2015-16 Bundesliga Season
306 games · 2 promotion-playoff teams
Champion
Bayern Munich
88 points · 25th Title
Last Title: 2014-15
Relegated
Hannover 96
25 pts
VfB Stuttgart · 33 pts
Biggest Overachiever
Bayern Munich
13.37 points above expected
88 points · 74.63 expected points
Biggest Disappointment
VfL Wolfsburg
11.85 points below expected
45 points · 56.85 expected points
League Table
The final standings for the season. vsSim shows actual points minus the simulation's mean — positive means the team overachieved against the model, negative means they underperformed.
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts | GF | GA | GD | SimPts | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich Champion | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 88 | 80 | 17 | +63 | 74.63 | +13.37 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 78 | 82 | 34 | +48 | 65.21 | +12.79 |
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 60 | 56 | 40 | +16 | 57.91 | +2.09 |
| 4 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 55 | 67 | 50 | +17 | 55.74 | -0.74 |
| 5 | Schalke 04 | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 49 | +2 | 49.35 | +2.65 |
| 6 | Mainz 05 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 46 | 42 | +4 | 48.35 | +1.65 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 45.25 | +4.75 |
| 8 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 56.85 | -11.85 |
| 9 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 44.81 | -1.81 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 40.97 | +0.03 |
| 11 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 37.79 | +2.21 |
| 12 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 43.49 | -5.49 |
| 13 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 38.93 | -0.93 |
| 14 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 34.05 | +3.95 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 41.49 | -4.49 |
| 16 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 40.54 | -4.54 |
| 17 | VfB Stuttgart Relegated | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 50 | 75 | -25 | 37.59 | -4.59 |
| 18 | Hannover 96 Relegated | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 25 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 34.90 | -9.90 |
Form
Each team's 5-game rolling points-per-game across the season. Hot streaks push above the dashed 1.5 PPG reference line; cold spells drop below. Each team gets a distinct color; the legend below the plot lets you read off which line is which. (First 4 games of each team have no rolling window, so the lines start at game 5.)
League Race
Cumulative points across the season for each team. Highlighted teams are drawn in color (top finishers for the Title Race, bottom finishers for the Relegation Race); the rest of the league appears in light gray as context. Switch views with the buttons below.
Promotion Playoff
The path the promotion-playoff teams took to determine the final promotion spot. The full Promotion / Relegation tab has matchup heatmaps and round-by-round simulation outcomes.
Finals
Season Summary
Every team's regular-season finish compared against 100,000 simulations. Click any column header to sort. Luck is the team's actual points minus the sim's mean — positive means the team beat the model. Percentile is where the actual result fell in the team's sim distribution (e.g. 90% = the team did this well or better in only 10% of sims).
| Team | Elo | Points | Avg | Luck | Percentile | Min | 5th | Q1 | Median | Q3 | 95th | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 2206 | 88 | 74.63 | +13.37 | 98.7% | 47 | 63 | 70 | 75 | 79 | 85 | 98 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2118 | 78 | 65.21 | +12.79 | 97.5% | 35 | 53 | 60 | 65 | 70 | 77 | 93 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2038 | 60 | 57.91 | +2.09 | 63.1% | 31 | 46 | 53 | 58 | 63 | 70 | 84 |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 2015 | 55 | 55.74 | -0.74 | 48.3% | 29 | 43 | 51 | 56 | 61 | 68 | 85 |
| Schalke 04 | 1946 | 52 | 49.35 | +2.65 | 66.2% | 24 | 37 | 44 | 49 | 54 | 62 | 78 |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 1945 | 45 | 56.85 | -11.85 | 6.4% | 27 | 45 | 52 | 57 | 62 | 69 | 85 |
| Mainz 05 | 1940 | 50 | 48.35 | +1.65 | 61.9% | 22 | 36 | 43 | 48 | 53 | 61 | 74 |
| 1. FC Koln | 1906 | 43 | 44.81 | -1.81 | 43.3% | 17 | 33 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 57 | 72 |
| Hertha BSC | 1900 | 50 | 45.25 | +4.75 | 76.5% | 17 | 33 | 40 | 45 | 50 | 57 | 71 |
| FC Augsburg | 1895 | 38 | 43.49 | -5.49 | 25.7% | 16 | 31 | 38 | 43 | 49 | 56 | 74 |
| Hamburger SV | 1883 | 41 | 40.97 | +0.03 | 53.6% | 15 | 29 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 53 | 67 |
| Werder Bremen | 1870 | 38 | 38.93 | -0.93 | 47.7% | 13 | 27 | 34 | 39 | 44 | 51 | 66 |
| Hoffenheim | 1864 | 37 | 41.49 | -4.49 | 29.8% | 15 | 30 | 36 | 41 | 46 | 54 | 70 |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1855 | 40 | 37.79 | +2.21 | 65.5% | 10 | 26 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 50 | 66 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1848 | 36 | 40.54 | -4.54 | 28.8% | 15 | 29 | 36 | 40 | 45 | 52 | 73 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 1819 | 38 | 34.05 | +3.95 | 73.5% | 11 | 23 | 29 | 34 | 39 | 46 | 63 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 1815 | 33 | 37.59 | -4.59 | 28.9% | 14 | 26 | 33 | 38 | 42 | 50 | 71 |
| Hannover 96 | 1782 | 25 | 34.90 | -9.90 | 9.2% | 12 | 23 | 30 | 35 | 40 | 47 | 67 |
Head-to-Head
Each cell shows a team's record in that matchup (row vs column, formatted W-D-L) with the model's expected points on the line below. Navy-tinted cells mean the team beat the model's expectations by more than one point in that matchup; gold-tinted cells mean they fell short by the same margin.
| Team | 1FK | BL | BM | BD | BM | EF | FA | FI0 | HS | H9 | HB | HOF | M0 | SD9 | S0 | VS | VW | WB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Koln | — |
1-0-1
1.97
|
0-0-2
1.11
|
1-1-0
1.49
|
1-0-1
2.35
|
1-0-1
2.93
|
0-1-1
2.87
|
0-2-0
3.12
|
1-1-0
3.11
|
1-0-1
3.45
|
0-0-2
2.83
|
0-2-0
2.97
|
1-1-0
2.51
|
1-1-0
3.35
|
1-0-1
2.27
|
1-0-1
3.20
|
0-2-0
2.02
|
0-2-0
3.22
|
| Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0-1
3.56
|
— |
0-1-1
1.86
|
0-0-2
2.39
|
1-0-1
2.76
|
2-0-0
3.77
|
0-2-0
3.54
|
2-0-0
4.02
|
1-1-0
3.64
|
2-0-0
3.86
|
1-0-1
3.57
|
1-1-0
3.67
|
1-0-1
3.31
|
1-0-1
4.12
|
1-1-0
3.42
|
2-0-0
3.74
|
1-0-1
2.75
|
1-0-1
3.81
|
| Bayern Munich |
2-0-0
4.52
|
1-1-0
3.68
|
— |
1-1-0
3.48
|
0-1-1
4.10
|
1-1-0
4.69
|
2-0-0
4.42
|
2-0-0
4.80
|
2-0-0
4.47
|
2-0-0
4.91
|
2-0-0
4.55
|
2-0-0
4.35
|
1-0-1
4.30
|
2-0-0
4.71
|
2-0-0
4.41
|
2-0-0
4.75
|
2-0-0
3.86
|
2-0-0
4.71
|
| Borussia Dortmund |
0-1-1
4.08
|
2-0-0
3.12
|
0-1-1
2.05
|
— |
2-0-0
2.91
|
1-0-1
4.41
|
2-0-0
4.12
|
2-0-0
4.04
|
1-0-1
4.23
|
2-0-0
4.18
|
1-1-0
3.79
|
1-1-0
4.12
|
2-0-0
3.71
|
1-1-0
4.40
|
1-1-0
3.87
|
2-0-0
4.41
|
2-0-0
3.48
|
2-0-0
4.26
|
| Borussia Monchengladbach |
1-0-1
3.17
|
1-0-1
2.75
|
1-1-0
1.48
|
0-0-2
2.60
|
— |
2-0-0
3.52
|
1-1-0
3.22
|
0-1-1
3.87
|
0-0-2
3.65
|
1-0-1
4.22
|
2-0-0
3.32
|
1-1-0
3.67
|
0-0-2
3.34
|
2-0-0
4.06
|
1-0-1
3.12
|
2-0-0
3.58
|
1-0-1
2.52
|
1-0-1
3.66
|
| Eintracht Frankfurt |
1-0-1
2.58
|
0-0-2
1.79
|
0-1-1
0.97
|
1-0-1
1.21
|
0-0-2
2.02
|
— |
0-2-0
2.60
|
0-1-1
2.99
|
0-2-0
2.87
|
2-0-0
3.11
|
0-1-1
2.60
|
0-1-1
2.69
|
1-0-1
2.14
|
1-0-1
2.97
|
0-1-1
2.28
|
1-0-1
3.03
|
1-0-1
1.85
|
1-0-1
2.80
|
| FC Augsburg |
1-1-0
2.65
|
0-2-0
1.99
|
0-0-2
1.20
|
0-0-2
1.45
|
0-1-1
2.29
|
0-2-0
2.91
|
— |
0-0-2
3.27
|
1-0-1
2.96
|
2-0-0
3.21
|
0-1-1
2.78
|
0-0-2
2.99
|
0-1-1
2.39
|
0-1-1
3.30
|
1-1-0
2.45
|
2-0-0
2.89
|
1-1-0
1.94
|
1-0-1
2.87
|
| FC Ingolstadt 04 |
0-2-0
2.40
|
0-0-2
1.54
|
0-0-2
0.88
|
0-0-2
1.54
|
1-1-0
1.68
|
1-1-0
2.52
|
2-0-0
2.25
|
— |
0-1-1
2.58
|
0-1-1
3.20
|
0-0-2
2.29
|
0-1-1
2.56
|
2-0-0
2.17
|
1-0-1
3.10
|
1-1-0
2.01
|
0-1-1
2.81
|
0-1-1
1.67
|
2-0-0
2.64
|
| Hamburger SV |
0-1-1
2.41
|
0-1-1
1.90
|
0-0-2
1.15
|
1-0-1
1.36
|
2-0-0
1.88
|
0-2-0
2.64
|
1-0-1
2.56
|
1-1-0
2.93
|
— |
1-0-1
3.26
|
1-0-1
2.43
|
1-0-1
2.78
|
0-1-1
2.43
|
0-1-1
3.16
|
0-0-2
2.18
|
1-0-1
2.84
|
0-1-1
2.08
|
2-0-0
2.97
|
| Hannover 96 |
1-0-1
2.08
|
0-0-2
1.70
|
0-0-2
0.80
|
0-0-2
1.41
|
1-0-1
1.37
|
0-0-2
2.41
|
0-0-2
2.30
|
1-1-0
2.33
|
1-0-1
2.26
|
— |
0-1-1
2.07
|
1-0-1
2.22
|
0-0-2
2.23
|
0-1-1
3.16
|
0-0-2
1.95
|
1-0-1
2.58
|
0-1-1
1.60
|
1-0-1
2.49
|
| Hertha BSC |
2-0-0
2.68
|
1-0-1
1.97
|
0-0-2
1.08
|
0-1-1
1.76
|
0-0-2
2.20
|
1-1-0
2.93
|
1-1-0
2.74
|
2-0-0
3.23
|
1-0-1
3.08
|
1-1-0
3.47
|
— |
1-0-1
3.02
|
1-1-0
2.60
|
1-0-1
3.42
|
1-0-1
2.47
|
1-0-1
3.22
|
0-1-1
2.07
|
0-2-0
3.21
|
| Hoffenheim |
0-2-0
2.54
|
0-1-1
1.87
|
0-0-2
1.27
|
0-1-1
1.46
|
0-1-1
1.86
|
1-1-0
2.82
|
2-0-0
2.52
|
1-1-0
2.95
|
1-0-1
2.74
|
1-0-1
3.30
|
1-0-1
2.50
|
— |
1-0-1
2.29
|
0-1-1
3.34
|
0-0-2
2.34
|
0-1-1
3.02
|
1-0-1
1.79
|
0-1-1
2.94
|
| Mainz 05 |
0-1-1
3.01
|
1-0-1
2.20
|
1-0-1
1.30
|
0-0-2
1.84
|
2-0-0
2.18
|
1-0-1
3.38
|
1-1-0
3.13
|
0-0-2
3.35
|
1-1-0
3.09
|
2-0-0
3.29
|
0-1-1
2.91
|
1-0-1
3.23
|
— |
1-1-0
3.58
|
1-0-1
2.60
|
1-1-0
3.61
|
1-1-0
2.19
|
0-1-1
3.37
|
| SV Darmstadt 98 |
0-1-1
2.17
|
1-0-1
1.46
|
0-0-2
0.95
|
0-1-1
1.21
|
0-0-2
1.51
|
1-0-1
2.54
|
1-1-0
2.22
|
1-0-1
2.41
|
1-1-0
2.36
|
1-1-0
2.36
|
1-0-1
2.11
|
1-1-0
2.18
|
0-1-1
1.96
|
— |
0-1-1
1.87
|
0-1-1
2.57
|
0-1-1
1.59
|
1-1-0
2.51
|
| Schalke 04 |
1-0-1
3.25
|
0-1-1
2.10
|
0-0-2
1.21
|
0-1-1
1.68
|
1-0-1
2.39
|
1-1-0
3.23
|
0-1-1
3.06
|
0-1-1
3.52
|
2-0-0
3.34
|
2-0-0
3.58
|
1-0-1
3.05
|
2-0-0
3.17
|
1-0-1
2.91
|
1-1-0
3.67
|
— |
1-1-0
3.48
|
1-0-1
2.30
|
1-0-1
3.37
|
| VfB Stuttgart |
1-0-1
2.32
|
0-0-2
1.80
|
0-0-2
0.92
|
0-0-2
1.20
|
0-0-2
1.96
|
1-0-1
2.49
|
0-0-2
2.63
|
1-1-0
2.70
|
1-0-1
2.67
|
1-0-1
2.94
|
1-0-1
2.29
|
1-1-0
2.49
|
0-1-1
1.93
|
1-1-0
2.94
|
0-1-1
2.04
|
— |
1-0-1
1.61
|
0-1-1
2.66
|
| VfL Wolfsburg |
0-2-0
3.51
|
1-0-1
2.77
|
0-0-2
1.69
|
0-0-2
2.07
|
1-0-1
2.99
|
1-0-1
3.69
|
0-1-1
3.59
|
1-1-0
3.88
|
1-1-0
3.46
|
1-1-0
3.96
|
1-1-0
3.47
|
1-0-1
3.75
|
0-1-1
3.32
|
1-1-0
3.97
|
1-0-1
3.22
|
1-0-1
3.94
|
— |
1-0-1
3.73
|
| Werder Bremen |
0-2-0
2.30
|
1-0-1
1.75
|
0-0-2
0.95
|
0-0-2
1.34
|
1-0-1
1.88
|
1-0-1
2.72
|
1-0-1
2.64
|
0-0-2
2.87
|
0-0-2
2.54
|
1-0-1
3.02
|
0-2-0
2.31
|
1-1-0
2.57
|
1-1-0
2.15
|
0-1-1
3.00
|
1-0-1
2.15
|
1-1-0
2.85
|
1-0-1
1.81
|
— |
Points vs. Goals Scored, Allowed, and Differential
Points plotted against goals scored, allowed, and differential. Use the buttons to switch views; hover a team for exact values. The table gives each fit's R² and slope (the change in points per 10 goals).
Fit Metrics
| R² | Slope | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.79 | +9.4 |
| Allowed | 0.69 | -10.3 |
| Differential | 0.98 | +6.5 |
Scoreline Distribution
Percentage of games ending with each combination of team-goals (rows) and opponent-goals (columns). The diagonal shows draws; cells below the diagonal are wins from the row team's perspective, cells above are losses. Marginal totals on the right and bottom show how often each goal count occurred regardless of opponent. Use the picker to switch between the league-wide view and any individual team.
