2020 MLS Season

292 regular-season games · 18 playoff teams

Final

Champion

Columbus Crew

2nd Title

Last Title: 2008

Runner-Up

Seattle Sounders

4th Appearance

Last Appearance: 2019

Biggest Overachiever

Philadelphia Union

10.05 points above expected

47 points · 36.95 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Atlanta United FC

13.70 points below expected

22 points · 35.70 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Philadelphia Union Conference	14	4	5	47	.681	44	20	+24	36.95	+10.05
2	Toronto FC Playoffs	13	5	5	44	.638	33	26	+7	36.68	+7.32
3	Orlando City Playoffs	11	4	8	41	.594	40	25	+15	34.24	+6.76
4	Columbus Crew Playoffs	12	6	5	41	.594	36	21	+15	36.67	+4.33
5	New York City FC Playoffs	12	8	3	39	.565	37	25	+12	34.72	+4.28
6	New England Revolution Playoffs	8	7	8	32	.464	26	25	+1	30.29	+1.71
7	Nashville SC Playoffs	8	7	8	32	.464	24	22	+2	27.45	+4.55
8	New York RB Playoffs	9	9	5	32	.464	29	31	-2	31.62	+0.38
9	Montreal Impact Playoffs	8	13	2	26	.377	33	43	-10	29.82	-3.82
10	Inter Miami Playoffs	7	13	3	24	.348	25	35	-10	25.07	-1.07
11	Chicago Fire	5	10	8	23	.333	33	39	-6	29.86	-6.86
12	Atlanta United FC	6	13	4	22	.319	23	30	-7	35.70	-13.70
13	DC United	5	12	6	21	.304	25	41	-16	29.28	-8.28
14	FC Cincinnati	4	15	4	16	.232	12	36	-24	21.90	-5.90

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Sporting Kansas City Conference	12	6	3	39	.619	38	25	+13	32.24	+6.76
2	Seattle Sounders Playoffs	11	5	6	39	.591	44	23	+21	38.42	+0.58
3	Portland Timbers Playoffs	11	6	6	39	.565	46	35	+11	34.02	+4.98
4	FC Dallas Playoffs	9	6	7	34	.515	28	24	+4	33.10	+0.90
5	Minnesota United FC Playoffs	9	5	7	34	.540	36	26	+10	30.09	+3.91
6	Los Angeles FC Playoffs	9	8	5	32	.485	47	39	+8	36.10	-4.10
7	San Jose Earthquakes Playoffs	8	9	6	30	.435	35	51	-16	27.42	+2.58
8	Colorado Rapids Playoffs	8	6	4	28	.519	32	28	+4	23.47	+4.53
9	Vancouver Whitecaps	9	14	0	27	.391	27	44	-17	25.28	+1.72
10	Los Angeles Galaxy	6	12	4	22	.333	27	46	-19	28.81	-6.81
11	Real Salt Lake	5	10	7	22	.333	25	35	-10	29.81	-7.81
12	Houston Dynamo	4	10	9	21	.304	30	40	-10	28.63	-7.63

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Knockout Round

New England Revolution 2

Montreal Impact 1

Nov 20

Nashville SC 3

Inter Miami 0

Nov 20

Orlando City 1

New York City FC 1

Nov 21

Columbus Crew 3

New York RB 2

Nov 21

Nashville SC 1

Toronto FC 0

Nov 24

New England Revolution 2

Philadelphia Union 0

Nov 25

Conference Semifinals

New England Revolution 3

Orlando City 1

Nov 29

Columbus Crew 2

Nashville SC 0

Nov 30

Conference Final

Columbus Crew 1

New England Revolution 0

Dec 6

Western Conference

Knockout Round

Sporting Kansas City 3

San Jose Earthquakes 3

Nov 22

Minnesota United FC 3

Colorado Rapids 0

Nov 23

FC Dallas 1

Portland Timbers 1

Nov 23

Seattle Sounders 3

Los Angeles FC 1

Nov 25

Conference Semifinals

Seattle Sounders 1

FC Dallas 0

Dec 2

Minnesota United FC 3

Sporting Kansas City 0

Dec 4

Conference Final

Seattle Sounders 3

Minnesota United FC 2

Dec 8

MLS Cup

Columbus Crew 3

Seattle Sounders 0

Dec 13

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Points	Avg. Pts.	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
Philadelphia Union	Eastern	1631	47	36.95	+10.05	95.85%	14	27	33	37	41	47	65
Seattle Sounders	Western	1601	39	39.80	-0.80	47.77%	13	30	36	40	44	50	66
New York City FC	Eastern	1575	39	34.72	+4.28	78.02%	7	25	31	35	39	45	61
Sporting Kansas City	Western	1570	39	35.01	+3.99	76.28%	10	25	31	35	39	45	62
Columbus Crew	Eastern	1558	41	36.67	+4.33	78.00%	9	26	32	37	41	47	62
Minnesota United FC	Western	1557	34	32.86	+1.14	60.68%	6	23	29	33	37	43	59
Portland Timbers	Western	1556	39	34.02	+4.98	81.11%	9	24	30	34	38	44	59
Los Angeles FC	Western	1551	32	37.48	-5.48	20.92%	8	27	33	37	42	48	64
Toronto FC	Eastern	1550	44	36.68	+7.32	89.50%	10	27	32	37	41	47	62
Orlando City	Eastern	1550	41	34.24	+6.76	87.63%	10	24	30	34	38	45	62
Colorado Rapids	Western	1539	28	30.38	-2.38	38.46%	7	20	26	30	34	41	57
FC Dallas	Western	1517	34	34.48	-0.48	50.28%	9	24	30	34	39	45	61
New England Revolution	Eastern	1507	32	30.29	+1.71	64.29%	7	20	26	30	34	41	56
New York RB	Eastern	1507	32	31.62	+0.38	55.99%	5	22	27	32	36	42	56
Nashville SC	Eastern	1495	32	27.45	+4.55	79.64%	5	18	23	27	32	38	55
Chicago Fire	Eastern	1475	23	29.86	-6.86	14.94%	7	20	26	30	34	40	56
Atlanta United FC	Eastern	1474	22	35.70	-13.70	1.53%	9	26	32	36	40	46	61
San Jose Earthquakes	Western	1468	30	27.42	+2.58	69.90%	4	18	23	27	31	38	56
Montreal Impact	Eastern	1439	26	29.82	-3.82	29.64%	6	20	26	30	34	40	57
Houston Dynamo	Western	1437	21	28.63	-7.63	12.18%	6	19	24	29	33	39	53
Real Salt Lake	Western	1431	22	31.19	-9.19	7.92%	7	21	27	31	35	41	59
Inter Miami	Eastern	1422	24	25.07	-1.07	47.13%	4	16	21	25	29	35	50
Vancouver Whitecaps	Western	1419	27	25.28	+1.72	65.17%	3	16	21	25	29	35	52
DC United	Eastern	1417	21	29.28	-8.28	9.98%	7	19	25	29	33	39	55
Los Angeles Galaxy	Western	1403	22	30.19	-8.19	10.39%	8	20	26	30	34	40	60
FC Cincinnati	Eastern	1352	16	21.90	-5.90	17.80%	2	13	18	22	26	32	48

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team	FC	Fire	Crew	United	Cincinnati	Miami	Impact	SC	Revolution	FC	RB	City	Union	FC
Atlanta United FC	—	0 (1.2 exp.)	0 (2.5 exp.)	3 (3.2 exp.)	6 (6.2 exp.)	2 (6.8 exp.)	-	6 (4.8 exp.)	-	-	0 (3.5 exp.)	2 (5.4 exp.)	-	0 (0.8 exp.)
Chicago Fire	3 (1.6 exp.)	—	1 (2.0 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	4 (3.1 exp.)	-	1 (1.3 exp.)	1 (1.1 exp.)	1 (2.7 exp.)	0 (2.3 exp.)	1 (1.6 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)	0 (0.7 exp.)	-
Columbus Crew	6 (3.1 exp.)	4 (3.5 exp.)	—	0 (1.7 exp.)	7 (7.1 exp.)	-	0 (2.1 exp.)	3 (2.1 exp.)	-	6 (4.5 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	0 (1.1 exp.)	6 (3.0 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)
DC United	3 (2.3 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)	3 (1.1 exp.)	—	4 (2.6 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	0 (2.8 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	1 (5.7 exp.)	1 (2.1 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	-	1 (1.9 exp.)	2 (2.4 exp.)
FC Cincinnati	3 (2.2 exp.)	1 (2.5 exp.)	4 (4.0 exp.)	1 (2.9 exp.)	—	0 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	-	0 (1.4 exp.)	6 (2.8 exp.)	-	1 (1.6 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)
Inter Miami	8 (4.3 exp.)	-	-	0 (0.9 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	—	0 (1.0 exp.)	1 (2.7 exp.)	-	0 (2.5 exp.)	3 (2.3 exp.)	6 (4.4 exp.)	0 (1.5 exp.)	0 (0.7 exp.)
Montreal Impact	-	1 (1.5 exp.)	3 (0.7 exp.)	6 (2.7 exp.)	-	3 (1.7 exp.)	—	0 (1.5 exp.)	3 (5.8 exp.)	0 (0.8 exp.)	0 (1.0 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	0 (2.1 exp.)	3 (5.3 exp.)
Nashville SC	3 (3.5 exp.)	1 (1.7 exp.)	0 (0.7 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	-	4 (2.8 exp.)	3 (1.3 exp.)	—	2 (2.4 exp.)	-	-	4 (3.2 exp.)	-	-
New England Revolution	-	4 (2.8 exp.)	-	10 (5.4 exp.)	-	-	9 (5.3 exp.)	2 (3.1 exp.)	—	4 (4.0 exp.)	1 (2.8 exp.)	-	1 (4.6 exp.)	1 (2.4 exp.)
New York City FC	-	6 (3.2 exp.)	3 (3.8 exp.)	4 (3.4 exp.)	6 (4.2 exp.)	6 (3.0 exp.)	3 (2.0 exp.)	-	4 (4.3 exp.)	—	3 (2.9 exp.)	1 (2.4 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)	3 (3.8 exp.)
New York RB	6 (2.1 exp.)	1 (1.2 exp.)	0 (1.1 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	3 (5.5 exp.)	3 (3.3 exp.)	3 (1.8 exp.)	-	4 (2.7 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	—	1 (2.5 exp.)	0 (2.6 exp.)	4 (2.2 exp.)
Orlando City	8 (5.7 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	-	-	6 (6.7 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	4 (5.1 exp.)	-	4 (3.1 exp.)	4 (3.0 exp.)	—	1 (1.0 exp.)	-
Philadelphia Union	-	3 (2.1 exp.)	0 (2.5 exp.)	4 (3.6 exp.)	4 (4.1 exp.)	6 (4.1 exp.)	6 (3.5 exp.)	-	10 (6.5 exp.)	3 (1.0 exp.)	6 (2.9 exp.)	1 (1.8 exp.)	—	3 (2.9 exp.)
Toronto FC	3 (2.0 exp.)	-	3 (1.5 exp.)	2 (3.2 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	3 (2.1 exp.)	9 (5.7 exp.)	-	4 (3.1 exp.)	6 (4.5 exp.)	1 (3.3 exp.)	-	3 (2.7 exp.)	—

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team	Rapids	Dallas	Dynamo	FC	Galaxy	FC	Timbers	Lake	Earthquakes	Sounders	City	Whitecaps
Atlanta United FC	-	3 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Chicago Fire	-	-	3 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	1 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	0 (1.8 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)	1 (2.5 exp.)	0 (1.8 exp.)
Columbus Crew	-	1 (1.3 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	3 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	-	1 (1.0 exp.)	-	-
DC United	0 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
FC Cincinnati	-	-	-	-	-	0 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	-	-	0 (0.9 exp.)	-
Inter Miami	-	0 (0.8 exp.)	3 (1.3 exp.)	0 (0.8 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Montreal Impact	-	1 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (4.5 exp.)
Nashville SC	-	7 (4.6 exp.)	4 (2.5 exp.)	-	-	1 (1.3 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	-	0 (0.9 exp.)	-
New England Revolution	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
New York City FC	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
New York RB	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	-	-
Orlando City	0 (1.0 exp.)	1 (1.1 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	1 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	3 (1.1 exp.)	-
Philadelphia Union	-	0 (1.1 exp.)	-	1 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Toronto FC	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	6 (5.5 exp.)

Within Western

Team	Rapids	Dallas	Dynamo	FC	Galaxy	FC	Timbers	Lake	Earthquakes	Sounders	City	Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids	—	0 (1.1 exp.)	4 (2.9 exp.)	-	3 (1.0 exp.)	1 (2.4 exp.)	3 (1.0 exp.)	3 (3.5 exp.)	4 (3.0 exp.)	3 (1.2 exp.)	1 (3.5 exp.)	-
FC Dallas	3 (1.7 exp.)	—	7 (6.1 exp.)	-	-	3 (3.7 exp.)	-	1 (1.3 exp.)	-	-	7 (3.8 exp.)	-
Houston Dynamo	1 (2.6 exp.)	4 (4.9 exp.)	—	1 (1.6 exp.)	2 (2.7 exp.)	5 (4.0 exp.)	0 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	-	6 (4.9 exp.)	-
Los Angeles FC	-	-	4 (4.0 exp.)	—	6 (7.3 exp.)	-	6 (6.3 exp.)	3 (2.5 exp.)	3 (5.4 exp.)	3 (3.3 exp.)	-	3 (3.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy	0 (1.8 exp.)	-	2 (2.8 exp.)	6 (3.8 exp.)	—	-	3 (4.9 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	4 (6.2 exp.)	1 (2.2 exp.)	-	3 (4.7 exp.)
Minnesota United FC	4 (3.1 exp.)	6 (4.6 exp.)	2 (4.3 exp.)	-	-	—	3 (1.1 exp.)	5 (4.5 exp.)	3 (1.2 exp.)	-	3 (3.9 exp.)	-
Portland Timbers	0 (1.8 exp.)	-	3 (1.8 exp.)	3 (4.7 exp.)	9 (6.2 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)	—	1 (3.0 exp.)	7 (4.5 exp.)	7 (4.6 exp.)	-	6 (3.7 exp.)
Real Salt Lake	6 (4.8 exp.)	1 (1.5 exp.)	-	3 (3.0 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)	2 (3.8 exp.)	4 (2.5 exp.)	—	0 (1.1 exp.)	1 (2.1 exp.)	0 (2.8 exp.)	0 (3.2 exp.)
San Jose Earthquakes	1 (2.5 exp.)	-	-	6 (2.9 exp.)	7 (4.8 exp.)	0 (1.5 exp.)	1 (3.8 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	—	2 (3.6 exp.)	-	6 (4.2 exp.)
Seattle Sounders	0 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	6 (5.0 exp.)	4 (3.3 exp.)	-	4 (6.4 exp.)	4 (3.4 exp.)	8 (7.6 exp.)	—	-	9 (6.0 exp.)
Sporting Kansas City	7 (4.8 exp.)	1 (4.5 exp.)	6 (6.1 exp.)	-	-	6 (4.4 exp.)	-	6 (2.7 exp.)	-	-	—	3 (1.2 exp.)
Vancouver Whitecaps	-	-	-	3 (1.9 exp.)	6 (3.5 exp.)	-	0 (1.9 exp.)	6 (2.4 exp.)	3 (4.1 exp.)	0 (2.4 exp.)	0 (1.5 exp.)	—

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team	FC	Fire	Crew	United	Cincinnati	Miami	Impact	SC	Revolution	FC	RB	City	Union	FC
Colorado Rapids	-	-	-	3 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (1.7 exp.)	-	-
FC Dallas	0 (1.4 exp.)	-	1 (1.5 exp.)	-	-	3 (1.9 exp.)	1 (1.8 exp.)	4 (6.4 exp.)	-	-	-	1 (1.7 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	-
Houston Dynamo	-	0 (1.4 exp.)	1 (1.2 exp.)	-	-	0 (1.4 exp.)	-	1 (3.0 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Los Angeles FC	-	-	-	-	-	3 (2.0 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (1.9 exp.)	-
Los Angeles Galaxy	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Minnesota United FC	-	1 (1.9 exp.)	0 (0.9 exp.)	-	6 (3.8 exp.)	-	-	1 (1.4 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Portland Timbers	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Real Salt Lake	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (1.6 exp.)	1 (1.3 exp.)	-	-
San Jose Earthquakes	-	3 (1.0 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (1.5 exp.)
Seattle Sounders	-	3 (3.0 exp.)	1 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Sporting Kansas City	-	4 (3.1 exp.)	-	-	3 (1.8 exp.)	-	-	3 (1.9 exp.)	-	-	-	0 (1.7 exp.)	-	-
Vancouver Whitecaps	-	3 (0.9 exp.)	-	-	-	-	3 (3.7 exp.)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (2.9 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	7.88%	8.05%	4.28%	3.25%	1.37%	0.68%	25.51%
1	8.05%	9.25%	10.45%	3.42%	1.71%	0.51%	33.39%
2	4.28%	10.45%	5.48%	2.23%	0.51%	0.86%	23.80%
3	3.25%	3.42%	2.23%	0.68%	0.68%	0.17%	10.45%
4	1.37%	1.71%	0.51%	0.68%	0.34%	—	4.62%
5+	0.68%	0.51%	0.86%	0.17%	—	—	2.23%
Total	25.51%	33.39%	23.80%	10.45%	4.62%	2.23%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.43	1.43	+0.00
SD	1.26	1.26	1.81
CV	0.88	0.88	—
Max	7	7	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 292

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.70%	21.74%	4.35%	—	—	—	34.78%
1	4.35%	8.70%	17.39%	4.35%	4.35%	—	39.13%
2	8.70%	8.70%	—	—	4.35%	—	21.74%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	4.35%	—	—	—	—	—	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.09%	39.13%	21.74%	4.35%	8.70%	—	100%

Atlanta United FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	1.30	-0.30
SD	1.00	1.18	1.58
CV	1.00	0.91	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.35%	4.35%	8.70%	4.35%	—	—	21.74%
1	—	8.70%	13.04%	4.35%	4.35%	—	30.43%
2	4.35%	8.70%	21.74%	—	—	—	34.78%
3	4.35%	—	—	—	4.35%	—	8.70%
4	4.35%	—	—	—	—	—	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.39%	21.74%	43.48%	8.70%	8.70%	—	100%

Chicago Fire — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.43	1.70	-0.26
SD	1.08	1.15	1.71
CV	0.75	0.68	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	5.56%	—	5.56%	—	11.11%
1	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	—	11.11%	—	38.89%
2	5.56%	16.67%	5.56%	5.56%	—	—	33.33%
3	—	5.56%	—	—	—	—	5.56%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	11.11%	—	—	—	—	—	11.11%
Total	22.22%	38.89%	16.67%	5.56%	16.67%	—	100%

Colorado Rapids — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.78	1.56	+0.22
SD	1.40	1.38	2.44
CV	0.79	0.89	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 18

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.35%	8.70%	—	—	—	—	13.04%
1	13.04%	8.70%	13.04%	4.35%	—	—	39.13%
2	8.70%	13.04%	8.70%	—	—	—	30.43%
3	8.70%	4.35%	—	—	—	—	13.04%
4	4.35%	—	—	—	—	—	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.13%	34.78%	21.74%	4.35%	—	—	100%

Columbus Crew — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.57	0.91	+0.65
SD	1.04	0.90	1.53
CV	0.66	0.99	—
Max	4	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.70%	8.70%	8.70%	—	4.35%	—	30.43%
1	8.70%	4.35%	13.04%	—	8.70%	—	34.78%
2	—	13.04%	13.04%	4.35%	—	—	30.43%
3	—	—	—	—	4.35%	—	4.35%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.39%	26.09%	34.78%	4.35%	17.39%	—	100%

DC United — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.78	-0.70
SD	0.90	1.31	1.40
CV	0.83	0.74	—
Max	3	4	+1
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	17.39%	13.04%	8.70%	13.04%	8.70%	—	60.87%
1	8.70%	—	17.39%	—	—	—	26.09%
2	4.35%	4.35%	—	4.35%	—	—	13.04%
3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.43%	17.39%	26.09%	17.39%	8.70%	—	100%

FC Cincinnati — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	0.52	1.57	-1.04
SD	0.73	1.34	1.61
CV	1.40	0.86	—
Max	2	4	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	9.09%	4.55%	9.09%	—	—	40.91%
1	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
2	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
3	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	36.36%	31.82%	18.18%	13.64%	—	—	100%

FC Dallas — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.27	1.09	+0.18
SD	1.28	1.06	1.62
CV	1.01	0.98	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.35%	4.35%	—	4.35%	8.70%	—	21.74%
1	—	21.74%	21.74%	4.35%	—	—	47.83%
2	4.35%	4.35%	8.70%	—	—	—	17.39%
3	4.35%	—	—	4.35%	—	—	8.70%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	4.35%	—	—	—	4.35%
Total	13.04%	30.43%	34.78%	13.04%	8.70%	—	100%

Houston Dynamo — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.30	1.74	-0.43
SD	1.18	1.14	1.78
CV	0.91	0.65	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.70%	13.04%	—	4.35%	—	—	26.09%
1	4.35%	4.35%	30.43%	—	4.35%	—	43.48%
2	—	21.74%	—	4.35%	—	—	26.09%
3	—	—	4.35%	—	—	—	4.35%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.04%	39.13%	34.78%	8.70%	4.35%	—	100%

Inter Miami — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.09	1.52	-0.43
SD	0.85	0.99	1.20
CV	0.78	0.65	—
Max	3	4	+1
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	4.55%	13.64%	—	—	18.18%
1	4.55%	9.09%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	18.18%
3	—	9.09%	—	9.09%	—	—	18.18%
4	—	—	4.55%	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	4.55%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	13.64%
Total	13.64%	27.27%	27.27%	31.82%	—	—	100%

Los Angeles FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.14	1.77	+0.36
SD	1.83	1.07	2.40
CV	0.86	0.60	—
Max	6	3	+6
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.55%	4.55%	13.64%	4.55%	4.55%	—	31.82%
1	4.55%	13.64%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	9.09%	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	9.09%	—	—	4.55%	18.18%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.18%	22.73%	31.82%	9.09%	4.55%	13.64%	100%

Los Angeles Galaxy — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.23	2.09	-0.86
SD	1.11	1.80	1.93
CV	0.90	0.86	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	14.29%	4.76%	—	4.76%	—	—	23.81%
1	4.76%	—	9.52%	4.76%	—	—	19.05%
2	4.76%	9.52%	19.05%	—	—	—	33.33%
3	4.76%	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	14.29%
4	4.76%	—	—	—	—	—	4.76%
5+	—	—	4.76%	—	—	—	4.76%
Total	33.33%	19.05%	38.10%	9.52%	—	—	100%

