2019-20 Eerste Divisie Season

290 games

Final

Promoted

—

No promotions.

Relegated

No relegation

Biggest Overachiever

Volendam

14.73 points above expected

55 points · 40.27 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Jong PSV

20.00 points below expected

22 points · 42.00 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

#	Team	GP	W	D	L	Pts	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Cambuur	29	21	3	5	66	68	25	+43	56.15	+9.85
2	De Graafschap	29	17	11	1	62	63	28	+35	56.47	+5.53
3	Volendam	29	16	7	6	55	57	42	+15	40.27	+14.73
4	Jong Ajax	29	16	6	7	54	72	47	+25	52.72	+1.28
5	NAC Breda	29	14	8	7	50	48	30	+18	48.51	+1.49
6	Go Ahead Eagles	29	12	12	5	48	49	41	+8	43.17	+4.83
7	Excelsior	29	13	8	8	47	65	55	+10	48.14	-1.14
8	NEC Nijmegen	29	12	9	8	45	51	37	+14	49.23	-4.23
9	Almere City	29	13	5	11	44	44	42	+2	40.96	+3.04
10	SC Telstar	29	12	8	9	44	47	48	-1	37.76	+6.24
11	Den Bosch	29	10	11	8	41	56	49	+7	41.34	-0.34
12	Jong Utrecht	29	10	8	11	38	48	47	+1	29.44	+8.56
13	FC Eindhoven	29	9	7	13	34	46	59	-13	35.81	-1.81
14	Jong Alkmaar	29	7	7	15	28	45	61	-16	33.51	-5.51
15	MVV Maastricht	29	7	6	16	27	37	53	-16	34.21	-7.21
16	Roda JC Kerkrade	29	5	10	14	25	36	52	-16	33.63	-8.63
17	TOP Oss	29	6	7	16	25	28	53	-25	34.12	-9.12
18	Jong PSV	29	5	7	17	22	34	56	-22	42.00	-20.00
19	Dordrecht	29	4	8	17	20	34	66	-32	24.70	-4.70
20	Helmond Sport	29	3	8	18	17	25	62	-37	23.49	-6.49

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team	Elo	Points	Avg	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Cambuur	1683	66	68.65	-2.65	39.2%	39	56	63	69	74	81	98
De Graafschap	1674	62	68.97	-6.97	20.6%	39	56	64	69	74	82	101
Jong Ajax	1622	54	65.22	-11.22	9.0%	35	52	60	65	71	78	95
NEC Nijmegen	1611	45	61.73	-16.73	1.8%	33	49	56	62	67	75	93
NAC Breda	1607	50	61.01	-11.01	8.5%	25	48	56	61	66	74	91
Excelsior	1593	47	60.64	-13.64	5.2%	28	47	55	61	66	74	92
Den Bosch	1577	41	53.84	-12.84	2.7%	26	41	48	54	59	67	83
Volendam	1571	55	52.77	+2.23	63.3%	21	40	47	53	58	66	82
Go Ahead Eagles	1563	48	55.67	-7.67	18.8%	27	43	50	56	61	69	87
Almere City	1540	44	53.46	-9.46	13.0%	24	40	48	53	59	67	84
Jong PSV	1514	22	54.50	-32.50	0.0%	27	42	49	54	60	67	83
SC Telstar	1514	44	50.26	-6.26	23.2%	22	38	45	50	55	63	83
FC Eindhoven	1487	34	48.31	-14.31	4.2%	11	35	43	48	54	61	77
MVV Maastricht	1486	27	46.71	-19.71	0.5%	19	34	41	47	52	60	80
Roda JC Kerkrade	1484	25	46.13	-21.13	0.1%	20	33	41	46	51	59	76
Jong Utrecht	1468	38	41.94	-3.94	33.4%	16	30	37	42	47	55	74
Jong Alkmaar	1466	28	46.01	-18.01	1.1%	20	33	41	46	51	59	73
TOP Oss	1459	25	46.62	-21.62	0.2%	19	34	41	46	52	60	81
Dordrecht	1407	20	37.20	-17.20	0.9%	11	25	32	37	42	50	71
Helmond Sport	1377	17	35.99	-18.99	0.4%	8	24	31	36	41	48	65

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Team	AC	CAM	DG	DB	DOR	EXC	FE	GAE	HS	JA	JA	JP	JU	MM	NB	NN	RJK	ST	TO	VOL
Almere City	—	0-0-2 1.99	0-1-1 2.08	1-0-1 2.60	2-0-0 3.60	0-0-1 0.89	1-0-0 1.82	0-2-0 2.73	1-1-0 3.67	0-0-1 0.88	1-0-1 3.22	1-0-0 1.51	0-0-1 1.32	0-0-1 1.29	1-0-1 2.41	1-0-0 0.85	1-1-0 2.87	1-0-1 2.94	1-0-0 1.87	1-0-0 1.83
Cambuur	2-0-0 3.60	—	0-0-1 0.98	1-0-0 1.86	1-0-0 2.00	2-0-0 3.12	1-0-0 1.56	1-0-0 1.89	1-0-0 2.22	0-0-1 1.84	2-0-0 4.10	2-0-0 3.40	1-1-0 4.08	1-1-0 3.93	0-0-1 1.05	1-1-0 3.17	2-0-0 3.79	1-0-0 1.27	1-0-1 3.97	1-0-1 3.55
De Graafschap	1-1-0 3.51	1-0-0 1.80	—	0-1-0 1.39	2-0-0 4.34	0-1-0 1.98	1-1-0 3.82	1-1-0 3.51	1-0-0 1.90	1-0-0 1.86	1-0-1 4.05	2-0-0 3.63	1-1-0 4.03	2-0-0 3.64	1-0-0 1.17	0-1-0 1.19	1-1-0 3.84	0-1-0 2.16	0-1-0 1.45	1-1-0 3.54
Den Bosch	1-0-1 2.98	0-0-1 0.93	0-1-0 1.39	—	1-0-0 2.20	0-1-1 2.64	0-1-0 1.80	0-1-1 2.82	0-2-0 3.87	0-0-1 0.84	1-1-0 3.24	1-1-0 2.77	1-0-1 3.62	2-0-0 3.18	1-0-0 0.93	0-1-1 2.54	1-1-0 3.17	0-0-1 1.90	1-0-0 1.84	0-1-0 1.29
Dordrecht	0-0-2 1.98	0-0-1 0.80	0-0-2 1.31	0-0-1 0.63	—	0-1-1 1.65	1-0-1 2.26	0-0-1 0.69	0-1-1 2.91	0-0-2 1.61	0-1-0 0.83	1-0-0 0.65	0-1-1 2.61	0-1-0 1.41	0-0-2 1.85	1-0-0 1.13	0-1-1 2.14	0-0-1 1.34	1-1-0 2.27	0-1-0 0.81
Excelsior	1-0-0 1.90	0-0-2 2.45	0-1-0 0.82	1-1-0 2.93	1-1-0 3.96	—	1-0-1 3.46	0-1-0 1.27	2-0-0 3.98	0-0-1 1.59	1-1-0 3.50	1-0-1 3.11	1-0-0 2.26	1-1-0 3.50	0-1-1 2.77	1-0-0 1.71	1-0-0 1.21	0-1-1 3.29	1-0-0 1.49	0-0-1 1.98
FC Eindhoven	0-0-1 0.97	0-0-1 1.22	0-1-1 1.77	0-1-0 0.99	1-0-1 3.32	1-0-1 2.12	—	1-0-1 2.52	1-0-1 3.44	0-0-1 0.82	2-0-0 2.85	0-1-1 2.47	0-1-0 1.12	1-0-0 1.86	0-1-0 1.43	1-0-1 2.20	0-1-0 1.81	1-0-1 2.67	0-1-1 2.99	0-0-1 1.66
Go Ahead Eagles	0-2-0 2.85	0-0-1 0.91	0-1-1 2.08	1-1-0 2.74	1-0-0 2.13	0-1-0 1.51	1-0-1 3.08	—	1-0-0 1.63	0-1-1 2.29	0-1-0 1.89	0-1-0 1.79	2-0-0 3.48	1-0-1 3.16	1-1-0 2.56	1-1-0 2.44	0-1-0 1.84	1-0-0 1.11	1-0-0 1.07	1-1-0 2.97
Helmond Sport	0-1-1 1.94	0-0-1 0.61	0-0-1 0.89	0-2-0 1.74	1-1-0 2.66	0-0-2 1.64	1-0-1 2.14	0-0-1 1.15	—	0-1-1 1.29	0-0-1 0.83	0-0-1 1.26	0-1-0 0.95	1-0-1 2.32	0-1-1 1.65	0-0-2 1.50	0-0-1 0.80	0-0-1 1.44	0-0-1 1.44	0-1-1 2.13
Jong Ajax	1-0-0 1.91	1-0-0 0.95	0-0-1 0.93	1-0-0 1.96	2-0-0 4.03	1-0-0 1.19	1-0-0 1.99	1-1-0 3.29	1-1-0 4.37	—	0-0-1 1.56	1-1-0 3.34	1-0-1 4.07	1-0-0 1.42	1-0-1 3.14	0-2-0 3.01	1-0-0 2.13	1-1-0 3.65	1-0-1 3.55	0-0-2 3.57
Jong Alkmaar	1-0-1 2.35	0-0-2 1.53	1-0-1 1.58	0-1-1 2.34	0-1-0 1.97	0-1-1 2.09	0-0-2 2.73	0-1-0 0.91	1-0-0 1.98	1-0-0 1.22	—	0-0-1 0.83	0-0-1 1.16	1-0-0 1.73	0-0-2 2.14	0-0-1 1.42	0-1-0 0.97	0-1-1 2.65	2-0-0 2.75	0-1-1 2.47
Jong PSV	0-0-1 1.26	0-0-2 2.21	0-0-2 1.96	0-1-1 2.82	0-0-1 2.17	1-0-1 2.45	1-1-0 3.10	0-1-0 0.99	1-0-0 1.52	0-1-1 2.23	1-0-0 1.97	—	0-0-1 1.73	0-0-2 3.25	0-0-1 1.62	0-0-1 0.99	0-1-0 1.82	0-1-1 2.91	0-1-1 3.24	1-0-1 2.92
Jong Utrecht	1-0-0 1.46	0-1-1 1.55	0-1-1 1.60	1-0-1 1.98	1-1-0 2.97	0-0-1 0.58	0-1-0 1.66	0-0-2 2.11	0-1-0 1.84	1-0-1 1.55	1-0-0 1.62	1-0-0 1.06	—	0-1-0 0.98	0-1-0 0.60	0-1-1 1.81	2-0-0 2.34	0-0-1 0.85	1-0-1 2.38	1-0-1 2.28
MVV Maastricht	1-0-0 1.49	0-1-1 1.69	0-0-2 1.97	0-0-2 2.38	0-1-0 1.37	0-1-1 2.09	0-0-1 0.93	1-0-1 2.40	1-0-1 3.26	0-0-1 1.36	0-0-1 1.05	2-0-0 2.33	0-1-0 1.81	—	0-0-1 0.74	0-1-1 2.01	1-1-0 2.69	0-0-2 2.76	1-0-0 1.67	0-0-1 0.87
NAC Breda	1-0-1 3.17	1-0-0 1.73	0-0-1 1.61	0-0-1 1.86	2-0-0 3.76	1-1-0 2.80	0-1-0 1.35	0-1-1 3.02	1-1-0 3.96	1-0-1 2.43	2-0-0 3.45	1-0-0 1.16	0-1-0 2.23	1-0-0 2.07	—	1-1-0 2.83	1-0-1 3.43	0-1-0 1.34	1-1-0 3.46	0-0-1 1.36
NEC Nijmegen	0-0-1 1.95	0-1-1 2.40	0-1-0 1.59	1-1-0 3.03	0-0-1 1.65	0-0-1 1.07	1-0-1 3.38	0-1-1 3.14	2-0-0 4.14	0-2-0 2.55	1-0-0 1.36	1-0-0 1.80	1-1-0 3.79	1-1-0 3.58	0-1-1 2.75	—	1-0-0 1.26	2-0-0 3.20	1-0-0 2.04	0-0-1 1.38
Roda JC Kerkrade	0-1-1 2.71	0-0-2 1.84	0-1-1 1.78	0-1-1 2.40	1-1-0 3.43	0-0-1 1.57	0-1-0 0.98	0-1-0 0.95	1-0-0 2.00	0-0-1 0.69	0-1-0 1.82	0-1-0 0.97	0-0-2 3.24	0-1-1 2.88	1-0-1 2.17	0-0-1 1.52	—	1-0-0 1.04	1-1-0 2.88	0-0-2 2.72
SC Telstar	1-0-1 2.63	0-0-1 1.50	0-1-0 0.66	1-0-0 0.89	1-0-0 1.44	1-1-0 2.29	1-0-1 2.91	0-0-1 1.67	1-0-0 1.34	0-1-1 1.95	1-1-0 2.92	1-1-0 2.67	1-0-0 1.95	2-0-0 2.81	0-1-0 1.44	0-0-2 2.37	0-0-1 1.75	—	1-1-0 3.00	0-1-1 2.66
TOP Oss	0-0-1 0.92	1-0-1 1.64	0-1-0 1.33	0-0-1 0.95	0-1-1 3.31	0-0-1 1.29	1-1-0 2.58	0-0-1 1.71	1-0-0 1.34	1-0-1 2.07	0-0-2 2.83	1-1-0 2.34	1-0-1 3.17	0-0-1 1.11	0-1-1 2.14	0-0-1 0.77	0-1-1 2.68	0-1-1 2.59	—	0-0-1 1.72
Volendam	0-0-1 0.96	1-0-1 2.05	0-1-1 2.05	0-1-0 1.49	0-1-0 2.00	1-0-0 0.82	1-0-0 1.12	0-1-1 2.61	1-1-0 3.48	2-0-0 2.03	1-1-0 3.09	1-0-1 2.66	1-0-1 3.29	1-0-0 1.92	1-0-0 1.42	1-0-0 1.39	2-0-0 2.84	1-1-0 2.92	1-0-0 1.06	—