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.84% | 7.35% | 5.72% | 3.43% | 1.47% | 0.82% | 26.63% |
| 1 | 7.35% | 10.13% | 7.52% | 6.21% | 1.31% | 1.14% | 33.66% |
| 2 | 5.72% | 7.52% | 3.59% | 2.12% | 0.82% | 0.33% | 20.10% |
| 3 | 3.43% | 6.21% | 2.12% | 1.63% | 0.16% | — | 13.56% |
| 4 | 1.47% | 1.31% | 0.82% | 0.16% | — | — | 3.76% |
| 5+ | 0.82% | 1.14% | 0.33% | — | — | — | 2.29% |
| Total | 26.63% | 33.66% | 20.10% | 13.56% | 3.76% | 2.29% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.42 | 1.42 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.90 |
| CV | 0.89 | 0.89 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 306
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 20.59% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 52.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.12 | 1.24 | -0.12 |
| SD | 1.15 | 1.26 | 1.63 |
| CV | 1.03 | 1.02 | — |
| Max | 4 | 6 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 4 | — | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 38.24% | 26.47% | 17.65% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.65 | 1.18 | +0.47 |
| SD | 1.28 | 1.19 | 1.85 |
| CV | 0.77 | 1.01 | — |
| Max | 5 | 4 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | — | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 2 | 14.71% | 11.76% | — | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 3 | 11.76% | 14.71% | — | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 4 | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 11.76% |
| Total | 58.82% | 35.29% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.35 | 0.50 | +1.85 |
| SD | 1.43 | 0.71 | 1.62 |
| CV | 0.61 | 1.41 | — |
| Max | 5 | 3 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 17.65% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 29.41% |
| 4 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 14.71% |
| 5+ | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| Total | 38.24% | 35.29% | 20.59% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 2.41 | 1.00 | +1.41 |
| SD | 1.35 | 1.10 | 1.81 |
| CV | 0.56 | 1.10 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 23.53% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 8.82% |
| Total | 20.59% | 38.24% | 23.53% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.97 | 1.47 | +0.50 |
| SD | 1.60 | 1.21 | 2.34 |
| CV | 0.81 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 5 | 5 | +5 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.65% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 44.12% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 2 | — | 11.76% | — | — | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 23.53% | 32.35% | 23.53% | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.00 | 1.53 | -0.53 |
| SD | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.73 |
| CV | 1.33 | 0.86 | — |
| Max | 6 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | 2.94% | 47.06% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | — | — | — | 5.88% | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 32.35% | 20.59% | 20.59% | 17.65% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.53 | -0.29 |
| SD | 0.96 | 1.42 | 1.53 |
| CV | 0.77 | 0.93 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | 5.88% | — | 35.29% |
| 1 | 14.71% | 17.65% | 8.82% | — | — | — | 41.18% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 29.41% | 35.29% | 23.53% | 5.88% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.97 | 1.24 | -0.26 |
| SD | 0.94 | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| CV | 0.97 | 0.91 | — |
| Max | 3 | 4 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.76% | 11.76% | — | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 32.35% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 11.76% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 35.29% | 20.59% | 14.71% | — | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.18 | 1.35 | -0.18 |
| SD | 1.11 | 1.20 | 1.73 |
| CV | 0.95 | 0.89 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | — | 20.59% | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 8.82% | 14.71% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 14.71% | 29.41% | 23.53% | 23.53% | 8.82% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.91 | 1.82 | -0.91 |
| SD | 0.93 | 1.22 | 1.66 |
| CV | 1.02 | 0.67 | — |
| Max | 4 | 4 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | — | 14.71% | — | — | 2.94% | 26.47% |
| 1 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 11.76% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | 8.82% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 38.24% | 20.59% | 29.41% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.00 |
| SD | 1.05 | 1.28 | 1.86 |
| CV | 0.85 | 1.04 | — |
| Max | 4 | 5 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -5 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 44.12% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | 17.65% |
| 3 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 17.65% | 41.18% | 17.65% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.15 | 1.59 | -0.44 |
| SD | 0.96 | 1.28 | 1.46 |
| CV | 0.83 | 0.81 | — |
| Max | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.71% | 8.82% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | 35.29% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 2 | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 26.47% | 38.24% | 20.59% | 14.71% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.35 | 1.24 | +0.12 |
| SD | 1.25 | 1.02 | 1.47 |
| CV | 0.93 | 0.82 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.82% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 29.41% |
| 2 | 8.82% | 11.76% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | — | 41.18% |
| 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 23.53% | 32.35% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.12 | 1.56 | -0.44 |
| SD | 0.84 | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| CV | 0.76 | 0.76 | — |
| Max | 2 | 4 | +2 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 11.76% | — | — | 17.65% |
| 1 | 8.82% | 14.71% | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | — | 38.24% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | — | 23.53% |
| 3 | 5.88% | 8.82% | 2.94% | — | — | — | 17.65% |
| 4 | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Total | 23.53% | 35.29% | 14.71% | 26.47% | — | — | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.50 | 1.44 | +0.06 |
| SD | 1.08 | 1.13 | 1.82 |
| CV | 0.72 | 0.79 | — |
| Max | 4 | 3 | +3 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | 8.82% | — | 23.53% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 5.88% | 5.88% | 14.71% | 5.88% | — | 35.29% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 5.88% | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | 20.59% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | — | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| 5+ | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 11.76% | 26.47% | 17.65% | 23.53% | 17.65% | 2.94% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 2.21 | -0.74 |
| SD | 1.26 | 1.47 | 2.09 |
| CV | 0.86 | 0.67 | — |
| Max | 5 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.88% | 2.94% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | — | 26.47% |
| 1 | 5.88% | 20.59% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | 5.88% | 38.24% |
| 2 | 5.88% | 8.82% | — | 5.88% | — | — | 20.59% |
| 3 | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 4 | 2.94% | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | 2.94% | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 26.47% | 35.29% | 17.65% | 14.71% | — | 5.88% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.38 | 1.44 | -0.06 |
| SD | 1.37 | 1.35 | 2.17 |
| CV | 0.99 | 0.94 | — |
| Max | 6 | 5 | +6 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Games Played: 34
| ↓ Scored | Allowed → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.94% | 8.82% | 2.94% | 5.88% | — | 5.88% | 26.47% |
| 1 | 2.94% | 14.71% | 11.76% | 5.88% | — | 2.94% | 38.24% |
| 2 | — | 5.88% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 11.76% |
| 3 | — | 8.82% | 2.94% | 2.94% | — | — | 14.71% |
| 4 | — | 5.88% | — | — | — | — | 5.88% |
| 5+ | — | — | 2.94% | — | — | — | 2.94% |
| Total | 5.88% | 44.12% | 23.53% | 17.65% | — | 8.82% | 100% |
Summary Statistics
| Scored | Allowed | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 1.47 | 1.91 | -0.44 |
| SD | 1.44 | 1.38 | 2.19 |
| CV | 0.98 | 0.72 | — |
| Max | 6 | 6 | +4 |
| Min | 0 | 0 | -6 |
Games Played: 34
Home-Field Advantage Edge
The simulation applies the same home-field boost to every game across the league, so the per-game home win probabilities bake in the model's idea of HFA. For each team, we sum expected points at home and compare to actual home points, and the same on the road. The bar shows (home points above expected) minus (away points above expected). A tall positive bar means the team's home/road split exceeded what the model predicted — a real fortress effect. A tall negative bar means the reverse: they played worse at home or better on the road than expected.
Top Overachievers & Disappointments
Teams that most beat — or most fell short of — their simulated point projections. A positive vsSim means the team accumulated more points than the model expected on average; a negative one means fewer.
Biggest Overachievers
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 88 | 74.63 | +13.37 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 78 | 65.21 | +12.79 |
| 3 | Hertha BSC | 50 | 45.25 | +4.75 |
| 4 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 38 | 34.05 | +3.95 |
| 5 | Schalke 04 | 52 | 49.35 | +2.65 |
Biggest Disappointments
| # | Team | Actual | Sim | vsSim |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 45 | 56.85 | -11.85 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 | 25 | 34.90 | -9.90 |
| 3 | FC Augsburg | 38 | 43.49 | -5.49 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 33 | 37.59 | -4.59 |
| 5 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 36 | 40.54 | -4.54 |
Top Streaks
Ranked by model unlikelihood — the product of pregame W/D/L probabilities over the games in each team's streak. A short streak by a poor team can outrank a longer one by a strong team since the poor team's per-game probabilities were lower going in. Unbeaten counts W or D consecutively; Winless counts L or D consecutively.
Most Unlikely Winning Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | Dec 19 – Feb 13 | 1 in 632 |
| 2 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 6 | Sep 23 – Oct 31 | 1 in 158 |
| 3 | Bayern Munich | 10 | Aug 14 – Oct 24 | 1 in 120 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | Mar 13 – Apr 30 | 1 in 91 |
| 5 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | Apr 24 – May 7 | 1 in 88 |
Most Unlikely Losing Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | Aug 15 – Sep 19 | 1 in 478 |
| 2 | Hannover 96 | 8 | Dec 4 – Feb 21 | 1 in 245 |
| 3 | Werder Bremen | 5 | Sep 19 – Oct 17 | 1 in 78 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | Apr 9 – May 14 | 1 in 40 |
| 5 | Hertha BSC | 4 | Apr 16 – May 7 | 1 in 31 |
Most Unlikely Unbeaten Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | Dec 6 – Feb 21 | 1 in 217 |
| 2 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | Mar 6 – Apr 16 | 1 in 71 |
| 3 | FC Augsburg | 7 | Nov 21 – Jan 30 | 1 in 53 |
| 4 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 10 | Sep 23 – Dec 5 | 1 in 46 |
| 5 | Borussia Dortmund | 15 | Jan 23 – Apr 30 | 1 in 34 |
Most Unlikely Winless Streaks
| # | Team | Games | Dates | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | Nov 29 – Feb 6 | 1 in 152 |
| 2 | Hoffenheim | 8 | Oct 3 – Dec 5 | 1 in 34 |
| 3 | Hertha BSC | 7 | Apr 3 – May 14 | 1 in 26 |
| 4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | Jan 30 – Mar 12 | 1 in 24 |
| 5 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | Aug 15 – Sep 19 | 1 in 23 |
Finish Position Heatmap
Each cell is the probability — across 100,000 simulations — that the team (row) finished at that position (column). Rows are sorted by actual finish (champion at top, bottom of the table at the bottom).
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 78.70% | 15.50% | 4.04% | 1.33% | 0.26% | 0.08% | 0.04% | 0.04% | 0.01% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 14.63% | 44.80% | 20.44% | 10.08% | 4.92% | 2.50% | 1.21% | 0.62% | 0.36% | 0.28% | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.02% | 0.01% | — | — | 0.01% | — |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.72% | 14.41% | 22.41% | 19.77% | 14.41% | 9.05% | 6.08% | 3.98% | 2.63% | 1.80% | 0.99% | 0.81% | 0.36% | 0.29% | 0.13% | 0.10% | 0.06% | — |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 1.48% | 9.10% | 17.72% | 19.01% | 15.58% | 11.88% | 7.89% | 5.55% | 4.07% | 2.49% | 1.98% | 1.19% | 0.81% | 0.51% | 0.43% | 0.22% | 0.07% | 0.02% |
| Schalke 04 | 0.20% | 2.08% | 5.27% | 8.13% | 11.75% | 12.88% | 12.06% | 10.21% | 8.81% | 7.04% | 5.75% | 4.55% | 3.85% | 3.06% | 1.98% | 1.33% | 0.81% | 0.24% |
| Mainz 05 | 0.13% | 1.44% | 4.47% | 7.47% | 9.93% | 11.69% | 12.04% | 11.04% | 9.11% | 7.99% | 6.53% | 5.25% | 4.14% | 3.00% | 2.30% | 1.86% | 1.04% | 0.57% |
| Hertha BSC | 0.04% | 0.58% | 1.81% | 3.68% | 6.28% | 7.89% | 9.79% | 10.80% | 10.21% | 9.29% | 8.65% | 7.27% | 6.53% | 5.52% | 4.45% | 3.44% | 2.27% | 1.50% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 2.03% | 10.68% | 18.98% | 19.62% | 15.55% | 11.16% | 8.09% | 4.68% | 3.15% | 2.16% | 1.42% | 1.14% | 0.54% | 0.37% | 0.18% | 0.13% | 0.08% | 0.04% |
| 1. FC Koln | 0.02% | 0.42% | 1.67% | 3.25% | 5.47% | 8.14% | 8.97% | 9.70% | 10.09% | 9.26% | 9.03% | 7.43% | 7.04% | 6.16% | 5.04% | 3.83% | 2.73% | 1.75% |
| Hamburger SV | 0.01% | 0.13% | 0.58% | 1.19% | 2.28% | 3.81% | 5.08% | 6.84% | 7.47% | 8.69% | 8.77% | 9.22% | 9.76% | 8.53% | 8.81% | 7.86% | 6.54% | 4.43% |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 0.01% | 0.07% | 0.18% | 0.45% | 1.13% | 1.99% | 2.77% | 3.38% | 4.99% | 6.35% | 6.86% | 8.06% | 8.58% | 10.57% | 11.16% | 11.60% | 11.52% | 10.33% |
| FC Augsburg | 0.01% | 0.38% | 1.05% | 2.33% | 4.51% | 6.04% | 7.71% | 8.83% | 9.17% | 9.12% | 8.99% | 8.66% | 8.09% | 6.56% | 6.15% | 5.22% | 4.14% | 3.04% |
| Werder Bremen | — | 0.06% | 0.19% | 0.56% | 1.49% | 2.19% | 3.31% | 4.60% | 5.88% | 6.73% | 7.85% | 8.95% | 9.38% | 9.90% | 10.17% | 10.58% | 9.75% | 8.41% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | — | — | 0.06% | 0.04% | 0.33% | 0.68% | 1.20% | 1.55% | 2.38% | 3.18% | 4.16% | 5.59% | 6.89% | 8.22% | 10.66% | 13.31% | 17.73% | 24.02% |
| Hoffenheim | — | 0.19% | 0.58% | 1.45% | 2.66% | 4.24% | 5.64% | 6.66% | 7.44% | 8.51% | 9.14% | 9.21% | 9.03% | 8.42% | 8.26% | 7.55% | 6.01% | 5.01% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | — | 0.09% | 0.36% | 1.14% | 2.27% | 3.21% | 4.37% | 5.64% | 7.00% | 8.12% | 8.68% | 9.34% | 9.12% | 9.57% | 8.94% | 8.67% | 7.29% | 6.19% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 0.02% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.27% | 0.89% | 1.79% | 2.59% | 3.78% | 4.55% | 5.31% | 6.57% | 7.72% | 8.81% | 10.54% | 10.45% | 11.42% | 12.88% | 12.24% |
| Hannover 96 | — | 0.01% | 0.08% | 0.23% | 0.29% | 0.78% | 1.16% | 2.10% | 2.68% | 3.68% | 4.54% | 5.58% | 7.05% | 8.77% | 10.89% | 12.88% | 17.07% | 22.21% |
Points Required Per Position
The empirical CDF of simulated point totals per finishing position. Each curve shows, for one position (1st, 2nd, ..., last), the spread of point totals teams accumulated across simulations. Reading the curve at the 50% mark gives the median points typically needed to finish at that position. Steep curves mean the position is tightly clustered around a particular point range; shallow curves mean the position came with a wide variety of point totals.
Points Totals in Context
How did each team's actual results compare to their simulated points, Elo rating, average opponent Elo, and percentile within simulated outcomes? Use the buttons to switch between views. In each chart, dashed crosshairs at the league means split the plot into four quadrants: pastel green (team did well, model agreed), pastel red (team did poorly, model agreed), and pastel yellow (model and reality disagreed).
Season Trends
How each metric evolved across the season - Elo rating, actual and projected points, title/promotion probability, and relegation probability - day by day.
Edges & Scoring
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Home Edge
- Share of matches won by the home team minus the share won by the away team.No Edge: under 5% * Slight Edge: 5% to 15% * Clear Edge: 15% to 25% * Strong Edge: 25% and up.
- Elo Value
- Number of Elo rating points one goal is worth. A team this many Elo points better than another is expected to win by one goal on a neutral field.
- Scoring Tilt
- Average home goals minus average away goals per match. The gold line is the home goals edge implied by the scoring value of an Elo point and the home-field Elo bonus.Road-Tilted: under -0.2 * Neutral: -0.2 to 0.5 * Home-Tilted: 0.5 to 1.2 * Strong Home: 1.2 and up.
Title Race
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Title-Race Openness
- Effective number of teams with a live shot at finishing 1st, from the simulation. 1 means the favorite is a near-lock; larger means a wide-open race. Equal to 1 divided by the sum of squared title odds.One-Team Race: under 2 * Top-Heavy: 2 to 4 * Open: 4 to 6 * Wide Open: 6 and up.
- Champion Preseason Odds
- Preseason probability that the eventual champion would finish 1st, from the simulation. The dot marks their rank across all teams, from longshot to favorite.Preseason Favorite: 1st * Among the Favorites: 2nd to 3rd * Middle of the Pack: 4th to 9th * Longshot: 10th or lower.
- Title Margin
- Points-per-game gap between the champion and the runner-up. Shown per game so it reads the same across long and short seasons. The gold line is the winning margin the model expected, so a dot to the right means a more one-sided race than projected. A title won on goal difference shows 0.00.Photo Finish: under 0.15 * Tight Race: 0.15 to 0.4 * Comfortable: 0.4 to 0.75 * Runaway: 0.75 and up.
Simulation-Based Surprises
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Luck Spread
- Standard deviation of the gap between each team's actual points and their simulated average points. The gold line is the spread the model expected from chance alone.As Expected: under 5.82 * Some Luck: 5.82 to 8.73 * Lucky: 8.73 to 11.64 * Wild Swing: 11.64 and up.
- Average Finish Error
- Average gap between where each team was projected to finish and where they actually finished in the table.Pinpoint: under 2.05 * Close: 2.05 to 3.08 * Off: 3.08 to 4.11 * Way Off: 4.11 and up.
- Biggest Overachiever
- The team that finished highest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the top team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Biggest Underachiever
- The team that finished lowest inside its own range of simulated outcomes. The gold line is where the bottom team in a league of 18 typically lands.
- Season Outliers
- Number of teams that finished above the 95th or below the 5th percentile of their own simulated range. Even a well-calibrated model expects about 10% of teams in the extremes.Minimal Outliers: under 18 * As Expected: 18 to 28.8 * Several Outliers: 28.8 to 39.6 * Many Outliers: 39.6 and up.
- Unexpected Relegations
- Number of teams that were actually relegated but were not in the model's projected bottom field of the same size. The gold line is how many the model expected to miss on average.As Expected: under 0.5 * A Surprise: 0.5 to 0.8 * Several Surprises: 0.8 to 1.1 * Many Surprises: 1.1 and up.
