%4.29%6.29%7.12%7.97%8.52%9.40%9.79%9.18%8.39%7.07%6.22%5.03%3.96%2.15%
Ullensaker Kisa8.33%11.05%12.06%10.79%10.76%10.54%8.51%7.74%5.57%4.36%3.66%2.57%1.74%1.25%0.70%0.37%
Ranheim12.04%13.74%14.33%11.82%10.66%8.43%7.87%6.01%4.85%3.46%2.56%1.81%1.08%0.75%0.39%0.20%
Kongsvinger3.14%5.06%6.38%8.43%8.55%9.49%9.85%9.33%9.09%7.54%6.52%5.50%4.27%3.41%2.28%1.16%
Bryne0.59%1.15%2.05%3.26%4.11%5.53%6.49%7.23%8.27%9.57%10.10%10.18%9.39%8.94%7.50%5.64%
Strommen0.24%0.73%1.03%1.48%2.41%3.21%4.46%5.43%7.16%7.93%9.30%10.39%11.28%12.77%12.03%10.15%
Hodd0.37%0.79%1.52%1.92%2.79%3.45%4.94%6.27%7.56%8.38%10.11%11.05%11.40%10.61%10.12%8.72%
Tromsdalen0.04%0.09%0.29%0.69%1.06%1.48%2.16%3.24%4.17%5.88%7.00%9.00%12.35%13.63%17.28%21.64%
Baerum1.03%2.02%3.32%4.07%5.33%7.12%7.41%8.41%9.15%9.41%8.88%8.93%8.24%7.09%6.02%3.57%
Alta0.06%0.09%0.28%0.45%0.79%1.39%1.89%2.95%3.60%4.61%6.30%8.54%10.80%13.82%17.46%26.97%
Notodden0.07%0.30%0.68%0.89%1.64%2.26%2.87%4.17%4.85%7.12%8.63%9.86%11.57%13.34%15.80%15.95%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+22.08%
Clear Edge
50.42%21.25%28.33%
Elo Value
Home Edge
143 Elo
0.007 goals per Elo point
078.01400
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.62 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.54+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.6
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
40%
Start, 1st of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.10/gm
Photo Finish
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.46 * Some Luck: 5.46 to 8.19 * Lucky: 8.19 to 10.92 * Wild Swing: 10.92 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.25 * Close: 2.25 to 3.37 * Off: 3.37 to 4.49 * Way Off: 4.49 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
8.99 points
Lucky
06.8217
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.88
Pinpoint
02.816
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
99.09%
Sarpsborg 08
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
0.48%
Baerum
050
Season Outliers
Expected
5 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.18
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.65
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
84%
Strong Edge
50%87%100%
Close Games
Expected
59%
Very Frequent
0%51%100%
Blowouts
Expected
22%
Very Frequent
0%25%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.60
Predictable
00.612
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
1.74
Chaotic
01.002
Repeatability
0.42
Some Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
29%
As Expected
0%25%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
20%
As Expected
0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.11 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.11 to 0.16 * Above Noise: 0.16 to 0.21 * Well Above Noise: 0.21 and up.
Probability calibration
0.62
Excellent
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.07
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.060
Well Within Noise
00.1050.25

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Start 60.41% 31.49% 7.76% 0.34%
Sarpsborg 08 27.93% 45.24% 24.37% 2.46%
Ranheim 25.78% 45.24% 26.56% 2.42%
Bodo Glimt — 100% — —
Mjondalen — 100% — —
Sandefjord — 100% — —
Ullensaker Kisa — 100% — —
Kongsvinger 8.20% 32.85% 47.83% 11.12%
Hamarkameratene 4.62% 25.67% 52.35% 17.36%
Baerum 3.05% 19.84% 52.19% 24.92%
Bryne 1.74% 14.95% 51.84% 31.47%
Hodd 1.16% 9.68% 48.31% 40.85%
Strommen 0.97% 8.13% 44.67% 46.23%
Notodden 0.37% 5.47% 37.50% 56.66%
Tromsdalen 0.13% 3.52% 31.45% 64.90%
Alta 0.15% 2.91% 27.89% 69.05%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AalesundBaerumBodo GlimtBrannBryneFredrikstadHamarkamerateneHoddHonefossKongsvingerLillestromMjondalenNotoddenOdd GrenlandRanheimSandefjordSandnes UlfSarpsborg 08SogndalStabaekStartStrommenStromsgodsetTromsdalenUllensaker KisaValerengaViking
Aalesund
Baerum75.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%6.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%
Bodo Glimt25.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%6.00%50.0%2.00%20.0%5.00%
Brann
Bryne50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%16.7%6.00%0.0%2.00%
Fredrikstad
Hamarkameratene0.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%
Hodd100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Honefoss
Kongsvinger50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%6.00%0.0%2.00%12.5%8.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Lillestrom
Mjondalen100.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Notodden100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Odd Grenland
Ranheim100.0%3.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%6.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%25.0%4.00%57.1%7.00%0.0%7.00%100.0%2.00%55.6%9.00%
Sandefjord100.0%6.00%0.0%1.00%83.3%6.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%60.0%5.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%42.9%7.00%
Sandnes Ulf
Sarpsborg 0866.7%3.00%33.3%6.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%87.5%8.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%2.00%42.9%7.00%40.0%5.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%
Sogndal
Stabaek
Start100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%7.00%50.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%83.3%6.00%
Strommen0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Stromsgodset
Tromsdalen0.0%1.00%
Ullensaker Kisa66.7%3.00%80.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%44.4%9.00%57.1%7.00%33.3%3.00%16.7%6.00%
Valerenga
Viking
Loser →
↓ Winner
AalesundBaerumBodo GlimtBrannBryneFredrikstadHamarkamerateneHoddHonefossKongsvingerLillestromMjondalenNotoddenOdd GrenlandRanheimSandefjordSandnes UlfSarpsborg 08SogndalStabaekStartStrommenStromsgodsetUllensaker KisaValerengaViking
Aalesund
