2026 Besta deild karla Season
56 games played · 12 teams · 100,000 simulations
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
Vikingur Reykjavik
90.30% chance to win the title
Biggest Overachiever
Vikingur Reykjavik
8.09 points above expected
28 points · 19.91 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
FH Hafnarfjordur
7.54 points below expected
2 points · 9.54 expected points
League Table
Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 34 | 6 | +28 | 19.9 | +8.09 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 38 | 23 | +15 | 16.9 | +8.06 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 16 | +9 | 13.4 | +6.58 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 14.1 | +0.89 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 14.3 | +0.71 |
| 6 | IA Akranes | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11.5 | +0.53 |
| 7 | Keflavik IF | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 10.9 | +0.12 |
| 8 | KA Akureyri | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12.1 | -2.09 |
| 9 | Stjarnan | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 13.6 | -3.64 |
| 10 | Thor Akureyri | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 10.2 | -4.23 |
| 11 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 10.0 | -4.96 |
| 12 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 9.5 | -7.54 |
Going into Phase 2, the championship group kept its full Phase 1 points; the relegation group kept its full Phase 1 points. Each group then played its own round-robin to determine final standings.
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Season Summary
Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Expected Add is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Expected Add | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 1716 | 28 | 53.96 | -25.96 | 38 | 47 | 51 | 54 | 57 | 60 | 64 |
| KR Reykjavik | 1585 | 25 | 45.84 | -20.84 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 46 | 49 | 53 | 58 |
| Breidablik | 1546 | 15 | 37.73 | -22.73 | 21 | 30 | 35 | 38 | 41 | 45 | 52 |
| Fram Reykjavik | 1529 | 20 | 40.06 | -20.06 | 27 | 33 | 37 | 40 | 43 | 47 | 54 |
| Valur Reykjavik | 1463 | 15 | 32.15 | -17.15 | 17 | 25 | 29 | 32 | 35 | 39 | 46 |
| Stjarnan | 1437 | 10 | 25.79 | -15.79 | 14 | 19 | 23 | 26 | 29 | 33 | 39 |
| IA Akranes | 1436 | 12 | 29.30 | -17.30 | 15 | 22 | 26 | 29 | 32 | 37 | 44 |
| KA Akureyri | 1422 | 10 | 25.44 | -15.44 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 25 | 28 | 33 | 41 |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1384 | 5 | 20.19 | -15.19 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 20 | 23 | 27 | 33 |
| Keflavik IF | 1375 | 11 | 26.13 | -15.13 | 14 | 19 | 23 | 26 | 29 | 33 | 42 |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 1361 | 2 | 16.93 | -14.93 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 25 | 30 |
| Thor Akureyri | 1312 | 6 | 18.01 | -12.01 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 25 | 32 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | BRE | FH | FR | IA | IV | KA | KR | KI | STJ | TA | VR | VR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breidablik | — |
0-1-0
2.22
|
0-0-1
1.12
|
1-0-0
1.97
|
1-0-0
1.64
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.61
|
0-1-0
1.47
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.06
|
0-0-1
1.21
|
0-1-0
0.82
|
| FH Hafnarfjordur |
0-1-0
0.60
|
— |
0-0-1
1.62
|
0-0-1
1.66
|
0-1-0
1.03
|
0-0-1
1.74
|
0-0-1
0.72
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.87
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.90
|
0-0-1
0.39
|
| Fram Reykjavik |
1-0-0
1.67
|
1-0-0
1.16
|
— |
0-1-0
1.80
|
1-0-0
1.98
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.71
|
1-0-0
1.96
|
1-0-0
1.19
|
0-0-1
1.14
|
1-0-0
1.80
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| IA Akranes |
0-0-1
0.83
|
1-0-0
1.12
|
0-1-0
0.99
|
— |
0-1-0
2.10
|
0-1-0
1.92
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.98
|
1-0-0
0.81
|
1-0-0
1.13
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.60
|
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar |
0-0-1
1.14
|
0-1-0
1.76
|
0-0-1
0.81
|
0-1-0
0.70
|
— |
0-0-1
0.80
|
0-0-1
1.68
|
1-0-0
1.43
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.90
|
0-0-1
0.73
|
| KA Akureyri |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.05
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.87
|
1-0-0
1.99
|
— |
0-0-1
0.58
|
0-0-1
1.90
|
0-0-1
1.70
|
1-0-0
0.96
|
0-0-1
1.64
|
0-0-1
1.39
|
| KR Reykjavik |
0-0-1
1.18
|
1-0-0
2.08
|
0-1-0
2.10
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.11
|
1-0-0
2.23
|
— |
1-0-0
1.95
|
1-0-0
1.47
|
1-0-0
1.88
|
2-0-0
2.94
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Keflavik IF |
0-1-0
1.32
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.83
|
1-0-0
0.82
|
0-0-1
1.35
|
1-0-0
0.89
|
0-0-1
0.85
|
— |
0-1-0
1.74
|
1-0-0
2.05
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.04
|
| Stjarnan |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.92
|
0-0-1
1.59
|
0-0-1
1.99
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.08
|
0-0-1
1.31
|
0-1-0
1.05
|
— |
1-0-0
1.25
|
0-0-1
1.78
|
0-0-2
1.67
|
| Thor Akureyri |
0-0-1
0.74
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.65
|
0-0-1
1.66
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.83
|
0-0-1
0.91
|
0-0-1
0.75
|
0-0-1
1.53
|
— |
1-0-0
0.74
|
0-0-1
0.42
|
| Valur Reykjavik |
1-0-0
1.58
|
1-0-0
1.89
|
0-0-1
0.99
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.90
|
1-0-0
1.15
|
0-0-2
2.64
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.01
|
0-0-1
2.06
|
— |
0-0-1
1.08
|
| Vikingur Reykjavik |
0-1-0
1.98
|
1-0-0
2.45
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.22
|
1-0-0
2.07
|
1-0-0
1.39
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.75
|
2-0-0
3.93
|
1-0-0
2.41
|
1-0-0
1.71
|
— |
Goal Differential vs Points
Each team plotted by their final goal differential (x) and final point total (y). Teams above the broad trend (more points than their GD would suggest) were efficient at narrow wins; teams below took more lopsided losses than their results imply.
