2009 MLS Season
225 regular-season games · 7 playoff teams
Champion
Real Salt Lake
1st Title
Runner-Up
Chicago Fire
6th Appearance
Last Appearance: 2005
Biggest Overachiever
Seattle Sounders
8.49 points above expected
47 points · 38.51 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
New York RB
14.18 points below expected
21 points · 35.18 expected points
Final Standings
Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49 | .544 | 41 | 31 | +10 | 44.25 | +4.75 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire Playoffs | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | .500 | 39 | 34 | +5 | 42.95 | +2.05 |
| 3 | New England Revolution Playoffs | 11 | 10 | 9 | 42 | .467 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39.13 | +2.87 |
| 4 | DC United | 9 | 8 | 13 | 40 | .444 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 40.94 | -0.94 |
| 5 | Toronto FC | 10 | 11 | 9 | 39 | .433 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 37.10 | +1.90 |
| 6 | Kansas City Wizards | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | .367 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 38.40 | -5.40 |
| 7 | New York RB | 5 | 19 | 6 | 21 | .233 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 35.18 | -14.18 |
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Pt% | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houston Dynamo Conference | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | .533 | 39 | 29 | +10 | 44.98 | +3.02 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy Playoffs | 12 | 6 | 12 | 48 | .533 | 36 | 31 | +5 | 39.97 | +8.03 |
| 3 | Seattle Sounders Playoffs | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47 | .522 | 38 | 29 | +9 | 38.51 | +8.49 |
| 4 | Chivas USA Playoffs | 13 | 11 | 6 | 45 | .500 | 34 | 31 | +3 | 43.72 | +1.28 |
| 5 | Real Salt Lake Playoffs | 11 | 12 | 7 | 40 | .444 | 43 | 35 | +8 | 40.57 | -0.57 |
| 6 | Colorado Rapids | 10 | 10 | 10 | 40 | .444 | 42 | 38 | +4 | 41.94 | -1.94 |
| 7 | FC Dallas | 11 | 13 | 6 | 39 | .433 | 50 | 47 | +3 | 38.66 | +0.34 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 7 | 14 | 9 | 30 | .333 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 40.49 | -10.49 |
Playoff Bracket
Eastern Conference
Conference Final
Western Conference
Knockout Round
Conference Semifinals
Conference Final
MLS Cup
Season Summary
Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.
| Team | Conference | Division | Elo | Points | Avg. Pts. | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | Eastern | 1557 | 49 | 44.25 | +4.75 | 78.29% | 19 | 33 | 40 | 44 | 49 | 55 | 72 | |
| Houston Dynamo | Western | 1555 | 48 | 44.98 | +3.02 | 69.90% | 17 | 34 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 56 | 74 | |
| FC Dallas | Western | 1526 | 39 | 38.66 | +0.34 | 55.52% | 10 | 28 | 34 | 39 | 43 | 50 | 67 | |
| Chicago Fire | Eastern | 1525 | 45 | 42.95 | +2.05 | 65.11% | 14 | 32 | 38 | 43 | 47 | 54 | 71 | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Western | 1520 | 48 | 39.97 | +8.03 | 89.92% | 13 | 29 | 35 | 40 | 44 | 51 | 71 | |
| Real Salt Lake | Western | 1520 | 40 | 40.57 | -0.57 | 49.95% | 12 | 30 | 36 | 41 | 45 | 52 | 73 | |
| Chivas USA | Western | 1515 | 45 | 43.72 | +1.28 | 60.89% | 19 | 33 | 39 | 44 | 48 | 55 | 72 | |
| Seattle Sounders | Western | 1514 | 47 | 38.51 | +8.49 | 91.03% | 12 | 28 | 34 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 67 | |
| Colorado Rapids | Western | 1502 | 40 | 41.94 | -1.94 | 41.83% | 13 | 31 | 37 | 42 | 46 | 53 | 70 | |
| New England Revolution | Eastern | 1488 | 42 | 39.13 | +2.87 | 69.67% | 10 | 28 | 35 | 39 | 44 | 50 | 68 | |
| DC United | Eastern | 1488 | 40 | 40.94 | -0.94 | 47.64% | 16 | 30 | 36 | 41 | 45 | 52 | 73 | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Western | 1474 | 30 | 40.49 | -10.49 | 6.52% | 13 | 30 | 36 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 68 | |
| Kansas City Wizards | Eastern | 1455 | 33 | 38.40 | -5.40 | 23.44% | 13 | 28 | 34 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 69 | |
| Toronto FC | Eastern | 1442 | 39 | 37.10 | +1.90 | 64.66% | 11 | 26 | 33 | 37 | 42 | 48 | 67 | |
| New York RB | Eastern | 1419 | 21 | 35.18 | -14.18 | 1.53% | 10 | 25 | 31 | 35 | 40 | 46 | 64 |
Head-to-Head
Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.
Within Eastern
| Team | Fire | Crew | United | Wizards | Revolution | RB | FC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | — |
3
(4.3 exp.)
|
1
(3.9 exp.)
|
4
(3.0 exp.)
|
2
(3.0 exp.)
|
6
(3.0 exp.)
|
4
(3.1 exp.)
|
| Columbus Crew |
3
(3.7 exp.)
|
— |
1
(3.1 exp.)
|
6
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(3.3 exp.)
|
3
(3.7 exp.)
|
5
(4.8 exp.)
|
| DC United |
7
(4.2 exp.)
|
4
(2.3 exp.)
|
— |
5
(4.0 exp.)
|
1
(2.8 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
1
(3.0 exp.)
|
| Kansas City Wizards |
1
(2.4 exp.)
|
0
(2.7 exp.)
|
2
(4.1 exp.)
|
— |
7
(3.6 exp.)
|
6
(2.9 exp.)
|
0
(2.9 exp.)
|
| New England Revolution |
2
(2.4 exp.)
|
3
(2.1 exp.)
|
4
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(4.5 exp.)
|
— |
5
(4.1 exp.)
|
1
(2.8 exp.)
|
| New York RB |
0
(2.4 exp.)
|
3
(1.8 exp.)
|
0
(2.5 exp.)
|
0
(2.5 exp.)
|
2
(4.0 exp.)
|
— |
3
(3.3 exp.)
|
| Toronto FC |
1
(2.3 exp.)
|
2
(3.3 exp.)
|
4
(2.4 exp.)
|
6
(2.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.5 exp.)
|
6
(4.7 exp.)
|
— |
Eastern vs. Outside Teams
| Team | USA | Rapids | Dallas | Dynamo | Galaxy | Lake | Earthquakes | Sounders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire |
6
(2.7 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
0
(2.9 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
2
(2.9 exp.)
|
| Columbus Crew |
3
(2.6 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
4
(2.9 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
6
(2.9 exp.)
|
1
(3.0 exp.)
|
| DC United |
1
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
4
(2.9 exp.)
|
3
(2.5 exp.)
|
2
(2.7 exp.)
|
1
(2.8 exp.)
|
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
| Kansas City Wizards |
1
(2.4 exp.)
|
1
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(2.2 exp.)
|
2
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(2.4 exp.)
|
3
(2.4 exp.)
|
3
(2.5 exp.)
|
| New England Revolution |
3
(2.5 exp.)
|
2
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(2.4 exp.)
|
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
6
(2.6 exp.)
|
6
(2.6 exp.)
|
| New York RB |
1
(2.0 exp.)
|
0
(2.4 exp.)
|
3
(2.1 exp.)
|
2
(2.4 exp.)
|
0
(2.4 exp.)
|
3
(2.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.3 exp.)
|
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
| Toronto FC |
3
(2.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.3 exp.)
|
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
1
(2.1 exp.)
|
0
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.4 exp.)
|
4
(2.5 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
Within Western
| Team | USA | Rapids | Dallas | Dynamo | Galaxy | Lake | Earthquakes | Sounders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chivas USA | — |
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
6
(3.0 exp.)
|
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(4.0 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
4
(2.9 exp.)
|
7
(4.8 exp.)
|
| Colorado Rapids |
3
(2.6 exp.)
|
— |
4
(4.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
4
(3.7 exp.)
|
2
(3.0 exp.)
|
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
| FC Dallas |
0
(2.4 exp.)
|
4
(3.5 exp.)
|
— |
3
(3.7 exp.)
|
4
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
| Houston Dynamo |
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
6
(4.4 exp.)
|
— |
1
(3.2 exp.)
|
5
(4.9 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
1
(3.2 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Galaxy |
7
(4.1 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
4
(2.2 exp.)
|
— |
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
4
(3.6 exp.)
|
1
(2.8 exp.)
|
| Real Salt Lake |
3
(2.5 exp.)
|
4
(4.3 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
2
(3.2 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
| San Jose Earthquakes |
1
(2.5 exp.)
|
2
(2.4 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
4
(4.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
— |
3
(3.8 exp.)
|
| Seattle Sounders |
1
(3.4 exp.)
|
4
(2.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
4
(2.2 exp.)
|
4
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.5 exp.)
|
6
(4.2 exp.)
|
— |
Western vs. Outside Teams
| Team | Fire | Crew | United | Wizards | Revolution | RB | FC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chivas USA |
0
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
4
(2.9 exp.)
|
4
(3.0 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
4
(3.4 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
| Colorado Rapids |
0
(2.6 exp.)
|
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
4
(2.9 exp.)
|
2
(2.9 exp.)
|
6
(3.0 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
| FC Dallas |
3
(2.4 exp.)
|
3
(2.3 exp.)
|
1
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(3.3 exp.)
|
4
(2.7 exp.)
|
| Houston Dynamo |
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
1
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
4
(3.2 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
2
(3.0 exp.)
|
4
(3.3 exp.)
|
| Los Angeles Galaxy |
6
(2.5 exp.)
|
1
(2.5 exp.)
|
2
(2.7 exp.)
|
2
(2.6 exp.)
|
6
(2.8 exp.)
|
6
(3.0 exp.)
|
6
(2.9 exp.)
|
| Real Salt Lake |
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.6 exp.)
|
3
(2.9 exp.)
|
3
(2.7 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
3
(3.0 exp.)
|
| San Jose Earthquakes |
1
(2.6 exp.)
|
0
(2.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(3.0 exp.)
|
0
(2.8 exp.)
|
3
(3.1 exp.)
|
1
(2.9 exp.)
|
| Seattle Sounders |
2
(2.5 exp.)
|
4
(2.4 exp.)
|
4
(2.5 exp.)
|
3
(2.8 exp.)
|
0
(2.8 exp.)
|
4
(2.6 exp.)
|
4
(2.8 exp.)
|
Scoreline Distribution
Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.78% | 10.22% | 7.11% | 2.00% | 1.11% | 0.67% | 26.89% |
| 1 | 10.22% | 17.78% | 6.22% | 2.22% | 0.44% | — | 36.89% |
| 2 | 7.11% | 6.22% | 5.78% | 3.78% | 0.44% | — | 23.33% |
| 3 | 2.00% | 2.22% | 3.78% | 1.33% | 0.22% | 0.22% | 9.78% |
| 4 | 1.11% | 0.44% | 0.44% | 0.22% | — | — | 2.22% |
| 5+ | 0.67% | — | — | 0.22% | — | — | 0.89% |
| Total | 26.89% | 36.89% | 23.33% | 9.78% | 2.22% | 0.89% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.27 | 1.27 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.57 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 225
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 10.00% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 30.00% |
| 2 | 10.00% | 3.33% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 30.00% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 30.00% | 26.67% | 10.00% | — | — | 100% |
Chicago Fire — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.30 | 1.13 | +0.17 |
| SD | 1.02 | 1.01 | 1.18 |
| CV | 0.79 | 0.89 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 16.67% | 3.33% | — | 6.67% | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | 10.00% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | 26.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 46.67% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 43.33% | 30.00% | 13.33% | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | 100% |
Chivas USA — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.13 | 1.03 | +0.10 |
| SD | 0.90 | 1.22 | 1.67 |
| CV | 0.79 | 1.18 | — |
| Max | 2 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 1 | 10.00% | 26.67% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 3.33% | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 4 | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.67% | 36.67% | 20.00% | 16.67% | — | — | 100% |
Colorado Rapids — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.40 | 1.27 | +0.13 |
| SD | 1.10 | 1.05 | 1.66 |
| CV | 0.79 | 0.83 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.33% | 13.33% | — | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 1 | 10.00% | 23.33% | 6.67% | — | 3.33% | — | 43.33% |
| 2 | 10.00% | 10.00% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 3 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.67% | 50.00% | 20.00% | — | 3.33% | — | 100% |
Columbus Crew — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.37 | 1.03 | +0.33 |
| SD | 0.93 | 0.89 | 1.24 |
| CV | 0.68 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 13.33% | 13.33% | — | — | — | 40.00% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 6.67% | 16.67% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.33% | 23.33% | 40.00% | 10.00% | 3.33% | — | 100% |
DC United — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.43 | 1.47 | -0.03 |
| SD | 0.97 | 1.07 | 1.13 |
| CV | 0.68 | 0.73 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 16.67% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 13.33% | 10.00% | 6.67% | — | — | 36.67% |
| 2 | — | 13.33% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | 30.00% |
| 3 | 6.67% | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 3.33% | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | 6.67% |
| Total | 16.67% | 33.33% | 30.00% | 16.67% | 3.33% | — | 100% |
FC Dallas — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.67 | 1.57 | +0.10 |
| SD | 1.47 | 1.07 | 1.86 |
| CV | 0.88 | 0.68 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 16.67% | — | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 1 | 16.67% | 20.00% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 43.33% |
| 2 | 3.33% | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | 6.67% |
| 3 | 3.33% | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 43.33% | 16.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 100% |
Houston Dynamo — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.30 | 0.97 | +0.33 |
| SD | 1.18 | 0.89 | 1.09 |
| CV | 0.91 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 16.67% | 10.00% | — | — | 3.33% | 36.67% |
| 1 | 10.00% | 16.67% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 30.00% |
| 2 | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | 10.00% | — | — | 23.33% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.33% | 36.67% | 26.67% | 10.00% | — | 3.33% | 100% |
Kansas City Wizards — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.10 | 1.40 | -0.30 |
| SD | 1.09 | 1.28 | 1.60 |
| CV | 0.99 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | — | 10.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 1 | 20.00% | 23.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 46.67% |
| 2 | 10.00% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | 26.67% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 3.33% | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 40.00% | 33.33% | 20.00% | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | 100% |
Los Angeles Galaxy — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.20 | 1.03 | +0.17 |
| SD | 0.85 | 1.27 | 1.26 |
| CV | 0.71 | 1.23 | — |
| Max | 3 | 6 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 10.00% | 6.67% | — | — | 3.33% | 26.67% |
| 1 | 13.33% | 23.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | 46.67% |
| 2 | 3.33% | 13.33% | — | — | 3.33% | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.67% | 50.00% | 10.00% | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 100% |
New England Revolution — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.10 | 1.23 | -0.13 |
| SD | 0.96 | 1.33 | 1.78 |
| CV | 0.87 | 1.08 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.33% | 23.33% | 13.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | 50.00% |
| 1 | 3.33% | 16.67% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | 30.00% |
| 2 | 3.33% | — | — | 6.67% | — | — | 10.00% |
| 3 | — | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 4 | — | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 13.33% | 43.33% | 23.33% | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | 100% |
New York RB — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.90 | 1.57 | -0.67 |
| SD | 1.27 | 1.10 | 1.84 |
| CV | 1.41 | 0.70 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.67% | 10.00% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 13.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | 30.00% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 3 | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 5+ | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| Total | 33.33% | 30.00% | 23.33% | 13.33% | — | — | 100% |
Real Salt Lake — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.43 | 1.17 | +0.27 |
| SD | 1.55 | 1.05 | 2.12 |
| CV | 1.08 | 0.90 | — |
| Max | 6 | 3 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 6.67% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 23.33% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 16.67% | 13.33% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | 46.67% |
| 2 | — | 10.00% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | 3.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 10.00% | 33.33% | 40.00% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | 100% |
San Jose Earthquakes — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.20 | 1.67 | -0.47 |
| SD | 1.00 | 0.96 | 1.48 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.58 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.00% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | 3.33% | — | 30.00% |
| 1 | 3.33% | 20.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 26.67% |
| 2 | 13.33% | 13.33% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 30.00% |
| 3 | 6.67% | — | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | — | 13.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 46.67% | 13.33% | 3.33% | 3.33% | — | 100% |
Seattle Sounders — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.27 | 0.97 | +0.30 |
| SD | 1.05 | 0.96 | 1.47 |
| CV | 0.83 | 1.00 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 30
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.33% | 3.33% | 13.33% | 6.67% | — | 3.33% | 30.00% |
| 1 | 10.00% | 20.00% | 3.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 3.33% | 3.33% | 6.67% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | 3.33% | — | — | 16.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 33.33% | 26.67% | 16.67% | — | 3.33% | 100% |
Toronto FC — Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.23 | 1.53 | -0.30 |
| SD | 1.07 | 1.20 | 1.68 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.78 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 30
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.18 | +5.9 |
| Allowed | 0.67 | -8.6 |
| Differential | 0.81 | +7.4 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.
