2026 Besta deild karla Season
94 games played · 12 teams
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
Vikingur Reykjavik
99.54% chance to win the title
Biggest Overachiever
Vikingur Reykjavik
8.99 points above expected
43 points · 34.01 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Stjarnan
6.43 points below expected
15 points · 21.43 expected points
League Table
Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 43 | 54 | 12 | +42 | 34.01 | +8.99 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 58 | 36 | +22 | 28.41 | +6.59 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 41 | 28 | +13 | 25.34 | +8.66 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 34 | 26 | +8 | 25.63 | +0.37 |
| 5 | Keflavik IF | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 17.77 | +1.23 |
| 6 | Valur Reykjavik | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 23.64 | -4.64 |
| 7 | IA Akranes | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 20.07 | -2.07 |
| 8 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 18.06 | -2.06 |
| 9 | Stjarnan | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 21.43 | -6.43 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 17.52 | -3.52 |
| 11 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 17.44 | -4.44 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | -25 | 13.11 | -2.11 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Exp. Pts. Rem. | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 1793 | 43 | 56.89 | 13.89 | 46 | 52 | 55 | 57 | 59 | 61 | 61 |
| KR Reykjavik | 1628 | 35 | 45.42 | 10.42 | 35 | 40 | 43 | 45 | 48 | 51 | 53 |
| Breidablik | 1570 | 26 | 39.21 | 13.21 | 27 | 34 | 37 | 39 | 42 | 44 | 47 |
| Fram Reykjavik | 1555 | 34 | 42.94 | 8.94 | 34 | 38 | 41 | 43 | 45 | 48 | 52 |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1434 | 16 | 25.01 | 9.01 | 16 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 31 | 37 |
| Valur Reykjavik | 1403 | 19 | 26.31 | 7.31 | 19 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 31 | 37 |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1401 | 13 | 20.11 | 7.11 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 20 | 22 | 25 | 31 |
| IA Akranes | 1396 | 18 | 25.00 | 7.00 | 18 | 20 | 23 | 25 | 27 | 30 | 36 |
| KA Akureyri | 1388 | 14 | 22.17 | 8.17 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 35 |
| Keflavik IF | 1386 | 19 | 27.68 | 8.68 | 19 | 22 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 33 | 37 |
| Stjarnan | 1355 | 15 | 21.84 | 6.84 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 27 | 33 |
| Thor Akureyri | 1257 | 11 | 16.60 | 5.60 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 22 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
Beat expectations
Fell short
Within expectations
| Team | BRE | FH | FR | IA | IV | KA | KR | KI | STJ | TA | VR | VR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breidablik | — |
0-2-0
4.07
|
0-0-1
1.44
|
2-0-0
3.67
|
1-0-0
1.98
|
1-0-0
2.09
|
1-0-0
1.35
|
1-1-0
3.98
|
0-1-0
1.71
|
1-0-0
1.99
|
0-0-1
1.50
|
0-1-1
1.84
|
| FH Hafnarfjordur |
0-2-0
1.52
|
— |
0-1-1
1.94
|
0-0-1
1.38
|
0-2-0
2.46
|
0-0-1
1.40
|
0-0-1
0.79
|
1-0-0
1.13
|
0-1-1
2.21
|
0-1-0
1.96
|
1-0-1
2.22
|
0-0-1
0.44
|
| Fram Reykjavik |
1-0-0
1.34
|
1-1-0
3.65
|
— |
1-1-0
3.08
|
1-0-0
1.75
|
1-0-0
1.69
|
0-1-0
0.85
|
1-1-0
3.57
|
1-0-0
1.45
|
1-0-1
3.86
|
2-0-0
3.25
|
0-0-1
0.84
|
| IA Akranes |
0-0-2
1.90
|
1-0-0
1.41
|
0-1-1
2.49
|
— |
0-1-0
1.91
|
0-1-1
2.94
|
0-0-1
0.72
|
0-0-2
2.96
|
2-0-0
2.21
|
1-0-0
1.46
|
1-0-0
1.35
|
0-0-1
0.71
|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
0-0-1
0.82
|
0-2-0
3.11
|
0-0-1
1.04
|
0-1-0
0.88
|
— |
0-1-1
2.74
|
0-0-2
2.16
|
1-0-0
1.10
|
1-0-0
1.51
|
1-0-0
1.66
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
0-0-1
0.52
|
| KA Akureyri |
0-0-1
0.70
|
1-0-0
1.38
|
0-0-1
1.10
|
1-1-0
2.63
|
1-1-0
2.84
|
— |
0-0-1
0.69
|
0-0-1
1.68
|
0-0-2
2.49
|
1-0-0
1.28
|
0-0-1
1.32
|
0-0-2
1.40
|
| KR Reykjavik |
0-0-1
1.44
|
1-0-0
2.00
|
0-1-0
1.94
|
1-0-0
2.07
|
2-0-0
3.42
|
1-0-0
2.10
|
— |
1-0-1
3.85
|
2-0-0
3.81
|
1-1-0
4.08
|
2-0-0
2.92
|
0-0-1
0.78
|
| Keflavik IF |
0-1-1
1.61
|
0-0-1
1.66
|
0-1-1
2.00
|
2-0-0
2.61
|
0-0-1
1.69
|
1-0-0
1.10
|
1-0-1
1.73
|
— |
0-1-0
1.48
|
1-0-0
1.97
|
0-1-0
0.79
|
0-0-2
1.12
|
| Stjarnan |
0-1-0
1.07
|
1-1-0
3.37
|
0-0-1
1.33
|
0-0-2
3.36
|
0-0-1
1.28
|
2-0-0
3.08
|
0-0-2
1.77
|
0-1-0
1.30
|
— |
1-0-0
1.68
|
0-0-1
1.50
|
0-0-2
1.68
|
| Thor Akureyri |
0-0-1
0.80
|
0-1-0
0.83
|
1-0-1
1.74
|
0-0-1
1.33
|
0-0-1
1.12
|
0-0-1
1.50
|
0-1-1
1.52
|
0-0-1
0.82
|
0-0-1
1.11
|
— |
1-0-1
1.63
|
1-0-1
0.70
|
| Valur Reykjavik |
1-0-0
1.29
|
1-0-1
3.36
|
0-0-2
2.32
|
0-0-1
1.44
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
1-0-0
1.47
|
0-0-2
2.65
|
0-1-0
2.00
|
1-0-0
1.29
|
1-0-1
3.95
|
— |
0-0-1
0.85
|
| Vikingur Reykjavik |
1-1-0
3.74
|
1-0-0
2.38
|
1-0-0
1.95
|
1-0-0
2.09
|
1-0-0
2.29
|
2-0-0
4.23
|
1-0-0
2.02
|
2-0-0
4.51
|
2-0-0
3.91
|
1-0-1
4.96
|
1-0-0
1.94
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.89 | +7.4 |
| Allowed | 0.51 | -9.5 |
| Differential | 0.94 | +5.5 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.19% | 4.79% | 3.19% | 0.53% | 1.06% | 2.13% | 14.89% |
| 1 | 4.79% | 8.51% | 6.38% | 4.26% | 1.60% | 3.19% | 28.72% |
| 2 | 3.19% | 6.38% | 4.26% | 5.85% | 1.60% | 2.13% | 23.40% |
| 3 | 0.53% | 4.26% | 5.85% | 3.19% | 1.60% | 1.60% | 17.02% |
| 4 | 1.06% | 1.60% | 1.60% | 1.60% | 1.06% | — | 6.91% |
| 5+ | 2.13% | 3.19% | 2.13% | 1.60% | — | — | 9.04% |
| Total | 14.89% | 28.72% | 23.40% | 17.02% | 6.91% | 9.04% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.02 | 2.02 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.53 | 1.53 | 2.21 |
| CV | 0.76 | 0.76 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 94
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | 6.67% | — | 20.00% |
| 2 | — | 20.00% | — | 6.67% | — | — | 26.67% |
| 3 | — | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | 6.67% | — | — | — | 6.67% | — | 13.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 6.67% | — | — | 6.67% |
| Total | 26.67% | 33.33% | — | 20.00% | 20.00% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.27 | 1.73 | +0.53 |
| SD | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.68 |
| CV | 0.72 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 6 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | 31.25% |
| 1 | — | 18.75% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 2 | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 31.25% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 12.50% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 18.75% | 31.25% | 12.50% | 18.75% | 12.50% | 6.25% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.25 | 1.94 | -0.69 |
| SD | 1.06 | 1.57 | 1.62 |
| CV | 0.85 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% | 18.75% |
| 1 | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 2 | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 3 | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | — | 25.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 18.75% | — | — | 18.75% |
| 5+ | — | 12.50% | — | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| Total | 18.75% | 31.25% | 18.75% | 25.00% | — | 6.25% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.56 | 1.75 | +0.81 |
| SD | 1.82 | 1.39 | 2.17 |
| CV | 0.71 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 6 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | 18.75% |
| 1 | 12.50% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 31.25% |
| 2 | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | 31.25% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | 12.50% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| Total | 12.50% | 31.25% | 18.75% | 18.75% | 6.25% | 12.50% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 2.12 | -0.50 |