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.79	+9.8
Allowed	0.73	-10.7
Differential	0.96	+6.4

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	5.52%	3.79%	5.00%	2.41%	1.90%	0.69%	19.31%
1	3.79%	13.45%	8.10%	4.14%	2.07%	1.72%	33.28%
2	5.00%	8.10%	5.52%	4.14%	1.55%	0.69%	25.00%
3	2.41%	4.14%	4.14%	2.41%	—	—	13.10%
4	1.90%	2.07%	1.55%	—	—	0.34%	5.86%
5+	0.69%	1.72%	0.69%	—	0.34%	—	3.45%
Total	19.31%	33.28%	25.00%	13.10%	5.86%	3.45%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.64	1.64	+0.00
SD	1.32	1.32	1.95
CV	0.80	0.80	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 290

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.45%	10.34%	6.90%	—	—	—	20.69%
1	6.90%	13.79%	—	10.34%	—	—	31.03%
2	6.90%	10.34%	—	6.90%	3.45%	—	27.59%
3	3.45%	3.45%	10.34%	—	—	—	17.24%
4	—	—	3.45%	—	—	—	3.45%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.69%	37.93%	20.69%	17.24%	3.45%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	1.45	+0.07
SD	1.12	1.12	1.49
CV	0.74	0.77	—
Max	4	4	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.90%	3.45%	6.90%	—	—	—	17.24%
1	6.90%	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	—	13.79%
2	10.34%	6.90%	—	3.45%	—	—	20.69%
3	6.90%	13.79%	3.45%	—	—	—	24.14%
4	6.90%	—	6.90%	—	—	—	13.79%
5+	3.45%	6.90%	—	—	—	—	10.34%
Total	41.38%	34.48%	20.69%	3.45%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.34	0.86	+1.48
SD	1.59	0.88	1.84
CV	0.68	1.02	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.34%	—	—	—	—	—	10.34%
1	—	13.79%	3.45%	—	—	—	17.24%
2	10.34%	17.24%	10.34%	—	—	—	37.93%
3	6.90%	—	10.34%	3.45%	—	—	20.69%
4	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	—	—	6.90%
5+	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	—	—	6.90%
Total	34.48%	37.93%	24.14%	3.45%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.17	0.97	+1.21
SD	1.31	0.87	1.50
CV	0.60	0.90	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.34%	6.90%	—	—	—	—	17.24%
1	—	10.34%	3.45%	—	—	6.90%	20.69%
2	3.45%	6.90%	13.79%	6.90%	—	—	31.03%
3	3.45%	—	10.34%	3.45%	—	—	17.24%
4	6.90%	—	—	—	—	3.45%	10.34%
5+	—	3.45%	—	—	—	—	3.45%
Total	24.14%	27.59%	27.59%	10.34%	—	10.34%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.93	1.69	+0.24
SD	1.36	1.58	1.94
CV	0.70	0.94	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	6.90%	3.45%	—	6.90%	17.24%
1	6.90%	27.59%	10.34%	3.45%	—	3.45%	51.72%
2	3.45%	—	—	13.79%	3.45%	6.90%	27.59%
3	—	3.45%	—	—	—	—	3.45%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.34%	31.03%	17.24%	20.69%	3.45%	17.24%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	2.28	-1.10
SD	0.76	1.62	1.80
CV	0.65	0.71	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.90%	—	—	3.45%	3.45%	—	13.79%
1	—	3.45%	10.34%	10.34%	—	—	24.14%
2	6.90%	6.90%	6.90%	—	—	—	20.69%
3	3.45%	3.45%	3.45%	10.34%	—	—	20.69%
4	—	6.90%	3.45%	—	—	—	10.34%
5+	—	—	3.45%	—	6.90%	—	10.34%
Total	17.24%	20.69%	27.59%	24.14%	10.34%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.24	1.90	+0.34
SD	1.62	1.26	1.86
CV	0.72	0.67	—
Max	6	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	6.90%	3.45%	3.45%	3.45%	3.45%	20.69%
1	—	13.79%	3.45%	10.34%	6.90%	—	34.48%
2	6.90%	10.34%	10.34%	—	—	—	27.59%
3	—	3.45%	—	—	—	—	3.45%
4	—	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	3.45%	10.34%
5+	—	3.45%	—	—	—	—	3.45%
Total	6.90%	41.38%	20.69%	13.79%	10.34%	6.90%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	2.03	-0.45
SD	1.35	1.48	2.21
CV	0.85	0.73	—
Max	5	6	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.45%	—	—	3.45%	—	3.45%	10.34%
1	3.45%	27.59%	6.90%	—	—	3.45%	41.38%
2	3.45%	10.34%	6.90%	—	—	—	20.69%
3	6.90%	6.90%	6.90%	3.45%	—	—	24.14%
4	3.45%	—	—	—	—	—	3.45%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	20.69%	44.83%	20.69%	6.90%	—	6.90%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	1.41	+0.28
SD	1.07	1.30	1.91
CV	0.63	0.92	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.90%	—	17.24%	—	3.45%	—	27.59%
1	3.45%	20.69%	13.79%	3.45%	13.79%	6.90%	62.07%
2	—	3.45%	—	3.45%	—	—	6.90%
3	—	3.45%	—	—	—	—	3.45%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.34%	27.59%	31.03%	6.90%	17.24%	6.90%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.86	2.14	-1.28
SD	0.69	1.46	1.60
CV	0.80	0.68	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.45%	—	—	—	3.45%	—	6.90%
1	—	6.90%	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	13.79%
2	20.69%	3.45%	3.45%	6.90%	3.45%	3.45%	41.38%
3	—	3.45%	6.90%	6.90%	—	—	17.24%
4	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	—	—	6.90%
5+	3.45%	6.90%	3.45%	—	—	—	13.79%
Total	31.03%	24.14%	17.24%	17.24%	6.90%	3.45%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.48	1.62	+0.86
SD	1.48	1.66	2.42
CV	0.60	1.02	—
Max	6	7	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.45%	—	3.45%	6.90%	—	—	13.79%
1	—	10.34%	17.24%	10.34%	—	3.45%	41.38%
2	—	6.90%	6.90%	6.90%	3.45%	—	24.14%
3	—	6.90%	6.90%	3.45%	—	—	17.24%
4	—	3.45%	—	—	—	—	3.45%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.45%	27.59%	34.48%	27.59%	3.45%	3.45%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.55	2.10	-0.55
SD	1.06	1.08	1.62
CV	0.68	0.51	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.45%	20.69%	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	31.03%
1	—	17.24%	3.45%	6.90%	3.45%	—	31.03%
2	—	6.90%	3.45%	6.90%	6.90%	3.45%	27.59%
3	—	3.45%	6.90%	—	—	—	10.34%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	3.45%	48.28%	17.24%	17.24%	10.34%	3.45%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.93	-0.76
SD	1.00	1.25	1.30
CV	0.86	0.65	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.90%	3.45%	6.90%	3.45%	6.90%	—	27.59%
1	—	13.79%	10.34%	3.45%	—	—	27.59%
2	—	13.79%	6.90%	3.45%	—	—	24.14%
3	3.45%	6.90%	—	—	—	—	10.34%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	3.45%	6.90%	—	—	—	10.34%
Total	10.34%	41.38%	31.03%	10.34%	6.90%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.62	+0.03
SD	1.72	1.05	2.15
CV	1.04	0.65	—
Max	7	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.34%	—	10.34%	6.90%	3.45%	—	31.03%
1	6.90%	6.90%	10.34%	3.45%	6.90%	—	34.48%
2	—	—	3.45%	13.79%	—	—	17.24%
3	3.45%	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	—	10.34%
4	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	—	—	6.90%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	24.14%	13.79%	27.59%	24.14%	10.34%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.28	1.83	-0.55
SD	1.22	1.34	1.96
CV	0.96	0.73	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.90%	6.90%	—	—	—	—	13.79%
1	13.79%	13.79%	13.79%	—	—	—	41.38%
2	6.90%	6.90%	6.90%	—	3.45%	—	24.14%
3	3.45%	6.90%	—	—	—	—	10.34%
4	—	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	—	6.90%
5+	—	3.45%	—	—	—	—	3.45%
Total	31.03%	41.38%	24.14%	—	3.45%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.66	1.03	+0.62
SD	1.26	0.94	1.45
CV	0.76	0.91	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	10.34%	3.45%	6.90%	—	—	—	20.69%
1	6.90%	6.90%	10.34%	3.45%	—	—	27.59%
2	10.34%	10.34%	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	27.59%
3	3.45%	—	—	10.34%	—	—	13.79%
4	—	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	—	6.90%
5+	—	3.45%	—	—	—	—	3.45%
Total	31.03%	27.59%	24.14%	17.24%	—	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.76	1.28	+0.48
SD	1.55	1.10	1.74
CV	0.88	0.86	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.90%	3.45%	13.79%	—	3.45%	—	27.59%
1	—	20.69%	10.34%	3.45%	6.90%	3.45%	44.83%
2	—	6.90%	6.90%	3.45%	—	—	17.24%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	3.45%	—	3.45%	—	—	—	6.90%
5+	3.45%	—	—	—	—	—	3.45%
Total	13.79%	31.03%	34.48%	6.90%	10.34%	3.45%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.24	1.79	-0.55
SD	1.27	1.29	2.01
CV	1.02	0.72	—
Max	5	5	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.45%	—	6.90%	—	—	—	10.34%
1	13.79%	10.34%	6.90%	—	3.45%	3.45%	37.93%
2	6.90%	6.90%	10.34%	3.45%	6.90%	—	34.48%
3	3.45%	3.45%	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	13.79%
4	—	3.45%	—	—	—	—	3.45%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	27.59%	24.14%	27.59%	6.90%	10.34%	3.45%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.62	1.66	-0.03
SD	0.98	1.63	1.90
CV	0.60	0.99	—
Max	4	7	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.90%	6.90%	6.90%	6.90%	6.90%	—	34.48%
1	3.45%	10.34%	17.24%	6.90%	—	3.45%	41.38%
2	3.45%	6.90%	6.90%	—	—	—	17.24%
3	—	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	—	6.90%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.79%	27.59%	34.48%	13.79%	6.90%	3.45%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.97	1.83	-0.86
SD	0.91	1.26	1.68
CV	0.94	0.69	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 29

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	3.45%	—	6.90%	3.45%	—	13.79%
1	3.45%	17.24%	3.45%	3.45%	—	—	27.59%
2	—	20.69%	3.45%	—	—	—	24.14%
3	—	6.90%	6.90%	3.45%	—	—	17.24%
4	6.90%	6.90%	3.45%	—	—	—	17.24%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	10.34%	55.17%	17.24%	13.79%	3.45%	—	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.97	1.45	+0.52
SD	1.32	0.99	1.92
CV	0.67	0.68	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 29

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Volendam	55	40.27	+14.73
2	Cambuur	66	56.15	+9.85
3	Jong Utrecht	38	29.44	+8.56
4	SC Telstar	44	37.76	+6.24
5	De Graafschap	62	56.47	+5.53

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	vsSim
1	Jong PSV	22	42.00	-20.00
2	TOP Oss	25	34.12	-9.12
3	Roda JC Kerkrade	25	33.63	-8.63
4	MVV Maastricht	27	34.21	-7.21
5	Helmond Sport	17	23.49	-6.49

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Volendam	8	Oct 25 – Dec 13	1 in 5,867
2	Cambuur	7	Jan 24 – Mar 9	1 in 50
3	NAC Breda	4	Sep 16 – Oct 4	1 in 27
4	Jong Ajax	4	Nov 29 – Dec 20	1 in 21
5	De Graafschap	5	Feb 10 – Mar 8	1 in 18

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Jong PSV	3	Aug 16 – Aug 30	1 in 42
2	Dordrecht	5	Sep 27 – Oct 25	1 in 41
3	MVV Maastricht	4	Sep 13 – Oct 4	1 in 40
4	SC Telstar	3	Sep 20 – Oct 4	1 in 27
5	NEC Nijmegen	3	Nov 29 – Dec 13	1 in 24

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Go Ahead Eagles	19	Sep 7 – Jan 26	1 in 12,742
2	Volendam	15	Oct 25 – Feb 14	1 in 3,217
3	Jong Utrecht	7	Aug 30 – Oct 18	1 in 147
4	De Graafschap	15	Aug 9 – Nov 22	1 in 140
5	Cambuur	15	Aug 30 – Dec 6	1 in 133

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Roda JC Kerkrade	15	Nov 4 – Feb 21	1 in 578
2	Helmond Sport	18	Oct 25 – Mar 6	1 in 166
3	Dordrecht	11	Sep 27 – Dec 6	1 in 48
4	De Graafschap	5	Nov 25 – Dec 20	1 in 43
5	MVV Maastricht	8	Sep 7 – Oct 25	1 in 30