Top Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Sounders | 47 | 38.51 | +8.49 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 48 | 39.97 | +8.03 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 49 | 44.25 | +4.75 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 48 | 44.98 | +3.02 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 42 | 39.13 | +2.87 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York RB | 21 | 35.18 | -14.18 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 30 | 40.49 | -10.49 |
| 3 | Kansas City Wizards | 33 | 38.40 | -5.40 |
| 4 | Colorado Rapids | 40 | 41.94 | -1.94 |
| 5 | DC United | 40 | 40.94 | -0.94 |
Top Streaks
The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/tie/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak. Unbeaten counts W or T consecutively; Winless counts L or T consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 4 | Jun 29 – Jul 17 | 1 in 111 |
| 2 | Columbus Crew | 5 | Jul 19 – Aug 16 | 1 in 94 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo | 5 | May 24 – Jun 14 | 1 in 94 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 3 | May 16 – May 29 | 1 in 53 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 4 | Sep 27 – Oct 18 | 1 in 36 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chivas USA | 5 | Jun 11 – Aug 9 | 1 in 144 |
| 2 | New York RB | 6 | Jun 25 – Aug 16 | 1 in 115 |
| 3 | San Jose Earthquakes | 5 | Apr 26 – May 28 | 1 in 108 |
| 4 | DC United | 3 | Sep 13 – Oct 4 | 1 in 99 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 3 | May 31 – Jun 14 | 1 in 57 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 10 | Apr 12 – Jun 6 | 1 in 142 |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | 11 | Mar 22 – May 29 | 1 in 123 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew | 9 | Apr 12 – Jun 14 | 1 in 41 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 11 | Apr 12 – Jun 21 | 1 in 37 |
| 5 | Colorado Rapids | 8 | Apr 26 – Jun 25 | 1 in 19 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York RB | 13 | May 17 – Aug 16 | 1 in 92 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 8 | Apr 5 – May 28 | 1 in 33 |
| 3 | Colorado Rapids | 7 | Sep 12 – Oct 25 | 1 in 20 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 7 | Mar 22 – May 2 | 1 in 20 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 6 | Aug 30 – Oct 17 | 1 in 18 |
Finish Position Heatmaps
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 31.10% | 21.67% | 16.21% | 12.19% | 8.90% | 6.27% | 3.66% |
| Chicago Fire | 24.48% | 20.16% | 16.91% | 13.84% | 11.13% | 8.31% | 5.17% |
| DC United | 15.62% | 17.21% | 16.82% | 15.58% | 14.18% | 11.83% | 8.75% |
| New England Revolution | 10.18% | 13.40% | 15.20% | 16.01% | 16.01% | 15.61% | 13.59% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 8.81% | 11.92% | 13.87% | 15.53% | 16.64% | 17.14% | 16.10% |
| Toronto FC | 6.19% | 9.27% | 11.97% | 14.67% | 17.22% | 19.57% | 21.10% |
| New York RB | 3.62% | 6.37% | 9.02% | 12.17% | 15.92% | 21.27% | 31.63% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo | 26.37% | 18.79% | 14.86% | 12.05% | 9.77% | 7.88% | 6.09% | 4.20% |
| Chivas USA | 20.06% | 17.38% | 14.87% | 13.04% | 11.41% | 9.63% | 7.84% | 5.77% |
| Colorado Rapids | 13.65% | 13.99% | 14.03% | 13.38% | 12.85% | 11.87% | 10.83% | 9.40% |
| Real Salt Lake | 9.92% | 11.63% | 12.35% | 13.04% | 13.28% | 13.56% | 13.48% | 12.73% |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 9.61% | 11.46% | 12.44% | 13.03% | 13.35% | 13.54% | 13.40% | 13.17% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 8.58% | 10.39% | 11.69% | 12.72% | 13.45% | 13.91% | 14.65% | 14.62% |
| FC Dallas | 6.04% | 8.20% | 9.94% | 11.48% | 12.99% | 14.93% | 16.79% | 19.63% |
| Seattle Sounders | 5.77% | 8.16% | 9.84% | 11.26% | 12.90% | 14.69% | 16.91% | 20.48% |
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo | 16.73% | 13.09% | 10.98% | 9.23% | 8.20% | 7.25% | 6.37% | 5.63% | 4.94% | 4.40% | 3.75% | 3.30% | 2.65% | 2.10% | 1.39% |
| Columbus Crew | 14.17% | 11.79% | 10.38% | 9.20% | 8.31% | 7.63% | 6.67% | 6.13% | 5.46% | 4.84% | 4.25% | 3.76% | 3.15% | 2.47% | 1.77% |
| Chivas USA | 12.50% | 10.80% | 10.05% | 8.92% | 8.22% | 7.76% | 7.13% | 6.49% | 5.83% | 5.17% | 4.70% | 4.07% | 3.57% | 2.84% | 1.96% |
| Chicago Fire | 10.53% | 9.67% | 9.10% | 8.77% | 8.09% | 7.45% | 7.15% | 6.74% | 6.31% | 5.88% | 5.42% | 4.73% | 4.15% | 3.43% | 2.58% |
| Colorado Rapids | 8.11% | 8.11% | 8.11% | 8.18% | 7.83% | 7.62% | 7.19% | 7.05% | 6.75% | 6.37% | 5.93% | 5.59% | 5.15% | 4.47% | 3.53% |
| DC United | 6.06% | 6.95% | 7.18% | 7.27% | 7.33% | 7.36% | 7.33% | 7.14% | 7.04% | 6.84% | 6.68% | 6.65% | 6.02% | 5.50% | 4.66% |
| Real Salt Lake | 5.62% | 6.36% | 6.81% | 6.86% | 7.21% | 7.07% | 7.21% | 7.12% | 7.26% | 7.15% | 6.96% | 6.79% | 6.45% | 5.97% | 5.15% |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 5.30% | 6.35% | 6.64% | 6.85% | 7.04% | 7.30% | 7.26% | 7.21% | 7.13% | 7.10% | 7.11% | 6.67% | 6.65% | 6.10% | 5.29% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 4.77% | 5.71% | 5.97% | 6.44% | 6.73% | 6.83% | 7.08% | 7.25% | 7.30% | 7.28% | 7.33% | 7.38% | 7.14% | 6.77% | 6.01% |
| New England Revolution | 3.66% | 4.65% | 5.20% | 5.81% | 6.09% | 6.48% | 6.83% | 7.20% | 7.32% | 7.57% | 7.61% | 7.83% | 7.96% | 8.01% | 7.79% |
| FC Dallas | 3.20% | 4.15% | 4.78% | 5.42% | 5.74% | 6.21% | 6.65% | 6.83% | 7.22% | 7.73% | 7.98% | 8.32% | 8.59% | 8.62% | 8.56% |
| Seattle Sounders | 3.10% | 4.12% | 4.59% | 5.23% | 5.75% | 5.98% | 6.49% | 6.93% | 7.29% | 7.78% | 7.88% | 8.19% | 8.53% | 9.09% | 9.06% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 3.15% | 3.86% | 4.59% | 5.10% | 5.48% | 6.03% | 6.44% | 6.91% | 7.25% | 7.58% | 7.82% | 8.42% | 8.72% | 9.18% | 9.45% |
| Toronto FC | 2.04% | 2.71% | 3.43% | 3.97% | 4.62% | 5.25% | 5.74% | 6.24% | 6.99% | 7.57% | 8.48% | 8.95% | 10.02% | 11.23% | 12.76% |
| New York RB | 1.07% | 1.68% | 2.18% | 2.74% | 3.34% | 3.78% | 4.47% | 5.15% | 5.92% | 6.73% | 8.09% | 9.36% | 11.23% | 14.23% | 20.03% |
Win Totals in Context
How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.
Playoff Seed Probabilities
Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 31.10% | 21.67% | 13.56% | 6.82% | 1.06% | 0.11% | 25.67% |
| Chicago Fire | 24.48% | 20.16% | 14.00% | 7.48% | 1.29% | 0.16% | 32.44% |
| DC United | 15.62% | 17.21% | 13.84% | 8.26% | 1.48% | 0.17% | 43.41% |
| New England Revolution | 10.18% | 13.40% | 12.37% | 8.28% | 1.63% | 0.20% | 53.94% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 8.81% | 11.92% | 11.28% | 7.83% | 1.64% | 0.21% | 58.30% |
| Toronto FC | 6.19% | 9.27% | 9.62% | 7.30% | 1.55% | 0.25% | 65.82% |
| New York RB | 3.62% | 6.37% | 7.13% | 5.83% | 1.33% | 0.23% | 75.49% |
| Team | 1 Seed | 2 Seed | 3 Seed | 4 Seed | 5 Seed | 6 Seed | Missed Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo | 26.37% | 18.79% | 14.69% | 11.01% | 4.99% | 1.54% | 22.61% |
| Chivas USA | 20.06% | 17.38% | 14.70% | 11.86% | 5.83% | 1.96% | 28.21% |
| Colorado Rapids | 13.65% | 13.99% | 13.84% | 12.12% | 6.27% | 2.15% | 37.96% |
| Real Salt Lake | 9.92% | 11.63% | 12.16% | 11.72% | 6.35% | 2.42% | 45.79% |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 9.61% | 11.46% | 12.27% | 11.67% | 6.37% | 2.48% | 46.15% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 8.58% | 10.39% | 11.52% | 11.36% | 6.44% | 2.43% | 49.29% |
| FC Dallas | 6.04% | 8.20% | 9.80% | 10.25% | 6.04% | 2.60% | 57.08% |
| Seattle Sounders | 5.77% | 8.16% | 9.68% | 10.03% | 5.90% | 2.63% | 57.83% |
Points Required to Clinch Each Seed
The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away teamNo Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd · Middle of the Pack: 4th to 8th · Longshot: 9th or lower.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone. Subdued: under 5.32 · As Expected: 5.32 to 7.32 · Elevated: 7.32 to 9.98 · High Variance: 9.98 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.Pinpoint: under 3.26 · Close: 3.26 to 4.41 · Off Target: 4.41 to 5.75 · Well Off Target: 5.75 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 15 teams typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 15 teams typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.Minimal Outliers: under 0.75 · As Expected: 0.75 to 1.8 · Several Outliers: 1.8 to 3.3 · Many Outliers: 3.3 and up.
- Unexpected Playoff Teams
- Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.Fewer Than Expected: under 2.12 · As Expected: 2.12 to 3.53 · More Than Expected: 3.53 to 5.65 · Far More Than Expected: 5.65 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
- Close Games
- Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
- Strangeness
- How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.2 · Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.
Elo Through the Playoffs
How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.
Stochastic Playoff Outcomes
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.
| Team | Made Playoffs | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to MLS Cup | Won MLS Cup |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 74.33% | 44.65% | 27.11% | 14.79% |
| Houston Dynamo | 77.39% | 44.32% | 25.12% | 14.51% |
| Chicago Fire | 67.56% | 36.96% | 20.27% | 10.08% |
| Chivas USA | 71.79% | 35.60% | 17.73% | 9.38% |
| Colorado Rapids | 62.04% | 29.70% | 13.91% | 6.96% |
| Real Salt Lake | 54.21% | 27.57% | 13.49% | 6.83% |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 50.71% | 25.59% | 12.36% | 6.27% |
| DC United | 56.59% | 27.08% | 12.99% | 5.78% |
| FC Dallas | 42.92% | 22.06% | 10.67% | 5.35% |
| Seattle Sounders | 42.17% | 20.93% | 9.57% | 4.68% |
| New England Revolution | 46.06% | 22.03% | 10.39% | 4.63% |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 53.85% | 23.14% | 9.73% | 4.44% |
| Kansas City Wizards | 41.70% | 17.50% | 7.51% | 3.02% |
| Toronto FC | 34.18% | 13.77% | 5.69% | 2.09% |
| New York RB | 24.51% | 9.10% | 3.47% | 1.20% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Chivas USA | Colorado Rapids | Columbus Crew | DC United | FC Dallas | Houston Dynamo | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | New England Revolution | New York RB | Real Salt Lake | San Jose Earthquakes | Seattle Sounders | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 53.3%2.11% | 53.0%2.17% | 45.5%12.09% | 56.0%10.80% | 51.7%2.13% | 46.6%1.92% | 61.0%7.83% | 50.6%2.22% | 55.1%8.77% | 66.0%4.56% | 49.4%2.21% | 56.7%2.26% | 50.0%2.08% | 62.1%6.40% | |
| Chivas USA | 46.7%2.11% | 51.0%10.40% | 43.2%2.52% | 55.7%1.58% | 46.9%6.58% | 44.2%13.32% | 57.8%1.09% | 49.5%7.87% | 54.2%1.25% | 63.2%0.62% | 48.8%8.60% | 56.6%8.62% | 50.3%6.33% | 57.3%0.90% | |
| Colorado Rapids | 47.0%2.17% | 49.0%10.40% | 40.9%2.65% | 53.2%1.56% | 47.2%4.93% | 41.9%11.56% | 56.2%1.06% | 46.9%6.45% | 54.0%1.17% | 61.1%0.59% | 47.6%6.76% | 53.7%6.92% | 49.1%5.00% | 60.6%0.81% | |
| Columbus Crew | 54.5%12.09% | 56.8%2.52% | 59.1%2.65% | 60.4%11.24% | 55.7%2.60% | 51.0%2.26% | 65.5%8.80% | 53.9%2.66% | 60.1%9.49% | 69.6%5.10% | 55.8%2.69% | 61.4%2.67% | 55.6%2.56% | 66.6%7.00% | |
| DC United | 44.0%10.80% | 44.3%1.58% | 46.8%1.56% | 39.6%11.24% | 46.8%1.48% | 38.7%1.47% | 55.1%6.24% | 45.6%1.51% | 50.2%7.33% | 60.5%3.65% | 45.0%1.60% | 53.2%1.59% | 46.7%1.40% | 57.4%5.14% | |
| FC Dallas | 48.3%2.13% | 53.1%6.58% | 52.8%4.93% | 44.3%2.60% | 53.2%1.48% | 45.0%7.32% | 61.3%0.93% | 50.7%3.69% | 56.0%1.01% | 64.1%0.49% | 51.0%4.19% | 57.5%4.06% | 52.1%2.81% | 64.5%0.70% | |
