1999 MLS Season

192 regular-season games · 8 playoff teams

Final

Champion

DC United

3rd Title

Last Title: 1997

Runner-Up

Los Angeles Galaxy

2nd Appearance

Last Appearance: 1996

Biggest Overachiever

Dallas Burn

8.28 points above expected

51 points · 42.72 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

MetroStars

11.86 points below expected

15 points · 26.86 expected points

Final Standings

Final regular season records. The vsSim column shows actual points minus the simulation's mean points - positive values indicate the team overachieved, negative values mean they underperformed.

#	Team	W	SOW	L	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	DC United Conference	17	6	9	57	.594	65	43	+22	51.31	+5.69
2	Columbus Crew Playoffs	13	6	13	45	.469	48	39	+9	44.78	+0.22
3	Tampa Bay Mutiny Playoffs	9	5	18	32	.333	51	50	+1	35.19	-3.19
4	Miami Fusion Playoffs	8	5	19	29	.302	42	59	-17	28.95	+0.05
5	New England Revolution	7	5	20	26	.271	38	53	-15	34.58	-8.58
6	MetroStars	4	3	25	15	.156	32	64	-32	26.86	-11.86

#	Team	W	SOW	L	Pts	Pt%	GF	GA	GD	SimPts	vsSim
1	Los Angeles Galaxy Conference	17	3	12	54	.562	49	29	+20	48.95	+5.05
2	Dallas Burn Playoffs	16	3	13	51	.531	54	35	+19	42.72	+8.28
3	Colorado Rapids Playoffs	14	6	12	48	.500	38	39	-1	40.44	+7.56
4	Chicago Fire Playoffs	15	3	14	48	.500	51	36	+15	47.38	+0.62
5	San Jose Clash	9	10	13	37	.385	48	49	-1	34.03	+2.97
6	Kansas City Wizards	6	2	24	20	.208	33	53	-20	29.66	-9.66

Playoff Bracket

Eastern Conference

Conference Semifinals

DC United 2

Miami Fusion 0

2 games · Oct 16–Oct 24

Columbus Crew 2

Tampa Bay Mutiny 0

2 games · Oct 17–Oct 22

Conference Final

DC United 2

Columbus Crew 1

3 games · Oct 31–Nov 13

Western Conference

Conference Semifinals

Dallas Burn 2

Chicago Fire 1

3 games · Oct 16–Oct 27

Los Angeles Galaxy 2

Colorado Rapids 0

2 games · Oct 17–Oct 24

Conference Final

Los Angeles Galaxy 2

Dallas Burn 1

3 games · Oct 31–Nov 11

MLS Cup

DC United 2

Los Angeles Galaxy 0

Nov 21

Season Summary

Every team's regular season finish compared against the simulated win totals. Click on any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual total minus the simulation's mean. Positive values indicate the team outperformed the expected total; negative values indicate the team was unluckier than expected. Percentile represents where their actual result fell in the simulated distribution.

Team	Conference	Elo	Points	Avg. Pts.	Luck	Percentile	Min	5th	Q1	Median	Q3	95th	Max
DC United	Eastern	1634	57	51.31	+5.69	78.75%	17	39	46	51	57	64	84
Los Angeles Galaxy	Western	1621	54	48.95	+5.05	76.22%	15	36	44	49	54	62	80
Dallas Burn	Western	1585	51	42.72	+8.28	87.23%	15	30	37	43	48	55	77
Chicago Fire	Western	1575	48	47.38	+0.62	55.94%	16	35	42	47	53	60	78
Columbus Crew	Eastern	1537	45	44.78	+0.22	54.11%	12	32	40	45	50	57	76
San Jose Clash	Western	1506	37	34.03	+2.97	68.54%	7	22	29	34	39	46	70
Tampa Bay Mutiny	Eastern	1506	32	35.19	-3.19	36.50%	6	23	30	35	40	48	68
Colorado Rapids	Western	1469	48	40.44	+7.56	85.63%	12	28	35	40	46	53	73
Miami Fusion	Eastern	1424	29	28.95	+0.05	53.99%	3	18	24	29	34	41	61
New England Revolution	Eastern	1405	26	34.58	-8.58	13.27%	5	23	30	34	39	47	67
Kansas City Wizards	Western	1404	20	29.66	-9.66	9.63%	3	18	25	29	34	42	63
MetroStars	Eastern	1334	15	26.86	-11.86	4.09%	3	16	22	27	31	38	59

Head-to-Head

Cells show the number of points earned against each opponent with the expected points from the simulation below. Gold-tinted cells indicate the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point while navy-tinted cells indicate they fell short by more than one point. The first table covers within-division games while the second covers games against teams outside the division.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations

Within Eastern

Team	Crew	United	MetroStars	Fusion	Revolution	Mutiny
Columbus Crew	—	0 (3.3 exp.)	6 (6.7 exp.)	6 (6.7 exp.)	12 (5.1 exp.)	3 (5.3 exp.)
DC United	12 (5.0 exp.)	—	12 (7.1 exp.)	12 (6.9 exp.)	6 (6.2 exp.)	9 (6.1 exp.)
MetroStars	6 (2.3 exp.)	0 (2.1 exp.)	—	6 (3.9 exp.)	0 (3.1 exp.)	9 (3.5 exp.)
Miami Fusion	6 (2.2 exp.)	0 (2.1 exp.)	6 (4.4 exp.)	—	6 (3.5 exp.)	6 (3.4 exp.)
New England Revolution	0 (3.3 exp.)	6 (2.6 exp.)	12 (5.3 exp.)	6 (4.9 exp.)	—	3 (3.8 exp.)
Tampa Bay Mutiny	9 (3.1 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	3 (5.1 exp.)	6 (4.9 exp.)	9 (4.4 exp.)	—

Eastern vs. Outside Teams

Team	Fire	Rapids	Burn	Wizards	Galaxy	Clash
Columbus Crew	3 (1.8 exp.)	6 (2.1 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	6 (3.0 exp.)	6 (1.8 exp.)	6 (2.5 exp.)
DC United	3 (2.0 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	6 (3.1 exp.)	3 (2.2 exp.)	0 (3.1 exp.)
MetroStars	0 (0.8 exp.)	0 (1.5 exp.)	0 (1.3 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)	0 (1.1 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)
Miami Fusion	3 (1.2 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	3 (1.4 exp.)	3 (2.0 exp.)	3 (0.9 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)
New England Revolution	3 (1.2 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)	0 (1.3 exp.)	6 (2.1 exp.)	0 (1.5 exp.)	0 (2.1 exp.)
Tampa Bay Mutiny	3 (1.3 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	0 (1.7 exp.)	0 (2.2 exp.)	3 (1.4 exp.)	3 (2.1 exp.)

Within Western

Team	Fire	Rapids	Burn	Wizards	Galaxy	Clash
Chicago Fire	—	6 (4.7 exp.)	6 (4.4 exp.)	12 (6.2 exp.)	3 (4.1 exp.)	6 (5.6 exp.)
Colorado Rapids	6 (3.6 exp.)	—	9 (4.1 exp.)	12 (5.6 exp.)	6 (3.0 exp.)	6 (4.9 exp.)
Dallas Burn	6 (4.0 exp.)	3 (4.2 exp.)	—	9 (5.7 exp.)	6 (3.3 exp.)	6 (5.4 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards	0 (2.5 exp.)	0 (2.9 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)	—	3 (2.2 exp.)	3 (3.6 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy	9 (4.2 exp.)	6 (5.5 exp.)	6 (5.1 exp.)	9 (6.7 exp.)	—	9 (6.1 exp.)
San Jose Clash	6 (2.9 exp.)	6 (3.4 exp.)	6 (3.1 exp.)	9 (4.8 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	—

Western vs. Outside Teams

Team	Crew	United	MetroStars	Fusion	Revolution	Mutiny
Chicago Fire	3 (2.4 exp.)	3 (2.2 exp.)	6 (3.9 exp.)	3 (3.2 exp.)	3 (3.2 exp.)	3 (3.0 exp.)
Colorado Rapids	0 (2.1 exp.)	3 (1.5 exp.)	6 (2.8 exp.)	3 (2.6 exp.)	6 (2.6 exp.)	3 (2.7 exp.)
Dallas Burn	3 (2.3 exp.)	3 (1.6 exp.)	6 (3.1 exp.)	3 (2.9 exp.)	6 (3.0 exp.)	6 (2.5 exp.)
Kansas City Wizards	0 (1.4 exp.)	0 (1.2 exp.)	6 (2.4 exp.)	3 (2.1 exp.)	0 (2.0 exp.)	6 (1.9 exp.)
Los Angeles Galaxy	0 (2.3 exp.)	3 (1.9 exp.)	6 (3.5 exp.)	3 (3.7 exp.)	6 (2.7 exp.)	3 (2.8 exp.)
San Jose Clash	0 (1.7 exp.)	6 (1.2 exp.)	6 (3.2 exp.)	6 (2.4 exp.)	6 (2.1 exp.)	3 (2.0 exp.)

Scoreline Distribution

Cells represent the percentage of games that ended with a team's goals in the row and its opponent's goals in the column. Cells below the diagonal are wins (gold), and cells above are losses (blue). Totals along the edges show the marginal percentages for that row or column.

Win Loss Same range

View:

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	7.55%	5.21%	1.30%	0.78%	0.78%	21.88%
1	7.55%	15.62%	10.42%	1.82%	2.34%	0.52%	38.28%
2	5.21%	10.42%	5.21%	1.82%	1.04%	0.78%	24.48%
3	1.30%	1.82%	1.82%	2.60%	0.78%	—	8.33%
4	0.78%	2.34%	1.04%	0.78%	—	—	4.95%
5+	0.78%	0.52%	0.78%	—	—	—	2.08%
Total	21.88%	38.28%	24.48%	8.33%	4.95%	2.08%	100%

Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.43	1.43	+0.00
SD	1.20	1.20	1.67
CV	0.84	0.84	—
Max	6	6	+6
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 192

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	9.38%	9.38%	—	—	—	21.88%
1	6.25%	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	28.12%
2	9.38%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	28.12%
3	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	25.00%	43.75%	25.00%	6.25%	—	—	100%

Chicago Fire — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.12	+0.47
SD	1.27	0.87	1.65
CV	0.79	0.77	—
Max	5	3	+5
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	34.38%
1	15.62%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	—	28.12%
2	9.38%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	28.12%
3	—	—	—	—	3.12%	—	3.12%
4	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	37.50%	31.25%	15.62%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	100%

Colorado Rapids — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.22	-0.03
SD	1.15	1.36	1.80
CV	0.97	1.12	—
Max	4	5	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	6.25%	6.25%	—	—	—	21.88%
1	3.12%	15.62%	12.50%	—	3.12%	—	34.38%
2	3.12%	18.75%	3.12%	—	—	—	25.00%
3	3.12%	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
4	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	9.38%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	21.88%	43.75%	28.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	100%

Columbus Crew — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.22	+0.28
SD	1.22	0.94	1.51
CV	0.81	0.77	—
Max	4	4	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
1	9.38%	15.62%	6.25%	—	—	—	31.25%
2	6.25%	12.50%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	—	37.50%
3	3.12%	12.50%	—	3.12%	—	—	18.75%
4	—	6.25%	—	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	18.75%	46.88%	18.75%	12.50%	3.12%	—	100%

DC United — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	2.03	1.34	+0.69
SD	1.09	1.04	1.49
CV	0.54	0.77	—
Max	5	4	+3
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	—	—	—	15.62%
1	9.38%	18.75%	6.25%	—	6.25%	—	40.62%
2	9.38%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	21.88%
3	6.25%	—	—	3.12%	—	—	9.38%
4	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	—	—	6.25%
5+	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
Total	37.50%	34.38%	15.62%	6.25%	6.25%	—	100%

Dallas Burn — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.69	1.09	+0.59
SD	1.38	1.17	1.85
CV	0.82	1.07	—
Max	5	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	18.75%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	43.75%
1	3.12%	12.50%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	31.25%
2	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	15.62%
3	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
4	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
5+	3.12%	—	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	15.62%	37.50%	21.88%	18.75%	3.12%	3.12%	100%

Kansas City Wizards — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.03	1.66	-0.62
SD	1.36	1.23	1.91
CV	1.31	0.75	—
Max	6	5	+6
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	9.38%	12.50%	3.12%	—	—	—	25.00%
1	18.75%	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	—	37.50%
2	3.12%	12.50%	—	—	—	—	15.62%
3	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	—	6.25%
4	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
5+	—	—	3.12%	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	34.38%	46.88%	15.62%	—	3.12%	—	100%

Los Angeles Galaxy — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.53	0.91	+0.62
SD	1.44	0.89	1.43
CV	0.94	0.99	—
Max	5	4	+4
Min	0	0	-2

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	12.50%	12.50%	—	—	3.12%	31.25%
1	3.12%	15.62%	18.75%	—	6.25%	—	43.75%
2	—	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	18.75%
3	—	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	6.25%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	6.25%	34.38%	37.50%	6.25%	9.38%	6.25%	100%

