2026-27 Bundesliga Season
25 games played · 18 teams
Season Status
In Progress
Awaiting final results
Title Favorite
Bayern Munich
58.12% chance to win the title
Biggest Overachiever
Elversberg
3.87 points above expected
6 points · 2.13 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
Borussia Monchengladbach
3.37 points below expected
0 points · 3.37 expected points
League Table
Each team's record through games played. SimPts is the model's expected points through the same games — the sum over completed games of pregame win-probability × 3 plus tie-probability × 1. vsSim shows actual points minus that expectation — positive means the team has overachieved against the model so far.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 5.16 | +3.84 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 5.92 | +3.08 |
| 3 | FC Augsburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 4.04 | +2.96 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 2.13 | +3.87 |
| 5 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 4.21 | -0.21 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 5.18 | -1.18 |
| 7 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 4.98 | -0.98 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3.90 | +0.10 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3.15 | +0.85 |
| 10 | Schalke 04 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2.67 | +1.33 |
| 11 | 1. FC Koln | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.59 | +0.41 |
| 12 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3.70 | -0.70 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3.71 | -0.71 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
| 15 | Paderborn 07 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 2.76 | -1.76 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3.85 | -2.85 |
| 17 | Hamburger SV | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 2.11 | -2.11 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3.37 | -3.37 |
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elversberg | 6 | 2.13 | +3.87 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 9 | 5.16 | +3.84 |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 5.92 | +3.08 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 7 | 4.04 | +2.96 |
| 5 | Schalke 04 | 4 | 2.67 | +1.33 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 3.37 | -3.37 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 1 | 3.85 | -2.85 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 2.11 | -2.11 |
| 4 | Paderborn 07 | 1 | 2.76 | -1.76 |
| 5 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 4.27 | -1.27 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts consecutive wins or ties; Winless counts consecutive losses or ties.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elversberg | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 5 | 1 in 14 |
| 2 | Freiburg | 3 | Aug 30 – Sep 12 | 1 in 9 |
| 3 | FC Augsburg | 2 | Aug 30 – Sep 6 | 1 in 7 |
| 4 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 12 | 1 in 5 |
| 5 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | Sep 12 – Sep 12 | 1 in 5 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 12 | 1 in 12 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 2 | Sep 5 – Sep 11 | 1 in 7 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 5 | 1 in 6 |
| 4 | Mainz 05 | 1 | Sep 12 – Sep 12 | 1 in 5 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 1 | Sep 5 – Sep 5 | 1 in 5 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke 04 | 2 | Sep 5 – Sep 11 | 1 in 6 |
| 2 | FC Augsburg | 3 | Aug 30 – Sep 12 | 1 in 4 |
| 3 | Werder Bremen | 2 | Sep 5 – Sep 12 | 1 in 4 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 5 | 1 in 4 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 3 | Aug 30 – Sep 12 | 1 in 2 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Berlin | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 11 | 1 in 4 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 1 | Sep 5 – Sep 5 | 1 in 3 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 6 | 1 in 3 |
| 4 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 3 | Aug 29 – Sep 12 | 1 in 3 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 2 | Aug 29 – Sep 5 | 1 in 2 |
Position Race
Each team’s league position across the whole season. The current top 3 and bottom 3 are highlighted; everyone else is gray as context.
Recent Elo Movers
Which teams are the hottest and coldest over the last 14 days according to their Elo ratings?
Biggest Elo Gainers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | +80.06 | 2096 |
| 2 | FC Augsburg | +73.09 | 2046 |
| 3 | Mainz 05 | +33.37 | 2042 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | +31.52 | 2115 |
| 5 | Borussia Dortmund | +25.74 | 2170 |
Biggest Elo Losers
| # | Team | Δ Elo | Current Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamburger SV | -65.65 | 1904 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | -60.52 | 1917 |
| 3 | Borussia Monchengladbach | -56.04 | 1923 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | -32.50 | 2080 |
| 5 | Paderborn 07 | -27.89 | 1927 |
Recent Form
Each team’s last 5 games, hottest first. Form shows the results (navy win, gray draw, red loss, newest on the right); the bars show Elo change over the window, points taken, points expected from the odds, and actual minus expected. Beside each team: current Elo and season points.
| Team | Elo | Season Pts | Form | Elo Δ (5) | Points (5) | Expected (5) | Actual − Exp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2170 | 9 | +40 | 9 | 5.9 | +3.1 | |
| Freiburg | 2096 | 9 | +80 | 9 | 5.2 | +3.8 | |
| FC Augsburg | 2046 | 7 | +73 | 7 | 4.0 | +3.0 | |
| Elversberg | 1987 | 6 | +32 | 6 | 2.1 | +3.9 | |
| Bayern Munich | 2239 | 4 | +20 | 4 | 4.2 | -0.2 | |
| Mainz 05 | 2042 | 4 | +31 | 4 | 5.0 | -1.0 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 2018 | 4 | -7 | 4 | 3.9 | +0.1 | |
| 1. FC Koln | 1957 | 4 | -7 | 4 | 3.6 | +0.4 | |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2115 | 4 | +14 | 4 | 5.2 | -1.2 | |
| Werder Bremen | 1974 | 4 | +8 | 4 | 3.1 | +0.9 | |
| Schalke 04 | 1945 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 2.7 | +1.3 | |
| VfB Stuttgart | 2084 | 3 | -20 | 3 | 4.3 | -1.3 | |
| RB Leipzig | 2080 | 3 | -6 | 3 | 3.7 | -0.7 | |
| Hoffenheim | 2026 | 3 | -9 | 3 | 3.7 | -0.7 | |
| Paderborn 07 | 1927 | 1 | -26 | 1 | 2.8 | -1.8 | |
| Union Berlin | 1917 | 1 | -61 | 1 | 3.8 | -2.8 | |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 1923 | 0 | -83 | 0 | 3.4 | -3.4 | |
| Hamburger SV | 1904 | 0 | -80 | 0 | 2.1 | -2.1 |
Upcoming Matches
The next slate of games with the model’s win / draw probabilities and an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Win% – Draw% – Win% | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | 1.40 | RB Leipzig | 3 pts·2080 | 62% – 23% – 14% | Hamburger SV | 0 pts·1904 | 72.1 | |
| 2026-09-13 | Elversberg | 6 pts·1987 | 15% – 24% – 62% | Bayern Munich | 4 pts·2239 | 1.35 | 72.5 | |
| 2026-09-18 | 2.34 | Bayern Munich | 4 pts·2239 | 73% – 20% – 7% | Union Berlin | 1 pts·1917 | 65.3 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 pts·2018 | 32% – 26% – 42% | Freiburg | 9 pts·2096 | 0.23 | 79.2 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 pts·1923 | 27% – 26% – 47% | Mainz 05 | 4 pts·2042 | 0.49 | 78.2 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Hamburger SV | 0 pts·1904 | 35% – 26% – 39% | 1. FC Koln | 4 pts·1957 | 0.07 | 79.4 | |
| 2026-09-19 | Werder Bremen | 4 pts·1974 | 33% – 26% – 41% | FC Augsburg | 7 pts·2046 | 0.19 | 79.3 | |
| 2026-09-19 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 pts·2084 | 31% – 26% – 43% | Borussia Dortmund | 9 pts·2170 | 0.28 | 79.1 | |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.50 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 pts·2115 | 48% – 26% – 27% | RB Leipzig | 3 pts·2080 | 78.2 | |
| 2026-09-20 | 0.00 | Schalke 04 | 4 pts·1945 | 37% – 26% – 37% | Elversberg | 6 pts·1987 | 79.5 | |
| 2026-09-20 | Paderborn 07 | 1 pts·1927 | 29% – 26% – 45% | Hoffenheim | 3 pts·2026 | 0.36 | 78.7 |
Recent Matches
The most recent results with an excitement rating (0–100). Beside each team: record · pre-game Elo · Elo change.
| Date | Favored By | Home | Score | Away | Favored By | Excitement | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 1.63 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 pts·2154·+15.26 | 3 – 0 | Paderborn 07 | 1 pts·1943·-15.26 | 60.7 | |
| 2026-09-12 | Hoffenheim | 3 pts·2010·+15.83 | 2 – 1 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 pts·2099·-15.83 | 0.30 | 81.7 | |
| 2026-09-12 | 0.85 | Freiburg | 9 pts·2055·+41.60 | 5 – 0 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 pts·1965·-41.60 | 67.6 | |
| 2026-09-12 | FC Augsburg | 7 pts·2045·+0.45 | 2 – 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 pts·2116·-0.46 | 0.18 | 84.4 | |
| 2026-09-12 | 0.85 | Mainz 05 | 4 pts·2074·-32.90 | 1 – 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 pts·1985·+32.90 | 87.4 | |
| 2026-09-12 | 0.17 | 1. FC Koln | 4 pts·1958·-0.60 | 1 – 1 | Werder Bremen | 4 pts·1973·+0.59 | 84.4 | |
| 2026-09-11 | 0.47 | Union Berlin | 1 pts·1947·-29.16 | 1 – 3 | Schalke 04 | 4 pts·1916·+29.16 | 83.5 | |
| 2026-09-06 | 0.02 | Hamburger SV | 0 pts·1970·-65.96 | 0 – 5 | Mainz 05 | 4 pts·2008·+65.96 | 78.1 | |
| 2026-09-06 | 0.40 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 pts·2025·-40.22 | 1 – 4 | FC Augsburg | 7 pts·2005·+40.23 | 82.8 | |
| 2026-09-05 | Hoffenheim | 3 pts·2020·-10.18 | 2 – 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 pts·2144·+10.18 | 0.53 | 71.2 | |
| 2026-09-05 | 0.95 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 pts·2084·+31.68 | 4 – 0 | Union Berlin | 1 pts·1978·-31.67 | 66.6 | |
| 2026-09-05 | 0.32 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 pts·1980·-14.76 | 3 – 4 | Elversberg | 6 pts·1972·+14.75 | 81.8 | |
| 2026-09-05 | Werder Bremen | 4 pts·1940·+32.81 | 3 – 1 | RB Leipzig | 3 pts·2112·-32.81 | 0.84 | 87.3 | |
| 2026-09-05 | Paderborn 07 | 1 pts·1956·-12.94 | 0 – 1 | Freiburg | 9 pts·2042·+12.94 | 0.28 | 74.1 | |
| 2026-09-05 | Schalke 04 | 4 pts·1910·+5.86 | 0 – 0 | Bayern Munich | 4 pts·2245·-5.86 | 1.88 | 87.0 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FK | BL | BM | BD | BM | EF | ELV | FA | FRE | HS | HOF | M0 | P0 | RL | S0 | UB | VS | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Koln | — |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.25
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.85
|
0-1-0
1.48
|
| Bayer Leverkusen |
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.78
|
0-1-0
1.49
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.92
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Bayern Munich |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
2.27
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.95
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Borussia Dortmund |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.03
|
1-0-0
1.70
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
2.19
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Borussia Monchengladbach |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.58
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.88
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.91
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.62
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.88
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.39
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Elversberg |
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.97
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.16
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| FC Augsburg |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.25
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.12
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.67
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Freiburg |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.87
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.55
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.74
|
| Hamburger SV |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.73
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.39
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Hoffenheim |
0-0-1
1.49
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.05
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.18
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Mainz 05 |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.87
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.35
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-1-0
1.76
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Paderborn 07 |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.58
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.19
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.98
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| RB Leipzig |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
1.83
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.86
|
| Schalke 04 |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
0.52
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.08
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
1-0-0
1.08
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Union Berlin |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.83
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-1-0
1.35
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.67
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
| VfB Stuttgart |
1-0-0
1.90
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
0.81
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.57
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
0-0-0
0.00
|
| Werder Bremen |
0-1-0
1.26
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-1
1.01
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
1-0-0
0.89
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
0-0-0
0.00
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.70 | +7.9 |
| Allowed | 0.46 | -5.8 |
| Differential | 0.83 | +5.0 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.00% | 2.00% | 2.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 24.00% |
| 1 | 2.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 2.00% | 22.00% |
| 2 | 2.00% | 2.00% | 4.00% | 6.00% | — | — | 14.00% |
| 3 | 6.00% | 6.00% | 6.00% | 4.00% | 2.00% | — | 24.00% |
| 4 | 2.00% | 6.00% | — | 2.00% | — | — | 10.00% |
| 5+ | 4.00% | 2.00% | — | — | — | — | 6.00% |
| Total | 24.00% | 22.00% | 14.00% | 24.00% | 10.00% | 6.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.92 | 1.92 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.55 | 1.55 | 2.54 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 25
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 33.33% | — | — | 33.33% | — | 66.67% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | 33.33% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.67 | 2.33 | -0.67 |
| SD | 1.15 | 1.53 | 2.08 |
| CV | 0.69 | 0.65 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +1 |
| Min | 1 | 1 | -3 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | — | 66.67% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | — | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.67 | 1.67 | +1.00 |
| SD | 1.15 | 1.53 | 2.65 |
| CV | 0.43 | 0.92 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +4 |
| Min | 2 | 0 | -1 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 50.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | 50.00% | — | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| Total | 50.00% | 50.00% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.50 | 0.50 | +2.00 |
| SD | 3.54 | 0.71 | 2.83 |
| CV | 1.41 | 1.41 | — |
| Max | 5 | 1 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 2
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | 33.33% | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | 66.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 66.67% | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.67 | 0.67 | +2.00 |
| SD | 0.58 | 1.15 | 1.00 |
| CV | 0.22 | 1.73 | — |
| Max | 3 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 2 | 0 | +1 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | 33.33% | — | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | 33.33% | — | 33.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | — | 33.33% | 33.33% | 33.33% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 4.00 | -3.00 |
| SD | 1.73 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| CV | 1.73 | 0.25 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | -1 |
| Min | 0 | 3 | -5 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | 33.33% | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | 33.33% | — | 33.33% | — | — | 66.67% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 33.33% | — | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.33 | 2.67 | -0.33 |
| SD | 1.15 | 1.53 | 2.52 |
| CV | 0.49 | 0.57 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 1 | -3 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | 50.00% | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 50.00% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 50.00% | 50.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.50 | 2.50 | +1.00 |
| SD | 0.71 | 0.71 | 0.00 |
| CV | 0.20 | 0.28 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 3 | 2 | +1 |
Games Played: 2
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 3 | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 4 | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.00 | 1.00 | +2.00 |
| SD | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.73 |
| CV | 0.33 | 1.00 | — |
| Max | 4 | 2 | +3 |
| Min | 2 | 0 | +0 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 5+ | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| Total | 66.67% | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 3.33 | 0.33 | +3.00 |
| SD | 2.08 | 0.58 | 2.00 |
| CV | 0.62 | 1.73 | — |
| Max | 5 | 1 | +5 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | +1 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | 50.00% | — | — | 50.00% | 100.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | 50.00% | — | — | 50.00% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.00 | 3.50 | -3.50 |
| SD | 0.00 | 2.12 | 2.12 |
| CV | — | 0.61 | — |
| Max | 0 | 5 | -2 |
| Min | 0 | 2 | -5 |
Games Played: 2
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | 33.33% | — | 66.67% | — | — | 100.00% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 33.33% | — | 66.67% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 2.33 | -0.33 |
| SD | 0.00 | 1.15 | 1.15 |
| CV | 0.00 | 0.49 | — |
| Max | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| Min | 2 | 1 | -1 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | — | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| Total | 66.67% | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.00 | +1.00 |
| SD | 2.65 | 1.73 | 3.61 |
| CV | 1.32 | 1.73 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | 33.33% | — | — | 100.00% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | 33.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.00 | 1.33 | -1.33 |
| SD | 0.00 | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| CV | — | 1.15 | — |
| Max | 0 | 3 | +0 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | — | 50.00% | — | — | 50.00% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 50.00% | — | — | — | — | — | 50.00% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 50.00% | — | — | 50.00% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 1.50 | +0.50 |
| SD | 1.41 | 2.12 | 3.54 |
| CV | 0.71 | 1.41 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 1 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 2
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 33.33% | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | 66.67% |
| 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | 33.33% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.33 | -0.33 |
| SD | 1.73 | 1.53 | 2.52 |
| CV | 1.73 | 1.15 | — |
| Max | 3 | 3 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | 33.33% | — | 33.33% |
| 1 | — | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | 33.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | — | — | 66.67% | 33.33% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.33 | 3.33 | -2.00 |
| SD | 1.53 | 0.58 | 2.00 |
| CV | 1.15 | 0.17 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +0 |
| Min | 0 | 3 | -4 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | — | 33.33% | — | — | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 33.33% | 33.33% | — | — | 33.33% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.00 | 2.67 | -0.67 |
| SD | 1.73 | 2.08 | 3.51 |
| CV | 0.87 | 0.78 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 1 | 1 | -4 |
Games Played: 3
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | — | 33.33% | — | — | 33.33% | — | 66.67% |
| 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | — | 33.33% | — | — | — | — | 33.33% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | — | 66.67% | — | — | 33.33% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.67 | 2.00 | -0.33 |
| SD | 1.15 | 1.73 | 2.52 |
| CV | 0.69 | 0.87 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 1 | 1 | -3 |
Games Played: 3
Season Summary
Every team's season-to-date record alongside the projected end-of-season points totals from 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Exp. Pts. Rem. is the expected additional points the model thinks the team will accumulate over the rest of the season.