| Houston Dynamo | 53.4%1.92% | 55.8%13.32% | 58.1%11.56% | 49.0%2.26% | 61.3%1.47% | 55.0%7.32% | 67.9%1.12% | 56.4%8.94% | 58.7%1.17% | 67.1%0.71% | 55.3%9.62% | 62.2%9.80% | 56.8%7.25% | 66.6%0.93% | |
| Kansas City Wizards | 39.0%7.83% | 42.2%1.09% | 43.8%1.06% | 34.5%8.80% | 44.9%6.24% | 38.7%0.93% | 32.1%1.12% | 39.8%0.97% | 45.0%4.85% | 54.7%2.41% | 39.2%0.95% | 46.5%0.97% | 39.5%0.95% | 53.4%3.53% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 49.4%2.22% | 50.5%7.87% | 53.1%6.45% | 46.1%2.66% | 54.4%1.51% | 49.3%3.69% | 43.6%8.94% | 60.2%0.97% | 53.4%1.13% | 65.8%0.52% | 49.5%5.29% | 57.2%5.01% | 50.0%3.69% | 61.6%0.77% | |
| New England Revolution | 44.9%8.77% | 45.8%1.25% | 46.0%1.17% | 39.9%9.49% | 49.8%7.33% | 44.0%1.01% | 41.3%1.17% | 55.0%4.85% | 46.6%1.13% | 60.3%2.64% | 47.0%1.13% | 51.9%1.14% | 46.0%1.02% | 56.7%3.97% | |
| New York RB | 34.0%4.56% | 36.8%0.62% | 38.9%0.59% | 30.4%5.10% | 39.5%3.65% | 35.9%0.49% | 32.9%0.71% | 45.3%2.41% | 34.2%0.52% | 39.7%2.64% | 37.1%0.48% | 43.1%0.50% | 34.8%0.47% | 46.1%1.76% | |
| Real Salt Lake | 50.6%2.21% | 51.2%8.60% | 52.4%6.76% | 44.2%2.69% | 55.0%1.60% | 49.0%4.19% | 44.7%9.62% | 60.8%0.95% | 50.5%5.29% | 53.0%1.13% | 62.9%0.48% | 57.7%5.75% | 51.0%4.14% | 62.8%0.79% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 43.3%2.26% | 43.4%8.62% | 46.3%6.92% | 38.6%2.67% | 46.8%1.59% | 42.5%4.06% | 37.8%9.80% | 53.5%0.97% | 42.8%5.01% | 48.1%1.14% | 56.9%0.50% | 42.3%5.75% | 43.9%3.77% | 54.7%0.78% | |
| Seattle Sounders | 50.0%2.08% | 49.7%6.33% | 50.9%5.00% | 44.4%2.56% | 53.3%1.40% | 47.9%2.81% | 43.2%7.25% | 60.5%0.95% | 50.0%3.69% | 54.0%1.02% | 65.2%0.47% | 49.0%4.14% | 56.1%3.77% | 58.7%0.70% | |
| Toronto FC | 37.9%6.40% | 42.7%0.90% | 39.4%0.81% | 33.4%7.00% | 42.6%5.14% | 35.5%0.70% | 33.4%0.93% | 46.6%3.53% | 38.4%0.77% | 43.3%3.97% | 53.9%1.76% | 37.2%0.79% | 45.3%0.78% | 41.3%0.70% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Chivas USA | Colorado Rapids | Columbus Crew | DC United | FC Dallas | Houston Dynamo | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | New England Revolution | New York RB | Real Salt Lake | San Jose Earthquakes | Seattle Sounders | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 62.1%0.76% | 64.1%0.77% | 45.6%12.09% | 56.3%5.96% | 60.6%0.78% | 52.8%0.71% | 61.2%3.64% | 60.5%0.79% | 56.5%4.72% | 65.2%1.77% | 58.7%0.81% | 64.1%0.73% | 63.0%0.71% | 61.4%2.71% | |
| Chivas USA | 37.9%0.76% | 53.4%5.00% | 35.1%0.86% | 48.1%0.55% | 51.2%3.32% | 45.3%8.78% | 51.0%0.39% | 51.1%3.98% | 46.8%0.48% | 55.9%0.23% | 49.9%4.43% | 56.6%3.53% | 52.8%3.00% | 53.4%0.29% | |
| Colorado Rapids | 35.9%0.77% | 46.6%5.00% | 32.5%0.93% | 44.2%0.54% | 48.7%2.59% | 42.8%6.85% | 50.5%0.37% | 48.8%3.06% | 43.5%0.48% | 56.4%0.20% | 48.6%3.29% | 54.8%2.89% | 50.6%2.42% | 51.2%0.29% | |
| Columbus Crew | 54.4%12.09% | 64.9%0.86% | 67.5%0.93% | 59.5%8.08% | 64.5%0.89% | 56.9%0.90% | 64.2%4.84% | 63.7%1.02% | 60.7%6.19% | 68.7%2.34% | 63.4%1.00% | 69.3%0.86% | 66.9%0.93% | 66.8%3.70% | |
| DC United | 43.7%5.96% | 51.9%0.55% | 55.8%0.54% | 40.5%8.08% | 53.0%0.54% | 48.1%0.56% | 54.8%2.34% | 55.5%0.61% | 51.9%3.16% | 58.8%1.17% | 54.3%0.58% | 61.4%0.52% | 54.7%0.55% | 56.6%1.92% | |
| FC Dallas | 39.4%0.78% | 48.8%3.32% | 51.3%2.59% | 35.5%0.89% | 47.0%0.54% | 43.9%4.44% | 53.4%0.35% | 49.4%2.13% | 47.1%0.44% | 58.2%0.19% | 49.4%2.37% | 55.4%1.94% | 52.4%1.78% | 53.2%0.28% | |
| Houston Dynamo | 47.2%0.71% | 54.7%8.78% | 57.2%6.85% | 43.1%0.90% | 51.9%0.56% | 56.1%4.44% | 57.3%0.40% | 55.8%5.49% | 53.7%0.48% | 60.0%0.24% | 57.6%6.03% | 61.9%4.90% | 59.1%4.21% | 62.2%0.33% | |
| Kansas City Wizards | 38.8%3.64% | 49.0%0.39% | 49.5%0.37% | 35.8%4.84% | 45.2%2.34% | 46.6%0.35% | 42.7%0.40% | 50.3%0.37% | 45.4%1.87% | 54.9%0.75% | 51.6%0.39% | 59.6%0.34% | 48.1%0.34% | 52.1%1.10% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 39.5%0.79% | 48.9%3.98% | 51.2%3.06% | 36.3%1.02% | 44.5%0.61% | 50.6%2.13% | 44.2%5.49% | 49.7%0.37% | 44.0%0.51% | 63.8%0.20% | 47.7%2.85% | 57.1%2.22% | 51.6%2.03% | 53.1%0.32% | |
| New England Revolution | 43.5%4.72% | 53.2%0.48% | 56.5%0.48% | 39.3%6.19% | 48.1%3.16% | 52.9%0.44% | 46.3%0.48% | 54.6%1.87% | 56.0%0.51% | 61.0%0.90% | 53.8%0.49% | 54.8%0.42% | 57.4%0.42% | 55.5%1.46% | |
| New York RB | 34.8%1.77% | 44.1%0.23% | 43.6%0.20% | 31.3%2.34% | 41.2%1.17% | 41.8%0.19% | 40.0%0.24% | 45.1%0.75% | 36.2%0.20% | 39.0%0.90% | 46.3%0.23% | 49.2%0.19% | 43.3%0.19% | 45.6%0.50% | |
| Real Salt Lake | 41.3%0.81% | 50.1%4.43% | 51.4%3.29% | 36.6%1.00% | 45.7%0.58% | 50.6%2.37% | 42.4%6.03% | 48.4%0.39% | 52.3%2.85% | 46.2%0.49% | 53.7%0.23% | 56.8%2.53% | 54.8%2.26% | 50.5%0.30% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 35.9%0.73% | 43.4%3.53% | 45.2%2.89% | 30.7%0.86% | 38.6%0.52% | 44.6%1.94% | 38.1%4.90% | 40.4%0.34% | 42.9%2.22% | 45.2%0.42% | 50.8%0.19% | 43.2%2.53% | 46.3%1.79% | 48.7%0.27% | |
| Seattle Sounders | 37.0%0.71% | 47.2%3.00% | 49.4%2.42% | 33.1%0.93% | 45.3%0.55% | 47.6%1.78% | 40.9%4.21% | 51.9%0.34% | 48.4%2.03% | 42.6%0.42% | 56.7%0.19% | 45.2%2.26% | 53.7%1.79% | 46.0%0.29% | |
| Toronto FC | 38.6%2.71% | 46.6%0.29% | 48.8%0.29% | 33.2%3.70% | 43.4%1.92% | 46.8%0.28% | 37.8%0.33% | 47.9%1.10% | 46.9%0.32% | 44.5%1.46% | 54.4%0.50% | 49.5%0.30% | 51.3%0.27% | 54.0%0.29% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Chivas USA | Colorado Rapids | Columbus Crew | DC United | FC Dallas | Houston Dynamo | Kansas City Wizards | Los Angeles Galaxy | New England Revolution | New York RB | Real Salt Lake | San Jose Earthquakes | Seattle Sounders | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 49.3%3.22% | 51.8%2.50% | 40.4%0.18% | 58.7%0.14% | 51.0%1.71% | 43.9%4.67% | 58.2%0.10% | 49.8%2.04% | 61.5%0.12% | 59.2%0.05% | 51.5%2.28% | 56.7%1.62% | 51.2%1.56% | 60.5%0.08% | |
| Chivas USA | 50.7%3.22% | 52.7%0.50% | 46.3%4.26% | 55.3%2.04% | 54.9%0.58% | 46.1%0.83% | 60.8%1.22% | 53.0%0.59% | 57.6%1.63% | 62.6%0.52% | 54.1%0.59% | 58.2%0.43% | 55.3%0.45% | 62.1%0.89% | |
| Colorado Rapids | 48.2%2.50% | 47.3%0.50% | 42.7%3.21% | 53.2%1.57% | 53.9%0.41% | 43.0%0.73% | 58.6%0.88% | 49.4%0.50% | 54.6%1.19% | 64.9%0.42% | 50.5%0.54% | 53.7%0.36% | 49.0%0.40% | 60.6%0.70% | |
| Columbus Crew | 59.6%0.18% | 53.7%4.26% | 57.3%3.21% | 64.7%0.17% | 56.9%2.33% | 48.7%6.32% | 67.3%0.11% | 54.3%2.80% | 62.9%0.14% | 76.0%0.07% | 54.9%3.15% | 60.5%2.23% | 56.7%2.03% | 70.1%0.12% | |
| DC United | 41.3%0.14% | 44.7%2.04% | 46.8%1.57% | 35.3%0.17% | 43.7%1.11% | 40.3%2.92% | 59.5%0.08% | 45.0%1.27% | 51.0%0.10% | 56.8%0.04% | 42.6%1.50% | 50.5%1.03% | 48.4%0.96% | 59.1%0.04% | |
| FC Dallas | 49.0%1.71% | 45.1%0.58% | 46.1%0.41% | 43.1%2.33% | 56.3%1.11% | 42.0%0.74% | 65.0%0.63% | 49.4%0.44% | 54.9%0.88% | 65.8%0.28% | 46.7%0.46% | 53.3%0.31% | 47.8%0.34% | 64.5%0.45% | |
| Houston Dynamo | 56.1%4.67% | 53.9%0.83% | 57.0%0.73% | 51.3%6.32% | 59.7%2.92% | 58.0%0.74% | 64.4%1.67% | 57.9%0.80% | 60.4%2.38% | 72.8%0.74% | 57.5%0.80% | 58.5%0.54% | 61.9%0.66% | 69.3%1.32% | |
| Kansas City Wizards | 41.8%0.10% | 39.2%1.22% | 41.4%0.88% | 32.7%0.11% | 40.5%0.08% | 35.0%0.63% | 35.6%1.67% | 42.1%0.72% | 50.7%0.07% | 45.2%0.03% | 44.6%0.81% | 45.8%0.60% | 43.9%0.54% | 52.5%0.04% | |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 50.2%2.04% | 47.0%0.59% | 50.6%0.50% | 45.7%2.80% | 55.0%1.27% | 50.6%0.44% | 42.1%0.80% | 57.9%0.72% | 51.2%1.01% | 65.3%0.35% | 48.9%0.52% | 59.9%0.35% | 50.7%0.41% | 62.0%0.56% | |
| New England Revolution | 38.5%0.12% | 42.4%1.63% | 45.4%1.19% | 37.1%0.14% | 49.0%0.10% | 45.1%0.88% | 39.6%2.38% | 49.3%0.07% | 48.8%1.01% | 56.8%0.04% | 47.1%1.13% | 47.7%0.86% | 48.0%0.79% | 67.2%0.06% | |
| New York RB | 40.8%0.05% | 37.4%0.52% | 35.1%0.42% | 24.0%0.07% | 43.2%0.04% | 34.2%0.28% | 27.2%0.74% | 54.8%0.03% | 34.7%0.35% | 43.2%0.04% | 34.7%0.37% | 43.3%0.27% | 35.8%0.27% | 43.8%0.02% | |
| Real Salt Lake | 48.5%2.28% | 45.9%0.59% | 49.5%0.54% | 45.1%3.15% | 57.4%1.50% | 53.3%0.46% | 42.5%0.80% | 55.4%0.81% | 51.1%0.52% | 52.9%1.13% | 65.3%0.37% | 55.4%0.38% | 53.5%0.40% | 60.8%0.57% | |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 43.3%1.62% | 41.8%0.43% | 46.3%0.36% | 39.5%2.23% | 49.5%1.03% | 46.7%0.31% | 41.5%0.54% | 54.2%0.60% | 40.1%0.35% | 52.3%0.86% | 56.7%0.27% | 44.6%0.38% | 49.4%0.34% | 55.1%0.42% | |
| Seattle Sounders | 48.8%1.56% | 44.7%0.45% | 51.0%0.40% | 43.3%2.03% | 51.6%0.96% | 52.2%0.34% | 38.1%0.66% | 56.1%0.54% | 49.3%0.41% | 52.0%0.79% | 64.2%0.27% | 46.5%0.40% | 50.6%0.34% | 62.1%0.43% | |
| Toronto FC | 39.5%0.08% | 37.9%0.89% | 39.4%0.70% | 29.9%0.12% | 40.9%0.04% | 35.5%0.45% | 30.7%1.32% | 47.5%0.04% | 38.0%0.56% | 32.8%0.06% | 56.2%0.02% | 39.2%0.57% | 44.9%0.42% | 37.9%0.43% |
Actual Bracket Simulation
How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.
| Team | Advanced to Conference Finals | Advanced to MLS Cup | Won MLS Cup | Actual Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo | 56.77% | 30.67% | 17.11% | Eliminated in Conference Semifinals |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 50.61% | 30.12% | 15.53% | Eliminated in Conference Finals |
| Chicago Fire | 55.39% | 26.00% | 10.42% | Eliminated in MLS Cup |
| Chivas USA | 49.39% | 17.71% | 8.51% | Eliminated in Conference Semifinals |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Chivas USA | Columbus Crew | DC United | Houston Dynamo | Los Angeles Galaxy | New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 55.4%100.00% | |||||||
| Chivas USA | 49.4%100.00% | |||||||
| Columbus Crew | 60.5%100.00% | |||||||
| DC United | 39.5%100.00% | |||||||
| Houston Dynamo | 56.8%100.00% | |||||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 50.6%100.00% | |||||||
| New England Revolution | 44.6%100.00% | |||||||
| Seattle Sounders | 43.2%100.00% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Chivas USA | Columbus Crew | DC United | Houston Dynamo | Los Angeles Galaxy | New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 34.8%33.49% | 65.5%21.91% | ||||||
| Chivas USA | 34.1%27.97% | 38.1%21.42% | ||||||
| Columbus Crew | 65.2%33.49% | 68.3%27.05% | ||||||
| DC United | 34.5%21.91% | 37.6%17.56% | ||||||
| Houston Dynamo | 65.9%27.97% | 42.5%28.80% | ||||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 57.5%28.80% | 62.2%21.81% | ||||||
| New England Revolution | 31.7%27.05% | 62.4%17.56% | ||||||
| Seattle Sounders | 61.9%21.42% | 37.8%21.81% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | Chicago Fire | Chivas USA | Columbus Crew | DC United | Houston Dynamo | Los Angeles Galaxy | New England Revolution | Seattle Sounders |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire | 49.9%4.59% | 34.4%8.02% | 40.4%7.80% | 39.7%5.58% | ||||
| Chivas USA | 50.1%4.59% | 33.7%7.24% | 64.2%2.48% | 64.0%3.40% | ||||
| Columbus Crew | 66.3%7.24% | 61.7%12.32% | 65.0%12.16% | 66.1%8.59% | ||||
| DC United | 35.8%2.48% | 30.7%4.37% | 34.8%4.29% | 35.1%3.02% | ||||
| Houston Dynamo | 65.6%8.02% | 38.3%12.32% | 69.3%4.37% | 68.7%5.95% | ||||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | 59.6%7.80% | 35.0%12.16% | 65.2%4.29% | 65.3%5.86% | ||||
| New England Revolution | 36.0%3.40% | 31.3%5.95% | 34.7%5.86% | 35.2%4.31% | ||||
| Seattle Sounders | 60.3%5.58% | 33.9%8.59% | 64.9%3.02% | 64.8%4.31% |
Most-Likely Championship Paths
For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.