Parity
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Gini Index
- How evenly points were spread across the league. Lower means a tight, balanced table; higher means a few teams ran off with most of the points.Balanced: under 0.12 * Even: 0.12 to 0.18 * Top-Heavy: 0.18 to 0.26 * Lopsided: 0.26 and up.
- Noll-Scully
- How much more spread out the table was than a league where every match is a coin flip. The gold line at 1 is that coin-flip baseline. Above it, real talent gaps stretched the table; below it, the league was tighter than luck alone would produce.Coin-Flip Parity: under 1 * Moderate Separation: 1 to 1.6 * Strong Separation: 1.6 to 2.2 * Wide Separation: 2.2 and up.
- Interquartile Edge
- Chance the team at the 75th percentile of Elo would beat the team at the 25th percentile on a neutral field. Higher means a bigger gap between the upper and lower half of the table.Even: under 60% * Slight Edge: 60% to 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 80% * Wide Edge: 80% and up.
- Best vs. Worst
- Chance the top-rated team would beat the bottom-rated team on a neutral field. The gold line is how large that gap tends to be in a league of this size; a dot to the right flags an unusually dominant or unusually weak team.Even: under 70% * Clear Edge: 70% to 82% * Strong Edge: 82% to 92% * Dominant: 92% and up.
- Close Games
- Share of matches decided by 1 goal or fewer, draws included. The gold line is how many close games the matchups and the scoring value of an Elo point predict.Few: under 30% * Some Drama: 30% to 40% * Frequent: 40% to 50% * Very Frequent: 50% and up.
- Blowouts
- Share of matches decided by 3 goals or more. The gold line is how many routs the matchups and the scoring model predict.Rare: under 8% * Occasional: 8% to 14% * Frequent: 14% to 22% * Very Frequent: 22% and up.
Predictability
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Brier Score
- How close the pregame probabilities landed to the actual result, averaged over the season. Confident, correct calls are rewarded most; confident misses are punished most. Lower is better; since draws are possible, a score under 0.66 beats guessing the base rate.Highly Predictable: under 0.56 * Predictable: 0.56 to 0.62 * Hard to Predict: 0.62 to 0.66 * Coin-Flip: 0.66 and up.
- Matchup Imbalance
- How lopsided the matchups were on paper, averaging the gap between the two win probabilities over their sum. 0 means every match was a toss-up; 1 means every match was a heavy favorite against a big underdog.Very Even: under 0.1 * Slight Separation: 0.1 to 0.18 * Notable Separation: 0.18 to 0.28 * Lopsided: 0.28 and up.
- Strangeness
- How wild the final table was versus what the model expected. A value of 1 means teams landed about one standard deviation from their projections on average. Above 1 is a stranger season; below 1 hugged the projections.Very Predictable: under 0.8 * As Expected: 0.8 to 1.1 * Wilder Than Modeled: 1.1 to 1.4 * Chaotic: 1.4 and up.
- Repeatability
- How closely the final table order matched the preseason Elo order, by Spearman rank correlation. Higher means last season's ratings strongly predicted this season's finish. Shows N/A for an inaugural season.Weak Carryover: under 0.3 * Some Carryover: 0.3 to 0.6 * Strong Carryover: 0.6 to 0.85 * Near-Lock: 0.85 and up.
- Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won. The gold line is how often the model expected underdogs to win; a dot to the right means upsets ran hotter than expected.Chalky: under 25% * As Expected: 25% to 33% * Upset-Prone: 33% to 42% * Very Upset-Prone: 42% and up.
- Clear Favorite Upset Rate
- Share of matches the underdog won, counting only games with a clear favorite (at least 60% likely to win once a draw is set aside). The gold line is how often the model expected these favorites to slip.Solid Favorites: under 15% * As Expected: 15% to 25% * Shaky Favorites: 25% to 35% * Very Shaky: 35% and up.
Calibration
How these are measured
The navy dot is the actual value, the gold line and key are the model's reference where one applies, and the slate ticks are the cutoffs between read labels listed under each metric.
- Probability calibration
- An all-in-one chi-square test of the model's probabilities. Matches are grouped by how confident the model was, and within each group the predicted and actual counts of home wins, draws, and away wins are compared. The p-value is plotted; above 0.05 means well-calibrated.Miscalibrated: under 0.05 * Borderline: 0.05 to 0.1 * Well Calibrated: 0.1 to 0.5 * Excellent: 0.5 and up.
- Calibration slope
- Checks whether the spread of the probabilities is right. Each probability is turned into log-odds and a line is fit predicting the actual results. A slope of 1.00 is perfect; below 1 is overconfidence (favorites lost more than their odds implied); above 1 is under-confidence.Overconfident: under 0.85 * Calibrated: 0.85 to 1.15 * Underconfident: 1.15 to 1.3 * Very Underconfident: 1.3 and up.
- Calibration error (ECE)
- The average gap between the model's stated chances and how often the predicted result actually happened. Smaller is better. The gold line is the noise ceiling, the error luck alone can produce even with perfect probabilities; below it, the model's error is no larger than chance.Well Within Noise: under 0.1 * Near Noise Ceiling: 0.1 to 0.15 * Above Noise: 0.15 to 0.19 * Well Above Noise: 0.19 and up.
Stochastic Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Across 100,000 regular-season simulations from preseason Elo, the probability of each team's next-season outcome — promotion-positive outcomes on the left, relegation-positive on the right. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pair of teams met in that round of the playoff across the simulations, since every iteration produces a different field.
| Team | Same level | Lost relegation playoff | Direct relegation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 100% | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 99.99% | — | 0.01% |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 99.84% | 0.10% | 0.06% |
| VfL Wolfsburg | 99.75% | 0.13% | 0.12% |
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 99.69% | 0.22% | 0.09% |
| Schalke 04 | 97.62% | 1.33% | 1.05% |
| Mainz 05 | 96.53% | 1.86% | 1.61% |
| Hertha BSC | 92.79% | 3.44% | 3.77% |
| 1. FC Koln | 91.69% | 3.83% | 4.48% |
| FC Augsburg | 87.60% | 5.22% | 7.18% |
| Hoffenheim | 81.43% | 7.55% | 11.02% |
| Hamburger SV | 81.17% | 7.86% | 10.97% |
| Werder Bremen | 71.26% | 10.58% | 18.16% |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 66.55% | 11.60% | 21.85% |
| VfB Stuttgart | 63.46% | 11.42% | 25.12% |
| Hannover 96 | 47.84% | 12.88% | 39.28% |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 44.94% | 13.31% | 41.75% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | — | 100% | — |
Loser → ↓ Winner | 1. FC Heidenheim | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1. FC Koln | 1. FC Nurnberg | 1860 Munich | Arminia Bielefeld | Bayer Leverkusen | Borussia Monchengladbach | Dusseldorf | Eintracht Braunschweig | Eintracht Frankfurt | FC Augsburg | FC Ingolstadt 04 | FSV Frankfurt | Greuther Furth | Hamburger SV | Hannover 96 | Hertha BSC | Hoffenheim | Karlsruher SC | MSV Duisburg | Mainz 05 | Paderborn 07 | RB Leipzig | SC Freiburg | SV Darmstadt 98 | SV Sandhausen | Schalke 04 | St. Pauli | Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart | VfL Bochum | VfL Wolfsburg | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 54.8%31.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 39.7%58.00% | 22.5%40.00% | 30.2%63.00% | 29.4%51.00% | 49.3%73.00% | 31.8%22.00% | 28.6%42.00% | 33.3%9.00% | 50.0%90.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 37.7%69.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 30.9%55.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 31.6%38.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 36.2%80.00% | 32.6%46.00% | 29.8%104.00% | 35.0%60.00% | 44.3%131.00% | 32.4%37.00% | 42.0%81.00% | 37.5%16.00% | 37.9%132.00% | 0.0%9.00% | 38.8%134.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 29.7%101.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Koln | 45.2%31.00% | 68.4%38.00% | 65.0%60.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 62.5%24.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 72.7%22.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 70.4%54.00% | 51.2%43.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 82.4%17.00% | 60.7%28.00% | 74.4%39.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 35.0%60.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 55.4%121.00% | 53.9%76.00% | 46.5%155.00% | 40.2%127.00% | 62.1%198.00% | 34.0%53.00% | 40.2%117.00% | 12.0%25.00% | 58.9%190.00% | 50.0%18.00% | 56.5%193.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 50.7%148.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1860 Munich | 25.0%4.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 25.0%8.00% | 0.0%6.00% | 33.3%12.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 25.0%4.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Arminia Bielefeld | 37.5%8.00% | 13.3%15.00% | 25.0%8.00% | 31.6%19.00% | 14.3%14.00% | 35.0%20.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 15.4%13.00% | 34.8%23.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 30.4%23.00% | 31.2%16.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Bayer Leverkusen | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 50.0%2.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Borussia Monchengladbach | 100.0%1.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%4.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dusseldorf | 16.7%6.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 16.7%6.00% | 8.3%12.00% | 0.0%8.00% | 36.4%11.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 36.4%11.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 16.7%12.00% | 28.6%7.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Braunschweig | 37.5%24.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 35.3%68.00% | 17.2%58.00% | 36.0%100.00% | 25.0%64.00% | 48.0%123.00% | 19.4%36.00% | 33.3%66.00% | 19.0%21.00% | 36.9%149.00% | 30.0%10.00% | 38.1%105.00% | 31.1%103.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 60.3%58.00% | 63.7%80.00% | 44.6%121.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 86.7%15.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 64.7%68.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 73.1%26.00% | 60.3%68.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 64.8%122.00% | 48.3%87.00% | 73.7%19.00% | 85.3%34.00% | 62.5%56.00% | 67.0%88.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| FC Augsburg | 77.5%40.00% | 67.4%46.00% | 46.1%76.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 75.0%8.00% | 83.3%6.00% | 82.8%58.00% | 33.3%3.00% | 80.0%10.00% | 81.6%38.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 67.3%55.00% | 56.9%51.00% | 88.9%9.00% | 59.3%27.00% | 75.0%28.00% | 79.6%49.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 69.8%63.00% | 70.2%104.00% | 53.5%155.00% | 75.0%8.00% | 68.4%19.00% | 91.7%12.00% | 64.0%100.00% | 80.0%10.00% | 85.0%20.00% | 74.0%73.00% | 85.7%7.00% | 53.2%126.00% | 41.6%101.00% | 89.3%28.00% | 67.3%52.00% | 70.3%74.00% | 58.1%93.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| FSV Frankfurt | 0.0%4.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 20.0%10.00% | 27.3%11.00% | 40.0%5.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 0.0%8.00% | 0.0%5.00% | 33.3%3.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Greuther Furth | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 26.9%26.00% | 20.0%10.00% | 15.0%20.00% | 29.4%17.00% | 31.0%29.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 15.8%19.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 26.1%23.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 39.1%23.00% | 18.2%22.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Hamburger SV | 70.6%51.00% | 65.0%60.00% | 59.8%127.00% | 100.0%6.00% | 85.7%14.00% | 100.0%8.00% | 75.0%64.00% | 72.7%11.00% | 70.6%17.00% | 60.8%51.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 63.7%113.00% | 44.4%72.00% | 88.0%25.00% | 77.5%40.00% | 68.8%48.00% | 60.7%84.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| Hannover 96 | 50.7%73.00% | 55.7%131.00% | 37.9%198.00% | 66.7%12.00% | 65.0%20.00% | 63.6%11.00% | 52.0%123.00% | 60.0%5.00% | 69.0%29.00% | 61.8%89.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 90.9%11.00% | 35.1%188.00% | 31.8%154.00% | 62.5%32.00% | 60.6%66.00% | 61.4%57.00% | 52.1%140.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| Hertha BSC | 68.2%22.00% | 67.6%37.00% | 66.0%53.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 80.6%36.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 78.9%19.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 62.5%48.00% | 59.3%27.00% | 100.0%9.00% | 85.7%14.00% | 63.2%19.00% | 85.3%34.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Hoffenheim | 71.4%42.00% | 58.0%81.00% | 59.8%117.00% | 50.0%4.00% | 84.6%13.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 66.7%66.00% | 100.0%3.00% | 84.2%19.00% | 52.8%36.00% | 100.0%7.00% | 55.0%100.00% | 43.3%60.00% | 68.4%19.00% | 67.9%28.00% | 80.0%45.00% | 58.7%63.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| Karlsruher SC | 27.3%22.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 39.7%68.00% | 18.4%38.00% | 26.0%73.00% | 39.2%51.00% | 38.2%89.00% | 21.1%19.00% | 47.2%36.00% | 10.0%10.00% | 43.4%83.00% | 10.0%10.00% | 40.2%82.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 28.4%74.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| MSV Duisburg | 100.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 0.0%1.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Mainz 05 | 66.7%9.00% | 62.5%16.00% | 88.0%25.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 81.0%21.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 90.0%10.00% | 81.0%21.00% | 60.0%25.00% | 66.7%6.00% | 80.0%5.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 60.0%15.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Paderborn 07 | 0.0%2.00% | 37.5%8.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 14.3%7.00% | 100.0%4.00% | 9.1%11.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 0.0%7.00% | 36.4%11.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 18.2%11.00% | 22.2%9.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| RB Leipzig | 29.6%54.00% | 0.0%2.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 35.2%122.00% | 32.7%55.00% | 46.8%126.00% | 36.3%113.00% | 64.9%188.00% | 37.5%48.00% | 45.0%100.00% | 19.0%21.00% | 52.7%201.00% | 30.0%20.00% | 52.3%172.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 34.2%158.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| SC Freiburg | 48.8%43.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 51.7%87.00% | 43.1%51.00% | 58.4%101.00% | 55.6%72.00% | 68.2%154.00% | 40.7%27.00% | 56.7%60.00% | 40.0%25.00% | 59.0%144.00% | 22.2%9.00% | 61.1%131.00% | 49.5%101.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 50.0%90.00% | 62.1%132.00% | 41.1%190.00% | 62.5%8.00% | 65.2%23.00% | 63.6%11.00% | 63.1%149.00% | 100.0%8.00% | 73.9%23.00% | 56.6%83.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 63.6%11.00% | 47.3%201.00% | 41.0%144.00% | 68.6%35.00% | 71.6%67.00% | 52.6%78.00% | 54.9%133.00% | ||||||||||||||||
| SV Sandhausen | 16.7%6.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 26.3%19.00% | 11.1%9.00% | 10.7%28.00% | 12.0%25.00% | 37.5%32.00% | 0.0%9.00% | 31.6%19.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 31.4%35.00% | 25.0%4.00% | 28.9%38.00% | 12.0%25.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Schalke 04 | 80.0%5.00% | 100.0%9.00% | 50.0%18.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 70.0%10.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 90.0%10.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 70.0%20.00% | 77.8%9.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 55.6%9.00% | 57.1%7.00% | 66.7%6.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| St. Pauli | 17.6%17.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 14.7%34.00% | 40.7%27.00% | 32.7%52.00% | 22.5%40.00% | 39.4%66.00% | 14.3%14.00% | 32.1%28.00% | 20.0%5.00% | 28.4%67.00% | 44.4%9.00% | 32.1%56.00% | 29.5%44.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Union Berlin | 39.3%28.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 37.5%56.00% | 25.0%28.00% | 29.7%74.00% | 31.2%48.00% | 38.6%57.00% | 36.8%19.00% | 20.0%45.00% | 50.0%6.00% | 47.4%78.00% | 42.9%7.00% | 38.9%72.00% | 0.0%1.00% | 26.3%57.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
| VfB Stuttgart | 62.3%69.00% | 61.2%134.00% | 43.5%193.00% | 40.0%5.00% | 69.6%23.00% | 83.3%12.00% | 61.9%105.00% | 100.0%5.00% | 60.9%23.00% | 59.8%82.00% | 81.8%11.00% | 47.7%172.00% | 38.9%131.00% | 71.1%38.00% | 67.9%56.00% | 61.1%72.00% | 60.3%126.00% | |||||||||||||||||
| VfL Bochum | 25.6%39.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 0.0%4.00% | 33.0%88.00% | 20.4%49.00% | 41.9%93.00% | 39.3%84.00% | 47.9%140.00% | 14.7%34.00% | 41.3%63.00% | 40.0%15.00% | 45.1%133.00% | 33.3%6.00% | 39.7%126.00% | 0.0%3.00% | 39.6%101.00% | ||||||||||||||||||
| VfL Wolfsburg | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 50.0%2.00% | 100.0%1.00% | 100.0%3.00% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Werder Bremen | 69.1%55.00% | 70.3%101.00% | 49.3%148.00% | 75.0%4.00% | 68.8%16.00% | 71.4%7.00% | 68.9%103.00% | 66.7%3.00% | 81.8%22.00% | 71.6%74.00% | 77.8%9.00% | 65.8%158.00% | 50.5%101.00% | 88.0%25.00% | 70.5%44.00% | 73.7%57.00% | 60.4%101.00% |
Actual Promotion/Relegation Outcomes
Just the teams that actually reached the promotion playoff. With the field fixed in place, the playoff sim re-runs every tie and tallies how often each team won each round — the table gives those probabilities, and the final round's column is the chance of winning the playoff outright. The round buttons switch to heatmaps of how often each pairing met in that round.
