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2003-04 Serie A Season

306 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams

Final

Champion

AC Milan

82 points · 17th Title

Last Title: 1998-99

Relegated

Ancona

13 pts

Modena · 30 pts

Empoli · 30 pts

Perugia · via playoff

Biggest Overachiever

AC Milan

17.90 points above expected

82 points · 64.10 expected points

Biggest Disappointment

Ancona

13.78 points below expected

13 points · 26.78 expected points

League Table

The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.

# Team GP W D L Pts GF GA GD SimPts vsSim
1 AC Milan Champion 34 25 7 2 82 65 24 +41 64.10 +17.90
2 Roma 34 21 8 5 71 68 19 +49 64.68 +6.32
3 Juventus 34 21 6 7 69 67 42 +25 65.91 +3.09
4 Inter Milan 34 17 8 9 59 59 37 +22 59.87 -0.87
5 Parma 34 16 10 8 58 57 46 +11 55.73 +2.27
6 Lazio Roma 34 16 8 10 56 52 38 +14 57.36 -1.36
7 Udinese 34 13 11 10 50 44 40 +4 47.95 +2.05
8 Sampdoria 34 11 13 10 46 40 42 -2 40.22 +5.78
9 Chievo Verona 34 11 11 12 44 36 37 -1 47.14 -3.14
10 Lecce 34 11 8 15 41 43 56 -13 34.38 +6.62
11 Brescia 34 9 13 12 40 52 57 -5 44.36 -4.36
12 Bologna 34 10 9 15 39 45 53 -8 40.23 -1.23
13 Siena 34 8 10 16 34 41 54 -13 39.44 -5.44
14 Reggina 34 6 16 12 34 29 45 -16 38.31 -4.31
15 Perugia Relegated 34 6 14 14 32 44 56 -12 37.48 -5.48
16 Modena Relegated 34 6 12 16 30 27 46 -19 37.04 -7.04
17 Empoli Relegated 34 7 9 18 30 26 54 -28 33.48 -3.48
18 Ancona Relegated 34 2 7 25 13 21 70 -49 26.78 -13.78

Notes

  • After being relegated on points, Ancona reemerged as a phoenix in Serie C.

Form

Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)

League Race

Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.

Promotion Playoff

The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.

Finals

Fiorentina 2
Perugia 1

Leg 1: Perugia 0-1 Fiorentina

Leg 2: Fiorentina 1-1 Perugia

Sim: 9.0%

Season Summary

Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).

Team Elo Points Avg Luck Percentile Min 5th Q1 Median Q3 95th Max
AC Milan 2100 82 64.10 +17.90 99.7% 39 52 59 64 69 75 88
Roma 2081 71 64.68 +6.32 83.1% 33 53 60 65 69 76 96
Juventus 2046 69 65.91 +3.09 69.8% 41 54 61 66 71 77 89
Inter Milan 2011 59 59.87 -0.87 47.5% 35 48 55 60 65 72 92
Lazio Roma 1987 56 57.36 -1.36 45.6% 31 46 53 57 62 69 82
Parma 1974 58 55.73 +2.27 65.0% 31 44 51 56 60 67 80
Udinese 1911 50 47.95 +2.05 64.8% 19 36 43 48 53 60 74
Chievo Verona 1902 44 47.14 -3.14 35.9% 22 35 42 47 52 59 74
Brescia 1879 40 44.36 -4.36 30.4% 18 33 39 44 49 56 70
Sampdoria 1849 46 40.22 +5.78 81.5% 15 29 35 40 45 52 69
Bologna 1845 39 40.23 -1.23 45.9% 12 29 36 40 45 52 66
Lecce 1831 41 34.38 +6.62 85.3% 10 24 30 34 39 46 61
Perugia 1829 32 37.48 -5.48 23.5% 15 26 33 37 42 49 67
Siena 1820 34 39.44 -5.44 23.4% 16 29 35 39 44 51 65
Reggina 1817 34 38.31 -4.31 29.5% 15 27 34 38 43 49 66
Empoli 1785 30 33.48 -3.48 32.9% 12 23 29 33 38 45 59
Modena 1778 30 37.04 -7.04 16.8% 13 26 32 37 42 49 65
Ancona 1668 13 26.78 -13.78 1.1% 7 17 22 27 31 38 53

Head-to-Head

Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.

Beat expectations Fell short Within expectations
Team AM ANC BOL BRE CV EMP IM JUV LR LEC MOD PAR PER REG ROM SAM SIE UDI
AC Milan —
2-0-0
4.31
2-0-0
3.95
2-0-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.76
2-0-0
4.53
2-0-0
2.89
1-1-0
2.57
2-0-0
3.04
1-1-0
4.21
1-1-0
4.35
1-1-0
3.31
1-1-0
4.01
1-0-1
4.37
2-0-0
2.56
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
4.26
0-1-1
3.90
Ancona
0-0-2
1.27
 —
1-0-1
1.70
0-1-1
1.68
0-0-2
1.50
1-0-1
2.03
0-0-2
1.12
0-0-2
0.90
0-0-2
1.11
0-0-2
2.32
0-1-1
2.17
0-0-2
1.15
0-1-1
1.81
0-2-0
1.86
0-1-1
1.03
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
1.90
0-0-2
1.63
Bologna
0-0-2
1.53
1-0-1
3.75
 —
1-1-0
2.32
1-0-1
2.20
1-0-1
3.23
0-0-2
1.51
0-0-2
1.39
1-0-1
1.73
1-1-0
2.99
0-1-1
3.00
0-2-0
1.83
0-1-1
2.90
0-2-0
2.87
1-0-1
1.39
0-0-2
2.72
1-1-0
2.64
2-0-0
2.19
Brescia
0-0-2
1.52
1-1-0
3.81
0-1-1
3.08
 —
0-1-1
2.58
1-1-0
3.34
1-1-0
1.92
0-0-2
1.55
2-0-0
1.91
1-0-1
3.23
0-2-0
3.02
0-1-1
2.06
0-2-0
3.13
0-2-0
3.01
1-0-1
1.80
0-1-1
3.00
2-0-0
2.94
0-0-2
2.50
Chievo Verona
0-1-1
1.72
2-0-0
3.98
1-0-1
3.20
1-1-0
2.81
 —
1-1-0
3.59
0-1-1
2.22
0-0-2
1.71
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
3.44
2-0-0
3.16
0-0-2
2.23
2-0-0
3.28
0-2-0
3.20
0-0-2
1.58
0-1-1
3.23
1-1-0
3.21
0-2-0
2.60
Empoli
0-0-2
1.08
1-0-1
3.37
1-0-1
2.17
0-1-1
2.08
0-1-1
1.84
 —
1-0-1
1.26
0-1-1
1.23
0-1-1
1.49
0-1-1
2.63
0-1-1
2.50
1-0-1
1.47
1-1-0
2.39
0-1-1
2.53
0-0-2
1.01
0-1-1
2.25
1-0-1
2.44
1-0-1
1.78
Inter Milan
0-0-2
2.51
2-0-0
4.47
2-0-0
3.98
0-1-1
3.52
1-1-0
3.19
1-0-1
4.30
 —
2-0-0
2.22
0-1-1
3.00
1-0-1
4.23
1-1-0
3.97
1-0-1
3.06
2-0-0
4.08
2-0-0
3.84
0-1-1
2.28
0-2-0
3.91
2-0-0
3.82
0-1-1
3.51
Juventus
0-1-1
2.81
2-0-0
4.77
2-0-0
4.13
2-0-0
3.94
2-0-0
3.76
1-1-0
4.33
0-0-2
3.19
 —
1-0-1
3.32
0-1-1
4.50
2-0-0
4.27
1-1-0
3.25
1-0-1
4.33
2-0-0
4.14
0-1-1
3.05
2-0-0
4.09
2-0-0
4.15
1-1-0
3.81
Lazio Roma
0-0-2
2.35
2-0-0
4.49
1-0-1
3.72
0-0-2
3.52
1-1-0
3.29
1-1-0
4.02
1-1-0
2.39
1-0-1
2.09
 —
2-0-0
3.94
1-1-0
3.99
1-0-1
2.75
2-0-0
3.83
0-1-1
3.90
0-1-1
2.19
1-1-0
3.74
1-0-1
3.78
1-1-0
3.30
Lecce
0-1-1
1.32
2-0-0
3.07
0-1-1
2.40
1-0-1
2.18
1-0-1
1.99
1-1-0
2.75
1-0-1
1.32
1-1-0
1.10
0-0-2
1.54
 —
1-0-1
2.48
0-0-2
1.47
0-1-1
2.54
2-0-0
2.46
0-0-2
1.13
0-2-0
2.31
0-1-1
2.46
1-0-1
1.83
Modena
0-1-1
1.21
1-1-0
3.25
1-1-0
2.39
0-2-0
2.39
0-0-2
2.25
1-1-0
2.89
0-1-1
1.52
0-0-2
1.28
0-1-1
1.52
1-0-1
2.93
 —
0-1-1
1.79
1-1-0
2.72
0-1-1
2.71
0-0-2
1.16
1-1-0
2.37
0-0-2
2.53
0-0-2
2.08
Parma
0-1-1
2.13
2-0-0
4.45
0-2-0
3.61
1-1-0
3.35
2-0-0
3.18
1-0-1
4.02
1-0-1
2.33
0-1-1
2.16
1-0-1
2.65
2-0-0
4.03
1-1-0
3.65
 —
1-1-0
3.72
0-1-1
3.84
0-0-2
2.20
2-0-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.59
1-1-0
3.14
Perugia
0-1-1
1.51
1-1-0
3.65
1-1-0
2.49
0-2-0
2.27
0-0-2
2.12
0-1-1
3.01
0-0-2
1.43
1-0-1
1.23
0-0-2
1.64
1-1-0
2.87
0-1-1
2.67
0-1-1
1.73
 —
1-1-0
2.56
1-0-1
1.17
0-1-1
2.39
0-1-1
2.65
0-2-0
2.08
Reggina
1-0-1
1.20
0-2-0
3.57
0-2-0
2.54
0-2-0
2.38
0-2-0
2.20
1-1-0
2.86
0-0-2
1.63
0-0-2
1.39
1-1-0
1.58
0-0-2
2.95
1-1-0
2.68
1-1-0
1.63
0-1-1
2.83
 —
0-1-1
1.31
0-1-1
2.74
1-1-0
2.65
0-0-2
2.07
Roma
0-0-2
2.83
1-1-0
4.59
1-0-1
4.15
1-0-1
3.64
2-0-0
3.92
2-0-0
4.63
1-1-0
3.15
1-1-0
2.36
1-1-0
3.21
2-0-0
4.46
2-0-0
4.42
2-0-0
3.19
1-0-1
4.41
1-1-0
4.22
 —
1-1-0
4.22
1-1-0
3.98
1-1-0
3.37
Sampdoria
0-0-2
1.44
2-0-0
3.73
2-0-0
2.68
1-1-0
2.39
1-1-0
2.19
1-1-0
3.15
0-2-0
1.57
0-0-2
1.42
0-1-1
1.71
0-2-0
3.09
0-1-1
3.02
0-0-2
1.86
1-1-0
3.01
1-1-0
2.67
0-1-1
1.32
 —
1-1-0
2.73
1-0-1
2.28
Siena
0-0-2
1.28
1-1-0
3.54
0-1-1
2.76
0-0-2
2.45
0-1-1
2.19
1-0-1
2.94
0-0-2
1.64
0-0-2
1.38
1-0-1
1.68
1-1-0
2.95
2-0-0
2.86
0-1-1
1.86
1-1-0
2.76
0-1-1
2.74
0-1-1
1.53
0-1-1
2.65
 —
1-1-0
2.18
Udinese
1-1-0
1.57
2-0-0
3.87
0-0-2
3.23
2-0-0
2.89
0-2-0
2.80
1-0-1
3.66
1-1-0
1.93
0-1-1
1.65
0-1-1
2.11
1-0-1
3.61
2-0-0
3.34
0-1-1
2.26
0-2-0
3.33
2-0-0
3.34
0-1-1
2.08
1-0-1
3.13
0-1-1
3.22
 —

Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential

Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).

Fit Metrics

R² Slope
Scored 0.82 +10.9
Allowed 0.72 -11.9
Differential 0.94 +7.0

Scoreline Distribution

Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
010.46%7.35%5.88%2.94%1.14%0.65%28.43%
17.35%11.76%7.84%4.25%0.98%0.16%32.35%
25.88%7.84%5.88%2.29%0.98%0.33%23.20%
32.94%4.25%2.29%0.98%0.49%—10.95%
41.14%0.98%0.98%0.49%0.33%—3.92%
5+0.65%0.16%0.33%———1.14%
Total28.43%32.35%23.20%10.95%3.92%1.14%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.33 1.33 +0.00
SD 1.19 1.19 1.68
CV 0.89 0.89 —
Max 6 6 +6
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 306

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%—————5.88%
117.65%11.76%5.88%———35.29%
211.76%14.71%2.94%———29.41%
35.88%14.71%2.94%———23.53%
4——2.94%———2.94%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total44.12%41.18%14.71%———100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.91 0.71 +1.21
SD 1.11 0.72 1.20
CV 0.58 1.02 —
Max 5 2 +5
Min 0 0 -1

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%11.76%20.59%14.71%—2.94%61.76%
1—8.82%2.94%5.88%——17.65%
2—2.94%—8.82%2.94%2.94%17.65%
3——2.94%———2.94%
4———————
5+———————
Total11.76%23.53%26.47%29.41%2.94%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.62 2.06 -1.44
SD 0.89 1.30 1.33
CV 1.44 0.63 —
Max 3 5 +1
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%5.88%11.76%—2.94%—32.35%
1—5.88%11.76%———17.65%
22.94%11.76%8.82%5.88%5.88%—35.29%
32.94%8.82%2.94%———14.71%
4———————
5+———————
Total17.65%32.35%35.29%5.88%8.82%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.32 1.56 -0.24
SD 1.09 1.13 1.52
CV 0.83 0.73 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%2.94%2.94%2.94%—2.94%20.59%
18.82%17.65%8.82%2.94%——38.24%
22.94%2.94%8.82%5.88%2.94%—23.53%
3—2.94%——2.94%—5.88%
4—2.94%2.94%—2.94%—8.82%
5+——2.94%———2.94%
Total20.59%29.41%26.47%11.76%8.82%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.68 -0.15
SD 1.31 1.34 1.62
CV 0.86 0.80 —
Max 5 5 +3
Min 0 0 -5