| SD | 1.31 | 1.59 | 1.93 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.75 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 13.33% | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 13.33% | 13.33% | — | — | 6.67% | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | — | 13.33% | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| 5+ | — | 6.67% | — | — | — | — | 6.67% |
| Total | 6.67% | 33.33% | 40.00% | — | — | 20.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.73 | 2.20 | -0.47 |
| SD | 1.53 | 1.74 | 2.45 |
| CV | 0.88 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | — | — | — | 13.33% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 13.33% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | — | 6.67% | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 13.33% | 20.00% | 26.67% | 26.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.60 | 2.13 | -0.53 |
| SD | 0.99 | 1.41 | 1.30 |
| CV | 0.62 | 0.66 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 3 | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | 31.25% |
| 4 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 5+ | 6.25% | — | 18.75% | 12.50% | — | — | 37.50% |
| Total | 6.25% | 12.50% | 50.00% | 25.00% | — | 6.25% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.62 | 2.25 | +1.38 |
| SD | 1.54 | 1.29 | 2.16 |
| CV | 0.43 | 0.57 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| 1 | 6.25% | 18.75% | 12.50% | 12.50% | — | 12.50% | 62.50% |
| 2 | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | — | 12.50% |
| 3 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% |
| Total | 12.50% | 31.25% | 25.00% | 18.75% | — | 12.50% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.56 | 2.06 | -0.50 |
| SD | 1.21 | 1.65 | 2.07 |
| CV | 0.77 | 0.80 | — |
| Max | 5 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% |
| 1 | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | 31.25% |
| 2 | — | — | 6.25% | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | 25.00% |
| 3 | — | 12.50% | 12.50% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | 6.25% | — | 6.25% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 25.00% | 31.25% | 18.75% | 12.50% | 12.50% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.81 | 2.56 | -0.75 |
| SD | 1.17 | 1.36 | 1.91 |
| CV | 0.64 | 0.53 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 1 | -5 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 13.33% | — | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | 26.67% |
| 1 | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 6.67% | 40.00% |
| 2 | — | 13.33% | — | — | 6.67% | 6.67% | 26.67% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 6.67% | — | — | 6.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 6.67% | 33.33% | 6.67% | 13.33% | 20.00% | 20.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.13 | 2.80 | -1.67 |
| SD | 0.92 | 1.97 | 2.19 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.70 | — |
| Max | 3 | 6 | +1 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 15
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 12.50% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 18.75% |
| 1 | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 37.50% |
| 2 | — | 6.25% | — | 12.50% | — | — | 18.75% |
| 3 | 6.25% | — | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 4 | — | — | 12.50% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 12.50% | 25.00% | 31.25% | 18.75% | 6.25% | 6.25% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.62 | 2.00 | -0.38 |
| SD | 1.31 | 1.37 | 1.93 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.68 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 16
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 2 | 18.75% | — | — | — | — | — | 18.75% |
| 3 | — | 12.50% | 12.50% | — | — | — | 25.00% |
| 4 | 6.25% | 6.25% | — | — | — | — | 12.50% |
| 5+ | 18.75% | 12.50% | — | — | — | — | 31.25% |
| Total | 43.75% | 37.50% | 18.75% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.38 | 0.75 | +2.62 |
| SD | 1.54 | 0.77 | 1.93 |
| CV | 0.46 | 1.03 | — |
| Max | 6 | 2 | +6 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 16
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
No data available.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 43 | 34.01 | +8.99 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 34 | 25.34 | +8.66 |
| 3 | KR Reykjavik | 35 | 28.41 | +6.59 |
| 4 | Keflavik IF | 19 | 17.77 | +1.23 |
| 5 | Breidablik | 26 | 25.63 | +0.37 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stjarnan | 15 | 21.43 | -6.43 |
| 2 | Valur Reykjavik | 19 | 23.64 | -4.64 |
| 3 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 13 | 17.44 | -4.44 |
| 4 | KA Akureyri | 14 | 17.52 | -3.52 |
| 5 | Thor Akureyri | 11 | 13.11 | -2.11 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 13 | Apr 17 – Jul 2 | 1 in 455 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 6 | Apr 12 – May 8 | 1 in 94 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 3 | May 31 – Jun 21 | 1 in 16 |
| 4 | KA Akureyri | 3 | May 2 – May 17 | 1 in 13 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 3 | Apr 17 – Apr 27 | 1 in 11 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thor Akureyri | 7 | Apr 27 – Jun 14 | 1 in 114 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 4 | Apr 23 – May 8 | 1 in 44 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 6 | Apr 17 – May 17 | 1 in 44 |
| 4 | IA Akranes | 5 | Jun 22 – Jul 20 | 1 in 34 |
| 5 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1 | Jul 18 – Jul 18 | 1 in 34 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 7 | Jun 14 – Jul 26 | 1 in 99 |
| 2 | Fram Reykjavik | 7 | Apr 27 – Jun 15 | 1 in 30 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 6 | May 21 – Jul 4 | 1 in 24 |
| 4 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 14 | Apr 10 – Jul 2 | 1 in 16 |
| 5 | KR Reykjavik | 7 | Apr 12 – May 17 | 1 in 12 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stjarnan | 7 | Apr 23 – May 26 | 1 in 22 |
| 2 | Thor Akureyri | 11 | Apr 27 – Jul 12 | 1 in 19 |
| 3 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 9 | Apr 12 – May 29 | 1 in 19 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 8 | Apr 12 – May 21 | 1 in 14 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 4 | May 26 – Jun 21 | 1 in 7 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Use the buttons to switch between the first-phase positions when the league split and the final second-phase positions. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 99.54% | 0.45% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KR Reykjavik | 0.38% | 69.41% | 24.46% | 5.75% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fram Reykjavik | 0.08% | 25.28% | 56.58% | 18.05% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Breidablik | — | 4.86% | 18.95% | 75.30% | 0.81% | 0.07% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keflavik IF | — | — | — | 0.38% | 40.66% | 23.77% | 15.81% | 9.98% | 5.57% | 2.88% | 0.80% | 0.15% |
| Valur Reykjavik | — | — | — | 0.33% | 27.50% | 26.54% | 19.35% | 12.79% | 7.70% | 4.48% | 1.27% | 0.04% |
| IA Akranes | — | — | — | 0.02% | 9.98% | 17.78% | 21.46% | 21.94% | 15.81% | 8.51% | 3.92% | 0.58% |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | — | — | — | 0.16% | 15.58% | 19.12% | 21.02% | 17.80% | 13.37% | 8.47% | 3.79% | 0.69% |
| Stjarnan | — | — | — | — | 1.89% | 4.74% | 7.00% | 12.49% | 19.37% | 26.34% | 21.86% | 6.31% |
| KA Akureyri | — | — | — | 0.01% | 3.13% | 6.34% | 10.84% | 15.55% | 21.77% | 20.00% | 17.13% | 5.23% |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | — | — | — | — | 0.39% | 1.45% | 3.79% | 7.95% | 13.45% | 22.74% | 34.97% | 15.26% |
| Thor Akureyri | — | — | — | — | 0.05% | 0.19% | 0.72% | 1.50% | 2.96% | 6.58% | 16.26% | 71.74% |
No playoff sim data.
