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2009 First Division Season

240 games · 4 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Promoted

Kongsvinger

via playoff

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Kongsvinger

12.47 points above expected

56 points · 43.53 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Hamarkameratene

11.25 points below expected

37 points · 48.25 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Haugesund 30 18 4 8 58 67 37 +30 47.19 +10.81
2 Honefoss 30 16 8 6 56 61 32 +29 50.69 +5.31
3 Kongsvinger 30 18 2 10 56 52 37 +15 43.53 +12.47
4 Sogndal 30 14 12 4 54 46 29 +17 50.44 +3.56
5 Sarpsborg 08 30 15 5 10 50 47 38 +9 40.77 +9.23
6 Alta 30 12 6 12 42 50 49 +1 41.06 +0.94
7 Moss 30 12 5 13 41 47 53 -6 39.15 +1.85
8 Bryne 30 10 10 10 40 41 39 +2 39.47 +0.53
9 Nybergsund-Trysil 30 11 7 12 40 49 54 -5 41.52 -1.52
10 Lov-Ham 30 11 7 12 40 44 50 -6 38.62 +1.38
11 Mjondalen 30 10 9 11 39 38 39 -1 39.56 -0.56
12 Tromsdalen 30 11 6 13 39 38 54 -16 35.94 +3.06
13 Hamarkameratene 30 11 4 15 37 56 48 +8 48.25 -11.25
14 Notodden 30 9 2 19 29 38 55 -17 34.64 -5.64
15 Stavanger 30 6 11 13 29 35 55 -20 32.35 -3.35
16 Skeid 30 4 6 20 18 26 66 -40 26.46 -8.46

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Semifinals

Sarpsborg 08 2
Fredrikstad 0
Kongsvinger 3
Sogndal 1

Finals

Kongsvinger 5
Sarpsborg 08 4

Leg 1: Kongsvinger 3-1 Sarpsborg 08

Leg 2: Sarpsborg 08 3-2 Kongsvinger

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Haugesund 1551 58 47.19 +10.81 95.2% 22 36 43 47 52 58 76
Honefoss 1521 56 50.69 +5.31 80.4% 24 40 46 51 55 62 76
Sogndal 1514 54 50.44 +3.56 72.0% 26 39 46 50 55 62 76
Kongsvinger 1491 56 43.53 +12.47 97.1% 20 32 39 43 48 55 71
Sarpsborg 08 1483 50 40.77 +9.23 84.1% 19 29 36 41 45 52 70
Moss 1412 41 39.15 +1.85 64.0% 16 28 35 39 44 50 62
Bryne 1406 40 39.47 +0.53 56.6% 14 29 35 39 44 51 67
Alta 1404 42 41.06 +0.94 59.1% 17 30 36 41 46 52 66
Hamarkameratene 1390 37 48.25 -11.25 5.5% 24 37 44 48 53 59 74
Mjondalen 1382 39 39.56 -0.56 50.2% 15 29 35 39 44 51 68
Lov-Ham 1366 40 38.62 +1.38 61.8% 15 28 34 38 43 50 62
Nybergsund-Trysil 1349 40 41.52 -1.52 44.0% 18 31 37 41 46 53 67
Notodden 1322 29 34.64 -5.64 22.0% 13 24 30 35 39 45 60
Tromsdalen 1299 39 35.94 +3.06 70.7% 14 25 31 36 40 47 63
Stavanger 1289 29 32.35 -3.35 33.4% 11 22 28 32 37 43 57
Skeid 1157 18 26.46 -8.46 9.0% 7 17 22 26 30 37 52

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team ALT BRY HAM HAU HON KON LOV MJO MOS NOT NYB S0 SKE SOG STA TRO
Alta —
1-0-1
2.86
1-0-1
2.17
1-0-1
2.24
0-0-2
2.17
0-0-2
2.67
1-1-0
3.11
2-0-0
2.81
1-0-1
2.67
1-0-1
3.05
1-1-0
2.65
1-1-0
2.38
1-1-0
3.90
0-1-1
2.33
1-0-1
3.05
0-1-1
3.01
Bryne
1-0-1
2.56
 —
1-1-0
2.12
0-0-2
2.22
0-2-0
2.18
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.70
1-0-1
2.81
0-2-0
2.67
1-0-1
3.29
1-0-1
2.77
1-1-0
2.55
1-0-1
3.20
0-2-0
1.87
1-1-0
3.04
0-1-1
3.10
Hamarkameratene
1-0-1
3.26
0-1-1
3.30
 —
0-0-2
2.78
0-1-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.81
1-1-0
3.12
1-0-1
3.36
1-0-1
3.27
1-0-1
3.66
0-1-1
3.42
1-0-1
2.74
2-0-0
3.88
0-0-2
2.81
1-0-1
4.03
1-0-1
3.45
Haugesund
1-0-1
3.18
2-0-0
3.20
2-0-0
2.66
 —
1-1-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.99
1-1-0
3.30
1-0-1
3.10
1-0-1
3.32
1-0-1
3.44
1-0-1
3.09
1-0-1
3.02
2-0-0
3.90
1-0-1
2.48
1-1-0
3.78
1-1-0
3.10
Honefoss
2-0-0
3.29
0-2-0
3.28
1-1-0
3.05
0-1-1
2.75
 —
2-0-0
3.21
1-0-1
3.63
0-1-1
3.58
1-0-1
3.79
2-0-0
3.76
1-0-1
3.21
1-0-1
2.91
2-0-0
3.64
0-2-0
2.64
1-1-0
4.31
2-0-0
3.68
Kongsvinger
2-0-0
2.76
1-0-1
3.04
1-0-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.43
0-0-2
2.21
 —
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
3.04
2-0-0
2.91
2-0-0
3.06
1-0-1
2.74
1-0-1
2.66
1-1-0
4.12
1-0-1
2.26
2-0-0
3.22
1-0-1
3.55
Lov-Ham
0-1-1
2.32
1-0-1
2.70
0-1-1
2.30
0-1-1
2.12
1-0-1
1.84
0-1-1
2.45
 —
0-2-0
2.65
0-0-2
2.78
2-0-0
2.92
2-0-0
2.41
1-0-1
2.28
2-0-0
3.67
1-0-1
1.96
1-1-0
3.26
0-0-2
2.88
Mjondalen
0-0-2
2.60
1-0-1
2.61
1-0-1
2.08
1-0-1
2.31
1-1-0
1.86
1-0-1
2.38
0-2-0
2.78
 —
1-0-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.83
0-1-1
2.77
0-1-1
2.38
2-0-0
3.51
0-2-0
2.24
0-1-1
3.55
1-0-1
2.84
Moss
1-0-1
2.81
0-2-0
2.75
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
2.11
1-0-1
1.66
0-0-2
2.51
2-0-0
2.67
1-0-1
2.67
 —
1-0-1
3.17
2-0-0
2.40
1-0-1
2.23
0-1-1
3.90
0-0-2
2.10
0-2-0
3.07
1-0-1
3.01
Notodden
1-0-1
2.39
1-0-1
2.15
1-0-1
1.80
1-0-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.68
0-0-2
2.35
0-0-2
2.51
0-1-1
2.60
1-0-1
2.24
 —
0-0-2
2.24
1-0-1
2.33
1-0-1
3.16
0-0-2
1.70
1-1-0
2.96
1-0-1
2.55
Nybergsund-Trysil
0-1-1
2.80
1-0-1
2.63
1-1-0
2.01
1-0-1
2.36
1-0-1
2.21
1-0-1
2.69
0-0-2
3.02
1-1-0
2.66
0-0-2
3.01
2-0-0
3.18
 —
0-0-2
2.61
2-0-0
3.97
0-1-1
2.07
1-1-0
3.12
0-2-0
3.13
Sarpsborg 08
0-1-1
3.05
0-1-1
2.87
1-0-1
2.71
1-0-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.50
1-0-1
2.76
1-0-1
3.17
1-1-0
3.03
1-0-1
3.19
1-0-1
3.10
2-0-0
2.84
 —
1-1-0
3.43
1-1-0
2.07
2-0-0
3.50
1-0-1
3.14
Skeid
0-1-1
1.60
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
1.61
0-0-2
1.57
0-0-2
1.89
0-1-1
1.37
0-0-2
1.79
0-0-2
1.92
1-1-0
1.56
1-0-1
2.27
0-0-2
1.51
0-1-1
2.00
 —
0-1-1
0.98
0-0-2
2.28
1-1-0
1.75
Sogndal
1-1-0
3.09
0-2-0
3.58
2-0-0
2.61
1-0-1
2.95
0-2-0
2.78
1-0-1
3.20
1-0-1
3.49
0-2-0
3.20
2-0-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.78
1-1-0
3.36
0-1-1
3.35
1-1-0
4.59
 —
0-2-0
3.50
2-0-0
3.68
Stavanger
1-0-1
2.36
0-1-1
2.41
1-0-1
1.45
0-1-1
1.70
0-1-1
1.21
0-0-2
2.20
0-1-1
2.17
1-1-0
1.88
0-2-0
2.37
0-1-1
2.45
0-1-1
2.32
0-0-2
1.94
2-0-0
3.15
0-2-0
2.00
 —
1-0-1
2.73
Tromsdalen
1-1-0
2.40
1-1-0
2.31
1-0-1
1.98
0-1-1
2.33
0-0-2
1.80
1-0-1
1.88
2-0-0
2.53
1-0-1
2.59
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
2.86
0-2-0
2.30
1-0-1
2.29
0-1-1
3.71
0-0-2
1.76
1-0-1
2.68
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.65 +8.7
Allowed 0.76 -9.4
Differential 0.88 +5.6

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.25%6.67%5.83%2.92%2.29%1.25%25.21%
16.67%9.17%6.88%5.00%2.08%0.21%30.00%
25.83%6.88%5.00%3.33%1.88%—22.92%
32.92%5.00%3.33%1.25%0.21%0.62%13.33%
42.29%2.08%1.88%0.21%——6.46%
5+1.25%0.21%—0.62%——2.08%
Total25.21%30.00%22.92%13.33%6.46%2.08%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.53 +0.00
SD 1.32 1.32 1.99
CV 0.86 0.86 —
Max 7 7 +7
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 240

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%—3.33%23.33%
110.00%10.00%6.67%10.00%——36.67%
2—3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—13.33%
33.33%6.67%————10.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+3.33%——3.33%——6.67%
Total26.67%26.67%20.00%20.00%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.67 1.63 +0.03
SD 1.54 1.56 2.39
CV 0.92 0.96 —
Max 5 7 +5
Min 0 0 -7