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.65%8.82%8.82%2.94%——38.24%
15.88%11.76%2.94%8.82%——29.41%
28.82%8.82%2.94%2.94%——23.53%
32.94%2.94%————5.88%
4—2.94%————2.94%
5+———————
Total35.29%35.29%14.71%14.71%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.06 1.09 -0.03
SD 1.07 1.06 1.53
CV 1.01 0.97 —
Max 4 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%8.82%14.71%8.82%5.88%—44.12%
111.76%14.71%8.82%——2.94%38.24%
28.82%—2.94%2.94%——14.71%
3———2.94%——2.94%
4———————
5+———————
Total26.47%23.53%26.47%14.71%5.88%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.76 1.59 -0.82
SD 0.82 1.35 1.70
CV 1.07 0.85 —
Max 3 5 +2
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.71%5.88%————20.59%
15.88%2.94%8.82%5.88%2.94%—26.47%
214.71%2.94%5.88%2.94%——26.47%
32.94%5.88%8.82%———17.65%
42.94%—2.94%———5.88%
5+2.94%—————2.94%
Total44.12%17.65%26.47%8.82%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.74 1.09 +0.65
SD 1.40 1.16 1.81
CV 0.81 1.07 —
Max 6 4 +6
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%2.94%2.94%—2.94%—11.76%
114.71%5.88%—5.88%——26.47%
211.76%8.82%5.88%2.94%——29.41%
32.94%5.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%—20.59%
42.94%2.94%2.94%———8.82%
5+—2.94%————2.94%
Total35.29%29.41%17.65%11.76%5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.97 1.24 +0.74
SD 1.27 1.23 1.75
CV 0.64 1.00 —
Max 5 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%11.76%2.94%2.94%——23.53%
18.82%11.76%8.82%———29.41%
22.94%17.65%5.88%2.94%——29.41%
35.88%2.94%————8.82%
4—2.94%2.94%———5.88%
5+——2.94%———2.94%
Total23.53%47.06%23.53%5.88%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.53 1.12 +0.41
SD 1.28 0.84 1.48
CV 0.84 0.76 —
Max 5 3 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
08.82%5.88%2.94%5.88%——23.53%
12.94%8.82%14.71%8.82%5.88%—41.18%
22.94%14.71%5.88%———23.53%
3—5.88%2.94%———8.82%
4———2.94%——2.94%
5+———————
Total14.71%35.29%26.47%17.65%5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.26 1.65 -0.38
SD 1.02 1.12 1.50
CV 0.81 0.68 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
02.94%14.71%11.76%5.88%2.94%—38.24%
15.88%29.41%5.88%5.88%——47.06%
25.88%2.94%2.94%———11.76%
32.94%—————2.94%
4———————
5+———————
Total17.65%47.06%20.59%11.76%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.79 1.35 -0.56
SD 0.77 1.01 1.50
CV 0.97 0.75 —
Max 3 4 +3
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%5.88%2.94%2.94%2.94%—20.59%
15.88%8.82%2.94%2.94%2.94%—23.53%
25.88%8.82%14.71%———29.41%
35.88%8.82%5.88%———20.59%
42.94%——2.94%——5.88%
5+———————
Total26.47%32.35%26.47%8.82%5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.68 1.35 +0.32
SD 1.20 1.15 1.77
CV 0.72 0.85 —
Max 4 4 +4
Min 0 0 -4

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
05.88%11.76%2.94%2.94%——23.53%
15.88%14.71%11.76%2.94%2.94%—38.24%
2—5.88%14.71%5.88%——26.47%
3—2.94%—5.88%——8.82%
4——2.94%———2.94%
5+———————
Total11.76%35.29%32.35%17.65%2.94%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.65 -0.35
SD 1.03 1.01 1.15
CV 0.80 0.61 —
Max 4 4 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
023.53%8.82%11.76%——2.94%47.06%
1—14.71%5.88%5.88%——26.47%
22.94%14.71%5.88%———23.53%
3———————
4————2.94%—2.94%
5+———————
Total26.47%38.24%23.53%5.88%2.94%2.94%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 0.85 1.32 -0.47
SD 0.99 1.30 1.42
CV 1.16 0.98 —
Max 4 6 +2
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
014.71%5.88%————20.59%
18.82%5.88%5.88%2.94%——23.53%
211.76%2.94%2.94%———17.65%
311.76%8.82%————20.59%
45.88%5.88%————11.76%
5+5.88%—————5.88%
Total58.82%29.41%8.82%2.94%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 2.00 0.56 +1.44
SD 1.60 0.79 1.88
CV 0.80 1.41 —
Max 6 3 +6
Min 0 0 -2

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%5.88%2.94%2.94%——23.53%
111.76%14.71%8.82%8.82%——44.12%
28.82%5.88%8.82%———23.53%
3——5.88%2.94%——8.82%
4———————
5+———————
Total32.35%26.47%26.47%14.71%——100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.18 1.24 -0.06
SD 0.90 1.07 1.23
CV 0.77 0.87 —
Max 3 3 +2
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
017.65%8.82%——2.94%2.94%32.35%
12.94%8.82%17.65%5.88%——35.29%
2—5.88%2.94%—5.88%2.94%17.65%
32.94%2.94%2.94%———8.82%
45.88%—————5.88%
5+———————
Total29.41%26.47%23.53%5.88%8.82%5.88%100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.21 1.59 -0.38
SD 1.17 1.58 1.99
CV 0.97 0.99 —
Max 4 6 +4
Min 0 0 -6

Games Played: 34

↓ Scored | Allowed →012345+Total
011.76%5.88%5.88%———23.53%
114.71%14.71%8.82%2.94%2.94%—44.12%
22.94%8.82%2.94%———14.71%
35.88%2.94%—2.94%2.94%—14.71%
4———2.94%——2.94%
5+———————
Total35.29%32.35%17.65%8.82%5.88%—100%

Summary Statistics

Scored Allowed Difference
Mean 1.29 1.18 +0.12
SD 1.09 1.19 1.37
CV 0.84 1.01 —
Max 4 4 +3
Min 0 0 -3

Games Played: 34

Home-Field Advantage Edge

The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.

Top Overachievers & Disappointments

Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.

Biggest Overachievers

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 AC Milan 82 64.10 +17.90
2 Lecce 41 34.38 +6.62
3 Roma 71 64.68 +6.32
4 Sampdoria 46 40.22 +5.78
5 Juventus 69 65.91 +3.09

Biggest Disappointments

# Team Actual Sim vsSim
1 Ancona 13 26.78 -13.78
2 Modena 30 37.04 -7.04
3 Perugia 32 37.48 -5.48
4 Siena 34 39.44 -5.44
5 Brescia 40 44.36 -4.36

Top Streaks

Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.

Most Unlikely Winning Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Lecce 3 Apr 17 – May 2 1 in 193
2 Perugia 3 May 2 – May 16 1 in 113
3 Inter Milan 6 Nov 2 – Dec 14 1 in 95
4 Udinese 4 Nov 30 – Dec 21 1 in 65
5 AC Milan 7 Jan 6 – Feb 8 1 in 62

Most Unlikely Losing Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Inter Milan 4 Feb 15 – Mar 7 1 in 141
2 Empoli 5 Oct 5 – Nov 8 1 in 69
3 Lecce 5 Sep 21 – Oct 25 1 in 46
4 Ancona 6 Nov 30 – Jan 11 1 in 37
5 Siena 5 Jan 28 – Feb 22 1 in 28

Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 AC Milan 19 Jan 6 – May 2 1 in 63
2 Lecce 7 Feb 1 – Mar 13 1 in 61
3 Roma 14 Aug 31 – Dec 20 1 in 52
4 Sampdoria 8 Nov 2 – Jan 6 1 in 31
5 Empoli 5 Feb 22 – Mar 21 1 in 18

Most Unlikely Winless Streaks

# Team Games Dates Probability
1 Perugia 21 Aug 31 – Feb 14 1 in 1,266
2 Ancona 28 Sep 1 – Apr 4 1 in 377
3 Chievo Verona 9 Feb 22 – Apr 18 1 in 50
4 Inter Milan 6 Feb 8 – Mar 14 1 in 39
5 Modena 11 Nov 9 – Feb 1 1 in 20

Finish Position Heatmap

Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).

Team123456789101112131415161718
AC Milan24.06%22.84%19.25%14.23%9.82%5.26%2.42%1.20%0.56%0.21%0.12%0.02%0.01%—————
Roma27.60%23.11%18.67%14.02%8.25%4.65%2.15%0.92%0.38%0.14%0.07%0.02%0.01%—0.01%———
Juventus31.11%24.51%18.49%12.27%6.78%4.11%1.63%0.76%0.17%0.11%0.05%0.01%——————
Inter Milan9.06%13.18%17.03%18.93%16.75%12.26%6.20%3.10%1.84%0.87%0.41%0.20%0.06%0.07%0.04%———
Parma2.77%5.89%9.92%14.21%18.77%18.08%12.73%7.30%4.50%2.46%1.64%0.86%0.38%0.30%0.15%0.04%——
Lazio Roma4.83%8.69%12.08%16.40%19.15%16.71%10.30%5.55%2.65%1.60%1.01%0.61%0.21%0.09%0.11%—0.01%—
Udinese0.23%0.78%1.79%3.74%6.82%11.73%16.69%15.62%12.53%9.55%6.65%4.82%3.49%2.32%1.61%0.92%0.54%0.17%
Sampdoria0.02%0.02%0.11%0.38%1.00%2.52%5.06%7.41%9.96%11.12%11.07%10.58%10.09%9.20%7.99%6.59%4.72%2.16%
Chievo Verona0.27%0.56%1.55%2.99%5.91%10.16%14.75%15.62%12.79%9.62%7.98%6.23%4.07%2.99%2.39%1.31%0.58%0.23%
Lecce—0.01%0.01%0.02%0.12%0.44%1.08%1.95%2.99%4.48%6.16%7.66%9.40%11.49%13.31%14.67%16.19%10.02%
Brescia0.05%0.28%0.70%1.48%3.35%6.31%10.47%12.98%13.00%11.47%9.71%8.54%6.95%5.88%4.09%2.64%1.69%0.41%
Bologna—0.04%0.14%0.44%1.05%2.21%4.92%7.28%10.14%10.86%11.01%10.15%10.30%9.12%8.18%6.94%4.93%2.29%
Siena—0.02%0.10%0.33%0.69%1.74%3.49%6.05%8.65%9.98%10.45%11.56%11.09%10.24%9.16%8.17%5.70%2.58%
Reggina—0.04%0.08%0.23%0.53%1.36%2.81%5.03%6.67%8.20%9.90%10.96%11.01%10.95%10.35%10.03%8.07%3.78%
Perugia—0.02%0.06%0.15%0.48%1.28%2.14%4.17%5.53%8.31%9.15%10.19%11.53%11.57%11.53%10.70%8.22%4.97%
Modena—0.01%0.02%0.15%0.44%0.94%2.37%3.57%5.03%6.72%8.76%10.07%10.77%11.74%11.90%11.46%10.85%5.20%
Empoli———0.03%0.09%0.21%0.72%1.38%2.38%3.70%4.84%6.14%8.29%10.39%13.12%16.34%18.97%13.40%
Ancona—————0.03%0.07%0.11%0.23%0.60%1.02%1.38%2.34%3.65%6.06%10.19%19.53%54.79%

Points Required Per Position

The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.

Points Totals in Context

How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).

Season Trends

How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.

Edges & Scoring

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Home Edge
Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.
No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
Elo Value
Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
Scoring Tilt
Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.
Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Home Edge
HomeDrawAway
+15.69%
Clear Edge
43.14%29.41%27.45%
Elo Value
Home Edge
178 Elo
0.006 goals per Elo point
054.95500
Scoring Tilt
Expected
+0.39 goals
Neutral
-2+0.31+2

Title Race

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Title-Race Openness
Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.
One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
Champion Preseason Odds
Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.
Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
Title Margin
Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.
Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Title-Race Openness
4.1
Open
124610
Champion Preseason Odds
24%
AC Milan, 3rd of 18
LongshotFavorite
Title Margin
Expected
0.32/gm
Tight Race
00.150.5/gm

Simulation-Based Surprises

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Luck Spread
Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.
As Expected: under 5.53 * Some Luck: 5.53 to 8.3 * Lucky: 8.3 to 11.07 * Wild Swing: 11.07 and up.
Average Finish Error
Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.
Pinpoint: under 1.74 * Close: 1.74 to 2.6 * Off: 2.6 to 3.47 * Way Off: 3.47 and up.
Biggest Overachiever
The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Biggest Underachiever
The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
Season Outliers
Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.
Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
Unexpected Relegations
Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.
As Expected: under 0.93 * A Surprise: 0.93 to 1.49 * Several Surprises: 1.49 to 2.06 * Many Surprises: 2.06 and up.
Luck Spread
Expected
6.74 points
Some Luck
06.9217
Average Finish Error
Expected
1.33
Pinpoint
02.175
Biggest Overachiever
Expected 97.22%
99.66%
AC Milan
50100
Biggest Underachiever
Expected 2.78%
1.13%
Ancona
050
Season Outliers
Expected
2 of 18
Minimal Outliers
01.89
Unexpected Relegations
Expected
1 of 4
A Surprise
00.94

Parity

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Gini Index
How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.
Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
Noll-Scully
How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.
Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
Interquartile Edge
Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.
Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
Best vs. Worst
Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.
Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
Close Games
Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.
Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
Blowouts
Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.
Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Gini Index
0.20
Top-Heavy
00.120.180.260.5
Noll-Scully
Coin-flip
1.98
Strong Separation
01.003
Interquartile Edge
72%
Clear Edge
50%60%70%80%100%
Best vs. Worst
Baseline 93%
92%
Dominant
50%100%
Close Games
Expected
65%
Very Frequent
0%63%100%
Blowouts
Expected
12%
Occasional
0%14%100%

Predictability

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Brier Score
How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.
Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
Matchup Imbalance
How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.
Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
Strangeness
How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.
Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
Repeatability
How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.
Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.
Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.
Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Brier Score
Expected
0.58
Predictable
00.602
Matchup Imbalance
0.39
Lopsided
00.10.180.280.5
Strangeness
Expected
0.99
As Expected
01.002
Repeatability
0.76
Strong Carryover
00.30.60.851
Upset Rate
Expected
19%
Chalky
0%22%50%
Clear Favorite Upset Rate
Expected
15%
As Expected
0%19%50%

Calibration

How these are measured

The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.