| Team | Finals |
|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 52.57% |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 47.43% |
Loser → ↓ Winner | 1. FC Nurnberg | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Nurnberg | 52.6%100.00% | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 47.4%100.00% |
Overall Game Log
Summary of every completed game this season. Sort any column by clicking its header.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-08-14 | Hamburger SV | W 5-0 | 2083 | 1865 | 68.3% | 18.9% | 12.7% | +11.4 | 3 |
| 2015-08-14 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-5 | 1865 | 2083 | 12.7% | 18.9% | 68.3% | -11.4 | 0 |
| 2015-08-15 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 4-0 | 1982 | 2008 | 39.6% | 24.6% | 35.8% | +24.1 | 3 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-4 | 2008 | 1982 | 35.8% | 24.6% | 39.6% | -24.1 | 0 |
| 2015-08-15 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1824 | 1883 | 34.9% | 24.6% | 40.5% | +0.1 | 1 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 2-2 | 1883 | 1824 | 40.5% | 24.6% | 34.9% | -0.2 | 1 |
| 2015-08-15 | Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1916 | 1870 | 49.5% | 23.9% | 26.6% | -8.7 | 0 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ FC Augsburg | W 1-0 | 1870 | 1916 | 26.6% | 23.9% | 49.5% | +8.7 | 3 |
| 2015-08-15 | Hoffenheim | W 2-1 | 2003 | 1911 | 55.1% | 22.9% | 21.9% | +4.2 | 3 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1911 | 2003 | 21.9% | 22.9% | 55.1% | -4.2 | 0 |
| 2015-08-15 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-1 | 1918 | 1853 | 51.9% | 23.5% | 24.5% | -9.1 | 0 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1853 | 1918 | 24.5% | 23.5% | 51.9% | +9.1 | 3 |
| 2015-08-15 | Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1887 | 1940 | 35.8% | 24.6% | 39.6% | -18.4 | 0 |
| 2015-08-15 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-0 | 1940 | 1887 | 39.6% | 24.6% | 35.8% | +18.4 | 3 |
| 2015-08-16 | 1. FC Koln | L 1-3 | 1874 | 1906 | 38.9% | 24.6% | 36.5% | -11.7 | 0 |
| 2015-08-16 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1906 | 1874 | 36.5% | 24.6% | 38.9% | +11.7 | 3 |
| 2015-08-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 2013 | 1901 | 57.5% | 22.4% | 20.1% | +3.9 | 3 |
| 2015-08-16 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1901 | 2013 | 20.1% | 22.4% | 57.5% | -3.9 | 0 |
| 2015-08-21 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1879 | 1868 | 44.8% | 24.3% | 30.9% | -0.5 | 4 |
| 2015-08-21 | @ Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1868 | 1879 | 30.9% | 24.3% | 44.8% | +0.5 | 1 |
| 2015-08-22 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1883 | 2007 | 26.9% | 23.9% | 49.2% | -5.3 | 1 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 2007 | 1883 | 49.2% | 23.9% | 26.9% | +5.4 | 6 |
| 2015-08-22 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1907 | 2095 | 20.4% | 22.5% | 57.0% | -3.9 | 0 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Hoffenheim | W 2-1 | 2095 | 1907 | 57.0% | 22.5% | 20.4% | +3.9 | 6 |
| 2015-08-22 | FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1897 | 1907 | 42.0% | 24.5% | 33.5% | -0.3 | 1 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1907 | 1897 | 33.5% | 24.5% | 42.0% | +0.3 | 1 |
| 2015-08-22 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1958 | 1824 | 60.0% | 21.8% | 18.3% | -1.7 | 4 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1824 | 1958 | 18.3% | 21.8% | 60.0% | +1.7 | 2 |
| 2015-08-22 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-2 | 1853 | 1862 | 42.1% | 24.5% | 33.4% | +5.7 | 3 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ Hamburger SV | L 2-3 | 1862 | 1853 | 33.4% | 24.5% | 42.1% | -5.7 | 0 |
| 2015-08-22 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1917 | 2017 | 29.7% | 24.2% | 46.1% | +0.6 | 4 |
| 2015-08-22 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 2017 | 1917 | 46.1% | 24.2% | 29.7% | -0.6 | 4 |
| 2015-08-23 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-4 | 1862 | 2006 | 24.7% | 23.5% | 51.8% | -17.8 | 3 |
| 2015-08-23 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 4-0 | 2006 | 1862 | 51.8% | 23.5% | 24.7% | +17.8 | 6 |
| 2015-08-23 | Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1984 | 1909 | 53.1% | 23.3% | 23.6% | -8.7 | 0 |
| 2015-08-23 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1909 | 1984 | 23.6% | 23.3% | 53.1% | +8.7 | 3 |
| 2015-08-28 | Schalke 04 | W 3-0 | 2017 | 1957 | 51.2% | 23.6% | 25.1% | +13.8 | 7 |
| 2015-08-28 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-3 | 1957 | 2017 | 25.1% | 23.6% | 51.2% | -13.8 | 4 |
| 2015-08-29 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-0 | 2099 | 2012 | 54.5% | 23.1% | 22.4% | +12.5 | 9 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 2012 | 2099 | 22.4% | 23.1% | 54.5% | -12.5 | 6 |
| 2015-08-29 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-4 | 1857 | 1897 | 37.6% | 24.6% | 37.8% | -16.2 | 0 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 4-1 | 1897 | 1857 | 37.8% | 24.6% | 37.6% | +16.1 | 4 |
| 2015-08-29 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1918 | 1859 | 51.1% | 23.6% | 25.2% | +4.8 | 7 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 1-2 | 1859 | 1918 | 25.2% | 23.6% | 51.1% | -4.8 | 3 |
| 2015-08-29 | Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1918 | 1878 | 48.7% | 24.0% | 27.3% | +14.8 | 6 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-3 | 1878 | 1918 | 27.3% | 24.0% | 48.7% | -14.8 | 1 |
| 2015-08-29 | Hoffenheim | D 0-0 | 1826 | 1903 | 32.6% | 24.5% | 43.0% | +0.4 | 3 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 0-0 | 1903 | 1826 | 43.0% | 24.5% | 32.6% | -0.4 | 1 |
| 2015-08-29 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-1 | 1908 | 1844 | 51.7% | 23.6% | 24.7% | -9.0 | 1 |
| 2015-08-29 | @ FC Augsburg | W 1-0 | 1844 | 1908 | 24.7% | 23.6% | 51.7% | +9.0 | 6 |
| 2015-08-30 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1869 | 1975 | 28.9% | 24.2% | 46.9% | +7.9 | 4 |
| 2015-08-30 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1975 | 1869 | 46.9% | 24.2% | 28.9% | -7.8 | 0 |
| 2015-08-30 | Hertha BSC | W 3-1 | 2023 | 1878 | 61.1% | 21.4% | 17.4% | +5.9 | 9 |
| 2015-08-30 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1878 | 2023 | 17.4% | 21.4% | 61.1% | -5.9 | 4 |
| 2015-09-11 | Hamburger SV | L 0-3 | 1967 | 1854 | 57.6% | 22.4% | 20.1% | -27.1 | 0 |
| 2015-09-11 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-0 | 1854 | 1967 | 20.1% | 22.4% | 57.6% | +27.1 | 6 |
| 2015-09-12 | 1. FC Koln | W 6-2 | 1913 | 1923 | 42.0% | 24.5% | 33.5% | +16.2 | 7 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 2-6 | 1923 | 1913 | 33.5% | 24.5% | 42.0% | -16.2 | 7 |
| 2015-09-12 | Borussia Dortmund | L 2-4 | 1863 | 2029 | 22.4% | 23.1% | 54.5% | -6.7 | 1 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Hannover 96 | W 4-2 | 2029 | 1863 | 54.5% | 23.1% | 22.4% | +6.7 | 12 |
| 2015-09-12 | FC Augsburg | W 2-1 | 2111 | 1899 | 67.8% | 19.1% | 13.1% | +2.5 | 12 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1899 | 2111 | 13.1% | 19.1% | 67.8% | -2.5 | 1 |
| 2015-09-12 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-1 | 2000 | 1826 | 64.0% | 20.5% | 15.4% | -10.9 | 6 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 1826 | 2000 | 15.4% | 20.5% | 64.0% | +10.8 | 6 |
| 2015-09-12 | VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1872 | 1841 | 47.6% | 24.1% | 28.3% | +5.3 | 7 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1841 | 1872 | 28.3% | 24.1% | 47.6% | -5.3 | 0 |
| 2015-09-12 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1853 | 2030 | 21.4% | 22.8% | 55.8% | +1.5 | 7 |
| 2015-09-12 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 0-0 | 2030 | 1853 | 55.8% | 22.8% | 21.4% | -1.5 | 8 |
| 2015-09-13 | Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 1943 | 1933 | 44.7% | 24.4% | 30.9% | +5.7 | 7 |
| 2015-09-13 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1933 | 1943 | 30.9% | 24.4% | 44.7% | -5.7 | 6 |
| 2015-09-13 | Werder Bremen | L 1-3 | 1902 | 1876 | 46.8% | 24.2% | 29.0% | -13.6 | 1 |
| 2015-09-13 | @ Hoffenheim | W 3-1 | 1876 | 1902 | 29.0% | 24.2% | 46.8% | +13.6 | 7 |
| 2015-09-18 | Hoffenheim | W 3-1 | 1927 | 1889 | 48.5% | 24.0% | 27.5% | +8.9 | 9 |
| 2015-09-18 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-3 | 1889 | 1927 | 27.5% | 24.0% | 48.5% | -8.9 | 1 |
| 2015-09-19 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1837 | 2114 | 14.0% | 19.7% | 66.3% | -7.8 | 6 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 3-0 | 2114 | 1837 | 66.3% | 19.7% | 14.0% | +7.8 | 15 |
| 2015-09-19 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1907 | 1940 | 38.6% | 24.6% | 36.8% | +6.9 | 10 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 0-1 | 1940 | 1907 | 36.8% | 24.6% | 38.6% | -6.9 | 0 |
| 2015-09-19 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1882 | 1930 | 36.5% | 24.6% | 38.9% | +0.1 | 7 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1930 | 1882 | 38.9% | 24.6% | 36.5% | -0.1 | 8 |
| 2015-09-19 | Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 2029 | 1878 | 61.7% | 21.3% | 17.0% | +6.6 | 11 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-2 | 1878 | 2029 | 17.0% | 21.3% | 61.7% | -6.6 | 7 |
| 2015-09-19 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-1 | 1890 | 1855 | 48.1% | 24.0% | 27.8% | -8.5 | 7 |
| 2015-09-19 | @ Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1855 | 1890 | 27.8% | 24.0% | 48.1% | +8.5 | 10 |
| 2015-09-20 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-0 | 2036 | 1989 | 49.6% | 23.9% | 26.5% | +14.5 | 15 |
| 2015-09-20 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1989 | 2036 | 26.5% | 23.9% | 49.6% | -14.5 | 6 |
| 2015-09-20 | Hannover 96 | W 2-0 | 1896 | 1856 | 48.7% | 24.0% | 27.3% | +10.2 | 4 |
| 2015-09-20 | @ FC Augsburg | L 0-2 | 1856 | 1896 | 27.3% | 24.0% | 48.7% | -10.2 | 1 |
| 2015-09-20 | Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1835 | 1949 | 28.1% | 24.1% | 47.9% | -5.5 | 0 |
| 2015-09-20 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 1-0 | 1949 | 1835 | 47.9% | 24.1% | 28.1% | +5.5 | 10 |
| 2015-09-22 | 1. FC Koln | W 2-0 | 1871 | 1913 | 37.3% | 24.6% | 38.1% | +13.3 | 10 |
| 2015-09-22 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-2 | 1913 | 1871 | 38.1% | 24.6% | 37.3% | -13.3 | 10 |
| 2015-09-22 | Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1863 | 1882 | 40.7% | 24.6% | 34.7% | -7.4 | 10 |
| 2015-09-22 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 1-0 | 1882 | 1863 | 34.7% | 24.6% | 40.7% | +7.4 | 10 |
| 2015-09-22 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 5-1 | 2121 | 2035 | 54.4% | 23.1% | 22.5% | +13.6 | 18 |
| 2015-09-22 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-5 | 2035 | 2121 | 22.5% | 23.1% | 54.4% | -13.6 | 11 |
| 2015-09-22 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1829 | 1882 | 35.9% | 24.6% | 39.5% | +6.8 | 9 |
| 2015-09-22 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1882 | 1829 | 39.5% | 24.6% | 35.9% | -6.8 | 7 |
| 2015-09-23 | Borussia Dortmund | D 1-1 | 1880 | 2050 | 22.0% | 23.0% | 55.0% | +1.3 | 2 |
| 2015-09-23 | @ Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 2050 | 1880 | 55.0% | 23.0% | 22.0% | -1.3 | 16 |
| 2015-09-23 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1954 | 1929 | 46.7% | 24.2% | 29.1% | +10.8 | 13 |
| 2015-09-23 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1929 | 1954 | 29.1% | 24.2% | 46.7% | -10.8 | 8 |
| 2015-09-23 | FC Augsburg | W 4-2 | 1933 | 1906 | 47.0% | 24.2% | 28.9% | +8.3 | 3 |
| 2015-09-23 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 2-4 | 1906 | 1933 | 28.9% | 24.2% | 47.0% | -8.3 | 4 |
| 2015-09-23 | Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1974 | 1936 | 48.5% | 24.0% | 27.5% | +5.5 | 9 |
| 2015-09-23 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1936 | 1974 | 27.5% | 24.0% | 48.5% | -5.5 | 9 |
| 2015-09-23 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 1846 | 1830 | 45.6% | 24.3% | 30.1% | -13.3 | 1 |
| 2015-09-23 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1830 | 1846 | 30.1% | 24.3% | 45.6% | +13.3 | 3 |
| 2015-09-25 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1900 | 1856 | 49.3% | 23.9% | 26.8% | -0.9 | 11 |
| 2015-09-25 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1856 | 1900 | 26.8% | 23.9% | 49.3% | +0.9 | 11 |
| 2015-09-26 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1875 | 1980 | 29.0% | 24.2% | 46.8% | -15.6 | 7 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-0 | 1980 | 1875 | 46.8% | 24.2% | 29.0% | +15.6 | 12 |
| 2015-09-26 | Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1931 | 2135 | 19.1% | 22.1% | 58.9% | -10.7 | 9 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-0 | 2135 | 1931 | 58.9% | 22.1% | 19.1% | +10.7 | 21 |
| 2015-09-26 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-3 | 1843 | 1942 | 29.8% | 24.3% | 45.9% | -9.5 | 3 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1942 | 1843 | 45.9% | 24.3% | 29.8% | +9.5 | 6 |
| 2015-09-26 | Hannover 96 | D 1-1 | 2022 | 1833 | 65.6% | 20.0% | 14.4% | -2.1 | 12 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1833 | 2022 | 14.4% | 20.0% | 65.6% | +2.1 | 2 |
| 2015-09-26 | Hoffenheim | L 1-3 | 1898 | 1881 | 45.7% | 24.3% | 30.0% | -13.3 | 4 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ FC Augsburg | W 3-1 | 1881 | 1898 | 30.0% | 24.3% | 45.7% | +13.3 | 5 |
| 2015-09-26 | Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1889 | 1965 | 32.7% | 24.5% | 42.8% | -6.3 | 10 |
| 2015-09-26 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1965 | 1889 | 42.8% | 24.5% | 32.7% | +6.3 | 16 |
| 2015-09-27 | Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1919 | 1884 | 48.0% | 24.1% | 28.0% | -0.8 | 9 |
| 2015-09-27 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1884 | 1919 | 28.0% | 24.1% | 48.0% | +0.8 | 11 |
| 2015-09-27 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 2-2 | 2049 | 1836 | 67.8% | 19.1% | 13.0% | -1.7 | 17 |
| 2015-09-27 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 1836 | 2049 | 13.0% | 19.1% | 67.8% | +1.7 | 10 |
| 2015-10-02 | Mainz 05 | L 2-3 | 1838 | 1920 | 31.9% | 24.4% | 43.7% | -5.5 | 10 |
| 2015-10-02 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 3-2 | 1920 | 1838 | 43.7% | 24.4% | 31.9% | +5.5 | 12 |
| 2015-10-03 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1856 | 1918 | 34.7% | 24.6% | 40.8% | +14.0 | 14 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-2 | 1918 | 1856 | 40.8% | 24.6% | 34.7% | -14.0 | 9 |