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.79% | 6.25% | 2.68% | 0.89% | 1.79% | 1.79% | 15.18% |
| 1 | 6.25% | 7.14% | 6.25% | 5.36% | 0.89% | 2.68% | 28.57% |
| 2 | 2.68% | 6.25% | 3.57% | 6.25% | 1.79% | 1.79% | 22.32% |
| 3 | 0.89% | 5.36% | 6.25% | 3.57% | 1.79% | 1.79% | 19.64% |
| 4 | 1.79% | 0.89% | 1.79% | 1.79% | — | — | 6.25% |
| 5+ | 1.79% | 2.68% | 1.79% | 1.79% | — | — | 8.04% |
| Total | 15.18% | 28.57% | 22.32% | 19.64% | 6.25% | 8.04% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.01 |
| Mean allowed | 2.01 |
| StdDev scored | 1.53 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.53 |
| Mean total goals/game | 4.02 |
| Correlation (home vs away score) | -0.043 |
| Sample size (games) | 56 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | 22.22% |
| 4 | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | 11.11% | — | — | 11.11% |
| Total | 33.33% | 22.22% | — | 33.33% | 11.11% | — | 100% |
Breidablik — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.44 |
| Mean allowed | 1.67 |
| StdDev scored | 1.81 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.58 |
| Mean total goals/game | 4.11 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.495 |
| Games played | 9 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | 33.33% |
| 1 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 2 | — | — | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | 22.22% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 22.22% | 11.11% | 33.33% | 22.22% | 11.11% | 100% |
FH Hafnarfjordur — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.33 |
| Mean allowed | 2.89 |
| StdDev scored | 1.22 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.36 |
| Mean total goals/game | 4.22 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.249 |
| Games played | 9 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 1 | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 2 | — | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 3 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 22.22% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 5+ | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| Total | 11.11% | 33.33% | 22.22% | 33.33% | — | — | 100% |
Fram Reykjavik — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 2.78 |
| Mean allowed | 1.78 |
| StdDev scored | 1.56 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.09 |
| Mean total goals/game | 4.56 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.480 |
| Games played | 9 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.11% | — | — | 11.11% | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | 22.22% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 11.11% | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.11% | 44.44% | 11.11% | 22.22% | 11.11% | — | 100% |
IA Akranes — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.33 |
| Mean allowed | 1.78 |
| StdDev scored | 1.00 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.30 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.11 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.032 |
| Games played | 9 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 22.22% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | — | 11.11% | 22.22% | — | — | 11.11% | 44.44% |
| 2 | — | — | 11.11% | — | — | 11.11% | 22.22% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| Total | — | 22.22% | 55.56% | — | — | 22.22% | 100% |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.56 |
| Mean allowed | 2.56 |
| StdDev scored | 1.81 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.74 |
| Mean total goals/game | 4.11 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.150 |
| Games played | 9 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 22.22% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 11.11% | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 22.22% | 33.33% | 22.22% | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | 100% |
KA Akureyri — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.33 |
| Mean allowed | 1.67 |
| StdDev scored | 1.00 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.58 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.00 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.474 |
| Games played | 9 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | 10.00% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 3 | — | 10.00% | 20.00% | — | — | 10.00% | 40.00% |
| 4 | — | 10.00% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | 20.00% | 10.00% | — | — | 30.00% |
| Total | — | 20.00% | 60.00% | 10.00% | — | 10.00% | 100% |
KR Reykjavik — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 3.80 |
| Mean allowed | 2.30 |
| StdDev scored | 1.23 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.42 |
| Mean total goals/game | 6.10 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.089 |
| Games played | 10 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 1 | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | 22.22% | — | 11.11% | 55.56% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | — | — | 22.22% |
| 3 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | — | 11.11% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 22.22% | 33.33% | — | 33.33% | — | 11.11% | 100% |
Keflavik IF — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.33 |
| Mean allowed | 2.00 |
| StdDev scored | 0.87 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.94 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.33 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.000 |
| Games played | 9 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 10.00% | — | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 1 | — | 10.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | — | — | 30.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | 20.00% | 10.00% | — | 30.00% |
| 3 | — | 10.00% | 20.00% | — | — | — | 30.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 30.00% | 30.00% | 30.00% | 10.00% | — | 100% |
Stjarnan — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.80 |
| Mean allowed | 2.20 |
| StdDev scored | 1.03 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.03 |
| Mean total goals/game | 4.00 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | 0.146 |
| Games played | 10 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 22.22% | — | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | 44.44% |
| 1 | 11.11% | — | 11.11% | 11.11% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | 11.11% | — | — | — | 11.11% | 22.22% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 11.11% | 33.33% | 11.11% | 11.11% | 11.11% | 22.22% | 100% |
Thor Akureyri — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 0.78 |
| Mean allowed | 2.56 |
| StdDev scored | 0.83 |
| StdDev allowed | 2.07 |
| Mean total goals/game | 3.33 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.064 |
| Games played | 9 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 10.00% | — | 10.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 50.00% |
| 2 | — | 10.00% | — | 10.00% | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | 10.00% | — | 10.00% | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 4 | — | — | 10.00% | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 20.00% | 10.00% | 30.00% | 20.00% | 10.00% | 10.00% | 100% |
Valur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 1.90 |
| Mean allowed | 2.20 |
| StdDev scored | 1.10 |
| StdDev allowed | 1.62 |
| Mean total goals/game | 4.10 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.362 |
| Games played | 10 |
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 10.00% | — | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 2 | 20.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 20.00% |
| 3 | — | 20.00% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 30.00% |
| 4 | 10.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 10.00% |
| 5+ | 20.00% | 10.00% | — | — | — | — | 30.00% |
| Total | 50.00% | 40.00% | 10.00% | — | — | — | 100% |
Vikingur Reykjavik — Summary Statistics
| Mean scored | 3.40 |
| Mean allowed | 0.60 |
| StdDev scored | 1.58 |
| StdDev allowed | 0.70 |
| Mean total goals/game | 4.00 |
| Correlation (scored vs allowed) | -0.242 |
| Games played | 10 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 28 | 19.9 | +8.09 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 25 | 16.9 | +8.06 |
| 3 | Fram Reykjavik | 20 | 13.4 | +6.58 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 15 | 14.1 | +0.89 |
| 5 | Valur Reykjavik | 15 | 14.3 | +0.71 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 2 | 9.5 | -7.54 |
| 2 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 5 | 10.0 | -4.96 |
| 3 | Thor Akureyri | 6 | 10.2 | -4.23 |
| 4 | Stjarnan | 10 | 13.6 | -3.64 |
| 5 | KA Akureyri | 10 | 12.1 | -2.09 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Longest Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KR Reykjavik | 6 | Apr 12 – May 8 | 1 in 157 |
| 2 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 9 | Apr 17 – May 31 | 1 in 120 |
| 3 | KA Akureyri | 3 | May 2 – May 17 | 1 in 24 |
| 4 | Valur Reykjavik | 3 | Apr 17 – Apr 27 | 1 in 12 |
| 5 | Fram Reykjavik | 3 | Apr 27 – May 8 | 1 in 10 |
Longest Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thor Akureyri | 6 | Apr 27 – May 31 | 1 in 133 |
| 2 | Stjarnan | 4 | Apr 23 – May 8 | 1 in 74 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 6 | Apr 17 – May 17 | 1 in 57 |
| 4 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 4 | Apr 17 – May 3 | 1 in 16 |
| 5 | KA Akureyri | 2 | Apr 12 – Apr 17 | 1 in 9 |
Longest Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fram Reykjavik | 6 | Apr 27 – May 29 | 1 in 23 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 7 | Apr 12 – May 17 | 1 in 16 |
| 3 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 10 | Apr 10 – May 31 | 1 in 11 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 6 | Apr 10 – May 8 | 1 in 10 |
| 5 | KA Akureyri | 3 | May 2 – May 17 | 1 in 6 |
Longest Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stjarnan | 7 | Apr 23 – May 26 | 1 in 33 |
| 2 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 9 | Apr 12 – May 29 | 1 in 26 |
| 3 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 8 | Apr 12 – May 21 | 1 in 17 |
| 4 | Thor Akureyri | 6 | Apr 27 – May 31 | 1 in 12 |
| 5 | KA Akureyri | 4 | Apr 12 – Apr 26 | 1 in 10 |
Home-Field Advantage Edge
Across the phase-1 round-robin games, how each team's home/road split compared to the model's expected home advantage. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations of the first-phase round-robin games — that the team (row) finished at that position (column) when the league split. Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top). Tighter title-race and relegation races show up here as wider color spread across multiple positions.