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Exp. Pts. Rem. | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 2239 | 4 | 71.27 | 67.27 | 46 | 60 | 67 | 71 | 76 | 82 | 94 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2170 | 9 | 67.09 | 58.09 | 42 | 56 | 62 | 67 | 72 | 78 | 91 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2115 | 4 | 56.95 | 52.95 | 35 | 45 | 52 | 57 | 62 | 68 | 82 |
| Freiburg | 2096 | 9 | 58.97 | 49.97 | 31 | 47 | 54 | 59 | 64 | 70 | 84 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 2084 | 3 | 53.30 | 50.30 | 27 | 42 | 49 | 53 | 58 | 65 | 81 |
| RB Leipzig | 2080 | 3 | 53.27 | 50.27 | 28 | 41 | 48 | 53 | 58 | 65 | 82 |
| FC Augsburg | 2046 | 7 | 52.26 | 45.26 | 26 | 41 | 47 | 52 | 57 | 64 | 77 |
| Mainz 05 | 2042 | 4 | 47.82 | 43.82 | 20 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 52 | 59 | 73 |
| Hoffenheim | 2026 | 3 | 46.15 | 43.15 | 20 | 35 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 58 | 72 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 2018 | 4 | 45.93 | 41.93 | 19 | 35 | 41 | 46 | 51 | 57 | 70 |
| Elversberg | 1987 | 6 | 45.50 | 39.50 | 24 | 34 | 41 | 45 | 50 | 57 | 72 |
| Werder Bremen | 1974 | 4 | 41.13 | 37.13 | 17 | 30 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 64 |
| 1. FC Koln | 1957 | 4 | 38.68 | 34.68 | 15 | 28 | 34 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 69 |
| Schalke 04 | 1945 | 4 | 37.92 | 33.92 | 15 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 42 | 49 | 68 |
| Paderborn 07 | 1927 | 1 | 33.39 | 32.39 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 33 | 38 | 45 | 59 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 1923 | 0 | 31.45 | 31.45 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 31 | 36 | 43 | 58 |
| Union Berlin | 1917 | 1 | 31.22 | 30.22 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 31 | 36 | 42 | 55 |
| Hamburger SV | 1904 | 0 | 30.47 | 30.47 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 30 | 35 | 42 | 56 |
Point Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Final Table Odds
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | 5.72% | 14.61% | 23.15% | 18.06% | 12.44% | 9.35% | 6.44% | 4.50% | 2.50% | 1.44% | 1.01% | 0.38% | 0.23% | 0.09% | 0.04% | 0.04% | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 30.42% | 36.63% | 16.91% | 8.10% | 3.96% | 2.05% | 1.08% | 0.51% | 0.16% | 0.08% | 0.08% | 0.02% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FC Augsburg | 0.77% | 3.15% | 8.24% | 11.35% | 13.14% | 13.89% | 12.59% | 10.87% | 8.24% | 6.58% | 4.53% | 2.99% | 2.05% | 0.94% | 0.35% | 0.25% | 0.05% | 0.02% |
| Elversberg | 0.06% | 0.28% | 1.26% | 3.01% | 4.90% | 7.02% | 8.85% | 10.19% | 11.68% | 11.78% | 11.40% | 9.79% | 7.51% | 5.33% | 3.73% | 1.99% | 0.89% | 0.33% |
| Bayern Munich | 58.12% | 27.21% | 8.80% | 3.24% | 1.65% | 0.64% | 0.19% | 0.07% | 0.06% | 0.02% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.69% | 8.99% | 17.01% | 19.12% | 15.28% | 12.11% | 8.51% | 6.12% | 4.21% | 2.66% | 1.58% | 0.95% | 0.44% | 0.20% | 0.11% | 0.02% | — | — |
| Mainz 05 | 0.15% | 0.66% | 2.89% | 4.86% | 7.43% | 9.68% | 11.04% | 12.61% | 12.56% | 10.85% | 9.02% | 7.20% | 4.63% | 3.22% | 1.77% | 0.88% | 0.41% | 0.14% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 0.06% | 0.39% | 1.54% | 2.68% | 5.12% | 7.13% | 9.03% | 10.19% | 11.46% | 11.83% | 11.56% | 9.78% | 7.78% | 5.02% | 3.39% | 1.73% | 1.00% | 0.31% |
| Werder Bremen | — | 0.02% | 0.25% | 0.74% | 1.45% | 2.70% | 4.07% | 5.75% | 7.44% | 10.23% | 11.92% | 12.91% | 12.64% | 10.84% | 8.17% | 5.71% | 3.46% | 1.70% |
| Schalke 04 | — | 0.04% | 0.13% | 0.34% | 0.56% | 0.93% | 1.94% | 3.17% | 4.42% | 6.58% | 8.87% | 11.53% | 13.24% | 14.05% | 12.16% | 10.61% | 7.26% | 4.17% |
| 1. FC Koln | — | 0.04% | 0.18% | 0.26% | 0.61% | 1.06% | 2.23% | 3.27% | 4.95% | 7.10% | 9.30% | 11.99% | 14.03% | 13.75% | 12.65% | 9.31% | 6.12% | 3.15% |
| RB Leipzig | 1.17% | 3.87% | 9.15% | 12.51% | 14.84% | 12.60% | 12.13% | 9.90% | 8.17% | 5.97% | 4.03% | 2.58% | 1.66% | 0.78% | 0.37% | 0.16% | 0.08% | 0.03% |
| Hoffenheim | 0.03% | 0.45% | 1.69% | 3.33% | 5.03% | 6.74% | 9.01% | 10.32% | 12.08% | 12.33% | 11.14% | 9.81% | 6.94% | 5.02% | 3.25% | 1.75% | 0.80% | 0.28% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 0.81% | 3.66% | 8.79% | 12.34% | 13.41% | 13.66% | 12.00% | 10.34% | 8.20% | 6.27% | 4.60% | 2.75% | 1.60% | 0.96% | 0.40% | 0.16% | 0.04% | 0.01% |
| Paderborn 07 | — | — | 0.01% | 0.05% | 0.08% | 0.20% | 0.32% | 0.92% | 1.56% | 2.39% | 4.10% | 5.71% | 9.18% | 12.73% | 15.09% | 17.07% | 16.94% | 13.65% |
| Union Berlin | — | — | — | 0.01% | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.18% | 0.44% | 0.75% | 1.45% | 2.18% | 4.11% | 6.39% | 9.19% | 13.57% | 17.42% | 21.23% | 23.00% |
| Hamburger SV | — | — | — | — | 0.03% | 0.09% | 0.19% | 0.34% | 0.59% | 1.09% | 1.95% | 3.43% | 5.39% | 8.44% | 11.87% | 16.86% | 21.30% | 28.43% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | — | — | — | — | 0.06% | 0.08% | 0.20% | 0.49% | 0.97% | 1.35% | 2.73% | 4.07% | 6.29% | 9.44% | 13.08% | 16.04% | 20.42% | 24.78% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Next-Season Status
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations, the probability of each team's next-season status. Columns appear in best-to-worst outcome order: promotion-positive on the left, relegation-positive on the right. Cells with darker shading indicate higher likelihood.
| Team | Same level | Lost relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 100% | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 100% | — | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 99.98% | 0.02% | — |
| Freiburg | 99.96% | 0.04% | — |
| VfB Stuttgart | 99.79% | 0.16% | 0.05% |
| RB Leipzig | 99.73% | 0.16% | 0.11% |
| FC Augsburg | 99.68% | 0.25% | 0.07% |
| Mainz 05 | 98.57% | 0.88% | 0.55% |
| Hoffenheim | 97.17% | 1.75% | 1.08% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 96.96% | 1.73% | 1.31% |
| Elversberg | 96.79% | 1.99% | 1.22% |
| Werder Bremen | 89.13% | 5.71% | 5.16% |
| 1. FC Koln | 81.42% | 9.31% | 9.27% |
| Schalke 04 | 77.96% | 10.61% | 11.43% |
| Paderborn 07 | 52.34% | 17.07% | 30.59% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 38.76% | 16.04% | 45.20% |
| Union Berlin | 38.35% | 17.42% | 44.23% |
| Hamburger SV | 33.41% | 16.86% | 49.73% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Excitement | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | VfB Stuttgart | W 5-1 | 66.0 | 2219 | 2104 | 56.68% | 24.64% | 18.68% | +1.01 | +25.4 | 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-5 | 66.0 | 2104 | 2219 | 18.68% | 24.64% | 56.68% | -1.01 | -25.4 | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-0 | 68.3 | 2086 | 2007 | 52.76% | 25.18% | 22.06% | +0.78 | +26.9 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ RB Leipzig | L 0-3 | 68.3 | 2007 | 2086 | 22.06% | 25.18% | 52.76% | -0.78 | -26.9 | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Paderborn 07 | D 0-0 | 84.7 | 2011 | 1953 | 50.27% | 25.44% | 24.30% | +0.64 | -2.4 | 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 84.7 | 1953 | 2011 | 24.30% | 25.44% | 50.27% | -0.64 | +2.4 | 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 3-3 | 84.4 | 1978 | 2025 | 36.30% | 25.99% | 37.71% | -0.03 | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Union Berlin | D 3-3 | 84.4 | 2025 | 1978 | 37.71% | 25.99% | 36.30% | +0.03 | -0.1 | 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | Hoffenheim | W 3-2 | 80.1 | 1964 | 2035 | 33.09% | 25.95% | 40.97% | -0.18 | +14.3 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 2-3 | 80.1 | 2035 | 1964 | 40.97% | 25.95% | 33.09% | +0.18 | -14.3 | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-2 | 85.7 | 1955 | 2101 | 23.87% | 25.39% | 50.74% | -0.67 | +17.1 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Elversberg | L 2-3 | 85.7 | 2101 | 1955 | 50.74% | 25.39% | 23.87% | +0.67 | -17.1 | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Hamburger SV | W 2-0 | 64.2 | 2130 | 1984 | 59.71% | 24.09% | 16.20% | +1.21 | +14.1 | 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 64.2 | 1984 | 2130 | 16.20% | 24.09% | 59.71% | -1.21 | -14.1 | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Werder Bremen | W 4-1 | 70.3 | 2016 | 1965 | 49.49% | 25.51% | 25.01% | +0.60 | +25.2 | 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ Freiburg | L 1-4 | 70.3 | 1965 | 2016 | 25.01% | 25.51% | 49.49% | -0.60 | -25.2 | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Schalke 04 | W 3-0 | 71.8 | 1973 | 1942 | 46.98% | 25.69% | 27.33% | +0.47 | +32.1 | 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | @ FC Augsburg | L 0-3 | 71.8 | 1942 | 1973 | 27.33% | 25.69% | 46.98% | -0.47 | -32.1 | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | 1. FC Koln | W 4-1 | 66.9 | 2079 | 1979 | 55.08% | 24.88% | 20.04% | +0.91 | +20.9 | 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-4 | 66.9 | 1979 | 2079 | 20.04% | 24.88% | 55.08% | -0.91 | -20.9 | 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 71.2 | 2020 | 2144 | 26.33% | 25.62% | 48.05% | -0.53 | -10.2 | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Hoffenheim | W 3-2 | 71.2 | 2144 | 2020 | 48.05% | 25.62% | 26.33% | +0.53 | +10.2 | 6 |
| 2026-09-05 | Union Berlin | W 4-0 | 66.6 | 2084 | 1978 | 55.68% | 24.80% | 19.52% | +0.95 | +31.7 | 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-4 | 66.6 | 1978 | 2084 | 19.52% | 24.80% | 55.68% | -0.95 | -31.7 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Elversberg | L 3-4 | 81.8 | 1980 | 1972 | 43.94% | 25.85% | 30.21% | +0.32 | -14.8 | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 4-3 | 81.8 | 1972 | 1980 | 30.21% | 25.85% | 43.94% | -0.32 | +14.8 | 6 |
| 2026-09-05 | RB Leipzig | W 3-1 | 87.3 | 1940 | 2112 | 21.18% | 25.06% | 53.77% | -0.84 | +32.8 | 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-3 | 87.3 | 2112 | 1940 | 53.77% | 25.06% | 21.18% | +0.84 | -32.8 | 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | Freiburg | L 0-1 | 74.1 | 1956 | 2042 | 31.00% | 25.88% | 43.11% | -0.28 | -12.9 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Paderborn 07 | W 1-0 | 74.1 | 2042 | 1956 | 43.11% | 25.88% | 31.00% | +0.28 | +12.9 | 6 |
| 2026-09-05 | Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 87.0 | 1910 | 2245 | 9.93% | 21.71% | 68.36% | -1.88 | +5.9 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | @ Schalke 04 | D 0-0 | 87.0 | 2245 | 1910 | 68.36% | 21.71% | 9.93% | +1.88 | -5.9 | 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | Mainz 05 | L 0-5 | 78.1 | 1970 | 2008 | 37.55% | 25.99% | 36.46% | +0.02 | -66.0 | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Hamburger SV | W 5-0 | 78.1 | 2008 | 1970 | 36.46% | 25.99% | 37.55% | -0.02 | +66.0 | 4 |
| 2026-09-06 | FC Augsburg | L 1-4 | 82.8 | 2025 | 2005 | 45.57% | 25.77% | 28.65% | +0.40 | -40.2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-1 | 82.8 | 2005 | 2025 | 28.65% | 25.77% | 45.57% | -0.40 | +40.2 | 6 |