Regular Season Games
Summary of every regular-season game played this season.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-03-22 | @ FC Dallas | W 3-1 | 1513.77 | 1499.04 | 24.26% | 31.17% | 44.56% | +12.47 | 3 |
| 2009-03-28 | @ DC United | T 1-1 | 1526.24 | 1500.27 | 25.44% | 31.54% | 43.02% | +0.60 | 4 |
| 2009-04-05 | New York RB | W 1-0 | 1526.84 | 1484.16 | 52.18% | 28.60% | 19.22% | +3.96 | 7 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 3-3 | 1530.80 | 1535.24 | 22.40% | 30.44% | 47.16% | +0.55 | 8 |
| 2009-04-19 | Kansas City Wizards | T 2-2 | 1531.35 | 1501.55 | 50.51% | 29.27% | 20.22% | -0.81 | 9 |
| 2009-04-26 | @ Columbus Crew | T 2-2 | 1530.54 | 1499.69 | 25.98% | 31.68% | 42.35% | +0.41 | 10 |
| 2009-05-03 | Seattle Sounders | T 1-1 | 1530.95 | 1485.41 | 52.55% | 28.45% | 19.01% | -1.21 | 11 |
| 2009-05-10 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1529.74 | 1473.23 | 53.94% | 27.83% | 18.22% | -1.31 | 12 |
| 2009-05-16 | @ Toronto FC | W 2-0 | 1528.43 | 1472.97 | 28.87% | 32.23% | 38.90% | +13.05 | 15 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ New York RB | W 1-0 | 1541.48 | 1486.79 | 28.78% | 32.22% | 39.01% | +6.94 | 18 |
| 2009-05-29 | @ Chivas USA | W 3-2 | 1548.42 | 1549.42 | 22.72% | 30.58% | 46.69% | +7.07 | 21 |
| 2009-05-31 | FC Dallas | L 0-3 | 1555.49 | 1458.01 | 59.03% | 25.33% | 15.64% | -25.70 | 21 |
| 2009-06-06 | Houston Dynamo | L 0-1 | 1529.79 | 1548.94 | 43.96% | 31.32% | 24.72% | -7.56 | 21 |
| 2009-06-14 | @ DC United | L 1-2 | 1522.23 | 1512.41 | 23.77% | 31.00% | 45.23% | -4.54 | 21 |
| 2009-07-05 | @ Colorado Rapids | W 2-1 | 1517.69 | 1509.04 | 23.65% | 30.96% | 45.39% | +7.30 | 24 |
| 2009-07-12 | Columbus Crew | T 0-0 | 1524.99 | 1526.19 | 46.40% | 30.67% | 22.93% | -0.92 | 25 |
| 2009-07-19 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-0 | 1524.07 | 1483.08 | 51.96% | 28.69% | 19.35% | +7.51 | 28 |
| 2009-07-25 | @ Seattle Sounders | T 0-0 | 1531.58 | 1507.44 | 25.25% | 31.48% | 43.27% | +0.70 | 29 |
| 2009-08-02 | Real Salt Lake | W 1-0 | 1532.28 | 1508.94 | 49.66% | 29.59% | 20.75% | +4.27 | 32 |
| 2009-08-10 | @ Houston Dynamo | L 2-3 | 1536.55 | 1553.76 | 21.26% | 29.88% | 48.86% | -3.91 | 32 |
| 2009-08-16 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 2-0 | 1532.64 | 1470.64 | 29.70% | 32.33% | 37.97% | +12.83 | 35 |
| 2009-08-20 | Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-2 | 1545.47 | 1499.57 | 52.59% | 28.43% | 18.98% | -16.28 | 35 |
| 2009-08-23 | Colorado Rapids | W 3-2 | 1529.19 | 1520.72 | 47.69% | 30.27% | 22.04% | +4.04 | 38 |
| 2009-08-30 | DC United | L 0-1 | 1533.23 | 1498.86 | 51.10% | 29.04% | 19.86% | -8.45 | 38 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ Real Salt Lake | T 1-1 | 1524.78 | 1525.17 | 22.78% | 30.61% | 46.61% | +0.84 | 39 |
| 2009-09-20 | Columbus Crew | T 2-2 | 1525.62 | 1567.55 | 40.80% | 31.96% | 27.24% | -0.34 | 40 |
| 2009-09-27 | Toronto FC | T 2-2 | 1525.28 | 1462.35 | 54.76% | 27.46% | 17.78% | -1.01 | 41 |
| 2009-10-03 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-1 | 1524.27 | 1506.07 | 24.62% | 31.29% | 44.09% | -4.97 | 41 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ New England Revolution | T 0-0 | 1519.30 | 1479.78 | 26.96% | 31.90% | 41.14% | +0.54 | 42 |
| 2009-10-23 | Chivas USA | W 1-0 | 1519.84 | 1526.11 | 45.71% | 30.87% | 23.42% | +4.76 | 45 |
| 2009-03-22 | Colorado Rapids | W 2-1 | 1507.02 | 1492.57 | 48.49% | 30.01% | 21.50% | +4.16 | 3 |
| 2009-03-29 | @ FC Dallas | W 2-0 | 1511.18 | 1486.57 | 25.30% | 31.50% | 43.21% | +14.08 | 6 |
| 2009-04-06 | Columbus Crew | W 2-1 | 1525.26 | 1504.60 | 49.31% | 29.72% | 20.97% | +4.07 | 9 |
| 2009-04-12 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 0-0 | 1529.33 | 1482.46 | 27.82% | 32.07% | 40.11% | +0.46 | 10 |
| 2009-04-19 | Seattle Sounders | W 2-0 | 1529.79 | 1482.02 | 52.83% | 28.33% | 18.84% | +7.32 | 13 |
| 2009-04-23 | @ Toronto FC | L 0-1 | 1537.11 | 1461.53 | 31.49% | 32.48% | 36.03% | -5.98 | 13 |
| 2009-04-26 | FC Dallas | W 2-0 | 1531.13 | 1473.59 | 54.08% | 27.78% | 18.15% | +7.04 | 16 |
| 2009-05-03 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | W 1-0 | 1538.17 | 1522.72 | 24.34% | 31.20% | 44.47% | +7.62 | 19 |
| 2009-05-10 | Real Salt Lake | W 1-0 | 1545.79 | 1505.74 | 51.84% | 28.74% | 19.42% | +4.00 | 22 |
| 2009-05-17 | DC United | T 2-2 | 1549.79 | 1510.00 | 51.80% | 28.76% | 19.44% | -0.87 | 23 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1548.92 | 1511.59 | 26.71% | 31.85% | 41.44% | +0.50 | 24 |
| 2009-05-29 | Chicago Fire | L 2-3 | 1549.42 | 1548.42 | 46.69% | 30.58% | 22.72% | -7.07 | 24 |
| 2009-06-07 | Seattle Sounders | W 1-0 | 1542.35 | 1486.51 | 53.86% | 27.87% | 18.27% | +3.76 | 27 |
| 2009-06-11 | @ Houston Dynamo | L 0-1 | 1546.11 | 1556.50 | 21.86% | 30.19% | 47.95% | -4.48 | 27 |
| 2009-06-14 | @ Columbus Crew | L 1-2 | 1541.63 | 1524.59 | 24.50% | 31.25% | 44.25% | -4.66 | 27 |
| 2009-07-12 | Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-1 | 1536.97 | 1487.84 | 53.00% | 28.25% | 18.74% | -8.68 | 27 |
| 2009-07-19 | @ New England Revolution | L 0-2 | 1528.29 | 1474.72 | 28.64% | 32.20% | 39.17% | -10.54 | 27 |
| 2009-08-09 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-4 | 1517.75 | 1503.18 | 24.25% | 31.17% | 44.59% | -17.54 | 27 |
| 2009-08-16 | @ New York RB | W 2-0 | 1500.21 | 1405.78 | 34.13% | 32.54% | 33.33% | +11.73 | 30 |
| 2009-08-23 | Toronto FC | W 2-0 | 1511.94 | 1475.18 | 51.41% | 28.92% | 19.67% | +7.65 | 33 |
| 2009-08-27 | @ Real Salt Lake | L 0-4 | 1519.59 | 1500.61 | 24.70% | 31.32% | 43.98% | -17.81 | 33 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-1 | 1501.78 | 1516.61 | 21.47% | 29.99% | 48.54% | -4.41 | 33 |
| 2009-09-13 | New England Revolution | W 2-0 | 1497.37 | 1493.33 | 47.10% | 30.46% | 22.44% | +8.65 | 36 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ Seattle Sounders | T 0-0 | 1506.02 | 1499.46 | 23.45% | 30.88% | 45.68% | +0.87 | 37 |
| 2009-09-27 | New York RB | T 1-1 | 1506.89 | 1400.41 | 60.12% | 24.74% | 15.14% | -1.67 | 38 |
| 2009-10-04 | @ DC United | W 2-0 | 1505.22 | 1496.08 | 23.70% | 30.97% | 45.32% | +14.58 | 41 |
| 2009-10-11 | Kansas City Wizards | W 2-0 | 1519.80 | 1468.71 | 53.25% | 28.14% | 18.60% | +7.22 | 44 |
| 2009-10-18 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 2-2 | 1527.02 | 1480.80 | 52.63% | 28.41% | 18.96% | -0.91 | 45 |
| 2009-10-23 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-1 | 1526.11 | 1519.84 | 23.42% | 30.87% | 45.71% | -4.76 | 45 |
| 2009-10-25 | Houston Dynamo | L 2-3 | 1521.35 | 1548.21 | 42.90% | 31.56% | 25.54% | -6.64 | 45 |
| 2009-03-22 | @ Chivas USA | L 1-2 | 1492.57 | 1507.02 | 21.50% | 30.01% | 48.49% | -4.17 | 0 |
| 2009-03-29 | Kansas City Wizards | W 2-1 | 1488.40 | 1487.24 | 46.72% | 30.58% | 22.71% | +4.37 | 3 |
| 2009-04-05 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | W 3-2 | 1492.77 | 1489.47 | 23.13% | 30.75% | 46.11% | +7.01 | 6 |
| 2009-04-12 | @ Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1499.78 | 1500.53 | 22.75% | 30.59% | 46.66% | +0.84 | 7 |
| 2009-04-19 | @ Houston Dynamo | L 0-1 | 1500.62 | 1509.95 | 21.96% | 30.23% | 47.81% | -4.50 | 7 |
| 2009-04-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1496.12 | 1483.27 | 48.28% | 30.08% | 21.64% | -0.94 | 8 |
| 2009-05-03 | Real Salt Lake | W 2-0 | 1495.18 | 1515.91 | 43.74% | 31.37% | 24.89% | +9.44 | 11 |
| 2009-05-17 | @ New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1504.62 | 1474.53 | 25.89% | 31.66% | 42.45% | +0.57 | 12 |
| 2009-05-24 | Seattle Sounders | T 2-2 | 1505.19 | 1486.41 | 49.06% | 29.81% | 21.13% | -0.74 | 13 |
| 2009-05-31 | @ New York RB | W 3-2 | 1504.45 | 1479.85 | 25.30% | 31.49% | 43.21% | +6.67 | 16 |
| 2009-06-07 | @ Real Salt Lake | T 1-1 | 1511.12 | 1483.53 | 25.62% | 31.58% | 42.80% | +0.59 | 17 |
| 2009-06-21 | DC United | W 3-0 | 1511.71 | 1517.31 | 45.80% | 30.84% | 23.35% | +13.01 | 20 |
| 2009-06-25 | FC Dallas | T 1-1 | 1524.72 | 1477.83 | 52.72% | 28.37% | 18.91% | -1.23 | 21 |
| 2009-06-28 | @ Seattle Sounders | L 0-3 | 1523.49 | 1487.47 | 26.56% | 31.82% | 41.63% | -14.45 | 21 |
| 2009-07-05 | Chicago Fire | L 1-2 | 1509.04 | 1517.69 | 45.39% | 30.96% | 23.65% | -7.29 | 21 |
| 2009-07-12 | FC Dallas | W 1-0 | 1501.75 | 1482.74 | 49.09% | 29.80% | 21.11% | +4.34 | 24 |
| 2009-07-19 | @ DC United | L 1-3 | 1506.09 | 1505.34 | 22.89% | 30.65% | 46.46% | -7.63 | 24 |
| 2009-07-26 | New York RB | W 4-0 | 1498.46 | 1417.93 | 56.95% | 26.40% | 16.65% | +12.15 | 27 |
| 2009-08-02 | Columbus Crew | L 0-1 | 1510.61 | 1537.46 | 42.90% | 31.56% | 25.54% | -7.43 | 27 |
| 2009-08-09 | Chivas USA | W 4-0 | 1503.18 | 1517.75 | 44.59% | 31.17% | 24.25% | +17.54 | 30 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ Chicago Fire | L 2-3 | 1520.72 | 1529.19 | 22.04% | 30.27% | 47.69% | -4.03 | 30 |
| 2009-08-30 | Houston Dynamo | W 1-0 | 1516.69 | 1556.73 | 41.06% | 31.92% | 27.02% | +5.34 | 33 |
| 2009-09-06 | Toronto FC | W 1-0 | 1522.03 | 1468.71 | 53.54% | 28.02% | 18.44% | +3.80 | 36 |
| 2009-09-12 | @ Toronto FC | L 2-3 | 1525.83 | 1464.91 | 29.56% | 32.32% | 38.12% | -5.11 | 36 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1520.72 | 1474.96 | 27.69% | 32.05% | 40.27% | +0.42 | 37 |
| 2009-09-24 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1521.14 | 1474.54 | 52.68% | 28.39% | 18.93% | -1.22 | 38 |
| 2009-09-27 | @ Kansas City Wizards | T 0-0 | 1519.92 | 1467.61 | 28.48% | 32.18% | 39.34% | +0.40 | 39 |
| 2009-10-04 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1520.32 | 1485.14 | 51.21% | 29.00% | 19.79% | -1.13 | 40 |
| 2009-10-18 | @ FC Dallas | L 1-2 | 1519.19 | 1526.64 | 22.13% | 30.31% | 47.56% | -4.27 | 40 |
| 2009-10-25 | @ Real Salt Lake | L 0-3 | 1514.92 | 1507.05 | 23.58% | 30.93% | 45.50% | -13.11 | 40 |
| 2009-03-22 | @ Houston Dynamo | T 1-1 | 1517.01 | 1520.81 | 22.46% | 30.47% | 47.07% | +0.87 | 1 |
| 2009-03-28 | Toronto FC | T 1-1 | 1517.88 | 1480.39 | 51.51% | 28.88% | 19.61% | -1.15 | 2 |
| 2009-04-03 | @ Real Salt Lake | L 1-4 | 1516.73 | 1481.99 | 26.41% | 31.78% | 41.80% | -12.13 | 2 |
| 2009-04-06 | @ Chivas USA | L 1-2 | 1504.60 | 1525.26 | 20.97% | 29.72% | 49.31% | -4.07 | 2 |
| 2009-04-12 | Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1500.53 | 1499.78 | 46.66% | 30.59% | 22.75% | -0.84 | 3 |
| 2009-04-26 | Chicago Fire | T 2-2 | 1499.69 | 1530.54 | 42.35% | 31.68% | 25.98% | -0.42 | 4 |
| 2009-05-02 | @ Toronto FC | T 1-1 | 1499.27 | 1472.85 | 25.49% | 31.55% | 42.96% | +0.60 | 5 |
| 2009-05-10 | Kansas City Wizards | W 3-2 | 1499.87 | 1500.73 | 46.45% | 30.66% | 22.90% | +4.18 | 8 |
| 2009-05-17 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1504.05 | 1490.33 | 24.16% | 31.14% | 44.70% | +0.71 | 9 |
| 2009-05-28 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-1 | 1504.76 | 1495.94 | 47.74% | 30.25% | 22.00% | +4.25 | 12 |
| 2009-05-31 | @ Seattle Sounders | T 1-1 | 1509.01 | 1487.15 | 25.00% | 31.41% | 43.59% | +0.65 | 13 |
| 2009-06-07 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 2-0 | 1509.66 | 1511.74 | 22.62% | 30.54% | 46.84% | +14.93 | 16 |
| 2009-06-14 | Chivas USA | W 2-1 | 1524.59 | 1541.63 | 44.25% | 31.25% | 24.50% | +4.67 | 19 |
| 2009-06-21 | @ FC Dallas | L 1-2 | 1529.26 | 1472.51 | 29.03% | 32.25% | 38.72% | -5.33 | 19 |
| 2009-06-28 | New York RB | W 1-0 | 1523.93 | 1435.84 | 57.89% | 25.93% | 16.19% | +3.29 | 22 |
