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2026 Eliteserien Season

113 games played · 16 teams

Live

Season Status

In Progress

Awaiting final results

Title Favorite

Bodo Glimt

54.44% chance to win the title

Biggest Overachiever

Viking

6.78 points above expected

34 points · 27.22 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Start

5.03 points below expected

10 points · 15.03 expected points

League Table

Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 Bodo Glimt 15 11 2 2 35 37 11 +26 30.12 +4.88
2 Viking 14 11 1 2 34 34 14 +20 27.22 +6.78
3 Tromso 15 9 4 2 31 26 15 +11 24.71 +6.29
4 Lillestrom 14 8 1 5 25 22 14 +8 24.10 +0.90
5 Molde 14 7 2 5 23 25 19 +6 21.05 +1.95
6 Sarpsborg 08 14 6 3 5 21 15 16 -1 17.14 +3.86
7 Valerenga 14 6 2 6 20 22 24 -2 19.06 +0.94
8 Brann 15 6 1 8 19 30 25 +5 22.84 -3.84
9 Hamarkameratene 14 5 3 6 18 20 26 -6 17.80 +0.20
10 Rosenborg 13 4 3 6 15 15 18 -3 16.26 -1.26
11 Sandefjord 14 4 3 7 15 13 20 -7 19.11 -4.11
12 Fredrikstad 13 4 2 7 14 15 23 -8 16.81 -2.81
13 Aalesund 14 2 7 5 13 19 29 -10 15.58 -2.58
14 KFUM Oslo 14 3 3 8 12 15 25 -10 16.82 -4.82
15 Kristiansund 14 3 3 8 12 12 23 -11 13.52 -1.52
16 Start 15 2 4 9 10 16 34 -18 15.03 -5.03

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.

Team Elo Points Avg Exp. Pts. Rem. Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
Bodo Glimt 1905 35 66.71 31.71 47 59 64 67 70 74 80
Viking 1875 34 66.29 32.29 46 58 63 66 70 74 82
Lillestrom 1782 25 52.16 27.16 31 44 49 52 56 60 70
Tromso 1756 31 53.48 22.48 35 45 50 53 57 62 71
Brann 1745 19 42.37 23.37 24 34 39 42 46 51 61
Molde 1736 23 47.27 24.27 26 39 44 47 51 56 68
Sandefjord 1689 15 36.76 21.76 18 28 33 37 40 45 55
Valerenga 1684 20 40.60 20.60 22 32 37 41 44 49 59
Rosenborg 1681 15 37.40 22.40 19 29 34 37 41 46 57
Sarpsborg 08 1680 21 42.44 21.44 24 34 39 42 46 51 62
Fredrikstad 1670 14 35.81 21.81 16 27 32 36 39 45 55
Hamarkameratene 1662 18 38.02 20.02 19 30 35 38 41 46 58
KFUM Oslo 1634 12 30.38 18.38 15 23 27 30 34 39 50
Aalesund 1617 13 29.80 16.80 14 22 26 30 33 38 51
Start 1604 10 26.75 16.75 12 19 23 27 30 35 44
Kristiansund 1577 12 27.39 15.39 12 20 24 27 31 36 46

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AAL BG BRA FRE HAM KO KRI LIL MOL ROS SAN S0 STA TRO VAL VIK
Aalesund —
0-0-1
0.48
1-0-0
1.15
0-0-1
1.45
0-1-0
1.50
0-1-0
1.57
0-1-0
1.80
0-0-1
1.13
0-1-0
1.28
1-0-0
0.89
0-0-1
0.80
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.07
0-1-0
0.75
0-0-1
0.96
0-1-0
0.75
Bodo Glimt
1-0-0
2.37
 —
1-0-0
2.13
1-0-0
2.35
1-0-0
2.39
1-0-0
1.98
1-0-0
2.08
1-0-0
1.27
0-0-1
2.16
0-1-0
1.97
1-0-0
1.84
0-1-0
1.79
2-0-0
4.46
1-0-0
2.11
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.22
Brann
0-0-1
1.65
0-0-1
0.70
 —
1-0-0
1.96
1-0-0
1.21
1-0-0
2.10
0-0-1
1.62
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.12
0-1-0
1.31
0-0-1
1.82
0-0-1
2.02
1-0-0
2.13
1-0-1
2.54
0-0-1
1.98
0-0-1
0.68
Fredrikstad
1-0-0
1.34
0-0-1
0.50
0-0-1
0.85
 —
1-0-0
1.71
1-0-0
1.77
0-0-1
1.54
0-0-1
1.33
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.98
0-0-1
1.17
1-0-0
1.93
0-0-1
0.98
0-1-0
1.70
0-0-1
1.03
Hamarkameratene
0-1-0
1.29
0-0-1
0.46
0-0-1
1.58
0-0-1
1.09
 —
1-0-0
1.69
0-1-0
1.37
1-0-0
1.24
0-0-1
0.90
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.01
0-0-1
1.06
1-0-0
1.86
0-0-1
1.47
1-0-0
1.68
1-0-0
1.08
KFUM Oslo
0-1-0
1.22
0-0-1
0.83
0-0-1
0.72
0-0-1
1.03
0-0-1
1.11
 —
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.66
0-0-1
1.36
1-0-0
1.63
0-0-1
1.59
1-0-0
1.62
1-0-0
1.82
0-1-0
1.38
0-1-0
0.97
0-0-1
0.88
Kristiansund
0-1-0
1.01
0-0-1
0.74
1-0-0
1.18
1-0-0
1.26
0-1-0
1.42
0-0-0
0.00
 —
1-0-0
0.52
0-0-1
0.66
0-0-1
0.86
0-0-1
0.74
0-1-0
1.33
0-0-1
1.66
0-0-1
0.60
0-0-1
0.84
0-0-1
0.71
Lillestrom
1-0-0
1.66
0-0-1
1.52
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.46
0-0-1
1.55
1-0-0
2.17
0-0-1
2.32
 —
1-0-0
1.34
0-0-1
1.67
1-0-0
1.99
1-0-0
2.14
1-0-0
2.22
0-1-0
1.22
1-0-0
1.45
0-0-1
1.37
Molde
0-1-0
1.51
1-0-0
0.67
0-0-1
1.67
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.91
1-0-0
1.43
1-0-0
2.17
0-0-1
1.45
 —
1-0-0
1.85
1-0-0
1.81
0-0-1
1.40
0-1-0
1.47
0-0-1
1.10
1-0-0
1.82
0-0-1
0.77
Rosenborg
0-0-1
1.91
0-1-0
0.84
0-1-0
1.49
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
1.17
1-0-0
1.94
1-0-0
1.13
0-0-1
0.95
 —
0-1-0
0.92
1-0-0
1.64
1-0-0
1.28
0-0-1
0.81
0-0-1
1.64
0-0-1
0.53
Sandefjord
1-0-0
2.01
0-0-1
0.96
1-0-0
0.99
0-1-0
1.82
0-1-0
1.79
1-0-0
1.20
1-0-0
2.08
0-0-1
0.82
0-0-1
0.99
0-1-0
1.89
 —
0-0-1
1.88
0-0-0
0.00
0-0-1
0.90
0-0-1
1.18
0-0-1
0.60
Sarpsborg 08
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
1.01
1-0-0
0.79
1-0-0
1.63
1-0-0
1.74
0-0-1
1.17
0-1-0
1.46
0-0-1
0.69
1-0-0
1.39
0-0-1
1.16
1-0-0
0.92
 —
0-1-0
1.89
0-0-1
1.37
0-0-1
1.02
1-0-0
0.90
Start
0-1-0
1.73
0-0-2
1.21
0-0-1
0.69
0-0-1
0.88
0-0-1
0.94
0-0-1
0.99
1-0-0
1.14
0-0-1
0.61
0-1-0
1.33
0-0-1
1.51
0-0-0
0.00
0-1-0
0.92
 —
0-1-0
1.23
1-0-0
1.42
0-0-1
0.43
Tromso
0-1-0
2.07
0-0-1
0.71
1-0-1
3.06
1-0-0
1.82
1-0-0
1.32
0-1-0
1.41
1-0-0
2.23
0-1-0
1.57
1-0-0
1.69
1-0-0
2.01
1-0-0
1.91
1-0-0
1.42
0-1-0
1.57
 —
1-0-0
1.91
0-0-0
0.00
Valerenga
1-0-0
1.84
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
0.83
0-1-0
1.10
0-0-1
1.12
0-1-0
1.84
1-0-0
1.98
0-0-1
1.34
0-0-1
0.98
1-0-0
1.16
1-0-0
1.62
1-0-0
1.78
0-0-1
1.37
0-0-1
0.89
 —
0-0-1
1.22
Viking
0-1-0
2.07
1-0-0
1.57
1-0-0
2.14
1-0-0
1.77
0-0-1
1.72
1-0-0
1.93
1-0-0
2.11
1-0-0
1.42
1-0-0
2.04
1-0-0
2.31
1-0-0
2.24
0-0-1
1.90
1-0-0
2.43
0-0-0
0.00
1-0-0
1.58
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.73 +8.9
Allowed 0.66 -10.3
Differential 0.93 +6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
03.54%5.75%7.96%3.10%1.77%1.77%23.89%
15.75%10.62%9.73%3.54%1.77%1.33%32.74%
27.96%9.73%5.31%2.65%0.44%—26.11%
33.10%3.54%2.65%——0.44%9.73%
41.77%1.77%0.44%———3.98%
5+1.77%1.33%—0.44%——3.54%
Total23.89%32.74%26.11%9.73%3.98%3.54%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.49 1.49 +0.00
SD 1.29 1.29 2.06
CV 0.87 0.87 —
Max 6 6 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 113