| 2026-09-11 | Schalke 04 | L 1-3 | 83.5 | 1947 | 1916 | 46.95% | 25.69% | 27.36% | +0.47 | -29.2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | @ Union Berlin | W 3-1 | 83.5 | 1916 | 1947 | 27.36% | 25.69% | 46.95% | -0.47 | +29.2 | 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Paderborn 07 | W 3-0 | 60.7 | 2154 | 1943 | 65.43% | 22.67% | 11.90% | +1.63 | +15.3 | 9 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 60.7 | 1943 | 2154 | 11.90% | 22.67% | 65.43% | -1.63 | -15.3 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 81.7 | 2010 | 2099 | 30.55% | 25.86% | 43.58% | -0.30 | +15.8 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 81.7 | 2099 | 2010 | 43.58% | 25.86% | 30.55% | +0.30 | -15.8 | 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 5-0 | 67.6 | 2055 | 1965 | 53.95% | 25.03% | 21.01% | +0.85 | +41.6 | 9 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Freiburg | L 0-5 | 67.6 | 1965 | 2055 | 21.01% | 25.03% | 53.95% | -0.85 | -41.6 | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 2-2 | 84.4 | 2045 | 2116 | 33.11% | 25.95% | 40.95% | -0.18 | +0.4 | 7 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ FC Augsburg | D 2-2 | 84.4 | 2116 | 2045 | 40.95% | 25.95% | 33.11% | +0.18 | -0.5 | 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-3 | 87.4 | 2074 | 1985 | 53.93% | 25.04% | 21.03% | +0.85 | -32.9 | 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-1 | 87.4 | 1985 | 2074 | 21.03% | 25.04% | 53.93% | -0.85 | +32.9 | 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 84.4 | 1958 | 1973 | 40.83% | 25.95% | 33.22% | +0.17 | -0.6 | 4 |
| 2026-09-12 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 84.4 | 1973 | 1958 | 33.22% | 25.95% | 40.83% | -0.17 | +0.6 | 4 |
Upcoming Games
Remaining games on the team's schedule
| Date | Opponent | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Proj. Margin | Excitement |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Hamburger SV | 2080 | 1904 | 62.42% | 23.49% | 14.09% | +1.40 | 72.1 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ RB Leipzig | 1904 | 2080 | 14.09% | 23.49% | 62.42% | -1.40 | 72.1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Bayern Munich | 1987 | 2239 | 14.64% | 23.66% | 61.70% | -1.35 | 72.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | @ Elversberg | 2239 | 1987 | 61.70% | 23.66% | 14.64% | +1.35 | 72.5 |
| 2026-09-18 | Union Berlin | 2239 | 1917 | 73.12% | 19.76% | 7.12% | +2.34 | 65.3 |
| 2026-09-18 | @ Bayern Munich | 1917 | 2239 | 7.12% | 19.76% | 73.12% | -2.34 | 65.3 |
| 2026-09-19 | Freiburg | 2018 | 2096 | 32.01% | 25.92% | 42.07% | -0.23 | 79.2 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 2096 | 2018 | 42.07% | 25.92% | 32.01% | +0.23 | 79.2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Mainz 05 | 1923 | 2042 | 27.00% | 25.67% | 47.34% | -0.49 | 78.2 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2042 | 1923 | 47.34% | 25.67% | 27.00% | +0.49 | 78.2 |
| 2026-09-19 | 1. FC Koln | 1904 | 1957 | 35.47% | 25.98% | 38.55% | -0.07 | 79.4 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Hamburger SV | 1957 | 1904 | 38.55% | 25.98% | 35.47% | +0.07 | 79.4 |
| 2026-09-19 | FC Augsburg | 1974 | 2046 | 32.80% | 25.94% | 41.26% | -0.19 | 79.3 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ Werder Bremen | 2046 | 1974 | 41.26% | 25.94% | 32.80% | +0.19 | 79.3 |
| 2026-09-19 | Borussia Dortmund | 2084 | 2170 | 31.01% | 25.88% | 43.11% | -0.28 | 79.1 |
| 2026-09-19 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 2170 | 2084 | 43.11% | 25.88% | 31.01% | +0.28 | 79.1 |
| 2026-09-20 | RB Leipzig | 2115 | 2080 | 47.54% | 25.65% | 26.81% | +0.50 | 78.2 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2080 | 2115 | 26.81% | 25.65% | 47.54% | -0.50 | 78.2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Elversberg | 1945 | 1987 | 37.07% | 25.99% | 36.94% | +0.00 | 79.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Schalke 04 | 1987 | 1945 | 36.94% | 25.99% | 37.07% | +0.00 | 79.5 |
| 2026-09-20 | Hoffenheim | 1927 | 2026 | 29.40% | 25.81% | 44.78% | -0.36 | 78.7 |
| 2026-09-20 | @ Paderborn 07 | 2026 | 1927 | 44.78% | 25.81% | 29.40% | +0.36 | 78.7 |
| 2026-10-10 | Werder Bremen | 2170 | 1974 | 64.17% | 23.03% | 12.80% | +1.53 | 71.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 1974 | 2170 | 12.80% | 23.03% | 64.17% | -1.53 | 71.1 |
| 2026-10-10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2080 | 2018 | 50.77% | 25.39% | 23.84% | +0.67 | 77.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ RB Leipzig | 2018 | 2080 | 23.84% | 25.39% | 50.77% | -0.67 | 77.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | Hamburger SV | 2026 | 1904 | 57.36% | 24.53% | 18.11% | +1.05 | 74.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Hoffenheim | 1904 | 2026 | 18.11% | 24.53% | 57.36% | -1.05 | 74.6 |
| 2026-10-10 | Schalke 04 | 2096 | 1945 | 60.21% | 23.99% | 15.80% | +1.24 | 73.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Freiburg | 1945 | 2096 | 15.80% | 23.99% | 60.21% | -1.24 | 73.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Bayern Munich | 2046 | 2239 | 19.28% | 24.75% | 55.97% | -0.97 | 75.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ FC Augsburg | 2239 | 2046 | 55.97% | 24.75% | 19.28% | +0.97 | 75.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2042 | 2115 | 32.64% | 25.93% | 41.42% | -0.20 | 79.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Mainz 05 | 2115 | 2042 | 41.42% | 25.93% | 32.64% | +0.20 | 79.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Elversberg | 1917 | 1987 | 33.20% | 25.95% | 40.85% | -0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Union Berlin | 1987 | 1917 | 40.85% | 25.95% | 33.20% | +0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2026-10-10 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 1957 | 1923 | 47.34% | 25.67% | 26.99% | +0.49 | 78.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1923 | 1957 | 26.99% | 25.67% | 47.34% | -0.49 | 78.2 |
| 2026-10-10 | VfB Stuttgart | 1927 | 2084 | 22.79% | 25.27% | 51.93% | -0.73 | 76.8 |
| 2026-10-10 | @ Paderborn 07 | 2084 | 1927 | 51.93% | 25.27% | 22.79% | +0.73 | 76.8 |
| 2026-10-17 | RB Leipzig | 2239 | 2080 | 60.94% | 23.83% | 15.23% | +1.29 | 72.9 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Bayern Munich | 2080 | 2239 | 15.23% | 23.83% | 60.94% | -1.29 | 72.9 |
| 2026-10-17 | Freiburg | 2115 | 2096 | 45.43% | 25.78% | 28.79% | +0.39 | 78.7 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2096 | 2115 | 28.79% | 25.78% | 45.43% | -0.39 | 78.7 |
| 2026-10-17 | 1. FC Koln | 2018 | 1957 | 50.65% | 25.40% | 23.95% | +0.66 | 77.3 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1957 | 2018 | 23.95% | 25.40% | 50.65% | -0.66 | 77.3 |
| 2026-10-17 | Borussia Dortmund | 1917 | 2170 | 14.62% | 23.65% | 61.73% | -1.35 | 72.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Union Berlin | 2170 | 1917 | 61.73% | 23.65% | 14.62% | +1.35 | 72.5 |
| 2026-10-17 | Hoffenheim | 1923 | 2026 | 28.89% | 25.79% | 45.33% | -0.39 | 78.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2026 | 1923 | 45.33% | 25.79% | 28.89% | +0.39 | 78.6 |
| 2026-10-17 | VfB Stuttgart | 1904 | 2084 | 20.49% | 24.96% | 54.55% | -0.88 | 75.9 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Hamburger SV | 2084 | 1904 | 54.55% | 24.96% | 20.49% | +0.88 | 75.9 |
| 2026-10-17 | Paderborn 07 | 1974 | 1927 | 48.87% | 25.56% | 25.58% | +0.57 | 77.8 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Werder Bremen | 1927 | 1974 | 25.58% | 25.56% | 48.87% | -0.57 | 77.8 |
| 2026-10-17 | Mainz 05 | 1945 | 2042 | 29.64% | 25.82% | 44.53% | -0.35 | 78.8 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Schalke 04 | 2042 | 1945 | 44.53% | 25.82% | 29.64% | +0.35 | 78.8 |
| 2026-10-17 | FC Augsburg | 1987 | 2046 | 34.62% | 25.97% | 39.41% | -0.11 | 79.4 |
| 2026-10-17 | @ Elversberg | 2046 | 1987 | 39.41% | 25.97% | 34.62% | +0.11 | 79.4 |
| 2026-10-24 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2170 | 2018 | 60.26% | 23.98% | 15.76% | +1.25 | 73.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2018 | 2170 | 15.76% | 23.98% | 60.26% | -1.25 | 73.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | Elversberg | 2080 | 1987 | 54.31% | 24.99% | 20.70% | +0.87 | 76.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ RB Leipzig | 1987 | 2080 | 20.70% | 24.99% | 54.31% | -0.87 | 76.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2084 | 1923 | 61.06% | 23.81% | 15.13% | +1.30 | 72.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1923 | 2084 | 15.13% | 23.81% | 61.06% | -1.30 | 72.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2026 | 2115 | 30.59% | 25.87% | 43.55% | -0.30 | 79.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Hoffenheim | 2115 | 2026 | 43.55% | 25.87% | 30.59% | +0.30 | 79.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | Bayern Munich | 2096 | 2239 | 24.24% | 25.43% | 50.33% | -0.65 | 77.4 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Freiburg | 2239 | 2096 | 50.33% | 25.43% | 24.24% | +0.65 | 77.4 |
| 2026-10-24 | Union Berlin | 2046 | 1917 | 58.03% | 24.41% | 17.56% | +1.10 | 74.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ FC Augsburg | 1917 | 2046 | 17.56% | 24.41% | 58.03% | -1.10 | 74.3 |
| 2026-10-24 | Werder Bremen | 2042 | 1974 | 51.50% | 25.32% | 23.18% | +0.71 | 77.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Mainz 05 | 1974 | 2042 | 23.18% | 25.32% | 51.50% | -0.71 | 77.0 |
| 2026-10-24 | Schalke 04 | 1957 | 1945 | 44.53% | 25.82% | 29.64% | +0.35 | 78.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1945 | 1957 | 29.64% | 25.82% | 44.53% | -0.35 | 78.8 |
| 2026-10-24 | Hamburger SV | 1927 | 1904 | 46.00% | 25.75% | 28.25% | +0.42 | 78.5 |
| 2026-10-24 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1904 | 1927 | 28.25% | 25.75% | 46.00% | -0.42 | 78.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | Borussia Dortmund | 2239 | 2170 | 51.63% | 25.30% | 23.07% | +0.72 | 77.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Bayern Munich | 2170 | 2239 | 23.07% | 25.30% | 51.63% | -0.72 | 77.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | VfB Stuttgart | 2115 | 2084 | 47.04% | 25.69% | 27.28% | +0.47 | 78.3 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2084 | 2115 | 27.28% | 25.69% | 47.04% | -0.47 | 78.3 |
| 2026-10-31 | Hamburger SV | 2018 | 1904 | 56.53% | 24.66% | 18.80% | +1.00 | 75.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1904 | 2018 | 18.80% | 24.66% | 56.53% | -1.00 | 75.0 |
| 2026-10-31 | Freiburg | 2046 | 2096 | 35.85% | 25.99% | 38.16% | -0.05 | 79.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ FC Augsburg | 2096 | 2046 | 38.16% | 25.99% | 35.85% | +0.05 | 79.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | 1. FC Koln | 1917 | 1957 | 37.36% | 25.99% | 36.65% | +0.02 | 79.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Union Berlin | 1957 | 1917 | 36.65% | 25.99% | 37.36% | -0.02 | 79.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | Paderborn 07 | 1923 | 1927 | 42.35% | 25.91% | 31.74% | +0.24 | 79.1 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1927 | 1923 | 31.74% | 25.91% | 42.35% | -0.24 | 79.1 |
| 2026-10-31 | Hoffenheim | 1974 | 2026 | 35.55% | 25.98% | 38.46% | -0.07 | 79.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Werder Bremen | 2026 | 1974 | 38.46% | 25.98% | 35.55% | +0.07 | 79.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | RB Leipzig | 1945 | 2080 | 25.11% | 25.51% | 49.38% | -0.59 | 77.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Schalke 04 | 2080 | 1945 | 49.38% | 25.51% | 25.11% | +0.59 | 77.7 |
| 2026-10-31 | Mainz 05 | 1987 | 2042 | 35.22% | 25.98% | 38.79% | -0.08 | 79.5 |
| 2026-10-31 | @ Elversberg | 2042 | 1987 | 38.79% | 25.98% | 35.22% | +0.08 | 79.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | Elversberg | 2170 | 1987 | 63.05% | 23.33% | 13.62% | +1.45 | 71.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 1987 | 2170 | 13.62% | 23.33% | 63.05% | -1.45 | 71.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | FC Augsburg | 2080 | 2046 | 47.34% | 25.67% | 26.99% | +0.49 | 78.2 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ RB Leipzig | 2046 | 2080 | 26.99% | 25.67% | 47.34% | -0.49 | 78.2 |
| 2026-11-07 | Werder Bremen | 2084 | 1974 | 56.16% | 24.72% | 19.12% | +0.98 | 75.2 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1974 | 2084 | 19.12% | 24.72% | 56.16% | -0.98 | 75.2 |