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
Each team's actual results against four model perspectives: simulated points, team Elo, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes. First phase is on the left, second phase on the right; the buttons switch the perspective on both plots at once. Dashed crosshairs at each plot's league means split it into four quadrants.
First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim mean data.
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
First Phase
Second Phase
No playoff-sim percentile data.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Season metrics are available for completed seasons.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Lost relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Breidablik | 100% | — |
| Fram Reykjavik | 100% | — |
| KR Reykjavik | 100% | — |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 100% | — |
| Keflavik IF | 96.70% | 3.30% |
| Valur Reykjavik | 95.87% | 4.13% |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 93.88% | 6.12% |
| IA Akranes | 91.96% | 8.04% |
| KA Akureyri | 77.16% | 22.84% |
| Stjarnan | 69.27% | 30.73% |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 62.52% | 37.48% |
| Thor Akureyri | 12.64% | 87.36% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Breidablik | D 1-1 | 1551 | 1513 | 50.56% | 21.25% | 28.19% | -2.1 | 1 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | D 1-1 | 1513 | 1551 | 28.19% | 21.25% | 50.56% | +2.1 | 1 |
| 2026-04-12 | FH Hafnarfjordur | D 1-1 | 1451 | 1460 | 44.28% | 21.40% | 34.32% | -0.9 | 1 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | D 1-1 | 1460 | 1451 | 34.32% | 21.40% | 44.28% | +0.9 | 1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Stjarnan | L 2-3 | 1451 | 1493 | 39.82% | 21.44% | 38.74% | -15.6 | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ KA Akureyri | W 3-2 | 1493 | 1451 | 38.74% | 21.44% | 39.82% | +15.6 | 3 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keflavik IF | W 3-2 | 1455 | 1417 | 50.61% | 21.25% | 28.14% | +11.8 | 3 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1417 | 1455 | 28.14% | 21.25% | 50.61% | -11.8 | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Thor Akureyri | L 1-2 | 1503 | 1391 | 58.97% | 20.78% | 20.26% | -23.2 | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Valur Reykjavik | W 2-1 | 1391 | 1503 | 20.26% | 20.78% | 58.97% | +23.2 | 3 |
| 2026-04-12 | IA Akranes | D 3-3 | 1436 | 1446 | 44.15% | 21.40% | 34.44% | -0.5 | 1 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Fram Reykjavik | D 3-3 | 1446 | 1436 | 34.44% | 21.40% | 44.15% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-2 | 1436 | 1549 | 30.09% | 21.31% | 48.60% | -26.3 | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ KA Akureyri | W 2-0 | 1549 | 1436 | 48.60% | 21.31% | 30.09% | +26.3 | 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Thor Akureyri | W 5-2 | 1467 | 1414 | 52.38% | 21.18% | 26.44% | +25.0 | 6 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 2-5 | 1414 | 1467 | 26.44% | 21.18% | 52.38% | -25.0 | 3 |
| 2026-04-17 | IA Akranes | W 1-0 | 1515 | 1447 | 54.14% | 21.09% | 24.77% | +11.8 | 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ Breidablik | L 0-1 | 1447 | 1515 | 24.77% | 21.09% | 54.14% | -11.8 | 1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Keflavik IF | W 3-1 | 1435 | 1405 | 49.52% | 21.28% | 29.19% | +22.2 | 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ Fram Reykjavik | L 1-3 | 1405 | 1435 | 29.19% | 21.28% | 49.52% | -22.2 | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 2-1 | 1480 | 1450 | 49.55% | 21.28% | 29.16% | +12.8 | 3 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ Valur Reykjavik | L 1-2 | 1450 | 1480 | 29.16% | 21.28% | 49.55% | -12.8 | 1 |
| 2026-04-17 | FH Hafnarfjordur | W 3-2 | 1508 | 1461 | 51.64% | 21.21% | 27.15% | +11.4 | 6 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ Stjarnan | L 2-3 | 1461 | 1508 | 27.15% | 21.21% | 51.64% | -11.4 | 1 |
| 2026-04-22 | KA Akureyri | D 1-1 | 1435 | 1409 | 48.92% | 21.30% | 29.78% | -1.8 | 2 |
| 2026-04-22 | @ IA Akranes | D 1-1 | 1409 | 1435 | 29.78% | 21.30% | 48.92% | +1.8 | 1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Breidablik | D 0-0 | 1383 | 1526 | 26.40% | 21.18% | 52.43% | +2.8 | 1 |
| 2026-04-22 | @ Keflavik IF | D 0-0 | 1526 | 1383 | 52.43% | 21.18% | 26.40% | -2.8 | 5 |
| 2026-04-23 | KR Reykjavik | L 2-6 | 1437 | 1492 | 37.83% | 21.43% | 40.74% | -42.4 | 1 |
| 2026-04-23 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 6-2 | 1492 | 1437 | 40.74% | 21.43% | 37.83% | +42.4 | 9 |
| 2026-04-23 | Fram Reykjavik | W 1-0 | 1389 | 1457 | 36.03% | 21.42% | 42.55% | +18.4 | 6 |
| 2026-04-23 | @ Thor Akureyri | L 0-1 | 1457 | 1389 | 42.55% | 21.42% | 36.03% | -18.4 | 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Stjarnan | W 3-2 | 1575 | 1520 | 52.63% | 21.17% | 26.20% | +11.1 | 7 |
| 2026-04-23 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1520 | 1575 | 26.20% | 21.17% | 52.63% | -11.1 | 6 |
| 2026-04-23 | FH Hafnarfjordur | W 3-0 | 1493 | 1450 | 51.16% | 21.23% | 27.61% | +35.5 | 6 |
| 2026-04-23 | @ Valur Reykjavik | L 0-3 | 1450 | 1493 | 27.61% | 21.23% | 51.16% | -35.5 | 1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Keflavik IF | L 1-2 | 1411 | 1386 | 48.97% | 21.30% | 29.73% | -19.5 | 1 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ KA Akureyri | W 2-1 | 1386 | 1411 | 29.73% | 21.30% | 48.97% | +19.5 | 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | FH Hafnarfjordur | W 4-2 | 1535 | 1414 | 59.78% | 20.71% | 19.51% | +14.0 | 12 |