MetroStars — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.00	2.00	-1.00
SD	0.88	1.37	1.46
CV	0.88	0.68	—
Max	3	6	+1
Min	0	0	-6

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	3.12%	—	12.50%
1	6.25%	12.50%	15.62%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	53.12%
2	9.38%	6.25%	9.38%	3.12%	—	—	28.12%
3	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
4	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	25.00%	28.12%	15.62%	9.38%	3.12%	100%

Miami Fusion — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.31	1.84	-0.53
SD	0.86	1.44	1.78
CV	0.65	0.78	—
Max	4	6	+3
Min	0	0	-5

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	12.50%	9.38%	9.38%	—	—	—	31.25%
1	3.12%	15.62%	12.50%	—	3.12%	3.12%	37.50%
2	3.12%	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	3.12%	12.50%
3	—	—	12.50%	6.25%	—	—	18.75%
4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total	18.75%	28.12%	37.50%	6.25%	3.12%	6.25%	100%

New England Revolution — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.19	1.66	-0.47
SD	1.09	1.31	1.34
CV	0.92	0.79	—
Max	3	5	+2
Min	0	0	-4

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	3.12%	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	12.50%
1	3.12%	25.00%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	—	46.88%
2	6.25%	12.50%	9.38%	—	3.12%	—	31.25%
3	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
4	—	—	—	3.12%	—	—	3.12%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	12.50%	46.88%	21.88%	12.50%	6.25%	—	100%

San Jose Clash — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.50	1.53	-0.03
SD	1.19	1.08	1.49
CV	0.79	0.70	—
Max	6	4	+5
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

↓ Scored \| Allowed →	0	1	2	3	4	5+	Total
0	6.25%	3.12%	—	—	—	—	9.38%
1	9.38%	21.88%	15.62%	—	—	—	46.88%
2	—	9.38%	9.38%	6.25%	3.12%	3.12%	31.25%
3	—	—	—	—	3.12%	—	3.12%
4	—	3.12%	3.12%	—	—	—	6.25%
5+	—	3.12%	—	—	—	—	3.12%
Total	15.62%	40.62%	28.12%	6.25%	6.25%	3.12%	100%

Tampa Bay Mutiny — Summary Statistics

	Scored	Allowed	Difference
Mean	1.59	1.56	+0.03
SD	1.13	1.22	1.36
CV	0.71	0.78	—
Max	5	5	+4
Min	0	0	-3

Games Played: 32

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

	R²	Slope
Scored	0.62	+11.5
Allowed	0.80	-11.8
Differential	0.91	+7.5

Home-Field Advantage Edge

A measure of how well each team has taken advantage of home-field advantage during the season. For each team, sum the win probabilities for home games and compare against the team's actual performance at home. Repeat for games on the road. Positive values indicate the team has played comparatively better at home than on the road. Negative values indicate the team is not utilizing home field advantage.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

The teams that deviated the most from the simulated results.

Top Overachievers

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	Dallas Burn	51	42.72	+8.28
2	Colorado Rapids	48	40.44	+7.56
3	DC United	57	51.31	+5.69
4	Los Angeles Galaxy	54	48.95	+5.05
5	San Jose Clash	37	34.03	+2.97

Biggest Disappointments

#	Team	Actual	Sim	Luck
1	MetroStars	15	26.86	-11.86
2	Kansas City Wizards	20	29.66	-9.66
3	New England Revolution	26	34.58	-8.58
4	Tampa Bay Mutiny	32	35.19	-3.19
5	Miami Fusion	29	28.95	+0.05

Top Streaks

The most unlikely streaks achieved by teams throughout the season according to the model's probabilities. Calculated by using the pregame win/loss probabilities for all the games in each team's streak.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	DC United	11	Jul 25 – Sep 25	1 in 2,242
2	Colorado Rapids	7	Apr 10 – May 27	1 in 1,020
3	Tampa Bay Mutiny	5	Apr 25 – May 22	1 in 707
4	Miami Fusion	4	Jul 4 – Jul 29	1 in 250
5	San Jose Clash	4	Mar 27 – Apr 17	1 in 157

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

#	Team	Games	Dates	Probability
1	MetroStars	12	Jul 4 – Sep 5	1 in 1,427
2	Kansas City Wizards	7	Mar 20 – Apr 28	1 in 767
3	New England Revolution	7	Jul 11 – Aug 21	1 in 718
4	Tampa Bay Mutiny	5	Jun 12 – Jul 3	1 in 235
5	DC United	3	Apr 17 – May 1	1 in 68

Finish Position Heatmaps

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team finished in a given position in the simulation.

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
DC United	67.08%	23.62%	6.61%	2.01%	0.56%	0.12%
Columbus Crew	25.31%	44.87%	18.12%	8.02%	2.81%	0.87%
Tampa Bay Mutiny	3.67%	13.64%	28.83%	26.24%	17.79%	9.84%
New England Revolution	3.02%	12.27%	27.06%	27.39%	19.25%	11.03%
Miami Fusion	0.61%	3.57%	11.83%	20.71%	31.02%	32.25%
MetroStars	0.32%	2.02%	7.56%	15.64%	28.57%	45.89%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6
Los Angeles Galaxy	41.88%	27.28%	16.83%	9.20%	3.83%	0.98%
Chicago Fire	32.45%	28.89%	19.84%	11.97%	5.28%	1.57%
Dallas Burn	14.47%	21.00%	25.24%	21.60%	12.65%	5.05%
Colorado Rapids	8.86%	15.98%	22.65%	26.51%	17.78%	8.22%
San Jose Clash	1.82%	5.11%	10.72%	19.90%	34.56%	27.90%
Kansas City Wizards	0.53%	1.74%	4.72%	10.82%	25.90%	56.29%

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
DC United	34.99%	22.55%	15.59%	10.51%	6.98%	4.21%	2.48%	1.43%	0.72%	0.33%	0.16%	0.05%
Los Angeles Galaxy	23.76%	21.34%	16.98%	12.94%	9.52%	6.42%	4.16%	2.40%	1.39%	0.71%	0.30%	0.07%
Chicago Fire	17.83%	18.72%	17.57%	14.27%	11.18%	8.15%	5.26%	3.38%	1.93%	1.04%	0.51%	0.15%
Columbus Crew	10.09%	13.85%	15.49%	15.69%	13.78%	10.82%	7.96%	5.47%	3.51%	1.94%	0.99%	0.41%
Dallas Burn	6.96%	10.43%	12.72%	14.38%	14.17%	12.69%	9.99%	7.44%	5.19%	3.35%	1.88%	0.78%
Colorado Rapids	3.91%	6.92%	9.71%	12.15%	13.75%	13.86%	12.36%	9.98%	7.53%	5.22%	3.15%	1.45%
Tampa Bay Mutiny	0.88%	2.08%	3.76%	5.91%	8.51%	11.16%	13.20%	14.16%	13.36%	11.60%	9.19%	6.19%
New England Revolution	0.70%	1.68%	3.19%	5.24%	7.76%	10.64%	12.93%	14.27%	14.16%	12.35%	10.05%	7.04%
San Jose Clash	0.60%	1.57%	2.95%	4.98%	7.13%	9.85%	12.35%	13.93%	14.39%	13.54%	11.19%	7.52%
Kansas City Wizards	0.15%	0.42%	0.98%	1.82%	3.20%	5.05%	7.67%	10.29%	13.86%	17.12%	19.76%	19.68%
Miami Fusion	0.09%	0.29%	0.72%	1.38%	2.53%	4.42%	7.09%	9.90%	13.18%	17.03%	20.51%	22.86%
MetroStars	0.04%	0.15%	0.33%	0.73%	1.49%	2.72%	4.55%	7.36%	10.76%	15.76%	22.32%	33.78%

Win Totals in Context

How each team's actual results compared to their simulated results, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Click a division name in the legend to toggle it on or off.

Playoff Seed Probabilities

Cells represent the percentage of the time a team earned a given playoff seed in the simulation. Teams are sorted by likelihood of earning the top seed. Teams that missed the playoffs more often sit toward the bottom.

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
DC United	67.08%	23.62%	6.61%	2.01%	0.68%
Columbus Crew	25.31%	44.87%	18.12%	8.02%	3.68%
Tampa Bay Mutiny	3.67%	13.64%	28.83%	26.24%	27.63%
New England Revolution	3.02%	12.27%	27.06%	27.39%	30.27%
Miami Fusion	0.61%	3.57%	11.83%	20.71%	63.28%
MetroStars	0.32%	2.02%	7.56%	15.64%	74.46%

Team	1 Seed	2 Seed	3 Seed	4 Seed	Missed Playoffs
Los Angeles Galaxy	41.88%	27.28%	16.83%	9.20%	4.81%
Chicago Fire	32.45%	28.89%	19.84%	11.97%	6.85%
Dallas Burn	14.47%	21.00%	25.24%	21.60%	17.69%
Colorado Rapids	8.86%	15.98%	22.65%	26.51%	26.00%
San Jose Clash	1.82%	5.11%	10.72%	19.90%	62.46%
Kansas City Wizards	0.53%	1.74%	4.72%	10.82%	82.19%

Points Required to Clinch Each Seed

The empirical cumulative distribution that shows the probability that a team earning that seed finished the regular season with at most a given number of points. The point where each line passes through 50% is roughly the median points for that seed.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge: Percentage of games won by the home team - percentage of games won by the away team
No Edge: under 2% · Slight Edge: 2% to 6% · Clear Edge: 6% to 10% · Fortress: 10% and up.
Elo Value: Number of Elo rating points that 1 goal is worth. A team this many Elo ratings points better than another would be expected to defeat their opponent by 1 goal at a neutral location.
Scoring Tilt: Average home goals - average away goals per game. The gold line represents the expected home goals edge according to the scoring value of a point of Elo and the number of Elo rating points home advantage is worth.
Road-Tilted: under -0.8 · Lean Road: -0.8 to 0 · Lean Home: 0 to 0.8 · Home-Tilted: 0.8 and up.

Home Edge

HomeAway

+14.58%

Fortress

57.29%42.71%

Elo Value

Home Edge: 45.50 Elo pts.

191 Elo

0.005 goals per Elo point

0500

Scoring Tilt

Expected

+0.32 goals

Lean Home

-2+0.24+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness: Effective number of preseason title contenders. Calculated by taking 1 divided by the sum of squared preseason title odds. Higher numbers indicate more parity in the league while 1 indicates that the preseason favorite is a near-lock.
Front-Runner: under 2 · Few Contenders: 2 to 4 · Open Race: 4 to 8 · Wide Open: 8 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds: Preseason probability that the eventual champion would win the title based on the simulated results. Location of the dot marks their rank across all teams, ranging from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st · Among the Favorites: 2nd · Middle of the Pack: 3rd to 6th · Longshot: 7th or lower.
Title Run Odds: Given that actual playoff bracket, the probability that the champion would win the exact series/games they faced in reality. The gold line represents their odds of winning if every series/game was a toss-up.
Long Shot: under 6.25% · Tough Road: 6.25% to 12.5% · Favored: 12.5% to 25% · Heavy Favorite: 25% and up.

Title-Race Openness

4.9

Open Race

124810

Champion Preseason Odds

33%

DC United, 1st of 12

LongshotFavorite

Title Run Odds

Coin-flip

34.0%

Heavy Favorite

012.50%50%

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread: Average standard deviation of the difference between each team's actual points total and their simulated average points total. The gold line is the standard deviation the model expected from random chance alone.
Subdued: under 5.92 · As Expected: 5.92 to 8.14 · Elevated: 8.14 to 11.1 · High Variance: 11.1 and up.
Average Finish Error: Average gap in the rank of the final standings between where each team finished in the standings and where the model projected them to finish.
Pinpoint: under 1.6 · Close: 1.6 to 2.17 · Off Target: 2.17 to 2.83 · Well Off Target: 2.83 and up.
Biggest Overachiever: The team whose record finished in the highest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the top team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever: The team whose record finished in the lowest percentile within its own simulated range of outcomes. The gold line indicates where the bottom team in a league of 12 teams typically lands.
Season Outliers: Number of teams that finished either above the 95th percentile or below the 5th percentile. Even with a well-calibrated model, 10% of teams are expected to land in the extremes of their distributions.
Minimal Outliers: under 0.6 · As Expected: 0.6 to 1.44 · Several Outliers: 1.44 to 2.64 · Many Outliers: 2.64 and up.
Unexpected Playoff Teams: Number of teams that actually made the playoffs but were not in the model's projected field.The gold line represents how many playoff teams the simulation missed on average.
Fewer Than Expected: under 0.88 · As Expected: 0.88 to 1.47 · More Than Expected: 1.47 to 2.35 · Far More Than Expected: 2.35 and up.