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 90.30% | 8.50% | 1.20% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| KR Reykjavik | 9.00% | 70.40% | 15.00% | 4.90% | 0.60% | 0.10% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fram Reykjavik | 0.60% | 13.90% | 49.80% | 27.00% | 6.40% | 1.60% | 0.70% | — | — | — | — | — |
| Breidablik | 0.10% | 6.40% | 28.00% | 43.50% | 14.00% | 5.30% | 1.80% | 0.40% | 0.20% | 0.30% | — | — |
| Valur Reykjavik | — | 0.40% | 4.40% | 13.50% | 39.80% | 21.30% | 11.80% | 4.90% | 2.90% | 0.80% | 0.20% | — |
| IA Akranes | — | 0.40% | 1.10% | 6.30% | 18.40% | 27.30% | 18.90% | 14.90% | 8.10% | 3.20% | 0.90% | 0.50% |
| Keflavik IF | — | — | 0.40% | 1.60% | 7.00% | 13.90% | 19.60% | 21.70% | 19.60% | 11.20% | 4.00% | 1.00% |
| KA Akureyri | — | — | 0.10% | 1.60% | 6.80% | 13.10% | 19.80% | 22.80% | 17.50% | 11.90% | 4.40% | 2.00% |
| Stjarnan | — | — | — | 1.60% | 6.10% | 14.10% | 20.60% | 18.60% | 22.00% | 11.10% | 5.10% | 0.80% |
| Thor Akureyri | — | — | — | — | 0.20% | 0.80% | 1.60% | 5.00% | 7.00% | 18.20% | 31.20% | 36.00% |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | — | — | — | — | 0.50% | 2.20% | 4.10% | 7.50% | 15.70% | 30.10% | 25.70% | 14.20% |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | — | — | — | — | 0.20% | 0.30% | 1.10% | 4.20% | 7.00% | 13.20% | 28.50% | 45.50% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Elo Progression Through The Playoffs
How each team's Elo rating moved across the five second-phase round-robin games. Game 0 marks the starting Elo just before the first split-round game; games 1–5 show the post-game Elo after each fixture. Steep upward moves are wins over higher-rated opponents; sharp drops are losses to lower-rated opponents.
Home-Field Advantage Edge
Across the second-phase split-round games (5 fixtures per team), how each team's home/road split compared to the model's expected home advantage. Same calculation as the First Phase HFA Edge, just over a much smaller sample — five-game splits don't average out luck the way the 33-game first phase does, so bar magnitudes here can be more extreme.
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations of the second-phase round-robin games — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Because the playoff sim conditions on the actual split, top-half teams can only finish in the championship round's positions and bottom-half teams can only finish in the relegation round's positions; the heatmap's block-diagonal pattern is the visual signature of that constraint.
Points Required Per Position
For each final position, the empirical CDF of FULL-SEASON points across the playoff-sim iterations. Reading a curve at the 50% mark on the y-axis gives the median full-season points needed for that position given the actual phase-1 results. Curves for positions 1–6 (championship round) and 7–12 (relegation round) are visibly separated, reflecting how the split divides the title race from the relegation race.
Points Totals in Context
Full-season actual points compared to four model perspectives. Use the buttons to switch between views. Dashed crosshairs at the league means split each plot into four quadrants. Sim mean and percentile use the playoff-sim distributions shifted by each team's phase-1 actual points.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season — Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability — day by day.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Lost relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|
| Breidablik | 100% | — |
| Fram Reykjavik | 100% | — |
| KR Reykjavik | 100% | — |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 100% | — |
| Valur Reykjavik | 99.8% | 0.2% |
| IA Akranes | 98.3% | 1.7% |
| Stjarnan | 94.0% | 6.0% |
| KA Akureyri | 92.7% | 7.3% |
| Keflavik IF | 90.4% | 9.6% |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| FH Hafnarfjordur | 32.9% | 67.1% |
| Thor Akureyri | 30.5% | 69.5% |
Overall Game Log
Every regular-season game from each team's perspective. Use the team filter at the top of the tab; the table scrolls within its frame. Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Breidablik | D 1-1 | 1548 | 1497 | 59.1% | 20.4% | 20.5% | -3.2 | 1 |
| 2026-04-10 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | D 1-1 | 1497 | 1548 | 20.5% | 20.4% | 59.1% | +3.3 | 1 |
| 2026-04-12 | FH Hafnarfjordur | D 1-1 | 1451 | 1466 | 51.5% | 21.2% | 27.3% | -2.0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | D 1-1 | 1466 | 1451 | 27.3% | 21.2% | 51.5% | +2.0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Stjarnan | L 2-3 | 1455 | 1484 | 49.7% | 21.3% | 29.0% | -16.2 | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ KA Akureyri | W 3-2 | 1484 | 1455 | 29.0% | 21.3% | 49.7% | +16.2 | 3 |
| 2026-04-12 | Keflavik IF | W 3-2 | 1449 | 1408 | 58.0% | 20.5% | 21.4% | +8.0 | 3 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1408 | 1449 | 21.4% | 20.5% | 58.0% | -8.0 | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Thor Akureyri | L 1-2 | 1495 | 1415 | 62.2% | 19.9% | 17.9% | -20.9 | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Valur Reykjavik | W 2-1 | 1415 | 1495 | 17.9% | 19.9% | 62.2% | +20.9 | 3 |
| 2026-04-12 | IA Akranes | D 3-3 | 1447 | 1450 | 53.0% | 21.1% | 25.9% | -1.4 | 1 |