Probability calibration
An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.
Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
Calibration slope
Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.
Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
Calibration error (ECE)
The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.
Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.2 * Well Above Noise: 0.2 and up.
Probability calibration
0.49
Well Calibrated
0.010.050.10.51
Calibration slope
Ideal
1.17
Underconfident
0.51.001.5
Calibration error (ECE)
Noise ceiling
0.066
Well Within Noise
00.1000.25

Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.

Team Same level Lost relegation playoff Direct relegation
AC Milan 100% — —
Juventus 100% — —
Roma 99.99% 0.01% —
Inter Milan 99.96% 0.04% —
Lazio Roma 99.88% 0.11% 0.01%
Parma 99.81% 0.15% 0.04%
Udinese 96.76% 1.61% 1.63%
Chievo Verona 95.49% 2.39% 2.12%
Brescia 91.17% 4.09% 4.74%
Sampdoria 78.54% 7.99% 13.47%
Bologna 77.66% 8.18% 14.16%
Siena 74.39% 9.16% 16.45%
Reggina 67.77% 10.35% 21.88%
Modena 60.59% 11.90% 27.51%
Lecce 45.81% 13.31% 40.88%
Empoli 38.17% 13.12% 48.71%
Ancona 9.43% 6.06% 84.51%
Perugia — 100% —
Loser →
↓ Winner
AlbinoLeffeAnconaAscoliAtalantaAvellinoBariBolognaBresciaCagliariCataniaChievo VeronaComoEmpoliFiorentinaGenoaHellas VeronaInter MilanLazio RomaLecceLivornoMessinaModenaNapoliPalermoParmaPerugiaPescaraPiacenzaRegginaSalernitanaSampdoriaSienaTernanaTorinoTrevisoTriestinaUdineseVeneziaVicenza
AlbinoLeffe48.1%27.00%44.8%29.00%20.0%10.00%25.0%8.00%35.7%42.00%15.3%59.00%40.4%47.00%17.0%53.00%29.2%48.00%26.7%30.00%21.1%38.00%0.0%6.00%
Ancona51.9%27.00%38.5%13.00%36.4%22.00%100.0%9.00%50.0%2.00%35.1%57.00%23.1%13.00%80.0%5.00%55.6%18.00%66.7%6.00%53.3%15.00%26.7%60.00%35.6%45.00%28.6%7.00%27.8%54.00%30.8%52.00%66.7%3.00%44.6%56.00%31.4%35.00%0.0%6.00%43.2%37.00%70.0%10.00%46.7%30.00%
Ascoli61.5%13.00%19.0%21.00%11.1%9.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%26.00%0.0%1.00%21.1%38.00%45.9%37.00%32.1%28.00%34.8%23.00%31.2%16.00%4.5%22.00%0.0%2.00%
Atalanta63.6%22.00%63.3%30.00%31.2%16.00%25.0%8.00%46.9%32.00%42.4%33.00%61.3%31.00%42.9%35.00%52.6%38.00%50.0%22.00%42.4%33.00%25.0%4.00%
Avellino0.0%9.00%0.0%4.00%50.0%4.00%75.0%4.00%25.0%12.00%0.0%1.00%14.3%7.00%0.0%4.00%20.0%5.00%0.0%10.00%16.7%6.00%11.1%9.00%
Bari50.0%2.00%0.0%9.00%33.3%3.00%50.0%4.00%50.0%20.00%35.7%14.00%33.3%21.00%26.3%19.00%35.7%14.00%21.4%14.00%21.1%19.00%
Bologna55.2%29.00%81.0%21.00%36.7%30.00%100.0%4.00%100.0%9.00%54.4%68.00%66.7%24.00%84.6%13.00%68.0%25.00%71.4%7.00%79.2%24.00%60.0%75.00%52.8%72.00%71.4%21.00%54.7%75.00%76.8%69.00%0.0%1.00%70.3%91.00%69.4%85.00%71.4%14.00%67.2%64.00%92.9%14.00%56.4%39.00%
Brescia80.0%10.00%88.9%9.00%68.8%16.00%50.0%4.00%66.7%3.00%63.0%27.00%76.9%13.00%75.0%4.00%84.6%13.00%66.7%3.00%100.0%11.00%54.5%33.00%56.2%32.00%87.5%8.00%57.8%45.00%100.0%3.00%74.4%43.00%100.0%1.00%75.9%29.00%81.1%37.00%100.0%4.00%74.1%27.00%100.0%1.00%81.8%11.00%
Cagliari64.9%57.00%45.6%68.00%37.0%27.00%33.3%18.00%60.0%105.00%0.0%2.00%46.3%108.00%59.1%110.00%39.6%96.00%48.5%99.00%46.2%78.00%54.5%77.00%50.0%20.00%
Catania76.9%13.00%33.3%24.00%23.1%13.00%0.0%5.00%37.3%51.00%23.9%46.00%28.6%35.00%0.0%1.00%17.1%41.00%32.4%37.00%31.8%22.00%31.6%19.00%50.0%2.00%
Chievo Verona75.0%8.00%66.7%3.00%75.0%8.00%25.0%4.00%50.0%4.00%66.7%18.00%100.0%5.00%66.7%3.00%75.0%4.00%40.0%5.00%100.0%3.00%46.7%15.00%60.9%23.00%60.0%5.00%63.2%19.00%100.0%1.00%61.1%18.00%0.0%1.00%83.3%18.00%88.2%17.00%66.7%3.00%73.7%19.00%100.0%2.00%77.8%9.00%
Como20.0%5.00%15.4%13.00%25.0%4.00%33.3%3.00%22.2%18.00%0.0%14.00%33.3%15.00%5.9%17.00%11.1%9.00%21.4%14.00%0.0%9.00%50.0%2.00%
Empoli64.3%42.00%50.0%26.00%53.1%32.00%75.0%12.00%50.0%20.00%40.0%105.00%62.7%51.00%77.8%18.00%61.9%42.00%71.4%7.00%66.7%30.00%47.7%109.00%39.8%108.00%52.4%21.00%42.2%102.00%58.4%101.00%53.2%124.00%63.2%114.00%60.0%15.00%65.6%90.00%88.9%18.00%66.7%54.00%
Fiorentina44.4%18.00%32.0%25.00%15.4%13.00%25.0%4.00%38.1%42.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%35.7%28.00%51.2%41.00%29.0%31.00%40.0%40.00%40.0%20.00%28.6%14.00%0.0%3.00%
Genoa33.3%6.00%28.6%7.00%33.3%3.00%60.0%5.00%28.6%7.00%37.5%8.00%44.4%9.00%40.0%10.00%40.0%10.00%0.0%5.00%57.1%7.00%0.0%1.00%
Hellas Verona46.7%15.00%20.8%24.00%0.0%11.00%0.0%3.00%33.3%30.00%30.0%30.00%36.8%38.00%30.0%40.00%13.3%30.00%31.0%29.00%36.4%22.00%0.0%2.00%
Inter Milan100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Lazio Roma100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%
Lecce84.7%59.00%78.9%38.00%57.6%33.00%85.7%7.00%64.3%14.00%53.7%108.00%76.1%46.00%100.0%14.00%64.3%28.00%62.5%8.00%70.0%30.00%53.7%147.00%53.9%102.00%63.3%30.00%51.0%104.00%100.0%1.00%71.2%104.00%100.0%1.00%65.5%113.00%74.0%104.00%85.7%21.00%53.2%94.00%77.8%9.00%74.1%54.00%
Livorno73.3%60.00%40.0%75.00%45.5%33.00%53.3%15.00%52.3%109.00%0.0%1.00%46.3%147.00%63.3%109.00%100.0%2.00%49.5%107.00%40.0%115.00%52.7%74.00%51.8%83.00%33.3%15.00%
Messina64.4%45.00%47.2%72.00%43.8%32.00%39.1%23.00%60.2%108.00%0.0%1.00%46.1%102.00%60.8%97.00%0.0%1.00%45.2%104.00%45.4%97.00%45.3%75.00%39.8%83.00%41.2%17.00%
Modena59.6%47.00%54.1%37.00%38.7%31.00%100.0%4.00%66.7%21.00%40.9%110.00%71.4%35.00%66.7%15.00%48.8%41.00%55.6%9.00%63.2%38.00%36.7%109.00%39.2%97.00%57.7%26.00%43.8%105.00%49.5%105.00%60.0%95.00%64.0%114.00%71.4%21.00%67.0%94.00%50.0%8.00%63.8%69.00%
Napoli71.4%7.00%28.6%21.00%12.5%8.00%40.0%5.00%47.6%21.00%36.7%30.00%42.3%26.00%20.6%34.00%21.4%14.00%15.4%13.00%21.7%23.00%100.0%1.00%
Palermo72.2%54.00%45.3%75.00%42.2%45.00%36.8%19.00%57.8%102.00%100.0%1.00%49.0%104.00%56.2%105.00%100.0%1.00%52.3%111.00%53.7%95.00%43.8%73.00%48.6%70.00%57.1%14.00%
Parma100.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%
Perugia83.0%53.00%67.9%28.00%57.1%35.00%80.0%5.00%73.7%19.00%60.4%96.00%82.9%41.00%94.1%17.00%71.0%31.00%60.0%10.00%70.0%40.00%50.5%107.00%54.8%104.00%79.4%34.00%47.7%111.00%60.2%88.00%100.0%1.00%64.8%125.00%80.2%101.00%66.7%15.00%65.2%66.00%66.7%6.00%76.0%50.00%
Pescara0.0%3.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Piacenza69.2%52.00%23.2%69.00%25.6%43.00%38.9%18.00%41.6%101.00%0.0%1.00%28.8%104.00%50.5%105.00%39.8%88.00%43.3%90.00%33.9%59.00%44.8%87.00%8.3%12.00%
Reggina70.8%48.00%65.2%23.00%47.4%38.00%100.0%10.00%64.3%14.00%51.5%99.00%67.6%37.00%88.9%9.00%60.0%40.00%60.0%10.00%86.7%30.00%60.0%115.00%54.6%97.00%78.6%14.00%46.3%95.00%56.7%90.00%100.0%1.00%58.8%102.00%70.7%82.00%80.0%10.00%65.2%89.00%100.0%5.00%76.7%60.00%
Salernitana33.3%3.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%100.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%1.00%
Sampdoria73.3%30.00%68.8%16.00%50.0%22.00%83.3%6.00%78.6%14.00%53.8%78.00%68.2%22.00%78.6%14.00%60.0%20.00%100.0%5.00%69.0%29.00%47.3%74.00%54.7%75.00%84.6%13.00%56.2%73.00%66.1%59.00%68.3%82.00%74.3%70.00%75.0%4.00%75.5%49.00%87.5%8.00%73.5%49.00%
Siena78.9%38.00%95.5%22.00%57.6%33.00%88.9%9.00%78.9%19.00%45.5%77.00%68.4%19.00%100.0%9.00%71.4%14.00%42.9%7.00%63.6%22.00%48.2%83.00%60.2%83.00%78.3%23.00%51.4%70.00%100.0%1.00%55.2%87.00%100.0%1.00%66.3%86.00%63.9%72.00%88.9%9.00%71.2%73.00%50.0%12.00%74.0%50.00%
Ternana55.4%56.00%29.7%91.00%24.1%29.00%16.7%18.00%46.8%124.00%0.0%1.00%34.5%113.00%40.0%95.00%35.2%125.00%41.2%102.00%31.7%82.00%33.7%86.00%31.2%16.00%
Torino68.6%35.00%30.6%85.00%18.9%37.00%11.8%17.00%36.8%114.00%0.0%2.00%26.0%104.00%36.0%114.00%0.0%1.00%19.8%101.00%29.3%82.00%25.7%70.00%36.1%72.00%11.1%9.00%
Treviso100.0%6.00%28.6%14.00%0.0%4.00%33.3%3.00%40.0%15.00%0.0%1.00%14.3%21.00%28.6%21.00%0.0%1.00%33.3%15.00%20.0%10.00%25.0%4.00%11.1%9.00%50.0%2.00%
Triestina56.8%37.00%32.8%64.00%25.9%27.00%26.3%19.00%34.4%90.00%0.0%1.00%46.8%94.00%33.0%94.00%0.0%2.00%34.8%66.00%34.8%89.00%24.5%49.00%28.8%73.00%25.0%8.00%
Udinese100.0%6.00%100.0%2.00%75.0%4.00%50.0%20.00%50.0%2.00%50.0%2.00%100.0%3.00%100.0%1.00%100.0%2.00%66.7%15.00%58.8%17.00%0.0%1.00%42.9%14.00%91.7%12.00%68.8%16.00%88.9%9.00%50.0%2.00%75.0%8.00%87.5%8.00%
Venezia30.0%10.00%7.1%14.00%0.0%1.00%0.0%2.00%11.1%18.00%0.0%1.00%22.2%9.00%50.0%8.00%33.3%6.00%0.0%5.00%12.5%8.00%50.0%12.00%
Vicenza53.3%30.00%43.6%39.00%18.2%11.00%22.2%9.00%33.3%54.00%25.9%54.00%36.2%69.00%24.0%50.00%23.3%60.00%26.5%49.00%26.0%50.00%12.5%8.00%

Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes

Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.