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%10.00%10.00%———26.67%
110.00%20.00%3.33%—3.33%—36.67%
26.67%—3.33%6.67%——16.67%
3—6.67%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total23.33%40.00%23.33%10.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.37 1.30 +0.07
SD 1.22 1.06 1.44
CV 0.89 0.81 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
16.67%3.33%13.33%3.33%——26.67%
23.33%3.33%6.67%10.00%6.67%—30.00%
36.67%6.67%3.33%——3.33%20.00%
4———————
5+6.67%—————6.67%
Total26.67%23.33%26.67%13.33%6.67%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.87 1.60 +0.27
SD 1.53 1.38 2.16
CV 0.82 0.86 —
Max 7 5 +7
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%10.00%3.33%———16.67%
16.67%6.67%3.33%—6.67%—23.33%
26.67%3.33%3.33%—3.33%—16.67%
33.33%6.67%6.67%———16.67%
410.00%6.67%3.33%———20.00%
5+3.33%——3.33%——6.67%
Total33.33%33.33%20.00%3.33%10.00%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.23 1.23 +1.00
SD 1.65 1.25 2.20
CV 0.74 1.01 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
06.67%—3.33%—3.33%—13.33%
110.00%13.33%10.00%———33.33%
26.67%3.33%6.67%3.33%——20.00%
3—16.67%3.33%———20.00%
43.33%—————3.33%
5+6.67%3.33%————10.00%
Total33.33%36.67%23.33%3.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.03 1.07 +0.97
SD 1.63 1.01 2.14
CV 0.80 0.95 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—13.33%3.33%6.67%——23.33%
113.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
210.00%3.33%————13.33%
36.67%3.33%10.00%———20.00%
43.33%3.33%3.33%———10.00%
5+———3.33%——3.33%
Total33.33%30.00%20.00%13.33%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.23 +0.50
SD 1.46 1.17 1.93
CV 0.84 0.94 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%———3.33%16.67%
1—6.67%6.67%23.33%3.33%—40.00%
210.00%10.00%6.67%———26.67%
33.33%3.33%6.67%———13.33%
4—3.33%————3.33%
5+———————
Total23.33%26.67%20.00%23.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.47 1.67 -0.20
SD 1.04 1.35 1.88
CV 0.71 0.81 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.33%10.00%6.67%———40.00%
13.33%3.33%—16.67%——23.33%
2—10.00%——3.33%—13.33%
33.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%——16.67%
43.33%—3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total33.33%30.00%13.33%20.00%3.33%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.30 -0.03
SD 1.34 1.24 1.63
CV 1.06 0.95 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%6.67%3.33%—6.67%23.33%
13.33%6.67%10.00%3.33%——23.33%
210.00%13.33%6.67%3.33%——33.33%
33.33%3.33%—3.33%—3.33%13.33%
43.33%—3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total20.00%30.00%26.67%13.33%—10.00%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.77 -0.20
SD 1.19 1.55 2.20
CV 0.76 0.88 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—20.00%3.33%10.00%—3.33%36.67%
1—6.67%10.00%3.33%——20.00%
26.67%10.00%—10.00%3.33%—30.00%
3——6.67%———6.67%
43.33%3.33%————6.67%
5+———————
Total10.00%40.00%20.00%23.33%3.33%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.83 -0.57
SD 1.23 1.32 1.99
CV 0.97 0.72 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—3.33%6.67%———10.00%
16.67%13.33%10.00%—10.00%3.33%43.33%
23.33%10.00%6.67%6.67%——26.67%
33.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%——13.33%
4—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
5+———————
Total13.33%33.33%30.00%10.00%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.63 1.80 -0.17
SD 1.07 1.30 1.78
CV 0.65 0.72 —
Max 4 5 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%—10.00%——23.33%
113.33%3.33%6.67%3.33%3.33%—30.00%
210.00%6.67%3.33%3.33%3.33%—26.67%
3—3.33%3.33%———6.67%
46.67%6.67%————13.33%
5+———————
Total40.00%23.33%13.33%16.67%6.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.27 +0.30
SD 1.30 1.34 2.02
CV 0.83 1.06 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%20.00%—13.33%3.33%43.33%
13.33%10.00%13.33%3.33%3.33%—33.33%
23.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—16.67%
33.33%——3.33%——6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total13.33%16.67%36.67%10.00%20.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.87 2.20 -1.33
SD 0.94 1.47 1.94
CV 1.08 0.67 —
Max 3 6 +3
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%3.33%————16.67%
16.67%16.67%3.33%3.33%——30.00%
210.00%16.67%10.00%3.33%——40.00%
36.67%3.33%————10.00%
4———3.33%——3.33%
5+———————
Total36.67%40.00%13.33%10.00%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 0.97 +0.57
SD 1.01 0.96 1.17
CV 0.66 1.00 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.00%3.33%10.00%3.33%10.00%—36.67%
1—13.33%6.67%6.67%——26.67%
23.33%6.67%13.33%———23.33%
3—6.67%———3.33%10.00%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total13.33%30.00%33.33%10.00%10.00%3.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.17 1.83 -0.67
SD 1.15 1.29 1.75
CV 0.98 0.70 —
Max 4 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.33%3.33%10.00%10.00%10.00%—36.67%
113.33%6.67%3.33%———23.33%
23.33%6.67%6.67%—3.33%—20.00%
33.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%3.33%—16.67%
4——3.33%———3.33%
5+———————
Total23.33%20.00%26.67%13.33%16.67%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.27 1.80 -0.53
SD 1.23 1.40 1.98
CV 0.97 0.78 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 30

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Kongsvinger 56 43.53 +12.47
2 Haugesund 58 47.19 +10.81
3 Sarpsborg 08 50 40.77 +9.23
4 Honefoss 56 50.69 +5.31
5 Sogndal 54 50.44 +3.56

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Hamarkameratene 37 48.25 -11.25
2 Skeid 18 26.46 -8.46
3 Notodden 29 34.64 -5.64
4 Stavanger 29 32.35 -3.35
5 Nybergsund-Trysil 40 41.52 -1.52

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Kongsvinger 5 Apr 19 – May 21 1 in 139
2 Sogndal 5 May 21 – Jun 14 1 in 58
3 Lov-Ham 3 Apr 26 – May 16 1 in 37
4 Honefoss 5 Jun 28 – Aug 2 1 in 27
5 Haugesund 5 Oct 4 – Nov 1 1 in 24

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skeid 6 Apr 26 – Jun 1 1 in 148
2 Nybergsund-Trysil 4 Jul 5 – Aug 4 1 in 65
3 Hamarkameratene 4 Oct 4 – Oct 25 1 in 63
4 Notodden 4 Jun 7 – Jun 28 1 in 30
5 Mjondalen 3 Jun 21 – Jul 5 1 in 20

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Sogndal 11 May 3 – Jul 12 1 in 32
2 Honefoss 11 Jun 7 – Aug 16 1 in 19
3 Sarpsborg 08 9 Aug 2 – Sep 27 1 in 17
4 Kongsvinger 6 Jul 28 – Sep 1 1 in 13
5 Bryne 5 Jun 1 – Jun 28 1 in 12

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Skeid 12 Apr 19 – Jul 5 1 in 25
2 Stavanger 6 Apr 13 – May 21 1 in 15
3 Sogndal 4 Jul 12 – Aug 11 1 in 14
4 Mjondalen 5 Jun 7 – Jul 5 1 in 10
5 Bryne 6 Apr 5 – May 16 1 in 10

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Haugesund14.03%14.01%13.49%12.30%10.44%8.10%6.87%5.44%4.25%3.20%2.78%2.11%1.42%0.88%0.46%0.22%
Honefoss27.83%19.71%14.44%11.03%7.82%5.81%4.29%2.79%2.23%1.46%1.25%0.56%0.45%0.22%0.08%0.03%
Kongsvinger5.41%7.55%8.38%9.66%9.94%9.89%9.41%7.70%7.20%6.65%5.58%4.36%3.88%2.48%1.38%0.53%
Sogndal25.41%19.68%14.51%10.45%8.55%6.28%4.36%3.22%2.72%1.82%1.34%0.81%0.41%0.32%0.10%0.02%
Sarpsborg 082.11%3.65%5.84%6.93%7.45%8.77%8.74%8.93%8.66%8.08%7.85%6.54%6.10%5.12%3.74%1.49%
Alta2.32%4.36%5.37%6.45%8.14%8.15%8.71%8.97%8.86%8.29%7.92%6.92%6.33%4.75%3.02%1.44%
Moss1.03%2.29%3.61%4.78%5.70%6.55%8.20%8.28%8.84%9.43%8.94%8.89%7.79%7.76%5.46%2.45%
Bryne1.33%2.66%3.90%5.11%5.94%7.05%8.35%9.01%8.75%9.17%8.95%8.43%7.71%6.68%4.88%2.08%
Nybergsund-Trysil2.48%4.49%6.45%7.16%7.72%8.58%8.34%8.89%8.61%8.00%7.14%7.25%5.94%4.73%2.92%1.30%
Lov-Ham0.93%1.94%3.04%4.45%5.23%6.30%6.83%7.97%8.75%9.26%9.30%10.30%8.89%7.86%5.79%3.16%
Mjondalen1.41%2.69%4.12%5.01%6.51%7.16%8.00%8.52%8.56%9.15%8.97%8.92%7.77%6.51%4.74%1.96%
Tromsdalen0.25%0.91%1.35%2.35%2.88%4.03%4.97%6.06%7.14%8.06%9.76%10.25%11.86%12.03%11.58%6.52%
Hamarkameratene15.16%15.41%14.20%12.04%10.31%8.58%6.14%5.32%4.19%2.93%2.42%1.31%0.97%0.76%0.19%0.07%
Notodden0.22%0.42%0.95%1.44%2.06%3.07%4.18%5.04%6.12%7.22%8.85%10.59%12.82%14.05%14.01%8.96%
Stavanger0.08%0.21%0.32%0.76%1.22%1.47%2.23%3.33%4.17%5.89%6.82%9.23%12.15%16.06%20.83%15.23%
Skeid—0.02%0.03%0.08%0.09%0.21%0.38%0.53%0.95%1.39%2.13%3.53%5.51%9.79%20.82%54.54%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+33.33%
Strong Edge
55.83%21.67%22.50%
Elo Value
Home Edge
177 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
0120.41500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.72 goals
Home-Tilted
-2+0.68+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th * Longshot: 9th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
5.3
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
14%
Haugesund, 4th of 16
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.07/gm
Photo Finish
00.140.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.33 * Some Luck: 5.33 to 8 * Lucky: 8 to 10.66 * Wild Swing: 10.66 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.29 * Close: 2.29 to 3.44 * Off: 3.44 to 4.59 * Way Off: 4.59 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 16 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 16 * As Expected: 16 to 25.6 * Several Outliers: 25.6 to 35.2 * Many Outliers: 35.2 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.11 points
Some Luck
06.6717
Average Finish Error
Expected
2.25
Pinpoint
02.876
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 96.88%
97.07%
Kongsvinger
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 3.12%
5.48%
Hamarkameratene
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 16
Minimal Outliers
01.68