Baerum0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Bodo Glimt0.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%3.00%25.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%
Brann
Bryne0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%
Fredrikstad
Hamarkameratene100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
Hodd0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Honefoss
Kongsvinger100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%
Lillestrom
Mjondalen0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Notodden0.0%1.00%
Odd Grenland
Ranheim100.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%20.0%5.00%66.7%3.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%
Sandefjord100.0%3.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%80.0%5.00%66.7%3.00%71.4%7.00%100.0%2.00%
Sandnes Ulf
Sarpsborg 080.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%4.00%80.0%5.00%
Sogndal
Stabaek
Start0.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%28.6%7.00%100.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%
Strommen0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Stromsgodset
Ullensaker Kisa33.3%3.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%2.00%20.0%5.00%100.0%2.00%
Valerenga
Viking
Loser →
↓ Winner
AalesundBaerumBodo GlimtBrannBryneFredrikstadHamarkamerateneHoddHonefossKongsvingerLillestromMjondalenNotoddenOdd GrenlandRanheimSandefjordSandnes UlfSarpsborg 08SogndalStabaekStartStrommenStromsgodsetUllensaker KisaValerengaViking
Aalesund50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Baerum0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Bodo Glimt100.0%4.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Brann0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Bryne
Fredrikstad100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Hamarkameratene100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Hodd100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Honefoss0.0%2.00%0.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%
Kongsvinger50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Lillestrom66.7%3.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Mjondalen0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Notodden
Odd Grenland0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
Ranheim100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Sandefjord50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Sandnes Ulf100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Sarpsborg 08100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Sogndal0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%
Stabaek50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Start100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Strommen0.0%1.00%
Stromsgodset100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Ullensaker Kisa100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Valerenga100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Viking50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
Sandnes Ulf — — 53.66%
Sandefjord 69.84% 45.94% 23.01%
Bodo Glimt 45.83% 17.63% 8.74%
Mjondalen 54.17% 19.01% 7.58%
Ullensaker Kisa 30.16% 17.42% 7.01%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Bodo GlimtMjondalenSandefjordSandnes UlfUllensaker Kisa
Bodo Glimt45.8%100.00%
Mjondalen54.2%100.00%
Sandefjord69.8%100.00%
Sandnes Ulf
Ullensaker Kisa30.2%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Bodo GlimtMjondalenSandefjordSandnes UlfUllensaker Kisa
Bodo Glimt35.9%32.05%44.3%13.78%
Mjondalen32.8%37.79%40.5%16.38%
Sandefjord64.1%32.05%67.2%37.79%
Sandnes Ulf
Ullensaker Kisa55.7%13.78%59.5%16.38%
Loser →
↓ Winner
Bodo GlimtMjondalenSandefjordSandnes UlfUllensaker Kisa
Bodo Glimt49.6%17.63%
Mjondalen39.9%19.01%
Sandefjord50.1%45.94%
Sandnes Ulf50.4%17.63%60.1%19.01%49.9%45.94%59.8%17.42%
Ullensaker Kisa40.2%17.42%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2012-04-09 Bodo Glimt D 3-3 1329 1289 53.9% 24.2% 21.9% -0.8 1
2012-04-09 @ Baerum D 3-3 1289 1329 21.9% 24.2% 53.9% +0.8 1
2012-04-09 Kongsvinger L 0-2 1259 1297 43.8% 25.8% 30.4% -15.0 0
2012-04-09 @ Hodd W 2-0 1297 1259 30.4% 25.8% 43.8% +15.0 3
2012-04-09 Mjondalen L 0-1 1239 1244 48.4% 25.3% 26.4% -8.6 0
2012-04-09 @ Alta W 1-0 1244 1239 26.4% 25.3% 48.4% +8.6 3
2012-04-09 Notodden W 2-0 1329 1269 56.3% 23.6% 20.1% +7.9 3
2012-04-09 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 0-2 1269 1329 20.1% 23.6% 56.3% -7.9 0
2012-04-09 Ranheim L 1-3 1201 1286 37.3% 26.1% 36.6% -11.5 0
2012-04-09 @ Tromsdalen W 3-1 1286 1201 36.6% 26.1% 37.3% +11.5 3
2012-04-09 Sandefjord L 2-3 1290 1305 47.0% 25.4% 27.5% -7.5 0
2012-04-09 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-2 1305 1290 27.5% 25.4% 47.0% +7.5 3
2012-04-09 Start D 4-4 1295 1328 44.5% 25.7% 29.8% -0.3 1
2012-04-09 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 4-4 1328 1295 29.8% 25.7% 44.5% +0.3 1
2012-04-09 Strommen W 3-1 1278 1233 54.5% 24.1% 21.4% +7.3 3
2012-04-09 @ Bryne L 1-3 1233 1278 21.4% 24.1% 54.5% -7.2 0
2012-04-15 Alta W 1-0 1290 1231 56.2% 23.7% 20.2% +4.2 4
2012-04-15 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-1 1231 1290 20.2% 23.7% 56.2% -4.2 0
2012-04-15 Bryne W 3-0 1261 1285 45.8% 25.6% 28.6% +15.7 3
2012-04-15 @ Notodden L 0-3 1285 1261 28.6% 25.6% 45.8% -15.7 3
2012-04-15 Hamarkameratene W 3-1 1329 1283 54.6% 24.1% 21.3% +7.2 4
2012-04-15 @ Start L 1-3 1283 1329 21.3% 24.1% 54.6% -7.2 0
2012-04-15 Hodd W 4-2 1225 1244 46.6% 25.5% 27.9% +8.2 3
2012-04-15 @ Strommen L 2-4 1244 1225 27.9% 25.5% 46.6% -8.2 0
2012-04-15 Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1312 1294 51.2% 24.8% 24.0% -8.5 3
2012-04-15 @ Sandefjord W 2-1 1294 1312 24.0% 24.8% 51.2% +8.5 4
2012-04-15 Tromsdalen W 2-0 1312 1189 63.2% 21.4% 15.4% +6.1 6