| 2026-04-27 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 2-4 | 1414 | 1535 | 19.51% | 20.71% | 59.78% | -14.0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-27 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 5-1 | 1439 | 1395 | 51.29% | 21.22% | 27.49% | +38.5 | 7 |
| 2026-04-27 | @ Fram Reykjavik | L 1-5 | 1395 | 1439 | 27.49% | 21.22% | 51.29% | -38.5 | 1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thor Akureyri | W 4-0 | 1524 | 1408 | 59.35% | 20.75% | 19.90% | +35.0 | 8 |
| 2026-04-27 | @ Breidablik | L 0-4 | 1408 | 1524 | 19.90% | 20.75% | 59.35% | -35.0 | 6 |
| 2026-04-27 | Valur Reykjavik | L 2-4 | 1509 | 1528 | 42.86% | 21.42% | 35.72% | -27.0 | 6 |
| 2026-04-27 | @ Stjarnan | W 4-2 | 1528 | 1509 | 35.72% | 21.42% | 42.86% | +27.0 | 9 |
| 2026-04-27 | IA Akranes | W 4-0 | 1586 | 1433 | 62.87% | 20.41% | 16.73% | +29.9 | 10 |
| 2026-04-27 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-4 | 1433 | 1586 | 16.73% | 20.41% | 62.87% | -29.9 | 2 |
| 2026-05-02 | KA Akureyri | L 0-1 | 1373 | 1392 | 42.95% | 21.42% | 35.63% | -18.5 | 6 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Thor Akureyri | W 1-0 | 1392 | 1373 | 35.63% | 21.42% | 42.95% | +18.5 | 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | KR Reykjavik | L 1-4 | 1555 | 1549 | 46.49% | 21.36% | 32.14% | -45.8 | 9 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Valur Reykjavik | W 4-1 | 1549 | 1555 | 32.14% | 21.36% | 46.49% | +45.8 | 15 |
| 2026-05-03 | Breidablik | L 1-2 | 1356 | 1559 | 20.25% | 20.78% | 58.97% | -9.4 | 1 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 2-1 | 1559 | 1356 | 58.97% | 20.78% | 20.25% | +9.4 | 11 |
| 2026-05-03 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 1-3 | 1405 | 1616 | 19.48% | 20.71% | 59.81% | -15.7 | 4 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Keflavik IF | W 3-1 | 1616 | 1405 | 59.81% | 20.71% | 19.48% | +15.7 | 13 |
| 2026-05-03 | Fram Reykjavik | L 3-4 | 1400 | 1477 | 34.79% | 21.41% | 43.80% | -13.7 | 1 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | W 4-3 | 1477 | 1400 | 43.80% | 21.41% | 34.79% | +13.7 | 10 |
| 2026-05-03 | IA Akranes | L 1-2 | 1482 | 1403 | 55.33% | 21.03% | 23.64% | -21.8 | 6 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Stjarnan | W 2-1 | 1403 | 1482 | 23.64% | 21.03% | 55.33% | +21.8 | 5 |
| 2026-05-08 | Thor Akureyri | W 6-0 | 1632 | 1354 | 72.06% | 18.84% | 9.09% | +24.4 | 16 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-6 | 1354 | 1632 | 9.09% | 18.84% | 72.06% | -24.4 | 6 |
| 2026-05-08 | FH Hafnarfjordur | D 3-3 | 1568 | 1387 | 65.31% | 20.10% | 14.59% | -3.2 | 12 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Breidablik | D 3-3 | 1387 | 1568 | 14.59% | 20.10% | 65.31% | +3.2 | 2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Valur Reykjavik | W 3-2 | 1491 | 1510 | 43.02% | 21.42% | 35.57% | +14.3 | 13 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Fram Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1510 | 1491 | 35.57% | 21.42% | 43.02% | -14.3 | 9 |
| 2026-05-08 | Keflavik IF | L 1-3 | 1425 | 1389 | 50.21% | 21.26% | 28.53% | -34.6 | 5 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ IA Akranes | W 3-1 | 1389 | 1425 | 28.53% | 21.26% | 50.21% | +34.6 | 7 |
| 2026-05-08 | KR Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1460 | 1594 | 27.44% | 21.22% | 51.34% | -11.5 | 6 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Stjarnan | W 3-2 | 1594 | 1460 | 51.34% | 21.22% | 27.44% | +11.5 | 18 |
| 2026-05-10 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 2-0 | 1410 | 1347 | 53.61% | 21.12% | 25.27% | +22.7 | 7 |
| 2026-05-10 | @ KA Akureyri | L 0-2 | 1347 | 1410 | 25.27% | 21.12% | 53.61% | -22.7 | 1 |
| 2026-05-17 | KA Akureyri | L 1-2 | 1390 | 1433 | 39.55% | 21.44% | 39.02% | -16.4 | 2 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | W 2-1 | 1433 | 1390 | 39.02% | 21.44% | 39.55% | +16.4 | 10 |
| 2026-05-17 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-2 | 1324 | 1656 | 10.86% | 19.35% | 69.79% | -10.5 | 1 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 2-0 | 1656 | 1324 | 69.79% | 19.35% | 10.86% | +10.5 | 19 |
| 2026-05-17 | Stjarnan | D 1-1 | 1424 | 1448 | 42.25% | 21.43% | 36.32% | -0.5 | 8 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Keflavik IF | D 1-1 | 1448 | 1424 | 36.32% | 21.43% | 42.25% | +0.5 | 7 |
| 2026-05-17 | IA Akranes | L 1-2 | 1330 | 1390 | 37.06% | 21.43% | 41.51% | -15.5 | 6 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Thor Akureyri | W 2-1 | 1390 | 1330 | 41.51% | 21.43% | 37.06% | +15.5 | 8 |
| 2026-05-17 | Fram Reykjavik | D 2-2 | 1606 | 1505 | 57.76% | 20.87% | 21.37% | -2.6 | 19 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ KR Reykjavik | D 2-2 | 1505 | 1606 | 21.37% | 20.87% | 57.76% | +2.6 | 14 |
| 2026-05-17 | Breidablik | W 3-2 | 1495 | 1565 | 35.84% | 21.42% | 42.74% | +16.5 | 12 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Valur Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1565 | 1495 | 42.74% | 21.42% | 35.84% | -16.5 | 12 |
| 2026-05-21 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | D 2-2 | 1406 | 1314 | 56.85% | 20.93% | 22.22% | -2.5 | 9 |
| 2026-05-21 | @ IA Akranes | D 2-2 | 1314 | 1406 | 22.22% | 20.93% | 56.85% | +2.5 | 2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Valur Reykjavik | L 0-1 | 1449 | 1512 | 36.78% | 21.43% | 41.79% | -16.4 | 10 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ KA Akureyri | W 1-0 | 1512 | 1449 | 41.79% | 21.43% | 36.78% | +16.4 | 15 |