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
Cambuur	29.47%	21.15%	15.11%	10.83%	7.39%	4.90%	3.54%	2.59%	1.73%	1.25%	0.83%	0.51%	0.26%	0.15%	0.16%	0.09%	0.03%	0.01%	—	—
De Graafschap	30.75%	21.17%	14.88%	10.27%	7.19%	4.80%	3.62%	2.51%	1.69%	1.30%	0.64%	0.48%	0.25%	0.14%	0.16%	0.10%	0.04%	0.01%	—	—
Volendam	0.78%	1.63%	2.56%	3.83%	5.32%	6.28%	7.47%	8.16%	7.93%	8.76%	8.23%	7.91%	6.81%	6.18%	5.56%	4.27%	3.49%	2.61%	1.55%	0.67%
Jong Ajax	15.56%	16.46%	15.19%	12.99%	10.11%	7.73%	5.94%	4.54%	3.60%	2.41%	1.72%	1.08%	1.03%	0.77%	0.31%	0.25%	0.19%	0.09%	0.02%	0.01%
NAC Breda	5.69%	8.90%	11.33%	11.74%	11.30%	10.33%	9.45%	7.36%	5.85%	4.85%	4.20%	2.57%	2.33%	1.49%	0.98%	0.71%	0.48%	0.28%	0.14%	0.02%
Go Ahead Eagles	1.67%	3.29%	4.40%	6.30%	8.24%	8.79%	8.63%	8.24%	8.05%	7.93%	7.20%	6.42%	5.29%	4.44%	3.82%	3.17%	1.67%	1.44%	0.67%	0.34%
Excelsior	5.18%	9.09%	10.16%	10.79%	11.15%	10.45%	8.49%	7.86%	6.41%	5.05%	4.29%	3.54%	2.40%	1.83%	1.46%	0.87%	0.52%	0.25%	0.18%	0.03%
NEC Nijmegen	7.19%	9.85%	12.02%	12.22%	11.15%	10.12%	8.28%	7.04%	5.57%	4.35%	3.61%	2.72%	1.99%	1.63%	0.83%	0.61%	0.50%	0.21%	0.09%	0.02%
Almere City	0.93%	2.04%	3.47%	4.30%	5.28%	6.54%	7.50%	7.60%	8.58%	8.33%	7.63%	7.84%	7.12%	5.67%	5.48%	4.14%	3.34%	2.11%	1.59%	0.51%
SC Telstar	0.31%	0.89%	1.21%	2.40%	2.83%	3.61%	5.36%	6.28%	7.23%	7.72%	8.03%	8.38%	9.01%	8.29%	7.23%	7.08%	5.71%	4.45%	2.66%	1.32%
Den Bosch	0.91%	1.87%	3.58%	4.64%	6.36%	7.11%	7.76%	8.18%	8.52%	8.08%	7.58%	7.41%	6.49%	5.96%	4.85%	4.06%	2.88%	2.21%	1.04%	0.51%
Jong Utrecht	0.02%	0.05%	0.10%	0.23%	0.40%	0.82%	1.07%	1.33%	1.91%	2.82%	3.72%	4.78%	5.65%	7.62%	8.76%	10.38%	12.36%	14.04%	13.65%	10.29%
FC Eindhoven	0.09%	0.46%	0.80%	1.40%	2.08%	2.96%	3.74%	4.72%	6.04%	6.63%	7.13%	7.48%	8.94%	8.59%	8.99%	8.27%	8.08%	6.00%	4.84%	2.76%
Jong Alkmaar	0.05%	0.17%	0.46%	0.79%	1.21%	1.90%	2.78%	3.25%	3.90%	4.56%	6.34%	7.16%	7.89%	8.85%	9.00%	10.30%	9.74%	9.82%	7.35%	4.48%
MVV Maastricht	0.09%	0.35%	0.52%	0.93%	1.35%	2.17%	2.87%	4.01%	4.59%	5.35%	6.54%	7.36%	8.16%	8.87%	9.18%	9.23%	8.92%	8.57%	6.74%	4.20%
Roda JC Kerkrade	0.11%	0.19%	0.38%	0.66%	1.21%	1.76%	2.45%	3.46%	4.62%	4.95%	6.38%	6.84%	7.94%	8.95%	9.43%	9.74%	10.20%	9.41%	6.95%	4.37%
TOP Oss	0.10%	0.24%	0.45%	0.90%	1.28%	2.10%	2.46%	3.86%	4.30%	5.71%	5.93%	7.19%	7.70%	8.95%	9.97%	9.43%	9.50%	9.19%	6.89%	3.85%
Jong PSV	1.10%	2.19%	3.35%	4.75%	6.04%	7.43%	8.22%	8.32%	8.36%	8.49%	7.82%	7.03%	6.58%	5.22%	4.83%	3.98%	2.74%	1.92%	1.20%	0.43%
Dordrecht	—	—	0.01%	0.02%	0.07%	0.09%	0.20%	0.49%	0.67%	0.84%	1.14%	1.94%	2.38%	3.56%	4.89%	7.04%	10.54%	14.06%	22.68%	29.38%
Helmond Sport	—	0.01%	0.02%	0.01%	0.04%	0.11%	0.17%	0.20%	0.45%	0.62%	1.04%	1.36%	1.78%	2.84%	4.11%	6.28%	9.07%	13.32%	21.76%	36.81%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+22.07%

Clear Edge

47.59%26.90%25.52%

Elo Value

Home Edge

134 Elo

0.007 goals per Elo point

077.96400

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.56 goals

Home-Tilted

-2+0.58+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 10th * Longshot: 11th or lower.
Title Margin: Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.6

Open

124610

Champion Preseason Odds

29%

Cambuur, 2nd of 20

LongshotFavorite

Title Margin

Expected

0.14/gm

Photo Finish

00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.47 * Some Luck: 5.47 to 8.2 * Lucky: 8.2 to 10.93 * Wild Swing: 10.93 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 2.66 * Close: 2.66 to 3.99 * Off: 3.99 to 5.32 * Way Off: 5.32 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 20 typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 20 * As Expected: 20 to 32 * Several Outliers: 32 to 44 * Many Outliers: 44 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

8.96 points

Lucky

06.8317

Average Finish Error

Expected

2.20

Pinpoint

03.338

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 97.50%

98.40%

Volendam

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 2.50%

0.22%

Jong PSV

050

Season Outliers

Expected

4 of 20

Minimal Outliers

02.010

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully: How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge: Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst: Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games: Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.120.180.260.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.77

Strong Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

66%

Slight Edge

50%60%70%80%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

85%

Strong Edge

50%87%100%

Close Games

Expected

59%

Very Frequent

0%56%100%

Blowouts

Expected

19%

Frequent

0%20%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness: How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.59

Predictable

00.592

Matchup Imbalance

0.33

Lopsided

00.10.180.280.5

Strangeness

Expected

1.76

Chaotic

01.002

Repeatability

0.46

Some Carryover

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

20%

Chalky

0%27%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

16%

As Expected

0%22%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.

Probability calibration

0.42

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.10.51

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.62

Very Underconfident

0.1960181.001.80398

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.086

Well Within Noise

00.0970.25

Next-Season Status

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.

Team	Direct promotion	Same level
De Graafschap	35.69%	64.31%
Cambuur	34.52%	65.48%
NEC Nijmegen	8.83%	91.17%
NAC Breda	7.02%	92.98%
Excelsior	6.78%	93.22%
Go Ahead Eagles	2.11%	97.89%
Den Bosch	1.24%	98.76%
Almere City	1.23%	98.77%
Volendam	1.05%	98.95%
SC Telstar	0.42%	99.58%
Roda JC Kerkrade	0.16%	99.84%
FC Eindhoven	0.14%	99.86%
MVV Maastricht	0.14%	99.86%
TOP Oss	0.13%	99.87%
Dordrecht	—	100%
Helmond Sport	—	100%
Jong Ajax	—	100%
Jong Alkmaar	—	100%
Jong PSV	—	100%
Jong Utrecht	—	100%

Filter by Team:

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2019-08-09	Almere City	D 1-1	1539	1537	51.1%	21.5%	27.4%	-0.6	1
2019-08-09	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	D 1-1	1537	1539	27.4%	21.5%	51.1%	+0.6	1
2019-08-09	Cambuur	W 2-0	1599	1582	53.1%	21.2%	25.7%	+6.2	3
2019-08-09	@ De Graafschap	L 0-2	1582	1599	25.7%	21.2%	53.1%	-6.2	0
2019-08-09	FC Eindhoven	L 1-2	1586	1524	58.6%	20.0%	21.4%	-6.1	0
2019-08-09	@ NEC Nijmegen	W 2-1	1524	1586	21.4%	20.0%	58.6%	+6.1	3
2019-08-09	Jong Ajax	W 2-1	1530	1586	43.2%	22.3%	34.5%	+4.0	3
2019-08-09	@ TOP Oss	L 1-2	1586	1530	34.5%	22.3%	43.2%	-4.0	0
2019-08-09	MVV Maastricht	W 3-2	1532	1525	51.8%	21.4%	26.8%	+3.0	3
2019-08-09	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 2-3	1525	1532	26.8%	21.4%	51.8%	-3.0	0
2019-08-09	NAC Breda	L 0-2	1459	1572	35.2%	22.3%	42.5%	-8.1	0
2019-08-09	@ Dordrecht	W 2-0	1572	1459	42.5%	22.3%	35.2%	+8.1	3
2019-08-09	Volendam	D 1-1	1450	1501	43.9%	22.2%	33.8%	-0.2	1
2019-08-09	@ Helmond Sport	D 1-1	1501	1450	33.8%	22.2%	43.9%	+0.2	1
2019-08-10	Jong Utrecht	W 2-0	1588	1422	69.7%	16.4%	13.9%	+3.3	3
2019-08-10	@ Excelsior	L 0-2	1422	1588	13.9%	16.4%	69.7%	-3.3	0
2019-08-12	Den Bosch	D 2-2	1596	1558	55.6%	20.7%	23.7%	-0.6	1
2019-08-12	@ Jong PSV	D 2-2	1558	1596	23.7%	20.7%	55.6%	+0.6	1
2019-08-12	SC Telstar	D 0-0	1502	1514	49.3%	21.8%	28.9%	-0.6	1
2019-08-12	@ Jong Alkmaar	D 0-0	1514	1502	28.9%	21.8%	49.3%	+0.6	1
2019-08-16	De Graafschap	L 0-3	1522	1605	39.3%	22.4%	38.3%	-12.8	0
2019-08-16	@ MVV Maastricht	W 3-0	1605	1522	38.3%	22.4%	39.3%	+12.8	6
2019-08-16	Dordrecht	W 5-1	1530	1451	60.6%	19.5%	20.0%	+7.7	6
2019-08-16	@ FC Eindhoven	L 1-5	1451	1530	20.0%	19.5%	60.6%	-7.7	0
2019-08-16	Go Ahead Eagles	W 5-0	1576	1535	56.0%	20.6%	23.4%	+13.2	3
2019-08-16	@ Cambuur	L 0-5	1535	1576	23.4%	20.6%	56.0%	-13.2	3
2019-08-16	Helmond Sport	W 5-1	1580	1450	66.2%	17.7%	16.1%	+6.1	6
2019-08-16	@ NAC Breda	L 1-5	1450	1580	16.1%	17.7%	66.2%	-6.2	1
2019-08-16	Jong PSV	W 3-2	1538	1595	43.0%	22.3%	34.7%	+3.8	4
2019-08-16	@ Almere City	L 2-3	1595	1538	34.7%	22.3%	43.0%	-3.8	1
2019-08-16	Roda JC Kerkrade	W 4-0	1501	1539	45.9%	22.1%	32.0%	+14.2	4
2019-08-16	@ Volendam	L 0-4	1539	1501	32.0%	22.1%	45.9%	-14.2	1
2019-08-16	SC Telstar	L 0-1	1559	1514	56.5%	20.5%	23.0%	-6.3	1
2019-08-16	@ Den Bosch	W 1-0	1514	1559	23.0%	20.5%	56.5%	+6.3	4
2019-08-19	Excelsior	L 1-2	1501	1591	38.4%	22.4%	39.2%	-4.3	1
2019-08-19	@ Jong Alkmaar	W 2-1	1591	1501	39.2%	22.4%	38.4%	+4.3	6
2019-08-19	NEC Nijmegen	D 3-3	1582	1580	51.2%	21.5%	27.3%	-0.4	1
2019-08-19	@ Jong Ajax	D 3-3	1580	1582	27.3%	21.5%	51.2%	+0.4	1
2019-08-19	TOP Oss	W 2-1	1419	1534	34.8%	22.3%	42.8%	+4.7	3
2019-08-19	@ Jong Utrecht	L 1-2	1534	1419	42.8%	22.3%	34.8%	-4.7	3
2019-08-23	Jong Alkmaar	L 1-2	1529	1497	55.0%	20.8%	24.2%	-5.8	3
2019-08-23	@ TOP Oss	W 2-1	1497	1529	24.2%	20.8%	55.0%	+5.8	4
2019-08-23	Almere City	D 1-1	1444	1541	37.3%	22.4%	40.3%	+0.1	2
2019-08-23	@ Helmond Sport	D 1-1	1541	1444	40.3%	22.4%	37.3%	-0.1	5
2019-08-23	Cambuur	W 1-0	1586	1589	50.5%	21.6%	27.9%	+3.5	9
2019-08-23	@ NAC Breda	L 0-1	1589	1586	27.9%	21.6%	50.5%	-3.5	3
2019-08-23	Excelsior	W 3-0	1520	1595	40.6%	22.4%	37.1%	+12.2	7
2019-08-23	@ SC Telstar	L 0-3	1595	1520	37.1%	22.4%	40.6%	-12.2	6
2019-08-23	FC Eindhoven	D 1-1	1553	1538	52.8%	21.2%	26.0%	-0.7	2
2019-08-23	@ Den Bosch	D 1-1	1538	1553	26.0%	21.2%	52.8%	+0.7	7
2019-08-23	Jong Ajax	L 2-5	1444	1582	31.9%	22.1%	46.0%	-7.9	0
2019-08-23	@ Dordrecht	W 5-2	1582	1444	46.0%	22.1%	31.9%	+7.9	4
2019-08-23	NEC Nijmegen	L 1-2	1524	1580	43.3%	22.3%	34.4%	-4.8	1
2019-08-23	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	W 2-1	1580	1524	34.4%	22.3%	43.3%	+4.8	4
2019-08-23	Jong Utrecht	W 4-0	1522	1423	62.8%	18.8%	18.4%	+8.5	6
2019-08-23	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-4	1423	1522	18.4%	18.8%	62.8%	-8.5	3
2019-08-23	Volendam	W 3-0	1618	1516	63.2%	18.7%	18.1%	+6.4	9
2019-08-23	@ De Graafschap	L 0-3	1516	1618	18.1%	18.7%	63.2%	-6.4	4
2019-08-26	MVV Maastricht	L 0-1	1591	1509	61.0%	19.4%	19.7%	-6.7	1
2019-08-26	@ Jong PSV	W 1-0	1509	1591	19.7%	19.4%	61.0%	+6.7	3
2019-08-30	Almere City	W 3-2	1590	1541	57.0%	20.4%	22.6%	+2.6	7
2019-08-30	@ Jong Ajax	L 2-3	1541	1590	22.6%	20.4%	57.0%	-2.6	5
2019-08-30	De Graafschap	D 0-0	1523	1625	36.8%	22.4%	40.8%	+0.1	4
2019-08-30	@ TOP Oss	D 0-0	1625	1523	40.8%	22.4%	36.8%	-0.1	10
2019-08-30	Den Bosch	W 3-2	1585	1552	55.1%	20.8%	24.1%	+2.8	6
2019-08-30	@ Cambuur	L 2-3	1552	1585	24.1%	20.8%	55.1%	-2.8	2
2019-08-30	Dordrecht	D 1-1	1503	1436	59.2%	19.9%	20.9%	-1.0	5
2019-08-30	@ Jong Alkmaar	D 1-1	1436	1503	20.9%	19.9%	59.2%	+1.0	1
2019-08-30	Go Ahead Eagles	W 2-1	1538	1530	51.9%	21.4%	26.7%	+3.2	10
2019-08-30	@ FC Eindhoven	L 1-2	1530	1538	26.7%	21.4%	51.9%	-3.2	6
2019-08-30	Helmond Sport	W 3-1	1583	1444	67.1%	17.4%	15.5%	+3.2	9
2019-08-30	@ Excelsior	L 1-3	1444	1583	15.5%	17.4%	67.1%	-3.2	2
2019-08-30	Jong PSV	W 3-0	1415	1585	28.1%	21.6%	50.3%	+15.6	6
2019-08-30	@ Jong Utrecht	L 0-3	1585	1415	50.3%	21.6%	28.1%	-15.6	1
2019-08-30	NAC Breda	W 2-1	1509	1590	39.7%	22.4%	37.9%	+4.3	7
2019-08-30	@ Volendam	L 1-2	1590	1509	37.9%	22.4%	39.7%	-4.3	9
2019-08-30	SC Telstar	W 4-2	1585	1533	57.4%	20.3%	22.3%	+4.2	7
2019-08-30	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 2-4	1533	1585	22.3%	20.3%	57.4%	-4.2	7
2019-09-01	Roda JC Kerkrade	W 1-0	1516	1520	50.3%	21.6%	28.1%	+3.5	6
2019-09-01	@ MVV Maastricht	L 0-1	1520	1516	28.1%	21.6%	50.3%	-3.5	1
2019-09-07	Cambuur	L 0-2	1529	1588	42.7%	22.3%	35.0%	-9.4	7
2019-09-07	@ SC Telstar	W 2-0	1588	1529	35.0%	22.3%	42.7%	+9.4	9
2019-09-07	Excelsior	D 2-2	1527	1586	42.8%	22.3%	34.9%	-0.1	7
2019-09-07	@ Go Ahead Eagles	D 2-2	1586	1527	34.9%	22.3%	42.8%	+0.2	10
2019-09-07	MVV Maastricht	D 1-1	1437	1519	39.5%	22.4%	38.1%	-0.0	2
2019-09-07	@ Dordrecht	D 1-1	1519	1437	38.1%	22.4%	39.5%	+0.0	7
2019-09-08	FC Eindhoven	W 1-0	1441	1542	36.8%	22.4%	40.8%	+4.8	5
2019-09-08	@ Helmond Sport	L 0-1	1542	1441	40.8%	22.4%	36.8%	-4.8	10
2019-09-08	TOP Oss	W 2-1	1516	1524	49.9%	21.7%	28.4%	+3.4	4
2019-09-08	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	L 1-2	1524	1516	28.4%	21.7%	49.9%	-3.4	4
2019-09-08	Volendam	W 1-0	1539	1514	54.1%	21.0%	24.9%	+3.2	8
2019-09-08	@ Almere City	L 0-1	1514	1539	24.9%	21.0%	54.1%	-3.2	7
2019-09-13	Jong Alkmaar	W 3-2	1569	1502	59.2%	19.9%	20.9%	+2.4	4
2019-09-13	@ Jong PSV	L 2-3	1502	1569	20.9%	19.9%	59.2%	-2.4	5
2019-09-13	Almere City	W 4-2	1586	1542	56.5%	20.5%	23.0%	+4.3	13
2019-09-13	@ Excelsior	L 2-4	1542	1586	23.0%	20.5%	56.5%	-4.3	8
2019-09-13	Dordrecht	D 1-1	1510	1437	60.0%	19.7%	20.4%	-1.0	8
2019-09-13	@ Volendam	D 1-1	1437	1510	20.4%	19.7%	60.0%	+1.0	3
2019-09-13	Helmond Sport	W 5-1	1598	1445	68.4%	16.9%	14.7%	+5.6	12
2019-09-13	@ Cambuur	L 1-5	1445	1598	14.7%	16.9%	68.4%	-5.6	5
2019-09-13	Jong Ajax	W 3-2	1624	1592	55.0%	20.8%	24.2%	+2.8	13
2019-09-13	@ De Graafschap	L 2-3	1592	1624	24.2%	20.8%	55.0%	-2.8	7
2019-09-13	NEC Nijmegen	D 2-2	1549	1589	45.5%	22.1%	32.3%	-0.2	3
2019-09-13	@ Den Bosch	D 2-2	1589	1549	32.3%	22.1%	45.5%	+0.2	8
2019-09-13	Roda JC Kerkrade	D 1-1	1537	1519	53.1%	21.2%	25.7%	-0.7	11
2019-09-13	@ FC Eindhoven	D 1-1	1519	1537	25.7%	21.2%	53.1%	+0.7	5
2019-09-13	SC Telstar	L 1-2	1519	1519	50.9%	21.6%	27.6%	-5.4	7
2019-09-13	@ MVV Maastricht	W 2-1	1519	1519	27.6%	21.6%	50.9%	+5.4	10
2019-09-13	Jong Utrecht	D 0-0	1586	1430	68.7%	16.8%	14.5%	-1.6	10
2019-09-13	@ NAC Breda	D 0-0	1430	1586	14.5%	16.8%	68.7%	+1.6	7
2019-09-14	Go Ahead Eagles	L 1-2	1520	1527	49.9%	21.7%	28.4%	-5.4	4
2019-09-14	@ TOP Oss	W 2-1	1527	1520	28.4%	21.7%	49.9%	+5.4	10
2019-09-16	De Graafschap	D 1-1	1589	1627	45.8%	22.1%	32.1%	-0.3	9
2019-09-16	@ NEC Nijmegen	D 1-1	1627	1589	32.1%	22.1%	45.8%	+0.3	14
2019-09-16	Den Bosch	W 5-1	1432	1549	34.6%	22.3%	43.1%	+15.0	10
2019-09-16	@ Jong Utrecht	L 1-5	1549	1432	43.1%	22.3%	34.6%	-15.0	3
2019-09-16	Jong PSV	W 2-0	1590	1571	53.2%	21.2%	25.6%	+6.2	10
2019-09-16	@ Jong Ajax	L 0-2	1571	1590	25.6%	21.2%	53.2%	-6.2	4
2019-09-16	NAC Breda	L 1-2	1499	1584	39.2%	22.4%	38.4%	-4.4	5
2019-09-16	@ Jong Alkmaar	W 2-1	1584	1499	38.4%	22.4%	39.2%	+4.4	13
2019-09-20	Jong Alkmaar	W 2-1	1538	1495	56.2%	20.6%	23.2%	+2.8	11
2019-09-20	@ Almere City	L 1-2	1495	1538	23.2%	20.6%	56.2%	-2.8	5
2019-09-20	Excelsior	W 2-1	1588	1591	50.5%	21.6%	27.9%	+3.3	16
2019-09-20	@ NAC Breda	L 1-2	1591	1588	27.9%	21.6%	50.5%	-3.3	13
2019-09-20	FC Eindhoven	W 4-0	1628	1536	62.0%	19.1%	18.9%	+8.7	17
2019-09-20	@ De Graafschap	L 0-4	1536	1628	18.9%	19.1%	62.0%	-8.7	11
2019-09-20	Jong Ajax	D 1-1	1532	1596	42.2%	22.3%	35.4%	-0.2	11
2019-09-20	@ Go Ahead Eagles	D 1-1	1596	1532	35.4%	22.3%	42.2%	+0.2	11
2019-09-20	MVV Maastricht	W 4-0	1534	1514	53.5%	21.1%	25.4%	+11.6	6
2019-09-20	@ Den Bosch	L 0-4	1514	1534	25.4%	21.1%	53.5%	-11.6	7
2019-09-20	NEC Nijmegen	W 2-0	1438	1589	30.3%	21.9%	47.8%	+10.3	6
2019-09-20	@ Dordrecht	L 0-2	1589	1438	47.8%	21.9%	30.3%	-10.3	9
2019-09-20	Jong Utrecht	L 1-3	1520	1447	59.9%	19.7%	20.4%	-10.8	5
2019-09-20	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	W 3-1	1447	1520	20.4%	19.7%	59.9%	+10.8	13
2019-09-20	Volendam	L 1-2	1525	1509	52.8%	21.2%	25.9%	-5.6	10
2019-09-20	@ SC Telstar	W 2-1	1509	1525	25.9%	21.2%	52.8%	+5.6	11
2019-09-21	TOP Oss	L 0-2	1440	1515	40.6%	22.4%	37.1%	-9.0	5
2019-09-21	@ Helmond Sport	W 2-0	1515	1440	37.1%	22.4%	40.6%	+9.0	7
2019-09-23	Cambuur	L 0-1	1565	1603	45.8%	22.1%	32.1%	-5.3	4
2019-09-23	@ Jong PSV	W 1-0	1603	1565	32.1%	22.1%	45.8%	+5.3	15
2019-09-27	Cambuur	L 0-4	1515	1608	37.9%	22.4%	39.7%	-16.3	11
2019-09-27	@ Volendam	W 4-0	1608	1515	39.7%	22.4%	37.9%	+16.2	18
2019-09-27	De Graafschap	D 1-1	1509	1636	33.3%	22.2%	44.5%	+0.3	6
2019-09-27	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	D 1-1	1636	1509	44.5%	22.2%	33.3%	-0.3	18
2019-09-27	Dordrecht	W 3-2	1540	1448	62.1%	19.1%	18.9%	+2.2	14
2019-09-27	@ Almere City	L 2-3	1448	1540	18.9%	19.1%	62.1%	-2.2	6
2019-09-27	Go Ahead Eagles	D 3-3	1579	1532	56.7%	20.5%	22.8%	-0.5	10
2019-09-27	@ NEC Nijmegen	D 3-3	1532	1579	22.8%	20.5%	56.7%	+0.5	12
2019-09-27	Jong Ajax	L 1-4	1502	1596	37.9%	22.4%	39.8%	-10.5	7
2019-09-27	@ MVV Maastricht	W 4-1	1596	1502	39.8%	22.4%	37.9%	+10.5	14
2019-09-27	Jong PSV	W 5-2	1587	1560	54.4%	20.9%	24.7%	+6.3	16
2019-09-27	@ Excelsior	L 2-5	1560	1587	24.7%	20.9%	54.4%	-6.3	4
2019-09-27	NAC Breda	L 0-1	1524	1592	41.6%	22.4%	36.1%	-4.9	7
2019-09-27	@ TOP Oss	W 1-0	1592	1524	36.1%	22.4%	41.6%	+4.9	19
2019-09-27	SC Telstar	W 4-1	1527	1519	52.0%	21.4%	26.7%	+7.8	14
2019-09-27	@ FC Eindhoven	L 1-4	1519	1527	26.7%	21.4%	52.0%	-7.8	10
2019-09-30	Den Bosch	D 2-2	1492	1546	43.6%	22.3%	34.1%	-0.2	6
2019-09-30	@ Jong Alkmaar	D 2-2	1546	1492	34.1%	22.3%	43.6%	+0.2	7
2019-09-30	Helmond Sport	D 1-1	1458	1431	54.3%	21.0%	24.7%	-0.8	14
2019-09-30	@ Jong Utrecht	D 1-1	1431	1458	24.7%	21.0%	54.3%	+0.8	6
2019-10-04	Jong Alkmaar	D 1-1	1533	1492	56.0%	20.6%	23.3%	-0.8	13
2019-10-04	@ Go Ahead Eagles	D 1-1	1492	1533	23.3%	20.6%	56.0%	+0.8	7
2019-10-04	Almere City	D 0-0	1636	1542	62.2%	19.0%	18.8%	-1.3	19
2019-10-04	@ De Graafschap	D 0-0	1542	1636	18.8%	19.0%	62.2%	+1.3	15
2019-10-04	Excelsior	W 4-0	1625	1594	54.8%	20.9%	24.3%	+11.1	21
2019-10-04	@ Cambuur	L 0-4	1594	1625	24.3%	20.9%	54.8%	-11.1	16
2019-10-04	FC Eindhoven	W 6-0	1606	1535	59.7%	19.7%	20.6%	+13.9	17
2019-10-04	@ Jong Ajax	L 0-6	1535	1606	20.6%	19.7%	59.7%	-13.9	14
2019-10-04	MVV Maastricht	W 3-1	1432	1492	42.7%	22.3%	35.0%	+7.0	9
2019-10-04	@ Helmond Sport	L 1-3	1492	1432	35.0%	22.3%	42.7%	-7.0	7
2019-10-04	NEC Nijmegen	W 1-0	1597	1578	53.3%	21.2%	25.6%	+3.3	22
2019-10-04	@ NAC Breda	L 0-1	1578	1597	25.6%	21.2%	53.3%	-3.3	10
2019-10-04	Roda JC Kerkrade	L 1-2	1511	1510	51.1%	21.5%	27.4%	-5.4	10
2019-10-04	@ SC Telstar	W 2-1	1510	1511	27.4%	21.5%	51.1%	+5.5	9
2019-10-04	TOP Oss	W 4-0	1546	1519	54.3%	21.0%	24.7%	+11.3	10
2019-10-04	@ Den Bosch	L 0-4	1519	1546	24.7%	21.0%	54.3%	-11.3	7
2019-10-04	Jong Utrecht	L 2-5	1446	1457	49.4%	21.8%	28.9%	-11.2	6
2019-10-04	@ Dordrecht	W 5-2	1457	1446	28.9%	21.8%	49.4%	+11.2	17
2019-10-04	Volendam	W 3-1	1554	1499	57.8%	20.2%	22.0%	+4.6	7
2019-10-04	@ Jong PSV	L 1-3	1499	1554	22.0%	20.2%	57.8%	-4.6	11
2019-10-11	Cambuur	D 0-0	1485	1636	30.3%	21.9%	47.8%	+0.5	8
2019-10-11	@ MVV Maastricht	D 0-0	1636	1485	47.8%	21.9%	30.3%	-0.5	22
2019-10-12	Helmond Sport	W 4-0	1515	1439	60.3%	19.6%	20.2%	+9.3	12
2019-10-12	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	L 0-4	1439	1515	20.2%	19.6%	60.3%	-9.3	9
2019-10-12	SC Telstar	D 2-2	1508	1506	51.1%	21.5%	27.4%	-0.5	8
2019-10-12	@ TOP Oss	D 2-2	1506	1508	27.4%	21.5%	51.1%	+0.4	11
2019-10-13	Den Bosch	D 1-1	1494	1557	42.2%	22.3%	35.4%	-0.2	12
2019-10-13	@ Volendam	D 1-1	1557	1494	35.4%	22.3%	42.2%	+0.2	11
2019-10-13	Dordrecht	W 3-2	1583	1435	68.0%	17.1%	15.0%	+1.7	19
2019-10-13	@ Excelsior	L 2-3	1435	1583	15.0%	17.1%	68.0%	-1.7	6
2019-10-13	Go Ahead Eagles	D 1-1	1544	1532	52.4%	21.3%	26.3%	-0.7	16
2019-10-13	@ Almere City	D 1-1	1532	1544	26.3%	21.3%	52.4%	+0.7	14
2019-10-18	Almere City	W 1-0	1506	1543	45.9%	22.1%	32.0%	+4.0	14
2019-10-18	@ SC Telstar	L 0-1	1543	1506	32.0%	22.1%	45.9%	-4.0	16