Minnesota United FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.71	1.24	+0.48
SD	1.38	1.04	1.69
CV	0.81	0.84	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	17.39%	—	—	—	—	17.39%
1	8.70%	—	8.70%	13.04%	8.70%	—	39.13%
2	4.35%	13.04%	8.70%	4.35%	—	—	30.43%
3	—	—	4.35%	—	4.35%	—	8.70%
4	—	—	4.35%	—	—	—	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.04%	30.43%	26.09%	17.39%	13.04%	—	100%

Montreal Impact — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.43	1.87	-0.43
SD	1.04	1.25	1.47
CV	0.72	0.67	—
Max	4	4	+2
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	17.39%	8.70%	8.70%	—	—	—	34.78%
1	17.39%	17.39%	8.70%	4.35%	—	—	47.83%
2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
3	4.35%	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	—	13.04%
4	—	—	4.35%	—	—	—	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.13%	30.43%	26.09%	4.35%	—	—	100%

Nashville SC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.04	0.96	+0.09
SD	1.15	0.93	1.31
CV	1.10	0.97	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	17.39%	8.70%	8.70%	—	—	—	34.78%
1	4.35%	17.39%	13.04%	—	—	—	34.78%
2	4.35%	13.04%	—	—	—	—	17.39%
3	—	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	—	8.70%
4	—	—	—	4.35%	—	—	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	26.09%	43.48%	26.09%	4.35%	—	—	100%

New England Revolution — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.13	1.09	+0.04
SD	1.14	0.85	1.11
CV	1.01	0.78	—
Max	4	3	+2
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.70%	21.74%	—	—	—	—	30.43%
1	13.04%	4.35%	4.35%	8.70%	—	—	30.43%
2	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	—	—	8.70%
3	—	8.70%	4.35%	—	—	—	13.04%
4	4.35%	4.35%	—	4.35%	—	—	13.04%
5+	—	—	4.35%	—	—	—	4.35%
Total	30.43%	43.48%	13.04%	13.04%	—	—	100%

New York City FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.61	1.09	+0.52
SD	1.59	1.00	1.65
CV	0.99	0.92	—
Max	5	3	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	13.04%	8.70%	4.35%	—	—	26.09%
1	17.39%	17.39%	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	43.48%
2	4.35%	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	4.35%	17.39%
3	—	—	4.35%	—	—	—	4.35%
4	—	8.70%	—	—	—	—	8.70%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.74%	43.48%	21.74%	8.70%	—	4.35%	100%

New York RB — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.26	1.35	-0.09
SD	1.18	1.19	1.68
CV	0.93	0.88	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.04%	—	—	—	—	—	13.04%
1	4.35%	21.74%	8.70%	—	—	—	34.78%
2	—	17.39%	—	8.70%	—	—	26.09%
3	—	17.39%	—	—	—	—	17.39%
4	—	8.70%	—	—	—	—	8.70%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	17.39%	65.22%	8.70%	8.70%	—	—	100%

Orlando City — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.74	1.09	+0.65
SD	1.18	0.79	1.23
CV	0.68	0.73	—
Max	4	3	+3
Min	0	0	-1

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	8.70%	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	—	17.39%
1	8.70%	4.35%	8.70%	—	—	—	21.74%
2	4.35%	21.74%	4.35%	—	—	—	30.43%
3	13.04%	—	—	4.35%	—	—	17.39%
4	—	8.70%	—	—	—	—	8.70%
5+	4.35%	—	—	—	—	—	4.35%
Total	39.13%	39.13%	17.39%	4.35%	—	—	100%

Philadelphia Union — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.91	0.87	+1.04
SD	1.38	0.87	1.69
CV	0.72	1.00	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.35%	—	4.35%	—	—	8.70%
1	17.39%	17.39%	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	43.48%
2	—	13.04%	4.35%	4.35%	4.35%	—	26.09%
3	4.35%	—	—	—	—	—	4.35%
4	—	—	—	—	4.35%	—	4.35%
5+	—	4.35%	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	13.04%
Total	21.74%	39.13%	13.04%	17.39%	8.70%	—	100%

Portland Timbers — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.52	+0.48
SD	1.71	1.27	1.83
CV	0.85	0.84	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	18.18%	—	13.64%	—	4.55%	4.55%	40.91%
1	—	4.55%	18.18%	4.55%	—	—	27.27%
2	9.09%	4.55%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	4.55%	—	—	—	—	—	4.55%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	4.55%	—	9.09%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	31.82%	13.64%	36.36%	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	100%

Real Salt Lake — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.14	1.59	-0.45
SD	1.28	1.47	1.99
CV	1.13	0.92	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	13.04%	—	—	4.35%	—	4.35%	21.74%
1	—	8.70%	4.35%	—	4.35%	13.04%	30.43%
2	8.70%	8.70%	4.35%	4.35%	—	4.35%	30.43%
3	4.35%	—	4.35%	—	—	—	8.70%
4	4.35%	—	—	4.35%	—	—	8.70%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	30.43%	17.39%	13.04%	13.04%	4.35%	21.74%	100%

San Jose Earthquakes — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.52	2.22	-0.70
SD	1.20	2.19	2.67
CV	0.79	0.99	—
Max	4	7	+4
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	—	13.64%
1	—	13.64%	9.09%	9.09%	—	—	31.82%
2	4.55%	9.09%	4.55%	—	—	—	18.18%
3	13.64%	13.64%	—	—	—	—	27.27%
4	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
5+	—	4.55%	—	—	—	—	4.55%
Total	27.27%	50.00%	13.64%	9.09%	—	—	100%

Seattle Sounders — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.00	1.05	+0.95
SD	1.60	0.90	1.96
CV	0.80	0.86	—
Max	7	3	+6
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 22

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	4.76%	—	—	—	—	4.76%
1	14.29%	9.52%	14.29%	—	—	—	38.10%
2	9.52%	14.29%	4.76%	4.76%	—	4.76%	38.10%
3	—	4.76%	4.76%	—	—	—	9.52%
4	9.52%	—	—	—	—	—	9.52%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	33.33%	33.33%	23.81%	4.76%	—	4.76%	100%

Sporting Kansas City — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.81	1.19	+0.62
SD	1.03	1.25	1.69
CV	0.57	1.05	—
Max	4	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 21

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	4.35%	8.70%	—	—	—	4.35%	17.39%
1	30.43%	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	—	39.13%
2	—	13.04%	13.04%	4.35%	—	—	30.43%
3	4.35%	4.35%	—	—	—	—	8.70%
4	—	—	—	4.35%	—	—	4.35%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	39.13%	30.43%	17.39%	8.70%	—	4.35%	100%

Toronto FC — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.43	1.13	+0.30
SD	1.04	1.29	1.52
CV	0.72	1.14	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 23

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	17.39%	8.70%	13.04%	—	4.35%	43.48%
1	4.35%	—	—	8.70%	—	—	13.04%
2	4.35%	17.39%	—	—	4.35%	—	26.09%
3	4.35%	4.35%	4.35%	—	4.35%	—	17.39%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	13.04%	39.13%	13.04%	21.74%	8.70%	4.35%	100%

Vancouver Whitecaps — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.17	1.91	-0.74
SD	1.19	1.50	2.12
CV	1.02	0.79	—
Max	3	6	+3
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 23

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.54	+7.4
Allowed	0.45	-6.4
Differential	0.80	+5.6

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Philadelphia Union	47	36.95	+10.05
2	Toronto FC	44	36.68	+7.32
3	Orlando City	41	34.24	+6.76
4	Sporting Kansas City	39	32.24	+6.76
5	Portland Timbers	39	34.02	+4.98

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Atlanta United FC	22	35.70	-13.70
2	DC United	21	29.28	-8.28
3	Real Salt Lake	22	29.81	-7.81
4	Houston Dynamo	21	28.63	-7.63
5	Chicago Fire	23	29.86	-6.86

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Galaxy	4	Aug 22 – Sep 7	1 in 93
2	Portland Timbers	5	Sep 20 – Oct 12	1 in 90
3	Toronto FC	5	Sep 24 – Oct 12	1 in 86
4	DC United	3	Oct 19 – Oct 29	1 in 57
5	Minnesota United FC	3	Mar 2 – Jul 13	1 in 39

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Los Angeles Galaxy	6	Sep 20 – Oct 15	1 in 703
2	Atlanta United FC	3	Jul 12 – Jul 22	1 in 79
3	DC United	5	Sep 24 – Oct 12	1 in 56
4	New York City FC	4	Mar 1 – Jul 15	1 in 48
5	FC Cincinnati	5	Oct 19 – Nov 8	1 in 38

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Orlando City	12	Aug 27 – Oct 19	1 in 218
2	New England Revolution	7	Mar 7 – Aug 30	1 in 44
3	Toronto FC	9	Sep 10 – Oct 19	1 in 34
4	Houston Dynamo	6	Jul 24 – Sep 10	1 in 26
5	Philadelphia Union	7	Mar 9 – Aug 30	1 in 25

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	Atlanta United FC	6	Aug 29 – Sep 20	1 in 45
2	DC United	9	Sep 7 – Oct 15	1 in 43
3	Los Angeles Galaxy	7	Sep 14 – Oct 15	1 in 42
4	San Jose Earthquakes	8	Aug 30 – Sep 24	1 in 27
5	Colorado Rapids	7	Jul 13 – Sep 10	1 in 19

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14
Philadelphia Union	17.61%	15.06%	12.81%	11.13%	9.59%	7.98%	6.80%	5.51%	4.39%	3.48%	2.53%	1.65%	1.05%	0.41%
Columbus Crew	17.21%	14.20%	12.39%	10.96%	9.44%	8.31%	6.86%	5.82%	4.66%	3.76%	2.75%	1.91%	1.17%	0.55%
Toronto FC	17.18%	14.37%	12.43%	10.72%	9.46%	8.03%	6.89%	5.93%	4.71%	3.81%	2.85%	1.90%	1.20%	0.52%
Atlanta United FC	12.70%	12.63%	11.77%	11.01%	9.76%	8.84%	7.73%	6.67%	5.59%	4.52%	3.51%	2.61%	1.72%	0.92%
New York City FC	10.82%	10.50%	10.74%	10.28%	9.67%	9.00%	8.27%	7.47%	6.51%	5.42%	4.55%	3.43%	2.19%	1.15%
Orlando City	9.19%	10.08%	10.06%	9.98%	9.70%	9.21%	8.59%	7.71%	6.98%	5.79%	4.83%	3.85%	2.68%	1.36%
New York RB	4.36%	5.73%	6.71%	7.56%	8.30%	8.71%	8.84%	9.19%	9.00%	8.45%	7.75%	6.72%	5.29%	3.41%
New England Revolution	2.90%	4.34%	5.27%	6.35%	7.03%	7.86%	8.44%	8.71%	9.28%	9.36%	9.24%	8.78%	7.68%	4.76%
Chicago Fire	2.31%	3.48%	4.66%	5.58%	6.54%	7.52%	8.47%	9.12%	9.70%	9.96%	9.91%	9.43%	7.90%	5.42%
Montreal Impact	2.38%	3.70%	4.71%	5.63%	6.41%	7.44%	8.29%	9.08%	9.42%	10.00%	10.05%	9.48%	8.08%	5.33%
DC United	1.97%	3.20%	4.18%	4.96%	6.20%	6.93%	7.97%	8.76%	9.47%	10.05%	10.30%	10.13%	9.01%	6.86%
Nashville SC	0.87%	1.69%	2.60%	3.31%	4.38%	5.37%	6.50%	7.57%	9.19%	10.38%	11.73%	12.77%	13.23%	10.42%
Inter Miami	0.40%	0.82%	1.23%	1.94%	2.50%	3.38%	4.28%	5.55%	6.97%	9.18%	11.49%	14.53%	18.61%	19.12%
FC Cincinnati	0.10%	0.21%	0.43%	0.59%	1.02%	1.44%	2.05%	2.89%	4.12%	5.86%	8.51%	12.81%	20.20%	39.77%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
Seattle Sounders	33.37%	19.32%	13.31%	9.79%	7.24%	5.38%	4.06%	2.97%	2.03%	1.29%	0.82%	0.41%
Los Angeles FC	19.85%	17.05%	14.36%	11.59%	9.70%	7.70%	6.09%	4.78%	3.72%	2.56%	1.70%	0.89%
Sporting Kansas City	10.24%	12.95%	12.42%	11.84%	10.59%	9.43%	8.29%	7.30%	6.08%	4.92%	3.69%	2.25%
FC Dallas	8.89%	11.49%	11.63%	11.25%	10.88%	10.06%	9.20%	7.90%	6.75%	5.48%	4.11%	2.36%
Portland Timbers	9.06%	10.14%	10.77%	11.08%	10.79%	10.13%	9.16%	8.34%	7.13%	5.86%	4.58%	2.97%
Minnesota United FC	5.82%	8.31%	9.58%	9.98%	10.43%	10.13%	9.90%	9.26%	8.62%	7.61%	6.28%	4.08%
Real Salt Lake	4.01%	5.71%	7.20%	8.17%	9.05%	9.56%	10.24%	10.14%	10.19%	9.80%	8.85%	7.08%
Colorado Rapids	2.90%	4.78%	6.15%	7.38%	8.25%	9.43%	9.84%	10.47%	10.82%	10.89%	10.57%	8.52%
Los Angeles Galaxy	2.73%	4.37%	5.77%	7.16%	8.10%	9.19%	10.21%	10.68%	10.85%	10.68%	10.55%	9.70%
Houston Dynamo	1.59%	2.98%	4.26%	5.32%	6.46%	7.79%	9.10%	10.38%	11.69%	13.11%	14.16%	13.18%
San Jose Earthquakes	1.12%	2.00%	3.01%	4.15%	5.29%	6.68%	7.94%	9.79%	11.70%	13.78%	15.71%	18.84%
Vancouver Whitecaps	0.42%	0.91%	1.55%	2.29%	3.22%	4.50%	5.98%	7.99%	10.43%	14.01%	18.99%	29.71%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26
Seattle Sounders	19.66%	13.24%	10.50%	8.52%	7.00%	5.99%	5.14%	4.45%	3.91%	3.46%	2.78%	2.55%	2.26%	1.98%	1.75%	1.44%	1.21%	1.02%	0.81%	0.70%	0.53%	0.38%	0.34%	0.21%	0.13%	0.05%
Los Angeles FC	10.75%	9.55%	8.55%	7.65%	7.11%	6.54%	5.85%	5.34%	4.97%	4.39%	4.15%	3.60%	3.31%	2.86%	2.67%	2.39%	2.11%	1.79%	1.52%	1.38%	1.06%	0.85%	0.70%	0.43%	0.32%	0.16%
Philadelphia Union	9.03%	8.70%	8.04%	7.45%	6.88%	6.46%	5.91%	5.65%	5.10%	4.65%	4.24%	4.00%	3.62%	3.21%	2.97%	2.54%	2.26%	2.02%	1.75%	1.49%	1.21%	0.93%	0.77%	0.56%	0.37%	0.17%
Columbus Crew	8.96%	8.32%	7.69%	7.09%	6.65%	6.23%	5.93%	5.37%	4.98%	4.76%	4.46%	3.99%	3.61%	3.28%	2.99%	2.75%	2.51%	2.18%	1.89%	1.67%	1.37%	1.08%	0.86%	0.66%	0.47%	0.26%
Toronto FC	8.74%	8.29%	7.76%	7.25%	6.68%	6.23%	5.80%	5.48%	4.99%	4.76%	4.19%	4.02%	3.63%	3.37%	3.16%	2.80%	2.45%	2.14%	1.80%	1.61%	1.40%	1.15%	0.87%	0.72%	0.46%	0.26%
Atlanta United FC	6.31%	6.62%	6.65%	6.51%	6.34%	6.02%	5.79%	5.43%	5.29%	4.93%	4.67%	4.47%	3.96%	3.86%	3.51%	3.24%	2.94%	2.72%	2.27%	2.09%	1.69%	1.49%	1.20%	0.94%	0.67%	0.39%
Sporting Kansas City	5.17%	5.79%	6.04%	6.09%	5.96%	5.83%	5.58%	5.34%	5.11%	5.07%	4.64%	4.49%	4.17%	4.00%	3.73%	3.48%	3.17%	3.02%	2.68%	2.35%	2.09%	1.95%	1.60%	1.26%	0.90%	0.49%
New York City FC	4.97%	5.55%	5.49%	5.75%	5.59%	5.51%	5.49%	5.35%	5.26%	4.92%	4.86%	4.61%	4.39%	4.20%	3.87%	3.70%	3.35%	3.11%	2.96%	2.52%	2.35%	1.88%	1.57%	1.29%	0.92%	0.53%
FC Dallas	4.74%	5.21%	5.42%	5.46%	5.56%	5.40%	5.33%	5.20%	5.15%	4.98%	4.73%	4.61%	4.35%	4.27%	3.94%	3.82%	3.48%	3.19%	3.04%	2.68%	2.49%	2.08%	1.77%	1.45%	1.05%	0.61%
Orlando City	4.30%	5.02%	5.15%	5.31%	5.29%	5.24%	5.33%	5.26%	5.15%	4.88%	4.85%	4.65%	4.51%	4.31%	4.06%	3.84%	3.65%	3.34%	3.04%	2.79%	2.44%	2.18%	1.96%	1.63%	1.15%	0.67%
Portland Timbers	4.12%	4.58%	4.85%	5.11%	5.10%	5.14%	5.18%	5.05%	5.19%	5.13%	4.89%	4.75%	4.60%	4.39%	4.11%	3.97%	3.81%	3.51%	3.26%	2.85%	2.68%	2.31%	2.00%	1.61%	1.15%	0.65%
Minnesota United FC	2.67%	3.37%	3.80%	4.04%	4.40%	4.62%	4.66%	4.77%	4.81%	4.82%	4.96%	4.69%	4.69%	4.61%	4.53%	4.45%	4.26%	4.04%	3.88%	3.65%	3.28%	3.06%	2.79%	2.31%	1.75%	1.09%
New York RB	1.72%	2.39%	2.80%	3.26%	3.47%	3.84%	3.87%	4.19%	4.34%	4.41%	4.61%	4.66%	4.84%	4.81%	4.79%	4.74%	4.77%	4.65%	4.41%	4.53%	4.16%	3.82%	3.52%	3.01%	2.56%	1.84%
Real Salt Lake	1.62%	2.21%	2.58%	2.90%	3.25%	3.47%	3.74%	4.02%	4.08%	4.19%	4.40%	4.53%	4.65%	4.81%	4.67%	4.92%	4.71%	4.68%	4.77%	4.58%	4.40%	4.42%	3.98%	3.49%	2.94%	1.97%
Colorado Rapids	1.10%	1.61%	2.06%	2.54%	2.67%	3.01%	3.35%	3.52%	3.75%	3.91%	4.18%	4.38%	4.48%	4.65%	4.93%	4.88%	4.86%	5.06%	5.11%	4.96%	5.10%	4.78%	4.58%	4.29%	3.67%	2.57%
New England Revolution	1.07%	1.60%	2.09%	2.38%	2.65%	2.93%	3.30%	3.49%	3.66%	3.93%	4.19%	4.30%	4.51%	4.55%	4.81%	4.88%	5.00%	5.00%	5.14%	5.03%	4.89%	4.97%	4.65%	4.37%	3.88%	2.73%
Los Angeles Galaxy	1.06%	1.48%	1.80%	2.15%	2.62%	2.88%	3.20%	3.35%	3.62%	3.96%	4.15%	4.29%	4.50%	4.77%	4.88%	4.93%	5.07%	5.04%	5.25%	5.06%	5.06%	5.03%	4.85%	4.37%	3.82%	2.82%
Chicago Fire	0.97%	1.40%	1.71%	2.05%	2.39%	2.71%	2.97%	3.30%	3.45%	3.74%	4.00%	4.14%	4.49%	4.61%	4.73%	4.89%	5.06%	5.14%	5.25%	5.38%	5.40%	5.13%	5.00%	4.73%	4.16%	3.21%
Montreal Impact	0.86%	1.35%	1.77%	2.03%	2.43%	2.65%	2.92%	3.19%	3.52%	3.66%	3.93%	4.09%	4.50%	4.55%	4.89%	5.03%	5.00%	5.20%	5.22%	5.48%	5.27%	5.19%	5.01%	4.81%	4.24%	3.22%
DC United	0.68%	1.11%	1.54%	1.79%	2.13%	2.33%	2.63%	2.97%	3.17%	3.52%	3.65%	4.07%	4.12%	4.50%	4.72%	4.78%	5.08%	5.33%	5.49%	5.58%	5.62%	5.56%	5.63%	5.19%	4.72%	4.11%
Houston Dynamo	0.55%	0.97%	1.20%	1.56%	1.83%	2.10%	2.31%	2.59%	2.92%	3.11%	3.35%	3.67%	4.04%	4.29%	4.53%	4.68%	5.12%	5.21%	5.43%	5.76%	5.98%	6.10%	6.09%	6.20%	5.79%	4.63%
Nashville SC	0.34%	0.55%	0.83%	1.03%	1.33%	1.56%	1.78%	2.06%	2.29%	2.55%	2.93%	3.25%	3.50%	3.70%	4.00%	4.55%	4.77%	5.26%	5.65%	5.90%	6.44%	6.86%	7.08%	7.54%	7.53%	6.71%
San Jose Earthquakes	0.36%	0.59%	0.85%	1.01%	1.25%	1.50%	1.73%	2.01%	2.20%	2.53%	2.81%	3.22%	3.41%	3.71%	3.96%	4.43%	4.99%	5.28%	5.66%	6.04%	6.40%	7.00%	7.33%	7.46%	7.53%	6.76%
Vancouver Whitecaps	0.14%	0.24%	0.36%	0.49%	0.65%	0.83%	0.98%	1.11%	1.34%	1.65%	1.87%	2.05%	2.41%	2.84%	3.21%	3.55%	4.14%	4.51%	5.17%	5.84%	6.75%	7.45%	8.59%	9.98%	11.61%	12.22%
Inter Miami	0.11%	0.22%	0.35%	0.47%	0.61%	0.73%	0.95%	1.11%	1.31%	1.49%	1.75%	2.02%	2.35%	2.60%	3.01%	3.45%	3.88%	4.63%	5.10%	5.85%	6.66%	7.66%	8.80%	10.11%	11.84%	12.93%
FC Cincinnati	0.02%	0.05%	0.10%	0.11%	0.17%	0.25%	0.28%	0.39%	0.44%	0.62%	0.76%	0.89%	1.08%	1.30%	1.59%	1.88%	2.36%	2.92%	3.42%	4.24%	5.30%	6.69%	8.45%	11.36%	16.38%	28.96%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Philadelphia Union	17.61%	15.06%	12.81%	11.13%	9.59%	7.98%	6.80%	5.51%	13.51%
Columbus Crew	17.21%	14.20%	12.39%	10.96%	9.44%	8.31%	6.86%	5.82%	14.81%
Toronto FC	17.18%	14.37%	12.43%	10.72%	9.46%	8.03%	6.89%	5.93%	14.98%
Atlanta United FC	12.70%	12.63%	11.77%	11.01%	9.76%	8.84%	7.73%	6.67%	18.88%
New York City FC	10.82%	10.50%	10.74%	10.28%	9.67%	9.00%	8.27%	7.47%	23.25%
Orlando City	9.19%	10.08%	10.06%	9.98%	9.70%	9.21%	8.59%	7.71%	25.48%
New York RB	4.36%	5.73%	6.71%	7.56%	8.30%	8.71%	8.84%	9.19%	40.61%
New England Revolution	2.90%	4.34%	5.27%	6.35%	7.03%	7.86%	8.44%	8.71%	49.10%
Montreal Impact	2.38%	3.70%	4.71%	5.63%	6.41%	7.44%	8.29%	9.08%	52.36%
Chicago Fire	2.31%	3.48%	4.66%	5.58%	6.54%	7.52%	8.47%	9.12%	52.33%
DC United	1.97%	3.20%	4.18%	4.96%	6.20%	6.93%	7.97%	8.76%	55.82%
Nashville SC	0.87%	1.69%	2.60%	3.31%	4.38%	5.37%	6.50%	7.57%	67.71%
Inter Miami	0.40%	0.82%	1.23%	1.94%	2.50%	3.38%	4.28%	5.55%	79.91%
FC Cincinnati	0.10%	0.21%	0.43%	0.59%	1.02%	1.44%	2.05%	2.89%	91.27%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	5 Seed	6 Seed	7 Seed	8 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Seattle Sounders	33.37%	19.32%	13.31%	9.79%	7.24%	5.38%	4.06%	2.97%	4.56%
Los Angeles FC	19.85%	17.05%	14.36%	11.59%	9.70%	7.70%	6.09%	4.78%	8.87%
Sporting Kansas City	10.24%	12.95%	12.42%	11.84%	10.59%	9.43%	8.29%	7.30%	16.93%
Portland Timbers	9.06%	10.14%	10.77%	11.08%	10.79%	10.13%	9.16%	8.34%	20.54%
FC Dallas	8.89%	11.49%	11.63%	11.25%	10.88%	10.06%	9.20%	7.90%	18.70%
Minnesota United FC	5.82%	8.31%	9.58%	9.98%	10.43%	10.13%	9.90%	9.26%	26.59%
Real Salt Lake	4.01%	5.71%	7.20%	8.17%	9.05%	9.56%	10.24%	10.14%	35.92%
Colorado Rapids	2.90%	4.78%	6.15%	7.38%	8.25%	9.43%	9.84%	10.47%	40.80%
Los Angeles Galaxy	2.73%	4.37%	5.77%	7.16%	8.10%	9.19%	10.21%	10.68%	41.79%
Houston Dynamo	1.59%	2.98%	4.26%	5.32%	6.46%	7.79%	9.10%	10.38%	52.14%
San Jose Earthquakes	1.12%	2.00%	3.01%	4.15%	5.29%	6.68%	7.94%	9.79%	60.03%
Vancouver Whitecaps	0.42%	0.91%	1.55%	2.29%	3.22%	4.50%	5.98%	7.99%	73.14%

Points Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.