| 2026-05-22 | Thor Akureyri | W 1-0 | 1423 | 1314 | 58.66% | 20.80% | 20.53% | +10.0 | 11 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ Keflavik IF | L 0-1 | 1314 | 1423 | 20.53% | 20.80% | 58.66% | -10.1 | 6 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fram Reykjavik | L 0-1 | 1449 | 1508 | 37.28% | 21.43% | 41.29% | -16.6 | 7 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ Stjarnan | W 1-0 | 1508 | 1449 | 41.29% | 21.43% | 37.28% | +16.6 | 17 |
| 2026-05-22 | FH Hafnarfjordur | W 5-0 | 1667 | 1373 | 72.97% | 18.61% | 8.42% | +19.0 | 22 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-5 | 1373 | 1667 | 8.42% | 18.61% | 72.97% | -19.0 | 2 |
| 2026-05-22 | KR Reykjavik | W 6-3 | 1548 | 1603 | 37.86% | 21.43% | 40.70% | +32.9 | 15 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ Breidablik | L 3-6 | 1603 | 1548 | 40.70% | 21.43% | 37.86% | -32.9 | 19 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 1-3 | 1432 | 1686 | 15.94% | 20.30% | 63.76% | -13.1 | 7 |
| 2026-05-26 | @ Stjarnan | W 3-1 | 1686 | 1432 | 63.76% | 20.30% | 15.94% | +13.1 | 25 |
| 2026-05-26 | Valur Reykjavik | W 3-1 | 1571 | 1528 | 51.04% | 21.23% | 27.73% | +21.2 | 22 |
| 2026-05-26 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 1-3 | 1528 | 1571 | 27.73% | 21.23% | 51.04% | -21.2 | 15 |
| 2026-05-29 | IA Akranes | L 0-1 | 1354 | 1403 | 38.72% | 21.44% | 39.85% | -17.1 | 2 |
| 2026-05-29 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | W 1-0 | 1403 | 1354 | 39.85% | 21.44% | 38.72% | +17.1 | 12 |
| 2026-05-29 | Breidablik | W 4-3 | 1524 | 1581 | 37.61% | 21.43% | 40.96% | +15.6 | 20 |
| 2026-05-29 | @ Fram Reykjavik | L 3-4 | 1581 | 1524 | 40.96% | 21.43% | 37.61% | -15.6 | 15 |
| 2026-05-31 | Keflavik IF | W 6-1 | 1316 | 1434 | 29.53% | 21.30% | 49.17% | +76.0 | 5 |
| 2026-05-31 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | L 1-6 | 1434 | 1316 | 49.17% | 21.30% | 29.53% | -76.0 | 11 |
| 2026-05-31 | KA Akureyri | W 5-3 | 1592 | 1433 | 63.38% | 20.35% | 16.27% | +11.3 | 25 |
| 2026-05-31 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 3-5 | 1433 | 1592 | 16.27% | 20.35% | 63.38% | -11.2 | 10 |
| 2026-05-31 | Stjarnan | L 1-3 | 1304 | 1419 | 29.82% | 21.30% | 48.87% | -22.6 | 6 |
| 2026-05-31 | @ Thor Akureyri | W 3-1 | 1419 | 1304 | 48.87% | 21.30% | 29.82% | +22.6 | 10 |
| 2026-05-31 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 1-5 | 1507 | 1699 | 21.31% | 20.87% | 57.82% | -31.0 | 15 |
| 2026-05-31 | @ Valur Reykjavik | W 5-1 | 1699 | 1507 | 57.82% | 20.87% | 21.31% | +31.0 | 28 |
| 2026-06-14 | FH Hafnarfjordur | L 1-2 | 1358 | 1337 | 48.27% | 21.32% | 30.41% | -19.3 | 11 |
| 2026-06-14 | @ Keflavik IF | W 2-1 | 1337 | 1358 | 30.41% | 21.32% | 48.27% | +19.3 | 5 |
| 2026-06-14 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | L 1-4 | 1281 | 1392 | 30.38% | 21.32% | 48.29% | -32.4 | 6 |
| 2026-06-14 | @ Thor Akureyri | W 4-1 | 1392 | 1281 | 48.29% | 21.32% | 30.38% | +32.4 | 8 |
| 2026-06-15 | Fram Reykjavik | L 3-4 | 1422 | 1540 | 29.42% | 21.29% | 49.29% | -11.9 | 10 |
| 2026-06-15 | @ KA Akureyri | W 4-3 | 1540 | 1422 | 49.29% | 21.29% | 29.42% | +11.9 | 23 |
| 2026-06-16 | KR Reykjavik | W 2-0 | 1730 | 1603 | 60.38% | 20.66% | 18.96% | +17.7 | 31 |
| 2026-06-16 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-2 | 1603 | 1730 | 18.96% | 20.66% | 60.38% | -17.7 | 25 |
| 2026-06-16 | Valur Reykjavik | W 1-0 | 1420 | 1476 | 37.76% | 21.43% | 40.80% | +17.8 | 15 |
| 2026-06-16 | @ IA Akranes | L 0-1 | 1476 | 1420 | 40.80% | 21.43% | 37.76% | -17.8 | 15 |
| 2026-06-16 | Breidablik | D 4-4 | 1442 | 1566 | 28.73% | 21.27% | 50.00% | +1.1 | 11 |
| 2026-06-16 | @ Stjarnan | D 4-4 | 1566 | 1442 | 50.00% | 21.27% | 28.73% | -1.1 | 16 |
| 2026-06-21 | KA Akureyri | W 3-1 | 1565 | 1410 | 63.03% | 20.39% | 16.59% | +13.6 | 19 |
| 2026-06-21 | @ Breidablik | L 1-3 | 1410 | 1565 | 16.59% | 20.39% | 63.03% | -13.5 | 10 |
| 2026-06-21 | Thor Akureyri | D 1-1 | 1357 | 1249 | 58.47% | 20.82% | 20.71% | -3.7 | 6 |
| 2026-06-21 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | D 1-1 | 1249 | 1357 | 20.71% | 20.82% | 58.47% | +3.7 | 7 |
| 2026-06-21 | Stjarnan | W 2-1 | 1424 | 1443 | 43.07% | 21.42% | 35.51% | +15.0 | 11 |
| 2026-06-21 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | L 1-2 | 1443 | 1424 | 35.51% | 21.42% | 43.07% | -15.0 | 11 |
| 2026-06-21 | Keflavik IF | D 1-1 | 1458 | 1338 | 59.74% | 20.71% | 19.54% | -3.9 | 16 |
| 2026-06-21 | @ Valur Reykjavik | D 1-1 | 1338 | 1458 | 19.54% | 20.71% | 59.74% | +3.9 | 12 |
| 2026-06-21 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-5 | 1552 | 1747 | 20.95% | 20.84% | 58.21% | -45.1 | 23 |
| 2026-06-21 | @ Fram Reykjavik | W 5-0 | 1747 | 1552 | 58.21% | 20.84% | 20.95% | +45.1 | 34 |
| 2026-06-22 | IA Akranes | W 5-3 | 1585 | 1438 | 62.33% | 20.47% | 17.21% | +11.9 | 28 |
| 2026-06-22 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 3-5 | 1438 | 1585 | 17.21% | 20.47% | 62.33% | -11.8 | 15 |
| 2026-06-25 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 1-4 | 1578 | 1792 | 19.19% | 20.68% | 60.14% | -21.9 | 19 |
| 2026-06-25 | @ Breidablik | W 4-1 | 1792 | 1578 | 60.14% | 20.68% | 19.19% | +21.9 | 37 |
| 2026-06-28 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | D 1-1 | 1353 | 1440 | 33.51% | 21.39% | 45.10% | +1.1 | 7 |
| 2026-06-28 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | D 1-1 | 1440 | 1353 | 45.10% | 21.39% | 33.51% | -1.1 | 12 |