| 2026-04-12 | @ Fram Reykjavik | D 3-3 | 1450 | 1447 | 25.9% | 21.1% | 53.0% | +1.4 | 1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-2 | 1439 | 1544 | 39.2% | 21.6% | 39.2% | -28.1 | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ KA Akureyri | W 2-0 | 1544 | 1439 | 39.2% | 21.6% | 39.2% | +28.1 | 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Thor Akureyri | W 5-2 | 1457 | 1436 | 55.8% | 20.8% | 23.4% | +19.4 | 6 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 2-5 | 1436 | 1457 | 23.4% | 20.8% | 55.8% | -19.4 | 3 |
| 2026-04-17 | IA Akranes | W 1-0 | 1500 | 1452 | 58.9% | 20.4% | 20.7% | +8.7 | 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ Breidablik | L 0-1 | 1452 | 1500 | 20.7% | 20.4% | 58.9% | -8.7 | 1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Keflavik IF | W 3-1 | 1446 | 1400 | 58.6% | 20.5% | 21.0% | +14.4 | 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ Fram Reykjavik | L 1-3 | 1400 | 1446 | 21.0% | 20.5% | 58.6% | -14.3 | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 2-1 | 1474 | 1449 | 56.2% | 20.8% | 23.0% | +9.0 | 3 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ Valur Reykjavik | L 1-2 | 1449 | 1474 | 23.0% | 20.8% | 56.2% | -9.0 | 1 |
| 2026-04-17 | FH Hafnarfjordur | W 3-2 | 1500 | 1468 | 57.1% | 20.6% | 22.3% | +8.3 | 6 |
| 2026-04-17 | @ Stjarnan | L 2-3 | 1468 | 1500 | 22.3% | 20.6% | 57.1% | -8.3 | 1 |
| 2026-04-22 | KA Akureyri | D 1-1 | 1443 | 1411 | 57.1% | 20.6% | 22.3% | -2.9 | 2 |
| 2026-04-22 | @ IA Akranes | D 1-1 | 1411 | 1443 | 22.3% | 20.6% | 57.1% | +2.9 | 1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Breidablik | D 0-0 | 1386 | 1509 | 36.8% | 21.6% | 41.6% | +0.4 | 1 |
| 2026-04-22 | @ Keflavik IF | D 0-0 | 1509 | 1386 | 41.6% | 21.6% | 36.8% | -0.4 | 5 |
| 2026-04-23 | KR Reykjavik | L 2-6 | 1440 | 1476 | 48.8% | 21.4% | 29.8% | -45.2 | 1 |
| 2026-04-23 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 6-2 | 1476 | 1440 | 29.8% | 21.4% | 48.8% | +45.2 | 9 |
| 2026-04-23 | Fram Reykjavik | W 1-0 | 1416 | 1460 | 47.8% | 21.4% | 30.8% | +12.3 | 6 |
| 2026-04-23 | @ Thor Akureyri | L 0-1 | 1460 | 1416 | 30.8% | 21.4% | 47.8% | -12.3 | 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Stjarnan | W 3-2 | 1573 | 1509 | 60.5% | 20.2% | 19.3% | +7.3 | 7 |
| 2026-04-23 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1509 | 1573 | 19.3% | 20.2% | 60.5% | -7.3 | 6 |
| 2026-04-23 | FH Hafnarfjordur | W 3-0 | 1483 | 1460 | 56.1% | 20.8% | 23.2% | +26.3 | 6 |
| 2026-04-23 | @ Valur Reykjavik | L 0-3 | 1460 | 1483 | 23.2% | 20.8% | 56.1% | -26.3 | 1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Keflavik IF | L 1-2 | 1414 | 1386 | 56.5% | 20.7% | 22.8% | -19.2 | 1 |
| 2026-04-26 | @ KA Akureyri | W 2-1 | 1386 | 1414 | 22.8% | 20.7% | 56.5% | +19.2 | 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | FH Hafnarfjordur | W 4-2 | 1522 | 1434 | 62.9% | 19.8% | 17.3% | +10.8 | 12 |
| 2026-04-27 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 2-4 | 1434 | 1522 | 17.3% | 19.8% | 62.9% | -10.8 | 1 |
| 2026-04-27 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 5-1 | 1448 | 1395 | 59.4% | 20.3% | 20.3% | +25.4 | 7 |
| 2026-04-27 | @ Fram Reykjavik | L 1-5 | 1395 | 1448 | 20.3% | 20.3% | 59.4% | -25.4 | 1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thor Akureyri | W 4-0 | 1508 | 1429 | 62.1% | 19.9% | 18.0% | +27.3 | 8 |
| 2026-04-27 | @ Breidablik | L 0-4 | 1429 | 1508 | 18.0% | 19.9% | 62.1% | -27.3 | 6 |
| 2026-04-27 | Valur Reykjavik | L 2-4 | 1501 | 1510 | 52.3% | 21.1% | 26.5% | -27.7 | 6 |
| 2026-04-27 | @ Stjarnan | W 4-2 | 1510 | 1501 | 26.5% | 21.1% | 52.3% | +27.7 | 9 |
| 2026-04-27 | IA Akranes | W 4-0 | 1580 | 1440 | 67.6% | 18.7% | 13.7% | +20.9 | 10 |
| 2026-04-27 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-4 | 1440 | 1580 | 13.7% | 18.7% | 67.6% | -20.9 | 2 |
| 2026-05-02 | KA Akureyri | L 0-1 | 1401 | 1394 | 54.2% | 21.0% | 24.9% | -19.6 | 6 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Thor Akureyri | W 1-0 | 1394 | 1401 | 24.9% | 21.0% | 54.2% | +19.6 | 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | KR Reykjavik | L 1-4 | 1537 | 1532 | 53.9% | 21.0% | 25.1% | -45.0 | 9 |
| 2026-05-02 | @ Valur Reykjavik | W 4-1 | 1532 | 1537 | 25.1% | 21.0% | 53.9% | +45.0 | 15 |
| 2026-05-03 | Breidablik | L 1-2 | 1370 | 1536 | 31.0% | 21.4% | 47.5% | -11.6 | 1 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 2-1 | 1536 | 1370 | 47.5% | 21.4% | 31.0% | +11.6 | 11 |
| 2026-05-03 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 1-3 | 1406 | 1601 | 27.5% | 21.2% | 51.3% | -18.2 | 4 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Keflavik IF | W 3-1 | 1601 | 1406 | 51.3% | 21.2% | 27.5% | +18.2 | 13 |
| 2026-05-03 | Fram Reykjavik | L 3-4 | 1423 | 1474 | 46.9% | 21.5% | 31.7% | -15.1 | 1 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | W 4-3 | 1474 | 1423 | 31.7% | 21.5% | 46.9% | +15.0 | 10 |
| 2026-05-03 | IA Akranes | L 1-2 | 1474 | 1419 | 59.5% | 20.3% | 20.2% | -20.1 | 6 |
| 2026-05-03 | @ Stjarnan | W 2-1 | 1419 | 1474 | 20.2% | 20.3% | 59.5% | +20.1 | 5 |
| 2026-05-08 | Thor Akureyri | W 6-0 | 1619 | 1382 | 75.0% | 16.3% | 8.7% | +19.0 | 16 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-6 | 1382 | 1619 | 8.7% | 16.3% | 75.0% | -19.0 | 6 |