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
1—28.57%—7.14%—7.14%42.86%
2—7.14%21.43%7.14%——35.71%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total—42.86%28.57%21.43%—7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.36 2.07 -0.71
SD 0.84 1.38 1.64
CV 0.62 0.67 —
Max 3 6 +1
Min 0 1 -5

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%———6.67%13.33%
16.67%6.67%————13.33%
213.33%—6.67%———20.00%
326.67%6.67%————33.33%
4—6.67%————6.67%
5+13.33%—————13.33%
Total60.00%26.67%6.67%——6.67%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.47 0.73 +1.73
SD 1.55 1.33 2.52
CV 0.63 1.82 —
Max 5 5 +5
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—6.67%————6.67%
1—6.67%20.00%6.67%——33.33%
2—20.00%—20.00%——40.00%
3—6.67%————6.67%
4———————
5+6.67%6.67%————13.33%
Total6.67%46.67%20.00%26.67%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 1.67 +0.33
SD 1.41 0.98 2.02
CV 0.71 0.59 —
Max 5 3 +5
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.69%15.38%—7.69%—30.77%
1—15.38%15.38%7.69%——38.46%
2—15.38%————15.38%
3—7.69%7.69%———15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total—46.15%38.46%7.69%7.69%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.77 -0.62
SD 1.07 0.93 1.66
CV 0.93 0.52 —
Max 3 4 +2
Min 0 1 -4

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%—7.14%——14.29%
17.14%7.14%7.14%—14.29%7.14%42.86%
27.14%14.29%14.29%———35.71%
3———————
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total21.43%28.57%21.43%7.14%14.29%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.43 1.86 -0.43
SD 1.02 1.61 2.24
CV 0.71 0.87 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—14.29%—7.14%—28.57%
17.14%—21.43%7.14%——35.71%
214.29%—14.29%—7.14%—35.71%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%—50.00%7.14%14.29%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.79 -0.71
SD 0.83 1.37 1.68
CV 0.77 0.77 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%14.29%14.29%——42.86%
1—14.29%14.29%7.14%——35.71%
27.14%7.14%————14.29%
3——7.14%———7.14%
4———————
5+———————
Total14.29%28.57%35.71%21.43%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.86 1.64 -0.79
SD 0.95 1.01 1.53
CV 1.11 0.61 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%—21.43%———28.57%
17.14%—14.29%———21.43%
214.29%7.14%————21.43%
3—21.43%————21.43%
47.14%—————7.14%
5+———————
Total35.71%28.57%35.71%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.00 +0.57
SD 1.34 0.88 1.91
CV 0.85 0.88 —
Max 4 2 +4
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
114.29%7.14%14.29%—7.14%—42.86%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
3———————
4—7.14%7.14%———14.29%
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total21.43%35.71%35.71%—7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.79 1.36 +0.43
SD 1.53 1.08 1.95
CV 0.86 0.80 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.69%—30.77%7.69%——46.15%
1—7.69%————7.69%
27.69%7.69%7.69%7.69%——30.77%
315.38%—————15.38%
4———————
5+———————
Total30.77%15.38%38.46%15.38%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.15 1.38 -0.23
SD 1.21 1.12 2.01
CV 1.05 0.81 —
Max 3 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 13

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%7.14%7.14%7.14%——28.57%
114.29%7.14%14.29%14.29%——50.00%
27.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%21.43%28.57%21.43%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.93 1.43 -0.50
SD 0.73 1.16 1.45
CV 0.79 0.81 —
Max 2 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
07.14%14.29%——7.14%—28.57%
114.29%14.29%7.14%———35.71%
27.14%21.43%—7.14%——35.71%
3———————
4———————
5+———————
Total28.57%50.00%7.14%7.14%7.14%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 1.14 -0.07
SD 0.83 1.17 1.49
CV 0.77 1.02 —
Max 2 4 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0——6.67%6.67%—6.67%20.00%
1—26.67%20.00%6.67%6.67%—60.00%
26.67%6.67%————13.33%
3—————6.67%6.67%
4———————
5+———————
Total6.67%33.33%26.67%13.33%6.67%13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.07 2.27 -1.20
SD 0.80 1.67 1.82
CV 0.75 0.74 —
Max 3 6 +2
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
013.33%————13.33%26.67%
16.67%13.33%————20.00%
220.00%6.67%————26.67%
3—6.67%————6.67%
413.33%6.67%————20.00%
5+———————
Total53.33%33.33%———13.33%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.73 1.00 +0.73
SD 1.49 1.69 2.69
CV 0.86 1.69 —
Max 4 5 +4
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 15

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—14.29%14.29%—7.14%—35.71%
17.14%7.14%———7.14%21.43%
27.14%—7.14%———14.29%
3—7.14%14.29%———21.43%
4———————
5+—7.14%————7.14%
Total14.29%35.71%35.71%—7.14%7.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.57 1.71 -0.14
SD 1.74 1.38 2.44
CV 1.11 0.81 —
Max 6 5 +5
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 14

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
0—7.14%————7.14%
17.14%7.14%7.14%———21.43%
27.14%28.57%————35.71%
37.14%—7.14%———14.29%
4—7.14%————7.14%
5+7.14%——7.14%——14.29%
Total28.57%50.00%14.29%7.14%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.43 1.00 +1.43
SD 1.65 0.88 1.65
CV 0.68 0.88 —
Max 6 3 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 14

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Viking 34 27.22 +6.78
2 Tromso 31 24.71 +6.29
3 Bodo Glimt 35 30.12 +4.88
4 Sarpsborg 08 21 17.14 +3.86
5 Molde 23 21.05 +1.95

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Start 10 15.03 -5.03
2 KFUM Oslo 12 16.82 -4.82
3 Sandefjord 15 19.11 -4.11
4 Brann 19 22.84 -3.84
5 Fredrikstad 14 16.81 -2.81

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Viking 9 Mar 21 – May 24 1 in 111
2 Sarpsborg 08 3 May 25 – Jul 12 1 in 53
3 Tromso 4 Mar 15 – Apr 11 1 in 14
4 Aalesund 2 May 16 – May 20 1 in 14
5 Sandefjord 2 Apr 7 – Apr 12 1 in 11

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Brann 3 May 20 – May 29 1 in 24
2 Lillestrom 2 May 20 – May 25 1 in 24
3 Fredrikstad 4 Apr 19 – May 9 1 in 19
4 Rosenborg 3 Mar 14 – Apr 6 1 in 9
5 Sandefjord 2 Mar 15 – Mar 22 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Aalesund 5 May 16 – Jul 11 1 in 34
2 Sarpsborg 08 5 May 25 – Jul 26 1 in 22
3 Tromso 7 Mar 15 – Apr 26 1 in 12
4 Viking 9 Mar 21 – May 24 1 in 9
5 Lillestrom 5 Mar 15 – Apr 19 1 in 9

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Start 10 Mar 15 – May 20 1 in 21
2 Aalesund 7 Mar 15 – May 3 1 in 19
3 Valerenga 6 Apr 6 – May 8 1 in 15
4 Sarpsborg 08 6 Apr 6 – May 3 1 in 13
5 Sandefjord 6 May 16 – Jul 26 1 in 13

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team12345678910111213141516
Bodo Glimt54.44%41.64%3.37%0.52%0.03%———————————
Viking44.45%50.49%4.15%0.81%0.10%———————————
Tromso0.72%4.68%46.71%29.01%11.92%4.41%1.61%0.56%0.25%0.12%0.01%—————
Lillestrom0.37%2.75%32.98%35.70%15.90%6.85%3.11%1.19%0.60%0.34%0.16%0.04%0.01%———
Molde0.02%0.39%8.90%18.92%29.67%18.04%10.51%6.21%3.45%1.99%1.10%0.52%0.17%0.10%0.01%—
Sarpsborg 08—0.02%1.31%4.66%12.48%18.47%18.31%15.37%10.93%7.76%5.16%3.25%1.48%0.56%0.15%0.09%
Valerenga—0.01%0.82%2.52%7.39%12.64%15.17%15.64%15.20%11.54%8.70%5.52%2.80%1.32%0.54%0.19%
Brann—0.01%1.33%5.04%12.31%18.93%18.39%14.81%10.88%7.72%5.12%3.22%1.47%0.56%0.19%0.02%
Hamarkameratene——0.16%0.87%3.37%6.31%9.93%12.80%14.43%15.03%13.88%10.55%7.01%3.79%1.44%0.43%
Rosenborg——0.14%0.80%2.88%5.71%9.16%11.75%14.28%14.27%14.13%11.32%7.75%4.78%2.21%0.82%
Sandefjord—0.01%0.10%0.64%2.08%4.36%6.75%10.40%12.05%15.19%15.42%14.16%9.28%5.72%2.80%1.04%
Fredrikstad——0.02%0.48%1.68%3.70%5.37%7.95%10.68%13.47%14.85%15.77%11.93%8.20%4.00%1.90%
Aalesund——0.01%—0.08%0.25%0.57%1.08%2.41%4.35%7.00%11.20%17.86%21.82%19.76%13.61%
KFUM Oslo———0.03%0.09%0.21%0.70%1.47%3.02%5.07%8.12%12.68%19.34%19.81%17.28%12.18%
Kristiansund————0.02%0.07%0.24%0.44%1.05%1.77%3.58%6.40%11.21%18.04%26.19%30.99%
Start—————0.05%0.18%0.33%0.77%1.38%2.77%5.37%9.69%15.30%25.43%38.73%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Season metrics are available for completed seasons.