| 2015-10-03 | Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 1885 | 1883 | 43.6% | 24.4% | 31.9% | +16.9 | 14 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-3 | 1883 | 1885 | 31.9% | 24.4% | 43.6% | -16.9 | 10 |
| 2015-10-03 | VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1894 | 1833 | 51.3% | 23.6% | 25.0% | -0.8 | 6 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Hoffenheim | D 2-2 | 1833 | 1894 | 25.0% | 23.6% | 51.3% | +0.8 | 4 |
| 2015-10-03 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1951 | 2020 | 33.7% | 24.5% | 41.8% | +14.3 | 9 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 2020 | 1951 | 41.8% | 24.5% | 33.7% | -14.3 | 12 |
| 2015-10-03 | Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 1835 | 1859 | 39.9% | 24.6% | 35.5% | +6.7 | 5 |
| 2015-10-03 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1859 | 1835 | 35.5% | 24.6% | 39.9% | -6.7 | 7 |
| 2015-10-04 | 1. FC Koln | L 0-3 | 1971 | 1899 | 52.7% | 23.4% | 23.9% | -25.2 | 16 |
| 2015-10-04 | @ Schalke 04 | W 3-0 | 1899 | 1971 | 23.9% | 23.4% | 52.7% | +25.2 | 14 |
| 2015-10-04 | Borussia Dortmund | W 5-1 | 2146 | 2047 | 55.9% | 22.8% | 21.3% | +13.0 | 24 |
| 2015-10-04 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-5 | 2047 | 2146 | 21.3% | 22.8% | 55.9% | -13.0 | 17 |
| 2015-10-04 | FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1995 | 1885 | 57.3% | 22.4% | 20.2% | -1.5 | 13 |
| 2015-10-04 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1885 | 1995 | 20.2% | 22.4% | 57.3% | +1.5 | 5 |
| 2015-10-16 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1925 | 2034 | 28.6% | 24.1% | 47.3% | -10.6 | 12 |
| 2015-10-16 | @ Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 2034 | 1925 | 47.3% | 24.1% | 28.6% | +10.6 | 20 |
| 2015-10-17 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 0-0 | 1866 | 1994 | 26.4% | 23.8% | 49.8% | +1.0 | 11 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1994 | 1866 | 49.8% | 23.8% | 26.4% | -1.0 | 14 |
| 2015-10-17 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1852 | 2159 | 12.3% | 18.6% | 69.1% | -2.5 | 7 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Werder Bremen | W 1-0 | 2159 | 1852 | 69.1% | 18.6% | 12.3% | +2.5 | 27 |
| 2015-10-17 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-5 | 1904 | 1965 | 34.7% | 24.6% | 40.8% | -19.6 | 9 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 5-1 | 1965 | 1904 | 40.8% | 24.6% | 34.7% | +19.6 | 12 |
| 2015-10-17 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1946 | 1902 | 49.2% | 23.9% | 26.9% | +5.0 | 19 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 1902 | 1946 | 26.9% | 23.9% | 49.2% | -5.0 | 14 |
| 2015-10-17 | Hoffenheim | W 4-2 | 2005 | 1894 | 57.5% | 22.4% | 20.1% | +6.0 | 15 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 2-4 | 1894 | 2005 | 20.1% | 22.4% | 57.5% | -6.0 | 6 |
| 2015-10-17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-2 | 1886 | 1832 | 50.5% | 23.7% | 25.7% | -16.7 | 5 |
| 2015-10-17 | @ FC Augsburg | W 2-0 | 1832 | 1886 | 25.7% | 23.7% | 50.5% | +16.7 | 13 |
| 2015-10-18 | Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1924 | 1842 | 54.1% | 23.2% | 22.8% | -9.4 | 14 |
| 2015-10-18 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 1842 | 1924 | 22.8% | 23.2% | 54.1% | +9.4 | 8 |
| 2015-10-18 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 1-0 | 1834 | 1870 | 38.2% | 24.6% | 37.2% | +6.9 | 7 |
| 2015-10-18 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-1 | 1870 | 1834 | 37.2% | 24.6% | 38.2% | -6.9 | 14 |
| 2015-10-23 | Hamburger SV | L 0-1 | 1888 | 1867 | 46.1% | 24.2% | 29.6% | -8.2 | 6 |
| 2015-10-23 | @ Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 1867 | 1888 | 29.6% | 24.2% | 46.1% | +8.2 | 14 |
| 2015-10-24 | 1. FC Koln | W 4-0 | 2161 | 1915 | 70.8% | 17.9% | 11.3% | +8.1 | 30 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-4 | 1915 | 2161 | 11.3% | 17.9% | 70.8% | -8.1 | 14 |
| 2015-10-24 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1851 | 1884 | 38.6% | 24.6% | 36.8% | -6.7 | 8 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1884 | 1851 | 36.8% | 24.6% | 38.6% | +6.7 | 12 |
| 2015-10-24 | Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1864 | 1897 | 38.6% | 24.6% | 36.8% | -7.1 | 14 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 1-0 | 1897 | 1864 | 36.8% | 24.6% | 38.6% | +7.1 | 17 |
| 2015-10-24 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-3 | 1993 | 1841 | 61.8% | 21.2% | 17.0% | +3.0 | 17 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 3-4 | 1841 | 1993 | 17.0% | 21.2% | 61.8% | -3.0 | 7 |
| 2015-10-24 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1849 | 2011 | 22.8% | 23.2% | 54.1% | -4.6 | 13 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 1-0 | 2011 | 1849 | 54.1% | 23.2% | 22.8% | +4.6 | 18 |
| 2015-10-24 | Werder Bremen | L 1-3 | 1915 | 1850 | 51.8% | 23.5% | 24.6% | -14.8 | 12 |
| 2015-10-24 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-1 | 1850 | 1915 | 24.6% | 23.5% | 51.8% | +14.8 | 10 |
| 2015-10-25 | FC Augsburg | W 5-1 | 2045 | 1870 | 64.2% | 20.5% | 15.3% | +9.4 | 23 |
| 2015-10-25 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-5 | 1870 | 2045 | 15.3% | 20.5% | 64.2% | -9.4 | 5 |
| 2015-10-25 | Schalke 04 | W 3-1 | 1985 | 1951 | 47.9% | 24.1% | 28.0% | +9.0 | 15 |
| 2015-10-25 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-3 | 1951 | 1985 | 28.0% | 24.1% | 47.9% | -9.0 | 19 |
| 2015-10-30 | Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 1891 | 2169 | 13.9% | 19.7% | 66.5% | +2.4 | 13 |
| 2015-10-30 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 2169 | 1891 | 66.5% | 19.7% | 13.9% | -2.4 | 31 |
| 2015-10-31 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 2016 | 1996 | 46.1% | 24.2% | 29.7% | +5.5 | 21 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 1996 | 2016 | 29.7% | 24.2% | 46.1% | -5.5 | 17 |
| 2015-10-31 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1865 | 2054 | 20.3% | 22.5% | 57.2% | -6.8 | 10 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-1 | 2054 | 1865 | 57.2% | 22.5% | 20.3% | +6.8 | 26 |
| 2015-10-31 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-4 | 1904 | 1994 | 30.9% | 24.4% | 44.7% | -13.9 | 17 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ Hertha BSC | W 4-1 | 1994 | 1904 | 44.7% | 24.4% | 30.9% | +13.9 | 18 |
| 2015-10-31 | Hoffenheim | D 0-0 | 1907 | 1879 | 47.1% | 24.1% | 28.8% | -0.8 | 15 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 0-0 | 1879 | 1907 | 28.8% | 24.1% | 47.1% | +0.8 | 7 |
| 2015-10-31 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1942 | 1856 | 54.4% | 23.1% | 22.5% | -1.3 | 20 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1856 | 1942 | 22.5% | 23.1% | 54.4% | +1.2 | 15 |
| 2015-10-31 | Mainz 05 | D 3-3 | 1860 | 1900 | 37.7% | 24.6% | 37.7% | +0.0 | 6 |
| 2015-10-31 | @ FC Augsburg | D 3-3 | 1900 | 1860 | 37.7% | 24.6% | 37.7% | +0.0 | 13 |
| 2015-11-01 | Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1875 | 1844 | 47.5% | 24.1% | 28.4% | -7.9 | 14 |
| 2015-11-01 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1844 | 1875 | 28.4% | 24.1% | 47.5% | +7.9 | 11 |
| 2015-11-01 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-0 | 1838 | 1844 | 42.5% | 24.5% | 33.0% | +11.9 | 10 |
| 2015-11-01 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1844 | 1838 | 33.0% | 24.5% | 42.5% | -11.9 | 13 |
| 2015-11-06 | Hertha BSC | L 1-3 | 1852 | 1890 | 38.0% | 24.6% | 37.4% | -11.5 | 11 |
| 2015-11-06 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1890 | 1852 | 37.4% | 24.6% | 38.0% | +11.5 | 20 |
| 2015-11-07 | 1. FC Koln | L 1-2 | 1991 | 1906 | 54.2% | 23.1% | 22.7% | -8.9 | 17 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1906 | 1991 | 22.7% | 23.1% | 54.2% | +8.9 | 18 |
| 2015-11-07 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1880 | 1893 | 41.5% | 24.5% | 34.0% | -0.3 | 8 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Hoffenheim | D 0-0 | 1893 | 1880 | 34.0% | 24.5% | 41.5% | +0.3 | 14 |
| 2015-11-07 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1832 | 1867 | 38.4% | 24.6% | 37.0% | -0.1 | 14 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1867 | 1832 | 37.0% | 24.6% | 38.4% | +0.0 | 15 |
| 2015-11-07 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 0-0 | 2008 | 1858 | 61.6% | 21.3% | 17.1% | -2.0 | 19 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | D 0-0 | 1858 | 2008 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 61.6% | +2.0 | 16 |
| 2015-11-07 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-0 | 2167 | 1850 | 76.5% | 15.2% | 8.3% | +5.7 | 34 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-4 | 1850 | 2167 | 8.3% | 15.2% | 76.5% | -5.7 | 10 |
| 2015-11-07 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1900 | 2022 | 27.1% | 23.9% | 48.9% | +16.3 | 16 |
| 2015-11-07 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-2 | 2022 | 1900 | 48.9% | 23.9% | 27.1% | -16.3 | 21 |
| 2015-11-08 | Schalke 04 | W 3-2 | 2061 | 1941 | 58.4% | 22.2% | 19.4% | +3.6 | 29 |
| 2015-11-08 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1941 | 2061 | 19.4% | 22.2% | 58.4% | -3.6 | 20 |
| 2015-11-08 | Werder Bremen | L 1-2 | 1860 | 1858 | 43.6% | 24.4% | 31.9% | -7.4 | 6 |
| 2015-11-08 | @ FC Augsburg | W 2-1 | 1858 | 1860 | 31.9% | 24.4% | 43.6% | +7.4 | 13 |
| 2015-11-20 | Borussia Dortmund | W 3-1 | 1867 | 2065 | 19.6% | 22.3% | 58.1% | +16.3 | 18 |
| 2015-11-20 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-3 | 2065 | 1867 | 58.1% | 22.3% | 19.6% | -16.3 | 29 |
| 2015-11-21 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-3 | 1894 | 1982 | 31.2% | 24.4% | 44.5% | -9.9 | 14 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 1982 | 1894 | 44.5% | 24.4% | 31.2% | +9.9 | 20 |
| 2015-11-21 | Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1937 | 2173 | 16.7% | 21.1% | 62.2% | -5.6 | 20 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ Schalke 04 | W 3-1 | 2173 | 1937 | 62.2% | 21.1% | 16.7% | +5.6 | 37 |
| 2015-11-21 | FC Augsburg | L 0-4 | 1844 | 1853 | 42.2% | 24.5% | 33.3% | -27.3 | 10 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 4-0 | 1853 | 1844 | 33.3% | 24.5% | 42.2% | +27.3 | 9 |
| 2015-11-21 | Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 2006 | 1841 | 63.2% | 20.8% | 16.0% | +3.1 | 22 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-2 | 1841 | 2006 | 16.0% | 20.8% | 63.2% | -3.1 | 11 |
| 2015-11-21 | Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1915 | 1916 | 43.2% | 24.5% | 32.4% | -0.5 | 19 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 0-0 | 1916 | 1915 | 32.4% | 24.5% | 43.2% | +0.4 | 17 |
| 2015-11-21 | Werder Bremen | W 6-0 | 2005 | 1865 | 60.6% | 21.6% | 17.8% | +19.2 | 24 |
| 2015-11-21 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-6 | 1865 | 2005 | 17.8% | 21.6% | 60.6% | -19.2 | 13 |
| 2015-11-22 | Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 1902 | 1880 | 46.3% | 24.2% | 29.4% | +5.8 | 23 |
| 2015-11-22 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1880 | 1902 | 29.4% | 24.2% | 46.3% | -5.8 | 8 |
| 2015-11-22 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 3-1 | 1860 | 1832 | 47.1% | 24.2% | 28.8% | +9.2 | 19 |
| 2015-11-22 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 1-3 | 1832 | 1860 | 28.8% | 24.2% | 47.1% | -9.2 | 14 |
| 2015-11-27 | 1. FC Koln | D 0-0 | 1823 | 1915 | 30.7% | 24.3% | 45.0% | +0.6 | 15 |
| 2015-11-27 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 0-0 | 1915 | 1823 | 45.0% | 24.3% | 30.7% | -0.6 | 20 |
| 2015-11-28 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 3-3 | 1874 | 2009 | 25.6% | 23.7% | 50.6% | +0.6 | 9 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Hoffenheim | D 3-3 | 2009 | 1874 | 50.6% | 23.7% | 25.6% | -0.6 | 23 |
| 2015-11-28 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-1 | 1917 | 1884 | 47.8% | 24.1% | 28.2% | +5.2 | 20 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1884 | 1917 | 28.2% | 24.1% | 47.8% | -5.2 | 14 |
| 2015-11-28 | Hamburger SV | L 1-3 | 1846 | 1884 | 38.0% | 24.6% | 37.4% | -11.5 | 13 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Werder Bremen | W 3-1 | 1884 | 1846 | 37.4% | 24.6% | 38.0% | +11.5 | 21 |
| 2015-11-28 | Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 2178 | 1907 | 72.9% | 17.0% | 10.2% | +3.8 | 40 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1907 | 2178 | 10.2% | 17.0% | 72.9% | -3.8 | 23 |
| 2015-11-28 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 4-0 | 1837 | 1869 | 38.9% | 24.6% | 36.5% | +24.5 | 14 |
| 2015-11-28 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-4 | 1869 | 1837 | 36.5% | 24.6% | 38.9% | -24.5 | 19 |
| 2015-11-29 | Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1992 | 1932 | 51.2% | 23.6% | 25.1% | -1.0 | 21 |
| 2015-11-29 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1932 | 1992 | 25.1% | 23.6% | 51.2% | +1.0 | 21 |
| 2015-11-29 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-1 | 2048 | 1817 | 69.5% | 18.4% | 12.0% | +5.6 | 32 |
| 2015-11-29 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-4 | 1817 | 2048 | 12.0% | 18.4% | 69.5% | -5.6 | 10 |
| 2015-11-29 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 0-0 | 1880 | 2025 | 24.6% | 23.5% | 51.8% | +1.2 | 10 |
| 2015-11-29 | @ FC Augsburg | D 0-0 | 2025 | 1880 | 51.8% | 23.5% | 24.6% | -1.2 | 25 |
| 2015-12-04 | Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1933 | 1862 | 52.6% | 23.4% | 24.0% | +7.9 | 24 |
| 2015-12-04 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-3 | 1862 | 1933 | 24.0% | 23.4% | 52.6% | -7.9 | 14 |
| 2015-12-05 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 1904 | 1991 | 31.3% | 24.4% | 44.3% | +7.5 | 26 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1991 | 1904 | 44.3% | 24.4% | 31.3% | -7.5 | 21 |
| 2015-12-05 | Bayern Munich | W 3-1 | 2008 | 2182 | 21.8% | 22.9% | 55.4% | +15.6 | 26 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-3 | 2182 | 2008 | 55.4% | 22.9% | 21.8% | -15.6 | 40 |
| 2015-12-05 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-2 | 2023 | 2054 | 39.0% | 24.6% | 36.4% | -6.8 | 25 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-1 | 2054 | 2023 | 36.4% | 24.6% | 39.0% | +6.8 | 35 |
| 2015-12-05 | FC Augsburg | L 0-1 | 1914 | 1881 | 47.8% | 24.1% | 28.2% | -8.5 | 20 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 1881 | 1914 | 28.2% | 24.1% | 47.8% | +8.5 | 13 |
| 2015-12-05 | Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 1844 | 1875 | 39.1% | 24.6% | 36.3% | -0.1 | 20 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1875 | 1844 | 36.3% | 24.6% | 39.1% | +0.1 | 10 |
| 2015-12-05 | Mainz 05 | L 1-3 | 1895 | 1922 | 39.6% | 24.6% | 35.8% | -11.9 | 21 |
| 2015-12-05 | @ Hamburger SV | W 3-1 | 1922 | 1895 | 35.8% | 24.6% | 39.6% | +11.9 | 23 |