2019-10-18	De Graafschap	D 2-2	1468	1635	28.5%	21.7%	49.8%	+0.4	18
2019-10-18	@ Jong Utrecht	D 2-2	1635	1468	49.8%	21.7%	28.5%	-0.4	20
2019-10-18	Excelsior	D 0-0	1485	1584	37.1%	22.4%	40.5%	+0.1	9
2019-10-18	@ MVV Maastricht	D 0-0	1584	1485	40.5%	22.4%	37.1%	-0.1	20
2019-10-18	Helmond Sport	L 1-2	1433	1429	51.3%	21.5%	27.2%	-5.5	6
2019-10-18	@ Dordrecht	W 2-1	1429	1433	27.2%	21.5%	51.3%	+5.5	12
2019-10-18	Jong Ajax	W 3-2	1493	1620	33.3%	22.2%	44.5%	+4.6	10
2019-10-18	@ Jong Alkmaar	L 2-3	1620	1493	44.5%	22.2%	33.3%	-4.6	17
2019-10-18	Jong PSV	W 1-0	1575	1558	53.0%	21.2%	25.8%	+3.3	13
2019-10-18	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 0-1	1558	1575	25.8%	21.2%	53.0%	-3.3	7
2019-10-18	NAC Breda	D 2-2	1521	1600	40.0%	22.4%	37.6%	-0.0	15
2019-10-18	@ FC Eindhoven	D 2-2	1600	1521	37.6%	22.4%	40.0%	+0.0	23
2019-10-18	Roda JC Kerkrade	D 0-0	1557	1524	55.1%	20.8%	24.1%	-0.9	12
2019-10-18	@ Den Bosch	D 0-0	1524	1557	24.1%	20.8%	55.1%	+0.9	13
2019-10-18	TOP Oss	W 5-1	1635	1507	66.0%	17.8%	16.2%	+6.2	25
2019-10-18	@ Cambuur	L 1-5	1507	1635	16.2%	17.8%	66.0%	-6.2	8
2019-10-18	Volendam	W 3-0	1533	1494	55.8%	20.7%	23.5%	+8.3	17
2019-10-18	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-3	1494	1533	23.5%	20.7%	55.8%	-8.3	12
2019-10-21	De Graafschap	L 1-2	1600	1634	46.2%	22.1%	31.7%	-5.0	23
2019-10-21	@ NAC Breda	W 2-1	1634	1600	31.7%	22.1%	46.2%	+5.0	23
2019-10-21	FC Eindhoven	W 2-1	1555	1521	55.2%	20.8%	24.0%	+2.9	10
2019-10-21	@ Jong PSV	L 1-2	1521	1555	24.0%	20.8%	55.2%	-2.9	15
2019-10-21	NEC Nijmegen	L 0-2	1497	1578	39.7%	22.4%	37.9%	-8.9	10
2019-10-21	@ Jong Alkmaar	W 2-0	1578	1497	37.9%	22.4%	39.7%	+8.9	16
2019-10-21	Jong Utrecht	W 4-0	1616	1469	67.9%	17.1%	15.0%	+6.8	20
2019-10-21	@ Jong Ajax	L 0-4	1469	1616	15.0%	17.1%	67.9%	-6.8	18
2019-10-25	Jong Alkmaar	W 3-2	1486	1489	50.5%	21.6%	27.9%	+3.2	15
2019-10-25	@ Volendam	L 2-3	1489	1486	27.9%	21.6%	50.5%	-3.2	10
2019-10-25	Cambuur	D 1-1	1462	1642	27.0%	21.4%	51.6%	+0.6	19
2019-10-25	@ Jong Utrecht	D 1-1	1642	1462	51.6%	21.4%	27.0%	-0.6	26
2019-10-25	Den Bosch	D 0-0	1541	1556	48.8%	21.8%	29.4%	-0.5	18
2019-10-25	@ Go Ahead Eagles	D 0-0	1556	1541	29.4%	21.8%	48.8%	+0.5	13
2019-10-25	Dordrecht	W 5-0	1639	1427	74.0%	14.6%	11.4%	+6.2	26
2019-10-25	@ De Graafschap	L 0-5	1427	1639	11.4%	14.6%	74.0%	-6.2	6
2019-10-25	FC Eindhoven	W 3-1	1539	1518	53.5%	21.1%	25.4%	+5.3	19
2019-10-25	@ Almere City	L 1-3	1518	1539	25.4%	21.1%	53.5%	-5.3	15
2019-10-25	Jong Ajax	L 1-3	1584	1622	45.7%	22.1%	32.2%	-8.6	20
2019-10-25	@ Excelsior	W 3-1	1622	1584	32.2%	22.1%	45.7%	+8.6	23
2019-10-25	Jong PSV	W 1-0	1501	1558	43.1%	22.3%	34.6%	+4.2	11
2019-10-25	@ TOP Oss	L 0-1	1558	1501	34.6%	22.3%	43.1%	-4.2	10
2019-10-25	MVV Maastricht	W 2-0	1587	1485	63.1%	18.7%	18.1%	+4.4	19
2019-10-25	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 0-2	1485	1587	18.1%	18.7%	63.1%	-4.4	9
2019-10-25	NAC Breda	W 4-2	1525	1595	41.3%	22.4%	36.3%	+6.4	16
2019-10-25	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	L 2-4	1595	1525	36.3%	22.4%	41.3%	-6.4	23
2019-10-25	SC Telstar	L 1-4	1435	1510	40.5%	22.4%	37.1%	-11.1	12
2019-10-25	@ Helmond Sport	W 4-1	1510	1435	37.1%	22.4%	40.5%	+11.1	17
2019-11-01	Jong Alkmaar	W 2-1	1513	1485	54.4%	20.9%	24.6%	+3.0	18
2019-11-01	@ FC Eindhoven	L 1-2	1485	1513	24.6%	20.9%	54.4%	-3.0	10
2019-11-01	Almere City	W 3-2	1481	1544	42.2%	22.3%	35.5%	+3.9	12
2019-11-01	@ MVV Maastricht	L 2-3	1544	1481	35.5%	22.3%	42.2%	-3.9	19
2019-11-01	Excelsior	D 0-0	1646	1576	59.5%	19.8%	20.7%	-1.1	27
2019-11-01	@ De Graafschap	D 0-0	1576	1646	20.7%	19.8%	59.5%	+1.1	21
2019-11-01	Go Ahead Eagles	D 1-1	1588	1540	56.9%	20.4%	22.7%	-0.9	24
2019-11-01	@ NAC Breda	D 1-1	1540	1588	22.7%	20.4%	56.9%	+0.9	19
2019-11-01	Helmond Sport	D 1-1	1557	1424	66.5%	17.6%	15.9%	-1.3	14
2019-11-01	@ Den Bosch	D 1-1	1424	1557	15.9%	17.6%	66.5%	+1.3	13
2019-11-01	NEC Nijmegen	D 0-0	1641	1591	57.1%	20.4%	22.5%	-1.0	27
2019-11-01	@ Cambuur	D 0-0	1591	1641	22.5%	20.4%	57.1%	+1.0	20
2019-11-01	TOP Oss	D 1-1	1421	1505	39.2%	22.4%	38.4%	-0.0	7
2019-11-01	@ Dordrecht	D 1-1	1505	1421	38.4%	22.4%	39.2%	+0.0	12
2019-11-01	Jong Utrecht	W 2-0	1521	1463	58.2%	20.1%	21.7%	+5.3	20
2019-11-01	@ SC Telstar	L 0-2	1463	1521	21.7%	20.1%	58.2%	-5.3	19
2019-11-04	Roda JC Kerkrade	D 1-1	1554	1532	53.7%	21.1%	25.2%	-0.7	11
2019-11-04	@ Jong PSV	D 1-1	1532	1554	25.2%	21.1%	53.7%	+0.7	17
2019-11-04	Volendam	L 1-3	1631	1489	67.4%	17.3%	15.3%	-11.9	23
2019-11-04	@ Jong Ajax	W 3-1	1489	1631	15.3%	17.3%	67.4%	+11.9	18
2019-11-08	Cambuur	L 1-2	1532	1640	35.9%	22.4%	41.7%	-4.1	17
2019-11-08	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	W 2-1	1640	1532	41.7%	22.4%	35.9%	+4.1	30
2019-11-08	De Graafschap	L 1-2	1425	1644	22.9%	20.5%	56.5%	-2.8	13
2019-11-08	@ Helmond Sport	W 2-1	1644	1425	56.5%	20.5%	22.9%	+2.8	30
2019-11-08	Den Bosch	W 5-1	1619	1556	58.8%	20.0%	21.3%	+8.2	26
2019-11-08	@ Jong Ajax	L 1-5	1556	1619	21.3%	20.0%	58.8%	-8.2	14
2019-11-08	Dordrecht	W 3-1	1541	1421	65.1%	18.1%	16.8%	+3.5	22
2019-11-08	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 1-3	1421	1541	16.8%	18.1%	65.1%	-3.5	7
2019-11-08	FC Eindhoven	W 5-4	1577	1516	58.4%	20.1%	21.5%	+2.4	24
2019-11-08	@ Excelsior	L 4-5	1516	1577	21.5%	20.1%	58.4%	-2.4	18
2019-11-08	MVV Maastricht	W 3-2	1482	1485	50.6%	21.6%	27.9%	+3.1	13
2019-11-08	@ Jong Alkmaar	L 2-3	1485	1482	27.9%	21.6%	50.6%	-3.2	12
2019-11-08	NAC Breda	W 1-0	1541	1588	44.5%	22.2%	33.3%	+4.1	22
2019-11-08	@ Almere City	L 0-1	1588	1541	33.3%	22.2%	44.5%	-4.1	24
2019-11-08	SC Telstar	D 1-1	1553	1526	54.3%	21.0%	24.8%	-0.8	12
2019-11-08	@ Jong PSV	D 1-1	1526	1553	24.8%	21.0%	54.3%	+0.8	21
2019-11-08	TOP Oss	W 3-0	1592	1505	61.5%	19.2%	19.3%	+6.8	23
2019-11-08	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 0-3	1505	1592	19.3%	19.2%	61.5%	-6.8	12
2019-11-08	Jong Utrecht	W 1-0	1501	1457	56.4%	20.5%	23.1%	+3.0	21
2019-11-08	@ Volendam	L 0-1	1457	1501	23.1%	20.5%	56.4%	-3.0	19
2019-11-15	MVV Maastricht	W 2-0	1514	1482	55.0%	20.8%	24.2%	+5.8	21
2019-11-15	@ FC Eindhoven	L 0-2	1482	1514	24.2%	20.8%	55.0%	-5.8	12
2019-11-15	Roda JC Kerkrade	D 1-1	1418	1528	35.5%	22.3%	42.1%	+0.2	8
2019-11-15	@ Dordrecht	D 1-1	1528	1418	42.1%	22.3%	35.5%	-0.2	18
2019-11-15	Volendam	L 1-2	1498	1504	50.2%	21.6%	28.2%	-5.4	12
2019-11-15	@ TOP Oss	W 2-1	1504	1498	28.2%	21.6%	50.2%	+5.4	24
2019-11-17	Almere City	W 3-1	1644	1545	62.9%	18.8%	18.3%	+3.9	33
2019-11-17	@ Cambuur	L 1-3	1545	1644	18.3%	18.8%	62.9%	-3.9	22
2019-11-17	Excelsior	D 3-3	1547	1579	46.6%	22.1%	31.3%	-0.2	15
2019-11-17	@ Den Bosch	D 3-3	1579	1547	31.3%	22.1%	46.6%	+0.2	25
2019-11-17	Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-2	1527	1545	48.5%	21.9%	29.6%	-10.5	21
2019-11-17	@ SC Telstar	W 2-0	1545	1527	29.6%	21.9%	48.5%	+10.5	25
2019-11-22	Jong Alkmaar	W 2-1	1454	1486	46.7%	22.0%	31.3%	+3.7	22
2019-11-22	@ Jong Utrecht	L 1-2	1486	1454	31.3%	22.0%	46.7%	-3.7	13
2019-11-22	Cambuur	L 0-3	1520	1648	33.1%	22.2%	44.6%	-11.2	21
2019-11-22	@ FC Eindhoven	W 3-0	1648	1520	44.6%	22.2%	33.1%	+11.2	36
2019-11-22	Den Bosch	L 0-2	1541	1547	50.0%	21.7%	28.3%	-10.7	22
2019-11-22	@ Almere City	W 2-0	1547	1541	28.3%	21.7%	50.0%	+10.7	18
2019-11-22	Jong Ajax	L 1-2	1583	1627	44.9%	22.2%	32.9%	-4.9	24
2019-11-22	@ NAC Breda	W 2-1	1627	1583	32.9%	22.2%	44.9%	+4.9	29
2019-11-22	Jong PSV	W 4-1	1647	1552	62.4%	19.0%	18.7%	+5.5	33
2019-11-22	@ De Graafschap	L 1-4	1552	1647	18.7%	19.0%	62.4%	-5.5	12
2019-11-22	NEC Nijmegen	L 1-2	1422	1599	27.3%	21.5%	51.2%	-3.3	13
2019-11-22	@ Helmond Sport	W 2-1	1599	1422	51.2%	21.5%	27.3%	+3.3	26
2019-11-22	Roda JC Kerkrade	D 1-1	1555	1528	54.4%	21.0%	24.7%	-0.8	26
2019-11-22	@ Go Ahead Eagles	D 1-1	1528	1555	24.7%	21.0%	54.4%	+0.8	19
2019-11-22	SC Telstar	L 2-3	1418	1517	37.1%	22.4%	40.5%	-4.0	8
2019-11-22	@ Dordrecht	W 3-2	1517	1418	40.5%	22.4%	37.1%	+4.0	24
2019-11-22	TOP Oss	W 4-0	1476	1493	48.5%	21.9%	29.6%	+13.3	15
2019-11-22	@ MVV Maastricht	L 0-4	1493	1476	29.6%	21.9%	48.5%	-13.3	12
2019-11-22	Volendam	L 1-2	1579	1509	59.6%	19.8%	20.7%	-6.2	25
2019-11-22	@ Excelsior	W 2-1	1509	1579	20.7%	19.8%	59.6%	+6.2	27
2019-11-25	De Graafschap	W 2-1	1482	1653	28.0%	21.6%	50.4%	+5.4	16
2019-11-25	@ Jong Alkmaar	L 1-2	1653	1482	50.4%	21.6%	28.0%	-5.4	33
2019-11-25	Helmond Sport	D 1-1	1632	1419	74.1%	14.5%	11.3%	-1.7	30
2019-11-25	@ Jong Ajax	D 1-1	1419	1632	11.3%	14.5%	74.1%	+1.7	14
2019-11-25	NAC Breda	L 1-3	1547	1579	46.6%	22.1%	31.4%	-8.8	12
2019-11-25	@ Jong PSV	W 3-1	1579	1547	31.4%	22.1%	46.6%	+8.8	27
2019-11-25	Jong Utrecht	D 0-0	1602	1458	67.6%	17.2%	15.2%	-1.6	27
2019-11-25	@ NEC Nijmegen	D 0-0	1458	1602	15.2%	17.2%	67.6%	+1.6	23
2019-11-29	Jong Alkmaar	W 3-1	1659	1487	70.3%	16.2%	13.5%	+2.8	39
2019-11-29	@ Cambuur	L 1-3	1487	1659	13.5%	16.2%	70.3%	-2.8	16
2019-11-29	Dordrecht	W 3-2	1558	1414	67.6%	17.2%	15.2%	+1.7	21
2019-11-29	@ Den Bosch	L 2-3	1414	1558	15.2%	17.2%	67.6%	-1.7	8
2019-11-29	Excelsior	L 1-4	1529	1573	44.9%	22.2%	32.9%	-12.0	19
2019-11-29	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	W 4-1	1573	1529	32.9%	22.2%	44.9%	+12.0	28
2019-11-29	FC Eindhoven	W 3-1	1480	1508	47.0%	22.0%	30.9%	+6.3	15
2019-11-29	@ TOP Oss	L 1-3	1508	1480	30.9%	22.0%	47.0%	-6.3	21
2019-11-29	Jong Ajax	L 2-3	1521	1631	35.6%	22.3%	42.0%	-3.9	24
2019-11-29	@ SC Telstar	W 3-2	1631	1521	42.0%	22.3%	35.6%	+3.9	33
2019-11-29	Jong PSV	L 2-3	1421	1538	34.6%	22.3%	43.1%	-3.8	14
2019-11-29	@ Helmond Sport	W 3-2	1538	1421	43.1%	22.3%	34.6%	+3.8	15
2019-11-29	MVV Maastricht	W 2-0	1587	1489	62.7%	18.9%	18.4%	+4.5	30
2019-11-29	@ NAC Breda	L 0-2	1489	1587	18.4%	18.9%	62.7%	-4.5	15
2019-11-29	NEC Nijmegen	W 3-1	1515	1601	39.0%	22.4%	38.6%	+7.5	30
2019-11-29	@ Volendam	L 1-3	1601	1515	38.6%	22.4%	39.0%	-7.5	27
2019-12-01	Go Ahead Eagles	D 1-1	1647	1554	62.1%	19.0%	18.8%	-1.1	34
2019-12-01	@ De Graafschap	D 1-1	1554	1647	18.8%	19.0%	62.1%	+1.1	27
2019-12-02	Almere City	W 3-1	1460	1530	41.2%	22.4%	36.5%	+7.2	26
2019-12-02	@ Jong Utrecht	L 1-3	1530	1460	36.5%	22.4%	41.2%	-7.2	22
2019-12-06	Cambuur	L 2-4	1412	1662	20.2%	19.6%	60.2%	-3.8	8
2019-12-06	@ Dordrecht	W 4-2	1662	1412	60.2%	19.6%	20.2%	+3.8	42
2019-12-06	De Graafschap	D 2-2	1560	1646	38.9%	22.4%	38.7%	+0.0	22
2019-12-06	@ Den Bosch	D 2-2	1646	1560	38.7%	22.4%	38.9%	+0.0	35
2019-12-06	Jong PSV	D 1-1	1556	1542	52.7%	21.3%	26.1%	-0.7	28
2019-12-06	@ Go Ahead Eagles	D 1-1	1542	1556	26.1%	21.3%	52.7%	+0.7	16
2019-12-06	NAC Breda	D 1-1	1517	1592	40.6%	22.4%	37.1%	-0.1	25
2019-12-06	@ SC Telstar	D 1-1	1592	1517	37.1%	22.4%	40.6%	+0.1	31
2019-12-06	NEC Nijmegen	W 2-1	1585	1593	49.8%	21.7%	28.5%	+3.4	31
2019-12-06	@ Excelsior	L 1-2	1593	1585	28.5%	21.7%	49.8%	-3.4	27
2019-12-06	TOP Oss	W 3-0	1523	1486	55.5%	20.7%	23.7%	+8.3	25
2019-12-06	@ Almere City	L 0-3	1486	1523	23.7%	20.7%	55.5%	-8.3	15
2019-12-06	Jong Utrecht	D 1-1	1484	1467	53.2%	21.2%	25.7%	-0.7	16
2019-12-06	@ MVV Maastricht	D 1-1	1467	1484	25.7%	21.2%	53.2%	+0.7	27
2019-12-06	Volendam	L 1-4	1502	1523	48.1%	21.9%	30.0%	-12.7	21
2019-12-06	@ FC Eindhoven	W 4-1	1523	1502	30.0%	21.9%	48.1%	+12.7	33
2019-12-09	Helmond Sport	W 4-1	1485	1417	59.2%	19.9%	20.9%	+6.2	19
2019-12-09	@ Jong Alkmaar	L 1-4	1417	1485	20.9%	19.9%	59.2%	-6.2	14
2019-12-09	Roda JC Kerkrade	W 2-0	1634	1517	64.8%	18.2%	17.0%	+4.1	36
2019-12-09	@ Jong Ajax	L 0-2	1517	1634	17.0%	18.2%	64.8%	-4.1	19
2019-12-13	Jong Alkmaar	D 2-2	1513	1491	53.7%	21.1%	25.2%	-0.5	20
2019-12-13	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	D 2-2	1491	1513	25.2%	21.1%	53.7%	+0.5	20
2019-12-13	Almere City	L 2-3	1590	1531	58.2%	20.1%	21.7%	-5.8	27
2019-12-13	@ NEC Nijmegen	W 3-2	1531	1590	21.7%	20.1%	58.2%	+5.8	28
2019-12-13	Den Bosch	L 1-2	1592	1560	55.0%	20.8%	24.2%	-5.8	31
2019-12-13	@ NAC Breda	W 2-1	1560	1592	24.2%	20.8%	55.0%	+5.8	25
2019-12-13	Dordrecht	L 0-1	1542	1408	66.6%	17.6%	15.9%	-7.2	16
2019-12-13	@ Jong PSV	W 1-0	1408	1542	15.9%	17.6%	66.6%	+7.2	11
2019-12-13	Excelsior	L 0-2	1478	1589	35.5%	22.3%	42.2%	-8.1	15
2019-12-13	@ TOP Oss	W 2-0	1589	1478	42.2%	22.3%	35.5%	+8.1	34
2019-12-13	FC Eindhoven	D 2-2	1467	1489	47.9%	21.9%	30.1%	-0.3	28
2019-12-13	@ Jong Utrecht	D 2-2	1489	1467	30.1%	21.9%	47.9%	+0.3	22
2019-12-13	Go Ahead Eagles	L 1-2	1411	1555	31.1%	22.0%	46.8%	-3.7	14
2019-12-13	@ Helmond Sport	W 2-1	1555	1411	46.8%	22.0%	31.1%	+3.7	31
2019-12-13	Jong Ajax	L 0-2	1666	1639	54.4%	21.0%	24.7%	-11.5	42
2019-12-13	@ Cambuur	W 2-0	1639	1666	24.7%	21.0%	54.4%	+11.5	39
2019-12-13	MVV Maastricht	W 4-1	1535	1484	57.4%	20.3%	22.3%	+6.6	36
2019-12-13	@ Volendam	L 1-4	1484	1535	22.3%	20.3%	57.4%	-6.6	16
2019-12-13	SC Telstar	D 2-2	1646	1517	66.1%	17.8%	16.2%	-1.0	36
2019-12-13	@ De Graafschap	D 2-2	1517	1646	16.2%	17.8%	66.1%	+1.0	26
2019-12-20	De Graafschap	D 3-3	1542	1645	36.5%	22.4%	41.1%	+0.1	37
2019-12-20	@ Volendam	D 3-3	1645	1542	41.1%	22.4%	36.5%	-0.1	37
2019-12-20	Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-3	1467	1559	38.2%	22.4%	39.4%	-12.5	28
2019-12-20	@ Jong Utrecht	W 3-0	1559	1467	39.4%	22.4%	38.2%	+12.5	34
2019-12-20	Helmond Sport	W 4-1	1477	1407	59.5%	19.8%	20.7%	+6.2	19
2019-12-20	@ MVV Maastricht	L 1-4	1407	1477	20.7%	19.8%	59.5%	-6.1	14