Team Finals
Perugia 66.50%
Fiorentina 33.50%
Loser →
↓ Winner
FiorentinaPerugia
Fiorentina33.5%100.00%
Perugia66.5%100.00%

Overall Game Log

Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Points
2003-08-30 Sampdoria D 2-2 1859 1823 47.1% 29.6% 23.3% -0.7 1
2003-08-30 @ Reggina D 2-2 1823 1859 23.3% 29.6% 47.1% +0.7 1
2003-08-31 Chievo Verona D 1-1 1896 1915 39.6% 30.9% 29.4% -0.4 1
2003-08-31 @ Brescia D 1-1 1915 1896 29.4% 30.9% 39.6% +0.4 1
2003-08-31 Empoli W 5-1 2033 1852 64.7% 22.2% 13.1% +8.8 3
2003-08-31 @ Juventus L 1-5 1852 2033 13.1% 22.2% 64.7% -8.8 0
2003-08-31 Lecce W 4-1 1980 1822 62.1% 23.6% 14.3% +7.5 3
2003-08-31 @ Lazio Roma L 1-4 1822 1980 14.3% 23.6% 62.1% -7.5 0
2003-08-31 Modena W 2-0 1980 1838 60.3% 24.5% 15.2% +6.6 3
2003-08-31 @ Inter Milan L 0-2 1838 1980 15.2% 24.5% 60.3% -6.6 0
2003-08-31 Parma D 2-2 1852 1964 27.1% 30.6% 42.3% +0.4 1
2003-08-31 @ Bologna D 2-2 1964 1852 42.3% 30.6% 27.1% -0.5 1
2003-08-31 Roma L 1-2 1904 1952 35.6% 31.2% 33.2% -7.0 0
2003-08-31 @ Udinese W 2-1 1952 1904 33.2% 31.2% 35.6% +7.0 3
2003-08-31 Siena D 2-2 1859 1824 47.0% 29.6% 23.4% -0.7 1
2003-08-31 @ Perugia D 2-2 1824 1859 23.4% 29.6% 47.0% +0.7 1
2003-09-01 AC Milan L 0-2 1798 1969 21.2% 28.7% 50.1% -9.3 0
2003-09-01 @ Ancona W 2-0 1969 1798 50.1% 28.7% 21.2% +9.3 3
2003-09-13 Bologna W 2-1 1978 1852 58.4% 25.4% 16.2% +3.5 6
2003-09-13 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1852 1978 16.2% 25.4% 58.4% -3.5 1
2003-09-13 Lazio Roma L 1-2 1824 1987 21.9% 29.0% 49.1% -4.8 1
2003-09-13 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1987 1824 49.1% 29.0% 21.9% +4.8 6
2003-09-14 Ancona W 3-1 1814 1789 45.8% 29.9% 24.3% +9.1 3
2003-09-14 @ Lecce L 1-3 1789 1814 24.3% 29.9% 45.8% -9.1 0
2003-09-14 Brescia W 5-0 1959 1895 50.8% 28.5% 20.7% +21.3 6
2003-09-14 @ Roma L 0-5 1895 1959 20.7% 28.5% 50.8% -21.3 1
2003-09-14 Inter Milan L 0-1 1825 1986 22.1% 29.1% 48.8% -5.1 1
2003-09-14 @ Siena W 1-0 1986 1825 48.8% 29.1% 22.1% +5.1 6
2003-09-14 Juventus L 1-2 1916 2042 25.5% 30.2% 44.2% -5.5 1
2003-09-14 @ Chievo Verona W 2-1 2042 1916 44.2% 30.2% 25.5% +5.4 6
2003-09-14 Perugia W 3-0 1964 1858 56.0% 26.5% 17.5% +11.2 4
2003-09-14 @ Parma L 0-3 1858 1964 17.5% 26.5% 56.0% -11.2 1
2003-09-14 Reggina D 1-1 1844 1858 40.4% 30.8% 28.8% -0.5 1
2003-09-14 @ Empoli D 1-1 1858 1844 28.8% 30.8% 40.4% +0.5 2
2003-09-14 Udinese L 0-1 1831 1897 33.0% 31.2% 35.8% -7.0 0
2003-09-14 @ Modena W 1-0 1897 1831 35.8% 31.2% 33.0% +7.0 3
2003-09-20 Empoli W 4-0 1820 1843 39.1% 31.0% 29.9% +23.4 4
2003-09-20 @ Siena L 0-4 1843 1820 29.9% 31.0% 39.1% -23.4 1
2003-09-20 Modena D 1-1 1780 1824 36.2% 31.2% 32.7% -0.1 1
2003-09-20 @ Ancona D 1-1 1824 1780 32.7% 31.2% 36.2% +0.1 1
2003-09-21 AC Milan D 1-1 1847 1982 24.7% 30.0% 45.3% +0.8 2
2003-09-21 @ Perugia D 1-1 1982 1847 45.3% 30.0% 24.7% -0.8 7
2003-09-21 Chievo Verona L 1-2 1823 1910 30.2% 31.0% 38.8% -6.2 3
2003-09-21 @ Lecce W 2-1 1910 1823 38.8% 31.0% 30.2% +6.2 4
2003-09-21 Parma L 2-3 1992 1975 44.7% 30.1% 25.2% -7.8 6
2003-09-21 @ Lazio Roma W 3-2 1975 1992 25.2% 30.1% 44.7% +7.8 7
2003-09-21 Reggina D 4-4 1874 1858 44.5% 30.2% 25.3% -0.4 2
2003-09-21 @ Brescia D 4-4 1858 1874 25.3% 30.2% 44.5% +0.4 3
2003-09-21 Roma D 2-2 2048 1980 51.3% 28.3% 20.4% -0.9 7
2003-09-21 @ Juventus D 2-2 1980 2048 20.4% 28.3% 51.3% +1.0 7
2003-09-21 Sampdoria D 0-0 1991 1819 63.7% 22.7% 13.6% -2.4 7
2003-09-21 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1819 1991 13.6% 22.7% 63.7% +2.4 2
2003-09-21 Udinese W 2-0 1849 1904 34.5% 31.2% 34.3% +13.6 4
2003-09-21 @ Bologna L 0-2 1904 1849 34.3% 31.2% 34.5% -13.6 3
2003-09-27 Inter Milan D 0-0 1891 1989 28.8% 30.8% 40.4% +0.5 4
2003-09-27 @ Udinese D 0-0 1989 1891 40.4% 30.8% 28.8% -0.5 8
2003-09-27 Juventus L 0-2 1859 2047 19.8% 28.0% 52.3% -8.7 3
2003-09-27 @ Reggina W 2-0 2047 1859 52.3% 28.0% 19.8% +8.7 10
2003-09-28 Ancona W 3-0 1981 1780 66.9% 21.0% 12.2% +7.3 10
2003-09-28 @ Roma L 0-3 1780 1981 12.2% 21.0% 66.9% -7.3 1
2003-09-28 Bologna W 2-0 1824 1862 37.0% 31.1% 31.9% +12.9 4
2003-09-28 @ Modena L 0-2 1862 1824 31.9% 31.1% 37.0% -12.9 4
2003-09-28 Brescia W 2-1 1822 1874 35.0% 31.2% 33.8% +6.7 5
2003-09-28 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1874 1822 33.8% 31.2% 35.0% -6.7 2
2003-09-28 Lazio Roma D 2-2 1820 1984 21.8% 29.0% 49.3% +0.8 2
2003-09-28 @ Empoli D 2-2 1984 1820 49.3% 29.0% 21.8% -0.8 7
2003-09-28 Lecce W 3-0 1981 1817 62.8% 23.2% 14.0% +8.7 10
2003-09-28 @ AC Milan L 0-3 1817 1981 14.0% 23.2% 62.8% -8.7 3
2003-09-28 Perugia W 4-1 1917 1848 51.4% 28.3% 20.3% +10.9 7
2003-09-28 @ Chievo Verona L 1-4 1848 1917 20.3% 28.3% 51.4% -10.9 2
2003-09-28 Siena D 1-1 1983 1843 60.0% 24.6% 15.4% -1.9 8
2003-09-28 @ Parma D 1-1 1843 1983 15.4% 24.6% 60.0% +1.9 5
2003-10-05 AC Milan L 1-3 1988 1990 42.2% 30.6% 27.2% -13.6 8
2003-10-05 @ Inter Milan W 3-1 1990 1988 27.2% 30.6% 42.2% +13.6 13
2003-10-05 Bologna W 2-1 2055 1850 67.3% 20.7% 12.0% +2.5 13
2003-10-05 @ Juventus L 1-2 1850 2055 12.0% 20.7% 67.3% -2.5 4
2003-10-05 Brescia L 1-4 1808 1867 34.1% 31.2% 34.7% -16.6 3
2003-10-05 @ Lecce W 4-1 1867 1808 34.7% 31.2% 34.1% +16.6 5
2003-10-05 Chievo Verona W 1-0 1984 1927 49.8% 28.8% 21.4% +5.0 10
2003-10-05 @ Lazio Roma L 0-1 1927 1984 21.4% 28.8% 49.8% -5.0 7
2003-10-05 Modena L 0-3 1821 1837 40.1% 30.9% 29.0% -22.0 2
2003-10-05 @ Empoli W 3-0 1837 1821 29.0% 30.9% 40.1% +22.0 7
2003-10-05 Reggina D 0-0 1837 1850 40.6% 30.8% 28.6% -0.5 3
2003-10-05 @ Perugia D 0-0 1850 1837 28.6% 30.8% 40.6% +0.5 4
2003-10-05 Roma D 0-0 1845 1988 23.8% 29.7% 46.5% +1.0 6
2003-10-05 @ Siena D 0-0 1988 1845 46.5% 29.7% 23.8% -1.0 11
2003-10-05 Sampdoria W 1-0 1981 1828 61.5% 23.9% 14.6% +3.3 11
2003-10-05 @ Parma L 0-1 1828 1981 14.6% 23.9% 61.5% -3.3 5
2003-10-05 Udinese L 0-3 1773 1891 26.4% 30.4% 43.2% -16.3 1
2003-10-05 @ Ancona W 3-0 1891 1773 43.2% 30.4% 26.4% +16.3 7
2003-10-18 Inter Milan D 2-2 1884 1975 29.7% 30.9% 39.4% +0.3 6
2003-10-18 @ Brescia D 2-2 1975 1884 39.4% 30.9% 29.7% -0.3 9
2003-10-18 Juventus L 2-3 1756 2058 12.8% 21.7% 65.5% -2.5 1
2003-10-18 @ Ancona W 3-2 2058 1756 65.5% 21.7% 12.8% +2.5 16
2003-10-19 Empoli W 2-0 1907 1799 56.4% 26.3% 17.3% +7.6 10
2003-10-19 @ Udinese L 0-2 1799 1907 17.3% 26.3% 56.4% -7.6 2
2003-10-19 Lazio Roma W 1-0 2003 1988 44.4% 30.2% 25.4% +5.8 16
2003-10-19 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1988 2003 25.4% 30.2% 44.4% -5.8 10
2003-10-19 Lecce W 2-0 1859 1792 51.2% 28.3% 20.4% +9.0 10
2003-10-19 @ Modena L 0-2 1792 1859 20.4% 28.3% 51.2% -9.0 3
2003-10-19 Parma W 2-0 1987 1984 42.8% 30.5% 26.7% +11.3 14
2003-10-19 @ Roma L 0-2 1984 1987 26.7% 30.5% 42.8% -11.3 11
2003-10-19 Perugia D 2-2 1847 1837 43.8% 30.3% 25.9% -0.5 5
2003-10-19 @ Bologna D 2-2 1837 1847 25.9% 30.3% 43.8% +0.5 4
2003-10-19 Sampdoria D 1-1 1922 1825 55.0% 26.9% 18.1% -1.5 8
2003-10-19 @ Chievo Verona D 1-1 1825 1922 18.1% 26.9% 55.0% +1.5 6
2003-10-19 Siena W 2-1 1851 1846 42.9% 30.5% 26.6% +5.6 7
2003-10-19 @ Reggina L 1-2 1846 1851 26.6% 30.5% 42.9% -5.6 6
2003-10-25 Chievo Verona L 0-1 1791 1921 25.2% 30.1% 44.7% -5.7 2
2003-10-25 @ Empoli W 1-0 1921 1791 44.7% 30.1% 25.2% +5.7 11
2003-10-25 Lecce W 2-1 1841 1783 50.0% 28.7% 21.2% +4.6 9
2003-10-25 @ Siena L 1-2 1783 1841 21.2% 28.7% 50.0% -4.7 3
2003-10-26 AC Milan L 0-3 1827 2009 20.2% 28.2% 51.6% -12.9 6
2003-10-26 @ Sampdoria W 3-0 2009 1827 51.6% 28.2% 20.2% +12.9 19
2003-10-26 Ancona D 0-0 1856 1754 55.6% 26.7% 17.7% -1.8 8
2003-10-26 @ Reggina D 0-0 1754 1856 17.7% 26.7% 55.6% +1.8 2
2003-10-26 Bologna W 2-1 1983 1846 59.6% 24.8% 15.6% +3.4 13
2003-10-26 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1846 1983 15.6% 24.8% 59.6% -3.4 5
2003-10-26 Brescia W 2-0 2060 1884 64.2% 22.4% 13.4% +5.7 19
2003-10-26 @ Juventus L 0-2 1884 2060 13.4% 22.4% 64.2% -5.6 6
2003-10-26 Modena W 3-0 1973 1868 55.9% 26.5% 17.5% +11.2 14
2003-10-26 @ Parma L 0-3 1868 1973 17.5% 26.5% 55.9% -11.2 10
2003-10-26 Roma D 0-0 1974 1999 39.0% 31.0% 30.0% -0.4 10
2003-10-26 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1999 1974 30.0% 31.0% 39.0% +0.4 15
2003-10-26 Udinese D 3-3 1837 1915 31.4% 31.1% 37.5% +0.1 5
2003-10-26 @ Perugia D 3-3 1915 1837 37.5% 31.1% 31.4% -0.1 11
2003-11-01 Juventus D 1-1 2022 2066 36.2% 31.2% 32.7% -0.1 20
2003-11-01 @ AC Milan D 1-1 2066 2022 32.7% 31.2% 36.2% +0.1 20
2003-11-01 Lazio Roma L 1-2 1915 1986 32.3% 31.1% 36.5% -6.5 11
2003-11-01 @ Udinese W 2-1 1986 1915 36.5% 31.1% 32.3% +6.5 16
2003-11-02 Empoli W 2-1 1778 1785 41.4% 30.7% 27.9% +5.9 6
2003-11-02 @ Lecce L 1-2 1785 1778 27.9% 30.7% 41.4% -5.9 2
2003-11-02 Inter Milan L 0-2 1927 1974 35.7% 31.2% 33.1% -14.0 11
2003-11-02 @ Chievo Verona W 2-0 1974 1927 33.1% 31.2% 35.7% +14.0 13
2003-11-02 Parma L 2-3 1878 1984 27.8% 30.7% 41.5% -5.5 6
2003-11-02 @ Brescia W 3-2 1984 1878 41.5% 30.7% 27.8% +5.5 17
2003-11-02 Perugia W 1-0 1857 1837 45.0% 30.1% 24.9% +5.7 13
2003-11-02 @ Modena L 0-1 1837 1857 24.9% 30.1% 45.0% -5.7 5
2003-11-02 Reggina W 2-0 1999 1854 60.6% 24.3% 15.1% +6.5 18
2003-11-02 @ Roma L 0-2 1854 1999 15.1% 24.3% 60.6% -6.5 8
2003-11-02 Sampdoria L 0-1 1843 1814 46.4% 29.8% 23.9% -9.0 5
2003-11-02 @ Bologna W 1-0 1814 1843 23.9% 29.8% 46.4% +9.0 9
2003-11-02 Siena D 0-0 1756 1845 29.8% 31.0% 39.2% +0.4 3
2003-11-02 @ Ancona D 0-0 1845 1756 39.2% 31.0% 29.8% -0.4 10
2003-11-08 Bologna D 0-0 1873 1834 47.5% 29.5% 23.0% -1.1 7
2003-11-08 @ Brescia D 0-0 1834 1873 23.0% 29.5% 47.5% +1.1 6
2003-11-08 Empoli W 2-0 1823 1780 48.1% 29.3% 22.6% +9.8 12
2003-11-08 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1780 1823 22.6% 29.3% 48.1% -9.8 2
2003-11-09 AC Milan D 0-0 1990 2022 37.9% 31.1% 31.1% -0.3 18
2003-11-09 @ Parma D 0-0 2022 1990 31.1% 31.1% 37.9% +0.3 21