| 2026-06-28 | KR Reykjavik | W 3-2 | 1342 | 1597 | 15.81% | 20.29% | 63.90% | +23.8 | 15 |
| 2026-06-28 | @ Keflavik IF | L 2-3 | 1597 | 1342 | 63.90% | 20.29% | 15.81% | -23.8 | 28 |
| 2026-06-28 | Valur Reykjavik | L 2-4 | 1253 | 1454 | 20.33% | 20.79% | 58.88% | -14.6 | 7 |
| 2026-06-28 | @ Thor Akureyri | W 4-2 | 1454 | 1253 | 58.88% | 20.79% | 20.33% | +14.5 | 19 |
| 2026-06-28 | KA Akureyri | W 3-1 | 1428 | 1396 | 49.72% | 21.28% | 29.01% | +22.1 | 14 |
| 2026-06-28 | @ Stjarnan | L 1-3 | 1396 | 1428 | 29.01% | 21.28% | 49.72% | -22.1 | 10 |
| 2026-06-29 | Fram Reykjavik | L 0-2 | 1426 | 1507 | 34.33% | 21.40% | 44.27% | -29.2 | 15 |
| 2026-06-29 | @ IA Akranes | W 2-0 | 1507 | 1426 | 44.27% | 21.40% | 34.33% | +29.2 | 26 |
| 2026-07-02 | KA Akureyri | W 3-2 | 1814 | 1374 | 79.85% | 16.14% | 4.02% | +1.8 | 40 |
| 2026-07-02 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1374 | 1814 | 4.02% | 16.14% | 79.85% | -1.8 | 10 |
| 2026-07-02 | KR Reykjavik | D 3-3 | 1238 | 1573 | 10.69% | 19.31% | 70.01% | +3.8 | 8 |
| 2026-07-02 | @ Thor Akureyri | D 3-3 | 1573 | 1238 | 70.01% | 19.31% | 10.69% | -3.8 | 29 |
| 2026-07-03 | Stjarnan | D 2-2 | 1354 | 1450 | 32.28% | 21.37% | 46.35% | +1.0 | 8 |
| 2026-07-03 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | D 2-2 | 1450 | 1354 | 46.35% | 21.37% | 32.28% | -1.0 | 15 |
| 2026-07-04 | Breidablik | L 1-2 | 1397 | 1556 | 24.66% | 21.09% | 54.25% | -11.1 | 15 |
| 2026-07-04 | @ IA Akranes | W 2-1 | 1556 | 1397 | 54.25% | 21.09% | 24.66% | +11.1 | 22 |
| 2026-07-04 | Valur Reykjavik | W 1-0 | 1438 | 1469 | 41.36% | 21.43% | 37.21% | +16.5 | 15 |
| 2026-07-04 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | L 0-1 | 1469 | 1438 | 37.21% | 21.43% | 41.36% | -16.5 | 19 |
| 2026-07-06 | Fram Reykjavik | D 1-1 | 1366 | 1536 | 23.49% | 21.02% | 55.50% | +3.1 | 16 |
| 2026-07-06 | @ Keflavik IF | D 1-1 | 1536 | 1366 | 55.50% | 21.02% | 23.49% | -3.1 | 27 |
| 2026-07-12 | Valur Reykjavik | W 2-0 | 1355 | 1452 | 32.07% | 21.36% | 46.57% | +37.4 | 11 |
| 2026-07-12 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | L 0-2 | 1452 | 1355 | 46.57% | 21.36% | 32.07% | -37.4 | 19 |
| 2026-07-12 | Thor Akureyri | W 6-1 | 1533 | 1242 | 72.85% | 18.64% | 8.50% | +15.9 | 30 |
| 2026-07-12 | @ Fram Reykjavik | L 1-6 | 1242 | 1533 | 8.50% | 18.64% | 72.85% | -15.9 | 8 |
| 2026-07-12 | IA Akranes | W 3-2 | 1372 | 1386 | 43.72% | 21.41% | 34.87% | +14.0 | 13 |
| 2026-07-12 | @ KA Akureyri | L 2-3 | 1386 | 1372 | 34.87% | 21.41% | 43.72% | -14.0 | 15 |
| 2026-07-12 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 5-2 | 1570 | 1455 | 59.20% | 20.76% | 20.04% | +19.7 | 32 |
| 2026-07-12 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 2-5 | 1455 | 1570 | 20.04% | 20.76% | 59.20% | -19.7 | 15 |
| 2026-07-13 | Keflavik IF | W 2-1 | 1567 | 1369 | 66.64% | 19.91% | 13.45% | +6.4 | 25 |
| 2026-07-13 | @ Breidablik | L 1-2 | 1369 | 1567 | 13.45% | 19.91% | 66.64% | -6.4 | 16 |
| 2026-07-18 | Vikingur Reykjavik | W 2-1 | 1226 | 1816 | 2.96% | 15.04% | 82.00% | +31.2 | 11 |
| 2026-07-18 | @ Thor Akureyri | L 1-2 | 1816 | 1226 | 82.00% | 15.04% | 2.96% | -31.2 | 40 |
| 2026-07-18 | Fram Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1415 | 1549 | 27.54% | 21.22% | 51.24% | -11.6 | 19 |
| 2026-07-18 | @ Valur Reykjavik | W 3-2 | 1549 | 1415 | 51.24% | 21.22% | 27.54% | +11.6 | 33 |
| 2026-07-19 | KA Akureyri | D 2-2 | 1435 | 1386 | 51.87% | 21.20% | 26.93% | -1.8 | 16 |
| 2026-07-19 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | D 2-2 | 1386 | 1435 | 26.93% | 21.20% | 51.87% | +1.8 | 14 |
| 2026-07-19 | Stjarnan | W 5-0 | 1589 | 1449 | 61.71% | 20.53% | 17.76% | +38.9 | 35 |
| 2026-07-19 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 0-5 | 1449 | 1589 | 17.76% | 20.53% | 61.71% | -38.9 | 15 |
| 2026-07-20 | IA Akranes | W 5-2 | 1363 | 1372 | 44.31% | 21.40% | 34.29% | +31.0 | 19 |
| 2026-07-20 | @ Keflavik IF | L 2-5 | 1372 | 1363 | 34.29% | 21.40% | 44.31% | -31.0 | 15 |
| 2026-07-20 | Breidablik | D 0-0 | 1392 | 1574 | 22.31% | 20.94% | 56.75% | +3.7 | 12 |
| 2026-07-20 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | D 0-0 | 1574 | 1392 | 56.75% | 20.94% | 22.31% | -3.7 | 26 |
| 2026-07-24 | Keflavik IF | W 5-1 | 1785 | 1394 | 77.85% | 17.00% | 5.14% | +7.7 | 43 |
| 2026-07-24 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | L 1-5 | 1394 | 1785 | 5.14% | 17.00% | 77.85% | -7.7 | 19 |
| 2026-07-26 | Stjarnan | W 5-1 | 1341 | 1410 | 35.91% | 21.42% | 42.67% | +55.0 | 18 |
| 2026-07-26 | @ IA Akranes | L 1-5 | 1410 | 1341 | 42.67% | 21.42% | 35.91% | -55.0 | 15 |
| 2026-07-26 | FH Hafnarfjordur | D 0-0 | 1560 | 1396 | 63.87% | 20.29% | 15.84% | -5.4 | 34 |
| 2026-07-26 | @ Fram Reykjavik | D 0-0 | 1396 | 1560 | 15.84% | 20.29% | 63.87% | +5.4 | 13 |
Upcoming Games
Remaining games on the team's schedule
| Date | Opponent | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1570 | 1434 | 61.34% | 20.57% | 18.09% |
| 2026-07-27 | @ Breidablik | 1434 | 1570 | 18.09% | 20.57% | 61.34% |
| 2026-07-27 | Thor Akureyri | 1388 | 1257 | 60.81% | 20.62% | 18.57% |
| 2026-07-27 | @ KA Akureyri | 1257 | 1388 | 18.57% | 20.62% | 60.81% |
| 2026-08-01 | Fram Reykjavik | 1434 | 1555 | 29.02% | 21.28% | 49.70% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1555 | 1434 | 49.70% | 21.28% | 29.02% |
| 2026-08-04 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1396 | 1793 | 7.88% | 18.41% | 73.71% |
| 2026-08-04 | @ IA Akranes | 1793 | 1396 | 73.71% | 18.41% | 7.88% |
| 2026-08-04 | Breidablik | 1257 | 1570 | 11.93% | 19.60% | 68.46% |