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.14
Even
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.34
Moderate Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
66%
Slight Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline
91%
Strong Edge
50%90%100%
Close Games
Expected
56%
Very Frequent
0%55%100%
Blowouts
Expected
18%
Frequent
0%21%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.59
Predictable
00.622
Matchup Imbalance
0.33
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.86
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.19
Weak Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
22%
Chalky
0%24%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
21%
As Expected
0%20%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.06
Borderline
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
0.90
Calibrated
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.107
Near Noise Ceiling
00.1000.25

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Direct promotion Lost promotion playoff Same level Direct relegation
Honefoss 47.54% 33.29% 18.39% 0.78%
Hamarkameratene 30.57% 36.55% 30.89% 1.99%
Haugesund 28.04% 36.23% 32.75% 2.98%
Kongsvinger — 100% — —
Sarpsborg 08 — 100% — —
Sogndal — 100% — —
Nybergsund-Trysil 6.97% 21.33% 56.81% 14.89%
Alta 6.68% 19.96% 57.82% 15.54%
Mjondalen 4.10% 15.64% 59.28% 20.98%
Bryne 3.99% 14.95% 59.71% 21.35%
Moss 3.32% 14.09% 59.13% 23.46%
Lov-Ham 2.87% 12.72% 58.71% 25.70%
Tromsdalen 1.16% 6.58% 50.27% 41.99%
Notodden 0.64% 4.45% 45.07% 49.84%
Stavanger 0.29% 2.30% 33.14% 64.27%
Skeid 0.02% 0.20% 9.12% 90.66%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AalesundAltaBodo GlimtBrannBryneFredrikstadHamarkamerateneHaugesundHonefossKongsvingerLillestromLov-HamLyn OsloMjondalenMoldeMossNotoddenNybergsund-TrysilOdd GrenlandSandefjordSarpsborg 08SkeidSogndalStartStavangerStromsgodsetTromsdalenTromsoValerengaViking
Aalesund100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Alta0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%
Bodo Glimt100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Brann100.0%1.00%
Bryne0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Fredrikstad100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Hamarkameratene100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%6.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Haugesund100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%66.7%3.00%75.0%4.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%3.00%33.3%3.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Honefoss0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%6.00%25.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%
Kongsvinger100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Lillestrom50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Lov-Ham0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Lyn Oslo100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Mjondalen0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Molde100.0%1.00%
Moss0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%
Notodden0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Nybergsund-Trysil100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%3.00%50.0%2.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Odd Grenland0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Sandefjord100.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%
Sarpsborg 080.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Skeid0.0%1.00%
Sogndal100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%50.0%4.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Start100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Stavanger0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Stromsgodset100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Tromsdalen100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Tromso100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Valerenga0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Viking50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
AalesundAltaBodo GlimtBrannBryneFredrikstadHamarkamerateneHaugesundHonefossKongsvingerLillestromLov-HamLyn OsloMjondalenMoldeMossNotoddenNybergsund-TrysilOdd GrenlandSandefjordSarpsborg 08SogndalStartStromsgodsetTromsdalenTromsoValerengaViking
Aalesund100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Alta0.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Bodo Glimt0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Brann100.0%1.00%
Bryne100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Fredrikstad100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Hamarkameratene100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Haugesund0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Honefoss100.0%1.00%100.0%3.00%50.0%2.00%66.7%3.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%40.0%5.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Kongsvinger0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Lillestrom100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%
Lov-Ham100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Lyn Oslo0.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Mjondalen0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Molde100.0%1.00%
Moss100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Notodden100.0%1.00%
Nybergsund-Trysil0.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Odd Grenland0.0%1.00%
Sandefjord100.0%3.00%100.0%2.00%60.0%5.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%
Sarpsborg 080.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Sogndal0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%50.0%2.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%3.00%
Start50.0%2.00%
Stromsgodset100.0%2.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%
Tromsdalen0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Tromso0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Valerenga100.0%2.00%
Viking100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%66.7%3.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Semifinals Finals
Fredrikstad 73.42% 46.35%
Sogndal 48.79% 23.05%
Kongsvinger 51.21% 18.70%
Sarpsborg 08 26.58% 11.90%
Loser →
↓ Winner
FredrikstadKongsvingerSarpsborg 08Sogndal
Fredrikstad73.4%100.00%
Kongsvinger51.2%100.00%
Sarpsborg 0826.6%100.00%
Sogndal48.8%100.00%
Loser →
↓ Winner
FredrikstadKongsvingerSarpsborg 08Sogndal
Fredrikstad68.0%37.65%58.0%35.77%
Kongsvinger32.0%37.65%49.0%13.56%
Sarpsborg 0851.0%13.56%38.3%13.02%
Sogndal42.0%35.77%61.7%13.02%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2009-04-05 Hamarkameratene W 3-2 1369 1435 36.7% 29.6% 33.7% +10.2 3
2009-04-05 @ Kongsvinger L 2-3 1435 1369 33.7% 29.6% 36.7% -10.2 0
2009-04-05 Haugesund D 2-2 1363 1399 40.9% 29.4% 29.6% -0.5 1
2009-04-05 @ Tromsdalen D 2-2 1399 1363 29.6% 29.4% 40.9% +0.5 1
2009-04-05 Lov-Ham W 2-1 1423 1380 51.0% 28.1% 20.8% +7.4 3
2009-04-05 @ Moss L 1-2 1380 1423 20.8% 28.1% 51.0% -7.4 0
2009-04-05 Mjondalen W 1-0 1397 1385 47.2% 28.8% 23.9% +8.8 3
2009-04-05 @ Nybergsund-Trysil L 0-1 1385 1397 23.9% 28.8% 47.2% -8.8 0
2009-04-05 Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1382 1411 41.9% 29.4% 28.8% -0.9 1
2009-04-05 @ Bryne D 0-0 1411 1382 28.8% 29.4% 41.9% +0.9 1
2009-04-05 Skeid L 0-3 1407 1342 53.4% 27.6% 18.9% -44.6 0
2009-04-05 @ Notodden W 3-0 1342 1407 18.9% 27.6% 53.4% +44.6 3
2009-04-05 Stavanger L 1-3 1363 1406 40.0% 29.5% 30.5% -21.0 0
2009-04-05 @ Alta W 3-1 1406 1363 30.5% 29.5% 40.0% +21.0 3
2009-04-07 Honefoss D 2-2 1425 1415 46.9% 28.8% 24.2% -1.1 1
2009-04-07 @ Sogndal D 2-2 1415 1425 24.2% 28.8% 46.9% +1.1 1
2009-04-13 Bryne W 1-0 1387 1381 46.5% 28.9% 24.6% +9.0 6
2009-04-13 @ Skeid L 0-1 1381 1387 24.6% 28.9% 46.5% -9.0 1
2009-04-13 Kongsvinger W 4-1 1399 1379 48.3% 28.6% 23.1% +19.7 4
2009-04-13 @ Haugesund L 1-4 1379 1399 23.1% 28.6% 48.3% -19.7 3
2009-04-13 Moss D 2-2 1427 1431 45.3% 29.1% 25.7% -0.9 4
2009-04-13 @ Stavanger D 2-2 1431 1427 25.7% 29.1% 45.3% +0.9 4
2009-04-13 Notodden L 1-2 1412 1363 51.7% 28.0% 20.3% -14.9 1
2009-04-13 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1363 1412 20.3% 28.0% 51.7% +14.9 3
2009-04-13 Nybergsund-Trysil L 1-2 1416 1406 46.9% 28.8% 24.2% -13.8 1
2009-04-13 @ Honefoss W 2-1 1406 1416 24.2% 28.8% 46.9% +13.8 6
2009-04-13 Sogndal D 0-0 1376 1423 39.4% 29.5% 31.1% -0.6 1
2009-04-13 @ Mjondalen D 0-0 1423 1376 31.1% 29.5% 39.4% +0.6 2
2009-04-13 Tromsdalen L 0-1 1372 1362 46.9% 28.8% 24.2% -14.6 0
2009-04-13 @ Lov-Ham W 1-0 1362 1372 24.2% 28.8% 46.9% +14.6 4
2009-04-14 Alta W 7-0 1425 1342 55.4% 27.1% 17.5% +40.7 3
2009-04-14 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-7 1342 1425 17.5% 27.1% 55.4% -40.7 0
2009-04-19 Alta L 0-5 1432 1301 60.3% 25.5% 14.2% -79.4 4
2009-04-19 @ Moss W 5-0 1301 1432 14.2% 25.5% 60.3% +79.4 3
2009-04-19 Haugesund W 1-0 1420 1419 45.8% 29.0% 25.2% +9.2 9
2009-04-19 @ Nybergsund-Trysil L 0-1 1419 1420 25.2% 29.0% 45.8% -9.2 4
2009-04-19 Honefoss D 1-1 1372 1402 41.7% 29.4% 28.9% -0.8 2
2009-04-19 @ Bryne D 1-1 1402 1372 28.9% 29.4% 41.7% +0.8 2
2009-04-19 Lov-Ham W 3-1 1359 1358 45.9% 29.0% 25.1% +14.9 6
2009-04-19 @ Kongsvinger L 1-3 1358 1359 25.1% 29.0% 45.9% -14.9 0
2009-04-19 Mjondalen D 1-1 1377 1376 45.9% 29.0% 25.1% -1.4 4
2009-04-19 @ Notodden D 1-1 1376 1377 25.1% 29.0% 45.9% +1.4 2
2009-04-19 Skeid D 0-0 1397 1396 45.8% 29.0% 25.2% -1.5 2
2009-04-19 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1396 1397 25.2% 29.0% 45.8% +1.5 7
2009-04-19 Stavanger W 2-0 1377 1426 39.1% 29.5% 31.4% +20.4 7
2009-04-19 @ Tromsdalen L 0-2 1426 1377 31.4% 29.5% 39.1% -20.4 4