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
Bodo Glimt 100% — —
Lillestrom 100% — —
Tromso 100% — —
Viking 100% — —
Molde 99.89% 0.10% 0.01%
Brann 99.23% 0.56% 0.21%
Sarpsborg 08 99.20% 0.56% 0.24%
Valerenga 97.95% 1.32% 0.73%
Hamarkameratene 94.34% 3.79% 1.87%
Rosenborg 92.19% 4.78% 3.03%
Sandefjord 90.44% 5.72% 3.84%
Fredrikstad 85.90% 8.20% 5.90%
KFUM Oslo 50.73% 19.81% 29.46%
Aalesund 44.81% 21.82% 33.37%
Kristiansund 24.78% 18.04% 57.18%
Start 20.54% 15.30% 64.16%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2026-03-14 Viking W 2-1 1672 1828 29.4% 20.2% 50.4% +6.2 3
2026-03-14 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-2 1828 1672 50.4% 20.2% 29.4% -6.2 0
2026-03-14 Rosenborg W 2-0 1720 1683 55.2% 19.7% 25.2% +6.9 3
2026-03-14 @ Molde L 0-2 1683 1720 25.2% 19.7% 55.2% -6.9 0
2026-03-15 Brann W 3-2 1592 1723 32.5% 20.4% 47.1% +5.5 3
2026-03-15 @ Kristiansund L 2-3 1723 1592 47.1% 20.4% 32.5% -5.5 0
2026-03-15 Lillestrom L 1-3 1635 1778 31.0% 20.3% 48.7% -7.2 0
2026-03-15 @ Aalesund W 3-1 1778 1635 48.7% 20.3% 31.0% +7.2 3
2026-03-15 Start W 2-0 1665 1638 53.9% 19.8% 26.2% +7.2 3
2026-03-15 @ KFUM Oslo L 0-2 1638 1665 26.2% 19.8% 53.9% -7.2 0
2026-03-15 Sandefjord W 1-0 1691 1716 47.2% 20.4% 32.4% +4.6 3
2026-03-15 @ Valerenga L 0-1 1716 1691 32.4% 20.4% 47.2% -4.6 0
2026-03-15 Fredrikstad W 4-0 1729 1700 54.1% 19.8% 26.1% +13.5 3
2026-03-15 @ Tromso L 0-4 1700 1729 26.1% 19.8% 54.1% -13.5 0
2026-03-21 Aalesund D 1-1 1631 1628 50.9% 20.1% 29.0% -0.6 1
2026-03-21 @ Start D 1-1 1628 1631 29.0% 20.1% 50.9% +0.6 1
2026-03-21 Molde W 4-1 1822 1727 61.9% 18.5% 19.6% +6.7 3
2026-03-21 @ Viking L 1-4 1727 1822 19.6% 18.5% 61.9% -6.7 3
2026-03-22 Valerenga L 0-2 1676 1695 47.9% 20.4% 31.8% -11.8 0
2026-03-22 @ Rosenborg W 2-0 1695 1676 31.8% 20.4% 47.9% +11.8 6
2026-03-22 Tromso L 1-2 1718 1742 47.2% 20.4% 32.3% -5.9 0
2026-03-22 @ Brann W 2-1 1742 1718 32.3% 20.4% 47.2% +5.8 6
2026-03-22 KFUM Oslo W 3-1 1687 1672 52.4% 20.0% 27.6% +6.5 3
2026-03-22 @ Fredrikstad L 1-3 1672 1687 27.6% 20.0% 52.4% -6.5 3
2026-03-22 Sarpsborg 08 L 0-2 1711 1665 56.3% 19.5% 24.2% -13.6 0
2026-03-22 @ Sandefjord W 2-0 1665 1711 24.2% 19.5% 56.3% +13.6 3
2026-04-06 Viking L 0-1 1707 1829 33.7% 20.5% 45.8% -4.7 6
2026-04-06 @ Valerenga W 1-0 1829 1707 45.8% 20.5% 33.7% +4.7 6
2026-04-06 Brann L 1-5 1678 1712 45.9% 20.5% 33.6% -18.1 3
2026-04-06 @ Hamarkameratene W 5-1 1712 1678 33.6% 20.5% 45.9% +18.1 3
2026-04-06 Bodo Glimt L 0-3 1598 1862 18.6% 18.2% 63.2% -7.5 3
2026-04-06 @ Kristiansund W 3-0 1862 1598 63.2% 18.2% 18.6% +7.5 3
2026-04-06 Lillestrom L 0-1 1720 1785 41.6% 20.6% 37.8% -5.6 3
2026-04-06 @ Molde W 1-0 1785 1720 37.8% 20.6% 41.6% +5.6 6
2026-04-06 Start D 1-1 1679 1630 56.5% 19.4% 24.0% -1.0 4
2026-04-06 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1630 1679 24.0% 19.4% 56.5% +1.0 2
2026-04-06 Rosenborg W 2-0 1748 1664 60.7% 18.7% 20.6% +5.7 9
2026-04-06 @ Tromso L 0-2 1664 1748 20.6% 18.7% 60.7% -5.7 0
2026-04-07 Fredrikstad L 2-3 1628 1693 41.6% 20.6% 37.8% -5.0 1
2026-04-07 @ Aalesund W 3-2 1693 1628 37.8% 20.6% 41.6% +5.0 6
2026-04-07 Sandefjord L 1-2 1666 1697 46.2% 20.5% 33.3% -5.8 3
2026-04-07 @ KFUM Oslo W 2-1 1697 1666 33.3% 20.5% 46.2% +5.8 3
2026-04-11 Start W 3-1 1790 1631 68.3% 16.8% 14.9% +3.6 9
2026-04-11 @ Lillestrom L 1-3 1631 1790 14.9% 16.8% 68.3% -3.6 2
2026-04-11 Kristiansund W 2-0 1754 1590 68.7% 16.7% 14.6% +4.0 12
2026-04-11 @ Tromso L 0-2 1590 1754 14.6% 16.7% 68.7% -4.0 3
2026-04-11 Bodo Glimt W 5-0 1833 1870 45.6% 20.5% 33.9% +20.9 9
2026-04-11 @ Viking L 0-5 1870 1833 33.9% 20.5% 45.6% -20.9 3
2026-04-12 Sarpsborg 08 W 2-1 1658 1678 47.9% 20.4% 31.7% +4.2 3
2026-04-12 @ Rosenborg L 1-2 1678 1658 31.7% 20.4% 47.9% -4.2 4
2026-04-12 KFUM Oslo D 2-2 1623 1660 45.6% 20.5% 33.9% -0.2 2
2026-04-12 @ Aalesund D 2-2 1660 1623 33.9% 20.5% 45.6% +0.2 4
2026-04-12 Valerenga D 1-1 1698 1703 49.9% 20.2% 29.8% -0.6 7
2026-04-12 @ Fredrikstad D 1-1 1703 1698 29.8% 20.2% 49.9% +0.6 7
2026-04-12 Hamarkameratene W 4-1 1714 1660 57.2% 19.4% 23.4% +7.9 6
2026-04-12 @ Molde L 1-4 1660 1714 23.4% 19.4% 57.2% -7.9 3
2026-04-12 Sandefjord L 0-1 1730 1703 53.9% 19.8% 26.3% -7.0 3
2026-04-12 @ Brann W 1-0 1703 1730 26.3% 19.8% 53.9% +6.9 6
2026-04-15 Bodo Glimt D 1-1 1673 1849 27.1% 19.9% 53.0% +0.8 5
2026-04-15 @ Sarpsborg 08 D 1-1 1849 1673 53.0% 19.9% 27.1% -0.8 4
2026-04-15 Lillestrom D 0-0 1758 1794 45.6% 20.5% 33.9% -0.4 13
2026-04-15 @ Tromso D 0-0 1794 1758 33.9% 20.5% 45.6% +0.4 10
2026-04-18 Aalesund W 3-0 1848 1623 74.0% 14.9% 11.1% +4.4 7
2026-04-18 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-3 1623 1848 11.1% 14.9% 74.0% -4.4 2
2026-04-18 Rosenborg D 0-0 1710 1662 56.5% 19.5% 24.1% -1.1 7
2026-04-18 @ Sandefjord D 0-0 1662 1710 24.1% 19.5% 56.5% +1.1 4
2026-04-18 Brann W 3-2 1854 1723 65.6% 17.6% 16.8% +2.2 12
2026-04-18 @ Viking L 2-3 1723 1854 16.8% 17.6% 65.6% -2.2 3
2026-04-19 Lillestrom L 0-2 1703 1794 37.8% 20.6% 41.5% -9.8 7
2026-04-19 @ Valerenga W 2-0 1794 1703 41.5% 20.6% 37.8% +9.8 13
2026-04-19 KFUM Oslo W 4-0 1652 1660 49.4% 20.3% 30.3% +15.4 6