| 2015-12-06 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-1 | 1879 | 1823 | 50.6% | 23.7% | 25.6% | -8.9 | 14 |
| 2015-12-06 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1823 | 1879 | 25.6% | 23.7% | 50.6% | +8.9 | 18 |
| 2015-12-06 | Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1811 | 1835 | 40.1% | 24.6% | 35.3% | -0.2 | 11 |
| 2015-12-06 | @ VfB Stuttgart | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1811 | 35.3% | 24.6% | 40.1% | +0.2 | 14 |
| 2015-12-11 | VfB Stuttgart | D 0-0 | 1934 | 1811 | 58.6% | 22.1% | 19.2% | -1.8 | 24 |
| 2015-12-11 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1811 | 1934 | 19.2% | 22.1% | 58.6% | +1.8 | 12 |
| 2015-12-12 | 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1906 | 33.4% | 24.5% | 42.1% | +0.3 | 15 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1906 | 1835 | 42.1% | 24.5% | 33.4% | -0.3 | 21 |
| 2015-12-12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 5-0 | 1983 | 2024 | 37.5% | 24.6% | 37.9% | +31.0 | 24 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-5 | 2024 | 1983 | 37.9% | 24.6% | 37.5% | -31.0 | 26 |
| 2015-12-12 | Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 2017 | 1883 | 59.8% | 21.8% | 18.4% | -1.7 | 26 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1883 | 2017 | 18.4% | 21.8% | 59.8% | +1.7 | 22 |
| 2015-12-12 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1875 | 1854 | 46.2% | 24.2% | 29.6% | +5.8 | 13 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-1 | 1854 | 1875 | 29.6% | 24.2% | 46.2% | -5.8 | 14 |
| 2015-12-12 | Hertha BSC | L 0-4 | 1832 | 1911 | 32.3% | 24.5% | 43.2% | -22.3 | 18 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 4-0 | 1911 | 1832 | 43.2% | 24.5% | 32.3% | +22.3 | 29 |
| 2015-12-12 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 2-0 | 2166 | 1844 | 76.9% | 15.0% | 8.1% | +2.9 | 43 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1844 | 2166 | 8.1% | 15.0% | 76.9% | -2.9 | 20 |
| 2015-12-13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-1 | 2061 | 1870 | 65.8% | 19.9% | 14.3% | +6.8 | 38 |
| 2015-12-13 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-4 | 1870 | 2061 | 14.3% | 19.9% | 65.8% | -6.8 | 14 |
| 2015-12-13 | Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1890 | 1941 | 36.1% | 24.6% | 39.3% | +6.8 | 16 |
| 2015-12-13 | @ FC Augsburg | L 1-2 | 1941 | 1890 | 39.3% | 24.6% | 36.1% | -6.8 | 24 |
| 2015-12-18 | Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 1934 | 1880 | 50.4% | 23.8% | 25.8% | +5.2 | 27 |
| 2015-12-18 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-1 | 1880 | 1934 | 25.8% | 23.8% | 50.4% | -5.2 | 13 |
| 2015-12-19 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1841 | 2014 | 21.9% | 22.9% | 55.2% | -4.5 | 20 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 1-0 | 2014 | 1841 | 55.2% | 22.9% | 21.9% | +4.5 | 27 |
| 2015-12-19 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1848 | 2169 | 11.6% | 18.1% | 70.4% | -2.3 | 14 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 2169 | 1848 | 70.4% | 18.1% | 11.6% | +2.3 | 46 |
| 2015-12-19 | Borussia Dortmund | W 2-1 | 1905 | 2068 | 22.8% | 23.2% | 54.0% | +8.8 | 24 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 1-2 | 2068 | 1905 | 54.0% | 23.2% | 22.8% | -8.8 | 38 |
| 2015-12-19 | FC Augsburg | L 0-1 | 1885 | 1897 | 41.7% | 24.5% | 33.8% | -7.6 | 22 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1897 | 1885 | 33.8% | 24.5% | 41.7% | +7.6 | 19 |
| 2015-12-19 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-1 | 1813 | 2015 | 19.3% | 22.1% | 58.6% | +16.4 | 15 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 2015 | 1813 | 58.6% | 22.1% | 19.3% | -16.4 | 26 |
| 2015-12-19 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1863 | 1835 | 47.1% | 24.1% | 28.7% | +5.3 | 17 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1835 | 1863 | 28.7% | 24.1% | 47.1% | -5.3 | 15 |
| 2015-12-20 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 1933 | 1932 | 43.5% | 24.4% | 32.0% | +11.6 | 32 |
| 2015-12-20 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-2 | 1932 | 1933 | 32.0% | 24.4% | 43.5% | -11.6 | 24 |
| 2015-12-20 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 3-2 | 1993 | 1810 | 65.0% | 20.2% | 14.8% | +2.7 | 29 |
| 2015-12-20 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 2-3 | 1810 | 1993 | 14.8% | 20.2% | 65.0% | -2.7 | 18 |
| 2016-01-22 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1877 | 2172 | 13.0% | 19.1% | 68.0% | -2.5 | 22 |
| 2016-01-22 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 2172 | 1877 | 68.0% | 19.1% | 13.0% | +2.5 | 49 |
| 2016-01-23 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 1-1 | 1875 | 2018 | 24.8% | 23.6% | 51.7% | +1.0 | 14 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 2018 | 1875 | 51.7% | 23.6% | 24.8% | -1.0 | 28 |
| 2016-01-23 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1996 | 2059 | 34.4% | 24.6% | 41.0% | -10.7 | 29 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-1 | 2059 | 1996 | 41.0% | 24.6% | 34.4% | +10.7 | 41 |
| 2016-01-23 | FC Augsburg | D 0-0 | 1945 | 1904 | 48.8% | 24.0% | 27.2% | -0.9 | 33 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1904 | 1945 | 27.2% | 24.0% | 48.8% | +0.9 | 20 |
| 2016-01-23 | Mainz 05 | W 1-0 | 1837 | 1920 | 31.8% | 24.4% | 43.8% | +7.9 | 23 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-1 | 1920 | 1837 | 43.8% | 24.4% | 31.8% | -7.9 | 24 |
| 2016-01-23 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1846 | 1807 | 48.5% | 24.0% | 27.5% | -8.1 | 14 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ Hannover 96 | W 2-1 | 1807 | 1846 | 27.5% | 24.0% | 48.5% | +8.1 | 21 |
| 2016-01-23 | VfB Stuttgart | L 1-3 | 1914 | 1829 | 54.3% | 23.1% | 22.6% | -15.4 | 24 |
| 2016-01-23 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 3-1 | 1829 | 1914 | 22.6% | 23.1% | 54.3% | +15.4 | 18 |
| 2016-01-24 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-2 | 1868 | 1998 | 26.2% | 23.8% | 50.0% | +7.9 | 20 |
| 2016-01-24 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 2-3 | 1998 | 1868 | 50.0% | 23.8% | 26.2% | -7.8 | 26 |
| 2016-01-24 | Werder Bremen | L 1-3 | 1939 | 1830 | 57.1% | 22.5% | 20.4% | -16.1 | 27 |
| 2016-01-24 | @ Schalke 04 | W 3-1 | 1830 | 1939 | 20.4% | 22.5% | 57.1% | +16.1 | 18 |
| 2016-01-29 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1912 | 1985 | 33.2% | 24.5% | 42.3% | +7.7 | 27 |
| 2016-01-29 | @ Mainz 05 | L 0-1 | 1985 | 1912 | 42.3% | 24.5% | 33.2% | -7.7 | 29 |
| 2016-01-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1905 | 1876 | 47.2% | 24.1% | 28.6% | -0.8 | 21 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ FC Augsburg | D 0-0 | 1876 | 1905 | 28.6% | 24.1% | 47.2% | +0.8 | 21 |
| 2016-01-30 | Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1845 | 1875 | 39.1% | 24.6% | 36.3% | +6.4 | 21 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-2 | 1875 | 1845 | 36.3% | 24.6% | 39.1% | -6.4 | 22 |
| 2016-01-30 | Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 2017 | 1838 | 64.6% | 20.3% | 15.0% | +8.5 | 31 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1838 | 2017 | 15.0% | 20.3% | 64.6% | -8.5 | 14 |
| 2016-01-30 | Hertha BSC | D 3-3 | 1846 | 1944 | 29.9% | 24.3% | 45.9% | +0.4 | 19 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ Werder Bremen | D 3-3 | 1944 | 1846 | 45.9% | 24.3% | 29.9% | -0.4 | 34 |
| 2016-01-30 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 2-0 | 2069 | 1845 | 68.9% | 18.7% | 12.4% | +4.7 | 44 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1845 | 2069 | 12.4% | 18.7% | 68.9% | -4.7 | 23 |
| 2016-01-30 | Schalke 04 | L 0-2 | 1815 | 1923 | 28.8% | 24.2% | 47.1% | -10.7 | 21 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-0 | 1923 | 1815 | 47.1% | 24.2% | 28.8% | +10.7 | 30 |
| 2016-01-31 | 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1991 | 1899 | 55.1% | 22.9% | 21.9% | -1.3 | 27 |
| 2016-01-31 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1899 | 1991 | 21.9% | 22.9% | 55.1% | +1.3 | 25 |
| 2016-01-31 | Hoffenheim | W 2-0 | 2174 | 1876 | 75.0% | 15.9% | 9.0% | +3.3 | 52 |
| 2016-01-31 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1876 | 2174 | 9.0% | 15.9% | 75.0% | -3.3 | 14 |
| 2016-02-05 | Werder Bremen | W 5-1 | 1977 | 1846 | 59.6% | 21.9% | 18.5% | +11.3 | 32 |
| 2016-02-05 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-5 | 1846 | 1977 | 18.5% | 21.9% | 59.6% | -11.4 | 19 |
| 2016-02-06 | Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 2026 | 2177 | 23.9% | 23.4% | 52.7% | +1.3 | 32 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | D 0-0 | 2177 | 2026 | 52.7% | 23.4% | 23.9% | -1.2 | 53 |
| 2016-02-06 | Borussia Dortmund | D 0-0 | 1944 | 2074 | 26.1% | 23.8% | 50.1% | +1.0 | 35 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 2074 | 1944 | 50.1% | 23.8% | 26.1% | -1.0 | 45 |
| 2016-02-06 | FC Augsburg | W 2-1 | 1840 | 1904 | 34.3% | 24.6% | 41.1% | +7.1 | 26 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 1-2 | 1904 | 1840 | 41.1% | 24.6% | 34.3% | -7.1 | 21 |
| 2016-02-06 | Mainz 05 | L 0-1 | 1829 | 1920 | 30.8% | 24.3% | 44.8% | -6.0 | 14 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1920 | 1829 | 44.8% | 24.3% | 30.8% | +6.0 | 30 |
| 2016-02-06 | VfB Stuttgart | L 2-4 | 1877 | 1851 | 46.8% | 24.2% | 29.0% | -12.1 | 21 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 4-2 | 1851 | 1877 | 29.0% | 24.2% | 46.8% | +12.1 | 24 |
| 2016-02-06 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-0 | 1934 | 1989 | 35.4% | 24.6% | 40.0% | +20.1 | 33 |
| 2016-02-06 | @ Schalke 04 | L 0-3 | 1989 | 1934 | 40.0% | 24.6% | 35.4% | -20.1 | 27 |
| 2016-02-07 | 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1868 | 1900 | 38.9% | 24.6% | 36.5% | -0.1 | 23 |
| 2016-02-07 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1900 | 1868 | 36.5% | 24.6% | 38.9% | +0.1 | 26 |
| 2016-02-07 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-2 | 1873 | 1805 | 52.3% | 23.5% | 24.2% | -17.2 | 14 |
| 2016-02-07 | @ Hoffenheim | W 2-0 | 1805 | 1873 | 24.2% | 23.5% | 52.3% | +17.2 | 24 |
| 2016-02-12 | Schalke 04 | W 2-1 | 1926 | 1954 | 39.5% | 24.6% | 35.9% | +6.4 | 33 |
| 2016-02-12 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 1954 | 1926 | 35.9% | 24.6% | 39.5% | -6.4 | 33 |
| 2016-02-13 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1822 | 2027 | 19.0% | 22.0% | 59.0% | -3.7 | 24 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-1 | 2027 | 1822 | 59.0% | 22.0% | 19.0% | +3.7 | 35 |
| 2016-02-13 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-1 | 1900 | 1865 | 48.1% | 24.1% | 27.9% | +9.0 | 29 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 1-3 | 1865 | 1900 | 27.9% | 24.1% | 48.1% | -9.0 | 21 |
| 2016-02-13 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 2073 | 1823 | 71.1% | 17.8% | 11.1% | +2.2 | 48 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 1823 | 2073 | 11.1% | 17.8% | 71.1% | -2.2 | 14 |
| 2016-02-13 | Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 1863 | 1945 | 32.0% | 24.4% | 43.6% | +14.8 | 27 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 0-2 | 1945 | 1863 | 43.6% | 24.4% | 32.0% | -14.8 | 35 |
| 2016-02-13 | Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 1835 | 1856 | 40.4% | 24.6% | 35.0% | -0.2 | 20 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1856 | 1835 | 35.0% | 24.6% | 40.4% | +0.2 | 15 |
| 2016-02-13 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 2-0 | 1969 | 1847 | 58.6% | 22.1% | 19.3% | +7.5 | 30 |
| 2016-02-13 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-2 | 1847 | 1969 | 19.3% | 22.1% | 58.6% | -7.5 | 26 |
| 2016-02-14 | Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1897 | 2176 | 13.8% | 19.6% | 66.5% | -4.6 | 21 |
| 2016-02-14 | @ FC Augsburg | W 3-1 | 2176 | 1897 | 66.5% | 19.6% | 13.8% | +4.6 | 56 |
| 2016-02-14 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 3-2 | 1868 | 1989 | 27.3% | 24.0% | 48.8% | +7.7 | 26 |
| 2016-02-14 | @ Hamburger SV | L 2-3 | 1989 | 1868 | 48.8% | 24.0% | 27.3% | -7.7 | 32 |
| 2016-02-19 | Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1856 | 1876 | 40.5% | 24.6% | 34.9% | -0.2 | 22 |
| 2016-02-19 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1876 | 1856 | 34.9% | 24.6% | 40.5% | +0.2 | 27 |
| 2016-02-20 | 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 1981 | 1909 | 52.7% | 23.4% | 23.9% | +4.8 | 35 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-1 | 1909 | 1981 | 23.9% | 23.4% | 52.7% | -4.8 | 29 |
| 2016-02-20 | Mainz 05 | W 3-2 | 1856 | 1932 | 32.7% | 24.5% | 42.9% | +6.9 | 18 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ Hoffenheim | L 2-3 | 1932 | 1856 | 42.9% | 24.5% | 32.7% | -6.9 | 33 |
| 2016-02-20 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 3-1 | 2181 | 1818 | 79.8% | 13.5% | 6.8% | +2.1 | 59 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1818 | 2181 | 6.8% | 13.5% | 79.8% | -2.1 | 24 |
| 2016-02-20 | VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1930 | 1977 | 36.7% | 24.6% | 38.7% | +0.1 | 36 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ Hertha BSC | D 1-1 | 1977 | 1930 | 38.7% | 24.6% | 36.7% | -0.1 | 31 |
| 2016-02-20 | Werder Bremen | W 2-0 | 1840 | 1835 | 44.0% | 24.4% | 31.6% | +11.5 | 29 |
| 2016-02-20 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-2 | 1835 | 1840 | 31.6% | 24.4% | 44.0% | -11.5 | 20 |
| 2016-02-21 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-1 | 2031 | 2075 | 37.0% | 24.6% | 38.4% | -6.9 | 35 |
| 2016-02-21 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 1-0 | 2075 | 2031 | 38.4% | 24.6% | 37.0% | +6.9 | 51 |
| 2016-02-21 | FC Augsburg | L 0-1 | 1821 | 1893 | 33.3% | 24.5% | 42.2% | -6.4 | 14 |
| 2016-02-21 | @ Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1893 | 1821 | 42.2% | 24.5% | 33.3% | +6.4 | 24 |
| 2016-02-21 | VfB Stuttgart | D 1-1 | 1947 | 1878 | 52.4% | 23.4% | 24.2% | -1.1 | 34 |
| 2016-02-21 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1878 | 1947 | 24.2% | 23.4% | 52.4% | +1.1 | 28 |
| 2016-02-26 | Hertha BSC | L 0-1 | 1904 | 1930 | 39.7% | 24.6% | 35.7% | -7.3 | 29 |
| 2016-02-26 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 1930 | 1904 | 35.7% | 24.6% | 39.7% | +7.3 | 39 |
| 2016-02-27 | Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1977 | 2183 | 18.9% | 22.0% | 59.1% | -7.3 | 31 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 2183 | 1977 | 59.1% | 22.0% | 18.9% | +7.3 | 62 |
| 2016-02-27 | Hannover 96 | L 1-2 | 1879 | 1815 | 51.8% | 23.5% | 24.6% | -8.5 | 28 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 2-1 | 1815 | 1879 | 24.6% | 23.5% | 51.8% | +8.5 | 17 |
| 2016-02-27 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1876 | 1851 | 46.7% | 24.2% | 29.1% | -0.7 | 28 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ Hamburger SV | D 1-1 | 1851 | 1876 | 29.1% | 24.2% | 46.7% | +0.7 | 30 |