2009-04-21 Hamarkameratene W 1-0 1424 1465 40.2% 29.5% 30.3% +10.5 5
2009-04-21 @ Sogndal L 0-1 1465 1424 30.3% 29.5% 40.2% -10.5 3
2009-04-26 Bryne W 2-1 1377 1371 46.4% 28.9% 24.7% +8.5 5
2009-04-26 @ Mjondalen L 1-2 1371 1377 24.7% 28.9% 46.4% -8.5 2
2009-04-26 Notodden W 1-0 1352 1376 42.5% 29.3% 28.1% +10.0 7
2009-04-26 @ Moss L 0-1 1376 1352 28.1% 29.3% 42.5% -10.0 4
2009-04-26 Nybergsund-Trysil D 2-2 1406 1429 42.7% 29.3% 28.0% -0.7 5
2009-04-26 @ Stavanger D 2-2 1429 1406 28.0% 29.3% 42.7% +0.7 10
2009-04-26 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-1 1403 1396 46.6% 28.9% 24.5% +14.6 5
2009-04-26 @ Honefoss L 1-3 1396 1403 24.5% 28.9% 46.6% -14.6 2
2009-04-26 Skeid W 1-0 1410 1398 47.3% 28.8% 23.9% +8.8 7
2009-04-26 @ Haugesund L 0-1 1398 1410 23.9% 28.8% 47.3% -8.8 7
2009-04-26 Sogndal W 3-1 1343 1435 33.1% 29.6% 37.3% +20.0 3
2009-04-26 @ Lov-Ham L 1-3 1435 1343 37.3% 29.6% 33.1% -20.0 5
2009-04-26 Tromsdalen W 3-0 1455 1397 52.6% 27.8% 19.6% +20.3 6
2009-04-26 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-3 1397 1455 19.6% 27.8% 52.6% -20.3 7
2009-04-28 Kongsvinger L 2-3 1381 1374 46.6% 28.9% 24.5% -13.0 3
2009-04-28 @ Alta W 3-2 1374 1381 24.5% 28.9% 46.6% +13.0 9
2009-05-03 Alta W 3-1 1415 1368 51.4% 28.1% 20.5% +12.6 8
2009-05-03 @ Sogndal L 1-3 1368 1415 20.5% 28.1% 51.4% -12.6 3
2009-05-03 Hamarkameratene D 0-0 1363 1475 30.3% 29.5% 40.2% +0.7 3
2009-05-03 @ Bryne D 0-0 1475 1363 40.2% 29.5% 30.3% -0.7 7
2009-05-03 Haugesund W 4-1 1366 1419 38.6% 29.6% 31.8% +25.2 7
2009-05-03 @ Notodden L 1-4 1419 1366 31.8% 29.6% 38.6% -25.2 7
2009-05-03 Lov-Ham L 1-2 1430 1363 53.7% 27.6% 18.8% -15.4 10
2009-05-03 @ Nybergsund-Trysil W 2-1 1363 1430 18.8% 27.6% 53.7% +15.4 6
2009-05-03 Mjondalen W 3-1 1381 1385 45.1% 29.1% 25.8% +15.2 5
2009-05-03 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-3 1385 1381 25.8% 29.1% 45.1% -15.2 5
2009-05-03 Moss W 2-1 1377 1362 47.6% 28.7% 23.7% +8.2 10
2009-05-03 @ Tromsdalen L 1-2 1362 1377 23.7% 28.7% 47.6% -8.2 7
2009-05-03 Stavanger W 1-0 1387 1405 43.3% 29.3% 27.4% +9.8 12
2009-05-03 @ Kongsvinger L 0-1 1405 1387 27.4% 29.3% 43.3% -9.8 5
2009-05-05 Honefoss L 0-4 1389 1417 41.9% 29.4% 28.7% -47.8 7
2009-05-05 @ Skeid W 4-0 1417 1389 28.7% 29.4% 41.9% +47.8 8
2009-05-16 Bryne W 2-0 1394 1363 49.4% 28.4% 22.1% +15.5 10
2009-05-16 @ Haugesund L 0-2 1363 1394 22.1% 28.4% 49.4% -15.5 3
2009-05-16 Kongsvinger L 2-3 1354 1397 40.0% 29.5% 30.5% -11.5 7
2009-05-16 @ Moss W 3-2 1397 1354 30.5% 29.5% 40.0% +11.5 15
2009-05-16 Notodden W 3-1 1465 1391 54.5% 27.4% 18.2% +11.3 11
2009-05-16 @ Honefoss L 1-3 1391 1465 18.2% 27.4% 54.5% -11.3 7
2009-05-16 Nybergsund-Trysil L 1-3 1474 1414 52.9% 27.7% 19.3% -26.4 7
2009-05-16 @ Hamarkameratene W 3-1 1414 1474 19.3% 27.7% 52.9% +26.4 13
2009-05-16 Sarpsborg 08 W 4-1 1378 1396 43.4% 29.3% 27.4% +22.6 9
2009-05-16 @ Lov-Ham L 1-4 1396 1378 27.4% 29.3% 43.4% -22.6 5
2009-05-16 Skeid W 4-0 1370 1341 49.3% 28.5% 22.2% +29.6 8
2009-05-16 @ Mjondalen L 0-4 1341 1370 22.2% 28.5% 49.3% -29.6 7
2009-05-16 Sogndal D 0-0 1395 1427 41.5% 29.4% 29.1% -0.9 6
2009-05-16 @ Stavanger D 0-0 1427 1395 29.1% 29.4% 41.5% +0.9 9
2009-05-16 Tromsdalen D 0-0 1355 1385 41.7% 29.4% 28.9% -0.9 4
2009-05-16 @ Alta D 0-0 1385 1355 28.9% 29.4% 41.7% +0.9 11
2009-05-20 Hamarkameratene L 0-2 1311 1448 27.3% 29.2% 43.5% -18.4 7
2009-05-20 @ Skeid W 2-0 1448 1311 43.5% 29.2% 27.3% +18.4 10
2009-05-21 Alta L 1-2 1441 1354 55.8% 27.0% 17.2% -15.9 13
2009-05-21 @ Nybergsund-Trysil W 2-1 1354 1441 17.2% 27.0% 55.8% +15.9 7
2009-05-21 Haugesund W 1-0 1374 1409 41.0% 29.4% 29.6% +10.4 8
2009-05-21 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1409 1374 29.6% 29.4% 41.0% -10.3 10
2009-05-21 Lov-Ham W 3-1 1348 1401 38.6% 29.6% 31.9% +17.9 6
2009-05-21 @ Bryne L 1-3 1401 1348 31.9% 29.6% 38.6% -17.9 9
2009-05-21 Mjondalen D 0-0 1477 1400 54.8% 27.3% 17.9% -2.8 12
2009-05-21 @ Honefoss D 0-0 1400 1477 17.9% 27.3% 54.8% +2.8 9
2009-05-21 Moss W 2-1 1428 1342 55.8% 27.0% 17.2% +6.2 12
2009-05-21 @ Sogndal L 1-2 1342 1428 17.2% 27.0% 55.8% -6.2 7
2009-05-21 Stavanger W 2-1 1380 1395 43.8% 29.2% 27.0% +9.1 10
2009-05-21 @ Notodden L 1-2 1395 1380 27.0% 29.2% 43.8% -9.1 6
2009-05-21 Tromsdalen W 2-0 1408 1386 48.4% 28.6% 22.9% +16.0 18
2009-05-21 @ Kongsvinger L 0-2 1386 1408 22.9% 28.6% 48.4% -16.0 11
2009-05-24 Bryne W 4-1 1370 1366 46.3% 28.9% 24.8% +20.9 10
2009-05-24 @ Alta L 1-4 1366 1370 24.8% 28.9% 46.3% -20.9 6
2009-05-24 Honefoss W 2-0 1383 1474 33.2% 29.6% 37.2% +23.0 12
2009-05-24 @ Lov-Ham L 0-2 1474 1383 37.2% 29.6% 33.2% -23.0 12
2009-05-24 Mjondalen W 3-1 1399 1403 45.2% 29.1% 25.7% +15.2 13
2009-05-24 @ Haugesund L 1-3 1403 1399 25.7% 29.1% 45.2% -15.2 9
2009-05-24 Notodden W 1-0 1370 1389 43.2% 29.3% 27.5% +9.8 14
2009-05-24 @ Tromsdalen L 0-1 1389 1370 27.5% 29.3% 43.2% -9.8 10
2009-05-24 Nybergsund-Trysil W 2-1 1336 1425 33.5% 29.6% 36.9% +11.5 10
2009-05-24 @ Moss L 1-2 1425 1336 36.9% 29.6% 33.5% -11.5 13
2009-05-24 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1466 1384 55.4% 27.1% 17.5% +6.3 13
2009-05-24 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-2 1384 1466 17.5% 27.1% 55.4% -6.3 8
2009-05-24 Skeid W 2-1 1385 1293 56.5% 26.8% 16.7% +6.1 9
2009-05-24 @ Stavanger L 1-2 1293 1385 16.7% 26.8% 56.5% -6.1 7
2009-05-26 Sogndal L 0-2 1424 1434 44.4% 29.1% 26.5% -26.3 18
2009-05-26 @ Kongsvinger W 2-0 1434 1424 26.5% 29.1% 44.4% +26.4 15
2009-06-01 Alta W 2-1 1379 1391 44.2% 29.2% 26.7% +9.0 13
2009-06-01 @ Notodden L 1-2 1391 1379 26.7% 29.2% 44.2% -9.0 10
2009-06-01 Hamarkameratene W 3-2 1387 1473 34.0% 29.6% 36.4% +10.8 12
2009-06-01 @ Mjondalen L 2-3 1473 1387 36.4% 29.6% 34.0% -10.8 13
2009-06-01 Lov-Ham L 1-2 1287 1406 29.4% 29.4% 41.1% -9.7 7
2009-06-01 @ Skeid W 2-1 1406 1287 41.1% 29.4% 29.4% +9.7 15
2009-06-01 Moss D 3-3 1345 1348 45.3% 29.0% 25.6% -0.8 7
2009-06-01 @ Bryne D 3-3 1348 1345 25.6% 29.0% 45.3% +0.8 11
2009-06-01 Stavanger W 4-0 1378 1391 43.9% 29.2% 26.9% +34.5 11
2009-06-01 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-4 1391 1378 26.9% 29.2% 43.9% -34.5 9
2009-06-01 Tromsdalen W 3-0 1461 1380 55.2% 27.2% 17.6% +18.5 18
2009-06-01 @ Sogndal L 0-3 1380 1461 17.6% 27.2% 55.2% -18.5 14
2009-06-02 Kongsvinger W 3-0 1413 1398 47.6% 28.7% 23.6% +23.8 16
2009-06-02 @ Nybergsund-Trysil L 0-3 1398 1413 23.6% 28.7% 47.6% -23.8 18
2009-06-07 Bryne L 0-2 1357 1344 47.3% 28.8% 23.9% -27.8 9
2009-06-07 @ Stavanger W 2-0 1344 1357 23.9% 28.8% 47.3% +27.7 10
2009-06-07 Honefoss L 0-1 1362 1451 33.4% 29.6% 37.0% -11.3 14
2009-06-07 @ Tromsdalen W 1-0 1451 1362 37.0% 29.6% 33.4% +11.3 15
2009-06-07 Mjondalen D 0-0 1416 1398 47.9% 28.7% 23.4% -1.8 16
2009-06-07 @ Lov-Ham D 0-0 1398 1416 23.4% 28.7% 47.9% +1.8 13
2009-06-07 Notodden W 3-0 1374 1388 43.8% 29.2% 27.0% +26.4 21
2009-06-07 @ Kongsvinger L 0-3 1388 1374 27.0% 29.2% 43.8% -26.4 13
2009-06-07 Nybergsund-Trysil W 1-0 1479 1437 50.8% 28.2% 21.0% +7.9 21
2009-06-07 @ Sogndal L 0-1 1437 1479 21.0% 28.2% 50.8% -7.9 16
2009-06-07 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-0 1382 1412 41.8% 29.4% 28.9% +27.8 13
2009-06-07 @ Alta L 0-3 1412 1382 28.9% 29.4% 41.8% -27.8 11
2009-06-07 Skeid D 2-2 1348 1277 54.2% 27.4% 18.4% -1.8 12
2009-06-07 @ Moss D 2-2 1277 1348 18.4% 27.4% 54.2% +1.8 8
2009-06-09 Haugesund L 1-2 1462 1414 51.5% 28.0% 20.4% -14.9 13
2009-06-09 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-1 1414 1462 20.4% 28.0% 51.5% +14.9 16
2009-06-13 Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1462 1447 47.6% 28.7% 23.7% -1.6 16
2009-06-13 @ Honefoss D 1-1 1447 1462 23.7% 28.7% 47.6% +1.6 14
2009-06-14 Alta L 2-4 1279 1410 28.0% 29.3% 42.7% -14.5 8
2009-06-14 @ Skeid W 4-2 1410 1279 42.7% 29.3% 28.0% +14.5 16
2009-06-14 Kongsvinger W 1-0 1372 1401 41.9% 29.4% 28.7% +10.1 13
2009-06-14 @ Bryne L 0-1 1401 1372 28.7% 29.4% 41.9% -10.1 21
2009-06-14 Lov-Ham W 3-1 1429 1414 47.6% 28.7% 23.7% +14.2 19
2009-06-14 @ Haugesund L 1-3 1414 1429 23.7% 28.7% 47.6% -14.2 16
2009-06-14 Moss W 2-0 1384 1346 50.3% 28.3% 21.4% +15.1 14
2009-06-14 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1346 1384 21.4% 28.3% 50.3% -15.1 12
2009-06-14 Sogndal L 0-2 1362 1487 28.7% 29.4% 41.9% -19.1 13
2009-06-14 @ Notodden W 2-0 1487 1362 41.9% 29.4% 28.7% +19.1 24
2009-06-14 Stavanger D 0-0 1400 1329 54.1% 27.4% 18.4% -2.7 14
2009-06-14 @ Mjondalen D 0-0 1329 1400 18.4% 27.4% 54.1% +2.7 10
2009-06-14 Tromsdalen D 1-1 1429 1350 55.0% 27.2% 17.8% -2.5 17
2009-06-14 @ Nybergsund-Trysil D 1-1 1350 1429 17.8% 27.2% 55.0% +2.5 15
2009-06-21 Bryne D 1-1 1506 1382 59.7% 25.8% 14.5% -3.2 25
2009-06-21 @ Sogndal D 1-1 1382 1506 14.5% 25.8% 59.7% +3.2 14
2009-06-21 Haugesund L 0-4 1332 1443 30.5% 29.5% 40.0% -37.9 10
2009-06-21 @ Stavanger W 4-0 1443 1332 40.0% 29.5% 30.5% +37.9 22
2009-06-21 Honefoss L 0-1 1424 1460 40.9% 29.4% 29.6% -13.1 16
2009-06-21 @ Alta W 1-0 1460 1424 29.6% 29.4% 40.9% +13.1 19
2009-06-21 Lov-Ham W 5-0 1449 1400 51.7% 28.0% 20.3% +33.8 17
2009-06-21 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-5 1400 1449 20.3% 28.0% 51.7% -33.8 16
2009-06-21 Mjondalen W 2-0 1331 1397 36.8% 29.6% 33.6% +21.4 15
2009-06-21 @ Moss L 0-2 1397 1331 33.6% 29.6% 36.8% -21.5 14
2009-06-21 Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1353 1399 39.5% 29.5% 31.0% +10.7 18
2009-06-21 @ Tromsdalen L 0-1 1399 1353 31.0% 29.5% 39.5% -10.7 14
2009-06-21 Skeid W 4-0 1390 1264 59.9% 25.7% 14.4% +19.9 24
2009-06-21 @ Kongsvinger L 0-4 1264 1390 14.4% 25.7% 59.9% -19.9 8
2009-06-23 Nybergsund-Trysil L 2-3 1343 1427 34.2% 29.6% 36.2% -10.3 13
2009-06-23 @ Notodden W 3-2 1427 1343 36.2% 29.6% 34.2% +10.3 20