Home Edge

HomeDrawAway

+18.84%

Fortress

47.60%23.63%28.77%

Elo Value

Home Edge

165 Elo

0.006 goals per Elo point

066.23500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.43 goals

Lean Home

-2+0.40+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 4th · Middle of the Pack: 5th to 13th · Longshot: 14th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 3.12% · Tough Road: 3.12% to 6.25% · Favored: 6.25% to 12.5% · Heavy Favorite: 12.5% and up.

Title-Race Openness

12.2

Wide Open

124816

Champion Preseason Odds

Columbus Crew, 4th of 26

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

15.2%

Heavy Favorite

06.25%20%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 4.89 · As Expected: 4.89 to 6.73 · Elevated: 6.73 to 9.18 · High Variance: 9.18 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 4.62 · Close: 4.62 to 6.25 · Off Target: 6.25 to 8.15 · Well Off Target: 8.15 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 26 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 26 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 1.3 · As Expected: 1.3 to 3.12 · Several Outliers: 3.12 to 5.72 · Many Outliers: 5.72 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 2.75 · As Expected: 2.75 to 4.58 · More Than Expected: 4.58 to 7.32 · Far More Than Expected: 7.32 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

5.88 points

As Expected

06.1215

Average Finish Error

Expected

4.35

Pinpoint

05.4415

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 98.08%

95.85%

Philadelphia Union

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 1.92%

1.53%

Atlanta United FC

050

Season Outliers

Expected

2 of 26

As Expected

02.613

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

3 of 16

As Expected

03.716

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.15

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.16

Moderate Separation

01.003

Interquartile Edge

66%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

83%

Lopsided

50%84%100%

Close Games

Expected

66%

Nail-Biters

0%59%100%

Blowouts

Expected

17%

Occasional

0%17%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Predictable

00.622

Matchup Imbalance

0.27

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.94

As Expected

01.002

Repeatability

0.25

Reshuffled

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

30%

Chalk Held

0%28%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

27%

As Expected

0%24%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.04 · Within Noise: 0.04 to 0.09 · Above Noise: 0.09 to 0.18 · Well Above Noise: 0.18 and up.