2019-12-20	Jong PSV	W 2-1	1565	1535	54.7%	20.9%	24.4%	+3.0	28
2019-12-20	@ Den Bosch	L 1-2	1535	1565	24.4%	20.9%	54.7%	-2.9	16
2019-12-20	NEC Nijmegen	L 1-4	1490	1584	37.8%	22.4%	39.9%	-10.5	22
2019-12-20	@ FC Eindhoven	W 4-1	1584	1490	39.9%	22.4%	37.8%	+10.5	30
2019-12-20	Roda JC Kerkrade	W 2-0	1537	1512	54.0%	21.0%	24.9%	+6.0	31
2019-12-20	@ Almere City	L 0-2	1512	1537	24.9%	21.0%	54.0%	-6.0	20
2019-12-20	TOP Oss	W 2-0	1650	1470	71.1%	15.8%	13.1%	+3.1	42
2019-12-20	@ Jong Ajax	L 0-2	1470	1650	13.1%	15.8%	71.1%	-3.1	15
2019-12-21	Dordrecht	W 3-0	1586	1416	70.2%	16.2%	13.6%	+4.7	34
2019-12-21	@ NAC Breda	L 0-3	1416	1586	13.6%	16.2%	70.2%	-4.7	11
2019-12-22	Jong Alkmaar	W 3-1	1518	1491	54.2%	21.0%	24.8%	+5.2	29
2019-12-22	@ SC Telstar	L 1-3	1491	1518	24.8%	21.0%	54.2%	-5.2	20
2019-12-22	Cambuur	L 1-3	1597	1654	43.0%	22.3%	34.7%	-8.2	34
2019-12-22	@ Excelsior	W 3-1	1654	1597	34.7%	22.3%	43.0%	+8.2	45
2020-01-10	Excelsior	D 1-1	1411	1588	27.2%	21.5%	51.3%	+0.6	12
2020-01-10	@ Dordrecht	D 1-1	1588	1411	51.3%	21.5%	27.2%	-0.6	35
2020-01-10	FC Eindhoven	W 2-0	1523	1479	56.4%	20.5%	23.1%	+5.6	32
2020-01-10	@ SC Telstar	L 0-2	1479	1523	23.1%	20.5%	56.4%	-5.6	22
2020-01-10	NAC Breda	D 0-0	1401	1591	25.9%	21.2%	52.9%	+0.8	15
2020-01-10	@ Helmond Sport	D 0-0	1591	1401	52.9%	21.2%	25.9%	-0.8	35
2020-01-10	Jong Utrecht	W 2-1	1645	1455	72.1%	15.4%	12.5%	+1.5	40
2020-01-10	@ De Graafschap	L 1-2	1455	1645	12.5%	15.4%	72.1%	-1.5	28
2020-01-10	Volendam	L 1-2	1662	1542	65.1%	18.1%	16.8%	-6.7	45
2020-01-10	@ Cambuur	W 2-1	1542	1662	16.8%	18.1%	65.1%	+6.7	40
2020-01-12	Almere City	D 1-1	1571	1543	54.5%	20.9%	24.6%	-0.8	35
2020-01-12	@ Go Ahead Eagles	D 1-1	1543	1571	24.6%	20.9%	54.5%	+0.8	32
2020-01-12	Den Bosch	W 1-0	1595	1568	54.2%	21.0%	24.8%	+3.2	33
2020-01-12	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 0-1	1568	1595	24.8%	21.0%	54.2%	-3.2	28
2020-01-12	MVV Maastricht	D 2-2	1506	1483	53.8%	21.1%	25.1%	-0.5	21
2020-01-12	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	D 2-2	1483	1506	25.1%	21.1%	53.8%	+0.5	20
2020-01-13	Jong Ajax	D 0-0	1532	1653	34.1%	22.3%	43.6%	+0.3	17
2020-01-13	@ Jong PSV	D 0-0	1653	1532	43.6%	22.3%	34.1%	-0.3	43
2020-01-13	TOP Oss	W 3-1	1486	1467	53.4%	21.1%	25.5%	+5.3	23
2020-01-13	@ Jong Alkmaar	L 1-3	1467	1486	25.5%	21.1%	53.4%	-5.3	15
2020-01-17	Jong Alkmaar	W 3-1	1590	1491	62.8%	18.9%	18.4%	+3.9	38
2020-01-17	@ NAC Breda	L 1-3	1491	1590	18.4%	18.9%	62.8%	-3.9	23
2020-01-17	Cambuur	W 3-2	1461	1656	25.4%	21.1%	53.5%	+5.4	18
2020-01-17	@ TOP Oss	L 2-3	1656	1461	53.5%	21.1%	25.4%	-5.4	45
2020-01-17	De Graafschap	L 0-2	1544	1647	36.6%	22.4%	41.0%	-8.3	32
2020-01-17	@ Almere City	W 2-0	1647	1544	41.0%	22.4%	36.6%	+8.3	43
2020-01-17	Helmond Sport	W 2-0	1474	1402	59.8%	19.7%	20.5%	+5.0	25
2020-01-17	@ FC Eindhoven	L 0-2	1402	1474	20.5%	19.7%	59.8%	-5.0	15
2020-01-17	Jong PSV	W 4-2	1549	1532	53.0%	21.2%	25.8%	+4.8	43
2020-01-17	@ Volendam	L 2-4	1532	1549	25.8%	21.2%	53.0%	-4.8	17
2020-01-17	NEC Nijmegen	D 0-0	1484	1598	35.1%	22.3%	42.6%	+0.2	21
2020-01-17	@ MVV Maastricht	D 0-0	1598	1484	42.6%	22.3%	35.1%	-0.2	34
2020-01-17	SC Telstar	D 3-3	1588	1528	58.3%	20.1%	21.6%	-0.6	36
2020-01-17	@ Excelsior	D 3-3	1528	1588	21.6%	20.1%	58.3%	+0.6	33
2020-01-19	Go Ahead Eagles	L 2-3	1565	1570	50.2%	21.6%	28.2%	-5.1	28
2020-01-19	@ Den Bosch	W 3-2	1570	1565	28.2%	21.6%	50.2%	+5.1	38
2020-01-20	Dordrecht	W 2-0	1653	1411	76.5%	13.4%	10.1%	+2.3	46
2020-01-20	@ Jong Ajax	L 0-2	1411	1653	10.1%	13.4%	76.5%	-2.3	12
2020-01-20	Roda JC Kerkrade	W 2-1	1453	1506	43.7%	22.3%	34.0%	+3.9	31
2020-01-20	@ Jong Utrecht	L 1-2	1506	1453	34.0%	22.3%	43.7%	-3.9	21
2020-01-24	Den Bosch	D 0-0	1397	1560	28.8%	21.7%	49.4%	+0.6	16
2020-01-24	@ Helmond Sport	D 0-0	1560	1397	49.4%	21.7%	28.8%	-0.6	29
2020-01-24	FC Eindhoven	W 1-0	1409	1479	41.3%	22.4%	36.3%	+4.4	15
2020-01-24	@ Dordrecht	L 0-1	1479	1409	36.3%	22.4%	41.3%	-4.4	25
2020-01-24	Jong Ajax	D 3-3	1598	1655	43.0%	22.3%	34.7%	-0.1	35
2020-01-24	@ NEC Nijmegen	D 3-3	1655	1598	34.7%	22.3%	43.0%	+0.1	47
2020-01-24	MVV Maastricht	W 3-2	1655	1484	70.2%	16.2%	13.6%	+1.5	46
2020-01-24	@ De Graafschap	L 2-3	1484	1655	13.6%	16.2%	70.2%	-1.5	21
2020-01-24	TOP Oss	W 1-0	1529	1467	58.6%	20.0%	21.3%	+2.8	36
2020-01-24	@ SC Telstar	L 0-1	1467	1529	21.3%	20.0%	58.6%	-2.8	18
2020-01-24	Jong Utrecht	W 3-1	1650	1457	72.3%	15.3%	12.4%	+2.5	48
2020-01-24	@ Cambuur	L 1-3	1457	1650	12.4%	15.3%	72.3%	-2.5	31
2020-01-24	Volendam	L 2-3	1502	1554	43.8%	22.3%	33.9%	-4.6	21
2020-01-24	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	W 3-2	1554	1502	33.9%	22.3%	43.8%	+4.6	46
2020-01-26	NAC Breda	W 1-0	1575	1594	48.4%	21.9%	29.7%	+3.7	41
2020-01-26	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 0-1	1594	1575	29.7%	21.9%	48.4%	-3.7	38
2020-01-27	Excelsior	W 2-1	1528	1587	42.7%	22.3%	35.0%	+4.0	20
2020-01-27	@ Jong PSV	L 1-2	1587	1528	35.0%	22.3%	42.7%	-4.0	36
2020-01-31	Jong Alkmaar	W 3-0	1560	1488	59.8%	19.7%	20.5%	+7.2	32
2020-01-31	@ Den Bosch	L 0-3	1488	1560	20.5%	19.7%	59.8%	-7.2	23
2020-01-31	Cambuur	L 0-2	1597	1653	43.3%	22.3%	34.4%	-9.5	35
2020-01-31	@ NEC Nijmegen	W 2-0	1653	1597	34.4%	22.3%	43.3%	+9.5	51
2020-01-31	De Graafschap	D 1-1	1474	1656	26.7%	21.4%	51.9%	+0.6	26
2020-01-31	@ FC Eindhoven	D 1-1	1656	1474	51.9%	21.4%	26.7%	-0.6	47
2020-01-31	Helmond Sport	W 2-1	1558	1397	69.3%	16.6%	14.2%	+1.7	49
2020-01-31	@ Volendam	L 1-2	1397	1558	14.2%	16.6%	69.3%	-1.7	16
2020-01-31	Jong PSV	W 3-1	1483	1532	44.2%	22.2%	33.6%	+6.7	24
2020-01-31	@ MVV Maastricht	L 1-3	1532	1483	33.6%	22.2%	44.2%	-6.7	20
2020-01-31	NAC Breda	D 2-2	1583	1590	50.0%	21.7%	28.4%	-0.4	37
2020-01-31	@ Excelsior	D 2-2	1590	1583	28.4%	21.7%	50.0%	+0.4	39
2020-01-31	Roda JC Kerkrade	D 0-0	1464	1497	46.4%	22.1%	31.5%	-0.4	19
2020-01-31	@ TOP Oss	D 0-0	1497	1464	31.5%	22.1%	46.4%	+0.4	22
2020-01-31	SC Telstar	W 4-2	1535	1532	51.3%	21.5%	27.2%	+5.0	35
2020-01-31	@ Almere City	L 2-4	1532	1535	27.2%	21.5%	51.3%	-5.0	36
2020-02-03	Dordrecht	D 1-1	1455	1414	56.0%	20.6%	23.3%	-0.8	32
2020-02-03	@ Jong Utrecht	D 1-1	1414	1455	23.3%	20.6%	56.0%	+0.8	16
2020-02-03	Go Ahead Eagles	W 5-1	1655	1579	60.2%	19.6%	20.2%	+7.8	50
2020-02-03	@ Jong Ajax	L 1-5	1579	1655	20.2%	19.6%	60.2%	-7.8	41
2020-02-07	Almere City	L 1-2	1414	1540	33.4%	22.2%	44.3%	-3.9	16
2020-02-07	@ Dordrecht	W 2-1	1540	1414	44.3%	22.2%	33.4%	+3.9	38
2020-02-07	Den Bosch	L 1-5	1498	1567	41.4%	22.4%	36.3%	-14.5	22
2020-02-07	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	W 5-1	1567	1498	36.3%	22.4%	41.4%	+14.5	35
2020-02-07	Excelsior	L 1-4	1396	1583	26.2%	21.3%	52.5%	-7.7	16
2020-02-07	@ Helmond Sport	W 4-1	1583	1396	52.5%	21.3%	26.2%	+7.7	40
2020-02-07	FC Eindhoven	W 3-1	1571	1475	62.5%	18.9%	18.5%	+3.9	44
2020-02-07	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 1-3	1475	1571	18.5%	18.9%	62.5%	-3.9	26
2020-02-07	MVV Maastricht	W 2-1	1662	1489	70.4%	16.1%	13.5%	+1.6	54
2020-02-07	@ Cambuur	L 1-2	1489	1662	13.5%	16.1%	70.4%	-1.6	24
2020-02-07	NEC Nijmegen	L 1-7	1527	1588	42.5%	22.3%	35.2%	-21.5	36
2020-02-07	@ SC Telstar	W 7-1	1588	1527	35.2%	22.3%	42.5%	+21.5	38
2020-02-07	TOP Oss	D 1-1	1591	1463	65.8%	17.8%	16.3%	-1.3	40
2020-02-07	@ NAC Breda	D 1-1	1463	1591	16.3%	17.8%	65.8%	+1.3	20
2020-02-10	De Graafschap	L 2-3	1525	1656	32.8%	22.2%	45.0%	-3.6	20
2020-02-10	@ Jong PSV	W 3-2	1656	1525	45.0%	22.2%	32.8%	+3.6	50
2020-02-10	Jong Ajax	W 7-2	1454	1663	23.9%	20.8%	55.3%	+18.9	35
2020-02-10	@ Jong Utrecht	L 2-7	1663	1454	55.3%	20.8%	23.9%	-18.9	50
2020-02-10	Volendam	D 1-1	1480	1560	39.9%	22.4%	37.7%	-0.0	24
2020-02-10	@ Jong Alkmaar	D 1-1	1560	1480	37.7%	22.4%	39.9%	+0.0	50
2020-02-14	Jong Alkmaar	D 3-3	1591	1480	64.0%	18.4%	17.5%	-0.8	41
2020-02-14	@ Excelsior	D 3-3	1480	1591	17.5%	18.4%	64.0%	+0.8	25
2020-02-14	Cambuur	L 0-1	1544	1664	34.3%	22.3%	43.4%	-4.2	38
2020-02-14	@ Almere City	W 1-0	1664	1544	43.4%	22.3%	34.3%	+4.2	57
2020-02-14	Dordrecht	L 1-3	1465	1411	57.7%	20.2%	22.1%	-10.5	20
2020-02-14	@ TOP Oss	W 3-1	1411	1465	22.1%	20.2%	57.7%	+10.5	19
2020-02-14	Helmond Sport	W 2-0	1609	1388	74.8%	14.2%	10.9%	+2.5	41
2020-02-14	@ NEC Nijmegen	L 0-2	1388	1609	10.9%	14.2%	74.8%	-2.5	16
2020-02-14	Jong PSV	D 1-1	1471	1521	44.0%	22.2%	33.7%	-0.2	27
2020-02-14	@ FC Eindhoven	D 1-1	1521	1471	33.7%	22.2%	44.0%	+0.2	21
2020-02-14	Roda JC Kerkrade	W 2-0	1659	1483	70.8%	16.0%	13.3%	+3.1	53
2020-02-14	@ De Graafschap	L 0-2	1483	1659	13.3%	16.0%	70.8%	-3.1	22
2020-02-14	SC Telstar	D 1-1	1560	1505	57.7%	20.2%	22.1%	-0.9	51
2020-02-14	@ Volendam	D 1-1	1505	1560	22.1%	20.2%	57.7%	+0.9	37
2020-02-14	Jong Utrecht	W 3-2	1581	1473	63.9%	18.5%	17.6%	+2.0	38
2020-02-14	@ Den Bosch	L 2-3	1473	1581	17.6%	18.5%	63.9%	-2.0	35
2020-02-16	Go Ahead Eagles	W 3-0	1488	1575	38.7%	22.4%	38.9%	+12.7	27
2020-02-16	@ MVV Maastricht	L 0-3	1575	1488	38.9%	22.4%	38.7%	-12.7	44
2020-02-17	NAC Breda	L 2-4	1644	1589	57.7%	20.2%	22.0%	-9.4	50
2020-02-17	@ Jong Ajax	W 4-2	1589	1644	22.0%	20.2%	57.7%	+9.4	43
2020-02-21	Almere City	W 1-0	1599	1540	58.2%	20.1%	21.7%	+2.8	46
2020-02-21	@ NAC Breda	L 0-1	1540	1599	21.7%	20.1%	58.2%	-2.8	38
2020-02-21	De Graafschap	L 1-2	1421	1663	20.9%	19.9%	59.2%	-2.5	19
2020-02-21	@ Dordrecht	W 2-1	1663	1421	59.2%	19.9%	20.9%	+2.5	56
2020-02-21	Den Bosch	W 6-4	1590	1583	51.7%	21.4%	26.9%	+4.5	44
2020-02-21	@ Excelsior	L 4-6	1583	1590	26.9%	21.4%	51.7%	-4.5	38
2020-02-21	Jong Ajax	L 0-2	1385	1635	20.3%	19.6%	60.1%	-4.9	16
2020-02-21	@ Helmond Sport	W 2-0	1635	1385	60.1%	19.6%	20.3%	+4.9	53
2020-02-21	MVV Maastricht	W 2-1	1506	1500	51.6%	21.4%	26.9%	+3.2	40
2020-02-21	@ SC Telstar	L 1-2	1500	1506	26.9%	21.4%	51.6%	-3.2	27
2020-02-21	NEC Nijmegen	W 2-1	1563	1612	44.2%	22.2%	33.6%	+3.9	47
2020-02-21	@ Go Ahead Eagles	L 1-2	1612	1563	33.6%	22.2%	44.2%	-3.9	41
2020-02-21	Roda JC Kerkrade	W 2-0	1668	1480	71.9%	15.5%	12.6%	+3.0	60
2020-02-21	@ Cambuur	L 0-2	1480	1668	12.6%	15.5%	71.9%	-3.0	22
2020-02-21	TOP Oss	D 1-1	1522	1454	59.2%	19.9%	20.9%	-1.0	22
2020-02-21	@ Jong PSV	D 1-1	1454	1522	20.9%	19.9%	59.2%	+1.0	21
2020-02-24	FC Eindhoven	L 2-4	1481	1471	52.2%	21.3%	26.5%	-8.6	25
2020-02-24	@ Jong Alkmaar	W 4-2	1471	1481	26.5%	21.3%	52.2%	+8.6	30
2020-02-24	Volendam	W 2-1	1471	1559	38.6%	22.4%	39.0%	+4.4	38
2020-02-24	@ Jong Utrecht	L 1-2	1559	1471	39.0%	22.4%	38.6%	-4.4	51
2020-02-28	Jong Alkmaar	W 5-1	1665	1472	72.3%	15.3%	12.4%	+4.6	59
2020-02-28	@ De Graafschap	L 1-5	1472	1665	12.4%	15.3%	72.3%	-4.6	25
2020-02-28	Den Bosch	L 2-3	1497	1579	39.6%	22.4%	38.0%	-4.2	27
2020-02-28	@ MVV Maastricht	W 3-2	1579	1497	38.0%	22.4%	39.6%	+4.2	41
2020-02-28	Dordrecht	W 5-0	1477	1418	58.2%	20.1%	21.7%	+12.3	25
2020-02-28	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	L 0-5	1418	1477	21.7%	20.1%	58.2%	-12.3	19
2020-02-28	Excelsior	W 3-1	1479	1594	34.9%	22.3%	42.8%	+8.2	33
2020-02-28	@ FC Eindhoven	L 1-3	1594	1479	42.8%	22.3%	34.9%	-8.2	44
2020-02-28	Go Ahead Eagles	D 2-2	1555	1567	49.3%	21.8%	28.9%	-0.4	52
2020-02-28	@ Volendam	D 2-2	1567	1555	28.9%	21.8%	49.3%	+0.4	48
2020-02-28	Helmond Sport	W 2-0	1537	1380	68.9%	16.7%	14.4%	+3.4	41
2020-02-28	@ Almere City	L 0-2	1380	1537	14.4%	16.7%	68.9%	-3.4	16
2020-02-28	Jong PSV	W 4-2	1671	1521	68.2%	17.0%	14.8%	+2.7	63
2020-02-28	@ Cambuur	L 2-4	1521	1671	14.8%	17.0%	68.2%	-2.7	22
2020-02-28	NAC Breda	D 1-1	1608	1601	51.7%	21.4%	26.9%	-0.6	42
2020-02-28	@ NEC Nijmegen	D 1-1	1601	1608	26.9%	21.4%	51.7%	+0.6	47
2020-02-28	SC Telstar	D 2-2	1640	1509	66.1%	17.7%	16.1%	-1.0	54
2020-02-28	@ Jong Ajax	D 2-2	1509	1640	16.1%	17.7%	66.1%	+1.0	41
2020-02-28	Jong Utrecht	W 2-1	1455	1475	48.2%	21.9%	29.9%	+3.5	24
2020-02-28	@ TOP Oss	L 1-2	1475	1455	29.9%	21.9%	48.2%	-3.5	38
2020-03-02	Almere City	W 3-1	1468	1541	40.8%	22.4%	36.8%	+7.3	28
2020-03-02	@ Jong Alkmaar	L 1-3	1541	1468	36.8%	22.4%	40.8%	-7.2	41
2020-03-06	Almere City	L 1-2	1583	1534	57.1%	20.4%	22.5%	-6.0	41
2020-03-06	@ Den Bosch	W 2-1	1534	1583	22.5%	20.4%	57.1%	+6.0	44
2020-03-06	Dordrecht	D 1-1	1377	1406	47.0%	22.0%	31.0%	-0.4	17
2020-03-06	@ Helmond Sport	D 1-1	1406	1377	31.0%	22.0%	47.0%	+0.4	20
2020-03-06	Jong Ajax	W 4-0	1554	1639	39.2%	22.4%	38.4%	+16.4	55
2020-03-06	@ Volendam	L 0-4	1639	1554	38.4%	22.4%	39.2%	-16.4	54
2020-03-06	Jong PSV	W 1-0	1510	1518	49.9%	21.7%	28.4%	+3.6	44
2020-03-06	@ SC Telstar	L 0-1	1518	1510	28.4%	21.7%	49.9%	-3.6	22
2020-03-06	MVV Maastricht	W 3-0	1586	1493	62.2%	19.0%	18.8%	+6.6	47
2020-03-06	@ Excelsior	L 0-3	1493	1586	18.8%	19.0%	62.2%	-6.6	27
2020-03-06	TOP Oss	D 2-2	1487	1459	54.5%	20.9%	24.5%	-0.6	34
2020-03-06	@ FC Eindhoven	D 2-2	1459	1487	24.5%	20.9%	54.5%	+0.6	25
2020-03-08	De Graafschap	L 1-2	1567	1670	36.6%	22.4%	41.0%	-4.2	48
2020-03-08	@ Go Ahead Eagles	W 2-1	1670	1567	41.0%	22.4%	36.6%	+4.2	62
2020-03-08	Roda JC Kerkrade	W 4-1	1602	1489	64.3%	18.4%	17.3%	+5.1	50
2020-03-08	@ NAC Breda	L 1-4	1489	1602	17.3%	18.4%	64.3%	-5.1	25
2020-03-09	Cambuur	L 0-3	1475	1674	25.0%	21.0%	54.0%	-8.7	28
2020-03-09	@ Jong Alkmaar	W 3-0	1674	1475	54.0%	21.0%	25.0%	+8.7	66
2020-03-09	NEC Nijmegen	L 1-2	1471	1607	32.2%	22.1%	45.7%	-3.8	38
2020-03-09	@ Jong Utrecht	W 2-1	1607	1471	45.7%	22.1%	32.2%	+3.8	45