Luck Spread

Expected

6.52 points

As Expected

07.4019

Average Finish Error

Expected

1.25

Pinpoint

01.884

Biggest Overachiever

Expected 95.83%

87.23%

Dallas Burn

50100

Biggest Underachiever

Expected 4.17%

4.09%

MetroStars

050

Season Outliers

Expected

1 of 12

As Expected

01.26

Unexpected Playoff Teams

Expected

2 of 8

More Than Expected

01.28

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index: Measures how evenly points were distributed across the league. Lower scores indicate there was less variability across the actual point totals .Higher scores are an indication of more imbalance in the league with a few unusually strong or unusually weak teams.
Highly Balanced: under 0.08 · Balanced: 0.08 to 0.15 · Top-Heavy: 0.15 to 0.24 · Concentrated: 0.24 and up.
Noll-Scully: Measures how more times spread out the final standings were in reality compared to standings that were generated by flipping a coin for each game. The gold line at 1 indicates as much variability in the standings as s coin flip. Above it, talent gaps in team composition stretched the standings more than the variability produced by luck alone. Below it, the league was more competitive than coin flips alone would yield.
Compressed: under 0.9 · Coin-Flip Spread: 0.9 to 1.15 · Moderate Separation: 1.15 to 1.45 · Stratified: 1.45 and up.
Interquartile Edge: The probability that the team in the 75th percentile of the league's Elo ratings would defeat the team in the 25th percentile at a neutral site. The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league.
Even: under 58% · Competitive: 58% to 65% · Tilted: 65% to 73% · Lopsided: 73% and up.
Best vs. Worst: The probability that the team with the highest Elo rating would defeat the team with the lowest Elo rating at a neutral site.The higher the probability, the larger the gap between the top teams and bottom teams in the league. The gold line represents how high this probability is expected to be in a league of this size. A blue dot to the right indicates an unusually dominant team or an unusually weak team.
Tight: under 65% · Clear Edge: 65% to 78% · Lopsided: 78% to 88% · No Contest: 88% and up.
Close Games: Actual percentage of games decided by 1 goal or fewer. The gold line indicates the proportion of close games you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Mostly Decisive: under 25% · Some Drama: 25% to 38% · Often Close: 38% to 50% · Nail-Biters: 50% and up.
Blowouts: Actual percentage of games decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line indicates the proportion of blowouts you would expect after considering the Elo ratings of the involved teams and the scoring value of a single Elo point.
Rare: under 10% · Occasional: 10% to 20% · Frequent: 20% to 30% · Routine: 30% and up.

Gini Index

0.20

Top-Heavy

00.080.150.240.5

Noll-Scully

Coin-flip

1.79

Stratified

01.003

Interquartile Edge

71%

Tilted

50%58%65%73%100%

Best vs. Worst

Baseline

85%

Lopsided

50%87%100%

Close Games

Expected

71%

Nail-Biters

0%63%100%

Blowouts

Expected

13%

Occasional

0%13%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score: How close the pregame win probabilities aligned with the actual game result, averaged over the entire season. Picks that were both confident and correct are rewarded the most, while incorrect predictions and/or uncertain predictions are penalized more. Lower scores are better. 0 indicates every game was perfectly predicted with maximum confidence. For sports with where wins and losses are the only outcomes, Brier scores less than 0.25 indicate the model did better than random predictions. For sports where ties are possible, 0.67 is the cutoff for which the Brier score must be lower to beat random predictions. The lower the Brier score, the easier and more accurately the games were to predict.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 · Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 · Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 · Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance: How lopsided the matchups were on paper, calculated by averaging the difference in the win probabilities divided by the sum of the win probabilities. Lower scores indicate more parity in the league. 0 indicates that every game was a 50-50 toss-up between evenly matched teams. 1 means every game pitted a heavy favorite against a huge underdog.
Evenly Matched: under 0.12 · Slight Separation: 0.12 to 0.22 · Wide Gaps: 0.22 to 0.34 · Lopsided: 0.34 and up.
Strangeness: How extreme the actual final standings were compared to what the model expected. A value of 0 would indicate that the simulated results perfectly matched the actual standings. A score of 1 indicates that the actual results were scattered around the projections by exactly the variance the model predicted. (i.e. The projections missed the actual standings by 1 standard deviation on average. Scores larger than 1 mean the season was wilder to forecast with more overperforming and underperforming teams than expected. Scores less than 1 indicate the season was more predictable.
Tighter Than Modeled: under 0.85 · As Expected: 0.85 to 1.15 · Volatile: 1.15 to 1.5 · Chaotic: 1.5 and up.
Repeatability: How closely the order of the final standings aligned with the ranked preseason Elo ratings as calculated by the Spearman rank correlation. Larger values indicate that the preseason Elo ratings were a strong predictor of the team's final rank in the standings while values near 0 mean.
Reshuffled: under 0.3 · Weak Alignment: 0.3 to 0.6 · Strong Alignment: 0.6 to 0.85 · Closely Aligned: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality. The gold line measures how often the model expected the underdog to win when considering the outcome probabilities. A blue dot to the right of the gold line means upsets were more prevalent than left. A dot to the left indicates that favorites won more often than expected.
Chalk Held: under 30% · As Expected: 30% to 40% · Upset-Prone: 40% to 46% · Bedlam: 46% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate: The percentage of the time the underdog won the game in reality, but only including games with a clear favorite, one at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside. This metrics ignores games that could be considered toss-ups. The gold line is how often the model expected these heavy favorites to lose. A dot to the right means the big favorites were upset more than expected; to the left means they took care of business.
Favorites Held: under 22% · As Expected: 22% to 32% · Shaky Favorites: 32% to 42% · Bedlam: 42% and up.

Brier Score

Expected

0.62

Predictable

00.632

Matchup Imbalance

0.30

Wide Gaps

00.120.220.340.5

Strangeness

Expected

0.82

Tighter Than Modeled

01.002

Repeatability

0.62

Strong Alignment

00.30.60.851

Upset Rate

Expected

34%

As Expected

0%24%50%

Clear Favorite Upset Rate

Expected

29%

As Expected

0%21%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration: An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Games are sorted into bins according to how confident the model was. Within each bin, the predicted number of wins, losses, and ties are compared against the actual counts. The p-value of this test is plotted below. Values above 0.05 indicate that the model's probabilities are well-calibrated for the season.
Clear Misfit: under 0.01 · Misfit: 0.01 to 0.05 · Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 · Well Calibrated: 0.1 and up.
Calibration slope: Checks whether the spread of the model's probabilities is correct. Each probability is turned into their log-odds. A line is fit that predicts the actual results from the log-odds. The slope of this line is the calibration slope.A slope of 1.00 is perfect, indicating that the model's confidence matches the actual outcomes of the games. Slopes less than 1.00 indicate overconfidence. The model assigned higher probabilities to the favorites than was appropriate given the matchup, causing more losses by favored teams. Slopes greater than 1.00 indicate under-confidence. The model is more uncertain about too many results, assigning them lower probabilities when in reality the favorites should have had higher probabilities.
Overconfident: under 0.85 · Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 · Underconfident: 1.15 and up.
Calibration error (ECE): Calibration error (ECE) checks whether the model's probabilities mean what they say. ECE is calculated as the average weighted gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted outcome actually occurred. The smaller the ECE, the more confident we are about the model's probabilities. The gold line represents the noise ceiling, which is the amount of error that luck can produce on its own even if the probabilities are perfectly calibrated. Values below the noise ceiling indicate that the model's error is no larger than chance alone would produce. Values above the noice ceiling point to a genuine calibration issue since the error is larger than luck could explain.
Well Within Noise: under 0.05 · Within Noise: 0.05 to 0.1 · Above Noise: 0.1 to 0.2 · Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.

Probability calibration

0.31

Well Calibrated

0.010.050.11

Calibration slope

Ideal

1.35

Underconfident

0.51.001.5

Calibration error (ECE)

Noise ceiling

0.051

Within Noise

00.1010.25

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual points, simulated final points, playoff probability, and division-title probability - day by day. Select a division to see all five charts for its teams.

Elo Through the Playoffs

How each playoff team's Elo rating evolved as the postseason unfolded. Elo Progression traces each team's game-by-game Elo rating through their playoff run. Net Elo Change summarizes the difference in Elo rating between the beginning and end of the playoffs for each team.

Stochastic Playoff Outcomes

How we would have expected the postseason to play out at the beginning of the season according to the simulation. The table summarizes each team's chances of advancing to each round. Individual matchup heat maps for each round are displayed using the subsequent buttons. The top percentage in each cell represents each team's winning percentage against the corresponding opponent. The bottom percentage represents how often that specific matchup occurred during that round in the simulation.

Team	Made Playoffs	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to MLS Cup	Won MLS Cup
DC United	99.32%	82.03%	59.88%	33.40%
Los Angeles Galaxy	95.19%	64.57%	40.11%	22.28%
Chicago Fire	93.15%	53.08%	25.72%	12.99%
Dallas Burn	82.31%	45.00%	22.85%	11.51%
Columbus Crew	96.32%	61.84%	23.62%	10.13%
Tampa Bay Mutiny	72.37%	29.05%	10.60%	3.86%
Colorado Rapids	74.00%	20.91%	6.03%	2.24%
San Jose Clash	37.55%	13.07%	4.61%	1.86%
New England Revolution	69.73%	15.36%	3.29%	0.86%
Miami Fusion	36.73%	8.62%	2.16%	0.61%
Kansas City Wizards	17.81%	3.37%	0.68%	0.19%
MetroStars	25.54%	3.11%	0.45%	0.09%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Columbus Crew	DC United	MetroStars	Miami Fusion	New England Revolution	Tampa Bay Mutiny
Columbus Crew		30.3%12.41%	85.5%9.09%	72.9%13.46%	75.2%29.75%	57.3%31.61%
DC United	69.7%12.41%		93.8%12.77%	86.0%17.62%	88.0%28.09%	75.7%28.43%
MetroStars	14.5%9.09%	6.2%12.77%		32.7%0.46%	34.5%1.52%	18.8%1.70%
Miami Fusion	27.1%13.46%	14.0%17.62%	67.3%0.46%		51.6%2.46%	33.8%2.72%
New England Revolution	24.8%29.75%	12.0%28.09%	65.5%1.52%	48.4%2.46%		30.8%7.91%
Tampa Bay Mutiny	42.7%31.61%	24.3%28.43%	81.2%1.70%	66.2%2.72%	69.2%7.91%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	Colorado Rapids	Dallas Burn	Kansas City Wizards	Los Angeles Galaxy	San Jose Clash
Chicago Fire		70.9%24.74%	49.1%28.35%	81.0%5.83%	40.8%22.11%	65.0%12.12%
Colorado Rapids	29.1%24.74%		28.1%17.02%	63.6%1.92%	21.8%25.61%	44.5%4.72%
Dallas Burn	50.9%28.35%	71.9%17.02%		82.8%2.98%	41.9%27.35%	66.9%6.61%
Kansas City Wizards	19.0%5.83%	36.4%1.92%	17.2%2.98%		13.4%6.55%	33.2%0.53%
Los Angeles Galaxy	59.2%22.11%	78.2%25.61%	58.1%27.35%	86.6%6.55%		72.9%13.56%
San Jose Clash	35.0%12.12%	55.5%4.72%	33.1%6.61%	66.8%0.53%	27.1%13.56%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Columbus Crew	DC United	MetroStars	Miami Fusion	New England Revolution	Tampa Bay Mutiny
Columbus Crew		31.3%48.38%	83.5%0.72%	68.5%2.19%	72.6%3.21%	55.4%7.34%
DC United	68.7%48.38%		90.3%1.79%	84.3%4.67%	85.8%9.19%	73.2%18.01%
MetroStars	16.5%0.72%	9.7%1.79%		37.2%0.09%	35.2%0.16%	20.2%0.35%
Miami Fusion	31.5%2.19%	15.7%4.67%	62.8%0.09%		54.3%0.56%	34.3%1.10%
New England Revolution	27.4%3.21%	14.2%9.19%	64.8%0.16%	45.7%0.56%		33.3%2.24%
Tampa Bay Mutiny	44.6%7.34%	26.8%18.01%	79.8%0.35%	65.7%1.10%	66.7%2.24%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	Colorado Rapids	Dallas Burn	Kansas City Wizards	Los Angeles Galaxy	San Jose Clash
Chicago Fire		69.2%5.63%	48.8%14.70%	79.6%0.88%	41.3%28.34%	63.8%3.54%
Colorado Rapids	30.8%5.63%		30.8%5.23%	64.6%0.29%	23.3%8.59%	43.2%1.18%
Dallas Burn	51.2%14.70%	69.2%5.23%		80.1%0.77%	42.9%21.22%	64.3%3.09%
Kansas City Wizards	20.4%0.88%	35.4%0.29%	19.9%0.77%		14.9%1.30%	35.7%0.14%
Los Angeles Galaxy	58.7%28.34%	76.7%8.59%	57.1%21.22%	85.1%1.30%		71.4%5.13%
San Jose Clash	36.2%3.54%	56.8%1.18%	35.7%3.09%	64.3%0.14%	28.6%5.13%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Chicago Fire	Colorado Rapids	Dallas Burn	Kansas City Wizards	Los Angeles Galaxy	San Jose Clash	Columbus Crew	DC United	MetroStars	Miami Fusion	New England Revolution	Tampa Bay Mutiny
Columbus Crew	43.3%6.11%	58.8%1.42%	43.7%5.41%	67.8%0.15%	38.4%9.45%	52.0%1.08%
DC United	56.7%15.26%	70.1%3.63%	56.7%13.68%	77.2%0.41%	50.8%24.12%	67.2%2.78%
MetroStars	19.8%0.12%	36.0%0.03%	23.9%0.11%	0.0%<0.01%	14.1%0.16%	11.1%0.03%
Miami Fusion	30.1%0.58%	34.2%0.11%	25.2%0.53%	84.6%0.01%	26.1%0.83%	40.4%0.10%
New England Revolution	25.7%0.86%	38.6%0.21%	24.9%0.73%	53.6%0.03%	23.4%1.33%	34.5%0.14%
Tampa Bay Mutiny	36.3%2.79%	45.1%0.64%	37.1%2.40%	59.5%0.07%	33.1%4.22%	47.8%0.47%
Chicago Fire							56.7%6.11%	43.3%15.26%	80.2%0.12%	69.9%0.58%	74.3%0.86%	63.7%2.79%
Colorado Rapids							41.2%1.42%	29.9%3.63%	64.0%0.03%	65.8%0.11%	61.4%0.21%	54.9%0.64%
Dallas Burn							56.3%5.41%	43.3%13.68%	76.1%0.11%	74.8%0.53%	75.1%0.73%	62.9%2.40%
Kansas City Wizards							32.2%0.15%	22.8%0.41%	100.0%<0.01%	15.4%0.01%	46.4%0.03%	40.5%0.07%
Los Angeles Galaxy							61.6%9.45%	49.2%24.12%	85.9%0.16%	73.9%0.83%	76.6%1.33%	66.9%4.22%
San Jose Clash							48.0%1.08%	32.8%2.78%	88.9%0.03%	59.6%0.10%	65.5%0.14%	52.2%0.47%