Probability calibration

0.60

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

0.80

Overconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.045

Within Noise

00.0880.2

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Conference Semifinals	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to MLS Cup	Won MLS Cup
Philadelphia Union	86.49%	59.53%	39.21%	25.04%	15.01%
Seattle Sounders	95.44%	65.31%	41.79%	25.90%	14.76%
Los Angeles FC	91.13%	53.54%	28.96%	14.94%	7.42%
Columbus Crew	85.19%	49.70%	27.08%	14.17%	7.28%
Sporting Kansas City	83.07%	48.87%	26.89%	13.98%	7.16%
New York City FC	76.75%	45.30%	25.11%	13.23%	6.97%
Toronto FC	85.02%	48.58%	25.94%	13.21%	6.65%
Portland Timbers	79.46%	44.08%	22.79%	11.67%	5.64%
Orlando City	74.52%	40.57%	20.90%	10.39%	5.07%
Minnesota United FC	73.41%	39.77%	20.52%	10.19%	4.92%
FC Dallas	81.30%	40.92%	19.16%	8.56%	3.84%
Colorado Rapids	59.20%	28.89%	13.66%	6.23%	2.78%
Atlanta United FC	81.12%	36.44%	15.16%	6.11%	2.54%
New York RB	59.39%	27.19%	11.80%	5.00%	2.09%
New England Revolution	50.90%	22.55%	9.88%	4.09%	1.81%
Chicago Fire	47.67%	18.70%	7.36%	2.81%	1.14%
Real Salt Lake	64.08%	22.44%	7.62%	2.52%	0.82%
Nashville SC	32.29%	12.94%	5.17%	2.05%	0.82%
San Jose Earthquakes	39.97%	14.59%	5.51%	1.92%	0.70%
Montreal Impact	47.64%	16.54%	5.71%	1.87%	0.64%
Houston Dynamo	47.86%	16.17%	5.50%	1.85%	0.60%
DC United	44.18%	13.96%	4.32%	1.34%	0.46%
Los Angeles Galaxy	58.21%	17.55%	5.24%	1.56%	0.44%
Vancouver Whitecaps	26.86%	7.86%	2.34%	0.69%	0.22%
Inter Miami	20.09%	6.06%	1.90%	0.60%	0.20%
FC Cincinnati	8.73%	1.94%	0.45%	0.10%	0.03%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta United FC	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	FC Cincinnati	Inter Miami	Montreal Impact	Nashville SC	New England Revolution	New York City FC	New York RB	Orlando City	Philadelphia Union	Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC		53.6%5.80%	36.7%9.21%	63.1%5.10%	71.2%1.01%	62.7%2.27%	60.5%5.53%	52.1%3.73%	50.0%6.00%	36.7%8.53%	47.8%7.09%	40.8%8.99%	29.3%8.92%	39.3%8.96%
Chicago Fire	46.4%5.80%		33.6%6.09%	57.6%2.16%	71.5%0.29%	63.4%0.90%	54.3%2.39%	49.6%1.47%	45.9%2.73%	32.6%5.05%	43.0%3.40%	37.1%4.90%	24.6%6.34%	35.2%6.16%
Columbus Crew	63.3%9.21%	66.4%6.09%		72.5%5.77%	79.6%1.12%	73.5%2.81%	70.3%6.01%	65.2%4.25%	60.9%6.40%	48.8%9.05%	60.1%7.49%	53.3%8.63%	39.4%9.39%	51.0%8.97%
DC United	36.9%5.10%	42.4%2.16%	27.5%5.77%		64.7%0.27%	51.1%0.90%	45.5%2.24%	38.9%1.27%	37.8%2.42%	25.8%4.73%	36.5%3.06%	30.6%4.52%	19.7%5.87%	27.9%5.87%
FC Cincinnati	28.8%1.01%	28.5%0.29%	20.4%1.12%	35.3%0.27%		40.0%0.10%	36.9%0.42%	27.9%0.22%	26.2%0.49%	17.2%0.88%	26.4%0.49%	20.6%0.94%	12.5%1.30%	18.7%1.20%
Inter Miami	37.3%2.27%	36.6%0.90%	26.5%2.81%	48.9%0.90%	60.0%0.10%		43.4%0.93%	41.6%0.44%	34.7%1.08%	24.1%2.15%	33.4%1.19%	27.9%1.78%	19.5%2.78%	26.1%2.77%
Montreal Impact	39.5%5.53%	45.7%2.39%	29.7%6.01%	54.5%2.24%	63.1%0.42%	56.6%0.93%		45.9%1.55%	39.9%2.57%	28.8%5.07%	39.4%3.43%	32.1%4.89%	22.2%6.39%	30.9%6.23%
Nashville SC	47.9%3.73%	50.4%1.47%	34.8%4.25%	61.1%1.27%	72.1%0.22%	58.4%0.44%	54.1%1.55%		45.4%1.63%	32.7%3.54%	47.4%2.19%	37.3%3.13%	26.6%4.47%	36.6%4.39%
New England Revolution	50.0%6.00%	54.1%2.73%	39.1%6.40%	62.2%2.42%	73.8%0.49%	65.3%1.08%	60.1%2.57%	54.6%1.63%		38.0%5.50%	48.9%3.57%	41.1%5.23%	29.2%6.89%	40.1%6.38%
New York City FC	63.3%8.53%	67.4%5.05%	51.2%9.05%	74.2%4.73%	82.8%0.88%	75.9%2.15%	71.2%5.07%	67.3%3.54%	62.0%5.50%		62.1%6.39%	54.0%8.06%	41.1%8.81%	51.8%9.01%
New York RB	52.2%7.09%	57.0%3.40%	39.9%7.49%	63.5%3.06%	73.6%0.49%	66.6%1.19%	60.6%3.43%	52.6%2.19%	51.1%3.57%	37.9%6.39%		42.6%6.23%	30.8%7.45%	41.0%7.43%
Orlando City	59.2%8.99%	62.9%4.90%	46.7%8.63%	69.4%4.52%	79.4%0.94%	72.1%1.78%	67.9%4.89%	62.7%3.13%	58.9%5.23%	46.0%8.06%	57.4%6.23%		36.7%8.74%	48.6%8.49%
Philadelphia Union	70.7%8.92%	75.4%6.34%	60.6%9.39%	80.3%5.87%	87.5%1.30%	80.5%2.78%	77.8%6.39%	73.4%4.47%	70.8%6.89%	58.9%8.81%	69.2%7.45%	63.3%8.74%		61.7%9.15%
Toronto FC	60.7%8.96%	64.8%6.16%	49.0%8.97%	72.1%5.87%	81.3%1.20%	73.9%2.77%	69.1%6.23%	63.4%4.39%	59.9%6.38%	48.2%9.01%	59.0%7.43%	51.4%8.49%	38.3%9.15%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Los Angeles FC	Los Angeles Galaxy	Minnesota United FC	Portland Timbers	Real Salt Lake	San Jose Earthquakes	Seattle Sounders	Sporting Kansas City	Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids		48.9%6.93%	64.5%2.95%	43.2%8.38%	68.6%4.04%	45.4%5.70%	45.6%6.62%	64.5%4.48%	61.1%2.32%	35.1%9.21%	42.4%7.03%	70.2%1.54%
FC Dallas	51.1%6.93%		63.9%5.28%	43.0%9.83%	68.7%6.57%	46.2%9.02%	44.7%8.97%	63.9%7.48%	61.6%4.50%	33.9%9.63%	41.6%10.05%	68.4%3.03%
Houston Dynamo	35.5%2.95%	36.1%5.28%		29.4%7.06%	53.2%2.90%	32.0%4.25%	30.7%5.21%	49.0%3.62%	43.6%1.88%	22.3%7.90%	29.1%5.75%	58.3%1.06%
Los Angeles FC	56.8%8.38%	57.0%9.83%	70.6%7.06%		73.4%8.58%	52.5%9.37%	51.3%10.62%	69.7%8.88%	68.3%6.01%	39.7%8.48%	49.2%9.72%	73.5%4.20%
Los Angeles Galaxy	31.4%4.04%	31.3%6.57%	46.8%2.90%	26.6%8.58%		28.6%5.67%	28.2%6.28%	45.6%4.52%	44.4%2.08%	20.0%9.27%	24.5%7.05%	50.0%1.26%
Minnesota United FC	54.6%5.70%	53.8%9.02%	68.0%4.25%	47.5%9.37%	71.4%5.67%		49.0%8.14%	68.5%6.33%	65.8%3.56%	38.6%9.73%	46.5%9.20%	70.0%2.44%
Portland Timbers	54.4%6.62%	55.3%8.97%	69.3%5.21%	48.7%10.62%	71.8%6.28%	51.0%8.14%		68.0%7.20%	65.8%4.09%	39.1%10.26%	48.0%9.37%	72.9%2.71%
Real Salt Lake	35.5%4.48%	36.1%7.48%	51.0%3.62%	30.3%8.88%	54.4%4.52%	31.5%6.33%	32.0%7.20%		48.6%2.81%	23.5%9.38%	30.5%7.80%	57.9%1.58%
San Jose Earthquakes	38.9%2.32%	38.4%4.50%	56.4%1.88%	31.7%6.01%	55.6%2.08%	34.2%3.56%	34.2%4.09%	51.4%2.81%		25.3%7.19%	31.8%4.83%	60.6%0.68%
Seattle Sounders	64.9%9.21%	66.1%9.63%	77.7%7.90%	60.3%8.48%	80.0%9.27%	61.4%9.73%	60.9%10.26%	76.5%9.38%	74.7%7.19%		58.5%9.15%	80.0%5.23%
Sporting Kansas City	57.6%7.03%	58.4%10.05%	70.9%5.75%	50.8%9.72%	75.5%7.05%	53.5%9.20%	52.0%9.37%	69.5%7.80%	68.2%4.83%	41.5%9.15%		74.0%3.12%
Vancouver Whitecaps	29.8%1.54%	31.6%3.03%	41.7%1.06%	26.5%4.20%	50.0%1.26%	30.0%2.44%	27.1%2.71%	42.1%1.58%	39.4%0.68%	20.0%5.23%	26.0%3.12%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta United FC	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	FC Cincinnati	Inter Miami	Montreal Impact	Nashville SC	New England Revolution	New York City FC	New York RB	Orlando City	Philadelphia Union	Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC		51.3%1.71%	38.3%5.05%	62.8%1.27%	67.7%0.17%	63.1%0.48%	60.0%1.59%	48.5%1.06%	50.4%2.29%	37.1%4.68%	48.6%2.59%	41.1%3.92%	29.7%6.54%	38.6%5.08%
Chicago Fire	48.7%1.71%		37.3%2.47%	59.5%0.65%	66.2%0.07%	60.0%0.30%	53.8%0.75%	48.2%0.56%	45.6%1.00%	34.8%2.20%	46.1%1.25%	37.5%1.93%	26.2%3.23%	36.6%2.56%
Columbus Crew	61.7%5.05%	62.7%2.47%		71.9%1.85%	79.1%0.23%	69.2%0.87%	71.0%2.24%	61.7%1.73%	61.7%3.18%	48.8%6.48%	61.2%3.69%	52.2%5.92%	39.7%8.91%	51.4%7.09%
DC United	37.2%1.27%	40.5%0.65%	28.1%1.85%		67.9%0.06%	54.1%0.19%	44.9%0.56%	39.8%0.45%	37.0%0.77%	26.9%1.65%	37.9%0.90%	28.5%1.53%	20.0%2.31%	29.5%1.80%
FC Cincinnati	32.3%0.17%	33.8%0.07%	20.9%0.23%	32.1%0.06%		31.7%0.04%	31.2%0.06%	36.8%0.07%	27.6%0.10%	22.3%0.26%	24.0%0.12%	21.2%0.20%	14.6%0.31%	18.6%0.26%
Inter Miami	36.9%0.48%	40.0%0.30%	30.8%0.87%	45.9%0.19%	68.3%0.04%		41.4%0.24%	44.0%0.13%	39.7%0.37%	29.8%0.70%	32.3%0.40%	29.7%0.56%	20.4%0.98%	26.6%0.79%
Montreal Impact	40.0%1.59%	46.2%0.75%	29.0%2.24%	55.1%0.56%	68.8%0.06%	58.6%0.24%		43.2%0.50%	41.0%0.86%	30.8%2.07%	40.7%1.15%	33.6%1.79%	24.1%2.65%	32.5%2.08%
Nashville SC	51.5%1.06%	51.8%0.56%	38.3%1.73%	60.2%0.45%	63.2%0.07%	56.0%0.13%	56.8%0.50%		44.9%0.68%	34.3%1.58%	46.8%0.90%	38.0%1.31%	27.1%2.22%	36.2%1.74%
New England Revolution	49.6%2.29%	54.4%1.00%	38.3%3.18%	63.0%0.77%	72.4%0.10%	60.3%0.37%	59.0%0.86%	55.1%0.68%		40.7%2.68%	50.6%1.59%	42.9%2.43%	31.4%3.61%	41.8%2.99%
New York City FC	62.9%4.68%	65.2%2.20%	51.2%6.48%	73.1%1.65%	77.7%0.26%	70.2%0.70%	69.2%2.07%	65.7%1.58%	59.3%2.68%		61.6%3.29%	53.8%5.11%	40.7%8.30%	52.4%6.31%
New York RB	51.4%2.59%	53.9%1.25%	38.8%3.69%	62.1%0.90%	76.0%0.12%	67.7%0.40%	59.3%1.15%	53.2%0.90%	49.4%1.59%	38.4%3.29%		42.9%2.94%	30.9%4.71%	41.5%3.66%
Orlando City	58.9%3.92%	62.5%1.93%	47.8%5.92%	71.5%1.53%	78.8%0.20%	70.3%0.56%	66.4%1.79%	62.0%1.31%	57.1%2.43%	46.2%5.11%	57.1%2.94%		37.7%7.23%	48.3%5.71%
Philadelphia Union	70.3%6.54%	73.8%3.23%	60.3%8.91%	80.0%2.31%	85.4%0.31%	79.6%0.98%	75.9%2.65%	72.9%2.22%	68.6%3.61%	59.3%8.30%	69.1%4.71%	62.3%7.23%		60.7%8.53%
Toronto FC	61.4%5.08%	63.4%2.56%	48.6%7.09%	70.5%1.80%	81.4%0.26%	73.4%0.79%	67.5%2.08%	63.8%1.74%	58.2%2.99%	47.6%6.31%	58.5%3.66%	51.7%5.71%	39.3%8.53%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Los Angeles FC	Los Angeles Galaxy	Minnesota United FC	Portland Timbers	Real Salt Lake	San Jose Earthquakes	Seattle Sounders	Sporting Kansas City	Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids		49.3%3.15%	64.3%1.17%	43.9%4.24%	68.7%1.27%	46.8%2.97%	45.5%3.39%	63.4%1.58%	58.0%1.04%	36.4%5.67%	42.7%3.78%	66.1%0.62%
FC Dallas	50.7%3.15%		64.5%1.62%	43.8%6.47%	67.4%1.88%	45.3%4.30%	45.3%4.98%	62.5%2.38%	59.5%1.66%	34.4%8.11%	43.0%5.55%	69.1%0.82%
Houston Dynamo	35.7%1.17%	35.5%1.62%		31.3%2.31%	52.6%0.64%	35.9%1.58%	32.6%1.89%	53.1%0.92%	45.9%0.58%	23.8%3.12%	29.4%2.00%	53.4%0.33%
Los Angeles FC	56.1%4.24%	56.2%6.47%	68.7%2.31%		72.9%2.42%	51.9%6.40%	52.7%6.69%	67.5%3.31%	66.6%2.01%	42.2%10.57%	48.8%8.00%	72.0%1.13%
Los Angeles Galaxy	31.3%1.27%	32.6%1.88%	47.4%0.64%	27.1%2.42%		28.6%1.85%	30.5%1.93%	45.9%0.88%	41.5%0.59%	21.3%3.34%	25.6%2.44%	53.6%0.31%
Minnesota United FC	53.2%2.97%	54.7%4.30%	64.1%1.58%	48.1%6.40%	71.4%1.85%		50.1%4.93%	67.3%2.31%	64.4%1.50%	40.3%7.88%	46.2%5.27%	73.0%0.79%
Portland Timbers	54.5%3.39%	54.7%4.98%	67.4%1.89%	47.3%6.69%	69.5%1.93%	49.9%4.93%		67.3%2.66%	63.4%1.61%	40.1%8.84%	47.6%6.34%	73.0%0.84%
Real Salt Lake	36.6%1.58%	37.5%2.38%	46.9%0.92%	32.5%3.31%	54.1%0.88%	32.7%2.31%	32.7%2.66%		44.6%0.81%	24.6%4.23%	30.2%2.96%	61.7%0.40%
San Jose Earthquakes	42.0%1.04%	40.5%1.66%	54.1%0.58%	33.4%2.01%	58.5%0.59%	35.6%1.50%	36.6%1.61%	55.4%0.81%		27.4%2.57%	32.8%1.96%	60.9%0.25%
Seattle Sounders	63.6%5.67%	65.6%8.11%	76.2%3.12%	57.8%10.57%	78.7%3.34%	59.7%7.88%	59.9%8.84%	75.4%4.23%	72.6%2.57%		58.5%9.60%	78.3%1.39%
Sporting Kansas City	57.3%3.78%	57.0%5.55%	70.6%2.00%	51.2%8.00%	74.4%2.44%	53.8%5.27%	52.4%6.34%	69.8%2.96%	67.2%1.96%	41.5%9.60%		72.6%0.99%
Vancouver Whitecaps	33.9%0.62%	30.9%0.82%	46.6%0.33%	28.0%1.13%	46.4%0.31%	27.0%0.79%	27.0%0.84%	38.3%0.40%	39.1%0.25%	21.7%1.39%	27.4%0.99%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Atlanta United FC	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	FC Cincinnati	Inter Miami	Montreal Impact	Nashville SC	New England Revolution	New York City FC	New York RB	Orlando City	Philadelphia Union	Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC		56.3%0.56%	38.7%2.26%	58.5%0.26%	79.3%0.03%	63.3%0.12%	55.9%0.39%	51.5%0.34%	50.8%0.77%	37.8%2.12%	46.5%0.84%	40.5%1.52%	31.3%3.77%	41.0%2.17%
Chicago Fire	43.7%0.56%		36.7%1.03%	59.3%0.15%	69.2%0.01%	61.8%0.08%	51.3%0.19%	51.1%0.17%	44.6%0.33%	37.1%0.92%	43.4%0.42%	39.1%0.75%	28.5%1.74%	39.6%1.00%
Columbus Crew	61.3%2.26%	63.3%1.03%		72.6%0.60%	74.0%0.05%	74.4%0.25%	68.3%0.82%	62.1%0.73%	59.9%1.53%	49.2%3.85%	58.3%1.77%	52.7%3.32%	41.3%6.75%	50.4%4.12%
DC United	41.5%0.26%	40.7%0.15%	27.4%0.60%		60.0%0.01%	56.8%0.04%	51.3%0.12%	37.0%0.10%	41.7%0.19%	25.2%0.56%	39.3%0.26%	31.6%0.50%	22.6%0.98%	32.1%0.56%
FC Cincinnati	20.7%0.03%	30.8%0.01%	26.0%0.05%	40.0%0.01%		0.0%<0.01%	45.5%0.01%	22.2%<0.01%	42.9%0.03%	20.0%0.07%	15.8%0.02%	28.0%0.05%	6.3%0.11%	23.2%0.06%
Inter Miami	36.7%0.12%	38.2%0.08%	25.6%0.25%	43.2%0.04%	100.0%<0.01%		68.0%0.05%	30.0%0.05%	34.0%0.10%	37.2%0.26%	40.4%0.11%	35.0%0.18%	21.6%0.42%	28.7%0.25%
Montreal Impact	44.1%0.39%	48.7%0.19%	31.7%0.82%	48.7%0.12%	54.5%0.01%	32.0%0.05%		42.8%0.14%	45.8%0.25%	31.9%0.77%	38.1%0.32%	31.8%0.62%	24.1%1.27%	29.3%0.76%
Nashville SC	48.5%0.34%	48.9%0.17%	37.9%0.73%	63.0%0.10%	77.8%<0.01%	70.0%0.05%	57.2%0.14%		45.7%0.23%	37.8%0.72%	48.7%0.27%	38.5%0.46%	30.1%1.21%	38.6%0.73%
New England Revolution	49.2%0.77%	55.4%0.33%	40.1%1.53%	58.3%0.19%	57.1%0.03%	66.0%0.10%	54.2%0.25%	54.3%0.23%		41.2%1.27%	48.6%0.56%	40.1%1.13%	31.1%2.21%	41.0%1.29%
New York City FC	62.2%2.12%	62.9%0.92%	50.8%3.85%	74.8%0.56%	80.0%0.07%	62.8%0.26%	68.1%0.77%	62.2%0.72%	58.8%1.27%		60.9%1.63%	53.1%2.88%	40.9%6.36%	51.4%3.71%
New York RB	53.5%0.84%	56.6%0.42%	41.7%1.77%	60.7%0.26%	84.2%0.02%	59.6%0.11%	61.9%0.32%	51.3%0.27%	51.4%0.56%	39.1%1.63%		41.5%1.26%	31.7%2.68%	41.9%1.66%
Orlando City	59.5%1.52%	60.9%0.75%	47.3%3.32%	68.4%0.50%	72.0%0.05%	65.0%0.18%	68.2%0.62%	61.5%0.46%	59.9%1.13%	46.9%2.88%	58.5%1.26%		38.3%5.16%	49.3%3.07%
Philadelphia Union	68.7%3.77%	71.5%1.74%	58.7%6.75%	77.4%0.98%	93.7%0.11%	78.4%0.42%	75.9%1.27%	69.9%1.21%	68.9%2.21%	59.1%6.36%	68.3%2.68%	61.7%5.16%		60.2%6.55%
Toronto FC	59.0%2.17%	60.4%1.00%	49.6%4.12%	67.9%0.56%	76.8%0.06%	71.3%0.25%	70.7%0.76%	61.4%0.73%	59.0%1.29%	48.6%3.71%	58.1%1.66%	50.7%3.07%	39.8%6.55%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Los Angeles FC	Los Angeles Galaxy	Minnesota United FC	Portland Timbers	Real Salt Lake	San Jose Earthquakes	Seattle Sounders	Sporting Kansas City	Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids		51.0%1.41%	62.7%0.36%	44.3%2.12%	63.9%0.32%	45.4%1.51%	45.9%1.69%	63.4%0.48%	60.3%0.36%	37.3%3.37%	42.3%1.89%	66.5%0.17%
FC Dallas	49.0%1.41%		58.2%0.48%	43.6%3.13%	63.3%0.46%	45.3%1.95%	44.8%2.39%	63.3%0.69%	61.8%0.57%	36.9%5.12%	42.4%2.72%	64.0%0.25%
Houston Dynamo	37.3%0.36%	41.8%0.48%		33.3%0.82%	59.7%0.12%	33.9%0.57%	34.8%0.64%	50.2%0.21%	44.2%0.14%	25.7%1.38%	28.1%0.73%	50.0%0.06%
Los Angeles FC	55.7%2.12%	56.4%3.13%	66.7%0.82%		72.9%0.77%	50.9%3.41%	51.0%3.65%	67.0%1.17%	66.2%0.78%	42.5%8.18%	49.6%4.60%	70.0%0.33%
Los Angeles Galaxy	36.1%0.32%	36.7%0.46%	40.3%0.12%	27.1%0.77%		32.4%0.56%	27.5%0.57%	52.7%0.18%	41.7%0.12%	22.3%1.31%	28.5%0.78%	46.7%0.04%
Minnesota United FC	54.6%1.51%	54.7%1.95%	66.1%0.57%	49.1%3.41%	67.6%0.56%		48.3%2.62%	65.3%0.75%	68.8%0.60%	39.6%5.41%	47.6%2.85%	70.9%0.28%
Portland Timbers	54.1%1.69%	55.2%2.39%	65.2%0.64%	49.0%3.65%	72.5%0.57%	51.7%2.62%		70.2%0.93%	67.5%0.60%	41.9%5.86%	49.3%3.58%	70.2%0.27%
Real Salt Lake	36.6%0.48%	36.7%0.69%	49.8%0.21%	33.0%1.17%	47.3%0.18%	34.7%0.75%	29.8%0.93%		53.3%0.18%	26.2%1.88%	31.7%1.11%	60.9%0.06%
San Jose Earthquakes	39.7%0.36%	38.2%0.57%	55.8%0.14%	33.8%0.78%	58.3%0.12%	31.2%0.60%	32.5%0.60%	46.7%0.18%		27.5%1.27%	35.9%0.83%	53.8%0.05%
Seattle Sounders	62.7%3.37%	63.1%5.12%	74.3%1.38%	57.5%8.18%	77.7%1.31%	60.4%5.41%	58.1%5.86%	73.8%1.88%	72.5%1.27%		58.8%7.49%	80.8%0.52%
Sporting Kansas City	57.7%1.89%	57.6%2.72%	71.9%0.73%	50.4%4.60%	71.5%0.78%	52.4%2.85%	50.7%3.58%	68.3%1.11%	64.1%0.83%	41.2%7.49%		74.6%0.31%
Vancouver Whitecaps	33.5%0.17%	36.0%0.25%	50.0%0.06%	30.0%0.33%	53.3%0.04%	29.1%0.28%	29.8%0.27%	39.1%0.06%	46.2%0.05%	19.2%0.52%	25.4%0.31%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Houston Dynamo	Los Angeles FC	Los Angeles Galaxy	Minnesota United FC	Portland Timbers	Real Salt Lake	San Jose Earthquakes	Seattle Sounders	Sporting Kansas City	Vancouver Whitecaps	Atlanta United FC	Chicago Fire	Columbus Crew	DC United	FC Cincinnati	Inter Miami	Montreal Impact	Nashville SC	New England Revolution	New York City FC	New York RB	Orlando City	Philadelphia Union	Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC	46.0%0.38%	49.4%0.48%	58.3%0.11%	39.0%0.92%	73.7%0.10%	43.9%0.59%	41.6%0.73%	63.5%0.14%	61.5%0.11%	33.0%1.59%	40.5%0.91%	51.1%0.05%
Chicago Fire	38.9%0.19%	47.0%0.24%	55.0%0.06%	41.7%0.40%	59.0%0.06%	44.5%0.31%	41.1%0.33%	48.7%0.08%	48.2%0.06%	31.0%0.70%	40.6%0.37%	72.7%0.02%
Columbus Crew	58.8%0.90%	55.3%1.21%	64.5%0.28%	50.5%2.11%	69.7%0.19%	52.4%1.47%	51.3%1.67%	69.5%0.36%	67.3%0.29%	43.7%3.64%	49.8%1.96%	67.8%0.09%
DC United	31.9%0.09%	29.1%0.12%	56.2%0.02%	30.3%0.21%	47.8%0.02%	36.4%0.13%	41.3%0.15%	55.6%0.04%	25.9%0.03%	30.2%0.34%	33.9%0.18%	80.0%<0.01%
FC Cincinnati	18.2%0.01%	66.7%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	25.0%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	20.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	75.0%<0.01%	0.0%<0.01%	21.4%0.03%	11.1%<0.01%
Inter Miami	43.8%0.03%	42.6%0.05%	50.0%0.01%	30.1%0.08%	42.9%<0.01%	30.3%0.07%	26.5%0.07%	55.6%0.02%	52.9%0.02%	28.0%0.16%	33.8%0.08%	60.0%<0.01%
Montreal Impact	44.3%0.12%	30.1%0.16%	44.1%0.03%	33.8%0.27%	64.0%0.03%	35.7%0.21%	37.3%0.22%	51.8%0.06%	64.3%0.04%	27.2%0.46%	28.8%0.25%	37.5%0.02%
Nashville SC	43.4%0.14%	45.3%0.16%	53.8%0.04%	36.3%0.31%	55.2%0.03%	39.1%0.22%	39.7%0.23%	67.2%0.06%	45.7%0.03%	36.8%0.53%	35.3%0.29%	66.7%0.02%
New England Revolution	51.8%0.25%	47.9%0.35%	67.2%0.07%	41.6%0.64%	72.1%0.07%	47.4%0.45%	48.6%0.51%	58.7%0.09%	57.3%0.07%	35.5%1.01%	39.2%0.55%	77.8%0.03%
New York City FC	57.4%0.79%	56.5%1.18%	71.9%0.25%	53.3%1.94%	76.8%0.21%	50.5%1.39%	54.4%1.51%	69.2%0.32%	68.0%0.25%	44.9%3.44%	51.2%1.87%	63.7%0.08%
New York RB	46.7%0.32%	45.4%0.40%	58.9%0.11%	41.5%0.75%	72.9%0.07%	44.6%0.52%	41.9%0.54%	56.6%0.11%	48.5%0.10%	32.9%1.32%	42.2%0.72%	59.1%0.04%
Orlando City	52.7%0.63%	50.1%0.89%	70.5%0.18%	49.1%1.57%	65.9%0.18%	51.6%1.03%	50.4%1.22%	65.3%0.24%	60.6%0.20%	40.9%2.75%	47.3%1.41%	66.7%0.08%
Philadelphia Union	63.1%1.53%	65.6%2.14%	77.4%0.46%	60.5%3.69%	77.3%0.38%	60.6%2.52%	59.7%2.97%	74.1%0.68%	74.0%0.47%	52.4%6.50%	58.6%3.52%	76.5%0.18%
Toronto FC	57.2%0.83%	55.7%1.18%	65.6%0.25%	50.0%2.02%	72.9%0.21%	52.2%1.30%	52.4%1.50%	67.4%0.33%	56.4%0.23%	42.7%3.42%	46.0%1.86%	73.2%0.07%
Colorado Rapids													54.0%0.38%	61.1%0.19%	41.2%0.90%	68.1%0.09%	81.8%0.01%	56.2%0.03%	55.7%0.12%	56.6%0.14%	48.2%0.25%	42.6%0.79%	53.3%0.32%	47.3%0.63%	36.9%1.53%	42.8%0.83%
FC Dallas													50.6%0.48%	53.0%0.24%	44.7%1.21%	70.9%0.12%	33.3%<0.01%	57.4%0.05%	69.9%0.16%	54.7%0.16%	52.1%0.35%	43.5%1.18%	54.6%0.40%	49.9%0.89%	34.4%2.14%	44.3%1.18%
Houston Dynamo													41.7%0.11%	45.0%0.06%	35.5%0.28%	43.8%0.02%	100.0%<0.01%	50.0%0.01%	55.9%0.03%	46.2%0.04%	32.8%0.07%	28.1%0.25%	41.1%0.11%	29.5%0.18%	22.6%0.46%	34.4%0.25%
Los Angeles FC													61.0%0.92%	58.3%0.40%	49.5%2.11%	69.7%0.21%	75.0%0.02%	69.9%0.08%	66.2%0.27%	63.7%0.31%	58.4%0.64%	46.7%1.94%	58.5%0.75%	50.9%1.57%	39.5%3.69%	50.0%2.02%
Los Angeles Galaxy													26.3%0.10%	41.0%0.06%	30.3%0.19%	52.2%0.02%	50.0%<0.01%	57.1%<0.01%	36.0%0.03%	44.8%0.03%	27.9%0.07%	23.2%0.21%	27.1%0.07%	34.1%0.18%	22.7%0.38%	27.1%0.21%
Minnesota United FC													56.1%0.59%	55.5%0.31%	47.6%1.47%	63.6%0.13%	80.0%<0.01%	69.7%0.07%	64.3%0.21%	60.9%0.22%	52.6%0.45%	49.5%1.39%	55.4%0.52%	48.4%1.03%	39.4%2.52%	47.8%1.30%
Portland Timbers													58.4%0.73%	58.9%0.33%	48.7%1.67%	58.7%0.15%	50.0%0.01%	73.5%0.07%	62.7%0.22%	60.3%0.23%	51.4%0.51%	45.6%1.51%	58.1%0.54%	49.6%1.22%	40.3%2.97%	47.6%1.50%
Real Salt Lake													36.5%0.14%	51.3%0.08%	30.5%0.36%	44.4%0.04%	25.0%<0.01%	44.4%0.02%	48.2%0.06%	32.8%0.06%	41.3%0.09%	30.8%0.32%	43.4%0.11%	34.7%0.24%	25.9%0.68%	32.6%0.33%
San Jose Earthquakes													38.5%0.11%	51.8%0.06%	32.7%0.29%	74.1%0.03%	100.0%<0.01%	47.1%0.02%	35.7%0.04%	54.3%0.03%	42.7%0.07%	32.0%0.25%	51.5%0.10%	39.4%0.20%	26.0%0.47%	43.6%0.23%
Seattle Sounders													67.0%1.59%	69.0%0.70%	56.3%3.64%	69.8%0.34%	78.6%0.03%	72.0%0.16%	72.8%0.46%	63.2%0.53%	64.5%1.01%	55.1%3.44%	67.1%1.32%	59.1%2.75%	47.6%6.50%	57.3%3.42%
Sporting Kansas City													59.5%0.91%	59.4%0.37%	50.2%1.96%	66.1%0.18%	88.9%<0.01%	66.2%0.08%	71.2%0.25%	64.7%0.29%	60.8%0.55%	48.8%1.87%	57.8%0.72%	52.7%1.41%	41.4%3.52%	54.0%1.86%
Vancouver Whitecaps													48.9%0.05%	27.3%0.02%	32.2%0.09%	20.0%<0.01%		40.0%<0.01%	62.5%0.02%	33.3%0.02%	22.2%0.03%	36.2%0.08%	40.9%0.04%	33.3%0.08%	23.5%0.18%	26.8%0.07%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Conference Semifinals	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to MLS Cup	Won MLS Cup	Actual Outcome
Seattle Sounders	75.82%	48.36%	28.22%	13.02%	Eliminated in MLS Cup
Orlando City	65.40%	32.02%	14.02%	8.00%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Sporting Kansas City	62.22%	28.14%	15.56%	6.77%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Columbus Crew	57.22%	22.73%	11.13%	6.62%	Won MLS Cup
Minnesota United FC	64.78%	31.47%	13.54%	5.58%	Eliminated in Conference Finals
FC Dallas	35.22%	15.48%	5.96%	2.21%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
New England Revolution	34.60%	15.18%	4.87%	1.78%	Eliminated in Conference Finals
Nashville SC	23.53%	7.65%	2.87%	1.08%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Columbus Crew	Nashville SC	New England Revolution	New York City FC	New York RB	Orlando City	Philadelphia Union	Toronto FC
Columbus Crew				57.2%100.00%
Nashville SC							23.5%100.00%
New England Revolution						34.6%100.00%
New York City FC	42.8%100.00%
New York RB								34.9%100.00%
Orlando City			65.4%100.00%
Philadelphia Union		76.5%100.00%
Toronto FC					65.1%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Los Angeles FC	Minnesota United FC	Portland Timbers	San Jose Earthquakes	Seattle Sounders	Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids					38.4%100.00%
FC Dallas				35.2%100.00%
Los Angeles FC								37.8%100.00%
Minnesota United FC		64.8%100.00%
Portland Timbers	61.6%100.00%
San Jose Earthquakes							24.2%100.00%
Seattle Sounders						75.8%100.00%
Sporting Kansas City			62.2%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Columbus Crew	Nashville SC	New England Revolution	New York City FC	New York RB	Orlando City	Philadelphia Union	Toronto FC
Columbus Crew		66.0%13.48%					31.6%43.74%
Nashville SC	34.0%13.48%			30.5%10.05%
New England Revolution					59.5%12.10%			35.5%22.50%
New York City FC		69.5%10.05%					34.6%32.73%
New York RB			40.5%12.10%			35.9%22.76%
Orlando City					64.1%22.76%			40.9%42.64%
Philadelphia Union	68.4%43.74%			65.4%32.73%
Toronto FC			64.5%22.50%			59.1%42.64%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Los Angeles FC	Minnesota United FC	Portland Timbers	San Jose Earthquakes	Seattle Sounders	Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids		43.3%13.55%		38.7%24.89%
FC Dallas	56.7%13.55%				36.0%21.67%
Los Angeles FC						69.7%9.17%	35.1%28.61%
Minnesota United FC	61.3%24.89%				40.6%39.89%
Portland Timbers		64.0%21.67%		59.4%39.89%
San Jose Earthquakes			30.3%9.17%					28.6%15.01%
Seattle Sounders			64.9%28.61%					63.1%47.21%
Sporting Kansas City						71.4%15.01%	36.9%47.21%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Columbus Crew	Nashville SC	New England Revolution	New York City FC	New York RB	Orlando City	Philadelphia Union	Toronto FC
Columbus Crew			64.8%3.50%		65.4%3.01%	42.7%7.18%		42.2%9.03%
Nashville SC			43.0%1.18%		40.5%0.93%	35.3%2.51%		36.3%3.03%
New England Revolution	35.2%3.50%	57.0%1.18%		30.4%2.85%			27.4%7.65%
New York City FC			69.6%2.85%		66.6%2.47%	45.2%5.86%		45.4%7.11%
New York RB	34.6%3.01%	59.5%0.93%		33.4%2.47%			26.5%6.67%
Orlando City	57.3%7.18%	64.7%2.51%		54.8%5.86%			30.8%16.46%
Philadelphia Union			72.6%7.65%		73.5%6.67%	69.2%16.46%		70.0%20.55%
Toronto FC	57.8%9.03%	63.7%3.03%		54.6%7.11%			30.0%20.55%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Los Angeles FC	Minnesota United FC	Portland Timbers	San Jose Earthquakes	Seattle Sounders	Sporting Kansas City
Colorado Rapids			38.6%2.57%			47.8%1.09%	34.6%7.39%	37.4%4.45%
FC Dallas			55.1%2.60%			63.6%1.11%	31.3%7.47%	34.7%4.30%
Los Angeles FC	61.4%2.57%	44.9%2.60%		39.5%5.16%	41.9%6.11%
Minnesota United FC			60.5%5.16%			70.2%2.21%	35.9%15.26%	38.4%8.85%
Portland Timbers			58.1%6.11%			68.6%2.66%	53.6%18.25%	57.2%10.53%
San Jose Earthquakes	52.2%1.09%	36.4%1.11%		29.8%2.21%	31.4%2.66%
Seattle Sounders	65.4%7.39%	68.7%7.47%		64.1%15.26%	46.4%18.25%
Sporting Kansas City	62.6%4.45%	65.3%4.30%		61.6%8.85%	42.8%10.53%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	FC Dallas	Los Angeles FC	Minnesota United FC	Portland Timbers	San Jose Earthquakes	Seattle Sounders	Sporting Kansas City	Columbus Crew	Nashville SC	New England Revolution	New York City FC	New York RB	Orlando City	Philadelphia Union	Toronto FC
Columbus Crew	62.5%0.63%	66.1%0.62%	61.2%0.82%	58.6%1.52%	62.3%2.32%	67.7%0.29%	54.4%3.19%	60.5%1.74%
Nashville SC	54.8%0.17%	42.1%0.18%	46.2%0.21%	35.7%0.35%	33.4%0.59%	67.5%0.08%	32.6%0.82%	35.9%0.48%
New England Revolution	59.6%0.28%	41.3%0.31%	46.9%0.36%	36.7%0.67%	32.8%0.97%	60.7%0.12%	30.0%1.37%	33.6%0.79%
New York City FC	62.7%0.57%	64.9%0.53%	60.8%0.70%	63.2%1.27%	52.1%2.03%	73.7%0.24%	48.3%2.67%	51.1%1.49%
New York RB	60.8%0.21%	37.1%0.26%	48.0%0.29%	33.0%0.58%	36.9%0.92%	60.4%0.10%	31.8%1.20%	30.4%0.62%
Orlando City	57.7%0.83%	62.1%0.83%	59.1%1.09%	57.7%1.88%	59.9%2.97%	72.2%0.33%	52.7%3.96%	54.9%2.13%
Philadelphia Union	66.1%2.09%	70.0%2.18%	66.3%2.64%	66.9%4.88%	68.0%7.75%	77.6%0.89%	63.3%10.20%	65.4%5.59%
Toronto FC	57.1%0.97%	62.6%1.04%	58.5%1.23%	56.6%2.38%	58.4%3.64%	64.4%0.42%	53.2%4.82%	55.9%2.71%
Colorado Rapids									37.5%0.63%	45.2%0.17%	40.4%0.28%	37.3%0.57%	39.2%0.21%	42.3%0.83%	33.9%2.09%	42.9%0.97%
FC Dallas									33.9%0.62%	57.9%0.18%	58.7%0.31%	35.1%0.53%	62.9%0.26%	37.9%0.83%	30.0%2.18%	37.4%1.04%
Los Angeles FC									38.8%0.82%	53.8%0.21%	53.1%0.36%	39.2%0.70%	52.0%0.29%	40.9%1.09%	33.7%2.64%	41.5%1.23%
Minnesota United FC									41.4%1.52%	64.3%0.35%	63.3%0.67%	36.8%1.27%	67.0%0.58%	42.3%1.88%	33.1%4.88%	43.4%2.38%
Portland Timbers									37.7%2.32%	66.6%0.59%	67.2%0.97%	47.9%2.03%	63.1%0.92%	40.1%2.97%	32.0%7.75%	41.6%3.64%
San Jose Earthquakes									32.3%0.29%	32.5%0.08%	39.3%0.12%	26.3%0.24%	39.6%0.10%	27.8%0.33%	22.4%0.89%	35.6%0.42%
Seattle Sounders									45.6%3.19%	67.4%0.82%	70.0%1.37%	51.7%2.67%	68.2%1.20%	47.3%3.96%	36.7%10.20%	46.8%4.82%
Sporting Kansas City									39.5%1.74%	64.1%0.48%	66.4%0.79%	48.9%1.49%	69.6%0.62%	45.1%2.13%	34.6%5.59%	44.1%2.71%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