2009-06-24 Haugesund D 1-1 1474 1481 44.7% 29.1% 26.2% -1.2 20
2009-06-24 @ Honefoss D 1-1 1481 1474 26.2% 29.1% 44.7% +1.2 23
2009-06-28 Alta L 0-1 1376 1411 41.0% 29.4% 29.6% -13.1 14
2009-06-28 @ Mjondalen W 1-0 1411 1376 29.6% 29.4% 41.0% +13.1 19
2009-06-28 Kongsvinger W 1-0 1389 1410 42.8% 29.3% 27.9% +9.9 17
2009-06-28 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1410 1389 27.9% 29.3% 42.8% -9.9 24
2009-06-28 Notodden W 2-1 1366 1333 49.8% 28.4% 21.8% +7.7 19
2009-06-28 @ Lov-Ham L 1-2 1333 1366 21.8% 28.4% 49.8% -7.7 13
2009-06-28 Nybergsund-Trysil L 1-2 1245 1437 21.3% 28.3% 50.5% -7.5 8
2009-06-28 @ Skeid W 2-1 1437 1245 50.5% 28.3% 21.3% +7.5 23
2009-06-28 Sogndal L 0-2 1482 1503 43.0% 29.3% 27.7% -25.7 23
2009-06-28 @ Haugesund W 2-0 1503 1482 27.7% 29.3% 43.0% +25.7 28
2009-06-28 Stavanger W 3-1 1472 1294 64.8% 23.7% 11.5% +7.2 23
2009-06-28 @ Honefoss L 1-3 1294 1472 11.5% 23.7% 64.8% -7.2 10
2009-06-28 Tromsdalen D 2-2 1385 1363 48.4% 28.6% 23.0% -1.2 15
2009-06-28 @ Bryne D 2-2 1363 1385 23.0% 28.6% 48.4% +1.2 19
2009-06-30 Moss W 1-0 1482 1353 60.2% 25.6% 14.2% +5.5 20
2009-06-30 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-1 1353 1482 14.2% 25.6% 60.2% -5.5 15
2009-07-05 Hamarkameratene W 2-1 1287 1488 20.5% 28.1% 51.5% +14.9 13
2009-07-05 @ Stavanger L 1-2 1488 1287 51.5% 28.1% 20.5% -14.9 20
2009-07-05 Haugesund W 2-1 1347 1456 30.7% 29.5% 39.8% +12.1 18
2009-07-05 @ Moss L 1-2 1456 1347 39.8% 29.5% 30.7% -12.1 23
2009-07-05 Honefoss L 0-1 1400 1480 34.9% 29.6% 35.5% -11.7 24
2009-07-05 @ Kongsvinger W 1-0 1480 1400 35.5% 29.6% 34.9% +11.7 26
2009-07-05 Mjondalen W 4-2 1365 1363 46.0% 29.0% 25.1% +13.3 22
2009-07-05 @ Tromsdalen L 2-4 1363 1365 25.1% 29.0% 46.0% -13.3 14
2009-07-05 Sarpsborg 08 L 2-3 1444 1398 51.3% 28.1% 20.6% -14.1 23
2009-07-05 @ Nybergsund-Trysil W 3-2 1398 1444 20.6% 28.1% 51.3% +14.1 20
2009-07-05 Skeid W 2-1 1529 1237 74.0% 18.9% 7.1% +2.4 31
2009-07-05 @ Sogndal L 1-2 1237 1529 7.1% 18.9% 74.0% -2.4 8
2009-07-08 Bryne W 3-2 1325 1384 37.7% 29.6% 32.7% +10.0 16
2009-07-08 @ Notodden L 2-3 1384 1325 32.7% 29.6% 37.7% -10.0 15
2009-07-11 Kongsvinger W 2-1 1349 1389 40.4% 29.5% 30.1% +9.9 17
2009-07-11 @ Mjondalen L 1-2 1389 1349 30.1% 29.5% 40.4% -9.9 24
2009-07-12 Alta W 2-0 1444 1424 48.2% 28.7% 23.2% +16.1 26
2009-07-12 @ Haugesund L 0-2 1424 1444 23.2% 28.7% 48.2% -16.1 19
2009-07-12 Moss W 6-0 1491 1359 60.5% 25.5% 14.1% +28.5 29
2009-07-12 @ Honefoss L 0-6 1359 1491 14.1% 25.5% 60.5% -28.5 18
2009-07-12 Notodden W 3-0 1473 1335 61.1% 25.2% 13.7% +14.5 23
2009-07-12 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-3 1335 1473 13.7% 25.2% 61.1% -14.5 16
2009-07-12 Nybergsund-Trysil W 4-1 1374 1430 38.1% 29.6% 32.4% +25.5 18
2009-07-12 @ Bryne L 1-4 1430 1374 32.4% 29.6% 38.1% -25.5 23
2009-07-12 Sogndal D 2-2 1413 1531 29.5% 29.4% 41.0% +0.5 21
2009-07-12 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 2-2 1531 1413 41.0% 29.4% 29.5% -0.5 32
2009-07-12 Stavanger W 3-0 1374 1302 54.2% 27.4% 18.4% +19.2 22
2009-07-12 @ Lov-Ham L 0-3 1302 1374 18.4% 27.4% 54.2% -19.2 13
2009-07-12 Tromsdalen W 2-0 1235 1378 26.5% 29.2% 44.4% +26.3 11
2009-07-12 @ Skeid L 0-2 1378 1235 44.4% 29.2% 26.5% -26.3 22
2009-07-26 Alta L 0-4 1283 1408 28.6% 29.4% 42.0% -36.1 13
2009-07-26 @ Stavanger W 4-0 1408 1283 42.0% 29.4% 28.6% +36.1 22
2009-07-26 Bryne L 2-3 1413 1399 47.4% 28.8% 23.8% -13.2 21
2009-07-26 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 3-2 1399 1413 23.8% 28.8% 47.4% +13.2 21
2009-07-26 Hamarkameratene W 1-0 1352 1488 27.4% 29.2% 43.4% +13.7 25
2009-07-26 @ Tromsdalen L 0-1 1488 1352 43.4% 29.2% 27.4% -13.7 23
2009-07-26 Haugesund W 4-2 1359 1460 31.8% 29.5% 38.7% +18.4 20
2009-07-26 @ Mjondalen L 2-4 1460 1359 38.7% 29.5% 31.8% -18.4 26
2009-07-26 Honefoss L 1-5 1405 1520 30.0% 29.5% 40.5% -31.2 23
2009-07-26 @ Nybergsund-Trysil W 5-1 1520 1405 40.5% 29.5% 30.0% +31.2 32
2009-07-26 Moss L 1-3 1393 1331 53.1% 27.7% 19.2% -26.4 22
2009-07-26 @ Lov-Ham W 3-1 1331 1393 19.2% 27.7% 53.1% +26.4 21
2009-07-26 Notodden L 0-2 1261 1320 37.7% 29.6% 32.7% -23.3 11
2009-07-26 @ Skeid W 2-0 1320 1261 32.7% 29.6% 37.7% +23.3 19
2009-07-28 Kongsvinger L 1-2 1530 1379 62.3% 24.8% 12.9% -17.5 32
2009-07-28 @ Sogndal W 2-1 1379 1530 12.9% 24.8% 62.3% +17.5 27
2009-07-29 Lov-Ham W 3-1 1444 1366 54.9% 27.2% 17.8% +11.2 25
2009-07-29 @ Alta L 1-3 1366 1444 17.8% 27.2% 54.9% -11.2 22
2009-08-02 Lov-Ham W 3-1 1551 1355 66.3% 23.0% 10.7% +6.6 35
2009-08-02 @ Honefoss L 1-3 1355 1551 10.7% 23.0% 66.3% -6.6 22
2009-08-02 Mjondalen W 3-1 1474 1378 56.9% 26.7% 16.5% +10.3 26
2009-08-02 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-3 1378 1474 16.5% 26.7% 56.9% -10.3 20
2009-08-02 Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1344 1400 38.1% 29.6% 32.3% -11.7 19
2009-08-02 @ Notodden W 2-1 1400 1344 32.3% 29.6% 38.1% +11.7 24
2009-08-02 Skeid W 2-0 1413 1238 64.5% 23.8% 11.7% +8.4 24
2009-08-02 @ Bryne L 0-2 1238 1413 11.7% 23.8% 64.5% -8.4 11
2009-08-02 Sogndal D 2-2 1456 1513 38.0% 29.6% 32.5% -0.2 26
2009-08-02 @ Alta D 2-2 1513 1456 32.5% 29.6% 38.0% +0.2 33
2009-08-02 Stavanger D 1-1 1357 1246 58.4% 26.2% 15.4% -3.0 22
2009-08-02 @ Moss D 1-1 1246 1357 15.4% 26.2% 58.4% +3.0 14
2009-08-02 Tromsdalen W 4-0 1442 1365 54.8% 27.3% 17.9% +24.6 29
2009-08-02 @ Haugesund L 0-4 1365 1442 17.9% 27.3% 54.8% -24.6 25
2009-08-04 Nybergsund-Trysil W 2-0 1396 1374 48.5% 28.6% 22.9% +16.0 30
2009-08-04 @ Kongsvinger L 0-2 1374 1396 22.9% 28.6% 48.5% -16.0 23
2009-08-09 Bryne W 3-2 1341 1421 34.7% 29.6% 35.7% +10.6 28
2009-08-09 @ Tromsdalen L 2-3 1421 1341 35.7% 29.6% 34.7% -10.6 24
2009-08-09 Hamarkameratene D 2-2 1358 1484 28.5% 29.4% 42.1% +0.6 24
2009-08-09 @ Nybergsund-Trysil D 2-2 1484 1358 42.1% 29.4% 28.5% -0.6 27
2009-08-09 Honefoss D 2-2 1249 1558 12.8% 24.6% 62.6% +2.6 15
2009-08-09 @ Stavanger D 2-2 1558 1249 62.6% 24.6% 12.8% -2.6 36
2009-08-09 Kongsvinger D 1-1 1348 1412 37.0% 29.6% 33.4% -0.2 23
2009-08-09 @ Lov-Ham D 1-1 1412 1348 33.4% 29.6% 37.0% +0.2 31
2009-08-09 Moss L 0-3 1455 1354 57.4% 26.5% 16.1% -47.3 26
2009-08-09 @ Alta W 3-0 1354 1455 16.1% 26.5% 57.4% +47.3 25
2009-08-09 Notodden W 1-0 1367 1332 50.0% 28.3% 21.6% +8.1 23
2009-08-09 @ Mjondalen L 0-1 1332 1367 21.6% 28.3% 50.0% -8.1 19
2009-08-11 Haugesund L 2-3 1513 1467 51.4% 28.1% 20.5% -14.1 33
2009-08-11 @ Sogndal W 3-2 1467 1513 20.5% 28.1% 51.4% +14.1 32
2009-08-11 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1229 1412 22.3% 28.5% 49.3% -15.6 11
2009-08-11 @ Skeid W 2-0 1412 1229 49.3% 28.5% 22.3% +15.6 27
2009-08-16 Alta W 2-0 1555 1408 61.9% 24.9% 13.2% +9.6 39
2009-08-16 @ Honefoss L 0-2 1408 1555 13.2% 24.9% 61.9% -9.6 26
2009-08-16 Lov-Ham L 2-3 1324 1348 42.5% 29.3% 28.2% -12.1 19
2009-08-16 @ Notodden W 3-2 1348 1324 28.2% 29.3% 42.5% +12.1 26
2009-08-16 Mjondalen W 1-0 1410 1375 50.0% 28.3% 21.6% +8.1 27
2009-08-16 @ Bryne L 0-1 1375 1410 21.6% 28.3% 50.0% -8.1 23
2009-08-16 Moss W 1-0 1413 1402 47.1% 28.8% 24.1% +8.8 34
2009-08-16 @ Kongsvinger L 0-1 1402 1413 24.1% 28.8% 47.1% -8.8 25
2009-08-16 Nybergsund-Trysil W 4-1 1481 1358 59.5% 25.8% 14.7% +13.1 35
2009-08-16 @ Haugesund L 1-4 1358 1481 14.7% 25.8% 59.5% -13.1 24
2009-08-16 Stavanger L 0-2 1214 1252 40.6% 29.5% 29.9% -24.6 11
2009-08-16 @ Skeid W 2-0 1252 1214 29.9% 29.5% 40.6% +24.6 18
2009-08-16 Tromsdalen W 4-0 1427 1351 54.7% 27.3% 18.0% +24.7 30
2009-08-16 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-4 1351 1427 18.0% 27.3% 54.7% -24.7 28
2009-08-18 Sogndal L 1-2 1483 1499 43.6% 29.2% 27.1% -13.0 27
2009-08-18 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-1 1499 1483 27.1% 29.2% 43.6% +13.0 36
2009-08-23 Bryne W 2-0 1345 1418 35.7% 29.6% 34.7% +21.9 27
2009-08-23 @ Nybergsund-Trysil L 0-2 1418 1345 34.7% 29.6% 35.7% -21.9 27
2009-08-23 Hamarkameratene W 5-3 1398 1470 35.9% 29.6% 34.5% +16.0 29
2009-08-23 @ Alta L 3-5 1470 1398 34.5% 29.6% 35.9% -16.0 27
2009-08-23 Haugesund D 1-1 1360 1494 27.7% 29.3% 43.1% +1.0 27
2009-08-23 @ Lov-Ham D 1-1 1494 1360 43.1% 29.3% 27.7% -1.0 36
2009-08-23 Kongsvinger L 3-5 1277 1421 26.3% 29.1% 44.5% -13.1 18
2009-08-23 @ Stavanger W 5-3 1421 1277 44.5% 29.1% 26.3% +13.1 37
2009-08-23 Notodden W 2-1 1512 1312 66.7% 22.8% 10.5% +3.7 39
2009-08-23 @ Sogndal L 1-2 1312 1512 10.5% 22.8% 66.7% -3.7 19
2009-08-23 Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1367 1452 34.1% 29.6% 36.3% +0.1 24
2009-08-23 @ Mjondalen D 0-0 1452 1367 36.3% 29.6% 34.1% -0.2 31
2009-08-23 Skeid D 3-3 1327 1189 61.0% 25.3% 13.7% -2.1 29
2009-08-23 @ Tromsdalen D 3-3 1189 1327 13.7% 25.3% 61.0% +2.1 12
2009-08-25 Honefoss W 4-0 1393 1564 23.4% 28.7% 47.9% +53.2 28
2009-08-25 @ Moss L 0-4 1564 1393 47.9% 28.7% 23.4% -53.2 39
2009-08-30 Honefoss W 3-2 1493 1511 43.3% 29.3% 27.4% +8.8 39
2009-08-30 @ Haugesund L 2-3 1511 1493 27.4% 29.3% 43.3% -8.8 39
2009-08-30 Lov-Ham W 3-1 1325 1361 40.8% 29.4% 29.7% +17.0 32
2009-08-30 @ Tromsdalen L 1-3 1361 1325 29.7% 29.4% 40.8% -17.0 27
2009-08-30 Mjondalen L 1-3 1191 1367 22.9% 28.6% 48.5% -13.8 12
2009-08-30 @ Skeid W 3-1 1367 1191 48.5% 28.6% 22.9% +13.8 27
2009-08-30 Moss W 2-0 1308 1446 27.1% 29.2% 43.7% +26.0 22
2009-08-30 @ Notodden L 0-2 1446 1308 43.7% 29.2% 27.1% -26.0 28
2009-08-30 Nybergsund-Trysil W 4-1 1452 1367 55.6% 27.0% 17.3% +15.4 34
2009-08-30 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-4 1367 1452 17.3% 27.0% 55.6% -15.4 27
2009-08-30 Sogndal D 1-1 1397 1516 29.4% 29.4% 41.2% +0.7 28
2009-08-30 @ Bryne D 1-1 1516 1397 41.2% 29.4% 29.4% -0.7 40
2009-08-30 Stavanger W 3-1 1454 1264 65.9% 23.2% 10.9% +6.8 30
2009-08-30 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-3 1264 1454 10.9% 23.2% 65.9% -6.8 18