Actual Bracket Simulation

Team	Advanced to Conference Finals	Advanced to MLS Cup	Won MLS Cup	Actual Outcome
DC United	86.41%	61.21%	37.89%	Won MLS Cup
Los Angeles Galaxy	59.84%	43.99%	23.13%	Eliminated in MLS Cup
Dallas Burn	40.16%	27.88%	13.77%	Eliminated in Conference Finals
Columbus Crew	59.15%	21.44%	8.81%	Eliminated in Conference Finals
Tampa Bay Mutiny	40.85%	13.06%	4.78%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Colorado Rapids	46.05%	12.72%	4.57%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals
Miami Fusion	13.58%	4.29%	1.21%	Eliminated in Conference Semifinals

Loser → ↓ Winner	Columbus Crew	DC United	Miami Fusion	Tampa Bay Mutiny
Columbus Crew				59.1%100.00%
DC United			86.4%100.00%
Miami Fusion		13.6%100.00%
Tampa Bay Mutiny	40.9%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	Dallas Burn	Los Angeles Galaxy	San Jose Clash
Colorado Rapids				46.1%100.00%
Dallas Burn			40.2%100.00%
Los Angeles Galaxy		59.8%100.00%
San Jose Clash	53.9%100.00%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Columbus Crew	DC United	Miami Fusion	Tampa Bay Mutiny
Columbus Crew		30.8%51.02%	70.8%8.13%
DC United	69.2%51.02%			73.1%35.40%
Miami Fusion	29.2%8.13%			35.1%5.45%
Tampa Bay Mutiny		26.9%35.40%	64.9%5.45%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	Dallas Burn	Los Angeles Galaxy	San Jose Clash
Colorado Rapids		30.1%18.45%	26.0%27.61%
Dallas Burn	69.9%18.45%			69.0%21.72%
Los Angeles Galaxy	74.0%27.61%			73.1%32.23%
San Jose Clash		31.0%21.72%	26.9%32.23%

Loser → ↓ Winner	Colorado Rapids	Dallas Burn	Los Angeles Galaxy	San Jose Clash	Columbus Crew	DC United	Miami Fusion	Tampa Bay Mutiny
Columbus Crew	51.5%2.71%	37.3%5.92%	33.9%9.43%	59.4%3.38%
DC United	73.5%7.79%	60.6%17.07%	56.9%26.99%	69.1%9.36%
Miami Fusion	40.7%0.57%	25.1%1.19%	24.9%1.85%	32.6%0.68%
Tampa Bay Mutiny	48.2%1.65%	33.7%3.70%	32.4%5.72%	44.5%1.99%
Colorado Rapids					48.5%2.71%	26.5%7.79%	59.3%0.57%	51.8%1.65%
Dallas Burn					62.7%5.92%	39.4%17.07%	74.9%1.19%	66.3%3.70%
Los Angeles Galaxy					66.1%9.43%	43.1%26.99%	75.1%1.85%	67.6%5.72%
San Jose Clash					40.6%3.38%	30.9%9.36%	67.4%0.68%	55.5%1.99%

Most-Likely Championship Paths

For each playoff team, what was the most likely path they had to the championship across all simulations? Tiles represent the opponent they faced and defeated the most often in each round.

DC United 37.89% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Miami Fusion

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

86.41%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Columbus Crew

Matchup

57.71%

Win Prob

69.25%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Los Angeles Galaxy

Matchup

40.51%

Win Prob

56.86%

Los Angeles Galaxy 23.13% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Dallas Burn

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.84%

→

Conference Finals

vs. San Jose Clash

Matchup

53.54%

Win Prob

73.08%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

50.33%

Win Prob

43.14%

Dallas Burn 13.77% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Los Angeles Galaxy

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.16%

→

Conference Finals

vs. San Jose Clash

Matchup

53.73%

Win Prob

68.98%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

48.81%

Win Prob

39.38%

Columbus Crew 8.81% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Tampa Bay Mutiny

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

59.15%

→

Conference Finals

vs. DC United

Matchup

73.16%

Win Prob

30.75%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Los Angeles Galaxy

Matchup

36.28%

Win Prob

33.88%

San Jose Clash 5.83% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Colorado Rapids

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

53.95%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Los Angeles Galaxy

Matchup

56.29%

Win Prob

26.92%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

49.64%

Win Prob

30.89%

Tampa Bay Mutiny 4.78% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. Columbus Crew

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

40.85%

→

Conference Finals

vs. DC United

Matchup

72.87%

Win Prob

26.88%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Los Angeles Galaxy

Matchup

38.78%

Win Prob

32.44%

Colorado Rapids 4.57% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. San Jose Clash

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

46.05%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Los Angeles Galaxy

Matchup

56.39%

Win Prob

25.97%

→

MLS Cup

vs. DC United

Matchup

45.20%

Win Prob

26.54%

Miami Fusion 1.21% chance to win

Conference Semifinals

vs. DC United

Matchup

100.00%

Win Prob

13.58%

→

Conference Finals

vs. Columbus Crew

Matchup

55.42%

Win Prob

29.23%

→

MLS Cup

vs. Los Angeles Galaxy

Matchup

37.97%

Win Prob

24.91%

Regular Season Games

Summary of every regular-season game played this season.

Filter by Team:

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Points
1999-03-20	@ San Jose Clash	W 3-1	1531.37	1485.00	34.38%	31.49%	34.13%	+14.35	3
1999-03-27	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 3-0	1545.72	1462.11	39.70%	31.16%	29.14%	+21.50	6
1999-04-03	@ Miami Fusion	W 4-1	1567.22	1448.29	44.62%	30.28%	25.10%	+16.11	9
1999-04-10	Dallas Burn	L 0-0	1583.33	1503.50	51.54%	28.13%	20.32%	-1.76	9
1999-04-17	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1581.57	1559.23	43.85%	30.45%	25.70%	+7.12	12
1999-05-01	DC United	W 3-2	1588.69	1572.80	42.96%	30.64%	26.41%	+6.50	15
1999-05-08	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 1-1	1595.19	1472.77	45.09%	30.16%	24.74%	-0.99	15
1999-05-16	Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1594.20	1513.85	51.61%	28.11%	20.28%	-11.87	15
1999-05-22	Kansas City Wizards	W 3-1	1582.33	1428.40	60.78%	23.86%	15.36%	+6.93	18
1999-05-29	@ DC United	L 1-3	1589.26	1580.44	29.32%	31.18%	39.50%	-12.88	18
1999-06-05	@ New England Revolution	L 0-2	1576.38	1472.52	42.54%	30.72%	26.75%	-19.38	18
1999-06-12	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1557.00	1556.07	28.36%	31.03%	40.61%	-7.25	18
1999-06-19	San Jose Clash	W 2-0	1549.75	1454.00	53.59%	27.31%	19.10%	+10.21	21
1999-06-26	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-2	1559.96	1551.81	29.24%	31.17%	39.59%	-14.83	21
1999-07-02	Dallas Burn	W 1-1	1545.13	1569.52	37.28%	31.38%	31.33%	-0.28	24
1999-07-04	@ Dallas Burn	W 2-1	1544.85	1569.79	25.42%	30.37%	44.21%	+9.97	27
1999-07-10	MetroStars	W 2-0	1554.82	1378.45	63.43%	22.41%	14.16%	+7.25	30
1999-07-23	San Jose Clash	L 2-2	1562.07	1446.97	56.03%	26.23%	17.74%	-1.47	30
1999-07-31	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1560.60	1581.98	37.71%	31.35%	30.93%	-9.42	30
1999-08-05	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1551.18	1427.93	45.21%	30.14%	24.66%	+6.48	33
1999-08-08	Colorado Rapids	W 5-0	1557.66	1577.76	37.89%	31.34%	30.77%	+36.02	36
1999-08-14	Miami Fusion	L 1-1	1593.68	1427.60	62.22%	23.08%	14.70%	-2.47	36
1999-08-22	@ Dallas Burn	L 3-3	1591.21	1565.89	31.45%	31.39%	37.15%	+0.16	36
1999-08-25	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-0	1591.37	1424.72	62.29%	23.04%	14.67%	+7.57	39
1999-08-28	New England Revolution	W 2-1	1598.94	1420.87	63.62%	22.30%	14.07%	+3.59	42
1999-09-05	@ MetroStars	W 2-1	1602.53	1318.31	65.36%	21.31%	13.32%	+3.36	45
1999-09-11	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1605.89	1625.14	26.04%	30.54%	43.42%	-7.19	45
1999-09-17	Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 1-1	1598.70	1505.36	53.28%	27.44%	19.28%	-1.73	48
1999-09-23	Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1596.97	1550.99	47.07%	29.64%	23.29%	-10.44	48
1999-09-26	@ San Jose Clash	L 0-2	1586.53	1480.47	42.84%	30.66%	26.50%	-19.49	48
1999-10-06	@ Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1567.04	1495.46	37.99%	31.33%	30.68%	+8.15	51
1999-10-10	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-2	1575.19	1536.75	33.25%	31.48%	35.27%	+0.07	54
1999-03-20	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-1	1489.04	1563.99	20.72%	28.37%	50.91%	+1.52	0
1999-03-27	@ San Jose Clash	L 2-2	1490.56	1470.64	30.74%	31.34%	37.92%	+0.25	0
1999-04-10	Miami Fusion	W 4-1	1490.81	1432.18	48.76%	29.12%	22.12%	+14.43	3
1999-04-17	Kansas City Wizards	W 1-1	1505.24	1431.63	50.73%	28.44%	20.83%	-1.51	6
1999-05-01	@ New England Revolution	W 2-1	1503.73	1502.58	28.38%	31.04%	40.58%	+9.37	9
1999-05-08	@ Dallas Burn	W 1-1	1513.10	1525.58	26.79%	30.73%	42.48%	+0.75	12
1999-05-16	@ Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1513.85	1594.20	20.28%	28.11%	51.61%	+11.87	15
1999-05-22	MetroStars	W 2-0	1525.72	1462.09	49.42%	28.90%	21.68%	+11.56	18
1999-05-27	San Jose Clash	W 4-2	1537.28	1453.74	52.02%	27.95%	20.03%	+8.30	21
1999-06-03	@ San Jose Clash	L 3-4	1545.58	1445.45	42.02%	30.81%	27.17%	-8.89	21
1999-06-12	@ MetroStars	W 1-0	1536.69	1434.68	42.28%	30.76%	26.96%	+7.39	24
1999-06-19	Dallas Burn	W 2-1	1544.08	1565.41	37.72%	31.35%	30.93%	+7.73	27
1999-06-26	Chicago Fire	W 2-0	1551.81	1559.96	39.59%	31.17%	29.24%	+14.84	30
1999-07-04	Columbus Crew	L 0-3	1566.65	1519.93	47.17%	29.61%	23.22%	-30.39	30
1999-07-07	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1536.26	1454.38	39.45%	31.18%	29.36%	+7.44	33
1999-07-10	@ DC United	W 2-1	1543.70	1589.67	23.29%	29.64%	47.07%	+10.44	36
1999-07-25	Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 2-2	1554.14	1454.10	54.14%	27.08%	18.78%	-1.34	36
1999-07-28	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1552.80	1590.59	35.36%	31.47%	33.16%	+8.62	39
1999-07-31	@ Dallas Burn	W 2-0	1561.42	1561.30	28.26%	31.02%	40.72%	+18.77	42
1999-08-06	New England Revolution	W 0-0	1580.19	1445.04	58.51%	25.03%	16.46%	-2.43	45
1999-08-08	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-5	1577.76	1557.66	30.77%	31.34%	37.89%	-36.02	45
1999-08-13	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 1-0	1541.74	1475.31	37.26%	31.39%	31.35%	+8.28	48
1999-08-18	Dallas Burn	L 0-3	1550.02	1537.79	42.45%	30.73%	26.82%	-28.10	48
1999-08-28	DC United	L 0-1	1521.92	1612.94	28.24%	31.02%	40.74%	-7.67	48
1999-09-04	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1514.25	1560.40	23.28%	29.63%	47.09%	-6.16	48
1999-09-10	Kansas City Wizards	W 0-0	1508.09	1410.56	53.82%	27.21%	18.97%	-1.99	51
1999-09-18	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1506.10	1632.33	24.35%	30.03%	45.61%	+10.83	54
1999-09-25	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 0-0	1516.93	1413.90	42.42%	30.74%	26.84%	-0.84	57
1999-09-29	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-4	1516.09	1603.54	19.72%	27.75%	52.53%	-20.02	57
1999-10-01	San Jose Clash	W 0-0	1496.07	1499.95	40.19%	31.09%	28.71%	-0.61	60
1999-10-06	Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1495.46	1567.04	30.68%	31.33%	37.99%	-8.15	60
1999-10-09	@ Miami Fusion	L 0-2	1487.31	1405.63	39.43%	31.19%	29.39%	-18.34	60
1999-03-28	@ MetroStars	L 0-1	1517.45	1468.46	34.76%	31.48%	33.76%	-8.90	0
1999-04-03	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 3-2	1508.55	1470.97	33.13%	31.47%	35.40%	+8.06	3
1999-04-08	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-1	1516.61	1560.38	23.51%	29.72%	46.77%	+1.14	6
1999-04-17	@ New England Revolution	W 0-0	1517.75	1492.03	31.51%	31.40%	37.09%	+0.29	9
1999-04-24	@ Dallas Burn	L 0-2	1518.04	1510.97	29.11%	31.15%	39.74%	-14.78	9
1999-04-28	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1503.26	1425.10	38.93%	31.24%	29.83%	+7.98	12
1999-05-09	@ San Jose Clash	W 2-1	1511.24	1467.41	34.02%	31.49%	34.50%	+8.35	15
1999-05-15	New England Revolution	W 2-0	1519.59	1491.55	44.63%	30.28%	25.09%	+13.15	18
1999-05-22	Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 0-0	1532.74	1475.43	48.58%	29.18%	22.24%	-1.46	18
1999-05-29	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-1	1531.28	1551.02	37.95%	31.34%	30.72%	-0.34	21
1999-06-05	@ DC United	L 0-1	1530.94	1593.31	21.79%	28.96%	49.26%	-6.16	21
1999-06-13	DC United	L 1-2	1524.78	1605.22	29.54%	31.21%	39.25%	-7.48	21
1999-06-16	New England Revolution	W 1-1	1517.30	1490.83	44.42%	30.33%	25.26%	-0.92	24
1999-06-26	MetroStars	W 2-1	1516.38	1387.21	57.78%	25.39%	16.83%	+4.45	27
1999-06-30	San Jose Clash	W 3-3	1520.83	1452.12	50.09%	28.67%	21.24%	-0.90	30
1999-07-04	@ Colorado Rapids	W 3-0	1519.93	1566.65	23.22%	29.61%	47.17%	+30.39	33
1999-07-07	DC United	L 1-1	1550.32	1589.59	35.15%	31.48%	33.37%	-0.08	33
1999-07-10	@ Miami Fusion	L 0-2	1550.24	1404.08	48.30%	29.27%	22.44%	-21.30	33
1999-07-24	Dallas Burn	W 4-1	1528.94	1582.10	33.17%	31.47%	35.36%	+20.80	36
1999-08-01	Miami Fusion	W 4-0	1549.74	1433.74	56.15%	26.18%	17.68%	+17.84	39
1999-08-08	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1567.58	1421.45	59.85%	24.35%	15.80%	+4.14	42
1999-08-14	@ DC United	L 1-2	1571.72	1601.33	24.93%	30.22%	44.85%	-6.54	42
1999-08-18	@ MetroStars	W 4-2	1565.18	1326.69	60.01%	24.26%	15.73%	+6.38	45
1999-08-22	Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 1-1	1571.56	1476.25	53.54%	27.33%	19.13%	-1.75	45
1999-08-27	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 1-2	1569.81	1478.00	40.85%	31.00%	28.15%	-9.41	45
1999-09-04	Colorado Rapids	W 2-1	1560.40	1514.25	47.09%	29.63%	23.28%	+6.17	48
1999-09-12	MetroStars	L 1-2	1566.57	1314.96	71.70%	17.53%	10.77%	-14.07	48
1999-09-18	@ New England Revolution	W 0-0	1552.50	1400.94	49.01%	29.04%	21.95%	-1.51	51
1999-09-23	@ Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1550.99	1596.97	23.29%	29.64%	47.07%	+10.45	54
1999-09-26	Miami Fusion	W 2-1	1561.44	1380.95	63.90%	22.15%	13.95%	+3.55	57
1999-10-03	@ Miami Fusion	L 1-4	1564.99	1377.39	53.70%	27.26%	19.04%	-28.24	57
1999-10-10	Chicago Fire	L 2-2	1536.75	1575.19	35.27%	31.48%	33.25%	-0.07	57
1999-03-20	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 5-2	1562.56	1487.08	38.55%	31.28%	30.17%	+16.11	3
1999-04-03	@ MetroStars	W 1-0	1578.67	1477.36	42.18%	30.78%	27.04%	+7.41	6
1999-04-10	@ New England Revolution	W 2-2	1586.08	1491.55	41.24%	30.94%	27.82%	-0.48	9
1999-04-17	San Jose Clash	L 1-1	1585.60	1471.06	55.97%	26.26%	17.77%	-1.95	9
1999-04-24	New England Revolution	L 2-3	1583.65	1491.74	53.10%	27.51%	19.38%	-10.85	9
1999-05-01	@ Chicago Fire	L 2-3	1572.80	1588.69	26.41%	30.64%	42.96%	-6.50	9
1999-05-08	MetroStars	W 2-1	1566.30	1460.90	54.82%	26.78%	18.40%	+4.91	12
1999-05-15	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 3-3	1571.21	1427.62	47.95%	29.37%	22.67%	-0.78	15
1999-05-22	@ Miami Fusion	W 3-1	1570.43	1415.61	49.45%	28.89%	21.66%	+10.01	18
1999-05-29	Chicago Fire	W 3-1	1580.44	1589.26	39.50%	31.18%	29.32%	+12.87	21
1999-06-05	Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1593.31	1530.94	49.26%	28.96%	21.79%	+6.16	24
1999-06-10	Miami Fusion	W 3-1	1599.47	1403.83	65.64%	21.15%	13.21%	+5.75	27
1999-06-13	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1605.22	1524.78	39.25%	31.21%	29.54%	+7.48	30
1999-06-16	@ Dallas Burn	L 0-3	1612.70	1539.35	38.24%	31.31%	30.45%	-26.07	30
1999-06-19	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1586.63	1563.31	43.98%	30.42%	25.59%	-9.93	30
1999-06-26	Kansas City Wizards	W 3-0	1576.70	1467.84	55.25%	26.59%	18.16%	+14.07	33
1999-07-04	@ San Jose Clash	L 1-1	1590.77	1453.02	47.17%	29.61%	23.22%	-1.18	33
1999-07-07	@ Columbus Crew	W 1-1	1589.59	1550.32	33.37%	31.48%	35.15%	+0.08	36
1999-07-10	Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1589.67	1543.70	47.07%	29.64%	23.29%	-10.45	36
1999-07-25	@ New England Revolution	W 2-0	1579.22	1477.10	42.30%	30.76%	26.94%	+13.93	39
1999-08-08	Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 2-2	1593.15	1473.81	56.56%	25.98%	17.46%	-1.50	42
1999-08-11	@ MetroStars	W 4-1	1591.65	1343.78	61.13%	23.67%	15.20%	+9.68	45
1999-08-14	Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1601.33	1571.72	44.85%	30.22%	24.93%	+6.54	48
1999-08-21	@ Miami Fusion	W 2-2	1607.87	1430.07	52.44%	27.78%	19.77%	-1.23	51
1999-08-25	Miami Fusion	W 3-1	1606.64	1431.30	63.31%	22.48%	14.21%	+6.30	54
1999-08-28	@ Colorado Rapids	W 1-0	1612.94	1521.92	40.74%	31.02%	28.24%	+7.67	57
1999-09-04	Dallas Burn	W 4-1	1620.61	1574.84	47.04%	29.65%	23.31%	+15.12	60
1999-09-10	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 2-1	1635.73	1511.82	45.30%	30.11%	24.59%	+6.47	63
1999-09-18	MetroStars	W 1-1	1642.20	1329.03	77.66%	13.85%	8.49%	-3.53	66
1999-09-25	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-0	1638.67	1621.50	30.38%	31.30%	38.31%	+17.97	69