| 2009-07-05 | DC United | T 1-1 | 1527.22 | 1504.31 | 49.61% | 29.61% | 20.78% | -1.03 | 23 |
| 2009-07-12 | @ Chicago Fire | T 0-0 | 1526.19 | 1524.99 | 22.93% | 30.67% | 46.40% | +0.92 | 24 |
| 2009-07-19 | Real Salt Lake | W 3-1 | 1527.11 | 1509.86 | 48.86% | 29.88% | 21.26% | +7.14 | 27 |
| 2009-07-26 | Toronto FC | W 3-2 | 1534.25 | 1467.05 | 55.29% | 27.21% | 17.50% | +3.21 | 30 |
| 2009-08-02 | @ Colorado Rapids | W 1-0 | 1537.46 | 1510.61 | 25.54% | 31.56% | 42.90% | +7.42 | 33 |
| 2009-08-09 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | W 3-0 | 1544.88 | 1493.78 | 28.33% | 32.15% | 39.51% | +19.17 | 36 |
| 2009-08-16 | FC Dallas | W 2-0 | 1564.05 | 1504.53 | 54.33% | 27.66% | 18.01% | +6.98 | 39 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ New York RB | L 0-1 | 1571.03 | 1399.85 | 44.92% | 31.08% | 23.99% | -7.68 | 39 |
| 2009-09-13 | Houston Dynamo | W 2-1 | 1563.35 | 1551.39 | 48.16% | 30.12% | 21.72% | +4.20 | 42 |
| 2009-09-20 | @ Chicago Fire | T 2-2 | 1567.55 | 1525.62 | 27.24% | 31.96% | 40.80% | +0.34 | 43 |
| 2009-09-27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-0 | 1567.89 | 1513.19 | 53.72% | 27.94% | 18.35% | +7.12 | 46 |
| 2009-10-04 | Seattle Sounders | L 0-1 | 1575.01 | 1493.99 | 57.01% | 26.37% | 16.62% | -9.15 | 46 |
| 2009-10-11 | @ New England Revolution | W 1-0 | 1565.86 | 1486.27 | 32.03% | 32.51% | 35.46% | +6.49 | 49 |
| 2009-10-18 | @ DC United | L 0-1 | 1572.35 | 1481.50 | 33.62% | 32.54% | 33.84% | -6.26 | 49 |
| 2009-10-25 | New England Revolution | L 0-1 | 1566.09 | 1479.24 | 57.73% | 26.01% | 16.26% | -9.24 | 49 |
| 2009-03-22 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 2-2 | 1499.72 | 1490.02 | 23.76% | 31.00% | 45.25% | +0.55 | 1 |
| 2009-03-28 | Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1500.27 | 1526.24 | 43.02% | 31.54% | 25.44% | -0.60 | 2 |
| 2009-04-05 | Houston Dynamo | W 1-0 | 1499.67 | 1516.11 | 44.33% | 31.23% | 24.44% | +4.93 | 5 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Real Salt Lake | L 1-2 | 1504.60 | 1494.12 | 23.83% | 31.02% | 45.14% | -4.55 | 5 |
| 2009-04-18 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1500.05 | 1513.07 | 44.80% | 31.11% | 24.09% | -0.72 | 6 |
| 2009-04-26 | @ New York RB | W 3-2 | 1499.33 | 1486.30 | 24.09% | 31.11% | 44.79% | +6.85 | 9 |
| 2009-05-03 | FC Dallas | W 2-1 | 1506.18 | 1466.55 | 51.78% | 28.77% | 19.45% | +3.78 | 12 |
| 2009-05-07 | @ Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1509.96 | 1501.49 | 23.63% | 30.95% | 45.41% | +0.76 | 13 |
| 2009-05-10 | Toronto FC | T 3-3 | 1510.72 | 1472.25 | 51.64% | 28.83% | 19.54% | -0.72 | 14 |
| 2009-05-17 | @ Chivas USA | T 2-2 | 1510.00 | 1549.79 | 19.44% | 28.76% | 51.80% | +0.88 | 15 |
| 2009-05-24 | Real Salt Lake | T 0-0 | 1510.88 | 1486.70 | 49.77% | 29.55% | 20.68% | -1.17 | 16 |
| 2009-05-31 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-2 | 1509.71 | 1465.97 | 27.45% | 32.00% | 40.55% | -5.10 | 16 |
| 2009-06-05 | New York RB | W 2-0 | 1504.61 | 1473.17 | 50.72% | 29.19% | 20.09% | +7.80 | 19 |
| 2009-06-14 | Chicago Fire | W 2-1 | 1512.41 | 1522.23 | 45.23% | 31.00% | 23.77% | +4.55 | 22 |
| 2009-06-18 | @ Seattle Sounders | T 3-3 | 1516.96 | 1487.36 | 25.84% | 31.64% | 42.52% | +0.35 | 23 |
| 2009-06-21 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-3 | 1517.31 | 1511.71 | 23.35% | 30.84% | 45.80% | -13.00 | 23 |
| 2009-07-05 | @ Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1504.31 | 1527.22 | 20.78% | 29.61% | 49.61% | +1.03 | 24 |
| 2009-07-19 | Colorado Rapids | W 3-1 | 1505.34 | 1506.09 | 46.46% | 30.65% | 22.89% | +7.62 | 27 |
| 2009-07-26 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 2-2 | 1512.96 | 1475.56 | 26.71% | 31.85% | 41.43% | +0.37 | 28 |
| 2009-08-02 | @ Houston Dynamo | L 3-4 | 1513.33 | 1556.02 | 19.22% | 28.60% | 52.18% | -3.45 | 28 |
| 2009-08-15 | @ Toronto FC | L 0-2 | 1509.88 | 1464.93 | 27.59% | 32.03% | 40.38% | -10.25 | 28 |
| 2009-08-23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 0-0 | 1499.63 | 1515.84 | 44.36% | 31.22% | 24.41% | -0.77 | 29 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ Chicago Fire | W 1-0 | 1498.86 | 1533.23 | 19.86% | 29.04% | 51.10% | +8.45 | 32 |
| 2009-09-06 | @ FC Dallas | T 2-2 | 1507.31 | 1491.74 | 24.35% | 31.20% | 44.45% | +0.52 | 33 |
| 2009-09-10 | Kansas City Wizards | W 1-0 | 1507.83 | 1459.59 | 52.89% | 28.30% | 18.81% | +3.87 | 36 |
| 2009-09-13 | Seattle Sounders | L 1-2 | 1511.70 | 1491.72 | 49.22% | 29.75% | 21.03% | -7.75 | 36 |
| 2009-09-27 | San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-2 | 1503.95 | 1475.76 | 50.30% | 29.35% | 20.35% | -7.87 | 36 |
| 2009-10-04 | Chivas USA | L 0-2 | 1496.08 | 1505.22 | 45.32% | 30.97% | 23.70% | -14.58 | 36 |
| 2009-10-18 | Columbus Crew | W 1-0 | 1481.50 | 1572.35 | 33.84% | 32.54% | 33.62% | +6.26 | 39 |
| 2009-10-25 | @ Kansas City Wizards | T 2-2 | 1487.76 | 1455.08 | 26.18% | 31.73% | 42.09% | +0.40 | 40 |
| 2009-03-22 | Chicago Fire | L 1-3 | 1499.04 | 1513.77 | 44.56% | 31.17% | 24.26% | -12.47 | 0 |
| 2009-03-29 | Chivas USA | L 0-2 | 1486.57 | 1511.18 | 43.21% | 31.50% | 25.30% | -14.08 | 0 |
| 2009-04-05 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-2 | 1472.49 | 1509.24 | 19.67% | 28.92% | 51.41% | -3.82 | 0 |
| 2009-04-11 | @ Toronto FC | T 1-1 | 1468.67 | 1466.46 | 23.03% | 30.71% | 46.26% | +0.82 | 1 |
| 2009-04-20 | Toronto FC | W 3-2 | 1469.49 | 1465.64 | 47.08% | 30.47% | 22.46% | +4.10 | 4 |
| 2009-04-26 | @ Chivas USA | L 0-2 | 1473.59 | 1531.13 | 18.15% | 27.78% | 54.08% | -7.04 | 4 |
| 2009-05-03 | @ DC United | L 1-2 | 1466.55 | 1506.18 | 19.45% | 28.77% | 51.78% | -3.78 | 4 |
| 2009-05-10 | @ Houston Dynamo | L 0-1 | 1462.77 | 1528.44 | 17.60% | 27.30% | 55.10% | -3.61 | 4 |
| 2009-05-17 | Seattle Sounders | T 1-1 | 1459.16 | 1485.81 | 42.93% | 31.56% | 25.52% | -0.60 | 5 |
| 2009-05-24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1458.56 | 1489.62 | 42.32% | 31.68% | 26.00% | -0.55 | 6 |
| 2009-05-31 | @ Chicago Fire | W 3-0 | 1458.01 | 1555.49 | 15.64% | 25.33% | 59.03% | +25.69 | 9 |
| 2009-06-07 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 2-2 | 1483.70 | 1496.02 | 44.89% | 31.09% | 24.02% | -0.54 | 10 |
| 2009-06-14 | Houston Dynamo | L 1-3 | 1483.16 | 1560.98 | 35.71% | 32.49% | 31.79% | -10.65 | 10 |
| 2009-06-21 | Columbus Crew | W 2-1 | 1472.51 | 1529.26 | 38.72% | 32.25% | 29.03% | +5.32 | 13 |
| 2009-06-25 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1477.83 | 1524.72 | 18.91% | 28.37% | 52.72% | +1.23 | 14 |
| 2009-07-05 | New York RB | W 2-1 | 1479.06 | 1432.55 | 52.67% | 28.39% | 18.94% | +3.68 | 17 |
| 2009-07-12 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-1 | 1482.74 | 1501.75 | 21.11% | 29.80% | 49.09% | -4.34 | 17 |
| 2009-07-25 | @ Real Salt Lake | L 2-4 | 1478.40 | 1502.73 | 20.66% | 29.54% | 49.79% | -6.21 | 17 |
| 2009-08-02 | Kansas City Wizards | W 6-0 | 1472.19 | 1497.26 | 43.14% | 31.51% | 25.35% | +26.62 | 20 |
| 2009-08-07 | Houston Dynamo | W 1-0 | 1498.81 | 1559.48 | 38.16% | 32.31% | 29.53% | +5.72 | 23 |
| 2009-08-16 | @ Columbus Crew | L 0-2 | 1504.53 | 1564.05 | 18.01% | 27.66% | 54.33% | -6.99 | 23 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ New York RB | L 2-3 | 1497.54 | 1394.05 | 35.43% | 32.51% | 32.06% | -5.80 | 23 |
| 2009-09-06 | DC United | T 2-2 | 1491.74 | 1507.31 | 44.45% | 31.20% | 24.35% | -0.52 | 24 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | W 6-3 | 1491.22 | 1521.02 | 20.22% | 29.27% | 50.51% | +15.52 | 27 |
| 2009-09-20 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 2-3 | 1506.74 | 1462.77 | 27.48% | 32.01% | 40.52% | -4.85 | 27 |
| 2009-09-27 | Real Salt Lake | W 3-0 | 1501.89 | 1520.51 | 44.03% | 31.31% | 24.66% | +13.62 | 30 |
| 2009-10-01 | New England Revolution | W 1-0 | 1515.51 | 1489.36 | 50.03% | 29.45% | 20.52% | +4.22 | 33 |
| 2009-10-08 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-1 | 1519.73 | 1487.01 | 26.19% | 31.73% | 42.09% | +6.91 | 36 |
| 2009-10-18 | Colorado Rapids | W 2-1 | 1526.64 | 1519.19 | 47.56% | 30.31% | 22.13% | +4.27 | 39 |
| 2009-10-25 | @ Seattle Sounders | L 1-2 | 1530.91 | 1509.55 | 24.95% | 31.39% | 43.66% | -4.74 | 39 |
| 2009-03-22 | Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1520.81 | 1517.01 | 47.07% | 30.47% | 22.46% | -0.87 | 1 |
| 2009-03-29 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 2-3 | 1519.94 | 1542.27 | 20.83% | 29.64% | 49.53% | -3.83 | 1 |
| 2009-04-05 | @ DC United | L 0-1 | 1516.11 | 1499.67 | 24.44% | 31.23% | 44.33% | -4.94 | 1 |
| 2009-04-12 | New York RB | T 0-0 | 1511.17 | 1480.20 | 50.66% | 29.21% | 20.12% | -1.22 | 2 |
| 2009-04-19 | Colorado Rapids | W 1-0 | 1509.95 | 1500.62 | 47.81% | 30.23% | 21.96% | +4.50 | 5 |
| 2009-05-03 | @ New England Revolution | W 2-0 | 1514.45 | 1487.22 | 25.58% | 31.57% | 42.85% | +13.99 | 8 |
| 2009-05-10 | FC Dallas | W 1-0 | 1528.44 | 1462.77 | 55.10% | 27.30% | 17.60% | +3.61 | 11 |
| 2009-05-17 | @ New York RB | T 1-1 | 1532.05 | 1487.22 | 27.58% | 32.02% | 40.40% | +0.43 | 12 |
| 2009-05-24 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 3-1 | 1532.48 | 1502.74 | 50.50% | 29.28% | 20.22% | +6.80 | 15 |
| 2009-05-31 | Toronto FC | W 3-0 | 1539.28 | 1467.91 | 55.82% | 26.96% | 17.22% | +9.66 | 18 |
| 2009-06-06 | @ Chicago Fire | W 1-0 | 1548.94 | 1529.79 | 24.72% | 31.32% | 43.96% | +7.56 | 21 |
| 2009-06-11 | Chivas USA | W 1-0 | 1556.50 | 1546.11 | 47.95% | 30.19% | 21.86% | +4.48 | 24 |
| 2009-06-14 | @ FC Dallas | W 3-1 | 1560.98 | 1483.16 | 31.79% | 32.49% | 35.71% | +10.65 | 27 |
| 2009-06-21 | Real Salt Lake | T 1-1 | 1571.63 | 1498.24 | 56.07% | 26.84% | 17.09% | -1.43 | 28 |
| 2009-06-29 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-1 | 1570.20 | 1476.94 | 33.96% | 32.54% | 33.50% | -6.30 | 28 |
| 2009-07-05 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 1-0 | 1563.90 | 1504.14 | 29.41% | 32.30% | 38.29% | +6.84 | 31 |
| 2009-07-11 | @ Seattle Sounders | L 1-2 | 1570.74 | 1501.91 | 30.58% | 32.42% | 37.00% | -5.52 | 31 |
| 2009-07-18 | @ Toronto FC | T 1-1 | 1565.22 | 1466.99 | 34.68% | 32.53% | 32.79% | -0.06 | 32 |
| 2009-07-26 | New England Revolution | L 0-1 | 1565.16 | 1485.26 | 56.88% | 26.44% | 16.69% | -9.14 | 32 |
| 2009-08-02 | DC United | W 4-3 | 1556.02 | 1513.33 | 52.18% | 28.60% | 19.22% | +3.46 | 35 |
| 2009-08-07 | @ FC Dallas | L 0-1 | 1559.48 | 1498.81 | 29.53% | 32.31% | 38.16% | -5.72 | 35 |
| 2009-08-10 | Chicago Fire | W 3-2 | 1553.76 | 1536.55 | 48.86% | 29.88% | 21.26% | +3.91 | 38 |
| 2009-08-16 | @ Real Salt Lake | T 0-0 | 1557.67 | 1509.05 | 28.03% | 32.10% | 39.86% | +0.44 | 39 |
| 2009-08-24 | Seattle Sounders | T 1-1 | 1558.11 | 1491.51 | 55.22% | 27.25% | 17.54% | -1.38 | 40 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-1 | 1556.73 | 1516.69 | 27.02% | 31.92% | 41.06% | -5.34 | 40 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ Columbus Crew | L 1-2 | 1551.39 | 1563.35 | 21.72% | 30.12% | 48.16% | -4.20 | 40 |
| 2009-09-20 | Real Salt Lake | W 3-2 | 1547.19 | 1524.33 | 49.60% | 29.61% | 20.79% | +3.82 | 43 |
| 2009-10-04 | Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1551.01 | 1467.20 | 57.36% | 26.20% | 16.45% | -1.51 | 44 |
| 2009-10-18 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 0-0 | 1549.50 | 1511.04 | 51.63% | 28.83% | 19.54% | -1.29 | 45 |