2009-09-01 Alta W 4-2 1434 1414 48.2% 28.6% 23.1% +12.5 40
2009-09-01 @ Kongsvinger L 2-4 1414 1434 23.1% 28.6% 48.2% -12.5 29
2009-09-06 Bryne W 2-0 1344 1397 38.6% 29.6% 31.9% +20.6 30
2009-09-06 @ Lov-Ham L 0-2 1397 1344 31.9% 29.6% 38.6% -20.6 28
2009-09-06 Hamarkameratene W 2-0 1420 1461 40.2% 29.5% 30.3% +19.9 31
2009-09-06 @ Moss L 0-2 1461 1420 30.3% 29.5% 40.2% -19.9 30
2009-09-06 Haugesund W 1-0 1402 1502 32.0% 29.6% 38.4% +12.5 32
2009-09-06 @ Alta L 0-1 1502 1402 38.4% 29.6% 32.0% -12.5 39
2009-09-06 Notodden D 1-1 1257 1334 35.1% 29.6% 35.2% +0.0 19
2009-09-06 @ Stavanger D 1-1 1334 1257 35.2% 29.6% 35.1% -0.0 23
2009-09-06 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1515 1467 51.5% 28.0% 20.4% -15.8 40
2009-09-06 @ Sogndal W 1-0 1467 1515 20.4% 28.0% 51.5% +15.8 37
2009-09-06 Skeid W 4-1 1352 1177 64.5% 23.9% 11.7% +10.3 30
2009-09-06 @ Nybergsund-Trysil L 1-4 1177 1352 11.7% 23.9% 64.5% -10.3 12
2009-09-06 Tromsdalen W 3-0 1381 1342 50.5% 28.2% 21.2% +21.8 30
2009-09-06 @ Mjondalen L 0-3 1342 1381 21.2% 28.2% 50.5% -21.8 32
2009-09-08 Kongsvinger W 3-1 1502 1447 52.4% 27.9% 19.7% +12.2 42
2009-09-08 @ Honefoss L 1-3 1447 1502 19.7% 27.9% 52.4% -12.2 40
2009-09-13 Alta D 1-1 1483 1414 53.9% 27.5% 18.6% -2.4 38
2009-09-13 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1414 1483 18.6% 27.5% 53.9% +2.4 33
2009-09-13 Kongsvinger L 0-1 1334 1435 31.9% 29.6% 38.6% -10.9 23
2009-09-13 @ Notodden W 1-0 1435 1334 38.6% 29.6% 31.9% +10.9 43
2009-09-13 Lov-Ham D 0-0 1403 1365 50.4% 28.3% 21.3% -2.2 31
2009-09-13 @ Mjondalen D 0-0 1365 1403 21.3% 28.3% 50.4% +2.2 31
2009-09-13 Moss W 5-3 1489 1440 51.7% 28.0% 20.3% +10.6 42
2009-09-13 @ Haugesund L 3-5 1440 1489 20.3% 28.0% 51.7% -10.6 31
2009-09-13 Nybergsund-Trysil D 1-1 1320 1362 40.1% 29.5% 30.4% -0.6 33
2009-09-13 @ Tromsdalen D 1-1 1362 1320 30.4% 29.5% 40.1% +0.6 31
2009-09-13 Sogndal D 1-1 1167 1499 11.5% 23.7% 64.8% +3.8 13
2009-09-13 @ Skeid D 1-1 1499 1167 64.8% 23.7% 11.5% -3.8 41
2009-09-13 Stavanger D 1-1 1377 1257 59.3% 25.9% 14.8% -3.1 29
2009-09-13 @ Bryne D 1-1 1257 1377 14.8% 25.9% 59.3% +3.1 20
2009-09-15 Honefoss L 1-2 1441 1515 35.7% 29.6% 34.7% -11.2 30
2009-09-15 @ Hamarkameratene W 2-1 1515 1441 34.7% 29.6% 35.7% +11.2 45
2009-09-20 Bryne D 1-1 1526 1374 62.4% 24.7% 12.9% -3.5 46
2009-09-20 @ Honefoss D 1-1 1374 1526 12.9% 24.7% 62.4% +3.5 30
2009-09-20 Hamarkameratene D 2-2 1367 1430 37.2% 29.6% 33.2% -0.2 32
2009-09-20 @ Lov-Ham D 2-2 1430 1367 33.2% 29.6% 37.2% +0.2 31
2009-09-20 Mjondalen D 0-0 1496 1401 56.7% 26.7% 16.6% -3.1 42
2009-09-20 @ Sogndal D 0-0 1401 1496 16.6% 26.7% 56.7% +3.1 32
2009-09-20 Notodden W 4-2 1363 1323 50.6% 28.2% 21.2% +11.6 34
2009-09-20 @ Nybergsund-Trysil L 2-4 1323 1363 21.2% 28.2% 50.6% -11.6 23
2009-09-20 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1260 1481 18.8% 27.6% 53.7% -13.5 20
2009-09-20 @ Stavanger W 2-0 1481 1260 53.7% 27.6% 18.8% +13.5 41
2009-09-20 Skeid D 1-1 1417 1171 70.5% 20.9% 8.6% -4.4 34
2009-09-20 @ Alta D 1-1 1171 1417 8.6% 20.9% 70.5% +4.4 14
2009-09-20 Tromsdalen W 2-1 1429 1319 58.3% 26.2% 15.5% +5.6 34
2009-09-20 @ Moss L 1-2 1319 1429 15.5% 26.2% 58.3% -5.6 33
2009-09-22 Haugesund W 4-1 1446 1500 38.4% 29.6% 32.0% +25.3 46
2009-09-22 @ Kongsvinger L 1-4 1500 1446 32.0% 29.6% 38.4% -25.4 42
2009-09-27 Alta W 3-1 1377 1412 41.0% 29.4% 29.5% +16.9 33
2009-09-27 @ Bryne L 1-3 1412 1377 29.5% 29.4% 41.0% -16.9 34
2009-09-27 Honefoss L 2-3 1311 1522 19.6% 27.8% 52.6% -6.6 23
2009-09-27 @ Notodden W 3-2 1522 1311 52.6% 27.8% 19.6% +6.6 49
2009-09-27 Lov-Ham W 4-1 1494 1367 60.0% 25.7% 14.4% +12.8 44
2009-09-27 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-4 1367 1494 14.4% 25.7% 60.0% -12.8 32
2009-09-27 Moss W 2-1 1175 1435 15.8% 26.4% 57.9% +16.4 17
2009-09-27 @ Skeid L 1-2 1435 1175 57.9% 26.4% 15.8% -16.4 34
2009-09-27 Nybergsund-Trysil D 3-3 1404 1374 49.4% 28.5% 22.2% -1.1 33
2009-09-27 @ Mjondalen D 3-3 1374 1404 22.2% 28.5% 49.4% +1.1 35
2009-09-27 Sogndal L 3-4 1314 1492 22.6% 28.5% 48.8% -7.3 33
2009-09-27 @ Tromsdalen W 4-3 1492 1314 48.8% 28.5% 22.6% +7.3 45
2009-09-27 Stavanger D 0-0 1474 1246 69.0% 21.7% 9.3% -4.8 43
2009-09-27 @ Haugesund D 0-0 1246 1474 9.3% 21.7% 69.0% +4.8 21
2009-09-29 Kongsvinger W 1-0 1430 1471 40.3% 29.5% 30.2% +10.5 34
2009-09-29 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-1 1471 1430 30.2% 29.5% 40.3% -10.5 46
2009-10-04 Bryne W 1-0 1461 1394 53.6% 27.6% 18.8% +7.2 49
2009-10-04 @ Kongsvinger L 0-1 1394 1461 18.8% 27.6% 53.6% -7.2 33
2009-10-04 Hamarkameratene W 4-2 1470 1441 49.3% 28.5% 22.3% +12.1 46
2009-10-04 @ Haugesund L 2-4 1441 1470 22.3% 28.5% 49.3% -12.1 34
2009-10-04 Mjondalen W 3-1 1251 1403 25.5% 29.0% 45.4% +23.2 24
2009-10-04 @ Stavanger L 1-3 1403 1251 45.4% 29.0% 25.5% -23.2 33
2009-10-04 Notodden W 1-0 1396 1305 56.3% 26.9% 16.9% +6.5 37
2009-10-04 @ Alta L 0-1 1305 1396 16.9% 26.9% 56.3% -6.5 23
2009-10-04 Sarpsborg 08 W 4-2 1419 1507 33.6% 29.6% 36.8% +17.7 37
2009-10-04 @ Moss L 2-4 1507 1419 36.8% 29.6% 33.6% -17.7 44
2009-10-04 Skeid W 2-0 1354 1192 63.4% 24.3% 12.3% +8.9 35
2009-10-04 @ Lov-Ham L 0-2 1192 1354 12.3% 24.3% 63.4% -8.9 17
2009-10-04 Sogndal D 1-1 1375 1500 28.8% 29.4% 41.8% +0.8 36
2009-10-04 @ Nybergsund-Trysil D 1-1 1500 1375 41.8% 29.4% 28.8% -0.8 46
2009-10-06 Tromsdalen W 2-0 1529 1306 68.6% 21.9% 9.5% +6.7 52
2009-10-06 @ Honefoss L 0-2 1306 1529 9.5% 21.9% 68.6% -6.7 33
2009-10-11 Alta W 2-1 1300 1402 31.6% 29.5% 38.8% +11.9 36
2009-10-11 @ Tromsdalen L 1-2 1402 1300 38.8% 29.5% 31.6% -11.9 37
2009-10-11 Hamarkameratene W 3-2 1298 1429 28.0% 29.3% 42.7% +12.1 26
2009-10-11 @ Notodden L 2-3 1429 1298 42.7% 29.3% 28.0% -12.1 34
2009-10-11 Haugesund L 0-1 1387 1482 32.6% 29.6% 37.8% -11.1 33
2009-10-11 @ Bryne W 1-0 1482 1387 37.8% 29.6% 32.6% +11.1 49
2009-10-11 Honefoss W 2-1 1489 1536 39.5% 29.5% 31.0% +10.1 47
2009-10-11 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1536 1489 31.0% 29.5% 39.5% -10.1 52
2009-10-11 Lov-Ham W 2-1 1499 1363 60.9% 25.3% 13.8% +5.0 49
2009-10-11 @ Sogndal L 1-2 1363 1499 13.8% 25.3% 60.9% -5.0 35
2009-10-11 Moss W 3-1 1380 1436 38.0% 29.6% 32.4% +18.1 36
2009-10-11 @ Mjondalen L 1-3 1436 1380 32.4% 29.6% 38.0% -18.1 37
2009-10-11 Stavanger W 2-1 1376 1274 57.4% 26.5% 16.1% +5.8 39
2009-10-11 @ Nybergsund-Trysil L 1-2 1274 1376 16.1% 26.5% 57.4% -5.8 24
2009-10-13 Kongsvinger D 1-1 1183 1468 14.1% 25.5% 60.4% +3.3 18
2009-10-13 @ Skeid D 1-1 1468 1183 60.4% 25.5% 14.1% -3.3 50
2009-10-17 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-0 1464 1499 41.1% 29.4% 29.5% +28.3 53
2009-10-17 @ Kongsvinger L 0-3 1499 1464 29.5% 29.4% 41.1% -28.3 47
2009-10-18 Bryne L 2-4 1417 1376 50.7% 28.2% 21.1% -22.8 34
2009-10-18 @ Hamarkameratene W 4-2 1376 1417 21.1% 28.2% 50.7% +22.8 36
2009-10-18 Mjondalen W 3-1 1390 1398 44.7% 29.1% 26.2% +15.4 40
2009-10-18 @ Alta L 1-3 1398 1390 26.2% 29.1% 44.7% -15.4 36
2009-10-18 Notodden W 6-0 1493 1310 65.1% 23.5% 11.3% +22.6 52
2009-10-18 @ Haugesund L 0-6 1310 1493 11.3% 23.5% 65.1% -22.6 26
2009-10-18 Nybergsund-Trysil W 3-2 1358 1382 42.5% 29.3% 28.1% +8.9 38
2009-10-18 @ Lov-Ham L 2-3 1382 1358 28.1% 29.3% 42.5% -8.9 39
2009-10-18 Skeid W 6-0 1526 1186 77.3% 16.9% 5.8% +10.2 55
2009-10-18 @ Honefoss L 0-6 1186 1526 5.8% 16.9% 77.3% -10.3 18
2009-10-18 Sogndal L 0-3 1418 1504 33.9% 29.6% 36.5% -31.3 37
2009-10-18 @ Moss W 3-0 1504 1418 36.5% 29.6% 33.9% +31.3 52
2009-10-18 Tromsdalen W 4-2 1269 1312 40.0% 29.5% 30.5% +15.5 27
2009-10-18 @ Stavanger L 2-4 1312 1269 30.5% 29.5% 40.0% -15.5 36
2009-10-25 Alta D 0-0 1367 1406 40.6% 29.5% 30.0% -0.7 39
2009-10-25 @ Lov-Ham D 0-0 1406 1367 30.0% 29.5% 40.6% +0.8 41
2009-10-25 Hamarkameratene W 1-0 1471 1394 54.8% 27.3% 17.9% +6.9 50
2009-10-25 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1394 1471 17.9% 27.3% 54.8% -6.9 34
2009-10-25 Haugesund L 0-4 1176 1515 11.1% 23.4% 65.5% -15.2 18
2009-10-25 @ Skeid W 4-0 1515 1176 65.5% 23.4% 11.1% +15.2 55
2009-10-25 Honefoss W 2-1 1382 1536 25.3% 29.0% 45.7% +13.5 39
2009-10-25 @ Mjondalen L 1-2 1536 1382 45.7% 29.0% 25.3% -13.5 55
2009-10-25 Kongsvinger W 3-0 1296 1493 20.9% 28.2% 51.0% +42.8 39
2009-10-25 @ Tromsdalen L 0-3 1493 1296 51.0% 28.2% 20.9% -42.8 53
2009-10-25 Moss L 0-2 1373 1387 43.9% 29.2% 26.9% -26.1 39
2009-10-25 @ Nybergsund-Trysil W 2-0 1387 1373 26.9% 29.2% 43.9% +26.1 40
2009-10-25 Notodden W 1-0 1398 1288 58.3% 26.2% 15.4% +6.0 39
2009-10-25 @ Bryne L 0-1 1288 1398 15.4% 26.2% 58.3% -6.0 26
2009-10-25 Stavanger D 1-1 1535 1284 70.9% 20.7% 8.4% -4.5 53
2009-10-25 @ Sogndal D 1-1 1284 1535 8.4% 20.7% 70.9% +4.5 28
2009-11-01 Bryne D 1-1 1413 1404 46.8% 28.9% 24.3% -1.5 41
2009-11-01 @ Moss D 1-1 1404 1413 24.3% 28.9% 46.8% +1.5 40
2009-11-01 Lov-Ham D 2-2 1289 1366 35.1% 29.6% 35.3% +0.0 29
2009-11-01 @ Stavanger D 2-2 1366 1289 35.3% 29.6% 35.1% -0.0 40
2009-11-01 Mjondalen W 2-0 1450 1396 52.3% 27.9% 19.9% +14.2 56
2009-11-01 @ Kongsvinger L 0-2 1396 1450 19.9% 27.9% 52.3% -14.2 39
2009-11-01 Nybergsund-Trysil D 1-1 1406 1347 52.8% 27.8% 19.4% -2.3 42
2009-11-01 @ Alta D 1-1 1347 1406 19.4% 27.8% 52.8% +2.3 40
2009-11-01 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-0 1531 1478 52.1% 27.9% 20.0% +20.7 58
2009-11-01 @ Haugesund L 0-3 1478 1531 20.0% 27.9% 52.1% -20.7 50
2009-11-01 Skeid W 3-2 1387 1161 68.9% 21.7% 9.4% +3.1 37
2009-11-01 @ Hamarkameratene L 2-3 1161 1387 9.4% 21.7% 68.9% -3.1 18
2009-11-01 Sogndal D 0-0 1522 1531 44.6% 29.1% 26.3% -1.3 56
2009-11-01 @ Honefoss D 0-0 1531 1522 26.3% 29.1% 44.6% +1.3 54
2009-11-01 Tromsdalen W 4-0 1282 1339 38.0% 29.6% 32.4% +39.6 29
2009-11-01 @ Notodden L 0-4 1339 1282 32.4% 29.6% 38.0% -39.6 39