2026-04-19 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-4 1660 1652 30.3% 20.3% 49.4% -15.4 4
2026-04-19 Fredrikstad W 2-0 1586 1698 35.0% 20.6% 44.4% +11.1 6
2026-04-19 @ Kristiansund L 0-2 1698 1586 44.4% 20.6% 35.0% -11.1 7
2026-04-19 Tromso L 0-1 1674 1757 38.9% 20.6% 40.4% -5.3 5
2026-04-19 @ Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1757 1674 40.4% 20.6% 38.9% +5.3 16
2026-04-19 Molde D 1-1 1628 1722 37.4% 20.6% 42.0% +0.1 3
2026-04-19 @ Start D 1-1 1722 1628 42.0% 20.6% 37.4% -0.1 7
2026-04-25 Viking L 1-2 1687 1857 27.8% 20.0% 52.2% -3.8 7
2026-04-25 @ Fredrikstad W 2-1 1857 1687 52.2% 20.0% 27.8% +3.8 15
2026-04-25 Brann D 1-1 1664 1721 42.6% 20.6% 36.8% -0.2 5
2026-04-25 @ Rosenborg D 1-1 1721 1664 36.8% 20.6% 42.6% +0.2 4
2026-04-26 Valerenga W 5-1 1722 1693 54.1% 19.8% 26.1% +11.2 10
2026-04-26 @ Molde L 1-5 1693 1722 26.1% 19.8% 54.1% -11.2 7
2026-04-26 Kristiansund D 1-1 1619 1597 53.2% 19.9% 26.9% -0.8 3
2026-04-26 @ Aalesund D 1-1 1597 1619 26.9% 19.9% 53.2% +0.8 7
2026-04-26 Start W 2-1 1668 1628 55.5% 19.6% 24.9% +3.4 9
2026-04-26 @ Hamarkameratene L 1-2 1628 1668 24.9% 19.6% 55.5% -3.4 3
2026-04-26 Sarpsborg 08 W 1-0 1645 1669 47.3% 20.4% 32.3% +4.5 7
2026-04-26 @ KFUM Oslo L 0-1 1669 1645 32.3% 20.4% 47.3% -4.5 5
2026-04-26 Sandefjord W 3-1 1763 1709 57.2% 19.4% 23.5% +5.6 19
2026-04-26 @ Tromso L 1-3 1709 1763 23.5% 19.4% 57.2% -5.6 7
2026-04-26 Bodo Glimt L 0-2 1804 1853 43.9% 20.6% 35.5% -11.0 13
2026-04-26 @ Lillestrom W 2-0 1853 1804 35.5% 20.6% 43.9% +11.0 10
2026-04-29 Brann L 0-5 1768 1721 56.4% 19.5% 24.1% -31.9 19
2026-04-29 @ Tromso W 5-0 1721 1768 24.1% 19.5% 56.4% +31.9 7
2026-04-30 Start W 5-0 1864 1624 75.1% 14.4% 10.4% +6.6 13
2026-04-30 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-5 1624 1864 10.4% 14.4% 75.1% -6.6 3
2026-05-01 Rosenborg W 3-0 1860 1663 71.7% 15.7% 12.6% +5.0 18
2026-05-01 @ Viking L 0-3 1663 1860 12.6% 15.7% 71.7% -5.0 5
2026-05-02 Fredrikstad W 3-1 1753 1683 59.1% 19.0% 21.9% +5.2 10
2026-05-02 @ Brann L 1-3 1683 1753 21.9% 19.0% 59.1% -5.2 7
2026-05-03 Sarpsborg 08 W 4-0 1793 1664 65.4% 17.6% 17.0% +9.0 16
2026-05-03 @ Lillestrom L 0-4 1664 1793 17.0% 17.6% 65.4% -9.0 5
2026-05-03 Tromso D 1-1 1618 1736 34.1% 20.5% 45.4% +0.3 4
2026-05-03 @ Start D 1-1 1736 1618 45.4% 20.5% 34.1% -0.3 20
2026-05-03 Hamarkameratene D 1-1 1598 1671 40.4% 20.6% 38.9% -0.0 8
2026-05-03 @ Kristiansund D 1-1 1671 1598 38.9% 20.6% 40.4% +0.1 10
2026-05-03 Aalesund W 1-0 1703 1618 60.8% 18.7% 20.5% +3.0 10
2026-05-03 @ Sandefjord L 0-1 1618 1703 20.5% 18.7% 60.8% -3.0 3
2026-05-03 KFUM Oslo D 2-2 1682 1649 54.6% 19.7% 25.7% -0.6 8
2026-05-03 @ Valerenga D 2-2 1649 1682 25.7% 19.7% 54.6% +0.6 8
2026-05-04 Molde L 0-1 1870 1733 66.2% 17.4% 16.4% -8.3 13
2026-05-04 @ Bodo Glimt W 1-0 1733 1870 16.4% 17.4% 66.2% +8.3 13
2026-05-08 Valerenga W 1-0 1671 1681 49.1% 20.3% 30.6% +4.3 13
2026-05-08 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-1 1681 1671 30.6% 20.3% 49.1% -4.3 8
2026-05-09 Fredrikstad W 2-1 1655 1678 47.5% 20.4% 32.1% +4.3 8
2026-05-09 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1678 1655 32.1% 20.4% 47.5% -4.3 7
2026-05-10 Lillestrom W 2-0 1658 1802 30.9% 20.3% 48.8% +12.0 8
2026-05-10 @ Rosenborg L 0-2 1802 1658 48.8% 20.3% 30.9% -12.0 16
2026-05-10 Viking L 0-2 1650 1865 23.0% 19.2% 57.8% -6.3 8
2026-05-10 @ KFUM Oslo W 2-0 1865 1650 57.8% 19.2% 23.0% +6.3 21
2026-05-10 Kristiansund W 2-0 1706 1598 63.3% 18.2% 18.6% +5.2 13
2026-05-10 @ Sandefjord L 0-2 1598 1706 18.6% 18.2% 63.3% -5.2 8
2026-05-10 Molde W 2-0 1736 1742 49.8% 20.2% 30.0% +8.1 23
2026-05-10 @ Tromso L 0-2 1742 1736 30.0% 20.2% 49.8% -8.1 13
2026-05-16 KFUM Oslo W 2-1 1758 1644 63.9% 18.0% 18.1% +2.5 13
2026-05-16 @ Brann L 1-2 1644 1758 18.1% 18.0% 63.9% -2.5 8
2026-05-16 Hamarkameratene W 2-1 1673 1676 50.2% 20.2% 29.6% +4.0 10
2026-05-16 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1676 1673 29.6% 20.2% 50.2% -4.0 13
2026-05-16 Sandefjord W 3-1 1790 1712 60.0% 18.9% 21.1% +5.1 19
2026-05-16 @ Lillestrom L 1-3 1712 1790 21.1% 18.9% 60.0% -5.1 13
2026-05-16 Kristiansund W 1-0 1734 1593 66.5% 17.3% 16.1% +2.4 16
2026-05-16 @ Molde L 0-1 1593 1734 16.1% 17.3% 66.5% -2.4 8
2026-05-16 Aalesund L 2-3 1670 1615 57.4% 19.3% 23.3% -6.6 8
2026-05-16 @ Rosenborg W 3-2 1615 1670 23.3% 19.3% 57.4% +6.6 6
2026-05-16 Start W 6-3 1872 1618 76.2% 14.0% 9.8% +2.6 24
2026-05-16 @ Viking L 3-6 1618 1872 9.8% 14.0% 76.2% -2.6 4
2026-05-16 Tromso W 5-0 1862 1744 64.2% 17.9% 17.8% +11.6 16
2026-05-16 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-5 1744 1862 17.8% 17.9% 64.2% -11.6 23
2026-05-16 Sarpsborg 08 W 3-2 1677 1660 52.7% 20.0% 27.3% +3.5 11
2026-05-16 @ Valerenga L 2-3 1660 1677 27.3% 20.0% 52.7% -3.5 8
2026-05-20 Kristiansund L 1-2 1795 1591 72.3% 15.5% 12.2% -8.5 19
2026-05-20 @ Lillestrom W 2-1 1591 1795 12.2% 15.5% 72.3% +8.5 11
2026-05-20 Bodo Glimt L 1-4 1616 1873 19.1% 18.3% 62.5% -6.5 4
2026-05-20 @ Start W 4-1 1873 1616 62.5% 18.3% 19.1% +6.5 19
2026-05-20 Brann W 2-1 1622 1761 31.4% 20.4% 48.2% +6.0 9
2026-05-20 @ Aalesund L 1-2 1761 1622 48.2% 20.4% 31.4% -6.0 13