| 2026-08-04 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1570 | 1257 | 68.46% | 19.60% | 11.93% |
| 2026-08-04 | Stjarnan | 1403 | 1355 | 51.82% | 21.20% | 26.98% |
| 2026-08-04 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1355 | 1403 | 26.98% | 21.20% | 51.82% |
| 2026-08-05 | KA Akureyri | 1386 | 1388 | 45.28% | 21.39% | 33.33% |
| 2026-08-05 | @ Keflavik IF | 1388 | 1386 | 33.33% | 21.39% | 45.28% |
| 2026-08-05 | KR Reykjavik | 1401 | 1628 | 18.08% | 20.57% | 61.35% |
| 2026-08-05 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1628 | 1401 | 61.35% | 20.57% | 18.08% |
| 2026-08-09 | Thor Akureyri | 1396 | 1257 | 61.55% | 20.55% | 17.90% |
| 2026-08-09 | @ IA Akranes | 1257 | 1396 | 17.90% | 20.55% | 61.55% |
| 2026-08-09 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1388 | 1401 | 43.77% | 21.41% | 34.82% |
| 2026-08-09 | @ KA Akureyri | 1401 | 1388 | 34.82% | 21.41% | 43.77% |
| 2026-08-09 | Keflavik IF | 1355 | 1386 | 41.30% | 21.43% | 37.27% |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Stjarnan | 1386 | 1355 | 37.27% | 21.43% | 41.30% |
| 2026-08-09 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1793 | 1434 | 76.39% | 17.56% | 6.05% |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 1434 | 1793 | 6.05% | 17.56% | 76.39% |
| 2026-08-09 | Valur Reykjavik | 1570 | 1403 | 64.06% | 20.27% | 15.67% |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Breidablik | 1403 | 1570 | 15.67% | 20.27% | 64.06% |
| 2026-08-10 | KR Reykjavik | 1555 | 1628 | 35.33% | 21.42% | 43.25% |
| 2026-08-10 | @ Fram Reykjavik | 1628 | 1555 | 43.25% | 21.42% | 35.33% |
| 2026-08-16 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1401 | 1793 | 8.10% | 18.49% | 73.41% |
| 2026-08-16 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1793 | 1401 | 73.41% | 18.49% | 8.10% |
| 2026-08-16 | IA Akranes | 1434 | 1396 | 50.47% | 21.25% | 28.28% |
| 2026-08-16 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1396 | 1434 | 28.28% | 21.25% | 50.47% |
| 2026-08-16 | Breidablik | 1628 | 1570 | 52.98% | 21.15% | 25.87% |
| 2026-08-16 | @ KR Reykjavik | 1570 | 1628 | 25.87% | 21.15% | 52.98% |
| 2026-08-16 | Keflavik IF | 1257 | 1386 | 28.16% | 21.25% | 50.59% |
| 2026-08-16 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1386 | 1257 | 50.59% | 21.25% | 28.16% |
| 2026-08-16 | KA Akureyri | 1403 | 1388 | 47.61% | 21.34% | 31.05% |
| 2026-08-16 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1388 | 1403 | 31.05% | 21.34% | 47.61% |
| 2026-08-17 | Stjarnan | 1555 | 1355 | 66.79% | 19.89% | 13.33% |
| 2026-08-17 | @ Fram Reykjavik | 1355 | 1555 | 13.33% | 19.89% | 66.79% |
| 2026-08-23 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1396 | 1401 | 44.84% | 21.39% | 33.76% |
| 2026-08-23 | @ IA Akranes | 1401 | 1396 | 33.76% | 21.39% | 44.84% |
| 2026-08-23 | KR Reykjavik | 1388 | 1628 | 16.98% | 20.44% | 62.58% |
| 2026-08-23 | @ KA Akureyri | 1628 | 1388 | 62.58% | 20.44% | 16.98% |
| 2026-08-23 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1386 | 1434 | 38.91% | 21.44% | 39.65% |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Keflavik IF | 1434 | 1386 | 39.65% | 21.44% | 38.91% |
| 2026-08-23 | Thor Akureyri | 1355 | 1257 | 57.44% | 20.89% | 21.67% |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Stjarnan | 1257 | 1355 | 21.67% | 20.89% | 57.44% |
| 2026-08-23 | Valur Reykjavik | 1793 | 1403 | 77.76% | 17.04% | 5.20% |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 1403 | 1793 | 5.20% | 17.04% | 77.76% |
| 2026-08-24 | Fram Reykjavik | 1570 | 1555 | 47.58% | 21.34% | 31.08% |
| 2026-08-24 | @ Breidablik | 1555 | 1570 | 31.08% | 21.34% | 47.58% |
| 2026-08-30 | Keflavik IF | 1401 | 1386 | 47.65% | 21.34% | 31.01% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1386 | 1401 | 31.01% | 21.34% | 47.65% |
| 2026-08-30 | KA Akureyri | 1555 | 1388 | 64.09% | 20.26% | 15.65% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Fram Reykjavik | 1388 | 1555 | 15.65% | 20.26% | 64.09% |
| 2026-08-30 | Thor Akureyri | 1434 | 1257 | 64.88% | 20.16% | 14.96% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1257 | 1434 | 14.96% | 20.16% | 64.88% |
| 2026-08-30 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1628 | 1793 | 24.11% | 21.06% | 54.83% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ KR Reykjavik | 1793 | 1628 | 54.83% | 21.06% | 24.11% |
| 2026-08-30 | Stjarnan | 1570 | 1355 | 67.91% | 19.70% | 12.39% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Breidablik | 1355 | 1570 | 12.39% | 19.70% | 67.91% |
| 2026-08-30 | IA Akranes | 1403 | 1396 | 46.58% | 21.36% | 32.06% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1396 | 1403 | 32.06% | 21.36% | 46.58% |
| 2026-09-06 | KR Reykjavik | 1396 | 1628 | 17.62% | 20.51% | 61.86% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ IA Akranes | 1628 | 1396 | 61.86% | 20.51% | 17.62% |
| 2026-09-06 | Breidablik | 1388 | 1570 | 22.26% | 20.94% | 56.80% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ KA Akureyri | 1570 | 1388 | 56.80% | 20.94% | 22.26% |
| 2026-09-06 | Valur Reykjavik | 1386 | 1403 | 43.18% | 21.42% | 35.40% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Keflavik IF | 1403 | 1386 | 35.40% | 21.42% | 43.18% |
| 2026-09-06 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1257 | 1401 | 26.33% | 21.17% | 52.49% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1401 | 1257 | 52.49% | 21.17% | 26.33% |
| 2026-09-06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1355 | 1434 | 34.58% | 21.41% | 44.01% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Stjarnan | 1434 | 1355 | 44.01% | 21.41% | 34.58% |