2003-11-09 Ancona W 3-0 1988 1756 70.1% 19.1% 10.8% +6.3 16
2003-11-09 @ Inter Milan L 0-3 1756 1988 10.8% 19.1% 70.1% -6.3 3
2003-11-09 Chievo Verona L 1-2 1845 1913 32.8% 31.2% 36.0% -6.6 10
2003-11-09 @ Siena W 2-1 1913 1845 36.0% 31.2% 32.8% +6.6 14
2003-11-09 Lazio Roma W 2-0 2006 1993 44.1% 30.2% 25.6% +10.9 21
2003-11-09 @ Roma L 0-2 1993 2006 25.6% 30.2% 44.1% -10.9 16
2003-11-09 Lecce D 2-2 1832 1784 48.7% 29.1% 22.1% -0.8 6
2003-11-09 @ Perugia D 2-2 1784 1832 22.1% 29.1% 48.7% +0.8 7
2003-11-09 Modena D 1-1 1848 1863 40.3% 30.9% 28.8% -0.5 9
2003-11-09 @ Reggina D 1-1 1863 1848 28.8% 30.9% 40.3% +0.5 14
2003-11-09 Udinese W 4-1 2066 1908 62.1% 23.6% 14.3% +7.5 23
2003-11-09 @ Juventus L 1-4 1908 2066 14.3% 23.6% 62.1% -7.5 11
2003-11-22 Juventus L 0-2 1863 2074 18.0% 26.9% 55.1% -7.9 14
2003-11-22 @ Modena W 2-0 2074 1863 55.1% 26.9% 18.0% +7.9 26
2003-11-22 Reggina W 6-0 1994 1847 60.9% 24.2% 14.9% +17.9 19
2003-11-22 @ Inter Milan L 0-6 1847 1994 14.9% 24.2% 60.9% -17.9 9
2003-11-23 AC Milan L 0-2 1919 2022 28.2% 30.8% 41.0% -11.8 14
2003-11-23 @ Chievo Verona W 2-0 2022 1919 41.0% 30.8% 28.2% +11.8 24
2003-11-23 Brescia D 1-1 1750 1871 26.0% 30.3% 43.6% +0.7 4
2003-11-23 @ Ancona D 1-1 1871 1750 43.6% 30.3% 26.0% -0.7 8
2003-11-23 Parma W 1-0 1770 1990 17.4% 26.4% 56.2% +10.4 5
2003-11-23 @ Empoli L 0-1 1990 1770 56.2% 26.4% 17.4% -10.4 18
2003-11-23 Perugia W 3-1 1982 1831 61.3% 24.0% 14.7% +5.5 19
2003-11-23 @ Lazio Roma L 1-3 1831 1982 14.7% 24.0% 61.3% -5.5 6
2003-11-23 Roma L 0-4 1835 2017 20.3% 28.3% 51.4% -16.9 6
2003-11-23 @ Bologna W 4-0 2017 1835 51.4% 28.3% 20.3% +16.9 24
2003-11-23 Sampdoria D 0-0 1785 1832 35.7% 31.2% 33.1% -0.1 8
2003-11-23 @ Lecce D 0-0 1832 1785 33.1% 31.2% 35.7% +0.1 13
2003-11-23 Siena D 1-1 1901 1838 50.6% 28.5% 20.8% -1.2 12
2003-11-23 @ Udinese D 1-1 1838 1901 20.8% 28.5% 50.6% +1.2 11
2003-11-29 Inter Milan L 1-3 2082 2012 51.5% 28.2% 20.2% -15.9 26
2003-11-29 @ Juventus W 3-1 2012 2082 20.2% 28.2% 51.5% +15.9 22
2003-11-29 Lazio Roma W 3-0 1840 1987 23.4% 29.6% 47.1% +24.8 14
2003-11-29 @ Siena L 0-3 1987 1840 47.1% 29.6% 23.4% -24.9 19
2003-11-30 Ancona W 2-0 1833 1750 53.1% 27.7% 19.2% +8.5 16
2003-11-30 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1750 1833 19.2% 27.7% 53.1% -8.5 4
2003-11-30 Bologna D 0-0 1830 1818 43.9% 30.3% 25.8% -0.8 10
2003-11-30 @ Reggina D 0-0 1818 1830 25.8% 30.3% 43.9% +0.8 7
2003-11-30 Chievo Verona W 3-1 1979 1907 51.8% 28.1% 20.1% +7.6 21
2003-11-30 @ Parma L 1-3 1907 1979 20.1% 28.1% 51.8% -7.6 14
2003-11-30 Empoli D 1-1 1825 1780 48.4% 29.2% 22.4% -1.1 7
2003-11-30 @ Perugia D 1-1 1780 1825 22.4% 29.2% 48.4% +1.1 6
2003-11-30 Lecce W 3-1 2034 1785 71.7% 18.1% 10.2% +3.5 27
2003-11-30 @ Roma L 1-3 1785 2034 10.2% 18.1% 71.7% -3.5 8
2003-11-30 Modena W 2-0 2034 1855 64.4% 22.3% 13.2% +5.6 27
2003-11-30 @ AC Milan L 0-2 1855 2034 13.2% 22.3% 64.4% -5.6 14
2003-11-30 Udinese L 1-2 1871 1900 38.3% 31.0% 30.6% -7.3 8
2003-11-30 @ Brescia W 2-1 1900 1871 30.6% 31.0% 38.3% +7.3 15
2003-12-06 AC Milan L 0-1 1781 2040 15.0% 24.3% 60.7% -3.4 6
2003-12-06 @ Empoli W 1-0 2040 1781 60.7% 24.3% 15.0% +3.4 30
2003-12-06 Juventus W 2-0 1962 2066 28.2% 30.8% 41.1% +15.5 22
2003-12-06 @ Lazio Roma L 0-2 2066 1962 41.1% 30.8% 28.2% -15.4 26
2003-12-07 Ancona W 3-2 1819 1742 52.5% 27.9% 19.6% +4.1 10
2003-12-07 @ Bologna L 2-3 1742 1819 19.6% 27.9% 52.5% -4.1 4
2003-12-07 Brescia D 1-1 1849 1863 40.4% 30.8% 28.7% -0.5 15
2003-12-07 @ Modena D 1-1 1863 1849 28.7% 30.8% 40.4% +0.5 9
2003-12-07 Parma L 1-2 1781 1987 18.4% 27.1% 54.4% -4.1 8
2003-12-07 @ Lecce W 2-1 1987 1781 54.4% 27.1% 18.4% +4.0 24
2003-12-07 Perugia W 2-1 2028 1824 67.1% 20.8% 12.1% +2.5 25
2003-12-07 @ Inter Milan L 1-2 1824 2028 12.1% 20.8% 67.1% -2.5 7
2003-12-07 Reggina W 1-0 1907 1829 52.6% 27.8% 19.5% +4.6 18
2003-12-07 @ Udinese L 0-1 1829 1907 19.5% 27.8% 52.6% -4.6 10
2003-12-07 Roma L 0-3 1900 2037 24.4% 29.9% 45.7% -15.2 14
2003-12-07 @ Chievo Verona W 3-0 2037 1900 45.7% 29.9% 24.4% +15.2 30
2003-12-07 Siena W 2-1 1841 1864 39.1% 31.0% 29.9% +6.2 19
2003-12-07 @ Sampdoria L 1-2 1864 1841 29.9% 31.0% 39.1% -6.2 14
2003-12-13 Lecce W 1-0 1911 1777 59.4% 24.9% 15.7% +3.6 21
2003-12-13 @ Udinese L 0-1 1777 1911 15.7% 24.9% 59.4% -3.6 8
2003-12-13 Sampdoria D 3-3 1822 1847 38.8% 31.0% 30.2% -0.2 8
2003-12-13 @ Perugia D 3-3 1847 1822 30.2% 31.0% 38.8% +0.2 20
2003-12-14 Chievo Verona D 0-0 1824 1885 33.8% 31.2% 35.0% +0.0 11
2003-12-14 @ Reggina D 0-0 1885 1824 35.0% 31.2% 33.8% -0.0 15
2003-12-14 Empoli W 2-0 1864 1778 53.6% 27.5% 18.9% +8.3 12
2003-12-14 @ Brescia L 0-2 1778 1864 18.9% 27.5% 53.6% -8.3 6
2003-12-14 Inter Milan L 0-2 1823 2031 18.3% 27.0% 54.7% -8.0 10
2003-12-14 @ Bologna W 2-0 2031 1823 54.7% 27.0% 18.3% +8.0 28
2003-12-14 Lazio Roma L 0-1 1738 1978 16.1% 25.3% 58.6% -3.7 4
2003-12-14 @ Ancona W 1-0 1978 1738 58.6% 25.3% 16.1% +3.7 25
2003-12-14 Modena W 1-0 2052 1849 67.1% 20.8% 12.1% +2.7 33
2003-12-14 @ Roma L 0-1 1849 2052 12.1% 20.8% 67.1% -2.6 15
2003-12-14 Parma W 4-0 2050 1991 50.2% 28.7% 21.1% +17.5 29
2003-12-14 @ Juventus L 0-4 1991 2050 21.1% 28.7% 50.2% -17.5 24
2003-12-20 Reggina L 1-2 1973 1824 61.1% 24.1% 14.8% -10.4 24
2003-12-20 @ Parma W 2-1 1824 1973 14.8% 24.1% 61.1% +10.4 14
2003-12-20 Roma L 0-2 1769 2055 13.6% 22.7% 63.8% -5.8 6
2003-12-20 @ Empoli W 2-0 2055 1769 63.8% 22.7% 13.6% +5.8 36
2003-12-21 Ancona W 1-0 1885 1734 61.3% 24.0% 14.7% +3.4 18
2003-12-21 @ Chievo Verona L 0-1 1734 1885 14.7% 24.0% 61.3% -3.4 4
2003-12-21 Bologna D 0-0 1858 1815 48.1% 29.3% 22.6% -1.2 15
2003-12-21 @ Siena D 0-0 1815 1858 22.6% 29.3% 48.1% +1.2 11
2003-12-21 Brescia D 2-2 1822 1872 35.2% 31.2% 33.6% -0.0 9
2003-12-21 @ Perugia D 2-2 1872 1822 33.6% 31.2% 35.2% +0.0 13
2003-12-21 Inter Milan W 2-1 1981 2039 34.3% 31.2% 34.5% +6.8 28
2003-12-21 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 2039 1981 34.5% 31.2% 34.3% -6.8 28
2003-12-21 Juventus D 1-1 1774 2068 13.1% 22.2% 64.7% +2.2 9
2003-12-21 @ Lecce D 1-1 2068 1774 64.7% 22.2% 13.1% -2.2 30
2003-12-21 Modena D 1-1 1847 1846 42.5% 30.6% 27.0% -0.6 21
2003-12-21 @ Sampdoria D 1-1 1846 1847 27.0% 30.6% 42.5% +0.6 16
2003-12-21 Udinese L 1-2 2043 1915 58.7% 25.3% 16.1% -10.1 30
2003-12-21 @ AC Milan W 2-1 1915 2043 16.1% 25.3% 58.7% +10.1 24
2004-01-06 AC Milan L 1-2 2061 2033 46.1% 29.8% 24.1% -8.4 36
2004-01-06 @ Roma W 2-1 2033 2061 24.1% 29.8% 46.1% +8.4 33
2004-01-06 Chievo Verona L 0-3 1847 1888 36.6% 31.1% 32.2% -20.6 16
2004-01-06 @ Modena W 3-0 1888 1847 32.2% 31.1% 36.6% +20.6 21
2004-01-06 Empoli W 2-1 1816 1764 49.4% 28.9% 21.7% +4.7 14
2004-01-06 @ Bologna L 1-2 1764 1816 21.7% 28.9% 49.4% -4.7 6
2004-01-06 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1835 1988 22.8% 29.4% 47.9% +8.7 17
2004-01-06 @ Reggina L 1-2 1988 1835 47.9% 29.4% 22.8% -8.7 28
2004-01-06 Lecce W 3-1 2032 1776 72.4% 17.7% 9.9% +3.4 31
2004-01-06 @ Inter Milan L 1-3 1776 2032 9.9% 17.7% 72.4% -3.4 9
2004-01-06 Parma L 0-2 1731 1963 16.6% 25.8% 57.7% -7.3 4
2004-01-06 @ Ancona W 2-0 1963 1731 57.7% 25.8% 16.6% +7.3 27
2004-01-06 Perugia W 1-0 2066 1822 71.3% 18.4% 10.4% +2.2 33
2004-01-06 @ Juventus L 0-1 1822 2066 10.4% 18.4% 71.3% -2.2 9
2004-01-06 Sampdoria L 0-1 1925 1847 52.7% 27.8% 19.5% -9.9 24
2004-01-06 @ Udinese W 1-0 1847 1925 19.5% 27.8% 52.7% +9.9 24
2004-01-06 Siena W 4-2 1872 1857 44.4% 30.2% 25.4% +8.4 16
2004-01-06 @ Brescia L 2-4 1857 1872 25.4% 30.2% 44.4% -8.4 15
2004-01-10 Inter Milan W 1-0 1970 2035 33.2% 31.2% 35.7% +7.4 30
2004-01-10 @ Parma L 0-1 2035 1970 35.7% 31.2% 33.2% -7.4 31
2004-01-10 Udinese D 0-0 1909 1915 41.4% 30.7% 27.9% -0.6 22
2004-01-10 @ Chievo Verona D 0-0 1915 1909 27.9% 30.7% 41.4% +0.6 25
2004-01-11 Ancona W 2-0 1759 1723 47.1% 29.6% 23.3% +10.1 9
2004-01-11 @ Empoli L 0-2 1723 1759 23.3% 29.6% 47.1% -10.1 4
2004-01-11 Bologna L 1-2 1773 1821 35.5% 31.2% 33.3% -7.0 9
2004-01-11 @ Lecce W 2-1 1821 1773 33.3% 31.2% 35.5% +7.0 17
2004-01-11 Brescia L 0-1 1980 1881 55.2% 26.8% 18.0% -10.2 28
2004-01-11 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 1881 1980 18.0% 26.8% 55.2% +10.2 19
2004-01-11 Juventus L 1-2 1857 2068 18.0% 26.9% 55.1% -4.0 24
2004-01-11 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 2068 1857 55.1% 26.9% 18.0% +4.0 36
2004-01-11 Modena W 4-0 1849 1826 45.4% 30.0% 24.6% +20.1 18
2004-01-11 @ Siena L 0-4 1826 1849 24.6% 30.0% 45.4% -20.1 16
2004-01-11 Reggina W 3-1 2041 1843 66.5% 21.2% 12.3% +4.4 36
2004-01-11 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1843 2041 12.3% 21.2% 66.5% -4.4 17
2004-01-11 Roma L 0-1 1819 2052 16.5% 25.7% 57.8% -3.8 9
2004-01-11 @ Perugia W 1-0 2052 1819 57.8% 25.7% 16.5% +3.8 39
2004-01-17 Lazio Roma D 1-1 1806 1969 21.9% 29.0% 49.1% +1.1 17
2004-01-17 @ Modena D 1-1 1969 1806 49.1% 29.0% 21.9% -1.1 29
2004-01-17 Parma D 1-1 1916 1978 33.6% 31.2% 35.2% +0.0 26
2004-01-17 @ Udinese D 1-1 1978 1916 35.2% 31.2% 33.6% -0.1 31
2004-01-18 AC Milan L 0-1 1891 2046 22.7% 29.3% 48.0% -5.2 19
2004-01-18 @ Brescia W 1-0 2046 1891 48.0% 29.3% 22.7% +5.2 39
2004-01-18 Chievo Verona W 3-1 1828 1908 31.1% 31.1% 37.8% +12.6 20
2004-01-18 @ Bologna L 1-3 1908 1828 37.8% 31.1% 31.1% -12.6 22
2004-01-18 Empoli L 0-1 2028 1769 72.7% 17.5% 9.8% -12.4 31
2004-01-18 @ Inter Milan W 1-0 1769 2028 9.8% 17.5% 72.7% +12.4 12
2004-01-18 Lecce L 1-3 1839 1766 52.0% 28.1% 19.9% -16.0 17
2004-01-18 @ Reggina W 3-1 1766 1839 19.9% 28.1% 52.0% +16.0 12
2004-01-18 Perugia D 0-0 1713 1816 28.3% 30.8% 40.9% +0.5 5
2004-01-18 @ Ancona D 0-0 1816 1713 40.9% 30.8% 28.3% -0.5 10
2004-01-18 Sampdoria W 3-1 2056 1853 67.1% 20.8% 12.1% +4.3 42
2004-01-18 @ Roma L 1-3 1853 2056 12.1% 20.8% 67.1% -4.3 24
2004-01-18 Siena W 4-2 2072 1869 67.0% 20.9% 12.1% +3.9 39