2026-05-24 Brann W 3-1 1880 1755 65.0% 17.7% 17.3% +4.2 22
2026-05-24 @ Bodo Glimt L 1-3 1755 1880 17.3% 17.7% 65.0% -4.2 13
2026-05-24 Viking L 1-2 1599 1874 17.8% 17.9% 64.3% -2.5 11
2026-05-24 @ Kristiansund W 2-1 1874 1599 64.3% 17.9% 17.8% +2.5 27
2026-05-25 Lillestrom W 2-0 1672 1787 34.5% 20.5% 44.9% +11.2 16
2026-05-25 @ Hamarkameratene L 0-2 1787 1672 44.9% 20.5% 34.5% -11.2 19
2026-05-25 Valerenga W 2-0 1609 1681 40.6% 20.6% 38.7% +9.9 7
2026-05-25 @ Start L 0-2 1681 1609 38.7% 20.6% 40.6% -9.9 11
2026-05-25 Rosenborg W 2-0 1641 1664 47.5% 20.4% 32.1% +8.5 11
2026-05-25 @ KFUM Oslo L 0-2 1664 1641 32.1% 20.4% 47.5% -8.5 8
2026-05-25 Fredrikstad D 1-1 1707 1677 54.2% 19.8% 26.0% -0.8 14
2026-05-25 @ Sandefjord D 1-1 1677 1707 26.0% 19.8% 54.2% +0.8 11
2026-05-25 Molde W 2-1 1656 1736 39.4% 20.6% 39.9% +5.1 11
2026-05-25 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1736 1656 39.9% 20.6% 39.4% -5.1 16
2026-05-25 Aalesund D 1-1 1733 1628 62.9% 18.2% 18.8% -1.3 24
2026-05-25 @ Tromso D 1-1 1628 1733 18.8% 18.2% 62.9% +1.3 10
2026-05-29 Hamarkameratene D 2-2 1629 1683 43.1% 20.6% 36.3% -0.1 11
2026-05-29 @ Aalesund D 2-2 1683 1629 36.3% 20.6% 43.1% +0.1 17
2026-05-29 Sarpsborg 08 L 1-2 1751 1661 61.3% 18.6% 20.1% -7.4 13
2026-05-29 @ Brann W 2-1 1661 1751 20.1% 18.6% 61.3% +7.3 14
2026-05-29 Start W 2-1 1678 1619 57.8% 19.2% 22.9% +3.2 14
2026-05-29 @ Fredrikstad L 1-2 1619 1678 22.9% 19.2% 57.8% -3.2 7
2026-05-29 Tromso D 0-0 1650 1731 39.2% 20.6% 40.2% +0.0 12
2026-05-29 @ KFUM Oslo D 0-0 1731 1650 40.2% 20.6% 39.2% -0.0 25
2026-05-29 Bodo Glimt D 2-2 1655 1884 21.7% 19.0% 59.4% +0.8 9
2026-05-29 @ Rosenborg D 2-2 1884 1655 59.4% 19.0% 21.7% -0.8 23
2026-05-29 Kristiansund W 3-1 1671 1597 59.5% 18.9% 21.5% +5.2 14
2026-05-29 @ Valerenga L 1-3 1597 1671 21.5% 18.9% 59.5% -5.2 11
2026-05-30 Sandefjord W 2-1 1731 1706 53.7% 19.8% 26.5% +3.6 19
2026-05-30 @ Molde L 1-2 1706 1731 26.5% 19.8% 53.7% -3.6 14
2026-07-11 Molde D 2-2 1629 1734 35.8% 20.6% 43.6% +0.2 12
2026-07-11 @ Aalesund D 2-2 1734 1629 43.6% 20.6% 35.8% -0.2 20
2026-07-11 Lillestrom L 0-2 1681 1775 37.4% 20.6% 41.9% -9.7 14
2026-07-11 @ Fredrikstad W 2-0 1775 1681 41.9% 20.6% 37.4% +9.7 22
2026-07-11 Valerenga W 4-0 1731 1676 57.4% 19.3% 23.3% +12.2 28
2026-07-11 @ Tromso L 0-4 1676 1731 23.3% 19.3% 57.4% -12.2 14
2026-07-12 Start W 2-1 1743 1616 65.2% 17.7% 17.1% +2.4 16
2026-07-12 @ Brann L 1-2 1616 1743 17.1% 17.7% 65.2% -2.4 7
2026-07-12 Bodo Glimt L 0-2 1650 1883 21.2% 18.9% 59.9% -5.9 12
2026-07-12 @ KFUM Oslo W 2-0 1883 1650 59.9% 18.9% 21.2% +5.9 26
2026-07-12 Kristiansund W 3-0 1656 1591 58.4% 19.1% 22.4% +9.0 12
2026-07-12 @ Rosenborg L 0-3 1591 1656 22.4% 19.1% 58.4% -9.0 11
2026-07-12 Hamarkameratene D 2-2 1702 1683 52.9% 19.9% 27.1% -0.6 15
2026-07-12 @ Sandefjord D 2-2 1683 1702 27.1% 19.9% 52.9% +0.6 18
2026-07-12 Viking W 1-0 1668 1877 23.7% 19.4% 57.0% +7.3 17
2026-07-12 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1877 1668 57.0% 19.4% 23.7% -7.3 27
2026-07-16 Aalesund W 6-1 1664 1629 54.9% 19.7% 25.4% +13.5 17
2026-07-16 @ Valerenga L 1-6 1629 1664 25.4% 19.7% 54.9% -13.5 12
2026-07-17 Fredrikstad W 1-0 1889 1672 73.4% 15.1% 11.5% +1.7 29
2026-07-17 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-1 1672 1889 11.5% 15.1% 73.4% -1.7 14
2026-07-18 Tromso L 1-4 1683 1743 42.3% 20.6% 37.1% -13.1 18
2026-07-18 @ Hamarkameratene W 4-1 1743 1683 37.1% 20.6% 42.3% +13.1 31
2026-07-18 Rosenborg L 0-3 1613 1665 43.5% 20.6% 36.0% -15.8 7
2026-07-18 @ Start W 3-0 1665 1613 36.0% 20.6% 43.5% +15.8 15
2026-07-18 Sarpsborg 08 D 0-0 1582 1676 37.5% 20.6% 41.8% +0.1 12
2026-07-18 @ Kristiansund D 0-0 1676 1582 41.8% 20.6% 37.5% -0.1 18
2026-07-18 KFUM Oslo W 2-1 1785 1644 66.6% 17.3% 16.1% +2.2 25
2026-07-18 @ Lillestrom L 1-2 1644 1785 16.1% 17.3% 66.6% -2.2 12
2026-07-18 Brann L 1-2 1734 1746 49.0% 20.3% 30.7% -6.0 20
2026-07-18 @ Molde W 2-1 1746 1734 30.7% 20.3% 49.0% +6.0 19
2026-07-18 Sandefjord W 2-1 1869 1702 69.1% 16.6% 14.3% +2.0 30
2026-07-18 @ Viking L 1-2 1702 1869 14.3% 16.6% 69.1% -2.0 15
2026-07-22 Viking L 1-2 1787 1871 38.8% 20.6% 40.5% -5.0 25
2026-07-22 @ Lillestrom W 2-1 1871 1787 40.5% 20.6% 38.8% +5.0 33
2026-07-25 Start L 1-2 1583 1598 48.5% 20.3% 31.2% -6.0 12
2026-07-25 @ Kristiansund W 2-1 1598 1583 31.2% 20.3% 48.5% +6.0 10
2026-07-26 Viking D 1-1 1615 1876 18.9% 18.2% 62.9% +1.3 13
2026-07-26 @ Aalesund D 1-1 1876 1615 62.9% 18.2% 18.9% -1.3 34
2026-07-26 Valerenga L 2-3 1752 1677 59.6% 18.9% 21.5% -6.8 19
2026-07-26 @ Brann W 3-2 1677 1752 21.5% 18.9% 59.6% +6.8 20
2026-07-26 Molde L 2-4 1642 1728 38.5% 20.6% 40.9% -7.7 12
2026-07-26 @ KFUM Oslo W 4-2 1728 1642 40.9% 20.6% 38.5% +7.7 23
2026-07-26 Bodo Glimt L 0-3 1700 1891 25.4% 19.7% 54.9% -10.1 15
2026-07-26 @ Sandefjord W 3-0 1891 1700 54.9% 19.7% 25.4% +10.1 32
2026-07-26 Hamarkameratene W 1-0 1676 1670 51.2% 20.1% 28.7% +4.1 21
2026-07-26 @ Sarpsborg 08 L 0-1 1670 1676 28.7% 20.1% 51.2% -4.1 18
2026-08-22 Hamarkameratene W 3-0 1901 1666 74.8% 14.6% 10.6% +4.2 35
2026-08-22 @ Bodo Glimt L 0-3 1666 1901 10.6% 14.6% 74.8% -4.2 18