Philadelphia Union 24.00% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Nashville SC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

76.47%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Columbus Crew

Matchup

58.27%

Win Prob

68.37%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Toronto FC

Matchup

39.69%

Win Prob

69.98%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

26.91%

Win Prob

63.34%

Seattle Sounders 13.02% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. San Jose Earthquakes

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

75.82%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Sporting Kansas City

Matchup

61.60%

Win Prob

63.09%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Minnesota United FC

Matchup

34.68%

Win Prob

64.14%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

28.70%

Win Prob

36.66%

Toronto FC 9.75% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. New York RB

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

65.14%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Orlando City

Matchup

63.45%

Win Prob

59.10%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

35.86%

Win Prob

30.02%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

26.34%

Win Prob

53.25%

Portland Timbers 8.65% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Colorado Rapids

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

61.56%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Minnesota United FC

Matchup

63.07%

Win Prob

59.38%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

46.16%

Win Prob

53.59%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

28.68%

Win Prob

32.01%

Orlando City 8.00% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. New England Revolution

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

65.40%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Toronto FC

Matchup

54.46%

Win Prob

40.90%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

36.15%

Win Prob

30.78%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

26.11%

Win Prob

52.74%

Sporting Kansas City 6.77% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Los Angeles FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

62.22%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

61.93%

Win Prob

36.91%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Minnesota United FC

Matchup

35.03%

Win Prob

61.57%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

28.53%

Win Prob

34.56%

Columbus Crew 6.62% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. New York City FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

57.22%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

60.87%

Win Prob

31.63%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Toronto FC

Matchup

34.28%

Win Prob

42.24%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

26.21%

Win Prob

54.40%

Minnesota United FC 5.58% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. FC Dallas

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

64.78%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Portland Timbers

Matchup

51.48%

Win Prob

40.62%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

40.41%

Win Prob

35.86%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

28.98%

Win Prob

33.15%

New York City FC 5.22% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Columbus Crew

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

42.78%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

61.84%

Win Prob

34.56%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Toronto FC

Matchup

33.96%

Win Prob

45.39%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

24.74%

Win Prob

48.33%

Los Angeles FC 2.90% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Sporting Kansas City

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

37.78%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

61.09%

Win Prob

35.09%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Portland Timbers

Matchup

34.83%

Win Prob

41.88%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

30.79%

Win Prob

33.74%

FC Dallas 2.21% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Minnesota United FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

35.22%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Portland Timbers

Matchup

50.39%

Win Prob

36.00%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

39.16%

Win Prob

31.27%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

29.61%

Win Prob

29.99%

Colorado Rapids 2.19% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Portland Timbers

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

38.45%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Minnesota United FC

Matchup

62.10%

Win Prob

38.66%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

44.56%

Win Prob

34.59%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

32.33%

Win Prob

33.92%

New England Revolution 1.78% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Orlando City

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.60%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Toronto FC