2004-01-18 @ Juventus L 2-4 1869 2072 12.1% 20.9% 67.0% -3.9 18
2004-01-24 Perugia W 2-1 1865 1815 49.0% 29.0% 21.9% +4.8 21
2004-01-24 @ Siena L 1-2 1815 1865 21.9% 29.0% 49.0% -4.8 10
2004-01-24 Reggina W 2-0 1848 1823 45.8% 29.9% 24.3% +10.5 27
2004-01-24 @ Sampdoria L 0-2 1823 1848 24.3% 29.9% 45.8% -10.5 17
2004-01-25 Ancona W 5-0 2051 1714 79.6% 13.2% 7.2% +6.0 42
2004-01-25 @ AC Milan L 0-5 1714 2051 7.2% 13.2% 79.6% -6.0 5
2004-01-25 Bologna D 0-0 1977 1841 59.7% 24.8% 15.5% -2.1 32
2004-01-25 @ Parma D 0-0 1841 1977 15.5% 24.8% 59.7% +2.1 21
2004-01-25 Brescia W 3-1 1895 1886 43.7% 30.3% 26.0% +9.6 25
2004-01-25 @ Chievo Verona L 1-3 1886 1895 26.0% 30.3% 43.7% -9.6 19
2004-01-25 Inter Milan D 1-1 1807 2015 18.2% 27.0% 54.8% +1.5 18
2004-01-25 @ Modena D 1-1 2015 1807 54.8% 27.0% 18.2% -1.5 32
2004-01-25 Juventus D 3-3 1781 2076 13.1% 22.1% 64.7% +1.4 13
2004-01-25 @ Empoli D 3-3 2076 1781 64.7% 22.1% 13.1% -1.4 40
2004-01-25 Lazio Roma L 0-1 1782 1968 19.9% 28.0% 52.1% -4.6 12
2004-01-25 @ Lecce W 1-0 1968 1782 52.1% 28.0% 19.9% +4.6 32
2004-01-25 Udinese D 1-1 2060 1916 60.6% 24.3% 15.1% -1.9 43
2004-01-25 @ Roma D 1-1 1916 2060 15.1% 24.3% 60.6% +2.0 27
2004-01-28 Siena W 2-1 2057 1870 65.3% 21.8% 12.8% +2.7 45
2004-01-28 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1870 2057 12.8% 21.8% 65.3% -2.7 21
2004-01-31 Empoli W 2-0 1812 1783 46.4% 29.8% 23.9% +10.3 20
2004-01-31 @ Reggina L 0-2 1783 1812 23.9% 29.8% 46.4% -10.3 13
2004-01-31 Roma W 1-0 1876 2058 20.2% 28.2% 51.6% +9.7 22
2004-01-31 @ Brescia L 0-1 2058 1876 51.6% 28.2% 20.2% -9.7 43
2004-02-01 AC Milan L 0-2 1843 2060 17.6% 26.6% 55.8% -7.7 21
2004-02-01 @ Bologna W 2-0 2060 1843 55.8% 26.6% 17.6% +7.7 48
2004-02-01 Chievo Verona W 1-0 2074 1905 63.4% 22.9% 13.7% +3.1 43
2004-02-01 @ Juventus L 0-1 1905 2074 13.7% 22.9% 63.4% -3.1 25
2004-02-01 Lecce L 0-2 1708 1777 32.6% 31.2% 36.2% -13.1 5
2004-02-01 @ Ancona W 2-0 1777 1708 36.2% 31.2% 32.6% +13.1 15
2004-02-01 Modena W 1-0 1918 1809 56.4% 26.3% 17.3% +4.0 30
2004-02-01 @ Udinese L 0-1 1809 1918 17.3% 26.3% 56.4% -4.0 18
2004-02-01 Parma D 2-2 1810 1975 21.7% 28.9% 49.4% +0.8 11
2004-02-01 @ Perugia D 2-2 1975 1810 49.4% 28.9% 21.7% -0.9 33
2004-02-01 Sampdoria D 1-1 1973 1859 57.0% 26.0% 16.9% -1.7 33
2004-02-01 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1859 1973 16.9% 26.0% 57.0% +1.7 28
2004-02-01 Siena W 4-0 2014 1867 60.9% 24.2% 14.9% +12.2 35
2004-02-01 @ Inter Milan L 0-4 1867 2014 14.9% 24.2% 60.9% -12.2 21
2004-02-07 Bologna L 1-3 1922 1835 53.7% 27.4% 18.9% -16.4 30
2004-02-07 @ Udinese W 3-1 1835 1922 18.9% 27.4% 53.7% +16.4 24
2004-02-07 Lecce L 2-3 1902 1790 56.7% 26.2% 17.1% -9.4 25
2004-02-07 @ Chievo Verona W 3-2 1790 1902 17.1% 26.2% 56.7% +9.4 18
2004-02-08 Ancona W 2-1 1805 1695 56.5% 26.3% 17.2% +3.8 21
2004-02-08 @ Modena L 1-2 1695 1805 17.2% 26.3% 56.5% -3.8 5
2004-02-08 Brescia D 0-0 1823 1886 33.4% 31.2% 35.4% +0.1 21
2004-02-08 @ Reggina D 0-0 1886 1823 35.4% 31.2% 33.4% -0.1 23
2004-02-08 Inter Milan D 2-2 1861 2026 21.6% 28.9% 49.4% +0.8 29
2004-02-08 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 2026 1861 49.4% 28.9% 21.6% -0.8 36
2004-02-08 Juventus W 4-0 2049 2077 38.4% 31.0% 30.6% +23.8 46
2004-02-08 @ Roma L 0-4 2077 2049 30.6% 31.0% 38.4% -23.8 43
2004-02-08 Lazio Roma L 0-3 1975 1971 42.8% 30.5% 26.7% -23.1 33
2004-02-08 @ Parma W 3-0 1971 1975 26.7% 30.5% 42.8% +23.1 36
2004-02-08 Perugia W 2-1 2067 1811 72.5% 17.6% 9.9% +1.9 51
2004-02-08 @ AC Milan L 1-2 1811 2067 9.9% 17.6% 72.5% -1.9 11
2004-02-08 Siena W 1-0 1772 1855 30.8% 31.1% 38.1% +7.8 16
2004-02-08 @ Empoli L 0-1 1855 1772 38.1% 31.1% 30.8% -7.8 21
2004-02-14 Chievo Verona L 0-2 1809 1892 30.7% 31.1% 38.3% -12.6 11
2004-02-14 @ Perugia W 2-0 1892 1809 38.3% 31.1% 30.7% +12.6 28
2004-02-14 Empoli W 3-0 1994 1780 68.2% 20.2% 11.6% +6.9 39
2004-02-14 @ Lazio Roma L 0-3 1780 1994 11.6% 20.2% 68.2% -6.9 16
2004-02-15 AC Milan D 1-1 1799 2069 14.4% 23.6% 62.0% +2.0 19
2004-02-15 @ Lecce D 1-1 2069 1799 62.0% 23.6% 14.4% -2.0 52
2004-02-15 Modena D 1-1 1851 1809 48.1% 29.3% 22.6% -1.0 25
2004-02-15 @ Bologna D 1-1 1809 1851 22.6% 29.3% 48.1% +1.0 22
2004-02-15 Parma L 1-2 1847 1951 28.1% 30.7% 41.2% -5.9 21
2004-02-15 @ Siena W 2-1 1951 1847 41.2% 30.7% 28.1% +5.9 36
2004-02-15 Reggina W 1-0 2054 1823 69.9% 19.2% 10.9% +2.3 46
2004-02-15 @ Juventus L 0-1 1823 2054 10.9% 19.2% 69.9% -2.3 21
2004-02-15 Roma D 0-0 1691 2072 9.4% 16.9% 73.7% +3.1 6
2004-02-15 @ Ancona D 0-0 2072 1691 73.7% 16.9% 9.4% -3.1 47
2004-02-15 Sampdoria D 1-1 1886 1861 45.7% 29.9% 24.4% -0.8 24
2004-02-15 @ Brescia D 1-1 1861 1886 24.4% 29.9% 45.7% +0.9 30
2004-02-15 Udinese L 1-2 2025 1906 57.7% 25.7% 16.6% -10.0 36
2004-02-15 @ Inter Milan W 2-1 1906 2025 16.6% 25.7% 57.7% +10.0 33
2004-02-21 Inter Milan W 3-2 2067 2015 49.3% 29.0% 21.7% +4.5 55
2004-02-21 @ AC Milan L 2-3 2015 2067 21.7% 29.0% 49.3% -4.5 36
2004-02-21 Parma L 1-2 1862 1957 29.2% 30.9% 39.9% -6.0 30
2004-02-21 @ Sampdoria W 2-1 1957 1862 39.9% 30.9% 29.2% +6.0 39
2004-02-22 Ancona W 3-0 1916 1694 69.0% 19.7% 11.3% +6.7 36
2004-02-22 @ Udinese L 0-3 1694 1916 11.3% 19.7% 69.0% -6.6 6
2004-02-22 Empoli D 1-1 1810 1773 47.2% 29.5% 23.2% -1.0 23
2004-02-22 @ Modena D 1-1 1773 1810 23.2% 29.5% 47.2% +1.0 17
2004-02-22 Juventus L 0-1 1850 2056 18.4% 27.1% 54.4% -4.3 25
2004-02-22 @ Bologna W 1-0 2056 1850 54.4% 27.1% 18.4% +4.3 49
2004-02-22 Lazio Roma D 0-0 1905 2001 29.0% 30.9% 40.1% +0.5 29
2004-02-22 @ Chievo Verona D 0-0 2001 1905 40.1% 30.9% 29.0% -0.5 40
2004-02-22 Lecce L 1-2 1885 1801 53.3% 27.6% 19.1% -9.4 24
2004-02-22 @ Brescia W 2-1 1801 1885 19.1% 27.6% 53.3% +9.4 22
2004-02-22 Perugia L 1-2 1820 1797 45.6% 29.9% 24.4% -8.4 21
2004-02-22 @ Reggina W 2-1 1797 1820 24.4% 29.9% 45.6% +8.4 14
2004-02-22 Siena W 6-0 2069 1841 69.7% 19.3% 11.0% +12.3 50
2004-02-22 @ Roma L 0-6 1841 2069 11.0% 19.3% 69.7% -12.3 21
2004-02-28 Reggina D 0-0 1829 1812 44.6% 30.1% 25.2% -0.9 22
2004-02-28 @ Siena D 0-0 1812 1829 25.2% 30.1% 44.6% +0.9 22
2004-02-28 Udinese W 2-0 1774 1922 23.3% 29.6% 47.1% +17.1 20
2004-02-28 @ Empoli L 0-2 1922 1774 47.1% 29.6% 23.3% -17.1 36
2004-02-29 AC Milan L 0-1 2001 2072 32.3% 31.1% 36.5% -6.9 40
2004-02-29 @ Lazio Roma W 1-0 2072 2001 36.5% 31.1% 32.3% +6.9 58
2004-02-29 Ancona W 3-0 2060 1687 82.4% 11.5% 6.2% +3.1 52
2004-02-29 @ Juventus L 0-3 1687 2060 6.2% 11.5% 82.4% -3.1 6
2004-02-29 Bologna W 4-2 1805 1846 36.6% 31.1% 32.3% +10.1 17
2004-02-29 @ Perugia L 2-4 1846 1805 32.3% 31.1% 36.6% -10.1 25
2004-02-29 Brescia L 1-3 2011 1876 59.5% 24.9% 15.6% -17.7 36
2004-02-29 @ Inter Milan W 3-1 1876 2011 15.6% 24.9% 59.5% +17.7 27
2004-02-29 Chievo Verona W 1-0 1856 1906 35.4% 31.2% 33.4% +7.1 33
2004-02-29 @ Sampdoria L 0-1 1906 1856 33.4% 31.2% 35.4% -7.1 29
2004-02-29 Modena W 1-0 1811 1809 42.6% 30.5% 26.8% +6.0 25
2004-02-29 @ Lecce L 0-1 1809 1811 26.8% 30.5% 42.6% -6.0 23
2004-02-29 Roma L 1-4 1963 2082 26.4% 30.4% 43.1% -13.7 39
2004-02-29 @ Parma W 4-1 2082 1963 43.1% 30.4% 26.4% +13.7 53
2004-03-06 Juventus L 2-3 1893 2063 21.3% 28.7% 50.0% -4.4 27
2004-03-06 @ Brescia W 3-2 2063 1893 50.0% 28.7% 21.3% +4.4 55
2004-03-06 Parma D 2-2 1803 1950 23.4% 29.6% 47.0% +0.7 24
2004-03-06 @ Modena D 2-2 1950 1803 47.0% 29.6% 23.4% -0.7 40
2004-03-07 Empoli D 0-0 1898 1791 56.2% 26.4% 17.4% -1.8 30
2004-03-07 @ Chievo Verona D 0-0 1791 1898 17.4% 26.4% 56.2% +1.8 21
2004-03-07 Inter Milan W 4-1 2095 1993 55.6% 26.7% 17.7% +9.5 56
2004-03-07 @ Roma L 1-4 1993 2095 17.7% 26.7% 55.6% -9.5 36
2004-03-07 Perugia D 1-1 1905 1815 54.1% 27.3% 18.6% -1.5 37
2004-03-07 @ Udinese D 1-1 1815 1905 18.6% 27.3% 54.1% +1.5 18
2004-03-07 Reggina D 1-1 1684 1813 25.3% 30.2% 44.5% +0.8 7
2004-03-07 @ Ancona D 1-1 1813 1684 44.5% 30.2% 25.3% -0.8 23
2004-03-07 Sampdoria W 3-1 2079 1863 68.3% 20.1% 11.6% +4.1 61
2004-03-07 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1863 2079 11.6% 20.1% 68.3% -4.1 33
2004-03-07 Siena D 0-0 1817 1828 40.8% 30.8% 28.4% -0.5 26
2004-03-07 @ Lecce D 0-0 1828 1817 28.4% 30.8% 40.8% +0.5 23
2004-03-13 Bologna W 3-2 1859 1836 45.5% 30.0% 24.5% +5.0 36
2004-03-13 @ Sampdoria L 2-3 1836 1859 24.5% 30.0% 45.5% -5.0 25
2004-03-13 Lecce D 0-0 1793 1816 39.1% 31.0% 29.9% -0.4 22
2004-03-13 @ Empoli D 0-0 1816 1793 29.9% 31.0% 39.1% +0.4 27
2004-03-14 AC Milan L 1-3 2068 2083 40.3% 30.9% 28.9% -13.2 55
2004-03-14 @ Juventus W 3-1 2083 2068 28.9% 30.9% 40.3% +13.2 64
2004-03-14 Ancona W 3-2 1829 1685 60.5% 24.4% 15.1% +3.1 26
2004-03-14 @ Siena L 2-3 1685 1829 15.1% 24.4% 60.5% -3.1 7
2004-03-14 Brescia D 2-2 1949 1889 50.3% 28.6% 21.0% -0.9 41
2004-03-14 @ Parma D 2-2 1889 1949 21.0% 28.6% 50.3% +0.9 28
2004-03-14 Chievo Verona D 0-0 1984 1897 53.7% 27.4% 18.9% -1.6 37
2004-03-14 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1897 1984 18.9% 27.4% 53.7% +1.6 31
2004-03-14 Modena D 1-1 1816 1803 44.1% 30.2% 25.6% -0.7 19
2004-03-14 @ Perugia D 1-1 1803 1816 25.6% 30.2% 44.1% +0.7 25
2004-03-14 Roma D 0-0 1812 2105 13.2% 22.2% 64.6% +2.5 24
2004-03-14 @ Reggina D 0-0 2105 1812 64.6% 22.2% 13.2% -2.5 57
2004-03-14 Udinese D 2-2 1994 1904 54.1% 27.3% 18.6% -1.1 41
2004-03-14 @ Lazio Roma D 2-2 1904 1994 18.6% 27.3% 54.1% +1.1 38
2004-03-20 Juventus D 0-0 1905 2054 23.1% 29.5% 47.4% +1.1 39
2004-03-20 @ Udinese D 0-0 2054 1905 47.4% 29.5% 23.1% -1.1 56
2004-03-20 Parma W 3-1 2096 1948 61.0% 24.1% 14.9% +5.6 67
2004-03-20 @ AC Milan L 1-3 1948 2096 14.9% 24.1% 61.0% -5.6 41
2004-03-21 Brescia W 3-0 1831 1890 34.1% 31.2% 34.8% +19.9 28
2004-03-21 @ Bologna L 0-3 1890 1831 34.8% 31.2% 34.1% -19.9 28
2004-03-21 Inter Milan L 0-2 1682 1982 12.8% 21.8% 65.4% -5.4 7
2004-03-21 @ Ancona W 2-0 1982 1682 65.4% 21.8% 12.8% +5.4 40
2004-03-21 Perugia L 1-2 1817 1816 42.5% 30.5% 27.0% -7.9 27