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2019-11-04	15.32%	Volendam	1489	3	@ Jong Ajax	1631	1
2	2019-12-13	15.86%	Dordrecht	1408	1	@ Jong PSV	1542	0
3	2020-01-10	16.80%	Volendam	1542	2	@ Cambuur	1662	1
4	2019-08-26	19.65%	MVV Maastricht	1509	1	@ Jong PSV	1591	0
5	2019-09-20	20.43%	Jong Utrecht	1447	3	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	1520	1
6	2019-11-22	20.67%	Volendam	1509	2	@ Excelsior	1579	1
7	2019-08-09	21.42%	FC Eindhoven	1524	2	@ NEC Nijmegen	1586	1
8	2019-12-13	21.69%	Almere City	1531	3	@ NEC Nijmegen	1590	2
9	2020-02-17	22.03%	NAC Breda	1589	4	@ Jong Ajax	1644	2
10	2020-02-14	22.09%	Dordrecht	1411	3	@ TOP Oss	1465	1
11	2020-03-06	22.53%	Almere City	1534	2	@ Den Bosch	1583	1
12	2019-08-16	22.96%	SC Telstar	1514	1	@ Den Bosch	1559	0
13	2020-02-10	23.91%	@ Jong Utrecht	1454	7	Jong Ajax	1663	2
14	2019-08-23	24.18%	Jong Alkmaar	1497	2	@ TOP Oss	1529	1
15	2019-12-13	24.19%	Den Bosch	1560	2	@ NAC Breda	1592	1
16	2019-12-13	24.70%	Jong Ajax	1639	2	@ Cambuur	1666	0
17	2020-01-17	25.41%	@ TOP Oss	1461	3	Cambuur	1656	2
18	2019-09-20	25.93%	Volendam	1509	2	@ SC Telstar	1525	1
19	2020-02-24	26.46%	FC Eindhoven	1471	4	@ Jong Alkmaar	1481	2
20	2019-10-18	27.19%	Helmond Sport	1429	2	@ Dordrecht	1433	1
21	2019-10-04	27.42%	Roda JC Kerkrade	1510	2	@ SC Telstar	1511	1
22	2019-09-13	27.59%	SC Telstar	1519	2	@ MVV Maastricht	1519	1
23	2019-11-25	27.98%	@ Jong Alkmaar	1482	2	De Graafschap	1653	1
24	2019-08-30	28.09%	@ Jong Utrecht	1415	3	Jong PSV	1585	0
25	2020-01-19	28.17%	Go Ahead Eagles	1570	3	@ Den Bosch	1565	2