| 2026-05-08 | FH Hafnarfjordur | D 3-3 | 1547 | 1408 | 67.6% | 18.7% | 13.7% | -2.9 | 12 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Breidablik | D 3-3 | 1408 | 1547 | 13.7% | 18.7% | 67.6% | +2.9 | 2 |
| 2026-05-08 | Valur Reykjavik | W 3-2 | 1489 | 1492 | 52.9% | 21.1% | 26.0% | +9.5 | 13 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Fram Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1492 | 1489 | 26.0% | 21.1% | 52.9% | -9.5 | 9 |
| 2026-05-08 | Keflavik IF | L 1-3 | 1439 | 1387 | 59.2% | 20.4% | 20.4% | -34.7 | 5 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ IA Akranes | W 3-1 | 1387 | 1439 | 20.4% | 20.4% | 59.2% | +34.7 | 7 |
| 2026-05-08 | KR Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1454 | 1577 | 36.6% | 21.6% | 41.8% | -12.6 | 6 |
| 2026-05-08 | @ Stjarnan | W 3-2 | 1577 | 1454 | 41.8% | 21.6% | 36.6% | +12.6 | 18 |
| 2026-05-10 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 2-0 | 1414 | 1358 | 59.7% | 20.3% | 20.0% | +15.9 | 7 |
| 2026-05-10 | @ KA Akureyri | L 0-2 | 1358 | 1414 | 20.0% | 20.3% | 59.7% | -15.9 | 1 |
| 2026-05-17 | KA Akureyri | L 1-2 | 1411 | 1430 | 50.9% | 21.2% | 27.8% | -17.5 | 2 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | W 2-1 | 1430 | 1411 | 27.8% | 21.2% | 50.9% | +17.5 | 10 |
| 2026-05-17 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-2 | 1342 | 1638 | 17.6% | 19.8% | 62.5% | -14.1 | 1 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | W 2-0 | 1638 | 1342 | 62.5% | 19.8% | 17.6% | +14.1 | 19 |
| 2026-05-17 | Stjarnan | D 1-1 | 1422 | 1441 | 51.0% | 21.2% | 27.8% | -1.9 | 8 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Keflavik IF | D 1-1 | 1441 | 1422 | 27.8% | 21.2% | 51.0% | +1.9 | 7 |
| 2026-05-17 | IA Akranes | L 1-2 | 1363 | 1405 | 48.0% | 21.4% | 30.6% | -16.6 | 6 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Thor Akureyri | W 2-1 | 1405 | 1363 | 30.6% | 21.4% | 48.0% | +16.6 | 8 |
| 2026-05-17 | Fram Reykjavik | D 2-2 | 1590 | 1498 | 63.3% | 19.7% | 17.0% | -3.0 | 19 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ KR Reykjavik | D 2-2 | 1498 | 1590 | 17.0% | 19.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | 14 |
| 2026-05-17 | Breidablik | W 3-2 | 1483 | 1544 | 45.4% | 21.5% | 33.1% | +11.6 | 12 |
| 2026-05-17 | @ Valur Reykjavik | L 2-3 | 1544 | 1483 | 33.1% | 21.5% | 45.4% | -11.7 | 12 |
| 2026-05-21 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | D 2-2 | 1421 | 1328 | 63.4% | 19.7% | 16.9% | -3.0 | 9 |
| 2026-05-21 | @ IA Akranes | D 2-2 | 1328 | 1421 | 16.9% | 19.7% | 63.4% | +3.0 | 2 |
| 2026-05-22 | Valur Reykjavik | L 0-1 | 1447 | 1494 | 47.4% | 21.4% | 31.2% | -17.4 | 10 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ KA Akureyri | W 1-0 | 1494 | 1447 | 31.2% | 21.4% | 47.4% | +17.4 | 15 |
| 2026-05-22 | Thor Akureyri | W 1-0 | 1420 | 1346 | 61.5% | 20.0% | 18.5% | +7.8 | 11 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ Keflavik IF | L 0-1 | 1346 | 1420 | 18.5% | 20.0% | 61.5% | -7.8 | 6 |
| 2026-05-22 | Fram Reykjavik | L 0-1 | 1443 | 1501 | 45.8% | 21.5% | 32.6% | -16.9 | 7 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ Stjarnan | W 1-0 | 1501 | 1443 | 32.6% | 21.5% | 45.8% | +16.9 | 17 |
| 2026-05-22 | FH Hafnarfjordur | W 5-0 | 1652 | 1393 | 76.4% | 15.7% | 7.9% | +14.3 | 22 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | L 0-5 | 1393 | 1652 | 7.9% | 15.7% | 76.4% | -14.4 | 2 |
| 2026-05-22 | KR Reykjavik | W 6-3 | 1533 | 1587 | 46.4% | 21.5% | 32.1% | +23.5 | 15 |
| 2026-05-22 | @ Breidablik | L 3-6 | 1587 | 1533 | 32.1% | 21.5% | 46.4% | -23.5 | 19 |
| 2026-05-26 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 1-3 | 1426 | 1666 | 22.6% | 20.7% | 56.7% | -15.3 | 7 |
| 2026-05-26 | @ Stjarnan | W 3-1 | 1666 | 1426 | 56.7% | 20.7% | 22.6% | +15.3 | 25 |
| 2026-05-26 | Valur Reykjavik | W 3-1 | 1564 | 1512 | 59.2% | 20.4% | 20.4% | +14.0 | 22 |
| 2026-05-26 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 1-3 | 1512 | 1564 | 20.4% | 20.4% | 59.2% | -14.0 | 15 |
| 2026-05-29 | IA Akranes | L 0-1 | 1379 | 1418 | 48.4% | 21.4% | 30.2% | -17.7 | 2 |
| 2026-05-29 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | W 1-0 | 1418 | 1379 | 30.2% | 21.4% | 48.4% | +17.7 | 12 |
| 2026-05-29 | Breidablik | W 4-3 | 1518 | 1556 | 48.5% | 21.4% | 30.1% | +10.5 | 20 |
| 2026-05-29 | @ Fram Reykjavik | L 3-4 | 1556 | 1518 | 30.1% | 21.4% | 48.5% | -10.5 | 15 |
| 2026-05-31 | Keflavik IF | W 6-1 | 1331 | 1428 | 40.5% | 21.6% | 37.9% | +53.0 | 5 |
| 2026-05-31 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | L 1-6 | 1428 | 1331 | 37.9% | 21.6% | 40.5% | -53.0 | 11 |
| 2026-05-31 | KA Akureyri | W 5-3 | 1578 | 1430 | 68.3% | 18.5% | 13.2% | +7.8 | 25 |
| 2026-05-31 | @ KR Reykjavik | L 3-5 | 1430 | 1578 | 13.2% | 18.5% | 68.3% | -7.8 | 10 |
| 2026-05-31 | Stjarnan | L 1-3 | 1338 | 1410 | 44.0% | 21.6% | 34.5% | -26.7 | 6 |
| 2026-05-31 | @ Thor Akureyri | W 3-1 | 1410 | 1338 | 34.5% | 21.6% | 44.0% | +26.7 | 10 |
| 2026-05-31 | Vikingur Reykjavik | L 1-5 | 1498 | 1682 | 28.8% | 21.3% | 49.9% | -34.6 | 15 |
| 2026-05-31 | @ Valur Reykjavik | W 5-1 | 1682 | 1498 | 49.9% | 21.3% | 28.8% | +34.6 | 28 |
Upcoming Games
Scheduled but not-yet-played games for the team selected at the top of the tab — their remaining schedule and the model's win probability for each matchup.