| 2026-11-07 | Schalke 04 | 2026 | 1945 | 52.98% | 25.15% | 21.87% | +0.79 | 76.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Hoffenheim | 1945 | 2026 | 21.87% | 25.15% | 52.98% | -0.79 | 76.5 |
| 2026-11-07 | Union Berlin | 2096 | 1917 | 62.70% | 23.42% | 13.88% | +1.42 | 71.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Freiburg | 1917 | 2096 | 13.88% | 23.42% | 62.70% | -1.42 | 71.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bayern Munich | 2042 | 2239 | 18.89% | 24.68% | 56.42% | -1.00 | 75.1 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Mainz 05 | 2239 | 2042 | 56.42% | 24.68% | 18.89% | +1.00 | 75.1 |
| 2026-11-07 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 1904 | 1923 | 40.27% | 25.96% | 33.77% | +0.15 | 79.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Hamburger SV | 1923 | 1904 | 33.77% | 25.96% | 40.27% | -0.15 | 79.3 |
| 2026-11-07 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1957 | 2115 | 22.61% | 25.25% | 52.14% | -0.74 | 76.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ 1. FC Koln | 2115 | 1957 | 52.14% | 25.25% | 22.61% | +0.74 | 76.8 |
| 2026-11-07 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1927 | 2018 | 30.42% | 25.86% | 43.72% | -0.31 | 78.9 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ Paderborn 07 | 2018 | 1927 | 43.72% | 25.86% | 30.42% | +0.31 | 78.9 |
| 2026-11-21 | 1. FC Koln | 2239 | 1957 | 70.55% | 20.87% | 8.57% | +2.08 | 67.1 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Bayern Munich | 1957 | 2239 | 8.57% | 20.87% | 70.55% | -2.08 | 67.1 |
| 2026-11-21 | Paderborn 07 | 2115 | 1927 | 63.46% | 23.23% | 13.32% | +1.48 | 71.5 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1927 | 2115 | 13.32% | 23.23% | 63.46% | -1.48 | 71.5 |
| 2026-11-21 | Hoffenheim | 2018 | 2026 | 41.82% | 25.92% | 32.26% | +0.22 | 79.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 2026 | 2018 | 32.26% | 25.92% | 41.82% | -0.22 | 79.2 |
| 2026-11-21 | Mainz 05 | 2046 | 2042 | 43.50% | 25.87% | 30.64% | +0.30 | 79.0 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ FC Augsburg | 2042 | 2046 | 30.64% | 25.87% | 43.50% | -0.30 | 79.0 |
| 2026-11-21 | RB Leipzig | 1917 | 2080 | 22.17% | 25.19% | 52.63% | -0.77 | 76.6 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Union Berlin | 2080 | 1917 | 52.63% | 25.19% | 22.17% | +0.77 | 76.6 |
| 2026-11-21 | Borussia Dortmund | 1923 | 2170 | 15.03% | 23.78% | 61.19% | -1.31 | 72.8 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2170 | 1923 | 61.19% | 23.78% | 15.03% | +1.31 | 72.8 |
| 2026-11-21 | Hamburger SV | 1974 | 1904 | 51.66% | 25.30% | 23.04% | +0.72 | 76.9 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Werder Bremen | 1904 | 1974 | 23.04% | 25.30% | 51.66% | -0.72 | 76.9 |
| 2026-11-21 | VfB Stuttgart | 1945 | 2084 | 24.66% | 25.47% | 49.86% | -0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Schalke 04 | 2084 | 1945 | 49.86% | 25.47% | 24.66% | +0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2026-11-21 | Freiburg | 1987 | 2096 | 28.06% | 25.74% | 46.21% | -0.43 | 78.5 |
| 2026-11-21 | @ Elversberg | 2096 | 1987 | 46.21% | 25.74% | 28.06% | +0.43 | 78.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2170 | 2115 | 49.90% | 25.47% | 24.63% | +0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2115 | 2170 | 24.63% | 25.47% | 49.90% | -0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2084 | 2018 | 51.24% | 25.34% | 23.42% | +0.69 | 77.1 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 2018 | 2084 | 23.42% | 25.34% | 51.24% | -0.69 | 77.1 |
| 2026-11-28 | FC Augsburg | 2026 | 2046 | 40.17% | 25.96% | 33.87% | +0.14 | 79.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Hoffenheim | 2046 | 2026 | 33.87% | 25.96% | 40.17% | -0.14 | 79.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | RB Leipzig | 2096 | 2080 | 45.11% | 25.80% | 29.09% | +0.38 | 78.7 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Freiburg | 2080 | 2096 | 29.09% | 25.80% | 45.11% | -0.38 | 78.7 |
| 2026-11-28 | Union Berlin | 2042 | 1917 | 57.59% | 24.49% | 17.92% | +1.07 | 74.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Mainz 05 | 1917 | 2042 | 17.92% | 24.49% | 57.59% | -1.07 | 74.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | Bayern Munich | 1904 | 2239 | 9.93% | 21.71% | 68.36% | -1.88 | 68.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Hamburger SV | 2239 | 1904 | 68.36% | 21.71% | 9.93% | +1.88 | 68.5 |
| 2026-11-28 | Elversberg | 1957 | 1987 | 38.80% | 25.98% | 35.22% | +0.08 | 79.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1987 | 1957 | 35.22% | 25.98% | 38.80% | -0.08 | 79.4 |
| 2026-11-28 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 1974 | 1923 | 49.37% | 25.51% | 25.11% | +0.59 | 77.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Werder Bremen | 1923 | 1974 | 25.11% | 25.51% | 49.37% | -0.59 | 77.6 |
| 2026-11-28 | Schalke 04 | 1927 | 1945 | 40.50% | 25.96% | 33.54% | +0.16 | 79.3 |
| 2026-11-28 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1945 | 1927 | 33.54% | 25.96% | 40.50% | -0.16 | 79.3 |
| 2026-12-05 | Borussia Dortmund | 1945 | 2170 | 16.63% | 24.20% | 59.17% | -1.17 | 73.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Schalke 04 | 2170 | 1945 | 59.17% | 24.20% | 16.63% | +1.17 | 73.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | Paderborn 07 | 2239 | 1927 | 72.49% | 20.05% | 7.46% | +2.27 | 65.7 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Bayern Munich | 1927 | 2239 | 7.46% | 20.05% | 72.49% | -2.27 | 65.7 |
| 2026-12-05 | Mainz 05 | 2080 | 2042 | 47.88% | 25.63% | 26.49% | +0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ RB Leipzig | 2042 | 2080 | 26.49% | 25.63% | 47.88% | -0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2026-12-05 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2115 | 1923 | 63.81% | 23.13% | 13.06% | +1.50 | 71.3 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1923 | 2115 | 13.06% | 23.13% | 63.81% | -1.50 | 71.3 |
| 2026-12-05 | Hoffenheim | 2096 | 2026 | 51.76% | 25.29% | 22.95% | +0.72 | 76.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Freiburg | 2026 | 2096 | 22.95% | 25.29% | 51.76% | -0.72 | 76.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | Werder Bremen | 2018 | 1974 | 48.66% | 25.57% | 25.76% | +0.56 | 77.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1974 | 2018 | 25.76% | 25.57% | 48.66% | -0.56 | 77.9 |
| 2026-12-05 | 1. FC Koln | 2046 | 1957 | 53.86% | 25.05% | 21.10% | +0.84 | 76.1 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ FC Augsburg | 1957 | 2046 | 21.10% | 25.05% | 53.86% | -0.84 | 76.1 |
| 2026-12-05 | Hamburger SV | 1917 | 1904 | 44.69% | 25.82% | 29.50% | +0.36 | 78.7 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Union Berlin | 1904 | 1917 | 29.50% | 25.82% | 44.69% | -0.36 | 78.7 |
| 2026-12-05 | VfB Stuttgart | 1987 | 2084 | 29.60% | 25.82% | 44.58% | -0.35 | 78.8 |
| 2026-12-05 | @ Elversberg | 2084 | 1987 | 44.58% | 25.82% | 29.60% | +0.35 | 78.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | FC Augsburg | 2170 | 2046 | 57.55% | 24.50% | 17.95% | +1.07 | 74.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2046 | 2170 | 17.95% | 24.50% | 57.55% | -1.07 | 74.6 |
| 2026-12-12 | Union Berlin | 2084 | 1917 | 61.60% | 23.69% | 14.72% | +1.34 | 72.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1917 | 2084 | 14.72% | 23.69% | 61.60% | -1.34 | 72.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | Bayern Munich | 2026 | 2239 | 17.57% | 24.42% | 58.01% | -1.10 | 74.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Hoffenheim | 2239 | 2026 | 58.01% | 24.42% | 17.57% | +1.10 | 74.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | Freiburg | 2042 | 2096 | 35.24% | 25.98% | 38.78% | -0.08 | 79.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Mainz 05 | 2096 | 2042 | 38.78% | 25.98% | 35.24% | +0.08 | 79.5 |
| 2026-12-12 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1923 | 2018 | 29.89% | 25.84% | 44.27% | -0.34 | 78.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2018 | 1923 | 44.27% | 25.84% | 29.89% | +0.34 | 78.8 |
| 2026-12-12 | Schalke 04 | 1904 | 1945 | 37.20% | 25.99% | 36.81% | +0.01 | 79.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Hamburger SV | 1945 | 1904 | 36.81% | 25.99% | 37.20% | -0.01 | 79.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | RB Leipzig | 1957 | 2080 | 26.49% | 25.63% | 47.88% | -0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ 1. FC Koln | 2080 | 1957 | 47.88% | 25.63% | 26.49% | +0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2026-12-12 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1974 | 2115 | 24.35% | 25.44% | 50.21% | -0.64 | 77.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Werder Bremen | 2115 | 1974 | 50.21% | 25.44% | 24.35% | +0.64 | 77.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | Elversberg | 1927 | 1987 | 34.59% | 25.97% | 39.44% | -0.11 | 79.4 |
| 2026-12-12 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1987 | 1927 | 39.44% | 25.97% | 34.59% | +0.11 | 79.4 |
| 2026-12-19 | Werder Bremen | 2239 | 1974 | 69.43% | 21.31% | 9.26% | +1.98 | 67.8 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Bayern Munich | 1974 | 2239 | 9.26% | 21.31% | 69.43% | -1.98 | 67.8 |
| 2026-12-19 | Borussia Dortmund | 2080 | 2170 | 30.49% | 25.86% | 43.65% | -0.31 | 79.0 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ RB Leipzig | 2170 | 2080 | 43.65% | 25.86% | 30.49% | +0.31 | 79.0 |
| 2026-12-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2115 | 2018 | 54.78% | 24.92% | 20.30% | +0.90 | 75.8 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2018 | 2115 | 20.30% | 24.92% | 54.78% | -0.90 | 75.8 |
| 2026-12-19 | VfB Stuttgart | 2096 | 2084 | 44.58% | 25.82% | 29.59% | +0.35 | 78.8 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Freiburg | 2084 | 2096 | 29.59% | 25.82% | 44.58% | -0.35 | 78.8 |
| 2026-12-19 | Paderborn 07 | 2046 | 1927 | 57.01% | 24.59% | 18.40% | +1.03 | 74.8 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ FC Augsburg | 1927 | 2046 | 18.40% | 24.59% | 57.01% | -1.03 | 74.8 |
| 2026-12-19 | 1. FC Koln | 2042 | 1957 | 53.38% | 25.11% | 21.52% | +0.81 | 76.3 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Mainz 05 | 1957 | 2042 | 21.52% | 25.11% | 53.38% | -0.81 | 76.3 |
| 2026-12-19 | Hoffenheim | 1917 | 2026 | 28.16% | 25.74% | 46.10% | -0.43 | 78.5 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Union Berlin | 2026 | 1917 | 46.10% | 25.74% | 28.16% | +0.43 | 78.5 |
| 2026-12-19 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 1945 | 1923 | 45.79% | 25.76% | 28.45% | +0.41 | 78.5 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Schalke 04 | 1923 | 1945 | 28.45% | 25.76% | 45.79% | -0.41 | 78.5 |
| 2026-12-19 | Hamburger SV | 1987 | 1904 | 53.18% | 25.13% | 21.69% | +0.80 | 76.4 |
| 2026-12-19 | @ Elversberg | 1904 | 1987 | 21.69% | 25.13% | 53.18% | -0.80 | 76.4 |
| 2027-01-09 | Mainz 05 | 2170 | 2042 | 57.98% | 24.42% | 17.60% | +1.09 | 74.4 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2042 | 2170 | 17.60% | 24.42% | 57.98% | -1.09 | 74.4 |
| 2027-01-09 | FC Augsburg | 2084 | 2046 | 47.84% | 25.63% | 26.52% | +0.51 | 78.1 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 2046 | 2084 | 26.52% | 25.63% | 47.84% | -0.51 | 78.1 |
| 2027-01-09 | Elversberg | 2026 | 1987 | 48.01% | 25.62% | 26.37% | +0.52 | 78.0 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Hoffenheim | 1987 | 2026 | 26.37% | 25.62% | 48.01% | -0.52 | 78.0 |
| 2027-01-09 | Schalke 04 | 2018 | 1945 | 52.07% | 25.26% | 22.68% | +0.74 | 76.8 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1945 | 2018 | 22.68% | 25.26% | 52.07% | -0.74 | 76.8 |
| 2027-01-09 | Bayern Munich | 1923 | 2239 | 10.87% | 22.20% | 66.93% | -1.76 | 69.4 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2239 | 1923 | 66.93% | 22.20% | 10.87% | +1.76 | 69.4 |