2004-03-21 @ Lecce W 2-1 1816 1817 27.0% 30.5% 42.5% +7.9 22
2004-03-21 Reggina L 1-2 1804 1815 40.9% 30.8% 28.3% -7.7 25
2004-03-21 @ Modena W 2-1 1815 1804 28.3% 30.8% 40.9% +7.7 27
2004-03-21 Sampdoria D 1-1 1793 1864 32.3% 31.1% 36.5% +0.2 23
2004-03-21 @ Empoli D 1-1 1864 1793 36.5% 31.1% 32.3% -0.2 37
2004-03-21 Siena D 1-1 1898 1832 51.2% 28.4% 20.5% -1.3 32
2004-03-21 @ Chievo Verona D 1-1 1832 1898 20.5% 28.4% 51.2% +1.3 27
2004-03-25 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1851 1993 23.9% 29.8% 46.3% +8.4 31
2004-03-25 @ Bologna L 1-2 1993 1851 46.3% 29.8% 23.9% -8.5 41
2004-03-28 Ancona W 5-2 1870 1677 66.0% 21.4% 12.6% +5.5 31
2004-03-28 @ Brescia L 2-5 1677 1870 12.6% 21.4% 66.0% -5.5 7
2004-03-28 Bologna L 1-2 2103 1859 71.2% 18.4% 10.4% -11.6 57
2004-03-28 @ Roma W 2-1 1859 2103 10.4% 18.4% 71.2% +11.6 34
2004-03-28 Chievo Verona D 2-2 2101 1897 67.2% 20.8% 12.0% -1.8 68
2004-03-28 @ AC Milan D 2-2 1897 2101 12.0% 20.8% 67.2% +1.8 33
2004-03-28 Empoli W 4-0 1942 1793 61.1% 24.1% 14.8% +12.1 44
2004-03-28 @ Parma L 0-4 1793 1942 14.8% 24.1% 61.1% -12.1 23
2004-03-28 Inter Milan L 0-2 1822 1987 21.7% 28.9% 49.3% -9.5 27
2004-03-28 @ Reggina W 2-0 1987 1822 49.3% 28.9% 21.7% +9.5 43
2004-03-28 Lazio Roma L 1-2 1824 1984 22.1% 29.1% 48.8% -4.8 22
2004-03-28 @ Perugia W 2-1 1984 1824 48.8% 29.1% 22.1% +4.8 44
2004-03-28 Lecce D 2-2 1864 1809 49.7% 28.8% 21.5% -0.9 38
2004-03-28 @ Sampdoria D 2-2 1809 1864 21.5% 28.8% 49.7% +0.9 28
2004-03-28 Modena W 3-1 2053 1796 72.5% 17.6% 9.9% +3.3 59
2004-03-28 @ Juventus L 1-3 1796 2053 9.9% 17.6% 72.5% -3.3 25
2004-03-28 Udinese W 1-0 1833 1906 32.1% 31.1% 36.8% +7.6 30
2004-03-28 @ Siena L 0-1 1906 1833 36.8% 31.1% 32.1% -7.6 39
2004-04-04 AC Milan D 1-1 1793 2100 12.5% 21.4% 66.1% +2.3 26
2004-04-04 @ Modena D 1-1 2100 1793 66.1% 21.4% 12.5% -2.3 69
2004-04-04 Brescia W 4-3 1898 1875 45.5% 30.0% 24.6% +4.9 42
2004-04-04 @ Udinese L 3-4 1875 1898 24.6% 30.0% 45.5% -4.9 31
2004-04-04 Juventus W 3-2 1997 2057 33.9% 31.2% 34.9% +6.5 46
2004-04-04 @ Inter Milan L 2-3 2057 1997 34.9% 31.2% 33.9% -6.5 59
2004-04-04 Parma L 0-2 1899 1955 34.5% 31.2% 34.3% -13.6 33
2004-04-04 @ Chievo Verona W 2-0 1955 1899 34.3% 31.2% 34.5% +13.6 47
2004-04-04 Perugia W 1-0 1781 1819 37.0% 31.1% 31.8% +6.8 26
2004-04-04 @ Empoli L 0-1 1819 1781 31.8% 31.1% 37.0% -6.8 22
2004-04-04 Reggina D 2-2 1871 1813 50.1% 28.7% 21.2% -0.9 35
2004-04-04 @ Bologna D 2-2 1813 1871 21.2% 28.7% 50.1% +0.9 28
2004-04-04 Roma L 0-3 1810 2091 13.8% 22.9% 63.3% -8.5 28
2004-04-04 @ Lecce W 3-0 2091 1810 63.3% 22.9% 13.8% +8.5 60
2004-04-04 Sampdoria L 0-1 1671 1863 19.4% 27.8% 52.8% -4.5 7
2004-04-04 @ Ancona W 1-0 1863 1671 52.8% 27.8% 19.4% +4.5 41
2004-04-04 Siena W 5-2 1989 1840 61.1% 24.1% 14.8% +6.8 47
2004-04-04 @ Lazio Roma L 2-5 1840 1989 14.8% 24.1% 61.1% -6.8 30
2004-04-10 Bologna W 3-2 1667 1870 18.6% 27.2% 54.2% +9.0 10
2004-04-10 @ Ancona L 2-3 1870 1667 54.2% 27.2% 18.6% -9.0 35
2004-04-10 Chievo Verona W 3-1 2099 1885 68.2% 20.2% 11.6% +4.1 63
2004-04-10 @ Roma L 1-3 1885 2099 11.6% 20.2% 68.2% -4.1 33
2004-04-10 Empoli W 1-0 2097 1788 77.3% 14.6% 8.0% +1.6 72
2004-04-10 @ AC Milan L 0-1 1788 2097 8.0% 14.6% 77.3% -1.6 26
2004-04-10 Lazio Roma W 1-0 2050 1996 49.6% 28.9% 21.5% +5.0 62
2004-04-10 @ Juventus L 0-1 1996 2050 21.5% 28.9% 49.6% -5.0 47
2004-04-10 Lecce W 3-1 1968 1801 63.1% 23.0% 13.9% +5.1 50
2004-04-10 @ Parma L 1-3 1801 1968 13.9% 23.0% 63.1% -5.1 28
2004-04-10 Modena D 0-0 1870 1795 52.2% 28.0% 19.8% -1.5 32
2004-04-10 @ Brescia D 0-0 1795 1870 19.8% 28.0% 52.2% +1.5 27
2004-04-10 Sampdoria D 0-0 1834 1868 37.6% 31.1% 31.3% -0.3 31
2004-04-10 @ Siena D 0-0 1868 1834 31.3% 31.1% 37.6% +0.3 42
2004-04-10 Udinese L 0-1 1814 1903 29.9% 31.0% 39.1% -6.5 28
2004-04-10 @ Reggina W 1-0 1903 1814 39.1% 31.0% 29.9% +6.5 45
2004-04-11 Inter Milan L 2-3 1812 2003 19.5% 27.8% 52.7% -4.1 22
2004-04-11 @ Perugia W 3-2 2003 1812 52.7% 27.8% 19.5% +4.1 49
2004-04-17 AC Milan L 1-2 1833 2099 14.6% 23.9% 61.5% -3.1 31
2004-04-17 @ Siena W 2-1 2099 1833 61.5% 23.9% 14.6% +3.1 75
2004-04-17 Udinese W 2-1 1796 1910 27.0% 30.6% 42.5% +7.9 31
2004-04-17 @ Lecce L 1-2 1910 1796 42.5% 30.6% 27.0% -7.9 45
2004-04-18 Ancona W 4-2 1991 1676 77.8% 14.3% 7.8% +2.2 50
2004-04-18 @ Lazio Roma L 2-4 1676 1991 7.8% 14.3% 77.8% -2.2 10
2004-04-18 Bologna W 4-2 2007 1861 60.8% 24.2% 15.0% +5.0 52
2004-04-18 @ Inter Milan L 2-4 1861 2007 15.0% 24.2% 60.8% -5.0 35
2004-04-18 Brescia D 1-1 1786 1869 30.8% 31.1% 38.2% +0.3 27
2004-04-18 @ Empoli D 1-1 1869 1786 38.2% 31.1% 30.8% -0.3 33
2004-04-18 Juventus D 2-2 1973 2055 30.9% 31.1% 38.1% +0.2 51
2004-04-18 @ Parma D 2-2 2055 1973 38.1% 31.1% 30.9% -0.2 63
2004-04-18 Perugia W 3-2 1868 1808 50.3% 28.6% 21.0% +4.4 45
2004-04-18 @ Sampdoria L 2-3 1808 1868 21.0% 28.6% 50.3% -4.4 22
2004-04-18 Reggina D 0-0 1881 1807 52.1% 28.0% 19.9% -1.5 34
2004-04-18 @ Chievo Verona D 0-0 1807 1881 19.9% 28.0% 52.1% +1.5 29
2004-04-18 Roma L 0-1 1797 2104 12.5% 21.4% 66.1% -2.8 27
2004-04-18 @ Modena W 1-0 2104 1797 66.1% 21.4% 12.5% +2.8 66
2004-04-21 Roma D 1-1 1993 2106 27.0% 30.6% 42.4% +0.6 51
2004-04-21 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 2106 1993 42.4% 30.6% 27.0% -0.6 67
2004-04-25 AC Milan D 0-0 1902 2102 18.8% 27.4% 53.8% +1.6 46
2004-04-25 @ Udinese D 0-0 2102 1902 53.8% 27.4% 18.8% -1.6 76
2004-04-25 Chievo Verona L 0-2 1673 1880 18.4% 27.1% 54.5% -8.1 10
2004-04-25 @ Ancona W 2-0 1880 1673 54.5% 27.1% 18.4% +8.1 37
2004-04-25 Empoli W 3-0 2106 1786 78.2% 14.1% 7.7% +4.1 70
2004-04-25 @ Roma L 0-3 1786 2106 7.7% 14.1% 78.2% -4.1 27
2004-04-25 Lazio Roma D 0-0 2012 1994 44.9% 30.1% 25.0% -0.9 53
2004-04-25 @ Inter Milan D 0-0 1994 2012 25.0% 30.1% 44.9% +0.9 52
2004-04-25 Lecce L 3-4 2055 1804 71.9% 18.0% 10.1% -10.8 63
2004-04-25 @ Juventus W 4-3 1804 2055 10.1% 18.0% 71.9% +10.8 34
2004-04-25 Parma D 1-1 1809 1973 21.7% 29.0% 49.3% +1.1 30
2004-04-25 @ Reggina D 1-1 1973 1809 49.3% 29.0% 21.7% -1.1 52
2004-04-25 Perugia D 1-1 1869 1804 51.0% 28.4% 20.6% -1.3 34
2004-04-25 @ Brescia D 1-1 1804 1869 20.6% 28.4% 51.0% +1.2 23
2004-04-25 Sampdoria W 1-0 1794 1872 31.4% 31.1% 37.5% +7.7 30
2004-04-25 @ Modena L 0-1 1872 1794 37.5% 31.1% 31.4% -7.7 45
2004-04-25 Siena W 3-1 1856 1830 45.8% 29.9% 24.3% +9.1 38
2004-04-25 @ Bologna L 1-3 1830 1856 24.3% 29.9% 45.8% -9.1 31
2004-05-02 Ancona W 3-1 1972 1665 77.1% 14.8% 8.1% +2.6 55
2004-05-02 @ Parma L 1-3 1665 1972 8.1% 14.8% 77.1% -2.6 10
2004-05-02 Bologna W 2-0 1782 1865 30.8% 31.1% 38.2% +14.6 30
2004-05-02 @ Empoli L 0-2 1865 1782 38.2% 31.1% 30.8% -14.6 38
2004-05-02 Brescia L 0-1 1821 1867 35.9% 31.2% 33.0% -7.4 31
2004-05-02 @ Siena W 1-0 1867 1821 33.0% 31.2% 35.9% +7.4 37
2004-05-02 Inter Milan W 2-1 1815 2011 19.1% 27.6% 53.4% +9.4 37
2004-05-02 @ Lecce L 1-2 2011 1815 53.4% 27.6% 19.1% -9.4 53
2004-05-02 Juventus W 1-0 1805 2044 16.1% 25.4% 58.5% +10.7 26
2004-05-02 @ Perugia L 0-1 2044 1805 58.5% 25.4% 16.1% -10.7 63
2004-05-02 Modena W 2-0 1888 1802 53.6% 27.5% 18.9% +8.3 40
2004-05-02 @ Chievo Verona L 0-2 1802 1888 18.9% 27.5% 53.6% -8.3 30
2004-05-02 Reggina D 1-1 1995 1810 65.1% 22.0% 13.0% -2.2 53
2004-05-02 @ Lazio Roma D 1-1 1810 1995 13.0% 22.0% 65.1% +2.2 31
2004-05-02 Roma W 1-0 2100 2110 41.1% 30.8% 28.2% +6.2 79
2004-05-02 @ AC Milan L 0-1 2110 2100 28.2% 30.8% 41.1% -6.2 70
2004-05-02 Udinese L 1-3 1865 1903 36.9% 31.1% 31.9% -12.4 45
2004-05-02 @ Sampdoria W 3-1 1903 1865 31.9% 31.1% 36.9% +12.4 49
2004-05-09 AC Milan W 2-1 1812 2107 13.1% 22.1% 64.8% +10.9 34
2004-05-09 @ Reggina L 1-2 2107 1812 64.8% 22.1% 13.1% -10.9 79
2004-05-09 Chievo Verona D 1-1 1916 1896 45.1% 30.1% 24.9% -0.8 50
2004-05-09 @ Udinese D 1-1 1896 1916 24.9% 30.1% 45.1% +0.8 41
2004-05-09 Empoli W 2-1 1663 1797 24.7% 30.0% 45.3% +8.3 13
2004-05-09 @ Ancona L 1-2 1797 1663 45.3% 30.0% 24.7% -8.3 30
2004-05-09 Lazio Roma W 2-1 1875 1992 26.5% 30.4% 43.0% +8.0 40
2004-05-09 @ Brescia L 1-2 1992 1875 43.0% 30.4% 26.5% -8.0 53
2004-05-09 Lecce D 1-1 1850 1824 45.9% 29.9% 24.2% -0.9 39
2004-05-09 @ Bologna D 1-1 1824 1850 24.2% 29.9% 45.9% +0.9 38
2004-05-09 Parma W 1-0 2002 1975 46.0% 29.8% 24.1% +5.5 56
2004-05-09 @ Inter Milan L 0-1 1975 2002 24.1% 29.8% 46.0% -5.5 55
2004-05-09 Perugia L 1-3 2104 1816 75.4% 15.8% 8.7% -20.7 70
2004-05-09 @ Roma W 3-1 1816 2104 8.7% 15.8% 75.4% +20.7 29
2004-05-09 Sampdoria W 2-0 2033 1852 64.7% 22.2% 13.1% +5.5 66
2004-05-09 @ Juventus L 0-2 1852 2033 13.1% 22.2% 64.7% -5.5 45
2004-05-09 Siena L 1-3 1794 1814 39.5% 30.9% 29.5% -13.0 30
2004-05-09 @ Modena W 3-1 1814 1794 29.5% 30.9% 39.5% +13.0 34
2004-05-16 Ancona W 1-0 1836 1671 62.9% 23.1% 13.9% +3.2 32
2004-05-16 @ Perugia L 0-1 1671 1836 13.9% 23.1% 62.9% -3.2 13
2004-05-16 Bologna W 2-1 1897 1850 48.7% 29.1% 22.2% +4.8 44
2004-05-16 @ Chievo Verona L 1-2 1850 1897 22.2% 29.1% 48.7% -4.8 39
2004-05-16 Brescia W 4-2 2096 1883 68.1% 20.2% 11.7% +3.7 82
2004-05-16 @ AC Milan L 2-4 1883 2096 11.7% 20.2% 68.1% -3.7 40
2004-05-16 Inter Milan L 2-3 1789 2008 17.5% 26.5% 56.1% -3.6 30
2004-05-16 @ Empoli W 3-2 2008 1789 56.1% 26.5% 17.5% +3.6 59
2004-05-16 Juventus L 1-3 1827 2039 17.9% 26.8% 55.3% -6.8 34
2004-05-16 @ Siena W 3-1 2039 1827 55.3% 26.8% 17.9% +6.8 69
2004-05-16 Modena W 2-1 1984 1780 67.1% 20.8% 12.1% +2.5 56
2004-05-16 @ Lazio Roma L 1-2 1780 1984 12.1% 20.8% 67.1% -2.5 30
2004-05-16 Reggina W 2-1 1825 1823 42.6% 30.5% 26.8% +5.7 41
2004-05-16 @ Lecce L 1-2 1823 1825 26.8% 30.5% 42.6% -5.7 34
2004-05-16 Roma D 0-0 1847 2083 16.3% 25.5% 58.1% +2.0 46
2004-05-16 @ Sampdoria D 0-0 2083 1847 58.1% 25.5% 16.3% -2.0 71
2004-05-16 Udinese W 4-3 1969 1915 49.6% 28.9% 21.5% +4.4 58
2004-05-16 @ Parma L 3-4 1915 1969 21.5% 28.9% 49.6% -4.4 50