Upcoming Games

Remaining games on the team's schedule

Date Opponent Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss %
2026-07-27 Fredrikstad 1681 1670 51.9% 20.0% 28.1%
2026-07-27 @ Rosenborg 1670 1681 28.1% 20.0% 51.9%
2026-08-01 Tromso 1617 1756 31.4% 20.4% 48.3%
2026-08-01 @ Aalesund 1756 1617 48.3% 20.4% 31.4%
2026-08-01 Rosenborg 1745 1681 58.4% 19.1% 22.5%
2026-08-01 @ Brann 1681 1745 22.5% 19.1% 58.4%
2026-08-01 Lillestrom 1901 1782 64.3% 17.9% 17.8%
2026-08-01 @ Bodo Glimt 1782 1901 17.8% 17.9% 64.3%
2026-08-01 Sandefjord 1670 1689 47.9% 20.4% 31.7%
2026-08-01 @ Fredrikstad 1689 1670 31.7% 20.4% 47.9%
2026-08-01 Viking 1604 1875 18.0% 18.0% 64.0%
2026-08-01 @ Start 1875 1604 64.0% 18.0% 18.0%
2026-08-01 Kristiansund 1634 1577 57.6% 19.3% 23.1%
2026-08-01 @ KFUM Oslo 1577 1634 23.1% 19.3% 57.6%
2026-08-01 Sarpsborg 08 1736 1680 57.5% 19.3% 23.2%
2026-08-01 @ Molde 1680 1736 23.2% 19.3% 57.5%
2026-08-01 Hamarkameratene 1684 1666 52.8% 20.0% 27.3%
2026-08-01 @ Valerenga 1666 1684 27.3% 20.0% 52.8%
2026-08-08 Aalesund 1666 1617 56.7% 19.4% 23.9%
2026-08-08 @ Hamarkameratene 1617 1666 23.9% 19.4% 56.7%
2026-08-08 Fredrikstad 1604 1670 41.3% 20.6% 38.0%
2026-08-08 @ Start 1670 1604 38.0% 20.6% 41.3%
2026-08-08 Molde 1577 1736 29.0% 20.1% 50.9%
2026-08-08 @ Kristiansund 1736 1577 50.9% 20.1% 29.0%
2026-08-08 Rosenborg 1782 1681 62.5% 18.3% 19.1%
2026-08-08 @ Lillestrom 1681 1782 19.1% 18.3% 62.5%
2026-08-08 KFUM Oslo 1689 1634 57.4% 19.3% 23.3%
2026-08-08 @ Sandefjord 1634 1689 23.3% 19.3% 57.4%
2026-08-08 Bodo Glimt 1684 1901 22.8% 19.2% 58.0%
2026-08-08 @ Valerenga 1901 1684 58.0% 19.2% 22.8%
2026-08-08 Sarpsborg 08 1875 1680 71.5% 15.8% 12.7%
2026-08-08 @ Viking 1680 1875 12.7% 15.8% 71.5%
2026-08-15 Valerenga 1617 1684 41.2% 20.6% 38.1%
2026-08-15 @ Aalesund 1684 1617 38.1% 20.6% 41.2%
2026-08-15 Hamarkameratene 1745 1666 60.1% 18.9% 21.1%
2026-08-15 @ Brann 1666 1745 21.1% 18.9% 60.1%
2026-08-15 Kristiansund 1670 1577 61.7% 18.5% 19.8%
2026-08-15 @ Fredrikstad 1577 1670 19.8% 18.5% 61.7%
2026-08-15 Lillestrom 1634 1782 30.3% 20.3% 49.4%
2026-08-15 @ KFUM Oslo 1782 1634 49.4% 20.3% 30.3%
2026-08-15 Tromso 1736 1756 47.8% 20.4% 31.9%
2026-08-15 @ Molde 1756 1736 31.9% 20.4% 47.8%
2026-08-15 Viking 1681 1875 25.1% 19.6% 55.2%
2026-08-15 @ Rosenborg 1875 1681 55.2% 19.6% 25.1%
2026-08-15 Sandefjord 1680 1689 49.2% 20.3% 30.5%
2026-08-15 @ Sarpsborg 08 1689 1680 30.5% 20.3% 49.2%
2026-08-29 Rosenborg 1905 1681 74.0% 14.9% 11.1%
2026-08-29 @ Bodo Glimt 1681 1905 11.1% 14.9% 74.0%
2026-08-29 Kristiansund 1662 1577 60.8% 18.7% 20.5%
2026-08-29 @ Hamarkameratene 1577 1662 20.5% 18.7% 60.8%
2026-08-29 KFUM Oslo 1604 1634 46.4% 20.5% 33.1%
2026-08-29 @ Start 1634 1604 33.1% 20.5% 46.4%
2026-08-29 Fredrikstad 1782 1670 63.7% 18.1% 18.3%
2026-08-29 @ Lillestrom 1670 1782 18.3% 18.1% 63.7%
2026-08-29 Brann 1689 1745 42.9% 20.6% 36.5%
2026-08-29 @ Sandefjord 1745 1689 36.5% 20.6% 42.9%
2026-08-29 Sarpsborg 08 1756 1680 59.8% 18.9% 21.3%
2026-08-29 @ Tromso 1680 1756 21.3% 18.9% 59.8%
2026-08-29 Molde 1684 1736 43.4% 20.6% 36.0%
2026-08-29 @ Valerenga 1736 1684 36.0% 20.6% 43.4%
2026-08-29 Aalesund 1875 1617 76.6% 13.9% 9.6%
2026-08-29 @ Viking 1617 1875 9.6% 13.9% 76.6%
2026-09-05 Start 1617 1604 52.2% 20.0% 27.8%
2026-09-05 @ Aalesund 1604 1617 27.8% 20.0% 52.2%
2026-09-05 Lillestrom 1745 1782 45.5% 20.5% 34.0%
2026-09-05 @ Brann 1782 1745 34.0% 20.5% 45.5%
2026-09-05 Bodo Glimt 1670 1905 21.1% 18.9% 60.1%
2026-09-05 @ Fredrikstad 1905 1670 60.1% 18.9% 21.1%
2026-09-05 Tromso 1577 1756 26.7% 19.9% 53.5%
2026-09-05 @ Kristiansund 1756 1577 53.5% 19.9% 26.7%
2026-09-05 KFUM Oslo 1736 1634 62.6% 18.3% 19.1%
2026-09-05 @ Molde 1634 1736 19.1% 18.3% 62.6%
2026-09-05 Hamarkameratene 1681 1662 52.9% 19.9% 27.2%
2026-09-05 @ Rosenborg 1662 1681 27.2% 19.9% 52.9%
2026-09-05 Viking 1689 1875 26.0% 19.8% 54.2%
2026-09-05 @ Sandefjord 1875 1689 54.2% 19.8% 26.0%
2026-09-05 Valerenga 1680 1684 49.9% 20.2% 29.8%
2026-09-05 @ Sarpsborg 08 1684 1680 29.8% 20.2% 49.9%
2026-09-12 Sandefjord 1905 1689 73.3% 15.2% 11.6%
2026-09-12 @ Bodo Glimt 1689 1905 11.6% 15.2% 73.3%
2026-09-12 Sarpsborg 08 1670 1680 49.2% 20.3% 30.5%
2026-09-12 @ Fredrikstad 1680 1670 30.5% 20.3% 49.2%
2026-09-12 Molde 1662 1736 40.3% 20.6% 39.1%
2026-09-12 @ Hamarkameratene 1736 1662 39.1% 20.6% 40.3%
2026-09-12 Brann 1604 1745 31.1% 20.3% 48.5%
2026-09-12 @ Start 1745 1604 48.5% 20.3% 31.1%
2026-09-12 Aalesund 1634 1617 52.7% 20.0% 27.4%
2026-09-12 @ KFUM Oslo 1617 1634 27.4% 20.0% 52.7%
2026-09-12 Valerenga 1782 1684 62.2% 18.4% 19.4%
2026-09-12 @ Lillestrom 1684 1782 19.4% 18.4% 62.2%
2026-09-12 Tromso 1681 1756 40.1% 20.6% 39.3%
2026-09-12 @ Rosenborg 1756 1681 39.3% 20.6% 40.1%
2026-09-12 Kristiansund 1875 1577 79.4% 12.6% 8.0%
2026-09-12 @ Viking 1577 1875 8.0% 12.6% 79.4%
2026-09-19 Bodo Glimt 1745 1905 28.9% 20.1% 51.0%
2026-09-19 @ Brann 1905 1745 51.0% 20.1% 28.9%
2026-09-19 Rosenborg 1577 1681 36.0% 20.6% 43.4%
2026-09-19 @ Kristiansund 1681 1577 43.4% 20.6% 36.0%
2026-09-19 Aalesund 1736 1617 64.4% 17.9% 17.7%
2026-09-19 @ Molde 1617 1736 17.7% 17.9% 64.4%
2026-09-19 Start 1689 1604 60.9% 18.7% 20.5%
2026-09-19 @ Sandefjord 1604 1689 20.5% 18.7% 60.9%
2026-09-19 KFUM Oslo 1680 1634 56.2% 19.5% 24.3%
2026-09-19 @ Sarpsborg 08 1634 1680 24.3% 19.5% 56.2%
2026-09-19 Hamarkameratene 1756 1662 61.8% 18.5% 19.7%
2026-09-19 @ Tromso 1662 1756 19.7% 18.5% 61.8%
2026-09-19 Fredrikstad 1684 1670 52.3% 20.0% 27.7%
2026-09-19 @ Valerenga 1670 1684 27.7% 20.0% 52.3%
2026-09-19 Lillestrom 1875 1782 61.6% 18.5% 19.9%
2026-09-19 @ Viking 1782 1875 19.9% 18.5% 61.6%
2026-10-10 Sarpsborg 08 1617 1680 41.9% 20.6% 37.5%
2026-10-10 @ Aalesund 1680 1617 37.5% 20.6% 41.9%
2026-10-10 Viking 1745 1875 32.6% 20.4% 47.0%
2026-10-10 @ Brann 1875 1745 47.0% 20.4% 32.6%
2026-10-10 Kristiansund 1905 1577 81.4% 11.7% 6.9%
2026-10-10 @ Bodo Glimt 1577 1905 6.9% 11.7% 81.4%
2026-10-10 Tromso 1670 1756 38.5% 20.6% 40.9%
2026-10-10 @ Fredrikstad 1756 1670 40.9% 20.6% 38.5%
2026-10-10 Hamarkameratene 1604 1662 42.5% 20.6% 36.9%
2026-10-10 @ Start 1662 1604 36.9% 20.6% 42.5%
2026-10-10 Valerenga 1634 1684 43.7% 20.6% 35.7%
2026-10-10 @ KFUM Oslo 1684 1634 35.7% 20.6% 43.7%
2026-10-10 Molde 1782 1736 56.3% 19.5% 24.2%
2026-10-10 @ Lillestrom 1736 1782 24.2% 19.5% 56.3%
2026-10-10 Sandefjord 1681 1689 49.4% 20.3% 30.4%
2026-10-10 @ Rosenborg 1689 1681 30.4% 20.3% 49.4%