1999-10-06	Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 2-4	1656.64	1494.02	61.81%	23.30%	14.88%	-19.78	69
1999-10-09	New England Revolution	L 1-1	1636.86	1402.40	69.90%	18.63%	11.47%	-3.03	69
1999-03-20	Kansas City Wizards	W 4-0	1472.94	1491.16	38.16%	31.32%	30.52%	+29.06	3
1999-03-28	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-0	1502.00	1562.47	21.96%	29.04%	49.00%	+1.50	3
1999-04-10	@ Chicago Fire	W 0-0	1503.50	1583.33	20.32%	28.13%	51.54%	+1.76	6
1999-04-15	@ Miami Fusion	L 1-1	1505.26	1417.75	40.25%	31.08%	28.67%	-0.55	6
1999-04-18	Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 2-1	1504.71	1462.41	46.57%	29.78%	23.65%	+6.26	9
1999-04-24	Columbus Crew	W 2-0	1510.97	1518.04	39.74%	31.15%	29.11%	+14.78	12
1999-04-30	@ San Jose Clash	L 1-1	1525.75	1467.24	36.13%	31.45%	32.43%	-0.17	12
1999-05-08	Colorado Rapids	L 1-1	1525.58	1513.10	42.48%	30.73%	26.79%	-0.75	12
1999-05-15	San Jose Clash	W 2-1	1524.83	1459.06	49.70%	28.80%	21.49%	+5.73	15
1999-05-22	@ San Jose Clash	L 1-1	1530.56	1453.33	38.80%	31.26%	29.95%	-0.41	15
1999-05-26	Miami Fusion	W 2-1	1530.15	1405.60	57.21%	25.67%	17.12%	+4.54	18
1999-06-05	@ MetroStars	W 5-2	1534.69	1450.34	39.80%	31.14%	29.05%	+15.66	21
1999-06-12	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-1	1550.35	1416.76	46.61%	29.77%	23.62%	-11.00	21
1999-06-16	DC United	W 3-0	1539.35	1612.70	30.45%	31.31%	38.24%	+26.06	24
1999-06-19	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1565.41	1544.08	30.93%	31.35%	37.72%	-7.73	24
1999-06-26	New England Revolution	W 2-0	1557.68	1500.28	48.60%	29.17%	22.23%	+11.84	27
1999-07-02	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-1	1569.52	1545.13	31.33%	31.38%	37.28%	+0.27	27
1999-07-04	Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1569.79	1544.85	44.21%	30.37%	25.42%	-9.97	27
1999-07-10	Kansas City Wizards	W 5-0	1559.82	1446.94	55.76%	26.36%	17.89%	+22.28	30
1999-07-24	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-4	1582.10	1528.94	35.36%	31.47%	33.17%	-20.80	30
1999-07-31	Colorado Rapids	L 0-2	1561.30	1561.42	40.72%	31.02%	28.26%	-18.77	30
1999-08-04	MetroStars	W 2-0	1542.53	1362.61	63.84%	22.18%	13.98%	+7.13	33
1999-08-14	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-2	1549.66	1606.20	22.31%	29.21%	48.48%	-11.87	33
1999-08-18	@ Colorado Rapids	W 3-0	1537.79	1550.02	26.82%	30.73%	42.45%	+28.10	36
1999-08-22	Chicago Fire	W 3-3	1565.89	1591.21	37.15%	31.39%	31.45%	-0.16	39
1999-08-28	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-0	1565.73	1623.03	32.59%	31.46%	35.95%	+9.11	42
1999-09-04	@ DC United	L 1-4	1574.84	1620.61	23.31%	29.65%	47.04%	-15.13	42
1999-09-11	San Jose Clash	W 1-0	1559.71	1455.71	54.64%	26.86%	18.50%	+5.24	45
1999-09-18	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-1	1564.95	1412.54	49.13%	29.00%	21.87%	-1.35	48
1999-09-24	@ New England Revolution	W 1-0	1563.60	1402.45	50.28%	28.60%	21.12%	+5.98	51
1999-10-03	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 4-3	1569.58	1623.55	33.05%	31.47%	35.47%	+7.88	54
1999-10-10	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 2-1	1577.46	1513.80	36.86%	31.41%	31.73%	+7.87	57
1999-03-20	@ Dallas Burn	L 0-4	1491.16	1472.94	30.52%	31.32%	38.16%	-29.05	0
1999-03-27	Chicago Fire	L 0-3	1462.11	1545.72	29.14%	31.16%	39.70%	-21.50	0
1999-04-03	New England Revolution	L 0-1	1440.61	1482.65	34.75%	31.48%	33.76%	-8.90	0
1999-04-10	San Jose Clash	L 1-1	1431.71	1470.98	35.15%	31.48%	33.37%	-0.08	0
1999-04-17	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-1	1431.63	1505.24	20.83%	28.44%	50.73%	+1.50	0
1999-04-24	@ Miami Fusion	L 0-1	1433.13	1418.30	30.08%	31.27%	38.64%	-8.03	0
1999-04-28	Columbus Crew	L 0-1	1425.10	1503.26	29.83%	31.24%	38.93%	-7.99	0
1999-05-08	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1417.11	1557.14	23.00%	29.52%	47.48%	+10.51	3
1999-05-15	DC United	L 3-3	1427.62	1571.21	22.67%	29.37%	47.95%	+0.78	3
1999-05-22	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-3	1428.40	1582.33	15.36%	23.86%	60.78%	-6.93	3
1999-06-06	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1421.47	1551.36	16.78%	25.35%	57.87%	-4.71	3
1999-06-12	Dallas Burn	W 1-0	1416.76	1550.35	23.62%	29.77%	46.61%	+11.00	6
1999-06-20	MetroStars	W 6-0	1427.76	1427.29	40.81%	31.01%	28.19%	+40.08	9
1999-06-26	@ DC United	L 0-3	1467.84	1576.70	18.16%	26.59%	55.25%	-14.06	9
1999-07-03	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 1-1	1453.78	1454.99	28.10%	30.99%	40.91%	+0.60	12
1999-07-07	Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1454.38	1536.26	29.36%	31.18%	39.45%	-7.44	12
1999-07-10	@ Dallas Burn	L 0-5	1446.94	1559.82	17.89%	26.36%	55.76%	-22.27	12
1999-07-22	Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 4-3	1424.67	1461.60	35.49%	31.47%	33.04%	+7.50	15
1999-07-25	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1432.17	1586.60	15.33%	23.83%	60.84%	-4.00	15
1999-07-31	San Jose Clash	W 2-2	1428.17	1448.44	37.87%	31.34%	30.79%	-0.24	18
1999-08-05	Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1427.93	1551.18	24.66%	30.14%	45.21%	-6.48	18
1999-08-08	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1421.45	1567.58	15.80%	24.35%	59.85%	-4.14	18
1999-08-14	@ MetroStars	W 2-1	1417.31	1334.10	39.64%	31.16%	29.20%	+7.41	21
1999-08-25	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-2	1424.72	1591.37	14.67%	23.04%	62.29%	-7.57	21
1999-08-29	Miami Fusion	W 2-0	1417.15	1425.00	39.63%	31.16%	29.20%	+14.82	24
1999-09-04	@ San Jose Clash	L 0-2	1431.97	1441.72	27.10%	30.80%	42.10%	-13.99	24
1999-09-07	@ New England Revolution	L 2-3	1417.98	1392.86	31.43%	31.39%	37.18%	-7.42	24
1999-09-10	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-0	1410.56	1508.09	18.97%	27.21%	53.82%	+1.98	24
1999-09-18	Dallas Burn	L 1-1	1412.54	1564.95	21.87%	29.00%	49.13%	+1.36	24
1999-09-25	Colorado Rapids	L 0-0	1413.90	1516.93	26.84%	30.74%	42.42%	+0.83	24
1999-10-06	@ San Jose Clash	L 0-1	1414.73	1500.56	19.85%	27.83%	52.32%	-5.63	24
1999-10-09	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1409.10	1615.68	17.71%	26.20%	56.09%	-4.99	24
1999-03-20	Colorado Rapids	W 1-1	1563.99	1489.04	50.91%	28.37%	20.72%	-1.52	3
1999-03-28	Dallas Burn	W 0-0	1562.47	1502.00	49.00%	29.04%	21.96%	-1.50	6
1999-04-03	@ San Jose Clash	L 1-1	1560.97	1470.39	40.68%	31.02%	28.30%	-0.59	6
1999-04-08	Columbus Crew	L 1-1	1560.38	1516.61	46.77%	29.72%	23.51%	-1.15	6
1999-04-17	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-1	1559.23	1581.57	25.70%	30.45%	43.85%	-7.11	6
1999-04-24	San Jose Clash	W 1-0	1552.12	1473.02	51.45%	28.17%	20.38%	+5.78	9
1999-05-01	@ MetroStars	W 0-0	1557.90	1460.14	41.69%	30.87%	27.45%	-0.76	12
1999-05-08	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 1-2	1557.14	1417.11	47.48%	29.52%	23.00%	-10.51	12
1999-05-15	Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 0-0	1546.63	1473.76	50.64%	28.47%	20.89%	-1.67	12
1999-05-23	New England Revolution	W 1-0	1544.96	1478.40	49.81%	28.77%	21.42%	+6.06	15
1999-05-29	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-1	1551.02	1531.28	30.72%	31.34%	37.95%	+0.34	15
1999-06-06	Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1551.36	1421.47	57.87%	25.35%	16.78%	+4.71	18
1999-06-12	Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1556.07	1557.00	40.61%	31.03%	28.36%	+7.24	21
1999-06-19	@ DC United	W 2-1	1563.31	1586.63	25.59%	30.42%	43.98%	+9.94	24
1999-06-27	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 4-2	1573.25	1465.95	43.01%	30.62%	26.36%	+10.60	27
1999-07-04	Miami Fusion	L 1-2	1583.85	1390.82	65.34%	21.33%	13.33%	-13.26	27
1999-07-11	@ New England Revolution	W 5-2	1570.59	1493.11	38.83%	31.25%	29.91%	+16.01	30
1999-07-25	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-1	1586.60	1432.17	60.84%	23.83%	15.33%	+3.99	33
1999-07-28	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1590.59	1552.80	33.16%	31.47%	35.36%	-8.61	33
1999-07-31	@ Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1581.98	1560.60	30.93%	31.35%	37.71%	+9.42	36
1999-08-07	@ San Jose Clash	W 4-1	1591.40	1448.68	47.84%	29.41%	22.75%	+14.80	39
1999-08-14	Dallas Burn	W 2-0	1606.20	1549.66	48.48%	29.21%	22.31%	+11.87	42
1999-08-21	MetroStars	W 4-1	1618.07	1320.32	76.25%	14.73%	9.03%	+4.96	45
1999-08-28	@ Dallas Burn	L 0-1	1623.03	1565.73	35.95%	31.46%	32.59%	-9.11	45
1999-09-01	San Jose Clash	W 3-1	1613.92	1448.30	62.17%	23.11%	14.72%	+6.58	48
1999-09-04	@ Miami Fusion	W 2-1	1620.50	1410.18	56.56%	25.98%	17.46%	+4.64	51
1999-09-11	Chicago Fire	W 1-0	1625.14	1605.89	43.42%	30.54%	26.04%	+7.19	54
1999-09-18	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1632.33	1506.10	45.61%	30.03%	24.35%	-10.83	54
1999-09-25	DC United	L 0-2	1621.50	1638.67	38.31%	31.30%	30.38%	-17.96	54
1999-09-29	Colorado Rapids	W 4-0	1603.54	1516.09	52.53%	27.75%	19.72%	+20.01	57
1999-10-03	@ Dallas Burn	L 3-4	1623.55	1569.58	35.47%	31.47%	33.05%	-7.87	57
1999-10-09	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1615.68	1409.10	56.09%	26.20%	17.71%	+4.99	60
1999-03-20	@ Miami Fusion	W 2-2	1468.21	1448.69	30.69%	31.33%	37.98%	+0.25	3
1999-03-28	Columbus Crew	W 1-0	1468.46	1517.45	33.76%	31.48%	34.76%	+8.90	6
1999-04-03	DC United	L 0-1	1477.36	1578.67	27.04%	30.78%	42.18%	-7.41	6
1999-04-11	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 1-1	1469.95	1462.91	29.10%	31.15%	39.75%	+0.51	9
1999-04-25	Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 0-1	1470.46	1456.16	42.74%	30.68%	26.58%	-10.32	9
1999-05-01	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-0	1460.14	1557.90	27.45%	30.87%	41.69%	+0.76	9
1999-05-08	@ DC United	L 1-2	1460.90	1566.30	18.40%	26.78%	54.82%	-4.91	9
1999-05-15	Miami Fusion	W 3-2	1455.99	1421.71	45.48%	30.07%	24.45%	+6.10	12
1999-05-22	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-2	1462.09	1525.72	21.68%	28.90%	49.42%	-11.56	12
1999-05-29	New England Revolution	L 3-3	1450.53	1472.33	37.65%	31.36%	30.99%	-0.19	12
1999-06-05	Dallas Burn	L 2-5	1450.34	1534.69	29.05%	31.14%	39.80%	-15.66	12
1999-06-12	Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1434.68	1536.69	26.96%	30.76%	42.28%	-7.39	12
1999-06-20	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-6	1427.29	1427.76	28.19%	31.01%	40.81%	-40.08	12
1999-06-26	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1387.21	1516.38	16.83%	25.39%	57.78%	-4.45	12
1999-06-30	Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 1-1	1382.76	1455.34	30.55%	31.32%	38.14%	+0.35	15
1999-07-04	@ New England Revolution	L 2-3	1383.11	1488.45	18.41%	26.78%	54.81%	-4.66	15
1999-07-10	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-2	1378.45	1554.82	14.16%	22.41%	63.43%	-7.25	15
1999-07-24	Miami Fusion	L 0-1	1371.20	1425.38	33.03%	31.47%	35.50%	-8.59	15
1999-08-04	@ Dallas Burn	L 0-2	1362.61	1542.53	13.98%	22.18%	63.84%	-7.13	15
1999-08-07	@ Miami Fusion	L 0-2	1355.48	1415.90	21.96%	29.04%	49.00%	-11.70	15
1999-08-11	DC United	L 1-4	1343.78	1591.65	15.20%	23.67%	61.13%	-9.68	15
1999-08-14	Kansas City Wizards	L 1-2	1334.10	1417.31	29.20%	31.16%	39.64%	-7.41	15
1999-08-18	Columbus Crew	L 2-4	1326.69	1565.18	15.73%	24.26%	60.01%	-6.37	15
1999-08-21	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-4	1320.32	1618.07	9.03%	14.73%	76.25%	-4.96	15
1999-08-25	New England Revolution	L 1-1	1315.36	1421.66	26.47%	30.65%	42.88%	+0.79	15
1999-08-28	@ San Jose Clash	L 1-1	1316.15	1450.47	16.51%	25.08%	58.41%	+2.16	15
1999-09-05	Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1318.31	1602.53	13.32%	21.31%	65.36%	-3.35	15
1999-09-12	@ Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1314.96	1566.57	10.77%	17.53%	71.70%	+14.07	18