| 2009-10-25 | @ Chivas USA | W 3-2 | 1548.21 | 1521.35 | 25.54% | 31.56% | 42.90% | +6.64 | 48 |
| 2009-03-22 | Toronto FC | L 2-3 | 1494.61 | 1473.02 | 49.43% | 29.67% | 20.89% | -7.37 | 0 |
| 2009-03-29 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 1-2 | 1487.24 | 1488.40 | 22.71% | 30.58% | 46.72% | -4.37 | 0 |
| 2009-04-05 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-0 | 1482.87 | 1546.10 | 37.80% | 32.35% | 29.86% | +10.86 | 3 |
| 2009-04-12 | @ Seattle Sounders | W 1-0 | 1493.73 | 1489.84 | 23.19% | 30.78% | 46.04% | +7.82 | 6 |
| 2009-04-19 | @ Chicago Fire | T 2-2 | 1501.55 | 1531.35 | 20.22% | 29.27% | 50.51% | +0.81 | 7 |
| 2009-04-24 | New York RB | W 1-0 | 1502.36 | 1490.76 | 48.11% | 30.13% | 21.75% | +4.46 | 10 |
| 2009-04-26 | @ Toronto FC | L 0-1 | 1506.82 | 1467.52 | 26.93% | 31.90% | 41.17% | -5.33 | 10 |
| 2009-05-07 | DC United | T 1-1 | 1501.49 | 1509.96 | 45.41% | 30.95% | 23.63% | -0.76 | 11 |
| 2009-05-10 | @ Columbus Crew | L 2-3 | 1500.73 | 1499.87 | 22.90% | 30.66% | 46.45% | -4.18 | 11 |
| 2009-05-17 | @ Real Salt Lake | W 2-0 | 1496.55 | 1501.73 | 22.33% | 30.41% | 47.26% | +15.04 | 14 |
| 2009-05-24 | Chivas USA | T 1-1 | 1511.59 | 1548.92 | 41.44% | 31.85% | 26.71% | -0.50 | 15 |
| 2009-05-31 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1511.09 | 1490.18 | 24.90% | 31.38% | 43.72% | +0.65 | 16 |
| 2009-06-07 | Columbus Crew | L 0-2 | 1511.74 | 1509.66 | 46.84% | 30.54% | 22.62% | -14.94 | 16 |
| 2009-06-14 | New England Revolution | W 3-1 | 1496.80 | 1487.38 | 47.82% | 30.23% | 21.95% | +7.34 | 19 |
| 2009-07-05 | Houston Dynamo | L 0-1 | 1504.14 | 1563.90 | 38.29% | 32.30% | 29.41% | -6.84 | 19 |
| 2009-07-11 | @ New England Revolution | T 0-0 | 1497.30 | 1475.44 | 25.00% | 31.41% | 43.59% | +0.71 | 20 |
| 2009-07-26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1498.01 | 1507.47 | 45.28% | 30.99% | 23.73% | -0.75 | 21 |
| 2009-08-02 | @ FC Dallas | L 0-6 | 1497.26 | 1472.19 | 25.35% | 31.51% | 43.14% | -26.62 | 21 |
| 2009-08-16 | Chicago Fire | L 0-2 | 1470.64 | 1532.64 | 37.97% | 32.33% | 29.70% | -12.83 | 21 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-1 | 1457.81 | 1474.61 | 21.30% | 29.90% | 48.80% | -4.38 | 21 |
| 2009-08-30 | Real Salt Lake | L 0-1 | 1453.43 | 1518.42 | 37.55% | 32.37% | 30.08% | -6.75 | 21 |
| 2009-09-06 | @ New England Revolution | W 4-2 | 1446.68 | 1506.24 | 18.01% | 27.66% | 54.33% | +12.91 | 24 |
| 2009-09-10 | @ DC United | L 0-1 | 1459.59 | 1507.83 | 18.81% | 28.30% | 52.89% | -3.87 | 24 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ New York RB | W 1-0 | 1455.72 | 1407.53 | 27.98% | 32.10% | 39.92% | +7.05 | 27 |
| 2009-09-20 | FC Dallas | W 3-2 | 1462.77 | 1506.74 | 40.52% | 32.01% | 27.48% | +4.84 | 30 |
| 2009-09-27 | Colorado Rapids | T 0-0 | 1467.61 | 1519.92 | 39.34% | 32.18% | 28.48% | -0.41 | 31 |
| 2009-10-04 | @ Houston Dynamo | T 1-1 | 1467.20 | 1551.01 | 16.45% | 26.20% | 57.36% | +1.51 | 32 |
| 2009-10-11 | @ Chivas USA | L 0-2 | 1468.71 | 1519.80 | 18.60% | 28.14% | 53.25% | -7.22 | 32 |
| 2009-10-18 | Seattle Sounders | L 2-3 | 1461.49 | 1503.14 | 40.84% | 31.95% | 27.21% | -6.41 | 32 |
| 2009-10-25 | DC United | T 2-2 | 1455.08 | 1487.76 | 42.09% | 31.73% | 26.18% | -0.41 | 33 |
| 2009-03-22 | DC United | T 2-2 | 1490.02 | 1499.72 | 45.25% | 31.00% | 23.76% | -0.55 | 1 |
| 2009-04-05 | Colorado Rapids | L 2-3 | 1489.47 | 1492.77 | 46.11% | 30.75% | 23.13% | -7.01 | 1 |
| 2009-04-12 | Chivas USA | T 0-0 | 1482.46 | 1529.33 | 40.11% | 32.07% | 27.82% | -0.46 | 2 |
| 2009-04-19 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1482.00 | 1534.70 | 18.49% | 28.05% | 53.46% | +1.27 | 3 |
| 2009-04-26 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1483.27 | 1496.12 | 21.64% | 30.08% | 48.28% | +0.94 | 4 |
| 2009-05-03 | New York RB | W 1-0 | 1484.21 | 1479.44 | 47.20% | 30.43% | 22.37% | +4.58 | 7 |
| 2009-05-07 | @ Real Salt Lake | T 2-2 | 1488.79 | 1506.47 | 21.22% | 29.86% | 48.92% | +0.73 | 8 |
| 2009-05-10 | @ Seattle Sounders | T 1-1 | 1489.52 | 1486.62 | 23.09% | 30.74% | 46.17% | +0.81 | 9 |
| 2009-05-17 | Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1490.33 | 1504.05 | 44.70% | 31.14% | 24.16% | -0.71 | 10 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ FC Dallas | T 1-1 | 1489.62 | 1458.56 | 26.00% | 31.68% | 42.32% | +0.56 | 11 |
| 2009-05-31 | Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1490.18 | 1511.09 | 43.72% | 31.38% | 24.90% | -0.65 | 12 |
| 2009-06-06 | @ Toronto FC | W 2-1 | 1489.53 | 1458.25 | 26.03% | 31.69% | 42.29% | +6.93 | 15 |
| 2009-06-14 | Real Salt Lake | L 0-2 | 1496.46 | 1482.94 | 48.37% | 30.05% | 21.59% | -15.30 | 15 |
| 2009-06-20 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-2 | 1481.16 | 1491.95 | 21.83% | 30.17% | 48.00% | -4.22 | 15 |
| 2009-06-29 | Houston Dynamo | W 1-0 | 1476.94 | 1570.20 | 33.50% | 32.54% | 33.96% | +6.30 | 18 |
| 2009-07-05 | New England Revolution | W 1-0 | 1483.24 | 1480.04 | 46.99% | 30.49% | 22.52% | +4.60 | 21 |
| 2009-07-12 | @ Chivas USA | W 1-0 | 1487.84 | 1536.97 | 18.74% | 28.25% | 53.00% | +8.68 | 24 |
| 2009-07-17 | @ New York RB | W 3-1 | 1496.52 | 1428.87 | 30.43% | 32.40% | 37.17% | +10.95 | 27 |
| 2009-07-26 | @ Kansas City Wizards | T 1-1 | 1507.47 | 1498.01 | 23.73% | 30.99% | 45.28% | +0.75 | 28 |
| 2009-08-08 | @ New England Revolution | W 2-1 | 1508.22 | 1493.30 | 24.28% | 31.18% | 44.54% | +7.20 | 31 |
| 2009-08-16 | Seattle Sounders | L 0-2 | 1515.42 | 1483.77 | 50.75% | 29.18% | 20.07% | -15.85 | 31 |
| 2009-08-20 | @ Chicago Fire | W 2-0 | 1499.57 | 1545.47 | 18.98% | 28.43% | 52.59% | +16.27 | 34 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ DC United | T 0-0 | 1515.84 | 1499.63 | 24.41% | 31.22% | 44.36% | +0.77 | 35 |
| 2009-08-30 | Chivas USA | W 1-0 | 1516.61 | 1501.78 | 48.54% | 29.99% | 21.47% | +4.41 | 38 |
| 2009-09-13 | FC Dallas | L 3-6 | 1521.02 | 1491.22 | 50.51% | 29.27% | 20.22% | -15.51 | 38 |
| 2009-09-20 | Toronto FC | W 2-0 | 1505.51 | 1470.03 | 51.25% | 28.98% | 19.77% | +7.68 | 41 |
| 2009-09-27 | @ Columbus Crew | L 0-2 | 1513.19 | 1567.89 | 18.35% | 27.94% | 53.72% | -7.12 | 41 |
| 2009-10-03 | Chicago Fire | W 1-0 | 1506.07 | 1524.27 | 44.09% | 31.29% | 24.62% | +4.97 | 44 |
| 2009-10-18 | @ Houston Dynamo | T 0-0 | 1511.04 | 1549.50 | 19.54% | 28.83% | 51.63% | +1.29 | 45 |
| 2009-10-25 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-0 | 1512.33 | 1481.71 | 50.62% | 29.23% | 20.15% | +7.83 | 48 |
| 2009-03-22 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | W 1-0 | 1499.91 | 1550.98 | 18.60% | 28.14% | 53.25% | +8.71 | 3 |
| 2009-03-28 | @ New York RB | T 1-1 | 1508.62 | 1484.78 | 25.21% | 31.47% | 43.31% | +0.62 | 4 |
| 2009-04-05 | FC Dallas | W 2-1 | 1509.24 | 1472.49 | 51.41% | 28.92% | 19.67% | +3.83 | 7 |
| 2009-04-18 | @ DC United | T 1-1 | 1513.07 | 1500.05 | 24.09% | 31.11% | 44.80% | +0.72 | 8 |
| 2009-04-26 | @ Real Salt Lake | L 0-6 | 1513.79 | 1489.35 | 25.28% | 31.49% | 43.23% | -26.57 | 8 |
| 2009-05-03 | Houston Dynamo | L 0-2 | 1487.22 | 1514.45 | 42.85% | 31.57% | 25.58% | -13.99 | 8 |
| 2009-05-10 | @ Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1473.23 | 1529.74 | 18.22% | 27.83% | 53.94% | +1.30 | 9 |
| 2009-05-17 | Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1474.53 | 1504.62 | 42.45% | 31.66% | 25.89% | -0.57 | 10 |
| 2009-05-23 | @ Toronto FC | L 1-3 | 1473.96 | 1459.92 | 24.19% | 31.15% | 44.66% | -7.99 | 10 |
| 2009-05-31 | DC United | W 2-1 | 1465.97 | 1509.71 | 40.55% | 32.00% | 27.45% | +5.10 | 13 |
| 2009-06-07 | New York RB | W 4-0 | 1471.07 | 1465.37 | 47.33% | 30.39% | 22.29% | +16.31 | 16 |
| 2009-06-14 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 1-3 | 1487.38 | 1496.80 | 21.95% | 30.23% | 47.82% | -7.34 | 16 |
| 2009-07-05 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-1 | 1480.04 | 1483.24 | 22.52% | 30.49% | 46.99% | -4.60 | 16 |
| 2009-07-11 | Kansas City Wizards | T 0-0 | 1475.44 | 1497.30 | 43.59% | 31.41% | 25.00% | -0.72 | 17 |
| 2009-07-19 | Chivas USA | W 2-0 | 1474.72 | 1528.29 | 39.17% | 32.20% | 28.64% | +10.54 | 20 |
| 2009-07-26 | @ Houston Dynamo | W 1-0 | 1485.26 | 1565.16 | 16.69% | 26.44% | 56.88% | +9.13 | 23 |
| 2009-08-02 | Toronto FC | T 1-1 | 1494.39 | 1463.84 | 50.61% | 29.23% | 20.16% | -1.09 | 24 |
| 2009-08-08 | Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-2 | 1493.30 | 1508.22 | 44.54% | 31.18% | 24.28% | -7.20 | 24 |
| 2009-08-21 | @ Seattle Sounders | W 1-0 | 1486.10 | 1499.62 | 21.59% | 30.05% | 48.37% | +8.12 | 27 |
| 2009-08-23 | Real Salt Lake | W 3-1 | 1494.22 | 1508.61 | 44.61% | 31.16% | 24.23% | +8.00 | 30 |
| 2009-08-30 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-1 | 1502.22 | 1478.99 | 49.65% | 29.60% | 20.76% | +4.02 | 33 |
| 2009-09-06 | Kansas City Wizards | L 2-4 | 1506.24 | 1446.68 | 54.33% | 27.66% | 18.01% | -12.91 | 33 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ Chivas USA | L 0-2 | 1493.33 | 1497.37 | 22.44% | 30.46% | 47.10% | -8.65 | 33 |
| 2009-09-19 | @ New York RB | T 1-1 | 1484.68 | 1400.48 | 32.67% | 32.53% | 34.80% | +0.07 | 34 |
| 2009-09-27 | Seattle Sounders | W 2-1 | 1484.75 | 1498.60 | 44.68% | 31.14% | 24.17% | +4.61 | 37 |
| 2009-10-01 | @ FC Dallas | L 0-1 | 1489.36 | 1515.51 | 20.52% | 29.45% | 50.03% | -4.22 | 37 |
| 2009-10-04 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1485.14 | 1520.32 | 19.79% | 29.00% | 51.21% | +1.13 | 38 |
| 2009-10-11 | Columbus Crew | L 0-1 | 1486.27 | 1565.86 | 35.46% | 32.51% | 32.03% | -6.49 | 38 |
| 2009-10-17 | Chicago Fire | T 0-0 | 1479.78 | 1519.30 | 41.14% | 31.90% | 26.96% | -0.54 | 39 |
| 2009-10-25 | @ Columbus Crew | W 1-0 | 1479.24 | 1566.09 | 16.26% | 26.01% | 57.73% | +9.24 | 42 |
| 2009-03-20 | @ Seattle Sounders | L 0-3 | 1499.90 | 1450.00 | 28.19% | 32.13% | 39.68% | -15.12 | 0 |
| 2009-03-28 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1484.78 | 1508.62 | 43.31% | 31.47% | 25.21% | -0.62 | 1 |
| 2009-04-05 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-1 | 1484.16 | 1526.84 | 19.22% | 28.60% | 52.18% | -3.96 | 1 |
| 2009-04-12 | @ Houston Dynamo | T 0-0 | 1480.20 | 1511.17 | 20.12% | 29.21% | 50.66% | +1.23 | 2 |
| 2009-04-19 | Real Salt Lake | W 2-0 | 1481.43 | 1498.68 | 44.22% | 31.26% | 24.52% | +9.33 | 5 |
| 2009-04-24 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1490.76 | 1502.36 | 21.75% | 30.13% | 48.11% | -4.46 | 5 |
| 2009-04-26 | DC United | L 2-3 | 1486.30 | 1499.33 | 44.79% | 31.11% | 24.09% | -6.86 | 5 |
| 2009-05-03 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-1 | 1479.44 | 1484.21 | 22.37% | 30.43% | 47.20% | -4.57 | 5 |
| 2009-05-09 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 4-1 | 1474.87 | 1515.09 | 41.04% | 31.92% | 27.04% | +12.35 | 8 |
| 2009-05-17 | Houston Dynamo | T 1-1 | 1487.22 | 1532.05 | 40.40% | 32.02% | 27.58% | -0.43 | 9 |
| 2009-05-24 | Chicago Fire | L 0-1 | 1486.79 | 1541.48 | 39.01% | 32.22% | 28.78% | -6.94 | 9 |
| 2009-05-31 | Colorado Rapids | L 2-3 | 1479.85 | 1504.45 | 43.21% | 31.49% | 25.30% | -6.68 | 9 |
| 2009-06-05 | @ DC United | L 0-2 | 1473.17 | 1504.61 | 20.09% | 29.19% | 50.72% | -7.80 | 9 |
| 2009-06-07 | @ New England Revolution | L 0-4 | 1465.37 | 1471.07 | 22.29% | 30.39% | 47.33% | -16.31 | 9 |
| 2009-06-14 | @ Toronto FC | L 1-2 | 1449.06 | 1451.32 | 22.60% | 30.53% | 46.86% | -4.35 | 9 |