2012-04-15 @ Kongsvinger L 0-2 1189 1312 15.4% 21.4% 63.2% -6.0 0
2012-04-15 Ullensaker Kisa W 3-0 1297 1337 43.7% 25.8% 30.5% +16.5 6
2012-04-15 @ Ranheim L 0-3 1337 1297 30.5% 25.8% 43.7% -16.5 3
2012-04-21 Start D 1-1 1304 1336 44.7% 25.7% 29.6% -0.6 4
2012-04-21 @ Sandefjord D 1-1 1336 1304 29.6% 25.7% 44.7% +0.6 5
2012-04-22 Baerum D 3-3 1227 1328 35.0% 26.1% 39.0% +0.1 1
2012-04-22 @ Alta D 3-3 1328 1227 39.0% 26.1% 35.0% -0.1 2
2012-04-22 Bodo Glimt W 2-1 1235 1294 41.0% 26.0% 33.0% +6.0 3
2012-04-22 @ Hodd L 1-2 1294 1235 33.0% 26.0% 41.0% -6.0 4
2012-04-22 Kongsvinger L 1-2 1303 1318 46.9% 25.5% 27.6% -7.9 4
2012-04-22 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1318 1303 27.6% 25.5% 46.9% +7.9 9
2012-04-22 Mjondalen W 5-0 1320 1252 57.2% 23.4% 19.4% +17.9 6
2012-04-22 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 0-5 1252 1320 19.4% 23.4% 57.2% -17.9 3
2012-04-22 Notodden W 1-0 1183 1277 36.1% 26.1% 37.8% +7.1 3
2012-04-22 @ Tromsdalen L 0-1 1277 1183 37.8% 26.1% 36.1% -7.1 3
2012-04-22 Ranheim L 0-1 1269 1314 43.0% 25.9% 31.1% -7.8 3
2012-04-22 @ Bryne W 1-0 1314 1269 31.1% 25.9% 43.0% +7.8 9
2012-04-22 Strommen L 2-3 1275 1234 54.1% 24.2% 21.7% -8.5 0
2012-04-22 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-2 1234 1275 21.7% 24.2% 54.1% +8.5 6
2012-04-28 Bryne D 1-1 1234 1262 45.4% 25.6% 29.0% -0.6 4
2012-04-28 @ Mjondalen D 1-1 1262 1234 29.0% 25.6% 45.4% +0.6 4
2012-04-28 Hamarkameratene L 0-3 1326 1267 56.2% 23.6% 20.1% -26.7 9
2012-04-28 @ Kongsvinger W 3-0 1267 1326 20.1% 23.6% 56.2% +26.7 3
2012-04-28 Hodd W 5-0 1227 1241 47.0% 25.4% 27.5% +24.5 4
2012-04-28 @ Alta L 0-5 1241 1227 27.5% 25.4% 47.0% -24.5 3
2012-04-28 Sandefjord D 1-1 1242 1303 40.7% 26.0% 33.3% -0.3 7
2012-04-28 @ Strommen D 1-1 1303 1242 33.3% 26.0% 40.7% +0.3 5
2012-04-28 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1269 1295 45.6% 25.6% 28.8% -8.2 3
2012-04-28 @ Notodden W 1-0 1295 1269 28.8% 25.6% 45.6% +8.2 7
2012-04-28 Start D 1-1 1321 1336 47.0% 25.5% 27.6% -0.7 10
2012-04-28 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1336 1321 27.6% 25.5% 47.0% +0.7 6
2012-04-28 Tromsdalen W 3-2 1288 1190 60.5% 22.4% 17.1% +3.2 7
2012-04-28 @ Bodo Glimt L 2-3 1190 1288 17.1% 22.4% 60.5% -3.2 3
2012-04-28 Ullensaker Kisa L 1-3 1328 1338 47.6% 25.4% 27.0% -13.9 2
2012-04-28 @ Baerum W 3-1 1338 1328 27.0% 25.4% 47.6% +13.9 9
2012-05-06 Alta D 1-1 1262 1251 50.4% 24.9% 24.7% -1.0 5
2012-05-06 @ Bryne D 1-1 1251 1262 24.7% 24.9% 50.4% +1.0 5
2012-05-06 Bodo Glimt L 0-3 1352 1291 56.4% 23.6% 20.0% -26.8 9
2012-05-06 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 3-0 1291 1352 20.0% 23.6% 56.4% +26.8 10
2012-05-06 Kongsvinger W 1-0 1303 1300 49.5% 25.1% 25.5% +5.2 8
2012-05-06 @ Sandefjord L 0-1 1300 1303 25.5% 25.1% 49.5% -5.2 9
2012-05-06 Mjondalen W 2-0 1187 1234 42.7% 25.9% 31.4% +11.6 6
2012-05-06 @ Tromsdalen L 0-2 1234 1187 31.4% 25.9% 42.7% -11.6 4
2012-05-06 Notodden W 1-0 1294 1261 53.0% 24.4% 22.6% +4.7 6
2012-05-06 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-1 1261 1294 22.6% 24.4% 53.0% -4.7 3
2012-05-06 Ranheim D 2-2 1303 1321 46.7% 25.5% 27.9% -0.5 8
2012-05-06 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 2-2 1321 1303 27.9% 25.5% 46.7% +0.5 11
2012-05-06 Strommen W 3-1 1337 1242 60.3% 22.4% 17.3% +5.9 9
2012-05-06 @ Start L 1-3 1242 1337 17.3% 22.4% 60.3% -5.9 7
2012-05-13 Bryne W 4-1 1318 1261 55.9% 23.7% 20.3% +9.8 13
2012-05-13 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-4 1261 1318 20.3% 23.7% 55.9% -9.8 5
2012-05-13 Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1321 1298 51.8% 24.7% 23.5% -1.1 12
2012-05-13 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1298 1321 23.5% 24.7% 51.8% +1.1 7
2012-05-13 Hodd W 2-1 1222 1217 49.6% 25.1% 25.3% +4.9 7
2012-05-13 @ Mjondalen L 1-2 1217 1222 25.3% 25.1% 49.6% -4.9 3
2012-05-13 Sandefjord W 3-0 1257 1309 41.9% 25.9% 32.1% +17.2 6
2012-05-13 @ Notodden L 0-3 1309 1257 32.1% 25.9% 41.9% -17.2 8
2012-05-13 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1236 1303 39.9% 26.0% 34.1% -13.9 7
2012-05-13 @ Strommen W 2-0 1303 1236 34.1% 26.0% 39.9% +13.9 11
2012-05-13 Start L 0-1 1294 1343 42.4% 25.9% 31.7% -7.8 9
2012-05-13 @ Kongsvinger W 1-0 1343 1294 31.7% 25.9% 42.4% +7.8 12
2012-05-13 Tromsdalen L 1-2 1314 1199 62.4% 21.7% 15.9% -10.0 2
2012-05-13 @ Baerum W 2-1 1199 1314 15.9% 21.7% 62.4% +10.0 9
2012-05-13 Ullensaker Kisa L 1-3 1252 1325 39.0% 26.1% 34.9% -11.9 5
2012-05-13 @ Alta W 3-1 1325 1252 34.9% 26.1% 39.0% +11.9 12
2012-05-16 Alta D 1-1 1209 1240 44.8% 25.7% 29.5% -0.6 10
2012-05-16 @ Tromsdalen D 1-1 1240 1209 29.5% 25.7% 44.8% +0.6 6
2012-05-16 Baerum W 3-1 1251 1304 41.9% 25.9% 32.2% +10.3 8
2012-05-16 @ Bryne L 1-3 1304 1251 32.2% 25.9% 41.9% -10.3 2
2012-05-16 Bodo Glimt D 0-0 1299 1328 45.2% 25.7% 29.1% -0.7 8
2012-05-16 @ Hamarkameratene D 0-0 1328 1299 29.1% 25.7% 45.2% +0.7 14
2012-05-16 Kongsvinger W 1-0 1222 1287 40.2% 26.0% 33.8% +6.5 10
2012-05-16 @ Strommen L 0-1 1287 1222 33.8% 26.0% 40.2% -6.5 9
2012-05-16 Mjondalen W 3-1 1317 1227 59.6% 22.6% 17.7% +6.1 14
2012-05-16 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-3 1227 1317 17.7% 22.6% 59.6% -6.0 7
2012-05-16 Notodden W 7-0 1351 1274 58.2% 23.1% 18.7% +23.7 15
2012-05-16 @ Start L 0-7 1274 1351 18.7% 23.1% 58.2% -23.7 6
2012-05-16 Ranheim W 3-0 1291 1320 45.2% 25.7% 29.2% +15.9 11
2012-05-16 @ Sandefjord L 0-3 1320 1291 29.2% 25.7% 45.2% -15.9 12
2012-05-16 Ullensaker Kisa L 1-3 1212 1337 31.8% 25.9% 42.3% -10.2 3
2012-05-16 @ Hodd W 3-1 1337 1212 42.3% 25.9% 31.8% +10.2 15
2012-05-20 Bryne L 0-1 1202 1262 40.9% 26.0% 33.1% -7.5 3
2012-05-20 @ Hodd W 1-0 1262 1202 33.1% 26.0% 40.9% +7.5 11
2012-05-20 Hamarkameratene L 1-2 1294 1299 48.3% 25.3% 26.5% -8.1 2
2012-05-20 @ Baerum W 2-1 1299 1294 26.5% 25.3% 48.3% +8.1 11
2012-05-20 Kongsvinger W 7-0 1304 1280 52.0% 24.6% 23.4% +29.2 15