1999-09-18	@ DC United	L 1-1	1329.03	1642.20	8.49%	13.85%	77.66%	+3.53	18
1999-09-22	San Jose Clash	L 1-2	1332.56	1474.40	22.83%	29.45%	47.72%	-6.06	18
1999-09-25	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 2-1	1326.50	1507.08	13.95%	22.14%	63.91%	+13.06	21
1999-10-02	@ New England Revolution	L 1-2	1339.56	1396.47	22.28%	29.19%	48.53%	-5.93	21
1999-03-20	MetroStars	L 2-2	1448.69	1468.21	37.98%	31.33%	30.69%	-0.25	0
1999-03-28	New England Revolution	W 1-1	1448.44	1482.50	35.90%	31.46%	32.64%	-0.15	3
1999-04-03	Chicago Fire	L 1-4	1448.29	1567.22	25.10%	30.28%	44.62%	-16.11	3
1999-04-10	@ Colorado Rapids	L 1-4	1432.18	1490.81	22.12%	29.12%	48.76%	-14.43	3
1999-04-15	Dallas Burn	W 1-1	1417.75	1505.26	28.67%	31.08%	40.25%	+0.55	6
1999-04-24	Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1418.30	1433.13	38.64%	31.27%	30.08%	+8.04	9
1999-05-01	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 1-2	1426.34	1466.47	23.86%	29.86%	46.28%	-6.31	9
1999-05-08	@ New England Revolution	L 0-0	1420.03	1493.22	20.87%	28.46%	50.68%	+1.68	9
1999-05-15	@ MetroStars	L 2-3	1421.71	1455.99	24.45%	30.07%	45.48%	-6.10	9
1999-05-22	DC United	L 1-3	1415.61	1570.43	21.66%	28.89%	49.45%	-10.01	9
1999-05-26	@ Dallas Burn	L 1-2	1405.60	1530.15	17.12%	25.67%	57.21%	-4.54	9
1999-05-29	Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 2-1	1401.06	1476.90	30.13%	31.28%	38.60%	+9.03	12
1999-06-05	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 0-1	1410.09	1467.86	22.20%	29.16%	48.65%	-6.26	12
1999-06-10	@ DC United	L 1-3	1403.83	1599.47	13.21%	21.15%	65.64%	-5.75	12
1999-06-13	@ New England Revolution	L 3-3	1398.08	1491.91	19.24%	27.41%	53.35%	+1.07	12
1999-06-26	San Jose Clash	L 1-2	1399.15	1443.79	34.38%	31.49%	34.13%	-8.33	12
1999-07-04	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-1	1390.82	1583.85	13.33%	21.33%	65.34%	+13.26	15
1999-07-10	Columbus Crew	W 2-0	1404.08	1550.24	22.44%	29.27%	48.30%	+21.30	18
1999-07-24	@ MetroStars	W 1-0	1425.38	1371.20	35.50%	31.47%	33.03%	+8.59	21
1999-07-29	Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 2-2	1433.97	1455.44	37.70%	31.35%	30.94%	-0.23	24
1999-08-01	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-4	1433.74	1549.74	17.68%	26.18%	56.15%	-17.84	24
1999-08-07	MetroStars	W 2-0	1415.90	1355.48	49.00%	29.04%	21.96%	+11.70	27
1999-08-14	@ Chicago Fire	W 1-1	1427.60	1593.68	14.70%	23.08%	62.22%	+2.47	30
1999-08-21	DC United	L 2-2	1430.07	1607.87	19.77%	27.78%	52.44%	+1.23	30
1999-08-25	@ DC United	L 1-3	1431.30	1606.64	14.21%	22.48%	63.31%	-6.30	30
1999-08-29	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 0-2	1425.00	1417.15	29.20%	31.16%	39.63%	-14.82	30
1999-09-04	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1410.18	1620.50	17.46%	25.98%	56.56%	-4.64	30
1999-09-11	New England Revolution	W 1-1	1405.54	1400.28	41.48%	30.90%	27.62%	-0.66	33
1999-09-19	@ San Jose Clash	L 1-6	1404.88	1450.48	23.33%	29.65%	47.02%	-23.93	33
1999-09-26	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1380.95	1561.44	13.95%	22.15%	63.90%	-3.56	33
1999-10-03	Columbus Crew	W 4-1	1377.39	1564.99	19.04%	27.26%	53.70%	+28.24	36
1999-10-09	Colorado Rapids	W 2-0	1405.63	1487.31	29.39%	31.19%	39.43%	+18.34	39
1999-03-28	@ Miami Fusion	L 1-1	1482.50	1448.44	32.64%	31.46%	35.90%	+0.15	0
1999-04-03	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1482.65	1440.61	33.76%	31.48%	34.75%	+8.90	3
1999-04-10	DC United	L 2-2	1491.55	1586.08	27.82%	30.94%	41.24%	+0.48	3
1999-04-17	Columbus Crew	L 0-0	1492.03	1517.75	37.09%	31.40%	31.51%	-0.29	3
1999-04-24	@ DC United	W 3-2	1491.74	1583.65	19.38%	27.51%	53.10%	+10.84	6
1999-05-01	Colorado Rapids	L 1-2	1502.58	1503.73	40.58%	31.04%	28.38%	-9.36	6
1999-05-08	Miami Fusion	W 0-0	1493.22	1420.03	50.68%	28.46%	20.87%	-1.67	9
1999-05-15	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-2	1491.55	1519.59	25.09%	30.28%	44.63%	-13.15	9
1999-05-23	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1478.40	1544.96	21.42%	28.77%	49.81%	-6.07	9
1999-05-29	@ MetroStars	W 3-3	1472.33	1450.53	30.99%	31.36%	37.65%	+0.19	12
1999-06-05	Chicago Fire	W 2-0	1472.52	1576.38	26.75%	30.72%	42.54%	+19.39	15
1999-06-13	Miami Fusion	W 3-3	1491.91	1398.08	53.35%	27.41%	19.24%	-1.08	18
1999-06-16	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-1	1490.83	1517.30	25.26%	30.33%	44.42%	+0.93	18
1999-06-19	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 3-2	1491.76	1474.47	30.40%	31.30%	38.30%	+8.52	21
1999-06-26	@ Dallas Burn	L 0-2	1500.28	1557.68	22.23%	29.17%	48.60%	-11.83	21
1999-07-04	MetroStars	W 3-2	1488.45	1383.11	54.81%	26.78%	18.41%	+4.66	24
1999-07-11	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 2-5	1493.11	1570.59	29.91%	31.25%	38.83%	-16.01	24
1999-07-25	DC United	L 0-2	1477.10	1579.22	26.94%	30.76%	42.30%	-13.93	24
1999-07-31	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 1-4	1463.17	1455.68	29.16%	31.16%	39.68%	-18.13	24
1999-08-06	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-0	1445.04	1580.19	16.46%	25.03%	58.51%	+2.43	24
1999-08-12	San Jose Clash	L 1-2	1447.47	1433.88	42.64%	30.70%	26.67%	-9.71	24
1999-08-18	Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 0-1	1437.76	1467.03	36.59%	31.43%	31.99%	-9.23	24
1999-08-21	@ San Jose Clash	L 1-2	1428.53	1443.59	26.50%	30.66%	42.84%	-6.87	24
1999-08-25	@ MetroStars	W 1-1	1421.66	1315.36	42.88%	30.65%	26.47%	-0.79	27
1999-08-28	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-2	1420.87	1598.94	14.07%	22.30%	63.62%	-3.59	27
1999-09-04	Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 1-5	1417.28	1487.41	30.87%	31.35%	37.79%	-24.42	27
1999-09-07	Kansas City Wizards	W 3-2	1392.86	1417.98	37.18%	31.39%	31.43%	+7.42	30
1999-09-11	@ Miami Fusion	L 1-1	1400.28	1405.54	27.62%	30.90%	41.48%	+0.66	30
1999-09-18	Columbus Crew	L 0-0	1400.94	1552.50	21.95%	29.04%	49.01%	+1.51	30
1999-09-24	Dallas Burn	L 0-1	1402.45	1563.60	21.12%	28.60%	50.28%	-5.98	30
1999-10-02	MetroStars	W 2-1	1396.47	1339.56	48.53%	29.19%	22.28%	+5.93	33
1999-10-09	@ DC United	W 1-1	1402.40	1636.86	11.47%	18.63%	69.90%	+3.03	36
1999-03-20	Chicago Fire	L 1-3	1485.00	1531.37	34.13%	31.49%	34.38%	-14.36	0
1999-03-27	Colorado Rapids	W 2-2	1470.64	1490.56	37.92%	31.34%	30.74%	-0.25	3
1999-04-03	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 1-1	1470.39	1560.97	28.30%	31.02%	40.68%	+0.59	6
1999-04-10	@ Kansas City Wizards	W 1-1	1470.98	1431.71	33.37%	31.48%	35.15%	+0.08	9
1999-04-17	@ DC United	W 1-1	1471.06	1585.60	17.77%	26.26%	55.97%	+1.96	12
1999-04-24	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-1	1473.02	1552.12	20.38%	28.17%	51.45%	-5.78	12
1999-04-30	Dallas Burn	W 1-1	1467.24	1525.75	32.43%	31.45%	36.13%	+0.17	15
1999-05-09	Columbus Crew	L 1-2	1467.41	1511.24	34.50%	31.49%	34.02%	-8.35	15
1999-05-15	@ Dallas Burn	L 1-2	1459.06	1524.83	21.49%	28.80%	49.70%	-5.73	15
1999-05-22	Dallas Burn	W 1-1	1453.33	1530.56	29.95%	31.26%	38.80%	+0.41	18
1999-05-27	@ Colorado Rapids	L 2-4	1453.74	1537.28	20.03%	27.95%	52.02%	-8.29	18
1999-06-03	Colorado Rapids	W 4-3	1445.45	1545.58	27.17%	30.81%	42.02%	+8.89	21
1999-06-12	Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 1-1	1454.34	1474.13	37.94%	31.34%	30.73%	-0.34	24
1999-06-19	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-2	1454.00	1549.75	19.10%	27.31%	53.59%	-10.21	24
1999-06-26	@ Miami Fusion	W 2-1	1443.79	1399.15	34.13%	31.49%	34.38%	+8.33	27
1999-06-30	@ Columbus Crew	L 3-3	1452.12	1520.83	21.24%	28.67%	50.09%	+0.90	27
1999-07-04	DC United	W 1-1	1453.02	1590.77	23.22%	29.61%	47.17%	+1.18	30
1999-07-08	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	L 1-2	1454.20	1454.38	28.22%	31.01%	40.77%	-7.23	30
1999-07-23	@ Chicago Fire	W 2-2	1446.97	1562.07	17.74%	26.23%	56.03%	+1.47	33
1999-07-31	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 2-2	1448.44	1428.17	30.79%	31.34%	37.87%	+0.24	33
1999-08-07	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-4	1448.68	1591.40	22.75%	29.41%	47.84%	-14.80	33
1999-08-12	@ New England Revolution	W 2-1	1433.88	1447.47	26.67%	30.70%	42.64%	+9.71	36
1999-08-21	New England Revolution	W 2-1	1443.59	1428.53	42.84%	30.66%	26.50%	+6.88	39
1999-08-28	MetroStars	W 1-1	1450.47	1316.15	58.41%	25.08%	16.51%	-2.17	42
1999-09-01	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-3	1448.30	1613.92	14.72%	23.11%	62.17%	-6.58	42
1999-09-04	Kansas City Wizards	W 2-0	1441.72	1431.97	42.10%	30.80%	27.10%	+13.99	45
1999-09-11	@ Dallas Burn	L 0-1	1455.71	1559.71	18.50%	26.86%	54.64%	-5.23	45
1999-09-19	Miami Fusion	W 6-1	1450.48	1404.88	47.02%	29.65%	23.33%	+23.92	48
1999-09-22	@ MetroStars	W 2-1	1474.40	1332.56	47.72%	29.45%	22.83%	+6.07	51
1999-09-26	Chicago Fire	W 2-0	1480.47	1586.53	26.50%	30.66%	42.84%	+19.48	54
1999-10-01	@ Colorado Rapids	L 0-0	1499.95	1496.07	28.71%	31.09%	40.19%	+0.61	54
1999-10-06	Kansas City Wizards	W 1-0	1500.56	1414.73	52.32%	27.83%	19.85%	+5.63	57
1999-03-20	DC United	L 2-5	1487.08	1562.56	30.17%	31.28%	38.55%	-16.11	0
1999-04-03	Columbus Crew	L 2-3	1470.97	1508.55	35.40%	31.47%	33.13%	-8.06	0
1999-04-11	MetroStars	L 1-1	1462.91	1469.95	39.75%	31.15%	29.10%	-0.50	0
1999-04-18	@ Dallas Burn	L 1-2	1462.41	1504.71	23.65%	29.78%	46.57%	-6.25	0
1999-04-25	@ MetroStars	W 1-0	1456.16	1470.46	26.58%	30.68%	42.74%	+10.31	3
1999-05-01	Miami Fusion	W 2-1	1466.47	1426.34	46.28%	29.86%	23.86%	+6.30	6
1999-05-08	Chicago Fire	W 1-1	1472.77	1595.19	24.74%	30.16%	45.09%	+0.99	9
1999-05-15	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 0-0	1473.76	1546.63	20.89%	28.47%	50.64%	+1.67	12
1999-05-22	@ Columbus Crew	W 0-0	1475.43	1532.74	22.24%	29.18%	48.58%	+1.47	15
1999-05-29	@ Miami Fusion	L 1-2	1476.90	1401.06	38.60%	31.28%	30.13%	-9.04	15
1999-06-05	Miami Fusion	W 1-0	1467.86	1410.09	48.65%	29.16%	22.20%	+6.27	18
1999-06-12	@ San Jose Clash	L 1-1	1474.13	1454.34	30.73%	31.34%	37.94%	+0.34	18
1999-06-19	New England Revolution	L 2-3	1474.47	1491.76	38.30%	31.30%	30.40%	-8.52	18
1999-06-27	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 2-4	1465.95	1573.25	26.36%	30.62%	43.01%	-10.61	18
1999-06-30	@ MetroStars	L 1-1	1455.34	1382.76	38.14%	31.32%	30.55%	-0.35	18
1999-07-03	Kansas City Wizards	L 1-1	1454.99	1453.78	40.91%	30.99%	28.10%	-0.61	18
1999-07-08	San Jose Clash	W 2-1	1454.38	1454.20	40.77%	31.01%	28.22%	+7.22	21
1999-07-22	@ Kansas City Wizards	L 3-4	1461.60	1424.67	33.04%	31.47%	35.49%	-7.50	21
1999-07-25	@ Colorado Rapids	W 2-2	1454.10	1554.14	18.78%	27.08%	54.14%	+1.34	24
1999-07-29	@ Miami Fusion	L 2-2	1455.44	1433.97	30.94%	31.35%	37.70%	+0.24	24
1999-07-31	New England Revolution	W 4-1	1455.68	1463.17	39.68%	31.16%	29.16%	+18.13	27
1999-08-08	@ DC United	L 2-2	1473.81	1593.15	17.46%	25.98%	56.56%	+1.50	27
1999-08-13	Colorado Rapids	L 0-1	1475.31	1541.74	31.35%	31.39%	37.26%	-8.28	27
1999-08-18	@ New England Revolution	W 1-0	1467.03	1437.76	31.99%	31.43%	36.59%	+9.22	30
1999-08-22	@ Columbus Crew	W 1-1	1476.25	1571.56	19.13%	27.33%	53.54%	+1.75	33
1999-08-27	Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1478.00	1569.81	28.15%	31.00%	40.85%	+9.41	36
1999-09-04	@ New England Revolution	W 5-1	1487.41	1417.28	37.79%	31.35%	30.87%	+24.41	39
1999-09-10	DC United	L 1-2	1511.82	1635.73	24.59%	30.11%	45.30%	-6.46	39
1999-09-17	@ Chicago Fire	L 1-1	1505.36	1598.70	19.28%	27.44%	53.28%	+1.72	39
1999-09-25	MetroStars	L 1-2	1507.08	1326.50	63.91%	22.14%	13.95%	-13.06	39
1999-10-06	@ DC United	W 4-2	1494.02	1656.64	14.88%	23.30%	61.81%	+19.78	42
1999-10-10	Dallas Burn	L 1-2	1513.80	1577.46	31.73%	31.41%	36.86%	-7.88	42