| Date | Opponent | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Valur Reykjavik | 1436 | 1463 | 50.0% | 21.3% | 28.7% |
| 2026-06-14 | @ IA Akranes | 1463 | 1436 | 28.7% | 21.3% | 50.0% |
| 2026-06-14 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1375 | 1361 | 55.0% | 20.9% | 24.1% |
| 2026-06-14 | @ Keflavik IF | 1361 | 1375 | 24.1% | 20.9% | 55.0% |
| 2026-06-14 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1312 | 1384 | 43.9% | 21.6% | 34.5% |
| 2026-06-14 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1384 | 1312 | 34.5% | 21.6% | 43.9% |
| 2026-06-14 | Breidablik | 1437 | 1546 | 38.8% | 21.6% | 39.6% |
| 2026-06-14 | @ Stjarnan | 1546 | 1437 | 39.6% | 21.6% | 38.8% |
| 2026-06-15 | Fram Reykjavik | 1422 | 1529 | 39.1% | 21.6% | 39.2% |
| 2026-06-15 | @ KA Akureyri | 1529 | 1422 | 39.2% | 21.6% | 39.1% |
| 2026-06-15 | KR Reykjavik | 1716 | 1585 | 66.9% | 18.9% | 14.2% |
| 2026-06-15 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 1585 | 1716 | 14.2% | 18.9% | 66.9% |
| 2026-06-21 | KA Akureyri | 1546 | 1422 | 66.2% | 19.0% | 14.7% |
| 2026-06-21 | @ Breidablik | 1422 | 1546 | 14.7% | 19.0% | 66.2% |
| 2026-06-21 | Thor Akureyri | 1361 | 1312 | 59.0% | 20.4% | 20.6% |
| 2026-06-21 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1312 | 1361 | 20.6% | 20.4% | 59.0% |
| 2026-06-21 | Stjarnan | 1384 | 1437 | 46.5% | 21.5% | 32.0% |
| 2026-06-21 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1437 | 1384 | 32.0% | 21.5% | 46.5% |
| 2026-06-21 | Keflavik IF | 1463 | 1375 | 62.9% | 19.7% | 17.3% |
| 2026-06-21 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1375 | 1463 | 17.3% | 19.7% | 62.9% |
| 2026-06-21 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1529 | 1716 | 28.3% | 21.3% | 50.4% |
| 2026-06-21 | @ Fram Reykjavik | 1716 | 1529 | 50.4% | 21.3% | 28.3% |
| 2026-06-22 | IA Akranes | 1585 | 1436 | 68.4% | 18.5% | 13.1% |
| 2026-06-22 | @ KR Reykjavik | 1436 | 1585 | 13.1% | 18.5% | 68.4% |
| 2026-06-28 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1361 | 1384 | 50.5% | 21.3% | 28.2% |
| 2026-06-28 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1384 | 1361 | 28.2% | 21.3% | 50.5% |
| 2026-06-28 | KR Reykjavik | 1375 | 1585 | 25.8% | 21.1% | 53.2% |
| 2026-06-28 | @ Keflavik IF | 1585 | 1375 | 53.2% | 21.1% | 25.8% |
| 2026-06-28 | Valur Reykjavik | 1312 | 1463 | 32.9% | 21.5% | 45.6% |
| 2026-06-28 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1463 | 1312 | 45.6% | 21.5% | 32.9% |
| 2026-06-28 | KA Akureyri | 1437 | 1422 | 55.1% | 20.9% | 24.0% |
| 2026-06-28 | @ Stjarnan | 1422 | 1437 | 24.0% | 20.9% | 55.1% |
| 2026-06-28 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1546 | 1716 | 30.4% | 21.4% | 48.1% |
| 2026-06-28 | @ Breidablik | 1716 | 1546 | 48.1% | 21.4% | 30.4% |
| 2026-06-29 | Fram Reykjavik | 1436 | 1529 | 41.1% | 21.6% | 37.3% |
| 2026-06-29 | @ IA Akranes | 1529 | 1436 | 37.3% | 21.6% | 41.1% |
| 2026-07-02 | KA Akureyri | 1716 | 1422 | 78.6% | 14.7% | 6.7% |
| 2026-07-02 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 1422 | 1716 | 6.7% | 14.7% | 78.6% |
| 2026-07-04 | Stjarnan | 1361 | 1437 | 43.4% | 21.6% | 35.0% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1437 | 1361 | 35.0% | 21.6% | 43.4% |
| 2026-07-04 | Breidablik | 1436 | 1546 | 38.6% | 21.6% | 39.8% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ IA Akranes | 1546 | 1436 | 39.8% | 21.6% | 38.6% |
| 2026-07-04 | Valur Reykjavik | 1384 | 1463 | 43.0% | 21.6% | 35.4% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1463 | 1384 | 35.4% | 21.6% | 43.0% |
| 2026-07-04 | KR Reykjavik | 1312 | 1585 | 19.5% | 20.2% | 60.3% |
| 2026-07-04 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1585 | 1312 | 60.3% | 20.2% | 19.5% |
| 2026-07-06 | Fram Reykjavik | 1375 | 1529 | 32.6% | 21.5% | 45.9% |
| 2026-07-06 | @ Keflavik IF | 1529 | 1375 | 45.9% | 21.5% | 32.6% |
| 2026-07-12 | Valur Reykjavik | 1361 | 1463 | 39.7% | 21.6% | 38.6% |
| 2026-07-12 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1463 | 1361 | 38.6% | 21.6% | 39.7% |
| 2026-07-12 | Thor Akureyri | 1529 | 1312 | 73.6% | 16.8% | 9.6% |
| 2026-07-12 | @ Fram Reykjavik | 1312 | 1529 | 9.6% | 16.8% | 73.6% |
| 2026-07-12 | IA Akranes | 1422 | 1436 | 51.6% | 21.2% | 27.2% |
| 2026-07-12 | @ KA Akureyri | 1436 | 1422 | 27.2% | 21.2% | 51.6% |
| 2026-07-12 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1585 | 1384 | 72.5% | 17.2% | 10.3% |
| 2026-07-12 | @ KR Reykjavik | 1384 | 1585 | 10.3% | 17.2% | 72.5% |
| 2026-07-13 | Keflavik IF | 1546 | 1375 | 70.2% | 18.0% | 11.8% |
| 2026-07-13 | @ Breidablik | 1375 | 1546 | 11.8% | 18.0% | 70.2% |
| 2026-07-18 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1312 | 1716 | 10.7% | 17.4% | 71.9% |
| 2026-07-18 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1716 | 1312 | 71.9% | 17.4% | 10.7% |
| 2026-07-18 | Fram Reykjavik | 1463 | 1529 | 44.9% | 21.5% | 33.6% |
| 2026-07-18 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1529 | 1463 | 33.6% | 21.5% | 44.9% |
| 2026-07-19 | KA Akureyri | 1384 | 1422 | 48.5% | 21.4% | 30.1% |
| 2026-07-19 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1422 | 1384 | 30.1% | 21.4% | 48.5% |
| 2026-07-19 | IA Akranes | 1375 | 1436 | 45.5% | 21.5% | 33.0% |
| 2026-07-19 | @ Keflavik IF | 1436 | 1375 | 33.0% | 21.5% | 45.5% |
| 2026-07-19 | Stjarnan | 1585 | 1437 | 68.3% | 18.5% | 13.2% |
| 2026-07-19 | @ KR Reykjavik | 1437 | 1585 | 13.2% | 18.5% | 68.3% |
| 2026-07-20 | Breidablik | 1361 | 1546 | 28.7% | 21.3% | 50.0% |
| 2026-07-20 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1546 | 1361 | 50.0% | 21.3% | 28.7% |
| 2026-07-26 | Stjarnan | 1436 | 1437 | 53.2% | 21.1% | 25.8% |
| 2026-07-26 | @ IA Akranes | 1437 | 1436 | 25.8% | 21.1% | 53.2% |