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-02-07	21.50	NEC Nijmegen	7	1588	35.16%	@ SC Telstar	1	1527	42.51%	22.32%
2	2020-02-10	18.93	@ Jong Utrecht	7	1454	23.91%	Jong Ajax	2	1663	55.33%	20.76%
3	2020-03-06	16.43	@ Volendam	4	1554	39.20%	Jong Ajax	0	1639	38.40%	22.40%
4	2019-09-27	16.26	Cambuur	4	1608	39.72%	@ Volendam	0	1515	37.88%	22.40%
5	2019-08-30	15.64	@ Jong Utrecht	3	1415	28.09%	Jong PSV	0	1585	50.29%	21.63%
6	2019-09-16	14.99	@ Jong Utrecht	5	1432	34.64%	Den Bosch	1	1549	43.06%	22.30%
7	2020-02-07	14.51	Den Bosch	5	1567	36.28%	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	1	1498	41.36%	22.36%
8	2019-08-16	14.20	@ Volendam	4	1501	45.87%	Roda JC Kerkrade	0	1539	32.02%	22.11%
9	2019-10-04	13.91	@ Jong Ajax	6	1606	59.65%	FC Eindhoven	0	1535	20.61%	19.74%
10	2019-11-22	13.29	@ MVV Maastricht	4	1476	48.55%	TOP Oss	0	1493	29.60%	21.85%
11	2019-08-16	13.24	@ Cambuur	5	1576	56.00%	Go Ahead Eagles	0	1535	23.38%	20.62%
12	2019-08-16	12.81	De Graafschap	3	1605	38.31%	@ MVV Maastricht	0	1522	39.29%	22.40%
13	2019-12-06	12.71	Volendam	4	1523	30.00%	@ FC Eindhoven	1	1502	48.11%	21.90%
14	2020-02-16	12.70	@ MVV Maastricht	3	1488	38.73%	Go Ahead Eagles	0	1575	38.87%	22.40%
15	2019-12-20	12.52	Go Ahead Eagles	3	1559	39.43%	@ Jong Utrecht	0	1467	38.17%	22.40%
16	2020-02-28	12.33	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	5	1477	58.17%	Dordrecht	0	1418	21.71%	20.12%
17	2019-08-23	12.24	@ SC Telstar	3	1520	40.56%	Excelsior	0	1595	37.06%	22.38%
18	2019-11-29	12.00	Excelsior	4	1573	32.94%	@ Roda JC Kerkrade	1	1529	44.87%	22.19%
19	2019-11-04	11.93	Volendam	3	1489	15.32%	@ Jong Ajax	1	1631	67.40%	17.28%
20	2019-09-20	11.59	@ Den Bosch	4	1534	53.49%	MVV Maastricht	0	1514	25.39%	21.12%
21	2019-12-13	11.50	Jong Ajax	2	1639	24.70%	@ Cambuur	0	1666	54.35%	20.96%
22	2019-10-04	11.32	@ Den Bosch	4	1546	54.31%	TOP Oss	0	1519	24.73%	20.97%
23	2019-10-04	11.25	Jong Utrecht	5	1457	28.88%	@ Dordrecht	2	1446	49.38%	21.75%
24	2019-11-22	11.18	Cambuur	3	1648	44.65%	@ FC Eindhoven	0	1520	33.15%	22.20%
25	2019-10-04	11.14	@ Cambuur	4	1625	54.82%	Excelsior	0	1594	24.32%	20.87%