Matchup

52.58%

Win Prob

35.47%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

43.11%

Win Prob

27.43%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

23.12%

Win Prob

30.04%

New York RB 1.53% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Toronto FC

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

34.86%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Orlando City

Matchup

62.51%

Win Prob

35.92%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

42.20%

Win Prob

26.51%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

24.85%

Win Prob

31.80%

Nashville SC 1.08% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

23.53%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Columbus Crew

Matchup

59.90%

Win Prob

34.01%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Toronto FC

Matchup

38.34%

Win Prob

36.26%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

24.79%

Win Prob

32.64%

San Jose Earthquakes 0.71% chance to win

Conference Quarterfinals

vs. Seattle Sounders

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

24.18%

→

Conference Semifinals

vs. Sporting Kansas City

Matchup

60.74%

Win Prob

28.60%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Portland Timbers

Matchup

33.89%

Win Prob

31.36%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Philadelphia Union

Matchup

28.25%

Win Prob

22.40%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
2020-03-01	@ Nashville SC	W 2-1	1544.02	1450.00	41.45%	24.92%	33.63%	+7.06	3
2020-03-08	FC Cincinnati	W 2-1	1551.08	1430.27	62.41%	19.61%	17.98%	+3.90	6
2020-07-12	New York RB	L 0-1	1554.98	1526.22	50.77%	23.48%	25.76%	-10.31	6
2020-07-16	FC Cincinnati	L 0-1	1544.67	1398.02	65.42%	18.30%	16.28%	-12.58	6
2020-07-22	Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1532.09	1542.89	45.35%	24.51%	30.14%	-9.42	6
2020-08-23	Nashville SC	W 2-0	1522.67	1450.63	56.42%	21.86%	21.72%	+9.54	9
2020-08-29	Orlando City	L 1-3	1532.21	1488.79	52.71%	22.98%	24.31%	-17.35	9
2020-09-03	Inter Miami	T 0-0	1514.86	1422.87	58.92%	20.98%	20.10%	-2.00	10
2020-09-06	@ Orlando City	T 1-1	1512.86	1506.12	29.66%	24.42%	45.92%	+0.71	11
2020-09-10	@ Inter Miami	L 1-2	1513.57	1424.16	40.79%	24.96%	34.24%	-8.19	11
2020-09-13	@ Nashville SC	L 2-4	1505.38	1438.97	37.50%	25.06%	37.44%	-11.89	11
2020-09-20	Inter Miami	L 1-2	1493.49	1427.60	55.63%	22.12%	22.25%	-10.46	11
2020-09-24	FC Dallas	W 1-0	1483.03	1545.29	38.04%	25.06%	36.90%	+8.05	14
2020-09-28	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-2	1491.08	1471.41	31.22%	24.67%	44.11%	-13.30	14
2020-10-04	@ DC United	W 4-0	1477.78	1444.28	32.98%	24.86%	42.16%	+31.85	17
2020-10-08	Orlando City	T 0-0	1509.63	1542.80	42.20%	24.86%	32.94%	-0.45	18
2020-10-10	New York RB	L 0-1	1509.18	1492.01	49.20%	23.83%	26.97%	-10.05	18
2020-10-15	@ Inter Miami	T 1-1	1499.13	1421.95	39.04%	25.04%	35.92%	-0.13	19
2020-10-19	@ Toronto FC	L 0-1	1499.00	1587.01	20.41%	21.16%	58.43%	-4.75	19
2020-10-24	DC United	L 1-2	1494.25	1408.78	58.11%	21.28%	20.61%	-10.83	19
2020-10-28	@ Orlando City	L 1-4	1483.42	1533.87	23.64%	22.72%	53.63%	-12.71	19
2020-11-02	FC Cincinnati	W 2-0	1470.71	1365.44	60.55%	20.36%	19.09%	+8.34	22
2020-11-08	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1479.05	1553.69	21.50%	21.75%	56.75%	-4.73	22
2020-03-01	@ Seattle Sounders	L 1-2	1506.81	1530.31	26.30%	23.64%	50.06%	-5.74	0
2020-03-07	@ New England Revolution	T 1-1	1501.07	1485.60	30.71%	24.59%	44.70%	+0.61	1
2020-07-14	Seattle Sounders	W 2-1	1501.68	1533.15	42.44%	24.84%	32.72%	+6.91	4
2020-07-20	San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-2	1508.59	1479.33	50.83%	23.46%	25.71%	-19.46	4
2020-07-23	Vancouver Whitecaps	L 0-2	1489.13	1442.23	53.17%	22.86%	23.97%	-20.17	4
2020-08-21	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-3	1468.96	1552.31	20.78%	21.37%	57.84%	-13.25	4
2020-08-26	FC Cincinnati	W 3-0	1455.71	1428.08	50.61%	23.51%	25.87%	+16.41	7
2020-08-30	@ New York City FC	L 1-3	1472.12	1507.87	25.05%	23.25%	51.70%	-9.50	7
2020-09-03	@ FC Cincinnati	T 0-0	1462.62	1412.73	35.17%	25.01%	39.82%	+0.22	8
2020-09-07	New England Revolution	L 1-2	1462.84	1487.27	43.44%	24.74%	31.82%	-8.59	8
2020-09-12	Columbus Crew	T 2-2	1454.25	1572.51	30.55%	24.57%	44.88%	+0.47	9
2020-09-20	@ Orlando City	L 1-4	1454.72	1510.16	23.18%	22.53%	54.29%	-12.47	9
2020-09-24	Houston Dynamo	W 4-0	1442.25	1508.99	37.40%	25.06%	37.54%	+29.16	12
2020-09-28	Atlanta United FC	W 2-0	1471.41	1491.08	44.11%	24.67%	31.22%	+13.30	15
2020-10-04	@ Montreal Impact	T 2-2	1484.71	1448.26	33.37%	24.90%	41.74%	+0.27	16
2020-10-08	@ Sporting Kansas City	L 0-1	1484.98	1523.02	24.83%	23.17%	52.00%	-5.77	16
2020-10-12	DC United	W 2-1	1479.21	1403.57	56.87%	21.71%	21.42%	+4.70	19
2020-10-17	Sporting Kansas City	T 2-2	1483.91	1526.57	40.85%	24.96%	34.19%	-0.21	20
2020-10-25	New York RB	T 2-2	1483.70	1503.47	44.09%	24.67%	31.24%	-0.41	21
2020-10-28	@ Philadelphia Union	L 1-2	1483.29	1627.25	16.45%	18.44%	65.12%	-3.53	21
2020-11-01	@ Nashville SC	T 1-1	1479.76	1494.42	27.24%	23.90%	48.86%	+0.96	22
2020-11-05	@ Minnesota United FC	T 2-2	1480.72	1539.88	22.85%	22.39%	54.77%	+1.09	23
2020-11-08	New York City FC	L 3-4	1481.81	1568.30	34.64%	24.98%	40.38%	-6.69	23
2020-02-29	@ DC United	W 2-1	1484.41	1511.39	25.94%	23.53%	50.53%	+9.68	3
2020-03-08	Orlando City	W 2-1	1494.09	1473.42	49.68%	23.73%	26.60%	+5.80	6
2020-07-13	@ Real Salt Lake	L 0-2	1499.89	1515.58	27.13%	23.87%	49.00%	-11.80	6
2020-07-18	@ Sporting Kansas City	L 2-3	1488.09	1524.09	25.03%	23.24%	51.73%	-5.19	6
2020-07-23	Minnesota United FC	T 2-2	1482.90	1543.98	38.21%	25.05%	36.73%	-0.05	7
2020-08-23	Real Salt Lake	L 1-4	1482.85	1508.57	43.26%	24.76%	31.98%	-20.98	7
2020-08-30	Sporting Kansas City	T 1-1	1461.87	1533.28	36.73%	25.05%	38.21%	+0.07	8
2020-09-06	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 1-1	1461.94	1476.35	27.27%	23.91%	48.83%	+0.95	9
2020-09-10	Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1462.89	1515.48	39.43%	25.03%	35.54%	-0.16	10
2020-09-13	@ Real Salt Lake	W 5-0	1462.73	1523.96	22.66%	22.31%	55.03%	+48.49	13
2020-09-17	@ FC Dallas	L 1-4	1511.22	1522.04	27.66%	24.00%	48.34%	-14.69	13
2020-09-20	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-0	1496.53	1531.06	25.17%	23.29%	51.54%	+19.67	16
2020-09-24	San Jose Earthquakes	W 5-0	1516.20	1422.13	59.18%	20.89%	19.94%	+20.42	19
2020-10-25	@ Sporting Kansas City	L 0-4	1536.62	1526.78	30.03%	24.49%	45.49%	-24.44	19
2020-10-29	@ Minnesota United FC	L 1-2	1512.18	1534.11	26.47%	23.69%	49.85%	-5.76	19
2020-11-02	Seattle Sounders	W 3-1	1506.42	1606.94	32.78%	24.85%	42.38%	+14.59	22
2020-11-05	@ Portland Timbers	W 1-0	1521.01	1565.88	24.17%	22.93%	52.90%	+10.66	25
2020-11-08	@ Houston Dynamo	W 2-1	1531.67	1444.01	40.54%	24.98%	34.48%	+7.20	28
2020-03-01	New York City FC	W 1-0	1493.05	1534.85	40.97%	24.95%	34.08%	+7.57	3
2020-03-08	@ Seattle Sounders	T 1-1	1500.62	1536.05	25.09%	23.26%	51.66%	+1.20	4
2020-07-12	@ FC Cincinnati	W 4-0	1501.82	1426.37	38.80%	25.04%	36.16%	+28.34	7
2020-07-17	New York RB	W 2-0	1530.16	1536.53	45.97%	24.41%	29.62%	+12.73	10
2020-07-22	@ Atlanta United FC	W 1-0	1542.89	1532.09	30.14%	24.51%	45.35%	+9.42	13
2020-08-21	Chicago Fire	W 3-0	1552.31	1468.96	57.84%	21.37%	20.78%	+13.25	16
2020-08-25	@ New York City FC	L 0-1	1565.56	1499.74	37.41%	25.06%	37.53%	-8.13	16
2020-08-30	@ FC Cincinnati	T 0-0	1557.43	1411.67	48.67%	23.94%	27.39%	-1.06	17
2020-09-03	Philadelphia Union	W 1-0	1556.37	1536.81	49.53%	23.76%	26.71%	+6.17	20
2020-09-07	FC Cincinnati	W 3-0	1562.54	1412.51	65.81%	18.13%	16.06%	+9.97	23
2020-09-12	@ Chicago Fire	T 2-2	1572.51	1454.25	44.88%	24.57%	30.55%	-0.47	24
2020-09-20	Nashville SC	W 2-0	1572.04	1450.86	62.46%	19.59%	17.95%	+7.79	27
2020-09-24	Minnesota United FC	W 2-1	1579.83	1528.14	53.80%	22.68%	23.53%	+5.16	30
2020-09-28	@ Toronto FC	L 1-3	1584.99	1556.92	32.28%	24.79%	42.92%	-11.83	30
2020-10-04	@ FC Dallas	T 2-2	1573.16	1536.29	33.42%	24.90%	41.68%	+0.26	31
2020-10-08	Montreal Impact	L 1-2	1573.42	1447.99	62.96%	19.38%	17.66%	-11.52	31
2020-10-15	@ FC Cincinnati	L 1-2	1561.90	1375.80	54.05%	22.60%	23.35%	-10.22	31
2020-10-18	New York City FC	W 3-1	1551.68	1549.97	47.09%	24.23%	28.68%	+10.72	34
2020-10-25	@ Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1562.40	1463.04	42.21%	24.86%	32.93%	-0.40	35
2020-10-29	@ DC United	L 0-1	1562.00	1419.61	48.22%	24.03%	27.76%	-9.89	35
2020-11-01	Philadelphia Union	W 2-1	1552.11	1630.78	35.71%	25.03%	39.26%	+7.95	38
2020-11-05	@ Orlando City	L 1-2	1560.06	1553.72	29.61%	24.41%	45.97%	-6.37	38
2020-11-08	Atlanta United FC	W 2-1	1553.69	1479.05	56.75%	21.75%	21.50%	+4.72	41
2020-02-29	Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1511.39	1484.41	50.53%	23.53%	25.94%	-9.68	0
2020-03-07	Inter Miami	W 2-1	1501.71	1445.69	54.36%	22.51%	23.13%	+5.08	3
2020-07-13	@ Toronto FC	T 2-2	1506.79	1526.19	26.73%	23.76%	49.50%	+0.76	4
2020-07-18	New England Revolution	T 1-1	1507.55	1494.93	48.58%	23.95%	27.46%	-0.94	5
2020-07-22	@ Montreal Impact	L 0-1	1506.61	1479.03	32.22%	24.79%	42.99%	-7.24	5
2020-08-22	@ FC Cincinnati	T 0-0	1499.37	1428.01	38.21%	25.05%	36.74%	-0.07	6
2020-08-26	New England Revolution	L 1-2	1499.30	1496.59	47.23%	24.21%	28.57%	-9.17	6
2020-08-30	@ Philadelphia Union	L 1-4	1490.13	1523.25	25.32%	23.34%	51.35%	-13.57	6
2020-09-03	@ New York RB	W 1-0	1476.56	1507.26	25.56%	23.42%	51.02%	+10.36	9
2020-09-07	New York City FC	T 0-0	1486.92	1535.07	40.07%	25.00%	34.93%	-0.25	10
2020-09-13	New York RB	L 0-2	1486.67	1472.54	48.79%	23.91%	27.30%	-18.83	10
2020-09-20	Toronto FC	T 2-2	1467.84	1547.55	35.57%	25.03%	39.41%	+0.12	11
2020-09-24	@ Nashville SC	L 0-1	1467.96	1443.07	31.88%	24.75%	43.37%	-7.17	11
2020-09-28	New England Revolution	L 0-2	1460.79	1500.70	41.24%	24.93%	33.82%	-16.51	11
2020-10-04	Atlanta United FC	L 0-4	1444.28	1477.78	42.16%	24.86%	32.98%	-31.85	11
2020-10-08	@ New York City FC	L 1-4	1412.43	1550.58	16.82%	18.74%	64.45%	-8.86	11
2020-10-12	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1403.57	1479.21	21.42%	21.71%	56.87%	-4.70	11
2020-10-15	Philadelphia Union	T 2-2	1398.87	1592.25	22.69%	22.32%	54.99%	+1.09	12
2020-10-19	@ FC Cincinnati	W 2-1	1399.96	1386.02	30.52%	24.57%	44.91%	+8.82	15
2020-10-24	@ Atlanta United FC	W 2-1	1408.78	1494.25	20.61%	21.28%	58.11%	+10.83	18
2020-10-29	Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1419.61	1562.00	27.76%	24.03%	48.22%	+9.89	21
2020-11-02	@ New England Revolution	L 3-4	1429.50	1510.60	20.97%	21.47%	57.56%	-4.26	21
2020-11-08	Montreal Impact	L 2-3	1425.24	1430.31	46.15%	24.39%	29.46%	-8.54	21
2020-03-01	@ New York RB	L 2-3	1434.53	1521.27	20.51%	21.22%	58.27%	-4.26	0
2020-03-08	@ Atlanta United FC	L 1-2	1430.27	1551.08	17.98%	19.61%	62.41%	-3.90	0
2020-07-12	Columbus Crew	L 0-4	1426.37	1501.82	36.16%	25.04%	38.80%	-28.35	0
2020-07-16	@ Atlanta United FC	W 1-0	1398.02	1544.67	16.28%	18.30%	65.42%	+12.59	3
2020-07-23	New York RB	W 2-0	1410.61	1523.80	31.17%	24.66%	44.17%	+17.40	6
2020-08-22	DC United	T 0-0	1428.01	1499.37	36.74%	25.05%	38.21%	+0.07	7
2020-08-26	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-3	1428.08	1455.71	25.87%	23.51%	50.61%	-16.41	7
2020-08-30	Columbus Crew	T 0-0	1411.67	1557.43	27.39%	23.94%	48.67%	+1.06	8
2020-09-03	Chicago Fire	T 0-0	1412.73	1462.62	39.82%	25.01%	35.17%	-0.22	9
2020-09-07	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-3	1412.51	1562.54	16.06%	18.13%	65.81%	-9.97	9
2020-09-13	@ New York City FC	L 1-2	1402.54	1535.31	17.17%	19.01%	63.82%	-3.70	9
2020-09-20	@ New York RB	W 1-0	1398.84	1491.38	20.06%	20.96%	58.99%	+11.62	12
2020-09-24	Philadelphia Union	T 0-0	1410.46	1578.63	25.06%	23.25%	51.69%	+1.34	13
2020-09-27	@ New York City FC	L 0-4	1411.80	1529.77	18.18%	19.75%	62.08%	-14.98	13
2020-10-04	@ Minnesota United FC	L 0-2	1396.82	1521.55	17.71%	19.41%	62.88%	-7.67	13
2020-10-08	@ Philadelphia Union	L 0-3	1389.15	1580.23	13.70%	15.99%	70.31%	-8.26	13
2020-10-12	Toronto FC	L 0-1	1380.89	1583.66	21.87%	21.93%	56.20%	-5.09	13
2020-10-15	Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1375.80	1561.90	23.35%	22.60%	54.05%	+10.22	16
2020-10-19	DC United	L 1-2	1386.02	1399.96	44.91%	24.57%	30.52%	-8.82	16
2020-10-25	Minnesota United FC	L 0-1	1377.20	1527.91	26.85%	23.80%	49.35%	-6.20	16
2020-10-28	Sporting Kansas City	L 0-1	1371.00	1551.21	23.89%	22.82%	53.28%	-5.56	16
2020-11-02	@ Atlanta United FC	L 0-2	1365.44	1470.71	19.09%	20.36%	60.55%	-8.33	16
2020-11-08	@ Inter Miami	L 1-2	1357.11	1417.08	22.77%	22.36%	54.87%	-5.00	16
2020-02-29	Philadelphia Union	W 2-0	1509.85	1514.21	46.25%	24.37%	29.38%	+12.64	3
2020-03-07	Montreal Impact	T 2-2	1522.49	1495.81	50.49%	23.54%	25.97%	-0.82	4
2020-08-13	Nashville SC	L 0-1	1521.67	1437.53	57.94%	21.34%	20.72%	-11.46	4
2020-08-17	Nashville SC	T 0-0	1510.21	1448.98	55.03%	22.31%	22.66%	-1.65	5
2020-08-22	@ Houston Dynamo	T 0-0	1508.56	1465.60	34.23%	24.96%	40.81%	+0.32	6
2020-08-30	Minnesota United FC	W 3-1	1508.88	1534.98	43.20%	24.77%	32.03%	+11.76	9
2020-09-03	@ Sporting Kansas City	T 1-1	1520.64	1533.22	27.47%	23.96%	48.58%	+0.94	10
2020-09-10	@ Minnesota United FC	L 2-3	1521.58	1528.75	28.06%	24.10%	47.84%	-5.77	10
2020-09-13	Houston Dynamo	W 2-1	1515.81	1515.64	46.87%	24.27%	28.86%	+6.23	13
2020-09-17	Colorado Rapids	W 4-1	1522.04	1511.22	48.34%	24.00%	27.66%	+14.69	16
2020-09-19	@ Sporting Kansas City	W 3-2	1536.73	1532.35	29.38%	24.37%	46.24%	+8.56	19
2020-09-24	@ Atlanta United FC	L 0-1	1545.29	1483.03	36.90%	25.06%	38.04%	-8.04	19
2020-09-28	Orlando City	T 0-0	1537.25	1531.77	47.60%	24.14%	28.25%	-0.96	20
2020-10-04	Columbus Crew	T 2-2	1536.29	1573.16	41.68%	24.90%	33.42%	-0.26	21
2020-10-08	@ Houston Dynamo	L 0-2	1536.03	1471.90	37.17%	25.06%	37.77%	-15.26	21
2020-10-15	Sporting Kansas City	W 1-0	1520.77	1533.47	45.09%	24.54%	30.37%	+6.90	24
2020-10-21	@ Nashville SC	L 0-3	1527.67	1463.95	37.11%	25.06%	37.83%	-22.13	24
2020-10-25	@ Real Salt Lake	T 0-0	1505.54	1464.74	33.94%	24.94%	41.12%	+0.34	25
2020-10-29	Inter Miami	W 2-1	1505.88	1425.40	57.48%	21.50%	21.02%	+4.62	28
2020-10-31	Houston Dynamo	W 3-0	1510.50	1459.03	53.77%	22.69%	23.55%	+15.01	31
2020-11-05	@ Nashville SC	W 1-0	1525.51	1493.46	32.79%	24.85%	42.36%	+8.94	34
2020-11-08	@ Minnesota United FC	L 0-3	1534.45	1538.79	28.38%	24.17%	47.45%	-17.82	34
2020-02-29	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1491.56	1505.99	44.84%	24.57%	30.58%	-0.62	1
2020-03-08	@ Sporting Kansas City	L 0-4	1490.94	1511.17	26.64%	23.74%	49.62%	-22.02	1
2020-07-14	@ Los Angeles FC	T 3-3	1468.92	1564.44	19.83%	20.82%	59.35%	+1.13	2
2020-07-19	@ Portland Timbers	L 1-2	1470.05	1512.15	24.43%	23.03%	52.54%	-5.35	2
2020-07-24	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1464.70	1474.25	27.80%	24.04%	48.16%	+0.90	3
2020-08-22	FC Dallas	T 0-0	1465.60	1508.56	40.81%	24.96%	34.23%	-0.31	4
2020-08-26	@ Sporting Kansas City	W 5-2	1465.29	1556.46	20.16%	21.02%	58.82%	+23.18	7
2020-09-03	Minnesota United FC	W 3-0	1488.47	1523.22	41.98%	24.88%	33.14%	+20.27	10
2020-09-06	Sporting Kansas City	W 2-1	1508.74	1532.28	43.56%	24.73%	31.71%	+6.74	13
2020-09-10	@ Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1515.48	1462.89	35.54%	25.03%	39.43%	+0.16	14
2020-09-13	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1515.64	1515.81	28.86%	24.27%	46.87%	-6.22	14
2020-09-20	Minnesota United FC	T 2-2	1509.42	1527.71	44.30%	24.64%	31.05%	-0.43	15
2020-09-24	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-4	1508.99	1442.25	37.54%	25.06%	37.40%	-29.16	15
2020-09-26	@ Nashville SC	T 1-1	1479.83	1450.25	32.48%	24.81%	42.71%	+0.44	16
2020-10-04	Sporting Kansas City	L 1-2	1480.27	1514.65	42.03%	24.87%	33.10%	-8.37	16
2020-10-08	FC Dallas	W 2-0	1471.90	1536.03	37.77%	25.06%	37.17%	+15.25	19
2020-10-10	@ Inter Miami	L 0-1	1487.15	1413.65	38.52%	25.05%	36.43%	-8.31	19
2020-10-15	Nashville SC	L 1-3	1478.84	1447.01	51.18%	23.38%	25.45%	-16.94	19
2020-10-19	@ Minnesota United FC	T 2-2	1461.90	1529.06	22.14%	22.06%	55.79%	+1.14	20
2020-10-25	Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1463.04	1562.40	32.93%	24.86%	42.21%	+0.40	21
2020-10-29	@ Los Angeles FC	L 1-2	1463.44	1554.64	20.16%	21.02%	58.82%	-4.41	21
2020-10-31	@ FC Dallas	L 0-3	1459.03	1510.50	23.55%	22.69%	53.77%	-15.02	21
2020-11-08	Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1444.01	1531.67	34.48%	24.98%	40.54%	-7.20	21
2020-03-01	@ Los Angeles FC	L 0-1	1450.00	1561.06	18.67%	20.08%	61.25%	-4.31	0
2020-03-07	@ DC United	L 1-2	1445.69	1501.71	23.13%	22.51%	54.36%	-5.08	0
2020-07-09	@ Orlando City	L 1-2	1440.61	1467.63	25.94%	23.53%	50.53%	-5.66	0
2020-07-15	@ Philadelphia Union	L 1-2	1434.95	1512.58	21.25%	21.62%	57.12%	-4.67	0
2020-07-20	New York City FC	L 0-1	1430.28	1498.24	37.22%	25.06%	37.72%	-8.10	0
2020-08-23	Orlando City	W 3-2	1422.18	1486.63	37.73%	25.06%	37.21%	+7.25	3
2020-08-31	@ Nashville SC	L 0-1	1429.43	1431.68	28.62%	24.22%	47.16%	-6.56	3
2020-09-03	@ Atlanta United FC	T 0-0	1422.87	1514.86	20.10%	20.98%	58.92%	+2.00	4
2020-09-07	Nashville SC	T 0-0	1424.87	1438.26	44.99%	24.55%	30.46%	-0.71	5
2020-09-10	Atlanta United FC	W 2-1	1424.16	1513.57	34.24%	24.96%	40.79%	+8.19	8
2020-09-13	@ Orlando City	L 1-2	1432.35	1505.41	21.64%	21.82%	56.55%	-4.75	8
2020-09-20	@ Atlanta United FC	W 2-1	1427.60	1493.49	22.25%	22.12%	55.63%	+10.45	11
2020-09-24	New York RB	L 1-4	1438.05	1479.76	40.99%	24.95%	34.06%	-20.11	11
2020-09-28	@ Philadelphia Union	L 0-3	1417.94	1577.29	15.50%	17.65%	66.86%	-9.56	11
2020-10-04	New York City FC	L 2-3	1408.38	1544.75	28.43%	24.18%	47.39%	-5.83	11
2020-10-08	@ New York RB	W 2-1	1402.55	1503.11	19.44%	20.59%	59.97%	+11.10	14
2020-10-10	Houston Dynamo	W 1-0	1413.65	1487.15	36.43%	25.05%	38.52%	+8.30	17
2020-10-15	Atlanta United FC	T 1-1	1421.95	1499.13	35.92%	25.04%	39.04%	+0.14	18
2020-10-18	@ Montreal Impact	L 1-2	1422.09	1448.38	26.01%	23.56%	50.43%	-5.68	18
2020-10-24	Orlando City	W 2-1	1416.41	1542.86	29.58%	24.41%	46.02%	+8.99	21
2020-10-29	@ FC Dallas	L 1-2	1425.40	1505.88	21.02%	21.50%	57.48%	-4.61	21
2020-11-02	@ Toronto FC	L 1-2	1420.79	1553.30	17.19%	19.02%	63.79%	-3.71	21
2020-11-08	FC Cincinnati	W 2-1	1417.08	1357.11	54.87%	22.36%	22.77%	+5.00	24
2020-03-01	Inter Miami	W 1-0	1561.06	1450.00	61.25%	20.08%	18.67%	+4.31	3
2020-03-09	Philadelphia Union	T 3-3	1565.37	1501.57	55.36%	22.20%	22.43%	-0.93	4
2020-07-14	Houston Dynamo	T 3-3	1564.44	1468.92	59.35%	20.82%	19.83%	-1.13	5
2020-07-19	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 6-2	1563.31	1486.83	56.98%	21.67%	21.35%	+12.58	8
2020-07-24	Portland Timbers	T 2-2	1575.89	1517.51	54.67%	22.42%	22.92%	-1.08	9
2020-08-22	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-2	1574.81	1473.35	60.08%	20.54%	19.38%	-22.23	9
2020-08-31	@ Seattle Sounders	L 1-3	1552.58	1565.35	27.45%	23.95%	48.60%	-10.32	9
2020-09-03	San Jose Earthquakes	W 5-1	1542.26	1492.82	53.50%	22.76%	23.74%	+16.47	12
2020-09-07	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-3	1558.73	1510.03	35.01%	25.00%	39.99%	-21.16	12
2020-09-10	@ Real Salt Lake	L 0-3	1537.57	1503.75	33.02%	24.87%	42.11%	-20.22	12
2020-09-14	Portland Timbers	W 4-2	1517.35	1495.70	49.81%	23.70%	26.49%	+8.95	15
2020-09-19	@ Seattle Sounders	L 0-3	1526.30	1585.30	22.86%	22.39%	54.75%	-14.59	15
2020-09-24	Vancouver Whitecaps	W 6-0	1511.71	1452.40	54.79%	22.38%	22.83%	+27.86	18
2020-09-28	San Jose Earthquakes	L 1-2	1539.57	1401.72	64.41%	18.75%	16.84%	-11.72	18
2020-10-05	@ Real Salt Lake	W 3-1	1527.85	1481.54	34.68%	24.99%	40.33%	+14.05	21
2020-10-12	Seattle Sounders	W 3-1	1541.90	1612.23	36.88%	25.06%	38.06%	+13.44	24
2020-10-15	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	L 1-2	1555.34	1402.45	49.64%	23.73%	26.62%	-9.54	24
2020-10-19	@ Portland Timbers	T 1-1	1545.80	1554.10	27.94%	24.07%	47.99%	+0.88	25
2020-10-25	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-0	1546.68	1430.54	61.86%	19.84%	18.31%	+7.96	28
2020-10-29	Houston Dynamo	W 2-1	1554.64	1463.44	58.82%	21.02%	20.16%	+4.42	31
2020-11-05	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 2-3	1559.06	1470.47	40.68%	24.97%	34.35%	-7.75	31
2020-11-08	Portland Timbers	T 1-1	1551.31	1555.23	46.31%	24.36%	29.33%	-0.75	32
2020-02-29	@ Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1505.99	1491.56	30.58%	24.57%	44.84%	+0.62	1
2020-03-08	Vancouver Whitecaps	L 0-1	1506.61	1453.69	53.96%	22.63%	23.41%	-10.82	1
2020-07-14	Portland Timbers	L 1-2	1495.79	1503.19	45.82%	24.44%	29.74%	-8.96	1
2020-07-19	@ Los Angeles FC	L 2-6	1486.83	1563.31	21.35%	21.67%	56.98%	-12.58	1
2020-07-24	Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1474.25	1464.70	48.16%	24.04%	27.80%	-0.90	2
2020-08-22	@ Los Angeles FC	W 2-0	1473.35	1574.81	19.38%	20.54%	60.08%	+22.23	5
2020-08-30	San Jose Earthquakes	W 3-2	1495.58	1498.79	46.41%	24.35%	29.25%	+5.97	8
2020-09-03	@ Portland Timbers	W 3-2	1501.55	1493.25	29.85%	24.45%	45.70%	+8.48	11
2020-09-07	Los Angeles FC	W 3-0	1510.03	1558.73	39.99%	25.00%	35.01%	+21.17	14
2020-09-14	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 0-0	1531.20	1455.01	38.90%	25.04%	36.06%	-0.14	15
2020-09-20	Colorado Rapids	L 0-2	1531.06	1496.53	51.54%	23.29%	25.17%	-19.68	15
2020-09-24	@ Real Salt Lake	L 0-2	1511.38	1465.67	34.60%	24.98%	40.41%	-14.44	15
2020-09-28	Seattle Sounders	L 1-3	1496.94	1591.42	33.57%	24.91%	41.52%	-12.21	15
2020-10-04	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 1-2	1484.73	1413.44	38.20%	25.05%	36.75%	-7.78	15
2020-10-08	Portland Timbers	L 3-6	1476.95	1535.50	38.57%	25.05%	36.38%	-15.41	15
2020-10-15	San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-4	1461.54	1427.01	51.54%	23.29%	25.17%	-37.33	15
2020-10-19	Vancouver Whitecaps	W 1-0	1424.21	1411.99	48.53%	23.97%	27.51%	+6.33	18
2020-10-25	@ Los Angeles FC	L 0-2	1430.54	1546.68	18.31%	19.84%	61.86%	-7.95	18
2020-10-29	@ Portland Timbers	L 2-5	1422.59	1554.51	17.23%	19.05%	63.72%	-7.89	18
2020-11-02	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1414.70	1451.65	41.66%	24.90%	33.43%	+7.03	21
2020-11-05	Seattle Sounders	T 1-1	1421.73	1592.34	24.82%	23.17%	52.02%	+1.23	22
2020-11-08	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	L 0-3	1422.96	1399.34	31.72%	24.73%	43.55%	-19.57	22
2020-03-02	@ Portland Timbers	W 3-1	1499.87	1514.09	27.29%	23.91%	48.80%	+16.32	3
2020-03-08	@ San Jose Earthquakes	W 5-2	1516.19	1487.34	32.38%	24.81%	42.81%	+18.02	6
2020-07-13	@ Sporting Kansas City	W 2-1	1534.21	1533.19	28.99%	24.30%	46.71%	+9.09	9
2020-07-18	@ Real Salt Lake	T 0-0	1543.30	1527.37	30.77%	24.60%	44.63%	+0.68	10
2020-07-23	@ Colorado Rapids	T 2-2	1543.98	1482.90	36.73%	25.05%	38.21%	+0.05	11
2020-08-22	Sporting Kansas City	L 1-2	1544.03	1547.42	46.38%	24.35%	29.27%	-9.05	11
2020-08-30	@ FC Dallas	L 1-3	1534.98	1508.88	32.03%	24.77%	43.20%	-11.76	11
2020-09-03	@ Houston Dynamo	L 0-3	1523.22	1488.47	33.14%	24.88%	41.98%	-20.28	11
2020-09-07	Real Salt Lake	W 4-0	1502.94	1529.56	43.13%	24.77%	32.10%	+25.81	14
2020-09-10	FC Dallas	W 3-2	1528.75	1521.58	47.84%	24.10%	28.06%	+5.77	17
2020-09-14	@ Sporting Kansas City	L 0-1	1534.52	1525.54	29.93%	24.47%	45.61%	-6.81	17
2020-09-20	@ Houston Dynamo	T 2-2	1527.71	1509.42	31.05%	24.64%	44.30%	+0.43	18
2020-09-24	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1528.14	1579.83	23.53%	22.68%	53.80%	-5.17	18
2020-09-28	Real Salt Lake	T 0-0	1522.97	1480.11	52.64%	23.00%	24.36%	-1.42	19
2020-10-04	FC Cincinnati	W 2-0	1521.55	1396.82	62.88%	19.41%	17.71%	+7.67	22
2020-10-07	@ Nashville SC	T 0-0	1529.22	1451.53	39.12%	25.04%	35.85%	-0.16	23
2020-10-19	Houston Dynamo	T 2-2	1529.06	1461.90	55.79%	22.06%	22.14%	-1.15	24
2020-10-25	@ FC Cincinnati	W 1-0	1527.91	1377.20	49.35%	23.80%	26.85%	+6.20	27
2020-10-29	Colorado Rapids	W 2-1	1534.11	1512.18	49.85%	23.69%	26.47%	+5.77	30
2020-11-05	Chicago Fire	T 2-2	1539.88	1480.72	54.77%	22.39%	22.85%	-1.09	31
2020-11-08	FC Dallas	W 3-0	1538.79	1534.45	47.45%	24.17%	28.38%	+17.83	34
2020-02-29	New England Revolution	W 2-1	1489.53	1491.88	46.53%	24.33%	29.15%	+6.28	3
2020-03-07	@ FC Dallas	T 2-2	1495.81	1522.49	25.97%	23.54%	50.49%	+0.82	4
2020-07-10	New England Revolution	L 0-1	1496.63	1484.99	48.45%	23.98%	27.57%	-9.93	4
2020-07-17	Toronto FC	L 3-4	1486.70	1525.43	41.41%	24.92%	33.67%	-7.67	4
2020-07-22	DC United	W 1-0	1479.03	1506.61	42.99%	24.79%	32.22%	+7.24	7
2020-08-26	Vancouver Whitecaps	W 2-0	1486.27	1443.83	52.58%	23.02%	24.40%	+10.70	10
2020-08-29	Toronto FC	L 0-1	1496.97	1550.31	39.32%	25.03%	35.65%	-8.44	10
2020-09-02	@ Toronto FC	W 1-0	1488.53	1558.75	21.88%	21.94%	56.19%	+11.18	13
2020-09-10	Toronto FC	L 1-2	1499.71	1539.29	41.29%	24.93%	33.78%	-8.26	13
2020-09-14	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	W 4-2	1491.45	1441.42	35.19%	25.01%	39.80%	+12.44	16
2020-09-17	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	L 1-3	1503.89	1428.98	38.72%	25.05%	36.24%	-13.63	16
2020-09-21	Philadelphia Union	L 1-4	1490.26	1560.03	36.96%	25.06%	37.98%	-18.60	16
2020-09-23	@ New England Revolution	L 1-3	1471.66	1490.60	26.78%	23.78%	49.44%	-10.10	16
2020-09-28	@ New York RB	L 1-4	1461.56	1499.88	24.80%	23.16%	52.04%	-13.30	16
2020-10-04	Chicago Fire	T 2-2	1448.26	1484.71	41.74%	24.90%	33.37%	-0.27	17
2020-10-08	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1447.99	1573.42	17.66%	19.38%	62.96%	+11.53	20
2020-10-12	@ Philadelphia Union	L 1-2	1459.52	1588.49	17.42%	19.20%	63.38%	-3.77	20
2020-10-15	New England Revolution	L 2-3	1455.75	1517.39	38.13%	25.06%	36.81%	-7.37	20