| 2016-02-27 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 2-2 | 1823 | 1816 | 44.3% | 24.4% | 31.3% | -0.4 | 21 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ Werder Bremen | D 2-2 | 1816 | 1823 | 31.3% | 24.4% | 44.3% | +0.4 | 25 |
| 2016-02-28 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 3-1 | 1926 | 2024 | 29.9% | 24.3% | 45.9% | +13.4 | 36 |
| 2016-02-28 | @ Mainz 05 | L 1-3 | 2024 | 1926 | 45.9% | 24.3% | 29.9% | -13.4 | 35 |
| 2016-02-28 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 2-2 | 1899 | 1986 | 31.3% | 24.4% | 44.3% | +0.4 | 25 |
| 2016-02-28 | @ FC Augsburg | D 2-2 | 1986 | 1899 | 44.3% | 24.4% | 31.3% | -0.4 | 36 |
| 2016-02-28 | Hoffenheim | W 3-1 | 2082 | 1863 | 68.4% | 18.9% | 12.7% | +4.2 | 54 |
| 2016-02-28 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1863 | 2082 | 12.7% | 18.9% | 68.4% | -4.2 | 18 |
| 2016-02-28 | Schalke 04 | D 0-0 | 1856 | 1946 | 30.8% | 24.3% | 44.8% | +0.6 | 23 |
| 2016-02-28 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 0-0 | 1946 | 1856 | 44.8% | 24.3% | 30.8% | -0.6 | 35 |
| 2016-03-01 | 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1852 | 1897 | 37.0% | 24.6% | 38.4% | +0.0 | 31 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1897 | 1852 | 38.4% | 24.6% | 37.0% | -0.0 | 30 |
| 2016-03-01 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-4 | 1823 | 1969 | 24.5% | 23.5% | 52.0% | -17.6 | 17 |
| 2016-03-01 | @ Hannover 96 | W 4-0 | 1969 | 1823 | 52.0% | 23.5% | 24.5% | +17.6 | 34 |
| 2016-03-02 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1817 | 2087 | 14.4% | 20.0% | 65.7% | -5.6 | 25 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-0 | 2087 | 1817 | 65.7% | 20.0% | 14.4% | +5.6 | 57 |
| 2016-03-02 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1937 | 1856 | 53.9% | 23.2% | 22.9% | +8.8 | 42 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-2 | 1856 | 1937 | 22.9% | 23.2% | 53.9% | -8.8 | 23 |
| 2016-03-02 | FC Augsburg | W 2-1 | 1859 | 1899 | 37.6% | 24.6% | 37.8% | +6.6 | 21 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 1899 | 1859 | 37.8% | 24.6% | 37.6% | -6.6 | 25 |
| 2016-03-02 | Hamburger SV | W 3-2 | 1946 | 1876 | 52.5% | 23.4% | 24.1% | +4.4 | 38 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ Schalke 04 | L 2-3 | 1876 | 1946 | 24.1% | 23.4% | 52.5% | -4.3 | 28 |
| 2016-03-02 | Mainz 05 | L 1-2 | 2190 | 1939 | 71.2% | 17.7% | 11.1% | -11.1 | 62 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ Bayern Munich | W 2-1 | 1939 | 2190 | 11.1% | 17.7% | 71.2% | +11.1 | 39 |
| 2016-03-02 | VfB Stuttgart | W 4-0 | 1986 | 1871 | 57.8% | 22.3% | 19.9% | +14.6 | 39 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-4 | 1871 | 1986 | 19.9% | 22.3% | 57.8% | -14.6 | 28 |
| 2016-03-02 | Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 2011 | 1823 | 65.4% | 20.0% | 14.5% | -25.5 | 35 |
| 2016-03-02 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | W 4-1 | 1823 | 2011 | 14.5% | 20.0% | 65.4% | +25.5 | 24 |
| 2016-03-05 | Bayer Leverkusen | D 3-3 | 1893 | 1985 | 30.6% | 24.3% | 45.1% | +0.3 | 26 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ FC Augsburg | D 3-3 | 1985 | 1893 | 45.1% | 24.3% | 30.6% | -0.3 | 36 |
| 2016-03-05 | Bayern Munich | D 0-0 | 2092 | 2179 | 31.3% | 24.4% | 44.3% | +0.5 | 58 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 0-0 | 2179 | 2092 | 44.3% | 24.4% | 31.3% | -0.5 | 63 |
| 2016-03-05 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1987 | 2000 | 41.5% | 24.5% | 34.0% | +6.1 | 37 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-2 | 2000 | 1987 | 34.0% | 24.5% | 41.5% | -6.1 | 39 |
| 2016-03-05 | Hannover 96 | W 4-1 | 1848 | 1806 | 49.0% | 23.9% | 27.0% | +12.4 | 27 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Werder Bremen | L 1-4 | 1806 | 1848 | 27.0% | 23.9% | 49.0% | -12.4 | 17 |
| 2016-03-05 | Hoffenheim | W 5-1 | 1856 | 1865 | 42.0% | 24.5% | 33.4% | +19.0 | 31 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ VfB Stuttgart | L 1-5 | 1865 | 1856 | 33.4% | 24.5% | 42.0% | -19.1 | 21 |
| 2016-03-05 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 1-1 | 1847 | 1852 | 42.7% | 24.5% | 32.8% | -0.4 | 24 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1852 | 1847 | 32.8% | 24.5% | 42.7% | +0.4 | 32 |
| 2016-03-05 | Schalke 04 | L 1-3 | 1897 | 1950 | 35.8% | 24.6% | 39.6% | -11.0 | 30 |
| 2016-03-05 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 3-1 | 1950 | 1897 | 39.6% | 24.6% | 35.8% | +11.0 | 41 |
| 2016-03-06 | Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 1871 | 1946 | 32.9% | 24.5% | 42.7% | +14.5 | 31 |
| 2016-03-06 | @ Hamburger SV | L 0-2 | 1946 | 1871 | 42.7% | 24.5% | 32.9% | -14.5 | 42 |
| 2016-03-06 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 0-0 | 1950 | 1811 | 60.4% | 21.6% | 17.9% | -1.9 | 40 |
| 2016-03-06 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1811 | 1950 | 17.9% | 21.6% | 60.4% | +1.9 | 26 |
| 2016-03-11 | Schalke 04 | W 2-0 | 1932 | 1961 | 39.2% | 24.6% | 36.2% | +12.8 | 45 |
| 2016-03-11 | @ Hertha BSC | L 0-2 | 1961 | 1932 | 36.2% | 24.6% | 39.2% | -12.8 | 41 |
| 2016-03-12 | 1. FC Koln | L 0-2 | 1793 | 1886 | 30.6% | 24.3% | 45.1% | -11.2 | 17 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ Hannover 96 | W 2-0 | 1886 | 1793 | 45.1% | 24.3% | 30.6% | +11.2 | 33 |
| 2016-03-12 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-0 | 1994 | 1847 | 61.3% | 21.4% | 17.3% | +9.8 | 42 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-3 | 1847 | 1994 | 17.3% | 21.4% | 61.3% | -9.8 | 24 |
| 2016-03-12 | FC Augsburg | D 2-2 | 1813 | 1893 | 32.2% | 24.4% | 43.4% | +0.3 | 27 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 2-2 | 1893 | 1813 | 43.4% | 24.4% | 32.2% | -0.3 | 27 |
| 2016-03-12 | VfB Stuttgart | D 3-3 | 1852 | 1875 | 40.1% | 24.6% | 35.3% | -0.1 | 33 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 3-3 | 1875 | 1852 | 35.3% | 24.6% | 40.1% | +0.1 | 32 |
| 2016-03-12 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 1-0 | 1846 | 1993 | 24.4% | 23.5% | 52.1% | +9.1 | 24 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ Hoffenheim | L 0-1 | 1993 | 1846 | 52.1% | 23.5% | 24.4% | -9.1 | 37 |
| 2016-03-12 | Werder Bremen | W 5-0 | 2178 | 1861 | 76.6% | 15.2% | 8.3% | +7.0 | 66 |
| 2016-03-12 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-5 | 1861 | 2178 | 8.3% | 15.2% | 76.6% | -7.0 | 27 |
| 2016-03-13 | Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1985 | 1886 | 56.0% | 22.8% | 21.3% | +4.3 | 39 |
| 2016-03-13 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-1 | 1886 | 1985 | 21.3% | 22.8% | 56.0% | -4.3 | 31 |
| 2016-03-13 | Mainz 05 | W 2-0 | 2093 | 1948 | 61.0% | 21.5% | 17.5% | +6.8 | 61 |
| 2016-03-13 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-2 | 1948 | 2093 | 17.5% | 21.5% | 61.0% | -6.8 | 40 |
| 2016-03-18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-1 | 1948 | 2004 | 35.5% | 24.6% | 40.0% | +6.9 | 44 |
| 2016-03-18 | @ Schalke 04 | L 1-2 | 2004 | 1948 | 40.0% | 24.6% | 35.5% | -6.9 | 42 |
| 2016-03-19 | Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1897 | 2185 | 13.3% | 19.3% | 67.4% | -2.7 | 33 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 1-0 | 2185 | 1897 | 67.4% | 19.3% | 13.3% | +2.7 | 69 |
| 2016-03-19 | Hannover 96 | W 1-0 | 1837 | 1782 | 50.6% | 23.7% | 25.6% | +5.1 | 27 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1782 | 1837 | 25.6% | 23.7% | 50.6% | -5.1 | 17 |
| 2016-03-19 | Hoffenheim | L 1-3 | 1881 | 1855 | 46.9% | 24.2% | 29.0% | -13.6 | 31 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ Hamburger SV | W 3-1 | 1855 | 1881 | 29.0% | 24.2% | 46.9% | +13.6 | 27 |
| 2016-03-19 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 2-1 | 1944 | 1852 | 55.2% | 22.9% | 21.9% | +4.2 | 48 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ Hertha BSC | L 1-2 | 1852 | 1944 | 21.9% | 22.9% | 55.2% | -4.2 | 33 |
| 2016-03-19 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1854 | 1941 | 31.2% | 24.4% | 44.4% | +0.5 | 28 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ Werder Bremen | D 1-1 | 1941 | 1854 | 44.4% | 24.4% | 31.2% | -0.5 | 41 |
| 2016-03-19 | SV Darmstadt 98 | D 1-1 | 1984 | 1813 | 63.7% | 20.6% | 15.6% | -2.0 | 38 |
| 2016-03-19 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1813 | 1984 | 15.6% | 20.6% | 63.7% | +2.0 | 28 |
| 2016-03-20 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1875 | 1989 | 28.0% | 24.1% | 47.9% | -10.5 | 32 |
| 2016-03-20 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 2-0 | 1989 | 1875 | 47.9% | 24.1% | 28.0% | +10.4 | 42 |
| 2016-03-20 | Borussia Dortmund | L 1-3 | 1893 | 2099 | 18.9% | 22.0% | 59.1% | -6.3 | 27 |
| 2016-03-20 | @ FC Augsburg | W 3-1 | 2099 | 1893 | 59.1% | 22.0% | 18.9% | +6.3 | 64 |
| 2016-04-01 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-0 | 2000 | 1982 | 45.7% | 24.3% | 30.0% | +16.0 | 45 |
| 2016-04-01 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1982 | 2000 | 30.0% | 24.3% | 45.7% | -16.0 | 38 |
| 2016-04-02 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 2188 | 1842 | 78.6% | 14.1% | 7.3% | +1.4 | 72 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-1 | 1842 | 2188 | 7.3% | 14.1% | 78.6% | -1.4 | 27 |
| 2016-04-02 | FC Augsburg | W 4-2 | 1941 | 1886 | 50.5% | 23.7% | 25.7% | +7.5 | 44 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Mainz 05 | L 2-4 | 1886 | 1941 | 25.7% | 23.7% | 50.5% | -7.5 | 27 |
| 2016-04-02 | Hamburger SV | L 0-3 | 1777 | 1868 | 30.8% | 24.3% | 44.9% | -16.4 | 17 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-0 | 1868 | 1777 | 44.9% | 24.3% | 30.8% | +16.4 | 34 |
| 2016-04-02 | Schalke 04 | W 3-0 | 1848 | 1955 | 28.8% | 24.2% | 47.0% | +22.8 | 36 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-3 | 1955 | 1848 | 47.0% | 24.2% | 28.8% | -22.8 | 44 |
| 2016-04-02 | VfB Stuttgart | D 2-2 | 1815 | 1865 | 36.3% | 24.6% | 39.1% | +0.1 | 29 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | D 2-2 | 1865 | 1815 | 39.1% | 24.6% | 36.3% | -0.1 | 33 |
| 2016-04-02 | Werder Bremen | W 3-2 | 2106 | 1854 | 71.3% | 17.7% | 11.1% | +2.0 | 67 |
| 2016-04-02 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 2-3 | 1854 | 2106 | 11.1% | 17.7% | 71.3% | -2.0 | 28 |
| 2016-04-03 | 1. FC Koln | D 1-1 | 1869 | 1894 | 39.8% | 24.6% | 35.6% | -0.2 | 28 |
| 2016-04-03 | @ Hoffenheim | D 1-1 | 1894 | 1869 | 35.6% | 24.6% | 39.8% | +0.1 | 34 |
| 2016-04-03 | Hertha BSC | W 5-0 | 1997 | 1949 | 49.8% | 23.8% | 26.4% | +23.2 | 45 |
| 2016-04-03 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-5 | 1949 | 1997 | 26.4% | 23.8% | 49.8% | -23.2 | 48 |
| 2016-04-08 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1925 | 1761 | 63.1% | 20.8% | 16.0% | -1.4 | 49 |
| 2016-04-08 | @ Hertha BSC | D 2-2 | 1761 | 1925 | 16.0% | 20.8% | 63.1% | +1.4 | 18 |
| 2016-04-09 | Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1865 | 2190 | 11.4% | 17.9% | 70.7% | -3.7 | 33 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 2190 | 1865 | 70.7% | 17.9% | 11.4% | +3.7 | 75 |
| 2016-04-09 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 1-0 | 1871 | 2020 | 24.1% | 23.4% | 52.4% | +9.1 | 39 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | L 0-1 | 2020 | 1871 | 52.4% | 23.4% | 24.1% | -9.1 | 45 |
| 2016-04-09 | FC Augsburg | L 1-2 | 1852 | 1879 | 39.6% | 24.6% | 35.8% | -6.9 | 28 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1879 | 1852 | 35.8% | 24.6% | 39.6% | +6.9 | 30 |
| 2016-04-09 | Hoffenheim | L 0-2 | 1841 | 1869 | 39.4% | 24.6% | 36.0% | -13.7 | 27 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | W 2-0 | 1869 | 1841 | 36.0% | 24.6% | 39.4% | +13.7 | 31 |
| 2016-04-09 | Mainz 05 | D 1-1 | 1966 | 1948 | 45.7% | 24.3% | 30.0% | -0.6 | 39 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | D 1-1 | 1948 | 1966 | 30.0% | 24.3% | 45.7% | +0.6 | 45 |
| 2016-04-09 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1884 | 1815 | 52.4% | 23.4% | 24.2% | -8.6 | 34 |
| 2016-04-09 | @ Hamburger SV | W 2-1 | 1815 | 1884 | 24.2% | 23.4% | 52.4% | +8.6 | 32 |
| 2016-04-10 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-2 | 1895 | 2016 | 27.2% | 24.0% | 48.9% | -10.2 | 34 |
| 2016-04-10 | @ 1. FC Koln | W 2-0 | 2016 | 1895 | 48.9% | 24.0% | 27.2% | +10.2 | 48 |
| 2016-04-10 | Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 1932 | 2108 | 21.6% | 22.8% | 55.6% | +1.0 | 45 |
| 2016-04-10 | @ Schalke 04 | D 2-2 | 2108 | 1932 | 55.6% | 22.8% | 21.6% | -1.0 | 68 |
| 2016-04-15 | Borussia Monchengladbach | W 2-0 | 1762 | 2011 | 15.7% | 20.7% | 63.6% | +20.3 | 21 |
| 2016-04-15 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-2 | 2011 | 1762 | 63.6% | 20.7% | 15.7% | -20.3 | 45 |
| 2016-04-16 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 3-0 | 2026 | 1827 | 66.5% | 19.7% | 13.9% | +7.8 | 51 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 0-3 | 1827 | 2026 | 13.9% | 19.7% | 66.5% | -7.8 | 27 |
| 2016-04-16 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1883 | 1924 | 37.5% | 24.6% | 37.9% | +6.6 | 34 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 1924 | 1883 | 37.9% | 24.6% | 37.5% | -6.6 | 49 |
| 2016-04-16 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 2-0 | 1824 | 1880 | 35.4% | 24.6% | 40.0% | +13.8 | 35 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | L 0-2 | 1880 | 1824 | 40.0% | 24.6% | 35.4% | -13.8 | 39 |
| 2016-04-16 | Schalke 04 | W 3-0 | 2193 | 1933 | 72.0% | 17.4% | 10.7% | +5.8 | 78 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ Bayern Munich | L 0-3 | 1933 | 2193 | 10.7% | 17.4% | 72.0% | -5.8 | 45 |
| 2016-04-16 | VfB Stuttgart | W 1-0 | 1886 | 1861 | 46.7% | 24.2% | 29.1% | +5.7 | 33 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ FC Augsburg | L 0-1 | 1861 | 1886 | 29.1% | 24.2% | 46.7% | -5.7 | 33 |
| 2016-04-16 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 3-2 | 1845 | 1965 | 27.3% | 24.0% | 48.7% | +7.7 | 31 |
| 2016-04-16 | @ Werder Bremen | L 2-3 | 1965 | 1845 | 48.7% | 24.0% | 27.3% | -7.7 | 39 |
| 2016-04-17 | 1. FC Koln | L 2-3 | 1949 | 1884 | 51.8% | 23.5% | 24.6% | -8.1 | 45 |
| 2016-04-17 | @ Mainz 05 | W 3-2 | 1884 | 1949 | 24.6% | 23.5% | 51.8% | +8.1 | 37 |
| 2016-04-17 | Hamburger SV | W 3-0 | 2107 | 1876 | 69.5% | 18.5% | 12.1% | +6.7 | 71 |
| 2016-04-17 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1876 | 2107 | 12.1% | 18.5% | 69.5% | -6.7 | 34 |
| 2016-04-22 | Werder Bremen | W 2-1 | 1869 | 1853 | 45.5% | 24.3% | 30.2% | +5.5 | 37 |
| 2016-04-22 | @ Hamburger SV | L 1-2 | 1853 | 1869 | 30.2% | 24.3% | 45.5% | -5.5 | 31 |
| 2016-04-23 | Bayer Leverkusen | L 2-3 | 1927 | 2034 | 28.9% | 24.2% | 46.9% | -5.1 | 45 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ Schalke 04 | W 3-2 | 2034 | 1927 | 46.9% | 24.2% | 28.9% | +5.1 | 54 |