| 2027-01-09 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1904 | 2115 | 17.72% | 24.45% | 57.83% | -1.08 | 74.4 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Hamburger SV | 2115 | 1904 | 57.83% | 24.45% | 17.72% | +1.08 | 74.4 |
| 2027-01-09 | Freiburg | 1957 | 2096 | 24.62% | 25.47% | 49.91% | -0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ 1. FC Koln | 2096 | 1957 | 49.91% | 25.47% | 24.62% | +0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2027-01-09 | Union Berlin | 1974 | 1917 | 50.09% | 25.45% | 24.46% | +0.63 | 77.4 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Werder Bremen | 1917 | 1974 | 24.46% | 25.45% | 50.09% | -0.63 | 77.4 |
| 2027-01-09 | RB Leipzig | 1927 | 2080 | 23.21% | 25.32% | 51.47% | -0.71 | 77.0 |
| 2027-01-09 | @ Paderborn 07 | 2080 | 1927 | 51.47% | 25.32% | 23.21% | +0.71 | 77.0 |
| 2027-01-13 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2239 | 2115 | 57.54% | 24.50% | 17.96% | +1.07 | 74.6 |
| 2027-01-13 | @ Bayern Munich | 2115 | 2239 | 17.96% | 24.50% | 57.54% | -1.07 | 74.6 |
| 2027-01-13 | VfB Stuttgart | 2080 | 2084 | 42.37% | 25.91% | 31.72% | +0.25 | 79.2 |
| 2027-01-13 | @ RB Leipzig | 2084 | 2080 | 31.72% | 25.91% | 42.37% | -0.25 | 79.2 |
| 2027-01-13 | Hamburger SV | 2096 | 1904 | 63.83% | 23.13% | 13.04% | +1.51 | 71.3 |
| 2027-01-13 | @ Freiburg | 1904 | 2096 | 13.04% | 23.13% | 63.83% | -1.51 | 71.3 |
| 2027-01-13 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2046 | 1923 | 57.43% | 24.52% | 18.05% | +1.06 | 74.6 |
| 2027-01-13 | @ FC Augsburg | 1923 | 2046 | 18.05% | 24.52% | 57.43% | -1.06 | 74.6 |
| 2027-01-13 | Hoffenheim | 2042 | 2026 | 45.00% | 25.80% | 29.20% | +0.37 | 78.7 |
| 2027-01-13 | @ Mainz 05 | 2026 | 2042 | 29.20% | 25.80% | 45.00% | -0.37 | 78.7 |
| 2027-01-13 | Paderborn 07 | 1917 | 1927 | 41.54% | 25.93% | 32.53% | +0.21 | 79.2 |
| 2027-01-13 | @ Union Berlin | 1927 | 1917 | 32.53% | 25.93% | 41.54% | -0.21 | 79.2 |
| 2027-01-13 | Borussia Dortmund | 1957 | 2170 | 17.60% | 24.42% | 57.98% | -1.09 | 74.4 |
| 2027-01-13 | @ 1. FC Koln | 2170 | 1957 | 57.98% | 24.42% | 17.60% | +1.09 | 74.4 |
| 2027-01-13 | Werder Bremen | 1945 | 1974 | 38.96% | 25.98% | 35.06% | +0.09 | 79.4 |
| 2027-01-13 | @ Schalke 04 | 1974 | 1945 | 35.06% | 25.98% | 38.96% | -0.09 | 79.4 |
| 2027-01-13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1987 | 2018 | 38.59% | 25.98% | 35.42% | +0.07 | 79.5 |
| 2027-01-13 | @ Elversberg | 2018 | 1987 | 35.42% | 25.98% | 38.59% | -0.07 | 79.5 |
| 2027-01-16 | Freiburg | 2170 | 2096 | 52.13% | 25.25% | 22.62% | +0.74 | 76.8 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2096 | 2170 | 22.62% | 25.25% | 52.13% | -0.74 | 76.8 |
| 2027-01-16 | Mainz 05 | 2084 | 2042 | 48.38% | 25.59% | 26.02% | +0.54 | 78.0 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 2042 | 2084 | 26.02% | 25.59% | 48.38% | -0.54 | 78.0 |
| 2027-01-16 | RB Leipzig | 2026 | 2080 | 35.37% | 25.98% | 38.65% | -0.07 | 79.5 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Hoffenheim | 2080 | 2026 | 38.65% | 25.98% | 35.37% | +0.07 | 79.5 |
| 2027-01-16 | Schalke 04 | 2115 | 1945 | 61.93% | 23.61% | 14.46% | +1.36 | 72.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1945 | 2115 | 14.46% | 23.61% | 61.93% | -1.36 | 72.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | Bayern Munich | 2018 | 2239 | 16.93% | 24.27% | 58.80% | -1.15 | 74.0 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 2239 | 2018 | 58.80% | 24.27% | 16.93% | +1.15 | 74.0 |
| 2027-01-16 | Union Berlin | 1923 | 1917 | 43.71% | 25.86% | 30.43% | +0.31 | 78.9 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1917 | 1923 | 30.43% | 25.86% | 43.71% | -0.31 | 78.9 |
| 2027-01-16 | FC Augsburg | 1904 | 2046 | 24.33% | 25.44% | 50.23% | -0.64 | 77.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Hamburger SV | 2046 | 1904 | 50.23% | 25.44% | 24.33% | +0.64 | 77.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | Elversberg | 1974 | 1987 | 41.09% | 25.94% | 32.96% | +0.19 | 79.3 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Werder Bremen | 1987 | 1974 | 32.96% | 25.94% | 41.09% | -0.19 | 79.3 |
| 2027-01-16 | 1. FC Koln | 1927 | 1957 | 38.80% | 25.98% | 35.22% | +0.08 | 79.4 |
| 2027-01-16 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1957 | 1927 | 35.22% | 25.98% | 38.80% | -0.08 | 79.4 |
| 2027-01-23 | Bayern Munich | 2084 | 2239 | 22.91% | 25.29% | 51.80% | -0.73 | 76.9 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 2239 | 2084 | 51.80% | 25.29% | 22.91% | +0.73 | 76.9 |
| 2027-01-23 | Borussia Dortmund | 1904 | 2170 | 13.74% | 23.37% | 62.89% | -1.44 | 71.8 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Hamburger SV | 2170 | 1904 | 62.89% | 23.37% | 13.74% | +1.44 | 71.8 |
| 2027-01-23 | RB Leipzig | 1923 | 2080 | 22.78% | 25.27% | 51.95% | -0.73 | 76.8 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2080 | 1923 | 51.95% | 25.27% | 22.78% | +0.73 | 76.8 |
| 2027-01-23 | Freiburg | 1974 | 2096 | 26.48% | 25.63% | 47.90% | -0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Werder Bremen | 2096 | 1974 | 47.90% | 25.63% | 26.48% | +0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2027-01-23 | FC Augsburg | 1945 | 2046 | 29.10% | 25.80% | 45.10% | -0.38 | 78.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Schalke 04 | 2046 | 1945 | 45.10% | 25.80% | 29.10% | +0.38 | 78.7 |
| 2027-01-23 | Mainz 05 | 1927 | 2042 | 27.49% | 25.70% | 46.81% | -0.46 | 78.3 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Paderborn 07 | 2042 | 1927 | 46.81% | 25.70% | 27.49% | +0.46 | 78.3 |
| 2027-01-23 | Union Berlin | 2018 | 1917 | 55.14% | 24.87% | 19.99% | +0.92 | 75.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1917 | 2018 | 19.99% | 24.87% | 55.14% | -0.92 | 75.6 |
| 2027-01-23 | 1. FC Koln | 2026 | 1957 | 51.59% | 25.31% | 23.10% | +0.71 | 77.0 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Hoffenheim | 1957 | 2026 | 23.10% | 25.31% | 51.59% | -0.71 | 77.0 |
| 2027-01-23 | Elversberg | 2115 | 1987 | 58.00% | 24.42% | 17.58% | +1.10 | 74.4 |
| 2027-01-23 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1987 | 2115 | 17.58% | 24.42% | 58.00% | -1.10 | 74.4 |
| 2027-01-30 | VfB Stuttgart | 1957 | 2084 | 26.03% | 25.59% | 48.38% | -0.54 | 77.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ 1. FC Koln | 2084 | 1957 | 48.38% | 25.59% | 26.03% | +0.54 | 77.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | Hoffenheim | 2170 | 2026 | 59.50% | 24.14% | 16.36% | +1.20 | 73.7 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2026 | 2170 | 16.36% | 24.14% | 59.50% | -1.20 | 73.7 |
| 2027-01-30 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1917 | 2115 | 18.85% | 24.67% | 56.48% | -1.00 | 75.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Union Berlin | 2115 | 1917 | 56.48% | 24.67% | 18.85% | +1.00 | 75.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2046 | 2018 | 46.60% | 25.71% | 27.69% | +0.45 | 78.4 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ FC Augsburg | 2018 | 2046 | 27.69% | 25.71% | 46.60% | -0.45 | 78.4 |
| 2027-01-30 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 1987 | 1923 | 50.97% | 25.37% | 23.66% | +0.68 | 77.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Elversberg | 1923 | 1987 | 23.66% | 25.37% | 50.97% | -0.68 | 77.1 |
| 2027-01-30 | Hamburger SV | 2042 | 1904 | 58.90% | 24.25% | 16.84% | +1.16 | 73.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Mainz 05 | 1904 | 2042 | 16.84% | 24.25% | 58.90% | -1.16 | 73.9 |
| 2027-01-30 | Werder Bremen | 2080 | 1974 | 55.74% | 24.79% | 19.47% | +0.95 | 75.4 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ RB Leipzig | 1974 | 2080 | 19.47% | 24.79% | 55.74% | -0.95 | 75.4 |
| 2027-01-30 | Schalke 04 | 2239 | 1945 | 71.36% | 20.54% | 8.10% | +2.16 | 66.5 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Bayern Munich | 1945 | 2239 | 8.10% | 20.54% | 71.36% | -2.16 | 66.5 |
| 2027-01-30 | Paderborn 07 | 2096 | 1927 | 61.81% | 23.64% | 14.55% | +1.36 | 72.4 |
| 2027-01-30 | @ Freiburg | 1927 | 2096 | 14.55% | 23.64% | 61.81% | -1.36 | 72.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | Borussia Dortmund | 1927 | 2170 | 15.32% | 23.86% | 60.82% | -1.29 | 73.0 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Paderborn 07 | 2170 | 1927 | 60.82% | 23.86% | 15.32% | +1.29 | 73.0 |
| 2027-02-06 | RB Leipzig | 1904 | 2080 | 20.87% | 25.01% | 54.12% | -0.86 | 76.0 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Hamburger SV | 2080 | 1904 | 54.12% | 25.01% | 20.87% | +0.86 | 76.0 |
| 2027-02-06 | Hoffenheim | 2084 | 2026 | 50.29% | 25.43% | 24.28% | +0.64 | 77.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 2026 | 2084 | 24.28% | 25.43% | 50.29% | -0.64 | 77.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | Freiburg | 1923 | 2096 | 21.13% | 25.05% | 53.82% | -0.84 | 76.2 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2096 | 1923 | 53.82% | 25.05% | 21.13% | +0.84 | 76.2 |
| 2027-02-06 | FC Augsburg | 2115 | 2046 | 51.64% | 25.30% | 23.06% | +0.72 | 77.0 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2046 | 2115 | 23.06% | 25.30% | 51.64% | -0.72 | 77.0 |
| 2027-02-06 | Mainz 05 | 2018 | 2042 | 39.65% | 25.97% | 34.38% | +0.12 | 79.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 2042 | 2018 | 34.38% | 25.97% | 39.65% | -0.12 | 79.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | Union Berlin | 1945 | 1917 | 46.55% | 25.72% | 27.73% | +0.45 | 78.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Schalke 04 | 1917 | 1945 | 27.73% | 25.72% | 46.55% | -0.45 | 78.4 |
| 2027-02-06 | 1. FC Koln | 1974 | 1957 | 45.10% | 25.80% | 29.11% | +0.38 | 78.7 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Werder Bremen | 1957 | 1974 | 29.11% | 25.80% | 45.10% | -0.38 | 78.7 |
| 2027-02-06 | Elversberg | 2239 | 1987 | 68.48% | 21.66% | 9.85% | +1.89 | 68.5 |
| 2027-02-06 | @ Bayern Munich | 1987 | 2239 | 9.85% | 21.66% | 68.48% | -1.89 | 68.5 |
| 2027-02-13 | Bayern Munich | 1917 | 2239 | 10.57% | 22.05% | 67.38% | -1.79 | 69.2 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Union Berlin | 2239 | 1917 | 67.38% | 22.05% | 10.57% | +1.79 | 69.2 |
| 2027-02-13 | VfB Stuttgart | 2170 | 2084 | 53.54% | 25.09% | 21.37% | +0.82 | 76.3 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2084 | 2170 | 21.37% | 25.09% | 53.54% | -0.82 | 76.3 |
| 2027-02-13 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2080 | 2115 | 37.98% | 25.99% | 36.03% | +0.04 | 79.5 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ RB Leipzig | 2115 | 2080 | 36.03% | 25.99% | 37.98% | -0.04 | 79.5 |
| 2027-02-13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2096 | 2018 | 52.68% | 25.19% | 22.13% | +0.77 | 76.6 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Freiburg | 2018 | 2096 | 22.13% | 25.19% | 52.68% | -0.77 | 76.6 |
| 2027-02-13 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2042 | 1923 | 56.99% | 24.59% | 18.42% | +1.03 | 74.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Mainz 05 | 1923 | 2042 | 18.42% | 24.59% | 56.99% | -1.03 | 74.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | Hamburger SV | 1957 | 1904 | 49.72% | 25.49% | 24.80% | +0.61 | 77.5 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1904 | 1957 | 24.80% | 25.49% | 49.72% | -0.61 | 77.5 |
| 2027-02-13 | Werder Bremen | 2046 | 1974 | 52.00% | 25.26% | 22.73% | +0.74 | 76.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ FC Augsburg | 1974 | 2046 | 22.73% | 25.26% | 52.00% | -0.74 | 76.8 |
| 2027-02-13 | Schalke 04 | 1987 | 1945 | 48.34% | 25.60% | 26.06% | +0.54 | 77.9 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Elversberg | 1945 | 1987 | 26.06% | 25.60% | 48.34% | -0.54 | 77.9 |
| 2027-02-13 | Paderborn 07 | 2026 | 1927 | 54.92% | 24.91% | 20.18% | +0.90 | 75.7 |
| 2027-02-13 | @ Hoffenheim | 1927 | 2026 | 20.18% | 24.91% | 54.92% | -0.90 | 75.7 |