2020-10-18	Inter Miami	W 2-1	1448.38	1422.09	50.43%	23.56%	26.01%	+5.67	23
2020-10-25	@ New York City FC	L 1-3	1454.05	1539.25	20.64%	21.29%	58.07%	-7.84	23
2020-10-27	Nashville SC	L 0-1	1446.21	1485.66	41.31%	24.93%	33.76%	-8.76	23
2020-11-02	Orlando City	L 0-1	1437.45	1546.58	31.68%	24.73%	43.59%	-7.14	23
2020-11-08	@ DC United	W 3-2	1430.31	1425.24	29.46%	24.39%	46.15%	+8.55	26
2020-03-01	Atlanta United FC	L 1-2	1450.00	1544.02	33.63%	24.92%	41.45%	-7.06	0
2020-03-08	@ Portland Timbers	L 0-1	1442.94	1497.78	23.24%	22.56%	54.21%	-5.41	0
2020-08-13	@ FC Dallas	W 1-0	1437.53	1521.67	20.72%	21.34%	57.94%	+11.45	3
2020-08-17	@ FC Dallas	T 0-0	1448.98	1510.21	22.66%	22.31%	55.03%	+1.65	4
2020-08-23	@ Atlanta United FC	L 0-2	1450.63	1522.67	21.72%	21.86%	56.42%	-9.54	4
2020-08-27	@ Orlando City	L 1-3	1441.09	1479.39	24.80%	23.16%	52.04%	-9.41	4
2020-08-31	Inter Miami	W 1-0	1431.68	1429.43	47.16%	24.22%	28.62%	+6.56	7
2020-09-03	Orlando City	T 1-1	1438.24	1506.14	37.23%	25.06%	37.71%	+0.02	8
2020-09-07	@ Inter Miami	T 0-0	1438.26	1424.87	30.46%	24.55%	44.99%	+0.71	9
2020-09-13	Atlanta United FC	W 4-2	1438.97	1505.38	37.44%	25.06%	37.50%	+11.89	12
2020-09-20	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-2	1450.86	1572.04	17.95%	19.59%	62.46%	-7.79	12
2020-09-24	DC United	W 1-0	1443.07	1467.96	43.37%	24.75%	31.88%	+7.18	15
2020-09-26	Houston Dynamo	T 1-1	1450.25	1479.83	42.71%	24.81%	32.48%	-0.44	16
2020-10-04	@ New England Revolution	T 0-0	1449.81	1517.20	22.12%	22.06%	55.82%	+1.72	17
2020-10-07	Minnesota United FC	T 0-0	1451.53	1529.22	35.85%	25.04%	39.12%	+0.15	18
2020-10-12	@ Sporting Kansas City	L 1-2	1451.68	1528.79	21.30%	21.65%	57.06%	-4.67	18
2020-10-15	@ Houston Dynamo	W 3-1	1447.01	1478.84	25.45%	23.38%	51.18%	+16.94	21
2020-10-21	FC Dallas	W 3-0	1463.95	1527.67	37.83%	25.06%	37.11%	+22.13	24
2020-10-24	New England Revolution	T 1-1	1486.08	1517.09	42.51%	24.83%	32.66%	-0.42	25
2020-10-27	@ Montreal Impact	W 1-0	1485.66	1446.21	33.76%	24.93%	41.31%	+8.76	28
2020-11-01	Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1494.42	1479.76	48.86%	23.90%	27.24%	-0.96	29
2020-11-05	FC Dallas	L 0-1	1493.46	1525.51	42.36%	24.85%	32.79%	-8.94	29
2020-11-08	@ Orlando City	W 3-2	1484.52	1560.08	21.43%	21.71%	56.86%	+10.10	32
2020-02-29	@ Montreal Impact	L 1-2	1491.88	1489.53	29.15%	24.33%	46.53%	-6.28	0
2020-03-07	Chicago Fire	T 1-1	1485.60	1501.07	44.70%	24.59%	30.71%	-0.61	1
2020-07-10	@ Montreal Impact	W 1-0	1484.99	1496.63	27.57%	23.98%	48.45%	+9.94	4
2020-07-18	@ DC United	T 1-1	1494.93	1507.55	27.46%	23.95%	48.58%	+0.93	5
2020-07-21	@ Toronto FC	T 0-0	1495.86	1533.10	24.91%	23.20%	51.90%	+1.36	6
2020-08-21	Philadelphia Union	T 0-0	1497.22	1516.09	44.22%	24.65%	31.13%	-0.63	7
2020-08-26	@ DC United	W 2-1	1496.59	1499.30	28.57%	24.21%	47.23%	+9.17	10
2020-08-30	New York RB	T 1-1	1505.76	1506.48	46.75%	24.29%	28.96%	-0.78	11
2020-09-03	New York City FC	L 0-2	1504.98	1517.36	45.13%	24.54%	30.33%	-17.71	11
2020-09-07	@ Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1487.27	1462.84	31.82%	24.74%	43.44%	+8.60	14
2020-09-13	@ Philadelphia Union	L 1-2	1495.87	1555.01	22.85%	22.39%	54.76%	-5.02	14
2020-09-19	New York City FC	T 0-0	1490.85	1539.02	40.06%	25.00%	34.94%	-0.25	15
2020-09-23	Montreal Impact	W 3-1	1490.60	1471.66	49.44%	23.78%	26.78%	+10.10	18
2020-09-28	@ DC United	W 2-0	1500.70	1460.79	33.82%	24.93%	41.24%	+16.50	21
2020-10-04	Nashville SC	T 0-0	1517.20	1449.81	55.82%	22.06%	22.12%	-1.72	22
2020-10-08	Toronto FC	L 0-1	1515.48	1575.37	38.38%	25.05%	36.57%	-8.29	22
2020-10-11	@ New York City FC	W 2-1	1507.19	1559.44	23.47%	22.66%	53.87%	+10.20	25
2020-10-15	@ Montreal Impact	W 3-2	1517.39	1455.75	36.81%	25.06%	38.13%	+7.37	28
2020-10-20	Philadelphia Union	L 1-2	1524.76	1591.15	37.45%	25.06%	37.49%	-7.67	28
2020-10-24	@ Nashville SC	T 1-1	1517.09	1486.08	32.66%	24.83%	42.51%	+0.43	29
2020-10-28	@ New York RB	L 0-1	1517.52	1503.89	30.48%	24.56%	44.96%	-6.92	29
2020-11-02	DC United	W 4-3	1510.60	1429.50	57.56%	21.47%	20.97%	+4.26	32
2020-11-08	@ Philadelphia Union	L 0-2	1514.86	1622.83	18.89%	20.23%	60.87%	-8.24	32
2020-03-01	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1534.85	1493.05	34.08%	24.95%	40.97%	-7.57	0
2020-03-07	@ Toronto FC	L 0-1	1527.28	1519.41	29.80%	24.45%	45.76%	-6.78	0
2020-07-09	Philadelphia Union	L 0-1	1520.50	1502.50	49.31%	23.80%	26.88%	-10.08	0
2020-07-15	@ Orlando City	L 1-3	1510.42	1473.29	33.46%	24.90%	41.64%	-12.18	0
2020-07-20	@ Inter Miami	W 1-0	1498.24	1430.28	37.72%	25.06%	37.22%	+8.10	3
2020-08-21	@ New York RB	L 0-1	1506.34	1506.40	28.87%	24.27%	46.86%	-6.60	3
2020-08-25	Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1499.74	1565.56	37.53%	25.06%	37.41%	+8.13	6
2020-08-30	Chicago Fire	W 3-1	1507.87	1472.12	51.70%	23.25%	25.05%	+9.49	9
2020-09-03	@ New England Revolution	W 2-0	1517.36	1504.98	30.33%	24.54%	45.13%	+17.71	12
2020-09-07	@ DC United	T 0-0	1535.07	1486.92	34.93%	25.00%	40.07%	+0.24	13
2020-09-13	FC Cincinnati	W 2-1	1535.31	1402.54	63.82%	19.01%	17.17%	+3.71	16
2020-09-19	@ New England Revolution	T 0-0	1539.02	1490.85	34.94%	25.00%	40.06%	+0.24	17
2020-09-24	Toronto FC	L 0-1	1539.26	1547.43	45.72%	24.45%	29.83%	-9.49	17
2020-09-27	FC Cincinnati	W 4-0	1529.77	1411.80	62.08%	19.75%	18.18%	+14.98	20
2020-10-04	@ Inter Miami	W 3-2	1544.75	1408.38	47.39%	24.18%	28.43%	+5.83	23
2020-10-08	DC United	W 4-1	1550.58	1412.43	64.45%	18.74%	16.82%	+8.86	26
2020-10-11	New England Revolution	L 1-2	1559.44	1507.19	53.87%	22.66%	23.47%	-10.19	26
2020-10-15	@ Orlando City	T 1-1	1549.25	1543.25	29.57%	24.41%	46.02%	+0.72	27
2020-10-18	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-3	1549.97	1551.68	28.68%	24.23%	47.09%	-10.72	27
2020-10-25	Montreal Impact	W 3-1	1539.25	1454.05	58.07%	21.29%	20.64%	+7.84	30
2020-10-28	@ Toronto FC	W 1-0	1547.09	1563.33	27.07%	23.85%	49.08%	+10.03	33
2020-11-02	New York RB	W 5-2	1557.12	1510.81	53.09%	22.88%	24.03%	+11.18	36
2020-11-08	@ Chicago Fire	W 4-3	1568.30	1481.81	40.38%	24.98%	34.64%	+6.69	39
2020-03-01	FC Cincinnati	W 3-2	1521.27	1434.53	58.27%	21.22%	20.51%	+4.27	3
2020-03-07	@ Real Salt Lake	T 1-1	1525.54	1516.26	29.96%	24.47%	45.56%	+0.68	4
2020-07-12	@ Atlanta United FC	W 1-0	1526.22	1554.98	25.76%	23.48%	50.77%	+10.31	7
2020-07-17	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-2	1536.53	1530.16	29.62%	24.41%	45.97%	-12.73	7
2020-07-23	@ FC Cincinnati	L 0-2	1523.80	1410.61	44.17%	24.66%	31.17%	-17.40	7
2020-08-21	New York City FC	W 1-0	1506.40	1506.34	46.86%	24.27%	28.87%	+6.60	10
2020-08-26	@ Philadelphia Union	L 0-1	1513.00	1516.73	28.45%	24.18%	47.36%	-6.52	10
2020-08-30	@ New England Revolution	T 1-1	1506.48	1505.76	28.96%	24.29%	46.75%	+0.78	11
2020-09-03	DC United	L 0-1	1507.26	1476.56	51.02%	23.42%	25.56%	-10.35	11
2020-09-07	Philadelphia Union	L 0-3	1496.91	1530.64	42.12%	24.87%	33.01%	-24.37	11
2020-09-13	@ DC United	W 2-0	1472.54	1486.67	27.30%	23.91%	48.79%	+18.84	14
2020-09-20	FC Cincinnati	L 0-1	1491.38	1398.84	58.99%	20.96%	20.06%	-11.62	14
2020-09-24	@ Inter Miami	W 4-1	1479.76	1438.05	34.06%	24.95%	40.99%	+20.12	17
2020-09-28	Montreal Impact	W 4-1	1499.88	1461.56	52.04%	23.16%	24.80%	+13.30	20
2020-10-03	@ Orlando City	L 1-3	1513.18	1532.73	26.72%	23.76%	49.52%	-10.07	20
2020-10-08	Inter Miami	L 1-2	1503.11	1402.55	59.97%	20.59%	19.44%	-11.10	20
2020-10-10	@ Atlanta United FC	W 1-0	1492.01	1509.18	26.97%	23.83%	49.20%	+10.06	23
2020-10-15	@ Toronto FC	T 1-1	1502.07	1588.75	20.52%	21.22%	58.26%	+1.74	24
2020-10-19	Orlando City	T 1-1	1503.81	1542.53	41.41%	24.92%	33.67%	-0.34	25
2020-10-25	@ Chicago Fire	T 2-2	1503.47	1483.70	31.24%	24.67%	44.09%	+0.42	26
2020-10-28	New England Revolution	W 1-0	1503.89	1517.52	44.96%	24.56%	30.48%	+6.92	29
2020-11-02	@ New York City FC	L 2-5	1510.81	1557.12	24.03%	22.88%	53.09%	-11.19	29
2020-11-08	Toronto FC	W 2-1	1499.62	1557.00	38.74%	25.04%	36.21%	+7.48	32
2020-02-29	Real Salt Lake	T 0-0	1473.75	1515.93	40.92%	24.95%	34.13%	-0.33	1
2020-03-08	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1473.42	1494.09	26.60%	23.73%	49.68%	-5.79	1
2020-07-09	Inter Miami	W 2-1	1467.63	1440.61	50.53%	23.53%	25.94%	+5.66	4
2020-07-15	New York City FC	W 3-1	1473.29	1510.42	41.64%	24.90%	33.46%	+12.18	7
2020-07-21	@ Philadelphia Union	T 1-1	1485.47	1517.24	25.45%	23.38%	51.17%	+1.16	8
2020-08-23	@ Inter Miami	L 2-3	1486.63	1422.18	37.21%	25.06%	37.73%	-7.24	8
2020-08-27	Nashville SC	W 3-1	1479.39	1441.09	52.04%	23.16%	24.80%	+9.40	11
2020-08-29	@ Atlanta United FC	W 3-1	1488.79	1532.21	24.31%	22.98%	52.71%	+17.35	14
2020-09-03	@ Nashville SC	T 1-1	1506.14	1438.24	37.71%	25.06%	37.23%	-0.02	15
2020-09-06	Atlanta United FC	T 1-1	1506.12	1512.86	45.92%	24.42%	29.66%	-0.71	16
2020-09-13	Inter Miami	W 2-1	1505.41	1432.35	56.55%	21.82%	21.64%	+4.75	19
2020-09-20	Chicago Fire	W 4-1	1510.16	1454.72	54.29%	22.53%	23.18%	+12.47	22
2020-09-24	@ Sporting Kansas City	W 2-1	1522.63	1523.79	28.74%	24.25%	47.01%	+9.14	25
2020-09-28	@ FC Dallas	T 0-0	1531.77	1537.25	28.25%	24.14%	47.60%	+0.96	26
2020-10-03	New York RB	W 3-1	1532.73	1513.18	49.52%	23.76%	26.72%	+10.07	29
2020-10-08	@ Atlanta United FC	T 0-0	1542.80	1509.63	32.94%	24.86%	42.20%	+0.45	30
2020-10-15	New York City FC	T 1-1	1543.25	1549.25	46.02%	24.41%	29.57%	-0.72	31
2020-10-19	@ New York RB	T 1-1	1542.53	1503.81	33.67%	24.92%	41.41%	+0.33	32
2020-10-24	@ Inter Miami	L 1-2	1542.86	1416.41	46.02%	24.41%	29.58%	-8.99	32
2020-10-28	Atlanta United FC	W 4-1	1533.87	1483.42	53.63%	22.72%	23.64%	+12.71	35
2020-11-02	@ Montreal Impact	W 1-0	1546.58	1437.45	43.59%	24.73%	31.68%	+7.14	38
2020-11-05	Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1553.72	1560.06	45.97%	24.41%	29.61%	+6.36	41
2020-11-08	Nashville SC	L 2-3	1560.08	1484.52	56.86%	21.71%	21.43%	-10.09	41
2020-02-29	@ FC Dallas	L 0-2	1514.21	1509.85	29.38%	24.37%	46.25%	-12.64	0
2020-03-09	@ Los Angeles FC	T 3-3	1501.57	1565.37	22.43%	22.20%	55.36%	+0.93	1
2020-07-09	@ New York City FC	W 1-0	1502.50	1520.50	26.88%	23.80%	49.31%	+10.08	4
2020-07-15	Inter Miami	W 2-1	1512.58	1434.95	57.12%	21.62%	21.25%	+4.66	7
2020-07-21	Orlando City	T 1-1	1517.24	1485.47	51.17%	23.38%	25.45%	-1.15	8
2020-08-21	@ New England Revolution	T 0-0	1516.09	1497.22	31.13%	24.65%	44.22%	+0.64	9
2020-08-26	New York RB	W 1-0	1516.73	1513.00	47.36%	24.18%	28.45%	+6.52	12
2020-08-30	DC United	W 4-1	1523.25	1490.13	51.35%	23.34%	25.32%	+13.56	15
2020-09-03	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1536.81	1556.37	26.71%	23.76%	49.53%	-6.17	15
2020-09-07	@ New York RB	W 3-0	1530.64	1496.91	33.01%	24.87%	42.12%	+24.37	18
2020-09-13	New England Revolution	W 2-1	1555.01	1495.87	54.76%	22.39%	22.85%	+5.02	21
2020-09-21	@ Montreal Impact	W 4-1	1560.03	1490.26	37.98%	25.06%	36.96%	+18.60	24
2020-09-24	@ FC Cincinnati	T 0-0	1578.63	1410.46	51.69%	23.25%	25.06%	-1.34	25
2020-09-28	Inter Miami	W 3-0	1577.29	1417.94	66.86%	17.65%	15.50%	+9.56	28
2020-10-04	@ Toronto FC	L 1-2	1586.85	1568.75	31.03%	24.64%	44.33%	-6.62	28
2020-10-08	FC Cincinnati	W 3-0	1580.23	1389.15	70.31%	15.99%	13.70%	+8.26	31
2020-10-12	Montreal Impact	W 2-1	1588.49	1459.52	63.38%	19.20%	17.42%	+3.76	34
2020-10-15	@ DC United	T 2-2	1592.25	1398.87	54.99%	22.32%	22.69%	-1.10	35
2020-10-20	@ New England Revolution	W 2-1	1591.15	1524.76	37.49%	25.06%	37.45%	+7.67	38
2020-10-25	Toronto FC	W 5-0	1598.82	1591.76	47.82%	24.10%	28.08%	+28.43	41
2020-10-28	Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1627.25	1483.29	65.12%	18.44%	16.45%	+3.53	44
2020-11-01	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1630.78	1552.11	39.26%	25.03%	35.71%	-7.95	44
2020-11-08	New England Revolution	W 2-0	1622.83	1514.86	60.87%	20.23%	18.89%	+8.24	47
2020-03-02	Minnesota United FC	L 1-3	1514.09	1499.87	48.80%	23.91%	27.29%	-16.31	0
2020-03-08	Nashville SC	W 1-0	1497.78	1442.94	54.21%	22.56%	23.24%	+5.41	3
2020-07-14	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1503.19	1495.79	29.74%	24.44%	45.82%	+8.96	6
2020-07-19	Houston Dynamo	W 2-1	1512.15	1470.05	52.54%	23.03%	24.43%	+5.36	9
2020-07-24	@ Los Angeles FC	T 2-2	1517.51	1575.89	22.92%	22.42%	54.67%	+1.08	10
2020-08-24	Seattle Sounders	L 0-3	1518.59	1540.21	43.83%	24.70%	31.47%	-25.14	10
2020-08-30	Real Salt Lake	T 4-4	1493.45	1529.54	41.79%	24.89%	33.32%	-0.20	11
2020-09-03	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 2-3	1493.25	1501.55	45.70%	24.45%	29.85%	-8.48	11
2020-09-07	@ Seattle Sounders	W 2-1	1484.77	1575.85	20.17%	21.02%	58.80%	+10.93	14
2020-09-14	@ Los Angeles FC	L 2-4	1495.70	1517.35	26.49%	23.70%	49.81%	-8.94	14
2020-09-16	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 1-1	1486.76	1455.15	32.74%	24.84%	42.42%	+0.42	15
2020-09-20	@ San Jose Earthquakes	W 6-1	1487.18	1454.73	32.84%	24.85%	42.30%	+32.59	18
2020-09-24	Seattle Sounders	W 1-0	1519.77	1599.88	35.51%	25.02%	39.46%	+8.47	21
2020-09-28	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	W 1-0	1528.24	1424.54	42.83%	24.80%	32.37%	+7.26	24
2020-10-08	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 6-3	1535.50	1476.95	36.38%	25.05%	38.57%	+15.40	27
2020-10-12	San Jose Earthquakes	W 3-0	1550.90	1438.77	61.38%	20.03%	18.59%	+11.76	30
2020-10-15	@ Real Salt Lake	L 1-2	1562.66	1456.18	43.22%	24.76%	32.02%	-8.56	30
2020-10-19	Los Angeles FC	T 1-1	1554.10	1545.80	47.99%	24.07%	27.94%	-0.89	31
2020-10-23	@ Seattle Sounders	T 1-1	1553.21	1597.88	24.19%	22.94%	52.88%	+1.30	32
2020-10-29	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 5-2	1554.51	1422.59	63.72%	19.05%	17.23%	+7.88	35
2020-11-02	Vancouver Whitecaps	W 1-0	1562.39	1402.83	66.88%	17.63%	15.48%	+3.49	38
2020-11-05	Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1565.88	1521.01	52.90%	22.93%	24.17%	-10.65	38
2020-11-08	@ Los Angeles FC	T 1-1	1555.23	1551.31	29.33%	24.36%	46.31%	+0.74	39
2020-02-29	@ Orlando City	T 0-0	1515.93	1473.75	34.13%	24.95%	40.92%	+0.33	1
2020-03-07	New York RB	T 1-1	1516.26	1525.54	45.56%	24.47%	29.96%	-0.68	2
2020-07-13	Colorado Rapids	W 2-0	1515.58	1499.89	49.00%	23.87%	27.13%	+11.79	5
2020-07-18	Minnesota United FC	T 0-0	1527.37	1543.30	44.63%	24.60%	30.77%	-0.68	6
2020-07-22	Sporting Kansas City	L 0-2	1526.69	1529.29	46.49%	24.33%	29.18%	-18.12	6
2020-08-23	@ Colorado Rapids	W 4-1	1508.57	1482.85	31.98%	24.76%	43.26%	+20.97	9
2020-08-30	@ Portland Timbers	T 4-4	1529.54	1493.45	33.32%	24.89%	41.79%	+0.20	10
2020-09-03	Seattle Sounders	T 2-2	1529.74	1575.67	40.38%	24.98%	34.63%	-0.18	11
2020-09-07	@ Minnesota United FC	L 0-4	1529.56	1502.94	32.10%	24.77%	43.13%	-25.81	11
2020-09-10	Los Angeles FC	W 3-0	1503.75	1537.57	42.11%	24.87%	33.02%	+20.21	14
2020-09-13	Colorado Rapids	L 0-5	1523.96	1462.73	55.03%	22.31%	22.66%	-48.49	14
2020-09-20	Vancouver Whitecaps	L 1-2	1475.47	1442.60	51.31%	23.34%	25.34%	-9.80	14
2020-09-24	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-0	1465.67	1511.38	40.41%	24.98%	34.60%	+14.44	17
2020-09-28	@ Minnesota United FC	T 0-0	1480.11	1522.97	24.36%	23.00%	52.64%	+1.43	18
2020-10-05	Los Angeles FC	L 1-3	1481.54	1527.85	40.33%	24.99%	34.68%	-14.06	18
2020-10-08	@ Seattle Sounders	L 1-2	1467.48	1608.66	16.62%	18.58%	64.80%	-3.56	18
2020-10-11	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	L 1-2	1463.92	1394.71	37.90%	25.06%	37.04%	-7.74	18
2020-10-15	Portland Timbers	W 2-1	1456.18	1562.66	32.02%	24.76%	43.22%	+8.56	21
2020-10-25	FC Dallas	T 0-0	1464.74	1505.54	41.12%	24.94%	33.94%	-0.35	22
2020-10-29	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-2	1464.39	1457.73	29.65%	24.42%	45.93%	-12.74	22
2020-11-02	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1451.65	1414.70	33.43%	24.90%	41.66%	-7.03	22
2020-11-08	Sporting Kansas City	L 0-2	1444.62	1556.78	31.30%	24.68%	44.02%	-13.33	22
2020-02-29	Toronto FC	T 2-2	1487.65	1519.09	42.45%	24.84%	32.71%	-0.31	1
2020-03-08	Minnesota United FC	L 2-5	1487.34	1516.19	42.81%	24.81%	32.38%	-18.02	1
2020-07-11	@ Seattle Sounders	T 0-0	1469.32	1534.85	22.28%	22.13%	55.59%	+1.70	2
2020-07-16	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	W 4-3	1471.02	1464.51	29.63%	24.42%	45.95%	+8.31	5
2020-07-20	@ Chicago Fire	W 2-0	1479.33	1508.59	25.71%	23.46%	50.83%	+19.46	8
2020-08-30	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 2-3	1498.79	1495.58	29.25%	24.35%	46.41%	-5.97	8
2020-09-03	@ Los Angeles FC	L 1-5	1492.82	1542.26	23.74%	22.76%	53.50%	-16.47	8
2020-09-06	Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1476.35	1461.94	48.83%	23.91%	27.27%	-0.96	9
2020-09-11	@ Seattle Sounders	L 1-7	1475.39	1564.92	20.29%	21.09%	58.61%	-20.38	9
2020-09-14	Los Angeles Galaxy	T 0-0	1455.01	1531.20	36.06%	25.04%	38.90%	+0.14	10
2020-09-16	Portland Timbers	T 1-1	1455.15	1486.76	42.42%	24.84%	32.74%	-0.42	11
2020-09-20	Portland Timbers	L 1-6	1454.73	1487.18	42.30%	24.85%	32.84%	-32.60	11
2020-09-24	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-5	1422.13	1516.20	19.94%	20.89%	59.18%	-20.41	11
2020-09-28	@ Los Angeles FC	W 2-1	1401.72	1539.57	16.84%	18.75%	64.41%	+11.72	14
2020-10-04	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1413.44	1484.73	36.75%	25.05%	38.20%	+7.79	17
2020-10-08	Vancouver Whitecaps	W 3-0	1421.23	1412.24	48.09%	24.05%	27.86%	+17.54	20
2020-10-12	@ Portland Timbers	L 0-3	1438.77	1550.90	18.59%	20.03%	61.38%	-11.76	20
2020-10-15	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 4-0	1427.01	1461.54	25.17%	23.29%	51.54%	+37.33	23
2020-10-19	Seattle Sounders	T 0-0	1464.34	1598.79	28.65%	24.23%	47.12%	+0.91	24
2020-10-25	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	L 1-2	1465.25	1405.66	36.52%	25.05%	38.43%	-7.52	24
2020-10-29	Real Salt Lake	W 2-0	1457.73	1464.39	45.93%	24.42%	29.65%	+12.74	27
2020-11-05	Los Angeles FC	W 3-2	1470.47	1559.06	34.35%	24.97%	40.68%	+7.74	30
2020-11-08	@ Seattle Sounders	L 1-4	1478.21	1591.11	18.54%	19.99%	61.47%	-9.88	30
2020-03-01	Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1530.31	1506.81	50.06%	23.64%	26.30%	+5.74	3
2020-03-08	Columbus Crew	T 1-1	1536.05	1500.62	51.66%	23.26%	25.09%	-1.20	4
2020-07-11	San Jose Earthquakes	T 0-0	1534.85	1469.32	55.59%	22.13%	22.28%	-1.70	5
2020-07-14	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1533.15	1501.68	32.72%	24.84%	42.44%	-6.91	5
2020-07-20	Vancouver Whitecaps	W 3-0	1526.24	1456.20	56.16%	21.95%	21.89%	+13.97	8
2020-08-24	@ Portland Timbers	W 3-0	1540.21	1518.59	31.47%	24.70%	43.83%	+25.14	11
2020-08-31	Los Angeles FC	W 3-1	1565.35	1552.58	48.60%	23.95%	27.45%	+10.32	14
2020-09-03	@ Real Salt Lake	T 2-2	1575.67	1529.74	34.63%	24.98%	40.38%	+0.18	15
2020-09-07	Portland Timbers	L 1-2	1575.85	1484.77	58.80%	21.02%	20.17%	-10.93	15
2020-09-11	San Jose Earthquakes	W 7-1	1564.92	1475.39	58.61%	21.09%	20.29%	+20.38	18
2020-09-19	Los Angeles FC	W 3-0	1585.30	1526.30	54.75%	22.39%	22.86%	+14.58	21
2020-09-24	@ Portland Timbers	L 0-1	1599.88	1519.77	39.46%	25.02%	35.51%	-8.46	21
2020-09-28	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-1	1591.42	1496.94	41.52%	24.91%	33.57%	+12.21	24
2020-10-04	Vancouver Whitecaps	W 3-1	1603.63	1417.28	69.81%	16.24%	13.95%	+5.03	27
2020-10-08	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1608.66	1467.48	64.80%	18.58%	16.62%	+3.57	30
2020-10-12	@ Los Angeles FC	L 1-3	1612.23	1541.90	38.06%	25.06%	36.88%	-13.44	30
2020-10-19	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 0-0	1598.79	1464.34	47.12%	24.23%	28.65%	-0.91	31
2020-10-23	Portland Timbers	T 1-1	1597.88	1553.21	52.88%	22.94%	24.19%	-1.30	32
2020-10-28	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	W 2-0	1596.58	1413.19	53.70%	22.71%	23.60%	+10.36	35
2020-11-02	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-3	1606.94	1506.42	42.38%	24.85%	32.78%	-14.60	35
2020-11-05	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	T 1-1	1592.34	1421.73	52.02%	23.17%	24.82%	-1.23	36
2020-11-08	San Jose Earthquakes	W 4-1	1591.11	1478.21	61.47%	19.99%	18.54%	+9.88	39
2020-03-01	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	W 3-1	1496.43	1468.43	32.27%	24.79%	42.93%	+14.74	3
2020-03-08	Houston Dynamo	W 4-0	1511.17	1490.94	49.62%	23.74%	26.64%	+22.02	6
2020-07-13	Minnesota United FC	L 1-2	1533.19	1534.21	46.71%	24.30%	28.99%	-9.10	6
2020-07-18	Colorado Rapids	W 3-2	1524.09	1488.09	51.73%	23.24%	25.03%	+5.20	9
2020-07-22	@ Real Salt Lake	W 2-0	1529.29	1526.69	29.18%	24.33%	46.49%	+18.13	12
2020-08-22	@ Minnesota United FC	W 2-1	1547.42	1544.03	29.27%	24.35%	46.38%	+9.04	15
2020-08-26	Houston Dynamo	L 2-5	1556.46	1465.29	58.82%	21.02%	20.16%	-23.18	15
2020-08-30	@ Colorado Rapids	T 1-1	1533.28	1461.87	38.21%	25.05%	36.73%	-0.06	16
2020-09-03	FC Dallas	T 1-1	1533.22	1520.64	48.58%	23.96%	27.47%	-0.94	17
2020-09-06	@ Houston Dynamo	L 1-2	1532.28	1508.74	31.71%	24.73%	43.56%	-6.74	17
2020-09-14	Minnesota United FC	W 1-0	1525.54	1534.52	45.61%	24.47%	29.93%	+6.81	20
2020-09-19	FC Dallas	L 2-3	1532.35	1536.73	46.24%	24.37%	29.38%	-8.56	20
2020-09-24	Orlando City	L 1-2	1523.79	1522.63	47.01%	24.25%	28.74%	-9.14	20
2020-10-04	@ Houston Dynamo	W 2-1	1514.65	1480.27	33.10%	24.87%	42.03%	+8.37	23
2020-10-08	Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1523.02	1484.98	52.00%	23.17%	24.83%	+5.77	26
2020-10-12	Nashville SC	W 2-1	1528.79	1451.68	57.06%	21.65%	21.30%	+4.68	29
2020-10-15	@ FC Dallas	L 0-1	1533.47	1520.77	30.37%	24.54%	45.09%	-6.90	29
2020-10-17	@ Chicago Fire	T 2-2	1526.57	1483.91	34.19%	24.96%	40.85%	+0.21	30
2020-10-25	Colorado Rapids	W 4-0	1526.78	1536.62	45.49%	24.49%	30.03%	+24.43	33
2020-10-28	@ FC Cincinnati	W 1-0	1551.21	1371.00	53.28%	22.82%	23.89%	+5.57	36
2020-11-08	@ Real Salt Lake	W 2-0	1556.78	1444.62	44.02%	24.68%	31.30%	+13.32	39
2020-02-29	@ San Jose Earthquakes	T 2-2	1519.09	1487.65	32.71%	24.84%	42.45%	+0.32	1
2020-03-07	New York City FC	W 1-0	1519.41	1527.28	45.76%	24.45%	29.80%	+6.78	4
2020-07-13	DC United	T 2-2	1526.19	1506.79	49.50%	23.76%	26.73%	-0.76	5
2020-07-17	@ Montreal Impact	W 4-3	1525.43	1486.70	33.67%	24.92%	41.41%	+7.67	8
2020-07-21	New England Revolution	T 0-0	1533.10	1495.86	51.90%	23.20%	24.91%	-1.36	9
2020-08-19	Vancouver Whitecaps	W 3-0	1531.74	1462.40	56.07%	21.97%	21.95%	+14.01	12
2020-08-22	Vancouver Whitecaps	W 1-0	1545.75	1448.40	59.58%	20.74%	19.69%	+4.56	15
2020-08-29	@ Montreal Impact	W 1-0	1550.31	1496.97	35.65%	25.03%	39.32%	+8.44	18
2020-09-02	Montreal Impact	L 0-1	1558.75	1488.53	56.19%	21.94%	21.88%	-11.18	18
2020-09-06	@ Vancouver Whitecaps	L 2-3	1547.57	1433.13	44.34%	24.64%	31.02%	-8.28	18
2020-09-10	@ Montreal Impact	W 2-1	1539.29	1499.71	33.78%	24.93%	41.29%	+8.26	21
2020-09-20	@ DC United	T 2-2	1547.55	1467.84	39.41%	25.03%	35.57%	-0.12	22
2020-09-24	@ New York City FC	W 1-0	1547.43	1539.26	29.83%	24.45%	45.72%	+9.49	25
2020-09-28	Columbus Crew	W 3-1	1556.92	1584.99	42.92%	24.79%	32.28%	+11.83	28
2020-10-04	Philadelphia Union	W 2-1	1568.75	1586.85	44.33%	24.64%	31.03%	+6.62	31
2020-10-08	@ New England Revolution	W 1-0	1575.37	1515.48	36.57%	25.05%	38.38%	+8.29	34
2020-10-12	@ FC Cincinnati	W 1-0	1583.66	1380.89	56.20%	21.93%	21.87%	+5.09	37
2020-10-15	New York RB	T 1-1	1588.75	1502.07	58.26%	21.22%	20.52%	-1.74	38
2020-10-19	Atlanta United FC	W 1-0	1587.01	1499.00	58.43%	21.16%	20.41%	+4.75	41
2020-10-25	@ Philadelphia Union	L 0-5	1591.76	1598.82	28.08%	24.10%	47.82%	-28.43	41
2020-10-28	New York City FC	L 0-1	1563.33	1547.09	49.08%	23.85%	27.07%	-10.03	41
2020-11-02	Inter Miami	W 2-1	1553.30	1420.79	63.79%	19.02%	17.19%	+3.70	44
2020-11-08	@ New York RB	L 1-2	1557.00	1499.62	36.21%	25.04%	38.74%	-7.47	44
2020-03-01	Sporting Kansas City	L 1-3	1468.43	1496.43	42.93%	24.79%	32.27%	-14.74	0
2020-03-08	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1453.69	1506.61	23.41%	22.63%	53.96%	+10.82	3
2020-07-16	San Jose Earthquakes	L 3-4	1464.51	1471.02	45.95%	24.42%	29.63%	-8.31	3
2020-07-20	@ Seattle Sounders	L 0-3	1456.20	1526.24	21.89%	21.95%	56.16%	-13.97	3
2020-07-23	@ Chicago Fire	W 2-0	1442.23	1489.13	23.97%	22.86%	53.17%	+20.17	6
2020-08-19	@ Toronto FC	L 0-3	1462.40	1531.74	21.95%	21.97%	56.07%	-14.00	6
2020-08-22	@ Toronto FC	L 0-1	1448.40	1545.75	19.69%	20.74%	59.58%	-4.57	6
2020-08-26	@ Montreal Impact	L 0-2	1443.83	1486.27	24.40%	23.02%	52.58%	-10.70	6
2020-09-06	Toronto FC	W 3-2	1433.13	1547.57	31.02%	24.64%	44.34%	+8.29	9
2020-09-14	Montreal Impact	L 2-4	1441.42	1491.45	39.80%	25.01%	35.19%	-12.44	9
2020-09-17	Montreal Impact	W 3-1	1428.98	1503.89	36.24%	25.05%	38.72%	+13.62	12
2020-09-20	@ Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1442.60	1475.47	25.34%	23.34%	51.31%	+9.80	15
2020-09-24	@ Los Angeles FC	L 0-6	1452.40	1511.71	22.83%	22.38%	54.79%	-27.86	15
2020-09-28	Portland Timbers	L 0-1	1424.54	1528.24	32.37%	24.80%	42.83%	-7.26	15
2020-10-04	@ Seattle Sounders	L 1-3	1417.28	1603.63	13.95%	16.24%	69.81%	-5.04	15
2020-10-08	@ San Jose Earthquakes	L 0-3	1412.24	1421.23	27.86%	24.05%	48.09%	-17.53	15
2020-10-11	Real Salt Lake	W 2-1	1394.71	1463.92	37.04%	25.06%	37.90%	+7.74	18
2020-10-15	Los Angeles FC	W 2-1	1402.45	1555.34	26.62%	23.73%	49.64%	+9.54	21
2020-10-19	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1411.99	1424.21	27.51%	23.97%	48.53%	-6.33	21
2020-10-25	San Jose Earthquakes	W 2-1	1405.66	1465.25	38.43%	25.05%	36.52%	+7.53	24
2020-10-28	Seattle Sounders	L 0-2	1413.19	1596.58	23.60%	22.71%	53.70%	-10.36	24
2020-11-02	@ Portland Timbers	L 0-1	1402.83	1562.39	15.48%	17.63%	66.88%	-3.49	24
2020-11-08	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-0	1399.34	1422.96	43.55%	24.73%	31.72%	+19.57	27