| 2026-07-26 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1529 | 1361 | 69.9% | 18.1% | 12.0% |
| 2026-07-26 | @ Fram Reykjavik | 1361 | 1529 | 12.0% | 18.1% | 69.9% |
| 2026-07-26 | Keflavik IF | 1716 | 1375 | 81.3% | 13.3% | 5.3% |
| 2026-07-26 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 1375 | 1716 | 5.3% | 13.3% | 81.3% |
| 2026-07-27 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1546 | 1384 | 69.5% | 18.2% | 12.4% |
| 2026-07-27 | @ Breidablik | 1384 | 1546 | 12.4% | 18.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-07-27 | Thor Akureyri | 1422 | 1312 | 65.0% | 19.3% | 15.6% |
| 2026-07-27 | @ KA Akureyri | 1312 | 1422 | 15.6% | 19.3% | 65.0% |
| 2026-08-01 | Fram Reykjavik | 1384 | 1529 | 33.8% | 21.6% | 44.6% |
| 2026-08-01 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1529 | 1384 | 44.6% | 21.6% | 33.8% |
| 2026-08-04 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1436 | 1716 | 18.9% | 20.1% | 61.0% |
| 2026-08-04 | @ IA Akranes | 1716 | 1436 | 61.0% | 20.1% | 18.9% |
| 2026-08-04 | Breidablik | 1312 | 1546 | 23.2% | 20.8% | 56.0% |
| 2026-08-04 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1546 | 1312 | 56.0% | 20.8% | 23.2% |
| 2026-08-04 | Stjarnan | 1463 | 1437 | 56.4% | 20.7% | 22.9% |
| 2026-08-04 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1437 | 1463 | 22.9% | 20.7% | 56.4% |
| 2026-08-05 | KA Akureyri | 1375 | 1422 | 47.3% | 21.4% | 31.2% |
| 2026-08-05 | @ Keflavik IF | 1422 | 1375 | 31.2% | 21.4% | 47.3% |
| 2026-08-05 | KR Reykjavik | 1361 | 1585 | 24.3% | 20.9% | 54.8% |
| 2026-08-05 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1585 | 1361 | 54.8% | 20.9% | 24.3% |
| 2026-08-09 | Thor Akureyri | 1436 | 1312 | 66.3% | 19.0% | 14.7% |
| 2026-08-09 | @ IA Akranes | 1312 | 1436 | 14.7% | 19.0% | 66.3% |
| 2026-08-09 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1422 | 1361 | 60.2% | 20.2% | 19.6% |
| 2026-08-09 | @ KA Akureyri | 1361 | 1422 | 19.6% | 20.2% | 60.2% |
| 2026-08-09 | Keflavik IF | 1437 | 1375 | 60.3% | 20.2% | 19.5% |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Stjarnan | 1375 | 1437 | 19.5% | 20.2% | 60.3% |
| 2026-08-09 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1716 | 1384 | 80.8% | 13.6% | 5.6% |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 1384 | 1716 | 5.6% | 13.6% | 80.8% |
| 2026-08-09 | Valur Reykjavik | 1546 | 1463 | 62.4% | 19.9% | 17.8% |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Breidablik | 1463 | 1546 | 17.8% | 19.9% | 62.4% |
| 2026-08-10 | KR Reykjavik | 1529 | 1585 | 46.1% | 21.5% | 32.5% |
| 2026-08-10 | @ Fram Reykjavik | 1585 | 1529 | 32.5% | 21.5% | 46.1% |
| 2026-08-16 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1361 | 1716 | 13.4% | 18.6% | 68.0% |
| 2026-08-16 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1716 | 1361 | 68.0% | 18.6% | 13.4% |
| 2026-08-16 | IA Akranes | 1384 | 1436 | 46.7% | 21.5% | 31.8% |
| 2026-08-16 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1436 | 1384 | 31.8% | 21.5% | 46.7% |
| 2026-08-16 | Breidablik | 1585 | 1546 | 57.9% | 20.5% | 21.6% |
| 2026-08-16 | @ KR Reykjavik | 1546 | 1585 | 21.6% | 20.5% | 57.9% |
| 2026-08-16 | Keflavik IF | 1312 | 1375 | 45.2% | 21.5% | 33.3% |
| 2026-08-16 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1375 | 1312 | 33.3% | 21.5% | 45.2% |
| 2026-08-16 | KA Akureyri | 1463 | 1422 | 58.0% | 20.5% | 21.4% |
| 2026-08-16 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1422 | 1463 | 21.4% | 20.5% | 58.0% |
| 2026-08-17 | Stjarnan | 1529 | 1437 | 63.2% | 19.7% | 17.1% |
| 2026-08-17 | @ Fram Reykjavik | 1437 | 1529 | 17.1% | 19.7% | 63.2% |
| 2026-08-23 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1436 | 1361 | 61.6% | 20.0% | 18.4% |
| 2026-08-23 | @ IA Akranes | 1361 | 1436 | 18.4% | 20.0% | 61.6% |
| 2026-08-23 | KR Reykjavik | 1422 | 1585 | 31.4% | 21.4% | 47.1% |
| 2026-08-23 | @ KA Akureyri | 1585 | 1422 | 47.1% | 21.4% | 31.4% |
| 2026-08-23 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1375 | 1384 | 52.2% | 21.1% | 26.7% |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Keflavik IF | 1384 | 1375 | 26.7% | 21.1% | 52.2% |
| 2026-08-23 | Thor Akureyri | 1437 | 1312 | 66.4% | 19.0% | 14.6% |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Stjarnan | 1312 | 1437 | 14.6% | 19.0% | 66.4% |
| 2026-08-23 | Valur Reykjavik | 1716 | 1463 | 76.1% | 15.8% | 8.1% |
| 2026-08-23 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 1463 | 1716 | 8.1% | 15.8% | 76.1% |
| 2026-08-24 | Fram Reykjavik | 1546 | 1529 | 55.4% | 20.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-08-24 | @ Breidablik | 1529 | 1546 | 23.8% | 20.8% | 55.4% |
| 2026-08-30 | Keflavik IF | 1361 | 1375 | 51.6% | 21.2% | 27.2% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1375 | 1361 | 27.2% | 21.2% | 51.6% |
| 2026-08-30 | KA Akureyri | 1529 | 1422 | 64.6% | 19.4% | 16.0% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Fram Reykjavik | 1422 | 1529 | 16.0% | 19.4% | 64.6% |
| 2026-08-30 | Thor Akureyri | 1384 | 1312 | 61.4% | 20.0% | 18.6% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1312 | 1384 | 18.6% | 20.0% | 61.4% |
| 2026-08-30 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1585 | 1716 | 35.6% | 21.6% | 42.8% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ KR Reykjavik | 1716 | 1585 | 42.8% | 21.6% | 35.6% |
| 2026-08-30 | Stjarnan | 1546 | 1437 | 64.9% | 19.4% | 15.8% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Breidablik | 1437 | 1546 | 15.8% | 19.4% | 64.9% |
| 2026-08-30 | IA Akranes | 1463 | 1436 | 56.5% | 20.7% | 22.8% |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1436 | 1463 | 22.8% | 20.7% | 56.5% |
| 2026-09-06 | KR Reykjavik | 1436 | 1585 | 33.2% | 21.5% | 45.3% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ IA Akranes | 1585 | 1436 | 45.3% | 21.5% | 33.2% |