Playoff Games

Every playoff game from the selected team's perspective.

Date	Opponent	Score	Pre Elo	Opp Elo	Win %	Tie %	Loss %	Elo Δ	Record
1999-10-16	@ Dallas Burn	L 1-2	1575.26	1585.33	42.07%	0.00%	57.93%	-6.99	0-1
1999-10-23	Dallas Burn	W 4-0	1568.27	1592.32	53.08%	0.00%	46.92%	+29.59	1-1
1999-10-27	@ Dallas Burn	L 2-3	1597.86	1562.74	48.51%	0.00%	51.49%	-7.65	1-2
1999-10-17	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-3	1468.97	1620.67	24.32%	0.00%	75.68%	-11.74	0-1
1999-10-24	Los Angeles Galaxy	L 0-2	1457.23	1632.41	32.16%	0.00%	67.84%	-10.68	0-2
1999-10-17	Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 2-0	1536.68	1505.92	60.80%	0.00%	39.20%	+13.03	1-0
1999-10-22	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	W 2-0	1549.71	1492.90	51.63%	0.00%	48.37%	+16.08	2-0
1999-10-31	@ DC United	L 1-2	1565.79	1644.72	32.82%	0.00%	67.18%	-5.46	2-1
1999-11-07	DC United	W 5-1	1560.33	1650.17	43.65%	0.00%	56.35%	+29.61	3-1
1999-11-13	@ DC United	L 0-4	1589.94	1620.57	39.22%	0.00%	60.78%	-24.73	3-2
1999-10-16	Miami Fusion	W 2-0	1633.83	1423.97	81.30%	0.00%	18.70%	+6.21	1-0
1999-10-24	@ Miami Fusion	W 1-0	1640.04	1417.76	73.45%	0.00%	26.55%	+4.68	2-0
1999-10-31	Columbus Crew	W 2-1	1644.72	1565.79	67.18%	0.00%	32.82%	+5.45	3-0
1999-11-07	@ Columbus Crew	L 1-5	1650.17	1560.33	56.35%	0.00%	43.65%	-29.60	3-1
1999-11-13	Columbus Crew	W 4-0	1620.57	1589.94	60.78%	0.00%	39.22%	+24.72	4-1
1999-11-21	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	W 2-0	1645.29	1649.84	42.85%	0.00%	57.15%	+19.00	5-1
1999-10-16	Chicago Fire	W 2-1	1585.33	1575.26	57.93%	0.00%	42.07%	+6.99	1-0
1999-10-23	@ Chicago Fire	L 0-4	1592.32	1568.27	46.92%	0.00%	53.08%	-29.58	1-1
1999-10-27	Chicago Fire	W 3-2	1562.74	1597.86	51.49%	0.00%	48.51%	+7.65	2-1
1999-10-31	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-2	1570.39	1643.10	33.62%	0.00%	66.38%	-5.59	2-2
1999-11-07	Los Angeles Galaxy	W 3-2	1564.80	1648.68	44.50%	0.00%	55.50%	+8.75	3-2
1999-11-11	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	L 1-3	1573.55	1639.93	34.43%	0.00%	65.57%	-9.91	3-3
1999-10-17	Colorado Rapids	W 3-0	1620.67	1468.97	75.68%	0.00%	24.32%	+11.74	1-0
1999-10-24	@ Colorado Rapids	W 2-0	1632.41	1457.23	67.84%	0.00%	32.16%	+10.69	2-0
1999-10-31	Dallas Burn	W 2-1	1643.10	1570.39	66.38%	0.00%	33.62%	+5.58	3-0
1999-11-07	@ Dallas Burn	L 2-3	1648.68	1564.80	55.50%	0.00%	44.50%	-8.75	3-1
1999-11-11	Dallas Burn	W 3-1	1639.93	1573.55	65.57%	0.00%	34.43%	+9.91	4-1
1999-11-21	DC United	L 0-2	1649.84	1645.29	57.15%	0.00%	42.85%	-18.99	4-2
1999-10-16	@ DC United	L 0-2	1423.97	1633.83	18.70%	0.00%	81.30%	-6.21	0-1
1999-10-24	DC United	L 0-1	1417.76	1640.04	26.55%	0.00%	73.45%	-4.68	0-2
1999-10-17	@ Columbus Crew	L 0-2	1505.92	1536.68	39.20%	0.00%	60.80%	-13.02	0-1
1999-10-22	Columbus Crew	L 0-2	1492.90	1549.71	48.37%	0.00%	51.63%	-16.08	0-2

Biggest Upsets

The 25 biggest upsets of the seasons, ranked by lowest pregame win probability. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Underdog Win %	Winning Team			Losing Team
#	Date	Underdog Win %	Team	Elo	Score	Team	Elo	Score
1	1999-09-12	10.77%	MetroStars	1314.96	2	@ Columbus Crew	1566.57	1
2	1999-10-09	11.47%	New England Revolution	1402.40	1	@ DC United	1636.86	1
3	1999-07-04	13.33%	Miami Fusion	1390.82	2	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1583.85	1
4	1999-09-25	13.95%	MetroStars	1326.50	2	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	1507.08	1
5	1999-08-14	14.70%	Miami Fusion	1427.60	1	@ Chicago Fire	1593.68	1
6	1999-10-06	14.88%	Tampa Bay Mutiny	1494.02	4	@ DC United	1656.64	2
7	1999-07-23	17.74%	San Jose Clash	1446.97	2	@ Chicago Fire	1562.07	2
8	1999-04-17	17.77%	San Jose Clash	1471.06	1	@ DC United	1585.60	1
9	1999-07-25	18.78%	Tampa Bay Mutiny	1454.10	2	@ Colorado Rapids	1554.14	2
10	1999-10-03	19.04%	@ Miami Fusion	1377.39	4	Columbus Crew	1564.99	1
11	1999-08-22	19.13%	Tampa Bay Mutiny	1476.25	1	@ Columbus Crew	1571.56	1
12	1999-04-24	19.38%	New England Revolution	1491.74	3	@ DC United	1583.65	2
13	1999-05-16	20.28%	Colorado Rapids	1513.85	1	@ Chicago Fire	1594.20	0
14	1999-04-10	20.32%	Dallas Burn	1503.50	0	@ Chicago Fire	1583.33	0
15	1999-05-15	20.89%	Tampa Bay Mutiny	1473.76	0	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1546.63	0
16	1999-05-22	22.24%	Tampa Bay Mutiny	1475.43	0	@ Columbus Crew	1532.74	0
17	1999-07-10	22.44%	@ Miami Fusion	1404.08	2	Columbus Crew	1550.24	0
18	1999-05-08	23.00%	@ Kansas City Wizards	1417.11	2	Los Angeles Galaxy	1557.14	1
19	1999-07-04	23.22%	@ San Jose Clash	1453.02	1	DC United	1590.77	1
20	1999-07-04	23.22%	Columbus Crew	1519.93	3	@ Colorado Rapids	1566.65	0
21	1999-07-10	23.29%	Colorado Rapids	1543.70	2	@ DC United	1589.67	1
22	1999-09-23	23.29%	Columbus Crew	1550.99	2	@ Chicago Fire	1596.97	1
23	1999-04-08	23.51%	Columbus Crew	1516.61	1	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	1560.38	1
24	1999-06-12	23.62%	@ Kansas City Wizards	1416.76	1	Dallas Burn	1550.35	0
25	1999-09-18	24.35%	@ Colorado Rapids	1506.10	1	Los Angeles Galaxy	1632.33	0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.

#	Date	Elo Δ	Winning Team				Losing Team				Tie %
#	Date	Elo Δ	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Team	Score	Elo	Win %	Tie %
1	1999-06-20	40.08	@ Kansas City Wizards	6	1427.76	40.81%	MetroStars	0	1427.29	28.19%	31.01%
2	1999-08-08	36.02	@ Chicago Fire	5	1557.66	37.89%	Colorado Rapids	0	1577.76	30.77%	31.34%
3	1999-07-04	30.39	Columbus Crew	3	1519.93	23.22%	@ Colorado Rapids	0	1566.65	47.17%	29.61%
4	1999-11-07 *	29.61	@ Columbus Crew	5	1560.33	43.65%	DC United	1	1650.17	56.35%	0.00%
5	1999-10-23 *	29.59	@ Chicago Fire	4	1568.27	53.08%	Dallas Burn	0	1592.32	46.92%	0.00%
6	1999-03-20	29.06	@ Dallas Burn	4	1472.94	38.16%	Kansas City Wizards	0	1491.16	30.52%	31.32%
7	1999-10-03	28.24	@ Miami Fusion	4	1377.39	19.04%	Columbus Crew	1	1564.99	53.70%	27.26%
8	1999-08-18	28.10	Dallas Burn	3	1537.79	26.82%	@ Colorado Rapids	0	1550.02	42.45%	30.73%
9	1999-06-16	26.07	@ Dallas Burn	3	1539.35	30.45%	DC United	0	1612.70	38.24%	31.31%
10	1999-11-13 *	24.73	@ DC United	4	1620.57	60.78%	Columbus Crew	0	1589.94	39.22%	0.00%
11	1999-09-04	24.42	Tampa Bay Mutiny	5	1487.41	37.79%	@ New England Revolution	1	1417.28	30.87%	31.35%
12	1999-09-19	23.93	@ San Jose Clash	6	1450.48	47.02%	Miami Fusion	1	1404.88	23.33%	29.65%
13	1999-07-10	22.28	@ Dallas Burn	5	1559.82	55.76%	Kansas City Wizards	0	1446.94	17.89%	26.36%
14	1999-03-27	21.50	Chicago Fire	3	1545.72	39.70%	@ Kansas City Wizards	0	1462.11	29.14%	31.16%
15	1999-07-10	21.30	@ Miami Fusion	2	1404.08	22.44%	Columbus Crew	0	1550.24	48.30%	29.27%
16	1999-07-24	20.80	@ Columbus Crew	4	1528.94	33.17%	Dallas Burn	1	1582.10	35.36%	31.47%
17	1999-09-29	20.02	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	4	1603.54	52.53%	Colorado Rapids	0	1516.09	19.72%	27.75%
18	1999-10-06	19.78	Tampa Bay Mutiny	4	1494.02	14.88%	@ DC United	2	1656.64	61.81%	23.30%
19	1999-09-26	19.49	@ San Jose Clash	2	1480.47	26.50%	Chicago Fire	0	1586.53	42.84%	30.66%
20	1999-06-05	19.39	@ New England Revolution	2	1472.52	26.75%	Chicago Fire	0	1576.38	42.54%	30.72%
21	1999-11-21 *	19.00	DC United	2	1645.29	42.85%	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	0	1649.84	57.15%	0.00%
22	1999-07-31	18.77	Colorado Rapids	2	1561.42	28.26%	@ Dallas Burn	0	1561.30	40.72%	31.02%
23	1999-10-09	18.34	@ Miami Fusion	2	1405.63	29.39%	Colorado Rapids	0	1487.31	39.43%	31.19%
24	1999-07-31	18.13	@ Tampa Bay Mutiny	4	1455.68	39.68%	New England Revolution	1	1463.17	29.16%	31.16%
25	1999-09-25	17.97	DC United	2	1638.67	30.38%	@ Los Angeles Galaxy	0	1621.50	38.31%	31.30%