2012-05-20 @ Ranheim L 0-7 1280 1304 23.4% 24.6% 52.0% -29.2 9
2012-05-20 Sandefjord W 4-0 1328 1307 51.6% 24.7% 23.7% +17.4 17
2012-05-20 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-4 1307 1328 23.7% 24.7% 51.6% -17.4 11
2012-05-20 Sarpsborg 08 L 1-3 1241 1323 37.7% 26.1% 36.2% -11.6 6
2012-05-20 @ Alta W 3-1 1323 1241 36.2% 26.1% 37.7% +11.6 17
2012-05-20 Start W 3-0 1221 1374 28.2% 25.6% 46.2% +22.7 10
2012-05-20 @ Mjondalen L 0-3 1374 1221 46.2% 25.6% 28.2% -22.7 15
2012-05-20 Strommen W 2-0 1250 1228 51.7% 24.7% 23.6% +9.2 9
2012-05-20 @ Notodden L 0-2 1228 1250 23.6% 24.7% 51.7% -9.2 10
2012-05-22 Tromsdalen W 2-1 1347 1208 64.8% 20.8% 14.4% +2.8 18
2012-05-22 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 1-2 1208 1347 14.4% 20.8% 64.8% -2.8 10
2012-05-23 Baerum W 2-1 1244 1285 43.4% 25.8% 30.8% +5.7 13
2012-05-23 @ Mjondalen L 1-2 1285 1244 30.8% 25.8% 43.4% -5.7 2
2012-05-28 Alta D 2-2 1290 1229 56.4% 23.6% 20.0% -1.1 12
2012-05-28 @ Sandefjord D 2-2 1229 1290 20.0% 23.6% 56.4% +1.1 7
2012-05-28 Baerum W 1-0 1334 1280 55.6% 23.8% 20.5% +4.3 20
2012-05-28 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1280 1334 20.5% 23.8% 55.6% -4.3 2
2012-05-28 Bodo Glimt W 3-0 1352 1346 49.7% 25.1% 25.2% +14.1 18
2012-05-28 @ Start L 0-3 1346 1352 25.2% 25.1% 49.7% -14.1 17
2012-05-28 Hodd W 3-2 1205 1194 50.4% 24.9% 24.7% +4.5 13
2012-05-28 @ Tromsdalen L 2-3 1194 1205 24.7% 24.9% 50.4% -4.5 3
2012-05-28 Mjondalen D 1-1 1307 1249 56.0% 23.7% 20.3% -1.4 12
2012-05-28 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1249 1307 20.3% 23.7% 56.0% +1.4 14
2012-05-28 Notodden W 3-1 1251 1259 47.9% 25.3% 26.8% +8.8 12
2012-05-28 @ Kongsvinger L 1-3 1259 1251 26.8% 25.3% 47.9% -8.8 9
2012-05-28 Ranheim W 2-1 1219 1333 33.2% 26.0% 40.8% +7.1 13
2012-05-28 @ Strommen L 1-2 1333 1219 40.8% 26.0% 33.2% -7.1 15
2012-05-28 Ullensaker Kisa L 0-2 1269 1350 37.9% 26.1% 36.0% -13.4 11
2012-05-28 @ Bryne W 2-0 1350 1269 36.0% 26.1% 37.9% +13.4 21
2012-06-03 Hamarkameratene W 5-0 1190 1305 33.0% 26.0% 41.0% +33.3 6
2012-06-03 @ Hodd L 0-5 1305 1190 41.0% 26.0% 33.0% -33.3 12
2012-06-03 Kongsvinger D 1-1 1230 1260 45.1% 25.7% 29.3% -0.6 8
2012-06-03 @ Alta D 1-1 1260 1230 29.3% 25.7% 45.1% +0.6 13
2012-06-03 Ranheim L 2-3 1250 1326 38.6% 26.1% 35.4% -6.5 9
2012-06-03 @ Notodden W 3-2 1326 1250 35.4% 26.1% 38.6% +6.5 18
2012-06-03 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1363 1338 52.1% 24.6% 23.3% +4.5 24
2012-06-03 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 1-2 1338 1363 23.3% 24.6% 52.1% -4.5 20
2012-06-03 Start L 2-3 1275 1366 36.5% 26.1% 37.4% -6.2 2
2012-06-03 @ Baerum W 3-2 1366 1275 37.4% 26.1% 36.5% +6.2 21
2012-06-03 Strommen D 0-0 1332 1226 61.4% 22.1% 16.6% -2.0 18
2012-06-03 @ Bodo Glimt D 0-0 1226 1332 16.6% 22.1% 61.4% +2.0 14
2012-06-03 Tromsdalen D 2-2 1256 1210 54.6% 24.1% 21.3% -1.0 12
2012-06-03 @ Bryne D 2-2 1210 1256 21.3% 24.1% 54.6% +1.0 14
2012-06-24 Baerum W 2-0 1223 1269 42.8% 25.9% 31.4% +11.6 9
2012-06-24 @ Hodd L 0-2 1269 1223 31.4% 25.9% 42.8% -11.6 2
2012-06-24 Sandefjord L 0-3 1251 1289 43.9% 25.8% 30.3% -21.8 14
2012-06-24 @ Mjondalen W 3-0 1289 1251 30.3% 25.8% 43.9% +21.8 15
2012-06-30 Alta W 3-0 1272 1230 54.2% 24.1% 21.6% +12.3 15
2012-06-30 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-3 1230 1272 21.6% 24.1% 54.2% -12.3 8
2012-06-30 Baerum W 6-2 1260 1258 49.3% 25.1% 25.6% +13.2 16
2012-06-30 @ Kongsvinger L 2-6 1258 1260 25.6% 25.1% 49.3% -13.2 2
2012-06-30 Bodo Glimt L 0-4 1244 1330 37.2% 26.1% 36.8% -25.1 9
2012-06-30 @ Notodden W 4-0 1330 1244 36.8% 26.1% 37.2% +25.1 21
2012-06-30 Bryne D 2-2 1334 1255 58.5% 23.0% 18.5% -1.2 21
2012-06-30 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 2-2 1255 1334 18.5% 23.0% 58.5% +1.2 13
2012-06-30 Hodd D 1-1 1333 1235 60.6% 22.3% 17.1% -1.8 19
2012-06-30 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1235 1333 17.1% 22.3% 60.6% +1.8 10
2012-06-30 Mjondalen D 2-2 1228 1229 48.9% 25.2% 25.9% -0.7 15
2012-06-30 @ Strommen D 2-2 1229 1228 25.9% 25.2% 48.9% +0.7 15
2012-06-30 Tromsdalen L 1-2 1311 1211 60.7% 22.3% 17.0% -9.8 15
2012-06-30 @ Sandefjord W 2-1 1211 1311 17.0% 22.3% 60.7% +9.8 17
2012-06-30 Ullensaker Kisa W 2-0 1372 1368 49.5% 25.1% 25.4% +9.8 24
2012-06-30 @ Start L 0-2 1368 1372 25.4% 25.1% 49.5% -9.8 24
2012-07-08 Kongsvinger W 2-1 1230 1274 43.1% 25.9% 31.1% +5.8 18
2012-07-08 @ Mjondalen L 1-2 1274 1230 31.1% 25.9% 43.1% -5.8 16
2012-07-08 Notodden W 6-0 1244 1219 52.2% 24.6% 23.2% +25.1 5
2012-07-08 @ Baerum L 0-6 1219 1244 23.2% 24.6% 52.2% -25.1 9
2012-07-08 Ranheim L 0-3 1355 1331 52.0% 24.6% 23.4% -25.0 21
2012-07-08 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-0 1331 1355 23.4% 24.6% 52.0% +25.0 22
2012-07-08 Sandefjord L 0-1 1256 1301 42.9% 25.9% 31.2% -7.8 13
2012-07-08 @ Bryne W 1-0 1301 1256 31.2% 25.9% 42.9% +7.8 18
2012-07-08 Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1221 1333 33.5% 26.0% 40.5% +0.3 18
2012-07-08 @ Tromsdalen D 0-0 1333 1221 40.5% 26.0% 33.5% -0.3 22
2012-07-08 Start D 0-0 1237 1382 29.2% 25.7% 45.1% +0.7 11
2012-07-08 @ Hodd D 0-0 1382 1237 45.1% 25.7% 29.2% -0.7 25
2012-07-11 Strommen L 2-3 1217 1228 47.6% 25.4% 27.0% -7.6 8
2012-07-11 @ Alta W 3-2 1228 1217 27.0% 25.4% 47.6% +7.6 18
2012-07-15 Alta W 4-0 1381 1210 68.0% 19.4% 12.6% +9.2 28
2012-07-15 @ Start L 0-4 1210 1381 12.6% 19.4% 68.0% -9.2 8
2012-07-15 Baerum L 1-2 1235 1270 44.4% 25.7% 29.9% -7.6 18
2012-07-15 @ Strommen W 2-1 1270 1235 29.9% 25.7% 44.4% +7.6 8
2012-07-15 Bodo Glimt D 1-1 1332 1330 49.3% 25.1% 25.6% -0.9 23
2012-07-15 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1330 1332 25.6% 25.1% 49.3% +0.9 22
2012-07-15 Bryne L 1-2 1268 1248 51.4% 24.8% 23.8% -8.5 16
2012-07-15 @ Kongsvinger W 2-1 1248 1268 23.8% 24.8% 51.4% +8.5 16