| 2009-06-21 | Seattle Sounders | T 1-1 | 1444.71 | 1487.01 | 40.75% | 31.97% | 27.28% | -0.46 | 10 |
| 2009-06-25 | @ Toronto FC | L 0-2 | 1444.25 | 1455.67 | 21.77% | 30.14% | 48.09% | -8.41 | 10 |
| 2009-06-28 | @ Columbus Crew | L 0-1 | 1435.84 | 1523.93 | 16.19% | 25.93% | 57.89% | -3.29 | 10 |
| 2009-07-05 | @ FC Dallas | L 1-2 | 1432.55 | 1479.06 | 18.94% | 28.39% | 52.67% | -3.68 | 10 |
| 2009-07-17 | Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-3 | 1428.87 | 1496.52 | 37.17% | 32.40% | 30.43% | -10.94 | 10 |
| 2009-07-26 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-4 | 1417.93 | 1498.46 | 16.65% | 26.40% | 56.95% | -12.15 | 10 |
| 2009-08-16 | Chivas USA | L 0-2 | 1405.78 | 1500.21 | 33.33% | 32.54% | 34.13% | -11.73 | 10 |
| 2009-08-23 | FC Dallas | W 3-2 | 1394.05 | 1497.54 | 32.06% | 32.51% | 35.43% | +5.80 | 13 |
| 2009-08-30 | Columbus Crew | W 1-0 | 1399.85 | 1571.03 | 23.99% | 31.08% | 44.92% | +7.68 | 16 |
| 2009-09-13 | Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1407.53 | 1455.72 | 39.92% | 32.10% | 27.98% | -7.05 | 16 |
| 2009-09-19 | New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1400.48 | 1484.68 | 34.80% | 32.53% | 32.67% | -0.07 | 17 |
| 2009-09-27 | @ Chivas USA | T 1-1 | 1400.41 | 1506.89 | 15.14% | 24.74% | 60.12% | +1.67 | 18 |
| 2009-10-04 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-1 | 1402.08 | 1483.63 | 16.58% | 26.34% | 57.08% | -3.38 | 18 |
| 2009-10-15 | @ Real Salt Lake | L 0-2 | 1398.70 | 1506.89 | 15.05% | 24.63% | 60.32% | -5.68 | 18 |
| 2009-10-25 | Toronto FC | W 5-0 | 1393.02 | 1468.19 | 36.09% | 32.48% | 31.43% | +26.34 | 21 |
| 2009-03-29 | @ Seattle Sounders | L 0-2 | 1491.62 | 1465.12 | 25.50% | 31.55% | 42.95% | -9.63 | 0 |
| 2009-04-03 | Columbus Crew | W 4-1 | 1481.99 | 1516.73 | 41.80% | 31.78% | 26.41% | +12.13 | 3 |
| 2009-04-11 | DC United | W 2-1 | 1494.12 | 1504.60 | 45.14% | 31.02% | 23.83% | +4.56 | 6 |
| 2009-04-19 | @ New York RB | L 0-2 | 1498.68 | 1481.43 | 24.52% | 31.26% | 44.22% | -9.33 | 6 |
| 2009-04-26 | New England Revolution | W 6-0 | 1489.35 | 1513.79 | 43.23% | 31.49% | 25.28% | +26.56 | 9 |
| 2009-05-03 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-2 | 1515.91 | 1495.18 | 24.89% | 31.37% | 43.74% | -9.44 | 9 |
| 2009-05-07 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 2-2 | 1506.47 | 1488.79 | 48.92% | 29.86% | 21.22% | -0.73 | 10 |
| 2009-05-10 | @ Chivas USA | L 0-1 | 1505.74 | 1545.79 | 19.42% | 28.74% | 51.84% | -4.01 | 10 |
| 2009-05-17 | Kansas City Wizards | L 0-2 | 1501.73 | 1496.55 | 47.26% | 30.41% | 22.33% | -15.03 | 10 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ DC United | T 0-0 | 1486.70 | 1510.88 | 20.68% | 29.55% | 49.77% | +1.16 | 11 |
| 2009-05-31 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 1-2 | 1487.86 | 1491.69 | 22.46% | 30.47% | 47.07% | -4.33 | 11 |
| 2009-06-07 | Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1483.53 | 1511.12 | 42.80% | 31.58% | 25.62% | -0.59 | 12 |
| 2009-06-14 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-0 | 1482.94 | 1496.46 | 21.59% | 30.05% | 48.37% | +15.30 | 15 |
| 2009-06-21 | @ Houston Dynamo | T 1-1 | 1498.24 | 1571.63 | 17.09% | 26.84% | 56.07% | +1.43 | 16 |
| 2009-06-28 | Toronto FC | W 3-0 | 1499.67 | 1464.09 | 51.26% | 28.98% | 19.76% | +11.15 | 19 |
| 2009-07-04 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1510.82 | 1496.17 | 48.52% | 30.00% | 21.49% | -0.96 | 20 |
| 2009-07-19 | @ Columbus Crew | L 1-3 | 1509.86 | 1527.11 | 21.26% | 29.88% | 48.86% | -7.13 | 20 |
| 2009-07-25 | FC Dallas | W 4-2 | 1502.73 | 1478.40 | 49.79% | 29.54% | 20.66% | +6.21 | 23 |
| 2009-08-02 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-1 | 1508.94 | 1532.28 | 20.75% | 29.59% | 49.66% | -4.27 | 23 |
| 2009-08-09 | Seattle Sounders | W 1-0 | 1504.67 | 1488.15 | 48.76% | 29.91% | 21.32% | +4.38 | 26 |
| 2009-08-16 | Houston Dynamo | T 0-0 | 1509.05 | 1557.67 | 39.86% | 32.10% | 28.03% | -0.44 | 27 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-3 | 1508.61 | 1494.22 | 24.23% | 31.16% | 44.61% | -8.00 | 27 |
| 2009-08-27 | Chivas USA | W 4-0 | 1500.61 | 1519.59 | 43.98% | 31.32% | 24.70% | +17.81 | 30 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 1-0 | 1518.42 | 1453.43 | 30.08% | 32.37% | 37.55% | +6.75 | 33 |
| 2009-09-13 | Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1525.17 | 1524.78 | 46.61% | 30.61% | 22.78% | -0.84 | 34 |
| 2009-09-20 | @ Houston Dynamo | L 2-3 | 1524.33 | 1547.19 | 20.79% | 29.61% | 49.60% | -3.82 | 34 |
| 2009-09-27 | @ FC Dallas | L 0-3 | 1520.51 | 1501.89 | 24.66% | 31.31% | 44.03% | -13.62 | 34 |
| 2009-10-15 | New York RB | W 2-0 | 1506.89 | 1398.70 | 60.32% | 24.63% | 15.05% | +5.69 | 37 |
| 2009-10-17 | @ Toronto FC | L 0-1 | 1512.58 | 1462.67 | 28.19% | 32.13% | 39.68% | -5.53 | 37 |
| 2009-10-25 | Colorado Rapids | W 3-0 | 1507.05 | 1514.92 | 45.50% | 30.93% | 23.58% | +13.12 | 40 |
| 2009-03-22 | New England Revolution | L 0-1 | 1550.98 | 1499.91 | 53.25% | 28.14% | 18.60% | -8.71 | 0 |
| 2009-03-29 | Houston Dynamo | W 3-2 | 1542.27 | 1519.94 | 49.53% | 29.64% | 20.83% | +3.83 | 3 |
| 2009-04-05 | @ Kansas City Wizards | L 0-2 | 1546.10 | 1482.87 | 29.86% | 32.35% | 37.80% | -10.86 | 3 |
| 2009-04-11 | Chicago Fire | T 3-3 | 1535.24 | 1530.80 | 47.16% | 30.44% | 22.40% | -0.54 | 4 |
| 2009-04-19 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1534.70 | 1482.00 | 53.46% | 28.05% | 18.49% | -1.27 | 5 |
| 2009-04-26 | @ Seattle Sounders | L 0-2 | 1533.43 | 1474.70 | 29.28% | 32.28% | 38.44% | -10.71 | 5 |
| 2009-05-03 | Chivas USA | L 0-1 | 1522.72 | 1538.17 | 44.47% | 31.20% | 24.34% | -7.63 | 5 |
| 2009-05-09 | @ New York RB | L 1-4 | 1515.09 | 1474.87 | 27.04% | 31.92% | 41.04% | -12.35 | 5 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Houston Dynamo | L 1-3 | 1502.74 | 1532.48 | 20.22% | 29.28% | 50.50% | -6.80 | 5 |
| 2009-05-28 | @ Columbus Crew | L 1-2 | 1495.94 | 1504.76 | 22.00% | 30.25% | 47.74% | -4.25 | 5 |
| 2009-05-31 | Real Salt Lake | W 2-1 | 1491.69 | 1487.86 | 47.07% | 30.47% | 22.46% | +4.33 | 8 |
| 2009-06-07 | @ FC Dallas | T 2-2 | 1496.02 | 1483.70 | 24.02% | 31.09% | 44.89% | +0.54 | 9 |
| 2009-06-14 | @ Seattle Sounders | L 1-2 | 1496.56 | 1482.75 | 24.17% | 31.14% | 44.69% | -4.61 | 9 |
| 2009-06-20 | Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-1 | 1491.95 | 1481.16 | 48.00% | 30.17% | 21.83% | +4.22 | 12 |
| 2009-07-04 | @ Real Salt Lake | T 1-1 | 1496.17 | 1510.82 | 21.49% | 30.00% | 48.52% | +0.96 | 13 |
| 2009-07-12 | Toronto FC | L 1-3 | 1497.13 | 1452.94 | 52.37% | 28.52% | 19.11% | -14.05 | 13 |
| 2009-07-19 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-2 | 1483.08 | 1524.07 | 19.35% | 28.69% | 51.96% | -7.52 | 13 |
| 2009-07-26 | DC United | T 2-2 | 1475.56 | 1512.96 | 41.43% | 31.85% | 26.71% | -0.38 | 14 |
| 2009-08-02 | Seattle Sounders | W 4-0 | 1475.18 | 1506.74 | 42.25% | 31.70% | 26.06% | +18.60 | 17 |
| 2009-08-09 | Columbus Crew | L 0-3 | 1493.78 | 1544.88 | 39.51% | 32.15% | 28.33% | -19.17 | 17 |
| 2009-08-23 | Kansas City Wizards | W 1-0 | 1474.61 | 1457.81 | 48.80% | 29.90% | 21.30% | +4.38 | 20 |
| 2009-08-30 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-2 | 1478.99 | 1502.22 | 20.76% | 29.60% | 49.65% | -4.03 | 20 |
| 2009-09-19 | Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1474.96 | 1520.72 | 40.27% | 32.05% | 27.69% | -0.42 | 21 |
| 2009-09-24 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 1-1 | 1474.54 | 1521.14 | 18.93% | 28.39% | 52.68% | +1.22 | 22 |
| 2009-09-27 | @ DC United | W 2-1 | 1475.76 | 1503.95 | 20.35% | 29.35% | 50.30% | +7.87 | 25 |
| 2009-10-04 | New York RB | W 1-0 | 1483.63 | 1402.08 | 57.08% | 26.34% | 16.58% | +3.38 | 28 |
| 2009-10-08 | FC Dallas | L 1-2 | 1487.01 | 1519.73 | 42.09% | 31.73% | 26.19% | -6.90 | 28 |
| 2009-10-10 | @ Toronto FC | T 1-1 | 1480.11 | 1463.35 | 24.47% | 31.24% | 44.29% | +0.69 | 29 |
| 2009-10-18 | @ Chivas USA | T 2-2 | 1480.80 | 1527.02 | 18.96% | 28.41% | 52.63% | +0.91 | 30 |
| 2009-10-25 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-2 | 1481.71 | 1512.33 | 20.15% | 29.23% | 50.62% | -7.83 | 30 |
| 2009-03-20 | New York RB | W 3-0 | 1450.00 | 1499.90 | 39.68% | 32.13% | 28.19% | +15.12 | 3 |
| 2009-03-29 | Real Salt Lake | W 2-0 | 1465.12 | 1491.62 | 42.95% | 31.55% | 25.50% | +9.63 | 6 |
| 2009-04-04 | @ Toronto FC | W 2-0 | 1474.75 | 1481.54 | 22.19% | 30.34% | 47.47% | +15.09 | 9 |
| 2009-04-12 | Kansas City Wizards | L 0-1 | 1489.84 | 1493.73 | 46.04% | 30.78% | 23.19% | -7.82 | 9 |
| 2009-04-19 | @ Chivas USA | L 0-2 | 1482.02 | 1529.79 | 18.84% | 28.33% | 52.83% | -7.32 | 9 |
| 2009-04-26 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-0 | 1474.70 | 1533.43 | 38.44% | 32.28% | 29.28% | +10.71 | 12 |
| 2009-05-03 | @ Chicago Fire | T 1-1 | 1485.41 | 1530.95 | 19.01% | 28.45% | 52.55% | +1.21 | 13 |
| 2009-05-10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1486.62 | 1489.52 | 46.17% | 30.74% | 23.09% | -0.81 | 14 |
| 2009-05-17 | @ FC Dallas | T 1-1 | 1485.81 | 1459.16 | 25.52% | 31.56% | 42.93% | +0.60 | 15 |
| 2009-05-24 | @ Colorado Rapids | T 2-2 | 1486.41 | 1505.19 | 21.13% | 29.81% | 49.06% | +0.74 | 16 |
| 2009-05-31 | Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1487.15 | 1509.01 | 43.59% | 31.41% | 25.00% | -0.64 | 17 |
| 2009-06-07 | @ Chivas USA | L 0-1 | 1486.51 | 1542.35 | 18.27% | 27.87% | 53.86% | -3.76 | 17 |
| 2009-06-14 | San Jose Earthquakes | W 2-1 | 1482.75 | 1496.56 | 44.69% | 31.14% | 24.17% | +4.61 | 20 |
| 2009-06-18 | DC United | T 3-3 | 1487.36 | 1516.96 | 42.52% | 31.64% | 25.84% | -0.35 | 21 |
| 2009-06-21 | @ New York RB | T 1-1 | 1487.01 | 1444.71 | 27.28% | 31.97% | 40.75% | +0.46 | 22 |
| 2009-06-28 | Colorado Rapids | W 3-0 | 1487.47 | 1523.49 | 41.63% | 31.82% | 26.56% | +14.44 | 25 |
| 2009-07-11 | Houston Dynamo | W 2-1 | 1501.91 | 1570.74 | 37.00% | 32.42% | 30.58% | +5.53 | 28 |
| 2009-07-25 | Chicago Fire | T 0-0 | 1507.44 | 1531.58 | 43.27% | 31.48% | 25.25% | -0.70 | 29 |
| 2009-08-02 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | L 0-4 | 1506.74 | 1475.18 | 26.06% | 31.70% | 42.25% | -18.59 | 29 |
| 2009-08-09 | @ Real Salt Lake | L 0-1 | 1488.15 | 1504.67 | 21.32% | 29.91% | 48.76% | -4.38 | 29 |
| 2009-08-16 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | W 2-0 | 1483.77 | 1515.42 | 20.07% | 29.18% | 50.75% | +15.85 | 32 |
| 2009-08-21 | New England Revolution | L 0-1 | 1499.62 | 1486.10 | 48.37% | 30.05% | 21.59% | -8.11 | 32 |
| 2009-08-24 | @ Houston Dynamo | T 1-1 | 1491.51 | 1558.11 | 17.54% | 27.25% | 55.22% | +1.38 | 33 |
| 2009-08-29 | Toronto FC | T 0-0 | 1492.89 | 1467.53 | 49.93% | 29.49% | 20.58% | -1.17 | 34 |
| 2009-09-13 | @ DC United | W 2-1 | 1491.72 | 1511.70 | 21.03% | 29.75% | 49.22% | +7.74 | 37 |
| 2009-09-19 | Chivas USA | T 0-0 | 1499.46 | 1506.02 | 45.68% | 30.88% | 23.45% | -0.86 | 38 |
| 2009-09-27 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-2 | 1498.60 | 1484.75 | 24.17% | 31.14% | 44.68% | -4.61 | 38 |
| 2009-10-04 | @ Columbus Crew | W 1-0 | 1493.99 | 1575.01 | 16.62% | 26.37% | 57.01% | +9.15 | 41 |
| 2009-10-18 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 3-2 | 1503.14 | 1461.49 | 27.21% | 31.95% | 40.84% | +6.41 | 44 |
| 2009-10-25 | FC Dallas | W 2-1 | 1509.55 | 1530.91 | 43.66% | 31.39% | 24.95% | +4.73 | 47 |
| 2009-03-22 | @ Kansas City Wizards | W 3-2 | 1473.02 | 1494.61 | 20.89% | 29.67% | 49.43% | +7.37 | 3 |