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2009-11-06 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1594 1457 61.0% 25.3% 13.8% -34.3 0-1
2009-11-06 @ Fredrikstad W 2-0 1457 1594 13.8% 25.3% 61.0% +34.3 1-0
2009-11-06 Sogndal W 3-1 1464 1532 36.4% 29.6% 34.0% +18.7 1-0
2009-11-06 @ Kongsvinger L 1-3 1532 1464 34.0% 29.6% 36.4% -18.7 0-1
2009-11-09 Kongsvinger W 3-2 1491 1483 46.8% 28.9% 24.3% +8.0 2-0
2009-11-09 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 2-3 1483 1491 24.3% 28.9% 46.8% -8.0 1-1
2009-11-12 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-1 1475 1499 42.5% 29.3% 28.2% +16.3 2-1
2009-11-12 @ Kongsvinger L 1-3 1499 1475 28.2% 29.3% 42.5% -16.3 2-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2009-07-28 12.91% Kongsvinger 1379 2 @ Sogndal 1530 1
2 2009-11-06 * 13.75% Sarpsborg 08 1457 2 @ Fredrikstad 1594 0
3 2009-04-19 14.18% Alta 1301 5 @ Moss 1432 0
4 2009-09-27 15.75% @ Skeid 1175 2 Moss 1435 1
5 2009-08-09 16.12% Moss 1354 3 @ Alta 1455 0
6 2009-05-21 17.20% Alta 1354 2 @ Nybergsund-Trysil 1441 1
7 2009-05-03 18.76% Lov-Ham 1363 2 @ Nybergsund-Trysil 1430 1
8 2009-04-05 18.95% Skeid 1342 3 @ Notodden 1407 0
9 2009-07-26 19.20% Moss 1331 3 @ Lov-Ham 1393 1
10 2009-05-16 19.34% Nybergsund-Trysil 1414 3 @ Hamarkameratene 1474 1
11 2009-04-13 20.29% Notodden 1363 2 @ Sarpsborg 08 1412 1
12 2009-09-06 20.41% Sarpsborg 08 1467 1 @ Sogndal 1515 0
13 2009-06-09 20.42% Haugesund 1414 2 @ Hamarkameratene 1462 1
14 2009-07-05 20.47% @ Stavanger 1287 2 Hamarkameratene 1488 1
15 2009-08-11 20.55% Haugesund 1467 3 @ Sogndal 1513 2
16 2009-07-05 20.60% Sarpsborg 08 1398 3 @ Nybergsund-Trysil 1444 2
17 2009-10-25 20.88% @ Tromsdalen 1296 3 Kongsvinger 1493 0
18 2009-10-18 21.07% Bryne 1376 4 @ Hamarkameratene 1417 2
19 2009-08-25 23.37% @ Moss 1393 4 Honefoss 1564 0
20 2009-07-26 23.81% Bryne 1399 3 @ Sarpsborg 08 1413 2
21 2009-06-07 23.89% Bryne 1344 2 @ Stavanger 1357 0
22 2009-04-13 24.22% Tromsdalen 1362 1 @ Lov-Ham 1372 0
23 2009-04-13 24.24% Nybergsund-Trysil 1406 2 @ Honefoss 1416 1
24 2009-04-28 24.54% Kongsvinger 1374 3 @ Alta 1381 2
25 2009-10-25 25.30% @ Mjondalen 1382 2 Honefoss 1536 1