| 2027-02-20 | Borussia Dortmund | 1974 | 2170 | 18.99% | 24.70% | 56.31% | -0.99 | 75.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Werder Bremen | 2170 | 1974 | 56.31% | 24.70% | 18.99% | +0.99 | 75.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | RB Leipzig | 2018 | 2080 | 34.25% | 25.97% | 39.78% | -0.13 | 79.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 2080 | 2018 | 39.78% | 25.97% | 34.25% | +0.13 | 79.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | Hoffenheim | 1904 | 2026 | 26.58% | 25.64% | 47.79% | -0.51 | 78.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Hamburger SV | 2026 | 1904 | 47.79% | 25.64% | 26.58% | +0.51 | 78.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | Freiburg | 1945 | 2096 | 23.32% | 25.33% | 51.35% | -0.70 | 77.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Schalke 04 | 2096 | 1945 | 51.35% | 25.33% | 23.32% | +0.70 | 77.1 |
| 2027-02-20 | FC Augsburg | 2239 | 2046 | 63.90% | 23.11% | 13.00% | +1.51 | 71.3 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Bayern Munich | 2046 | 2239 | 13.00% | 23.11% | 63.90% | -1.51 | 71.3 |
| 2027-02-20 | Mainz 05 | 2115 | 2042 | 52.14% | 25.25% | 22.61% | +0.74 | 76.8 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2042 | 2115 | 22.61% | 25.25% | 52.14% | -0.74 | 76.8 |
| 2027-02-20 | Union Berlin | 1987 | 1917 | 51.66% | 25.30% | 23.04% | +0.72 | 76.9 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Elversberg | 1917 | 1987 | 23.04% | 25.30% | 51.66% | -0.72 | 76.9 |
| 2027-02-20 | 1. FC Koln | 1923 | 1957 | 38.21% | 25.99% | 35.80% | +0.05 | 79.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1957 | 1923 | 35.80% | 25.99% | 38.21% | -0.05 | 79.4 |
| 2027-02-20 | Paderborn 07 | 2084 | 1927 | 60.68% | 23.89% | 15.43% | +1.28 | 73.0 |
| 2027-02-20 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1927 | 2084 | 15.43% | 23.89% | 60.68% | -1.28 | 73.0 |
| 2027-02-27 | Bayern Munich | 2080 | 2239 | 22.50% | 25.24% | 52.26% | -0.75 | 76.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ RB Leipzig | 2239 | 2080 | 52.26% | 25.24% | 22.50% | +0.75 | 76.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2096 | 2115 | 40.31% | 25.96% | 33.73% | +0.15 | 79.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Freiburg | 2115 | 2096 | 33.73% | 25.96% | 40.31% | -0.15 | 79.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1957 | 2018 | 34.38% | 25.97% | 39.65% | -0.12 | 79.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ 1. FC Koln | 2018 | 1957 | 39.65% | 25.97% | 34.38% | +0.12 | 79.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | Union Berlin | 2170 | 1917 | 68.51% | 21.66% | 9.84% | +1.89 | 68.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 1917 | 2170 | 9.84% | 21.66% | 68.51% | -1.89 | 68.4 |
| 2027-02-27 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2026 | 1923 | 55.36% | 24.84% | 19.80% | +0.93 | 75.5 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Hoffenheim | 1923 | 2026 | 19.80% | 24.84% | 55.36% | -0.93 | 75.5 |
| 2027-02-27 | Hamburger SV | 2084 | 1904 | 62.77% | 23.40% | 13.83% | +1.43 | 71.9 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1904 | 2084 | 13.83% | 23.40% | 62.77% | -1.43 | 71.9 |
| 2027-02-27 | Werder Bremen | 1927 | 1974 | 36.46% | 25.99% | 37.55% | -0.02 | 79.5 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1974 | 1927 | 37.55% | 25.99% | 36.46% | +0.02 | 79.5 |
| 2027-02-27 | Schalke 04 | 2042 | 1945 | 54.71% | 24.93% | 20.36% | +0.89 | 75.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ Mainz 05 | 1945 | 2042 | 20.36% | 24.93% | 54.71% | -0.89 | 75.8 |
| 2027-02-27 | Elversberg | 2046 | 1987 | 50.45% | 25.42% | 24.13% | +0.65 | 77.3 |
| 2027-02-27 | @ FC Augsburg | 1987 | 2046 | 24.13% | 25.42% | 50.45% | -0.65 | 77.3 |
| 2027-03-03 | Borussia Dortmund | 2018 | 2170 | 23.26% | 25.33% | 51.41% | -0.70 | 77.0 |
| 2027-03-03 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 2170 | 2018 | 51.41% | 25.33% | 23.26% | +0.70 | 77.0 |
| 2027-03-03 | RB Leipzig | 1987 | 2080 | 30.11% | 25.85% | 44.04% | -0.33 | 78.9 |
| 2027-03-03 | @ Elversberg | 2080 | 1987 | 44.04% | 25.85% | 30.11% | +0.33 | 78.9 |
| 2027-03-03 | VfB Stuttgart | 1923 | 2084 | 22.37% | 25.22% | 52.41% | -0.76 | 76.7 |
| 2027-03-03 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2084 | 1923 | 52.41% | 25.22% | 22.37% | +0.76 | 76.7 |
| 2027-03-03 | Hoffenheim | 2115 | 2026 | 53.90% | 25.04% | 21.06% | +0.84 | 76.1 |
| 2027-03-03 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2026 | 2115 | 21.06% | 25.04% | 53.90% | -0.84 | 76.1 |
| 2027-03-03 | Freiburg | 2239 | 2096 | 59.40% | 24.16% | 16.45% | +1.19 | 73.7 |
| 2027-03-03 | @ Bayern Munich | 2096 | 2239 | 16.45% | 24.16% | 59.40% | -1.19 | 73.7 |
| 2027-03-03 | FC Augsburg | 1917 | 2046 | 25.81% | 25.57% | 48.62% | -0.55 | 77.9 |
| 2027-03-03 | @ Union Berlin | 2046 | 1917 | 48.62% | 25.57% | 25.81% | +0.55 | 77.9 |
| 2027-03-03 | Mainz 05 | 1974 | 2042 | 33.39% | 25.95% | 40.66% | -0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2027-03-03 | @ Werder Bremen | 2042 | 1974 | 40.66% | 25.95% | 33.39% | +0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2027-03-03 | 1. FC Koln | 1945 | 1957 | 41.26% | 25.94% | 32.81% | +0.19 | 79.2 |
| 2027-03-03 | @ Schalke 04 | 1957 | 1945 | 32.81% | 25.94% | 41.26% | -0.19 | 79.2 |
| 2027-03-03 | Paderborn 07 | 1904 | 1927 | 39.69% | 25.97% | 34.34% | +0.12 | 79.3 |
| 2027-03-03 | @ Hamburger SV | 1927 | 1904 | 34.34% | 25.97% | 39.69% | -0.12 | 79.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | Bayern Munich | 2170 | 2239 | 33.24% | 25.95% | 40.81% | -0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2239 | 2170 | 40.81% | 25.95% | 33.24% | +0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2084 | 2115 | 38.55% | 25.98% | 35.46% | +0.07 | 79.5 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 2115 | 2084 | 35.46% | 25.98% | 38.55% | -0.07 | 79.5 |
| 2027-03-06 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1904 | 2018 | 27.52% | 25.70% | 46.77% | -0.46 | 78.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Hamburger SV | 2018 | 1904 | 46.77% | 25.70% | 27.52% | +0.46 | 78.3 |
| 2027-03-06 | FC Augsburg | 2096 | 2046 | 49.39% | 25.51% | 25.10% | +0.59 | 77.7 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Freiburg | 2046 | 2096 | 25.10% | 25.51% | 49.39% | -0.59 | 77.7 |
| 2027-03-06 | Union Berlin | 1957 | 1917 | 48.08% | 25.61% | 26.30% | +0.53 | 78.0 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1917 | 1957 | 26.30% | 25.61% | 48.08% | -0.53 | 78.0 |
| 2027-03-06 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 1927 | 1923 | 43.47% | 25.87% | 30.66% | +0.30 | 78.9 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1923 | 1927 | 30.66% | 25.87% | 43.47% | -0.30 | 78.9 |
| 2027-03-06 | Werder Bremen | 2026 | 1974 | 49.65% | 25.49% | 24.86% | +0.61 | 77.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Hoffenheim | 1974 | 2026 | 24.86% | 25.49% | 49.65% | -0.61 | 77.6 |
| 2027-03-06 | Schalke 04 | 2080 | 1945 | 58.64% | 24.30% | 17.06% | +1.14 | 74.1 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ RB Leipzig | 1945 | 2080 | 17.06% | 24.30% | 58.64% | -1.14 | 74.1 |
| 2027-03-06 | Elversberg | 2042 | 1987 | 49.93% | 25.47% | 24.61% | +0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2027-03-06 | @ Mainz 05 | 1987 | 2042 | 24.61% | 25.47% | 49.93% | -0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2027-03-13 | Mainz 05 | 2239 | 2042 | 64.26% | 23.01% | 12.73% | +1.54 | 71.1 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Bayern Munich | 2042 | 2239 | 12.73% | 23.01% | 64.26% | -1.54 | 71.1 |
| 2027-03-13 | 1. FC Koln | 2115 | 1957 | 60.84% | 23.86% | 15.30% | +1.29 | 73.0 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1957 | 2115 | 15.30% | 23.86% | 60.84% | -1.29 | 73.0 |
| 2027-03-13 | Paderborn 07 | 2018 | 1927 | 54.04% | 25.02% | 20.94% | +0.85 | 76.1 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1927 | 2018 | 20.94% | 25.02% | 54.04% | -0.85 | 76.1 |
| 2027-03-13 | RB Leipzig | 2046 | 2080 | 38.21% | 25.99% | 35.80% | +0.05 | 79.5 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ FC Augsburg | 2080 | 2046 | 35.80% | 25.99% | 38.21% | -0.05 | 79.5 |
| 2027-03-13 | Freiburg | 1917 | 2096 | 20.56% | 24.97% | 54.47% | -0.88 | 75.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Union Berlin | 2096 | 1917 | 54.47% | 24.97% | 20.56% | +0.88 | 75.9 |
| 2027-03-13 | Hamburger SV | 1923 | 1904 | 45.46% | 25.78% | 28.76% | +0.39 | 78.6 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1904 | 1923 | 28.76% | 25.78% | 45.46% | -0.39 | 78.6 |
| 2027-03-13 | VfB Stuttgart | 1974 | 2084 | 27.96% | 25.73% | 46.31% | -0.44 | 78.5 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Werder Bremen | 2084 | 1974 | 46.31% | 25.73% | 27.96% | +0.44 | 78.5 |
| 2027-03-13 | Hoffenheim | 1945 | 2026 | 31.66% | 25.91% | 42.43% | -0.25 | 79.1 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Schalke 04 | 2026 | 1945 | 42.43% | 25.91% | 31.66% | +0.25 | 79.1 |
| 2027-03-13 | Borussia Dortmund | 1987 | 2170 | 20.19% | 24.91% | 54.90% | -0.90 | 75.7 |
| 2027-03-13 | @ Elversberg | 2170 | 1987 | 54.90% | 24.91% | 20.19% | +0.90 | 75.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2170 | 1923 | 68.07% | 21.81% | 10.11% | +1.85 | 68.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 1923 | 2170 | 10.11% | 21.81% | 68.07% | -1.85 | 68.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | Union Berlin | 2080 | 1917 | 61.24% | 23.77% | 15.00% | +1.31 | 72.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ RB Leipzig | 1917 | 2080 | 15.00% | 23.77% | 61.24% | -1.31 | 72.7 |
| 2027-03-20 | Schalke 04 | 2084 | 1945 | 59.02% | 24.23% | 16.75% | +1.16 | 73.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1945 | 2084 | 16.75% | 24.23% | 59.02% | -1.16 | 73.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2026 | 2018 | 43.99% | 25.85% | 30.16% | +0.32 | 78.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Hoffenheim | 2018 | 2026 | 30.16% | 25.85% | 43.99% | -0.32 | 78.9 |
| 2027-03-20 | Elversberg | 2096 | 1987 | 56.08% | 24.74% | 19.19% | +0.97 | 75.2 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Freiburg | 1987 | 2096 | 19.19% | 24.74% | 56.08% | -0.97 | 75.2 |
| 2027-03-20 | FC Augsburg | 2042 | 2046 | 42.32% | 25.91% | 31.77% | +0.24 | 79.2 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Mainz 05 | 2046 | 2042 | 31.77% | 25.91% | 42.32% | -0.24 | 79.2 |
| 2027-03-20 | Werder Bremen | 1904 | 1974 | 33.20% | 25.95% | 40.85% | -0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Hamburger SV | 1974 | 1904 | 40.85% | 25.95% | 33.20% | +0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2027-03-20 | Bayern Munich | 1957 | 2239 | 12.73% | 23.01% | 64.25% | -1.54 | 71.1 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ 1. FC Koln | 2239 | 1957 | 64.25% | 23.01% | 12.73% | +1.54 | 71.1 |
| 2027-03-20 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1927 | 2115 | 19.75% | 24.83% | 55.42% | -0.93 | 75.5 |
| 2027-03-20 | @ Paderborn 07 | 2115 | 1927 | 55.42% | 24.83% | 19.75% | +0.93 | 75.5 |
| 2027-04-03 | Hamburger SV | 2239 | 1904 | 73.93% | 19.38% | 6.69% | +2.42 | 64.7 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Bayern Munich | 1904 | 2239 | 6.69% | 19.38% | 73.93% | -2.42 | 64.7 |
| 2027-04-03 | Freiburg | 2080 | 2096 | 40.65% | 25.95% | 33.40% | +0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ RB Leipzig | 2096 | 2080 | 33.40% | 25.95% | 40.65% | -0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2027-04-03 | Borussia Dortmund | 2115 | 2170 | 35.26% | 25.98% | 38.76% | -0.08 | 79.5 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2170 | 2115 | 38.76% | 25.98% | 35.26% | +0.08 | 79.5 |