| 2026-09-06 | Breidablik | 1422 | 1546 | 36.7% | 21.6% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ KA Akureyri | 1546 | 1422 | 41.7% | 21.6% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-06 | Valur Reykjavik | 1375 | 1463 | 41.7% | 21.6% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Keflavik IF | 1463 | 1375 | 36.7% | 21.6% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-06 | FH Hafnarfjordur | 1312 | 1361 | 47.0% | 21.5% | 31.5% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1361 | 1312 | 31.5% | 21.5% | 47.0% |
| 2026-09-06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1437 | 1384 | 59.4% | 20.3% | 20.3% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Stjarnan | 1384 | 1437 | 20.3% | 20.3% | 59.4% |
| 2026-09-06 | Fram Reykjavik | 1716 | 1529 | 71.5% | 17.6% | 10.9% |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 1529 | 1716 | 10.9% | 17.6% | 71.5% |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-04-12 | 17.95% | Thor Akureyri | 1415 | 2 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1495 | 1 |
| 2 | 2026-05-03 | 20.18% | IA Akranes | 1419 | 2 | @ Stjarnan | 1474 | 1 |
| 3 | 2026-05-08 | 20.39% | Keflavik IF | 1387 | 3 | @ IA Akranes | 1439 | 1 |
| 4 | 2026-04-26 | 22.75% | Keflavik IF | 1386 | 2 | @ KA Akureyri | 1414 | 1 |
| 5 | 2026-05-02 | 24.87% | KA Akureyri | 1394 | 1 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1401 | 0 |
| 6 | 2026-05-02 | 25.08% | KR Reykjavik | 1532 | 4 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1537 | 1 |
| 7 | 2026-04-27 | 26.53% | Valur Reykjavik | 1510 | 4 | @ Stjarnan | 1501 | 2 |
| 8 | 2026-05-17 | 27.81% | KA Akureyri | 1430 | 2 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1411 | 1 |
| 9 | 2026-04-12 | 28.97% | Stjarnan | 1484 | 3 | @ KA Akureyri | 1455 | 2 |
| 10 | 2026-04-23 | 29.83% | KR Reykjavik | 1476 | 6 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1440 | 2 |
| 11 | 2026-05-29 | 30.25% | IA Akranes | 1418 | 1 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1379 | 0 |
| 12 | 2026-05-17 | 30.55% | IA Akranes | 1405 | 2 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1363 | 1 |
| 13 | 2026-05-22 | 31.19% | Valur Reykjavik | 1494 | 1 | @ KA Akureyri | 1447 | 0 |
| 14 | 2026-05-03 | 31.67% | Fram Reykjavik | 1474 | 4 | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1423 | 3 |
| 15 | 2026-05-22 | 32.65% | Fram Reykjavik | 1501 | 1 | @ Stjarnan | 1443 | 0 |
| 16 | 2026-05-31 | 34.49% | Stjarnan | 1410 | 3 | @ Thor Akureyri | 1338 | 1 |
| 17 | 2026-04-17 | 39.16% | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1544 | 2 | @ KA Akureyri | 1439 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that moved the Elo needle the most. Elo Δ is the magnitude of the rating swing; both teams move by the same amount per game (one up, one down). The winning side is shown first. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-05-31 | 53.03 | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 6 | 1331 | 40.47% | Keflavik IF | 1 | 1428 | 37.92% | |
| 2 | 2026-04-23 | 45.17 | KR Reykjavik | 6 | 1476 | 29.83% | @ IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 2 | 1440 | 48.80% | |
| 3 | 2026-05-02 | 45.04 | KR Reykjavik | 4 | 1532 | 25.08% | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1 | 1537 | 53.92% | |
| 4 | 2026-05-08 | 34.70 | Keflavik IF | 3 | 1387 | 20.39% | @ IA Akranes | 1 | 1439 | 59.25% | |
| 5 | 2026-05-31 | 34.60 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 5 | 1682 | 49.90% | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1 | 1498 | 28.80% | |
| 6 | 2026-04-17 | 28.13 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 2 | 1544 | 39.16% | @ KA Akureyri | 0 | 1439 | 39.22% | |
| 7 | 2026-04-27 | 27.74 | Valur Reykjavik | 4 | 1510 | 26.53% | @ Stjarnan | 2 | 1501 | 52.34% | |
| 8 | 2026-04-27 | 27.27 | @ Breidablik | 4 | 1508 | 62.11% | Thor Akureyri | 0 | 1429 | 17.99% | |
| 9 | 2026-05-31 | 26.69 | Stjarnan | 3 | 1410 | 34.49% | @ Thor Akureyri | 1 | 1338 | 43.95% | |
| 10 | 2026-04-23 | 26.30 | @ Valur Reykjavik | 3 | 1483 | 56.08% | FH Hafnarfjordur | 0 | 1460 | 23.15% | |
| 11 | 2026-04-27 | 25.44 | @ Fram Reykjavik | 5 | 1448 | 59.35% | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 1 | 1395 | 20.31% | |
| 12 | 2026-05-22 | 23.53 | @ Breidablik | 6 | 1533 | 46.40% | KR Reykjavik | 3 | 1587 | 32.12% | |
| 13 | 2026-04-12 | 20.94 | Thor Akureyri | 2 | 1415 | 17.95% | @ Valur Reykjavik | 1 | 1495 | 62.16% | |
| 14 | 2026-04-27 | 20.86 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 4 | 1580 | 67.63% | IA Akranes | 0 | 1440 | 13.68% | |
| 15 | 2026-05-03 | 20.11 | IA Akranes | 2 | 1419 | 20.18% | @ Stjarnan | 1 | 1474 | 59.50% | |
| 16 | 2026-05-02 | 19.58 | KA Akureyri | 1 | 1394 | 24.87% | @ Thor Akureyri | 0 | 1401 | 54.16% | |
| 17 | 2026-04-17 | 19.37 | @ KR Reykjavik | 5 | 1457 | 55.84% | Thor Akureyri | 2 | 1436 | 23.36% | |
| 18 | 2026-04-26 | 19.19 | Keflavik IF | 2 | 1386 | 22.75% | @ KA Akureyri | 1 | 1414 | 56.53% | |
| 19 | 2026-05-08 | 19.04 | @ Vikingur Reykjavik | 6 | 1619 | 75.02% | Thor Akureyri | 0 | 1382 | 8.71% | |
| 20 | 2026-05-03 | 18.21 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 3 | 1601 | 51.31% | @ Keflavik IF | 1 | 1406 | 27.48% | |
| 21 | 2026-05-29 | 17.72 | IA Akranes | 1 | 1418 | 30.25% | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 0 | 1379 | 48.36% | |
| 22 | 2026-05-17 | 17.48 | KA Akureyri | 2 | 1430 | 27.81% | @ FH Hafnarfjordur | 1 | 1411 | 50.95% | |
| 23 | 2026-05-22 | 17.41 | Valur Reykjavik | 1 | 1494 | 31.19% | @ KA Akureyri | 0 | 1447 | 47.37% | |
| 24 | 2026-05-22 | 16.94 | Fram Reykjavik | 1 | 1501 | 32.65% | @ Stjarnan | 0 | 1443 | 45.84% | |
| 25 | 2026-05-17 | 16.61 | IA Akranes | 2 | 1405 | 30.55% | @ Thor Akureyri | 1 | 1363 | 48.04% | |