2012-07-15 Hodd D 2-2 1194 1237 43.1% 25.8% 31.0% -0.3 10
2012-07-15 @ Notodden D 2-2 1237 1194 31.0% 25.8% 43.1% +0.3 12
2012-07-15 Mjondalen L 1-2 1356 1235 62.9% 21.5% 15.6% -10.1 22
2012-07-15 @ Ranheim W 2-1 1235 1356 15.6% 21.5% 62.9% +10.1 21
2012-07-15 Tromsdalen W 7-2 1284 1221 56.7% 23.5% 19.8% +12.6 18
2012-07-15 @ Hamarkameratene L 2-7 1221 1284 19.8% 23.5% 56.7% -12.6 18
2012-07-15 Ullensaker Kisa W 2-0 1309 1358 42.3% 25.9% 31.8% +11.7 21
2012-07-15 @ Sandefjord L 0-2 1358 1309 31.8% 25.9% 42.3% -11.7 24
2012-07-18 Hamarkameratene L 0-1 1346 1297 55.0% 23.9% 21.0% -9.6 24
2012-07-18 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 1-0 1297 1346 21.0% 23.9% 55.0% +9.6 21
2012-07-22 Hamarkameratene L 0-1 1257 1307 42.2% 25.9% 31.9% -7.7 16
2012-07-22 @ Bryne W 1-0 1307 1257 31.9% 25.9% 42.2% +7.7 24
2012-07-22 Kongsvinger D 1-1 1331 1259 57.6% 23.3% 19.1% -1.5 23
2012-07-22 @ Bodo Glimt D 1-1 1259 1331 19.1% 23.3% 57.6% +1.5 17
2012-07-22 Notodden D 2-2 1246 1193 55.4% 23.9% 20.8% -1.0 22
2012-07-22 @ Mjondalen D 2-2 1193 1246 20.8% 23.9% 55.4% +1.0 11
2012-07-22 Ranheim D 1-1 1201 1346 29.2% 25.7% 45.1% +0.6 9
2012-07-22 @ Alta D 1-1 1346 1201 45.1% 25.7% 29.2% -0.6 23
2012-07-22 Sandefjord L 1-3 1277 1320 43.2% 25.8% 31.0% -12.8 8
2012-07-22 @ Baerum W 3-1 1320 1277 31.0% 25.8% 43.2% +12.8 24
2012-07-22 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1238 1332 36.0% 26.1% 37.9% +6.7 15
2012-07-22 @ Hodd L 1-2 1332 1238 37.9% 26.1% 36.0% -6.7 23
2012-07-22 Start L 1-2 1208 1390 25.1% 25.0% 49.9% -4.8 18
2012-07-22 @ Tromsdalen W 2-1 1390 1208 49.9% 25.0% 25.1% +4.8 31
2012-07-23 Strommen D 1-1 1337 1228 61.7% 21.9% 16.3% -1.8 25
2012-07-23 @ Ullensaker Kisa D 1-1 1228 1337 16.3% 21.9% 61.7% +1.8 19
2012-07-29 Alta W 4-1 1194 1201 48.1% 25.3% 26.6% +12.5 14
2012-07-29 @ Notodden L 1-4 1201 1194 26.6% 25.3% 48.1% -12.5 9
2012-07-29 Baerum W 3-1 1345 1264 58.7% 22.9% 18.4% +6.3 26
2012-07-29 @ Ranheim L 1-3 1264 1345 18.4% 22.9% 58.7% -6.3 8
2012-07-29 Bryne W 3-1 1395 1249 65.6% 20.5% 14.0% +4.7 34
2012-07-29 @ Start L 1-3 1249 1395 14.0% 20.5% 65.6% -4.7 16
2012-07-29 Hamarkameratene W 4-1 1325 1314 50.3% 25.0% 24.8% +11.7 26
2012-07-29 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-4 1314 1325 24.8% 25.0% 50.3% -11.7 24
2012-07-29 Hodd W 1-0 1333 1244 59.6% 22.7% 17.8% +3.7 27
2012-07-29 @ Sandefjord L 0-1 1244 1333 17.8% 22.7% 59.6% -3.7 15
2012-07-29 Mjondalen D 2-2 1329 1245 59.1% 22.8% 18.1% -1.2 24
2012-07-29 @ Bodo Glimt D 2-2 1245 1329 18.1% 22.8% 59.1% +1.2 23
2012-07-29 Tromsdalen W 5-0 1230 1204 52.2% 24.6% 23.2% +21.1 22
2012-07-29 @ Strommen L 0-5 1204 1230 23.2% 24.6% 52.2% -21.1 18
2012-07-29 Ullensaker Kisa W 1-0 1261 1335 38.8% 26.1% 35.1% +6.7 20
2012-07-29 @ Kongsvinger L 0-1 1335 1261 35.1% 26.1% 38.8% -6.7 25
2012-08-05 Alta D 1-1 1241 1189 55.3% 23.9% 20.8% -1.4 16
2012-08-05 @ Hodd D 1-1 1189 1241 20.8% 23.9% 55.3% +1.4 10
2012-08-05 Bodo Glimt D 1-1 1251 1328 38.4% 26.1% 35.5% -0.1 23
2012-08-05 @ Strommen D 1-1 1328 1251 35.5% 26.1% 38.4% +0.1 25
2012-08-05 Kongsvinger L 0-5 1303 1267 53.3% 24.3% 22.3% -41.2 24
2012-08-05 @ Hamarkameratene W 5-0 1267 1303 22.3% 24.3% 53.3% +41.2 23
2012-08-05 Notodden W 2-1 1244 1207 53.6% 24.3% 22.1% +4.3 19
2012-08-05 @ Bryne L 1-2 1207 1244 22.1% 24.3% 53.6% -4.3 14
2012-08-05 Ranheim D 2-2 1400 1352 54.9% 24.0% 21.1% -1.0 35
2012-08-05 @ Start D 2-2 1352 1400 21.1% 24.0% 54.9% +1.0 27
2012-08-05 Sandefjord L 0-3 1183 1337 28.1% 25.5% 46.3% -15.5 18
2012-08-05 @ Tromsdalen W 3-0 1337 1183 46.3% 25.5% 28.1% +15.5 30
2012-08-05 Sarpsborg 08 L 2-4 1258 1337 38.2% 26.1% 35.7% -10.5 8
2012-08-05 @ Baerum W 4-2 1337 1258 35.7% 26.1% 38.2% +10.5 29
2012-08-05 Ullensaker Kisa W 2-1 1246 1328 37.6% 26.1% 36.3% +6.5 26
2012-08-05 @ Mjondalen L 1-2 1328 1246 36.3% 26.1% 37.6% -6.5 25
2012-08-10 Mjondalen D 1-1 1352 1252 60.8% 22.3% 16.9% -1.8 31
2012-08-10 @ Sandefjord D 1-1 1252 1352 16.9% 22.3% 60.8% +1.8 27
2012-08-12 Baerum W 3-1 1328 1248 58.6% 23.0% 18.4% +6.3 28
2012-08-12 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-3 1248 1328 18.4% 23.0% 58.6% -6.3 8
2012-08-12 Bryne W 3-2 1190 1249 41.0% 26.0% 33.0% +5.7 13
2012-08-12 @ Alta L 2-3 1249 1190 33.0% 26.0% 41.0% -5.7 19
2012-08-12 Hamarkameratene L 0-3 1203 1262 41.0% 26.0% 33.0% -20.7 14
2012-08-12 @ Notodden W 3-0 1262 1203 33.0% 26.0% 41.0% +20.7 27
2012-08-12 Hodd W 2-1 1309 1239 57.4% 23.3% 19.3% +3.8 26
2012-08-12 @ Kongsvinger L 1-2 1239 1309 19.3% 23.3% 57.4% -3.8 16
2012-08-12 Strommen W 4-0 1347 1251 60.4% 22.4% 17.2% +12.9 32
2012-08-12 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-4 1251 1347 17.2% 22.4% 60.4% -12.9 23
2012-08-12 Tromsdalen W 4-1 1353 1167 69.3% 18.8% 11.9% +5.5 30
2012-08-12 @ Ranheim L 1-4 1167 1353 11.9% 18.8% 69.3% -5.6 18
2012-08-13 Start L 0-3 1322 1399 38.4% 26.1% 35.5% -19.7 25
2012-08-13 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 3-0 1399 1322 35.5% 26.1% 38.4% +19.7 38
2012-08-19 Alta W 4-0 1254 1196 56.1% 23.7% 20.2% +15.1 30
2012-08-19 @ Mjondalen L 0-4 1196 1254 20.2% 23.7% 56.1% -15.1 13
2012-08-19 Ranheim W 2-1 1282 1358 38.6% 26.1% 35.4% +6.4 30
2012-08-19 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-2 1358 1282 35.4% 26.1% 38.6% -6.4 30
2012-08-19 Sarpsborg 08 L 3-4 1419 1360 56.1% 23.7% 20.2% -8.5 38
2012-08-19 @ Start W 4-3 1360 1419 20.2% 23.7% 56.1% +8.5 35
2012-08-19 Strommen D 0-0 1241 1238 49.4% 25.1% 25.5% -1.0 9
2012-08-19 @ Baerum D 0-0 1238 1241 25.5% 25.1% 49.4% +1.0 24
2012-08-26 Bryne D 0-0 1352 1243 61.7% 21.9% 16.3% -2.1 31
2012-08-26 @ Ranheim D 0-0 1243 1352 16.3% 21.9% 61.7% +2.1 20
2012-08-26 Hamarkameratene W 3-1 1334 1289 54.6% 24.1% 21.3% +7.2 31
2012-08-26 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-3 1289 1334 21.3% 24.1% 54.6% -7.2 30
2012-08-26 Hodd L 1-2 1240 1235 49.6% 25.1% 25.4% -8.3 9