| 2027-04-03 | VfB Stuttgart | 2018 | 2084 | 33.70% | 25.96% | 40.34% | -0.15 | 79.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 2084 | 2018 | 40.34% | 25.96% | 33.70% | +0.15 | 79.4 |
| 2027-04-03 | Hoffenheim | 2046 | 2026 | 45.56% | 25.77% | 28.67% | +0.40 | 78.6 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ FC Augsburg | 2026 | 2046 | 28.67% | 25.77% | 45.56% | -0.40 | 78.6 |
| 2027-04-03 | Mainz 05 | 1917 | 2042 | 26.30% | 25.62% | 48.08% | -0.53 | 78.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Union Berlin | 2042 | 1917 | 48.08% | 25.62% | 26.30% | +0.53 | 78.0 |
| 2027-04-03 | Werder Bremen | 1923 | 1974 | 35.87% | 25.99% | 38.15% | -0.05 | 79.5 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1974 | 1923 | 38.15% | 25.99% | 35.87% | +0.05 | 79.5 |
| 2027-04-03 | Paderborn 07 | 1945 | 1927 | 45.25% | 25.79% | 28.96% | +0.38 | 78.6 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Schalke 04 | 1927 | 1945 | 28.96% | 25.79% | 45.25% | -0.38 | 78.6 |
| 2027-04-03 | 1. FC Koln | 1987 | 1957 | 46.82% | 25.70% | 27.48% | +0.46 | 78.3 |
| 2027-04-03 | @ Elversberg | 1957 | 1987 | 27.48% | 25.70% | 46.82% | -0.46 | 78.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | Schalke 04 | 2170 | 1945 | 66.45% | 22.36% | 11.20% | +1.72 | 69.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 1945 | 2170 | 11.20% | 22.36% | 66.45% | -1.72 | 69.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | Elversberg | 2084 | 1987 | 54.75% | 24.93% | 20.33% | +0.89 | 75.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1987 | 2084 | 20.33% | 24.93% | 54.75% | -0.89 | 75.8 |
| 2027-04-10 | Freiburg | 2026 | 2096 | 33.09% | 25.95% | 40.97% | -0.18 | 79.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Hoffenheim | 2096 | 2026 | 40.97% | 25.95% | 33.09% | +0.18 | 79.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | RB Leipzig | 2042 | 2080 | 37.59% | 25.99% | 36.42% | +0.03 | 79.5 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Mainz 05 | 2080 | 2042 | 36.42% | 25.99% | 37.59% | -0.03 | 79.5 |
| 2027-04-10 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1923 | 2115 | 19.37% | 24.77% | 55.86% | -0.96 | 75.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2115 | 1923 | 55.86% | 24.77% | 19.37% | +0.96 | 75.3 |
| 2027-04-10 | Union Berlin | 1904 | 1917 | 41.10% | 25.94% | 32.96% | +0.19 | 79.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Hamburger SV | 1917 | 1904 | 32.96% | 25.94% | 41.10% | -0.19 | 79.2 |
| 2027-04-10 | FC Augsburg | 1957 | 2046 | 30.64% | 25.87% | 43.49% | -0.30 | 79.0 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ 1. FC Koln | 2046 | 1957 | 43.49% | 25.87% | 30.64% | +0.30 | 79.0 |
| 2027-04-10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1974 | 2018 | 36.69% | 25.99% | 37.32% | -0.01 | 79.5 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Werder Bremen | 2018 | 1974 | 37.32% | 25.99% | 36.69% | +0.01 | 79.5 |
| 2027-04-10 | Bayern Munich | 1927 | 2239 | 11.08% | 22.30% | 66.62% | -1.73 | 69.6 |
| 2027-04-10 | @ Paderborn 07 | 2239 | 1927 | 66.62% | 22.30% | 11.08% | +1.73 | 69.6 |
| 2027-04-17 | Hoffenheim | 2239 | 2026 | 65.52% | 22.64% | 11.83% | +1.64 | 70.3 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Bayern Munich | 2026 | 2239 | 11.83% | 22.64% | 65.52% | -1.64 | 70.3 |
| 2027-04-17 | 1. FC Koln | 2080 | 1957 | 57.43% | 24.52% | 18.05% | +1.06 | 74.6 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ RB Leipzig | 1957 | 2080 | 18.05% | 24.52% | 57.43% | -1.06 | 74.6 |
| 2027-04-17 | Werder Bremen | 2115 | 1974 | 59.30% | 24.18% | 16.52% | +1.18 | 73.7 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1974 | 2115 | 16.52% | 24.18% | 59.30% | -1.18 | 73.7 |
| 2027-04-17 | Mainz 05 | 2096 | 2042 | 49.91% | 25.47% | 24.62% | +0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Freiburg | 2042 | 2096 | 24.62% | 25.47% | 49.91% | -0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2027-04-17 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2018 | 1923 | 54.50% | 24.96% | 20.54% | +0.88 | 75.9 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1923 | 2018 | 20.54% | 24.96% | 54.50% | -0.88 | 75.9 |
| 2027-04-17 | Borussia Dortmund | 2046 | 2170 | 26.35% | 25.62% | 48.03% | -0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ FC Augsburg | 2170 | 2046 | 48.03% | 25.62% | 26.35% | +0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2027-04-17 | VfB Stuttgart | 1917 | 2084 | 21.77% | 25.14% | 53.08% | -0.80 | 76.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Union Berlin | 2084 | 1917 | 53.08% | 25.14% | 21.77% | +0.80 | 76.4 |
| 2027-04-17 | Hamburger SV | 1945 | 1904 | 48.23% | 25.60% | 26.17% | +0.53 | 77.9 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Schalke 04 | 1904 | 1945 | 26.17% | 25.60% | 48.23% | -0.53 | 77.9 |
| 2027-04-17 | Paderborn 07 | 1987 | 1927 | 50.48% | 25.42% | 24.11% | +0.65 | 77.3 |
| 2027-04-17 | @ Elversberg | 1927 | 1987 | 24.11% | 25.42% | 50.48% | -0.65 | 77.3 |
| 2027-04-24 | RB Leipzig | 2170 | 2080 | 53.99% | 25.03% | 20.98% | +0.85 | 76.1 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2080 | 2170 | 20.98% | 25.03% | 53.99% | -0.85 | 76.1 |
| 2027-04-24 | Freiburg | 2084 | 2096 | 41.20% | 25.94% | 32.86% | +0.19 | 79.3 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 2096 | 2084 | 32.86% | 25.94% | 41.20% | -0.19 | 79.3 |
| 2027-04-24 | Union Berlin | 2026 | 1917 | 55.99% | 24.75% | 19.26% | +0.97 | 75.3 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Hoffenheim | 1917 | 2026 | 19.26% | 24.75% | 55.99% | -0.97 | 75.3 |
| 2027-04-24 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2018 | 2115 | 29.57% | 25.82% | 44.61% | -0.35 | 78.8 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 2115 | 2018 | 44.61% | 25.82% | 29.57% | +0.35 | 78.8 |
| 2027-04-24 | Schalke 04 | 1923 | 1945 | 39.92% | 25.97% | 34.11% | +0.13 | 79.4 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1945 | 1923 | 34.11% | 25.97% | 39.92% | -0.13 | 79.4 |
| 2027-04-24 | Elversberg | 1904 | 1987 | 31.43% | 25.90% | 42.67% | -0.26 | 79.1 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Hamburger SV | 1987 | 1904 | 42.67% | 25.90% | 31.43% | +0.26 | 79.1 |
| 2027-04-24 | Mainz 05 | 1957 | 2042 | 31.20% | 25.89% | 42.91% | -0.27 | 79.1 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ 1. FC Koln | 2042 | 1957 | 42.91% | 25.89% | 31.20% | +0.27 | 79.1 |
| 2027-04-24 | Bayern Munich | 1974 | 2239 | 13.75% | 23.38% | 62.87% | -1.43 | 71.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Werder Bremen | 2239 | 1974 | 62.87% | 23.38% | 13.75% | +1.43 | 71.9 |
| 2027-04-24 | FC Augsburg | 1927 | 2046 | 26.97% | 25.67% | 47.36% | -0.49 | 78.2 |
| 2027-04-24 | @ Paderborn 07 | 2046 | 1927 | 47.36% | 25.67% | 26.97% | +0.49 | 78.2 |
| 2027-05-08 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2239 | 1923 | 72.75% | 19.93% | 7.32% | +2.30 | 65.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Bayern Munich | 1923 | 2239 | 7.32% | 19.93% | 72.75% | -2.30 | 65.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | Paderborn 07 | 2080 | 1927 | 60.31% | 23.97% | 15.72% | +1.25 | 73.2 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ RB Leipzig | 1927 | 2080 | 15.72% | 23.97% | 60.31% | -1.25 | 73.2 |
| 2027-05-08 | Hamburger SV | 2115 | 1904 | 65.38% | 22.69% | 11.94% | +1.63 | 70.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1904 | 2115 | 11.94% | 22.69% | 65.38% | -1.63 | 70.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | 1. FC Koln | 2096 | 1957 | 59.06% | 24.22% | 16.72% | +1.17 | 73.9 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Freiburg | 1957 | 2096 | 16.72% | 24.22% | 59.06% | -1.17 | 73.9 |
| 2027-05-08 | VfB Stuttgart | 2046 | 2084 | 37.64% | 25.99% | 36.37% | +0.03 | 79.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ FC Augsburg | 2084 | 2046 | 36.37% | 25.99% | 37.64% | -0.03 | 79.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | Borussia Dortmund | 2042 | 2170 | 25.85% | 25.58% | 48.57% | -0.55 | 77.9 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Mainz 05 | 2170 | 2042 | 48.57% | 25.58% | 25.85% | +0.55 | 77.9 |
| 2027-05-08 | Werder Bremen | 1917 | 1974 | 35.03% | 25.98% | 38.99% | -0.09 | 79.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Union Berlin | 1974 | 1917 | 38.99% | 25.98% | 35.03% | +0.09 | 79.4 |
| 2027-05-08 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1945 | 2018 | 32.73% | 25.94% | 41.33% | -0.20 | 79.3 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Schalke 04 | 2018 | 1945 | 41.33% | 25.94% | 32.73% | +0.20 | 79.3 |
| 2027-05-08 | Hoffenheim | 1987 | 2026 | 37.45% | 25.99% | 36.56% | +0.02 | 79.5 |
| 2027-05-08 | @ Elversberg | 2026 | 1987 | 36.56% | 25.99% | 37.45% | -0.02 | 79.5 |
| 2027-05-15 | 1. FC Koln | 2170 | 1957 | 65.50% | 22.65% | 11.85% | +1.64 | 70.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 1957 | 2170 | 11.85% | 22.65% | 65.50% | -1.64 | 70.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | RB Leipzig | 2084 | 2080 | 43.45% | 25.87% | 30.68% | +0.30 | 79.0 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 2080 | 2084 | 30.68% | 25.87% | 43.45% | -0.30 | 79.0 |
| 2027-05-15 | Mainz 05 | 2026 | 2042 | 40.77% | 25.95% | 33.28% | +0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Hoffenheim | 2042 | 2026 | 33.28% | 25.95% | 40.77% | -0.17 | 79.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | Bayern Munich | 2115 | 2239 | 26.36% | 25.62% | 48.02% | -0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2239 | 2115 | 48.02% | 25.62% | 26.36% | +0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2027-05-15 | Elversberg | 2018 | 1987 | 47.00% | 25.69% | 27.31% | +0.47 | 78.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1987 | 2018 | 27.31% | 25.69% | 47.00% | -0.47 | 78.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | FC Augsburg | 1923 | 2046 | 26.49% | 25.63% | 47.88% | -0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2046 | 1923 | 47.88% | 25.63% | 26.49% | +0.52 | 78.1 |
| 2027-05-15 | Freiburg | 1904 | 2096 | 19.35% | 24.76% | 55.89% | -0.96 | 75.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Hamburger SV | 2096 | 1904 | 55.89% | 24.76% | 19.35% | +0.96 | 75.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | Schalke 04 | 1974 | 1945 | 46.67% | 25.71% | 27.62% | +0.45 | 78.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Werder Bremen | 1945 | 1974 | 27.62% | 25.71% | 46.67% | -0.45 | 78.3 |
| 2027-05-15 | Union Berlin | 1927 | 1917 | 44.26% | 25.84% | 29.90% | +0.34 | 78.8 |
| 2027-05-15 | @ Paderborn 07 | 1917 | 1927 | 29.90% | 25.84% | 44.26% | -0.34 | 78.8 |
| 2027-05-22 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2239 | 2018 | 66.15% | 22.45% | 11.40% | +1.69 | 69.9 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Bayern Munich | 2018 | 2239 | 11.40% | 22.45% | 66.15% | -1.69 | 69.9 |
| 2027-05-22 | Hoffenheim | 2080 | 2026 | 49.81% | 25.48% | 24.72% | +0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ RB Leipzig | 2026 | 2080 | 24.72% | 25.48% | 49.81% | -0.62 | 77.5 |
| 2027-05-22 | Borussia Dortmund | 2096 | 2170 | 32.66% | 25.93% | 41.41% | -0.20 | 79.3 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Freiburg | 2170 | 2096 | 41.41% | 25.93% | 32.66% | +0.20 | 79.3 |
| 2027-05-22 | Hamburger SV | 2046 | 1904 | 59.32% | 24.17% | 16.51% | +1.18 | 73.7 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ FC Augsburg | 1904 | 2046 | 16.51% | 24.17% | 59.32% | -1.18 | 73.7 |
| 2027-05-22 | VfB Stuttgart | 2042 | 2084 | 37.02% | 25.99% | 36.99% | +0.00 | 79.5 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Mainz 05 | 2084 | 2042 | 36.99% | 25.99% | 37.02% | +0.00 | 79.5 |
| 2027-05-22 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 1917 | 1923 | 42.11% | 25.92% | 31.98% | +0.23 | 79.1 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Union Berlin | 1923 | 1917 | 31.98% | 25.92% | 42.11% | -0.23 | 79.1 |