2026-10-17 Bodo Glimt 1662 1905 20.4% 18.7% 60.9%
2026-10-17 @ Hamarkameratene 1905 1662 60.9% 18.7% 20.4%
2026-10-17 Aalesund 1577 1617 45.1% 20.5% 34.4%
2026-10-17 @ Kristiansund 1617 1577 34.4% 20.5% 45.1%
2026-10-17 Start 1736 1604 65.7% 17.5% 16.7%
2026-10-17 @ Molde 1604 1736 16.7% 17.5% 65.7%
2026-10-17 Lillestrom 1689 1782 37.6% 20.6% 41.8%
2026-10-17 @ Sandefjord 1782 1689 41.8% 20.6% 37.6%
2026-10-17 Rosenborg 1680 1681 50.3% 20.2% 29.5%
2026-10-17 @ Sarpsborg 08 1681 1680 29.5% 20.2% 50.3%
2026-10-17 KFUM Oslo 1756 1634 64.7% 17.8% 17.5%
2026-10-17 @ Tromso 1634 1756 17.5% 17.8% 64.7%
2026-10-17 Brann 1684 1745 42.1% 20.6% 37.2%
2026-10-17 @ Valerenga 1745 1684 37.2% 20.6% 42.1%
2026-10-17 Fredrikstad 1875 1670 72.4% 15.5% 12.1%
2026-10-17 @ Viking 1670 1875 12.1% 15.5% 72.4%
2026-10-24 Sandefjord 1617 1689 40.5% 20.6% 38.9%
2026-10-24 @ Aalesund 1689 1617 38.9% 20.6% 40.5%
2026-10-24 Molde 1745 1736 51.6% 20.1% 28.3%
2026-10-24 @ Brann 1736 1745 28.3% 20.1% 51.6%
2026-10-24 Viking 1905 1875 54.3% 19.8% 25.9%
2026-10-24 @ Bodo Glimt 1875 1905 25.9% 19.8% 54.3%
2026-10-24 Rosenborg 1670 1681 49.0% 20.3% 30.7%
2026-10-24 @ Fredrikstad 1681 1670 30.7% 20.3% 49.0%
2026-10-24 Lillestrom 1604 1782 26.8% 19.9% 53.4%
2026-10-24 @ Start 1782 1604 53.4% 19.9% 26.8%
2026-10-24 Hamarkameratene 1634 1662 46.7% 20.5% 32.8%
2026-10-24 @ KFUM Oslo 1662 1634 32.8% 20.5% 46.7%
2026-10-24 Kristiansund 1680 1577 62.7% 18.3% 19.0%
2026-10-24 @ Sarpsborg 08 1577 1680 19.0% 18.3% 62.7%
2026-10-24 Tromso 1684 1756 40.5% 20.6% 38.9%
2026-10-24 @ Valerenga 1756 1684 38.9% 20.6% 40.5%
2026-10-25 Valerenga 1905 1684 73.7% 15.0% 11.3%
2026-10-25 @ Bodo Glimt 1684 1905 11.3% 15.0% 73.7%
2026-10-25 Rosenborg 1662 1681 48.0% 20.4% 31.6%
2026-10-25 @ Hamarkameratene 1681 1662 31.6% 20.4% 48.0%
2026-10-25 Sandefjord 1604 1689 38.6% 20.6% 40.8%
2026-10-25 @ Start 1689 1604 40.8% 20.6% 38.6%
2026-10-25 KFUM Oslo 1577 1634 42.6% 20.6% 36.7%
2026-10-25 @ Kristiansund 1634 1577 36.7% 20.6% 42.6%
2026-10-25 Brann 1782 1745 55.2% 19.7% 25.1%
2026-10-25 @ Lillestrom 1745 1782 25.1% 19.7% 55.2%
2026-10-25 Fredrikstad 1736 1670 58.6% 19.1% 22.3%
2026-10-25 @ Molde 1670 1736 22.3% 19.1% 58.6%
2026-10-25 Aalesund 1680 1617 58.2% 19.2% 22.6%
2026-10-25 @ Sarpsborg 08 1617 1680 22.6% 19.2% 58.2%
2026-10-25 Tromso 1875 1756 64.3% 17.9% 17.8%
2026-10-25 @ Viking 1756 1875 17.8% 17.9% 64.3%
2026-10-31 Brann 1670 1745 40.1% 20.6% 39.2%
2026-10-31 @ Fredrikstad 1745 1670 39.2% 20.6% 40.1%
2026-10-31 Sarpsborg 08 1662 1680 48.1% 20.4% 31.5%
2026-10-31 @ Hamarkameratene 1680 1662 31.5% 20.4% 48.1%
2026-10-31 Valerenga 1577 1684 35.6% 20.6% 43.8%
2026-10-31 @ Kristiansund 1684 1577 43.8% 20.6% 35.6%
2026-10-31 Aalesund 1782 1617 68.9% 16.6% 14.5%
2026-10-31 @ Lillestrom 1617 1782 14.5% 16.6% 68.9%
2026-10-31 Start 1681 1604 59.9% 18.9% 21.2%
2026-10-31 @ Rosenborg 1604 1681 21.2% 18.9% 59.9%
2026-10-31 Molde 1689 1736 44.2% 20.6% 35.2%
2026-10-31 @ Sandefjord 1736 1689 35.2% 20.6% 44.2%
2026-10-31 Bodo Glimt 1756 1905 30.3% 20.3% 49.5%
2026-10-31 @ Tromso 1905 1756 49.5% 20.3% 30.3%
2026-10-31 KFUM Oslo 1875 1634 75.3% 14.4% 10.3%
2026-10-31 @ Viking 1634 1875 10.3% 14.4% 75.3%
2026-11-07 Rosenborg 1617 1681 41.7% 20.6% 37.7%
2026-11-07 @ Aalesund 1681 1617 37.7% 20.6% 41.7%
2026-11-07 Fredrikstad 1662 1670 49.4% 20.3% 30.3%
2026-11-07 @ Hamarkameratene 1670 1662 30.3% 20.3% 49.4%
2026-11-07 Brann 1634 1745 35.1% 20.6% 44.3%
2026-11-07 @ KFUM Oslo 1745 1634 44.3% 20.6% 35.1%
2026-11-07 Sandefjord 1577 1689 34.8% 20.6% 44.6%
2026-11-07 @ Kristiansund 1689 1577 44.6% 20.6% 34.8%
2026-11-07 Bodo Glimt 1736 1905 27.9% 20.0% 52.1%
2026-11-07 @ Molde 1905 1736 52.1% 20.0% 27.9%
2026-11-07 Lillestrom 1680 1782 36.2% 20.6% 43.2%
2026-11-07 @ Sarpsborg 08 1782 1680 43.2% 20.6% 36.2%
2026-11-07 Viking 1756 1875 34.1% 20.5% 45.4%
2026-11-07 @ Tromso 1875 1756 45.4% 20.5% 34.1%
2026-11-07 Start 1684 1604 60.2% 18.8% 21.0%
2026-11-07 @ Valerenga 1604 1684 21.0% 18.8% 60.2%
2026-11-21 Kristiansund 1745 1577 69.2% 16.6% 14.3%
2026-11-21 @ Brann 1577 1745 14.3% 16.6% 69.2%
2026-11-21 KFUM Oslo 1905 1634 77.5% 13.5% 9.0%
2026-11-21 @ Bodo Glimt 1634 1905 9.0% 13.5% 77.5%
2026-11-21 Aalesund 1670 1617 57.1% 19.4% 23.5%
2026-11-21 @ Fredrikstad 1617 1670 23.5% 19.4% 57.1%
2026-11-21 Sarpsborg 08 1604 1680 40.0% 20.6% 39.4%
2026-11-21 @ Start 1680 1604 39.4% 20.6% 40.0%
2026-11-21 Hamarkameratene 1782 1662 64.5% 17.9% 17.6%
2026-11-21 @ Lillestrom 1662 1782 17.6% 17.9% 64.5%
2026-11-21 Molde 1681 1736 43.0% 20.6% 36.4%
2026-11-21 @ Rosenborg 1736 1681 36.4% 20.6% 43.0%
2026-11-21 Tromso 1689 1756 41.3% 20.6% 38.1%
2026-11-21 @ Sandefjord 1756 1689 38.1% 20.6% 41.3%
2026-11-21 Valerenga 1875 1684 71.2% 15.9% 12.9%
2026-11-21 @ Viking 1684 1875 12.9% 15.9% 71.2%
2026-11-28 Bodo Glimt 1617 1905 16.8% 17.6% 65.7%
2026-11-28 @ Aalesund 1905 1617 65.7% 17.6% 16.8%
2026-11-28 Sandefjord 1662 1689 46.8% 20.4% 32.7%
2026-11-28 @ Hamarkameratene 1689 1662 32.7% 20.4% 46.8%
2026-11-28 Fredrikstad 1634 1670 45.6% 20.5% 33.9%
2026-11-28 @ KFUM Oslo 1670 1634 33.9% 20.5% 45.6%
2026-11-28 Lillestrom 1577 1782 23.9% 19.4% 56.7%
2026-11-28 @ Kristiansund 1782 1577 56.7% 19.4% 23.9%
2026-11-28 Viking 1736 1875 31.4% 20.4% 48.2%
2026-11-28 @ Molde 1875 1736 48.2% 20.4% 31.4%
2026-11-28 Brann 1680 1745 41.5% 20.6% 37.8%
2026-11-28 @ Sarpsborg 08 1745 1680 37.8% 20.6% 41.5%
2026-11-28 Start 1756 1604 67.7% 17.0% 15.3%
2026-11-28 @ Tromso 1604 1756 15.3% 17.0% 67.7%
2026-11-28 Rosenborg 1684 1681 50.9% 20.2% 29.0%
2026-11-28 @ Valerenga 1681 1684 29.0% 20.2% 50.9%
2026-12-06 Aalesund 1745 1617 65.3% 17.7% 17.0%
2026-12-06 @ Brann 1617 1745 17.0% 17.7% 65.3%
2026-12-06 Sarpsborg 08 1905 1680 74.1% 14.9% 11.1%
2026-12-06 @ Bodo Glimt 1680 1905 11.1% 14.9% 74.1%
2026-12-06 Molde 1670 1736 41.4% 20.6% 37.9%
2026-12-06 @ Fredrikstad 1736 1670 37.9% 20.6% 41.4%
2026-12-06 Kristiansund 1604 1577 53.9% 19.8% 26.3%
2026-12-06 @ Start 1577 1604 26.3% 19.8% 53.9%
2026-12-06 Tromso 1782 1756 53.8% 19.8% 26.4%
2026-12-06 @ Lillestrom 1756 1782 26.4% 19.8% 53.8%
2026-12-06 KFUM Oslo 1681 1634 56.4% 19.5% 24.2%
2026-12-06 @ Rosenborg 1634 1681 24.2% 19.5% 56.4%
2026-12-06 Valerenga 1689 1684 51.2% 20.1% 28.7%
2026-12-06 @ Sandefjord 1684 1689 28.7% 20.1% 51.2%
2026-12-06 Hamarkameratene 1875 1662 73.0% 15.2% 11.7%
2026-12-06 @ Viking 1662 1875 11.7% 15.2% 73.0%