2012-08-26 @ Baerum W 2-1 1235 1240 25.4% 25.1% 49.6% +8.3 19
2012-08-26 Mjondalen L 0-2 1312 1269 54.3% 24.1% 21.5% -17.9 26
2012-08-26 @ Kongsvinger W 2-0 1269 1312 21.5% 24.1% 54.3% +17.9 33
2012-08-26 Sandefjord L 0-1 1181 1351 26.4% 25.3% 48.4% -5.3 13
2012-08-26 @ Alta W 1-0 1351 1181 48.4% 25.3% 26.4% +5.3 34
2012-08-26 Start L 1-2 1239 1410 26.2% 25.2% 48.5% -5.0 24
2012-08-26 @ Strommen W 2-1 1410 1239 48.5% 25.2% 26.2% +5.0 41
2012-08-26 Tromsdalen W 2-0 1368 1162 71.3% 17.9% 10.8% +4.1 38
2012-08-26 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1162 1368 10.8% 17.9% 71.3% -4.1 18
2012-08-26 Ullensaker Kisa L 1-2 1182 1302 32.4% 25.9% 41.6% -6.0 14
2012-08-26 @ Notodden W 2-1 1302 1182 41.6% 25.9% 32.4% +6.0 28
2012-08-29 Kongsvinger W 2-1 1157 1295 30.2% 25.8% 44.0% +7.5 21
2012-08-29 @ Tromsdalen L 1-2 1295 1157 44.0% 25.8% 30.2% -7.5 26
2012-08-29 Notodden W 2-1 1244 1176 57.2% 23.4% 19.4% +3.8 22
2012-08-29 @ Hodd L 1-2 1176 1244 19.4% 23.4% 57.2% -3.8 14
2012-08-29 Sandefjord D 1-1 1308 1356 42.5% 25.9% 31.6% -0.4 29
2012-08-29 @ Ullensaker Kisa D 1-1 1356 1308 31.6% 25.9% 42.5% +0.4 35
2012-09-02 Alta W 3-0 1308 1175 64.1% 21.0% 14.8% +8.4 32
2012-09-02 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 0-3 1175 1308 14.8% 21.0% 64.1% -8.4 13
2012-09-02 Baerum W 4-0 1415 1232 69.1% 18.9% 12.0% +8.7 44
2012-09-02 @ Start L 0-4 1232 1415 12.0% 18.9% 69.1% -8.7 9
2012-09-02 Bodo Glimt W 2-1 1287 1342 41.6% 25.9% 32.5% +6.0 36
2012-09-02 @ Mjondalen L 1-2 1342 1287 32.5% 25.9% 41.6% -6.0 31
2012-09-02 Kongsvinger W 2-1 1245 1287 43.3% 25.8% 30.9% +5.7 23
2012-09-02 @ Bryne L 1-2 1287 1245 30.9% 25.8% 43.3% -5.7 26
2012-09-02 Notodden D 3-3 1356 1172 69.2% 18.9% 11.9% -1.5 36
2012-09-02 @ Sandefjord D 3-3 1172 1356 11.9% 18.9% 69.2% +1.5 15
2012-09-02 Ranheim L 1-3 1247 1350 34.8% 26.1% 39.1% -10.9 22
2012-09-02 @ Hodd W 3-1 1350 1247 39.1% 26.1% 34.8% +10.9 34
2012-09-02 Sarpsborg 08 L 3-5 1281 1372 36.4% 26.1% 37.5% -9.5 30
2012-09-02 @ Hamarkameratene W 5-3 1372 1281 37.5% 26.1% 36.4% +9.5 41
2012-09-02 Strommen W 3-0 1165 1234 39.6% 26.0% 34.4% +18.1 24
2012-09-02 @ Tromsdalen L 0-3 1234 1165 34.4% 26.0% 39.6% -18.1 24
2012-09-09 Alta W 4-0 1281 1167 62.3% 21.7% 16.0% +11.9 29
2012-09-09 @ Kongsvinger L 0-4 1167 1281 16.0% 21.7% 62.3% -11.9 13
2012-09-09 Bryne W 5-4 1223 1251 45.3% 25.7% 29.0% +5.0 12
2012-09-09 @ Baerum L 4-5 1251 1223 29.0% 25.7% 45.3% -5.0 23
2012-09-09 Hamarkameratene L 0-4 1216 1272 41.4% 26.0% 32.7% -27.2 24
2012-09-09 @ Strommen W 4-0 1272 1216 32.7% 26.0% 41.4% +27.2 33
2012-09-09 Mjondalen L 0-2 1174 1293 32.5% 25.9% 41.5% -11.9 15
2012-09-09 @ Notodden W 2-0 1293 1174 41.5% 25.9% 32.5% +12.0 39
2012-09-09 Sandefjord L 1-2 1361 1355 49.7% 25.1% 25.3% -8.3 34
2012-09-09 @ Ranheim W 2-1 1355 1361 25.3% 25.1% 49.7% +8.3 39
2012-09-09 Tromsdalen D 3-3 1424 1183 74.2% 16.4% 9.4% -1.6 45
2012-09-09 @ Start D 3-3 1183 1424 9.4% 16.4% 74.2% +1.7 25
2012-09-09 Ullensaker Kisa W 1-0 1336 1316 51.4% 24.8% 23.8% +4.9 34
2012-09-09 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-1 1316 1336 23.8% 24.8% 51.4% -4.9 32
2012-09-12 Bodo Glimt W 2-1 1246 1340 35.9% 26.1% 38.1% +6.7 26
2012-09-12 @ Bryne L 1-2 1340 1246 38.1% 26.1% 35.9% -6.7 34
2012-09-16 Baerum L 2-3 1185 1228 43.1% 25.9% 31.0% -7.0 25
2012-09-16 @ Tromsdalen W 3-2 1228 1185 31.0% 25.9% 43.1% +7.0 15
2012-09-16 Bodo Glimt W 2-1 1363 1334 52.7% 24.5% 22.8% +4.5 42
2012-09-16 @ Sandefjord L 1-2 1334 1363 22.8% 24.5% 52.7% -4.5 34
2012-09-16 Kongsvinger L 0-1 1311 1293 51.2% 24.8% 24.0% -9.0 32
2012-09-16 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 1-0 1293 1311 24.0% 24.8% 51.2% +9.0 32
2012-09-16 Notodden W 1-0 1155 1162 48.1% 25.3% 26.6% +5.4 16
2012-09-16 @ Alta L 0-1 1162 1155 26.6% 25.3% 48.1% -5.4 15
2012-09-16 Ranheim W 2-1 1305 1352 42.6% 25.9% 31.5% +5.8 42
2012-09-16 @ Mjondalen L 1-2 1352 1305 31.5% 25.9% 42.6% -5.8 34
2012-09-16 Sarpsborg 08 W 4-3 1252 1382 31.2% 25.9% 43.0% +6.8 29
2012-09-16 @ Bryne L 3-4 1382 1252 43.0% 25.9% 31.2% -6.8 41
2012-09-16 Start L 1-2 1299 1422 32.0% 25.9% 42.1% -5.9 33
2012-09-16 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-1 1422 1299 42.1% 25.9% 32.0% +5.9 48
2012-09-16 Strommen W 4-1 1237 1188 54.9% 24.0% 21.1% +10.1 25
2012-09-16 @ Hodd L 1-4 1188 1237 21.1% 24.0% 54.9% -10.2 24
2012-09-23 Alta W 2-1 1346 1160 69.4% 18.8% 11.8% +2.3 37
2012-09-23 @ Ranheim L 1-2 1160 1346 11.8% 18.8% 69.4% -2.3 16
2012-09-23 Bryne D 1-1 1178 1259 37.9% 26.1% 36.1% -0.1 25
2012-09-23 @ Strommen D 1-1 1259 1178 36.1% 26.1% 37.9% +0.1 30
2012-09-23 Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1178 1293 33.1% 26.0% 41.0% +0.3 26
2012-09-23 @ Tromsdalen D 1-1 1293 1178 41.0% 26.0% 33.1% -0.3 34
2012-09-23 Hodd W 2-1 1428 1247 68.9% 19.0% 12.1% +2.3 51
2012-09-23 @ Start L 1-2 1247 1428 12.1% 19.0% 68.9% -2.3 25
2012-09-23 Mjondalen L 0-3 1235 1311 38.6% 26.1% 35.3% -19.8 15
2012-09-23 @ Baerum W 3-0 1311 1235 35.3% 26.1% 38.6% +19.8 45
2012-09-23 Notodden W 6-0 1329 1156 68.2% 19.4% 12.5% +13.4 37
2012-09-23 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-6 1156 1329 12.5% 19.4% 68.2% -13.4 15
2012-09-23 Sandefjord W 2-0 1302 1368 40.1% 26.0% 33.9% +12.3 35
2012-09-23 @ Kongsvinger L 0-2 1368 1302 33.9% 26.0% 40.1% -12.3 42
2012-09-23 Ullensaker Kisa W 2-1 1375 1302 57.8% 23.2% 19.0% +3.7 44
2012-09-23 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1302 1375 19.0% 23.2% 57.8% -3.7 32
2012-09-30 Baerum W 3-1 1293 1216 58.3% 23.1% 18.7% +6.4 37
2012-09-30 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-3 1216 1293 18.7% 23.1% 58.3% -6.4 15
2012-09-30 Bodo Glimt D 1-1 1158 1343 24.8% 25.0% 50.2% +1.0 17
2012-09-30 @ Alta D 1-1 1343 1158 50.2% 25.0% 24.8% -1.0 38
2012-09-30 Kongsvinger W 3-1 1143 1315 26.2% 25.2% 48.6% +14.1 18
2012-09-30 @ Notodden L 1-3 1315 1143 48.6% 25.2% 26.2% -14.1 35