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
2020-11-23	@ Minnesota United FC	L 0-3	1538.87	1556.62	38.14%	0.00%	61.86%	-17.00	0-1
2020-11-21	New York RB	W 3-2	1558.41	1507.10	66.30%	0.00%	33.70%	+4.91	1-0
2020-11-30	Nashville SC	W 2-0	1563.32	1519.02	65.39%	0.00%	34.61%	+10.62	2-0
2020-12-06	New England Revolution	W 1-0	1573.94	1550.68	62.60%	0.00%	37.40%	+6.09	3-0
2020-12-13	Seattle Sounders	W 3-0	1580.03	1620.26	53.73%	0.00%	46.27%	+20.62	4-0
2020-11-23	@ Portland Timbers	T 1-1	1516.63	1555.97	35.26%	0.00%	64.74%	+1.23	0-0
2020-12-02	@ Seattle Sounders	L 0-1	1517.86	1609.98	28.67%	0.00%	71.33%	-4.66	0-1
2020-11-20	@ Nashville SC	L 0-3	1422.08	1494.62	31.03%	0.00%	68.97%	-13.83	0-1
2020-11-25	@ Seattle Sounders	L 1-3	1550.56	1600.99	33.82%	0.00%	66.18%	-8.98	0-1
2020-11-23	Colorado Rapids	W 3-0	1556.62	1538.87	61.86%	0.00%	38.14%	+17.00	1-0
2020-12-04	@ Sporting Kansas City	W 3-0	1573.62	1568.93	41.23%	0.00%	58.77%	+26.19	2-0
2020-12-08	@ Seattle Sounders	L 2-3	1599.81	1614.65	38.54%	0.00%	61.46%	-5.61	2-1
2020-11-20	@ New England Revolution	L 1-2	1438.86	1506.62	31.62%	0.00%	68.38%	-4.85	0-1
2020-11-20	Inter Miami	W 3-0	1494.62	1422.08	68.97%	0.00%	31.03%	+13.83	1-0
2020-11-24	@ Toronto FC	W 1-0	1508.45	1549.53	35.03%	0.00%	64.97%	+10.57	2-0
2020-11-30	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-2	1519.02	1563.32	34.61%	0.00%	65.39%	-10.62	2-1
2020-11-20	Montreal Impact	W 2-1	1506.62	1438.86	68.38%	0.00%	31.62%	+4.86	1-0
2020-11-25	@ Philadelphia Union	W 2-0	1511.48	1631.07	25.55%	0.00%	74.45%	+22.85	2-0
2020-11-29	@ Orlando City	W 3-1	1534.33	1549.49	38.50%	0.00%	61.50%	+16.35	3-0
2020-12-06	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1550.68	1573.94	37.40%	0.00%	62.60%	-6.09	3-1
2020-11-21	@ Orlando City	T 1-1	1574.99	1549.99	44.09%	0.00%	55.91%	+0.50	0-0
2020-11-21	@ Columbus Crew	L 2-3	1507.10	1558.41	33.70%	0.00%	66.30%	-4.91	0-1
2020-11-21	New York City FC	T 1-1	1549.99	1574.99	55.91%	0.00%	44.09%	-0.50	0-0
2020-11-29	New England Revolution	L 1-3	1549.49	1534.33	61.50%	0.00%	38.50%	-16.35	0-1
2020-11-25	New England Revolution	L 0-2	1631.07	1511.48	74.45%	0.00%	25.55%	-22.86	0-1
2020-11-23	FC Dallas	T 1-1	1555.97	1516.63	64.74%	0.00%	35.26%	-1.24	0-0
2020-11-22	@ Sporting Kansas City	T 3-3	1468.33	1570.10	27.55%	0.00%	72.45%	+1.17	0-0
2020-11-25	Los Angeles FC	W 3-1	1600.99	1550.56	66.18%	0.00%	33.82%	+8.99	1-0
2020-12-02	FC Dallas	W 1-0	1609.98	1517.86	71.33%	0.00%	28.67%	+4.67	2-0
2020-12-08	Minnesota United FC	W 3-2	1614.65	1599.81	61.46%	0.00%	38.54%	+5.61	3-0
2020-12-13	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-3	1620.26	1580.03	46.27%	0.00%	53.73%	-20.62	3-1
2020-11-22	San Jose Earthquakes	T 3-3	1570.10	1468.33	72.45%	0.00%	27.55%	-1.17	0-0
2020-12-04	Minnesota United FC	L 0-3	1568.93	1573.62	58.77%	0.00%	41.23%	-26.19	0-1
2020-11-24	Nashville SC	L 0-1	1549.53	1508.45	64.97%	0.00%	35.03%	-10.58	0-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	2020-07-16	16.28%	FC Cincinnati	1398.02	1	@ Atlanta United FC	1544.67	0
2	2020-09-28	16.84%	San Jose Earthquakes	1401.72	2	@ Los Angeles FC	1539.57	1
3	2020-10-08	17.66%	Montreal Impact	1447.99	2	@ Columbus Crew	1573.42	1
4	2020-08-22	19.38%	Los Angeles Galaxy	1473.35	2	@ Los Angeles FC	1574.81	0
5	2020-10-08	19.44%	Inter Miami	1402.55	2	@ New York RB	1503.11	1
6	2020-09-20	20.06%	FC Cincinnati	1398.84	1	@ New York RB	1491.38	0
7	2020-08-26	20.16%	Houston Dynamo	1465.29	5	@ Sporting Kansas City	1556.46	2
8	2020-09-07	20.17%	Portland Timbers	1484.77	2	@ Seattle Sounders	1575.85	1
9	2020-10-24	20.61%	DC United	1408.78	2	@ Atlanta United FC	1494.25	1
10	2020-08-13	20.72%	Nashville SC	1437.53	1	@ FC Dallas	1521.67	0
11	2020-11-08	21.43%	Nashville SC	1484.52	3	@ Orlando City	1560.08	2
12	2020-09-02	21.88%	Montreal Impact	1488.53	1	@ Toronto FC	1558.75	0
13	2020-09-20	22.25%	Inter Miami	1427.60	2	@ Atlanta United FC	1493.49	1
14	2020-09-13	22.66%	Colorado Rapids	1462.73	5	@ Real Salt Lake	1523.96	0
15	2020-10-15	23.35%	@ FC Cincinnati	1375.80	2	Columbus Crew	1561.90	1
16	2020-03-08	23.41%	Vancouver Whitecaps	1453.69	1	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1506.61	0
17	2020-10-11	23.47%	New England Revolution	1507.19	2	@ New York City FC	1559.44	1
18	2020-07-23	23.97%	Vancouver Whitecaps	1442.23	2	@ Chicago Fire	1489.13	0
19	2020-11-05	24.17%	Colorado Rapids	1521.01	1	@ Portland Timbers	1565.88	0
20	2020-08-29	24.31%	Orlando City	1488.79	3	@ Atlanta United FC	1532.21	1
21	2020-09-20	25.17%	Colorado Rapids	1496.53	2	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1531.06	0
22	2020-10-15	25.17%	San Jose Earthquakes	1427.01	4	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1461.54	0
23	2020-09-20	25.34%	Vancouver Whitecaps	1442.60	2	@ Real Salt Lake	1475.47	1
24	2020-10-15	25.45%	Nashville SC	1447.01	3	@ Houston Dynamo	1478.84	1
25	2020-11-25 *	25.55%	New England Revolution	1511.48	2	@ Philadelphia Union	1631.07	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	2020-09-13	48.49	Colorado Rapids	5	1462.73	22.66%	@ Real Salt Lake	0	1523.96	55.03%	22.31%
2	2020-10-15	37.33	San Jose Earthquakes	4	1427.01	25.17%	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	0	1461.54	51.54%	23.29%
3	2020-09-20	32.60	Portland Timbers	6	1487.18	32.84%	@ San Jose Earthquakes	1	1454.73	42.30%	24.85%
4	2020-10-04	31.85	Atlanta United FC	4	1477.78	32.98%	@ DC United	0	1444.28	42.16%	24.86%
5	2020-09-24	29.16	@ Chicago Fire	4	1442.25	37.40%	Houston Dynamo	0	1508.99	37.54%	25.06%
6	2020-10-25	28.43	@ Philadelphia Union	5	1598.82	47.82%	Toronto FC	0	1591.76	28.08%	24.10%
7	2020-07-12	28.35	Columbus Crew	4	1501.82	38.80%	@ FC Cincinnati	0	1426.37	36.16%	25.04%
8	2020-09-24	27.86	@ Los Angeles FC	6	1511.71	54.79%	Vancouver Whitecaps	0	1452.40	22.83%	22.38%
9	2020-12-04 *	26.19	Minnesota United FC	3	1573.62	41.23%	@ Sporting Kansas City	0	1568.93	58.77%	0.00%
10	2020-09-07	25.81	@ Minnesota United FC	4	1502.94	43.13%	Real Salt Lake	0	1529.56	32.10%	24.77%
11	2020-08-24	25.14	Seattle Sounders	3	1540.21	31.47%	@ Portland Timbers	0	1518.59	43.83%	24.70%
12	2020-10-25	24.44	@ Sporting Kansas City	4	1526.78	45.49%	Colorado Rapids	0	1536.62	30.03%	24.49%
13	2020-09-07	24.37	Philadelphia Union	3	1530.64	33.01%	@ New York RB	0	1496.91	42.12%	24.87%
14	2020-08-26	23.18	Houston Dynamo	5	1465.29	20.16%	@ Sporting Kansas City	2	1556.46	58.82%	21.02%
15	2020-11-25 *	22.86	New England Revolution	2	1511.48	25.55%	@ Philadelphia Union	0	1631.07	74.45%	0.00%
16	2020-08-22	22.23	Los Angeles Galaxy	2	1473.35	19.38%	@ Los Angeles FC	0	1574.81	60.08%	20.54%
17	2020-10-21	22.13	@ Nashville SC	3	1463.95	37.83%	FC Dallas	0	1527.67	37.11%	25.06%
18	2020-03-08	22.02	@ Sporting Kansas City	4	1511.17	49.62%	Houston Dynamo	0	1490.94	26.64%	23.74%
19	2020-09-07	21.17	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	3	1510.03	39.99%	Los Angeles FC	0	1558.73	35.01%	25.00%
20	2020-08-23	20.98	Real Salt Lake	4	1508.57	31.98%	@ Colorado Rapids	1	1482.85	43.26%	24.76%
21	2020-12-13 *	20.62	@ Columbus Crew	3	1580.03	53.73%	Seattle Sounders	0	1620.26	46.27%	0.00%
22	2020-09-24	20.42	@ Colorado Rapids	5	1516.20	59.18%	San Jose Earthquakes	0	1422.13	19.94%	20.89%
23	2020-09-11	20.38	@ Seattle Sounders	7	1564.92	58.61%	San Jose Earthquakes	1	1475.39	20.29%	21.09%
24	2020-09-03	20.28	@ Houston Dynamo	3	1488.47	41.98%	Minnesota United FC	0	1523.22	33.14%	24.88%
25	2020-09-10	20.22	@ Real Salt Lake	3	1503.75	42.11%	Los Angeles FC	0	1537.57	33.02%	24.87%