| 2009-03-28 | @ Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1480.39 | 1517.88 | 19.61% | 28.88% | 51.51% | +1.15 | 4 |
| 2009-04-04 | Seattle Sounders | L 0-2 | 1481.54 | 1474.75 | 47.47% | 30.34% | 22.19% | -15.08 | 4 |
| 2009-04-11 | FC Dallas | T 1-1 | 1466.46 | 1468.67 | 46.26% | 30.71% | 23.03% | -0.82 | 5 |
| 2009-04-20 | @ FC Dallas | L 2-3 | 1465.64 | 1469.49 | 22.46% | 30.47% | 47.08% | -4.11 | 5 |
| 2009-04-23 | Chivas USA | W 1-0 | 1461.53 | 1537.11 | 36.03% | 32.48% | 31.49% | +5.99 | 8 |
| 2009-04-26 | Kansas City Wizards | W 1-0 | 1467.52 | 1506.82 | 41.17% | 31.90% | 26.93% | +5.33 | 11 |
| 2009-05-02 | Columbus Crew | T 1-1 | 1472.85 | 1499.27 | 42.96% | 31.55% | 25.49% | -0.60 | 12 |
| 2009-05-10 | @ DC United | T 3-3 | 1472.25 | 1510.72 | 19.54% | 28.83% | 51.64% | +0.72 | 13 |
| 2009-05-16 | Chicago Fire | L 0-2 | 1472.97 | 1528.43 | 38.90% | 32.23% | 28.87% | -13.05 | 13 |
| 2009-05-23 | New England Revolution | W 3-1 | 1459.92 | 1473.96 | 44.66% | 31.15% | 24.19% | +7.99 | 16 |
| 2009-05-31 | @ Houston Dynamo | L 0-3 | 1467.91 | 1539.28 | 17.22% | 26.96% | 55.82% | -9.66 | 16 |
| 2009-06-06 | Los Angeles Galaxy | L 1-2 | 1458.25 | 1489.53 | 42.29% | 31.69% | 26.03% | -6.93 | 16 |
| 2009-06-14 | New York RB | W 2-1 | 1451.32 | 1449.06 | 46.86% | 30.53% | 22.60% | +4.35 | 19 |
| 2009-06-25 | New York RB | W 2-0 | 1455.67 | 1444.25 | 48.09% | 30.14% | 21.77% | +8.42 | 22 |
| 2009-06-28 | @ Real Salt Lake | L 0-3 | 1464.09 | 1499.67 | 19.76% | 28.98% | 51.26% | -11.15 | 22 |
| 2009-07-12 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | W 3-1 | 1452.94 | 1497.13 | 19.11% | 28.52% | 52.37% | +14.05 | 25 |
| 2009-07-18 | Houston Dynamo | T 1-1 | 1466.99 | 1565.22 | 32.79% | 32.53% | 34.68% | +0.06 | 26 |
| 2009-07-26 | @ Columbus Crew | L 2-3 | 1467.05 | 1534.25 | 17.50% | 27.21% | 55.29% | -3.21 | 26 |
| 2009-08-02 | @ New England Revolution | T 1-1 | 1463.84 | 1494.39 | 20.16% | 29.23% | 50.61% | +1.09 | 27 |
| 2009-08-15 | DC United | W 2-0 | 1464.93 | 1509.88 | 40.38% | 32.03% | 27.59% | +10.25 | 30 |
| 2009-08-23 | @ Chivas USA | L 0-2 | 1475.18 | 1511.94 | 19.67% | 28.92% | 51.41% | -7.65 | 30 |
| 2009-08-29 | @ Seattle Sounders | T 0-0 | 1467.53 | 1492.89 | 20.58% | 29.49% | 49.93% | +1.18 | 31 |
| 2009-09-06 | @ Colorado Rapids | L 0-1 | 1468.71 | 1522.03 | 18.44% | 28.02% | 53.54% | -3.80 | 31 |
| 2009-09-12 | Colorado Rapids | W 3-2 | 1464.91 | 1525.83 | 38.12% | 32.32% | 29.56% | +5.12 | 34 |
| 2009-09-20 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-2 | 1470.03 | 1505.51 | 19.77% | 28.98% | 51.25% | -7.68 | 34 |
| 2009-09-27 | @ Chicago Fire | T 2-2 | 1462.35 | 1525.28 | 17.78% | 27.46% | 54.76% | +1.00 | 35 |
| 2009-10-10 | San Jose Earthquakes | T 1-1 | 1463.35 | 1480.11 | 44.29% | 31.24% | 24.47% | -0.68 | 36 |
| 2009-10-17 | Real Salt Lake | W 1-0 | 1462.67 | 1512.58 | 39.68% | 32.13% | 28.19% | +5.52 | 39 |
| 2009-10-25 | @ New York RB | L 0-5 | 1468.19 | 1393.02 | 31.43% | 32.48% | 36.09% | -26.34 | 39 |
Playoff Games
Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-11-01 | @ New England Revolution | L 1-2 | 1524.60 | 1488.48 | 42.08% | 0.00% | 57.92% | -4.97 | 0-1 |
| 2009-11-08 | New England Revolution | W 2-0 | 1519.63 | 1493.46 | 66.33% | 0.00% | 33.67% | +7.96 | 1-1 |
| 2009-11-15 | Real Salt Lake | T 0-0 | 1527.59 | 1532.89 | 62.17% | 0.00% | 37.83% | -0.88 | 1-1 |
| 2009-11-01 | Los Angeles Galaxy | T 2-2 | 1514.71 | 1520.16 | 62.15% | 0.00% | 37.85% | -0.59 | 0-0 |
| 2009-11-09 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-1 | 1514.12 | 1520.75 | 36.23% | 0.00% | 63.77% | -4.54 | 0-1 |
| 2009-10-31 | @ Real Salt Lake | L 0-1 | 1556.85 | 1520.17 | 42.16% | 0.00% | 57.84% | -5.28 | 0-1 |
| 2009-11-06 | Real Salt Lake | L 2-3 | 1551.57 | 1525.45 | 66.32% | 0.00% | 33.68% | -7.44 | 0-2 |
| 2009-10-30 | @ Seattle Sounders | T 0-0 | 1554.85 | 1514.28 | 42.70% | 0.00% | 57.30% | +0.53 | 0-0 |
| 2009-11-08 | Seattle Sounders | W 1-0 | 1555.38 | 1513.75 | 68.29% | 0.00% | 31.71% | +3.98 | 1-0 |
| 2009-11-14 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | L 0-2 | 1559.36 | 1525.29 | 41.79% | 0.00% | 58.21% | -9.89 | 1-1 |
| 2009-11-01 | @ Chivas USA | T 2-2 | 1520.16 | 1514.71 | 37.85% | 0.00% | 62.15% | +0.59 | 0-0 |
| 2009-11-09 | Chivas USA | W 1-0 | 1520.75 | 1514.12 | 63.77% | 0.00% | 36.23% | +4.54 | 1-0 |
| 2009-11-14 | Houston Dynamo | W 2-0 | 1525.29 | 1559.36 | 58.21% | 0.00% | 41.79% | +9.88 | 2-0 |
| 2009-11-23 | Real Salt Lake | T 1-1 | 1535.17 | 1533.77 | 63.08% | 0.00% | 36.92% | -0.85 | 2-0 |
| 2009-11-01 | Chicago Fire | W 2-1 | 1488.48 | 1524.60 | 57.92% | 0.00% | 42.08% | +4.98 | 1-0 |
| 2009-11-08 | @ Chicago Fire | L 0-2 | 1493.46 | 1519.63 | 33.67% | 0.00% | 66.33% | -7.97 | 1-1 |
| 2009-10-31 | Columbus Crew | W 1-0 | 1520.17 | 1556.85 | 57.84% | 0.00% | 42.16% | +5.28 | 1-0 |
| 2009-11-06 | @ Columbus Crew | W 3-2 | 1525.45 | 1551.57 | 33.68% | 0.00% | 66.32% | +7.44 | 2-0 |
| 2009-11-15 | @ Chicago Fire | T 0-0 | 1532.89 | 1527.59 | 37.83% | 0.00% | 62.17% | +0.88 | 2-0 |
| 2009-11-23 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | T 1-1 | 1533.77 | 1535.17 | 36.92% | 0.00% | 63.08% | +0.85 | 2-0 |
| 2009-10-30 | Houston Dynamo | T 0-0 | 1514.28 | 1554.85 | 57.30% | 0.00% | 42.70% | -0.53 | 0-0 |
| 2009-11-08 | @ Houston Dynamo | L 0-1 | 1513.75 | 1555.38 | 31.71% | 0.00% | 68.29% | -3.97 | 0-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2009-05-31 | 15.64% | FC Dallas | 1458.01 | 3 | @ Chicago Fire | 1555.49 | 0 |
| 2 | 2009-10-25 | 16.26% | New England Revolution | 1479.24 | 1 | @ Columbus Crew | 1566.09 | 0 |
| 3 | 2009-10-04 | 16.62% | Seattle Sounders | 1493.99 | 1 | @ Columbus Crew | 1575.01 | 0 |
| 4 | 2009-07-26 | 16.69% | New England Revolution | 1485.26 | 1 | @ Houston Dynamo | 1565.16 | 0 |
| 5 | 2009-09-06 | 18.01% | Kansas City Wizards | 1446.68 | 4 | @ New England Revolution | 1506.24 | 2 |
| 6 | 2009-03-22 | 18.60% | New England Revolution | 1499.91 | 1 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 1550.98 | 0 |
| 7 | 2009-07-12 | 18.74% | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1487.84 | 1 | @ Chivas USA | 1536.97 | 0 |
| 8 | 2009-08-20 | 18.98% | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1499.57 | 2 | @ Chicago Fire | 1545.47 | 0 |
| 9 | 2009-07-12 | 19.11% | Toronto FC | 1452.94 | 3 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 1497.13 | 1 |
| 10 | 2009-08-30 | 19.86% | DC United | 1498.86 | 1 | @ Chicago Fire | 1533.23 | 0 |
| 11 | 2009-08-16 | 20.07% | Seattle Sounders | 1483.77 | 2 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 1515.42 | 0 |
| 12 | 2009-09-13 | 20.22% | FC Dallas | 1491.22 | 6 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 1521.02 | 3 |
| 13 | 2009-09-27 | 20.35% | San Jose Earthquakes | 1475.76 | 2 | @ DC United | 1503.95 | 1 |
| 14 | 2009-03-22 | 20.89% | Toronto FC | 1473.02 | 3 | @ Kansas City Wizards | 1494.61 | 2 |
| 15 | 2009-09-13 | 21.03% | Seattle Sounders | 1491.72 | 2 | @ DC United | 1511.70 | 1 |
| 16 | 2009-06-14 | 21.59% | Real Salt Lake | 1482.94 | 2 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 1496.46 | 0 |
| 17 | 2009-08-21 | 21.59% | New England Revolution | 1486.10 | 1 | @ Seattle Sounders | 1499.62 | 0 |
| 18 | 2009-04-04 | 22.19% | Seattle Sounders | 1474.75 | 2 | @ Toronto FC | 1481.54 | 0 |
| 19 | 2009-05-17 | 22.33% | Kansas City Wizards | 1496.55 | 2 | @ Real Salt Lake | 1501.73 | 0 |
| 20 | 2009-06-07 | 22.62% | Columbus Crew | 1509.66 | 2 | @ Kansas City Wizards | 1511.74 | 0 |
| 21 | 2009-05-29 | 22.72% | Chicago Fire | 1548.42 | 3 | @ Chivas USA | 1549.42 | 2 |
| 22 | 2009-04-05 | 23.13% | Colorado Rapids | 1492.77 | 3 | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 1489.47 | 2 |
| 23 | 2009-04-12 | 23.19% | Kansas City Wizards | 1493.73 | 1 | @ Seattle Sounders | 1489.84 | 0 |
| 24 | 2009-07-05 | 23.65% | Chicago Fire | 1517.69 | 2 | @ Colorado Rapids | 1509.04 | 1 |
| 25 | 2009-10-04 | 23.70% | Chivas USA | 1505.22 | 2 | @ DC United | 1496.08 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2009-08-02 | 26.62 | @ FC Dallas | 6 | 1472.19 | 43.14% | Kansas City Wizards | 0 | 1497.26 | 25.35% | 31.51% |
| 2 | 2009-04-26 | 26.57 | @ Real Salt Lake | 6 | 1489.35 | 43.23% | New England Revolution | 0 | 1513.79 | 25.28% | 31.49% |
| 3 | 2009-10-25 | 26.34 | @ New York RB | 5 | 1393.02 | 36.09% | Toronto FC | 0 | 1468.19 | 31.43% | 32.48% |
| 4 | 2009-05-31 | 25.70 | FC Dallas | 3 | 1458.01 | 15.64% | @ Chicago Fire | 0 | 1555.49 | 59.03% | 25.33% |
| 5 | 2009-08-09 | 19.17 | Columbus Crew | 3 | 1544.88 | 28.33% | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 0 | 1493.78 | 39.51% | 32.15% |
| 6 | 2009-08-02 | 18.60 | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 4 | 1475.18 | 42.25% | Seattle Sounders | 0 | 1506.74 | 26.06% | 31.70% |
| 7 | 2009-08-27 | 17.81 | @ Real Salt Lake | 4 | 1500.61 | 43.98% | Chivas USA | 0 | 1519.59 | 24.70% | 31.32% |
| 8 | 2009-08-09 | 17.54 | @ Colorado Rapids | 4 | 1503.18 | 44.59% | Chivas USA | 0 | 1517.75 | 24.25% | 31.17% |
| 9 | 2009-06-07 | 16.31 | @ New England Revolution | 4 | 1471.07 | 47.33% | New York RB | 0 | 1465.37 | 22.29% | 30.39% |
| 10 | 2009-08-20 | 16.28 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 | 1499.57 | 18.98% | @ Chicago Fire | 0 | 1545.47 | 52.59% | 28.43% |
| 11 | 2009-08-16 | 15.85 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1483.77 | 20.07% | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 0 | 1515.42 | 50.75% | 29.18% |
| 12 | 2009-09-13 | 15.52 | FC Dallas | 6 | 1491.22 | 20.22% | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 3 | 1521.02 | 50.51% | 29.27% |
| 13 | 2009-06-14 | 15.30 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 1482.94 | 21.59% | @ Los Angeles Galaxy | 0 | 1496.46 | 48.37% | 30.05% |
| 14 | 2009-03-20 | 15.12 | @ Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1450.00 | 39.68% | New York RB | 0 | 1499.90 | 28.19% | 32.13% |
| 15 | 2009-04-04 | 15.09 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1474.75 | 22.19% | @ Toronto FC | 0 | 1481.54 | 47.47% | 30.34% |
| 16 | 2009-05-17 | 15.04 | Kansas City Wizards | 2 | 1496.55 | 22.33% | @ Real Salt Lake | 0 | 1501.73 | 47.26% | 30.41% |
| 17 | 2009-06-07 | 14.94 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 1509.66 | 22.62% | @ Kansas City Wizards | 0 | 1511.74 | 46.84% | 30.54% |
| 18 | 2009-10-04 | 14.58 | Chivas USA | 2 | 1505.22 | 23.70% | @ DC United | 0 | 1496.08 | 45.32% | 30.97% |
| 19 | 2009-06-28 | 14.45 | @ Seattle Sounders | 3 | 1487.47 | 41.63% | Colorado Rapids | 0 | 1523.49 | 26.56% | 31.82% |
| 20 | 2009-03-29 | 14.08 | Chivas USA | 2 | 1511.18 | 25.30% | @ FC Dallas | 0 | 1486.57 | 43.21% | 31.50% |
| 21 | 2009-07-12 | 14.05 | Toronto FC | 3 | 1452.94 | 19.11% | @ San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1497.13 | 52.37% | 28.52% |
| 22 | 2009-05-03 | 13.99 | Houston Dynamo | 2 | 1514.45 | 25.58% | @ New England Revolution | 0 | 1487.22 | 42.85% | 31.57% |
| 23 | 2009-09-27 | 13.62 | @ FC Dallas | 3 | 1501.89 | 44.03% | Real Salt Lake | 0 | 1520.51 | 24.66% | 31.31% |
| 24 | 2009-10-25 | 13.12 | @ Real Salt Lake | 3 | 1507.05 | 45.50% | Colorado Rapids | 0 | 1514.92 | 23.58% | 30.93% |
| 25 | 2009-05-16 | 13.05 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1528.43 | 28.87% | @ Toronto FC | 0 | 1472.97 | 38.90% | 32.23% |