2012-09-30 Ranheim W 1-0 1298 1349 42.2% 25.9% 31.9% +6.2 35
2012-09-30 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 0-1 1349 1298 31.9% 25.9% 42.2% -6.2 37
2012-09-30 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1331 1379 42.4% 25.9% 31.6% -14.6 45
2012-09-30 @ Mjondalen W 2-0 1379 1331 31.6% 25.9% 42.4% +14.6 47
2012-09-30 Start L 0-3 1259 1430 26.2% 25.2% 48.5% -14.6 30
2012-09-30 @ Bryne W 3-0 1430 1259 48.5% 25.2% 26.2% +14.6 54
2012-09-30 Strommen W 1-0 1355 1178 68.5% 19.2% 12.3% +2.5 45
2012-09-30 @ Sandefjord L 0-1 1178 1355 12.3% 19.2% 68.5% -2.5 25
2012-09-30 Tromsdalen W 4-3 1244 1178 57.0% 23.4% 19.5% +3.6 28
2012-09-30 @ Hodd L 3-4 1178 1244 19.5% 23.4% 57.0% -3.6 26
2012-10-07 Alta D 1-1 1209 1159 55.1% 23.9% 20.9% -1.4 16
2012-10-07 @ Baerum D 1-1 1159 1209 20.9% 23.9% 55.1% +1.3 18
2012-10-07 Bodo Glimt L 1-2 1301 1342 43.5% 25.8% 30.7% -7.5 35
2012-10-07 @ Kongsvinger W 2-1 1342 1301 30.7% 25.8% 43.5% +7.4 41
2012-10-07 Bryne W 5-1 1174 1245 39.4% 26.0% 34.6% +19.8 29
2012-10-07 @ Tromsdalen L 1-5 1245 1174 34.6% 26.0% 39.4% -19.8 30
2012-10-07 Hodd W 2-0 1299 1248 55.3% 23.9% 20.8% +8.2 40
2012-10-07 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-2 1248 1299 20.8% 23.9% 55.3% -8.2 28
2012-10-07 Mjondalen W 3-1 1445 1316 63.8% 21.2% 15.0% +5.1 57
2012-10-07 @ Start L 1-3 1316 1445 15.0% 21.2% 63.8% -5.1 45
2012-10-07 Notodden W 3-2 1342 1157 69.3% 18.8% 11.9% +2.2 40
2012-10-07 @ Ranheim L 2-3 1157 1342 11.9% 18.8% 69.3% -2.1 18
2012-10-07 Sandefjord L 0-3 1394 1358 53.4% 24.3% 22.3% -25.6 47
2012-10-07 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 3-0 1358 1394 22.3% 24.3% 53.4% +25.6 48
2012-10-07 Ullensaker Kisa W 2-1 1176 1305 31.3% 25.9% 42.8% +7.4 28
2012-10-07 @ Strommen L 1-2 1305 1176 42.8% 25.9% 31.3% -7.4 35
2012-10-14 Baerum W 5-2 1297 1208 59.6% 22.7% 17.7% +7.4 38
2012-10-14 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 2-5 1208 1297 17.7% 22.7% 59.6% -7.4 16
2012-10-14 Hamarkameratene W 2-0 1384 1307 58.1% 23.1% 18.8% +7.4 51
2012-10-14 @ Sandefjord L 0-2 1307 1384 18.8% 23.1% 58.1% -7.4 40
2012-10-14 Hodd W 1-0 1225 1240 47.0% 25.4% 27.6% +5.5 33
2012-10-14 @ Bryne L 0-1 1240 1225 27.6% 25.4% 47.0% -5.5 28
2012-10-14 Ranheim D 2-2 1293 1345 42.0% 25.9% 32.1% -0.3 36
2012-10-14 @ Kongsvinger D 2-2 1345 1293 32.1% 25.9% 42.0% +0.3 41
2012-10-14 Sarpsborg 08 L 2-3 1349 1368 46.5% 25.5% 28.0% -7.5 41
2012-10-14 @ Bodo Glimt W 3-2 1368 1349 28.0% 25.5% 46.5% +7.5 50
2012-10-14 Start L 0-2 1161 1450 15.9% 21.7% 62.4% -6.3 18
2012-10-14 @ Alta W 2-0 1450 1161 62.4% 21.7% 15.9% +6.3 60
2012-10-14 Tromsdalen L 1-5 1155 1194 43.7% 25.8% 30.5% -23.7 18
2012-10-14 @ Notodden W 5-1 1194 1155 30.5% 25.8% 43.7% +23.7 32
2012-10-21 Alta W 6-0 1375 1154 72.5% 17.3% 10.2% +10.6 53
2012-10-21 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-6 1154 1375 10.2% 17.3% 72.5% -10.6 18
2012-10-21 Bodo Glimt D 1-1 1345 1342 49.4% 25.1% 25.5% -0.9 42
2012-10-21 @ Ranheim D 1-1 1342 1345 25.5% 25.1% 49.4% +0.9 42
2012-10-21 Bryne D 1-1 1300 1230 57.4% 23.3% 19.3% -1.5 41
2012-10-21 @ Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1230 1300 19.3% 23.3% 57.4% +1.5 34
2012-10-21 Kongsvinger W 4-1 1200 1293 36.2% 26.1% 37.7% +16.4 19
2012-10-21 @ Baerum L 1-4 1293 1200 37.7% 26.1% 36.2% -16.4 36
2012-10-21 Mjondalen W 3-0 1234 1311 38.5% 26.1% 35.4% +18.5 31
2012-10-21 @ Hodd L 0-3 1311 1234 35.4% 26.1% 38.5% -18.5 45
2012-10-21 Notodden W 2-1 1183 1131 55.4% 23.9% 20.8% +4.1 31
2012-10-21 @ Strommen L 1-2 1131 1183 20.8% 23.9% 55.4% -4.1 18
2012-10-21 Sandefjord W 1-0 1456 1391 56.9% 23.5% 19.6% +4.1 63
2012-10-21 @ Start L 0-1 1391 1456 19.6% 23.5% 56.9% -4.1 51
2012-10-21 Ullensaker Kisa L 1-2 1218 1305 37.0% 26.1% 36.9% -6.6 32
2012-10-21 @ Tromsdalen W 2-1 1305 1218 36.9% 26.1% 37.0% +6.6 41
2012-10-24 Hodd D 2-2 1386 1253 64.3% 21.0% 14.8% -1.5 54
2012-10-24 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 2-2 1253 1386 14.8% 21.0% 64.3% +1.5 32
2012-10-28 Baerum D 2-2 1127 1217 36.6% 26.1% 37.3% +0.0 19
2012-10-28 @ Notodden D 2-2 1217 1127 37.3% 26.1% 36.6% -0.0 20
2012-10-28 Bryne W 2-0 1387 1232 66.4% 20.1% 13.5% +5.2 54
2012-10-28 @ Sandefjord L 0-2 1232 1387 13.5% 20.1% 66.4% -5.2 34
2012-10-28 Hamarkameratene D 0-0 1144 1298 28.1% 25.5% 46.4% +0.8 19
2012-10-28 @ Alta D 0-0 1298 1144 46.4% 25.5% 28.1% -0.8 42
2012-10-28 Hodd W 3-1 1311 1254 55.9% 23.7% 20.3% +6.9 44
2012-10-28 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 1-3 1254 1311 20.3% 23.7% 55.9% -6.9 32
2012-10-28 Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1344 1384 43.5% 25.8% 30.6% -7.5 42
2012-10-28 @ Ranheim W 2-1 1384 1344 30.6% 25.8% 43.5% +7.5 57
2012-10-28 Start W 5-0 1343 1460 32.7% 26.0% 41.3% +33.5 45
2012-10-28 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-5 1460 1343 41.3% 26.0% 32.7% -33.5 63
2012-10-28 Strommen W 2-1 1276 1187 59.6% 22.7% 17.7% +3.5 39
2012-10-28 @ Kongsvinger L 1-2 1187 1276 17.7% 22.7% 59.6% -3.5 31
2012-10-28 Tromsdalen W 3-0 1292 1211 58.7% 22.9% 18.4% +10.5 48
2012-10-28 @ Mjondalen L 0-3 1211 1292 18.4% 22.9% 58.7% -10.5 32
2012-10-31 Strommen W 3-2 1303 1184 62.8% 21.6% 15.7% +2.9 51
2012-10-31 @ Mjondalen L 2-3 1184 1303 15.7% 21.6% 62.8% -2.9 31
2012-11-04 Alta W 1-0 1181 1144 53.5% 24.3% 22.2% +4.6 34
2012-11-04 @ Strommen L 0-1 1144 1181 22.2% 24.3% 53.5% -4.6 19
2012-11-04 Bodo Glimt W 3-0 1201 1376 25.8% 25.2% 49.1% +23.9 35
2012-11-04 @ Tromsdalen L 0-3 1376 1201 49.1% 25.2% 25.8% -23.9 45
2012-11-04 Kongsvinger W 3-0 1427 1280 65.6% 20.4% 13.9% +7.9 66
2012-11-04 @ Start L 0-3 1280 1427 13.9% 20.4% 65.6% -7.9 39
2012-11-04 Mjondalen D 2-2 1227 1306 38.1% 26.1% 35.8% -0.1 35
2012-11-04 @ Bryne D 2-2 1306 1227 35.8% 26.1% 38.1% +0.1 52
2012-11-04 Notodden W 3-2 1392 1127 76.1% 15.4% 8.5% +1.5 60