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2009-04-19 79.44 Alta 5 1301 14.18% @ Moss 0 1432 60.28% 25.54%
2 2009-08-25 53.20 @ Moss 4 1393 23.37% Honefoss 0 1564 47.94% 28.69%
3 2009-05-05 47.80 Honefoss 4 1417 28.71% @ Skeid 0 1389 41.92% 29.37%
4 2009-08-09 47.33 Moss 3 1354 16.12% @ Alta 0 1455 57.35% 26.53%
5 2009-04-05 44.58 Skeid 3 1342 18.95% @ Notodden 0 1407 53.44% 27.61%
6 2009-10-25 42.85 @ Tromsdalen 3 1296 20.88% Kongsvinger 0 1493 50.97% 28.16%
7 2009-04-14 40.66 @ Hamarkameratene 7 1425 55.40% Alta 0 1342 17.50% 27.10%
8 2009-11-01 39.63 @ Notodden 4 1282 38.01% Tromsdalen 0 1339 32.41% 29.58%
9 2009-06-21 37.89 Haugesund 4 1443 40.03% @ Stavanger 0 1332 30.48% 29.49%
10 2009-07-26 36.14 Alta 4 1408 42.03% @ Stavanger 0 1283 28.60% 29.37%
11 2009-06-01 34.49 @ Sarpsborg 08 4 1378 43.89% Stavanger 0 1391 26.91% 29.21%
12 2009-11-06 * 34.29 Sarpsborg 08 2 1457 13.75% @ Fredrikstad 0 1594 60.97% 25.28%
13 2009-06-21 33.82 @ Hamarkameratene 5 1449 51.66% Lov-Ham 0 1400 20.33% 28.02%
14 2009-10-18 31.34 Sogndal 3 1504 36.47% @ Moss 0 1418 33.92% 29.61%
15 2009-07-26 31.20 Honefoss 5 1520 40.54% @ Nybergsund-Trysil 1 1405 30.00% 29.47%
16 2009-05-16 29.58 @ Mjondalen 4 1370 49.33% Skeid 0 1341 22.21% 28.47%
17 2009-07-12 28.47 @ Honefoss 6 1491 60.45% Moss 0 1359 14.07% 25.48%
18 2009-10-17 28.30 @ Kongsvinger 3 1464 41.09% Sarpsborg 08 0 1499 29.48% 29.43%
19 2009-06-07 27.85 @ Alta 3 1382 41.75% Sarpsborg 08 0 1412 28.87% 29.39%
20 2009-06-07 27.75 Bryne 2 1344 23.89% @ Stavanger 0 1357 47.33% 28.79%
21 2009-07-26 26.44 Moss 3 1331 19.20% @ Lov-Ham 1 1393 53.11% 27.69%
22 2009-06-07 26.43 @ Kongsvinger 3 1374 43.84% Notodden 0 1388 26.95% 29.21%
23 2009-05-16 26.37 Nybergsund-Trysil 3 1414 19.34% @ Hamarkameratene 1 1474 52.93% 27.73%
24 2009-05-26 26.36 Sogndal 2 1434 26.45% @ Kongsvinger 0 1424 44.40% 29.15%
25 2009-07-12 26.34 @ Skeid 2 1235 26.48% Tromsdalen 0 1378 44.37% 29.16%