| 2016-04-23 | Bayern Munich | L 0-2 | 1917 | 2199 | 13.7% | 19.5% | 66.8% | -5.3 | 49 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ Hertha BSC | W 2-0 | 2199 | 1917 | 66.8% | 19.5% | 13.7% | +5.3 | 81 |
| 2016-04-23 | Borussia Dortmund | L 0-3 | 1855 | 2113 | 15.1% | 20.4% | 64.5% | -8.5 | 33 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 3-0 | 2113 | 1855 | 64.5% | 20.4% | 15.1% | +8.5 | 74 |
| 2016-04-23 | FC Augsburg | L 0-2 | 1958 | 1891 | 52.0% | 23.5% | 24.5% | -17.1 | 39 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | W 2-0 | 1891 | 1958 | 24.5% | 23.5% | 52.0% | +17.1 | 36 |
| 2016-04-23 | Hannover 96 | D 2-2 | 1866 | 1782 | 54.2% | 23.1% | 22.7% | -0.9 | 40 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | D 2-2 | 1782 | 1866 | 22.7% | 23.1% | 54.2% | +0.9 | 22 |
| 2016-04-23 | SV Darmstadt 98 | W 4-1 | 1893 | 1838 | 50.6% | 23.7% | 25.7% | +11.9 | 40 |
| 2016-04-23 | @ 1. FC Koln | L 1-4 | 1838 | 1893 | 25.7% | 23.7% | 50.6% | -11.9 | 35 |
| 2016-04-24 | Hoffenheim | W 3-1 | 1991 | 1889 | 56.2% | 22.7% | 21.1% | +7.0 | 48 |
| 2016-04-24 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-3 | 1889 | 1991 | 21.1% | 22.7% | 56.2% | -7.0 | 34 |
| 2016-04-24 | Mainz 05 | W 2-1 | 1820 | 1941 | 27.2% | 23.9% | 48.9% | +8.1 | 30 |
| 2016-04-24 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1941 | 1820 | 48.9% | 23.9% | 27.2% | -8.1 | 45 |
| 2016-04-29 | 1. FC Koln | D 0-0 | 1909 | 1904 | 43.9% | 24.4% | 31.7% | -0.5 | 37 |
| 2016-04-29 | @ FC Augsburg | D 0-0 | 1904 | 1909 | 31.7% | 24.4% | 43.9% | +0.5 | 41 |
| 2016-04-30 | Borussia Monchengladbach | D 1-1 | 2204 | 1998 | 67.2% | 19.4% | 13.4% | -2.2 | 82 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Bayern Munich | D 1-1 | 1998 | 2204 | 13.4% | 19.4% | 67.2% | +2.2 | 49 |
| 2016-04-30 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 1-2 | 1826 | 1828 | 43.1% | 24.5% | 32.5% | -7.3 | 35 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-1 | 1828 | 1826 | 32.5% | 24.5% | 43.1% | +7.3 | 33 |
| 2016-04-30 | Hamburger SV | D 0-0 | 1933 | 1874 | 51.0% | 23.7% | 25.3% | -1.1 | 46 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1874 | 1933 | 25.3% | 23.7% | 51.0% | +1.1 | 38 |
| 2016-04-30 | Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 2039 | 1912 | 59.1% | 22.0% | 18.9% | +3.7 | 57 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 1-2 | 1912 | 2039 | 18.9% | 22.0% | 59.1% | -3.7 | 49 |
| 2016-04-30 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 2-1 | 1882 | 1865 | 45.6% | 24.3% | 30.1% | +5.5 | 37 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Hoffenheim | L 1-2 | 1865 | 1882 | 30.1% | 24.3% | 45.6% | -5.5 | 40 |
| 2016-04-30 | Schalke 04 | L 1-3 | 1783 | 1922 | 25.2% | 23.6% | 51.2% | -8.3 | 22 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 1922 | 1783 | 51.2% | 23.6% | 25.2% | +8.3 | 48 |
| 2016-04-30 | VfL Wolfsburg | W 5-1 | 2122 | 1941 | 64.8% | 20.3% | 14.9% | +9.1 | 77 |
| 2016-04-30 | @ Borussia Dortmund | L 1-5 | 1941 | 2122 | 14.9% | 20.3% | 64.8% | -9.1 | 39 |
| 2016-05-02 | VfB Stuttgart | W 6-2 | 1847 | 1847 | 43.4% | 24.4% | 32.1% | +15.7 | 34 |
| 2016-05-02 | @ Werder Bremen | L 2-6 | 1847 | 1847 | 32.1% | 24.4% | 43.4% | -15.7 | 33 |
| 2016-05-07 | Bayer Leverkusen | W 2-1 | 2000 | 2042 | 37.3% | 24.6% | 38.0% | +6.7 | 52 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | L 1-2 | 2042 | 2000 | 38.0% | 24.6% | 37.3% | -6.7 | 57 |
| 2016-05-07 | Bayern Munich | L 1-2 | 1860 | 2202 | 10.5% | 17.3% | 72.2% | -2.0 | 40 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 2-1 | 2202 | 1860 | 72.2% | 17.3% | 10.5% | +2.0 | 85 |
| 2016-05-07 | Borussia Dortmund | W 1-0 | 1835 | 2131 | 12.9% | 19.0% | 68.1% | +11.4 | 36 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 2131 | 1835 | 68.1% | 19.0% | 12.9% | -11.4 | 77 |
| 2016-05-07 | FC Augsburg | D 1-1 | 1931 | 1908 | 46.4% | 24.2% | 29.4% | -0.6 | 49 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Schalke 04 | D 1-1 | 1908 | 1931 | 29.4% | 24.2% | 46.4% | +0.6 | 38 |
| 2016-05-07 | Hoffenheim | W 1-0 | 1775 | 1888 | 28.1% | 24.1% | 47.8% | +8.5 | 25 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Hannover 96 | L 0-1 | 1888 | 1775 | 47.8% | 24.1% | 28.1% | -8.5 | 37 |
| 2016-05-07 | Mainz 05 | L 1-3 | 1831 | 1932 | 29.6% | 24.2% | 46.1% | -9.5 | 33 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1932 | 1831 | 46.1% | 24.2% | 29.6% | +9.5 | 49 |
| 2016-05-07 | SV Darmstadt 98 | L 1-2 | 1908 | 1819 | 54.9% | 23.0% | 22.1% | -9.0 | 49 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Hertha BSC | W 2-1 | 1819 | 1908 | 22.1% | 23.0% | 54.9% | +9.0 | 38 |
| 2016-05-07 | VfL Wolfsburg | L 0-1 | 1876 | 1931 | 35.4% | 24.6% | 40.0% | -6.7 | 38 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ Hamburger SV | W 1-0 | 1931 | 1876 | 40.0% | 24.6% | 35.4% | +6.7 | 42 |
| 2016-05-07 | Werder Bremen | D 0-0 | 1905 | 1863 | 48.9% | 23.9% | 27.1% | -0.9 | 42 |
| 2016-05-07 | @ 1. FC Koln | D 0-0 | 1863 | 1905 | 27.1% | 23.9% | 48.9% | +0.9 | 35 |
| 2016-05-14 | 1. FC Koln | D 2-2 | 2120 | 1904 | 68.1% | 19.0% | 12.9% | -1.7 | 78 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ Borussia Dortmund | D 2-2 | 1904 | 2120 | 12.9% | 19.0% | 68.1% | +1.7 | 43 |
| 2016-05-14 | Borussia Monchengladbach | L 0-2 | 1827 | 2007 | 21.2% | 22.8% | 56.0% | -8.2 | 38 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | W 2-0 | 2007 | 1827 | 56.0% | 22.8% | 21.2% | +8.2 | 55 |
| 2016-05-14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | W 1-0 | 1864 | 1846 | 45.7% | 24.3% | 30.0% | +5.9 | 38 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ Werder Bremen | L 0-1 | 1846 | 1864 | 30.0% | 24.3% | 45.7% | -5.9 | 36 |
| 2016-05-14 | Hamburger SV | L 1-3 | 1909 | 1869 | 48.7% | 24.0% | 27.4% | -14.0 | 38 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ FC Augsburg | W 3-1 | 1869 | 1909 | 27.4% | 24.0% | 48.7% | +14.0 | 41 |
| 2016-05-14 | Hannover 96 | W 3-1 | 2204 | 1783 | 83.4% | 11.4% | 5.2% | +1.5 | 88 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ Bayern Munich | L 1-3 | 1783 | 2204 | 5.2% | 11.4% | 83.4% | -1.5 | 25 |
| 2016-05-14 | Hertha BSC | D 0-0 | 1941 | 1899 | 48.9% | 23.9% | 27.1% | -0.9 | 50 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ Mainz 05 | D 0-0 | 1899 | 1941 | 27.1% | 23.9% | 48.9% | +0.9 | 50 |
| 2016-05-14 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | W 3-2 | 2036 | 1858 | 64.5% | 20.4% | 15.2% | +2.8 | 60 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | L 2-3 | 1858 | 2036 | 15.2% | 20.4% | 64.5% | -2.8 | 40 |
| 2016-05-14 | Schalke 04 | L 1-4 | 1879 | 1930 | 36.2% | 24.6% | 39.2% | -15.7 | 37 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ Hoffenheim | W 4-1 | 1930 | 1879 | 39.2% | 24.6% | 36.2% | +15.7 | 52 |
| 2016-05-14 | VfB Stuttgart | W 3-1 | 1938 | 1822 | 58.0% | 22.3% | 19.7% | +6.6 | 45 |
| 2016-05-14 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | L 1-3 | 1822 | 1938 | 19.7% | 22.3% | 58.0% | -6.6 | 33 |
Playoff Game Log
Every playoff game for the team selected at the top of the tab (empty if they didn't reach the postseason). Sort any column by clicking its header. @ before an opponent name indicates an away game; the record column shows the team's running playoff record.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Pre Elo | Opp Elo | Win % | Tie % | Loss % | Elo Δ | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-05-19 | 1. FC Nurnberg | D 1-1 | 1841 | 1856 | 41.2% | 24.6% | 34.2% | -0.3 | 0-0-1 |
| 2016-05-19 | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | D 1-1 | 1856 | 1841 | 34.2% | 24.6% | 41.2% | +0.3 | 0-0-1 |
| 2016-05-23 | Eintracht Frankfurt | L 0-1 | 1856 | 1840 | 45.5% | 24.3% | 30.2% | -8.1 | 0-1-1 |
| 2016-05-23 | @ 1. FC Nurnberg | W 1-0 | 1840 | 1856 | 30.2% | 24.3% | 45.5% | +8.1 | 1-0-1 |
Biggest Upsets
The 25 games where the underdog won despite the lowest pregame win probability. Underdog Win % is the winner's pregame chance of winning the game (lower = bigger upset). @ before a team name indicates the away side. An asterisk (*) after the date marks a playoff game.
| # | Date | Underdog Win % | Winning Team | Losing Team | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Elo | Score | Team | Elo | Score | |||
| 1 | 2016-03-02 | 11.06% | Mainz 05 | 1939 | 2 | @ Bayern Munich | 2190 | 1 |
| 2 | 2016-05-07 | 12.87% | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1835 | 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 2131 | 0 |
| 3 | 2016-03-02 | 14.53% | Werder Bremen | 1823 | 4 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2011 | 1 |
| 4 | 2015-09-12 | 15.44% | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1826 | 1 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 2000 | 0 |
| 5 | 2016-04-15 | 15.74% | @ Hannover 96 | 1762 | 2 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2011 | 0 |
| 6 | 2015-12-19 | 19.27% | @ VfB Stuttgart | 1813 | 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2015 | 1 |
| 7 | 2015-11-20 | 19.63% | @ Hamburger SV | 1867 | 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 2065 | 1 |
| 8 | 2015-09-11 | 20.05% | Hamburger SV | 1854 | 3 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1967 | 0 |
| 9 | 2016-01-24 | 20.36% | Werder Bremen | 1830 | 3 | @ Schalke 04 | 1939 | 1 |
| 10 | 2015-12-05 | 21.75% | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 2008 | 3 | Bayern Munich | 2182 | 1 |
| 11 | 2016-05-07 | 22.11% | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1819 | 2 | @ Hertha BSC | 1908 | 1 |
| 12 | 2016-01-23 | 22.62% | VfB Stuttgart | 1829 | 3 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1914 | 1 |
| 13 | 2015-11-07 | 22.65% | 1. FC Koln | 1906 | 2 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1991 | 1 |
| 14 | 2015-10-18 | 22.78% | Hannover 96 | 1842 | 1 | @ 1. FC Koln | 1924 | 0 |
| 15 | 2015-12-19 | 22.82% | @ 1. FC Koln | 1905 | 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 2068 | 1 |
| 16 | 2015-08-23 | 23.60% | Mainz 05 | 1909 | 2 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 1984 | 1 |
| 17 | 2015-10-04 | 23.88% | 1. FC Koln | 1899 | 3 | @ Schalke 04 | 1971 | 0 |
| 18 | 2016-04-09 | 24.13% | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1871 | 1 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 2020 | 0 |
| 19 | 2016-04-09 | 24.18% | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1815 | 2 | @ Hamburger SV | 1884 | 1 |
| 20 | 2016-02-07 | 24.25% | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1805 | 2 | @ Hoffenheim | 1873 | 0 |
| 21 | 2016-03-12 | 24.39% | @ Hoffenheim | 1846 | 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1993 | 0 |
| 22 | 2016-04-23 | 24.46% | FC Augsburg | 1891 | 2 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 1958 | 0 |
| 23 | 2015-08-15 | 24.53% | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1853 | 1 | @ Mainz 05 | 1918 | 0 |
| 24 | 2015-10-24 | 24.61% | Werder Bremen | 1850 | 3 | @ Mainz 05 | 1915 | 1 |
| 25 | 2016-04-17 | 24.64% | 1. FC Koln | 1884 | 3 | @ Mainz 05 | 1949 | 2 |
Biggest Elo Changes
The 25 games that resulted in the largest shift in Elo rating.
| # | Date | Elo Δ | Winning Team | Losing Team | Tie % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Score | Elo | Win % | Team | Score | Elo | Win % | ||||
| 1 | 2015-12-12 | 30.99 | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 1983 | 37.54% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 2024 | 37.85% | 24.61% |
| 2 | 2015-11-21 | 27.33 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 1853 | 33.32% | @ VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1844 | 42.17% | 24.51% |
| 3 | 2015-09-11 | 27.12 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 1854 | 20.05% | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 1967 | 57.56% | 22.40% |
| 4 | 2016-03-02 | 25.49 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1823 | 14.53% | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 2011 | 65.44% | 20.03% |
| 5 | 2015-10-04 | 25.16 | 1. FC Koln | 3 | 1899 | 23.88% | @ Schalke 04 | 0 | 1971 | 52.74% | 23.39% |
| 6 | 2015-11-28 | 24.46 | @ Hannover 96 | 4 | 1837 | 38.91% | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 0 | 1869 | 36.49% | 24.60% |
| 7 | 2015-08-15 | 24.09 | @ Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 1982 | 39.63% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 2008 | 35.77% | 24.59% |
| 8 | 2016-04-03 | 23.22 | @ Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | 1997 | 49.76% | Hertha BSC | 0 | 1949 | 26.40% | 23.84% |
| 9 | 2016-04-02 | 22.84 | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3 | 1848 | 28.82% | Schalke 04 | 0 | 1955 | 47.02% | 24.16% |
| 10 | 2015-12-12 | 22.27 | Hertha BSC | 4 | 1911 | 43.20% | @ SV Darmstadt 98 | 0 | 1832 | 32.34% | 24.46% |
| 11 | 2016-04-15 | 20.32 | @ Hannover 96 | 2 | 1762 | 15.74% | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0 | 2011 | 63.58% | 20.67% |
| 12 | 2016-02-06 | 20.06 | @ Schalke 04 | 3 | 1934 | 35.45% | VfL Wolfsburg | 0 | 1989 | 39.96% | 24.59% |
| 13 | 2015-10-17 | 19.59 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | 1965 | 40.78% | @ Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1904 | 34.66% | 24.56% |
| 14 | 2015-11-21 | 19.22 | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 2005 | 60.55% | Werder Bremen | 0 | 1865 | 17.84% | 21.61% |
| 15 | 2016-03-05 | 19.05 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 1856 | 42.05% | Hoffenheim | 1 | 1865 | 33.44% | 24.52% |
| 16 | 2015-08-15 | 18.44 | Schalke 04 | 3 | 1940 | 39.65% | @ Werder Bremen | 0 | 1887 | 35.76% | 24.59% |
| 17 | 2015-08-23 | 17.78 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 2006 | 51.76% | @ FC Ingolstadt 04 | 0 | 1862 | 24.69% | 23.55% |
| 18 | 2016-03-01 | 17.64 | VfL Wolfsburg | 4 | 1969 | 52.02% | @ Hannover 96 | 0 | 1823 | 24.47% | 23.51% |
| 19 | 2016-02-07 | 17.20 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 1805 | 24.25% | @ Hoffenheim | 0 | 1873 | 52.29% | 23.46% |
| 20 | 2016-04-23 | 17.13 | FC Augsburg | 2 | 1891 | 24.46% | @ VfL Wolfsburg | 0 | 1958 | 52.03% | 23.51% |
| 21 | 2015-10-03 | 16.87 | @ Hertha BSC | 3 | 1885 | 43.65% | Hamburger SV | 0 | 1883 | 31.92% | 24.43% |
| 22 | 2015-10-17 | 16.70 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 1832 | 25.73% | @ FC Augsburg | 0 | 1886 | 50.53% | 23.74% |
| 23 | 2015-12-19 | 16.42 | @ VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1813 | 19.27% | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 2015 | 58.59% | 22.14% |
| 24 | 2016-04-02 | 16.39 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 1868 | 44.85% | @ Hannover 96 | 0 | 1777 | 30.80% | 24.35% |
| 25 | 2015-11-20 | 16.30 | @ Hamburger SV | 3 | 1867 | 19.63% | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 2065 | 58.11% | 22.26% |