| 2027-05-22 | Paderborn 07 | 1957 | 1927 | 46.81% | 25.70% | 27.49% | +0.46 | 78.3 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1927 | 1957 | 27.49% | 25.70% | 46.81% | -0.46 | 78.3 |
| 2027-05-22 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1945 | 2115 | 21.40% | 25.09% | 53.51% | -0.82 | 76.3 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Schalke 04 | 2115 | 1945 | 53.51% | 25.09% | 21.40% | +0.82 | 76.3 |
| 2027-05-22 | Werder Bremen | 1987 | 1974 | 44.69% | 25.82% | 29.49% | +0.36 | 78.8 |
| 2027-05-22 | @ Elversberg | 1974 | 1987 | 29.49% | 25.82% | 44.69% | -0.36 | 78.8 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2026-09-12 | 21.03% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1985 | 3 | @ Mainz 05 | 2074 | 1 |
| 2 | 2026-09-05 | 21.18% | @ Werder Bremen | 1940 | 3 | RB Leipzig | 2112 | 1 |
| 3 | 2026-08-29 | 23.87% | @ Elversberg | 1955 | 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2101 | 2 |
| 4 | 2026-09-11 | 27.36% | Schalke 04 | 1916 | 3 | @ Union Berlin | 1947 | 1 |
| 5 | 2026-09-06 | 28.65% | FC Augsburg | 2005 | 4 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 2025 | 1 |
| 6 | 2026-09-05 | 30.21% | Elversberg | 1972 | 4 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1980 | 3 |
| 7 | 2026-09-12 | 30.55% | @ Hoffenheim | 2010 | 2 | VfB Stuttgart | 2099 | 1 |
| 8 | 2026-08-29 | 33.09% | @ 1. FC Koln | 1964 | 3 | Hoffenheim | 2035 | 2 |
| 9 | 2026-09-06 | 36.46% | Mainz 05 | 2008 | 5 | @ Hamburger SV | 1970 | 0 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-06 | 65.96 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 2008 | 36.46% | @ Hamburger SV | 0 | 1970 | 37.55% | 25.99% |
| 2 | 2026-09-12 | 41.60 | @ Freiburg | 5 | 2055 | 53.95% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 1965 | 21.01% | 25.03% |
| 3 | 2026-09-06 | 40.23 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 2005 | 28.65% | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 2025 | 45.57% | 25.77% |
| 4 | 2026-09-12 | 32.90 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1985 | 21.03% | @ Mainz 05 | 1 | 2074 | 53.93% | 25.04% |
| 5 | 2026-09-05 | 32.81 | @ Werder Bremen | 3 | 1940 | 21.18% | RB Leipzig | 1 | 2112 | 53.77% | 25.06% |
| 6 | 2026-08-30 | 32.10 | @ FC Augsburg | 3 | 1973 | 46.98% | Schalke 04 | 0 | 1942 | 27.33% | 25.69% |
| 7 | 2026-09-05 | 31.68 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2084 | 55.68% | Union Berlin | 0 | 1978 | 19.52% | 24.80% |
| 8 | 2026-09-11 | 29.16 | Schalke 04 | 3 | 1916 | 27.36% | @ Union Berlin | 1 | 1947 | 46.95% | 25.69% |
| 9 | 2026-08-29 | 26.93 | @ RB Leipzig | 3 | 2086 | 52.76% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 2007 | 22.06% | 25.18% |
| 10 | 2026-08-28 | 25.38 | @ Bayern Munich | 5 | 2219 | 56.68% | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 2104 | 18.68% | 24.64% |
| 11 | 2026-08-30 | 25.21 | @ Freiburg | 4 | 2016 | 49.49% | Werder Bremen | 1 | 1965 | 25.01% | 25.51% |
| 12 | 2026-09-04 | 20.91 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2079 | 55.08% | 1. FC Koln | 1 | 1979 | 20.04% | 24.88% |
| 13 | 2026-08-29 | 17.07 | @ Elversberg | 3 | 1955 | 23.87% | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2101 | 50.74% | 25.39% |
| 14 | 2026-09-12 | 15.83 | @ Hoffenheim | 2 | 2010 | 30.55% | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 2099 | 43.58% | 25.86% |
| 15 | 2026-09-12 | 15.26 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2154 | 65.43% | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1943 | 11.90% | 22.67% |
| 16 | 2026-09-05 | 14.76 | Elversberg | 4 | 1972 | 30.21% | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 3 | 1980 | 43.94% | 25.85% |
| 17 | 2026-08-29 | 14.29 | @ 1. FC Koln | 3 | 1964 | 33.09% | Hoffenheim | 2 | 2035 | 40.97% | 25.95% |
| 18 | 2026-08-29 | 14.12 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 2130 | 59.71% | Hamburger SV | 0 | 1984 | 16.20% | 24.09% |
| 19 | 2026-09-05 | 12.94 | Freiburg | 1 | 2042 | 43.11% | @ Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1956 | 31.00% | 25.88% |
| 20 | 2026-09-05 | 10.18 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2144 | 48.05% | @ Hoffenheim | 2 | 2020 | 26.33% | 25.62% |
| 21 | 2026-09-05 | 5.86 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 2245 | 68.36% | @ Schalke 04 | 0 | 1910 | 9.93% | 21.71% |
| 22 | 2026-08-29 | 2.39 | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1953 | 24.30% | @ Mainz 05 | 0 | 2011 | 50.27% | 25.44% |
| 23 | 2026-09-12 | 0.60 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1 | 1958 | 40.83% | Werder Bremen | 1 | 1973 | 33.22% | 25.95% |
| 24 | 2026-09-12 | 0.46 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2116 | 40.95% | @ FC Augsburg | 2 | 2045 | 33.11% | 25.95% |
| 25 | 2026-08-29 | 0.07 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 2025 | 37.71% | @ Union Berlin | 3 | 1978 | 36.30% | 25.99% |
Most & Least Exciting Games
The season’s games ranked by excitement rating (0–100) — a blend of closeness, upset, team quality, and scoring. An asterisk (*) after the date indicates a playoff game.
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-12 | 87.4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1985 | 21.03% | @ Mainz 05 | 1 | 2074 | 53.93% | 25.04% |
| 2 | 2026-09-05 | 87.3 | @ Werder Bremen | 3 | 1940 | 21.18% | RB Leipzig | 1 | 2112 | 53.77% | 25.06% |
| 3 | 2026-09-05 | 87.0 | @ Schalke 04 | 0 | 1910 | 9.93% | Bayern Munich | 0 | 2245 | 68.36% | 21.71% |
| 4 | 2026-08-29 | 85.7 | @ Elversberg | 3 | 1955 | 23.87% | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2101 | 50.74% | 25.39% |
| 5 | 2026-08-29 | 84.7 | @ Mainz 05 | 0 | 2011 | 50.27% | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1953 | 24.30% | 25.44% |
| 6 | 2026-08-29 | 84.4 | @ Union Berlin | 3 | 1978 | 36.30% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 2025 | 37.71% | 25.99% |
| 7 | 2026-09-12 | 84.4 | @ FC Augsburg | 2 | 2045 | 33.11% | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2116 | 40.95% | 25.95% |
| 8 | 2026-09-12 | 84.4 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1 | 1958 | 40.83% | Werder Bremen | 1 | 1973 | 33.22% | 25.95% |
| 9 | 2026-09-11 | 83.5 | Schalke 04 | 3 | 1916 | 27.36% | @ Union Berlin | 1 | 1947 | 46.95% | 25.69% |
| 10 | 2026-09-06 | 82.8 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 2005 | 28.65% | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 2025 | 45.57% | 25.77% |
| 11 | 2026-09-05 | 81.8 | Elversberg | 4 | 1972 | 30.21% | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 3 | 1980 | 43.94% | 25.85% |
| 12 | 2026-09-12 | 81.7 | @ Hoffenheim | 2 | 2010 | 30.55% | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 2099 | 43.58% | 25.86% |
| 13 | 2026-08-29 | 80.1 | @ 1. FC Koln | 3 | 1964 | 33.09% | Hoffenheim | 2 | 2035 | 40.97% | 25.95% |
| 14 | 2026-09-06 | 78.1 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 2008 | 36.46% | @ Hamburger SV | 0 | 1970 | 37.55% | 25.99% |
| 15 | 2026-09-05 | 74.1 | Freiburg | 1 | 2042 | 43.11% | @ Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1956 | 31.00% | 25.88% |
| 16 | 2026-08-30 | 71.8 | @ FC Augsburg | 3 | 1973 | 46.98% | Schalke 04 | 0 | 1942 | 27.33% | 25.69% |
| 17 | 2026-09-05 | 71.2 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2144 | 48.05% | @ Hoffenheim | 2 | 2020 | 26.33% | 25.62% |
| 18 | 2026-08-30 | 70.3 | @ Freiburg | 4 | 2016 | 49.49% | Werder Bremen | 1 | 1965 | 25.01% | 25.51% |
| 19 | 2026-08-29 | 68.3 | @ RB Leipzig | 3 | 2086 | 52.76% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 2007 | 22.06% | 25.18% |
| 20 | 2026-09-12 | 67.6 | @ Freiburg | 5 | 2055 | 53.95% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 1965 | 21.01% | 25.03% |
| 21 | 2026-09-04 | 66.9 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2079 | 55.08% | 1. FC Koln | 1 | 1979 | 20.04% | 24.88% |
| 22 | 2026-09-05 | 66.6 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2084 | 55.68% | Union Berlin | 0 | 1978 | 19.52% | 24.80% |
| 23 | 2026-08-28 | 66.0 | @ Bayern Munich | 5 | 2219 | 56.68% | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 2104 | 18.68% | 24.64% |
| 24 | 2026-08-29 | 64.2 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 2130 | 59.71% | Hamburger SV | 0 | 1984 | 16.20% | 24.09% |
| 25 | 2026-09-12 | 60.7 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2154 | 65.43% | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1943 | 11.90% | 22.67% |
| # | Date | Excitement | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2026-09-12 | 60.7 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2154 | 65.43% | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1943 | 11.90% | 22.67% |
| 2 | 2026-08-29 | 64.2 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 2130 | 59.71% | Hamburger SV | 0 | 1984 | 16.20% | 24.09% |
| 3 | 2026-08-28 | 66.0 | @ Bayern Munich | 5 | 2219 | 56.68% | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 2104 | 18.68% | 24.64% |
| 4 | 2026-09-05 | 66.6 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2084 | 55.68% | Union Berlin | 0 | 1978 | 19.52% | 24.80% |
| 5 | 2026-09-04 | 66.9 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2079 | 55.08% | 1. FC Koln | 1 | 1979 | 20.04% | 24.88% |
| 6 | 2026-09-12 | 67.6 | @ Freiburg | 5 | 2055 | 53.95% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 1965 | 21.01% | 25.03% |
| 7 | 2026-08-29 | 68.3 | @ RB Leipzig | 3 | 2086 | 52.76% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 2007 | 22.06% | 25.18% |
| 8 | 2026-08-30 | 70.3 | @ Freiburg | 4 | 2016 | 49.49% | Werder Bremen | 1 | 1965 | 25.01% | 25.51% |
| 9 | 2026-09-05 | 71.2 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2144 | 48.05% | @ Hoffenheim | 2 | 2020 | 26.33% | 25.62% |
| 10 | 2026-08-30 | 71.8 | @ FC Augsburg | 3 | 1973 | 46.98% | Schalke 04 | 0 | 1942 | 27.33% | 25.69% |
| 11 | 2026-09-05 | 74.1 | Freiburg | 1 | 2042 | 43.11% | @ Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1956 | 31.00% | 25.88% |
| 12 | 2026-09-06 | 78.1 | Mainz 05 | 5 | 2008 | 36.46% | @ Hamburger SV | 0 | 1970 | 37.55% | 25.99% |
| 13 | 2026-08-29 | 80.1 | @ 1. FC Koln | 3 | 1964 | 33.09% | Hoffenheim | 2 | 2035 | 40.97% | 25.95% |
| 14 | 2026-09-12 | 81.7 | @ Hoffenheim | 2 | 2010 | 30.55% | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 2099 | 43.58% | 25.86% |
| 15 | 2026-09-05 | 81.8 | Elversberg | 4 | 1972 | 30.21% | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 3 | 1980 | 43.94% | 25.85% |
| 16 | 2026-09-06 | 82.8 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 2005 | 28.65% | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 2025 | 45.57% | 25.77% |
| 17 | 2026-09-11 | 83.5 | Schalke 04 | 3 | 1916 | 27.36% | @ Union Berlin | 1 | 1947 | 46.95% | 25.69% |
| 18 | 2026-08-29 | 84.4 | @ Union Berlin | 3 | 1978 | 36.30% | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 2025 | 37.71% | 25.99% |
| 19 | 2026-09-12 | 84.4 | @ FC Augsburg | 2 | 2045 | 33.11% | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2116 | 40.95% | 25.95% |
| 20 | 2026-09-12 | 84.4 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1 | 1958 | 40.83% | Werder Bremen | 1 | 1973 | 33.22% | 25.95% |
| 21 | 2026-08-29 | 84.7 | @ Mainz 05 | 0 | 2011 | 50.27% | Paderborn 07 | 0 | 1953 | 24.30% | 25.44% |
| 22 | 2026-08-29 | 85.7 | @ Elversberg | 3 | 1955 | 23.87% | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2101 | 50.74% | 25.39% |
| 23 | 2026-09-05 | 87.0 | @ Schalke 04 | 0 | 1910 | 9.93% | Bayern Munich | 0 | 2245 | 68.36% | 21.71% |
| 24 | 2026-09-05 | 87.3 | @ Werder Bremen | 3 | 1940 | 21.18% | RB Leipzig | 1 | 2112 | 53.77% | 25.06% |
| 25 | 2026-09-12 | 87.4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1985 | 21.03% | @ Mainz 05 | 1 | 2074 | 53.93% | 25.04% |