| 2026-09-06 | Fram Reykjavik | 1793 | 1555 | 69.48% | 19.41% | 11.10% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 1555 | 1793 | 11.10% | 19.41% | 69.48% |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-07-18 | 2.96% | @ Thor Akureyri | 1226 | 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1816 | 1 |
| 2 | 2026-06-28 | 15.81% | @ Keflavik IF | 1342 | 3 | KR Reykjavik | 1597 | 2 |
| 3 | 2026-04-12 | 20.26% | Thor Akureyri | 1391 | 2 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1503 | 1 |
| 4 | 2026-05-03 | 23.64% | IA Akranes | 1403 | 2 | @ Stjarnan | 1482 | 1 |
| 5 | 2026-05-08 | 28.53% | Keflavik IF | 1389 | 3 | @ IA Akranes | 1425 | 1 |
| 6 | 2026-05-31 | 29.53% | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1316 | 6 | Keflavik IF | 1434 | 1 |
| 7 | 2026-04-26 | 29.73% | Keflavik IF | 1386 | 2 | @ KA Akureyri | 1411 | 1 |
| 8 | 2026-06-14 | 30.41% | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1337 | 2 | @ Keflavik IF | 1358 | 1 |
| 9 | 2026-07-12 | 32.07% | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1355 | 2 | Valur Reykjavik | 1452 | 0 |
| 10 | 2026-05-02 | 32.14% | KR Reykjavik | 1549 | 4 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1555 | 1 |
| 11 | 2026-05-02 | 35.63% | KA Akureyri | 1392 | 1 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1373 | 0 |
| 12 | 2026-04-27 | 35.72% | Valur Reykjavik | 1528 | 4 | @ Stjarnan | 1509 | 2 |
| 13 | 2026-05-17 | 35.84% | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1495 | 3 | Breidablik | 1565 | 2 |
| 14 | 2026-07-26 | 35.91% | @ IA Akranes | 1341 | 5 | Stjarnan | 1410 | 1 |
| 15 | 2026-04-23 | 36.03% | @ Thor Akureyri | 1389 | 1 | Fram Reykjavik | 1457 | 0 |
| 16 | 2026-05-29 | 37.61% | @ Fram Reykjavik | 1524 | 4 | Breidablik | 1581 | 3 |
| 17 | 2026-06-16 | 37.76% | @ IA Akranes | 1420 | 1 | Valur Reykjavik | 1476 | 0 |
| 18 | 2026-05-22 | 37.86% | @ Breidablik | 1548 | 6 | KR Reykjavik | 1603 | 3 |
| 19 | 2026-04-12 | 38.74% | Stjarnan | 1493 | 3 | @ KA Akureyri | 1451 | 2 |
| 20 | 2026-05-17 | 39.02% | KA Akureyri | 1433 | 2 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1390 | 1 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-05-31 | 75.98 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 6 | 1316 | 29.53% | Keflavik IF | 1 | 1434 | 49.17% | 21.30% |
| 2 | 2026-07-26 | 55.00 | @ IA Akranes | 5 | 1341 | 35.91% | Stjarnan | 1 | 1410 | 42.67% | 21.42% |
| 3 | 2026-05-02 | 45.78 | KR Reykjavik | 4 | 1549 | 32.14% | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1 | 1555 | 46.49% | 21.36% |
| 4 | 2026-06-21 | 45.13 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 5 | 1747 | 58.21% | @ Fram Reykjavik | 0 | 1552 | 20.95% | 20.84% |
| 5 | 2026-04-23 | 42.40 | KR Reykjavik | 6 | 1492 | 40.74% | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2 | 1437 | 37.83% | 21.43% |
| 6 | 2026-07-19 | 38.94 | @ KR Reykjavik | 5 | 1589 | 61.71% | Stjarnan | 0 | 1449 | 17.76% | 20.53% |
| 7 | 2026-04-27 | 38.54 | @ Fram Reykjavik | 5 | 1439 | 51.29% | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1 | 1395 | 27.49% | 21.22% |
| 8 | 2026-07-12 | 37.43 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 2 | 1355 | 32.07% | Valur Reykjavik | 0 | 1452 | 46.57% | 21.36% |
| 9 | 2026-04-23 | 35.52 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 3 | 1493 | 51.16% | FH Hafnarfjordur | 0 | 1450 | 27.61% | 21.23% |
| 10 | 2026-04-27 | 34.99 | @ Breidablik | 4 | 1524 | 59.35% | Thor Akureyri | 0 | 1408 | 19.90% | 20.75% |
| 11 | 2026-05-08 | 34.62 | Keflavik IF | 3 | 1389 | 28.53% | @ IA Akranes | 1 | 1425 | 50.21% | 21.26% |
| 12 | 2026-05-22 | 32.87 | @ Breidablik | 6 | 1548 | 37.86% | KR Reykjavik | 3 | 1603 | 40.70% | 21.43% |
| 13 | 2026-06-14 | 32.43 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 4 | 1392 | 48.29% | @ Thor Akureyri | 1 | 1281 | 30.38% | 21.32% |
| 14 | 2026-07-18 | 31.20 | @ Thor Akureyri | 2 | 1226 | 2.96% | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1 | 1816 | 82.00% | 15.04% |
| 15 | 2026-07-20 | 30.99 | @ Keflavik IF | 5 | 1363 | 44.31% | IA Akranes | 2 | 1372 | 34.29% | 21.40% |
| 16 | 2026-05-31 | 30.98 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 5 | 1699 | 57.82% | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1 | 1507 | 21.31% | 20.87% |
| 17 | 2026-04-27 | 29.91 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 4 | 1586 | 62.87% | IA Akranes | 0 | 1433 | 16.73% | 20.41% |
| 18 | 2026-06-29 | 29.25 | Fram Reykjavik | 2 | 1507 | 44.27% | @ IA Akranes | 0 | 1426 | 34.33% | 21.40% |
| 19 | 2026-04-27 | 27.05 | Valur Reykjavik | 4 | 1528 | 35.72% | @ Stjarnan | 2 | 1509 | 42.86% | 21.42% |
| 20 | 2026-04-17 | 26.27 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2 | 1549 | 48.60% | @ KA Akureyri | 0 | 1436 | 30.09% | 21.31% |
| 21 | 2026-04-17 | 25.02 | @ KR Reykjavik | 5 | 1467 | 52.38% | Thor Akureyri | 2 | 1414 | 26.44% | 21.18% |
| 22 | 2026-05-08 | 24.40 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 6 | 1632 | 72.06% | Thor Akureyri | 0 | 1354 | 9.09% | 18.84% |
| 23 | 2026-06-28 | 23.78 | @ Keflavik IF | 3 | 1342 | 15.81% | KR Reykjavik | 2 | 1597 | 63.90% | 20.29% |
| 24 | 2026-04-12 | 23.19 | Thor Akureyri | 2 | 1391 | 20.26% | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1 | 1503 | 58.97% | 20.78% |
| 25 | 2026-05-10 | 22.70 | @ KA Akureyri | 2 | 1410 | 53.61% | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 0 | 1347 | 25.27% | 21.12% |