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2026-05-20 12.17% Kristiansund 1591 2 @ Lillestrom 1795 1
2 2026-05-04 16.41% Molde 1733 1 @ Bodo Glimt 1870 0
3 2026-05-29 20.14% Sarpsborg 08 1661 2 @ Brann 1751 1
4 2026-07-26 21.48% Valerenga 1677 3 @ Brann 1752 2
5 2026-05-16 23.31% Aalesund 1615 3 @ Rosenborg 1670 2
6 2026-07-12 23.66% @ Sarpsborg 08 1668 1 Viking 1877 0
7 2026-04-29 24.13% Brann 1721 5 @ Tromso 1768 0
8 2026-03-22 24.24% Sarpsborg 08 1665 2 @ Sandefjord 1711 0
9 2026-04-12 26.26% Sandefjord 1703 1 @ Brann 1730 0
10 2026-03-14 29.37% @ Hamarkameratene 1672 2 Viking 1828 1
11 2026-07-18 30.72% Brann 1746 2 @ Molde 1734 1
12 2026-05-10 30.87% @ Rosenborg 1658 2 Lillestrom 1802 0
13 2026-07-25 31.16% Start 1598 2 @ Kristiansund 1583 1
14 2026-05-20 31.43% @ Aalesund 1622 2 Brann 1761 1
15 2026-03-22 31.75% Valerenga 1695 2 @ Rosenborg 1676 0
16 2026-03-22 32.33% Tromso 1742 2 @ Brann 1718 1
17 2026-03-15 32.45% @ Kristiansund 1592 3 Brann 1723 2
18 2026-04-07 33.29% Sandefjord 1697 2 @ KFUM Oslo 1666 1
19 2026-04-06 33.57% Brann 1712 5 @ Hamarkameratene 1678 1
20 2026-05-25 34.55% @ Hamarkameratene 1672 2 Lillestrom 1787 0
21 2026-04-19 35.04% @ Kristiansund 1586 2 Fredrikstad 1698 0
22 2026-04-26 35.53% Bodo Glimt 1853 2 @ Lillestrom 1804 0
23 2026-07-18 35.96% Rosenborg 1665 3 @ Start 1613 0
24 2026-07-18 37.09% Tromso 1743 4 @ Hamarkameratene 1683 1
25 2026-04-06 37.79% Lillestrom 1785 1 @ Molde 1720 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2026-04-29 31.91 Brann 5 1721 24.13% @ Tromso 0 1768 56.39% 19.47%
2 2026-04-11 20.88 @ Viking 5 1833 45.57% Bodo Glimt 0 1870 33.91% 20.51%
3 2026-04-06 18.07 Brann 5 1712 33.57% @ Hamarkameratene 1 1678 45.93% 20.50%
4 2026-07-18 15.84 Rosenborg 3 1665 35.96% @ Start 0 1613 43.45% 20.59%
5 2026-04-19 15.40 @ Hamarkameratene 4 1652 49.43% KFUM Oslo 0 1660 30.30% 20.27%
6 2026-03-22 13.62 Sarpsborg 08 2 1665 24.24% @ Sandefjord 0 1711 56.27% 19.49%
7 2026-03-15 13.52 @ Tromso 4 1729 54.09% Fredrikstad 0 1700 26.12% 19.79%
8 2026-07-16 13.47 @ Valerenga 6 1664 54.89% Aalesund 1 1629 25.42% 19.69%
9 2026-07-18 13.07 Tromso 4 1743 37.09% @ Hamarkameratene 1 1683 42.28% 20.62%
10 2026-07-11 12.19 @ Tromso 4 1731 57.36% Valerenga 0 1676 23.32% 19.32%
11 2026-05-10 12.03 @ Rosenborg 2 1658 30.87% Lillestrom 0 1802 48.81% 20.32%
12 2026-03-22 11.83 Valerenga 2 1695 31.75% @ Rosenborg 0 1676 47.87% 20.38%
13 2026-05-16 11.60 @ Bodo Glimt 5 1862 64.23% Tromso 0 1744 17.84% 17.93%
14 2026-04-26 11.24 @ Molde 5 1722 54.14% Valerenga 1 1693 26.07% 19.79%
15 2026-05-25 11.21 @ Hamarkameratene 2 1672 34.55% Lillestrom 0 1787 44.91% 20.54%
16 2026-04-19 11.11 @ Kristiansund 2 1586 35.04% Fredrikstad 0 1698 44.39% 20.56%
17 2026-04-26 11.00 Bodo Glimt 2 1853 35.53% @ Lillestrom 0 1804 43.89% 20.58%
18 2026-07-26 10.10 Bodo Glimt 3 1891 54.91% @ Sandefjord 0 1700 25.41% 19.69%
19 2026-05-25 9.94 @ Start 2 1609 40.61% Valerenga 0 1681 38.74% 20.65%
20 2026-04-19 9.76 Lillestrom 2 1794 41.55% @ Valerenga 0 1703 37.82% 20.64%
21 2026-07-11 9.67 Lillestrom 2 1775 41.95% @ Fredrikstad 0 1681 37.42% 20.63%
22 2026-07-12 8.99 @ Rosenborg 3 1656 58.44% Kristiansund 0 1591 22.41% 19.14%
23 2026-05-03 8.96 @ Lillestrom 4 1793 65.36% Sarpsborg 08 0 1664 16.99% 17.64%
24 2026-05-25 8.54 @ KFUM Oslo 2 1641 47.47% Rosenborg 0 1664 32.12% 20.41%
25 2026-05-20 8.47 Kristiansund 2 1591 12.17% @ Lillestrom 1 1795 72.33% 15.50%