2012-11-04 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 2-3 1127 1392 8.5% 15.4% 76.1% -1.5 19
2012-11-04 Ranheim D 2-2 1217 1337 32.5% 25.9% 41.6% +0.2 21
2012-11-04 @ Baerum D 2-2 1337 1217 41.6% 25.9% 32.5% -0.3 43
2012-11-04 Sandefjord W 1-0 1247 1392 29.3% 25.7% 45.0% +8.1 35
2012-11-04 @ Hodd L 0-1 1392 1247 45.0% 25.7% 29.3% -8.1 54
2012-11-04 Ullensaker Kisa W 2-1 1298 1318 46.2% 25.5% 28.2% +5.3 45
2012-11-04 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-2 1318 1298 28.2% 25.5% 46.2% -5.3 44
2012-11-11 Baerum D 0-0 1384 1217 67.6% 19.6% 12.8% -2.5 55
2012-11-11 @ Sandefjord D 0-0 1217 1384 12.8% 19.6% 67.6% +2.5 22
2012-11-11 Bryne L 1-2 1313 1227 59.3% 22.8% 18.0% -9.6 44
2012-11-11 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 2-1 1227 1313 18.0% 22.8% 59.3% +9.6 38
2012-11-11 Hamarkameratene W 4-2 1306 1303 49.3% 25.1% 25.6% +7.6 55
2012-11-11 @ Mjondalen L 2-4 1303 1306 25.6% 25.1% 49.3% -7.6 45
2012-11-11 Hodd W 4-0 1352 1255 60.4% 22.4% 17.2% +12.9 48
2012-11-11 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-4 1255 1352 17.2% 22.4% 60.4% -12.9 35
2012-11-11 Sarpsborg 08 L 1-3 1272 1393 32.3% 25.9% 41.8% -10.3 39
2012-11-11 @ Kongsvinger W 3-1 1393 1272 41.8% 25.9% 32.3% +10.3 63
2012-11-11 Start W 2-1 1126 1435 14.7% 20.9% 64.4% +10.3 22
2012-11-11 @ Notodden L 1-2 1435 1126 64.4% 20.9% 14.7% -10.3 66
2012-11-11 Strommen L 1-2 1336 1185 66.0% 20.3% 13.7% -10.5 43
2012-11-11 @ Ranheim W 2-1 1185 1336 13.7% 20.3% 66.0% +10.5 37
2012-11-11 Tromsdalen W 3-2 1140 1225 37.3% 26.1% 36.6% +6.2 22
2012-11-11 @ Alta L 2-3 1225 1140 36.6% 26.1% 37.3% -6.2 35

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2012-11-14 Bodo Glimt L 1-2 1313 1365 42.0% 25.9% 32.1% -7.2 0-1
2012-11-14 @ Mjondalen W 2-1 1365 1313 32.1% 25.9% 42.0% +7.2 1-0
2012-11-14 Ullensaker Kisa L 3-4 1381 1303 58.4% 23.0% 18.6% -8.8 0-1
2012-11-14 @ Sandefjord W 4-3 1303 1381 18.6% 23.0% 58.4% +8.8 1-0
2012-11-17 Bodo Glimt W 2-0 1312 1372 40.8% 26.0% 33.2% +12.1 2-0
2012-11-17 @ Ullensaker Kisa L 0-2 1372 1312 33.2% 26.0% 40.8% -12.1 1-1
2012-11-21 Sandnes Ulf L 0-4 1324 1398 38.9% 26.1% 35.1% -25.9 2-1
2012-11-21 @ Ullensaker Kisa W 4-0 1398 1324 35.1% 26.1% 38.9% +25.9 1-0
2012-11-24 Ullensaker Kisa W 3-1 1424 1298 63.5% 21.3% 15.2% +5.2 2-0
2012-11-24 @ Sandnes Ulf L 1-3 1298 1424 15.2% 21.3% 63.5% -5.2 2-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2012-11-11 13.70% Strommen 1185 2 @ Ranheim 1336 1
2 2012-11-11 14.66% @ Notodden 1126 2 Start 1435 1
3 2012-07-15 15.56% Mjondalen 1235 2 @ Ranheim 1356 1
4 2012-05-13 15.92% Tromsdalen 1199 2 @ Baerum 1314 1
5 2012-06-30 16.98% Tromsdalen 1211 2 @ Sandefjord 1311 1
6 2012-11-11 17.98% Bryne 1227 2 @ Ullensaker Kisa 1313 1
7 2012-11-14 * 18.59% Ullensaker Kisa 1303 4 @ Sandefjord 1381 3
8 2012-05-06 20.02% Bodo Glimt 1291 3 @ Ullensaker Kisa 1352 0
9 2012-04-28 20.13% Hamarkameratene 1267 3 @ Kongsvinger 1326 0
10 2012-08-19 20.19% Sarpsborg 08 1360 4 @ Start 1419 3
11 2012-07-18 21.01% Hamarkameratene 1297 1 @ Ullensaker Kisa 1346 0
12 2012-08-26 21.54% Mjondalen 1269 2 @ Kongsvinger 1312 0
13 2012-04-22 21.68% Strommen 1234 3 @ Hamarkameratene 1275 2
14 2012-10-07 22.26% Sandefjord 1358 3 @ Sarpsborg 08 1394 0
15 2012-08-05 22.30% Kongsvinger 1267 5 @ Hamarkameratene 1303 0
16 2012-07-08 23.40% Ranheim 1331 3 @ Bodo Glimt 1355 0
17 2012-07-15 23.82% Bryne 1248 2 @ Kongsvinger 1268 1
18 2012-04-15 23.99% Sarpsborg 08 1294 2 @ Sandefjord 1312 1
19 2012-09-16 24.00% Kongsvinger 1293 1 @ Ullensaker Kisa 1311 0
20 2012-09-09 25.27% Sandefjord 1355 2 @ Ranheim 1361 1
21 2012-08-26 25.35% Hodd 1235 2 @ Baerum 1240 1
22 2012-11-04 25.78% @ Tromsdalen 1201 3 Bodo Glimt 1376 0
23 2012-09-30 26.17% @ Notodden 1143 3 Kongsvinger 1315 1
24 2012-04-09 26.35% Mjondalen 1244 1 @ Alta 1239 0
25 2012-05-20 26.45% Hamarkameratene 1299 2 @ Baerum 1294 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2012-08-05 41.20 Kongsvinger 5 1267 22.30% @ Hamarkameratene 0 1303 53.35% 24.35%
2 2012-10-28 33.49 @ Bodo Glimt 5 1343 32.72% Start 0 1460 41.31% 25.96%
3 2012-06-03 33.30 @ Hodd 5 1190 33.02% Hamarkameratene 0 1305 41.00% 25.98%
4 2012-05-20 29.21 @ Ranheim 7 1304 51.98% Kongsvinger 0 1280 23.38% 24.64%
5 2012-09-09 27.20 Hamarkameratene 4 1272 32.66% @ Strommen 0 1216 41.38% 25.96%
6 2012-05-06 26.80 Bodo Glimt 3 1291 20.02% @ Ullensaker Kisa 0 1352 56.38% 23.60%
7 2012-04-28 26.74 Hamarkameratene 3 1267 20.13% @ Kongsvinger 0 1326 56.23% 23.65%
8 2012-11-21 * 25.94 Sandnes Ulf 4 1398 35.08% @ Ullensaker Kisa 0 1324 38.87% 26.05%
9 2012-10-07 25.61 Sandefjord 3 1358 22.26% @ Sarpsborg 08 0 1394 53.41% 24.34%
10 2012-07-08 25.10 @ Baerum 6 1244 52.17% Notodden 0 1219 23.23% 24.60%
11 2012-06-30 25.08 Bodo Glimt 4 1330 36.75% @ Notodden 0 1244 37.17% 26.07%
12 2012-07-08 25.03 Ranheim 3 1331 23.40% @ Bodo Glimt 0 1355 51.96% 24.64%
13 2012-04-28 24.46 @ Alta 5 1227 47.01% Hodd 0 1241 27.54% 25.45%
14 2012-11-04 23.87 @ Tromsdalen 3 1201 25.78% Bodo Glimt 0 1376 49.06% 25.16%
15 2012-05-16 23.69 @ Start 7 1351 58.24% Notodden 0 1274 18.69% 23.08%
16 2012-10-14 23.66 Tromsdalen 5 1194 30.50% @ Notodden 1 1155 43.70% 25.80%
17 2012-05-20 22.73 @ Mjondalen 3 1221 28.25% Start 0 1374 46.20% 25.55%
18 2012-06-24 21.80 Sandefjord 3 1289 30.34% @ Mjondalen 0 1251 43.88% 25.79%
19 2012-07-29 21.10 @ Strommen 5 1230 52.23% Tromsdalen 0 1204 23.19% 24.59%
20 2012-08-12 20.67 Hamarkameratene 3 1262 33.03% @ Notodden 0 1203 40.99% 25.98%
21 2012-10-07 19.81 @ Tromsdalen 5 1174 39.38% Bryne 1 1245 34.58% 26.04%
22 2012-09-23 19.76 Mjondalen 3 1311 35.30% @ Baerum 0 1235 38.64% 26.06%
23 2012-08-13 19.66 Start 3 1399 35.55% @ Ullensaker Kisa 0 1322 38.39% 26.06%
24 2012-10-21 18.54 @ Hodd 3 1234 38.49% Mjondalen 0 1311 35.45% 26.06%
25 2012-09-02 18.11 @ Tromsdalen 3 1165 39.59% Strommen 0 1234 34.37% 26.03%