Playoff Game Log

Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.

Date Opponent Score Pre Elo Opp Elo Win % Tie % Loss % Elo Δ Record
2004-06-16 Fiorentina L 0-1 1839 1734 56.0% 26.5% 17.5% -10.4 0-1
2004-06-16 @ Perugia W 1-0 1734 1839 17.5% 26.5% 56.0% +10.4 1-0
2004-06-20 Perugia D 1-1 1744 1829 30.5% 31.0% 38.5% +0.3 1-0-1
2004-06-20 @ Fiorentina D 1-1 1829 1744 38.5% 31.0% 30.5% -0.3 0-1-1

Biggest Upsets

The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.

# Date Underdog Win % Winning Team Losing Team
Team Elo Score Team Elo Score
1 2004-05-09 8.74% Perugia 1816 3 @ Roma 2104 1
2 2004-01-18 9.80% Empoli 1769 1 @ Inter Milan 2028 0
3 2004-04-25 10.10% Lecce 1804 4 @ Juventus 2055 3
4 2004-03-28 10.40% Bologna 1859 2 @ Roma 2103 1
5 2004-05-09 13.09% @ Reggina 1812 2 AC Milan 2107 1
6 2003-12-20 14.81% Reggina 1824 2 @ Parma 1973 1
7 2004-02-29 15.61% Brescia 1876 3 @ Inter Milan 2011 1
8 2003-12-21 16.06% Udinese 1915 2 @ AC Milan 2043 1
9 2004-05-02 16.13% @ Perugia 1805 1 Juventus 2044 0
10 2004-02-15 16.57% Udinese 1906 2 @ Inter Milan 2025 1
11 2004-02-07 17.09% Lecce 1790 3 @ Chievo Verona 1902 2
12 2003-11-23 17.40% @ Empoli 1770 1 Parma 1990 0
13 2004-06-16 * 17.50% Fiorentina 1734 1 @ Perugia 1839 0
14 2004-01-11 17.97% Brescia 1881 1 @ Lazio Roma 1980 0
15 2004-04-10 18.56% @ Ancona 1667 3 Bologna 1870 2
16 2004-02-07 18.86% Bologna 1835 3 @ Udinese 1922 1
17 2004-05-02 19.07% @ Lecce 1815 2 Inter Milan 2011 1
18 2004-02-22 19.12% Lecce 1801 2 @ Brescia 1885 1
19 2004-01-06 19.51% Sampdoria 1847 1 @ Udinese 1925 0
20 2004-01-18 19.92% Lecce 1766 3 @ Reggina 1839 1
21 2004-01-31 20.22% @ Brescia 1876 1 Roma 2058 0
22 2003-11-29 20.25% Inter Milan 2012 3 @ Juventus 2082 1
23 2004-01-06 22.75% @ Reggina 1835 2 Lazio Roma 1988 1
24 2004-02-28 23.32% @ Empoli 1774 2 Udinese 1922 0
25 2003-11-29 23.35% @ Siena 1840 3 Lazio Roma 1987 0

Biggest Elo Changes

The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.

# Date Elo Δ Winning Team Losing Team Tie %
Team Score Elo Win % Team Score Elo Win %
1 2003-11-29 24.85 @ Siena 3 1840 23.35% Lazio Roma 0 1987 47.07% 29.59%
2 2004-02-08 23.77 @ Roma 4 2049 38.36% Juventus 0 2077 30.60% 31.04%
3 2003-09-20 23.38 @ Siena 4 1820 39.12% Empoli 0 1843 29.90% 30.97%
4 2004-02-08 23.13 Lazio Roma 3 1971 26.70% @ Parma 0 1975 42.81% 30.49%
5 2003-10-05 22.04 Modena 3 1837 29.04% @ Empoli 0 1821 40.08% 30.88%
6 2003-09-14 21.27 @ Roma 5 1959 50.79% Brescia 0 1895 20.72% 28.49%
7 2004-05-09 20.73 Perugia 3 1816 8.74% @ Roma 1 2104 75.44% 15.82%
8 2004-01-06 20.65 Chievo Verona 3 1888 32.24% @ Modena 0 1847 36.61% 31.14%
9 2004-01-11 20.08 @ Siena 4 1849 45.40% Modena 0 1826 24.61% 29.99%
10 2004-03-21 19.91 @ Bologna 3 1831 34.06% Brescia 0 1890 34.75% 31.19%
11 2003-11-22 17.92 @ Inter Milan 6 1994 60.86% Reggina 0 1847 14.94% 24.21%
12 2004-02-29 17.70 Brescia 3 1876 15.61% @ Inter Milan 1 2011 59.51% 24.88%
13 2003-12-14 17.53 @ Juventus 4 2050 50.25% Parma 0 1991 21.08% 28.66%
14 2004-02-28 17.12 @ Empoli 2 1774 23.32% Udinese 0 1922 47.11% 29.58%
15 2003-11-23 16.92 Roma 4 2017 51.44% @ Bologna 0 1835 20.30% 28.27%
16 2003-10-05 16.57 Brescia 4 1867 34.71% @ Lecce 1 1808 34.10% 31.19%
17 2004-02-07 16.39 Bologna 3 1835 18.86% @ Udinese 1 1922 53.71% 27.43%
18 2003-10-05 16.27 Udinese 3 1891 43.17% @ Ancona 0 1773 26.40% 30.43%
19 2004-01-18 16.00 Lecce 3 1766 19.92% @ Reggina 1 1839 52.01% 28.07%
20 2003-11-29 15.87 Inter Milan 3 2012 20.25% @ Juventus 1 2082 51.51% 28.24%
21 2003-12-06 15.45 @ Lazio Roma 2 1962 28.17% Juventus 0 2066 41.08% 30.75%
22 2003-12-07 15.25 Roma 3 2037 45.68% @ Chievo Verona 0 1900 24.39% 29.92%
23 2004-05-02 14.64 @ Empoli 2 1782 30.78% Bologna 0 1865 38.16% 31.05%
24 2003-11-02 13.96 Inter Milan 2 1974 33.14% @ Chievo Verona 0 1927 35.68% 31.18%
25 2004-02-29 13.73 Roma 4 2082 43.15% @ Parma 1 1963 26.42% 30.43%